. ul I u. 9 999- I . .9 .9 9c. 99—9.~9.u. '9 . 99 . . u 9. .9 .9 . . ... 9 9. _ 0‘. I.o9 o. 9. v 9. I ..I r I n . . . 09... 9.. o 9. . 99. 9 o 9. 9 o .9 n p _ . . . 7 fl. 9 _ . . .. . .09 999.. 9 9 ... 9 . 9.09 ... . v ‘9 9 9 . v 9.0 1 . 9 . 0 9 .. ... fl"... . . ...9.. m . . w . H ... . H . - ... n . q 9 u 9 9 9 9 w _ ~ . . 9 H 9 a... _ 1 o. . ...-IL: took-‘99....9.‘fln}orv...a99.9999 at (cc. . ...5.:.PP.J..1. 2... .4 .......v.. .49. ...... ... :9. . .....9.. . .9 . . . 9 I... ...L . .H .... .... .. . ...m..... . . q q .H V. . . 9 . . . 9 . . .... . . . .. .. h .. 9. o 9 . .. 9.. 9 9. . 9. ... -.. .. . . . _ ... ... ....9 . . $3.. . . ... . .. .H. S... .3”... .. . .. HR... . ... ,p... .. 3. 9...: M . . c n . 9 ..ON. .. E... u, Rm... “1... AU. a... m... . . S D. . . S. . . 0 -99 H... . .. . ...I 90. 9.99oguu..'. I’D... 20:191.}... 9|. 0 .9... 1 ca 0.1 M S 0 E Be the 1‘ to? Thesis 099‘ '99. 9‘9 90““..39 9.3431952; armt. 1.9"”; It... .1 .Pl’rro. ho.QO'ofiv...-. o.9.9 S o. .‘Ool.oa9’~. a 0.0; 9-. 0.. ..x. t-39 .. 9 .v 9.9... 9A 1.9 9 .. o . .99.: c 9 . :. 9"909. 99.99 2 2.70.945... .. ......(w ”H9091. .Snu‘: .. U. . ...... .. ......... . .n ., -. v.1... :3... .......«..4 .9361}... .9... 4.0.0.. 9.9. (17...... 9 . . . . . ...Au9 ...I..... ..v .9 .1 .... 99:. 9. 999.0 900'! . . c . .9... .. ... ......39.l9..9.9 . 9.0.1:... 9.9.9: . 9. ..o . . . .-.-.T... ......9....4..a...r 9...... ... 4n... 9 999.999 I... 1.0%.? VI. . . 9. . 9 . 9 . 9 9' 9 . . ... ... ..99 999.4 9... 9 .9oonf 9......09999 .9 9990 .90 000.909. 03' o...\ln’uiu‘.9 . . . . . .. .. 9.99.... .54...\ .....9 99 ......)94590009 9 . 9. ... . _. ......099a. ..9....99.9.9 : 01.9. w l . . O..I.9 .9. .9999140909099909..999|90 .0 ‘ ru" 9 9 A.Jo . .. . ...99 ‘9 ‘ A‘oo‘. ; . .. : .. . .....I... ...: ...... v.99... a. . . _ b . .... 9.9 .9 999.... 59.999- ...... .9. .9 .. 99. 9 9.9I .9 999.....999 99. 9 9 . 9 . o . .... ... . .....9 . 9.9.591 .. ._ . .... ... 9.... . ... ... 1,4999]. .. .. .i . 9 .v . ...9-.... ..999.99.4.9.0 . n . ... .4..99.999 .- .I.' 90.0 .9990. 3 9 I-.. 9 9 ... . ......990u ...-99049:..959009909900014 9. .. .. . ......99 ........9.9.9 39,999.94 . n: y . . . . .. .... . ...9... . .... .F./9 9.9999 9 . . o I .... . 994.9999 9.9 9. I0 9909...; .0 . . . .9... 9i99.9o. 99 999.190.1D9dl . . .. ..9....9..9.99/9989999999999199 . . 9 . 9.. 9 40.9999 I .. 00. 909000.094v0 . y . . _ ... ....9 9. 9 I... 9.999 99 _ a . . 9. .9 .... 9.. _.9. . '99 . o .. . .9 . .....9 cf» 4.9...9. . _ u . 9 s. ... 9.9 .a. 39.9.19... 9 . . . . . . 9 .... .9 99 .9 9.... 99 .0 9 9 9D9ov99a999 r I a . . 9 9 94 .9... .9999 . .- . . u 99 .999 .. .. ‘. 9.090.190.9- . . . _ . .. . 9... .... 9 . 9r 9. v . . ...4. .. 9.. . ......9..99.9...99 v 9. o9 . 1 9 9 . . . 0 ....1099999999 R. . o. .. ... ... I9.l c.999a9o.9.909.o9 999 v: 9.0 .._ .. . .... _. . .. ..9 ..9.9_........f 9.99... . .. . I ... o. 9:94 999 0.9-. . o .9\.o9_.10.v 1 C 9. . 9 9 99.0 . Q b...9..94400.v. .. . . .... .... ....l .. ...}. .I.....99. ...(r99.0_.99o9990 . . . o . ... .. .. . . 9 . 99.999 J99. 9. 99 . 9. . .............9l9....99 .9.......9.9’.i 9099.99. .. I. o. 9. 9 . . ...... 49... .09. ‘99.. I... . . . . 9 ... 9 9.... 9 9. . 9 9. . ._ 09.9.9 ..99 . 9 I. . . . 9 9... .... ...9.......c99.99.9l99. 9 .9 9 .9 9 9 . 9. . o a .9 . 99 99 9 . . 9.. .0 .. .9. ._ .. o. 9 . . y . . . .9 9 . . 99... .. ._ .. v ' . 9 9 9 o 9: 9 9 I 0 . 9 I .. . . __ . II 9. 9. . . . . u .. . 9 9 9 _. .09. ,9 I d..;.-. o. a . . _09 9 _ . 9'99 9 . .0. I 9 c. 0 . .. ..9 I. _ 9 I 0 . .... . 9 910 .... . 9 .9 .v .0 A. . .0- . . 99 . . . a ._ .0. . . .2 .. ....-- 9 9 9 I . _ . .0 99.. .. . . n .9 . . . _ A .. 9 . .1 9.9.. .. .9 . 9 .99 . ... l . . . .. .. . . . O- 9 . . 1. _ .. I 0 9 C 9 9.! .I I . 9 . l 9 9 o . 199 _. 9 9‘09: 94..., 'v ... ..I . .5 . 9'9... .9111'9199“..9979r..>9 9 . . .9 . 9 99; 9.:9599 . . . 9 9 . .49 49.: 9.91....99. . 9. 9 I .. . 9. 9.9. . . . . I. . or tn: 4.. r... .9 n o 9 .. .. 9.9.999... 9 .. 9. . .. .. .. . . . .... ......9 l9. 9 9. _ .. .9. 0 .. . . .. ... v9.4..49..9. . . . . . 9. ..l: . . . . ... . .f. v . 9 .. . .9 v.9... J . . .. . . . .- . .. _. .....zryrfm . 9.. . 9 . ... . I 0.9 0 ... 9 _ A . ...: n.- .. 9...9. ‘P.‘:". 04 ’ . o .. 9. I 1.09. 6010110.. 9 .— 9 _ . . .. I .. . . ...99 ’O’O'I .2 i .. .. 9 . 9.. 9. . :4... 9‘0. 9 00.. f9 ‘9. . 1 . . . f . 9. . o.......a. .900011001.‘ . 9. I _. ._ .9 9. . . .. .yl9.012. 9 I'd . . . . . o . . (9 . .9 9 .....0.._.99. o . 91.9 -.9oav0'004 Q91 u ..o . . ..J .x .. 9 .0.);....P..O..099.‘..t{'00 I o 9 . n . .99.... .0190.I4.._la. . o 90.90.91. . 9.: . 4 9 . . . 1. .9. ‘9 ..L99.|—9' .9 9900...... ..‘a’I‘LdIY o o . .11. I. J I r04.. .9 n . 0.. r.'o.10 0.. A 9 . . 9 9I ._ 9v. .. f.9.9... PL..I...9.. . 0;.) 94’...“ . .. . 9 . .o. 9 .. .o .I .7.I:.Iv.9 .9 9.0 ’00;f1.l.4 I... . v . .. ... . . 9 9 . I ..9 .._. .0........9l!0.9.9 .r. .r..."-,- ... . . . .. . ... r. .9 . .(. . 9 0.¥9._1|0. o . .9 . 9 9 . .9 9 ...!o..L-ov.. 0‘. v'r9..UPo . _ . . . _ . .5: o 49 - .4: . . . I a .9. 9 . o. 5.. .o 9 9 . .. 0.9 [cu-99. . 0:0. a . .. v 99!. ...: - 9..v0 I .. .u. v n . 9 . . . .0 . .9 o... . .9I.I.o.o'09. (I .l. 9 . n. . a 9.00 . 3 4 . . . 9 9 9 :9. r 91..) .. 9.? . n .u o . 9 9 . . 0 . ... I 9r . O 099 . .9 It. . . . 9 . . . I .. . 9o ’ .09..l 9 990.9 ...-... 9999 9. . I I I . 9 . . . .09. .r. 9.99 9 . .... .. a 9 . . 9 9o .9 9 . a 9.4 .v II 0 nl.. .. I . 9.JI - . I... 00 n a a.» . .9. 99.0.9. . .can l .0 I 0'). l I 9 9 o . 9 J I . w . 9 .3 ‘ol 9.. I I I. V v . . . . ... v 9 . . . . . . 9 o..- .. . 9 9. 9. J. .. . a. . a. .. . 0 v 9 . . .9 I v 9 r .10 I . u v 0 A 9 .0 99. _ . . . . I _ 9 I v t 9 . O A l 9 M a . . . o. I ‘ 9 I ' luv -u n | . . a 9 90.9 .r 0.7 1 In 19.0.. I. v 9 . 9 I a . I It .9 ' I 99' ...l.. . D A . 9 .9 . . t . 1:0 9 I out: I n . 9. v .99- 0 o A. 9 l 9 l A 9 -.09 _ a I. P: o O 9" o O 0 I. 9 o. . 9 I o « ... ..I 9. . V.. 9 n . .. . .. ... 9.. 1+ o. .104 . . . 99 . o . I 9- . 0 l . I. _. o 9 .- 9 . . . . . . . ... . . .. . . 9 o . I” n »o . . 7.0 9 I .9 -' .‘ a 9 . I I 9 ~ O . A O 0 . A . 0 I '.l91 . .0 I . . p l 0 D O C. I ‘ 0 a 9 l o . 9 . . v a... . . . . . 