THE 3.3311? 8"}: SQPL MANAfiEMENT GROU‘PS AND REM-J35?) fiPiFOM‘ufi‘HON éN DETERMEMNG AGRFCULTUME LAND VALUES I‘N OBCEOLA CC’UNT‘I", . MICHIGAN Thesis fix the Dew” cf M. S. is‘flCiflGAN STATE UNWERSITY Stephen G. Shanon i961 «is LIBRARY Michigan State University Fag THE USE OF SOIL MANAGENENT GROUPS AND RELATED INFORMATION IN DETERMINING AGRICULTURAL LAND VALUES IN OSCEOLA COUNTY, MICHIGAN By Stephen G. Shetron A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Soil Science Department 1961 Approved 77K L.C.Ev/< 8 ABSTRACT THE USE OF SOIL MANAGEMENT GROUPS AND RELATED INFORMATION IN DETERMINING AGRICULTURAL LAND VALUES IN OSCEOLA COUNTY MICHIGAN by Stephen G. Shetron The valuation of land, in.the past, has been primarily by three methods. These are the Income-Capitalization, Market-Comparison and Replacement-Cost approach. These systems appear to be adequate for obtaining approximate indications of land values. Investigation of these methods show that soil capabilities are considered to a lesser degree in.the Market- comparison.and Replacement-Cost approach than in.the Income- Capitalization approach. This study was conducted to evaluate land based on principles of the above three methods with emphasis on soil through the use of soil management groups. The basic steps used in this study are as follows: 1. Selection er farms and information about them. 2. Collection of soil data. 3. Determining land use. A. Assigning the various soils to management groups. 5. Measuring the soil and land use areas. 6. Determination of expected net income. A. Estimation of prices recieved for each crop. B. Estimation of yields for each crap per management unit. C. Calculating the gross income per management unit when used for crOpland, woodland and pasture. D. Estimating the cost associated with each crOp, per management unit. E. Calculating the net income per management unit when.used for cropland, pasture and woodland. F. Estimation of improvement values. G. Comparison of expected net income with sale values minus improvement values. H. Estimating cropland, woodland and permanent pasture values from the above process. Determined capitalization rates are 22.5%'for cropland, 8.9% for pasture and 5.7% for woodland. Investigation of data shows that the capitalization.rate for crOpland is high due to the lower determined machinery costs from custom rate data than for the actual farming conditions. It is felt that there First-- Farm units are too small Second-- The Farmer are two reasons for this. for the amounts of machinery present. has overstocked as insurance against not being able to obtain desired.machinery services. Thus there is inefficient use of machinery. Results show that the more productive and highly deveIOped land is being under-assessed and under valued. The poorer land in crOpland, pasture and woodland is being over-assessed. It was found that approximately sisty per cent of the farm pperators were working off their farms. The farm has thus become a dual purpose unit; a place to live while earning am.income off the farm and also a source of income. Through the use of soil management units and related soil survey information, it is possible to realistically evaluate cr0pland, pasture and woodland. Page I. THE USE OF SOIL LANAGELENT GROUPS AND RELATED INFCRKATION IN DETERMINING AGRICULfiURAL LAND VALUES IN OSCEOLA COINTY, NICIIGAN BY Stephen G. Shetron A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of EASTER OF SCIENCE Soil Science Department 1961 Approved Acknowledgments The author wishes to acknowledge his sincerest gratitude to Dr. E. P. Whiteside for his encouragement, counsel and understanding during all phases in preparation of this manuscript. Special thanks are due to W. H. Heneberry for his willingness to discuss problems in agricultural economics, on Which advice was needed. Credit is also due the Soil Conservation Service which enabled me to take the necessary time for class study and the use of data for this study. I am especially indebted to my wife Ruth, for her understanding, help and patience through all phases in the preparation of the manuscript. Table Of Contents . Page 1. Abscract Q 2. Table of Contents iii 3. List of Tables v u. List of Figures vi 5. Purpose 1 6. Review of Literature 2 7. Procedure: 1A A. Selection of farm properties and information about them. 3. Collection of field data. C. Assigning the various soils to management units. D. Intermining land use. E. heasurenent of soil mapping units and land use areas. F. Determination of net income: (a) Estimation of prices received for each crop. (bl. Estimating yields of each crop per manage- ment unit. (0) Analysis of major crops grown in Osceola County and on each management unit. (6) Estimating the gross income per management unit When used for cropland, woodland and pasture. (e) Estimating the cost associated with each crop per management unit. (f) Estimating the net income for cropland, woodland and pasture per management unit. G. Estimating improvement values. H. Comparison of expected net income with sale values minus improvement values. I. Estimating cropland, woodland and pasture values from the above process. 8. Discussion. 53 9. 10. 11. Table Of Contents Additional Research Needs. Bibliography Appendix A and B (Cont.) 1. 2. 3. 9. 10. ll. 12. 13. 1h. 15. List of Tables Esthmated Per Acre Yield of Principle Crops Grown by Soil Management Groups. Price of Products Used in Computing Net Income . Estimated Costs of Seeds for Major Crops Used in Computing Production Costs. Use of Each Soil Management Group as Shown by Conser- vation Needs Data. Estimated Proportion of CrOpland Used for Different Creps in Osceola County on Each Soil Management Groups Estimated Acreages of Crops Grown in Usceola County Based on Acreages of Soil Management Groups Plus Tables Page 27 28 29 30 36 37 h and S and Averages of Michigan Agricultural Statistics 19h9 to 1958. Estimated Gross Annual Income Per Acre From Cropland in Usceola County by Soil Management Groups and Crops Estimated Average Cost of Production for the Common CrOps Grown in Osceola County. Estimated Average Cost of Production for “ay and Pasture in Osceola County. ' Estimated Annual Costs Per Acre of Cropland in 0sceela County by Soil Management Groups and Crops. Estimated Annual Net Income Per Acre of Cropland in Osceola County by Soil Management Groups and Uses. Estimated Net Income Per Acre df Crops by Soil Management Groups in Osceola County. Estimating Net Income Per Acre From Alternatives of uses of Cropland in Osceola County By Soil Management Groups. Estimated Stumpage Values Used for Standing Timber Values. Mean Stumpage Values Used in Estimating Net Income of Woodland in Osceola County. 39 no 1,2 #3 he h8 Le 1. 2. 3. h. 6. 7. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 11:- List of Figures Map of Michigan Showing the Location of Osceola County. map of Osceola County Showing the Location of Each 891111310 Unit. Illustration of the Method Used in Determining the Number of Acres in Each Soil Management Unit by Kinds of Land Use. Trends in Yields, Acreages and Prices of Corn in Osceola County from l9h9 to 1958. Trends in Yields, Acreages and Prices if Oats in Osceola County from 19h9 to 1958- Trends in Yields, Acreages and Prices of Wheat in Osceola County from 19h9 to 1958. Trends in Yields, Acreages and Prices of Hay in Osceola County form l9h9 to 1958- Trends in.Number of Cattle and Calves, Cows Milked Two Tbmes a Day and Prices for Milk from l9h9 to 1958 Relation of computed Net Income to Sale Price. Relation of Computed Net Income to Sale Price After Capitalization of Estimated Net Income. Relation of Sale Price to Estdmated Land Values by Soil Management Groups and Land Use. Relation of Sale Price to Assessed Value in Osceola COunty . Relation of Equalized Values to Sale Price. Relation of Equalized Values to Estimated Net Income. vi Page 16 18 25 31 32 33 3h 35 56 57 52 58 S9 60 THE USE OF SOIL MANAGENENT GROUPS AND RELATED INFORMATION IN DETERKINING AGE CULTURAL LAND VALUES IN OSCEOLA COUNTY, NICHIGAN Purpose The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate a method that would be applicable to the valuation of land as an investment whether it be for cropland, forestland, pasture or other agricultural uses. With an understanding of the proposed method, an individual would be able to determine the relative worth of land as an investment. The method used was similar to the ones previously used in Arenac and Eaton Counties, Michigan. Its validity, adaptation and utility are tested here in the dairy, potatoes and truck type of farrizg areas in fiichigan. ‘v‘ 1-77" v-‘w ~v-~, «aw-v-‘fi . 'vw-r—v “.1 r f... "7"- .. : “firm-rt n J _.. l-“ . ._-‘... i -..J._. ~_-..A.Js..1_. 