GETTING THE MESSAGE: FRAMING FOOD RECALL MESSAGES WITH PROSPECT THEORY TO INCREASE CONSUMER PROTECTION MOTIVATIONS By Gregory Paul Clare A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY RETAILING 2012 ABSTRACT GETTING THE MESSAGE: FRAMING FOOD RECALL MESSAGES WITH PROSPECT THEORY TO INCREASE CONSUMER PROTECTION MOTIVATIONS By Gregory Paul Clare Previous research has shown that positive and/or negative message framing is a relevant factor in influencing behavioral intentions. Recall message framing may be useful for increasing responses to high risk food product recalls targeted to consumers. This study utilized a prospect theory message framing manipulation to determine the impact of positive, negative, and control condition messages on protection motivation theory constructs in an online experimental design. The findings of the research indicate that loss framed messages demonstrate greater strength for reducing maladaptive responses to recall messages. We also found that the paths for adaptive responses to recall messages were different between the gain and loss conditions. Self-efficacy influenced adaptive responses for gain framed messages while coping and locus of control influenced adaptive responses for loss framed messages. Copyright by GREGORY PAUL CLARE 2012 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT This dissertation is dedicated to Patricia Huddleston, my guidance committee chairperson. Her patient support and direction have made the achievement of a doctoral degree possible on many levels. When I started my journey in the academy she helped nurture my development as an educator. In the ensuing years she worked to hone my skills as a researcher and to develop the patient tenacity that is required for a successful career aimed at answering the big questions that will hopefully benefit society through our research agenda. Dr. Huddleston, you have my most sincere and grateful thanks for believing in me through both the lightest and darkest times on our journey together. In addition, I would like to thank my father for his tireless support of achieving a first in our family, a graduate education culminating in a doctoral degree. Your strong belief in setting and achieving goals has always been an inspiration to me and for this grounding spirit I am grateful. Finally, I would be remiss if I did not recognize the other members of my guidance committee who provided just the right paths at the right times to lead me on my journey. Dr. Calantone, the consummate econometrician and statistician who helped assemble the nuts and bolts into a functional machine. Dr. Rifon, the theoretician who teased out the many nuances of research opportunities that the average human would surely miss along the way. Dr. Carlo, the partner and friend whose keen eye was able to dissect and classify potential innovations in the research agenda. v TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................... viii LIST OF FIGURES .............................................................................................................x INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................................................1 CHAPTER 1 PROBLEM DEFINITION......................................................... ..........................................4 Dependent Variables.......................................... ......................................................8 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ....................................................................................................9 Introduction ..............................................................................................................9 Theoretical Framework ..........................................................................................11 Prospect Theory .....................................................................................................11 Protection Motivation Theory ................................................................................20 Bridging Prospect and Protection Motivation Theories.........................................25 Hypotheses .............................................................................................................26 Message Framing and Threat Appraisal ................................................................26 Perceived Efficacy .................................................................................................31 Coping Appraisals ..................................................................................................34 Proactive and Reactive Coping ..............................................................................34 Protection Motivations ...........................................................................................37 Locus of Control ....................................................................................................39 Confidence in the message Communicator............................................................41 CHAPTER 3 METHODS Study Overview .....................................................................................................43 Pre-test Methods ....................................................................................................43 Participants .............................................................................................................43 Design ....................................................................................................................44 Measures ................................................................................................................44 Data Collection Procedures....................................................................................45 Findings..................................................................................................................45 Main Experiment Methods ....................................................................................46 Participants ............................................................................................................46 Design ...................................................................................................................49 Instrument .............................................................................................................50 Threat Assessment ................................................................................................51 Perceived Efficacy ................................................................................................52 Locus of Control ...................................................................................................53 Protection Motivation ...........................................................................................53 Perceived Credibility ............................................................................................54 vi Data Collection Procedures....................................................................................54 CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................56 Statistical Analysis .................................................................................................56 Demographic Data Analysis of Sample .................................................................56 Descriptive Statistics of the Survey Items .............................................................58 Measurement Model Characteristics......................................................................60 Pretest Analysis ......................................................................................................61 Main Study Analysis ..............................................................................................62 Confirmatory Factor Analysis................................................................................64 Manipulation Check ...............................................................................................65 Common Method Bias ...........................................................................................66 Formative Latent Construct Structural Test ...........................................................67 Hypothesis Testing.................................................................................................69 Path Analysis .........................................................................................................70 Hypothesis Results .................................................................................................71 CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION ...............................................................................77 Discussion ..............................................................................................................77 Maladaptive Protection Motivations Loss Condition ............................................79 Maladaptive Protection Motivations Gain Condition ............................................80 Maladaptive Protection Motivations Control Condition........................................80 Summary of Maladaptive Protection Motivations .................................................81 Adaptive Protection Motivations Loss Condition..................................................82 Adaptive Protection Motivations Gain Condition .................................................83 Adaptive Protection Motivations Control Condition .............................................84 Summary of Adaptive Protection Motivations ......................................................85 Implications............................................................................................................87 Recommendations for Future Research .................................................................92 Limitations .............................................................................................................95 APPENDICES ...................................................................................................................98 Appendix A Tables ...............................................................................................99 Appendix B Figures .............................................................................................135 BIBLIOGRAPHY ............................................................................................................150 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Preliminary Survey ..............................................................................................99 Table 2. Survey Instruments ............................................................................................101 Table 3. Demographics ....................................................................................................109 Table 4. Descriptive Statistics..........................................................................................117 Table 5A. Manipulation Check Mean Comparison ........................................................120 Table 5B. Analysis of Variance Manipulation Check Combined Samples, Control, Gain, and Loss Conditions .................................................................................120 Table 5C. Moderation Test of Predictor Variables Effects on Dependent Variables .....121 Table 6. Model Fit Statistics, EFA and CFA ...................................................................122 Table 7. Main Study Factor Loadings (EFA) .................................................................123 Table 8. Main Study Factor Loadings (CFA reduced model) ........................................124 Table 9. Item and Scale Reliabilities, Reduced Model (CFA) .......................................125 Table 10A. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions (Control Condition) .................................................126 Table 10B. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions (Gain Condition) ......................................................127 Table 10C. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions Control Condition (Loss Condition) ........................128 Table 11A. Significant Multivariate Effects, Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) .....................................................................................................................129 Table 11B. Box’s Test of Equality of Covariance Matrices ...........................................129 Table 11C. Levene’s Test of Equality of Error Variances..............................................129 viii Table 12. Hypothesis Test for Structural Model Path Analysis .....................................130 2 Table 13. R Summary by Experimental Condition ......................................................132 Table 14. MTurk Participant Experiment Comments Post-test ......................................133 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Conceptual Diagram of Prospect Theory and Protection Motivation Theory Experiment .......................................................................................................................135 Figure 2A. Informed Consent Message ...........................................................................136 Figure 2B. Invitation and Reminder Message .................................................................137 Figure 3A. FDA Press Release of Stimulus Cantaloupe Recall Message ......................138 Figure 3B. Control Group Message Stimulus .................................................................141 Figure 3C. Gain Message Stimulus ................................................................................141 Figure 3D. Loss Message Stimulus ................................................................................141 Figure 4. Graphic Stimuli (Control, Gain, Loss) Conditions..........................................142 Figure 5. Main Study CFA Model (reduced) ..................................................................143 Figure 6A. Manipulation Check Control Condition .......................................................144 Figure 6B. Manipulation Check Gain Condition ............................................................145 Figure 6C. Manipulation Check Loss Condition ............................................................146 Figure 7A. Structural Model Path Diagram Control Condition......................................147 Figure 7B. Structural Model Path Diagram Gain Condition ..........................................148 Figure 7C. Structural Model Path Diagram Loss Condition...........................................149 x INTRODUCTION Product recalls are pervasive in the consumer marketplace. However, consumers largely ignore product recall messages due to a belief that illness will not impact them personally. These beliefs are based on consumers' substantial food consumption experiences that occurred without incident or injury. Likewise, many consumers believe in the reliability and safety of the food supply, and the business entities that produce and sell food products. Sporadically, consumers learn of defective food products sold by retailers and producers that are suddenly recalled. These recall messages are sent from any of a number of communication sources for differing reasons including a potentially severe health risk if the product is eaten, undeclared allergens, or incidents of product tampering. Unfortunately, many consumers never receive recall messages, and when exposed to recall messages they usually fail to react to the message to avert injury. As a result, consumers are periodically and often unnecessarily exposed to injury due to the failure of the recall communication process. Members of the food industry supply chain may benefit from strategies to increase desirable responses to recall messages. Desirable responses are defined as those actions by consumers that reduce the potential of injury. We are interested in examining different methods for creating recall message content that improve consumer responses which, if heeded, will reduce or eliminate the risks associated with defective food products. Specifically, we want to determine the impact of recall message framing on increasing a consumer's tendency to take protective actions and avert injury. In addition, our findings may also help improve recall communications in other consumer product industries. Research on the merit of recall messages that motivate consumer responsiveness to food product recalls has been seriously neglected in the risk literature. To address this gap in the literature we will utilize 1 protection motivation and prospect theories to measure consumer protection motivation perceptions and behavioral intentions when exposed to probabilistic gain and loss oriented message content. Both product recalls and product warning labels are a form of safety communication to consumers. Since 1990, product recalls have grown over 80% per year, and as many as 27,000 deaths and immeasurable accidents are attributable to products later recalled for defects (CPSC, 2011). In addition, it is estimated that between 24 and 81 million cases of food borne diarrhea incidents occur in the United States each year and cost between $5 and $17 billion (Wagner, 2011). Mead et al. (1999) estimate that food borne pathogens account for 76 million illnesses and 5,000 deaths in the United States annually. One can conclude from these food borne illness statistics that retailers and manufacturers need to do a better job of communicating recalls and eliciting appropriate responses to recall messages. Deloitte Inc., conducted a survey of 1,110 US food consumers, and found that 57% of Americans stopped eating certain foods, either temporarily or permanently due to food safety concerns (Food Product Design, 2008). Likewise, the survey found that 73% of Americans believed food recalls increased in the past year, and 76% were more concerned about food safety than they were five years ago (Food Product Design, 2008). In spite of the aforementioned statistics on food borne illness, consumers typically ignore food recall notices (Fox & Simao, 2009). After the Salmonella St. Paul outbreak of 2008 that involved contaminated tomatoes, Rutger’s University Food Policy Institute conducted a telephone survey of 1101 consumers and 64% of respondents reported eating tomatoes in general during the recall timeframe and 38% of respondents ate tomatoes included in the recall warnings (Hallman, Cuite, & Nucci, 2009). Of those that ate the recalled tomatoes, 89% reported they were aware of the warning at the time 2 they ate tomatoes (i.e. recalled or otherwise) (Hallman, Cuite, & Nucci, 2009). These findings raise the question: why do consumers ignore these warnings? Public recalls of food are not only on the rise but appear to be more extensive than ever, and it is certainly the public’s perception that the food safety oversight system seems to be failing (Hemphill, 2009). Several surveys have shown decreased consumer confidence in the food supply after product recalls (Food Processing, 2007; Haberkorn, 2007). Reasons for ineffective recalls are that public notification is typically broadcast via the news media and messages are delivered too late, often after the food has been purchased and eaten, often notices are not crafted in a manner which influences the greatest number of consumers at risk of food borne illness to take protective action. In the aforementioned Rutger’s St. Paul Salmonella outbreak study, 90% of participants reported that they received information about food through the popular press and television. (Hallman, Cuite, & Nucci, 2009). Similar results were discovered in a 2005 study of U.K. consumers related to food scares, their sources of information included: news media, government notices, articles in newspapers and women’s magazines, television programs, and press releases from food suppliers (Dawson, 2005). In Dawson’s qualitative research study, consumers indicated that in the face of a more serious food safety concern, there is a greater tendency to seek out scientific and government sources of information. Likewise, Dawson (2005) found that the news media messages produced a dual effect of confusing consumers and undermining confidence in the food supply. We will determine whether modifying the level of information in a recall message increases consumer tendencies to take action and thereby reduce the potential for injury. 3 CHAPTER 1 PROBLEM DEFINITION The news media and popular press are important communication partners for retailers trying to reduce injury from recalled products, and broadcasting recall messages is an important public service. However, we believe that mass media recall notice should remain a secondary means of communication. Once a retailer, manufacturer, or farm producer working in partnership with government start a food recall notice; the supply chain partner closest to the consumer's point of purchase should be the primary recall communicating partner. Despite retailers closeness to the consumer at the end of the supply chain, retailer recall communications typically lack important information to help consumers reduce risks of injury. Retailers and manufacturers are interdependent partners in the supply chain and each provides channels of information to consumers about products. Information from retailers may elicit higher responses from consumers because of the closeness between the consumer and the point of consumption (e.g. retailer). The transfer of products between consumers and retailers may strengthen information exchanges through a consumer's perceived familiarity, trust, and loyalty for the retailer or other psychological motivation states. On the other hand, the news media offers consumers a one-way information transfer, and seldom allows the exchange of information common in retailer consumer communications. The inability of news media information to address specific consumer concerns or allow added information seeking underlies the importance of this research. Developing a method for creating effective recall message content which encourages consumers to take protective action if a food recall occurs is critical. Behavioral intentions that lead to suitable responses to recalls should decrease financial loss for 4 retailers and manufacturers, increase the perceived importance of recall messages, improve perceptions of food safety initiatives of businesses, and lessen of the risk of consumer injury from food borne illness. Many recall injury cases are preventable. Proper handling is defined as an action or actions by the consumer to reduce the risk of food borne illness from consuming a recalled product. Proper handling may involve: disposing of the product, returning the product to a retail store, or following specific instructions about preparation (e.g. cooking the food at a specific internal temperature), or other tactics. Proper handling implies a payoff to consumers in the form of a gain (e.g. lowered risk of injury) or loss (e.g. greater risk of injury) and will depend on personal choices as whether to engage in prescribed behaviors stated in a product recall message. This study will provide hypothetical recall message content with the expected goal of stimulating a consumer’s intent to properly handle recalled products. We will measure the effects of message content on behavioral intentions and whether consumers perceive hypothetical recall messages as sources of useful information for taking action and avoiding injury. Most recall messages in the current marketplace provide necessary information about the causes of the recall (e.g. Listeria, salmonella), but insufficient information about proper handling that will reduce potential for injury. This problem is complicated by the fact that the probabilities of injury differs among groups of consumers, as some segments possess unique vulnerabilities to food borne illness which are related to age or compromised immunity. The goal of manipulating recall message content using prospect theory is to assess the impact of positive and negative message frames and their effect sizes on protection motivations. Our goal is to identify message content that will have a positive influence on both vulnerable and 5 less vulnerable groups of consumers. Food industry supply chain members would benefit from understanding which message treatments display larger effect sizes on protection motivations. Recall communications are presumed to be a persuasive tool to decrease food borne illness incidents but typically lack information about alternative strategies to minimize risks. Product warning labels are ubiquitous on food products and offer detailed information to avert injury such as 'use by' and 'best by' product expiration dates, 'refrigerate after opening' and instructions for proper food handling such as preparation guidelines (e.g. internal cooking temperature) and strategies to avoid spreading pathogens to other foods through cross contamination. Warning labels are an attempt to reduce the risks from food borne illness through proper handling. Recall communications differ from warning labels because they are introduced into the consumer marketplace selectively and may involve a single product, many products, or entire classifications (e.g. cucumber, lettuce or tomato recalls). Recall communications are reactive appeals to product failures with the goal of reducing injury. The primary goal of recall messages is to influence consumers to identify and remove the potential risks from the food product by throwing it away or returning it to a store. Recall messages communicated by mass media do not typically suggest that through proper handling, the product may be safe to eat. The absence of proper handling instructions or the focus on disposal or return of the defective product may result in a perceived loss for consumers in time and effort. Messages offering information about how to properly handle recalled products to avoid or cope with the potential loss or injury may be perceived as potential gains by the consumer. Recall warnings typically advise of the risks from the defective product in question, but offer little or no information to cope with the risks in a proactive manner other than simply eliminating the risks by disposal of the product or returning 6 it to the store. Reinforcing the benefits of proper handling on reducing food borne illness in recall messages may be perceived as a gain by consumers and increase their tendency to protect themselves and their family. Consumers are directly impacted by product recalls when they purchase a recalled product. For example, a retailer may identify a defective food product, such as ground beef, that may pose a hazard to a specific geographic area and try to notify consumers about the recall. Retailers may also provide details of how to handle, return, or dispose of a recalled product in the communication. Retailer approaches to notify consumers about recalls vary from low-tech in-store signage to high-tech targeted communication encompassing specific consumer purchases. Targeted communications are achieved by linking store loyalty program data to recall notices. Recall messages sent within the various delivery channels may be received, processed, or acted on by consumers. Even if the intended audience receives the recall message, they must engage in a multistage process to avert risk. First, the consumer must interpret the message for preventative action, store it in memory, recall it cognitively, and act on it in an satisfactorily to avert risk. Adding to the challenge of a consumer's multistage cognitive processing of recall messages, retailers, producers and governmental agencies must deliver recall messages in a technologically changing communication environment. Consumers are experiencing increased daily time pressure and exposure to increased channels and numbers of communications each day (e.g. television media outlets, Internet, e-mail, social networking, cellular text messages, and cellular voice messages). Capturing consumer attention to a recall message because of these new challenges to both message delivery and cognitive processing are theorized to be controllable, to some degree, by manipulating recall message heuristics. Because of these reasons, theory driven 7 and empirically tested message content to increase consumer reactions to recall messages would benefit businesses and consumers regardless of the recall communication channels they choose to exploit. Dependent Variables Our goal is to understand what motivates consumers to respond to recall messages (e.g. protection motivations/behavioral intentions) by manipulating recall message content. The dependent variables include perceived credibility of the message communicator and protection motivation. Perceived credibility of the message communication will measure the impact of the gain/loss treatments coping responses and whether perceived effectiveness of the message influences the protection motivations/behavioral intentions of the participants. Protection motivation/behavioral intentions are based on a stimulus from a hypothetical recall message. The hypothetical recall message exposures were presented to participants within two randomly assigned experimental groups (i.e. each group receiving gain or loss oriented message content). The proposed model is presented in Figure 1. 8 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW Introduction A study conducted by the Consumer Product Safety Council (CPSC) determined there was a weak relationship between the threats of a potential recall hazard and recall effectiveness (CPSC, 1980). We are interested in finding out if message content has an impact on consumer responses to a recall. Our goal is to test recall message content that motivates an suitable protection motivation response from consumers. Discovering how to get consumers to pay attention to recall messages and take appropriate action, by, increasing the motivations to protect themselves is critical to improving recall responses. Consumers are overwhelmed with messages daily, with estimates suggesting that in 1971, consumers faced 560 messages daily, increasing to over 3000 messages by 1997 (Shenk, 1997). New forms of communication such as the Internet and mobile technology are anticipated to increase these message exposures for consumers. A consumer’s capacity to make sense of and prioritize so many message exposures overwhelms their cognitive ability, and may be characterized as information overload. Dealing with information overload requires consumers to cut corners and apply heuristics within their cognitive framework to deal with this information overload. Eagley and Chaiken (1984), created a framework for common heuristics employed by consumers in decision making. Each of these heuristics is posited to influence consumer cognitive processing of recall messages. 9 These top five heuristics include: 1. Trust in expert opinion (e.g. chief food scientist versus. activist; government entity versus business); 2. Trust in the communicator’s perceived friendliness (e.g. personalized greeting versus form letters); 3. Influence from the degree of persuasive arguments in a message (e.g. coping strategy presented versus threat focus); 4. Influence by statistics employed in the message (e.g. presenting statistics versus generalizations); 5. Influence from social cues and message context (e.g. risk to self versus significant others and community (Eagley and Chaiken, 1984). A consumer's exposure to and probable use of heuristic cues is likely to influence perceptions of the usefulness of the message. In their study of persuasion to exercise, Jones et al. (2003) used prospect theory and message frames to measure perceived source credibility by manipulating credible and less credible sources and positive and negative information frames. The researchers found that credible source and positive information influenced intentions to exercise and that negative messages from a credible source influenced lowered intentions to exercise. We will measure consumers' perceptions of the communicator credibility in the gain and loss message conditions by testing the perceived trust and expertise implied in the message from Eagley and Chaiken' (1984) common consumer heuristics and prospect theory. We anticipate consumers' protection motivations were influenced by varying statistical probabilities of illness in experimental message content. Likewise, we anticipate that by varying statistics in the messages, consumers' perceived credibility of the message communicator will be influenced. 