9 .a . o . .0 9‘. ‘ 1 0 I. Q I I D n 0 ...l I . . . u 9 0 t . u ‘ 0. 9 O c 1". . 0 I . . . . ’ . . I: II! .0 _ I ‘00 .l . 91.9.9 9 . 0 III . I l . v 1 o .. .9 y . .. 0 (I '9 .. a I a, . t v I ' . .9 - o ..v I. . . . r- I I ¢ . . . o v. . . l 0‘ . . . I. .. o . .. .. 9: .. 0 on I . 1. I . . Of " l V 9' 9 u . O . 9 . u {I .I . O 0 b - I I D .99 In ' .0 I . . I n a . l y I I ll. _ O. I ' '0- l I A I - . 0 . II . 4‘ U ..o . at o 9 . . I y . . . . O 9\.O‘ o ' D . ‘0‘. I I v .. u a . o n O I..P 9' I l . . I I O _ - ‘ I . ‘ . . . . ) -..! 9 9.4).. o 1 a a. In". . I. . I I. v \I n . . . 9 I xl - 9 O . O S . - . .' . I o I 01 I . to v .. l .. t v . I -01. .l b 0 \ O . I I I . ‘ I.- .. - _ O V . _ 91.: . p '0. . ..l.. 2 9 o . . 96 0' . , 0.. .9. 9.1 00-... J . . . .9 . O . Q v0.9-9.0...0000. . 910099.999... a 90.99 o .0.Oo9‘o9>09. . ...0.D._ L’nOJJY I LIBRARY Midfigan State UI: iversity W *— , 5-5 M "4;- ‘4‘... .f‘h a... . .x WM . ,# . - —_ . ‘ _ . H_..... ' " " ABSTRACT THE AGRICULTURAL CORSERVATION PROGRAM'S COST SHARE ASSISTANCE TO SIZE RANKED FARMS: A DESCRIPTION 0? RE TIVE PROPORTIONS The distribution of benefits derived from public expenditures has frequently been a program objective itself, or at least, an equity constraint on public investment decisions. This study is a descriptive analysis of the Agricultural Conservation Program (ACP) payment distribution among size ranked recipient farms. This study provides (1) emperically derived Lorenz curves of the cumulative percentage distribution of ACP payments for 1964 in relation to size ranked farms, and (2) Gini concentration ratios that sum- marize the Lorenz curve relationships. It is believed that with this analysis program managers and policy analysts may be better informed regarding distri- butional aspects of this program and their policy implications. Through more than 60 specific practices, ACP is intended to (l) restore and improve soil fertility, (2) reduce erosion caused by wind and water, and (3) protect and improve water for agricultural use. Operating through state and county conservation committees, the federal government provides funds for a specified portion of adOption cost for approved conservation practices. The prOportion of a farmer's out-of-pocket costs financed through federal funds generally averages 50 per cent, although allowances may be higher if the local committee receives approval. Through this mechanism of economic incentives, farmers are induced to adopt conservation practices which, presumably, lead to achievement of program objectives. The study provides a capsule summary of the operations and historical funding levels for ACP. The distribution of ACP direct payments among size ranked farms for 1964 was displayed on two geographic levels; first on a national basis, and secondly on a state-by-state basis. In each case, the payment distributions were analyzed by participating farms (existing participants) and all farms (maximum eligiblcs). It was found that 1964 AC? payments were concentrated somewhat among larger participating farms. A higher concentration was found among larger farms when all potential eligibles were considered, thus suggesting that non- participants generally had smaller farms--at least for 1964. Selected regional differences were found in the 1964 payment distribution. The Southeastern States, for example, consistently demonstrated a higher con- centration of payments among larger farms than what was the case for Western States. The study included a brief assessment of program participation over time. It was found that the number of participants over the five years from 1959 through 1964 was twice the amount for 1959 alone--even though the program funding remained about constant. It would seem that monies were disbursed in rotating fashion from year to year among farmer beneficiaries. A major problem encountered in this study was the lack of data on con- servation needs for farmland by size of farm. In the absence of this infor- mation, it was difficult to determine whether or not ACP payments are distri- buted among eligible participants due to conservation needs or some alternative rationale. To try to answer this question, the cost share distribution was related to farmland on participating farms by size of farm. Even with the data difficulties, it was clear that smaller farms were receiving a greater PrOportion of payments than the proportion of farmland under their control. This finding is a startling contrast to the earlier analysis of payments to farms. The crucial question then became: Why should ACP payments be distributed more than prOportionately to farmland on smaller farms? A comparison of the payment distribution for ACP to other selected commodity programs provided some insight. It was found that the Agricultural Conservation Program was something of an anomaly compared to these Other agricultural programs. ACP payments were distributed much more proportionately among participants than any of the other programs considered. It would seem that ACP monies were distributed more based on the existence of the farm as an entity rather than the acreage, or lack of acreage, under its control. Joint consideration of the comparison of ACP to other agricultural programs and the large number of ACP participants over time, leads to the inference that the Agricultural Conservation Program has played a significant political role in addition to or in spite of the stated objectives of soil and water conservation. he study suggests that ACP has been used as a mechanism for gaining widespread political support for agricultural programs generally. THE AGRICULTURAL CONSERVATION PROGRAM'S COST SHARE ASSISTANCE TO SIZE RANKED FARMS: A DESCRI TION OF RELJTIVE PROPORTIONS BY Jth Herbert Stierna A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of i£S"EP OF SCIENCE Department of Agricultural Economics 1970 1 Ni. _ - Y “ n _ CA ACKhOw’LaDuMEkTS The author wishes to express his thanks to several people who assisted and advised him in the course of this study. Dr. James T. Bonnen, Professor of Agricultural Economics, provided thoughtful guidance and assistance throughout much of this study. The author wishes to express his gratitude to Dr. Bonnen for encouragement on this study and on the author's long-term professional objectives. Dr. Harry Brainard and Dr. Milton Steinmuller contributed to the study through raising important questions regarding application of research findings to policy deliberations. They also guided the author in selected courses at Michigan State University. The Michigan State University Computer Center and Mrs. Carolyn Thomas provided computer and programming assistance on the data tabulations required for this study. The author's wife, Ruth Ellen Stierna, deserves special acknowledgment for her patience and understanding during the long course of this investigation. ii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Chapter I. II. III. IV. V. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Objectives Approach Selection of Indicators Analytical Methodology Data Analysis THE AGRICULTURAL CONSERVATION PROGRAM . Conservation Needs Incentives Program Vechanics Fund Disbursement Trends in Program Assistance Program Practices APPROACH AI‘D PETFLOUOLOGY o o o o o o o 0 Selection of Measures Measurement of Farms Lorenz Curve The Gini Ratio Procedures THE DISTRIBUTION OF ACP PAYMENTS . . . Average Payments Per Farm Share of Payments Analysis by States ANALYSIS OF THE ACP PAYMENTS DISTRIBUTION Factors Behind Non-Participation In ACP Penetration Distribution Analysis Program Comparisons Concluding Remarks BIBLIOGRAPHY iii Page ii O\O\U'IU'IU) 10 11 11 13 19 20 21 22 23 25 26 26 26 32 38 38 39 41 49 52 55 59 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. LIST OF TABLES Trends in ACP Cost Share ASsistance: Five Year Average Annual Rates of Assistance and Partici- O pation, 1936-1964. 0 0 O O O O O O I 0 O 0 O O O O O I Regular ACP Conservation Practices . . . . . . . . . . CP Assistance by State . . . :1";- Practice Shares of 1964 Average Pa‘ment Per Partic; ating Farm for Selected Size of Farm Categories, 19 tion Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Share of 1964 ACP Total Payments Received by Each Fifth of Size Ranked Farms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Lorenz Curve of 1964 ACP Total Payments Among Size Ranked Particiiating Farms, United States . . . . Lorenz Curve of 1964 ACP Total Payments Among A11 Size Ranked Farms, united States . . . . . . . . . . . Comparative Distribution of Participating Farms by Size Class, Agricultural Conservation Program, 1964 . State Comparisons of ACP Payment Concentration Ratios Among Participating Farms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . State Comparisons of ACP Payment Concentration Ratios Among A11 Farms 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O I O O 0 I Spread of ACP Payment Concentration Ratios Among States 0 O 0 O O O O 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Comparative Distribution of Participating and Non- Participating Farms With Less Than 180 Acres of Farmland for Selected States, 1964 Agricultural Conservation Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Average Payment Per Acre of Farmland in Participating Farms by Size of Farm, United States . . . . . . . . . Average ACP Payment Per Acre of Farmland on Parti- cipating Farms by Size of Farm, 1964 Agricultural Conservation Program by State. . . . . . . . . . . . . Lorenz Curve of 1964 ACP Total Payments Among Acreages of Farmland on Size Ranked Participating Farms in the UHitéd States. 0 o o O 0 o o o o o o o O O O o o o O o ACP Payments Compared to Selected Dollar Measures by Quintile Groups and the Highest Five Per Cent fl of Farms and Farmer BeneIiCiaries . . . . . . . . . . iv Page 12 14 16 27 27 29 3O 31 33 35 36 37 43 44 46 51 LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS Figure Page 1. Theoretical Operation of ACP Cost Share Incentive Payments 0 O O O I 0 O 0 O O O I 0 O O 0 I O O O O O O I O O 9 2. Graphical Presentation of a Lorenz Curve . . . . . . . . . . . 24 3. The Relationship of Payments, Numbers of Farms, Farmland and Farm Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 ChAP R I H :11 INTRODUCTION Public policy, in the broadest sense, attempts to accomplish a social objective by directing specific actions, programs, or agencies down a determined path which, presumably, will lead to the desired end. Contro- versy surrounds some programs regarding disputed objectives, particular courses of action, or on external effects which may be associated with the action. This study is addressed to one public program that annually disburses about $200 million to promote soil and water conservation--the Agricultural Conservation Program (ACP). A descriptive analysis of the payment distri- bution among recipient farms is the central purpose of the investigation. The investigation is relevant for public policy since the distribution of program benefits is itself often a program objective and, in any case, unique equity ”constraints” seem to fall upon public investment decisions compared to decisions normally classed as private. Public investments are motivated by a social benefit accruing to the public at large with little or no expectation of monetary profit. Many of the benefits of public programs in America today cannot be measured in l ., .