MANAGING GREAT LAKES WATER AS A COMMON POOL RESOURCE: BARRIERS TO AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR COLLECTIVE ACTION AMONG IRRIGATORS IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN By Rachel N. Ford A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics 2012 ABSTRACT MANAGING GREAT LAKES WATER AS A COMMON POOL RESOURCE: BARRIERS TO AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR COLLECTIVE ACTION AMONG IRRIGATORS IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN By Rachel Natalie Ford In response to the Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Compact, which protects the region against diversions of water outside of the Great Lakes- St. Lawrence River Basin, the State of Michigan has created a water use program to be implemented by the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ). The program regulates large-quantity water withdrawals (LQWs) of greater than 100,000 gallons per day to prevent adverse resource impacts (ARIs), defined as reduction of the index flow in streams and subsequent decline of fish populations. The rivers and their corresponding watersheds in the state were segmented into over 5,000 catchment areas to be used as management units for the identification and mitigation of ARIs. An assessment process consisting of an online screening tool and a site-specific review uses data on aquifer yields, stream index flow, and fish population response to categorize each new or increased LQW according to the risk of ARI. Should an ARI be detected in a catchment, all registered and permitted large-quantity water appropriators potentially will be convened into a water user committee to create a management plan for reducing water use in the area. The dynamics of these negotiations are unknown. This research explores a case study of agricultural irrigators in Southwest Michigan for conditions that influence transaction costs of negotiating and monitoring rules of a water reduction management plan. The identification of these potential barriers and opportunities for collective action results in suggestions for the DEQ to reduce transaction costs and improve the efficacy of the water use program in Michigan. For my mother, Dr. Yvonne L. Ford, Ph.D. RN iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my advisor Dr. Pat Norris for her guidance in the research process from data collection to outlines to writing and revising; without your help and encouragement I might have given up long ago. I would also like to thank my other committee members, Dr. David Schweikhardt and Dr. David Lusch, for your advice and recommendations. Many people helped in gathering and interpreting data including Howard Reeves of the U.S. Geological Survey, Jeremiah Asher of the Institute for Water Research at Michigan State University, Andy LeBaron of the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality, Dr. David Lusch of Michigan State University, and Lyndon Kelley of Michigan State University Extension. Thank you, Rebecca Mino, for allowing me to use your research paper as a guide for qualitative analysis. I would also like to acknowledge and thank all of the agricultural irrigators in Southwest Michigan who participated in focus groups and individual interviews. I also need to thank my parents who have supported me in everything I do. Jenny Kim and Cathy Finnie and all other friends who have helped to relieve stress also deserve thanks. This research was made possible through the Gordon and Norma Guyer and Gary L. Seevers Endowment in Natural Resource Conservation. The institutional review board number associated with this research is IRB# x11-231. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES……………………………………………………………………………... vii LIST OF FIGURES……………………………………………………………………………. viii CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION TO THE PROBLEM ………………………………….. 1 1.1 The Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Compact…………... 1 1.2 Michigan’s Water Use Program…………………………………………………….2 1.3 The Water Withdrawal Assessment Process………………………………………..3 1.31 Fish Response Curves and Risk of Adverse Resource Impact……………. 4 1.32 Catchments………………………………………………………………... 6 1.33 Water Rights in Michigan…………………………………………….............. 8 1.4 Great Lakes Water as a Common Pool Resource……….......................................... 9 1.5 The Research............................................................................................................. 11 CHAPTER TWO: COMMON POOL RESOURCE PROBLEMS……………………………. 13 2.1 Models of Appropriator Behavior………………………………………………….. 13 2.11 The Logic of Collective Action……………………………………………. 14 2.12 The Tragedy of the Commons…………………………………………………. 15 2.13 Prisoner’s Dilemma Game ………………………………………………. 15 2.14 The Assurance Problem………………………………………………………… 16 2.2 Institutional Change………………………………………………………………... 18 2.3 Framework for Evaluating the Case Study................................................................ 19 2.4 Discussion of Evaluation Framework……………………………………………… 22 CHAPTER THREE: THE CASE STUDY AREA….................................................................. 32 3.1 General Characteristics of Location…………………………………………….. …32 3.11 Agricultural Economy of the Case Study Area………………………………. 33 3.12 Water Availability……………………………………………………………….. 35 3.2 Characteristics of Agricultural Appropriators……………………………………... 40 3.21 Agricultural Statistics…………………………………………………………… 41 3.22 Qualitative Data...........................................................................................44 3.3 Qualitative Research……………………………………………………………….. 47 3.4 Topics………………………………………………………………………………. 48 3.41 Frustration……………………………………………………………………….. 48 3.42 Distrust……………………………………………………………………………. 50 3.43 Heterogeneity……………………………………………………………………. 52 3.44 Relationships…………………………………………………………………….. 56 3.45 Anti-Diversion……………………………………………………………………. 57 3.46 Summary………………………………………………………………………….. 57 CHAPTER FOUR: ANALYSIS AND RESULTS…………………………………………….. 59 4.1 Definition of the Resource…………………………………………………………. 59 4.2 Analysis……………………………………………………………………………. 60 4.3 Summary of Findings………………………………………………………………. 82 v CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSIONS…………………………………………………………... 85 5.1 Opportunities………………………………………………………………………..85 5.2 Barriers……………………………………………………………………………... 86 5.3 Suggestions for the DEQ…………………………………………………………... 87 5.4 Other Large Quantity Water Users………………………………………………… 89 APPENDICES…………………………………………………………………………………. 91 Appendix A: Recruitment Script………………………………………………………. 92 Appendix B: Focus Group Script………………………………………………………. 94 Appendix C: Individual Interview Script………………………………………………. 100 Appendix D: References to Transcripts for Topics in Chapter Three…………………. 103 REFERENCES……………………………………………………………………………….... 104 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Relationship between percentage reduction in stream flow and risk zone…………… 5 Table 2. Prisoner’s Dilemma Payoff Schedule……………………………………………........ 16 Table 3. 2007 Average and median size of farms in acres by county…………………………. 34 Table 4. 2007 Irrigated acreage in case study area…………………………………………….. 34 Table 5. 2007 data for number of farms with principal operators who are full owners, part owners, and tenants by county…………………………………………………………………. 41 Table 6. 2007 data for number of farms with principal operators whose occupation is farming or other by county…………………………………………………………………….. 42 Table 7. 2008 data on barriers to making improvements for reduced energy use or water conservation by number of irrigated farms in Michigan………………………………………. 43 Table 8. 2008 data on number of irrigated farms and acreage in Michigan that received payments from organizations for irrigation and/or drainage improvements…………………... 44 Table 9. Barriers, opportunities and irrelevant conditions for collective action according to evaluation framework and data from Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph Counties…………………………………………………………………………….. 83 vii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Relationship between reduction in stream flow, impact on thriving and characteristic fish populations, and subjectively determined risk zones………………….. 5 Figure 2. Number of registered and permitted appropriators in each catchment as of August 2011……………………………………………………………………………………. 7 Figure 3. Framework for Institutional Change………………………………………………… 19 Figure 4. Evaluation Framework………………………………………………………………. 21 Figure 5. Map of the case study area…………………………………………………………... 32 Figure 6. Michigan’s top commodities, 2009………………………………………………….. 33 Figure 7. Yield from bedrock aquifers…………………………………………………………. 36 Figure 8. Case Study area from bedrock aquifer yield………………………………………… 37 Figure 9. Yield from glacial aquifers…………………………………………………………... 38 Figure 10. Case Study area from glacial aquifer yield map……………………………………. 39 Figure 11. Number of registered or permitted large quantity water users by catchment in case study area………………………………………………………………………………. 40 Figure 12. Catchments in the case study area………………………………………………….. 61 Figure 13. Comparison of well simulation in A) MODFLOW model with B) WWAT analytical model………………………………………………………………………………... 63 Figure 14. Frequencies of pumping capacity registered in WWAT since July 9, 2009 in the counties of Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph…………………………………….. 71 viii Chapter One: Introduction to the Problem 1.1 The Great Lakes – St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Compact Sandra Postel, in Pillar of Sand, details the influence of irrigation on the construction and demise of civilizations from 4000 B.C. to present. Her writing is the story of irrigation, both the benefits humans can derive from it and the immense social and environmental destruction it can cause (Postel 1999). “Water scarcity is now the single biggest threat to global food production” (p. 6), Postel wrote while describing how costly engineering projects have been used to transform dry areas into agricultural lands. Similarly in, The Great Lakes Water Wars, Peter Annin (2006) describes the use of human infrastructure to divert water from areas of abundance to areas of scarcity. Both works emphasize the danger this introduces as an environmental hazard and as a source of conflict between regions that share water resources. Like roads, water engineering projects create new environmental and economic connections between regions that are otherwise separated. The formation of new groups of water users creates possibilities for conflict that arises out of the incompatible use of a resource. While Postel took a global survey of water conflict, Annin focused on the Great Lakes region where 18% of the world’s surface freshwater resides (Annin 2006). According to Annin, there has been little limit to human imagination in proposed water diversion schemes from the Great Lakes to other parts of the continent. In response to these diversion schemes, a series of regional agreements have been evolving to legitimately protect the Lakes from external interests. The current, and most conservative document, is the 2005 Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Basin Sustainable Water Resource Agreement (Agreement). This Agreement between the eight U.S. states and two Canadian provinces within the Great Lakes 1 Basin (Basin), committed the parties to “protect, conserve, and restore the Waters of the Great Lakes” (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005a: Section 101a). On the American side of the border is the legally binding Great Lakes- St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Compact (Compact) (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005b). The goals and standards of the Compact are to be incorporated into the water resource management program of each state, and, the progress of each is to be reported to the Council of Great Lakes Governors (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005b: Section 4.2.1). Each state (Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan) will prohibit diversions that do not meet stringent exceptions standards (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005b: Sections 4.8, 4.9), will monitor large quantity water withdrawals (LQWs) of more than 100,000 gallons per day within the Basin (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005b: Section 4.1), and will implement programs to promote the efficient use of water (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2005b: Section 4.2). These water conservation programs provide a prohibition of diversions that is non-discriminatory and does not give the region an economic advantage (Council of Great Lakes Governors 2001). The ability to legally refuse a diversion outside of the Basin on the basis of protection, conservation, and restoration is dependent on parties within the Basin making efforts to protect, conserve, and restore. 1.2 Michigan’s Water Use Program The State of Michigan, with only a small piece of the Upper Peninsula lying outside the Basin, has a great interest in the protection of The Great Lakes for recreation and economic purposes (Annin 2006); state legislation has supported this interest with the creation of a water use program to be administered by the Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ). The state’s 2 Natural Resources and Environmental Protection Act states, “The Great Lakes are a binational public treasure and are held in trust by the Great Lakes states and provinces” (MCL 324.501a). Public Act 148 (PA 148) in 2003 created the Groundwater Conservation Advisory Council (Council) to report on sustainable management of the water resources in the state; PA 148 also mandated the creation of a groundwater inventory and accompanying publicly accessible maps (GWIM) to inform the Council’s report (State of Michigan GWIM 2005). In 2006, PA 34 reconvened the Council to design an assessment process for authorizing large quantity water withdrawals in response to the interstate Compact, which would become national law in 2008 (Groundwater Conservation Advisory Council 2007). The Council was charged with creating an assessment tool by identifying indicators of water resource sustainability and determining how a potential withdrawal would affect those indicators (Groundwater Conservation Advisory Council 2007). A technical committee was formed to create this assessment process, which consists of two types of review to authorize requested withdrawals. The first is an online tool called the Water Withdrawal Assessment Tool (WWAT), which screens withdrawals for potentially nonsustainable pumping rates. If requested, LQWs that are rejected by the WWAT undergo a second, site-specific review by the DEQ using more precise local data. 1.3 The Water Withdrawal Assessment Process The assessment process relates surface and groundwater withdrawal to reduction in stream flow and subsequent ecological impacts. The WWAT was created as a conservative tool accessed online to evaluate proposed withdrawals of more than 100,000 gallons per day in terms of their risk of ecological impact (Hamilton and Seelbach 2011). An unacceptable level of ecological impact is labeled an Adverse Resource Impact (ARI) in the Compact and was defined 3 by fish population decline due to stream flow reduction on February 1, 2009 (MCL 324.32701). The WWAT has an online interface that uses resource user input on quantity, duration, and location of the withdrawal as variables in an analytical model (a series of linked equations that represent a system with interacting variables), and a GIS that relates aquifer characteristics with stream flow and stream flow with fish population response at each location (Reeves et al. 2009). The response of fish populations to reductions in stream flow is used to indicate an ARI. 1.31 Fish Response Curves and Risk of Adverse Resource Impact Streams across the state were classified by the Council into 11 different categories based on size and temperature. The amount of stream flow reduction from the baseline index flow, the median flow during the lowest-flow-month of the year (typically August), that will cause an ARI varies with each stream type due to the stream’s characteristic fish populations and their resilience to temperature and flow changes (Hamilton and Seelbach 2010). By studying specie density in streams with varying temperatures and flows across the state, a model for fish responses to habitat changes due to withdrawal was built (Zorn et al. 2008). Curves relating stream flow reduction and fish population change were created from this model for each type of stream. An example of a fish response curve is presented in Figure 1. The “thriving” fish curve shows how the density of fish populations declines while the “characteristic” fish curve shows the decline in both number of fish and number of species (Groundwater Conservation Advisory Council 2007). ARI risk zone thresholds were set by considering ecological impact and societal needs; a zone D rating is considered an ARI and therefore does not pass the assessment process (Hamilton and Seelbach 2010). 4 Figure 1. Relationship between reduction in stream flow, impact on thriving and characteristic fish populations, and subjectively determined risk zones (Source: Hamilton and Seelbach 2010). Table 1 shows the relationship between percent reduction in stream flow and the risk zones of each of the eleven classifications of streams. Cold…………….... Cold-Transitional... Cool……………... Warm……………. A-B 14% … 6 10 Stream B-C 14% 4 15 18 ARI 20% 4 25 24 Small river A-B B-C ARI 10.5% 10.5% 21% … 2 2 15 19 25 8 13 17 Large River A-B B-C ARI … … … … 3% 3% 14% 19 25 10 16 22 Table 1. Relationship between percentage reduction in stream flow and risk zone (Source: Hamilton and Seelbach 2010). Each zone in the assessment process corresponds to a regulatory decision; LQWs evaluated to be in zones A and B contain little risk for causing an ARI and are registered without a site-specific review. A withdrawal in a cold-transitional stream of any size that is evaluated to cause a zone B impact may not be registered without a site-specific review (MCL 324.32706b). Cold-transitional LQWs in zone B and withdrawals in zone C are registered through a site5 specific review only if corresponding conservation measures are implemented (MCL 324.32706c), but withdrawals evaluated to cause a zone D impact are highly likely to cause an ARI and are not allowed (MCL 324.32706b). 1.32 Catchments For the evaluation process, the hydrologic system in the state was broken into catchment areas, which are stream segments and their drainage areas. These segments were created by identifying 10,000 unique units by hydrologic and ecologic characteristics (Reeves et al. 2009). Absorbing the smallest segments into neighboring segments with similar properties and incorporating associated drainage areas resulted in approximately 5,000 catchment areas as management units to which risk zones are assigned for the evaluation of individual and cumulative impacts of proposed LQWs (MCL 324.32706a). Catchments may have multiple users (appropriators) with different purposes for their withdrawals. Figure 2 shows the number of 1 registered and permitted appropriators per catchment across the state as of August 2011. 1 Appropriators withdrawing more than 100,000 gpd must register their withdrawals; appropriators withdrawing more than 2,000,000 gpd or withdrawing more than 1,000,000 gpd for a municipal system that is evaluated in zone C must obtain a permit (MCL 324.32723). 6 Figure 2. Number of registered and permitted appropriators in each catchment as of August 2011. (Data on appropriators obtained from Andrew LeBaron, DEQ; catchment delineation based on version 8 obtained from Jeremiah Asher, Institute of Water Research, Michigan State University). For interpretation of the references to color in this and all other figures, the reader is referred to the electronic version of this thesis. Abutting catchments have aquifer continuity so that withdrawals in one catchment can affect streams in neighboring catchments. An inverse distance equation is used to evaluate the impact on neighboring streams (Reeves et al. 2009, pp 8-9): 7 f 1 d i i j 1 1, n d j (1) Where fi is the fraction of the captured water attributed to catchment i, di is the linear distance between the proposed well and the closest stream in catchment i, n is the number of adjacent catchments and This weighting equation allows for one withdrawal to negatively impact multiple catchment areas and multiple appropriators. 