DAIRY FARM MANAGEMENT PRACTICES TO REDUCE SEASONAUTY. OF MiLK PRODUCUON IN THE DETROIT MILKSHED Thais for {he Dog!» of M. S. MiCHIGAN STATE COLLEGE Timcfhy L. Hodge 1950 E Thisistocerttfgthat the ‘ ‘34 3’ E thesis entitled . . "In s~yuh . "Dairy Farm Management Practices to Reduce Seasonality of Milk Production ' . 3 ' ‘ _' in tne Detroit Milkshed" “..., ' ',K V . ‘ '\‘ '. presented by . x .. I . hmonhy L. Hodge k, ' ‘ ' ‘ ' ;‘ V 1- . a, '. " .‘ p . a .f ‘ ' | ' . \ ‘ L; has been accepted towards fulfillment ' ' ,1» '3 , a} of the requirements for ' f '. .5 _Ma_fu_degree anement .i -' , 5 It ' t I’. ~ ‘ I - J. r ' l. . 0 r " 4 .o ’ ‘ I; '. ¢ Major professor 1m? f' ”f r:', . . Ihme_lan_h_2,_1950_____. ‘si“ 14‘ . . - ‘v ‘4‘.- ‘..A\ - .” L "n V' - 'u. '5" ' _‘ v' 1“ . ‘, .La - .1. aft ’ I've. l. . ‘ffil Vt ‘0 , . p. q -: .. '- W 2"'£gf ‘1 I / y | .2 DAIRY FARM MAKAGEHENT PRACTICES TO REDUCE SEASONALITY OF MILK PRODUCTION IN THE DETROIT MILKSHED By Timothy L. Hodge A THESIS Submitted to the School of Graduate Studies of Michigan State College of Agriculture and Applied Science in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Agricultural Economics 1950 pr HESiS ACKNOWIEDGEMENT The author is indebted to Mr. Everett E. Peterson for his assist- ance in conducting this study, his aid and advice in analyzing the data, and for his counsel in the preparation of the manuscript. Appreciation is especially expressed to Professors E. B. Hill, K. T. Wright, G.C.Quachenbush, C. R. Hoglund, W. H. Vincent, and other members of the Agricultural Economics Department whose co—op- eration made this study possible. Appreciation is expressed to the Michigan Milk Producers Associ- ation and to mny of the farmer members who cooperated in supplying informtion for this study. 3330298 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER I. II. III. IV. V. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . Objectives of the study . . . . Area of the study . . . . . . . PRO CEDURE O O O O O O O O O O O O CAUSES OF SEASONALITY OF MILK PRODUCTION Changes in the amounts and the quality of feed during the year . . . The natural tendency for spring freshening Variations in weather conditions THE RELATION OF FARM ORGANIZATION TO SEASONAL PRODUCTION PATTERNS . Type of farming areas . . . . Size of herd . . . . . . . . . Relative importance of the dairy enterprise . . . . . . . . . Size of farm and land use . . Labor requirements . . . . . . Buildings and equipment . . . EFFECT OF DAIRY HERD MANAGEMENT PRACTICES ON SEASONALITY OF MILK PRODUCTION Breeding practices and problems 12 16 33 36 37 41 41 ii CHAPTER Production per cow . . Breeding decisions . . Difficulties in obtaining of freshening . . . . Culling and replacement Feeding practices . . . Diseases and injuries . VI. MISCELLANEOUS FACTORS . . Distance from market . desired Number of years shipping fluid milk Characteristics of the operator Age of the Operator . Attitude of the operator VII. SUMLARY . . . . . . . . . VIII. BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . 54 59 62 74 75 76 77 77 78 87 91 iii LIST OF TABLES TABLE PAGE I. Amounts of Feedstuffs Fed Per Cow on a Typical Dairy Farm in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ 17 II. Effect of Temperature Variation on Milk Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 III. Distribution of Farms in the Hilkshed by Production Patterns and Type-of-Farming, 359 Smnple Production Records, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 IV. Size of Herd by Production Pattern, 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . 01 V. Importance of the Dairy Enterprise to the Balance of the Farm by Farms in Two Seasonal Patterns, 64 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . 32 VI. Size of Farm by Production Patterns, 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . 33 VII. land Use by Farms in Production Patterns, 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 34 TABLE VIII.. XI. XII. XIII. .XIV. iv Condition of the Buildings and the Condition and the Amount of Milk Handling Equipment 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 19‘}? O I O O O O O O O O O O O O C O O 0 Milk Shipped per Cow by Production Patterns, 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Decisions as to Time of Breeding Cows by Production Patterns in 97 Survey Herds, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . Decisions as to Time of Breeding Heifers by Production Patterns from 97 Horde in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . Number of First-Calf Heifers Added to the Herd and the Proportion Added During July-December, 97 Survey Herds in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . Percentage of Herds Turned Out for Exercise During the Barn Feeding Period, 97 Survey Ierds in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . Farmers Having Trouble Detecting Cows in Heat Where Cows Were or here Not Turned Out Daily During the Barn Feeding SeaSon, 97 Survey Herds, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 39 50 51 53 56 TABLE PAGE XV. Proportion of Farmers Keeping Breeding Records, 97 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 XVI. Proportion Having Trouble in Getting Cows to Freshen in Certain Seasons, 97 Survey Farms in Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . 59 XVII. Proportion of Total Cows Bought in 1947 by Feeding Periods, 56 Herds in Detroit Milkshed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 XVIII. Percentage of Total Cows Sold by Quarters, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 XIX. Comparison of Pasture Programs on Even and Spring-Summer Dairies, 63 Survey Farms in the Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . 64 XX. Percentage Feeding Grain According to Production by Production Timing Patterns, 97 Survey Herds, 1947 . . . . . . . 72 XXI. Percentage Feeding Grain to Dry Cows by Production Timing Patterns, 97 Survey Herds, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 XXII. Relation of Distance from.Market to Seasonal Patterns, 346 Sample Production Records, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . 76 vi TABLE AGE XXIII. Proportion of Operators by Age Groups in Two types of Seasonal Patterns, 97 Survey Farms, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 XXIV. Reasons for Seasonal Production Patterns as Given by Spring-Summer and Summer- Fall Producers, 62 Survey Farms, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . 8O XXV. Reasons for Seasonal Production Patterns as Given by Even and Fall and Winter Producers, 35 Survey Farms, Detroit Milkshed, 1947 . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 XXVI. Attitude of Operator toward Shifting Milk Production Timing, 97 Survey Farms, 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 XXVII. Proportion of Farmers That Have Heard of a Need for More Even Kilk Produc- tion and the Extent That This Has Influenced Production Shifts, 91 Survey Herds,1947 ooooooooooooooooo 85 vii LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE PAGE ’ 1. Total Deliveries and Class I Sales of Fluid Milk, Detroit, 19314-147 Monthly Averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 2. Location of Receiving Stations in Re- lation to Type-of-Famxing Areas in theDetroitMilkShed.......... 6 3. Average Daily Shipments Per Month Per Producer.l939-h8............ 9 h. Monthly Index of Production, Four Seasonal Patterns, Detroit Milk Shed, 19h7................... 1h 5. Index of Milk Deliveries by Months in the Detroit Milk Shed and at the Beltsville Emeriment Station . . . . . . 20 5a. Index of Milk Deliveries by Months in the Detroit Milk Shed and the Cali- forniaD.H.I.A.............. 21 6. Index of Average Daily Shipments Per Producer, by Months, by Type-of- Faming Area, Detroit Milk Shed, 19h7. . . 29 7. Hours of Labor Required For Farm in the Detroit Milk Shed, 19h? . . . . . . . . . 38 8. Index of Calves Born and Milk Produced by Months, 85 Dairy Cost Study Herds, 191;? Ml FIGURE 9. 10. ll. 12. 13. viii PAGE! Index of Calves Born and Milk Produced Per Month by Even Producers, 33 Dairy Costsmdyherds,19h7........... 15 Index of Calves Born and Milk Pro- duced Per’Month by Spring-Summer Pro- ducers, 23 Dairy Cost Study Herds, 19h? h6 Index of Cows in Herd and Percent Milk- ing by Seasonal Production Pattern, 108 DoHoloA. Herds, 19h? o o o o ; o o . . . h8 Relation Between Feed Input and.Milk Pro- duction . . o . ; o . . . o . . . . . . . . 66 Rates of Grain Feeding Per Cow'Per Day by Producers in Different Production Patterns, 97 SUI'VBY Farms, 1911»? o o o o o o 69 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Seasonal milk production is a challenging problem to the dairy industry. The problem arises from the characteristic differ- ences between the effective fluid market demand and supply responses by producers through time (Fig. 1). Fluid milk demand is typically even from month to month during any one year except for secular trends and daily fluctuations. Price variations at the retail level have not been effective in adjusting the demand to seasonal supply responses. The theoretical optimum in the market would be character- ized by equilibrium.between total supply and total demand in any season with enough excess over fluid milk demand to meet the requirements of daily fluctuation in demand and to provide the necessary milk for other than fluid uses. This assumes the monthly supply of milk would be even from season to season. Supply responses deviating from this optimum create dis- equilibrium. Supply response is characterized by a seasonal high in the months of May and June and a low in November and December. Price plan: have been.devised to provide incentives for producers to shift supply responses toward a level production pattern. The theory of the price incentive plans is that higher production, in the months of normally short supplies, will be made more profitable 3 so that producers taking advantage of the plan will realize a higher net profit from their farm operation. The problem of a dairy farmer who is Operating under a price incentive plan is to obtain milk production timing responses from his herd in such a way as to maximize his net income. The problem is complicated by changes in costs of producing milk and by changes in total annual production per cow as production tim- ing is shifted. Further, the incentive needed to bring about an increased net return from even milk production will vary from farm to farm, depending upon many factors. The seasonal pattern of production does not conform to that of consumption, but varies from a high in the epring to a low in the late fall. This deviation from the optimum in the market causes problems in the necessity of having enlarged capa- city to handle excess milk in the months of surpluses and the problem.of shortages in the season of low production. The excess of milk over fluid demand, except that necessary to cover miscellaneous uses, in the milk market during one season of the year requires enlarged transportation, processing and storage facilities over that which would be required had the same amount of milk been sold to the market, but at an even rate per month. This means that there will be an uneconomic use of much of the capital resources and labor, which necessarily will result in a lower price than that theoretically possible to the pro- 4 ducer, or higher prices to the consumer. In some years, due to the highly seasonal variation in production, there are shortages in the low production period of the year. As a result, purchases must be made outside of the milkshed or the milkshed must be enlarged. Either method would result in a lower price of milk to the producer already in the milk market. In periods of inadequate milk supply, consumers have suf- fered. Nutritional standards dictate an adequate supply of milk in consumers' diet. Shortages and rationing through dealers result in a loss of fluid sales and consequently a lower return to the producers. Objectives pf the study.- This study has two principal objectives. The first iS‘tO investigate the basic causes of seasonal milk production. The second is to determine what adjustments have been made by the even milk producers that char- acterize them in relation to other seasonal production patterns for the purpose of making recommendations in the application of these adjustments to other types of seasonal production patterns, assuming even production timing is desirable in terms of net income. Area pf the study.- This study is concerned with the seasonal milk problem in its effect on and the adjustments to it by the producers in the Detroit milkshed. 