[IDnAhv Michigan State University This is to certify that the dissertation entitled THREE ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE presented by Hoontaek Seo has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for the Ph. D. degree in Finance m J. Wu Major Professor's Signature (In: c «Q $9 20 0? Date MSU is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Employer PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 5/08 K:IProi/Aoc&Pres/ClRC/DateDue.indd THREE ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE By Hoontaek $60 A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Finance 2009 ABSTRACT THREE ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE By Hoontaek Seo This dissertation examines the role of corporate governance in corporate financing decisions. The first essay explore the effect of misalignment of managerial interests with those of shareholders, which is measured by divergence between managerial voting and cash flow rights on the seasoned equity offerings (SEOS) by dual-class firms. We Show that SEO announcement returns and long-run stock performance following SEOS are negatively related to measures of the divergence between managerial control and cash flow rights. Our results support the view of agency problems that the misalignment of interests between managers and shareholders can create managerial incentives to undertake value-destroying investments to extract private benefits, ultimately leading to a reduction in firm value. The second essay investigates the effect of classified boards on the market reaction to seasoned equity offering (SEO) announcements and the operating performance following SEOS. We find that firms with classified boards on average earn lower SEO announcement returns relative to firms with unitary boards. Result from the change in matched-firm-adjusted operating performance analysis shows that firms having a classified board structure earn worse abnormal operating performance following SEOS relative to firms having a unitary board structure. Our results support the view that classified boards entrench managers and are ineffective in preventing them from misuse of funds raised in SEOS. The third essay examines the effect of product market competition on firms“ credit ratings. We find that market competition is positively related to shareholder value and negatively related to firm’s credit rating. We also find that firms are more likely to receive investment-grade credit ratings in less competitive markets. Finally, we find that firms in more competitive markets tend to make more R&D and advertising expenditures. Overall, our results indicate that product market competition align more closely the interests of managers and shareholders and thus create managerial incentives to undertake riskier investments to maximize shareholder value, which lowers firms’ credit ratings. T 0 my wife, Bongsoon, for her unwavering love and support. iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to express my appreciation to the members of my dissertation committee: Dr. Charles Hadlock, Dr. G. Geoffrey Booth, Dr. Ted Fee, and Dr. Michael Mazzeo, for their helpful comments and guidance. I would particularly like to express my deepest appreciation to my adviser, Dr. Charles Hadlock for his help and assistance throughout the entire term of my doctoral program. I am deeply indebted to Dr. G. Geoffrey Booth for supporting me in every way possible throughout my doctoral program. I thank the other professors of the finance department for sharing their knowledge and providing invaluable support system. I extend many thanks to my fellow doctoral students in the finance department. My deepest gratitude goes to my family in Korea for their love and continued support. I would like to thank my wife, Bongsoon and my children, Joonho and Ji-In for their patience and understanding of the time I spent away from them while completing this work. TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ......................................................................................................... viii 1 Agency problems at dual-class firms: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings 1.1 Introduction ......................................................................... 1 1.2 Sample Construction ............................................................... 4 1.3 Analysis of SEO announcement returns ......................................... 6 1.3.1 Divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. . . . . . . . .....6 1.3.2 Variable definition ........................................................ 7 1.3.3 Univariate analysis ....................................................... 10 1.3.4 Multivariate analysis ..................................................... 12 1.4 Analysis of long-run stock performance following SEOs ................... 14 1.4.1 Long-run abnormal returns ............................................. 14 1.4.2 Factor regressions ......................................................... 18 1.5 Conclusion ......................................................................... 19 Chapter 1 Appendix .......................................................................... 21 2 Classified boards and managerial entrenchment: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings 2.1 Introduction ....................................................................... 31 2.2 Sample construction and variable definition .................................. 35 2.2.1 Sample construction ..................................................... 35 2.2.2' Variable definition ....................................................... 38 2.3 Empirical tests ..................................................................... 42 2.3.1 Announcement returns .................................................. 42 2.3.2 Multivariate analysis of announcement returns ...................... 43 2.3.3 Multivariate analysis of change in operating performance. . . . . ....45 2.4 Conclusion ......................................................................... 46 Chapter 2 Append1x48 3 Product market competition and firms’ credit ratings 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 Introduction ....................................................................... 55 Sample construction ............................................................. 58 Variable definitions .............................................................. 59 3.3.1 Measuring product market competition .............................. 59 3.3.2 Variables for Tobin’s Q regression .................................... 60 3.3.3 Variables for firms' credit rating regression .......................... 62 Descriptive statistics .............................................................. 67 The relation between product market competition and Tobin‘s Q. . . . . ....68 The relation between product market competition and firms’ credit ratings ....................................................................... 70 3.6.1 Product market competition and credit ratings. 71 vi 3.6.2 Product market competition and investment-grade credit rating..73 3.7 The link between product market competition and risky investments. . ...75 3.8 Conclusion .......................................................................... 76 Chapter 3 Appendix ......................................................................... 78 A31 Variable Definitions ............................................................. 79 Bibliography ................................................................................. 88 vii 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 LIST OF TABLES Sample distribution by issue year ................................................. 22 Industry distribution of sample .................................................... 23 Summary statistics .................................................................. 24 Announcement return comparison of single-class and dual-class SEOS. ...25 SEO announcement abnormal returns and divergence between voting and cash flow rights ...................................................................... 26 Regression analysis of announcement returns on divergence between voting and cash flow rights ................................................................. 28 Regression analysis of long-run abnormal buy and hold returns on divergence between voting and cash flow rights ............................... 29 Factor regressions on portfolios of firms with SEOS ............................ 30 SEO sample distribution by issue year ........................................... 49 Industry distribution ................................................................ 50 Summary statistics .................................................................. 51 Announcement abnormal returns and board classifications ................... 52 Regression analysis of announcement returns on board classification... . ..53 Regression analysis of change in operating performance on board classification ......................................................................... 54 Credit rating categories ............................................................. 81 Summary statistics .................................................................. 82 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on Tobin's Q. . ....83 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on credit ratings..84 The effect of market competition on receiving an investment grade credit rating ................................................................................... 85 viii 3.6 Probability changes in receiving an investment grade credit ratings. . . . . ....86 3.7 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on expenditures in R&D and Advertising .............................................................. 87 ix Chapter] Agency problems at dual-class firms: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings 1.1 Introduction Jensen and Meckling (1976) argue that high managerial equity ownership in firms foster a better alignment of managerial interests with those of shareholders and helps in alleviating the agency problem associated with the separation of ownership and control. They argue that managers bear a larger proportion of the costs of shirking, consumption of perquisite and other value-destructive actions as their ownership increases. Their paper focuses primarily on cash flow rights inherent in equity ownership. However, higher control or voting rights due to increased ownership can entrench management, resulting in a lower alignment of interests between managers and minority shareholders and thus increase agency cost (Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006)). Since the effects of cash flow rights and control rights are not easily separable, researchers face a challenging task in investigating empirically the effect Of managerial ownership on firm value The unique ownership structure of dual-class firms, which usually implies significant divergence between voting and shareholder rights, allows us to examine the different effects of cash flow rights and voting (or control) rights. In a typical dual-class firm, there are two classes of stocks, which are a publicly traded inferior class Of stock with one vote per share and a non-publicly traded superior class of stock with multiple votes per share. The superior class of stock is usually held by management. A divergence between managerial voting and cash flow rights implies that managers’ interests are less aligned with shareholders interests and thus creating incentives for managers to extract private benefits at the expense of shareholders, ultimately leading to a reduction in firm value. Consistent with this line of reasoning, Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006) and Masulis, Wang and Xie (2007) Show that the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights exacerbates the agency problems between managers and shareholders. We explore the effect of misalignment between managers and shareholders interest on the market reaction to seasoned equity offering (SEO) announcements and long-run stock performance following 81303. We focus on the 81303 by dual- class firms since they provide a unique framework where we can disentangle the effect of managers’ voting and cash flow rights on firm value. To the extent that investors are concerned about agency problems, we expect that market to react more negatively to SEO announcements as the divergence between managerial voting and cash flow rights becomes greater. Moreover, the misaligmnent of interests between managers and shareholders can create managerial incentives to pursue private benefits and undertake value-destroying investments, which decreases firm value. Therefore, we expect the long-run stock performance would be negatively related to the divergence between voting and cash flow rights. Previous studies have documented a significantly negative stock price reaction to announcement of SEOs. The existing literature offers several explanations for this negative reaction. The Leland and Pyle (1977) signaling theory suggests that sales of shares by insiders signal that they believe that the shares are overpriced. Myers and Majluf (1984) extend this theory by arguing that issuing equity should be the least preferred choice of firms to raise capital since the mere act of issuing equity conveys a negative signal about the true value of the firm. Jung, Kim and Schulz (1996) provide a theory of agency costs for the negative reaction. They argue that when interests of managers and shareholders are not aligned, managers may pursue value-destructive investments to increase their private benefits, which decrease firm value. Therefore, investors react negatively to SEO announcements due to the potential concern about misuse of funds raised in the SEOS. When it comes to a comparison between single and dual-class firms, Megginson, Smart and Zutter (2008) argue that signaling and agency theory provide conflicting predictions regarding SEO announcement returns. They argue that signaling theory predicts that markets react more negatively to single-class SEO announcement since SEOS by single-class firms make the insiders incur the cost of diluting voting- rights at a faster rate and thus signal more overvaluation than SEOS by dual-class firms. On the contrary, agency theory predicts that market react more negatively to dual-class SEO announcement because Of the misaligned interests between managers and shareholders in dual-class firms. Since both of these confounding effects could occur simultaneously, the comparison of SEO market reaction between single and dual class firms remains ultimately an empirical question. Megginson, Smart and Zutter (2008) find no significant difference in SEO announcement retums between single and dual-class firms. We find that SEO announcement returns are negatively related to the divergence between control and cash flow rights. We also find that three year abnormal buy-and-hold returns following SEOS are also negatively related to the divergence between control and cash flow rights. Finally, we find that investment strategy that bought firms that have below median value of divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights and sold firms that have above median value of the voting rights and cash flow rights would have earned positive abnormal returns. Taken as a whole, our results support the view that misalignment of interests between manager and shareholder caused by divergence between voting rights and Shareholder rights can partly explain the negative market reactions to SEO announcements and poor long-run performance following SEOs in dual—class firms. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the sample construction. Section 3 shows the analysis of SEO announcement returns. Section 4 shows the analysis of long-run stock performance following 811305. Finally, we present our conclusions in Section 5. 1.2 Sample construction We start with the sample of dual-class firms that Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006) construct'. They construct the dataset from the universe of publicly-traded firms in the US. for the period from 1994 to 2002. About 6% of publicly-traded firms in the US. in the period have a dual-class structure. In a typical dual-class firm, there are ' We are grateful to Paul Oompers. Joy Ishii, and Andrew Metrick for generously making the data available. two classes of stocks — a publicly traded inferior class of stock with one vote per share and non-publicly traded superior class of stock with multiple votes per share. We then compile all SEOS for the period of 1994 to 2003 from the Securities Data Company’s (SDC) new issues database. We require that SEOs must be for common stock by US. issuers. We also require that the stocks are listed on NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. We use publicly traded inferior class of stocks for our analysis. Since pure secondary offerings do not produce proceeds to the issuing firms, we require that SEOs must include some primary shares in the offering. We exclude utilities (SIC codes between 4910-4949) and financial firms (SIC codes between 6000-6999). The resulting SEO sample is then merged with the sample of dual-class firms of Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006). We further restrict the resultant sample by allowing only one SEO per firm per year since statistical inferences could be influenced by firms with multiple SEOs in the same year (Kim and Pumanandam (2006)). Our final sample consists of 145 SEOS by dual-class firms. Table 1.1 reports the distribution of our sample of SEOS by issue year, along with mean (median) statistics for each issue year and for the full sample. Our sample firm has mean (median) market capitalization of $1,377 million ($433 million) at the end of the fiscal year prior to the SEO and mean (median) proceeds raised in the SEO is $186 million ($94 million). The mean (median) offer size, defined as proceeds divided by market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the SEO is 27% (19%). This large offer size indicates that the SEOS are important events for our sample firms. This table also reports cumulative abnormal return over a (-1, +1) event window around the SEO announcement date. Consistent with previous literature, SEO announcement returns are on average significantly negative. Our sample of dual-class firms, on average, earns a negative 2.5% return around the SEO announcement date. Table 1.2 reports the industry distribution of the SEOS by dual-class firms. We use the 12 industry classification of F ama and French obtained from Kenneth French’s web page to classify the firms. The frequency of 81303 is not evenly spread across the industry. Firms belonging to the Telecom industry represent roughly 24% of our sample whereas Shops, Manufacturing, Healthcare and Business equipment represent roughly 19%, 12%, 9% and 8% respectively of our sample. The fact that the Telecom industry represents the highest proportion of firms in our sample is not surprising because of their possibly high non-pecuniary private benefits of control thus inducing founders to establish a dual-class structure (Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006)). Since we include industry fixed effects in the multivariate regressions of announcement retums, we are not concerned about time-invariant industry effects. 