THE ROLES AND RELATIONSHIPS 0F PLANNERS AND BUDGETERS EN STATE GOVERNMENT Thesis {‘0' HM gage-co cf M. U. D. MiGBiGAN SMTE. UNE‘VERSITY Kirk Lars Lindquist I974 ABSTRACT THE ROLES AND RELATIONSHIPS OF PLANNERS AND BUDGETERS IN STATE GOVERNMENT BY Kirk Lars Lindquist State planners have had difficulty in effecting policy decisions. The budget process has been ignored or passed off as being too single purpose and short range to be useful in planning. The emphasis has been on program coordination, the provision of planning services, and on the vertical aspects of planning and intergovernmental relations. In practice, there has been little actual coordination, relatively little impact on agency planning, and efforts at state regionalism have been rebuffed by local governments. While the objectives have been well— meant, the results have generally fallen short of expecta- tions. Questions relating to strategies used need to be asked and additional tools need to be sought out. The approach utilized in this thesis is develop— mental. The evolution of practices of budgeting and Kirk Lars Lindquist planning is traced and focused on how the roles and relationships of the participants in these processes have changed. Budgeting is presented as an alternative field where planners can both make an input and directly affect the manner that programs are guided and implemented. The implementation concentration characteristic of program budgeting it is argued can be merged with the longer range concerns shared with planners. The thesis concludes with a general discussion of how planners and budgeters have combined their talents in Michigan State Government. While planning and budgeting can be radically different in practice, they share many of the same con— cepts and approaches to problem solving. As a result, they often share positive and negative qualities. This thesis is not a critique of the practice of state planners. It is meant to acquaint planners with how budgetary tech— niques and the policy gaps found in budgeting processes can enhance the effectiveness of planning programs while offering an opportunity to existing tools to implement their plans and recommendations. THE ROLES AND RELATIONSHIPS OF PLANNERS AND BUDGETERS IN STATE GOVERNMENT BY Kirk Lars Lindquist A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER IN URBAN PLANNING School of Urban Planning and Landscape Architecture 1974 FOREWORD In June, 1973, another urban planning graduate and the author got summer jobs working in the Bureau of the Budget in Michigan State Government. Unlike similar situations, they were given assignments and responsibil- ities of full-time analysts. They were given the uncom- mon opportunity not only to observe, but to participate in the budget process as planning analysts. While employed as a student assistant in the Planning and Policy Analysis Division, divergent tasks were performed. The author was free to select a Program Budget Evaluation System program area in which to spe- cialize, and worked directly with the section and division director in shaping the work program and projects to be undertaken in the 1973-74 fiscal year. His responsi- bilities centered on the environmental quality and recreation programs undertaken by the Department of Natural Resources and the Department of State. He worked directly with budget analysts from the Budget and Program ii Analysis Division and with agency division and bureau chiefs while refining the subcategory objectives and per- formance measures as listed in the Michigan Program Plan. The Planning and Policy Analysis Division Director, A. Thomas Clay, encouraged him to investigate existing and alternative methods of dealing with program policies and information development. These experiences presented unique opportunities to look at how planning techniques have been utilized in budgeting in Michigan and to see how budgeting has affected how planning was undertaken by the earlier State Planning Division. Even though these experiences were gained while employed on a part—time basis, they have added a valuable dimension to the smaller—scale city planning orientation offered in the urban planning graduate curriculum. It was as a result of these experiences that this topic was chosen. If it were not for this oppor- tunity, he would not have been prepared or qualified to undertake the research resulting in this thesis. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am indebted to many people for their assistance and guidance. However, there are several individuals who played a particularly critical role in the development of this thesis. First of all, I would like to thank my advisor, Dr. Carl Goldschmidt, whose suggestions on organization and content, and penetrating questions have proved invalu- able in developing this thesis from concept to this final product. Special thanks belong to the Planning and Policy Analysis Division staff for giving me the opportunity to experience the inner workings of planning and budgeting activities. Especially important have been the assistance and criticisms given by David N. Milstein and A. Thomas Clay without whose involvement the topic never would have gotten off the ground. Also the thoughtful review and critiques offered by the urban planning faculty have been central to making this project a valuable learning experience. iv I am indebted to Carolee Ward for her excep- tional clerical assistance and dedication in this thesis preparation. And finally, I would like to give a special thanks to my wife Barbara whose patience and support have made this thesis possible. TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page I M RODUCT I ON C O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O l I. THE TRADITIONS AND CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BUDGET PROCESS . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 The Budget Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Historical Background of Program Budgeting . 18 The Political Aspects of Budgeting . . . . . 34 State Budgeting and PPBS . . . . . . . . . . 42 The Program Budget Process in the States . . 45 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 II. PLANNING AS IT HAS OCCUREDJN THE STATES . . 59 Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 Strategies Employed by State Planning Agencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 History of State Planning . . . . . . . . . 73 Prognosis for State Planning . . . . . . . . 108 III. PLANNING AND BUDGETING RELATIONSHIPS IN MICHIGAN STATE GOVERNMENT 1968-1974 . . . . 114 Planning and Budgeting to January, 1973 . . 115 The State Planning Process Since March, 1973 129 IV. CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 FOOTNOTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 vi LIST OF TABLES Page . Legislative Status of State Planning Boards, 1933—1938 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 Location of State Planning Responsibility at Three Successive Dates . . . . . . . . . . 95 Principal Source of Support for State Planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 States Grouped According to State Planning Agency Strategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 Historical Trends in General Fund General Purpose Expenditures . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 Trends in Appropriations for Health, Education and Social Services . . . . . . . . 121 Promise and Performance - . . . . . . . . . . 141 vii LIST OF FIGURES State Budgeting and the Political System Sample Program Structure — Commonwealth Program II - Protection of Persons and Property . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sample Program Structure Statements and Program Plan Logic . . . . . . . . . . Decision Cycle—PPB . . . . . . . . . . Decision Cycle—Program Budget Evaluation System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . viii Page 16 47 48 53 126 INT RODUCT ION Since the rise of program budgeting in the mid '60's, planners and budget officials have become increasingly concerned with the processes involved in decision-making and the implementation of administrative policy. Budgeters have long recognized the political importance and some have gone to great lengths to describe the political aspects of the budgetary process.1 However, planners generally have sought to insulate themselves from the political side of making decisions and so have not sought to involve themselves in the budget process. The operating budget is an over-all plan for governmental activities usually expressed in financial terms. The scope of these budgets is comprehensive and covers those aspects of everyday life which are affected by the appro- priated programs. The perspective of planners, however, does not respect the budget as an operating plan. They have held closely to their role as administrative staff assistants who supply the technical knowhow needed for bureaucratic decision-making. By retaining this attitude, 1 planners are unnecessarily limiting their optimal effec— tiveness. Robert walker said this of planners: Among those who call themselves "planners" - ie. those who belong to the professional planning organizations, attend planning conferences, etc. - concern with budgeting has been restricted almost entirely to the capital improvements or public works programs. This situation probably arises from the fact that professional planners have been interested primarily in planning physical features, and the public works program is usually a budgeting of major public construction for the ensuing several years...one finds in the literature of planning and proceedings of the national planning conferences that discussions of the relation between budgeting and planning are cast almost entirely in terms of long range capital improvement programs. Planners have largely ignored the annual budget process. In so doing, they have neglected the growing importance of the budget as a plan of future action and have overlogked an opportunity to make their work effective. Budgets are financial plans but they are usually not all that useful as planning documents. This is espe— cially true of those which are designed as control docu- ments. Budgeters often do not appreciate the value of planning and are more interested in forms and accounts than in the programs being financed. Developments since the late 1960's at the state level have brought about changes in the relationships among administrators, bud- geters and planners which may hold strong implications for the manner and types of ”plans" generated by practicing planners. This thesis will be concentrating on the differ- ing characteristics and roles of planners and budgeters in governmental decision-making as they relate to the pro— cesses of budgeting and planning. There is always a need to refine planning techniques to increase the probability of the implementation of plans or programs and it is in pursuit of this purpose that this thesis is written. This will be accomplished through a review of pertinent liter- ature and through a review of the planning - budgeting process in action in state government. The setting for this final phase is the Bureau of the Budget in Michigan State Government. The State of Michigan, since William G. Milliken became Governor in 1968, has been looking into alternative ways of administering the Executive Budget. The resulting budget process (called the Program - Budget - Evaluation - System, or PBES) now incorporates both planning and bud- getary processes and houses both functions in the Bureau of the Budget of the Department of Management and Budget. Under the direction of Dr. John T. Dempsey, the department was reorganized several times resulting in the disbanding of the Planning Division and the creation of the Planning and Policy Analysis Division within the Bureau of the Budget. While, at the time of this writing, the perma- nence of the relationship cannot be determined, the roles and responsibilities of planners and budgeters have been purposely intertwined and share the responsibility for the production of the Executive Budget and supporting docu- ments. This relationship deserves attention from all concerned with program planning and implementation. Many explorations into the topic of policy plan- ning focus on the value, or public, aspects of defining administrative goals and objectives. The application of those objectives to implementation tools available through the budget process will be treated here. In state govern- ment, public goals are defined by the legislature and through gubernatorial leadership. Program objectives are specified by program administrators with review and comment supplied by the Bureau of the Budget, and it is here that planners, in Michigan, have made an impact. This pattern of administrative decision-making may well have real possi- bilities for other levels of government and planners and budgeters alike should be aware of its possible implica- tions. The approach which will be used will first intro- duce the reader to the traditions and characteristics of the budget process. The budget process will be discussed in the context of how program budgeting came into existence and how it has changed the way that state budgets have been prepared. The same approach will be used to present the state planning process. ‘With this information as back- ground, the second portion of this thesis will deal with how budgeting and planning techniques have been developed into what is current practice in the State of Michigan. It is not the intent of this thesis to compre- hensively present and analyze these two very complex pro- cesses. It should also be noted that this cannot be con- sidered, nor is it intended, to be the last word on state program planning systems. Both of these fields have been undergoing rapid changes and their evolution is probably far from complete. However, it is hoped that this thesis will show that sound working relationships between planners and budgeters are not only possible but desirable in im- proving program planning and evaluative techniques in the interest of improved program management. CHAPTER I THE TRADITIONS AND CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BUDGET PROCESS This chapter will deal with the basic concepts and characteristics of the budgetary process and include a description of how the planning — programming - budgeting process has evolved. It will attempt to define terms and to describe the budgetary process within the context of the decision-making environment. After the historical aspect is presented, the political side of budgeting will be briefly portrayed. Finally, the budgetary processes in program budgeting (PPBS) will be outlined followed by a critique of program budgeting systems as they were imple- mented in the states. Definitions Before moving much farther, several terms used regularly in budgeting circles should be clarified. First of all, when the term budget is used it refers to a docu- ment which illustrates the financial needs and activities 6 of agencies of government for the course of the upcoming fiscal year. The budget serves as an over—all work plan guiding governmental activities and as such determines what public policy will be until the next budget comes around. The budget does not strictly prescribe what actions will be taken but can only illustrate intended behavior, as a prediction. 