_~\": ' Afi-OI'IMVLCQ,‘ _. «—-agu--c:.vuv~ - V n1» . 5figam%~‘ac ?.:£ ’ r —-.--. ,. ..‘...,,,.. H...‘ aunt I‘- '1‘ ~~~.t..r.~ V“. a....v-v .5). , , — OUU‘IV"VII NE Itiiiiii’l‘l’ililiifiliil Liliiiiufiiiiiiiii 3 1293 00778 6936 '\ LIBRARY “101113311 State University This is to certify that the thesis entitled Science and Technology Planning and Implications for the Development of Indigenous High Technology Capabilities in LDCs: An Analysis of the Brazilian Computer Industry Pfifimfifiiby Ritin Singh has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Masters clegreeinCommunication \ W . - ' Majo ofessor Date—BLLAQQLJB 9 2 0-7639 MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution PLACE ll RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES Mum on or More due due. II DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE flT—i . MSU Is An Affirmdlve Action/Equal Opportunlty Instituton emu”! SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PLANNING AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDIGENOUS HIGH-TECHNOLOGY CAPABILITIES IN LDC'S: AN ANALYSIS OF THE BRAZILIAN COMPUTER INDUSTRY By Ritin Singh A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS Department of Connunication and Urban Studies 1992 ABSTACT SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PLANNING AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF INDIGENOUS HIGH-TECH CAPABILITIES IN LDCI: A CASE STUDY OF THE BRAZILIAN COMPUTER ININJSTRY By Ritin Singh LDCs share a growing concern of the value of new communication technologies for their economic growth. Therefore, the strategies they adopt to acquire and/or develop technologies becomes a key issue. In this context, the role of the state in stimulating, shaping and inhibiting technological development is believed to be crucial. The Brazilian computer industry underscores problems which emerge as a direct result of new technologies. Problems such as the acquisition of foreign technology, and the need to develop a domestic high-tech industry. This thesis investigates two closely interrelated propositions. rings; that indigenous capabilities can be fostered by pragmatic science and technology policies. Such policies focus primarily on the selective application of regulatory mechanisms. figggng‘ domestic policies and technology transfer via TNCs is not necessarily contradictory but can be complementary. Establishing strategic relationships with TNCs can help in acquiring the more sophisticated technologies. On analyzing the Brazilian computer industry, both these propositions are reconfirmed. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to acknowledge my committee members, not only for their academic input but also on the often ignored, though equally important, ‘behind the scene' support. Dr. David Johnson, for his patience and criticizms while reading endless drafts, out of which emerged this document. Dr. Joseph Straubhaar, for his constant willingness and ‘open-door' policy, when it came to discussing Brazil. And most importantly, for opening my eyes to the world south of the 0.8 border. Dr. Bella Hedy, for allowing me to handle thorny Third World issues on my own. Not to mention her support, without which I would not have been at Michigan State University. Last, but by no means least, I must acknowledge the support and sacrifice of Mary Rolston, for whom another deadline had become almost as hazardous as a dentist appointment. TABLE 01" CONTENTS Introduction Literature Review Case Study: Brazilian Computer Industry Implications for Science and Technology Planning in LDCs Conclusion Bibliography iv 15 51 96 115 124 C BIA P T I R I INTRODUCTION 1. Problem Recent advances in communications technology have been described heralding the advent of a new technological revolution that will drastically transform the shape of contemporary society. The high speed information processing potential of these technologies in combination with their flexibility and wide ranging applicability, can lead to significant improvements in productivity in industry, agriculture, office management, education and health (Parker, 1984). New communication technologies include satellite based TV broadcasting and long distance telephony: interactive computer technologies : VCRs: fibre optic cables: etc. With the integration of computers and communications- these new technologies have also been called 'Telematics”. These two elements of telematics, namely, telecommunication networks (communication) and informatics (computer hardware and software) have been heralded as the future base for advanced economic development (Sweeney, 1981). Host of the interest in these technologies has, predictably, been in the industrialized world--i.e. the United States, western Europe 2 and Japan. Nevertheless, increasing attention is being given to the potential applications of these technologies in the lesser developed countries (LDCs). Though some cautionary voices have been raised, the majority of the reports and studies have focused on the benefits that could accrue to these countries (often treated as one homogenous entity) through the adoption of the new technologies. The LDCs too share a growing concern and awareness of the value of these communication technologies for their future. It is important to recognize that what is sought is not only the acquisition of foreign modern technology but, equally important, development of indigenous capabilities. The LDCs are cognizant of the major transformation taking place worldwide towards an information-based environment, as well as the advantages that accrue from use of modern technology to spur their development process. Policy makers do comprehend the importance of telematics in offering the means to integrate national resources with international, and in supplying the required inputs for domestic technological development. They largely realize that it would be foolhardy and impractical to opt out of the networks of satellites, computers and digitalized telephones, if one wants to participate in the global economic order (Jayaweera, 1987). LDCs, however, fear that their lack of resources and infrastructure to develop all aspects of telematics 3 (informatics and communication technologies) might lead them to 'miss the boat'. The idea of developing some parts of it domestically, by focusing on particular sectors, does seem appealing and a part of the solution (eg: computer industry in Brazil). This brings us to the crux of the problem which this thesis deals with, namely, what strategies can LDCs adopt to acquire and/or develop advanced communication technologies and yet maintain or develop their autonomy? The desire to be autonomous and self-reliant, in these technologies, has been a goal for some of these newly industrializing countries (files), such as Brazil, Mexico, India and South Korea. And they have struggled hard to achieve this difficult goal in various industrial sectors, failing in some and achieving success in others. Complete national self-reliance is elusive for all countries today. But this is particularly the case for LDCs in light of the fact that control over new technologies is becoming increasingly concentrated and the prospects of complete technological autonomy ,even for the industrialized world, disappearing (wad, 1982). We are still at the stage where the options and possibilities of these new technologies are being articulated. What does seem relevant however, at this point in time, for national policy makers is to understand the reality and design strategies for the building of indigenous technological capabilities (which also entails the effective acquisition of foreign technology). Unfortunately there is no universal model for 4 technological development, and it does seem a multidimensional and dialectical process changing from society to society. Therefore each country should learn to discover and execute its own strategy--one which is well within the framework of its economic, industrial, political and social capabilities. Even though over generalization is dangerous, some points do emerge as central in all this. Most importantly, the role of the state in planning or even controlling the development of new communication technologies is seen as _crucial for almost every country. The way in which goals are set up now will influence all future developments, and many think only a coordinated, national policy can attack a problem of this magnitude. The related common problem is that transnational corporations (TNCs) are major actors in most LDC markets and economies. And it is primarily in the context of TNCs that transfer of technology can take place (Hobday, 1986). Unfortunately, the propensity of these corporations is to decentralize commercial and industrial activities, but hold tight control over research, development, investment, and marketing of technologies. The immediate policy response to this situation might be to impose trade barriers and tighter control on the TNCs activities, but this is likely to jeopardize technological development of LDCs. The early 1960s to the late 1970s had, in fact, been the period when TNCs were increasingly being regulated in LDCs. 5 The objective of such comprehensive policy measures was to achieve Import Substitution Industrialization (181). However, with passage of time, and the increasing failure of this policy, governments have been shifting away from rigid controls to more open economic policies. Simultaneously, industrial policy has become the focal point in national efforts to develop indigenous scientific and technological capabilities. To this end, this thesis addresses the issue of technological development through the dual process of indigenous technology development and strategic technology transfer. 2. Thesis Statement and lethod This thesis deals with the issue of the adoption/creation of new communication technologies in LDCs. I would like to argue that a holistic approach to indigenous technology development is not always to be found, and a dynamic field such as technology transfer studies is somewhat compartmentalized. Concern over technology has been normally confined to technological and exogenous forces. Other internal/international non-technical issues are usually ignored. One of the main benefits of this focus on the issue of technology development is that a systematic view is being taken on a highly syncretic field. To this end, I have tried to incorporate analysis, theories, and explanations from literature that deals with communication, economics, channels of transfer, and the role of the state 6 in science and technology planning. The issues highlighted explain the phenomenon of the development of indigenous technological capability and technology transfer (TT). At the outset, it is important to highlight the inherent nature of TT (domestic or international) as a communicative process. It is the communication of information (in the form of knowledge) between people within organizations and outside which enables this process. Industry-government, university-industry, and TNCs-local government linkages, to name a few, are patterns of communication and exchange. and normally these linkages between universities, government laboratories, and private industry are established to encourage TT. This definition is, however, very inclusive, since it includes informal as well as formal structured relationships. Whatever the form it takes the key to the process is that people transfer technology, and in turn form a multitude of relationships. This analysis further lays the explanatory groundwork for the introduction and analysis of the Brazilian computer industry, which provides an example of the above stated ideas. The significance of the case study is that it helps in understanding the problems which emerge as a direct result of development of new technologies on a global scale. Problems such as dependency, the acquisition of foreign technology, and the need to develop a domestic high-tech industry capable of producing new technologies appropriate for its use. 7 The choice of Brazil and its domestic Informatics policy/ computer industry for the study is particularly appropriate. Brazil, with the eighth largest economy in the non-socialist world, is one of the so-called industrializing, or ‘semi-peripheral' LDCs and boasts a rapidly expanding industrial capability. According to a report published in 1986 by the Office of the U.S Trade Representative, “Brazil is less dependent on imports than nearly any other nation in the world" (New York Times, 1986). This industrial capacity includes a rapidly growing advanced technology sector which has received special attention from the most powerful levels of the government for several decades. The development of the computer industry was yet another link in Brazil's already operational communication system. No new social development applications were planned. As a matter of fact, the entire policy to create a new industry was geared towards commercial and economic interests. This does raise the question of who benefits from these technologies: and does the benefit spread equally among all social and economic groups. It is obvious, on analysis of the computer industry, that the state did not try to solve the "old problems", like the spread of social services more equitably, and rural-urban integration. It has instead worked within the framework of industrial development (Nettleton, 1986). By focusing exclusively on the Brazilian context, this 8 study does not mean to imply that the international patterns of technology dependence are irrelevant to the issue. Rather, as the ‘rigid' dependency paradigm begins to give way in the face of incontrovertible evidence of increasing technological and economic capabilities of industrializing nations, such as Brazil, 8. Korea, India and Mexico, new approaches must begin to explore the dynamics of this transformation (Pransman, 1985). Clear out foreign control which in the past dominated Brazil's technology infrastructure has evolved into a complex interplay of forces between government, foreign and national industry, and civil society. And if developing domestic technological capabilities is the objective, then our understanding of this new LDC technological environment is crucial. The case study can contribute uniquely to our knowledge of organizational, social, economic, and political phenomena. It enables one to investigate structures of a given industry (for example the computer industry in Brazil). In this situation, the distinctive need for a case study arises out of a desire to understand complex and interrelated phenomena, holistically (Yin, 1989, pp.14-22). Case studies also allows the investigator to ask the 'how' and "why" questions of a given event. As Schramm so appropriately stated: “The essence of a case study is that it tries to illuminate a set of decisions: why they were taken, how they were implemented, and with what result" (1971). These are the primary questions which will be investigated 9 and then explained by the propositions laid out later in the chapter on regulations and technology planning in Brazil. By highlighting the complexity of the Brazilian computer industry, and the various factors which effected its development, one can justify the case study method. Yin claims that a case study: '* Investigates a contemporary phenomena within its real life context: when * the boundaries between the phenomenon and context are not clearly evident" (1981, p.59). Chapter 3 explains why and how contexts and phenomena in Brazil were interrelated in the development of the computer industry. A The model developed for this study is wholly qualitative. Documentation analysis, utilizing academic literature, is the primary source for the study. It is important to note here that most of the research on the development and performance of the Brazilian computer industry was undertaken by relatively few scholars. I have in turn utilized their studies to further evaluate them for investigating and inferring my propositions. It is important to note that in analyzing the evidence, by focusing attention on certain data and ignoring the rest, the propositions have helped in the organizing the entire case study. These propositions have been useful in guiding and supporting the case study analysis, and in turn the implications for other LDCs. 3. Propositions 10 The objective of this thesis is to investigate two primary, and closely interrelated propositions, through a review of literature and the analysis of the Brazilian computer industry. These propositions deal exclusively with science and technology planning policies within high technology industries in LDCs. The first proposition claims that the development of indigenous technological capabilities can be fostered by introducing pragmatic science and technology policies. Such policies enable the acquisition, as well as the assimilation, of new technology. Pragmatic policies are those which do not get bogged down by ideological considerations, but in fact are a reflection of the infrastructural realities at hand. A primary focus of such policies is the selective application of regulatory mechanisms which enhance domestic capabilities. This selectivity comes in the form of decision making on the levels of technology to be developed, and the relevant regulations to be introduced to develop such capabilities. The figggnn proposition is an offshoot of the first one. This posits that domestic technology development policies, and technology transfer via TNCs are not necessarily contradictory but can be complementary. Developing a strategic working relationship with TNCs is more likely to help int the acquisition of the more sophisticated technologies, since the possibility of creating it indigenously is very difficult. 11 On analyzing the Brazilian computer industry both these propositions are reconfirmed. The formalization of the Informatics policy strengthened the science and technology objectives of developing indigenous capabilities in the computer industry. This policy clearly laid out the foundation in terms of infrastructural development, such as R a D, human resources, component supplies, etc. The policy makers were quite pragmatic in their decisions regarding regulations. The market reserve for the lower end of the industry highlights their focus on keeping certain selective levels of technology for indigenous development. On the other hand, the Brazilians had initially misperceived their technological capabilities. Having closed the microcomputer market to TNCs, they had plans of achieving domestic capabilities at the more sophisticated end too. On realizing their incapacity to do so, technology was acquired by utilizing a variety of technology transfer channels. These channels and relationships with TNCs were strategically selected depending upon the sophistication of the technology. For example, technology for minicomputers was licensed from TNCs. And in the case of superminis, it was direct foreign investment (DPI), and the creation of local subsidiaries by TNCs, which allowed for technology to be transferred. There were, however, regulations laid down for the TNCs to export a certain number of minicomputers. Since the mainframes were intrinsically too sophisticated 12 for local manufacturers the TNCs were the sole manufacturers and suppliers. It is relevant to note at this point that as the level of sophistication increased, which also meant that it was beyond the capabilities of domestic manufacturers, relationships with TNCs increased. 