10 Theoretical Framework Prospect Theory Kahneman and Tversky (1979) conducted research in which participants were faced with risky choices and found that people are more concerned about gains and losses during specific events than protecting their net assets. According to prospect theory, people should respond predictably to potential gains or losses, and prefer perceived gains to losses. People continue from a cognitive reference point in their decision making and this reference point may be described as an equilibrium state or status quo state. A person’s individual health status perception (e.g. good health, bad health) is an example of a theoretical reference point. A Class I recall message exposure will cause a consumer to create decision weights of the implied reasons (e.g. efficacy, threat, coping) influencing whether they react to or ignore the message. The consumer's cognitive weighting scheme influences perception of changes to a health reference point, based on the losses or gains a consumer experiences from their choices. Ignoring a recall message, eating a defective food product and afterwards becoming ill are an example of a loss. This loss will cause a deviation from the health status reference point. On the other hand, a consumer's reaction to a recall message by avoiding a defective food product and remaining healthy is an example of a gain. Prospect theory proposes that people tend to be risk averse with respect to gains and risk acceptant for losses (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This finding is counterintuitive. People prefer results which they are certain will occur. Losses are given more cognitive weight and have more behavioral influence than gains. Adding to a person's typically counter-intuitive behavior, people under-estimate low chance events. If the likelihood of death from a recalled 11 product is small, consumers are likely to tend not to react to a recall message. This tendency in prospect theory inclines people to take risky choices. Prospect theory suggests that people under weigh probabilistic outcomes compared to outcomes stated with certainty by a communication source. This finding is referred to as the certainty effect and influences risk aversion in choices of stated sure gains and risk seeking in choices involving stated sure losses. According to the theory, individuals also display a tendency to ignore information shared by all prospects presented in a choice scenario. Prospects are defined as the possibility of achieving an outcome. The consumer presented with the same information stated in different ways will apply cognitive weights and attribute meaning to this information, finally making a choice based on their unique weighting scheme. This tendency is referred to as the isolation effect and leads to inconsistent preferences when participants are presented with the same choice communicated in different forms. A consumer's decision making to choose a choice among risky choices is determined by specific weights applied to those choices and idiosyncratic cognitive schema that define perceived gains and losses. The consumer's weighting is not typically additive in nature and greater weighted individual perceptions may more heavily influence choice than several causes working together to reach an ideal decision (Tversky & Kahneman, 1992). This finding is referred to as the reflection effect around the reference point and it may show some degree of symmetry when testing opposing weighted choice statements between groups of consumers. Symmetry assumes equality (e.g. good or bad health views) on opposite sides of the reference point. In other words, faced with a potentially disastrous health loss such as might be faced when consuming a Class I recall food product, message framing content is likely to change the consumer's reflection effect from risk aversion or risk seeking when presented with either a gain 12 oriented or loss oriented message treatment. This effect is dependent on perceptual variations from the hypothetical health reference point caused by variations in message content offering chances for gains or losses. The implied costs (e.g. information seeking costs) of reacting to the recall message for loss oriented message content were higher than those in gain oriented messages. If participants receive a loss oriented recall message, we expect them to display lower wishes to react to the message (e.g. risk seeking) and averting injury. The contrary is expected for exposure to a gain message (e.g. risk avoidance). Participants should show a greater want to respond to the message to stay healthy. Tversky and Kahneman (1981) explored the effects of an epidemic in which expert opinion described a frame of people who would survive and a frame of people who would die. . In their classic experiment the following choices were presented to participants: 1. 200 people will be saved 2. there is a one-third probability that 600 people will be saved, and a two-thirds probability that no people will be saved 3. 400 people will die 4. there is a one-third probability that nobody will die, and a two-third probability that 600 people will die Given these choices, 72% of participants chose alternative 1 as their preference, 28% chose alternative 2. A second group of participants was presented with alternatives 3 and 4 and the results were similar, 78% chose alternative 3 and 22% chose alternative 4. Conditions 1=3 and 2=4 in their experimental design. People clearly preferred the gain frame in this experiment that presented lives saved as opposed to a tradeoff mentioning that people will die. However, more people chose alternative four than three in the second condition because people preferred a risky 13 alternative with the opportunity to avoid losses versus less risky alternative three, a certainty of loss. The participants were presented with one alternative in which 200 of 600 people’s lives would be saved when impacted by an epidemic (survival frame). In the second mortality alternative the participants were offered the alternative of a 33% chance of no people dying and a 66% chance that all 600 would die (death frame). In both cases probability suggests 200 lives would be saved. Given these two choice frames, participants preferred the mortality frame as their option, , lending credence to the preference for risk seeking behavior. This finding shows the way in which people frame outcomes based on information presented to them, and reflects a cognitive reference point analysis based on the information presented. For recall messages, the consumer's choice to react involves processing and reacting to the stimuli presented. Providing heuristic message cues in the gain message and removing or lessening them in the loss message should increase or decrease consumer behavioral intentions to respond directly (protection motivations). Tversky and Kahneman (1992) changed prospect theory with cumulative prospect theory with the findings from an experiment in which participants were presented with eight choices (gains or losses) spaced between extreme outcomes (i.e. demonstrating certainty effect) such as 25% chance to win $150 and 75% chance to win $50. The researchers discovered that when consumers evaluate risks with high probability of happening they are risk seeking for losses and risk averse for gains. Conversely, they found that consumers faced with low probability events are risk seeking for gains and risk averse for losses. The approach of influencing consumers' perceptions of outcomes is similar to gambling when gamblers and dealers weigh the potential probabilities of gains and losses as outcomes of dice rolls with the goal of rolling two dies and achieving repeated outcome rolls of seven. The 14 chances of such an anticipated outcome are clearly defined by 36 possible rolls and 6 combinations of the dice that will produce a result of seven, or 16.7% of the time a seven was rolled by the gambler. However, the gambler may apply various weighting biases on the conditions under which the dice rolls will perform, such as perceptions of luck or dice rolling skill which defy the rules of probability and dominate the choice to continue gambling. These weighting biases are attributed to the gambler's reference point as potential gains or losses and the outcome of rolls will move the reference point. A gambler is more concerned about losses because they do not support his cognitive reference point and self-positivity bias. The gambler will continue playing the game until self-positivity biases are disconfirmed through losses. The dealer controlling the craps game may also employ perception management to influence the gambler's weighting schema for rolling sevens by manipulating the gambler's perceptions of his odds of rolling sevens which exceed probabilistic limitations. Heuristic fallacies such as implying the table is winning or "hot" tonight, the roller is lucky compared to others, or the dice are magical may influence perceptual weights of improved odds. In our study the "gambler" is the consumer interpreting a recall message and deciding whether to react within a cognitive weighting schema presented with factual information, but impacted by heuristic biases. The recall message is similar to the dealer who is trying to influence the perception of the consumer, that, by taking appropriate action they will gain lasting or better health. Positive message content should favorably influence the consumer through gains to the health reference point, and losses should produce the opposite effect. The consumer's weighting attributions to probabilistic results are referred to as the selfpositivity bias and this bias depends on the theoretical health reference point's current state (feeling good or bad). The self-positivity bias suggests consumers are less likely to ignore recall 15 messages if their cognitive health reference point is perceived as bad health. Consumers who sense that their health reference point is good are more likely to discount a recall message when it is framed negatively, but react when it is framed positively. The health risks from Class I recall products are great if the defective food product is eaten by any consumer, and probabilistically higher if consumers are members of a risk group. Despite the fact the risks of food borne illness are well-known, many consumers gamble with their health by ignoring the information presented in recall messages. For food recalls, similar discounting effects such as the consumer's view that they are invulnerable to disease or were lucky enough to avoid food borne illness because their cognitive reference point for their health status is good are critical fallacies. Consumer perceptions of losses or gains involve four dimensions we plan to address in our experimental design: 1. Reference point dependence: Consumer's view food borne illness resulting from a recalled product with a change in the status quo of their normal food consumption. In other words, food borne illness is a low chance event for most consumers, and they will evaluate message content based on their prior experience with food borne illness. 2. Gain and loss satisfaction: Consumers frequent exposure to recall messages presented by the news media imply the law of decreasing returns postulated in prospect theory for both good and bad responses to recall risks, but may be influenced by targeted message design. 3. Loss aversion: Losses such as becoming ill from a food recall are weighted more than the behaviors for averting a food borne illness. 16 4. Risk aversion and risk seeking: Consumers presented with recall messages signaling gains from behaviors to avoid illness were risk averse and when presented with losses were risk seeking. Proper handling stimuli will likely cause the consumer to take preventative actions (risk aversion). Less useful stimuli (i.e. key heuristic cues missing) will likely cause consumers to ignore the risks of food borne illness, and take little or no actions to mitigate the risks or perhaps they might even consume the recalled product (risk seeking). Rothman and Salovey (1997) suggest that positive framing is more effective in motivating preventive actions (e.g. sunscreen use) and loss framing is more effective for encouraging detection actions (e.g. self-breast examination). Recall messages may be described as preventive action communications. Donovan and Jalleh's (2000) child immunization study found that framing has a significant effect on attitudes when framed positively versus negatively, with greater acceptance of the message when framed positively. A recent study showed that consumers’ reaction to fear appeal messages increased when the consumer’s perceived utility (usefulness) of the message content was high (KnoblochWesterwick et al., 2005). Usefulness is a subjective perception of value or gain in knowledge. Useful information may include message cues that try to aid consumers in avoiding risks and preventing injury. Useful information may also be perceived as a gain to customers by helping them avert risks in objective ways, or is less influenced by emotions and personal biases. Useful gain oriented information in recall messages will likely influence coping appraisals in individuals by helping them avoid potential risks. To test the power of this assumption, both useful gain and less useful loss message cues were included in the design. 17 An example of gain information from a Food Safety and Information Service (FSIS) press release is the following: Consumers should only eat ground beef or ground beef patties that have been cooked to a safe internal temperature of 160° F, whether prepared from fresh or frozen raw meat products (FSIS, 2011). The following is an example of less useful loss oriented information: The only way to be sure ground beef is cooked to a high enough temperature to kill harmful bacteria is to use a thermometer to measure the internal temperature. FSIS messages offer greater detail about the implications of a recall to consumers than the typical news media recall message. The press release offers information about proper handling of the at risk product to avoid injury while most news media sources will tend to stress some variation of the following information: A total of five confirmed Shiga-toxin producing E. coli O157: NM cases and four probable cases have been reported in Lapeer, Genesee, Isabella, and Sanilac counties. Illness onset dates range from July 18-30. Those affected range in age from 15-88. Each clear plastic bag and retail package bears the establishment number “EST. 33971” within the USDA mark of inspection. The products subject to recall were produced on July 7, July 15, July 21, July 28 and Aug. 4, 2011, and sold to retail establishments and restaurants in Armada, Lapeer and North Branch, Mich. The products were also sold directly to consumers from a retail establishment owned by McNees Meats and Wholesale (Food Poisoning Law Blog, 2011) The above information only provides a starting point for consumers to fittingly respond to the health risks from the ground beef subject to the recall. While news media sources may provide some information for suitable coping appraisals by communicating proper handling information, these messages tend to be inadequate to increase protection motivations. This is because of the main focus on the- who, what, when, and where of the recall and not enough information about 18 HOW to react to avoid injury. News media sources seldom offer extra information about ways to cope with potential injury such as proper handling information. News media sources condense recall information and often fail to provide necessary information to help consumers avert injury, but retailers typically offer consumers even less information than government entities or other members of the supply chain, and may be contributing to injuries that could be avoided. For example, in Figure 3a a recent FDA recall notice is provided which offers high levels of detail about the severity of the risks, vulnerability to the risks, and coping strategies to deal with the risk. Contrast this information with the following recall notice on Kroger.com, a large national grocery store chain: KROGER TURKEY GRIND 85/15 CASE READY, 48 OZ Affected in Georgia, South Carolina, Alabama and Knoxville, Tennessee, Indiana (except SW IN, -Evansville-), Illinois, Eastern Missouri, Central and Northwest Ohio and N. West Virginia panhandle, Greater Cincinnati, including Northern Kentucky, Dayton, OH and South Eastern Indiana, Greater Memphis, TN, Arkansas, Mississippi and Western Kentucky, Michigan, Greater Louisville (including Indiana), Lexington, and Nashville, TN, North Carolina, Virginia, Eastern WV, Eastern Kentucky, SE Ohio, Texas and Louisiana; Dillon’s, Food 4 Less, Fry's, Jay C, King Supers and Ralphs stores. Reason: These products may be contaminated with Salmonella and, if eaten, could result in severe illness to those individuals who may consume this product (Kroger, 2012). This recall notice provides the possibility of injury if eaten and the severity of the risks, but provides little no information to consumers about how to address the risks. An example of useful information added to Kroger’s recall notice includes ways to deal with the problem, such as, proper cooking temperature, throwing out the product in a sealed container, or returning it to the store for a full refund. 19 A consumer's motivation for an appropriate response to a recall message stems from an individual’s perception that reacting to the product recall will reduce the threat of injury. We theorize the content of a recall message will similarly lessen the perceived threat of injury. The stimuli recall message content for this study will include Class I recalls, which potentially pose a significant risk to consumer health if the defective product is consumed. Prior research has suggested that message-based judgments are influenced by the representativeness heuristic and not the availability bias (Tversky and Kahneman, 1974). The representativeness heuristic suggests that consumers access memory for a comparable event in their experience and assume the probability of occurrence is similar. The information presented in a recall message must be representative of the consumer's available memory of similar events. If the information in the recall message is varied in gain and loss conditions we theorize the consumer will adjust for the differences by using their availability bias. The availability bias implies that to determine the likelihood of events individuals make a judgment based on imperfect memory. Potential events such as serious illness from recalled food products may result in denial (e.g. self-positivity bias) and therefore the thoughts are less available to the consumer. Protection Motivation Theory Protection motivation theory (Rogers, 1983) is a widely tested framework for understanding health communication strategies. PMT examines the effects of persuasive communications, message sources, and message credibility on consumer cognitions which mediate behavioral changes. These consumer behavioral changes are posited to be desirable (adaptive) or undesirable (maladaptive) in nature. Substantial research utilizing PMT has been conducted to 20 gain an understanding of consumer motivations for averting health risks; these studies have employed various manipulations of health oriented messages (Rogers, 1983; Tanner, Hunt & Eppright, 1991; Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1997; Witte & Allen, 2000). PMT has been used to explain consumers’ motivations to take protective actions during fear appeals and their coping strategies to deal with risk events. The ability of information to impact a consumer's beliefs determines the effectiveness of health oriented information. The first stimulus in PMT is information offered to consumers about a specific risk. Eliciting an adaptive response to a health threat requires four elements: perceived severity of the threat, vulnerability to the threat, response efficacy or the power of the message to create a response to the threat, and self-efficacy or the willingness and ability of the individual to react to the message (Bandura, 1977). Fear appeals which produce changes in behavior have demonstrated mixed results in the PMT research stream. The factors which influence initial adaptive behavioral changes which revert to maladaptive behaviors are not clearly understood. Rogers (1983) suggested that when the costs of ongoing behavior change exceed the rewards of performing the behavior, consumers simply stop performing the behavior after some period of time. The valence of the threat message severity is suspected to have an impact on ongoing behavior change. There is some support in the literature for this claim when consumers function within various stages of contemplation of possible threats and their effects (Keller & Block, 1998). For example, the transtheoretical model proposed by Prochaska (1994) combines stages theory and PMT proposing that consumers move through six stages of behavior change, often in a non-linear fashion, with transitions back and forth between stages based on feedback between perceptions of costs and benefits of ongoing behavioral change. These stages include: pre- 21 contemplation, contemplation, preparation, action, maintenance, and termination. Each stage measures the consumer's readiness to act when faced with a message stimuli aimed at behavioral change. Researchers have demonstrated that many cognitive factors may effect these stages, such as threat severity, susceptibility, and efficacy perceptions. Keller and Block (1998) demonstrated that consumers presented with stimuli suggesting condom use for "safer sex" to avoid STDs and are predisposed to never change their behaviors (e.g. precontemplators) because of a strong disregard for change, have a greater tendency to take protective actions when exposed to higher gain threat vulnerability messages compared to loss threat vulnerability messages. This finding suggests that one effective way to change behaviors of consumers who are resistant to change is the increase communications of their vulnerability in message oriented stimuli. Interestingly, the researchers did not demonstrate the same behavior modification tendencies by increasing severity or efficacy message valence for precontemplators (Keller & Block, 1998). According the transtheoretical model, contemplation stage participants are those who understand that adopting maladaptive behavioral responses will likely lead to future undesirable states and accept the need to adopt adaptive behaviors, but these consumers are not ready to change their behavior in the near future. For this group, Keller & Block (1996) demonstrated that by manipulating the severity of the consequences portion of a message related to condom use produced greater behavioral responses for participants in this stage. Communicating a fear oriented stimulus to consumers potentially at risk of food borne illness will either cause consumers to evaluate and react to the message by coping or to completely ignore the message (Keller and Block, 1996; Rogers, 1983; Tanner, et al., 1991; Witte, 1994). We need to better understand the determinants of perceived ongoing behavior change by carefully measuring the impact of threat message content on consumers. We need to better understand the following: 22 1. What is the consumer's initial response to recall messages? 2. What is the anticipated continued response to recall messages? 3. What are the perceived costs of responding to recall messages? 4. What are the declining benefits of responding to recall messages? 5. How does recall message content influence habitual behavior? To understand these factors it is necessary to measure several key aspects of consumer behavior as it relates to recall message responses including: consumer personality traits, consumer life situations provided by demographic indicators, message content strategies to move consumers to a prescribed "desirable" state of responding to recall messages as opposed to the "undesirable" state of avoiding them, the innate optimism of the consumer to enact behavior change, and perceived self-esteem that they are in control of their lives versus at the mercy of external factors. Using PMT, Bender et al. (2006) utilized a transtheoretical model to assess ways that consumers might lessen the risk of wildfire damage to their homes. The researchers suggested actionable strategies such as spraying a roof with water during fire events and trimming excess kindling brush near homes. Consumers were influenced by different dimensions of PMT based on their cognitive stage. For example, pre-contemplators were most influenced by vulnerability and contemplators by severity. Action stage participants had greater involvement with the risks and also threat assessment (vulnerability and severity), were influenced by self and response efficacy. Our purpose in this study is to begin to understand the impact of message phrasing on threat and coping assessments and whether these phrasing approaches are perceived as more credible sources of information to influence protection motivations. 23 Studies have shown the message framing and an individual’s cognitive appraisals do not have the same impact on persuasion (Milne, Sheeran & Orbell, 2002). In one study, the authors measured the impact of specific, as opposed to general, message treatments to increase participant perceived relevance of regular exercise to their personal lives (Milne, Sheeran & Orbell, 2002). They found that while PMT variables demonstrated a significant effect on behavioral intentions, they did not impact subsequent exercise behavior. This phenomenon is referred to as a discontinuation of expectations. When attempting to perform continuing behavioral change routine performance of behaviors, like responding to recall messages, will produce favorable outcomes that meet or surpass the consumer's consumption oriented expectations of not getting sick when eating food products they purchase. On the other hand, avoiding purchases of certain classifications of recalled product (e.g. tomatoes) may not produce feelings of satisfaction to the same degree as reacting to a specific recall message offered to consumers at a given time. Consumers must resolve the lasting behaviors of avoiding a classification of food they would like to buy, but don't because they are uncertain the product (s) are safe to eat. Barring a recall notice to confirm the consumer's expectations of risks, and, routinized behavior of avoiding consumption of the classification, we hypothesize that consumers will display a discontinuation of expectations to continue their behaviors of avoiding products. This is because of the tension between the consumer's wish to consume a specific classification of food, and placing limits to that consumption caused by increased threats presented in the recall message. We do not understand the temporal value of a recall message and how it impacts ongoing behavioral change. Will avoiding certain food products be impacted by a single recall message, and if so, for what time period? This avoidance effect occurs for some unknown period of time for consumers who may 24 avoid a classification of recalled products because of prior recall events, or consumers might suspend their expectations of the risks, and return to consuming the products. In the event the product is recalled, they may again engage in preventive behaviors for a time and then resume consumption. We hope to influence the consumer's feelings of satisfaction by reacting to specifically framed recall messages and stimulate ongoing performance of behaviors designed to lessen injury from food borne illness. Because of these challenges, positive outcomes are suspected to display less influence on behavior change than targeted elaboration of threat susceptibility or severity in recall message communications. We plan to examine behavioral intentions to find out if gain and loss message framing impacts participants' cognitive appraisals. We believe the content of the message will have a significant influence on a consumer's cognitive appraisals when controlling the message framing approach. Bridging Prospect Theory and Protection Motivation Theory Threat appraisal is defined as the degree to which one realizes the risk as a threat to oneself (Witte, 1994). Threat appraisal is probabilistic, in which individuals stimulated by a message evaluate the odds of injury and are motivated to choose protective or maladaptive behaviors. Guided by prospect theory, changing the inherent probabilities of injury by manipulating the message content with gain and loss frames, should produce predictable threat appraisals. These threat appraisals should result in risk seeking (maladaptive) or risk aversion (protection) in individuals. Both prospect theory and protection motivation theory propose a probabilistic evaluation of risks and attempt to measure an expected result such as choosing a protective behavior. However, no research has tried to measure the desired symmetrical responses of individuals when faced with both a gain oriented and loss oriented message; nor has 25 the effect size of gain and loss oriented messages been evaluated within a PMT framework to discover the impact of message framing on behavioral intentions and protection motivations. Bridging both theories for a deeper understanding of consumer persuasion, using health messages, is a critical goal of this research. If the expected reflexive symmetry suggested by opposite effects (e.g. gain or loss) on protection motivations is discovered, then recall message design approaches should improve recall response rates. The theoretical health reference point posited from prospect theory should influence adaptive responses, and this finding will offer food industry firms a theoretically useful best practice for developing recall message content that promotes adaptive responses and minimizes maladaptive responses. We believe that recall content that offers consumers useful information such as proper handling advice presented by experts using statistics with convincing arguments and social impact cues, were more effective than traditional news media recall notices that typically lack these cues. Hypotheses Message Framing and Threat Appraisal PMT divides a person's threat appraisals into two dimensions: perceived susceptibility and perceived severity of a named threat that is either supposed or tangible in nature. People possess unique vulnerability to risk in life and certain causes such as age or immunity may increase their vulnerabilities to threats. How people cognitively process threats and determine the probability of being impacted by the threat may be mediated by their unique vulnerabilities which we can determine through comparing demographic self-reports and measuring the differences, if any, from a sample of consumers. Threats may be perceived as more obvious to some people than others and show different degrees of influence on protective behaviors. For example, an elderly 26 married couple may perceive different degrees of susceptibility to disease and the severity of consequences of that disease than a college student because of their ages and/or different life experiences and genetic predispositions to illness. Rogers (1983) suggests a positive linear relationship between a consumer's choice of protective behaviors influenced by a person's parallel cognitive processing of perceived severity and susceptibility and efficacy factors (i.e. self and response). Keller and Block (1998) studied condom use influence on protective behaviors to avoid STDs and determined that when participants had higher perceptions of vulnerability to illness elicited by message content, they exhibited greater intentions to use condoms than did manipulations of greater severity, self, and response efficacy. This finding complicates the proposed additive model of PMT by suggesting that consumers are in different cognitive states of readiness to take action when presented with preventative means to change behaviors. For this reason, we are interested in assessing the impact of threat and coping appraisal variables combined with exposures to gain/loss message on protection motivations. Susceptibility or vulnerability is defined as the perceived likelihood that consumers eating a recalled product will contract food borne illness and thereby negatively impact their health reference point. Threat susceptibility perceptions are likely to be strongly influenced by the consumer's prior experiences with a specific threat (Dorn & Brown, 2003). If food borne illness is not a typical experience for a consumer s/he is likely to mistakenly assume they are less vulnerable to food borne illness. Many Class 1 recalls will cause illness regardless of whether the individual perceives they are less likely to be injured. If a person encounters a recall message for which s/he perceives low susceptibility to the risks then s/he were less likely to take preventative actions to avert the risks than individuals who perceive high susceptibility to the risks of food borne illness. 