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I .5. .y. 1:: A ‘ .I II; P (1.: ‘ I)... v»? )., MICHIGAN sure u I Hi 1:21:11 Im“Mimi/W 93 00904 8 78] ll W 3 This is to certify that the dissertation entitled The Multidimensionality of Organizational Change: Developing and Testing Models of Change in Organizations presented by Parshotam Dass has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph,D. degree in Management Policy & Strategy ////M@L V Major professor Date May 2]., 1993 MSU is an Affirmative Aclirm /I-_‘qual Opportunity Institution 0-12771 ' LIBRARY W Michigan State University K; J PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. To AVOID FINES return on or before date due. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE MSU Is An Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution eWDmG-o.‘ THE MULTIDIMENSIONALITY OF ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE: DEVELOPING AND TESTING MODELS OF CHANGE IN ORGANIZATIONS By Parshotam Dass A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Management 1993 Cohei due [I Chang COrpO COM‘ nuflfid ABSTRACT THE MULTIDIMENSIONALITY OF ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE: DEVELOPING AND TESTING MODELS OF CHANGE IN ORGANIZATIONS By Parshotam Dass The research findings on organizational change have not generated a coherent body of knowledge. This study postulated that this has been partly due to neglecting distinctions among different dimensions of organizational change. Using multiwave data of over 700 national and international business corporations registered on stock-exchanges in the United States from COMPUSTAT II and Value Line DataFile, this study examined the issue of multidimensionality of change in organizations. Two variables of organizational change were studied: change in product diversity from 1978- 1990, and change in international geographic diversity of organizations from 1984—1990. Four dimensions of organizational change were identified: increment, relatedness, pervasiveness, and direction. These four dimensions of change generated four dependent variables in the study: degree of dramatic change, degree of related change, degree of pervasive change, and convergent ch dc tfis va lus ire cha fiou on; org; dran Shhi dcgn ChanJ theh Organ change, respectively. Hypotheses regarding the relationships between the four dependent variables of change and a variety of independent variables were tested using hierarchical regression and probit analysis. The independent variables included sources of change depicting attributes of organizational history, strategic choice, performance, and environment. The results of this study indicated that the four dimensions of change were not strongly correlated with one another. Therefore, organizational change could not be treated as unidimensional. Different dimensions were found to have different patterns of association with the correlates of organizational change. For example, in the case of change in product diversity, organizational performance had a negative relationship with the degree of dramatic change and a U-shaped relationship with convergent change. Similarly, environmental munificence had a negative relationship with the degree of related change whereas it had a positive relationship with convergent change. The study provided no support for a generic model of change across the two variables of change: product and international geographic diversity in organizations. The primary contribution of this study is that it has laid a foundation for dimensionalizing organizational change. Future research can consider other variables, dimensions, and sources of change to build upon these findings to help researchers evolve a coherent and cumulative body of knowledge on organizational change. Copyright by IMARSflHDTV¥NlILASS 1993 Dedicated to my parents and sister and to the memory of my brother proc: contr Mike me [0 deceplll WOIVes_ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This dissertation represents completion of one phase of a continuing process of learning. It has been a fascinating experience for me that involved contributions of many people. First of all, my gratitude is to the members of my Dissertation Committee, Mike Moch, John Wagner, and Larry Stimpert. Mike Moch, my mentor, and Chair of the Dissertation Committee, introduced me to theory development on organizations. He shared with me the challenging task of developing sophisticated models that could be empirically tested. With his great sense of humor and patience for dealing with ambiguity, he walked with me through the jungles. He provided me with the compass and the torch and made sure I was using them. It was especially important because I (and he too) was not interested in choosing the places just because they were brightly lit. Not only did he take care of my professional development during the course of my program, but he also watched for the rain and the sun over my head to enable me to reach my full potential. John Wagner introduced me to a wide range of perspectives and gave me the independence to choose my own. He taught me that appearances could be deceptive, and that rigorous inquiry would be my tool for dancing with the wolves. He equipped me with the eyes of a hawk for my journeys. Larry vi Su‘ exj coi ha‘ b6! 2“: to co: stu in int We Stimpert helped me sharpen my insights by allowing me to draw upon experiences and treasures of his recent similar journeys. His know—how and collegiality have been invaluable to me in my endeavors. Besides the Dissertation Committee members, other faculty members have contributed to my rich experience at Michigan State University. It has been a great privilege to work with Dan Ilgen who prepared me in the science, art and craft of conducting research. Not only do I appreciate him for his guidance and expertise but also for his kindness and generosity. I am grateful to John Hollenbeck for allowing me to benefit from his great research methods competence. I thank the other faculty members, staff, and fellow doctoral students in the department for their companionship that made me feel at home in East Lansing during the ups and downs that are common in the life of international students. I would also like to acknowledge the contribution of other people who were very helpful to me in different ways during my doctoral program. Therefore I thank Professors Bruce Allen, Richard Hill, and Stanley Stark. David Mendez answered many challenging questions on quantitative methods. Manjit Virdi was very supportive in the dissertation and other projects in my virtual and physical journeys. I also thank Sue Polhamus, Kathy Mullins, and Lonnie Herman, staff members in the department, who pleasantly facilitated me all the time. Faye Becky, Business Librarian, and Consultants in the Computer vii Center services Univert Vidhay prograi prepar. I woul Harbh my lh. Unive me to Wife‘ is hai to 0U impo Why Center at Michigan State University are appreciated for their very professional services. Thanks are also due to computer consultants Melora Ghoosey of the University of Michigan, Peter Luan of Arizona State University, and Naneera Vidhayasirin of the University of Illinois for their aid in computer programming. I owe an immense gratitude to my earlier teachers and friends who prepared me for the challenges of a career in research and teaching. Therefore, I would like to thank Professors P. N. Chowdhury, Sukhdev Singh Gill, Harbhajan S. Kehal, and D. R. Singh. I also take this opportunity to express my thanks for the faculty members, staff, and doctoral students at the University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas, for their support that allowed me to complete this dissertation in time. Last and most important of all, there is one person, my best friend and wife, Veena, whose contributions are so intertwined with those of mine that it is hard for me to delineate the boundaries. I appreciate her love and dedication to our life-long relationship. All of these experiences would have been impossible without the dreams and courage of our other family members, that is why this effort is dedicated to them. viii III. IV, II. III. IV. TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1: Introduction ........................... .1 Chapter 2: Review of Literature ....................... 8 A. The Sources of Persistence and Change in Organizations .............................. 9 1. Organizational Inertia, Stability, or Persistence .......................... 10 2. Organizational Change and Adaptation ........... 14 3. Organizational Performance ................. 23 B. The Process of Change ........................ 25 C. Integrating the Perspectives .................. 29 D. Gaps in Existing Literature ...................... 34 Chapter 3: Conceptual Framework and Hypotheses .......... 36 A. The Process of Change ........................ 37 1. Dimensions of Organizational Change ........... 40 B. The Dimensions of Change and Their Correlates ........ 47 1. Organizational Size ...................... 48 2. System Coupling ........................ 51 3. Environmental Munificence ................. 53 4. Environmental Dynamism .................. 54 5. Asset Specificity ........................ 55 6. Organizational Risk Taken .................. 57 7. Organizational Resources ................... 59 8. Organizational Performance ................. 61 9. Interactions ........................... 64 Chapter 4: Methods ............................. 69 A. The Sample ............................... 70 B. Variables and Their Measurement .................. 72 1. Dependent Variables ...................... 72 2. Independent Variables ..................... 80 ix VI. VII . C. Statistical Analysis ........................... 86 1. Power Analysis ......................... 86 2. Data Analysis .......................... 87 Chapter 5: Results .............................. 89 A. Matrix of Correlations ......................... 90 B. Factor Analyses ............................. 94 C. Regression and Probit Analyses .................. 100 1. An Overview ......................... 100 2 Degree of Dramatic Change ................ 102 3. Degree of Related Change ................. 115 4. Degree of Pervasive Change ................ 123 5 Convergent Change ..................... 130 Chapter 6: Discussion ........................... 143 A. Summary of Findings ........................ 144 B. Limitations of the Study ....................... 156 C. Contributions of the Study ..................... 162 List of References ............................... 167 Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6 Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 LIST OF TABLES Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Dimensions of Change in Product Diversity ................... 91 Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Dimensions of Change in International Diversity ................ 92 Factor Analysis of Measures of Change in Product Diversity ................................. 95 Factor Analysis of Measures of Change in International Diversity ......................... 96 Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Independent Variables of Change in Product Diversity ............. 98 Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Independent Variables of Change in International Diversity .......... 99 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Dramatic Change in Product Diversity ....... 103 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Dramatic Change in International Diversity ................................ 105 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Related Change in Product Diversity ........ 116 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Related Change in International Diversity ..... 117 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Pervasive Change in Product Diversity ....... 124 xi Tablc Table Table Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Results of Hierarchical Regression Analysis of Degree of Pervasive Change in International Diversity ................................ 126 Results of Probit Analysis for Convergent Change in Product Diversity ........................... 131 Results of Probit Analysis for Convergent Change in International Diversity ........................ 132 xii Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure I:igure I:lgure Pigm-e I:lgllre ] Figure 1 Figure 1 FiEUre I: Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure 1 2 3 Figure 10 Figure 11 Figure 12 Figure 13 LIST OF FIGURES Incremental-Dramatic Change .................... 41 Related-Unrelated Change ...................... 43 Piecemeal-Pervasive Change ..................... 45 Convergent-Divergent Change .................... 46 Organizational Size and Degree of Dramatic Change in Product Diversity ......................... 108 Organizational Size and Degree of Dramatic Change in International Diversity ...................... 109 Organizational Resources and Degree of Dramatic Change in International Diversity ...................... 111 Interaction of Performance and Dynamism, and Degree of Dramatic Change in Product Diversity ....... 114 Performance and Degree of Related Change in Product Diversity ......................... 119 Organizational Size and Degree of Related Change in International Diversity ...................... 122 Organizational Size and Degree of Pervasive Change in Product Diversity ......................... 128 Performance and Convergent Change in Product Diversity ......................... 134 Performance and Convergent Change in International Diversity ...................... 136 xiii Figm Figur Figure 14 Organizational Size and Convergent Change in International Diversity ...................... 138 Figure 15 Organizational Resources and Convergent Change in International Diversity ...................... 140 xiv Chapter 1 Introduction evol inco attn'l iden' SOUn Organizational persistence and change are of immense theoretical and practical significance (Pettigrew, 1987). The question of persistence versus change is posed in different disciplines in several ways (Van de Ven & Poole, 1988). In organizational studies, it has been a central point for many years (Romanelli & Tushman, 1986). The research findings have not, however, evolved into a coherent body of knowledge (Ginsberg, 1988). In this study, the incoherence of the research findings and their limited usefulness in practice is attributed to considering organizational change as unidimensional. This study identifies multiple dimensions of organizational change and relates them to sources of change. The objective of this study is to test multidimensionality of organizational change. Two variables namely, change in product diversity and change in international diversity of organizations are examined in the study. Sources of change such as organizational performance, industry environment, and strategic choice are considered and their relationships with multiple dimensions of change are tested. It is expected that the dimensions of change will be weakly correlated with one another. The dimensions of change are likely to have different correlates, or different patterns of association with their correlates. In other words, different dimensions are expected to have different models of change. However, a generic model is expected to apply to change in product and international diversity of organizations. 2 P persister (Roman: conceptu Child. 11 1980). ( factor the Tushman. Organizati 3 Previous research on organizations has covered three broad sources of persistence and change: inertia and history, environment, and strategic choice (Romanelli & Tushman, 1986). These correlates of change have been conceptualized in a wide range of organizational theories (e. g., Boeker, 1989; Child, 1972; DiMaggio & Powell, 1983; Hannan & Freeman, 1989; Scherer, 1980). Organizational performance, though relatively understudied, is another factor that is a cause of change in organizations (Ginsberg, 1988; Romanelli & Tushman, 1986). Performance can influence subsequent changes in organizations. Various models of organizational change have been analyzed in previous research. Basically, these are models of evolutionary and revolutionary change (T ushman & Romanelli, 1985; Nelson & Winter, 1982). However, finer distinctions can be made using piecemeal and pervasive change, and incremental and dramatic change (Johnson, 1987; Lindblom, 1968; Miller, 1982; Quinn, 1980). Other suggested models involve first-, second-, and third- order change (Bartunek & Moch, 1987; Moch & Bartunek, 1990; Watzlawick, Weakland, & Fisch, 1974) and alpha, beta, and gamma change (Golembiewski, Billingsley, & Yeager, 1976). Moreover, organizations experience convergent and divergent change (Mintzberg & McHugh, 1985; Pettigrew, 1985, 1987; Tushman & Romanelli, 1985) and related and unrelated change (Rumelt, 1974; Palepu, 1985). ( mQMm change : isolated change a organiza Studying general i cases res dfifingufi Pcrforma DOSlllVel) Fombr‘un fimfingsi 4 Organizational change is most frequently studied in terms of its magnitude (i.e., more change or less change). Usually researchers analyze change in a generic form; sometimes they analyze one attribute of it in an isolated manner. In other words, most studies implicitly treat organizational change as unidimensional in nature. Few studies consider the possibility that organizational change may be multidimensional (Miller & Friesen, 1984). Studying generic change or individual processes of change gives researchers 3 general idea of the phenomenon of change in organizations. However, in these cases researchers may study different processes of change without distinguishing them from one another. For example, consider the influence of performance on organizational change: change has been found to vary positively, negatively, and curvilinearly with performance (Baum, 1990; Fombrun & Ginsberg, 1986; Ginsberg, 1988). Consequently, the research findings in this area cannot be accumulated over time. However, if change is considered in dimensional terms (e. g., take direction as a dimension of change in any variable) two processes of change can be differentiated: (a) convergent change or when an organization makes changes in the same direction and (b) divergent change or when an organization alters the direction of change. Using this perspective, it can be hypothesized that high-performing organizations make more convergent change, whereas low-performing organizations make more divergent change. Similarly, diffen drama dimen. unsucc results. lead to l of Chan,- differen' in organ full unde studied i] pr 0Ccsses Greenwm Change ra more dran 5 differentiation between incremental change and piecemeal change and between dramatic change and pervasive change can be made by considering change in dimensional terms. A researcher studying generic change in successful and unsuccessful organizations will come up with insignificant or inconsistent results. Therefore, distinguishing among dimensions makes more sense and can lead to resolving inconsistencies in research on organizational change. Further, the processes of change have been isolated from the dimensions of change. Previous research has sought to compare the effectiveness of different strategies of change to find universally successful strategies of change in organizations (Miller & Friesen, 1982). However, if theorists are to gain a full understanding of organizational evolution the processes of change must be studied in relation to their contexts (Pettigrew, 1987). It is likely that different processes of change grow out of different sources of change (I-Iinings & Greenwood, 1988), in effect, a "switching mechanism" triggers one kind of change rather than another. For example, low performance is likely to lead to more dramatic and pervasive change but low related and convergent change. Similarly, environmental dynamism is expected to influence degree of dramatic change, but not other processes of change. Therefore, it is necessary: (a) to identify different dimensions of change that correspond to different processes of change in organizations, and distinguish them from one another and (b) to relate these dimensions to their correlates so as to associate the processes of change to their .- an isol proces range t range 13 CXpectel diversit) intemati ln Organizat “1656 di r organizan' of Organjz (b) envim, envimnmel their sources. Rather than posing the questions of sources and processes of change in an isolated manner, I develop and test models of change that relate different processes of change with their sources. The purpose is to look for middle- range theories and examine their boundary conditions. The models are middle- range because they recognize multiple processes of change. However, they are expected to be generic enough to apply to change in the following kinds of diversity in organizations: change in product diversity and change in international diversity. In this study, I identify the following four dimensions of change in organizations: increment, relatedness, pervasiveness, and direction of change. These dimensions are then related to the following sources of change in organizations: (a) organizational size and system coupling which reflect effects of organizational inertia and history (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990); (b) environmental munificence and dynamism which manifest organizational environments (Dess & Beard, 1984); (c) asset specificity, organizational risk, and organizational resources (Hill & Hansen, 1991; Huff, Huff, & Thomas, 1989; Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990), which signify strategic choice; and (d) financial performance of the organization which represents organizational performance and feedback. This study is expected to contribute to a better understanding of the phenon literatu: the basi change 4, resea Chapter their iml 7 phenomena of organizational change and evolution in organizations. The literature is reviewed in Chapter 2 to ground this study in sound research. On the basis of extant theory in organization studies, a framework of organizational change is proposed in Chapter 3, where hypotheses are also given. In Chapter 4, research methods used to test the proposed hypotheses are presented. Chapter 5 offers results of the study. Finally, a summary of the findings and their implications for future research are drawn in Chapter 6. Chapter 2 Review of Literature ln1 reviewed. models of understan. this study In this chapter, the literature on sources and processes of change is reviewed. Also, how the sources and processes of change are integrated into models of change in organizations is considered. The objectives are to understand extant theory, to find gaps in literature, and to address these gaps in this study. THE SOURCES OF PERSISTENCE AND CHANGE IN ORGANIZATIONS Broadly, two perspectives dominate how organizational evolution has been regarded in organizational studies and related disciplines. The first can be described as organizational inertia, stability or persistence, and the second can be termed organizational change and adaptation. These perspectives have drawn their ideas from fields as diverse as biology and political science, but neither one is a homogeneous stream of ideas, which may be due to their diverse origins. These perspectives are examined to explicate what they have and have not contributed to our understanding of organizational change. The reviewed literature has been chosen from the areas closely related to organization theory and strategic management. The goals of this review were to understand how the issues have been addressed in the past and to lay the basis for a more systematic framework for the study of change in organizations. 9 Organic Or 1986). T survival. selection tradition 1977, 19' organizat fOundatic and 0916, Carroll, organizat 10 Organizational Inertia, Stability and Persistence Organizations often have been characterized as "organisms" (Morgan, 1986). This metaphor reflects that organizations have life cycles and need for survival. Organizational births and deaths have been attributed to natural selection and to notions such as "the survival of the fittest.” Studies in the tradition of natural selection, or population ecology (Hannan and Freeman, 1977, 1984) provided the foundations for how this approach is applicable to organizational studies. This research included studies of organizational foundations and mortality of American labor unions (Hannan & Freeman, 1988) and other populations of organizations. Other studies (e. g., Aldrich, 1979; Carroll, 1988) extended this approach to more diverse populations of organizations. Other variants of this approach can be found in organizational systematics (McKelvey, 1982) and in community ecology (Astley, 1984). These approaches give preeminence to the forces of environment that are thought to ”select out" organizational forms that are not well suited to it. It is proposed in these studies that the forces of history dominate the organizations; therefore, the organizations keep the same patterns of activities (Romanelli & Tushman, 1986; Stinchcombe, 1965) that they had at the time of their founding. Organizations, according to this view, are like species, have their life cycles; the individual organizations cannot adapt to their environments; they either survive o successfu The fit c: enhanced the unit I relate to time. A. as well a Se haV'e dis: lhe ecolc inhibitinl COrporat. T. entry, e) 1982). 