5.....LJ Land appraisal begins with an understanding of value and different kinds of value. A dictionary (27) definition of value is, "The quality or fact of being excellent, useful, or desirable; worth in a thing," or "The estimate which an individual places upon some of his possessions as compared with others." A more liberal definition of value would be the ability to satisfy a need of an individual. We must remember that there are as many kinds of values as there are needs. An illustration, Barlowe (l), of economic value as applied to land value would be the example of a land owner who buys a parcel of land for four thousand dollars and erects a sixteen thousand dollar house on it. At this point he has invested twenty thousand dollars in his property, a sum which may be considered as an economic value. When the property is appraised for a mortgage loan, it may be appraised at seventeen thousand collars. A tax assessor may assess it for property-taxation purposes at twelve thousand dollars. Upon a decision to sell his property, a real estate broker might list it at twenty-one thousand dollars. Iowever, before selling the owner discovers that the property is needed for a public project and its con- demnation appraisal value is twenty-four thousand dollars. This paragraph is an illustration of the difference among different kinds of economic value. 2. Concepts of Land Value Gaddis (S) states that the value of property may be expressed as its worth in terms of money to the individual. This may be affected by terms and conditions of the sale and what the buyer is willing to pay under the existing conditions. As cited by Black, et al (2), land value may have a three fold concept. First a market value, this is based on experience and actual transactions. This can be refined by collecting data on selling prices and on the major facts about a considerable number of comparable farm sales in an area within the last few years. Their data reflected the differences in yields, types of roads, land tillage and distance from towns. Secondly, value may be an assessed value, which is determined as an estimate of property value for taxation. This is usually lower than the market value. It will probably remain stable from year to year accerding to the persons assessing the properties. Thirdly, a loan value, which is considered as a normal value based on average production and normal prices of farm.products. Loan values are partially determined by regular income from year to year based on income and operating statements prepared by the farm Operator. Another concept of value may be the value of land to the owner. This is determined by its ability to perform particular services for the owner, either as a source of financial income, or as security and as a home. Smith (23) 3. states that value in this sense could differ from sale price, if the price is more of a statement of sacrifice involved in the sale of property. Smith continues by saying that "value is often confused with price." Many people say a farm is worth a certain amount of money or it has been sold for some sum of money. So in discussing the value of a farm, they are discussing what is generally known as the price set on the farm. KcNicheal (10) contends that it is possible to have a normal agricultural value associated with the land. This is based on the amount a typical purchaser would, under usual conditions, be willing to pay and be justified in paying for the prOpcrty for customary agricultural pur- poses, with expectation of receiving normal net earnings from the farm. This is based on the agricultural assets only. There is a relationship that exists between "value" and "price". Price is an indicator of value to the individual, while "value" by itself is an estimate of what property might be worth, on the average, to a large number of individuals. Principles of Appraisal According to Davis (3), appraisal procedure logically divides itself into an inventory of resources and the conversion of these factors into dollar values. Estimates are determined by physical productivity of the farm, its location and its use as a home. Wagner (26) expresses the appraisal of farm land as the estimation of worth which is determined in part by the production of the farm. The land is the chief unit of production. Inquiry into those factors that constitute and affect value is an important segment of land appraisal. Land value, in appraisal procedures, may be and usually is determined by one of three methods. The first of these is Income Capitalization. This is the concept that the present value of property should always equal the present worth of all its future incomes. Evaluation should equal the sum of its future flow of income rents discounted back to the present. Mathematically expressed V = 5/3, when V is the property value Which is equal to A, the estimated average annual net return and R, the rate of interest used in the capitalization process. The advantage of this method is that it places emphasis of the future income producing capacities of individual properties. A disadvantage is the difficulty of setting of a proper rate at whidh to capitalize net income. One has to avoid making a very conservative estimate of net income on poor land and then capitalizing at a high rate. 5. e. The second method is the Market Comparison approach. This is determined by the conditions and prices associated with the sales of similar and comparable properties and the price which the property will bring in use current market. This method provides a definite bridge between the theoretical Income Capitalization approach of economic value and the actual exchange values of the market. A disadvantage is often the lack of current market data. A third approach is the Replacement or Reproduction Cost approach. This is the assumption that properties should be worth their present replacement cost or the cost of providing an acceptable substitute less an allow- ance for depreciation and obsolescence that has occured. This method has the advantage of easyppplication and a tendency to treat all properties on a comparable basis. his method does not take into consideration the earning capacity of land except as it is reflected in its replace- ment cost. These three methods of land valuation are used in the American Rural Appraisal System. (10, 1) When determining value it is important to keep various principles in mind. Smith (23) lists these Principles as: (l) The highest and best use; that is, the use which will preserve the land and bring to the operator the largest net return over a long period of time. 'Eighest and best use varies with time, economic and technological changes and while it represents a top value in a particular time ‘\J for a particular use this perfect market condition is never attained in ’U ractice. (2) Increasing and decreas- Ho ing returns; that s, the response of land to conti ing nu increased utilization. (3) Balance and preportionality; such as rotation of crops and the efficiency of labor and equipment. When these are out of proportion to each other;then.conditions are not conducive to highest ami best use. (L) Conformity; agreement with other members of society of which the operator is a part, i.e., a dairy farmer in a cash frain district would be an unconformity. (S) Substitution; replacement of one unit for another in case one unit should fail. This represents the upper limit of valuation. (6) The Law of Contribution; additional values due to the erection of additional features on the land, i.e., buildings, fences, electricity and telephone. (7) Competition; concept of supply and demand. (8) Agents of production; these would be labor, coordination or management, capital and natural resources. All of these eight principles are to be kept in mind when using any of the three methods of appraisal. In the appraisal of land, various factors are encount- ered. The productivity of the soil is a function of soil management and soil differences, buildings which may add to the income of the family, (or contribute directly to farm family income), and location or distances to markets, towns, schools, etc. In Nebraska (18) it was found that through the lack of recognition of these factors owners of low 8: value land carried a proportionally heavier burden of taxes than the owner of higher valued, more productive land. Another factor that should be considered is the type and use of crop rotations or crop sequences. This is an aid in determining the value of specific soil types which will give an indication of worth of soil and thus affect the appraisal of the farming unit. Crop sequence is used to connotate the different patterns of crops Which reflect three situations, (1) Ho crop interaction; (2) Negative crop interaction; (3) Positive crop interaction. In theory no crop interaction would exist When no crop in the sequence had an affect on any other crop and the soil fertility is in a stable condition. Negative crop in- teraction is when some crops are detrimental to others in the rotation and basically affect soil fertility. Positive crop interaction can be considered as the beneficial effects some crops have on others in the rotation. Each one of these basic relationships may affect net income. Henry (7) states two relationships. The first of these refers to factors no farmer can control. These would be soils and location. Soils are the very foundation of the farm and cannot be changed or altered except through he use of fertilizers and other amendments. Soil types clearly place the