THES‘S funnyvmo w :rx';.;.':..$.;..:. , y. .3 ”.5; a 1.“ {7:0 ,. q, 'r\ ‘- .- ‘ - . .r. f -I—_ :- :\\ 1' ~ . I. ‘1 n fi'ge ‘ t 'F T -.- ‘1 1!" :9 v' ‘ 5 ‘ g- :6 gp.-v- r ’ j if _ info ‘. i.- W‘:‘¢3r This is to certify that the dissertation entitled The Construction, Validation, and Behavior of a Pol- lination and Fruit Set Model for 'Delicious Apples presented by Gloria DeGrandi-Hoffman has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph. D Entomology degree in fl ,Majovérofes Date October 24, 1983 MSU is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution 0-12771 PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. To AVOID FINE return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE C no ‘ ”30) s} 015% 1 JUL 0L8521‘2881 3 moo mmmu THE CONSTRUCTION, VALIDATION, AND BEHAVIOR OF A POLLINATION AND FRUIT SET MODEL FOR 'DELICIOUS' APPLES BY Gloria DeGrandi-Hoffman A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Entomology 1983 ABSTRACT THE CONSTRUCTION, VALIDATION, AND BEHAVIOR OF A POLLINATION AND FRUIT SET MODEL FOR 'DELICIOUS' APPLES By Gloria DeGrandi-Hoff man A computer based, interactive, simulation model has been developed to predict pollination and fruit set in 'Delicious' apples. Predictions are based upon updates on the number of honey bees cross-pollinating apple blossoms, and the probabilities that blossoms in various age classes will set fruit if cross- pOllinated. The rate Of blossom aging is based on temperature, while the size of the cross-polinating honey bee pOpulation is a function Of temperature, wind, solar radiation, honey bee population size, and stage of the apple bloom. During the model's construction, field estimates on the size of the honey bee population carrying cross pollen were needed to validate this component of the program. Field data indicated that this population was of considerable size. Previously, pollen from unrelated apple varieties was thought to be transferred by honey bee movement from tree to tree due to competition for nectar. Our simulations predicted that competition for nectar could not create a cross- pollinating population as large as that found in the field, and that these bees were originating from another source. It has been concluded that honey bees were transferring compatible pollen in the hive through contact between nestmates. The model bases its predictions on the size of the pollinator population on both competition for nectar, and in-hive pollen transfer. The pollination and fruit set model (REDAPOL) demonstrated that the strongest effects on fruit set were weather and the availability of compatible pollen. Weather infulenced both the intensity of honey bee foraging activity and the duration Of 'Delicious' and pollinizer bloom. The latter affect the degree of bloom overlap and the number of Open 'Delicious' and pollinizer blossoms at any given time. Blossom number affected the availability of compatible pollen, as did orchard design and the ratio Of 'Delicious' fruit set under the widest range of weather conditons was predicted to occur in orchards with one-to-one ratios of 'Delicious' and pollinizer trees. The arrangement Of trees did not strongly influence fruit set according the the model's predictions. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The author wishes to express sincere appreciation to her advisor, Dr. Roger A. Hoopingarner for his invaluable assistance and support throughout this project. Special thanks are also extended to Mr. Ron Pulcer for contributing his talents and expertise in writing the computer program. Dr. Karen K. Baker is also gratefully acknowledged for her contributions in the electron microscopy sections of this thesis, and the advances in this work that can be attributed to her contribuiton. The author would like to thank her committee members Drs. Stuart Gage, Mark E. Whalon, Martin J. Bukovac, and Frank G. Dennis for their valuable input and discussions. Appreciation is also extended to Mr. Ken Dimoff for his assistance in experimental design and data analysis, and Ms. Connie Crancer and Mr. Mke Dunlap for their excellent technical support. I also wish to express my graditude to Dr. James E. Bath (department chair) for his tremendous support of this project, and his advice and encouragement. The author would also like to thank the growers who cooperated in this study. These include Jerry Stanek, James Embsen, Don and Kevin Herman, and John and Jeanne Ashby. I would also like to thank Dr. Stanley Flegler for his assistance in Operating the scanning electron microscope, and Ms. Genevieve Macomber for technical assistance in the preparation of the photographic plates. I am most grateful to my husband, Rich, for his moral support during this project and for his assistance in bringing this work to completion. I would also like to thank my family for their constant encouragement and support. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tables vi-vii List Of Figures viii-x General Introduction 1 Literature Review 5 Data Compilation Leading to the Development of a Pollination and Fruit Set Model for 'Delicious' 14 Introduction 15 Materials and Methods 17 General Features of the Model's Development 17 Predicting Blossom Density per Tree 18 Defining Bloom Curves for 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' Varieties 18 Nectar Secretion and Replacement 18 Measurements of Flight Activity Using Erickson-Waller Traps 18 Pollen Analysis Using Light Microscopy 19 Sampling for Cross Pollen on Honey Bees and Apple Stigmata 19 Honey Bee Foraging Activity on Trees 19 SEM Analysis Of Pollens on Honey Bees and Floral Stigmata 20 Relationship Between Flower Density and Final Fruit Set 20 Effect of Distance from the Pollinizer on Fruit Set 21 Seed Number in Retained and Abscissed Fruit 21 Results 21 General Flow Diagram of the Model and Explanation of Subroutines iii TABLE OF CONTENTS, continued Calculating Blossom Number per Tree Predicting the Progression of Bloom Using Accumulated Degree Days Nectar Secretion and Replacement The Effects Of Bloom on Honey Bees Foraging on Apple Predicting Honey Bees per Tree Analysis of Pollens on Apple Foragers and Blossom Stigmata Effects Of Blossom Density on Fruit Set Effects of Distance from the Pollinizer on Fruit Set Seed Number on Retained and Abscissed Fruit Discussion Literature Cited Identifying Factors that Influence Fruit Set in 'Delicious' Apples Using REDAPOL Simulations Introduction Materials and Methods Initialization of Orchard Parameters Construction of Weather Tapes Assumptions and Framework of the Model Results The Influence of Orchard Design on Fruit Set 33 37 40 45 51 67 78 78 82 91 94 95 98 98 99 100 103 103 The Influence of the 'Wandering Honey Bee' Population on Fruit Set 104 iv TABLE OF CONTENTS, continued The Influence of Tree Size on Fruit Set The Influence of Weather on Fruit Set The Influence Of Colony Number and Orchard Design on Fruit Set The Influence of Flower Viability and Colony Number on Fruit Set The Influence of Flower Quality and Weather on Fruit Set The Influence of Colony Density on Fruit Set Under Various Weather Conditions Discussion Literature Cited Defining the Pollinating Population in an Apple Orchard Using Scanning Electron Microscopy Introduction Materials and Methods The Influence of Distance from the Pollinizer on Fruit Set Analysis of Pollens on Honey Bees and Apple Stigmata Results Effect Of Distance from the Pollinizer on Fruit Set SEM Analysis of Pollens on Honey Bees and Blossom Stigmata Discussion Literature Cited General Thesis Summary 111 114 116 114 122 128 129 I30 132 132 132 134 134 134 149 152 154 LIST OF TABLES Data Compilation Leading to the Development of a Pollination and Fruit Set Model for Delicious Table Page 1. Average volume of nectar in apple blossoms on their day Of anthesis 39 2. Percentages of self-, cross-, and non-apple pollens on the bodies Of honey bees foraging apple blossoms at the MSU Horticulture Farm 59 3. Percentages of 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' stigmata containing self-, cross-, and non-apple pollens at the MSU Horticulture Farm 63 4. Percent Of flowers becoming fruit on 'Delicious' trees various distances from the pollinizer 79 5. Number Of seeds per fruit on 'Delicious' trees various distances from the pollinizer 80 6. Seed number on retained and abscissed fruit collected from 1982 orchard sites 81 Identifying Factors that Influence Fruit Set in 'Delicious' Apples Using REDAPOL Simulations Lane; 2222 1. The influence of orchard desigi on fruit set 105 2. Fruit set contribution by wandering honey bees 107 3. The influence of tree size on fruit set 109 4. The influence of weather on fruit set 112 vi LIST OF TABLES, confirmed Titre 22g: 5. The influence of orchard design and colony number on fruit set 113 6. The influence of blossom viability and colony number on fruit set 115 7. The influence of blossom quality and weather conditions on fruit set 118 8. The influence of colony density on fruit set under various weather conditions 1 1 9 Defining the Pollinating Population in an Apple Orchard Using Scanning Electron Microscopy 1% Reg: 1. The influence Of distance from the pollinizer row on 'Delicious' fruit set in two Michigan orchards 135 2. Number Of seeds per fruit on 'Delicious' trees various distances from the pollinizer 136 3. Percentages Of honey bees carrying cross-, self-, and non-apple pollen while foraging 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees 142 4. Percentages of various