1 diScjpum incl-Cage attache d PIESCn-be want to b 11 survive or die. If they die, other organizations replace them, and these new successful organizations are expected to have a better fit with the environment. The fit cannot be significantly enhanced by the organization’s activities; it is enhanced only by the ecology of the organization’s founding. In these studies, the unit of analysis is at the population level, and the changes that are discussed relate to foundings, mortality, niche width, and so on, that take place over time. Additionally, the influences of history and environments include internal as well as external sources of inertia in organizations. Several researchers (e. g., Ginsberg, 1988, Tushman & Romanelli, 1985) have discussed the influences that lead to inertia in organizations. Apart from the ecological approaches, other perspectives have also contributed to the inhibiting role of various factors. These factors could be at the industry, corporate, business unit, functional, or individual level in the organizations. The theorists in the field of industrial organization economics analyze the entry, exit and mobility barriers (Caves & Porter, 1977; Harrigan, 1981; Yip, 1982). According to some, industry concentration, market power, industry discipline (Porter, 1980, 1985; Scherer, 1980) tend to keep the status-quo and increase inertia at the strategic group level or industry level. There are costs attached to all changes within or between industries. Some researchers prescribe that the companies should follow a consistent strategy if they don’t want to be stuck in the middle (Porter, 1980). Ort the impor times of I and predic and effect 1958; Thc inertial tei & Dunkei Additiona c("l‘lDiexit reSearch z inferenCe behavim. To in Strateg & FrieSet 1985; HQ their Env consistEn institufio‘ ZUCkEr’ 12 Organization and management theory abounds in studies that emphasize the importance of work rationalization, routinization and simplification from the times of Taylor and Fayol. Such an emphasis calls for stability, consistency, and predictability for coordination and control in the workplace for efficiency and effectiveness of organizations (Cyert & March, 1963; March & Simon, 1958; Thompson, 1967; Watson, 1969). Other researchers have attributed inertial tendencies in organizations to political and ideological structures (Clegg & Dunkerley, 1980; Edwards, 1979; Marglin, 1974; Pettigrew, 1973). Additionally, studies from Weber to the present point out that increasing complexity in organizations decreases innovation and creativity. Streams of research at Aston, and others (e. g., Blau & Schoenherr, 1971), also support the inference that increasing bureaucratization tends to decrease entrepreneurial behavior in organizations, and reinforces inertia and resistance to change. To be successful, organizations should follow one kind of configuration in strategy, structure, reward and control systems (Miles & Snow, 1978; Miller & Friesen, 1980a). Contingency and consistency approaches (Donaldson, 1985; Hofer, 1975) focus on compatibilities of organizations within and outside their environments. The economic and institutional environments demand consistencies within organizations and between organizations and their institutional infrastructure (DiMaggio & Powell, 1983; Meyer & Rowan, 1977; Zucker, 1983). These consistencies lead to rigidities in organizations that discourage Greenwoo committed (Staw & R reinforce c thereby de Ald conditions internal c. inttrnal c beCOmi n g more hor conditior commitn and re 3‘ 13 discourage future changes (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990; Hinings & Greenwood, 1988). At the individual level, executives and managers become committed to their decisions which results in an escalation of commitment (Staw & Ross, 1987). All these processes develop their own life and can reinforce earlier strategies, structures, and other patterns in organizations, thereby decreasing the incentives or pressures for change (Huff & Huff, 1990). Aldrich and Auster (1986) have discussed the internal and external conditions that increase inertia or resistance to change. They enumerated four internal conditions: the founders’ or entrepreneurs’ retention of control, higher internal consistency for better coordination and control, power relations becoming stronger that resist change, and organizational members becoming more homogeneous in their assumptions and perceptions. The external conditions that they focused on are: organizational and interorganizational commitments to continue old practices; legal protections (e. g., patents, tariffs, and regulations); dependencies on other organizations and their control; and industry characteristics (Aldrich & Auster, 1986). Other sources of inertia may include organizational myths, ideologies, or cultures (Clark, 1972; Mitroff & Kilmann, 1976); organizational learning, and defense routines (Argyris, 1985, 1987). Furthermore, the leaders in the organization may not register environmental changes that are inconsistent or threatening (Hedberg, Nystrom, & Starbuck, 1976; Starbuck, Greve, & Hedberg, 1978). All organizatic inertia. Tl patterns, d that are re inconsister case, man: opportunit organizati: organizati Harman (g 1979; Gla Organiu Th are SeVer liter-atUre Or Eaniza. SOurCeS ( Citojce V' and “We . 14 All the factors mentioned above lead researchers to believe that organizational activity patterns will persist over time due to organizational inertia. Therefore, organizations will largely reflect their earlier activity patterns, despite changes in the environment and management. In the systems that are relatively more tightly coupled, changes in a subsystem could lead to inconsistencies within a system resulting in organizational dysfunction. In this case, management is likely to delay changes and may wait for a better opportunity for change. The result is increased continuity and persistence in organizations. Other factors that contribute to organizational inertia are organizational size (Aldrich & Auster, 1986; Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990; Hannan & Freeman, 1977; Huff et al., 1989) and system coupling (Aldrich, 1979; Glassman, 1973; Thompson, 1967; Weick, 1976). Organizational Change and Adaptation The second perspective is that of change. Within this perspective, there are several approaches. Organization theory and strategic management literatures are replete with theories that propose different sources of change in organizations. Two distinct streams of ideas can be found regarding the sources of organizational change: the environmental view, and the strategic choice view. These are referred to as the weak-organization theory perspective and the strong-organization theory perspective, respectively (Smircich & Stubbart, i or individu l. The R0 The organizatio organizatio Population organizatio an extreme Similarly, Studies PFC i(16213 is th: YESOUrces. achieve,“e This may the ec0001 \ l 0t} Lg ( M dej Ins Po 15 Stubbart, 1985). All these forces pressure the organizations (Ginsberg, 1988) or individuals to change (Huff & Huff, 1990). l. The Role of Environment The environment has long been considered a source of variance for organizations. It is a source of strategic inertia. It can also be a source for organizational change. This view can be drawn from many theories. The population ecology view recognizes the influences of environment on organizations (Aldrich, 1979). In fact, the ecological approaches may represent an extreme form of environmental determinism (T ushman & Romanelli, 1985). Similarly, the structural-functional systems, and other theories in organization studies provide support for environmental influences.‘ The premise of these ideas is that organizations are dependent on their environments for critical resources. Because organizations are "rational instruments for goal achievement," they try to adapt themselves according to their environments. This may help the organizations to gain needed resources and legitimacy from the economic, social, and institutional forces (DiMaggio & Powell, 1983) for their survival and growth. ‘ Other theories include contingency theory (Lawrence & Lorsch, 1967; Burns & Stalker, 1961), neo-contingency ideas (Miles & Snow, 1978; Snow & Hrebiniak, 1980), resource dependence approach (Pfeffer & Salancik, 1978), and institutional factors (Meyer & Rowan, 1977; DiMaggio & Powell, 1983). Li 1971) ha. opportuni (1985, 19 power am and institt ofchange: research b (Mintzberg Associates discuss hm lndu Paradigm o the market . 16 Likewise, the traditional model of strategic management (e.g., Andrews, 1971) has focused on how organizations scan their environments for opportunities and threats so they can formulate strategies. Fligstein’s studies (1985, 1987) on organizations that adopt multidivisional structures and shift of power among various organizational functions historically attest to the economic and institutional explanations of organization theory. In a like way, the studies of changes at the Imperial Chemical Industries (ICI) (Pettigrew, 1985), and research by Miller and Friesen (1980b, 1982), Mintzberg and Associates (Mintzberg, 1978; Mintzberg & McHugh, 1985), and Nadler, Tushman, and Associates (Nadler & Tushman, 1989, 1990; Tushman & Anderson, 1986) all discuss how organizations adapt to their environments. Industrial organization economics has been based on Mason-Bain’s paradigm of market structure, conduct, and performance. Under this paradigm, the market structure is a given. If rational strategic conduct is assumed, all firms and their managements will analyze the objective environment of the industry. Therefore, market structure was considered to determine organizational performance.2 The vast literature in industrial organization economics testifies to the importance of market structure. It also indicates that 2 Though more recently, there have been changes in the paradigm whereby the influence of conduct on performance is also taken into consideration. This point is considered in detail in the following sections on strategic choice. the interi because ( competiti on the m: 1980). T A1: in their (1 increasing environml change in Tu organizati C€lrtnot ali 17 the interindustry and intraindustry structure do not remain static at all times because of following influences: new entries, exits, conduct, the intensity of competition, industry life cycles, and performance of the competing companies on the market structure (Caves & Porter, 1977; Porter, 1980, 1985; Scherer, 1980). Thus, these industry trends demand change in organizations. Also, studies of national and multinational corporations making changes in their domestic and global strategies and structures because of the ever- increasing international competition offer support for the major role that environment plays. Together, all these studies lead to the conclusion that change in an organization is a result of the environment. Tushman and Romanelli (1985) suggested two ways in which organizational environments may cause changes. First, if the organization cannot align within itself and with the environment, this problem will lead to continuous low performance. Therefore, the organization cannot sustain itself without changing. Second, various spheres of the environment, for example, economic (input, product, market, labor), social, legal, political, institutional, and technological may undergo transformation, resulting in the misalignment of organization-environment relationships. This misalignment will precipitate changes in the organization so that it again can have a good fit with its environment. The changes may take place according to the product life cycle, business cycle, or in stochastic processes (Scherer, 1980). 2. The] F industria The indu paradigrr firm and structure. Schendel. the firms Similar m; This idea an industr- The March, 19. orgartizatio ConseClUEfnt the Obiecu'v 18 2. The Role of Strategic Choice For a long time, researchers who used the Mason-Bain paradigm of industrial organization economics, ignored the importance of a firm’s conduct. The industry was considered to be homogeneous. However, in the revised paradigm, theorists have given more importance to the conduct (strategy) of the firm and how conduct may influence the firm’s performance and the market structure. Studies of strategic groups in different industries (e.g., Hatten, Schendel, & Cooper, 1978; Harrigan, 1985) have brought the point home. All the firms in an industry do not behave or change in the same way, or even in a similar manner. They follow different strategies for performance and change. This idea leads to the critical question: What are the sources of variation within an industry? The theorists of the Carnegie School (March & Simon, 1958; Cyert & March, 1963) pointed out that there may be "bounded rationality" in organizations, particularly when ambiguity and uncertainty are high. Consequently, in such cases, managers cannot know all there is to know about the objective environment, and they can’t process all the information that is available. Therefore, they make choices that are based on their selective perception, cognition, retention, and decision making (March & Olsen, 1976). There may be other constraints on managers’ "knowing the objective environment”, that is, if it is actually ”out there”. The tradition of anthro‘ Variou 1986) 1 color t1 and Sin idea that the idea: together managen even enat Such actit SU‘ategy n managemé Significant. The (BourgeOis1 studies on t. Chara“Cristi have ad ded t Friedland’ 1e organizations 19 anthropological studies has always drawn attention to the "native views." Various metaphors of organizations (e. g., cultures, psychic prisons) (Morgan, 1986) have shown that organizations may have unique characteristics that can color the members’ perceptions of their environments. For instance, March and Simon (1958) alluded to the role of "dominant management coalitions” an idea that was developed by Cyert and March (1963). Child (1972) integrated the ideas of dominant coalitions and their strategic choices, and he showed how together they influence the survival or performance of the firms. In addition, managers may act on the basis of their perceived environment, or they may even enact their own environment (Smircich & Stubbart, 1985 ; Weick, 1979). Such action may best be described in terms of Chaffee’s (1985) interpretive strategy rather than adaptive strategy or linear strategy. Therefore, management characteristics, perceptions, discretion, and choices are expected to significantly influence the strategic change in organizations. The influence of strategic choice has been well recognized by researchers (Bourgeois, 1984; Miles & Snow, 1978; Schendel & Hofer, 1979). Many studies on the role of boards of directors; executive leaders; and the characteristics, orientations, tenure, discretion, and succession of such leaders have added to the empirical evidence of this perspective. For example, Palmer, Friedland, Jennings, and Powers (1987) reported that the ownership of organizations by families and banks influence the organizations’ adoption of the multidivis economic cxplanatior organizati< Hat 20 multidivisional (M-form) organization structure. The findings gave evidence of economic and political explanations of organizational behavior. This explanation is consistent with Fligstein’s (1985, 1987) results of testing various organization theories that provide support for economic and power theories. Hambrick and Mason (1984) conceptualized that organizations reflected the choices of top management. They developed ”the upper-echelons perspective," which pointed out the complexities and problems of studies that showed the unimportance of chief executive officers (e.g., Lieberson & O’Conner, 1972). They emphasized that background characteristics of top- management teams and dominant coalitions partly determined the organization’s strategic choices and performance outcomes. This perspective has been supported conceptually (Hambrick & Finkelstein, 1987) and empirically (e. g., Chaganti & Sambharya, 1987; Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990). Also, Goodstein and Boeker (1991) analyzed the effects that changes in an organization’s ownership, its board of directors, and its top management have on the process of strategic change. Similarly, Nadler, Tushman, & Associates focused on how executive leaders influence strategic changes in organizations (Nadler & Tushman, 1988, 1990; Tushman, Newman, & Romanelli, 1986; Virany & Tushman, 1986). Additionally, Day and Lord (1988) reviewed the literature on influences of executive succession and argued that it can explain 20-45 percent of variance in organizational outcomes. Other researchers 21 analyzed managers’ orientation, specialization, and experience (Gupta & Govindarajan, 1984; Govindarajan, 1989; Fligstein, 1985, 1987), and personal characteristics (e.g., Miller, Droge, & Toulouse, 1988). They reported that these attributes influence strategic choices of managers in organizations. Research on strategic management in the last two decades illustrates that strategic choices of managements are reflected in terms of several variables. These variables are likely to be good candidates for influencing persistence and change in organizations. For example, management commitment to current strategy and investments in specific assets augment inertia in organizations (Huff et al., 1989). Such a tendency inclines organizations to momentum rather than change. Williamson (1975, 1985) has attached a great deal of importance to asset specificity in influencing strategic decision-making by executives in organizations. Similarly other researchers (e. g., Montgomery & Wernerfelt, 1988; Wernerfelt, 1989) have studied links between nature of assets and corporate strategies in organizations. It is argued that more specific assets constrain managements to limited options whereas more general assets allow managers to take advantage of a wide range of opportunities (Chatterjee & Wernerfelt, 1991). The level of organizational resources and slack in organizations has also been receiving increased attention in strategic management (e. g., Huff et al., 1989; Lundberg, 1984; Sharfman, Wolf, Chase, & T ansik, 1988; Singh, 1986). A high 1e whereas it making ch organizath strategic o Anc deals with organizatio liSk and re Set/era] res 1982, 1984 have COntri‘ differ”! sti 1n Sh Strategies, 5 1962; Child resourcCS, L organizafim Changes in ( 22 A high level of organizational slack decreases the motivation for change, whereas it makes change more feasible by providing resources needed for making change possible (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990). Therefore, organizational resources are likely to play a critical and a complex role in strategic organizational changes. Another very interesting stream of research in strategic management deals with the relationships of risk-taking, strategies, and performance in organizations. Since Bowman’s study (1980) of negative relationship between risk and return, there has been a considerable debate over these relationships. Several researchers (e.g., Bettis, 1981, 1983; Bettis & Hall, 1982; Bowman, 1982, 1984; Fiegenbaum & Thomas, 1988; Hoskisson, Hitt, & Hill, 1991) have contributed to the understanding that different levels of risk lead to different strategies of change in organizations. In short, the dominant coalitions make strategic choices regarding strategies, structures, and processes that their organizations follow (Chandler, 1962; Child, 1972). These choices influence the deployment of organizational resources, use of different types of assets, and decisions about risk taking in organizations. In turn, these choices and decisions result in different kinds of changes in organizations (Huff et al., 1989). Organi I strategic in orgar perform (Mintzb High- ar Strategic perform; Pancms Tl 0f Slack . have hi g1 t1‘9"] to a high‘PCrf DCrcepfiO I)Utton, 1 low Perfo in the Tag organllatii 0r - ganlzam 23 Organizational Performance Apart from the influences of origin and history, environment, and strategic choice, another variable that is also likely to exert influence on change in organizations is the organizational performance. Most of the studies treat performance as a dependent variable but its influences are equally important (Mintzberg, Raisinghani, & Theoret, 1976; Moch, Buchko, & Rubin, 1988). High- and low-performance organizations may have different influences on strategic change (Ginsberg, 1988). The above is particularly true when performance is extremely good or bad (Baum, 1990). The results are different patterns of organizational evolution. The influence of organizational performance is also related to the issue of slack (Sharfman et al., 1988). High-performing organizations are likely to have higher organizational slack (March & Simon, 1958), which may allow them to adapt and change (Romanelli & Tushman, 1986). At the same time, high-performing organizations may protect themselves either to preclude perception of external change or any need of adaptation (Staw, Sandelands, & Dutton, 1981). The opposite may be true of organizations that have sustained low performance. In these cases, management may not be able to defend itself in the face of pressures and incentives for change. At the same time, such organizations may not have enough resources to bring about change. Thus, the organization’s level of performance may be a critical variable in defining the interplay resources legitimac significant (Ginsberg, decrease, Ginsberg, Fro exhibited p1 come frOm environmen phenomEnO, organization in the Same to One kind changes in 0 The S Categofies 01 environment Sources of C} in . Orgaanat‘“ 24 interplay of forces of persistence and change. Higher performance may provide resources for change while lower performance may render the basis for legitimacy for change in organizations. Previous studies have reported significant influences of performance; however, the findings lack consistency (Ginsberg, 1988). That is, organizational performance was found to increase, decrease, and have a curvilinear effect on change (Baum, 1990; Fombrun & Ginsberg, 1986). From the studies reviewed above, it is inferred that organizations exhibited pressures for inertia as well as for change. These pressures may come from enduring and changing aspects of the organizations and their environments. Organizational change should not be regarded as a monocausal phenomenon. That is, multiple influences may lead to change in different organizations at different times, in the same organization at different times, or in the same organization at the same time. In addition, some sources may lead to one kind of change, whereas other sources may result in other kinds of changes in organizations. The studies reviewed above showed that there were at least four broad categories of factors that contributed to the change in organizations: history, environment, strategic choice, and performance of an organization. These sources of change may make varied contributions to different kinds of changes in organizations. Not only are there varied influences on the change in 25 different organizations, but these organizations may also change in different ways. An organization may change in different ways during different time periods, or even in different ways during the same time period. Therefore, the process of change can be characterized in several diverse ways that may give rise to different patterns of change in organizations. THE PROCESS OF CHANGE Broadly, there are two processes of change in organizations: the evolutionary and the revolutionary. The evolutionary models draw from the adaptation literature in strategic and organization theory, industrial organization economics (Nelson & Winter, 1982), and the contingency approaches cited previously. In the field of economics, these two processes are reflected in Marshallian and Shumpeterian analyses. Within Marshallian analysis, economic evolution takes place in small increments that are gradual, smooth, uniform, and predictable. In Shumpeterian theory, economic (r)evolution is considered to be spontaneous, discontinuous, and disharmonious (Awan, 1986). Similarly, in the organization development literature, different types of organizational changes have been conceptualized.3 3 For example, Golembiewski, Billingsley, and Yeager (1976) distinguished among alpha, beta, and gamma change in organizations. Similarly, Argyris and Schon (1978) conceptualized single loop and double loop learning in h in orgar SU‘UCIUI‘I dramatic evolutio changes. organiza Was mor T1 logical (t (Cyert (g- is Consist (Aldrich. fiiShion, and Can’t reSearche. Miller, TS equilibrim \ Org; OTdC 198‘, F 1.Sc; 26 Miller and Friesen (1984) analyzed quantum and revolutionary changes in organizations. Their concept of revolutionary change in organizational structures described quantum change (as compared with piecemeal change) and dramatic change (as contrasted with incremental change). Their concept of evolutionary change characterized the piecemeal and incremental organizational