1.3 Analysis of SEO announcement returns In this section we explore the influence of the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights on the abnormal announcement returns for SEOS by dual-class firms. 1.3.1 Divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights The key variables in this study are measures of divergence between managers’ voting rights and cash flow rights for dual—class firms. Following Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006) and Masulis, Wang and Xie (2007), voting rights (VT) are calculated as aggregate voting rights held by managers as a fraction of all outstanding voting rights, while cash flow rights (CF) are calculated as aggregate cash flow rights (or dividend rights) held by managers as a fraction of all outstanding cash flow rights (or dividend rights). We then define two measures of the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. The first measure is defined as the wedge between voting rights (VT) and cash flow rights (CF), while the second measure is defined as the ratio of voting rights (V7) to cash flow rights (C F). Both measures are designed to increase with divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. The greater divergence may give managers more incentives to pursue private benefits. Table 1.3 shows that managers own mean (median) voting rights of 64.5% (68.6%), while managers own mean (median) cash flow rights of 40.8% (39%), which indicates considerable divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. Specifically, the mean (median) Wedge is 23.6% (25.6%), whereas the mean (median) Ratio is 1.791 (1.548). 1.3.2 Variable definition Based on the previous studies (see e.g. Kim and Pumanandam (2006) and Ferreira and Laux (2007)), we include a number Of variables to control for other determinants of the SEO announcement returns in multivariate analysis. We control for various firm characteristics. We control for firm size, which is defined as the logarithm of the total assets. Firm size is used as a proxy for asymmetric information. Ferreira and Laux (2007) argue that firm size tends to reduce the information asymmetry since larger firms are more like to be under greater scrutiny by outside investors. We expect firm size (Log (D1)) to be positively related to announcement returns. We also control for market-to-book ratio (MB), which is calculated as the market value of the firm’s equity plus the book value of assets minus the book value of equity divided by the book value of assets. Growth firms are more likely to have more profitable investment opportunities. Therefore, we expect market-to-book ratio to be positively related to announcement returns. We include past returns (Past Return), which is calculated as the finn’s raw buy-and-hold return over a period of one year prior to the SEO issue date. Prior research provides competing arguments on the effect of firms’ past returns (e.g. Kim and Pumanandam (2006)). Firms’ past returns can be used as a proxy for the availability of good projects or a proxy for overvaluation of stocks. Therefore, we do not have a clear prediction about the relationship between firms’ past returns and announcement returns. Myers and Majluf (1984) argue that financial slack of a firm reduce the problem of adverse selection. To control for the financial slack, we also include a firm’s cash divided by total assets (Cash). Firm leverage is also used as a control variable. We calculate leverage as the sum of debt in current liabilities plus long term debt divided by total assets. Leverage can reduce the agency problems by controlling managerial discretion (Stulz (1990)). However, competing argument suggests that high leverage can create managerial incentives to take risky negative-NPV projects (Jensen and Meckling (1976)). Therefore, we do not clearly predict relationship between leverage and announcement reruns. We also include some issue characteristics as control variables. Following Ferreira and Laux (2007), we include Offer Size to control for the economy of scale effect. Ofler Size is defined as the amount of proceeds raised from the SEO divided by market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. We expect a positive relationship between the Offer Size and announcement returns. We also include a dummy variable Secondary that equals one if some secondary shares are included in the SEO Offering and zero otherwise. In addition to firm and issue characteristics, we also control for Accrual since earnings management may affect investors’ response to the announcement of SEO. Accrual is defined as the difference between net income and cash flow from operations divided by total assets (Kim and Pumanandam (2006)). Table 1.3 reports the summary statistics for the variables employed in the study. Table 1.3 also includes some control variables used in the analysis of long- run performance following SEOs, which will be discussed in a later section. Included are the number of observations, mean, median, standard deviation, 25th percentile and 75th percentile values for the variables in the analysis. The mean (median) value of Log (TA) is 6.214 (6.196). Market-to-book ratio (MB) has a mean of 2.156 and a median of 1.624, with 25th and 75th percentile values of 1.236 and 2.448, respectively. The mean market capitalization is 1400, while the median market capitalization is 384, which indicates the distribution is right-skewed (positive skewness). The amount of proceeds as a percentage of pre-issue market capitalization (Offer Size) has a mean and median of 27.5% and 19.1%, respectively. The average firm in our sample has Leverage of 38.8% and Cash of 10.5%. On average, 48.3% of the SEOs include some secondary shares in the Offerings. 1.3.3 Univariate Analysis To determine the announcement date of the SEO, we search all publications included in Factiva including Wall Street Journal and the Dow Jones News Retrieval Services during the two months before the filing date. If we find any news publication of a firm’s plan of an SEO, we consider the publication date as the announcement date of the SEO. Otherwise, the filing date from the SDC database is used as the announcement date. We calculate cumulative abnormal returns for all our empirical analyses using a standard market model with parameters estimated over days -249 and -50 relative to the announcement date. We start our empirical analysis with a brief comparison of SEO announcement returns between the sample of single-class and dual-class firms and the results are reported in Table 1.4. Panel A reports the results for the (-1, +1) event window and Panel B reports the results for the (-l, 0) event window. We apply the same restrictions in selecting the sample Of single class firms that we required for the dual-class firms. We first extract all SEOS from the SDC database for the period 1994-2003. We require that SEOS be for common stock by US. issuers, listed on NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. We exclude pure secondary offerings and remove all financial and utility fimis from our sample. Finally, we 10 restrict our sample to only one SEO per firm per year. Since single-class firms are not the primary focus of this study, we use the filing dates from the SDC database as the announcement dates considering the large sample size of the SEOs by single- class firms. However, previous research has evinced that announcement date coincide with the filing date from the SDC database for a large percentage of SEOS (Ferreira and Laux (2007)). Results in Table 1.4 shows that SEO announcement returns are negative and statistically significant for all SEOs as well as for single-class and dual-class firms. However, the mean and median announcement return differences between single and dual class firms are not statistically significant. The result is consistent with Megginson, Smart and Zutter (2008) who argue that signaling theory and agent theory operate in opposite way, which leads to ambiguity in predicting the difference in SEO announcement returns between single-class and dual-class firms. The rest Of the analysis in this paper focuses solely on the sample of dual-class firms described previously. Table 1.5 reports cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around SEO announcement dates for our sample of dual-class firms. Panel A and Panel B report the result for the (-1, +1) event window and (-1, 0) event window, respectively. The SEO announcement returns for our sample firms are negative and statistically significant in both event windows. We further divide the dual-class sample into sub-samples based on divergence of voting rights and cash flow rights. A firm is categorized in the high wedge (ratio) group if the wedge (ratio) is at or above the median, otherwise, the firm is in the low wedge (ratio) group. Panel A shows that 11 firms with low Ratio, on average, outperform firms with high Ratio by 1.7%., which is statistically significant at 10% level. However, the mean and median differences in returns between firms with low Wedge and high Wedge are not statistically significant. Panel B reports that firms with a high Wedge experience a mean (median) CAR of -1.8% (-1.6%), which is significantly greater in magnitude than the mean (median) of -0.5% (less than -0.0001%) for firms with low Wedge. Also, we find that firms with high Ratio get a significantly more adverse median stock price response (-1.6%) than that for firms with low Ratio (less than -0.0001%). However, we find no statistically significant difference between mean announcement return of firms with high Ratio and low Ratio. In summary, the results in Table 1.5 suggest that SEO announcement returns for dual-class firms are negative. Moreover, there is some weak evidence that the greater the divergence between managers’ voting rights and cash flow rights, the more negative the SEO announcement returns for dual-class firms. This evidence indicates that investors are concerned about the agency problems caused by divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights when dual—class firms issue equity. We need additional multivariate analysis before we reach our conclusions. 1.3.4 Multivariate analysis In this section, we investigate the effect of divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights on the SEO announcement returns in a multivariate setting. Table 1.6 reports the results of regression analysis of SEO announcement returns on the 12 measure of divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights after controlling for other explanatory variables. We include explanatory variables following Kim and Pumanandam (2006) and Ferreira and Laux (2007). We also include year and industry dummies (based on 2-digit SIC). The dependent variable is the cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) during (-1, +1) event window surrounding the SEO announcements. The estimated coefficient on Leverage is negative and statistically significant, which supports the view that high leverage can create managerial incentives to take risky negative-NPV projects (Jensen and Meckling (1976)). The coefficient on Secondary is also negative and statistically significant. The result indicates that the market react adversely to the sale of securities by s and large shareholders, which is consistent with Kim and Pumanandam (2006). The key explanatory variables are Wedge and Ratio. A higher value of Wedge or Ratio indicates greater divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights and thus more misalignment of manager and shareholder interests. Therefore, we expect to see a negative coefficient on these variables to the extent that investors are concerned about agency problems. Consistent with our expectation, Model 1 shows that the coefficient estimate of Wedge is negative and statistically significant. The result suggests that misalignment of manager and shareholder interests is associated with lower announcement returns. Model 2 includes squared term of Wedge and repeats the analysis to examine whether there is a nonlinear effect of the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights on announcement returns. The estimated coefficient on Wedge is continuously 13 negative and statistically significant but the estimated coefficient on Wedge: is not statistically significant. In Model 3, we replace the variable Wedge with the variable Ratio and Model 4 includes the squared term of Ratio. In Model 3, the estimated coefficient on Ratio is insignificant. However, when we include Ratio: in Model 4 and repeat the analysis, we find that the coefficient estimates of Ratio and Ratio: are -0.039 and 0.007, respectively, and are statistically significant at 10% level. These estimated coefficients indicate that announcement returns decrease until Ratio reaches about 2.79 and then announcement returns start to increase with further increases in Ratio. Overall, our results in Table 1.6 suggest that divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights are negatively related to SEO announcement returns . 1.4 Analysis of long-run stock performance following SEOs 1.4.1 Long-run abnormal returns This section examines the long-run abnormal retums following equity issues. We use a matching firm benchmark to compute abnormal returns. We choose matching firms using a procedure analogous to that used by Loughran and Ritter (1995) and Lee (1997). Non-issuing matching firms are chosen on the basis of size, book-to- market ratios and prior annual return for firms with available book-to-market ratios. Otherwise, non-issuing matching firms are chosen on the basis of size and prior annual return. To be included in the pool of candidate matching firms, the firms should be listed in CRSP. TO be consistent with our sample selection criteria, we 14 exclude utilities and financial firms and we just include the firms for US. common stocks listed on NYSE, NASDAQ, or AMEX. The following describes the non-issuing matching firm selection procedure on the basis of size, book-to-market ratios and prior annual return for firms with available book-to-market ratios. At the end of each month, we first sort the pool of candidate matching firms on the NYSE into quintiles based on their market capitalization. The market capitalization is calculated as the product of shares outstanding and the closing price of the stock at the end of each month. We then place the pool of candidate matching firms on the NASDAQ and AMEX firms into the appropriate size quintiles that we defined using NYSE stocks. For issuing firms, the market capitalization is calculated at the offering date. Within each size quintile, we sort firms into quintiles based on their book-to-market ratios. The book-to-market ratio is calculated as the ratio of the book value of equity to the market value of equity at the end of each month. This gives us a total of 25 portfolios sorted on the basis of size and book-to-market ratios. The reported book value of equity for a given fiscal year is not used until at least four months have elapsed following the end of the fiscal year. For example, firms that have fiscal years ending on November 30, the new book value of equity is used on or after March 31. Finally, we further divide the resulting 25 portfolios into quintiles based on firms’ prior return resulting in a total of 125 (5 x 5 x 5) portfolios at the end of each month. We calculate prior return by cumulating monthly returns over the previous one year. From the portfolio of the same size, book-to-market ratio, and prior annual return at the time 15 of issue, we then choose the firm whose prior return is closest to that of the issuing firm as the matching firm. If the book—to-market ratio is not available for an issuing firm, we choose our non-issuing matching firm on the basis of size and prior return in the following way. First we sort the pool of candidate matching firms on the NYSE into deciles based on their market value of equity at the end of each month. We then place the pool of candidate matching firms on the NASDAQ and AMEX firms into the appropriate size deciles that we defined using NYSE stocks. Within each size decile, we sort firms into quintiles based on prior annual return. This gives us a total of 50 (10 x 5) portfolios at the end of each month. From the portfolio of the same size and prior return at the time of issue, we then choose the firm whose prior return is closest to that of the issuing firm as the matching firm. We use three-year buy-and-hold returns to measure long-run performance of issuing firms and non-issuing matching firms. Let r" denote the daily return to stock i on date I and T denotes the last date of holding period, which is either the end date of three year anniversary or the delist date, whichever comes first. The buy-and-hold return R, is then defined as: Rit = fi<1+rit)—1 t=1 We calculate three-year buy-and-hold return for each issuing firm. If an issuing firm is delisted before the three year anniversary of its issue date, the buy-and-hold return truncate on the issuing firm’s delisting date. For each matching firm, we use the same holding period as the issuing firm to calculate buy-and-hold retums. 