pollen types carried by honey bees foraging apple 145 5. Percentages Of apple blossom stigmata with self-, cross-, and non- apple pollens 148 vii LIST OF FIGURES Data Compilation Leading to the Development Of a Pollination and Fruit Set Model for 'Delicious' Figge 1. The sequence of subroutines comprising the pollination and fruit 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. set program Sequence of operations in the "Initial" subroutine Sequence of operations in the "Predict" subroutine Sequence of Operations in the "Nectar" subroutine Sequence of operations in the "Forage" subroutine Sequence of Operations in the ”Pollprt" subroutine Proposed 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' bloom curves derived from 1981 field data Comparisons of actual and predicted bloom curves for 'Delicious' Comparisons of actual and predicted bloom curves for 'McIntosh' Predicted relationship between state of bloom and foraging activity on 'Delicious' Predicted relationship between state of bloom and foraging on 'McIntosh' trees Predicting honey bee flight response to solar radiation based upon time of day The predicted foraging response to temperature and wind speed Actual and predicted honey bees per tree during a nine hour forag- ing period viii 22 23 25 27 29 31 34 35 38 43 48 49 52 LIST OF FIGURES, continued Risers figs 15. Scanning electron micrographs Of apple pollen grains 54 16. Scanning electron micrographs of pollen from species blooming in concert with apple 56 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. Scanning electron micrographs of pollens carried by honey bees foraging 'McIntosh' trees at the Michigan State University Horticulture Farm 58 Scanning electron micrographs Of pollinated apple blossom stigm ata 62 Sequence of operations in the "In-Hive" subroutine 65 Predicted in-hive pollen transfer rate as a fmetion of the cumula- tive honey bees leaving the hive during the day 66 The relationship between blossom density and fruit set in 'Delicious' (M.S.U. Horticulture Farm, 1981) 68 The relationship between blossom density and fruit set in 'McIntosh' (M.S.U. Horticulture Farm, 1981) 69 The relationship between blossom density and fruit set in 'Delicious' (M.S.U. Horticulture Farm, 1982) 71 The relationship between blossom density and fruit set in (M.S.U. Horticulture Farm, 1982) 72 Flowering to fruiting percentages as a function of blossom density on 'Delicious' trees (Ashby's Orchard Site) 74 Flowering to fruiting percentages as a function of blossom density on 'Empire' trees 75 Ideal initial fruit set (i.e., fruit set goal) based upon blossom density for 'Delicious' 76 ix LIST OF FIGURES, continued Linus £232 28. Ideal initial fruit set (i.e., fruit set goal) based upon blossom density for 'McIntosh' 77 29. Flow diagram of the components considered in the pollination and fruit set model for 'Delicious' apples 83 Identifying Factors that Influence Fruit Set in 'Delicious' Apples Using REDAPOL Simulations Figge Page 1. Predicted 'Delicious' fruit set percentages under various colony/ hectare and simulated weather conditions 120 2. Predicted 'McIntosh' fruit set percentages under various colony/ hectare and simulated weather conditions 121 Defining the Pollinating POpulation in an Apple Orchard Using Scanning Electron Microscopy Figge Page 1. Scanning electron micrographs of apple pollens 138 2. Scanning electron micrographs of pollens from species blooming in concert with apple 141 3. Scanning electron micrographs Of pollens carried by honey bees foraging 'McIntosh' trees at the Michigan State University Horticul- ture Farm 144 4. Scanning electron micrographs of pollinated apple blossom stigma 147 GENERAL THESE INTRODUCTION Like many other biological processes, insect mediated pollination can be viewed as a system whose end product (fruit set) is a ftmction of several components. Some Of these include weather, flower attractiveness and repro- ductive state, and the size Of the honey bee population capable of cross pollinating blossoms. By defining the relationships between these components and updating their values over time, it may be possible to predict fruit set rates under a broad range of circumstances. To test this, a pollination and fruit set model was prOposed for 'Delicious' apples. Because pollination and fruit set have never been examined using a systems approach, colony/hectare requirements for commercial fruit set in numerous crops have remained undefined. This information gap may indeed be partially responsible for the inconsistent set often associated with 'Delicious' apples. In the east and midwest 'Delicious' production is only about 40% of its potential, and in the midwest this represents an annual crOp loss in excess of $85 million (Anonymous 1978). Still, if growers seek advice on the rate Of colony introduction needed in their orchard to insure adequate cross pollination, the recommendations they receive will be based more on past experience than controlled experimental findings (McGregor 1976). In addition, recommendations for 'Delicious'-pollinizer tree arrangements in orchards, to insure sufficient compatible pollen also have not been adequately tested. A pollination and fruit set model could generate recommendations for colony/hectare requirements, and predict maidmum fruit set rates for various 'Delicious'-pollinizer tree arrangements. Colonies/hectare and arrangements of 'Delicious' and pollinizer trees could be simulated with the model, and potential fruit set predicted under various weather conditions. The model could also predict how long colonies would be needed in an orchard. This could be accomplished by setting a fruit set goal for a grower based upon blossom density. The goal would be expressed as the ideal percentage of blossoms needed to develop into fruit for a commercial set to be achieved. Because the model would deliver daily fruit set predicitions, it could alert the grower when during the period bloom a fruit set goal had been achieved, so that colonies could be removed and oversetting could be prevented. The model could also be pro- grammed to predict potential fruit set 48 hours into the future (based on input weather predictions) and report to the grower if a particular fruit set goal could be achieved with the number of colonies that have been introduced. In addition to agricultural applications, pollination and fruit set models could be used to study the interactions of honey bees and flowering plants. Currently, the mechanism by which honey bees acquire a second apple variety's pollen, when their foraging area is Often a single tree, is not well understood. Although movement of honey bees between trees has been used to explain fruit set in self-incompatible sterile varieties (Butler 1944, Free 1962, Free 1966, McGregor 1976), it does not account for oversets on self-incompatible trees planted in solid blocks or at remote locations from a compatible pollen source. During the development and validation Of this model, defining the source Of honey bees carrying compatible pollen was a critical factor in predicting the rate of fruit set. In the model, fruit set predictions were essentially a combination of updates on the size of the honey bee population capable of cross-pollinating blossoms (pollinators), and the probabilities of fruit set in blossoms whose age had also been updated. Currently information on changes in fruiting potential with regard to weather, blossom age, and state of bloom is limited, but does indicate a trend where a blossom's fruit set potential declines with time. By combining updated estimates on blossom fruit set probabilities with numbers Of cross-pollinations, approximations could be made on the number of fruit that had been set at any time in bloom. Ultimately, pollination and fruit set models may afford a "total picture" perspective on the relationship between honey bees and flowering plants. With the model, various orchard designs subjected to different weather conditions and colony densities could be simulated and evaluated for their fruit set potentials. This information could generate recommendations for 'Delicious'-pollinizer ar- rangements that would enhance the colonies' cross-pollinating potential, and produce colony/hectare recommendations that would be specific for the year and orchard site. Before a pollination model could be built, the source of honey bees in a cross—pollinating state (pollinators) had to be defined. Because the model would have to generate predictions on the size of this population before fruit set predictions could be made, defining the source of pollinators had to be viewed as a pivotal point in the model's construction. A systems approach in conjuction with field experiments was used to define the pollinator population. The sequence of events leading to the acquisition of compatible pollen can be simulated, and through sampling, the field population's size could be estimated. By synthesizing this information, an explanation on the source of pollinators could possibly be Obtained, which would afford new possibilities for the management of pollination and fruit set. LITERATURE CITED Anonymous. 