V 0‘ WV . :3}. _u a 0 fi'.‘ ':;:"§:‘1 § o I‘ '1" “Am... v . ' so. ,I?‘ .E m "’2' .g.u‘ . m Warm-- . ‘I 5.- “*z‘z'p. . ‘I'I‘NI-wl‘gg" ‘01. .-- — ' ———— ~ - ————_ . _ V a? '.’."‘.~fm."WhM.-ooomo~- - --.~m~., ‘->-—---.¢-‘ ~.“~_.-*--._-d~l-_ V '7' I “b .. v.32, Au 6‘. A AII ANALYSIS OF RECREATIONAL BOATING EXPENDITURES _ (A STUDY OF LAKE MICHIGAN BOATERS) Thesis for the Degree of M. S. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY THOMAS DONALD WARNER 1974 V - ...... fl - — a o...-. -- ~-,.—< . a -M~t¢noo ‘7 vv ‘ _ _ Yfi ..... . m - -_‘_n-_--. -_ .. . ,_ _~.4.1'.- ..... t ’ ' oooooooo I | < C ., _ ‘ . ‘ .. ' . '- .. , ‘Oll. - l - .. 1.." ’ . ._' ' ‘ ' ‘ ' ’wh'f&“an.n,-_~.°N‘ ‘,‘ .,. . ‘ '1va J . ,. o En 13am 5 III III III IIIIIIIIIII III ‘1‘“me {I I I 3 1293 101 899 IIIIII “It? “0453! 35 i 1 PW)” j ‘ . . _- - .. I“ .2 5.7. W Mp1, 2 7:; ZIJHII: . A”? If” I7 I ..-— fig SEP ‘13”.260'1 {.7 il/IIIIJLAG 2 F E: 31737399 IIIIIII .. I... I. ‘ I I, ABSTRACT AN ANALYSIS OF RECREATIONAL BOATING EXPENDITURES (A STUDY OF LAKE MICHIGAN BOATERS) BY Thomas Donald Warner The primary objective of this study was to collect recreational boating expenditure data for use by Michigan State Waterways Division in planning an expanded marina complex. Specifically, information on expenditures was collected to determine what items and services are pur- chased,(where they are purchasedd and the amount expended for each. Information was not collected on purchase prices of craft, but the type of craft owned was recorded and expenditures reported by craft type categories. Expenditure questionnaires were sent out to 500 randomly selected craft owners who rented seasonal slips at nine marinas (four commercial, three municipal, two private) in the designated study area along the southeast- ern shore of Lake Michigan. The study area from which boaters (seasonal slip renters) were drawn for the expendi- ture survey includes Muskegon, Michigan, as the northernmost marina selection site, and New Buffalo, Michigan, as the southernmost marina selection site. Thomas Donald Warner The questionnaire covered "craft related informa- tion," such as the size of the craft and onboard craft accommodations and facilities. "Craft operations" information was sought on travel time to and from the slip rental site, number of days the craft was utilized during the boating season, and amounts of maintenance performed by the craft owner. The expenditure information is broken down into "craft" and "trip" related expenditures. The final information sought on the questionnaire was socio- economic status (SES) data on each of the craft owners. The data collected was analyzed to determine A”’“ 0“e (l) the extent to which socio-economic status characteris- I tics affect recreational boating expenditure patterns, (2) whether craft type and size are factors in expenditures, and if so, to what degree, and (3) whether differences in craft utilization due to travel time, etc. affect spending J for the recreational boating experience. A total of 330 questionnaires (66% of sample popu- lation) were returned, of which 312 (62.4%) were usable for tabulation and data analysis. To test the various hypotheses presented by this study, regression analysis and non-parametric two-way analysis of variance techniques were utilized. The results of the analysis of SES characteristics showed that increases in income, family size, and age of the craft owner had a positive impact on recreational Thomas Donald Warner boating expenditures. As craft owners' levels of education increased, expenditures were found to decrease. This finding was contrary to what had been expected prior to analysis of the data. Owners of motorized craft were found to spend more on boating related activities than owners of sail craft. It was also found that boating expenditures within these two craft types increase as boat length increases. Other significant findings from the study include the following: (1) the greater the distance and/or travel time between the boat owner's residence and the marina where the boat is docked, the greater the expenditures made by the boater; (2) the greater the number of days the craft is utilized, the greater the boater's expenditures; (3) the longer the craft is kept in the water during the boating season, the greater will be boating expenditures; and (4) as the amount of maintenance performed by the craft owner increases, boating expenditures decreased. AN ANALYSIS OF RECREATIONAL BOATING EXPENDITURES (A STUDY OF LAKE MICHIGAN BOATERS) BY Thomas Donald Warner A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Park and Recreation Resources 1974 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I wish to acknowledge the assistance of the indi- viduals who contributed their time and effort to this study. Assistance was provided by Mr. Keith Wilson, Director of the Waterways Division, Michigan Department of Natural Resources, and Mr. James E. Oakwood on the Waterways Divi- sion research staff. Their assistance included information on the proposed marina development project and the letter of introduction which allowed access to information sources vital to the study. Special thanks is extended to the marina owners and operators who participated in the study. Through their contributions, project success was made possible. I am especially indebted to Dr. Donald F. Holecek, principal investigator and major advisor for the study, for his continued assistance throughout the project. Recognition is also given to Dr. Lewis W. Moncrief and Dr. Clifford R. Humphrys who served on my master's degree committee. Project funding came from the Michigan Waterways Division, and through this grant, this boating expenditure study was carried out. ii PREFACE The recreational boating expenditure study reported herein was initiated in February of 1973 with final analysis concluded in February, 1974. During this one year span of time and after the body of the thesis had been prepared, the "energy crisis" evolved in the United States. The impact this fuel shortage will have on future recreational boating is uncertain. The figures reported here for recreational boating expenditures were collected during a period of time when fuel and oil supplies were relatively plentiful and inexpensive. However, if the shortage of fuel and oil persists and/or the prices of these commodities remain high, it is possible that the level of recreational boating and related expenditures observed in this study may decline at least in the near future. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES . . . . . . . . . LIST OF FIGURES . . . . . . . . . LIST OF APPENDICES . . . . . . . . Chapter I. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . Recreational Boating in Michigan ‘V II. STUDY ISSUES AND RESEARCH PROBLEM The St. Joseph/Benton Harbor Marina Development Study . . . . The Problem Statement . . . III. RESEARCH DESIGN . . . . . . Review of the Literature . . Consumer Behavior Literature Socio- Economic Status (SES) Character— istics and Expenditure Patterns Psychological Characteristics and Spend- ing Patterns Literature . Travel and ReCreational Expenditures Hypotheses . . . . Socio- Economic Status (SES) . Differences in Craft Size and Type Differences in Craft Utilization IV. RESEARCH ADMINISTRATION AND GENERAL FINDINGS O O O O O O O O The Expenditure Questionnaire . Marina Site Selection . . . The Respondent Sample . . . Questionnaire Mailout Procedure Questionnaire Response . . . Follow-Up Procedures . . . . Non-Response . . . . . . iv Page vi vii viii 15 15 15 21 30 32 34 34 34 35 36 36 41 43 46 48 48 50 Chapter Page Telephone Follow-Up Questions . . . . . 