AFRICAN AMERICAN ADOLESCENTS’ PARENTAL, PEER, AND PARTNER RELATIONSHIPS AND SEXUAL RISK By Mercedes M. Morales-Alemán A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Psychology 2011 ABSTRACT AFRICAN AMERICAN ADOLESCENTS’ PARENTAL, PEER, AND PARTNER RELATIONSHIPS AND SEXUAL RISK By Mercedes M. Morales-Alemán African American youth are disproportionately affected by STDs, including HIV. Empirical evidence suggests that distinct aspects of parent, peer, and sexual partner relationships are important influences on adolescent sexual risk taking. Research has consistently shown that adolescents who report involved parenting (including a high quality relationship and supervision) are significantly less likely to engage in sexual risk taking (DiClemente et al., 2001; Henrich, Brookmeyer, Shrier, & Shahar, 2006; Huebner & Howell, 2003; Li, Stanton, & Feigelman, 2000; Rodgers, 1999; Stanton et al., 2002; Sturdivant, 2007), while adolescents with risky friends are considerably more likely to be risky themselves (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; Lyons, 2009; Miller, Forehand, & Kotchick, 2000; Rai et al., 2003; Romer, Black, Ricardo, Feigelman, & et al., 1994). Additionally, some research has found that the level of risk of a person’s sexual partner(s) is more predictive of negative sexual health outcomes than his or her own previous behavior (Staras, Cook, & Clark, 2009). However, research has not yet examined whether involved parenting can protect youth who have sexually risky peers and/or sexually risky partners from sexual risk taking (i.e., lack of condom use). This study sought to determine whether involved parenting was a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose peers were sexually risky and whether involved parenting was a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose partners were sexually risky. It also sought to determine whether gender moderated the relationship between (1) peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking and (2) partner sexual risk and risk taking. This study used data drawn from the Bayview Network Study (BNS), a longitudinal study conducted in San Francisco, CA from 2000-2002. Recruitment for the BNS was a combination of population-based random sampling and snowball sampling of friends and sexual partners. Youth were considered eligible if they identified as African American, were between the ages of 14-19, and lived in the Bayview area. Data from 2 waves (12 months apart from one another) were analyzed. Structural equation modeling was used to examine a conceptual model of parent, peer, and partner influences on sexual risk taking and STD diagnosis. Data from 199 index participants and their social friends were analyzed. Results showed that more than half of the youth reported inconsistent use of condoms within the last 3 months at both waves. Additionally, 18% of the sample either reported a past STD or had a positive result on the STD test that they took as part of the study. Structural equation modeling analyses demonstrated that involved parenting did not have the predicted effect on sexual risk taking in this sample of youth. However, (1) increased peer risk approached significance in predicting decreased condom use behaviors and (2) riskier partners were a significant predictor of sexual risk taking. Moderated analyses of the effects of involved parenting on the relationship between peer risk and condom use showed that involved parenting did not buffer the impact of sexually risky peers on decreased condom use. Similarly, moderated analyses of involved parenting on the relationship between sexually risky partners and condom use showed that involved parenting was not protective against sexual risk taking. Finally, gender was not a significant moderator of the effects of any of the aforementioned relationships. Study results suggest that although involved parenting was not an effective protective factor for high risk sex in this population, peers and partners may be important points of intervention in preventing sexual risk behaviors in African American adolescents. Copyright by MERCEDES M. MORALES-ALEMÁN 2011 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This work would not have been possible without the support of my mentors, colleagues, family and friends. First and foremost, I would like to thank to my dissertation committee members Drs. Robin L. Miller, Jonathan Ellen, Deborah Bybee, Deborah Johnson and Jennifer Watling Neal. I am very grateful to each of you for your guidance. Dr. Robin L. Miller, thank you for your mentorship and instruction. Reading your work as an undergraduate student at the University of Puerto Rico inspired me to become a community psychologist. It has truly been an honor to work with you. Dr. Ellen, thank you for granting me the opportunity to work with the Bayview Network Study data. I have grown a great deal as a researcher and feel privileged to have had this chance. Dr. Bybee, thank you for your kindness and instruction with the methodology of this study. It was wonderful to learn from you. Dr. Johnson, thank you for offering your expertise and guidance. I truly appreciate your feedback and time. And Dr. Neal, thank you for your attention to detail and encouragement. It was a pleasure to work with you. I would also like to thank my Eco colleagues, Dr. Cidhinnia Torres-Campos and Dr. Sinead Younge, for their mentorship. I am fortunate to have ―learned the ropes‖ from such incredible women. Drs. Sheila F. LaHousse, Marisa L. Beeble, Lauren F. Lichty and (soon to be Dr.) Jason Forney thank you for the countless hours of feedback, advice, and intellectual community. I would also like to thank Dr. Steven Pierce for his patience, guidance and encouragement in my moments of statistics-related anxiety. I would also like to acknowledge the American Psychological Association’s Minority Fellowship Program, the Michigan State University Psychology Department and the Graduate School. I could not have completed this work without their generous support. v I also must express my gratitude to the women who helped me begin this journey. Dr. Milagritos González, thank you for introducing me to community-based research. Dr. Deborah Salem, thank you for providing the tools and encouragement necessary to complete the first steps. Finally, I would like to thank my family. Thank you to my amazing parents, Dr. José R. Morales and Mrs. Edlyn M. Rodríguez, for never doubting that I could accomplish this. On the worst days, you always made me feel cherished and capable. Thank you for teaching me to always do my best, help others, and pursue what I love. I am eternally grateful to my husband, Carlos E. Alemán. I cannot begin to express what your support has meant to me. I am blessed to have such an amazing teammate. We did it! vi TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ......................................................................................................................... ix LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................................ x INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 1 Understanding Sexual Risk in Adolescent Populations .............................................................. 1 Review of the Literature ............................................................................................................. 4 Normative Adolescent Sexual Involvement ........................................................................... 5 Ecodevelopmental Theory ...................................................................................................... 6 Multilevel Approach ........................................................................................................... 7 Developmental Perspective ................................................................................................. 8 Understanding Interactional Processes ............................................................................... 9 Ecodevelopmental Theory: Previous Research ............................................................ 10 Ecodevelopmental Perspective on Familial, Peer and Partner Microsystems ...................... 12 Parents and Families ......................................................................................................... 12 Peers .................................................................................................................................. 15 Sexual Partners.................................................................................................................. 16 Adolescent Parent Relationships, Peer Relationships and Sexual Risk: An Interactions Approach ........................................................................................................................... 17 Do family and peer systems interact to influence boys and girls similarly? ................ 20 Adolescents’ Parent Relationships, Sexual Partners, and Sexual Risk: Considerations on interactions and gender ..................................................................................................... 23 Studying Social Influences on Sexual Risk Taking: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Research Methodology ............................................................................................................. 25 Hypotheses and Research Questions ........................................................................................ 26 Research Questions ............................................................................................................... 26 Exploratory Questions ...................................................................................................... 27 Hypotheses ........................................................................................................................ 27 METHOD ..................................................................................................................................... 30 Research Design........................................................................................................................ 30 Participants ................................................................................................................................ 30 Procedure .................................................................................................................................. 31 Recruitment ........................................................................................................................... 31 Consent and Confidentiality ................................................................................................. 32 Survey Administration .......................................................................................................... 33 Measures ................................................................................................................................... 34 Demographics ....................................................................................................................... 34 Involved Parenting ................................................................................................................ 34 Parental Monitoring .......................................................................................................... 35 Parental Support ................................................................................................................ 35 Sexual Risk: Condom Use ................................................................................................... 36 Sexually Risky Peers............................................................................................................. 37 Sexually Risky Partners ........................................................................................................ 38 vii Perception of STD and HIV Risk ......................................................................................... 40 STD Status ............................................................................................................................ 40 Control Variables and Preliminary Analyses ........................................................................ 41 Missing Data, Normality, and Outliers ..................................................................................... 45 Missing Data and Outliers .................................................................................................... 45 Data Analytic Strategy .............................................................................................................. 46 Model Fitting Process ........................................................................................................... 47 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................................... 50 Confirmatory Factor Analysis: Involved Parenting as a Latent Construct .............................. 51 Path Analysis Model Results by Research Question ................................................................ 57 RQ #1: Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose peers are sexually risky? ............................................................................................ 58 RQ #2: Does gender moderate the relationship between peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking? ................................................................................................................................... 63 RQ #3: Does higher risk taking predict higher incidence of STD diagnosis? ..................... 68 Exploratory Questions .............................................................................................................. 70 EQ #1: Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose partners are typically sexually risky? ........................................................................ 70 EQ #2: Does gender moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking? ............................................................................................................................ 76 EQ #3: Does perception of risk moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking?................................................................................................................. 81 DISCUSSION ............................................................................................................................... 83 Theoretical Implications ........................................................................................................... 93 Implications............................................................................................................................... 96 Limitations .............................................................................................................................. 100 Future Research ...................................................................................................................... 100 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 102 APPENDIX A ............................................................................................................................. 104 Items in Scales ........................................................................................................................ 104 APPENDIX B ............................................................................................................................. 109 IRB Documentation ................................................................................................................ 109 APPENDIX C ............................................................................................................................. 111 Correlations Tables ................................................................................................................. 111 viii LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Participant Demographic Characteristics: Participants with 1 or 2 friends who were interviewed versus participants with no friends who were interviewed …..…….……….......44-45 Table 2. Confirmatory Factor Analysis: Model Fit Statistics ….………..…….……..........…….53 Table 3. Peer Sexual Risk Model: Unstandardized Parameter Estimates and Significance Values......……………..………………………………………………...………………….……61 Table 4. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and sexually risky peers .…………………………..….63 Table 5. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between sexually risky peers and gender …………………………………...……….66 Table 6. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and gender ……...…………………………………..…68 Table 7. Sexually Risky Partners Model: Unstandardized Parameter Estimates and Significance Values …………..…………………………………………………….………………...……71-72 Table 8. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and risky sexual partner….….………...76 Table 9. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing the significance of the interaction between risky sexual partners and gender ………………………79 Table 10. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing the significance of the interaction between involved parenting and gender ………………….…81 Table 11. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between risky sexual partners and perception of Risk…………………………………………………..………………………………………..…82 Table 12. Bivariate Correlations for all Study Variables………………………...………..113-118 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Conceptual Model of Parent, Peer, and Partner Influences on Sexual Risk Taking ……………………………...………………………….…………...………...………….29 Figure 2. Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Involved Parenting as a Latent Construct …………52 Figure 3. Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Involved Parenting: Final Model (Standardized Parameter Estimates)…………………………………………………………………………….55 Figure 4. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Interaction Term Excluded (Standardized Parameter Estimates) ………………………...…………………59 Figure 5. Structural Equation Analysis of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Gender Moderation Analyses (Sexually Risky Peers X Gender) ……………….………….….………...65 Figure 6. Structural Equation Analysis of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Gender Moderation Analyses…………………..………………..……………………………………….67 Figure 7. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Sexually Risky Peers: Mediational Analysis ……..………….………………………………………………………….69 Figure 8. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Interaction Terms Excluded (Standardized Parameter Estimates)………………...……………..73 Figure 9. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Gender Moderation Analyses (Risky Sexual Partners X Gender) …..……………………….…………..78 Figure 10. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Gender Moderation Analyses …..………………………………………………………………………..80 x INTRODUCTION African American adolescents are disproportionately affected by STDs and HIV in the United States (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008a). According to data from the National Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) 67.6% of African American students report ever having had sexual intercourse and about 31.1% report that they did not use a condom the last time they had sex (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2006). In relation to HIV/AIDS, the disparities are striking. In 2006, 70% of HIV/AIDS diagnoses in 13 to 19 year olds occurred in African Americans, although this group accounts for only 17% of adolescents 13 to 19 years of age (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008b). African American adolescents are also disproportionately affected by other STDs (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008, March). In 2006, the rates of Chlamydia infection and Gonorrhea were much higher for African American adolescents than for White adolescents (7.5 times greater for Chlamydia and 4.4 times greater for Gonorrhea) (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2006). Understanding Sexual Risk in Adolescent Populations Given the serious health consequences associated with STDs and HIV (including infertility, chronic pain, cancer, and death) and the high costs of treatment (Cates, Herndon, Schulz, & Darroch, 2004) prevention has long been considered very important in reducing the public health impact of these epidemics. In order to develop effective prevention efforts, it is crucial to conduct research that will uncover the antecedents and mechanisms associated with sexual risk behaviors in adolescent populations (DiClemente, Salazar, & Crosby, 2007). Understanding these epidemics is the first step to effective prevention. 1 Until recently, most of the research on sexual risk in adolescent and other populations explored individual level factors related to sexual risk taking and therefore focused on the psychological or cognitive determinants of risk behaviors (DiClemente, et al., 2007). This is largely due to the fact that, historically, most sexual health research has been guided by individual-level theories of behavior (e. g., Bandura’s self-efficacy theory, Prochaska’s Transtheoretical Model of Behavior, and Azjen & Fishbein’s Theory of Reasoned Action) which focus on the importance of cognitive determinants of risk behaviors such as knowledge, selfefficacy, intentions and attitudes. Studying sexual risk from a solely individual perspective is problematic, however, because it ignores the larger social context in which adolescents are embedded (Hobfoll, 1998). Youth live and develop within complex social networks and their relationships play a crucial role in their sexual behavior (Perrino, Gonzalez-Soldevilla, Pantin, & Szapocznik, 2000; Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). In fact, certain types of parent-child relationships have been linked with lower levels of sexual risk in adolescents (DiClemente, et al., 2007). Specifically, adolescents who report that their parents monitor them (i.e., know where they are at night, have a curfew etc.) and support them (i.e., are close to them and care about them etc.) are considerably less likely to report sexual risk than their counterparts who do not report high parental monitoring and support (DiClemente, et al., 2001; Henrich, et al., 2006; Huebner & Howell, 2003; Li, Stanton, et al., 2000; Miller, et al., 2000; Rodgers, 1999; Stanton, et al., 2002; Sturdivant, 2007; Voisin, DiClemente, Salazar, Crosby, & Yarber, 2006). In addition to parents, adolescents’ peers have a strong influence on sexual behavior (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; East, Khoo, & Reyes, 2006; Scaramella, Conger, Simons, & Whitbeck, 1998). Teenagers who perceive their peers to be sexually active and sexually risky (i.e., engage in unprotected sex) are more likely to engage in 2 these activities themselves (Lyons, 2009; Miller, et al., 2000; Rai, et al., 2003; Romer, et al., 1994). Teenagers whose peer groups are sexually risky (i.e., low condom use, multiple sex partners etc.) are also more likely to be risky themselves (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; Henry, Schoeny, Deptula, & Slavick, 2007). Finally, characteristics of adolescents’ sexual partners have been found to be closely related to sexual risk taking in youth (Auerswald, Muth, Brown, Padian, & Ellen, 2006; Staras, et al., 2009). Overall, these relationships have been well established by research. However, youths’ social environments are fluid and interact with one another (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). As researchers, we don’t yet understand how parent, peer, and partner influences come together to impact sexual risk. It is important to explore how different aspects of adolescents’ social systems interact with one another to affect sexual risk taking in youth. Additionally, we do not yet understand whether these processes play out in similar or dissimilar ways in boys versus girls. Gender norms and sexual socialization work differently depending on a child’s gender. Therefore, there is reason to believe that the ways in which parent, peer, and partner characteristics would impact sexual risk taking might be different for boys than they are for girls. Finally, as will be discussed in the review of the literature, a great majority of the research focusing on social relationships’ impact on sexual health falls short of using methods that reflect a shift toward a contextualized perspective (Luke, 2005). The tools and techniques that psychologists have historically used in the collection and analysis of data are not necessarily the best suited for understanding social influences on behaviors (Luke, 2005), including health-related behaviors. This dissertation utilized multi-informant data (i.e., data 3 provided by participants and their peers), allowing for a more contextualized understanding of social influences on sexual risk taking. This research sought to achieve three main goals: (1) understand if and how parent, peer and partner influences interact with one another to impact sexual risk taking (i.e., condom use) and sexual health outcomes (i.e., STD) in African American youth (2) explore what effect, if any, a child’s gender has on these relationships and (3) attempt to bridge the gap between theory and methodology by utilizing methods that reflect a contextual perspective. Review of the Literature The following sections include the foundational literature on which this study is based. Firstly, normative adolescent sexual involvement is described with the purpose of providing some background about what it means to be a teenager in the United States in relation to sex initiation and condom use. Secondly, the Ecodevelopmental Theory is described. The Ecodevelopmental Theory is the theoretical basis for this study (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). This theory is well suited for this research given that it was developed with the purpose of understanding how extra-individual influences can impact development of risk trajectories (or protective trajectories) over time. This work utilized it as an organizing framework with which to understand parent, peer, and partner influences in relation to sexual risk taking in African American youth. Thirdly, the literature on parental, peer and partner influences and how they interact to impact sexual risk taking in adolescents will be discussed, including gendermoderated effects of these interactions. Major points of consensus will be explored and issues that warrant further research will be addressed in detail. 