1978. Delicious problem is growing. Amer. Fruit Grower 98(2):15, 29, 32. McGregor, S. E. 1976. Insect Pollination of Cultivated Crop Plants. U.S.D.A. Agrucultural Handbook NO. 496. pp 81-88. Butler, C. G. 1944. Work on bee repellents. Management of colonies for pollination. Ann. Appl. Biol. 30:195-196. Free, J. B. 1962. The effect of distane from the pollinizer varieties on the fruit set on trees in plum and apple orchards. J. Hort. Sci. 37:262-271. Free, J. B. 1966. The foraging areas of honey bees in an orchard of standard apple trees. J. Appl. Ecol. 3:261-268. LITERATURE REVIEW Although 'Delicious' is America's number one apple variety, it is also the most inconsistant producer especially in the east and midwest (Howlett 1928, Roberts 1947, Gardner et al 1949). Delicious is a totally self-sterile variety and requires unrelated cultivars (pollinizers) to be planted nearby to serve as a compatible pollen source. Insects, particularly honey bees, are necessary for the transfer of pollen from the pollinizers to 'Delicious' trees (Roberts 1945a, Free 1960, McGregor 1976). As a variety 'Delicious' has numerous problems that all tmdoubtedly contri- bute to its erratic fruit set. 'Delicious' flower buds are also less resistant to low temperatures than other varieties, both before and during bloom (Hartman and Howlett 1954). Compared to other varieties 'Delicious' exhibits exceptionally strong apical dominance, so that fruit set on lateral spurs is significantly depressed by the presence Of fruit on the terminals (Howlett 1928). Detjen (1929) stated that the terminallflower on a cluster base was "better constituted and better situated" and usually gave a higher percent set over the laterals. In 'Delicious' the positioning of lateral flowers also affects their quality. Laterals that are not situated in the axil of a leaf do not set as well as those lateral flowers with subtending leaves (Howlett 1932). Although 'Delicious' ovaries (and most other apple varieties) have the potential to set 10 seeds, it is not unusual for these blossoms to open with less than a full complement of ovules. Hough (1947) stated that in the development of 'Delicious' ovules, the most frequent abnormality was either tardy initiation of the megaspore mother cell, or a slower development rate of megaspores and embryo sacs. Such retarded embryo sacs are seldom expected to develop fully in time for fertilization. Other apparently normal embryo sacs degenerate soon after anthesis, significantly shortening the effective pollination period for the variety. Hartman and Howlett (1954) stated that delayed development and early degeneration of the embryo sac nuclei at and subsequent to anthesis has a genetic basis in the variety. In addition to the loss of fruiting potential from ovule degeneration, Hartman and Howlett (1954) found that fertilization was greatly decreased when pollination was delayed for 48 hours after anthesis. The reduction in fruiting potential was attributed largely to a loss of stigma receptivity. Another fruit set constraint in 'Delicious' is related to the time during bloom when a particular blossom opens, which seems to influence its probability of setting fruit if cross- pollinated. Lapins and Arndt (1974) reported that during cool weather 'DeliciOus' blossoms pollinated the first few days of bloom set fruit while those pollinated later did not. The morphology of 'Delicious' blossoms may further reduce their chances Of setting fruit, because honey bees can remove nectar without contacting the stigma. Consequently, these foragers often do not cross-pollinate blossoms. This occurs because 'Delicious' blossoms are characterized by short pistils and upright staminal filaments, which allows bees to extract nectar without touching the stigma in a majority of cases (Roberts 1945a,b. Robinson 1979). In addition, gaps exist at the bases of the staminal filaments around the nectaries. This allows honey bees to stand on the petals and extract nectar without contacting the stigma. Only 'Northern Spy' has basal gaps comparable to 'Delicious', and has a higher percentage of bees visiting blossoms without touching the stigma (Robinson 1979). In light of this information the importance of basal gaps on fruit set is questionable, since 'Northern Spy' does not have fruit set problems. Weather is the common denominator between flowering plants and their pollinators, because the effects on one are invariably felt by the other. Pollinator activity can be directly affected by weather conditions, or indirectly by their influence on the crop (Ribbands 1953 cited by Williams and Sims 1977). Insect flight, flower quality and attractiveness are all affected by temperature, wind, relative humidity, and solar radiation. Lundie (1925) reported that the threshold temperature for honey bee flight varied with the time of year and weather conditions. In April the threshold temperature ranged between 120 and 14°C, while in May it rose to 160 to 18°C. On cloudy days the threshold was 20 higher. After a certain threshold temperature is achieved, flight activity is further influenced by light intensity. Under normal conditions optimum temperatures occur later in the day than Optimum light, but morning bee comts regularly give higher numbers than afternoon counts at the same temperature. This is caused by the higher light values that exist in the morning hours. Light intensity, especially in the ultra- violet range, declines rapidly in the afternoon, and although temperature may remain stationary or even rise, bee counts gradually recede with fading light (Brittain 1933, Szabo 1980). The foraging population is also affected by wind speed. Because honey bees fly at speeds of about 6.3 m/sec, it is reasonable to assume that wind speeds greater than or equal to that average affect foraging activity (Williams and Sims 1977). Rashad (1957) found that wind speeds of 4.9 m/sec reduced pollen gathering activity, and at winds greater than 9.4 m/sec honey bees stayed in the hive. Pollinator activity on apple blossoms was greatest at wind speeds of .44 m/sec (1 mph), but steadily decreased to 1/7 that number at speeds of 3.1 m/sec (Brittain 1933 cited by Free 1960). From these data it was concluded that even light winds affect the size of the foraging population. Aside from effects on honey bee foraging, weather also influences the attractiveness and quality of apple blossoms. The duration Of the apple bloom is apparently temperature dependent. When the weather is warm, bloom will last for about five to seven days while cooler temperatures can prolong bloom to almost two weeks. Individual flowers will not Open if temperatures are below 10°C (Free 1960, McGregor 1976). Because apple blossoms are dish-shaped and have exposed nectaries, their attractiveness (in terms of caloric reward to a forager) can also be strongly influenced by weather. Rain or dew dilutes nectar making blossoms less attractive to nectar foragers. High temperatures and wind concentrate the nectar and allow blossoms to regain their attractiveness (Butler 1944, Roberts 1945a). Weather can also effect the chances that a cross-pollination will cause fertilization and fruit set. Pollen germination and pollen tube growth are both temperature dependent, and low temperatures can prevent fertilization even if adequate masses of pollen are placed on the stigma (Martin 1972). In addition, slow pollen tube growth has a compomding affect in reducing fruit set, because the stigma and ovules continue degenerating while the pollen tube is growing (Hartman and Howlett 1954). Because 'Delicious' is self-incompatible, unrelated apple varieties (pol- linizers) must be planted nearby to act as a compatible pollen source . Some varieties are better pollinizers than others because they possess certain char- acteristics. For instance, ideal pollinizers flower annually and bloom two or three days before the 'Delicious' blossoms open. The pollinizer should also produce large amounts of viable and compatible pollen (i.e. the pollinizer must be a diploid variety) and remain attractive for the duration of the 'Delicious' bloom. Recommendations for the best pollinizer varieties are area dependent because a pollinizer that may have an overlapping bloom with 'Delicious' in one region may not in another (Dennis 1979). For example 'Northern Spy' and 'Golden Delicious' are listed by Roberts (1947) as being excellent pollinizers for ‘Delicious', but in Michigan both varieties flower after 'Delicious's king blossoms have lost their attractiveness and probably their receptivity. Based upon yields Of 'Delicious', 'Rome Beauty,‘ 'Northwestern Greening,’ 'Wealthy,‘ 'Jonathan,‘ 'Golden Delicious' and 'Northern Spy' are reported to be the best pollinizers in various sections of the U. S. (Roberts 1947). In Michigan 'Jonathan' is considered the best 'Delicious' pollinizer (Anonymous 1978), although 'McIntosh', 'Empire', and 'Golden Delicious' are also used. In addition to environmental and genetic factors limiting fruit set, honey bee behavior also exerts a strong influence. Honey bees choose to forage a crop for nectar because it consistently gives a caloric return greater than that expended in the reward's search and extraction (Heinrich and Raven 1972). In the case of apple, a large tree with heavy flowering will prompt individual honey bees to restrict their foraging areas to a single tree, and continue to visit it on successive trips (Butler 1944, MacDaniels 1931, Roberts 1956). In an orchard of standard trees, at best, honey bees will visit an average of two trees per foraging trip (Free 1966). In dwarf tree hedge row arrangements, honey bees have been found to work along a hedge row, and probably restrict their foraging areas to 10 about 3m sections of a row during one trip. Nearly all honey bees that do move to other rows move to an adjacent row, which possibly