51 General Findings . . . . . . . . . 52 Craft Type and Size . . . . . . . 53 Number of Engines Per Craft . . . . . 54 Galley and Rest Room Facilities . . . 56 Winter Storage of Craft . . . . . . 56 Seasonal Use of Craft . . . . . 59 Length of Time Craft is in the Water . . 61 Craft Related Expenditures . . . . . 62 Trip Related Expenditures . . . . . 69 Total Expenditures . . . . . . . 74 Socio- Economic Status (SES) Characteristics . . . . 76 Results of the Telephone Follow- -Up Survey . . . . . . . . . . . 83 V. TESTING THE HYPOTHESES . . . . . . . . 87 Analysis of the Data . . . . . . . . 87 Testing the Hypotheses . . . . . . . 89 Socio—Economic Status . . . . . . . 89 Differences in Craft Size and Type . . 95 Differences in Craft Utilization . . . 98 VI. SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . 105 Summary of Results . . . . . . . . 105 Utilization of Study Information . . . . 108 Recommendations for Further Study . . . 110 SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . 112 APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Activities Undertaken When Boating on Great Lakes and Inland Lakes Ranked in Order of Estimated Number of Boat Days . . . . 2. Summary of Respondents by Type of Craft Owned . . . . . . . . . . . 3. Number of Engines . . . . . . . . 4. Galley and Rest Room Facilities . . . . 5. Winter Storage of Craft . . . . . 6. Seasonal Use of the Craft--Days Utilized by Family, Relatives, and Friends . . . . 7. Craft Related Expenditures . . . . . 8. Trip Related Expenditures . . . . . . 9. Total Expenditures . . . . . . . 10. Socio-Economic Status (SES) Characteristics 11. Average Computed Incomes . . . . . . 12. Results of the Telephone Follow-Up Survey 13. Non-Parametric Two-Way Analysis of Variance, Craft Type and Size Compared to Total Expenditures . . . . . . . . . . E-l. Multiple Regression Analysis (Total Expenditures) . . . . . . . . . E-2. Multiple Regression Analysis (Craft Related Expenditures) . . . . . . E-3. Multiple Regression Analysis (Trip Related Expenditures) . . . . . . . vi Page 53 55 57 58 60 63 70 75 77 80 84 98 148 149 150 Figure 1. 2. 3. 4. 10. 11. LIST OF FIGURES Page Marina Selection Sites, Lower Lake Michigan . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Occupations for All "Motor Craft" Owners . . 81 Occupations for All "Sail Craft" Owners . . 82 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Craft Owner Income . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Education . . 93 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Family Size . 94 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Age . . . . 96 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Travel Time to the Marina . . . . . . . . . . 99 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Days the Craft is Utilized . . . . . . . . . 101 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Time Craft Kept in Water . . . . . . . . . . 102 (X Y) Plot, Total Expenditures/Maintenance Performed by Owner . . . . . . . . . 104 vii LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix Page A. Michigan Waterways Division Letter of Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . 119 B. Letter of Transmittal and Expenditure Questionnaire . . . . . . . . . . . 121 C. Follow-Up Letter of Transmittal and "Thank You" Post Card . . . . . . . . . . 127 D. Least Squares Plot Diagrams (Craft and Trip Expenditures) . . . . . . . . . . . 130 E. Multiple Regression Analysis Figures (Total, Craft, Trip Expenditures) . . . . . . . 147 viii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Recreational boating in the United States is becoming an ever increasing leisure time activity drawing participants from a large cross section of our nation's population.{’One of the reasons for increased boating popu- larity is the wide range of craft types (motorized, sailing, canoes, etc.) and sizes available in today's market. The availability of a wide mix of craft types and sizes at various prices broadens boating's appeal. {Another reason for the observed high rate of participation in boating relates to the scope of activities the boater can engage in: each different boating activity from cruising the Great Lakes in a motor yacht to canoeing down some remote stretch of river offers a different and unique experience. This range of experiences related to boating activities has broadened the total population of boaters in this country. The Bureau of Outdoor Recreation estimates that between 1965 and 1980 boating (as a recreational activity related to the number of visitor days) will increase 76 per- cent while the total population of the United States will increase by only 29 percent. Furthermore, between 1965 1 \IIII.rII [II ‘ II III [ I II \I I and the year 2000 boating will increase 215 percent while population increases are projected to increase by only 76 percent.1 This increase in boating's popularity, as indi- cated by the above projected figures, may be related to a number of factors including availability of increased leisure time, greater incomes, and increased mobility. The Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission reports that by 1976 there will be an estimated 285 million "occasions of participation" by boaters annually (this figure does not include sailing craft or canoes), and by the year 2000 there will be 557 million occasions of par- ticipation annually.2 In 1969 there were over 8,469,000 pleasure boats in use on United States waters, with annual retail expenditures on boating equipment, servicing and maintenance alone totaling 3.2 billion dollars.3 The 1970 boating expenditure figures showed an increase over the previous year, but due to a general slowdown in economic growth in 1970, expenditures at this time were made pri- marily for used equipment and replacement of accessories. 1The University of Wisconsin Sea Grant Program, The Future of Boating on Lake Michigan (Madison: The University of Wisconsin, 1971), p. 7. 2Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission, Action for Outdoor Recreation for America (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1964), p. 11. 3University of Wisconsin Sea Grant Program, 0p. cit., p. 7. II. N’III...