4. Chapter Arrangement Chapter 1 is an introduction to the thesis. Chapter 2 is a review of the comparative literature on the mainstream and critical approaches to communication technology development. It lays the theoretical foundation of the contrasting viewpoints on the significance of new technologies in LDC development. I also review the concerns of development economists whose primary focus is on the indirect costs that LDCs bear when transferring technology. Their suggestions on the possible technology strategies that industrializing countries can pursue is explored to underscore the one which Brazil chose. Finally, the over riding concern with the role that the state can play in stimulating, shaping and inhibiting technological change is analyzed. This activity comes in the form of direct regulations and the building of indigenous technological capabilities. Following that, I review the channels through which technology can be transferred, such as, joint ventures and licensing agreements (Arm's length) and Direct Foreign Investments (DPI), through TNC subsidiaries. The current trends in technology regulation towards greater flexibility and ‘new pragmatism' as pursued by governments ends the 13 chapter. The rational for incorporating this analysis is that it lays down the explanatory framework for the analysis of the Brazilian computer case. There is a marked difference between the two main sections in chapter 2. The first section, dealing with communication theorists, clarifies on the conceptual issues of technology and development. Whereas the second part, bringing forth the viewpoints of economists, stresses the application oriented issues of technology transfer, strategies, and planning. Chapter 3 deals exclusively with the Brazilian case study. It basically gives one answers to the question of what Science and Technology strategies a government can adopt to improve indigenous capabilities, chiefly through regulations. This chapter is in four sections. Part 1 details the technology policies of the Brazilian government since the 1960s. This allows the computer policy to be viewed in light of other technology policies and highlights its technological advances. Part 2 gives a brief review of the Informatics Policy. The analysis of the development of the computer industry, which underscores the role of the state in providing conditions for its development is examined in Part 3. The major influencing factors for the need to develop nationalistic policies (market reserve) for indigenous technological development, are the key issues analyzed. Part 4 evaluates the success of the policy in increasing domestic production capacity. The key areas 14 assessed are the process of technology assimilation, development of indigenous capabilities, costs and effects on users, production capacities (economies of scale), and human resources development. Even though Chapter 4 and 5 utilize the Brazilian policies for the computer industry as a foundation, they incorporate different levels of analysis. While chapter four clearly lays out the practical implications of pursuing strategic science and technology strategies for other LDCs, chapter five concludes on the theoretical ramifications of technology and development. More specifically, Chapter 4 reviews the successes and failures of the Brazilian policy and reiterates the premise on which the thesis is based, namely, that technology policies for the development of local capabilities and technology transfer through TNCs is possible. It further discusses the implications and the role the state can play in science and technology planning and in industrial technical change, while accepting foreign technology transfer. The strategies and policies which can not only enhance indigenous capabilities but also the acquisition and absorption of foreign technology is the central theme of this section. Chapter 5 sums up the discussion and suggestions made in the thesis and theorizes on its implications. mu LITERATURE "VIII The first section of this chapter reviews the literature on new communication technologies in LDCs from the opposing theoretical perspectives of “mainstream! and 'critical' communication scholars. The appropriateness of new technologies and technological development in LDCs is analyzed. This is followed by the concerns of development economists who primarily focus on the role that the state can play in stimulating, shaping, and inhibiting technological change. Their suggestions on possible technology strategies that industrializing countries can pursue underscores the one that Brazil chose. And, finally their concern with the high indirect costs LDCs pay when transferring technology from TNCs, is analysed. The third section discusses the various modes of transferring technology, ranging from Direct Foreign Investments (DPI) to Joint ventures 8 Licensing. The current trends in technology regulations towards greater flexibility and pragmatism, as a result of economic liberalization is also reviewed. It is important to note here that the first section, on the communication perspective, deals specifically with 15 16 theoretical issues. The other three parts highlight the practical and applied aspects of science and technology planning within LDCs. The ideas discussed, though distinct, heve the value and importance of being applicable in LDCs. Last, but not the least, elaboration on these perspectives lay the groundwork for the terms, definitions, and state role in science and technology planning, for analyzing the Brazilian computer industry. By understanding the various viewpoints it becomes easier to comprehend the dynamics under which LDCs have to plan and address science and technology issues. 1. Gem-unioatioa Perspective The mainstream approach emphasizes the theme of political development, nationalism and development, and modernization through assistance in capital and technology. These studies tend to be empirical analyses of discrete projects, and emphasize attention to economic rationalization as a basic route towards improving efficiency. In contrast, the critical approaches focus on themes of underdevelopment, dependency and imperialism. This approach starts from a historical perspective, often analyzing topics according to the dialectical process of transformation caused by foreign penetration, and questions basic assumptions that societal structures are a fixed given (Nattos, 1982). It also assumes the power of the transnational corporate system to be overwhelming, and its 11 ideological control so hegemonic, that there seems little possibility of technological or economic change (Tsui, 1991) . W The informally labelled sub-specialty, development communications, had its start in the late 1950's when North American communications researchers began to look at ways their expertise could be used to help bring about progress and modernization in LDCs. They believed that the mechanical application of the economic, technological, and political systems of the west could solve he problem of backwardness. They theorized that Western-style modernization was a benefit and could be brought to the underdeveloped via communications technology and planning. With roots deep in the bedrock of nee-classical economics, they assume that the basic challenge to be faced in economic development is increasing economic productivity. Schramm (1968) considered the most productive sector of modern society to be the industrial sector, which could benefit from communication technologies, thus contributing to modernization and industrial growth. however, since the LDCs lack the necessary communication infrastructure to implement such large scale development projects, Schramm suggested a massive transfer of communication technology, e.g. radio, television, computers, and satellites, from.the West . This emphasis on economic growth has been the benchmark I. which “mainstream” scholars have utilized to influence their adoption of new co-unicatien technologies. This has also been extremely influential in national (for example the Brazilian computer industry) and international planning programs. The contexts they look at are those organizational and infrastructural constraints that obstruct the full realisation of the potential of these technologies. Constraints include lack of expertise, finance and technology (Budson, 1985). Research has often focused on the planning and evaluation of specific communications projects, for social applications as well as commercial ones. Inspite of this project oriented research, there has been a trend in recent years to recognize the importance of social, political and economic contexts, which has been linked to the growing awareness that technology is not politically neutral. There is also a growing awareness of the need to study financial and infrastructural problems (Bruce, Cunard & Director, 198:). The point to note here is that relatively few studies have been undertaken to evaluate the role of new technologies in development. {Much of the research has been in favor of the mass media. The little research that was done in the past had usually been sponsored by the private sector or government agencies, who often assessed benefits by utilizing direct return on investment (ROI) as the exclusive criteria. A few studies focused on the study of 19 indirect benefits and effects, to a developing country, where the researchers stressed the importance of technology as an essential tool to development. Their conclusion was that the positive effects of these technologies spread beyond the users to benefit society and the economy of LDCs in general, although a certain threshold level of infrastructure was required to be truly effective (Parker, 1971: 1982: 19s4) This obviously calls for a better understanding of technological change, and the contribution of new communication technologies to economic development. This can lead to an increase of investments and help eliminate the felt and real risks which LDC policy makers feel when putting money into a sector which does not really seem as a priority (Budson, 1984: 1985). Others now stress the importance of integrating communication technologies within general economic development programs which will facilitate economic growth and ruraldmetropclitan integration. National integration is seen as an important precondition for a successful integration of a country into the global economic system. And rural-urban integration is essential to national integration. Consequently improvement of the communication infrastructure becomes the single most powerful engine of such integration and sustained industrial development (Parker, 1977: 1982: 1984). Parker further stresses the point that the question of appropriate technologies, and the ability of LDCs to procure 8. equipment is more of an institutional problem.than technical. Problems can be solved if consensus among LDC borrowers, international lenders and equipment suppliers is achieved. Not only will this result in the installation of appropriate technology but also a resolution of foreign exchange problems, which LDCs more often than not face (Parker, 1985). Pool has argued that LDCs should not restrict the flow of information and technology transfer. One of his main beliefs has been that dependence occurs when LDCs are unable to acquire know-how from advanced nations, which usually is the case because of the restricted flow of information. he has also been extremely confident in the potential applications of new communications technologies in LDCs, firmly believing that technology is the response to social needs (1979). Be is basically a 'free' market advocate, objecting to any form of control or intervention by the state or elites. Accordingly to this stalwart of mainstream communication research, privatization and foreign investments, as communication policy planning tools, were key to modernization and development (Pool, 1983). Rogers has been one of the most active mainstream scholars for modernization and the “diffusion“ of communication technologies in LDCs. Bis belief has been firmly grounded in the utility of these technologies (Rogers 1988: 1989). The core of his argument is that the efficient distribution and feedback of information in society is 31 facilitated by new communication technologies. These new technologies also have the potential to enable LDCs to leapfrog the industrial era, and generate sufficient economic activity in terms of employment, manufacturing and productivity, thus resulting in an information society. The mainstreaa scholars have build an explicit integration model, which basically maintains that technology produced in the West is appropriate to the needs of the LDCs. And the most efficient and adequate mechanism for transferring the technology is commercially, through TNCs. The rational for this strategy is based on the proposition that (a) commercial technology transfer (TT) through TNCs offer all necessary combinations of technology components: and, (b) TT needed to establish any new productive facility is a complicated process, requiring special knowledge and skills for each stage of its development (assuming LDC ineptitude). horeover, their belief is that the success TNCs have in transferring technology is due not only to their mastery of the whole ”technology package“, but also to the fact that this package is closely integrated in management, marketing and financing skills. Consequently, the argument follows that any attempt to separate elements of technology transfer will either fail or result in considerably higher costs (Pool, 1983). MW Not only did the modernization-inspired communications 88 projects run into practical operational difficulties, some theoretical deficiencies were discovered in the mainstream approach as well. Strongly influenced by Narxist and neo- Narxist thinking, the critical approach to development communications was born in response. This approach rejects the premises of the integration model. Critical scholars believe that the social and economic structures and problems of LDCs are different, so western technologies are not appropriate for the industrially weak countries. LDCs that have accepted technology imports, are today more dependent upon the outside world, since indigenous science and technology capabilities were never developed. The way out of this problematic is to limit technology imports and turn to import substitution and internal technology development programs. For marxist scholars like Schiller economic development is viewed from a global context. he argues that the poverty stricken state of the LDCs is a consequence of their economic exploitation by the industrialized countries (and the elites in LDCs). This has created an inequitable situation, in which the West is growing wealthier at the expense of the LDCs. While these countries grow wealthier, the poorer countries become all the more dependent, making it difficult to pull them out of their poverty (Lee, 1980, pp. 31-35). he sees culture/communications as absolutely critical I) in the future struggle against capitalism, external cultural domination, technological dependency, and the implementation of new technologies. Be is negative about new communication technologies because he feels that they only reinforce existing capitalist structures, while social applications and underlying inequitable structures are ignored (1975). Using a political economy approach Schiller focuses on how TNCs subject LDCs to economic and cultural dependence on industrialized countries. Technology plays a vital role in the emerging scheme of things. It serves dually: first, to integrate the transnational corporate system, and second, to deepen the dependence of the peripheral world on hardware, software, training and administration supplied by that system. Any transfer of technology from this system to LDCs would only exacerbate the vicious cycle and increase the existing dependence of the latter on the former and thus further heighten underdevelopment. According to Schiller, the new communication technologies have been developed out of the felt needs of the governments and corporations of the West and are hardly likely to be appropriate for the LDCs in any case (1981). Analyzing Schiller's research Tsui (1990) suggests that: ...his proposed strategy is to delay, postpone, and defer. he calls for a deceleration in the rush to adopt new technologies, and a resistance to an ideology that development is a "race,” and that participation cannot be delayed. Ne claims that protecting national sovereignty and cultural integrity does not mean supporting traditionalism. W-fls 84 WW (elem-1- added) - Iamelink has been probably one of the more radical scholars. Advocating a dissociation strategy for LDCs, he calls for indigenous and self-reliant technological capability completely free from transnational dominance. he believes that the concentration of knowledge, exclusive right over technical innovations and restrictive business practices are intrinsically related to western interests since they consolidate transnational activity. Formulating the principles of a national information policy together with the dissociation strategy he suggests that the LDCs, should be suspicious of assistance and cooperation from the TNCs. If the LDCs are to survive in the “information age”, its program for survival will need to be based on the building of a strong, autonomous information technology infrastructure. And only when such an infrastructure has been installed can meaningful technological negotiations with the TNCs take place (1984). (This was the initial strategy Brazil has tried pursuing). This leads Bamelink to stress the importance of not having any North-South discussion since any form of cooperation would not meet the interest of the LDCs. Increasing regional and interregional joint ventures could probably improve local capability and enhance collective bargaining power. This present state of weak bargaining power has been the primary reason why LDCs have not managed IS te'improve their lot vis a vis the TNCs. On studying the technology transfer issue, lamelink analysed the sources, forms and the financial terms of the transfer. The most common form of transfer was through direct foreign investment wherein TNCs established subsidiaries in LDCs for production. Turnkey projects and training of technical staff were other forms of technology transfer, but in all these activities Bamelink discovered some form of LDC dependence or transnational exploitation. The capital intensiveness of these technologies also result in serious balance of payment problems for the LDCs (1983, 1995) . Nattelart and Schmucler (1985) have refined the somewhat simplistic view of the rigid dependency theory that new technologies are imperialistic because of their ties to multinationals. Locking more deeply at the problem they make the point that information systems that are being installed, include in their methods of operation and implicit in their very architecture new forms of economic control. however, the key to their opinion is that they do not accept the Luddite attitude sometimes present in Latin American critical communications research that imported high technology is inherently exploitive and should be resisted. They feel that since new communication technologies are already an established presence in LDCs, they should be dealt with to extract the most advantages. Prom a policy standpoint, it would be a mistake to ignore an existing 3‘ process, when it is already tied in with the rest of the economy. Noreover, their practical and realistic analysis also accepts the fact that if a country does not enjoy a communications system, with adequate capacity and up-to-date technology, it cannot function as a qualified, capable economy. This conditional acceptance of technology, if it can be designed and installed on Latin American terms, also stresses the fact that progress is not a natural force but results from a series of decisions made by local and transnational policydmakers. They propose that science and technology can be effective tools of human liberation, but have not achieved that condition yet because of the inequitable nature of society and the decisiondmaking elite. Servaes and Jayaweera on the other hand, approach the problem of new communication technologies from a realistic and pragmatic point of view. Their analyses is based on the basic premise that no nation is completely autonosous and there is no universal path to development. While Servaes posits that these technologies bring with it western values and ways of thinking, this can be rectified by balancing it with apprOpriate indigenous technologies (1988). Jayaweera on the other hand stresses the fact that the demand for technology is also from within LDCs (1987). The Brazilian case study of the computer industry clearly demonstrates this. 11 The primary rationale both these scholars work with is that transnationalization and the introduction of new communications technologies are a given factor within the world capitalist system. Disassociation or delinking from the world economic system is a fantasy with little relevance to the realities at hand for the LDCs. Considering the inevitability of this process, what policies LDCs can work with to harness this condition for their own benefits? They suggest that these technologies should be utilised to improve these sectors of the economy where productivity can be increased. This also leads to the question of national policies with regard to the incorporation of TNCs in the domestic arena. Servaes suggests that TWCs be invited to participate provided certain conditions are fulfilled: One such condition is that transnational technology transfer is directed and controlled by the host countries so as to contribute to the creation of domestic scientific and technological capability. Another condition should be that these transnational technology imports are not considered the exclusive or the most important channel of transfer. (p. 1987, p. 8) An interesting point to note from.Jayaweera's point of view is his opinion on capitalism and the use of new communication technologies. he looks at the technological problems of the LDCs as part of the workings of the capitalist economy. Since the development of capitalism is related to the use of technology, to minimize cost and increase profit (through the International Division of Labor), new communication technologies have made it easy to 8. invest and manage capital in LDCs. This has resulted in 'the failure of any indigenous technological base, and increasing dependence on the massive k a D base of the core“ (1986, p. 22). On analyzing the diverse viewpoints posited by these scholars, one can summarize that no nation is completely autonomous. There also seems no universal path to technological development. An interesting point to note, and one that is often ignored by critical scholars, is that demand for new technologies can often come from within a country and is not necessarily imposed externally. The Brazilian case is a good example (Adler, 1987). Technology transfer from the TNCs has however allowed some LDCs (particularly the more privileged groups within them) to benefit from technological advances in the developed world. The acquisition of modern technology has enabled these countries to use it without often going through the costly, time consuming and difficult process of creating it. Nainstream scholars have often given this as a primary reason for technology transfer. Yet there are also no long term benefits derived from this dependency and concentration of technology in the hands of a few. A small number of rich countries are still the source of almost all applied technology, and the TNCs are almost the sole suppliers (Barton, 1986). Technology transfer may expand the industrial output in LDCs, but it does not necessarily increase their ability to produce new technologies 39 appropriate for their needs. This will not occur unless the state undertakes explicit science and technology planning to create indigenous capabilities. The following three sections elaborate on the whole gamut of science and technological planning, which incorporates regulations, technology strategies, and approprite channels of technology transfer. It is important to note at this point that the economic perspectives analyzed below enables one to comprehend the plethora of practical issues development planners have to deal with in order to develop technological capabilities. On the other hand understanding the communication perspective helps in laying the basic theoretical framework for the presence of technology within LDCs. These are two very distinct ideas. a. Development looaomdcs Perspective Previously economists had focused attention largely on the questions of choice of technique and the direct cost of transferring foreign technology. lore recently their focus has shifted to a consideration of three complex conceptualizations of technological change in LDCs. This section tries to elaborate on these, by dividing it up into three parts. Part 1 deals with the role that the state plays in shaping, stimulating, and inhibiting technical change. And how it can intervene, through selective direct regulations and science and technology planning, to build indigenous technological capabilities as well as in the 30 acquisition of foreign technologies. Two ideal technology strategies that LDCs can pursue to achieve their goals are explored in part 2. This helps underscore the one Brazil chose for its computer industry. Part 3 deals primarily with the indirect costs LDCs hear when they acquire technology, in the form of “packaged“ transfers. This helps in understanding the variety of problems LDCs have to go through to develop their infrastructure in order to assimilate new technologies. 