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Number of emigrants by sex and sex ratio during the period 1957-1977. Year Both sexes Males Females Sex. ratio 1957 30,428 ' 19,196 11,232 170.9 1958 24,521 12,889 11,632 110.8 1959 23,684 14,044 9,640 145.7 1960 47,768 33,278 14,490 229.7 1961 58,837 36,209 22,628 160.0 1962 84,054 51,868 32,186 161.1 1963 100,072 61,966 38,106 162.6 1964 105,569 66,265 39,304 168.6 1965 117,167 65,341 51,826 126.1 1966 86,896 46,369 40,527 114.4 1967 42,730 22,885 '19,845 115.3 1968 50,866 27,232 23,634 115.2 1969 91,552 51,633 39,919 129.3 1970 92,681 53,030 39,651 133.7 1971 61,745 33,935 27,810 122.0 1972 43,397 24,470 18,927 129.3 1973 27,525 14,753 12,772 115.5 1974 24,448 13,223 11,225 117.8 1975 20,330 11,718 8,612 136.1 1976 20,374 12,349 8,025 153.9 1977(1) 16,510 10,215 6,295 162.3 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece 1974, and 1980 (1) Data for 1977 refer to January - September period. From October 1977 due to changes in the entries of the "arrival" and "departure" card, no data are collected on emigration and immigration of Greek citizens. 44 1.2 Repatriation Although repatriation is as old as emigration, only lately, name- ly in 1968, did this variable appear in the official statistics on migra- tion. Unfortunately these data were abolished altogether by October 1977 when changes in the entries of the arrival and departure card filled by Greek citizens, resulted in stopping the collection of data on emigration. and immigration. Three main reasons can be associated with the phenomenon of re- patriation that can at the same time distinguish three categories of Greek immigrants. The first category consists of all those migrants who failed to adapt in the new surroundings for various reasons and decided to return to their homeland before the fulfilment of their migration goals. Their period of residence abroad was the shortest of the three categories and their number was higher immediately after a new migration stream. The establishment of Greek communities in the new places of migration provi- ded support for new migrants and a buffering system for the relaxation of various tensions arising from their contact with the host culture. The second category consists of all those migrants that returned due to the fact that they had fulfilled their migration goals or those who did not see any benefit in prolonging their stay abroad or that their prolonged stay was not compensated for by the continuing loss of the direct love and affection of their relatives and friends in the home- land. we may say that this group represents a living example of the Odyssean spirit that not only brought them to the foreign countries but brought them.back to the paternal land. There are many examples of such 45 Greek immigrants who left the foreign countries in times of continuing prosperity. Even recently many of those overseas Greek immigrants belong to this category (see table 28). The third category consists of all those who, in some way were‘ forced to return home due to setbacks in the economy of the receiving countries. When the economic crisis is sudden and deep, as was the case with the depression in the 1930's in the USA, a massive return migration can occur. Unfortunately there are no data on how many Greek migrants returned to Greece at that period from the USA, and how many of them emigrated again as soon as the American economy started to pick up. In cases where the drawbaCks of the economy of the receiving countries is gradual, as was the case with the situation which developed in W. Germany and other European countries as a result of the oil crisis, a different pattern has developed in the process of return. First of all children, women and older persons return first, while migrants remained in an effort to prolong their stay as much as possible, in order to qualify for retirement benefits or increase their savings which would allow them to improve their economic situation when return was unavoidable. This pat- tern is documented in the data provided in table 29 where the percentages of women and very young (0-14 years) and older (45 and over) people are higher among immigrants than among emigrants. Of course there is one limi- tation in interpreting these data,Those who returned to Greece during the period 1968 to 1976 did not necessarily migrateJ during the same period and thus,the assumption that the present immigrants had the same chara- cteristics at the time of their emigration as the emigrants of the 1968 to 1976 period is necessary, which is not far from reality. An interesting question on the phenomenon of repatriation is 46 whether people that migrated from rural areas returned to them or prefer- red to settle in the urban centers of the country. Data gathered on this problem and arranged in table 30 support the argument that those who emigrated from rural areas returned to those areas in smaller