[ . [I [ ll [[ JIIIIINfIII‘r‘IIIIIN v The above figures illustrate the extent of partici- pation in recreational boating in this country as well as providing some measure of the impact these millions of boat- ers have on the economy. Because of this growth in boating and its related activities, many states have concerned themselves with attempting to provide public access and facilities for the boater. Planning is being carried out to meet the needs of the growing number of boaters. This boat- ing expenditure study was carried out to provide data inputs to assist those involved in developing these plans. Recreational Boating in Michigan When looking at the geographical setting of the state of Michigan, one realizes the vast water resources available to the recreational boater. Michigan has four of the five Great Lakes partially within its boundaries, totaling some 38,575 square miles or 41 percent of the total Great Lakes area. Michigan‘s Great Lakes shoreline extends over 2,274 miles and no point in the state is more than 85 miles from one of the four bordering lakes.1 Michigan also possesses a large number of inland lakes. Given increasedfi) access to bodies of water, more and more people have chosen to use their leisure time and income to participate in recreational boating in the state of Michigand Michigan ranks first among the fifty states in total number of lMichigan Water Resources Commission, Michigan and the Great Lakes (Lansing: The Commission, 1967), p. 1. r\l_ ' -.'-.—~.__. .-"’~‘ registered motor boats. The total number of registered motor boats in Michigan in 1973 was more than 520,000 craft.l This figure represents only powered craft, with non-powered craft accounting for an estimated additional 150,000 craft.2 Boating information gathered by the consulting firm, Recreation Resource Consultants, and reported in the 1971 Michigan Recreational Boating Study identified areas where Michigan craft owners recreate, reported the activi- ties participated in by the boaters, and estimated the expected future boater participation patterns in the state of Michigan. There were two boat length categories utilized in the 1971 study: (1) less than 20 feet, and (2) greater than 20 feet. This study reports that 25.1 percent of the less than 20' craft and 66.3 percent of the 20' plus craft are used primarily on the Great Lakes with the remainder of use being on inland bodies of water.3 These figures reflect to some extent the suitability of the various craft sizes for the two different bodies of water. A boater who wants to navigate the Great Lakes, because of wave size 1"Number registered" is the total number of regis- tered boats listed by the Secretary of State for its 1973 year-end tabulation. 2Ibid. 3Recreation Resource Consultants, 1971 Michigan Recreational Boating Study_(East Lansing, Michigan: 1972), p. 77. and limited protection from storms, would need a craft larger than those most commonly found on inland lakes. The 1971 Michigan survey of boat owners previously discussed ranked boating related activities according to the total number of days of participation on both the Great Lakes and inland lakes. In Table 1,which was devel— Oped from this study, it can be seen that Great Lakes boaters ranked "cruising" as the number one activity with "other" fishing and salmon/trout fishing second and third. Water skiiing, "other" activities, and hunting were the final three activities most often participated in. Inland lake boaters ranked "other" fishing first, followed by cruising, water skiing, salmon/trout fishing, "other" activities, and hunting. Again, the activities that are carried out by the craft owner related in part to the body of water (Great Lakes or inland lakes) the boater uses. Projected figures for "all boating" participation in Michigan by 1980 are set at 16,290,000 boat days annually.1 This figure when compared to the 1971 partici- pation total of 11,661,000 boat days shows an increase of over 4 million boat days annually in only nine years. This section on the participation in recreational boating in Michigan attempts only to bring into focus the lRecreation Resource Consultants, 1971 Michigan Recreational Boating Study (East Lansing, Michigan: 1972), p. 98. TABLE 1 ACTIVITIES UNDERTAKEN WHEN BOATING ON GREAT LAKES AND INLAND LAKES RANKED IN ORDER OF ESTIMATED NUMBER OF BOAT DAYS Great Lakes Boating Inland Lakes Boating Rank No of N f . . . . o. o A . ct1v1ty Boat Days % Act1v1ty Boat Days % II II 1 , Cruising 1,421,000 38.0 Otber. 4,554,800 47.9 f1sh1ng "0th fl 2 .er. 1,097,700 29.4 Cruising 2,483,700 26.1 fishing S/T Water 3 fishing* 615,600 16.5 skiing 1,920,500 20.2 4 wate?. 357,700 9.6 S/T. . 338,200 3.6 sk11ng fishing* Other Other 5 Act. 188,600 5.0 Act. 154,700 1.6 6 Hunting 56,100 1.5 Hunting 47,500 0.5 Totals 3,736,700 100.0 9,499,400 100.0 Source: Reproduced from 1971 Michigan Recreational Boating Study (East Lansing: *Salmon/trout fishing. upward trend in boating over the foreseeable future. Recreation Resource Consultants, 1972), p. 71. Because of the projected increase in boater needs, plans must be prepared by responsible governmental agencies to accommodate the craft owners. The information contained herein should be of assistance to those charged with the responsibility of developing these plans. CHAPTER II STUDY ISSUES AND RESEARCH PROBLEM The St. Joseph/Benton Harbor Marina Development Study The Michigan State Waterways Division, in carrying out its assigned task of providing Harbors of Refuge, is evaluating the feasibility of an expanded marine develOp— ment project along the southeastern shore of Lake Michigan at St. Joseph/Benton Harbor, Michigan. The existing munici- pal marine that serves these two cities provides for between 80 to 85 seasonal slips for craft ranging in size from 20-40 feet in length, and 20 transient (craft seeking limited time usage of the harbor and its facilities) accommodations. Services and facilities available to the craft owners at this site include gasoline sales, water, elec- tricity, rest rooms, a dock attendant, haul-out facilities and holding tank pump-out.l The parking areas provide an area for dry-land storage of craft for the winter months. The above listing of services and facilities is what is 1Michigan State Waterways Commission, Michigan Harbors of Refuge/1973 (Lansing: The Commission, 1973), p. 22. generally found at most of the existing Commission spon- sored harbors. It is important at this juncture to mention the position of the cities of St. Joseph and Benton Harbor in relation to the megalopolis created by the cities of Chicago, East Chicago, Hammond, Gary, and Michigan City to the west, which lie along the southern tip of Lake Michigan. Many thousands of recreational boats, both motorized and sail, visit the eastern shore of Lake Michigan from these Illinois and Indiana cities either for the purpose of cruising the lake or to fish for salmon and trout. With the exception of the private marina facilities at the city of New Buffalo, Michigan (which is not a Waterways Commission sponsored harbor), the first Michigan "Harbor of Refuge" is found at St. Joseph/Benton Harbor,. Michigan. With the sheer numbers of craft increasing along this shore, the Waterways Division has found it necessary to expand the number of available boating slips at the cities of St. Joseph and Benton Harbor. Having identified a site (approximately three miles up the St. Joseph River) for a new marina, the Waterways Division decided to study the possibilities of an extended marina development com- plex to help absorb the increasing flow of recreational boaters into the area. In discussions with the Waterways Division Direc- tor and staff members, it was pointed out that this new site would be developed strictly for Great Lakes boaters (20' plus craft) who desire seasonal berthing since other marinas in the area already provide adequate facilities and services for the boat owner having a trailered craft. The new site would be built to accommodate between 200 and 300 craft with a breakdown of proposed development as follows: MARINA RELATED FACILITIESl Waterways Division Development: (l) Adequate harbor a. Protected entrance b. Sufficient depth and width (entrance and harbor) (2) Access road (rough) (3) Utilities (water and electric lines) Private Development at the Marina Site (proposed): (l) Slips (seasonal) (2) Marina office building a. Administrative office b. Payment office c. Limited boating goods sales (3) Holding tank pump-out (4) Fuel and oil sales (5) Rest rooms (6) Shower facilities (7) Haul-out facilities (8) Boat storage facilities (9) Boat sales and services (plus sporting goods) (10) Parking facilities 1List compiled from a meeting held with Waterways Division staff, February 28, 1973. 