1f a 16 matching firm is delisted before the holding period of the issuing firm, we splice the next best matching firm as of the original matching date into the calculation of the buy-and-hold return from the day after delisting date. If a matching firm issues equity before the end of holding period of issuing firm, the matching firm is treated as being delisted on its issue date and the next best matching firm is spliced into the calculation of the buy-and-hold return from the day after delisting date (issue date). Whenever the spliced firm is delisted again, we repeat the same procedure above. The three-year abnormal return following an SEO is then calculated as the difference between buy-and-hold return of issuing firm and non-issuing matching firm. Table 1.7 reports the results of the regression analysis of the three—year abnormal returns on divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. The control variables are market-to-book ratio (MB), market capitalization (Market Capital), one year return prior to issue (Past Return), Ofl'er Size, and market adjusted capital expenditures (CAPEX). Model 1 reports the estimates using Wedge to measure divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights. The coefficient on Wedge is negative and statistically significant. The result indicates that misalignment of manager and shareholder interests results in Significantly worse fi'nrr performance following SEOS. In Model 2, we replace the variable Wedge with the variable Ratio and repeat the analysis. The result in Model 2 shows that the estimated coefficient on Ratio is negative and statistically significant. In summary, the results in Table 1.7 suggest that divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights lower the long-run performance following SEOs. l7 1.4.2 Factor regressions In each of calendar month of our sample, a portfolio is formed that includes those firms that had an SEO in the previous 36 months. The calendar time returns on these portfolios are then used to estimate the following four-factor model by Carhart (1997): R, = a + ATMKT, + flz’kSMB, + ,B3*HML, + ,84*UMD, where R, is the excess return in month t, MKT, is the excess return on the market portfolio in month t, SMB,, HML,, and UMD, are returns on the portfolios designed to capture size, book-to-market, and momentum in month t. We report the result based on value-weighted portfolios. Model 1 shows the result of estimating above model where the dependent variable R, is the monthly return difference between portfolio of firms that have above median value of Wedge and firms that have below median Wedge. Therefore, the alpha here is the abnormal return on a zero- investment strategy that is long in firms that have above median value of Wedge and short in firms that have below median value of the Wedge. The estimate of the intercept, or,, is negative and statistically significant at 5% level. The result indicates that return difference between above-median Wedge and below-median Wedge samples, which is measured by the return of the zero-investment portfolio, is negative and statistically different from zero. In Model 2, we replace the variable Wedge with the variable Ratio and repeat the analysis. In Model 2, the dependent variable R, is now the monthly return difference between portfolio of firms that have above median value of Ratio and firms that have below median Ratio. Therefore, the alpha is now the abnormal l8 return on a zero-investment strategy that is long in firms that have above median value of Ratio and short in firms that have below median value of the Ratio. We find that the alpha is again negative and statistically significant at 5% level. This finding suggests that return difference between above-median Ratio and below- median Ratio samples is negative and statistically significant. Overall, the results of Table 1.8 indicate a negative relation between the misalignment of interests between managers and shareholders and the long-run stock performance following SEOs. 1.5 Conclusion The unique ownership structure of dual-class firms, which is the divergence between managers’ voting and shareholder rights, allows us to investigate agency problems in SE05. Agency theory suggests that misalignment of interests between managers and shareholders can create managerial incentives to conduct value- destroying investments to extract private benefits at the expense of shareholders, which decrease firm value. To the extent that investors are concerned about agency problems, the greater the divergence between voting rights and shareholder rights the more negatively the market react to the SEO announcements by dual-class firms. We find that market responds more adversely to SEO announcement as the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights increases. We also find that firms experience worse three year abnormal returns following SEOS as the divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights increases. Finally, we find 19 that investment strategy that bought firms that have below median value of divergence between voting rights and cash flow rights and sold firms that have above median value of divergence between the voting rights and cash flow rights would have earned positive abnormal returns during the sample period. In summary, our results support the view of agency problems in SEOS. Specifically, misalignment of interests between managers and shareholders caused by divergence between voting rights and shareholder rights can partly explain the negative market reaction to SEO announcements and poor long-run performance following SEOS in dual-class firms. 20 Chapter 1 Appendix 21 Table 1.1 Sample distribution by issue year This table reports the distribution of our sample of seasoned equity issues (SEOs) by issue year, along with mean (median) statistics for each issue year and for the full sample. Proceeds represent the total amount of money raised through the SEOs in millions of dollars. Offer size represents the proceeds raised in the SEO as a fraction of its market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to issue. Pre-mktcap denotes the market capitalization of the issuing firm, in millions of dollars, at the end of the fiscal year prior to the security issuance. CAR {-1, +1 ) measures cumulative abnormal return over the event window (-1 , +1) days around the announcement date. Number Percentage of . Year of Proceeds Offer Size Pre-mktcap CAR (-1 ,+ 1) SEOs sample 1994 2 1.4 144 0.16 933 -0.004 (144) (0.16) (933) (-0.004) 1995 6 4.1 94 0.32 489 ~0.007 (54) (0.22) (249) (-0.046) 1996 22 15.2 77 0.45 286 -0.017 (74) (0.34) (183) (-0.025) 1997 19 13.1 92 0.28 436 -0.024 (80) (0.23) (312) (-0.009) 1998 20 13.8 119 0.27 662 -0.019 (63) (0.23) (245) (-0.021) 1999 19 13.1 282 0.19 2329 -0.012 (174) (0.14) (953) (-0.014) 2000 16 1 1.0 315 0.22 2054 -0.044 (224) (0.15) (868) (-0.048) 2001 21 14.5 283 0.19 2626 -0.040 (129) (0.15) (910) (-0031) 2002 11 7.6 239 0.25 2531 -0.018 (154) (0.12) (896) (-0.017) 2003 9 6.2 141 0.34 671 -0.037 (90) (0.24) (426) (-0033) Total 145 100.0 186 0.27 1377 -0.025 (94) (0.19) (433) (-0.021) 22 Table 1.2 Industry distribution of sample This table reports the industry distribution of seasoned equity issues (SEOS) in our sample. The SEO firms are classified into industries based on the 12 industry classification by Fama and French. Industry Number of SEOS Business equipment 12 Chemicals 1 Consumer durables 3 Consumer nondurables l 1 Healthcare 14 Manufacturing 1 8 Shops 28 Telecom 35 Other 23 Total 145 23 Table 1.3 Summary statistics This table reports summary statistics for variables employed in the study. VT is defined as the aggregate voting rights held by managers and directors as a fraction of all outstanding voting rights. CF is defined as the aggregate cash flow rights held by managers and directors as a fraction of all outstanding cash flow rights. Wedge is calculated as the difference between VT and CF. Ratio is calculated as the ratio of VT to CF. Log (TA) denotes the log of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as (data 6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6. Market Capital is the product of number of shares outstanding on the offering date and the firm’s offering date closing price, measured in millions of dollars. Offer Size denotes the ratio of total proceeds from the SEO to the firm’s market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. Past Return is the raw buy— and-hold return over a period of one year prior to the SEO issue date. Leverage is the ratio of the sum of debt in current liabilities (data34) plus long term debt (data 9) to total assets (data6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Cash denotes cash and marketable securities (data 1) as a fraction of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Accrual is the ratio of the difference between cash flow from operating activities and net income to total assets in the fiscal year prior to the issue, which is calculated as (data 172 — data 308) / data 6. Secondary is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if some secondary shares are included in the SEO offering and zero otherwise. C APEX is the difference in capital investments as a fraction of total assets (data 128/data 6) for the issuing firm and the median firm in the same industry (based on two-digit SIC code) as the issuing firm for the fiscal year following the issue. N Mean Std. Ql Median Q3 VT 145 0.645 0.273 0.491 0.686 0.861 CF 145 0.408 0.223 0.211 0.390 0.560 Wedge 145 0.236 0.187 0.075 0.256 0.360 Ratio 145 1.791 0.901 1.116 1.548 2.141 Log (TA) 145 6.214 1.437 5.250 6.196 7.165 MB 145 2.156 1.563 1.236 1.624 2.448 Market Capital 145 1400 31 11 197 384 l 174 Offer Size 144 0.275 0.243 0.130 0.191 0335 Past Return 145 0.956 1.395 0.183 0.578 1.043 Leverage 143 0.388 0.280 0.171 0.352 0.557 Cash 145 0.105 0.169 0.012 0.030 0.125 Accrual 145 ~0.048 0.094 -0.077 -0.040 -0.001 Secondar (dummy)y ’45 0'483 0'5 01 0.000 0.000 1.000 CAPEX 132 0.025 0.107 -0.016 -0.001 0.030 24 Table 1.4 Announcement return comparison of single-class and dual-class SEOs This table reports cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around SEO announcement dates. Abnormal returns are computed using a standard market model with parameters estimated over days -249 and -50 relative to the announcement date. Panel A shows CARS for the event window (-1, +1) days and Panel B shows CARS for the event window (-1, 0) days. P- values in parentheses are based on t-tests for difference in means and Wilcoxon rank-sum test for difference in medians. Panel A : Event window: (-1, +1) Mean Median N All $13.05 -0.024 -0.025 2194 Dual-class -0.025 -0.021 144 Single-class -0.024 -0.026 2050 (A) - (B) -0.001 0.004 (0.851) (0.999) Panel B : Event window: (-1, 0) Mean Median N All SEOS -0.013 -0.014 2194 Dual-class -0.011 -0.008 144 Single-class -0.013 -0.014 2050 (A) - (B) 0.002 0.006 (0.652) (0.371) 25 Table 1.5 SEO announcement abnormal returns and divergence between voting and cash flow rights This table reports cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around SEO announcement dates. Wedge is the difference between VT (voting rights) and CF (cash flow rights). Ratio is the ratio of VT (voting rights) to CF (cash flow rights). A firm is categorized in the high wedge (ratio) group if the wedge (ratio) is at or above the median, otherwise, the firm is in the low wedge (ratio) group Abnormal returns are computed using a standard market model with parameters estimated over days -249 and -50 relative to the announcement date. Panel A shows cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) for the event window (-1, +1) days and Panel B shows CARS for the event window (-1, 0) days. P-values in parenthesis for all SEOs are based on t-tests for the mean and signed rank test for the median. P-values in parenthesis for tests of differences are based on t-tests for the mean and a Wilcoxon rank-sum test for the median. Panel A : Event window: (-1. +1) Mean Median N All SEOs -0.025 -0.021 144 (0.000) (0.000) Wedge; High Wedge (A) -0.030 -0.025 73 (0.000) (0.000) Low Wedge (B) ~0.019 -0.016 71 (0.014) (0.004) (A) - (B) -0.012 -0.010 (0.223) (0.316) Ratio: High Ratio (A) -0.033 -0.025 73 (0.000) (0.000) Low Ratio (B) -0.016 -0.012 71 (0.040) (0.018) (A) - (B) -0.017 -0.013 (0.090) (0.078) 26 Table 1.5 Panel B : Event window: (-1, 0) (Continued) Mean Median N All SEOS -0.01 1 -0.008 144 (0.005) (0.002) Wedge; High Wedge (A) -0.018 -0.016 73 (0.001) (0.000) Low Wedge (B) -0.005 0.000 71 (0.453) (0.529) (A) - (B) -0.013 -0.016 (0.097) (0.035) Ratio; High Ratio (A) -0.017 -0.016 73 (0.001) (0.000) Low Ratio (8) -0.005 0.000 71 (0.397) (0.614) (A) - (B) -0.012 -0.016 (0.144) (0.025) 27 Table 1.6 Regression analysis of announcement returns on divergence between voting and cash flow rights This table reports the results of the regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) on divergence between CF (cash flow rights) and VT (voting rights). The dependent variable is the cumulative abnormal returns for SEO firms during the event window (-1, +1) days surrounding the announcement date. Wedge is the difference between VT (voting rights) and CF (cash flow rights). Ratio is the ratio of VT (voting rights) to CF (cash flow rights). Wedge: and Ratio2 are the squared terms of Wedge and Ratio, respectively. Log (TA) denotes the log of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as (data 6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6 in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Leverage is the ratio of the sum of debt in current liabilities (data 34) plus long term debt (data 9) to total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Cash denotes cash and marketable securities (data 1) as a fraction of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Past Return is the raw buy-and-hold return over a period of one year prior to the SEO issue date. Accrual is the ratio of the difference between cash flow from operating activities and net income to total assets in the fiscal year prior to the issue, which is calculated as (data 172 — data 308) / data 6. Ofler Size denotes the ratio of total proceeds from the SEO to the firm's market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. Secondary is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if the SEO includes some secondary shares in the offering and zero otherwise. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on two-digit SIC code) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are also not reported. P-values in parenthesis are adjusted for heteroscedasticity. Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Wedge -0.064 -0. 123 (0.064) (0.069) Wedge: 0.119 (0.234) Ratio -0.006 -0.039 (0.438) (0.082) Ratio: 0.007 (0.082) Log (TA) -0.002 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 (0.818) (0.832) (0.929) (0.791) MB -0.008 -0.009 -0.008 -0.009 (0.165) (0.149) (0.172) (0.135) Leverage -0.05 1 -0.049 -0.056 -0.052 (0.060) (0.066) (0.044) (0.061) Cash 0.026 0.034 0.037 0.039 (0.582) (0.483) (0.438) (0.419) Past Return -(.).006 -0.006 -0.005 -0.005 (0.189) (0.210) (0.288) (0.279) Accrual 0.000 0.003 0.003 0.005 (0.998) (0.968) (0.966) (0.948) Offer Size 0.015 0.014 0.011 0.012 (0.621) (0.633) (0.738) (0.675) Secondary 41.026 -0.026 -0.()27 -0.027 (0.073) (0.070) (0.003) (0.063) N 141 141 141 141 R-Squared 0.421 0.426 0.401 0.416 28 Table 1.7 Regression analysis of long-run abnormal buy and hold returns on divergence between voting and cash flow rights This table reports the results of the regression analysis of 3-year abnormal returns on divergence between CF (cash flow rights) and VT (voting rights). Abnormal return is calculated as the difference between the buy-and-hold return of the sample firm and the buy-and-hold return of a matching firm by size, book-to-market ratio and prior annual return when book-to-market ratio is available or by size and prior annual return if book-to-market ratio is unavailable. Wedge is the difference between VT (voting rights) and CF (cash flow rights). Ratio is the ratio of VT (voting rights) to CF (cash flow rights). MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as (data 6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6 in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Market Capital is the product of number of shares outstanding and closing price on the offering date, measured in millions of dollars. Past Return is the raw buy-and-hold return calculated over one year period prior to the issue date. Offer Size denotes the ratio of total proceeds from the SEC to the firm’s market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. C APEX is the difference in capital investments as a fraction of total assets (data 128/data 6) for the issuing firm and the median firm in the same industry (based on two-digit SIC code) as the issuing firm for the fiscal year following the issue. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. P- values are adjusted for heteroscedasticity. Model 1 Model 2 Estimate p-Value Estimate p-Value Wedge -l .248 0.073 Ratio -0.323 0.044 MB 0.052 0.647 0.062 0.568 Market Capital -0.000 0.078 -0.000 0.079 Past Return 0.082 0.480 0.102 0.370 Offer Size -0.418 0.271 -0.458 0.234 CAPEX 0.125 0.856 -0.l35 0.847 N 132 132 R-Squared 0.016 0.022 29 Table 1.8 Factor regressions on portfolios of firms with SEOs This table reports calendar-time factor regressions of portfolios consisting of dual-class firms that have conducted SEOs during a period of 36 months prior to the month of portfolio formation. The four-factor model of Carhart (1997) is estimated based on the following model: R, = a + awn + BfSMB + B3*HML + ,Bfi‘UMD where R, is the excess return in month t, MK T, is the excess return on the market portfolio in month t, SMB,, HML,, and UMD, are returns on the portfolios designed to capture size, book-to- market, and momentum in month t. We report the result based on value-weighted portfolios. In Model 1, the dependent variable R, is the monthly return difference between portfolio of firms that have above median value of Wedge and firms that have below median Wedge. Wedge is defined as the difference between VT (voting rights) and CF (cash flow rights). The zero- investment portfolio is a portfolio that is long in firms that have above median value of Wedge and short in firms that have below median value of Wedge. 1n Model 2, the dependent variable R, is the monthly return difference between portfolio of firms that have above median Ratio and firms that have below median Ratio. Ratio is defined as the ratio of VT (voting rights) to CF (cash flow rights). The zero-investment portfolio is a portfolio that is long in firms that have above median value of Ratio and short in firms that have below median value of Ratio. P- values are adjusted for heteroscedasticity. Model 1 Model 2 Estimate p-Value Estimate p-Value a -0.013 0.036 -0.011 0.032 Rm - R, 0.035 0.766 0.178 0.140 SMB 0.057 0.657 0.217 0.091 HML 0.057 0.743 0.335 0.041 UMD -0.021 0.857 -0.020 0.831 R-Sqared 0.002 0.030 30 Chapter 2 Classified boards and managerial entrenchment: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings 2.1 Introduction This paper provides evidence that poor governance in the form of classified boards can partly explain the negative market reaction to seasoned equity offering (SEO) announcements and the operating performance decline following SEOS. Previous studies have documented a significant negative stock price reaction to announcement of SEOS. Myers and Majluf (1984) propose adverse selection problem. They argue that firms are more likely to issue equity when the equity is overvalued in the presence of information asymmetry between managers and outside investors,. Thus, the announcement of an equity offering conveys negative information about firm value. This is the adverse selection problem. Another explanation for this negative reaction is agency conflicts between managers and Shareholders. This agency explanation, formally introduced by lung, Kim and Stulz (1996) argues that when managerial interests are misaligned with shareholder interest, managers may undertake value-destroying investments in order to increase their private benefits of control. Such misuse of funds raised through equity offerings, if anticipated by investors, could be a possible explanation for the negative announcement reaction to seasoned equity offerings. 31 The notion that SEO firms might sub-optimally invest the proceeds raised through an offering can be traced back to the free cash flow hypothesis proposed by Jenson (1986). Jensen (1986) suggests that a managerial tendency to over-invest is a direct result of empire building and compensation considerations since larger firms offer more private benefits and compensation to their executives. The agency costs of free cash flow are widely documented in the literature. Jensen (1986) points out the overinvestment problem in the petroleum industry had occurred as a direct result of excess free cash flow generated due to high oil prices. Fu (2006) tests the overinvestment hypothesis for SEO firms and concludes that the free cash flow problems increase afier a firm has gone through a seasoned equity offering. Recent empirical researches on this topic have outlined the importance of corporate governance in understanding the negative reaction to seasoned equity offerings. Ferreira and Laux (2007) provide evidence that independent directors acting as effective monitors not only help in preventing misuse of fimds raised through an SEO, but also help in reducing adverse selection which is often cited as one of the standard explanation for negative announcement returns to SEOs. Kim and Pumanandam (2006) argue that misaligned interest between managers and shareholders is an important determinant of market’s reaction to SEO and show that SEO announcement returns are positively related to the sensitivity of managers’ wealth to stock price movement. This paper extends the above literature by looking at the role of board structure (classified versus unitary) in explaining part of the negative performance of firms going through a seasoned equity Offering. A classified board is a board 32 structure that staggers the annual election of board of directors. In a non-classified or unitary board, directors are elected for one year terms at the firm’s annual meeting. In contrast, a classified board is a structure of board of directors in which every year only a fraction of the directors are elected, each for multiyear terms. Usually, a classified board has three classes of directors, which is the largest permissible number of classes in most states of incorporation. Although classified boards have encountered growing resistance from activist shareholders and institutional investors during the past decade, a majority of American corporations still utilize such a board structure. Koppes, Ganske and Haag (1999) argue that classified elections encourage board independence and increase the effectiveness of directors in their role as monitors. This also ensures board stability as the majority of directors serving at any given time would have prior experience as directors thus providing in-depth knowledge of the functioning of the firm and the industry as a whole. Finally, a classified board discourages short-termism by allowing directors to focus on long term strategies and enhance the firm’s ability to create value. The empirical evidence on classified boards, however, portrays a dismal picture of their effectiveness. Babchuk and Cohen (2005) provide evidence that classified boards are associated with a lower firm value. Faleye (2007) shows that classified boards reduce director effectiveness, leading to managerial entrenchment and therefore resulting in destruction of shareholder value. Richardson (2006) finds evidence that, firms utilizing a classified board structure are associated with higher levels of overinvestment Of free cash flow. The above lines of reasoning allow us to construct two alternate testable hypotheses regarding the market reaction to SEO announcements. The first hypothesis which we will refer to as the monitoring hypothesis posits that if classified boards more efficiently monitor managers and effective in preventing them from misuse of funds raised in SEOS, then we would expect a less negative market reaction to SEO announcements and higher operating performance following SEOS for firms with classified boards relative to firms with unitary boards. On the other hand, if classified boards entrench managers and are ineffective in preventing them from misuse of funds raised in SEOS, we would expect a more negative market reaction to SEO announcements and lower operating performance following SEOS compared to firms with a unitary board structure. We will refer to this as the entrenchment hypothesis. Our paper contributes to the literature by demonstrating that poor governance in the form of classified boards can partly explain the negative market reaction to seasoned equity offering (SEO) announcements. The empirical results in this paper are consistent with the entrenchment hypothesis discussed above. The main findings of our paper are the following: Our analysis of cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around SEO announcements shows that firms having a classified board structure have significantly lower CARS than firms having a unitary board structure. Also, our results from the multivariate regression of CARS on board classification Show that announcement returns of SEOs are more negative for firms having a classified board structure compared to firms having a unitary board after controlling for firm and issue characteristics. Moreover, market reacts negatively to 34 the capital expenditures by firms having a classified board structure following the SEOS. Result from the regression analysis of change in operating performance suggests that firms with classified boards earn 4.7% lower abnormal operating performance compared to firms with unitary boards. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 discusses the sample construction and defines the variables used in the multivariate regression. Section 3 discusses the empirical tests and interprets the results and Section 4 concludes. 2.2 Sample construction and variable definition 2.2.1 Sample construction The data for this study is obtained from multiple sources. We obtain data on SEOs from the Thompson Financial Securities Data Corporation (SDC) database for the period 1995-2002. We require that SEOS must be for common stock by US. issuers and the stocks are listed on NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX. To be included in our sample, the SEOS must include some primary shares in the offering since pure secondary offerings do not produce proceeds to the issuing firm. We remove utilities (SIC codes between 4910-4949) and financial firms (SIC codes between 6000-6999). We exclude shelf offerings. We require that the offer price for the issue must at least be $1 to prevent the possibility of bid-ask bounce dominating our analysis. We also require that the financial data on book value of total assets (C OMPUSTAT data 6) and operating income (COMPUSTAT data 13) must be available for the fiscal year of the SEO. Finally, for our operating performance 35 analysis, an SEO will be included in our sample only if the issuing firm does not have a SEO in the last three years prior to the current SEO. Thus, once the firm has a seasoned equity offering, the firm cannot re-enter the SEO sample within three years of the issue date. We then merge the resultant sample with the sample on board classification of Faleye (2007) for the period from 1995 to 2002.2 Falaye (2007) sample is constructed from proxy statements filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in 1995. The sample excludes mutual funds, real estate investment trusts, limited partnerships subsidiaries, and firms with incomplete data in COMPUSTAT. The sample includes only those firms that maintain a unitary or a classified board structure for the whole period from 1996 through 2002. Furthermore, all firms included in his sample do not change their board structure since 1990 thus ensuring that any sampled firms not only has the same board structure throughout the empirical window of the study but also has not changed its structure for at least five years prior to the sample period. This goes a long way in mitigating the self-selection problem that has been well documented in the literature regarding the endogenous relation between firm performance and board structure. Since our operating performance analysis looks at a 3-year window following a SEQ, we extend the Falaye sample till 2005. For firms which issue stock during 2000-2002, we look at the issuing firm’s proxy statement to check whether the firm maintains the same board structure, which it utilized prior to the SEO, for a period of three years following the SEO. Merging our initial sample Of SEOS with Faleye (2007) sample gives us a total of 210 SEOs. 3 We thank Olubunmi Faleye for generously providing us with his data. 36 Table 2.1 provides the total and yearly distribution of SEOS in our sample. This table also reports the mean and median value of market capitalization (Market Cap) at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issuance, the amount of money raised through the SEO (Proceeds) and the amount of money raised through the SEO as a fraction of the firm’s market capitalization (Ofler Size) at the end of the fiscal year prior to the SEO. Panel A reports the summary for all 210 firms, Panel B for 108 firms with a classified board structure and Panel C for 102 firms with a non- classified or unitary board structure. So we see that the sample is divided fairly evenly between firms having classified boards and unitary boards and this observation holds for all years in our sample. The maximum number of SEOs in a year is 58 and this occurs in 1996 whereas the minimum number of SEOS in a year is 5 and it occurs in 2001. The mean (median) firm in our sample has Market Cap Of $870 million ($194 million). The mean (median) firm with classified boards has Market Cap of $848 million ($254 million), while the mean (median) firm with unitary boards has Market Cap of $894 million ($163 million). Also, the average firm in our sample raised $96 million of proceeds in the offering and the proceeds represent 39% of pre-issue market capitalization. The average firm having a classified board structure raised $98 million and the proceeds represent 36% of pre-issue market capitalization, whereas the average firm having a unitary board structure raised $93 million and the proceeds represent 42% of pre-issue market capitalization. This large Offer Size indicates that the SEOS are important events for our sample firms. 37 Table 2.2 reports the industry distribution of SEOS in our sample. We use the 12 industry classification of Fama and French to classify the firms. The classification is obtained from Kenneth French’s web page. We find that almost all industries are represented in our SEO sample and the distribution of industry groups are similar for classified and unitary boards suggesting that our analysis is unlikely to suffer from industry induced biases. Firms belonging to the Business equipment industry represent roughly 24% of our sample whereas Manufacturing, Shops, Healthcare and Energy represent roughly 23%, 12%, 11% and 9% respectively of our sample. The statistics are roughly similar for classified and unitary boards. 2.2.2 Variable definition Our key explanatory variable in the analysis is a dummy variable Cboard that equals one if the issuing firm has a classified board and zero otherwise. We draw control variables from the previous literature. We include market-to-book ratio (MB) to control for the growth opportunity of a firm. MB is computed as the market value of the firm’s equity plus the book value of assets minus the book value of equity divided by the book value of assets. AS Kim and Pumanandam (2006) argue, growth firms have more profitable projects and investors believe that these firms are less likely to conduct value-destroying investments. We expect market-to-book ratio to be positively related to announcement returns. We also include past returns (Past Return). We measure past return as the firm’s raw buy-and-hold return over a period Of one year prior to the SEO issue date. Previous studies provide competing 38 views on the effect of firms’ past returns (e.g. Kim and Pumanandam (2006)). Firms’ past returns can be considered as a proxy for the availability of good projects. However, firms’ past return can also be considered as a proxy for overvaluation of stocks since firms are more likely to issue equity when their stocks are overvalued. Therefore, we do not clearly predict the relation between firms’ past returns and announcement returns. We control for firm size (Log (TA)), which is defined as the natural logarithm of the firms’ total assets. Larger firms are more likely to be under greater scrutiny and to be followed more actively by analysts and financial press. Therefore, firm size tends to reduce the information asymmetry (Ferreira and Laux (2007)). We expect a positive relation between firm Size and announcement returns. Smith (1977) posits that offer Size is positively related to announcement returns. Following Kim and Pumanandam (2006), we include a firm’s cash divided by total assets (Cash) to control for financial slack of a firm since financial slack of the firm may reduce the problem of adverse selection. We control for firm leverage (Leverage), which is defined by the sum of debt in current liabilities plus long term debt divided by total assets. Prior research provides competing arguments on the effect of firm leverages. Leverage can reduce the agency problems by controlling managerial discretion (Stulz (1990)). On the contrary, a conflicting view suggests that high leverage can create incentives to take risky negative-NPV projects at the expense of lenders (Jensen and Meckling ( 1976)). Therefore, we do not have a clear prediction about the relationship between leverage and announcement reruns. Following Bates (2005), we include 39 CAPEX, which is defined as the difference in capital investments as a fraction of total assets for the issuing firm and the median firm in the same industry (based on two-digit SIC code) as the issuing firm for the fiscal year following the issue. The variable CAPEX gives us a measure of relative investment of the issuing firm compared to the median firm in the same industry. Bates (2005) argues that this measure of capital expenditure should, under rational expectations, provide a reasonable ex-post proxy for ex-ante expected investment. To control for the economy of scale effect (Ferreira and Laux (2007)), we include Ofler Size, which is defined as the amount of proceeds raised from the SEO divided by