l‘u‘.‘u‘-‘- ' -_-—u"-_ ‘I AN EXPLORATORY STUDY OF THE MEANING OF SOCIAL INDICATORS IN PRODUCT STRATEGY Thesis for the Degree of Ph. D. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY POLIA LERNER HAMBURGER 1972 I’ 7!) n p '— Y \Ifi Michigan o are University rnL=|§ This is to certify that the thesis entitled An Exploratory Study of the Meaning of Social Indicators in Product Strategy presented by Polia Lerner Hamburger has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph . D . Marketing MW Major professor ‘ degree in Date July 25, 1972 0-7639 :‘II‘II’A nAEmHflIIS" I "BDK°‘““RIINE. gllfliglgfilllclzli ' &\' E‘ZPLI MEANING I.\' PI POILL: u:--... ‘pfinflepn F C , H.4C.:I‘~y4. ““‘ .. ' a “-ng are here to 5;; "I. l ‘I:"" .1 .. ' Q ,' Vin ’7'“ '*.._< "H’u‘iu‘e ls u..A ABSTRACT AN EXPLORATORY STUDY OF THE MEANING OF SOCIAL INDICATORS IN PRODUCT STRATEGY By Polia Lerner Hamburger This dissertation deals with the impact of social indicators and social reporting on corporate decision making for product strategy. The basic assumption is that social indicators and social reporting are here to stay, and exploration of their implications for marketing planning is thus justified. It also is assumed that social indicators and social report- ing will help define the state of the society and may indicate the areas to which government policies and programs will be directed. Because of government/business interfaces, whatever indicates the direction in which government will move is bound to have an impact on corporate decision making, specifically on product strategy decisions. Social indicators and social reporting will point to social trends and consequent changes in life styles, value systems, and . I l'i‘ .‘a .. .r. ! I . I .Q fix! 3 l’ a Polia Lerner Hamburger consumer behavior. Their use in planning corporate marketing strategy is obvious. It is further conceptualized that social indi— cators and social reporting eventually will be part of the information that the Marketing Intelligence System processes in order to allow the effective evaluation of the marketing system' 3 opportunities and constraints. Consistent with these assumptions, twenty -one initial propositions were advanced. They were investigated in interviews with fourteen executives, in three of the four domestic passenger car manufacturing firms. Conclusions can be summarized as follows. Most of the subjects interviewed were not aware of the "social information explosion. " The executives were familiar with the social areas and issues for which such indicators are being developed, but the term social indicators and the idea of associating measurement with social issues were unfamiliar. Once the concept was explained, it was well understood. Respondents strongly agree that the availability of regularly published social indicators will affect corporate decision making. They also 3333 that the avail- ability of social indicators will have an impact on corporation goals, organizational structure, and product strategy. '0‘, :" at .O .D‘ o> w . . FA A F - ' '~ .-Sed 0.1 -.€.. TEZ'I :: several difer ‘ manna!" H w" 'r f .l nacEdl t ”C... «b m - ‘. w.....- .. mr' '- r I “as“. ,o..- .o .- ~ --0Ap-va- 'Oon a .. lay-t3): Occikera’ 5:5:- SCEII'S 3°?“ 1:555: general and o." rzease 1'26 following 22:52:33 regglation 1r ;:::;;l;.‘f Juct qvali '. 'L =E-‘“= \"at Prod :9 -:::‘:._E are 1“le .-t..‘:_. 0: Will be 5;. ' C.- I "I’ 91‘ tn 5 I: 75.. "341': . ~.:. Polia Lerner Hamburger Respondents strongly agree that the responsibility for procurement and analysis of social indicators and policy recom- mendations based on them should be given to a specific group as opposed to several different groups within the corporation. There is disagreement on whichgroup. Suggested most often were market research or. similar-research groups, product planning personnel, "topcorporate officers, " or an independent agency. Respondents strongly agree that governmental regulation of business in general and of the automobile industry in particular will increase. The following areas are suggested as the most likely to be subject to regulation in the industry: social product quality, functional product quality, price, damageability, and noise. The subjects Egr_e_e_ that product failure risks and the risk of introducing new products are increasing. They also agie_e that the pace of innovation will increase because of new market values, needs, and potentials, or will be spurred by the‘reg’ulations themselves. The interviewees 3.5.133 that there is popular dissatisfaction with the overall system, the business system, and the automobile industry. , However, they $133. that there is satisfaction with their own company. Subjects strongly agree that the high visibility of the auto- mobilevindustry. in the concerns of consumers and environment ' I 3’8“. $«..pv-n-—r_.._4 ._____ NT _.‘ ‘L. :3 n L ...-:'.----A'-:‘o . ‘a. # I ”.z- - as I-’ —o.' P- . '4 r; :‘n‘: 3..:, ‘..~ '-~'. " P. h ,- .IT:~3..CE‘;_ .5 CL V c..- . .' . . ' - P" F 0| '- -....... 5.. .1d 1.. I V ‘ r... .F P .. .. .4: p3:hc_ _’ ' I 5 "”1 5"; C13 3': ‘- “gt-.2131 product 2‘ Polia Lerner Hamburger protection is duejma-inly to the size and importance of the industry and the characteristics of the product itself. They E that the industry' 8 and their own company' 3 reaction to both consumer and environmental protection pressures was about right. The answers were indeterminate in relation to the industry' 3 reaction to govern- ment regulations. They $52 that their own company reacted better than the industry as a whole. Respondents 3333 that to overcome criticism the auto- mobileindustry should improve both its product and its communica- tionwith the public. The subjects strongly agree that the consumers' concern with functional product quality is increasing. They 3.5.552 that con- cern with social quality and with price is increasing. They 3.5.1223. that future consumer concern with styling will remain about the same as it is now (very high). Answers on whether or not the increases in social product quality are proportional to its high costs are indeterminate. Subjects strongly agree that the consumer will have to pay for the added costs. Answers are indeterminate about the average consumer' s willingness to pay. Respondents agree that the average consumer will be able to pay but that there may be some changes in the present patterns of market segmenta- tion and product mix offerings. They strongly agree that the trend in the market is toward the smaller‘car. . a a Q A o a 3 . . .. a: a“. m m .15 .e. “b- oa O x w. .. . r. .. u-“ WW .0. ”w a“. Jr“ W; r 1 L. ._ ”J. 3 : 1 Id. 5.5.1-2.. in... .n In.” 3 LL: . . “eve concert: . .-.—.- n 9 - o..»'. 50— ;.- -~--I 0' do: “.crease Ill 1. L"' . _. .. -_ _~ .- p.— 11 decr W1 3: ;.:no.: ., --~._ .- FE; I (201730 ! 9. - ‘0: -‘93 Polia Lerner Hamburger Respondents agree that the number of product elimination decisions will increase. They disagree with the initial proposition that the diversification of present product lines will increase. They think it will remain at about the present level. Subjects strongly agree that corporate concern with functional and social product quality will increase. They agree that corporate concern with functional product features will increase. They disagree with the initial proposition that concern with styling will decrease. They perceive concern with styling as remaining at the present level (very high). They stroneg agree that standardization of product features will increase and 3319.9. that corporate concern with product differentiation will decrease. In both cases, it is because of gov- ernmental standards, cost factors, and market reaction. All subjects perceive the issues of guarantees and warranties, customer service,, and consumer education as closely interrelated. They 35333 that corporate concern with guarantees and warranties will increase. They stroggly agree that corporate concern with customer service and consumer education will increase. They strongly‘agree that costs will increase. The stan- dards for safety, pollution control, and damageability protection are adding and will add even more to the cost of automobiles. These added costs, of course, will be passed on to the consumer. I LLL 3...; 43.321110.“ "rm-WW "4. "J par-4 g...- 5 O. r) la Fania AN EXPLORATORY STUDY OF THE MEANING OF SOCIAL INDICATORS IN PRODUCT STRATEGY By Polia Lerner Hamburger A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Marketing and Transportation Administration 1972 (C) Copyright by IKILLAXLEHUNEHRILANCBEHHSEHT 1972 ii To the memory of Hugo To JoE’o Luis and RuthRenata iii F‘- ,- . I I -—————~.. -- ‘(4’0‘ I 1- “rs" W I); ACE E. sectoral dlSSEI :32... I: is difficult :3: to szate preCISe 14253.9: work. I feel especzally ;;.;::::e committee, ‘ -: II. Iii“- .:-.:e greatly inf“ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS A doctoral dissertation is never the work of only one individual. It is difficult to name all those who aided in this study and to state precisely what each individual contributed to the finished work. I feel especially privileged for working with an outstand- ing guidance committee. Its members, all long-time mentors and friends, have greatly influenced my thinking in marketing, and I welcome this opportunity to thank them for all they have taught me in the many years we have been associated. To Dr. Donald A. Taylor, Professor, Department of Marketing and Transportation, advisor of my doctoral program and co-chairman of the committee, I am especially grateful for the valuable counsel throughout all phases of the program. His sug— gestions and contributions added much to the dissertation, and his consistent understanding, encouragement, and help, particularly when a crisis arose, are deeply appreciated. To Dr. William Lazer, Professor, Department of Market- ing and Transportation, co- chairman of the commiteee, I am iv . . po'.'. 4 '.-‘ 9--- -0 I o'- n ‘r' t u 0 ”Lu ¢ o - POI-L; ~> , 9'.- -:'.;:.'.5 Ellen '-- V a W9 b -QOQF~ 1 .<.ucap ‘4.- '- o g. . 8 on .4 T .o o... ..u‘~oe ¢ — .o.. IaIUSI O \- .'£ . O -.~:::';:.e::ed wor Imuld like I..III.|)IIIII. EOE-EA... FIJI". Ind.“ Kien'le’x 5, .. F‘ - ‘ " .p - m -. 1.. V' 0 "45- E112 a: q- A / especially thankful. He suggested the challenging topic, and the dissertation benefited greatly from the stimulating criticisms and suggestions given throughout the work. To Dr. Stanley C. Hollander, Professor, Department of Marketing and Transportation, member of the committee, I am indebted for having interested me, long ago, in well -researched, well documented work. His scholarship is an inspiration to all his students. I would like to thank the automobile industry executives who agreed to participate in this research and who spent several hours in the interviews. Their interest in and full cooperation with the project greatly extended my insights into the difficult topic. To Mrs. Elizabeth Marcus who did a masterful job of editing the manuscript and to Mrs. Shirley Swick who typed it, I am most grateful. Both shared the time pressures and offered valuable advice as the final work took shape. I owe a special debt of gratitude to all my friends who shared my great anxieties and my small successes. Their encouragement and support helped me throughout my doctoral program. To me and my children they have been family and a home away from home. Major credit for the completion of this dissertation, however, goes to my two children, J 65:» Luis and Ruth Renata. My special thanks to J 650 Luis for helping me proofread a major part of the dissertation. Their unfailing understanding, coopera- tion, and sense of proportion kept me going in the right direction. vi 1" .‘; '9‘.- -' :r‘mmw ‘Ilh~ _.._.__. do .. . .- — .- o (I) v F .- Ln I- “- —.I..~..DF; . _ _ > -- -: A .‘VI‘. Oua~l _ -___‘ —I-- .—Ab 'tv , -. V c-‘cPCID "‘ ‘D A..-\‘ aces: Oz: Pores-.3 Import: Purges COECe; \v . .HE‘L‘jO: TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES CHAPTER 1. IMPORTANCE, PURPOSE, AND SCOPE OF STUDY Foreword . . . Importance of the Topic . Purpose of the Study Conceptual Framework Methodology Sampling The Interview The Subjects The Interview Guide . Analysis of the Findings Limitations of the Study . Limitations Regarding the Sample Limitations Regarding the Interview Guide and Methodology Format . . . . . 2. AN ASSESSMENT OF THE CONTRIBUTIONS OF ECONOMIC AND MARKETING THEORIES TO THE EVALUATION OF QUALITY OF LIFE Economic Theory Perspectives Human. Wants Assumptions . Economic Organization Efficiency Assumptions vii Page xii , xiii 13 15 19 20 21 21 22 23 23 24 25 26 30 30 32 34 ' ' pl- .4 1;. ,4. TA: ‘.- -‘1 ‘ V SOCLa file .1 CHAPTER 3. 4. The Capitalistic Economic System Assumptions A Modern Theory of consumer Behavior Assumptions . . Maximization Assumptions General Equilibrium and Welfare Assumptions Marketing Theory Perspectives on the Quality of Life . Marketing Performance Assumptions . Positive and Negative Outputs of , Marketing . . Criticisms of Marketing Wand Consumerism New Approaches to the Evaluation of Marketing Performance . Some Closing Remarks HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF SOCIAL INDICATORS AND PRESENT STATE OF THE ART: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE . Introduction Social Indicators: A Brief Historical View . Social Indicators: Synthesis of the Main Contributions . . The General Approach . The Specific Area Approach . Social Indicators -- The Present State of the Art CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Introduction Conceptual Framework Definition of the Problem Operational Definitions Propositions . viii Page 35 39 41 42 48 51 54 57 64 67 80 80 82 90 90 . 128 . 178 . 196 . 196 . 199 . 211 . 211 . 215 W'fl l ‘ .- ' ___ tu‘ Vruu-ur—u—gr—é— ‘ .- -5“ . p’ I“ "9fi‘CH. 1 r—d ' t I :1 Y I‘m. 1 N In - 7‘ b—r-l >74 _- H0 .'04 CHAPTER Awareness . Perceptions of Impact of Social Indicators on the Corporation Perceptions of Impact of Social Indicators on Business and Govern- mental Interfaces . Perception of Social Indicators as Indicators of Changes in Life Styles Perception of Impact of Social Indicators on Product Strategy . Propositions and Related Interview Questions MAIN FINDINGS Introduction Awareness of the Social Information Explosion Perception of Impact of Social Indicators on the Corporation Impact of Social Indicators on Corporate Decision Making . Impact on Corporate Goals, Organi- zational Structure, and Product Strategy. . . Perception of Impact of Social Indicators on Government and Business Interface Extent of Government Regulation of Business . Extent of Government Regulation of the Automobile Industry Risk of Product Failure Pace of Innovation . . . . . Government' s Relative Share in Research and Development . Pressures for Government Regula- tion of Business Perception of Social Indicators as Indicators of Changes in Life Styles, Values Systems, and Attitudes of Consumers ix Page 215 215 215 216 216 218 226 226 229 230 230 234 241 241 243 247 248 249 250 259 rh”. r. r: JP.— h P n v- I ,1IfIP3I-4I‘BIIIEQ nut...- ..m 1.. Co: ‘1 .rrtrr v1 ....C..r. CHAPTER Consumer Concern with Functional Quality . Consumer Concern with Social Quality . Consumer Concern with Styling Consumer Concern with Price . Cost-Benefits of Added Social Quality Perception of Impact of Social Indicators on Product Strategy. Product Mix . Product Quality . Guarantees and Warranties, Customer Service, and Consumer Education ' Product Cost 6. CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH Conclusions . Restatement of Propositions . Awareness . . . Perception of Impact on Corpora - tion . Perception of Business -Government Interfaces . Perception of Social Indicators as Indicators of Consumer' 8 Changes . . . ‘Perception of Impact on Product Strategy. . . Some Additional Observations Suggestions for Further Research . Impact of the Availability of Social Indicators on Product Strategy . ,An Exploratory Study of the Meaning of Social Indicators in Communica- tions Strategy Page 260 260 261 261 262 265 267 270 278 283 285 285 299 301 301 301 302 302 304 311 311 315 v... C V. .7. v... C 0 .r 1 7: M. up” .5 N .... 0 Wu, _\L ..\.~ K 3 ... E 2 t. — . Z. In..." .| . .‘. II! in .. . .1 . .3 E \. ... 5.. n. LB ..;. ... ~.‘ CHAPTER Page An Exploratory Study of the Meaning of Social Indicators in the Distribution Strategy. ....319 Automobile Manufacturer -Dealer Relationships and Their Impact on Consumer Satisfaction/ Dissatisfaction with Services . . . . . . 323 Business- Government- Consumer Interrelationships . . . . . . . 3 2 7 Conceptualization and Measurement of Social Indicators . . . . . . 335 Suggestions for Further Researmchu Some Closing Remarks . . . . . . . . . . 335 SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339 APPENDIX: INTERVIEW GUIDE . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351 xi 14.11 :— mw- u’s - m... ‘—:_ __'r_":fl v 2.; £11; ‘f‘w'xw- 11.1.41 Perfor 'C .’r v ’1' non‘ .b--v_ § \"Ww-r , ' A V‘O-A...‘ V Cancern .. \v-v-n Pv- ‘ Y." ~‘a......: . " LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. National Performance Abstraction: Grand and Intermediate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 2. Effects of Activities on Goal Output Indicators, 1970-80. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108 3. Summary of Suggested Main Areas of Social Concern 127 4. Summary of Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300 xii .. n ..5:'r:("‘ fi" .u‘obhodb ‘Q .""“ t o... .. .....‘l E 'v \I -1 "- I c.t -‘AJL * A b Figure LIST OF FIGURES An Abstraction Specificity Ladder Basic Heuristic Schema The Marketing System The Marketing Intelligence System . xiii Page 97 99 202 208 r S C r “a E d C 2 n.” a Q .L C o r n: a. “a “h. at .7 T ... ”1.. .g. ,. .. .. .. _ s I... C)!‘ IS . .....‘A—o 5.“- l. w .. 2.: 2: a... O I C .u E . F. ....Iw E t F A. a . fr. F. T a. t x e ‘u r E a. Q. 2: .3. a .1 11 Z . .....N “U. . \.\.. 1.\ . . K _. Q CHAPTER I IMPORTANCE, PURPOSE , AND SCOPE OF STUDY Foreword Both private and government institutions are at this juncture very concerned and involved in the process of developing a social report and a set of social indicators. The purpose of social indicators is to measure the performance of the society in meeting social needs. In other words, they are indicators to measure the quality of life. An assessment of developments leads to the conclusion that the idea of social indicators and social reporting is not a fad, and the exploration of their implications for marketing planning is justified. The recognition of the divergence between private and social costs and the concern with the measurement of the rates of social change are not new. Neither is the basic concern with the quality of life. Men always have been interested in the quality of their lives and the meaning of their existence. Man' s entire t m . .... | . ...; . . . . O S . ... 1.1. S S m“ .. . 5 LL MW. c o . .C P. .5 6 r. L t.-. . 2 3 .v. . w . a.“ 1.. HM -’ - pv AI“ :- "c He. Q... ~“ PM a. r p. 1. n O . F . u . o .95 0‘ O .w~ “A '4“ a. 1“ 10... so a P. o ‘c Fab .4‘ ‘ll. M“ o r; on s 0 Pu x L- .. n 1.1.. d“ we : .... n. 3 I .u ‘ e . .... .... : .... 2. 9.. r. .f» p” . . . C v-1 C. ..w .Mu 9.. v . B“. u _. ..v 0 -~- 9;. ... ..A p » rh- .-. e .. w .A ,. . u H J. an“ .2. u . 1, if, in u . n. llllil'b’tirv - .— a '- A. :11 :0 Whic WA ‘&A d O 5‘ a: O 1...:- C."- Q ~Q“ L Sc. “ history, his self -vindication, and his progress are evidence of the quest for that quality. But quality of life has acquired different meanings for different societies, each defining it according to its own hierarchy of values. There do seem to be several specifically new aspects of the present concern about the quality of life. 1) An awareness exists that there need not be a significant correlation between tangible economic progress and the less tangible feeling of happiness, or whatever term is used to define the subjective feeling of satisfaction with one' s own life and with the physical and social environ- ment to which one relates. 2) There seems to be a difference in the quality of thinking: (a) a multidisciplinary, systems approach which recog- nizes the interrelationships of the multiple events that seem to impinge upon the quality of life (perhaps. a natural reaction to the overemphasis on specialization in various fields of study): (b) a quest for rationality which is expressed in a systematic effort to define the variables that can reflect the quality of life and a methodological concern with how to measure them adequately. In addition, 11".;2': molve s fzr 1:»:- 16:11:31 - 1-5.1:...1221CE IS an L! .. - "F‘n 4:1- Draad .._l l _ *A.A‘Aq“ —. . ...1 . ...“J:‘.‘&A I. and i: VN- F . ‘L.’ .“P. . ‘ ““:$: c‘rhnu ' ~.-_‘\_' ”C‘H‘ ‘4» s ‘9. ' ‘ . .. ‘~.."E .... . ‘. :‘SC‘N . v .~lu\a..~ . ‘ “em; 0 .p I , ...e C21: ~._“‘. 3 there is concern with the uses to which these new measurements and information should be put in the rational management of society. 3) An ideological re-assessment of values is taking place which involves the search for a new hierarchy of values for the technological age. Importance of the Topic The impact of social indicators and social reporting on decision making is an important topic. It deals with a particular aspect of a broad and important issue of our time: the re -eva1uation of the ideological basis of the society. 1 The "old" ideology accepted the premise that the level of welfare of the society is measured in economic terms. The evaluation of the economic system' 3 performance is made in terms of the consistency between economic goals and the economic achieve- ment of the system. This system is organized and administered according to the capitalistic ideology (economic organization of private property, free contract, and free competition), and production is its central achievement. It is credited with having created wealth, . . ‘ : 'Lc a .5 rumma- ...—- ...—w:- ”as!" .. .. . '. _ 1"..112‘. {3.5 Ek'J- ."{..ZEC 1'28 ECOT.‘ 7."; u .... ,_,‘ 1,"’ " " I .— - .i.. .... .....e il“ ‘ P: -. .. 311.-.: O. 112E: (581C t" -g. " ‘ '1". Or. ‘4 1 ". is ..“s cc.” 5 --. ..‘_- I. w... ‘-‘.C A “ “' . “‘M‘ Crl ‘r... “.13. 5'. \. ... 'T‘VMO. ..-v..-‘£-S h N” a “-Qj 1 ._ R _. W‘- :.‘F : 0‘ “all I“--13 'F'u 1 falls :9 ‘~ - ‘- C v \. " . H: :3‘135- Oo- - ._ . .._ ““-.. ..."... :$ . ‘A‘ GAS!“ tr, . a: .;‘ J- .. ‘_.‘_’ ‘3‘ F.” “6:“: $0 . ~ 5 t:- ‘ E :‘2' i131 ° TECL... ‘ . F. ‘.‘C “‘4'“; the highest standard of living, andalife style of relative leisure and abundance. The belief is that acquisition of material benefits allows for greater enjoyment of life. The profit system stimulates effort, efficiency, and entrepreneurship, and gives origin to a creative dynamism that accounts for growth and innovation. Within this economic organization marketing is believed to have guided the economy, indicating what is wanted or needed. It is deemed to have played a significant role in the acquisition of the high standardof living and to have had a great and positive influence. on the quality of life (since the two were assumed .to be directly corre- lated). But this same economic system, of late, has been subjected to three main criticisms. First, despite the total wealth produced some minorities remain very poor; this indicates inequity in the distribution of wealth. Second, left to its own free enterprise philosophy and devices, the economy. lacks the internal elements of self -control. Thus its concentration and abuse of economic power and its abuse of the environment are leading it into self-destruction; over-population, traffic congestion, air and water pollution, and other damage to the environment may seriously threaten the chances of survival. Technological progress, responsible for the high standard of living, paradoxically has helped to increase man' s .O‘ "‘ . -.‘C-=--“ C .~"" — I... 1 "1.441. I. 8. a ... ‘..o I ‘Vp‘ 'N- \‘iewgon— + cri‘. E - - \‘3 ‘. _.4 . 1 a... w .. paw .Q ~ 1 .1. AJ . d .\V s. x. .\ 1“ .s‘ .. u . x harmful impact on the environment. Third, consumer satisfaction as a meaning for all economic activity has been an inadequate guide for social welfare because of the differences between private and social good and private and social costs. These criticisms of the performance of the economic system imply criticisms of marketing as well. From the economic viewpoint, marketing is considered to encourage some waste through meaningless product differentiation, planned product obsolescence, and inefficiency. It has not achieved a good balance between effort and effect, between input and output. From the ethical standpoint, marketing is accused of keeping the consumer continuously dis - satisfied with what he has. Critics note that it may stimulate unnecessary wants, manipulate consumers against their wishes, and engage in malpractice, deception, and fraud. From the aesthetic viewpoint, marketing (and especially advertising) is criticized for-lowering values. It is said to appeal sometimes to bad taste and to contribute to the degradation of the environment. These criticisms raise doubts about the very basic economic and marketing assumptions that underlie the prevailing system. The 1970s spurred a wave of examination and re- evaluation, and the system did not seem as adequate as previously had been thought. 2 ho “....mfi. :5..C..ov' ‘u '- ..r‘ r. 0 5 SO 0 .. _ - as“ ..--..-;‘.‘5-4nc .--..- o .. ... . I .I .Slu .7‘;5r.. Fr" ‘ I ‘ OQO‘F’. u y-.‘ ' . i 51.-.; ' -9.- ' .. ~.~..\., 1 V . :‘1‘ ‘0 ‘-‘- ua'. ..S . 511‘ E u .,_ .p ._ _.F: C. The attempt to evaluate society' s performance has wide implications. According to Pitrim Sorokin the twentieth century is witnessing the fall of the "sensible order” of the occidental world. 3 The two world wars, revolutions, and crime are consequences of the disintegration of society' 3 moral and legal values; these and other internal values control and guide the behavior of individuals and groups. The conflicts between the forces of the decaying sen- sible order and the creative forces of the emerging socio-cultural order underlie all areas of modern social life and culture. These conflicts affect deeply everyone' s way of life in all spheres: science, philosophy, religion, ethics, politics, economics, social life, and the arts. The problem of change is not confined to the United States nor to the economic system; it reaches all "established" systems. In the old ideology wealth and happiness were synonymous goals; in the American hedonistic, materialist way of life, output of goods has been the main objective and capitalism the way to acquire it. Dissatisfaction with this ideology manifests itself mainly in doubting the long-established goals of the economic system. The discrepancy between the basic beliefs of the society and the perceived shortcomings of its accomplishments have called into question the prevailing values. Basic beliefs include the acceptance ‘- " *5 ‘_-A- , nrfl'. i. -w . "q— -. ... ..v . '_.--v- -..- . -.-. ’-"‘ .. I. I I11) (...!!!le SI . . _a .V. p» .3 a“ d .2 of equality of opportunity and the positive value of work and education for achieving status-in a mobile society. Wealth is deemed to be a factor of social progress, but reality shows the existence of poverty, minority problems, and an increase of crime. The critics point out that capitalism has failed because it has not yet been able to extend prosperity to all levels and all groups of society; it has not granted social justice. Even those granted prosperity have not gained happiness. The main quest is still for happiness --a better quality of life--and how to attain it. This increasing social concern is, to some extent, a result of the abundance of society. Freed from the more essential and basic material wants, the individual is led to evaluate and aspire to something higher in the hierarchy of values. Work and leisure tend to be redefined. There is a growing concern with norms, values, and social and philosophical issues that transcend the individual' 8 own physical well -being. In other words, the individual does not find satisfaction in wealth only. When the getting of more and more comes to mean less and less, when more and more Americans begin to worry over the comparative merits of their increasingly elaborate automatic appliances performing ever-more-trivial functions, is it any wonder that more and more Americans become skeptical of the salvation that lies in wealth? Is it any wonder that more Americans should begin to rediscover the basic uses of American wealth at the lowest level of consumption? Who can doubt the satisfactions of having things or giving things when S 878?; so ' p ..1” ...—y . _ _,’o‘ i. .- .... r596 '0'- V x.» W "- v": o E‘ do .... be ..I'S J".- 0.... - f ”n F" ’7 "' rrl:a..~ ‘4‘: .0001. .- :- .— .0. .e for V p .- -o~v- °" . _ p u.... .b\ m8. 0:" o. ~0v5". NV” ‘ J. 3 .AL’eos , .... - . .. nu- - .4 ill... i. "...I 0". ‘. than! .. .1 they relieve-starvation or undernourishment? . . . Is it surprising that Americans nowadays show so striking and sometimes even so militant a concern for poverty in Ameri- cans? . . . In the perspectiveof our history it is not surprising that we should find ourselves seeking to redefine the ideals for the Americannation. Perhaps it would be more comfortable to live in an age when the dominant purposes were in full blood, when the hope for fulfillment had not been overshadowed by the frustrations of fulfillment. . . .4 It seems clear that the old ideology is doomed and a new ideology is emerging. It is difficult to define the goals, assump- tions, beliefs, and values that characterize this ideology. It has been referred to more frequently in reference to the criticisms of the-old than in assessment of the new. In Sorokin' 3 view it is mainly characterized by a shift from "sensible" goals to ”subjective" goals, from an emphasis on objective, to an emphasis on subjective. Because we are in the midst of the process of change and we are ideologically involved, it is difficult to see clearly and objectively all the implications of the shift. But there is no doubt that recent criticisms imply a .re -evaluation of values and that a new ideology is developing; As Jose Ortega y Gasset points out, 5 when one begins to ask questions about values it shows that they already are in crisis. The discussion of values reflects the crisis of modern society. This reassessment of values has occurred before: ethical values have varied in time and space. But there always has been .Lle- . r 1'. A»! 1: www.3-v ...—... ...—...rv ii. ‘9 3 9 .t- a. .o .- - - p ... '31.- 113 1 COT.) d cultures 15~ \é‘.‘v-'. .. kw ‘»:‘ ~ ---~ was 1.0 To A u~ the wish, the aspiration, for some kind of absolute. Thus the existence of different values and value hierarchies in different societies and cultures is explicable, and their validity need not be doubted. The individual facing the universe is selective. Of the many elements that compose his universe, the individual integrates some which are attuned to his sensitivity. The psychological structure of each individual is like an antenna that is receptive to some values, oblivious to the others. But the individual' s perspec- tive is partially conditioned by the society to which he relates. The differences in values among various societies or cultures and between various periods within the same society are not meaning- fully explained by considering the value as something that did not exist before and now exists. The value should be understood as something that was not perceived before and now is realized. To use Gasset's image, one can make "mistakes" in accounts without nullifying the truth of the numbers. Similarly, one can make mistakes in the preference of values, by placing the lower before the higher, without invalidating the values themselves. 6 This reasoning helps to understand why every society establishes its own hierarchy of values and defines the quality of life accord- ingly. But there are decisive moments in which a society more ' ' ' ‘ ~ I : ‘7 \vw‘l o mewfinw—w-4 #11 u 219. -- -'— :ercei'~.'es ti? .1 *1 m U) (*6 O o- :H, 3-:1 f p ‘- OI- 1.".LS 5:632: .~. "' tradztz -.. 3:6 rare- Ep— 10 strongly perceives the difference between what its own reality is and what it aspires to be. This seems to be such a period now. As Karl Deutsch points out, 7 the traditions, habits, political institutions, and cultural patterns are no longer adequate to deal with new problems and new circumstances. In the present environment, however, the major elements of these same traditions, habits, political institutions, and cultural patterns still are necessary for individuals, families, groups, and nations. The divergence between what is seen as right and what is real and the desire to identify the two are leading to protest and rebellion against the existing order. From these complex developments a new hierarchy of values and a new ideology for an emerging postindustrial society are taking shape . According to Daniel Bell, five dimensions characterize a postindustrial society. "1) The creation of a service economy. 2) The pre-eminence of the professional and technical class. 3). The centrality of theoretical knowledge as the source of innovation and policyformulation in the society. .- ., uti- _,,, - .‘nglij‘. . .zePo=S-w - : ”'9 creatlor‘. O h ‘.A. ”Lie implied r: .. $55513 a new d; :-:.:"::e or. human c :: 5:512:25 concert -:;:e i'xi- central pol is iiese new _;7::' °' -' - a -_:1 neu- measu: «(-1,—— .-_.......t.—.:ors and = :3 :E "'"Hr . ‘ “rr'J'vE-d .9 “Va-... .‘.~‘: “‘Ore 1" Q “~ -.. L, \'_o: - 11 4) The possibility of self -sustaining technological growth. 5) The creation of a new ' intellectual technology. ' "8 The implied rapid expansion of a professional and technical class suggests a new dimension in social affairs: an increasing dependence on human capital. Consequently, policies relating to the institutions concerned with knowledge and technology will become the central political question for society. As these new conceptions emerge, the concern with social goals and their measurement increases. Hence the concern with social indicators and social reporting. Why the need for a. social report? It can indicate how well we are doing and how policy making may be improved. It also can give social problems more visibility and provide more insight into how different measures of national well-being are changing. Social indicators permit a better evalua - tion of what public programs are accomplishing in improving the quality of life. The development of social indicators and social reporting should be viewed as the attempt to conceptualize, measure, and thus better assess several areas of concern that are implied in the new conceptualization of the quality of life. These include: -' - aunt- " IQ- “Hui—WW d 'm n Cfi’cel “. a In— Q" and ‘--”':O:.‘ .-. L :~::cern wit}. attironm rt: roundzrgs, a -orms o: 50-; .‘VI . V ~ Cfificer'n w tr. I i .'.. - .‘E ‘c:‘ - -‘~~ SDCLal wel‘; .- :- _LCA . “......1c data 12 1) concern with social issues such as poverty, civil rights, and minority groups; 2) concern with the environment, including (a) physical environment: housing, pollution, and beauty of the sur- roundings: and (b) social environment: crime and other forms of social breakdown and participation; 3) concern with education, knowledge, and technology; and 4) concern with consumer protection. Social indicators should be indicators of the quality of life (real social welfare) and should actually include both economic and noneconomic data, both quantitative and qualitativevinformation. The term _s_9_<_:_i_a_l_ is used in the literature in a rather ambiguous way. Social does include-the economic (and the GNP is still a good social indicator, 9 if not the best or only one). However, the economic national accounts are well conceptualized and developed and already are being used as information input by both private and public organizations in their decision making. Therefore, a consensus seems to have-developed in the literature that a social indicator is different from or contrasted to an economic indicator. l1:..."__u_-_..;-:;. ,1 .1. -,—,Ar,...........--_axl ),' t3‘ 0 11 U) ’iesearc pot F ' --~*"""9 .41 I..-» "" ‘ac ;_y......4 " red dzrectly. the ‘ .- ... .... U) "e Proxy, . ' .- b; ,, -A v :2: 5225— consen us. 9 o $122153. 9. a soc1a .I; ... J” ‘6. - ‘ a. A; no programs 5. 0-. s ‘I'; - “13:“ . . 3"“-e Ln bOL' “fr, .,.~ L_.Ol_‘sn pf‘e r" ‘5‘ Wu. , ‘:-.. (‘r- v- ‘ I. I .. C ‘ "01"~'€I‘:‘. F: 9 ‘ . ,' . ‘ .. . .. . '~c .‘lc' NA ‘ \ - ‘UA ‘ 1 .‘ De pan of \J} I a“ ‘. L. T's: “5 Stud;- : “‘4; Pt.» F ‘ '~.~‘0r1~:, . “8 Info "’11:: . . Siategy 13 Research onsocial indicators is being done in both private and governmental institutions. Since the quality of life cannot be measured directly, the investigation has focused on trying to con- ceptualize the proxy, surrogate variables. The next step should be to find some consensus for the direction of social change. The final component of a social report is the recommendation of national goals and policies. Implicit in the idea of evaluating the quality of life is the idea of directing social change. Social indicators deal with sensitive areas, and researchers and institutions will judge ”good" and "bad" within the particular framework of their own value system. 10 Because the information can be used to support both claims and programs, it is to be expected that broad discussions will take place in both the academic and political arenas. Although present development is immature, there already is so much involvement and commitment to the investigation of social indicators and social reporting that it is safe to assume they soon will be part of the information base for decision making. - Purpose of the Study This study focused on the impact of social indicators and social reportinginformation on corporate decision making for product strategy. ml'.WI.' q".. ,H -': :1... [45-1, 1‘: .,-. ' Ow-r. “8'" “"‘C...-. .1. boos J‘.‘ I : o;- ”21.33111 v.1 1:11 I '1 . —-‘:- 0-. as a L‘ v". _.31’56500‘ "- ‘ . 'M‘F W ', f‘ U”;“'~ 0‘ ‘M" .. ,.._ t L... . .. «A. p. d. . c I ' unv‘:a 5. a 56., 4.0!.- . I ...: 5:152: tor mar: :>::111r.d;ca‘.or s h .9 ‘~. . at " 33"» . . ....c....13!1 0: ti", .0 I Wang implies - ‘\. "' 9L; , l“ “‘5 dISSE 4:: 1. ‘. ,, ‘ “33,420,,8 a? O ‘4 C :‘8 LE 5 - 318:“ ud.“:$‘ \ “ 14 At this juncture it is not easy to stateclearly how this new information will fit into the marketing planning processes. Further- more, marketing as a discipline has been slow in joining the social information movement. For example, the more recent social infor- mation explosion dates to the early.1960s, and publications on the subject have been appearing since 1965 (as will be seen in chapter 3). But only in 1971, at the San Francisco American Marketing Associa- tion Conference, were papers presented speculating on the relevance of the‘subject for marketing. 