-. . . dollar terms. However, public programs are generally constrained by the l Theoretically, returns from a public program would be measured by the quantity of public goods demanded times the appropriate per unit value. How- ever, public goods frequently have no market prices, thus quantities demanded are influenced. Measurement of program benefits therefore is exceedingly difficult. size of potential external benefits inuring to private persons or groups. Mississippi Congressman, Jamie L. Whitten, voiced this concern over ACP's payment distribution recently during appropriation hearings for the Agri- cultural Stabilization and Conservation Service (ASCS) when he said: A few years ago, we came to recognize that the benefits of the ACP program should be diStributed widely throughout the country, and we managed to keep a $2,500 limitation on the total payment to any one person. Actually, three concerns are expressed in his statement. The first is that program benefits should be distributed widely. Secondly, geographical areas are the units over which dispersion is to be made. Thirdly, providing a dollar ceiling for payments per person is an effective (or at lease work- able) means of achieving this wide geographical distribution. In contrast, private action is usually characterized by monetary in- centives, whether they accru‘ in the long or short run. Little care or (1 interest is expressed in generating monetary externalities. The "best" private action is the one contributing the most to the firm's profits, re- gardless who else benefits. Part of the reasoning behind this apparent difference in attitude for externalities is the multiple-objective nature of public action. Further insight comes from a philosophical difference in approach. Frequently, private entities approach a problem by thin“ing in terms of product or ob- jectives. To achieve a specified objective the company decides to follow any of a number of alternative courses of action. The decision is based on u.S., Congress, House, stbcommittee of the Committee on Appropriations, Hearin3C Denartnent of Atriculeur Appropriations for 1970 9lst Con . lst j 3 ‘ J L ‘ i ’ ’ Sess., 1969, p. 164. effectiveness and efficiency. In sharp contrast, however, many public of- ficials think in terms of actions, e.g., if this or that action is taken, what will be the result? Will it meet a need? Will it have other effects? Decisions may or may not be related to effectiveness, efficiency, or equity. The anticipated beneficiaries of public investment in soil and water conservation practices (exemplified by ACP) are members of the public at large. The rationale is that conservation practices provide direct benefits to downstream areas that do not directly support the costs of these practices. ACP overcomes this problem by the federal government bearing the portion of costs that generate public benefits. Mississippi Congressman, Jamie L. Whitten, expressed this general philo- SOphy during recent appropriation hearings regarding ACP. He described the purpose of the program as insuring that farms do not wash down creeks and natural river courses. The beneficiaries he identifies are "ourselves and posterity” while discounting the desire for the federal government to be look- ing after farmers specifically.l Objectives This study is intended to shed light on one specific facet of public investment in natural resources-~the distribution of 1964 Agricultural Conser- vation Program payments among size ranked farms. Since farms are the immediate beneficiaries, it may be useful to determine what distribution exists for pay- ments. The intent of this Study was not to analyze either the effectiveness or efficiency of the Agricultural Conservation Program. Accordingly, conclusions on cost effectiveness or even success in achieving objectives cannot be found on these pages. The thesis addresses the question of equity--but in a descriptive role as opposed to a normative evaluation. The objectives of this study do not necessarily suggest that ACP pay- ments should be distributed completely in accordance with the number of farms in a specified size range or to a size ranked distribution of farms. To do so would neglect the effectiveness and efficiency of the conservation program. Differences in conservation needs can be expected to exist among farms and if a quota system were deve10ped to allocate cost share monies solely on the basis of farm size, it is unlikely that the program would be most effective. How- ever, investigation of payment distributions should provide program managers and policy decision makers with additional information for evaluation of alternative means of obtaining social objectives--especially in light of the growing concern over distributional effects of public programs. The benefits under consideration in this analysis are limited to the direct payments from the federal disbursing agency to individual farm reci- pients under the Agricultural Conservation Program. It does not consider the further benefits that may be of economic importance to the farm operator or to the processor of agricultural products, or to the ultimate consumer of such products. Further, the benefits of flood control, drainage, irrigation, soil maintenance are not considered in any way. The central and exclusive objective of the analysis is how the actual payments under the ACP program are distributed over participating and all potential farms when such farms are ranked by a size classification. U1 The approach used to accomplish these objectives was to develop rela- tionships between farms and payments and then to compare aetual to proportion- ate distributions. Selection of Indicators Measurement of pa\men “spread” among recipients can be based on several alternative indicators or descriptors of value. Total payments were selected for use in this study. Since data were not available, analysis of payments by specific practice was not possible. The final measure selected for use was the dollar amount of gross ACP cost share payments.1a2 Farms were defined in accordance with established Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service procedures and are not compatible with the Census of Agriculture definition.3 Farms were treated two ways in the analysis. First, the payment distri- bution was related to only the farms actually receiving some federal assistance for conservation purposes under ACP. Participating farms are those farmers who have adopted, in the specified year, approved conservation practices. The second treatment related the ACP payment distribution to all ASCS defined fa ms--participators and non-participators alike. A11 farms would be the maximum pocential extent of program participation. This provides informa- tion on program participation as it affects payment distributions. lThe naval stores conservation reserve program and the emergency conserva- tion measures that are treated separately in ASCS records and receive separate appropriations have not been considered in this study. 