1I__Tha_atate_and_Teshnisal_Chansa Pew would disagree that in a number of LDCs the state plays a central role in shaping, stimulating and inhibiting various forms of technical change and assimilation. Devising appropriate policies to accelerate the absorption of technology is an important consideration for policy makers concerned with economic and industrial developaent. This means that policy makers need to be continuously aware of the ways in which the country's economic development goals can be best achieved, through the infusion of technologies. All this calls for purposeful state intervention to bring about science and technology development. This also implies a rejection of the concept that market forces on their own will lead to the development of technological capabilities in LDCs. The organization of state intervention requires consciousness and political commitment to the use of a variety of government policy instruments. These include 31 those aimed explicitly at the development of science and technology, and those affecting other development policies that have relevant technological implications (example: education, finance, industry, etc.) . The development of technological capability also includes complex activities including training, experience, local RSD development, and most importantly the diffusion of technology throughout the economy (Sagasti, 1979). The crux of the matter is that any form of state planning should have a technological component to it. With the resulting effect of an industrializing strategy that imbeds a technological strategy. The Brazilian science and technology planning since the 19608 has been following this model. Given the centrality of state involvement in technology areas, some of the more commonly found activities are direct regulations. Such regulations have the effect of increasing the bargaining power of the LDCs. In today's market, which is basically imperfect and oligcpolistic, regulations have been used to reduce costs (thereby saving scarce foreign exchange). They have also been used to protect local technological efforts as the government policies for the Brazilian computer industry clearly shows. A common form of intervention has been control exercised by the state over foreign technology agreements. This relates primarily to the price of imported technology and, removal or addition of restrictive clauses from the contracts. A good example of this would be the Brazilian 32 agency's (SEI) decision to allow IBM and Burroughs to manufacture medium-sized computers in the country. The agreement called for a certain percentage of the subsidiary manufactured computers to be exported, thus providing significant foreign exchange, besides the advanced technology. Related to the governments' attempts to reduce the price of imported technology have been attempts to influence forms of such imports (Joint Ventures/Licensing/DFI). The form of technology import may to some extent influence the price, but it may also have a bearing on the net social benefits. Many governments have intervened, where feasible, to limit the control by foreign capital, particularly wholly-owned direct foreign investment. In addition, the state has also used science and technology policy to effect changes in the structure of industry. Measures designed to influence industrial structure while simultaneously building up local technological capabilities has also included placing restrictions on technology imports (Amsden & Kim, 1982: Dahlman & Sercovich, 1984). The market reserve of the lower end of the Brazilian computer industry for local manufacturers completely changed the structure of the industry, which had previously been dominated by TNCs. Wise The explanation of this particular point gains relevance when I elaborate on the Brazilian informatics 33 industry. The government had explicitly followed a ‘catch- up' strategy in pursuit of the state-cf-the—art technologies (as laid out in the Informatics policy). Consequently, their failure to achieve this objective resulted in the more realistic pursuit of ‘technclogy-following' strategy. It may be illuminating to distinguish between the two different ”ideal type" technology strategies a LDC can pursue in their effort to develop a high-technology industry. a) Attempting to reach the industrial world technology frontier, that is the ”catch-up" strategy: and b) using, but not attempting, even in the long run, to generate frontier technology, that is, the "frontier following" strategy. These are elaborated on in the following paragraphs. However, there are extremely difficult problems that are confronted in following these strategies. A major problem in the ”catch-up" strategy is the initial selection, by private corporations and/or by the state, of the technologies that are to be developed. Not all technologies will merit attention and development, since in some cases the long-run costs will outweigh the associated long-run benefits. Besides the industry chosen will in all likelihood be inefficient in the short run. This brings up the question of the "right" paths or "sequencing" that has to be followed, in the long run, to develop "deeper levels of knowledge" for catching-up. (Should the industry establish a components base first and then move on to manufacturing complete products or should it start with 34 products?) However, the "sequencing" problem is complex since in some instances "deeper knowledge may be required in order to facilitate just routine production at “lower" levels of knowledge (for example the manufacture of computer components) (Rosenberg, 1982). The "technology following" strategy differs from the "catch-up” strategy in that it attempts to use foreign knowledge efficiently without building up the capabilities to challenge the frontier leaders, in the short or long run. The selection of technologies takes place keeping this in mind (example: 8-bit instead of 16-bit computers). The strategy does not preclude the selection of high technology industries that, it is hoped, will become internationally efficient with the passage of time (through success in exports, as hoped by the Brazilian government). Investments in technology transfer and basic infrastructure (example-- high level of education) is undertaken to increase productivity and efficiency. Foreign technology is "imported" in various forms utilizing both market and non- market processes, such as DFI, licensing agreements, imitation, scanning of foreign trade journals, learning-by- exporting, reverse engineering, etc. Technology following often involves situations where the frontier is shifting slowly, or where earlier-vintage (relatively speaking) technology is used, that is not currently employed in the more highly industrialized countries. The case becomes more complicated when the frontier is moving rapidly and the 35 problem is one of "keep up" rather than "following." This process of trying to keep up with rapidly shifting technology obviously results in a tremendous strain on the infrastructural capabilities of LDCs (Hoffman a Rush, 1980). There is an emerging consensus in the literature that there are important advantages in a country being a ”technology follower". Most importantly, the costs of knowledge and risk are reduced (since the technology is already established), thus facilitating increases in productivity at relatively little cost. This, suggests that only "relatively shallow" levels of knowledge are required in adopting a technology-following position behind the world technology leaders. Besides this general belief, it does matter where a country is, relative to the frontier of technology. Countries not on the frontier can ”play catch-up" without excessive R&D spending provided their rates of "physical investment" are high. This seems to be the key for technology followers. On the other hand, "catching-up" with foreign technology is not a passive process. Perhaps the most relevant and distinctive single factor determining the success of technology transfer is the creation of indigenous technological capacity, which seems to be a difficult task to achieve without the requisite basic infrastructure (Westphal, Rhee 8 Pursell, 1981). It is relevant to comprehend here that in following either strategy, an analytical problem will arise, when 36 evaluating the long-run social costs and benefits of the technological self-reliance, given the alternative of importing technology. Scholars have always justified self- reliance on the rational premise that the long-run social benefits outweigh the associated costs. But is this criteria met? Lall (1984) suggests that in some areas "self-reliant" technological change can result in internationally inefficient costly products, even with the passage of long periods of time. A good case in point are the Brazilian micros, which are still 2.5 to 3 times more expensive than those from international markets (Adler, 1987). Since the possibility of importing technology always exists, a good policy question to ask is: whether it is more efficient/productive, to utilize domestic resources to generate indigenous technology (as India has tried), or to transform such resources into exports to earn foreign exchange, and consequently import the technology (the path chosen by Mexico). It must also be kept in mind, that importing technology, and generating indigenous technology, are usually working in tandem and are not mutually exclusive alternatives. Touching upon the reality of the international diffusion of technology, scholars such as Kaplinsky (1984a & 1984b) and Hoffman (1981) have argued that recent "leaps" in the technology frontier as a result of microelectronics applications have made both "catch-up" or ”technology following” strategies more difficult, if not impossible to 37 pursue. The complexity of microelectronics-based systems, it is argued, makes it hard for LDCs to follow suit. As Kaplinsky puts it The assertion that LDCs can continue to assimilate DC technology at an unchanged rate, must be open to question. In contrast I offer a view that suggests that the gap between DC and LDC technology is reopening, but at the same time DC technology is becoming increasingly inappropriate for LDCs. (1984b, p. 154). l; £9§t_9f_1ran§fsf A good deal of attention has been paid, to the direct and indirect costs of foreign technology transfer. Direct costs are either overt or hidden. Overt costs appear in the contracted price (for example, the price of a turnkey project) while hidden costs are implicit. Both overt and hidden costs are direct in that they refer to the costs of purchasing of the knowledge itself. Indirect costs are considered below, the most important of which is the influence of the imported technology on local technology- creating capabilities. These costs seem to be of greater relevance to the LDCs, because of the long lasting effects such costs have, than the immediate ‘one-time' costs (Enos, 1982). The literature on formal technology transfers, which involve an active role for foreigners, has considered the process from the point of view of both the seller and buyer. The seller, attempting to get the highest price for the technology being sold, will try as far as possible to monopolize that knowledge. Simply by "packaging" the 38 technology, that is, by combining all the elements of the transfer (such as the engineering, supply of machinery and equipment, and training) into one "package," the seller may be able to obtain a higher price than if elements were sold separately. Sellers in a very strong position may only be willing to transfer technology when they retain the maximum control over its use, as in the case of wholly-owned subsidiaries. A good example of such a scenario is the mainframe computer market. With IBM Brazil controlling a majority share, it has had no trouble in starting up manufacture there. Had it been absent from the Brazilian market, it is unlikely that technology would have been transferred. Conversely, the buyer may be attempting to reduce the seller's monopoly through negotiations with several suppliers simultaneously and trying to "unpackage" the technologies (Enos, 1982: Vernon, 1990). Account must also be taken of the quality of the technology transferred. In the case of direct foreign investment (DFI), Lall (1984) has shown that sophisticated processes and products may be transferred without the ability to design or substantially change the technology. These capabilities are frequently centralized in developed countries. In such cases, know-how rather than know-why is transferred. However, it would be relevant to stress here that it is not obvious that in all circumstances know-why is more desirable than know-how. To begin with know-why may be more costly to purchase, and secondly, for some purposes it 39 may not be necessary (Lall, 1987, p.116). Since the late 19703, increasing focus has been paid to the importance of local technology creating capabilities. The rationale for this view is that local "knowledge" plays an important role in any transfer of foreign technology. An important insight in this context came from Nelson (1978) who stressed the "implicitness' and "tacitness" inherent in any technology transfer. He pointed out that high technology, as a result of its complexity, cannot be transferred in its entirety. The result is that the LDCs always receive less complete information than possessed by the sellers, despite the transfer of blue prints, instructions, etc. This obviously means that any technology transfer requires a certain degree of technological capabilities on the part of the LDCs. It further suggests that such capabilities also facilitates the appropriate choice and working of any technology. An increasing understanding of knowing how something works, and then progressing on to knowing why it works in the way it does, would definitely enhance the assimilation. The implication is that in moving from the former to the later there is a qualitative increase in the "depth of knowledge." Adapting foreign technologies to the local environment and gradually building up the stock of proprietary knowledge and know-how becomes relevant. It is here where domestic technological capabilities actually appear and develop. Such capabilities have strong economic repercussions for the LDCs, who have to 40 pay the price through the development costs in infrastructure, scientific training, human resources development, education, etc. (Katz, 1984). However these costs are dependent to a large extent on the channels via which technology is transferred. Channels which allow for technology assimilation and complete transfer would obviously result in a higher indirect cost. Similarly those which do not diffuse technology within LDCs have the effect of lowering costs (Vernon, 1990: Stewart, 1990). The next section elaborates on the various modes and levels of technology transfer, and the often implicit repercussions on development costs for LDCs. 3. CELINBLB OF TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER In the last two decades, there has been a rapid increase in technology transfer agreements, largely through the activities of TNCs. Industrial technology has increasingly become a marketable commodity, both within the operations of TNCs and through various contractual arrangements for the provision of technology and services to unaffiliated companies. The commercialization of technology, mostly in the form of fees and royalties for technical know-how and services, has increased considerably. This rapid increase has been influenced by several major factors, including the fast pace of technological innovation: the growing use of technology licensing: and other contractual agreements and: most importantly, the higher importance accorded to 41 technological development in the national policies of both LDCs and industrialized nations (Marton, 1986). Although most technology transactions have taken place between corporations in industrialized countries, payments for technology by LDCs have also increased significantly in recent years. By the early 1980s, annual payments for technology and services from these countries rose to around $2 billion, from $230 million in 1965. By the early 19908 such payments, could exceed $6 billion (Singh, 1981). Over a period of these two decades, the patterns and conditions under which technology transactions have taken place has also undergone major changes. Technology transfer has increasingly become subject to well-defined regulatory norms and measures, pursued by governments of LDCs. Consequently, technology transfer to LDCs has taken place under very different conditions, than that prevailing in industrialized countries (where the terms of transfer are normally determined by the private parties themselves). These differences stem not only from the very different techno- economic characteristics of the LDCs but, more particularly, from the role governments have played over these transactions (Marton, 1986). Obviously, different governments have adopted different approaches towards foreign technology, which to a large extent has also been influenced by the development model adopted. Import Substitution Industrialization (ISI) normally resulted in more restrictions, whereas export 42 promotion led to a more open economy. Though it seems difficult to generalize, an interesting point can be made on the relationship between the mode and level of technology transfer and the development path chosen by a LDC. 181 is normally more restrictive of foreign technology entering the country depending upon protectionist policies, whereas export specialization has tended to rely substantially on international technology, through DFI or licensing. Since the objective in the latter case is to manufacture products of international quality (e.g. Korean PCs) at competitive costs, DFI strategies enable this (Amsden & Kim, 1982). In order to place technology transfer developments in perspective, the pattern of transfer during the 1960s and 19708 is briefly reviewed. Although the major factors and elements which shaped technology transfer during these decades continue to operate in the 19808, new trends have emerged. Technology transfer arrangements have undoubtedly become among the most important relationships between enterprises in industrialized countries and LDCs. W The choice of the form of TT involves a varying degree of packaging of it. At one end of the range is transnational investment, in which ownership and control remains with the technology seller. This was the dominant mode until the 19608. Over a period of time, new forms emerged as LDCs pressed for more control: the development of international capital markets made it possible for finance 43 and technology to be separated: technologies evolved: and specialist high technology firms emerged which were prepared to sell and service technologies on an arms-length basis. For example, the availability of relatively inexpensive integrated circuits, along with the possibility of obtaining technology under license from small new firms, helped Brazil shift its technological dependence from the established computer hardware market dominated by market giants (Adler, 1987). Consequently, less packaged forms of TT developed, including joint-ventures (shared ownership and control): licensing (ownership and management responsibilities lie with the host country, but the conditions laid down during licensing often introduce constraints): franchising: management contracts: marketing and technical service contracts: turnkey contracts: and subcontracting. In general, the more monopolistic the industry and the more complex the technology, the more difficult it is to acquire technology, except through direct foreign investment (Stewart, 1990). W DFI is traditionally the most important channel of TT by TNCs based in developed countries. The growth of corporate transnationalization has been accompanied by technology flows from parent companies to their foreign subsidiaries and affiliates. What distinguishes the behavior of the wholly owned subsidiary is the function awarded to it. The 44 subsidiary is an entity in a transnational network, which draws on the financial, managerial, and technological resources of the network to carry out its work--which is to promote the interests of the network as a whole (Vernon, 1990). For example, in the mid-19708, the Brazilian government was planning to develop an indigenous minicomputer industry, through market reserve policies. IBM do Brasil, a subsidiary of IBM International's primary role was to lobby the government against any such initiative. This strategy was based on their desire to utilize the Brazilian subsidiary a8 a manufacturer and exporter of minicomputers into the world market (Tigre, 1983). Due to the close relationship between TT and foreign investments, the flow and stock of foreign investments in LDCs serve as an indicator of the magnitude and rate of growth of foreign-technology inflow. DFI increased from $1.8 billion in 1970 to $7.6 billion in 1980. More than half of these investments have been from the United States. The share of DFI in LDCs from Japan and the Federal Republic of Germany, however, has tended to grow more rapidly in recent years. These investments have been accompanied by an inflow of complex and advanced technologies. Investment in high technology sectors by TNCs based in the United States, Britain and Japan constituted an important share of total investments, ranging from 70 percent in Nigeria to 50 percent in Brazil, Ghana, Malaysia and Peru, 25-30 percent 45 in Argentina, Mexico and Singapore and 5-10 percent in the Republic of Korea, India and Thailand (Marton, 1986). W: Although TT in conjunction with DFI has remained the most important channel in most LDCs, the ownership structure of foreign operations has been changing. As a result of Third world regulatory measures on foreign investments, joint ventures have become an important form of TNC participation, which have established affiliates with varying levels of local share holding and responsibilities. At one extreme are cases in which the local partner, although owning a substantial share of the equity, is no more than a figurehead in its operations. Their main function is to satisfy the mandatory regulations of the host government. Frequently, however, a joint venture pools the different skills and resources of the partners and divides the responsibilities of management between them. Apart from enjoying a favorable position with government authorities, the local partner is likely to have a comparative advantage in selling the product in the local market, while the foreign partner is best suited for production and development (Manser & Webley, 1979). Was Policy makers in LDCs usually look on the subsidiaries of TNCs, a8 distinctly inferior to a joint venture that links foreign enterprises with local firms, and they often look on a joint venture as inferior to a licensing 46 agreement. The implicit assumption is that the TNCs will be unable to optimally utilize technology if there is a reduction in its share of ownership (Vernon, 1990, p.258). Licensing activities between TNCs and affiliated companies has been growing rapidly. This trend has been influenced by industrial policies of governments (who share the above mentioned fear) as well as by the increased technological capabilities of the domestic industrial sector. In several LDCs the public sector companies are involved in a number of priority industries (such as Cobra in Brazilian computers). These enterprises are often the largest companies in the country and have major stakes in TT agreements. They therefore develop an extensive network of licensing agreements with TNC. Besides, the acquisition of foreign technology by these public sector enterprises has been facilitated by the government, which has often allocated foreign exchange for this purpose, on a preferential basis (Ramamurti, 1987). Though these arms-length licensing agreements are a result of nationalistic policies, they often entail higher costs and greater risks to the LDCs. The interests of TNCs in the actual effectiveness of the TT is relatively limited. Probably the largest single factor determining the efficiency of a licensing agreement, is the same as that of a joint venture, namely the extent to which managers and technicians in the licensee enterprise are prepared to absorb the technology and adopt it to local conditions . 