5 The Detroit milkshed comprises twenty-seven counties in the Southeastern part of the lower peninsula of Michigan (Fig. 2). The milkshed is represented mainly by five types of farming areas: Area 1, Corn.and Livestock; Area 5, Dairy and General Farming; Area 6, Dairy and Cash Creps; Area 7, Dairy, Hay and Special Crops; and.Area 8, Beans, Sugar Beets and Dairy. The majority of the dairy farmers who ship fluid milk to Detroit have joined the Michigan Milk Producers Association, which is a cooperative bargaining agency of the farmers and rep- resents the farmers in price and supply adjustments to the milk dealers in the city of Detroit. The membership in the producers' cooperative is over 15,000, 10,000 or more of whom ship milk to Detroit and the remainder ship to other urban areas in Michigan. The Detroit market has a population of over 2,000,000 peeple. Other markets in Michigan supplied by producers who are members of the Michigan Milk Producers Association have a popu- lation of over 1,000,000 peeple. There are about thirty-three fluid milk dealers who distribute milk in the Detroit area. The variation in supply of milk from season to season is a problem in the Detroit market as it is to most other large urban areas in the country. In an effort to correct this varia- tion in the supply responses of producers, the Michigan Milk Producers Association has a price incentive plan designed to reduce supply variations seasonally. This plan is called the FIGURE 2. LOCATION OF RECEIVING STATIONS IN RELATION TO TYPE-OF—FARMIHG AREAS IN THE DETROIT MILK SHED. i I' ’ 0 .J I I. 3 g- I .I 2 I ‘1 ' Ontonogon I' a, Samoa ,4 L.‘ ' a I r u L ..... I °3 i - I 609057: .1 T I . uMcrqueHe _ _____ .1 Luce ' I J J ' I E ‘ 5-.-.JI"°“ i I “'0" r. } i.- ! Chippewa .. . ' .“‘ . I \ I .-._-_- I -._._-.I.. D .. f ———————— - | ''''''' ‘ e I I D."a . I -§.. ' I I ! I L. ‘§!E::) I-—-~.--J . IF"; I ' I ' l g. I, .T . “‘=:’ .. e’ I O I 05 I . Emmet iCheboygonr 5 " i I 3 I I § - -_. .. I Chorlevoix E I Preeque Isle .-., I— ...... r“ ............. Q I. J'OIeeoo Montmorencyi Alpeno --:--—1- 0 An'flm ‘1 i 2 .°° , ' i ! .\° | ""“i _________ I __________ v:- __ [D'Kolkoeko ICrowford iOscodo IAlcono a Grand I I - I "‘1"! Traverse i i I i I ' - I ' I ' J I ' —————— MometeeMexford 'MIssaukeeFoecommonogemow Iloeco I I I l ..... ._.'L._- ....i. _ 1.... _. _l_-.. 4.-.... Type of Farming Areas: Meson TLoke TOsceoIo TCIore- —I I own TIArenoc I 3 o , v I I ! . I I . 1.00m and Livestock 3 , i . Hm“ 5.Dairy,general farming i i I i 3., 6-DaI-W:°38h crOPS oera'aa‘rh‘.‘:.';arjm2a};‘ ...o.u. Emu... -. o o 7.Dairy,hay and special : , i I I. ..... crops I 3 I In" Tuecolo . ' - ,_ " '1- i _______ L__-__-._ _--- __-_:' - 8.BeanB, sugar beets, an. 4. 1' iMonIcoIm smut. I5° . ! . a, . . . I ,, ‘°o:°"nz:n‘.*“‘1 ' i .I ’I r-I ! i eneeee Lop“? T-TO—t-IcTwo ! 5513"" .ClinIon IShiowoeeee . I I I . - I . i i ' I O I . . ! Q I 3 . I 3 I .-.r ’ Oak 0 d T ‘ ._. ._-l-_- -._-..--- -..-.'-. -- AIR-35:4 TBorry Eaton 1'Inqham Ivinqeton . I I o T i ! ’ of I i I l I ' .L-_._._‘L ....... ._.—a’--— ''''''' '-"‘L —'TT-- Jackson SWoeMenow “I'M ; '1 Van Buren .KolomczooiCoIhoun . T I a! ; 3 O .I . I i I O - I . . L l o I.-- ..... +.._._-_ ._-... r I- , Mom” .0 ' Cass -$t Joseph Branch 'Ulledale . Lenowee . “ . ' | I e I ‘ . e U T ' 0‘ I I I I O I O ' I ' u I I ' I I ,I , I 00-Oedoo—elhlo—oo—oo—J‘ ” i I ‘ ——— base-excess plan. Prices received by the farmer and prices paid by the dis- tributor are each calculated on a different basis under this plan. The distributors pay for the milk according to a use classification. That is, the distributors pay according to the percentage of their milk that goes into the different price uses, such as: fluid milk, cream, and condensery products. Farmers are paid a base price for the milk delivered not in excess of their previously established base. The amount of milk upon.vhich the base price is paid is established during the months of August, September, October, November and December by averaging the daily shipment of each producer for these five months. This base may be retained provided that the producer maintains an average daily shipment of not less than 90 per cent of his established base. IA producer may assume a "new shipper" status to change his base. The base established by assuming the new shipper status would be calculated by multiplying his monthly average daily shipments by specified percentages for three months immediately following the shipper's declaration of intent to change to "new shipper" status. The prices of the base milk and the excess milk to the farmer are calculated in the following manner. The base price is determined by the weighted average of the prices for the classes in which the base milk is used. The excess milk, that 8 milk delivered in excess of each individual's previously deter- mined base, is priced at a considerably lower price than the base milk. The actual price to the producer for excess over base milk is determined by the average price paid by five different conden- series plus fifteen cents f.o.b. Detroit. The base excess plan has been used in the Detroit milkshed since 1923.1 Previous to the adoption of the base excess price plan, a flat rate was paid to producers. The variation in the price for all milk from season to season did little in regula- tion of supply between seasons. Unstabilized milk prices were very unsatisfactory to the distributor. The base-excess plan had successfully reduced the seasonal variation of milk from producers until 1942, following which the percentage of milk shipped in the surplus months of the early summer over the milk shipped in the short period became greater (Fig. 5). Since 1942 and until 1948, the seasonal variation in production response has been increasing. Actual shortages of fluid milk for consumption purposes occurred during the fall and winter of those years. There have been alternative price incentive plans pro- posed to reduce the seasonality of production in the Detroit market. These plans are in use in other markets throughout the 1J. T. Horner, "The Detroit Milk'Market," Michigan Special Bulletin.§2. 170, (march, 1928), p. 30. ll mam— S 3 .3 'Nn!