1.33 Water Rights in Michigan In effect, the legislation behind the water use program moves Michigan from a state operating under the Riparian Doctrine to one operating under regulated riparianism (Dellapenna 1994). The Riparian Doctrine entitle landowners to the reasonable use of surface water within or abutting his or her land up to an amount where that use begins to interfere with other appropriators’ rights to reasonable water use (Lusch 2011). Many eastern states have recognized the impact on ecosystems that multiple uses of surface and groundwater cause and in response have created environmental standards to be met; this essentially recognizes public interest in environmental integrity and protects that interest from appropriator overextraction (Dellapenna 1994). Because landowners are legally entitled to the reasonable use of water but ARI 8 occurrences are unlawful, an appropriator proposing a new or increased LQW that is rejected has standing to negotiate with those who are affecting that same catchment for their reduction. The appropriator can appeal to others to reduce their water consumption to allow for at least some of his or her proposed LQW. If negotiation does not lead to satisfactory results for all parties, disputes can be settled with litigation. An ARI can be identified in two ways: the first is with the water withdrawal assessment process, which utilizes the WWAT or a site-specific review. The second is if withdrawals have caused stream flows to be noticeably lower than usual in the field. If the potential for an ARI is found in the assessment process, the responsibility for preventing the ARI lies with the proposed appropriator. He or she can reduce the proposed withdrawal, abandon the withdrawal, or negotiate with other appropriators to reduce their water use. If detected in the field, the ARI is the responsibility of all registered appropriators in the same catchment. The DEQ will convene all appropriators contributing to the ARI into a water user committee to create a plan for reduction of aggregate withdrawals (MCL 324.32725). If unregistered appropriators are 2 identified as contributing as well, then they are held responsible for reducing the impact. 1.4 Great Lakes Water as a Common Pool Resource The situation where a group of appropriators is held responsible for an ARI is a common pool resource (CPR) situation. A CPR situation is one where multiple users appropriate benefits from a shared resource; these benefits are rival, meaning that the marginal cost of use is positive and even increasing (Oakerson 1992). These costs can be time costs, monetary costs, or energy 2 All registered and permitted LQWs have a rebuttable presumption that they are not causing an ARI (MCL 324.32722). However, in the event that an ARI is detected, the DEQ will convene a meeting of all holders of registered and permitted LQWs presumed to contribute to the ARI and hold them collectively responsible for mitigation (MCL 324.32725(3)). 9 costs. Appropriation of units by one user imposes a cost on other users when those units are no longer available for others’ use and it takes more time, effort, and money to capture remaining benefits. A CPR dilemma occurs when the collective outcome of appropriation could be improved with alternative institutions (Gardner et al. 1990). Institutions are the formal and informal rules that articulate relationships between people; they define a set of choices available to economic agents via constraints and opportunities on behavior that affect incentives (Schmid 2004). Alternative institutions produce alternative choices, which result in alternative outcomes. The first writings on CPRs assumed that the situation of multiple resource users would always lead to the same outcome: destruction of the resource. Researchers believed that privatization or state interference were the best options for preventing resource overexploitation. More careful examinations of CPR situations have resulted in an extensive body of research contributing to a theory of successful collective action. The goal in this field of research is to identify variables leading to enduring CPR institutions that promote sustainable use of the resource while reducing conflict between appropriators (Bromley 1992). The identification of these variables will lead to the prediction of successful CPR management situations and will help to create institutions that mitigate the externalities produced by CPR dilemmas (Ostrom 1990). These institutions are successful because they lower the costs of transactions between CPR users. All transactions between economic actors have associated costs, which are defined as “the value of opportunities given up when any action is undertaken” where the value is determined by each economic actor (Schmid 2004, p. 71). CPR situations are successful when information, negotiating, monitoring, and enforcement costs are limited by characteristics of the resource, the resource users, the institutional arrangements, and the environment external to the CPR situation (Agrawal 2001). 10 1.5 The Research Whether water user committees convened by the DEQ will yield effective institutions for the collective use of water is unknown. Existing and emerging institutions affecting water use in Michigan are likely to have a significant impact on the magnitude of transaction costs and thus the opportunities for a successful collective management strategy. The goal of this research is to identify characteristics that will likely lead to high transaction costs causing barriers to collective action and characteristics that will likely lead to low transaction costs creating opportunities for collective action in the context of Michigan’s water use program. A sample of agricultural irrigators in four counties in Southwest Michigan will be used as a case study. The question to be answered is: What barriers and opportunities, due to transaction costs, exist among irrigators in Southwest Michigan that will hinder or help the goals of Michigan’s water use program? The specific objectives of this research are to: 1. Review existing literature for the purpose of generating a framework to use for evaluating the institutional environment and transaction costs in the case study group. 2. Explore and describe institutions that exist among irrigators in the case study. 3. Determine if these institutions create high transaction costs that result in barriers or will lower transaction costs that result in opportunities for realizing the goals of Michigan’s water use program. 4. To draw conclusions based on the findings about what changes might reduce transaction costs in areas where they are high to benefit the program. 11 To meet these objectives, a case study of agricultural irrigators from four counties in Southwest Michigan was identified as representative of agricultural water users in Michigan. Primary data from focus groups conducted in the spring and interviews in the fall of 2011 is supplemented with secondary data from technical reports and censuses. These four counties contain some of the most intensely irrigated areas in the state. Agricultural irrigators are prolific in Southwest Michigan and their particular agricultural systems cause them to use a high amount of water relative to other parts of the state. This creates a potential for conflict over water use and makes for an appropriate region for this analysis. The next chapter contains a review of literature on CPR use and identifies a framework with which to evaluate transaction costs with the case study data. Chapter Three is a description of case study characteristics: the location, the resource, and the irrigators. The methods for conducting focus groups and completing qualitative analysis are also presented in this chapter. Chapter Four is an application of the framework generated in Chapter Two to describe the institutions and their transaction costs that affect water use decisions in the case study area. The fifth chapter draws conclusions from the analysis and identifies challenges for and possible reduction of transaction costs to improve Michigan’s water use program. 12 Chapter Two: Common Pool Resource Problems A common pool resource has a high cost of exclusion and is subtractable (rival), (Ostrom and Gardner 1993). A high exclusion cost good is one where the benefits of the good are costly to exclude others from (Schmid 2004). In a resource situation, this results in multiple users extracting the good, leading to an increasing cost of appropriation and potential destruction of the resource (Hardin 1968). A resource that is subtractable, or rival, has the characteristic that any unit appropriated from the resource reduces the amount available to other users by one unit (Oakerson 1992). The result of a high exclusion cost good that is subtractable is a large number of users who have incentive to capture present benefits at the expense of future availability to ensure that they benefit from the resource before it is destroyed by the group. These appropriators have a high discount rate and no incentive to restrain their use (Ostrom 1990). When society as a whole values the benefits from the resource with a lower discount rate than the appropriators, then new institutions are built to force appropriators to lower extraction rates and match societal values (Runge 1981). Hardin (1968) argued that privatization or nationalization of a common pool resource will protect it from overexploitation. The evolution of research on CPR institutions has gone from identification of incentives for appropriators to overexploit to identification of characteristics of the CPR situation and institutions surrounding it that have resulted in lasting use of the resource. 2.1 Models of Appropriator Behavior Three related models have been used to argue that the high exclusion costs and subtractability of a CPR will result in overexploitation. These models of appropriator behavior 13 are Olson’s The Logic of Collective Action (1971), Hardin’s “Tragedy of the Commons” (1968), and, from game theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma game. 2.11 The Logic of Collective Action High exclusion costs allow users to benefit from a good without paying for it (free riding) when the cost of the good is born by other users in the group. In The Logic of Collective Action, Olson (1971) describes a situation where each additional user of a good creates no cost to a group of users in terms of units lost; however, the model contains an important discussion of behavior that, in a CPR situation, can lead to suboptimal outcomes. Olson makes the important point that free rider behavior will reduce contributions to pay for the provision of the good because free riders will not contribute if costs are larger than the benefits provided by their marginal contributions. Those members will benefit from the good without bearing any of the costs. While this can reduce the amount of the good available, in some cases to zero, in some groups, free riding behavior will not affect the provision of the good. This is due to the actions of a privileged group. These are members of the group who benefit so much from the existence of the public good that, regardless of free riding activity, they pay to provide the entire good. In a resource use situation, free riding activity occurs when one group of users restrains use to lower extraction costs or for sustainability and another group of users do not. Those who do not restrain their use benefit from the low extraction costs and future availability without giving up any present gain. 14 2.12 The Tragedy of the Commons In the “tragedy of the commons” (Hardin 1968), similar free riding behavior causes the destruction of a CPR. Hardin’s argument begins with a field open to multiple herders who choose how many animals to graze. Each unit of resource extracted results in a cost to the group of lost future benefits; however, each herder gains the entire benefit of his or her obtained unit while sharing the cost with the group of users. The marginal cost of grazing is lower than the marginal benefit and every herder continues to add animals until the entire common plot is destroyed. Any decision by one herder to constrain use of the resource offers opportunity for other herders to free-ride on that herder’s sacrifice and gain for themselves. The benefits are transferred from one herder to others. Hardin points out that an individual has no incentive to constrain his or her use of the resource because the resource will be destroyed by the group regardless of the individual’s actions. 2.13 Prisoner’s Dilemma Game The decision of a resource user to constrain or exploit a resource has been modeled with the Prisoner’s Dilemma (PD) game (Runge 1984). The PD game examines how rational actors, faced with a certain set of payoffs, can make seemingly irrational decisions (Mueller 2003). In the game, two prisoners are held for a crime that had no witnesses. Each player’s choice will affect the other, but each makes a decision independent of the other. If both stay silent, they both go to prison for one year. If one confesses and the other stays silent, the confessor is rewarded by going free and the other is punished with five years in prison. If both confess, both are given a two year sentence. The payoff schedule (adapted from Nicholson and Snyder 2008) is presented in Table 2. 15 Player Two Confess Player Two Silent Player One Confess (-2, -2) (0, -5) Player One Silent (-5, 0) (-1, -1) Table 2. Prisoner’s Dilemma Payoff Schedule. The players can maximize their joint utility by both staying silent; however, the individual best choice is to confess because neither can know how the other player will act. If Player One confesses, Player Two can maximize her benefits by also confessing. Faced with the choice of a two-year sentence or a five-year sentence, she will choose a two-year sentence. If Player One stays silent, then Player Two’s choice is between a one-year sentence by staying silent and going free by confessing. Thus, the dominant strategy for both players is to confess. This results in both going to prison for two years rather than the one year that would have occurred if they both stayed silent. In a CPR situation, an appropriator can choose to constrain his use for future consumption but is not assured that other users of the resource will do so. If other appropriators do not restrain their use, then the user can lose in two ways: he gives up benefits in the present and he may lose benefits in the future if the collective extraction rate is unsustainable. If he and others choose not to constrain their extraction to a sustainable rate, they gain present benefits at the sacrifice of future benefits. 2.14 The Assurance Problem These models have been persuasive in the argument to either privatize or nationalize CPRs; however, in reality there have been many examples of appropriator organizations that are enduring and effective in altering incentives to exploit the CPR (Ciriacy-Wantrup and Bishop 16 1975). Hardin’s (1968) tragedy is a description of a resource with no property rights associated with it. In contrast, a CPR is a resource that belongs to a group of appropriators separate from a general public (Bromley 1992). Like individual property rights, communal property rights can decrease the discount rate on resource benefits for owners in comparison to open-access situations (Ostrom 1990). A group of resource owners has incentive to coordinate management strategies to protect future benefits from unsustainable extraction in the present and do so with institutions that provide assurance that the group of resource users will conform to sustainable appropriation rates (Runge 1981). Bromley (1992) warns against assumptions that the PD game is an accurate portrayal of resource users in any CPR situation. Rather, the external institutional settings of the game found in the payoff schedule influence the dominant strategy of confession. By changing the payoff schedule, the strategies of the players also change. In the PD game, each player prefers for the other to stay silent while she confesses. In the Assurance Problem (Runge 1981), the payoff is structured so that each player prefers the same action, with both either constraining use or both overextracting. The appeal of fairness is apparent in experimental, repeated PD games: players often adopt a tit-for-tat strategy where they choose silence round after round unless the other player confesses; then they begin to confess as well (Runge 1984). The Assurance Problem offers an alternative model to the PD game for appropriator behavior. Other research has discounted the reliability of the PD game as a generalized CPR appropriator behavior model. For example, Ostrom and Walker (1989) found that communication improves coordination among CPR users, an element that is missing from the PD game. Social capital, defined as sympathy toward another person, can alter payoff schedules when a player internalizes the well-being of the other player (Robison et al. 2002). The outcome 17 of repeated interactions between players differs from that of a one-shot game (Wade 1988). These factors all support the argument that externally determined payoffs and rules affect player strategy. A CPR situation, therefore, does not inherently lead to overexploitation. 2.2 Institutional Change In the case of a CPR dilemma, then, the institutions that influence appropriator behavior can be manipulated to create a Pareto-Improving move. Institutions exist on three levels that are changed via feedback loops (Kiser and Ostrom 2000). The analysis of institutional arrangements begins at the individual or operational choice level pictured in Figure 3. Individuals make decisions based on rules set at collective and/or constitutional levels, the outcome of which influences changes in rules at those levels. In the case of an inferior outcome, individuals create new rules at the higher two levels within the constitutional or collective environment created by higher institutional arrangements. Institutional change will be effective only if individuals are aware of the change, they adopt new strategies because of the change, and the collection of new strategies results in a new outcome (Kiser and Ostrom 2000). 18 Figure 3. Framework for Institutional Change (Source: adapted from Sabatier 1991). 2.3 Framework for Evaluating the Case Study Successful institutional arrangements will differ in each CPR situation, which consists of characteristics of the resource, characteristics of the resource users, and the institutional arrangements both surrounding use of the CPR and external to it (Agrawal 2001). Three 19 influential works that identify common traits among enduring CPR institutions were compiled by Agrawal (2001) to create a comprehensive list of conditions leading to successful collective action. Agrawal notes two major weaknesses in the three works by Ostrom (1990), Wade (1988), and Baland and Platteau (1996). First, all three works focus on the collective institutional arrangements and neglect the important external characteristics of resource systems, appropriators, and constitutional arrangements. Second, the conditions are neither empirically tested nor generated from independent studies. Wade (1988) draws from an earlier work of Ostrom (Ostrom 1985), and Baland and Platteau (1996) cite both Wade (1988) and Ostrom (1990). The interaction of one condition with another or the relative importance of one condition over another is unknown. Agrawal (2001) fills in his identified gaps with other literature but saves empirical testing for future research. The investigation into successful CPR institutions did not contain any examples of regulated riparianism situations; however, the framework presents general analysis of CPR situations that will be helpful in evaluating the case study. Each of the conditions presented by Agrawal leads to either lower transaction costs in the management of a CPR or an incentive to bear those transaction costs when the costs to the resource users of participating in collective action are lower than the benefits. For this research, the characteristics of the resource system, group, and environment external to the CPR rules will be examined to comment on the incentives to bear transaction costs and the magnitude of those transaction costs. However, because no formal institutional arrangements exist in the case study area governing the use of water resources, Agrawal’s section on institutional arrangements is omitted from the framework. Agrawal also includes interdependence in his list of conditions, but it is also omitted from the framework here because interdependence in the use of a resource is inherent in the characteristic of subtractability. Also, leadership, where the actions of some 20 resource users influence others, and social capital, where utility functions are interdependent capture this condition. One condition is added to Agrawal’s list of group characteristics; an important condition that can reduce transaction costs in the emergence of appropriator organizations is that resource users have experience as members of other organizations whether they are connected to use of the resource or not (Ostrom 1992). Another condition that supports the emergence of appropriator organizations is added to Agrawal’s list of resource characteristics. This is the existence of indicators of CPR conditions (Ostrom 1992). The evaluation framework is presented in Figure 4. 