'Wildavsky, in The Politics of the Budgetary Process, describes budgeting as being several things and has different forms depending on the uses it will be designed for. It can serve as a plan, a contract or as a channel for information among partic- ipants in the budget process. As a plan, the budget should include a detailed description of how its objec- tives are to be achieved. Choices are coordinated to make it possible for those responsible to implement the intent of those who prepared the document. If the budget is organized in such a way as to maximize the most policy returns for a given sum of money, it becomes an instru- ment for insuring efficiency. The budget may also be regarded as a contract between legislators and department heads. To the extent that the budget is carried out, "it imposes a set of mutual obligations and controls upon the contracting 8 4 parties." These contracts often extend into the thick of the bureaucracy in the form of agreements between the department heads and their subordinates for support of the agencies' programs in return for some degree of con- trol over how those programs are carried out. The budget then becomes "a web of social as well as legal relation- ships in which commitments are made by all parties and where sanctions may be involved by all." Throughout the budgetary process the partici- pants relate their preferences and react to the desires of others through the choices they make. As such, then, the budget serves as a sort of communications network through which information is passed and generated by the participants. The importance of the governmental budget cannot be over-emphasized. It serves as a focus for all governmental activity and as a product of a process through which programs are mobilized to meet pressing problems represents one of the most political activities to be fOund in administrative government.6 There are many definitions of pglicy floating around but all have a basic concept in common - policy is what the decision-makers say it is. Goodman, in his Principles and Practice of Urban Planning, says that policy is "a course of action adopted and pursued in attaining goals or achieving objectives." The policies set the broad framework for action and form the basis upon which more detailed development decisions are made. They are the connective link between ggneral goals and specific recommendations. Within this context, a budget can easily fit as an admin- istrative policies plan. Chapin defines a policy plan as a "statement of the directions in which (a jurisdiction) should move in order to achieve (its programmatic) objec- 9 tives.” This definition coincides quite closely to a description of the program budget which has evolved in recent years at the federal and state levels. This hasn't always been the case. State budgeting has been most con- cerned with how ongoing activities of established agencies are to be financed while concern for public objectives has often been shifted by their historical concern for control. The Budget Process While the names, forms, and activities of various budgeting systems have changed several times since 1915, the basic functions have remained the same with the 10 emphasis changing from one aspect to another shifting the orientation of the process according to the attitudes of those involved in the conduct of budgeting. James Martin describes the budget process this way: The process of budgeting is "a unified series of steps undertaken to implement a government's policy objectives. It provides the development of a documented work program....the careful linkage of that program with a formal, compre- hensive financial plan, and the carrying out of the entire scheme through an administrative arrangement which includes,at least in the case0 of capital outlay, a definitive work schedule. The budget process includes the determination of what will be done and then the determination of what expenditures will be necessary to reach those objectives. Programs normally are not designed to fit constraints established by the availability of the fiscal resources. Instead, the processes of budgeting center on the optimal level of resources necessary to satisfy program objectives or expec- tations. The success and how this is done is directly related to the use to which the budget is geared and the perceptions of the participants in the process. Although every budget process includes aspects of control, manage— ment, and planning, one function tends to predominate to 11 the detriment of the other two. The character of a given budget process is by and large determined by relative balance of these three functions.11 The data requirements of the process are determined by the relative orientation of the process. "The time frame and degree of aggregation suitable fOr one function may be inappropriate for another. Similarly, for each function, data have a particular source, distribution and use."12 The data which are gen- erated by a budget process tend to have an inertial effect on the process. The uses of the data are determined by the data's characteristics. As mentioned earlier, the three primary functions of budgeting are control, management, and planning. Schick defines the function of control this way: Control is the process of enforcing the limitations and conditions set in the budget and in appropria- tions, and of securing compliance with the spgnding restrictions imposed by central authorities. If control is emphasized in the budget through detailed itemized expenses, the budgeters will have to closely watch agency expenditures to ensure that the limits, as stated in the budget, are complied with. They will often also be concerned with how agencies can be held to their 12 expenditure restrictions, the kind of reporting procedures to be used to monitor the appropriations of expenditures and account accuracy, and they would like to determine which limitations should be placed on agency authority to spend for personnel, equipment, travel, and other items. The control function tends to emphasize the execution aspect of the budget. Its basic analytic units relate to items of expenditure as they are presented in the budget document. The management function is operation oriented and involves the use of budgetary authority to ensure the efficient use of staff and other resources in the conduct of governmental activities. The focus is on agency out- puts, or more specifically on what is being done or pur- chased, and at what cost and how that performance compares with budgeted goals. The budget operations found with this emphasis will usually limit their range of concerns to the efficiency aspects of program activities. Such things as bureaucratic organization, cost prediction and maximization of productivity from each unit of output are considered very important where program management predominates. 13 Within this context, the function of planning refers to the process of determining public objectives and the evaluation of alternative program means. For this to function well, the central budget agency must be informed as to the purposes and effectiveness of the various pro— grams. In some forms of program budgeting the central agency has sought to quantify program objectives to make measurement of program effectiveness possible. The units of measurement budget planners would be most concerned with would be those which measure client demand for ser— vices and the impact agencies are making on that demand. These measurements would make it possible to answer ques- tions such as what criteria should be used for evaluating programs and for computing their costs and benefits? and what is the effectiveness of program A compared to pro— gram B? The aid and cooperation of the program adminis- trators are critical. As illustrated above, each of the three functions emphasizes a different phase of the budget cycle. The control situation relates to the execution of the budget while a management process will be most concerned with the preparation of the budget document. The planning function 14 relates to the pre-budget preparation period and involves analytical work on the policy aspects before appropriation targets are submitted for consideration for inclusion in the budget. Schick observes that "each function has its distinctive budget classification: items of expense in the case of control, activity accounts for management budgeting, and program categories for planning."14 When viewed within the context of the state political system, the budgetary process can be seen as dependent on many disciplines to support the various activities involved. Regardless of the relative emphasis upon the control, management and planning functions, these activities contribute to the form and character of the budgeted products or services. Inputs to the process take the form of requests either for the continuation of exist— ing services, the addition of new services, or changes in the orientation of existing programs. The processing of the budget document involves the process through which the inputs are converted into budgeted programs and agency outputs. These outputs take the form of capital improve- ments, operation of programs, and the supply of public services or may be concerned with policy decisions, 15 appropriation limitations, and expenditure controls. Auditing provides the internal feedback loop within the boundaries of the budgetary processes while the feedback in the political system relates program impacts to the needs of the state citizenry. These relationships are illustrated in Figure l.15 The budgetary process is a sort of sub-system of the greater political process where demands and needs for state services are translated into program impacts and in an improvement of the general quality of life for those affected. Howard points out that the scope of inputs into the budget system is nearly boundless. "There are demands made by various affected groups, there is apathy by a large part of the electorate, there are attitudes toward specific actions, and there are general dispositions towards the democratic way of conduct- ing government."16 Each of the three budget functions, when viewed from this context, cover different sectors of the system. The control function is emphasized through the allocations processes and auditing feedback, management deals with how inputs are processed into outputs, and the planning func- tion deals with the over-all balance of the system where Sfiamfim AdoHBHQOm fiHflBm mmfi 92E UZHBHUQDm WEflBm .H HMDUHh p. II - . . I, ll.» .. T. #101“? o...0c '. v 3 [III Sumpqaon EoumMm \MV. Xumnpmwm .ovm .mmfluflmnm>flcs a A!» mHoonom mo sowumummo A. mmfluflaflomm nuamws mo coaumummm. mmmUQmm MMflBHGQDm hufluonusm mcwuma loom“ paw mcaxmu I oumum mo pneumom F . V‘...4 firmwofirumm mo mccmson mm 4mm._ , . . . . . I .2. I V. . .0 . .t.. -. . 3 .lhvb..lh.l \. Iv !. i . V . 1 1» x. l . u . . . n o ._.n . .. . r» «J. . ll - .. . . 3%.. f . n‘ 1. I a . I ukv¢lnt hm, .. Wit . maomznvh. 