,...,V .. V... 1. ....V _ . _..._V .VTTTV ,1 .3. V V 7 ..V.V ‘ .V . _ .. . . . . . . A w . V ‘ V .V . . . . V . ‘V .V . V , . . V a . ~ , V V I . V. . V .V, . V , V V v A V V V V ‘» . . . . x. . ‘ ,V V . . V V « , MICH|GAN STATE UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES l Ill/{IllIll/lllll’l/llllMl!I lll/l/I/Hllill l l l 3 1293 00895 2487 This is to certify that the thesis entitled INTERGENERATIONAL SUPPORT NETWORKS AND FERTILITY IN RWANDA presented by JANE EILEEN VANDER HAAR- has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for MoA. degree in SOCIOLOGY Major professor Dategflw‘ ’1: '6’ cl 0 0-7639 MS U is an Winona: Action/Equal Opportunity Institution F LIBRARY Michigan State 1 University L A J PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE J —7 MSU In An Affirmative ActiorVEquel Opportunity lndltution cmmut INTERGENERATIONAL SUPPORT NETWORKS AND FERTILITY IN RWANDA BY Jane Eileen Vander Haar A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of fli'MASTER OF ARTS Department of Sociology 1990 445).. v 4:; '0 ABSTRACT INTERGENERATIONAL SUPPORT NETWORKS AND FERTILITY IN RWANDA BY Jane Eileen Vander Haar The contributions that children make to the social and economic well-being of their parents is commonly cited as an explanation for why parents in Third World settings so often seek to have large familiesw This paper provides an empirical test of this assumption using random sample survey data from 1,019 farm households in Rwanda. The key determinants of the total support received by households were the age of the head of household, the number of children residing in and out of the household, and the proximity of children in relation to the household. This study confirms the economic value of children, but goes a step farther by specifying how and to whom this support is provided. In Rwanda, where wealth flows in the direction of parents, where social security is almost non-existent, and where upward mobility is limited, more children may indeed be a sensible survival strategy. Copyright by JANE EILEEN VANDER HAAR 1990 To my parents, Del and Trudy Vander Hear and my husband, Rowland D. Van Es, Jr. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Special thanks to my committee for all of their assistance: to David Wiley, my major advisor and committee chair, for his guidance and counsel throughout my masters program as well as his careful reading and insightful commentary; to Dan Clay for use of his data, his helpful hints on statistical analysis, and.his useful editorial comments; and to Jay Artis for his reading of my thesis and his thought provoking questions. TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Parents, Children and Old Age Security . . . . . Family Size and Social Mobility . . . . . . . . Wealth Flows and Fertility . . . . . . . . . . . ANALYTICAL OBJECTIVES AND GUIDING HYPOTHESES . . . . BACKGROUND ON RWANDA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DATA AND METHODS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . RESULTS AND DISCUSSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Participation in Family Support Systems . . . . Support Provided by Children . . . . . . . . . . Characteristics of Children Providing Support . Characteristics of Households Receiving Support Total Support Received by Households . . . . . . Multi-variate Model of Intergenerational Support SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . BIBLIOGRAPHY O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 vi 15 16 19 26 30 32 33 34 39 41 48 54 58 TABLE 1: TABLE 2: TABLE 3: TABLE 4: LIST OF TABLES FREQUENCY OF SUPPORT FROM CHILDREN . . . . CHARACTERISTICS OF CHILDREN AND SUPPORT. . CHARACTERISTICS OF HOUSEHOLDS AND SUPPORT. CORRELATION MATRIX OF KEY STUDY VARIABLES. vii 33 35 40 43 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 1: MULTI-VARIATE MODEL OF SUPPORT. . . . . . . . 49 viii INTRODUCTION The contributions that children make to the social and economic well-being of their parents is commonly cited as an explanation for why parents in Third World settings so often seek to have large families. Indeed, the premise that children have high socioeconomic value to parents has become fundamental to at least three important avenues of contemporary fertility theory and research. The first is the theory that high fertility is contingent upon parents’ needs for social and economic security in their old age (DeVos, 1985; Entwisle and Winegarden, 1984; Hohm, 1975; Mouton, 1975; Nugent, 1985; Wildasin, 1980; and.Willis, 1980). A second theory has developed around the idea that poor families can pull themselves out of poverty and achieve upward social mobility through the economic returns generated by a large number of working-aged children (Cain, 1982, 1983, and 1985; Greenhalgh, 1985 and 1988; Johnson, 1984; Stark and Lucas, 1988; and Stokes and Schutjer, 1984). More recently, the focus of attention has turned to the theory of "wealth flows," the proposition that fertility decline can occur only after children are seen by their parents as a socioeconomic liability, rather than as contributors to household earnings 2 and welfare (See Caldwell, 1976, 1977, and 1982; Handwerker, 1986a and 1986b; and Willis, 1982). Though integral to these as well as to other fertility research themes, the socioeconomic value of children is a notion that has been largely taken for granted, receiving little empirical examination by demographers and others. In short, it is one of those "anthropological assumptions" that demographers have widely used and for which.they have not been held empirically accountable (Caldwell et al., 1987). Because demographers studying Third World fertility tend to rely heavily on data gathered through censuses and large-scale surveys, such as the World Fertility Survey, it is not surprising that they are so often unable to explore patterns of behavior that require the kinds of in-depth information that such survey instruments cannot easily capture. Specifically, Caldwell (1985) observes that large-scale surveys are flawed by their "inability to deal with the family, the kinship network, the neighbors, the community, and usually the couple" (p. 48). This is often the case because limited time and funding restrict the scope of these surveys to»one respondent.per household, usually'a woman of child-bearing age. This paper provides an empirical test of one important dimension of the broad assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. The focus of this study is farm households in Rwanda, where 3 fertility rates are among the highest in Africa, and on the levels of economic support that Rwandan children give their parents once they leave the parental household. Limitations of the data do not permit an analysis of support provided by children still living with their parents. Of special interest are variations in intergenerational support as a function of the number of children living within and outside of the household, the distance between households, and individual characteristics of parents and their children. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK Parents, Children and Old Age Security The Old Age Security theory of fertility suggests that in Societies where the aged are dependent on their adult children for support, fertility will remain high in order to guarantee enough surviving children to meet this need. Research in many different regions of the world.has shown that parents who believe that children.provide old age support do in fact have higher fertility. For example, in a study conducted in southern Nigeria, Fapohunda and Todaro (1988) found that parents who expected to receive old age support from their children were less likely to be "demographic innovators" and to have smaller families. Similarly, DeVos (1985) found that in the Philippines and Taiwan, parents with high expectations for future support exhibited higher fertility preferences than did parents who expected little old age support from their children. While these studies provide some support for the old age security hypothesis, they do not elaborate on the specific circumstances under which children can be an important source of old age support. Nugent (1985) has identified several of factors which increase the importance of children including: 1) undeveloped capital markets, 2) parental uncertainty about the accumulation of assets necessary for old age, 3) the absence or inefficiency of public or private old age and 5 disability programs, 4) the confidence parents have in the loyalty of their children, 5) the absence of well-developed labor ‘markets for 'women, andh children, 6) ‘underdeveloped markets for the goods and services that elderly' people consume, 7) the absence of a spouse who is much younger and could care for the person in old age, and 8) the perception of old age as a considerable portion of the life cycle (p. 76) 0 Throughout much of Africa, especially in the poorest countries, growth is restrained by a number factors including undeveloped infrastructures, markets, and financial institutions. Goldthorpe (1984) points out that the capital markets and investment opportunities that do exist in developing countries are limited to the formal sector. In third world countries, then, many needs are met (however inadequately) in the traditional subsistence sector without the intervention of money. By contrast, the modern cash economy is represented by such institutions as mines, factories, banks, and commercial offices, pervaded by a thoroughly business outlook and the fullest use of money, credit, and international exchange (p. 82). The majority of the elderly in rural areas then do not have access to capital markets and savings institutions. In addition, Goldthorpe indicates that much of the labor performed in the traditional subsistence sector is not included in the cash economy. Since most of this labor is performed by women and children, the market for their labor remains undeveloped. 