. .nr. . . . u I.“ , . I. y . , n... my? 2. a; Lynn... :«mww I _ < Lalfl‘Mvnflfl ...r 1.. 5. ._ ufiwrau. . 4 n n x. .h v . 4 l o <..lv..‘ \ . xiii“), ... uni? . . ..:.¢.u..nlrf.n. A . I . defnsnm4l Jdmwiuauhnfi lite": .01.!!! It. ..:|1.H.J'n H . llhflvrlu. Illlllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll 31293 0155 960 LIBRARY Michigan State F University This is to certify that the thesis entitled Consumer Preferences for Fresh Market Apples ‘ presented by Jane Louise Beggs has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for M.S. degree in Agricultural Economics Major professor Date L/dj O [C] (0 0-7639 MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution PLACE ll RETURN BOXto roman thi- chockout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or baton data duo. DATE DUE DATE DUE“ DATE DUE » JNMLOQEJ l m MSU IoAn Afflnndivo Action/Equal Oppdrhrnlty Instituion m1 CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR FRESH MARKET APPLES By Jane Louise Beggs A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Agricultural Economics 1996 ABSTRACT CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR FRESH APPLES By Jane Louise Beggs To meet consumer demand for fresh apples, the Michigan apple industry needs accurate information about consumer preferences for apples. A market research project about consumer preferences for and attitudes about fresh apples was conducted to add to existing market information. This project included three phases: a review of background information, a series of consumer focus groups about fresh apples, and a telephone survey of consumers in Detroit and Chicago. Survey results indicate that flavor, freedom from bruises and blemishes, and crispness are very important to 80-90% of the surveyed consumers. Color, variety, and price are very important to 36-46% of the consumers. Apple size and origin were indicated to be of lesser importance. Most of the consumers (57%) said they usually buy fresh apples from bulk displays. Only 23% said they prefer to buy bagged apples. This is important to the Michigan apple industry, which has traditionally packed most of its apples in bags. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my major professor, Dr. Donald Ricks, and my other committee members, Dr. Kirk Heinze and Dr. Tom Pierson, for their patience and sincere interest in this research. I appreciate all that they have done to provide me with an outstanding graduate school experience. Thanks also go to the Michigan Apple Committee, who provided much of the funding for this project. I am also indebted to many Spartan friends. especially Dave, Jacqueline, Jim, Kristin, Susan, and Dave, who were great moral support to me throughout the classwork, research and thesis-writing of this Master's degree program. Last, but certainly not the least, thanks to Anne, Mom, Dad and Dennis. i couldn't have done it without you. 0.. TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables .................................................... viii List of Figures ................................................... xiii List of Exhibits ................................................... xiv Chapter 1: Introduction to The Research Project ........................... 1 1 .1 Introduction. ........................................... 1 1.2 Research setting ......................................... 1 1.3 Purpose and objectives of this study ........................... 2 1.4 Economic rationale ....................................... 3 1.5 Elements of the research project .............................. 3 1.6 Organization of the thesis ................................... 5 Chapter Two: Background on the Research Topic ........................... 6 2.1 Introduction ............................................ 6 2.2 The Michigan Apple Industry ................................ 7 2.2.1 Characteristics of the Michigan apple industry .............. 8 2.2.2 Structure of the Michigan apple industry ................. 11 2.3 The need for market information ............................. 14 2.4 Basic consumer trends .................................... 16 2.4.1 More food is being eaten away from home ............... 16 2.4.2 The population is growing older ....................... 17 2.4.3 Household size is declining .......................... 19 2.4.4 The ethnic make-up of the United States is changing ........ 20 2.4.5 There are new challenges for the U.S. food system ......... 20 2.5 Consumer Preferences for Fresh Apples ........................ 20 2.5.1 Appearance ..................................... 23 2.5.2 Taste ......................................... 25 2.5.3 Firmness or Texture ............................... 26 2.5.4 Crispness ...................................... 27 2.5.5 Consistency .................................... 27 2.5.6 Convenience .................................... 28 2.5.7 Health and Nutrition ............................... 28 2.5.7 Distinctiveness .................................. 29 2.5.9 Purchasing Behavior ............................... 31 2.5.10 Price ........................................ 31 2.7 Conclusions ........................................... 33 Chapter 3 - Focus Groups and Development of the Telephone Survey ............ 35 3.1 Introduction ........................................... 35 3.2 General Research Strategy ................................. 35 3.3 Setting up the focus groups ................................ 36 3.4 Results of focus group questions ............................. 37 3.4.1 The importance of apple characteristics ................. 38 3.4.2 Purchasing Influences in the retail store ................. 41 3.4.3 Bagged or bulk display apples ........................ 43 3.4.4 Variety awareness ................................ 45 3.4.5 How apples are usually used ......................... 50 3.4.6 Consumers' perceptions of and associations with apples ...... 50 3.4.7 Consumers' opinions of the Empire, Gala, and Jonagold varieties ...................................... 52 3.4.8 Summary of the focus group data ..................... 54 3.5 Some Considerations When Writing the Telephone Survey ........... 55 3.6 Developing the survey instrument ............................ 57 3.6.1 Screening for the appropriate population ................. 58 3.6.2 Identifying important apple characteristics ................ 59 3.6.3 Are most apples bought from bulk displays or in bags? ....... 62 3.6.4 How are fresh apples used? ......................... 63 3.6.5 Variety awareness ................................ 64 3.6.6 How many apple varieties should grocery stores carry? ....... 65 3.6.7 Consumers' impressions of Michigan apples .............. 66 3.6.8 Comparing Michigan apples to those from Washington ....... 66 3.4.9 Demographics ................................... 67 3.5 Summary ............................................. 71 Chapter Four - Results of the Telephone Survey ........................... 73 4.1 Introduction ........................................... 73 4.2 Apple purchases ..................................... .' . . 74 4.3 Importance of various apple characteristics ...................... 75 4.4 Important characteristics for apple varieties ..................... 85 4.5 Apple buying behavior regarding type of pack .................... 86 4.6 Apple use ............................................ 89 4.7 Demand for apple varieties ................................. 90 4.8 Familiarity with apple varieties .............................. 91 4.9 The image of Michigan apples ............................... 95 4.10 Perceptions associated with Michigan apples ................... 96 4.11 Demographics of the surveyed consumers ..................... 96 4.8 Conclusions ........................................... 98 Chapter Five - Analysis and Implications for the Michigan Apple Industry .......... 101 5.1 Introduction ........................................... 101 vi 5.2 Apple Characteristics And Their Importance to Consumers ........... 101 5.2.1 Flavor ........................................ 102 5.2.2 Freedom from bruising and blemishes ................... 103 5.2.3 Crispness ...................................... 104 5.2.4 Color ......................................... 105 5.2.5 Variety ........................................ 106 5.2.6 Size .......................................... 108 5.2.7 Price ......................................... 110 5.3 The relative unimportance of apple origin ....................... 114 5.4 The indicated preference for bulk display apples .................. 116 5.5 Suggestions for future research .............................. 117 5.6 Closing comments ....................................... 1 17 APPENDIX ..................................................... 1 19 Crosstabs ................................................ 120 Focus Group Questions ...................................... 150 vii List of Tables Table 1 Total Population Projections. .................................. 18 Table 2 Median U.S. Household Income - By Age Groups .................... 18 Table 3 Connecticut Apple Consumers. ................................ 22 Table 4 01. Does your household purchase apples? ....................... 75 Table 5 012. Do you buy Michigan apples? ............................. 75 Table 6 03. Which apple characteristics are most important to you? ............ 76 Table 7 03. Which apple characteristics are most important to you? ............. 78 Table 8 Importance of Apple Price to Consumers .......................... 79 Table 9 Importance of Price Across Income Segments ...................... 81 Table 10 Importance of Price Across Age Groups ......................... 82 Table 11 Importance of Apple Size ................................... 83 Table 12 Importance of Apple Size Across Age Groups ..................... 84 Table 13 Importance of Where Apples Are Grown ......................... 85 Table 14 Why Apple Varieties Are Preferred ......... ' .................... 86 Table 15 How Apples Are Usually Purchased ............................ 86 Table 16 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments ............... 87 Table 17 How Apples Are Purchased Across Age Groups ................... 88 Table 18 How Fresh Apples Are Used By Consumers ...................... 90 Table 19 Apple Varieties Consumers Think Of ........................... 92 Table 20 Varieties Consumers Are Familiar With .......................... 94 Table 21 Comparing Michigan Apples to Washington Apples ................. 95 viii Table 22 Table 23 Table 24 Table 25 Table 26 Table 27 Table 28 Table 29 Table 29 Table 30 Table 31 Table 32 Table 33 Table 34 Table 35 Table 36 Table 37 Table 38 Table 39 Table 40 Table 41 Table 42 Table 43 Table 44 Table 45 Table 46 Table 47 Perceptions of Michigan Apples ............................... 96 Telephone Survey Income Distribution .......................... 98 Telephone Survey Age Distribution ............................ 98 Importance of Variety Across Age Groups ....................... 108 Importance of Size Across Age Groups .......................... 110 Importance of Price Across Income Segments ..................... 111 Importance of Price Across Age Groups ......................... 112 Variety by Age - Detroit .................................... 121 Variety by Age -- Chicago ................................... 121 Variety by Age -- Both Markets ............................... 122 Variety by Income -- Detroit ................................. 122 Variety by Income -- Chicago ................................ 122 Variety by Income -- Both Markets ............................. 123 Variety by Gender -— Detroit ................................. 123 Variety by Gender -- Chicago ................................ 123 Variety by Gender -- Both Markets ............................. 124 Color by Income -- Detroit .................................. 124 Color by Income -- Chicago .................................. 124 Color by Income -- Both Markets .............................. 125 Color by Age -- Detroit ..................................... 125 Color by Age -- Chicago .................................... 125 Color by Age -- Both Markets ................................ 126 Color by Gender -- Detroit ................................... 126 Color by Gender -- Chicago .................................. 126 Color by Gender -- Both Markets .............................. 127 Size by Age -- Detroit ...................................... 127 SizebyAge--Chicago............................: ........ 127 Table 48 Table 49 Table 50 Table 51 Table 52 Table 53 Table 54 Table 55 Table 61 Table 57 Table 58 Table 59 Table 60 Table 61 Table 62 Table 63 Table 64 Table 65 Table 66 Table 67 Table 68 Table 69 Table 70 Table 71 Table 72 Table 73 Table 74 Size by Age -- Both Markets ................................. 128 Size by Income -- Detroit ................................... 128 Size by Income -- Chicago .................................. 129 Size by Income -- Both Markets ............................... 129 Size by Gender -- Detroit ................................... 129 Size by Gender -- Chicago .................................. 130 Size by Gender -- Both Markets ............................... 130 Size by Children in the Household -- Detroit ...................... 130 Size by Children in the Household -- Chicago ...................... 131 Size by Children in the Household -- Both Markets .................. 131 Price by Income -- Detroit ................................... 131 Price by Income -- Chicago .................................. 132 Price by Income -- Both Markets .............................. 132 Price by Age -- Detroit ..................................... 132 Price by Age -- Chicago .................................... 133 Price by Age -- Both Markets ................................ 133 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Detroit. ................... 134 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Chicago. .................. 134 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Both Markets ............... 134 Price by Gender -- Detroit ................................... 135 Price by Gender -- Chicago .................................. 135 Price by Gender -- Both Markets .............................. 135 Price by the Presence of Children -- Detroit ....................... 136 Price by the Presence of Children -- Chicago ...................... 136 Price by the Presence of Children -- Both Markets .................. 136 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Detroit ....... 137 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Chicago ...... 137 Table 75 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Both Markets . . . 137 Table 76 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Detroit ..................... 138 Table 77 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Chicago ..................... 138 Table 78 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Both Markets ................. 138 Table 79 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Detroit ................... 139 Table 80 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Chicago ................... 139 Table 81 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Both Markets ............... 139 Table 82 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Detroit ......... 140 Table 83 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Chicago ........ 140 Table 84 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Both Markets . . . . 140 Table 85 How Apples Are Used By Gender -- Detroit ....................... 141 Table 86 How Apples Are Used by Gender -- Chicago ...................... 141 Table 87 How Apples Are Used by Gender -- Both Markets .................. 141 Table 88 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Detroit ................... 142 Table 89 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Chicago .................. 142 Table 90 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Both Markets ............... 142 Table 91 Use by The Presence of Children in the Household -- Detroit ........... 143 Table 92 Use by the Presence of Children in the Household -- Chicago ........... 143 Table 93 Use by the Presence of Children in the Household -- Both Markets ....... 143 Table 94 Use by Income -- Detroit ................................... 144 Table 95 Use by Income -- Chicago ................................... 144 Table 96 Use by Income -- Both Markets ............................... 144 Table 97 Use by Age -- Detroit ...................................... 145 Table 98 Use by Age -- Chicago ..................................... 145 Table 99 Use by Age -- Both Markets ................................. 145 Table 100 Familiarity With Jonathan by Age ............................. 146 Table 101 Familiarity \Mth Rome by Age ............................... 146 xi Table 102 Table 103 Table 104 Table 105 Table 106 Table 107 Table 108 Table 109 Table 1 10 Familiarity With ldared by Age ............................... 146 Familiarity With Empire by Age .............................. 147 Familiarity Wlth Empire by Income ............................ 147 Familiarity Wlth Paulared by Age ............................. 147 Familiarity Wlth Jonagold by Income .......................... 148 Familiarity With Jonamac by Income .......................... 148 Familiarity With Fuji by Age ................................ 148 Familiarity With Fuji by Income .............................. 149 Familiarity With Braeburn by Age ............................. 149 xii List of Figures Figure 1. Michigan's Average Fresh Apple Production ....................... 10 Figure 2 Fresh Apple Marketing Chain ................................. 13 Figure 3 Importance of Apple Variety Across Age Groups .................... 79 figure 4 Choice of Apple Varieties Desired by Consumers ................... 91 ngre 5 Statistical Equality of Apple Characteristics ....................... 113 xiii List of Exhibits Exhibit 1 Ineffeciencies of relying on prices as signals. Exhibit 2 Targeting of consumer preferences by agricultural producers. Exhibit 3 Consumer Value Perception Relationship Exhibit 4 Consumer Interest in Apple Varieties. xiv 16 17 29 59 Chapter 1: Introduction to The Research Project 1.1 Introduction. The research project reported in this thesis concentrates on market research on consumer preferences and buying behavior concerning fresh apples. This research included a review of previous consumer market research about apple buying behavior, industry information, focus groups, and telephone surveys of consumers in two major metropolitan market areas. All of these components can contribute to the understanding of consumer preferences for fresh apples. The information collected and analyzed for the research is intended to contribute to the planning and marketing strategies of the Michigan apple industry. 1.2 Research setting. An objective of this research project is to provide consumer market behavior information to aid the Michigan apple industry. Therefore, many elements in the research project were designed to yield information which is particularly relevant for the Michigan apple industry, including growers, packers and shippers. Several important trade organizations, especially the Michigan Apple Committee, were involved in the design of this research project and have expressed strong interest in the results. The Michigan apple industry is a significant contributor to apple production in the United States, in some years ranking as the second most important apple producing state. Although Washington is the nation's leading apple producing region, Michigan, New York and California are also major apple growing states. Red Delicious is the most prominent apple variety in these states, although Michigan also has large acreages of other varieties. This diversity of apple varieties, along with its close proximity to many major markets, are two of Michigan's competitive advantages in the fresh apple market. Michigan also markets a large portion of its apple crop for processing into applesauce, apple slices, juice, baby food and pie filling. Michigan has many apple growers, many of whom have their fresh market apples packed by another packer firm. Some of these packers are shippers as well, although many 2 smaller packers ship their apples through separate shippers. Retail grocery stores sell most of Michigan's fresh apples. Only a very small portion of Michigan's apple crop is sold directly to consumers through farm markets or roadside stands. This significantly limits the direct contact that growers might have with the consumers who purchase their apples. Thus, information about consumer preferences needs to be relayed through several levels of the fresh apple marketing system before it reaches growers, packers, and shippers. Consumer market information is also important to apple industry organizations and others in the industry. Some broad-based surveys of consumer preferences, opinions and behavior about produce in general (such as the surveys made annually by me Backer). provide useful information about certain important aspects. On the other hand, existing market research information about consumer preferences for fresh apples is not as comprehensive as is desirable for informing current marketing decisions. Existing information about apple consumers does not primarily relate directly to the Michigan apple industry. A problem faced by industry decision makers is the need for more relevant information about current consumer preferences for fresh Michigan apples. Up to date information about consumer preferences may help the industry adapt to the changing preferences of fresh apple consumers. A better understanding of these preferences may help the Michigan apple industry in its marketing activities. It can also help the industry plan its strategies to market the most desirable product to the consumer. 1 .3 Purpose and objectives of this study. The general objective of this research study is to provide information about consumer preferences for fresh apples to the Michigan apple industry and other interested parties. Some specific objectives for this project include: 1. To determine the relative importance of various apple characteristics to consumers' apple buying decisions. This information may help industry decision makers identify apple characteristics which should be emphasized in marketing and planning activities. 2. To assess consumers' awareness of and interest in apple varieties. Consumers' Opinions of specific apple varieties will also be investigated. 3 3. To gauge the image and identity of the Michigan apple industry among consumers. This includes consumers' comparisons of Michigan apples to those from Washington. 4. To investigate how consumers prefer to buy fresh apples (i.e. bags or bulk.) 5. To find out how consumers are using the fresh apples, for fresh eating, cooking, or both purposes. These individual objectives are expected to contribute to the overall goal of generating a useful, realistic assessment of consumer preferences for fresh apples. Such information may aid industry planners in their long term strategies. This research may also serve as a basis for future research. Findings from this project might contribute to the design of subsequent market research projects about fresh apples. Analysis of the information generated by this research may reveal topics which are worth investigating further. This data may also contribute to future forecasts of fresh apple demand. 1 .4 Economic rationale. The economic rationale for this research project is to provide market information to industry participants in a subsector that is comprised of many small firms. Small firms, such as apple growers, often do not have the resources to independently collect information about consumer preferences. Public institutions, especially land-grant universities like Michigan State, have a long history of providing market information to agricultural firms.‘ This research project is intended to provide additional information to industry decision makers to facilitate the delivery of the most desirable product to the consumer. 1.5 Elements of the research project. This project consisted of three main stages of research - a review of previous market research studies about apples and other relevant literature, focus groups, and a telephone survey of consumers. All of these parts of the project contribute to the study as a whole. The inclusion of a background literature review, focus groups, and telephone survey in a consumer market research project is a common process of assessing consumer preferences. ‘Bruce W. Marion and VlfIlIard F. Mueller, “Industrial Organization, Economics and the Food System,“ in Wing, ed. Paul Farris IAmes: Iowa State University Press, 1983), 30. 4 The first stage of the research project was a review of previous research and relevant background information related to consumer preferences for fresh apples. This includes an overview description of the Michigan apple industry and some basic trends in the United States food system. There is also a review of existing research about consumer preferences for produce, especially those focusing on apples. After reviewing the available background information and studying the appropriate methodology, a plan for conducting a series of consumer focus groups was developed. A list of subjects for the participants to discuss in the focus group sessions was developed with the input of industry groups and with consideration of the information desired for the results. Three consumer focus groups about fresh apples were conducted. After considering the results and information generated by the consumer focus groups, the telephone survey questionnaire was developed. As with the focus groups, industry experts were involved in the design of the survey instrument to enhance its usefulness for industry priority needs. The resulting survey questionnaire was used to interview a large sample of several hundred consumers in Detroit and Chicago. These metropolitan areas were chosen because of their significance as major markets for the Michigan fresh apple industry. This particular combination of focus groups and a broad sample telephone survey was chosen for its overall effectiveness and its efficiency. The focus groups provided detailed discussion of topics related to consumer perceptions, rationale, and behavior regarding fresh apples. Such discussion revealed more in-depth attitudes, thought processes or opinions which could not be obtained with the more specific, structured type of questioning and the limited time per interview of a telephone or written survey. The focus groups, however, involved only a very small sample of consumers. Such a limited sample size may not result in very reliable conclusions about broad-based consumer preferences for fresh apples. In order to survey a larger sample of the population about their preferences and behavior for fresh apples, another type of methodology was also needed. Both mail and telephone surveys can be used to survey a large number of consumers, and were considered. 5 A telephone survey was chosen for this research project because it is comparatively low in cost and has high response rates in a relatively short period of time. There are some limitations to telephone surveys, e.g., the interview must be relatively short and visual aids cannot be used. These limitations affected the design of the questionnaire. However, the limitations are more than compensated for by the rapid response rates along with the wide sample size possible using telephone interviews. 1 .6 Organization of the thesis. The rest of the thesis is divided into four chapters. The order of these chapters mirrors the course of the research project. The next chapter (Chapter 2) includes a more detailed description of the Michigan apple industry. Chapter 2 also contains a review of relevant literature, previous research and background information which contributed to the design of the market research study. This is followed by Chapter 3, which summarizes the findings of the project’s consumer focus groups about fresh apples. The information generated by these in-depth consumer focus groups was used, along with information from the literature review, background information and industry recommendations, to develop a telephone survey. A review of the process for the development of the telephone survey instrument is presented in the second half of this chapter. The rationale for including the specific questions is also included in this section. Chapter 4 presents a summary of the results of the telephone survey. A report and analysis of the results from each individual question are included, as well as some crosstabulations across demographic segments of the population. This part of the thesis research results includes a great deal of information of interest to industry leaders. The final chapter of the thesis, Chapter 5, is an analysis of the implications of the research for the Michigan apple industry. Some future research topics are also suggested. Chapter Two: Background on the Research Topic 2.1 Introduction. A key component of any market research study is a thorough investigation of background information including previous research results. Background information provides researchers with a base for developing the research project. Such preparation prevents duplication of existing information and helps to define and shape the research agenda. For this research, an understanding of the structure of the apple marketing system is important to position the research in the appropriate context. The first section of this chapter, section 2.2, presents an overview of the fresh apple marketing system, including major participants in the marketing chain. The Michigan fresh apple industry includes a dynamic fresh apple marketing system of growers, packers, shippers, wholesalers and retailers. Because fresh market apples pass through so many stages on their journey from orchard to consumer, industry decision makers may not always have clear signals about consumer preferences. Information about consumer preferences which may be indicated by prices and demand at the retail level must trickle down through several firms before reaching shippers, packers and growers. Apple growers, packers and shippers often make important decisions without first-hand information, or with only partial information about consumer preferences for their products. Although relative prices received for different varieties and qualities provide some indications about overall consumer preferences, this price information is often incomplete and fragmentary. A consumer market research study may help to alleviate this information shortage. Basic consumer food trends may impact the future needs of the Michigan apple industry. Changing demographics have caused shifts in how the nation eats and hence the buying behavior of many consumer segments. These changes have affected apple consumption 7 in the past, and may continue to influence future purchase preferences and behavior related to fresh apples. This brief summary of general consumer food trends provides a backdrop for a discussion of issues focusing particularly on apples. In Section 2.5, some of the existing research on consumer preferences for fresh apples is presented along with some information about general preferences for produce. The research project itself has drawn upon background information in several ways. The background research revealed topics which needed further research, and it helped to identify subjects which are lower priority. A review of previous research projects can also help the researchers to design an effective research instrument. Background research may aid in the interpretation of new research findings and to set an overall perspective for the project and its results. 