changes. They found evidence of quantum and revolutionary change in the organizations they studied. Further, they contended that this type of change was more successful in the organizations studied. These models are not simply descriptive; they also have noted that logical (or disjointed) incrementalism is a prescription for organizational change (Cyert & March, 1963; Hedberg et al., 1976; Lindblom, 1968). Such an idea is consistent with the view of organizations as loosely-coupled systems (Aldrich, 1979; Weick, 1979), where the subunits can change in a disjointed fashion. However, some variables in an organization may be tightly coupled and can’t change incrementally (Miller & Friesen, 1984). Slowly and steadily, researchers have justified metamorphic changes (Hinings & Greenwood, 1988; Miller, 1982; Mintzberg, 1978; Pettigrew, 1985). An emerging non- equilibrium theory can help us understand the breakdown of existing structures organizations. Changes may also be characterized as of first order, second order, and third order (Bartunek & Moch, 1987; Moch & Bartunek, 1990; Watzlawick, Weakland, & Fisch, 1974). andthe 1989). SOUI'CCS The inte manager & Dunk. quuant organiza Mintzber 1988). l per SPCCtii .ii-TSITI‘KxuiI 27 and the generation of new ones in the form of discontinuous changes (Kiel, 1989). These changes may be due to external and internal sources. The external sources include changed environments, technology, and actions of competitors. The internal circumstances encompass political tensions, power conflicts, management ideologies, or other forms of strategic choice (Child, 1972; Clegg & Dunkerley, 1980; D02 & Prahalad, 1987; Pettigrew, 1973, 1987). The ideas of quantum change are similar to the holistic and gestalt notions of organizations that are referred to as archetypes (Hambrick, 1984; Miller, 1981; Mintzberg, 1973, 1978) and organizational tracks (Hinings & Greenwood, 1988). In fact, Miller (1987) has argued that research from the contingency perspective, particularly multivariate linkages, represent configurations and justification for quantum change. Apart from the incremental versus dramatic, and piecemeal versus pervasive divisions, another dimension of organizational change has been studied. It is referred to as convergence versus reorientation (T ushman & Romanelli, 1985), continuity versus discontinuity (Pettigrew, 1985), or momentum versus reversal (Miller & Friesen, 1984). Accordingly, Miller and Friesen (1984) analyzed 21 strategic and structural variables in order to understand organizational adaptation. They contrasted momentum (continuity) and reversals within these organizations and concluded that momentum was a dominant Sti intematio (Montgon voluminor unrelated t Varadarajz organizatic remains in When IBM Segment of Out of its 1) reTimid and (Geringer, 1989)_ F0, 28 dominant phenomena, and reversals were relatively rare in organizations. Still another dimension has been studied in the diversification and internationalization of organizations. It is the relatedness of change (Montgomery, 1985; Palepu, 1985; Rumelt, 1974; Vachani, 1991). There is a voluminous literature on the antecedents and consequences of related and unrelated diversification (Bettis, 1981; Hill & Hansen, 1991; Ramanujam & Varadarajan, 1989). In the strategic management literature, when an organization moves out of its industry segment to another industry segment but remains in its broad industry, this is called related change. An example is when IBM which was in mainframe computers entered personal computer segment of the industry. An unrelated change is when an organization moves out of its broad industry, e.g., from computers to chemicals. The studies of related and unrelated change are being extended to the international arena (Geringer, Beamish, & daCosta, 1989; Kim, 1989; Kim, Hwang, & Burgers, 1989). For example, organizations moving to other countries in the same geographical region (e. g., continent) are involved in related change, whereas those moving to a new region are making an unrelated change (Vachani, 1991). Therefore, the different models of the process of organizational change involve at least the following four processes of change: incremental versus dramatic change, piecemeal versus pervasive change, convergent versus divergent change, and related versus unrelated change. T1 altemativ Finkelste gathered Greiner 8 More rece Hambrick strategic c together . t0 reconcili View has it. Add environme 2" 2 mam organizatio influenCes 0 their man.“ organizatio”; WETStandin argued f0r di 29 INTEGRATING THE PERSPECTIVES The champions of these differing perspectives posed various theories as alternatives to the dominant theory of the time, at least initially (Hambrick & Finkelstein, 1987). The followers of each of the streams of research have gathered theoretical and empirical support for these theories (Boeker, 1989; Greiner & Bhambri, 1989; Hinings & Greenwood, 1988; Johnson, 1988). More recently, studies have included multiple perspectives. For example, Hambrick and Finkelstein (1987, p.370) discussed about population ecology and strategic choice, and observed, "(T)hese two camps seem to be moving close together . . . fortunately both theoretical groups have begun to invest energies to reconcile the two views and to determine the circumstances under which each view has its greatest explanatory power." Additionally, Hrebiniak and Joyce (1985) combined the degree of environmental determinism with the degree of strategic choice and suggested a 2 x 2 matrix that represented four mutually exclusive types of strategic and organizational changes. Romanelli and Tushman (1986) tried to delineate the influences of inertia, environment, and strategic choice to empirically find out their relative contributions. Zammuto (1988) drew a correspondence between organizational ecology and strategic choice that can help further our understanding of organizational adaptation in different industries. Baum (1990) argued for different models of inertia, one of which (i.e., the "fluidity of 30 aging” hypothesis) (Singh, Tucker, & Meinhard, 1988), he asserted is consistent with the model of quantum changes. Alternatively, theorists can use the distinctions of level (micro vs. macro) or other dimensions (e. g., time) to understand the role of different sources and processes of change (Hinings & Greenwood, 1988; Pettigrew, 1985, 1987). Greiner (1972) proposed a model of organizational adaptation involving growth phases interrupted by crisis after each period of growth. Other researchers (e.g., Miller & Friesen, 1982; Mintzberg, 1978; Mintzberg & McHugh, 1985; Mintzberg & Waters, 1982) proposed similar ideas regarding incremental and quantum changes, and continuity and reversals over time in organizations. The above-mentioned studies revealed that, in general, revolutionary changes or reversals punctuated the evolutionary changes in organizations. These studies have focused on dramatic and pervasive changes. However, the authors do acknowledge the possibilities of other kinds of changes in organizations (piecemeal incremental changes, pervasive incremental changes, and so on). Tushman and Romanelli (1985) posed the ideas of convergence and reorientation and further explicated the punctuated equilibrium model of strategic and organizational change. Pettigrew (1985, 1987) made a historical study of organizational changes at Imperial Chemical Industries (ICI) and validated the punctuated equilibrium model. The punctuated equilibrium model has been further developed by Gersick (1991) ir well as 0 deal with role of st managem ecological Johnson ( political. t model of r Organizatit researchers SCV‘L involve dift (1989) disc transilional. leadership 11 R0"lanelli, 1 and Tughma and anfiCipar. Chang“, nan- 31 (1991) into a more general framework that may apply to individual behavior as well as organizational phenomena. The model uses the dimension of time to deal with stability and change, internal and external sources of change, and the role of structure and human action. It also conceptualizes the role of executive management during different time-periods. This model tries to reconcile the ecological, convergence and reorientation approaches to organizational change. Johnson (1988) proposed an ’organizational action’ view that combines political, cognitive, and cultural aspects of management in an incremental model of change. Similarly Schwenk ( 1989) integrated the cognitive, organizational, and political factors and offered a framework that can help researchers in studying strategic change. Several other studies showed that the organizational evolution may involve different kinds of changes in organizations. Kleiner and Corrigan (1989) discussed three types of organizational changes: developmental, transitional, and transformational. Tushman, Nadler, and Associates discussed the role of charismatic and institutional, internal/old, and external/new leadership in frame-bending and frame-breaking changes (T ushman, Newman, Romanelli, 1986; Nadler & Tushman, 1989; Virany & Tushman, 1986). Nadler and Tushman (1990) used the dimensions of incremental versus strategic change and anticipatory versus reactive change to view four types of organizational changes, namely, tuning, adaptation, reorientation and recreation, in order to understa Goes (1‘. mode of (organiz. adaptatic revolutio incremer change a organizat lives of i the Puzzli Th CondUCt e per SPCCtis and GFCer these idea; 32 understand strategic change in organizations. Similarly, Meyer, Brooks, and Goes (1990) attempted to resolve the inconsistencies by combining the primary mode of change (continuous or discontinuous) with the level of change (organization or industry). This combination yielded four types of change: adaptation and metamorphosis at the organizational level and evolution and revolution at industry level. Similarly, Dunphy and Stace (1988) juxtaposed incremental and large-scale organizational transformation with participatory change and coercive change; the result was different types of changes in organizations. A broader framework encompassing various dimensions and types of changes will help the researchers take stock of the missing pieces of the puzzle and understand the phenomena of change in organizations. There have been a number of attempts by organizational researchers to conduct empirical tests regarding the integration of various theoretical perspectives. The studies by Mintzberg; Miller and Friesen; Pettigrew; Hinings and Greenwood referred to previously all point to the validity of integrating these ideas. A synthesis of various approaches provides a better explanation of strategic and organizational change (Fligstein, 1985, 1987; Palmer et al., 1987). Additionally, Ginsberg and Buchholtz (1990) studied corporate responsiveness to radical change in the health care industry. They revealed that various perspectives (inertia, adaptive, and institutional) were complementary rather than competitive in explaining organizational transformation. Ham discretion 1 choice. F11 managemer and strateg make stratc' discretion & Hambri and strate} eVOiUIlQn COlleaguC- bem'een C 33 Hambrick and Finkelstein (1987) developed the concept of managerial discretion to bridge the gap between environmental determinism and strategic choice. Finkelstein & Hambrick (1990) reported a moderating role of management discretion on the relationship between top-management’s tenure and strategic persistence in organizations. High management discretion may make strategic choice a powerful explanation, whereas a low management discretion may indicate that strategic choice is a weak explanation (Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990). Researchers are now realizing that ”inertia, environment, and strategic choice may interactively determine courses of organizational evolution over time" (Romanelli & Tushman, 1986, p. 618). Palmer and Colleagues (1987) also emphasized the importance of studying the interplay between different dimensions of organizational behavior. Similarly, Boeker and Goodstein ( 1991) studied the moderating role of performance between environment and organizational change. Such analyses can act as bridges to link various middle-range theories. Hence, it is important to not only study the main effects of these causes but their interactions as well. Bedeian (1990) argued that simple models do not capture the complex parallel processing and bi-directional causality of organizational processes, and proposed a model of continuous multidirectional interaction of environment and strategic choice for organizational adaptation. Similarly, Mascarenhas (1989) argued that combining the population ecology, environmental adaptation, and 34 strategic choice perspectives contributes more to our understanding of organizational dynamics than these perspectives considered in isolation. The foregoing discussion demonstrates that researchers are considering multiple sources of change in organizations, but not the processes of change. Regarding the processes of change, most of the research work has been based on disparate research perspectives (Huff et al., 1989). GAPS IN EXISTING LITERATURE The earlier studies tried to combine different perspectives of organizational change. But, despite the conceptual initiatives in this direction, there was a paucity of empirical research. Most frequently, organizational change was studied in terms of its magnitude (i.e., more change or less change). Different processes of change were studied in an isolated manner. Organizational change was implicitly treated as unidimensional. The undifferentiated study of change can lead to inconsistencies in research findings. For example, in the study of performance on change, change was found to have a positive, negative, and curvilinear effect on change (Baum, 1990; Fombrun & Ginsberg, 1986; Ginsberg, 1988). Studies of various types of organizational change have not been accumulated into a coherent body of knowledge (Ginsberg, 1988). Instead, the studies have resulted into confusion over the use of terms to describe different 35 processes of change (e. g., piecemeal, concerted, incremental, dramatic, quantum, revolutionary, and evolutionary, convergence, divergence, reorientation, continuity, discontinuity, and reversals) (Miller & Friesen, 1980b, 1984). In the literature, two broad models of change are recognized: the evolutionary and revolutionary. A large variety of processes have been aggregated into these models without making distinctions among various processes of change. There is a need to distinguish among different processes of change and relate them to their correlates that are sources of change (Miller & Friesen, 1982). The sources and processes of change are isolated from each other for the purpose of study only. They need to be related to understand an answer to the question: What determines what kinds of organizational changes take place under conditions both within and outside of organizations over time (Hinings & Greenwood, 1988; Pettigrew, 1985, 1987; Van de Ven & Poole, 1988). Such an integration of the sources and processes of change can help researchers to arrive at middle-range theories of change in organizations. This study is an attempt to address these points to fill the gaps in the literature and to recognize the multidimensionality of change. Accordingly, the conceptual framework and hypotheses are developed in the next chapter. Chapter 3 Conceptual Framework and Hypotheses From the preceding review of literature, one can conclude that organizations change in a variety of ways, that is, through incremental and dramatic change, related and unrelated change, piecemeal and pervasive change, and convergent and divergent change. The process of change is influenced by the internal and external factors of the organization (Pettigrew, 1985, 1987) that can be called sources of organizational change. These correlates of change can be broadly categorized in terms of organizational history, environment, strategic choice, and performance. THE PROCESS OF CHANGE The process of change can be characterized at different levels of abstraction. One level is found in the processual framework presented by Bartunek (1984), Ginsberg (1988), and Huff and Huff (1990). This type of analysis tries to capture the dynamics of the process of change in organizations. The studies at this level view change as resulting from two kinds of forces: the pressures for inertia and the stresses for change. These forces interact and lead to diverse kinds of change in organizations. Researchers argue that the pressures for persistence and change may come from the enduring and changing aspects of various factors at different levels of the organization and its environment. Change for these analyses may be at individual, organization, industry, or societal level. The forces for change may have their origins in the 37 38 economic and institutional environment, in organizational characteristics, in objective assessments and perceptions of the managements, and in organizational performance. This is a more abstract level of analysis that studies the underlying process of interplay among different forces influencing change. The second level of abstraction of the change process involves various archetypes of change. This analysis is more concrete than the previous one. It can be viewed in the holistic frameworks developed by Hinings and Greenwood (1988) and Laughlin (1991). These models have been described in terms of various organizational tracks: inertia, reorientation, aborted excursions, and unresolved excursions (Hinings & Greenwood, 1988). Different tracks involve various sequences of decoupling and recoupling in organizations. The third level of analysis involves different ways of characterizing organizational change using attributes of the process of change. For example, researchers have studied incremental, dramatic, convergent, and divergent changes in organizations. This level can be seen in the studies by Mintzberg and Associates (Mintzberg & McHugh, 1985; Mintzberg & Waters, 1982), Miller and Friesen (1982), Pettigrew (1985), and Tushman and Associates (T ushman & Romanelli, 1985; Nadler & Tushman, 1990).‘ This is the level ‘ Other studies at this level include Greenwood (1984), Johnson (1987), Lundberg (1984), Meyer et al. (1990). 39 of the present study. Of interest is a model that can be applied to changes at the organizational level. The two variables of interest in this study are change in product and international diversity in organizations.2 From the review of literature, four attributes were identified that can be used to characterize the process of organizational change in product and international diversity of organizations. The use of different names for these attributes has caused much confusion and has concealed the distinctions among various attributes. Therefore, it is important to clarify the labels and the ideas underlying each attribute. In this study, the following attributes of the process of organizational change are considered: incremental versus dramatic change, related versus unrelated change, piecemeal versus pervasive change, and convergent versus divergent change. The criterion used to select the attributes was two-fold: (i) relevance of the attribute to the two types of changes analyzed in this study, and (ii) role of the attribute in distinguishing the pattern of change in diversity of organizations. The four attributes selected in the study were relevant to the types of changes studied, and they helped distinguish the pattern of change in organizations. However, there may be other attributes of change that may be 2 The phrases international diversity, global diversity, and geographic diversity are used interchangeably in this study. 4o pertinent to these or other changes in organizations.3 These dimensions are expected to apply to similar organizational changes such as transforming strategy and structure. However, these dimensions may not be entirely independent of the content of change. Thus, there may be some dimensions that are more critical to one kind of change than to other kinds of changes. DIMENSIONS OF ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE Increment of change (incremental vs. dramatic change). Incremental- dramatic change refers to the size of the step of change. In other words, it is the extent of incrementalism in a process of change. The net change in product and global diversity, or organizational structure (e.g., adoption of M-form structure) may come in small increments or in big leaps (Hoskisson & Galbraith, 1985; Johnson, 1988). These are illustrated in Figure l. 3 The purpose of choosing these dimensions is primarily to demonstrate the multiplicity of dimensions of change and build models of organizational change. Other attributes somewhat related to the phenomena of change in organizations found in the literature include anticipatory versus reactive change (Nadler & Tushman, 1990); deliberate versus emergent change (Mintzberg & Waters, 1982); and first-, second-, or third-order change (Watzlawick et al., 1974; Bartunek & Moch, 1987; Moch & Bartunek, 1990). All of these may not be regarded as distinct dimensions of the process of change. 3003 800230.. 30:..— Omht8<3 98.08<:0 20.0.)... WZO 9.202(10 w02<20 Dmh¢u0200 m02<10 4 2. “3.... Chop w92<2 P2 O¢U>200 ~02800 D->|H¢O-l-> yuan—.0 .:ou._o>§..:ow..c>=e0 v 2:3...— 47 THE DINIENSIONS OF CHANGE AND THEIR CORRELATES Pettigrew (1985, 1987) argued in favor of analyzing the processes of change in relation to their context in a historical perspective. Studies by Mintzberg and Associates (e. g., Mintzberg & Waters, 1982), Hinings and Greenwood (1988), Lundberg (1984), and Laughlin (1991) provide illustrations of the contextual approach to organizational change. There are multiple processes of change in organizations. Certain processes of change are more likely to happen in some contexts and not in others. For example, quantum change is more likely to occur in tightly coupled systems rather than loosely coupled systems (Miller & Friesen, 1984). Therefore, change processes are likely to be related to the content and the context of change. Analyzing processes of change and sources of change in isolation artificially compartmentalizes the reality of change in organizations. It also makes it difficult to make sense of different parts of the "elephant” of organizational change, and gives rise to inconsistency of research findings. The multiple processes of change in organizations depend upon the characteristics of the organization and the environment. In other words, different dimensions are expected to have different correlates, or different patterns of association with their correlates. In essence, each dimension is likely to have its own model. There is a need to develop models of change in 48 organizations (Miller & Friesen, 1982). Therefore, the interest here is in middle-range theories, and their boundary conditions, for different dimensions of organizational change. However, it is proposed that the models of the dimensions presented here will be generic enough to apply across both changes: the change in product and international diversity of organizations. In the following section, hypotheses are developed relating the dimensions of change to their correlates. The hypotheses will relate to product and international diversity of organizations. There is a large body of literature on product and international diversity in organizations, and more recently, the literatures on change in product and international diversity have been growing along parallel lines. In fact, some researchers have started integrating different streams of research in the areas of diversification and globalization (e. g., Geringer et al., 1989; Kim, 1989; Grant, Jammine, & Thomas, 1988; Kim et al., 1989; Vachani, 1991). Organizational Size Size is a frequently studied but controversial variable (Gooding & Wagner, 1985) that may be a source of inertia as well as change. Therefore, it may have negative as well as positive influence on the ability of organizations to adapt and change. A stream of ideas from organizational studies asserts that larger organizations have more difficulty implementing changes (Aldrich & 49 Auster, 1986; Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990; Harman & Freeman, 1977; Huff et al., 1989). This is because larger organizations are more formalized (Blau & Schoenherr, 1971; Scott, 1987), and thus managers may not notice the need for change (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990). Large organizations are also less efficient at least in relative performance (output/input) terms (Gooding & Wagner, 1985). Large organizations have more complicated structures; therefore, it is harder for them to change (Huff et al., 1989). These organizations also are likely to have bigger, powerful, and diverse groups of stakeholders who are entrenched in the organization (Freeman, 1984). Such a high amount of power and politics may make it more difficult for organizational members to build a consensus to change the organization drastically. Other ideas provide a contrast to the view mentioned above. These particularly come from the economists who have emphasized economies of scale (Porter, 1980; Scherer, 1980). Larger organizations have many resources that may help