‘ HVW 30 'dSS 'd3S 'd38 'd39 'an' WV“ '— 10 country. In short, the alternative incentive plans can be described as: (l) The take-off and pay back plan, and (2) the seasonal differential plan. The Louisville market has a take-off and pay back plan that is generally representative of this type of plan. In the Louisville market, the price of the highest of three basic formulas (butter-powder, butter-cheese and condensery) is selected. To this a fixed differential is added. In the spring, forty cents per hundred weight is subtracted from the blend price. This forty cents is put in the bank until the fall, and then is withdrawn in total and divided equally per hundredweight' of milk shipped in during the fall months., The seasonal differential plan also uses the highest of the three basic formulas (butter-powder, butter-cheese or con- densery price). To this basic price the following amounts are added: seventy centy in the winter, fifty cents in the spring, seventy cents in the summer and ninety cents in the fall. There are alternative measures within the framework of the base-excess price plan Which could possibly be used to allev- iate the short supply conditions in the fall and the early winter months. Three measures have been suggested. First, there is the possibility of enlarging the milkshed to provide adequate supplies of milk in the fall. This measure would pose problems of increased transportation costs, increased amounts of surplus ll milk in the spring, and producer education in the fields of sani- tation and the mechanism of the base-excess plan. Second, there is the alternative of buying emergency supplies in non-fluid mar- I kets. Again transportation costs and sanitation adjustments would be problems. A third measure would be to increase the price incentive for fall milk. This measure will be studied in another phase of the seasonal problem. 12 CHAPTEJ II PROCEDURE A representative random sample of the producers shipping fluid milk to the Detroit market through the Michigan Milk Pro- ducers Association was selected as the main source of data on scale of operations, seasonal production variation, and dis- persion of location in the milkshed. The technique of obtain- ing the sample was a systematic sampling of the producer records from the files of the producer association. Beginning with a random number between one and twenty, every twentieth producer record was selected for study to determine_the characteristics of the universe. From this primary sample, a stratified sample was obtained by selecting every third producer record from a two-way distri- bution according to type-of-farming area and seasonal production variation. Only those producers showing the complete year's pro- duction during 1947 were used in the stratification. To determine the seasonal production variation for each producer, the record for the year was divided into four quarters based upon the seasons of barn feeding and pasture feeding. The first quarter includes the months of February, march and.April. This is a period of barn feeding in the milkshed. The second quarter includes the months of Ray, June and July--a period 13 characterized by good pastures and high milk production. The third quarter ineludes the months of August, September and October--the period of the late pasture and a declining milk pro- duction for the milkshed. The fourth quarter includes the months of November, December and January. This quarter is a part of the barn feeding period and is the period of the lowest milk produc- tion. The quarterly production for each herd was determined. From this a seasonality ratio was calculated by dividing the low quarter's production by the high quarter's production. An array was made of seasonality ratios. Those producers whose season- ality ratio was more than one standard deviation above the arithmetic mean of the distribution were classified as even pro- ducers. This meant that the quarterly production of the even producers did not vary from the high to the low by more than twenty-five per cent. To provide more significant results,in further analysis the two groups of producers were combined who had their high production quarter in either the November to Jan- uary group or the February to April group, because of the simi- larity of the two quarters in the feeding program and because of the small number of producers which fell into each group. The production patterns of the four groups are illustrated in Fig. 4. As the main source of data on the farm organization, the dairy herd practices and Operations, and the farm.operator, 15 especially with reference to his managerial ability and his adjustment to the base-excess plan, the producers selected from the stratified sample were interviewed.2 Abbut ninety-seven records that were usable in most analyses were obtained by the survey method. The second source of primary data for the study was the records of the Dairy Cost Study in the Detroit Milkshed, which has been carried out since 1945 as a research project. These records gave monthly data on breeding, feeding, disposal, and cost and returns for each of eighty-five producers in the milk- shed. A third source of primary data was six Dairy Herd Improve- ment Association records. These association records contained monthly information of 108 herds who completed at least a year. The associations were selected from eadh of the type-of-farming areas in the milkshed except Area 5, from which two association records were selected. Census data and data from farm account cooperators in the milkshed were also used. 2See appendix for a sample of survey schedule. 16 CHAPTER III CAUSES OF SEASONALITY OF MILK PRODUCTION There are three important or basic causes of the typical seasonal.milk production, as follows: (1) Changes in the amounts and the quality of feed during the year; (2) a natural tendency for spring freshening; and (3) variation in weather conditions. The basic causes of seasonality of milk production are generally accepted. They are stated here as hypotheses and will be sup- ported in this chapter by data collected from secondary sources for the most part. The purpose of stating and supporting the important causes of seasonal milk production in this chapter is to clarify them.from secondary causes, or lack of control at the farm level of such factors as the time of breeding, feed short- ages, etc. The basic causes are those forces which must be con- trolled to obtain desired seasonal production patterns. Changes 2E.th° Amounts and the Quality pf Feed During the Year There are differences in the amount of feed available to the dairy cow during different seasons of the year. The follow- ing table is a typical example of the variation in feed amounts available to a dairy cow. Of course, it must be realized that part of these differences in amounts is required because of 17 .msop «\w H pd popesflpwe was aged new pnoaebwswo he: ma efioanIsMHemHe esp mo eaofiz one .efioapIemaemHe mes eanpmea onp.mo ooqeaep esp .mmduw agenda week was pmsws< maggot easpmema n.a w.H mm. m.H n.H $.H Aquoa new 300 gem meaoev somepmem mws one I I I I I «no wow eow 00m 00m : oweawm «am So I I .. .. .. 