THE PREDICTION 6F FLQWERING DATE OF PETUNEA HYBREDA HORT., CV. WHéTE CASCADE Thesis for the Degree of M. S. MICHIGAN. STATE UNWERSITY STANLEY J. KAYS 1 96 9 ABSTRACT THE PREDICTION OF FLOWERING DATE OF PETUNIA HYBRIDA HORT., CV. WHITE CASCADE BY Stanley J. Kays Accurate prediction of the flowering date in Petunia hybrida Hort. would facilitate the scheduling and growing of this plant by commercial growers. With petunia, many environmental factors exert considerable influence on the date of flowering. Correlation of several environmen- tal factors to provide a prediction equation for first and fifty percent flower was undertaken. Experiments were conducted with White Cascade be- tween February and June of 1968 to determine the relative effect of growing temperature, date of planting and level of supplemental mineral nutrition on flowering and their value as factors in a working prediction equation. Results indicated that flowering date for Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade can be accurately predicted utilizing these factors under the given environmental and cultural conditions. Prediction equations for first and Stanley J. Kays 50% flower were derived: 28.55 + 7.08T + 13.41t + 4.00F (l) D 29.04 + 7.75T + 13.42t + 5.67F (2) D50 In the equation, D represents the number of days from seed— ing to first flower (D = days to 50% flower), T = the 50 growing temperature, t = the time of planting and F = the level of supplemental mineral nutrients applied. The treatment levels are coded as either the number 1 or 2. The merits and demerits of the equations are discussed along with the relative effects of each factor. THE PREDICTION OF FLOWERING DATE OF PETUNIA HYBRIDA HORT., CV. WHITE CASCADE BY Stanley J. Kays A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Horticulture 1969 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Appreciation is expressed to Drs. W. H. Carlson, Charles Cress, A. A. De Hertogh and A. L. Kenworthy for their advice and guidance during the course of this investigation. Acknowledgment is made to Dr. Louis Aung for his constructive criticism and suggestions in preparation of the manuscript. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS O O O O I I O C O O O O O O O O 0 LIST OF TABLES C O O O O O O O O O I O O O O O 0 LIST OF FIGURES O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 INTRODUCTION 0 O O O O I O O O O O O O O O O O 0 LITERATURE REVIEW 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O I O I. II. III. IV. METHODS I. II. III. IV. V. RESULTS I. II. Light and Flowering . . . . . . . . . . . (A) Some General Aspects of Light and Flowering . . . . . . . . . . . . . (B) Light and Flowering of Petunia . . . Temperature and Flowering . . . . . . . . (A) Some General Aspects of Temperature and Flowering . . . . . . . . . . . . (B) Temperature and Flowering of Petunia Nutrition and Flowering . . . . . . . . . (A) Some General Aspects of Nutrition and Flowering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (B) Nutrition and Flowering of Petunia . Prediction of Plant Response . . . . . . AND MATERIALS 0 O O 0 O O O O O C O I I 0 Test Plant . . . . . . . . . Seedling Growth . . . . . . . Treatments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (A) Date of Planting . . . . (B) Temperature . . . . . . . . . . . . . (C) Soil Fertility . . . . . . . . . . . Flowering Data . . . . . . . . . . Statistical Design and Analysis . . . . . Effect of Environmental Treatments on Date of First Flower . . . . . . . . . . Effect of Environmental Treatments on Date of 50% Flower . . . . . . . . . . . iii Page ii vi 12 12 12 l3 l3 18 18 l9 19 20 20 29 DISCUSSION SUMMARY LITERATURE CITED APPENDIX iv Page 42 46 47 51 ._ .. $1 “1‘ '.‘u.‘ \ .‘f a Drum-1" Table LIST OF TABLES Analysis of variance for first flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade, Split - Sp 1t plOt deSign o o o c o o I o I Analysis of variance for overall regression (first flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade), regression coefficients, multiple correlation coefficient and stand- ard error of estimate . . . . . . . . . . . Prediction equation for first flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade and residuaIs (difference between the pre- dicted and actual number of days to first flower) . . . . .‘. . . . . . . . . . . . . Residuals for means, first and 50% flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White cascade O O O O O O O O O O O I I O O O O O Analysis of variance table for 50% flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade. Split - split plot design . . . . Analysis of variance for overall regression (50% flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade), regression coefficient and standard error of estimate . . . . . . . . Prediction equation for first flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade and residualSITdifference between the pre- dicted and actual number of days to 50% flower) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 24 26 27 28 36 37 39 —‘ M17 77—15?! Figure l. 2. 6. LIST OF FIGURES Page Increase in daylength from January 1 to may 30 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O I 14 Cumulative (weekly) solar radiation totals in langleys are graphed in relation to date, between the first week of February and last week of June, 1968 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 The relationship of temperature and date of planting to two levels of supplemental min- eral nutrients to the number of days to first flower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 The relationship of temperature and date of planting at two levels of supplemental mineral nutrients to the number of days to 50% flower . . . . .1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Graphic illustration of the three factor in- teraction between temperature, date of planting and level of supplemental mineral nutrients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 A graph of the combination of temperature, date of planting and level of supplemental mineral nutrients required for selected days to 