2.2 The Michigan Apple Industry. Understanding the current situation of the Michigan apple industry, including growers, packers, and shippers, provides a setting for the market research of this project. Because an important goal of this research is to provide useful information to the Michigan apple industry, understanding the current position of the industry and future challenges it faces is important. In this section, the marketing system of the Michigan apple industry is described. Some of the characteristics of this marketing system, such as the distance between producers and consumers, contribute to the need for this type of consumer market research. Very few apple producers have frequent contact with consumers to develop an informal sense of consumer preferences for their product. Many different firms in the apple industry make decisions affecting how fresh apples are marketed. When considering consumer preferences for apples, it is important to consider which firms in the marketing chain are responsible for what aspects in order for the industry to meet those preferences. For example, consumer preferences for bagged or tray packed apples may be especially relevant to packers and shippers. 8 2.2.1 Characteristics of the Michigan apple industry. The Michigan apple industry produces an average of around 21 to 22.5 million bushels annually. Of this crop, an average of 7.1 million bushels in recent years has been sold in the fresh market. Apples are the largest of the state's fruit or vegetable crops in terms of both acreage and value. Both total apple production in Michigan and fresh sales volume are expected to increase somewhat in the future. This increase is expected to come from increasing yields rather than new plantings.’z Approximately 35% of Michigan's apple crop is sold for fresh consumption. This makes the fresh market the largest single outlet for Michigan apples. On the other hand, the proportion of Michigan's apples going to the fresh market is below the national average. Nationally, about 56% of apples are sold in the fresh market.3 The remainder of the Michigan apple crop is sold for processing, either into sauce, slices, or juice. Although Michigan has some competitive advantages in these markets, there is also increasing competition in the processing markets from certain other growing regions.‘ While some varieties of apples are particularly suited to slicing or other processing uses, and a premium might be paid for these apples compared to other varieties for processing, grower prices for fresh market apples are generally somewhat higher than those for processing apples. There are, however, considerable variations in prices received depending on quality, variety, year, specific market, etc. The five year average of Michigan grower prices for fresh apples from 1989 to 1993 was $0.132 per pound. This is considerably higher than the comparable average of prices received for Michigan processed apples, $0.073 per pound.I5 For a number of reasons, including, in part, the potential for higher prices received for fresh market 2Donald Ricks. "Competitive Marketing of Michigan Apples," a paper presented at the International Dwarf Fruit Tree Association Conference, Grand Rapids, MI, February 21, 1994. 3Ricks, ”Competitive Marketing of Michigan Apples.” ‘Ricks, “Competitive Marketing of Michigan Apples." I‘Compiled from Marketing Michigan Fruit (1991, 1992, 1993), Michigan Department of Agriculture. 9 apples, some segments of the industry are especially interested in strategies that would expand this market. The total volume of U.S. apple production has increased in the past two decades. In the early 1970’s the average annual production of the U.S. apple industry was 149.6 million bushels. By 1980-84, annual production had reached 196.9 million bushels, and the estimated average of U.S. apple production between 1990 and 1993 is around 242 million bushels. During this period, Michigan's apple production has also increased from an average of 15.7 million bushels per year in 1970-74 to around 19 million bushels annually in the early 1980's. Estimates of Michigan's annual apple production between 1990 and 1993 are 22.2 million bushels. As the total amount of U.S. apple production utilized for fresh apples has increased from 83.8 million bushels in the early 1970’s to an estimated 136.7 million bushels between 1990 and 1993, the volume of Michigan's apples sold in the fresh market has also increased (see Figure 1). However, it should be noted that Michigan's share of the fresh apple market has declined somewhat in recent years. Between 1970 and 1974, Michigan averaged around 6.8% of the nation's fresh apple utilization. It is estimated that, in 1990-93, 5.6% of the domestic fresh apple supply came from Michigan. During this time period other geographic regions, such as Appalachia, North Carolina and New England, have seen more severe reductions in their share of the fresh apple market. Western apple producing regions, especially Washington, have realized large increases in their share of the U.S. fresh market apple supply.‘ Increasing Michigan's volume of fresh apple sales and, if possible, its share of the U.S. fresh apple market would be desirable for the Michigan apple industry. In the fresh apple market, supply is influenced by the amount of the season's apple production, and prices are significantly affected by this factor. The frequent oversupply of 0Donald Ricks, Timothy Woods, and Donald Hinman, ”Changing Competitive Position and Key Market Trends of the Michigan Apple Industry,” lEast LAnsing, MI: Michigan State Univeristy, Department of Agricultural Economics, November, 1994), photocopied. 10 O I ' I Michigan 3 Average Fresh Apple ProductIon " """""""""""""""""""""""""""""""" 726"""""'I7,-.7f """ 1:2,- E§3§3§3§5§5§5§5§5 ‘ 7- --------------------------------------- (55333553235533; --------- EgigigigisisEgisi - - - - - - - - . 23553535355552; - - -- ”9.3... v ------- s .7 ---------- --------- g s - - - -- i - - -- - - - - --------- E - - - - - - -- -------- « - - ~- 3 ‘5 ‘I _...- 35535555533355? 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Very low apple prices may result in financial challenges to many applegrowers.7 In part to alleviate some of the problems caused by overproduction, the apple industry is working to expand demand for fresh apples. This can include consumer promotions which encourage greater consumption for fresh apples. It may also involve a number of other adjustments including plantings of preferred varieties, strains and qualities to reflect newer consumer demands for varieties and quality. Red Delicious is the variety with the largest commercial acreage in Michigan, but other varieties are also produced in significant commercial volume. Some of these important varieties 7Donald Ricks, i hi n A I In -- A Markeiing Overview (East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural Economics, 1991) Staff Paper 91-4, 13. 11 include Jonathan, McIntosh, Golden Delicious, Ida Red, Rome, Northern Spy, Empire, Paula Red, and \Mnesap.’ Newer varieties being planted by some Michigan growers include Jonagold, Gala and Fuji. The Michigan apple industry has substantial promotional programs designed to increase the demand for Michigan's fresh market apples as well as for processed apples. These promotions emphasize some of the advantages of Michigan apples, especially the wide selection of apple varieties grown in the state. Michigan, "The Variety State,“ uses the theme "Michigan Apples -- More Than Just Delicious" on some point of purchase materials and some advertising and promotions. This message emphasizes the choice of apple varieties that Michigan offers to consumers. In addition to emphasizing its wide selection of apple varieties, the Michigan apple industry has promoted another of its strengths, which is Michigan apples’ exceptional taste. The 'Flavorbest' theme is used in marketing advertising, promoting, etc. for Michigan apples. Informing consumers of the excellent flavor of Michigan apples is seen as an important way of boosting demand for the state’s apples. 2.2.2 Structure of the Michigan apple industry. Michigan has a relatively large number of apple growers. Most of these growers do not sell their produce directly to consumers. At most, only about 10% of fresh apples are sold through farm markets or U-Pick operations.“ Thus very few growers have the direct contact with consumers thatmight enable them to get an informal perception of what consumers want in fresh apples. Apple growers must rely upon firms at other stages of the apple marketing chain for information about consumer preferences. To some degree, this also applies to other industry segments such as packers and shippers. An important early link in the fresh apple marketing chain is that between growers and packers. (See Figure 2) Most apple growers send their fresh market apples to a packer for 'Donald Ricks. r n in . A I Pr ' n ' M rk . (East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural Economics, 1991 I, Staff Paper 91-2. 'Ricks. "The Michigan Apple Industry -- A Marketing Overview.” 12 sorting and packing into bags, tray packs, etc. for sale to the retailer-wholesaler. The packer is responsible for the removal of any apples not suitable for fresh market sales, and for the sorting of fresh apples into the appropriate grades and qualities as demanded by the market. Many of these packers are apple growers themselves. Some of the packers are also responsible for the shipment and sale of apples to retail produce buyers. Others have the apples they pack shipped by another firm. Packer-shippers often store the fresh apples in regular or controlled atmosphere storage until the fruit are to be packed and delivered to the retailer-wholesaler. A portion of the fresh apple crop is also sold to food service markets. Most food service companies acquire fresh apples through wholesale produce firms who buy from Michigan shippers. Most apples are sold directly from shippers to large retailer-wholesaler chains or to co- op wholesale buyers. Independent wholesale produce buyers also acquire some fresh apples for retail stores, although this is relatively minor. Brokers may negotiate the sales between apple shippers and wholesale buyers. Wholesalers may be owned by the grocery stores, either wholly or c00peratively, or they may be independent firms. Individual grocery stores then take delivery of fresh apples from these wholesalers. In order to successfully sell their apples, apple shippers must meet the buyers' expectations for fresh apples. Trade buyers require apples which meet their physical standards. Most fresh market apples are expected to have high color and size standards, and to be free from defects and bruising. Absence of any damage from diseases or pests has been expected for some time. Red varieties which do not have a high percent of red color, or are smaller to medium sized, are typically viewed as inferior products by produce buyers. Michigan apples, which tend to be smaller and not as highly colored as those from Washington State, are sometimes not priced as high by produce buyers as apples from Washington. Evidence that these characteristics of high red color and large size are not extremely important to many consumers might aid the Michigan apple industry in its marketing activities. 13 Fresh Apple Marketing Chain Consumers / A \ Food Service Grocery . Retailers Retailers I | Food Service Wholesalers Wholesalers \( Fresh Apple ]/ Shippers ‘ I C Packers D 1 (Apple Growers D Figure 2 Fresh Apple Marketing Chain l4 Crispness is another apple attribute which is becoming increasingly important for the successful marketing of fresh apples. In response to the desire for crisp apples, the Washington state apple industry introduced minimum firmness standards for its fruit.‘° Although such regulations may keep softer fruit from being shipped, they do not control the firmness of the apples once they reach the retail store. Poor storage and handling practices at the retail level may compromise the overall quality of apples which were highly crisp when shipped. Apple growers and shippers may have little control over the storage practices of the retailers who sell their apples. Many of these retailers do not display apples in refrigerated display. Retailers, who, from the consumer's viewpoint, are responsible for the most visible part of apple marketing, have a significant impact on fresh apple sales. The retailer's choice of display method and positioning in the produce department may affect consumer purchases of apples. Information about consumer preferences for display and information in retail stores may be useful to grocers. 2.3 The need for market information. Market information must often pass through several entities before it reaches decision makers at the production level. For fresh apples, this means that accurate consumer preference information about fresh apples must be relayed through retailers, wholesalers, shippers and packers before it is received by the growers who produce the apples. Conventional economic theory indicates that prices reveal preferences, and that the sale of a product such as apples indicates consumer demand for such a good. Higher prices for an apple variety should indicate stronger consumer preferences for the characteristics which that apple displays. To some extent, prices do reflect consumers" willingness to pay for different varieties, qualities, packs, etc. of apples. In the case of fresh apples, however, price may be influenced more by the supply of apples than by consumer demand (preferences) for apples. 1°Geraldine Warner, “New Firmness Standard Eliminates U.S. No.1,“ ihg Paging, 21 October, 1989, Washington Apples Section, 4C. 15 Theoretically, a high price for a variety should indicate consumer preferences for that variety, signaling producers to grow more of that apple variety. However, the increased prices which a consumer might pay for a preferred apple are not always transferred back to growers as higher farm prices. The farm value as a percent of the total retail price of apples is rather small. For Red Delicious apples, the farm value is often less than 30% of the total retail price.“ Premium prices paid at the grocery store might result in only a much smaller increase in the price to the grower, an increase which may not justify the large cost of replanting an orchard. Similarly, a very low price for apples at the farm level might not be translated into low retail prices. Price signals are often muffled by the large spread between farm and retail prices and many other practices and behavior in the markets between grower and consumer. Exhibit 1 is an example explaining some of the inefficiencies of relying only on prices to signal consumer preferences. Exhibit 1 Ineffeciencies of relying on prices as signals. “The price differentials that consumers pay or would be willing to pay for different qualities of a product, in many cases, are not reflected fully through the marketing system to producers; they are narrowed down or eliminated on the way. Producers do not getthe right price signals from consumers.” -Geoffrey S. Shepherd and Gene A. Futrell. Mnrkniing mm W MAM I ' . p.20. Producers and other decision makers in the apple industry can study which types of apples receive premium prices and try to supply apples with similar characteristics. However, the farm price may give growers partial or unclear signals about consumer preferences. One way to add to information about consumer preferences for fresh apples can be to ask them through some type of large sample survey. If prices are not a completely reliable source of information about all aspects of consumer preferences, and direct communication between the apple industry and consumers "Denis Dunham. Enng fins; Review, 1993. (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Commodity Economics Division, 1993) Report 696. 16 is rare, and hence difficult, some other means of understanding consumer preferences needs to be used. A common tool of other food industry firms and associations is consumer market research. Large food companies such as Kraft Foods, Inc. and PepsiCo have extensively utilized market research for years. The markets of the future may demand a similar use of market research by industries which have traditionally had a commodity orientation, including the apple industry. As Exhibit 2 suggests, the astute targeting of consumer preferences by agricultural producers may reveal opportunities for profit. The identification of specific demands by consumers may provide producers with some profitable market niches in the future. Exhibit 2 Targeting of consumer preferences by agricultural producers. 'Start with the pickier consumer. Where there are strong preferences, there are opportunities for profit through differentiating the product...Producers need to look beyond production to marketing, taking an interest in consumer demands and tailoring the production process to meet these demands.” -Christopher Peterson and Scott Swinton. “Agribusiness Opportunities in the 21st Century” in Choices. Third Quarter, 1992. 2.4 Basic consumer trends. Much work has been done to understand how consumers make their food purchasing decisions. The following section provides a base of consumer market research information about general trends in food consumption. The U.S. food system has undergone significant changes in recent decades. Some of these changes are a direct result of changing demographics, including the involvement of a high percentage of women in the paid work force. An aging population, smaller family/household size and increasingly heterogenous ethnic mix have also influenced how U.S. citizens eat." 2.4.1 More food is being eaten away from home. The involvement of many women in the paid workforce has placed increased time pressures on many households which, in turn, influences food purchases and preparation behavior. Because of these time pressures, there "Ben Senauer, Elaine Asp, Jean Kinsey. Ennn Trends mg m Changing gnnsnmer. (St. Paul, MN: Eagan Press, 1991), pp.2-5. I7 is less time available for meal preparation. As a result, many consumers prefer to purchase considerable prepared or semi-prepared foods rather than raw ingredients for meals. Consumers are also purchasing a higher percentage of their meals from restaurants rather than cooking at home. In 1993, 60% of the money spent on food in the United States was spent in the grocery store. The other 40% was spent at food service establishments." The proportion of food expenditures that is spent on away-from-home eating is growing faster than that spent in grocery stores.“ 2.4.2 The population is growing older. The age groups which are projected to show the greatest increases in population in the next twenty years are those between the ages of 45 and 64 (See Table 1). The percentage of the population older than age 75 is also expected to grow. An increase in the average age of the population may have some important impacts on food demand. Food products which meet the needs of consumers in these age groups may be increasingly successful as these population segments grow. Consumers between the ages of 55 and 64 tend to spend the most per capita on food.“ Consumers between the ages of 45 and 54 also have relatively high per capita expenditures on food. The higher per capita food expenditures of people in these age groups suggest a special willingness to spend more for products with desirable attributes. As these age groups grow in relation to the rest of the population, there may be more of a demand for “premium“ products, including apples. The increased per capita expenditures on food by consumers between the ages of 45 and 64 may be a result of the higher incomes of these age segments relative to many other age groups. Middle-aged consumers tend to have higher incomes than younger people and retired “’Denis Dunham. ang 9951 Review, 1993. “Dunham, ”Food Cost Review, 1993.” “James R. Blaylock, David M. Smallwood, and W. Noel Blisard. ng Dig Hggsnhglg gngnaggri rigging Aging; ang Sgengiing' In 1980- -?88. (United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, February, 1992), Bulletin 643. 18 Table 1 Total Population Projections. Total Population Projections Percent Change age 1990-2000 20 -2 1 18-24 -3.5 7.6 25-34 -15.4 1 .1 35-44 15.9 -15.3 45-54 46.0 16.1 55-64 13.1 46.7 65-74 -0.7 15.3 75 + 26.2 10.1 -§_teii_s_Liea_l Me nf ine United Sjetee, ed. James E. Person, Jr. p. 602. Table 2 Median U.S. Household Income - By Age Groups Median U.S. Household Income - By Age Groups 1991 dollars Total Population $30,126 15-24 $1 8,31 3 25-34 $30,842 35-44 $39,349 45-54 $43,751 55-64 $33,304 65 + $1 6,975 -from the WW, 1993 edition. pe0ple (see Table 2). People above the age of 64 spend less per capita on food than those 19 between the ages of 45 and 64, perhaps reflecting the decrease in income after retirement for some peeple. Older people may be more concerned with their health than are younger people, and thus demand more nutritious foods. The 1993 Fresh Trends consumer survey found that consumers above the age of 50 are more likely than younger people to buy a produce item because of concerns about nutrition. These older consumers are especially concerned with getting enough fiber in their diets. This could be very beneficial to the fresh apple industry, because apples are a food which provides dietary fiber with no fat and few calories. 2.4.3 Household size is declining. Along with the rise in the median age of the American population may come a continued decline in household size. Over half of the population lives alone or only with one other person. While the average number of people per household in 1970 was 3.14, by 1980 it had declined to 2.76 people per household, and by 1993 the average household size had shrunk to 2.63 members. Family size also declined from an average of 3.58 family members in 1970 to 3.16 people per family in 1993." Between 1980 and 1993, the percentage of the population composed of married couples with children declined from 31% to 26%.17 The percentage of the population living alone or with one other person has risen from 46% in 1970 to 54% in 1980, and up to 57% in 1990." Single parent and non-family households are expected to continue to increase as a percent of the total population." These numbers all describe a population living in smaller and smaller household units. Smaller households may be less inclined to buy large packages "U.S. Bureau ofthe Census, i i IA r f h ni e 1 4(114th edition) (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1994), Chart No. 66. 1’Census Bureau, 1994, Chart 67. "Census Bureau, 1994, Chart 67. 1“James E. Person, ed., §I§Ii§ti§§| Ferecaets ef ihe Uniiee Sietee, (Detroit: Gale Research, Inc., 1993). p.651. 20 of food for fear that the food will spoil before it can be eaten. This could affect the demand for perishable food packed in large quantities, including bagged apples. 2.4.4 The ethnic make-up of the United States is changing. A great deal of the nation's future population growth will come from Hispanic and Asian American populations.’o Identifying particular apple characteristics which are especially valued by these ethnic groups could help the Michigan apple industry to target them in promotions. 2.4.5 There are new challenges for the U.S. food system. The changing lifestyles of consumers have resulted in new demands on the food system. Some general trends in the contemporary food system include the increasing importance of convenience, quality, variety and excitement, nutrition, safety and health, and environmental and social concerns." The success of food products, including fresh apples, will depend upon the food systems' ability to provide these desired characteristics to the consumer to meet these needs. The degree to which food products possess these qualities of convenience, quality, etc. helps to determine the food product’s value to consumers and hence their demand. 2.5 Consumer Preferences for Fresh Apples. Supplying consumers with fresh apples that meet consumer preferences will likely require adaption to new consumer demands by shippers, packers and growers working together. These firms are responsible for many of the production and packaging decisions which affect the characteristics of fresh apples at retail. These participants in the Michigan apple industry have the responsibility of recognizing which attributes need to be provided to meet consumer demand. This is important to building the consumer demand for Michigan apples. Food marketers are placing a renewed emphasis on delivering value to consumers. While many of the programs and articles written about the importance of value are aimed at 20James E. Person, isi IA r f h ni . "John W. Allen and Thomas R. Pierson. F M rk in n ' ri ' ° Im ' ‘ Agnegmne, (East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Food Industry Institute, 1993), Report 9301. 21 food manufacturers and retailers, the fresh apple industry also needs to be alert to the importance of value to consumers. Because some of the characteristics of fresh apples are influenced substantially by producers and packers, these firms have a large stake in understanding consumer preferences in order to effectively serve changing demand for apples. Allen and Pierson of Michigan State University have developed a consumer value perception relationship illustrating some of the decision processes of consumers as they shop for food. This is summarized in Exhibit 3. Exhibit 3 Consumer Value Perception Relationship Consumer Value Perception = Benefits + Price Benefits include: Appearance Excitement Taste Consistency Freshness Trust Convenience Nutrition Information Environment Ouality Distinctiveness Social Safety Variety Successful marketing of food products will increasingly depend upon the producers' ability to incorporate these consumer benefits into the product.” The fresh apple industry will have opportunities and challenges in meeting consumers' desire for value. The results of several consumer studies are reviewed in this section. Several editions of Ine Eagken’e fleet; M consumer survey are also cited as an important source for this section. Another major source of background information is a study of consumer preferences for apples conducted by researchers at the University ofConnecticut.23 As part of this research project, consumers at a variety of retail markets were surveyed about the relative 22Ibitl. ”Robert J. Leonard and James J. Wadsworth, W W. (University of Connecticut: Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology), Report 4. 22 Table 3 Connecticut Apple Consumers. Percent of Connecticut Apple Consumers Considering a Factor to be Very Important Appearance 76.5% Texture 72.2% Sweetness 61 % Price 23.6% CT Grown 16.8% importance of several apple characteristics to their apple purchasing decisions (see Table 3). These consumers also were presented with several pairs of apples and asked to select one over another. The results indicated that consumers tended to choose highly red, larger, waxed, and unbruised apples. Washington State University researchers also conducted a consumer survey about preferences for fresh apples." Untrained consumer panelists were asked to identify the most important of a series of pre-purchase and post-purchase apple attributes affecting their purchasing decisions. Apple characteristics which consumers can evaluate before actually buying the fruit were in the pre-purchase category. These included the price, color, size, and shape of the apples. Color was said to be the most important factor by 41 % of the consumers, and price was the most important to 38% of the panelists. Size and shape were not said by many panelists to be the most important pre-purchase apple characteristics. There were some indications from this study that younger consumers were more likely than older consumers to consider color to be an important apple attribute. Apple characteristics which consumers can judge only after purchasing the apple were evaluated separately as post-purchase characteristics. The post-purchase attributes which the panelists evaluated were texture, flavor, sweetness, and tartness. Texture was the most important post-purchase characteristic to 39% of the Washington state panelists while flavor was the most important attribute to 35% of these consumers. The remaining post-purchase "Vicki McCracken, Bernd Maier, Terri Boylston, and Thomas Worley, “Development of a Scheme to Evaluate Consumer Apple Variety Preferences," in Wm amp, February 1994. pp. 56-63. 23 characteristics of sweetness and tartness were indicated to be important, but not the meet important attributes to most consumers' post-purchase ratings of apples. Due to the design of this project, pre-purchase characteristics cannot be compared with post-purchase characteristics for their relative importance to consumers. Because the characteristics were evaluated separately, one cannot draw conclusions, for example, about whether or not price is more important to consumers than flavor. The results of the previous studies about consumer preferences are presented in the following sections in the framework suggested by Pierson and Allen's value relationship. 