market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the issue. We expect the offer size of the equity issuance to be positively associated with announcement returns. We create a dummy variable Secondary that equals one if some secondary shares are included in the SEO offering and zero otherwise. Bates (2005) shows that retention of proceeds from assets sales can lead to reduction in shareholder welfare if the firm has poor growth opportunities. We include a dummy variable Retention that equals one if the firm intends to retain the proceeds from the SEO for any corporate purpose other than to retire debt or repurchase equity. If more than one use of the proceeds is stated, we choose the first stated use of proceeds. This information is obtained by initially conducting a Factiva search. If no information is found regarding the issuing firms intended use of proceeds, we use the primary use of proceeds data provided in the SDC database. Since earnings management may affect investors’ response to the announcement of SEO. we 40 control for Accrual, which is measured as the difference between net income and cash flow from operations divided by total assets (Kim and Pumanandam (2006)). Table 2.3 reports the mean (median) value for the control variables for the whole sample and the sub-samples corresponding to classified and unitary boards. The mean (median) value of Log (TA) for firms with classified boards is 5.508 (5.256), whereas the mean (median) value of Log (TA) for firms with unitary boards is 5.018 (4.783). The statistics indicate that mean value of MB is 2.1 14 for firms with classified boards and 2.657 for firms with unitary boards. The average firm with classified boards has Leverage of 27.3%, while the average firm with unitary boards has Leverage of 26.8%, respectively. The mean Cash is 0.101 for firms with classified boards and 0.160 for firms with unitary boards. Interestingly, firms with unitary boards are more likely to retain the proceeds raised in the SEOS and spend more capital expenditures following the SEOS. On average, 51.9% of the firms with classified boards indicate that the proceeds raised in the SEOS will be retained for any corporate purpose, while 55.9 % of firm with unitary boards indicate that the proceeds will be retained. Also. average CAPEX following the SEOS is 0.026 for firms with classified boards. whereas average CAPEX following the SEOs is 0.033 for firms with unitary boards. respectively. Therefore, if investors react more unfavorably to SEO announcements by firms with classified boards than by firms with unitary boards, this is not because investors worry about the absolute amount of the spending itself but because they worry about the agency problems in the use of raised funds in firms with classified board compared to firms with unitary board. 41 2.3 Empirical Tests 2.3.1 Announcement Returns To get the announcement date of the SEO, we first search for any indication of a firm’s plan of an SEC on all publications included in Factiva including Wall Street Journal and the Dow Jones News Retrieval Services. If we find any news publication of a firm’s plan of an SEO, we consider the first occurrence of such a publication as the announcement date provided it is earlier than the filing date provided in the SDC database. Otherwise, the filing date is used as the announcement date of the SEO. Table 2.4 reports cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around the SEO announcement dates. Abnormal returns are computed using a standard market model with parameters estimated over days -249 and -50 relative to the announcement date. Panel A Shows CARS for the event window (-1, +1) days and Panel B Shows CARS for the event window (-1, 0) days. For each event window, the table reports the mean and median CAR for all SEOS in our sample, the sample with only classified boards, the sample with only unitary boards, the test of differences and their associated p-values based on t-tests for difference in means and Wilcoxon rank-sum test for difference in medians. The results in Table 2.4 Show that the average cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around SEO announcement for all SEOS is -2.2% over the announcement window (-1, +1) and -1.1% over the announcement window (-1, 0). The results suggest that on average, investors react negatively to announcements of SEOS, 42 which is consistent with the well documented previous literature on the negative reaction to SEO announcements. The mean and median return differences between unitary and classified boards are positive and statistically significant for both event windows. Specifically, on average, firms having a unitary board structure have CARS of -1.4% and -0.2% over the announcement window (-1, +1) and (-1, 0), respectively, while firms with a classified board structure have CARS of -3% and - 1.9% over the announcement window (-1, +1) and (-1, 0), respectively. Thus, on average, classified boards earn 1.6% and 1.7% lower CARS over announcement windows (-1, +1) and (-1, 0) respectively compared to unitary boards. Thus, the results suggest that the market reacts more negatively to SEOS for firms that have a classified board structure relative to SEOS for firms that have a non-classified or unitary board structure. This result is consistent with our entrenchment hypothesis that poor governance in the form of classified boards can partly explain the negative reaction to SEOs. 2.3.2 Multivariate analysis of announcement returns Table 2.5 presents the regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) on board classification. The dependent variable is the CARS for SEO firms during the event window (-1, 1) days surrounding the announcement date. Qualitatively similar results are obtained for the (-1, 0) event window. In Model 1, the coefficient on Cboard is negative and significant at 5% level of significance, which indicates that market reacts more negatively to SEOS by firms having classified boards relative to firms having unitary boards. This 43 suggests that outside investors worry more about the misuse of funds raised in the SEO for firms having a classified board structure compared to firms having a unitary board structure. Therefore, this result is consistent with our entrenchment hypothesis. The estimated coefficient on the market-to—book ratio (MB) is positive and statistically significant at 1% level. The result indicates that investors believe that firms with high growth opportunities conduct value-increasing investments by raising fiinds fiom the SEOS. The coefficient on Past Return is negative and statiStically significant at 5% level, which supports the view that firms are more likely to issues equities when their stocks are overvalued. The estimated coefficient of Log (TA) is positive and statistically significant at 5% level. This evidence is consistent with the argument that firm size tends to reduce the information asymmetry. The coefficients on other control variables in Model 1 are not statistically different from zero. In Model 2, we add two more control variables Retention and Accrual. The results are similar to those reported in Model 1 and two added variables turn out to be insignificant. In Model 3, we add the explanatory variable CAPEX and the interaction term between CAPEX and Cboard to investigate the effect of the investors’ expectations of the increased capital expenditures after the SEC on the announcement returns. The estimated coefficient on the interaction term between CAPEX and Cboard is negative and statistically significant at 5% level. The result support the view that the market believes that firms having a classified board structure are more likely to conduct value-destroying expenditures using the 44 proceeds from the SEO relative to firms having a unitary board structure. The coefficient on Cboard is negative but loses its statistical significance suggesting that the potential to value-destroying expenditures could be the primary concern to investors when firms having classified boards announce the SEO. 2.3.3 Multivariate analysis of change in operating performance This section investigates the operating performance following the SEOS. We use a matching firm benchmark to compute abnormal operating performance. Similar to Barber and Lyon (1996) and Loughran and Ritter (1997), nonissuing matching firms are selected on the basis of industry, asset size and operating performance. Each issuing firm is matched with a firm that has not issued equity during the three years prior to the issue date. To be included in the pool of candidate matching firms, the firms should be listed in COMPUSTAT and report operating income (data 13) and total assets (data 6) in a given calendar year. To be consistent with our sample selection criteria, we exclude utilities and financial firms and we include the firms for US. common stocks listed on NYSE, NASDAQ, or AMEX. From this pool of candidate matching firms, we identify those firms with the same historical two- digit SIC code as the issuing firm and asset Size between 25% and 200% of the issuing firm at the fiscal year of the issue (year 0). From these firms we select the firm with the closest OIBD/assets ratio to that of the issuing firm as the matching firm. Whenever no matching firm is available that meets these conditions, we match on size and performance in the following way. We identify those firms with asset size between 90% and 110% of the issuing firm at year 0. From these firms 45 we select the firm with the closest OIBD/assets ratio to that of the issuing firm as the matching firm. If a matching firm issues equity during the three years following the issue date, we do not replace it. However, if a matching firm is delisted, we replace it with the next best matching firms as of the original matching date. We require that the replacement firm must not have issued equity between the issue date and the replacement date. If an issuing firm is delisted, the matching firm is also removed at the same time. Therefore, we use the same number of event years for the issuing firm and matching firm. Table 2.6 reports the result of the regression analysis of change in matched- firm-adjusted operating performance. The dependent variable is the change in matched-firm-adjusted ROA, measured as the difference between median of matched-firm-adjusted ROA for the three years following the issue (year 1, 2 and 3) and matched-firm-adjusted ROA in the prior year to the issue (year -1). The matched-firm-adjusted ROA is calculated as the difference between the issuing finns’s ROA and the corresponding ROA of the matching firm. We find that the coefficient on C board is negative and statistically Significant at 5% level. Firms having a classified board structure have 4.7 % lower abnormal operating performance compared to firms having a unitary board structure. The result suggests that firms with classified boards suffer from agency problems when the firms raise funds through the SEOS. This evidence supports our entrenchment hypothesis. 2.4 Conclusion 46 This paper attempts to understand the relevance of board classification in explaining the well documented negative market reaction to seasoned equity offerings. In particular, we show that announcement returns of SEOs are more negative for firms having a classified board structure compared to firms having a unitary board. More importantly, we Show that the market believes that firms having a classified board structure are more likely to misuse the proceeds from the SEOS relative to firms having a unitary board structure. Our analysis of change in matched-firm-adjusted operating performance Show that firms with classified boards earn significantly lower abnormal operating performance following SEOS compared to firms with unitary boards. This is consistent with the market’s expectation that firms with classified boards suffer from agency problems when the firms raise funds through the SEOs. Overall, our results support the entrenchment hypothesis that classified boards entrench managers and are ineffective in preventing them from misuse of funds raised in SEOS. 47 Chapter 2 Appendix 48 SEO sample distribution by issue year Table 2.1 This table reports the distribution of our sample of seasoned equity issues (SEOs) by issue year. Panel A reports mean and median values for all SEOs; Panel B and C reports yearly distribution by dividing the original sample into classified boards and unitary boards respectively. Market Cap denotes the market capitalization of the issuing firm at the end of the fiscal year prior to the security issuance, in millions of dollars. Proceeds represents the money amount raised through the SEOS measured in millions of dollars. Ofler Size represents the proceeds raised through the SEO as a fraction of its market capitalization at the end of fiscal year prior to the security issuance. Panel A: All SEOs Mean Median Year yfugggg Mgglget Proceeds Offer Size Market Cap Proceeds Offer Size 1995 50 933 67 0.31 148 45 0.25 1996 58 364 86 0.49 153 58 0.36 1997 31 200 53 0.42 134 41 0.28 1998 15 2192 180 0.37 252 57 0.25 1999 17 1644 116 0.46 256 77 0.23 2000 16 1269 177 0.45 502 l 18 0.20 2001 5 690 75 0.13 639 58 0.15 2002 18 1349 124 0.21 523 94 0.16 Total 210 870 96 0.39 194 58 0.26 Panel B: Classified boards Mean Median Year Eggs; Méglget Proceeds Offer Size Market Cap Proceeds Offer Size 1995 26 332 62 0.28 188 54 0.26 1996 29 379 92 0.49 195 67 0.37 1997 18 206 50 0.42 155 44 0.27 1998 6 2783 201 0.23 267 60 0.22 1999 7 3288 154 0.24 294 105 0.23 2000 8 700 161 0.55 719 139 0.40 2001 3 430 65 0.15 389 58 0.15 2002 1 1 1970 148 0.17 896 106 0.10 Total 108 848 98 0.36 254 62 0.25 Panel C: Unitary boards Mean Median Year (Nfugébgg Méglget Proceeds Offer Size Market Cap Proceeds Offer Size 1995 24 1583 72 0.33 135 36 0.24 1996 29 349 81 0.48 134 44 0.32 1997 13 191 57 0.40 118 33 0.33 1998 9 1798 165 0.47 132 50 0.43 1999 10 494 89 0.62 206 70 0.26 2000 8 1837 194 0.35 325 112 0.15 2001 2 1079 90 0.09 1079 90 0.09 2002 7 371 85 0.27 464 91 0.25 Total 102 894 93 0.42 163 54 0.27 49 Table 2.2 Industry distribution This table reports the industry distribution of seasoned equity issues (SEOS) in our sample. The SEO firms are classified into industries based on the 12 industry classification by Fama and French. Classified Unita Industry All SEOS boards boar (I: Business equipment 50 26 24 Chemicals 5 3 2 Consumer durables 8 2 6 Consumer nondurables 9 5 4 Energy 19 13 6 Healthcare 23 10 13 Manufacturing 48 30 18 Shops 26 11 15 Telecom 6 2 4 Other 16 6 10 Total 210 108 102 50 Table 2.3 Summary statistics This table reports the mean (median) value for control variables used in the regression analyses. Log (TA) denotes the log of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. CAPEX is the difference in capital investments as a fraction of total assets (data 128/data 6) for the issuing firm and the median firm in the same industry (based on two-digit SIC code) as the issuing firm for the fiscal year following the issue. MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as (data 6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6. Leverage is the ratio of the sum of debt in current liabilities (data34) plus long term debt (data 9) to total assets (data6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Cash denotes cash (data 1) as a fraction of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Past Return is the raw buy-and-hold return over a period of one year prior to the SEO issue date. Offer Size represents the proceeds raised through the SEO as a fraction of its market capitalization at the end of fiscal year prior to the security issuance. Accrual is the ratio of the difference between cash flow from operating activities and net income to total assets in the fiscal year prior to the issue, which is calculated as (data 172 — data 308) / data 6. Secondary is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if some secondary shares are included in the SEO offering and zero otherwise. All Classified Board Unitary Board (N=210) (N=108) (N=102) Log (TA) 5.270 5.508 5.018 (5.078) (5.256) (4.783) CAPEX 0.029 0.026 0.033 (0.004) (0.005) (0.003) MB 2.378 2.114 2.657 (1.574) (1.506) (1.761) Leverage 0.270 0.273 0.268 (0.253) (0.280) (0.225) Cash 0.129 0.101 0.160 (0.054) (0.039) (0.057) Past Return 1.175 1.071 1.286 (0.758) (0.669) (0.884) Offer Size 0.388 0.361 0.417 (0.261) (0.253) (0.268) Accrual -0.050 -0.045 -0.055 (-0.044) (-0.040) (-0.052) Retention(dummy) 0.538 0.519 0.559 (1.000) (1.000) ( 1.000) Secondary(dummy) 0.405 0.398 0.412 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) 51 Table 2.4 Announcement abnormal returns and board classifications This table reports cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) around the SEO announcement dates. Abnormal returns are computed using a standard market model with parameters estimated over days -249 and -50 relative to the announcement date. Panel A shows CARS for the event window (-1, +1) days and Panel B shows CARS for the event window (-1, 0) days. P-values in parentheses are based on t-tests for difference in means and Wilcoxon rank-sum test for difference in medians. Panel A : Event window: (-1, +1) Mean Median N All SEOs -0.022 -0.028 210 Unitary Boards (A) -0.014 -0.020 102 Classified Boards (B) -0.030 -0.033 108 (A) - (B) 0.016 0.015 (0.095) (0.084) Panel B : Event window: (—1, 0) Mean Median N All SEOs -0.011 -0.015 210 Unitary Boards (A) -0.002 -0.006 102 Classified Boards (B) -0.019 -0.019 108 (A) - (B) 0.017 0.013 (0.030) (0.029) 52 Table 2.5 Regression analysis of announcement returns on board classification This table reports the results of the regression analysis of cumulative abnormal returns (CARS) on board classification. The dependent variable is the CARS for SEO firms during the event window (-1, 1) days surrounding the announcement date. Cboard is a dummy variable that equals one if the issuing firm has a classified board, zero otherwise. MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as data (6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6. Past Return is the raw buy-and-hold return over a period of one year prior to the issue date. Log (TA) denotes the log of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Ofler Size represents the proceeds raised through the SEO as a fraction of its market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the security issuance. Leverage is the ratio of the sum of debt in current liabilities (data 34) plus long term debt (data 9) to total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Cash denotes cash (data 1) as a fraction of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Secondary is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if some secondary shares are included in the SEO offering and zero otherwise. Retention is a dummy variable that equals one if the firm intends to retain the proceeds raised in the SEO and zero otherwise. Accrual is the ratio of the difference between cash flow from operating activities and net income to total assets in the fiscal year prior to the issue, which is calculated as (data 172 — data 308) / data 6. CAPEX is the difference in capital investments as a fraction of total assets (data 128/data 6) for the issuing firm and the median firm in the same industry (based on two-digit SIC code) as the issuing firm for the fiscal year following the issue. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on two-digit SIC code) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are also not reported. P-values in parenthesis are corrected for heteroscedasticity. Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Estimate p-value Estimate p-value Estimate p-value Cboard -0.021 0.062 -0.022 0.054 -0.019 0.127 MB 0.006 0.004 0.006 0.006 0.007 0.004 Past Return -0.010 0.047 -0.010 0.046 -0.009 0.132 Log (TA) 0.010 0.013 0.009 0.036 0.007 0.100 Offer Size 0.023 0.288 0.016 0.417 0.019 0.367 Leverage -0.001 0.976 0.009 0.769 0.009 0.770 Cash 0.039 0.358 0.031 0.447 0.008 0.878 Secondary 0.017 0.209 0.018 0.185 0.019 0.187 Retention 0.011 0.341 0.011 0.358 Accrual -0.077 0.216 -0.064 0.373 CAPEX 0.071 0.329 Cboard x CAPEX -0.246 0.026 N 210 210 199 R-Squared 0.267 0.278 0.299 53 Table 2.6 Regression analysis of change in operating performance on board classification This table reports the result of the regression analysis of change in matched-firm-adjusted operating performance on board classification. The dependent variable is the change in matched-firm-adjusted ROA, measured as the difference between the median of matched- firm-adjusted ROA for the three years following the issue (year 1, 2 and 3) and matched- firrn-adjusted ROA in the prior year to the issue (year -1). Cboard is a dummy variable that equals one if the issuing firm has a classified board, zero otherwise. MB is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets, which is calculated as (data 6 + data 199*data 25 - data 60)/data 6. Log (TA) denotes the log of total assets (data 6) in the fiscal year prior to the issue. Offer Size represents the proceeds raised through the SEO as a fraction of its market capitalization at the end of the fiscal year prior to the security issuance. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. P-values are adjusted for heteroscedasticity. Estimate p-Value Cboard -0.047 0.041 MB 0.007 0.258 Log(TA) 0.004 0.635 Offer Size -0.009 0.645 N 202 R-Squared 0.031 54 Chapter 3 Product Market Competition and Firms’ Credit Ratings 3.1 Introduction It has long been argued that product market competition reduces managerial slack and improves efficiency. Specifically, managers in competitive industries are under continuous pressure to maximize firm value to ensure the survival of firm and thus themselves (e. g. Alchian (1950) and Friedman (1953)). Empirical studies show that product market competition helps align the interests of managers and shareholders and thus results in improved efficiency. For example, Grullon and Michaely (2007) argue that product market competition discipline managers to payout excess cash. They Show a negative relation between corporate payout and the level of industry concentration. Griffith (2001) finds that an increase in product market competition leads to an increase in overall levels of efficiency and growth rates. Allen and Gale (1999) argue that product market competition can be a more effective governance mechanism than market for corporate control or oversight by institutions. Governance mechanisms that discipline self-interested managers can be beneficial to both shareholders and bondholders. However, managers closely aligned with shareholders may take actions that can transfer wealth from creditors to shareholders (Jensen and Meckling (1976)). Specifically, managers who have incentives to maximize shareholder value are more likely to invest in risky projects at the expense of debtholders. Ortiz-Molina (2008) argues that managerial risk- 55 taking incentives are positively related to the size of managerial ownership stakes. He finds a positive relationship between managerial ownership and borrowing costs. In this paper, we investigate whether the link between product market competition and managerial incentives affects firms’ credit ratings. Product market competition can discipline managers to maximize shareholder value for their job security. Managerial incentives to maximize shareholder value can lead to undertaking more risky projects, which lowers firm’s credit rating. Therefore we expect that an increase in product market competition leads to higher firms’ credit risk and lower credit ratings. Using a data set of 6589 firm-year observations on 1155 US. firms for the years 1996- 2006, we empirically investigate whether the link between managerial incentives and product market competition have different effects on shareholders and creditors. We employ Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) based on COMPUSTAT as the proxy for product market competition. As hypothesized, we find that market competition is negatively related to firms’ credit ratings. This result holds even after controlling for other factors such as firm characteristics and governance attributes that have been documented in the literature to affect firms’ credit ratings. We also find that market competition is positively related to shareholder value measured as adjusted Tobin’s Q, and firms in more competitive markets tend to make more R&D and advertising expenditures. Our results suggest that managers are more likely to be aligned with shareholders in more competitive markets and thus undertake riskier investments to maximize shareholder value, which lowers firms’ credit ratings. 56 Our study extends the work by Ortiz-Molina (2008). He argues that managerial incentives to maximize Shareholder value can be detrimental to bondholders and prospective bondholders anticipate managers’ future choice of risk level at the issue of debt. He finds that at-issue yield spreads of corporate bonds are positively related to managerial ownership. Our findings indicate that product market competition can create managerial incentives to maximize shareholder value and thus are detrimental to creditors. Our study also extends the literature that investigate the effects of corporate governance on credit ratings (e.g. Ashbaugh- Skaife, Collins, and LaFond (2006) and Bradley, Chen, Dallas and Snyderwine (2007)) by providing evidence that product market competition can attenuate the agency conflict between managers and shareholders as an effective governance mechanism but have negative effect on credit ratings. There is a growing literature about the effectiveness of product market competition as a corporate governance mechanism. For example, Grullon and Michaely (2007) argue that product market competition discipline managers to disgorge excess cash. They Show that firms in more competitive markets have significantly higher payout ratios than firms in less competitive markets. Xiumin Martin (2007) argues that product market competition reduces managers‘ tendencies to waste cash and thus increases firm value. The results in this paper add to the literature by suggesting that product market competition can effectively discipline managers to maximize shareholder value and thus create managerial incentives to take risky investments. 57 The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the sample construction procedure, defines the variables employed, and presents descriptive statistics. Section 3 investigates the relation between product market competition and Tobin’s Q. Section 4 explores the relation between product market competition and credit ratings. Section 5 examines the link between product market competition and risky investments. Section 6 concludes. 3.2 Sample construction To construct our sample, we use five databases in this study: the Compustat Industrial Annual (COMPUSTAT) database, the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) database, the Executive Compensation (ExecuComp) database, the Investor Responsibility Research Center (IRRC) database and the Thomson Reuters (Thomson) database. We use IRRC database to collect governance index (G-Index) score. Following Gompers et a1. (2003), we assume that for the years between two consecutive reports, G-Index score is the same as in the previous report year. Also, board information iS from the IRRC data for the years from 1996 through 2006. We use ExecuComp to collect the stock option holdings, stock holdings, and compensation information for the top five executives. The Thomson data is used to collect information about institutional holdings of firms. Finally, we use C OMPUSTAT to construct firm-Specific financial characteristics and use C RSP to obtain daily and monthly stock returns. To be included as a firm-year observation in this study, the following conditions must be satisfied: 58 (1) The G-Index score and board information Should be available in the IRRC dataset. (2) Data on stock and stock option holdings for top 5 executives should also be available from the ExecuComp. (3) Information on institutional holdings should be available from Thomson data. (4) Firm-specific financial characteristics and returns data should be available in the COMPUSTAT and CRSP, respectively. By merging and requiring these conditions, we have a data set of 65 89 finn- year observations on 1155 firms for the years 1996 through 2006. 3.3 Variable Definitions 3.3.1 Measuring product market competition We use Herfindal-Hirschman index (HHI) is as a measure of product market completion in this study. Following Giroud and Mueller (2008), HHI index is defined as the sum of squared market shares, HHIj, = ”I s 2 i=1 ijt where 5,), is the market share of firm i in industry j in year t and N,- is the total number of firms in industry j in year t. Market Shares are based on firms’ sales. Industry is classified by three-digit SIC codes. When we compute HHI index, we use all firm year Observations in the Compustat unless sales are missing or negative. Low values of HHI index indicate that a lot of competing firms Share the market. 59 On the other hand, high values of the HHI indicate that a small number of firms has concentrated market shares. 3.3.2 Variables for Tobin’s Q regression We measure the wealth of shareholders using Tobin’s Q. Similar to Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003) and Giroud and Mueller (2008), industry adjusted Tobin’s Q is computed as the difference between the firm’s Q and the median Q in the same industry as defined by three-digit SIC code. Q is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets. To isolate the effect of market competition on the wealth of shareholders, we control for other variables which are known to have an effect on Tobin’s Q. We draw control variables from the previous literature (see e.g. Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006) and Faleye (2007)). There are two groups of control variables. The first group of the variables is related to firm characteristics. We control for firm size (Size), which is defined as the natural logarithm of the firms’ total assets. We measure firm leverage (Leverage) as the sum of debt in current liabilities plus long term debt divided by total assets. Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2006) point out younger firms are more likely to have high Tobin’s Q since they usually have more grth opportunities. To control for the effect of firm age (Log (firm age)) on Q, we include the logarithm of the number of years Since the firm has first appeared on CRSP. F inn profitability (ROA) is net income before extraordinary items divided by total assets. If a firm is included in S&P 500 index, this would cause a higher Tobin’s Q as Morck and Yang (2001) Show. Therefore, we create a dummy 60 variable for S&P 500 index inclusion (S&P 500 Index Dummy), which is equal to one if the firm is included in S&P 500 index and zero otherwise. The second group of the variables is related to governance attributes. We include managerial ownership (Insider Ownership), which is defined as the aggregate percentage ownership of common stocks held by top five executives. Stock holdings by institutional investors (Institutional Ownership) are computed as aggregate percentage ownership of shares by institutional investors which own at least 5% of outstanding shares. McConnell and Servaes (1990) Show that institutional ownership is positively associated with Tobin’s Q. However, the argument that institutional investors help to align the interests of shareholders and managers is contested (Shleifer and Vishny (1997)). Board independence (Independent director) is computed as the percentage of independent directors on the board. Prior studies Show mixed results for the relation between board independence and firm performance. For example, Bhagat and Black (2000) Show that board independence has no relation with Tobin’s Q unlike generally accepted argument of positive relation between them. We define the level of equity-based compensation (Equity Compensation) as the sum of the Black-Scholes value of new stock options received by the top five executives as a percentage of total compensation paid to them. Total compensation is comprised of salary, bonus, other annual compensation, value of restricted stock granted, Black- Scholes value of new stock Options granted, long-terrn incentive payouts, and all other compensations. We expect a positive effect of Equity Compensation on Tobin’s Q. since more equity-based compensation would incentivize manager to 61 take more risky behavior and would be more likely to align manager interest and Shareholder interest. We include governance index (G—Index) developed by Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003). Lower G-lndex values indicate strong shareholder rights based on antitakeover provisions. Thus we expect a negative relation between G-Index value and Tobin’s Q. As Daines (2002) shows, Delaware incorporation may have a positive impact on Tobin’s Q. However, Subramanian (2004) provide evidence that small firms drive the Delaware effect. We include a dummy variable for Delaware incorporation (Delaware Dummy), which is equal to one if the firm is incorporated in Delaware and zero otherwise. 3.3.3 Variables for firms’ credit rating regression Firms’ credit ratings (Credit Rating) are obtained from S&P’s long-term issuer credit ratings in Compustat (data280). S&P reports ratings based on its assessment of the creditworthiness of a firm as a senior debt obligor. Following Ashbaugh- Skaife, Collins, and LaFond (2006), S&P ratings are classified into 7 categories as shown in Table 3.1. Based on the previous studies, we control for a number of firm characteristics and governance attributes besides HHI index. The first group of variables is firm characteristics. We control for firm size (Size). Ortiz-Molina (2008) argues that investments in larger firms are safer than investments in smaller firms because larger firms have larger asset base as collateral. Therefore we expect a positive relation between firm size and credit rating. We also control for firm 62 volatility (Volatility), which is defined as standard deviation of monthly stock returns over the past 5 years. Following Ashbaugh-Skaife, Collins and LaFond (2006), we include several variables to control for default risk. These variables are interest coverage, ROA, leverage, and Loss Dummy. Interest Coverage is calculated as operating income before depreciation divided by interest expense. We expect Interest Coverage to be positively related to credit ratings. Unprofitable firms or highly leveraged firms are more likely to default. Therefore we expect that credit ratings are positively associated with ROA and negatively associated with Leverage. Loss Dummy is equal to one if ROA is negative in the current and prior fiscal year, zero otherwise. Loss Dummy is expected to be negatively related to credit ratings since unprofitable firms are more likely to default. Ashbaugh-Skaife, Collins and LaFond (2006) argue that a firm with subordinated debt is more risky because of the different claims to assets by creditors. Subordinated Debt Dummy is equal to one if the firm has subordinated debt and zero otherwise. Firrn’s capital intensity (Capital Intensity) is computed as net property, plant, and equipment divided by total assets. We expect firm’s capital intensity to be positively associated with credit ratings since greater capital intensity indicates less risk to creditors. The second group of variables is governance attributes. Ortiz-Molina (2008) posits that a higher level of managerial Stock and stock Option holdings give managers risk-taking incentives and thus result in a closer alignment of manager and shareholder interests. The author finds that borrowing costs are positively 63 related to managerial stock and stock option holdings. Therefore, we expect managerial ownership (Insider Ownership) to be positively related to credit ratings. Alpha is the sum of the number of common stock, restricted stock and unexercised stock options held by top five executives as a percentage of total shares outstanding. Alpha is also expected to be positively related to credit ratings. We control for stock holdings by institutional blockholders (Institutional Ownership). Prior research provides competing arguments on the effect of institutional investors on firm stakeholders (Bhojraj and Sengupta (2003)). Institutional investors can play a role of efficient monitoring, which is beneficial to both shareholders and bondholders. On the contrary, a conflicting view suggests that institutional investors can exert improper influence over management for their private benefits that are harmful to minority shareholders and bondholders. In other words, institutional investors influence managers to transfer wealth from bondholders to shareholders. Therefore, we do not have a clear prediction about the relationship between stock holdings by institutional investors and credit ratings. We also control for a percentage of the independent directors on the board (Independent Director). Bhojraj and Sengupta (2003) argue that firms with more outside directors are more likely to monitor effectively management behaviors and thus create benefits to both shareholders and bondholders. They empirically Show a negative relation between the fraction of non-officer directors on the board and borrowing costs. This leads us to expect a positive relation between Independent Director and credit ratings. 