proportions. Of course the data was based on information provided by the immigrants at the time of crossing the borders and we do not know whether they changed their minds a few months later and moved to urban centers. Also the difference might be greater in reality since some of those who were counted as immigrants were not counted as emigrants since they were born abroad, and those who immigrated at a certain year were not a part of those who emigrated at the same year. Calculation of totals for the period 1971-1977 for emigration and for 1970-1977 for immigration reveal- ed that while 48Z of the emigrants came from rural areas, immigrants settled in rural areas consisted of only 38.7Z, thus leaving a gap of 9 percentage units. The question posed is worth being investigated since those immigrants who were in touch with other cultures will work as change agents in their rural areas in case of permanent residence to those areas and thus there is a great potential simultaneously for change and conflict in those areas. 47 Table 28. Greek immigrants by country of origin (percentages) during the period 1968 — 1976. Number of Countries of origin (Z) Year immigrants, Overseas European Other MediaNot declared . . terranean 1968 18,882 25.1 60.3 7.8 6.8 1969 18,132 28.4 62.6 5.8 3.2 1970 22,665 31.4 61.5 4.5 2.6 1971 24,709 33.3 60.8 2.8 3.1 1972 27,522 30.8 62.7 3.0 3.5 1973 22,285 28.4 63.1 2.9 5.6 1974 24,476 19.6 74.9 1.6 3.9 1975 34,214 13.6 81.6 .8 4.0 1976(1) 32,067 16.7 79.7 1.3 ' 2.3 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece, 1969 to 1977 and calculations by the author (1) Immigration data have been collected only from 1968 up to September 1977. Table 29. Sex and age composition (Z) of Greek emigrants and immigrants during the period 1968 - 1976. Migration . c From and To By sex (Z) By age groups (Z) Greece Males Females O - 14 15 - 44 45+ Emigrants 58.6 41.4 10.9 82.0 7.1 Immigrants 54.0 46.0 17.5 65.1 17.4 SOURCE: NSSG, The population of Greece in the Second Half of the 20th Century, p. 102 48 Table 30. Greek emigrants and immigrants from and to rural areas, and proportion of total emigration and repatriation during the period 1968* to 1977(1) . E m i g r a t e d .R e p.a t r i a t e d Year Number Z Number Z 1968 *9: ** *‘k *1! 1969 *9: ** ** ** '1970 I ** ** 5,080 23.2 1971 32,019 53.3 8,629 36.9 1972 22,157 53.0 9,728 38.3 1973 12,576 48.8 8,154 40.5 1974 9,523 42.4 9,835 42.8 1975 7,373 39.5 14,926 45.7 1976 6,999 38.6 12,286 40.8 1977(1) 5,757 41.8 4,049 . 35.5 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece 1969 to 1978 (*) Data on repatriation were not available prior to 1968 (**) Were not available using the rural-urban distinction (1) See table 27 49 1.3 Internal Although internal migration and specifically rural to urban migration appeared only at the beginning of the present century, it was not until the mid 50's that it gained a momentum that pulled millions of people from rural areas. As a result of centralized development and admit nistration for over thirty years, by 1971 over one third (35.3Z) of the country's population was conCentrated in two urban centers, the greater Athens and Thessaloniki.Metropolitan areas. Table 31 clearly presents the enormous rates of increase of the two metropolitan areas during the last five censuses. It is also evident from.the same table that during the last decade the rate of increase has slowed down substantially in both metropo- litan areas (from 37.1Z for the period 1961-1971 to 18.8Z for 1971-1981 for Athens, and from 46.4Z to 20.9Z for Thessaloniki, respectively). This slowdown process was not mainly the.result of redistribution policies implemented by the Greek government, although.$ome policies espe- cially through tax incentives to new industries established outside of the Greater Athens area, contributed to the slowdown. Congestion and environ- mental degradation, mainly in Athens, plus the mathematics involved - mi— gration had reached its peak point and thus a decrease was expected — are also equally possible reasons for this slowdown. Statistics on internal migration are gathered through a specific question placed in the population census questionnaire referring to the place of residence 5 years before.the date of the census. Cross tabula— tions of various demographic variables of those persons with a dif- ferent place of residence provide useful information about who is migrat- ing. Of course the lack of information about the reasons for their migration greatly impede the full analysis of the phenomenon, since part 50 of the movers had no choice other than to move, e.g. public officials, army officers, e.t.c. Looking at the data provided by the 1971 census and using the rural-urban dichotomy for both the place of origin and destination,'one can easily note that each of the four streams (rural to urban, rural to rural, urban to rural and urban to urban) was present. Of course, the