explains why more fruit is sometimes set on trees next to the pollinizer rows (Williams 1959, Free and Spencer-Booth 1964b). Honey bees also appear to discriminate between varieties, and exhibit cultivar fidelity (Free 1966). Because Of these foraging behaviors, it is recommended that to insure maximum pollination, pollinizer varieties should be planted as every fifth tree in rows of main variety trees (Free and Spencer- Booth 1964a). Although a majority of honey bees appear to have established foraging areas, superimposed upon this p0pulation is another of wandering bees which may be responsible for cross-pollination in orchards (Butler 1944, McGregor 1976). Wanderers have no set foraging areas, and can work several trees on the same trip from the hive. This wandering population could be the result of competition for nectar which causes bees to drift from one area to another. Young bees which have not yet acquired definite habits or foraging areas could also contribute to this population (Butler 1944). Although honey bees have been observed to move from tree to tree, pollinators that arise from this situation may be only part of the total pollinating population. In 1954, Karma and Vickery speculated that honey bees could possibly pick up pollen in the hive from contact with nest mates, and hence carry pollen on their bodies from species or varieties that they never visited. This source of cross pollinators could explain why isolated self-incompatible trees set. fruit. Other investigators have also fOImd that honey bees carry viable pollen from several plant species from one foraging trip to the next (Kendall 1973). Additional investigations showed the viability of insect-borne fruit pollen was 11 usually similar to that Of pollen from blossoms taken from the orchard in which the insects were collected (Kendall 1973, Kendall and Solomen 1973). From this information, it is apparent that individual honey bees may be leaving the hive carrying pollen from flowers that they never visited. Whether or not inconsistent set in 'Delicious' is pollination related is still Open to speculation. When the weather before, during, and immediately after bloom is favorable, 'Delicious' set is so heavy it needs to be thinned. Only 5- 10% of the blossoms are required to develop into fruit for a full commercial set, but the chances of fruit set occurring are best early in the bloom period. Conse- quently, a good commercial set should result if ovules are viable and flight weather is favorable at this time. LITERATURE CITED Brittain, W. H. 1933. Apple pollinatin studies in the Annaplis Valley, N.S. Canada. 1928-1932. Bull. Dept. Agric. Can. New Ser. no. 162. Butler, C. G. 1944. Work on bee repellents. Management of colonies for pollination. Ann. Appl. Biol. 30(2):195-196. Dennis, F. G. 1979. Factors affecting yeild in apple with emphasis on 'Delicious.‘ p.395-422. In J. Janick (ed.) Horticultural review AVI. West- port, Conn. Detjen, L. R. 1929. The effects of nitrogen on the set of apple flowers situated variously on the cluster base. Proc. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. 25:153-157. Free, J. B. 1960. The pollination of fruit trees. Bee World. 41(6):14l- 151;(7):169-186. Free, J. B. 1966. The foraging areas of honey bees in an orchard of standard apple trees. J. Appl. Ecol. 3:261-268. Free, J. B., and Y. Spencer-Booth. 1964a. The foraging behavior of honey bees in an orchard of dwarf apple trees. J. Hort. Sci. 39:78-83. Free, J. B., and Y. Spencer-Booth. 1964b. The effect of distance from the pollinizer varieties on the fruit set of apple, pear and sweet cherry trees. J. Hort. Sci. 39:54-60. Gardner, V. R., T. A. Merrill, and W. Toenjes. 1949. Fruit setting in the Delicious apple. Mich. Agr. Exp. Sta. Spec. Bul. 358. Hartman, F. O. and R. S. Howlett. 1954. Fruit setting of the Delicious apple. Ohio Agric. Exp. Sta. Bul. 745. 64 pp. Heinrich, B. and P. H. Raven. 1972. Energetics and pollination ecology. Science. 176(4035):597-602. Hough, L. F. 1947. A comparative study of the life history of the Arkansas Delicious and Grimes Golden apples with respect to the variations in fruitfulness shown by these varieties. PhD Thesis. Univ. of Illinois. Howlett, F. S. 1928. Fruit setting in the Delicious apple. Proc. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. 25:143-148. Howlett, F. S. 1932. Partial defloration in relation to 'Delicious' fruit setting. Ohio Agric. Exp. Sta. Bul. 745. 64pp. Karmo, E. A. and V. R. Vickery. 1954. The placement of honey bees in orchard pollination. Mimeogr. Circ. N.S. Dept. Agric. Mktg. No. 67. 12 13 Kendall, P. A. 1973. The viability and compatability of pollen on insects visiting apple blossoms. Appl. Acol. 10:627-643. Lapins, K. 0., and H. Arndt. 1974. Main causes of low fruit set in 'Delicious' apples in 1974. Brit. Columbia Orchardist 14:8-9. Lundie, A. E. 1925. The flight activities of the honey bee. U. S. Dept. of Agric., Bull. No. 1328. MacDaniels, I... H. 1931. Further experience with the pollination problem. Proc. NOY. Ste Hort. SOC. 76:32.37. McGregor, S. E. 1976. Insect pollination of cultivated crop plants. USDA Agricultural Handbook No. 496:81-88. Martin, E. C. 1972. Pollination of fruit crops. Dept. of Entomol., Mich. State Univ., East Lansing, MI Ribbands, C. R. 1953. The Behavior and Social Life of Honeybees. London: Bee Research Association. Roberts, R. H. 1945a. Blossom structure and setting of Delicious and other apple varieties. Proc. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. 46:87-90. Roberts, R. H. 1945b. Bee pollination of Delicious. Amer. Fruit Grower. 65(4):16. Roberts, R. H. 1947. Notes on the setting of Delicious, 1946. Proc. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. 50:85-94. Roberts, D. 1956. Sugar sprays aid fertilization of plums by bees. N. Z. J. Agric. 93:206-207, 209, 211. Robinson, W. S. 1979. Effect of apple cultivar on foraging behavior and pollen transfer by honey bees. J. Amer. Soc. Hort. Sci. 104(5):596-598. Williams, R. R. 1959. The effective distance of a pollen source in a cider apple orchard. Rep. Long Ashton Res. Stat. for 1958. 61-64. Williams, R. R., and F. P. Sims. 1977. The importance of weather and variability in flowering time when deciding pollination scheme for Cox's Orange Pippin. Expl. Hort. 29:15-26. DATA COMPILATION LEADING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POLLINATION AND FRUIT SET MODEL FOR 'DELICIOUS' 14 INTRODUCTION The rate of fruit set in an apple orchard is a variable whose value depends upon weather, orchard design, flower quality and pollinator population size. If accurate fruit set predictions are to be made, they must incorporate these factors and their changing influence on the fruit set rate over time. A systems science approach could be used to estimate the rate of fruit set because it permits both flexibility in analysis of various orchard designs, and the ability to update fruit set rates as the bloom and foraging population change. With this in mind, a simulation model for 'Delicious' apple was constructed to predict pollination and fruit set during the bloom period. The model's predictions are based upon the specific orchard parameters input by the grower, and weather conditions existing during bloom. The essence of the model's fruit set predictions is the ability to update the fruit set rate as weather conditions change during bloom. All the parameters that affect the rate of fruit set including the number Of Open blossoms, attractiveness and quality of blossoms, size of the foraging population (after the number of colonies introduced per acre has been considered), and the probability that cross-pollination will lead to fruit set are tied to weather conditions. Significant honey bee flight occurs only if days are warm, sunny, and calm. Nectar secretion and sugar concentration, which dictate blossom attractiveness, are also weather dependent. Finally, temperature influences the fruit set potential of blossoms in terms of their stigma receptivity, rate of pollen tube growth, and ovule receptivity. These factors ultimately effect the probability of cross pollination leading to fertilization and fruit set. 15 16 During the model's construction, predictions on the source and size of the pollinator population (i.e. honey bees working 'Delicious' blossoms while carrying compatible pollinizer pollen on their bodies) were seen to be a pivotal point on which fruit set predictions could be made. The origin Of this population has never been definitively described. Several authors have reported that pollinators could arise from competition for nectar on the pollinizer, which would prompt foragers to wander between trees and hence cross pollinate blossoms (Butler 1944, Free 1962, Free 1966, McGregor 1976). Another source of pollinators was reported by Karmo and Vickery in 1954. These investigators speculated that pollen collected during the day could be transferred among nest mates through contact in the hive. Consequently, honey bees could be leaving the hive carrying pollen from plant species that they had never visited. Although it is logical to assume that both sources of pollen transfer exist, their contribution to the pollinator population size under different weather and orchard conditions has never been investigated. During the construction and validation of this model, it was possible to better define this pOpulation, and how it changes with orchard and weather conditions. MATERIALS AND METHODS General Features of the Model's Development The model's program was written in Fortran-IV and input on a CDC series 170 model Cyber 750. The model is programmed to use weather data (temperature, wind speed, solar radiation, and relative humidity) collected by a Campbell Scientific CR-21 micrologger.