10 NON-BOATING PRIVATE FACILITIES DEVELOPMENT Private Development at the Marina Site (proposed): (1) Housing (condominiums) (2) Restaurant facilities a. Restaurant and bar b. Snack shop c. Gift shop d. Clothing store (3) Ice vending machines (4) Parking facilities The proposed marine complex property would remain state owned, with private individuals developing the facilities at the site. It was pointed out by the Waterways Division staff that this concept for marina development in the state of Michigan would not be implemented until adequate research was completed to judge the feasibility of such a venture. The reason for the Waterways Division's concern for extended marina development of this type is derived from the authority and responsibility given to the Waterways Commission. It is responsible for acquiring, constructing, and maintaining harbors, channels, and facilities for vessels in navigable waters lying within the boundaries of the state of Michigan as well as granting concessions within the boundaries of harbors to furnish to the public fuel, oil, food, and other facilities. These two powers would allow for the Waterways Commission to develop a site by combining state funds and funds from the private sector of the economy. 11 The Department of Park and Recreation Resources at Michigan State University was commissioned by the state Waterways Division to examine the feasibility of such an enterprise for St. Joseph/Benton Harbor, Michigan. The research plan for this effort has been separated into three major phases. Phase number one, a boating expenditure x fi study, is designed to determine boater expenditures by .. g,,,_~____\~____‘_____ size and type of craft owned. The second phase's goal is K to estimate "demand" for seasonal slips by boaters from the three state area around the southern tip of Lake Michigan. In the third phase of the study, data from phases one and two will be combined and analyzed in a linear programming model to determine the best possible makeup of services and facilities at the proposed marina site. The Problem Statement The research problem presented by this study is to estimate expenditures which recreational boaters make at home, en route to their craft at their marina , - ‘5 or slip rental sites to identify variables which influ- U¢m&~4 m ”‘1‘? 9" ‘ ence the total amounts of these recreational expenditures. A number of questions are addressed by this study including the total amount of expenditures made (by type Z. and size of craft owned) and which goods and services adha 51“,“, . F"' . are purchased. For example, what are the differences 1 average expenditures between powered craft and sailing M’ (2’1” I NW" 12 craft? Not only are the two craft types (motorized and sail) investigated, but different length categories are looked at as well. (Other factors which affect a boater's expenditure patterns that were studied include: differ- ences in hull material as they bear on maintenance and upkeep costs, number of engines, capacity of on—board over- night accommodations as it relates to expenditures on shore-based accommodations, and the effect a galley on board the craft has upon expenditures for prepared meals (9 and grocery purchases.) The research attempts to look at the entire package 7 of the boating activity to arrive at a reasonable estimate of the total expenditures made by participants in this activity. Will, for example, the distance between the “a owner's home and where his craft is docked account for differences in the amount of craft usage and, in turn, P,“ expenditures? Will the distance between the owner's home and marina site determine the extent of maintenance the -r owner performs both during the boating season and while the craft is in winter storage? Other needed information pertaining to craft operations gathered for this study was the length of time the craft is kept in the water ‘— fl during the boating season, and amount of usage by the Leno-“7",“; " E i as owner, relatives, and friends. L, 12.. our ( Beyond craft and craft operation information, questions dealing with amounts of expenditures in the areas 13 of pre-launch maintenance costs, launching fees, slip rental fees, purchases of boating equipment, expenditures on fuel and oil and in-season maintenance costs were answered by boaters included in this survey. These boaters also pro- vided the cost for craft haul-out, storage preparation costs, boat storage expenditures, effluent pump-out costs, and_craft insurance expenditures. The answers to these questions will provide information on craft related costs;) Expenditures beyond those spent primarily for the operation of the craft that were collected include: travel costs to and from the slip rental site, food (both groceries and prepared meals), alcoholic beverages, off-craft lodging, recreational equipment related to recreational boating, and expenditures for non-boating recreational activities while at the slip rental site. The above mentioned trip related expenditures when combined with clothing expenditures, laundry costs, and craft related expenditures includes the vast majority of items and services purchased by the recreational boater. In summary, as indicated in the Opening of the problem statement, this study was designed to gather U1". expenditure information covering all facets of boating. This information was then analyzed to determine the impact ”\{L‘q’w of craft use, SES characteristics, and craft type and H‘flnJ/ M“;u+uflllflu size on expenditures. Additionally, this information is a vital input to the linear programming model for the 14 St. Joseph/Benton Harbor site. It is anticipated that the information will be of use to others interested in the recreational boating activity. CHAPTER III RESEARCH DESIGN Review of the Literature Before creating the research design for this study, a review of relevant literature covering the broad tOpic of consumer behavior was undertaken. Included in this topic are two subtopics particularly relevant to this study: (1) socio-economic status characteristics and how they relate to the expenditure patterns of individuals, and (2) psychological or personality characteristics