27 Severity is defined as the perceived probability that severe illness will occur from consuming the recalled product. Consumers perceive threats within the framework of severity and susceptibility by determining some amount of risk they are willing to accept in their lives. For example, drivers may not wear seatbelts for any number of reasons on various occasions. During these occasions, consumers cognitively create lower anticipated probabilities that they will be in a car accident (e.g. susceptibility) and how badly they will be injured from not wearing their seatbelt if an accident occurs (e.g. severity). The two perceptual states (i.e. severity & susceptibility) are important interdependent considerations when consumers assess risks. However, the nature and specific weighting scheme that consumers apply to myriad threat situations they encounter routinely is not clearly understood, nor is it understood as it relates to food recalls. What is clear from prior research is that consumers have a tendency to accept greater risks when they perceive severity and susceptibility to be lower (Dorn & Brown, 2003). Consumer reactions to specific threats, such as food borne illness identified in recall messages, that are presented with greater severity and susceptibility to injury are more likely to influence behaviors than those with lower severity and susceptibility to injury (Pyszczynski et al., 1997). Our study will utilize Class I recall stimuli which will typically cause severe illness to large proportions of the population if the recalled product is eaten. In other words, the severity of the hypothetical recall risks to participants will be controlled by communicating risks to health in the message content. The message framing effect has been examined using both protection motivation and prospect theories with varied results. Donovan & Jalleh’s (2000) study of parent’s perceptions of a hypothetical new vaccine found that positively framed messages produced a greater impact on behavioral intentions than negatively framed messages. This finding is inconsistent with prospect theory suppositions that negatively framed messages were 28 more effective than positively framed messages. Researchers have demonstrated the general effectiveness of positively framed messages on consumer behavioral intentions pertaining to skin cancer prevention and child safety seats (Marteu, 1989; McNeil et. al., 1982; Rothman et. al., 1999). Other researchers have produced the opposite effect, with negative messages more favorably influencing behavioral intentions on smoking cessation, exercise, breast examination, and mammogram screening. (Wilson et. al., 1990; Robberson & Rogers, 1988; Meyerowitz & Chaiken, 1987; Banks et al., 1995). These findings have been attributed to different consumer perceptions of risk detection and prevention behaviors (Donovan & Jalleh, 1999). PMT research has examined preventative behaviors that may impact the individual or others (e.g. an individual smoking versus exposure to second hand smoke). Class I recalls are not solely an individual concern since others, such as family members or friends, may also eat the defective product According to PMT, consumers will process the information about a Class I recall cognitively and will appraise the threats based on the information provided in the message influenced by a perceived threat severity and susceptibility. Consistent with prior framing research, we expected loss frames to demonstrate a greater influence on perceived susceptibility and severity than gain frames (Wilson et. al., 1990; Robberson & Rogers, 1988; Meyerowitz & Chaiken, 1987; Banks et al., 1995). We also propose that since recall messages are read by consumers (detected) prior to preventing the risk of illness, loss oriented messages will be more effective for achieving adaptive responses than gain oriented messages. Food recalls appear to demonstrate discounting effects of perceived risk severity based on the large numbers of consumers who continued to eat tomatoes during the Salmonella St. Paul outbreak (Hallman, Cuite, and Nucci, 2009). Loss oriented message framing information provided to participants is suspected to worsen this effect. Consumers are likely to discount 29 recall messages because of their substantial experience of consuming food without injury. This reaction is because of the fallacy that past events predict future outcomes. When exposed to loss oriented messages, we expect participants will weigh susceptibility and severity of potential food borne illness due to cues in the message. Similarly, gain oriented protection information is suspected to increase the consumer’s tendency to discount the recall message. Prior research has shown that: expert opinion, friendliness, persuasive arguments, statistics, and social cues are useful in increasing consumer responses to recalls (Eagley & Chaiken, 1984). It is interesting to note that 70% of consumers in Hallman, Cuite, and Nucci (2009) study received information about the tomato salmonella outbreak from television with one-way message delivery and limited framing information and 64% of respondents reported eating tomatoes during the recall time frame. There may be parallels between the method of delivery and content of recall message content and the inclination of consumers to discount the risks to health from the recalled product. Menon, Block, & Ramanathan (2002) showed the self-positivity bias (e.g. invulnerability to illness) limits a consumer’s capacity to process messages. These researchers presented participants with information suggesting that a disease was easy or hard to contract (e.g. perceived susceptibility) and showed that consumers assumed that a disease is unlikely to affect them. Likewise, as the frequency of messages increases, consumers were likely to begin to discount the prior assumptions of invulnerability and begin to adopt protective behaviors (Menon et. al. (2002). Participants, primed with a loss oriented message should produce a greater threat perception than those exposed to gain oriented message. Without a message frame, such as typical recall messages the impact of self- positivity bias and perceived invulnerability are expected to be worsened. Therefore, when subjects read a 30 typical recall message, they are more likely to assume that foodborne illness will not impact them, and ignore the message. H1: Susceptibility inversely influences maladaptive protection motivations in the control condition. H2: Severity inversely influences maladaptive protection motivation in the control condition. Perceived Efficacy Perceived efficacy measures the ability of the individual to respond to the recall message and his or her ability to control the implied risks in the recall message. Perceived efficacy contains two component dimensions: response efficacy, which is a belief that some action on the part of the consumer will avert the risk and self-efficacy which involves the consumer’s willingness and ability to respond (Bandura, 2000). Response efficacy and self-efficacy are probabilistic perceptions of the consumer's response costs which mediate coping with the threat, and both dimensions contribute to perceived efficacy (Block & Keller, 1995). Response cost perceptions may include implied and actual costs of taking action to avert a risk and the consumer's assumption that accepting these response costs will produce a favorable result (e.g. lessened risk of injury). According to PMT, when weighing response costs for reacting to a recall message several dimensions are perceived by the individual. These include: 1. The individual must believe they are personally able (e.g. impacted, exposed) to react to the threats in the recall message (self-efficacy). (Bandura, 1999) 2. The individual must be personally motivated (e.g. empowered, willing) to react to the threats in the recall message (self-efficacy). (Bandura, 1999) 31 3. The individual's response (e.g. searching, returning, throwing out, additional information seeking costs) to the threats in the recall message will produce the desired outcome of reducing or eliminating exposure to illness (response efficacy) (Keller and Block, 1995). We theorize that gain oriented information will have a positive impact on participant's response perceptions related to self-efficacy and favorably influence reactions the risks. Gain oriented information will improve consumer perceptions of self-efficacy and response efficacy. This relationship is suspected because self-efficacy is a perception of how effectively consumers can handle the risk situation, but these perceptions are a forerunner to effective responses. Therefore, according to prospect theory, consumers will prioritize perceived gains over losses as the way the implied costs of the willingness to respond. Self-efficacy differs from locus of control because consumers believe internal influences like their personality, choices and thoughts are controlling their behavior, as opposed to their perceived ability to act. Bandura (1977) found that when participants assess the chances of an event occurring, their success depends on perceived self-efficacy. In addition, Bandura determined there is a positive relationship between self-efficacy and what he terms the outcome expectancy which we refer to as protection motivations. Beck and Lund (1981) found that self-efficacy was a significant predictor of participants' intentions to adopt preventative dental behaviors. In addition, the authors found that the threat of gum disease in addition to participants' self-efficacy to perform the preventative coping appraisals were significant predictors of protection motivations. This finding mirrors other research by Roger, Deckner & Mewborn (1978) suggesting that participants require selfefficacy and some degree of response efficacy to achieve a coping appraisal and eventual protection motivation. 32 Ignoring a health message is theorized to have a direct relationship with the selfpositivity bias and a consumer's belief that injury will not impact them personally (Patel et al, 2006). We posit that if the threat is not perceived as adequately severe, compared to the response costs of reacting to a product recall, then the consumer is less likely to respond to a recall message (e.g. maladaptive coping response). Self-efficacy and response efficacy are linked to the coping appraisal and are probable mediators of behavioral intentions to cope with risks (Maddux & Rogers, 1982). Block and Keller (1995), in a two part study, examined the impact of stimuli that aroused and persuaded participants to cope with the risks of human papilloma virus (HPV). The stimuli were framed in positive and negative message treatments and low/high response efficacy. In their first study, the researchers found that low response efficacy/negative frames were more persuasive than positive frames due to a manipulation that preventive actions such as condom use would not reduce risks to health However, in high response efficacy conditions positive and negative frames were equally persuasive (Block and Keller, 1995). In their second study they attempted to replicate the results from the first study using skin cancer detection techniques as the protection motivation. Contrary to study one, the researchers found higher efficacy influenced behavioral intentions more strongly than low efficacy. The researchers account for these differences by suggesting a difference between participants cognitive appraisal of health messages which are aimed at preventative procedures to avert an illness as opposed to detection procedures. This finding posits prevention messages are associated with high efficacy and detection messages are associated with low efficacy. Since recall messages are detected by consumers once they are read, they are necessary precursors to prevention behaviors. Recall messages may be assumed for this reason to be low-efficacy and we anticipate similar findings to Block and Keller (1995). 33 H3: Self-efficacy inversely influences maladaptive protection motivations. H4: Self-efficacy influences adaptive protection motivations in the gain condition. H5: Response efficacy inversely influences maladaptive protection motivations. H6: Response efficacy influences adaptive protection motivations. Coping Appraisals Milne, Sheeran and Orbell (2000), completed a meta-analysis of research studies utilizing PMT to evaluate the usefulness of the theory in explaining behavior modification stemming from behavioral intentions. The findings, involving 27 studies and 7,694 participants, demonstrated that individuals weighed the costs of responding (i.e. coping appraisal) most heavily as part of their decision making criteria. Self-efficacy (willingness and ability to respond) was the second largest factor, response efficacy (reaction to the message produces a desirable outcome) was third and perceptions of their vulnerability (threat assessment) was fourth in influencing coping appraisal. Proactive and Reactive Coping Reactive coping is defined as consumer’s effort to deal with stressful events. These events may be influenced by prior experience or present circumstances. For example, consumers may have previously experienced an incident of foodborne illness. When faced with a food recall message, the person has the choice of accepting the risk and avoiding action, or taking action to avoid harm. Coping relies on self-efficacy because the person must feel that they are willing and able to react, before making a decision to react to a risk situation. 34 Proactive coping is distinct from reactive coping because it involves developing a plan of action to avoid risks before they happen. People who proactively cope with risks, such as preparing emergency kits to cope with natural catastrophes are likely goal oriented and view skill development as a challenge. A challenge for persons who exhibit proactive coping is to understand the degree of susceptibility to risks and the level of severity of those risks to them. Until a person perceives a threat with potentially negative impact on their health reference point, they are likely to ignore the risks. However, as the number of threat messages increases, people will be less likely to discount the messages and more likely to adopt a plan to avoid injury through proactive coping strategy. This supposition mirrors Menon et al. (2002) finding that consumer’s prior assumptions of invulnerability will decrease as they perceive higher probabilities of risks impacting them personally. For perceived efficacy to be effective at influencing the coping appraisal, consumers must believe that performing personal actions will reduce the risk of injury. We posit that participants must perceive recall message content as useful and actionable to avert injury. In addition, reacting to a fear appeal may be hindered by the framework of message delivery. For example, the Surgeon General’s warning on packages of cigarettes may not be evaluated and reacted to by consumers despite the clear linkage between the prominent warning message on the packaging and health consequences. This effect is likely due to the self-positivity bias and generality of the delivery framework as opposed to a carefully crafted and directed message incorporating gain and loss cues (Eagley & Chaiken, 1984). Rogers and Mewborn (1976) found that fear appeals in communications were unrelated to intentions to adopt the recommended action. Recalls may be classified as fear appeals because of the message content, these messages typically emphasize anticipated outcomes from the risk, 35 but provide insufficient information to properly cope with the risks. The effect of emphasizing probable outcomes are likely to elicit some degree of fear in subjects. We plan to test whether gain or loss stimuli that magnifies anticipated outcomes for subjects influences the perceptions of the risks involved in the recall message. Likewise, we will test whether including coping strategies to avert food borne illness (i.e. throw out or return to store for refund), will influence perceptions of the risks. We believe that favorable coping appraisals are more likely to be elicited from gain oriented messages than loss oriented messages because consumers will perceive higher value of prevention information (i.e. gains) as opposed to detection information (i.e. losses) . Rogers and Mewborn (1976) also found that if recommendations were presented as a means to effectively avoid a risk, individuals are more likely to adopt the recommended behaviors. In addition, they found that perceived ineffective recommendations to avoid risk, involving higher probability threats, decreased behavioral intentions to act on the messages (Rogers & Mewborn, 1976). Providing consumers with information to help them cope with risks is a vital component of behavioral change. Protection motivation theory has demonstrated this relationship. A study by Neuwirth, Dunwoody, & Griffin (2000) explored fluorescent lighting hazards under conditions of high/low threat likelihood, susceptibility, and response efficacy conditions and their impact on protection motivations. The coping strategy was to wear sunglasses to mitigate the health risks. The researchers found a significant relationship between the threat communication, response efficacy, coping appraisal, and protection motivations in the high threat conditions. We anticipate similar findings for loss framed (high treat) messages influence on coping when proper handling stimuli is provided in recall messages. Rogers and Mewborn 36 (1976) demonstrated that as the perceived effectiveness of the proposed coping action increased, participants were more likely to adopt safe driving (preventative) recommendations. Coping appraisals are predicated on the consumer's willingness and ability to respond to a recall risk, along with a belief that such a response will reduce food borne illness potential if the prescribed behaviors (i.e. proper handling) are followed. In conditions where self-efficacy perceptions are high, we anticipate that consumers will more favorably perceive useful gain oriented coping strategies in the message content. Useful gain information should positively influence coping appraisals as satisfactory information is provided to participants to increase perceptions of both self and response efficacy. The opposite is anticipated for gain oriented message stimuli. H7: Proactive coping influences adaptive protection motivations. H8: Reactive coping influences adaptive protection motivations. H9: The loss message condition moderates proactive coping, loss messages exhibit greater influence on adaptive protection motivations than gain framed messages. H10: The gain message condition moderates reactive coping, gain framed messages exhibit greater influence on adaptive protection motivations than loss framed messages. Protection Motivations Boer and Seydel (1996) presented experimental subjects with information about mass breast cancer screening (prevention) and tested a control group to assess protection motivation theory models. The researchers found that experimental participants displayed a significantly higher response efficacy, self-efficacy, coping appraisals and protection motivations to take part in screening after exposure to the information than the control group (Boer & Seydel, 1996). 37 Arming consumers with useful information about how to cope with a recall event should produce similar findings. Coping appraisals which offer ways to prevent undesirable health outcomes have been demonstrated to influence protection motivations (Matos & Rossi, 2007). Coping appraisals influence protection motivations and are based on whether perceived efficacy costs are satisfied. The symmetrical relationships of gain and loss messages proposed in prospect theory are proposed to produce opposite response effects on coping and behavioral intentions. The participants call to action to react to the recall message content and avert illness is satisfied with their coping appraisal. We believe that participants were more likely to take preventative actions when the information presented to them is perceived as useful and acting on that information will help them avert injury. If the information is perceived as less useful for helping the participant avert injury, then they were less likely to adopt a coping strategy. Four studies have produced favorable impacts on behavioral intentions by using factual information to influence behavior in preventative contexts, (Milne, Orbell, & Sheeren, 2002; Boer & Seydel, 1996; Seydel et al.; Steffen, 1990) however, no study has varied message content informed by prospect theory to discover gain and loss message content's effects on protection motivations. Milne, Orbell, & Sheeren (2002) determined that behavioral intentions increased when subjects were exposed to motivational exercise intervention information that produced a dual effect of increasing both threat and coping appraisals and behavioral intentions to engage in exercise during a two-week three treatment experiment. Boer & Seydel (1996) conducted a quasi-experiment using breast cancer leaflets and showed a significant impact for the leaflet group on response efficacy, self-efficacy, and significantly higher behavioral intentions to participate in mammography compared with a control group. These researchers did not find a significant impact from the leaflet on perceived severity or perceived vulnerability to breast 38 cancer. Seydel et al. (1990) discovered similar effects among 624 subjects and determined that threat appraisals were not significant predictors of behavioral intentions, but self-efficacy and coping responses were significant predictors of behavioral intentions. Steffen (2006) used a similar leaflet approach on testicular self-exams. Men who read the message treatments in the leaflets demonstrated greater behavioral intentions to engage in testicular self-exam than those who didn't read the leaflet. We expect the impact of each message type will demonstrate prospect theory suppositions of risk aversion or seeking reflectivity, or opposite effects, around the theoretical health reference point based on the gain or loss information supplied to subjects in each trial condition. Locus of Control A recall message presents information to consumers about a potential health threat if a damaged product is consumed. The consumer must assess this information to determine if the threat is preventable through some action (s) on their part. In addition, the consumer may interpret the recall threat information as outside their direct control and that reducing or eliminating the threat is predicated on actions by others such as retailers or government agencies. Protection motivation theory posits that self-efficacy is an important cause influencing consumer's evaluation of threats because of specific abilities the consumer holds to reduce the threats. Locus of control focuses about who is specifically responsible for reducing the risks from a threat: the consumer him or herself or others (Bandura, 1977). The consumer's perceived locus of control (e.g. self or others) suggests that their behaviors to reduce those risks were either proactive or reactive in nature and are influenced by whether they internalize or externalize the risks (Rotter, 1966). Internalized risks are directly 39 controllable by the consumer and are evaluated within the self-efficacy dimension by the consumer's perceived willingness and ability to address those risks. Externalized risks are viewed by consumers as being in the control of important others, such as retailers, and, it is not the direct responsibility of the consumer to reduce the implied threats contained in the risk (Harrington, 1996). Locus of control is theoretically useful for predicting why some consumers faced with a risk from recalled products may take personal responsibility to prevent injury, while other consumers think removing risks is the job of others. Locus of control is distinct from selfefficacy because self-efficacy includes an actionable ability to address the threat. For this reason, both constructs must be studied to better understand ways to improve consumer reactions to recall messages. Workman et al. (2008) produced mixed results when measuring the impact of locus of control on protective behaviors related to workers ignoring computer security measures to protect their information. The researchers measured both objective measures (e.g. employee compliance records) and subjective measures (e.g. employee self-reported survey results). Subjective reports of locus of control had a significant impact on protection motivations, but objective measures of actual performance of behaviors did not. This finding may be because of subjects understanding what they should do does not match what they do when it comes to protecting information. However, we feel that since food recalls present more serious personal risks to consumer health our findings may be different. LaRose et al. (2008) measured subjects based on personal responsibility for online safety risks. In four high or low involvement X high or low self-efficacy groups, only the low involvement, low self-efficacy participants demonstrated lower protection behaviors when told that protecting themselves was their own responsibility. As expected, personal responsibility for online protection behaviors was greater for individuals demonstrating high self-efficacy and high involvement. LaRose et al (2008) 40 found an interesting reversal for maintenance behaviors like updating virus protection definitions in which people displaying high self-efficacy were more likely to react after a risk exposure than performing routine maintenance. We predict a similar finding for consumer reactions to food recall messages. Based on these findings, we speculate that loss oriented recall messages will influence greater perceived internal locus of control and gain oriented messages will produce the opposite effect by reducing the potential for maladaptive responses. H11: Locus of control influences adaptive protection motivations in the loss condition. H12: The loss message condition moderates locus of control, loss framed messages display greater strength on adaptive protection motivations than gain framed messages. Confidence in the Message Communicator We will measure the impact of both message exposures (gain or loss) on consumer perceptions of which message design is more useful for increasing protection motivations. Aaker and Keller (1990) used a similar approach to assess two brand extensions in an experiment. Each recall message framing type (gain or loss) may be perceived as a unique communication product offered to customers. Newell et al. (2001) created a scale to measure corporate credibility based on advertising messages. Their widely utilized scale devised from prior research that measured consumer perceptions of businesses and/or the advertising messages they presented to consumers (Goldberg & Hartwick, 1990; Mackenzie & Lutz, 1985; LaBarbera, 1982; Settle & Golden, 1974). The researchers found that their corporate credibility scale provides a useful framework for measuring consumer perceived trust for a firm's communication and expertise to produce those communications. As Newell et al. (2001) suggest in their study, the analysis of the differences between consumer perceptions of trust and expertise may provide 41 better understanding for ways to deal with crisis situations like food product recalls. Lafferty (2002) found that the credibility of different communicating sources based on Newell’s model partially predicted the effectiveness of the advertising message based on the communicator (corporation or sponsor). The role of the communicator in influencing specific behavioral responses is not known but suspected to be similarly influential in explaining a portion of the behavioral intention motivations. Sallam (2011) supported Newell et al. findings that corporate credibility demonstrated a strong relationship to attitudes to the message, attitudes to the brand, and behavioral intentions in a Saudi Arabian sample. In another study, Arora et al (2006) studied message framing and source credibility’s influence on consumers who have largely ignored appeals to exercise to improve health behavioral intentions. Recall responses by consumers demonstrate a similar ambivalence to health appeals to modify behaviors. Arora et al. (2006) found that highly credible sources demonstrate significant influence on behavioral intentions compared to low credibility message framing. Subsequently, Arora (2007) tested the impact of message framing, source credibility, and knowledge on attitude change and behavioral intentions to buy teeth whitening products. The researcher found that positive framing was more effective in changing attitudes and intentions than negative framing. Credibility of the communicator demonstrated a significant relationship to product attributes. We similarly expect to see an impact of message framing and confidence in the communicator on adaptive protection motivations. We plan to adapt the corporate reputation scale for our study to see the impact of message framing (gain/loss) on the perceived credibility of the message communicator and eventual consumer protection motivations. H13: Confidence in the Communicator influences adaptive protection motivations. 42 CHAPTER 3 METHODS Study Overview The protection motivation theory hypotheses were tested with a three-condition (gain/loss/control message) post-test only between subjects experimental design. Structural equation modeling was used to measure the hypothesized dimensions. A pretest was conducted of the post-test only experimental design to assess the veracity of the manipulations and measurement model. After confirmatory factor analysis of the survey items, the main study was conducted with a larger sample of participants using a between subjects post-test only online experimental design. Pretest Methods Participants We recruited participants for a pretest survey about shopping cart composition as the basis for choosing a suitable recall message to include in the experimental design. The pretest survey consisted of a sample of n=74 undergraduate students enrolled at a Midwestern university. The pretest survey students received extra credit for taking part. After analyzing the findings of the pretest survey, we recruited participants for a pretest experiment which consisted of a convenience sample of size n= 99 of 200 undergraduate students enrolled in a class at a Midwestern university. A response rate of about 50% of the potential participants completed the online experiment. Pretest student participants received extra credit for taking part in the pretest experiment. 43 Design The pretest experiment used an online design to measure the hypothesized protection motivation theory models by manipulating the effect of three conditions (gain/loss/control message), using a classic prospect theory manipulation (Tversky and Kahneman, 1981). Measures of susceptibility, severity, self and response efficacy, coping, locus of control, and confidence in the message communicator were included. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three experimental conditions for the pretest (i.e. control, gain, loss) message treatments. Qualtrics software assigned the participants randomly into groups and ensured suitable cell size by condition (control, gain, loss). Measures Participants in the pretest experiment were provided with a message stimulus about a hypothetical current recall message (Figure 3b-d) in their randomly assigned condition (control/gain/loss). The recall message was based on an actual recall message from Kroger.com website involving Rocky Ford Farms cantaloupe in 2011. Respondents were asked to complete 48 survey items (Table 2) that measured protection motivations, susceptibility, severity, self and response efficacy, coping, locus of control and perceived credibility of the message communicator. After completing the survey in the gain or loss condition they completed 12 demographic measures (Table 3). The pretest experiment allowed the research team to complete a confirmatory factor analysis to assess the measurement model and adjust the experiment content prior to completing the main study. 