* Various field experiments were conducted in two sites in 1981 and 1982. In 1981 the Michigan State University Horticulture Farm (located in East Lansing, Ingham County) and Stanek and Sons' Orchard in Traverse City (Leelanau County) were used. In 1982 the same sites were used again and in addition Herman's Orchards Of Sutton's Bay (Leelanau County) and John and Jeanne Ashby's Orchards in Jonesville. These sites were chosen for their orchard design and geographical significance. In 1981 temperature was recorded on a hygrothermograph in both sites. In 1982 temperature was again recorded on a hygrothermagraph, but at Stanek and Sons' orchard a Campbell Instrument CR-21 Micrologger was used. Temperature, wind, relative humidity, and solar radiation were recorded using this instrument. Predicting Blossom Density Per Tree In 1982 groups of 'Delicious‘ (at Stanek and Sons' and Ashby's orchards), 'Empire' (at Ashby's only) and 'McIntosh' (at Stanek and Sons only) trees were chosen after stratifying the orchards into 3 sections. Tree height and width were measured, and the distance between the ground and first main branch recorded. Flowering spurs were counted on meter long branch sections, and average spurs per meter was calculated. Finally the flowering spurs on the entire tree were counted. The data from these trees was also used in experiments to test the effects of floral density on fruit set. * Campbell Scientific Inc., P.O. Box 551, Logan, Utah 84321 17 18 Defining Bloom Curves for 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' Varieties In 1981 and 1982 open blossoms on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees (at the MSU Horticulture Farm and Stanek and Sons' Orchards) were counted daily on 1m branch sections beginning on the first day of bloom. Daily flower counts were taken only at the Horticulture Farm in 1982. Counts were made from the same branches throughout the blooming period. Four counts were taken per tree, one COImt from each side. Nectar Secretion and Replacement Nectar samples were taken from "blossoms on their day Of anthesis in 1981 at both orchard sites. Blossoms were enclosed in nylon mesh bags while in the 'balloon stage' to protect against nectar removal by foragers. Samples then were taken by placing a Drummond microcap (one-microliter size) between the staminal filaments and dabbing the nectary tissue. In experiments to determine nectar replacement rates blossoms were sampled, then depetaled to decrease their chances of being foraged during the sampling interval. Nectar volume was calculated by measuring the amount of nectar within the tube to the nearest millimeter, and then converting this to microliters. Measurements of Flight Activity Using Erickson-Waller Traps At the MSU Horticulture Farm in 1981 the entrances of two colonies were equipped with Erickson-Waller traps to measure foraging activities (Erickson et a1. 1975). Hourly pollen samples were taken from these traps and frozen (separately) for later analysis. Relative flight activity and percentage of pollen collectors (i.e. honey bees with pollen loads in their corbiculae) in the foraging population were also recorded hourly using these traps. 19 Pollen Analpis Usinggght Microscopy One gram samples of pollen collected in Erickson-Waller traps were acetolyzed (according to the procedure of Faegri and Iversen (1964)) and stained with 1 ml of 0.01% solution of methylene blue* (to facilitate identification). Pollen was identified as being either apple or non-apple using light microsCOpy. Calculations on the percentage of apple pollen in the sample were made using a Lovins micro-slide field finder, and counting apple and non-apple pollen grains in 30 fields. Sampling for Cross Pollen on Honey Bees and Apple Sggmata In 1982 at the MSU Horticulture Farm and Stanek and Sons' Orchards honey bees working apple trees and competitive plants were sampled periodically during the day. Honey bees were removed from the flowers they were foraging, put in individual vials, and frozen. The pollen on the body of these insects would later be removed and examined using scanning electron microscopy (SEM). In 1982 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' blossom stigmata were removed at the end of the flight day from all orchard locations, except Herman's and Ashby's. Samples were kept frozen tmtil examined for cross-pollen using SEM. Finally, pollen samples were taken from apple varieties and competitive plants that were in bloom with the 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees. These samples would be used for comparisons with pollens found on honey bee bodies, and apple stigm ata. Honey Bee Foragi_n_g Activity on Trees At the MSU Horticulture Farm in 1981 and 1982 honey bees were counted hourly on 8 'Delicious' (Millerspur sport) and 8 'McIntosh' (Macspur) trees. Because standard sized trees were used, honey bee counts were made simul- *Methylene blue, C. I. 52015, 91% dye content 20 taneously by two Observers stationed on either side of the tree. Each Observer counted the honey bees seen on their half of the tree during a 45 second interval. At Stanek and Sons' orchards semi-dwarf 'Delicious' (Red-Chief) and 'McIntosh' (Macspur) trees were used for hourly honey bee counts. Because these trees were small, all the honey bees on a tree (seen in a 45 second interval) were counted by one Observer. Eight trees were used in each hourly sample. SEM Analysis of Pollens on Honey Bees and Floral Stigmata Body pollen of frozen honey bee samples was removed by rolling the insect's body over an aluminum SEM stub coated with adhesive. The sample was sputter-coated with gold for three minutes. Non-germinated pollen grains were identified as self-, cross-, or non-apple pollen using a JEOL JSM-35C scanning electron microscope operated at 15kV. This method of identifying varieties of fruit pollen using SEM was first reported by Fogel (1977 a,b). Floral stigmata were prepared for SEM examination by placing them on an aluminum stub pretreated with an adhesive. The stigmata were then Sputter coated with gold for 3 minutes and examined for self-,cross-, and non-apple pollens. Relationship Between Flower Density and Final Fruit Set In 1981 monthly fruit counts were conducted on branches Of 'McIntosh' trees (at the MSU Horticulture Farm) used earlier to derive the flowering curves for this variety. 'Delicious' trees at the MSU Horticulture Farm with sparse flowering were also used in the experiment. All the flowers on these 'Delicious' trees were counted, and the resulting fruit recorded monthly. In 1982 trees used to predict blossom density (from various tree para- meters) were also used to monitor the percentage of blossoms setting fruit. 21 During bloom, flowering spurs on the entire tree were counted at the Traverse City and Jonesville sites. Monthly fruit counts were then made until harvest. Effect of Distance from the Pollinizer on Fruit Set In 1982 at the Sutton's Bay Orchard site 1m branch sections on four sides of 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees were chosen for evaluation of fruit set. In this experiment, trees various distances from the pollinizer were selected. Monthly fruit set counts were performed at the site until harvest. Seed Number in Retained and Abscissed Fruit In 1982, seed counts were made on fruit retained on the tree and those abscised during 'June drop' at all orchard sites. Fruit was chosen at random from 'Delicious', 'McIntosh', and 'Empire' (at Ashby's and MSU Horticulture Farm only) trees throughout the orchard. Abscised fruit under the trees was also sampled. RESULTS General Flow Diagram of the Model and Explanation of Subroutines The flow diagram indicating the subroutine sequence is diagrammed in Figure 1. The first subroutine called in the main program is "Initial" (Figure 2). In this subroutine all values for variables and arrays are set for the beginning of the simulation. Before leaving the subroutine, blossom age is updated and matricies containing rates of nectar replacement and probability of fertilization leading to fruit (based on the number Of receptive ovules) are generated, for each age class of apple blossom. The interactive portion of the simulation begins within the "Orchard" subroutine. The user is asked to provide details about the orchard's acreage, 'Delicious'-pollinizer block planting pattern, tree characteristics and spacing, .Emuwopa uwm uwsuw paw coaumcwaaoa onu wcfiwwuasoo mocfiuaounsm mo moucoscmm use .E muawfim o E 22 , o truce: Sauce PEQJJOQ .3 e m>> m0 >0: - m £541.35 can too D¢u=o Eooam vmuofivoum was Hwauu< mo mcomaumnaoo .w muswam £02m .28. co cottages 2.... 86 00.0 IIPI no go J . Sun. I H noon. .7sz u > are no- swossom uodo .0301 lo uomodmd SL‘O 00'! o . I o o 0 an o «be u—.o 00.6 oo o £02m .38. .o co.toa8d SZ'O 8 an + ZN... .