11 The recent First AMA Conference on Social Indicators held in Washington, D. C. , 12 indicates a grow - ing recognition of the relevance of the subject and the need to discuss its marketing implications. In this dissertation the choice to examine the impact of social indicators and social reporting on corporate product strategy seemed alogical one for several reasons. 1) Product strategy is an important aspect of marketing strategy. 2) Despite serious doubts about some economic theory assumptions, corporate decision making still primarily is involved with the bundle of goods it sells. New ideological developments and new social indicators may be implying that 137. '1‘» JAN! ”OFJ. “ '9 . “341131; 1‘. azuisinxotc- T“ a -~=ccordar ‘.' ‘,F. - k; ~- ....5 G~-ectl~:e5 (1! H A '~‘ -“ *‘3 Q \— K 3H» \ 3) 15 the bundle of goods should be different, should satisfy different wants and needs, or should satisfy the same wants and needs in different ways, but a bundle of goods still is involved. Product innovation and its basis, technology development, have been a central issue in both economics and marketing. Technological assessment is also a central issue in the emerging new ideology of social concern. In accordance with these considerations, this study has the following objectives: A. To review the development of social indicators and social reporting to date. To assess. the impact of social indicators on: 1) the marketing planning process for product strategy, and 2) corporation evaluation of its own social performance. To suggest topics for research and investigation. Conceptual Framework Policy refers to deliberate action taken by the various parts of a government or corporation in pursuit of certain goals and in ‘ 5"... ‘0 1~I_';r~—p'-—~_~&'II “,1 . p 11. 1 :‘sz‘. 3f turret: for"; =1 rated the conch. ' .. . “ .-. _. 5- O "1 .‘._.I:.&.l'.€’ DailLiet 513.1235 agree 1:“. '.-a - ... _ -.3 . . n --.- a-.- interde .4“. T A 0' .-- O m‘ I ‘hq‘ -_~ 3“. .- . M 1. ‘ : 0; 1m: u‘IN- , t-‘...an LLVD‘ .‘-—“J‘ 16 response to problems or opportunities. This action takes the form of particular activity or activities which have definite effects in the context of current forces. 13 Research on social indicators has not yet reached the conclusive stage of stating clearly in what manner they are to be measured and in what ways they are to be affected by alternative policies, but it is progressing in this direction. Most authors agree that indicators fall into several categories of related and interdependent concerns. Health and safety includes personal and environmental health and public and environmental safety. Education, skills, and income considers basic schooling and higher education, skills and jobs, and the amount, adequacy, and continuity of incomes. Human habitat refers to housing, quality of neighborhood, access to the area, recreational opportunities, and the quality of larger environments. Finer thing: includes goals for the arts and sciences and aspects of nature and beauty. Leisure and production deals with interrelationships between economic growth and availability of discretionary time. Freedom, justice, and harmony considers liberty, demo- cratic values, and the quality of the social environment. .nu O S . -u-u-ri'F ‘ ._,:.—-.ch -o-v . ... ..n- ..S‘u-.. ‘ ....,,. “r ’\. "§ ‘. ' . g- «5.1 I . A ... 'r'e’ors w:‘. on... ...-Q 1. .-.: "‘"O 1116 S. o G 2:13? "v- ' u .- .-‘-- a.-. .IIEIPIIJI a_.\-.'.Eu;. at Mr .P. a a: 9 c v y ec‘l "‘ 9% ... V‘ "A. .3 g \ H 1. x.“ E C Cor. 17 These indicators, or similar ones, will have a strong impact on corporate decision making in two ways. First, in a micro sense, thevdata base provided by indicators will lead to a better understanding of the trends in social change and, consequently, in life styles and consumer value systems. The corporation will have better clues for planning its adaptive strategy. Second, in a macro sense, indicators will provide both evaluation of performance in relation to national goals and redirection in the establishment of goals and priorities. They will be used by decision makers in setting national policies, including those that might affect corpora- tions directly. A basic premise of the conceptual framework is Nestor Terleckyj' 3 statement: Achievement of national goals is defined analytically in terms of observable changes in a series of specific goals indicators, such as life expectancy, crime rate, educational testing scores, etc. which were selected to reflect the actual objects of public concern. . changes in goals output indicators are possible only by means of specific combinations of events comprising new types of public policies and private developments called "activities" . . . defined to include . . . large aggregations of public policies and private behavior patterns. 1 These concepts can be presented schematically: 18 I—-—-9 goals (social indicators-— criteria for performance) policies (guidelines for action) programs (activities--a-llocation and mobilizationof resources) performance evaluation (social indicators) é——— flow of action 6—-—- —- flow of feedback The same scheme can be applied either to the corporation or to the corporation marketing system (micro level). r—-> goals (economic and social indicators--balance between economic maximization goal and social considerations - - suboptimization of goals) W policies (guidelines for action) I I l I I | v | programs (marketing activities - - allocation and | | I L mobilization of resources) \ performance evaluation (economic and social indicators) all. .. 11n- I’VW'um-ud— | ~ . v ‘ H v - ,.‘-nwc"\'\ 52,3' En:;“'-u—.“r .75; fine corpora 11 um K. ....- p a m ,4 m W ;1 (b :-1 - i? '; porcan‘o- ‘ ““' ¥ .. ~u—ta . ...“1 u ‘ " fl— . _ l"' 7 n3“, .. ..; J)’:\E‘\J~.» . v .. ‘-V~‘v- f." .i y- -o “3.5.3 "O..S » vu- :.‘O-‘\ 4 . .,_ 9. . O..- on ~H .‘Or‘ax~. .7 by . - F‘=»».‘ ‘ ~ "" ~‘ 6 P, “‘ou 9 ~~ 15:: c ..-. " vs L“ ‘x. " .9 .‘i " a w —“ H.C‘\c. ... ~3- “ ‘u- “E l; K 1 “~‘. '4 —A ’ ‘- \C. 4- | . “\E V5 x \.- -.- \-— fl: - J‘ 19 The relationship between the two schemes lies in the interface betweenthe corporation' 3 marketing system and the governmental system. Methodology This is an exploratory study. There is no attempt to set hypotheses and test them statistically because the topic area is too new. The concepts of social indicators and social reports are still beingdiscussed and the methodology for measuring them has not been well developed. On the corporation side, social indicators and their implications are in the initial stages of being explored and the procedures to factor them into the decision-making process have not been institutionalized. The nature of the inquiry is, essentially, to explore areas for further research and to formulate propositions which could be tested by empirical research. Certain assumptions and propositions have been formulated. Although these have not been tested statistically, the study has provided the insight to re—examine them. Some were maintained, others were restated. These final propositions might be used as hypotheses for subsequent work. The ‘methodology used was threefold. First, a review was made of secondary datafrom both'private and governmental sources, 4. «lit-9P I... pg .3 .9?! 3 I ‘4 y it. _ 20 to summarize the contributions of studies on social indicators and social reporting and to indicate general conclusions on which scholars agree. Second, these conclusions were analyzed and several hypothetical influences on corporate decision making were developed by deduction. Third, case studies‘were examined to investigate the awareness and perception of corporation executives of the impact of social indicators and social reporting on product strategy decisions. The automobile industry was chosen for the case studies for three reasons. First, it is the largest industry in the country. Second, it is an industry whose impact on the quality of life has gained high visibility. Third, it leads the list of consumer com- plaints and shares with a few other industries, such as foods, drugs, soaps, and detergents, the close attention of consumer leaders and government officers regarding safety and pollution control. 17 Sampling A. judgment sample of executives to be interviewed was selected. Although this sample has the shortcoming of not allowing generalization of conclusions, it does have the advantage of including the "right" people. Their comments gave valuable insights for the restatement of the initial conceptual framework and propositions. 21 Selecting thesamplewas a two -step procedure. First, 18 persons in 3 of the 4 corporations of the automobile industry were inter— viewed. The purpose of the study, the conceptual framework, and the kinds of questions to be asked were explained to them. Then their suggestions for the names of persons to be interviewed in their corporations were requested; 14 names in the 3 corporations resulted. When contacted by telephone, the 14 agreed to a personal interview . The Interview Despite the length of the interviews (each took from two and one -half to three hours), the subjects were cooperative. Once the purpose of the study was understood, they all seemedvery interested in the topics discussed and gave them great attention. All the inter- views were conducted by the writer between 23 February 1972 and 7 April 1972.. The Subjects The 14 interviewees were distributed among the following general functional areas: (1) product planning and related functions: 3; (2) corporate planning: 3; (3) research, marketing research, and marketing analysis: 5; and (4) engineering, safety and pollution .. ”" . w ,,...r 51-931 10 10 ... l I‘- . u '-'. 1 “finance. :3X1..5 '1; :53 corporatx “ii :"‘="‘-& the auto asuofly . .-.-.01. van 0- ‘y- .1 .:_...':.~. .5: Gs VE‘L .. j v y~ or U. A“ ‘r F.- ~ — & ... .3 .nn.. .5 A.QD.. . - - .‘ v- . . ‘1" 16,311 O0 o.— “w"" ‘v . ... 1%..” j- .- --.--13 was used. -_._ 'k‘:‘= “j. “ .u to 9 ~ . ‘Eu~‘.‘keq . .» ¢ ~.. - “E g-HQC ~ '~'-.. "~._ ‘ ~~~ w ~ C)I‘(1‘ 3-, ._\U D P: ,\ .J- ‘.' k; TL. .381». l“ . to Y, . r- n _F- {\‘u ._"-c . -‘ 22 control: 3. All have had a long experience in the automobile industry (from 10 to more than30 years). Most have had a variety of experience, having worked in several different functional areas within their'corporation. A few had had previous working experi- ences outside the automobile industry. Two subjects characterized their positions as beingline positions, 9 as staff, and 3 as being both staff andline. If thechairman of the board is designated as the first level of theorganizational structure, most of the subjects fall in levels 3 to 6. The Interview Guide An interview guidewith both Open- ended and closed- ended questions was used. There were 5 major sets of questions and each question in a set was designed to elicit the information needed to explore the initial 5 sets of propositions. (A copy of the interview guide is presented in the Appendix.) The guide was pretested in three interviews to determine whether the wording was clearly understood and to determine the length of time needed .for a complete interview. (The data obtained in the pretest are not included in the findings of the study. These refer only to the 14 interviews of the persons included in the sample . ) S 110 “'3 newt». , po-F ‘wr ...... u 0 35 1‘92. .. .~ a..- w ...;J --\.'u S T S C» .r . S . . ad "5 u C .3 11 .n‘ .3 . . — Nay a: ...; ..J v“ x... m... L .. u “ .... “Wit-LI...’ I.Il.&l'l filo.flr| . a... .fl. ».I(uxda .. . Zed, ‘be- 2.. ”7.1“ "‘--I'.'. . I. .g‘. 23 An initial difficulty was the definition of social indicators. Since there was no way of clearly and concisely defining the term, an explanation, consistent with the conceptual framework, was read to the subjects. To reduce bias in the answers to question 1, the explanation‘was read only after replies were received to said ques- tion. The newness of the topic presented an additional difficulty. All the basic assumptions of thetstudy had to be clearly stated to and understood by the subjects before they were able to answer the questions . Analysis of the Findings The subjects' answers and comments to the questions were content analyzed. An attempt was made to summarize their view - points and detect trends. Wherever pertinent, interviewees' comments are reproduced to illustrate their perceptions. The findings were compared to the initial conceptual framework and propositions and, according to the insight gained, these either were maintained or restated. Limitations of the Study Because this is an exploratory study it has some inherent limitations. There is no complete agreement in the literature about the concept of social indicators, about the classification of areas of .fl ‘1 v a". .u ... ‘ A 1~'. .' ...-ob"! ’l- D 659 r“: I 0" no I O . ~ , ,- ~.v- .... _-“l *9 h _ Or . ...- » fl" i-:u3~CQ 1|. n..LI.b.-.|. .. -.u.l a1.- .. .. c. 7.1“; Fr .Ai. do AZLCE - 0.. -'fi' ”- ..b -...‘d' snould b 9 ‘6 At a: oi. Y5; 24 concern, about how and by whom the data should be collected and made public, or about the uses of the data. The author had to make choices and assumptions throughout the development of this study about each of these points. Whether the choices and assumptions were the correct ones can only be speculated upon -at this juncture. It is to be hoped that further research on conceptualization, mea- surement, and uses of social indicators will show which assumptions stand and which do not. Limitations Regarding the Sample It should be re- emphasized that the choice of a judgment sampling procedure eliminates the possibility of generalizing the conclusions; these are valid only for the group of 14 executives interviewed. . It is to be hoped that the two- step sampling procedure ensured that they were the "right" people. But it should be realized that the names suggested in the first stage of the sampling pro- cedure may have been proposed because of the decision-making positions of those executives and because it was believed that they would be willing to be interviewed. The intrinsic limitations of such a sample for a study which tries to draw conclusions about perceptions has. to be recognized. It cannot be known whether these 14 executives are representative of executives in the automobile R I 1| l,"|."\.-..runu-u—~- ""w‘t o .«. : -. ' V "'°"’"n .. ... ,‘ ,, n ...»-..U.l= .35.; ‘-_ : ';' ”‘0'. 1 . h _ "2"‘3 .. .1--... s.~..y \. ...-1 ' e-Pv.‘ ‘ 1‘-“_‘r~‘ V .753?“ 50: ‘. a :«;5 25 industry. However, the cooperative attitude of these executives and the candor with which they answered the questions did provide valuable insight for the exploration of the propositions. Limitations Regarding the Interview Guide and Methodology The interview guide was satisfactory, but it was hardly the perfect one. First, because of the newness of the topic, the basic assumptions orienting the study had to be stated as intro- ductory explanations preceding sets of questions; therefore, the questions had meaning only within the context of those assumptions. This may have hampered understanding, but observation indicates that the subjects did comprehend both the assumptions and questions, although it may have required some effort. Exceptions are ques- tions 31 and 32 which referred to government's and corporations' relative share in research and development. Several subjects did not understand the meaning of relative share, and their answers indicate that they were talking about absolute dollar figures. Second, the interview guide was too long. Again this is due to the exploratory nature of the study and the attempt to lay the groundwork for further research. Unfortunately, the length of the guide coupled with the fact that some executives took a long time CS it we 9 H' b I—A . l I 9 0" _.i ... a" ‘ Er-H 5.-.. ...- o ‘O. 0" . “V . A r . r . v .. t . 1 t . t . A: s t r“ o s O ... C Cu ’L 1 .Q ...x mu. 9. .3 n. S C .... TL .1 O u I.” .h. 2. e r O r .a O O Q. nu 1 9. o . n . .... VP» 1 9w .o L .\ r L . Vt“ d a; 0 E .J E O .F. E E O C . ... m .. ... . . . a .. e .. .... a. ... c v . “iv 9: ”PV A?» ~hk Ppk F . ac h FA ..Rl‘ n 0 kid I g a?! .. c T: .-. . c C 1 a u . .1 I . . . . a. ..P. . .1‘ _\c r . V . p. . .3 W. .n u . e r P o ”\w FF. 15‘ ”a“ nu .§~ a u\.w VAL“ . .A .. pa. . .‘~ «n‘ .r. . a ... M. I . 3. .... N; . ...: . . ,. . ‘9 m a ..u. ...... .n ...... i .. i. .... .. : ... : a u y A ._ ...“. . s ‘ an «...m . d V . \ \. a” a .\ .y .. x. .\ 1.... 26 answering, made the interviews so lengthy in time that exploration in depth of all topics was precluded. Third, it was impossible to record all the comments. In the first stage of the sampling process the author was advised not to use tape recorders because this might inhibit the subjects. The comments were annotated and it is possible that some information may have been lost in the process. However, great care was taken to reproduce the comments literally. Format Some of the basic ideas introduced here under the heading "Importance of Topic" are further developed in chapter 2. Specif- ically an analysis is made of why traditional economic and marketing theories have not provided an adequate framework for evaluating the quality of life in its new conceptualization. The results of this analysis are related to the movement for social indicators that might lead to this evaluation. In chapter 3 an historical analysis of the development and evolution of the'social information explosion is presented. It is followed by a review of the literature which summarizes the main contributions of the area, the present state of the art, and the main areas of social concern to which public policy might be directed in the future. . _o 1:: Chapter :2 “w: the views I r! ...... 9' "' 1- ::3.»-’" 3.1033 . “ . D ,L- t ' ‘ . ..._ ’='.1'.‘ ded JCtr ‘._. wé-x“ -. .floA-HO‘IPI .I" W” , " r .‘C. a (1... -. .uuuvv . . 3.27.1.3": o: the cor“ 27 In chapter 4 theconceptual framework is presented. It deals with the viewpoint from which the study was undertaken, the main assumptions, and the formulation of propositions. The latter are logically deducted both from the review in chapter 3 and from the conceptual framework. Chapter 5 presents the main findings. Chapter 6 is a summary of the conclusions, and suggestions for further research are also presented. V’V‘ .- --- .... OI' EX ;- A a 2 .... .n .... . .. .. . O t . .r A ll ’ _ 1 . . Fu g 2.“ ‘IL F; C Q. | o . 1 .d ... Y‘H P J . v . . v m. . m. C .2. w. e 9.. .3 u S a d . 1..u r. 0 pi. TL 5 T .s .... c “U A; . . . L on r 2.. L O a. \I. up; vb 5 nru .. .nu. MW. . 3. “WA p3 nl~ 9». D? U r... q A #3 Gal \H.‘ 2‘ fig .5 u .9 4 p . c . P ._ . t . "J- 3 V.“ “A ”P. *- . .mw H4“ AF...“ “3. ... .: l _ u v . a. . ... ...” i. : .... 4..” .. h ..L ... u ~ - g .1. g. . ...\. m.. I t .... . .x T . all-I I... ..N w...» '4. ulnmrfi. him...‘ anm r. a k1.“ 7 t . F. .\ 28 Chapter 1 Footnotes 1The following discussion on ideology and values is based on my unpublished paper, "The New Ideology and Marketing Organi- zation, " prepared for Marketing Seminar 911, Michigan State Uni- versity, Winter 1970. 2For example, see "From the 1960' s to the 1970' s" ("sixties--the decade of dissent and discovery"), Time, 19 Decem- ber 1969, pp. 20-25. See also "Business Faces a Decade of Change, " Business Week, 6 December 1969, p. 214. 3Pitrim A. Sorokin, Tendéncias Basicas de Nossa Epoca, trans. Alvaro Cabral (Rio de Janeiro: Zahar Editores, 1966f 4Daniel J. Boorstin, ”Tradition of Self - Liquidating Ideals, " Wall Street Journal, 18 February 1970, p. 18. 5Jose Ortega y Gasset, El Tema de Nuestro Tiempo [The Modern Theme], trans. James Cleugh (New York: Harper and Row, 1961). 6Ibid. , p. 63. 7Karl Deutsch, lecture given in S. Paulo, Brazil, published in Folha de Sao Paulo, 1 September 1968, p. 18. 8Daniel Bell, "Knowledge and Technology, " in Elizabeth B. Sheldon and Wilbert E. Moore, eds. , Indicators of Social Change (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1968), p. 153. 9George Brown, speech given at the First Annual Social Indicators Conference, American Marketing Association, Washing- ton, D.C. , 17 February 1972. 10Daniel P. Moynihan, "Urban Conditions in General, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 371 (May 1967): 102. 11Harry A. Lipson, "Social Goals: A New Tool for Market- ing Management?"; Robert S. Raymond, "Social Indicators and Marketing Decisions"; and William D. Lee, "The Responsibility of ‘0 __.. F rC . II II - . . ... . ..1 rm. n). wt Q» ..r a H. r“ . . . . w; 5. .. S C 7: . . C 1. . n3 IL "C. ¢. . nan A”. . n a C a: m . o . .r . o .P. — . r ' aw; Fwy Ad r. r. . C n. r. o 1 x 5 0 11 r. l . I .. a r. Y a .3 AL . .1 . O . O . l . O .....I. - .ru .p3 a. 1 VA. 9 u ..A-l. 9 u c.— “L w . T c. A c In .5 . . . . 3 . C. I; 2. ; ... . at. a: v . . ..‘c w.» r a c O P. .1 tr. 1.“ S“ B. o s t. P. :L a“ 3. .\» v u .\ n. \x . . :2 PM . 4 9 .. A... . \ . .. . . 2 u . A A w . i I . 6 . ...... E .r w L 2 a. C ...H . u... x m 1 x ... u w. on v.. 1..” t...“ .P. _. .4 ..u ..u... .‘u ... M. ...: 1,. ... . n... T. w. .u ...... .N ...a .. .. I ... .... ... ..... .. . .. c u . nu“ n. d . ... .... . u‘ . ‘ ~ \ git? ..Nww.j.lldl.4.lfl.l.: c 29 Government for Creating a Sound Marketing Environment, " all three papers presented at the American Marketing Association International Congress, San Francisco, California, 13-14 April 1971. 2First Annual Social Indicators Conference: Social Indi- cators in the Changing Business Environment, American Marketing Association, Washington, D. C. , 17-18 February 1972. 3This concept is an adaptation of the one presented in a book proposal by Stanley C. Hollander and Jean Boddewyn, "Public Policy Towards Retailing: Development, Evolution and Prospects in Selected Countries, " p. 4. 14Nestor E. Terleckyj, "Measuring Possibilities of Social Change, " Looking Ahead 18, No. 6 (August 1970): 1-10. 15Nestor E. Terleckyj, ”The Role of Efficiency in Achieving National Goals, " paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the AmericangMarketing Association for the Advancement of Science, Chicago, Illinois, 29 December 1970, pp. 1-2. 16Lawrence J. White, The Automobile Industry Since 1945 (Cambridge, Mass. : ' Harvard University Press, 1971); ”1971 Auto- mobile Facts and Figures" (Detroit, Michigan: Automobile Manu- facturers Association, Inc. , 1971). 17Peter Vanderwicken, "GM: The Price of Being Respon- sible," Fortune 85, No. 1 (January 1972): 99. See also Louis R. Ross, "The Changing Consumer andHis Effect on the Automotive Industry, " unpublished paper prepared for the Advanced Manage- ment Program, Michigan State University, 1972, p. 14. ( v A IA‘ ‘- -~-~£ ...: LIF b . 1....u- Or- '. ‘ u s “.4 \— ECOPO" ‘. fi“ '5 Mo CHAPTER 2 AN ASSESSMENT OF THE CONTRIBUTIONS OF ECONOMIC AND MARKETING THEORIES TO THE EVALUATION OF QUALITY OF LIFE This chapter has two objectives: to provide an economic theory perspective on the quality of life, and to present the marketing theory concepts that orient the evaluation of marketing performance and its contribution to the quality of life. Economic Theory Perspectives In economic theory, welfare has meant economic welfare. Naturally, this definition is based on the value system that influences the economists' choice of concepts. The evaluation of a system' 3 performance in economic terms, that is, the consistency between its economic goals and economic achievements, indicates the level of welfare of the society. Economic theory has not dealt with the current problem of the quality of life, which includes not only economic factors, but also social and ecological considerations. 30 i I e ,. 2 e 1. Q .. . . y 0. .a S .r. E “H“ o . .. . .nL r“ O .0 .. . P. . . 1 ..." S r. I .2 L. _ . pup . 0 —¢. D n t . 1p“ A w ’ .. . _ :u . H v: .w .. .I. a n .5 c i... w . .- .....u . h . m _.«a v.. Elias. - I u,?d.fi.afl.dfll.fl .wmm. 1.“ 4.. . ) 0. pl 10' FN-o .sd‘. 1‘ L . O m ‘3 CO .39 . ps V'- x~~ -.\_ -1.. '-= .n" T‘u- - J.-. .'. M - 31 Do purely economic measurements indicate whether the system has improved the quality of life and insured the interest of all? What the economic indicators of the national accounts system actually measure is the result of production: for example, GNP, per capita income, and per capita consumption. But as Jan Drewnowski so clearly points out, 1 national accounting of consump- tion represents the monetary value of resources available for the satisfaction of human needs. What is created with those resources really should be expressed in terms of social indicators which express the conditions in which people actually live. In other words, the analysis of the economic problem of producing goods and services, although necessary, is not sufficient to assess the welfare of society. To do so one must also consider the social problem of using those resources in such a way as to improve the welfare of all. The following are major reasons why economic indicators alone are inadequate to measure the quality of life. 1) Welfare is influenced not only by how much is produced, but also by what is produced, that is, by the composition of national output. 2) Welfare also is influenced by how total output is distributed within the society. :3 A. {:4 , I equi‘ ’flpfln pr” - FL. _: F. "s \— YJ ‘ ' GIRL -I¥ '- E; h *‘h‘ ESE r 0 AF ~V.c ~ ....v- o- - u_. .--‘G. ‘ '- _V -.-S - P ‘u‘ ' h‘a~ .- .Ai‘go“ C p-r 5x. - . - Dali .... .-_,‘ gt -... ...n- 9 . .-... .- ...: .. t .\ ..- ”at. A ..,¢_-.¢ ..‘ "E P. n (V ~ E. .d 5.. hfirwh ....m k 6.. .G 32 3) Waste at the production, marketing, or consumption stage may mean products registered in the national output do not grant equivalent satisfaction on the consumption side. 4) Some aspects of welfare are not reflected in the national a ccounting at all. Underlying these restrictions are doubts about some of the very basic assumptions of economic theory. Human Wants Assumptions Economic theory assumes that economic activity is directed to and by human wants and needs. These are assumed to be varied and, in the aggregate, over time, insatiable. How is the level of want or need satisfaction measured in a society? Ordinarily, it is expressed in terms of per capita income , which is a very unsatis- factory measurement for several reasons. 1) This average may be misleading if there is a great dis— pe rs ion around it. 2) A satisfactory level of income is relative to the historical time under consideration and the geographic area. h.‘ s '-P .4 . § ...4 . "" a 0“ T r .. . ... Z. .5 C» x“ T ...H 3 pp. . . 2‘ O ..n— .u S C. .3 w“ m“ 3. S 0 Q .6 P. C. v . v D .I. “u v. m . ”J 3. ”PM H u .o . n.“ 1.. .... .... ...... m . . .. _ . ...... 341141 III 5-. ...Id 'E ..s. 9.1%....(Lw .. . c~ I. . . v x F: ..r . .d ..i 3. E 3.: S C if. a ..S c. .u p‘ O b F“ I, .5. .r . w . Q; n x H O . ‘0 Oh ... ¢ a. o e A u w.‘ Cw “ 3 vi... E e l S r. 0 Sb : . p . S 1 O 1 0 t . S .0» .J 5. “kn. .N W.“ .o c “be u .... .. pm. ‘3 . on... A h... . 2‘ .4 ...“ ...... u... .3 “we ..r. m 5 . ... ..a ...a. ...... . ..... ..u ...u. 33 3) A satisfactory level of income does not provide a good assessment of the efficiency of the economy. Its perfor- mance would be better judged on the basis of whether or not it provides the highest standard of living compatible with available resources and techniques. An even more basic question raised by some authors is whether consumer satisfaction as a meaning for all economic activity is a satisfactory guide. John Kenneth Galbraith offers the view that as society becomes more affluent, wants are increasingly dependent on the process by which they are satisfied, a phenomenon he calls "the dependence effect. " Because the society sets great store by its ability to produce a high living standard, it evaluates people by the products they possess. The urge to consume is fathered by the value system which emphasizes the ability of the society to produce. The more that is produced the more that must be owned in order to maintain the appropriate prestige . . . the produc- tion of goods creates the wants that the goods are presumed to satisfy. Granting that his arguments may be one sided, as several of his critics point out, 5 it is difficult to refute Galbraith's idea that catering to insatiable wants may lead to improper allocation of resources. Demand is diverted away from more socially impera - tive objectives, such as housing, education, and medical care, and toward expenditures which contribute little to the welfare of the "'H'T' , S __L . _ P:nv'~‘:. .... '1 7:0 CO‘OH 4" :" “1;: 30‘~'ert}'. .I' . -nr—fi‘EI' l . N—‘sl“~“‘.~ . . ur‘n-nin ..P-.-_.\v—L -. ...,.....- ~‘.4\ $.24.- ».~o~«p ‘ -.-....r-. if: CIT. --. . "': 0’“ v- ‘r -. " *‘ .- 4 "‘ —~ u..~ ‘..\'\___. ~ ‘ "‘A a. - ' ~- ' P 9"...n“ P. ‘ "-‘U..u.. .. .... u. ..,Al ""s. " ‘ihv. _, “‘ i-"Ql'xes . -‘h ' ‘ --:~..:‘ “g“. : -.. L 0_ V“v m \‘ . . E . ‘1 \ ‘ n e. ... ,2, ‘. A I ‘gJ’ ya‘ 5 v. fic‘ ' ’r. . 5“) L"-_ a ‘: P. 1 . .."F~ =‘«\.r 1“..p‘ \ —‘ \ N- -_ J _ l u ‘ “ W‘Lr- .I ‘£- “‘LP \ xi. ‘. 34 people who consume them, hence "the contrast between private wealth and public poverty. ” Economic Organization Efficiency Assumptions Economic organization is the social machinery used to accomplish distinct economic functions. There are five main economic functions, 6 of which two are basic: production and dis- tribution. The others are corollaries to these two. Production involves the allocation of the resources available to the society and the coordination of their use to produce the optimum results. Dis- tribution involves the control of production to ensure that the goods and services produced are, in fact, the desired ones. It should provide incentives to optimize allocation of resources in production. The other functions are: (1) the fixing of standards, or the establishment of what the society considers to be desirable goods and services and the determination of the measures of value by which the efficiency of production and distribution are to be evalu- ated; (2) economic maintenance and progress, which enables society not only to maintain its standard of living but also to achieve even higher levels; and (3) the adjustment of consumption to pro - duction within very short periods of time. It is this last function that frequently makes the evaluation of the performance of any w \ ~ g '- 3' y, o’ofi‘ ~¥ .. -.. r O o— m .' . o "y L: fin UA‘ ... I.-. I--h—~D~‘ . S In... I»: .— do. . . lando a .. F --. ~._ 5‘ w... w u.‘ 0 - P 71 35 current economic system so difficult. Are observed deficiencies symptoms of a fundamental shortcoming of the system, or are they unavoidable, temporary conditions until the long -run equilibrium is established? Economic theory assumes that economic organization leads to efficiency. Consistent with the idea of social contract is the assumption that, given the available resources and the state of technology, an organized economic effort enables a social group to produce more want and need satisfaction than could be produced by its members working separately. The functions of organizing production (what to produce and how much) and of organizing distribution (what to produce for whom, or the payment to the factors of production) can be distinguished but not separated. They can, however, be viewed and evaluated from the standpoint of the different institutional forms by which they are administered. This evaluation is made, generally, by contrasting two ideological extremes, free enterprise and a centrally directed economy. The Capitalistic Economic System Assumptions In the capitalistic economic system, the ownership of resources, the production, distribution, and exchange of goods, and 't A ‘ - V" s. C ...... 1" F” OVA .1 ‘— . «pupa! »L ..L #w .-‘-.‘ T a.‘ .-- I . . _"..v¢ .- ... . V‘ .I.. “Fl . rw . V. Y . . S .... a. .. . T Q . .0 o ‘I. p. e "A “.4 . n “tut . A .11. A 9.. my. SN 9 A \ ‘ . . W. “m a.“ w“ I . firm“. I. 3. Pg a: ..‘u Mu . . y pm a . flu . . I .C . v T. . T a .m.. ..J. .... a .. . Ms. E . s u.“ m. .o . Cu . ~ . C» Y . .uw 0;... a: w~§~ P. p. 9.4.. ‘1; .~ g y .. . . mun .. . a u 1" . ‘u .~ n: a; = .. . ,f.“ o , a: m§~ v _ .p . ... u u ... g ..-... M. ... ...J. .5. ... -. ... ... ... _.u .... ... u. .,.c ~ . .n.. a m L. . .-_ n . . u .p n..._ . .... . ”A ... ..m .u _4 u... ~. T .... st .... 36 the Operation of the system itself are affected by private enterprise and control under competitive conditions. Every productive resource or agent, including labor, typically belongs to some person who is free within the legal conditions of the market to obtain what he can from its use. 7 . The free enterprise system is based on individual economic freedom. It stresses private economic decisions both by individuals and firms; it operates without an overall central plan. The basic idea is to let men, on their own, make economic decisions and allow them to reap the rewards or suffer the lack of rewards. In a free enterprise economy, cooperation among indi- viduals is achieved primarily by the voluntary exchange of services and goods for money and vice versa. The main organizing force is the price system. Economic decisions are made in the market where the economic forces of supply and demand operate to determine prices. 9 When one tries to analyze these assumptions in a real world situation, one observes that no country has a ‘pure free enter- prise system. Market decisions are influenced or modified by governmental decisions in the attempt to reach certain predetermined goals. This is necessary because, despite the dynamics and control force of competition, free enterprise is not self -sufficient. Government intervention has been necessary for three reasons. First, it must regulate and coordinate, to some extent, F“! p. L . i . '. ‘7'" ‘~w «F.' . _ ..- ‘ ~-~s~...-c.‘._x . L .~ "m ““7‘~‘3I‘e, so“ “H“‘mi. ‘K‘hlc; ? AKA 8.;‘71 ) 3;; ‘H ... to: “Luann ‘: :z‘; . 1P:- - “‘5' V: ‘5‘! ‘ 3*. V: 37 the activities of private individuals and firms. It does so through enforcing, for example, laws of property, contract, methods of settling disputes, and antitrust laws, or through public regulatory agencies. Second, it must supplement efforts in those neglected areas of public need which seem economically unprofitable ventures for private persons or institutions (such as schools and highways) or which require larger amounts of capital than the private sector could or would be willing to provide (for example, for research and development). Third, government must determine the fiscal and monetary policies necessary to achieve price stability and to main- tain adequate levels of employment. Aside from these government constraints, certain social constraints also interfere with the individual' s free decisions in the marketplace (for example, unemployment and job discrimination). Furthermore, some of these decisions may be delegated, such as wage bargaining, which is delegated to unions. In sum, economic theory assumes a "good, " ”fair, " "free" functioning of market forces. In the real world, however, there are so many distortions of this theoretical model that one wonders whether the general conclusions can be held to be valid. A recent and striking example is the wage -price freeze, accompanied by the creation of the Cost of Living Council that includes the Pay "t ‘4' "cf! ”0'19“! L‘" . "-118 . f ...- -"-.‘M ‘c . . ' .*_‘L'\.-“ A- 5- ”... -- ... :::::-:i: forces “ ‘. . - 1 - 7.. q: marches - .I ' .‘ ‘V" " ’ ~"‘ ' or. — —|". I .‘ ... l - .... _ _ r :- :..-.: EKG“ If. ' _ - . ‘ .4... I ‘ . ...... enougn 1111' $32.1 r9-“ ‘ -gwr‘)‘ 2" 1’ ‘ . ‘ 'l‘ 9!~ ‘- '““‘-~‘»0.Jf‘.': 0’. c ‘ v A ‘ ‘:-'- . .'- ‘I 1.- ~. .~\c..€ L’g . k..“ “a . '5. s‘~\ 53;." U : fu- ~A¢¢§ COv‘ \d “ ‘ .. .~ k v 1 H... “.- 1 “as F '\ --~ A ‘ O“. x‘ ‘1- a‘h-l: -~ C A ’ O\.S ‘ ’ ....“ "‘ J'- 9‘. . H‘s. you , “"‘ I‘ ‘ . . n'~ . It. ‘.. v.‘ A; was 0 Q '— ~“ 38 Board and Price Commission. 10 In economic theory terms the price system is the main organizing force, but the freeze means prices will not be determined freely in the marketplace by the economic forces of supply and demand as the theory assumes, but will be controlled or regulated to some extent. Even if there is no intervention in the price mechanisms, "price theory assumes a stable economy--free from major fluctuations up or down-~and reasonably full employment of resources, "11 which, of course, is not the case. It is also debatable whether the free enterprise system has shown enough internal self -control, concern for general welfare, and social responsibility. Despite de facto regulations and controls, a philosophy of free initiative and free enterprise has prevailed and may have been responsible, according to some critics, for the con- centration and abuse of economic power. Big business may be replacing the market as the controlling power in the economy: "far from being controlled by the market, the firm, to the best of its ability, has made the market subordinate to the goals of its planning. Prices, costs, production and resulting revenues are established not by the market but, within broad limits . .' . by the planning decisions of the firm. "12 Similar concerns are shared by Charles Reich. 13 The American corporate state, as he defines it, consists . A . .. _ . . . r uh.“ .r . .bé— Pr. W“ W” ~.-_ L. .. r. C . . 3 . Au .1 ... a i 1 u .1 L 1‘ u n 9 ”I n CH O ..2 S w e m. n C :0. a A V.“ F.» at“ V 1. o . 9.. m Fun _ y .. .. .C a .2 . . 5 .u. 6“ .. ..§ :. . w L. “w ‘1 4 u v . . c T... .... m... .5. n. .... ... :i ..a’ ir- ... ..A. u;... ...” 1.... .— . . u. . l. . . .. l . . . . . . . . ... . CDC: 11:5 . O - V A. O S ’ v . -,—.. - I on... ‘_-P"-v -~~.~‘ - 39 of large industrial organizations, plus nonprofit institutions (foundations and the educational system) and the government itself. The state, which is perfectly rational and logical, is guided by one single value, the value of technology: organization, efficiency, and progress. "The State, and not the market or the people or any abstract economic laws, determines what shall be produced, what shall be consumed, and how it should be allocated. "14 Ecologists argue that some of the shortcomings of the per- formance of the free enterprise system also can be demonstrated by the lack of concern for the environment. Since Rachel Carson' s warnings in 1962, 15 the environmental quality issue has evolved into an area of major national concern. 16 This will be discussed in more detail later in this chapter, but it should be emphasized that the subject also may be viewed within the same context of enterprise self -control and responsibility. Modern Theory of Consumer Behavior Assumptions The main assumption of the modern economic theory of consumer behavior is that the consumer attempts to allocate his limited money. income among available goods and services so as to maximize his satisfaction. Underlying this basic statement are . 17 . four other assumptions. First, eachxconsumer has exact and . O . O ‘3 . 9. .r . .7: TL .C r: . ...... S T. u .u a. . .... ... . . ... I“ . b. "0..” . . _ AVE". . .— 6”- O- n _ 1 _...—~ ." ‘. ...- " .C C .. C .C L» n. r. ...u .5 an . ... . r; .w- r.. an. .\u .4. . . ... .’