4 Normative Adolescent Sexual Involvement In order to understand sexual risk behaviors in adolescents, it is important to first get a sense of what normative sexual behavior consists of in American youth. Overall, sexual initiation during adolescence is very common. The average age of sexual initiation in the United States is 17.3 for young women and 17.0 for young men (New Strategist Publications, 2007). However, when examined more closely, it becomes clear that many youth initiate sexual intercourse at much earlier ages. According to data from the Youth Risk Behavior Survey (2007), 38.1% of males and 27.4% of females report that they initiated sexual intercourse by 9th th grade (about 14-15 years old). By 12 grade, 52.8% of males and 66.2% of females report that they have had sexual intercourse (about 17-18 years old) (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). In relation to condom use, boys and younger adolescents are more likely to report condom use at last intercourse than girls and older adolescents (Centers for Disease th Control and Prevention, 2009). Although 75.8% of 9 grade boys report condom use at last th sexual intercourse, only 59.6% of 12 grade boys report condom use at last intercourse (Centers th for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). Similarly, 61% of 9 grade girls report condom use th at last sex whereas only 49.9% of 12 grade girls report condom use at last sex (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). On average, African American youth report earlier sexual initiation than other ethnic groups. However, African American youth are also more likely to report condom use (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). Average age of first intercourse for African American youth is about 16.3 years for females and 15.5 for males (New Strategist Publications, 2007). Approximately 67% of African American high school students (compared to 43.7% of 5 White students and 52% of Hispanic students) report having had intercourse (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). However, out of these sexually active youth, 67.3% report using condoms at last intercourse (compared to 61.4% of White youth and 61.4% of Hispanic youth) (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009). Generally speaking, sexual initiation is normative within the context of adolescence. Unfortunately, low levels of condom use are very common as well. This dissertation focused specifically on sexual risk taking (i.e., condom use) instead of sexual initiation. A great deal of the research in the field of adolescent sexual health has focused on younger adolescents and how different factors relate to early initiation. Although sexual initiation can be problematic for younger teens, especially given its link to later instances of sexual risk taking (O'Donnell, O'Donnell, & Stueve, 2001), this may not be the case for older teens. Sexual initiation is, in fact, a normative part of most adolescents’ sexual development trajectories. The more relevant question, in relation to HIV and STD risk is what factors are related to sexual risk taking (i.e., lack of condom use) and protective behaviors in teens. A focus on condom use is warranted given that (1) as outlined above, many teens do not use them consistently and (2) among contraceptive devices, only male and female condoms are able to effectively prevent HIV and (most) STD infections. Developing a deeper understanding of which factors relate to sexual risk taking in adolescents is crucial in order to create appropriate interventions, implement effective policies, and inform practitioners in the field (DiClemente, et al., 2007). Ecodevelopmental Theory Theoretical frameworks are important tools in achieving a more complete understanding of sexual risk taking in adolescents. One theory which has focused on organizing the knowledge 6 of how social influences impact sexual risk is the Ecodevelopmental Theory (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). The Ecodevelopmental Theory was developed from several decades of empirical research on family therapy and family-based interventions conducted at the University of Miami, Center for Family Studies (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). This theory integrates concepts from: (1) Bronfenbrenner’s (1979) social ecology model of human development, (2) a lifespan developmental approach (Baltes, Reese, & Nesselroade, 1977), (3) structural family theory (Minuchin, 1974), and (4) multisystemic interventions (Henggeler & Bourdin, 1990). Ecodevelopmental Theory attempts to build upon these models to create a framework that represents a ―next step‖ in the study of adolescent risk and protective behaviors (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Three guiding perspectives inform how this theory represents risk and protective factors: (1) a multilevel approach, (2) a developmental perspective, and (3) an understanding of interactional processes. Multilevel Approach Firstly, Ecodevelopmental Theory draws upon the central concept of Social Ecology Theory, that the individual is nested within a set of structures that are, in turn nested inside other structures like Russian dolls (Bronfenbrenner, 1979). Within Social Ecology Theory, four primary systems are identified: microsystems (settings in which the adolescent participates directly, like the family), mesosystems (interactions amongst microsystems such as between family members and peers), exosystems (systems independent of the adolescent that may influence her or him indirectly such as a parent’s job), and macrosystems (cultural patterns and values, such as cultural norms that confer more power to men than women within the context of 7 sexual relationships) (Bronfenbrenner, 1979). Ecodevelopmental Theory organizes these levels in the same manner as Social Ecology Theory with a small reformulation to the mesosystemic level. While typical interpretations of Social Ecology Theory have been more interested in how functioning in one domain affects functioning in another domain, Ecodevelopmental Theory proposes that direct interactions between the people involved in the distinct microsystems must be examined more closely (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). For instance, parents may directly influence their children’s peers through interacting with them and providing some level of parenting to those friends. This represents a direct connection between two microsystems where members of two social spheres, the family system and the peer system, are interacting directly with one another. Essentially, Ecodevelopmental Theory proposes that social scientists must look at protective and risk factors imbedded in different systems in order to accurately understand adolescent risk (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Developmental Perspective Secondly, Ecodevelopmental Theory draws on a developmental approach. It posits that risk and protective factors are often interrelated along a developmental trajectory (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). However, it is easy to misinterpret these factors as independent if they are not studied with a developmental lens. Organizing risk and protective factors along a developmental path helps to more accurately reflect how problem behaviors develop (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). For instance, a child who does not feel supported by his or her family members might turn to his or her peers for closeness and support. If those peers are sexually risky, she or he may feel pressured to engage in sexual risk behaviors in order to maintain those close relationships with her peers. 8 This theory also goes past the traditional conceptualizations of ―development‖ as just involving intrapersonal processes (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Ecodevelopmental Theory utilizes the term ―ecodevelopment‖. Ecodevelopment is defined as ―the complex set of features that emerge over time within the child and in the child’s social ecosystems and the nature of the interactions within and among these systems as they change and influence each other over time‖ (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999) (pg. 342). In other words, ecodevelopment has three distinct components: (1) development of the adolescent’s intrapersonal features (such as physical and cognitive attributes), (2) development within the systems that surround the adolescent (such as changes that occur at the family level), and (3) the interactions within these systems and between these systems. Ecodevelopmental Theory proposes that all of these aspects of ecodevelopment must be taken into account in understanding and organizing risk and protective behaviors in relation to adolescent risk (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Finally, this theory also postulates that the family is, in most cases, the most proximal and important system in relation to adolescent development (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). It forms the foundation from which subsequent child development occurs. When children are infants, this is the main system at work in their lives, and the first one to increase in complexity (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). As they get older, different aspects of their microsystems begin to play progressively larger parts in risk and protective processes (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Understanding Interactional Processes Thirdly, Ecodevelopmental Theory emphasizes the interactions among different systems (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Within this framework the term ―interaction‖ is defined as ―the patterns of relationships and direct transactions among individuals within and across the 9 different domains and levels of the social ecology‖ (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999) (pg. 345). Therefore, there is a focus on processes that occur between the persons imbedded in different social systems and how these result in protective or risk trajectories. Ecodevelopmental Theory posits that the quality of these inter-system interactions and connections determine the degree to which risky and protective behaviors occur and are sustained (Perrino, et al., 2000). In summary, Ecodevelopmental Theory suggests that in order to understand any type of adolescent risk behavior it is necessary to explore: (1) the social systems within which the risk and protection behaviors occur (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999), (2) the developmental processes within the adolescent and the systems of interest that surround her or him and (3) the interrelationships that occur between the risk and protective factors imbedded in the different social spheres of the adolescent’s social ecology (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). Ecodevelopmental Theory: Previous Research. Ecodevelopmental Theory was originally devised to study ecodevelopmental trajectories that lead to adolescent drug use (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). However, its concepts have been applied to other adolescent risk and protective behaviors (Donenberg, Wilson, Emerson, & Bryant, 2002; Perrino, et al., 2000). Some researchers have used this framework to understand sexual risk taking in adolescents (Donenberg, et al., 2002; Perrino, et al., 2000). For instance, Perrino et al. (2000) used Ecodevelopmental Theory to organize their findings in their review on the role of families in adolescent HIV prevention. Overall, the review found that parents can be a protective influence on their children’s problem behaviors (such as drug use) and sexual risk behaviors. Perrino et al. (2000) also organized risk and protective factors for risk behaviors along the Ecodevelopmental levels of influence. Perrino et al. (2000) discussed how these may play out developmentally. For instance, they suggested that some youth enter risky developmental trajectories where an 10 unsupportive family environment leads to involvement with deviant peers (such as peers who use drugs or engage in criminal activity), and, subsequently, to risk behaviors (Perrino, et al., 2000). Donenberg et al. (2002), on the other hand, used the theory to guide their research on family factors related to sexual risk taking among adolescents in psychiatric care (Donenberg, et al., 2002). They examined how parental monitoring and permissiveness were related to sexual risk taking in adolescent boys and girls. Donenberg and colleagues (2002) theorized that family relationships and patterns that were problematic or dysfunctional could become models of behavior that were then carried out with peers and partners; becoming risk behaviors. Donenberg et al. (2002) tested whether those individuals who had low parental monitoring and high permissiveness would be more likely to be involved in sexual risk taking and found that this was indeed the case. Both of these examples illustrate the advantage of utilizing a framework such as the Ecodevelopmental Theory. In both pieces, the authors were able to place risk and protective factors along a developmental trajectory in their discussion of sexual risk. Additionally, they were able to draw on the fact that there are often multiple social influences to sexual risk taking and these do not tend to work independently. As mentioned earlier, this study utilized this theory as a guiding framework with which to understand and organize social influences on adolescent sexual risk behaviors. This dissertation focused specifically on micro and mesosystemic forces on adolescent sexual risk. The purpose was to understand how the familial, peer and partner microsystems can impact sexual risk taking at the mesosystemic level (which examines interactions between the systems). 11 Ecodevelopmental Perspective on Familial, Peer and Partner Microsystems Parents and Families Families are a crucial microsystem for adolescent sexual development. They play an important role in keeping adolescents safe and parents are a major influence on their children’s behavior throughout their development (DiClemente, et al., 2007; Voisin, et al., 2006). As suggested by Ecodevelopmental Theory, most adolescents spend a great deal of time in their family unit which makes it an important point of influence (Donenberg, et al., 2002). As mentioned above, two aspects of familial microsystems have been found to be very important for adolescent sexual health: parental or familial support and parental monitoring (DiClemente, et al., 2007; Kirby & Lepore, 2007). A wide body of literature has linked these ―parental involvement‖ constructs to sexual health outcomes in youth. The following paragraphs provide a brief summary of this work. Parental support is usually defined as the degree to which adolescents believe that their parents care about them and are close to them. Other related constructs that appear in the adolescent sexual health literature include parental closeness, connectedness and quality of relationship (Regnerus & Luchies, 2006; Rink, Tricker, & Harvey, 2007). In the adolescent sexual health literature, support, closeness, connectedness and quality of relationship have consistently been linked with protective sexual health outcomes in general adolescent populations including fewer opportunities for sex, later sexual debut or onset, less STD risk, and lower scores on general measures of sexual risk (Crosby, DiClemente, Wingood, Cobb, et al., 2001; Henrich, et al., 2006; Resnick et al., 1997; Roche, Ahmed, & Blum, 2008; Rose et al., 2005; Voisin, et al., 2006). Similarly, work which has explored the relationship between support and sexual risk taking in African American adolescents has found that increased support is 12 associated to decreased incidence of sexual initiation, anticipated level of sexual activity, and unprotected sex (Browning, Leventhal, & Brooks-Gunn, 2005; Crosby, DiClemente, Wingood, Cobb, et al., 2001; Rose, et al., 2005). Perhaps adolescents who have close relationships with their parents (who are protective themselves) are more likely to adopt positive parental attitudes, modeling, or protective efforts in relation to sex (Crosby, DiClemente, et al., 2001b). That is, those teenagers who feel close to and supported by their parents may internalize protective attitudes and behaviors in relation to sexual risk taking to a greater degree than those who do not have these close relationships. Given that the first microsystem that youth are deeply involved in and influenced by is their familial unit (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999), a deep connection with their families early on could be very protective for adolescents as their peer microsystems begin to expand. In addition to support, parental monitoring, or the degree to which parents know and regulate where their children go and what they do, has also been found to be protective of sexual risk in adolescent populations (Donenberg, et al., 2002; Huebner & Howell, 2003; Longmore, Manning, & Giordano, 2001; Miller, et al., 2000; Rodgers, 1999). Overall, a great deal of empirical evidence suggests that higher levels of parental monitoring result in better sexual health outcomes for adolescents from delayed onset of sexual activity to decreased chance of pregnancy (Donenberg, et al., 2002; Huebner & Howell, 2003; Longmore, et al., 2001; Miller, et al., 2000; Rodgers, 1999). Similarly, the literature on African American adolescents and parental monitoring indicates that monitoring is inversely related to increased opportunities to engage in risky sex, decreased instances of sexual initiation, less sexual involvement, fewer instances of unprotected sex, and reduced chances of STD infection and pregnancy in this population 13 (Baptiste, Tolou-Shams, Miller, McBride, & Paikoff, 2007; DiClemente, et al., 2001; Paikoff, 1996; Rose, et al., 2005; Sturdivant, 2007). From a developmental perspective, it seems that the mechanisms through which parental monitoring exerts its protective effect may actually differ for younger teens who are not sexually involved and older teens who have initiated sexual activity. That is, some research has pointed to the fact that when teens are younger parental monitoring is protective in that it prevents them from spending unsupervised time with potential sexual partners, therefore delaying initiation of sexual activity (DiLorio, Dudley, Soet, & McCarty, 2004; Paikoff, 1995). However, as youth get older and have more freedom to spend time with their opposite sex peers, parental monitoring may actually be protective in that it signals to the teens that they are ―cared for’ (Longmore, et al., 2001). This may, in turn, make them less likely to engage in sexual risk taking (such as noncondom use) to avoid negative consequences (including STDs, HIV and pregnancy) and maintain good family relations. Generally speaking, both parental monitoring and support can be understood as indicators of involved parenting. Empirical research clearly indicates that this parental involvement can be protective from sexual risk taking; although the underlying mechanisms of this relationship have not yet been established in the literature. It is important to point out, however, that some research on parent-child relationships in African American families does provide some insight about some important underlying aspects of protective parenting. For instance, one study, conducted by McBride Murry et al. (2007) found that involved parenting (including monitoring and racial socialization) resulted in increased youth pride (defined in terms of strong racial identity, self esteem and body image) and decreased peer orientation. Structural equation modeling demonstrated that these two processes mediated the relationship between involved parenting and 14 sexual initiation (sexual risk was not assessed given the young age of the participants) in 5th grade youth (McBride Murry, Berkel, Brody, Gibbons, & Gibbons, 2007). The authors explain that African American parents, unlike ethnic majority parents, have an added responsibility of educating their children on how to cope with situations in which their racial group may be devalued. Therefore, it is possible that involved parenting may be related to some important aspects of self worth that, in turn, protect youth from peer risk and sexual risk taking. Peers In addition to these aspects of familial involvement, empirical evidence suggests that peers are very important influences on adolescent sexual risk (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; East, et al., 2006; Scaramella, et al., 1998). Peer sex behaviors (perceived and actual) have consistently been linked to negative individual sexual health outcomes in adolescents. Three main findings emerge from this body of literature: (1) adolescents who perceive that their friends are having sex are more likely to have sex themselves (O'Donnell, Myint, O'Donnell, & Stueve, 2003; Rai, et al., 2003; Stanton, et al., 2002), (2) sexually active adolescents who perceive that most of their sexually active friends use condoms, are more likely to use condoms themselves (Miller, et al., 2000; Rai, et al., 2003; Romer, et al., 1994), and finally (3) two studies have linked actual peer sexual behaviors (as opposed to perceived peer behavior) to individual sexual risk (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; Henry, et