6 Furthermore, Treas and Logue (1986) note that despite the fact that life expectancies at birth are much lower in developing countries, once an individual reaches sixty years of age, he/she will live nearly as many additional years in either a developed or developing country. It is perhaps reasonable to assume that even in the developing world old age is perceived as a lengthy period in the life cycle. In addition, public and private old age security programs are inadequate. While a few African nations have some form of social welfare program for the aged, they generally have limited budgets and provide incomplete coverage. The average annual expenditure on all public and private social security benefits for ten African countries was only 2.1% of GDP.1 Furthermore, old age security programs represent only a small portion of this total expenditure. (Wildasin, 1980) In many countries these programs only cover those working in the formal sector. Large segments of the population working in subsistence agriculture or the informal sector have no old.age benefits. Mouton (1975, p. 9) states, The system of protection has in fact been extended for the benefit of limited classes of the population, and this is one of the most characteristic features of African social security. In the absence of state and private sector programs, the family remains an extremely important form of support for the aged. In evaluating social welfare for the aged in Ethiopia, 1 These countries included: Ethiopia, Libya, Malawi, Morocco, Mauritius, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo, Tunisia, and Zambia. 7 Schenk and Schenk (1987, p. 14) conclude, "The welfare of the aged in Ethiopia is considered to be primarily a family responsibility." Similar conclusions are drawn by Bakayoko and Ehouman (1987) in the Ivory Coast, Gethaiga and Williams (1987) in Kenya, and Sanda (1987) in Nigeria. All of these factors indicate that the old age security motive for bearing children is likely to be quite strong. It is less evident, however, that parents have confidence in the loyalty of their children. Nugent (1985) has identified several factors that affect the commitment children feel toward their parents, a precondition for the actual provision of support. First, Nugent suggests that a close conjugal relationship between husband and wife has a negative effect on loyalty to parents. In addition, he argues that formal education and the influence of mass media will also negatively affect loyalty. Furthermore, identifying landholding as an important factor in the loyalty of children, he asserts that the more agricultural land the family operates and, therefore, the more directly parents are seen as sources of employment opportunities, the more likely it is that.children will remain loyal. Similarly, he argues that the fewer the outside employment opportunities available, the greater the importance of the family holdings to a child's livelihood. This he suggests also leads to a greater loyalty among children (regardless of landholding). Finally, Nugent argues that the 8 more land and other property that is potentially inheritable the more loyal children are likely to be. This factor is also discussed in studies by Ben-Porath (1980) and Parsons (1984). While much of the traditional family system remains, especially in rural areas, changes are taking place. As more children are educated, leave the farm, and move to urban areas, the loyalty of children may decrease. An examination of the support of the elderly in Africa shows that there is not only an absence of other old age support mechanisms but also that there may be a low return on investment in children or at the very least an uncertain return” This is illustrated by Sanda (1987, p. 173). Old age in Nigeria is still considered to be deserving of the care of the young and the attention of government. However, the pressures of urbanization, the demands of other responsibilities of government, and the increasing disintegration of the extended family, which previously provided social security for the aged, all have made the welfare of the aged very precarious. Changes in the traditional family structure do indeed place the elderly in a position of insecurity. However, just because the loyalty of children is low, this does not necessarily mean that the old age security motive for fertility is low. In fact, a low rate of return on investment in children may increase fertility in the absence of other mechanisms for old age support (Nugent 1985). Where loyalty is high, one or two children may meet old age security needs. Where loyalty is low, an unlimited number of children may be 9 desired in order to meet minimal needs in old age. This observation is also made by Cain (1983). Others such.as'Vlassoff and Vlassoff (1980) conclude that the returns from children in old age security are too low to provide any real motivation for fertility. This conclusion was based on a survey of Indian men and their sons. Treas and Logue (1986), however, found that in less developed countries the 'majority' of the elderly population is predominantly female. Many of these women were widows with little education, limited.experience in paid labor, and few resources other than children. Nugent (1985) suggests that women have a much higher need for children as a source of old age support because they lack access to land and other income sources that are available to men. In addition, much of the support given to the elderly, such as the preparation of meals and care during periods of illness, are traditionally tasks performed by women. It is apparent then that Vlassoff and Vlassoff may have obtained very different results if they had interviewed women and their daughters or daughters in law. Family Size and Social Mbbility In addition to the old age security motive for bearing children, a second theory, the social mobility motive for fertility, rests on the assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. According to this theory, children are seen as a means to 10 increase family wealth and social status. One way in which children are seen to increase a families wealth is through the labor they provide for family enterprises (generally subsistence farming). It is also argued that in traditional societies large families lead to both physical security and political influence. In these ways having many children can lead to upward social mobility. This argument is summarized by Harrison. Throughout these culture areas the extended family is a kind of private corporation through which the needs and ambitions of its members are fulfilled, and usually, as in the business world, in competition with other corporations. In the traditional struggle for land and power, the bigger corporations stand a better chance of winning. In most of traditional Africa a man with three or four sons is allocated more land.to work. (1984, p. 222). The relationship between the mechanisms of land distribution, the amount of land operated, and the economic return of children's labor has been explored by the other researchers as well. Two effects have been identified. First, where land is communally owned, children who have not migrated away increase the amount of land distributed to the family which in turn increases the family wealth (Johnson, 1984). Second, as landholding increase, whether communally or privately owned, the productivity of children increases. Therefore, the value of children and child bearing are both increased with increased landholding (Schutjer and Stokes, 1984; Johnson, 1984). 11 While there has been much debate over the causal direction of this relationship between access to land and fertility (Schutjer and Stokes, 1984; Cain, 1985; Stokes et al., 1986), Cain (1978) has also argued that labor supplied by children can provide greater income and an opportunity for upward social mobility; Greenhalgh (1985) has found a positive relationship between complexity of family structure and income. This she attributes in part to the ability of complex families to "diversify the family economy and.disperse workers to new economic niches." (p. 575) It has been suggested that an important way in which families diversify is by preparing children to work in the urban sector (Lucas and Stark, 1985). Urban migrants then send remittances in cash and kind to their families in the village. If these remittances are substantial, this can be an important motivation to raise more children than can be supported on the family farm. Several studies explore the nature and importance of remittances to rural areas. In a study of rural-urban migration in Ghana, Caldwell (1969) found that one-third of all households received cash remittances. Most remittances were used to maintain the migrant's family in the rural area, particularly parents. In addition, he found that the rural- urban link is likely to become weak over time due to the establishment.of permanent residence in the urban area and the death of parents in the rural area. 12 Johnson and Whitelaw (1974) found that 89% of urban migrants in Kenya regularly sent money back to their villages. Furthermore, urban-rural remittances represented about 20% of urban wages. They conclude that such a high percentage of remittances implies a significant increase in rural welfare. They also conclude that the number and closeness of relatives working in the high wage urban sector significantly determines a rural individual’s welfare. In another study in Kenya, Knowles and Anker (1981) focused on rural-rural remittances as well as rural-urban remittances. They found that these remittances are usually passed from husbands to wives, children to parents, and to other close relatives such as brothers. In addition, they found that urban-rural remittances account for slightly more than half of all remittances. In contrast to Johnson and Whitelaw, Knowles and Anker conclude that remittances have little effect on the overall urban-rural wage differential. Knowles and Anker also identify a cycle of remittances from urban-rural migrants. When migrants first arrive in urban areas, they receive support from their families in rural areas. After they have found work in urban areas, migrants become heavy remitters. Finally, once migrants become well- established in an urban area, they are less likely to send remittances. 