50% flower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 vi INTRODUCTION Hudson (21) once stated, "the condition of a plant at any time is the summation of the effects of all the environmental conditions it has experienced up to that time." Although this over simplifies the situation, it suggests that with a greater understanding and control of the environmental factors, the more closely one can manip- ulate and control the plant. The prediction of plant response in relation to various environmental factors has been investigated by many workers. One of the early methods was to establish a cor— relation between temperature and date of harvest. Many of these approaches analyzed only what was considered the major factor affecting the variability in date of flowering or harvest. With bedding plants such as petunia, it is known that a number of environmental factors exert consid— erable influence on the plant's growth and subsequent flowering (34). Petunia growers use a wide range of envi- ronmental combinations for controlled production of plants according to a predetermined schedule. Since many of the presently used methods of pre- dicting the time of flowering correlate only those envi- ronmental factors contributing the greatest influence on 1 this response (eg. temperature), the wide range in other factors utilized by the grower often renders them inad- equate. Because of this, there is need for the correlation of several environmental factors into an equation to aid in predicting the time of flowering of petunia. An attempt to utilize this relationship for bedding plants presents a n complex of problems in that many factors relate both directly or indirectly to flowering. This study is primarily concerned with determining the effect of date of planting, temperature and mineral nutrients on the flowering of petunias. The specific ques- tion which has been raised is; can sufficient variability in flowering response be accounted for by these parameters? REVIEW OF LITERATURE I. Light and Flowering (A). Some General Aspects of Light and Flowering: Energy derived from sunlight ultimately supplies all the energy for biological processes. Of the total light which strikes the earth's surface, only a small portion, 5 to 6%, is utilized in photosynthesis (l). The quality, duration and intensity of light can influence the behavior of plants in many ways: for instance, the red / far red interaction in seed germination (30). The term photoperiodism was first used by Garner and Allard (14). It implies the ability of the plant to respond to the duration of the light period. This response has been the subject of extensive investigation since the work in 1920. Information relating to flowering has been both extensive and complex. As a result, a number of generalizations have been formulated from basic facts on flowering (40). Two of these relate to long day plants and may be expressed as: (1). Long day plants flower in response to day lengths with light hours exceeding a certain minimum crit- . ical value. At the same time, it should be noted that the response to dark periods of less than a maximum value appears to be more critical than the response to the light period (45). (ii). A combination of responses is commonly ob- served within a single plant. Many plants are day neutral in one particular temperature range and highly sensitive to "T 5"” ifii photOperiod within another range (45). The discovery (18) of the effect of intermittent light during the dark period led to the study of critical It“ 1-.._____,__.__-,_. - - day length requirement. The critical day length concept for long day plants asserts a minimum required duration of the light period (on a 24 hour time cycle) for flowering to take place. Bonner and Liverman (7) suggested that length of the light period rather than shortness of the dark period determines the critical day length for long day plants. At present, it is generally accepted that the dark period when of a magnitude less than a maximum critical value appears to be the governing factor (40). With many long day plants (e.g. dill), a longer photoperiod, up to the critical value, results in earlier flowering (33). Near this critical length, very small changes in day length have had relatively great effects on the flowering response (24). While it has been established that the total light intensity is only of secondary importance (14), there are several pertinent factors that merit review. Plants are very sensitive to low light intensities especially at the end of their photOperiod. The extreme daytime fluctuations in light intensity, due to clouds, for the most part do not affect the photoperiodic response of the plant (49). On the other hand, clouds may, during twilight, exert consid- erable influence on the measurement of day length (15, 45). Craig (12), in his study, concluded that cummulative solar energy, rather than the number of days from transplant to flowering was the major factor influencing the flowering of Pelargonium hortum class. (B). Light and Flowering of Petunia: It was reported in 1930 that long days hastened flowering of petunia (3). Early work on the photoperiodic requirements of this plant suggested that night temperature could affect this response to the point of preventing flowering. It was concluded that petunia was day-length sensitive only between 63 and 76° F and under this regime it was a long day plant (36). This was generally accepted due perhaps in part to the fact that many plants were classed as day neutral at one tem- perature and day length sensitive at another (25). Contrary to earlier reports or opinions, van der Vean and Meijer (48) found petunia to be a non-obligate long day plant. Under short day conditions and low tem- perature, flowering was materially delayed but eventually occurred. These effects were substantiated by Piringer and Cathey (34). Their experiments with Petunia hybrida Hort. showed the direct influence of photOperiod on growth and flowering. Using both early and late varieties, the plants were exposed to either an 8 or 16 hour photoperiod. In each case, earlier flowering occurred with the