03 com com 80 owe .. awe mmH Hoa mom mmm «em omm mum mam com mmH msa mma A.mnav MHE epeaeronoo .oom .boz .poo .pmem .wzd maze oqdh haE .umd .aez .pom .qew 'IV llv Ill Ill $2 .Qmmmfiea 3053 a E seam Eda AdonwB 4.20 300 mmm mmm mMMDHQOmm mo mHZbofid .H mqde 18 changes in the quality of the feedstuffs and changes in the nutrient requirements of the cattle in various seasons of the year. Changes in the grain ration in.this case are an indication of the relative amount of milk production and they show a direct positive rela- tionship. Table I does not show any actual changes in quality of the foodstuffs through the various seasons of the year. But it is only a simple matter of conjecture to contrast the lush green pas- ture on most farms during the late spring and the early summer months with the dry hays, and in most cases some silage during the barn feeding period. Good early pasture furnishes high qual- ity feed for dairy cows. Not only is the supply of nutrients liberal, but there is provided.by good pasture succulence and palatability besides an ample supply of minerals and vitamins. Summer and fall pasture, though, do not furnish such high qual- ity feed, even though acreage may be increased, as any dairyman would substantiate. This Should indicate that there are seasonal differences in both quality and quantity of the nutrient intake of a dairy cow. To relate the changes in the amounts and the quality of feedstuffs during the year to the changes in milk production, the monthly milk sales to the Detroit market were contrasted with the monthly production responses of the experimental herd of the 3F. B. Morrison, Feeds and Feeding, 20th ed., The Morrison Pub- lishing Co., Ithaca, New York (1947), p. 573. 19 United States Department of Agriculture at Beltsville, Md.4 The experimental herd at Beltsville has been entirely barn fed for years. The kinds and the quantities of the feeds given and the care and attention are the same throughout the year. The effect of the month of calving has been removed from the Beltsville experimental herd. Weather conditions were considered the only cause of the variation in milk production that did occur. The contrast of these two production responses shows that the changes in amounts, quality and.kinds of feed available to the herds in the Detroit milkshed are at least partial explanation for their greater variation of production. It should be kept in mind that not all of the variation in production of the Detroit market supply above that shown for theBeltsville herd can be attributed to feed changes, but that part of it is due to month of freshen- ing, the effect of which could not be removed from the Detroit supply records. As further evidence of the effect that changes in feed have on variation of milk production, the supply responses of herds in the Dairy Herd Improvement Associations of California were contrasted with the supply responses of the herds shipping fluid milk to the Detroit market.5 The D.H.I.A. herds of California were chosen because the weather conditions, at least 4T. E. Woodward and E. 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I... ..I. ..... ....I....v.¢mH .mEmMH mqmda 85 am en en es as «spam and mm ad 05 o» om nopm mm sH V am we ad “opengwaaaa mm mm as as ea Haaa-aoaasm mm as as am we uuaasm-wqaaam pace tom page pom pnoo gem neon “cm 02 no» 02 no» newssnu mafiawa noupeavOAm mama 0# 50% oenosflmnH mane can «no» wqauosqu omega noapesuoam no>m aom umoz mo vumom chem “page shopvdm nOHPOSUOAm Hanomwom zoom aw whoosuoum mo nowpuomonm awma .mnmmm wm>mpm Hm .maaHmm onaoanomm amazmsumzH mam mHmH Hazy Ezmaam may mza onaoDnomm mama zm>m mmoa mom aamz a mo nmamm msam same mmmsmam no ZOHBmomomm unoppsm magma _ 83038.“ mo 0 Hanomdom .Hstx admaa 86 than monetary are not effective. Certainly there seems to be room for improvement in the educational means of transmitting this type of information to more farmers. If the problem of milk production timing is important, then more than forty-six per cent of the farmers should realize that there is a need for a leveling of milk pro- duction through the year even though only about one-third of them actively try to effect a change in production timing because of this knowledge. (0 "7 I CT," W'li-f-j 1H- .3 -o—Ps VJ. 81.13311 ' All} OZT‘LL' SIC) "S Kilk production responses ir. th argrecate result in excess supplies in the spring and summer and shortages in the age fall in relati1n to demand in the Detroit f‘uid mils market. The base excess pricing pl an provides an incentive for even milk productisr . I . W ‘ wing to tne dc; ’ry fcrnmrs 1n tns mil. shed. Host farmers in the milk shed have not adjurte ed duction timing to an even patte1n. The object of this study was 0 J to determine what differences existed between the farms as to the organ izations, pr: ctices, and attitude pnd ability of the nave made a hift to even production and these pro- highly seasonal. A.representative senyle of about 97 pro- ducers from the Detroit milk shed provided the nain source of data. 31ers are t-ree natural forces on sing seasonal mil duction the must le oveicore if a farrer is to attain atn even production response, they are, (l) cimnnges in the amounts. kinds. and quality of feed fed, (2) a natural tendency for spring freshen? ing, and (3) variation in weather conditions. Overcon ning these one ic causes of seasonality is liLe y to result in increased costs. The incentive plan is designed to more than compensate producers who shift to even milk production timing. There xere differenc in the f“ 1 organizaticn of the dairies 88 producing seasonally high in the spring-summer compared to the even producing dairies. The springrsummer dairies had a greater percentage of their land in cash crops and roughages, both hay and pasture, than the even producers who had the greater proportion of their land in feed crops. Greater importance of the dairy enterprise relative to the rest of the farm on the even producing farms compared to the spring-summer