47 This obviously is greatly influenced by the national environment in which they operate (UNCTC, 1983: Vernon, 1990). There have been a number of developments in the various channels of technology transfer over the last two decades. Some have been popular with the LDCs because of the control it gave the governments over the TNCs, whereas there are others which have been particularly effective for the former. However, new trends have emerged which directly influence the LDC policies to becoming more flexible. 4. TREIDB IN TECHNOLOGY REGULATION There have been two trends in the technology acquisition process from the 19608 to date, where LDC policies have moved from regulation to liberalization. In the earlier phases, regulation aimed to reduce the costs of foreign technology by establishing maximum payment levels. Considerable attention was given to the terms and conditions in technology agreements: by regulatory agencies prescribing norms and guidelines (e.g. CAPRE/SEI for Brazilian Informatics). Varying degrees of regulation has existed in different LDCs, though government control has been fairly extensive. In some countries, as in India, foreign-technology inflow in non-essential sectors was prohibited. While in other countries, like Brazil, transfer of know-how without patent rights, was strongly discouraged (Marton, 1986). 48 Several countries which adopted technology regulation neasures in the 19708, significantly modified them in the latter half of the 19708 and the early 19808. With growing industrialization and liberalization, development plans had increasingly involved diversification and production in technologically advanced fields (such as computers). Here the availability of technology is limited to a few TNCs. In such cases, these TNCs have not always been willing to transfer their technology under the rigorous regulations, particularly if this is accompanied by controls over foreign investments. In several instances, the inflow of advanced technologies has been promoted by relaxations in regulation. Thus in countries where joint ventures are generally the only permissible means for capital participation by TNCs, governments have permitted the entry of wholly foreign-owned subsidiaries if the inflow of complex and sophisticated technologies has been involved (example: IBM in Mexico). Besides, the effective absorption of the more complex and advanced technologies require a longer period, which often exceeds the duration prescribed in guidelines (UNCTC, 1984). This has been reason enough for LDC governments to becoming flexible in their TT policies. The trend towards liberalization in regulation has been accompanied by differentiated policies for different kinds of technology. The Brazilian computer industry amply signifies this trend. With the introduction of the Informatics policy, the government hoped to manufacture 49 computers for the lower-end of the market. This required relatively less sophisticated technology. At the same time, they left the more sophisticated and of the market to TNCs, who were encouraged to bring in their technology to manufacture the mainframes, super-minis, and medium-sized computers. This relaxation in regulations, within the same industry but at different technology levels, underscores the pragmatism of the policy makers. This new orientation in government outlook, which has been referred to as the "new pragmatism", reflects the realization that the adoption of strict measures may be counter-productive for the acquisition of complex and advanced technologies. Thus, in Brazil, which was amongst the first to regulate the activities of TNCs, both as investors and technology suppliers, policies have become differentiated and more flexible. BHIISII- It is obvious from the above review that no nation is completely autonomous or free from the international economy. As mentioned by Jayaweera, transnationalization and pressures of new technologies are a given factor in the world economy of which the LDCs are a part (1987). Therefore trying to dissociate or delink the national economy from it is a fantasy with little relevance to the realities at hand. "Critical" scholars, such as Hamelink and Schiller, who suggest these options seem to have completely failed to apply the internal dynamics within LDCs, who demand these 50 technologies, to their theoretical assumptions. A balance has to struck between the position taken by the ”mainstream" scholars, pushing for a total adoption and assimilation of TNCs within LDC economies: and the one taken by the "critical” scholars, who push for dissociation from the TNC dominated world. Considering the inevitability of new technologies and TNCs, what are the science and technology policies that LDCs can work with to improve their lot? There also seem to be no universal paths to development. The analysis of ideal technology strategies, possible state policies for technical change, and the various channels of technology transfer illuminate the variety of paths LDCs can choose from, to establish technological capabilities. Obviously national policies, which incorporate the TNC presence yet pursue the simultaneous development of indigenous capabilities, is the key. The Brazilian example of the computer industry helps illustrate this point. They were willing to allow TNCs within certain segments of the industry while developing technological capabilities in others. Chapter 3 elaborates this process. CHAPTER III CASE BTUDY: BRAZILIRI OOIPUTER INDUSTRY The Brazilian government's nationalistic policy towards science and technology development has become a focal point for economic and political trade discussions. Brazil's passage of the 1984 Informatics Law, which formalized the government's policy towards high-technology infant industries led other LDC policy-makers to examine the replicability of the Brazilian strategy. This chapter tries to analyze the nature and success of the Brazilian Informatics policy. This allows one to understand the variety of technology strategies and channels utilized for industrial development. And more importantly, highlights the flexible and pragmatic nature of the government when it realized the difficulties it faced in achieving their objectives. In addressing these topics, I first present in Part 1 the technology policies of the Brazilian government since the 19608. This allows the computer policy to be viewed in light of other technology policies and highlights the interdependency in policy making. Part 2 turns to detailing the Informatics policy. The analysis of the development of the Brazilian computer industry in which the role of the government in providing 51 52 conditions necessary for its development is explored in Part 3. The successes and failures of the policy for foreign technology assimilation and development of indigenous capability along with the effects on users is evaluated in Part 4. LWLLMH The state has played a very active role in science and technology planning. At no time in its history did the government feel the need to forsake its presence in this area. As a matter of fact planners have always presupposed that direct policies, effecting regulations and costs, are a prerequisite to effective technological development (Evans, 1986). Even though the Informatics case specifically highlights state presence, a historical analysis of Brazilian technology policies only reestablishes the point being made. Technology policy in Brazil has gone through dramatic changes in the last thirty years. From a minor aspect of industrial policy, science and technology has moved to the forefront of Brazilian policy debates, forming a central component of economic development strategies. Brazil has also given more explicit attention to the development of technological capabilities than other Latin American countries. The two primary objectives for this attention has been their desire for steady economic development and 53 development of indigenous capabilities (Baranson, 1981, pp.15-22). Prior to 1262, industrialization involved extensive reliance on DFI and foreign borrowing. There were a number of important by-products of the early industrialization for the later informatics/computer industry. The fairly rapid rate of early industrialization led to the creation of infrastructure and experience in manufacturing and management (which also distinguishes Brazil from many other LDCs). The availability of institutional and physical infrastructure, and professional, managerial, and skilled industrial workers would contribute to the growth of high- technology manufacturing in the 19708 and 19808 (Wirth et a1, 1987). The first half of the 19608 was a major transitional period in Brazilian economic and political history, which indirectly affected the technology policy. Industrial growth was slowing and social protests were on the increase. It was during this period that policies began to address the problems of technology transfer. Laws were formulated which attempted to examine and regulate the terms of transfer, foreign investments and the relations between Brazilian affiliates and TNCs. Mechanisms to control abuses in TT contracts, with the aim of making conditions favorable to domestic firms, were put into place (Mattos, 1982). In 1261, in response to the political and economic crises, the military, with the backing of industrial and 54 urban elites, took control of the government. This period marked an important transition in government approaches to technological development. The military leadership pursued an active and explicit science and technology policy in both commercial and defense sectors. There was a high level of state involvement in directing policy, providing credit, ensuring qualified labor, and encouraging TT. This increased intervention was reflected in the growth of technology bases of both economic and defense activities (Adler, 1987). Policies to assure "real" technology transfer and to aid industry in acquisition of foreign technology were implemented between 12§A_§ng_12§1. Laws were passed which regulated remittances between TNCs and affiliates: capitalization of research costs: and imports of machinery and equipment. These policies were to provide ”incentives for foreign direct investors to encourage local production” by requiring domestic reinvestment of profits (UNCTC, 1984, p. 13). The period from 12§§_thrgugn_1214 marked a further increase of government interest in and support for science and technology development. The first explicit policies for technology and R 8 D were detailed in 1968. Numerous policy statements were issued, all affirming the importance of technological advancement to national autonomy and economic power. Programs to initiate TT and promote domestic innovative capabilities were started up. One indication of the growing importance of science and technology to 55 national development is its increasing share of the national budget. In 1970, the share was 0.84 percent, by 1982, it had risen to 3.64 percent (Tigre,1983). The Brazilian government relied on four approaches to support technology policy: subsidized financing to local firms: the development of physical and human infrastructure: regulation of contracts for acquisition of foreign technology: and the protection of the market for capital goods. While the existing reliance on foreign technology was maintained, the terms of TT were increasingly regulated, to encourage "real” transfer. The National Institute of Industrial Property (INPI) was created in 1970 to administer TT, patents and trademarks. In 1971 modifications in regulations of TT were carried out with the dual objectives of speeding up the transfer process, and increasing the bargaining power of the government vis a vis technology suppliers (Frischtak, 1986). The Second National Plan for 1215:1212, reaffirmed past goals, but also called for improvements in technological capabilities and increasing sophistication of Brazilian industries. Support for high technology industries (such as computers, aeronautics, petrochemicals) was explicitly targeted. The year 1974 marked a transition to more aggressive bargaining with TNCs and a greater reliance on national firms. The key objective was to develop local technological capability. Special attention was paid to regulatory mechanisms which screened TNCs for their 56 technological inputs into Brazil. This transition was, in part, fueled by the deceleration of economic growth, both nationally and internationally. By 1974, Brazil had to face economic repercussions of the first oil crises, a balance of payment problem, and recession in the global economy. This turned the government from state spending strategies to protection and market reserve mechanisms. Thus enabling further support for indigenous technological development which helped reduce imports and increase national autonomy. It increased support for national industries, and implemented requirements for local equity control and capabilities (Adler, 1987). The commercial successes of this period--in the production of internationally competitive weaponry, passenger aircraft, and single-engine planes--appear to confirm the wisdom of this strategy. The national plan for the period between 1229:25 detailed a broad set of policies and priorities rather than specific programs and projects. These are the policies formalized in the Informatics Law, discussed in the next section. The policies highlight present goals as gradual increases in industrial R 8 D: increases in the technological sophistication in industrial processes: and decreases in the protection of domestic production as competitiveness is achieved (UNCTC, 1984). II- W The 1984 Informatics Law clearly delineates the elements 57 of the current computer policy. It basically formalizes the policies articulated in the late 19708 and early 19808 by establishing an overarching policy for the development of high-technology industries and technologies. This law reaffirms the government's commitment to the protection of an infant computer industry by reserving the Brazilian market for domestic producers of minicomputers, microcomputers and peripherals. It specifies when industries will be classified as internationally competitive and when they qualify for protection. It is this law that had sparked the 0.8. claims of an unfair trade practice and has drawn additional international attention to the successes and failures of Brazilian science and technology policies (Felder 8 Hurrell, 1988). The elements of the informatics policy can be identified in four stages. In the first stage, the technology is beyond the capabilities of Brazilian producers. Foreign producers are encouraged to supply the Brazilian market with products and technology. The second stage is reached when Brazilian firms have the capability to produce technologically sophisticated products, but do not possess the ability to generate the technologies domestically. In this case, the market is protected and these infant firms are supported through subsidies and government assistance in obtaining technologies from abroad. The technology strategy at this stage requires domestic firms to follow the international frontier. 58 When firms possess both domestic financial and technological foundations for production, they have reached the third stage. The government begins to introduce export incentives and encourage increased competitiveness. The market in this third stage is still protected from foreign competition. In the fourth stage, when firms are internationally competitive as well as have indigenous capital and technology, market protection mechanisms are removed (UNCTC, 1984 p. 64). The Informatics Law additionally specifies that the market reserve will be enforced for 8 years, until 1992. It further defines that a Brazilian firm is one where Brazilians have majority control over stock ownership: managerial decision-making and technological development. In 1985, policy developments included the adoption of the first National Informatics and Automation Plan. It called for an increased commitment to human resource development. It additionally highlighted the importance of strengthening R 8 D activities which would integrate programs involving research centers, universities and industry (Frischtak, 1986). In one sense, informatics has been accorded a privileged position in Brazilian policy. The sector has been consistently supported politically and financially (despite 0.8. retaliatory trade policies). It has also provided a model and rationale for similar protection and support to other strategic sectors. In another sense, however, the 59 policy is not a radical departure from past industrial practices of import substitution, which drew upon a strong tradition of nationalism, where policies reflected commitment to industrial growth and economic development (Adler, 1987). One can claim that the informatics policy in Brazil has struggled with conflicting requirements since its emergence. The objective of promoting domestic technological capabilities has had to balance with accessing foreign technologies, the latter being necessary to the long-term technological and competitive needs of Brazil's industries. Reliance on foreign technologies can also undermine attempts to foster local capabilities and innovation (Evans, 1986). An analysis of the development of the computer industry and the related technology policy illustrates this dilemma, and how the government tried dealing it. This analysis will attempt to reconfirm the propositions laid out in the introductory chapter, namely: 1) Pragmatic Science and Technology policies, which regulates a high-technology industry, can lead to the development of indigenous technological capabilities. The Informatics policy is a suitable example. 2) Domestic technology policies and technology acquisition through TNCs is a complementary process, as highlighted by the indigenous manufacturing of micros: joint ventures/licensing of minis: and DFI in mainframes. 