44 Data Collection Procedures Participants received an email invitation to participate in the online experiment. Once they clicked on the email link, they were assigned to an experimental group, and completed informed consent and a screening question. Participants were pre-screened prior to taking part in the experiment to ensure they routinely make food purchases for individual consumption or make food purchases for consumption by themselves and/or members of their household within the prior six month period. If the participants did not routinely buy food products from grocery stores, they were disqualified from the experiment and linked to a terminal thank you message in the survey software. The disqualification rate during the pretest based on the routine food purchases in the prior six months was 4% of respondents, n=4. The participants reviewed the recall message in their randomly assigned group (i.e. gain, loss, control). After reading their assigned recall message they were asked to complete the survey. The survey measured the hypothesized dimensions of protection motivation theory and prospect theory. Findings The pretest survey (Table 1) among 18-24 year old students at a Midwestern university showed that 89% of 78 participants were familiar with Kroger grocery stores and therefore an experimental stimulus using a retailer such as Kroger was likely to offer greater external validity than creating a fictitious retailer for the stimulus. 65% of participants reported purchasing the majority of groceries at mass merchant supercenters/hypermarkets such as Wal-Mart and Meijer, while 29% reported buying most groceries at national grocers like Kroger. 45 Participants in the preliminary survey indicated that fruit was typically part of their monthly shopping basket 78% of the time. Also, when presented with a shopping cart of typically recalled products, 41% of the participants reported fruit as a ‘must have’ as their primary choice, followed by deli meats at 24% of a typical basket. Therefore we used an experimental recall notice involving fresh fruit to increase the external validity of the convenience samples’ purchase behaviors. In addition, the participant preferences for buying store brands versus national brands were roughly split at 55% and 45% respectively. Therefore we used a fictitious owned Kroger fruit brand for the pretest and main study experiments recall message stimuli in a further attempt to increase external validity (predominant owned brand purchases) for study participants. The Kroger recall message adapted for the experiment was the Rocky Ford Farms cantaloupe national recall caused by salmonella contamination that was widely publicized in the national news media (Figure 3a). Kroger sold the impacted cantaloupe in their stores and produced a recall notice on their website. ‘Rocky Ford Farms’ was changed to ‘Kroger Farms’ in the experimental stimuli to simulate a retailer owned brand for participants. The remainder of the stimuli was identical to control message (Figure 3b). Main Experiment Methods Participants After preliminary verification of the measurement model, survey items, and stimuli we recruited participants for the main study. The main study tested a sample of participants based on the 2010 census estimates of current adult (18+) population of the U.S. of 234,564 million persons (Census.gov, 2011), with a required sample size with a confidence level of 95% and a confidence interval of +/- 3.12 of 987 participants (Survey System, 2011). The targeted 46 population for the main study included typical food retail shoppers who might be impacted by Class I product recalls in the United States. The demographics for sampling included both genders, persons over 18 years of age or legal adults who are involved in food product purchases from retail stores. To acquire an adequate sample size, we oversampled by approximately 21.7%, this plan was based on the recommendations from a ten-year study of online survey response rates suggesting 30% oversampling (Sheehan, 2001). Recruitment of subjects for the study was multi-faceted in an attempt to achieve the desired sample size. We recruited subjects from the following sources for the experiment: 1. Using meta-tags in Qualtrics software so that potential participants doing searches for product recall related information have the potential to find and participate in the study. The meta-tags drew approximately 100 subjects to the survey website. 2. Amazon Mechanical Turk, a website offering a pool of paid experienced survey participants was utilized for the majority of the sample. MTurk respondents were required to be U.S. residents which had earned higher than average ratings in MTurk work assignments from previous employers. MTurk subjects were compensated at the rate of $1 per completed and verified survey. Workers reporting that they had not purchased food in a grocery store during the prior six months were excluded from the study, n=48. 3. Contacting advocacy groups such as Stop Foodborne Illness (formerly Safe Tables Our Priority), hereafter STOP, and soliciting participant lists to increase the number of participants who have been diagnosed by a medical professional with food borne illness and those with experience purchasing products that were later recalled. Workers from MTurk chose to take part in the study based on reasons including: their interest in the study subject matter (food recalls), compensation for completing the study, and 47 availability of the study in their potential work pool based on their experience/performance rating on MTurk. Each respondent from STOP was sent a personalized experimental invitation via e-mail to increase response rates. See samples of invitation message and reminder email in Figure 2a-b. Reminder emails were sent to non-respondents at STOP after 14 days from the initial questionnaire request with the goal of improving response rates. The number of experiment invitations accepted was approximately 1260 with 987 surveys completed, or a response rate of 78%. Approximately 330 participants were randomly assigned to each group (gain, loss, control). Gender distributions on the Internet have demonstrated samples disproportionally favoring male participants (Krantz & Dalal, 2000) and our study was an exception to this rule with a good balance of male and female participants at 48% males and 52% females. Experiments on the Internet may offer a wider age distribution than laboratory studies and more closely approximate the targeted consumer population in the U.S. than convenience samples at universities (Reips, 1996). Our survey had a reasonable distribution of ages (Table 3). Similar to the pretest study, participants were pre-screened prior to participating in the experiment to ensure they routinely made food purchases for individual consumption or made food purchases for consumption by themselves and/or members of their household within the prior six month period. The disqualification rate for the experiment was 4.9% or 48 participants. The percentage was roughly one percent higher than the disqualification rate of the student convenience sample utilized in the pretest. Krantz & Dalal (2000) completed a meta-analysis of 20 online experiments and discovered that excluding whites, no ethnic group exceeded 5% of Internet based experimental subjects with excepting Senior et. al. (1999) study in which Chinese ethnicity was represented 48 between 5 and 10 percent of subjects. Our results were similar, however, Asian ethnicity represented 34% of subjects, Caucasians comprised 52% and all other ethnicities were less than 5% of the sample pool. Socioeconomic status was assessed utilizing two standard SES indicators for health research including years of completed schooling, and household income (Daly et. al, 2000). Sampling statistics were analyzed during the pretest and following main study experiment to determine the mean, standard deviation, median, frequency and range to determine if the desired sampling frame is achieved and is representative of typical adult shoppers in the United States. Design The main study used an online experimental format to measure the hypothesized protection motivation theory constructs by manipulating the message content for three conditions (gain/loss/control message) on measures of susceptibility, severity, self and response efficacy, coping, locus of control, and confidence in the message communicator. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three experimental conditions for the pretest (i.e. control, gain, loss) message treatments. The experimental groups were divided into three groups: a control group, a loss group, and gain message groups and subjects entered the experimental conditions by first reading a stimulus for their respective condition (Figure 3b-d). Experiment participants each completed the same survey items and demographic items regardless of their randomly assigned group. We utilized a between subjects post-test only design to reduce the impact of exposing participants to multiple message treatments (i.e. gain and loss). Each group of randomly assigned participants receiving the control, gain or loss oriented message were measured for the perceived impact of 49 the recall message on threat susceptibility, threat severity, self-efficacy, response efficacy, coping appraisal, perceived credibility of the message communicator as independent variables impacting the dependent variable protection motivation. Participants entered the experimental conditions encountering a product recall message involving contaminated cantaloupe which could potentially result in food borne illness if they failed to take action. The purpose of the hypothetical recall message was to make the participant aware of the potential threat and measure possible reactions to the threat in the present and similar threats in the future (behavioral intentions or protection motivations). Instrument The relationship of the theorized dimensions to one another and subsequent protection motivations were measured utilizing a structural equation modeling approach of prospect and protection motivation theory (Tanner, Hunt, Eppright, 1991). The proposed model specification measured the independent and dependent variables and the relationships between those variables. A multi-group analysis approach was used in which approximately one-third of the participants were randomly assigned to the gain oriented message stimulus, one-third of the participants were randomly assigned to the loss oriented message stimulus, and one-third of the participants comprised a control group. The items used for the experiment are provided in Table 2, along with their source instruments and reliabilities and the Likert scales utilized. A seven point Likert scale with a neutral midpoint value (4) was used to measure all items. The experiment took participants ten to fifteen minutes to complete after clicking the email hyperlink and completing informed consent. Each measure utilized in the study was tested for internal consistency reliability using the 50 following measures: average inter-item correlation, average item total correlation, Cronbach’s alpha coefficients and split half reliability. The validity of each instrument was examined for the following including: content validity, internal validity, external validity, and discriminant validity. External validity was assessed to ensure the applicability of the findings to future tests of recall message content. Statistical generalizability was assessed by drawing a random sample from identified key independent variables (i.e. susceptibility, severity, coping) from the pretest and online main study groups and comparing the means. Independent variables serve as a subset of indicators for latent variables determining theoretical protection motivations with varying weights or probabilistic influence on the risk averting behaviors (Lynch, 1982). Robustness was assessed by comparing two types of consumers, students and non-students. If the means for perceived credibility of the message communicator varied significantly between both groups, then we cannot generalize across samples, thus presenting a threat to external validity (Lynch, 1982). These comparisons were made for the eight indicator variables that comprised perceived credibility of the message communicator from the pretest group and main study groups. No significant differences were found between the means of the pretest and main study groups. Threat Assessment After the participants read a stimulus similar to those presented in Figure 3b-d, the severity of the potential threat from contracting food borne illness was measured by assessing the perceived magnitude of harm, defined as a threat assessment, the participants expected if they consumed the recalled product. The threat assessment items (Boer & Seydel, 1983; Rogers, 1983) addressed the proposed constructs of protection motivation theory: severity of the risk and 51 susceptibility to the risk. These constructs, while viewed as a composite variable, were separated based on a stricter theoretical interpretation (Rogers, 1983). Severity (4 items) is defined as the physical, psychological, or economic harm that may impact the consumer if the recalled product is consumed. Each of survey dimensions for severity and threat assessment contribute to the threat assessment. Susceptibility (4 items) measured and is defined as the likelihood that the threat from the recalled product will impact the consumer or members of their household personally. Susceptibility was measured by assessing the participant's perceived vulnerability to food borne illness, perceived likelihood they will experience food borne illness if they eat the recalled product, and the perceived relevance of the recall message for averting food borne illness. Perceived Efficacy The next group of survey questions measured perceived efficacy (Sherer and Maddux, 1982). Efficacy is defined as the perceived effectiveness of responding and participant’s physical ability to respond, and perceived ease that a response will reduce the risk of injury from food borne illness. Response efficacy (3 items) is the perceived degree that a response to the recall message will reduce or eliminate the threats of food borne illness. We assessed whether participants believe that the gain/loss oriented information will help them avoid injury and if the information is adequate to help them avoid injury. Self-efficacy (5 items) measured the perceived ability to respond to recall messages and whether they are capable of accessing recall information and utilizing the information to avoid injury. 52 Locus of Control The next group of survey items measured the participant's perceived locus of control (4 items) for reacting to recalls based on the message content (Workman et al., 2008). Locus of control items assessed whether participants perceived that recall message responses were within their personal control as opposed to subordinate to the actions of others, such as corporations. The amount of coping response to the threat of food borne illness is contingent on perceptions of selfefficacy, response efficacy, and the locus of control. Locus of control items measured the participant’s perceptions of whether it is within their direct control to reduce the injury or whether important others are responsible for reducing the risk of injury. Protection Motivations We were interested in determining the anticipated longer term behavioral coping effects of gain/loss framed messages on consumers. To assess these protection motivation behavioral intentions we utilized 8 items adapted from Ho et al. (2005). We assessed the impact of gain/loss/control messages on both maladaptive and adaptive coping responses. The between subjects design measured the impacts of gain oriented or loss oriented messages on subjects to determine the difference between message types and if one message type (e.g. control/gain/loss) is more effective at influencing protection motivations. The control group will help us assess whether message framing manipulations are useful for influencing protection motivation behavioral intentions. The advantages of between subject designs are the anticipated reduction in carryover, practice and learning effects common in within subjects experiments (Martin, 1996). 53 Perceived Credibility The final group of 8 items measured participant's perceived effectiveness of the recall message content for all treatment conditions (gain/loss/control) after the coping appraisal had been measured. We will determine if perceived effectiveness of the message influences consumer protection motivations for both the control, gain and loss groups as well. The perceived credibility of the communicator scale is adapted from Newell and Goldsmith (2001) (Table 2). Data Collection The study participants consisted of two groups including: an online panel sample representative of typical U.S. consumers (MTurk) and a panel of members of an advocacy group, Stop Food borne Illness (STOP). Experimental survey responses were recorded in Qualtrics software application utilizing random assignment to the three test conditions: control, gain, and loss message treatments. The responses from both groups were then tabulated using the Qualtrics software and converted into a single SPSS data file. This SPSS file contained the aggregated data set of all three experimental conditions and both groups delineated by identifying variables (1=control, 2=gain, 3=loss and a separate variable to identify STOP participants=1) which was then utilized to assess the distributions of the sample pools to survey items. Main study STOP experiment participants were sent an email invitation to participate in the study, accompanied by an informed consent document. Participants clicked a hyperlink directing participants to a Qualtrics based study website hosted at Michigan State University Department of Marketing. The sample email invitations and informed consent email are 54 provided in the Figure 2a-b. Main study MTurk participants responded to an eligible work assignment which contained the same text as the email invitation and informed consent confirmation. After participants clicked on the hyper-link they were directed to an experimental landing page on the Qualtrics study site. This page contained pre-screening questions including an assurance that the participant routinely purchased food items from grocery stores in the past six months and confirmation that the subject thoroughly read the message stimulus prior to advancing to the survey questions. Participants in the experiment were provided with a message stimulus (Figure 3b-d) in their randomly assigned condition (control/gain/loss) about a hypothetical current recall message of private branded cantaloupe at a national grocery store and then be asked to complete 48 survey items (Table 2) that measured protection motivations, locus of control and perceived credibility of the message communicator. After completing their survey in the gain or loss condition they then completed 12 demographic measures (Table 3). you message screen ended the survey. 55 A thank CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS Statistical Analyses Because of the challenges of low consumer responses to recall messages, it is important that researchers develop and test reliable measures for examining the hypothesized variables. The primary purpose of this study is to understand the role varied recall message treatments have on consumer protection motivations. Different recall message content may influence consumer tendencies to protect themselves from potentially dangerous food borne illness events based on reactions to cues presented in recall messages. An important contribution of the study is to understand the psychometric properties of theorized variables and how they influence the factor structure of the measurement scales used in the study. The frequency characteristics, measures of central tendency, and variance statistics were analyzed by descriptive statistics techniques in SPSS software. Four items in the survey used the technique of reverse coding and were recoded before analysis. The results of this study are discussed in the following sections: 1. demographics of the sample, 2. descriptive statistics of the survey items, 3. measurement model characteristics and findings, and 4. structural model analysis. Demographic Data Analysis of the Sample The first phase of the experiment involved a sample from Amazon Mechanical Turk (MTurk) and was collected from May 3 – May 17, 2012 using Qualtrics survey software. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three experimental conditions (control, gain, loss). 1038 56 surveys were started and 818 were completed, indicating a response rate of 79%. The experiment and survey took on average 10 minutes for the MTurk participants to complete. The second phase used a sample from an online food borne illness advocacy group, STOP Food borne Illness (STOP) and was collected from May 4 – May 31, 2012 using Qualtrics and random assignment to the three experimental conditions. 222 surveys were started and 121 were completed for a response rate of 55%. The experiment and survey took on average 14 minutes for the STOP participants to complete. We suspect the fact that STOP participants were eligible for a random drawing as opposed to guaranteed compensation to complete the survey substantially lessened the response rates for STOP participants. The demographic characteristics of each sample are provided in the Table 3. The two samples (MTurk, STOP) were combined for the measurement model analysis, but several key points about differences between sample pools are noteworthy. The MTurk sample was closer to U.S. census gender distributions of 50.8% females (census.gov, 2012) at 52% male and 48% female, however the STOP sample consisted of a disproportionately larger sample of females at 75% female and 25% male respondents. The MTurk sample consisted of mainly younger individuals with 52.8% or respondents under the age of 34 compared to the STOP sample at 16.8% under 34. The STOP sample was made up of mostly Caucasians ( 91%). The MTurk sample had a disproportionate number of Asian participants, 38.8% compared to U.S. distributions for Asians in the United States at 4.8 percent (census.gov, 2012). Recall experience, defined as buying an item that was later recalled was higher for the STOP sample at 51% versus 40% for the MTurk sample. Diagnosis of food borne illness was 6% higher for the STOP sample than the MTurk sample. Annual income was lower 57 for the MTurk sample with 64.6% of respondents earning less than $40,000 a year compared with the STOP sample in which 23% of respondents earned less than $40,000 a year. Descriptive Statistics of the Survey Items Table 4 shows the distributions for the survey items used for this study. A seven point Likert scale with a neutral midpoint value (4) was used to measure participant responses. Several of the item responses are interesting for future research to assess message manipulation in PMT. One item response pattern (Table 4, #4) showed that a greater percentage of respondents disagreed than agreed the recall message stressed the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe (46.6% disagreeing and 39% agreeing, M=3.77, SD=1.846). Health benefits in the recall message may influence perceived effectiveness of the recall message and should be explored in future research. By contrast, respondents seemingly understood the message about the risks of eating the cantaloupe (Table 4, #5) with (88% agreeing and 8% disagreeing, M=5.8, SD=1.319). Responses to the locus of control items displayed an interesting phenomenon often encountered in individualistic cultures, in which, responsibility is viewed within the individual’s control to prevent illness (Rotter, 1966). 83% of respondents (Table 4, #14) reported that preventing illness from recalls was their responsibility as opposed to agreeing that it was others (e.g. retailers) to prevent illness from recalls at 39%. 47% of respondents (Table 4, #15) disagreed that it was the responsibility of others to prevent injury from recalls. Participants feel that they are personally accountable to take action to ensure the safety of their food and react to recall messages they read. 58 Participants reported that factors which might influence maladaptive responses such as invulnerability to illness because of their genetic heritage, “luck”, and no prior experience with food borne illness were not correct assumptions for avoiding potential illness. 76.3% disagreed with power of their genes (Table 4, #28) to protect them, 53% refuted their luck (Table 4, #29), and 65% discounted their limited prior experience (Table 4, #30), with food borne illness. This finding challenges the assumptions in prospect theory of positivity biases in subjects. The finding also highlights peoples’ understanding of the potential for foodborne illness when defective food products are eaten. On the other hand, after reading recall messages respondents strongly agreed with statements measuring protection motivations. In fact, 92.5% of respondents (Table 4, #34) reported that they will use recall message information to lessen the risk of illness from eating recalled products. This item demonstrated the highest agreement in the sample pools. 91.1% of respondents also reported agreement that information in recall messages provides a means to reduce the risk of serious illness (Table 4, #35). The MTurk survey invitation provided participants with an opportunity to provide researchers with feedback about the study. Supplementing strong levels of agreement were many favorable comments from respondents about the importance of raising awareness of recall messages in the United States. Participants view recall messages as an important way to reduce illness and as a tool for educating consumers. 143 MTurk respondents completed comments about the study. 130 of these responses were favorable and 13 were negative. Some examples of positive comments and all negative comments are provided in table 14. 59 Measurement Model Characteristics Structural equation modeling allows researchers to measure the relationships between measurement components and structural relationships of components to one another. The method models independent and dependent constructs, including latent or unobserved variables. Structural equation modeling first identifies a measurement model through the combination of empirical measurement indicators into unobserved theory driven latent variables. Confirmatory factor analysis is a statistical tool to test the measurement model assumptions to the empirical data (Bollen & Lennox, 1991). Measurement indicators may be reflective or formative. For reflective indicators, causality flows from the latent variables, and error is measured at the item level. Reflective indicators are expected to be correlated. Formative indicators differ from reflective indicators because causality flows from the indicators to the latent construct and error is measured at the latent construct level. Formative indicators are not expected to be correlated (Bollen & Lennox, 1991). This study utilized a formative modeling approach for the following reasons: 1. Indicators are defining characteristics of the construct 2. Changes in the indicator should cause changes in the construct 3. Changes in the construct should not cause changes in the indicator 4. Indicators need not be interchangeable 5. Nomological net for the indicators may differ 6. Indicators do not need to share a common theme (Jarvis et al., 2003, p. 203) Structural equation modeling allow researchers to examine the direct and indirect effects of exogenous (measurement) variables and endogenous (latent) variables. In structural equation 60 modeling the exogenous variables are similar to independent variables which influence the relationships between the endogenous variables. Pretest Analysis A pretest experiment was conducted as a preliminary test of the measurement model before the main study. To test the pretest measurement model, the three conditions were added into a single sample to ensure measurement equivalence. 38 items were included in the pretest study and were the basis for nine latent variables theorized to exist in the model. These included: susceptibility, severity, response efficacy, self-efficacy, coping, maladaptive protection motivation, adaptive protection motivation, locus of control, and confidence in the message communicator. The latent factors are assumed to account for some part of the observed variation with the residual error term which is unmeasured. The 38 items or observed variables in the measurement model assume covariance’s may be explained by the underlying latent factors. This theoretical recall protection motivation model is constructed from many measurement scale sources and is untested in the literature. As a first phase of the study we used exploratory factor analysis (EFA) with the purpose of discovering a suitably parsimonious model. After ensuring as few survey items as possible, we then conducted a confirmatory factor analysis. One goal of exploratory factor analysis is to reduce participant fatigue by reducing the number of survey items. Another goal is to remove less effective survey items from the design. Table 6 contains 2 the findings of the CFA, X = 839, degrees of freedom 239, p<.045 The critical ratio or Wald test determined by dividing the estimate by the standard error more than 1.96 or higher indicated that all factor loadings were significant. 61 Before performing the main study, a survey item was added to the self-efficacy construct to increase scale reliability and compensate for the poor loading of one self-efficacy item (.41), selfeff2 which showed an effective loading of .74 for the self-efficacy construct (#20, Table 7). Due to homogeneity of participants, small sample size and cell depth of the pretest sample, all items were retained for the main study experiment. Retaining poor loading (<.50) items based on the pretest sample size n=99 was prudent as, with a single exception, formative indicators improved in the measurement model of the main study. Poor loadings in the pretest measurement model and main study loading are as follows: susceptibility 1=.52 (pretest) .64 (main study), locus of control 2=.58 (pretest) .69 (main study) locus of control (SELFaccountability) .34 (pretest) .44 (main study), maladaptive protection motivation 2 =.53 (pretest) .73 (main study), self-efficacy 1=.56 (pretest) .75 (main study), adaptive protection motivation 2= .49 (pretest) .62 (main study), and coping 2 .58 (pretest) which decreased to .57 in the main study. Locus of control OTHERS responsibility were removed from the study based on failure to load on the locus of control construct. Main Study Analysis The main study measurement model assessment was conducted in a manner similar to the pretest model assessment. An EFA of all measurement items was conducted before a CFA scale reduction to improve overall model fit within the larger collected sample (N=921. Χ² = 4607, degrees of freedom = 666, p<.001). All unstandardized estimates in the aggregated samples (MTurk and STOP) measurement model were significant, p<.001. To assess the structural component of the model, items with poor loadings were removed. The revised CFA measurement model may be found in Figure 5. Model fit improved dramatically between the 62 main study EFA analysis, (χ² = 4607, degrees of freedom = 666, p<.001) and the reduced model 2 main study CFA, (X = 1081, degrees of freedom = 305, p<.029) (Table 6). Similar improvements were noted in the more parsimonious CFA measurement model, SRMR = .0484, RMSEA = .053, GFI =.922, AGFI = .897, CFI = .948 compared to, SRMR =.080, RMSEA =.078, GFI = .77, AGFI =.73, CFI = .812 for the full EFA model. The results of the main study EFA yielded 14 items with poor loadings. Thus, these 14 items were removed, and 25 were retained to form the reflective indicators of the reduced CFA measurement model. Items deleted include (table 7): Susceptibility 1, Severity 1, Self-efficacy 3, Coping 1-3. The Coping items formed a sub-dimension of coping which is best described as proactive coping compared to reactive coping (the retained items included reactive coping 46).Other items removed include: Adaptive protection motivation, Locus of control, and Confidence in the communicator 1-4. The measurement model was assessed for internal consistency using Cronbach’s alpha. The alphas for the CFA are presented in Table 10. Convergent validity is demonstrated when each of the measurement items loads with a significant value on its latent construct. Convergent validity was measured by using the standard suggested by Fornell & Larcker (1981), loadings over .50 and the AVE explained was greater than the average variance unexplained or indicated within measurement error. Discriminant validity, or the measurement of how constructs differ from one another without sharing variance between several constructs, was calculated by comparing the square root of the AVE to the item to construct correlations. Discriminant validity is established when the measurement items show a suitable pattern of loadings based on theoretical assumptions of the assigned factors (Gefen, 2005). Factor loadings which are less than .7 suggest that greater than 50% of the variance in an observed variable is explained by 63 factors different from the construct to which the indicators are theoretically related (Farrell & Rudd, 2009, p. 3) The underlying items support the theoretical constructs with the exception of the severity 3 variable which had a loading of .63, but was kept for analysis because of its theoretical relevance. Confirmatory Factor Analysis The factor structure of the 27 item post-EFA scale was examined. All but three of the items correlated >.30, indicating factorability. The remaining items were retained for theory assumptions. Next, the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin measure of sampling adequacy was .93, well above 2 the recommended value of .6. Bartlett’s test of sphericity was significant X (378) =15087, p<.001. The communalities were all above .5, indicating that each item shared common variance with other items. The anti-image correlation matrix diagonals were all above .5. Given these findings, confirmatory factor analysis was a viable option for the sample. Principal component analysis was used to examine the ten factor model: susceptibility, severity, self-efficacy, response efficacy, proactive coping, reactive coping, locus of control, confidence in the communicator, adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations. The factor structure was examine with direct oblimin rotation, D=0. Initial Eigen values for the ten factor solution based on the theoretical model explained 77.27% of variance. Eight of the ten Eigen values explained 69% of the variance with values greater than 1.0. Each of the final two factors in the model explained approximately 4% of the variance and were retained for theoretical purposes. 