13 Based on an in-depth study of remittances Stark (1981) has developed a theory regarding the impact of rural-urban migration on rural development. He states, In developing societies, grown children as rural to urban migrants may assume the unique role of financial intermediaries in an economy in which the introduction of modern agricultural methods is constrained by inadequate institutional (as well as non-institutional) sources of credit and a high aversion to risk (p. 671). Stark and Lucas (1988) further elaborate this theory. They describe a cycle of remittances from the urban migrant as well. Stark and Lucas suggest that this cycle is part of a contractual agreement between the migrant and the family of origin. This differs greatly from Caldwell (1969) and Knowles and Anker (1981) who see this cycle as part of the process of becoming a permanent resident in the urban destination. According to Stark and Lucas, during the initial period of migration, the migrant is insured by the family of origin against the high degree of risk involved in urban migration. At this point the migrant receives support from the family of origin. Once the migrant becomes self supporting, the migrant begins to send remittances to his/her family of origin. At this point, Stark and Lucas suggest, the migrant acts as an insurer against the high risk involved in the introduction of change on the family farm. The fact that the migrant acts as an insurer allows the family head to introduce improvements on the farm that would.have been impossible without insurance. 14 In this way urban-rural remittances from children play an important role in increasing the wealth of the family. Cain (1978, 1982, 1983) has also emphasized the role of children as a form of insurance against risk and in the prevention of downward mobility in a variety of settings. Cain (1982) focuses on factors outside of the family which necessitate high fertility as an aversion to riskn He states, Unlike child labor and old age security, it is possible to see how the insurance value of children could economically justify large numbers of children in high risk settings: the combination of uncertain child survival, diverse sources of risk, a premium on sons, and the probability of great loss in their absence could argue for such a reproductive strategy (p. 167). In addition, Cain (1983) suggests that laterally extended kin networks can serve as a substitute for the security from risk provided by children. In the absence of these lateral support systems, an individual becomes more dependent on lineal kin. Furthermore, he states that the degree to which an individual is dependent on lineal kin is affected by the kind of risk in the environment, the effectiveness of children in averting risk and the availability of other forms of insurance against risk (Cain, 1982, p.166). 15 Wealth Flows and Fertility Wealth Flows theory is the third theory that rests on the assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. This theory incorporates and expands upon both the old age security theory and the social mobility theory discussed above. Research in this area has been initiated by Caldwell (1976, 1982) in an attempt to explain continued high fertility. Caldwell argues that such high fertility is not adequately explained by traditional demographic transition theories because this theory assumes that high fertility is irrational and economic development will automatically be followed by a decrease in fertility. In contrast, Caldwell stresses that all fertility behavior is economically rational. He suggests that high fertility is economically rational in societies where the flow of wealth is from the younger to older generation. Caldwell defines wealth flows as "all money, goods, services, and guarantees that one generation provides for another" (1976, p. 333). Caldwell identifies six economic benefits from children in traditional societies that demonstrate how high fertility can increase wealth flows to the older generation. They include: disproportionate gains from high fertility to patriarchal males; child labor both in the household and on the farm which provide goods and services to adults; gifts 16 and labor inputs of adult children; the proportion of the family contribution to ceremonial occasions which is provided by adult children; care of aged parents provided by adult children; and the ability of parents to increase the return on their investment in children through training or education (1976, p. 343). Fertility will continue to be economically rational as long as intergenerational wealth flows are from the younger to older generation. It is only when these intergenerational wealth flows have been reversed and are from parent to child that it becomes economically rational to limit fertility. In fact, once wealth flows have reversed, any fertility is economically irrational, but parents are willing to pay the price of child rearing for the psychic benefits received from children (Caldwell, 1982). In order for a reversal of intergenerational wealth flows to occur it is necessary that there be an emotional and economic nucleation of family structure. This, argues Caldwell (1976), can occur independently of economic development and is most likely to come about. through the influence of mass Western style education and mass media. ANALYTICAL OBJECTIVES AND GUIDING HYPOTHESES Underlying these theories of old age security, social mobility, and wealth flows is the assumption that there is a strong intergenerational support system being utilized by 17 households in developing countries. The old age security motive for fertility lies on the assumption that children do in fact provide assistance to their elderly parents. The relationship between social mobility and fertility is dependent on the assumption that children do provide labor and gifts that can create upward mobility and prevent downward mobility through insurance against risk. Caldwell's very definition of wealth flows incorporates the concept of intergenerational support. Despite the importance of this underlying' assumption, little has actually' been. done to empirically measure the degree to which intergenerational support systems are utilized and factors which influence participation in these intergenerational support systems. Based on the research reviewed above, we can derive a number of hypotheses regarding the level of intergenerational support and factors that influence intergenerational support in Rwanda. First, the logic of Wealth Flows Theory leads to the hypothesis that the high level of fertility in Rwanda is accompanied by an intergenerational support system in which wealth flows from the younger to older generation. We might also anticipate that if there is a weak lateral kinship support system then there will be a relatively strong lineal support system, given a lack of other forms of insurance against risk in Rwanda. Second, emerging from prior research on fertility and social mobility it can be hypothesized that larger household, 18 being either more complex (Greenhalgh 1985) or having more children (Cain 1978), will have greater wealth and higher social status. One appropriate measure of wealth in Rwanda, where most people are involved in subsistence agriculture, is operational landholding. Therefore, we can expect that those who are farming more land, having a greater income, will have more children. Finally, based on the theories regarding the old age security motive of fertility, we can predict that older household heads will receive more support. We can also predict that households will provide support to their elderly parents. Nugent (1985) identified a number of factors that effect the loyalty of children. These include the amount of land worked by the household and level of the children's education. Therefore, we can hypothesize that the larger the plot of land worked the more support a household will receive. Also, the more formal education that a child has the less likely they will be to provide support. Other factors that we can expect will effect the support received by a household include the number and location of family members residing outside of the household. Therefore, the more children living outside of the household, the more support the household will receive (Caldwell 1969). Likewise, it can be expected that children living near to their household of origin will provide more support to their parents than those living far away. Therefore, as the 19 average distance between 'the children and. the household decreases, the level of support received will increase (Caldwell 1969). One final factor that may influence the frequency of support received by the household is the gender of the head of household. Likewise, the gender of the contributing child may influence the frequency of support given to the household. BACKGROUND ON RWANDA Rwanda is a small, landlocked country in the East African highlands. It is bordered by Uganda to the North, Burundi to the South, Tanzania to the East, and the Republic of Zaire to the West. With an area of only 26,000 square kilometers it is one of the smallest countries in Africa. There are three ethnic groups in Rwanda, the largest of which are Hutu (83%). The Tutsi are a large minority group, which make up 16% of the population. Smallest in number are the Twa who comprise little more than 1% of the population. These ethnic groups share one cultural system and one language, Kinyarwanda. The Courier (1982) states that Rwanda is unique in that It is a recognized territory, it has a people, a language and a cultural community and this means it has assets which few African and not all European countries enjoy. 