2U.S., Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service, Agricultural Conservation Program, 1964 Frequency Distribution of Farms and Farmland, (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1966). 3Farms are defined by ASCS as those farm units that are eligible for and which apply for marketing quota and acreage allotment programs. In contrast, the census definition is based on dollar sales and acres of land area. Analitical Methodology Methodologies for the measurement of dispersion vary depending on the precise purpose of the analysis. In this study, Lorenz curves and Gini con- centration ratios were used. The reason for selecting this approach was two- fold: l. The results would be reasonably comparable to other work undertaken by Bonnen and Boyne and thus allow a few inferences to be drawn by program comparisons.1 2. A simple quantitative index of dispersion can be derived from these procedures and thus permit subsequent statisti— cal analysis. The methodology entails a comparative proportionality analysis between payments and farms--each ranked by size groups. Data Analysis Results from the computed Lorenz curves and Gini ratios were analyzed for national and state levels. Factors which might explain the state-to- state variation in payment distribution were identified and analyzed. Finally, U normative inferences ar< drawn from the descriptive information analyzed. Com- r. parisons were made with other similar studies recently made on other public programs. While the study considered only one direct payment program, it is con- ceivable that similar analyses can be applied to other federal programs. Ex- plicit recognition must be made, however, of the potential sacrifice in strict program efficiency that possibly may result if resource develOpment programs are constrained in any way by distributional considerations. 1 . - .-. . See Chapter V for the speCitic studies conducted by these researchers. CllAPTER II THE AGPICULTURAL CONSERVATION PROGRAM The intended purposes of the Agricultural Conservation Program can be summarized as: (l) restoration and improvement of soil fertility, (2) re- duction of erosion caused by wind and water, and (3) protection and improve- ment of water resources for agricultural purposes. These purposes are aimed at the agricultural seCtor as direct beneficiary but also to the general public through reduced flooding sedimentation loads in waterways, and the like. This chapter describes the program under investigation. Conservation NCGO Erosion problems and their associated ramifications were found to be substantially less on land having protective vegetative cover. This finding, together with inferences on Splash accentuated soil erosion, provided a poten- tial avenue to help control the land deterioration and erosion problems pre- valent during the 1930's.1 The problem was to initiate widespread use of available erosion control techniques. The Soil Conservation and Domestic Allotment Act authorized the federal government to share farmers' out-of- pocket costs for applying approved conservation practices on their land. The government would also provide the farmer technical assistance in analyzing the conservation practices best suited to his farm. s Prentice-Hall to stimulate soil l H . __ See J.n. Stalii ngs, Sooil Conservation (Englewood Clitr Inc., 1957), for a review of me historical setting that was and water conservation e the U.S. ECL'TU'IVCS The program achieves the adoption of conservation practices through a cost share incentive package. Tconomic theory would suggest that if profit maximization were the central motivation behind a farmer's decisions, con- servation practices would be adOpted as apprOpriate for his farm until the marginal value product of the practice about equaled the marginal factor cost.l (See point P on Figure 1.) If the government paid for a specified share of practice cost, the cost per practice unit would decrease, shifting the marginal factor cost line to a lower level. The theoretical case would suggest that more conservation measures would be used by the farmer until the increment of value again equals the increment of costs. In the diagram, practice use would increase to OR from OP. This theoretical simplification, however, should be adjusted to consider the multiple products that can be obtained from the various conservation practices. Interdependence with other farm resources should also be considered. Time dimensions would yield real world insight into incentives for practice adoption. For example, establishment of enduring vegetative cover yields the benefit of the vegetative crop as a product, a subsequent year's increment to a small grain crop output from any added soil improvement or fertility reten- tion caused by the conservation practice, and reduced flooding sedimentation in areas below the protected crepland. Costs, however, would include Opportu- nities foregone as well as out-of-pocket outlays for the conservation practice plus value of the farmer's labor and use of other farm resources. The real dynamics of the program indicate that the simple economic incentive descrip- tion is far from complete. 