64 Manipulation Check As suggested in Perdue & Summers (1986), study we have two primary goals in performing a manipulation check of the gain and loss oriented message content: 1. Ensure that treatment manipulations are related to the measures of the latent variables they are designed to influence. 2. Assess whether changes among related but independent (control, gain, loss) conditions are statistically significant. We carried out these goals by comparing the means of the manipulation check items and completing an ANOVA on these for the aggregated sample. The dependent variables are normally distributed and verified with q-q plots. We determined whether each message group (e.g. gain, loss or control) differed significantly on protection motivations. The following procedures were used to perform the manipulation check:. 1. The manipulation check pretest consisted of four items adapted from Meyers (2010), (Table 2). These items measured risks of consuming the cantaloupe. To ensure participants perceived the expected differences between each message condition, responses were compared between the control, gain, and loss groups from the combined MTurk and STOP samples. 2. To discover the strength of the manipulations, a one way analysis of variance was performed to measure perceived differences among the three conditions. The findings of the manipulation check are found in table 5. Two of the manipulations check items showed there were significant differences between the three experimental groups: “the recall message emphasized what might happen in the future if I ate the cantaloupe”, F=6.584, p<.001 and “the recall message emphasized the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe”, F=7.558, p<.001. 65 Next, we examined our manipulations with a moderation test in AMOS on the hypothesized model to determine the effect of the predictor variables upon other predictor variables. The predictor variables are continuous and the moderator (gain, control, loss) conditions are categorical. The full model was tested and each insignificant path’s regression weight shared among all three continuous moderators (control, gain, loss) were deleted successively until only significant predictors in any of the three experimental conditions (control, gain, loss) remained for moderation analysis. We regressed each of the outcome variables on the predictor variables for each of the experimental conditions. We then compared the unstandardized regressions for each of the three regressions. Based on the differences in the beta weights, there is evidence for moderation (Table 5B). The unconstrained model comparison to 2 the fully constrained model chi-square difference test, X (16)=27, p<.041, indicates the experimental conditions are not invariant, allowing us to reject the null hypothesis that there are no differences between the three conditions (control, gain, loss). In addition three latent variables provided evidence for moderation effects among the three experimental conditions 2 (control, gain, loss), including proactive coping, X (17)=54, B=.138, p<.001; locus of control, 2 2 X (17)=55.1, B=.067, p<.001; and reactive coping X (17)=53.9, B=.259, p<.001. Common Method Bias Common method variance in structural equation modeling occurs when correlations are not related to actual relationships between the variables, but since they were measured by the same method. In this study, each participant completed the same survey after reading the recall message. To analyze common method bias, we used the Multi-Trait- Multi-Method approach. First, we analyzed the data utilizing Harmon’s single factor test. We completed a factor analysis 66 of the EFA main study model in SPSS combining all measurement indicators into a single factor solution with no rotation. The variance in the measurement model described by a single factor produced an Eigenvalue of 39 with 99.99% of total variance explained. The CFA model was then tested using Harmon’s single factor test by combining all measurement indicators into a single factor with no rotation. The amount of variance in the parsimonious measurement model described by a single factor produced an Eigenvalue of 10.56 and 37.71% of total variance explained. Next, we performed a common latent factor test in AMOS and created fixed value regression lines to each of the CFA indicator variables in the parsimonious measurement model. The common regression weight was B=.37, which was then squared to determine the common variance of the measurement model , or .137 shared variance. Finally, we performed a marker variable test by adding a latent construct and indicators from the dataset, but not part of the model and regressed the common factor construct on the revised model. The market variable 2 test, B=.25, B =.0625, reducing the common shared method variance of the model to approximately 6%, and lower than the common criteria of <10 %. We can conclude that 6% common method variance created from using the same protection motivation indicators in each of the three message frames to measuring constructs influenced minimal bias in our results. Formative Latent Factor Structural Test Further manipulation check testing used structural equation modeling and included a multiple regression manipulation check of the independent variables influence on the construct of the four manipulation check indicators. The findings are presented in figures 6a-c. While all variables were retained for analysis, the control manipulation produced a greater impact on 2 subjects compared with the loss or gain oriented message conditions as evidenced by the R =.30, 67 2 compared to R =.23 for the gain and loss model. This lower explanatory power of both experimental conditions compared to the control provides further support that the models are not invariant and message manipulations influence perceptions of PMT variables. Subjects’ manipulation perceptions did not vary between gain and loss messages. In the gain condition, items for response efficacy significantly influenced the manipulation construct. In the loss condition, severity, self-efficacy and proactive coping were significant. In the control condition, susceptibility, self-efficacy, confidence in the message communicator were significant. This finding suggests that gain and loss conditions may alter consumers’ perceptions of the recall message in different ways. Self-efficacy is significant only in the control and loss condition, suggesting a greater influence on the consumer’s willingness and ability to respond in the presence of the fear appeal, or lack of information in the control condition. This finding may also be supported by the significance (p<.05) for the severity variable in the loss condition, which may also be related to the fear appeal. For the manipulation check in the gain condition only response efficacy was significant. This finding is logical because the message focuses on those who will not become ill and thus is related to taking action. Recall messages that stress how many people will not become ill may increase consumers’ perceptions of response efficacy, or the effectiveness of responding. By contrast, recall messages highlighting how many people will become ill may increase consumer perceptions of severity and self-efficacy. Messages without gain and loss manipulations influence susceptibility, self-efficacy and confidence in the communicator. The suppression of confidence in the communicator in the gain and loss conditions indicates including probable percentages of outcomes does not instill confidence in the communicator. However, these probabilistic cues may influence protective behavior perceptions and taking action to reduce the 68 risk of illness. The goal of examining each of the three groups in a reflective model using SEM shows whether people perceive the constructs differently in each condition. The variation in significance is a good predictor that the gain, loss, and control conditions are interpreted differently by people. Hypothesis Testing We utilized a multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) prior to testing the path model. MANOVA allowed us discover whether the hypothesized independent variables have an effect on the two dependent variables: adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations in each experimental condition (control, gain, loss). MANOVA is useful for measuring the combination of the independent variables main effects on the dependent variables and provides more meaningful results than considering each dependent variable separately as in an ANOVA test. MANOVA also examines the intercorrelations of the dependent variables in the model. To ensure the homogeneity of the covariance matrices across groups we conducted a Box’s M test.. Box’s M test was not significant, confirming the assumptions of MANOVA, F.623, df(1)=6, df(2) 208413, p<.712. A one-way MANOVA showed a non-significant multivariate main effect for susceptibility on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations. A one-way MANOVA demonstrated a significant multivariate main effect for severity on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations, Wilk’s λ = .988, F(2, 910) = 5.35, p<.01, lending support for hypothesis two. A one way MANOVA demonstrated a significant multivariate main effect for self-efficacy on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations., Wilk’s λ = .641, F(2, 910) = 254.64, p<.001, lending support for hypotheses three and four. A one way MANOVA demonstrated a 69 non-significant multivariate main effect for response efficacy on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations. A one-way MANOVA showed a significant multivariate main effect for reactive coping on maladaptive and adaptive protection motivations, Wilk’s λ = .925, F(2, 909) = 15.25, p<.001, lending support for hypothesis eight. A one-way MANOVA showed a significant multivariate main effect for proactive coping on maladaptive and adaptive protection motivations, Wilk’s λ = .968, F(2, 909) = 36.985, p<.001, lending support for hypothesis seven. A one-way MANOVA demonstrated a significant multivariate main effect for locus of control on protection motivations, Wilk’s λ = .988, F(2, 910) = 5.365, p<.01, lending support for hypothesis eleven. A one-way MANOVA demonstrated a significant multivariate main effect for confidence in the message communicator on protection motivations, Wilk’s λ = .901, F(2, 910) = 50.10, p<.001, lending support for hypothesis thirteen. Levene’s test for equality of error variance was non-significant for adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations as expected, allowing us to reject the null hypothesis, confirming the findings of the moderation test. Path Analysis Next, we examined the structural model using path analysis and structural equation modeling in AMOS to analyze the multiple regression model. From this analysis, we hope to better understand the relationships within the formative model from each latent predictor construct influence on maladaptive and adaptive protection motivations independent of shared variance between them. All PMT hypothesized independent variables were allowed to co-vary freely for this analysis and a three group model (control, gain, loss) were tested. The fit statistics 2 for the path model X (3)= 9.243, p<.026 indicate acceptable fit: GFI = .99, AGFI=.89, 70 SRMR=.031, RMSEA=.048. However, because of the multi-group experimental design and the significance of path coefficients, the analysis will focus on individual paths and their requisite beta weights. The critical ratios in excess of -1.96 at p<.05 and 1.65, α = .10, for the predictors effects on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivation were examined in the analysis. We controlled our analysis for each experimental condition (control, gain, loss) as categorical grouping variables. The path model tests the relevant strength of fit of the hypothesized model to the latent constructs. Path coefficient values represent the strength of the correlations between the independent and dependent variables. The path model tested in this study is a multiple regression path analysis through structural equation modeling in which we assume the independent variables are correlated. Hypothesis Results The table summarizing all hypotheses tests is presented in Table 13 and path coefficients are presented in Figures 7a-c. Hypothesis one predicted that perceived susceptibility would influence maladaptive protection motivations in the control condition. We theorize that susceptibility effects are suppressed when message framing is present. The relationship between perceived susceptibility and maladaptive protection motivations was not significant. Hypothesis one is not supported. Hypothesis two predicted that severity would influence maladaptive protection motivations in the control condition. Similar to hypothesis one, we theorize that message framing suppresses the effects of perceived severity on maladaptive protection motivations. Hypothesis two is supported, B=-.226(.091), p<.05. 71 Hypothesis three predicted that self-efficacy, or the willingness and capability to respond would influence maladaptive protection motivations. In all three experimental framing conditions the relationship between self-efficacy and maladaptive protection motivations was significant. Control B=-.579 (.049), p<.001; Gain B=-.621(.048), p<.001; Loss B=-.688(.045), p<.001. Hypothesis four predicted self-efficacy would influence adaptive protection motivations in the gain condition. We anticipated the impact of gain message framing influence on increasing participant perceptions of willingness and capability to take action to reduce risk. Hypothesis four is supported, B=.091 (.027), p<.001. Hypothesis five predicted that response efficacy would influence maladaptive protection motivations, similar to self-efficacy, in all message treatments. No significant relationship between response efficacy and maladaptive protection motivations existed. This is probably due to the fact that the hypothetical recall message reduced the perception of favorable outcomes from responses on which the theoretical variable contends. Hypothesis five is not supported. Hypothesis six predicted that response efficacy would influence adaptive protection motivations in all message treatments. No significant relationship between response efficacy and adaptive protection motivations occurred. Hypothesis six is not supported. Similar to hypothesis five, there may be a dampening effect on perceptions of favorable outcomes from responses to recall messages when they are hypothetical situations and not actual risk events. To better understand the perceived benefits of recall messages responses, it may be necessary to test actual recall event responses in real time. Hypothesis seven predicted that proactive coping would influence adaptive protection motivations across all three message treatments. Hypothesis seven was supported, Control 72 B=.127(.047), p<.01; Gain B=.095(.043), p<.01; Loss B=.195(.042), p<.01. Making a plan to avert illness in the future demonstrated the highest regression weight in the loss condition. This suggests that loss framing may be useful for influencing ongoing behavior change in recall message responses. This logic supports the participant’s maintenance of their health reference point. Hypothesis eight predicted that reactive coping influences adaptive protection motivations across all message framing treatments. Hypothesis eight is supported, Control B=.183(.056), p<.001; Gain B = .357(.053), p<.001; Loss B = .223(.052), p<001. The gain message frame revealed a demonstrably higher regression weight. This finding may indicate that when participants weigh the risk that most people will not become ill, they are more likely to respond to the message when they read it to achieve similar results. This logic supports participant’s maintenance of their health reference point. Hypothesis nine predicted that the loss message frame moderates pro-active coping on 2 adaptive protection motivations. Hypothesis nine is supported. The X difference test showed evidence that the loss condition moderated proactive coping on adaptive protection motivation, with a chi-square difference threshold, 54.2 (17), p<.01. For people predisposed to proactive planning to avoid risks, loss framing appears to be more influential for motivating behavior change. Hypothesis ten predicted that the gain message frame moderates reactive coping on 2 adaptive protection motivations. Hypothesis ten is supported. The X difference test demonstrated evidence of the gain condition moderating reactive coping on adaptive protection motivation, with a chi-square difference threshold, 53.9(17), p<.05. For participants faced with 73 gain message framing, there appears to be a greater desire to react the message immediately to receive the implied gains of avoiding illness. Hypothesis eleven predicted that locus of control would influence adaptive protection motivations in the loss frame. Hypothesis eleven was supported, B=.144 (.048), p<.01. For participants faced with probable losses, the influence of internal locus of control appears relevant to taking action to avoid the risks. Hypothesis twelve predicted that the loss message frame moderates locus of control on 2 adaptive protection motivations. Hypothesis twelve is supported. The X difference test demonstrated evidence of the loss condition moderating locus of control on adaptive protection motivations, chi square difference threshold, 55.1(17), p<.01. When events with probable losses are presented to participants, the relationship of internal locus of control to taking action to avoid risks appears to be an important consideration. Hypothesis thirteen predicted that confidence in the message communicator would influence adaptive protection motivations in each message treatment. Hypothesis thirteen is supported, Control B =.277 (.045), p<.001; Gain B =.195(.045), p<.001; Loss B = .250(.043). It is interesting to note that the regression weight was slightly higher in the control condition compared to the loss condition. This finding is interesting and suggests that probabilistic message manipulations framed as gains/losses may reduce subject confidence in the message communicator. This is likely due to unfamiliar recall messages explored in this experimental design, and additional cognitive processing they elicit in subjects. Attribution theory may also explain this phenomenon, in which subjects attribute blame to the source communicator (Shaver, 1985). To better understand this phenomenon however, repeated measures or a longitudinal study would be required to measure learning effects from novel message manipulations. 74 To assess the models predictive power of maladaptive and adaptive protection 2 2 motivations, the R was calculated for each condition (Table 14). R Measures the variation in the dependent variables explained by the model. The estimates for the dependent variables 2 2 squared multiple correlations or R = .539 for adaptive protection motivation and R =.415 for maladaptive motivation in the control condition. In the gain condition the hypothesized relationships of the protection motivation variables to adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations were R 2= .557 and R dimensions accounted for R 2= 2= .471 respectively. In the loss condition, the hypothesized .605 and R 2= .511 of the variance, signaling the loss condition displayed the greatest potential influence of the independent variables to explain protection motivations. This parallelism in adaptive protection motivation suggests that specific paths show different influences to achieve a similar result through the predictor variables. For example, coping strategies, internal locus of control and confidence in the message communicator are instrumental in explaining the variance in adaptive protection motivations in the loss condition. In the gain condition, however, the internal locus of control variable is suppressed, while selfefficacy influences adaptive protection motivations in addition to coping strategies and confidence in the communicator. This finding is interesting and suggests that different cognitive processes are involved in formulating behavioral intentions when gain/loss message frames are present in recall messages. In the gain condition, both locus of control and self-efficacy influence maladaptive protections motivations, likely by eliciting fear and increasing the intentions to take action. The moderating effects of coping strategies and locus of control 75 perceptions when people face risks needs further study. Likewise, the tendency of people’s willingness and capability to react to recall risks when presented with gain message content also needs to be better understood. 76 CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Discussion The goal of this study was to examine framing effects in food recall communications to discover their impact on protection motivation theory models. Specifically, we wanted to measure the effects of theorized constructs on adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations. To carry out this goal, we used a between subjects experiment that tested subjects by having them read a recall message from a retailer website and then answering a survey. Three conditions were tested: a control, a gain framed message, and a loss framed message. The gain and loss message frames used a prospect theory manipulation in which the impact for risk of illness was identical, but the wording was different. A follow-up survey was utilized to measure differences between subjects’ perceptions of the threat. We measured the effects of efficacy, coping, locus of control, perceived credibility on protection motivations. Protection motivation theory predicts subject behavior changes when faced with risk(s) (Rogers, 1983). Prospect theory focuses on consumer decision making which concentrates on increasing gains. Integrating protection motivation theory and prospect theory to study responses to recall messages was a novel approach used in this research to predict how consumer reactions to recall messages differed when framed with gain and loss message manipulations. Tversky and Kahneman (1981) demonstrated that when participants are faced with the same problem, presented in different ways, that their preferences change. Our study measured subjects faced with the possibility that 80% of people will not become seriously ill versus 20% of people will become seriously ill. Gain oriented messages focus on the advantages of greater 77 percentages of people not becoming ill and loss oriented messages stress the disadvantages of people becoming ill as a percentage. Previous findings from prospect theory suggest that framing is a powerful motivator of consumer perceptions. However, as O’Keefe & Jensen (2006) suggest, challenges exist for influencing behavior change in subjects with messages containing prevention and detection tactics. Most behavior changes are short term unless losses occur periodically to change the consumer’s equilibrium or reference state. Protection motivation theory tries to understand subject decisions that lead to protective behaviors. Prospect theory examines subject choices when facing risks. The bridging of protection motivation and prospect theories to address food recalls, a serious risk, is a logical method for examining decision making under risk. Our research desires not only to better understand the impact of message frames on increasing adaptive protection motivations, but also the influence of the message frames (control, gain, loss) on maladaptive protection motivations. Recall messages fulfill a dual role of detection and prevention. A business issuing a voluntary recall message wants the consumer to search their home (detection) to find out if they own the recalled product. Next, a consumer will engage in prevention behaviors by properly handling the recalled product. This includes cooking, returning, or disposing of the product. Detection and prevention are not mutually exclusive, but interdependent with detection leading to prevention. Detection is necessary but not sufficient for preventive behavior to occur. We suspected that when subjects weighed negative framing for avoiding risk of illness they are influenced more than gain framed participants. This effect produced by the impact of probabilistic statements of sure losses and likely gains controlled in the message content. Preventing injury highlighted in sure loss statements influences participants behavior more than 78 the preventive statements of likely gains. This result is likely due to the immediate nature of the threat by stating a sure loss. Our research study supported this finding in several ways that summarized below. We will first review the results of message framing on maladaptive protection motivations followed by adaptive protection motivations. Maladaptive Protection Motivations—Loss Condition We found that, when self-efficacy increases, maladaptive protection motivations decrease. Participants’ reading a message implying that some people become ill (risk of loss) influences a willingness to react to the message and avoid injury. The loss framed message is effective at decreasing the potential to not take action. This finding supports prior PMT research where loss frames influenced a reduction of maladaptive protection motivations through selfefficacy and response-efficacy constructs (Rippetoe & Rogers, 1987; Boer & Seydel, 1996; Milne et al., 2006). No relationship existed between response efficacy and maladaptive protection motivations in our study. Self-efficacy produced a significant influence on maladaptive protection motivations. This suggests that participants sensed a capacity to respond to a threat but are uncertain if their response will be effective in mitigating the threat of food borne illness. This finding is surprising and may indicate that loss condition messages created a stronger influence on self-efficacy, but the participants felt that responses would not protect them from illness. Prior consumption of contaminated food, doubt of exposure, or other causes may explain this finding. 