longer photOperiod. Many workers have since derived similar con- clusions which lend additional support (4, 5, 28, 47). II. Temperature and Flowering (A). Some General Aspects of Temperature and Flowering: Sachs (39) in 1860 was one of the earlier workers to note and record the ability of temperature to alter the earliness of flowering in plants. The specific effect of temperature on flower initiation was studied with Xanthium (18). The results indicated that the temperature, during the dark period, greatly influenced initiation of flower buds. Conversely, varying the temperature during the photOperiod exerted little effect on the initiation of floral primo- ridia. Later research (27) showed that high and low tem- peratures could modify both light and dark processes in photoperiodism. The degree of variation depended upon the temperature, plant species, Specific cycle, as well as the portion of light or dark chosen. Temperature interacting with photoperiod causing a shift in phase and amplitude of the photoperiod has been shown in a number of plants (8, 9, l6, 17, 32). With 1&1. ‘0 “1....- “1‘24 Hyoscyamus, a 3 hour cold treatment during the dark period resulted in a significant delay in flowering (41). This is also seen with Rudbeckia bicolor Nutt. The plant will flower at relatively high temperatures under photoperiods too short to permit flowering under cool conditions. How- ever, Rudbeckia speciosa Wenderoth, remains a long day plant under either high or low temperature (31). Searle (42) suggested that low temperatures may substitute in part for darkness and high temperatures for light. (B). Temperature and Flowering of Petunia: Roberts and Struckmeyer (36, 37) showed the effect of the interaction of temperature and photoperiod on the flowering of many plants. With Petunia hybrida Hort., they concluded that it was a temperature dependent long day plant. Later work (34), however failed to support this view. The flowering response, chronologically, may be shifted by temperature but the photoperiodic requirement is not completely elim- inated. The plant will flower under low temperatures and short day conditions with an appreciable delay in flowering. Piringer and Cathey (34) demonstrated the effect of tem- perature on the flowering of petunia. Flowering was ear- liest at 80° F and slightly later at 70° F while at 60° and 50° F there was a significant delay. These results have been supported by research of a number of other workers (4' 8, 28' 43). III. Nutrition and Flowering (A). Some General Aspects of Nutrition and Flowering: There are numerous theories and opinions concerning the role of inorganic nutrition in the flowering of plants (6). Leopold (25) suggested that the rate of flower development was affected by inorganic nutrients; but that they had relatively little effect on floral initiation. This view has been supported by other workers (25), however, excep- tions have been recorded. In tests with Sinapis alb§_Linn., nitrogen nutrition was found to be directly related to floral initiation (13). In this instance the photoperiodic reaction of the plant was not principally altered but date of flowering was appreciably modified. Very low levels of available nitrogen favored flower initiation. Calcium and phosphorous were also noted to exert an influence on flower- ing behavior (19). It was suggested that the effects of nitrogen on flowering were due to the production of "build- ing materials" necessary for flower formation (13, 19). A number of authors have reported that low nitrogen levels delayed the initiation and development of flower buds (6, 51). While prevention or restriction of vegetative growth may induce earlier anthesis in a number of plants (eg. cotton, grape) there are a number of cases where flower promoting treatments also may stimulate vegetative growth, especially for those long day plants that generally bolt before flowering (26). An instance where promotion of growth induced earlier flowering has been seen with gibber- ellin A3 treatment of Lactuca sativa Linn. and Petunia hybrida Hort. (50). With Phleum pratense Linn., flowering was delayed by a low level of nutrition, especially in the instance of plants induced to flower soon after germination. With Lycopersicon esculentum Mill., Wittwer and Teubner (51) found that high nitrogen levels (440 ppm) favored both earlier and increased flower formation. This was contrary to the earlier generally accepted idea that reproductive development in plants was favored by a high carbon to nitrogen ratio (40). In general, the results show that low levels of available nitrogen may promote, while in other cases it may delay flowering in plants. The response will be spe- cies dependent. The strong promotive effects were almost without exception associated with long day plants while inhibition or delayed flowering was exhibited most by short day plants (19, 21). (B). Nutrition and Flowering of Petunia: As is charac- teristic of most long day plants, flowering of Petunia hybrida Hort. is delayed by low levels of nutrition. A number of workers (4, 5, 44, 47) have reported data which supports this conclusion. An adequate nutritional level results in earlier anthesis without unfavorable morpholog- ical effects (4). When comparing the effect of frequency 10 of fertilizer application, it was noted that earlier flow- ering occurred on those plants which had received the more frequent application even though the total amount of fer- tilizer applied was in all cases equal (44). IV. Prediction of Plant Response The prediction of plant response in relation to environmental factors has been studied by a number of workers (10, 11). Many different methods have been uti- lized in attempts to accurately characterize the plant and its response. One of the early methods was to establish a correlation between temperature and date of harvest. The length of temperature exposure was quantitatively repre- sented in "heat units" or "degree days" (10). This pro- cedure which was used extensively by de Candolle in 1854, has been useful in helping to predict flowering and harvest dates of both vegetable and fruit