. .., .t. F E .... E Q o . .Q .IW QC 5; 40 full knowledge of all information relevant to his consumption decisions. That is, he has knowledge of the goods and services available and of their technical capacity to satisfy his wants, of market prices, and of his money income. Second, each consumer has a preference function and prefers some goods and services to others. Third, each consumer has some money to make these preferences significant in the market. Fourth, each individual' 3 preferences are independent of others' preferences. These assumptions stress the importance of information. Preferences also depend on knowledge; people can prefer only things they know. Two main questions arise. Does the consumer have full or adequate knowledge? and does the consumer have free choice? Both knowledge and selection become more difficult as the complexity of products and the number of alternatives increase. Income and time are scarce resources to be allocated among an increasing number of choices. The whole process of choice and consumption has become more complex. 18 Another source of doubts is the process by which the preferences are made known in the marketplace. According to Milton Friedman, the existence of alternative ends implies that there must be some way of rating ends and reconciling conflicting evaluation of these ends by. individuals within the society. In a free - enterprise exchange economy this task is accomplished . O ‘— I . a I u ‘f' ,1 01.1" ,n ‘ ..--... a; C :51? V _'.01 - r. I!_ '- ..‘fi 3-3'v a ‘-|o". ul- “ S a. S - AH. “h. . C 9 EH Q ‘ Q . . O q. or“ S F l x p. D. Hr“ .W.“ ...“ n .u i .c .. . n . L. ~ m .~ m ~ M x . .2 a” wk :2 l . . ..r. E fiilii: . ‘. H .3 F, Ute. 5‘»? .9) ... .2. -‘r‘ or eral F5 ‘ . D's- ., a. Y. 18 'Y' i '2?“ ...h-I . Q - '1” V'... I -". .s,__‘ n.-- “- ... 41 essentially through voting, voting in the market place with dollars. One advantage of this type of decision -making* is that it allows for a system of proportional representation in the market place, so that minority groups in the society can also make their wishes felt. The votes of the members of a free enterprise exchange economy are manifested through prices which, in turn, reveal the standards of the society. 19 Critics cannot help but conclude that individuals with more income have more significant preferences and that their voice in the economic processes has more influence. Furthermore, the assumption of preference independence does not stand upwhen analyzed in the setting of a social system. Individual' s attitudes and behavior are influenced by other individuals or groups. Con- sumer behavior studies on cultural, reference group, and family 2 influences emphasize this point. Maxim ization Assumptions It is further assumed that if the economy were one of pure competition and-if the "static" assumptions were fulfilled, the attainment of general equilibrium would maximize aggregate utility. But, inthe real world, various deviations from pure competiton in both product and resource markets prevent the free enterprise system from allocating its resources perfectly among different uses. Several reasons, as have been noted, account for this: lack of information, activities of government or private institutions, 3:10:15 i»,¢.' .- _t H on ‘ o - . V“ ‘u‘vgfi-U __. “" _v .u-- . r — ur" ‘ .V.»“ . I-“h .l bugs/.... 3 .- . .. § :56 O 3753: 1- ‘ .‘l 42 psychological make -up, or social influence on particular economic units. Deviations inherent in the state of modern technological developments and some rigidity in the price system may be added. In the real world, dynamic not static situations prevail, with changes occurring constantly in such basic factors as consumer tastes and preferences, technological developments, and kinds and quantities of available resources. All of these prevent the attainment of the general equilibrium position as viewed in static economics. The conclusions of static equilibrium do not provide a suitable frame of reference for understanding (and, even less, appraising) a truly dynamic economy and for visualizing the role played by marketing. The shortcomings of this approach are analyzed by Wroe Alderson. 21 Firms and households solve their problems not in the simplistic way suggested by static equilibrium analysis, but by resolution of conflicts in all levels of interaction in the marketplace. Only by departing from an economic organization model that is relevant to the real world could a theory of marketing behavior be developed. 2 General Equilibrium and Welfare Assumptions Welfare generally is analyzed in terms of Pareto optimality. An organization is Pareto optimal if, and only if, there is no change es ’ O n L I" . A u ‘ ‘1 _ ‘10.“ a». . I’ll-lira .0319, 13% .- .. -‘ p—h ‘ I. 4-- soul CS 1“ ' ‘9‘ “... .— vid- V .. V . \‘ ‘v-“' H' h“- ‘ ." ‘-44L .4 a . . Lag : 2.». L? . ‘ Gulf-3m k 43 that will makesomeone better off without making some other individual worse off. It is assumed that the functioning of the price system in perfectly competitive markets guarantees the attainment of maximum social welfare. Because of the maximizing behavior of producers and consumers, given market determined prices, each individual in pursuing his own self -interest is led by an "invisible hand" to a course of action that promotes the general welfare of all. 24 Several comments seem pertinent at this point. Regarding the Pareto optimal organization, could it not be worthwhile to make some worse off to improvethe situation of others? If so, who could and should make these value judgments? The main problem from a general welfare viewpoint arises exactly from the basic assumption that if each'resource is paid market determined prices and each individual and firm adopt a maximizing behavior, then welfare maximization will be attained. Even if we assume perfect and fair functioning of the market, the original endowment of resources -- the command over resources-- is not equal .for all. This problem has not yet been considered by traditional economic theory. The traditional theory. of distribution is concerned exclusively with the pricing of factors of production--the distribution of income among cooperating resources classified by their -r;se S'Jsifi'? . . m 31‘ this a .~~ I \\l . v n O ‘! 3.;‘1' X . A-..‘ . .. -n‘—- l‘ v - '—\_.‘_ .- \ ~ ‘; "“103 exi 44 productive function. It has little to say about the distribution of income among the individual members of the society, and there is no corresponding body of theory that does. This absence of a satisfactory theory of the personal distribution of income and of a theoretical bridge connecting the functional distribution of income with the personal distribution, is a major gap in modern economic theory. Besides, there is no evidence that a perfectly competitive, free enterprise system exists. Nor is there any evidence that the pur— suit of own self-interest has led to the general welfare of all. One possible explanation for this failure is the existence of conflicts between interests of individual producers or consumers and the society as a whole. 26 Even economists recognize that rather con- straining assumptions are necessary to hold welfare analysis con- clusions true. For instance, the Pareto efficiency requirements are a necessary, but an insufficient, condition for a welfare maxi- mum; for this an explicit welfare function is required. 27 One cannot help wondering about the ethical evaluations underlying the configu- ration of this welfare function. Maximum welfare may not be achieved, even if perfect competition existed in all markets. C. E. Ferguson clearly explains 2 . the marketfailure. 8 According .to marginal analysis, maxunum social welfare is obtained when marginal social costs equal marginal social benefits, or when the price consumers are willing to pay exactly equals the cost society must incur to secure an additional 2 .‘IA .1; «J 0-- vflmEn-fi 'v-q .00" __1 L; y ..a ...d I 4' ‘ \ 1*“ ..A“ _. and Re _. .- .. " ..— S v p 1 a 0 § ‘5- O .‘. o- '4 . -~ n0;£$." ... - n m '\ s ... ya... -.‘3 w? H‘- . I- ~-. ‘3 .A --y; §-.-I . p“ ‘ >-§ C 1' Law 0 the C I: 45 unit of output. In some cases, however, marginal private cost does not equal marginal social cost. It is in the context of divergence between private and social costs andfthe existence of externalities that the problem of pollution and environmental quality should be seen. Allen Kneese, Robert Ayres, ‘and Ralph D' Arge call attention to the special and important externalities associated with the disposal of residuals resulting from consumption and production;29 they, as does Wassily Leontief, 30 consider these a normal part of the process. Their economic sig- nificance tends to increase as societies grow in material wealth and as the ability of the natural environment to receive and assimilate them decreases. 31 The authors suggest that economic theory may have failed to recognize these facts because it views production and consumptionin a way somewhat at variance with the fundamental physical law of conservation of mass. In the context of Pareto optimality, if the capacity of the environment to assimilate residuals is a scarce resource, the market exchange process could only be free of uncompensated technological external diseconomies under two conditions: (1) if all inputs were entirely converted into wantedioutputs, with no unde- sired material and energy residuals resulting or if any such residu- als could be confined to the producer' 3 premises; or (2) if property a; ll FA "1.. «.1; 9‘ It 1... f... e a S i r. . C 3 u 1. x q . wL _H... 9 pH. 9 WM .1 1 ..L .r. F; ‘0 Cu mA‘ .. A: aw~ §|.. W“ o — .«1 0 v .. . .C a . P. .. p u . t . n 0 F: _.C r P. ..b ”H. m; Cy X o . ..fiu .x ..u. a»; .u« a... -.I .1 wm r“ a: tu . . . n . z w m. .L”. ... u. : ... .w . n... .u. r... a. an ...m n... ..M _. a C . C — .. . ... ... an.” ... .... ”a ... C ._ .-.. ... 7 fix.“ I .II‘I .l..1i....,\... .. Id ‘3, "Er. .’ ..‘nipw . 4 _L. ~ ”5-. ‘ -." l ‘11,: v.1._ -v.‘ 5.. -- 4"- ...- :— ‘NA 46 rights were so arranged. that all relevant environmental attributes were in private ownership and these rights were exchanged in competitive markets. The problem is that neither of these con- ditions prevails in the present economic system. The law of conservation of mass ("one cannot get rid of matter”) still holds. The means of disposal of undesired residuals which maximizes internal return of households or firms is by, dis - charge into the environment, mainly water and the atmosphere. Water and air, the traditional examples of free goods of economic theory, are becoming scarce common property resources. This introduces important and difficult allocation problems that the market mechanism has not yet shown itself capable of solving. The analysis of pollution reductionor elimination is not conceptually impossible. If the reduction is considered a part of production and consumption processes, then its cost should be incorporated into the input-output economic analysis. But, both in theory and practice, there are difficult problems, such as setting acceptable standards for pollution, determining the costs, and establishing institutional arrangements to set the standards, assess the costs, and enforce the controls. Assuming that such standards could be set, costs assessed, and the institutional arrangements arrived at without too much CH;- : I .. O ' ‘ ~ "”5" Ct.- -:.:r:c...c..- \ .—'I ~ ..., " fl ‘ ..v-~-- U‘ $1.:‘, 6.5“ ~-: Am.O“-' . —‘,.. 0‘04. e-y. “5—- _ V . r) r~v_nprlf“~vlfl LT.‘ Javi-‘bv . “-..a- ‘1 v- ‘1 ..:,.,., d .::::i’: 3': tpp S M A ‘ n .- “7‘ .-—...~. .45 3.x; 5:. . W‘ ‘r.;-.'. k _ " ‘ 1' . “r- 9 ““t- ~-“ .:.; “‘v-- ' — -....,_. ~. ‘F‘ . _ .--_ ..a.‘Y‘e v. .5- O ‘4 f.-. N -“F “ 2.2?“ ‘V v.-= r.“ “’-‘ ‘ -‘ ‘§ A y. \ .— -. N ‘ "~a.‘ t‘-‘ - . .. P ‘Q \. o . .- . QM ...- “‘P"h;a- Q _ d-‘—- 1. {RI ‘f:‘ - ‘. guA 4...: 47 disagreement (difficult problems in themselves), a basic decision remains to be made. -How should the costs of heat, smoke, noise, dirty water, and sewage be apportioned? Among the firms produc- ing them? Among the consumers buying the products of which they are by -products? Among the public in general? Several alternatives have been proposed, including environmental taxes or subsidies, or a price on pollution established by a Pollution Control Board and enforced by the state. 34 But in any solution, it is difficult to avoid the need for some centralized, institutional arrangement to set standards and prices and to enforce control of individual behavior for social benefit. 35 Be it a governmental regulatory body, or a representative political body, or any other form, the regulating agency probably would not conform to the idea of decentralized decision units that the free enterprise philosophy postulates. The conclusion is that economic theory has not provided and cannot provide a framework for evaluation of the state of the society in terms of quality of life. Because of the constraining conditions that theory requires, the conclusions are very limited in scope. When the assumptions which do not prevail in the real world are removed, one is left with no validicontext that could be operationalized .for evaluation of the system' 8 performance. At best one is left with an incompleteset of statements that require 4 .a ,. --. . O o O 56 V ‘. ....... C ...» C. 1... 9 T. 5 . ._ ..... .. .. . J E. E . w. .. . n. . r. .1 .... .. C .P* d .u . e O s a L. . . ‘ll x. . . I . .. w .3 _. ... .... a“ . o a c ... s .. .1. E .-w .C t . .... ‘7. w. I ... . i. .w c... a ..a .... . . x .3 Z. .T . 3 a v . . . . 2w .. . . H. 7* F... P. M...“ wk .. .. a. ...; VA n O .. u 1 . VI a!» .. f N :w .. .... H... * . 1.. .2“ - ...a... : . u a a...” 5. . .. .... ux “a .. N .O— W” . . H . _ ..Pn. ...... .a .. M: ... : . \x ->\\ .n.... .gd 3 Z i u .. .... ..x ..... ..... ...... .... i. .. s .. ..._\ ;_P . .. .~ aw - o.“ .0 . V/ ...-V- A--" w an! [Inn {... .‘ ...rlhlvnluaflav .391. A 48 further explanations for operational purposes. Thus economic theory also has failed to provide an adequate framework for the evaluation of marketing performance. Marketing Theory Perspectives on the Quality of Life Has marketing theory provided the models and constructs to treat the problem of the quality of life and to analyze marketing' 3 performance in this respect? From a micro -marketing approach, that is, from the individual firm (or industry) viewpoint, goals and standards for performance have been expressed in some form of maximization (profit, return on investment, sales volume). Implied in these, however, are the long -term goals of survival and growth. 36 Even for the individual firm, an accurate evaluation of performance is complex. The determination of the level of actual performance always involves some idea of productivity, 37 or the determination of a ratio between inputs and outputs. The inputs are the resources the firm mobilizes and commits to the marketing program; the outputs include product, and service, distribution, and communica— tions mixes, all coordinated and integrated into a marketing program to obtain and service customer demand. 38 This approach assumes that all outputs are good, desirable, and positive. But also included in the outputs are externalities not taken into account heretofore: -... _,. .... .1- C. ..C _ A .a— _... y ‘ Ln: 1‘“ ~ " En LCOV ‘vr jib-bit» .13.... 9% ‘35... .u. a.” Jaw .... 49 pollution, planned obsolescence, misuse of resources, and so forth. These imply social costs not computed in the traditional input ~output analysis. The practice has been to adopt cost figures as measure- ments for inputs and sales figures for final outputs. 39 Sales volume figures also are basic to the calculatiOn of the other goal figures (profit, return on investment). Furthermore, sales volume has been assumed to be a good proxy for the actual outputs of marketing programs. This reflects the basic economic assump- tion already analyzed that the consumer votes in the marketplace with dollars. Thus, sales volume would reflect the extent of con- sumer want satisfaction, but the limitations of this assumption already have been discussed. Even if these limitations are ignored for the moment and one accepts that for each firm, in terms of its economic goals, costs reflect inputs and sales volume does reflect the final output, the problem of evaluating actual performance is not entirely solved. First, some inputs are intangible and are not easily quantified (such as time and quality of effort). Second, some inputs (advertising, sales effort) have "carry-over" effects. 40 Third, the successive marketing programs themselves have a cumulative effect. Market- ing activities are not self -generating. Each activity absorbs input --.. 1. .. ‘ ‘ . ’ _-. ...".;.—.=r.cec c; r ‘~-ll .—o c ...-PW“ . _r-n «ta-.LE, v ."c,v- . —.-.., .o < “Fun. ..x--x...c 8%? : ‘~ ' - . ‘~...: 3' $1,. .. 2v 5‘. - \‘a ‘ '-~" ~- 9.... . \_IJ .v—r‘ ‘ “\A L~. ‘. “~‘. ".~. ‘~ 1 ‘\ ‘N ‘ A l-- -\ - u -‘ “ \‘1‘ 5‘ N“ ‘ \. .— A ‘. “ - ~__~\ \~.~ .‘ .' A q a ‘ - ‘\_" ~‘ . ‘ \ ‘ ' ‘ ~. ‘ 50 values and produces output values that are either consumed or channeled as inputs to other activity cycles. 41 Because the market- ing program is coordinated and integrated, each marketing activity is both influenced by and influences other activities. Because marketing is a continuous process, each time period is at the same time influenced by past periods and influencing future ones. This means that each input -output ratio involves cumulative not net input and output values, which are needed for a productivity evaluation of performance. The utility of cost-revenue analysis and productivity ratios is not to be disregarded, but there are problems and limitations in using them to evaluate a firm' s performance, even in a strictly economic sense. Furthermore, in attempting to evaluate the contri- bution of the individual firm to the enhancement of the quality of life, traditional analysis is inadequate. The difficulty of the evaluation is compounded when a macro marketing approach is adopted or an attempt is made to try to evaluate the performance of marketing as a social process. As Stanley Hollander points out, 43 criticisms have long been made. These historically have centered upon the role of mid- dlemen and the cost of marketi_ng. But there have been only a few in-depth studies on these costs. r- Au“ E, DE'K‘ 'F :‘t. rh. .... L n-—.; In ail—...! pillar .....- .m. k a: .Q» 1‘ a, {C t- --i.. -4 ... L. 2. i T L. 51 Often quoted studies of this sort are those of P. W. Steward 44 45 . and G. F. Dewhurst, Harold Barger, and Reav1s Cox and asso- ciates. 46 These contributions, 47 interesting and valuable as they may be, do not provide a framework for analyzing in a systematic way the social performance of marketing. Marketing Performance As sumptions It has been assumed that since society has acquired a high standard of living (relatively, and in material terms), and that since marketing is a vital part of the economic system, then marketing must have made a positive contribution. It has been accepted that marketing has guided the economy, indicating what is wanted or needed, and has played a significant role in the diffusion of innova- tion. It is partly through marketing that new inventions gain appli- cability, and that new products and services are introduced into the market and are incorporated into consumption patterns. The cumulative effect of marketing activities is believed to have induced, over a period of time, a readiness to accept change, a favorable reaction to innovation, and a rise in the level of aspirations. Authors have spoken of marketing "delivering a standard of living" and con- " It is in this sense that it is tributing to the "American dream. believed marketing must have had a positive influence on the quality of life. ..J x " .w-- I L ‘1.- .L'“; ‘21 ’3. g f i our-u. .....- VH9 W‘ :- fl ‘ ‘--J: --h-o", :ISZEI‘ woulc .‘c-H-‘AA .4--.‘ "'_'~‘.‘l\ 6C“. ‘ (l ' :1 ('2 {z I‘D "I "~.?: °“. N - r . ‘ --‘C \-' _.- -"H-E "Q- 1' “ -7 6-9 1“:rF‘ “s- ~ c:_ cu ‘~‘ .“ .":“""":.rl . A‘ ~ ‘V q . h. 3‘s... u‘.:--- ~.:~~ ~s-“ :5-“ §‘\ s. ‘ ‘."‘ “*4. :4 \- “k 4’11“; i- \- 52 It has been assumed that since the marketing concept implies catering to consumer needs and wants, 48 then the firm from a micro viewpoint, and the marketing system from a macro viewpoint, must have been successful in catering to them or the consumer would have exercised his veto power. 49 The concept asserts, in marketing terms, the basic economic assumption that economic activities are directed to and by human wants. 50 More specifically, the concept involves: (1) awareness and appreciation of the consumer' 8 needs and wants, (2) a profit orientation, or satisfaction of these needs and wants at a profit for the firm, and (3) the idea of mobilization of total corporate resources to focus on theconsumer and the organizational rearrangements necessary to implement the concept. Very few studies actually have been conducted to determine whether firms have undertaken programs of marketing concept implementation, or the degree to which they have succeeded in doing so where attempted. . When undertaken, these surveys usually have approached the study from the viewpoint of internal institutional arrangements. In particular, they have investigated the organiza- tional structuring of the several marketing activities, for example, the position of the chief marketing executive in the organizational structure, or whether or not there is a marketing research depart- ment. v rese output er S 12 ”Elli-26:11 'V ...c a. .v P‘. T ,. r A - ~- OP - F ‘5‘ ..- vv.-- h. v ; -...ly:.nvy~ ..- _...b - s. - . - ¢¢A a ..— pl' - D a .9. 53 It seems apparent that although consumer orientation is the basic idea underlying the marketing concept the literature does not offer any research‘evidence that consumer want and need satis - faction has been achieved. At best, surveysoffer an evaluation of the inputs for the implementation of the concept, that is, what the company has done and how it has organized itself for implementa - tion. The outputs of the implementation have yet to be studied from the consumer side. Is the consumer satisfied? How does he or-she evaluate marketing performance? Despite all the progress made in the studies of consumer behavior and the methodological refinements for measurement of attitudes, opinions, and beliefs, very little is known about how the consumer feels. The literature, when it recognizes that this evaluation is or should be made, returns to economic theory for an explanation. 53 It assumes the evaluation is made in the marketplace and that people' s choices among alternatives are an indication (and thus possible indicators) of their preference. Therefore, prices and market votes would indicate people' 3 preferences and satisfaction or dissatisfaction. This approach assumes the existence of alter- native choices; free, fair, functioning of the market; people' 3 knowledge of the alternatives; and people' s ability to evaluate them. The first two representtheconstraints of the system; the latter two refer to the availability and adequacy of information. cur ...—"v E I > I ;’."‘2‘13T‘ ‘ W“: 'cuI‘ n‘ .a . sq.»- ‘ I _'v‘.""c-Q «3+ ...'_.... . _ 5“ 13511:; ou‘w" \r £51“. I P03: It can '1, 2:72-1:32. B {‘11 $7335 has a} "“3“ Sfitisf ~2r-d PTOdUQt lira". ‘- :h . en ...;‘d “11:51 A I;"‘

2} 5,“. v‘U. x" ‘ ‘ 'N. ’ ‘» L..QS ‘~‘~.‘ '— ‘ J h, ‘ Jrke ' d o «I ~ ~— '~ ': A ‘n\‘-- ‘3qth: \‘i 60 expectations, and the complexity of comparison and choice. Richard Buskirk and James Rothe write of consumerism as an "organized effort" of consumers dissatisfied with products that do not conform to expectations. 66 Charles Leathers proposes that consumerism is an immature phase of countervailing power: "The consumerism movement represents the natural tendency for organizations to arise in cases of social power vacuums to act as countervailing forces. The responsiveness of government action (or simply the threat of such action) provides the movement with the thrust of real power that it needs to succeed. "6.7 All these authors (and many others) are trying to find an explanation for the baffling occurrence of consumerism exactly at a period when affluence shouldgenerate satisfaction and not dis - satisfaction. What complicates the problem is the difficulty inisolating from the complex interrelationships between the indi- vidual' s multiple needs and wants (or "interests" as Bertram calls themes) those which. are being gratified and thosewhich are not. Activities seen as relating to one type of need, want, or interest may, in fact, serve as substitutes. Two questions seem pertinent: Are people really dissatisfied? If yes, with or about what? Any explanation of consumerism must begin with the notion of dissatisfaction, overt or latent. The consumer'who files a l . J “2".‘. 1"! c . ‘-‘-“"b"'1t (it; '3- ; .9 '1 ‘ g .- ! .‘ If?” 9: for Us 'vi- 1 .. ... . 2:172:25 “HE , ::p.. .u ‘_ . ‘9, or is .~;.. .‘ ~C‘AC3I: soclp ...fi: 4n}: 'T“ - ACE 1: ';’,.m9 .:._¢v \ deDEr ing“ ~:-=N'C 31",qu . ‘x. _ 61 complaint about a product or service to a business, governmental office, or an outside agency is actively voicing his dissatisfaction. There may be many others, equally dissatisfied, who do not take any direct steps, but who nevertheless provide the audience and the votes for the mass media and politicians voicing their griev- ance. Even in the case of the active consumer, it is difficult to determine whether the dissatisfaction is a function of the product or service, or is representative of what the individual dislikes in American society, the business community, or in the quality of his life. Theindividual' 3. basic levels of need or want in all these respects depend upon his expectations. These are based upon his past and present learning (information or experience), and whether they are realistic is, at least partially, a function of that informa - tion and experience. These considerations lead to some intriguing speculations. Consumerism may simply be evidence of general dissatisfaction with the market economy, and maybe related to other issues and concerns (such as ecology, minority rights, and poverty) that reflect criticism of the capitalistic ideology and practices. Low income and socially disadvantaged consumers have been the object of several studies. Some authors stress that they are really more susceptible to fraud, high prices, usury, and poor quality and ,- ..s . . waned 'm’ T l ‘F.-.~"Q"‘ . ‘,. -“n5' 1 o ‘ 22.25,. “'15 DFOQ ‘ ' oar. , u . a "‘0‘ ‘ _l “hm-5. «.-c F: ..g, , .. ' F 0. ~-.~ all d‘ ' ---: _-'.- ; . “*riig' s 1: Tie :0 fl,0..."...4-~ u *~ .5 u.- “§- ‘ . 4 "wit. co: ' . a 9 & CC ‘c .u 1 . --._ 2‘34 .-" .-. -..-u “ A . I‘m-h ~. “'~ w “"Ktq ." u u.- "._‘.- -‘-" 7 ‘-«, "S Q‘ ‘ .- h. 5 . \u‘A’P V" .. “ h ‘ .... "'§ 1 .' 62 services. 69 Some of these findings are accepted reservedly by others. 70 But the conclusion that marketing discrimination exists is supportedby the report prepared by the Office of Economic Opportunity. 71 Slum and ghetto residents have-less commodity choice, and products available to them usually are inferior. 72 Perhaps consumerism is a result of marketing activity itself. The combined complexity and. impersonalization of modern retailing, marketing' 3 failure to satisfy the needs for individuali- zation and differentiation, and the dissatisfaction generated by marketing' 3 inability to fulfill high expectations may have given rise to doubts and criticisms being voiced particularly by the more educated, concerned, and activist generation. If consumerism is an expression of consumer dissatisfac- tion and if it can be attributed, at least partially, to marketing activities themselves, then doubt is cast on the marketing concept itself. Is the concept invalid? Or, is it valid, but has been improperly implemented? To recapitulate, the research of institutional or organi- zational arrangements which supposedly demonstrate the imple- mentation of the marketing concept may reveal awareness of the concept and/ or a desire to implement it, but it does not get to the basic issue. To answer the question of whether customer orientation has been successful would require some measurement 'I'tyv K4" - ’l‘h‘ ‘1 ‘:.‘.. ”O'TrE: 5.: c Au “ .. , .. -:.-.;9‘Ffl s 0-. _.nav'“ ll.‘ .. "- . .-. “0.. ..., ...-”he ~- .;: no‘bobd r k)- a o x ,. ’ ‘. 1;;ray'n,hfl , “'"v‘ - “cuuu‘é q) “ he s: ‘ the ex grie‘: 63 of the consumer' 8 degree of satisfaction or dissatisfaction with marketing' 3 offerings-and practices. Although there is no evidence of active involvement of a large number of people in the consumerism movement, the fact that consumer issues are gaining relevance indicates that there must be some underlying dissatisfaction to which they appeal- A better understanding of present consumerism is needed. Research is indicated in the following areas: 1) the extent of the problem--how diffuse is dissatisfaction among the population? 2) the intensity of feeling, or the degree of consumer dis— satisfaction; 3) the specific sources of dissatisfaction--the quality of life, the systems, the products, or the services, and so forth; 4) the existing channels through which consumers voice their grievances within and outside business channels, and the extent to which they are used. Furthermore, the marketing concept should be re -evaluated to include a consideration of the consumers' perception of their . '.- . ' w :1'-'QT‘ 0 ,_ ...‘au 5. O . g1] ‘LZEI‘ETJI" u -.‘yb #- V. “ “EM. 0‘ N. . uE': h. - hh'p 134.0?“- - ““c in: .h ‘ 15:5 ( ‘L o “r..’:)] :16- l .u.‘ _fi semi-EC e < \Efr.‘ . In a . l .LQCE‘-‘ 64 own level of satisfaction and dissatisfaction with products, services, and the quality. of their lives. This, in turn, would lead to a better evaluation of marketing performance, both from the economic and social standpoint. Indeed, this idea is beginning to gain acceptance in the literature. 73 New Approaches to the Evaluation of Marketing Performance George Fisk suggests new criteria for measuring per- formance. A criterionis a standard of judgment for evaluating per- formance. It is articulated in the formulation of a value model ‘ of system worth measured by cost of effectiveness, cost benefit, or more subjective measures of personal utility. To design a value model, a planner must identify the constituencies whose goals he is to serve and the order in which they are to be served. He has to specify the organization of activities needed to attain the goals desired, and the consequences of " these activities (spillovers, externalities).for people who do not receive the direct benefits produced by the system. The value model thus consists of a set of elements, only one of which is the-set of criteria used laterin evaluating social performance. . . . alternative marketing programs are designed and tested by simulations, experiments, or pilot opera-tions . . .. to produce outcomes which can be measured by effectiveness or efficiency indicators. The act of evaluation consists of measuring the difference between the criterion and the performance of the system. The proposed new criteria for the evaluation of the social performance of marketing are: (1) biological survival or environ- mental habitability; (2) consumer sovereignty; (3) business interest; L A '. :. .. M. 23‘ ,1 €008 nu» :"5 «gals tr. -... 5 255311025 0:. u august “6‘1:- ‘ ...-‘Jyv A o x . u 4.40: C ‘: ... "...” "‘3. '5" an. Ab~ . “yd; -;:;'._.I- I "2"“: ..C ~p011 (\7 V .4 65 and (4) governmentysThese criteria consider the major publics whose goals must be served. The ordering of goals reflects basic assumptions on the hierarchy of values. For example, the ranking proposed reflects the environmentalist' s assumption that biological survival is the most important end. Eugene Kelley proposes the "consumer-citizen concept": Market segmentation based on consumers' societal orientation is emerging; markets will be evaluated according to the degree to which consumers accept the consumer-citizen concept and buy as individuals concerned not only with their personal satis- factions, but also with societal well -being. . . . ' Profits will continue to be essential and basic to corporate survival, but the major challenge to business today may be to meet the societal needs of a changing environment. Arguing that traditional measures of business performance are no longer adequate, Kelley suggests that to the traditional monetary measurement of performance two new dimensions should be added: legalistic -political and social purpose. New concepts and measure- ments are required. Because business thinking and planning have to be related to national goals, social indicators should be integrated into business planning. The following benefits would accrue: 1) a corporation social accomplishment statement; 2) identification of areas or problems that require corporation attention and correction for accomplishment of the social goals; J. ICETilj Os!“ ‘9. h“... 5. 66 3) evaluation of social progress over time; 4) identification of present markets, products, and appeals to socio -market segments (purchase motivation and pur- chase behavior); and 5) identification of future societally segmented market oppor- tunitie s . Kelley proposes the Socio —Marketing Performance Audit as a con- ceptual framework for evaluating marketing outputs. It would consider areas such as the following:77 ( 1) environmental quality; (2) consumer-citizen welfare (income and poverty, health and ill- ness, public order and safety); (3) socio -marketing product (infor- mation, services, warranties, obsolescence); (4) personnel policies; (5) military contracting; and (6) social influence. Kelley acknowledges that the current state of the arts is immature. The methodology by which firms can evaluate societal impact is not yet fully developed. Efforts should be made and are being made to developthe concepts and measurements that will make the evaluation of societal impact possible. -!." "v“. till—.2" WI'vbkxfivwv-PJJ K I There :ctzem'zg re - 55:13:: :d r: .. . *-""-- no 9 v _u... up L ,_ l a ;: :v4 "r p ..y F‘In“ _q‘ ' V .n. an: WA RHA‘ " (o‘- ~u': 441‘.b 0 ‘ I urn... ;-‘_ 2 “"u-«yLu , :::=:er:w1‘.h s .1 ‘ x,” m ’n “"‘ m Lie gro 's F. :I‘ “‘3 35d soc :7":':u . . “w: are h- w .I~ I . . w , - " Niger?!" u.- 'L“i 67 Some Closing Remarks There are a large number of outstanding questions concerning re-evaluation of some of the basic assumptions of economic and marketing theories. The few available answers are insufficient to provide a framework for understanding (much less measuring) the contribution of the economic and marketing systems to the quality of life. These re - evaluations are not isolated phenomena. They are part of a larger context, namely, the overall concern with social re-evaluation that finds its more recent expres- sion in the growing movement for the development of social indi- cators and social reporting. From these re -evaluations, new concepts are beginning to emerge that may have great relevance for marketing planning. 7 ’i i E E E 4-! .. V ‘ )‘r dobbl " I .:" Iv. "“ ‘I‘Wtrl a' 7‘. Ta. _ doll u . I ' ' ' v-wt't‘fl“ . a ... ... .«i’tlhbt' ‘ ...-u;- :uid A t. , .’ A~:Oul.|n .... .....-.,u. 1 ’.' ‘3' 68 Chapter‘ 2 Footnotes 1Jan Drewnowski, "The Political Significance of Social Information, ” Annals of the American Academy of Political Science 393 (January 1971): p. 84. 2Ibid. See also Arthur M. Okum, "Should GNP Measure Social Welfare?" Brookigs Bulletin 8, no. 3 (Summer 1971): 4-5. 3RichardH. Leftwich, The Price System and Resource Allocation, 3d ed“. (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1966), pp. 3-4. 4John K. Galbraith, The Affluent Socieg (New York: The New American Library, 1958), p. 126. 5See for example, Jean Boddewyn, "Galbraith' s Wicked Wants, " in Robert J. Lavidge and Robert J. Holloway, eds. , Marketigg and Society: the Challenge (Homewood, 111.: Richard D. Irwin, 1969), p. 120; and F.A.V. Hayek, "The Non-Sequitur of the Dependence Effect, " in Hiram C. Barksdale, ed. , Marketing in Pgfl-essnPatterns and Potentials (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Win8ton,1nc., 1964), p. 30. 6FrankH. Knight, "Social Economic Organization,“ in William Breit and Harold M. Hockman, eds. , Readings in Micro- economics (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, Inc., 1968), pp. 3 -19. 7‘Ibid., p. 8. 8This underlying idea still accepts the precept of classical political economy: "The belief in a natural order of society and with it of production and distribution as the counterpart of a natural order of the universe. . Adam Smith took it for grantedthat the system of natural liberty would operate within a framework of reason and moral law. The principle of self -interest of which his Wealth of Nations speaks must not be confused with. selfishness. " K. William Ka-pp and Lore L. Kapp, eds. , History of Economic Thought (New York: Barnes 8: Noble, Inc. , 1960), pp. 63-64. 9Milton Friedman, Price Theory-PA Provisional Text (Chicago, 111.: 'Aldine, 1962), p. 8. ' ~ul————v,- .;~—._‘A_& 'u‘ '. _m x l at .. - .-. . 1') 1. . Jor. ‘iew Amer I ‘ ‘ ntup'*.p -y.» ,. V A . "...-.5» It “All. A u «'f‘ ‘Afill V . L‘s. J02: '2518- R ‘. .. . Ott- ‘P. . :1"“ "Ha, ”The 3551'; 34-45; . '."~.-yu ‘ ' fl 'M-uh 03 .I . 12:12 W: "cm "‘~\. 5 'r- “,9 . : n V ” F'I\p.- ‘1» .LC...““..E 'v ... ”9".“ A. —-._“‘G :‘E‘. 1126 Select L" ~ «4 :04 t It! ‘ . _ g... V. inc \15 ‘Ao-. ..r ' (v A. ' rm- I ‘ ”is“ Y.“ 69 10For a detailed exposition of the organization and functions of the Cost of Living Council see Time, 18 October 1971, pp. 12 -17. 11Leftwich, The Price System, p. 8. 12John K. Galbraith, The New Industrial State (New York: The New American Library, Inc. , 1967), p. 121. For a more complete analysis of the issues involved, see also the reviews and discussion of Galbraith' s book: Robert M. Sollow, "The New Industrial State or Son of Affluence, " Public Interest 9 (Fall 1967): 100-108; John Kenneth Galbraith, "A Review of a Review, " ibid. : 109-118; Robert M. Sollow, "A Rejoinder, " ibid.: 118-119; Robin Marris, "The Truth About Corporations, " Public Interest 11 (Spring 1968): 34-45; Robert M. Sollow, "The Truth Further Refined: A Comment on Marris, " ibid. : 47 -52. See also: John Kenneth Gal- braith, Walter Adams, Willard F. Mueller, and Donald F. Turner, "Are Planning and Regulations Replacing Competition in the New Industrial State?" U‘.S., Senate, Hearings before the Subcommittee of the Select Committee on Small Business, 90th Cong. , lst sess. , 29 June 1969 (Washington, D. C. : U. S. Government Printing Office, 1969) and its analysis by Louis W. Stern, "Perspective on Public Policy: Comments on the Great Debate, " Journal of Marketing 33, no. 1 (January 1969): 32-39. 13Charles A. Reich, The Greening of America (New York: Bantam Books, 1970). 14Ibid., p. 93. 15Rachel Carson, The Silent Spring_ (Boston: . Houghton Mifflin Co. , 1962). 