20 allowed Hutu peasants to maintain cattle but not to own them. These cattle were considered to be the property of the Tutsi rulers. In the late 1800’s Rwanda was colonized by Germany. During the colonial period, the traditional system of Tutsi rule was maintained. Rwanda was occupied by Belgian troops during the First World War. After the war, Belgium was given mandate over Rwanda and Burundi by the League of Nations. Under Belgian rule, Tutsi supremacy was maintained and even strengthened through a selective educational system which provided greater opportunities for the Tutsi (The Courier, 1982). In November of 1959, there was a Hutu uprising which led to the fall of the Tutsi rule. At this time many Tutsi fled to neighboring countries. The independence of Rwanda as a sovereign and Democratic Republic was formally recognized on July 1, 1962. Gregoire Kayibanda was appointed the first President. He was re-elected in 1965 and 1969. In July of 1973, President Kayibanda was overthrown in a bloodless coup. Former defence minister General Juvenal Habyarimana became President. Often called the "land of a thousand hills," Rwanda ranges in elevation from about 1,000 to 2,000 meters. The eastern part of Rwanda is made up of gentle slopes hills while the western provinces are more mountainous. Because of the higher elevation Rwanda is cooler than many other 21 countries at the same latitude. There is little seasonal variation in temperature. The difference between daytime highs and. nighttime lows are greater than the seasonal variation in temperature. The mean temperature is around 66 degrees Fahrenheit, though this varies with elevation--the east is warmer and the west somewhat cooler. Throughout Rwanda there are two rainy seasons. The first begins around March and lasts through May. The second begins in October and lasts through December. The length of the rainy season and the amount of rainfall as well as the type of vegetation found in a region also vary with elevation. For these reasons d'Hertefelt (1965) divided the country into three homogeneous zones according to altitude: the eastern region, where altitude varies from 3900 to 5100 feet; the central region, which is a plateau with an average elevation of 5100 feet; and the northern and western regions, with an altitude of 6000 feet or more. The climate in Rwanda is unique in that variations in elevation allow for the growth of crops that ‘would be traditionally thought of as tropical such as coffee and bananas as well as temperate crops such as peas and potatoes (Nwafor, 1977). The range of crops grown also includes beans, sorghum, millet, maize, sweet potatoes, rice, cassava, groundnuts, wheat, and tea. Despite such agricultural diversity, Rwanda is a poor country. The GNP per capita is only $300 (World Bank, 1989). 22 There is little industry in Rwanda. Only 16% of the Gross Domestic Product comes from manufacturing. Agricultural products and minerals are the main exports. Coffee is the largest export earner. Between 20,000 and 30,000 tons of arabica coffee are exported each year. Minerals, such as cassiterite and ferberite, are the second largest export product. Tea is third with an annual export of nearly 10,000 tons yearly. Other major export products include pyrethrum and tin ore (The Courier, 1982 and Africa Research Bulletin, 1985). Subsistence agriculture is the basis of the Rwandan people’ s livelihood, and Rwanda is a predominantly rural country. Approximately 95% of the population are farmers, and 87% of all cultivated land is planted with subsistence food crops (Nwafor, 1977). More recent figures show that Rwanda continues to be predominantly rural. In 1987, only 7% of the population were living in urban areas (The World Bank, 1989). Those residing in the countryside do not live in villages. Instead, each household lives in the center of their landholding. These farming households are called "urugo." There are about 880,000 thousand of these with an average of five persons per household scattered across Rwanda (Arid Lands Information Center, 1981). These households generally consist of a nuclear family, and this forms the basic unit of production and economic cooperation (d’Hertefelt 1965). 23 The lack of centralized settlements has made it expensive and difficult for the government to provide basic services such as health care. The population per physician is 34,680. This is more than twice the average for other low income countries. The population per nurse is 3,650 (World Bank, 1989). None-the-less, governmental health care facilities are located within 25 kilometers of most people (Arid Lands Information Center, 1981). Despite this effort, the Infant Mortality Rate is 122 per 1,000. Life expectancy at birth is only 49 years (World Bank, 1989). Nutritional diseases, malaria, and trypanosomiasis (sleeping sickness) pose serious threats to public health. Another area of governmental expenditure is education. Two-thirds of the primary school aged children are enrolled in school. There is an equality of enrollment for boys and girls at the primary school level. However, only 1% of the secondary school aged girls are enrolled in school compared to 3% for boys. Rwanda is the most densely populated country in Africa. With a total population of 6.4 million, it is estimated that the population density is 245 persons per square kilometer. However, due to the lack of urbanization and variations in the arability of land, the actual density on agricultural land is much higher. Some estimate that in the northern and western regions, where there are rich volcanic soils, 24 population density is as high as 440 person per square kilometer (Africa Research Bulletin, 1985). Despite the scarcity of land the population continues to grow at an alarming 3.7% (World Bank, 1989). Furthermore, the growth rate is likely to remain high. Forty-three percent of the women are of child bearing age (World Bank, 1989), and 56% of the population is under twenty years of age (Nwafor, 1979). In a poor country where virtually all of the arable land is already under cultivation and the average household possesses only 1.2 hectares of arable land (SESA, 1987, p.34), a continued high rate of population growth can have grave consequences. One of the first concerns is with the ability of the people to provide their basic food needs. At one point, growth in agriculture was keeping pace with the growth in population (Africa Research Bulletin, 1985). However, this was due mostly to an increase in the amount of land under cultivation. This type of expansion is no longer possible. The most recent World Bank figures indicate that the average annual growth rate in agriculture between 1980 and 1987 was only 1.1%. In addition, in 1987 Rwanda imported 11,000 metric tons of cereal and received 16,000 metric tons of cereal food aid. Finally, the daily calorie supply per capita is 1,830. This is only 87% of the recommended daily intake of 2100 calories. 25 Not only has production been unable to keep pace with population growth, it has actually declined on a per capita basis. Food production per capita between 1985 and 1987 had declined by 13% as compared to similar figures for the period between 1979 and 1981 (The World Bank, 1989). Much of this decline has occurred in subsistence crops. For example, in 1976 227,572 tons of beans were produced. In 1979 only 180,660 tons of this staple crop were produced (The Courier 1982). This decline in subsistence crops is due in part to a reduction in the size of family farm holdings. The size of family holdings will continue to decrease as existing farms are divided among the male children of existing household heads. In Ginsenyi Prefecture, the average family farm holdings is as small as 0.80 hectares, which is marginally sufficient for subsistence (SESA, 1985, p. 69). Despite the small size of family holdings, households still try to plant a variety of crops in order to be as diversified and self-sufficient in food production as possible. This has led to overcropping in many areas. In addition, each household tries to maintain some livestock, which are still symbols of wealth and status. Consequently, overgrazing also occurs on these small plots. If left uncontrolled, overgrazing and overcropping will lead to the second main concern caused by rapid population growth-- environmental degradation. 