17 citizen needs are compared against governmental services and program impacts and program changes and/or policy recommendations enter the budget process as inputs. This system is highly political (as it should be), and requires well trained and diverse personnel to operate smoothly and efficiently. Planning, as used in this discussion, deals with strategies to be employed to define and refine program objectives and with the resources to be used to attain these objectives. Robert N. Anthony describes the stra- tegic planning process this way: Strategic planning (others call it policy analysis) is essentially irregular. Problems, opportunities, and "bright ideas" do not arise according to some set timetable; they have to be dealt with whenever they happen to be perceived...Failure to appre- ciate the distinction between regular and irregular processes can result in trouble of the following type — A(state) with a well developed budgeting process decides to formalize its strategic planning. It prepares a set of forms and accompanying pro- cedures and has the operating units submit their long range plans on these forms on one certain date each year. The plans are then supposed to be reviewed and approved in a meeting similar to a budget review meeting. Such a procedure does not work.... There simply is not time enough in an annual review meeting for a careful consideration of a whole batch of strategic proposals.... It is important that next year's operating budget be examined and approved as an entity so as to ensure 18 that the several pieces are consonant with one another... Except for very general checklists of essential considerations, the strategic planning process follows no proscribed format or timetable. Each problem is sufficiently different from other problems so that each must be approached differently. This strategic planning feedback and the nature of the inputs into the budget process are critical in the final context and function of the final budgetary product. The role of planning in the budget process did not come into its own until the rise of the program budgeting in the middle and late 1960's. Before then, the control and management functions clearly were emphasized. The signifi— cance and future of planning in the budget process can be better understood after being viewed against how histori- cal developments have transformed budgeting into what seems in current practice. Historical Background of Program Budgeting State budgeting has been evolving ever since the late 19th century away from the pluralistic agency- budget approach to the highly centralized Planning Pro- gramming Budgeting systems of today. The development of 19 performance and program budgeting runs counter in several ways from the established traditions of executive budget- ing. Each reform which affected the budget process changed the uses to which the budget document was put. The histor- ical development of the budget process is a story of a shifting emphasis from the control, to management, and to planning aspects of budgeting. Well publicized cases of political corruption, graft and favor-selling brought a long period of reform to American politics. It was the consensus that a way had to be found to place decisions affecting governmental expendi- tures into public control - strict control. This process was keyed to the production of the budget documents under the watchful eye of the chief executive and the legislature and has been termed the Executive Budget process. Before this time, budgeting was handled by the legislature alone and was characterized by the following conditions.18 First, no central office was empowered to review or revise departmental estimates, or to make fiscal recommendations to the legislature. In most cases, the agency estimates were submitted separately, often at different times during the legislative session. Each agency had its own accounting 20 system. Estimates supplied by the agencies generally lacked supporting data and usually were submitted in lump sums. Agency requests were not related to revenue projections or to total state expenditures. The agencies dealt with the legislature separately and bargained for each appropriation in a piecemeal fashion. Finally, there was little or no central review or supervision of agency expenditures. To overcome difficulties which arose in the pre- executive budget days, the reformers sought to make the budget the principal instrument for administrative con— trol over spending. Since the control function appealed to the attitudes and perceptions of legislators and to the growing professional ranks of public administration, it was given prominence over the management and planning functions. This was to remain the case until the era of the "New Deal“ of the 1930's. Even though the reformers desired to place budgetary responsibility with the governor and legisla— ture equally, in practice, the chief executive became the control agent for the legislature. Accounts often were presented in such a manner that the legislature could 21 look closely at agency requests and to enable the legis- lature to intervene when it wanted to.19 This process, however, routed agency requests through a central con— troller where accuracy and the spending rule conformance were checked for. Great care was also taken to keep spending in line with available revenue. The number of states utilizing the executive budget process increased during the 1920's and 1930's and controls over departmental spending were tightened and centralized in the hands of the executive offices. One of the products of this era of executive budgeting was the line-item budget. This conformed to prevailing ideas of separation of politics from adminis- tration. From the aspect of control, item of expense classifications have had much going for them. It was believed that such a budget would deter administration from excessive or improper expenditures and enable review- ing officials to closely watch agency spending. A spin- off of this orientation was a general lack of concern for innovations in the management or planning sides of budget- ing. Instead, attention was focused on forms and formats iand acceptable budgetary practices, and the growing budget . . . ‘ . . . . ‘ a 1 ¢ . . , u . \ . a _ 7 - ' n ‘ a _ , 22 offices were being staffed by increasing numbers of accoun- tants trained in the methods of control and committed to line-item operations. The orientation of most budget offi- cers of this period is fairly well illustrated by this quote of Charles G. Dawes, the first director of the bud— get (Federal). The Bureau of the Budget is concerned only with the humbler and routine business of government. Unlike the cabinet officers, it is concerned with no questioaoof policy save that of economy and efficiency. It was only natural for executive offices having centralized budgetary control powers to form central bud- get control agencies or budget bureaus. Anthony Downs observes that these bureaus had vested interests in the expansion of their control powers. Control agencies "be— come advocates of greater control over the operating bureaus they monitor" and "the quantity and detail of reporting required by monitoring bureaus tends to rise steadily over time, regardless of the amount or nature of the activity being monitored."21 With the onslaught of the Depression came an increase in executive power over the budget. Since income 23 frequently fell below projections, governors were empow- ered by the legislatures to withhold funds if expenditures threatened to exceed income. Thus the agencies' freedom to spend appropriated funds at will was restrained by the governor's power to impound funds to control the pace of spending. Allen Schick notes that this change signaled the passage of spending controls from the legislature to the executive. "Initially conceived as a means of en- forcing legislative intent, (control) now became the vehicle for imposing executive intent on the agencies in executing the budget. Although the governor once had been the control agent of the legislature, he now was a con- troller in his own right having his own incentives for control."22 At the end of the 1930's, every state required itemization of expenses in one or more of the basic budget schedules. The effect was to focus budgetary activities and analysis on inputs and on control operations. No state gave any sustained attention to agency management 23 and program planning. While its emergence wasn't formally recognized 24 until 1949, the management function began to be felt at 24 the federal level during the presidency of Roosevelt in the 30's. It was under him that the budget enlarged upon its basic control orientation to include the policy aspects of program implementation. Budgeters realized that it no longer made sense to develop the budget by only looking at inputs. The results of spending (or out- puts and services) were given their share of attention. This kind of budgeting, later to be termed performance budgeting, signaled a shift from accounting to an admin— istrative orientation and brought public administrators into the budget bureaus. In 1939, at the recommendation of the President's Committee on Administrative Management (1937), the Bureau of the Budget was moved from the Treasury Department to the newly formed Executive Office and added to its control orientation and became the lead- ing management arm of the federal government.25 The bureau was directed to keep the President informed of the progress of the activities by agencies of the Government with respect for the work proposed, work initiated, and work completed, together with the related timing of work between the several agencies of Government; all to the end that the work pro- grams of the various agencies of the executive agencies of the executive branch of the Government 25 may be coordinated and that the monies appro- priated by the Congress may be expended in the most economical manner possible to prevent overlapping and duplication of effort (Execu- tive Order 8248). The emerging discipline of public administration embraced budgeting as one of the functions of management and included it along with other administrative functions in the acronym POSDCORB (the major management activities of chief executives: planning, organizing, staffing, direct- 26). This func- ing, coordinating, reporting, and budgeting tion was fairly established and strengthened during World War II under the directorship of Harold D. Smith when pro- gram management became the primary function of the bureau. The concepts of this function of budgeting were carried to the states as various federal programs became to be felt. Individual federal agencies restructured their budget accounts to conform with management principles and several carried them through to their program operations. However, with the interruption of WOrld War II, the fire of these innovative ideas of objectifying administration through scientific techniques gave way to a more rational percep— tion of the budget as a product of the decision-making process. The emphasis shifted from science to behavior and 26 {from reform to research. This administrative environment was less than excited when in 1949, the Hoover Commission recommended the adoption of "performance budgeting." The commission, in a sense, invented the use of performance to describe the management orientation. By performance budgeting it was meant that decisions should be based upon "functions, activities and projects."27 It would focus attention "upon the general character and relative importance of the work to be done, or upon the service to be rendered, rather than upon things to be acquired, such as personal services, supplies, equipment and so on. These latter objects are, after all, only the means to an end. The all important thing in budgeting is the work or service to be accomplished, and what work or service will cost."28 The frustrations of performance bud- geting advocates were observed by Allen Schick. "Following (the Hoover Report), many states tried to apply perfOr- mance budgeting to their own budget operations. Yet per- formance budgeting did not achieve its key objectives; it won only limited acceptance in a limited number of juris- dictions. While the detailed line itemizations were purged from most budget documents, they remained prominent 27 in budget preparation and execution. Activity accounts and work statistics were added, but few states reported or measured accomplishments."29 Performance budgeting was a product of the reform era which preceded the Second World war, but it was advocated in a non-reformist climate. Through the 1950's and into the 1960's, several states experimented with various forms of performance budgeting but without any major or significant success. It could not overcome the influence of tradition on bud- getary processes. As with any process, it is much easier to add on to an existing administrative framework (or prac- tice) than it is to radically change or replace it. Before budget officials could get used to think— ing in performance terms, life was complicated further with the usherance of "PPBS." On August 25, 1965, Presi- dent Johnson announced the beginning of a federal experi— ment with Planning - Programming - Budgeting. This new system, Johnson said, would enable public officials to "(1) identify our national goals with precision and on a continuing basis, (2) choose among those goals the ones that are most urgent, (3) search for alternative means of reaching those goals most effectively at the least cost, 28 (4) inform ourselves not merely on next year's costs, but on the second, and the third and subsequent year's costs of our programs and (5) measure the performance of our programs to ensure a dollar's worth of service fOr each dollar spent."30 The determination of public objectives and programs was to be made the key budgetary function. The entrance of PPBS signaled the establish— ment of the last of the three budget functions identi— fied by Schick — planning. Budgetary planning came into practice more because the computer technologies had enabled budgeters to monitor the effectiveness of federal programs than because somebody realized that the planning aspects of budgeting could not be ignored. The computer made it possible to store large amounts of budgetary data. The systemic qualities of budgeting were capitalized on through the development of indices of program effective- ness which measured the magnitude of problems facing government and the relative impact programs had on the magnitude of those problems. Under PPBS the planning function was to be centralized to bring alternative means analysis into the budget process. 