60 In. W191 The development of the computer industry in Brazil has been clearly shaped by government policy. The policy approach has been to regulate the computer industry by reserving the lower-end of the market, the micro and mini- computer market, for local producers while permitting TNCs to supply the more sophisticated end of the market (mainframes). The modalities of acquiring technology has been differentiated, depending upon the complexity of the technologies. For relatively "simple" systems, the Brazilians preferred licensing and joint ventures, and allowed TNCs to invest in technologies which were more “difficult" to manufacture. This is elaborated upon later in the chapter. These policies have promoted claims of unfair trade practice by international governments and firms. But many have argued that Brazil's approach to the industry is consistent with both Brazil's and other nations treatment of infant industries (Botelho, 1987). This section describes the computer industry, the development of the related informatics policy and the major influences which affected the two. It also highlights the consequences of this policy on industrial development, indigenous technological capabilities and technology transfer from TNCs. This leads to an attempt in answering the question: To what extent has the state succeeded in fostering an indigenous high technology industry? Th8_£9meufer_1ndu§frx 61 The computer industry in Brazil got off to a relatively late start. It was non-existent to the end of the 19608 and when it did emerge in the early 19708, the expansion was based on imports accompanied by neither government regulations nor domestic production facilities. The only computer manufacturing to take place in Brazil was some final assembly-type operations by an IBM affiliate. There were also minimal efforts to develop human resources or R 6 D activities (Tigre, 1983). The computer market grew quickly. Excluding micro— computers, the number of installed computers increased by 673 percent between 1973 and 1982. The primary consumer of electronic data processing equipment was, not surprisingly, the government, which accounted for 45.6 percent of the market in 1980. Micro-computers were introduced into the Brazilian market in 1973 and accounted for a growing share of the market. Even though the micro- and mini-computer markets was growing rapidly, it accounted for a small proportion of the total market share (Tigre, 1983). There are five major minicomputer manufacturers--Cobra, Edisa, Labo, SID, and Sisco--and three major micro-computer manufacturers--Cobra, sisco, and Polymax. Hewlett-Packard is the only foreign firm with local manufacturing of microcomputers and this is permitted only because HP specializes in scientific micro-computers. The 1980 mini- computer market was divided as follows: Cobra, the national company controlled 40 percent of the market: Labo 20 62 percent: SID 15 percent: and Sisco and Medidata each controlled 2.2 percent. In 1980, the distribution of shares of micro-computer production was: Cobra with 63.3 percent: Sisco with 2 percent: and Polymax controlling 34.7 percent (Frischtak, 1986). As compared to the characteristics of the market in the early 19708, the Brazilian policies have had some success. In 1984, sales of computers and peripherals manufactured in Brazil totalled US $1,700 million. Of that total, national production accounted for $881 million. This was based on the sale of 1,082 mini-computers: 61,680 micro-computers: 11,218 business micro-computers: 25,857 serial printers: 1,114 parallel printers: 10,267 video terminals: 35,273 financial terminals: 1,824 cartridge disk drives: 2,348 Winchester disk drives: 20,965 floppy disk units: 439 magnetic tape units: and 20,021 modems. Brazil now produces all the computers for the low-end of the market. Local content increased for many products: the import content of total sales by national producers decreased from 28 percent to 7.5 percent between 1979 and 1982. These accomplishments are completely a result of the market reserve established under Brazilian informatics policy (UNCTC, 1984, p.99: Frischtak, 1986, p. 41). The industry, moreover, seems dynamic. In 1977, only nine informatics companies operated in Brazil and six were foreign. By 1985, there were 274 registered companies in the sector and 247 were national. There are now a number of 63 software and consulting companies in Brazil which account for both additional economic growth and employment. Efforts to strengthen R 8 D infrastructure have had some success. By 1978, there were 208 scientists engaged in R a D per million population while in 1974 the corresponding number was 75 per million. There are now "an estimated twenty-five to thirty thousand scientific and industrial researchers and over one thousand graduate programs“ (Frischtak, 1986 p. 34). Despite the successful technological and marketing advances of the Brazilian firms, domestic firms still control a small share of the overall computer market and rely heavily upon foreign technology. W A description of the Brazilian computer industry does not, however, explain why the government intervened when and in the manner it did. This section specifically addresses why the intervention was so nationalistic and why it targeted the lower end of the computer market. A number of factors contributed to the growth of support for nationalistic approaches to industrial development. The underlying reason for the antidependency approach was the growing recognition of the political and economic costs of technological dependency. Different groups had different motivations and ultimately the confluence of national security, industrial, technological, commercial, economic and political pressures led towards policies for 64 technological autonomy. A significant factor contributing to the nationalist sentiment was the n11itg:y_1gaggr§hip;§ increasing sense of vulnerability to economic and technological dependence. It had been buffeted by the external shocks of the oil crises and global economic crises of the early and mid-19708. The military responded with attempts to nationalize the arms industry in order to reap the economic benefits of increasing arms sales. Restrictions on imports continued as did subsidies to domestic producers. Many were interested in the possibilities of a nuclear program, whereas the Navy was particularly interested in a domestic computer industry to incorporate systems in their vessels (Adler, 1987). There was also a growing sentiment among 1ndng§ria11§§§ an§_;hg_m1gg1g;g1g§§ that the country should have modern industries. In part this was a continuation of earlier nationalist sentiment--the image of a modern nation with modern industries. It was also a pragmatic reaction to the changing technological basis of production. There was a widespread recognition of the problems of dependence on foreign technologies and equipment (such as obtaining outdated equipment and processes, lack of spare parts or customized equipment). Furthermore, the importance of global communications to economic activities was growing. Industrialists thus expressed interest in increasing indigenous technological capabilities (House, 1987). There was support within the state for increased 65 technological autonomy. BnIgangrg;§_an§_§§g§g_gggngig§ realized that technological dependency reduced the autonomy of the state to make its own policies. Government agencies also requires specialized customdmade data processing systems, which was not easily available from international suppliers. Additionally, the size of the Brazilian market had been a source of leverage for the government vis a vis the TNCs. Experience in other industrial areas, such as in arms and petroleum, had demonstrated that local technological capabilities strengthened bargaining power. Another concern was expressed by nniyg:§1;y_§;gg§n;§_ang 2191:5822: in the sciences. They were frustrated by the lack of professional options. Many had graduate training in Brazil or abroad and wanted the opportunity to implement their prototypes and designs but could not interest the TNCs in local R 8 D. They too desired the commercial opportunities as characterized by the Silicon valley. This group (labelled as "anti-dependency technocrats") was particularly instrumental in the formulation of Brazil's technological policy, directing and participating in Capre and in many other agencies in the science technology institutional network (Adler, 1987: Evans, 1986). ua319n§1_gggngnig_ggnggxn§ provided an additional rationale for controlling imports and encouraging local production. First, payments for technology to TNCs, by their subsidiaries, was a major means of avoiding 66 regulations on levels of profit remittances. For example, these payments were characteristically much higher than the cost of technology were it purchased by an unaffiliated buyer. TNCs could thus overcharge for the technology used by their affiliates. Second, licensing, whether or not by affiliates, is a relatively expensive way of obtaining technical know-how. Despite the many regulations the Brazilian government had been imposing on technology transfer, the acquisition of technological capabilities is a lasting way of avoiding the problem (Erber, 1981). Summarizing the concerns of the various groups one discovers that three predominant forces had influenced the state to form the Informatics policy. The first was the tradition of nationalism, protectionism, and state intervention which had characterized Brazilian economic and industrial development plans. Second, there was a growing recognition of the political and economic costs of technological dependency. A third force was the changes in the international economy, and the prominent role TNCs plays in it. W The development of government policy towards the computer industry clearly demonstrates how the above described characteristics of the state, technological change, and the international economy interacted to push Brazil's policy into its present protectionist form. This 67 section explores why the government intervened when and in the manner it did. Ear1y_§gmputgr_zg1igy. In 1972, when computers were just entering the Brazilian market, the government created Capre to coordinate the purchase and use of computers in government agencies. As the use and purchase of electronic data-processing equipment increased in the early 19708, Capre grew in power and authority. It was the only official agency with responsibility for the review of computer purchases. Capre's explicit objectives were to achieve economies of scale, reduce imports, promote the development of a national industry, prolong the life of equipment, and help R 8 D centers obtain technology. These goals were consistent with the general industrial policy and not specifically nationalistic for Brazil's economy. (Ramamurti, 1987). However, it is important to note here that the government was strategically targeting an industry and had specific plans for its development. Early interest in the development of computer technologies was expressed by the Navy and the Ministry of Planning. In 1971 a contract was signed between the Navy and BNDE establishing Funtec 111, a project to encourage the development of minicomputers. The model pursued, although not explicitly, was to foster a national champion in the industry, like those that characterized the defence and aeronautics industries. In 1972, a holding company was formed, the Electronica 68 Digital Brasileira (EDB), through which the banks and government could establish computer companies. The EDB sought to foster a tzing (tripod) arrangement, a partnership of the state, private industry, and TNCs. A partnership with Ferranti Limited, a British firm already supplying computer-based ship and submarine systems to the Navy, was favored by the military. The BNDE preferred a partnership with Fujitsu. The EDB decided to create two computer companies, one with military orientations and the other with civilian ones. The civilian version did not materialize and consequently the 1:1:92 venture with Ferranti, called Cobra, was expanded to cover both military and civilian markets. EDB, meanwhile, was renamed Digibras and given responsibility for the national computer project. Ferranti was one of the few specialized high technology firms which had emerged internationally, and was prepared to sell and service technologies on an arms-length basis. It was also the first computer company to be willing to license its minicomputer technology to the Brazilians for manufacture. It was allowed very limited participation, being relied upon to provide the technology for only the first computer (Adler, 1987). As described by Adler, "the [zr1ng] arrangement reflected a pragmatic position. Those involved thought that domestic technology would progress most rapidly if Cobra used foreign technology to develop the national computer, but only if the foreign firms committed 69 to full technology transfer, with technology then to be absorbed by Cobra." He further contends that Ferranti was only chosen because it was receptive to Cobra's technology transfer requirements and not because of its product quality (1987, p. 246). Digibras indeed found that they could not easily obtain access to foreign technologies on Brazilian terms. Negotiations with Data General, Fujitsu, and Nixdorf for the development of a business computer stalemated on the Brazilian insistence that patents, blueprints, and other know-how be transferred to Cobra at the end of the license period. Digibras eventually contracted with a small American company, Sycor Inc., which was willing to accept the technology transfer terms. The license resulted in the production of two series of business and accounting minicomputers. Inspite of the pressure by Data General on the American government, for an embargo on this technology transfer, Sycor managed to sell its know-how (Mattelart 8 Schmucler, 1985). In both cases, that of Sycor and Ferranti, the chosen foreign partner was selected because of its willingness to accede to Brazilian technology transfer requirements and not because of the sophistication or suitability of the technology. This reiterates the point made in chapter 2 on technology strategies. The Brazilians were willing to follow the frontier of cutting edge technology rather than play ‘catch-up'. Their objective at this stage was to assimilate 70 new technologies rather than be on the threshold of the latest. With the deficit problems of 1974 and 1975, Capre was given additional power to control imports since government purchases of electronic data processors accounted for a major outflow of foreign exchange. Once they had the power to review and control imports, the individuals in Capre began to formulate a general Brazilian policy for the informatics sector (Tigre,1983). The next critical moment for Brazil's policy development occurred in 1976 when IBM announced plans to manufacture a mini-computer--the system 32--in Brazil. Rather than accept IBM's proposal, Capre, and then the National Economic Development Council (CDE), countered with a new policy regarding computer imports and production. The policy detailed by Capre in July 1976 subdivided the computer market--large computer systems were to be imported, while national production of smaller computers was to be encouraged (although without market reserve or state intervention). CDE also outlined the criteria for fiscal incentives: degree of nationalization, export potential, extent of technology transfer, viability of enterprises in market, and domestic capital majority. Although formulated by the strongly nationalistic anti- dependency members of Capre, the policy also reflected the concerns of the Navy. The Navy, and thus others in the military leadership, had continued their involvement in 71 Cobra and had pinpointed the computer industry as an area for local technological and industrial development due to the need for computerized guidance systems (westman, 1985). Capre was made up of engineers and computer scientists who recognized that much of the computer industry was beyond the reach of Brazilian technological capabilities. The lower end of the computer market (then the mini-computers) was consequently targeted for governmental support and encouragement. Due to the growing recognition within the government of the costs of technological dependence: the needs of the Navy: and the existing low technological capacity in microelectronics in Brazil, the government supported the Capre computer policy. When Capre announced an open-bid for minicomputer production in 1977, fourteen proposals were submitted, seven MNCs submitted independent proposals, one was a joint venture, and six were independent proposals by Brazilian consortiums. Apparently the MNCs were relying on the greater sophistication of their products in the bid competition and did not propose joint ventures entailing real technology transfer. Capre responded by approving four Brazilian proposals-~Cobra and three domestic consortium8-- and rejecting the independent TNC bids and the joint ventures. Capre later approved the entry of a fifth domestic company (Westman, 1985, p. 35). This was a clear indication of the governments' desire to create a computer industry through explicit science and 72 technology planning. Though regulations were yet to be formalized, bureaucrats felt the need to enter the less sophisticated end of the computer market to facilitate technology development. This was a reconfirmation of the technology strategy the government wanted to pursue. A frontier following strategy seemed more appropriate at this stage since the costs of knowledge and risks would be relatively reduced, and the potential for technology assimilation high. W- The changes in policies, as described below for the medium-sized and super- mini computers, very clearly demonstrates the pragmatism of the government. It also supports the proposition laid out in the first chapter that domestic technology development policies, and TT through TNCs are not necessarily contradictory, but can complement each other. Having realized that it was not possible to indigenously develop or manufacture the more sophisticated technologies, the Brazilians went about allowing the TNCs to produce the medium sized computers. A working relationship with TNCs was more likely to help in the acquisition of the more advanced technologies. Inspite of the change in plans, the government still regulated production in order that the domestic economy could benefit from it. In the years that followed, the Brazilian bargained with the TNCs about what could and had to be produced in Brazil, what would be an acceptable degree of nationalization, and 73 what would be the export/domestic market sales balance. The consistency of the policy, the power of the government to implement the policy, and the growing domestic production capabilities all served to strengthen the Brazilian government's bargaining power vis-advis the TNCs. Furthermore, the initial rejection by the TNCs of the government's priorities led to a super-nationalistic policy, in which the level of confrontation between the parties was heightened and the conditions for production much debated (Evans 8 Tigre, 1989). This policy was further adjusted under the Special Secretariat for Informatics (SEI), the agency which replaced Capre in 1979. In 1980 IBM was given permission to produce a medium-sized computer, the 4331 M62. This production was strictly regulated: the minimum memory capacity was held to two megabytes, the minimum national content raised to 85 percent, and the number sold on the Brazilian market limited to two for every three units exported with a maximum of 242 units sold domestically by 1983. IBM was also allowed to manufacture magnetic disks, for export only, which generated income for both the Brazilians and IBM. Burroughs was similarly allowed to manufacture computers in Brazil only if subject to export/domestic market requirements. The domestic manufacture and sale of the B6900, a large computer, was approved at 1,950 units with the requirement that an additional 6,020 units be manufactured in Brazil and exported (Adler, 1987). 74 These agreements highlight the change in the relationship between Brazil and the TNCs. The size and potential value of the Brazilian market, coupled with the possibility of exclusion from the market entirely, forced the TNCs into accepting conditions that five years previously they had rejected (the 1977 mini computer bids). Brazil, faced with a worsening balance-of-trade, was also forced to grant concessions, foregoing some long-term self- sufficiency for the income of TNC subsidiaries' exports. The state had also realized its incapability to manufacture the more advanced computers. Taking this into consideration makes it clearer why a highly nationalistic policy turned pragmatic. The increased strength of Brazil's bargaining position did not obviate the difficulties when obtaining relatively more sophisticated technology. In 1984, for example, the market reserve policy was expanded to allow Brazilian companies to produce "super-minis." Eight Brazilian firms submitted proposals. Three proposals planned to develop these computers with indigenous technology, while another five companies proposed to rely on imported technology. SEI approved the three-proposals-submitted by Labo, SID and Cobra-relying on domestically developed technologies and hoped that some of the other five firms would merge. This did not occur. SEI had intended these indigenous manufacturers to be on the frontier of super-mini technology. The local manufacturers on the other hand had 75 also been confident on being able to catch up with international technology. This too did not occur resulting in the slower development of the superdmini technology. In June 1984, SEI decided that licensing foreign technology was the only way to resolve the ”technology gap" and approved all supermini projects relying on foreign technology. In order to remain competitive, Cobra, Labo and SID were forced to abandon their indigenous efforts and purchase foreign technologies (Evans 8 Tigre, 1989). Thus, indigenous technological development in this case seemed too costly: competitiveness ranked above self-sufficiency. In retrospect, one can claim that SEI took a tough yet pragmatic position: tough because it ruled out joint ventures, and pragmatic because it understood domestic industry's need for foreign technology to allow it to stay abreast of developments abroad. This clearly underscores the complementarity of TT to the development of indigenous capabilities. Another area of the policy's evolution is the place of the computer secretariat in the government's structure. Initially, when Capre was responsible for the policy, it was a separate, insulated agency. In 1979, SEI replaced Capre, with direct links to the National Security Council and the President: this development reflected the growing importance of the sector to national security interests. In 1984, with the opening up of the government and the first moves towards re-establishing civilian rule, the government passed the 76 National Informatics Law (reaffirming past regulatory policies) and created CONIN, which is on “equal footing" with the National Security Council instead of under its control. Despite these changes in institutional structure, the informatics policy has remained largely consistent (Evans, 1986). In summary, the lack of initial success in bargaining with the TNCs led in part to the implementation of a market reserve policy. The case of the computer industry largely followed the government's broader approach to the acquisition of technology