dominant stream was the rural to urban migration. Unfortunately the available data provide information on the number of in and out migrants of rural and urban areas without any reference to the place of origin and destination of those migrants. Thus, during the five year period preceeding the 1971 census, 144,300 people moved to rural areas from other rural, semi-urban, and urban areas and at the same time 392,840 people left the rural areas for an unspecified destination. As a result rural areas lost nearly a quarter of a million of their population. It is interesting to note that in and out-migrants had almost the same age composition, with the exception of the group 15 to 24 years of age, which was greater among out—migrants than in—migrants (see Table 32). Similarly the age composition among the net migrants of rural and urban areas gives evidence to support the argument that those who left rural areas were [settled in the urban centers (Table 33). Also the sex composition of net migrants of rural and urban areas (Table 34) was similar. 51 Table 31. Population of the Greater Athens and Thessaloniki Metropolitan areas and percentage increase during the last five censuses. Census Greater Athens (Greater Thessaloniki Total Greece Year Number intercensus Number .Tntercensgs Number Intercensus a. increase(Z).. increase(Z) A increase(4) 1940 1,124,109 278,145 7,344,860 22.6 8.8 3.9 1951 1,378,586 302,635 7,632,801 34.4 25.8 9.9 1961 1,852,709 ' 380,648 8,388,553 37.1 46.4 4.5 1971 2,540,241 557,360 (1) 8,768,641, 18.8 20.9 (2) 10.7 1981 3,017,806 ,* 9,707,000 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece, 1968, and 1978 and Intercom, vol. 9, No 6, p. 6 (1) For the entire Prefecture of Thessaloniki and not only for the Greater Thessaloniki Metropolitan area. (2) Preliminary results of the 1981 census reported in "Intercom" (*) Data were not available Table 32. Household members migrating to and from rural areas, after 1965, y age . In-migrants Out-migrants Net .migration Age groups Number Z Number Z Number Z 5 - 14 23,160 16.0 74,220 18.9 - 51,060 20.5 15 - 24 35,020. 24.3 121,420 30.9 - 86,400 34.8 25 - 34 37,000 25.6 72,260 18.4 - 35,260 14.2 35 - 44 20,360 14.1 52,340 13.3 - 31,980 12.9 45 - 64 19,400 13.5 48,340 12.3 - 28,940 11.6 65+ 9,360 6.5 x 24,260 6.2 + 14,900 6.0 Total 144,300 100.0 392,840 100.0 -248,540 100.0 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece 1978, p. 37 (l) 5Z sample elaboration of the 1971 census questionnaires Table 33. Comparison of net rural and urban migration after 1965, by age 52 R u r-a l 7A.r e a s U r b a n A r e a.s Age groups Neu m b e r Z N u m b e r Z 5 - 14 - 51,060 20.5 45,460 17.2 15 - 24 - 86,400 34.8 100,640 38.2 25 - 34 - 35,260 14.2 34,400 13.1 35 - 44 - 31,980 12.9 34,340 13.0 45 - 64 — 28,940 11.6 31,940 12.1 65+ - 14,900 6.0 16,840 6.4 Total -248,540 100.0. . 263,620 100.0 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical Yearbook of Greece 1978, p. 37 (1) sample elaboration of the 1971 census questionnaires. Table 34. Comparison of in-, nut-, d net migrants of rural and urban areas after 1965, by sex(T?. ‘ R u r a l A r e a s U r b a n r e a s Sex N u m b e r Z N u m b e r Z In-migrants Males 67,100 46.5 255,680 49.1 Females 77,200 53.5 266,200 50.9 Both sexes 144,300 100.0 521,880 100.0 Out-migrants Males 182,020 46.3 134,140 51.9 Females 210,820 53.7 124,120 48.1 Both sexes 392,840 100.0 258,260 100.0 Net migrants _ Males -114,920 46.2 121,540 46.1 Females -113,620 53.8 142,080 53.9 Both sexes -248,540 100.0 263,620 100.0 SOURCE: NSSG, Statistical (1) Yearbook of Greece 1978, p. 37 5Z sample elaboration of the 1971 census questionnaires (l) 53 2. Fertility 2.1 Marriage Rates Marriage rates for the twenty year period, 1956 to 1975 presented in Table 35 seems to be relatively stable and almost equal for urban and (1) rural areas of the country. The division of the entire period into two equal sub-periods and the calculation of average marriage rates for the two areas revealed a slight increase in the average marriage rates for urban areas (from 8.0 in period 1956 to 1965 increased to 8.2 in 1966 to 1975) and a major drop for rural areas (from 8.7 in the period 1956 to 1965 to 8.0 in the period 1966 to 1975). This fact is further evidence of the rural to urban migration that removed young unmarried people from rural areas. Of course part of this trend may be attributed to the fact that people in urban areas, due to higher divorce rates, remarry a second or third time, which is rarely practiced in the traditional cocieties of rural areas. 