al., 2007). Adolescents are in a developmental stage when they may be distancing themselves from their parents as they seek more autonomy and independence (Roche, et al., 2008). They may be looking to their peers to establish their own sense of identity (Sturdivant, 2007). Therefore, this is a period when friends can play increasingly important roles in influencing their behaviors, including sex behaviors (Barnes, Reifman, Farrell, & Dintcheff, 2000; Li, Feigelman, & Stanton, 15 2000; Sturdivant, 2007). Social Learning Theory (1977) suggests that peer influence can take place via modeling and positive reinforcement (Bandura, 1977; Lyons, 2009). That is, attitudes and behaviors that validate the collective norms around sexuality will be reinforced and rewarded by the adolescent’s peers whereas others may be ignored and punished (Lyons, 2009). Therefore, adolescents imbedded in peer groups where risky sexual behaviors are normative may, over time, adopt these behaviors themselves. Sexual Partners Finally, some empirical research indicates that sexual partner risk is more predictive of negative sexual health outcomes than a person’s own previous behavior (Staras, 2009). For instance, Staras et al. (2009) found that certain partner characteristics (participant-partner age discordance of 5 years or more and having an STD in the past year) predicted STD diagnosis. Interestingly, an indexed measure of sexual risk behavior at the participant level (including age of first intercourse, number of sexual partners, casual sex in the past 12 months, sex under the influence of alcohol, and condom use) was associated with STD diagnosis when considering demographics but not when also considering partner characteristics. Essentially, partner characteristics were more predictive of STD diagnosis than individual sexual risk behaviors (Staras, et al., 2009). Similarly, Auerswald et al. (2006) found that higher rates of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in African American adolescent girls were determined more by the level of risk of their sexual partners than their individual level of risk. This study investigated whether partner incarceration (this partner risk characteristic was chosen because it was the only partner characteristic associated with both gender and STI diagnosis) mediated the relationship between gender and rate of STIs. Controlled analyses demonstrated that the gender difference in STI rates (girls had higher diagnosis than boys in this sample) was eliminated when controlling 16 for partner incarceration, suggesting that this construct indeed mediated that relationship. In other words, when the effects of partner incarceration were accounted for in analyses, gender differences on STI diagnosis disappeared (Auerswald, et al., 2006). Girls were simply more likely than boys to have partners who had been incarcerated. These analyses suggest that this is the reason why girls had higher STI diagnosis (despite the fact that boys actually had higher levels of individual level sexual risk). It is important to note that having risky partners is often conceived as the outcome of parent and peer influences. However, partners are a vital part of youths’ microsystems and therefore, may also be conceptualized of as an important proximal influence on adolescents’ sexual behaviors. The following sections will discuss the ways in which protective parenting (including parents monitoring and support) may protect youth from sexually risky peers and partners. Firstly, the relationship between parenting and peer risk is discussed. Adolescent Parent Relationships, Peer Relationships and Sexual Risk: An Interactions Approach Overall, a good deal of research has established that both parent and peer microsystems are important influences on adolescents’ sexual development trajectories (risky or protective). However, parental and peer social systems do not work independently. As suggested by the Ecodevelopmental Theory, different aspects of parent and peer systems may work together to influence sexual risk taking from childhood through young adulthood. Given this, two important questions emerge: (1) What is the nature of this interaction? and (2) What exactly does it mean for these systems to interact with one another in relation to sexual risk taking? The Ecodevelopmental Theory would suggest that the nature of the interaction is multi-systemic. According to this theory, parental and peer microsystemic forces cascade 17 downward and are manifested at the individual level (Szapocznik & Coatsworth, 1999). For instance, a child who has internalized protective sexual attitudes as a result of an involved familial relationship may be less likely to internalize or act upon the risky sexual norms of his or her peer group. As mentioned earlier, the primary microsystem for youth is their family. If strong, protective relationships are formed early on within this social sphere, that child may be less invested in following risky peer norms. The adolescent’s peers are not the only source of support; the adolescent also has a strong familial relationship which he or she may want to preserve. Therefore, it seems plausible that, given the proper developmental circumstances, involved parenting could buffer the negative effects of sexually risky peers. Some empirical evidence provides support for this hypothesis. For instance, Miller et al. (2000) examined whether different systems act in an additive manner. They studied multiple variables from different levels of influence (self system, family system and extra-familial system) and found a linear relationship between the number of factors from different systems (e.g., familial, peer etc.) identified as ―at-risk‖ and indicators of adolescent sexual risk behavior. Multiple regression analyses revealed that different variables at multiple levels had a significant relationship to sexual health outcomes (including intercourse frequency, number of sex partners, age of first intercourse and condom use). For example, Miller and colleagues (2000) were able to determine that number of sex partners was significantly predicted by level of parental monitoring and peer group risk. In other words, the more ―at risk‖ indicators a participant had in each of the levels of ecology (self, familial and extrafamilial) the more likely they were to have engaged in sexual risk taking (Miller, et al., 2000). This study suggests that distinct aspects of parent and peer microsystems can act in concert to affect sexual risk taking. Therefore, it seems plausible that poor (or lack of) parental involvement may, in fact, facilitate the influence of high 18 risk peers on sexual behavior. However, this study simply looked at multiple social influences in an additive manner. It did not explore how distinct social influences might interact with one another. Additionally, like much of the work on this subject, the data were egocentric. In other words, only participant data were analyzed. In addition to Miller’s (2000) work, only one study, conducted by East, Khoo and Reyes (2006), has tested how protective parenting (including monitoring) and peer sexual risk may interact to influence sexual risk outcomes in adolescents. Specifically, East et al. (2006) examined whether protective parenting (conceptualized as strictness, monitoring, educational expectations, and disapproval of teen sex and parenting) buffered against peer sexual risk (operationalized as the proportion of friends who had had intercourse and the level of peer pressure to have sex). They tested the interaction between protective parenting and peer sexual risk in a sample of Latina and African American girls from a high risk environment (N=128) and found the interaction to be significant (East, et al., 2006). Involved parenting appeared to protect against pregnancy even in the presence of peer risk (East, et al., 2006). Adolescents who had high risk peers were less likely to get pregnant if they also had high levels of protective parenting. Furthermore, protective parenting helped maintain low pregnancy rates, even when adolescents had high risk peers. In fact, within the group who received protective parenting 32% of girls who had high peer risks and 32% of girls who had low peer risks became pregnant. In contrast, 77% of the girls who received low protective parenting and were exposed to peer risks became pregnant. (Twenty-three percent of girls who had both low protective parenting and low peer risks had a pregnancy (East, et al., 2006).) This study suggests that protective and involved parenting might act as a buffer against pregnancy. This is a heartening finding that should be corroborated in other high risk populations, given that it could inform effective prevention and 19 intervention efforts. However, East et al.’s (2006) (like Miller’s study and a great majority of the work on parental and peer influences to sexual risk taking) examined how aspects of parent and peer systems interact from an egocentric perspective which did not take ―true‖ peer risk into account. This dissertation sought to build upon this work by utilizing multi-informant data and investigating other sexual risk behaviors and outcomes including condom use and STD diagnosis. Do family and peer systems interact to influence boys and girls similarly? In addition to considering mesosystemic level interactions of parent and peer microsystems it is also important to examine how gender may be involved in these associations. It seems likely that gender could be an important moderator of these relationships given that the main outcome of interest in this study is condom use; a behavior over which boys have more power (Wingood & DiClemente, 2000). Additionally, boys and girls are socialized differently, expectations (from parents and peers) regarding sexual behaviors differ between them. Therefore, it seems likely that these relationships would not be the same for boys as they are for girls. There is some empirical evidence which seems to provide support this argument. Firstly, we know that girls are monitored more heavily than boys (Borawski, Ievers-Landis, Lovegreen, & Trapl, 2003; Donenberg, et al., 2002; Li, Feigelman, et al., 2000; Li, Stanton, et al., 2000; Longmore, et al., 2001). It is possible that this differential treatment may be the result of predominant gender norms which are generally more accepting of risky male behavior than risky female behavior (Browning, et al., 2005). This disparity could have important implications for parent and peer system level interactions. It seems plausible that, given that girls receive more monitoring, they also engage in less risk even in the presence of high risk peers. Research has not yet examined whether this is the case. However, some evidence has pointed to the fact that 20 parental monitoring may play a more important role in protecting girls from sexual risk than boys (Donenberg, et al., 2002). For instance, Donenberg et al. (2001) found that parental monitoring predicted fewer sex partners and higher levels of sex with condoms in girls but not boys (Donenberg et al., 2002). (The girls in this study were more highly monitored than the boys.) The authors suggest that ―girls may be more influenced by parents than are boys because they place a high value on maintaining important relationships, and girls may be more responsive to parental monitoring or permissiveness in order to protect the parent-adolescent relationship‖ (pg. 141). On the other hand, some research suggests that parental monitoring may actually have a stronger association with boys’ protective sexual behaviors than girls’. Sturdivant (2007) found that males who had higher levels of parental monitoring also had fewer sex partners (Sturdivant, 2007) in a sample of 156 African-American preadolescents. This was not true for females in the study. The young women in this study also reported higher levels of parental monitoring than the young men. The author suggests that females may be monitored at such high levels that increases in monitoring do not have an impact on number of sexual partners (Sturdivant, 2007). Finally, Borawski et al. (2003) found that the girls in their study were monitored more heavily than the boys. However, this did not seem to have a significant impact on sexual risk activities (operationalized from 5 yes-or-no questions about number of sexual partners, being diagnosed with an STD, carrying a condom, refusing unprotected sex and consistent condom use). Highly monitored males, on the other hand, were more likely to use condoms than their counterparts. Overall, it appears that higher levels of parental monitoring are protective for both boys and girls. However, it is possible that the threshold for impact on girls’ behaviors, in the 21 presence of high levels of sexual risk within her peer group, may be lower than it is for boys. Perhaps, as suggested by Donenberg (2001) girls are more interested in preserving familial relationships than boys. Regardless, it is clear that further work is needed to elucidate if the relationship between parental monitoring and sexual health outcomes is different for boys than it is for girls. In addition to this work on parental monitoring, one study investigated how support is related to sexual risk in boys versus girls. Roche, Ahmed and Blum (2008) explored how family socialization (including familial closeness) in adolescence was associated with sexual onset and number of partners in early adulthood in male and female participants. Structural equation modeling analyses demonstrated that girls with more family closeness during early adolescence were less likely to report onset of sexual intercourse by middle adolescence and had fewer sex partners in early adulthood (Roche, et al., 2008). For males, they found that family closeness was unrelated to sexual initiation by middle adolescence but was directly associated with having fewer sex partners during early adulthood (Roche, et al., 2008). Authors suggest that given societal norms which condone sexual behavior in boys, it is not surprising that stronger parental relationships do not necessarily result in later onset of sexual intercourse. However, this does not explain why closeness would be related to fewer sexual partners in early adulthood. It might be the case that these boys with strong familial relationships internalized attitudes regarding ―conventional‖ and protective norms from their families in regards to sexual risk taking (Voisin, et al., 2006). Interestingly, this study points to a developmental trajectory of protection in girls. That is, at middle adolescence closeness appears to protect them from early intercourse, whereas in early adulthood, it appears to protect them from having many sexual partners. This is compelling 22 evidence that perhaps the effects of these protective parental relationships can take place along a developmental path. Understanding if this would still be the case, even in the presence of a sexually risky peer group, would add another important component to our current knowledge of adolescent sexual development trajectories. Finally, some research suggests that peer influences could differ by gender as well. For instance, Henry et al. (2007) studied a multi-ethnic sample from the Add Health database and found that girls whose friends perceived fewer costs to sex were more likely to engage in intercourse without a condom 1 year later. This was not observed among boys. The authors suggest that girls may experience greater levels of interdependence in their relationships, making them more susceptible to their friends’ influence in relation to sex without condoms. On the other hand, Miller (2000) found that gender did not moderate the relationship between peer group sexual intercourse and frequency of sexual intercourse in a African American and Hispanic, geographically diverse sample. It seems possible that ―frequency of sexual intercourse‖ as a measure of sexual risk may not be as susceptible to peer influence. Overall, it is important to note that evidence regarding the link between peer risk and individual risk taking is contradictory and largely reflective of the specific risk outcomes measured in these different studies. Adolescents’ Parent Relationships, Sexual Partners, and Sexual Risk: Considerations on interactions and gender. As mentioned above, adolescent sexual risk literature points to the importance of considering partner characteristics in understanding sexual risk taking (Staras, et al., 2009). However studies have not yet examined whether protective parenting may be able to buffer some of those effects. Given the fact that this area of research remains underexplored, this dissertation study sought to 23 conduct preliminary, exploratory analyses about the intersection between aspects of parentadolescent and partner-adolescent relationships. Specifically, this study tried to understand whether engaged parents (who support and supervise their children) can protect a child by bolstering the odds that they will use condoms with their sexual partners who are typically unsafe (i.e., have multiple sexual partners or have been diagnosed with an STD). It seems possible that, in this situation, the same mechanisms via which involved parenting can protect youth from a sexually risky peer group might protect them from a sexually risky partner. That is, it is plausible that a teen who feels that her parent cares about her might be more likely to use condoms even if she has a typically risky partner. However, it is important to point out that within partner relationships there are other factors at play when it comes to sexual risk. Firstly, as mentioned earlier, condom usage usually falls to the male partner, often resulting in a power imbalance in the context of male-female sexual relationships (Wingood & DiClemente, 2000). Therefore, it seems plausible that boys may be more likely to engage in safer sex, even if their partner is typically unsafe, in the context of a protective familial environment. They might simply be more empowered to enact this behavior. Secondly, perception of sexual risk, with any particular sexual partner, will play an important role on whether or not condom use will take place with that partner. Thus, a strong familial relationship may not necessarily result in protective behavior with a sexual partner in the absence of perception of risk. Male and female power differentials and perception of risk should be considered in attempting to understand how parental relationships might affect sexual health outcomes in the context of sexually risky partners. 24 Studying Social Influences on Sexual Risk Taking: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Research Methodology As mentioned above, another important issue to consider in conducting research on social influences on sexual risk taking in adolescents is the current gap between the theory and the methodology. There is wide agreement in the literature on adolescent sexual risk of the importance of studying the social forces that can influence risk-taking in youth (DiClemente, et al., 2007). In addition, many theories have been devised to try to understand contextual influences on risk behaviors. However, very few studies take on the task of using methods that take those contexts into account (Luke, 2005). Specifically, assessing social influences independently of the participants’ perceptions is still very uncommon in the literature on adolescent health. An important step in learning how social contexts can influence individual behavior is to capture those social contextual influences to allow for a more nuanced and complete understanding of the social phenomena of interest and how it can impact a specific sexual risk outcome such as non-condom use. If, as social scientists, we intend to understand how a particular social force, such as peers, can influence sexual risk taking, it is important to measure the level of sexual risk in a participants’ peers. This study attempted to bridge the gap between theory and methodology by utilizing multi-informant data provided by index participants as well as those participants’ peers. Additionally, Ecodevelopmental Theory proposes that risk and protection often occur along developmental trajectories. In relation to sexual risk taking and STD diagnosis, this suggests that protective and risk factors must precede sexual taking and STD diagnosis. This study attempted to address this aspect of the Ecodevelopmental Theory by analyzing data across two waves (conducted 12 months apart from one another) and trying to determine whether parent 25 and peer influences at an earlier time had an effect on sexual risk taking and STD diagnosis at a later time. (Given the fact that even with consistent condom use, STD diagnosis might occur if one’s partner has an STD, it was proposed that the relationship between risky sexual partners and STD status would be partially mediated through condom use behaviors.) Overall, this study examined whether protective parenting could result in a protective sexual behavior trajectory in relation sexual risk taking. Additionally, given the age group of interest (14 to 19 years old) the outcome of interest in this study was sexual risk taking (i.e., condom use) as opposed to sexual initiation (which is the outcome variable of interest of a great majority of the literature in this field). As mentioned earlier, this outcome seems more developmentally appropriate for teens in this age group given that sexual initiation is a normative part of adolescent sexual development. Ecodevelopmental Theory also suggests that distinct social systems interact with one another in impacting adolescent risk. Moderation analyses were conducted to determine if this is the case within the study sample. Specifically, the interactions between involved parenting and sexually risky peers, and involved parenting and sexually risky partners were examined to verify if involved parenting can buffer the effects of risky peers and partners. Hypotheses and Research Questions In summary, empirical evidence clearly suggests that parent, peer, and partner influences impact sexual risk taking. However, it seems possible that these interactions might be different for boys than they are for girls. Research Questions This study attempted to answer the following questions: 26 1. Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose peers are sexually risky? 2. Does gender moderate the relationship between peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking? 3. Does higher risk taking predict higher incidence of STD diagnosis? Exploratory Questions 1. Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose partners are typically sexually risky? 2. Does gender moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking? 3. Does perception of risk moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking? Hypotheses Main Effects 1. (Path a) It was expected that individuals with high levels of involved parenting (Time 1) will have lower levels of sexual risk-taking (Time 2). 2. (Path b) It was hypothesized that adolescents whose peers engage in high levels of sexual risk (Time 1) will have higher levels of sexual risk-taking (Time 2). 3. (Path c) It was expected that individuals with high risk sex partners (Time 2) will engage in higher levels of sexual risk taking (Time 2). 4. (Path d) It was hypothesized that participants reporting higher levels of perception of risk (Time 2) will have lower levels of sexual risk taking (Time 2). 27 5. (Path e) It was hypothesized that individuals with higher levels of sexual risk taking (Time 2) will be more likely to have a positive STD diagnosis (Time 2). Moderating Effects 1. (Path not modeled) It was expected that involved parenting will act as a buffer in the relationship between sexually risky peers (Time 1) and risky sexual behavior (Time 2). 2. (Path not modeled) It was expected that respondent’s gender will moderate the impact of involved parenting (Time 1) on sexual risk (Time 2). Mediated Effects 1. (Paths a and e) It was hypothesized that the path from involved parenting to STD status will be fully mediated through sexual risk taking. 