26 Rwanda’s fragile soils are quickly becoming depleted by more intensive cropping and shorter fallow periods. The Courier (1982) has reported, "The diminishing quantity and quality of land is a major concern for the government." This is likely to become an even more serious concern as population densities increase. As more and more people settle on the slopes of the many hills of Rwanda, erosion also becomes a serious problem. It has been estimated that as much as 35-40% of useful land may be lost due to the gullying of the slopes (The Courier 1982). In addition, the increasing demand for wood for fuel and construction is causing rapid deforestation. A firewood deficit of 6.0 million cubic meters by the year 2000 has been predicted (Arid Lands Information Center, 1981). This depletion of wooded areas intensifies the problem of erosion. DATA AND METHODS The Non-farm Strategies Survey was implemented by Rwanda's Agricultural Surveys and Statistics Service (SESA) as one component of the Agricultural Surveys and Policy Analysis Project (ASPAP). This project is jointly funded by the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Forests and the U.S. Agency for International Development. Survey questionnaires were administered over a three-month period beginning in July, 1988, to a stratified random sample of 1,078 farm households in Rwanda. An experienced team of 27 SESA's field staff supervisors was engaged to carry out the interviews. The questionnaires were designed to obtain information from various members of the households, including husbands, wives and adult children. A variety of topics were addressed in the questionnaire. In addition to family support networks information was gathered on: demographic characteristics of all household members and migrant children; non-farm and off-farm employment of all household members; permanent and temporary migration patterns of selected household members: fertility/family size behaviors, plans and preferences of all adult household members; sources of household income; physical characteristics of the farm and residence; hired farm labor; plans, aspirations, and opinions of parents and adult children regarding non-farm training and employment and the future for young people in farming. In all, interviews required an average of approximately one and a half hours to administer and usually required multiple visits to meet the various respondents from each household. Adult children were the most difficult to locate, though the interviewers did succeed in interviewing a large number of these young people. In addition to the data on adult children within the household, information was gathered on 1,480 children living’ away from ‘their households of origin. 28 An unusual, yet important feature of this study is that the households selected for study are actually a sample of households that SESA had been studying since 1986 as a part of its ongoing survey program. Consequently, the great volume of information already collected on these households, in areas such as farm size and fragmentation, crop and livestock production, and market transactions, can be drawn upon to enhance the analyses of non-farm strategies. Since 1986, a small number of households in the initial sample have moved away or have been otherwise dropped from SESA's current sample. The total number of households on which data are available at all points in time is 1,019; these are the households for which data are presented in the following section. The results reported are appropriately weighted to adjust for differential sampling fractions used in the stratified sample design. Questions in the Non-farm Strategies Survey referring to family support networks were addressed to the head of household. He/she was asked to declare the frequency of support received from various family members living outside of the household. In addition, he/she was asked to declare the frequency of support going from the household to his/her mother and/or father. Three categories of support were recorded in all cases. These categories were support in money, support in labor, and support in kind. Further 29 questions were asked about the location of the family members who could possibly be involved in the family support network. It is important to emphasize that the information gathered on the support given to the household only included those family members living away from the household. The data do not include any measure of the labor, money, or gifts in kind provided to the household by children or other family members residing within the household. Furthermore, while the data include information about support given by the household to parents residing away from the household, it does not include information about support given to children or other family members residing away from the household. The data are also limited to information about the frequency of support and do not include any measure of the value of support provided by family members residing away from the household. Unless specified otherwise, the figures reported in the results section will be based on the number of households in the appropriate sub-sample. For example, when referring to the support received from children, the figures will be based on only those households with children living away from the household. Likewise, when referring to the overall frequency of support given, all households were included except those that did not have any of the appropriate family members from which the measure was created. For example, if both the mother and father of the household head resided within the 30 household or were no longer living, that household would not be included in ‘the figures concerning support. given. to parents. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The presentation of findings focuses mainly on two groups involved in support networks: the parental household and the adult children of the head of household who have moved away from the household. Looking first at the parental household (N=1,019), we find the mean household size is 5.5 persons. Men head 76% of these households. The remaining 24% of households are headed by women, the majority of whom are either widowed or part of a polygamous union but living separately from their husband. Most marriages are monogamous, but 18% are polygamous. The mean age of the head of household is 47.3 years old. More than half of the heads of household (56%) have no formal education. In general, younger household heads have more education.2 The operational landholding of sampled households is 1.20 hectares. The landholding tend to increase up through age 59, peaking at 1.61 hectares for those between 50 and 59. After age 60 the amount of land worked decreases slightly. The amount of land worked also tends to be greater among more educated heads of household, ranging from 1.11 hectares for those with no ’ All findings reported are significant at p g .01 unless otherwise specified. 31 formal schooling to 1.74 hectares for those who have had schooling beyond the primary level. The mean number of surviving children of the head of household is 4.8. Finally, the mean number of children of the head of household increases with the amount of land worked. Those with less than 0.5 hectares have a mean of 3.7 children while those with more than 2.0 hectares have a mean of 5.8 children. Turning to the characteristics of children living away from the parental household (N=1,480), we find the mean age of these children is 29.5. Fifty-four percent of the children living away from the household are female. Forty- three percent of the children have had no formal schooling, while 34% have attended some primary school. An examination of their residence patterns shows that two-thirds of the children (67%) are living in the same commune as their parents or neighboring commune. Only 7% of the children are living in urban centers. More than half of the children see their families a few times a year or more (58%): 21% of the children have daily contact with their families. A full 80% of the children are farmers, 4% are students, and 3% are civil servants. The majority of the children are married (74%). 32 Participation in Family Support Systems On the whole, family support systems in Rwanda appear to be fairly strong. Sixty percent of the households report that they receive some form of support from family members outside of the household. Seventy-three percent of the households report that they give some form of assistance to their parents living outside of the household. Furthermore, there is a clear indication that the lineal (intergenerational) support system is much stronger than the lateral support system. While only 25% of the households reported that they received some form of assistance from their brothers or sisters, 69% receive some form of assistance from their children living outside of the household. The direction of support is from the younger generation to the older generation as hypothesized. The figures reported above confirm that the number of households giving assistance to their parents is high, and the number of households receiving support from their children is also high. By comparison, only 26% of the households report that they receive some form of assistance from their parents. These initial findings appear to confirm the assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. Intergenerational support systems are in fact utilized by a large percent of households 33 'and the direction of support is from the younger to older generation. Support Provided by Children Among children living outside of the household, 68% provided some form of support to their household of origin. The importance of this support can be further explored by examining the type of assistance provided by these children. While the few children help out their parents with gifts in kind or of money (18% and 11% respectively), nearly half (42%) provide some support in labor; .Furthermore, nearly one tenth of children living outside of the household provide labor a few times a month or more. The frequency of support for the various types of support is presented below in Table 1. TABLE 1: FREQUENCY OF SUPPORT FROM CHILDREN Eercenr_£royiding_Snnncrt_in Frequency Menegl .Laher_______Eind Never 88.? 