1Assuming that product and resource prices are constant. in". I [I'll I III r II: III II. II Ii ity red— ..C a G. G Operation — icai 1 l ineoret ACP COSt S‘ According to Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service adminis- trators, many participau ng farmers lose money in the short run.1 The returns from conservation practices are not usually visible within the first two or three years. Many praCtices are heavily oriented towards long-run returns--such as those labeled as having permanent and enduring benefits. Increased farmer financial risks sometimes are also involved in practice adoption.2 These problems, coupled with the economic and physical constraints facing the various types, sizes, and classes of farms may well pose an implied barrier to wide- spread distribution of program benefits. Program.Mechanics The program is developed and administered at the local level. County committees, composed of resident farmers, formulate plans under the technical guidance of state ASCS groups involved in ACP.3 Plans are then submitted to state offices and subsequently to federal authorities for review. ASCS then formulates a national program and submits this for congressional review and authorization. Finally state and local groups develOp their programs within the structure of the national program. The county committees are responsible for field administration of the program. Through this system of operations, national and state specialists in ACP have little control over the farms or farmers likely to receive cost share assistance. Local committees have the final decision. Little, if any consi— deration is explicitly made for farm size during the approval process. lU.S., Congress, House Subcom 1itte e oft the Committee on Appropriations, Hearings, Department of Agr' ation.'; for 1967, 89th Cong., 2d Sess., 1966, pp. 295—298. Cited he eafter a House Subcommittee of the Committee on ApprOpriations, USDA Hearings f r 6 2lbid., 295. .. 1f - -;-r\ A“ “A 54... LL. :.'J,JL\J.)L.L (‘1' LL 1‘" 3 Au bx. # —.Am r n O 3 . . . . . . . The formald deSienation is the Agricultural Stabilization and Conserva- tion county commit tee e. Fund Disbursements Program funds are distributed among states generally in accordance with their conservation needs, except for a minimum allotment formula built into the authorizing legislation. Funds are then distributed among counties by state administrators--presumably based on needs measured by the composition and extent of county committee requests. The local committees then disburse funds to participants based on the specific practice and the relevant cost share rate. The rate generally averages 50 per cent of out-of-pocket costs although allowances can reach 80 per cent in some states and counties. The local committee determines the specific rate applicable to each participating farm. Trends in Program Assistance The fast acceptance of ACP concepts and approved practices is discernable from the long-term trends in program dollar assistance. During the first year of operation, 1936, more than $60 million was spent to finance part of the costs of conservation practice adoption. More than twice that amount was spent five years later--during 1941. The total amount of assistance has leveled since the close of World War II. Table 1 presents a summary of major program indica- tors since l936 by five-year averages. The number of participating farms reached its peak during the war years. The general downward trend is indicative of either a decline of farmer interest, the achievement of some of the conservation objectives of the program, or the long-run exodus of farmers from agriculture. A mathematical truism of the faster rate of decrease in participating farms than in total assistance is the increased payments per farm. This ratio increased at 8.8 per cent annually over the quarter century period. 12 ucmEcuo>OO .m.D ”COuwcflzmmzv mowumwumum Hmuoufisofipwd .ousuasowuw< mo ucmEoumaoo .m.: .Eumw wcwummflofluuma co wcmfidono mo ouom pod mucozhmm .Ehmm wcwummfiowuwmm pom mucoEAwm U n .Amuwoz msowum> .oowwmo wcfiuCWHm ”Eoyw woungoom mm. a who< pom mucoahmh U :‘illll. mmF< xHh mo.awH mam.aa. me.H wow.mH~ seaH-HeaH ma.mas mqa.NeH moo.H Haa.NHN coaslamas mm.on Mao.amm awa.H amm.saH amas-amas o..mm Hes.sam woe.m NHH.NNN omosioaafi am.mm wae.eem sew.m smm.mom meafl-saafl sa.mm aofi.mmm ame.m was.qa sessions. uslmmwaat. -gixmmmmayopowww:za mmuwmm.pppwHV gmepmwmwyn- Aowmso>< pWWW!m~ pEpmm pom mapmm mcwumdmomuumm Ilepmh mcwum we mu< pmfismom mcwpmm musmEzmm co @CmHQOMU nwuumg mo HOLEDZ cosmumwmm< LI. mqomanomofl H mam/a. I I'll-OI lnl I- .ZOHPm mUZ00 .0.0 H00000220020 0002 0000000 2m mumessm Emewoum COHum>Homcou Hmusuaoofiuwd .mow>uom c00u0>uomcoo use acmuwnwfiwnwum 0025025002w< ..m.:m mea 20 00300.00" 17 00.0 00.0 02.0 00.50 00.00 00.5 0020002 00 20.5 00.0 00.0 00.00 02.0 00.00 020000022 20 00.0 -- 00.0 02.0 05.00 00.00 0202002> 0002 00 02.2 00.0 50.2 00.00 50.0 00.00 0000000002 00 -- -- -- 50.0 50.00 00.00 0000202 c2002> 00 00.0 -- 00.22 00.02 00.00 00.20 0202002> 50 20.0 00.0 00.0 00.0 00.50 00.00 000000> 00 00.0 00.0 -- 00.55 00.02 00.0 2000 00 20.0 20.02 02.02 50.02 02.00 05.02 00000 00 00.0 -- 00.0 00.0 00.02 20.05 000000000 00 05.0 20.0 00.0 20.22 00.00 50.00 000000 00000 00 0 -- 00.02 05.00 00.00 00.00 00220000 00000 20 02.5 -- 00.00 00.0 00.02 00.00 000202 00000 00 50.0 20.0 -- 00.0 00.00 00.00 0020 000000 00 00.2 -- 02.0 00.22 00.02 00.50 0200>2000000 00 00.0 00.0 50.2 00.00 00.22 00.00 000000 50 -- 50.0 00.0 00.52 00.00 02.00 00000200 00 05.2 20.0 02.0 00.00 00.22 50.00 0220 00 00.2 20.52 00.52 00.5 00.20 00.00 000000 20002 00 20.0 -- 00.02 02.20 05.00 00.00 00220000 20002 00 00.0 -- 00.0 05.22 00.0 20.05 0000.302 00 50.0 00.0 22.0 00.00 50.00 02.2 000002 302 20 00.2 00.0 00.00 02.00 02.2 05.00 200000 302 00 20.2 00.0 00.0 00.0 20.00 00.00 002200000 302 00 u: 1| :1 02.0w mm.02 wH.q mvm>oz mm Aucou uemv 0 0 0 0 0 < 0002 00000 0000 00000 dame oowuomum Kn mocmumwmm< mo sewusfimuumwm wwzc02200:nm m2mmmmZOD A< qH mqmOU .moD Nwsoswoum hoofi Empwoum cofium>womcoo HmHSDHSowuw< .oow>uom cowum>uomcoo mam acmummwfiwtmum amu3uH3000w< ..m.: "cobwcHsmmzv pcmHEpwm 0cm mEpmm «o COADSbHsbme m. 00H.0 aa0.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 a00.~ 000.0 500.0 000.0 0:050»: mm 000.H 500.0 A00.0 000.0 H00.0 000.0 00~.H 000.4 000.0 000000003 00 000.0 0a0.0 00H.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 N0A.0 000.0 000.~ 00000p0> 0003 00 500.0 aa0.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 N00.H 000.0 000.0 000.0 0000000003 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 HHH.H 000.0 RNH.H -- -- 000.0 0000000 sawpa> 00 000.0 00a.0 000.0 050.0 000.0 000.0 00A.0 000.0 000.4 masawua> a0 000.0 0N0.0 000.0 000.0 0a0.0 050.0 0a0.0 050.0 000.0 scosps> 00 000.0 0Ao.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 ~00.H mam.a 000.0 0H0.N :00: 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 0mx.0 Na0.0 ~00.H 000.H 000.0 00x00 00 ms0.0 000.0 000.0 0am.0 000.0 N00.0 000.0 000.0 NON.H 000000000 00 000.0 0HH.0 AHN.0 000.0 000.0 0am.0 000.0 000.0 0N0.0 muosmm 00000 00 0aa.