2. (Paths b and e) It was expected that the path from sexually risky peers to STD status will be fully mediated through sexual risk taking. 3. (Paths c and e) It was expected that the path from risky sexual partners to STD status will be partially mediated through sexual risk taking. 4. (Paths d and e) It was hypothesized that the path from perception of risk to STD status will be fully mediated through sexual risk taking. 28 Figure 1. Conceptual Model of Parent, Peer, and Partner Influences on Sexual Risk Taking Time 1 Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) Time 2 a e Sexual Risk Taking b Sexually Risky Peers c Risky Sexual Partners 29 d Perception of Risk STD Status METHOD Research Design The data for this dissertation were drawn from the Bayview Network Study (BNS). The BNS was a multi-wave prospective study of African American youth and members of their social and sexual networks. The study was conducted in San Francisco, California from 2000-2002 and it was designed with the purpose of studying risk factors for STIs in African American adolescents. Teens were eligible to participate if they were African American, between 14 and 19 years of age, and living in Bayview-Hunter’s Point (a low income area in San Francisco). Index participants, their friends and their sexual partners were recruited to participate throughout 3 waves of data collection. Friends and partners were considered eligible to participate if they were at least 14 years old and living in San Francisco. Participants This dissertation study utilized the data collected from index participants and their social friends at waves 1 and 3. Specifically, given the aims of this study, the sample consisted of index participants who reported having had sexual intercourse with an opposite sex partner in the past 6 months at wave 3 (n=199). Overall, 58% (n=116) of index participants were female and 42% (n=83) were male. The average age of the index participants was 17.2 (SD=1.4). Most youth reported that they lived with one parent or guardian 65.8% (n=131); 28.6% reported that they lived with 2 parents or guardians (n=57) and 5.5% reported that they lived with someone who was not their guardian or by themselves (n=11). 30 Procedure Recruitment The recruitment effort for the BNS was a combination of population-based random sampling and snowball sampling of friends and sexual partners. Index participants were located and recruited through random digit dialing of phone numbers (corresponding to the 94124 ZIP code). Recruitment took place in several steps. At baseline, random digit dialing was used to recruit index participants into the study. In order to locate and recruit index participants, over 40,000 numbers were dialed (Ellen et al., 2005). Out of these, 22,000 were identified as households. Ninety-seven percent were considered ineligible because they were out of the target geographical area or no African American adolescents, between the ages of 14-19, lived there. After this process, a total of 673 teenagers living in 470 eligible households were identified. Ninety-three of the potential participants were excluded because they were actually duplicates. Potential participants who could not be reached by phone were referred to the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) staff. Staff attempted to locate participants with home visits, word-of-mouth, queries, public records, and assistance of key informants and community leaders (Ellen, et al., 2005). Ultimately a total of 580 household youth were offered the opportunity to complete the interview (Auerswald, et al., 2006). Out of these 580, a total of 350 were interviewed for a response rate of 60.3%. Reasons for not participating in the study broke down in the following way: 20% guardian refusal, 13% respondent refusal, 4% informant refusal, 3% respondent not available (Auerswald, et al., 2006). Overall, males and younger adolescents were least likely to accept participation. 31 Those 184 index participants who reported that they had initiated sexual activity were asked to name two social friends. They also gave brief descriptions of those friends. Finally, at wave 3, conducted 12 months after baseline, index participants and friends were interviewed again. Those sexually active participants (within the past 6 months) were asked to name sex partners in the past 6 months, since the last interview. After that, these sex partners were recruited into the study and asked to name up to 6 partners in the past 6 months. The partners of the partners were then pursued for recruitment. Data from 199 participants who had been sexually active in the last 6 months at Wave 3 (12 months after Wave 1) were utilized in the analyses of this study. Out of those 199 participants, 102 had at least 1 social friend who was also interviewed in the study. Data from those 102 social friends was utilized to create a ―peer sexual risk‖ scale that is described below. Consent and Confidentiality After youth’s eligibility was assessed, informed consent was obtained. Parental consent was obtained for teens younger than 18 years old. Parental consent was obtained by phone and a copy of the consent form was mailed and returned with the parent’s signature (Auerswald, et al., 2006). Consent was obtained directly from participants 18 years of age and older prior to the start of the interview. Participants who were younger than 18 years old gave assent. Consent or assent was obtained from youth by telephone or in person. The study was approved by the 1 Institutional Review Board (IRB) at the UCSF . 1 Michigan State University’s IRB was consulted in regards to this research project. They informed the investigators that IRB approval from the MSU IRB would not be necessary given that the data utilized for analyses is completely de-identified. The corresponding IRB documentation is included in Appendix B. 32 Survey Administration A majority of the interviews were conducted over the phone although some were conducted in person (Ellen, et al., 2005). When possible, named friends and sex partners were recruited and interviewed by phone as well. Participant recruitment and interviews were conducted by University of California at Berkeley’s Survey Research Center. UCSF staff (in addition to locating hard-to-reach participants) collected urine and vaginal swabs to determine STD status. During the interview process, interviewers entered the responses directly into a computer utilizing the CASES software program (Computer-assisted Survey Methods, USC Berkeley, California). The interview lasted an average of 45 minutes and participants received $25 for their participation in the interview and $10 for sexually transmitted disease testing (Ellen, et al., 2005). All wave 1 and 3 participants were tested for STIs and all female participants were tested for pregnancy (Ellen, et al., 2005). (Girls who reported that they were virgins were tested for pregnancy as well, to prevent exposing adolescents’ sexual initiation status to their peers.) Gonorrhea (Neisserie gonorrhoeae) and Chlamydia (Chlamydia trachomatis) tests were conducted on men’s urine samples and women’s vaginal Q-tip swabs. Young women were also asked to provide a urine sample to test for pregnancy. Information was also collected regarding STI symptoms. Those participants who tested positive were notified and offered free treatment. Youth undergoing STI testing were met in the field by study staff. The staff members provided written materials to the adolescents on how to properly take the tests. Convenient locations were used for testing including home, school or workplace (Auerswald, et al., 2006). 33 Measures Demographics Demographic characteristic data were gathered in relation to age, race, gender and with whom the adolescents lived. Age was measured with the question ―How old are you?‖ Race was measured with the question ―What is your race or ethnicity?‖ (As mentioned above, all index participants were African American given the eligibility criteria.) Gender was assessed with the question ―Are you male or female?‖ Finally, who the adolescent lived with was measured with the following questions: (1) Who are you currently living with, both your parents, only one parent, someone else, or are you currently living by yourself? (2) Are you living with someone who is your female guardian like a grandmother, aunt or foster mother, or someone else who is your female guardian? (3) Are you living with someone who is your male guardian like a grandfather, uncle, or foster father, or someone else who is your male guardian. Given that some literature suggests that two parents or guardians can be more protective (presumably because there are more opportunities for monitoring and support) (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999), the items above were utilized to create a new variable with the following categories: (1) adolescent lived with one parent or guardian, (2) adolescent lived with two parents or guardians, (3) adolescent lived by themselves or with someone else who was not their parent or guardian. Involved Parenting A confirmatory factor analysis was utilized to test involved parenting as a latent construct. Two scales or sub-constructs were entered into the CFA for this variable. These were parental monitoring and parental support. 34 Parental Monitoring Parental monitoring was measured on a 6-item, 3 point scale. Items in the scale asked how much parents tried to know about their teen’s whereabouts at night, how much they tried to know about what they did with their free time, and how much they tried to know about their whereabouts during the day. It also asked how much their parents actually knew about their whereabouts at night, how much they actually knew about what they did with their free time and how much they actually knew about their whereabouts during the day. The response set for all of the questions consisted of the following options: ―not at all‖, ―a little‖ and ―a lot‖. When the items were averaged, they produced a mean of 2.44 (SD = .45, Range= 1-3) and a satisfactory Cronbach’s alpha of .79. Higher scores indicated higher levels of parental monitoring. These items were centered (by subtracting 2 from each item) before importing the dataset into MPlus. Centering was conducted to account for collinearity amongst variables, given that the items were used to create cross-product interaction terms in subsequent analyses. This centering method (subtracting 2 from each item) was chosen given that parental monitoring was scored on a 3 point scale, ranging from 0 - 3. Therefore, centering at 2 resulted in whole numbers, allowing for easier interpretation of item values. Parental Support Parental support was measured with four items. These items asked about closeness to their female and male guardians and/or their biological mother and father. Questions about biological parents were only asked if the adolescent reported that they did not live with their biological mother or father. The items were worded in the following way: ―How close do you feel to your female guardian? By close I mean, feeling like you can count on her to talk with you about your personal problems and to provide you with emotional support.‖ The same question 35 was asked in regards to their male guardian, biological mother (only asked if they did not live with her) and biological father (only asked if they did not live with him). The response set included the options: ―Not close at all‖, ―Not too close‖, ―Somewhat close‖, and ―Very close‖. Some participants could have more than one parental figure of each gender with whom they had routine contact (e.g., stepfather and biological father or a mother and stepmother), and therefore two parental support scores for male parental figures and/or female parental figures. In these cases, those two scores were averaged together to create an overall ―male/female parental figure support‖ score. The reason why these support items were handled this way, instead of simply using the guardian scores, is that almost a third of the sample reported that they did not live with their biological father but did have a relationship with him (n=59, 30%). Specifically, out of those 59 individuals, 79% (n=46) said that they saw their biological father at least once a week, 8.4% (n=5) said that they saw him less than once a week, and 5.1% (n=3) said they saw him less than once a month. Therefore, this made it possible to retain information about those relationships within the score. In the end, each participant had two support scores: one for their male parental figure(s) and one for their female parental figure(s). Given that this was a 4-point scale, with no true 0 point, each item was mean centered before importing the dataset into MPlus. The mean parental support score from female parents or guardians was 3.4 (SD = 0.84, responses ranged 1-3). The mean parental support score from male parents or guardians was 2.47 (SD = 1.16, responses ranged 1-3) Sexual Risk: Condom Use Condom use was measured with the question: ―How often have you and [partner 1] used condoms in the last 6 months – every time, most of the time, a few times or never?‖ (This question was asked in relation to 1- 6 sexual partners.) 36 An index of sexual risk/non-condom use was calculated for each index participant by summing their scores, across all partners, to the question(s) above. Therefore, a participant who had 2 partners and used condoms most of the time (score of 1) with partner 1 and a few times (score of 2) with partner 2, received a score of 3. Summing was chosen over averaging in creating this index, because conceptually it captures the notion of cumulative risk. In other words, a person who has more partners with whom he or she is ―sexually risky‖ will have a higher score than a participant who is ―sexually risky‖ with just one partner. Overall, participants could receive a score ranging from 0-18, with higher scores indicating higher levels sexual risk taking or non condom use. The mean score across partners was 1.3 (SD=1.62) and the median was 1.0. Scores ranged from 0-9. This scale was found to be positively skewed and kurtotic. As suggested by Tabachnick and Fidell (2006), a log transformation was conducted in order to correct for this (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2007). Prior to transformation the skewness was 1.40, after transformation it was .42; prior to transformation the kurtosis was 2.40 and after transformation the kurtosis was -1.27). Use of the ML estimation in structural equation modeling, assumes a normal distribution, therefore, this transformation was conducted in order to better met that assumption. Sexually Risky Peers The measure of sexual risk taking of peers was constructed in the same way as the measure of sexual risk taking in index participants (data from 102 of the index participants’ social friends was used). ―Sexually risky peers‖ was measured with the question: ―How often have you and [partner 1] used condoms in the last 6 months – every time, most of the time, a few times or never?‖ (This question was asked in relation to 1-6 sexual partners.) Level of sexual risk/condom use was calculated for each social friend by summing their scores, across partners, 37 to the question(s) above. Overall, participants could receive a score ranging from 0-18, with higher scores indicating higher levels sexual risk taking or non condom use. The mean score across partners was .94 (SD=1.44) and the median was 0. Scores ranged from 0-8. (Friends who had not initiated sexual intercourse or had not had sexual intercourse in the last 3 months, received a score of 0, indicating a non-sexually risky friend.) Some index participants had data for one close friend (n= 65), whereas others had data for two close friends (n=37). All participants said that they had at least one close friend, therefore, for those participants who had data for two close friends (n=37), one of the two was chosen at random. The sexual risk score for the randomly chosen friend became the measure of ―peer sexual risk‖ for the corresponding index participant. Finally, normality analyses showed that this index was negatively skewed (-2.04) and highly kurtotic (5.02). However, several transformations were attempted, none of which improved the distributional properties of the variable. (A log transformation, worsened the skewness and a square root transformation worsened the kurtosis.) Therefore, the decision was made to use the original variable; capped at a score of 4. This was a meaningful score because any given participant could use condoms every time (score of 0), most of time (score of 1), a few times (score of 2), or never (score of 3). Therefore, anyone who had a 4 or higher, had inconsistent condom use with at least 2 partners. Additionally, only 6 individuals had scores higher than 4 (with the highest being a score of 8). Sexually Risky Partners ―Sexually risky partners‖ was measured utilizing two items and one indexed measure (age difference between participant and partner). The two items (asked of 1-6 sexual partners) 38 were: (1) Did [he/she] ever have a sexually transmitted disease? and (2) Did [he/she] have any other sex partners in the last 6 months? Finally, age difference between respondents and their partners was utilized as an indicator of ―risky sexual partners‖. Previous empirical work has suggested that an age difference of over 5 years between sexual partners can result in increased sexual risk taking due to power differentials in negotiating safer sex (Wingood & DiClemente, 2000). A total of 32 participants (16%) reported that they had one partner who was 5 years older than they were and 4 participants (2%) reported that they had two partners who were 5 years older than they were (at wave 3). Additionally, 23 participants (11.6%) reported that they had at least one partner who had been infected with an STD and 57 participants (28.6%) reported that at least one of their partners had had other partners within the last 6 months. (Approximately 20.1% of participants said one of their partners had other partners, 7.0% said that two of their partners had other partners, 1.5% said that three or more of their partners had other partners) The answers to these three items were dichotomized so that each positive response received a 1 and each negative response received a 0. Participants could receive a score from 018, with higher scores indicating higher levels of perceived sexual risk in their sexual partners. Scores ranged from 0 to 5 (Mean = 0.73, SD = 0.98). Normality analyses showed that this index was positively skewed. A square root transformation was conducted to help correct for this (prior to transformation the skewness was 1.40, after transformation the skewness was .51). This variable was also mean centered before the dataset was imported into MPlus. 39 Perception of STD and HIV Risk Perception of (partner-specific) STD and HIV risk was measured with one item each: (1) ―How likely do you think it is that [he/she] (could/did) give you a sexually transmitted disease? Would you say very likely (score of 4), somewhat likely (score of 3), somewhat unlikely (score of 2), or very unlikely (score of 1)?‖ and (2) ―How likely do you think it is that [he/she] (could/did) give you HIV? Would you say very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?‖ Each question was asked about 1-6 sexual partners. When averaged across each participant’s partners, the mean level of perception of STD risk was 1.53 (SD=.81) and the mean level of perception of HIV risk was 1.41 (SD=.71). The scores to these two items were averaged together to create an index of HIV/STD risk. The mean score for the sample was .80 (SD=.26). Scores ranged from 1 to 4. Additionally, the perception of HIV/STD risk measure was found to be positively skewed. Inverting the variable seemed to correct for this, somewhat, (prior to transformation the skewness was 1.54, after transformation it was - 0.74). This variable was also mean centered before the dataset was imported into MPlus. STD Status As mentioned above, participants were tested for gonorrhea and chlamydia. Positive results to these two tests were combined into one variable which indicates presence of one or both of the STDs. A total of 163 participants were tested for STDs out of these 8% (n=13) had a positive result. 40 Control Variables and Preliminary Analyses Preliminary analyses assessed the relationships between demographic characteristics and outcome variables in order to determine the need to covary sample demographic characteristics in further analyses. Specifically, consistent with previous literature, the following demographic variables were examined: age and with whom the adolescent lived. The need to control for childbearing attitudes was also assessed, given that previous research has shown a link between positive childbearing attitudes and unprotected sexual activity in adolescents (East, et al., 2006). Childbearing attitudes were assessed with one question: ―In the next 3 months, do you want to get pregnant by [Main Partner] - would you say definitely no, probably no, probably yes, or definitely yes‖ (for females) or ―In the next 3 months, do you want to get [Main Partner] pregnant - would you say definitely no, probably no, probably yes, definitely yes, or is she already pregnant?‖ (for males). This question was asked in relation to the participants’ main partner, if one was identified. If a main partner was not identified, then the question was asked in relation to the participants’ casual partners. Finally, some research has found household income or socioeconomic status to be linked to sexual risk and protection in African American youth (Millhausen, 2003). Given that income data were not collected from the participants, census block groups (CBGs) were utilized to create a proxy measure of household income. Median household income data for distinct census block groups were obtained from the 2000 Census Database (United States Census Bureau, 2000). The participants’ CBGs were then matched to the corresponding median household income to create the ―median household income‖ variable. This median household variable ranged from $12,000 per year to $102,000 per year. In order to facilitate analyses, the variable was rescaled by dividing it by 1,000. 41 As expected, sexual risk taking was significantly correlated with both age (r=.265, p<.01) and with whom the adolescent lived. Specifically, older youth were less likely to use condoms than younger youth. Living alone or with a person who was not their guardian was positively correlated with sexual risk taking (0.20, p<0.01); living with one parent or guardian was negatively correlated with sexual risk taking (-0.16, p<0.05). Interestingly, living with two parents or guardians was not significantly correlated with sexual risk taking. Attitudes toward pregnancy were not correlated to any of the outcome variables or dependent variables. Median household income was not correlated to the outcome variable. However, it was negatively correlated with the measure for risky sex partners (r=-.148, p<.05). In other words, as median income rose, the risky sex partner score decreased. Based on these preliminary results, age, who the participant lived with, and median income were entered in subsequent analyses as control variables. Preliminary descriptive analyses were also conducted to verify how similar or dissimilar adolescents who had friends who were interviewed were from adolescents who had no friends who were interviewed. These analyses demonstrated that adolescents who had at least one friend who was interviewed were similar in age and gender distribution to those who had no friends who were interviewed. However, those participants who had at least one friend who was interviewed had, on average, higher levels of sexual risk taking, riskier sex partners, and had higher median household income levels (See Table 2). Independent samples t-tests were conducted in order to ascertain whether these mean differences were statistically significant. Only the differences in level of sexual risk taking emerged as statistically significant between the two groups. (See Table 2 below.) In other words, participants who had friends who were 42 interviewed were significantly more likely to engage in higher levels of sexual risk taking than their counterparts who did not have friends who were interviewed in the study. 