79 Maladaptive Protection Motivations-Gain Condition When self-efficacy and locus of control increase, maladaptive protection motivations decrease. Self-efficacy showed a much stronger, negative relationship to maladaptive behavior than internal locus of control. Consumers must be willing and able to avoid potential losses inferred by maladaptive responses to ensure they achieve similar gains personally. A consumer’s willingness and capacity to avoid losses is dependent on a perceived benefit of not taking action, such as saving time, that a maladaptive response offers. This finding suggests that consumers feel a strong desire to react to the recall message when faced with potential losses regardless of their willingness and ability to react. A similar finding in the gain frame suggests that selfefficacy and internal locus of control work together to prevent injury through two key processes. First, self-efficacy decreases the potential for maladaptive protection motivations. Second, as participants perceive that preventing the recall risks is within their control, they are more likely to seek the implied gains in the message. Prospect theory suggests that people prefer gains over losses and when presented with a gain oriented message (Tversky & Kahneman, 1981), they are averse to risks and lessen their potential for maladaptive responses. These findings support prior PMT research with greater influence of coping and efficacy on protection motivations (Rippetoe & Rogers, 1987; Boer & Seydel, 1996; Milne et al., 2006). Maladaptive Protection Motivations—Control Condition In the control condition, when severity and self-efficacy increase, maladaptive protection motivations decrease. Self-efficacy demonstrated a strong inverse relationship to maladaptive protection motivations. Severity perceptions were only significantly related to maladaptive protection motivations in the control condition. This finding suggests that participants evaluate 80 severity differently when no framing is present, and the elicited fear increases severity perceptions. The absence of statements of expected gains and losses may explain severity perceptions in the control condition. The recall stimulus in the control condition lacked the specific information about potential illness present in the gain and loss conditions. The lack of information about potential illness in the gain and loss conditions may explain differing perceptions of the severity of the recall message (Maheswaran, 1990; Block & Keller, 1995). It may also show that lack of specific information about potential illness results in the control message elicited doubt and thus influenced perceived severity. Whether recall messages should include specifics about potential for injury or provide other useful information to reduce maladaptive responses needs further research. We view this discovery as promising for recall message research. Summary of Maladaptive Protection Motivations The loss message frame sparked more concern about potential injury among subjects of than either the gain or control conditions. Stronger negative weights of self-efficacy on maladaptive protection motivations in the loss condition compared to the gain and control conditions, indicates that consumers have greater motivations to avoid potential illness. This finding agrees with Meyerowitz and Chaiken’s (1987) prospect theory findings that loss frames lead to higher persuasiveness for breast self-examination and that loss frame participants were more likely to seek mammography (Banks et al, 1995). Our results show that consumers do not weigh coping responses when considering maladaptive responses (not reacting to the recall message). Coping with recall risks underlies the challenges of creating ongoing behavior change and consumer engagement in prevention 81 behaviors. The potential of locus of control to reduce maladaptive reactions to risks supports prior research of prevention strategies relationship to gain frames in prospect theory (Deitweiler et al, 1999). The probability of the lower risk of illness (gain frame) may persuade participants that it is within their control to prevent the risks from the recall based on the message text they re Manipulation of gain oriented messages may produce the dual effect of reducing maladaptive responses while increasing adaptive responses due to the negative effects of selfefficacy and perceived locus of control on maladaptive protection motivations. Loss framed messages also showed a negative relationship of self-efficacy on maladaptive protection motivations. Loss oriented messages may increase a consumer’s willingness to take action to avoid a negative outcome, or facilitate risk aversion, thus supporting gain seeking implied in prospect theory. Adaptive Protection Motivations—Loss Condition We found that when pro-active coping, reactive coping, locus of control and confidence in the communicator increase, adaptive protective motivations increase. When participants read that 20% of subjects will become seriously ill, their personal ability to deal with risks increases and they are more likely to adopt adaptive protection motivations. Participants likely feel that the combination of a trusted communicator and their ability to react by adopting a coping strategy will reduce the probability of illness. Coping plays a role in adaptive protection motivations not exhibited in maladaptive protection motivations in the loss condition, and suggests a greater impact of loss framing on eliciting adaptive protection motivations than gain messages or the control condition. This 82 finding supports the findings of Meyerowitz & Chaiken (1987); Detweiler et al., (1999) who demonstrated the relationship between loss framed messages and adaptive responses. In the loss message frame, confidence in the communicator also displayed a positive influence on adaptive protective motivations. Consumers feel that they must be confident in the source of the recall message to engage in adaptive protection motivations, in this case, a retailer. The role of a credible communicator when subjects face risk appears to demonstrate a strong influence on protection motivations. Understanding the impact of gain or loss frames on perceptions of message communicator credibility, requires further research. When facing sure losses (20% seriously ill), if a consumer believes that he has the ability to deal with the situation (locus of control) and is ready to take action (coping) and the message is from a trusted communicator, then he will likely take adaptive steps to prevent illness. Discovering the influence of trusted communicators in recall communications provides new knowledge for prospect theory and protection motivation research as an important variable of interest. Adaptive Protection Motivations—Gain Condition We found that when self-efficacy, proactive coping, reactive coping and confidence in message communicator increases, adaptive protection motivations increase. The strongest relationship for the gain condition to adaptive protection motivations was reactive coping. This finding is logical because people are likely to perceive greater rewards and lessen potential losses if they are willing and able to react to the recall message. Gain framed messages showed a different effect than loss frames by a stronger influence between self-efficacy to engage in adaptive protection motivations. The assurance that 80% of people will not become ill strongly influenced the willingness and ability of participants to take 83 adaptive protection behaviors. This finding is likely because of the higher implied probability of 80% avoiding injury is perceived by participants as a gain, thus increasing peoples’ willingness and ability to act on the recall message. Reactive coping showed greater influence on adaptive protection motivations than proactive coping. Reactive coping implies gain seeking behavior to achieve similar personal outcomes by participants and supports prior research where gain frames demonstrated greater influence on protection motivations than loss frames. (Detweiler et al., 1999; Rothman & Salovey, 1997). Locus of control, not previously studied in framing manipulations, appears to influence participant’s perceptions differently in gain frames, and moderates adaptive protection motivations. This finding supported O’Keefe & Jensen (2006) and Block & Keller’s (1995) studies that adaptive and maladaptive responses are complicated by other cognitions than classical gain and loss frame manipulations elicit. The cognitions are likely predicated on self and response efficacy variables which mediate protection motivations through the coping response, as opposed to a direct relationship to protection motivations as modeled in this study. Since self-efficacy significantly influenced adaptive protection motivations in the gain frame and maladaptive protection motivations in the loss frame, a test of self-efficacy mediation through the coping variable should be modeled. Fear created from the loss message may be a better motivator of preventive action than the gain message (80% of people not getting ill). Adaptive Protection Motivations—Control Condition We found that when self-efficacy, locus of control, proactive and reactive coping and confidence in message communicator increase, adaptive protection motivations increase. Clearly, severity is perceived differently in the control message than in gain/loss frames. This 84 phenomenon requires further study about the role of threat perceptions when probabilistic outcomes are presented to people. Similar to the maladaptive protection motivation findings, self-efficacy, displayed a role in adaptive protection motivations in both the gain and control conditions, but not in the loss conditions. Confidence in the communicator demonstrated the strongest relationship to adaptive protection motivations in the control condition. Without framing, confidence seems more important in motivating adaptive protection motivations. The relationship of locus of control and coping may be similar to self-efficacy and coping in ordered protection motivation theory, requiring additional modeling (Rippetoe & Rogers, 1987). Summary of Adaptive Protection Motivations Coping appraisals in the loss condition demonstrated a strong positive relationship to adaptive protection motivations and this finding provides support to the controversy in the PMT literature about the value of loss framed messages influence on coping behaviors and subsequent protection motivations compared with gain framed messages (Keller and Block, 1996; Rogers, 1983; Tanner, et al., 1991; Witte, 1994). We found similar strong relationships for loss messages on adaptive protection motivations. Clearly, framing the message in gain and loss formats influences peoples’ protection motivation, whether they are adaptive or maladaptive in nature; however, further research is required to produce more precise message manipulations. Self-efficacy also appears to be an important influence on adaptive protection motivations as shown in both the gain and control messages and insignificant role in the loss message. The fact that self-efficacy was not significant in the loss condition is surprising. Selfefficacy has been demonstrated as an important factor in loss framed message manipulations influence on protection motivations (Keller and Block, 1996; Tanner et al., 1991). It was also 85 unexpected that locus of control would be significant in the loss condition, but not in the gain condition on adaptive protection motivations, but significant on maladaptive protection motivations. Locus of control may be less influential when people are weighing potential gains. The finding that self-efficacy was not significant in the loss frame on adaptive protection motivations may signal that the fear appeal is less effective because of the stated probability of illness in the message, as opposed to the higher probability of people being able to avoid illness in the gain condition. Locus of control is likely a precursor to peoples’ assessment of selfefficacy by an understanding they can control the risk through their actions. Since the weight of self-efficacy on adaptive protection motivation was higher in the gain condition compared with the control condition, we propose that self-efficacy plays an important role when subjects are presented probabilistic data like the percentages of people who will become ill. Positive framing may lessen fear, which in turn, promotes desirable actions. Confidence in the message communicator was another dimension we measured with surprising results. Confidence in a message communicator does not influence maladaptive protection motivations in any of the three conditions in the observed negative relationships of other variables tested. While this relationship has not been tested in the product recall literature, the finding supports Jones et al. (2003) exercise intentions research. This study demonstrated that only positive messages from a credible source were effective in influencing adaptive behavior change. These findings also support Arora’s (2006) findings that credible communicators have greater influence on adaptive behaviors, than on maladaptive behaviors. The unanticipated nonsignificance for confidence in the message communicator and maladaptive protection motivations may be due to cognitive dissonance that participants trust the communicating party, but have no intention of following their direction for many reasons related to cost of response 86 weighting. Since the positive sign existed for all three experimental conditions, the role of the message communicator to influence positively desirable or undesirable responses to recalls will need further study. The contrasting role of proactive and reactive coping on adaptive protection motivations in message frames is the most interesting finding in this study. Coping in loss framed messages increases adaptive protection motivations. Coping in gain framed messages demonstrates a weaker influence on adaptive protection motivations than in loss framed messages, and suggests that loss frames offering probabilities of people getting ill are more effective at influencing protective behavior. Probabilities of persons who will not become ill presented in message content appear to be less effective for influencing protective behavior. Implications Stakeholders in the consumer goods market involving recalls are served some important food for thought from this study. Reinforcing trustworthiness, skill, and confidence by those agents communicating recall messages to consumers have a strong relationship to consumers’ adaptive protection motivations. Message framing may increase the influence of key factors which are likely to increase protection motivations. For messages which use gain oriented message content, key dimensions influencing protection motivations are self-efficacy, confidence in the message communicator and coping responses. For loss oriented messages, self-efficacy, confidence in the message communicator, coping responses, and the added dimension of locus of control show greater influence on adaptive protection motivations. For control recall messages, self-efficacy, confidence, and coping were also influential, although less so than in the loss condition. 87 Susceptibility and severity of risks did not influence consumers’ protection motivations in framed messages. As discussed earlier, the self-positivity biases and discounting effects in the face of real risks from defective food products are largely ignored by customers. Peoples’ strategy for coping where food recalls are routine seems to be linked to specific experiences in the past that shape current and future behaviors. Stated probabilities of illness appear to bring the message more relevance to people reading recall messages. Our research of recall messages has continued for over four years. During this time we have formed some insights about evolving ways that retailers have tried to communicate more effectively with customers and help them prevent injuries from recalled products. We studied low-tech mom and pop retailers who use only an information binder at their service desk to track current recalls or post recall notices on a bulletin board full of competing marketing and informational messages. We studied regional mass merchants harnessing the full power of analytics and customer relationship management data mining to contact each customer who bought a recalled product. This continuum of recall communication still faces problems as “big brother” analytic methods to harness and manipulate data for targeted consumer behaviors increase exponentially in the retail sector. Retailers continue to compete for consumer attention through new technologies by understanding and using personal information to facilitate marketing. One consistent observation that led to this study was attempts by retailers to deploy novel technologies (e.g. email, cellular, Internet, online advocacy groups) to address the recall communication problem. Informing customers about recalls and creating appropriate responses to recall risks remains a challenge in spite of new technologies. Just a decade ago, recall messages were communicated through two primary sources: signage or printed messages in 88 stores and the news media wires. Recall messages were delivered to fewer outlets than current communication channels allow and many consumers were never informed about the risks. More consumers hear about recalls today through ever increasing media outlets, but the response rate remains abysmal. A hit or miss approach to informing consumers about recalls is inadequate for many reasons. Recalls may damage brands, corporate reputations, financial performance, raise health care costs for industry and consumers, and most importantly, threaten human health. In the past decade, retailers have attempted to use various communication innovations including: loyalty data notifications, receipt notification, automated telephone notifications by zip code, mass letter writing campaigns, subscription email notifications, subscription cellular texts, Twitter feeds, consumer advocacy sites posting recall data, government websites, retailer traceability improvements, supply chain improvements and retailer sites with recall notice sections. Despite these uncoordinated tries at creating a compelling innovation to perfect recall message communication, we have learned that recall messages are still not getting through to information overloaded consumers. Indeed, recall message senders must champion their formative role to influence consumers by first prompting detection of food borne risks and then to help prevent them with adaptive consumer coping. On one hand, the recall message content must increase perceptions of sure gains, but on the other hand decrease perception of sure losses. This may be possible in one recall message by creating parallel constructions using opposite statements of probability throughout the message content. For example, a recall message detailing the percentages of people in high risk groups that will become ill and percentages of low risk groups that will not become ill would be a parallel construction. Our findings suggest that rather than relying on dramatic new technological innovations to communicate recalls, the focus should be on the content of the recall message. We must 89 understand the influence of message frames on consumers that may motivate socially oriented behavior change. This may be achieved through what Snow and Benford (1988) have deemed “frame alignment”. Frame alignment occurs when frames are balanced and complementary, creating a “resonance” and allowing predictable subject responses to message content manipulations. An example is including two suitable messages, each framed differently, in the same recall notice such as percentages of people who will and will not become ill to find out if consumers report different protection motivations than in separate frames (i.e. gain or loss). Frame alignment manipulations may influence desirable behavioral results when consumers face risk. Consumers who understand their personal potential for illness are both better informed and able to protect themselves. The goal of frame alignment was displayed in our study when subjects showed negative relationships to maladaptive protection motivations and positive relationships to adaptive protection motivations. Our goal in recall message design is to decrease maladaptive responses and increase adaptive responses and to this extent we were successful. We need to understand how to include different levels of probabilistic statements to increase adaptive protection motivations. The relationships of message framing on protection motivations is less predictable than hypothesized and indicates loss based messages are more effective for influencing protection motivations. We need a better understanding of the value of gain and loss framing to motivate desirable behaviors. Most people, based on experience, think that events in their life will go according to their expectations. Sadly, many people underestimate risk potentials and face unnecessary consequences, especially for food borne illness. For this study, we found that threat assessments were not predictors of protection motivations in any of the three conditions (control, gain, loss). This suggests that covariates such as trust, blame, locus of control, experience and more 90 sophisticated cognitive processes are involved in eliciting an immediate reaction than simply presenting a threat message. Some threats consumers face are of immediate concern while others are background noise and may be discounted. As Kahneman and Tversky (1979) have suggested, consumers must apply complex weighting schemes to prioritize which threats have meaning. Recalls are low priority for most of us because we haven’t experienced life threatening illness, and we have a preference to hope for the best result when faced with risks. Ultimately, consumers may need to experience significant feelings of loss for us to develop feelings of deep regret and stimulate an epiphany for changing our behaviors permanently to avoid future risks. We are only beginning to understand those causes that influence protection motivations favorably, but this study has made headway in our search for knowledge. Consumer notification is one of the most challenging processes in product recall management. Products may be in the consumer’s home and present a race against time to prevent imminent illness by the consumer’s failure to lessen or erase the risks. Because of the critical risks to consumers from food recalls, prospect theory may be an effective tool to help frame recall messages that elicit favorable and timely responses by stimulating predictable behaviors in consumers. In keeping with prospect theory, loss framed messages stimulate consumer fear and produce two desirable effects that offer promise for future research. Another dimension in creating adaptive responses to recall messages involves the perceived credibility of the message communicator. Perceived credibility influences adaptive responses but demonstrated no significant relationship to maladaptive responses. The role of credibility indicates that the consumer who reads a framed recall communication takes the message and its communicator seriously and plans to react. The importance to the consumer of a credible communicator suggests the consumer realizes a retailer is an important reference group. 91 Finally, this recall message framing study offers consumers likely results if they take action. The message frames offer some assurance of illness or avoiding illness. Consumers are more averse to losses than potential gains when coping with a recall threat as evidenced by our 2 R results. Framing appears to influence a consumer’s perception that a desirable outcome is within their control and manifests through a greater willingness and ability to personally act to reduce these implied risks. For practitioners, this study suggests loss framing will influence protection motivations more than gain and control framing. Recommendations for Further Research We have discovered several opportunities for future research based on this study: 1. We plan to design future experiments which manipulate different types of message content to better understand those messages that influence adaptive behaviors. 2. We plan to add additional variables to our model with the goal of explaining additional variance within protection motivations including: experience with recalls (impact), risk level (low health risk/high health risk, blame attributions, social responsibility of the message communicator, and others. 3. We will target broader samples of individuals to participate in our studies to increase validity by surveying underrepresented groups in the United States, such as minorities, elderly persons. immune system compromised individuals, and varied socioeconomic groups who might be less prone to having access to communication innovations for communicating recalls. To achieve frame alignment as suggested by Snow & Benford (1988), the manipulation of gain and loss content must be adjusted to determine if a parallel relationship of the variables to 92 adaptive and maladaptive protection motivations exists. This may be achieved through a more comprehensive analysis of the impact of message heuristics perceptions by subjects at a higher level of precision than this study allowed. Key research areas we will focus on include: 1. Recall problem definitions 2. Attributions of blame called for by product failures requiring what consumers consider non normal proper handling tactics (e.g. cooking thermometers) to avoid risks from the recalled product. 3. Useful information framing suggesting proper handling tactics and other solutions to avoid risk that are actionable for most consumers. 4. Motivational framing such as avoiding serious injury frames in this experiment implying socially accountable consumer actions (e.g. protect your family and friends). 5. Manipulations of relevance to the individual consumer such as manipulating measurements for those who have been or could be impacted by the recall framing. We started our journey for this study by examining how a major retailer communicates recalls to their customers. The alerts messages used as a control (Figure 3b) in our study is a typical message in the retail Internet grocery sites to alert customers. The message is problematic in many ways when compared to the FDA press release for the same recall in Figure 3a, but we kept the retailer’s content for this experiment to gain an understanding of a typical message’ effectiveness on consumers. We believe that recalls are central to only a small number of consumers’ day-to-day threat assessments and decision making. For the rest, the solution to improving responses to the pervasive problem of tainted food is not so simple. We may not feel motivated to audit retailer websites on a regular basis to protect our health. Clearly, this study 93 showed the importance of the consumer’s locus of control when facing gain and loss scenarios. Consumers in the United States clearly want recalls to be within their power to react (locus of control) and eliminate the risks, as opposed to relying on the government or producers to erase risks. On the other hand, if consumers believe that they are personally accountable for food borne illness from improper preparation, they might have different perceptions of locus of control and ways to cope with current and future risks. The relationship of variables such as locus of control and experience will be studied in the future. All food involves some measure of risk to consumers, but often these risks are under the consumer’s control. When foodborne pathogens are discovered, retailers must take responsibility for their errors and help lessen immediate risks to customers. Responsibility to customers may be supported through better detection and prevention information offered in recall messages. Detection message content may describe ways to identify if a product is tainted by using cues to identify the problem (e.g. coding, packaging). Prevention message content may describe proper preparation and storage to avoid potential illness. Based on some of the protection motivation variable loadings found, additional measurement model development is necessary. Some areas for change include: susceptibility, severity, self-efficacy, and potentially others as well. The susceptibility to and severity of the threat of recalled products may need to be expressed more dramatically to influence subjects. Protection motivation classifies risk communications in two dimensions (susceptibility and severity) but these dimensions have done a relatively poor job of explaining consumer perceptions. While Keller and Block (1996; 1998) had some success in manipulating severity in preventative actions to improve protection motivations, other research has been mixed on threat messages and consumer threat assessments. One possible reason for this is when we consider the 94 typically unmeasured variable of experience with a threat as a mediating state, we are likely to encounter different perceptions of severity of the potential risks and susceptibility to them for individuals assessing risk. Future research should compare respondents’ interpretations of susceptibility and severity to assess the influence of experience (e.g. diagnosed with food borne illness) on susceptibility and severity perceptions among participants and what role these experiences have on protection motivations. Likewise, the message treatment stimuli in future studies should be more inclusive of all potential consumers compared to the control message which identified pregnant women and people with compromised immune systems. Other groups such as the elderly and small children have high susceptibility to food borne illness and should be added to messages to increase generalizability. These goals will be achieved through refining survey items, stimuli, and executing a similar study in a laboratory setting. This laboratory experiment will accomplish several goals. It will allow us to test more effective scales for measuring the theories and provide information about the differences between laboratory and online research methods. A modeling technique employing statistical weights to estimate statistical norms in the United States population should be tested to discover what differences exist, if any, between the sampling distributions in this study. Limitations of the Study Convenience samples are limited by geodemographic inequivalence to the United States population. Participants taking surveys for financial incentives may possess resources that other potential subjects of interest do not. For example, access to the Internet, and qualification to take part in the sample by membership in MTurk are potential limitations of this sample. The sample 95 possesses higher levels of education than the general population. Less educated individuals, who could be more prone to food borne illness, were underrepresented in this study and decrease the generalizability of the findings. A single item stimulus involving fruit may not be reflective of poorer families essential shopping cart contents. For this reason, a basket of top priority goods for consumers that might be prone to recalls may provide different insights than contaminated fruit being tested as the stimulus in this experiment. Protection motivation theory and prospect theory provide interesting insights into the way the world works. Combining theories with different findings does not seamlessly provide a model for interpreting the reality that underlies social science data. Statistical assumptions for maximum likelihood estimation may not conform to the nuances of data, measurement, and causal relationships. However, theoretical bases provide an excellent starting point for attempting to understand consumer behavior from risks of defective food products. This study clearly showed that wording and measurement issues in social science research are challenging to fit suitably to a diverse sample and each study offers clues for developing a better research agenda in the future. Qualitative mixed method research methods would have benefited this study by helping to develop more effective survey items. Modeling of data to typical populations in the country studied through weighting techniques should increase the generalizability of the findings. In our study Asians were disproportionately represented compared to the U.S. census population and Hispanics were disproportionately underrepresented in the study. By applying data weights to each racial group to census estimates, our findings may be more generalizable to the U.S. population. 96 Designing a study which is relevant for diverse groups of consumers using hypothetical information is less valuable than live data in real world recall events. A test of the impact on U.S. citizens during a real recall event and the impact of this real-time event on protection motivations could be more effective than an experimental design. 97 APPENDICES 98 APPENDIX A TABLES Table 1. Preliminary Survey Demographics Age 18-24 Convenience Sample Male Female Total Valid Traditional Grocery Mass Retailer Club Local Independent Total Valid Dairy Bakery Fruits Vegetables Eggs Salty Snacks Meat/Poultry/Fish Rice/Pasta/Pizza Peanut Butter Cold cuts/deli meat/hotdogs Ethnic Foods Soups/Chili Spreads/Dressings Sweets/Desserts Total Valid Gender 32 46 78 41% 59% 100% Store type buy most groceries 23 51 3 1 78 29% 65% 4% 1% 100% Shopping Basket Composition (Monthly) 61 59 58 58 49 48 45 45 36 78% 76% 74% 74% 63% 62% 58% 58% 46% 34 34 31 30 27 78 44% 44% 40% 38% 35% 100% 99 Table 1 (cont’d). Lettuce Fruit Deli Meats Ground Beef Cheese Ground Turkey Total Valid Top Basket Priority (Typically Recalled Products) 5 32 19 15 5 2 78 6% 41% 24% 19% 6% 3% 100% Store Brands National Brands Total Valid Brand Preference 41 34 75 55% 45% 100% Yes No Kroger Familiarity 67 8 89% 11% 100 Table 2. Survey Instruments Dimension Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Item The recall message emphasized what might happen in the future if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized things that can happen immediately if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe. Adapted from The recall message emphasized the risks of eating the cantaloupe. The message emphasized things that can happen in the future, Meyers (2010) The message emphasized things that can happen immediately, Meyers (2010). Cronbach's Alpha Scale N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree The message emphasized the benefits of being physically active, Meyers (2010). N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree The message emphasized the risks of not being physically active, Meyers (2010). 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree 101 N/A Table 2 (cont’d). Threat AssessmentSusceptibility Threat AssessmentSusceptibility Threat AssessmentSusceptibility Threat AssessmentSusceptibility Threat AssessmentSeverity Threat AssessmentSeverity Threat AssessmentSeverity Threat AssessmentSeverity I am at risk of getting sick if I ate this cantaloupe. I believe that protecting myself from food borne illness by the information presented in this cantaloupe recall message is Threats to my health if I bought and ate this cantaloupe are The bacteria discussed in this cantaloupe recall message is It could seriously injure me if I didn't react to the instructions in this recall message and ate the cantaloupe. N/A How severe are the consequences of the disease, Boer & Seydel (1996). I think breast cancer is a more serious disease than other diseases I know, Boer & Seydel (1996). Despite the advances of medical science breast cancers remains as serious as it was in former days, Boer & Seydel (1996). N/A 102 .71 (scale) 1=Highly Unlikely 7=Highly Likely 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=not at all important 7=very important .71 (scale) 1=Not at all Severe 7=Very Severe .71 (scale) 1=Harmless 7=Very Severe N/A How severe are the consequences of the disease? Rogers (1983). It is rather probable that I will ever get breast I will get sick if I eat cancer, Boer & Seydel this cantaloupe. (1996). The chance that someone of my age in The likelihood of me comparable conditions getting sick from gets breast cancer is eating this rather large, Boer & cantaloupe is. Seydel (1996). .71 (scale) N/A I am vulnerable to food borne illness if I eat this cantaloupe. 1=not at all vulnerable 7=very vulnerable 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A Table 2 (cont’d). Locus of Control Locus of Control Locus of Control Locus of Control Protecting myself from injury based on in information in this cantaloupe recall message is It is within my control to protect myself based on the information in this cantaloupe recall message. The primary responsibility for protecting myself from food borne illness presented in this cantaloupe recall message belongs to MYSELF The primary responsibility for protecting myself from food borne illness presented in this cantaloupe recall message belongs to OTHERS Keeping my confidential information safe is, (Workman et al., (2008). I believe that it is within my control to protect myself from information security violations, (Workman et al., (2008). The primary responsibility for protecting my confidential information belongs to, (Workman et al., (2008). The primary responsibility for protecting my confidential information belongs to, (Workman et al., (2008). 