64 We include governance index score (G—Index) developed by Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (2003). They posit G-Index represents the level of Shareholder rights based on antitakeover provisions. The prior research provides competing views on the effect of G—Index on bondholder. Managers are entrenched with strong antitakeover provisions (high G-Index). This leads to increased opportunistic behavior by managers, which is detrimental to both shareholders and bondholders. However, a competing view suggests strong antitakeover provisions are beneficial to bondholders since it lowers the likelihood of takeovers, which can transfer wealth from bondholders to Shareholders (Klock, Mansi and Maxwell (2004)). Thus, we do not have clear prediction about the relationship between G-Index and credit ratings. We also include a dummy for Delaware inclusion (Delaware Dummy). Francis, Hasan, Jonh and Waisman (2006) conjecture that cost of debt is higher for firms incorporated in takeover friendly states like Delaware because of a wealth transfer from bondholders to shareholders in the event of takeover. They show that firms incorporated in Delaware actually have higher cost of debt. We predict Delaware incorporation is negatively associated with credit ratings. Following Bradley, Chen, Dallas and Snyderwine (2007), we control for a quality of reported earnings (Earnings Quality). They Show a positive relation between firm’s earnings quality and credit rating. To measure the quality Of reported earnings, they estimate following Fama-French three-factor model 65 augmented with accrual quality (AQ) factor of Ecker, Francis, Kim, Olsson and Schipper (2006)3 : R, z (1 + fljMKT '1' flzSMB + fl3HML + ,B4AQ R, is firm’s daily excess stock returns. AQ is calculated as the standard deviation of the residuals by estimating the regressions of the total current accruals on past, current, and future cash flow from operations, change in revenues, and gross value of property, plant, and equipment. The higher values of loadings on AQ factor indicate a lower quality of reported earnings Since it suggests a high variance in the accruals’ estimation. For easy interpretation, we multiply the loadings on the AQ factor by -l and define the resulting values as Earnings Quality. Therefore, high value of Earnings Quality corresponds to high quality of reported earnings. We expect Earnings Quality to be positively related to credit ratings. Finally, we control for predation risk using the proxy variable for the correlation of firm stock returns with its corresponding industry stock returns (Return Correlation) following Haushalter, Klasa and Maxwell (2009). The authors use the variable as a proxy for interdependence of investment opportunities. They argue that there is a positive relation between a correlation of a firm’s stock returns with its industry counterparts and the expected interdependence of its investment opportunities. The variable is constructed as the estimated coefficient on the industry return index (1m) from the following regression of Haushalter, Klasa and Maxwell (2009), I.t : )6!) + ,BIIM + ,62 ind " We are grateful to Frank Ecker for generously providing us with the accrual quality factor. 66 where r, is a firm’s monthly stock returns for our sample period, [M is the monthly equally-weighted market returns , and 1,)“, is the monthly equally-weighted index return for the same industry as defined by two-digit SIC code. Following Haushalter, Klasa and Maxwell (2009), we require that a firm has at least 24 months of returns to compute the correlation. Also, we calculate the index based on two-digit SIC code to include enough number of firms in the index for a meaningful index returns. We expect Return Correlation to be negatively related to credit rating. 3.4 Descriptive Statistics Table 3.2 provides the descriptive statistics for the variables in this study. Included are the number of observations, mean, median, standard deviation, 25th percentile and 75th percentile values for the variables in the analysis. The median value of credit rating is 4.0, which corresponds to the range of BBB+ to BBB- in the S&P'S rating scheme. On average, 72% of the sample has an investrnent-grade credit rating. The mean (median) value of adjusted Tobin’s Q is 0.25 (0.03). HHI index in the sample has a mean of 0.16 and a median of 0.1 1, with 25th and 75th percentile values of 0.06 and 0.21, respectively. The mean value of Return Correlation is 0.82. Turning to the variables of firm characteristics, total assets has a mean and median of $17.14 billion and about $3.77 billion, respectively. Average firm age of the sample is about 32 years. On average, 45% of the sample firms are included in S&P 500 index. Therefore, firms in our sample are generally old and large, which is consistent with the argument that firms issue public debt in later stage of their 67 life. The average firm in our sample has a ROA of 4%, a leverage ratio of 31% and a volatility of 11%. The descriptive statistics indicates 6% of our sample firms have negative ROA in the current and prior fiscal year and 16% of our sample firms have subordinated debt. The mean interest coverage is 15.32, while the median interest coverage is 6.37, which indicates the distribution is right-skewed (positive skewness). We find the mean and median capital intensity are 34% and 29%, with the 25th and 75th percentiles equal to 15% and 53%, respectively. The remaining variables are governance attributes. The table shows top five executives own 1.69% on average. Institutional blockholders own, on average, 8.45% with a median of 6.69%. The average percentage of independent directors on the board has a mean value of 67.66% and a median value of 70%. On average, the value of 2.22% is the sum of common stock, restricted stock, and unexercised stock options held by top five executives as a percentage of total shares outstanding. The mean and median values of Earnings Quality are 0.07 and 0.10, respectively. Recall that larger values of these variables reflect higher quality of reported earnings. The G—Index has a mean of 9.76, a median of 10, a standard deviation of 2.6, and 25th and 75th percentile values of 8 and 12, respectively. On average, 57% of our sample firms are incorporated in Delaware. The sum of the value of new Stock options to the top 5 executives is, on average, 34.02% as a percentage of total compensation, with the 25th and 75th percentiles equal to 14.78% and 51.19%, respectively. 3.5 The Relation between Product Market Competition and Tobin’s Q 68 As Bradley, Chen, Dallas and Snyderwine argue, firm value (Tobin’s Q) is a more direct concern for shareholders as compared with bondholders. To investigate the effect of market competition on shareholder value, we employ the following model, Adjusted Tobin ’s Q = f (HHI, firm characteristics, governance attributes) The variables of firm characteristics include Size, ROA, Leverage, Log (firm age), and S&P 500 Index Dummy. The variables of governance attributes include Insider Ownership, Independent Director, Institutional Ownership, Equity Compensation, G-Index, and Delaware Dummy. The definitions of the above variables are in the Appendix. We estimate the above model using pooled OLS with year and industry dummies. The p-values are based on the standard errors which are robust to heteroskedasticity and adjusted for firm clustering. Table 3.3 presents the regression results regarding the effect of market competition on adjusted Tobin’s Q. Model 1 reports the results of regression of adjusted Tobin’s Q on HHI index, together with the variables of firm characteristics. Model 2 add the variables of governance attributes in addition to the variables in Model 1. The results in Model 1 and Model 2 Show that the coefficients on HHI index are negative and statistically significant at 5% level in both regressions. The results indicate that managers are more aligned with shareholders in a more competitive market and thus increase firm value. Moreover, the results are also economically significant. In Model 2, the coefficient is -0.384. We find that moving from the 25th to the 75th percentiles of HHI index results in a decline of 5.76% in adjusted Tobin’s Q. Therefore, changes in market competition have a considerable effect on the shareholder value. 69 In terms of variables of firm characteristics, the results from Model 2 show that the coefficient of Size is negative and statistically significant, while the coefficient of ROA is positive and statistically significant. As expected, a firm’s inclusion in S&P 500 index has a positive effect on Tobin’s Q. This finding is consistent with Morck and Yang (2001). The estimated coefficients on Leverage and Log (firm age) are not statistically different from zero. Turning to the variables of governance attributes, the coefficient estimate of * Equity Compensation is negative and statistically Significant at 1% level. This indicates that high level of equity-based compensation make the managers more closely aligned with shareholders, which leads to increase in firm value. The coefficient on G—Index is negative and significant at 1% level. One standard deviation increase in G-lndex results in 5.98% decrease in adjusted Tobin’s Q. This evidence suggests that weak shareholder rights have a negative impact on firm value. Interestingly, the coefficient on Delaware Dummy is not statistically different from zero. We surprisingly find that the estimated coefficient on Institutional Owners/zip is negative and statistically significant at 1% level, which supports the view that institutional blockholders may exert their influence over management for their private benefits that are harmful to minority Shareholders (Shleifer and Vishny (1997)). The coefficients on Insider Ownership and Independent Director are not statistically different from zero. 3.6 The Relation between Product Market Competition and Firms’ Credit Ratings 70 3.6.1 Product Market Competition and Credit Ratings We examine the effect of market competition on the credit ratings using the following model, Credit Ratings = f (HHI, Return Correlation, firm characteristics, governance attributes) Return Correlation is used as a proxy variable for Predation Risk. The included variables of firm characteristics are Size, ROA, Volatility, Leverage, Loss Dummy, Subordinated Debt Dummy, Interest Coverage, and Capital Intensity. The included variables of governance attributes are Insider Ownership, Independent Director, Institutional Ownership, Alpha, Earnings Quality, G—Index, and Delaware Dummy. The definitions of all variables are provided in the Appendix. Since credit ratings are ordinal, we conduct an Ordered Probit regression based on a seven categories of ratings classification to estimate the above model. We also include year and industry dummies in the estimation of the model. The p-values are based on the standard errors which are robust to heteroskedasticity and adjusted for firm clustering. Table 3.4 presents the results of our analysis about the effect of market competition on credit ratings. Model 1 reports the results of an Ordered Probit regression with the control variables of HHI, Return C orrelation and firm characteristic, whereas Model 2 reports the results of an Ordered Probit regression with all control variables including governance variables. The results from both models Show that the estimated coefficients on HHI index are positive and statistically significant at 5% and 10% level, respectively. The results support the 71 view that managers are more likely to be aligned with shareholders in more competitive market and thus take riskier investments, which lowers credit ratings. Model 2 Shows that the coefficient estimate of Return Correlation is -0.163 and statistically significant at 1% level. To the extent that a correlation of a firm’s stock returns with its industry counterparts reflects the interdependence of investment opportunities, the finding indicates that predation risk lower credit rating. For the explanatory variables of firm characteristics, Model 2 shows that the estimated coefficients on Size and Capital Intensity are Significantly positive, while the estimated coefficients on Volatility and Subordinated Debt Dummy are Significantly negative. Model 2 also shows that the coefficient estimates of ROA, Leverage and Loss Dummy are 2.691, -1.530 and -0.415, respectively, and are statistically significant at 1% level. These results indicate that firms with higher default risk have lower credit rating. However, the coefficient estimate of Interest Coverage has its expected sign but is not statistically significant. Regarding to the control variables of governance attributes, Model 2 reports. that coefficients on Insider Ownership and Alpha are negative and statistically significant at 5% and 10% level, respectively, which suggests that stock and stock option holdings give managers risk-taking incentives and thus result in lower credit rating. These findings are consistent with those of Ortiz-Molina (2008), who shows positive association between borrowing costs and managerial stock and stock option holdings. Consistent with the result with Bhojraj and Sengupta (2003), the coefficient estimate of Institutional Ownership is negative and statistically Significant at 1% level. This evidence is in line with the view that institutional 72 blockholders improperly influence managers for their private benefits that are harmful to minority Shareholders and bondholders or that institutional blockholers influence managers for wealth transfer from bondholders to shareholders. We find that the estimated coefficient on Delaware Dummy is negative and statistically significant. This result suggests that firms incorporated in takeover fiiendly states like Delaware have lower credit rating because of a wealth transfer from bondholders to shareholders in the event of takeover, which is consistent with Francis, Hasan, Jonh and Waisman (2006). However, we do not find a significant association between credit ratings and G-Index. Negative coefficient on Earnings Quality indicates that high quality of reported earnings contributes to the high credit ratings. Finally, we do not find a Significant relation between Independent Director and credit ratings. 3.6.2 Product Market Competition and Investment-Grade Credit Rating To examine the effect of market competition on the likelihood of getting an investment-grade credit rating, we use a Probit model. The dependent variable is equal to one if credit rating is investment grade, and zero otherwise. Credit rating is classified into investment grade if it is greater than or equal to BBB. The Probit model include year and industry fixed effects. The p-values are based on the standard errors which are robust to heteroskedasticity and adjusted for firm clustering. Results are reported in Table 3.5. The estimated coefficient on HHI index is positive and statistically significant at 5% level. This indicates that firms are more 73 likely to get investment-grade credit ratings in less competitive market since managers who are not aligned with shareholders interests are more likely to avoid risky projects in less competitive market. The coefficient of Return Correlation is negative and statistically significant at 5% level, which suggests that predation risk reduces the likelihood of getting an investment-grade credit rating. The coefficient estimate of Size and ROA are positive and statistically significant, whereas the coefficient estimate of Volatility, Leverage, Loss Dummy, and Subordinated Debt Dummy are negative and statistically Significant. So far, the findings are similar to the findings of the credit rating regression shown in Table 3.5. However, the coefficient estimate of Interest Coverage is statistically significant at 10% level, while it was insignificant in the credit rating regression shown in Table 3.4. Also the estimated coefficient on Capital Intensity becomes insignificant in this analysis unlike the result in credit rating regression. In terms of variables of governance attributes, the coefficient on Insider Ownership is negative but insignificant, whereas the coefficient on Alpha is negative and significant. This suggests that stock option holdings by managers have more negative effect on the likelihood of getting an investment-grade credit rating than stock holdings by managers. The estimated coefficient on Earnings Quality is positive and statistically significant, which indicates that high quality of reported eamings increase the likelihood of getting an investment-grade credit rating. Suprisingly, the estimated coefficients on Institutional Ownership and Delaware Dummy are not statistically different from zero. Those coefficients were Significant in the credit rating regression in Table 3.4. 