crOps (2). This correla- tion, however presupposes a linear relationship between average temperature and growth and/or flowering. It is the general consensus that this relationship definitely does not exist. Over a narrow range of temperatures such a relationship may hold by approximation, and thus in rel- atively uniform climates the heat summary expresses the growing conditions over an entire growing season for certain plants. With many plants, such as some of the Solanaceae 11 family where night temperatures predominately control many plant responses, heat sums, as used currently, appear to be of little value (40). Since the advent of the digital computer, the mul- tiple regression analysis has become more practical. This allows for the simultaneous analysis of a number of var— iables affecting a specific parameter. It has been used to determine a number of different relationships. Carlson (11) used plant and soil analysis data in multiple regres- sion equations to predict the yield of roses. This, under the Specified environmental and cultural conditions utilized, provided a relatively accurate method for the predetermining of yield (in this case the number of flowers produced). Hodgson (20), with this technique, investigated the seasonal changes in light radiation and temperature on the vegeta- tive growth of Helianthus annus Linn. and Vicia faba Linn. The results demonstrated the positive dependency of net assimilation rate and relative growth rate on light and temperature. Equations to predict the net assimilation rate and relative growth rate were developed. METHODS AND MATERIALS I. Test Plant: Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade was selected as the test plant because of uniform growth and flowering characteristics. Seed for these tests was supplied by Geo. J. Ball, Inc. of West Chicago, Illinois. II. Seedling Growth: Seeds were germinated in a 12 x 4 x 5 ft. polyethylene film plastic intermittent mist chamber, located in a greenhouse. The ambient air temperature was maintained constant at 65° F during the first 16 days fol- lowing seeding. Bottom heat was supplied by means of General Electric heating cables imbedded in a 3 in. layer of perlite. The flats were held in the chamber at 70° F for the duration of the seedling growth period. Intermit- tent overhead mist was utilized to maintain optimum humidity conditions. Natural phot0period and intensity was augmented by 16 hours of light from two 40 watt cool white fluorescent lamps placed 60 cm. above the seedlings. The interval of supplemental illumination began at daylight in order to coincide with the natural light source. This provided from three to six hours of additional illumination to the natural day length depending on the time of the year. 12 13 The germination medium consisted of steam sterilized sandy loam soil, "Turface" and peat moss (1:1:1). Seeds were planted in 1/4 in. trenches in flats of moist medium and were not covered. The seeded flats were covered with panes of greenhouse glass and remained in place until after germination. The 16 day old seedlings at the two leaf stage, were then transplanted into 12 x 12 x 5 cm. undivided ‘i Iw-Lfifl--_H_ thin plastic containers holding approximately 600 ml. of the soil mix. Nine plants were grown per container. After E Ill—13' ‘ ‘3' ’.' .o‘ transplanting, the plants were moved from the mist chamber to greenhouse benches. III. Treatments (A). Date of Planting: Commercial petunia growers plant seed and produce seedlings throughout an extended time period (22). A preliminary test was established in an effort to study the combined effects of a number of eco- logical factors (eg. longer natural photoperiod, higher daily solar radiation peaks and totals, a gradual increase in day temperature, etc. (See Figures 1 and 2) associated with differing planting dates. Seed of the cultivar White Cascade were planted on February 1, 1968 and March 26, 1968. Seedling production methods were the same for both planting dates and were identical with those previously described. It should be noted that although the seedlings were started under a 16 14 .U .o .soumcflnmmz .muoum>ummno Hm>mz mmumum popes: .moflmmo omcmEH« Havausmz an pmpa>onm mumo .umzoam unmoumm om pcm umuflm um mm Ham3 mm pmuocmp ma mump msflucmHm some um numsmaump one .om was CD a wannamn Scum sumsmammp aw mmmmuosfl m£B||.H musmflm ON ----—--—----1 >(t 2; 33:0 wagon-p0 won—«9:0 page. :0 pafiappop 022.2(t pal: bun: gas 5 7:20: to: .Z<.. 86 § 531.0le IN" 5'00“ “I (IISNIIS OI. lSIlNflfl 095 SM— 099 «:9 H19N 31 AVG l6 .manmaam>m uoc meB mmmH .mmz How mmcflpmwu coflumwpmm A.cmmflsowz .msflmsmq pmmm um smmusm Hospmmg .m .9 may some memos .mmma .mcsn mo x663 ummH msp pom mumsunmm mo Moms umuflm mag cmmzu Ion .mpmp on coflumawu ca pmcmmum mum mmmHmst ca mamuou soapmflpmu Hmaom Amaxmmzv m>apmasESUIl.m musmflm A— i M ”noun 0: mm /1v101 mm: '9" NOILVIOVII llV'IOS DATA MISSING MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE WEEKS 'l-4 / MONTH 12341234123412341234 FEB. 18 hour photOperiod at both seeding dates, the natural photo- period did increase along with a corresponding increase in solar radiation. Figure 1 shows the natural photOperiod at seeding and at 50% flower for both time treatments. (B). Temperature: Thermostatically controlled night temperatures of 60° and 70° F were evaluated with respect to their effect on flowering date. Day temperatures were maintained as closely as possible to corresponding night temperatures. The temperature range selected for these tests was based upon recommended growing temperatures for petunia (34) and are those used by a majority of Michigan flower growers (22). The temperature treatments were ini- tiated immediately following transplanting. (C). Soil Fertility: The test plants were watered twice weekly with a 20-20-20 fertilizer solution at one of two rates. (1) One pound of 20-20-20 per 100 gallons of water (240 ppm each of N03, P and K20). 2055 ' (2) Three pounds of 20-20-20 per 100 gallons of water (720 ppm each of N03, P 05, and K20). 