farm in its perspective high, medium or low bracket. Location refers to the subsequent mass devel- opment such as the construction of rail-roads and highways which may enhance location and market value. Location is important for it is tied in closely with adaptibility. A farm may have value for other than agricultural purposes such as sub-division and owner urban uses. The second relationship of Henry are the factors that the farmer can control. These would be adaption of the farm and size of use unit. The adaption of the farm would embrace a knowledge of soil types, landscapes and workability of soil. Every community has its "Happy Enterprise". This would be an individual who pursues his immediate interest rather than What should be practiced in the management of the soil and thus depreciates the value of the land. Thus the adoption of enterprise to the area is the most difficult factor confronting the appraiser and buyer. An exception to adoption is specialization such as a livestock feeder or turkeys, which may achieve considerable success even with the poorer soils. This is more the re- flection of the individual‘s ability rather than.the soil. This tends to over value some of the poorer soils. The second factor of farmer control is size of the unit. The operating unit must be large enough to efficiently utilize the land, maintain efficient control of labor and still be within the management ability and capacity of the operator. Techniques of Land Valuation in Other States One of the first attempts at developing a system to evaluate land in the Central United States was based on kinds of soil by Kellogg and Ableiter (9). The objective was to group soils into "Natural Land Types" which may be defined as land having particular combinations of physical features - principally climate, soil, topoSraohy and stoni- ness which define its natural productivity for plants. The laws of California (2h) require all lands, if similar in quality and quantity to be valued at the same rate for tax purposes whether cropped or not. In order to accomplish this they have turned to the rating of soil by the Storie Index Method. This method strives to evaluate soil for general agricultural purposes, regardless of location within the state. This rating is based on characteristics and condition of the soils, such as profile development, drainage, alkalinity, erosion and fertility. From the study conducted by Scholtes and Riecken (22) in Taylor County, Iowa, it was found through the use of soil survey informiion that many tracts had already been equitably assessed by the county assessor. Some plus and minus valuation of tracts resulted from he application of survey information. This was thought to give a more equitable valuation of these tracts. Workers in Nebraska (18) used a method based on soil survey information and building values. Economic ratings of soils were prepared for cropland, pasture and rangeland. . lO. 11. Building evaluation was according to a rating system that considers condition, adequacy and location. These values were converted into net incomes and then into land values. In Central Illinois (17) (2S) efforts have been made to determine the productivity of the soils. This was accomplish- ed with soil survey information and production records of farms in Central Illinois. These two were correlated and differences were determined. From the knowledge of the foregoing material, technicians in Central Illinois were able to find the influence of soil types on farming, rel- ative long range earnings and capacity of farms and extent to which earnings on various soil tyees are influenced by soil management. With these data the relative value of the soils, and thus the farm units, were determined. In hichigan land value studies (A) (20) (21) a method was used based on expected net income. Soil nanagerent groups and related information on their use and productiv- ity in addition to production costs and prices of products, were used to calculate the expected net incomes. These were then compared with sale prices of land to detennine dollar values of the land. Priest (20) found that cal- culated land values compare favorably with those assigned by tax commission appraisers and farmers, but that the total appraised farm values were about 2!fl higher than the actual sale values. Schairer (21) found that in comparing calculated and sale values, dairy farms are commonly over 12. valued compared to cash crOp farms. Even though dairy farms are worth more because of the costs of buildings required, according to replacement values, buyers do not recognize or are not willing to pay the premium for such property. Results of diese studies also show that farms selling for high prices are commonly assessed at a lower proportion of their sale value than those selling at lower prices. The technique being used in Montana for tax assess- ment (1h) (16), in the reclassification of rural lands, is a method using information from technicians, crop data, services of agricultural agencies and information from ls is rated according to Ho farmers. Productivity of the so yields of crops drown and the number of animal units pro- duced as a measure of grazing on pastureland. This provides a relative basis for the assigning of dollar values for tax assessments. This system is not used unless county commissioners find too many inequalities resulting from existing methods of appraisal and tax assessments. Perry (19) in a recent article cites the Soil Survey Report as a new and useful tool for many diversified interests. These would range from studies on land utiliza- tion and planning, industrial and urban development, engineering, woodland development and land appraisal. An example was cited from Polk County, Iowa where 2,569 protests were registered after reassessment in 19h9. Of these, 60% were farmers. In lQSh a soil survey was completed at the request of the county. The information was translated into earning power through a system of crop suitability ratings. Only one farmer protested after use of this revised base in l95h. Soil surveys are an aid when appraising land for it does not penalize the efficient farmer since ratings are based on the production expected from average or normal management and not on how well the farm looks. Procedure The procedure used here is similar to the ones used in Eaton County (20) and Arenac County (A). The basic steps in this procedure are as follows: 1. 2. 3. L. r! )0 Selection of area for study. Selection of farms and collection of data. “nina the various soils to soil management groups. Measurement of soil grOUps by land use. Determination of net income: A. B. C. F. Estimation of yields per management group for each crop. Estimating prices received for each crop. Estimating proportions of crops grown on each management group. Estimating the gross income from each crop and cropland per management group. Estimating the cost associated with each crop and cropland per management group. Estimating the net income from each crop, cropland, pasture and woodland. Estimating values of standing timber and improvement values. Comparison of expected net income with sale values minus values of improvement and standing timber. Estimating land values from the above process. Description Of Area For Study The area under consideration was Osceola County, Michi Y Qan. Osceola County is located in the northwest} central part of Michigan, figure (1). The types of farm- ing have been described as dairying, hay and truck crops (8). Census data show that during the last twenty years the acreages of potatoes has dropped seventy to eighty percent. Truck crops, at present, seem to play only a minor role on cropland. Minor acreages of potatoes, field beans and cucumbers exist on farms Where conditions are favorable. Most of the cropland acreages are used for feed crops of hay, pasture, corn and oats. Wheat is grown as the major cash grain crop. The growing season ranges from 110 to 130 days on the upland soils. Depressional areas may have temperatures near freezing during the growing season. This tends to limit the use of these areas mainly to hay and pasture with some small grain. The reasons for the selection of Osceola County were the availability of a recent detailed soil survey, the amount of available data on land use; the need for inform- ation on farm appraisal in this particular area of Kichigan and the personal eXperiences of the author. 15 \. Figure 1 Map of Michigan Showing the Location of Osceola County. _—"——.‘m—— ‘__.—_,— _..—~___ __.-._.n—.-. _ .._._.— ___~_.———.— MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT or CONSERVATION fi"£l E wanton f, L R , o R .A K "' ‘5 5 ”PE \ DOMINION or CANADA women mam . .___._/ ‘3! 1 S “ \FEQ“ ‘ uncut": “a" w“ I ~- 8 c?»\. J “w“ SCHOOLCRAH cumm 8 I"? . ACIIAC \Mnmm . a. 9 of 1 . 00 ( o I“! .0 7 A o .. —-—""" I 9 1- 9"fi ( i‘ _ 6 / msou ms [0' / cmutvoux " i T JA P NA 9 ,./ P mm orstcom L t g to ./* e .' Q o g/ V omo IALKASM «mono oscom ALCOIA TRAVERSE I 0‘ \ c .I § FIST“ “VOID SSAUKE SCM 06C" IOSCO J a O 2 / x 0 AnzuAc , .l \ MASON Lm osccou cunt snow ‘ 9" ' a" mum I § _.r—1 6 m 5! I occAuA utcosn nsmuA mouuo ' Ncwco i tuscou smut ' SAGMAI ‘ 2 You.» came: 4 .IBIEGOII 0“ I l mu cuts“ mu: “0:: .