16See, for example, the State of the Union Message for 1970: "The great question of the' 70s is: Shall we surrender to our surroundings orshall we make our peace-with nature and begin to make reparations for the damage we have done to our air, to our land and to our water. " See also: ”The Environment: A National Mission for the Seventies,_" a Special Issue, Fortune 81, February 1970; ”Fighting to Save the Earth from Man, " Time, 2 February 1970, pp. 56 -62; Miller B. Spangler, "Growing Problems: Pollu- tion and Environmental Degradation, " Looting Ahead 18, no. 3 (April 1970): 5-8; and ”The Issue of the Year: The Environment, " Time, 4January 1971, pp. 21-22. V I 1‘ :‘I"5T3w’ u l" 51;. 9"“. ..... ‘I-‘L | h-J ‘ 1‘ :ii‘ 70 17C. E. Ferguson, Microeconomic Theory, rev. ed. (Homewood, 111.: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1964), p. 14. 8For an analysis of choice in consumption, see M. Moss, "Consumption: A Report on Contemporary Issues, " in E. B. Sheldon and-W. E. Moore, eds. , Indicators of Social Change--Concepts and Measurements (New York: Russell Sage Foundatgn, 1968), pp. 449- 523. 9Friedman, Price Theory, p. 9. 20See James F. Engel, David T. Kollatt, and Roger D. Blackwell, Consumer Behavior (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, Inc. , 1968), part 4, "Group Influences in Marketing, " pp. 231 -343; Thomas A. Staudt and Donald A. Taylor, A Managerial Introduction toMarketing, 2d ed. (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice , Hall, 1970); and William- Lazer, Marketing Management--A systems Perspective (New York: John Wiley 8: 5033, In: 1971). 21Wroe Alderson, Marketing Behavior and Executive Action (Homewood, Ill. : Richard D." Irwin, 1957). 22Alderson' s approach, functionalism, is exactly such an attempt. 23Allen V. Kneese, Robert U. Ayres, and Ralph C. D'Arge, Economics and the Environment--A Materials Balance Approach (Washington, D. C.: Resources for the Future, Inc. , 1970), p. 5; and Ferguson, Microeconomic Theory, pp. 445 -46. 4Ferguson, Microeconomic Theory, pp. 447 -54. 2 5Friedman, Price Theory, p. 226. . 26Perhapsthe problem, and its solution, lies in the concept of own self-interest pursuit. We should broaden it to include con- cerns for environment, for'social justice, and so forth. With the appropriate value hierarchy, these also could be considered part of . own self -interest pursuit. ”Ferguson, Microeconomic Theory, p. 456. 281mm, p. 461. . hu" "? (An: :- J5“ '...,..,..e P ;.6.:‘.L P‘ ”a .-t ..L .. v I "‘ .... ""2: _ ‘- " RV A .-.:.. 501C . ..“T’H v ,, .,_A J _. ;. 'I‘YOE '11: LEE-:15 COX, .l .179... '— .!.:“. 9‘3 l X; (7'1 71 9 Kneese et a1. , Economics, p. 4. 30Wassily Leontief has said: "Pollution and environment disruption are connected with the operation of the economic system, with the complex processes of production and consumption of goods. " Lecture at Michigan State University, 27 February 1971. See also Lawrence P. Feldman, "Societal Adaptation: A New Challenge .for Marketing," Journal of Marketing 35, no. 3 (July 1971): 55. 1For a somewhat different vieWpoint, see Larry E. Ruff, ”The Economic Good Sense of Pollution, " Public Interest 19 (Spring 1970): 69-85. 2Kneese et a1. , Economics, p. 5. 33Ibid, ,’ pp. 102 -107. 34Ruff, "The Economic Good, " pp. 75-82. 35See Thomas C. Schelling, "On the Ecology of Micromotives,‘ Discussion Paper No. 2, October 1970, Public Policy Program, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. 36William J. Baumol, Business Behavior--Value and Growth (New York: — Macmillan, 1953); Alderson, Marketing Behavior; and-Wroe Alderson, "A Normative Theory of Marketing Systems,” in Reavis Cox, Wroe Alderson, and Stanley J. Shapiro, eds. , Theory in Markeligg (Homewood, 111.: Richard D. Irwin, 1964), pp. 92-108. 37George Fisk, Marketing Systems--An Introductory Analysis (New York: Harper andeow, 1967), pp. 713-33. The author presents an analysis of the difference between productivity-— output per unit of input of a single productive factor--and efficiency that. expresses the idea of intellectual effort, in mobilizing all necessary resources to achieve some goal. 8For a comprehensive analysis of the marketing system see: Staudt and Taylor, Managerial Introduction; William Lazer,. Marketing Management; and Richard J. Lewis and 'Leo G. Erickson, "Marketing Functions and Marketing Systems: A Synthesis," Journal of Marketing 33, no. 3 (July 1969): 10-14. l 40.11"} . 3 | \r A 'f. " «ll-.7 a“ -' ‘ "‘ ‘lllka - .a Iv‘l“ #— .za: boat‘s.» . ‘ _ . ‘n‘I‘F \‘ , r' "gnu“ I V“ . r ‘_1 -'.‘.. b P. "' ..olr'. HI ““‘ 7‘ ‘ .. . v f '7'”! I \' “I .. .Ah \- l A ‘ V ,. -_a -:. 3- \vc‘ h: ‘ .V 3 EU. a. .3 ... :"W uJIJv. an '6. "V\ . ‘11 I w 0 ,.uJ-10. .‘l. M . 2! . .; _Lyn: .5. he .3 v.1 l": n1. .. - "‘c‘lrfi fly. SF:- 72 39For a distribution cost analysis see Richard J. Lewis, A Logistical Information System for Marketingénalysis (Cincinnati, Ohio: Southwestern Publishing Co. , 1970); Bruce E.‘ Mallen and Stephen D. Silver, "Modern Marketing and the Accountant, " in Bruce E. Mallen, ed. , The Marketing Channel--A Conceptual Viewpoint (New York: John Wiley andSons, Inc. , 1957), pp. 222- 29. See also Theodore N. Beckman and William Davidson, Market- ing, 8th ed. (New York: The Ronald Press Co. , 1967), chaps. 29 and 30. 40Donald S. Tull, "The Carry -over Effect of Advertising, " Journal of Marketigg29, no. 2 (April 1965): 46 -53. 1Polia Lerner Hamburger, "Produtividade das Atividades de Mercadizacao, " Revista de Administragao de Emprésas 26 (May- August 1967): 89-108. 42Staudt and Taylor, Managerial Introduction, chap. 1; Lazer, Marketing Management, chaps. 21 and 22; Robert Bartels, "Marketing, Technology: Tasks, and Relationships, " Journal of Marketing 29, no. 1 (January 1965): 45 -48; Robert Bartels, "The General Theory of Marketing, " Journal of Marketiigg 32, no. 1 (January 1968): 29-32. For a review of the latter, see Shelby D. . Hunt, "The Morphology of Theory and General Theory of Market- ing, " Journal of Marketing 35, no. 2 (April 1971): 65-68. See also Beckman and DavidscTn, Marketing, chap. 31. 43Stanley C.. Hollander, "Measuring the Cost and Value of Marketing," Business Topics 9, no. 3 (Summer 1961): 17-27; and Richard N. Farmer, "Would You Want Your Daughter to Marry a Marketing Man?" Journal of Marketing 31, no. 1 (January 1967): 1 -3. 44Stewart's and Dewhurst' 3 stated purpose was to "describe and measure these costs of distribution and to find out, if possible, the reasons for the spread between the cost of production and the price the consumer pays. " P. W. Stewart and G. F. Dewhurst, Does Distribution Cost Too Much? (New York: Twentieth Century Fund, 1938), p. 3. According to their analyses, the costs of distribution (including selling costs, clerical expenses, expenses of the sales force, costs of physical handling, selling and promotion expenses, and other indirect costs such as financing, and risks and losses -.. ...-yu- 'r M c n: :.;O..A - ‘ . a -0 ‘1" RAJ: “0‘ .. u... h u- — .. c . ,..,. ”"Ph‘l‘r r ‘ ‘ .. u.» .ulu‘v .Au-u -'.~‘ ‘—0- J;.:’:: a ”17-13 ’3. v—\. d-J_ \AJ \ a,.-...‘ ~5--.~‘..OC 1r .ZEEETEI‘Q Cf: ' ~24 -1 . r- :.so i. '2'. l" ... L ”h.“ til T‘ e 4. ‘ 2~ " . UL: "ed k 'IErE-f: '- "S SE; ‘ $5 ’ ‘V r’ 331) _‘ ‘. .‘\ .d .‘ .:“h3L.‘. .. WL‘ ‘. .-\:-' ." ‘5 ‘l« (h~ ' '1, I) .._ g ‘ -.~ ‘- ' . _,-,_ Fl 73 arising from spoilage and obsolescence) for the manufacturer, wholesale, and retail trade amounted to 59¢ of every consumption dollar spent on goods. Stewart and Dewhurst concluded that distribu- tion does cost too much, even when the costs are evaluated in terms of the functions performed by distribution. The three sources of high cost are competition, services, and inefficiency. 5For Barger, "cost of distribution is the gross spread, or the difference between the value of commodities leaving the dis- tributive system and their value when they entered the system. " Harold Barger, Distribution' 8 Place in the American Economy Since 1869 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1955), p. 55. Distribution includes, then, wholesale, retail, and transport expenses. These were calculated to be 36. 6c of the retail dollar value in 1929, 37.3¢ in 1939, and 37. 4c in 1948 (very little change, then). He con- cluded also that productivity in the commodity industries rose more rapidly in the period since 1909 than in the previous forty years and that a similar acceleration did not seem to have occurred in mer- chandising, where output per person engaged in distribution rose much less rapidly in the second than in the first half of the period. 46Cox and his associates estimated that out of each dollar spent by final purchasers for goods, 41. 79‘ were for marketing and 58. So for production. Substituting gross margins for value added, to enable comparison with Converse and associates, the cents attributable to distribution activities would increase from 41. 7 to 48. 8 for 1947, 45. 3 for 1954, and 46. 3 for 1958. Converse and associates had estimated distribution costs to be 49, 293 of the con- sumer dollar in 1929, 50. 5c in 1939, and 48. 1c in 1948. See Reavis Cox, Charles S. Goodman, and Thomas C. Fichandler. Distribution in a High Level Economy (Englewood Cliffs, N. J. : Prentice Hall, Inc. , 1965), pp. 149, 158. Cox and his associates conclude that "the proportionate part played by distribution in delivering values to the ultimate users of goods seems to have become stabilized or have diminished slightly" (p. 161). They. also analyzed the three basic tests in the evaluation of distribution: (1) the test of efficiency (comparison of input and output); (2) the test of fairness (allocation of the economy' 3 product among the people); and (3) the test of consumer orientation (conformity or nonconformity to the basic assumption that the economy is consumer oriented). It is increasingly difficult to make evaluations and obtain measurements, as we move from the first to the last question. :- u. l-‘:.PIR‘\. ‘ ~-y.:fltu‘bh' A. 4...! ' '1". ......ch 3" I . I o ‘ V‘ MI.;' 1". 1" ,s..'.-An uenkte. ...v‘. .uA “F lkln 4 ...-units. nu . . ...-.‘.. - g, «- ‘H F'- ..~~u...u¢.» u s. .. ‘1'“: "I p :u‘,. ' \:-II I = ‘..= ‘ five... . 0p- "" “'CI 0 net vu. . :V‘O r~n nu. . g n :.S UAW-van- .' .‘ r ‘:-~.:..5t O. "h- 0“ -~: ..sCE SE 22. ITXCS ~na . -\\h 4..».~.d10” ‘- s 3“... H ,2): ‘V . kWVL. :31355 le‘cl Firth 74 7See also Louis P. Bucklin, “National Income Accounting and Distributive Trade Cost, " Journal of Marketing 34, no. 2 (April 1970): 14-22. More recently Bucklin stresses the need for current information on trends in distribution costs and suggests that national income accounting data can be used to determine the marketing costs for the distributive trade, wholesale, and retail establishments only. . He proposes a trade -cost ratio. Analyzing the data for the'years between 1929 and 1965 he concludes that the ratio results in a statistic that fairly reflects observable trends relative to the distributive trade. For him, this statistic is of value for insights into three categories of social and economic per- formance of the distributive sector: the character of competition in the trade sector; the expanding role of the sector; and the dis- parate trends in wholesaling and retailing. 48 Although it is generally acknowledged that the marketing concept clearly evolved in the early 19505, its basic ideas had been expressed long before, both in economic theory and in marketing theory itself. But it is agreed that it was from the 19503 on that marketing publications and conferences, both in academic and business circles, became effective in generating interest in, and concern with, the marketing concept. See Robert Bartels, The Development of Marketing Thougl'_1_ (Homewood, 11.:1 Richard D. Irwin, 1962), p, 213. For a histori- cal view of the subject see Robert L. King, "An Inquiry Into the Relevance of the Marketing Guide to Mobilization of Corporate Effort," unpubl. Ph.D. diss. , Michigan State University, 1960. See also, Bernard J. Lalonde and Edward J. Morrison, "Market- ing Management. Concepts Yesterday and Today, " Journal of Marketing 31, no. 1 (January 1967): 9- 13 and some quotes in Bartels, Marketing Thoug_l_1_t, p. 188, that contradict his own con- clusion that the marketing__ concept is an evolution of the 19503. 49 Staudt and Taylor, Managerial Introduction, p. 22. 50Blaine M. Cook, "The Concept Is the Actuality, " in Robert M. Kaplan, ed. , The Marketing Concept in Action (Chicago, 111: :American Marketing Associationjtl964), p. 480: "The market- ing: concept is no more than an up -to -date restatement of the ancient and honored idea of consumer sovereignty, an idea seldom expressed better than it was by Adam Smith some 200 years ago. " -’ '1". l? )1 ‘ . . I'l'D‘ L‘Lm "F \ ,. 'J' piv- r» L..‘ -3-P‘Vq- O. W‘ -:..:r .1 ... ‘ :-::. and te r: "" 9m '7‘. ---‘-- ~33... ‘ 75 51SeeKing, "An Inquiry, " pp. 221 -22, and Robert E. Sessions, "TheMarketing Concept in Action, " in Robert M. Kaplan, ed. ,- Marketing Concept, pp. 3-17. 2See .for example, Richard T- Hise, "Have Manufacturing Firms Adopted the Marketing Concept? ”‘ Journal of Marketigg 29, no. 3 (July 1965): 9-12. Hise, with a sample of 273 manufacturing firms, surveyed: (1) customer orientation by asking whether the firms had marketing research departments to determine specifically what customer needs and wants were; (2) profit orientation asking whether firms examined profitability of products, customers, sales- men, and territories; (3) the organizational structure of the marketing department--the status of the chief marketing executive. He concluded that, to a large extent, bothlarge and medium manufacturing firms have adopted the marketing concept. The greatest degree of acceptance was found in the customer orientation of marketing programs and in the organizational structure of the marketing department, particularly in the status provided therchief marketing executive. Large firms were more fully committed to the marketing concept than medium ones. Although the difference was only slight in some respects, a distinct pattern was shown to exist. See also: James V. McNeal, "Consumer Satisfaction: The Measure of Marketing Effectiveness, " Business Topics 17, no. 3 (Summer 1969): 31 -35. McNeal reports an exploratory study under- taken to determine if and how major producers of consumer goods and services ascertain the extent .to which they are satisfying con- sumers. "Of the 128 contacted fifty -eight responded. Five were discarded because they replied that there was no way to measure consumer satisfaction. One reply was discarded because the respondent apparently did not understand the question” (p. 33). These are the very significant data reported. The author, analyzing the 52 useful replies, found that a major portion of these firms (65. 2 percent) conducted periodic consumer research to ascertain consumer satisfaction, but that the frequency. of consumer satisfac— tion studies was not divulged. See also Hiram G. Barksdale and William Darden, "Mar- keter' s Attitudes Toward the Marketing Concept, " Journal of Marketig 35, no. 4 (October 1971): 29-36. They report interest- ing results of a survey to measure current attitudes of executives and educators toward the marketing concept, .its operational adequacy, ABC-h u‘m’ au- LV'D" ' “x 2.- :u- n: ,.,.‘..: 60" ' 1...- .w ¥ “‘ ' assures a: ”wee " '- .u _ ”.‘vg, .Ae. "1:10 t’: ‘7'” " no. u . -..! o,“ ‘ ..., ....— Ft. 7. _\ .‘ ...vb-ur . H' g 4 v “Qh‘. l \ I IKN‘“-_‘Q.‘ ‘ A 1w w-‘gh’: .__ _ . - -p~-0w.-,... .. x... H -"-.l -,_c ‘9". ‘ 00;“, p . “'5 ‘IM‘A «.1 . :fiau ., . ‘iuml - . b R : -.ors . :v .... . A . . "j 9‘" C "‘4 -AA ‘. ‘1‘" 1.:-F" go- ‘ ~'= ‘_v :1 V}- \ K ‘17--.. *-. ‘17?“ “,. “\i .-,.’ \- \‘I g‘; D _ -I‘ ‘ E . £11,: 1 ‘w. L‘s . ‘ “‘3, r. ' e; ‘R (C‘- I n. \ 1 3. I ‘2' =2 .9 J‘ 1. F. -_ ’1-“- “‘33) 07 $ 5» ll' 76 and its contributions to. business and consumers. The majority of executives and educators believe that the marketing concept has influenced management philosophy and thought, but have reservations about its implementation. Significant variations were. found in the response patterns of different classes of respondents. The major differences are: --Business executives express greater belief in the marketing con- cept than do marketing educators. --Top management express greater optimism about the concept than do marketing executives. --Executives from consumer product companies express more posi- tive attitudes than do those from industrial product companies. --Academicians with more education and those with more business experience express less confidence in the marketing concept than do those with less training and experience. The authors conclude that after 20 years of experience the issues of the validity of the concept and its operation on a day —to -day basis should be better known and explored. 3For an interesting article on the relationships between economic theory and marketing see Charles K. Ramond, "Marketing Science: Step -Child of Economics, " in Robert M. Kaplan, ed. , Marketing Concept, pp. 662 -673. 54Stephen A. Greyser, "Advertising: Attacks and Counters, ” Harvard Business Review 50, no. 2 (March -April 1972): 22. 55Carl H. Madden, "Consumerism and Business: The Old and New Perspective, " in Neil H. Borden, Jr. , and Christopher Gale, eds. , Chagging Marketing and Marketinnghange, Abstract of Papers (Chicago, 111.: American Marketing Association, 1970), p. 34. 56Vance Packard, The Hidden Persuaders (New York: Pocket Books, 1958); The Status Seekers (New York: David McKay Co. , 1959); The Waste Makers (New York: David McKay Co. , 1960). 57Carson, Silent Spring; Jessica Mitford, The American Way of Death (New York: Simon and Schuster, Inc. , 1963). ...: J . , at ’2' n,’a a“ .u H... | .Dr& 2 ..IF. .1 .;55- Id Ml)l9lflli9.lilll:1.zllu r a. ’3 «vi; -0 A .1:.': 316 . 1“ Iv. ~~AA _ I- ~ .. . C .1. Co a.a.\ CU 77 58Arnold Toynbee, "Is It Immoral to Stimulate Buying?" Printers Ink, 11 May 1962, p. 43 ; Arnold Toynbee and William Berenbach, "Is Advertising Morally Defensible?" Yale Daily News, Special Issue, 1963, p. 2. 59Galbraith, Industrial State. 60Ralph Nader, Unsafe at Any Speed (New York: Bossman Publishers, Inc. , 1965). See also "The U. S. ' s Toughest Customer, " Time, 12 December 1969, pp. 89-98. 61John F. Kennedy, "Message from the President of the United States Relative to Consumers' Protection and Interest Pro- gram, " Document No. 364, House of Representatives, 87th Cong. , 2d. sess. , 15 March 1962. 2For examples of these bills see Louis L. Stern, "Con- sumer Protection Via Increased Information, " Journal of Marketing 31, no. 2 (April 1967): 48 -52; and "Consumer Protection Via SelfT Regulation," Journal of Marketing 35, no. 4 (October 1971): 21-28. 3 . . Pressure also may be apphed to government agenc1es (for example: Nader' s criticisms of the ICC and FTC). 64George S. Day and David A. Acker, ”A Guide to Con- sumerism, " Journal of Marketing 34, no. 3 (July 1970): 12-19. 6 5Robert O. Herrmann, "Consumerism: Its Goals, Organi- zations and Future," Journal of Marketing 34, no. 4 (October 1970): 55-60. 66Richard H. Buskirk and James T. Rothe, "Consumerism: An Interpretation, " Journal of Marketinfig 34, no. 4 (October 1970): 61 -65. 67Charles G. Leathers, "New Dimensions of Countervailing Power: Consumerism and Environmentalism," Business Topics 20, no. 1 (Winter 1972): 67-72, 69. 68Bertram M. Gross, The Managing of Organizations (New York: Free Press, 1964), pp. 320-41; ‘523-37. 69 Dz. Free Press a - V t A - v". .L‘h‘ A :. CE: 0» - ' . ..L \'.'§." ' Ah .....s 1.1»... . fl 3. r (- no “I D j ,, w, ‘t, -. .— v' I '; !:la 3:". ... a¢o~ u-A __————. . . G'- l‘ .. .- . 1..-... A t‘ 78 69David Caplovitz, The Poor Pay More (New York: The Free Press of Glencoe, 1963); Louise J. Richards, ”Consumer Practices of the Poor, " in Lola M. Irelans,» ed. , Low Income Life Stiles (Washington, D.C.: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1966), pp. 67, 84; Lewis Schnapper, ”Consumer Legislation and the Poor, " The Yale Law Journal 76 (1967); and Gerald Lewivank, ed. , The Consumer (New York: Washington Square Press, 1970). A 70Charles S. Goodman, "Do the Poor Pay More?" Journal of Marketing 32, no. 1 (January 1968): 18-24. Donald Sexton, Jr. , analyzed 15 price -comparison studies on the cost of food to blacks and whites. He-concludes that it appears inner city residents do not pay more. Because of methodological reservations, the findings are not unequivocal. The studies, in his opinion, are narrowly focused and typically fail to consider the reasons for price differ- ences and shopping patterns. Donald E. Sexton, Jr. , "Comparing the Cost of Food to Blacks and to~Whites--A Survey, " Journal of Marketing 35, no. 3 (July 1971): 40-46. 71U. 8., Office of Economic Opportunity, Green Power: Consumer Action for the Poor, Community Action Program (Wash- ington, D. C. : U. S. Government Printing Office, 1969). 72As an alleviating effort, the Office of Economic Oppor- tunity has suggested an eight -point program including financial, legal and family services, consumer education, and methods of organization to create the conditions in which poor consumers can work together toward a solution of their common economic problems. 3For example, the entire issue of the Journal of Marketing 35, no. 3 (July 1971) is dedicated to marketing' 3 changing social '— environmental role. See also, for an example of the new considera- tions, Martin L. Bell and C. William Emory, "The Faltering Marketing Concept, " Journal of Marketing 35, no. 4 (October 1971): 37 -42. . Bell and Emory state that the marketing concept has three basic elements: customer orientation, integrated firm effort, and profit direction. They conclude that the marketing concept has been an operational concept, not a philosophical one. Providing customer satisfaction has been a means to achieving the company' s profit objective and does not necessarily imply that the con- sumer' 3 well -being has been considered. They, offer the conclusion .y'fi rey‘ grunt“ " .uwi’n‘," is . Day M n ‘ I k. -' - U 2?}... :TQJL- .. ban"! "P - ...:mt ...: .‘. ‘ . .a u- at" .h a) "Ln-“an v 1.. . . . o . n) «pro-Arr. n..-‘.A—....gu\ I H ~ - .r;t.,q. . . £OL~:-.u{ . I ———_.__. Q 0.. I. «D u I .6 I. IIw-Pfinm |.¢ {_.‘EC. .1 ~- (I E I.‘ .. ‘3th 'v-w) l A VJVQH“ ...“ ' 3’ 3‘ ‘. 1 ...t‘ < ‘ _‘ .. -‘.‘—. .‘ ~ .‘ 'u'» ""172 6. int} “'“rl I 79 that in a revised marketing concept the main objective for the company is to be more responsible for consumer welfare and that profit should be the reward for doing this. The most effective way to handle the conflict of the social and profit goals would be to establish explicit company criteria of social responsibility. 7‘JtGeorge Fisk, "New Criteria for Evaluating the Social Performance of Marketing, " in George Fisk, ed. , New Essays in Marketig Theory (Boston, Mass.: Allyn and Bacon, 1971), pp. 440- 41. 7 51bid., pp. 444 -45. 76Eugene J. Kelley, "Marketing' s Changing Social/ Environmental Role, " Journal of Marketing 35, no. 3 (July 1971): l. 77Eugene J. Kelley, "Management Use of Economic and/ or Social Indicators in Planning Models, " paper presented to the First AMA Annual Social Indicators Conference, Washington, D. C. , 18 February 1972. 78See also Harry A. Lipson, "Management Use of Economic and/or Social Indicators in the Marketing Planning Process, " working paper presented at the First AMA Annual Social Indicators Con- ference, Washington, D. C. , 18 February 1972. CHAPTER 3 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF SOCIAL INDICATORS AND PRESENT STATE OF THE ART: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE Introduction This chapter presents an historical view of the development of social. indicators and a review of the literature, summarizing its main contributions. The review poses some peculiar problems. Because of the variety of approaches and subjects chosen by authors of different backgrounds, . it is difficult to organize the material into clear-cut, mutually exclusive groupings. Most of the materials are papers. Even when published in book form and edited by one or two authors, a main line or con- sistent direction seems to be lacking. The only concern shared by all is the need for and importance of social indicators. A great number also share a feeling for the methodological difficulties 80 P‘. . ’ p 0. .. u l _‘ 3"..“TEC Ln Cr_ ..‘vc 'J "C‘ .- _.‘.. ‘ ‘LJ; .411be I . . ... 9 V . .. :‘::: 0- arts. :L‘: h") 93"? _.3. HIV -.‘ A I. . ’ ',: Inn}... “(14 ... M. . . . .. .F' u rf-p 'p» ‘ul‘ ‘ o.‘ u ' V ~;""‘Al--. . ~...v'“,‘ n ..‘E.._ . v . -... 191’.“ 1'}. .‘ "b.. "‘k r :"‘n ....«U 3e d6 81 involved in obtaining operational definitions and measurements for social indicators. Some authors have emphasized the need for a broad frame- work, a general approach. Others have concentrated on specific areas of interest such as health, education, and the environment. Here too the approaches differ greatly. Some concentrate on a descriptive approach, an analysis of existing statistical data and inference from them of possible conclusions, with or without methodological reservations. Others emphasize the methodological approach with strong normative overtones: what conceptualizations should be developed or 'what data collection methods should be used, and so forth. Still others combine the two approaches. To compound the problem, there is considerable overlap- ping in-specific areas suggested for study, for example, science, technology, and education, and education and social mobility. Because of all these difficulties, regardless of the criteria explic- itly stated to organize this vast array of materials, conclusions imply primarily subjective judgments. Thus they. are open to argument. To reconcile the desire to give the reader a feeling for the diversity of approaches with the need to keep this section within manageable proportions, the review will be concentrated and rv:"'ed as "g...“- h - .‘.'0pt7“l.‘ r m "g... .udh Au gr M h I ,{ ~ '5 l q _.. u -. l . C or. .' . 'V‘flr'; ...... iuu.¥.l \ . ("‘2' ‘IA;.- n..“ “1“.-- ~.... COc: .. ‘ L. . ‘3. \ ,‘n. «1.1%. e a... .. , ._ . ...! .... P N, LE”;» :35 .a 4‘ ‘ 82 organized as follows: a brief historical review, a synthesis of main contributions, and some conclusions about the present state of the art. Social Indicators: A Brief Historical View Considering the long history of the movement to establish social indicators, it is surprising that society has taken so long to make a systematic effort to define the variables to be measured and the manner of measurement. According to Daniel Bell the idea of social indicators may have arisen from several sources. They may have been the earliest reflections on the con- sequences of private economic activities. In particular, the concept may have sprung from the recognition of the divergence between the private costs borne by a firm or individual entrepreneur and the costs to others, or to the community, which entrepreneurs generate but do not bear. 1 A second source may have been William F. Ogburn' 3 concern with the measurement of the rates of social change. (His book, Recent Social Trends, published in 1933, was an outgrowth of President Hoover' 8 Research Committee on Social Trends, established in 1929 under the chairmanship of Wesley Clair Mitchell.) A third could be the emergence of a new ideology which emphasizes I" 21.1— sou-r0. a A_ RIP 3",) '1‘“ .\N“ n. . n. .' :5. F‘ AO“;‘ 3.. u: ‘ku‘vl \ .10 A! y-‘\~ an»; E1141; cm: 3;""r" L... unit-A l . v-l. wit‘fig Hr an.._“ .- 3 | "Up. - \n~r~o runny“): ‘ C tu._ v I '., .‘ v- Q . Pfr' 3 .'t b "I“ . hqh:.a A '"mut. aI u, ‘ "‘r~-.r\ (...,4‘.~: 1‘ v-._ .; .9».,, ‘i .. 3““5 l4 .3"). g ;“ .I... u A" V. '- Q» :. .l‘ l“‘ r .41, f . ‘fh “J‘s ~;_ g a,” I .EE 5- r ‘1. 'n. ‘ ~‘s' ~.::~.} \‘. Lug ~..\\~; 83 social considerations in addition to economic ones for the evaluation of the actual state of society's welfare. This has led to the "infor -. mation explosion in social indicators, "2 which was accelerated by: (l) the great growth of social sciences during the first two -thirds of this century and the adoption of the quantitative approach; (2) the increasing number of intellectuals, professionals, modern managers, technologists, and natural and social scientists in political positions; (3) the continuing efforts to provide more rational bases for both corporate and political decision making; and (4) the development of other statistical series. Among the latter are the World Social Situation published periodically since 1952 by the United Nations, 3 and HEW' s Indicators, concerning health, education, and welfare, which was published regularly from 1959 to 1966. The discontinuance of this series was followed by HEW Trends, an annual supplement. 4 More important, however, is the economic statistics series. The Employment Act of 1947 resulted in the establishment of the Council of Economic Advisors, the President' 3 Annual Economic Report, the Report of the President' 8 Council of Economic Advisors, and the Council' 3 monthy Economic Indicators, published by the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. These materials provide well-organized economic charts and tables. They have become the source of factual . '— wan".- ' 3 ’. t V n I.“ _‘mu—hum \ ‘I ..Iv .. .1 av.»- ~>v' sr—n .,.‘ , "vv‘rU 1, ~._~ ""Pr‘ ‘ -' f' r. \\"‘Hc“ 84 information on economic trends and potential, and provide the data base for both private and public decision making. These developments led to the question: Why not a similar statistical series of. social indicators? In Spring 1962' Raymond A. Bauer posed this question to an informal group of scholars. The President' 3 Science Advisory Committee had the same concern when, at about the same time, it called for the "systematic collec- tion of basic behavioral data for the U. S. . . . data that are comparable, systematic and periodically gathered. "6 With the sponsorship of the American Academy of Arts and. Sciences, Ray- -mond Bauer, Bertram Gross, Albert Biderman, Robert Rosenthal, and Robert Weiss worked on various sections of Social Indicators. This book and Gross' 3 chapter, "The State of the Nation: Social Systems Accounting, "8 were to become landmarks, and have been quoted by authors subsequently writing on social indicators. In 1965 Gross wrote an article advocating that the solution for the "new Philistinism" that expresses national goals and per- formance in dollar-sign figures was to counter -balance the economic data with noneconomic data. . He proposed an annual Social Reportof the President should be prepared which would make Americans more conscious of the factors involved in enriching the quality of life. 9 Bertram M. Gross, S. Douglas Carter, and ‘fl n.7- ‘. ‘J‘ “ti-,4- «Wm... "A ..-»iuee a so "-:F ~v "E"‘“"—U;E t: V - A ““5 The ti -. a: 3116‘: \E‘.9. “" Into?» “ .. lo int-‘5 y. c. g 3 0111" if i: - ‘- 7".“ . 19 :r 85 Wilbur J. Cohen discussed the need for social information;10 these discussions eventually led to President Johnson' 3 Message on Health and Education in March 1966. 1 1 With the cooperation of John W. Gardner, then Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare, and William Gorham, Assistant Secretary of HEW for Program Coordination, plans were laid for the development of social indicators that would be required to produce a social report. HEW was given the mission because of its political support and respect within the government and the academic community. Furthermore, it had also taken the lead in organizing the available social data and developing new programs of data collection. These efforts resulted in the publication of a report in thefinal hours of the Johnson administration. 12 Acknowl- edging the time constraints on andlimitations of the document, 13 the authors called it Toward a Social Report. It deals with seven majortopics: health and illness; social mobility; physical environ- ment; income and poverty; public order and safety; learning, science, and art; and participation and alienation. During this same period Eleanor B. Sheldon and Gilbert Moore of the Russell Sage Foundation prepared a major paper for the American Statistical Association as part of the foundation' 5 Monitoring Change Project. Dealing with quantitative measures of {it-‘1“ . L 'trgescale stru :ezmissioning of 1953 re efforts 3 ’Eezitoring Socie Enamel Fear; Eaves?” Th In the fa . -..- L ‘3 itarrzans ..ip isociery in the : iazges. Their axial, economic ‘3; fire most imj. 3.3;r3pr‘131e soci. ‘- lr‘ . "3"‘3‘45 secret) ..‘ r ' Hu- 1: UL dget launch 33px ~33), an Effor 1.31.1“. ”‘3' But F 22’ the“ scare lr“ .Jaectlon . hlJanu Siamation, and . - 3» El aCcounts - r iEas.e6 86 "large -scale structural transformation, " this work led to the commissioning of 13 papers by 16 different social scientists. In 1968 the efforts were published in a book under five major headings: "Monitoring Social Change in America, " ”Demographic Base, " "Structural Features," "Distributive Features," and "Aggregative Features. ”14 This book also became a landmark in the field. In the fall of 1965 the Commission on the Year 2000, under the chairmanship of Daniel Bell, began investigation of the nature of society in the future and the implications of possible social changes. Their conclusions called attention to the interaction of social, economic, and cultural forces. 15 In addition, they noted that the most important considerations about the year 2000 concern appropriate social arrangements for dealing adequately with the problems society will confront. Also in the fall of 1965, the Bureau of Budget launched its new Planning Programming Budgeting System (PPBS), an effort to analyze the outputs of alternative programs and projects. But PPBS' 3 full implementation required adequate social data, then scarce, which emphasized the need for its systematic collection. In January of 1966 the National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress called for some system of social accounts to assess the utilization of human resources in four 16 areas: .--...‘eli l I r g . l‘ I TIA-515 WWW" d S. (I) {:1 socia 87 l) the measurement of social costs and net returns of innova tion ; 2) the measurement of social ills (for example, crime and family disruption); 3) the creation of performance budgets "in areas of defined social needs" (for example, housing, education, and wel- fare); and 4) indicators of economic opportunity and social mobility. All these combined efforts have resulted in considerable progress. Simultaneously with the development of interest in social indicators came the recognition that the formulation of goals for the society and the production of acceptable statistical indicators about where the nation stands in relation to those goals are neces- sarily complementary. In a study of the report presented by President Dwight Eisenhower' s Commission on National Goals, 17 Biderman found that the members agreed on 82 explicit statements of specific goals in each of 11 domestic areas. Examining the two most complete handbooks of statistical data issued by the federal government for relevant indicators, he found that only 59 percent of the goal ‘3' "M I'm”“."¥‘o '1‘" nemesis had any p. Exes kinds of dau.‘ herd Nixon create :czsic'er itself as ha‘ aerate was to anal tensor. process. '. ;e;:lation, environ] ..r assessment, More rec Rational Priorities :re nefliodologv 1 :zserra‘nle Chang “:2 eXpectancy. are] objects of Lie possible onl ‘33: M EVEnts I :E‘I'EIOpment. 21 88 statements had any pertinent indicator data. These findings showed that new kinds of data needed to be developed. 18 In 1969, President Richard Nixon created within the White House the National Goals Research Staff. 19 As stated in their report, 20 the staff did not consider itself as having goal setting or planning functions. Their objective was to analyze policy alternatives that could aid in the decision process. They selected the following areas of debate: population, environment, education, basic natural science, tech- nology assessment, and consumerism. More recently, the National Planning Association, in its National Priorities Study, has been concerned with the development of a methodology to assess the range of opportunities for achieve- ment of goals. Achievement of national goals is defined in terms of observable changes in a series of specific goal indicators (such as life expectancy, crime rate, and so forth) selected to reflect the actual objects of public concern. Changes in goal output indicators are possible only by means of activities, that is, specific combina- tions of events comprising new types of public policies and private development. 2 1 Recently, the project to develop a system of social indi- cators was moved from the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare to the Bureau of the Budget. A social statistical publication 89 is now being prepared by the Office of Statistical Policy of the Office of Management and Budget, which, it is hoped, will be issued periodically. It will be concerned only with the objective dimensions of individual well -being. Work. is proceeding on the determination of the data available, selection and adaptation of available series, experimentation with various presentations of the data, and research 22 into the means of resolving data difficiencies and gaps. The sta— tistics will be arranged by such areas of social concern as health, education, employment, income, housing and the physical environ- 23 ment, public safety and legal justice, and leisure and recreation. Social indicators also have been introduced in the studies of developing countries. Authors argue that the term development should imply not only economic considerations, but also other social 2 dimensions. 4 This concern has been reflected since 1954 in the United Nation's definition and measurements of standard of living. It takes the position that, for several reasons, including difficulties of determining purchasing power parties and converting cur- rencies, no type of monetary index such as the per capita national income or average personal income could be recom- mended as a general measure of levels of living for inter- national or comparative purposes. Instead, an approach was recommended in terms of "components" of levels of living and "indicators" of these components. 3‘ The concern with the components of the quality of life has ,A/ ,L been expanded to include a global perspective. Using systems Mali..- ., 90 dynamics as the basic approach, 26 a group of multinational, nonpolitical business leaders, scientists, humanists, economists, and educators (the Club of Rome) has become interested in the problems of population, resources, industrialization, pollution, and world -wide disparities in the standard of living. 27 A model of world interactions has been proposed which is now being vali— dated at MIT under the direction of Dennis L. Meadows. 