57.7 81.6 Once a Year or less 3.4 7.2 4.7 Few Times a Year 6.2 27.1 10.3 Few Times a Month or More 1.7 8.0 3.3 Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% (N=1457) 34 Again, these results appear to confirm the assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. Although only two-thirds of the children living outside of the household provide some form of support and much. of this is given infrequently, this does not necessarily conflict with the old age security motive of fertility. As suggested by Nugent (1985) and Cain (1983), a low rate of return on children may indeed increase fertility. Moreover, the fact that some children can and do regularly provide their parents with labor, even after they have left the household, appears to confirm the assumption underlying the theory of social mobility and fertility. Characteristics of Children Providing Support Whether or not children residing away from the household provide support and also the type of support provided varies with the characteristics of these children. Some of the key characteristics examined include the gender, level of education, marital status, principal occupation, and the residential location of the child. For each. of these characteristics we examine how support to parents in general is effected. This is based on whether or not children provided any one of the three types of assistance. Also examined is how the provision of each type of support varies with these characteristics. These findings are presented in Table 2. TABLE 2: Characteristic Gender Male 15.8 Female 7.4 Eta .145 Significance .000 Education No Formal Educ. 7.8 Some Primary 10.3 Complete Primary 14.2 Post Primary 31.5 Eta .187 Significance .000 Marital Status Single 19.8 Married 10.5 Free Union 2.9 Other 1.6 Eta .129 Significance .000 Occupation Farmer 8.0 Civil Servant 54.7 Student 0.0 Other 25.9 Eta .300 Significance .000 Location Same/Neighboring Commune 7.6 Rural Migrant 14.7 Urban Migrant 34.3 Outside Rwanda 15.5 Eta .172 Significance .000 35 36.3 47.4 .104 .000 45.7 41.3 46.6 13.6 .161 .000 12.9 49.6 42.5 13.6 .275 .000 .290 .000 14.7 29.4 5.9 5.4 .302 .000 15.0 21.3 .076 .004 19.6 14.5 25.5 13.2 .079 .027 U10)N\l O... UQNU’ .164 .000 19.0 26.3 0.8 14.4 .098 I 000 18.2 21.5 19.6 7.6 .052 .271 CHARACTERISTICS OF CHILDREN AND SUPPORT (674) (783) (615) (501) (242) (94) (241) (1095) (84) (37) (1171) (44) (54) (185) (977) (322) (94) (59) 36 Looking first at the gender of the children we find that a slightly higher percentage of female children are providing some form of support (59% of females vs. 51% of males). The influence of gender on the provision of support differs from one type of support to another. Male children were more than twice as likely to provide support in money; 16% of males provided support in money as compared to 7% of females. This difference is likely to be a reflection of the fact that the cash earnings of men are higher than those of women. Female children, however, were more likely to provide support in both labor and kind. When examining overall support it does not appear that the level of education significantly differs for children who do and do not provide support. However, different behaviors are found for children with different levels of education when the provision of each type of support is examined individually. The proportion giving money to their parents significantly increases along with level of education. In contrast, the percentage providing their parents with labor is nearly the same for those who have no formal education, those with some primary education, and those who have completed primary school. At the same time, support in labor drops off significantly for those who have received post- primary schooling. Finally, the percentage of those providing support in kind does not significantly differ by level of education. 37 Rather than decreasing the frequency of support, an increase in education appears to merely change the type of support that is provided. This finding seems to contradict Nugent's suggestion that education will diminish children’s loyalty to their parents and Caldwell's theory that education will reverse the direction of the wealth flows. The provision of support significantly differs with marital status. Married children are most likely to give to their parents in one form or another, followed by those in free unions (traditional marriages not recognized by government certificates), and finally single children. However, this pattern differs for the ‘various types of support. The highest percentage of those providing support in money are single. In contrast, married children are more likely to provide their parents with gifts in labor and kind. This suggests that the type of support provided may be affected by the child's stage in the life cycle. Single children, who have not established their own households, are perhaps more likely to be working for wages and, therefore, can more readily send cash remittances. Married children, on the other hand, who are more likely to have established their own farms, more readily provide support in labor and kind. When examining the three most common occupations-- farmers, students, and. civil servants--a significant difference in the provision of support is found. Civil Servants are the most likely to provide some form of support 38 (68%). Farmers are also quite likely to provide some form of support (58%). Only 11% of students.provide their parents with supportn The effect of occupation on the provision.of support also differs from one type of support to another. Only 8% of farmers provide support in money, compared with 55% of the civil servants. A slightly lower percentage of farmers (19%) provide support in kind as compared to civil servants (26%). However, 50% of farmers provide support in labor, while only 6% of the civil servants provide labor support. Virtually no students provide support in money or kind, but 11% of students provide some support in labor. When examining support in general we see that those living closest provide significantly more support than those living farther away. Of those living in the same or neighboring commune 58% provide some form of support, while only 23% of those living outside of Rwanda provide support. When the different types of support are examined, variations in the effect of location are seen. The location of children does not significantly affect the provision of support in kind. It does, however, significantly affect the provision of support in money and labor. Those living in urban areas are most likely to provide money support (34%) as contrasted with 14% of those who have moved to other rural areas, 16% of those living outside of Rwanda (many in rural Uganda), and only 8% of those living on neighboring farms. Those living on neighboring farms and in other rural areas are more likely 39 to provide support in labor, with 15% and 29% respectively. Only 6% of those living in urban areas and 5% of those living outside of Rwanda provided labor support. This variation in the type of support provided. by children with different characteristics lends support to the idea that a household can increase its wealth and social status by having more children. For example, it can diversify its income by training one child to become a civil servant, who will send cash remittances, and another child to be a farmer, who will provide support in labor. Characteristics of Households Receiving Support The receipt of support varies with the characteristics of the household. Some of the key household characteristics examined include the age, gender, and level of education of the head of household. These findings are shown in Table 3. The mean of age of those receiving some form of support (59.4) is significantly higher than of those receiving no support (50.1). This same pattern is found for each of the various types of support, providing strong support for the old age security hypothesis. In general, there is not a strong relationship between the gender of the head.of household.and.supportn Seventy-five percent of female-headed households and 64% of male headed received some form of support (Sig.=.03) . When looking at the gender of the head of household and the various types of TABLE 3: CHARACTERISTICS OF HOUSEHOLDS AND SUPPORT Characteristic Mean Age of Household Head Receiving No Support Receiving Some Support Eta Significance Gender of Household Head (Percent Providing Support) Male Female Eta Significance Education Level of Head of Household (Percent Providing Support) No Formal Education Some Primary Complete Primary or More Eta Significance .___Jhnrrru1§hnnzuflr____1H1. Money Labar____Kind____ 55.3 60.9 .188 .000 21.3 29.3 .077 .111 24.9 20.6 24.3 .035 .737 52.2 59.9 .311 .000 54.0 66.9 .109 .021 62.3 55.7 31.8 .169 .001 54.4 (368) 61.6 (121) .267 .000 26.0 (326) 38.0 (163) .133 .005 33.7 (344) 24.0 (100) 18.3 (44) .122 .027 41 support, a significantly higher percentage of female-headed households receive support in kind (38% as compared to 26%). A higher percentage of female-headed households also appear to receive support in labor (Sig.=.02). There is not, however, a real difference between the percentage of female- headed and male headed households that receive support in money. Overall, household heads with more education are less likely to receive some form of support. A similar pattern is seen for support in labor and kind. The percentage of heads of households receiving support in both labor (Sig.=.00) and kind (Sig.