29 The Planning - Programming — Budgeting system sought to radically change the ways that budgets are pre- pared and to shift the emphasis from means to ends. This was good news for policy analysts and planners but was confusing and counter-productive in the eyes of the stal- warts. The basic reasons for this confrontation of wills were with PPBS itself. Its aims were admirable but its advocates sought to do too much too fast. This clearly was the case with the federal experiment with program budgeting. In 1961, after Robert McNamara became Secretary of Defense, a scheme to systematically evaluate the effec- tiveness of various programs was initiated in the Depart- ment of Defense (D.O.D.). It was utilized in six defense budgets running from 1963 to 1968 and its successes were mixed. It has come to be known as an interesting but un- successful experiment, but it did give management authority over the policies and objectives for agency programs. When McNamara came to D.O.D. in 1961, he was faced with major management difficulties. In 1968, he observed that he didn't have the necessary management support. 30 From the beginning in January, 1961, it seemed to me that the principal problem in efficient management of the department's resources was not the lack of management authority.... The problem was rather the absence of the essential management tools needed to make sound decisions on thglreally crucial issues of national secu- rity. Compounding his problems were the increasing costs of making mistakes (like the "Cement Cargo Ship Project" and the development of the "TFX Fighter Bomber Project" — the F-lllA). To aid in centralizing policy—making in the Secretary's Office, the activities of the Department of Defense were grouped into units which shared common "mis- sions" (objectives). In theory the D.O.D. PPB system was built upon the Joint Strategic Activities Plan (JSAP) which was prepared annually. This plan projected military forces on a multi—year basis normally for five to ten years. However, this plan was prepared outside of the Secretary's Office and was, in form, little more than statements of objectives or requirements made by the various armed forces. The plan was often filed once received by the Secretary's Office. After the introduction of PPB, there is much doubt whether JSAP played any major role in 31 32 Defense decision-making. In practice the Five Year Defense Program was the central component of the depart- ment's system. The Five Year Defense Program (FYDP) had an eight-year projection of forces and a five-year projection of costs and manpower arranged in mission oriented pro- grams.33 This came to be known as the Program Structure. These programs were not organized by organization but by function, making analysis across organizational lines possible. The FYDP could be amended through a process initiated in the System Analysis Bureau of the Secretary's Office. There were three request forms covering the three phases of program changes - Draft Presidential Memorandums (DPM's), Program Change Requests (PCR's) and Program Change Decisions (PCD'sL If a program change were agreed on, then the FYDP would be amended to show the revision. Four indices were utilized in the program evalua- tion process: need/demand, input, output, and program impact. This process required that each program objective be quantifiable. This was relatively easy, for D.O.D. systems have been highly technical and R&D testing pro- grams have been very scientific. It was fairly easy to 32 measure the impact of a 500-pound bomb on a grass hut or the need for an improved pilot ejection seat in supersonic aircraft. It was this element of PPB that caused the most difficulty when President Johnson decided to implement PPB in all federal agencies after the four—year experience in D.O.D. The champions of PPB were full of idealism when the initial steps were taken in late 1965. The structural models and processes were translated with little modifica— tions directly from the Pentagon. The FYDP was changed to PEP (Program and Financial Plan). The program structure was built around four levels of aggregation (from greatest to smallest) — programs, program categories, subcategories and elements, just as it had been in Defense. DPM's were retitled Major Program Issues (MP1) and PCRfs became Pro- gram Memoranda (PM). PCD's (or program change decisions) were not carried over to the civilian version. The agencies were not equipped or able to do the kind of special analytic studies (SAS's) required of them in many cases. When doing analyses in support of its PM's, the agencies were to identify alternative program means to 33 fulfilling program objectives. This was to be accom- plished through comparisons of the impacts the various programs would have (quantitatively) on the identified group or client need and at what fiscal cost. What was fairly easy for the Department of Defense was nearly impossible for agencies dealing with qualitative aspects of human life (e.g., HEW and HUD). They also have experi- enced difficulty in identifying the range of impacts of their programs. All seems to have been contingent on the objectives selected and the appropriate definition of a program's or agency's client group. Stanley Botner had this to say about quantification: (It is next to impossible to quantify) the benefits to the individual, his family, and society generally of a program to rehabilitate alcoholics, particularly if one consider§4the impact of intervening causative factors. Neither the military or civilian sectors mastered the problems of quantification. Even after all is measured the questions relating to the relative improvements to so- ciety cannot be fully answered in quantitative terms. 34 The Political Aspects of Budgeting PPBS follows in much the same tradition as that of scientific administrators of the middle and late 1930's in that it seeks to rationalize decision-making. However irrational, the decision-makers sought to keep budgeting just as it had been (i.e., political). The irrational ones, though, appear to be the system's advocates. Frederick Mosher has noted the frequency of their author- itarian language. In all the literature I have read about PPBS... only a very few authors have even mentioned the executive and legislature processes of review and decision. The President and Congress seem to be regarded as enemies of rationality.... Much of the literature of PPBS resembles that of the technocrats of the thirties; its aim seems tgsbe to eliminate politics from decision making. Aaron Wildavsky, a strong critic of the PPB ex- periment in the federal government, says that the budgetary process is very political which is as things should be. The victories and defeats, the compromises and the bargains, the realms of agreement and the spheres of conflict in regard to the role of... government in our society all appear in the budget. In the most integral sense the budg t lies at the heart of the political process. 35 There are three primary groups involved in the production of the executive type budget — the budget bureau, the legislature, and agency representatives and/or heads of departments. The primary function of any budget bureau has been to help the chief executive by preparing a budget which conforms to his targets and priorities. At the same time it serves as a controller of agency spend- ing. The legislators see themselves as guardians of the purse-strings. They often are overwhelmed by the bureau- cratic paperwork asked for by the budget bureau of the agencies (especially with PPB systems) but this isn't con— sidered critical by the appropriations committees. Their principal budget dealings are with the agencies in the months immediately preceding the end of the fiscal year and their primary concerns are with agency requests for increased appropriations. The agencies are expected to guard their own interests. If they fail to, they do so at their own peril. The appropriations committee members view themselves as guardians of the public coffers and see agencies attempting to aggrandize themselves by asking for more dollars than they really need. One congressman, interviewed by Richard Fenno, was pleased with his role. 36 No subcommittee of which I have been a member has ever reported out a bill without a3$ut in the budget. I'm proud of that record. This position by apprOpriations people forces the agencies to ask for more than they can get by with. This brings the process down to questions of agency strategy. If they continually estimate Egg high they stand to lose the confidence of both the budget bureau and the appropriations committees, which would result in automatic cuts in their requests even before the detail has been looked at. Such an agency would find it diffi- cult to justify even high priority items. There usually is a range within which the appropriation can fall and it is up to the agencies to approximate the most practical estimate for requests. The departments must do a certain amount of padding (i.e., requesting funding for programs the agency wants badly yet could do without) to keep critical programs off the chopping block. As one agency official said in an interview, "If you do not do this, you 8 get cut and you'll soon find your ass in alligators."3 While the role of the Bureau of the Budget is very important in translating the governor's program into 37 budget requests, and in keeping the lid on agency appro- priations and ensuring that spending stays within the letter of the law, the other participants view central budgeters as intruders in their affairs. Congressmen see bureau officials as little more than "a bunch of bureau— crats who think they are making the budget"; however, the budgeters' role in establishing starting points for appro- priations process and in cutting down on the amount of work is appreciated. The agencies feel that central budgeters often get promotions on the basis of how successful they are in coming up with a figure that is not changed much by the legislature. However, it is also felt by central budgeters that the agency's budget officers are likewise rewarded if they are successful in getting the budget bureau and/or the legislature to raise appropriations. The bureau of the budget must be concerned that agencies do not regularly "end—run" the bureau to get ap- propriation increases. As Wildavsky notes, If they do so often, the bureau of the budget finds that its currency has depreciated. Hence the Bureau accepts consistent (legislative) action 38 as a guide. A close eye is kept on (legislative) action for the preceding year before an agency's total is set for the next one. Failure to do so might leave the Bureau with a record of defeat that jeopardizes its effectiveness in other areas.40 As a matter of practice, the budget process is carried through following the path offering the least resistance. Budgeting thus becomes experimental,simpli- fied, and incremental. Budget officials don't try for the best of all worlds but instead seek to "come out alright" by "avoiding trouble" and "just get by."41 The budget process shows experimental properties as appropriation estimates are derived. Budgeters generally make rough guesses and let experience accumulate. Then, when conse- quences become apparent, it is possible to make modifica- tions to avoid difficulties.42 Appropriations committee- men will attempt to simplify the review process by analyzing simple items of expense as indicators of the soundness of the general proposal. If the lesser appro— priations are nailed down, it is reasoned that the general appropriation is acceptable. Budgets are incremented. The largest determin- ing factor of the size and content of this year's budgetis 39 last year's budget.43 The bulk of the budget lies outside of the control of anyone, even the governor. Actually the governor has little to do with the budget process even when the document is produced in his name. In a study of budgeting in the State of Illinois, Tom Anton compares the budget ...to a huge mountain, which is constantly being pushed upward higher and higher by underground geologic convulsions. On top of the mountain is a single man, blindfOlded, seeking to reduce the height of the mountain by dislodging pebble with a teaspoon. That man is the governor. This is in fact the plight of any person, or group, seeking to reduce the extent and magnitude of spending at the state or federal level. At any one time, after past policies are paid for, a rather small per- centage of bureau appropriations - seldom larger than thirty percent, often smaller than five - is within the 45 realm of anybody's discretion. This is illustrated in the testimony of Representative Norrel befbre the House Rules Committee. If you read the hearings of the subcommittees you will find that most of our time is spent in talking about changes in the bill which we 40 will have next year from the one we had this year, the reductions made, and the increases made. That which is not changed has very little, if anything, said