43 Table 1. Participant Demographic Characteristics: Participants with 1 or 2 friends who were interviewed versus participants with no friends who were interviewed Type of Participant Participants with 1 or 2 Participants with No Friends who were Friends who were Interviewed Interviewed (n=102) (n=97) 14-19 14-19 17.3, 1.3 17.0, 1.5 18.0 17.0 Male 41.2% 40.2% Female 58.8% 59.8% 0–9 0–5 1.7, 1.8 0.9, 1.3 1.0 0.0 0 -5 0-3 0.8, 1.1 0.6, 0.8 0.0 0.0 T df 1.5 197 3.0** 194 1.2 193 Age (in years) Range Mean, SD Median Gender Sexual Risk Taking Range Mean, SD Median Risky Sex Partners Range Mean, SD Median 44 Table 1 (cont’d) Type of Participant Participants with 1 or 2 Participants with No Friends who were Friends who were Interviewed Interviewed (n=102) (n=97) 14.6 – 103.0 12.1 – 71.6 38.9, 16.3 35.5, 16.0 39.2 36.3 T Df 1.0 183 Median Household Income (Scaled by dividing raw income score by 1,000) Range Mean, SD Median * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01. Missing Data, Normality, and Outliers Missing Data and Outliers The statistical software, MPlus, was utilized in analyzing the data. This package can address missing data through the full information maximum likelihood algorithm (FIML). FIML is able to handle up to 25% missing data and produce accurate coefficient estimates and model fit indices (Enders & Bandalos, 2001). In order to accommodate the fact that not all participants had friend data, as mentioned above, only the 102 participants who had close friend data were utilized in analyses pertaining to 45 peer influence. The full sample of 199 participants was used in analyses which did not pertain to peer influence (i.e., exploratory analyses of sexual partner influence). It is important to note that, in MPlus, FIML can only be used on dependent variables. Therefore, cases that had missing data on the covariates (―age‖, ―who the adolescent lived with‖, and ―median income‖ were allowed to covary in some of the models and constrained to 0 in others) were excluded from particular model runs. Therefore, final models had fewer cases than 102 (for the peer risk model) and 199 (for the partner risk model). In relation to outliers, descriptive statistics and histograms were utilized to identify outliers at the univariate level. Individual scale scores which were three standard deviations from the mean were considered and examined as outliers. Multivariate outliers were identified utilizing Cook’s distance (measures the effect of deleting a single observation) and Mahalanobis distance (calculates the distance of particular scores to the cluster of cases). (Note that these multivariate outlier detection analyses were conducted separately for the peer model and partner model.) Overall, 10 cases were identified as univariate and/or multivariate outliers. Analyses were conducted excluding and including the outliers to determine changes in results and decide whether to exclude outlying cases. Overall, results did not change significantly after excluding these cases. This indicated that the outliers were not exerting undue influence on model results, therefore, the cases were retained in the analyses. Data Analytic Strategy As mentioned above, structural equation modeling was utilized in assessing the fit of the proposed conceptual model onto the observed data. As is the norm in conducting structural equation modeling, analyses occurred in two main steps: estimation of the measurement model (confirmatory factor analysis) and structural equation modeling (Kline, 1998). For each of these 46 two processes (CFA and path analysis), four basic steps were conducted: (1) defined a model (specification), (2) MPlus software used observed correlations or covariances to estimate parameters, (3) the model fit was tested and, where needed, (4) the model was modified. As mentioned above, confirmatory factor analysis was utilized to test involved parenting as a latent variable with 8 indicators (2 for support and 6 for monitoring). All other variables, were treated as observed or measured variables Model Fitting Process MPlus software was used to estimate parameters for each of the proposed paths, including control variables. This produced a baseline model. Several fit indices were examined to determine the degree to which the conceptual model ―fit‖ the data. In other words, fit indices provided the significance and magnitude of the hypothesized relationships. As recommended by Kline (1998), the following fit indices were evaluated in determining model fit: Chi Square Statistic (CMIN), Comparative Fit Index (CFI) and Root Mean Square of Error Approximation (RMSEA). The CMIN compares the observed covariance structure against the hypothesized model structure. Generally, a good fit is indicated when the CMIN is non-significant. This indicates that the researcher hypothesized model and the model of the observed data are not significantly different. However, it is important to note that the chi square statistic depends on the assumption of multivariate normality, and is sensitive to sample size and Type II errors. Therefore, the other fit indices were utilized in combination with the CMIN to determine model fit before any decisions on modifications were made. The comparative fit index (CFI) indicates the proportion of improvement in the fit of the hypothesized (researcher) model in comparison to the null model (one in which the observed variables are assumed to be uncorrelated). The CFI accounts for the number of parameters estimated. Importantly, the CFI is sensitive to magnitude 47 of correlations; if correlations are low it will be low as well. (Reasonable fit for CFI is .9 or above.) Finally, the RMSEA was utilized to assess model fit. The RMSEA is based on the chi square statistic. It accounts for the degrees of freedom in the model. Generally, an RMSEA of .06 or less indicates good fit. After examining model fit, pathways which were non-significant were set to zero in order to increase model fit and attain a more parsimonious model. Next, modification indices were assessed. Larger modification indices signal a better model fit if that particular parameter is added to the model (Kline, 1998). Modifications that could potentially improve model fit were considered. If theoretically possible, modifications were made. If modifications were made, model fit indices were re-examined to determine the degree to which the model improved. This process resulted in a final structural model. It is important to note that in some cases it is not possible to attain model fit indices for particular types of structural equation models. One such case is when one is estimating model fit for a model involving an interaction with a latent variable. When estimating model fit for a model involving a latent interaction variable, MPlus software (as well as other software programs) is unable to provide traditional model fit statistics including Chi-Square statistic, CFI, and RMSEA (Muthen, 2010). The reason why this is the case is that, in order to run this sort of model, it is necessary to utilize model estimation (maximum likelihood estimation with robust standard errors or MLR) that allows random slopes and intercepts (where the variance of the y variable varies with the values on x). This precludes the estimation of chi square and related statistics (Muthen, 2010). Instead, it is necessary to use a nested model technique where one estimates model fit for a particular model, then sets one or more parameters to zero and tests 48 model fit again. After that, the resulting model statistics are utilized to conduct a log-likelihood difference test, which is in fact chi-square distributed (Muthen, 2010). Analysis of the traditional fit statistics was utilized in fitting the CFA model, as described above. However, a nested model technique, utilizing log-likelihoods for the null and alternative models were used in testing all of the path models, given that all included latent interaction terms. 49 RESULTS In summary, this study tested a conceptual model of parent and peer influences on sexual risk taking and STD status of African American youth. Exploratory analyses were also undertaken to test a conceptual model of parent and sexual partner influences on sexual risk taking and STD status of African American youth. The following sections discuss the results of this study. First, the sample characteristics in relation to the dependent variables are summarized. Next, the model testing process is discussed, by research question, and the results of each set of analyses are described. Sample Characteristics Among the 199 youth in the sample (all sexually active at time 2), the average age of first sexual intercourse was 14.9 years of age. At Time 1 (a year before Time 2), 82.9% of that sample had initiated sexual intercourse (n=165) and 66% of the sample (n=132) reported sexual activity in the last 3 months. Additionally, at baseline, the mean number of partners in the last 3 months was 1.56 and the median was 1 (n=132). At Time 2, the mean number of partners in the last 3 months was 1.75 and the median was 1 (n=199). Overall, most youth reported some degree of sexual risk taking or non-condom use. At Time 1, 39% of the participants who reported sexual activity in the past 3 months, reported that they used condoms every time with all partners, while 60% reported that they had used condoms inconsistently at some point in the last 3 months with at least 1 partner. At Time 2, 47% said that they used condoms every time with all partners, while 50% had used condoms inconsistently at some point in the last 3 months with at least 1 partner. Time 1 and 2 condom use behaviors were also significantly correlated with one another (r = 0.329, p < 0.01). 50 Additionally, 75% (n=124) of sexually active participants at Time 1 reported that they had been tested for an STD at some time in their lives. Out of those participants 124 participants 7.2% (n=9) said that they had a positive STD test the last time that they were tested. A total of 36 participants (18%) reported that they had at least 1 partner who was 5 years older than they were. A majority of the participants reporting older partners were girls, 29 out of 36 (81%). Finally, on average, the index youth were somewhat ―riskier‖ than their friends. Index participants had an average sexual risk score of 1.3 (SD = 1.6) with a median of 1.0 (score of 1= used condoms most of the time). Meanwhile, friends had an average sexual risk score of 1.0 (SD = 1.6) with a median of 0 (score of 0 = friend was a virgin or used condoms every time). However, it is important to note that this is likely related to selection criteria. While all index participants in this study had to be sexually active, their corresponding friends did not. Confirmatory Factor Analysis: Involved Parenting as a Latent Construct Before testing the hypothesized relationships amongst the variables, involved parenting was tested as a latent variable with 8 indicators (2 for support and 6 for monitoring). Figure 2 shows the hypothesized model. 51 Figure 2. Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Involved Parenting as a Latent Construct 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 PM1 PM2 1 PM3 PM4 Involved Parenting PM5 PM6 PS1 PS2 The results of the confirmatory factor analysis for the hypothesized model demonstrated that the model was an improvement over the MPlus generated baseline or independence model (an unrestricted model with a free covariance matrix, in other words a model in which it is assumed that there are no relationships between the variables). While the baseline model had a chi-square of 361(28) (p<0.0000) the hypothesized model had a chi–square of 96.580 (20) (p<0.0000). However, examination of the other fit indices (as suggested by the chi-square of the hypothesized model) confirmed that the investigator model was not a close fit to the covariance structure of the data. The results for the hypothesized model are included in Table 2. 52 Table 2. Confirmatory Factor Analysis: Model Fit Statistics Model Chi-square (df) CFI RMSEA 0.770 0.139 0.961 0.070 0.996 0.022 96.580 (20) Hypothesized Model p<0.000 Parental Monitoring ―try‖ Items Allowed to Correlate to Each Other, ―really‖ Variables Allowed to Correlate to Each Other and Support Items Allowed to Correlate to Each 25.829 (13) Other P=0.0179 Parental Monitoring ―try‖ Items Allowed to Correlate to Each Other, ―try‖ Items Allowed to Correlate with Corresponding ―really‖ Items and Support Items Allowed to Correlate to 14.216 (13) Each Other p=0.3588 The next step was examination of the modification indices. These revealed that allowing some of the residual variances of the indicators to correlate could improve the model fit. Therefore, from a theoretical perspective, it was decided the following modifications would be made: (1) the residual variances of those items that related to ―trying‖ to monitor your children would be allowed to correlate to each other, (2) the residual variances of those items that related 53 to ―really‖ monitoring your children would be allowed to correlate to each other and (3) the residual variances of the two items that related to parental support would be allowed to correlate to each other. These modifications seemed justified given that each set of variables related to a distinct subconstruct of involved parenting (intention to monitor, actual monitoring, and support). As is clear from the fit indices, this model was a much closer fit to the covariance structure of the dataset. Once again, modification indices were examined. These revealed that the correlations amongst the variables relating to ―trying‖ to monitor your children were indeed significantly related to one another, however, the variables relating to ―really‖ monitoring your children were not significantly related to one another. It was also noted that some of the parental monitoring items which related to ―trying‖ to monitor were significantly correlated with the corresponding items on ―really‖ monitoring (i.e., ―How much do your parents try to know about what you do with your free time?‖ was significantly correlated with ―How much do your parents really know about you do with yoru free time?‖). Therefore, a third model was tested with the following modifications to the investigator model: (1) the residual variances of those items that related to ―trying‖ to monitor your children were allowed to correlate to each other (2) the residual variances for each of the ―try‖ parental monitoring variables were allowed to correlate to their corresponding ―really‖ variables and (2) the residual variances to the two support variables were allowed to correlate to each other. Once again, this model seemed theoretically possible given that attempting to know about a particular situation that your child is involved in would correlate to you actually knowing about it. As is evident from the fit indices included in Table 2 this produced the best fitting model. Figure 3 below illustrates all of the parameter estimates and error covariances for this model. 54 0.444*** PM1 1 0.443*** 0.334*** PM2 0.507*** -0.013 0.356*** Figure 3. Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Involved Parenting: Final Model (Standardized Parameter Estimates) 1 1 0.371*** PM3 0.238** 1 Involved Parenting 0.741*** PM4 1 0.720*** 0.123 a 0.275** PM5 0.646*** 0.220** 1 PS1 PS2 1 PM6 1 1 0.237** 55 Figure 3. (cont’d) a N=199. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001, Significant at p<0.10 56 Path Analysis Model Results by Research Question In order to answer the research questions and exploratory questions of interest a series of path analysis models were constructed and tested. For each set of analyses several steps were undertaken. As a first step, before running the theoretical models for each analysis, a version of the model that did not include the latent interaction term was run. This is recommended as a preliminary step when running models for which it is not possible to attain traditional fit indices (Muthen, 2010). If the model is a good fit, then one goes on to test whether the interaction in question is significant. Secondly, parameter estimates were examined in order to assess the direction and strengths of the relationships between the variables of interest. Note that in those models including latent interaction variables it was not possible to attain standardized parameter estimates, therefore, unstandardized parameter estimates were examined and reported (standard errors are provided below to allow for interpretation). Given the greater ease of interpretability of standardized parameter estimates, these were provided whenever available (i.e., in those models that did not include the latent interaction terms). Then, the paths from control variables to the dependent variable that did not reach statistical significance were trimmed (by setting them to 0) one-by-one, in distinct iterations of the model. (That is, if two control variable paths were found to be non-significant when the full model was run, one of them would be trimmed, the model would be run again, and the parameters re-examined. If warranted, the second non-significant path would be trimmed as well in a next step. Trimming non-significant variables one-by-one allows the researcher to diagnose accurately the cause of any changes in model fit and parameter estimates from model to model.) Once a more parsimonious model was achieved through the trimming of non-significant paths between control variables and the dependent variable, significance tests utilizing the log57 likelihood values of the new model and subsequent nested models (both the full and nested models must be run with the same MLR estimator in order to conduct these) were conducted. The purpose of these tests is to assess whether the full model (including the interaction) or the simpler, nested model (excluding the interaction) should be chosen as a closer fit to the data structure. The formula to compute the TRd statistic is as follows (Satorra & Benteler, 1999): cd = (p0 * c0 - p1 * c1)/(p0-p1) TRd = -2*(L0 - L1)/cd df = p1-p0 Where cd is the difference test scaling factor and TRd is the chi-squared distributed test statistic. The loglikelihood values, scaling factors and number of free parameters are obtained from the MPlus model outputs. Completed formulas for the model tests are included below. RQ #1: Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose peers are sexually risky? The main aim of this study was to test whether involved parenting could moderate the relationship between sexually risky peers and sexual risk taking in this sample of African American youth. Figure 4 depicts the first path model that was tested which, as described above, excluded the latent interaction term between involved parenting and sexually risky peers. (Note that this model also estimated the correlations amongst the residual variances of the observed exogenous variables although these are not shown in Figure 4 below.) It is important to note that FIML can only be used to handle missing data on dependent variables, not on covariates. Therefore, cases that had missing data on the covariates (―age‖, ―who the adolescent lived with‖, and ―median income‖ were allowed to covary in this model) 58 were excluded from the model runs (even if the parameter was set to 0). The model below and subsequent ones had 96 cases instead of 102. Figure 4. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Interaction Term Excluded (Standardized Parameter Estimates) 1 1 Lives with 1 parent or guardian 1 1 Age Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) -0.097 b 0.189 Sexually Risky Peers b -0.042 0.038 0.081 Sexual Risk Taking 1 0.186 N=96. a p = 0.061 , Census Block Income L a 1 Lives with 2 parents or guardians 1 p = 0.067 Overall, this model had excellent model fit, χ2 (55) = 42.28 and was non-significant. The CFI had a score of 1.00 and the RMSEA had a score of 0.00, both indicating good model fit. However, the hypothesized relationship between higher levels of involved parenting and lower levels of sexual risk taking did not reach statistical significance. On the other hand, the path from sexually risky peers to sexual risk taking approached significance, B = 0.186, (p=0.061). In other words, those youth who had sexually risky peers at time 1 were more likely to engage in higher levels of sexual risk taking at time 2, while accounting for the effects of age, whether the adolescent lived with one or two parents or guardians, and median census block income on sexual risk taking. The path from age to sexual risk taking approached significance as well, B = 59 0.189 (p=0.067), suggesting that older youth were more likely to engage in sexual risk taking or non condom use than younger youth. None of the paths from the other control variables to sexual risk taking approached statistical significance. Table 3 below includes the unstandardized parameter estimates and levels of significance. After determining that the fit indices suggested that this model, excluding the latent interaction term fit the data relatively well, a series of models was run (beginning with the theoretical or investigator model) which included all of the hypothesized relationships, including the latent interaction term. Table 3 below includes the unstandardized parameter estimates for the different model runs. As mentioned above, it is not possible to attain traditional fit indices and standardized estimates for these sorts of models. Therefore, unstandardized parameter estimates and their p-values were examined in order to evaluate model fit. 60 Table 3. Peer Sexual Risk Model: Unstandardized Parameter Estimates and Significance Values Path Models Latent Interaction Term Omitted Investigator Model Non-significant Nested Model Control Variables Trimmed Est. SE Std. Est Est. SE Est. SE Est. SE IP →SR -0.086 0.135 -0.097 -0.139 0.256 -0.086 0.253 -0.075 0.164 SRP→SR 0.044 a 0.024 0.186 0.045 a 0.026 0.047 a 0.025 0.047 a 0.026 Na Na Na -0.059 0.139 -0.011 0.136 set to 0 set to 0 Age→SR 0.042 0.023 0.189 0.044 a 0.024 0.045 a 0.024 0.045 LW1PorG→SR -0.026 0.189 -0.042 -0.004 0.286 LW2PorG→SR 0.024 0.024 0.038 0.036 0.293 MedInc→SR 0.002 0.002 0.081 0.002 0.002 IPxSRP→SR a a a 0.024 N=96. p < 0.10. IP = Involved Parenting, SR = Sexual Risk Taking, SRP = Sexually Risky Peers, LW1PorG = Living with one parent or guardian, LW2PorG = Living with 2 parents or guardians, MedInc = Median Census Block Income 61 As can be seen in Table 3 above, none of the direct effects in the investigator model were statistically significant. Two of the direct effects, however, approached significance. Those were the paths from age to sexual risk taking (0.044, p = 0.070) and sexually risky peers to sexual risk taking (0.045, p = 0.086). In other words, adolescents who were older were more likely to engage in sexual risk taking and adolescents whose peers engaged in higher levels of sexual risk taking at time 1 were more likely to engage in sexual risk taking at time 2. Next, non-significant paths from control variables to sexual risk taking were trimmed one-by-one starting with a model in which the two variables regarding who the adolescent lived with were trimmed and then a model where the path from median income to sexual risk taking was trimmed. Parameter estimates remained very similar to the original model in these iterations. See the third column of Table 3 for the parameter estimates of the model in which the paths for the non-significant control variables were trimmed. Once again, the path from age to sexual risk taking approached significance (see Table 3) and was, therefore, left in the model. After this, a version of this more parsimonious model was run where the interaction between involved parenting and sexually risky peers had been set to 0. This new model, where the interaction parameter is set to 0 is said to be nested within the previous model. See the last column of Table 3 for the parameter estimates from this model. Similar to previous iterations, the paths from age to sexual risk taking and sexually risky peers to sexual risk taking approached statistical significance. Once these models were run, a chi-square difference test utilizing the log-likelihoods values of each model was estimated. Table 4 below summarizes this test. 62 Table 4. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and sexually risky peers Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p*c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -712.962 1.089 36 39.204 Full Model -712.956 1.106 37 40.922 Difference Test Scaling (cd) = 1.718 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.01 (df = 1) As can be seen above, the TRd value obtained was 0.01. Given that for one degree of freedom the TRd has to be at least 3.84 (at a p<0.5 level of significance) in order for the test to be significant, it was determined that the test was not significant and, therefore, the simpler model which did not contain the interaction, should be chosen. In other words, including the interaction term in the structural equation model does not improve model fit indicating that involved parenting did not moderate the relationship between sexually risky peers and sexual risk taking in this sample. 2 RQ #2: Does gender moderate the relationship between peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking? Another objective of this study was to test whether gender moderated the relationship between peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking. Although specific hypotheses were not drawn, 2 The analyses interaction analyses described above (testing whether involved parenting could moderate the effects of risky peers on sexual risk taking) were also conducted while controlling for the effects for sexual risk taking at time 1. However, when sexual risk taking at time 1 was controlled for, model results did not change significantly. 63 given the contradictory literature on this topic, it was expected that this relationship would differ by the participants’ gender. Given the small sample size and non-significant interaction terms, analyses focused on testing whether gender moderated the relationships between the two direct effects in the model (involved parenting and sexually risky peers) and sexual risk. Firstly, the only direct effect that approached statistical significance (sexually risky peers) was tested for moderation. In order to test this, an observed interaction term was constructed between the variables: ―peer sexual risk‖ and ―gender‖. Next, the nested model technique outlined above was used to test the significance of this interaction. Figure 5 below illustrates the model that was tested along with the corresponding unstandardized parameter estimates. 64 Figure 5. Structural Equation Analysis of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Gender Moderation Analyses (Sexually Risky Peers X Gender) 1 1 Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) 1 Age a 0.051 Sexually Risky Peers -0.013 -0.008 Involved Parenting X Sexually Risky Peers 1 0.044 L Sexual Risk Taking 1 -0.089 1 Sexually Risky Peers X Gender a N = 96. p = 0.058 The path from the interaction to sexual risk taking did not emerge as significant as can be seen in Figure 5. In fact, the only relationship that approached significance was age to sexual risk taking. Unlike previous iterations of the model, the relationship between sexually risky peers and sexual risk taking did not approach significance (p=0.104) when the interaction term was included in the model. After this, a model was run in which the interaction set had been set to 0. A chi-square test using the loglikelihood values for the models was calculated afterwards. The test was not significant, (see Table 5 below), meaning that the simpler model, excluding the interaction is a better fit for the data. In other words, gender does not appear to moderate the relationship between sexually risky peers and sexual risk taking in this particular sample. 65 Table 5. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between sexually risky peers and gender Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p*c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -712.956 1.106 37 40.922 Full Model -712.934 1.100 38 41.8 Difference Test Scaling (cd) = 0.878 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.05 (df = 1) Secondly, model tests were run to determine whether gender moderated the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk taking in this sample. In order to test whether participant gender moderated the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk taking, a latent interaction term was constructed between involved parenting and gender. That term was then entered into the model and regressed onto sexual risk taking. As can be seen from Figure 6 below the interaction term was not significant. Only the paths for sexually risky peers to sexual risk taking and age to sexual risk taking approached significance. 66 Figure 6. Structural Equation Analysis of Involved Parenting and Peer Sexual Risk: Gender Moderation Analyses 1 1 Age Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) a -0.209 a 1 1 0.047 Sexually Risky Peers -0.018 Involved Parenting X Sexually Risky Peers 1 0.044 L Sexual Risk Taking 1 0.158 Involved Parenting X Gender a N=96. p = 0.058 Subsequently, a model was run where the interaction term between involved parenting and gender had been set to 0. A chi-square difference test utilizing the log likelihood values of each model were calculated subsequently. The results to that chi-square difference test are included in Table 6 below. The test was not significant. In other words, gender does not appear to moderate the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk taking in this sample. 67 Table 6. Chi-Square Test for Involved Parenting and Peer Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and gender Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p*c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -781.279 1.076 39 41.964 Full Model -781.146 1.078 40 43.12 Difference Test Scaling (cd) = 1.156 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.23 (df = 1) RQ #3: Does higher risk taking predict higher incidence of STD diagnosis? Another aim of this study was to test whether higher levels of sexual risk taking predicted STD diagnosis. It was hypothesized that higher levels of sexual risk taking would predict STD diagnosis (both measures were taken at time 2). In order to test this hypothesis, the model shown below in Figure 7 was attempted utilizing maximum likelihood estimation. However, model convergence issues, likely due to the small sample size (n=96) made it impossible to attain reliable model estimates. Therefore a MonteCarlo estimation utilizing MLR was used in estimating the model. (Monte Carlo studies are analyses in which a large number of samples are drawn from the data. Each sample is then fit onto the hypothesized model (Muthen, 2002).) This allowed for the estimation of parameter estimates and odds ratios, although model fit statistics were not attained given that MLR (necessary when including an interaction in the model) was used. Similar to previous models, several of the hypothesized paths approached 68 statistical significance (i.e., age and sexually risky peers to the sexual risk taking). Those are shown in Figure 7. Figure 7. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Sexually Risky Peers: Mediational Analysis 1 1 Age Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) 3.324 b 0.044 0.381 Sexually Risky Peers 4.349* * Sexual Risk Taking a 0.008 1 -0.421 c -0.076 0.045 1 L 1 1 -0.059 STD Involved Parenting X Sexually Risky Peers a b c N=96. Unstandardized regression coefficients are shown. p = 0.066, p = 0.060, p = 0.091. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. (Note that the regression coefficients associated with the dichotomous dependent variable provide the change in the z-score or probit index for a one unit change in the corresponding predictor variable.) The path from sexual risk taking to STD status was significant at p<0.01. However, upon examining the results of the logistic regressions, it became clear that there were estimation problems with the model. According to these results, for every one unit increase in sexual risk taking, participants were 77.438 times more likely to report an STD. This very large odds ratio pointed to possible statistical separation problems. Separation is when the outcome variable separates a predictor variable or a combination of predictor variables to certain degree (Allison, 2008). In other words, a dependent variable is said to be separated when a particular 69 independent variable perfectly predicts a particular outcome. A cross-tabulation of sexual risk scores against STD status confirmed quasi-complete separation. Nearly all participants who had an STD at time 2 (8 out of 10) reported a score of 2 or higher in relation to condom use. (In order to get a score of 2, a participant must have used condoms ―most of the time‖ with 2 partners or ―a few times‖ with 1 partner.) Therefore, STD status is said to separate (although not perfectly) at a score 2> in the sexual risk taking scale. This lack of variability, in combination with an unusual binary outcome variable and small sample size made the measurement of this model unreliable. Given that a statistical treatment of separation issues is beyond the scope of this dissertation, it was decided that hypotheses regarding mediation analyses would not be tested at this time. Exploratory Questions EQ #1: Is involved parenting a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose partners are typically sexually risky? In addition to the research questions of interest, this dissertation study also sought to answer whether involved parenting could buffer against high risk sex for adolescents whose partners were typically sexually risky. In order to test this question, the same model-testing steps outlined above were conducted (i.e., starting with a model that excluded the interaction terms, proceeding with the investigator model, trimming non-significant control variables, and testing of significance of interaction terms through a nested model technique and log-likelihood chisquare tests). Table 7 includes the parameter estimates and levels of significance for the path models that were tested. 70 Table 7. Sexually Risky Partners Model: Unstandardized Parameter Estimates and Significance Values Path Models Interaction Terms Omitted Latent Interaction Term Omitted Investigator Model Est. SE Std. Est Est. SE Std. Est Est. SE -0.058 0.098 -0.057 -0.055 0.100 -0.054 -0.055 0.110 RSP→SR 0.127*** 0.032 0.290*** 0.124*** 0.032 0.284*** 0.124*** 0.035 PR→SR 0.112 0.078 0.104 0.108 0.080 0.100 0.109 0.81 IPxRSP→SR Na Na Na Na Na Na 0.023 0.149 RSPxPR→SR Na Na Na 0.055 0.118 0.032 0.060 0.136 Age→SR 0.030* 0.014 0.150* 0.029* 0.014 0.148* 0.029* 0.14 LW1PorG→SR -0.090 0.110 -0.151 -0.090 0.111 -0.150 -0.096 0.130 LW2PorG→SR -0.013 0.114 -0.021 -0.014 0.115 -0.022 -0.020 0.133 MedInc→SR 0.001 0.001 0.079 0.001 0.001 0.081 0.001 0.001 IP →SR N = 183. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. IP = Involved Parenting, SR = Sexual Risk Taking, PR = Perception of Risk, LW1PorG = Living with one parent or guardian, LW2PorG = Living with 2 parents or guardians, MedInc = Median Census Block Income 71 Table 7 (cont’d) Path Models Non-Significant Control Variables Nested Model 1 Nested Model 2 Trimmed Est. SE Est. SE Est. SE -0.086 0.121 -0.074 0.112 -0.074 0.112 RSP→SR 0.120*** 0.034 0.120*** 0.034 0.120*** 0.034 PR→SR 0.077 0.083 0.081 0.082 0.081 0.082 IPxRSP→SR -0.103 0.199 set to 0 set to 0 set to 0 set to 0 RSPxPR→SR 0.066 0.140 0.088 0.130 0.088 0.130 Age→SR 0.031* 0.014 0.032* 0.014 0.032* 0.014 IP →SR LW1PorG→SR LW2PorG→SR MedInc→SR N = 183. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. IP = Involved Parenting, SR = Sexual Risk Taking, PR = Perception of Risk, LW1PorG = Living with one parent or guardian, LW2PorG = Living with 2 parents or guardians, MedInc = Median Census Block Income 72 As a first step, a version of the model that excluded both interaction terms (i.e., the observed interaction term between ―risky sexual partners‖ and ―perception of risk‖ and the latent interaction term, a cross product of latent variable ―involved parenting‖ and observed variable ―risky sexual partners‖) was run in order to assess main effects and attain model fit statistics. This model is shown in Figure 8 below. Once again, given that FIML can only be used to handle missing data on dependent variables and not covariates, the models below have 183 cases (instead of 199). The cases with missing data on the covariates were excluded (even when those covariate parameters were trimmed by setting them to 0). Figure 8. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Interaction Terms Excluded (Standardized Parameter Estimates) 1 Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) -0.057 1 1 Age 0.150* 1 Living with 1 Parent or Guardian 1 1 Living with 2 Parents or Guardians Median Census Block Income -0.151 -0.021 Risky Sexual Partners 0.290*** 0.104 Perception of Risk Sexual Risk Taking 0.079 1 1 N=183. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. Overall, the fit statistics indicated that the model had a good fit to the data, χ=60.941 (62) and was non-significant. The CFI was 1.0 and the RMSEA was 0.000, showing excellent model 73 fit as well. As can be seen in Figure 8, the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk taking did not emerge as significant. Additionally, the path from sexually risky partners to sexual risk taking was significant at p< 0.001. In other words having sexual partners who were higher risk at time 1 significantly predicted sexual risk taking at time 2. As with previous models, the path from age to sexual risk taking was also significant (at p<0.05), indicating that older youth were less likely to use condoms than younger youth. It is important to note that risky partners and perception of risk were highly correlated (-0.367, p<0.000). (Their error terms were allowed to correlate in this and subsequent model runs in order to reflect this correlation.) Therefore, it is not surprising that the hypothesized relationship between ―perception of risk‖ and ―sexual risk taking‖ did not emerge as significant. In other words, when risky partners was taken into account, perception of risk did not contribute to explaining levels of condom use because these variables provided redundant information. Next, a model was run that included the hypothesized interaction term between ―risky partners‖ and ―perception of risk.‖ Although empirical findings from the previous model suggested that finding a significant relationship was very unlikely (given the high correlation amongst the two variables) the model was run given that it was of theoretical interest to this study. As expected, the relationship between the interaction term and sexual risk taking did not emerge as significant (see Table 7). Model fit statistics, however, did show good model fit, χ=62.280 (69) and was non-significant. The CFI was 1.0 showing good model fit. The RMSEA, however, was 0.068, which is slightly above the 0.06 conventional cut off point for good fit. Next, a series of models starting with the investigator model was run. Similar to the model in which the interaction term was omitted, the path from sexually risky partners to sexual risk taking was significant at p<0.001 (B= 0.124) and the path from age to sexual risk taking was 74 significant at p<0.05 (B= 0.029). It is also important to note that this model included the estimation of the correlations amongst the residual variances of: (1) the components of the observed interaction term (risky sex partners and perception of risk), (2) the components of the latent interaction term (involved parenting and risky sex partners), and (3) the correlation between the residual variances of age and involved parenting. The first two parameters were estimated to reflect collinearity. The third correlation (between the error terms of age and involved parenting) was included because initial analyses demonstrated that, in this larger sample (although not in the sample of 96 that was used for the peer sexual risk analyses), their error terms were significantly correlated. All of these correlations amongst the residual variances of these variables were statistically significant. Non-significant control variables were trimmed in subsequent steps. As can be seen in Table 7, model estimates shifted only slightly through the different iterations of the model. Finally, the significance of the latent interaction (i.e., does involved parenting moderate the effects of sexually risky partners on sexual risk taking?) was tested by calculating chi-square difference test, utilizing their loglikelihood values. The values for this test are shown in Table 8 below. 75 Table 8. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between involved parenting and risky sexual partners Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p * c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -1858.303 1.064 50 53.2 -1858.118 1.071 51 54.621 (Interaction set to 0) Full Model Difference Test Scaling Factor (cd) = 1.421 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.26 (df=1) The test was not significant, indicating that the simpler model, excluding the interaction term is a better fit for the data. In other words, involved parenting did not appear to moderate the effects of sexually risky partners on sexual risk taking in this sample. Overall, the most important determinant of sexual risk taking in this set of models was risky sexual partners. As noted above, this construct is often conceptualized as a dependent variable, however, the above analyses demonstrate the important impact that this partner variable can have on non-condom use when conceptualized as a predictor. EQ #2: Does gender moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking? This study also sought to test whether gender moderated the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking. Although, specific hypotheses were not formulated given 76 the lack of literature on this topic, it was expected that this relationship would differ between boys and girls. Once again, given the small sample size and non-significant interaction effects, analyses focused on the two main effects (sexually risky partners and involved parenting). First, analyses were conducted to test whether gender moderated the one significant main effect that emerged from the initial analyses (the path from sexually risky partners to sexual risk). In order to test whether gender moderated the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking (i.e., was the effect of peer risk on sexual risk taking different for boys versus girls?), a new interaction term was created between the variables ―risky sexual partners‖ and ―gender‖. The model that was tested and the corresponding parameter estimates are shown in Figure 9 below. 77 Figure 9. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Gender Moderation Analyses (Risky Sexual Partners X Gender) 1 Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) 1 -0.087 Age 1 0.164*** Risky Sexual Partners 0.032* Sexual Risk Taking 0.081 Perception of Risk 0.067 1 1 -0.082 Risky Sexual Partners X Perception of Risk 1 Risky Sexual Partners X Gender 1 -0.130 Involved Parenting X Risky Sex Partners N=183. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. As can be seen in Figure 9, the relationship between the interaction term ―Risky Sexual Partners X Gender‖ did not emerge as significant. Table 9 below summarizes the chi- square difference test conducted to determine whether the full model or the nested model were a better fit for the data. 78 Table 9. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing the significance of the interaction between risky sexual partners and gender Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p * c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -1987.119 1.051 53 55.703 1986.183 1.055 54 56.97 (Interaction set to 0) Full Model Difference Test Scaling Factor (cd) = 1.267 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 1.48 (df=1) Once again, the chi-square difference test was not significant indicating that the nested model, not including the interaction, was a better fit for the variance covariance structure of this dataset. In other words, in this sample, gender did not appear to moderate the relationship between peer sexual risk taking and sexual risk. Next, analyses were conducted to test whether the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk was moderated by the gender of the participant. In order to test this relationship, a latent interaction term between involved parenting and gender was created and entered in the path model. Figure 10 below summarizes the results of that analysis. 79 Figure 10. Structural Equation Model of Involved Parenting and Risky Sexual Partners: Gender Moderation Analyses 1 Involved Parenting (Monitoring and Support) 1 -0.191 Age 1 0.118** Risky Sexual Partners 0.030* Sexual Risk Taking 1 0.081 Perception of Risk 0.063 1 0.156 Risky Sexual Partners X Perception of Risk 1 Involved Parenting X Gender 1 -0.141 Involved Parenting X Risky Sex Partners N=183. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001. Finally, the same model was run with the interaction term set to 0 and a chi-square difference test between the full model and the nested model was calculated. The results for that test are summarized in Table 10 below. 80 Table 10. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing the significance of the interaction between involved parenting and gender Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p * c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -1987.110 1.051 53 55.703 -1986.842 1.044 54 56.376 (Interaction set to 0) Full Model Difference Test Scaling Factor (cd) = 0.673 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.82 (df=1) The test was not significant. EQ #3: Does perception of risk moderate the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking? Finally, this study sought to test whether perception of risk moderated the relationship between risky sexual partners and sexual risk taking. It was expected that perception of risk would moderate the relationship between risky partners and sexual risk taking such that individuals with higher levels of perceived risk would be more likely to use condoms. As can be seen below this did not emerge as significant. 