28 If validated, the model could serve as a basis for world planning policy recommendations. Social Indicators: Synthesis of the Main Contributions The General Approach Several contributions in thevliterature have adopted what can be called a general approach to social indicators. They treat the subject from a global, inclusive viewpoint (as contrasted to studying a specific area of concern only, such as health or environ- ment). Among these are the contributions of Bauer, 29 Gross, 30 Biderman, 31 Sheldon and Moore , 32 the Stanford Research Institute, 33 Etzioni, 34 and Etzioni and Lehman;35 the reports, Toward a Social Report, 36 Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity and Quality; 37 and Terleckyj' 3 studies for the National Planning Asso- . . 38 c1atlon. ‘1 1"” V's". ., 11.“!x4_;£;; if areas of socia 3 problems of fiscal Edica1 o .... ‘ 1 es: 115 13.8 cor i4 "kl“r C . .0, 1:. 7"" V‘ .uEr -‘_ v w. - 5 4.; L11 ‘ a; 91 The general approach is concerned with the desirability of social indicators; the concern with societal goals; the identification of areas of social concern, for which social indicators are needed; the problems of conceptualization and measurement; and the uses of social indicators and the normative implications. Underlying all these is the concern with the development of a conceptual model for society and for suggesting indicators that can describe or measure the state or conditions of that society. Significantly new in these recent contributions is the idea of relating social change, and the practical implications of trying to influence its direction (always of concern to sociologists and political scientists), to a model of society. This necessarily involves the development of indicators to monitor social change. The various definitions of social indicators reflect this. Bauer defines social indicators as ”statistics, statistical series and all other forms of evidence-—that enable us to assess where we stand and are going with respect to our values and goals, and to evaluate specific programs and determine their impact. "39 He calls atten— tion to the fact that innovations, particularly technical ones, have consequences beyond what was intended or anticipated. If planning and guidance of large -scale programs (such as space exploration) demand that these impacts be evaluated, the assumption is that such 1:: s o ,.". L... ...de _,.'- ‘ ... was an; .44 .. ...:1 v . a“. L --‘5' ctr-v - _ . . 3; 0." g 2 I”! 0 g ‘:~LE“ -... 92 impacts can be detected and measured. This calls for better data about the state of society, but this data will not necessarily establish the causal relationships between a program and the phenomenon ob - served. . In some. cases, an impact may be identified, but not measured. For Bauer the purpose of social indicators is primarily to provide the basis of planning for future policies. Such planning should take into account the important consequences of these policies. For Sheldon and Moore, "[social] indicators would give a reading both on the current state of some segment of the social uni- verse and on past and future trends, whether progressive or regres- sive, according to some normative criteria. ”40 Stressing that their book focuses on large -scale structural change, they suggest that the basic question is: "What is changing?" Any answer must rely on some model of society. They point out some of the changes in American society which have created social strains: growth and urbanization of population, increasing technicality and bureaucrati- zation of work, rising standards of living, the spread and level of education, self-awareness, and the rise of minority groups. At the same-time, national concern for society has added to economic considerations others such as civil rights legislation, large -scale support of education, programs to alleviate inequalities, medicare, and many other efforts. {gurus-M nu; . run Inlg‘ n - ‘ ‘- . woauub‘ 9 ; SfihcthQ 0‘ aszezts 02 so ‘1 1' v . 3:: l5 SuZlE‘C ‘. ,, ' .I neuron, is: ... D 4 -e atta 1m: Ive-«... ‘ s‘ . \toelatlr ya 23%! *h—J- 93 In Toward a Social Report a social indicator is defined as a "statistic of direct normative interest which facilitates concise, comprehensive and balanced judgments about the condition of major aspects of society. It is in all cases a direct measure of welfare and is subject to the interpretation that, if it changes to the 'right' direction, while other things remain equal, things have gotten better or people are better of . "41 For the Stanford Research Institute study, "social indicators . . . are ideally measures of social out- put, that is, they measure the attainment of a goal. . . . Since indicators are measures of output, they necessarily are related to the attainment of goals. The definition of indicator concepts, then, amount to a definition of goals. "42 Although these works share a common basis, they differ on how they choose to tackle the problem and on the aspects they empha- size. Gross and the Stanford Research Institute have proposed a "model —of-society approach. ” Toward a Social Report, Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity and Quality, and the National Planning Association studies emphasize goal determination and evaluation. Biderman, Sheldon and Moore, and Etzioni and Lehman have stressed the measurement problems. Each of these approaches will be examined, and a review of some of the normative implications of the different approaches will be made. w- 1 en Tie Model of 50‘ ____________ Etcss'S Model Bertra ;;_:.~reisal 05 me :5 rational soci 3:; concepts. :53 social 5‘55 :-:::epts tradi reposes to b; s-zcial indicat F:;;1ythe co Itpresent, i Than..- «x-z comm: 94 The Model of Society Approach Gross' 5 Model Bertram Gross offers the view that a more meaningful appraisal of the state of the nation can be obtained through a system of national social accounting that integrates relevant multidisciplin— ary concepts. 43 Using a systems approach, he introduces a model of a social system at the national level. He incorporates the major concepts traditionally used in national economic accounting, but proposes to broaden them from a set of purely economic to a set of social indicators. A system of national social accounting should supply the concepts needed to structure information about the past or present, formulate goals (desired future system states toward whichcommittments are made), and establish evaluation criteria. According to Gross' 5 model, the state of any nation can be analyzed in terms of system structure and performance. Struc— ture refers to the internal relations among the system' 5 parts. Performance refers to the acquisition of inputs and their transfor- mation into outputs. Both involve a relationship with the external environment. Seven multidimensional elements comprise system struc- ture: "The structure of any social system consists of (1) people and (2) non -human resources (3) grouped together into sub -systems that 1 :1 . 1 s s r . r t 0 cm . S . 1 d a 1 l. o .. .n o .i i Z . . .1 D . d n + .. S 1 . E . . .1 Cu ”6 v\ V1 d r. ~‘w VIV e .. S -..- D. We. 0 n r“ .cuc ..e a "1 r a 2 E .. 9.. um. .. . .C t .9 x o . v i . 1 L 1.. e .. mi , . a . .... 2,“ n M3. . m 9... .al». a I. E L . .L .r . n . 2. ~\ FA. .1. I. bx“ .... s. 1 e e E u ) \‘1 L 5‘ «\w on OJ 9 v p.» ..h- F... \.n . I a h. \ s e . C P. 71. t .r u OJ - \ .wt. LU t .1 ... . 1 m, e . 1 d ( : : . "A M n» H. a: VI. .3 ..4 us A... .. w : .-. _ . ,. . ”up. ‘1. .nar.“ m_ :- .Wi l . h I...“ In]... . w; r 3 .. . .11.. : [Ill-49"”... .. _. .. 1.! lab. _. . 95 (4) interrelate among themselves and (5) with the external environment, and are subject to (6) certain values and (7) a central guidance system that may help provide the capacity for future per— formance. "44 Similarly, there are seven multidimensional elements of system performance: The performance of any social system consists of activities (1) to satisfy the interests of various ”interested" by (2) pro- ducing various kinds, qualities, and quantities of output, (3) investing in the system' 5 capacity for future output, (4) using inputs efficiently, (5) acquiring inputs, and doing all the above in a manner that conforms with (6) various codes of behavior and (7) varying conceptions of technical and admin- istrative (or guidance) rationality. The third element, "investing in the system' 5 capacity, " is very important because it is the determinant of the future capacity of the system to perform. Gross analyzes each of the structure and performance elements and then makes specific practical proposals for the develop- ment of social indicators. He calls attention to the fact that the process of collecting new and broader kinds of information on social systems is in itself an aspect of system performance. There is resistance to this kind of data collecting, certain resources are needed, and interest conflicts may arise. The key problem in a system of social indicators is that the variables cannot be measured directly; rather, surrogates must be selected. Table 1 shows the grand and intermediate abstractions \éTIOXAL 1 rw-‘, .. - P.» ‘ “i __- . -"'_~V‘- .“ ..‘ I... ... ‘: ‘ I l 96 TABLE 1 NATIONAL PERFORMANCE ABSTRACTION: GRAND AND INTERMEDIATE Grand Abstractions Intermediate Abstractions Satisfying interests Producing output Investing in system Using inputs efficiently Acquiring resources Observing codes Behaving rationally Peace, security, liberty, autonomy, self-determination, equality Tolerance, dignity, honor, prestige, pride Progress, culture, beauty, the arts, self-development Abundance Expansion, unity, national con- sciousness Saving free enterprise, building socialism or a new or great society Economic independence or self- sufficiency Justice, equity Democracy Order, duty Obedience to God or gods Reason Wisdom Full employment Fair employment Equitable income distribution Higher living standards Growth in national output Output of specific services or goods Price stability Investment in hard goods Investment in people or institu- tions Conservation and development Productivity ratios Balanced budget External assistance Economic independence or self ~sufficiency Favorable balance of payments Law enforcement Due process Fair procedures Scientific or technological progress Good government or adminis- tration Source: Bertram M. Gross, "The State of the Nation: Social Systems Accounting," in Raymond A. Bauer, ed., Social Indicators (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1966), p. 264. Eg-‘l. ixu'wmfi JI-i'm rum—qr ,.'.—.;.-.'_.:.. 2:? Figure 1 shows tension like abu ically be observe , 46 zessurement. Wealth 97 and Figure 1 shows what happens as one goes from a grand abstraction like abundance down to some event or object that can actually be observed, recorded, and lends itself much better to 46 measurement. Grand Abstraction Abundance (plenty) Intermediate Abstractions Wealth Distribution of output Appropriation or wealth (or expropriation) Output (or production) Quantitative Indicator Concepts Output types Output quantity Output quality Services or goods End or intermediate products Gross or net Physical or Time periods Indices Aggregate, monetary units average, or marginal Current or Type base stable prices FIGURE 1 AN ABSTRACTION SPECIFICITY LADDER Source: Bertram M. Gross, "The State of the Nation: Social Systems Accounting, " in Raymond A. Bauer, ed. , Social Indicators (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1966), p. 265. ”3’1.” ‘ULI‘N.§ 3.3-2.0 r v v . ‘4‘ hr. imver, Gross 3322151023 can b« I_’ u .. III ocial aces“. Ii‘fie slow a 7111 256 man 5 Q»; : ...E unrk‘ox‘d . . i‘C“‘-~¢ . ‘. ' ‘ Hal-SAL “I‘OC 98 However, Gross points out, in descending the ladder greater precision can be attained but any indicator becomes decreasingly relevant. Gross does not make the establishment of a national system of social accounting appear simple. He. clearly states the progress will be slow and that the maturation of social accounting concepts will take many decades. The Stanford Research Institute Model The Stanford Research Institute (SR1) model is conceptually simpler than Gross' s model. 47 It accepts Gross' s viewpoint that indicator concepts can be thought of as hierarchical, depending on their degree of abstraction, and it also notes that the highest abstrac- tions can achieve a high degree of consensus. But specific goals, because they usually imply the means by which the more general goals are to be attained, are more controversial. The development of a set of goals implies valuechoices— -"a qualitative ordering of possible sets of conditions. "48 The Stanford model (see Figure 2) structures two sets of attainment levels. One describes the social system and the other the dimension of the individual living within the social system. There are several levels to the model, descending from the general 99 .m d .82: stagnant :35 .fimm SSE :manoEE Hfloom umummz c.3368: .3339: sonmcmom 95%:me £32.60 soumommm hunch Hanofimosum “condom _ _ . u (:3 _ 985662. _> _ gmmUm UHHMHMDME Ummdam _ _plll llllll III. I IIII lllllllll N mmDoE _ _ _ 2.53.; -3... n > _ j|"lIlllllll|lll|"'II-III_I llllllllllllllllllllllll II. _ _ 8w _ 2.52958 _ no 2.2“:wa _ >- 59306— E:O atagmv nan—3° _ nag. aux—:— . H1 - I'll-l Ial "Illl‘ [I'll II I 'll 'I—' I llul I." ll IIIII'III II II Ill|| I'll] _ _ _ 3322.28 :94: " ... _ ll'lll'lllllllul_ lllllllll lulu—I'lllllulIIII—lllll. lull 5252.: _ 23.2.2.2 2.32.5 _ 33245 Susanna? £3.30 235.:0 “ 535:.30 JJ‘¢w>° .. _ Illllllllllll IIIIIFIIIII IIIIIIIII coca .3523 at» . 4.30562. >558 100 to the specific. At each point there are goals and a measurement scale specifying attainment levels, such as a minimum, a standard, and an optimum. Level I. of the model represents the most global measure, "the general good. " Although the possibility of such a measure seems remote, the SRI group argues that it might be measured in terms of the fraction of the social system and the individual' 5 psychological environment perceived as hostile, inauthentic, or alien. 49 Level II is intended to provide a general quality assessment in terms of each of the two parts of the system. Level III deals with the major indicator areas (similar to the ones discussed in Towards a Social Report: environment, health and life, public safety, the standard of living, race relations, opportunity, learning, science, and culture). Comparing the SRI and Gross' 3 models, Adrian Ryans concludes that ”from a theoretical standpoint, Gross' model is more comprehensive, but also more abstract, making it very difficult to use with the current state of the art. The SRI model is less compre- . . . 0 hensive, but it 18 more useful at this time. "5 Goal Determination and Evaluation Approach The goal determination and evaluation approach is char— acterized by relating social information to improved policy making. 115.! ‘- taai data should iz-r planing, com at for establishj C—srermental pu sates have ado 3373's Toward Reflec 11% ntroduc 3:221 repom , 3:3 51‘ als< 31’ It COu :n'Is \-.\.=; C5 C “5:- "sF‘ ?“ C‘-‘.‘y “ 2 arm “‘.f‘ s b 101 Social data should be used to evaluate the implementation of goals; for planning, controlling, and evaluating governmental activities; and for establishing programs, budget choices, and priorities. Governmental publications and the National Planning Association' 3 studies have adopted this approach. HEW' s Toward a Social Report Reflecting this orientation is Toward a Social Report. 51 In the Introduction and Summary the question is asked: "Why a social report or a set of social indicators?" The answer given is that such an instrument not only could indicate how well society is doing but also couldimprove policy making in at least two ways. First, it could give social problems more visibility and thus make possible more informed judgments about national priorities. Second, it could provide insight into how different measures of national well- being are changing, which ultimately might enable a better evaluation of what public programs are accomplishing. Toward a Social Report recognizes that the task is not easy; major social problems are influenced by many things besides govern- mental action, and it is difficult to separate the various effects of these causal factors. In the long run, however, evaluation of the effectiveness of public programs will be improved if we have social indicators to tell us how social conditions are changing. -_fll if“: won-wan." "3' '7' "'1' i The repOI“ 5212211515 to look a‘ 52m about prOgFE :‘sai‘. with are heal Earning, science. :simtions is inc? 31': discusses th< Noting ti aviation of fact 50:31 indicators :ore sociallv re 294 - “tortoise set 2719.1 ‘ “#3316, We W ." 1616228 and u 102 The report states that it is an attempt on the part of social scientists to look at several important areas and summarize what is known about progress toward generally accepted goals. The areas dealt with are health, social mobility, the condition of the physical environment, income and poverty, public order and safety, and learning, science, and art. A chapter on participation in social institutions is included, but, because of the lack of measures, it only discusses the important questions in this area. Noting that good decisions must be based on a careful evaluation of facts, the report expresses the hope that the study of social indicators and their methodology and the collection of new and more socially relevant data will continue. If abalanced, organized, and concise set of measures of the condition of our society were available, we would have the information needed to identify emerging problems and to make knowledgeable decisions about national pri- orities. Once theconditions have been exposed, the logical process of policy formation is to choose the most efficient program to deal with them. 52 Inorder to make this choice, information on benefits and costs of alternative programs is needed. The output of a program can be determined only by the identification of the changes in the social indicators which result from the expenditures of the program. Social indicators alone do ll.‘ "vfil~ 3'1..,21v.\3 ‘.,_.'..._.:ll notgrovlde all c tension making rats, and it '1: accounts so tha ‘ I. 'l grnent. sat: gal Coal .oward Balav VIATLILU' wify X 103 not provide all of the quantitativeinformation needed for effective decision making. This requires relating social indicators to program inputs, audit is suggested that they should be integrated into policy accounts so that any changes could be estimated. The report con- siders that social indicators could be developed in the near future, but that "a complete set of policy accounts is a utopian goal at present. "53 National Goals Research Staff' 3 Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity with Quality The relationship between social information and public policy also is expressed in the report Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity with Quality. 54 Noting that we are moving from program to policy oriented government, the following distinction is made: ”A program is an activity of some kind authorized or required by statute. . . . In terms of the social system, programs represent 'inputs. ' . . . Policy is primarily concerned with the 'outputs of a given system' . . . the objective of a policy is to guide government activities in accordance with the properties of a system. "55 The report emphasizes the importance of adequate social data to evaluate the actual results, or outputs, of government programs, to choose national goals, or to evaluate the implementation of those goals already chosen. UV" LEI. 9 ' ‘. his "1:15 14,-: s. Takir. .2 report sta‘ prtlem of g1 aziiroment, regimens: “2:6- relatio :5 F, “malice a« “393i em: ‘-IVE§ :LH‘ ‘\.» f. - “s o: \. _‘glf; .““31a 1 ’x‘ir ‘- . *'-. K: at“ V“0r1 104 Taking notice of the marked social changes of the 1960s, the report states that one aspect of these changes is the search for a "growth policy" to guide that change. The areas in which the problem of growthis debated are population growth and distribution, environment, education, basic science, technology assessment, and consumerism. "In general, these topical areas do not correspond to the major social problems with which we are presently concerned, including those of our cities, campus unrest, the Vietnam War, and race relations. These represent dissatisfactions over our per- formance according to our established priorities. "56 Calling attention to the fact that for the first time the goal of economic growth, as opposed to that of quality, is in doubt, the report emphasizes that the new qualitative goals being proposed them— selves require economic growth. The question, then, should not be quantity versus quality, but quantity with quality. Since resources, although numerous and growing, are finite, the main issue is the setting of priorities. National Planning Association Studies The concern with goals and priorities also is reflected in the efforts of the National Planning Association. The 1966 study coordinated by Leonard Lecht translated the statements of goals v ., "W...“ h r 1:34.; ;. m were specific I‘m.» . 5? , pals. Theses. 31' developing a sys :::si:ps between erieb of areas 0 regress which i 22.-.31 goals on be a‘stem propi 1) Concert ment a: aChieve i) '4 Quaint ll‘idiQa ‘9? tot] 105 into more specific targets and activities and set a pricetag on those goals. 57 These studies have continued with the research objective of developing a systematic analytical framework for examining rela - tionships between goals, and the means of achieving them, in a variety of areas of national concern. The preliminary results of the program, which is oriented toward the progress achievable in national goals over a ten -year period, were published in 1970. 58 The system proposed is characterized by six elements. 59 1) Concern with national goals, including levels of govern- ment and the private sector, with respect to both goal achievement and the cost involved. 2) Quantitative definitions of goal outputs by the use of social indicators, or specific indicators of social change to measure the achievement of national goals. 3) Estimates of total future output possibilities that are technically feasible within a period of ten years as a result of "activities, " that is, specific modes by which the desir- able social changes can be made. 4) Distinction between new activities and the much less flexible "base activities" that represent the existing systems related to the same goals. , "1‘ 'u' ‘m‘-Jm.q V r, -p, :- \rwn-A. 5) Esunui are C0 9 Clear treat their 106 5) Estimates of the range of alternative future outputs that are compatible with available resources. 6) Clear'recognition of the lead -time required for imple- menting activities and the explicit distinction between their private and social costs. Nester Terleckyj emphasizes the need for consensus: "The quantitative indicators [that represent goals] were selected to represent the important aspects of . . . concerns and to be normatively meaningful, i.e., to command a high degree of con- sensus as to their importance and the desirable direction of their change. "60 The following categories of goals of related and inter- dependent concerns were selected. Health and safety: personal environmental health; public and environmental safety. Human habitat: housing, quality of neighborhood, access to the area, recreational opportunities, and the quality of the larger environment. I u ‘ flit— “ "hit-mr'w a... ...—J.“ Education, educat contini nature Leisure ar growtj Freedom, and t} The e “fireserit the :..e:pts to e‘ 1?“. ' . 1ndice Effie»; “1‘91? u: iior. . 107 Education, (skills, and income: basic schooling and higher education, skills and jobs, and the amount, adequacy, and continuity of income. Finer things: goals related to the arts and sciences and nature and beauty. Leisure and production: the interrelationships between economic growth andavailability of discretionary time. Freedom, justice, and harmony: liberty, democratic values, and the quality of the social environment. The attainment of these goals is measured by a series of indicators at two levels: approximately 20 primary indicators represent the mostimportant aspects of the goals, and a larger set attempts to evaluate additional dimensions. The proposed analysis is illustrated by Table 2. which shows the effects of activities on goal output indicators. Because resource constraints limit what can be effectively undertaken, choices must be made throughout the process among different types of goals, among the means .for pursuing the goals, and between the new and base activities topursue the goals. Terleckyj suggests that these choices are determined by techno- logical, economic, and institutional conditions, and that the choice u .. . v-l A. ..—-"— o :v... i [’1 —‘?— -i _______———o—* I . I ~~ . mzpnmt: ‘,-- ! H... + i 2 . I 0| 35 .. h . -? I. it -: ‘2 l .. _—__..__ H . I -‘ .‘, 'J 2 ‘JL . ‘ .. 5731 02'; TL, g ta—I~\ 1.- h i" - - I - l . :~~.l;|’j.u 1 EH" . . g. . : 'y'oi,‘;‘ flu-"J r, "VJ" —:.;.- - ' ”i--.“ - 108 .322“: you... no uunwnna 05 mafia—nu :ofiuonoua amen 9F 62.3305 LNG—03.5.“ 05 50.: 95:50.. :3 as: 25 80.: 53835 .5350 Eon 2a 5 new—Eco savanna?— 035 «5 033: 932552 Baez .:oflflo¢an< HES—IE _éozaz 2: do 33%.; 2s .53: 3:52 .p 22.2 «29.5 o .o: .2 32?. maxi ...uEEU :58 do 32:533. 32:332.. invoice .m ..S-oz 823m mu~h~>uku< 'MIW J° "cum m easy-cave» ....n«no uuou 333:3... roman: 3.2..— .Ei-u. 38-: .3 I. 33.53 ... .85 N ...—a... 3 '7; P“ I .... V .. ...—34;; ;- ‘-I . a“... :aier can be he ramification an ..eing differi This m (I) efnency. gimme than eiirient use of :er: are exem elculazions w). festivities W requirements . Assn ?ill be depenc sijeci to thr “Tibial resot‘ ianount o XII-:5, bill V; 109 maker can be helped by a system of analysis which emphasizes goal quantification and the alternatives, for a certain time period, for achieving different goals. This model is further expanded to include the concept of efficiency. 61 Some new activities selected may be more or-less productive than others in achieving the desired outputs. Assuming efficient use of resources, several possibilities in indicator improve- ment are exemplified. They are derived from linear programming calculations which provide least-cost estimates and imply the choice of activities which are most effective for the given set of output requirements . Assuming the efficient use of resources, the output also will be dependent on the amount of resources. These resources are subject to three conditions: the rate of economic growth; the share of total resources which is directed toward the social concerns; and the amount of resources which is directed toward the social con- cerns, but which already is allocated to ongoing activities. Summarizing, Terleckyj states that the‘range of possibilities includes two types of efficient out- comes. One efficient outcome is, with given availability of resources, an efficient allocation of discretionary resources among activities such as to maximize the proportion of the outputs chosen as the objects of goals. The second type of efficient outcome is productivity improvement in the base whichecan release very substantial resources which would < __v_=3l I .- “mm -1“ m “I“ make feasib' possibilities He also analyzes greaiprogress i gels but only is efficiency 0 release additio‘. A late atri'iiies conc‘ treasurer. and mat v: ment actix activities gESlS t‘nai or functic The "51‘3" unde flexible 5 i‘irposes .. 110 make feasible achievement of more substantial 6groportionof possibilities for attainment of desirable goals. He also analyzes "inefficient allocations. " Terleckyj concludes that great progress can be made by 1980 in achieving domestic social goals, but only if efficient, innovative approaches are adopted and if the efficiency of the ongoing base systems is improved in order to release additional resources. A later paper on measurement of output of governmental activities concludes that measurement of government output is relative to its purpose, and that when viewed in a broader context, the output of govern- ment activities can most usefully be seen as dependent on other activities (private or public) and response patterns. This sug- gests that the measurement of government output is a schedule, or function, rather than a single quantity. The state of the art for measuring governmental output is very underdeveloped . . . this suggests a need for multiple and flexible simultaneous azpproaches relating definitions to the purposes of analysis. 6 The Concepts and Measurement—Approa ch Biderman For Albert Biderman, 64 "social indicators" refer to quan- titative data that serve as indexes to socially important conditions of the society. . His concern is primarily with noneconomic "social" statistics. He proposes an empirical, analytical approach coupled with a sociological assessment. To be useful, each indicator must :e's:e to a con« :plicit theory Bider _reizt of View c beersnied, a series origins 4s analysis 0 areas of publ: Tilbe collec .._ inree iss :3rwhich, i “I: be mea 5 He II: . on L2:- ., ‘ S»: 8‘ h L i].- 111 relate to a concept about the society that is a part of an explicit or implicit theory of thesociety. Biderman examines existing social indicators from the point of view of their relationship to the national goals which have beenvstated, and he analyzes the ways in which such statistical series originate and the multiple uses .to which they are put. From his analysis of the actual availability and use of social statistics in areas of public policy (see pages 87 - 88), he concludes that data will be collected when there is reasonable consensus on the follow- ing three issues: importance of the problem; there is some informa- tion which, if available, would be useful; and the relevant phenomena can be measured. 65 . He believes the obstacles to consensual evaluation of the state and trends of the society as a whole arise from technical problems: (1) invalidity, of available indicators as indexes of the social conditions they propose to measure; (2) inaccuracy due to errors of measurement, sampling, and enumeration; (3) conflicting indicators obtained from different sources; (4) lack of usable sta- tistical data; (5) incompatible models, or different abstract conceptual systems which attach different significance to the various elements of the system, aggregate phenomena differently in the form of concepts .O or explain differently the relationships between elements; and (6) lack Whfl‘h ._——- if value consenS and ralues limit ridicaiors about Even W certain phenom Tzere are othe ll? meesureme naecurate me estisncal scie serial pro ce 5: :eesureznem heard the ob isms are 'u cams and lb Bide Slheme Of SC difficult} ‘T'E‘JSe of t' ‘v 3 5v» 3, t 1' Stern c 32311-1 0’1 and Eli Pris... 112 of value consensus, or the fact that differences in standards, tastes, and values limit the agreement that can be gleaned from social indicators about the conditions of society. Even‘ where consensus does exist about the significance of certain phenomena, these may not be reflected by available indexes. There are other factors determining the availability of indicators: (1) measurement technology, or the susceptibility of the phenomenon to accurate measurement, given the current state and resources of statistical science; (2) social observability: Are or are not the social processes involved organized consciously to permit such measurement? and (3) data —agency perspective, or the perspective toward the phenomena to be studied. Biderman believes all these factors are important in evaluating the present state of social indi- cators and their role in society. Biderman doubts the possibility of introducing any complete scheme of social accounting (as proposed by Gross), not because of the difficulty of measuring the newer, "softer" phenomena, but because of the social and political forces that have shaped the exist- ing system of statistical series. Sheldon and Moore Eleanor Sheldon and Wilbert Moore call attention to the Problems of measuring social change, 66 the first of which is the A. {““E‘ relation betxe er smerure or : ...:l the set dragging quant: Sits-ugh these lacs both relie probability m; The 113 relationbetween numbers and meanings. No item of information, no measure or series of measures is self -explanatory. They point out that the several papers in the book are concerned with the changing quantities (and implicitly the qualities) of Americanlife. Althoughthese papers deal with quantitative demonstrations, they lack both reliable quantitative data to test leads and lags and a grand probability matrix of sequential changes. 1i 2) 3) The following problems are discussed: Statistical systems. There is a great flow of numbers from many sources, but many of these have been collected for reasons other than the observer' 3. Additivity. The problem of adding unlike quantities may lead to simplifyingreduction of an observed series to a more limited number of indicators. Sheldon and Moore caution that "in the current state of the theory and art of social diagnosis, it would appear that such. simplifying indicators must be established by inductive generalization, not by deductive derivation from established laws. "68 Frequency. , Because we lackthe knowledge of the rates of change and their shape over various periods of time, [kH' there is oiobse 2:103: and Let. Anetta i1: measureml :I‘l“:‘ T“ "- Jayml _l‘eQSlJrj I 'F" Inn,- :.-¢ I” ~ ..-éat‘lYE c 1P: -' .,_ pl.- .p: ‘9.- ch one ( tit-K. =‘-kll The 114 there is no a priori basis for determining the frequency . of observation of any aspect of social behavior or function. Etz ioni and Lehman Amitai Etzioni and Edward Lehman analyze conceptualization and measurement problems in a paper on the "dysfunctions" that social measurements may have for social planning. 69 (Dysfunctions are negative consequences of a particular social item for specified part[s] of a specified social system.) A major part of their analysis is the question of internal validity. "Internal validity refers to the extent of correspondence between a social science concept and its operational definition. "70 Three problem areasassociated with questions-of internal validity are identified: the more general one of fractional measurement, the related one of indirect measurement, and that of formalistic aggre- gative measurement of collective attributes. The fractional measurement problem arises from the dif— ficulty in arriving at an operational definition that covers the rami- fications and dimensions of a concept. Social accounting also gives rise to two other kinds of problems. The first, indirect measure- ment, stems from the often used expedient of measuring societal concepts by'using data originally collected for other purposes. Li-vr—n-Imjva'u . Fl Tie second is sanctions r of social systé serial units it used to mess be'nore eppi Bec :cequate me n CEClnlOIlS E :hension suited to and indies :isntitati CURCEZJIQ N ’3'.» Qt E d» Na] ’- i_-.‘1¢' ”27's.. cl»: 10 ma :QLIS I} 115 The secondis one of formalistic, aggregative measurement, or dysfunctions resulting from imprecise measurements of the states of social systems. This derives from the tendency to confuse real social units with formal social units and from aggregate data being used to measure a collective property when a global measure would be more appropriate. Because of the problem of fractional measurement, the adequate measurement of a social science concept frequently requires the use of more than one indicator. If the researchsitua- tion calls for a unified scoring system, then the multiple indicators may. be‘combined into an overall index. Indexing implies two decisions about weighing: the relative importance of the various dimensions and indicators, and the statistical procedures to be applied to represent the relative value of the various dimensions and indicators. Etzioni and Lehman caution against over -reliance on quantitative dimensions. They suggest that index building for social concepts should take into account whether or not there are qualita- tive dimensions of the concept to be considered. 71 They also add a caution about goal measures. Becausethe means used by social units to attain their goals often are more easily measured than the goals themselves, there may be a tendency to substitute the :easurements the goals ar source of dys: bier systemi :idel insteac ll." arriving ; ETIOHEOUS pc :ticaiors o: .- 72 on. (I) L. V i”.- x“- 116 measurements of means for the measurement of goals, especially if the goals are intangible. Taking goals into account can itself be a source of dysfunctional problems if the result is failure to consider other systemic elements, hence the advantage of relying on a system model instead of on a goal model. Two broad classes of dysfunctions then can be identified: (1) arriving at invalid conclusions which become the basis for erroneous policy decisions; and (2) ignoring those dimensions and indicators ofa conceptthat are most susceptible to social manipula- tion. 72 TheNormative Implications of the Different Approaches These different approaches andideas reflect some of the perplexing questions. What is a social indicator? How are social indicators to be measured? How is the knowledge about social indicators to be associated with the process of policy formulation? There seems to beagreement that social indicators should be thought of as measures of social output. Hence they are related to the definition of attainment goals (the definition of goals implies value choices, that is, choices of the goals and of their priority ordering). The concept of social indicators also has led to the idea of social accounting, that being the analytical tool by which one can uate the i! 1 e a a. E. I mix 0‘ prograz . M- pm"! .-5“ E I f i b T. p \n O :1 d 0 Pu S e A 1 fix a.“ x t ..- . IA .. . I . s. 1"» i xvi-Elin,11 ‘ ionec as; tic '3 CC 1 r- 0"- N ‘N .. i \m'. ~ F-7- “v-a .... ‘31 7;: n ~.~ ¥ 'v- L») ..- 117 evaluate the-implementationtoward the chosen set of social goals as aresult of the programs undertaken. If monetary values can be assigned to the attainment of each of the goals and to the costs of each program, one is thenable to calculate the total value of the costs andbenefits of the program. This is why social indicators can be so relevant to the process of policy formulation and to the choice of programs. Michael Springer has made an analysis of the questions mentioned. 73 >He-compares the several approaches and concentrates his comparisons on the most often referred to (and seemingly better known) contributions: those of Gross and Toward a Social Report. He points out that, to many scholars and public officials, proposals for systems of social indicators and accounts and annual presidential social reports can be viewed as an ultimate instrument of societal management. These eventually would provide an assessment of the current and future state and performance of the social order, along withan indication of control mechanisms and guidelines for the pro- ductionof social knowledge. If developed and applied to the manage- ment of organizations, these approaches could be expanded to the ultimate application of managerial rationality--the overall guidance of the-social order. ' . Springer :srpome plannir ”fixthE an} sidress itself to smfllbreakdov: 22ers and fine gut'erment tha - “fl .. 