about it. The budget process is not an ideal one, but only rarely does one come across any type of operating system that cannot be improved in some way or another. Reformers point to the existing budget process saying that is practices (described briefly above) are arbi- trary and irrational; that procedures are incremental, fragmented and sequential and lead to a lack of coordina- tion and a general neglect of consequences. The partici- pants are concerned with special interests rather than general interests. They further maintain that not only are roles excessively narrow but that the strategies utilized are opportunistic (it not immoral).47 The recom- mendations of some program budget advocates to correct these "wrongs" would have the effect of de-politicizing the budgetary process and to systematize decision-making with a similar effect. Few can argue that effects such as these are desirable, but there have always been those who have maintained that politics is a dirty business and certainly no way to run a government. We should remember 41 that when a governmental process is changed, the opera- tors, techniques and outcomes cannot help but be affected.48 The manner that analysis and research is undertaken in support of the decision—making process can be manipulated and contorted and all that is affected is the efficiency and quality of the product. However, if the substance of decision-making is toyed with by changing the climate of and inputs to those decisions (or it's a new ball game), the effects on society as a whole cannot be predicted. This is not to say that radical change is not possible in a political process, such as budgeting. The federal government, under President Nixon, has withdrawn from the PPBS of the Johnson years, but only by bringing a stronger emphasis to analysis and evaluation at the expense of the forms and the structural orientation of PPBS. The planning function, it seems, cannot stand on its own, but that is no reason why it can't be co—equal with control and management in a program budgeting format. Several states are experimenting with this approach to budgetary decisions, but the road to state PPB has not been a smooth one. 42 State Budgeting and PPBS Innovations have not often evolved from the states and the case of program budgeting has been no exception. When in 1965, PPBS was proclaimed in all federal agencies, there were no states which had reli— able cost data for major segments of their budget or which had abandoned input controls in favor of perfor- mance controls.49 For any state to move from the older object — of expenditure control budgeting to an end product-planning oriented budget process - requires a forceful agency leadership and commitment from all those involved in the budget process. These elements were found lacking in the late 1960's and early 1970's. Effofis to popularize program budgeting were set in motion in 1967 when the George Washington Uni- versity (Washington, D. C.) State and Local Finances pro- ject was established under the direction of Selma J. Mushkin, assisted by Harry P. Hatry. The project had widespread backing and was well funded. It became known as the "5—5-5 Project" because it selected five states, five counties and five cities. It had two Primary 43 functions, to provide advisory assistance to the fifteen participating governments, and secondly, to serve as a clearinghouse for information pertaining to PPBS. As pointed out by Lee and Johnson, the most important func- tion of the project was to serve as a rallying point for state and local officials desiring to attempt PPB in their jurisdictions. They could show skeptics that the 5-5-5 Project was "proof that the planning - programming - budgeting system.was a national movement."50 In 1968, questionnaires were sent by these people out to state and local governments to determine the extent and progress of PPB in local levels. Of the 1,134 questionnaires sent to municipalities, only 356 responded and of those, only 50 indicated that they were taking steps toward the imple- mentation of PPB. Of the 40 states responding, 34 indi- cated that they were considering introducing a PPB system and 28 had taken at least preliminary actions in this . 51 direction. With some notable exceptions, of the seven states previously mentioned, many of the PPBS experiments of the late 1960's were dismal failures, and for several reasons. First, some tried PPB on a pilot basis in one 44 department with the expectation that the system would be enlarged to include additional agencies. Others lacked the support of the budget office, moved too cautiously and failed to make any impact on budgetary operations. It is concluded that the primary reasons for the lack of success could be traced to several factors.52 Some failed to deal with political problems of implementation (both partisan and non-partisan). Where vested or per- sonal interests are involved, there will be political conflict. Others clearly lacked any strong commitment on the part of the executive. In others, the commitment was misunderstood. And finally, it was found that even where there has been a state PPB system, budgetary decisions were not made by utilizing PPB procedures. It should be noted that program budgeting efforts have succeeded in several states including Alaska, Wiscon- sin, Hawaii, Pennsylvania and Michigan. The reasons for these successes may relate to the manner and type of PPB established. In all, twenty-three states have imple- mented program budgeting systems (November, 1972). Of these only six didsn in progressive steps, by agency. The balance used an across-the-board technique for all fiv E~ . - h A“- 45 (or most) agencies. In all but two states (Alaska and California) the program structure was developed by the central budget-planning agency, with a moderate amount of consultation with agencies. It should be noted that many of the states responding to the Georgia survey on program budgeting evaluation used their program budget "systems" primarily to evaluate program effectiveness, thus minimizing the relative importance of such system- atic aspects of PPB as the program structure and auto— mated information systems. In those situations, the emphasis seems to be on management and less on the planning and control aspects of the budgetary process. And finally, only two states associate quantifiable objectives with all their programs. The Program Budget Process in the States The way that appropriations decisions are made in states having a p1anning-programming-budgeting system really isn't much different from that found in more tra- ditional budget settings. Regardless of all the quanti— tative and non-political promises of advocates of the federal-style PPBS, the budget process just does not work 46 that way. PPB is not a decision process... it is a means to making budgetary decisions. The more successful states have recognized this by utilizing the budget "program structure" as a framework for evaluating and modifying their programs instead of as a comprehensive statement of the scope and characteristics of state programs. This structure usually takes a form similar to that portrayed in Figure 2. Under such a structure, those programs which have similar ends are grouped within the same program. Each program has a goal statement which is translated more explicitly at the category level which is in turn further refined into quantifiable objectives at the sub- categories. The activities and resources committed to accomplishing the subcategories' objectives are identi- fied in the elements. It should be noted that goals and objectives are not the same things. In the situation of Pennsylvania, the program structure instructions make this distinction: A goal is a desired state of affairs based upon current knowledge and values. It is time- less in the sense that as achievement approaches, goals tend to be restated at a higher level of aspiration or new goals are projected. Goals 47 Nammmomm 92¢ mzommmm ho ZOHBUHEOMm I HH 2¢m00mm mfiflmmzzozzoo ousuoouum Emumoum mamfimm .N MMDUHm .mm .m .Aahma .mflcm>H>mnnmm mo nuamwsnofifioov .EwpmNWdefiuwmoom .mcflfifimumoum .mdflcamam m.mwcm>ammcamm mo coaumucofioamfiH paw daemon one .Nuflaoz .b phonom "monsom xmflm mcflEprmQ on mnwcwmuow hummmm pom ocwwmmm mucofiunmmmn cowumn mcflmsom pom huwcsfifiou loam mucsoo on moamumfimmd Hmcoemmmmoum pom Hmwocmcwh coauomuoum uwfismcoo omcmzo HMGOmumm mpmmmm tam suammm Hmcowuumoooo pom HMfloom “Om scamfl>ummsm . mouDOmom soapmmflumo>cH Hwfloom Dmmuom on» mo coevompomm msowpsuflumcH Hmmfiofin cofluco>oum :52 com hpcsoo mo coauowmmcH unwosmmmo Dante tam Houunoo wmmsmn Houmz mo cowumnmwucwm mmumEcH mo maficflmua mpaoficuo>ow Hmooq o» Hmcofiumoo> pom HmGOHummoooo unwEwonomsm moow>umm veansm mo cowmw>onm moumEcH mo coeumooom 3mm Handed“ Hmono oaanom mo mocwsmpcflmz meHQoum Hmeoom pom HMGOm soap oEHHU mo coauooowm paw Honpnoo lawn MOM mmumEcH mo mcwammcsoo Ism>mum mEHHO cowmfl>nmmsm spammm Hmpqoz pom muwmmm owmmmne Iamowmmnm .mmpdeH mo wocmcmucflmz unommsm pom muwnsomm mumEcH mo monocoucflmz cowumuumflnfleom Hmnmsww ucmEon muoomumonnm. mwoomumo 48 UHGOQ Z¢Qm EdmwOMQ QZ¢ mazmzmfiflfim HMDBUDMBm Sfimwomm mqmzém .m mmDOHm mHODMH0H> maoumm mum 0:3 mnowmmfifiom mo Hwnfioz waonmm mo oumom magm>ammncom Ho mHoumm pusoo mo scamw>uwm5m Moons mommmawu mo Hwnfioz mHouucoo HMsOHuoEw paw mHHHXm Hmw00m Ga seam mcfluomammu mopmfiafi mo mGOHumDHm>o mo vcmouwm pom Honfioz meflHo 3mg MOM Umuow>coo commoaon chmem mo ucoonmm paw Hwnfinz "mpommEH How>m£mn wanmumwoom SHHMAUOm nuw3 H0fl>mzwn Hmsflfifluo mcflomamon ma oEHHo mo monounooou may mummuowo OB uo>fluomnno mmememO m0 ZOHBfimGMBZHMMIINMOUMBflumDm Edmwomm .GOHDMQOHQ no mHHAB no noauopflvmnfl cm Scum mmmoamn Como Hmwucmuom was mo umwn may on coapozsm on Hwocwmmo on» umflmmm on now noncommo m3» m0 H0H>msmn acmnumnm >aame00m may ouma> IwHHm Ho ouso on paw “mcflwn HH03 pom nuamon “Hosp How wofl>oum can muwcofifioo onp Unmsmommm ou Hwouo ca mumpcmmwo Mom mcfiuuom musomm maugmfloflmmsm m mofl>oum 0p “wooepmuflcmmno Ho mamsow>flocfl SQ mcowuom “woman no asmzwacs Eonm mcfluHSmmH Spammoum Mo mmoa pom .mme we mmoa .hunncfl hawpon umcwmmm cowuomuoum mo mmummo amen m mow>oum OB "Hmomnom mSHMU m0 ZOHBUDQHM QZG AQMBZOUIIMMOUWBflU SdMUQmm .cOHuom Manama pom ammoHHH Eoum paw .muopmmmfio opmfilamfi pom Hmnopmc Bonn oouoonoum mum mcowumuflcmmuo pom mamuofi>aocw mo munwmoum may paw .mamopfi>wpcfi mo mo>HH may AUH£3 :H Emummm HMflUOm cam ucwficonfl>cm cm wofl>oum OB “Hwow Nfimmemm QZG mzommmm ho ZOHBUMBOMQIIZfimwomm NBQ4HZZQSEOU 49 pawfimumum Ho3omomz ucmfimpmum HMflocmch ucmfioumpm Emumoum .x.6.ucoov m mmoon .mm .m .4MHMI4MW .NHHBOE "OUHSOm ponflsvwm woman mummw cm: MGOHHUHUMHHHHU Cu. muH—mgmm mmflufl>fluom mumum pomufin ucoeummnu oauum Iflsohmm Mom omUGwEEooou moumacfl mo Honfidz mcflaomcsoo mooum ucwfim>oumEH mawm Mom pmonofifioomu moumanfl mo Honfisz mcwaomcsoo mooum MOM oopameeoomu momecH mo Honfisz mcflammcooo Hmopfl>eocfi MOM UmUGoEEoomH mopmfidfi mo Honfisz ucmfiumwuu UHHDMflnommm poocwfifiooou mcw>flmomn moumficfi mo Honfisz mqflammcooo msoum ucmfim>oumfiw mamm poocmEEoowH msw>flmowu mopmficfl mo Honfisz mcwaomssoo msoum UoUGmEEoomH mcfi>fimomu mmumsnfl mo Honfidz mcwaomcooo Hoopfi>flUCH oopaofifioomu msw>flmoou mmumasfl mo Hmnfisz ownwnvom Ho3omqm2 owhwsvwm monom "oqmfimn H0\ocm pmoz umpsmuso mZHAQOm QfiHUOm QZ¢ Qflzommmm mom UZHQHMZDOUIIBZHSHQH 2¢MUOMm 50 reflect the basic values of society and are, therefore, always culture bound and subjective. ...it is at the sub-category level of program structure that agencies were required to convert value-oriented goal statements of the program categories into specific sets of objectives, quantifiable as impacts, by identifying sub— categories within each program category. It is important to underscore that the logic employed requires that objectives be expressed in terms of effects upon individuals, institu- tions and the environment, not in terms of how much work is being performed. The measure of objective achievement, therefore, is in tenms of what the organization accomplishes in the world of external to it rather than5§n terms of the level of its own activities. Most states employing the PPB system have seven or eight programs. In Pennsylvania there are seven - Protection of Persons and Property, Health, Physical and Mental Well Being, Intellectual Development and Education, Social Development and Income Maintenance, Transportation and Communication, and Recreation and Cultural Enrich- ment. The subcategories and elements are levels where goals and objectives are portrayed quantitatively. In the case of Pennsylvania and Michigan, impact measures are found at the subcategory level. These measurements are meant to illustrate the magnitude of success an agency 51 has in approaching the end—state described in the objec- tive. The elements contain two measures - outputs and need/demand estimators. Output measures deal with the services supplied by an agency while need/demand deals with the extent that need for those services exists. While there may not seem to be much in the way of numbers, this scheme of quantification has become one of the con- troversies surrounding the program budgeting concept. Not all programs are amenable to objective measurements. For instance, in the estimation of need/demand for programs serving the mentally ill, how and to what limits should the proposed client group be defined, and in measuring impact, how do you determine - for program evaluation purposes — standards for successful treatment? Similar questions arise in dealing with all human service programs and with programs aimed at improving and protecting the quality of the environment. Criminal justice and safety programs usually are easier in this regard, but still experience problems in dealing with qualitative aspects of program impacts. PPB systems have enjoyed more success and stay— ing power (i.e., surviving changes in the chief executive) 52 where they have been instituted as the budget process, and as a substitution for that which preceded it.57 This was the case in Pennsylvania. The older allocation process was oriented towards agencies and their objects of expenditure. Program revisions were requested of the budget bureau and a final case for increases in appropria— tions was often made with the legislative appropriations committees. This wasn't changed much with the institution of PPBS, but terms were changed and the basis for alloca- tion decision—making was shifted from maximizing of pro— gram efficiency to the maximization of impacts on program client groups as specified in the program structure and the program plan (called the Commonwealth Program Plan - CPP. Agencies were responsible for developing their own portions of the CPP and these were called Agency Program Plans — APP). The PPBS decision cycle used in Pennsylvania is illustrated in Figure 4. This pattern of decision- making was adopted from that used in the Department of Defense under McNamara and Hitch in the early and middle 1960's. The CPP can be amended at two places in the cycle: after decisions made by the bureau of the budget, and consequent to legislative action. When PPBS was mmm I HAUNU ZOHmHUmQ .