related to spending patterns. In addition, published research was reviewed to determine how differences in distances and travel time might affect the expenditures for a recreational activity. Literature found to be of particular relvance is discussed in the following sections of this document. Consumer Behavior Literature In studying the model of an individual in the role of a consumer, it is necessary to look at three scientific fields to understand, explain, and predict human action. These three fields are psychology, sociology, and economics, making the study of consumer behavior an interdisciplinary endeavor. In addition to the use of consumer behavior 15 16 studies by professionals in the field of marketing, other groups interested in consumer behavior research include governmental and social action agencies interested in establishing or in effecting public policy decisions rele- vant to consumer affairs.1 This last statement relates directly to the main purpose for which this expenditure study was carried out. It is important that the Waterways DiviSion determine what the consumer characteristics of the Great Lakes boater are, and how these characteristics will affect that market area. A decision can then be made by the Division on developing a site which will provide the desired goods and services. The study of consumer behavior involves the appli- cation of concepts and variables from behavioral science disciplines to increase understanding of human behavior in the consumption role. When successful these studies can lead to the design of more efficient marketing or social action programs.2 Consumer behavior relates to a freedom of choice which is dependent upon the affluence of con- sumers and the specific society to which the consumer belongs.3 Of particular interest in this statement is how lScott Ward, ed., Consumer Behavior: Theoretical Sources (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), p. 8. 2 Ibid., p. 9. 3Peter D. Bennett and Harold D. Dassarjiar, Consumer Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice—Hall, Inc., 1972), p. l. 17 affluence of the consumer creates freedom of choice. Questions such as Will the individuals with the greatest amount of income have the greatest amount of recreational boating expenditures because of this greater degree of freedom in spending? are asked and, hopefully, answers provided. Within the field of consumer behavior, the most completely refined bodies of theory are the economic theories relating to consumer behavior. The basis behind this body of theory of consumer behavior involves choice.1 Most economic consumer behavior theorififi rest upon the following three assumptions: 1. Each consuming unit has a limited (finite) income. 2. Each consuming unit has unlimited (infi- nite) needs or wants. 3. Each good or service capable of satisfying a need or want carries a nonzero cost. The thought here is that since one is unable to purchase everything he wants, he must select those goods and services he can afford and desires the most. These theories suggest that both income and availability of the commodities will have an influence on how much income an individual may choose to allocate to boating. Here the assumption was made that whatever goods the Great Lakes recreational 1Peter D. Bennett and Harold H. Kassarjiar, Consumer behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), p. 11. 2Ibid., p. 12. 18 boater wanted or needed could be obtained as long as suf- ficient funds were available. Related to 1973 observed spending patterns, there was no apparent lack of goods available to the boater but possibly a lack of services along the Great Lakes shoreline. The reasoning behind consumer behavior in economic theory is that each consumer tends to seek the greatest satisfaction or utility from each purchase. The basic principle that explains the way consumers choose a certain mix of goods and services is called the "law of diminishing marginal utility," which is derived from the belief that an idividual's ability to enjoy the use of a good diminishes as he consumes more of that good.1 The individual, accord- ing to the above theory, will allocate his finite income in such a way that the utility received from the last unit of expenditures is equal for each good. This is then the law of equal marginal utility per dollar. Another theoretical approach to utility maximization is the "indif- ferences approach" where scaled intervals to measure utility are replaced by an ordinal scale of preference. In graphing these points of utility, the income consumption curve is utilized. One construct of "satisfaction" perceived by the consumer was defined by Spence, Hull, and Skiller: 1Peter D. Bennett and Harold H. Kassarjiar, Consumer Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), p. 12. 19 If the actual outcomes (of the purchase) are adjudged by the buyer to be at least equal to those expected, the buyer will feel satisfied, that is, actual consequences are greater than or equal to expected consequences. If, on the other hand, he adjudges the actual outcomes to be less than what he expected, the buyer will feel dissatisfied, that is actual consequences are less than expected consequences. . . . If the brand proves more satis- factory than he expected, the buyer has a tendency to enhance the attractiveness of the brand. If it proves less satisfactory than he expected, he is .1ike1y to diminish its attractiveness. Another important area that affects an individual as a consumer is his own perception. In the context of this boating expenditure study, how does a boater perceive himself and others around him, and how will that perception affect his expenditures? Does the perception of the individual that he is socially equal to his fellow boater prompt him to purchase a larger craft or more expensive boating equipment when the boater in the slip next to him does? There are two major categories recognized as determi- nants of perception: (1) stimulus factors and (2) func- tional factors.2 The former relate to physical stimuli, i.e., what the prospective buyer sees and likes he will be more willing to purchase. The impact of stimuli for the boating expenditure study would be extremely difficult to measure since large amounts of spending are predicted to 1Peter D. Bennett and Harold H. Kassarjiar, Consumer Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), P. 36. 2Ibid., p. 45. 20 fall in the categories of fuel and oil purchases as well as services pertaining to the maintenance of the craft. The second category of perception, that being functional factors, also influences expenditure behavior. The underlying theory on functional factors proposes that on one hand, we screen out messages we do not want to per- ceive, while on the other hand we distort, modify, and often add elements so that very often we see what we want to see.1 An example of this might relate to the distance between a boat owner's home and where his craft is kept during the boating season. The distance may be many miles, but because of limitations on where he can rent a seasonal slip, the boat owner will tend to ignore the length of travel time. This brief overview of literature concerning gen- eral characteristics of consumer behavior only touches the main points of an expansive field of study. In the fol- lowing section, which deals with socio-eceonomic status (SES) characteristics of individuals and how these charac— teristics affect spending, the focus is turned toward a more closely related research tool that is used directly in this study. 