5'. ‘1”- mm1'\v He quc Eiatthis new i U asses soeic 2) asse CEI‘l an: ac 118 Springer calls the direct analogy often made between corporate planning practices andsocial accounting and reporting "deceptive": any. ultimate instrument of government planning must address itself to much more elusive questions (such as crime and social breakdown). Furthermore, the number of decision -making centers and the range of conflicting values are far greater within government than‘within corporations. He quotes the following five functions as roughly reflecting what this new instrumentality of rational control is expected to do: 1) assessment of the state of the society--economic and sociological information; 2) assessment of the performance of the society--how well the society is achieving a specific set of goals, whether a certain situationis desirable, and whether "progress" is being achieved; 3) anticipation of the future--an orientation toward the future; 4) indication of control mechanisms-—the kinds of government and private actions called for to ameliorate a condition, achieve a particular goal, or secure a desired future; and 5) guide. and 1 com tion COU TM In. H.156 .1»e j ”“0": : .' but. u... A ‘ . s :r: 1., “1‘s: 5.13, t :m the “n! ..ZCIlCe inr- 119 5) guidance of social knowledge-~a system of social accounts andregular reporting by the president is required to over- come the deficiencies of the present base of social informa- tion. Through this process, some degree of central control could be achieved in the federal statistical establishment. These five functions are the ultimate application. of managerial rationality. It would draw upon the techniques of social trend analysis, the analysis of national goals, futurism, systems theory, and the "new political economy" (a multidisciplinary field of political choice involving various scarce public goods). The studies reviewed explicitly or implicitly accept the idea of a rationally managed social order, but Gross and Toward a Social Report differ in their notion of what that order would be. Springer believes Toward a Social Report is framed in the context of the new political economy. Pushed to its logical limits, it implicitly argues that the management of society is only rational when there is a complete consensus on national goals and when knowledge about how to achieve these goals is relatively complete. (The same idea is implicit in the Stanford Research Institute Model, the National Planning Association-studies, and, to some extent, in Biderman' s notion of consensual validation.) The notion. is rooted in the conceptual scheme which guided the preparation of the " ’EMH 5 IL; '3..."__s..“__‘n__' ’f ’l LL:' damnan. Fun indicator (868 P The A] denelonment of ”*0! , .. IN" 1) in ma 'mdice l’\’J V an in aggre inth. 120 document. Fundamental to this scheme is its definition of a social indicator (see page 93). The Appendix of the report sketches out an approach for the development of awmore rigorous set of social indicators. It suggests that: 1) 2) 3) O in many areas of direct normative concern, aggregative indices would provide useful measures of social progress; an impressive set of social indicators,. based on such aggregative indices, could be developed at a modest cost in the near future; and the next. step would be the development of a system of policy accounts for determining the most "efficient" way of increasing a social indicator. Social indicators would measure social outputs, and policy accounts would measure public and private activities' impact upon costs and to a particular indicator. According to Springer this "macroscopic causal model is along way off, " even though the report believes it ultimately will be required for "rational" decision making. The report assumes that the management of society can be guided, in the near future, by tese notic political p :éicators car. be de: 1!) COQCGH - ‘ l ' "1.3135311 (I) , I 121 clear standards of desirability, but will be restricted by limited knowledge of cause -effect relationships. Springer states that behind these notions is the optimization model of welfare economics: political processes will provide relative weights to a set of social indicators, and the cost-constraint analysis and resource allocation can be determined by the product accounts. Gross' s approachrejects, for the present, the causal modeling impliediin Toward a Social Report: ”My strategy has been to concentrate upon description and thereby prepare a foundation of explanation. This was meant studiously resisting the temptation to leap precipitately, into premature use of the proposed accounting system for the purpose of prediction or control. ”74 His general systems model, as described earlier in this chapter, takes into aCcount a multiplicity. of conflicting goals: "Rationality consists of society's managers being able to work out compromises between conflicting goals-wandto act on the basis of sketchy knowledge of cause -effect relationships. In effect, Gross equates 'rationality' with the political process. "75 For Toward a Social Report a con- sensus (hence removed from social conflict) has to beachieved so that the desired social goals can be secured in an orderly fashion. Springer' s doubts are concerned not so much with the possibility, of a managed society as withits moral and political aspects. A resorting a :plemert that in the secial acc Thlcz'l jus 7316 ' 0b 4|, 122 aspects. As he sees it, proponents of social accounting and social reportingare inspired by two motives: the desire to bring about the implementation of some long—overdue social reforms, and the hope that inthe process of bringing about these reforms they will become a new political elite of technocratic managers. "Such developments would also justify bringing the intellectual and scholar even closer to the-centers of national policy-formulation. The literature of social accounting can thus be viewed as presenting an ideology which justifies the emergence of a new ruling class that will pro- vide 'objective,' 'scientific,' and 'nonideological' advice to the . 'rulers' of society. ".76 Mancur Olson, 77 who is mainly responsible for Toward a Social Report, defendswhis approach. He argues that the kind of analysis and data needed fora social report andthe information that social indicators can provide could provevery useful in making strategic. presidential decisions about socio -economic strategy. The National Goals Research Staff established in the White House might serve this strategic function of gainingvisibility and influence through the issuance of annual social reports. .The difficulty that Olson envisages is the lack of a satisfactory. intellectual framework or theory for the analysis of social problems. . He mentions two main acceptable frameworks: the problem solving approach, which -—- ‘ov- 'Qiables that 515 Of the (it): E merent in smemral fun: sciences. Tm dearly in the each chapter c ieal’hnwhne 0150: incomplete Ve "M‘ . ““6? than “Vi SIT-ignite that {fr N thmS Of 5 “Er thart or 3h". ‘35 I'll ab0ut SUE *0 123 is inherent in economic theory and operations research, and structural functional analysis, which is common in several social sciences. The contrast between the two approaches came out clearly. in the work on Toward a Social Report. In its final format, each chapter-of the report refers to a general goal--better housing, health--whilethestructural-functionalist advisors preferred the analysis organized around structures such as family and social class. The advisers criticized the chosen approach because it introduced value judgments on the choice of goals. 78 Olson argues that structural -functional analysis is an incomplete version of the problem solving approach. Its main limitations are that it begins with a regular pattern of behavior rather than‘with the purpose(s) which that pattern of behavior is intended to serve, andthat its tendency is to ask whether the structure that has beenidentified is functional or dysfunctional (in terms of survival, stability, or expansion of an institution rather than on the basis of profits per 'se). He also criticizes the problem solving approach because it should be used with more con- cern about suboptimization and with more interest in the "softer" variables that structural analysis considers. . He proposes a synthe- sis of the two approaches: "complex system analysis. " -—-———._——- _——————— The C ta: 31131 a "31 neasurement‘ ;-_ awareness 2.25 social g‘di 333% to guide :easure indit ions; there a The systematic we society. In a :e reality tln extent and me The concern ‘ if Ls derivec 1‘3‘1105 have i1 is (I) the has jEiiffies estab' 5n '- .ri . GUS Dame and ; 124 The General Approach -- Some Closing Remarks The differences in the general approaches reflect more than just a variance in intellectual posture about methods and measurement. Underlying the differences and the controversy is the awareness of what social indicators can mean for policy making and social guidance. If social indicators and social reporting are going to guide policy, then the issues of how to conceptualize and measure indicators have more than mere methodological implica- tions; there are political implications as well. Theeproduction and use of social indicators in an organized, systematic way could have a broad impact on the entire life of society. In addition to assessing how accurately indicators reflect the reality they intend to measure, it is necessary to assess the extent and manner in which indicators may be used by policy makers. The concern-withthe nonscientific uses .to which indicators may be put is derived from the fact that many people‘will assume that sta — tistics have, inherent scientificvalue. "They are the rolesdata play as (1) the bases of claims against resources according to allocative devices established by law or custom; (2) as ammunition forthe various parties to the adversary procedures of intraorganizational and interorganizational politics; (3) as the cohesion of organizational aliances; l new ground 0‘. that the rc the: shoul ' Av -0~'€I‘f‘.me. (I cezzralize authors he who and and also '1 125 alliances; (4) as symbols for the persuasion of publics, and (5) as new grounds for national and institutional needs. "79 Obvious questions arise about who should collect the data, what the-role of the executive branch and Congress should be, and what should be done about conflicting data and. interpretation. Most government publications argue for data collection by federal agencies centralizedunder the Office of Management and Budget, but several authors have defended theideaof multiplicity of data sources, both public and private. 80 These concerns are reflected in the literature and alsoin the proposed legislation. The‘legislation necessary to enact the development of a social report was first presented in 1967 by Senator Walter Mondale. The bill called for the publication of an annual social report, the establishment of a Council of Social Advisors, and the creation of a Joint Congressional Committee on the Social Report. Since then, the role of theexecutive andlegislative branches and whether there should «bea separate Council of Social Advisors or an extension of the existing Council of Economic Advisors have been under discus - sion. 81 In 1970, the Senate passedethe bill sponsored by Senator Mondale. The Full Opportunity and National Goals and Priorities Act provides for the creation of a Council of Social Advisors in the Executive-Office of the President and an Office of Goals and E ongres U t., \11 Reoreser nonne .1. ( 3A 7‘ 1 t E AG .1 n m S . \IL 0 a: . u a: y e .d . O Q 3 r e H“ .u u .AA 9d S .h». e t ”A ?« l _L mu. rI a . S t» a m 2. mm 1:. ha a 1.:. 1C \J ..O t— t . nth. Fury pa“ FF: o- s Q h \‘5 “It V C .l. I E AP,» ..i h x u .. .n . it nah ...v . 0 . aw. - _ .... .r. . 3L ’4; u! y — ht. .... \\ la..~ -. a \~ M \It “.91.... ¢ ...fl...EMLapo.llll.EmlFI‘-.Bva ., # 1"..5. 126 (Priorities Analysis in the Congress. The bill died in the House of Representatives in.1970, but has been reintroduced in the 92nd Congress. The proposed council would advise the-president in the preparationtof aneannual social report and would be a social moni- toring and data gathering agency comparable to the Council of Economic Advisors. In conclusion, the review of the literature reveals that the authors who chose a general approachadopted several different frameworks. These reflect various positions both as to the ‘con- ceptualization of indicators and social accounts and to the normative questions of how the data should be collected, by whom, and for what uses. There also is some divergence in the literature as to the main areas for which indicators should be developed. Table 3 is an attempt to summarize the main areas of con? cern as suggested by the sources. Gross clearly indicated four areas, "a few of the more important and feasible, "82 but they do not match the more comprehensive listing in Table 1, page 96, suggested by the‘elements of system performance. Perhaps Gross' 8 list was not meant to be complete, but was designed to offer examples only. 7 His main concern was with establishing the basic conceptual frame - work for-analysis and not with carrying it through‘to the final choice of indicators. The mainareas mentioned by Sheldon and Moore are 127 333m «cos no: can “cos ...oZmE. - co.— ._>:m no: n «.5520 . own—32 Ewe; 3392a - danced cofiflaaom mo 3:20 nae beam «5 can v5 :58 v5 35 Ba so 27:5 ufimao: 3:85 :03 835 53...: 0.253..— -moaam :oflansnom cm :30 magnum 3:02: :03 tacos: a: can no: .. fluoam< can 226 beam - 262a «Egan .5 z a: _. :2 as: m 99:. .5: use use 3522 .Eo?5._,.~ .583: coca - «26m 5:33 9:631— :38 - mmomm< .hwouocsowu. 589—0 :03 . cocomom pecan—am . 3:5an barnmm fifiaaz can one Madmamala :38 ummmm 82 3330 5392.0 - :o.:>:m_ .cowuauscfl - Leann—.00 omEOCOom pagan—50m Hobo: .H.m .m van COSmcszd. «hwom one 33mm. :55 bagom C< use mmofifi 7:0qu .5an was .3ng . c0225 was $3502 our—20m van a 25308 - .3me 83—5 Quincm oEOoS _a_oow $5534 5:8: 308 0033 .9582 -soafim £29836 can 558 .330: can coach was Quack“. 0.302 - 5226 so: -508. can .393 v.3 5:358 .28 9.3.2.5» 338 migoonow 533.— 0.3204 tans—5:00 scam—Aux brush mozzom 03375.5. canon—goal “swam cogs—E . 2.39% 8.33;... o>.5 mmozmm< consume...“ ofiuaflbuwc ova—such Hanan—Cam -0809 cc: - Enemm< 833204. can cozau 3:25 vca nacho - :3ch ac - :29: not mowzudnmu mesa: Sm can - Ear—BI 3:02 3: > oEE U use 5u< - suavm c.3280 uo mound oousom ZIQUZOU JSUOW EC mz<223m n HJEMC. 128 derived from the 13 papers in the book they edited. Presumably they, also reflect Sheldon and Moore' s opinion. Other sources' areas of concern are clearly stated. Table 3 reveals the lack of agreement among the various sources as to the main areas of con- cern for which indicators should be developed and the taxonomic difficulties involved in the classification and labeling of categories that should be (but are not) mutually exclusive and exhaustive. Despite these divergences, it safely can be concluded from the _ literature review that there is agreement about the need for social indicators, the need for improved methodology, and some agree- ment about some areas of concern (for example, education and health). The Specific Area Approach Several contributions in the literature on social indicators adopt what can be called a specific area approach: they view the problem from a specific area of concern like health, environment, and so forth. The papers contributed to Sheldon and Moore' 8 book, 83 and most of the articles in the several issues of the Annals, 84 have adopted this approach. In some sense, Toward a Social Report, 85 and Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity and Quality, 86 tend toward this approach when they move from general considerations to the analysis of each specific area of concern. . b . ‘ A ‘3‘»“2'7-3"? 3. '= [\3 v rn 129 The approach .is characteriz ed by: 1) descriptive analysis, that is, assessing progress and problems in the various social areas, mainly through the use of the available time -series data; 2) critical analysis of the existing data, showing its limita- tions; and 3) suggestions for new indicators needed. Not all authors have emphasized the three aspects equally, and some have added a fourth dimension, the major policy problems involved. These factors compound the problem of making a systematic and balanced review for all the areas of concern. The specific areas chosen for review here, based on Table 3, will reflect two criteria: (1) those that reflect some con- Vf-‘I‘gencevin the several studies; and (2) those that are reflected in governmental agency studies, or studies oriented toward government goals and policies (such as the National Planning Association' 3). It Will be assumed that they reflect the way the official data will be or ganized and published and those areas that are of interest for Public policy in the near future. . No attempt will be made to repro- duce the statistics car-statistical analyses; these can be found in the sources mentioned. I- n . I 'l.‘."' ‘ ~_v v—u" n-Ll- 2) di he do 1) 2) 3) 130 The-review for each topic will focus on three areas: the main issues as mentioned by the reviewed authors; measurements, that is, the limitations of existing data and/ or proposed methodology and suggestedindicators for each area; and major policy problems when these are mentioned by the authors. A review of the literature will center on the following: 1) 2) 3) demographic factors: population growth and distribution, the family; structural factors: economic growth, labor force and employment, knowledge, technology, and science, the arts, environment and urban conditions; distributive factors: income and consumption, leisure, health and safety, schooling and education, equality, free- dom, justice and participation. f‘." *m . v».25&.|‘ . be limi 131 The Demggraphic Factors: Population Growth and fiistributionu The Family The issues. -- Two basic transformations in the nation' 8 population have been growth and urbanization. 87 The questionof population size also invOlves the issue of whether a technologically advanced and industrially prosperous nation wants, or can continue, to pay the price of congestion and contamination stemming from overall affluence. Population might be limited by the inability of the environment to absorb the wastes that result from economicsuccess. 88 Another serious issue is population distribution. Because People increasingly have been concentrating in cities, and in a few rather large urban masses, the quality of life has lowered both in urban and rural areas. Projection of migration patterns is a dis- tribution policy issue since that policy might affect such decisions as industrial plant location and other types of investment which would make increasing concentration of population a self —fulfilling PrOphecy. 89 Measurement. "Demography, is the object of continuous analysis and interpretation. There is a variety of data, but not all data are; pertinent to the development of social indicators. j. . ._ [Ls-Lg“ “xv- s . "rs—Hr .Wv- 5 In: .103 ‘n‘a 31r— 0! EVER I: . Q... . ...-1 ._i Pr»; v '4" ‘»‘<;‘_ ‘y a, Yr- 132 Conrad Taueber, 90 noting that family structure and family relations areeintimately. related to demographic events, analyzes the deficiencies of demographic data and points out that there is little information on the interrelationships among economic, social, and demographic factors. . He also suggests that more attention should be given to data already collected but improperly analyzed and inter- preted before planning new surveys and collections. — William Goode shares these views. 91 He maintains that data. on family change are very deficient for long -term charting and even more so for causal interpretations. Goode has noted some of the major problems, in the measurement of family changes: (1) ideals in contrast to behavior; (2) class, sex, and generational perspectives; (3) absence of data on the process of building larger kinship units; and (4)! low literacy. . He also suggests some of the important variables that seem ‘ t0 justify charting, both because of theoretical significance, and their uses in social bookkeeping. These are: time and money budgets; variations in family patterns; sexual behavior; changes in the employment of women; functioning of kinship networks; sociali- zation practices; and social costs of the family system. Data collection on these variables would be useful in uncovering problems, or the lack of them, in family behavior, and would on :0ng wt 133 would provide approximate evaluation as to how well the nation is coping with family problems. If used carefully, these data could give some "crude" predictions of the immediate future. . He cautions against simple extrapolations from a present trend in the absence of a sound theory. Major policy problems. --It has been suggested that a viable option for dealing with the problem of population distribution is to encourage growth in centers other than the large urban masses, coupled with a complementary effort to develop new towns. 92 lhe Structural Factors Economic Growth The issues. —-The main concern in the area of economic growth or welfare is its measurement. The national income and Product accounts are adequate to measure the current economic State of the nation, but changes intGNP over long periods of time are not a‘good measure of economic growth or welfare. Since "structural change is the essence of secular change, it must be accounted for. ”93 Another important issue is the analysis of the relationship betweenbalanced growth and economic policy. 94 The search for a policy of balanced growth has major implications for the allocation 134 of economicresources and is dependent upon economic growth. Conventional economic policy goals include full employment, an acceptable rate of growth, price stability, and a satisfactory balance of payments. To these must now be added a. set of goals under the label (not yet clearly defined) of the quality of life. Measurement- --A. W. Sametz proposes a method for the comparison of data on economic growth. 95 The gross national product should be adjusted upward to allow for the increase in the quality: of output and11eisure and downward to allow for the effects of the commercialization of domestic activities and the social costs of urban industrial society. . He notes that this ”net output index" canspecify only the measurable part of economicwelfare. . It is possible, however, that it may have even less significance for future levels of social welfare. Social welfare, or happiness, may not be increased by increases in output per capita even if shared proportionally; beyond certain levels of real per capita output (and income) the additional satisfaction may be more psychological than Physiological and may be more dependent on relative than absolute . living-levels and on collective rather than on private decisions. Sametz offers the personal judgment that in the future it may be morereasonable to infer social welfare from increases in the output indicator. This is because theeadvance of knowledgewill ‘, V""r _...—b... b ,.- '.. '31... l' I .4 U r l' hr .'" s _... ca, .. matter: 4. N ‘erouslr pea- ‘sfha 135 more than offset the-external diseconomies faced today; the increasing: role of government in economic affairs will introduce representative social decision making, while still preserving a-lloca - tion‘efficiency; and there will be increasing equality of income and opportunity. Major policy problems. -- The setting of new goals for economic policyand the establishment of priorities among them are matters of social choice to bemade by the people and expressed through their private institutions and governments. The key choices are among competing ends. Economic analysis can aid understand- ingof some central aspects of these choices and it can contribute toward the meeting of these ends once they are chosen. An economic policy of sustained growth also can make it possible for more of these ends to beachieved. Labor Force and Employment Trends The issues. -- The concern with full employment, optimum economic growth, andoptimum allocation of resources in the con- text of social needs are inseparable objectives and do not involve Pragmaticdifferentiation. For-example, attacks upon unemployment and poverty are closely related. t Ill: W"V~‘u1'lfls society ar wire were determin ions of t quential . noted 1‘: occupati. Ufflle . 136 Another concern is the impact of the changes in American society and Americans on the pattern of labor supply and use, and vice -versa. Stanley Lebergott argues that family income goals are determinative in shaping labor supply. 98 He analyzes the contribu- tions of the major components in the labor supply and some conse- quential changes in the labor market. As the nation' 3 work force moved from predominantly farming to manufacturing to service occupations, there was a .decline in the role of the entrepreneur, the traditional creator of opportunities and inventions, and small- scale business enterprise, and an increase in the bureaucratization of work. ' Lebergott also shows that productivity .gains have been taken mostly in money rather than leisure. Scheduled factory and business hours have declined, but hours worked by. individuals have not decreased (since the mid-19303)‘because of overtime work and people holding two or more jobs. In addition, there is increas- ing participation of women and other members of the family in the Working force. Furthermore, study of labor marketing stability reveals that job loyalty and stability are decreasing. There is sOme questionwhether this would not affect the efficiency and satis- faction of thelabor force. On the other hand, since perhaps half of the, job changes made by the average American worker’are Maw add! 0 V L. i i- .1 1 . . av .C c . an ac (u . A... S y ..r.v u .. a o c ml! . a .. .mlv v a in“ Cr. C an... up“ . v lit a s . w ,. .L 3 .. l ~ a . ..N ..a g o ‘ :~ ...E. _f .u. .. . ha 7) . as .l a: l : ~\c . a i. we cm uttllh...llrd iF.’I'-I.s .Ivb‘ ., . . ’ .. ’5 2. 137 voluntary, it may be inferred that they expect the change to be for the better (even if they are disappointed later). Measurement. -- Lebergott argues for better data develop- ment to orient government policies. Since in some sense the government is committed to guarantee the performance of the whole economy, it must acquire the complex knowledge of how the economy. interacts. When its goals include providing better jobs for the socially disadvantaged, measuring the labor market conse- quences of many types of federal policies is very important. Lebergott also stresses the importance of maintaining consistencj between the labor data and other measures usually used by the White-House and the Council of Economic Advisors to evaluate the state of the economy. ,He advocates data consistency between employment and labor force statistics and those on output, capital consumption, sales, andinvestments; greater utilization of the Bureau of Labor Statistics wage rate~surveys; more information on reports to the Internal Revenue Service; a connection between household and establishment reporting; and more research onthe various psycho- logical and social factors (intelligence, background, and so forth) that influence income differentials. refers 1 FL . u . 1|:L l E E I 1 ac CN p E‘ .3 Q» n A h v. TVA 1 plw CL Li. 1 P 5.. rd AM. :2 ‘1“ W... Wt.“ Th .F; Nab .5.» «1 Wt 503 O r. . rape or . ..H» e O .Muiu . l. Nun . w A .1.“ F . 1 t .v . ~ .... . n u . rt. ...» n .. .3. U.» hi ...: .flq r a: T T. u a “L PH.“ N: A . .5» “it. kiln. .mtt. nu. um a: kid. fli‘i,"jd.flfl. Wt 4.w .. d ‘ .\- 138 Major policy problems. -- The main policy question discussed refers to the level of employment to be maintained. Leon Keyserling suggests that the main focus of economic and related social policies should be upon federally guaranteed full employment (with a com- pensation adequate to assure for all workers at least a minimum standard of living). 99 He also advocates a federally initiated nation- wide system of guaranteed income for those who cannot be brought within the employment force. Keyserling proposes that full-time unemployment should be reduced to 2 percent and the true level of unemployment to about 3 percent. Knowledge and Technology- - Science The issues. --The issue of science and technology as major change agencies is an important one. The narrowing interval between scientific discovery, technological implementation, and social use has increased the general rate of change. But the moni- toring and accounting procedures for the differential rates of such changes in various sectors of society, and for their short-term and long -term consequences, are presently inadequate. 100 It has been proposed that the measurement of knowledge and technology must be viewed within the context of the shift from an agricultural to an industrial to a postindustrial economy and ctr-4*" _ ..-..a‘r secret}: and an in policies 1 'DFLF f" u \..n0106 512162165 result, v; medium 1 O‘t'erhead lining pr , v :r-70 2" 139 society. 101 The rapid expansion of a professional and technical class in the postindustrial society suggests two new dimensions in social affairs. First, there is a decreasing dependence on money and an increasing dependence on "human capital, " and, second, policies relating to the institutions concerned with knowledge and technology will become the central political questions for society. Daniel Bell defines knowledge as: "a set of organized statements, setting forth a reasoned judgment or an experimental result, which is transmitted to others through some communication medium in some systematic form. . . . it (is part of the social overhead investment of society. "102 Education will become a con- tinuing process for the professional and technical person and it is already becoming the major determinant of the social stratification system ("meritocracy"). The question is also raised that an important source of knowledge-~research in basic natural science--not only is experi- encinga cut in financial support, but also is being subjected to a growing questioning of its role insociety, particularly its relevance to contemporary. social problems. 103 Historically, federal funding, themain source of basic scientific research, hasbeen large rela- tive to the scientific resources available. In the recent past, the supply of funds has leveled off and the scientific establishment has '9’, I. D- co reve .M“ v.» . .1 ”p... G e l 0 e1» Ta h“ ~ g . . Iildr". r. 4 baIvIAh.‘ ‘ _ . w. I .. 1 ..w 140 continued-to grow; the previous relationship, in effect, has been reversed. Scientists andtheir work also have begun to suffer criticisms because of. their associations with the military and with industrial technology, which has polluted the environment. In addition, there has been a shift in priorities to social issues. The result is a serious strain on scientific institutions. Measurement. --The available indicators in the areas of science and technology tend to be quantitative rather than qualitative. The major indicators of scientific activity which are generally available may be classified into three main groups. 1) Labor force: Measurement includes the numbers and types of scientists and engineers, by field; distribution of such personnel in various sectors of industry. government, and education; number of scientists and engineers added annually, for example, the types and numbers of certifica- tions and degrees awarded. 2) Output: This is measured by the volume of communications such as reports and papers and by the number-of discover- ies and inventions . v n .QJ how. a. v a\ u s ab.‘ ‘5 .n. d 141 3) Inputs (expenditures): These are indicated by the distribution of various funds for education, research, and development by source and allocation; and further breakdown by regional and social sector, for example, by state and by type of institution or industry. But other indicators are needed to provide more positive measures of social progress and to warn of the social and environmental effects of new scientific -technical developments. such extended and qualitative indicators will require further integration and interpre - tationinto a comprehensive system of social accounting. 104 Concerning the measurement of knowledge, Bell points out that the generally accepted statement (based on numbers of books inlibraries, numbers of publications, journals, and so forth) that the amount of knowledge is increasing at an exponential rate obscures a more significant fact. The more typical pattern is not just growth of a field, but the creation of new and numerous subdivisions or specialties within fields. 105 Bell also discusses the problems of conceptualizing and measuring technological change in an economic sense and concludes that, "even thoughait is difficult to demonstrate that the 'rate' of technological change has leaped ahead substantially in the past decades, it is undeniable that something substantially new about m3 .5 .... "at l m I‘Ah-A , bl. IMF "Inn! 64“ 142 106 technology has beenintroduced into economic and social history. " His suggested indicators for the evaluation of the postindustrial knowledge society are: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) dimensions of the knowledge class: number of scientists, engineers, and technicians; distribution of scientific personnel by sector (industry, government, university), by function (production, research teaching), and by discipline; forecasting of future college enrollments; institutional structure (the striking facts about the intel- lectual institutions of the society are their dependence on the polity and the degree of concentration of resources-- students and research money-- in a relatively small number of universities); and the allocation of resources--the financial measure of the growth of science and technology-~the expenditures on research and development and its distribution by sector. (The federal government supplies most of the funds, while the work is performed principally by industry, universities and nonprofit organizations). t D .t :h 143 Major policy problems. --Because the postindustrial society, will require more expertise and more social guidance, and because choices will become more conscious and the decision centers more visible, more politics than ever before will be involved. It will have to confront several crucial decisions. (1) By whom, for whom, and how will higher education be financed? (2) How and by whom should the results of research be evaluated? How will the priority decisions be made? (3) Are the best conditions of creativity based on individual efforts or social cooperation? (4) How will technology be transferred from the laboratory into prototypes and production? (5) What is the pace of knowledge and how can teaching keeptabreast of it? (6) How should the strains of change be handled? Among these changes are the inclusion of disadvantaged groups into the society; the growth of interdependence and the creation of national societies; the increasing substitution of political for market decision making; the increase of urbanization and the decline of agriculture population; and the introduction of technological items. All of these stress the need for more consistentmonitoring of social change.107 Themajor policy problems related to technology assessment 108 are: i.e.,YNr)... . .. 9:4 attain 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 144 establishing the criteria for deciding which among all of the new technologies emerging shall be selected for assessment; how inspections, standards and controls shall be established; the extent to which technology assessment shall become an established procedure with increased consideration of second order consequences of technology through all strata of decision making, both private and public; how to reconcile the impact of the possibility of technology' 8 negative consequences with the demand for new technology to ensure economic development. Among other things, 1 this may require acceleration of efforts to develop new technologies and to correct the harmful impact of older te chnologies; the level of support to be furnished basic science in the future; and the types of research priorities selected often are short- term ones resulting from a more rapid expansion of the basic pool of knowledge by permitting science to pursue the internal logic of its own development. 145 In summary, what is needed, and what may in fact be developing, is a forum inwhich the partially conflicting needs for maintaining the integrity of the core of basic research and the practical needs of society are resolved. The Arts The issues. -- The transition to postindustrialism is marked by increasing political concern for the quality of life. The arts, an important determinant of that quality, are affected by this transi- tion in the following ways: growth of mass participation in cultural activities; elaboration of the institutional framework of the arts (such as arts councils, art centers, and the culture industry); formation of a culture lobby; and politicalization. 109 Due to modern technologies of communication and trans- portation, society has easier access to art today. But some forms of art, those involving live performance, are not increasing in proportion to the growth of population and the economy; in some cases they may even be declining absolutely. This can be a serious public problem, both from the viewpoints of art appreciation and practicing art, especially in those cases where a large number of live performances are needed to insure the training and develop- 1 1 ment of artists. 0 «M a..." r-J‘um .. ‘ “_- I .I .. 146 'Measurement. --A cultural data: system is needed to contain and accelerate the rate of change, to provide information for rational policy making in the cultural field, and to assist those out- side the field-in understanding their impact on it. A tentative model is proposedto facilitate the monitoring of qualitative as well as quantitative changes in the arts in contemporary society. Underlying this model is a "restrictive definition of the arts . . . to refer to classical music, opera, dance, theater, the visual arts and literary. output. "1 11 Several variables are suggested by Alvin Toffler. Taken together, these comprise an index of the health of a nation' 8 culture, and methods are proposed for statisti- cally measuring changes in the following variables: (1) copious cultural output; (2) richly varied cultural output; (3) technically outstanding cultural output; (4) excellence in cultural output; (5) contemporaryscreative work as distinguished from the perfor- mance or reproductionof past works; (6) complexity of output; (7) sophisticatedaudiences, growing in size; (8) a vast amateur movement providing a training ground for both artists and audiences; (9) decentralized. institutions of art (museums, theaters, and art centers); (10) artists held in high esteem and-well remunerated; and (11) artists of undoubted genius consistently applauded in other countries around the globe. and QC 9 u ‘ 'i a - ‘1‘:- I’ ‘ ,6. L5. L22 EXT r)- h A 0 fl!5f.m Iris... il'JtiJnc 147 Environment and Urban Conditions The issues. -,-In the United States the problem of a sufficient quantity of raw materials has been superseded by the qualitative (aesthetic, social, and even ethical) aspects of man' s use of the natural environment. 