¢ mMDUHm ABZHSHQmV BZMEfiBflBm mm30m2¢2 .m mGOHDUflomHHSb on mucofiwmm .Q mmflufi>fluo¢ uowufin .m Aezmzmqmv Bzmzmaeam quUz¢sz .N AucoEonv panama H0\Ucm Ummz .0 .oem .momom Mmae Aucmsmamv musmpso .n 53 mmanem anommm Amnomwumonsmv muommeH .m mamwnHQHQ BmwQDm Zflflm Zflmwomm EEQ¢HBZOESOU¥ - oneoa m>HeQOHomn mBmmDomm — emonpm meqamzzozzoo ZOHBUG BmHDOfim ZOHmH>mm Sdmmem hfiIILFIIIH zaqm zamoomm woznoa ammummo mmaummo _mmfipofi Domufln .m xezmsmomv ezmsmemem quozmsz .m Apcmemamv panama HO\UGM U002 .o .oem .momom Mmae Apamsmamv musmuso .o mmHooem quommm Amnommumonnmv muomosH .m , . mHmwuaza ezmsmemem samoomm .H .- 3995 30mg 8 mommmmma oneo< oe ommm>quo anooa samoomm L mzaqm samoomm ezmsemmmmo m>Hemquomq emoosm I zaqm samoomm zmoumoHs _mammoomm mmoeoomem amooom samoomm oneoa, onmH>mm samOOMm I % m2¢flm , mmnlmmz mmfllmmz mmnlmmz Sfimwomm Bzmzfimflmmn QMEflQmD QME¢QQD QMBéan Zflflm dewOMm ZflmeUHZ 127 approved in September. The tasks of the Division were three-fold. First, it was responsible for "comprehensive or multifunctional planning; for providing broad policy rather than specific programmatic advice; for considering non-budgetary instruments affecting the development of the state; and for supplying other inputs on policy alter- natives which otherwise may not reach key decision— makers."124 Second, the Division was to develop and maintain the regional planning and development system and to provide financial and administrative support for these agencies. And finally, it was to maximize the impact of federal programs affecting the state through local assistance, new legislation, and continued service as the state clearinghouse for project review. The product of the State Planning Division was to have been a policy-oriented state plan. The process would involve the annual recycling of policy analyses related to PBES through the PPG's and participation in the review of Program Revision Requests. The scope of planning concerns was not strictly defined, but the Division was excluded from considerations of specific actions or program activities on the part of the depart- ments. In short, the Operations Plan stated that the 128 State Planning Division was going to do everything plan- ning agencies did in the past plus add a concern of agency program impacts and better than ever before. Unfortunately, the Division was not given a chance to prove itself. Just four months after the Opera- tions Plan was finalized, the Governor decided to disband it. No set of reasons was given beyond the desire on the part of the Governor to streamline the functions of the executive branch. The reorganization announcement was made in the Governor's ”State of the State" message in January, 1973, and was implemented by the following .March. The majority of the agency's personnel went to the Department of Natural Resources, while some remained in the Executive Office in the Research and Budget Divisions of the Bureau of Programs and Budget. The Director was reassigned to the Capital City Airport, in Lansing, and his deputy joined the Peace Corps and moved to Western Samoa. After the dust had settled, nobody really knew what had hit him. 129 The_§tate Planning Process Since Marcthl973 In spring, 1973, the planning process was made to conform to the concept and calendar of the budget cycle. The 1973-1974 PPG was published in March and was produced through the joint efforts of the State Planning Division and the Program Analysis Division of the Bureau. They were an improvement over those produced the year before but had yet to be fully accepted by the agencies. The reorganization plan of the Executive Office addressed in January was completed in August, 1973, and utilized many of the concepts advocated by RObert Mowitz. The new Department of Management and Budget was formed through the merger of the Bureau of Programs and Budget of the Executive Office and the Department of Administra— tion. The Bureau of Programs and Budget was redesignated the Bureau of the Budget and the Research Division was renamed the Office of Intergovernmental Relations and Special Units (IGR). The planning function was divided between the Bureau and IGR.with the policy analysis func- tion going to BOB and the local planning assistance activities to IGR. 130 In the organization plan implemented in Septem- ber, 1973, the Bureau of the Budget was divided into two divisions and an operations unit — the Budget and Program Analysis Division, the Planning and Policy Analysis Divi- sion, and the Operations Unit. The bureau was organized according to the three basic functions of the budgetary fl-i process (i.e., planning, management, and control). In the memorandum (9/12/73), the Budget Bureau Director, Charles Sturtz, specified the goals, objectives and tasks 'E of each of the organizational units as follows: ...I wish to state unequivocably that I believe the analysts and managers in the budget business are professional people....I believe we can de- sign an environment where professionalism can thrive without becoming elitism, where standards of performance can be established which allow us to recognize acceptable conduct, and where the incentives are such as to encourage commitment and response.... Through the perspective of these observations, the following organization plan is promulgated to execute the budget fundion. Goals and Objectives The following goals (I), objectives (A), outputs (l), and taska (a) are established. I. To assure the development of public policy goals and objectives through which the allocation of resources can be made to assure their effective attainment. 131 (This goal constitutes the budget strategy.) A. To develop and maintain a program plan reflecting established public policy goals and the means of their attainment (objectives and impact indicators). (1) The Michigan Program Plan (a) (b) (C) (d) (e) Conduct systematic and contin- uous analysis of the state's economic, social, and environ- mental conditions, trends, and identify problems and their causes. Prepare Program Policy Guide- lines (PPG) indicating desired or possible responses to prob- lems so as to propose appro- priate state policy (objective) response. Evaluate proposed policy alter- natives by agencies to validate the cause-effect hypothesis of the response. Conduct cost-benefit analysis of alternative policy (objective) proposals. Evaluate legislative proposals which have the effect of chang- ing state policies from those established in the MPP. (The foregoing constitutes the state policy planning process.) B. To prepare an annual resource allocation plan designed to support programs (means and outputs) for the effective achieve- ment of state policy goals and objectives. II. 132 (l) The State Budget (2:!) (b) (C) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) Evaluate program performance in achieving state objectives as established in the Michigan Program Plan (MPP) Evaluate alternative program proposals (means) designed to achieve defined policy objec- tives (ends) and prepare recom- mended Program Revision Actions (PRA) for gubernatorial deci- sion. Evaluate the current means of program delivery so as to assess the cost-effectiveness (impact/ cost) of the program. Evaluate the current methods of program delivery so as to assess the cost-efficiency (output/ cost) of the program. Propose comprehensive resource allocations. Prepare the detail budget recom- mendations and present them to the Legislature and the public. Review legislative program pro- posals. Authorize federal fund program requests and recommend expendi— ture authorization of funded requests. To assure public policy makers that operation- al plans to achieve public policy goals are appropriate as to intent and are efficiently executed. 133 (This goal constitutes the management strategy.) A. To assure the establishment of operation— al plans to achieve public policy intent. (l) The allotment of appropriations. (a) Establish the allotment pro- cess to assure compliance with appropriation intent. (b) Review and approve the program plan of agencies for the expen- diture of appropriations and establish the output perfor- mance expected to be achieved during the year. (c) Monitor agency program fiscal and output performance on an on-going basis to ascertain conformance with the approved allotment plan. The management strategy encompasses much more than the identified objective; however, the other ob- jectives are ones we need to relate to but are not responsible for their achievement. The responsibilities of the two divisionsare both defini- tive and non-specific depending on the portion of the bud- get process looked at. The relationships are relatively stable until the fall, or when budget hearings with the agencies begin. In the early spring, the Planning and Policy .Analysis Division publishes the Program Policy Guidelines 134 (PPG) and later the following fall produces an updated version of the Michigan Program Plan. The PPG is a compilation of evaluations on issues confronting state government which generally direct the state agencies to modify existing programs, or to prepare studies evalua- ting alternative methods of addressing state problems. The Michigan Program Plan (MPP) is a working document used in budget decision-making. The MPP pro- vides fiscal summaries for each of the major program areas, descriptions of departmental activities, and relates what state government does to meet the needs of its citizens emphasizing the relative impact those pro- grams have had on those needs. Each of these two docu- ments represents the formal input of PPAD into the Michigan budget process. When contrasted withthe more manipulative activities of the Budget-Program Analysis Division, the role and character of PPAD is distinctively analytical. In the earlier days of PBES and under the older budget system, budgeters were wholly responsible for what went into the Executive Budget and for recommendations on agency requests for increased appropriations. Since the 1973 reorganization, some of this has changed. While the 135 responsibilities have remained much the same, the roles filled by BPAD and PPAD analysts have become indistin- guishable. This has been especially true for the development of the Executive Budget itself. In the development of the 1975—76 Executive Budget, several events took place to further solidify the budgeter-planner relationship. First of all, BPAD participated in the issue selection process for the 1976—77 PPG. Care was taken to ensure that policy issues were not duplicative of analysis topics to be addressed by BPAD. Since agency assignments are shared by the two divisions, both PPAD and BPAD analysts worked together with agency program specialists in the produc- tion of their Program Revision Requests. This made it possible to raise both program and policy questions as the proposals were developed. The pace of activity did not pick up, however, until after the second week of September when the PRR's were fOrmally submitted. Program Revision Request review was undertaken in the following manner. Any submissions which reflected a policy change or a major change in the level or source of funding for a program.were referred to the PPAD analyst 136 for his review. The BPAD analyst reviewed all PRR's and was responsible for the disposition of all requests. Incidentally, where any conflict over any recommenda- tions occurred, the bureau position was determined after a review of the issue with the agency. PRA's or Program Revision Actions were drafted and placed into the budget document in early December. Agency budget hearings were scheduled through the months of October and November. Any policy questions or long range budget questions raised during these hear- ings were written up in the form of proposals to be placed befOre the Governor for final disposition. Budgeters and planners worked closely together in the preparation of the materials for the Governor's briefing on the 1975-76 Executive Budget. The detail 'was done by BPAD. This included changes in line item recommendations and a summary of programmatic conse- quences of their proposals. A major component of the briefing materials was prepared by PPAD. This section, entitled “Policy Issues," included statements on emerging issues and recommended actions to meet those problems. 