103 .88 (scale) 1=completely beyond my control 7=completely within my control .88 (scale) 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .88(scale) 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .88(scale) 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Table 2 (cont’d). Response Efficacy Using the information in this cantaloupe recall message will help me prevent injury. N/A N/A Response Efficacy Responding to this cantaloupe recall message is effective for avoiding injury? N/A This cantaloupe recall message offered valuable information for ways to reduce the risk of injury. N/A Self-efficacy I feel insecure in my ability to respond to this cantaloupe recall message. Response Efficacy Self-efficacy Self-efficacy Self-efficacy Self-efficacy I would avoid taking action to this cantaloupe recall message. Responding to this cantaloupe recall message is too complicated and I will not even bother to try. I am able to use the information in this cantaloupe recall message to prevent injury. I would give up on responding to this cantaloupe recall message easily 1=Not at all effective 7=Very Effective N/A N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree I feel insecure about my ability to do things, (Reversed) Sherer et al. (1982). 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly .55 Factor Agree I avoid facing difficulties, (Reversed), Sherer et al. (1982). 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly .67 Factor Agree If something looks too complicated, I will not even bother to try it, (Reversed) Sherer et al. (1982). When unexpected problems occur, I don't handle them well, (Reversed) Sherer et al. (1982). I give up easily, Sherer et al. (1982). 104 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly .68 Factor Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly .55 Factor Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly .69 Factor Agree Table 2 (cont’d). Coping Response Coping Response Coping Response Coping Response Coping Response Coping Response Coping Response I will make a plan of action to protect myself when I read a recall message like this one that may impact me or my family. I will make a plan of action when I read a recall message like this one to protect myself. I will create solutions to avoid food borne illness from recalled food products like the cantaloupe. I will think about the best way to handle the risks from the cantaloupe and avoid injury. I will concentrate my efforts on doing what the cantaloupe recall message suggests to avoid injury from recalled products. I will do what has to be done according to this cantaloupe recall message to avoid injury. I will follow the information in this cantaloupe recall message to avoid injury. Concentrate on ways the problem could be solved, Duhachek (2005). Try to make a plan of action, Duhachek (2005). Generate potential solutions, Duhachek (2005). Think about the best way to handle things, Duhachek (2005). Concentrate my efforts on doing something about it, Duhachek (2005). Do what has to be done, Duhachek (2005). Follow a plan to make things better, Duhachek (2005). 105 .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .87 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Table 2. (cont’d). Protection Motivation-Maladaptive Coping Protection Motivation-Maladaptive Coping Protection Motivation-Maladaptive Coping I do not need to respond to this cantaloupe recall message because I am protected by my genes. I believe that I am lucky enough to avoid illness from this cantaloupe recall. I am unlikely to get sick if I eat the cantaloupe in this recall message because I have never had any serious health problems in the past. I do not need to engage in health behaviors because it one's genes and not one's behaviors that determine whether one is healthy or not, Ho et al. (2005). Staying healthy is a matter of luck, Ho et al. (2005). I am unlikely to get seriously ill as I have never had any serious health problems in the past, Ho et al. (2005). 106 N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree .67 Scale 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Table 2 (cont’d). Protection MotivationAdaptive Coping Failure to engage in specific health behaviors like I am better able to nutritious eating, protect myself and exercise, regular my family because medical check-ups, of the information etc. will increase the presented in this risk of developing a cantaloupe recall preventable disease, message. Ho et al. (2005). Avoiding regular exercise and physical Ignoring recall activity will increase messages in the the risk of developing future will increase health problems, Ho et my risk of illness al. (2005). I am confident that I can make healthy I am confident I lifestyle changes (e.g. will use recall diet, exercise, reduce messages in the tobacco/alcohol intake, future to protect my etc. if I had to, Ho et health. al. (2005). Protection MotivationAdaptive Coping I will use recall message information in the future to reduce the risk of serious illness from eating defective food products. Protection MotivationAdaptive Coping Conducting regular self-examinations (breast or testicular) is an effective means of Using information reducing the risk of in recall messages serious/health is an effective problems, including means to reduce the breast or testicular risk of serious cancer, Ho et al. illness. (2005). Protection MotivationAdaptive Coping Protection MotivationAdaptive Coping Having regular medical check-ups is effective in reducing the risk of serious health problems, including breast and testicular cancer, Ho et al. (2005). 107 N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree N/A 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Table 2 (cont’d). Kroger has a great amount of experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. XYZ Corporation has a great amount of experience, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree XYZ Corporation is skilled at what they do, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 XYZ Corporation has great expertise, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Perceived Confidence of the Message Kroger has the skills to create this cantaloupe recall message. Kroger has great experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. Kroger does not have much experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. .84-.92 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Perceived Confidence of the Message Kroger is making truthful claims in this cantaloupe recall message. The XYZ Corporation makes truthful claims, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree This cantaloupe recall message from Kroger is honest. I do not believe what Kroger is telling me in this cantaloupe recall message. I trust this cantaloupe recall message from Kroger. The XYZ Corporation is honest, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Perceived Confidence of the Message Perceived Confidence of the Message Perceived Confidence of the Message Perceived Confidence of the Message Perceived Confidence of the Message Perceived Confidence of the Message XYZ Corporation does not have much experience, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). I do not believe what the XYZ Corporation tells me, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 I trust the XYZ Corporation, Newell & Goldsmith (2001). .84-.92 108 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree 1=Strongly disagree 7=Strongly Agree Table 3. Demographics Combined Samples Frequency Gender Male 431 Female 459 Total 890 Age Groups 18-24 years 147 25-34 years 357 35-44 years 144 45-54 years 134 55-64 years 85 65 years + 22 Total 889 Marital Status Single 375 Married 449 Separated 6 Divorced 48 Widowed 8 Total 886 Race White 468 African American 41 Hispanic 22 Asian 302 Native American 19 Pacific Islander 3 Other 32 Total 887 Percent 48.4 51.6 100 16.5 40.2 16.2 15 9.6 2.5 100 42.3 50.7 0.7 5.4 0.9 100 52.8 4.6 2.6 34 2.1 0.3 3.6 100 109 Table 3 (cont’d). Family Structure In a marriedcouple family In a family with female householder, no spouse present In a family with male householder, no spouse present In a group of unrelated subfamilies Unrelated individuals Total Recall experience Have you purchased a food item that was later recalled Yes No Total Have you ever been diagnosed with food borne illness by a medical professional Yes No Total 539 61.3 126 14.3 76 8.6 30 3.4 109 880 12.4 100 369 517 886 41.6 58.4 100 219 666 885 24.7 75.3 100 110 Table 3 (cont’d). Current Occupation Managerial or professional Executive, administrative Frequency Percent 88 10.1 86 9.9 160 18.4 45 5.2 60 73 85 72 110 6 6.9 8.4 9.8 8.3 12.6 0.7 23 2.6 Farming, forestry, or fishing 9 1 Precision production, craft, or repair 10 1.1 Operations, fabrication, or labor 11 1.3 13 1.5 12 1.4 7 870 0.8 100 Professional specialty Technical, Sales, admin support Technicians or related support Sales Administrative Service Private household Protective service Service exc. Protective or household Machine Operation, assembly, Transportation or material moving Handling or cleaning equipment Total 111 Table 3 (cont’d). Education Less than High School High School/GED Some College 2 Year College Degree 4 Year College Degree Master’s Degree Doctoral Professional (JD, MD) Total Annual Income Below $20,000 $20,000$29,999 $30,000$39,999 $40,000$49,999 $50,000$59,999 $60,000$69,999 $70,000$79,999 $80,000$89,999 $90,000 or more Total 5 0.6 63 168 7.1 19 85 9.6 342 38.6 192 14 21.6 1.6 17 1.9 886 100 241 30.9 166 20.5 112 13.2 110 12.3 77 8.5 43 4.7 42 4.2 21 1.8 62 874 3.9 100 112 Table 3 (cont’d). SAMPLE 1 MTurk Frequency Percent Gender Male 401 52% Female 370 48% Total 771 100% Age Groups 18-24 years 145 18.8% 25-34 years 339 44% 35-44 years 119 15.5% 45-54 years 96 12.5% 55-64 years 57 7.4% 65 years + 14 1.8% Total 770 100% Marital Status Single 361 46.9% Married 366 47.6% Separated 5 0.7% Divorced 31 4% Widowed 6 0.8% Total 769 100% Race White 362 47% African American 39 5.1% Hispanic 21 2.7% Asian 299 38.8% Native American 19 2.5% Pacific Islander 3 0.4% Other 27 3.5% Total 770 100% SAMPLE 2 STOP Frequency Percent Gender Male 30 25.2% Female 89 74.8% Total 119 100% Age Groups 18-24 years 2 1.7% 25-34 years 18 15.1% 35-44 years 25 21.0% 45-54 years 38 31.9% 55-64 years 28 23.5% 65 years + 8 6.7% Total 119 100% Marital Status Single 14 12.0% Married 83 70.9% Separated 1 0.9% Divorced 17 14.5% Widowed 2 1.7% Total 117 100% Race White 106 90.6% African American 2 1.7% Hispanic 1 0.9% Asian 3 2.6% Native American 0 0.0% Pacific Islander 0 0.0% Other 5 4.3% Total 117 100% 113 Table 3 (cont’d). Family Structure In a marriedcouple family In a family with female householder, no spouse present In a family with male householder, no spouse present In a group of unrelated subfamilies Unrelated individuals Total Recall experience Have you purchased a food item that was later recalled Yes No Total Have you ever been diagnosed with food borne illness by a medical professional Yes No Total 453 107 Family Structure In a married59.2% couple family In a family with female householder, no 14% spouse present 70 9.2% 30 3.9% 105 765 13.7% 100% 309 459 768 40.2% 59.8% 100% 183 583 766 23.9% 76.1% 100% In a family with male householder, no spouse present In a group of unrelated subfamilies Unrelated individuals Total Recall experience Have you purchased a food item that was later recalled Yes No Total Have you ever been diagnosed with food borne illness by a medical professional Yes No Total 114 86 74.8% 19 16.5% 6 5.2% 0 0.0% 4 115 3.5% 100% 60 58 118 50.8% 49.2% 100% 36 83 119 30.3% 69.7% 100% Table 3 (cont’d). Current Occupation Managerial or professional specialty Executive, administrative or managerial Professional specialty Technical, Sales, or administrative support Technicians or related support Sales Administrative support or clerical Service Private household Protective service Service exc. Protective, house Farming, forestry, or fishing Precision production, craft, rep Operations, fabrication, or labor Machine Operation, assembly, or inspect. Transportation or material moving Handling or cleaning equipment, help, lbr Total 67 8.8% 79 10.4% 124 16.4% 44 5.8% 56 70 7.4% 9.2% 75 68 92 4 9.9% 9% 12.1% 0.5% 22 2.9% 9 1.2% 7 0.9% 11 1.5% 13 1.7% 10 1.3% 7 758 0.9% 100% Current Occupation Managerial or professional specialty Executive, administrative or managerial Professional specialty Technical, Sales, or administrative support Technicians or related support Sales Administrative support or clerical Service Private household Protective service Service exc. Protective, house Farming, forestry, or fishing Precision production, craft, rep Operations, fabrication, or labor Machine Operation, assembly, or inspect. Transportation or material moving Handling or cleaning equipment, help, lbr Total 115 21 18.8% 7 6.3% 36 32.1% 1 0.9% 4 3 3.6% 2.7% 10 4 18 2 8.9% 3.6% 16.1% 1.8% 1 0.9% 0 0.0% 3 2.7% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 2 1.8% 0 112 0.0% 100% Table 3 (cont’d). Education Less than High School High School/GED Some College 5 58 147 Education Less than High 0.7% School 7.6% High School/GED 19.1% Some College 0 5 21 0.0% 4.2% 17.8% 2 Year College Degree 78 2 Year College 10.2% Degree 7 5.9% 4 Year College Degree Master’s Degree Doctoral 296 162 12 4 Year College 38.5% Degree 21.1% Master’s Degree 1.6% Doctoral 46 30 2 39.0% 25.4% 1.7% 7 118 5.9% 100% 4 9 11 16 12 6 10 7 30 105 3.8% 8.6% 10.5% 15.2% 11.4% 5.7% 9.5% 6.7% 28.6% 100% Professional (JD, MD) Total Annual Income Below $20,000 $20,000-$29,999 $30,000-$39,999 $40,000-$49,999 $50,000-$59,999 $60,000-$69,999 $70,000-$79,999 $80,000-$89,999 $90,000 or more Total 10 768 237 157 101 94 65 37 32 14 32 769 Professional (JD, 1.3% MD) 100% Total Annual Income 30.9% Below $20,000 20.5% $20,000-$29,999 13.2% $30,000-$39,999 12.3% $40,000-$49,999 8.5% $50,000-$59,999 4.8% $60,000-$69,999 1.8% $70,000-$79,999 3.9% $80,000-$89,999 4.2% $90,000 or more 100% Total 116 Table 4. Descriptive Statistics Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Item The cantaloupe recall message was believable. The recall message emphasized what might happen in the future if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized things that can happen immediately if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized the risks of eating the cantaloupe. I am vulnerable to food borne illness if I eat this cantaloupe. I will get sick if I eat this cantaloupe. The likelihood of me getting sick from eating this cantaloupe is. I am at risk of getting sick if I ate this cantaloupe. Threats to my health if I bought and ate this cantaloupe are It could seriously injure me if I didn't react to the instructions in this recall message and ate the... Protecting myself from injury based on information in this cantaloupe recall message is It is within my control to protect myself based on the information in this cantaloupe recall message... The primary responsibility for protecting me from food borne illness presented in this cantaloupe... 117 Mean S.D. % Disagree % Agree 5.6 1.338 8.7% 84.1% 5.4 1.428 12.9% 81.4% 1.66 29% 55.7% 3.77 1.846 46.6% 38.6% 5.8 1.319 7.9% 87.6% 5.19 1.576 15.8% 74.4% 4.46 4.7 1.482 19.7% 61.2% 30.6% 57.2% 4.42 1.561 unlikely likely 5.21 1.447 13.7% 77.7 19.5% 58.1% below above 4.72 1.534 average average 4.97 1.47 17.7% 8.3% 5.53 1.353 unlikely 5.97 1.177 4.9% 5.65 1.361 9% myself 70.5% 81.9% likely 89.6% 83% myself Table 4 (cont’d). 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 The primary responsibility for protecting me from food borne illness presented in this cantaloupe... Using the information in this cantaloupe recall message will help me prevent injury. Responding to this cantaloupe recall message is effective for avoiding injury? I am able to use the information in this cantaloupe recall message to prevent injury. I would give up on responding to this cantaloupe recall message easily Taking action based on this recall notice is too complicated. I will concentrate on ways to reduce the risk of illness based on this cantaloupe recall message. I will make a plan of action to protect myself when I read a recall message like this one. I will create solutions to avoid food borne illness from recalled food… I will think about the best way to handle the risks from the…. I will concentrate my efforts on doing what the cantaloupe recall message suggests to avoid injury… I will do what has to be done according to this cantaloupe recall message to avoid injury. I will follow the information in this cantaloupe recall message to avoid injury. I do not need to respond to this cantaloupe recall message because I am protected by my genes. I believe that I am lucky enough to avoid injury from this cantaloupe recall. 118 46.7% 3.71 1.804 others 38.8% others 5.61 1.255 6.5% 84.7% 5.53 1.301 8.5% 83.1% 5.6 1.331 8.3% 83.8% 3.57 1.884 50% 32.4% 5.6 1.331 66.3% 26.1% 5.41 1.308 8.4% 79.9% 5.59 1.301 7.5% 83.5% 5.34 1.33 9.3% 76.7% 5.51 1.243 7.7% 83.3% 5.64 1.28 6.7% 84.3% 5.8 1.165 4.9% 88% 5.84 1.198 6% 88.8% 2.44 1.637 76.3% 10.7% 3.39 1.977 53.2% 35.4% Table 4 (cont’d). 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 I am unlikely to get sick if I eat the cantaloupe in this recall message because I have never had an... I am better able to protect myself and my family because of the information presented in this cantal... Ignoring recall messages in the future will increase my risk of illness. I am confident I will use recall messages in the future to protect my health. I will use recall message information in the future to reduce the risk of serious illness from eatin... Using information in recall messages is an effective means to reduce the risk of serious illness. This retailer has a great amount of experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. This retailer has the skills to create this cantaloupe recall message. This retailer has enough experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. This retailer does not have much experience to create this cantaloupe recall message. R This retailer is making truthful claims in this cantaloupe recall message. This cantaloupe recall message from this retailer is honest. I do not believe what this retailer is telling me in this cantaloupe recall message. R I trust this cantaloupe recall message from this retailer. 119 2.96 1.74 65% 22% 5.84 1.159 4.7% 89.2% 5.78 1.265 6.9% 77.5% 5.97 1.025 3.2% 87.5% 5.97 1.046 3.2% 92.5% 5.94 1.053 3.5% 91.1% 4.94 1.371 9.8% 59.6% 5.24 1.362 9.3% 72.7% 5.18 1.372 8.9% 70.7% 3.13 1.578 60.9% 17.5% 5.53 1.144 4.4% 80.7% 5.69 1.111 4.3% 85.5% 1.84 66.7% 22.6% 5.74 1.082 3.9% 88 2.98 Table 5A. Manipulation Check Mean Comparison The recall message The emphasized Mean cantaloupe what might Condition recall happen in message the future if was I ate the believable. cantaloupe. Sample mean 5.60 5.40 Loss 5.64 5.52 condition mean Gain 5.63 5.42 condition mean Control 5.53 5.26 condition mean The recall message emphasized things that can happen immediately if I ate the cantaloupe. 4.46 4.71 The recall message emphasized the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe. 3.77 3.98 The recall message emphasized the risks of eating the cantaloupe. 5.80 5.89 4.45 3.89 5.83 4.22 3.44 5.68 Table 5B. Analysis of Variance Manipulation Check Combined Samples, Control, Gain, and Loss Conditions Item The cantaloupe recall message was believable. The recall message emphasized what might happen in the future if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized things that can happen immediately if I ate the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized the health benefits of not eating the cantaloupe. The recall message emphasized the risks of eating the cantaloupe. F Sig. .558 2.519 .081 6.584 .001 7.558 .001 2.006 120 .573 .135 Table 5C. Moderation Test of Predictor Variables Effects on Dependent Variables Unconstrained Model Variable(s) Control Severity----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Self-efficacy----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Locus of Control----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Self-efficacy----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Proactive Coping----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Confidence in the Communicator-->Adaptive Protection Motivations Locus of Control----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Reactive Coping----->Adaptive Protection Motivations -.172** .569*** .006 (n.s.) .055* .120* Gain Loss .107(n.s.) -.137* -.615*** -.686*** -.174* .087*** .116** .063(n.s.) .036(n.s.) .202*** .284*** .192*** .129* .011(n.s.) .197*** .326*** .250*** .158*** .219*** Full Constrained Model Severity----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Self-efficacy----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Locus of Control (self)----->Maladaptive Protection Motivations Self-efficacy----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Proactive Coping----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Confidence in the Communicator-->Adaptive Protection Motivations Locus of Control----->Adaptive Protection Motivations Reactive Coping----->Adaptive Protection Motivations X2 Thresholds: *p<.05=53.61, **p<.01=54.99, **p<.001=58.21. Chisquare Threshold (n.s.) (n.s.) 54.2 17 .233*** .066*** .259*** (n.s.) 55.1** 53.9* 17 17 ChiSquare 49 76 27 Variable(s) Control Gain Loss .141*** .625*** -.036 (n.s.) .060*** .138*** df 15 31 16 df (n.s.) (n.s.) X2 Difference Test Overall Model Unconstrained Fully Constrained Difference 121 p-value .041* Table 6. Model Fit Statistics, EFA and CFA Model EFA CFA 2 Χ df p SRMR RMSEA GFI AGFI CFI 4607 666 <.001 0.08 0.078 0.77 0.73 0.812 1081 305 0.029 0.048 0.053 0.922 0.897 0.948 122 Table 7. Main Study Factor Loadings (EFA) Number 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 Item TASUS1 TASUS2 TASUS3 TASUS4 TASEV1 TASEV2 TASEV3 TASEV4 LOCUS1 LOCUS2 LOCUS RESPON1 RESPON2 RESPON3 SELFEF1 SELFEF2 SELFEF3 COPING1 COPING2 COPING3 COPING4 COPING5 COPING6 MALPROT1 MALPROT2 MALPROT3 ADPROT1 ADPROT2 ADPROT3 ADPROT4 ADPROT5 CONFCOM1 CONFCOM2 CONFCOM3 CONFCOM4 CONFCOM5 CONFCOM6 CONFCOM7 CONFCOM8 Unstandardized Loading (Standard Standardized 2 R Error) Loading .871 (.045) 0.641 0.411 .913 (.042) 0.714 0.509 .930 (.044) 0.691 0.478 1 0.803 0.644 .662 (.041) 0.552 0.305 .918 (.045) 0.674 0.455 .744 (.041) 0.612 0.374 1 0.766 0.587 1 0.789 0.623 .762 (.035) 0.687 0.472 .560 (.043) 0.439 0.193 .986 (.034) 0.851 0.724 .989 (.036) 0.825 0.681 1 0.815 0.664 2.455 (.213) 0.751 0.564 2.326 (.201) 0.741 0.549 1 0.412 0.17 .841 (.036) 0.67 0.449 .730 (.039) 0.57 0.325 .805 (.035) 0.673 0.454 1.027 (.032) 0.833 0.695 .959 (.028) 0.854 0.73 1 0.867 0.751 1 0.81 0.656 1.085 (.049) 0.728 0.53 1.038 (.043) 0.791 0.626 1 0.703 0.495 .966 (.054) 0.623 0.389 1.023 (.045) 0.813 0.66 1.060 (.046) 0.824 0.679 .981 (.045) 0.765 0.584 1 0.577 0.333 1.212 (.075) 0.705 0.496 1.200 (.075) 0.687 0.472 1.046 (.081) 0.51 0.26 1.067 (.064) 0.741 0.55 1.029 (.062) 0.738 0.545 .978 (.077) 0.502 0.252 1.054 (.061) 0.77 0.593 123 Table 8. Main Study Factor Loadings (CFA reduced model). Number 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 17 18 19 20 21 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 34 35 36 41 42 44 Item TASUS2 TASUS3 TASUS4 TASEV2 TASEV3 TASEV4 LOCUS1 LOCUS2 RESPON1 RESPON2 RESPON3 SELFEF1 SELFEF2 COPING1 COPING2 COPING3 COPING4 COPING5 COPING6 MALPROT1 MALPROT2 MALPROT3 ADPROT3 ADPROT4 ADPROT5 CONFCOM5 CONFCOM6 CONFCOM8 Unstandardized Loading (Standard Error) 1 1.043 (.052) 1.019 (.048) .957 (.046) .982 (.034) 1 1 .744 (.036) .982 (.034) .983 (.035) 1 1 .957 (.045) 1.074 1.047 1 .974 (.030) .937 (.026) 1 1 1.088 (.049) 1.038 (.043) 1 1.035 (.036) .941 (.037) 1 1.078 (.046) 1.086 (.045) 124 Standardized Loading 0.736 0.73 0.77 0.703 0.628 0.767 0.788 0.67 0.85 0.823 0.818 0.769 0.77 .763 .728 .763 0.817 0.862 0.895 0.81 0.729 0.791 0.831 0.841 0.767 0.741 0.824 0.846 2 R 0.542 0.533 0.594 0.494 0.394 0.588 0.621 0.448 0.723 0.677 0.668 0.591 0.593 .582 .530 .556 0.667 0.743 0.801 0.656 0.531 0.625 0.69 0.707 0.588 0.549 0.679 0.716 Table 9. Item and Scale Reliabilities, Reduced Model (CFA) Number 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 17 18 19 20 21 23 24 Item Loading AVE Scale TASUS2 0.736 0.541 TASUS3 0.731 0.535 TASUS4 0.770 0.592 Susceptibility TASEV2 0.767 0.493 TASEV3 0.788 0.395 TASEV4 0.67 0.588 Severity LOCUS1 0.628 0.621 LOCUS2 0.767 0.448 Locus of Control RESPON1 0.791 0.723 RESPON2 0.831 0.678 RESPON3 0.841 0.668 Response Efficacy SELFEF1 0.81 0.591 SELFEF2 0.729 0.594 Self-efficacy COPING1 0.763 0.582 COPING2 0.728 0.530 25 26 27 28 29 30 COPING3 COPING4 COPING5 COPING6 MALPROT1 MALPROT2 0.746 0.829 0.865 0.884 0.769 0.77 31 34 35 36 41 42 44 MALPROT3 ADPROT3 ADPROT4 ADPROT5 CONFCOM5 CONFCOM6 CONFCOM8 0.85 0.823 0.818 0.703 0.736 0.73 0.77 0.556 Pro-active Coping 0.687 0.748 0.782 Reactive Coping 0.655 0.531 Maladaptive Protection 0.625 Motivation 0.697 0.706 0.583 Adaptive Protection Motivation 0.549 0.678 0.716 Confidence in Communicator 125 Cronbach's Alpha 0.790 0.745 0.69 0.868 0.744 0.791 .893 0.821 0.852 0.846 Table 10A. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions (Control Condition) CONTROL Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Estimate <--- Susceptibility <--- Severity Response <--- Efficacy <--- Self-efficacy Pro-active <--- Coping Reactive <--- Coping Confidence in Manipulation the Check <--- Communicator Manipulation Locus of Check <--- Control ***p<.001, **p<.01, *p<..05 S.E. C.R. P .216 0.057 3.764 *** 0.073 0.071 1.029 0.304 0.111 0.072 1.534 0.125 -0.132 0.039 -3.42 *** .069 -.898 .369 -0.077 0.083 -.932 .351 0.244 0.066 3.70 *** 0.138 0.078 1.78 0.076 -.062 126 Table 10B. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions (Gain Condition) GAIN Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Estimate S.E. C.R. P <--- Susceptibility 0.089 0.058 1.538 0.124 <--- Severity Response <--- Efficacy 0.075 0.063 1.190 0.234 <--- Self-efficacy Proactive <--- Coping Reactive <--- Coping Confidence in Manipulation the Check <--- Communicator Manipulation Locus of Check <--- Control ***p<.001, **p<.01, *p<..05 0.171 0.065 2.635 ** 0.065 0.040 1.646 0.100 0.071 0.064 1.099 0.272 0.035 0.081 .435 0.663 0.118 0.068 1.732 0.083 0.006 0.071 0.092 0.927 127 Table 10 C. Manipulation Check Structural Formative Model for Theorized Protection Motivation Dimensions (Loss Condition) LOSS Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Manipulation Check Estimate S.E. C.R. P <--- Susceptibility 0.030 0.057 0.533 0.594 <--- Severity Response <--- Efficacy 0.133 0.062 2.146 <--- Self-efficacy Pro-active <--- Coping Reactive <--- Coping Confidence in Manipulation the Check <--- Communicator Manipulation Locus of Check <--- Control ***p<.001, **p<.01, *p<..05 -0.005 0.061 -.092 .174 .035 -.082 0.935 -2.62 ** .061 2.871 ** .131 0.075 -1.75 0.081 0.096 0.062 1.541 0.061 0.069 128 * .123 .884 0.377 Table 11A. Significant Multivariate Effects, Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) Wilk's Lambda Variable(s) Susceptibility Severity Response Efficacy Self- Efficacy Proactive Coping Reactive Coping Locus of Control Confidence in the Message Communicator Treatment (control, gain, loss) 1 0.988 0.994 0.643 0.968 0.925 0.989 F 0.18 5.393 2.53 252.0 15.24 36.89 5.24 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0.907 46.80 0.997 0.67 2 4 Table 11B. Box's Test of Equality of Covariance Matrices Box's M F df (1) df (2) Significance 3.751 0.623 6 2084 0.712 Table 11C. Levene's Test of Equality of Error Variances Variable(s) Maladaptive Protection Motivations Adaptive Protection Motivations df df F (1) 0.655 2 0.162 2 129 df (2) 918 918 p 0.52 0.85 Error df 909 909 909 909 909 909 909 p n.s. 0.005** n.s. .000*** .000*** .000*** .005** 909 .000*** 1818 n.s. Table 12. Hypothesis Test for Structural Model Path Analysis Dependent Variable Maladaptive Protection Motivation Maladaptive Protection Motivation Maladaptive Protection Motivation Adaptive Protection Motivation Independent Variable β <-- Control Susceptibility .072 .073 .983 <-<-- Control Severity Control/Gain/ Loss Self-efficacy -.226 -.579 -.621 -.688 .091 .049 .048 .045 -2.48 -11.7 -12.92 -15.39 *** 3 Supported <-- Gain Self-efficacy .091 .027 3.424 *** 4 Supported Control/Gain/ Loss Response Efficacy .019 -.069 .012 .060 .051 .049 .324 -1.357 .241 Maladaptive Protection Pro-active Coping Moderation Test (Tbl. 5B) Gain --> Reactive Coping Loss Locus of Control Moderation Test (Tbl. 5B) Loss Locus of Control <-- Control/Gain/ Loss Confidence in the Message Communicator <-- <-<-- .059 -.065 -.033 .049 .043 .042 1.203 -1.531 -.782 .127 .095 .195 .047 .043 .042 2.683 2.233 4.652 ** 7 Supported .183 .357 .223 .056 .053 .052 3.247 6.672 4.334 *** 8 Supported n.s. 6 Not Supported 9 Supported 10 Supported .144 .048 3.009 ** 11 Supported 12 Supported .277 .195 .250 .045 .045 .043 131 6.114 4.284 5.818 *** 13 Supported 2 Table 13. R Summary by Experimental Condition 2 2 R R Adaptive Maladaptive Control 0.539 0.415 Gain 0.557 0.471 Loss 0.605 0.511 132 Table 14. MTurk Participant Experiment Comments Post-test POSITIVE /QUALITATIVE COMMENTS It was a good survey to be part of. I am generally very likely to catch disease because of my low immunity. So I don’t take any kind of risks related to food products as I had a previous experience of getting sick due to food products. Completed cantaloupe recall message survey. It was a very well thought out survey. We take such recalls seriously. We would return or throw out possibly contaminated food. I was affected by the Listeria outbreak last summer. The cantaloupes in question were from Colorado. Nasty stuff, Listeria. Made me hesitant to eat cantaloupes ever since. For whatever cynical perspective I have, I would think the producers would attempt to disguise or hide from food contamination charges if they could, and only bring them to light as a consequence of exposure via media, etc. illness from food borne pathogens, now that just freaks me out. I use to pay really close attention to recalls when I had a new born, cause baby products seem to get recalled a lot. Food recalls are not as common and the totally freak me out. NEGATIVE COMMENTS Most boring, tedious, pointless study ever! Talk about over-complicating things! Is a simple recall notice so unfathomable to the average American that you need to ask the same questions so many slightly re-worded ways to make sense of it? Jee-zus..... I found the use of the term 'injury' to be confusing. After several questions with injury in it, I realized that you must be using it as a synonym for illness. But the first few questions with that term I answered false, as I deem injury to be more direct physical damage. You don't get injured from the flu, for example, although you do suffer an illness. this survey was very long. It asked the same questions over and over. I think u would get more honest answers if u cut out half the questions in this survey The questions got a little repetitive and it seemed like you were asking for the same response in several questions. survey seemed very wordy!! Asking the same question in 10 different ways. Questions were very repetitive - if it's not necessary to ask the same thing 4 different ways for your research, I would strongly suggest cutting it down. 133 Table 14 (cont’d). due to the nature of the threat of the recall identifying pregnant women as more vulnerable, it might have been a good survey question to ask if the survey taker is pregnant or has young children This is A good survey. So far I have taken many surveys and this one of the best and an interesting one. Its very important to buy food items which are safe and not contaminated. This was a well-presented survey, easy to understand. The questions were appropriate and there was sufficient variety in the responses provided. It was not at all confusing, and I like the survey. Great survey, just the exact amount of questions per page to make the survey easy to understand and do. I buy only organic fruits and vegetables. I ALWAYS wash my fruits/veggies first before we eat them. I use extra precautions like this for this exact purpose. Better safe than sorry:) I worked in a restaurant for about 6 months. Some of the food handling procedures were useful. Others were stupid. Like pouring bleach on leftover food. This was supposed to keeps bums from taking it out of the dumpster. Interesting survey--hard to believe people would ignore such warnings. Jesus Christ guys, you ask the same god damn questions 15-20 different ways each Many of the questions were very repetitive. They were just worded slightly differently from each other. Sometimes the same question was asked 4 times in a row. probably entered this like it says in the directions, but there were so many duplicate questions I don't remember now. Perhaps the most annoying study I have ever taken, due to its format. I had problems with the recall notice. I do not feel like it addressed how the recall should be addressed with the normal individual. Only if you were pregnant or had immune problems I thought that a number of the sentences kept repeating themselves-they were phrased differently but said essentially the same thing. Also, the English in some of the sentences sounded a little awkward and not quite natural. Otherwise, though, I thought the survey was fine. Some of the questions were worded a little strangely. I had to read them several times to make sure I understood what was being asked. 