‘ k ‘. OTTAIA tom cunou Cl V I ‘t : 0mm moan u .I / ALLEGM um won mom two“ I noun ' V“ ”I" «swam mm mm: CALHOUN Mason ! CANADA L! IA!“ Selection of Farm Properties and Collection of Data The first step was to collect information on the farms over eighty acres in size, sold between 1952 and 1958 from the Register of Deeds in Reed City, Michigan. This consist— ed of tabulating the liber, page, transfer date, names of the grantor and grantee, and legal description of the farm units location. Also tabulated was the amount of the revenue stamps and the estimated market price. (55 cents in revenue stamps are required per $500 of sale price for each prOperty). Tax and assessment information for each property was obtained from the Office of the County Treasurer, Court house, Reed City, Michigan. Tracts of land eighty acres in size or larger were used to insure adequate coverage of the soil management groups and to avoid part time farming. Those areas that were felt to have been transferred for purposes other than agriculture were also eliminated from this study. Each deed was checked for any restrictions and consider- ations that would add or subtract from the value of the unit. As a check against the location in the deeds, each sample unit was located on the county plat book. This was to avoid any errors during future investigation of the units. Their distribution is shown in figure (2). After the farms were definitely located and the bound- aries fixed, it was necessary to picture What lay within the boundaries. Items that were included for inventory were soils, land use, homesteads, drainage patterns, rivers, streams, gravel pits, roads and railroads. 17. 1L RQW RBW. 2 Map of Osceola County Showingmthmeu Llocation of Sample Units. 2 . $1. '0... C503?" LN Lutheran Ck But-or Luv 5 O ¢ 3 E 9.3!.“ Mahmud chm. H'qhbnd TUSTIN .. ,9" \ so 2 5 H'Il'f‘ in .- ' Sch 4 DKSHTON Janend Lclo C.M. 17 IO Sit-old 11:? O S 26 Chorrq Veflu Com. Show 35 Fuller Mall .13. R.9 W. RB W. PREVENT FOREST [7‘ cqmnv C C 3 I ‘ I . '3 Mar E: D O I. u la W I“, F ' ~41 *“w- Is . ’ L“ c L "L h T20 N. R O N I: I) t‘ ’ nu nukar- .. l7 3. I u u )3 Jo I E '-J ‘ a. I" n u v“ A ””V” .Q. .0 to "£1. c a :3 ~ f 9;. A a, -' ‘. 1 ‘1 I T .—‘ VJ luw. 7‘ ' " ' -o J‘ -:r:.:?3 Soil Management Groups Soil management groups are interpretative soil group- ings based on similar soil properties to a depth of three to five and one-half feet. These management groups can be further subdivided into units on the basis of slope, degree of erosion and stoniness. The management groupings are useful for fertilizer and lime recommendations when used in conjunction with tests of the plow layer and for the design of management practice recommendations When used in con- junction with information on slope, degree of erosion and stoniness. The numbers used in this system indicate the relative coarseness and fineness of the primary materials from which the soils were formed: 0 is for the finest clays and S for the coarse textured sands. Associated with these numbers is a small letter indicating the natural drainage under Which the soil has developed; a--for well drained, b——fcr imperfectly drained, c--for poorly drained soils. Thus, the management group description for a well drained, sand soil would be 5a. When one soil is formed from one kind of material over another, a fraction is ised. The number in the numerator stands for the texture of the upper material to a depth of lS-hZ or hE-éb inches. The denominator refers to the material in the lower story. For example 3/2 a is for well drained, sandy loams lE-hZ inches thick over loams to silty clay loams. 20. On the basis of these principles it is possible to designate the groups of soils with similar characteristics so as to show the relationships among them. The following table shows the relationship of tje soils in Osceola County to these management groups. (5) Soil Series Name Alcona Allendale Au Gres Bentley Blue Lake Bohemian Breckenridge Brevort Erimley Bruce Butternut Carbondale Coral Dighton Emmet Ensley Epoufette Gladwin Graycalm Grayling Greenwood Houghton Ingalls Iosco Isabella Kalkaska Soil Type Number & Surface Texture 325 758 7&0 262 223 272 826 8M7 636 895 897 020 66k u86 310 859 822 696 116 118 Odo 03o s.L. L.S. 76o s.L. s. 7A1 L.s. L.S. L.S. L.F.S. h2h Si.L. s.L. L.S. L.F.S. L.F.S. Loam buck or peat P.S.L. s.L. s.L. Loam s.L. s.L. Sand Sand Peat Ruck L.s. Lu3 s.L. 21. Soil Kanagement Group 3a h/lb Sb ha 'a 2a 3/2c h/Zc 3b 3c 20 kc h/Zb 2a 5.0a Kawkawlin Kerston Kinross Linwood Lupton Mancelona Manistee Narkey McBride Melita Menominee Montcalm Nester Newaygo Ocqueoc Ogemaw Pinconning Richter Ronald Roscommon Rousseau Rubicon Saugatuok Sigma Sims Tawas Tonkey 216 23 Leo u82 320 202 Bob 651 670 836 833 270 120 830 702 903 907 060 L. iiuclc S. 652 Si.L. or loam Huck or peat laluck OI' peat / S. L.S. huck s.L. S. S. L.S. L. s.L. S.L. L.S. S. L.S. S.L. L. S. F.S. S. S. .L. (1‘) F.S. L. 260 L.S. or peat L66 L.S. 21; L.S. 217 L.S. 36S s.L. #79 L.S. 313.3 s.L. 805 L.S. 83h L.S. 271 L.F.S. 832 L.S. L. 90h Si.L. 906 s.L. Ruck or peat 8151 s.L. 8152 L.S. 2a 3a ha Sb-h M/lc 3b 30 ha 5.3a Sb-h uh 2c m/hc 3c 22. Twining Ubly Wallace 6L2 L. 335 S.L. 105 So 6&9 L.S. 2b 3/2a Sa-h 23. heasurements of the Sample Units. The distribution of the soils and land use were shown on aerial photos. Through the use of a transparent over- lay, information concerning the farms was traced nd analyzed as shown in figure 3. A sample of the sheet used in summarizing the acreage by soil groups and land use is shown as form 1 in Appendix R. The planimeter, a dot counter and a small plastic grid (8” to a mile) were used for the measurement of land use, soil mapping units, size of homesteads, lakes and roads. All of the methods proved to be sufficiently accurate, but the last was more efficient, due to the small areas which were encountered. 25. Figure 3. Illustration of the Kethod Used in Determining The Amount of Soil Napping Units In Acres. Sample Unit Outline T 20 N a 7 w Sec. 22 s.%, S.E.% Location Size of Unit 80 Acres Scale h Inches/Mile Mapping Unit Boundary Land Use Boundary Soil Land Use Management Soil Mapping Unit Group‘_ L P F X H hSO/B-l 2a to 3 1 1 1 653/3-1 2b 13 10 2 907/A-o 2. 3 217/c-1 u/2a 2 A Total Acres 55 16 S 1 3 = 80 Ac. Determinina Net Income for Cropland O For the determination of expected net income, it is necessary to estimate the expected yields and prices for the crops. From the product of these, the expected costs of production are then deducted to give the expected net income. The procedure is as follows: A). From the Michigan Agricultural Statistics for l9h9 to 1958, Types of Farming in Michigan (8) and data from the National Plant Food Institute (13) yields for each manage- ment unit were estimated, these were recorded in table 1. Discussion with the count a ent and personal observations y 8 substantiated these relative values. B). In calculating the prices the farmers received, average yearly prices were used. The source of this inform- ation was the Michigan Agricultural Statistics for 1952 to 1959. The prices used are recorded in table 2. Seed costs were obtained from the Michigan Farm Bureau and the Okemos Elevator. These are recorded in table 3. C). Initial data on land use by management groups was obtained from the Osceola County Inventory of Soil and Water Conservation Needs. This information showed each management unit and acres of land use as cropland, pasture, forest or idle land as shown in table A. The determination of percent- ages of each crop grown on the cropland in each management group, was estimated by the following procedure. From the data of the Michigan Agricultural Statistics for Osceola County, 1950-1959, charts h-B were constructed to give an estimate of total acreage.(Continued on Page 37) 2b. 27. Table 1. Estimated Per Acre Yield of Principal Crops Grown on Each Soil Management Group Soil Corn Oats Wheat Alfalfa All Hay Pasture Perm Group bu. bu. bu. Hay-T. T. per Rotation Pasture & per per P8P per acre Tons per cow Slope acre. acre acre acre acre days 2a-A-B 87 to 30 2.3 1.3 1.2 90 2a-C-D 3o 33 21 1.7 2b 50 to 32 2.5 1.3 1.25 90 2c 52 A 35 2.5 l-h 1.3 90 £55-38 37 3o 23 1.9 1.1 1.0 75 3/2-3a C-D 30 27 18 1.6 3c-3/2b 81 to 25 2.u 1.2 1.2 85 3c-3/2c A3 to 25 2.i 1.2 1.2 90 u/2a 3o 27 17 1.7 1.0 .9 72 h/Zc 37 35 21 2.1 1.1 1.0 65 La-A-B 35 25 21 1.5 1.0 .8 60 ha-C—D 2o 21 17 1.8 ib-(ub-L) 37 27 23 1.7 1.0 .9 65 hc-(hc-L) to 30 25 1.8 1.1 .9 7o 5/2a 2o 21 13 1.2 1.0 .7 55 5-0a-5.3a A-B 15 17 11 .9 .8 .5 3o 5.0a-5.3a C-D 10 15 10 .9 5b 18 2o 12 1.0 1.0 .7 35 So 22 22 13 1.2 1.0 .7 55 Table 2. Price of Products Used in Computing Net Income Corn Oats Wheat Alfalfa (Baled) All Hay (Baled) Pasture (Permanent) 1.29 per bushel .70 per bushel 1.68 per bushel 22.53 per ton 19.90 per ton .088 per cow day 28. Table 3. Crop Corn Winter Wheat Oats Alfalfa Clover Cost per (Pioneer) (Ranger) (Vernal) (June-Pennscott) (Pennscott) (June a Sweet Mixture) approximately Estimated Costs of Seeds for Major Crepe Used in Computing Production Costs Seeding rate per acre Field lO#/ac. Silage 1 #/ac- l%-2 bu. 8.00 2 bu./ac. 6-10#/ac. 6'10'fi4/a0 o 6-10#/ac. 6-10,:7/30. 