1) Resource System Characteristics a. Small size b. Well-defined boundaries c. Low levels of mobility d. Possibilities of storage e. Predictability f. Indicators of CPR conditions 2) Group Characteristics a. Small size b. Clear boundaries c. Shared norms d. Social capital e. Appropriate leadership f. Heterogeneity of endowments g. Homogeneity of interests and identities h. Low levels of poverty i. Past experience with organizations 1 and 2) Relationships between resource system characteristics and group characteristics a. Overlap between user residential location and resource location b. High levels of dependence on resource c. Fairness in allocation of benefits d. Low levels of user demand e. Gradual change in levels of demand Figure 4. Evaluation Framework (Source: Adapted from Agrawal (2001) and Ostrom (1992)). 21 3) External Environment a. Technology i. Low-cost exclusion technology ii. Time for adaptation to new technologies related to the commons b. Low levels of articulation with external markets c. Gradual change in articulation with external markets d. State i. Power of local authority ii. Supportive sanctioning institutions iii. External aid for conservation activities iv. Nested levels of appropriation, provision, enforcement, governance Figure 4, Cont. Evaluation Framework (Source: Adapted from Agrawal (2001) and Ostrom (1992)). 2.4 Discussion of Evaluation Framework This framework lists conditions that affect the emergence and endurance of CPR institutions that last over time and reduce conflict between users (Bromley 1992). There are two types of opportunities for collective action found in the presence of these conditions. First, when the benefit to resource users of participating in collective action is greater than the cost, they will be more likely to bear the costs of coordination. Second, certain characteristics of the resource, users, and institutions surrounding a CPR lead to lower transaction costs in creating and implementing management plans. The costs are associated with information (uncertainty), negotiating, and monitoring. In this section, each condition is discussed in preparation for the analysis presented in the fourth chapter. Resource system Characteristics Small size: Monitoring user behavior and the condition of the resource will allow appropriators complete information on compliance and resource health. Smaller resource areas are less costly 22 to monitor than larger ones because the cost of collecting information about the resource is lower (Baland and Platteau 1996). Well-defined boundaries: With well-defined boundaries, it is clear where the management area begins and ends (Ostrom 1990), thereby facilitating exclusion and monitoring. The information about the effects of resource user decisions on the resource is less costly to obtain when boundaries are definite because the impact is contained in one area and can therefore be measured. Low levels of mobility, possibilities of storage: Resource mobility creates fluid boundaries and large resource areas increasing the cost of information and monitoring because of both larger areas and more resource users. If a resource can be stored, it will be made stationary, reducing costs associated with risk and uncertainty (Schlager et al. 1994). When uncertainty is low, resource users have greater assurance that they will have access to future benefits and therefore less incentive to overexploit in the present. Predictability, indicators of CPR conditions: Naughton-Treves and Sanderson (1995) discuss the costs of managing resources with unknown levels of availability especially when the effects of human development and climate change on availability are uncertain. This uncertainty reduces assurance of future benefits and thus increases the discount rate of appropriators. When the conditions of the CPR are unknown or unpredictable, extraction rates for sustainable use may be unknown or fluctuating. To set appropriate rules for sustainable extraction rates, then, resource 23 users will have to bear time and monetary costs to understand the characteristics of the resource and its response to varied extraction rates (Ostrom 1992). Group Characteristics Small Size: Each member of a resource user group has their own set of interests and ideas when negotiating water management plans. The more interests represented in the group, the higher the negotiating costs. Also, the larger the group of resource users, the higher the cost of monitoring necessary to ensure compliance (Olson 1971). Clear Boundaries: A clear identification of who is using the CPR and thus whose actions affect the sustainability of the resource will result in more complete understanding of the status of the resource to increase assurance. It is less costly to accumulate information about users for creating a management plan and to then monitor those users. An unidentified user not participating in the creation of or compliance with rules about CPR use could result in overextraction despite others’ restraint in use (Ostrom 1990). Shared Norms: Social norms can create assurance in resource use. When concern for social propriety is high, group members are likely to align their choices with the majority and expect others to do so as well (Wade 1988). If norms regarding resource use do exist, then those norms can act to enforce agreements about restraint when users find avoiding the costs of breaking those norms an incentive to organize. 24 Social Capital: Social capital, defined as sympathy, causes utility functions of individuals to be interdependent; one person’s gain provides utility for another (Robison and Ritchie 2010). In relationships characterized by social capital, incentives to break rules regarding resource use decrease when such actions negatively affect other users. Each resource user has the interests of others in mind when negotiating reduction plans, resulting in a more cooperative atmosphere that reduces costs associated with negotiation. These users will also have incentive to follow rules created through the negotiations because they will not want to cheat their neighbors. Monitoring is less costly when users are less likely to cheat on incentives. Appropriate Leadership: A leader who can combine aspects of traditional management strategies with new information on conservation, resource conditions, and threats to future benefits can decrease the costs of negotiation and information dissemination (Baland and Platteau 1996). These leaders will help in the propagation of new information regarding sustainable use of the resource and can influence the decisions of other resource users thereby reducing negotiating costs (Taylor 1987). Heterogeneity of endowments: Appropriators with larger endowments of the resource may have a greater incentive to promote sustainable use. Olson’s (1971) idea of the privileged group arises when a small sub-group benefits enough from a good that they will provide the good for an entire group. In resource use, this group would use so much of the resource that their constraint alone, regardless of any other users’ appropriation rate, would lead to sustained benefits over time. The privileged group has incentive to create CPR institutions among 25 themselves because they gain from future benefits provided by collective restraint (Baland and Platteau 1996). Homogeneity of interests and identities: Cultural differences affect users’ views about management, conventions, and norms and, as a result, affect coordination (Runge 1992 citing Sugden 1982). While some groups such as traditional fisheries in Japan have long- standing rules about resource conservation, others, such as large corporate fisheries in Japan exploit it at the rate their technology allows (Baland and Platteau 1999). The divergence of strategies caused by differences in interest and identities creates barriers to effective collective decisions when one strategy is in direct contrast to another. The costs of negotiating rules regarding extraction rates are lower when interests and identities are homogeneous. Low levels of poverty: There is no clear consensus on how poverty affects the use of a common pool resource (Agrawal 2001). If a poor community is highly reliant on a resource, the pressure of survival may increase discount rates until appropriation rates are higher than sustainable (Baland and Platteau 1999). There may be little incentive to reduce rates of harvest when doing so will result in starvation for the appropriators. For these appropriators, there is a high cost to reducing extraction rates. They will be less likely to bear the costs of collective action, to agree to lower extraction rates in negotiation, and to comply with those agreements. The costs of organizing the group and negotiating effective rules for conservation are high and the cost of ensuring compliance is also high as appropriators gain more benefit from cheating on rules than they do from complying with them. 26 Past experience with organizations: Communities who have experience with organizations will have lower costs in creating new organizations because they will have structures of organization to guide them (Ostrom 1992). Relationship between resource system characteristics and group characteristics Overlap between user-group residential location and resource location: When appropriators live in the same area as the CPR, they are more likely to have similar interests, be available to work out conflicts, and have a cooperative attitude with their neighbors (Baland and Platteau 1996). The appropriators are thus more likely to trust their neighbors, creating assurance, which can result in low transaction and monitoring costs (Robison and Ritchie 2010). Resource users who have similar interests will be more likely to be cooperative during a water user committee than those who do not. High levels of dependence by group members on resource system: The conservation of a CPR can act as risk mitigation when other income opportunities do not exist (Baland and Platteau 1999, Wade 1988). Group members who are highly reliant on their resource, then, have incentive to bear the costs of collective action in order to ensure their own well-being. Fairness in allocation of benefits from common resources: When resource users have confidence that their allocations are fair, they have less incentive to cheat on agreements about appropriation (McKean 1992). This reduces monitoring costs by way of assurance and makes negotiation more likely than in a situation where resource users feel allocations are unfair. 27 Low levels of user demand: When appropriator demand for a resource is high, extraction rates to meet that demand are also high. Users will be less willing to reduce their water use because the benefit of captured resource units is higher than the perceived cost of collective action (Agrawal 2001). Gradual change in levels of demand: Population and market pressures influence rates of resource use. If these pressures cause demand to increase quickly, appropriators might respond by increasing their extraction rates to an unsustainable level. This increase in demand creates an incentive to cheat on rules agreed upon for collective restraint. Monitoring costs increase. Users will also be less willing to negotiate their extraction rates because the opportunity cost of foregoing units of resource increases (Agrawal 2001). External environment Technology Low-cost exclusion technology: Technology that lowers the cost to exclude others from resource use will result in well-defined boundaries for the resource user group. This increases the efficacy of collective action by identifying all those users to be involved in monitoring and reducing the 3 cost of information about CPR conditions (Wade 1988). 3 In Wade’s 1988 edition of Village Republics, the condition was listed as: “the higher the costs of exclusion technology (such as fencing) the better the chances of success (pg 215)”. Baland and Platteau (1996) cite this same condition (pg 287). I believe this is a typing mistake because when exclusion technology is expensive, it will be more difficult to exclude others resulting in Hardin’s tragedy. Agrawal (2001) changes the word “higher” to “lower” without explanation. 28 Time for adaptation to new technologies related to the commons: New technologies can reduce the cost-benefit ratio of extraction, resulting in increased extraction rates (Agrawal 2001). Increased extraction rates occur because users find they can appropriate more benefits from the resource at a lower cost. Thus, reducing those rates imposes higher opportunity costs on those users causing them to be less willing to bear the costs of negotiating on collective reduction of appropriation. A slower adaptation to new technologies allows the appropriators an opportunity to negotiate new rules about resource use before permanent damage to the CPR occurs. Low levels of articulation with external markets: Markets determine prices for outputs produced through the use of resources, some of which are CPRs. When appropriator demand for benefits from a CPR is tied closely to market price for output, an increase in price will increase appropriator demand, leading to higher extraction rates. Appropriators have greater incentive to continue extracting large amounts of the CPR because of the benefits they obtain from the resource. They may be unwilling to bear the costs of collective action and then to agree to a reduction in extraction rates. Gradual changes in articulation with external markets: A rapid increase in articulation with markets would be paired with a rapid increase in demand that users of a CPR might not have anticipated. As a result, extraction rates can become too high for sustained appropriation over time and users may be less willing to negotiate rules to lower those extraction rates because the value of resource units are higher. The opportunity cost of constraint is higher causing less willingness to bear the costs of coordination and higher costs in that coordination. 29 State Power of local authority: When government authorities create new rules that weaken local management regimes rather than give recognition to them, the CPR may be overexploited (Ostrom 1990). Rules that are created by the local community of users have often been successful in restraining appropriation rates because communities have more information about the trade-offs users face in lowering extraction rates and are therefore able to create rules appropriate for the situation. When central government rules are enforced, users may be less willing to follow them, increasing monitoring costs (Wade 1988). Supportive sanctioning institutions: The lack of penalties for non-compliance can result in a failure to enforce CPR rules on appropriation rates, unless all appropriators share the same rate of time preference (Baland and Platteau 1996). Ostrom (1990) and Wade (1988) both concluded that sanctioning systems at the collective level can be effective, but Baland and Platteau (1996) concluded that monitors may find high costs of reporting when facing antagonism from their peers. Monitors from external sanctioning institutions may not experience those costs and may therefore be more effective. External aid to compensate local users for conservation activities: Especially in areas with high levels of poverty and low opportunities for alternative income-generating opportunities, foregoing use of a resource results in a loss of essential income. This illustrates a case where the conservation goals set at the Constitutional Choice Level are at odds with the goals at the Operational Choice Level (refer to Figure 3). Successful management strategies may require user compensation for the income loss from restrained appropriation (Baland and Platteau 1996). This 30 would decrease the opportunity cost of restrained extraction and thus decrease the cost of collective action. Nested levels of appropriation, provision, enforcement, governance: CPR appropriation, provision, enforcement, and governance rules at a local level are a sub-set of rules at higher levels (Ostrom 1990). The articulation with rules and administrative resources at higher levels can help CPR users to incorporate outside information and technologies into their management strategies resulting in low negotiating, information, and monitoring costs (Ostrom 1992). This list offers a framework for identifying high and low transaction costs that create barriers and opportunities faced by the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality in establishing an effective water use program. 31 Chapter Three: The Case Study Area To apply the evaluation framework in Figure 4, data were collected in the case study area using technical and statistical reports as well as focus groups and interviews. 3.1 General Characteristics of Location Figure 5 is a map showing the case study location in Michigan’s Lower Peninsula. Figure 5. Map of the case study area (shown in pink). 32 3.11 Agricultural Economy of the Case Study Area The importance of agriculture to Michigan’s economy, the profitability of the crops grown in the case study area and the intensity of irrigation used in growing these crops suggest that water is a highly valuable input that contributes to both the local economy and the greater state economy. In the state of Michigan, farming, industries related to farming, and industries related to food production had an estimated value of $71.3 billion in 2007 (Knudsen and Peterson 2009). The highest value crops from 2009 are shown in Figure 6. Figure 6. Michigan’s top commodities (Source: Kleweno 2010). The counties of Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph are all large contributors to this agricultural economy. Corn, soy, and wheat are grown on more than 50% of the cropland in each county, and all rank in the list of top 20 counties for the production of those crops. Also, potatoes are important locally and are a crop that requires intense irrigation (Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development 2009). 33 Table 3 shows average farm size in acres for Michigan and each of the case study 4 counties. The county averages are about the same as the state average. Michigan Branch County Cass County Kalamazoo County St. Joseph County 179 222 235 170 209 60 70 63 40 60 Average size of farm (acres) Median size of farm (acres) Table 3. 2007 Average and median size of farms in acres by county (Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture, Michigan: Volume 1, Chapter 2, Table 1). All four counties are ranked among the top five counties in Michigan for irrigated acreage. As shown in Table 4, St. Joseph County, ranked number one, has more than twice the number of irrigated acres as Branch County, which is ranked number two. Michigan Total Acreage in Irrigation: 500,428 acres Statewide County Mean Irrigated Acreage: 6,030.40 acres County/ State Rank #1 St. Joseph County #2 Branch County #4 Cass County #5 Kalamazoo County Acres in Agriculture Irrigated Acres (percentage) STDEV from Statewide County Mean 181,051 102,859 (56.81%) 6.86 202,382 151,852 42,923 (21.21%) 38,985 (25.67%) 2.61 2.33 115,979 31,314 (27.00%) 1.79 Table 4. 