137 In the case of the Department of Natural Resources, the PRR recommendations were finalized in late November. As a result of some discussions which occurred at the agency hearing, the PPAD analyst initiated a series of meetings with the department's director and principal bureau chiefs. The purpose of these meetings was to formulate a series of issue statements for the Governor's budget briefing. Both current problems and emerging issues were discussed and the department posi— tion was stated on each one. In the meantime, the BPAD analyst completed the Program Revision Action forms and finalized the issues pertaining to the current budget. Both analysts then got together and worked out the bureau position on each issue and completed the final draft of the Executive Budget. The PPAD analyst then reviewed the draft for consistency with existing and contemplated policy and then submitted it for the final run. The Executive Budget was then pre- sented to the Legislature in January, 1975. It may still be too soon to determine the effects of merging the planning and budgeting functions together but at this point in time (one year after the 138 reorganization), solid working relationships among bud- geters and planners are developing and there is every indication that budgeting and planning will be able to coexist in the type of relationship indefinitely. The relationships of budgeting and planning in Michigan need not be dependent on the Program Budget Evaluation System. Regardless of the relative balance among planning, management and control, all three aspects will probably exist in any future budget organization guided by any budget system. The policy aspects of planning have been divorced from the older intergovern- mental relations — physical resource focus and haveshown that it can stand on its own merits, with or without PBES. In March,l974, an assessment was made of the success and shortcomings of the Program Budget Evaluation System. It was concluded that PBES has fallen short of its 1971 promises as shown in Table 7. many of the prob- lems can be overcome through changes in the quality and frequency of departmental contacts. However, several are potentially serious. The case against PBES continues to be a strong one, but disciplined attention will have to be focused on those instances of blatant disregard of direc- tives and of budget procedural deadlines. 139 Many of these problems are procedural and gener- ally are not critical to the survival of the PBES with an important exception. If it is remembered, the PBE system was implemented independently of the Legislature, and more or less imposed on the agencies. As a result, there are three different frameworks being used in the Michigan budget—appropriations process. The Bureau of the Budget still uses the PBES program structure for the program evaluation and selec- tion of alternative program means to prdblem resolution. The agencies generally use the bureaucratic organization charts for their appropriation requests and program re- vision requests (PRR's). The Legislature uses the same model as it has since 1963 (the year of the Michigan Constiutional Convention), geared towards line item appro- priation entries. As a result, the Legislature and the agencies are most concerned with line item entries (since these are subject to the Governor's veto power) and with how much money was appropriated earlier and the magnitude of changes each agency requests. The Legislature gener- ally has not been involved in program evaluation, budget efficiency or with the management and planning of programs 140 even though it is the principal policy—making body in state government. As a result, PBES - the guiding system of the Bureau of the Budget, has been tolerated by the agencies and largely ignored by the Legislature. 141 .mocmshom Inom uomuuso osocxas 0» wow mammuma mafia Iowan Bump Homooa ou uncommon UOUHEHH hum> .Omucmwno HomofllomoH IMHO3 Haflpm momwooOu mo coeuuomoum omm> .O>fipmflnommp oou HHfium #59 .CHOUGOO nomfimmmamfi pomammn Op Oomw>mm .Homomo on on smsoom Umumaon usmfimmmcma poo pom comma maamoummoooo ooo ousuusupm umuem moomfinomuom mnma HUZ¢2m0mmmm 92¢ mmHSQmm .h mqmfifi .Oocwa IHOmHom Emumoum so comma oumoms amsnam gue3 mnmwm m Ho>o .Hmo> moo ou OOPHEHH OODMHSOHuum moflccmam .m SHHMOHmmn cowauon mowaomam .m .usoEO>oanom mmomnom Op monouaoowmxo huaam .monsufloommxm Imsmo ODMHOH on mpommfiw mo muowmno mm musmsfi pom musmuoo muflmmomfim .N no >>MO£ oou mammomfim .N .>OHHOQ pom Omomasocx pawn I950 mcfluowamwn mmflufl I>fluom Ham mowmmmmfioonw unoposuum Emumonm m GA Inufl3 Deanna mop coma MHO3 “mop mo pummmo .Apmoaxno3v pom .Uwadmcoo moouoom mufl>epom “Hoop IOH .OOEHOMHOQ MHO3 pom moowumufismmno mo Omomusm ouwmmnmfim .H so mfimmsmfim Sosa 009 .H mg a ahma Obma 142 .mwoflaomoo Op mono prmnomwo moOHuOm + uowOa>O omam mEOHQOHm Honsooooum .uowOfl>w moowHOOflom hoaaom pom Emumonm Op oOHu nomuumoa OmoummOsz .Omumamu soapmu leommuonao>oa umOBOH Haflum mnm.dmmmo mama OOD ow .mpmmsvmm .msfixoma OGOEHAEEOO HMOHUSHmom .Uoowamxo hafinomuso Mano mum mw>flumsuoyam .Domgfifl Emnmoum Hmpou mo soap Imuumsofiop oomowwom IGH hamDOHHOm nuw3 coauwamflmoa 3w: pom wmomro Hmoflmumfi so comma haamapommmo HHHDm mum mumosvom .x.e.ucooo e mamas .HOCHO>OO on» Eonm mwowaooflnm homaom pom Emumoum SDH3 swoon HHH3 mumwooon .m weapon pom Emumoum .mmmom>fiuommmo Emumonm mo mwmhamsm mop #HEHOQ HHH3 £0fi£3 coaumEHomow Omnsuosnom on Human Inom Omumoam>m on HHH3 mo>wpmonopafl .Omcmno Hmowmnme may Oman #0: I Emumoum mufluow mop mo uommfifl on» so omnmuooo .v on HHHB GOAOOOHMADme .¢ .monm ummoon kuusmo Eoum mwcfla Iwoaom Hmnspoooum SDHB swoon mummsvmu pOmOSm .m .oowmeH0msH Opmnompmnw Ho OHOHQEOOCH sues OUmE Ohm msowm IHOOn .mOHpH>fluom 3oz pom momomso Hmpcmfiwuoow no mwoom mumwovou ummpsm .w 143 .x.6.ucouv e mummy .mhma .uOoEo>oz .ommfloowz mo Opmum .mzn .sOAmwbfln mammamom moaaom pom mofissmam "wonsom .muaaanmaaw>m mmmpm pom .mumo Emumoum .mousvflpcwmxo .mw>flpommno Oflmwo mo mpflammwa whomom Imam mo Roma m an OD mm Ham3 mm HOE who .muop omuflfifla hamsowuom mo>Hpoano stuwz3 Iflocmmxw mo Suwammma mum muflpsm mums OsHEMmpOO Op UODOSO um OOEHM SHHMQAOCHMO um>auummmm smumoum .e unoo mp Haaa muacsm .5 ma aua>auom pawsm .e .mGOHmHOOO manmuo>mm musowm op .mmOGO>eDOOme powwowou we mammamom Emnmoum mumuumooamo .mmmum Emumonm O>OHHOQ mnoo cpuoofimmmomfi mocmmm pom Pomona Hmupcwo Iomuflp hoowmm poop an Umpmuocmm on HHH3 Ga Oompoa maflnma GOHOMOHooH unmom .m Suwafinmmmo HMOHDSHmo4 .m IHHQ muHOMMO amoephamsfi .o 144 In this writer's opinion, this situation will need to be cleaned up, or the PBES structure of the existing budgetary process may become irrelevant. How- ever, regardless of any ultimate outcome, the relation- ships between planning and budgeting have solidified, and this development alone has made the Michigan budget inno- F‘R vation experience worth its while, and is an indication that centralized state planning has passed through adolescence. CHAPTER IV CONCLUSIONS The preceding chapters have been devoted to the development of the processes involved in state planning and budgeting with the emphasis placed on the tasks and strategies employed by each in pursuit of its bureau- cratic responsibilities. The tradition and character- istics of each have been discussed and the roles each has played in the state policy-decision-making processes have been briefly treated. The reader may ask, what is their relevance for practicing planners? These are legitimate questions and will be addressed here in these concluding remarks. State planning and budgeting each grew out of the same reformist period in the history of administra- tive government. As it was pointed out in Chapters I and II, the policy aspects of both planning and budgeting are highly political. The maturity of budgeting seems further advanced than planning, but this is because budgeting has 145 146 been used and taken far more seriously than planning. Procedurally speaking, government has stressed the con— trol and management aspects of administration for some time. It would not be totally out of line to hypothesize that this presented both the opportunity and motivation for the separate and independent evolution of planning. Now, 60 years later, an opportunity is again offered to bring planning back into the mainstream of government policy development. To take advantage of this develop— ing situation, planners must be prepared to adapt. In assessing the potential effectiveness of planning agencies at the state level, it must be remem- bered that the experiences of state planning have been frustrated whenever they have relied on experiences of city planning to guide their selection of strategies and areas for concentration (e.g., coordinative - service strategy concentrating on urban development natural resource allocation and land use). State planners, further,must seek bureaucratic alliances and the support of decision-makers. It was found at the conclusion of the Second WOrld war and again in the early 1970's that state agencies relying heavily on federal dollars as 147 their principal sources of support were in the most pre- carious of positions when the federal subsidies dried up. State and local planning agencies alike can take some lessons from the Michigan planning experience. Where strong executive support is lacking, planners would do well if they seek to ally themselves and their agency to the bureau or staff responsible for developing the annual operating budget. Planners and budgeters are alike in their perspectives and motivations. They often differ on the matter of the appropriate planning horizon to be used in the contemplations of governmental actions - budgeters usually think in terms of the fiscal year while many planners rarely think in figures smaller than seven to ten years. It should be remembered that for public officials, a five—year plan is long range while anything greater is pure dreaming. Planners should not allow themselves to be placed in the dreaming category and should shift their "comprehensive" focus on physical concerns to the general scope of governmental programs and on how these programs should be changed to meet future demands. 148 Planners and budgeters must actively work togeth- er in directing and forming state program objectives and priorities, developing programs and in managing these pro- grams. Together they can ensure that programs are oper— ated effectively and efficiently. Administrative govern- ment exists in an environment of conflict. The question is not whether change will take place, but how that change will occur. It is in the nature of bureaucracies that change will not happen rapidly or suddenly, but changes will occur just the same. State planning agencies can enhance their effec— tiveness by adopting innovative strategies keyed to managing required shifts in executive and agency policy. Policy changes often occur incrementally. This offers the opportunity to "manage" those changes. Program re- visions can be reviewed and commented on for their short and long range implications. Planners can enlarge upon their analytic expertise by establishing workable and relevant information capabilities. Such a management oriented information should illustrate the magnitude of the needs of the people being served by government pro- grams and of those not being addressed by program 149 managers. The significance of a program's impact should be portrayed along with emerging prdblems and needs for new or renewed governmental action. Planning agencies should view program contro- versies as opportunities to affect changes in the context and orientation of these programs. In their analytical efforts, political variables should be incorporated into recommendations. It should be the goal of state planners to offer broader policy choices and clarify the implica- tions of actions under consideration. Planners, further, should endeavor to set the stage, so that prOgram admin- istrators may participate in solving their own problems. They should include analyses of the program methods of affecting change and not look exclusively at desirable ends. If the roles of planners can be changed in this manner, a change in perceptions may be required. ‘What planners do would not be changed so much as how they do it. Decision—makers generally need reminding as to the effects and impacts their decisions will have on the future. There will continue to be a need for long range planning, but efforts will need to be channeled more into 150 the area of program and policy analysis. The gadfly role has its place, but agencies adopt it as a general strategy at their peril. Planners should be careful to keep their relevance while at the same time addressing the future. Therefore, context and balance of strategies are most important. Decision-making requires a look to the future while dealing with problems of the present. The future should not, however, become the exclusive domain of planners if they are to shake their dreamer image. The budget process should not be ignored. It offers opportunities for planners to participate in the decisions on governmental policy. Budgeting has several shortcomings