them to make changes and take risks (Kimberly & Evanisko, 1981; Moch & Morse, 1977). Therefore, they may be in a better position to pass through transition states (T ushman & Romanelli, 1985). One can also visualize a threshold for organization (i.e., a minimum efficient scale up to which there are economies of scale). There may be diseconomies of scale after an organization has reached a certain level of size and complexity. Therefore, there is liability of bigness and liability of 50 smallness (Aldrich & Auster, 1986). These liabilities may yield a curvilinear relationship between size and organizational change. It is argued that smaller organizations have limited resources to make dramatic, pervasive, or divergent changes. Bigger organizations may have developed too much inertia to undertake such changes. However, the intermediate-sized organization is expected to have access to resources. Such an organization is probably not too complex to have inertia, and can make more dramatic, related, pervasive and divergent changes. The relationship of organizational size and different dimensions of change is hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis. Small and big organizations change in a less dramatic fashion, whereas medium-sized organizations change in a more dramatic fashion. Hypothesis. Small and big organizations make less related change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more related change. Hypothesis. Small and big organizations make less pervasive change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more pervasive change. Hypothesis. Small and big organizations have a higher probability of changing in a convergent fashion, whereas medium-sized organizations have a lower probability of changing in a convergent fashion. New inertial theories propose that inertial tendencies change in a complex nonmonotonic relationship during the life cycle of an organization (Baum, 51 1990). Therefore, it is expected that even a cubic relationship may exist between the size and some dimensions of change in organizations. Because there is not enough theory to support the cubic relationship a priori, a quadratic relationship is hypothesized, and a cubic relationship will be explored. Exploring a cubic relationship may be particularly useful to explain if the results are in contrast to the hypothesized effect. System Coupling Interdependence of organizational units influences the degree of strategic inertia or change (Aldrich, 1979; Lundberg, 1984; Perrow, 1986; Weick, 1976). Systems that are more tightly structured have higher interdependence and need higher coordination and control that leads to higher inertia (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990). In such cases, piecemeal changes are likely to be more disruptive. The organization therefore has an incentive to make changes in many related variables relatively simultaneously. Systems that are loosely coupled will be more autonomous and can afford to change without synchronizing changes in other subsystems. Miller and Friesen (1984) acknowledged that organizations can change in other than a quantum or revolutionary fashion. That is, variables that are loosely coupled may allow organizations to change in a piecemeal fashion. Thus, system coupling is a well-recognized variable that is likely to help explain pervasive change in 52 organizations. Its relationship with pervasive change is hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis. The tighter the system coupling in an organization, the more pervasive the organizational change. The streams of research reviewed in Chapter 2 show organizations’ dependence on their environments for critical resources. The critical role of environments on organizations is well documented in several areas of organization and management studies. In the literature on organizational change, Pettigrew (1985, 1987) emphasized the contextual approach to research. In their models of organizational change, Lundberg (1984), Hinings & Greenwood (1988), Mintzberg & McHugh (1985), & Tushman & Romanelli (1985) identified a well-deserved role for the organizational context. Organizations try to align themselves with their environments for better performance and achievement of other goals. In doing so, they may undertake different types of changes in the organization that may include divergent and unrelated changes. Further, environments can stimulate organizational change when environments themselves change. Organizational environments can be characterized in terms of munificence and dynamism (Aldrich, 1979; Dess & Beard, 1984; Staw & 53 Szwajkowsky, 1975). These characteristics of environments are likely to influence different dimensions of change in organizations. Environmental Munificence Environmental munificence refers to the capacity of the environment to support products (Castrogiovanni, 1991; Dess & Beard, 1984). In a munificent environment, there is more likelihood of convergent change. For example, organizations tend to diversify into product and market areas that provide munificent environments. Organizations are likely to divest themselves of the products and markets that have low capacity to support them, resulting in divergent change. An organization is also likely to remain in its own segment of the industry and grow in that segment when environmental munificence is high. If the munificence of its industry segment is low, it is more likely to look for opportunities in other segments of its industry. The result will be more related change. The effect of environmental munificence is hypothesized as below: Hypothesis 2.3. The lower the munificence of the industry segment, the higher the related organizational change. Hypothesis 4.4. The higher the munificence of the industry segment, the more the probability of convergent organizational change. 54 Environmental Dynamism Environmental dynamism refers to the rate of change and unpredictability of change in an environment (Dess & Beard, 1984). In a continually changing and unpredictable environment, an organization can keep its match with the environment by making incremental changes (Friesen & Miller, 1986; Ginsberg, 1988; Ginsberg & Abrahamson, 1986). An abruptly changing environment requires the organizations to make dramatic and discontinuous changes (Meyer et al., 1990) to be efficient. These changes allow the organization to minimize its misalignment within itself and with its environment. Apart from the above-mentioned economic pressures of the environment that influence the organizational change, institutional forces also play a part. The isomorphic, normative, and mimetic forces (DiMaggio & Powell, 1983) influence a company to undergo organizational change. For example, in today’s environment, more industries are becoming global. The normative, isomorphic and mimetic effects of other organizations going global may influence the orientation of a company. An organization is likely to be inclined to make changes similar to others in its industry. The strategies that have already been followed by the competitors provide legitimacy to organizational actions and moves in that direction. This legitimacy can be taken as a resource by those who are dissatisfied with the earlier strategy to make dramatic 55 changes. Therefore, it is expected that environments influence the degree of dramatic change in organizations as follows: Hypothesis 1.4. The lower the environmental dynamism, the less dramatic the change; and the higher the environmental dynamism, the more dramatic the change. As reviewed in the previous chapter, the strategic choice perspective focuses on the liberty available to the organizations and their managements (Bourgeois, 1984; Child, 1972), particularly to the "dominant management coalitions" (Cyert & March, 1963; March & Simon, 1958) or "upper echelons" (Hambrick & Mason, 1984). This perspective underscores the importance of decisions and choices made by the strategic management and the political processes within the organizations (Murray, 1978). In keeping with the role of strategic choice, three factors of asset specificity, organizational risk taken, and organizational resources are considered for relating them to different dimensions of organizational change. Asset Specificity The commitment of an organization’s resources to current strategy (Huff et al., 1989) has important consequences for change in organizations. Managers who are highly committed to the status-quo are likely to focus on the advantages of the old strategy and on the dangers of switching to a new one. A 56 higher commitment of assets specific to the current strategy reduces the propensity of redeploying assets, and it increases the replacement costs. Therefore, asset specificity is likely to influence the dimensions of change in organizations (Montgomery & Wernerfelt, 1988; Williamson, 1975), irrespective of the level of organizational resources. High asset specificity creates inertial pressures in the production process. Such pressures make it difficult for an organization to contemplate alternative products and markets (Hambrick & MacMillan, 1985). Therefore, the resources committed to a strategy will increase inertia in the organization. Highly specific resources are more likely to be useful for a strategy that is convergent and related to the current strategy, resulting in positive incentives for continued momentum. The more specific assets are not likely to be recovered if the strategy is changed (Huff et al., 1989), increasing the possibility of related and convergent change. Organizational commitment to a course of action escalates (Staw, 1981) because of investments in more specific assets. Such commitment is expected to be high, without regard to the level of success or failure (Staw & Ross, 1987). Assets that are less flexible may be used to make related change (e.g., excess physical capacity or intangible assets can be used for a related change) (Barton, 1988; Bettis, 1981; Chatterjee & Wernerfelt, 1991; Hoskisson & Hitt, 1990). In other words, organizations with highly specific assets are more likely 57 to pursue related and convergent changes. In the scenario of an organization where the resources are more general, these can be put to a variety of uses. For example, financial resources are more flexible than physical or intangible ones (Chatterjee & Wernerfelt, 1991). Therefore, more proportion of financial resources may allow the organization broader options. Thus, the organization is not "stuck" with any strategy. It can consider any area for change. The less-specific assets can be redeployed without considering the relatedness and direction of their current strategy. Therefore, it is hypothesized that: Hypothesis. The higher the asset specificity in an organization, the higher the related change. Hypothesis. The higher the asset specificity in an organization, the higher the convergent change. Organizational Risk Taken Research on organizational adaptation and change revealed differential responsiveness of organizations to environmental change (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990). It is well known in the literature on adoption of innovations that early adopters and laggards have different characteristics. A characteristic that influences the process of adoption and change in organizations is the degree of risk undertaken by the organization. An organization faces two kinds of risks: the systematic and the unsystematic. Systematic (or market risk) is the sensitivity of an organization’s 58 returns to the market returns. It includes the operating risk and the financial risk. Unsystematic risk is risk that is unique or business specific. It may be due to many things, for example, the possibility of a wildcat strike or entry of a new competitor with the same product (Bettis, 1983; Van Horne, 1983). Organizations can manage both the systematic and the unsystematic risk and add value for stockholders and the company (Bettis, 1983; Hoskisson & Hitt, 1990). Therefore, examination of total risk is appropriate, particularly because systematic risk and total risk are empirically and theoretically correlated (Fiegenbaum & Thomas, 1988). Organizations, like individuals, are not solely risk averse or risk takers; they tend to reduce risks as well as take risks under different circumstances (Fiegenbaum & Thomas, 1988; Hoskisson, Hitt, & Hill, 1991). Under the high-risk conditions, organizations make changes to reduce their risk (Hill & Hansen, 1991) to cope with the already high risk that they have. The literature in organization studies is abundant with theories that argue how organizations try to reduce risks and uncertainties (Amit & Wernerfelt, 1990; Burns & Stalker, 1961; Thompson, 1967). Therefore, an organization is more likely to invest in other segments of its broad industry, rather than growing only in one segment that will be more risky. Organizations thus engage in related change that reduces the risk as compared to the risk involved in expansion in its narrow segment. This type of risk reduction is desirable and 59 adds value for the management and the shareholders (Amit & Wernerfelt, 1990). Therefore, it is hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis. The higher the risk taken by an organization, the more the related organizational change. Organizational Resources In the literature on organization theory, organizational resources and slack have received much attention (Bourgois, 1981; Cyert & March, 1963; Sharfman et al., 1988). These are the resources that an organization has above its requirements for carrying on its usual activities. In other words, the resources are considered in relative terms, and not in absolute terms. On one hand, organizational resources allow the organization to plan and implement changes. It is recognized that for an organization to change, it needs some minimal level of resources to successfully attempt implementing the change in organizations (Hedberg, 1981; Huff et al., 1989; Lundberg, 1984). An organization that does not have enough resources may be starved of the essential ingredients of making certain types of changes, at least in a planned way. Certain organizational activities are necessary for making changes. These range from scanning the environment to collecting information on changing consumers, suppliers, and competitors to help in strategic management for formulating and implementing changes. Organizational resources can provide support for organizations to adapt and change (Romanelli & Tushman, 60 1986), despite the influence of organizational performance. The resources may be tangible, intangible, or of financial nature that allow an organization to accomplish organizational changes. Thus, with adequate organizational resources, an organization can consider broader change (Hoskisson & Hitt, 1990). The funds may come from the equity, loans, retained earnings, and so on. These may be invested in research and development, advertising, plant and machinery, and so forth for change in product diversity (Hill & Hansen, 1991) and international diversity of organizations. Organizational resources, on the other hand, also build complacency in the organization and are likely to lower motivation for change (Cyert & March, 1963; Hedberg, 1981). These give rise to inertia and resistance to change (Starbuck & Hedberg, 1977; Thompson, 1967). Management receives more legitimacy for the current strategy, eroding the need for unrelated, divergent, or dramatic change. Both influences are expected to go on in any organization. Although organizational resources make it easier to carry out change, they lower the motivation to undertake change (Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990). Therefore, a curvilinear relationship between organizational resources and different dimensions of change is expected. It is hypothesized that availability of higher resources will make change more feasible and, therefore, an organization is more likely to involve in 61 dramatic and divergent change. Similarly, lower organizational slack will increase motivation for change, increasing the likelihood of dramatic and divergent change. However, when the organizations have moderate amounts of resources, they are more likely to make incremental and convergent changes. The hypotheses are as follows: Hypothesis. Organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources will make more dramatic change, whereas organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources will make less dramatic change. Hypothesis. Organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources are more likely to change in a convergent mode, whereas organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources are less likely to change in a convergent mode. Organizational Performance Organizational performance influences change in organizations (Boeker & Goodstein, 1991; Ginsberg & Buchholtz, 1990; Grant, Jammine, & Thomas, 1988). It provides feedback to management and sends signals about the effectiveness of the organizational strategy (Lundberg, 1984). The perceptions and interpretations of the earlier patterns of organizational behavior or processes of change undertaken by the organization are likely to be altered by performance (Moch & Bartunek, 1990; Weick, 1979). The performance variable provides feedback to the managers on their strategies, on organizational structure, and on their management styles. It is 62 expected that low levels of performance will signify stress and crisis in the organization (Huff & Huff, 1990; Lundberg, 1984). That is, while high performance protects the organizations and their managements (Staw et al., 1981), poor performance indicates ineffectiveness of the strategy. Therefore, under these circumstances, organizations are likely to make divergent and dramatic changes (Duhaime & Grant, 1984; Montgomery & Thomas, 1988). For example, crisis of performance can lead organizations to sell off their business units they are unrelated to their core business (Ravenscraft & Scherer, 1987). Similarly, lower performance is likely to result in lower share price, increasing chances for a hostile takeover (Hoskisson et al., 1991). An extremely high level of performance is expected to lead to convergent and related organizational changes. Therefore, the relationship of performance to various dimensions of change is hypothesized as below: Hypothesis. The lower the level of performance, the more dramatic the organizational change. Hypothesis. The higher the level of performance, the more related the organizational change. Hypothesis. The lower the level of performance, the more pervasive the organizational change. Hypothesis. The higher the level of performance, the higher the probability of convergent organizational change. Linear relationships of performance with different dimensions of change have 63 been hypothesized. However, some studies have argued that there may be a curvilinear relationship between performance and extent of change (Hoskisson & Hitt, 1990). Poor performance may motivate the organization to undertake increased change, but continuing poor performance may decrease further change (Grant et al., 1988; Hoskisson & Hitt, 1990; Ravenscraft & Scherer, 1987). It is argued in the literature that extremely low performance motivates an organization’s management to undertake "problemistic search" (Baum, 1990). This search is due to gaps in expected and actual performance that lead to strategic organizational changes (Cyert & March, 1963; Kiesler & Sproull, 1982; Schendel & Patton, 1976). Similarly, it is contended that an extremely high level of performance may also have a similar effect of resulting in high organizational change (Baum, 1990; Child & Kieser, 1981; Dutton & Duncan, 1987; Singh, 1986). Therefore, low and high performance may lead to higher change as compared to moderate performance (Baum, 1990). However, Fombrun and Ginsberg (1986) reported the opposite results (i.e., extreme high or low levels of performance in previous time periods were related to lower organizational change in subsequent periods rather than intermediate levels of performance). Lower organizational change in poorly performing organizations may be attributed to the threat-rigidity effects (Staw et al., 1981) and adversity leading to conservatism in organizations (Cameron, 64 Kim, & Whetten, 1987; Whetten, 1987). Thus, there is support for a U-shaped as well as an inverted-U shaped relationship of performance and change in organizations. Therefore, at this time there can only be speculation that there is a possibility of a nonlinear relationship of performance with some dimensions of change. The curvilinearity of relationship will be explored, in case the findings are not in the hypothesized direction. Interactions The studies reviewed in the previous chapter reported interaction effects of the sources of change on the processes of change. For example, Ginsberg (1988) noted several studies (Graham & Richards, 1979; Harrigan, 1981; Oster, 1982) that did not find the main effects for poor performance. Graham and Richards (1979) reported that performance influenced organizational change only when there were changes in the general environment (e. g., deregulation of the railroad industry). Similarly, Harrigan ( 1981) and Oster (1982) argued that the influence of performance on organizational change depended on the industry characteristics. Therefore, performance is expected to interact with environmental dynamism and munificence. Organizational Performance x Environmental Dynamism The main effect of environmental dynamism is related to the degree of dramatic change in organizations. This relationship is likely to vary with the 65 level of organizational performance. A poorly performing organization faced with a low dynamic environment is likely to keep on adjusting to improve its alignment and future performance. However, the poorly performing organization in a fast-changing environment needs to take drastic steps fast. Therefore, an organization in a more dynamic environment with poor performance is more likely to make a more dramatic change than would be the case if it had good performance conditions. Hypothesis. The positive relationship between environmental dynamism and the degree of dramatic organizational change will be amplified to the extent the organization experiences low performance. Organizational Performance x Environmental Munificence As noted previously, under the circumstances of lower environmental munificence, an organization is expected to make more related change. However, the effect of environmental munificence on the extent of related change is expected to be moderated by the level of organizational performance. A lower performing organization in an industry segment that has lower munificence is more likely to explore opportunities outside its segment. As a first alternative, it is expected to look for products in other related industry segments. Therefore, it is likely to involve itself in much more related change than would be the case if it were in a scarce environment but had higher performance. 66 Hypothesis. The negative relationship between environmental munificence and the extent of related change will be amplified to the extent that the organization experiences low performance. In the foregoing sections of this chapter, the relationships between dimensions of change and their correlates have been hypothesized. The hypothesized relationships propose that there are multiple dimensions of change, and that each dimension is depicted by a characteristic model that differentiates it from other dimensions. Therefore, it will be more convenient to arrange results according to the dimensions of organizational change. Accordingly, the hypotheses of the study are enumerated below with respect to each dimension. Degree of dramatic change. The degree of dramatic change is expected to be related to organizational performance, size, environmental munificence, and organizational resources as follows: Hypothesis la: The lower the level of performance, the more dramatic the organizational change. Hypothesis 1b: Small and big organizations change in a less dramatic fashion, whereas medium-sized organizations change in a more dramatic fashion. Hypothesis 1c: The lower the environmental dynamism, the less dramatic the change; the higher the environmental dynamism, the more dramatic the change. Hypothesis 1d: Organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources will make more dramatic changes, whereas organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources will make less dramatic changes. 