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 0a0.0 050.H 000.0 000.H 000.0 acAHOpmo 00000 00 000.0 -- 000.0 000.0 500.0 000.H 000.0 000.H 000.0 ecmamH 000:0 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 0N0.H 000.0 004.N 0000 000000 00 000.H 000.0 500.0 505.0 00H.H 000.0 00m.H ema.a 000.0 macm>asmccsm 00 000.0 a00.0 0H0.0 000.0 000.H 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 sowsso am aa0.0 00H.0 amm.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 aa0.H N0A.H A00.N msoamaxo 0m A00.H 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 H0N.H 000.0 050.0 0000 00 000.0 000.0 ama.0 000.0 0a0.0 000.0 000.0 050.0 000.0 000x00 supoz 00 000.0 000.0 ANN.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 aa0.0 005.0 000.0 00000000 00002 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 Amm.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 00a.m are» 202 00 ama.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 500.0 000.0 000.0 050.0 000x02 302 00 N00._ 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.H NAN.H 000.0 000.0 000.0 000000 302 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 aa0.0 000.0 ~00.H 000.0 00000020: 302 00 000.0 0a0.0 000.0 NAH.H 000.0 0a0.0 000.0 00m.m 000.0H 000>oz 00 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 005.0 000.a 000.0 500.0 000.0 mammpnoz AN 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 000.0 00A.0 0000002 0N 00000 peso 000 0000-000H 000-000 000-000 000-00H 0AH-000 000-00H 00H 0502 0000 0000 uses: 00000 oumum ammuom CWV mommmflu omwm Emma 00:0000mm--0fi mamas LORENZ CURVE OF 1964 ACP T TAL PAYMENTS AMONG ACREAGES OF FARMUND 0N SIZE RANKED PARTICIPATING FARMS FARMS IN .LHE UNITED STATESa PrOportion of Farmland Prgportion of Payments Lower 10% 29.3 Lower 20% 48.3 Lower 30% 62.8 Lower 40% 75.4 Lower 50% 84,4 Higher 50% 15.6 Higher 40% 9.2 Higher 30% 5.7 Higher 20% 3.8 Higher 10% 1.9 Gini concentration ratio 0.458 aComputed from: U.S., Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service, Agricultural Conservation Program, 1964 Frequency Distribution Of Farms and Farmland (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1966), pp. 8, 10. 47 demonstrated that ACP payments tended to go to larger farming units in greater proportion than what farm numbers alone would suggest. The data presented here can be explained in a number Of ways. First, conservation needs might be concentrated on the smaller farms throughout the country, thus the prOpor- tion of payments going to smaller farms might reasonably be expected to ex- ceed that implied by quantities of farmland alone. Secondly, the ACP program might be one mechanism for attempting to redistribute income towards smaller farmers. A third possible explanation represents a more likely interpretation of these contrasting relationships between payments and farm size. The Agricultural Conservation Program may serve as an instrument to provide at least some agricultural subsidy to everyone with a farm, thus building a large constituency in support Of agricultural payment programs in general as well as ACP specifically. If this interpretation is correct, then the distribution Of farmland would not be very important to program decisions; it would simply be a by-product that would result after certain program decisions had been implemented. To explore this point further we need to lOOk at payments, farms, and farmland simultaneously by farm size groups, realizing that farmland acts only as a loose proxy for conservation needs. Figure 3 graphically depicts the interrelationships Of these four variables. The diagram is composed of four separate but interrelated curves. The top half contains a graphic presentation of the Lorenz curves Of payments re- lated to participating farms (on the right) and acres of farmland on partici- pating farms (on the left). Since payments are distributed more than propor- tionately to farmland, the Lorenz curve on the left rises above the diagonal. The inverse is shown on the right for payments distributed among participating farms. 48 ’IOO (D p. Z “J E > 30 E L O ._ 50 Z UJ O I :3 40 20 PP-III%:% i%%#§%4§% I00 00 60 40 20 0 4o 60 80 I00 PERCENT OF FARMLAND ON «00 PERCENT OF PARTlCIPATING FARMS PARTICIPATING <|4° FARMS f3 oo OQID .000 .0 ..00000 .000 .0 .A0000 .000000 00000000 0000 III] I»: ”scuwcflfimmzv >000>om Henna co OOMmmHEEoo >0000>©< HmCO0umz 0.0c6000oum 0:0 0n uuommm < .mouwum mouwcs 0:0 :0 muuo>om Hmunm :.0Emuwoum 800m .m.: wouoofiom Eoum 000MOCOm mo 50003b000009 oLH: .cOccom .8 00800 p .0000 .0 .00000 .000000000 .0 .02 .Hqu .Ho> .000EOcoom 500m 00 amcusom 2.0050H5000w< aw c00usnwuumwa.ofiooaH 0:0 50 mowcmfio: .mfihom .z ©0>moo .< xflccoaa< .H manmfi Eoum Um>000b mmuswwmn .< xwwcoaa<.ffimofibme Eoum wo>0uob 00030000 0.0N w.oq q.HN m.mH 0.HH 0.0 omapmm amoeuoafi< mooE< mucoezmm cowmuo>0a c0000 comm 0.0N m.mm m.oH N.NH m.0 m.c meumm ucoeuofia< wcoE< mucoshmm 500000>Hm 00033 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 000000000 0000002 Epmm mom muoapmm wooE< oEOOcH homo: H0008 m.m~ 0.0m m.NN H.wH m.NH m.oH bmsumm ws00000oH000m wooem m0coemmm mo< 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 000000 000 00000 00000000 000 Nm £0000 Lumwm cumwm LuMHm cuwwm 00H umocwwm Lawson mfivw0z .ccooom 00304 mmHm~m HmmIUH: HIE 92¢ mmaoxu quHZHDO >m mmm3m02 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 00000000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 000000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000000000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00002002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 00002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 000000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 20000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 000002 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0000000 0mm. o.mm ®.©m n.0m 0.Hm 0.00 0.0m 0.mm H.