2007 Irrigated acreage in case study area (Source: USDA Census of Agriculture 2007, Michigan: Volume 1, Chapter 2, Table 10). 4 Census data on farms reported for farms with sales of $1000 or more annually 34 3.12 Water Availability The availability of water in Southwest Michigan is a contributing factor to the amount of irrigation in the area. To better understand the water resources across the state, the DEQ was given the task of creating a groundwater inventory and series of maps with passage of PA 148 of 2003 (State of Michigan GWIM 2006). The resulting maps showed aquifer yields in both bedrock and glacial deposits and estimated the differences in aquifer characteristics throughout the depth of deposits. In the following maps, yield is defined by the pumping rate that will reduce standing water levels in wells by 50% if they are pumped continuously for 100 consecutive days. This measure incorporates how much water is stored in the aquifer, how well the aquifer material transmits water, and how deep the aquifer layer is (State of Michigan GWIM 2006). Figure 7 is a map of bedrock aquifer yields. 35 Figure 7. Yield from bedrock aquifers (Source: State of Michigan GWIM 2006). Figure 8 is the map of bedrock aquifer yield for the counties in the case study. With the exception of a very small portion of both Kalamazoo and Branch Counties, there are no underlying bedrock aquifers that would serve as a potential source of water in the case study area. 36 Figure 8. Case Study area from bedrock aquifer yield map (Source: State of Michigan GWIM 2006). Figures 9 and 10 are maps of glacial aquifer yield. Figure 9 shows the entire state and Figure 10 shows the case study counties. These maps show that the counties have an abundance of water relative to much of the state but also some areas of thin aquifer material adding to heterogeneity in water availability in the region. 37 Figure 9. Yield from glacial aquifers (Source: State of Michigan GWIM 2006). 38 Figure 10. Case Study area from glacial aquifer yield map (Source: State of Michigan GWIM 2006). The area, then, has a natural abundance of water in glacial aquifers allowing for production of high value, irrigated crops. For the 2007 Census of Agriculture, Michigan farmers on 577 farms were questioned about reasons for discontinuing irrigation. Only one farm had a surface water shortage and only one farm had a groundwater shortage. It is unclear whether they are the same farm (2008 Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey Table 43). Other non-agricultural sectors also make use of this abundance including municipal systems, industrial operations, and golf course irrigation. Figure 11 provides a map showing the number of large quantity water users by catchment in the case study area. These include all large quantity (100,000 gallons per day or larger) water users that have registered their LQWs or have been permitted by the DEQ (data obtained from Andrew LeBaron, DEQ). Two catchments contain 16 registered users, though many of the smaller catchments contain two or fewer. 39 Figure 11. Number of registered or permitted large quantity water users by catchment in case study area (Data on appropriators obtained from Andrew LeBaron, DEQ; catchment delineation based on version 8 obtained from Jeremiah Asher, Institute of Water Research, Michigan State University). 3.2 Characteristics of Agricultural Appropriators The description of agricultural irrigator characteristics is derived from two sources of data. The first source is the USDA Census of Agriculture for the year 2007 and the second is three focus groups and two interviews conducted in the year 2011. 40 3.21 Agricultural Statistics Table 5 shows statistics on principal operators and whether they own, partially own (meaning they rent some land that they farm), or rent the farm they work on. The majority of the operators are full owners of their farms. Number of farms with principal operators who are… Full owners Part owners Tenants Number of farms Michigan Branch County Cass County Kalamazoo County St. Joseph County 39,311 (70.18%) 14,703 (26.25%) 2,000 (3.57%) 840 (74.40%) 252 (22.32%) 37 (3.28%) 553 (68.19%) 232 (28.61%) 26 (3.21%) 615 (72.01%) 198 (23.19%) 41 (4.80%) 727 (70.38%) 255 (24.69%) 51 (4.94%) 56,014 1,129 811 854 1,033 Table 5. 2007 data for number of Farms with principal operators who are full owners, part owners, and tenants by county. Percentages in parenthesis are percentage of total number of farms (Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture, Michigan: Volume 1, Chapter 2, Table 46). Table 6 shows data on primary occupation of the principal operator. The majority of farmers in the case study area have off-farm jobs to supplement their farming activities. 41 Number of farms where occupation of principal operator is… Farming Other Number of farms Michigan Branch County Cass County Kalamazoo County St. Joseph County 24,795 (44.27%) 31,219 (55.73%) 420 (37.20%) 709 (62.80%) 343 (42.29%) 468 (57.71%) 398 (46.60%) 456 (53.40%) 405 (39.21%) 628 (60.79%) 56,014 1,129 811 854 1,033 Table 6. 2007 data for number of farms with principal operators whose occupation is farming or other by county. Percentages in parenthesis are percentage of total number of farms (Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture, Michigan: Volume 1, Chapter 2, Table 46). Table 7 shows barriers to making improvements for conservation of energy or water on farms using irrigation across the State of Michigan. The most common responses were first, that the investments were not a priority and second, that benefits of the improvements did not cover costs. 42 Total Investigating improvements not a priority Risk of reduced yield or poor crop quality Physical field/crop condition limit system improvements Benefits of improvements do not cover instillation costs Cannot finance improvements Landlord will not share in cost Uncertainty about future availability of water Will not be farming long enough to justify improvements Other Number of Farms 1,316 Acreage 749,210 585 (44.45%) 74,986 (10.01%) 234 (17.78%) 30,599 (4.08%) 88 (6.69%) 26,081 (3.48%) 310 (23.56%) 61,477 (8.21%) 256 (19.45%) 37,433 (5.00%) 52 (3.95%) 12,249 (1.63%) 31 (2.36%) 10,395 (1.39%) 50 (3.80%) 14,644 (1.95%) 117 (8.89%) 33,737 (4.50%) Table 7. 2008 data on barriers to making improvements for reduced energy use or water conservation for a sample of irrigated farms in Michigan. Percentages refer to percentage of total responses. Respondents could choose more than one option (Source: Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture 2008 Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey, Table 41). 43 To help cover the cost of improvements in irrigation, cost-sharing programs are available to irrigators in Michigan. Table 8 shows the payments received for irrigation and/or drainage improvements to farms in the state by irrigated acreage surveyed across the state. USDA programs Irrigated acreage Non USDA Federal programs 186,290 (38.37%) (D) State, local, or district programs 11,546 (2.38%) other 8,628 (1.78%) Table 8. 2008 data on irrigated acreage in Michigan that received payments from organizations for irrigation and/or drainage improvements. Farms may receive funding from multiple sources, so acreage listed under one program may also be listed under another. Percentages refer to percentage of irrigated acreage surveyed in Michigan (Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture 2008 Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey, Table 39). 3.22 Qualitative Data To understand the relationships among irrigators and between irrigators and the DEQ, three focus groups were conducted in the spring of 2011, and follow up interviews with selected participants were held in the fall of 2011. Focus groups convene people into a non-judgmental and non-threatening environment to discuss a topic of interest to the researcher. In the correct setting, participants will open up and share their opinions, thoughts, and experiences comfortably (Krueger and Casey 2009). In a group setting, participants discuss with their peers the questions posed, allowing different ideas and experiences to be shared. The interaction between participants may cause them to think of things they might not otherwise, potentially creating a richer data set than an individual interview might. An initial three groups are held and the common ideas that arise across these groups are identified. If new information is still being shared after the third group, then more groups are held until the set of information reaches saturation (Krueger and Casey 2009). It is then assumed 44 that all available information has been exposed. A successful group will consist of enough people that a variety of ideas are shared, but not so many that participants do not have opportunities to speak. Krueger and Casey (2009) suggest that a range of 5 to 10 people is appropriate. While participants may feel pressure to conform to others’ ideas or existing relationships cause information to be withheld, the method offers a way to gather diverse viewpoints and create a theory about the common experience for irrigators. The focus group participants were selected from a list of registered agricultural irrigators 5 from the Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development. Because this is not a quantitative analysis, the sample of irrigators need not be random. However, a selection process was developed. The original list was paired down to include only irrigators in the counties of Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph. The number of participants sampled from each county was proportional to the number of registered irrigators from each county in the entire list. The result was 16 participants from Branch, 15 from Cass, 20 from Kalamazoo, and 41 from St. Joseph County. The recruitment calls proceeded with a goal of fair representation from each county. Compensation of $50 was promised to each participant to offset the costs of participating; however, many people did not have the time or the interest to participate. Quite quickly, the sampling strategy devolved into calling people regardless of their county so that a sufficient number would be recruited. The calls were met with some animosity, some confusion, and a little enthusiasm, but mostly went unanswered. A script was read for each of the calls to ensure accurate and consistent information (see Appendix A), and those who answered were invited to attend one of three focus groups, all at the same location on three different dates in the spring of 2011. The dates were March 28, March 31, and April 21. The location was the St. Joseph County 5 All irrigators with capacity of 100,000 gallons per day or greater are required to annually report their withdrawals to the Michigan Department of Agriculture (PA 148 of 2003). 45 Intermediate School District Building in Centreville because of its central location in the case study area. Seven individuals participated in the first focus group and the second and third each had five participants. The discussions lasted from one hour to one and a half hours and were recorded. A transcriptionist produced transcripts of each discussion. In each group, participants showed a diversity of knowledge about the water use program, willingness to share, and suspicion about the research. Most of the participants expressed that they enjoyed farming, and, though many of them knew each other, no antagonism among participants was apparent. That there was a fair amount of comity in the groups, however, should not lead to a conclusion that the farmers in the case study area all are amicable or agree with the ideas shared. The resulting data from the groups show that there are instances of animosity within the community of irrigators. Also, the sample was from a subset of irrigators in compliance with registration and reporting 6 requirements; reports to MDARD in 2004 accounted for only 69.7% of irrigated acreage reported by the National Agricultural Statistics Service in 2002 (State of Michigan GWIM 2005). The opinions and experiences of irrigators who are not registered and/or do not report use were not represented in the data collection. The questions asked were aimed at learning about relationships between irrigators, experiences with reducing water use, relationships between irrigators and state agencies, and issues that could arise in a cooperative setting. The script used in the focus groups can be found in Appendix B. 6 Irrigators report annual water use to Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development but register their withdrawals for prevention of ARIs with Michigan Department of Environmental Quality. 46 3.3 Qualitative Research The resulting transcripts were read to identify common themes and ideas using a method for analyzing qualitative data developed from Taylor and Bogdan (1998). The authors divide the process into three steps: discovery, coding, and discounting. Discovery entails reading and rereading data while developing generalizations about the content. Coding is the process of categorizing data to support, refine, or reject ideas generated in the discovery step; and discounting involves interpreting data in the context in which it was collected. Group dynamics will influence what information is shared; participants may feel pressure from their peers to withhold information or to express agreement with ideas that they do not truly agree with (Krueger and Casey 2009). In an evaluation of information on ecosystem services gained from both focus groups and individual interviews, Kaplowitz and Hoehn (2001) found that the two methods yield different but complementary results and concluded that the environment in which data is collected will play an important role in what is shared. Recognizing the influence of the researcher, the relationship between the participants, and the difference between information given by a single participant and information given from multiple participants will help to insure that data is interpreted in the proper context (Taylor and Bogdan 1998). To follow the method of Taylor and Bogdan (1998), the transcripts were read several times to gain familiarity and to identify common ideas. The transcripts were identified to the extent possible by listening to the recordings and distinguishing one farmer’s comments from another. This was helpful when similar ideas were found throughout the transcripts because it clarified whether it was one person restating something he had said earlier or another person who had the same idea. Ideas that were stated by two or more people in a focus group generally were followed by other participants expressing agreement. 47 Individual interviews with two focus group participants were conducted in the fall of 2011 to clarify common ideas found in the focus groups and to gather missing information needed for evaluating the case study in terms of the evaluation framework presented in Figure 4. The questions asked in the individual interviews are presented in Appendix C. Notes were taken during individual interviews and one was recorded; the other participant asked not to be recorded. From the focus group transcripts, the notes from the individual interviews, and all recorded discussions, several topics emerged as common themes or ideas that characterize this group of irrigators. 3.4 Topics The topics are presented in the following discussion using quotes from the focus groups and descriptions of conversations. References to the transcripts for each topic can be found in Appendix D. 3.41 Frustration Two stories were shared that illustrated the frustration farmers have had with state or federal regulations that constrain their operations. The first story was shared by a farmer who was prevented from digging a pond because his land was part of a “valuable wetland.” The second story was of a farmer whose attempt to get permission to burn down a barn was denied due to air quality regulations. He expressed his frustration by saying, “I hate [the] DEQ”, and “they come at us from the standpoint that we’re guilty.” He felt that his efforts to work within state regulations went unnoticed when no one came on-site to evaluate the situation before they 48 forbade his actions. Two participants in the second group talked about the wetlands regulations stopping them from either draining their ground or removing tree stumps from their land. One of those participants said, “Everyone in here who farms is fiercely independent and one thing that galls us more than anything else is to have someone come in and tell us what we can and can’t do.” These past interactions with state agencies have influenced views on future regulations that in their view are likely unnecessarily strict as well. In the first group, one participant suggested that saving fish at the expense of his crop returns was unreasonable. Because the farmers do not see any unreasonable environmental destruction caused by their operations and have no experience with problems related to the overuse of water, the state’s efforts seem to be overly cautious. If water scarcity were to become a problem, some participants said they would want to keep state agencies out of efforts to conserve water, leaving it to the local community of water users. The state is not their only opposing force; the participants also noted public criticism. Because irrigation infrastructure is very visible, it is easy for local water level reductions to be blamed on farmers. One participant described a lake that had noticeable fluctuations and in a low period the recreational community, thinking the agricultural use of water was a permanent tax on the system, wanted to drill a well and pump water into the lake. Before that could happen, the lake recovered and a few years later, it was at a record high. Another participant told of exposed land that his grandfather walked across in the 1930s that is currently under water and expressed that the intensification of agricultural operations could not possibly be causing local changes in surface water levels. One group was adamant that recorded data has never shown water level changes. In a different group, several participants said since Michigan gets precipitation for most of the year and irrigation occurs only in three months, it is “ludicrous” that they get blamed for 49 water shortages. Even though the irrigators do not often see evidence of their impact on local water levels, there is an example of an effort made in response to neighbors’ complaints. One of the participants had, in cooperation with two other neighboring farmers, changed his crops and drilled some new wells because non-farming neighbors had complained of low water levels in their wells. The farmer believed it was probably an issue of inadequate wells but wanted to avoid conflict with his neighbors. 