112 Toward Balanced Growth also notes that until recently man' 8 relationship to the environment has beenone of exploration. Concern for the environment generally, was limited to whether or not humanity was exhausting its new inheritance of sources of food, energy, and materials. The current interest in the environment has two new aspects: (1) concern that the limitations the environment places on our activities maynot be on the input side (sources of food, energy, and materials), but on the output side (a place .to dispose. of wastes); and (2) the environment is a complex ecological system in which intervention of an apparently minor sort can, and often does, have far -reaching consequences through a chain of unsuspected 113 reactions . Physical environmental considerations include the quality of air andwater, housing,. landscaping, and transportation and urban patterns that determine the spatial dimensions of life. 114 Daniel Moynihan points out that urban crisis is a characteristic of our times and that it isa concern that tends to increase. 115 148 -Measurement: The physical environment. --Joseph Fisher notes that quantitative physical and economic indicators are available for measuringphysical environment. However, goals and indicators with-respect to the quality of the natural environment are difficult to conceive and aremoredifficult towork with, forseveral reasons: Qualitative matters are highly subjective; major elements of the natural environment such as land, water, and air serve a variety of uses and satisfactions, leading frequently to conflicts among differ- ent users. Compromises and trade -offs have to be made among them; it is not easy to determine from the human or social point of view exactly where to measure environmental quality; quality questions involveinterpersonal, intertemporal, and interregional comparisons. Thus, it is difficult to findgeneral indicators and goals that will hold steady over time; and, finally, services desired from raw materials and the natural environment frequently are jointly produced. 1 16 Despite all these difficulties, there is the need .to know the state of the natural environment. There is no single overall indi- cator of natural environmental quality in sight. Fisher suggests the basic indicator for social welfare probably shouldbe the net social benefits that would result from various selected measures to deal with a specific problem. . Where such estimates seem impossible, . o l ‘ Y' A 0 E W A... A .. . (1.3)....“— 5E1 149 the second-best objective would be the minimization of social costs of selected measures. Because of the interrelatedness of environ- mental pollution problems, the author proposes the concept of the ”environmental problem shed" to take into account the various physical and social problems and indicators within a given area. 1) 2) .3) He concludes with the following summary points: Environmental quality indicators now being used are almost entirely indicators of physical condition and are not as directly relevant or meaningful for social welfare as one would like or as most people seem to think. Probably the basic indicator for social welfare should be one dealing with net social benefits that would result from selected interrelated measures to achieve acceptable levels of air or water quality. The processes by which decisions relating to environmental quality standards and programs are reached need to be given careful attention and should be measured satisfactorily in engineering or economic terms. Furthermore, typically there will be alternatives from which choices have to be -made. 4) 5) 150 Althoughthe qualitative aspects of the natural environment seem more closely related to social welfare, one should not lose sight. of the basic importance of quantities of resource products and services for the "good life" in a great society. Much research and development will be needed, not only on environmental pollution, but also on creating and improving the indicators of the-trends in such pollution and its effect on people. This is a multidisciplinary task. Measurement: Urbanindicators. --According to Daniel Moynihan, urban indicators should report on conditions in three categories: 1) 2) 3) 117 People as individuals: numbers, distribution and density, mobility, employment and income, antisocial behavior (crime data), health, and participation in social institu- tions; Families: unemployment and welfare statistics correla- tions and poverty neighborhood studies; and Institutions: public service and voluntary organizations, business, mass media, education, and urban ecology. 151 To these, Ross Stagner adds psychological indicators. 118 He focuses on the city as a system and argues that objective indi- cators are~limited; inherent factors in the situation demand that subjective-data from those affected by social planning be considered. Stagner hypothesizes that frustrations of desires for status, security, recognition, and self -expression contribute substantially to the hostility and violence found in cities today. Research is required to validate this assertion. A set of psychological urban indicators would focus on the frequency and intensity of satisfaction (or dissatisfaction) with aspects of urban life. The satisfaction and frustration of individuals with urban planning, urban renewal, urban schools, urban trans- portation, hospitals, and police security systems must be measured. Effective use of these indicators will require that they be analyzed in relation to the objective-data already available. If data are sorted'by census tracts or similar'units, it should be feasible to test some hypotheses about urban planning by introducing a change in a restricted areaand measuring any changes in perception and satisfaction which ensue. Major policyproblems. --The following strategy of response 1 1 9 to environmental problems has been suggested: (1) expand our 152 inadequate knowledge of ecological systems; (2) consider our current technological and economic alternatives in the light of long -range ecological balance; and (3) resolve conflicts between our demands for products and services and. the depletion and pollutiongenerated by them. The market mechanism can and should be used as one of the devices for regulating these demands. Government should play a role throughappropriate regulations, taxes, subsidies, and setting of standards. Since environmental problems and their solution are of a global nature, they require cooperation of nations throughout the world. The Distributive Factors Income and Consumption Theissues. "Although-overall income levels are high and are rising, the distribution of income in the United States has remained almost unchanged in the last 20 years. Income is a rough but convenient measure of the goods and services--food, clothing, entertainment, medical care, and so forth--available to a person, 2 a family, or a nation. 1 0 2 The analysis of_consumption focuses onthree broadissues. 1 1 First, America has reached a1 relatively high level of prosperity. Consumption is considered a prime-goal of total economic effort. 153 The abundance has provided more for everyone, but not an equal share for all: there is inequality in income, consumption and assets. In terms of a fixed standard, that is, a given income for a family of a given size, the incidence of poverty has declined. In terms of the simplest of relative standards which relates the lowest incomes to the middle incomes, there has not been such a decline. Second, at any level of income, consumption involves choice: choice of vocation, job location, size of family, selection of goods of desirable quality and price, and choice of profitable investments. The changes in society have affected the choices processes in two ways. (1) The problem of personal choice has been complicated by the increasing degree of specialized knowledge and discretion needed to determine how a growing amount of time and expenditures should be used. This is particularly relevant to the growth, over a long period, in tangible possessions, in financial investments, in the use of credit, in the decrease in working time, in the lengthening of the life span, and in the rapidity with which occupations may become obsolete during one' s working lifetime. (2) There has been a decline in the latitude of individual discretion, resulting mainly from the increase in size of government activity. The proportion of personal income subject to individual discretion has diminished somewhat because of increases in taxes and increases """EJE __ 154 in the size of consumption collectively provided, while the area of public choice has increased. Third, the study of consumer behavior as it affects the economy, especially. those facets of consumer demand that are relevant for production, is important: changes in the timing of consumer investment decisions, particularly for durable goods such as an automobile, accentuate fluctuations in the economy. The anticipation of changes in such decision patterns has become an important area of research on consumer behavior. Measurement. --Recognizing that all the above aspects of consumption require much more information, particularly of a longitudinal sort, Milton Moss cautions against the excess of unselective, irrelevant data gathering 122 Major policy. issues. --At most income levels, and certainly .as income levels rise higher, choices become an important issue of personal, family, and social improvement. For the individual, these choices involve the allocation of time and income for consumption andinvestment, and therallocation of both among the various goods, services, and investments. For the society as a whole the choices involve the allocation of the total effort and resources between pri- vate and public goods and services. Leisure, health, and education 155 involve both personal and public discretionary behavior. Each is differentially distributed among the various social groupings of the population . Leisure The issues. -- There are ambiguities involved in distin- guishing leisure from other major categories of living and in classi- fying and quantifying activities according to categories. To deal with the first problem, distinghishing major categories, Philip Ennis proposes a tripartite division: work, nurturance-maintenance, and . leisure. 1 2 3 Measurement. -- For the problem of classifying and quanti- fying leisure or other categories, Ennis proposes a modular strategy. Three guidelines may help make these classifications more con— sistent. First, the life cycle of the individual or family should be considered (for example, educational activities for the young have the same coercive connotation that work has for adults). Second, natural distinctions of leisure "envelopes" should be maintained where feasible. For example, the weekday, the weekend, the vaca- tion, and retirement are each constrained by different forces and have different meanings. Third, time, activity, or dollars devoted to leisure should be recorded and reported in a detailed form when 156 practical. Leisure then could be seen inits complexity, the components could be aggregatedin different ways for-different purposes. These suggestions help to delimit the field, but do not solve the problem of how to classify an activity. Ennis maintains this must come from a consensus determined either by intuition or empiricism. Present intuition should be clarified and refined by periodic research that will provide a stronger empirical basis for decision. The following units could measure leisure output: (1) Time measures (total amount of leisure available to the country and time budgets of individuals); (2) money measures (aggregate of all con- sumer expenditures for leisure and the dollar budget study of persons or households); and (3) activity measures (study of the indi- vidual' s interests and activities and study of leisure activities themselves through their more or less organized forms). For the measurement of leisure resources, Ennis suggests an assessment of the supply trends in space (land area involved), the capital invested, and the manpower utilized. Ennis believes solution of the final question about the quality. of leisure‘is the most difficult. Even if a precise evalua- tion of that quality could be reached, it would not be enough; the entire-life process-"work, maintenance, and leisure--in all its 157 social contexts, would have to be aggregated first for the individual then for the society. Because all the attempts to find such a "cal- culus of happiness" have failed, Ennis concludes that the ”quality of society' 3 leisure rests on a subjective judgment as to how well our values are being realized in a general way. "124 Health Theissues. --The substantial reduction in the mortality rate over the past 60 years (as measured by life expectancy at birth and by death rates) suggests a great improvement in the health of the general population. But the analysis of death rates also shows that the significant decline has occurred primarily in the younger groups, especially among infants. Although great progress has been made in the prevention of death from infectious diseases, very little has been accomplished in the reduction of mortality resulting from chronic diseases. (Actually, an increase in mortality due .to many chronic diseases has been recorded.) , Healthy life expectancy (life free of disability and institutionalization) seems to have improved somewhat since 1957, but not as greatly as the improve- ment in medical knowledge and standards of living might warrant. For example, citizens of at least 15 nations have longer life expectancies thanAmericans, and Negro Americans have, on the 158 average, about 7 years'less expectancy of a healthy life than whites. 125 The reasons for this situation may be the style of life (lack of exer- cise, smoking, stress), social and economic deprivation and uneven distribution of medical care, and the nation' 3 system of financing medical care (insurance plans included) and the underuse of pro- phyla ctic care . 12 6 Measurement. --It is recognized that mortality data have been useful in identifying certain public health problems and for epidemiological studies, but their uses as an index of health can be criticized except where the infectious diseases are concerned. Several possible indicators of health have been suggested by Iwao Moriyama: (1) those associated with the health status of persons and populations in a given area (vital statistics, nutrition); (2) those related to physical environmental conditions having a more or less direct bearing on the health status of the area under review; (3) those concerned with health services and activities directed to the improvement of health conditions (availability and use of hos - pitals, physicians, and other health personnel); and (4) biochemical and other indicators of "healthiness. "127 If the availability of data is a prerequisite, then a health index would have to include disease and disability; it should be expressed in terms of the demographic characteristics of the 159 population; and it shouldindicate the causes of disability and should be able to adjust to changes or differences in situations. Also needed are clarification on the uses of the health index, and more studies on conceptual problems, especially those relating to a definition of health. None of the existing definitions, including that of the World Health Organization ("a state of complete physical, mental and social well being and not merely the absence of disease and infirmity") is satisfactory for measurement purposes. In the spectrum of optimum health at one extreme and death at the other, they do not specify any criteria to determine where the state of health or disease begins or ends. Major policy problems. -- These issues regarding health remainto be resolved:12 8 1) How much of our resources should be devoted to medical research now and in the future? 2) ~ How can the nation provide health services to encourage preventive care, and which will insure that all persons have access to health services which are reasonably comprehensive ? 160 3) How muchof the nation' 3 health'resources should be used to serve-the various age groups? 4) Can new ways he found to solve the problems of sharp increases in medical care costs? 5) How can public policy reconcile organizations' and indi— viduals' freedom with a redirection of control practices that are harmful to the environment and with an alteration in harmful personal habits and life styles? Education and Learning _The issues. —-There is some evidence of progress toward the goals of assuring the right to an education for all. An increase in the learning force is demonstrated by the explosive increase in school enrollment and in other vocational, technical, andprofes- sional training activities outside the formal educational structure. There also has been a great proliferation of other formal educa- tional activities under a variety of sponsorships (business, libraries, museums, churches, charity groups, and some more informal activities such as those of neighborhoods or other small groups). Other indications are the increasing number of teachers, rising educational expenditures, changing methods of teaching, and the 161 increasingaverage number of years of schooling. 129 Learning and education for the poor-show less encouraging results, and socially and economically disadvantaged groups systematically. learn less. Educationihas an important role in providing people with the knowledge and skills necessary to manage change and complexity. 130 In the past, going to school was equated with education, and the-role of schooling was to transmit information and traditional values. Today' 8 society is changing so rapidly that a new orientation is demanded of the-schools. They should be relevant to the needs of theistudent, that is, they should treat him as anindividual and teach him to deal with. contemporary problems, and institutions of higher learning must help solvethe present problems of society. Measurement. --An understanding of the. educational process and how to evaluate it must be developed. It is further required that an experimental posture toward innovation in education be developed which will reflect the present basic uncertainty as to how to go about solving the many problems which the educational system faces. Several questions about education remain unanswered. New indicators must bedeveloped which take into consideration the wide variety of goals as well as the changes in definitions and emphasis of those goals. There is need for both qualitative and quantitative 162 data. Although some quantitative indicators exist (educational opportunities, quantity of education), the data disclose little about the quality of the educational system or its products. New indicators relating to educational opportunities, the quality of. education, funda - mental human behavior, and political and economic behavior are needed. The responsibility for developing them must be shared by public and private interests-~government, business, educators, labor unions, and» civic and community groups. In addition to these, Beverly Duncan. suggests that future top priority should be given to a better arrangement of data'collected under existing programs,132 For example, data might be rearranged to examine the progression. of successive peer groups through the school system. The second priority would be the increase in size of the sample surveyed periodically with : respect to enrollment status and grades completed. Equality, Freedom, and Justice Under the general heading of equality, freedom, and justice are included several topics on poverty, inequality and conflict, discrimination, social mobility, social breakdown and crime, and participation. 1 163 Ifoverty, discrimination, stratification, and mobility: The issues. --It is argued that poverty in high -income societies is more thanincome insufficiency: it refers to a relativedeprivation and to the more disturbingissue of inequality. 134 The principal cause of the decline in the number of people that have incomes below the poverty line has been the increase in earnings. . But some of the poor are unable to work because they are too young, too old, dis- abled, or otherwise prevented from doing so. They would not, therefore, be directly helped by increasedlevels of wages and earnings in the economy as awhole. The patterns of present pro- grams (social insurance, public assistance, minimum wage, and job training programs) and a discussion of new proposals for solutions to the welfare crisis have been analyzed in the literature. The con- clusion reached is that there is no simple, single answer or a magic solution .to the problems of poverty and economic security. Closely related to the problem of poverty is the problem of discrimination. Otis Duncan, proposing a- concept of discrimina- tion, notes that what we really want is freedom from the-results of discrimination, but since we can only measure, orinfer, some of theseresults, the goal might be‘better stated as freedom. of full participation. 1 3 164 The functions of. indicators to measure fullness of participationof minorities in American society can be best under- stood in relation to the socioeconomic life cycle. 136 Life chances V Farii‘ily background Schooling >, Level of living Job > Health, welfare Income > Status, acceptance Expenditures > Satisfaction, morale This scheme assumes that the circumstances of the family orienta- tion (size, structure, socioeconomic status, stability, and so forth) provide a set of initial conditions whose effects are transmitted through subsequent stages of attainment and achievement. Schooling, job, income, and expenditures are the ”distributive variables. " The term nonwhite includes a variety of minorities, but because of the lack of comparable data on other groups, the author limits his analysis to the Negro minority. Data for Negroes, in particular, reveal the operation of two types of disadvantages: those common to all. members of society subject to disadvantages of background or misfortune, and those specific .to the minority status. Negroes are also discriminated against in the job market. Limitations on credit andless access to markets give those Negroes 165 at the same incomelevel as some whites less buying power. Even if a Negro attains educational and occupational achievements and levels of living and. welfare comparable to whites, his social status is not the same. Duncan also has studied the problems of stratification and mobility in the United States. His conceptual orientation is that "the degree of rigidity in the stratification system . . . refers to the extent to which the level of status achievement depends upon the social origin. If there is much intergenerational transmission of status, a society is highly stratified, if there is little, the degree of stratification is low. "137 Duncan' 3 analysis, although—limited by the available data andits own shortcomings, provides a partial answer to the question of the rigidity of the stratification system in the United States. Since the relationship betweenfather' s and son' 3 occupational status has remained positively related, then, at least for white males, the data suggest that no change has occurred .in therigidity of the stratification system between 1910 and 1950, and that the same probability would be valid through 1966. Analysis of the available data also shows that Negroes have muchless occupational mobility thanwhites. Their opportunity seems .to be restricted to a very great extent by current race 166 discrimination andother factors specifically related to race. In addition to the handicaps in background that arise out of past dis - crimination and that limit opportunities, the Negro also continues to obtain less reward for his qualifications than hetwould if he were white. 138 Poverty, discrimination, stratification, and mobility: Measurement. --Consistent with the conceptualization presented above that poverty should be viewed as a social condition, and that income alone is an inadequate indicator of the standard of living, six dimensions are Proposed for the measurement of well -being:139 1) Income: its level, stability, and source; 2) Assets: housing, consumers' durables, savings, and insurance; 3) Basic services: health, neighborhood amenities, trans- portation, and legal and social services; 4) Education and social mobility: expenditure data, quality of the output, and intergenerational social mobility rates; 5) Political position: voting, representation, quality of treatment, rights and grievances, membership in 167 organizations and associations that represent the interests of individuals, and feeling of powerlessness; and 6) . Status and satisfaction: occupational prestige, community stratification, index of income stigma, degree of acceptance of self, agreeability of self -image, satisfaction with life, and individuals" perceptions of inequalities in each of these six dimensions. For the measurement of participation of minorities in the society, it is proposed that a better evaluation of the two groups of handicaps sta-ted in the conceptual orientation, "initial conditions" and "dis- tributive variables, " is necessary if efficient methods of inducing change are to be found, 140 Duncan suggests that any real change in the degree of stratification or in correlations between variables implicated in the process of stratification can be detected. However, the change must be, large enough and there must be a rigorous standardization of concepts, scales, and survey techniques. - He proposes replica- tion of previous studies so as .to detect the changes, if any, in the degree of stratification. Among these studies are Occupational Changes in a Generation Survey, The phicago Six -Cities Survey of Labor vMobilitr , replication and extension of Rogoff' 3 study for 168 Marion county, and-also recovering and recording schedules of ad hoc measurements of intergenerational mobility that have been made in connection with other studies. 141 Social breakdown and crime: The issues. --Some of the present social problems have been analyzed and interpreted from another perspective. Nathan Goldman points out that reports from a variety of sources state that American society is breaking down morally and socially. 142 Indicators of this are those forms of behavior‘which deviate from the accepted norms of the Judaeo- Christian culture (drug addition, alcoholism, prostitution, gambling, divorce, venereal disease, illegitimacy, poverty, homosexuality, crime, riots, racial discrimination, and so forth). I Analyzing some of the statistics available, Goldman con- cludes that it is difficult to indicate the extent of the problem or its trend in relation to past periods. Lack of data, the unclear and varying definitions of the indicators of socialbreakdown underlying existing data, and the differential reporting at various levels explain the difficulties. Furthermore, some of the problems seem to be more or less socially sanctioned adjustments to strainsin the social system rather than maladjustments in themselves. Many of these strains result from restrictions, confusion, and inadequacy 169 in role performance. To attain the goal of maximizing the social health of American society, we must consider these problems as indicators of strain and focus our national resources on their reduction. One of the problems of social breakdown that has received quite a lot of attentionin the literature is that of crime. Albert Biderman uses crime to illustrate both the difficulties in obtaining good operational definitions as a basis .for‘measurement and the shortcomings of available'statistics. 143 According to Daniel Glaser, 144 some general formulation of crime and delinquency reduction goals is possible and sound estimates can be made as to the progress toward these goals. His proposed procedure considers the various types of offense under the label of crime (as will be seen on page '171). The burden of crime is uneven:145 it is concentrated among the poor. Both criminals and victims are more likely to be residents of the poverty areas of central cities than of suburbs and rural areas. Many of those residents in the urban ghettoes are Negroes. Negroes have much higher arrest rates than whites, but it is less widely known that Negroes also have higher rates of victimization than whites of any income group. Youngpeople commit a disproportionate share of crimes. Part of the recent increase in crime rates can be attributed to the 170 growing proportion of young people in the population, but the propensity of youth to commit crimes appears to be increasing. How could crime be prevented? Fear of apprehension and punish- ment may deter some crime, and the crime rate in a neighborhood drops with more intensive policing. But crime and disorder tend to center among young peOple in ghetto areas, where the prospects for legitimate and socially useful activity are poorest. It seems unlikely that stronger punishment, a strengthening of public prose- cutors, or more police can, by themselves, prevent either individual crime or civil disorder. Opportunities for the poor and their attitudes toward the police and the law also must change before the problems can be solved. Social breakdown and crime: Measurement. --Nathan Goldman suggests the need to improve the collection of data on the indicators of social strain and to devise new ones; these would identify and locate situations which interfere with the ideal function- ing of the social system. 146 A significant aspect of social break- down is seen in the inability of the society to mobilize for an attack on situations which it considers undesirable. Standard definitions or criteria of social problems must be established; the scope and accuracy. of data collection must be increased. Information -gathering 171 on the local or state level needs to be coordinated on a nation -wide basis. Glaser suggests that the procedure for measuring the prevalence of crime should be based on the type of offense:147 1) 2) 3) 4) predatory crime, or acts which have a definite and intended victim. This type is most readily counted because the victim generally reports the offense; illegal service crimes are acts which involve a relation- ship between a criminal and his customer (for example, narcotics, gambling, prostitution). These are not counted readily, because both parties share an interest in not reporting the offense; public disorder crimes also lack a specific victim in most cases. These are crimes only when performed before an audience that is offended or is likely to be offended (drunkness, vagrancy, and so forth); and crimes of negligence usually involve an unintended victim (such as automobile driving infractions). Each of these four types poses different problems in the specifica— tion of goals and indicators. Further complication arises from the 172 tendency for crimes to be defined differently. In practice crimes are defined according to the status of both the offender and his victim, customer, or audience. After analyzing each of the four types the author suggests that the assessment of the effectiveness of police, court, and con- ventional agency programs requires crime statistics different from those collected to estimate the incidence of crime. Long -term data on criminal careers, for example, would enable comparison of the subsequent criminality of similar offenders who receive dif- ferent kinds of correctional treatment. The formulationof crime reduction goals also should consider the difficult problem of crime definitions and the social costs of crime control actions. Because of the multiplicity of the data sources and scope of perspective necessary for suchdiversified measurements, the author recom- mends that the primary responsibility should be inthe hands of a single national agency. It would be assisted by the many other agencies at the national, state, andlocal level now oriented to segments of this task. Participation: The issues. --Another topic that has inter- ested the authors is that of politics and political participation. Analyzing the topic from a broad viewpoint, Joyce and William Mitchell view the political system "as a functional element of the 173 wider, more inclusive-society engaged in a variety of valued activities. "148 They find it represents a paradox of stability and change. The United States has created and preserved one of the most stable sets of political structure ever known: it has the oldest operative written constitution, the oldest continuous two -party system, and the oldest recurrent set of peaceful elections in world history. The original Constitution still defines the basic structure of the government, but 15 amendments and subsequent interpretation and implementation have brought about important changes and adaptations. Political life has become both more centralized and decentralized (greaterfederal and state activities) both in defining problems and establishing public offices. The increasing-complexity of governmental practices is exemplified by the proliferation of more elective offices, administrative units, boards, and commis- sions, across all levels and different geographic jurisdictions. Public -private cooperation has become widespread. As the polity has grown in size and complexity, official functions have become more specialized and professionalized. Political participation, as measured by voting, involves only two- thirds of the eligible electorate. On the other hand, highly 174 organized associations or interests groups and political parties and campaignorganizations increasingly have become the major factors in political life. This bureaucratization of interests is a primary political means of achieving policy and other public ends, but not all segments. of society have‘been, or are, organized into equally powerful organizations. (According to the Mitchells, the most organized are business, labor, and professional interests, in that order.) As a result of bureaucratization, groups have become more impersonal and more distant from their membership. Far from having decentralized decision units, the elites make the choices. They, are constrained to please their constituents only to the extent that they fear-losing their own positions. The Mitchells point out that the exclusion, through willful- ness or apathy, of about one -third of the electorate may be inter- pretedas a symptom of division and alienation. Policy preferences and demands of the citizenry still can be voiced, but rarely in the direct fashionof personal participation. The American activists of today do not seem to have given up entirely the right to protest, but as the authors point out, their alternatives of political action (demon- strations, sit-ins, rioting) are not new. However, the methods and the extent of their usage in this country are new and still are considered "marginal" by_the most conservative elements of the society. 175 The Mitchells speculate on the future process of resolution for the present conflicts and suggest the possibility of a cyclical pattern of behavior: individual protest, accommodation or repres - sion, increased agitation, increasing amounts of organized effort, formation of formal organizations, negotiation and compromises with more established private organizations and governments, internal divisions and protests by members as the original move- ments become establishment -oriented, and then routiniz ed bureau - cratic participation in political life as success is taken for granted. The authors contend that the government has an increasing impact onthe lives of American citizens and that this can be sup- ported by objective evidence (rather than the subjective feelings) of the citizens. They illustrate this both by an analysis of the citizens' role in supporting the system through taxation and subsidies and of theregional share of government expenditures. The issue of electoral participation was analyzed by Richard Scammon, on the basis of the report of the Kennedy Com- mission on Registration and Voter Participation, the 1964 Current Population Survey of the Bureau of Census and other data. 149 He notes that Americans participate less in national elections than do the citizens of many 'other democratic states, and the voter turnout varies greatly as measured by social class, geographic areas, sex, age, and other criteria. 176 The. low turnout is explained by understanding two basic groups of nonvoters. One is limited by such obstacles as citizen- ship, registration and absentee voting requirements, racial and religious inequalities, and administrative regulations for voting times andlocations. The other group includes those who meet legal and administrative requirements but "lack involvement. " Women vote less than men; young people less than the middle -aged. Socioeconomic status also affects lack of involvement, as does importance of the election, closeness of the race, and competitive- ness of the political atmosphere. Noting that voter participation is a dubious goal, the author suggests that perhaps the effort should be to increase access to the polls by elimination or changing of the legal and administrative barriers to voluntary voting. Participation has been studied in a broader context by Sidney Verba. - He defines democratic participation as the "process by which citizens influence or control those who make major decisions affecting them. ”150 Participation is important because it represents a general value in this society. Although it is often thought of as a means to some other end, it is an end in itself because it enhances the individual' s self -esteem and feeling as a citizen. Furthermore, the more the government does in relation to the life of a society, the higher the stakes of political participation. 