1Peter D. Bennett and Harold H. Kassarjiar, Consumer Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1972), p. 12. 21 Socio-Economic Status (SES) Char- acteristics and Expenditure Patterns This literature review covers (under the broad heading of social-economic status) five major areas that are to be considered in the analysis of the recreational expenditures information obtained from the sample popula- tion of Lake Michigan boaters. The five categories are (1) education, (2) income, (3) age, (4) family size, and (5) occupation. One of the objectives of this study was to determine to what degree the above selected SES characteristics affect the sum of recreational boating expendigures. The knowledge gained from the SES data analysis will hopefully aid in explaining expenditure behavior. Education.--In Robert T. Michael's book, The Effect of Education on Efficiency in Consumption, the author describes education as part of an individual's "human capital," which is in fact an investment good. The view presented here is that peOple enhance their capabilities as producers and as consumers by investing in themselves.1 The most important point assumed when looking at education affecting expenditure patterns is stated in the following quote: 1Robert T. Michael, The Effects of Education on Efficiency in Consumption (New York: Columbia University Press, 1972), p. 3. 22 By assuming Hicks—neutral productivity shifts, the effect of education on real income through non- market efficiency is examined, and it is suggested that changes in the level of education will lead to changes in the composition of the commodity basket. If education enhances nonmarket productivity, the consumption commodities--and the expenditure on market goods--should shift toward luxuries. If boating on the Great Lakes, which generally requires large and expensive boats, is considered to be a luxury, then Michael's theory would suggest the Great Lakes boaters encountered in this study would tend to show a high level of educational achievement. Questions pertaining to dif- ferences in craft size and even craft type when compared to education levels will have to be analyzed to test this hypothesis. The working hypothesis pertaining to the direction of education's effect on nonmarket efficiency proposes that education raises nonmarket productivity, thereby increasing the household's real income.2 The following two paragraphs indicate the reasons for increased produc- tivity through increased education. There are at least two reasons for expecting the effectcmfefficiency to be positive. First, therejfisthe well-documented positive correlation between levels of schooling and wages. From mar- ginal productivity theory we infer a positive relationship between one's education and the pro- ductivitymaamm mm: ammuo an: mm": as": an: am": moans +.mv .mvuom .omuom +.mq .mquom .omuom ammuo HHmw uwmuo mono: Anumcwq can mama Ommuo mmv mmHquHoam zoom emmm oz¢ wmqqHHMHmm u A.Hmmv HHHEHE u 1.5mmc mm n.omH H.Hm m.moa «.mma m.mm HHOOOIIOONHHHOs mama c o.oe «.mm m.mm m.Hs m.vq wmxooc Hmuoe mm H.oo m.mm H.mm m.mm m.mm mmmflsuo Hmuoe o m.ma m.m 0.0H m.HH 4.m wmxooc A.Humv BONAHHOs msmo o H.ma o.mH o.mm o.ma o.oa mmmflsuo A.Aumv BONHHHOO msmo o H.aH o.m oH H.HH m.oa Omxoow A.Hmmv BONAHHO: msmo o o.HH 4.0a o m.m m.n mmmflsuo 1.Hmmc BONHHHO: msma o o.km m.vm m.mv ¢.mv m.mm wmxoou 1.5mmc OONAHAus mmma mm o.¢m m.vm n.om m.om 5.5m mmmfisuo 1.5mmc cmuflafius mmmn an: mm": as": an: awn: moans +.m4 .mvuom .omnom +.mv .mvnom .omuom ammuo Hflmm ammuo uouoz Asumcmq 6am mama ammuo mmv mozmHmm oza .mm>HB¢qmm .quz¢m wm nmNHqHao mwaouuemamo mme mo mm: gazomamm m mqmflfi 61 A second possible explanation would relate to the number of days the family used the craft with relatives and/ or friends on board the craft. In response to the question, the craft owner might have included the number of days the craft was utilized jointly in responding to the number of days the craft was used solely by relatives or friends. This would again lead to an increased count over actual usage of the craft. A problem might not exist with these figures--and in fact they might represent the actual usage. According to a Waterways Division research staff member, the response to the number of days of craft utilization by the craft owner falls within the response figures that were given by boaters in previously conducted studies. This point wuld tend to give face validity to the figures; however, further work should be carried out to get a more accurate response from the craft owners. In future studies, the question should be given stricter design restrictions to find out craft usage,and minimize the possibility of double counting. Length of Time Craft Is in the Water The final figure tabulated for craft operations section was the average length of time the craft (for each size and type category) was kept in the water. This figure would represent the maximum amount of days the craft could be utilized for the boating season. The 62 average number of days motorized craft were kept in the water, for each of the three length categories, was 162.8, 174.1, and 163.3 days, respectivelyu Sailcraft averaged 165, 175, and 150 days. The average number of days that the boats were in the water for both craft types and all craft length categories was 166.5 or 5.6 months. Craft Related Expenditures In order to obtain boating expenditures incurred by the craft owner, a total of eleven questions on the questionnaire were asked each craft owner. The figures for craft expenditures are listed in Table 7 on the follow- ing page to allow for comparison of expenditures for each craft type and size category. In the following sections, the contents of this table are discussed and emerging spending patterns highlighted. Pre-launch maintenance costs.--Prior to the start of each boating season and while the craft is still in dry- land storage, there are certain maintenance tasks that are usually performed. Maintenance activities prior to launching would include activities ranging from repainting the hull and polishing chrome fixtures, to overhauling the engine and testing radio equipment. Question 21 on pre-launch maintenance asked for a breakdown on expenditures in 14 categories. The question then asked for the total average amount spent on the craft 63 .mmcommmuucoz n mz oo.oooa «H.mm~ Hm.H~H oo.oom Hm.mnm Hm.ema mumoo mocmusmcfl Hmscca oo.ooa mm.em mm.mm mm.mHH sm.mv hm.mq unclassm ucmsammm mz HH.mqm mm.moa oo.mmv nm.vmm oo.~HH Ommnonm umon cemmmmummo m2 oo.mva m~.v«m oo.mm Hm.oe mm.moa mumoo .mmum mmmuonm mz 4m.m> 4H.mm oo.om mo.mo Hm.mm usonasmn ammuo oo.ooma Hm.sm sm.mm om.mmm Hp.mflm vq.moa mumoo .ucflma cemmmmucH oo.ooa ma.me Hm.qm om.mmh. Ho.kmv om.HH~ Hflo 8cm Hmsm mz aa.mmm nm.oav ~¢.mom. om.emm Hm.m~m Hmuoun.mflsam mcflumom mz oo.mm~ oo.moa HG.HH~ 4N.mma am.