3.42 Distrust A reason for animosity toward the state is that case-by-case regulatory decisions affecting farmers are based on models, which are simplifications of reality and therefore contain a certain amount of inaccuracy. The farmers cannot connect what they see in the field with what the regulatory agencies are claiming from the office. Wetland protection areas, according to a participant, result from “just look[ing] at a map and … circling stuff.” The same sentiments are reflected in the procedure of regulating water withdrawals. One participant expressed the view that the WWAT, as the decision-making tool, is “too coarse” for actual use. Concerns about the WWAT have been circulating in the community: “up around Schoolcraft they had a problem and they said no more wells. Everybody was getting [zone] D – when you go in that system you get A, B, C, D. D you don’t get any water. All they did is oop – we’ll just raise the limit. They had a meeting - we’ll just raise the limit. They have no clue how much water is underneath and everywhere, so they don’t know exactly what our recharge … is.” Similarly, another farmer in the same focus group talked about the unreliability of the data used in building the tool: “Some people are saying that perhaps they totally underestimated the amount of what the aquifer is able 50 to provide in here.” This was repeated when another participant said the more extensive data used for site specific reviews shows that there is more water available than the WWAT portrays. This illustrated the distrust participants have in the WWAT as a part of the water regulation process. They know that it inaccurately portrays the availability of water and have a perception that the amount of data used to build it is too limited. One participant said he thought that the whole model was built around five data points and that the entire state was regulated on just that data set. There is also a concern in the type of data put into the WWAT. The tool requires the registrant to enter data for infrastructure capacity, which is how much the farmers could pump all day every day throughout the summer, rather than how much they actually pump throughout the summer. These two values can vary greatly, but since the actual water to be pumped is unknown at the time the well is registered and constructed, even by the farmers themselves, potential effects on the ecosystem are uncertain. One participant expressed the desire for more accurate data before he would agree to reduce withdrawals: “They’d have to statistically prove to me that I’m really creating an adverse impact. And they’d have to show me some pretty widespread data to make me believe it and right now they don’t have anything.” Similarly, commenting on the fact that not everyone in the area has registered their withdrawals, a participant in the third focus group pointed out that the data are inaccurate in their incompleteness: “you don’t have any data to come to us with…if you don’t have all the information it’s either… all in or all out.” One participant told how the WWAT grievances have inspired an irrigation association-funded study for a precise look at local water availability. 51 3.43 Heterogeneity Though the farmers in Southwest Michigan are, in many ways, a distinct group of water users, there were many elements of heterogeneity that could affect how well they work together. In a negotiation setting, before anything could be decided, they would have to disclose all the very different elements that go into each farm’s operations. These include investments, crops, soil conditions, production contracts, and conservation measures. Compliance with required water use reporting and registration also varies. When asked about reducing water to create availability for new water users, a participant said, “I think it would be pretty hard to want to go along with that. I mean, we all saw irrigation as a valuable tool a long time ago when we made the investment and we’re doing it and it would be hard to reduce your use for that reason, honestly.” He made the point again later on in the focus group saying that there are farmers who choose not to irrigate and that those farmers use completely different management strategies because they do not have the infrastructure investment. During an individual interview, a farmer said that farmers choose to irrigate only because it makes them competitive, not because they enjoy the extra work or money spent. Several other participants also said they would have to consider how reducing water would affect their financial returns before agreeing to a water reduction plan. Even within the group of irrigating farmers, there are different levels of investment that create differences in management decision sets. Some have put in large amounts of money to create highly efficient systems while others may have old infrastructure. Farmers who have made large investments may be unwilling to reduce their use for the benefit of someone with an inefficient system. There are also different ways to irrigate, making comparisons across farms an endeavor with high information costs. 52 The second factor is the type of crop each farmer is growing. While Southwest Michigan is dominated by corn, soybeans, and potatoes, the participants explained that there are differences between farms in terms of what is grown and how much water each crop needs for healthy production. Not only is the amount of water variable across crops, but the time at which crops need water is also variable. Corn, potatoes, and green beans take more water than other crops, and seed corn production needs more water than commercial corn. Some crops are also more expensive to grow and yield more returns than others. These differences in investments and expected yields create a challenge for negotiations. Part of this challenge is in sharing information and processing it to develop a water reduction plan that is equitable. Some farmers can absorb production changes while others are financially less stable. The interview participants said there is some financial disparity across the group of irrigators, though it is not a wide gap. The differences are mainly in how long a farm has been in a particular family, which affects debt, equity, and income levels. A participant said that, as an example, a young farmer might have a more difficult time reducing inputs than more established farmers; doing so might put them “out of business or worse.” Soil types can change the efficiency of water use. “Different grounds… require different amounts [of water]”; “you get a field that’s a little heavier, it holds the water, you get the field that’s real sandy and you can put an inch on every day and the ground’s just moist out there.” Another discussion about the physical heterogeneity in farmland was in regard to aquifer yield. Figures 9 and 10 show that the case study area, with relatively abundant yields compared with the rest of the state, has pockets of low yield. The participants had experience with these heterogeneities even on their own land; wells placed only fields apart had very different wateryielding capabilities. 53 Probably one of the most important factors brought up by farmers in all focus groups were production contracts with agricultural companies. Crops grown under contract include seed corn, potatoes, and green beans, which all require more water than other crops in the area. These companies, facing the principal-agent problem where the agent’s goals do not necessarily match up with the principal’s goals (Nicholson and Snyder 2008), create tournament contracts. These contracts are renewed each year based on past performance and create a highly competitive atmosphere between growers. Research in St. Joseph County has shown that these types of contracts result in over-application of inputs such as nitrogen (Preckel et al. 2000). By extension, water is also overused. During one individual interview, a farmer described that the application of nitrogen to potato crops requires the use of water. Even if the crop has had adequate rain, if nitrogen levels are low when a leaf sample is taken, the irrigation system still has to be used to apply nitrogen. He explained that potato contracts are even more competitive than seed corn contracts and potatoes are the most water demanding crop in the area. Focus group participants confirmed the competitiveness of those contracts and how marginal differences can easily change a farmer’s outcome. The companies make decisions about how much water should be applied and push the farmers to meet those conditions. Not only do individual farmers lose their contracts in the face of low production, but entire areas can lose the presence of a company. One farmer told how a seed corn company had set up in his community and then, right around the time for planting in April, they suddenly took the operation further north. While this farmer said the community recovered quite quickly, others think that these companies are very important to the local economy (the “seed corn plants, they pump so much money into this economy, I mean we’re very fortunate … go to any other part of the world and they don’t have that”) and are aware that water regulations and other political barriers could prompt them to leave. While an 54 individual interview revealed that most farmers are raising seed corn under contracts, those who are not involved in contracts are not under the same pressures as those who are. The decision to employ conservation measures represents another division in irrigator water use. Several of the participants described ways in which they conserve water to save money and to reduce unnecessary use. Two farmers choose to irrigate at night; two others were in programs that measured the moisture levels in their soils and helped them to reduce their consumption to the minimum needed. In contrast to those who are consciously lowering their water use are “neighbors” who constantly run their pumps for months at a time. The subject was brought up in the individual interviews and both interviewees said that it is difficult to judge someone else’s water use. They might have more pressure through their contracts or they might have different ideas about how much water is needed. Regardless, the fact that some choose to find out how to reduce their water use and others do not suggests that there is no norm regarding how water should be used or how much is acceptable to use. Some farmers believe that, because they own the land, they own rights to the water and should not have to report to anyone, while others recognize state ownership and comply with reporting laws to secure rights for future use. The participants were aware of the low reporting compliance rate: “there’s a law that says everyone has to register. But there’s plenty of people that aren’t and I would tell you there’s 40% of them probably that aren’t registered at all.” In a different group, the estimation was that 30% were not registered. Not all participants knew about the low compliance rate; one said that he thought everyone had registered because it was the law. Those who comply do so either because it’s required of them or because they believe it is important to register to secure that water for future farmers. Others “beat their fists on the table and you couldn’t make them do it.” 55 3.44 Relationships Many participants agreed that they would rather work out water conservation strategies with their neighbors than have state interference; however, not all relationships with neighbors seemed positive. Some participants said they thought their local community of water users would be willing to work with each other and some thought it would be difficult to refuse a request to work with their neighbors. One specifically said, “I would stand up and shout that farmers in St. Joe County would work together.” On the other hand, most said that their willingness to work together would be entirely dependent on who was asking. There were concerns that it would be difficult to get everyone to work together and that state enforcement would probably be required. A further complication is that some renters do not live in the area and it might be costly to guarantee their presence at a meeting. When asked in an individual interview if relationships between farmers who rent and farmers who own differ from those among farmers who own, a farmer said that they are different and described a situation where renters started renting land that changed agreements instated generations prior. That kind of event would affect a group’s ability to work together. However, the other interviewed farmer said that the renters had the same business mindset as those who do not rent so willingness to work together would not differ much between the two sets of farmers. Though social capital differs between individuals, it is clear that the participants think of themselves as one group of water users distinct from other large water users. There were several times throughout the focus groups when participants brought up water users who were not irrigators. One farmer thought water scarcity problems would likely come from the municipalities and others in the non-farming community, and another said that when all water users were asked to get together, “everybody better bring their gloves. Because you’re going to 56 have just that, you’ll have a handful of us and a lot of them.” A third farmer in the same group thought other water users would be less cooperative than the farmers because the public would not want to give up the water for their lawns and golf courses. One participant stated that farmers are the best stewards of the land, suggesting that the problems were actually stemming from other groups of water users. 3.45 Anti-Diversion While the participants were agitated by new regulations that could affect their operations, two participants from different groups expressed their concern and frustration with diverting Great Lakes water out of the Basin for the use of outside states. One farmer described a conversation with someone in Oklahoma who believed that Great Lakes water should be a market good. The participant said, “You know, our states own this water, not the Federal government. And I don’t want the Federal government to come take it from us” and described how farmers in Oklahoma buy water to wash their barns, a waste in his eyes. The other participant said there was “no excuse” for the diversion of Lake Michigan water out through the Chicago River, that bottled water was ridiculous, and that the waters of the Great Lakes need to be protected. 3.46 Summary These recurring themes and ideas show that the farmers have a shared sense of purpose: they will defend themselves from blame and unnecessary regulations. However, there are also many differences among them in terms of how this defense is carried out. Some choose to ignore the regulations and carry on as though they did not exist; some choose to comply but grumble; 57 and some choose to add to the conversation by finding new information. Other differences highlight how much water a farmer is able to give up financially due to biological characteristics of the crops, physical characteristics of the soil and aquifers, and management strategies due to contractual arrangements. Though they have definite concerns about state interference with their operations, some also have a concern for keeping Great Lakes water within the basin and wish to protect that resource. That many participants introduced themselves by describing their love of farming, importance of irrigation, and even enjoyment of the recreational opportunities the water resources of this state provide is evidence that the Great Lakes are an important part of their lives in both work and leisure. 58 Chapter Four: Analysis and Results In this chapter, the evaluation framework is applied to the case study area data. Barriers to successful collective action are identified as those characteristics that result in high opportunity costs to coordination, and high transaction costs in the act of coordinating. Should an individual resource user or a group of resource users choose not to mitigate the ARI, they may face litigation and all of the costs associated with that alternative. The choice to bear or not bear the costs of collective action is dependent on the perceived benefit to cost ratio of litigation versus the perceived benefit to cost ratio of negotiation. If the benefits of participating in collective action are perceived to be higher than the costs, then users are more willing to participate, which, in turn results in lower negotiating and monitoring costs than with a situation where users do not perceive those benefits. Certain conditions result in high transaction costs which leads to a lower likelihood that users will participate in collective action, choosing to bear the costs of litigation instead. If resource users perceive collective action as beneficial, then the gains from collective action are larger than the costs and users will choose to coordinate rather than face each other in court. 4.1 Definition of the Resource The purpose of the statewide program is to manage the waters of the entire state of Michigan in compliance with the Compact (MCL 324.32702). This task was made manageable by partitioning the network of rivers and streams into catchment areas and linking those catchments to a GIS and analytical equation for reviewing proposed withdrawals. Catchments are the smallest unit of watershed that the DEQ monitors for ARIs. Users of one catchment can 59 affect resources in an abutting catchment, creating larger groups of users residing in multiple catchments. The appropriators who are identified as contributing to the adverse resource impact will be convened into a water user committee to create a plan for mitigating their collective impact. The following analysis corresponds to these appropriators and their related catchments. 4.2 Analysis Each condition in the evaluation framework will be examined using data discussed in Chapter Three and other relevant data from the focus groups and interviews. The unit of analysis is the transaction cost. Resource System Characteristics The first set of conditions in the framework relates to characteristics of the catchments found in the case study area. Small size: A map of the case study counties and their catchments is presented in Figure 12. Because each catchment is, by definition, ecologically and hydrologically distinct from its abutting catchments, it has a clear boundary for purposes of management (Reeves et al. 2009). The size and shape of each catchment varies; the size ranges from 0.0970 square miles to approximately 4,103 square miles in the case study area (version 8 catchment delineation obtained from Jeremiah Asher, Institute of Water Research, Michigan State University). The larger catchments will have higher monitoring costs than the smaller catchments and many of the larger catchments contain more resource users, resulting in higher likelihoods of ARIs in the 60 larger catchments. The size of the larger catchments could contribute to high transaction costs in collective action. Figure 12. Catchments in the case study area (Source: delineation based on version 8 obtained from Jeremiah Asher, Institute of Water Research, Michigan State University). Well-defined boundaries: The boundaries of a stream affected by an ARI are established in the withdrawal assessment process as catchment areas. When an ARI occurs, the specified area of management will result in lower information and monitoring costs than if boundaries were not defined. Low levels of mobility, possibilities of storage: Case study appropriators withdraw water from both surface and groundwater sources. According to Schlager et al. (1994), who identified storage as an important element in successful collective action, groundwater is a stored resource. 