67 Hypothesis 1e: The positive relationship between environmental dynamism and the degree of dramatic organizational change will be amplified to the extent the organization experiences low performance. Degree of related change. The model of related change is expected to include significant relationships with organizational performance, size, environmental munificence, risk, and asset specificity, as given below: Hypothesis 2a: The higher the level of performance, the more related the organizational change. Hypothesis 2b: Small and big organizations make less related change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more related change. Hypothesis 2c: The lower the munificence of the industry segment, the higher the related organizational change. Hypothesis 2d: The higher the risk taken by an organization, the more the related organizational change. Hypothesis 2e: The higher the asset specificity in an organization, the higher the related change. Hypothesis 2f: The negative relationship between environmental munificence and the extent of related change will be amplified to the extent that the organization experiences low performance. Degree of pervasive change. The correlates of pervasive change are likely to be organizational performance, size, and system coupling, as hypothesized below: Hypothesis 3a: The lower the level of performance, the more pervasive the organizational change. Hypothesis 3b: Small and big organizations make less pervasive 68 change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more pervasive change. Hypothesis 3c: The tighter the system coupling in an organization, the more pervasive the organizational change. Convergent change. Convergent change is hypothesized to be related to organizational performance, size, environmental munificence, resources, and asset specificity, as follows: Hypothesis 4a: The higher the level of performance, the higher the probability of convergent organizational change. Hypothesis 4b: Small and big organizations have a higher probability of changing in a convergent fashion, whereas medium- sized organizations have a lower probability of changing in a convergent fashion. Hypothesis 4c: The higher the munificence of the industry segment, the more the probability of convergent organizational change. Hypothesis 4d: Organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources are more likely to change in a convergent mode, whereas organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources are less likely to change in a convergent mode. Hypothesis 4e: The higher the asset specificity in an organization, the higher the convergent change. The details of research methods used in this study to test the proposed hypotheses are given in the next chapter. Chapter 4 Methods THE SAMPLE The population of organizations for the study included the companies registered on the stock exchanges in the United States. The sample included the companies for which data were available on the business information segments in COMPUSTAT 11. Data on different variables were available for a varying number of companies. Data on most variables were available for 731 companies for product diversity and 855 companies for international diversity. The exceptions were pervasiveness of change and system coupling for which availability of data was limited. The sample sizes of 731 and 855 for product and international diversity, respectively, gave statistical power of > .99 for an overall test of the analysis. These sample sizes provided statistical power of about .80 for testing the effect of an individual independent variable in multiple regression (Cohen & Cohen, 1983, pp. 1 16-1 19). Data on pervasive change and system coupling were available for 431 and 755 companies, respectively. However, the number of companies for which both pervasiveness of change and system coupling data were available was reduced to 166 companies. The companies included in the sample represented a wide diversity on various dimensions. The industries included ranged from mining to manufacturing to service. Their SIC codes were from 10 to 87, with SIC code 99 representing the conglomerates. The sample included a very wide range of small, medium and large organizations. The size of the organizations in terms 70 71 of number of employees varied from 1 to 130,500, with an average of 4,615 .' The mean sales of the sample were 1.35 billion and the range was from 30.8 million to 12 billion. The companies in the sample had product diversity from 0 to 1.50, with an average of .20. Product diversity index of 0 represented an undiversified company that has all of its sales in one industry segment. Examples of such companies are Intel Corp., Michigan Bell, MCI Communications, and United Parcel Service America Inc. Examples of diversified companies included in the sample were Revlon, Inc. (index=.55) and USX Corp. (index=.71). The average international diversity was .11, with a range of 0 to 1.42. A 0 index of international diversification implied the company had all of its sales in the domestic market, for example, such companies are Nordstrom Inc., Michigan Bell, and Burlington Northern Railroad Co. The companies with higher international diversity indexes included Intel Corp. (index=.99), Revlon, Inc. (index=1.33), and Dow Corning Corp. (index=1.42). ‘ It may be mentioned here that there were some companies in the sample such as cooperatives that had very few employees. Such companies had other individuals or organizations as members. Log of employees was taken that helped to normalize the variable of organizational size, as described later in the chapter. 72 VARIABLES AND THEIR MEASURENIENT Dependent Variables Four dimensions of organizational change were identified: increment, relatedness, pervasiveness and direction of change. All these dimensions are expected to be relevant for the two types of diversity analyzed in this study: change in product and international diversity. Both variables of diversity were measured along the four dimensions of change. 1. Level of Product Diversity Change in product diversity over time is product diversification (Grant et al., 1988) or de-diversification a.uffman & Reed, 1982). The literature on product diversification offers alternative measurements of product diversity. Broadly, there are two types of measures. The first, entropy measures originated in the field of industrial economics (Jacquemin & Berry, 1979) and have since been improved upon (Palepu, 1985). The second, subjective measures followed the categorization developed by Rumelt (1974). These two measures converge and can be considered valid and reliable, though they are not without their limitations (Montgomery, 1982). These two measures or their small variants have been extensively used in research (Grant et al., 1988). In this study, the entropy measures of diversity (Palepu, 1985) were used because they were objective, precise, continuous and could be reliably computed on a large number of companies over time. Product diversity was measured as 73 follows: Total Product Diversity (TPD) ="E,__.,P,ln(1/P,.) ; where P, is the share of the ith segment in the total sales of the company. i = 1 ...... N is the number of industry segments the company operates in. The above measure is better than the product count measures because it considers the number of the segments of a company and the relative importance of each segment in the company’s total revenues. The total product diversity is measured based on weighted average of the shares of the segments. Each segment is given the weight equal to its logarithm of the inverse of its share (Palepu, 1985). 2. Level of International Diversity The second variable of organizational change involved change in the internationalization of the company. The process of measuring international diversity was very similar to that of product diversity. The measures assesses geographic diversity of the organization in different countries. With the internationalization of competition and global marketplace (Porter, 1990), international strategies are gaining increasing importance. These changes are taking place because of strategic considerations in organizations. There are many possible objective measures of internationalization: sales of foreign subsidiaries/sales of domestic subsidiaries, foreign sales/total sales, foreign 74 production/total production, foreign assets/total assets, and foreign income/total income. These measures have been suggested and used by many researchers in the area (Geringer et al., 1989; Grant et al., 1988). The measures mentioned above have a weakness, that is, they do not consider the dispersion of the activities of the organization. Vachani (1991) proposed entropy measures of international diversity that are similar to entropy measures of product diversity. Organizations may be operating in one homogeneous broad region (e.g., Europe), or its activities may be dispersed in several heterogeneous regions (e.g., Europe, North America, and the Pacific Rim). The homogeneity or heterogeneity of geographical regions can be defined in several ways. The criteria may include physical, social and cultural proximity; the level of economic development (V achani, 1991); or market conditions related to these characteristics (Cavusgil, 1980). Attempts to define nature of the markets have been made by Buhner (1987), Grant (1987), and Kim and Colleagues (1989). Total change in international diversity was calculated like the total change in product diversity, except that the country groups (e. g., Europe, Asia) were used in place of two-digit SIC codes, and countries (e. g., the United Kingdom) were considered instead of four—digit SIC codes. Therefore, Total International Diversity (TID) =”E,=,P,ln(l/P,.); where P is the share of the ith country in the total sales of the company. i = l ...... N rs the number of countries the company operates in. 75 Dimensions of Change The four dimensions of change were the dependent variables. The measures of each dimension for change in product and international diversity are described below. 1. Increment of Change (Degree of Dramatic Change) Product Diversity. Increment of change refers to the size of change per unit of time. Net change in diversity may have happened in small increments or in big leaps. It was measured by the variance of the annual changes in product diversity for the period 1978-1990. It was a continuous measure. A lower variance reflected a lower degree of dramatic change (and a higher degree of incremental change). Similarly, a higher variance meant that the change was more dramatic in nature. Annual change was calculated using the following formula: Annual change = Change in total product diversity = (TPDr ' TpDr-t) International Diversity. Incremental or dramatic internationalization was measured by the variance of the annual changes in international diversity for the period 1984-1990. Higher level of variance reflected more dramatic nature of change in globalization, and the lower variance suggested an incremental change. This measure was computed in a similar way as the product diversity measure using the following formula to calculate annual changes. 76 Annual change = Change in total international diversity = (T ID, - TIDH) 2. Relatedness of Change (Degree of Related Change) Product Diversity. Relatedness of change refers to the relationship among the newly added or divested activities and other activities of the organization. Entropy measures (Palepu, 1985) were used that assess related diversity of corporate entities. Related diversity is taken in terms of the business segments (the four-digit SIC code industries) within industry groups (two-digit SIC code industries) of the company. The measure of related change in diversity was continuous, and it reflected related change for the period 1978- 1990. The measure of related product diversity (RPD) was calculated as follows: Related Product Diversity (RPD) = ”Ej=,RPDjF ; where P = the share of the jth group sales in the total sales of the company. . RPDJ = Eijian/H) ; where F, is the share of the segment i of group j in the total sales of the group RPDj is the related diversity of the different segments within an industry group j The measure of related change was computed as the difference score between related product diversity over the years using the formula: 77 Degree of annual related change = (RPD, - RPD“) Total related change = ,,,,{(RPD, - RPD,,,) where N = number of years RPD = Related product diversity International Diversity. Related change in international diversity was calculated in a similar way as related change in product diversity. The formula used was as follows: Related International Diversity (RID) = ”13)., ,RIDJF' ; where F = the share of the jth country group sales in the total sales of the company. RID} = 2,&jF,1n(1/F,) ; where P} is the share of the country i of country group j in the total sales of the group RIDj is the related diversity of the different countries within a country group j Degree of annual related change in international diversity was computed using the following formula: Annual related change = (RID, - RID”) Total related change = ”E,=,{(RID, - RID“) where N = number of years RID = Related international diversity 78 3. Pervasiveness of Change (Degree of Pervasive Change) Pervasiveness of change is defined in terms of functions that organizational change encompasses in an organization at one time. The multiple correlation over time among the following three variables was the measure of the degree of pervasive change: change in capital expenditure, change in advertising expenditure, and change in research and development expenditure. These variables are closely related to the change in product and international diversity of organizations, and they show the degree of pervasiveness of change. Two measures of capital expenditures were used in the study. The first was change in net property, plant, and equipment of the company, and the other was change in gross property, plant, and equipment of the company. These two measures of capital expenditures gave two measures of the degree of pervasive change. Both the measures were correlated .74 and .77 in product diversification and geographic diversification data, respectively. 4. Direction of Change (Convergent-Divergent Change) Product Diversity. As conceptualized, convergent-divergent change measures the direction of change. An organization may have increased the total diversity (diversification), or may have decreased it over time (de- diversification or reverse-diversification (Luffman & Reed, 1982)). For an organization that was following a strategy of increasing product diversity, a further increase in diversity (diversification) reflects convergent change. A 79 decrease in diversity (de-diversification) shows divergent change in the company. If the organization continues to follow the same strategy, this reflects convergence, continuity, or momentum (Miller & Friesen, 1984). Reversal in strategy reflects divergent change. The direction of change of the organization was measured in the first half period of change (1978-1984) and the second half period change (1984- 1990). If the change of diversity was in the same direction during both the periods, it meant the organization made a convergent change. Otherwise, the change was interpreted as divergent change. This was a discontinuous measure. A score of l and 0 represented convergent and divergent change, respectively. International Diversity. For an organization that was increasing its globalization previously, an increase in the degree of internationalization reflected convergence, whereas a decrease meant divergent change in the organization. This was measured in the same way as product diversity, except that the years of the two half periods were 1984-1987 and 1987-1990, respectively. 80 Independent Variables An organization does not respond to change immediately; it has a longer planning horizon. It may be hard to know the exact planning horizon of an organization, and such horizons may vary according to the characteristics of the organizations and their environments. But, it may be assumed that an organization normally uses 4-5 year planning period. Similar periods have been used in other studies (e.g., Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990; Miller & Friesen, 1984). Therefore, independent variables were computed for the period 1975- 1987, and their relationships were studied with change in product diversity from 1978-1990. In the case of change in international diversity, the independent variables were measured for the period 1978-1983, and the dependent variables were measured for the period 1984—1990. The measurement of current resources was the exception. Current resources were measured for the same years as were the dependent variables. Independent variables in the study were operationalized as follows: 1 . Organization Size Size is an often-studied variable, and it is measured in many different ways. In this study, it was measured in terms of total number of employees of the company. The mean of the number of employees was computed over the years. Log of the mean number of employees over the years was taken because it helped normalize the variable (Blau & Schoenherr, 1971). This measure is 81 related with other measures of size (e.g., assets and sales of the company). Assets and sales were used in other variables; therefore, these measures were not used for size. 2. System Coupling System coupling expresses the interdependence of subsystems in a system, and therefore it was measured using a surrogate measure of interdependency. It was assumed that companies in which subunits reported market transactions with one another would be less tightly coupled than companies in which subunits did not report such transactions. It was expected that undifferentiated organizational units were interrelated by administrative mechanisms rather than by markets (Williamson, 1975), and were more tightly coupled. Intracompany sales increase as units attain more independence because more intracompany transactions are recorded. Therefore, low intracompany sales represented high system coupling, and vice versa. The measure was intracompany sales divided by total sales of the company, averaged over time. The measure was multiplied by -1 so that higher value of the measure represented high system coupling. 3. Environmental Munificence Munificence relates to the capacity of the environment to support the activities of an organization for growth and stability (Aldrich, 1979; Dess & 82 Beard, 1984; Starbuck, 1976). It is measured essentially using the growth rate of the industry over the years (Dess & Beard, 1984; Keats & Hitt, 1988). This variable was measured using the variables of sales at the 4-digit SIC code industry level (Keats & Hitt, 1988). The measure of growth is derived from the linear regression equation, and it is represented by the regression coefficient. It is identical to using the compound rate of interest formula to compute the rate of growth of the industry (Allen, 1988; Moch, Dass, Rubin, & Mendez, 1991). Assuming, the constant rate of growth, the formula is a basic form of the regression equation (Keats & Hitt, 1988). It uses a growth curve measure derived from multiwave data and offers improvement over two data point measure (Rogosa, Brandt, & Zimowski, 1982). Y,=bo+b,+e,; where Y = Industry sales or industry operating income at time t b0= Intercept b1= beta (regression coefficient) t = year e = residual 4. Environmental Dynamism Dess and Beard (1984) combined stability-instability and the turbulence dimensions (Aldrich, 1979; Thompson, 1967) in the form of a measure of environmental dynamism. This variable reflects variability in the industry environment of an organization. Environmental dynamism can be measured by the dispersion from the regression equation given in the environmental 83 munificence variable (Dess & Beard, 1984; Keats & Hitt, 1988). The exact measure of environmental dynamism in the study was the standard error (SM) of the regression slope coefficient in the equation given above (in environmental munificence). 5. Asset Specificity Asset specificity reflects organizational commitment to a strategy and the likelihood of its change. It refers to the assets that are specifically invested in pursuing a strategy. The specific assets further reinforce managers to continue the course of action they have undertaken (Staw & Ross, 1987). They do this because these assets may not be recovered if the strategy is changed (Huff et al., 1989). The variable of asset specificity can be measured in terms of fixed assets relative to current or total assets, where higher ratio means higher asset specificity. However, this measure was not used in the study because a similar measure was employed for another variable (i.e., organizational resources). An alternative measure that was used in this study operationalized specific assets through levels of intangible and financial assets in the organization. Intangible assets include patents, copyrights, and brand names. These are more specific assets (Bettis, 1981; Chatterjee & Wernerfelt, 1991; Hill & Snell, 1988; Montgomery & Hariharan, 1991). However, financial assets are more flexible (Chatterjee & Wernerfelt, 1991). The measure was the ratio of intangible assets to financial assets. This measure may vary with the 84 type of industry and therefore was standardized and considered relative to industry average. The COMPUSTAT II database reports intangible assets and financial assets of the organizations. Asset specificity may fluctuate from one year to another. The mean of asset specificity over the years 1975—1987 reflected average asset specificity of the organization. 6. Organizational Risk A measure of total risk was used in the study. The measure was the variance of company returns in the past. It is an accounting-based measure. The measure relates to the fluctuations of the past returns of the company over time (Bettis, 1981; Bettis & Hall, 1982; Bowman, 1980; Christensen & Montgomery, 1981; Fiegenbaum & Thomas, 1988; Rumelt, 1974). Organizational risk was measured for the time-period of 1975-1987. High variability in returns shows higher risk for the organization. This variable was also standardized with respect to the industry. 7. Organizational Resources Two measures of resources were used in the study: long-term and short- term. Following Bourgeois (1981) and Singh (1986), long-term resources represent unabsorbed slack (excess uncommitted resources) that was measured by the ratio of equity to debt (Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990; Hambrick & D’Aveni, 1988). It reflects resource availability over the long-term that is 85 important for making changes in strategy of the organization. The second measure was of short-term liquidity (Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990; Hambrick & D’Aveni, 1988) that was measured in terms of current ratio (current assets/current liabilities) (Hill & Hansen, 1991). Because characteristics of industries differ with respect to the requirement of resources, the measures were taken relative to industry. 8. Organizational Performance Organizational performance was measured in terms of financial performance of the company using an adjusted return on assets (AROA). This measure adjusts for average industry performance and gives organizational performance relative to other organizations with similar portfolios. Return on assets is a measure of organizational performance that managers accept as a good criterion of organizational performance (Bettis & Mahajan, 1985). It was computed using the following formula: AROA = ROA, - (Emu-,ROAF) ; where ROA, is the return on assets of the organization i mg, is the proportion of organization’s sales in four-digit industry j ROAfl is the return on assets of four-digit industry j. ROA =(Profits after tax + interest)/Total assets 86 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Power Analysis All studies need enough statistical power to get positive results when they are actually there. The requirement of power may vary from one study to another, even from one hypothesis to another, depending on the effect size and Type I error. As a convention, Cohen and Cohen (1983) suggested the statistical power of .80 and alpha = 0.5. Effect size depends on the variables of interest. Effect size may be estimated from the past studies, or from the expectations. The effect size (R2) for an overall test that was of interest in the present study was estimated to be 0.05 (Robertson, Roberts, & Porras, 1993). Therefore, following the procedure given by Cohen and Cohen (1983) for computing statistical power for multivariate regression, the minimum sample size required for an overall test was 353. There were 700 companies for most of the analysis, which gives a power of > .99 for the overall test. However, for testing effect of individual variables, with an effect size (R2) of .01, the sample size required was about 787 for a power of .80 (alpha = .05). Therefore, there was a statistical power of about .80 for testing individual effects for change in product diversity. The statistical power for testing individual hypotheses for change in international diversity was > .80, because the sample size was 855. 