10-12#/aco 12-15#/300 unless shown, for non-certified seed are 20% less than certified seed. Certified seed costs per acre 29. Non-Certi- fied seed costs per acre re am {a {a :53: ea .4" .. - ~. . we .- :1“: z 1.60 Table 8. Estimation of Land Use in Conservation Needs Survey for Each Soil Management Group Management Cropland Permanent Idle Woodland Group Pasture 2a 60.25% 15% 8.25% 16.5% 2b 88.2 35 3.8 17.0 20 39.6 18 7.9 38.5 3a-3/2a 82.1 21 12.3 28.6 3b-3/2b 56.9 8 10.0 25.1 3c-3/2c 88.0 7 9.0 80.0 8/2a 19.6 20 7.8 53.0 u/Zb 9.0 58 8.7 29.3 h/2c 8a 32.3 2; 17.1 :7.6 Lb (LE-l) 30.“ 15 20.5 8.8 8t-(\-_1) 82.: r 15 9 10.0 f/fh ;.3 ‘F ’1 3 55.2 5.0a—5.3a 12.5 ll 35.5 81.0 5b 55,5 3 12.0 29.5 56 89.3 2 8-7 80-0 31 Figure 8. Trend in Yields, Acreages and Prices of Corn in Osceola County from 1989 to 1958. 1101 35 i 30 ‘ Bushels / Acre ‘25"- “9 56:1 six". 5'2 0'53 5'58 5'5 5'6: 57»: 5'8 Years 12 ll- 101 Acres in Thousands 89 50 51 52 53 58 55 56 57 58 Years Price / Bushel H N \R 89 5b 51 52 53 58 SS 56 57 58I Vanna 32 Figure 5. Trend in Acreage, Yields and Prices of Oats in Osceola County from 1989 to 1958. 35. Q) 8 <5 ‘30 ' \\ U) 5:25 2 m 20 ‘ 1+9 12 7 ll - lO 2 Acres in 1housands Peices Recieved 50 5'1 5'2 53 58 55 56 57 58 Ybars 50 51 52 53 58 55 56 57 58 Years 5b 51 52 53 58 55 55 57 58 Years Bushels / Acre Acres in Thousands Prices Recieved 33 Figure 6. Trends in Yiekds, Acreages and Prices for Wheat in Osceola County from 1989 to 1958. 25 u 20 ‘ 15' 89 50 51 52 53 58 55 56 57 58* Years 0‘ 89 5o 51 52 55 58 55 56 57 58 Years 2.201 N O 3.4 O N o O O H o \O O 1.80- 89 50 51 52 53 58 55 55 57 58 Years Acres in Thousands Tons / Acre Prices Recieved 38 Figure 7. Trends in Yields, Acreages and Prices for Hay in Osceola County from 1989 to 1958. 2.0 2[ 1.5” 1.0 ‘ 89 50 51 52 53 58 55 56 57 58‘ Years 85., noqI/2//N\\\\o112277-~——-““\\\\v////'--“\\\\\ 35 .. 89 50 51 52 53 58 55 58 57 58’ Years 22 21 20 19 89 5o 51 52 53 58 55 5% 57 58 Years Number Cattle & Calves Cows Milked Twice Daily 35 Figure 8. Trend in Number of Cattle and Calves, Cows hilked 30'! 25« 20‘ 89 121 11* 10‘ Two Times a Day, Price of Milk per cwt... Price of Butterfat per Pound from 1989 to 1958. 58 51 52 53 58 55 58 57 58 Years 89 8.50-) 3.50- .80 .' .70 ~ . 602 58 51 52 53 58 55 58 57 58 Pric;;'/cwt for milk. Price /lb. for BOT. 89 58 51 52 55-_,58 55 56 57 58 36. Table 5. Estimated Proportion of Crepland Used for Different Crops on Each Soil Management Group in Osceola County. Soil Corn Oats Wheat Alfalfa Other Rotation Group Ha Pasture 2a 105 12% 55 365 7% 30% 2b 12 12 8 25 10 33 2c 12 15 8 10 15 37 3a-3/2a 12 12 7 37 8 28 3b-3/2b 10 10 10 30 15 25 3SE3£26 12 12 5 15 20 26 8/2a 10 10 8 30 20 26 8/2b—8/lb 10 10 10 25 20 20 8/20 8a 12 12 5 30 20 21 8b-(8b-L) 10 15 5 25 20 25 8c-(8c-L) 15 20 5 15 15 30 S/Za S S 25 2S 35 5.0a-5.3a 3 3O 2O 37 5.0b 10 10 5 15 25 35 5.00 10 10 5 10 3O 35 Table 6. Soil Management Group 2a 2b 2c 3a—3/28 30-3/20 30-3/20 (Bo-L) h/Za u/eb-u/lb h/Zc ha hb-(hb-L) hc-(hc-L) S/Za S.Oa-S.3a 5.0b 5.00 Total Estimated Acreages of Crops Grown in Osceola County Based on Acreages of Soil Management Groups, Tables h and S, and lQSh U.S. Census Data and the Average of Nichigan Agricultural Statistics for the years 19h? to 1953 37. Av. Mich. Ag. Stat. 19h?- 1958 U.S. Census Date IQSA Corn Oats Wheat Alfalfa Other All Rotation Hay Hay Pasture 3.131 3,7u0 1,552 11,200 2,190 13,390 9,392 u05 MOS 2L6 8th 338 1,182 1,11u 159 200 10A 132 20 152 ABQ 1,200 1,200 697 3,550 7A3 1,293 2,395 no to to 120 60 180 100 15 15 6 2o 26 u6 3L 259 259 100 865 517 1,382 6L9 73 73 73 18k 1&5 329 1A7 3,005 3,005 1,260 8,376 5,037 13,u13 5,289 78 118 39 180 15h 33k 180 118 156 39 180 15h 33A 100 u u u 25 25 50 35 500 520 300 2,550 1,083 5,239 3,11h 53 53 26 70 1th 21b 110 53 5h 27 53 179 232 525 9,093 9,8t2 b.515 28,355 11,b15 39.770 23,673 9,776 10,000 b,h90 81,600 7,837 9,505 3,700 26,600 11,900 38,500 33,591 38. trends of different crops, total hay and cropland in the county. The average figures from Michigan Agricultural Statistics for 1989 to 1958, were used for the total hay acreages and proportions of other crops of the total crop- land area in the county. A summary of the data shows that 86,000 acres of total cropland exists in Osceola County according to the Conservation Needs data. Nichigan Agricul- tural Statistics show an estimated 62,900 acres in corn, oats, wheat and hay. The difference, 23,000 acres, was assumed as the amount, in acres, of rotation pasture. This was found to be a valid assumption upon investigation of reporting methods in Conservation Needs. Idle cropland was not consid- ered as part of the cropland estimate. Of the major crops grown, corn occupies 11%, oats 11%, wheat 5%, all hay h6fl, (of which 70% is alfalfa and 30% is grasses) and rotation pasture occupied 27%. On the basis of the above sources of information and the estimated proportion of the various crops grown on the various soil groups in Arenac County (A), a cropland use table for Osceola County was constructed as shown in table 5. These estimates were checked by multiplying management group acreages in Osceola County from the recent soil survey of the county by the proportions of these soil groups used for cropland, table A, and these by the estimated proportions of the cropland in each crop, table 5. It was then possible to compare these estimated acreages of the various crops with the census data on crops grown in the county as shown in table 6. Table 7. Soil Groups 2a 2b 20 39-3/20 3b-3/2b 3c-3/2c h/Za 8/2b h/Zc 8a ub- 80-(hc-L) 5/2a 5.0a-5.3a 5b 5c Corn 06.10 7.78 7.86 5.71 5.28 6.65 3.87 8.38 5.81 8.76 7.72 1.29 Oats $3.36 3.36 8.51 3.36 2.80 3.36 1.89 2.31 2.10 2.26 Groups and Crops. Wheat Alfalfa 82.53 8.30 8.70 2.72 8.20 2.10 1.20 3.36 1.78 1.93 2.11 1.09 .92 2.16 2.18 $18.65 18.08 5.85 15.83 16.22 8.11 11.89 15.18 10.13 9.57 6.08 6.75 6.08 3.37 2.70 81.81 2.58 8.17 1.75 3.58 8.77 3.88 3.98 3.98 8.38 3.28 8.97 3.98 5.87 8.58 Estimated Gross Annual Income Per Acre From Cropland in Osceola County by Soil Management $8.10 9.29 10.83 5.80 0.75 7.02 5.27 8.32 3.78 5.06 6.08 5.51 8.16 5.51 5.55 39- All Hay Rotation Total Pasture 8 2.55 81.35 37.92 38.77 38.83 32.01 27.60 33.53 26.08 28.96 29.87 20.38 16.69 19.53 20.56 Table 8. Estimated Average Cost of Production for the Cultivated crops Grown in Osceola County. Labor, machinery, plowing, disking, dragging, planting and cultivation. Harvesting-loading hauling and storage. Fertilizer and seed costs. 10% risk and management charge. Corn $12.25 8 5.50 Oats s 7.98 he 5.75 $10.10 8 . 8 Wheat 8 9.55 $ 5.75 $13.12 1101 Table 9. Estimated Average Cost of Production for Hay and Pasture in Osceola County. Alfalfa Other Rotation Permanent Hay Pasture Pasture Yield 2, 3 T/A 1.3 T/A 2/3 of hay 90 days and alfalfa Labor, machinery, plowing, fitting and planting. 8 1-00 8 1.50 Harvesting, mowing, raking, baling and storing. 8 8.25 8 6.50 Fertilizer and seed costs and bulk spreading. 810.98 8 9.08 823-50 8 1.50 R1 sks and management 8 1.92 8 1.61 8 2.80_ 8 .30 ‘1 825-90 8 3.30 Costs per acre # fl 9 fi 36 or cow day. 821.15 917.79 9 3.86 a .03 per cow day Table Soil Group 2a 2b 3a-3/2a 3b-3/2b 30-3/20 h/Za h/Zb 1/2c ha bb-hb-L hc-hc-L 5/28 5.0a 5.3a 5b 50 10. Osceola County by Soil Hana Corn $3.01 3.91 3.65 3.91 3.0M 3.9M 3.01 3.0a 3.91 3.01 L.Sé 1.52 1.52 b.) 3 o 0);- Oats $3.13 3-13 3.92 3.13 2.60 3.13 2.60 2.60 F-J 1—1 U1 k» k ) o o 0 ¢ 0 \u \1) m \0 H P: 64 r0 [U x» 2.60 2.60 Wheat $1.58 2.61 2.61 2.19 3.12 1.58 l.h3 1.13 1.58 1.58 [\3 1" \FL Lu \J) \O O in \p O m l\) 1...! H }4 3.58 3.58 2.68 hoh9 3.58 k.h9 5.36 ement Groups. Rotation Easture $1.16 1.27 1.113 -7“ I- 1 \) Estimated Annual Costs Per Acre of Cropland in Total 517.92 18.11 16.11 19.52 18.85 16.u3 18.09 17.88 Table 11. Management Unit 2a 2b 2c 3a-3/2a 3b-3/2b 30-3/26 h/Za E/Zb-(hb-L) 1/26-(uc—L) ha he he S/Za 5.0a-5.3a Sb 50 Estimated Annual Eet Income Per Acre of Cropland in Osceola County by Soil Hanage— ment Groups. Cropland $22.63 23.21 21.51 15.25 18.16 111.89 8.5 11.73 10.00 6.57 9.&9 11.06 1.07 .61 2.70 3.76 Permanent Pasture $11. 68 b.68 6.68 3.89 both 1.68 3.75 3.75 3.37 Woodland 113. 