and local managerial and equity control, when the policy was originally formulated in the early 19708. The refusal by the TNCs to include local firms in the 1977 bids was a complete rejection of the priorities expressed by the Brazilian government. The Brazilian reaction was to leave them out of the future market, especially when the local firms had alternative sources of technology. More recently, the Brazilian government has made some concessions to international producers. The necessity of keeping channels open for continued technology transfer required that Brazil adopt some conventions of the industry such as copyright laws and the number of years, after licensing or purchase, that technology would remain proprietary (House, 1987). The need to remain competitive, as in the case of super-minicomputers, has also pushed the government to modify the informatics policy (clearly 77 demonstrating their pragmatism). When continued access to technology was threatened through the actions of transnational firms, the Brazilian policy has consistently been to modify regulations. Whenever the structure of the technology and the industry made it feasible, the Brazilian government has maintained its commitment to local industry and technological development. The Brazilian policy, in this light, appears both dynamic and pragmatic. The Brazilian firms have followed a strategy of technological development that combined several features: formal licensing contracts, copying and adaption without contracts (reverse engineering), local development, and imports of components. Formal licensing linked to systematic R 8 D effort was more frequent with the minicomputer producers: on the other hand, microcomputer producers use a copy-and-adapt approach, coupled with the import of components (Erber, 1985). There are also a number of characteristics of the computer market that contributed to the feasibility of this technology strategy. First, the Brazilian policy-makers concentrated on the low-end of the computer market (minis) because it required the least technological sophistication to enter the market. The presence of small high technology companies in the industry, such as Ferranti and Sycor, who were willing to sell technologies played another important role. The subsequent development of micro-computers proved 78 fortuitous for the Brazilians. As a new product, micro- computers had no established producers or importers supplying the Brazilian market. The micro-computers involved an even lower technological level to assemble. Besides the global micro market was characterized by relatively 'unpackaged' forms of production. In contrast to the large computers, where the technology and components had to be purchased together, micro-computer components could be purchased independently (Evans, 1986). Therefore, producers of microsystems have had to invest less than makers of minisystems, because of their ability to perform reverse engineering (in itself an indication of technical capability), and to import the necessary electronic components. As a matter of fact, Brazil still relies on the import of standard components. Mereover, in addition to soaring sales worldwide, microcomputers have become an integral part of communication systems thus making it a necessity for all productive activity. Ironically it is the lowest end of the computer market which is now critical to the development of the more sophisticated technological systems. Summary. Through an examination of the historical evolution of Brazil's technology policy, it appears that the computer case is similar to many of Brazil's other industrial sectors. An ISI (Import Substitution Industrialization) strategy, complete with import controls and support for domestic industries, largely describes the 79 Brazilian government's approach to the computer industry. However, the importance of the computer industry specifically, and technological advancement generally, .militated for a more nationalistic and protectionist strategy. The fear of not gaining technological sophistication, and the resulting difficulties in establishing the infrastructure for future technological advancement, provide two explanations for Brazil's commitment to its computer strategy. Moreover, government policy appears to be as much a consequence of the attitude of the TNCs to fostering local Brazilian production as to nationalist sentiment within Brazil: the two have been mutually reinforcing. It is the confluence of numerous factors, local support for technological autonomy and domestic production, the general logic of the state, strategic bargaining with the TNCs, and the structure of the international computer market, which provides an explanation for the emergence of the Brazilian policy. To the extent that the policy has had some success, it is likely that it will prove the model for other high-technology sectors. At this point, it would be useful to evaluate the success and failures of the policy, in technology assimilation and the development of indigenous capabilities. The following section also analyzes the effect of the policy on the various user categories. “.18W3112me As stated earlier, Brazilian technology policy has been 80 most recently and most publicly formulated in the 1984 Informatics Law. This law reserves the Brazilian market for domestic producers of minicomputers, microcomputers, and peripherals. This law also establishes an overall policy for the development of high-technology industries, with the objective of fostering technological self-sufficiency. Critics claim that Brazil's market-reserve policies have resulted in higher costs, lower quality and decreased diversity and, most importantly, the unavailability of computer goods for the Brazilian consumers. Others claim that limited technology has been transferred and assimilated. The data presented here suggests that the Informatics policies have led to the creation of a strong computer industry. Yet while sales and industry data point to some commercial success because of the protectionist strategy, it does little to clarify other areas of concern (Archer, 1986). Questions which become relevant now are: To what extent has the policy succeeded in transferring technological know-how and providing the foundations for future indigenous development? To what extent has the policy influenced the competitiveness of firms within the sector? To what extent have the Brazilians achieved self- sufficiency ? What are the costs to the users? In addressing these questions, I examine the accomplishments and barriers to the future growth of the industry. The Brazilian policy and strategy has had some 81 success in transferring technological know-how and providing the foundations for future indigenous development. It has encouraged the development of human resources: R 8 D facilities: domestically controlled industries: and ”real" technology transfer. Yet, there still exist barriers to the further development of the sector, such as abnormally high product prices: low economies of scale: dependence on imported components and user dissatisfaction. The extent of these accomplishments and barriers are reviewed below. Human_ngsgnzgg§LB_§_n. In the area of human resource development, the Brazilian policy has been largely successful. There are over 30,000 researchers and scientists in the informatics sector. There are five institutions providing doctoral degrees in computer science for approximately 10 people each year. The total number of researchers with Ph.D.s in computer science and engineering is 108. There are 15 institutions offering Masters degrees. Estimates of the total number of Brazilian researchers engaged in R 8 D range from 750 to 1,100. Frischtak estimates that approximately two-thirds, or 500 people, are working on software development (1986, p. 64). Proportional Brazilian investment in R 8 D compares favorably with that of the U.S. In 1980 Brazilian firms spent 8.7 percent of total sales on R 8 D. American computer and peripheral companies spent an average of 6.1 percent of total sales that same year. R 8 D expenditures per employee were $4730 for the Brazilian firms and $3265 82 for the U.S. firms. In absolute terms, however, the limitations of Brazil's R 8 D are striking. Brazilian public and private R 8 D spending is low in comparison to the global leaders in the informatics industry. This may be a further area of concern for the Brazilian industry. Nationally, only 0.54 percent of Brazil's GNP is invested in the R 8 D of new technologies. Between 1979 and 1982, Brazilian national and private computer firms spent US $160 million on R 8 D. IBM, in comparison, spent more than US $2 billion, equivalent to 6% of IBM's global sales, on R 8 D in 1982 alone (Tigre, p. 96). The difference in the financial resources available to the international industry leaders and those available to the Brazilian firms highlights their difficulty in reducing the existing technological gap. These comparisons suggest that Brazil has considerable barriers to cross to further technological development. It does not mean, however, that the Brazilian industry cannot continue to gain in market size and technological capabilities. Instead, the differences in financial and human capital resources suggest that Brazil's strategy must not be to compete directly with the TNCs for either markets or products, nor to strive for state-of-the-art technological capabilities in many product areas (technology following strategies), such as mainframes. Instead, these differences suggests that Brazilian policy must focus on enlarging the market for Brazilian firms (by promoting exports as well as the growth of a domestic market), 83 encouraging cooperative R 8 D among Brazilian firms, and ensuring continued financing of R 8 D and human resource development. This also has strong implications for other LDCs wanting to pursue the cutting edge of technology by following the catch up strategy. Since such LDCs have low R 8 D expenditure, it behooves them to pursue the frontier following strategies, which is more in line with these low budgets. 1ndnstzia1_§zgwtn. The growth of production can be best traced by analyzing data for the total revenue of the industry, which rose from $830 million in 1979 to $2.3 billion in 1985 (Frischtak, p. 45). The share of the national industry in production has risen rapidly relative to that of the TNCs. In 1979, the shares were 23 percent and 77 percent, respectively. By 1985, the share of the national firms surpassed that of the TNCs, at 50.7 percent versus 49.3 percent. Production of micro-computers exceeded 70,000 annually. Considering that in 1985, the production of 16-bit microcomputers reached 7,000 units, it would appear that approximately 90 percent of the micros produced are of the older 8-bit type (Cline, 1987, pp. 39-43). 1ndgs;rial_§§rngturg. By 1986, there were 250 registered informatics firms in Brazil. In spite of such large numbers there still exists a significant concentration. Cobra, remains the largest firm, although its share has fallen from 59 percent in 1979 to 17 percent 84 in 1983. The five largest firms accounted for 89 percent in sales in 1979, and 46 percent in 1983 (Tigre, 1983, p. 63: Cline, 1987, pp. 43-45). While such dynamism is probably caused by the changing market shares, a fundamental question remains (as discussed later), concerning the need for large scale efficient production, and the scope for a large number of firms to exist in a small market. WWW- Despite these achievements, the discussion presented in the previous section suggests that Brazilian firms rely heavily on foreign technologies. While the informatics policy clearly outlines increasing self-sufficiency in technological innovation, the pattern of R 8 D expenditure in Brazil, changes in products and the increasing pace of international technological change suggest otherwise. The Brazilian firms will find it difficult to decrease the technological gap at its present status unless they to depend on foreign technology. At this stage, it becomes relevant to elaborate on an important point made in chapter 2. When the government laid out the Informatics policy, it explicitly tried following a ‘catch-up' strategy in pursuit of leading edge technology. They were not really successful in reaching the international frontier of computer technology, either in developing a state-of-the-art computer or an indigenous component base at par with world standards. Consequently, the policy had to shift to a ‘technology following' 85 strategy. The result has been that the industry now manufactures more 8-bit than 16-bit micros: it has had to go into licensing agreements for the super-minis: and the medium-sized computers are completely manufactured by the TNC subsidiaries. The last few years have noted a technological shift towards a closed architecture in micro-computers (those using 16 and 32 bit micro-chips) rather than open an architecture. Closed-architecture systems require customized semi-conductors and proprietary operating systems, and are more difficult to copy or reverse engineer. There has also been a global shift to automation and vertical disintegration in the electronics industry. Larger production volumes and shortened product cycles now characterize the industry (Mody, 1989). This combination of shortened product cycles, automation, and closed architecture, means that, as Frischtak notes, 'efforts...to design, manufacture as well as copy...newer generations of machines becomes increasingly expensive (pp. 55)“. Brazil may have great difficulty in achieving international competitiveness as well as the technological state-of-the-art. 2zigggzzggngm1g3_gfi_2gg1g. Measured by price performance, the Brazilian industry appears to be relatively inefficient. Although domestically produced low-end microcomputers (8-bit technology) have fallen in price to international levels: for the 16-bit micros, prices are in 86 the range of 2.5 to 3 times the international level. The high cost of micro-computers is related to two factors. First, the attempt to reproduce technology, rather reinventing the wheel, which is available internationally, tends to increase costs. And more importantly, the scale of production is very low. Technology is not the dominant factor here, considering that the key microprocessor is available on the international market, making the micro more of a “commodity." In 1985, only 7,000 (16-bit) micros were produced in Brazil. Frischtak suggests that efficient production requires 50,000 to 100,000 machines per year for an efficient plant size (p. 64). On comparing the markets and economies of scale achieved by foreign and Brazilian manufacturers, he found that the Brazilian producers of 16- bit IBM clones manufacture on an average 200 units per month (or 2400 per year). In contrast, Apple shipped 250-300,000 units of Mackintosh, Compaq over 130,00 units, and IBM over two million PCs. Not being able to achieve these high production volumes, and the resulting economies of scale, means that it is very difficult for the Brazilian firms to be price competitive (Cline, 1987). Besides, the relatively small size of the Brazilian market (by international standards) and the plethora of producers involved in manufacturing will not allow for this scale efficiency. This orientation of producers to the domestic market also imposes high prices. Therefore the inability of the Brazilian firms to increase production 87 seems a consequence both of unrestricted entry of domestic firms and limited domestic demand (because of high prices). This barrier could be eliminated, if exports are encouraged or firms merge and consolidate. anpgngntg. An additional difficulty derives from Brazil's continued dependence on importation of components. The extent of links between the component and final product manufactures is increasingly becoming a critical determinant of international competitiveness. Leading computer manufacturers increasingly rely on in-house production of components. Control over the design and manufacture of components seems necessary to the development of the customized systems, which now characterize the global computer industry. As Tigre explains, A high degree of dependence on foreign supply of components can inhibit the future of the local industry. If Brazil does not develop semiconductor design and production capability the local computer industry would have little control over supply and costs or the major computer hardware component and would be reduced to a passive role with respect to technical change. This can constrain the long-term competitiveness of local computer products (p. 118). The technological requirements for semiconductor manufacture are much higher and entails a greater depth of knowledge than for the manufacture and assembly of other computer products. Brazil has very limited capabilities in high precision mechanical components (used in computer peripheral equipment) and microelectronic components (for integrated circuits). Tigre examined semiconductor production in Brazil and found that there were 13 88 manufacturers of semiconductors in 1981, and only one, Transit was nationally owned. The foreign firms merely assembled imported chips. Transit had a more integrated production system but halted its operations in 1981 due to financial and technical problems (1983 pp. 116-119). The Brazilian government thus faces a dilemma not unlike that faced in 1976 with respect to minicomputer manufacture. Even if the government were to invest heavily in the foundation of R 8 D (thereby increasing their indirect costs) and manufacturing facilities for semiconductor production, the quality and reliability would be lower than current imports. The use of domestically produced semiconductors would harm domestic manufacturers of micro and mini computers. On the positive side, the investment in semiconductor production capabilities would benefit the long-term autonomy of the Brazilian informatics industry. Meanwhile, the existing policy has had some success in decreasing imports of components (UNCTC, 1984, pp. 99-100). There are strict government controls over the import of components. Firms are allocated a fixed annual quota for imports. This quota varies for the different product lines, depending on feasible minimum sources of components. The import content of national firms' production declined dramatically from 1979 to 1981--from 29 percent to 8 percent. In contrast, the import content rose during the same period for foreign affiliates, from 28 percent to 40 percent. Tigre found, however, that there was growing 89 interest among foreign manufacturers in the nationalization of their products: this was due to both the government controls and the bureaucratic problems associated with regulations (p. 120). nserzManufasturer_nieeatisfastien- Potentially one of the most significant effects of the informatics policy is its adverse impact on users (or prospective users) of computers, relative to what would occur under "normal" prices. Though the price barrier is more an issue with micro-computers, when it comes to minis and super-minis technological disadvantages play a greater role (Cline, 1987, pp. 60-65). Since the higher end computers are not at an international technological level, corporate users have displayed a high degree of dissatisfaction. “A survey of 217 of the major Brazilian corporate consumers by Arthur Anderson, in June 1988, indicated a high level of dissatisfaction with the current situation: 85% of those surveyed said the major reason for their dissatisfaction with the industry was the high price they had to pay for what was obsolete equipment in comparison with that offered by foreign manufacturers (Straubhaar, 1990)". On the other hand, manufacturers have been displaying a growing tendency towards questioning the validity of a ”rigid“ regulatory policy. The desire to be competitive in technology (and the resulting increase in market shares) has led a number of local manufacturers to calling for greater 90 flexibility in acquiring technology via DFI and joint ventures. Interestingly, with the change in administration there has also been a more liberalized and open economy. Perhaps most significantly, joint ventures are now being allowed in microcomputers-an area which had previously been totally protected. The most dramatic of these has been an agreement between SID Informatica and IBM to manufacture the PS/2 series micros in Brazil. This should result in computers being produced at costs considerably lower than the completely national machines, and obviously, at more current technologies (Straubhaar, 1990). Market reserve still remains a highly charged nationalistic issue today, with strong overtones of technological independence. In economic terms, however, the direct and indirect costs of current policy appear to be substantial. Although the Brazilian economy is large by comparison with those of most LDCs, it may be too small to sustain production at an efficient scale. The evidence does suggest that costs are well above international levels. Moreover, informatics is a sector driven by dynamic technological change. It is unclear whether Brazil can keep pace with technical change in the absence of cooperation with TNCs. The proposition laid out in chapter 1 that technology transfer (TT) via the TNCs, and domestic technology development policies should be complementary simply highlights this dilemma. There is an obvious need for a greater working relationship with TNCs. 91 The central issue for the future is whether Brazil will pursue an increasingly comprehensive market reserve policy (for example, reaching up into the mainframe computer market) at higher costs: or will policy makers begin to prod the domestic industry towards international competitiveness (through a gradual reopening of the market). The economic liberalization being pushed by the new president, Collor, seems to lean towards the latter. He has clearly stated that the Informatics Law will be interpreted in the manner best suited for more open markets and fewer regulations (Straubhaar, 1990, p.16). fiummury. The above review of the impact of the Brazilian policy with respect to human resources, R 8 D, industrial growth, industrial dynamism, technological parity, indigenous technological and industrial