2 The first application was made seven days following trans- planting and continued bi-weekly to-the termination of the experiment. The containers were watered sufficiently to provide for some leaching thus preventing a salt build-up in the medium. 19 IV. Flowering Data: The number of days to anthesis was used as a specific growth stage index. Two phases in the development of the plant were recorded. (A). The date of first plant in each unit of nine plants to come into flower. (B). The date when at least 50% of the plants per unit were in flower. This information was converted to number of days from seed- ing until initial and 50% flowering and analyzed as such. V. Statistical Design and Analysis: The experimental design was a split-split plot with splits for temperature and time. Variance was analyzed utilizing STAT Series program 14 of the Michigan State University Computer Lab- oratory (Analysis of Variance With Equal Frequency in Each Cell). In the statistical analysis, since the main concern was to determine if the factors accounted for sufficient variance to allow their use in prediction of flowering date, a multiple regression program was utilized. The least squares of variables program STAT Series (no. 8) of Michigan State University Computer Laboratory was selected. This provided among other statistics, the degree of varia- tion accounted for by each variable and the total variation for all of the variables collectively. Using the regression coefficients for the variables, prediction equations for first and 50% flowering were derived. RESULTS I. Effect of Environmental Treatments on Date of First Flower At first flower, only the main effects were found to be significant. Graphically, the response of the main effects in days to first flower is illustrated in Figure 3. Temperature Plants grown at 70° F flowered an average of 7 days earlier than similar plants grown at 60° F (Table 4). The temperature treatments did not interact appreciably in this test with either date of planting or level of supplemental mineral nutrients applied. Because of this, the same re- sponse in days to first flower was realized for the tem- perature effect at varying levels of the other environmental factors. Planting Date Plants from the later of the two planting dates (March 26) flowered an average of 13.5 days faster than those planted at the earlier time (February 1), Table 4. It may be noted that considerable change in the environment occurred between and during the two growing times. The natural daylength (as recorded by the U. S. Weather Bureau 20 21 .Hm3on umuflm on whom mo HmQEsc map on musmwuusc Hmnmsflfi HabcmamHQQSm mo mam>ma ozu pm mcflpsmam mo mump paw manpmummfiwp mo masmcoflpmawn maell.m musmflm VIMPIIAWII VIMPIIA‘I’UII HIGH LEVEL OF SUPPLEMENTAL NUYIIINTS ‘ DA‘I’I OI PLANTING 2 LOW LEVEL 70 DATE Of PLAN‘I’INO 23 for East Lansing, Michigan) at the first planting was 9 hours and 58 minutes (Figure 1); whereas at the second planting the photoperiod was 12 hours and 26 minutes. By the time the plants in the first planting had reached first flower, the photoperiod had increased to 13 hours and 11 minutes. With the second planting at the same morpholog- In“ ical stage of development, the photoperiod was 14 hours and 49 minutes. - $-\LE.‘!'LZ 2 ’ Likewise, during the same time period, the level of solar radiation also increased (Figure 2). The general A trend of increase was much more random. The date of planting did not interact significantly in this test with the other factors under study. Supplemental Nutrient Level With the higher level of supplemental fertilizer (3# of 20-20-20 per 100 gallons of water), the number of days from planting to flower was reduced by 4 over the lower level (1# of 20-20-20 per 100 gallons of water). Statistical Results Only main effects were found to be significant in this study (Table 1). Consequently, the lack of significant interaction allowed the utilization of only linear terms in the multiple regression equation for characterization of the response of the plants to the environmental factors studied. Treatment means were used in the multiple 24 wins. . ~ I _ w 1 1.1: sh! .n . at .....1F» IMKu u... uni)“; . , Anamoflmflcmflm mHamHm ..c anm.mmHm pH Hmpoe nomm.m mmmm.mOH om AUV Houum mmm.o mmmm.H mmmm.m mmmm.m H .Dumm x mEHB .x .mEmB 0mm.o Nmmm.o mmmm.H mmmm.H H .pumm .x mEHB ooo.H oooo.o oooo.o oooo.o H .unmm .x .mEmB «emooo.o nmmv.mm oooo.mmH oooo.mmH H .uumm anH.m hmoH.Hm OH Amv Hounm OHh.o GGVH.0 oom>.o oomh.o H mEHB .x .mEmB eemooo.o HmmH.Nme mmmo.omHm mmmo.omHm H mEHB mmwm.mH mmmm.vm OH Adv Hounm eemoo.o mmmv.mv mmmo.moo mmmo.mom H .mEmB mum.o mvvm.o mosmoHMHcmHm OHDmHDmum mumsvm mmumswm Socomnm mOGMHum> mumEonummd m saw: no 55m mo mmmumma mo mousom .smHmwp DOHQ DHHmm I pHHQm .mpmommo manz .>o .pnom_mmmmmwm MHssumm mo Hw3on umHHm How mHQmu mosMHHm> mo,mHmmHmsdll.H mHQMB 25 regression program (Table 2). The least squares equation obtained for the prediction of first flower was: D = 28.55 + 7.08T + 13.41t + 4.00F (1) In the equation, D represents the number of days from seed- ing to first flower, T = the growing temperature, t = the time of planting and F = the level of supplemental mineral F11“ nutrients applied. Since two levels of each environmental g factor were studied, the treatment levels are coded as ; either the number 1 or 2, i.e. the values for T, t and F E ranged from 1 to 2. Using this equation, predicted values E.. for the days to first flower were calculated and compared with the observed values (Table 3). The multiple regression coefficients for this equa— tion accounted for 99.65 percent of the variability in days to flower for the treatment means. The standard error of estimate for the equation was 2.29. The residuals for the means (the difference between the predicted and actual) are illustrated in Table 4. Although adequate data were not available to critically test the accuracy of the equation, it was tested against the individual measurements in this experiment (Table 3). Only two of the predicted flowering dates resulted in a residual (the difference between the predicted and the observed) that fell outside of one standard deviation from the mean. 26 . a A. L f!!! Ihuuuu .