producing farms was noted. The even producing farms were more intensive as measured by the tillable acres per dairy cow. These differences may cause a question to be raised as to whether the farms with even producing dairie U) would be more profitable than farms with springrsummer dairies in view of the differences in percent of high value cash crops and presumably lower production costs on the part of the spring- summer producers. Breeding timing is the major factor affecting milk production timing. Freshenings of cows concentrate in two periods of the year one period includes the months of January, February, and March; and the other is the months of August, September. and October. The even producing herds have the greatest percent of the cows freshening in the latter period. Farm Operators with average management ability will not ob- tain increased production from cows by having a greater proportion of his herd freshen in the fall. Greater breeding difficulties 89 will result in longer average dry periods and consequently not increased production per herd. Breeding difficulties are increased by havin a greater pro- portion of cows due to be bred in the barn feeding season over the difficulties encountered during the summer pastureseason. Breeding troubles were reduced on farms where cows were turned out daily and where records were kept of calving and breeding dates. The even producing dairies put more stress on the number and percent of first-calf heifers freshening in the fall than the springrsummer dairies. The net cost of delaying the breed- ing of heifers for fall freshening is not as great as the cost of delaying the breeding of a cow because of the increase gain in weight and size of the heifer. Buying cows to freshen in the fall was not an important method of controlling the milk production timing in the Detroit milk shed. Purchases of cows forfall production unless they were purchased from outside the mil; shed would not affect the aggregate supply of milk in the market in the fall. \ Farmers in the spring-summer type of production pattern had more pasture for their cows and they indicated that this was a partial reason for producing most of their milk in the spring and summer. A greater proportion of the even producin. dairies cmuplo- 90 mented their pastures dun ring the mor+hs of noimally low pasture production. They fed about two pounds more grain per day per cow than did the spring-summer dairies. Pastures must be supple- mented when they begin to decline in value starting the latter part of June. A larger proportion of the even producers fed grain to cows accor d3_r n? to production and fed grain to drv cows than t: e farmers in seasonal patterns. There were slight differences among producers in various seasonal patterns in regard to distance from market. Factors such as: length of time that the producer had been shipping fluid milk to the market; association with more neighbors snippi u 5 to the market; higher land.prices. consequently more intensive use of the farm, therefore more knowledge of th epr ric cing plai and the need for level nilk production would be the najor reasoqs explain ni2ig less seasonality closer to tie market. Farmers thin.~ of overcoming the forces which result in high 1.. spring-summer mi n production by changing the bree dir g tin La ’4. of their herd. Theyd id not indicate to any extent :‘e control that can be influenced by feeds. There is a need for mo; e educa- the In miers in not only the methods of controlling creed? ing timing out also that changes in feeds and changes in the amounts and quality of the feeds are factors that will helpl him control milk production timing. Ehrther, there is need for more effective C.) ways of educating the farmer that there is a seo.srnal: ill: ~:r - hlen. Kany farmers would shift prodic ion timing to an even supply respor -se if tl-ey knew 18 there was a need for it. 91 BIBLIOGRAPHY Bibliography of References Cited. El‘b, ROWO, Alidre‘WS, FONO, and Hilton, JOHO 19112 Seasonal Variation in Semen Quality of the Dairy Bull. Journal of Dairyr Science, Vol. 25. Hodge, T.L. l9LL9 Dairy Costs and Returns in the Detroit Milk Shed. Michigan State College Agricultural Economics Department mimeographed bulletin hSh. Homer, J .T. 1928 The Detroit Milk Market. Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station Special Bulletin 170. ’ Jensen, E., Klein, J.W., and others. l9h2 Input-Output Relationships in Milk Production. United States Department of Agriculture Technical Bulletin 815. Morrison, F.B. 1914? Feeds and Feeding. The Morrison Publishing Company, Tthaca, New York. Regan, W.M., and Richardson, G.A. 1938 Reactions of the Dairy Cow to Changes in Evironmental Temperature. Journal of DairyScience, Vol. 21. Report of Subcommittee I. l9h8 Factors Affecting Seasonal Milk Production and Their Effect on Producers Costs and Returns. Maine Agricultural Experi- ment Station Bulletin [59. Vincent, W.H. 19148 Dairy Costs and Returns in the Detroit Milk Shed. Michigan State College Farm Management Department mimeographed bulletin h3h. Woodward, T.E., and Jensen, E. 19,42 The Influence of Season on Milk Production. United States Department of Agriculture unnumbered publication, Washington, DOC. WOOdward, TOE. ' 19h5 Some Studies of Lactation Records. Journal of Dairy Science, Vol. 29. 92 Bibliography not Cited. ‘Fowler, H.C. 1933 Seasonal Variation in Milk Production Under the Basic Rating Plan. Vermont Agricultural Experiment Station Bulletin 353. Johnson, Stewart. 19116 Price Plans for Reducing Seasonal Variation in Milk Product— ion. University of Connecticut Agricultural Economics Department mimeographed bulletin 14. Pollard, Anson Jr. 19h2 Seasonal Variation in Production in the New York Milkshed, and Its Relation to Production-Adjustment Plans. Cornell University Agricultural Experiment Station Bulletin 783. Ithaca, New York. Pullen, Winston E., and Luke, H.Alan 19149 Factors Influencing the Seasonal Adjustment of Milk Pro- duction on Farms in the Boston Milkshed. United States Department of Agriculture Bureau of Agricultural Economics (unnumbered preliminary report). APPENDIX 4-- . ...