2.2 Crude Birth Rates During the period 1956 to 1975 the crude birth rate remained steady in urban areas, around 16 to 17 births per thousand population for most years of the period. On the other hand, crude birth rates for the rural population exhibited a steady decrease, dropping from about 21 births per thousand population to about 15 births. This dramatic drop of the crude birth rate at the end of the period and of levels even lower than the urban population birth rate (see Table 35) can be attributed to two factors. First, a dramatic change in the fertility behavior of (1) Settlements with up to 9,999 inhabitants '54 the rural population and/or a substantial decrease in the proportion of the population of childbearing ages (15 to 49 years) in the rural areas of the country. The fact that the decrease was so rapid and in such a short time (20 years) combined with the fact that the birth rate dropped even below that of urban population, cast doubts on accepting the first explanation. 2.3 Total Fertility Rates Calculation of the total fertility rate, which is a more refined measure, as it takes into account not the total population but only women of childbearing ages, 15 to 49 years, revealed that there was no change in the fertility behavior of the rural women during the period examined. Data on total fertility rates presented in Table 36 show that rural women had a consistently higher total fertility rate throughout the entire-period than urban women. On the other hand, total fertility rates for urban women climbed steadily during the first half of the. period examined (from 1956 to 1967) and then remained almost at the same level throughout the rest of the period. This trend provides strong evi— dence of how the rural to urban migration of people of young ages affect- ed the fertility rates of the urban centers - the period of increasing fertility rates in urban areas coincides with the period of heavy rural to urban migration - and how strongly the growth potential was affected in the rural areas. It also provides another very useful insight for population poli- cy consideration for a country like Greece which would like to increase its population growth which has approached the zero level. If policy makers want to increase the rate of growth of the Greek population, the 55 best way to do so is by keeping the population in the rural areas of the 1 country( ). Not through compulsory measures, of course, but through policy measures that will provide job Opportunities and better living conditions for the-rural population. 2.4 Illegitimate Births The illegitimacy ratio, that is the number of illegitimate live births per 1,000 total live births, revealed a slight decrease through— out the entire period in rural areas (9.2 in 1956 as compared to 8.6 in 1978) and a more rapid decrease in urban areas (24.1 in 1956 as compared to 16.4 in 1978), as it is shown in Table 37. This lower ratio of ille— gitimate births in rural areas over the urban areas cannot be attributed entirely to stronger puritanical sexual mores that persist in the rural areas of the country. It is probable, that part of these births_ go unregistered as such, especially in the rural areas of the country (NSSG., and Valaoras; 1980:39). The social stigma attached to illegitimacy of parenhood within the Greek society and especially within the rural socie- ty, is forcing the parents either to marry and declare the previously born child as legitimate or, in case marriage could not take place, the unfortunate young mother has to give her child through illegal procedures to a married'and.childless couple that declares it as their own and thus avoids the long and tedious procedure of legalized adoption. (1) Of course this does not imply that the same results can be accomplish« ed by redirecting part of the urban population in the rural areas of the'country. 56 Table 35. Marriage rates, birth rates, and stillbirth ratios in urban and rural areas<1> during the period 1956 — 1975 Year Marriage rate Birth rate Stillbirths Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural 1956 6.2 7.4 20.5 19.5 19.6 8.0 1957 8.2 8. 16.5 21.1 21.9 7.6 1958 7.7 16.3 21.0 22.7 8.5 1959 8.6 16.5 21.6 21.8 8.9 1960 6.2 7.6 15.9 21.2 23.1 9.6 1961 8.5 8.4 16.1 19.5 21.1 9.4 1962 8.2 8.6 16.4 19.4 20.4 10.5 1963 9.2 9.2 16.6 18.3 19.3 11.6 1964 8.8 9.0 17.4 18.3 21.6 11.4 1965 8.4 9.5 17.5 17.8 20.2 11.9 1966 8.1 8.5 18.3 17.6 19.6 12.7 1967 9.8 9.1 19.1 18.5 17.5 12.5 1968 7.4 7.7 18.5 18.4 16.0 12.0 1969 8.4 8.2 17.7 17.5 16.1 12.8 1970 7.6 7.7 17.0 15.8 14.9 11.4 1971 8.5 8.1 16.6 15.3 14.7 12.3 1972 6.8 6.8 16.8 14.9 13.6 11.8 1973 8.6 7.9 16.3 14.4 12.8 11.7 1974 7.8 7.4 16.9 15.0 12.9 11.2 1975 8.7 8.3 16.6 ' 14.8 12.4 10.9 (1) Century, Athens 1980, p. 35, Table 14. Settlements with up to 9,999 inhabitants SOURCE: NSSG, The Population of Greece in the Second Half of the 20th 57 Table 36. Total fertility rate among the urban and rural(l) population, during the period 1956 - 1975. . T o t a.lf F e r t i l i,t y , R a t e(2) Year , . H . , . ., , .Urban .. .Rural, . .Difference 1956 ’ 1,754 2,883 1,129 1957 1,762 2,778 1,016 1958 1,737 2,740 1,003 1959 1,769 2,817 1,048 1960 1,718 2,779 1,061 1961 1,756 2,590 834 1962 1,828 2,621 793 1963 1,893 2,534 641 1964 2,022 2,612 590 1965 2,045 2,568 523 1966 2,172 2,608 436 .1967 2,323 2,821 498 1968 2,292 2,901 609 1969 2,211 2,845 634 1970 2,136 2,628 492 1971 2,088 2,618 530 1972 2,123 2,640 517 1973 2,071 2,664 593 1974 2,155 2,268 113 1975 2,104 2,948 844 SOURCE: Same as Table 35 (1) See Table 35 (2) Per 1,000 women 58 Table 37. Sex ratio of legitimate and illegitimate births and illegiti- macy ratio in rural and urban areas during the period 1956 - 1978. "Sex ratio of births:. Illegitimacy ratio Year Legitimate.births Illegitimate births Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural 1956 108.0 107.9 106.5 111.1 9.2 24.1 1957 107.8 106.7 106.0 100.7 9. 