“ I... 3 31.13.51 mvmm.m u m I mumEHpmm mo uouum pumpcmum momm.o H mm I psmHonmmou soHDMHmnuou mHmHuHsz oo.v Hv.MH mo.n mm.mm mustonmmoo muHHHDHmm wEHB MHSDMHOQEDB unapmsou mucmHUHmmmoo sonmmHmmm AnamoHMHcmHm sHemHm .ev mbhm. om nonum + HMSpHmmm «emoo.o Hmmm.mmH mHmo.va mmmH.mmv m conmmHmmm nmmm.mmv n Hmuoe OUCMOHMHsmHm UHumHumum mumswm moundvm Eowmmum mosMHHm> mumEonummm m saw: no Edm mo mmmnmma mo mousom GOHmmmummm HHmum>o How mOCMHHm> mo mHmmHmsd .mumEHumm Mo Houuw pumpsmum paw ucmHonmmoo soHpmHmuuoo mHmauHsfi .musmHOHmmmoo GOHmmmHmmH .Ampmommu muHsz .>o ..puom MUHHQNS MHssumm mo Hmonm umHHmv QOHmmmHmmu HHmnm>o Mom mOGMHum> mo mHmmHmchI.N mHnma 27 Table 3.--Prediction equation for first flower of Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade and re81duals (difference between the predicted and actual number of days to first flower). D = 28.55 + 7.08T + 13.41t + 4.00F (1) Temperature (High) ‘ = (Low) = Time (Second Planting) .=‘ (First Planting = Fertility (High) = (Low) = Residuals Per Unit of Nine Plants 1 tit“) .741 ‘- In I T t F Actual Pred. Residual T t F Actual Pred. Residual 2 2 2 76.00 77.54 +1.54 1 2 2 66.00 64.13 -l.87 2 2 2 82.00 77.54 -4.46 l 2 2 62.00 64.13 +2.13 2 2 2 77.00 77.54 +0.54 1 2 2 62.00 64.13 +2.13 2 2 2 81.00 77.54 -3.46 1 2 2 66.00 64.13 -l.87 2 2 2 77.00 77.54 +0.54 1 2 2 65.00 64.13 -0.87 2 2 2 75.00 77.54 +2.54 1 2 2 61.00 64.13 +3.13 2 2 l 75.00 73.54 —l.46 1 2 l 60.00 60.13 +0.13 2 2 l 74.00 73.54 -0.46 1 2 l 61.00 60.13 -0.87 2 2 l 71.00 73.54 +2.54 1 2 l 62.00 60.13 -l.87 2 2 1 71.00 73.54 +2.54 1 2 1 61.00 60.13 -0.87 2 2 l 75.00 73.54 -l.46 l 2 l 60.00 60.13 +0.13 2 2 1 71.00 73.54 +2.54 1 2 l 61.00 60.13 -0.87 2 l 2 69.00 70.46 +1.46 1 l 2 54.00 57.05 +3.05 2 l 2 69.00 70.46 +1.46 1 l 2 58.00 57.05 -0.95 2 l 2 73.00 70.46 -2.54 l 1 2 65.00 57.05 -7.95 2 l 2 69.00 70.46 +1.46 1 l 2 59.00 57.05 -l.95 2 l 2 70.00 70.46 +0.46 1 l 2 53.00 57.05~ +4.05 2 l 2 72.00 70.46 -l.54 l l 2 54.00 57.05 +3.05 2 l l 66.00 66.46 +0.46 1 l l 52.00 53.04 +1.04 2 l 1 67.00 66.46 -0.54 l l l 55.00 53.04 -l.96 2 l l 66.00 66.46 +0.46 1 l 1 52.00 53.04 +1.04 2 l l 67.00 66.46 -0.54 l l 1 54.00 53.04 -0.96 2-1 1 67.00 66.46 -0.54 l 1 l 51.00 53.04 +2.04 2 l l 68.00 66.46 -l.54 1 l l 52.00 53.04 +1.04 28 . ‘ 1 i I? ’flvg bl u omNH.N omON.NN OQNN.NN N N N N mNON.HI mnmo.n> oomN.mN H N N N mth.HI mNNN.mm oomm.nm N N H o ooem.o OONm.mm oomH.Hm H N H m mth.HI mth.HN ooom.mN N H N N ooem.o comN.Nm oomm.mo H H N N oomn.o oovm.Hm oomm.mm N H H N mNNH.o mNNN.mm oooo.mm H H H H NHBOHH ezmommm NamHm oome.o ooem.>n oooo.NN N N N N mNON.oI msmm.ma oomN.NN H N N N mhme.ou mNNH.Nm oonm.mm N N H o omon.o omNH.om oomN.om H N H m mNNH.oI mnmw.on oomm.on N H N N omnm.o omme.mo oomm.mw H H N m omNH.o omeo.Nm OONH.Nm N H H N mNNN.oI mNNo.Nm oonm.Nm H H H H mHMUpHmmm w UmumEHpmm mus> w Hmsuom .unmm mEHB .mEmB .mno mmBOHm EmmHh .mpmommu mpH£3 .>0 ..uHom MUHHQNn MHGSHmm mo HOBOHM wom paw pmHHm .mcmmfi Hem mHmspHmmmII.v mHQme 29 II. Effect of Environmental Treatments on Date of 50% Flower The response recorded at 50% flower for the envi- ronmental parameters was very similar to that obtained at first flower. The index level of 50% flowering was con- sidered to be attained when at least one half of the plants in a unit of nine had reached anthesis. The number of days from seeding to this stage was recorded. The data are graphically illustrated (Figure 4). Temperature Petunia plants that were grown at 70° F reached the 50% level of flowering an average of 7.8 days sooner than similar plants grown at 60° F. No two-factor inter- actions were significant, however, the three factor inter- action was judged highly significant. This latter inter- action will be discussed in a separate section. Date of Planting As at first flower, petunias planted at the later date (March 26) flowered in a shorter period than those planted the first day of February (Table 4). The March planting reached flowering an average of 13.4 days earlier than the earlier planting. There was also a considerable change in the environment in which the plants were grown following first flower. The photOperiod (Figure 1) in- creased from 9 hours and 58 minutes on February 1, to 13 hours and 26 minutes (50% flowering). The photoperiod of 30 .Hmonm wom 0p hump mo Hmnfisc gnu 0H mpcmHupsc HmumcHE prcmeHQQSm mo mHmbmH oBu um mchGMHm mo mump paw musumummfimu mo mHanOHumHmu mQBII.v musmHm HIGH LEVEL OF SUPPLIMIN'I’AL NUTIIINYS DAYS YO FLOWER ‘IIMPIIAIIIII DA‘I’I Of PLAN‘I’INO LOW LEVE L V II on: to non: 70 .L I TIMPII AWII ” - —-—- --- DAY! OF PLAN‘I'INO 32 the later planting date (March 26) approached the critical day length for petunia when the 50% level of flowering was attained. The light period in this case increased from 12 hours and 26 minutes at seeding to 14 hours and 58 minutes at 50% flower (Figure 1). Supplemental Mineral Nutrient Level With the higher application of supplemental mineral nutrients, the petunia plants reached the 50% level of flowering an average of 5.7 days earlier than the low level. The concentrations here were 3 pounds and 1 pound of 20-20— 20 fertilizer per 100 gallons of water, respectively. Interaction As noted, there was a significant three factor interaction between temperature, supplemental nutrient level and date of planting. Graphs of this interaction are presented in Figure 5. The magnitude of the interac- tion is exemplified by the failure of the two graphs to be alike. One may note that the interaction, although highly significant, is a matter of the degree of response and not difference in kind. It is possible to examine this from several aspects. For example, the delay in 50% flower at the low nutrient level compared to the high level at the early planting is (a) and (b) for the high and low tem- perature respectively (intervals (a) and (b) in Figure 5). The same intervals for the late planting date are (c) and s.“'mflnu_fl ‘ 37' '. 1. 77743- "—LN"'..- .7 33 .mucmHupsc HmnmSHE HmucmEmHmmzm mo Hw>mH paw mcHHGMHm mo mpmp .musvmummamp smonmn soHu IomumucH Houomm mmusp 0:» mo COHumuumsHHH UHSQMHUII.m musmHm 34 PLANTING DATE 1 LOW b LEVEL OF SUPPLEMENTAL MINERAL NUTRIENTS O O NUMIER OF DAYS FROM SEED TO 50% FLOWER H O O‘ O HIGH LOW TEMPERATURE PLANTING DATE 2 90 5 .I g I; 80 g 2 ‘ 9 mm 0! suncmmu: 3§ 70 mm... m...