134 APPENDIX B FIGURES Figure 1. Conceptual Diagram of Prospect Theory and Protection Motivation Theory Experiment 135 Figure 2A. Informed Consent Message Research Participant Information and Consent Form 1. EXPLANATION OF THE RESEARCH AND WHAT YOU WILL DO:    2. You are being asked to participate in a research study of your perceptions food product recall messages The research study were conducted (online). You were asked to read a recall message followed by a short survey. You must be 18 years of age to participate in this research study. YOUR RIGHT TO PARTICIPATE, SAY NO, OR WITHDRAW:  Participation in this research project is completely voluntary. You have the right to say no. You may change your mind at any time and withdraw. You may choose not to answer specific questions or to stop participating at any time. Whether you choose to participate or not will have no effect on your grade or evaluation. 3. COMPENSATION FOR BEING IN THE STUDY:  A random drawing of five $100 VISA gift cards were conducted at the end of the study and you may win. You were notified by email if you are a winner and a request for your shipping information to receive the gift card. You must complete the survey to be entered into the gift card drawing. 4. CONTACT INFORMATION FOR QUESTIONS AND CONCERNS If you have concerns or questions about this study such as scientific issues, how to do any part of it, or to report an injury, please contact the researcher (Greg Clare, 314 Communication Arts and Sciences, East Lansing, MI 48824, claregre@msu.edu, 517-353-3299. You may also contact the principal investigator Patricia Huddleston @ huddles2@msu.edu. By clicking “Yes” below you acknowledge that you have read and understand that:  Your participation in this survey is voluntary. You may withdraw your consent and discontinue participation in the project at any time. Your refusal to participate will not result in any penalty.  You have given voluntary agreement to participate in this research. Do you wish to participate in this study? __ Yes, I want to participate __ No, I do not want to participate 136 Figure 2B. Invitation and Reminder Message Research Study - Your chance to win $100 in one of five drawings Dear _______________ I am a PhD candidate at Michigan State University in the Advertising, Public Relations and Retailing Department. Below is a link to an online experiment that is part of my doctoral research. The experiment will take approximately 15-20 minutes and is about food product recalls. By completing the experiment you were entered into a drawing. Five winners were randomly selected to receive a Visa gift card of $100. Your participation is greatly appreciated! URL Thank you for your time, Greg Clare This link is unique to you. Please do not forward it. Reminder Message: YOUR CHANCE TO WIN $100 IN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. Dear [Name], I am conducting an online experiment for my doctoral research at Michigan State University in the Advertising, Public Relations and Advertising Department. I would appreciate your help. I sent you an email invitation on DATE, but haven't heard from you yet. I sincerely value your insights into food recall messages and preventing the risks of food borne illness for people just like you in your community. The survey should take no more than 20 minutes to complete, and you may just win a $100 Visa gift card for your time. To access our experiment, please click the link provided below. To unsubscribe to our email list and future surveys, please send an email to claregre@msu.edu Thank you for your time and we look forward to hearing from you! Best, Greg Clare This link is unique to you. Please do not forward it. 137 Figure 3A. FDA Recall Press Release of Stimulus Cantaloupe Recall Message FDA PRESS RELEASE For Immediate Release: Sept. 14, 2011 Media Inquiries: Siobhan DeLancey, 301-796-4668, siobhan.delancey@fda.hhs.gov Consumer Inquiries: 888-INFO-FDA FDA warns consumers not to eat Rocky Ford Cantaloupes shipped by Jensen Farms Jensen Farms recalls Rocky Ford cantaloupe due to potential link to a multi-state outbreak of listeriosis Fast Facts       The FDA is warning consumers not to eat Rocky Ford Cantaloupe shipped by Jensen Farms and to throw away recalled product that may still be in their home. Jensen Farms is voluntarily recalling Rocky Ford Cantaloupe shipped from July 29 through September 10, 2011, and distributed to at least 17 states with possible further distribution. The recalled cantaloupes have the potential to be contaminated with Listeria and may be linked to a multi-state outbreak of listeriosis. The CDC reports that at least 22 people in seven states have been infected with the outbreak-associated strains of Listeria monocytogenes as of September 14. Patients reported eating whole cantaloupes they purchased from grocery stores marketed from the Rocky Ford growing region of Colorado. While all people are susceptible to Listeria, older adults, persons with weakened immune systems and pregnant women are at particular risk. What is the Problem? The FDA is warning consumers not to eat Rocky Ford Cantaloupe shipped by Jensen Farms of Granada, Colo. The majority of the patients reported eating cantaloupe marketed from the Rocky Ford growing region. FDA’s trace back data from the State of Colorado about their confirmed cases of Listeria monocytogenes have identified a common producer of Rocky Ford cantaloupes. That producer is Jensen Farms. Although the investigation is ongoing, no other Rocky Ford cantaloupe producer has been found in common in the Colorado trace back. Jensen Farms is voluntarily recalling Rocky Ford Cantaloupe. The recalled cantaloupes were shipped from the Rocky Ford growing region of Colorado from July 29 through September 10 and are potentially linked to a multi-state outbreak of listeriosis. The recalled cantaloupes were distributed to at least 17 states with possible further distribution. 138 Figure 3A (cont’d). What are the Symptoms of Listeriosis? Listeriosis is a rare and serious illness caused by eating food contaminated with bacteria called Listeria. Persons who think they might have become ill should consult their doctor. A person with listeriosis usually has fever and muscle aches. Who is at Risk? Listeriosis can be fatal, especially in certain high-risk groups. These groups include older adults, people with compromised immune systems and certain chronic medical conditions (such as cancer), and unborn babies and newborns. In pregnant women, listeriosis can cause miscarriage, stillbirth, and serious illness or death in newborn babies, though the mother herself rarely becomes seriously ill. What Do Consumers Need To Do? Consumers should not eat Rocky Ford Cantaloupe shipped by Jensen Farms and should immediately discard the recalled cantaloupes in the trash in a sealed container so that children and animals, such as wildlife, cannot access them. Consumers who are concerned about illness from Listeria monocytogenes should consult their healthcare professionals. What Does the Product Look Like? The cantaloupe may be labeled: Colorado Grown, Distributed by Frontera Produce, USA, Pesticide Free, Jensenfarms.com, Sweet Rocky Fords. http://www.fda.gov/Safety/Recalls/ucm271882.htm The cantaloupes are packed in cartons that are labeled: Frontera Produce, www.fronteraproduce.com or with Frontera Produce, Rocky Ford Cantaloupes. Both cartons also include: Grown and packed by Jensen Farms Granada, CO and Shipped by Frontera Produce LTD, Edinburg, Texas. Not all of the recalled cantaloupes are labeled with a sticker. Consumers should consult the retailer if they have questions about the origin of a cantaloupe. Where is it Distributed? The recalled cantaloupes were distributed to the following states: IL, WY, TN, UT, TX, CO, MN, KS, NM, NC, MO, NE, OK, AZ, NJ, NY, PA. Further distribution is possible. What is Being Done about the Problem? Jensen Farms is working with the FDA and the State of Colorado to remove its Rocky Ford Cantaloupe from the marketplace. The FDA is also working with CDC, the states and other regulatory partners to investigate where in the supply chain the contamination occurred. This is the first time a Listeria monocytogenes outbreak has been reportedly linked to whole cantaloupe. Foods that typically have been associated with food borne outbreaks of Listeriosis are deli meats, hot dogs, and Mexican-style soft cheeses made with unpasteurized milk. Listeriosis has not often been associated with the consumption of fresh produce with the 139 Figure 3A (cont’d). exception of two food borne illness outbreaks related to consumption of sprouts in 2009 and fresh-cut celery in 2010. Because of this unusual circumstance, FDA’s newly formed Coordinated Outbreak Response and Evaluation (CORE) Network is working with FDA Districts, CDC, the States and other regulatory partners on a root cause analysis to determine where in the supply chain and what circumstances likely caused the implicated cantaloupe to be contaminated. FDA is exploring whether harvesting and/or postharvest practices may have contributed to this contamination, as well as what could be done differently to prevent future occurrences. For more information: CDC Investigation on multi-state listeriosis outbreak: http://www.cdc.gov/nczved/divisions/dfbmd/diseases/listeriosis/outbreak.html Listeria page on FS.gov: http://www.foodsafety.gov/poisoning/causes/bacteriaviruses/listeria/index.html Produce Safety page on FDA: http://www.fda.gov/Food/ResourcesForYou/Consumers/ucm114299 Coordinated Outbreak Response and Evaluation (CORE) Network: http://www.fda.gov/Food/FoodSafety/CORENetwork/default.htm 140 Figure 3B. Control Group Message Stimulus SWEET ROCKY FORD CANTALOUPE - KROGER FARMS , VARIOUS SIZES Affected in Kroger stores. Reason: The cantaloupe may be contaminated with Listeria monocytogenes and, if eaten, could result in severe illness to those individual who are pregnant or have a weakened immune system. Figure 3C. Gain Group Message Stimulus SWEET ROCKY FORD CANTALOUPE - KROGER FARMS , VARIOUS SIZES Affected in Kroger stores. Reason: The cantaloupe may be contaminated with Listeria monocytogenes and, if eaten, could result in severe illness, especially to those individuals who are pregnant or have a weakened immune system. 80% of people infected with Listeria monocytogenes will not become seriously ill, but to ensure your safety please throw out any cantaloupe you purchased at Kroger immediately. February 1, 2012 Figure 3D. Loss Message Group Stimulus SWEET ROCKY FORD CANTALOUPE - KROGER FARMS , VARIOUS SIZES Affected in Kroger stores. Reason: The cantaloupe may be contaminated with Listeria monocytogenes and, if eaten, could result in severe illness to those individual who are pregnant or have a weakened immune system. 20% of people infected with Listeria monocytogenes will become seriously ill, but to ensure your safety please throw out cantaloupe immediately. February 1, 2012 141 Figure 4. Graphic Stimuli (Control, Gain, Loss) Conditions For interpretation of the references to color in this and all other figures, the reader is referred to the electronic version of this dissertation. 142 Figure 5. Main Study CFA Model (reduced) 143 Figure 6A. Manipulation Check Control Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 144 Figure 6B. Manipulation Check Gain Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 145 Figure 6C. Manipulation Check Loss Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 146 Figure 7A. Structural Model Path Diagram Control Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 147 Figure 7B. Structural Model Path Diagram Gain Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 148 Figure 7C. Structural Model Path Diagram Loss Condition (B)*** p<.001, **p<.01 **, p<.05 * 149 BIBLIOGRAPHY 150 BIBLIOGRAPHY Aaker, D. A. & Keller, K.L. (1990). Consumer evaluations of brand extensions, Journal of Marketing, 54, 27-41. Anderson, J.C. & Gerbing, D.W. (1988). Structural equation modeling in practice: A review and recommended two-step approach, Psychological Bulletin, 103(3), 411-423. Arora, R. (2007). Message framing strategies for new and mature products, Journal of Product & Brand Management, 16(6), 377-385. Arora, R., Stoner, C., & Arora, A. (2006). Using framing and credibility to incorporate exercise and fitness in individuals’ lifestyle, Journal of Consumer Marketing, 23(4), 199-207. Bandura, A. (1977). Self-efficacy: Toward a Unifying Theory of Behavior Change, Psychological Review, 84(2), 191-215. Bandura, A. (1999). Social cognitive theory: An agentic perspective, Asian Journal of Social Psychology Special Issue: Theoretical and methodological advances in social psychology, 2(1), 21-41. Bandura, A. (2000). Self-efficacy: The foundation of agency, In Perrig, W.J., Alexander, G. (eds.) Control of human behavior, mental processes, and consciousness. New Jersey: Erlbaum, 17-33. Banks, S. M., Salovey, P., Greener, S., Rothman, A., Moyer, A., Beauvais, J. & Epel, E. (1995). The effects of message framing on mammography utilization, Health Psychology, 14, 178-184. Beck, K. & Lund, A. (1981). The effects of health threat seriousness and personal efficacy upon intentions and behavior, Journal of Applied Social Behavior, 11(5), 401-415. Bender, H., Martin, I.M. & Raish, C. (2006). What motivates homeowners to protect themselves from wildfire risks in the WUI, In Wildfire and fuels management: Risk and human reaction, Ingrid Martin, Ed. Long Beach: California State University Press, 1-34. Block, L. G. & Keller, P.A. (1995). When to accentuate the negative: The effects of perceived efficacy and message framing on intentions to perform a health related behavior, Journal of Marketing Research, 32, 192-203. Boer, H., & Seydel, E. R. (1996). Protection motivation theory. In M. Conner & P. Norman (Eds.), Predicting health behavior: Research and practice with social cognition models, (pp. 95-120). Buckingham: Open University Press. 151 Bollen, K., & Lennox, R. (1991). Conventional wisdom on measurement: A structural equation perspective, Psychological Bulletin, 110, 3005-3014. Consumer Product Safety Commission, (1978). Recall effectiveness study, retrieved from http://www.cpsc.gov/index.html Consumer Product Safety Commission, (1980). Report of the recall effectiveness task force of the Consumer Product Safety Commission, retrieved from: http://www.cpsc.gov/index.html Consumer Product Safety Commission, (2011). FAQ page, retrieved from http://www.cpsc.gov/index.html Daly, M.C., Duncan, G.J, McDonough, P., & Williams, D. (2000). Optimal indicators of socioeconomic status for health research, Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University Press, Evanston, 1-27. Dawson, C. R. (2005). Food scares and food safety regulation: Qualitative research on current public perceptions, Food Standards Agency, London. Detweiler, J.B., Bedell, B.T., Salovey, P., Pronin, E., & Rothman, A.J. (1999). Message framing and sunscreen use: Gain-framed messages motivate beach-goers, Health Psychology, 18, 189-196. Donovan, R. J. & Jalleh, G. (2000). Positive versus negative framing of a hypothetical infant immunization: The influence of involvement, Health Education & Behavior, 27(1), 8295. Donovan, R. J. & Jalleh, G. (1999). Positively versus negatively framed product attributes: The influence of involvement, Psychology & Marketing, 16(7) 613-630. Dorn, L. & Brown, B. (2003). Making sense of invulnerability at work: A quantitative study of police drivers, Safety Science, 41, 837-859. Duhachek, A. (2005). Coping: A multidimensional, hierarchical framework of responses to stressful consumption episodes, Journal of Consumer Research, 32, 41-53. Eagley, A. H. & Chaiken, S. (1984). Cognitive theories of persuasion, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, 17, 267-359. Farell, A.M., & Rudd, J.M. (2009). Factor analysis and discriminant validity: Some practical issues, proceedings of the Australian and New Zealand Social Marketing Conference, retrieved from http://www.duplication.net.au/ANZMAC09/papers/ANZMAC2009389.pdf 152 Floyd, D.L, Prentice-Dunn, S., & Rogers, R.W. (2000). A meta-analysis of research on protection motivation theory, Journal of Applied Social Psychology 30 (2), 407-429. Food Poisoning Law Blog (2011). Prizker Olson Attorneys. Available from: http://foodpoisoning.pritzkerlaw.com/archives/cat-michigan-e-coli.html Food Processing. 2007. Survey reveals eroding consumer confidence in packaged goods brands. Putman Media. Available from: http://www.foodprocessing.com/industrynews/2007/093.html. Accessed Dec 20, 2008. Food Product Design (2008). Survey illustrates consumer food safety fears, http://www.foodproductdesign.com/hotnews/survey-illustrates-consumer-food-safetyfears.html Fornell, C., & Larcker, D. (1981). Evaluating structural equation models with unobservable variables and measurement error, Journal of Marketing Research, 18 (3), 39-50. Fox, M., and P. Simao. 2009. Many Americans ignore food recalls: survey. Reuters, Tue Apr 14. http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSTRE53D33E20090414. Accessed April 14, 2009. FSIS. (2009).United States Department of Agriculture, Food Safety Inspection Service. Recall Case Archive. (http://www.fsis.usda.gov/Fsis_Recalls/Recall_Case_Archive/index.asp).Accessed April 13, 2009. Gefen, D., & Straub, D. (2005). A practical guide to factorial validity using PLS-Graph: Tutorial and annotated example, Communications of the Association for Information Systems, 16, 91-109. Goldberg, M.E., Hartwick, J. (1990). The effects of advertiser reputation and extremity of advertising claim on advertising effectiveness, Journal of Consumer Research, 17, 172179. Haberkorn, J. 2007. Food recalls damage consumers’ confidence in safety. Business News, The Washington Times. Available from: http://washingtontimes.com/news/2007/jul/05/foodrecalls-damage-consumers-confidence-in-safety/. Accessed Sept 10, 2009. Hallman, W.K., Cuite, C.L. & Hooker, H.H. (2009, 14 April). Consumer Responses to Food Recalls: 2008 National Survey Report. (Publication Number RR-0109-018). New Brunswick, New Jersey: Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, Food Policy Institute. Harrington, S.J. (1996). The effect of codes of ethics and personal denial of responsibility on computer abuse judgments and intentions, MIS Quarterly, 20, 257-258. 153 Hemphill, T. (2009). Globalization of the U.S. Food Supply: Reconciling Product Safety Regulation with Free Trade. Business Economics, 44(3), 154-184. Ho, R., Davidson, G., & Ghea, V. (2005). Motives for the adoption of protective health behaviors for men and women: An evaluation of the psychosocial-appraisal health model, Journal of Health Psychology, 10, 373-395. Jarvis, C.B., Mackenzie, S.B., & Podsakoff, P.M. (2003). A critical review of construct indicators and measurement model misspecification in marketing and consumer research, Journal of Consumer Research, 30, 199-218. Jones, L.W., Sinclair, R.C., & Courneya, K.S. (2003). The effects of source credibility and message framing on exercise intentions, behaviors, and attitudes: An integration of the elaboration likelihood model and prospect theory, Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 33(1), 179-196. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: Analysis of decision under risk, Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291. Kalichman, S.C., & Coley, B. (1995). Context framing to enhance HIV-antibody-testing messages targeted to African American women, Health Psychology, 14, 247-254. Keller, P. A., & Block, L. G. (1998). Beyond protection motivation: An integrative theory of health appeals, Journal of Applied Psychology, 28, 1584-1608. Keller, P. A., & Block, L. G. (1996). Increasing the persuasiveness of fear appeals: The effect of arousal and elaboration. Journal of Consumer Research, 22, 448–459. Keller, P.A., & Block, L.G. (1995). When to accentuate the negative: The effects of perceived efficacy and message framing on intentions to perform a health-related behavior, Journal of Marketing Research, 32(2), 192-203. Kline, R. B. (2004). Principles and practice of structural equation modeling, 2nd Ed. New York: Guilford. Knobloch-Westerwick, S; Carpentier, FD; Blumhoff, A; Nickel, N. (2005). Selective exposure effects for positive and negative news: Testing the robustness of the informational utility model. Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly, 82 (1): 181-195 SPR 2005 Krantz, J.H. & Dalal, R. (2000). Validity of web-based psychological research. In M. H. Birnbaum (Ed.), Psychological experiments on the Internet, 35-60. San Diego: Academic Press. Kroger Stores, (2012). Kroger Services Recall Information, retrieved from www.kroger.com/services/pages/recall_information.aspx. 154 LaBarbera, P.A. (1982). Overcoming a no-reputation liability through documentation and advertising documentation, Journal of Marketing Research, 19, 223-228. LaRose, R., Rifon, N.J., & Enbody, R. (2008). Promoting personal responsibility for Internet safety, Communications of the ACM, 51(3), 71-76. Laufler D. & Coombs, W. (2006). How should a company respond to a product harm crisis? The role of corporate reputation and consumer-based cues. Business Horizons 49, 379385. Lazarus, R.S., & Folkman, S.E. (1984). Stress, Appraisal and Coping, Springer: New York, NY. Levene, H. (1960). Robust tests for equality of variance, In I. Olkin, S. Ghurye, W. Hoeffding, W. Maddow, & H. Mann Eds., Contributions to probability and statistics: Essays in honor of Howard Hotelling, Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA, 278-291. Lynch, J. G. (1982). On the external validity of experiments in consumer research, Journal of Consumer Research, 9, 225-239. Mackenzie, SB & Lutz, R.J. (1985). An empirical examination of the structural antecedents of attitude toward the ad in an advertising pretesting context, Journal of Marketing, 53, 4865 Maddux, J. E. & Rogers, R. (1982). Protection motivation and self-efficacy: A revised theory of fear appeals and attitude change, Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 19(5), 469479. Maheswaran, D., & Meyers-Levy, J.M. (1990). The influence of message framing and issue involvement, Journal of Marketing Research, 27, 361-367. Marteau, T.M. (1989). Framing of information: Its influence upon decisions of doctors and patients, Journal of Social Psychology, 28, 89-94. Martin, D. W. (1996). Doing psychology experiments. (4th ed.). Pacific Grove, CA: Brooks/Cole. Matos, C. & Rossi, C. (2007). Consumer reaction to product recalls: factors influencing product judgment and behavioral intentions, International Journal of Consumer Studies, 31, 109116. McNeil, B. J., Pauker, S. G., Sox, H.C., & Tversky, A. (1982). On the elicitation of preferences for alternative therapies, New England Journal of Medicine, 306, 1259-1262. 155 Mead, P., Slutsker, L., Dietz, V., McCaig, L., Bressee, J., Shapiro, C., Griffin, P. & Tauxe, R. (1999). Food-related illness and death in the United States, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 5, 607-625. Menon, G., Block, L. & Ramanathan, S. (2002). We're at as much risk as we are led to believe: Effects of message cues on judgments of health risk, Journal of Consumer Research, 28 (4), 533-549. Meyerowitz, B.E. & Chaiken, S. (1987). The effect of message framing on breast selfexamination attitudes, intentions, and behavior, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 52(3), 500-510. Milne, S., Sheeran, P. and Orbell, S. (2000). Prediction and Intervention in Health-Related Behavior: A Meta-Analytic Review of Protection Motivation Theory, Journal of Applied Psychology, 30(1) 106-143. Milne, S., Sheeran, P. and Orbell, S. (2002). Combining motivational and volitional interventions to promote exercise participation: Protection motivation theory and implementation intentions, British Journal of Health Psychology, 7, 163-184. Myers, R.E. (2010). Moderating the effectiveness of messages to promote physical activity in type 2 diabetes (Doctoral dissertation), Retrieved from University of South Florida Scholar Commons, Theses and Dissertations. Paper 1719. http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/etd/1719 Neuwirth, K., Dunwoody, S. & Griffin, R.J. (2000). Protection motivation and risk communication, Risk Analysis, 20 (5), 721-734. Newell, S. J. & Goldsmith, R. E. (1997). The development of a scale to measure perceived corporate credibility, Journal of Business Research, 52, 235-247. (N. Rifon, personal communication, January 10, 2012). O’Keefe, D.J. (2006). The advantages of compliance or the disadvantages of non-compliance? A meta-analytic review of the relative persuasiveness of gain and loss-framed messages. Communication Yearbook, 30, 1-43. Owram, C. (3 September, 2008). As outbreak subsides, Maple Leaf must now rebuild consumer confidence: experts. The Canadian Press Patel, V. L., Gutnik, L.A., Yoskowitz, N.A., O'Sullivan, F. & Kaufman, D.R. (2006). Patterns of reasons and decision making about condom use by urban college students, AIDS care, 18(8), 918-930. Perdue, B.C. & Summers, J.O. (1986). Checking the success of manipulations in marketing experiments, Journal of Marketing Research, 23, 317-326. 156 Prochaska, J.O. (1994). The transtheoretical approach: Crossing traditional boundaries of therapy, Malabar, FL: Krieger. Pyszczynski, T., Greenberg, J., & Solomon, S. (1997). Why do we need what we need? A terror management perspective on the roots of human social motivation, Psychological Inquiry, 8, 1-20. Retail Customer Experience (2012). At Kroger, shoppers are bananas for loyalty, retrieved from http://www.retailcustomerexperience.com/blog_print/5756/At-Kroger.html Reips, U.D. (1996). Experimenting in the World-Wide Web. Presented at the 26th annual meeting of the Society of Computers in Psychology, Chicago, IL. Rippetoe, P. & Rogers, R. (1987). Effects of Components of Protection Motivation Theory on Adaptive and Maladaptive Coping with a Health Threat, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 52, 596-604. Robberson, M.R. & Rogers, R. (1988). Beyond fear appeals: Negative and positive persuasive appeals to health and self-esteem, Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 18(3), 277-287. Rogers, R. W. (1975). A protection motivation theory of fear appeals and attitude change. Journal of Psychology, 91, 93–114. Rogers, R. (1983). Cognitive and Physiological Process in Fear Appeals and Attitude Change: A Revised Theory of Protection Motivation, in Social Psychophysiology: A Source Book, John Cacioppo and Richard Petty, eds. New York: Guilford Press, 153-176 Rogers, R., Deckner, C. & Mewborn, C. (1978). An expectancy-value theory approach to the long-term modification of smoking behavior, Journal of Clinical Psychology, 34, 562566. Rogers, R. & Mewborn, C. (1976). Fear appeals and attitude change: Effect of a threat's noxiousness, probability of occurrence and the efficacy of coping appraisals, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 34, 54-61. Rogers, R. & Prentice-Dunn, S. (1997). Protection motivation theory. In D. Gochman (Ed.), Handbook of health behavior research: Vol. 1 Personal and social determinants, 113-132. New York: Plenum. Rothman, A. J. & Salovey, P. (1997). Shaping perceptions to motivate healthy behavior: The role of message framing, Psychological Bulletin, 121 (1), 3-19. Rotter, J. (1966). Generalized expectancies for internal versus external control of reinforcement, Psychological Monographs, 1, 1-28. 157 Rothman, A.J., Martino, S.C., Bedell, B.T., Detweiler, J.B., Salovey, P. (1999). The systematic influence of gain and loss framed messages on interest in and use of different types of health behavior, Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 121 (1), 3-19. Sallam, M.A.A. (2011). The impact of source credibility on Saudi consumer’s attitude toward print advertisement: The moderating role of brand familiarity, International Journal of Marketing Studies, 3(4), 63-77. Senior, C., Philips, M.L., Barnes, J., & David, A.S. (1999). An investigation in the perceptions of dominance from schematic faces: A study using the World-Wide Web, Behavior Research Methods, Instruments & Computers, 31, 341-346. Settle, R.B. & Golden, L.L. (1974). Attribution theory and advertiser credibility, Journal of Marketing Research, 11, 181-185. Seydel, E., Taal, E., & Wiegman, O. (1990). Risk appraisal, outcome and self-efficacy expectancies: Cognitive factors in previous behavior related to cancer. Psychology and Health, 4, 99-109 Shaver, K.G. (1985). The attribution theory of blame: Causality, responsibility, and blameworthiness, New York: Springer-Verlag Sheehan, K. (2001). Online survey response rates: A review, Journal of Computer Mediated Communication, 6 (2), retrieved from http://jcmc.indiana.edu/vol6/issue2/sheehan.html. Shenk, D. (1997). Data smog: Surviving the information glut. New York: HarperEdge Sherer, M., Maddux, J. E., Mercandante, B., Prentice-Dunn, S., Jacobs, B., & Rogers, R. (1982). The self-efficacy scale: Construction and validation, Psychological Reports, 51, 663671. Snow, D.A. & Benford, R.D. (1988). Ideology, frame resonance, and participant mobilization. In B. Kandermans, H. Kriesi, & S. Tarrow (Eds.), International social movement research. Vol. 1, From structure on action: Comparing social movement research across cultures, Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 197-217. Stadden, S.A (2007). The influence of athletic identity, expectation of toughness, and attitude toward pain and injury on athletes' help-seeking tendencies, (Doctoral dissertation). Retrieved from ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Database. Steffen, V. J. (1990). Men’s motivation to perform testicle self-exam: Effect of prior knowledge and an educational brochure, Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 7, 101-113. Survey System (2011). Sample Size Calculator. Available from: http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm 158 Tanner, J. F., Hunt, J. B., & Eppright, D. R. (1991, July). The protection motivation model: A normative model of fear appeals. Journal of Marketing, 55, 36–45. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice, Science, 211 (4481), 453-458. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty, heuristics and biases, Science, 185 (4157), 1124-1131. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323. United States Census Bureau, 2011. The 2012 statistical abstract, Available from: http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/population.html United States Department of Agriculture, Food Safety Inspection Service (2008), Recall Case Archive, retrieved from http://www.fsis.usda.gov/Fsis_Recalls/Recall_Case_Archive/index.asp Wagner, A. (2011). Bacterial Food Poisoning, retrieved from: http://aggiehorticulture.tamu.edu/extension/poison.html Wilson, T. D., Kraft, D.S., & Lisle, D.J. (1989). Introspection, attitude change,, and attitude behavior consistency: The disruptive effects of explaining why we feel the way we do, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, 22, 287-343. Witte, K. (1994). Fear control and danger control: A test of the extended parallel process model. Communication Monographs, 6, 113–13 Witte, K. & Allen, M. (2000). A meta-analysis of fear appeals: Implications for effective public health campaigns. Health Education and Behavior, 27, 591-615. Workman, M., Bommer, W. H., & Straub, D. (2008). Security lapses and the omission of information security measures: A threat control model and empirical test, Computers in Human Behavior, 24, 2799-2816. 159