81 Table 11. Chi-Square Difference Test for Involved Parenting and Partner Risk Model: Testing significance of interaction between risky sexual partners and perception of risk Loglikelihood Scaling Number of Free p * c Value Correction Parameters (p) Factor (c) Nested Model -1858.303 1.064 50 53.2 -1858.118 1.071 51 54.621 (Interaction set to 0) Full Model Difference Test Scaling Factor (cd) = 1.421 Chi-Square Difference Test (TRd) = 0.26 (df=1) 82 DISCUSSION This dissertation study represents an important step in understanding the influence of parents, peers and sexual partners on adolescent sexual risk behaviors. This research assessed whether involved parenting buffered the impact of sexually risky peers and sexual partners on adolescents’ level of sexual risk or non-condom use. Several key findings emerged. Firstly, similar to the findings of recent epidemiological studies (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009), adolescents in this sample did not use condoms consistently. More than half of the youth reported inconsistent use of condoms within the last 3 months at both waves. Moreover, 30% of adolescents reported having more than one sex partner in the 3 months prior to the study. The fact that unsafe sex and multiple partners were reported by a significant proportion of these adolescents is concerning in that it suggests that current efforts to increase condom use among youth have not fully succeeded. The sexual risk taking these youth report is particularly worrisome in light of the fact that 18% of the sample either reported a past STD or had a positive result on the STD test that they took as part of the study. In addition, being older was significantly related (or, in some models, approached being significantly related) to more instances of unprotected sex. In other words, older adolescents were more likely than younger adolescents to report unprotected sexual intercourse. This confirms previous research which has also linked older age to increased sexual risk taking (Reitman, 1996; Santelli, Robin, Brener, & Lowry, 2001). There are several plausible explanations for why adolescents have an increased likelihood of engaging in sexual risk as they grow older. First, as adolescents age, they become more likely to establish longer-lasting sexual partnerships (Collins, 2003) and evidence suggests teens are less likely to remain safe in their sexual practices with longer term partners (Manning, Flanigan, Giordano, & Longmore, 2009). 83 Second, as youth get older they move from engaging in sex episodically to more routine engagement, resulting in more opportunities to engage in unsafe behaviors. Finally, it is possible that, as adolescents get older, they become more likely to view condoms as detracting from sexual pleasure or spontaneity (Grossman et al., 2008), therefore reducing their levels of consistent condom usage. Study analyses also showed that there was a significant correlation between condom use behaviors at time 1 and time 2 (12 months apart), suggesting that habit or previous behaviors could play a significant role in condom use. Additionally, many more girls than boys reported that they had a sexual partner in the last 6 months who was older than they were. This is important given that empirical evidence has demonstrated that girls who are in relationships with older male partners are less likely to use condoms consistently than girls who are in relationships with partners that are similar to them in age (DiClemente et al., 2002; Manlove, Terry-Humen, & Ikramullah, 2006). Some research suggests that, during adolescence, some youth internalize gender power asymmetries that impart more interpersonal power and authority to boys than girls (Tolman, Spencer, Rosen-Reynoso, & Porche, 2003). This adoption of imbalanced gender norms can result in a relationship environment in which males control sexual decision making and girls do not feel comfortable or able to negotiate safe sex practices with their partners (Wingood & DiClemente, 2000). This power disparity is intensified when there is an age discrepancy amongst partners. Younger girls are more likely to be in a disempowered position in relation to their male partner. In addition, empirical evidence has shown that girls whose partners are older are more likely to perceive that those partners will have a negative reaction to the idea of condom use, making those adolescents less likely to suggest it (Wingood & DiClemente, 2000). 84 Analyses also demonstrated that the relationship between having risky peers at time 1 and sexual risk taking at time 2 approached statistical significance. This result appears to support the hypothesis that peers can be an important influence on sexual risk taking for youth. This apparent link between friends’ sexual risk and condom use also seems to align with two previous studies that have linked actual peer risk to sexual risk taking in adolescents (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999; Henry, et al., 2007). Further work is necessary to determine the pathways through which this relationship takes place. It is possible that adolescents communicate with one another about their sexual behaviors, thereby setting perceived norms around non-condom use within their social network. Alternatively, it is also possible that youth self select into groups of friends who are similarly risky. Regardless, this apparent connection between peer risk and sexual risk taking is a potentially important finding in that it suggests that if peers are an important determinant of condom use behaviors, perhaps healthy peer norms can have a protective effect over condom use. Some empirical evidence does, in fact, demonstrate that healthy peer norms can have a protective impact over sexual risk behaviors in youth (Bearman & Bruckner, 1999). Specifically, Bearman and Bruckner (1999) found that girls with all low-risk friends (defined as high on academic orientation and low on risk behaviors including drinking, smoking, and skipping school etc.) were less likely to have initiated intercourse or experienced a pregnancy than girls who had friends who were high risk (defined as low on academic orientation and high on risk behaviors). Preventive intervention work should focus on establishing healthy norms in relation to condom use within the context of adolescents’ social peer network. Additionally, having sexually risky partners (defined in this study as being 5 years or older than the participant, having had an STD in the past, and having had other sexual partners in the 85 last 6 months) significantly predicted lower use of condoms. Prior research has also found that having partners who are more sexually risky can result in higher levels of sexual risk taking (Staras, et al., 2009). As one might expect, the relationship between sexually risky partners and non-condom use was stronger than the relationship between sexually risky peers and noncondom use, suggesting that partners and partner risk (a function of partner selection) may be the more important microsystemic level influence over condom use in adolescents. Although some theoretical and empirical evidence suggests that more distal social influences (like involved parenting) can serve as a protective influence over adolescent sexual risk taking, the most proximal determinant of condom use is the sexual relationship between the adolescent and his or her sexual partner. In the end, this is largely what determines whether or not sexual risk or protection takes place within the context of any particular sexual encounter. Evidence suggests that there are multiple characteristics and processes involved in adolescent relationships that can affect whether or not condom use occurs. For instance, controlling behavior and conflict in the context of a sexual relationship has been linked to decreased condom use (Manning, et al., 2009). A partner may want to use condoms but feel disempowered to suggest it, especially within a high-conflict relationship. Interestingly, some evidence also suggests that positive relationship characteristics and dynamics (e.g., love and enmeshment) can result in non-condom use (Manning, et al., 2009). Partners who feel like they are in a committed relationship may not feel the need to protect themselves with condoms. Overall, condom use occurs within a complicated constellation of social forces. However, out of all of those, sexual partnership dynamics seem to be the most important. Therefore, it is crucial that additional research focus on attempting to understand the ways in which distinct combinations of partner and relationship characteristics result in risky or protective sexual behavior trajectories for youth. 86 Additionally, the importance of partner characteristics in predicting condom use behaviors implies that preventive interventions that teach adolescents how to make healthy partner choices might be an effective way to decrease sexual risk behaviors, as well as STD and HIV infection in youth. Partner selection may be an especially important point of intervention given that unprotected sex with a non-infected partner does not result in a positive STD or HIV diagnosis. A significant relationship also emerged between having risky sexual partners and perceiving HIV/STD risk (signaling that youth were aware that their partners were sexually risky). Therefore, not surprisingly, when ―risky partners‖ was accounted for in the model, perceiving that one’s partner may put one at risk for HIV or an STD did not predict condom use (above and beyond the variability accounted for by the ―risky partners‖ variable). This significant relationship between having risky partners and perceiving STD/HIV risk highlights the fact that youth seem to know that they are engaging in sexual risk, however, other aspects of the partner relationship (such as attitudes towards condoms and relationship dynamics) may simply play more important roles in whether the adolescent chooses to or is able to protect herself or himself with condoms. Contrary to expectations, involved parenting did not act as a buffer in the relationship between sexually risky peers and risky sexual behavior. Indeed, there was no main effect of involved parenting on sexual risk in these data. This result contradicted one study which found that involved parenting protected youth from negative sexual health outcomes (East, et al., 2006). However, East et al. (2006) examined the effects of protective parenting on pregnancy (not condom use) in a sample of African American and Latina girls whose friends were sexually risky. It is likely that the difference in outcome variable accounts for why this effect was not found in this study. That is, pregnancy is a more general sexual health outcome that can be 87 avoided in multiple ways (such as not having vaginal intercourse and using birth control) whereas condom use or requesting condom use of one’s partner is a very specific behavior that can be deeply intertwined within relationship dynamics. It seems possible that, for youth who are having sex, the mechanisms that drive condom use might be different than those that protect girls from pregnancy. Additionally, it seems likely that those mechanisms that protect girls from pregnancy may be more easily influenced by parents than are those that drive condom use. For instance, involved parenting may protect young women from pregnancy by promoting delayed sexual initiation. This mechanism is simply not a relevant protective factor for condom use for youth who are already sexually active. It is also important to note that a close relationship to a parent may not always be as protective as suggested by some of the literature. Low income African American communities are disproportionately affected by STDs and HIV (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2007, March). It is possible that, within this sample, involved parents may not have been strong models for condom use behaviors themselves. The way in which parenting is measured may also bear on whether or not the impact of parenting on children’s condom use behaviors can be detected. Although the full ―involved parenting‖ latent construct did not have the expected relationship to condom use, some of the items that were included in the construct were related to it. Specifically, one of the parental monitoring items had a significant negative relationship to sexual risk taking (How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) really know about where you go at night?) and a second item had a negative relationship that approached significance (How much do your parent(s) or guardians really know about what you do with your free time?). Interestingly, when broken down by gender, there was a significant relationship between the item ―How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) really know about where you go at night?‖ and sexual risk taking for boys but there 88 was no significant relationship between this item and sexual risk taking for girls. Similarly, when examined separately by gender, ―How much do your parent(s) or guardians really know what you do with your free time?‖ had a nearly significant negative relationship with sexual risk taking for girls but not for boys. These findings suggest that, perhaps, parenting does in fact affect boys’ and girls’ behaviors differently. However, these differences may be nuanced and, therefore, undetectable when involved parenting was examined as a complete construct. (It is possible that being aware of what ones’ adolescents are doing at night might have been a more relevant item for boys given that adolescent boys are often given more liberty to go out unsupervised during evening hours.) It is interesting to note that both of the items that showed significant or nearly significant relationships had to do with ―really‖ monitoring your children, not ―trying‖ to monitor them. It is possible that being aware of what your adolescents are doing at night and with their free time is more important for this sample of youth than simply ―trying‖ to know what they do at night and with their free time. Some researchers have proposed that the protective effects of monitoring are a function of whether the adolescent feels cared for (Longmore, et al., 2001). Longmore and colleagues (2001) imply that ―trying‖ to monitor your adolescents might be as protective as actually monitoring your adolescents in that both convey that parents care about their kids. However, findings from the current study suggest that ―really‖ monitoring your kids is what is protective. Huebner and Howell (2003) propose that the mechanism through which parental monitoring has a protective effect over adolescent behavior is actually adolescent disclosure of what they do with their unsupervised time. It is possible that the items on ―really‖ monitoring were better able to capture the degree to which adolescents disclosed their 89 whereabouts to their parents than the items on ―trying‖ to monitor your kids which related more to parents’ intent to monitor. Additionally, it is important to note that the parental monitoring items were measured on a 3item scale (response scale: not at all, a little and a lot), with most adolescents reporting high scores on all variables. (For example, for all but one of the items, more than half of the sample reported that they were monitored ―a lot‖, score of 3.) In other words, a majority of the sample was very similar to each other on this scale. This is likely the combined result of the 3-item response scale and a reflection of the fact that these particular youth were indeed similar to each other in relation to parental monitoring. Regardless, this lack of variability and the restricted range, can result in an inability to detect relationships that may in fact exist in a population. It is possible, that some of the non significant findings (i.e., lack of relationship between involved parenting construct and sexual risk taking) in this study were due to this phenomenon. In relation to the parental support variables, neither of the two items was significantly related to the outcome of interest (i.e., sexual risk defined as non-condom use). However, there was a significant negative relationship between having a close relationship with your father and having a lower score on the ―risky sex partners‖ scale. (―Parental support from female guardian‖ did not have a statistically significant relationship with any of the sexual risk-related outcomes that were examined.) Once again, when examined separately by gender, this relationship was only significant for boys and not for girls. It is possible that male parental figures may be especially well positioned to influence boys’ selection of sexual partners. A close relationship with a male parental figure may open pathways of communication for parents to intervene if an adolescent becomes involved with a potentially risky partner (e.g., someone who is considerably older). 90 In addition to parent-peer moderation analyses undertaken, this is the first study, to this author’s knowledge, to assess whether involved parenting could buffer the effect of sexually risky partners on sexual risk taking. Similar to findings on peer influences, parents had no impact on the effects of risky sexual partners on youths’ own risk taking. As mentioned above, involved parenting may be too distal of a force on condom use, in relation to risky sex partners (a very proximal influence) in order to be an effective buffer against high risk sex. The protective cascading effects proposed by Ecodevelopmental Theory between more distal forces (parents) and proximal forces (partners) may simply be too diluted to make a significant difference by the time that youth reach middle adolescence. Even if parents are very close with their children and are generally aware of their whereabouts, condom negotiation is an intimate dyadic interaction amongst sexual partners. Therefore, parents may not be able to impact this outcome. Additionally, past work has found that a youth’s gender may make him or her more vulnerable to negative peer influences in relation to sexual risk taking. Among these youth, however, no differences were found in susceptibility to peer or partner influence. In contrast to the findings of Henry et al., (2007), gender did not moderate the relationship between peer risk and sexual risk taking in this sample. That is, the impact of peers’ sexual risk on youth’s individual sexual risk taking was no different for boys than it was for girls. Henry and colleagues observed that girls were more highly impacted by sexually risky peers than were boys (Henry, et al., 2007). However, Henry et al. (2007) examined the effects of actual peer condom use and ―peers’ perceptions of the costs of sex‖ (defined as the degree to which the adolescent perceived that sex might have negative consequences such as becoming pregnant or losing respect from your partner or family members) on the condom use behaviors of adolescents and it was the ―peers’ perceptions of cost of sex‖ that impacted whether girls used condoms. 91 Therefore, it is possible that this gender moderated effect is of importance only when examining the impact of peer attitudes (not behaviors) on adolescents. Perhaps peers ―teach‖ each other, through their behaviors and communications, that they see no cost in sex and therefore sex should not warrant a condom. Additionally, it is important to note that despite recent declines in pregnancy rates, teenage pregnancy remains relatively high in African American youth, especially in low-income urban youth (Hamilton, Martin, & Ventura, 2010). In 2009, the birth rate for non-Hispanic Blacks was 59.0 per 1,000 (2.3 times higher than that of White teens) (Hamilton, et al., 2010). In communities with high pregnancy rates, adolescent pregnancy may be seen as normative. Therefore, preventing pregnancy through the use of condoms might not be as salient of a priority to some African American youth living in low-income urban environments. Finally, one might expect for boys to be more likely to utilize condoms with riskier sex partners given the gender dynamics which can play out in condom negotiation. However, this did not emerge as a significant relationship. This implies that gender may not be as salient an influence over condom use as other factors in this sample. Perhaps it is the case that having a greater degree of empowerment to enact condom use (as may be the case for boys) is not sufficient for that behavior to take place. Instead, other variables (such as the adolescents’ attitudes toward condoms or motivation to use condoms) may be more important for condom use to occur. It is important that potential influences to sexual risk taking and protection are further explored. Understanding what factors make adolescents more likely to use condoms is a crucial first step toward effective intervention strategies. 92 Theoretical Implications In summary, this research sought to test a model of microsystemic level influences on the condom use behaviors in a sample of African American adolescents. As described above, the proposed model was elaborated on the basis of the extant literature and the Ecodevelopmental theory and tested whether involved parenting was a significant buffer against high risk sex for adolescents with sexually risky peer groups and partners. As can be derived from the results outlined in the previous section, some aspects of the model were confirmed by the study analyses while others were not. For instance, as suggested by Ecodevelopmental theory, the proposed model postulated that influences pertaining to distinct microsystems would have an effect on condom use in this population. While parenting did not have the hypothesized protective effect, the study did find that both peers and partners appeared to influence condom use in this population, thereby providing support for the importance of examining multiple systems in trying to understand sexual risk in adolescents. However, other aspects of the proposed theoretical model were not supported by the empirical evidence. For instance, Ecodevelopmental theory and some of the extant literature suggest that family is the most proximal and important microsystem in relation to adolescent development, and therefore, the most significant microsystem in relation to risk and protective behaviors. This was not corroborated by the study’s findings. Instead, partners emerged as the most important influences followed by peers. It is possible that this parental influence over adolescent sexual behaviors diminishes toward middle adolescence when a majority of youth is already sexually active and outcomes of interest shift from sexual initiation to condom use. Results suggest that theoretical models that have been utilized in the past to predict sexual 93 initiation may not be adequate to reliably explain and predict condom use and other contraceptive behaviors. It is also important to note that there are some key assumptions about familial characteristics that underlie Ecodevelopmental theory that may or may not be applicable to this sample. That is, the framework presumes that parental forces will always have a protective influence over adolescents’ behaviors. However, not all parents display ―safe‖ sexual behaviors themselves. Therefore, regardless of how close one is to one’s parental figure, if he or she is not modeling protective sexual behaviors, it is unlikely that the expected protective effect will be found. As mentioned above, it is likely that many of the youth in this sample could have had parents who were quite young themselves and, therefore, not sexually safe or particularly skilled at socializing their children in a way that might be protective against high risk sex. This could, in turn, explain why the relationship between involved parenting and sexual risk was not found. Additionally, it is important to note that low income African American families in urban environments often face contextual challenges that may impact future orientation and therefore diminish families’ abilities to be protective in relation to certain outcomes. (For example, some research has found a significant relationship between increased racial discrimination and decreased future orientation (Herrera, 2009).) The desire to use condoms in order to avoid pregnancy and STDs presumes a future orientation. It is plausible, that some of the youth in the sample might have had a decreased sense of hope for the future and, therefore, have been less likely to be concerned about the potential negative consequences of unsafe sexual behaviors such as pregnancy and STDs. Additionally, even for youth with a stronger future orientation, this might not be the most salient force within the context of a sexual encounter. Oftentimes, adolescents cite that ―it just happened‖ as the reason why they had unprotected sex. It is 94 important that theoretical models have the flexibility to account for these potential influences over sexual behavior. The hypothesized theoretical model also proposed that microsystemic influences would work in concert, with