“ I In 3 :I HIGH LOW TEMPERATURE 35 (d) for the high and low temperatures (intervals (c) and (d) in Figure 5). The significant three factor interaction indicates that the lack of joint equality of intervals (a) and (b) with (c) and (d) is not likely to be a chance event. The main effects were found to be statistically significant in this study (Table 5). Significance was also noted for the interaction of all three environmental fac- tors. The presence of a significant interaction would normally require the use of cross-product terms in the multiple regression equation to characterize the response with the highest degree of accuracy. However, the over- powering size of the main effects resulted in a relatively minor improvement when cross-product terms were added to the equation (2). For this reason the simpler model with only linear terms was chosen for prediction. The treatment means were used in the regression program. From the anal- ysis of variance, the variability in days to 50% flower accounted for by the regression model with linear terms was found to be highly significant (Table 6). The regres- sion coefficients this determined give rise to the follow- ing prediction equation for predicting the number of days from seeding to 50% flower. D50 = 29.04 + 7.75T + 13.42t + 5.67F (2) In the equation, D represents the number of days from seed— ing to 50% flower, T = the growing temperature, t = the time of planting and F = the level of supplemental ‘r-‘fi—‘flc—i 36 . . . v . 1 nilil .14“)... \uwz‘ififl- AuamonHamHm NHsmHm . «V hmHm.mHmm 5v Hmpoa oomm.v oooo.bm om HOV Houum Nemoo.o memo.HH oooo.mv oooo.mv H .unmm x .mEmB x mEHB Hmm.o Hmm~.H mmmm.m mmmm.m H .unmm x .mfime Nemooo.o vmmm.mm mmmm.mmm mmmm.mmm H .uumm mmmo.v mmmm.ow OH Amy Houum mHH.o ooom.N NmNo.OH NmNo.OH H msHs x .msma Nemooo.o mnmm.mmm mmmo.omHm mmmo.omHm H mEHB mmmm.HH hmmm.>m OH HHV Houum «emoo.o mmmv.mm oom>.o~h oomn.omn H .9809 mocMOHMHsmHm UHHmHHMHm m mumswm smmz mmumswm mo 85m Eocemum GUQMHHM> mumEHXOHQQH mo mmmummo mo moudom psmHme uon uHHmquHHmm .mpmommo muH£3 .>o ..unom mpHHnmn MHcdumm mo szon wom How mHQMD QOHDMHH6> mo mHmHHmcdll.m mHnma 37 r5412. 1.. I. 1. H .r ommo.m n m I mmeHumm mo HOHHm pumpcmum emnm.o u Nm I pamHonmmoo cOHumHmHHoo mHmHuHsz hm.m m¢.mH mh.h vo.mm mucmHOHmmmou wuHHHuumm QEHB mmusumuwmame pamumcou mpcmHOHmmmou aonmmHmmm HucNOHHHamHm HHsmHm «.1 ommh. om Hounm + HmspHmmm «emoo.o mvnm.omm Hmvv.HmH mhvm.qvm m COHmmmHmmm Hmmh.mmm n Hmuoa mOGMOHMHcmHm UHDmHumum mumsvm mmnmswm EOUmmHm mUGMHHm> mumEonummd m cums mo 85m mo mmmummo mo moHsom COHmmmummm HHmum>o How mUGMHHm> mo mHthmam .mumEHumm mo Houum pnmcsmum paw ucmHOHmmmoo soHHMHmHHoo mHmHuHSE .musmHonmmoo sonmmHmmH .Ampmommo muHSB .>o ..puom mpHHQNS MHssumm mo HmBOHm womv GOHmmmummH HHmum>o MOM mosmHHm> m0 mHmemcHII.m MHQMB 38 mineral nutrients applied. Since there were two levels of each factor studied, the levels were coded as either the number 1 or 2. These values were then substituted into the equation for the appropriate treatment combination to obtain the predictions in Table 7. Graphically, the pre- dicted values are illustrated in Figure 6. The multiple regression coefficients for this equa- tion accounted for 97.94 percent of the variability. The residuals for the means (the difference between the actual and the predicted) are quite low in magnitude (Table 4). F“? ' ' u- IITIT‘TTL'L': r(_.uMIn_-—u1 ‘ The standard error of estimate for the equation was 2.09. As with the equation for first flower,-the equation for 50% flower was tested against individual measurements in the experiment (Table 7). The residuals indicate that the equation on the whole fairly accurately estimates the re- quired number of days from seeding to 50% flower. 39 Table 7.--Prediction equation for first flower of Petunia h brida Hort., cv. White Cascade and resiauaIs (difference between the predicted and actual number of days to 50% flowering). D50 = 29.04 + 7.75T + 13.42t + 5.67F (2) Temperature (High) =1 (Low) =2 Time (Second Planting) =1 (First Planting) =2 Fertility (High) =1 (Low) =2 Residuals Per Unit of Nine Plants T t F Actual Pred. Residual T t F Actual Pred. Residual 2 2 2 85.00 82.70 -2.30 l 2 2 69.00 69.29 +0.29 2 2 2 83.00 82.70 -0.30 1 2 2 69.00 69.29 +0.29 2 2 2 87.00 82.70 -4.30 1 2 2 67.00 69.29 +2.29 2 2 2 86.00 82.70 -3.30 1 2 2 66.00 69.29 +3.29 2 2 2 85.00 82.70 -2.30 1 2 2 68.00 69.29 +1.29 2 2 2 83.00 82.70 -0.30 1 2 2 68.00 69.29 +1.29 2 2 l 78.00 77.03 -l.97 1 2 l 63.00 63.62 +0.62 2 2 1 78.00 77.03 -l.97 l 2 l 63.00 63.62 +0.62 2 2 1 73.00 77.03 +4.03 1 2 l 63.00 63.62 +0.62 2 2 1 75.00 77.03 +2.03 1 2 l 67.00 63.62 -3.38 2 2 l 76.00 77.03 +1.03 1 2 1 66.00 63.62 -2.38 2 2 1 75.00 77.03 +2.03 1 2 l 63.00 63.62 +0.62 2 l 2 73.00 74.96 +1.96 1 l 2 58.00 61.54 +2.54 2 l 2 73.00 74.96 +1.96 1 l 2 67.00 61.54 -5.46 2 l 2 75.00 74.96 -0.04 l l 2 69.00 61.54 -7.46 2 l 2 73.00 74.96 +1.96 1 l 2 62.00 61.54 -0.46 2 l 2 74.00 74.96 +0.96 1 l 2 58.00 61.54 +2.54 2 l 2 73.00 74.96 +1.96 1 1 2 60.00 61.54 +1.54 2 1 l 70.00 69.29 -0.71 1 1 l 57.00 55.87 -l.03 2 1'1 69.00 69.29 +0.29 1 l 1 57.00 55.87 -l.03 2 l l 71.00 69.29 -l.7l 1 l 1 57.00 55.87 -l.03 2 l l 69.00 69.29 +0.29 1 l l 57.00 55.87 -l.03 2 l l 69.00 69.29 +0.29 1 l l 54.00 55.87 +1.94 2 l l 71.00 69.29 -1.71 l l l 54.00 55.87 +1.94 355‘”.