®H m.Om 0.m mamzmaom 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 000000;0 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0000000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 00000000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 000000< 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 .00000 000. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0 0000000 00002 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 00000 0:00 002m0: 002w0: 002m0m momm0: 002m0m 00309 0030A 00300 Hosoq hmzog mEm wm Qm>Hmomm mezmzwqm MHow .m.D oOH am can .AoooH "acuw205003v 0:00Epwm 050 0800p mo c00u5n00u00a mucosvoum 0000 .Ewuwoum c0000>000coo 0003005000w< .000>00m sewum>ummcoo 0:0 :00u0000flnwum 0003003000w< ..m.: £0 0000 500w 00050500 0 00m. m.NN 0.0m “.mm 0.0m 0.00 0.0m w.mm 0.00 m.00 m.m mmumum 00005: 000. m.m0 0.0m 0.00 w.mq n.0m 0.00 0.0m 0.0m 0.MH q.m mc0onz 0m0. 0.00 w.ww 0.Nq 0.0m N.0m w.o¢ 0.0m w.mm o.m0 0.0 50mco0003 00m. 0.00 0.Nm m.m¢ 0.0m N.oo w.mm 0.0m 0.0m o.m0 0.0 00:0w00> 0003 000. 0.m0 m.mm 0.0m 0.00 «.mm 0.00 ~.qm m.0N m.©0 N.w :Oumc0zmmz «mm. m.mm 0.00 N.wm «.mo 0.00 m.0m 0.0m 0.0m m.N0 m.o 00cm000 c0w00> New. 0.0m 0.0m 0.mm N.co 0.00 0.0m ¢.mm m.00 0.00 w.m 0020m00> mmH. 0.00 0.0m o.mq 0.mm 0.00 0.0m 0.0N 0.0N 0.00 0.0 ucoEuw> mwm. 0.NN N.0m c.0m 0.No «.mm 0.0N 0.NN q.w0 0.00 m.m Smu: new. «.mm N.0m ¢.Nm m.0m 0.00 0.0m 0.mm w.w0 0.00 N.m 00x08 mqm. 0.0m 0.0m 0.0m 0.0m 0.00 0.Nm q.mm 0.0m 0.N0 m.o 000005009 00m. m.mm 0.00 0.0m 0.No 0.00 m.0m 0.0m 0.00 m.0 N.q muoan Lusom 0mm. m.0m 0.00 w.0m m.qo 0.Nn m.0m N.ON n.00 0.0 o.m 00000000 50200 mom. w.0m 0.0m 0.0m 0.00 0.00 0.0m 0.0N 0.0m «.m0 m.m 050000 mwozm mom. 0.0m 0.N< m.mm 0.0m N.qo w.mm 0.0N m.m~ m.00 N.0 000m Gunman 00m. 0.00 0.mm m.wq 0.0m 0.00 0.0m m.0m m.om N.N0 0.0 0050>0>0scmm 000. 0.00 0.0m 0.mq 0.00 m.oo 0.0m 0.0m w.qm 0.00 0.0 cowouo 000. 0.00 N.0N 0.00 m.0m 0.00 0.0m N.0m 0.0N 0.00 m.0 050:00x0 000. w.00 0.0m N.oq 0.mm «.mo 0.0m 0.0N m.mm 0.00 0.0 00:0 MON. m.w~ o.mm m.0¢ m.¢m o.mo 0.0m m.0m N.0N 0.00 o.m muoxmo zuuoz com. m.qm 0.00 «.mm m.oo 0.00 o.mm 0.0N o.NN N.m0 0.0 02000000 suuoz Now. 0.00 0.0m 0.00 0.0m 0.00 0.0m n.0N 0.0m N.00 m.m 200» 302 000mm $00 Now Nmm Noe Mom Now $00 Nmm New N00 wumum 0:00 005w0: 00£w0m uwzwwz 00£w0m umsw0m 00300 00300 00300 00300 00300 vaCHucoouuH m4m<fi 57 mmw. o.mm m.5m 0.5m m.mm m.m> m.mm m.mH o.mH m.m H.« coaxcz 302 own. m.mm o.mm m.m> m.Hm ¢.«m m.mH m.mH w.oa m.m H.m ammgon 3&2 awn. >.mm m.¢v m.aw H.mm m.N~ m.mm m.mH m.ma 5.5 m.m vgflgmmsam 3&2 own. o.mm m.m¢ m.m© H.m~ ~.ow m.ma o.mH m.ma m.> ~.m m©m>oz awn. m.mm m.m¢ H.Hm m.mm $.95 m.mm m.mH m.mH m.w ¢.m axmsgpo7 mum. m.mm o.n« m.ow m.>o «.mn m.¢m ~.NH «.ma m.¢ ~.H “:59203 N~¢. m.Hm m.flm m.mm H.55 ¢.¢m w.ma o.HH m.m m.m m.m HgZOWmMy com. o.Hw ¢.mm H.m5 m.mm m.mm ¢.>H o.¢a m.HH 0.5 m.n figgflmmwmmwy Nam. ~.mm ©.¢¢ ¢.Hm m.mm m.m> H.mm H.ma m.HH >.m m.m mpOmozzfly mmw. «.wm m.mm >.mm m.¢w m.m> m.Hm o.~H m.¢H m.m m.¢ cammgofly Haw. m.mm H.m¢ 0.50 m.¢> >.mm m.Hm 0.5H m.¢H m.m m.v mppamsgo.wmay paw. m.mm H.mm «.mm m.mp m.mm ~.¢H >.HH m.m m.m m.m wgmazgag mwm. m.mm m.m¢ ¢.Hm ¢.mm m.mw m.mm N.©H w.ma m.m m.m QCHm: mwm. H.>¢ m.«w ¢.~> $.05 o.mm 0.5H m.mH m.HH m.m ¢.m mzwflmflsog mam. w.om m.w¢ w.mw w.a~ m.mm m.mm m.ma ”.ma «.m ~.w zxozpcam mmw. ”.mm $.ov m.¢m m.a~ m.mp m.om w.ma m.m m.« ¢.m mamcmm can. m.©m m.¢¢ m.am w.Nm m.mm H.vm H.ma H.ma H.© H.m won mow. m.¢m m.mm H.o> n.55 H.Hm m.mH H.ma m.ma m.“ m.m mamawcH fivv. m.om o.mv m.wm m.¢N m.mm m.mH ¢.ma n.0H m.m H.m mflozflHHH nan. m.mm m.o¢ m.mm m.¢m ©.mn ¢.mm m.mfi m.ma m.m >.« ogmca xwv. m.om m.fim ~.wm m.oh m.nm m.¢m ¢.mfi H.©H N.m m.¢ Hflszam fins. H.Hv 0.0m o.mm m.m> ¢.mm m.vfi ~.HH m.m m.m m.m mflmgoom mam. m.Hw ”.mm m.m~ o.mm w.mm w.ma m.ofi H.m m.m p.m mcflhoaa vow. ¢.o¢ «.mw m.mw m.mm m.mm m.wa m.HH m.m m.m o.m wgmzmfiga «>m. o.pm m.ov m.¢m m.0w m.m> m.mm m.ma m.mH H.m m.¢ psoHQQQCSOH mvm. m.mm m.nn H.m¢ m.«a H.9m m.wm ~.¢m m.mH ¢.m m.¢ ocagoHOH mmv. w.um p.50 m.m~ m.wfi m.am m.ma m.¢H H.mH m.~ ©.m mflcp0%flamn «Ho. m.a¢ m.mm m.m~ m.>» m.mw m.mH ¢.ma m.HH ».m «.m mmmzwxgd Fmo. m.m ¢.ma p.om m.¢m ¢.mm o.~¢ m.mm m.mH m.~ m.m mzoNHgd 0mm. o.nm m.mm H.N¢ ”.mn m.m© ¢.mm m.mm m.ma H.m m.« xxmaad man. ©.om n.~m m.om «.mm m.mm ~.¢H >.HH m.m m.m m.m asagmad oflgmm gofi fiom fiwm &0v &om moo Rev &wm &om &Ofi upmpm cho gozmflz mozmmm ngmflm hozmflz macaw: hmsoq gmzoq gazed mugfim mo mmEHBZHQmmE mDOHm<> mm flaw/Hmong mmrzmmawdm @3qu .mo mogvfiommm “m2xOU .m.D .oH .q .aa .AoomH “COuwCHmeZV vcmasumm wcm mEumm mo COHusnwuumao Aucosvoum «00H .Emuwoum sewum>uomcou amusuasowuw< .mow>uwm :oHum>hmmcou cam cowummwawnmum HmHSuHsoHum< ..m.: c“ muwv Eoum cwuquoo m ¢m¢. m.mm ¢.Hm H.wo m.qm m.~w m.mH n.ma q.HH 0.0 q.m moumum vmuHCD HRH. H.¢H N.mN m.mq H.0m H.Ho o.wm m.wN w.HN m.w q.m wcHEO%3 omq. 0.0m m.©q m.¢o m.~m m.om m.mH m.NH q.oH N.o H.m camcoomwz «mm. H.0N m.mq o.mm m.m© o.mm o.mm o.HN o.wH w.oH q.m chkufl> umw? mmm. w.qN m.m¢ m.H© «.mo q.om o.mm m.wH n.mH ¢.¢ m.¢ COuwcflmeB qqc. m.oq w.~m w.¢o m.wo o.mn c.0N H.HN 0.5H 0.0H m.m mQCmHmH cflwuw> ooq. o.Hm w.oq o.oo m.mm m.mn m.NN o.wH o.mH o.o m.¢ mwcwwuw> mom. N.wa m.mm n.0m m.om m.oo m.om w.o~ o.mH q.m ¢.m ucoEum> fimm. N.¢N N.oq 0.00 w.wo q.mm ©.qm n.oH ¢.©H w.o m.q 5m“: qu. m.qm w.mm H.Hm 0.05 m.¢w m.mH m.oH H.m q.m N.N mmme mmq. 0.0m m.qm H.0m H.mn m.~n m.NN o.wH o.mH o.m m.q oommmccwk omq. ©.Hm N.©q ©.qo m.Hm «.0w ©.oH w.MH w.oH o.m w.H muoxwa Lusom moo. «.mm m.mo m.Hw m.mw H.0w a.mH H.HH m.m ©.n w.m mafiaoumo :usom mom. m.NN H.@m m.mm m.oo m.Hn H.wm m.NN m.wH N.HH ©.m vcmHmH owozm qmm. H.©m N.mq o.mm q.nm m.¢o m.mm «.mm n.mm N.qH H.m oon Cuposm mmq. H.Nm o.oq o.mo H.Nm c.0w «.ma m.m~ o.NH m.m m.m mwcw>axm55mm qmm. o.nm m.©q m.¢© o.Hm c.0m o.mN m.wH w.mH m.m m.¢ cowmuo qwm. m.mm ©.mq o.mo o.m© 0.0m o.qN o.mH N.NH m.m m.m wEozmeo omq. m.mm o.mm ©.wo N.qm m.wn m.HN N.NH m.qH ©.m m.q 0w£o ohm. ~.©N o.~q o.oo o.mo H.om m.mm m.©H m.HH q.m o.N muoxma :uuoz m¢m. O.Nm «.mq H.Ho o.mo m.0m N.mN «.mw m.mH N.HH w.m mcflfioumo Luuoz mm¢. 0.5N w.oq «.mo N.Nm m.ow H.@H H.NH H.m m.m N.N xuo» Boz omumm NOH NON Nmm Noe Now Now N04 Nmm NON Nod oumum «cwo uozww: nozww: uwzww: uwzmwm umfiww: umBOA “@304 umBOA uoBOA HQBOA voscwucooauHH mAm