2.5.1 Appearance. There are a number of attributes of appearance of apples which are highly emphasized by many in the produce trade. The several components of apple appearance include color, size, freedom from bruising and blemishes, the overall shape of the fruit, and others. Some in the trade give a special emphasis to bright red fruit when considering red- skinned apple varieties. Larger fruit have also been given special emphasis. Absence of defects and damage from pests and diseases has been demanded for some time by produce buyers. Several consumer surveys have documented that the appearance of produce is an important traditional and current attribute to consumers. In 1992, Ine Peekere'e flesnl'cenge survey revealed that 97% of consumers feel that the appearance of produce is extremely or very important to them. Studies which have focused specifically on apples have confirmed that apple appearance is indeed important to consumers. Researchers at the University of Connecticut conducted a series of interviews with consumers at supermarkets and other retail stores where fresh apples were sold. About 77% of these consumers said that the appearance of apples was very important to them." ”Leonard, et al. 24 In addition to being questioned about the importance of various apple characteristics, the Connecticut consumers were asked to choose one apple over another in a series of pairs. The apples were paired with each other to reflect several apple characteristics, including appearance. When asked to choose between apples which varied in their degree of redness, the consumers showed a preference for the more completely red fruit. This confirms the traditional emphasis on highly colored apples. In addition to preferring fully red colored apples, the Connecticut consumers also showed a preference for waxed apples. The preference for waxed apples contrasts with some of the flee/1m surveys, in which a substantial percentage of consumers indicated that wax is a subject of concern to many consumers. Over a third of the consumers who were surveyed for the 1315 flesn Lrenne report said that they probably or definitely would not eat produce it they knew it was coated in a food grade wax."6 Nevertheless, when faced with an actual choice between waxed and unwaxed apples, the pleasing appearance of waxed apples appears to be preferred by many consumers. When choosing among pairs of apples, the Connecticut consumers showed a preference for unbruised fruit. This supports the historical attention given to providing undamaged fruit for retail sales. The relative unimportance of fruit size to the panelists in the Washington State research project draws into question the importance of apple size to U.S. consumers. However, other consumer research projects indicate that size may indeed by an important factor to some or many consumers. The importance of apple size is a particularly important issue to the Michigan apple industry. Due, in part, to the growing conditions in the state, Michigan apple growers tend to produce a somewhat higher percentage of smaller fruit than is produced in western growing W “Fresh Trends”, 1992. 25 regions. The traditional emphasis on larger fruit provides challenges for the Michigan apple industry as it works to position its apples competitively in grocery stores. Some recent consumer surveys, including £r_es_h £91115. have indicated that larger fruit may not always be preferred by consumers. In the 1994 Enesn M consumer survey, 39% of the consumers said that they perceive no difference in the taste of smaller or larger fruit. Of those who said that size does make a difference in the taste of the fruit, more preferred the taste of smaller fruit to that of larger fruit. While 36% of the consumers said that smaller fruit tastes better, only 19% said that larger fruit tastes better. To the consumers surveyed for the flesn [Limes study, apples were the fruit for which size was most likely to matter to taste. 36% of the consumers who felt that size influences fruit flavor said that apples are the fruit for which size affects the taste the most. Based on the large number of people who said that smaller fruit has better taste than larger fruit, one can infer that some consumers prefer the taste of smaller apples. Evidence from the Connecticut survey, however, supports the hypothesis that larger apples are preferred by consumers. When the consumers were asked to choose between two apples, many selected the larger of the two fruit. The Connecticut authors noted that the implied preference for larger fruit was not held by all of the consumers. There was a percentage of the consumer sample who said that large apples are not desirable for children because the children cannot eat an entire apple, and it ends up being thrown away.27 These consumers seem to provide a potential market for smaller apples. 2.5.2 Taste. How important is taste to consumers? Almost all consumers (96%) polled for the 1992 green Lrengs survey said that taste/flavor is extremely to very important to them. The study performed by the University of Connecticut did not obtain information about the importance of general flavor in the consumer's buying decision, but it did investigate the ”Leonard and Wadsworth. 26 importance of sweetness. In the Connecticut study, sweetness proved to be less important than appearance and texture, and more important than price or being Connecticut grown. A majority of the consumers (61%) said that sweetness was very important to them.” The Washington State research project was more detailed in its investigation of the importance of apple flavor to consumers. The Washington State panels were questioned about apples' sweetness, tartness, and general apple flavor. Flavor was contrasted with the other characteristics grouped as “post-purchase attributes.“ Flavor was slightly less important than texture (39%) and more important than sweetness and tartness. Of the consumers surveyed, 35% said that flavor was the most important "post-purchase attribute."° 2.5.3 Firmness or Texture. The Washington State study investigated the importance of flavor relative to texture. Texture was found to be very important to about 72% of the Connecticut consumers. Another 22% said that it was somewhat important. Only appearance was indicated by these consumers to be more important than texture.” Many of the panelists who rated apple attributes at Washington State University said that the firmness of the apple was the most important post-purchase apple characteristic. Texture was very important to slightly more people (39%) than flavor (35%.) The panelists in the Washington State study were not directly asked to compare post-purchase characteristics with pre-purchase characteristics. However, the percentage of consumers who said that texture is the most important post-purchase characteristic is similar to the proportion saying price (38%) and color (41 %) are the most important pre-purchase characteristics affecting their apple purchases. Therefore, texture may be as important to consumers as the frequently emphasized characteristics of price and color. ”Leonard and Wadsworth. "McCracken, et al. ”Leonard and Wadsworth. 27 2.5.4 Crispness. Neither the Connecticut or Washington State surveys asked consumers directly about the importance of crispness. However, there is an indirect indication from the Washington State project that crispness or firmness is important to consumers. The Washington State panelists were asked to perform sensory evaluations of several different apple varieties. The consumers' evaluations were then compared with quantitative tests to confirm the importance of factors which can be measured by laboratory instruments. When these consumers rated several apple varieties, they tended to prefer firmer apple varieties." 2.5.5 Consistency. Consistency is a value component in the Pierson-Allen framework which poses challenges to the fresh produce trade, including the apple industry. Due to the variances which are present in the production of any agricultural commodity, uniform consistency cannot be guaranteed by the grower. For products which are processed before being sold to the consumer, the inconsistencies of the raw product are not especially noticeable to consumers. Processing of food usually results in a relatively uniform product. For items such as fresh apples, which undergo minimal processing on the way from farm to consumer, the issue of consistency poses more of a problem. Ensuring consistent overall quality is important because produce buyers place a great deal of emphasis on consistent quality of the apples that they buy.“’2 In the 1993 am M consumer survey, consumers were asked which year-round produce items they are the most consistently satisfied with. 39% of the consumers named bananas and apples, making apples one of the two most consistently satisfying fresh fruits to consumers. Only 8% of the consumers mentioned dissatisfaction with the consistency of apple quality.” The percentage of consumers who are not satisfied with the consistency of apples "McCracken, et al. ’W. “Meeting Retail Demand," 20 October, 1990, Washington Apples Section, p.48. ’W “Fresh Trends“, 1993. 28 is quite a bit smaller than the proportion of consumers who feel that apples are consistently satisfying. Consistent satisfaction with fresh produce may become increasingly important to a population which has become accustomed to the standardized food produced by fast food restaurants and frozen dinner manufacturers. As consumers come to expect uniform, processed food without variations in quality, they are becoming less tolerant of the inherent variation of fresh produce. . 2.5.6 Convenience. The push for more convenient foods has spurred the development of many new items in the produce department, most notably pre-cut salads. Fresh fruits, such as pro-cut melons and pineapples, have also been adapted to meet consumer demand. Of 1993 fleet: fiends consumers, 42% report that they would buy a fresh fruit, or would buy it more often if it were easier to eat or prepare.34 Pineapples (15%) and melons (13-14%) are named the most frequently as items for which improved convenience could stimulate increased purchases.“5 Compared to these fruits, fresh apples are named relatively infrequently; only 5% of the L925 flee/1 fiends consumers said they would buy apples more often if they were easier to eat or prepare. More consumers (15%) in the L995 m M survey said they would buy apples more often if they were more convenient to eat. This is an indication that convenience is of high importance to consumers and that there may be a portion of consumers with an interest in fresh-cut apples. 2.5.7 Health and Nutrition. The interest in health and diet has encouraged greater consumption of fruits and vegetables, including more fresh produce. The aging population may also spur an increase in the consumption of fruits, as older people are often interested in obtaining the vitamins and fiber provided by fruits and vegetables. “IBM. "Fresh Trends”, 1994, p.58. “W, “Fresh Trends“, 1994, p.58. 29 _1_9_9§ ELM fiend; consumers who were asked which fresh fruits they perceive to be most nutritious often named apples and bananas. Both of these fruits were mentioned as being nutritious by 62% of the consumers interviewed. The second most frequently named fruit was oranges (46%.) Thus apples are viewed as a nutritious, healthful food by a high percentage of consumers. Apples were named by a large number of people (39%) as a good source of fiber. While apples are generally viewed as healthful, the main specific reason given for this image in this study is that apples are a source of dietary fiber. In fleLh fiends L992, fiber was also a common health reason for buying apples, and so was a general belief in the vitamin or mineral content of apples. Apples were also considered to be a good food for people who were counting their calories by the 199; flesn fiends consumers. When consumers were probed more thoroughly about nutrition, however, apples were not often named as a fruit purchased to obtain specific vitamins or other nutrients. Less than 10% of consumers named apples as a preferred source of beta carotene, complex carbohy- drates, vitamin A or C, or as a preferred food for cancer prevention. 2.5.7 Distinctiveness. Consumers often distinguish fresh apples by variety. Where the apple was grown is also sometimes considered to be a distinguishing characteristic. Fresh apples in grocery stores are often identified by variety, and sometimes by their region or state of origin. Washington State, the leading producer of fresh apples in the United States, has developed major consumer promotions for its apples identified as being grown in Washington. The varieties of apples that Washington promotes show high consumer awareness. In the 1932 Em fiends survey, consumers were asked if they have ever purchased four specific varieties, Red Delicious, Golden Delicious, Granny Smith and McIntosh. The two varieties with the highest response rates were Red (79%) and Golden Delicious (68%). These varieties are the predominant varieties of the Washington State apple industry. Red Delicious is also important to Michigan. McIntosh, another prominent Michigan variety, had been purchased by 30 57% of the 1292 Fresh Trends consumers. This is somewhat less than the 79% and 68% response rates for Red and Golden Delicious. The 1_9_9_2 fleet; fiem report provides evidence that consumers' variety preferences depend somewhat on the part of the country where they live. For instance, while the Red Delicious variety was familiar to a large proportion of consumers in all parts of the country, people in the West were even more likely than other groups to have purchased that variety. Another important variety for Michigan, McIntosh, was much more likely to have been purchased by people in the Northeast and North Central regions than in the South or the West. In a research project of the University of Connecticut, Connecticut consumers were asked to name their three favorite apple varieties. Customers of farm markets, warehouse stores, and pick-your-own operations named McIntosh the most often, followed by Red Delicious and Macoun, a traditional Connecticut variety. Supermarket consumers named Red Delicious the most often, with McIntosh and Golden Delicious being the next most popular varieties.“ The popularity of McIntosh and Macoun in their growing region supports the premise that variety preferences are influenced by market location. Michigan faces stiff competition from Washington State in the fresh apple market. The 1995 flesn fiends study shows that the intensive advertising campaign by Washington State has made an impact on consumers. When asked what brand or region they associated with fresh apples, 56% of the consumers mentioned Washington. “Delicious“, “New York”, and “Michigan” trailed far behind Washington State in consumer association. Ten percent or less of consumers recalled these ”brands.“ Michigan is far behind Washington State with respect to top-of-mind consumer name recognition. Only 10% of the L93; M fien_ds consumers said that the brand name of a produce item was an extremely or very important characteristic to them. Somewhat more consumers, 19%. said that the growing region, state or country of origin was this important. ”Leonard, et al. 31 In 1995, firesn fiends consumers were asked which brands they prefer for various produce items. Only 23% of these consumers remembered some advertising about apples, but those who remembered some advertising were more likely to remember a variety or a growing region rather than an actual brand. Many of these consumers thought of Washington apples when asked about a favorite brand. 3 The Connecticut consumers who were surveyed did not consider whether an apple had been grown in Connecticut to be very important. Less than 17% of the consumers said that Connecticut grown was an important issue to them.’7 While Fresh Trends research demonstrates that consumers are somewhat aware of growing regions, both this survey and the Connecticut study indicate that where apples are grown may not be an especially significant factor in the buying decision. It is also possible that consumers in Connecticut and other minor apple producing states are not especially loyal to their state's produce. 2.5.9 Purchasing Behavior. To many consumers, apples are a weekly or monthly purchase item at the grocery store. Of consumers who had purchased apples in the 12 months preceding the 1995 flee}; fiends; telephone survey, 32% said that they purchase some variety of apples every week. 85% of consumers who had purchased apples in the year preceding the survey said that they purchase apples at least monthly. Thus, even though apples have a long shelf life relative to many other produce items, they are eaten frequently enough to spur a relatively frequent purchase pattern. The fleet: fiends surveys did not ask specific questions about consumer preferences for bulk display or bagged apples. However, in the 1991 flee/1 fiends consumer survey, 37% of the consumers said that having produce displayed loose is extremely or very important to them. 2.5.10 Price. Price is usually considered to be a major element of the value equation of most consumers. Many experts in the produce trade place a great deal of emphasis on price. ”Leonard, et al. 32 These are indications, however, that the relative importance of price to many consumers in comparison to other characteristics may be becoming a less important factor. Consumer panelists in the Washington State University research project did indicate that price is very important to 38% of the consumers when compared to the other pre-purchase characteristics of color, size and shape. Color (41%) was said by slightly more people to be the most important pre-purchase apple characteristics. 1 Connecticut consumers were asked to rate the importance of price along with several other apple characteristics, including appearance, texture, sweetness, and being Connecticut grown. Price was not one of the more important items on the list. About 33% of the consumers said that price was very important to them when they were deciding which apples to buy, and another 42% said that it was somewhat important to them. Almost 23% of the consumers said that price was not important to them. When choosing among apples, price was not important to about 22% of the consumers. Price was less important than appearance, texture, and sweetness. Only being Connecticut grown was indicated to be less important to consumers than price.” The relative unimportance of price to Connecticut consumers was surprising given the high importance of price to the fleLh fiflds consumers. Of those surveyed in the 1992 flesh fiends survey, 70% said that price was extremely or very important. This figure, however, is for all produce items, not just apples. When 1994 flesnfignds consumers were asked about why they sometimes do not buy a type of fruit which they like, the most common reason given for not buying an otherwise desired fruit was theprice. Price was also the most prevalent reason given for not buying fruit in the 1993 green fiends survey. However, only 34% of the 1994 Fresh Trends consumers who answered this question named apples as a fruit that is passed up from time to time because of price or other reasons. ”Leonard, at al. 33 2.7 Conclusions. The background information and results of recent market research studies reviewed in this chapter serve as an important and relevant base on which to build for the current project. Such a review helps the researcher to target the research emphasis and to add to previous research results. The Michigan apple industry is a complex and dynamic one. Growers, packers, shippers and retailers all need to work in a somewhat coordinated manner to deliver quality products to consumers. All segments of the apple industry need up-to-date, accurate and extensive information about the changing preferences and buying behavior of modern consumers. While prices can provide some information about consumer preferences, prices alone are only partial and inadequate to reflect all of the needed information about consumer preferences and behavior. Other means of communication regarding consumer preferences are needed for the industry to understand what fresh apple characteristics are most desired by today's consumers. Traditionally, produce trade buyers and the apple industry have emphasized highly colored, relatively large apples with a minimum of bruises and blemishes sold at low prices. This implies that these are the most important apple characteristics. Some of the recent research calls into question these assumptions about the relative importance of various characteristics to many consumers. Price was very important to many of the Washington State University consumer panelists, but it was not one of the more important apple attributes to the consumers surveyed by researchers in Connecticut. The information about size preferences is not clear. Many consumers say that they do not care about the size of produce, in general, and apples, in particular. However, when asked to choose between two apples, consumers tend to pick the larger apples. This illustrates that what people say influences their purchase decisions and how they act in a grocery store when making their purchases may be somewhat different. Appearance is said to be very important to consumers. There are indications that red color is important to peeple as well, at least for varieties like Red Delicious. Texture and flavor are important to consumers, although these characteristics cannot be evaluated before the 34 purchase. In two recent surveys, texture was shown to be more important than sweetness and overall apple flavor. Consumers are aware of some varieties and regions more than they are others, but their loyalty to them is not clear. Consumers do not seem to place a great deal of importance on regional 'brands.‘ Consumers may be more likely to buy apple varieties which are grown in their region, although consumers throughout the country are familiar with the Red and Golden Delicious varieties. Michigan apple growers and shippers need more detailed, timely information about changing consumer preferences. Using this information, they can work to meet these preference effectively and hence enhance demand for Michigan apples. The issues of size and color of apples are particularly important. Michigan's climate creates challenges to apple growers who try to produce apples with perfect size and color. Obtaining additional information about consumer preferences regarding appearance, flavor, crispness and other quality factors may help the Michigan apple industry develop effective, long term strategic plans to improve consumer satisfaction with their products. Chapter 3 - Focus Groups and Development of the Telephone Survey 3.1 Introduction. As part of the research project, consumer focus groups were conducted during November 1993. The consumers discussed a variety of topics related to fresh apples, including the importance of various apple characteristics, their normal apple purchasing patterns, and their general mental associations with fresh apples. For the most part, the focus group consumers seemed to have very positive thoughts about apples in general and Michigan apples in particular. The apple characteristics which were said to be very important to these consumers included crispness, freedom from physical defects, and good flavor. Many of the consumers expressed some preference for medium sized rather than large apples. The awareness of apple varieties varied among the focus group consumers, although most expressed an interest in learning more about apple varieties. Many of the participants said that they would like more apple variety information available in their retail stores. The focus groups also taste-tested three newer apple varieties, Gala, Jonagold and Empire. Most of the participants had very favorable comments about these varieties. Although the focus groups provided considerable useful information, a larger sample of consumers is needed for a more reliable estimation of consumer preferences for fresh apples. The information collected by the focus groups was used to develop a telephone survey instrument for a large sample of consumers. The development of the telephone survey is described in the second half of this chapter. 3.2 General Research Strategy. Focus groups were an important component of the research project. They are commonly used to gain in-depth insights into consumer thinking and behavior as well as to aid in the development of survey instruments for sampling larger numbers of consumers. Focus groups can help the researchers develop effective questions for communicating with the surveyed pepulation. Participants in the focus groups may move the 35 36 discussion to tepics that the researchers had not expected, and thus reveal issues that may require further investigation.” Focus groups are also useful research tools in their own right. They may reveal subconscious attitudes or feelings that more structured forms of questioning do not. However, focus groups involve only a very small sample of the population. A more thorough investigation of consumer preferences requires a larger sample, such as that which might be done with a telephone survey. Therefore, when reviewing the information from the focus group sessions, it is important to consider that only a few consumers were involved, and conclusions about all consumers should not be formulated based on this small sample. 3.3 Setting up the focus groups. Three focus groups sessions were conducted as part of this project. The first two were composed solely of women, and the third included both men and women. The decision to weight the focus group research towards women was made because it was hypothesized by the researchers that much grocery shopping is done by adult women. It was anticipated that the telephone survey would include more women than men for this reason. Men were included in the final focus group to sample the opinions of men who do grocery shopping. There were two female-only focus groups. One focus group consisted of woman who were employed outside of the home, and the other consisted of participants who were full-time homemakers. They were segregated in this fashion because it is thought that homogenous groups discuss topics more openly than do groups with more diverse participants.“o There may be some differences of opinion between working mothers and those who are full time homemakers, and it was speculated by some of the researchers that separating these groups might result in the most effective focus groups. In the other focus group, which included men, both employed women and full time homemakers were included. "William R. Dillon, et al. ni l f rk in R r , (Homewood, IL: lrwin,1993), p.140. ”Dillon, p.137. 37 A list of Lansing area households was purchased from a company specializing in the development of mailing lists for market research and other uses.“ The Lansing area was chosen for the focus groups because of the relative ease of traveling to Michigan State University for the interviews. Due to budget constraints, conducting focus groups in the subsequent telephone survey market cities was judged to be of low priority and not needed for the study. Potential focus groups participants were initially contacted by telephone and asked if they would be interested in participating in a focus group on apple buying decisions to be conducted on the campus of Michigan State University. Consumers who expressed a willingness to be involved with the project were mailed more information about the time and meeting place, and asked to inform the organizers if they would be unable to attend the session. The focus group sessions were conducted in meeting rooms that were arranged in a manner similar to a board room, and were equipped with a tape recorder to document the discussion. The moderator (Jane Beggs) directed the participants through a series of carefully planned questions. Other researchers and industry representatives who were present during the session were also involved in guiding the discussion. 3.4 Results of focus group questions. The same series of questions was used in each focus group. Main lines of questioning included what quality characteristics are especially important to consumers in their buying decisions about apples. Participants were also asked what words they associate with apples, in general, and Michigan apples, in particular. There were also several questions related to apple varieties. Both the familiarity which consumers have for different apple varieties, and their impressions of various apple varieties were investigated. The participating consumers also sampled three newer apple varieties: Gala, Empire and Jonagold. “'Hot Prospects" 38 The order of the questions varied from group to group as the moderator adapted to the direction that the discussion took. If a particular group was actively discussing a subject, that topic was pursued. Having a flexible pattern of questioning was important to get the most information out of the focus group sessions. A complete list of focus group questions is provided in the appendix. 3.4.1 The importance of apple characteristics. A principle objective of the focus groups was to explore how consumers judge the quality of apples. Consumers were asked what apple characteristics are most important to them when they decide which apples to buy. Various apple characteristics, such as sweetness, crispness and juiciness were discussed by the focus group participants in response to this question. There was also an informal taste test of several apple varieties. In addition to generating information about these specific varieties, the comments that consumers made as they evaluated these apples provide some additional insights as to what characteristics are noticed by consumers. Firmness was stated by the focus group consumers to be extremely important to them. Some said they would squeeze the fruit to see how it “feels.