capabilities, price performance and effects on users suggests only partial answers to the questions presented at the opening of the section. The Brazilian policy has had some success in establishing the foundations for further growth in the industry. Yet the local firms also lack the technological and industrial basis for semiconductor manufacture, one of the key inputs in the sector and of increasing strategic importance. The Brazilian policy, based largely on traditional approaches to industrial development, has succeeded in achieving the explicit policy goals regarding human resources and increased output. The requirements of the 92 international informatics sector, however, means that these traditional strategies are inadequate for competing in the world markets. The resources and mechanisms of traditional development policies (market reserve) cannot begin to cope with the pace of international technological change, the direct and indirect costs of technological advances, and the dynamics of implementing the technologies in a domestic market. Although Brazil's policy has succeeded in creating the basis for an informatics industry, there are indications, as summarized above, that Brazilian firms may have difficulties in reaching stages three (technological self-sufficiency) and four (international competitiveness) of the informatics policy program. Alternatively, there is the promise held out by Brazil's success in other technologically sephisticated industries such as petroleum exploration, aeronautics, and weaponry. There is no doubt that the Brazilian policy objectives of fostering a national industry have been met. It has created locally controlled manufacturing capacity in a technologically complex industry. It has also shifted its reliance on imports from final products to components. But it would be foolhardy to believe that these transformations have led to overcoming dependence or autonomy. The role of international technology is still pervasive throughout the industry. The imported microprocessors dominate the micros: licensing agreements influence the minis: and finally the 93 larger end of the market is completely dominated by foreign technology, either in the form of imports or production through subsidiaries. This leads one to believe that there are significant barriers to further consolidation of the Brazilian industry. Barriers arising from changes in the global technological frontier as well from the structure of both the international and Brazilian informatics industry. melanin Technology policy in Brazil has struggled with a number of conflicting requirements since its emergence in the late 19608. It has had the explicit objective of promoting domestic technological capabilities, and simultaneously access foreign technologies. The acquisition of technological capabilities was portrayed as critical to continued economic growth, competitive functioning of industries, and to military power. The two distinct, and often contradictory, goals were linked through the promotion of pragmatic and strategic nationalist programs, such as the Informatics policy. There exists a dilemma regarding the source of technology. Access to foreign technologies is necessary for the long-term technological and competitive needs of Brazil's computer industry. At the same time reliance of foreign technologies can undermine attempts to foster local capabilities and innovation. Brazilian policy has tried to strike a balance between these two constraints by addressing 94 the terms of technology transfer (through regulations) and the introduction of market protection mechanisms. It has tried to resolve the political contradictions of such a policy through pragmatic bargaining with the TNCs and the implementation of increasingly nationalistic policy. The rhetoric of nationalism, the ideology of anti-dependency, and the resulting regulation of technology transfer, foreign direct investment, capital remittances and market production levels (domestic versus export) allowed the Brazilian government to create new areas for negotiations with the suppliers of technology. The costs of not gaining technological sophistication, and the difficulties in establishing the infrastructure for technological advancement provide two explanations for Brazil's commitment to its computer strategy. It is the confluence of numerous factors, local support for technological autonomy and local production, the general logic of the state, strategic bargaining with the TNCs, and the structure of the international computer market, which provides an explanation for the emergence of the Brazilian policy. The review of the impact of the Brazilian policy with respect to human resources, R 8 D, industrial growth, industrial dynamism, technological parity, indigenous technological and industrial capabilities, price performance and technological diffusion suggests that the Brazilian policy has succeeded in achieving its explicit policy goals 95 regarding these issues. But, the requirements of the international informatics sector, however, mean that these goals are insufficient to ensure further technological development in Brazil. The resources and mechanisms of traditional development policies, while producing some significant results, are inadequate to respond to the pace and costs of international technological change. On the other hand, one of the significant results that the policy has achieved is strengthening Brazil's bargaining position vis-a-vis the TNCs. Nevertheless, dependence especially with respect to required imports of components and technologies appears to have simultaneously increased. This dependence on continued access to technological advances has forced Brazil to make some concessions to international firms. One of the critical questions at this juncture is whether Brazil will maintain its current balance between autonomous development and dependence: will it move towards technological self sufficiency: or will it become increasingly reliant on foreign technologies and components. The following chapter elaborates on the implications of the Brazilian experience for other LDCs, specially with regard to science and technology planning, regulations, TT, and the role that TNCs play in it. The central theme is that strategies and policies can over time not only result in the development of domestic capabilities, but also in the acquisition and assimilation of foreign technologies. CEIPTER IV INPLICRTIONB I'OR SCIENCE AND ammo! PLANNING IN LDC! The affluence in communication technologies in the industrialized West and poverty in the LDCs, is a condition few planners find acceptable. What the LDCs need is the means to be self-reliant, and the resources and information to develop their society and economy on their own terms. While appropriateness of communication technology for their own particular needs is relevant, the means to develop their own communication infrastructure, produce their own software and manufacture their own basic equipment, is equally important. This presents them with a difficulty. The LDCs seek independence and self-reliance. It is clear, however, that no country in the contemporary world can be fully independent from all others. Besides history has shown that more frequently than not, efforts to industrialize has led to increased technological dependence. The LDCs' desire for complete independence is therefore not possible. Obviously, most of them will not have the resources (in the foreseeable future) to launch their own communication satellite, manufacture their own computers, and produce all 96 97 the equipment necessary for modern information exchange. The objective, therefore, cannot be total independence. Rather, it is self-reliance to the extent possible, and a lessening of the one-sided dependence which LDCs experience in relation to industrialized states. This thesis deals with these issues of adoption and creation of new communication technologies within LDCs. Obviously this phenomena touches upon the simultaneous development of indigenous capabilities and technology transfer. The Brazilian case study helped in understanding the problems a country goes through in the acquisition of foreign technology, and in developing a domestic high technology industry capable of producing new technologies. The complex interplay of forces between government, foreign and national industries bring out the dynamics of technology development. It also investigates the propositions laid out in chapter 1, that local technological capabilities in a high technology industry can be developed by pragmatic and scientific policies which encompass regulatory mechanisms. Similarly, technology transfer via TNCs can play a complementary role to domestic technology development policies. A working relationship with TNCs can help in acquiring the more sophisticated teChnologies. To this end, this chapter seeks to analyze these problems. The issues discussed here have practical implications for LDCs, and have been set up in three sections. 98 Part 1 discusses the success and failures of the Brazilian Informatics policies, and the implications it has, if any, for other LDCs. The second part lays out the strategic and pragmatic policies LDCs can pursue (example: regulations and creation of indigenous technological capabilities) to achieve technological development. And the final part suggests that selective involvement and interaction with TNCs can be a reasonable way of acquiring technology, provided it is pursued in tandem with the creation of domestic capabilities. The chapter also reflects on the preferable TT channels and the technology strategies useful for LDCs to pursue. MW: One of the central concerns of those examining Brazil's policy is to determine to what extent the protectionist strategy can provide a model for the development of high- technology industries in other LDCs. However, this strategy is of limited use as a blueprint for the development of other LDCs. First, the market reserve policy is but one of many factors contributing to the growth of the micro-and mini-computer industry. An understanding of the other factors--political, institutional, economic, and ideological--suggests that many government mechanisms/policies, as well as the characteristics of the global computer market, contributed to the emergence of the Brazilian industry. 99 Besides, Brazil had previous manufacturing and engineering experience which contributed to the feasibility of the sector's development. The size of the local market also allowed Brazil greater bargaining power with TNCs in obtaining technology. Since few others share these advantages, Brazil's policy cannot act as a blueprint. The policy experience may, however, suggest the utility of particular measures, such as market reserve, preferred channels of TT, etc. An assessment of just how applicable different measures can be, for other industrializing nations, is one question for further analysis. Advocates of the computer policy have praised the development of a national industry, specially a high- technology industry. They focus on expected decreases in technological dependence, improvements in the skill levels of the workforce, and the improved bargaining position of the country. They look to the policies, and the indirect costs borne, which have promoted the industry-the development of human resources, the promotion of R8D, the regulation of technology transfer and capital, the channels utilized, and the protection of the market-to assess the adequacy of each measure, and the applicability to other countries. However, a few important points need to be made in terms of where the industry stands today and what it has or has not achieved, through regulations of the market. At the outset, it is quite clear that the market reserve 100 policy has not created complete technological autonomy, as was desired by the Brazilians (even at the lower end of the market). But one has to look at it from the perspective that domestic technological capabilities in a new high-technology industry has been created. The point being made here is that even if they can reproduce the state-of-the-art technology, instead of creating it, it is good. This simply reiterates the point made earlier that a “frontier following' strategy is useful for technology assimilation. The downstream benefit of not being completely autonomous and self-reliant is that the local industry invests relatively less capital in R8D (thereby reducing indirect costs). On the other hand, if Brazil pursues the “catch-up“ strategy to create cutting edge technology for the industry to move up the technology- ladder, TNC participation becomes important. A case in point was the super-mini project where access to international technology became necessary. The government immediately set up licensing agreements with TNCs to achieve this capability. One must realize that the market reserve policy for microcomputers was only part of the whole strategy, which also included a wide variety of associations with foreign companies at different technology levels. This is a reflection on the pragmatic nature of Brazilian policy makers. A complementary role for TNCs was more successful in the technological development of the industry rather than complete protectionism. The regulations were able to develop 101 national competence and stimulated TNCs to behave in ways they would not have otherwise. Because of this policy, and because there were sophisticated manufacturers in Brazil, TNCs were willing to talk about joint ventures and technology transfer. The other area of concern is the orientation of Brazilian output towards the domestic market. This precludes the manufacturing of the sophisticated microcomputers (16- bit) at adequate scales of efficiency. The high cost/price experience, as a result of low production, tends to confirm the significance of export orientation-to the extent that economies of scale is achieved. The basic point is that the policy should be dynamic so that, by increasing pressure for efficiency, the ”infant industry” grows up. There would be little gained from forcing market reserve higher towards the mainframe range, and much to be lost in terms of increased costs. In this regard the original perception of the architects of the regulations appeared pragmatic and accurate: Brazil could aspire to manufacture the smaller, less sophisticated computers, but an attempt to produce the sophisticated mainframes without participation by the TNCs would be a mistake. At a macro level, the Informatics policy should not be restricted to just market reserve where the primary goal is the achievement of technological autonomy. In order to make it a truly effective policy it should strive for a higher level of technological capability, as well as try to incorporate it 102 in other areas of the economy. It should also integrate sectorial policies from education, human resources training, industry, telecommunications, and employment. (Straubhaar, 1991). For those LDCs contemplating the promotion of indigenous high-technology industries (such as computers), key policy considerations culled from the preceding chapter can be useful. Even those LDCs with the technical resources to make an entry into high-technology production feasible, need to select carefully the appropriate point of entry. Few, if any, LDCs can ever expect to become over-the-board producers of all the technologies involved, ranging from the relatively simple ones to the very sophisticated end. For example, not many countries can hope to manufacture all sizes and classes of computers. Due to lower capital requirements, and the lesser level of complexity involved, products at lower technology levels holds somewhat greater potential for entry by LDCs (such as microcomputers). The second important consideration is the influence of a pragmatic regulatory environment, which accepts the influence of TNCs as a major source of high-end technologies. And finally, science and technology planning, which encompasses all the relevant sectors of the economy effected by technology, should be prioritized. The policies which LDC governments can pursue to achieve their technological development capabilities are elaborated 103 in the following section. These objectives can be achieved through systematic TT (by introducing regulations): and by enhancing the efficiency of transfer (by improving domestic capabilities). MW It is imperative that coherent and comprehensive national science and technology policies are created to improve economic and technological conditions within LDCs. The technological means to achieve their objectives must be acquired by the LDCs if development is to have the chance of success. Technology should play a central role in national development plans. Acquisition of technology in itself, however, will not lead to economic growth, but the ability to utilize and adapt it will. It is important to understand at the outset, the major distinction between acquiring technology and acquiring technological capability. One requires the strategic use of TT channels, and the other a pragmatic blend of science and technology planning. It is possible, for example, to acquire foreign technology through DFI, licenses, know-how agreements etc. Technological capability, however, is acquired only through industrialization, formal education, on-the-job training, experience and specific efforts to obtain, assimilate, adopt, or create technology (Dahlman, 1984). Moreover there are levels of assimilation, ranging from equipment being dumped in LDCs where it is operated at low 104 capacity and high costs, to full technological capability being transferred, where it is operated efficiently. The various possible stages of TT are shown in the figure below. How far up the ladder a country wants to go depends on the technology in question and capability of the country. In the process of development, most countries strive to mount the ladder of full assimilation for three reasons: firstly, higher stages permit more efficient operation of the technology: secondly, the ability to operate at a higher stage indicates indigenous capability (both technologically and organizationally) and therefore increased ability to acquire and bargain over new transfers: and thirdly, in the higher stages LDCs can take control over the direction of technical change (Lall, 1987). Lexels_9f_Testhles¥_Assuisifien INNOVATIVE Ability to generate next (Advanced design) generation system ADAPTIVE Ability to adapt product (Technological design 8 reengineer self-reliance) production process DUPLICATIVI Ability to expand output (Intermediate without further foreign level) assistance OPERATIONAL Ability to manage/operate (Basic level) production facility designed 8 built by foreign partner (Lall, 1937) 105 All this calls for purposeful state intervention to bring about science and technology development. This also implies a rejection of the concept that market forces on their own will lead to the development of technological capabilities in LDCs. The organization of state intervention requires a consciousness and political commitment to the use of a variety of government policy instruments. These instruments include those aimed explicitly at the development of science and technology, and those affecting other development policies that have relevant technological implications (e.g. education, industry, finance, etc.) (Sagasti, 1979). The development of technological capability also includes complex activities such as training, experience, local R8D development, and most importantly diffusion of technology throughout the economy. The crux of the matter is that any form of state planning in economic development should have a technological component to it. With the resulting effect of an industrialization strategy that imbeds a technological strategy. Given the objectives of economic growth and the development of technological capability, LDCs' policies should therefore be designed to improve the terms of TT (through regulations), enhance the efficiency of the transfer (by improving local technological capacity), and increase the appropriateness of the technology in use. There may be some trade off between these aims, and 106 individual countries would have to decide where their priorities lie. The recommendations made here are highly selective and do not pretend to “cover the waterfront." There are a whole mountain of issues that have not been breached, including technology policies of TNCs, the poor R 8 D performance of most of the LDCs' private sector, etc. On analysis of the previous section, two types of policies are relevant: direct regulation of the form and terms of technology transfer and policies to build up local technological resources (science and technology planning). These will be discussed in turn. Win: An important issue is how governments should intervene in the form of technology acquisition, either by providing special incentives for DFI or by limiting the areas in which it may operate: requiring TNCs to participate in joint ventures or permitting only arms-length TT. Different countries have adopted each of these regulatory approaches: for example, many countries provide generous tax incentives to encourage DFI, while others only permit minority ownership in industries. Singapore is a successful example of the first approach and South Korea (until recently) has encouraged arms-length TT. The most appropriate approach partly depends on the stage of development of a particular country. In the early stages, LDCs may lack the capability to organize TT and therefore may need to rely on DFI. But at intermediate stages of development, there is considerable 107 evidence that arms-length TT is associated with greater technological learning than DFI (Stewart, 1990). A variety of restrictive measures can be employed by LDCs to promote their domestic technological capabilities. These measures-which include tariff protection, ban on imports, export performance requirements, and local content requirements - are clearly not unique. Their effectiveness depends on a number of factors, including the economic characteristics of the particular country. A country with a large internal market is in a more advantageous position to impose conditions than one with a tiny market. The nature of