~sa umauou.mflsam mcflumom mz MH.Hmm mm.mm oo.mmm 4H.mma mm.mm~ man-.mHsam mcflumom mz mo.omm Hm.oam mk.mos ~m.mma mm.a~H Opflm mflamu.mflsam Beaumom m2 mm.svm mv.mma ms.mas mm.vm~ ao.som mmm Hmucmu OAHm mz mo.vm Hm.mm oo.om mv.mm mo.m¢ 66% mcflnocsmq mz oa.~m~ mm.OHH om.m>m mm.mmm mm.maa Hmuos\.ucflme nonsmaumum / an: «mus menu mus awn: moan: +.mv .mvuom .omuom +.mq .mvuom .omuom ammuo Hflmm ummuo uouoz Asumcmq paw dame ummuu wmv mmmDBHozmmxm Qdeqmm Bmmn can coon mz ma.avm mn.woa mN.HHN mm.oam HH.HmH mamme wmummmum\.ocmmxm Boom mz m¢.mmfi oa.mh mn.mma mo.mma Hm.vma Hocooaax.ncmmxm coom mz NH.Hom ao.moa ms.wmm mm.mom mm.mma mmflumoou0\.vcmmxm coon Hus mm": anus mun mmna moan: +.mv .mvuom .omION +.mv .mvuom .omuom “mayo HHmm ummuo uouoz Anumcmq Cam make ummwu wmv mmmDBHszmxm QMBfiHmm mHmB m mamfiB 71 not follow that some exact pattern. Expenditures for food (groceries) increased from length I to length II in both categories of craft type, but under motorized, length III craft owners average expenditures dropped. The expenditures for alcoholic beverages again fluctuate downward for the length III craft owner. In fact, only the length I sail craft owner averages less money spent for alcohol than the largest craft size for motorized boats. This is not the expected trend in spend— ing behavior that had been predicted for all expenditures per category. The average amount of money spent by craft owners for prepared meals showed substantial increases in every length category, although II and III motorized only show a difference of slightly over one dollar. Seasonal expenditures for off-craft lodging.-—The second question on "trip expenditures" covered in this thesis deals with the amounts of money the craft owner paid out on the average for off-craft lodging at the marina site. It would, of course, be necessary to seek off-craft lodging when the number of individuals to be lodged exceeded on-board lodging capacity. However, boaters may choose for one reason or another to use off—craft lodging rather than stay on the craft. One respondent built a $68,000 summer home to avoid sleeping on the craft. In the motorized category, length I, only 22 craft owners out of 102 indicated any expenditures for off-craft 72 lodging with the average expenditure for all craft owners in that category totaling $26.93. In length II motorized, 14 boaters out of 89 paid for off-craft lodging with the average expenditure for the category being $16.29. Owners in length category III motorized, and lengths II and III in sailing craft, made no expenditures for off—craft lodging. The only other expenditures for off-craft lodging was in length category I sailing craft: The average was $45.75 for this group with only 10 responding that they used off-craft lodging out of the 32 in this category. The trend concerning off-craft lodging vflflxfll one might expect would have owners of smaller craft seeking off-craft lodging for weekend guests since on-board overnight accom— modations are not as great as are found on the larger craft. Of the total 312 respondents, only 46, or only 14.7% of the sample population, indicated they utilized off—craft lodging. Recreational equipment/boating related.-—The ques- tion concerning the purchases of recreational equipment that would be utilized during or related to the boating activity was broken down into three categories: fishing equipment, water skiing equipment, and skin—SCUBA diving equipment with two "other purchases" categories left open. Again the figures represented in Table 8 indicate the total for expenditures flmrrecreational equipment purchased at both the "home address" and "slip rental" site. 73 Purchases of recreational equipment decreased from length II in relation to length I for motorized craft. The remaining length categories showed increases for each size group. Expenditures for recreational equipment averaged somewhat less for the sail craft owners, possibly because they consider sailing a complete sport in or of itself. Non-boating recreational expenditures at "slip rental site."--Question 37 on the expenditure questionnaire was designed to determine seasonal spending patterns for boat owners participating in other forms of recreation while at the "slip rental site." Oftentimes, the craft is considered a mobile cabin or summer home to be used as a base of operations. This question was designed to see how much money was spent by the craft owner for such recre- ational activities as golfing, tennis, bowling, movies, spectator sports, and "other activities." Referring back to Table 8, less money was spent by the length II motorized craft owner than length I motorized; however, the general finding was that this category of expenditures increased with boat size. Motor craft owners included in this sample on the average spent more on non- boat related recreation activities thanHm mEoocH Mom mpoun .mh mama so cm>Hm coHumospm How mpoom HF4W7©CVF10H<$CHVF40 mh.vH mm.m vv.m N.mv umnuo UmuHumm ucwEmoH0mcm 3mg HmumcmmIHmHHoo wsHm m>HumucmmmHQmH mmHmm meuoz huogomm hmuwHU HmumcmmlumHHoo wanS Hmcomme mommmwoum ummchcm HOGBO mmmchsm m>Husomxm mmmchom washouud .o.z\uouooo mocwmmOHm\coHummsooo mm.m mh.NH vv.m mm.h QmEoocH Hmsccm Hm.m mo.m mm.m mm.m >HHEmm CH mCOmumm mo umnEdz mm.o mn.m mm.m nv.m MHOCBO mo Hm>mH :oHumospm m.m¢ m.Hm c.5v m.mv mmmum>¢\umc30 ammuo m0 mod H Hrfi P4N F4H mwxo~4H<:c>o<¢c>vr~u> caocnoxocncxocouaocooamr~ ocaqwuqmoc3c>o<3r+o<3wio [\Fihf\O\Or4CDHChO‘OCDWTW NM": .mVIom men: an: own: moans .OMION +.mv .mVlOM .OMION ammuo Hflmm ummuo mono: Anumcmq pcm mmme ummHU va MUHBmHmMBU¢m¢mU Ammmv maaaam UHSOZOOmIOHUOm OH mqm0c90pw< .N mmHmm .HH hOmmmmoam .m HMOHUOE\QOHOOQ .H umcoHPOOHmemmHo COHHmadooo mH :H H «H HH DH m m b m m j m m H fin NH fl ..LH,. HE M1 .M Mu .H _ l _ .l O _” .1 . .l . H _ l m _w m m _H _1 _” m N. A m __ : : .\ :1 fl 3 . _ u .1 NH _ , _-.._ L :H E mH wH _ _ MN Ampcmpcommmm NHHV mmmzzo =em<\mucm©commmu HHH mchmon How musqucwmxm Hmsccm mmmum>¢ .5 whom vmnwmmnm>¢\mucmpcommmu HH¢ pmNHHHps mH ummuo mamw mo MODESZ .w .cHE ovlwmmum>¢\mucmpcommmn HH¢ mcHHmE van 0803 :mm3umnlmEHu Hm>mua .m waomuHH «\womIH oxmomuHH o\womuH meuo 0:0 mo suchH 0:» mH 0mg: .4 m\wm.nmnHHmm mH\m~.mhuuouoz ammuo mo mama was: .m n\wmmloz mH\wm>|mmw ammuo m :30 mHucmmmum so» on .N N\wmloz mm\wmm|mmw muHmccoHummsv m m>HmomH do» UHQ .H mmcommwm coHummso Amumczo Ommuo mac sm>mam msuzoqqom mzommmume mme mo meqommm NH MHmdfi 85 owned craft. This finding suggests that another sizable percentage of non-respondents probably no longer own boats and therefore had little incentive to fill out and return the questionnaire. Of the 18 respondents still owning boats, 13 had motor craft (72.2%) and 5 had sail craft (27.8%). These figures when compared to the 64.1% to 35.9% ratio (motor to sail) of respondents suggests that the ratio of motor craft to sail craft owners may be higher in the non- responding population. Of the 13 motor craft, one was too short (17') to be included in the study, while the remain- ing 12 were split up evenly between length categories I and II. The five sail craft were found to be in the first two length categories also (Length I--4 craft, Length II--1 craft). Travel time between home address and slip