“ The consumers said they expect apples to be crunchy, although specific expectations were not the same for all varieties. The focus group members who were familiar with many apple varieties, for example, said they expect Red Delicious apples to be firm, but that they expect McIntosh apples to be somewhat softer. However, most people expressed a dislike of soft apples, and said they want crisp, crunchy apples. Apple crispness was clearly attractive to most of the focus group consumers. When tasting the newer apple varieties, many people commented on the 'crunch' of the apple. The size of the 'chunk' of apple that could be bitten off was considered by some of the focus group members - - the bigger, the better. The appearance of apples was important to most of the focus group participants. These consumers indicated that they expect near-perfect looking fruit. Most focus group consumers said they want a shiny, smooth skin. At the same time, many of the participants were concerned about wax and claimed that they 39 would prefer apples without it. This contradicts the desire for a cosmetically perfect apple. Almost all of the participants said that they would not purchase apples with defects such as bruises, rot, or insect damage. Absence of bruises was exiremely important to the focus group participants. Consumers were divided about which color of apples they prefer. A few people said they only eat apples of a particular color, or avoid a particular color. Several participants expressed a preference for red apples, but did not know why they felt that way. Others said that they do not trust a really ”pretty” red apple because of concerns about the taste. This was especially associated with the Red Delicious variety. The consumers who had negative opinions of the Red Delicious variety said that they look for an apple with some variation in color, although several pointed out that they still prefer red apples to yellow apples. An interesting comment was made by one participant who had been raised in South America. To her, yellow skinned apples were the standard and the red skinned varieties so common in North American supermarkets took some getting used to. While this cultural difference could not be explored given the constraints of the research study, it is worth noting for future studies that may focus on export of apples to Latin America. If NAFTA and other trade agreements increase international trade, such market research may become increasingly valuable. Some consumers did not specifically say that the appearance of apples is important to them, but as they taste tested the various apple varieties they often commented on how the apples looked. Having red, solid color, as the taste-tested Empire apples did, was not especially important to these consumers. In fact, one consumer commented that she would not have picked such a dark red apple in the grocery store for fear that it might be overripe. Some focus group members said they like the distinct 'dots' (lenticels) on the Jonagold, and felt that it was a “pretty“ apple. A few participants said that the variation in the Jonagold's color made it interesting to look at. 40 Size was discussed by the participants as an important feature. In general, they said that apples should look substantial, but should not be too big. For most of the consumers, a more moderately sized apple is preferred, particularly for snacking or school lunches. The focus group consumers said that apples should be easily held in one's hand and should be able to fit into a lunch box. Several people with children expressed a concern that the food was wasted if an apple was too big for a child to finish. One clearly expressed desire for larger fruit was for cooking. People said they prefer a larger apple for anything requiring peeling. There was also a desire for larger fruit by a consumer who was dieting. Her rationale was that if she was going to ”cheat” on a diet by eating an apple, it might as well be a large apple. She also said that some days the apple is her entire lunch, and so the bigger the fruit the better. Focus group participants said that the flavor of the apples is very important. Flavor preferences varied among individuals and with how the apple was to be used. An apple that was a favorite for fresh eating might not be a preferred variety for cooking. There were also differences among individual tastes for fresh apples. Some said they like tart apples and some like sweeter apples. As the focus group members evaluated Gala, Jonagold and Empire apples, they frequently commented about the flavor of these varieties. They judged the apple not only on its type of flavor, but on its flavor intensity. Some consumers, for example, said that the flavor of the Jonagold variety was nice, but that it was rather bland. Texture was another extremely important characteristic to the focus group members. Apple texture was said to be an important factor for these consumers, although they had difficulties describing what exactly they meant be texture. The consensus was that mealy or mushy apples are unacceptable, as is graininess in the flesh of the fruit. Juiciness of the apple was also said to be very important. As the focus group consumers tasted apples, they often commented on the juiciness of the apples, and said that they were glad that the fruit were not grainy or dry. 41 Several consumers criticized apple varieties with thick skins, especially Red Delicious. A few said the Empire variety that they tasted had a thick skin, too. Some consumers with a sensitivity to thick skinned apples reported a strange sensation on their teeth after they bit into such an apple. As consumers evaluated apple varieties, some of them commented on the flesh of the apple fruit. Some said that they like the white flesh of the Empire and commented on how long its flesh remained white. As one participant commented, it was unlikely that she would pay so much attention to the apple if she was just eating it at home, but the slower browning of the Empire variety was appreciated. Some of the participants commented that the browning of an apple would not stop them from eating it for a snack. Keeping quality was said to be important to several focus group participants. Several mentioned being bothered by having to throw out spoiled food. When the consumers were taste-testing the newer varieties, they frequently asked about the keeping quality of the apples. Season was also mentioned by some participants. Many people said they use several different varieties in the fall, but switch to Red Delicious or Granny Smith in the spring because they believe that these varieties are better than others at that time of the year. Some commented that they would buy a new variety in the fall, but might go back to more familiar varieties later in the year to be assured of good quality. 3.4.2 Purchasing influences in the retail store. Focus group members were asked about steps that could be taken in grocery stores to encourage them to buy more apples. They were also asked what store characteristics are important to them as they shop for apples. Many focus group consumers expressed a desire to know about the characteristics of an apple variety before buying it. As the focus groups discussed apple characteristics, they pointed out that taste and crispness or condition cannot be evaluated in the grocery store. For these characteristics, some of these consumers said that they make their judgements based on their previous experience with the variety or, in some cases, on what the produce clerk says. Some said they might buy just one or two apples to try a new variety. 42 When asked specifically what it would take to get them to try a new variety, many participants responded that samples were a good idea. Signs describing the variety were also suggested. Information about the uses for the variety and whether it is sweet or tart were greatly desired by many of the focus group participants. Some emphasized that knowing that an apple was crisp would encourage them to try that variety. Many focus group members expressed a desire to know more about new or unfamiliar varieties. They suggested point of purchase signs or posters that describe the apple and what it can be used for. Some of the consumers suggested in-store signs describing a variety regarding its sweetness or tartness, softness or crunchiness. Several of the focus group members described the differences between going to a supermarket and shopping at a farmer's market. Some of the consumers indicated that the education about apple varieties which they had received at the farmer's markets had made a very positive impression on them. A few of the consumers had not been aware of the differences among apple varieties until it was explained to them by knowledgeable personnel at the farmer's market. Exhibit 4 illustrates how the education from farmer's market or orchard employees can influence consumers' decisions to purchase apples. Exhibit 4 Consumer Interest in Apple Varieties. '...before I went to that orchard, it was 'an apple is an apple.’ Sometimes I bite into [it] and I like them - sometimes I don't. And I didn't know why. Because I didn't know that different apples had different textures. Some are sweet, some are sour. I just thought that if I got one that I liked I just happened to get a good bunch... They said, 'No, apples each have their own history.’ " Most of the focus group participants said that they enjoy the atmosphere of farmer's markets, and many said they would like the displays and information of such markets available in their regular grocery stores, too. Going to apple orchards, especially in the fall, was mentioned as the best way to buy apples. Not only were these apples judged to be the freshest by focus group participants, but 43 these consumers said they like the advice about varieties that was often available from orchard market personnel. Freshness was said to be extremely important to the focus group consumers. Some of these consumers speculated that Michigan apples would be fresher than those shipped from Washington state. They felt that farmer's markets have fresher apples than grocery stores. There was a strong desire for "farm-fresh” apples. To many of the focus group consumers, this implies a clean, unbruised apple. Individually displayed apples, or apples in bins were also perceived by some of the participants as being especially fresh. Many of the consumers said that apples chosen from displays of individual fruit seem fresher than those sold in bags. Price varied in importance among the focus group participants. Those who do not work outside of the home seemed to be more concerned with price than those who are employed outside of the home. For the group with both employed consumers and full-time homemakers, price was not quite as important. With the primary shoppers who work outside of the home, price was not indicated to be a primary consideration, although they said that m high prices might keep them from buying a particular variety. Many participants said that they would not buy a large quantity of premium priced apples all at once, especially for children, but they might try one or two apples of a new variety if it was on special. Very low prices for a soft or otherwise poor quality fruit would not convince most of the participants to buy such apples. Focus group consumers were asked if apples are usually a planned purchase on their grocery lists, or if apples are usually bought as an impulse item. The responses to this question varied a great deal. In many households, apples are regarded as a staple food, and are purchased regularly. For a few people, apples are an occasional purchase that are bought when they look good or have an especially good price. Some consumers explained that which fruit they purchase depends upon what is in season, and that after fall has passed they do not buy apples frequently. 3.4.3 Bagged or bulk display apples. Many of the focus group participants said that they prefer to buy apples from bulk displays in the store. They expressed several complaints 44 about the quality of bagged apples which they had purchased -- that bagged apples are more likely to be mushy or bruised. The preference for bulk display apples seemed stronger among the focus group members who were employed outside of the home. These consumers tended to be less price conscious than the full-time homemakers, and many indicated that they were shopping for only a few family members. These factors may help to explain their greater interest in bulk display apples. Some of the consumers who said they prefer bulk display apples said that they enjoy selecting several different apple varieties for a variety of flavors. They might buy a selection of apple varieties so that they can try something different from day to day. Many of the participants said they like to choose their own individual apples to ensure themselves that they are getting the best fruit that is available. They also expressed concern about buying only as much fruit as they can eat, and that bags contain more apples than they really want. Some said that buying an entire bag of apples only to throw half of the fruit away bothers them. The considerable amount of refrigerator space which a bag of apples takes up was also expressed as a negative aspect of bagged apples compared to bulk apples. Some of the focus group shoppers who were not employed outside of the home were more positive about bagged apples. These consumers seemed to be more price conscious than the employed consumers, and some indicated that the lower price of bagged apples is an attraction for them. The focus group members who were not employed outside of the home tended to talk about buying apples for larger families more often than the employed consumers. They emphasized the benefits of bagged apples for families with children. The price economy of bagged apples, combined with their convenience, was appealing to some of these consumers who were buying for larger families. One participant mentioned that the bulk display apples do not have as good a flavor as do bagged apples, although many indicated that bulk display fruit are a more premium product. 45 Several people in the focus groups explained that they purchase bags of apples for baking because their preferred varieties for baking are packed in bags. They also said that if there were some bruises on bagged apples, it would not make a great deal of difference once they were cooked. For eating fresh, however, especially in late winter, many said that bulk display apples are preferred because they are perceived by these consumers to be in better condition than those in bags. Some consumers said that they buy bagged apples in the fall, but later, in winter and through the summer, they switch to buying apples from bulk displays. They explained that the quality of bagged apples is fine soon after harvest, but they perceive that the bagged fruit does not store well. These consumers said that later in the year the bulk display apples seem to be in better condition than bagged apples. 3.4.4 Variety awareness. Many of the focus group consumers showed a real interest in apple varieties and wanted to know more about them. There were also consumers who are largely uninformed about the differences among apple varieties. As part of the focus group sessions, participants were asked to write down which varieties they could think of, and to indicate which ones they regularly purchase. The most frequently mentioned varieties that they could think of were Red Delicious, Granny Smith, McIntosh, Golden Delicious, and ldared. Jonathan, Empire, and Northern Spy were also mentioned by several people. The varieties which people most frequently said that they regularly purchase are Granny Smith, ldared, and McIntosh. Northern Spy, Jonathan, Golden Delicious, and Red Delicious were also purchased by several participants. Although Red Delicious was the variety with the greatest amount of name recognition, several focus group participants expressed very negative opinions about the variety. The consumers were also given a list of apple varieties and asked to write down any comments or impressions that they have of these varieties. This approach also gauged the familiarity which consumers have for the varieties. Granny Smith, Red Delicious, Golden 46 Delicious and McIntosh were familiar to all of the focus group participants. Most of them were familiar with Paulared, Rome, ldared and Jonathan. Less than half of the consumers were familiar with Empire, and none of them was familiar with Braeburn or Jonamac. A summary of comments related to each variety is featured below. Red Delicious 0 Firm, shiny, crunchy, caramel apples. 0 Sweet, crunchy, caramel apples. 0 Healthy and delicious. 0 Sweet. 0 Firm, red. 0 Son likes it - so I buy them. 0 Always available. 0 Bitter skin, crisp, large, tall shape, deep red, poor flavor, grainy, pulpy, hard, keep well. 0 Yucky. 0 Don't like the flavor. 0 I don't particularly care for the texture, - Wax. flavor or skin - rarely buy. 0 Tough skin, tasteless. McIntosh 0 Good for eating/baking, fall. 0 Apple pie. 0 Firm, red. 0 Johnny Appleseed. 0 A favorite for cooking - pies, applesauce, 0 Great in the fall, good for pies and fresh etc. applesauce. 0 Good cooking apple, tart, goes soft fast. 0 Salt - for sprinkling on this particular variety. 0 Soft, bruises easily, flavorful. 0 Small, round, red and green, baking, soft, sweet. 0 Sweet - good if fresh, 0 My favorite in season. Golden Delicious 0 Sweet, yellow with polka dots. 0 Snack apples, yellow with red blush. 0 Yellow, sweet, large, tall shape, hard. 0 Juicy, semi-crisp, sweet. 0 My favorite. 0 Good winger snack. Good for eating. - Always available. 0 Yellow, soft. - Not interested - too soft. 0 Don't like. 0 Eating apple, softer. 0 Soft, mushy. 0 Don't care for texture, flavor or skin - rarely buy. Granny Smith 0 Green, tart, great pies. 0 Green, tart, firm. 0 Tart, good with apple dip. 0 Green, crisp, roundish, good flavor. 0 Yummy tart snack. fresh, medium sized, 0 Tart and delicious. 0 Pies. 0 Crisp, tart, sour. - Great - a favorite. 0 Tend to buy in late spring or summer, great flavor, firm, "don't have to peel for my kids.“ 0 Eating, sour-tart. 0 Sour. Jonathan 0 Good for sauces. o Baking/fall. 0 Eating apple. 0 Firm, red. 0 Small tasty apples for lunch boxes. 0 Buy often. 0 Never used - good for pies? 0 Semi-sweet, soft, bruises easily. 0 Don't use often. 0 O.K., haven't bought recently. 0 Don't buy often - good flavor. Rome 0 Mixes well with others for cooking. 0 Firm - O.K. 0 Tomatoes - small. 0 Used for something but I don't know what. 0 Rounder apple. 0 Baking/orchards. 0 Red, kind of firm. 0 Small, round, red and green, don't store long- soft. 0 Good if look OK. 48 ldared 0 Used for cooking/canning. 0 Baking, pies, fall. 0 Firm, partially red. 0 Pies, applesauce. 0 Crisp, good, versatile, good cooking 0 Small, red and green, crisp, sweet, keep very well - Good for eating, lasts longer than 0 Good in season for eating, cooking and McIntosh. Waldorf salad. 0 Buy often. 0 Great in the fall - I buy these a lot for eating. 0 Not much taste. 0 Smaller apple - haven't eaten in a while. Empire 0 Cooking. 0 Good, excellent, 0 Not sure, followed by "since I've tried 0 Semi-crisp, tasty. they’re great!“ 0 Buy often. Great in the fall. 0 Usually buy if McIntosh or ldareds aren't 0 Small, round, red. available. 0 Haven't tried, don't know. No opinion. 0 Probably the brand you buy in bags that 0 Never used. are bruised! Paulared 0 Cooked. 0 Eating apple. 0 Buy often, versatile. - OK. for eating. 0 Use for pies, baked apples, etc.. 0 One of my favorites - buy often 0 Will buy on sale. 0 Not a lot of taste, soft, bruises easily. Jonamac 0 Never used but sounds like a combination 0 Must be cross between Jonathan and of two of my favorites. McIntosh - I would try them. 0 A combination of Jonathan and McIntosh? An effort to sweeten McIntosh? 49 Fuji 0 Sweet. 0 Round and yellow. 0 Too expensive - never had. 0 From the islands? 0 Cameras? 0 Film? 0 An apple from China? Mutsu 0 Good flavor, crisp, one of my favorites 0 Very crisp, semi-tart, very juicy 0 Oriental. 0 Sounds like ”mush.“ Braeburn 0 No one had heard of this variety. 0 From Scotland? The familiarity with apple varieties varied greatly among the focus group participants. Some of the focus group consumers, particularly those who use apples for cooking, showed a great deal of knowledge about apple varieties, including which are good for baking, etc. There were also consumers who are used to buying only a limited few varieties, such as Red Delicious and Granny Smith. Many of the consumers were surprised by the great differences among apple varieties. Some seemed to be accustomed to choosing between red and green varieties, and did not reveal much knowledge about the variety names. Others seemed to be much more knowledgeable about different apples, and showed an understanding of many different varieties. Most of the consumers who did not appear to know a lot about apple varieties said that they would like to learn about them. Some said that they would like to know which varieties are good for baking. They said they are afraid of going to a lot of trouble to bake a pie, for instance, only to find out that they had chosen a poor apple variety for baking. Even those who are unlikely to use apples for cooking indicated that they would like more variety 50 information in the stores. They would like to know if an apple is sweet or tart, and, most importantly, if it is crisp. 3.4.5 How apples are usually used. Although many focus group participants said that they are interested in knowing which apples are good for baking or other cooking uses, most of the consumers said that they primarily eat apples fresh. Apples were said to be a very popular lunch item, and are included in children's lunches and taken to the office by adults. Some of the consumers who cook with apples mentioned having large families. Shoppers who do not work outside of the home seemed to be more inclined to cook with apples. Other consumers said they do cook with apples, but not regularly. They said that they might get ”inspired" to bake a pie once or twice during the fall, but day to day consumption of apples was said to be primarily for fresh eating. 3.4.6 Consumers' perceptions of and associations with apples. The image of Michigan apples among consumers is of interest to the researchers and to the Michigan apple industry. While the other questions might give specific information about characteristics that consumers want and how well-informed consumers are about apple varieties, opinions of Michigan apples provide some indication of the success of the Michigan apple industry at achieving overall consumer satisfaction. For this reason, the focus group consumers were asked to compare Michigan apples to apples from other growing regions. The participants were asked about words that they associate with apples in general, and with Michigan apples in particular. These questions give some indication of the image that Michigan apples have in the mind of consumers. Many participants said that they associate apples with fall. Baking, such as pies and crisps, was another common association that consumers have with apples. Various apple characteristics, such as tartness, crispness, and juiciness were also mentioned. Consumers seemed to have a general perception of healthiness and good feelings about apples. The focus group participants said that they think of apples as “American“ and as a healthy snack. 51 The participating consumers were specifically asked about how they think apples fit into a nutritious diet. They overwhelmingly said that they view apples as an important part of a healthy diet. Mothers said they encourage their children to eat apples, and that apples are a food that kids can have as much of as they would like. Many people said that apples remind them of folk sayings such as ”An apple a day keeps the doctor away.” The focus group consumers said that they view apples favorably in comparison to other fruits. They indicated that they consider apples to be more nutritious or equally nutritious as other fruits. The consumers said that apples are a good source of fiber and vitamins, and a good food for people on a diet, although most people said that they are not really sure why apples are nutritious. Along with this view of apples as generally being healthy, came a request for more nutritional information about apples. The consumers said that they would like to see such information displayed in their grocery stores. When specifically asked about perceptions or associations with Michigan apples, participants also said that they think of family outings like cidermills and hayrides. Some of the consumers also said that they are reminded of the McIntosh apple variety. Many of the focus group consumers said they have fond memories of picking apples with their children or parents. Michigan apples are thought of as a red apple by some, as opposed to being green or yellow. A number of focus group consumers were unsure how to compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state. Many said that they are unaware of the origin of their apples, or that they perceive no real difference between apples from different growing regions. Many did not recall seeing signs in grocery stores identifying the region where apples were grown. Some said that they would like to see labels on the individual apples telling where they were grown. This was mentioned by a few people who said that they would try to support their state and buy its apples if the fruit were identified as being grown in Michigan. Most of the participants who could compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state communicated favorable impressions of Michigan apples. However, many also said that they view Washington apples as a more premium product. Many people said that they like 52 Michigan apples because of the varieties and the convenient size of the fruit for lunches. Michigan apples are also especially popular with people who use them for cooking. Participants did say that they perceive that perhaps Michigan apples do not travel or keep as well as the fruit from Washington. Many of the Michigan residents said that they associate their state with apple production, although a few said that they are unaware of Michigan’s prominence in the apple industry. One focus group in particular was very interested in the promotion of Michigan apples, and wondered if there is a Michigan apple festival similar to the Michigan cherry festival. This group also suggested promoting Michigan apples at airports and highway welcome centers. They seemed to feel that Michigan apples do not have a strong state identity, and that more promotion of the state’s apples is needed. The focus groups indicated a number of generally favorable words and ideas that they associate with apples. This is not surprising, because participation in the focus group was likely to be somewhat self-selecting for people who like apples. That is, consumers who do not particularly appreciate apples would be unlikely to agree to participate in such a time intensive interview, particularly since there was no monetary compensation. Although not all of the focus group participants were consumers with a wide knowledge of apple varieties, all of the people who agreed to participate in the study said that they purchase apples and enjoy eating them. 3.4.7 Consumers' opinions of the Empire, Gala, and Jonagold varieties. At the end of the focus group sessions, the focus group participants were asked to taste each of the relatively new varieties of Empire, Gala and Jonagold and tell the researchers what they thought of these varieties. Although this was not a formal taste test, it provided useful information about how consumers evaluate an apple, and what they perceive as desirable qualities of these specific apple varieties. Almost all of the consumers seemed to be impressed by the Empire apple's crispness and juiciness. On the whole, the opinions expressed about the Empire apple were very positive. 53 Many participants said that they were struck by the fully red appearance of the Empire apples which they tasted. This box of Empires was a darker red than what is often found in grocery stores. The deep color was unappealing to some people, who felt that such a dark red color was an indication of over ripeness. However, after tasting the fruit, most of the consumers seemed to be very favorably impressed by the apple. The attractive white flesh of the Empire, and its resistance to browning were appreciated by the participants. This apple was enjoyed by some of the consumers who had a preference for tarter apples. Some of the consumers, though, did not feel that the Empire was much different from a Red Delicious. One of the consumers had arrived at the focus group very excited about a new apple variety which she had recently discovered, the Jonagold. She said that she loved the crispness of the apple, and its sweetness. She likened the variety's sweetness to that of a candy bar, while its ”crunch“ was ”liking eating a potato chip." After hearing this woman's enthusiastic description of the Jonagold, her fellow focus group members were eager to try the variety. Most of them had favorable reviews of the Jonagold. The crispness of this variety impressed many of the people who tried it, although some said that the flavor was 'a bit bland.” Some people commented on the yellow flesh of the variety, and were surprised by it, although not necessarily in a negative way. Many of the participants were intrigued by the Jonagold name, and asked if it was indeed a cross between the Jonathan and the Golden Delicious. Some suggested marketing the Jonagold as a combination of two of many peoples' favorite varieties. Some of the focus group consumers were not as impressed by the Gala name. A few said that they did not like the name. However, opinions of the apple itself were generally good. Many participants commented on the attractive coloration of the Gala, and said that the apple was quite pretty. This apple was especially popular with the focus group consumers who liked sweeter apples, and most of the consumers liked its juiciness. 