1:13—- D). For the estimation of gross annual income from cropland in each management group the following procedure was used. The yields per acre of each crop on each group were multiplied by the price per bushel. Through the use or percentage of proportion of the crops on each management group, the gross returns from each crop and the total were determined and recorded in table 7. E). Estimated costs per acre per year for each crop and cropland on each management group was determined. The common practices in Osceola County in crop proudction are assumed to be similar to those reported in hiChigan EXperimental Station Bulletin #72. Costs of these operations were based on Extension Folder F-l61, Rates for Custom.Work in Kichigan. These were determined on an acre rate with an averace level of management. This was calculated by multiplying costs associated with each crop, table 8 and 9, in each group by the percentage of that crop on each management group, table 5. Harvesting costs were assumed to vary with yields, Costs of hauling and storage of the crops and costs of these operations were from the custom rate schedule cited above. Fertilizer use data were taken from the l95h.Census of Agriculture data and the Michigan Agricultural Statistics. Average amounts applied were for corn, 209 pounds per acre; wheat, 251 pounds per acre; oats, 227 pounds per acre; hay and rotation pasture, 191 pounds per acre, costs per pound based on a 5-10-5 analysis at $70.00 per ton. The estimated net income per acre for the cropland by soil management flroups is then the difference between the estimated total gross income in table 7 and fine estimated total cost for the cropland per management group in table 10. These differences in totals are recorded in table 11 and similar expected net incomes from each crop on each soil management unit is also listed in table 12. F). For permanent pasture, the number of cow days per acre on each soil management group in table 1 was multiplied by eight cents and the costs of producing the pasture in table 9 were deducted, the net income from pasture is shown in table 11. Table 12. Esthnated Net Income Per Acre of Crops by Soil Management Units in Osceola County. Fanagement Corn Oats Wheat Alfalfa All Rotation Unit & Hay Hay Pasture Slope 2a-A-B 130.20 8 1.89 8 19.28 830.67 8 8.08 $23.18 2a-C-D 8.28 -3.01 1.02 17.15 2b 31.08 1.89 22.50 35.18 8.08 21.30 2c 36.66 3.99 27.51 37.13 8.08 25.13 3a-3/2a A-B 17.31 -5.11 7.38 21.66 1.10 18.67 3a-3/2a C-D 7.95 -7.21 -1.02 11.90 3b 22.17 1.89 10.71 32.92 10.19 23.18 30 25.05 1.89 10.71. 32.92 10.19 23.18 1/2a 8.28 -7.21 -2.70 17.15 2.11 16.12 1/26, 1/1b 13.11 -3.01 2.31 19.10 1.10 17.77 1/2c 17.13 -1.61 1.02 26.16 1.10 18.67 1a-A-s 11.73 -8.61 1.02 12.61 2.11 11.18 1a-C-D -1.62 -11.11 -2.70 10.39 16, 1b-L 17.13 ~7.21 7.38 17.15 2.11 16.12 16, 1c-L 21.18 -5.11 10.71 19.10 1.10 16.12 5/2a-A-B -1.62 -11.11 -9.12 5.89 2.11 11.91 i:ga, 5.3a -11.07 -11.21 12.78 -.87 -1.87 7.11 5.3a, 5.3a -17.52 -15.61 -11.16 -.87 Sb -7.20 -12.11 -11.10 1.38 2.11 11.91 Sc -2.01 -10.71 -9.12 5.89 2.11 11.91 Woodland Evaluation To determine the expected net income for woodland the expected net returns used in the study conducted by Heneberry et al (1) were used. Preliminary results gave indications that another method of capitalizing the expected net income was needed. Table 11 gives a summary of the expected net incomes from cropland, permanent pasture and woodland on the soil management groups in Osceola County. Stand ing Timber Values In order to obtain an accurate value for wood products on the land it was necessary to design a data and check sheet. This check sheet was a combination of methods used by the hichigan State Tax Commission and the Michigan De- partment of Conservation Land Examination Sheet. The data sheet places emphasis on species and stand density which is converted to thousands of board feet. This is then multiplied by the corresponding values in table 13a. Each sample unit that contained wooded areas was visited in order to obtain accurate information and data. 17 18. Table 11. Estimated Stumpage Values Used For Standing Timber Values. Saw Timber: Maple $25-30 per Thousand Board Feet Oak $20-10 n I! n 1! Beech $10-up " " " " Mixed Maple, Beech and Oak, $18-25 per Thousand Board Feet Swamp Elm, Ash, Soft Maple $10-20 " " " " Pulp: Aspen, $2.00-3.SO per 1'x1'xlOO' cord. White Birch, Oak and Hard Maple, $3.00-SOO per 1'x1'xlOO' These values are from the Michigan State Tax Commission Manual for 1955. 19. Table 15. Mean Stumpage Values Used in Estimating Net Income of Woodland in Osceola County. Saw Timber gulp Specie Kglgg Specie Xalge Maple 827.50/m bd. ft. Aspen $2.75/cord Oak $25.00/m " " White birch Beech $10.00/m " " Oak & Hard Maple $1.00/cord Mixed Maple Beech & Oak $21.50/m Swamp Elm 81: Ash, Swamp Maple $15.00/m These values are mean " H N values from table 11. Improvement Values Improvements, as used in this study, refer to the homestead unit. This would consist of a house and out buildings. Out buildings usually consist of a barn, silo and in some instances a corn crib, garage and tool shed. The values of the homesteads were studies on 50 farms. The method of obtaining information on these units was by the use of check sheets patterned after that proposed by Schairer (21) and data in the Michigan State Tax Commission Manual. Photographs were taken to show examples of the homesteads and these are shown in the Appendix A. The purpose of the check sheets was to systematically collect enough field data on the buildings to determine any affects they might have on the sale price of each farm. As with Arenac and Eaton Counties the observable features of the houses and out buildings were assigned a number according to their relative importance. Adaptability was an added feature for out buildings which was not used in the Arenac and Eaton County studies. Examples of these check sheets for the house and out buildings are shown as forms 2 and 3 in Appendix B. The upper parts of the check sheets are designed to rate the buildings according to the type and quality of construction, material and use. Adjustment for depreciation, location and personal convenience are held as separate items. 50. Statistical Analysis From the data compiled on actual sale prices and estimated land values, a correlation coefficient (r) was determined. The square of the correlation coefficient was also calculated and is termed the coefficient of deter- mination (re). A test for significance was carried out at the .01 percent level. A linear equation, Yc = a / bx, was also worked out; Ye is the computed sale price; a , the point of origin of the line represented by the equation; b, the change in estimated land value associated with a given change in the sale price x, in thousands of dollars. The statistical analysis carried out for the correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination and linear equation was done by the statistical pool of the Department of Agricultural Economics, and William H. Feneberry, at Nichigan State University. Results of this calculation are shown in Figure ll which shows the "Relation of Estimated Land Values to Sale Price" less building and timber values. The equation reads: Y = 5207.50 / 1.058x; r 3 .891 51. ‘52 .mmsaw>.wCflvHHsm mmoq wowam mamm on mesaw> puma Umpmfiwpmm Ho coapmamm Ha madmam w mvcwmsosa :H moflnm hawm :7 Li. .8 m a M N H mnaaaoo mo . mvcwmsons ca enam> mem u x . .H smog u p . .\ omPON. u a . M an x a n h . . .. u mafia weapon mo GOprsam . . g \ . u .\ a . \ \ . . x. .m .\ .n \ o \ \ \\ \ . \ . \ .p mmrT n94 1211111851 1"? nan-r13 A ~ -99.... A“ A"? Discussion Trends in the agriculture of Osceola County can be partially understood by consideration of the charts on the major crops and the data on cattle and calves, cows milking wo times a day, price of milk and butterfat per hundred-weight in figures 1 through 8. As the number of cattle increased or decreased, so have the corn acreages. We can assume from this comparison that the corn acreages have fluctuated to meet the demands of cattle or vice versa, the cattle have been increased to use the increased corn supply. Oats data indicate a steady decline in acreage. There appears to be no relationship to cows, cattle, milk price or other crOps grown. The use of an average acreage of oats over the decade from 1919 to 1958 may have over empha- sized the present importance of oats on Osceola County. This would tend to lower land values for most of the soils in oats, as indicated in table 12, which show a negative net income per acre. Wheat shows no clear relationship to other crops grown but the increase since 1955 may irdirfite it is replacing out; in part. In affr t on depressirg t-reagrs l“f ray rate 3Pflter,ed intrc: ed arrezges a: were ferrers tIIr to vtrat a a a ras; -rop. Allotments seem to have no effect on the acreages. Acreage of wheat decreased from 1919 to 1955 even though wheat allotments were in effect. No correlation appears to exist between the wheat data and that on cows, 53. 