rental siteikn:those contacted via telephone averaged 40 minutes which is lower than the mean of just over 60 minutes found among those responding to the expenditure survey. The number of days the craft was utilized was also low: 34 days in the telephone survey to 56 days in the questionnaire response. The average for the 14 individuals that would hazard a guess as to what their total recreational boating expenditures might be was only $1,300. The lowest average for questionnaire respondents was $2,243.85 for length I sail craft. It should be pointed out here that when the individuals were asked questions on days of craft usage 86 and amount of expenditures made by them they were unsure of whatever figure they came up with. They had no time to check for the accuracy of their figures. Reasons for non-response were also solicited from the selected non-respondents. Twelve said they were "too busy" to answer the questionnaire; four felt their response was not important, and one felt the questionnaire was too personal. In summary, a rather high proportion of non- respondents (28%) did not respond because they no longer owned a boat.“ This group of non-respondents would appear to have little if any impact on the validity of the expendi- ture data presented herein. The lower estimated expendi- tures reported by non-respondents in the telephone follow-up than for respondents, the lower usage of the craft during the season, and the "too busy" to respond high rate of selection combine to suggest that non-respondents probably use their boats less and spend less money—-possibly because they are "busier" than boaters who responded to the ques- tionnaire. In generalizing the expenditure pattern data reported here to the population of Lake Michigan boaters, one should be advised that the figures, due to the lack of accurate responses, are predicted to be somewhat lower than what actually exists. CHAPTER V TESTING THE HYPOTHESES Analysis of the Data In order to analyze the data on recreational boating expenditures made by Lake Michigan Great Lakes boaters, a number of data analysis methods were utilized. These procedures were used for two purposes: (1) to pre- dict trends in future recreational boating expenditures and (2) to test the hypotheses as to the strength of the variables in determining expenditure patterns presented in this thesis. The analysis included simple regression analysis, multiple regression analysis, and non-parametric two-way analysis of variance. It was decided to look primarily at three different dependent variables covering boating expenditures. The first dependent variable being "total" expenditures; the second, "craft" expenditures; and the third, "trip related" expenditures. There were other possibilities for dependent variables such as the purchases of prepared meals at the slip rental site, grocery purchases, or literally any other itemized expenditure category covered in the questionnaire. For the purpose of narrowing the scope of the analysis, however, the three larger categories were utilized as the dependent variables. 87 88 The number of independent variables chosen for analysis is considerably larger than the number of dependent variables. The following descriptive variables were selected to hopefully explain the differences found in expenditure patterns: craft type (motorized or sail), craft size (20-30', 30-45', 45'+), travel time between the home address and slip rental site, percent of maintenance performed by the craft owner, number of days the craft is used during the boating season, income level, education level, family size, age, and occupation. In the following sectionj'Testing the Hypotheses, scatter diagrams and statistics necessary for interpretation are placed with each hypothesis to be tested. Finally, non-parametric two-way analysis of variance will be used to determine whether or not total expenditures are sig- nificantly different by craft type and length. The coverage of analysis in this thesis is restricted to the testing of the hypotheses on variable effects and does not attempt to predict expenditure trends or patterns for the Great Lakes boater. Through the utilization of the available analysis techniques, it is hOped the hypotheses that are presented will be positively tested. In terms of the simple regression analysis tech- niques, the model used was Y = a + BX + u 89 where Y represents the dependent variable (expenditures), a the Y intercept, B the regression coefficient, X the independent or descriptive variable, and u the disturbance term.1 The multiple regression technique utilized the formula Y1 = Bo + lel + B2X2 + . . . Bka + u . It is generally implied that the variation in Y is system- 1 atically explainable by the part of the Yl that is represented as (B0 + lel + BZXZ + . . . Bka) and that 2 the part of Y not explained by the X5 is represented by u. 1 Results of the multiple regression computer runs can be found in Appendix E. Testing the Hypotheses Socio-Economic Status Hypothesis 1: Boat owners with the highest socio- economic status (SES) characteristics level will expend more for the recreation boating experience in each of the craft type and size categories. To determine the validity of this hypothesis, the individual SES characteristics must be compared to expendi- ture patterns since no single all inclusive SES measure was established for this study. 1David S. Huang, Regression and Econometric Methods (New York: 1970), p. 12. 2Ibid., p. 53. 90 In looking at the tabulation of the expenditure data, one notes that there is a positive relationship between craft size and amounts of expenditures. Similar comparisons to expenditures can be made with such SES characteristics as education level, income, and age. After looking at the sub-hypotheses under the SES heading, this section will be concluded with a statement concerning the validity of Hypothesis 1. Sub-Hypothesis 1-A: The boat owner's income will be positively related to his recreational boating expenditures. The higher the income, the greater the amount of expenditures in all craft categories. Referring to the simple correlation data in the margin of Figure 4, it can be seen that income had a posi- tive correlation of .418 to total expenditures. The plot of the regression line for total expenditures versus amount of income indicates that for the sample population of boat owners, the greater the income level, the greater the amounts of expenditures. To actually test the hypothesis that income does affect expenditures, one must determine which of the following is accepted: the null hypothesis (H : = 0) or the alternate hypothesis (Ha: # 0), with the x-uX SX when looking at the data in Figure 4 shows that the t value 0 level of significance at 5 percent. The t test (t ) of 8.11 is far greater than the critical value of t (1.960) with 310 degrees of freedom and a level of significance of 0.5. Thus the null hypothesis cannot be accepted, and it mzoozH Nm _ «.mH v.4H w.NH w.oH oo.m om.b ov.m om.m om." _.o _ _ — HII _ a. _ _ _ H H .4 .4 Wm .4 .4.I 4 d 4 4 4 .4 .4 m“ M“ H m" .C a a 4 4 m - « . w ‘4 4 4. 44 C 44 w . 4 . . . «4 4 4 w A. . H . 4 4 q « 4. . 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