—_._._———— _____- _"—__~——~ '—- PM No- ‘ Interviewer n J“ an. ’- ct-ion Flair}? {3539511313 .9? I” 31’. STUDY OF SLASONMT TY OF JALK PRODUCTEON IV TH}. IYfiJDIT JITI‘.fiUfl3 'ane Address immber of years farming on your own 3 on tnis farm c fares owned: total 5 tillable u Acres rented: total 3 tillaole , c you keep a farm account book? .euter of DHIA, yrs. Association CROPSsJCRES AND PRODUCTION; 13L? au—‘u‘--- ._——— Crop ' Acres} Yield Froduc~ E Other land I Acres tion 3 ‘93“ for silage T: )_Tillable pasture Eznfifor grain PuJ [ 1 _ " J Idle tillable lend { ats Bu * .....TOTAL TI" ,, ACRES .ley Pu Nonrtilc pasture -—Pa15-‘;x‘r~— - 3 heat Bu Woods not pastured I ’ I«‘:u~rr~.:3’r,ds~5 rdsaj etC~ 1 . _v_ 1_““_ _ . , V .d , ,hq 'F pyheans i pun 131A“ Agnes l ..._. i.—._ _ L ffins, dry field 1 Bud “ T ‘ ‘. zotatoes Bu! 4 I M" ? A ‘ . I J 1 m I «w . Alfalfa . T-i § FGCd Purchases _ i I. 1*fimt? Glow :- 'r-u [ Kind Kent.) Price Valie r .. _ T~§g __l Soy beanroil meal % .*—— Mixed Tnl_> 1 Linseed oil meal L 7 1 I _ Timothy T1! g Cotton seed meal 5 _ E i Mixed dairy feed . 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' I .. - - p u I O I 5 . - . ~ ., o . .. i.. ". O a ‘ Q. ' " - ‘ A . . ‘.p . a v . I- . - ' .. 3' ’ _ .>. 3 , c - ~ H , - ..., . o . 1. ' -_ . (a- a g . 0 ' . - 1; l — - J1. ,- . J u . ' - . ' . ., d t - - .2 . - ~ ° I h ' ' 3 . o "- "' ' ' l w, , ' .a I . -. .I r; : I c I O 0 ‘ qr— .. A A ' g ' . n f 0 h l - . . . o '. g . . . .5-- .—-.-. on ‘ . | o o z - . . o - . . . :n-o .....: o ' .. . ‘. . .5 . .‘ q o v . o I ‘ < . - 0- I , .‘o ‘. s .- . I o ., , 1. . ' . ... 3 . . v. c 4w. t ‘ . a“-.. .. . o. - . - l "v . ' a " ' 7...“. $ t o - ‘ o ... _ t . _' 'c r -. r - - , . .- , ,° .. ' ..I- o . . 2 \ 5H - u A v u ' .4 -- ‘ . ' L. I g . .... ~.?‘~ {0:2 0. I ‘ ‘ - . b - - -A - '- ‘ I-~_ “db 0 . ' 0 " g . ‘ . _ , , t . .. u- 1: qua .. ma .. . 1. - - - ., - . . . . ' I . - 4 .. x v, . an r . \ - ‘ 0 g ' \Q ' ' y . h v ' , ( a o "i 'o 0‘ ... f; s . -‘- .. -'-~'~’ J- u‘ d J . '- -'- .éqiva'filfi' ‘ . . as - ° .. ".1 . . ' . -ar- 2 -.r:""" ‘ ""~ '" ‘ " - - ._ - as- -..—— - . . s - O .A . o _ ... . ..o . . . r A ’ fu‘.‘L‘oo -...“ -... o . \— ... . .. . .or ...-.... . . --... ..- .... - -owmaowww. ' . ' .; .' » . . 0.. -.-...cc... 9 ' {I . -.p ' . , ,. a . . a. ‘ . q_ . , 0 . .. " "'2 . ’ "}L‘¢'-.-".' ’ ‘ L: t: '-.\ .;--; . '3 o . Tit.“ kw! f" :? J' i a 'T ’ '“L :zfi'tiziifim 2 n3». "-1.?“ W ..-.— I— -M ’1 a: r‘ O C) H;‘ 'P" 1 l Elnd of Acrea Kind of How of head Date on .w Oih£r_fcédvf¢d. pasture livestook m Amt” per day “A” ..I b—H T’fn #5 L»!- l—{i . Tillabla: 7"-" i ——-.‘-—1h——- q.——_.L-—-—-r------— > 4—uh—du—w—ulhu—Jmmp—‘ub—‘qL-n—Ion A Permanent: fih—‘_—W F'— l g —r——-d-——.1_ito_qp—_d———.Q__—. ...—...: F 4 Wu—nArC-‘fl—“Tr— -——. ——-1>—<>—.—-f-—dQ—-u+—————-——r i l l I I I ..., n.-. _! ! l l l i l I l L i ' ,~____ _ ! _, in Do you have all the pasture you noel? a If not whom is it short ‘ 3: Lhat practices (reseeding, manuring, fertilizing) do you use for partura improv r i; ‘ SP.CIAL BACHEFES Kind Hake Size { Year Cost Whoa I acouircd now m ; 1 i, t _. .. I . -. l Tractor: l~ ’ I 1 Xi: - I 9.4'“ m 2 .. I ”If 1.». I)" UCR ‘ ' Combine an“ ”Wt—... In ...-.-..“ Baler Field chapper Milking machine “LI—I‘m:- Water heater Milk cooler _— m M! ‘ ' f ”“1! "1"‘_""- qua—— qp—-17-—- ~1—u— -§'-—‘p-_ 4mg *4 ‘ J i a ” IMPROVHMFN§§ l l .BarnS; Pen or stanchion ; space for cows, young stock” ’ W. horses, and ‘ Storaoe for tens of hay, tons of straw” Condition: good 3 fair , poor .. (check one) (5 bi 0: x It‘s Usual settled depth of Silage ftn “I“:‘r~ _",'v'-;' ~ "1 ‘ 0" ." ¥ ‘7f.'1..".? 4? A "1; '\' '. ,(\ . : space L): . . yu,lo.o of ”gall gzdln; bu, 01 Germ ’1 r- o ‘I J C "f 1 pa .. IA ‘ l ‘fln - ~1- P ' _' 1, 1‘ . v ‘- . - i-‘. \.-.!)\ A) “3'”. J; 4' "fine of road; paved 3 grave 3 (AN, ' (,;_:£'..::\;13~L 9;)..3) Llectri City in main buildings __ L. ‘I‘elephone w __ _ A I'Luw1-‘eir253 water Distance from milk Station; M miles~ Nam: of sin? - f _ -, _)AIIL‘Y CIT'I'LIJI lO luLPntuzy, 1937 De inning of Year End Of 1:ar . . . w--"'-tL L. —-~~ - I"~~m~ .{;***"* ~ : w-~»~ ~56 54 Sex J NO- Val'ue p81 head I‘otau. Va‘iuc 1.0.; I aim per 1..ng 3 3.13.1. £511.73 ‘ ———— hum-"Pm- Bows 9 9+ __ “.T .M _ "-..-..“ ow . LL=-8 3 5 s 3 ‘—* 1‘ A~< nowwmwwmnp—a -m-1.vM»-oum-w—a- ~~v-u.—-W 1‘4 - 1“ 0w 5 3 3 3 I 3 3 ‘ *w ...—w.“ -.—..- I-Qr-u-U‘ -..—k. .‘ ”--.—---‘wm-NM—‘O‘O ‘- ‘flm '0-«h~--'—- -'. - r ‘7 a ‘ I U Cows 3 2 5 5 I I ‘— ‘ ——w— ‘= i-II- ' ...L1- _. fi-ur-wnsn-u..s: --- “>“Ah—v—fiv‘ «V- .vsr-tv‘ wumn .--- ~ -- .~ ‘ I " (:1 I. era 1 2 L , I h- v— ‘ _._—- -"- - if: .rmh.’ lhr-v—w-.—k.w.n— -- l.‘_‘.blu- --.L -./.- ‘dw —— v.5 <;Av-— -. . \- L431 ves L 5 1 — I 3 V'MW ‘__--"~__h____._ _-___v_.~.,_..‘ '“fi--.” a..-"~ r... ! ‘3 y I i - 3n] 18 3 . 3 5- ‘ ..-—. ’ '— “ M 5 '- Wm 24;... -‘»-'.--' ”1"‘A-fwm-M a... n—‘vn'r— w—u-n- - a: 1 u.— ”.4 .:.-.~ -. . v. ---r -- - .- . ’ v I », ' ‘37 2- Addltlons and ramOLalsx leaf w ' w.— 74...... -— 0“ ‘3 fl ‘ --m—W—firw‘fi--'fificfiht"~u nan-n «n. GUI-I'v— ....m r 3 ‘1 ,' ' . ., . . ITat-LL). Jan F"b 3. Jar Apr JLL-‘Ly Jmm3 J ul J 5..ng 3:..L-spt 3(scyt 33;: 3 I c , _A‘“ wv— .H.“- Item ...—1.- “ " _ . “-mlr-Qavml ugh—4A -.1 ~- —.n—.~. .L' J 5 3 1-... L. I . L‘ ~53” 8 .33th .3 3 I ' ' ‘ ;I.T:r~_':tlfia EWI Tflwd‘.’ Firstwalf heifers ' I I. I I I i I r-" uz fauna—r.“ I ‘ .er — ‘r-a—‘W ~3v-‘waan-r: ~~-W‘JM»~-’ C CW" 9 hour h t 3 3 5 -j 3 r —“. 1 — —. ‘‘‘‘‘‘ 4'h—a—K—r‘-.~a— «Lu—nu «no 1»-.-—aw-~-.... «— ~—- 'd‘“-‘ L. -..--.— 3 3 1 . I or; 5 rem 0v led ;; I , 3 g 1 3 ”THE “M“ I I 3 t: I I ‘3 -Ir-—nt-' w‘- '.,...._,.. s—f arc-mw‘ warmth-n- . I W‘.-M‘“I‘L-cgt'p‘ju~MJ-um—3rumw.4.m-c‘-:»md 1axw-au,’ .21 g“- unu- lL <5”! ”*v .I f I I h.q“ L 1".” H ‘: 3 3 V 1. L .. I ‘ n-IJIM~‘.-u-T.-‘ y AA... n.-'\ce.~o-|—-.--—o- ..JAA-v- u—v- -.‘.<4-- .-~—-— A ‘ ~I - . v. ‘ 5 5 5 .-.cws fzwmhened r: 3 , ' : " 3 3 3 -'_‘.— I'm—mf-A- “Wit. 1L ‘ nom—r ..y- ._~-s.-:....g.,__-_w -‘ (Lfl-tia-Il- .. nix-M nflJI-C-W L: .1. 5.. mm nburuh' ‘Mw‘anaflrn‘ -m—g4’-o‘: 'w. «Awhwmkmimwm duce—r4.- 3! Of cave bought; How many'v.ere milking .“ hSW'many to £13.116n in Feb = Apr "T“:‘Julm rwwwI-w» Iw-3m~w A i .3 1:0“? *V‘.‘ at 9 MarJuly 9 Aug -=~ Oct , 130v v Jan ? L: Ifumber of heifers boughtm ; unbred ; to freshen Feb ~ Apr , iLSawauly , Aug - Oct ,. Nov -~ Jan ’3 ' azmm. M mufmn ”-0 “actw;.~:vwfl 43-0" . r’ \ Cows sold: For dairy purposes 3‘ ; because of Bang”s 3 mastitis 5 awn—nu... V...— breeding, difficulties 5 low production 3 8338 m...“- (ud‘i‘flbauszfl .- ”.mz‘;- it. Heifers sold for dairy purpcees 0t} 9? muttw-M'm—z- L ~W;~f"mv‘ *4 W —— — A— 17. Do you ueuaflly raifie or buy yeplur mama L.