=.03) decrease as the head of household’s level of education increases. IHowever, there is no relationship between level of education and the receipt of money support. Total Support Received by Households The above findings explore how various characteristics of both households and individuals effect whether or not support is received (in the case of households) or given (in the case of children). However, the question that remains unanswered at ‘this stage asks. how ‘these: characteristics interrelate and how they collectively account for variations in intergenerational support. In order to examine this question, an overall scale was constructed on which households could be indexed according to the total support received. The questionnaire in its original 42 form allowed the interviewers to specify the frequency of all three types of support from various family members in the following categories: 0) never, 1) once a year or less, 2) a few times a year, 3) a few times a month, 4) a few times a week, and 5) daily. To create the scale the original values for each category were squared. Though frequent support was given a higher scoring than infrequent support, the frequency was not translated into a proportion based on frequency per year (i.e. once a year=1/365 and daily=365/365). In other words, the scale gave slightly more weight to infrequent support. This not only provided a more linear fit but also seemed justified in that daily support, while occurring more frequently, is generally of lower economic value than some other less frequently occurring forms of support. Each child living outside of the household received a score for each type of support (money, labor, and in-kind), and.these scores were then summed.to obtain an overall measure of support provided by each child. Total support received by the parental household was simply a summation of the overall support scores of all their children living outside of the household. Table 4 reports the zero-order correlations between the total support received by the household and various characteristics of the parents and their intergenerational support networks. 43 TABLE 4: CORRELATION MATRIX OF KEY STUDY VARIABLES Support Education Children Household from of House- oe E ‘ 'V '. 1' q :1 11 9 1‘29 Age of Household Head -.35* -.24* Gender of Head of Household .13* -.31* Education of Level Household Head -.09 1.00 Children Outside of the Household .49* -.11* Children Within the Household -.32* .18 Average Distance of Children -.13* .13* Landholding of Household -.01 .15* *Significant at .01 or more. Children Within Outside 1°-.‘Q' 0. r‘._‘!.‘ 0. -.45* .51* -.29* .13* .18* -.11* -.39* 1.00 1.00 -.39* .06 -.02 .28* -.04 44 First, total support is moderately correlated to the average distance from the household of all children residing outside of the household (r=-.14). As the average distance increases support decreases. This is consistent with the hypothesis and the findings for individual children. Total support was also moderately correlated to the gender of the head of household (r=.13), indicating that female heads of households receive more frequent support. Again, this is consistent with the earlier findings. The total support received was very strongly correlated to the number of children residing outside of the household (r=.47). Although the number of children living outside of the household appears to increase the frequency of support received, perhaps the frequency of support received per child would decrease as more and more children take up their share of responsibility for their parents--in essence dividing some hypothetical fixed cost of old age support. If this were the case, once a sufficient number of children were born to provide this fixed level of support, the cost of raising additional children would far exceed any future return from these children. We find, however, that the per child contribution does not significantly decrease as the number of children living outside of the household increases. While limitations in the data do not allow for an accurate estimate of the economic value of the support received, it is clear that the more 45 children parents raise and send outside of the household, the better off they will be. Furthermore, the total support received was negatively associated with the number of children residing within the household (r=-.35). The more children living in the household, the less frequent the support received by the household. Finally, the age of head. of household is strongly correlated with the total support received as well (r=.40). Older household heads receive more help from their children. There are two possible ways, however, through which age could affect the total support received. The first is a life cycle effect--as the household moves through different stages of life, the total support received may vary with the abilities of the children to contribute and the changing needs of the household. The second is a period or cohort effect--the particular history that an entire age group has lived through may affect the amount of support received by households in that age group. Furthermore, both the number of children residing in and out of the household vary with the age of the head of household (r=-.51 for children in the household and r=.50 for children outside the household). In other words, younger heads of households have more children living within the household and older heads of households have more children living outside of the household. Therefore, it is unclear to 46 what degree the relationship between support received and number of children residing in and out of the household is a function of the life cycle stage of the households The multi- variate model presented in the following section will help to sort out these direct and indirect effects. At this point, the relationship between children outside of the household, age of head of household, and the amount of support received seem to indicate that there is an old-age security motive for fertility in Rwanda. Clearly, more support is received as the head of household ages. In fact, the mean total support received by household heads between 60 and 69 is more than twice that received by household heads between 40 and 49 (eta=.38). We also find that households begin to become net receivers of support as the head of household approaches fifty years of age. At this stage, the household is receiving more support from children living outside of the household than they provide to the elderly parents of the head of household. In addition, total support was associated with the level of education attained by the head of household (r=-.11) but was not significant at the .01 level. However, the mean total support for households where the household head had no formal education was nearly twice that of the households where the household head had completed primary school or more (eta=-.13, significance of .04). The number of children residing in and out of the household also seem to be linked to the level 47 of education attained by the head of household. Education level is negatively correlated to the number of children outside the household (r=-.13) and positively correlated to the number of children within the household (r=.21). Those with more education have fewer children living outside of the household and also have more children living within the household. These correlations may, however, be influenced by the relationship between age and level of education. Again, this will be clarified in the multi-variate model below. Furthermore, the level of education attained by the head of household is also associated with how far his/her children live away from the parental household (r=.14). The children of more educated household heads on average live farther from the household.than.children of less educated household.heads. Another background variable, the amount of land worked, which is not significantly related to total support, the number of children residing outside of the household, or the average distance of children from the household, is significantly associated.with the number of children residing within the household (r=.28). This appears to support our hypothesis that larger households (having more children) have more wealth--in this case wealth in land. Surprisingly, the amount of land worked by the household does not account for any significant variation in the level of support received (r=-.01, not significant at .01). Therefore, our hypothesis that larger plots of land will 48 induce children to be more loyal and, thereby, provide more support to their parents was unconfirmed in this case. Multi-variate Model of Intergenerational Support In the bi-variate analysis above, a number of factors were found to be directly correlated with the level of support received by households. These factors included: the gender and age of the head of household, the number of children living outside of the household, the average distance of children from the household, and the number of children residing within the household. In addition, factors which were found to be correlated with the number of children in and out of the household and.the average distancerof children from the household include: the age of the head of household, the level of education of the head of household and the amount of land worked. While the bi-variate analysis suggests that children do indeed contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents, the extent to which this support from children can be accounted for by other factors such as the size of landholding, the age and gender of the household head, or the proximity of children to the parental household need to be examined through a multi-variate model (See Figure 1). 