61 In reality, groundwater flows slowly with the gradient of the water table or pressure surface; however, for the purpose of this analysis, the water in aquifers has relatively low levels of mobility. Surface water, while mobile, can be pumped into ponds creating a stored resource. The mobility of these resources, either surface water or groundwater, will not add monitoring costs to the process of collective reduction in water use. Predictability: Several focus group participants discussed their perceptions of the unreliability of attempts to quantify the amount of water in aquifers and streams and their frustration with policies based on models. There is evidence that they believe that a program to mitigate water shortages in streams is unnecessary because those shortages are natural and not human caused. Many farmers, according to the census data presented in Chapter Three, do not consider conservation strategies a priority, have never experienced a groundwater shortage, and do not consider the costs of implementing conservation measures to be covered by the benefits. A sizeable portion of these farmers may think that water will always be available in their areas and that the predictions of stream response to withdrawals by the DEQ’s assessment process are incorrect. In a sense, they are not wrong; 100% accuracy of predictions of withdrawal impact on water dependent resources is impossible. However, the assessment process adds to knowledge of how the water system functions and uses available data to estimate ecosystem response. Updates to the data sets are anticipated (Groundwater Conservation Advisory Council 2007). Reeves et al. (2009) tested the analytical model (based on inverse distance from well to stream) used in the WWAT against a USGS-developed groundwater flow model called MODFLOW. Hypothetical wells were placed across a grid in a catchment in Kalamazoo County in both models and the 62 resulting stream depletions were mapped. The maps from each model are presented in Figure 13. Panel A is the MODFLOW results and panel B the analytical model results. Figure 13. Comparison of well simulation in A) MODFLOW model with B) WWAT analytical model (Source: Reeves et al. 2009). The stream flow depletion in each model is similar, though MODFLOW shows higher reductions. Reeves et al. (2009, p.12) called the results a “reasonable match” and concluded that they support the use of the analytical model as a screening tool. When collective water withdrawals cause an ARI, a site-specific review using more precise local data is employed to 63 overcome some of the inaccuracy of WWAT. The predictability of the resource, while not complete, is assessed from detailed data and models that are tested for accuracy. The assessment process for withdrawals is labeled reasonable by scientists who work for government agencies; however, it is the appropriators who must take the information given to them by the assessment process and use it to create CPR institutions that will mitigate an ARI. If they do not trust the data, they will be less willing to bear the costs of collective action; as one focus group participant said, “They’d have to statistically prove to me that I’m really creating an adverse impact. And they’d have to show me some pretty widespread data to make me believe it and right now they don’t have anything.” Other participants discussed times when water levels were temporarily low and rose again without any reduction of their withdrawals, so any ARI detection in the field could be attributed to natural fluctuations. This distrust in DEQ’s ability to predict the effect of water withdrawals on stream flow could create costs to convene users. If the appropriators are unable to acknowledge the problem they are asked to fix, transaction and monitoring costs may be high enough that they will be unwilling to bear the costs of collective action and may choose to face litigation as an alternative. Indicators of CPR conditions: The indicator used to detect an ARI is exceedence of a percentage reduction of the index flow in streams. Table 1 in Chapter 1 shows the percentage of stream flow reduction that will cause enough damage to fish populations to merit action by the DEQ. In cold-transitional rivers, ARIs occur with as little as a 2% reduction in the index flow. While some ARIs can be detected by sight, others will be detected by models and datasets. In many cases, the WWAT or site-specific review, both managed by DEQ, will be used to indicate 64 whether a stream or river is healthy. This means that the power to decide whether the CPR is being managed according to standards set by Part 327 of Act 451 rests with the DEQ, which uses a tool that the appropriators do not trust. These three elements reduce the likelihood that resource users will bear the costs of collective action. The appropriators do not set the standards, are not able to determine whether the standards are being met, and do not trust how the resource is evaluated in terms of the standards. Some appropriators might not even agree with evaluating the resource by the status of its fish populations: one participant said, “I’d hate the State of Michigan to come in and tell me I can’t pump water anymore based on adverse impact that I’m [having] on fish.” When appropriators do not agree with the purpose for reduction, they may find that collective action is too costly to participate in. If they do choose to participate in the water user committee, negotiating and monitoring costs may be high due to the view that bearing the costs of reducing water use is higher than the perceived benefits from an increased stream flow. Group Characteristics The second group of conditions relates to characteristics of the resource users within the affected catchments. Small size: Each catchment has a designated number of appropriators who affect stream flow. If an ARI occurs in that catchment, then all registered users will be asked to participate in a water user committee. Because catchments have between 1 and 16 registered users in them (see Figure 11), the number of participants in a water user committee varies. Effects on multiple catchments as described in equation (1) can draw appropriators from outside of the catchment in a water user committee resulting in a larger number of participants. Group size in the case study area has the 65 potential to increase negotiating and monitoring costs. However, not all groups will necessarily have large transaction costs because of group size; some may be small enough to lower those costs. Clear boundaries: The boundaries on a group of water users for an individual appropriator are not clear. An appropriator in one catchment can contribute to an ARI in one or more neighboring catchments. This means that an individual appropriator can be part of multiple water user committees. This increases negotiating costs if that appropriator must work with several groups of appropriators. Another important factor decreasing the efficacy of the water use program is the presence of unregistered users. Participants in focus groups commented on the high number of unregistered water users, but were not clear about whether they would identify those users. Without their participation, the actions of unregistered users who continue to appropriate water from an affected stream may undermine the actions of participants to restrain use in compliance with a water user committee plan (free ride). One participant said the solution to bringing everyone into the discussion was to report all of their unregistered neighbors while another said he would rather not, in order to preserve relationships. Most participants expressed, though, that they would not be cooperative unless all users were present. When asked in the individual interviews whether they thought farmers would report their unregistered neighbors if a water user committee was convened, both farmers said that because it was a matter of maintaining water use, people would report their neighbors despite possible relationship consequences. The presence of unregistered users means that successful collective action is threatened by the presence of free riders that decrease assurance in collective 66 compliance. In Michigan’s program, these unregistered users who are identified are treated like new users and must register their withdrawals through the WWAT. New users cause high negotiating costs when exercising their rights to water use in a catchment already impacted by an ARI. Once that ARI has been mitigated by a water user committee, any new user, whether proposing a new withdrawal or being identified as unregistered, will face high negotiating costs in water user committees because reductions in water use have an increasing marginal cost in forgone production. A new user petitioning an old user who has already reduced intake must convince that old user that a further reduction in water use will somehow result in added benefits. The lack of assurance caused by ill-defined boundaries will decrease the likelihood that appropriators will bear the cost of collective action. New users in catchments already taxed will find increasing negotiating and monitoring costs due to an increasing marginal opportunity cost of reduction with each new proposed withdrawal. Shared norms: Heterogeneities among the appropriators were discussed in Chapter Three. These differences can affect the ability of norms to permeate a community and to function as an element in the decision-making process. There is no social norm surrounding water use. Some farmers said they made an effort to conserve water to reduce their bills or to avoid overuse, while others, participants observed, “turn the damn thing on for a month at a time.” One participant said it would be difficult to get all users to agree on reductions in water use and that some farmers would “get pretty nasty” about anyone asking them to. The two individuals who were privately interviewed both agreed that there was not a common idea in the community about the definition of appropriate use. One of the interviewed farmers attributed this to the diversity of 67 crops in the area; different crops require different amounts of water. The other interviewee said there are many interpretations of how much water a certain crop may physically need. Some farmers rely on their experience to decide an appropriate amount of water while others turn to updated scientific information. There is no consensus and no movement to formulate one. Compliance with mandatory water reporting is another area without consistent group action, as evidenced by the estimated high rates of unregistered users and the description by some in the focus group of “beat[ing]… fists” when talking to those users about reporting. The idea that water is personal property tied to land ownership arose in the focus groups and the interviews. Perhaps the lack of a social norm about water use results from views on property rights. Those who report their water use in order to secure it in the future think that the water does not belong to them, but to the state. This is consistent with water use legislation identifying water as a public trust and the responsibility of the state (MCL 324.32702c). Those who do not report because they want the state to stay out of their business are expressing that they think the water belongs to them (a common misconception that has never been true in Michigan – Lusch, personal communication, December 2011). These different ideas about how water should be used and the state’s role in that use may influence the choice to participate in collective action and will likely increase negotiating and monitoring costs should a water user committee be convened. Social capital: Relationships are the basis for social capital, defined as “a person’s or group’s sympathy toward another person or group that may produce a potential benefit, advantage, and preferential treatment for another person or group of persons beyond that expected in an exchange relationship (Robison et al. 2010: p. 19).” Decisions to cooperate are affected by 68 relationships but are not completely determined by them. There were two examples of cooperation shared in focus groups. One farmer reduced his water use in response to complaints from non-agricultural neighbors that the water levels in their wells were decreasing. This participant worked with two other irrigators to remedy the problem, but he said he was not sure it had really been caused by irrigation. Another example was from an irrigator who moved some of his crops to help his neighbor meet the required seed corn setbacks that the seed corn company asked for. According to Lyndon Kelley of Michigan State University Extension, setbacks prevent pollination pollution by requiring only non-corn crops to be grown next to crops of seed corn (Kelley, personal communication, November 2010). These examples might contain elements of social capital, or they might suggest a social norm: that it is important to work with neighbors if it is reasonable to do so. A focus group participant expressed that he wanted to keep good relations with his neighbors. Another said, “Most of my neighbors [have] farmed around each other for long enough that we don’t have great conflicts over stuff that you would think would be a conflict.” These cooperative interactions can happen with or without social capital, but when several participants said their willingness to work with one another was dependent on who was asking, it suggests that some past encounters had created negative relationships that would hinder cooperative decision making. Social capital is present in the community of irrigators and could enhance collective action; however, negative relationships also exist and could hinder it. The larger the group size, the more likely negative relationships will exist between some members, which could increase negotiating costs in a water user committee, but the presence of social capital will decrease transaction costs both in negotiating and monitoring. The magnitude of the effects of either 69 positive or negative relationships is unknown. For this analysis, however, the presence of social capital will be listed as an opportunity for collective action. Leadership: Some participants in the focus groups were more outspoken and more informed about the 2006 legislation than others. This implies that certain individuals in the case study area seek to fully understand the laws that affect them and to be able to comment on them knowledgeably. Perhaps these individuals and those like them are seen as leaders in the area. In one focus group, an individual who was not present was named as someone who was heading up some research on water availability in the area. This person was named as if everyone in the room knew who he was. That the individual was leading a research initiative and that his name was known in a group pulled together because they are registered irrigators provides evidence that there are leaders in the community. Whether they have influence was explored in the interviews. The interviewed farmers were asked if leadership exists, that is, people whose opinions were more influential than others, and both said yes. One of the farmers warned against thinking that these influential people would influence in favor of this state regulation. The strength of the leadership and the reaches of their influence are not known, but it is present. Whether this leadership would advance the efficacy of a water user committee in the context of Michigan’s water use program is also unclear. The presence of leadership and their participation in compliance with the law reduces transaction costs and monitoring costs if the leadership is able to persuade appropriators to comply as well. 70 Heterogeneity of endowments: There is ample variation across farms in terms of soil and aquifer conditions, infrastructure, and investments. Those who are committed to contracts face different pressures than those who own their land and their crop, but they also expect a larger return on investment. Differences in aquifer and soil conditions make it easier or more difficult to make water available for plants. While the pumping capacities of those reporting to the Michigan Department of Agriculture (and thus sampled for the focus groups) are not disclosed, the DEQ lists the WWAT registration capacities for new registrants on their website in gallons per minute (gpm). These are the withdrawals that passed the review process since July 9, 2009. Figure 13 shows the frequencies of registrations from the case study area grouped into nine ranges. Figure 14. Frequencies of pumping capacity registered in WWAT since July 9, 2009 in the counties of Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph. Pumping capacities reported in gallons per minute (Source: DeYoung 2011). 71 The largest number of registrants pump in the range of 401 – 500 gpm, although there is also a relatively large number pumping in the range of 901 – 1000 gpm. Irrigators who use nine to ten times more water than others might benefit from a CPR institution by ensuring that large amounts of water will be available in the future. This interest may reduce negotiating and monitoring costs because farmers have an incentive to promote conservation in their area but there is no strong indicator of whether these heterogeneities will affect collective action outcomes. Homogeneity of interests and identities: When introducing themselves, many participants included family history of farming; most farmers’ families have been in the area for several generations. They have a shared identity as irrigators, making them different from other farmers and other large water users. Their interests, despite examples of differing actions in terms of water use and compliance, might also be aligned as many expressed a desire to minimize state interference while maximizing returns on investments. Some farmers said that collective water reduction would require an outside party: “Farmers don’t stick together that well so you almost [need] somebody with a big stick standing up there.” However, it was clear that most participants felt they would rather not be regulated by the state. Their common aversion to state involvement could motivate groups of irrigators to collaborate to create water management plans. If they do not, the DEQ can offer a plan of their own and, if not accepted, the court system can force a plan of action (MCL 324.32725). The costs of litigation could be higher than the costs of collective negotiation, causing a group of resource users to agree to negotiate in order to reduce state involvement. 72 Low levels of poverty: When asked about poverty in the interviews, the farmers said that there are some differences in financial welfare in the case study area. However, one interviewee said that most of the differences were between farmers who irrigate and farmers who do not irrigate. He said that farmers irrigate because they want to profit from their operations and often do so. The other interviewee said that the largest differences occur because of the length of time a farmer has been in the area. Those on intergenerational farms have lower debt and more equity than new farmers starting from scratch. Even with these differences, the farmers do not face the same poverty as the communities that Wade (1988), Baland and Platteau (1996), and other researchers wrote about when examining poverty as a barrier to collective action. Many have non-farm income supplementing their farm income (Table 6). Poverty, as a characteristic that increases discount rates and thus decreases benefits to restraining resource use for the future, is not a strong characteristic in the case study area. Past experience with organizations: The interviewed farmers were asked about existing organizations that would help in the process of creating a water user committee. They listed organizations that many irrigators belong to. The Michigan Farm Bureau is one of the largest. Other regional groups mentioned were an irrigation association and a group promoting responsible water use. Familiar references, then, are available for guidance and could help in structuring a water user committee, which would reduce transaction costs in this collective action situation. There were also examples of cooperation with the use of shared water sources. Participants in one focus group had heard of cases where farmers shared a surface water source and an informal agreement about who could pump at certain times, and one had experience with 73 planning his crop rotation around his neighbors because they all knew that their shared source could not handle water intensive crops on all three farms simultaneously. The interviewed farmers also knew of examples of shared infrastructure but said that some people would just refuse to be in a situation with shared capital. These examples of organization and cooperation that already exist could reduce negotiating costs of creating similar collective action institutions. Relationship between resource system characteristics and group characteristics Agrawal (2001) describes the importance of several conditions arising from the joint impacts of resource system characteristics and characteristics of CPR appropriators. Overlap between user group location and resource location: Census data presented in Table 5 showed that around 70% of the farms in the case study area are fully owned by their principal operators. The rest are partially owned (22 – 29%) or worked by tenants (less than 5%). The presence of renters was a topic of discussion in one focus group. Renters target Southwest Michigan because it has soil conditions conducive for growing crops like potatoes and tomatoes. These are valuable