- ‘J I ) {J‘s “‘1 ’._J (. ."\,‘ FV*‘*”“‘ TlfflCTUTL?3 gggw much train is fed per milking now per day in Winter? . _ _“ In flay m-u--§ 14 '. (- a June 3 July/w 3 August 3 sept ...“: Oct __ 130 you feed grain to cows according to milk production? (Yes or No) 32f so, complete the following: High production ( lbsc milk per day , lbsu grain per day Medo production ( lbs” milk per day), “t lbsg grain per day Low production ( _¥ lbso milk per day), m lbs? grain per day m- ‘—‘. VUas there any period during 19h? when you fed no grain to your milking COWS?i_L .-. If‘so,'when and how long? 130 you feed grain to-dry cows? 1 If so, how long?___._.___Lbso per day “When did you start keeping your cows in the barn last fall?n_ USually « Have you changed your feeding practices greatly during the past 5 years? If so, how and why? How are cows waterei? Bowls in barn 3 tank in barn - outside Wm— m ’ BREFDING PROGRAM (Cheek answer) HOW'dO you decide when to breed? Heifers Cows an With bull on pasture . o . o a n v 5 w . r s a . = r r a a o 0 b0 Bull turned out at certain times n , ~ : n - c - o o c a r . 7 cu According to ass (usu'lly months) a v - , - ~ A KXKX do As soon as possible after freshening ( days) . o p e yxxx en To Obtain fall freShening o o c o o c o o o o o o o c o o o o to To obtain freshening in other seasons 9 c o o o e o o o o o c A . . Yes 0 0 Do you use artificial breeding? . o a o o . . . a . o . . . e o o ( r N ) Number of cows last year a Do you have trouble in getting cows to freshen in certain seasons? no If 80, describe be Has artificial insjmination helped overcome this difficulty? Do you turn cows out in winter? a a o o u o o o c g c o c o o c How often? Do you have trouble detecting cows in heat during the barnufeeding season? . . . , . . . . . o a . 0 " O O C D O '1 0 I O 9 O O O O gutter ole Seasonal hired labor: '5 How is manure removed? Oper 0p C. ;. *1 Do you use fast milking? When did you start? at. n J g: L, mum-WW..- A. ..w-I-n—v'. Wham- J. on .3 f 4 n i as. J. o ..J Nor L-O you Ruiz? brecfling TEQUILA? ~ Describe ("1111's, 1.11:7}: mix-3 17911.? — .—v 3 .'.u- --" A ‘43:; t l 1 H 21% " $1-33 TEL" 1’: . - Kind :BeginnLIg of Yr H er of Your l1 Tunnisae , V 5 '3 nurses 1 L : -—-- it 0—... M‘- :‘cef cattle: cows H I, H V‘ V. Feeders H . 13* K V k“ f A“: 1 ’ 'o- v.5...- ..n—mu—nc. _ Other young sto ck: J§___ __ _ J! 2*. >73? .H.... . - q s: 1:3vs E U -. 1 n. ‘ V1 gs L feeder { 0.4}. Ives { v - -_ i '.l w ”-.". .....- lambs? feeder l H )C Di ~ . l ‘3 EAL“: $.11..." "fin-FEEL 3.3.37. 1': orke 11".”! 1‘1: Off fzm‘q ‘ m-~-~‘”" 'Whmzf'l. , ".r' :1 ":"“:'s" :5- ‘."‘>"“”""'""‘" T'pe I‘ge on 141.311”): =1.“ «1; ct‘tiigt‘il ‘24,; (4.4 ‘3 “74 J ‘ ’ f at m, of months months Dem 113;: (inexwltor ‘ Wife .wgular hired: - '- ~4 «MW nuld Mn "- ‘-4'-' h-‘d 1 ‘ ‘ i Operation: No of man days a main—Inn. L” I. 1w..."- -12. ‘u-fi‘” of man days of man dry-s arm—DAMW (Tea or NH) 8118? w B3 3: GMT 101‘ s Spreader loader s» I.“ _-_————-— ————-‘_-""—- q—I .‘ \J") 5-1 .. —.e “ “Am. ...-a 0 Milk sold in 1%? to other than the nets-cit msn‘ket, ”mmmmu‘mw 131.. 141311., " Purchaser _ ibiswer "l" or "2" 10 Spring e summer ao Last year you delivered ‘_ percent as much milk in _M_ as in 0 Why? (Cheek answer. (1) Breeding problems a o o 0 U c p c . 1 a 1 e o n c o ,1” fi_'~ _ ,‘ (2) Need to use pasture o o a o o o o o o _ n C . a o u _~u (3) Cost of winter grain and roughage o o c o 1 o a o a a o __Umw_ ~_m~‘" _ (h) Competition with other enterprises in fall . o o o o C _ 20 Fall m winter - even (cross out all but one) ao Last year you delivered percent as much milk in ill,_” as *“.u,_lmuhf? (1) Take advantage of base plan . o o o a a o . o o e . o . _ (2) Competition with other enterprises o o o c a a o o o c m‘”__ (3) Lack of pasture o o o o a . n o o c . o o o o o o . o c _ __r _ _ (h) Use family labor in winter 0 o a o . a a o . o v c o c ~_mui_wmw.l~m“i_i be How do you accomplish this (Itmu Ba}? (1) Buying and selling cone 0 o o o o o a ?_c_¢ o o o o c a __ (2) Planned breeding pregram o . . . . . a . o a . . . o . ‘ (3) Buying winter feed a . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ‘ co Have you had any difficulty in maintaining this production pattern? a If so, what? How many years have you shipped fluid m 1k to Detroit? During the past ten years has your seasonal pattern changed? If so, in.what.ycer? ' c From to «mi-*1 L— 11 ‘What‘was the nature of the chanie? m." Q‘— -“—_.———~ ‘*' C) 2‘0 Khy did this change oeuvre \g.fqfl a; a. Planned shifts in freshening dates ; n a a . t . c o a , Q ' w-.~-—-- .‘t:..‘z.: Unavoidable Shifts in freshening dates a J : z a c , . a n . o b C I).l-1..r' 0118;: e of C ow': 0 a" V: _~, r C i m 5 f " o r c .; Ll » H ‘ c- '. :1 d Sale of cows L a a , , o a a w a c ;l~‘mmc~4— .- .4... ‘ ___..__ . n .- w.» *w’a.» l’ ”-0—."— _— ___m_ .4- Ln 3 ”a..- A: *4 f -—-— h A A -— Von-u ea—n'u. f.) (‘1' Ca r4. (“'2 5‘ y- 1 ..I r—L - Q What changes did you make in your fawning proa‘em 10 Less cash crepe and more feed 0 p ;;;(.r 2 Wm WM‘ 7‘ A 2“ More grain and less pasture , d . o o n a a c ; r c o ~ :'-c.v ~ h m_ .“;_i.. .3, More pasture and less Lrain o o a u c o » 7 L 9 a H a c w 7 buw__* w 14- Hired more labor 0 a o c u v a . c a . o = ( a a a u o , n o ~ ' c , ‘__.“.i, .So Hired less labor o o g a o : a u . a q o,.,;,.\ A , . , c -,t c c_wm___ *__ r r r , ( P , F , A _‘ ‘ u _ t r t . . 0 ~ n t n a a r . a c A *_ a o c v n c a . a v 0 Q o o = s p a c c ' -Do you plan to change your present seasonal pattern? If so, why? “ How? —- ‘ ‘— Mir—‘- lt Raise more winter feed o e c o o n o n r o c 0 o o o u r n : g c Buy more winter feed . a 1) v v.) o O > U n n 0 D ) J a o "- r - - 3c- Cndnge freShenlng Cid-Bet: o o . o o n o c- o o n o. o o e- r: u o r, : n ‘— --‘A-“MVM Lit- Buy COWS o n A o o c v e a n o o o o o r :- o o c e n o o o n c c s “i sell Cows s.‘ '5 " f‘ ‘2» G O U 0 f 0 O O 0 0 O 3' O n C n 0 O 7 ’3‘ 0 r- 1; D —-—-‘1— 0 3 ') O 0 O U 0 Q 3 9 O 0 C H . o '3 5 F ( I 3‘ Q U C " . ° . ‘ 3 3 7 O 7". ~. g, A ...— : M.“ A) \ 3 0 -‘ Q '3 'J O C 0 ‘I C' '5 '7 O 1 ‘0. C C “...... —.o.——— A— -—- ham—mu— Have you heard anything recently about a need iOr more even production? From what source? m Ma...- .— Has this influenced you to make any changes in production?‘ ihat do you think of the present pricing plan (nasezsurplus)? o a n c a ONLY USE - M'TITI'ITIQIITILTLI’IEIIIJWfliflilflfliiljl'lflflflifllaflitmflmS