74 To explore the economic significance of our findings, we compute the change in probability of getting an investment-grade rating by moving from the 25th to the 75'h percentiles of each control variable of interest while fixing all other variables at their means. If the variable of interest is a dummy variable, we compute the change in probability of getting an investment-grade rating by changing the value from 0 to 1 while fixing all other variables at their means. The results are presented in Table 3.7. Moving from the 25th to the 75th percentiles of HHI index leads to increase in probability of getting an investment-grade rating by 0.031, while moving from the 25th to the 75th percentiles of Return Correlation leads to decrease in probability of getting an investment-grade rating by 0.039. Overall, the results indicate that changes in firm characteristics lead to bigger changes in probabilities of getting investment-grade ratings than changes in governance attributes. 3.7 The Link between Product Market Competition and Risky Investments We use the following specification to investigate to what extent market competition induces managers to conduct risk investments, Risky Expenditures = )6” + B, HHI + ,8; Tobin 's Q + 6’3 Stock Return + ,64 Leverage +/I5 Size + [36 Surplus Cash + ,67 Sales Growth + ,8, Insider Ownership + ,b’g Independent Director + ,8”) Institutional Ownership + 1611 Equity Compensation + a 75 We include control variables based on the literature (e. g. Coles, Daniel and Naveen (2006)). The independent variable is the sum of the expenditures in R&D and advertising. If R&D or advertising expenditure is missing, we set it to zero. All control variables are defined in Appendix. Our coefficient of interest is ,6), which measures to what extent market competition induces managers to conduct risk investment. We expect a negative coefficient on HHI since we conjecture that managers are more likely to implement risky investments in more competitive markets. We use two methodologies to estimate the above model. First, we use Tobit for a firll sample of firms since Risky Expenditures have zero values in large number of observations. Second, we use OLS for firms with nonzero Risky Expenditures. The results are given in Table 3.7. Model 1 reports the results of Tobit regression for a full sample of firms and Model 2 reports the results of OLS regression for firms with nonzero Risky Investments. The results in Model 1 and Model 2 Show that the coefficients on HHI are negative and statistically significant at 5% level in both regressions. This results support the view that managers are more likely to be aligned with shareholders in more competitive market and thus take riskier investments. 3.8 Conclusion In this paper, we investigate whether the link between product market competition and managerial incentives affects firms’ credit ratings. Product market competition can discipline self-interested managers as an effective govemance mechanism and thus benefit both shareholders and bondholders. However, agency theory by Jensen 76 and Meckling (1976) suggests that managers closely aligned with shareholders may take actions that can transfer wealth from creditors to Shareholders. We find that market competition has positive relation to shareholder value but negative relation to credit ratings. We also find that increase in market competition leads to decrease in the likelihood to receive investment-grade credit ratings. Finally, we find that firms in more competitive market tend to make more R&D and advertising expenditures. Overall, our results indicate that managers are more likely to be aligned with shareholders in more competitive markets and thus undertake riskier investments to maximize shareholder value, which lowers firms’ credit ratings. Our findings suggest that credit agencies rationally assign firm’s credit rating considering the firm’s future choice of risk level that is reflected in the level of product market competition. Our study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that that product market competition align more closely the interests of managers and shareholders and thus create managerial incentives to undertake riskier investments to maximize shareholder value, which lowers firms’ credit ratings. 77 Chapter 3 Appendix 78 A3.1 Variable Definitions V ariablcs Credit Rating Investment Grade Adjusted Tobin’s Q Risky Expenditures Size ROA Volatility Leverage Loss Dummy Subordinated Debt Dummy Interest Coverage Capital Intensity Firm Age S&P 500 Index Dummy Insider Ownership Independent Director Institutional Ownership Definitions S&P credit ratings (data280) are converted into credit rating scores as follows. It is 1 for rating <= CCC", 2 for B'<= rating <= Bi, 3 for BB' <= rating <= 83’, 4 333' <=rating <= BBB+, 5 for A' <= rating <= AI, 6 for AA’ <= rating <= AAI, and 7 for rating = AAA. 1 if the firm’s credit rating is greater than or equal to BBB, 0 otherwise. Industry adjusted Tobin's Q is the difference between the firm‘s Q and the median Q in the same industry as defined by three-digit SIC code. Q is defined by the market value of assets divided by book value of assets and calculated as (data6+data l 99*data25-data60)/data6. The sum of the expenditures in R&D (data46) and advertising (data45) divided by total assets (data6). If R&D or advertising expenditure is missing, we set it to zero. Natural logarithm of total assets (data6) (in millions of dollars). Net income before extraordinary items divided by total assets calculated as data 1 8/data6. Standard deviation of monthly stock returns over the past 5 years. The sum ofdebt in current liabilities plus long term debt divided by total assets calculated as (data34+data9)/data6. 1 if ROA is negative in the current and prior fiscal year, 0 otherwise. 1 ifthe firm has subordinated debt (data80). 0 otherwise. Operating income before depreciation divided by interest expense calculated as data 13/(data15 or data339). Net PPE divided by total assets calculated as data8/data6. The number of years since the firm has first appeared on CRSP. 1 ifthe firm is included in S&P 500 index, 0 otherwise. The aggregate percentage ownership of common stocks held by top five executives (officers and directors). A percentage ofthe independent directors on the board. The aggregate percentage ownership of shares held by institutional investors which own at least 5% Of outstanding shares (in millions of shares). 79 A3.1 Variable Definitions (Continue) Alpha Earnings Quality G-Index Delaware Dummy Equity Compensation HHI Stock Return Suplus Cash Sales Growth Return Correlation The sum of the number of common stock, restricted stock and unexercised stock options held by top five executives (officers and directors) as a percentage of total shares outstanding. Negative one times the loadings on the accrual quality (AQ) factor by estimating following Fama-French three-factor model augmented with AQ factor of Ecker, Francis, Kim, Olsson, and Schipper (2006): R, = a + ,BIMKT + BzSMB + B3HML + 1mg R, is firm‘s daily excess stock returns. AQ is calculated as the standard deviation of the residuals by estimating the regressions of the total current accruals on past, current, and fiiture cash flow from operations, change in revenues, and gross value of property, plant, and equipment. Shareholder rights score of Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (2003) 1 if the firm is incorporated in Delaware, 0 otherwise The sum of the Black-Scholes value of new stock options received by the top five executives (officers and directors) as a percentage of total compensation paid to them. Total compensation is comprised of salary, bonus, other annual compensation, value of restricted stock granted, Black-Scholdes value of new stock options granted, long-term incentive payouts, and all other compensations. Hirfindahl-Hirschman index is computed as the sum of squared market shares, 'VI 2 HHIJ, — i=1 sq, where i, j, and t denote firm, industry, and year, respectively. Market shares are based on firms’ sales (data12). Industry is classified b} three-digit SIC codes. Cumulative daily stock returns over the fiscal year. Available cash amount to finance new projects divided by total assets calculated as (data308-data125+data46)/data6. Natural logarithm ofthe ratio of sales (data12) in the current fiscal year to sales in the prior fiscal year. The proxy for the correlation of firm stock returns with its corresponding industry stock returns is the estimated coefficient on the industry return index from the following regression of Haushalter, Klasa. and Maxwell, rt : B!) + fill}! + )8} 1nd where r, is a iirm’s monthly stock returns for our sample period. Ii, is the monthly equally-weighted market return, In“, is the monthly equally-weighted index return for the same industry as defined by two-digit SIC code. 80 Table 3.1 Credit Rating Categories Firm credit ratings are obtained from S&P’s long-terrn issuer credit ratings in Compustat (data280). S&P’s ratings are based on its assessment of the creditworthiness of a firm as a senior debt obligor. Rating is classified into speculative grade if it is below 888-, and investment grade otherwise. Converted Credit Rating Score S&P Credit Rating Grade 7 AAA Investment 6 AA+, AA, AA- Investment 5 A+, A, A- Investment 4 BBB+, BBB, BBB- Investment 3 88+, BB, BB- Speculative 2 B+, B, B- Speculative 1 CCC+, CCC. CC. C, D, SD Spgculative 81 Table 3.2 Summary Statistics This table shows the summary statistics for the variables used in the analysis. The sample consists of 6.957 firm year observations from 1996 to 2006. Variable definitions are in the Appendix. Variables N Mean Std. Q1 Median Q3 Independent Variables Credit Rating 6589 4.08 1.07 3 4 5 Investment Grade 6589 0.72 0.45 0 1 1 Adjusted Tobin's Q 6589 0.25 1.12 -0. 14 0.03 0.38 Firm Characteristics Total Assets 6589 17140 66633 1657.21 3774.66 10947 ROA 6589 0.04 0.09 0.01 0.04 0.07 Volatility 6589 0.11 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.13 Leverage 6589 0.31 0.17 0.19 0.30 0.39 Loss Dummy 6589 0.06 0.24 0 0 0 Subordinated Debt Dummy 6589 0.16 0.36 0 0 0 Interest Coverage 6589 15.32 99.24 3.72 6.37 12.13 Capital Intensity 6589 0.34 0.24 0.15 0.29 0.53 Firm Age 6589 31.58 21.56 13 29 43 S&P 500 Index Dummy 6589 0.45 0.50 0 0 1 Governance Attributes Insider Ownership 6589 1.69 5.11 0 0 0.71 Independent Director 6589 67.66 17.35 57.14 70 81.25 Institutional Ownership 6589 8.45 9.01 0 6.69 13.10 Alpha 6589 2.22 2.96 0.80 1.63 2.90 Eamings Quality 6589 0.07 0.32 -0.07 0.10 0.25 G-lndex 6589 9.76 2.60 8 10 12 Delaware Dummy 6589 0.57 0.49 0 1 1 Equity Compensation 6575 34.02 23.98 14.78 32.42 51.19 Market Competition HHI 6589 0.16 0.15 0.06 0.11 0.21 Return Correlation 6589 0.82 0.80 0.33 0.91 1.31 82 Table 3.3 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on Tobin's Q This table shows OLS regression results of the effects of market competition on the Tobin’s Q. The dependent variable is the adjusted Tobin’s Q. All variable definitions are in the Appendix. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on 48 industry classification by Fama and French) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are not reported. P-values in parenthesis are corrected for heteroscedasticity and firm clustering. Variables Model 1 Model 2 Market Competition HHI -0.424 -0.384 (0.008) (0.016) Firm Characteristics Size -0.069 -0.097 (0.007) (0.000) ROA 3.183 3.190 (0.000) (0.000) Leverage 0.108 0.159 (0.720) (0.584) Log (firm age) -0.076 -0.040 (0.037) (0.244) S&P 500 Index Dummy 0.448 0.424 (0.000) (0.000) Govemance Attributes Insider Ownership 0.001 (0.797) Independent Director 0.002 (0.270) Institutional Ownership -0.008 (0.001) Equity Compensation 0.006 (0.000) G-lndex -0.023 (0.015) Delaware Dummy 0.071 (0.181) Year Dummies Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes R-Squared 0.193 0.214 Number of Observations 65 89 6575 83 Table 3.4 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on credit ratings This table shows Ordered Probit regression results of the effects of market competition on the credit rating. The dependent variable is the credit rating. All variable definitions are in the Appendix. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on based on 48 industry classification by Fama and French) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are not reported. P-values in parenthesis are corrected for heteroscedasticity and firm clustering. Predicted Variables Sign Model 1 Model 2 Market Competition HHI + 0.530 0.490 (0.043) (0.054) Predation Risk Retum Correlation - -0.161 -0.163 (0.000) (0.000) F inn Characteristics Size + 0.472 0.453 (0.000) (0.000) ROA + 2.887 2.691 (0.000) (0.000) Volatility - -l7.050 -16.587 (0.000) (0.000) Leverage - -1.584 -1.530 (0.000) (0.000) Loss Dummy - -0.427 -0.415 (0.000) (0.000) Subordinated Debt Dummy - -0.493 -0.451 (0.000) (0.000) Interest Coverage + 0.000 0.000 (0.346) (0.341) Capital Intensity + 0.545 0.496 (0.012) (0.023) Govemance Attributes Insider Ownership - -0.014 (0027) Independent Director + 0.000 (0.950) Institutional Ownership ? -0.010 (0.000) Alpha - -0.043 (0.068) Earnings Quality + 0.238 (0.001) G—Indcx '? -0.020 (0.123) Delaw are Dummy - -0. l 30 (0059) Year and Industry Dummies Yes Yes Pseudo R-Squared 0.329 0.339 Number of Observations 65 89 65 89 84 Table 3.5 The effect of market competition on receiving an investment grade credit rating This table shows Probit regression results of the effects of market competition on receiving investment grade rating. The dependent variable is investment grade rating. All variable definitions are in the Appendix. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on 48 industry classification by Fama and French) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are not reported. P-values in parenthesis are corrected for heteroscedasticity and firm clustering. Variables Predicted Sign Estimate Market Competition HHI + 0.838 (0.022) Predation Risk — Return Correlation -0. 161 (0.029) Firm Characteristics Size + 0.532 (0.000) ROA + 5.134 (0.000) Volatility - -20.239 (0.000) Leverage - -2.854 (0.000) Loss Dummy - -0.718 (0.000) Subordinated Debt Dummy - -0.807 (0.000) Interest Coverage + 0.000 (0.085) Capital Intensity + 0.251 (0.470) Governance Attributes Insider Ownership - -0.009 (0.390) Independent Director + -0.001 (0.694) Institutional Ownership ? -0.001 (0.879) Alpha - -0.062 (0.001 ) Earnings Quality + 0.209 (0.046) G—Index ? 0.007 - (0.728) Delaware Dummy - -0.121 ((1.242) Year & Year Dummies Yes Pseudo R-Squared 0.551 Number of Observations 6552 85 Table 3.6 Probability changes in receiving an investment grade credit ratings This table shows probability change of receiving an investment grade rating when the variable of interest is changed from 25‘h to 75‘h percentiles, fixing all other variables at their mean values. If the variable of interest is dummy variable, it is changed from 0 to 1. Variable definitions are in the Appendix. Variables Predicted Sign Probability Change Market Competition HHI + 0.031 Predation Risk Return Correlation - -0.039 Firm Characteristics Size + 0.234 ROA + 0.069 Volatility - -O.238 Leverage - -0.136 Loss Dummy - -0.227 Subordinated Debt Dummy - -0.248 Interest Coverage + 0.001 Capital Intensity + 0.024 Govemance Attributes Insider Ownership - -0.002 Independent Director + —0.006 Institutional Ownership ? -0.002 Alpha - 0031 Earnings Quality + 0.017 G-Index ‘? 0.007 Delaware Dummy - -0.030 86 Table 3.7 Regression analysis of the effect of market competition on expenditures in R&D and Advertising This table shows regression results of the effects of market competition on the sum of the R&D and advertising expenditures. The dependent variable is the sum of the expenditures in R&D (data46) and advertising (data45) divided by total assets (data6). If R&D or advertising expenditure is missing, we set it to zero. Model 1 is a Tobit regression. Model 2 is a OLS regression with nonzero sum of expenditures in R&D and advertising. All variable definitions are in the Appendix. The coefficients on the intercepts are not reported. All models include industry dummies (based on 48 industry classification by Fama and French) and year dummies, whose coefficient estimates are not reported. P-values in parenthesis are corrected for heteroscedasticity in Model 1 and for heteroscedasticity and firm clustering in Model 2. Variables Model 1 Model 2 Market Competition HHI -0.0259 -0.0268 (0.000) (0.015) Firm Characteristics Tobin's Q 0.0058 0.0052 (0.000) (0.009) Stock Return -0.0084 -0.0081 (0.000) (0.000) Leverage 0.0252 0.0252 (0.000) (0.207) Size -0.0029 -0.0028 (0.000) (0.047) Surplus Cash 0.1657 0.1654 (0.000) (0.000) Sales Growth -0.0227 -0.0230 (0.000) (0.002) Govemance Attributes Insider Ownership 0.0002 0.0005 (0.203) (0.329) Independent Director 0.0002 0.0002 (0.000) (0.139) Institutional Ownership -0.0002 -0.0002 (0.049) (0.195) Equity Compensation 0.0002 0.0003 (0.000) (0.000) Year Dummies Yes Yes Industry Dummies Yes Yes Number of Observations 3370 2938 87 BIBLIOGRAPHY 88 Alchian, Annen A., 1950, Uncertainty, evolution, and economic theory, Journal of Political Economy 58, 211-221. Allen, Franklin, and Douglas Gale, 1999, Corporate governance and competition, Working Paper. Ashbaugh-Skaife, Hollis, Daniel W. 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