25.2 1958 109.7 105.5 98.7 103.3 8. 21.5 1959 109.0 105.1 113.7 93.8 8.1 20.7 1960 106.9 107.6 109.0 104.1 7.7 19.5 1961 108.0 107.1 114.5 113.7 7.4 19.2 1962 105.7 106.7 103.2 99.2 7.2 17.4 1963 107.0 106.6 124.2 103.3 7.6 17.5 1964 106.5 106.1 127.1 116.6 7.0 15.7 1965 106.7 107.7 98.0 122.3 6.2 15.1 1966 107.8 107.3 105.7 109.1 5.9 13.4 1967 105.8 107.5 103.8 113.7 6.0 113.3 1968 105.8 106.1 105.9 107.7 6.9 14.8 1969 108.1 106.1 102.7 103.9 6.5 15.2 1970 105.5 108.6 119.4 107.2 6.8 14.1 1971 107.6 106.0 110.8 108.2 7.0 15.4 1972 106.4 106.1 108.6 108.8 6.5 15.3 1973 107k8 107.9 96.5 99.9 6.6 16.7 1974 107.6 106.3 102.8 109.4 6.8 15.4 1975 107.1 106.1 94.2 108.0 7.4 16.2 1976 109.1 106.7 129.3 101.0 6.6 16.2 1977 107.5 104.5 86.9 116.5 7.0 16.4 1978 107.0 .108.3, 790.8 103.1 8.6 ..16.4 -All,'years 107.41 106.7 “1075.1 , 106.81 SOURCE:NSSG., Vital.Statistics of Greece, 1956-1978 and calculations by the author. (*) The irregularity of the annual sex ratios is probably the result of the small number of illegitimate biths. Table 38. 59 Percentages of live births by the person who was responsible for the delivery in rural and urban areas. Selected Years. Year Physician Midwife and Nurse Other PerSon Not declared 1956 1957 1958 1966 1967 1968 1975 1976 1977 1978 . 1956 1957- 1958 1966 1967 1968 1975 1976 1977 1978 19.4 21.0 23.6 47.7 49.5 52.5 70.7 73.5 77.6 79.3 67.2 70.2 73.3 92.6 93.3 94.1 97.4 97.6 98.0 98.2 Rural areas 40 35 22.1 .4 2 1 20 18. 17. .0 39. 39. 8 7 .2 34. 33. 2 ...a 37. 36. 34.4 17. 16.3 14. Urban areas 30. 27. 24. 6. U! H H N N o . o o . \l a) 1" b.) 0 2 1 NW @150“ 4..\ ONNr—IN O'\ HNNW 3.5 3.2 2.3 .01 .002 .003 0000 0" .01 .01 .006 .004 SOURCE: See Table 37 60 Table 39. Live births by place of permanent residence of the mother and place of birth. Selected years. Year Urban areas - Semi-urban areas Rural ~areas All areas(l) (a) 52,791 22,134 83,174 158,099 1956 (b) 65,986 20,708 71,509 158,203 (a) 54,277 21,504 80,127 155,908 1957 (b) 67,208 20,668 68,064 155,940 (a) 75,132 19,184 60,200 -154,516 1966 (b) 106,821 15,338 32,454 154,613 (a) 80,758 19,265 62,712 162,735 1967 (b) 116,487 15,299 31,053 162,839 (a) 90,940 15,268 40,272 164,480 1976 (b) 128,591 7,937 10,038 146,566 (a) 90,180 14,952 38,537 143,669 1977 (b) 129,455 7,051 7,233 143,739 (a) 92,549 15,428 38,482 146,459 1978 (b) 132,964 7,363 6,261 146,588 SOURCE: NSSG., Statistical Yearbook of Greece (a) By permanent residence of the mother (b) By place of occurence of birth 1957, 1967, 1977,and (1) Totals are not the same because a small number of births took place abroad and were not included in line (a). 1980 61 Table 40. Percentages of live births by place of birth, and place of permanent residence of the mother. Selected years. Other place and Year Residence Hospital Other establishment - - . A . . Not, declared Rural Areas 1956 81.0 17.4 1.0 .5 1957 79.5 19.2 .7 1958 76.2 23.2 .1 .5 1966 48.0 51.5 .2 1967 44.4 55.3 .1 1968 40.4 59.3 .1 . 1975 24.3 75.6 .03 .1 1976 21.3 78.5 .02 .1 1977 15.6 84.2 .02 .1 1978 15.6 84.2 .02 .1 Urban Areas 1956 30.1 64.4 5.0 .5 1957 26.1 67.1 6.3 .5 1958 23.7 75.0 .9 .4 1966 9.6 90.3 .01 .1 1967 7.6 92.2 .1 .1 1968 6.2 93.7 .01 .1 1975 2.2 97.8 .002 .03 1976 97.9 .01 .04 1977 1.4 98.6 .003 .02 1978 1.1 98.9 .004 .03 and Calculations by the Author. SOURCE: NSSG, Vital Statistics of Greece, 1956 to 1978, Athens, Greece 62 3. Mortality 3.1 Crude. Death Rates Statistics on the crude death rates during the period 1956 to 1975 in the rural and urban.areas of the country (Table 41) reveal little or no change for urban areas (mostly 7.5 to 7.8 deaths per thousand population) and a substantial increase for rural areas (from 7.4 to 10.7 deaths per thousand population). Although health care is better in urban than in rural areas, and at the same time, better in both areas than they were even a few decades ago, quality of health care cannot explain the difference in favor of the urban areas, for the additional reason that the slight difference at the beginning of the examined period increased progressively. The only possible explanation left is again the effect of the rural to urban migration and emigration that removed, for the most part, the young and adult population of low risk and left behind the elderly with the high risk of death that is associated with.advanced age. The period of increased death rates followed the massive departure of young people from rural areas that altered their age composition in favor of the older group (people beyond the age of 65), and thus provides further evidence for the casual explanation of this trend. 