the industry is also relevant. On the one hand it may be impossible to secure sophisticated technology (e.g.telecommunication switching systems) without DFI. On the other hand, the more sophisticated the technology, the ability to put it all together without DFI could be less. It may also be difficult for LDCs to get access to the latest technological developments. This probably is the reason why South Korea encouraged DFI for the more sophisticated technologies and export industries (computers) (Kim, 1988) . Such regulations generally have the effect of increasing the bargaining power of the LDCs. In today's market, which is basically imperfect and oligopolist, regulations are effective in reducing direct costs (thereby saving scarce foreign exchange). They also protect local technological efforts, as the government policies for the Brazilian 108 computer industry clearly shows. However, whatever mechanisms LDCs utilize it is imperative that selective and temporary protection of the industry is undertaken. Government intervention is essential, but what form it takes is equally relevant. Consistency among the various elements of a national policy is important but this should not be synonymous with rigidity. The state should leave open a variety of avenues for the acquisition of technology. There seems to be strong reasons for preferring arms- length 'unpackaged' TT, especially in relation to building up local technological capability. But this may not be a realistic possibility for the more sophisticated communication technologies, nor an efficient alternative for LDCs at an early stage of industrialization/development, with weak or no domestic technological capability. anildins_Le8al_Tsshnolesisal_£anabilitx= Similarly domestic ownership and control of technology is not sufficient to ensure successful technology transfer. Local efforts are definitely needed for effective and efficient assimilation of technology because of two important factors. Firstly, it enables adaption and absorption of the technology transferred, and secondly, a higher level of appropriateness to the local conditions can be achieved. High levels of indirect costs, such as human capital, are essential for this process. Government policy to build up education in general, and scientific and technical 109 education in particular, has been a vital element in the success of technological developments in Taiwan and South Korea, and its absence one of the major missing factors in Brazil and many African countries. Any LDC government with serious ambitions of developing a high-technology industry must recognize the indispensability of a strong technological base to support such an industry. Even more important perhaps than capital is the availability of highly trained and experienced scientific, engineering, and technical personnel. Such personnel are the key asset in the development of a high technology industry. since the educational system plays an important role in the preparation of the labor force, the state has a crucial role to play in laying the foundation for the establishment of the infrastructure. In addition to support for general education government aid is needed for R 8 D institutions. Local R 8 D is needed to adapt products and technologies to local conditions, especially to generate appropriate technologies. A close tie with end users: a strong commercial focus: a clear, defined, mandate and high-class personnel are essential. Some general recommendations can be drawn from the Brazilian case study which can aid in the acquisition and assimilation of technology in LDCs. First, the existence of technically qualified manpower is an essential prerequisite. Second, old style formal R 8 D in laboratories is ineffective by itself: research must have strong links with 110 industrial and productive activity. Third, no country can aim for complete independence: international trade in technology will continue to be an essential aspect of industrial and economic development. Even though the line dividing dependence from independence can be unavoidably arbitrary, there is obviously a difference between a country that imports most of its technology and lacks the capacity to create its own, and a country that enjoys a two-way trade in technology and could rely on its own technological resources for a large part. The balancing act between excessive dependence and unrealistic independence is a pursuit which more often than not calls for a selective involvement with TNCs, and some degree of self reliance. WW LDCs understand the importance of communication technology for their development, but they are hindered from exercising real choices in choosing strategies for technological transformation. The international economic system has numerous mechanisms and institutions which keep LDCs dependent and widen the technological gap. A handful of corporations and government agencies control most sources of new technology. For example, in the electronics production industry, ten TNCs based in five developed countries manufacture most communication equipment and they account for much of the world's R8D for information technology (Stafford, Dunning 8 Haverich, 1980). The result 111 of this high level of concentration is a strong oligopoly on new technology. These TNCs determine which technological resources will be available and how much the technology will cost. Hence, it becomes imperative that LDCs set goals to establish a technological base to overcome this TNC dependence. This reduces the excessive dependency by building capacity to partially produce their own hardware and software. Autonomy in the production of technology does not mean technological independence. It just means that selective involvement and interaction with TNCs takes place when the technology is beyond the means of LDC production. Self-reliance in communication technology also does not mean that LDCs should reinvent the wheel. It simply means that they should aim to have the capability and capacity to do so. It is also the capacity to identify national needs and to select and apply both imported and domestic hardware to meet these needs. All this requires political will and national self-confidence for progressive change. The world has become not only economically interdependent but technologically as well. And is the case, this interdependence is asymmetrical. Thus even countries with strong nationalist policies, such as Brazil, have had to articulate their development efforts with the process of technology transfer from TNCs. Even policies as controversial as the Informatics Law did not preclude intimate connection with the TNCs. 112 As a matter of fact, the overall informatics policy could not have proceeded without the cooperation of some of these corporations. This results in a dilemma for the LDCs regarding the source of technology for the development of their high-tech industries. Access to cutting edge foreign technologies is necessary for the long-term technological and competitive needs of the industry. At the same time this reliance can also undermine attempts to foster local capabilities and innovation. The state policy should try to strike a balance between these two constraints by addressing the terms of technology transfer (through regulations) and the introduction of protection mechanisms. It should try to resolve the contradictions of such a policy through pragmatic bargaining with the TNCs and the implementation of increasingly nationalistic policies. Nationalism, anti- dependency, and the resulting regulation of technology transfer: DFI: profit remittances: and market production levels (domestic versus exports) allow governments to create new areas of negotiations and cooperation, with the suppliers of the technology. This addresses the proposition put forth at the beginning of the study: that domestic technology development policies and TT through TNCs can complement each other. The ability of a country to obtain better conditions in such international bargaining largely depends on the success of its policies in fostering some level of self-reliance, in 113 some technological field. On the other hand, TNCs also recognize the fact that an active state, capable of developing an infrastructure is a better economic partner than an inefficient one. Thus nationalist technological policies and the processes of technology acquisition through TNCs are not contradictory but complementary, and the conflicts arising from such interactions should be accepted as expressions of an endless bargaining process. Given the current interdependency of the world economic system, the LDCs should not shy way or be defensive about being at the receiving end of technology. If they want to further this balance in their favor, it can only be done by being aggressive, competitive and smart in pursuing their self-interests. TT is an interactive process between suppliers and users. LDCs do have a difficult balance to strike in choosing which technologies to import and how to import them. On the one hand, they need the efficiency and productivity that modern communication technologies offer. On the other hand, they do not want to pay an excessive price (which TNCs demand): they want to avoid the inappropriate characteristics of imported technologies: and they want to build up their own technological capacity, which can be inhibited by excessive dependence on imports. 9211211181211 The main arguments of this chapter are that given the present circumstances and future possibilities, the alternatives before the LDCs is either to stagnate or invest 114 in building advanced technological capabilities. This, however, cannot be done under a blanket formula. The Third World is not a monolith. There are wide variations within it, in terms of history, social structure, culture, and scientific and technological competence. But there is a uniformity in terms of needs, though levels may vary. Technology planning and choices must be governed by a pragmatic assessment of conditions and circumstances in each particular case, not by blanket formulas or ideological considerations. Technological competence can only be built by "learning-by-doing" , which requires strategic and pragmatic science and technology planning. This opportunity exists for a number of LDCs today, through locally available knowledge as well as through international technology transfer (as the case of the Brazilian computer industry so clearly emphasizes). Both sources are equally important and must be utilized for building advanced capabilities. There are certain things the LDCs can do on their own. For others, they must borrow technologies from outside, master them, and adapt them to suit their own needs and circumstances. Practical difficulties apart, the intense debate between the North and the South, which borders on the philosophical, the ideological and the polemical, often mars the judgement of policy makers and planners. The final chapter reflects on the theoretical issues which have arisen because of the debates by scholars analyzing communication technology and development. CHAPTER V CONCLUG ION This concluding chapter reflects on the theoretical issues which were raised in chapter 2. The realities at hand, for the LDCs, are grounded to the various approaches communication scholars have taken to technology and development. In order to understand this, it is important to realize that the rapidly advancing technological frontier will inevitably have major consequences for the LDCs. Even if, for the moment, we discount applications of new evolving technologies within LDCs, their spread and employment in industrial nations is likely to have significant impact on world patterns of trade, production, investment and consumption. On the other hand, we simply cannot discount the fact that new technologies are a response to social and economic needs, be it in the industrialized world or within LDCs (Pool, 1983: Jayaweera, 1987). Equally predictable is that modern communication technologies will be deployed in LDCs. Governments feel the need for economic rationalization and efficiency, and they do believe that the introduction of new technologies will achieve these objectives. There is also an inherent belief 115 116 that technology applications will solve the problems of economic and social backwardness. Indeed microelectronics and information technologies are already prevalent in the newly industrializing countries (NICs). Other technologies will follow, and the dissemination is likely to “trickle down“, to some extent, to even the poorest nations. The diffusion of modern technologies to and within LDCs will result in even more profound changes in world, regional and local social, political and economic changes and their relationships (Rogers, 1989). The literature review in chapter 2, which dealt with technology strategies, regulations and costs, presupposed to an extent that the most efficient mechanism for TT is via TNCs. The Brazilian case study also partly proved that TNC presence is an important factor for the development of a high technology industry, such as computers. These are points which need to be highlighted to explain what the “mainstream" scholars have pushed for all along. Pool (1983) had suggested that open markets, which do not restrict TT, is the key to development and modernization. He had argued that the complete technology package should be purchased from the TNCs, because of the intrinsic benefits one obtains from a 'package' deal. This was obviously based on the assumption that domestic development of the state-of-the-art technology was hard, if not impossible. The Brazilian problems with minis and mainframes proved his point. On the 117 other hand, his view that new communication technology was a response to domestic social and economic needs was also true. Governments do realize the significant relationship between a favorable economy and the introduction of new communication technologies. Schramm (1968), Hudson (1985), and Parker (1984) had also posited that the application of new communication technologies would increase productivity and lead to the modernization of the economy. The creation of the computer industry in Brazil led not only to infrastructural development, in terms of human resources and R 8 D, but a whole new industry developed. Though the positive influence of computers in the Brazilian economy has not been analyzed in this thesis, one can safely assume some increase in business productivity and modernization. Moreover, technological change and use of new communication technologies does reflect a certain increase in LDC capability to handle their economic development independently. Rigid controls does not seem to be the answer. Far less predictable, however, are the future mechanisms through which technologies will be introduced in poorer countries: the level of geographic and sectorial penetration: the interface between technology imports and domestic generation: and the distribution of costs and benefits associated with technological advance. 118 This raises one of the most fundamental problems of development, and that is, the integration of technology into traditional societies. LDCs are trying to move into the twenty-first century with strong economies to serve their people. To do so they adopt eclectic strategies of development, using ideas drawn from socialist, capitalist and mixed models. In a majority of LDCs, state control over major resources is a necessity in the early stage of development, whatever may take place later on. It is only the state, within the LDCs, which has the power and resources to acquire and integrate new communication technologies into society. The Brazilian case clearly demonstrates this trend. In practice, the transfer of communication technology is largely in the hands of TNCs who serve the needs of LDCs only if it is profitable to do so. Implicit in this is the acceptance of the truth that TT is not an altruistic phenomenon. No country or TNC can be expected to share their know-how with any LDC on terms that are inconsistent with their own self-interest. They will give only if they receive proper compensation in return. To put it succinctly, LDCs have to recognize that technology export has a clear profit motive (Lall, 1987, p.72). This acceptance of transnationalization, and the international economy is the key to LDCs planning their technology development. Jayaweera (1986: 1987), Mattelart and Schmucler (1985), and Servaes (1987) are probably the 119 only “critical“ scholars who appreciate and realize the realities at hand. No matter what development strategies LDCs choose it is this fact, that no LDC can be completely autonomous, that becomes relevant. Moreover a Luddite type attitude that imported technology is inherently exploitive becomes impractical. New communication technologies are already an established presence in LDCs, so would it not make more sense to extract the most out of it? The policy should not be to ignore an existing process when it is already tied into the rest of the economy. There is a need for advanced technology, for a country to function as a capable and qualified economy. All three suggest that the solution to the TNC presence does not lie in delinking or dissociation from the international economy, but rather from utilizing existing technologies to improve those sectors-where productivity can be increased. Moreover, if there is a technological dependence, this can be rectified by balancing it with appropriate science and technology policies which improve domestic capabilities. The preceding two chapters illustrated how to achieve these objectives. National programs for improving domestic capabilities in acquiring and using technology vary significantly due to differences among governmental policies, and local economic and environmental factors. The success of South Korea in receiving and adapting foreign technology resulted in part from state policies encouraging technology imports, by both 120 the private and public sectors, and private/public sector cooperation in all stages of production (from education and training personnel to research and export of products) (Evans 8 Tigre, 1989). The Brazilian government has also supported technological infrastructure development and has, for example, encouraged the use of public training institutes by private organizations. Despite continued technology import regulations that are fairly stringent, resulting from balance of payment problems, Brazil continues to attract new technologies because of its strong infrastructure and market potential. Technology never comes cheap. It is quite wrong to think that acquiring technology is a costless process. Every new application of a given technology requires adaptive engineering work. And the costs entailed are usually higher in LDCs, where the absorptive capacity for new technologies is weak (Teitel, 1984). Add to this the consideration that no frontier type technology is static. All technologies change, some faster than others, and some at greater costs than others. Any LDC going in for the acquisition of modern technology must have the wherewithal to keep abreast of technological frontiers (or just behind it). It must also be accepted that TNC investment can promote an efficient technology transfer to LDCs in a variety of circumstances. Where the line is drawn between autonomy and "dependence," must be a very pragmatic issue, not ideological. It would appear that the industrialization experience of leading LDCs 121 has made them pragmatic in this sense. Their need for advanced communication technologies, the realisation of their handicaps and the pace of technological change, has led even those NICs adverse to TNC entry (Korea among the dynamic ones, India among the laggards) to believe they must be liberal to an extent (Lall, 1985). The question which still remains unanswered is whether technological applications will solve problems of backwardness. Hamelink and Schiller argue that LDCs should isolate or delink themselves from western science and technology, that culture should be protected from technological onslaughts. In some situations, cultural and technological disengagement 11gb; stimulate local technological capability. But this is not a viable option. The use of satellites and computers requires interaction with foreign technology. LDCs can not ignore the international economic system. Besides, the belief that LDCs are being exploited by the TNCs, through the export of technology, leads to the assumption that industrialization within LDCs is possible uithgu; the infusion of technologies. And that such imports are beneficial 9n1y when under stiff control by the bureaucracies. This belief diverts the attention of the LDCs from their own failures, to build on their indigenous potential for producing technology, and to make a valid assessment of alternative foreign technologies. There is little evidence that the inflow of foreign technologies 122 ultimately damages the emerging technological capability of LDCs. It is more likely to help LDCs in upgrading their technological levels than to cause harm. These substantive and very real issues were ignored by the ”critical” scholars for a long period of time. Today Schiller agrees that total exclusion of TNCs is impossible and insists on a “cautious" choice (Tsui, 1990). Similarly, Hamelink's push for a total dissociation of all relations between LDCs and TNCs, does seem rather unrealistic. Not only does they ignore the internal social and economic dynamics of LDCs, but also the fact that the demand comes from within. We must not reject communication technologies, much less wage an ideological war against them and their creators, the TNCs (since it is their job to pursue a healthy bottom line). My argument is that the assumptions and beliefs underlying the use of these technologies (such as computers) in the LDCs are wrong. Technologies cannot provide solutions to problems that are primarily political, economic or sociological. And if they are used as an alternative to domestic reforms (which usually is the case), they are more likely to consolidate and perpetuate these problems. The problems of underdevelopment are usually not because of technological backwardness. 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