49 60955:!— :.~ emu 26:20:90 nogclouou ”H gUHh ”Roam—am no H060: oucfl—ETHZEA .28 no 8. a. uiuzaaa .. of 55.... 8.8.482 802.6 503.50 .5: h / 39146: «5 391.8: m, t a 38 a .2: $2.; Ewe innumonlSZ «6 cl: Go A 8.3 . .33 5.38:3 ( Nm . 5656386: 2236: a. 31:609. 50 The model shows that the initially strong relationship between age of head of household and frequency of support (r=.40) is weakened when controlling for the other factors (beta=.16). The effect of age on the number of children residing outside of the household also diminishes slightly but remains strong (beta=.32). Older household heads have more children living outside of the household. In addition, the relationship between the number of children residing outside of the household and total support received remains strong when controlling for the other factors in the model (beta=.32). The more children there are residing outside of the household. the 'more support. parents will receive. These findings indicate that while the age of the head of household does have some direct effect on total support received, much of the age effect is indirect, through the number of children residing outside of the household and elsewhere. The number of children residing outside of the household is the most important determinant of the total support received by the household. The relationship between age and the number of children residing within the household is also reduced but remains strong (beta=-.35). Recall that younger heads of households have more children living within the household. The age of the head of household, therefore, continues to be an important 51 determinant of the number of children residing within the household. However, theme is still a direct relationship between the number of children residing within the household and the total support received (beta=-.14). In other words, all else being equal, households with more children at home receive less total support. There are two possible explanations for this. First, children living outside of the parental household may be less likely to contribute to the household while other children, their brothers and sisters, are still living at home and are able to help out on a daily basis. Second, children who come from household with more children still residing at home are likely to be younger and, therefore, may be less able to provide assistance. There continues to be a moderate relationship between the amount of land worked and the number of children within the household (beta=.22). The more land a household works the more children will be living within the household. The Social Mobility theory would lead us to conclude that the relationship between land and the number of children is caused by the opportunities for increased wealth, including wealth in land, created by children. However, it is possible that the direction of causation is quite the opposite, that is, more land leads to more children (Cain, 1985). The relationships between level of education attained by the household head and both the number of children residing 52 in and out of the household drop to near zero. The level of education attained by the household head does not account for any variation in either the number of children within the household or the number of children outside of the household. It seems likely that age explains much of the original relationship we observed, since age and education are fairly strongly correlated (r=-.26). Older household heads not only have less formal education. but also have more children residing outside of the household. This explains the spurious relationship observed earlier between education and the number of children residing outside of the parental household. The age of the head of household similarly explains the relationship between education and the number of children within the household. The relationship between level of education and the average distance of children from the parental household remains much the same and in fact increases slightly when controlling for the other factors in the model (beta=-.14). Children.of more educated household heads tend to live farther from the household. We can surmise that this may be due to the fact that highly educated household heads are more likely to educate their children and that more educated children migrate farther from home in pursuit of their education or in search of work in the urban sector. Not surprisingly, the gender of the head of household affects the level of education obtained (beta=.-28) as well 53 as the amount of land worked (beta=-.15). The relationship between theigender of head of household and the amount of land worked may account for the disappearance of the relationship between education and the amount of land worked. Because women have less access to both education and land, in the bi- variate analysis it appears that those with more education have more land. In actuality, when controlling for gender, we find that education does not influence the amount of land worked. In addition, the gender of the head of household is also related to the number of children residing within the household (beta=-.18) . Therefore, female household heads have fewer children within the household. This may be due to a lower level of fertility in the absence of a regular male partner, or to the tendency for such households to be headed by older, widowed women whose children have long since left home. Finally, the relationship between the gender of the head of household and total support drops to near zero and becomes insignificant. Again, the original bi-variate relationship may have been due to the tendency of female heads of households to be older widows. Therefore, when controlling for age, the relationship disappears. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS This paper has explored the assumption that children contribute to the social and economic well-being of their parents. Our findings support this assumption, although the focus of attention was only on the frequency of support provided by Rwandan children once they leave the parental household. In Rwanda, as well as in many other African countries, where wealth flows in the direction of parents, where social security is almost non-existent, and where upward mobility is limited, more children may indeed be a sensible survival strategy. In short, this study confirms the economic value of children, but goes a step farther by specifying how and to whom this support is provided. Special attention has been given to the importance of intergenerational support, and the degree to which it varies in relation to the number of children living within and outside of the household, the distance between households, and individual characteristics of parents and their children. The frequency and type of support provided by children is closely linked to the individual characteristics of the children, and thereby provides support for the social mobility hypothesis. By having more children, a household can diversify its sources of income and increase its wealth and social status. 54 55 The key determinants of total support given to the parental household were found to be 1) the number of children residing outside of the household--the more children outside of the household the more support received, 2) the number of children residing inside of the household--the more children in the household the less support received, 3) the proximity of children to the household--the greater the distance the less support received, and 4) the age of the head of household--older heads of households received more frequent support. Although we found that the age of the head of household was directly related to the total support received, this was only a weak relationship. A stronger relationship was found between the number children outside the household and total support received. Therefore, the number of children residing outside of the household was found to be the most important determinant of the level of support received by the household. These findings indicate that while children do provide more frequent support to older heads of households, old age in itself does not guarantee increased support. Successfully rearing more children and sending them outside of the household increases total support regardless of the age of head of household. Furthermore, the amount of support received increases proportionally with each additional child living outside of the household. In other words, there does not appear to be 56 a diminishing return to support received from each child as the number of children contributing increases. This finding is limited, however, by the fact.that the data do not estimate the economic value of the support provided.and.because support from children residing within the household is not measured. The fact that children not only provide old-age support but also serve to increase the well-being of the household and provide a means of social mobility prior to this stage in the life cycle lends support to the Wealth Flows hypothesis. Wealth Flows theory in essence combines the ideas of old-age support. and social mobility' by' suggesting' that. children provide a flow of wealth to their parents throughout their lifetimes. However, no support was found for Caldwell's hypothesis that education reverses the flow of wealth. Given the limited number of children who attain higher levels of education in Rwanda, it is quite possible that the influence of mass Western-style education has not, as yet, taken hold in this case. 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