87 Data Analysis The sample of organizations included companies from different industries. Therefore, the company-level variables, both the independent and dependent variables were standardized with a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1 with respect to their 2-digit SIC code level industry to render data comparable across industries. However, as a result, a number of variables were negative. The negative numbers were converted to positive numbers by adding the corresponding minimum number in each variable. Furthermore, in case of interaction terms, variance of two contributing variables was made equal (to 1) to make sure two variables contributed almost equally to the interaction term. As a result of these operations, the variables were all positive with a standard deviation of 1. Data were analyzed using hierarchical regression analysis for dramatic, related, and pervasive change. The dependent variable of direction of change was discontinuous; therefore, it was analyzed using probit analysis (Aldrich & Nelson, 1984). An econometric software called SHAZAM (White, Haun, & Horsman, 1987) was used for the probit analysis. Probit analysis is used as an alternative to the linear regression analysis because the discontinuous dependent variable does not meet the requirements of the ordinary least squares solution. Consequently, the regression estimates though are unbiased, but are not best (i.e., they do not have the least variance) (Aldrich & Nelson, 1984). In such 88 cases where dependent variables are qualitative, probit analysis is a good alternative. Probit analysis uses a nonlinear normal distribution similar to logistic distribution. Therefore, the interpretation of the estimated coefficients is different. According to LeClere (1992), "(T)he sign of the coefficient gives the direction of the effect of a change in an independent variable. The relative magnitude of a coefficient indicates the relative influence that a variable has on the probability of choice" (p. 771). Slope or first derivative gives the marginal probability at the mean of the independent variables. But, the problem with the slope is that it is not invariant to scale. A better measure of the true marginal probability is the elasticity of probability because elasticities are independent of the scale. Regarding the interpretation of elasticities, LeClere (1992) noted as follows: ”A high elasticity (> 1) implies that the probability is very responsive to changes in the exogenous variables as there is a greater than proportionate change in the probability relative to the exogenous variable. A low elasticity ( < 1) implies that the probability is very unresponsive to changes in the exogenous variables as there is a less than proportionate change in the probability relative to the exogenous variable." (p. 772). The problem of multicollinearity was assessed in the independent variables and appropriate steps were taken to deal with it (Hill & Hansen, 1991; Kelejian & Oates, 1974). Results of the study are reported and discussed in the following chapters. Chapter 5 Results MATRIX OF CORRELATIONS The focus of this study was to investigate multidimensionality of organizational change. Organizational theories have implicitly treated change as unidimensional. For change to be considered unidimensional, the change dimensions must be strongly correlated with one another. The null hypothesis was that the multiple dimensions would be strongly correlated with one another. The alternate hypothesis was that the multiple dimensions of change would be weakly correlated with one another. Tables 1 and 2 exhibit the pearson correlation coefficients among various dimensions of change in product and international diversity, respectively. As these tables revealed, most of the correlation coefficients were equal to or less than .05 in both types of diversity. Specifically, five out of six correlation coefficients in product diversity, and four out of six correlation coefficients in international diversity were < = .05. The rest of the correlations ranged from .09 to .20. These relatively weak correlations among the dimensions of change rejected the null hypothesis that the dimensions were strongly correlated. Some correlations among the dimensions, though weak, were significant. These can be interpreted as representing part of the thinking in the literature. For example, the correlation coefficient between the degree of dramatic change and the degree of convergent change was -.20. It suggested that organizations were slightly inclined to make less convergent (divergent) changes in a dramatic 90 91 Table 1 Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Dimensions of Change in Product Diversity Variables 1 2 3 1. Degree of dramatic change 2. Degree of related change -.05* 3. Degree of pervasive change -.01 -.05 4. Convergent change -.20*** .04* -.02 N=2285, except in case of pervasive change, where N=432. ***p <=.001 ** p <=.01 * p <=.05 92 Table 2 Pearson Correlation Coefficients among Dimensions of Change in International Diversity Variables 1 2 3 1. Degree of dramatic change 2. Degree of related change .11*** 3. Degree of pervasiveness change .00 -.02 4. Convergent change -.09*** -.05** .04 N=3340, except pervasiveness of change, where N=457. *** p < =.001 ** p < =.01 * p < =.05 93 fashion. The same seemed to be true in the case of international diversity, though the correlation coefficient was even weaker. The pervasive change was least correlated with other dimensions of change in product and international diversity. These correlations indicated that pervasiveness of change was relatively more independent of other dimensions of change. The second point observed from Tables 1 and 2 was that the correlations of different dimensions of change were not universal in nature. In other words, the differing correlations rejected a generic model of change in product and international diversities. The pearson correlation coefficients varied depending on the type of change. For example, degree of dramatic change and degree of related change were negatively correlated in the case of product diversity. The same two dimensions were positively correlated in the case of international diversity. It may be noted that these correlations were weak and need to be interpreted cautiously. The pearson correlation of the degree of dramatic change in product diversity with the degree of dramatic change in international diversity was .11 (p< .01). The direction of change in two diversities was negatively related (r = -.08, p = .06). The related changes in two diversities had correlation of .03 (p = .41) whereas the correlation of pervasive changes was .37 (p< .00). Most of these correlations were weak that did not support the expectation of a generic model of change. 94 FACTOR ANALYSES Table 3 and 4 present the results of factor analyses of five measures of change in product diversity and international diversity, respectively. Four factors were derived from the data. Factor analysis using principle components method was run using factors 1 to 5. Varimax rotation was used in the analysis. An examination of these results showed that the four-factor solution provided the most clearly interpretable solution in both types of changes. Change of product diversity. As Table 3 reveals, the first factor explained 38 percent of the variance, and the second factor contributed 28 percent of the variance. Third and fourth factors contributed 17 percent and 14 percent of the variance. The eigen values for the factors 1 to 4 were 1.90, 1.38, .84, and .70, respectively. Two measures loaded on one factor of pervasive change. The other three measures loaded on each of the other three factors. The factor loading on the corresponding factors were .98 to .99. On other factors, the loadings were less than .15. In solutions involving 1 to 3 factors, measures loaded on more than one factor with high loadings. Change in international diversity. As Table 4 displays, factors 1 to 4 had eigen values of 1.94, 1.19, 1.03, and .77, respectively. The percentages of variance explained by the four factors were 39, 24, 21, and 15, respectively. 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The change dimensions cannot be represented in one factor, thereby, rejecting the notion of unidimensionality of change. Tables 5 and 6 present correlation coefficients among the independent variables for change in product and international diversities, respectively. The tables showed that organizational size, performance, risk, and resources were correlated with one another to varying degrees in the case of change in product and international diversities. However, the maximum correlation among the independent variables was observed between two measures of industry environment (i.e., environmental munificence and dynamism). The correlation was very strong (.81) and will cause multicollinearity problem in regression analyses. 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Probit analysis (Aldrich & Nelson, 1984) was applied to the fourth dependent variable namely, convergent change because it was a discontinuous variable. 1. Change in Product Diversity Four models were tested for change in product diversity; one each for the four dependent variables of dramatic change, related change, pervasive change, and convergent change. Each model was found to be significant overall. A canonical correlation analysis of the four dependent variables and fifteen independent variables1 yielded an F = 1.97 that was significant at p level of .0001 (df = 60, 572). ‘ The independent variables included were organizational size (linear, quadratic, and cubic), performance (linear and quadratic), current resources (linear and quadratic), long term resources (linear and quadratic), organizational risk, asset specificity, environmental munificence, environmental dynamism, interaction of performance and munificence, and interaction of performance and dynamism. It may be noted that canonical correlation analysis for change in product diversity included all variables except system coupling. The addition of system coupling resulted in too few cases to compute canonical correlation results. 101 2. Change in International Diversity Similar to the change in product diversity, four models were tested for change in international diversity. The models for dramatic change, related change, and convergent change were found to be significant overall. The model for pervasive change was not significant. Therefore, this model was dropped from further analysis. Consequently, change in international diversity was further analyzed and interpreted only for three dependent variables. A canonical correlation analysis for the three dependent variables and all independent variables was conducted that was found to be significant at p = .0001 (F = 6.13, df = 45, 2487). A canonical correlation analysis involving the overall significant models of change in product and change in international diversity also resulted in a statistical significant P value of 1.44 (p = .0004, df = 210, 655). This test controls Type I error for all the analyses conducted in the study.2 The following section reports the details of the regression and probit analyses for change in product and international diversity of organizations. 2 This analysis also did not include system coupling variable due to the missing data problem as mentioned previously. 102 Degree of Dramatic Change Table 7 presents the change in standardized regression coefficients, R2, and F values, with p values of hierarchical regression analyses on product diversity. Equation 1 contained the control variables. The control and the hypothesized main effects were included in Equation 2. Among others, Equation 2 included the linear and quadratic effects of organizational size.3 Cubic effect of organizational size was added in Equation 3.‘ An interaction term was added in the last step (Equation 4). All the equations on change in product diversity were found to have a significant overall F at p = .00 (Table 7). The R2 for each of the four equations was .03, .096, .109, and .12, respectively. Change in R2 was .066 for Equation 2 that included hypothesized main effects and it was significant (F change = 6.84, p< .001). 3 The effects of linear and quadratic components were earlier added in a sequence and were found to be significant (Cohen & Cohen, 1983). As discussed in Chapter 3, nonlinear effects of size were hypothesized. The quadratic terms of performance, or cubic components of size were added where the results were not significant, or when the results were not in the predicted direction. This was done to explore the nature of the relationship. 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Eu 3833580 n n n in v .5233 m 5:35 m .8235 H 5933 838:3 83:82.5 £235 335.5 E owns—U 9385.5 we 8..qu .5. $9222 :cmmuéhwom .329335 be 338% h 035. m2 104 Equation 4 included interaction and had a change in R2 of .011 that was significant (F change = 9.29, p< .001). Apparently, the amounts of R2 in the above equations seem to be low, but they were found to be reasonable when they were compared to similar studies. For example, in an equation that involved similar variables, Wiersema and Bantel (1992)5 found an R2 of .06. A recent meta-analysis of the 52 planned change studies found all interventions resulting in an R2 from .0004 to .05 for different dependent variables (Robertson et al., 1993). Table 8 presents the results of hierarchical regression analyses for international diversity. Similar to the analyses in change of product diversity, four regression equations were analyzed in international diversity. The results revealed that in the case of international diversification, the main effects Equation 2 yielded change in R2 = .09 that was significant (F change = 10.44, p< .001). The change in R2 contribution by the interaction, however, was not significant. Because the overall equations of product and international diversities were significant, individual hypotheses regarding the relationship of independent variables and the degree of dramatic change were tested. 5 Wiersema and Bantel (1992) published in Academy 9f Management JQQmal, 35: 91-121. .Ofi. "V an ”no. "V Am... 30. "V a: 38. "V at; 83 33.92 28 mm 33> a a ”3282 2.: 356580 =382w2 uoamufiucfim . S. .........8.2 3.3.2 - 08:6 m 8. no. mo. - ~m< *iifim.w sinuofi .a iiwvd 60. n— m§.~_ 9%: 3mg: mmw.m .8 :- 2. mo. 8. 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It suggested that organizations were inclined to make more dramatic change in times of low performance, while they changed in a less dramatic (incremental) fashion, when performance was high. The results presented in Table 7 revealed a significant negative linear relationship of performance and the degree of dramatic change, as hypothesized. The association of performance with the degree of dramatic change in international diversity was not significant, as revealed by Table 8. 2. Organizational Size. Organizational size was hypothesized to be related to the degree of dramatic change as follows: Hypothesis 1b: Small and big organizations change in a less dramatic fashion, whereas medium-sized organizations change in a more dramatic fashion. It was expected that as organizations grew in size, the size of the step of change varied in a nonlinear fashion. An inverted U-shaped relationship was expected between the size and degree of dramatic change in organizations. The results presented in Table 7 for product diversity and in Table 8 for international diversity showed a U-shaped relationship that was contrary to the hypothesis. 107 Therefore, the cubic term was added to find out if the relationship was of cubic nature. The results presented in Equation 3 (Tables 7 and 8), showed significant relationships of size with change in both kinds of diversities. These results were graphed in Figure 5 for product diversity and in Figure 6 for international diversity. The results showed that the small and large organizations changed in a less dramatic (incremental) manner, whereas the medium-sized organizations changed in a more dramatic manner, as hypothesized. However, the results showed that in the case of very large organizations, change again became more dramatic in nature. The results were similar in the case of both types of diversities. The curve exhibited a very interesting and complex nonlinear relationship between size of an organization and the degree of dramatic change in organizations. Doyo. of Drmtlc Change 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 111 0.09 000 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.01 ’ ' 108 Figure 5 Organizational Size and Degree of Dramatic Change in Product Diversity olo'iIo‘zlobldtloislohlobloblobli ans 015 025 (135 0.45 (155 (155 0.75 ass as ' when» Dow.- ol Oran-tic Ghana. 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.14 1113 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 109 Figure 6 Organizational Size and Degree of Dramatic Change in International Diversity l u u '1 a 1‘ '- u L‘ t‘ t‘ 74 '4 fl 9 "P l l 1 1 1 l 1 olmlazloslmlosloslor ans ms-ozsnasmsassass lo'nlo‘sli muse-95 110 3. Organizational Resources. Organizational resources were expected to be related to the degree of dramatic change as follows: Hypothesis 1c: Organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources will make more dramatic change, whereas organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources will make less dramatic change. The relationships of organizational resources with product and international diversity can be seen in Tables 7 and 8, respectively. The above hypothesis was tested with respect to current resources and long-term resources. The association of neither of these two variables was found to be significant in the case of change in product diversity. Similarly, current resources were not found to significantly related to the degree of dramatic change in international diversity. However, the relationship of long-term resources with change in international diversity was significant. Both the linear and quadratic components were significant, therefore, the relationship was nonlinear, as hypothesized. It suggested that a low level and a high level of long term resources were related to more dramatic change, and a moderate level of resources was related to less dramatic change. It was represented graphically in Figure 7. 00". o! Dram-Clo Chang. 1 l 1 Figure 7 Organizational Resources and Degree of Dramatic Change in International Diversity -0.17 -02 l -o:1— «is— -0.6 l 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 W Rm (Lon Tum) 112 4. Environmental Dynamism. Environmental dynamism was hypothesized to be related to the degree of dramatic change as follows: Hypothesis 1d: The lower the environmental dynamism, the less dramatic the change; the higher the environmental dynamism, the more dramatic the change. The results presented in Table 7 for change in product diversity and in Table 8 for change in international diversity revealed that dynamism was a significant correlate of these changes. The relationship was positive in product diversification, as hypothesized. However, dynamism was found to be negatively related to change in international diversity. The variables of organizational risk, asset specificity, and environmental munificence on degree of dramatic change were used as control variables in the study. The relationships of organizational risk with degree of dramatic change in product and international diversities were not significant. Similarly, asset specificity and environmental munificence did not significantly relate to international diversity, as expected. However, asset specificity was found to have a statistically significant positive relationship with the degree of dramatic change in product diversity of organizations (Table 7). Environmental munificence though insignificant in the first equation, gained significance when other variables were added. This showed that the presence of other factors, particularly environmental dynamism, influenced the association of munificence and change in product diversity. In international 113 diversification, the presence of both munificence and dynamism caused a multicollinearity problem. Taking munificence out of the equation made the coefficient of dynamism significant. However, the sign of the relationship was opposite to the hypothesized relationship, as mentioned above. 5. Interaction. Organizational performance and environmental dynamism were expected to interact as given below: Hypothesis 1e: In an organization with lower performance, higher environmental dynamism will lead to a less dramatic change as compared to lower environmental dynamism. Equation 4 in Tables 7 and 8 shows the interactive effects of organizational performance and environmental change for product and international diversities, respectively. The interaction added an R2 of .011 to the degree of dramatic change in product diversity that was significant (F change = 9.29, p< .001). These results were graphed in Figure 8. There was no support for the interaction hypothesis in international diversification. In a nutshell, the results showed organizational performance, size, organizational resources, environmental dynamism, and asset specificity were correlates of dramatic change. At least some of them had different relationships with change in product diversity and change in international diversity in organizations. 1 14 Figure 8 Interaction of Performance and Dynamism, and Degree of Dramatic Change in Product Diversity o :11 q: CD (13 GP eh GP 1:: 1- 1:1 Douro. of Dramatic Chang. (Thomandcl 61 T 0 5 I) 15 20 25 30 35 4O 45 Enviumnhl Dynamism _ D [ow Mam + M Mum 115 Degree of Related Change The analyses of the degree of related change were similar to the earlier variable, the degree of dramatic change. The results of these analyses are presented in Tables 9 and 10 for change in product and international diversities, respectively. Three equations were used in the regression analysis. Equation 1 included the control variables. Main effects were added in Equation 2,‘ whereas interaction was added in Equation 3. Equation 1 included the variables of average industry performance and organizational resources. Both the current and long-term resource variables were included as control variables. The Equation 2 was significant overall (Table 9, F = 2.02, df = 10,721, p = .03) and it added an R2 of .03 (F change = 2.22, p< .05) in product diversity. Similarly, the equation added R2 of .02 that was significant (Table 10, F = 1.90, p< .05) in the case of change in international diversity. The Equation 3 was significant overall, but the interaction was not significant in either of the two diversities. Because the Equation 2 was overall significant for change in product and international diversities, testing of the individual hypotheses related to the degree of related change was undertaken. The linear effects of performance were not found to be significant; therefore, the quadratic term of performance was added to understand the relationship, as discussed in Chapter 3 and previously in this chapter. AZ. "V ax ”m6. NV Am... So. "V a: 38. "V Q31. “:3 =S.o§ :8 mm 33> a .. cor—82 2: 358508 guy-Ewe: 3:58:53: . 8. .3: - 8:96 m 8. 8. - R: *8.N *NO.N 2 A nu out: 5.2 5.: :8 8. 8. 8. N: 3.2- ou:ooE:=2*oo::E-5tom 8.- 8.- 83:3 0:: 38:85:85 2. on. 86 3:23:35 3.8.: :3: 8.2:: 8588:»: 3:88:35 86. 3R6. cage-tom 3:332:90 wad *wor 8:35:22 §:oE:o:>:m 8. 8. 5358:: :82 8. 8. :5. 3:88:35 8. oo. 5. moo-580m 85,—. w:3 3. 3. x8. 88:80m Eat—6 8. S. S.- ..5: 93:5 8:83: n n .2: m 8:25 N 8:33 : 8:85 8.::::> 38:83:: $225 35822.: a 8:26 23:: u: :28: a: 33:3. 5:828: 32883: :: $58: a 2:3. 2 fl .2."me HQHVQ... SQHVQ: ”_oo.flVQ..:.z.. 3.2 =S-oE :8 mm 02.? a .. 8:88 93 3:055:50 86838 EMF—3:35.: . 8. *8; - “.335 "— 8. mo. - W3 *3; *3; *3.~ "— 33: 3.: 823 a: No. 8. 8. NM 36 oo:8¢_:=2*8::§otom tan? 3%.. 83% Ba 3:83:35 2:. tom. 86 3:83:35 3.7 *8. cognac-tom 3:335:90 and- No.- oo:oo_-::32 35:85:35 3.- 8.- 53:38: :82 8. 8. :2: 3::::::3w5 3.- 3.- 3.- 88:80m 85,—. w:3 8.- 8.- $3.. moosaom Eotso 3. 3. 8. .tom E355 owfio>< n n eh m 5233 m 8235 fl 5335 83:9; Eugoaoufi haw—35 3:555:85 E own—EU 6353— 3: 8..on :8 xmm_::< Emmanuel _8_5..Eo_= a: 838% 3 03:9 5: 118 1. Organizational Performance. The relationship of organizational performance and related change was expected as hypothesized below: Hypothesis 2a: The higher the level of performance, the more related the organizational change. Table 10 shows a significant association of organizational performance and the degree of related change in international diversity. Therefore, the hypothesis was supported for international diversity. Table 9 exhibits the relationship of performance on the degree of related change in product diversity. The linear effect of performance was not significant in product diversification, in contrast to the hypothesis. The quadratic term was added to test if the relationship was nonlinear in nature, as some studies reported (e. g., Baum, 1990). The results produced significant regression coefficients of linear and quadratic terms of performance (p< .10). These results graphed in Figure 9 suggested a nonlinear relationship between performance and related change in product diversity that was not hypothesized. Higher performance led to higher related diversification after a threshold. Below the threshold, total related change decreased as performance increased. Because the relationship of performance and related change in product diversity was nonlinear, the slope of the curve was graphed. The slope represented the rate of related change with respect to organizational performance. The rate of change was equivalent to the first derivative of the Douro. of Rolatod Chang. 1 19 Figure 9 Performance and Degree of Related Change in Product Diversity 4— / ._ / 0 n a .15 -2r -3- .4_ -5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 010.2 0.3 04 0.5 0.6 07 0.0 09 120 total related change. It revealed a positive relationship between organizational performance and rate of related change in organizations (see Figure 9). 