54 3.4.8 Summary of the focus group data. There are several main points which can be drawn from the focus group discussions. One is the indicated importance of crispness as expressed by this small sample of consumers. This is an apple characteristic that was indicated to be extremely important to the focus group consumers. Juiciness was another apple characteristic to which the focus group consumers seemed to attach a great deal of importance. Absence of bruises on the apples was also expected by these consumers, as was an attractive appearance. Soft, grainy apples or bruised apples were not tolerated by these consumers. The participants’ expressed desire for an attractive, smooth skin contrasts with the stated dislike of wax on apples by some. . Taste was stated to be extremely important to the focus group participants, although specific taste preferences vary among individuals. Some prefer sweet apples, and others like tart apples. The flavor of one apple is unlikely to appeal to all consumers because of this range of taste preferences. Although the average focus group member is not an expert on apples, he or she is interested in the different varieties available. Many of the consumers said that they want to know how an apple tastes before they buy it, and they want the apple to meet certain quality standards of crispness and juiciness. While the focus group consumers did not indicate that size and color are of overwhelming importance, an absence of physical damage to the apple fruit was said to be vital. Bruises were said to be unacceptable to the consumers who were interviewed. ‘ The participants asked for information in grocery stores telling them if a variety is sweet or tart. The focus group consumers also showed an interest in other information, such as the uses for an apple variety, and whether or not it is crisp. Although there were a few consumers who had a wide knowledge of different apple varieties, many of the focus group members did not know a lot about apple varieties, and wanted more variety information displayed in the grocery store. Many of the consumers said they prefer to buy their apples from bulk retail displays rather than bags. People who said they purchase bagged apples tended to be those who are 55 more concerned about the price of the apples. To most people, however, price does not appear to be the most important factor in their decision to buy apples. While most of the consumers do not have a clear impression of Michigan apples, they are generally positive about the state’s apples, and many said that they want to support their state by buying Michigan apples. 3.5 Some Considerations When Writing the Telephone Survey. Information generated by the focus group sessions and from background research were used to develop the telephone survey instrument. When developing the telephone questionnaire, some general principles were used as guidelines.“2 These principles helped to guide the researchers in the development of an effective survey instrument. Clarity and precision in the research instrument are critical in order to gather useful data. The questions must be clearly understood by both the interviewer and the person being interviewed. If either person is confused about the questions, the answers generated may not be accurate. The focus group sessions enhanced understanding of consumer reactions to various topics, such as words or perceptions which they associate with Michigan apples. This better understanding of consumers helped the researchers to select and appropriately phrase survey questions. A key aspect of a telephone interview is to avoid a questionnaire which is unduly long. Otherwise, there could be a problem of the consumer interviewees refusing to complete the interview. Questionnaires were timed to ensure reasonable brevity for a telephone interview and to aid in interviewee cooperation. Training for interviewers included coaching on techniques and trial runs before actually interviewing consumers over the telephone. Several questions required probing, so interviewers were instructed on how to elicit the kinds of desired information. “Principles are drawn from Dillon, et al, Eeeentiele ef Merketing Reeeereh. 56 Categories provided for answers should be mutually exclusive. Income, age, and ethnic categories were designed in a way that a consumer could not be classified in more than one category (mutually exclusive categories.) A question asking consumers about the importance of several apple characteristics also uses mutually exclusive categories of vary, somewhat or not important. For other questions, mutual exclusivity is not relevant. Several open-ended questions were posed to consumers, and several answers to these questions could be provided by one respondent. For example, when asked which apple varieties come to mind, a consumer might think of several varieties. Appropriate language must be used. This is especially relevant when asking consumers about food. Professionals in the food business, including the apple industry, use jargon and technical terms that are not readily understandable by the average consumer. If we had asked a consumer about preferring tray-packed or poly-bagged apples, for instance, most consumers would have needed a detailed explanation of the question. The focus group sessions were helpful in indicating to the researchers the words and phrases that consumers are familiar with and areas of possible confusion. Questions should not show or introduce bias. Care was taken in writing questions which are not biased. For instance, it would have been inappropriate to ask consumers to agree or disagree about whether or not ”Washington apples taste like wood.“ Questions were worded in a way that would not give consumers the impression that they should answer in a certain way. Open ended questions were neutrally phrased. There is some evidence that respondents may begin to answer without thinking after having been asked several items on a list. For instance, after being asked if they were familiar with four or five apple varieties, consumers might begin to automatically answer 'yes' to the remainder of the varieties listed. In order to reduce this ”order bias,“ the order of lists in questions involving them was rotated to give several different versions of the order of the questions. The interviewers used several different questionnaires, each with a different version 57 of the various list questions. The order of the different guesiiene was not varied, however, because that would have disrupted the "flow” of the questionnaire. Avoid questions where two issues are addressed at the same time. Care was taken to ask about only one subject at a time. That is, when asking people how they buy and use apples would have combined two separate behaviors and could have confused both the consumers and the person tabulating the questionnaire. Separate questions were asked in such situations. Clear alternatives were provided as responses to questions. For example, when consumers were asked whether or not they purchase Michigan apples, they were prompted with the response categories "yes,” ”no,“ and "don't know.” Validity and reliability are important to the survey. To increase the validity of the information as useful data for the apple industry, screening questions were utilized to isolate the population desired, namely people who buy apples. In order to help insure the reliability of the answers, only those people who were responsible for part or all of their household's grocery shopping were interviewed. For example, an interview with a teenaged son who occasionally accompanies his mother to the grocery store would not result in a very accurate picture of how household grocery decisions are usually made. Interviewers were carefully trained to elicit accurate responses. The interviewers were also trained in how to effectively probe consumers with a follow-up question for certain issues. 3.6 Developing the survey instrument. Following the criteria described in section 3.5, and considering the information gathered by background and focus group research, the telephone survey questions were developed. It should be noted that industry organizations were involved in the development of the telephone survey questionnaire and were consulted to ensure the relevance of the questions. The focus groups helped clarify consumer concerns which might be investigated more thoroughly and also indicated which subjects might be investigated effectively over‘ the telephone. Subjects of particular interest to the Michigan apple industry were also stressed. 58 However, the number of subjects that could be investigated was limited by the time constraints of the telephone interview. In this section, discussion of the telephone survey questions is followed by the actual questions used for the telephone interviews. 3.6.1 Screening for the appropriate population. The opinions of consumers who do not buy apples were deemed to be of relatively low priority for this survey. Therefore, only consumers who purchase apples (Question 1) were interviewed about their apple preferences. The number of households whose members do not purchase apples was noted. Question 1. Does your household purchase apples? Yes No Note for interviewer: If the person answers no, ask why not. Then thank the person and terminate the interview. Only consumers who are responsible for a significant proportion of their household's grocery shopping, as identified by Question 2, were interviewed. A person who does not regularly go to the grocery store is not likely to be the most reliable gauge of purchasing behavior. Such a consumer is not likely to be aware of apple varieties other than those regularly kept in their household. Question 2. Are you the primary grocery shopper in the household? Yes No Note for the interviewer: If no, ask if the primary shopper is available; if he/she is not, thank the person and terminate the interview. Both of the first two items in the questionnaire are screening questions designed to ensure the appropriateness of the sample population. Both of the screening questions were intended to improve the validity and reliability of answers regarding apple behavior and consumer preferences for apples. l: (he COI 59 3.6.2 Identifying important apple characteristics. Industry organizations are interested in finding out more about what apple characteristics are most important to consumers for making their apple purchasing decisions. Therefore, an important part of this project was to research this topic. During the focus group discussions, several characteristics were mentioned frequently when consumers described apples that they prefer and discussed what factors influence their apple buying behavior. Therefore, an objective was to test these preliminary indications against the larger sample size of the consumer telephone survey. Greater knowledge of factors that are high priority to consumers in their apple buying decisions may help the industry determine its most effective marketing strategies. Such information may also help the industry identify apple characteristics to emphasize in its production planning. Many factors or apple characteristics were indicated to influence consumer purchases of apples based upon the literature review and the focus group discussions. The number of factors or characteristics which can be questioned in a limited time telephone interview, is, however, constrained. Based in part on the focus groups, input from industry groups, and previous studies, a decision was made to poll consumers about the importance of the following ‘ eight factors or apple characteristics: 1. taste 5. freedom from bruising and blemishes 2. crispness 6. price 3. color 7. variety 4. size 8. where the apple was grown There are many other apple characteristics with a potential influence on consumers' apple buying behavior which could have been included in this question, such as shape of the apple, texture etc. Due to practical time limits of the telephone interview, however, not all of the potential factors or apple characteristics could be explored. The eight apple attributes included in this question were chosen for the preliminary indications of importance to consumers from the focus groups and the literature review, as well as for their indicated relative 60 higher priority to the Michigan apple industry. The relative importance of these factors to the consumers in their apple buying decisions were explored in Question 3. Question 3. When you are deciding which apples to buy, which apple characteristics are most important to you? Would you say that they are very important, somewhat important, or not important to you? m Mam LLM w b not Moment variety imgogen; color where grown flavor cnspness size freedom from b r u i s i n g / blemishes price Freedom from bruising and blemishes was originally planned to be included as two separate questions during the preliminary development of the consumer questionnaire. Bruising and blemishes from insects and diseases arise from two entirely different causes. To consumers, however, a bruise may be considered a type of blemish. Because of this similarity to consumers, and to help keep the time required for the telephone interview to a manageable length, the two factors of bruises and blemishes were combined into the one item in the composite question. Crispness was another apple characteristic which the focus group consumers said is very important to them. Some said that crispness is an apple characteristic which strongly influences their enjoyment and willingness to repeatly buy fresh apples. There was a need for the research to provide more information on this factor with a large sample of consumers. Since Michigan positions itself as ”The Variety State,” and uses the “Flavorbest' theme, the issues of flavor and variety are especially important to Michigan. If these items are very important to consumers, then Michigan's current positioning would appear to be appropriate. 61 If, however, flavor and/or variety are relatively unimportant to most consumers, the Michigan apple industry might want to re-direct some of its promotional emphasis. Similarly, the of state origin of the apple may or may not be important to consumers. If where the apple was grown is very important to many peeple, then increasing awareness of high quality apples from Michigan might be beneficial. Successfully identifying Michigan apples in the grocery store may attract some of these consumers. If consumers do not show a substantial concern about where their apples are grown, than less emphasis on state-specific promotions for Michigan (or other states) may be warranted. Although retailers and other trade buyers have traditionally emphasized price, color, and size as the most important apple aspects, most of the focus group participants seemed to place a higher priority on crispness, flavor, and an absence of physical defects on the fruit. Thus, one objective of the telephone survey was to determine the priorities from a larger sample of consumers regarding various apple purchasing aspects such as price, color, size, crispness, flavor, variety, etc. The importance of the several factors or characteristics affecting apple purchases was addressed in one question. Using a common framework in the investigation of several factors, as was done in Question 3, facilitates easier comparison of the relative importance of these aspects. It also streamlines the questionnaire. In addition to identifying the appropriate number of apple buying factors or characteristics to include in the composite question, choosing the most appropriate response categories was also important. The number of potential response categories describing the importance of the various characteristics was deliberately limited to three ('very important', "somewhat important", or ”not important”) in order to simplify interviews. Pre-tests revealed that larger numbers of potential response categories were difficult to work with in a telephone interview. The researchers also considered using a numerical scale for rating the importance of the various apple characteristics. However, numerical scales attempted in pre-tests proved to be difficult to communicate clearly over the telephone. 62 Although the relative importance of the apple characteristics discussed can be estimated by comparing percentages of responses in the various categories, the scale itself is non- comparative. That is, the characteristics are not ranked or compared to an ideal baseline. The resulting question is an itemized scale with three categories for responses. Another question (Question 7) that was somewhat related to the importance of apple characteristics was also included in the survey. Although Question 7 was primarily intended to determine what consumers like about specific varieties, secondary reasons for including this question were to confirm the importance of the characteristics listed in Question 3, as well as to capture any underlying apple characteristics which are not covered in Question 3. Question 7. Why do you prefer the varieties that you regularly purchase? 3.6.3 Are most apples bought from bulk displays or in bags? Consumers' preferred choices between bagged and bulk apples are especially important to the Michigan apple industry. The focus group members provided some indications of why consumers choose one type of pack rather than the other. Because of the importance of this issue, it was decided to include this as a tepic in the telephone survey of a larger sample of consumers. Whether apples are usually purchased in bags or from bulk displays was investigated using Question 4. Instead of being open-ended, two categories of response (bags or displays where one chooses the individual fruit) were included to clarify what the question was about. Providing response categories also facilitated tabulation of the questionnaires. Although there was no category provided for consumers who purchase apples both in bags and from bulk displays, interviewers wrote in 'both" for any consumers who indicated both types of purchase. Interviewers were asked to probe why consumers usually buy apples in bags or from bulk displays. Identifying perceived problems or benefits associated with either type of pack could be useful information to apple marketers, especially packers and shippers. This information might contribute to improved industry marketing strategies for fresh apples. 63 Question 4. Do you usually purchase apples: in bags or from displays where you choose the individual fruit? Note to interviewer: If they hesitate, ask them if they buy them in some other way. Why? 3.6.4 How are fresh apples used? Use of fresh apples varied among the focus group consumers. Not all consumers used their fresh apple purchases only for fresh eating. Because of the different habits of the focus group consumers regarding fresh apple eating and cooking with apples, the researchers felt that additional clarification of the use of fresh apples through the telephone survey of consumers might be useful to the apple industry. Some of the focus group members said that they cook with apples regularly, and others not at all. A few said that they cook with apples occasionally, but not frequently. More research was needed to see if this usage pattern is common among a broad sample of consumers.- The issue of apple use was addressed (through Question 5) by providing a choice of responses (eating fresh, cooking, or both). As was the case with the question about apple purchases, indicating categories of possible responses was felt to be necessary for consumers to understand what the question was about. Simply asking consumers what they use fresh apples for was likely to result in a response such as, 'why eating, of course!“ Question 5. How do you My use fresh apples? For eating fresh or for cooking (or both) Information about how apples are used by consumers can aid the apple industry in the development of promotional materials. It may also be helpful in the positioning of some dual purpose varieties in retail stores. 64 3.6.5 Variety awareness. The Michigan apple industry has an interest in consumer awareness of their varieties, especially newer ones like Empire and Jonagold. Knowledge of and familiarity with apple varieties varied considerably among focus group participants. Name recognition can be the stimulus for purchase of a product.‘3 In the case of apples, perhaps one apple variety rather than another is important to consumers. The Michigan apple industry has long emphasized the importance of a number of varieties. Therefore, consumer perceptions and behavior regarding varieties is especially important to the Michigan apple industry. Knowing which varieties have high consumer awareness may help industry decision makers to appropriately target their marketing efforts. To address the question of consumer awareness of apple varieties, two separate questions were used. One was a "top-of-mind" response (Question 6), the other an “aided recall“ question (Question 8). From a marketing standpoint, it is interesting to compare consumers' aided vs. unaided recall of brands or different products. For apples, this can translate into the recall of variety names. Investigating consumer familiarity with apple varieties specific to Michigan may provide the Michigan apple industry with some indication of the effectiveness of advertising, promotion, and merchandising efforts. Question 6. When you think of apple varieties, which ones come to mind? While having a consumer recognize a name is beneficial, for a person to specifically remember an apple variety unaided indicates a greater familiarity with the product than does a positive response to an aided question. Question 6 was asked to see what apple varieties consumers think of (a "top-of-mind' response) without prompting. "David A. Aaker. Streiegie Merkei Menegemeni, second edition. (New York: John Wiley & Sons) 1988, 212. 65 Question 8. Which of the following varieties are you familiar with? Mutsu/ Crispin Gingergold Red Delicious Granny Smith Paulared Braeburn Golden Delicious ldared Empire Fuji McIntosh Rome Jonagold Jonamac Jonathan Gala While writing the aided recall question about apple varieties, care was taken to reduce order bias. The list of variety names (as shown in Question 8) was rotated among different versions of the telephone questionnaire so that the same variety name was not mentioned first in every interview. Care was taken while assembling the list to alternate varieties that are somewhat unique to Michigan with more widely grown varieties like Red and Golden Delicious. Common and more unusual varieties were also alternated so that consumers would not be confronted with a long series of unfamiliar variety names. Including some items that the consumer is familiar with in a list of terms may increase the comfort level of the person being interviewed. Some varieties which are newer and less likely to be familiar to many consumers were included in the list. This was due in part to industry leaders' interest in the newer varieties. These new variety names may also be an approximate indicator of the level of automatic 'yes" answers received for the question. That is, the number of people who respond positively to a query about an apple that is not usually available in supermarkets (such as Gingergold) is a gauge of the number of questionable positive answers received for the entire question. 3.6.6 How many apple varieties should grocery stores carry? Because a comparative advantage of the Michigan apple industry is its production of many different apple varieties, getting grocery stores to stock as many varieties as possible is a goal of the Michigan apple industry. Clarifying the effect of demand by consumers for a wide selection of apple varieties in stores may provide the industry with useful information for marketing work with retailers. 66 The number of varieties that consumers would like to see in retail stores was asked in an open-ended question (Question 9). There was some consideration of using a prompted, category-type question for this topic, for example, ”one or two varieties, or three to four varieties,“ etc. However, industry consultants and others involved in the development of the questionnaire thought that the consumers' own responses would be more informative than answers from pro-determined, categorical question. Question 9. How many varieties would you like your grocery store to carry regularly? 3.6.7 Consumers' impressions of Michigan apples. The focus group members generally had expressed very positive images of Michigan apples, and there was a desire to test this image aspect with a larger sample of consumers. Therefore, telephone survey consumers were asked what words they think of with regard to Michigan apples. Because consumers' top of mind reactions were desired, an open-ended question was designed (see Question 10) to provide information about the image of Michigan's apples. Responses to this question might also provide ideas for possible promotional activities for the Michigan apple industry. Question 10. When you think of Michigan apples, what words come to your mind? 3.6.8 Comparing Michigan apples to those from Washington. The strategic position of the Michigan apple industry, especially with regard to Washington state, was an important reason for the study as a whole. Some of the focus group participants said that they did not recall a strong Michigan identity in their local stores, but most of them seemed to feel that Michigan apples are probably just as good as those from Washington. The researchers felt that a broader sample population, such as that of the telephone survey, might confirm the focus group consumers' favorable comparison of Michigan apples to those from Washington state. Consequently, some questions were included in the telephone survey to examine consumers' comparative perceptions of apples from the two states. 67 In order to record consumers' specific feelings about apples from Michigan compared to apples from Washington, an open-ended question comparing the two state’s apples was asked (see Question 11). As consumers commonly face a choice between Michigan and Washington apples in the grocery store, understanding the decision can help the Michigan apple industry to compare itself effectively to Washington and to undertake appropriate marketing strategies. Responses indicating poor comparison of Michigan in the minds of consumers may identify challenges to Michigan apple growers and shippers that need special attention. Question 11. How would you compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state? A follow-up to the comparison question was one on whether or not consumers buy Michigan apples (see Question 12). This question may reveal the recall of the origin of apples. It may, in part, gauge the effectiveness of Michigan promotional campaigns. Q12. Do you buy Michigan apples? 3.4.9 Demographics. The final portion of the telephone survey was a series of demographic questions. Consumers were asked about various characteristics such as their age and income so that differences in responses among various demographic segments could be explored. For example, identifying one age group who is especially likely to buy bagged apples frequently may help the Michigan apple industry target promotions for its bagged fruit. Many of the demographic questions used similar categories as those used in the fcesn fiends survey conducted for file fleeing so that comparisons could be made. Because the flesn fiends survey is widely read and well-established publication used by many produce industry leaders, ease of comparison with the ma fiends results was desired. Several demographic items were investigated. Income, age, ethnicity, employment status, and the presence of children in the household were included in this section. 68 Consumers were asked about their age because some flefi fimds reports have indicated that consumer habits and preferences vary somewhat with age. Older consumers, for instance, seem to be more concerned about their health and nutrition than younger consumers. Identifying differences in apple preferences among age groups may become important as the population ages. The preferences of the age groups which are projected to grow in population may require more emphasis in the future. In Question 15 consumers were asked their approximate age using the same categories as Fresh Trends surveys. Question 15. Which of the following age groups describes you? 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+ A question about income (Question 17) was included because consumers' buying behavior may be significantly influenced by their household income. For example, one might expect lower income households to be more price-conscious than higher income households. A clear difference between the preferences of lower and higher income consumers could help the Michigan apple industry to target market strategies by income group. Question 17. Which of the following categories approximates your household income? Under $12,500 $ 1 2,500-$ 22.499 $22,500-$34.999 $35,000-349.999 Over $60,000 During the telephone survey, categories for both age and income were read to the consumers. It was believed that individuals would be less reluctant to reveal such information about themselves if it was aggregated somewhat by grouping into categories. People who would be hesitant to reveal their exact income to an interviewer might be more comfortable placing their income in a general income range. 69 The question of ethnicity was approached differently than the questions about age and income. Although designated categories of ethnicity were printed on the survey, consumers were asked to describe their ethnic background in their own words. The interviewer was then responsible for translating this description into the categories utilized on the survey, as seen in Question 16. Interviewers were instructed to avoid stating the categories unless the consumer displayed confusion with the question. The rationale for this protocol was to avoid the sensitive issue of preferred ethnic classification. There was concern on the part of the researchers that any classification system used might be objected to by at least some of the population, and possibly result in a denial of the question. Some consumers might object to having their ethnicity classified in a certain way, so allowing the consumer to describe his or herself was thought to relieve some of the potential problem. Question 16. How would you describe your ethnic background? Caucasian African-American Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander American Indian Other Some household characteristics were probed in the demographic section, including the presence of children in the household and the employment status of the primary shopper. Because the range of potential answers was limited to yes or no, a closed-ended question was used for each of these subjects. 