involved parenting, buffering the effects of risky peers and partners. However, this was not supported by the study results. Perhaps, it is not always the case that these influences interact with one another. It is possible that, on some occasions and for certain types of sexual risk outcomes, they actually work in a sequential manner. That is, parents may start out as the most influential force in adolescents’ sexual risk and protective trajectory prior to sexual initiation, however, after some period of early sexual experience, parents may become less important (as protective forces) as partners and peers become the primary microsystemic level factors that drive sexual risk and protection. Overall, it would seem that Ecodevelopmental theory’s focus on understanding multiple systems, how those systems interact with one another, and how the risk and protective factors (and interactions amongst them) imbedded in each of those systems play out over an adolescent’s development is indeed a useful way to organize risk and protective influences for condom use behaviors in youth. However, this research suggests that the familial environment (in relation to monitoring and support) may not be as central as suggested by this framework for this sample of youth. It is necessary to expand current theories and create new theoretical frameworks that can explain microsystemic influences on sexual behavior in middle and late adolescents. As social scientists, it is important that we continue to map specific aspects of social environments onto specific sexual risk outcomes. Eventually, this work can result in a more complete picture of risk and protective influences in distinct populations that can account for ecodevelopment (development within the individual and across ecosystems that surround her or 95 him) over time. This effort, in turn, will lead to more effective preventive intervention efforts for different populations. Implications Overall, the apparent link between peer sexual risk and sexual risk taking observed in this study suggests that prevention efforts that intervene at the level of the peer group may be effective for African American adolescents in this age range. Teenagers between the ages of 14 and 19 are in a developmental stage when they are expanding their social networks and forging closer relationships with their peers. This time period lends itself to greater influence from one’s friends (some of whom are likely also to be sexual partners). Preventive work with these populations should aim to set safe sex norms within adolescents’ social networks early on in their development, before they have had the opportunity to develop risky habitual behaviors. Programs should focus on the dissemination of healthy peer norms around sex. Additionally, peer-to-peer and opinion-leader interventions should capitalize on the impact of friends’ behaviors on youth. Increasing healthy peer models for contraceptive practices, within the context of adolescents’ social networks can be a promising way to harness peer influence for health instead of risk. Additionally, the importance of sexually risky partners on sexual risk taking speaks to the potential benefit of a focus on sexual relationship dynamics in intervention work. That is, preventive work could focus more on teaching adolescents how to negotiate for safer behaviors with all partners. Although this can be a delicate prevention focus, given the complex trust dynamics that can surround condom use in romantic relationships, it is crucial that young men and women are able to negotiate safe sex practices effectively with their partners. 96 It is also important to note that the findings to this study seem to suggest that the manner in which protective parenting is conceptualized is an important factor in whether or not research shows that it is significantly related to sexual risk outcomes. For example, some studies suggest that perhaps it is the ―support‖ aspect of involved parenting that is most important in influencing condom use in youth who have initiated sex (Romer, et al., 1994). For instance, Romer et al. (1994) found that while parental monitoring protected youth from initiating sexual intercourse at an early age, parental closeness actually impacted whether or not they utilized condoms consistently at a later time. This implies the existence of a threshold effect for the potential protective effects of monitoring on sexual behaviors. It is also possible that a close parental relationship may make the adolescent feel ―cared for‖ more than what is conveyed by close monitoring, thereby promoting safer sex behaviors. In this study, some of the individual items related to parental monitoring and parental support showed significant relationships to the outcomes of interest while involved parenting as a whole was not significantly related to sexual risk. This suggests that, for this particular sample, the unique variance of those items was more important for sexual risk taking than their shared variance. Specifically, it was those items that related to parents really knowing what adolescents did with their free time and at night that were related to decreased condom use. As mentioned above, simply trying to know what your adolescent does when unsupervised may not be sufficient to protect him or her from risk. It is important that parents foster strong relationships with their teenagers where they feel safe disclosing their whereabouts when they are not being monitored. Other literature suggests that different aspects of parenting, such as perceived parental disapproval of teen sex and parenting (East, et al., 2006) or open parent-child communication 97 about safe sex (Crosby, DiClemente, et al., 2001a; Huebner & Howell, 2003), can be important determinants of safe sexual behaviors in adolescents in this age group. McBride Murry’s (2007) work suggests that protective factors such as parenting in relation to ethnic pride can have important effects on African American adolescents’ intent to engage in sexual activity by decreasing their susceptibility to negative peer influences. Finally, Belgrave and colleagues (2000) found that higher levels of ethnic affiliation, belongingness and self esteem were related to less risky sexual attitudes in urban African American girls (Belgrave, Van Oss Marin, & Chambers, 2000). It is important that future research explores the potential protective influences of these factors in African American youth. Overall, it is crucial that the field develop clear and consistent definitions and operationalizations of parenting concepts. This will help to improve our understanding of how different risk and protective factors can impact distinct sexual behaviors (from sexual initiation to STD status and pregnancy) throughout adolescents’ developmental paths. This increased understanding could lead to improved intervention efforts that can be appropriately tailored to adolescents’ developmental trajectories. In addition to the ways in which parenting concepts are conceptualized, this study in combination with the extant literature suggests that the ways in which protective factors, risk factors, and outcomes of interest are defined and organized within contextual models plays an important role in whether effects are found. For instance, ―risky sexual partners‖ was conceptualized as a predictor of sexual risk taking in this model given that this study was interested in trying to understand the ways in which partner characteristics (a function of partner selection) could impact whether or not condom use took place. However, other studies have examined partner constructs as outcome variables, in trying to understand the ways in which risk 98 and protective factors can lead to specific partner choices such as having older partners or more partners (Miller, et al., 2000; Rodgers, 1999; Sturdivant, 2007). This brings up the possibility of reciprocal relationships and the ways in which, as researchers, we tend to understand these relationships as linear. However, they may in fact include feedback loops, whereby, for example, having risky partners can lead to sexually risky behaviors, which in turn leads to selection of further risky partners. It is important that future work examines the potential reciprocal effects of risk factors, protective factors and outcomes of interest. It is also important that theoretical frameworks are able to capture the dynamic interplay of risk and protective factors along developmental trajectories. Finally, it is important to note that few studies have utilized randomly attained communitybased samples of low-income, African American youth. Therefore, it is possible that the findings of this study may be more representative of this population than more traditional samples, drawn from schools for instance. In fact, nearly a quarter of the sample in this study was not enrolled in school. Those youth would have gone unaccounted in other studies. Perhaps youth who are not in school are riskier and less likely to be highly influenced by their parents. This could explain why the expected protective effect of parenting was not found. Understanding the ways in which these microsystemic influences impact (or do not impact) sexual risk taking in more at risk populations, like adolescents who are not in school, is important in creating contextspecific intervention programming. Researchers and practitioners must be careful to not generalize the results from ―safer‖ populations to more at risk populations. It is crucial that future work continue to utilize innovative sampling designs like the Bayview Network Study. Randomly attained, community based samples of this type can lead to effective intervention work aimed at youth who are most at risk. 99 Limitations The implications of this study should, of course, be understood within the context of its limitations. Firstly, the limited sample size (especially in the peer risk model analyses) in this study presented the possibility that some effects might have been present but simply too small to be identified in this sample. Although all models converged and provided the expected parameters of interest, it is possible that some relationships simply went undetected. It is important that future studies using social network data, utilize sufficiently large samples that allow for the exploration of microsystemic network influences. Additionally, the small sample size and lack of variability in relation to STD status, made it impossible to conduct accurate mediation analyses that could predict STD status. It is important that future, large-scale, longitudinal studies also examine biological markers in order to further explore these relationships over time and how they result in STD or HIV status. Another limitation of this study is that only two time-points were examined. As suggested by the literature summarized above, it seems that parenting, peers and partners may have differing impacts at distinct stages of adolescent development. Having the opportunity to track youth from very early on in their development through young adulthood might elucidate these pathways and provide important implications for intervention. Future Research Overall, this research raises several important questions in relation to parent, peer, and partner influences on condom use. Firstly, study findings, in combination with the extant literature, seem to suggest that perhaps there is an age threshold at which parenting no longer seems to have a significant effect on sexual risk outcomes in youth. Future work should explore the ways in which distinct aspects of parenting are linked to sexual protection practices and 100 whether there is indeed a threshold for impact. A more nuanced developmental understanding of parents as a microsystemic influence over sexual behaviors can lead to better-tailored intervention efforts. It is also important that future studies continue to examine the mechanisms through which peers and partners can have negative sexual risk influences on youth. Knowing that these microsystems are important is a first step toward effective prevention, but certainly not enough to build effective interventions strategies. The joint use of qualitative and quantitative methodologies may be an effective way to elucidate the ways in which these influences impact sexual risk taking behaviors. Untangling the complicated constellation of micro and mesosystemic influences over sexual risk behaviors in youth is a challenging endeavor. As researchers, it is important that we stand back from our work and ask ourselves whether our methodologies are truly able to capture those complexities. More open-format qualitative methodologies may provide the richness necessary to uncover, not only the strength and direction of certain relationships, but the actual mechanisms that drive them. Future work should also examine adolescents’ complete social networks. The ability to understand the ways in which peer risk can influence sexual risk taking would be greatly enhanced with data collection strategies that could capture the complex nature of youths’ peer groups. Specifically, learning what peer group characteristics and processes are associated with greater degrees of sexual risk and protection can be an important step toward effective prevention strategies. Finally, the results of this study suggest that partner dynamics, especially with high risk partners, can be very important in predicting condom use. It is important that future work examine the ways in which these relationship processes play out between sexual partners and 101 how they result in either risk or protective behaviors. Achieving a better understanding of these mechanisms can result in improved preventive programming for adolescents. Conclusion Overall, the findings from this study suggest the importance of microsystemic level influences over condom use. It is crucial that future research continues to develop a deeper understanding of the ways in which parents, peers and partners influence sexual risk and protection at distinct phases of development. HIV and STDs disproportionately affect African American adolescents. It is imperative that research efforts continue to identify those factors that can contribute to risk and protective practices in this population, especially for middle adolescents. This type of work is the first step toward building effective intervention efforts that can result in decreased HIV and STD infection in this population. 102 APPENDICES 103 APPENDIX A Items in Scales 104 BAYVIEW NETWORK STUDY ITEMS IN SCALES A. PARENTAL MONITORING These questions ask you about how much your parent(s) or guardian(s) know about how you spend your time when you are not with them. ASKED IF FEMALE OR MALE GUARDIAN IS IDENTIFIED Monitoring 1. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) TRY to know about your whereabouts at night? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all A little A lot Don't know Refused 2. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) TRY to know about what you do with your free time? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all A little A lot Don't know Refused NOTE: THE WORDS "after school" ARE ADDED IF IN SCHOOL. 3. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) TRY to know about where you are most typical afternoons [after school]? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all A little A lot Don't know Refused 4. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) REALLY know about where you go at night? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all 105 A little A lot Don't know Refused 5. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) REALLY know about what you do with your free time? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all A little A lot Don't know Refused 6. How much do your parent(s) or guardian(s) REALLY know about where you are most typical afternoons [after school]? Would you say not at all, a little, or a lot? Not at all A little A lot Don't know Refused B. PARENTAL/FAMILY SUPPORT ASKED IF FEMALE GUARDIAN IDENTIFIED These questions ask about your family and how close you feel to them. How close do you feel to your [female guardian]? By close I mean, feeling like you can count on her to talk with you about your personal problems and to provide you with emotional support. 1. Would you say you feel very close, somewhat close, not too close, or not close at all? Very close Somewhat close Not too close Not close at all Refused ASKED IF MALE GUARDIAN IDENTIFIED 2. How close do you feel to your [male guardian]. By close I mean, feeling like you can count on him to talk with you about your personal problems and to provide you with emotional support. Would you say you feel very close, somewhat close, not too close, or not close at all? 106 Very close Somewhat close Not too close Not close at all Refused NOT ASKED IF DOESN'T KNOW BIOLOGICAL MOM OR IF BIOLOGICAL MOM IS DECEASED OR IF CURRENTLY LIVING WITH BIO MOM. 3. How close do you feel to your biological mother? By close I mean, feeling like you can count on her to talk with you about your personal problems and to provide you with emotional support. Would you say you feel very close, somewhat close, not too close, or not close at all? Very close Somewhat close Not too close Not close at all Refused NOT ASKED IF DOESN'T KNOW BIOLOGICAL DAD OR IF BIOLOGICAL DAD IS DECEASED OR IF CURRENTLY LIVING WITH BIO DAD. 4. How close do you feel to your biological father? By close I mean, feeling like you can count on him to talk with you about your personal problems and to provide you with emotional support. Would you say you feel very close, somewhat close, not too close, or not close at all? Very close Somewhat close Not too close Not close at all Refused C. SEXUAL RISK/CONDOM USE AND SEXUALLY RISKY PEERS 1. How often have you and [partner 1] used condoms in the last 6 months Every time Most of the time A few times Never 2. Did you two use a condom the last time you had sexual intercourse? 107 Yes No D. SEXUALLY RISKY PARTNERS 1. Did [he/she] ever have a sexually transmitted disease? Yes No 2. Did [he/she] have any other sex partners in the last 6 months Yes No D. PERCEPTION OF HIV/STD 1. How likely do you think it is that [he/she] (could/did) give you a sexually transmitted disease? Would you say Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely 2. How likely do you think it is that [he/she] (could/did) give you HIV? Would you say Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely 108 APPENDIX B IRB Documentation 109 IRB To: morale33@msu.edu Thu, Mar 18, 2010 at 2:29 PM Dear Mercedes: Please note, because you are only analyzing pre-existing deidentified data with no indirect identifiers, and Dr. Jonathan Ellen of Johns Hopkins University has written a letter stating that you will never be given any identifiers, you do not need to seek IRB approval. Good luck with your research. Thank you for erring on the side of caution and checking with us before beginning your research study. Good luck! Becky Gore, 355-2181 (direct line) SIRB Administrator ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Human Research Protection Programs Biomedical and Health Institutional Review Board (BIRB) Community Research Institutional Review Board (CRIRB) Social Science/Behavioral/Education Institutional Review Board (SIRB) Office of Regulatory Affairs 207 Olds Hall Michigan State University East Lansing, MI 48824-1046 Phone: (517) 355-2180 Fax: (517) 432-4503 Email: IRB@msu.edu 110 APPENDIX C Correlations Tables 111 Table 13. Bivariate Correlations for all Study Variables Age Gender Lalone L1PorG L2PorG Age PM1 PM2 PM3 PM4 PM5 PM6 PS1 1 Gender 0.032 1 Lalone .243** .156* 1 L1PorG -0.096 -0.058 -.336** 1 L2PorG -0.022 -0.018 -.153* -.879** 1 PM1 -0.131 0.014 .a -0.088 0.088 1 PM2 -.160* 0.116 .a 0.08 -0.08 .512** 1 PM3 -.199** 0.09 .a 0.091 -0.091 .459** .546** 1 PM4 -.234** 0.031 .a -0.002 0.002 .312** .226** .309** 1 PM5 -0.072 -0.085 .a -0.005 0.005 .317** .351** .183* .531** 1 PM6 -0.135 0.001 .a 0.039 -0.039 .297** .321** .365** .477** .464** 1 PS1 -0.022 -.180* -0.127 -0.014 0.076 0.128 0.113 0.13 .148* .217** .196** 1 PS2 0.037 -.253** -0.118 -0.115 .178* 0.09 .166* 0.128 0.147 .195* 0.128 .281** SR(T2) .265** 0.133 .195** -.155* 0.064 0.001 -0.043 -0.04 -.148* -0.128 -0.029 -0.095 Lalone=Living alone, L1PorG=Living with one parent or guardian, L2PorG= Living with 2 parents or guardians, 112 Table 13. (cont’d) PM=Parental monitoring (items 1-6), PS1=Parental support female parent or guardian, PS2=Parental support male parent or guardian, SR(T2) = Sexual risk taking at time 2. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001, .a= Unable to compute correlation because one of the values is a constant (Adolescents who lived alone did not have parental monitoring scores.) 113 Table 13. (cont’d) PS2 SR (T2) PeerSR RiskySP PercRisk PregAtt MedInc STD SR (T1) 0.037 .265** 0.188 .210** -.166* -0.033 -0.083 0.02 -.383** Gender -.253** 0.133 0.119 0.074 -0.048 -0.187 -0.01 0.04 -0.097 Lalone -0.118 .195** 0.111 .167* -0.063 -.235* -0.086 0.101 -0.132 L1PorG -0.115 -.155* -0.134 -0.001 -0.041 0.058 -.260** -0.112 0.065 L2PorG .178* 0.064 0.083 -0.085 0.075 0.09 .312** 0.063 -0.001 PM1 0.09 0.001 0.044 0.074 0.076 -0.115 -0.104 0.021 -0.002 PM2 .166* -0.043 0.081 0.051 0.027 -0.041 -0.141 -0.01 -0.093 PM3 0.128 -0.04 0.127 -0.021 0.086 -0.079 -0.088 -0.054 0.063 PM4 0.147 -.148* -0.019 -0.118 .148* 0.124 -0.007 -0.053 .165* PM5 .195* -0.128 -0.017 -0.029 .150* 0.131 -0.039 0.076 0.01 PM6 0.128 -0.029 0.115 -0.027 0.09 -0.039 -0.067 0.06 0.076 PS1 .281** -0.095 -0.09 -0.086 0.107 0.054 -0.056 0.085 0.075 PS2 1 -0.063 0.016 -.196** 0.051 -0.006 0.027 0.103 0.002 Age PS2=Parental support male parent or guardian, SR(T2) = Sexual risk taking at time 2, PeerSR=Peer sexual risk, PercRisk=Perception of risk, PregAtt=Pregnancy attitudes, MedInc=Median census block income, STD=STD status, SR(T1)= Sexual risk taking at time 1, 114 Table 13. (cont’d) Lalone=Living alone, L1PorG=Living with one parent or guardian, PM=Parental monitoring (items 1-6), PS1=Parental support female parent or guardian. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001 115 Table 13 (cont’d) PS2 SR (T2) PeerSR RiskySP PercRisk PregAtt MedInc STD SR (T2) -0.063 1 PeerSR 0.016 .226* 1 RiskySP -.196** .359** 0.021 1 PercRisk 0.051 -.212** .206* -.376** 1 PregAtt -0.006 -0.119 -0.139 -0.132 0.006 1 MedInc 0.027 0.041 0.015 -.148* 0.121 0.181 1 STD 0.103 .192* 0.181 .164* 0.005 -0.1 0.017 1 SR (T1) -.152* .412** 0.038 .246** -0.06 -0.203 0.026 0.105 SR (T1) 1 PS2=Parental support male parent or guardian, SR(T2)=Sexual risk taking at time 2, PeerSR=Peer sexual risk, PercRisk=Perception of risk, PregAtt=Pregnancy attitudes, MedInc=Median census block income, STD=STD status, SR(T1)=Sexual risk at time 1. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001 116 Table 13. (cont’d) Age Gender Lalone L1PorG L2PorG PM1 PM2 PM3 PM4 PM5 PM6 PS1 PeerSR 0.188 0.119 0.111 -0.134 0.083 0.044 0.081 0.127 -0.019 -0.017 0.115 -0.09 RiskySP .210** 0.074 .167* -0.001 -0.085 0.074 0.051 -0.021 -0.118 -0.029 -0.027 -0.086 PercRisk -.166* -0.048 -0.063 -0.041 0.075 0.076 0.027 0.086 .148* .150* 0.09 0.107 PregAtt -0.033 -0.187 -.235* 0.058 0.09 -0.115 -0.041 -0.079 0.124 0.131 -0.039 0.054 MedInc -0.083 -0.01 -0.086 -.260** .312** -0.104 -0.141 -0.088 -0.007 -0.039 -0.067 -0.056 0.02 0.04 0.101 -0.112 0.063 0.021 -0.01 -0.054 -0.053 0.076 0.06 0.085 .318** .200** .157* -0.003 -0.076 -.144* -.163* -.165* -.246** -.195** -.195** -.164* STD SR (T1) Lalone= Living alone, L1PorG=Living with one parent or guardian, PM=Parental monitoring (items 1-6), PS1=Parental support female parent or guardian, PeerSR=Peer sexual risk, PercRisk=Perception of risk, PregAtt=Pregnancy attitudes, MedInc=Median census block income, STD=STD status, SR(T1)= Sexual risk at time 1. * Significant at p<0.05, ** Significant at p<0.01, *** Significant at p<0.001 117 REFERENCES 118 REFERENCES Allison, P. 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