- > ej SL’O ri_, °I < oo swossoia uodo [0:01 )0 uoguodmd 36 occurred at 45 DD which was only 2.6 DD later than the average (42.4 DDS) 5 5 used for the predictive curve. The model has been programmed to use the integral of the predictive equation: (percentage of open blossoms = -.211 + 3.29 (Accumulated degree days/115) to calculate the number of new blossoms opening each hour. This equation is used by the model from the start of bloom Lmtil 60 DD 5 have accumulated. After peak bloom a second equation is used to predict the progression of bloom: Percentage of total blossoms = [(DD5/115)-2*.2605I -.3267. This equation was derived from 1981 flower counts at both orchard sites. The comparison of the actual progression of post-peak bloom in 1982 (at the MSU Horticulture Farm) and that predicted by the model is shown in Figure 8b. In 1981, (at both orchard sites) blossom counts were also made on 'McIntosh' trees, because this variety is often used as a pollinizer for 'Delicious'. Although the general shapes of the 'McIntosh' bloom curves were similar in 1981 and 1982, the percentage of open blossoms at various degree day intervals was quite different using a 5°C base. In 1981 peak bloom occurred at 33.2 DD and 5 37.9 DD at the MSU Horticulture Farm and Stanek and Son's Orchards 5 respectively. In 1982 peak bloom at the Horticulture Farm did not occur Lmtil 43.0 DDS' Because of the variance in accumulated degree days for peak bloom between the two years, and because the curves for 'McIntosh' derived from 1981 data resulted in such poor estimates for the progression of bloom at a base temperature of 5°C, other base temperatures were tried in an attempt to derive more predictive curves. At a base temperature of 1.00C peak bloom in 1981 was found to occur at 52.3DD, at the MSU Horticulture Farm and 49.1DD, at Stanek and Son's orchard. 37 At the MSU Horticulture Farm in 1982 peak bloom for 'McIntosh' occurred at 54.1 DDl' Because of the relative similarity of accumulated degree days for peak bloom at the 1.0°C base, and the closer correspondence between the two years in the progression of bloom it is assumed that 'McIntosh' has a lower threshold temperature than 'Delicious', at least for the expression of bloom. From the 1981 pre-peak bloom data, an equation was derived (using a 1°C base) to predict the progression of bloom in 1982 at the MSU Horticulture Farm. Comparisons of the actual pre-peak bloom curves for 1981 and 1982 with that predicted by the equation are shown in Figure 9a. Peak bloom was predicted to occur at 50.8 DD which is the average of the accumulated degree days for peak 1! bloom for both 1981 and 1982 data. After 50.9 DD have accumulated, the progression of bloom is predicted by 1 the equation: Percent Bloom = ((DD)-z * .1526) - .148. Comparisons between bloom curves from this predictive equation and those derived from field data are shown in Figure 9b. With the exception of one point (at 54.5% of the bloom period), the predictive curve lies between or directly in line with the 1981 and 1982 data. As in the case of the 'Delicious' bloom equation, the model uses the integral of these equations to calculate the number of newly opened blossoms during each degree day interval. Nectar Secretion and Replacement The average volume of nectar in 'McIntosh' flowers was found to be significantly greater than in 'Delicious' blossoms at both orchard sites in 1981 (Table-1). At Stanek and Sons' orchards 'Delicious' blossoms averaged about 0.024 ml of nectar, while the mean 'McIntosh' nectar secretion was 0.225 ml of nectar per blossom. At the MSU Horticulture Farm 'Delicious' blossoms 38 . Smsuo m. .8 . n3. .. > m. m m. e o F. W. In 0 d O U m 0 a m am .. Rm 3 3 O I r.... r... swossolg 0000 “no; )0 uogpodmd 39 Table 1. Average volume of nectar in apple blossoms on their day of anthesis. Sample Average volume Variety Site Size of nectar 'Red Delicious' MSU Horticulture 20 .121 :_.08 a (Millerspur) Farm 'McIntosh' MSU Horticulture 20 '337.i.-07 b (MACSPur) Farm 'Red Delicious' Stanek & Sons' 44 .026 i .049 a (Red Chief) 'McIntosh' Stanek & Sons' 48 .225 i .042 b (MACspur) Means followed by the same letter are not significantly different at the 5% level as determined by Fisher's LSD. Comparisons in nectar volume between sites was not made. 4O averaged .121 ml of nectar while 'McIntosh' averaged 0.337 ml of nectar per blossom. The rate of nectar replacement in both varieties was not related to temperature, wind speed, or relative humidity. Although nectar was not secreted at air temperatures below 10°C, the rate nectar was replaced was not found to be a function of increasing temperatures. Even when relative humidity and wind speed, in combination with temperature were used to define the relationship, correlation coefficients for the rate of nectar replacement as it relates to temperature and relative humidity still were less than 0.05 in both varieties. Originally it was assumed that blossoms would be revisited when their nectar was replaced, and this was predicted to be a function of weather conditions and blossom age. Because this assumption was not supported in the field, blossoms now are predicted to be attractive again 30 minutes after being visited. This assumption is based upon the dissipation time of the ”marker" phenomone deposited on blossoms by visiting honey bees (Ribbands 1955). Blossoms are rarely visited by other foragers immediately after a visit, because this pheromone is apparently interpreted as existing exclusively on non-reward- ing blossoms. When the pheromone dissipates the blossom can be foraged again and in the case of apples may have replaced all, or none of its original quantity of nectar (according to our data). The Effects of Bloom on Honey Bees Foraging on Apple The foraging population response to state of bloom was defined using pollen samples from Erickson-Waller traps (collected in 1981 at the MSU Horticulture Farm), and hourly counts of honey been on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees (taken 41 at Stanek and Sons' Orchards in 1982). The curves expressing the relationship between state of bloom (expressed in degree days) and foraging activity are shown in Figures 10d and 11d. Each of these curves is actually a combination of three separate functions whose use is dependent upon the degree day interval (Figures 10 a-c, 11 a-c). From the start of bloom until just past the bloom peak (i.e. 63% of the 'Delicious' and 40% of the 'McIntosh' bloom expressed) a Michaelis-Menton function best described the foraging response (Figures 10a, 11a). These curves simulate the rapid increase in apple foraging activity after colony introduction as evidenced by Erickson-Waller pollen trap samples. The percentage of apple pollen collected after the first full day of flight averaged 46.4% for four colonies (the percentages of apple and non-apple pollen in the trap was assumed to reflect the percentage of the foraging force on apple). Apple pollen continued to make up about 50% of the pollen in the trap samples as the 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees approached their bloom peaks. Data from pollen samples were no longer used to predict foraging activity after peak bloom, because later blooming apple varieties ('Golden Delicious' and 'Northern Spy’) at the MSU Horticulture Farm were opening at this time, and were being actively foraged. Pollen from trap samples was not identified to variety, therefore these samples could not reflect the decline in foraging activity with the waning of 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' blooms. After peak bloom the percentage of the foraging force working 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees was estimated from hourly counts of honey bees on trees at Stanek and Sons' Orchards in 1982. After estimating honeybees/hectare based upon weather and colonies /hectare, the proportion of the foraging force on 42 Figure 10. Predicted Relationship Between State of Bloom and Foraging Activity on 'Delicious' (A=Pre-Peak Bloom response, B=Post-Peak Bloom Transition response, CBPOSt-Peak Bloom Response, D=C0mbined Response Curves). 1323 Y I 3.02 - 4.0 x 2‘0. ‘ 0.0 no .00: <9. :0 000020.. 0.02 .0 003500000 v 0.7 1 0.. ProoortiooolTotolfloomOongoyo... T 'v - ( 2905‘/ I?!» +-.27 ) x .72 0.0 T j Y I .4 .6 no a“. a“. .6 . 0000b<0¢co€000000010<000038080 d .6 0.00 01 O 0.0 _1 I V O.” 0.00 Proportion of Toto! Boom 009m 0070... V 1 2.... 8%.. a... 000.... (9. co 000080.. 0.00< .0 03:000.... .0 v I On. 1 0.. Proportion of Total floor» Dogroo 0070... v ‘ 2”. 2m. 0000.. (9. 00 9.00200 0.00.‘ .0 03.3080 001 Proportion of A0000 Forogoro on 'Hclntoon' 1r000 Proportion of A0000 Foroq0r0 on 'McIntooh' Inn 44 183- A :‘I 8 S = ‘0 '3.) 3 ° 5 0 00 .3 1. s o 5 5.. r - ( rs... / x'o..+ .25 )x.80 g Y - 1.2: - 1.01M r0.) ' i 3 a i .H 0" n. ‘- =. . . . “0.000 03:0 0:000 03010 01000 °0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 Prooorh'onoffotolfloomboqmboys- ProportionofTotdfloornbogrooOoyoa f- C i“ D 3 .2 2 § 5 ' fl 3‘ i 51 5 v - .403 - .37: ( 0'0...) ' i r- 3 g 94 c "I O i I it 8 8. V 1 ‘;o .00 01.1: 0'.