70 Some of the focus group participants who were parents described how their children's tastes and needs affect their apple purchases, for example, in the decision to buy bagged apples or bulk. Further investigation of this topic with the larger sample of the telephone survey might reveal a potential market to target for Michigan bagged apple promotions. Some probing was included in the question about children being present in the home to determine the number of children present (see Question 13). There were expectations, based in part upon the focus group discussions, that households with many children might be more likely to buy bagged apples because of the convenience and economy of bagged apples. Question 13. Do you have children under the age of 18 living in your home? Yes No If yes, how many? Some shoppers in the focus groups who were not employed outside of the home said that they tended to be more price conscious than those who were employed, and they were also more likely to cook with apples. Therefore, it was hypothesized that employment status might affect how apples are bought and used. Question 14 was used to elicit this information from consumers in the telephone survey. A decision was made to distinguish between full-time and non-full-time employees, as primary shoppers who are employed only part-time might have different apple purchasing behaviors than those who hold full time jobs outside of the home. Differences in consumption habits, especially using apples to cook rather than only eating them fresh, was expected to be found between full-time and non-full-time employees with jobs outside of the home. Question 14. Do you work full-time outside of the home? Yes No 71 The final demographic characteristic was the gender of the consumer being interviewed. This information was inferred from voice and recorded in Question 17. Question 17. Gender. Note to the interviewer: lnfer from voice Male Female The demographic questions came at the end of the survey because of the potential reluctance of some people to answer questions about age, ethnicity and other sensitive subjects. By positioning these questions at the end of the survey, one minimizes the chance of a consumer terminating the interview before completing all of the apple-related questions, which were of highest priority in this survey. 3.5 Summary. As discussed in this chapter, focus groups can play an important role in a consumer market research project. The consumer focus groups conducted for this research provided information which aided in the development of the telephone questionnaire. They also revealed some consumer attitudes and opinions which might not be generated by the more structured interviews of the telephone survey. Although the focus groups provided some indication of consumer preferences for and attitudes towards apples, they reflect the beliefs of only a very small number of consumers. A larger sample of consumers, such as that of the telephone survey, provides a stronger base for conclusions about consumer preferences. In order to test some of the preferences and attitudes implied by the focus group participants, similar questions were incorporated into the telephone survey. The consumer focus groups discussed many topics which were later pursued across a broader base in the telephone survey component of the market research. One subject discussed by the focus group participants was the importance of various apple characteristics, such as flavor, size and condition. A question about the importance of apple characteristics is a very important part of the subsequent telephone survey. Other important subjects 72 investigated by both the focus groups and the telephone survey include how the apples are usually purchased (bags or bulk) and how fresh apples are used, for eating fresh or for cooking. The focus group consumers were asked to taste test a few newer apple varieties. This provided both an indication of consumer opinions of these varieties and illustrated to a degree how consumers evaluate apple varieties. Obviously, a taste test could not be included in the telephone survey. However, a question about what consumers like about their favorite varieties reveals some desirable attributes of apple varieties, as well as indicating what characteristics are important to consumers. The subject of apple variety was explored by the focus groups in some detail. The focus group participants seemed to vary in their knowledge of apple varieties. However, most of the focus group members indicated a desire to learn more about apple varieties. They expressed a desire to know the characteristics of a new variety (i.e. sweet or tart.) Time constraints prevented such in-depth discussions on variety with the larger sample of the telephone survey. However, consumers surveyed by telephone were asked to name varieties off of the top of their head as well as asked about their familiarity with several specific varieties. Another subject which was explored in some detail by the focus groups was the image of Michigan apples among consumers. The focus group participants overall expressed favorable views about apples in general. They also seemed to have most positive views about Michigan apples. Many of these Michigan residents recalled family outings to orchards or cidermills. However, some of the consumers said that Michigan apples do not have a very strong 'brand identity“ in their minds. A main advantage of focus groups is the opportunity for in-depth discussion among a few consumers. A major advantage of a telephone survey is the possibility to query a broad sample of the population. However, in a telephone survey only a limited number of important aspects can be discussed. The combination of focus groups and telephone survey information gives this project both detailed information and the breadth of a large sample. Chapter Four - Results of the Telephone Survey 4.1 Introduction. An extensive telephone survey of apple consumers was conducted. Consumers were asked a number of questions to add to recent information about consumers' preferences and behavior regarding apples. Based on the recommendation of the Michigan Apple Committee, consumers in the Detroit and Chicago metropolitan areas were surveyed. These regions are two of the important metropolitan markets for Michigan fresh apples. 782 consumers were surveyed, 467 in Detroit and 315 in Chicago. This sample size compares favorably with key trade surveys such as fine fineness; Fresh Trends consumer survey, which typically polls about 1,000 consumers nationwide for all commodities.“ The survey was conducted in early 1994 (between February and April.)"‘ In this chapter, the information gathered by the telephone survey is presented. Survey results on consumer preferences for and purchase behavior for apples in general and Michigan apples in particular are discussed. There were some differences shown among the two metropolitan areas with regard to the purchase of Michigan apples. These are also summarized. One important subject that was covered in the survey, which is discussed in section 4.2, is the importance of various apple characteristics and other factors to consumers in their buying decisions. These include flavor, absence of bruises and blemishes, crispness, color, variety, price, size, and the state of origin of the apple. Consumers were asked if these apple attributes are 'very important", "somewhat important” or "not important" to them in making their decisions about apple purchases. It was found that the importance of some of these apple characteristics varies somewhat among certain demographic segments of the surveyed consumers. “W. Fresh Trends 1994. “The researchers would like to thank the Michigan Farm Bureau, which provided its WATS lines for this project. 73 74 Another part of this chapter, section 4.4, presents information related to apple buying behavior regarding the choice between bulk display and bagged apples. Some demographic relationships and stated reasons behind a preference for one pack rather than another are also included in this section. In section 4.5, consumer use of fresh apples is discussed. Consumers were asked if they use fresh apples for eating fresh or for cooking, or for both purposes. This is followed by two sections about apple varieties. Section 4.6 contains information about how many apple varieties consumers would like in grocery stores. The next section (4.7) deals with consumer familiarity with apple varieties. Consumers were asked to name apple varieties off of the top of their heads. They were also asked if they were familiar with several varieties. Sections 4.8 and 4.9 address the image of Michigan apples with consumers. In section 4.8, the results of a question asking consumers to compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state are presented. Section 4.9 summarizes the words and images which the surveyed consumers said they relate to Michigan apples. A summary of demographic characteristics of the survey participants is included. 4.2 Apple purchases. One question that was asked was ”Does your household purchase apples?“ Almost all (96%) of the consumers surveyed indicated they buy apples at least some of the time (see Table 4). A very high percentage of consumers in both Detroit and Chicago said they purchase apples. 97% of Detroit consumers indicated that they purchase apples, while 94% of Chicago consumers said that they buy apples. This is a positive finding for the fresh segment of the apple industry, including Michigan. Consumers were also asked, 'Do you buy Miehigen apples?“ Not all consumers who purchase apples buy Michigan apples. While only a small number of those interviewed said that they do not buy Michigan apples (3% of the total sample) a portion of the sampled population (22%) said that they do not know if they buy Michigan apples or not (see Table 5). 75 Table 4 01 . Does your household purchase apples? 01. Does your household purchase apples? 291L911 hi 0 gemnined 97% 94% 96% Table 5 012. Do you buy Michigan apples? Q12. Do you buy Michigan apples? ensue: 9:191: 9319299 9.9_b_e_dm in yes 84% 63% 75% no 2% 3% 3% don't know 14% 34% 22% Detroit consumers were more likely to indicate that they purchase Michigan apples than were Chicago consumers. As shown in Table 5, 84% of the Detroit consumers said that they buy Michigan apples, while 63% of Chicago consumers indicated that they buy Michigan apples. This is consistent with certain previous surveys, which have shown that people are more familiar with, and more likely to buy products from their own state or region.“ 4.3 Importance of various apple characteristics. Consumers were asked about the importance of several specific apple factors or characteristics with respect to their apple buying decisions. These factors included flavor, crispness, freedom from bruising and blemishes, color, size, variety, where the apple was grown, and price. The results show that the most important factor affecting apple purchases, as indicated by the most consumers surveyed, was the flavor of the apple, with a very high 90% of the consumers indicating this to be a very important factor to them (see Table 6). This was followed by freedom from bruising and blemishes, which was indicated to be very important "Inn Basket. Fresh Trends 1994. page 70. 76 Table 6 Q3. Which apple characteristics are most important to you? Q3. When you are deciding which apples to buy. what factors or apple characteristics are most important to you? Would you say that they are very important, somewhat important, or not important? rating very impor- tant somewhat important not important Latins very impor- tant somewhat important not important Latins very impor- tant somewhat important not important Flavor Detreit hic 91 % 89% 7 % 5% 2% 5% Freedom from bruising and blemishes _et_o_D r it Cutlass 84% 89% 13% 7% 3% 4% Crispness Detroit Emacs 81% 79% 14% 14% 5% 8% Combimd 90% 6% 3%. 86% 11% 3% 80% 14% 6% by 86% of those surveyed. Eighty percent of the consumers said crispness is very important to them. Only 2-8% of the consumers surveyed said that any of these three factors are 77 unimportant (see Table 6). For these attributes, the percentage of consumers indicating high importance was fairly consistent in both Detroit and Chicago. According to the survey results, crispness is also an extremely important apple characteristic. Crispness was considered to be very important by 80% of the consumers in the survey, and was stated to be somewhat important to another 14% of the consumers (see Table 6). The high ranking of crispness indicates that most consumers want a crisp, crunchy apple instead of soft apples. Color was indicated to be very important to somewhat less than half (47%) of those surveyed (see Table 7) This is a much lower ranking of importance than for flavor, freedom from bruises, and crispness. Another 27% of the surveyed consumers said that color was somewhat important. Variety was stated to be very important by 44% of the surveyed consumers (see Table 7). Another 34% rated variety as somewhat important. Thus variety rates near, but somewhat higher than color in overall importance. Although variety was not indicated to be one of the most important apple characteristics to these consumers, it was shown to be somewhat or very important to most (78%) of the consumers. Only 22% of the consumers surveyed think that variety is not important in their decision of which apples to buy. Detroit consumers were somewhat more likely than Chicago consumers to say that the variety of the apple is an important factor. There were 47% of Detroit consumers who said that variety is very important to them compared to 40% of Chicago consumers. The survey results show a general increase in the importance of variety for older age groups (see Figure 3). This is especially noteworthy for the oldest category of consumers. 53% of the consumers aged 60 or older said that variety is very important to them, compared with 44% of the entire sample and only 34% of those aged 18 to 29. The youngest age group, those aged 18 to 29, had the largest proportion of people who said that apple variety was not 78 Table 7 03. Which apple characteristics are most important to you? Q3. (continued) When you are deciding which apples to buy, what factors or apple characteristics are most important to you? Would you say that they are very Important. somewhat important, or nor important? Color (3.15.0.9 _e.t_<2_iD r i Mica Combined very 47 % 45 % 46% important somewhat 27 % important 28 % 25 % not important 26% 29 % 27% Variety ration Detach Chicane Combined very important 47 % 40% 44% somewhat important 35 % 32 % 34% not important 1 8% 28 % 22% important to them (34%).“7 The survey data show price as the sixth most important factor as rated by the surveyed consumers' in their decision to buy apples (see Table 6). As shown in Table 8, only 36% of the consumers said that price was very important in their apple purchasing decision. Five other factors or characteristics, flavor (90%), absence of bruising and blemishes (86%), crispness (80%), color (46%) and variety (44%) were considered to be very important by larger percentages of people. Only size and origin of the apple were less important to the consumers "The crosstabulation tables located in the Appendix provide detailed breakdowns of demographic responses to various questions. 79 Percent to Whom Apple Variety ls Very Important ”. ‘3 3353555553535535 8 35355355355535; §”‘ 55553325552525: Io- 55§E§3§5§§E§E§E D :I;:::::I:I;I:I:I 60+ Figure 3 Importance of Apple Variety Across Age Groups who were interviewed. Table 8 Importance of Apple Price to Consumers Importance of Price to Consumers rating _9_t__tD roi Queens mum very important 34% 38% 36% somewhat 43% 37% 40% important not important 24% 25% 24% Price was shown to be very or somewhat important to a fairly similar proportion of the population in both Detroit and Chicago. 34% of the Detroit consumers said that price was very important, a figure similar to the 38% of Chicago consumers who said that price was very 80 important to them. Forty-three percent of Detroit consumers versus 37% of Chicago consumers reported that price was somewhat important (see Table 8). The relative importance of price to consumers might be considered a rough measure of price sensitivity. Consumers who are very price sensitive would presumably rate price as being very important, while those who are reasonably insensitive to apple price might view it as being not important. Consumers who said that apple price was somewhat important have some sensitivity to apple prices, but not as much as those who said that price is very important to their buying decisions. There was a percentage of the surveyed consumers who said that price is very important to them, but many of these very price conscious consumers said that they consider other apple characteristics as much or more than price when deciding whether or not to buy apples. Many of the consumers who said that price is very important to them also said that other apple characteristics are very important as well. For example, of the consumers who said that price was very important, 81% also said that crispness was very important. This is quite similar to the percentage of the total sample who said that crispness is very important (80%). About 90% of the consumers who said that price is very important also said that flavor is very important, which is the same proportion of the total sample who said that flavor is very important to them. Of all of the surveyed consumers, 86% said that freedom from bruising and blemishes is very important, and about 87% of the consumers to whom price was very important also said that freedom from bruises and blemishes is very important. These data show that although price is a very important factor to these consumers, there are other apple characteristics which are equally important to them. The most frequent rating of the importance of price by survey consumers was that it is somewhat important. About 40% of the consumers who were interviewed said that price is somewhat important. These consumers probably consider price to some degree when they choose apples in the grocery store, but not to the exclusion of other characteristics such as crispness and color. Of the consumers who said that price is somewhat important to them, 81 92% said that flavor is very important, 79% said that crispness is very important, and 83% said that freedom from bruises and blemishes is very important. Consumers who consider price to be somewhat important may be those who will not buy apples if the price is extremely high. On the other hand, a very low price will probably not convince them to buy an apple of unsatisfactory quality. Crosstabs of the importance of price across income segments indicate that lower income groups are more likely to consider price to be very important than are median to higher income groups (see Table 9). 46% of the consumers with incomes below $12,500, and 54% of the consumers with incomes between $12,500-$22,499 said that the price of apples is very important to them. In contrast, less than 35% of the higher income groups ($25,000 and greater) said that price is very important. However, as incomes rise, there is an increase in the proportion of consumers who consider price to be somewhat important. While 26% of the consumers with incomes below $12,500 said that price was somewhat important to them, the proportion rises with increasing incomes to where 50% of consumers with incomes higher than $50,000 say that price is somewhat important. Table 9 Importance of Price Across Income Segments Importance of Price Across Income Segments Latino M124 ms - Lfl“ - m mom; $22.422 £33.92 £229.93 very 46% 54% 34% 33% 25% important somewhat 26% 28% 41% 43% 50% important not 28% 18% 25% 24% 25% important There is a fairly similar proportion of consumers in each income bracket who rated price as not important. Although 18% of consumers with incomes between $12,500 and $22,499 82 said that price was not important, only 24% to 28% of consumers in the other income segments said that price was not important to them. This indicates that in all income groups there are some consumers who are not especially sensitive to apple prices. The remainder of the population in each income group displays some degree of price sensitivity. At lower income levels, a higher percentage of this group is very price sensitive; they consider price very important. At higher incomes, more people have a moderate price sensitivity; to them, apple price is only somewhat important. Crosstabs of the importance of price in apple buying decisions were also performed across age groups. Consumers below the age of 59 were less likely than consumers over the age of 60 to consider price to be very important (see Table 10). In the 18-59 age range, between 28% and 34% of the consumers said that price is very important to them, while 44% of consumers over the age of 60 said that price is very important. Table 10 Importance of Price Across Age Groups Importance of Price Across Age Groups mm mas m 29.-1a 51-52 59; very 28% 34% 33% 28% 44% important somewhat 46% 43 % 44 % 47 % 31 % important not 26% 22% 23% 25% 25% important This could partly be related to the lower, often fixed incomes of some senior citizens. 0f the surveyed consumers above the age of 60 who revealed their income, 13% had incomes below $12,500 while only 6% of the total sample had incomes in this range. (Over 40% of the consumers over age 60 did not reveal their income, often just saying that they are retired, while about 26% of the total sample chose not to reveal their income.) The lower median 83 income of senior citizens also supports the hypothesis that the lower income of many senior citizens may lead them to be more sensitive to price.“ The telephone survey results tend to substantiate the indications from the focus groups that a significant percentage of consumers do not regard apple size as a very important aspect of their apple purchasing decision. Apple size was said to be very important to only about a fifth (20%) of the consumers surveyed (see Table 11). Table 11 Importance of Apple Size Importance of Apple Size mm M thgagg ngbingg very important 1 8% 22 % 20% somewhat 40% 37 % 39% important not important 42 % 41 % 41 % Detroit consumers (18%) were about as likely as Chicago consumers (22 %) to say that size is very important. Apple size was somewhat important to 39% of the overall consumers and not important to 41% of the people surveyed. Unfortunately, the telephone survey data does not clarify which size of apple is preferred by consumers. Subsequent surveys are planned that will investigate consumer preferences for apple size in more detail. There appears to be some variation in the importance of size among age groups (see Table 12). Consumers aged 60 and older are more likely than other age groups to consider apple size to be unimportant. 0f consumers above the age of 60, almost half (48%) said that apple size is not important. The youngest group of consumers, those 18-29, are the most likely to consider size to be very important. 0f the consumers in this youngest age group, 30% said "As shown in section 2.4.2, the median income of people over age 65, $16,975 is lower than that of the population as a whole ($30,126.) 84 that apple size is very important to them, compared to 14% to 23% of the consumers in older age categories. Consumers in the age brackets between 30 and 59 are about equally likely to regard apple size as a somewhat or not important factor. Less than 20% of consumers aged 30 to 59 said that apple size is very important to their apple buying decisions. Table 12 Importance of Apple Size Across Age Groups Importance of Apple Size Across Age Groups very 30% 14% 15% 19% 23% important somewhat 45 % 43 % 42 % 41 % 30% important not 25% 42% 43% 40% 48% important The results of the composite question about the importance of factors which affect apple purchasing behavior indicate that the state of origin of apples is not particularly important to most consumers. When consumers were asked if where the apple was grown was vary, somewhat, or not important in their decision to buy apples, the consumer responses indicated that this factor is the least important to them of all of the aspects considered (see Table 13). Only 16% of the people interviewed said that where the apple was grown was very important to them. Over two-thirds said that it was not important, and it was somewhat important to about 19% of those surveyed. Chicago consumers were more likely than Detroit consumers to indicate that the origin of an apple is not important. While 60% of the Detroit residents who were interviewed said that where the apple was grown is not important, 76% of the Chicago consumers said that the origin of apples is not important to them. Although the composite question about the importance of several apple characteristics and other factors did not ask consumers to rank these factors relative to one another, it does 85 Table 13 Importance of Where Apples Are Grown Importance of Where Apples Are Grown very important 1 9 % 1 2 % 16% somewhat 22 % 1 5 % 1 9 % important not important 60 % 76% 65 % provide some indication of what apple attributes are the most highly valued by consumers. Based on the results of this question, one can conclude that a flavorful, crisp apple is preferred by consumers rather than a soft one with less desirable flavor, even if it is brightly colored. 4.4 Important characteristics for apple varieties. Consumers were asked what they especially like about the apple varieties which they normally purchase. Their responses to this question were largely consistent with the replies to Question 3. Taste and crispness were the most frequently named apple attributes that they like about their favorite varieties. Taste was named the most frequently, as 55% of the consumers mentioned the taste of the apple variety (see Table 14). In addition to taste in general, a number of people (9% of the sample) specifically mentioned tartness as a reason for liking the apple variety that they usually purchase, and 9% simply said that the apple variety is ”good.“ Crispness was mentioned by 17% of the respondents, and how the apple variety would be used (eating or cooking) was a reason given by 13% of the consumers surveyed. No mention was made of the degree of bruising or blemishes; these attributes are probably not clearly associated with apple varieties by the consumers. Interestingly, color or redness were not mentioned by many consumers. In fact, appearance characteristics of any kind were not prominent reasons given for liking an apple variety. Since good flavor was indicated as the most important reason for liking an apple variety, and it was also the most highly rated apple attribute in Question 3, one can conclude that desirable apple taste is important to consumers. Crispness is also important to consumers, and 86 Table 14 Why Apple Varieties Are Preferred 07. Why do you prefer the varieties that you regularly purchase? reason 291ml: £111,299 m in taste 54% 56 % 55 % crispness 1 8 % 1 7 % 1 7 % how the apple 14% 12% 13% will be used good; like it 9 % 9 % 9 % tart 1 0% 7 % 9 % was highly ranked as an apple characteristic. 4.5 Apple buying behavior regarding type of pack. How consumers decide to buy their apples is an important issue to the Michigan apple industry. A large proportion of Michigan apples sold in the fresh market are bagged apples. In contrast, much of Washington state's fresh apple crop is sold at retail in large bulk displays. Understanding what pack consumers prefer to buy their apples can help the apple industry to market the product to the consumer in the preferred manner. Table 15 How Apples Are Usually Purchased 04. Do you usually purchase apples in bags or from displays where you choose the individual fruit (or both)? bags 28% 16% 23% bulk 55% 62% 57% both 17% 23% 19% When questioned about how they prefer to buy their apples, the majority of consumers in the recent survey said that they prefer apples from bulk displays. As shown in Table 15, substantially more consumers prefer bulk apples (57%) than prefer bagged apples (23%). 87 There is also a part of the population (19% of those surveyed) who said that they buy both bagged and bulk apples. The most frequent reason provided by the surveyed consumers for preferring bulk display apples was ”quality." Another common explanation for the decision to buy bulk rather than bagged apples was a desire to choose or look at the individual fruit. The most common reason stated for preferring bagged apples was the price. Because of the apparent price sensitivity of bagged apple consumers, one might expect demographic segments who rate price as especially important to purchase a greater proportion of bagged fruit. Crosstabulations of the importance of apple characteristics across age segments did not show a strong link between the importance of price to consumers and their decisions to buy bagged apples. As shown in Table 9, consumers with incomes below $22,500 were somewhat more likely than higher income groups to say that apple price is very important to them. Table 16 shows that only the very lowest income group is especially likely to buy bagged apples. There is, however, an indicated trend toward purchases of bulk apples as incomes rise. The link between price sensitivity and apple purchasing behavior may need further investigation. Table 16 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments 22.4.22 33.2.22 $2.222 bags 34% 21% 30% 24% 17% bulk 45% 53% 52% 58% 63% both 21% 26% 18% . 17% 20% The older age groups, shown earlier as more likely to view price as a very important factor (see Table 10), do not appear to purchase more bagged apples than other age groups (see Table 17). In fact, consumers over age 60 showed a likelihood of buying bulk apples that 88 is approximately the same as that of the total population. Only 21% of surveyed consumers over age 60 said that they usually purchase apples in bags while a much greater 59% of these older consumers said that they usually buy apples from bulk displays where they can choose the individual fruit. This is fairly consistent with the 23% of the overall population who say they buy apples in bags, and the 58% who say that they buy apples from bulk displays. Older people with smaller households may buy more from bulk displays because they want to buy in smaller quantities. Table 17 How Apples Are Purchased Across Age Groups How Apples Are Purchased Across Age Groups mm m2 2&2 M2 52:52 5.0; bags 22% 28% 25% 18% 21% bulk 66% 50% 57% 59% 59% both 12% 32% 18% 22% 20% Consumers in the youngest age group, 18-29, were the most likely to say they purchase apples from bulk displays. 