177 The author discusses several problems of participation, including the problems of scale (the individual' 3 participation in relation to the size of the decisional unit); the problem of technical complexity (consequent need for specialized agencies and technical expertise); and the problem of inequalities in participation. Participation: Measurement. -- For participation in gen- eral, and political participation and electoral participation in 151 particular, the following topics are proposed for further research: (1) membership in organizations; (2) more comprehensive analysis of electoral behavior; (3) more systematic, continuous accounts of "non ~legitimate" forms of political action (riots, evasions of or resistance tolaws, brutality and violence between officials and citizenry, and other such efforts at coercion, disruption, evasion and pressure); (4) more research on political communication, sources, channels, volume, and ultimate distribution or reception; (5) more systematic surveys of citizen -government transactions beyond electoral participation; and (6) a great deal more basic conceptualization onmeasuringpolicy outputs of American govern- ments. Further definitions and measures are needed for public "goods" in the terms of their final goals or consequences, such as security, welfare, benefits, burdens, and satisfactions. 178 Social Indicators: The Present State of the Art The review of the literature illustrates the "social information explosion" noted by Gross. But reviewed as a whole, the literature lacks consistency and integration. The general approach makes a positive contribution to the problem of initial conceptualizations, but the efforts are not translated into opera— tional definitions facilitating measurement or into specific measurement proposals. The specific areas approachconcentrates mostly on the specific statistics needed, but very often lacks the basic conceptual context within which these statistics gain meaning. The lack of some common format in the several papers and articles also is regrettable. The proposed three areas of review (issues, measurement, and major policy problems) are not balanced because they were not given equal consideration by the various authors. The overall impression is one of the immaturity of the stateof the art. The main problems seem to be in moving from level .to level: (1) from the general formulation of a societal model to the conceptualization of the specific areas of concern; (2) from the conceptualization of the specific areas of concern to the opera- tional definitions of the variables to be measured; (3) from the operational definitions of the variables to the adequate choice of 179 measurements;152 and (4) from. the indicators to some process of policy planning to which they are relevant. 153 Most of the authors seem: well aware of these problems. Some of those using the specific areas approach make methodological suggestions for those areas that actually are measurement requirements of general applicability. 154 The suggested guidelines for a comprehensive study of social indicators include conceptual framework, data, and policy planning. The major elements of each is described below. Conceptual Framework: a. conceptual orientation that will lead to criteria for -measurement, b. standardization of categories, 0. specificity of categories, and (1. complete categories embodying all variables and elements that impinge upon the quality of life. Data a. location or'creation of data pertinent to the needs of the conceptual framework, b. disaggregation of data (data should be as specifically local as resources permit, but also should allow aggregation for a truly national set of indicators), c. correlation of data (data should report the correla- tion between phenomena: what unit, which people, and how many of them are doing what under known social conditions), 180 d. availability of comparable data for‘successive periods of time so that intertemporal differences can be taken to signify change rather than mere fluctuations in errors of measurement or variation in study design, and e. inspectionof the intertemporal comparisons for evidence of secular trends or other identifiable temporal patterns. Policy Planni_ng_: a. the data should be relevant to some coherent national process of policy planning, which is necessary to establish the relationships of social indicators to some national or societal objectives, goals, and so forth, and b. the use to which social indicators are put for policy making is important in terms of inferring, interpreting, analyzing, and evaluating (thus the several suggestions for multiplicity of data source, for apolitical or "panpolitical" data, and so forth). The important conclusion from this review seems to be that despite restrictionson both the conceptualization and measure- ment of social indicators, and despite the relative'immaturity of the present state of the art, social indicators soon will be part of the information base for decision making. As seenin the literature review, the authors have been very critical of the methodological basis of existing data. Never- theless, some of them have tried to apply better conceptual frame- works to the analysis of that data and have reached many new 181 conclusions and raised many interesting questions. It is to be expected that researchers' interest in pursuing studies of social indicators with better methodological tools will be greatly stirnu- lated. As a matter of fact, many private institutions and govern- mental agencies already are involved in the investigation of social indicators and social reporting. Althoughinthe present state of the art there is no agree- ment about what the indicators are, how they are to be measured, and what activities lead to changes in these indicators, the review implies that agreement may be possible in the future. The review also indicates that what began with considerations for the quality of life in terms "of hard or soft data, quantitative or qualitative data, ordinal or cardinal, "155 is evolving more and more into the idea of quantitative data of alongitudinal nature, eXpressed in statistical series. Furthermore, whether or not the best indicators, the best conceptualization, or the best measurements are used, the emergence of quantitative social indicators and a periodic social report will have a broad impact. The final component of a social report is the recommendation for national goals and policies. Implicit in the idea of evaluating the quality of life is the idea of directing social change through the sound choice of government policies. It is here 182 that the nexus between-informationfrom social indicators and . corporationdecision making becomes clear: social indicators both will reflect and guide government policies, and these, in turn, will influence the corporation. This is the basic idea which underlies this dissertation. 183 Chapter 3 Footnotes 1Daniel Bell, "The Idea of a Social Report, " Public Interest 15 (Spring 1969): 72 -84. Bell cites the work of J. C. L. Simonde de Sismondi, New Principles of Political Economy, published in 1819; Arthur C- Pigou, Economics of Welfare, published in 1920, and Karl W. Kapp, The Social Costs of Private Enterprise, pub- lished in 1950. ZBertram M. Gross and Michael Springer, "A New Orien- tation in American Government, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 371 (May 1967), 1-19. 3Wilbur J. Cohen, "An Introductory Commentary, " preface .to Toward a Social Report (Ann Arbor, Mich. : The University of MichiganPress, 1970), p. v. 4 Cohen, "Commentary, " p. vi. 5Gross and Springer, "New Orientation, " p. 8. 6Ibid. 7Raymond A. Bauer, ed, Social Indicators (Cambridge, Mass.: The M.I.T. Press, 1966). 8This was later published separately as a book withthe same title, London Tavistock Publications, Ltd. , 1966. 9Bertram M. Gross, "The Social State of the Union, " Trans-Action (November-December 1965), pp. 14-17. This article led Thorsten Sellin, editor of THE ANNALS, to suggest that an issue of the publication be devoted to the subject of social indicators. Two issues-were published in 1967, "Social Goals and Indicators for American Society," Vol. I, May 1967, Vol. 11, September 1967, and one-in March 1970: "Political Intelligence for America' 8 Future. " 10 Cohen, "Commentary, " p. vi. 184 1"To improve our ability to chart our progress, I have asked the Secretary to establish within his office the resources to develop the necessary social statistics and indicators to supplement those prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Council of Economic Advisors. With these yardsticks, we can better measure the distance we have come and plan for the way ahead. " 12U. S. , Department of Health, Education and Welfare, Toward a Social Report (Washington, D. C. : U. S. Government Printing Office, 1969). Alice Rivlin and Mancur Olson, Jr. , worked with the several drafts of the document. 13 For a different view of the constraints and problems in the preparation of the Report see Lewin' s harsh comments. Arthur Lewin, The Satisficers (New York: The McCarl Publishing Co. , 1970). 14Eleanor B. Sheldon and Wilbert E. Moore, eds. , Indi- cators of Social Change: Concepts and Measurements (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1968). 15Daniel Bell, ed. , Toward the Year 2000 (New York: Houghton Mifflin, 1968). The commission' 3 work is similar in scope to various other long -range studies: Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener, The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty —Three Years (New York: McMillan, 1967f and Bertrand de Jouvenel' s Futuribles project in Paris, The Art of Conjecture (New York: Basic Books, 1967). See also Robert Jungk and Johan Galtung, eds. , Mankind 2000 (London: Allen and Unwin, 1969). 6Gross and Springer, "New Orientation, " p. 10. 17President' 8 Commission on National Goals, Goals for 1h; Americans: Programs for Action in the Sixties (Englewood Cliffs, N. J. : Prentice Hall, 1960). 18Albert D. Biderman, "Social Indicators and Goals, " in Bauer, ed. , Social Indicators, pp. 68-153. 19Office of the White House Press Secretary, "Statement by the President on the Establishment of a National Goals Research Staff, " 13 July 1969. 185 2 0National Goals Research Staff, Toward Balanced Growth: Quantity with Quality (Washington, D. C. : U. S. Government Printing Office, 1970). 21Nestor E. Terleckyj, "Measuring Possibilities of Social Change, " Looking Ahead 18, no. 6 (August 1970): 1-10, and "The Role of Efficiency in Achieving National Goals, " paper presented to the Annual Meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chicago, Ill. , , 29 December 1970. 22Dwight A. Ink, "Statement Before the Special Sub- Committee on Evaluation and Planning of Social Programs of the Senate Committee on Labor and Public Welfare" on S. 5, "The Full Opportunity and National Goals and Priorities Act, " mimeo supplied by the author. 23Office of Management and Budget Statistical Policy, "Social Indicators, " Draft no. 6, June 1971. See also Daniel B. Tunstall, "Developing a Social Statistics Publication, " paper pre- sented at the 1970 Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Asso- ciation, Detroit, Mich. , 27 December 1970. In this paper only five areas of social concern are mentioned: health, public safety, legal justice, education, and employment and income. 2‘JESee, for example, Irma Adelman and Cynthia Taft Morris, Society Politics and Economic Development (Baltimore, Md.: The John Hopkins Press, 1967); Frederick H. Harbison, Joan Maruhnic and Jane R. Resnick, Quantitative Analysis of Modernization and Development (Princeton, N. J. : Princeton» Uni- versity, 1970). See also the issue of the Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 393, ”Social Information for Developing Countries" (January 1971). 25Donald V. McGranahan, "Analysis of Socio —Economic Development Through a System of Indicators, " Annals of the Ameri- can Academy of Political and Social Science 393 (January 1971): 66. 26Jay W. Forrester, Industrial Dynamics (Cambridge, Mass.: The M.I.T. Press, 1961); and Jay W. Forrester, Prin- ciples of Systems (Cambridge, Mass.: Wright-Allen Press, 1968). 27Dennis L. Meadows, "World Simulation--An Approach to World Planning, " The MBA (April 1971), pp. 42 -46. 186 28Meadows, "World Simulation. " See also: Jay W. Forrester, "Counterintuitive Behavior of Social Systems, " Tech- nol_ogy Review 73 (January 1971): 53 —68; and Jay W. Forrester, World Dynamics (Cambridge, Mass.: Wright-Allen Press, 1971). 9Bauer, Social Indicators. 30Bertram M. Gross, "The State of the Nation: Social System Accounting, ” in Bauer, ed. , Social Indicators, pp. 154-271. 31Biderman, "Social-Indicators, " pp. 68- 153. 2Sheldon and Moore, Indicators. 3Educational Policy Research Center, ”Toward Master Social Indicators " (unpublished memorandum), Stanford Research Institute (Menlo Park, Calif., 1969). 34Amitai Etzioni, ”Toward a Theory of Societal Guidance, " in Sarajane Heidt and Amitai Etzioni, eds. , Societal Guidance: A New Approach to Social Problems (New York: Thomas Y. Crowell Co. , 1969). See also: Amitai Etzioni, ”Short-cuts to Social Change?, " Public Interest 12 (Summer 1968): 40 -51. 35Amitai Etzioni and Edward W. Lehman, "Some Dangers in Valid Social Measurement, " Annals of the American Academy of Political Science 373 (September 1967): 1-15. 6Toward a Social Report. 37Towa rd Balanced Growth. 8Terleckyj, "Measuring Possibilities." 9Raymond A. Bauer, "Detection and Anticipation of Impact: The Nature of the Task, " in Bauer, ed. , Social Indicators, p. 1. 40Sheldon and Moore, Indicators, p. 4. 41Toward a Social Report, p. 97. 2”Toward Master Social Indicators, " p. 12. it'll-D p Jiflwvlnlfi. 187 43Gross, "State of the Nation. " 44Ibid., p. 183. 451mm,, p. 185. 461bid., pp. 264-65. 7"Toward Master Social Indicators. " 48Ibid., p. 15. 49Ibid., p. 7.. 50 Adrian B. Ryans, "Developing a Rational System of Social Indicators, " unpubl. paper, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, 1970, p. 6. 1Toward a Social Report. See also: Mancur Olson, Jr. , "The Plan and Purpose of a Social Report, " Public Interest 15 (Spring 1969): 85-97. 52Toward a Social Report, p. 100. 53mm, p. 101. 4Towa rd Balanced Growth. 55Ibid., pp. 5-6. 561bid.. p. 33. 57Leonard A. Lecht, Goals, Priorities and Dollars: The Next Decade (New York: The Free Press, 1966). 58Terleckyj, "Measuring Possibilities. " 591bido 1 ppo 2‘3. 60Ibid. 61Terleckyj, "The Role of Efficiency. " 188 621bid., p. 16.. 63Nestor E. Terleckyj, "Measuring Output of Government Activities, " paper presented at the International Conference on Income and Wealth, Ronneby, Sweden, 29 August 1971, p. 25. 4Biderman, "Social Indicators. " 651bid., p. 24. 66Sheldon and Moore, Indicators. 7Some of the same restrictions are expressed in Toward a Social Report, pp. 96 -97. A large part of our existing social statistics are excluded from the category of social indicators since they are records of inputs; they do not indicate whether things effectively improved. The main shortcomings of the existing sta- tistical system are: (1) many of our statistics on social problems are merely a by -product of the informational requirements of routine management; (2) the decisions about what statistics should be collected are ad hoc. A series of more or less independent decisions, however intelligent, may not provide the most coherent and useful system of statistics. 68 Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, p. 10. 9 Etzioni and Lehman, ”Some Dangers. " 7olbid.. p. 2. 71On indexing, see Iwao M. Moriyama, "Problems in the Measurement of Health Status, " in Sheldon and Moore, Indicators, pp. 573 -600. Analyzing the need for an overall index of healthand the difficulties of deriving it, Moriyama suggests that an index should have certain properties: ; (1) it should be meaningful and understandable; (2) it should be sensitiveto variations in the phe- nomenon being measured; (3) the assumptions underlying the index should be theoretically justifiable and intuitively reasonable; (4) it should consist of clearly defined component parts; (5) each compo- nent should make an independent contribution to variations in the phenomenon being measured; and (6) the index should be derivable from data that are available or quite feasible to obtain. 189 2Thesame kindof restrictions are made by Terleckyj. Arguing that there has been a failure of both demand and supply . statistics for social fields, the author states that "the existing statistical systems in the social field do not adequately serve the needs, either of scholarship or of policy making for measuring and analysis of social changes in the United States. " Nestor E. Ter- leckyj,. ”Data Systems for Measuring Social Change, " paper present- ed at the 1970 Business and Economic Statistics Section, Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, mimeo supplied by author. 73Michael Springer, "Social Indicators, Reports and Accounts: Toward the Management of Society, " Annals of the Ameri- can Academy. of Political and Social Science 388 (March 1970): 1 -13. 74Quoted in ibid. , p. 12. 758pringer, "Social Indicators, ” p. 12. 7 6Ibid. , p. 13. This idea seems consistent with the ideas espoused by Daniel Bell concerningthe emergence of a new class as required by the postindustrial society. His ideas will be reviewed in more detail later in this chapter under "Technology. " 77Mancur Olson, Jr. , "An Analytic Framework for Social Reporting and: Policy. Analysis, " Annals of the Academy of Political and Social Science 388 (March1970): 112 -126. 78Ibid., p. 126. 9Biderman, "Social Indicators, " p. 102. 0Daniel Bell also sponsors the view that the responsibility for a Social Report must rest with the government, "becauseonly the government has theresources to maintain such a large -scale effort and because onlya government report has the independence and authority to commandattention and become the basis of policy. " Bell, "Social Report, " p. 83. For the defense of a multiplicity of data source see, for example, three articles in Annals of the AmericanAcademy of Political Science 371: (May 1967): Gross and Springer, "Newfirien- tation, "pp. 13 -14; Otis Dudley Duncan, "Discrimination Against Negroes, " pp. 95-96; and Daniel Glaser, "National Goals and Indicators for the Reduction of Crime and Delinquency, " p. 126. 190 1Cohen, "Commentary, " and Ink, "Statement. " 82Gross, "State of the Nation, " pp. 268-69. 3Sheldon and Moore, Indicators. 4Gross, "Social State. ” 8E’Toward a social Report. 6Towa rd Balanced Growth. 87Conrad Taueber, "Population Trends and Characteristics, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 27-74. 8Toward Balanced Growth. 8 9Ibid . 0Taueber, "Population. " ”William J. Goode, "The Theory and Measurement of Family Change, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 295-348. 92 Toward Balanced Growth. 93A. W. Sametz, ”Production of Goods and Services, the Measure of Economic Growth, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, p. 77. 94Towa rd Balanced Growth. 95Sametz, ”Production. " 96Toward Balanced Growth. 97LeontH- Keyserling, "Employment and the 'New Econom- ics, ' " Annals of the Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September 1967): 102 -119. , 98Stanley Lebergott, "Labor Force and Employment Trends, " in-Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 97 -143, 9Keyserling, "Employment. " 191 100John McHale, "Science, Technology and Change, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September-1967): 120-140. 01Daniel Bell, "The Measurement of Knowledge and Technology, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 145 -246. 102 Ibid., pp. 161, 163. 1 03Towa rd Balanced Growth. 104McHale, "Science. ” 105Bell, "Measurement. " 106mm,, p. 180. 107Ibid. 108 Toward Balanced Growth. Technology assessment is the-label givenin Congress to a set of procedures to aid Congress in making decisions for the orderly introduction of new technology and theevaluationof technology already in use. . However, it is better viewed as a, manifestation of a. larger phenomenon of a decreasingwillingness of both the public and its representatives to accept the undesirable effects of things done in the name of progress. See: U. S. , Congress, House, Committee on Science and Astronautics, A Study of Technoggy Assessment. Report of the Committee on-Public Engineering Policy (Washington, D. C. : U. S. Government Printing Office, 1969); U.S. , Congress, House, Com- mittee onScience and Astronautics, A Technolcgy Assessment System for the ExecutiveBranch. Report of the National Academy of Public Administration (Washington, D. C. : Government Printing Office, 1970); Harvey Brooks and Raymond Bowers, "The Assess- ment of Technology, " Scientific American 222, no. 2 (February . 1970): 13-20; and James D. Carroll, "Participatory Technology, " Science 171 (February1971): 647-53. 109Alvin Toffler, "The Art of Measuring the Arts, " Annals of the American Academy of Political Science 373 (September 1967): T41 ~155. 110Toward a Social Report. lll‘fief, .JIII 1,1. ...1: I94.“ 192 111Toffler, ”Art of Measuring, " p. 146. 112Joseph L. Fisher, "The Natural Environment," Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (May 1967): 127-140. See also: Boyd Collier, Measurement and Environ- mental Deterioration, Research Monograph no. 34 (Austin: Bureau Kf Business Research, University. of Texas, 1971). 113Toward Balanced Growth. 114Toward a Social Report. 115Daniel P. Moynihan, "Urban Conditions: General, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 371 (May 1967): 159-177. See also: Barry Gottehrer, "Urban Condi- tions: New York City, " ibid. , pp. 141 -158; and Jay W. Forrester, Urban Dynamics (Cambridge, Mass.: The M.I.T. Press, 1969). 116 Fisher, "Environment. " 1 17Moynihan, "Urban Conditions. " 8Ross Stagner, "Perceptions, Aspirations, Frustrations and Satisfaction, An Approach to Urban Indicators, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 388 (March1970): 59-68. 1 19Toward Balanced Growth. 120Toward a Social Report, p. 41. 2 1 1Milton-Moss, "Consumption: A Report on Contemporary Issues, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 449 -523. 1ZZIbid. 123PhilipH. Ennis, "The‘Definition and Measurement of Leisure, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, pp. 525-72. 124Ibid., p. 566. 125 . . Toward a Somal Report; and Iwao M. Moriyama, "Problems. " See also Philip‘R. Lee, "Health and'Well Being, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September 1967'V 193-207. ‘. your-III” 193 126Toward a Social Report. 12 7Moriyama, "Problems. " 128Toward a Social Report. 129Wilbur J. Cohen, "Education and Learning, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September 1967): 79~101; and Beverly Duncan, "Trends in Output and Distribution of Schooling, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indi- cators, pp. 601-719. See also Toward a Social Report. 1 30Toward Balanced Growth. 1 3 1Cohen, "Education. " 2 13 Duncan, "Trends. " 133At first sight it may seem a rather broad range of issues to be included under the same heading. But they all refer to the basic questions of whether goals have been achieved in a democratic or totalitarian way, and of whether there is harmony in society. The questions of individual freedom, of civil rights, the sense of belonging, equality and justice (justice in courts, access and redress in large organizations) are basic to a democratic society. As is clearly stated in Toward a Social Report, p. 79, at present, one can no more than ask the right questions, hoping to encourage the develop- ment of the needed data in the future. See Milton Konvitz, "Civil Liberties, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 371 (May 1967): 38-58. 1343. M. Miller, Martin Reed, Pamela Roby, and Bertram M. Gross, "Poverty, Inequality and Conflict, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September 1967.): 16-52. See also: Eli Cox, "What Is Poverty? Who Are the Poor?, " Busi- ness Topics 19, no. 3 (Summer 1971): 5-10,‘ and Eli Cox, "Poverty and Demand, " Business Topics 19, no. 4 (Autumn 1971): 25-32. 135 Duncan, "Discrimination, " p. 86. 136Ibid., p. 87. 194 137Otis Dudley Duncan, "Social Stratificationand Mobility Problems in the Measurement of Trend, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds., Indicators, p. 696. 138Toward a Social Report, p. 15. 139Miller et a1. , ”Poverty. " 0 Duncan, "Social Stratification. " 141Ibid. 1“Nathan Goldman, “Social Breakdown, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (September 1967): 156-79. 143Biderman, ”Social Indicators. " 14‘J‘Glaser, "National Goals . " 145Toward a Social Report. 146Goldman, "Social Breakdown. " 1MGlaser, "National Goals. " 148Joyce M. and William C. Mitchell, "The Changing Politics of American Life, " in Sheldon and Moore, eds. , Indicators, p. 247. 149Richard M. Scammon, "Electoral Participation, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 371 (May 1967): 59-84. 150Sidney Verba, "Democratic Participation, " Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 373 (Septem- ber 1967): 54. 151Mitchell and Mitchell, "Changing Politics, " and Verba, "Democratic Participation. " 1528ee Russell L. Ackoff, The Design of Social. Research (Chicago, Ill. : University of Chicago Press, 1953) ; and Russell L. Ackoff, with the collaboration of Shiv K. Gusta and J. Sayer Minas, 195 Scientific Method: OptimizingApplied Research Decisions (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1962). 153Nake M. Kamrany and Alexander N. Christakis, "Social Indicators in Perspective, " Socio -Economic Planning Science 4 (1970): 207-16. 154See for example, Moynihan, "Urban Conditions"; Ennis, "Definition"; Duncan, "Social Stratification”; and Kamrany and Christakis, ”Social Indicators. " 1 55Gross, "Preface, " in Bauer, ed. , Social Indicators, p. xvii. CHAPTER 4 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Introduction In chapter 2 it was noted that doubts exist about the ability of the present system (and underlying ideology) to provide a quality of life comparable to its achievements in purely economic terms. It was also noted that traditional economic and marketing. theories have not provided a conceptual framework for evaluating quality of life even in general terms, much less in terms of measurements. The information explosion concerning social indicators represents an attempt to conceptualize and measure variables other than economic ones in order to evaluate the quality of life. The‘review of the literature in chapter 3 indicates the progress of such developments and clearly shows that, despite the present immaturity of the state of the art, the concern with social indicators is an irreversible process for three reasons. First, there is extensive ongoing research, the results of which should 196 197 contribute to better conceptualizations and measurements. Second, the ongoing work within federal government agencies is a sign of the government' 3 interest and commitment to the subject. Third, the high visibility brought to social issues by social indicators could make them an important tool for support of claims and causes by interested groups. Having discovered the usefulness of this kind of data, it is not likely that these groups will let the subject drop. Ongoing research is being supported, among others, by the National Science Foundation. It has given a substantial grant to the University of Michigan to continue research thatwill lead to better social reporting, and has contracted for the Urban Institute to continue its work in social andeurban indicators. 1 Several agencies within the federal government have evincedinterest. Since 1969, the Statistical Policy Staff of the Office of Management and Budget has been working on social indicators. "Although still in the development stage, most of the indicators selected are presently published and used intensively by analysts and policy makers. "2 The Presidential Commission on Federal Statistics, which is reviewing the federal statistics system, will propose a five -year plan for research in social indicators and social reporting, both in private and government research organiza - tions. 3 Late in 1970, the Office of Management and Budget was 198 directed by the president to develop-a performance measurement system for federal programs. It is expected that the system will state-clearly the goals and objectives of important social concerns, their conditions, problems, and needs, and will be a reporting system by which the results of programs dealing with these prob- lems and needs can be evaluated in terms of the stated goals. 4 The National Marketing Advisory Committee of the Department of Commerce appointed task forces in 1970 to study and make recom- mendations in three areas of social concern: social legislation and business; new marketing criteria. created by environmental issues; and new values and measures in the quality of life. 5 The final report, withrecommendations, already has been presented to the Secretary of Commerce.6 The recommendations are concerned with understanding the effects of marketing activities on the economy and society, with the social changes taking place, and with the role of the Department of Commerce as a liaison between government agencies and business as they cope with these changes. The report alsoesuggests the utilization of existing information, the gathering of new data, and that the responsibility for the proposed periodical publication onsocial indicators be assigned to the Bureau of the. Census as a high priority issue. 199 Examples of the high visibility brought to social issues by social indicators can be found in the tone of most contributions reviewed in chapter 3. It seems very likely that the conceptualization and mea - surement of social indicators will continue. The Office of Statistical Policy of the Office of Management and Budget already is committed to the'study of a social indicators statistical series to be published regularly. Social indicators information already is influencing and will continue to influence policy planning and decision making at the governmental level. In addition, such data also will influence corporate policy planning and decision making. Conceptual Framework A conceptual framework should include the underlying theory or theories, and the assumptions, models, concepts, and hypotheses that indicate the viewpoint from which the study is con- ducted:7 Because of the immaturity of the state of the art, there is no well-developed and tested theory on social indicators. Thus, the firststep is to establish a. series of concepts and general assumptions and deductively derive propositions from these assump- tions . Jul!» ... ... r M !flt.fl 9:~.'I..Iaw 200 As pointed out in chapter 3, both Etzioni and Olson criticize the goals approach adopted by some other authors. 8 However, the review in chapter 3 indicates that most government-sponsored research or government-oriented research is adopting a goals approach. It seems reasonableto accept this approach. Accordingly, policy is conceptualized as referring to deliberate action taken by the various parts of a government or corporation in pursuit of certain goals and in response to problems and opportunities. These deliberate actions take the form of particu- lar activity(ies) which have definite effects in the face of current forces. The initial premise of the conceptual framework used here is Terleckyj' 3 statement that achievement of national goals is defined analytically in terms of observable changes in a series of specific goals indicators, such as life expectancy, crime rate, educational testing scores, etc. , which wereeselected to reflect the actual objects of public concern. . changes in goals output indicators are possible only by means of specific combinations of events comprising new types of public policies and private developments called "activities" . . . defined to include . . . large aggregations of public policies and private behavior patterns. This concept can be schematiz ed on the macro level as follows: 201 I— —9 goals (social indicators - - criteria for performance) w policies (guidelines for action) I I l I | W l programs (activities --allocation and mobilization of I | | l I resources) 6 performance evaluation (social indicators) l — — ——' 6— flow of action e——— flow of feedback Thesame scheme can beapplied either to the corporation orto the corporation marketing system (micro level). |———> goals (economic and social indicators--balance between economic maximization goal and social considerations - - suboptimization of goals) policies (guidelines for action) programs (marketing activities--allocation and mobilization .of resources) performance evaluation (economic and social indicators) The-relation between these two schemes‘lies in the inter- face between the corporation's marketing system and the govern- ment system and can be visualized in the model shown in Figure 3. 202 . _ _ _ . _ _ _ muoumompcm fimwoow whom—moans” omEocoom scrapers I I..V cofio< T b-----—-- ZOHFE HUZAN—ZGOhm mm 52 possabmao N22 mcoflmoaczagou x32 outflow new «oscoum :oreecesrm hogmsov AIII pamEoQ mfiotfiom pea 35520 hmoumhm ”8393.5me mmfiwhm 3330858600 amouobm outflow new 335nm moflw>fio< 3:332 you cofimooflr. cam coflmfifinofi Bow . 305* can houoz .358 -—-—---- mHmoO “Scam 3.80 oflfiosoom 303.. 390— 23255 agowumumcamuo cam moohsomom spasm moonsomom Hangmz .HZWSHZOmuEH AdZflWHZH a- mp. Dnmh. DO mPDnHZH mJ :> “>5 :3 5‘ :3 '13 62338 8 8 O o O 2’6) ‘3.) €332 32‘. 5’33 6922‘. .... cue—.2 2 mg _m*___ 4. corporation goals 4.1 C] 4.2 E] 4.3 [_j 4.4 D 4.5 E] 5' °rganizati°nal 5.1 [:1 5.2 [:1 5.3 [:1 5.4 1:] 5.5 [:1 structure 6. product strategy 6.1 [:1 6.2 [3 6.3 E] 6.4 D 6.5 D In your opinion, within the corporation (or division) who should be responsible for procurement and analysis of the social indicators and making policy recommendations based on these analyses? 353 2 o 00-1 .. ‘5 ‘3 1: 0’ c: 8 o g a 8 3 >~ 5* i H 00-1 0 ‘6 pl 0 5.. i: o o O. <1 0-. m 1‘ °° C” Observations 8.1 [3 9.1 [:1 top management statistical department 8'2 D 9'2 D marketing ' department 8' 3 D 9' 3 D product planning department 8'4 D 9'4 D other (specify) 7.5 D 3.5 D 9.5 E] DDUD Assuming that social indicators and social reporting will indi- cate the state of the society and thus the areas in which government will be more involved in policy making, in your opinion how would this specifically affect product strategy decisions? o o a g a a 3 as *5 <53 93 "' 8 o a) 0 .0 Q) ..Q g a) E or. <1 9 Why? 10. number of product elimination 10. 1E] 10. 3E] decisions 11. product differentiation 11' 1D 12. corporate concern Wlth quality 12. 1D H H H N H D If] [if] H 3... Eco] (materials, engineering) 13. corporate concern with quality ("social quality": 13. 1D H m N H 03 a safety, pollution - free) ...“ ~..z—...~.Nw...u.._.. __ 861-. 354 a) a) ‘1’ a: E E g ‘“ «swig <9 ‘1’ :3 L. ‘5 Soc 0 $3 (D.C.-C: Q) ... 0:48 Q Why? 14. standardization of 14 14.2 C] 14-3C] El product features 15. corporate concern with making guarantees and 15. 15.2[:] mag in warranties more explicit 16. corporate concern with customer 16.1 D 16.2 [3 16.3 D service 17. corporate concern with consumer education (product 17, 1 D 17,2 D 17. 3 D information and recourse channels) 13- corporate concern with functional 18.1 [3 18.2 [3 18.3 E] product features 19. corporate concern with aesthetical product features 19' 1 D 19’ 2 D 19‘ 3 D (style) 20. the cost of the 20.1 [:1 20.2 E] 20.3 [:1 product Assuming that social indicators and social reporting will indi- cate social trends and consequent changes in life styles, value systems, and so forth, in your opinion, the consumer's concern with the following features will increase, remain about the same, or decrease? 355 a) g m m in? 8 t' 8502 5 0 on a) E m4.” a-H .... --' 1.. +1 4n "‘41-’01 0) m a)“ a (Dan-7 ou-u 0-H ;>U1 ZmQ Q >Q 37. the overall (political, legal, social, and 37'1EI 37'2D 37'3E] 37'4D 37:5]:1 business) system 38. the business system in this 38.1 [:1 38.2 E] 38.3 D 38.4 D 38.5 [3 country 39. th t b'l minis“) 1 8 39.1 [:| 39.2 [3 39.3 [:1 39.4 E] 39.5 [3 40. igglgaigur 0W“ 40.1 E] 40.2 [:I 40. 3 [j 40. 4 E] 40. 5 [:1 In your opinion, are they justified in the way they feel (satisfied/ dissatisfied) ‘7 Yes No Why? 41. overall system 41.1 [:I 41.2 E] 42. business system 42. 1 D 42.2 [:1 43. automobile industry 43. 1 D 43. 2 D 44. own company 44. 1 D 44.2 D 45. In your opinion, of the following, in a car, which are more important for the consumer. Please rank the first three. 45. 1 product quality (materials, engineering) [3 45.2 product quality ("social sense"--safety, pollution) E] 45. 3 product guarantees and warranties D 45.4 price I] 45.5 customer service D 45. 6 product information [:I 45. 7 other (specify) D 411"1mq° '1" names " .Ijlliewa \ i‘ufnu ._ (...? 11‘, £5th - -. ., , 6.1: mt .. ‘ 1‘ '71511Jp writes ‘I, .. {11'} [151-5‘10”" ‘ V 4.. 1,1 , 359 46. In your opinion, which of the above can the consumer evaluate? 47. 48. 46. 46. 46. 46. 46. 46. 46. «ImmAth-I In your opinion, what (if anything) should be done to improve consumers' ability to make these evaluations? To what do you attribute the high "visibility" of the automobile industry in the concerns of consumer and environmental protec- tion movements? In your Opinion, the automobile industry' s response to the following has been: 49. 50. s: a: O O 33 +1 .._, h 5 a o :1 .c: a) o o as o no 1: as > G) .0 u-t C‘. Q) o 0: <1 0: :3 0:: Why? to consumer movements 49.1 D 49.2 [3 49.3 E] t° g°vemment 50.1 E] 50. 2 [_j 50. 3 [:1 regulation c i. ‘3 11 {(31th H"? .' J. .h' I‘v. I)... 1 . 71‘44430453 . 1W0.” 360 In your opinion, your own corporation' 8 response to the following has been: 51. 52. 53. 54. 55. g Why? to consumer movements 51.1 [I 51.2 E] 51.3 E] to government 2. . . regulation 5 1 D 52 2 D 52 3 D In your opinion, what (if anything) should the automobile industry do to overcome criticisms leveled at it? What has it done so far? Finally, in your opinion, in the automobile industry the trend toward diversification of present lines will: 55.1 Increase DWhy? 55.2 Remain about the same E] Why? 55.3 Decrease [:1 Why? IF ANSWER 55. 1 (INCREASE), ASK 56. 361 56. Diversification to what kinds of products, does it seem more likely to you? Which one of the following best describes the functional area in which you now work? ' corporate planning research and development product planning product styling prnnary 1 2 3 4 5. engineering 6 production final 7 quality control 8 marketing 9 customer relations CICICJDCIEIDDL—JD 10. other (specify) Please indicate the areas of your previous working experiences. Functional Area How Long ? Your present title or position: Counting the chairman of the board as first level, at what level of the organizational structure are you? What are the main activities that you are directly responsible for? ' . 9 . a...) _ l“q:“~" - - .vr— v- . 1‘34" . 4 4 ‘ '1.- . -5 {- , n ._;:_.-o..- -.' -..hp— LE,I.Q.55M 7' ‘I L - 'Eh le. ”..., .r "9 pm. “1:!!!“ ' M'- . ° .I'IY -#.h ‘0 0|. , _ 2.: “haw m,“ ' .0 ~. MSWOQ'w’ . 1 41.! 6909'! ‘ ~-.utow "*3 ' r_.u ,3L‘h01q ‘8- :4 “1991113”, . d ,I-LJUDUNW - , 1:611: 13“.”, _,.;v~19)hm‘ ... ..._ wm’otlm’ I . 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