“ 11.00 °0.00 01.10 7.00 0.10 I .00 Proportion of totol Bloom 009r00 (JoyaR Proportion of Iotoi Boom 000m Donn Figure 11. Predicted Relationship Between State of Bloom and Foraging on 'McIntosh' Trees (A=Pre-Peak Bloom Response, B=Post-Peak Bloom Transition Response, c-Post-Peak Bloom Response, D=Combined Response curves)- 45 apple was solved for by testing various percentages until the best predictive curves were acquired. This was accomplished by dividing the post-peak bloom response into two stages; a transition response (for the interval just after peak bloom) and a late bloom response from the end of the transition interval until final petal fall) (Figures 10 b,c and 11 b,c). Observations of honey bees on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees after peak bloom showed a decline in the foraging population that was best described using linear fimctions (Figure 10b and 11b). During this transition interval (defined as the time when 64-70% of the 'Delicious' and 41-59% of the 'McIntosh' bloom was expressed) the bloom was still apparently attractive to a high percentage of field bees, but fractions of the foraging population were abandoning their foraging areas on apple each day. In the late stages of bloom (the remaining 30% of the 'Delicious' and 41% of the 'McIntosh' bloom), forging activity decreased rapidly on both varieties. The decline in the foraging population on 'McIntosh' was possibly augmented by the proximity of 'Delicious' trees whose bloom was 1-2 days behind 'McIntosh' in its decline. Honey bee working 'McIntosh' trees probably switched to the 'Delicious' rows as the 'McIntosh' bloom declined, and hence brought about an earlier decrease in the foraging population on this variety. The late bloom foraging response for 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' which gave the best predictions of honey bees 0n the trees is shown in Figures 10c and 110. Predictigng Honej Bees per Tree In 1982 at Stanek and Sons' honey bees were counted (hourly) on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees, while temperature, solar radiation, and wind speed were recorded. Because of tree size, it was possible to count the bees on the entire 46 tree. An analysis was then conducted to express the influence of weather parameters and state of bloom (expressed in degree days) on honey bee foraging activity on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees. Initially a multiple regression was performed on the field data to test if a regression equation could predict foraging activity on apple trees. Although the regression equations for both varieties showed a high degree of correlation between weather, bloom, and bee activity (R2 values in excess of .85), these equations were not predictive. The model's original program contained equations derived from the litera- ture describing the influence of temperature, wind, solar radiation, and state of bloom on foraging activity (Jorgensen and Markham 1946, Lundie 1925, cited by Williams and Sims 1977, Free 1960). Honey bees/acre 0n apple was predicted by removing portions of the maximum possible foraging population using equations derived from these reports. Temperature and solar radiation were reported to have a positive influence on foraging while wind speed had negative affects. State of bloom was reported to positively influence the foraging population before peak bloom and negatively affect it after the bloom peak. The original program was built on the assumption that a colony during apple bloom averaged 20,000 bees, 8,000 of which were foragers. Predictions of honey bees/tree were made by combining updates on apple foragers/acre (based on weather and state of bloom), and trees of each variety/acre. Comparisons were then made between model output on honey bees/tree using weather data collected at Stanek and Son's Orchard (1982), and actual honey bees/tree at that site under the same weather conditions and degree degree day interval. Unfor- tunately model predictions were inaccurate and it became apparent that adjustments would have to be made in the equation and assumptions. 47 After unsuccessful attempts to obtain good prediction using a single equation throughout the day for the honey bee response to solar radiation, it was concluded that the response was dependent upon time of day (i.e. the sun's position on the horizon). This factor apparently influences how positively the foraging population responds to increasing light values. The best foraging population predictions occurred when curves were developed to describe the solar radiation response in the morning, mid-day and afternoon (Figure 12 a,b,c). In the morning (800-1200 hrs daylight savings time (DST)) a linear function with a positive slope, and negative y-intercept (indicating a threshold effect) gave the best honeybees/tree predictions. Between 1300-1400 hrs (DST) the foraging response to solar radiation differed markedly from that in the morning or later afternoon, even when temperature and wind speed remained fairly constant. To account for this, a transition solar radiation curve was derived (Figure 12b), and is used to predict the foraging response during this interval. Finally, a third solar radiation curve was derived to predict foraging activity on apple from 1300 hrs until the end of the flight day (Figure 12c). Field data indicated that the response to light values in the later afternoon differed from those occurring at mid-day (1300-1400 hrs.), and prompted the derivation of this curve. The foraging response to temperature also required adjustments, and the response function now used in the model is shown in Figure 13a. The program uses a threshold temperature of 10°C to initiate honey bee foraging on apple. This value was chosen because honey bees were seen foraging apple trees at this temperature, and 10°C is the threshold for nectar secretion in apple as indicated by our nectar studies. After a temperature of 26°C, it is predicted that honey bee flight no longer is limited by temperature at this time of year. .NemecsmioOnHao .euaom ooeaioomsum .muaom cowaroomu000: mouoavoum .NH ouswwm 71 wk?! ooor\ma.2(0mo.} 7} MP2; coop\mn.2<0¢0.2 7} mtk; ooo'\ 903(010.) 48 o o. . a on 9 on on o. m. m. m. me So N _ an m... m o r . . . v w W V. Tu . u... oe._+..o..x.oo_u> .4. mm $305002!» . 8 . 8 . 3 3 3 3 N N I. .1 . .d 10 .d 0 0 S S S S a v a v .I 1 3 3 w m N in N 3 3 .A A 8 0 3 3 3 w 3 V S S . To . T m rm ( $339 A3NOH 3191990d “433834 49 $5 3QO cc“: cam N3 wunumummauu. cu mucoamum madman—om wouuavoum 2.3. SE); .owumm oz ~ 3 .uv .on .mu 0.." o. .00 85am azscxmeuo. .. 8.. .. > SL'O 00'! .mH wuswam o. 8323th A..." .mu .mu .m. ..:o w. d o W in w m o 6 m. o o 5 N P IgoQ—gio I > 1W m. d m. o 9 w 0 z." < C. uouomdod bugbmo; go uoguodmd 50 The curve expressing the relationship between wind speed and foraging on apple is a hybrid of our data and literature values (Figure 13b). Originally a negative exponential curve was fitted to the literature data, but was found to severely underestimate flight activity. The linear function shown in Figure 14b gave far more accurate predictions of honey bees/ tree when used in concert with the temperature and solar radiation curves. The lower and upper limits of the curve are from literature reports, while values in between are a product of field data and simulation runs (Brittain 1933 cited by Free 1960, Rashad 1957). It was initially assumed that a colony contained about 8,000 foragers, but the accuracy of this assumption needed testing. At Stanek and Sons' Orchard 56 colonies (54 rented colonies and two from the University apiary) were introduced at a density of .11 colonies/hectare. Colonies were composed of two standard depth hive bodies, and were a combination of overwintered colonies and early spring starts from packaged bees. Taking into account colony density/hectare, a series of calculations were performed to approximate the number of foragers/colony. The combination of hourly counts of honey bees/tree and number of trees per hectare was used to estimate the number of honey bees working apple/hectare. Using the percentages of apple and competitive plant pollen coming into the hive from pre-peak bloom pollen sample data (from the Erickson-Waller traps), the approximate portion of the total honey bees/acre foraging apple was calculated for a particular degree day interval. Possible apple foragers per acre was then calculated by correcting for the decrease in the foraging population due to weather (during the sampling period). The total number of foragers per colony was then estimated by adding the portion of the total foraging population on apple to the remaining percent on competitive 51 plants and dividing by .11 colonies/hectare. Estimates of foragers/colony were made by repeating this procedure at various sampling intervals. From our data is was estimated that colonies had between 4500-4600 bees in their foraging population. Comparisons of actual honey bees on 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees (under monitored weather conditions) and those predicted by the model are shown in Figures 14a,b. On both 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees, predictions of bee activity during the morning and late afternoon are by far the most accurate: (actual 'Delicious' honeybees-predicted)Z = 0.511, (actual ‘McIntosh‘ honey bees - predicted).Z = .208). Only from 1300-1400 hrs do the predictions become less precise: (actual 'Delicious' honey bees -predicted)Z = 0.626, (actual 'McIntosh' honey bees - predicted)Z = 0.420). Analysis of Pollens on Apple Foragers and Blossom Stigmata Pollen from various apple varieties and competitive plants blooming concurently with 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees could be identified by size and exine pattern using SEM (Figures 15 and 16). Pollen samples collected from the bodies of apple foragers were compared to those collected from 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees. Pollen types were then identified as being self-, cross-, or non- apple pollen relative to the tree (or plant) from which the bee was collected. In 1982 every honey bee captured while working 'Delicious' or 'McIntosh' trees (at the MSU Horticulture Farm) was carrying pollen from other apple varieties and in some instances pollen from other plant species (Figure 17) (Table 2). Three honey bees captm-ed while foraging dandelion flowers were also fmmd carrying pollen types other than dandelion. 