and planners can gain strength from those deficiencies. Howard observes that planners must have had something going for them or they would have been wiped off the field of combat long ago. Budget coordina- tion based solely on review and control of agency spending have proved inadequate. Needs for state action and priorities among different programs have rarely received systematic consideration. Annual time perspectives have proven too short and budgeters have frequently failed to 151 provide executives with relevant and timely informa- 125 tion. Each of these problems presents clear oppor— tunities for innovative planners to effect policy and allocative decisions. Within the environment of political decision- making, planning should be concerned with the inputs to the political system - demands for services, needs of powerless citizens and with the characteristics of conditions contributing to emerging problems confront- ing government. we planners must learn to crisis - monger in our search for improved government. The Chinese script for the word crisis has two characters - one stands for danger and the other for opportunity. Crises are becom- ing common occurrences and the opportunities for planners' input are increasing. Planners need to be prepared to operate in po- litical settings. The days of dreaming and 30—year development plans are rapidly dropping by the wayside. If professional planning is to have a future, its prac— titioners should fOllow the lead of budgeters and enter 152 the politics of policy making armed with the knowledge that if they do their jobs properly, their impact can be felt in the field of public administration for years to come . FOOTNOTES 10 ll FOOTNOTES See Aaron.Wildavsky, The Politics of the Budgetary Process, (Boston: Little Brown & Company, 1964). Robert A. Walker, "The Relation of Budgeting to Program Planning,“ Public Administration Review 4, no. 2 (Spring 1944), p. 108. See also S. Kenneth Howard, Changing_State Budgeting, (Lexington: Council of State Governments, 1973), p. 218, note #43. Aaron Wildavsky, pp, gip., pp. 1-5. Ipid,, p. 2. gp;g,, p. 3. 1219-. pp- 4-5. William I. Goodman, Ed., Principles and Practice of Urban Planning, (Washington, D. C.: Interna- tional City Managers'Association, 1968), p. 335. Ibid., p. 331. F. Stuart Chapin, Jr., Urban Land Use Planning, (Urbana: University of Illinois Press, 1965), p. 349. James W. Martin, "Some Relationships Between State and Agency Budget Management," a paper delivered to the State Government and Administration Seminar, Institute of Government, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, February 6, 1964, p. 2. This discussion draws heavily from Allen Schick, Budget Innovation in the States,(Washington, D. C.: The Brookings Institution, 1971), pp. 3-6. 153 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 154 Ibid., p. 4. Ibid., p. 4. Ibid., p. 6. S. Kenneth Howard, gp. cit., pp. 17-20. See also David Easton, The Politicalggystem: An Inquiry Into the State of Political Science, (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, Inc., 1953). Ibid., p. 19 Robert N. Anthony, Planninggand Control Systems: A Framework for Analysis, (Boston: Harvard Uni- versity Press, 1965), pp. 38-39. Allen Schick, pp, cit., pp. 14-15. Ibid., p. 18. Charles G. Dawes, The First Year of the Budget of the United States, (New York: Harper and Brothers, 1923). P. ii. Anthony Downes, Inside Bureaucracy, (New York: Little Brown & Company, 1967), p. 150. Allen Schick, pp. cit., p. 24. Ibid., p. 25. See U. S. Commission on the Organization of the Exec— utive Branch of the Government, Budgeting and Accounting, (U. S. Government Printing Office, 1948). Norman Pearson, ”The Budget Bureau: From Routine Bushess to General Staff," Public Administration Review, Vol. 3 (1943), pp. 126-149. See Luther Gulick, "Notes on the Theory of Organiza- tion," in Luther Gulick and L. Urwick (eds), Papers on thg:§cience of Administration, (Institute of Public Administration, 1937), pp. 3—45. 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 ‘40 4]. 155 U. S. Commission on the Organization of the Exec- utive Branch of the Government, pp, cit., p. 8. Ibid., p. 8. Allen Schick, pp, cit., p. 2. As reprinted in the U. S. Senate, Committee on Government Operations, Planning — Programing - Budgeting, Official Documents, 90th Congress, lst Session (1967), p. 12. RObert S. McNamara, The Essence of Security; Reflections in Office, (New YOrk: Harper and Row, 1968). p. 88. RObert D. Lee and Ronald W. Johnson, Public Budget- ing Systems, (Baltimore: University Park Press, 1973). P- 128. Alain C. Enthoven and K. Wayne Smith, "The Planning, Programing and Budgeting System in the Department of Defense," in Lee, pp. cit., p. 128. Stanley B. Bottner, "Four Years of PPBS: An Ap- praisal," Public Administration Review, 30 (1970), p. 424. As reprinted in the U. S. Senate, Committee on Government Operations. pp, cit., p. 16. Aaron Wildavsky, pp, cit., p. 5. Richard F. Fenno, Jr., "The House Appropriations Committee as a Political System: The Problem of Integration," The American Political Science Review, LVI (June, 1962), pp. 311-312. Aaron Wildavsky, pp, cit., p. 22. Ibid., p. 38. Ibid., p. 41. Ibid., p. 13. 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 156 Ibid., p. 11. Ibid., p. 13. As quoted in Allen Schick in "Governors and Their Budgets,” a paper prepared for the Conference on Budget Innovation in Michigan, May 22-23, 1972, p. 3. Ibid., p. 14. The Committee on Rules, U. S. House of Represen— tatives, To Create a Joint Committee on the Budget, 82nd Congress, 2nd Session, 1952, p. 61. Aaron Wildavsky, pp. cit., pp. 145—174. Ibid., p. 140. Allen Schick, “The Status of PPB in the States: An Interim Report,“ presented at the Joint National Meeting of the American Astronautical Society and Operations Research Society, June 17-20, 1969. Robert D. Lee and Ronald W. Johnson, pp, cit., pp. 140-141. Selma Mushkin, ImplementinngPB in State, Cipy and County, (washington, D. C.: The George Washington University, 1969), pp. 132 and 139. RObert D. Lee and Ronald W. Johnson, pp. cit., pp. 143-144. These statistics were derived from the Program Budgeting and Evaluation Status Survey, Report of Results, (Atlanta, State of Georgia, 1973). RObert J. Mowitz, The Design and Implementation of Pennsylvania's Planning, Programming, Budgeting System,(Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, 1971), p. 16. Ibid., p. 17. 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 157 Ibid., p. 16. Pennsylvania includes an eighth pro- gram — Administrative and Support Services - which includes elements pertaining to the management aspects of agency operations. Allen Schick, "PPB: The View from the States," Spate Government, Winter, 1972, pp. 13-15. Rdbert J. Mowitz, pp. cit., pp. 58-72 (appendix) Ibid., p. 30. From Frederick C. Mosher, "Limitations and Problems with PPBS in the States,” Public Administration Review 29, no. 2, 1969, pp. 162-163. Yebezkel Dror, "The Planning Process: A Facet Design," International Review of Administrative Sciences 29, no. 1, 1963, p. 46. Each of the following definitions have been extracted from Yebezkel Dror's article, pp. cit., pp. 48—50. As quoted by S. Kenneth Howard, pp, cit., p. 203. Francis H. Parker, "Strategy and Effectiveness of Planning in State Government,“ (Ph.D. dissertation, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 1970), p. 209. Francis H. Parker, pp, cit., Appendix G. "State Comprehensive Planning,” in Urban Planning Program Guide, Policies and Procedures for Federal Assistance Under the Urban Planning Program, Depart- ment of Housing and Urban Development, (Washington, D. C., September, 1966), pp. 5-11. Yebezkel Dror, pp. cit., p. 51. Booz, Allen Public Administration Services, Inc., "Technical and Management Proposal for an Inventory and Analysis of Existing Policies and an Analysis of Alternative Policy Opportunities for the State 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 158 of Michigan,“ (Booz, Allen Public Administration Services, Inc., New YOrk, September 15, 1972, unpublished), pp. 4-7. 113119.” p- 6. 119.13” p- 6- F. Stuart Chapin, Jr., pp, pip,, p. 359. Herbert J. Gans, "The Need for Planners Trained in Policy Formulation,” in Urban Planning in Transi- tion, by E. Erber, Ed. (New York: Grossman, 1970), p. 224. Francis H. Parker, pp. cit., p. 210 Ibid., p. 222. Ibid., p. 55. Ibid., p. 57. Herbert J. Gans, People and Plans: Essays on Urban Problems and Solutions, (New YOrk: Basic Books, Inc., 1968)! po 20. Alan W. Steiss, A Framework for Planning in State Government, (Chicago: Council of State Govern- ments, 1968), p. 15. Richard Lieber, "The Purpose of the National Con- ference on State Parks," American Planning and Civic Annual, (Washington, D. C.: American Planning and Civic Association, 1940), p. 134. Ibid., p. 135. Francis H. Parker, pp. cit., p. 57. Ibid., p. 58. 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 159 As quoted by George C. Perry, ”State Planning," American Planning and Civic Annual, (washington, D. C.: American Planning and Civic Association, 1936), pp. 159-160. Harold L. Ickes, Back to WOrk - The Stopy of the PWA, (New York: The MacMillan Company, 1935), p. 79. Alan W. Steiss, pp, cit., p. 19. Robert H. Randall, "State Planning - 1937," American Planning and Civic Annual, (washington, D. C.: American Planning and Civic Association, 1937), p. 179. Ibid., pp. 175-180. Five Years of State Planning, (Baltimore: Maryland State Planning Commission, December, 1938), letter of transmittal. “Minutes of Meetings of the Wisconsin State Planning Board, 1935-1943," (August, 1939). National Resources Committee, The Future ofpgtate Planning, (Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1938), p. 5. RObert A. Walker, pp, cit., p. 80. John Miller, "A Resume of State Planning Activities in 1939-40," American P1anning_and Civic Annual, 1940, (Washington, D. C.: American Planning and Civic Association, 1940), p. 113. National Resources Committee, pp. cit., p. 9. George B. Galloway, Postwar Planning in the United States, (New York: The Twentieth Century Fund), p. 81, as quoted in Alan W. Steiss, pp, cit., p. 23. Alan W. Steiss, pp, cit., p. 24. Ibid., p. 20. 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 160 Ibid., p. 26. As quoted in Francis H. Parker, pp, cit., p. 87. Alan W. Steiss, pp, cit., p. 27. Francis H. Parker, pp, cit., p. 86. Ibid., pp. 88-89. Francis H. Parker, pp, cit., p. 88. Daniel Grant, "Urban Needs and State Response: Local Government Reorganization,” The States and Urban Crisis, ed. Allen Campbell (Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall, 1970), p. 74. Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, Regional Governance - Promise and Performance, Vol. II, (Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1973), p. 157). California State Office of Planning, "California State Development Plan Program, Phase II Report," (Sacramento, 1968), p. 26. New Jersey Division of State and Regional Planning Newsletter, Vol. V, no. 4, September, 1968, p. 1. Delaware State Planning Office, "Annual Report for Fiscal Year 1967," (Dover, Delaware), pp. 2, 10. Horace H. Brown, "State Planning Experiences in Structuring Strategies," U. S. Department of Com- merce, State Development Strategies, (Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1968), p. 95. Francis H. Parker, pp. cit., p. 172. S. Kenneth Howard, pp. cit.} p. 220. Ibid., p. 227. 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 161 Frederick T. Aschman, ”The Policy Plan in the Plan— ning Program," Planning 1963, (Chicago: American Society of Planning Officials, 1963), p. 105. Francine Rabinovitz, "Politics, Personality and Planning," 1967, Public Administration Review 28, no. 1, 1968, p. 21. Relevance, Reliance and Realism, Report of the Com- mittee on State Planning, The National Governors' Conference, July 22, 1968, (Lexington, Kentucky), p. 4. Francis H. Parker, pp, p32,, pp. 206—222. S. Kenneth Howard, pp, pip., p. 227. Epigp, pp. 228-229. ‘Ipid. p. 211. See especially Rdbert A. Walker, pp, cit., p. 107. S. Kenneth Howard, pp. cit. p. 214. George S. Huffman, ”Report on Internship with Michigan Office of Planning Coordination," summer, 1968. Institute on State Planning for the '70's (Chapel Hill, North Carolina, 1968), p. 17. William G. Milliken, Executive Directive 1971—l, February 16, 1971. The reader is invited to consult the PBES memorandums generated as a part of the 1971-72 PBES Project. They have not been published, but can be seen at the Plan- ning and Policy Analysis Division in the Bureau of the Budget. Operations Plan: State of Michigan Planning Process and Components, Executive Office, Bureau of Programs and Budget, State of Michigan (Lansing, Michigan, September, 1972), p. 1. S. Kenneth Howard, pp, cit., p. 224. B IBLIOGRAPHY BIBLIOGRAPHY Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, Regional Governance - Promise and Performance, VOl. II. washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1973. Anthony, Robert N., Planning and Control Systems: A Framework for Analysis. Boston: Harvard Uni- versity Press, 1965. Aschman, Frederick T., "The Policy Plan in the Planning Program," Planning 1963. Chicago: American Soci- ety and Planning Officials, 1963. Booz, Allen Public Administration Services, Inc., "Tech- nical and Management Proposal for an Inventory of Existing Policies and an Analysis of Alternative Policy Opportunities for the State of Michigan." 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