3.2 Infant Death Rates The way in which the quality of data can distort the conclusions is clearly evident from the statistical data on infant death.rates pro- vided in Table 41, with.and without correction for the undeclared infant deaths. Using the uncorrected data the picture that results is that while infant death rates exhibited a slight decrease over the period 1956 to 63 1975 in urban areas, the decrease was faster and even greater in rural areas, which at the end of the same period had lower infant.death rates than the urban areas!. Of course this cannot be accepted as valid - it is too good to be true - although during the period there was a substantial improvement in child delivery practices in the rural areas where midwives were replaced by specialized doctors and also deliveries were progressive- ly taking place in hospitals and specialized clinics instead of in the home. Thus, better health care was available to newborn babies during their first period of life which is associated with high risk (see Tables 38, 39, and 40). On the contrary, using the corrected infant death rates the pictu- re is quite different and closer to reality, since infant death rates were higher in rural areas than in urban areas throughout the entire period. It is encouraging that the decrease was substantial for both areas but there is still room for further improvement, especially in the rural areas of the country. At the same time, although the registration of infant deaths was almost complete in the urban areas, there are still many things to be done in that direction in the rural areas of the country. 3.3 Life Expectancy at Birth The fact that life tables provide an index of the level of morta- lity by representing a summarization of a whole series of age specific mortality rates enables their use in comparing two populations at a time or one p0pulation over time. Unfortunately, life tables are prepared in Greece only for the total population. Even the late special publication of the NSSG (1980) under the supervision of Professor Valaoras which gave many demographic 64 measures using for the first time the rural - urban distinction, did not publish separate life tables for the rural population of the country. Although no explanation was provided for that omission, several reasons can be assumed (e.g. lack of completeness in the registration system in rural areas, e.t.c.). What is important to note here is how far the ana* lysis of various aspects of the rural population is impeded by the lack of available data. Of course one can easily make resonahle guesses for the rural population using the data on the urban population bearing in mind that infant mortality rates and infectious and parasitic diseases are higher in rural than in urban areas. The only available life tables for the rural population of the country are those constructed using the 1961 census data. Using the life expectancy at birth as a measure of comparison one can easily conclude by looking at the data provided in Table 42 that the progress towards lowering mortality rates at early ages through better health care was tremendous. Namely, the life expectancy at birth increased from 45 years for males and 47.5 years for females in 1928 to 70.1 years and 73.6 years, respectively by 1970. Similar data for the rural popula- tion in the year 1961 shawed about a year difference in the life expect- ancy in contrast to the urban population (66.8 years for rural males in comparison to 68.2 for urban males and 70.1 for rural females compared to 71.5 years for urban females). The near-worldwide superiority in the life expectancy of females over males was also present in the Greek data. 65 Table 41. Death rate and uncorrected and corrected infant death rates in urban and ruralCl) areas during the period 1956 - 1975. Infant .death. rates Year Death rate s , g _ . Uncorrected Corrected Urban Rural 1 Urban (Rural, Urban Rural 1956 7.5 7.4 27.9 46.5 46.8 58.7 1957 7.3 7.9 39.3 46.7 46.0 57.6 1958 .8 7.3 36.2 40.6 44.9 55.6 1959 7.0 7.7 37.5 42.4 44.1 54.2 1960 6.7 7.7 37.0 41.8 43.2 53.4 1961 7.4 7.9 38.2 40.9 42.9 53.2 1962 7.6 8.1 38.8 41.5 43.4 53.9 1963 7.5 8.2 37.3 40.8 40.6 51.4 1964 .7 8.5 37.3 34.6 39.2 49.0 1965 7.6 8.1 35.4 33.3 37.6 46.2 1966 7. 8.2 35.4 38.6 36.1 45.2 1967 7. 