'Delicious' foragers captured both in the morning (900-1200 hrs DST) and afternoon (1300-1750 hrs DST) were found to have significantly more compatible .Avouoavouml a .Hmsuo00 .0 oEF . no.“ . on: . on: . oou— . oom- . no.0 . no: . coo. . no: . cou— . 003 . can b p . . p p p p p .0 u m o a... m U h m. .m n 1... z o M 9 & o P 0 t .9: I 1. I. I. u m. n ‘0 d e o .m .m 0 U m r... < T. 0! 0911 ,usowlon, Jed soog Keno” 53 Figure 15. Scanning electron micrographs of apple pollen grains. A - Millerspur 'Delicious' (1800x), B - Macspur 'McIntosh' (1800x), C = 'Gallia' (l800x), D 8 'Rhode Island Greening' (1800x). 54 Figure 16. 55 Scanning electron micrographs of pollen from species blooming in concert with apple. A = Tart Cherry (720x), B - Stanely Plum (720x), C = Bartlett Pear (1800x), D - Bosc Pear (660x), E = Dandelion (Taraxacwn spp) (440x), F 8 Yellow rocket (Barbarea spp) (l300x). 56 57 Figure 17. Scanning electron micrographs of pollen carried by honey bees foraging 'McIntosh' trees at the Michigan State University Horticulture Farm. 58 S9 93 93,33 .3 858.33 mm Hm>ma Nm wnu um acouwNMfiv xaucmofiuwcwfim uo: our uuuuoa mean may ha oosoaaow mcooz muuwmuow . .. . . I . . .. . r823? as. m H NH H.m mm a a Na me mm o o nIW N m nu ma maouoaaoo pom. m ¢.o~ + w.- p m.- + o.om m o.oH + o.- z< ea vocap800 m simogm a Nammmé a SSMSJ E m m m.q~ + m.- m m.m~ + o.oq m «.mH + n.~m z< m .smoucHoz. s 0.2 m mam p 0;: m can a 8; w 2a E S m o.- + o.- n m.w~ + “.mm a w.w~ + n.- z< n .maoaowaon com. cmaaoa oHaamacoc N coHHoe mmouo N cwaaon maom N mafia swam oHaamm vowuuom waamm muoaum> .aumm ousuaaowuuom out man no webmmoap manna wcwmeOM moon xenon mo weapon can so cmHHoa maeaouao: can .Immouo .Imaom mo omwwuaouumm N manmfi 60 pollen (i.e. pollen from an unrelated variety) than self-pollen on their bodies (Table 2). Honey bees captured while working a solid block of 'McIntosh' trees (at the MSU Horticulture Farm) were also carrying both self and compatible pollen, but in different proportions in the morning and afternoon (Table 2). Compatible pollen was predominant during afternoon hours only on these 'McIntosh' foragers, and was present in approximately equivalent amounts to self— and non-apple pollen in the morning. Although significantly more compatible pollen was found on both 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' foragers, the small sample sizes warrant conservative conclusions, concerning the mean percentages of pollen types. At the very least though, honey bees captured on both varieties were found to be in a condition where cross pollination was possible if at least some of the pollen on the bee's body was viable. Even when trees were planted in a solid block arrangement (as in the case of the 'McIntosh' trees), honey bees were carrying pollen on their bodies from apple varieties that were located several hundred meters away. When all samples were combined, compatible pollen was found to comprise the majority of pollen types carried on a forager's body in both the morning and afternoon (Table 2). The foragers ability to transfer compatible pollen was evidenced by its presence on the stigma (Figure 18). In these samples the stigmatic surface was often heavily coated with pollen, so that only those grains on the outer most surface could be counted. All pollinated stigmata collected from 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees at both the MSU Horticulture Farm and Stanek and Sons' Orchards were found to contain compatible pollen graim (Table 3). Whether compatible pollen actually existed directly on the stigmatic surface, and hence 61 Figure 18. Scanning electron micrographs of pollinated apple blossoms stigma: A and B from 'McIntosh' blossoms, while C and D are from 'Delicious'. 62 stigfi: )eliciom 63 H.- o.oo~ m.Nm w.~m Hg .nmouaHoz. N.wH o.oo~ o.~m m.mm mH .msofiofiaoo pom. :oHHoe waeamaco: coaaonlwmouo :oHHoelmHom amaaoa swam manamm muoaum> nufia N nuwa N saga N nu“? N .Eumm manuasuauuom om: onu um amHHoa manomlcoa can .nmmouo .cmaom wawcwmucoo mumsmfium .nmoucHoz. can .moowofiaoa pom. mo mmwmucouumm m magma 64 was in a position to germinate and ultimately fertilize ovules could not be determined with the SEM procedure. From these field results, a new subroutine called "In Hive" was added to the model to predict the number of pollinators arising from pollen transfer among nestmates in the hive. The flow diagram describing this subroutine is shown in Figure 19. The number of honey bees leaving the hive carrying pollen that could set fruit on 'Delicious' or 'McIntosh' trees is predicted to be a fimction of uninterrupted foraging intensity (number of honey bees leaving the hive) during the previous hours as described by the equation: % of honey bees with mixed pollen (in the current hour) = .213 * log1 0 (number of foragers leaving the hive the previous hour) (Figure 20). The number of possible cross pollinators (at time (t)) is then obtained by multiplying the percentage of bees with mixed pollen by the number of foragers leaving the hive that hour. Although honey bees may acquire pollen in the hive, unless it is from a variety that is compatible with either the pollinizer or 'Delicious', these bees cannot be added to the pollinator population. The potential pollinator population is predicted to be a ftmction of both foraging intensity and the percentage of the foraging population working either 'Delicious' or pollinizer trees. The percentage of the foraging population on these varieties (as predicted by accumulated degree days and state of bloom) is assumed to reflect the percentage of pollen types coming into the hive, and hence the probabilities of an apple forager leaving the hive with compatible pollen. Consequently as the number of foragers on the pollinizer and 'Delicious' trees increases, the amount of these pollens entering the hive increases, raising the probability that apple f oragers will obtain compatible pollen within the hive by contact with nestmates. 65 .2131” log“? at foragers leaving the hive): 96 with mixed pollen. (4 of toragers)*(% with mixed pollen) = Possible cross pollinators (POSXPOL) POSXPOL It % of foragers on pollinizer :cross pollinators (XPOLL) XPOLL il- 100= Possible cross pollinating visits (POSXPOLVIS) POSXPOLVIS a: 1;” Probability at cross pollination XPOLPM POSXPOLVIS s j?" (Wanderer visits) + (XPOLAM or PM) : Probability of cross pollination XPOLAM Pollinating visits 7 Figure 19. Sequence in the "In Hive" Subroutine. 66 1.00 d Pollen 0.75 Ixe mg with M' Y = .213 I: log,.(x) 0.50 Proportion of Honey Bees Leov 0.25 D0.00 I l i l . 10000. 20000. 30000. 40000. Cumulative Honey Bees Leaving the Hive Figure 20. Predicted In-Hive Pollen Transfer Rate as a Function of the Cumulative Honey Bees Leaving the Hive During the Day. 67 Honey bees were timed while working 'Delicious' and 'McIntosh' trees to determine the average number of blossoms visited per hour. After accounting for travel time and transfer of pollen and nectar loads to bees in the hive, foragers were estimated to be visiting an average of 100 apple blossoms/hour. The possible cross pollinating visits in an hour is then predicted to be the number of cross pollinating bees (i.e. foragers that have acquired compatible pollen in the hive or by moving from tree to tree) estimated that hour multiplied by 100 visits. Because pollen was shed primarily in the morning in the orchards used in this study, compatible pollen acquired in the hive would be more rapidly diluted by self-pollen during this time if foragers were working a single variety (either 'Delicious' or pollinizer). Consequently, although a honey bee may visit about 100 blossoms per foraging trip, she probably only cross pollinates a variable percentage based upon time of day. Finally the total pollinating visits occurring in an hour is predicted to be the sum of those performed by wandering bees moving from the pollinizer to the 'Delicious' trees (or 'Delicious' trees to the pollinizer), and visits by honey bees that have acquired compatible pollen in the hive. Effect of Blossom Density on Fruit Set In 1981 at the MSU Horticulture Farm, 'Delicious' trees with sparse flowering had a July fruit set (Fruit/Blossom) that ranged between 0.35 and 0.83 depending upon blossom density (Figure 21a) 'McIntosh' trees had a higher blossom density than 'Delicious', and had lower initial fruit sets (0.042 - 0.174) (Figure 22a). In both varieties there was an inverse relationship between blossom density and initial fruit set that resembled a negative exponential ftmction. 68 .oom r szv..m=ofiofifiwn. a“ use ufisum can mufimcwv Eommoan :om3uun nacmcowuwfimp use out... too 2:3an .aao_u=uo pom. .OOv .con L L! .oon _ .00. IL r OO'l wossolg Jsd um; quwaidss ) .nfimefi Show unauaoofiuuom 09:. con nEOnnofi 3338.8 pox. 6m. .2“; 6..." .2: — .HN wuswfim BL'O 91 0 09-0 wossolg J00 unJJ ,snogoglag peg Amp OO'I 69 .Auom uuaum nogamunomlm .uom awash wasnroa Nm man 0 umcu um nouuoa meow ozu xn mosoaaow mcmoz m mom. + so.“ an a ham. H.oo.o um museso I. I. .osoouoaoo omx. m own. + oo.o mm o mom. + o~.o mm omega owe osm;0to m.>o;m< I. I. .smOucHoz. m «mm. + w~.~ mm a ohm. + no.“ Nm magnum: I. I. .msoHoHHoo mom. uumnouo ohm. + oo.o mm a mom. + mo.“ Nm owwzo owe m.:om one xmcmom .szucHoz. 0 in. Mr. 8.5 «m 0 RN. homo mm 532...: .mzooooamo cum. I. owe o mom. 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