2. Organizational Size. The association of organizational size and related change was expected as follows: Hypothesis 2b: Small and big organizations make less related change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more related change. The hypothesis was supported in international diversification, but it did not get support in the case of product diversification. Figure 10 shows an inverted U- shaped curve that provided unequivocal support for the hypothesis for change of international diversity. 3. Environmental Munificence. The relationship of environmental munificence was hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis 2c: The lower the munificence of the industry segment, the higher the related organizational change. The hypothesis was supported for change in product diversity, but not the in case of change in international diversity. The results of change in product diversity implied that an organization in a declining segment of an industry was more inclined to search for opportunities in other segments of its broad industry (2—digit SIC code industry). This would result in more related organizational change. Hypotheses concerning organizational risk and asset specificity to related 121 change were not supported in the study. Current and long-term resources were employed as control variables. The control model was not significant in product diversification. However, it was significant (Table 10, F = 2.74, df = 3,1992; p = .04) in the case of international diversification. The regression coefficient of current resources was negatively related to related change in international diversity (p< .05) as shown in Table 10. Door-o of Rolatod Change 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 122 Figure 10 Organizational Size and Degree of Related Change in International Diversity 123 Degree of Pervasive Change Table 11 reveals the results of regression analysis for product diversification, whereas Table 12 presents the results for change in international diversity. Four equations were used in each type of diversity. Equation 1 was the control model containing current resources and long-term resources. In the next step, organizational performance was added in Equation 2. Organizational size was added in Equation 3. All these equations employed the first measure of the degree of pervasive change. This measure involved using change in annual net property, plant, and equipment as the measure of capital expenditures of the company. Equation 4 used the second measure of capital expenditures that was annual change in gross property, plant, and equipment of the company in computing pervasive change. Because the data for these equations came from different sources, system coupling could not be added to the other equations. Therefore, system coupling was analyzed as a single variable using least squares regression, rather than in a hierarchical regression model. Table 11 displays the regression coefficients, probabilities, R2 and other details of the results with respect to change in product diversity. The second regression equation yielded an R2 of .06 and change in R2 = .02, that was only marginally significant at p = .07. The variable included was organizational performance. 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The analysis of similar three equations using the second measure of the degree of pervasive change (i.e., change in gross property, plant, and equipment of the company) did not reveal any significant results. The results of Equation 4 (Table 11) using second measure of pervasive change (change in gross property, plant, and machinery as a measure of capital expenditures) that included only system coupling were significant overall at p = .03 (F = 4.92, df = 1,100). Table 12 reports the results of regression analysis of pervasive change in international diversity. The analysis was conducted similar to change in product diversity using four equations as explained above. None of the equations was significant; therefore, no further analysis was conducted for change in international diversity of organizations, as noted previously in the overview. Because the overall Equations 3 and 4 (Table 11) in product diversity were significant, the individual hypotheses for change in product diversity were tested. 1. Organizational Performance. Organizational performance was expected to be related to the degree of pervasive change as hypothesized below: Hypothesis 3a: The lower the level of performance, the more pervasive the organizational change. 0:.uv : : ”Suv : .. S.uv : .2. :8.nv : ........ :8: 8:03: 5.: m: a o 8:08: 03 3885000 538:8: 838383: .. 0:38:88 3:83 .«0 08808 0:: 8 30:8 808 8 08:80 3:: 8.8808 8B 0330 03820: 0:08: 083:3 8:300 80:3,»: 0: 5:20: 8 8080 .880 :3 8 0883.» 80:88: 05 83 8:88:88 3830 :0 08808 3 8 30:8 :0: 8 0830 33: 88808 0830 03820: . - 0m; 5.: - 093:0 m - 8. 8. - mad 8. 8.: 0:. F. m 8.: 5.: $3 08.: :0 co. 3. 8. 5. NM 5. 3:300 806% 8.. 83cm 08m 35:38:80 um. 08m 35:38:30 .2 .- 8.- 0038580: 35:38:90 mo. 3. ca. 80883: 8:0,: m5: no: mo: 2 .- 80:58: 80:30 0 n m an e 5:33: m 8833 a 3:35 : 5:30: 8389 80:08:08: 2.538080 .302502: 5 0:030 038.80.: .8 00:80 :0: £8.22: 588.80% 80:80:33: :0 838% N— 030,—. cm: 127 The relationships of organizational performance with changes in product diversity presented in Table 11 (Equation 2) were marginally significant using the first measure of pervasive change. The second measure did not yield significant results of performance on pervasive change in product diversity. The marginally significant results in Table 11 provide a weak support for the hypothesis that under the conditions of low performance, the organizational change is more pervasive. 2. Organizational Size. The relationship of organizational size and pervasive change was hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis 3b: Small and big organizations make less pervasive change, whereas medium-sized organizations make more pervasive change. Table 11 reveals the results of organizational size on the degree of pervasive change in product diversity. Organizational size added an R2 of .03 (F change = 3.10; p = .05) to the degree of pervasive change in product diversity using first measure (Table 11). However, the regression coefficients were not significant. The nature of the relationship was also in contrast to the hypothesis. An inverted-U shaped curve was expected, but the above relationship represents a U-shaped curve (Figure 11). The U-shaped relationship implied that small and large organizations made more concerted change and that medium—sized organizations changed in a piecemeal manner. Using second measure of pervasive change, there was no significant effect for Down. at Perv-chr- Change 128 Figure 11 Organizational Size and Degree of Pervasive Change in Product Diversity §§§ I70 ~ 8§§§§§ ITIII cassassassé i 129 size on pervasive change in product diversity. 3. System Coupling. The association of system coupling was hypothesized as given below: Hypothesis 3c: The tighter the system coupling in an organization, the more pervasive the organizational change. Table 11 exhibits the relationship of system coupling on pervasive change in product diversity using second measure of the degree of pervasive change. The relationship of system coupling on the degree of pervasive change varied with the measure of pervasive change. Using the change in gross property, plant, and equipment as capital expenditure of the company in computing the measure of pervasive change, the hypothesis was supported (Table 11, Equation 4). In fact, the single variable of system coupling accounted for .05 percent of the variance in product diversity change. It had a standardized coefficient of .22 significant at p = .03 level (F = 4.92, df = 1,100). These results need to be interpreted in view of that (i) there were two variables of pervasiveness of change thereby giving two chances for testing a relationship; (ii) the system coupling variable could not be entered in one equation with other variables. This was because there were not enough companies available with data on system coupling, performance, and other variables in the study. l 30 Convergent Change Tables 13 and 14 report the results of the probit analyses of product and international diversities, respectively. These analyses were conducted in a simultaneous fashion rather than in a hierarchical manner. The hypothesized variables were analyzed using model 1 (Tables 13 and 14). It included the variables of organizational performance, size, resources, and environmental munificence. The likelihood ratio test in probit analysis serves the purpose of overall F test of ordinary least squares regression. The likelihood ratios for change in product and international diversities were high. Therefore, both models were significant. In the case of product diversification, the likelihood ratio was 25.40, with an R2 = .05, and the model made 65 percent predictions correctly (Table 13, model 2).7 The model of international diversification had a likelihood ratio of 117.31, and an R2 of .18 (Table 14, model 2). It made 71 percent predictions correctly. Because the overall models were significant, the results of individual hypotheses on convergent change were tested. Cragg-Uhler R2 was used. 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Bed 83. 3:83.830 3 .m- .8: R.“- .3.- 3m 85550.03 382.3530 3.3 .52.- 3.3 33.. 33 2.33.. 8§E§2 35525-3 mom- 8.. $3. .8- Sa- .8.- 8.3% .838.“ E...- 3.3 mm.» 5. 33 .3. was .3. 82883 .58. 3.3 93 3. m: 3.- 83 3. 8.8% .8593 .550 n2- 3.. 83- 3.- 30.n- :..- 82:83 2230 3.3- .3... 3.- 3.- 3.- 3.- 823% 03m 3833530 23 5: e. :. om. 3. 35 0833530 02.- .3: 3.» .8. 8.7 .3.- 85.583 3833530 3. .8. 3. .8. 3. .:. 30588 .32 32m .0.m .033 .0.m 2.2m ..0.m m 382 N 082 3 032 8§E> 288385 haw—35 30050530— £ 09.25 Bow-5.500 00.. 33:23. “30.:— H0 338% 3 030,—. N2 133 1. Organizational Performance. Organizational performance was hypothesized to have the following relationship: Hypothesis 4a: The higher the level of performance, the higher the probability of convergent organizational change. Tables 13 and 14 display the relationship of organizational performance and convergent change. Organizational performance was not significant for change in product diversity. Therefore, the hypothesis of linear positive effect was not supported. Because the hypothesis was not supported, and some previous studies have reported nonlinear relationships, a quadratic term was added to test the possibility of nonlinear effect. Model 2 (Table 13) and Figure 12 present the results. Both the linear component and quadratic components of organizational performance were significant (p < .05), and the elasticities were high. Concerning change in international diversity (Table 14, Model 1), organizational performance was found to be significant (p < .05). However, its sign was in contrast to the hypothesized effect. A positive linear relationship was expected, but the results showed a negative one. Because the findings were unexpected, and earlier studies found nonlinear (and contradictory) effects, Model 2 was analyzed by adding quadratic term of organizational performance. The linear component was significant at p < .05, whereas the quadratic term was significant at p < .001 level. Using the quadratic term as a Convorgont Change 134 Figure 12 Performance and Convergent Change in Product Diversity :i M -2_ MW 143 I 533 I aialdulnfolzt‘nlziolza'olainl 3.43 .143 “.43 15.43 3.43 23.43 27.43 31.43 35.43 0 Commentary 0 lid-clamp 135 control, the linear term was related to convergent change in a positive relationship, as hypothesized. The results have been presented in Figure 13. The results revealed a U-shaped curve in the case of product diversity, but an inverted U-shaped curve in the case of international diversity. Because the relationship was nonlinear, the first derivative of the model was graphed to understand the slope of the curve that represented rate of convergent change in organizations. The above hypothesis was supported in the case of rate of convergent change in product diversity. That is, higher performance led to more probability of convergent change in product diversity (Table 13, Figure 12). However, the relationship was opposite in case of international diversification (Table 14, Figure 13). Convergent Change 136 Figure 13 Performance and Convergent Change in International Diversity '3 I I I r I I I 1.43 I 543 I 143 I 1143 I I74: I an I 2543 143 7 43 I143 15.43 343 2:443 WW Mam 137 2. Organizational Size. Organizational size was hypothesized to be related to convergent change as follows: Hypothesis 4.2. Small and big organizations have a higher probability of changing in a convergent fashion, whereas medium- sized organizations have a lower probability of changing in a convergent fashion. A nonlinear relationship was expected between organizational size and probability of convergent change in organizations. The results presented in Table 13 for product diversity and in Table 14 for international diversity did not show support for the hypothesized relationships. As the hypothesis was not supported, a cubic term was added to explore the nature of relationship between size and convergent change (Model 3). Even the cubic relationship of size was not significant for change in product diversity. With respect to international diversification, there was marginal significance of a cubic relationship (Table 14: Equation 3, and Figure 14). The relationship suggested that the probability of convergent change in international diversification increased from medium to large organizations, as expected; however, interestingly, the probability of convergent change in small organizations was lowest. The results were marginally significant and unexpected. Nevertheless, they point to possibilities of a fascinating relationship. 138 Figure 14 Organizational Size and Convergent Change in International Diversity Convoraont Change I 8 I 139 3. Organizational Resources. Organizational resources were hypothesized to have the following relationship with convergent change: Hypothesis 4c: Organizations with moderate levels of organizational resources are more likely to change in a convergent mode, whereas organizations with extreme levels of organizational resources are less likely to change in a convergent mode. The above hypothesis was tested with respect to current resources and long- term resources. As Table 13 exhibits, neither of these two types of resources was found to have a significant relationship with change in product diversity. Similarly, current resources did not have a significant association with international diversity, as Table 14 reveals. However, the estimated coefficient of long-term resources on change in international diversity was significant (Table 14, p< .05). As Table 14 shows, estimated coefficients of both the linear and quadratic components were significant at p < .05 (Model 2), providing support for the hypothesis. It showed that a moderate level of long- term resources was related to a higher probability of convergent change (Figure 15). At the same time, a low level and a high level of long—term resources was associated with lower probability of convergent change. Convorgont Change 10 140 Figure 15 Organizational Resources and Convergent Change in International Diversity I53 I 3'43 I 3'43II343II7343I2143I23'43I23I43I3343I 343 7.43 I143 I343 I343 23 343 27.43 343 3343 - MMlflmll-uuhn) 141 4. Environmental Munificence. The relationship of environmental munificence was hypothesized as follows: Hypothesis 4d: The higher the munificencc of the industry segment, the more the probability of convergent organizational change. As Table 13 shows, the results supported the hypothesis for change in product diversity. The results implied that a company in the growth industry was more likely to change in the direction it had been following earlier. In other words, a company that was in a growth stage will keep on making convergent changes (e. g., increasing its product diversity). The hypothesis was not supported in international diversification. In fact, the opposite results were received. These results suggested that an organization had higher probability of reversing its direction of change in international diversification when its major industry’s munificence was high. 5. Asset Specificity. Asset specificity was hypothesized to have a relationship with convergent change as follows: Hypothesis 4c: The higher the asset specificity in an organization, the higher the convergent change. A positive relationship between asset specificity and convergent change was expected. The results presented in Table 14 demonstrate that the above hypothesis was supported in international diversification. However, there was no support in change of product diversity. 142 An overview of the results of the study shows that the dimensions of change identified in the study were not strongly correlated with one another. This gives credence to the idea of multidimensionality of change in organizations. Second, various dimensions of change had different models of change. In other words, the dimensions either had different correlates, or they had different patterns of association with the correlates. For example, with respect to change in product diversity, organizational performance had a linear negative relationship with dramatic and pervasive change, and a U-shaped relationship with related change and convergent change. Third, the models of change for product and international diversification were found to be different. Therefore, it can be concluded that there is support for the major thesis of the study that organizational change is not unidimensional, but multidimensional in nature. However, there was no support for a generic model of change that can apply to different kinds of changes in organizations. The next chapter summarizes the results of the study and gives its limitations and further areas for advancing research on the topic. Chapter 6 Discussion Most researchers analyze organizational change in unidimensional terms. The objective of this study was to examine multidimensionality of organizational change, and to develop and test models of dimensions of organizational change. It was expected that different dimensions of change were weakly correlated with one another and had different patterns of association with the sources of change. This chapter reviews the findings of the study, discusses its limitations and contributions, and suggests implications for future research on decision making and change in organizations. SUMMARY OF THE FINDINGS OF THE STUDY The first focus of the study was to identify multiple dimensions of change and to test relationships among them. Four dimensions of change were identified: increment, relatedness, pervasiveness, and direction of change. These dimensions were studied with respect to two kinds of strategic organizational changes: change in product diversity and change in international diversity. For change to be regarded as unidimensional, the dimensions must be strongly correlated. There were no strong correlation coefficients among the identified dimensions. The dimensions of change in the study were found to be weakly correlated with one another for change in product and international diversity. Most of the correlations were below .05, and the maximum correlation was -.20 that was between the increment of change (dramatic 144 145 change) and direction of change (convergent change). Five measures of the dimensions of organizational change in the study were factor analyzed. There was no support for one factor of organizational change. In fact, four factors were derived from these measures for change in product and international diversities that gave the best interpretable results. The above results led to the second focus of the study, which was to identify various correlates of change dimensions. These correlates act as sources of change in organizations. Dimensions of change involved various processes of change. Increment of change was associated with incremental to dramatic change, whereas low to high related change referred to relatedness of change. Similarly, piecemeal to pervasive change was linked to the dimension of pervasiveness, and convergent and divergent changes were reflected by the direction of change. The following four broad categories of the sources of change were identified: organizational performance, history, environment, and strategic choice. These broad categories yielded the correlates of change that were used as predictor variables in the study. The four dimensions of change were the dependent variables. The association of independent variables with increment, relatedness, and pervasiveness of change was analyzed using hierarchical regression analysis. The direction of change was a discontinuous variable, therefore, probit analysis was used to test the relationship of independent 146 variables with convergent-divergent change in organizations. Data on 731 and 855 companies registered on the U.S. stock-exchanges were used for analyzing change in product and international diversities, respectively. The results have been summarized according to the independent variables in the study. Organizational Performance. Organizational performance was hypothesized to be associated with change in all the four dimensions of change in product and international diversities. Linear effects were hypothesized in the study. With respect to change in product diversity, organizational performance was found to be negatively related to the degree of dramatic change, as hypothesized. There was marginal support for pervasive change in product diversity using net assets as the measure of capital expenditures. These results implied that lower performance was associated with higher dramatic and pervasive change in product diversity. Lower performance is likely to provide incentives, political leverage, and institutional legitimacy for making dramatic and pervasive change in product diversity of organizations. Organizational performance was not significantly related to dramatic and pervasive change in international diversity. Organizational performance had a nonlinear relationship with related change in product diversity of organizations. The curve was U-shaped (Figure 9). The slope of the curve representing rate of related change was positive. Therefore, higher organizational performance was associated with a higher rate 147 of related change. In the case of international diversification, performance had a positive linear relationship with related change, as hypothesized. The relationship of performance was different in product and international diversities that rejected the possibility of a generic model in the study, contrary to expectations. Organizational performance had a significant relationship with the direction of change in product and international diversities. An interesting point was that the nature of the relationship between performance and direction of change in product diversity (Figure 12) was different from the same in international diversity (Figure 13). The curve of performance and convergent change was U-shaped in change of product diversity, whereas it was an inverted-U shape in change in international diversity. The rate of change of direction was positive in the case of product diversification, whereas it was negative in international diversification. The negative relationship in international diversification was not expected. An improvement in performance may incline the management to increase product diversity. In other words, in a high-performance organization, managers keep on increasing the product diversity. A company making product diversification may focus on its current markets. It is because the company can take advantage of the opportunities in the domestic market and it may not go to international markets. Therefore, organizations may choose between increasing product and international diversity 148 simultaneously. The above-mentioned nonlinear relationships of performance and dramatic change should be regarded as tentative because these were speculative in nature. There was not enough theory to hypothesize these relationships. Previous studies on change have reported inconsistent results of nonlinear effects. Some studies reported a U-shaped curve, whereas others found an inverted-U shape relationship. These studies include analysis of threat-rigidity effects (Staw et al., 1981) and conservatism in low performing organizations (Cameron et al., 1981; Whetten, 1987). Other studies include Baum (1990), Fombrun and Ginsberg (1986), and Ginsberg (1988). The findings of this study provide a basis for testing these relationships in future research using a multiple dimensions format. The results of organizational performance showed that concerning change in product diversity, organizational performance had a negative linear relationship with dramatic and pervasive change. However, performance had a U-shaped relationship with related change and convergent change in product diversity of organizations. In the case of international diversification, performance was found to have no relationship with dramatic change and pervasive change. However, it had a positive linear relationship with related change and an inverted-U shaped relationship with convergent change in international diversity. The above results showed that