8.8 36.0 32.6 35.1 44.5 1968 7.8 9.0 36.4 32.5 34.2 43.6 1969 7.6 8.8 33.3 30.2 33.3 42.4 1970 7.6 9.3 31.2 27.8 31.8 40.6 1971 7.6 9.3 29.3 24.0 30.3 37.6 1972 7.8 9.8 31.1 22.4 29.2 35.6 1973 7.6 10.1 25.7 22.0 28.1 34.1 1974 7.5 10.0 25.3 22.0 27.3 33.0 1975 7.6 10.7 26.0 20.1 26.8 32.1 SOURCE: Same as Table 35 (1) Settlements with up to 9,999 inhabitants 66 Table 42. Life expectancy at birth for the total population and the rural population by sex in 1928, 1940, 1950, 1960, and 1970 Total Population Rural Population Year - Males ‘Females ' A Males Femalesl 1928 44.95' 47.46 4* 4* 1940 52.94 55.80 ** ** 1950 63.44 66.65 ** ** * * 1960 67.30 70.42 66.8 70.1 1970 70.13 73.64- . v ** ** SOURCE: NSSG, Vital Statistics of Greece 1977, p. XLV and p. XIX (*) For the year 1961 and both the rural and semi-urban areas. The respective data for the urban population were: 68.2 years for males and 71.5 years for females. (**) No data were available III. SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS The preceding analysis revealed two major findings. First, demo- graphic differences between the rural and urban areas still persist. Second, the common denominator for most of the changes in those characte- ristics is the heavy exodus of young people from the rural areas of the country. In the following paragraphs an attempt is made to summarize those changes and to pinpoint the effect on them by the migration momentum that was at its heighth during the period studied. The rural population is decreasing and the country as a whole gives the impression that it is turning into an urban nation. On the other hand, it still remains an overwhelmingly rural country if you consi- der each of its geographic regions, with the exception of the two geogra- phic regions that include the two and the only two, great metropolitan areas of the country, Athens and Thessaloniki. Thus, the country is be- coming more and more polarized, with two urban centers having all the problems of the megalopolis (congestion, environmental deterioration etc). Furthermore these areas absorb vast amounts of resources in trying to ameliorate those problems, and the rest of the country, on the other hand, with their small communities struggle to retain their population and depend for resources upon the charity of the authorities in the capital. Household size became progressively smaller throughout the period studied due to the effect of three factors; The migration of some of its members, the separation of new couples from their immediate parents 67 68 through the availability of greater opportunities to establish their own separate households. even within the same village, and the changing attitudes towards family size that now favor a smaller number of off- springs. Although the rural family became smaller in size, it is still larger than the urban family since urban values and attitudes towards fertility have not been fully assimilated by the rural population. The changes in the age composition of the rural population pin- pointed very clearly the enormous consequences of the huge rural exodus. The few adults that were left behind are struggling to support greater numbers of dependents (young and old). By 1971 every 10 rural adults had to support 7 dependents as compared to only 5 in urban areas. The burden becomes even greater if one takes into account the income differentials that discriminate heavily against the rural population. The sex ratio was also distorted in the rural population through— out the period 1951 - 1971, especially in the productive ages, 15 to 64, as a result of the selective process of migration that removed more males than females from the rural areas. Statistics on education and illiteracy showed a great improve- ment in the education of the rural people but still many things have to be done in rural areas and mainly towards providing the conditions that are necessary to keep educated people in local areas. The difference in the rates of university graduates in rural and urban areas has been widened (from 25.2 persons every 1000 population in 1961 to 35.4 in 1971); also 21.3Z of the illiterate population 'lives in rural areas as compared to 9.0Z for the urban areas. Crude birth rates for the rural population exhibited a steady “ decrease throughout the period 1956 - 1975, dropping from about 21 births 69 per thousand population to about 15 births, while urban rates remained steady, around 16 to 17 births per thousand population. The fact that this rapid drop in birth rates in the rural areas, even.to levels lower than the urban areas, was caused by the heavy rural exodus that was main- ly composed of young adults in the reproductive ages and not by changes in the fertility patterns, was evidenced by the calculation of the total fertility rates. This refined measure revealed that rural women are still having more births (about one more) throughout their reproductive ages than urban women do. This finding also emphasizes that if the population growth of the country has to be enhanced - as some voices have pointed out - this would be done more easily and more securely through policy measures that build within the rural population.rather than the urban population. The fast drop of birth rates in rural areas was accompanied, as