66% of these consumers said that they buy apples individually selected from bulk displays. This is somewhat higher than the proportion of the total sample indicating a preference for apples from bulk displays, which was 57%. Only 22% of the consumers aged 18-29 indicated that they usually buy apples in bags. As with the oldest age group, this is somewhat lower than but similar to the figure for the population as a whole. Consumers between the ages of 18 and 29 were the least likely to say that they sometimes purchase apples in bags, and sometimes buy apples from bulk displays. Only 12% of this age group said that they buy apples in both of the two ways. 89 Consumers aged 30-39 were the least likely to buy apples from bulk displays (50%). They were also the most likely to usually buy apples in bags. 28% of these consumers said that they primarily buy bagged apples. Households including children were somewhat more likely than those without children to purchase apples in bags. 28% of the households with children said that they usually purchase apples in bags, compared with the 21% of households without children who buy bagged apples. 51% of households with children said that they usually buy apples from bulk displays compared with 61% of households without children. There appears to be a slight preference for bagged apples by shoppers of households containing children. 4.6 Apple use. Determining how apples are commonly used by consumers may also be useful information for industry planners. Knowing how consumers use fresh apples can help the Michigan apple industry to develop consumer promotions and merchandising such as recipe cards, etc. Consumers were asked how they usually use the apples that they buy fresh. In each metro market, the majority of consumers said that they usually use fresh apples for eating out of hand (see Table 18). Chicago consumers are somewhat more likely than Detroit residents to use apples for fresh eating, but Detroit consumers also eat most of their apples fresh. While 67% of the Chicago consumers said that they eat their apples fresh, 60% of the Detroit residents said that they usually eat their apples fresh. 90 Table 18 How Fresh Apples Are Used By Consumers How do you usually use fresh apples? For eating fresh or for cooking? us: 291L911 mags: mum eating 60% 67% 63% cooking 4% 3 % 3% both 36% 30% 34% Only a very small number of the consumers surveyed say they use fresh apples primarily for cooking. These represented only about 3% of the survey population. On the other hand, about a third of consumers in Detroit and Chicago said they use their fresh apples both for eating and cooking. Detroit consumers were somewhat more likely than Chicago consumers to say that they sometimes use apples for cooking, 36% in Detroit versus 30% in Chicago. Detroit consumers are also more likely to buy some bagged and some bulk apples depending on how the apples were to be used. While 24% of the Detroit consumers who explained their decision to buy apples in both ways mentioned the use for which the apples was intended as a reason, none of the Chicago consumers did. 4.7 Demand for apple varieties. When asked how many varieties of apples they would like to see carried in their grocery store, the most common consumer response in the telephone survey (21%) was 3 or 4 varieties (see Figure 4). Another 18% of consumers said that they would like to see 4 or 5 apple varieties carried in the grocery store, and 12% said that they would like to choose among 5 to 6 types of apples. While the Michigan apple industry would prefer consumers to want even more varieties in grocery stores, it is positive for an industry which emphasizes marketing a number of varieties that consumers say that they like a selection of several apple varieties to choose from at retail. Although some consumers did not say that they want an especially large choice of apple varieties in their grocery stores, they did express that apple variety is relatively important. 91 How Many Apple Varieties Consumers Would Like in Stores 25 _ 21% 20- 2:232:25; 5:55:55 1% 1515- m m Z?" 5~ 5555553 4% f§f§f§§§§ o _ "rd-5353:3331 -:i-:-: :-:-:-: :~:-I:-:- #523 .;.i.;.; 5:35:51 2 to 3 4 to 5 6 to 8 don‘t care 1 to 2 3 to 4 5 to 6 8 or more other Figure 4 Choice of Apple Varieties Desired by Consumers When asked how important apple variety is to them, 44% of consumers indicated that variety is very important, and another 34% said that it is somewhat important (see Table 7). Thus 78% of consumers said that apple variety is at least somewhat important; perhaps these results indicate that they are only concerned that the grocery stores stock the varieties which they themselves enjoy. In fact, about 7% of the people interviewed said that as long as the produce department carries the apple variety which they prefer they do not care how many other varieties were available. 4.8 Familiarity with apple varieties. In addition to the composite question about the importance of various apple characteristics, two questions specifically about apple varieties were included in the survey. These questions were intended to gauge consumer awareness of apple varieties. Consumers were asked to name apple varieties off of the top of their heads. 92 This investigates the top of mind awareness of apple varieties. Respondents were also asked in a different question if they were familiar with a number of specific varieties which were read to them. This aided recall question reveals which varieties have been noticed, even though the varieties may not be immediately thought of by consumers. When consumers were asked to name apple varieties off of the top of their heads, the most frequently named variety was Red Delicious (52%) (see Table 19). This is not surprising, given the dominant position of Red Delicious in most grocery stores. The next most commonly recalled varieties included McIntosh (43%), Granny Smith (33%), and Golden Delicious (27%.) The frequency with which these varieties were named varied somewhat between Detroit and Chicago. McIntosh was clearly the second most frequently named variety in Detroit, with Table 19 Apple Varieties Consumers Think Of 06. When you think of apple varieties, which ones come to mind? v ri 99.11911 mm Combined Red Delicious 53% 51% 52% McIntosh 50% 33% 43% Granny Smith 38% 27% 33% Golden 22% 33% 27% Delicious Jonathan 1 5% 26% 19% Washington 9% 5% 8% Rome 7% 6% 6% ldared 5% 0% 3% Empire 4% 0% 3% 93 50% of the consumers mentioning it, while it was tied with Golden Delicious for second place in Chicago at a considerably lower 33%. In Detroit, Granny Smith was named more often (38%) than was Golden Delicious (22%.) In Chicago, Granny Smith was named less frequently (27%) than McIntosh (33%) and Golden Delicious (33%). Jonathan was a commonly named variety in Chicago (26%), much more so than in Detroit (15%). The degree of aided recall for the most popular varieties was very high. Red Delicious (98%). McIntosh (96%). and Golden Delicious (96%) were familiar to almost all consumers. Residents of both Chicago and Detroit were also very familiar with Granny Smith (89%), Jonathan (85%), and Rome (69%) (see Table 20). These varieties, especially Red and Golden Delicious, McIntosh and Granny Smith, are all very common apple varieties in grocery stores. Jonathan and Rome, while they may not have the prominent shelf location of Red Delicious, are both well-established apple varieties that many consumers are familiar with in these metropolitan markets. These varieties are also very important to Michigan. That many consumers recognize these varieties is probably good for Michigan. For all of the other apple varieties named, Detroit consumers showed a higher degree of familiarity than did Chicago residents. This is consistent with the indicated greater importance of apple variety to Detroit residents. It will be interesting to gauge the familiarity that consumers from more distant markets have with various apple varieties, as is planned in later research. Residents of areas which are far from major apple producing regions may be less aware of the wide number of apple varieties that are grown. Consumers in such areas may require additional education about apple varieties in order to fully appreciate the selection offered by the Michigan apple industry. When examining the percentages of consumers who claim that they are familiar with a given variety, it is worth considering the possibility of people indicating a variety familiarity when in fact they are not familiar with that variety. The number of people who replied that they were familiar with Gingergold is an indication of how often people said they were familiar with a variety when probably they are not, because it has very limited availability. While 94 Table 20 Varieties Consumers Are Familiar With 08. Which of the following varieties are you familiar with? M hi 3 m in Red Delicious 98% 98% 98% McIntosh 97% 94% 96% Golden 95% 97% 96% Delicious Granny Smith 90% 88% 89% Jonathan 85% 86% 85% Rome 72% 66% 69% ldared 61 % 32% 50% Empire 58% 29% 46% Paulared 37% 20% 30% Jonagold 28% 27% 27% Jonamac 25% 13% 20% Fuji 18% 20% 18% Gala 17% 16% 16% Mutsu 12% 8% 1 1% Braeburn 9 % 1 2% 10% Gingergold 6% 3% 5% Gingergold is an actual variety, it has yet to reach a large level of commercial production, and it is quite unlikely that it is available in many grocery stores. About 5% of all consumers surveyed said that they were familiar with this variety. A few of the consumers may be familiar with Gingergold, but for others this figure might possibly be viewed as an informal measure of the validity of responses. 95 4.9 The image of Michigan apples. Of those consumers in the telephone survey who were able to compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state, many expressed positive views about Michigan apples (See Table 21). 43% of those interviewed said that Michigan apples are better than or the same as Washington state apples. Less than 10% of those interviewed said that Michigan apples are clearly worse than the fruit from Washington. However, another tenth of the people expressed mixed opinions about Michigan apples, saying that they are good only in certain seasons or for purposes such as baking. This indicates Michigan apples have a less that ideal image with at least 20% of consumers. Overall, however, the survey results indicate that the image of Michigan apples is a generally positive one as compared to Washington State apples. Table 21 Comparing Michigan Apples to Washington Apples 011. How would you compare Michigan apples to those from Washington State? ggmggrison Detrgit hic mull! don't know 32% 46% 38% better or 26% 15% 22% favorable comments same 21% 20% 21% mixed reac- 10% 8% 9% fions w o r s e o r 10% 9% 9% unfavorable comments A large number of consumers said that they perceive no definite differences between Michigan apples and those from Washington state. Overall, only a little more than 40% of the consumers surveyed were able to clearly say that Michigan apples are better than or worse than apples from Washington. The rest of the consumers said that Michigan and Washington apples 96 are about the same, or they did not know which are better. Many people, 21% of the sample, said that they perceive apples from Michigan and Washington to be the same. Table 22 Perceptions of Michigan Apples 010. When you think of Michigan apples. what words come to your mind? mm M git—asap 9___b_9.dom in don't know 19% 34% 25% good 14% 11% 13% delicious 10% 3% 7% a specific vari- 10% 8% 9% 6W McIntosh 10% 4% 8% fresh 10% 8% 9% orchards 1 0% 9 % 9% crisp 8% 6% 7% red 8% 6% 7% 4.10 Perceptions associated with Michigan apples. Consumers were also asked what words or phrases they associate with Michigan apples. The positive words and images that were mentioned support the hypothesis that Michigan apples are viewed favorably by many consumers. Of the 75% consumers who thought of a particular word or phrase with regard to Michigan apples, many made positive remarks (see Table 22). However, 25% of the people interviewed could recall no words or phrases when asked about Michigan apples. This is consistent with the large number of consumers who answered 'don't know" to similar questions about the origin of the apples that they buy. 4.11 Demographics of the surveyed consumers. A total of 782 consumers were interviewed for this study. 467 Detroit residents completed the telephone interview, and 315 Chicago consumers answered the questionnaire. Statistical reliability guides which were 97 consulted" indicated that this sample size is large enough to provide a statistically reliable estimate of the population.60 According to tables identifying appropriate sample sizes for various populations, a population size of over 100,000 can be estimated (with a 95% confidence interval) with a sample size of 400 (a = +5%) or a sample size of 100 (a = +10%). Trade surveys such as The Packer's Fresh Trends consumer survey have used about 1,000 consumers for nationwide surveys about produce in general, so this survey should be at least as accurate an indicator of consumer behavior as that widely read trade publication. The median income of the Detroit area residents interviewed was in the $35,000- $49,999 category. The median income of Chicago area surveyed consumers was over $50.0 00. The Department of Housing and Urban Development estimates that the median income of Detroit M.S.A. residents in 1994 was $47,000, and the estimated income of Chicago residents was $51,300.“1 These figures suggest that the survey respondents are a representative sample of income level in these regions.‘52 Table 23 shows a breakdown of the income distribution of the population sample. As shown in Table 24, there is a satisfactory sample from all of the age groups to draw some conclusions about differences in behavior and preferences between age groups. The number of respondents in various ethnic categories was not large enough to draw any conclusions about the preferences and behavior between different ethnic groups. "M.S. Grosof and H. Sardy, R e r h Prim rf r h i l n vi (Orlando: Academic Press, 1985). “According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, “Table 2: Metro Area Rankings - Population and Households,” State and Metrggglinn Data figgk. 1991, (p.XXI), the Detroit-Ann Arbor area has a population of 4,665,236 and the Chicago-Gary-Lake County area contains 8,065,633 residents. “from Document 001800 ”Median Family Incomes for Fiscal Year 1994' from the H.U.D. User's Document Reproduction Service. l5"’107 of the 467 Detroit residents interviewed did not reveal their income, and were not counted in the determination of median income. Similarly, 99 of the 315 Chicago consumers did not answer the income question. 98 Table 23 Telephone Survey Income Distribution Telephone Survey Income Distribution in m _D_e;r_oit §_hic_ag_g m in i n $0-$12,499 5% 7% 6% $12,500-$24,499 8% 9% 8% $24,499-$34,999 17% 13% 15% $35.000-$49,999 19% 17% 18% $50,000 29% 23% 26% no answer 23% 31% 26% Table 24 Telephone Survey Age Distribution Telephone Survey Age Distribution Age M was: m in i n 18-29 13% 13% 13% 30-39 25% 21% 23% 40-49 21% 19% 20% 50-59 13% 13% 13% 60+ 27% 33% 30% 4.8 Conclusions. This chapter presents the results of a telephone survey of 782 consumers in the Detroit and Chicago metropolitan areas. The consumers were surveyed about a number of important subjects related to their preferences for fresh apples. A key component of this survey was an investigation of the importance of eight selected factors or apple characteristics which impact apple buying behavior. Consumers were asked if flavor, freedom from bruising and blemishes, crispness, color, variety, price, size and where the apple was grown were very important, somewhat important or not important to their apple buying decisions. Flavor, freedom from bruising and blemishes and crispness were 99 expressed to be the most important apple attributes to the consumers surveyed. Size of the apple and where it was grown were said to be very important to only a small percentage of the surveyed consumers. A related question asked consumers what they like the most about the apple varieties which they usually buy. The most common response to this question was taste. This reinforces the importance of taste as indicated by the question about the importance of apple characteristics. Another important part of the survey was the degree of familiarity and interest in varieties among consumers. Variety was said to be either very important or somewhat important to a majority of the telephone survey participants. The apple varieties which these consumers named most frequently were Red Delicious and McIntosh. Granny Smith and Golden Delicious were also mentioned by many consumers in the survey. As part of the telephone survey, the consumers were also asked if they were familiar with several specific varieties. Most consumers said they are familiar with common apple varieties, especially Red Delicious, McIntosh, Golden Delicious, Granny Smith, and Jonathan. Many are also familiar with Rome. ldared, and Empire. Newer varieties, such as Fuji, Gala, and Mutsu, were said to be familiar to a smaller percentage of consumers. More Detroit consumers are familiar with some varieties, such as ldared, Empire, and Paulared than are Chicago consumers. Consumer purchases of apples in bags or from bulk displays were also investigated. A majority of consumers (57%) indicated that they prefer to buy apples from retail displays where they choose the individual fruit rather than in bags. However, there is a significant minority (19%) of the surveyed consumers who buy apples in both ways. The consumers who participated in the survey were also asked how they usually use the fresh apples they buy. Most (63%) said they usually eat these apples fresh. Only a very small percentage of the consumers surveyed said that they primarily cook with fresh apples, 100 although about 34% of the participants said that they use fresh apples both for eating fresh and for cooking. Several questions were included to investigate the overall consumer perceptions of Michigan apples. When asked what words came to mind when they thought of Michigan apples, many consumers thought of positive images or comments. When asked to specifically compare Michigan apples to those from Washington, a majority of consumers indicated that Michigan apples are the same or better than Washington apples. The results of this survey combined with the information from the focus group sessions and previous consumer surveys can contribute useful information for marketing strategies and future planning and positioning of the Michigan apple industry. Chapter Five - Analysis and Implications for the Michigan Apple Industry 5.1 Introduction. The results of the consumer telephone survey and the consumer focus groups suggest some interesting implications for the Michigan Apple Industry (MAI). In this chapter, the information gathered by the focus groups and telephone surveys is analyzed for its importance to the MAl’s strategic planning. The information generated by this research is considered with respect to the results of previous studies and the current conditions of the markets and the produce trade, especially as related to the Michigan growers, packers, and shippers. Some possible directions for the Michigan Apple Industry are suggested. The importance which consumers said they place on various apple characteristics in their buying decisions is a major part of the findings of this research. The factors affecting apple buying decisions, which were discussed in Section 5.2, include apple flavor, crispness, freedom from bruising and blemishes, color, variety, size and price. The responses to several different questions in the survey suggest that consumers consider apple origin to be relatively unimportant to their buying decisions (as discussed in Section 5.3.) This apparent indifference to where apples are grown may have some implications for the promotional strategies of Michigan and other apple producing regions. Implications of the expressed preference by many consumers for bulk display apples are discussed in Section 5.4. The MAl's traditional emphasis on bagged fruit makes the apparent preference for bulk display apples important to future plans. The final section of this chapter proposes some topics of future research suggested by the results of this project. 5.2 Apple Characteristics And Their Importance to Consumers. When asked how important various factors and apple characteristics are to their apple buying decisions, 80-90% of the consumers surveyed indicated that flavor, freedom from bruising and blemishes, and crispness are very important to them. Many consumers also said that color, variety and price 101 102 are very or somewhat important to them. Fewer people attached a great deal of importance to size or to where the apples were grown. Historically there has been a large emphasis in apple marketing on fruit size, color, and price as characteristics which are highly desirable to consumers. This survey's results indicate that these characteristics of historically large significance may be becoming less important to consumers than some other characteristics such as flavor and crispness. However, previous studies have indicated that color and size remain important to consumers.“3 Therefore, the results from this research project must be interpreted with consideration of other evidence as well. 5.2.1 Flavor. Flavor was indicated to be very important to 90% of the consumers who were interviewed as part of this telephone survey. Another 6% said that flavor is somewhat important to them, and only 3% of the consumers surveyed indicated that flavor is not important to them. The very high indicated importance of flavor to consumers may be an especially important finding for the Michigan Apple Industry because the good flavor of Michigan's apple varieties is considered to be one of the MAI's competitive strengths. The Michigan Apple Industry has promoted this advantage by using its "Flavorbest' theme. The consumer survey results tend to confirm that such a positioning is well-targeted since it emphasizes the indicated important characteristic of apple flavor. Although flavor was said by the surveyed consumers to be more important than many appearance characteristics, flavor is not an attribute which consumers can evaluate in the store. This brings up an important factor in considering the importance of the various apple characteristics about which consumers were polled. Some characteristics can be evaluated in the retail store -- these may be considered "pre-purchase' apple characteristics. Others cannot be evaluated in the store, and may be called "post-purchase“ attributes. The difference s“'Leonard, et al. 103 between pre-purchase and post-purchase apple characteristics was used by McCracken in her panel study of consumers.“ Flavor was said by McCracken's consumer panelists to be an important characteristic in that study, and was second only to texture in the number of consumers who said that it is the most important post-purchase factor in their apple buying decisions. However, as the ”post-purchase" designation implies, these characteristics are those which consumers can evaluate only after they have purchased the apples. 'Pre-purchase' characteristics, however, may entice the consumer to buy the apple in the first place. While flavor was indicated in the survey of Detroit and Chicago consumers to be the most important factor to consumers, characteristics that can be observed in the store are also very important to attract consumers to buy the apples, especially for impulse purchases. Emphasis on freedom from bruising and blemishes. which consumers indicated to be the next most important characteristic after flavor, or perhaps color are pre-purchase characteristics which may attract consumers to try the apples and discover their flavor. Another tactic to influence consumers to buy certain apples may be to promote the flavor of the apples, as the MAI does. The focus group participants were very positive about sampling in grocery stores as a way to promote the flavor of apples. In addition, some means of attracting consumers with an important, highly rated pre-purchase factor may be needed to get the consumers to appreciate the important characteristic of flavor. 5.2.2 Freedom from bruising and blemishes. Freedom from bruising and blemishes was another attribute to which a high percentage of the surveyed consumers attached a great deal of importance. Many of the consumers surveyed (86%) said freedom from blemishes and bruising is very important to them, and another 11% said that this is somewhat important in their decision to purchase apples. Only 3% of the people interviewed said that freedom from bruising and blemishes is not important to them. Only slightly less important to the consumers “Vicki McCracken, at al, "Development of a Scheme to Evaluate Consumer Apple Variety Preferences,” in ,lggrnal gf Fggg Distribggign Research. February 1994, pp.56-63. 104 surveyed than flavor, freedom from bruising and blemishes was an aspect indicated in the survey to be the most important apple attribute that consumers can observe in the grocery store before purchasing the fruit. The high ranking of freedom from bruising and blemishes shown in the telephone survey emphasizes the importance of blemish-free apples. While blemishes from insect and disease pests have been effectively controlled by Michigan growers, future control of these problems may be difficult if adequate pesticide and integrated pest management tools are not available. The possible restrictions of many crucially needed chemical inputs may challenge the future ability of orchard managers to supply the blemish-free fruit demanded by the market. Michigan growers, packers and shippers have made significant improvements in reducing apple bruising, and the survey results suggest that these efforts need to be continued, because freedom from bruises appears to be of high importance to many consumers. Bruises are unappealing to most consumers, and can be noticed in the store. Ensuring the absence of physical damage such as bruises and blemishes on apples may entice consumers to try the fruit. Once the apple fruit have been tasted, the highly important apple characteristic of flavor can be evaluated. 5.2.3 Crispness. Crispness is another apple attribute which a very high percentage of the surveyed consumers said is very important (80%) or somewhat important (14%) to their apple buying decisions. Flavor and freedom from physical damage are the only two apple characteristics which were said by the surveyed consumers to be somewhat more important. Crispness was said to be very important by many more peOpIe (80%) than color (46%), which was the next most highly rated apple attribute. This suggests that production, harvest timing and post-harvest practices emphasizing crispness rather than color may result in apples which are consistent with consumers' strong preference for crisp apples. As a characteristic which is apparently important to consumers' apple purchasing decisions, crispness is a trait which needs to continue to be emphasized by the Michigan apple 105 industry. Pressure tests and ether measures of apple firmness can help the Michigan Apple Industry to deliver the desired crisp product to consumers. The relative importance of crispness to the consumers who were surveyed suggests that promotions emphasizing this apple characteristic may effectively target an important issue for consumers. Washington state apple organizations emphasize the crispness of that state's apples in consumer promotions. Incorporating a similar message about apple crispness into the MAI's existing promotional strategy, coupled with continued emphasis on delivering crisp apples to consumers, may augment the marketing efforts of the Michigan Apple Industry. 5.2.4 Color. Color is an apple characteristic which has traditionally been given great emphasis in apple marketing. Fully red apples are often more highly valued by produce buyers than fruit with mixed red and green color. Other consumer oriented research projects have indicated that consumers have an implied preference for full red color.“ Many of the consumers who were interviewed for this telephone survey did not attach a great deal of importance to color relative to several other apple characteristics. Of the consumers who were interviewed for the telephone survey, 46% said that color is very important to them, and 27% said that it is somewhat important to them. Another 27% said that color is not important to their apple buying decisions. Compared with the apple characteristics of flavor, freedom from bruising and blemishes, and crispness, color is not indicated to be an especially important factor in consumers' apple buying decisions. These results suggest that although 73% said color is at least somewhat important, color may not be the most important factor affecting apple purchases. However, the subconscious preference for bright red color indicated by the Connecticut study suggests that color is not an unimportant influence on consumers' apple buying decisions. It may just be relatively less important than some other factors. Given the relatively lower ranking of color as compared to some other “Leonard and Wadsworth. 106 attributes as shown in this consumer survey, less emphasis on color and more attention to condition and flavor may be worth considering by the apple industry. 