— lrm‘“. w’w—‘fi- A. a :gr. I 4O .Hmonm mom on mmmp pmuomHmm mom UmHHdme mucmHHusc HMHmcHE HapcmEmHmmdm mo Hm>mH paw mcHusmHm mo mump .muspmummamu mo sOHDmsHQEOO may mo ammum ¢Il.o musmHm 41 NUMBER or DAYS FROM seen 1'0 50% ANTHESIS I21 221 2" I12 212 DISCUSSION The response trends for the environmental factors tested support the conclusions reached by earlier workers in this area (3, 30, 35). The results indicated a definite relationship between the test factors concerning the amounts of the total variability accounted for by each. Therefore, within the test ranges for these factors, quantitative com- parisons can be made. Because of the nature of the statis- tical design used, this presupposes a linear relationship between the parameters established for each environmental factor. Interpolation is valid if this condition is fac— tual. The general quantitative trends are accurate esti- mates of variation accounted for by the particular chosen increment of each environmental factor. Extrapolation of these relationships outside the test conditions would prob- ably lead to error. From the regression coefficients, it is noted that the date of planting contributed the highest degree in variation in days to first and fifty percent flower. The variation between the first and second date amounted to 13.5 days for first flower and 13.4 days for fifty percent flowering. Although the conclusion that planting date per 42 _-f"?I; I raffle-m ar'flxlm “pt ‘4 :' I 43 se contributes the greatest effect on the flowering re— Sponse seems logical, it is, however, not substantiated. More correctly, the increment allocated for planting date (the degree of difference between the two dates) accounted for more of the variation in this test than either the range for temperature or supplemental mineral nutrient level. : .' t .3’- an «In «than ' The increment of ten degrees (Fahrenheit) resulted in a difference of 7 days to the first flower and 7.8 days for fifty percent flowering. As the temperature is in- In? creased up to a maximum (28), fewer days are required to obtain the flowering response. Although the linearity of this increase has not been substantiated, the general trend is valid. The range in levels of supplemental mineral nu- trients supplied to the plants accounted for the lowest degree of variation in flowering response of the factors tested. Both levels chosen were within a relatively 0p- timal range for petunia, consequently if these levels were extended to more critical levels (e.g. nearing deficiency and/or excess) a higher variation would undoubtedly be realized. It would not be advisable to extrapolate linearly outside the experimental factor space. The variation due to level of supplemental mineral nutrients was 4 days at first flower and 5.4 days at fifty percent flower. 44 The high degree of correlation between these envi- ronmental factors and flowering (first and 50%) is no doubt partially due to several reasons. One of the factors leading to the relatively high degree of accuracy of the regression equations has been the somewhat compound parameter, date of planting. Al- though with temperature and supplemental nutrients it was : possible to construct a fairly critical test of their ef- fects, date of planting undoubtedly entails many individual factors working collectively. It has been noted that con- 1. FIG “cu-u— v. siderable change in day length as well as daily solar radiation totals occurred during the experiment. Partic- ularly notable is the extreme random variation in the solar radiation. Because of the potential seasonal variability, it was felt that this parameter (planting date) shOUld be broken down into more precise components and tested with a higher degree of precision. The use of mean values in the regression program also eliminated some degree of the inherent variation that would have otherwise been acquired. Had mean values not been utilized, the percent correlation would have been lower. In this study, it is felt that little would be gained with this procedure. The non-universality of the present equation also merits mention. While under identical environmental and cultural conditions at Michigan State University in 45 following years, the equations will probably yield reason- able estimates of the number of days to first flower and fifty percent flowering, few commercial growers have similar conditions. In fact, as previously stated, there is a diverse array of growing conditions used in the Southern part of Michigan alone. Because of this, factors such as structural cover, altitude, latitude, carbon dioxide level, etcetera, must be analyzed before an accurate work- ing equation can be produced. —‘H—. r7, ~— E" -I‘-.’ A I; ‘r I '2. n.2,: SUMMARY (1) Flowering date can be predicted for Petunia hybrida Hort., cv. White Cascade using growing temperature, date of fi‘”‘ planting and level of supplemental mineral nutrition under I given environmental and cultural conditions. (2) Further analysis should be made of these environ- mental parameters, expanding the present ranges. Specific attention should be given to planting date. A more complete breakdown and analysis of contributing factors is suggested. (3) Coefficients for other environmental factors and varieties should be formulated to increase the universality of the equations. 46 LITERATURE CITED 10. 11. LITERATURE CITED Anderson, M. C. 1964. Light relations of terrestrial plant communities and their measurement. Biol. Rev. 39:425. 3"" Anstey, T. H. 1966. Prediction of full bloom date J from air temperature date. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. ? 88:57. ’ Author, J. M., J. D. Guthrie and J. M. Newell. 1930. Some effects of artificial climates on the growth and chemical composition of plants. Amer. J. Bot. 5 17:416. Ball, G. V. (ed). 1965. 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Wittwer, S. H. and M. J. Bukovac. 1957. Gibberellins: new chemicals for crop production. Mich. State Agri. Expt. Sta. Quart. Bull. 39:469. , and F. G. Teubner. 1957. The effect of tem- perature and nitrogen nutrition on flower formation in the tomato. Amer. J. Bot. 44:125. .1 J-‘Zfi' j ‘II .. _._~1.__ APPENDIX 51 Appendix Table l.--Number of days from planting to first and 50% flower for each observation. Treatment Number of Days to Number of Days to First 50% First 50% T t F Flower Flower Treatment Flower Flower l 1 1 '52 57 2 l 1 66 70 55 57 67 69 52 57 66 71 54 57 67 69 51 54 67 69 52 54 68 71 l l 2 54 58 2 1 2 69 73 58 67 69 73 65 69 73 75 59 62 69 73 53 58 70 74 54 60 72 73 l 2 l 60 63 2 2 l 75 78 61 63 74 78 62 63 71 73 61 67 71 75 6O 66 75 76 61 63 71 75 1 2 2 66 69 2 2 2 76 85 62 69 82 83 62 67 77 87 66 66 81 86 65 68 77 85 61 68 75 83 N STATE 1v LIBRRRIES ”‘IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII III IIIIIII 312931052842