expected, by an equal increase in the death rates, as a result of the heavy rural exodus that left behind the very young and the elderly. Hundreds of villages and even entire areas are experiencing more deaths than births and their near-complete depopulation is only a matter of a few decades. Fortunately, the migration streams, both internal and external, have lost their momentum and according to the statistical data many Greeks return to their home villages from the industrialized countries of the Western Europe. Will they settle permanently in those areas in the future or will they head for the two urban monsters is still an.unanswer- ed question. At the same.time the.SIOthown in migration should not be taken for granted. It was caused by external forces operating in the countries of destination and was not a response to changes within the 70 country. Therefore, it is possible that new conditions can create in the future a new migration stream while the push factors will be kept opera- ting within the country. Thus, the need to adopt and implement population distribution and redistribution policies is greater than ever before. Although some policy measures were implemented in the past, especially through tax incentives to new industries established outside of the Greater Athens area, they did not substantially contribute to the slow-down of rural exodus. Lack of strong commitment, lack of long-term orientation and lack of efficient administration were the main reasons. In addition, no attention was paid to "hidden" policies that result from the fact that "migration is linked to many variables" and consequently a sheer number of programs can have a negative or positive influence on migration (Findley, 1977:139). ,A new package of policy measures on population distribution and redistribution is necessary to be developed after a thorough study of. the existing migration streams (volume, direction, and structure) in line with social and economic trends. Lack of such consideration tends "...touch on the to generate policies with little success since they symptoms rather than on the roots of the ills" (Wander, 1973:361). At the same time government officials have to follow that program.over a long period of time. As Morrison (1973:368) pointed out "...achieving significant changes (of the population) would require decades of sustain- ed intervention". Before achieving a population turnaround in Greece, rural socio- logists have no other choice than to keep using "the gloomy language of rural depopulation: flight from land, lack of jobs, exodus of young .71 people, erosion of community institutions, difficulties in maintaining a minimum level of necessary public services, and the withering of morale in our small towns and rural hamlets" (Schwarzweller, 1979:7). 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. REFERENCES Bernard, H. Russell, and Ashton-Vouyoucalos, Sandy. "Return Migration 1976 to Greece". Journal of the Steward Anthropological Society. Vol. 8, No 1:31-51 Candilis, O. Wray. The Economy of Greece: Efforts for Stability and 1968 .Development. N. York: Frederick A. Praeger. pp. 152-167 Findley, Sally. Planninggfor Internal Migration: A Review of Issues 1977 and Policies in Developing Countries. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office. Lewis, J.G. Rural Communities. London: David and Charles (Publishers) 1979 Limited. Morrison, A. Peter. "A Demographic Assessment of New Cities and Growth 1973 Centers as Population Redistribution Strategies". Public Policy 21(summer):367-382. .' Mouzelis, P. Nicos. Modern Greece: Facets of Underdevelopment.N. York: 1978 Holmes and Meier Publishers, Inc. National Satistical Service of Greece. Statistical Yearbook of Greece: 1955-1980. Athens: Government Printing Office Vital Statistics of Greece: 1956 - 1978. Athens: Govern- ment Printing Office. , and Valaoras, V. The population of Greece in the Second Half of the 20th Century. Athens: Government Printing Office. 1980 Panhellenic Confederation of Unions of Agricultural Cooperatives. 1978 Greek Agriculture. Athens. (in Greek, English, and French). Population Reference Bureau. "Greek Census: 9.7 Million Now". In 1981 Intercom. Vol. 9. No. 6. Schwarzweller, Harry K. "Migration and the Changing Rural Scene". 1979 Rural Sociology. 44(1): 7-23. SthOCk, 3- Henry, and Siegel, Jacob S., and Associates. The Methods 1976 and Materials of Demography. N. York: Academic Press. Weller, H‘ Robert, and BOUVier, Leon F. Population: Demography_and o . . r 1981 Polio . N. York. St. Martin 8 Press. 72 73 15. Wander, Hilde. "Population Policies Affecting Internal Migration and Urbanization". In International Population Conference 1973 1973 (Liege, 1973); v61. 3, pp. 359-371- James, and Brown, David L. "The Changing Character of the 1978 Nonmetropolitan Population, 1950-75- In Rural USA; Persist- ence and Change. Ames: Iowa State University Press. pp. 55-72. 16. Zuiches, J.