crops that require substantial amounts of water and sandy soil, two characteristics of the case study area. Participants said renters should be a part of any discussions about water use, but one landowner said that he would be less likely to cooperate with them than he would with his neighbor. An interviewed farmer said relationships between farmers might be different if they were renting because their relatively newer contracts may have been at the expense of old agreements between local farmers. The other interviewed farmer said that those who are renting have the same concerns as those who own land, so he does not see the relationships as any 74 different. The bad relationships could be just that: an example of one farmer hindering another’s operations and not necessarily due to the distance between them. Regardless of who is farming, landowners are the people holding riparian or groundwater rights, and when water user committees are convened, it is the landowner who will be asked to participate. Not only might a retired landowner be difficult to contact (Kelley, personal communication, November 2010), such an individual might not be as informed as some of the working farmers. Owners are ultimately the decision-makers in discussions about plans for eliminating an ARI, but they may have different ideas about water use than tenants. One focus group participant described how his landowner was angry when he reported his annual water use to MDARD (as required by law). The renter thought it was important to do so but the landowner disagreed. The landowner-renter situation creates barriers to collective action when the landowner, as decision-maker, is not physically present (e.g. lives out of state) and/or has been removed from farm management decisions for a long period of time. Their perspective might not match a renter’s perspective, causing problems when the renter has to implement actions to which a landowner has agreed. One farm would be represented by two people, increasing the size of the CPR group and increasing transaction costs. Transaction costs also increase when land is rented to different farmers over short periods of time. New participants may not have built relationships with their fellow water users and may not be as willing to cooperate as past participants in water user committees. High levels of dependence by group members on resource system: High levels of dependence may cause appropriators to steward resources that they need to rely on for the future. During 75 introductions, many participants said a large part of what they enjoyed about Michigan was the abundant water resources and the opportunities they have as irrigators. This could make them more apt to reduce their water use if scarcity became an issue. Irrigation in Michigan is supplemental, meaning that depending on the crop, farmers can operate without it. However, the heavy reliance of the local economy on seed corn and potatoes that the participants mentioned throughout focus groups causes a dependence on irrigation. As one participant said, “I don’t think you could have enough water available for potatoes unless it rained an inch a day every day of the week.” Table 6 in Chapter Three shows that many farmers do not list farming as their primary occupation, which suggests they rely less on agriculture for income and are therefore less dependent on irrigation than farmers who do list farming as their primary occupation. The table does not discriminate between irrigating farmers and non-irrigating farmers; however, one interviewed participant said that those who irrigate are those with a primary occupation of farming because it is a much higher investment in time. Thus, irrigators in the case study area probably do have a high dependence on water and would have incentive to steward their resource if they sensed scarcity, increasing the costs of not creating a collective management plan for sustainability of the resource. When the benefits of collective action are greater than the costs, the resource users will coordinate their decisions. Fairness in allocation of benefits from common resources: In order for farmers to begin irrigating, they must make an investment in infrastructure that allows them to do so. In this sense, the allocation of water to farm is fair; they have invested in infrastructure to capture benefits. One participant expressed that poor investments by others might make him less sympathetic to 76 cooperation: “if they’re running out of water because of a … sub-standard system right off the bat…why should I take a loss if I went to the extra money to, to put in a good set-up and they’ve got something that in the best of times won’t work?” The discussions about investments asserted that those who invested in infrastructure should not have to reduce consumption for those who have either poor investments or no investments. That idea seemed pervasive across focus groups, although one participant allowed that the water did not belong to him personally, so while he might not be happy about sharing his allocation of water, it might be fair to do so. If the participants in a water user committee share the perspective that it is fair to allocate water among all users, then there might be less incentive to cheat. However, in the examination of social norms, it was discussed that many appropriators in the area do not share this view and think of their rights to water as private and not contingent on others’ use and ecosystem health as with regulated riparianism. These appropriators are less likely to be willing to participate in collective action, and more likely to cheat on agreements for water reduction than those who believe it is fair to share the water for multiple uses. These appropriators might also cause the time cost of negotiations to increase when setting rules for water use in a water user committee. Low levels of user demand: It has been established in this chapter already that appropriators in the case study area depend on a lot of water for their operations. It has also been established that there is an abundance of water in Southwest Michigan. While user demand may not at present be high enough relative to the amount available to cause an ARI, the demand relative to the rest of Michigan is very high (refer to Table 4). These appropriators have a high opportunity cost of reducing their water use. Demand is high because there is value to water as an input and giving up that input results in a decrease in profits. The result is that appropriators are less willing to 77 constrain their water use than they would if they had lower levels of demand causing negotiating costs and monitoring costs to be high. Gradual changes in levels of demand: The two interviewed farmers were asked if they could think of any event that would cause a large increase in the demand for water. One said he could not, while the other said only if someone changed his or her crop rotation to one that required more water. Both thought that the quantity of water demanded in the area would not change, just who was demanding it. All land available for agriculture is already in agriculture and much of it is in irrigation, according to the farmers. According to the statistics presented in the third chapter, however, the majority of agricultural land in the case study area is not irrigated. If non-irrigated land is converted to irrigated land, an upward shift in demand could occur. This could happen if other farming operations relocated to Southwest Michigan due to localized water shortages or declines in water quality. An increase in production contracts would increase demand, as evidenced by the increased intensity of irrigation following the initial introduction of contracts. A new agricultural company could increase demand for water among existing operations leading to higher transaction costs in negotiation as described in the section above. There is no strong indication that demand would increase and therefore no conclusion about the effect on collective action in the case study area. External Environment The last set of conditions in the evaluation framework refers to the external environment surrounding the use of the resource. 78 Technology: low exclusion cost, time for adaptation to new technologies: The technology used to exclude potential users was discussed in the section on fair allocation of benefits. Both the irrigation technology and property rights in land and water divide those who can appropriate from those who cannot. Property rights are already enforced with external institutions eliminating the costly need to create and manage new bodies for that purpose. Irrigation infrastructure, a high-cost investment, deters casual thoughts of appropriation. If irrigation equipment were to suddenly become less costly due to advances in technology, then farmers in the area could increase their use of irrigation, increasing opportunity costs of reducing water use. They are less likely to agree to management plans for reducing water use, increasing costs of negotiating. These appropriators are also less likely to comply with these rules, which results in high monitoring costs. Low levels of articulation with external markets: The yield of a crop is directly related to irrigation. This was made clear with discussions in focus groups on the intensity of water use that is the nature of management decisions by farmers under production contracts. The companies encourage these agents to irrigate because it will increase yields and, in turn, increase profits for the growers. One of the farmers who participated in an individual interview said that the reason people choose to irrigate is not because they like to, but because it allows them to grow more profitable crops. Farmers who assume the risk of production contracts and/or invest in irrigation do so because they expect returns. They face high opportunity costs of reducing water use, which leads to high negotiating and monitoring costs. 79 Gradual changes in articulation with external markets: If crops in Southwest Michigan became incorporated into more market products, then their value would increase and willingness to reduce water use would decrease. Collective decisions on reduction, then, would be more costly and the result is a barrier to collective action. State Power of local authority: Because DEQ expects water user committees to create institutions internally for the collective reduction of water use, the users have power in setting and negotiating rules among themselves. However, because ARI status is evaluated by DEQ, the agency retains some power in the process of collective water reduction. The irrigator’s distrust in the decisions of state agencies means that the presence of DEQ could hinder the workings of CPR institutions. Most of DEQ’s enforcement works through registration processes that require documentation. If such requirements of the state do not align with the expectations of the irrigators (indications from focus groups suggest they do not), perhaps for some degree of autonomy in their role as resource managers, negotiating agreements acceptable to the state could become more difficult and the costs of negotiating such plans could be high. Supportive external sanctioning institutions: The institutions involved in supporting water reduction measures are those of the legislation that created the definition and prohibition of an ARI and the system that protects water and property rights. These institutions call for reductions in water use in the case of an ARI and uphold property rights during negotiations. If a plan for collective reduction of water were to be agreed on, the DEQ would be involved in monitoring the 80 outcome and supporting those complying with the agreement which would decrease monitoring costs. As a result, the efficacy of collective action would increase from these institutions if distrust of DEQ as a monitor does not cause high negotiating costs. External aid for conservation: Southwest Michigan receives support for water conservation programs through the Agricultural Water Enhancement Program, part of the Natural Resources Conservation Service’s Environmental Quality Incentives Program. This is a national program that supports conservation measures in agriculture. One focus group participant had taken advantage of AWEP and was able to reduce his pumping rates significantly with soil moisture monitoring while retaining yields. This program is available to irrigators in Southwest Michigan and promotes efforts to conserve water. Table 7 in Chapter Three shows that other funding is available for conservation projects across Michigan. Reducing barriers to conservation decreases negotiating and monitoring costs because it becomes less costly to engage in conservation activities. Irrigators are able to maintain their yields with less water, decreasing opportunity costs of reducing water use. These irrigators will be more likely to participate in the creation of and agreement to plans for collective water reduction and are more likely to follow those plans than those who face high opportunity costs. Nested levels of appropriation, provision, enforcement, governance: The water user committee, as a collective action institution, is a working unit embedded in the larger water use program in Michigan. This program is part of a larger regional compact, which is part of an international agreement. The laws and institutions that enforce property rights can be used to support the terms of agreements made in the water user committee by holding each appropriator 81 to a reasonable level of water use. If use is unreasonable and it hinders reasonable use by another appropriator, it is unlawful and corresponding litigation can follow (Lusch 2011). The entire set of laws and institutions work to protect access to the benefits of water for Michigan citizens. Without it, there are no enforceable property rights and an open access situation results. With legitimate rights to water and the ability to protect their access to it with legal structures that prohibit others from overuse or diversion, farmers have incentives to bear the costs of collective action. These incentives to participate in creating and implementing a water management plan can create a willingness to negotiate and thus decrease the costs of negotiation. Likewise, they can also create a willingness to comply with rules for water reduction ultimately reducing monitoring costs. 4.3 Summary of Findings Table 8 summarizes the findings in this chapter. Because the evaluation framework is built on generalized conditions for successful collective action, certain conditions in each CPR situation evaluated with the framework will have a larger impact on transaction costs and be more important in the identification of opportunities and barriers for collective action. Table 8 shows which conditions in the case study area situation contribute to the decision to participate in a water user committee and the magnitude of transaction costs associated with the committee’s functions. Each condition is evaluated as either creating a barrier to collective action by resulting in high transaction costs, or creating an opportunity for collective action by increasing the benefits to collective action and decreasing transaction costs, or being irrelevant to the situation. 82 Resource System Barrier: high monitoring costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Predictability costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Indicators of CPR conditions costs Group Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Size costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Boundaries costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Norms costs Opportunity: perceived benefits of Social capital collective action, low negotiating and monitoring costs Leadership Opportunity: low negotiating costs Heterogeneity of endowments Opportunity: perceived benefits of Homogeneity of interests/identities collective action, low negotiating and monitoring costs Poverty Opportunity: low negotiating and Existing organizations monitoring costs Resource System and Group Location Barrier: high negotiating costs Opportunity: perceived benefits of Dependence collective action, low negotiating and monitoring costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Fairness of allocation costs Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring User demand costs Changes in demand Size Boundaries Mobility Storage Table 9. Barriers, opportunities and irrelevant conditions for collective action according to evaluation framework and data from Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph Counties. 83 External Environment Technology Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Market articulation costs Change in market articulation Barrier: high negotiating and monitoring Power of local authority costs Supportive institutions Opportunity: low monitoring costs Opportunity: low negotiating and External aid monitoring costs Opportunity: increased benefits of Nested levels collective action, low negotiating and monitoring costs Indicates a condition that is not considered important for this situation Table 9, Cont. Barriers, opportunities and irrelevant conditions for collective action according to evaluation framework and data from Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, and St. Joseph Counties. 84 Chapter Five: Conclusions This analysis was completed by examining a case study area of four counties in Southwest Michigan against conditions found by researchers to lead to successful collective action in resource management. For this research, successful collective action refers to institutions that lead to sustained access to benefits over time without significant conflict between resource users (Bromley 1992). Data from focus groups and secondary sources were analyzed to understand how transaction costs affect opportunities and barriers for success of water user committees attempting to collectively reduce water use. The results describe a set of characterizing conditions that, through their effects on whether water users are likely to participate in collective action and on the transaction costs associated with that collective action, lead to barriers or opportunities for successful collective action. 5.1 Opportunities Water use in the community of agricultural irrigators is very important. Dependence on water is high, which creates an incentive for irrigators to participate in programs that protect that use for the present and the future. The water use program, as an important element in regional efforts to prohibit diversions outside of the Basin, offers that protection. While the irrigators have made different investments that result in different perspectives on water use reduction, most would rather work within their agricultural community to mitigate ARIs than with the DEQ. If they have no choice about whether or not they should, as a group, decrease water use, their common interest in reducing state involvement may result in a higher willingness to negotiate with their peers on water reductions. The examples of farmers working together and sharing 85 infrastructure show that some irrigators have experience in cooperative situations which, like the presence of formal organizations in the community, can result in lower transaction costs in negotiating and organization in a water user committee. Social capital in the community will also lead to willingness to cooperate, resulting in lower transaction costs in both negotiating and monitoring compliance with rules created by the water user committees. Leadership can influence the decisions of group members and increase willingness to cooperate. Institutions that establish rights of water users to protect their access to benefits of surface and groundwater create incentives for irrigators to bear the cost of protecting those rights and therefore to be present at committees making decisions on water use. A last opportunity is found in financial assistance available for practicing conservation measures. If farmers are faced with lower costs of implementing conservation measures, they are more likely to do so. These opportunities lead to a higher willingness and ability to reduce water use and thus lower transaction costs in negotiating and monitoring. 