514-- cattle and milk prices. The data for hay correlates with the increase in cows, cattle, milking and price data. This increase is felt to meet the demand of more hay required by the cattle. We can assume, in Osceola County, that oats and Wheat play a minor role in the dairy enterprise since there appears to be no effect on them by the other crops gaown. Corn and hay acreage trends seem to fluctuate with the amounts of cattle raised, or vice versa. The amounts of cows milked twice daily fluctuate with the prices received, or vice versa, as indicated in figure 8. It must also be taken into consideration that the numbers of farmers in the county has also decreased. This will tend to depress some of the acreages of the crops grown. In- creases in yields are consistent only with wheat. Other crops may be affected more by weather. It can therefore be assumed that the more inefficient farmers are getting out of the farming business. Upon comparing the data synthesized from custom rates for expenses, with farm account records, it was found that the synthesized costs on a per acre basis were less than those reported in the farm account records. For example it was found that the synthesized machinery expense was half of the farm account figure, and other per acre expenses were similar. It can.therefore be assumed that the farmers in Osceola County have over-stocked themselves on machinery as an insurance against not being able to obtain the necessary machines when desired, as might be the case when depending , 55. on custom work. It can also be assumed that they do not have large enough farms for efficient operation. It may be that the farmers themselves do not realize how much their own labor is worth. Thus, the total net income is, under existing conditions, lower than it might be with more efficient operation. When the data are adjusted to take into account these existing conditions, the capitalization rate is lowered from 22.5% for cropland to approximately 115. This 11% corresp ponds to similar results found in Eaton and Arenac Counties. Discussion with some of the land owners and town‘s people revealed that a 10 to 12% capitalization rate was considered to be average for cropland. In this study the costs based on custom work rates and U18 22.5% rate was used for estimating the land values from the expected net incomes for cropland. The 22.5? capitalization rate was determined by a process of comparison which is a percentage relationship that exists between the annual net returns and going market values of comparable properties. The capitalization rate in this study is an average figure of the estimated net income divided by the sale price in figure 9. Figure 10 ihovs the sample units after capitalization of data in figure 9. In the plot of values of sale price in thousands per farm sampled as opposed to assessed value in thousands per farm, figure 12, several relationships are apparent. The higher the sale in thousands of dollars, the less in propor- tion is the assessed value. Or conversely, the lower the sale value of a property the higher the percentage that the 56 .eowhx onm on osoonH poz vmpsmsoa mo sowpmflez Ammfipammoam Uo>0hmsflnuv M m 3 , r m D! m madman mnswmsone cw eofiam mawm W4 \. CH CH HH MH sped-puny m; emoouI 49M 1301131111433 .moEoqu pox Mo aoflpmuflampfimmo poems meflphmmoam Um>oadEHcs mo mmSHm> pawn umpzafiou mo coapmacm 0H mhsmam whammaone ca moanm mamm S7 is .e m is .m m m ' . . ' r gr eh: U 13. 35 up I 0 F 999» new pcmfinooa. ' I. waspmmg .. all US$3.09...“ . O I '0 Ucmsmono V “ I I V .- 0 _I I . I < < I o ‘ ' r V I u euxoouI sen (110.13 peqnduzoo sent'eA pU’G'I handoo mHomomo ca msad> nommmmm< op moaam mawm mo COprHom ma madman mvcmmdone :H mowpm mamm a1 1.1 x m m .71 m a a O O O 0” .0. O 0 o I H O 0 0O 0 I N C O . O I. m mw/ 4t3¥u1 s . s . m a» a. t. . o spussnoqm u; entsA pessessv mornm 0.3m op 05.92? “65.?va .wo dogmaom ma mag moqwmsone :H moaam mamm V m 1.1 m m H onwaaoao no mgpmmm paw mangoes.” I 831mm 0 pqmdcooz - Unmamopo 1 II I I I 59 am spuesnoqm u; enIsA peztt'enbg 60 .mmsam> Umwfidmzvm 0p moEoocH poz anm Umpwsflpmm mesam> mama mo soflpmaflx mpcmmfioze CH mEooaH poz Umpmsapwm m e m m H fr 1' h I D fl 3&2 spuesnoqm u: senIeA pezttenbg 61. assessed value is of the sale price. From other data in other states and counties in Michigan, this appears to be a common situation. When considering this relation of sale price to assessed value, it is obvious that the more productive and highly de- veloped land or larger farms are being under assessed and that the poorer or smaller farms are being relatively over assessed. This relationship to amounts of improvements on the land is borne out by the fact that the dots at the higher end of the curve are more commonly farming units with im- provements and sold as such. Most of the dots at the lower end of the curve are units of idle and forested lands, without improvements. The assessor in this situation has apparently also tended to undervalue the more intensively cultivated or more productive land and over valued the less productive idle and forested land. The same situation holds true for each of the individual townships. This also held true for the Eaton and Arenac County appraisal studies and in other states such as Nebraska and Iowa. USe of the method tried in this study would avoid the bias and result in more equit- able land evaluation. When comparing the relation of estimated sale price in thousands to equalized values on sixteen sample units, figure 13, the following relationships seem to exist. Re- gardless of land use the improved farms are valued by equal- ization 15% higher than the sale price. Adjustments made during the course of study are as follows. All of the 62. equalized values used multiplied by 2.8 from the Michigan State Tax Commission, in order to bring the values from 1958 to 1959 dollar values. This was done to bring into line the equalized values of each sample unit for comparison with sale values based on 1959 data. The sale prices were also adjusted for the time of sale to a 1959 base. In- accuracies in these adjustment factors may tend to show over equalization of sample units when compared to sale prices or values based on estimated net income, figure 11. It must be remembered too that the estimated net income is an average figure from 1952 to 1959 or centering around 1951-55. On these farms too it appears that they have been over valued even when comparing equalized values to estimated values based on net income or sale prices. Relating the equalized assessed values to value based on the expected net income from the soil management groups and the sale price of properties currently being sold would decrease this over valuation bias. During the evaluation of the improvements of the sample units, it was found by the check sheets that the house and out buildings values fell into %d and D classes by the Mich- igan State Tax Commission Manual. This was also found by Schairier in Arenac County. Personal contact with the local peOple in Osceola County found a general opinion that the improvements accounted on the average for approximately half the value of the sale price, while land was felt to consist of the other half of the sale price. This corresponds to the 63. data in Current Developments in the Farm Real Estate Market, for Michigan, h} to h5% of the value is for improvements. This helps to explain the over valuation in equalization for many improvements were rated in a class higher than was done in this study. On the other hand it was also found that many of the buildings were improved since the initial sale and time of valuation. This proved to distort the data for it was almost impossible to put an original value on the buildings at the time of the sale. This distortion would tend to over value the less productive land by giving an impression of a highly productive unit. Another point of interest was that a high proportion of farm operators are working off the farm in small local industries. This was also found by the Soil Conservation Service in a survey of their cooperators in Osceola County Soil Conservation District. Three out of five were not farming full time. There appears to be a correlation of size of farming unit to farmers working off the farm. The smaller the unit the more likely the farmer to be working in industry. This is also noticeable in the analysis of major crops grown, acreages of each and the numbers of cattle or calves and cows milked two times a day. From l9h9 to 1953 there seemed to be a general increase in all of the above due possibly to the Korean conflict and from 1953 to the present, there has been a general decrease in the above. It is believed that the latter is due to the general trend of farm personel to seek added income by working in the small industries. on. From table 12 several important relationships are to be observed. Management Units ha, 5a, 5b and 5c show a trend of higher estimated land value and thus a higher net income for forestry and pasture than cropland land use. Management units 2a, 2b, 3a and he Show a higher estimated land value when used for cropland and pasture than for forestry and pasture combinations. It can therefore be assumed that the most intensive and economical land use for units 5a, 5b and 5c is forestry and pasture combinations. For managmnent units 2a, 2b, 3a and he the most economical and intensive land use is cropland and pasture. When the reverse of these land uses occurs, the trend is for lower estimated net income and lower land values. Results of the statistical analysis conducted by the statistical pool of the Agriculture Economics Department at Nichigan State University, found a correlation coefficient of .9hh between estimated land value and sale price. By squaring this number, the coefficient of determination is found. In this case it is .891. This can be interpreted as the percent, 897, of the sale price of land and estimated land values that can be attributed to the parameters used in the method of estimating the land values. As indicated by the linear equation y = .2075 {_l.058x, figure 