organizational 149 performance had dissimilar associations with different dimensions of change analyzed in this study. This supports the basic thesis of this study that organizational change was multidimensional in nature and that various dimensions of organizational change had different models of change. Organizational Size. Organizational size was found to have an identical nonlinear relationship with increment of change (dramatic change) in product diversity (Figure 5) and international diversity (Figure 6), as hypothesized. Size had a marginally significant nonlinear association with the direction of change (convergent change) in international diversity when the cubic terms were entered. However, as expected, the relationship of size to dramatic change (Figures 5 and 6) was qualitatively different from its relationship to convergent change (Figure 15) in international diversity. The association of size with convergent change in product diversity was not significant. Organizational size was not found to have a significant relationship with related change in product diversity. However, in the case of international diversity, the relationship was an inverted-U shape, as expected (Figure 10). The results revealed that organizational size had an inverted-U shape relationship with pervasive change in product diversity using measure 1 (Table 11, Figure 11). This was in contrast to the hypothesized effect. The above results in product diversification implied that small organizations changed in a pervasive manner and medium-sized organizations changed in a piecemeal 150 manner. These results can be attributed to the ease of small companies to orchestrate changes because of their characteristics of low formalization, entrepreneurial culture, and relatively fewer components. Change, creativity, and innovation decrease as organizations increase their sizes. The finding that larger companies were more likely to make pervasive change can be understood based on the ideas expressed in industrial organization economics (Porter, 1980; Scherer, 1980). These ideas, as mentioned in Chapter 3, show that larger organizations have more resources in absolute terms. These resources may help them make changes in many variables simultaneously and take risks. It may be mentioned that statistical controls in the regression equation included resources in relative terms (i.e., the measures of long-term and current resources were ratios in this study). These organizations have a better ability to raise capital and can invest in capital expenditures, research and development expenditures, and advertising expenditures simultaneously. They, therefore, are in a better position to make pervasive changes. Larger organizations may not have the choice to make piecemeal changes because they have more complex structures and have developed interdependencies among different functions and variables. The relationship of size with pervasive change in international diversity was not significant. The above results of organizational size revealed that its relationship with 151 related change and convergent change was not significant in product diversity. However, size had a nonlinear relationship with dramatic and pervasive change in product diversity. In the case of international diversity, size was significantly related to pervasive change, however, it had an inverted-U shaped relationship with related change. Similarly, size had different types of nonlinear relationships with dramatic change and convergent change in international diversity. These results showed that different dimensions of change had vastly different relationships with organizational size. It supported the basic thesis of the study that organizational change dimensions were multiple and distinct from one another. The results, however, rejected the idea of a generic model of change because most of the relationships of size were different in the two types of change studied. System Coupling. System coupling was hypothesized to have a significant relationship with pervasive change. Its relationship was found to vary depending on the measures of pervasive change in organizations. System coupling alone explained variance of .05 in pervasive change when pervasiveness was measured employing change in net property, plant, and equipment as a measure of capital expenditures of the company. System coupling was not hypothesized to significantly relate to other dimensions of change. Its above-mentioned significance for pervasive change in product diversity supported the contention that there were different correlates of 152 different dimensions of change. Environmental Munificence and Dynamism. The environmental variables of munificence and dynamism were significantly associated with change in product diversity, as hypothesized. A munificent environment was related to a lower degree of related change, and a higher probability of convergent change in product diversity of organizations. Organizations in highly dynamic environments made more dramatic change in product diversity as compared to organizations in less dynamic environments that made more incremental changes. These findings were also consistent with rationale developed by Ginsberg (1988) on changes in organizations. In contrast to change in product diversity, environmental variables were not found to have a positive relationship with change in international diversity. Environmental munificence had a negative association with convergent change in international diversity, contrary to the hypothesis. Munificence did not have a significant relationship with related change in international diversity. Environmental dynamism was negatively associated with the degree of dramatic change in international diversity, in contrast to the hypothesis. These results were attributed to two possibilities: the way these variables were measured in the study and the change in product and international diversities may be competitive in nature. The environmental variables were measured with respect to their 4-digit SIC code industry in the U.S., whereas international diversity 153 referred to diversification in international markets. The opposite results indicated that an organization had higher probability of reversing its direction of change in international diversification in view of higher munificence of its major industry at home. As a post-hoc interpretation of the results, an organization may reverse its globalization if its major industry in its home country offers good opportunities. Moreover, a highly dynamic environment at home is associated with dramatic changes in product diversity, whereas change in international diversity may be ignored or made incremental. The contrasting results in product and international diversification are similar to the relationship of performance and convergent change. These results seem very interesting and need to be explored in future research. The results of environmental munificence and dynamism further attest to the idea that different dimensions of change have different models of change in organizations. These results support the notion of multidimensionality of change in organizations and reject the generic model of change. Strategic Choice Variables. The strategic choice variables of organizational risk, asset specificity, and organizational resources were analyzed in the study. Their effect in the study was relatively limited. The relationship of organizational risk was hypothesized with related change only. It was not found to be significant. In other dimensions, where it was used as a control variable, the results also showed no significant association. The results were 154 similar in change of product and international diversity. The results of asset specificity were similar to those of organizational risk in the case of related change. A significant relationship of asset specificity with related change was hypothesized. However, it was not significantly related to related change in any of the two kinds of diversities studied. However, asset specificity was found to have a significant relationship with the degree of dramatic change in product diversity. The results implied that higher asset specificity led to more dramatic change in product diversity. Specific assets have low propensity for redeployment in new circumstances. Therefore, managers need to develop a rationale, a master plan, and political support for the changes they want to bring about. The organization has to be prepared for a dramatic move to accept the losses that may be incurred due to change. All these call for a dramatic change in the organization. The relationship of asset specificity was not significant in any of the other cases, as expected, except in convergent change in international diversity. In this case, the relationship was significant but the size of the effect was negligible (.01). Organizational resources were hypothesized to be associated with the degree of dramatic change and convergent change in organizations. It was interesting to find that current resources did not have a significant relationship with any dimension in either of the diversities. The only exception was related change in international diversity that was not hypothesized. Current resources 155 were generally not critical in strategic decisions such as change in product or international diversity, because these decisions required long-term commitments. Long-term resources were not significantly related to the increment and direction of change in product diversity, but they were marginally significant in pervasive change. However, long-term resources did have a significant relationship with increment of change and direction of change in international diversity. The nature of these relationships of long-term resources with international diversification was as hypothesized. In short, organizational performance and size were the factors that were associated with most dimensions of organizational change in product and international diversities. However, their relationships with different dimensions were not the same, as expected. Tighter system coupling had a positive linear relation with the pervasive change in product diversity using change in net assets as the measure of capital expenditures. With respect to product diversification, environmental munificence had a negative relation with related change, but it had a positive relationship with convergent change in organizations. Environmental dynamism was found to have a positive relationship with dramatic change. These relationships of environmental variables with change in product diversity differed from those with the change in international diversity. Strategic choice variables were found to have limited association. Organizational risk and asset specificity did not have a significant 156 association with related change. Long—term resources had a significant relation with increment of change and a marginally significant association with the direction of change in international diversity. The results of the study led to the following two conclusions: 1. Different dimensions of change were weakly correlated with one another. Various dimensions of change had different models of change in organizations. Therefore, different dimensions need to be distinguished from one another, and change needs to be treated as multidimensional. 2. The pattern of association between dimensions and their correlates also differed with the type of variable involved in change. Change in product and international diversities had different models. Therefore, the study rejected the notion of a generic model of change. LIMITATIONS OF TIIE STUDY No research study is without limitations, and this one was no exception. One has to make choices and compromises while planning and executing any research study because of trade-offs in research. First, the study considered only two variables of change, four dimensions of change relevant to these variables, and a limited number of sources of 157 change as their correlates. Moreover, the considered dimensions may not be the most critical of all the dimensions of change. The four dimensions were selected because of their relevance to the two types of change analyzed in the study. The objective was to test multidimensionality of change and it could be accomplished using these dimensions. However, future research can consider other dimensions of change relevant to the types of change studied here. Further studies can also extend the model of organizational change considering other sources of change (e. g., management tenure, top-management turnover). Other variables of change (e. g., change in structure, change in technology, and other strategic changes) can also be studied in future research. An analysis of other changes in future research will help researchers to understand models of change in a variety of organizational changes. Second, the study was limited with respect to availability of data. Data on international diversity and product diversity were available for the periods 1984-1990 and 1978-1990, respectively. A planning horizon of 4-5 years was normally considered in previous studies (Finkelstein & Hambrick, 1990). Therefore, these data provided a reasonable period of time for analyzing changes in organizations. However, availability of data for more years would prove useful in such studies, particularly in case of international diversification. Data on some variables did provide a real constraint (e.g., in case of pervasive change and system coupling). Data on these two variables were collected from 158 different databases, COMPUSTAT II, and Value Line DataFile. Individually these data were available for a sufficient number of companies, but the number of overlapping companies was relatively small. These ranged from 66 to 165, depending on the number of other variables included in the regression equation. This problem constrained the statistical power and, thus, the probability of finding positive results when present. Future research would benefit from exploring alternative sources of data. Obviously, insufficient data points were available for time-series analysis. Time-series analysis can add dynamism to the study in future research. Third, research was based on secondary data. Though COMPUSTAT II was a reliable and appropriate database for the study (Davis & Duhaime, 1992), these data were not collected by the investigator for this research. Secondary data may have some known and unknown limitations that may have crept into the study. There were advantages of data being objective, but it did lack the perspectives of the managers that can be a rich source of insight, especially in case of explaining unexpected findings. Following up this study with field studies of organizations can enrich the understanding of the phenomenon of organizational change. The study was descriptive rather than prescriptive in nature. The study showed different processes of change and their correlates. No attempt was made in the study to find out the relative success of different strategies of 159 change under the conditions they were occurring. Future research involving performance as a dependent variable can throw light on this aspect of processes of change. Then the issue of recommending what kind of change ought to be made under what conditions both within and outside of organizations can be addressed. The study employed most of the commonly used measures of the variables. Alternative measures of some variables revealed that the findings depended upon the variables employed. Therefore, it will be interesting to use alternative measures of the variables to check if the results of the study hold with other measures. Alternately, one can explain the results by the nature of the measures used in this study. Some variables such as organizational performance, environment, and system coupling are themselves multidimensional in nature. Measures using other dimensions or alternative conceptualizations can increase confidence in the findings of the study, and/or improve R2. Consequently, further research can contribute to the development of a more rigorous model of multidimensionality of organizational change. This process may also help to generate improved measures that can be used for advancing other streams of research in organizations. Though overall F values, t values, R2, and so on, were mostly significant in the regression equations of dimensions of change, amount of absolute R2 varied from .02 to .18. Considering the data used and organizational level of 160 research, these numbers were found to be reasonable with comparable studies. It was hard to find studies with comparable independent and dependent variables. However, a study by Wiersema and Bantel ( 1992) on top- management team demography published in Aeaglemy ef Management Jeamal considered a control model with the variables of prior organizational performance, organizational size, top-management team size, industry growth, industry performance, and industry concentration on strategic change measured as absolute change in product diversity. The above equation had an R2 of .06. Another somewhat related study on effects of top-management team on innovation in organizations published in Strategie Management Jeurnal found an R2 of .07 to .10 (Bantel & Jackson, 1989). A recent meta-analysis of 52 planned changes in organizations found effect sizes of all interventions combined that will provide R2 between the range of .0004 to .05 (Robertson et al., 1993). Though the results were comparable to other studies, they do pose the question of explaining rest of the variance in different processes of organizational change. Individual level, economy level, and other organizational level variables play a part in the process of organizational change. Therefore, adding other variables is likely to reduce the unexplained variance. This is an opportunity for future research that can be very fruitful in improving the explained variance. Some control variables may also be included that may test the robustness of the findings of this study and/or explain further 161 variance in dimensions of organizational change. For example, the effect of the business cycle was not considered in this study that may add to the understanding of how organizations change under different economic circumstances. The lagged effects of independent variables were considered on the dimensions of change. Therefore, data on most independent variables came from the period 1975-1987, whereas data for dependent variables came from the period 1978-1990 in the case of product diversification. Because of the overlap of the data years, there may be questions about the direction of the relationship. For international diversity, analyses presented involved data on independent variables for the period 1978-1984 and on dependent variables for 1984—1990. That is to say, the data that were considered for international diversity came from nonoverlapping years. Further research exploring other time lags and other time periods may help in improving the confidence in the findings of the present study. Finally, this study considered changes at the organizational level. Future research can extend the study of multiple dimensions of change to other levels (e.g., individual, group, or social level). 162 CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE STUDY Despite the above-mentioned limitations, the present study made theoretical and methodological contributions. The major contribution of the study was testing multidimensionality of organizational change. Previous research on organizational change focused on generic change. Most studies analyzed one dimension or a part of it at a time. Different terms were often used for the same dimension or new dimensions were added in the literature without distinguishing them from one another. The processes of change were studied without any systematic framework. For example, most often incremental, piecemeal, or convergent changes were studied without making distinctions among these. Consequently, research findings on organizational change have not evolved into a coherent body of knowledge. This study conceptualized organizational change as a multidimensional phenomenon. Different processes of change were considered along different dimensions in the study, and multiple dimensions of two types of change were identified. For example, it conceptualized the dimensions of increment, relatedness, pervasiveness, and direction of change that involve different processes of change. The results of the study supported the view that the dimensions of change were relatively weakly correlated with one another. This supported the notion of multidimensionality of change in organizations. Second, the study considered multiple sources of change. 163 Previous research considered sources of change in a mutually exclusive fashion that resulted in dilemmas among environment, strategic choice, and historical inertia. More recent theories have conceptualized complementary relationships among different sources of change. This study included different sources of change, including environmental, strategic choice, and historical-inertial types. Moreover, it included the variable of organizational performance, a relatively understudied source of change. The study found further evidence of the complementarity of the sources of change in organizations. Third, the study related sources of change with dimensions (and processes) of change. Earlier research that treated sources and processes of change in an isolated manner gave birth to grand theories of incremental, or quantum, change. Researchers then sought to compare the effectiveness of these strategies of change without considering the context of change (Miller & Friesen, 1982). Taking a multidimensional and contextual approach, different models of organizational change were developed and tested in this study. The goal was to develop middle-range variance theories (Mohr, 1982) of multidimensional organizational change. The study recognized that different processes of change were occurring under different circumstances. For example, the study found that medium-sized organizations with low performance and highly dynamic environments changed their product diversity in a dramatic fashion. Similarly, it was found that higher related change in 164 product diversity was associated with extreme levels of performance and scarce environments. Small or large (as compared to medium) organizational size, lower performance, and tighter system coupling were more likely to lead to higher pervasive change in product diversity of organizations. Organizations with small size, extreme levels of performance, and munificent environments were related to convergent change in product diversity. The regression and probit analyses showed that various dimensions of change had different models of change. Therefore, different processes of change can no longer be studied without distinguishing them. Fourth, the present study found that different types of change (namely, product diversity and international diversity) had different models. For example, the relationships of organizational performance, size, munificence, and dynamism to increment and direction of change were different under product diversification from those in international diversification. The two types of changes analyzed in this study were found to follow different models. Therefore, the study rejected the expected generic model of change. Finally, the present research developed new measures for the three dimensions of change: increment, pervasiveness, and direction of change. These measures, in fact, were different characteristics of the frequency distribution of the pattern of change in organizations using multiwave data (Rogosa et al., 1982). These measures can be used and further refined in 165 analyzing other kinds of changes in organizations. More quantitative measures that assess other aspects of the frequency distribution of the pattern of change can prove useful. Pictorial methods can also be used for pattern recognition in how organizations change over time along multiple dimensions. The measure of international diversity used 2-digit international geographic codes for related diversification. This provides a new way of measuring related and unrelated diversification using entropy measures, which advances conceptualization by Vachani (1991). In conclusion, the present study focused on the ideas of multidimensionality of organizational change. It investigated correlations among different dimensions of change and associated dimensions to their correlates to develop and test models of change. The result was a multidimensional framework of change that helps to address the issue of cumulating research findings on change in organizations (Ginsberg, 1988). Therefore, the study has contributed toward developing a coherent body of knowledge on organizational change. The notion of multidimensionality of organizational change calls for a review of the literature on organizational change so that researchers can stop mixing the proverbial oranges and apples of change research. Clustering different research studies based on the dimension studied can help to contribute to a developing a systematic body of knowledge on organizational change. 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