5.2 Barriers Many conditions also could create high transaction costs resulting in barriers to collective action. The first is that the irrigators do not trust the DEQ’s method of predicting and measuring an ARI. If they do not perceive a problem (as measured by the DEQ’s assessment process), they are less likely to reduce their water use, leading to high transaction costs in both negotiating and monitoring. The misperceptions about water rights result in high transaction costs and have been important in noncompliance with other state regulations such as annual reporting of water use. Some irrigators see the water as their own private property that should not be managed by anyone but them; they may not believe that reducing their water use is very fair to them. The 86 water belongs to the state, however, and is treated as such. The large size of groups and catchment areas create negotiating and monitoring costs and the fluid boundaries of water user committees due to new users, unregistered users, renters, and multiple ARIs influenced by a single LQW increase negotiating and monitoring costs. As the number of water user committees an individual appropriator must work with increases, the higher are the transaction costs of collective action for that individual, and willingness to cooperate with any one group declines. The presence of agricultural processing companies and the high value production contracts they negotiate reduce willingness of irrigators to decrease water use due to the risk they face in lost yields and thus lost contracts. The final barrier is that water user committee participants may wish that agreements made in this community of water users be made with unwritten contracts. The DEQ may undermine this practice by requiring written contracts or agreements resulting in less willingness among water users to cooperate. 5.3 Suggestions for the DEQ The barriers to collective action in this community are not insurmountable. Michigan State University Extension (MSUE) is an organization that bridges the gap between research and application at the farm level. MSUE specialists and educators have been building relationships with farmers for many years and have been influential in the implementation of new farming practices and the dissemination of ideas and information that will benefit farmers, including information about the water use program. MSUE could be engaged to work with the irrigators on the misconception about water rights. The state defines water as a state trust and protects it from national level interests with implementation of the Compact requirements. The irrigators benefit from this interest and thus the regulated riparian status of water rights in Michigan. Clarifying 87 this information and presenting it to irrigators as a reason for compliance with regulations at the state level could be the focus of MSUE programs. Education about the water withdrawal assessment process and users’ rights to challenge its findings can also help to create willingness to cooperate with rules about water use. By building trust in the WWAT, the DEQ, through MSUE, can promote it as a screening tool and dispel the belief that it is an inaccurate decision tool. Workshops on regulated riparianism and the assessment process as two components used to protect the waters of the state could be offered to irrigators through MSUE. In particular, targeting leaders in the community could broaden dissemination of the information shared. In addition to educating irrigators on their rights and responsibilities for using water in Michigan, the DEQ, with the help of MDARD, could make efforts to identify unregistered users. By doing so, boundaries will be more well-defined when water user committees are formed. Everyone who should be engaged in the negotiation process will be engaged. Once unregistered users are identified, the DEQ can also require them to register their use as new capacity in the WWAT and to comply with annual reporting laws. DEQ resources could be used most wisely if the catchments targeted in looking for unregistered users are those where zone C LQWs have already been registered. Those are the areas that are at highest risk of ARIs. Once all LQW appropriators are identified, the DEQ and MSUE can start to build capacity for negotiations by informing users of the status of the water resource in their catchment and who they may have to work with in the future on collaborative efforts to reduce water use. Because agricultural processing companies that contract with growers are so influential in water use decisions in the area, these companies must also be informed of their responsibilities as users of Michigan water. Many businesses are working towards sustainable practices as 88 consumers demand environmental stewardship in supply chains. DEQ could encourage the companies to work with farmers to conserve water and support environmental health in the Great Lakes Basin, noting that such efforts could actually benefit their businesses when that information is shared with consumers. It may be necessary for the DEQ to bear significant administrative costs in implementing these suggestions. However, they will increase the likelihood of success for the water use program by decreasing transaction costs for irrigators. 5.4 Other Large Quantity Water Users One last element not addressed by this research is the presence of other large quantity water users in the State of Michigan. Others include, but are not limited to, municipalities, industries, golf courses, and ski resorts. The dynamics of water user committees which include these types of users, in addition to agricultural irrigators, may result in even higher transaction costs in negotiation. The irrigators discussed their feelings that they were blamed for drops in surface water levels when there are many other water users in the state contributing to ecosystem damage. Many participants said they expect that negotiating with these water users would be very costly and would result in conflict. These dynamics also need to be explored if the efficacy of the water use program as a means for conservation is to be enhanced. The results of this research show that there will be high transaction costs in creating required institutions for collective water management among irrigators in Southwest Michigan. Some opportunities for reducing transaction costs exist, and the DEQ can use those to begin to overcome barriers. However, research on dynamics of negotiations that involve all types of large 89 quantity water users in Michigan is needed to further reduce transaction costs in the implementation of the water use program. 90 APPENDICES 91 Appendix A: Recruitment Script Name of person ____________________ Phone number _____________________ Time called ________________________ Better time to call __________________ Hello, Mr. ________. My name is Rachel Ford and I’m a graduate student at Michigan State University. We are working with colleagues at MSU, MI Department of Agriculture, and MI Department of Environmental Quality to better understand what Michigan’s water use program means for agricultural irrigators. We got your name from MDA’s list of farmers who report irrigation water use for ____ County. We are looking for irrigators to help us with our research. You do farm, right? And irrigate? We are getting together a small group of farmers who irrigate crops to give us input on how irrigators might respond to water scarcity and how irrigators might work together to overcome water access problems. We plan to bring about seven farmers together to talk about this topic and help us understand irrigators’ opportunities and constraints. We are going to do this three times, so we have three possible dates in mind. We will meet at the St. Joseph County ISD building at 6:30 p.m. and the discussion will last about two hours. We’ll have refreshments, and we will have $50 for you as a thank-you for your time and help. The three dates are ____, _____ and _____. Would you be able to join us for one of those meetings? 92 NO ------- Okay. Thanks for your time. Good evening. YES --- Great. Which of the dates would you prefer? I’d like to send you a letter just to confirm everything. I have ____________________________ for your mailing address. Is that correct? Great. I’ll send you the letter with the details, and we look forward to seeing you on ____ date. 93 Appendix B: Focus Group Script Agricultural Irrigator Focus Groups: St. Joseph County ISD Introduction: My name is Pat Norris, and I am a professor at Michigan State University. This is Rachel Ford; Rachel is a graduate student in Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics at MSU. First, thank you all for agreeing to be here this evening to help us with our research. Second, let me remind each of you that you don’t have to answer any questions that you don’t wish to answer, and you are free to leave at any time. We don’t think that any of our questions should make anyone uncomfortable, but of course we cannot be aware of all circumstances that may be related to our questions. Third, as we told you when we first contacted you, our research is part of a larger effort looking at the implications of Michigan’s water law. We don’t have an opinion of whether the law is good or bad or whether it is or is not needed. In fact, for the purposes of this discussion, we will not really focus on the law until near the end. What we are really interested in, for this specific research, is how irrigators may work with one another to manage water resources, especially in situations where availability of water may be limited for one reason or another. That is what most of our questions will focus on. 94 There are no right or wrong answers to any of our questions. We expect that you will have differing points of view. Please feel free to share your point of view even if it differs from what others have said. We won’t include any of your names in any of our reports. We do have name tents for each of you. That is to help me remember names during our conversation, but it will also help you. You don’t have to direct all of your comments to me. If you want to follow up on something that someone has said, or if you want to agree or disagree or give an example, please feel free to do that. Feel free to have a conversation with one another about these questions. My role here is to ask questions, listen and make sure everyone has a chance to share. We’re interested in hearing from each of you. So if someone is talking a lot, I may ask you to give others a chance. And if you aren’t saying much, I may try to draw you more into the conversation. Again, you don’t have to answer, but we do want to make sure all of you have a chance to share your ideas. We are recording because we don’t want to risk losing any of the richness of the conversation. We will have a professional transcriptionist produce a typed copy of the tape’s contents, and each participant will be identified with a code number. We will not share any information that could be connected to a specific individual during any of our analysis or in any of our reports. 95 We will finish at 8:30. Feel free to get up and get more refreshments at any time if you would like. If you have a cell phone, please set it to vibrate, and if you need to answer it you can step outside. Let’s get started. Opening Question First, let’s find out more about each other by going around the table one at a time. Tell us your name and one thing that you particularly appreciate or enjoy about living in Michigan. 1. Introduction Questions: Do you use surface water, groundwater or both for irrigation? 2. Transition Questions: For those of you using surface water, do you feel you have a good idea of how many other irrigators rely on the same stream reach for irrigation water? What about those of you using wells. Do you have a sense of how many other irrigators rely on wells or surface water for irrigation on neighboring farms? How much information do you have about other kinds of large quantity withdrawals in your area, such as municipalities or industries? 96 3. Key Questions: For this question, think about where you draw your water from, and think about others who are drawing water from the same source. Have you ever changed your crop rotation so that any shared water source would meet both your needs and the needs of others? Have you ever changed your management in any season so that you needed less water? For example, planting an early crop of potatoes or cutting an early harvest of alfalfa. Other examples of changing management? Did you do it because there was less water for you? Or because you knew there were other irrigators also relying on a stream or on groundwater? If water levels were low, perhaps because of a drought, would you consider formally cooperating with other irrigators to get everybody through a season? Other irrigators would include those using surface water and groundwater. Earlier we listed a few ways in which an irrigator might change management during a season in order to need less water. Are there any other kinds of management changes that you think irrigators might consider in order to use less water so that everyone has access during a drought? What kinds of barriers do you think would make it difficult for you and other irrigators to work together in order to collectively use less water in times of drought? 97 Would your willingness to work with others to collectively use less water be affected by whether you were asked by a neighbor or asked by a state agency? Why or why not? If the state contacts irrigators for such a purpose, only those irrigators who have registered would be contacted since the state would have no way of knowing about other irrigators. How do you think this would affect opportunities to collectively use less water? So far, my questions have focused on ways in which you might work with other irrigators to share limited water in the event of a drought. Now I want to bring the state’s water law into the equation. Under the new law, riparian landowners have a right to withdraw water from a stream, and landowners have a right to use well water. However, collectively, all water users in a watershed cannot withdraw so much water that a stream is unable to support fish populations. That is the state's indicator of a negative ecological impact. That means that a situation could arise in which a new irrigator wants to withdraw water from a stream or well but so much water is already being used that a new withdrawal would reduce stream flow too much. Technically, in such a case the only way that new irrigator could legally withdraw water would be if others in the watershed use less. 4. Ending Questions: 98 If a neighbor approached you and asked if you would cooperate with other irrigators to free up water so that he or she could begin irrigating, how do you think you would respond? o How is this situation similar to or different from the kinds of situations we were discussing earlier? Are there any other points or concerns you would like to raise that you were not able to express earlier about any of the questions? Thank you very much for your help with this research. You have your copy of the consent form, and it has my contact information on it. I will also give each of you one of my business cards. If you have any questions about this research or other questions about water use research, please feel free to call me. If it is a question that I can't answer, I will try my best to find someone who can. Rachel will have the $50 we promised you that you can collect on the way out. There is one final form you need to sign to verify that you received the payment. 99 Appendix C: Individual Interview Script Thank you for agreeing to meet with me. This will be helpful to fill in some information gaps in my thesis, things I am curious about that were not addressed during the focus groups last spring. Are you familiar with Michigan’s water use program that attempts to identify water withdrawals with a high risk of negative resource impact on local streams? And when such an event occurs, the DEQ has a responsibility to convene large water users involved to create a plan for collective reduction of water resources? My research centers around anticipating barriers to collective decision-making during these water user committee meetings and successful management plans that would come out of them. Researchers have identified conditions that contribute to successful collective management rules and I am trying to comment on the existence of those contributors in the group of irrigators in Southwest Michigan. The following questions will hopefully help me to fully describe the area in terms of the list of conditions. Do you have any questions? 1. Do you think agricultural irrigators in this area see themselves as a community of water users or as completely independent operators? 2. During our focus groups, participants talked about some strategies they used for water conservation such as soil moisture monitoring programs and watering at night. But there were also times when participants said their neighbors irrigated constantly for months at a 100 time, which they seemed to think was unnecessary. Do you think there is a commonly held idea in this area about how water should be used? 3. One contributing condition to cooperative management is that there is leadership within the group that is informed of the issues surrounding the resource and decisions about its use. Do you think that leadership exists among irrigators in this area? Do you think there are farmers whose opinions and influence are more respected than others? 4. Do you think there is any sense of obligation to other irrigators or examples of times when one irrigator might rely on another irrigator? Can you think of examples of shared infrastructure, things like that? 5. Do you think the relationships between neighboring farmers differ from those between a local farmer and a renting farmer? How? 6. Are there large differences in terms of financial prosperity in this area? 7. Can you think of any situations that would cause a farmer to drastically increase his or her consumption of water? 8. One of the conditions that would significantly contribute to a successful collective action plan is that the participants have some kind of background experience with an organization. Do you think there are organizations that exist that would help with the 101 process of creating a water user committee? Examples of these include village councils, irrigation associations, and farmer’s associations. 9. During the focus groups we talked about unregistered users. Do you think people would report their unregistered neighbors in order to keep their established water use? What are some of the reasons they might do this? What are some of the reasons they wouldn’t do this? Well those are all of the questions I have for you. Thank you very much for helping me again, I’ve brought you a hat for your time. 102 Appendix D: References to Transcripts for Topics in Chapter Three Frustration: A1 477-86, A1 1198-1210, A1 1192, A1 1196, A2 1216-45, A2 573-74, A1 116869, A1 1191-92, A1 681-82, A3 457, A3 501-02, A1 696-703, A1 707-10, A3 275-81, A3 30003, A1 743, A1 733-39, A1 761-62, A2 148-59 Distrust: A1 1124-25, A1 1098-99, A2 757-61, A2 664-65, A3 598-600, A3 659-62, A3 931, A1 516-18, A3 850-54, A1 717-27, A1 1173-75, A3 515-17, A2 663-72 Heterogeneity: A3 358-59, A1 433-35, A1 586-89, A2 611-15, A3 675-81, A2 255-64, A2 27273, A3 420, A1 222-23, A2 186-87, A2 287-88, A2 360, A2 810, A2 812-14, A2 366-68, A3 422-27, A2 342-45, A3 439-40, A2 354, A2 370-72, A1 943-50, A1 965-67, A1 1042-46, A2 366-67, A2 796-99, A1 267-71, A1 606-09, A1 810-16, A1 778-79, A1 805-06, A3 693-95, A1 568-69, A2 189-90, A2 200-07, A2 216-20, A2 222-24, A2 245-47, A2 294-95, A2 313-14, A1 360-61, A2 480, A1 368, A1 384-85, A1 370 Group Identity: A2 335-36, A3 305-07, A1 323, A3 321-22, A2 148, A2 526-28, A1 423, A3 684-85, A2 416-20, A2 426-27, A2 437-41, A2 441, A2 445-47, A1 591-96, A1 637-38, A1 642, A1 646-47, A3 705-09 Anti-Diversion: A1 847-48, A1 836-842, A2 690-96 103 REFERENCES 104 References Agrawal, Arun. 2001. 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