11, where the point of origin of the line represented by the equation is 207.50 dollars. The amount of change in estimated land value associated with a change in the sale price of $100.00 is $105.80. Results of the statistical analysis are similar to the 65. results found by Tom Priest in a similar study in Baton County, iichigan. Conclusion This study is based on the use of soil management groups and related information for evaluation of farmland. This system has the advantage of eliminating bias on the part K.) of the assessors. It takes into consideration the differences in 30113, land use and incomes that can be derived from the Any individual who uses this system should realize that adjustments and checks are necessary. As changes occur in land use and with advancement in technology adjustments will need to be made in land values. Adjustments are also necessary for current local variations in productivity such as yields lost through drought, floods and poor soil conditions. This can be accomplished by adjusting the net incomes by soil groups and then an adjusted capitalized value can be determined. Soil management groups can be used for purposes other than land evaluation. They can be used as a basis for buying and selling land. Banks and other lending institutions can use these soil management groups to determine the feasibility of lending money. Finally soil management groups can be used for improvements in farm management by adjusting land use or farm sizes to the soil present to get the most net income consistent with a permanent agric.lture for a farmer, or farm manager as indicated in tables 11 and 12. Additional Research Needs During the course of this study, it became apparent that more research is needed. In the field of soils and crops, more accurate data are needed with respect to types of crops grown on different soils in the various counties. Yields of the crops grown on different soils with given management are also needed. Other items that seem to be lacking are the knowledge of crop sequences, machinery and practices used, including erosion control measures, and amounts of fertilizer being applied. This information is not generally available or specific for any certain soil and types of farming areas. In the field of economics, the determination of costs of each operation, on other than account farms, for the typical farm operator is lacking. It would also be desirable to have studies conducted on the effect that industry has on land values and on the general farm situation in the various farming areas of Nichigan. As stated in the dis- cussion, 3/5 of the farm population in Osceola County have part time work away from the farm. Thus the farm has arrived at a dual purpose. The farm has remained a place to live and other industries have become a place of employment. Relative price data on farms in relation to location, tyoes of roads, modern conveniences, school debts and taxes are lacking but are necessary for a more complete picture of land values. These may also influence the type of farm operation. 66. In the field of Agricultural Engineering there is limited information on the effect of the soil properties and soil management on the cost of using machinery. There are indications that soil texture and drainage have an effect on the power requirements of machinery. This will directly affect the costs of using the machines in dollars and cents. It is known that clayey soils and sod crops will increase the expenses through increased power necessary to pull when compared to sandy soils and cultivated crops. The amount of influence on expenses by soil management groups cannot be evaluated at this date. Additional research is needed on more realistic capital- ization rates. This appears to vary from area to area. There is also a need of information on woodland values. This is with respect to species, stand densities and costs of operation for pulp, maple syrup and other forest products. More information is needed on costs of the harvesting and transportation and prices received for wood products. It has been found during the course of this study, that in almost every phase adequate information is lacking for adequate evaluation of lands for agricultural purposes. It is therefore felt that additional work is needed on land evaluation for agricultural purposes throughout Michigan. The method tried here seems to be very satisfactory in the types of farming areas where it has been tried. 10. ll. 12. 13. 15. Bibliography- Barlowe, Raleigh. Land Resource Economics Prentice Hall Inc., Englewood Cliffs, N.J. 1953 Black, Clawson, Sayre and Wilcox, l9h7. Farm Management MacNillin Co., New York, N.Y. Davis, W. D., 19L6. Rural Appraisal Procedures, The Appraisal Journal, Vol. XIV pg. 3&8—360. Heneberry, Wm., Schrirer, 0., & Whiteside, E. P., 1956 Uses of Soil Maps for Improving_Tax Assessments Procedure for Farm Property in Arenac County, Michigan. Unpublished Manuscript, Michigan State University. Fertilizer Recommendations for Michigan Crops, Extension Bulletin 159 (revised), 1957. Cooperative Extension Service, Michigan State University. Gaddis, P. L., l9h6. Some Fundamentals of Farm Appraisal The Appraisal Journal, Vol. XIV, pg. 136:1h3. Henry, E. G., l9k6. Appraising Farm Lands. The Appraisal JOLII‘Ilal, V010 XIV, pg. 33'370 Hill, Elton B. & Nawby, Russel G., 195u. Types of Farming in Michigan. Nichigan Agricultural Experiment Station Special Bulletin 206. Kellogg, Charles E. & Ableiter, Kenneth J., 1935. A Method of Rural Land Classification, U. S. Dept. of Ag. Tech. Bulletin No. h59. McKicheal, Stanley, 1951. McNicheals Appraising Manual Prentice Hall Inc., Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey Mishigan Agricultural Statistics, Michigan Dept. of Agri- culture, Michigan Crop Reporting Service, Cooperating with the U.S.D.A., 19L9 to 1958. Michigan State Tax Commission Assessors Manual, 1958. Published and distributed by Authority of Act 215, P. A. 19Sh, Second Printing. Michigan Checklist for Areas 3 and h, 1959. National Plant Food Institute, Midwest Regional Office, Chicago, Ill. Murray, William G., 1958. Appraisal of Farm Real Estate U. S. Dept. of Agr. Yearbook of Agr. 1958, pg. 190-197. Nielson, James & Bittner, R. F., 1958. Farm Practice Adoption, Michigan Agr. EXp. Station, Tech. Bulletin 263. 68. 16. 17c 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 2k. 69. Nunns, Frederick K., 1958. The Classification of Rural Lands, U. S. Dept. of Agr. Yearbook 1958, pg. 362-370. Odell, R. T., How Productive Are the Soils of Central Illinois. Illinois Agricultural Experimental Station. Bulletin 522. ‘ ’ Ottoson, Howard, Aandahl, Andrew a Kristjanson, L. Burbank, 195A. Valuation of Farm Land for Tax Asspssment. Nebraska Agricultural EXperiment Station Bulletin E27. Perry, Robert D., 1960. New Tool Proves Useful. The Appraisal Journal, Vol. XXVIII, pg. u654fi68. Priest, T. W., 1960, Use of Soil Management Groups and Related Information in Evaluation of Pamnlands. Thesis for the Degree of M.S., Soil Science Dept. Michigan State University. Schairer, Dale H., 1959. Rating and Valuing Building on Their Physical Characteristics, Thesis for the Degree of M.S., Ag. Eng. Dept., Michigan State University. Scholtes, W. H. & Riecken, F. E. Use of Soil Survey In- formation for Tax Assessments in Taylor County, Iowa. Smith, Glenn 0., 1950. Appraisal of Farms, he Appraisal Journal Vol. XVII, g. 503-311. Storie, E. & Weir, Walter W. The Use of Soil Maps For Assessment Pprposes, Soil Science Society of America, ‘4’010 7, pg. Alb-Iklgo Thompson, W. N. & Johnston, P. 3., 195h. Row Valuable are The Soils of Central Illinois. Illinois Ag. Exp. Station Bulletin 550. Wagner, John J., l9h7. Valuation of Farm Laids, The Appraisal Journal, Vol. XV, pg. 5&53357. Websters New Collegiate Dictionary, l9h9, G. & C- Merriam 00., Publishers, Springfield, Mass., pg. 1209. Appendix A Picture Supplement The following three pages contain photographs of var- ious scenes of farm buildings, and associations of soils and land use with the typical vegetation present. A narrative follows describing the photographs: Scenes A & B: A homestead, house and out buildings, located on Nester and Isabella soils. The topography is from.moderate to steeply sloping with general agriculture as the main land use. This unit typifies the average level of management. It has modern facilities and is worth approximately $h,SOO—S,000. This would be a class D home by the standards of the fichigan State Tax Commission. Scenes C h D: A homestead on Isabella soils with moderate to steep slopes. This unit would be considered above averave. The main entrrfrior beye ig geheral faktirffiahd asir“, With a Valhb of apprbkimateiy $8,000-8,9OO for the buildings. Scenes E a F: This represents one homestead with house and barn and the associated fields. TheSe are 1eVel to gently sipping sandy soils. Unit would be censidered average for the couh*y. If the owner were to depend pn the land for ah income this Unit would not appear as it does. The 70- 71. owner in this case works at a factory ten miles away. 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