5.2.5 Variety. The importance of apple varieties to consumers is a topic of especial importance to Michigan, "the Variety State." The wide selection of apple varieties grown in the state of Michigan is considered a comparative strength of the Michigan Apple Industry. Strong consumer interest in apple varieties could help the MAI market its apples. Relative to some other apple characteristics, variety was rated in this survey as being of somewhat moderate importance. Less than half of the consumers, 44% of those surveyed, said that it is very important. However, a considerable majority (78%) of the consumers surveyed did say that variety was either very important or somewhat important. Only 22% said that variety is not important to them. The large proportion of the population with at least a moderate interest in apple varieties may make a good audience for further education about Michigan apples. A review of crosstabulations of the importance of variety across demographic segments has some interesting implications for the Michigan Apple Industry. Some demographic segments, most notably Detroit residents and older consumers, are more likely than others to value apple varieties highly. Those population segments without a strong interest in apple varieties may be especially good targets for educational programs about apple varieties. It may also be important to target the 78% of consumers who are at least moderately interested in varieties to take advantage of their positive receptivity to this aspect. Since the variety is an apple attribute which can be observed in the retail store (pre- purchase), emphasizing apple varieties may be a good vehicle for promoting the excellent flavor of Michigan apples. This may be especially appropriate since flavor was shown to be the most important apple characteristic to the consumers who were interviewed. Chicago consumers were somewhat less likely than Detroit consumers to say that apple variety is very important to their apple purchasing decisions. There were 40% in Chicago versus 47% in Detroit who indicated that apple variety is very important. The array of apple 107 varieties offered by the Michigan apple industry may therefore be less important to Chicago consumers than it is to Detroit consumers. Education about the differences and importance of apple varieties may be especially needed in Chicago in order to increase the appreciation of Michigan apple varieties in this market. The greater importance of apple varieties to Detroit consumers could be a result of Michigan consumers having some innate loyalty to Michigan apples because Michigan positions itself as ”the Variety State." The availability of local cidermills and direct market orchards near Detroit may also contribute to a greater appreciation of apple varieties by some consumers. Michigan consumers who visit U-Pick and other orchard operations are often exposed to more apple varieties than are consumers who have only purchased apples from grocery stores. This idea was supported by' the anecdotes of some focus group participants who said that they greatly increased their knowledge and appreciation of apple varieties after visiting local orchards and talking with orchard personnel. Different age groups also showed different levels of interest in apple varieties (see Table 25). Consumers in the oldest age group were the most likely to say that apple variety is very important to them in their apple purchase decisions. While 53% of the consumers over age 60 said that variety is very important, only 39% of all consumers under age 60 attached that much importance to variety. The percentage of consumers over age 60 who said that apple variety is very important is statistically significantly higher than the rest of the sample at a significance level of 99%. The greater importance of apple variety to older consumers suggests that this older age group may be especially interested in the wide variety selection offered by the Michigan Apple Industry. Consumer promotions about Michigan varieties which are targeted at this older age group may be particularly effective. While older consumers may be more likely to consider variety very important to their decision to buy apples, consumers in the youngest age group were especially likely to say that apple variety-is not Important (see Table 25). Of the surveyed consumers between the ages 108 Table 25 Importance of Variety Across Age Groups Importance of Variety Across Age Groups r in 18-29 M 40-49 532-319 60+ mg) very important 34% 38% 42% 41% 53% 44% somewhat 33% 41% 37% 36% 26% 34% important not important 34% 21% 21% 21% 20% 22% of 18 and 29. 34% said that variety is not important to them which compares to only 21 % of consumers in other age categories who said that apple variety is not important. This percentage of young consumers who said that variety is not important is statistically significantly greater than that of the rest of the sample (significant to 99%). The larger proportion of younger consumers who said that variety is not important to them implies that these consumers may be less appreciative of the wide selection of apple varieties offered by the Michigan Apple Industry. They may be content with the two to three apple varieties marketed in large volumes from other growing regions. With the indicated lesser importance of apple varieties among younger consumers, the MAI may want to provide education about the state's varieties to this age group. This may help to build more appreciation of the MAI's apple variety selection with these young consumers who are potentially long term consumers. Variety education programs in schools may also contribute to a long-term market for the MAI's distinctive apple varieties. However, concentrating educational efforts on age groups which are more pre-disposed to appreciating apple varieties (such as older consumers) may be more effective, especiallygiven the increase in population expected for older age groups (see section 2.4.2). 5.2.6 Size. The issue of fruit size is a particularly important one for the Michigan Apple Industry. Due in part to the climatic conditions of Michigan, apple growers in the state tend to produce a higher percentage of medium sized fruit compared to Washington. Because many 109 retailers emphasize large fruit, Michigan apples are at somewhat of a disadvantage in this respect. Previous research projects and focus group sessions indicated that there may be a segment of the population that prefers smaller or medium sized fruit rather than larger fruit. In particular, some consumers in the focus groups with small children expressed concerns about their children's ability to eat an entire large apple. Several consumers in the focus group sessions said that their children could not finish eating a very large apple, and that it would end up being wasted. This may be a good market for Michigan to target. The consumers who were interviewed during the telephone survey did not seem to place a great deal of importance on the size of apples. Only 20% of the consumers who were interviewed said that size is very important, and another 39% said that it is somewhat important. Fully 41 % said that it is not important to them in their decision to buy fresh apples. This size characteristic was one of the lowest rated attributes of any explored in the telephone survey. To the rather significant group to whom size is not important, the large fruit which are emphasized by many produce buyers would not seem to be especially important. Since apple size when compared to other apple characteristics was shown to be relatively less important. perhaps less emphasis on the largest sizes should be considered in apple marketing. advertising and promotions. In this discussion about the relative unimportance of size to the consumers surveyed, it is important to note the implied preference for large sized apples that was observed by Connecticut researchers. Consumers in that study who were asked to choose one apple from a series of pairs tended to choose the larger of the two fruit.“ This supports the traditional emphasis which much of the trade places on larger apples. In our recent survey, there appears to be some difference in the importance of apple size among certain age groups (see Table 26). Younger consumers were more likely than ”Leonard and Wadsworth. 110 others to say that apple size is very important to them for their apple purchase decisions. While 30% of the consumers aged 18 to 29 said that size is very important, only 18% of the consumers over age 30 said that size is very important. These differences in responses by consumers aged 18-29 is statistically significantly higher than that of consumers over 30 who said that apple size is very important (statistically significant at over the 99% level). Satisfying the strong size preferences of the youngest group of consumers may require more attention to larger sized apples. Table 26 Importance of Size Across Age Groups Importance of Size Across Age Groups mm 1.2-2—9 3&32 4_0:.&2 5.0;22 22:. 191:! very important 30% 14% 15% 19% 23% 20% somewhat 45% 43% 42% 41 % 30% 39% Important not important 25% 42% 43% 40% 48% 41 % 5.2.7 Price. Price is another product attribute which has traditionally been emphasized in apple marketing. Results of this survey indicate that a number of other apple characteristics are more important to consumers than price. Of the consumers interviewed, 36% said that price is very important to them, and another 40% said that price is somewhat important. Thus 76% of the consumers surveyed said that price was at least somewhat important. However, flavor, crispness, and freedom from bruising and blemishes was said to be very important to 80-90% of the consumers surveyed. The study results show a large portion of the sample of consumers who rate flavor and condition as being more important to their purchasing decisions than price. In addition, most of the consumers who said that price is very important also said that flavor, freedom from bruises and blemishes, and crispness are also very important to them. This suggests that while price is an important consideration for these consumers, it is only one of several important 111 aspects. These consumers may not want to sacrifice the flavor or condition of their apples for the sake of lower price. There appears to be a large portion of the sampled consumers who rate flavor and condition as being as important or more important to them than price. Competing with heavy emphasis on the price with less emphasis on these other, apparently more important, apple attributes may not be the most effective strategy for apple marketers. There is also a group of consumers, 24% of the sample, who said that price is not important to their decision to buy apples. This group of consumers may pay a premium price for apples with more desired attributes such as flavor and crispness. Crosstabulations of the importance of price across some demographic segments suggest that some groups of consumers are more concerned with apple prices than are others. There are some differences in the importance of price across income segments and age groups. Table 27 Importance of Price Across Income Segments Importance of Price Across Income Segments imam: .29: §_.__12 500- .$._.__22 500- M £529.02 19.15! m 12,499 22 499 34,999 49,992 i very 46% 54% 34% 33% 25% 36% some- 26% 28% 41 % 43% 50% 40% what not 28% 18% 25% 24% 25% 24% One might expect that consumers in the lowest income segments would be the most likely to say that price is very important. That pattern was confirmed by the telephone survey results. Consumers with incomes less than $22,499 were in fact more likely than others to say that apple price is very important to them (see Table 27). In all income segments, however, there is a significant proportion of consumers who said that apple price is not important to them in their decisions to buy apples. 112 While a fairly constant percentage of consumers across all income groups attach some importance to apple price, it seems to be less important to consumers with higher incomes. As incomes rise, consumers may still notice the price of apples, but it is likely to be only somewhat important rather than very important to them. To wealthier customers, in particular, price seems to be less important than a number of other apple characteristics. In marketing to wealthier areas, price may be less important to emphasise in marketing strategies than other apple characteristics. Lower income areas may be the most receptive to a lower price positioning. Crosstabulations across age groups show that price is more important to more of the oldest age group of consumers. Consumers over the age of 60 were especially likely to say that price is very important to them (see Table 28). The lower median income of consumers over age 65 (see Table 2) may help to explain this indicated greater concern with apple size. This group of consumers may be especially receptive to value priced apple promotions. As with Table 28 Importance of Price Across Age Groups Importance of Price Across Age Groups Latina 12:22 2932 59:12 59:52 20; 19131 very 28% 34% 33% 28% 44% 36% important someowhat 46% 43 % 44% 47% 31 % 40% important not 26% 22% 23% 25% 25% 24% important the income segments, there is an indicated group of 22%-26% of consumers in all age categories who said that apple price is not important to them.‘ The composite question about the importance of apple characteristics to consumers suggests that certain attributes which have traditionally been emphasized the most, Such as price, color and size, are not necessarily those apple characteristics which consumers say that they now value the most. Further observation of consumer preferences for fresh apples may 113 show a changing market currently and in the future for apples with less emphasis on large size, full red color and low prices and more emphasis on flavor, crispness, and freedom from bruising and blemishes. A McNemar test of related samples reveals that the percentage of consumers who said that various apple characteristics are very important to them varies significantly from attribute to attribute. Figure 5 illustrates the statistical differences between the various apple Statistical Equality of Apple Characteristics (99% slgnlflcanoe) 100 A m.’ 8 #4555553: ;353535253 9°” 533351 $333331: $352515 : : :':3:1 :5: : : : 3.3.1.3:3: 5553555553 :353535355 5555335555 m—sfsfsfsfsi E52??? E 53232323: 2:232:25 o p 3:355:35 5:32:35: 33355: 4391. n. 55523525: 2525255535 s's's'sisi $323532 41" 4° - 7 53515-3:- -:-:-:-:-: 3.13.3.3: 5:131:15: »: : : : 5‘ 3:35:35 5:35:53: 2333-5: 5255535355 5.5.5.553 3‘3‘3‘553§ 5553532323 2???? ”-5 ::s:.:.:.: 5:52:22 2:52:22: 5:22:32: 2.2.5.55: :3:1.-.-.1 l:3:':=:3: 3:23:21: :3:3:3:3:1 :':':':‘:l o c e .I. e eeeeeee I. e o I mulled l color I Orlap Variety Figure 5 Statistical Equality of Apple Characteristics characteristics. Flavor, which is in the "A' group statistically, was said to be very important to more people (90%) than freedom from bruising and blemishes (86%), which is in the '8' category. However, color and variety, which are both in the 'D' category, have statistically 114 equal percentages of consumers who said that they are very important to apples buying decisions. Flavor is clearly the characteristic which was given the most 'very important” ratings by the consumers surveyed. Freedom from bruising and blemishes and crispness are also rated significantly higher than many other characteristics. Evidence from this question helps to support the conclusion that these apple characteristics may deserve more emphasis in apple marketing. The statistically higher rating of apple condition (crispness) suggests that this apple characteristic may deserve somewhat more attention than the less highly rated characteristics of color and size, although because large percentages of consumers rated these attributes as "somewhat important” these warrant some continued emphasis. The fact that the percentage of surveyed consumers who said that price is 'very important" is significantly higher than the percent rating size as ”very important“ is interesting because it implies that a low price may draw some consumers away from apples which have a larger size but higher price. In fact, the importance of size and apple origin, as rated by the surveyed consumers, is statistically significantly lower than the importance of many other apple characteristics. A challenge to the fresh apple industry segment will continue to be to communicate the desirable post-purchase characteristics of apples, such as flavor and crispness, to consumers in the grocery store. This may involve continued attention to important pre-purchase apple attributes, especially freedom from bruising and blemishes, color, and variety along with high performance and information on flavor and crispness. 5.3 The relative unimportance of apple origin. Michigan and other apple producing states devote some promotional efforts to establishing their names as a type of 'brand' with apple consumers. Point of purchase materials in supermarkets often promote a particular state's apple, and some consumer advertising on radio or in newspapers has also been used. 115 The responses from this consumer survey indicate that promoting apples by their growing region focuses on an issue that is relatively unimportant to most consumers. When consumers were asked about the importance of several apple characteristics to their buying decisions, where the apple grown was the most likely to be considered not important by the consumers. Of the consumers surveyed, 65% said that where an apple was grown is not important to them. Only 16% said that it is very important to them, and 19% said that the origin of apples is somewhat important to their purchasing decision. There were many other apple attributes which appear to be more highly valued by consumers. Promotional strategies emphasizing these characteristics rather than where the apple was grown may target issues which are more important to consumers' buying decisions. The responses to other questions related to the origin of apples also suggest that consumers are not particularly concerned with where their apples are grown. In response to questions about purchasing or impressions of apples from different growing regions, many consumers said "don't know.“ The high levels of "don't know" responses to questions about apple origin suggest that some consumers are not accustomed to thinking of apples in terms of where the fruit was grown. When consumers were asked what words or images they thought of in connection with Michigan apples, 25% of the consumers answered "don't know." The percentage answering 'don't know“ was higher in Chicago than it was in Detroit, with 34% in Chicago versus 19% in the Michigan sample. This suggests that Michigan may not be established in many consumers' minds as a brand of apples. In another question related to the origin of apples, consumers were asked to compare Michigan apples to those from Washington. A substantial proportion of the consumers (38%) replied “don't know' to this question. As with the question about words associated with Michigan apples, more consumers in Chicago replied “don't know” than did Detroit consumers, 46% in Chicago compared with 32% in Detroit. The high rate of 'don't know" responses to 116 this question suggests an inability to differentiate between the two regions' apples, or perhaps that the origin of an apple is not a distinguishing characteristic. Given the apparent disinterest in the origin of apples by most consumers, promotional campaigns focusing on a more important characteristic such as flavor, crispness or variety may be more effective. However, the Michigan Apple Industry may wish to continue to promote the name "Michigan" in association with their apple promotions. Associating the Michigan 'brand' with one or more of the highly important apple characteristics may tie Michigan in with an apple attribute which is already established in the minds of consumers as being important. This may be easier than trying to establish the state of origin as an important factor in the decision to buy apples. Another conclusion which can be made on the basis of responses to the questions about growing regions is that consumers who do have opinions about the origin of apples tend to be positive about Michigan apples. 0f the consumers who were able to compare Michigan apples to those from Washington state, many said that Michigan apples were the same or better than Washington apples. This is good news for the Michigan Apple Industry. The MAI may be able to build on this positive image in future promotions. 5.4 The indicated preference for bulk display apples. Many of the consumers surveyed by telephone indicated they usually purchase apples from bulk retail displays where they choose the individual fruit. About 57% of the consumers surveyed said that they prefer to purchase apples from such bulk displays. Only 23% indicated a preference for buying bagged apples while 19% of the consumers surveyed said that they buy apples both ways. The MAI packs most of its fresh apples in bags rather than tray packs for bulk display, although there has been recent movement into more tray packs. The apparent preference of many consumers for bulk display apples suggests that even further emphasis on tray packed apples for this market may be justified. 1 17 Certain parts of the population may be more inclined to purchase the bagged apples which the MAI has traditionally produced. Promotions on which are targeted toward these market segments may be useful for the Michigan fresh apple industry. Households including children may be more inclined to purchase apples in bags than households without children. There were 49% of the surveyed households with children who indicated they purchase bagged apples at least some of the time while 39% of households without children said that they buy bagged apples most or some of the time. Promotions focused on children may target an especially receptive audience for bagged apples. 5.5 Suggestions for future research. The consumer market research described in this thesis provides some useful information for the Michigan Apple Industry. It also illuminates some issues which may deserve attention in future research. One point which could be explored by subsequent research is the importance of apple variety to consumers. Detroit area residents showed more of an interest in apple varieties than did Chicago consumers. Future consumer studies of markets farther from major apple producing regions may show even less interest in apple varieties. Markets more distant from Michigan may also be less familiar with the state's apple varieties. The relative importance of apple characteristics, and the specific preferences for these characteristics could also be investigated in more detail. The consumer telephone survey indicates that apple size and color are not especially important to consumers. This is not consistent with the traditional emphasis on large sized, highly red apples. More research on this issue could help to explain this situation, which may be changing substantially in the future. Consumer preferences information related to more specific sizes, such as medium rather than large fruit would be interesting to apple producers, as would greater detail on color preferences. 5.6 Closing comments. Market research about consumer preferences for fresh apples may help the fresh apple industry to deliver a product that best meets consumer demand. Some of the information generated by this research project can help the Michigan Apple 118 Industry as it plans for the future. It may also aid the development of future research studies about consumer preferences, particularly for apples. The consumer research presented in this thesis provides some information for the MAI as it faces the challenge of satisfying modern consumers. Espcially for an agricultural commodity such as fresh apples, which are not greatly transformed on the journey from farm to table, a solid understanding of changing consumer preferences is quite important to all segments of the industry, including producers, packers, shippers and other participants. These elements of the apple marketing chain shoulder much of the burden of delivering desirable fruit to the consumer. Unlike producers of commodities such as grains and oils, fresh apple producers and packers cannot rely on refining and processing to smooth over quality inconsistencies in their product. These producers may face increasing challenges in coming years as consumers continue to demand consistently high quality produce and competing supply regions continue to improve the quality of apples provided to meet these consumer demands. This market research project has indicated the relative importance of some apple attributes to consumers. Apple industry participants who are keeping their eyes on consumer demand for their product may wish to increase their emphasis on those qualities which were indicated by consumers to be of the greatest importance to their apple buying decisions. Further research may be needed to clarify some of these preferences, particularly for size and for other aspects of consumer behavior related to apple purchases. As the Michigan Apple Industry moves into the future, it may face increasing challenges from consumers who desire consistently high quality fruit. Other growing regions. especially Washington, will also adapt to meet these changing demands. The dynamic MAI, with the help of market research such as that reported in this thesis, will need to continue to adjust to meet consumer preferences. This responsiveness to the desires of consumers can add to the continued success of the Michigan Apple Industry in the fresh apple market. APPENDIX Detroit Metro Area and Chicago Consumer Phone Survey Crosstabs 121 O3. When you are deciding which apples to buy, what factors or apple characteristics are most important to you? Would you say that they are very important, somewhat important or m; important? Varign Table 29 Variety by Age . Detroit - 1§~29 30-39 40-49 50-59 37% 43% 45% some- 30% 41 % 37% 37% what not 33% 18% 20% 15% 11% Table 29 Variety by Age -- Chicago 1 8-29 39-39 49-49 §_O_-I-_ 29% 34% 41% 48% some- 37% 42% 36% 34% 21 % what not 34% 25% 22% 32% 31% Table 30 imam: very some- what not Table 31 very some- what “0t Table 32 VOW some- what not Variety by Age -- Both Markets 19-29 90-39 34% 38% 33% 41 % 34% 21 % Variety by Income -- Detroit §_Q;g 12 5 0 $12 4 ; $22,499 46% 60% 33% 26% 21% 14% Variety by Income -- Chicago ‘ £2 19 2.12.220 212.122 : M 27% 44% 27% 33% 46% 22% 122 42% 37% 21% $22,999 $34,999 42% 38% 18% 40% 25% 35% 41% 36% 21% $2.292 41% 42% 17% $2.222 40% 35% 25% 53% 26% 20% 42% 35% 23% 37% 35% 28% 123 Table 33 Variety by Income -- Both Markets im - 99m $12,500 $22,500 m 12 4 9 ; ; $22,499 $34 999 very 37% 53% 41 % some- 30% 29% 33% what not 33% 18% 24% Table 34 Variety by Gender -- Detroit tall—".9 ELIE. very important 42% somewhat important 3 5 % not important 22% Table 35 Variety by Gender -- Chicago Latins mam very important 33% somewhat important 31 % not important 36% $35,000 $45,925 41 % 39% 20% $50 + 40% 35% 25% O 124 Table 36 Variety by Gender -- Both Markets rati g very important somewhat important not important 9.9.9; 3 2’. m 38% 33% 28% Table 37 Color by Income -- Detroit Latina very important somewhat important ........................................................ £9 19 12 500- ‘2 4 m 38% 43% 29% 26% 33% 3.1%, ........... ......................... Table 38 Color by Income -- Chicago Latim very important somewhat important _$_Q IQ §12,§OQ- £12,499 £22,499 29% 52% 24% 11% §22,§QQ- §34,999 53% mm 46% 34% 20% ...................... ........... 125 Table 39 Color by Income -- Both Markets rating $Q-§12,4999 $12,500- $22,500- $35 000- $90M $34,999 $34,999 $49 999 very 33% 47% 51% 44% 42% important somewhat 27% 19% 21 % 26% 33% important not important 40% 34% 27% 30% 25% Table 40 Color by Age -- Detroit very 47% 44% 48% 40% 50% important somewhat 28% 28% 28% 34% 23% important not important 23% 28% 24% 24% 28% Table 41 Color by Age -- Chicago rating 1 5-23 gg-gg 4045 5.0.52 5.0m very 52% 49% 39% 42% 46% important somewhat 24% 20% 32% 27% 26% important not important 24% 32% 30% 32% 28% Table 42 Color by Age -- Both Markets mtmn _8_21 -2 3939. very 49% 46% important somewhat 27% 25% important not important 23% 29% Table 43 Color by Gender -- Detroit mm mile very important 43% somewhat important 28% not important 28% Table 44 Color by Gender -- Chicago ration __a_em I very important 40% somewhat important 24% not important 36% 126 27% 48% 24% 28% 127 Table 45 Color by Gender -- Both Markets ragi g male female very important 41 % 47% somewhat important 27 % 27 % not important 32 % 26% §i_ze 91 me mm Table 46 Size by Age -- Detroit rgti g 1 9-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 99 + very 30% 14% 16% 23% 16% important somewhat 43 % 44% 43 % 42% 31 % important 27% 426 41% 36% Table 47 Size by Age -- Chicago very 30% 15% 14% 15% 31% important somewhat 48% 42% 41 % 39% 28% important ................................... ................... ........... .................................. ................................... 128 Table 48 Size by Age -- Both Markets ration 12.22 1mm 5mm very 30% 1 4 % 1 5 % important somewhat 45 % 43 % 42 % important not 25 % 42 % 43 % important Table 49 Size by Income -- Detroit mine .12 ; L221 2 4 L2.5_0_9_1 - 1m - $24,499 $14,999 very 17% 6% 21 % important somewhat 33% 44% 37% important ............................................................... “MWWMM 50% 50% 42% 19% 41% 40% 23% 30% 48% .............. Table 50 Size by Income -- Chicago fall 9 _$_; §12,439 very 27 % important somewhat 27 % important not important 26% Table 51 Size by Income -- Both Markets rating $0-$12 499 very 22% important somewhat 30% important not important 48% $12 500- $24 499 11% 44% 44% 912,500- $24 499 8% 44% 48% Table 52 Size by Gender -- Detroit mtmn very important somewhat important not important mm 17% 41% 42% 129 $24,500- $34,999 33% 33% 35% $24 500- $34,999 25% 36% 40% §9§,090- $49,999 27% 27% 46% 232.299.: 18% 39% 44% 11% 50% 39% 17% 44% 39% 130 Table 53 Size by Gender -- Chicago mint: very important somewhat important not important male 22% 41% 37% Table 54 Size by Gender -- Both Markets Latina very important somewhat important not important Table 55 Size by Children in the Household -- Detroit mm very important somewhat important not important mil r nmmelmusmqld 18% 44% 38% 23% 35% 43% mcfldflniflmfi MM 18% 38% 44% 131 Table 61 Size by Children in the Household -- Chicago rating very important somewhat important not important 21% 43% 38% Table 57 Size by Children in the Household -- Both Markets rati g very important somewhat important not important children jg th household 19% 42% 39% Table 58 Price by Income -- Detroit ............ somewhat 30% important not important 26% 222.222 6% 42% 20% 26% {Lo chilgrgn E 1.112 hggsehold 20% 37% 43% ........... 26% ............ 22% 132 Table 59 Price by Income -- Chicago .atJr i 2M 12 4 §._._12 500- .$__._9_222 5 - 2.32.299.- 222.920; §_._9_22 4 9 1321.322 meme very 48% 54% 41 % 44% 18% important somewhat 22% 31 % 39% 35% 50% important noumportam % 15% 2M» Table 60 Price by Income -- Both Markets Latins M122 12 500- 5122.522; 222.929.- 252.209; §22,499 225.222 242.222 very 46% 54% 34% 33% 25% important somewhat 26% 28% 41 % 43% 50% important not important 28% 18% 25% 24% 25% Table 61 Price by Age -- Detroit 18.22 10.12 _0_a4 -4 28% 31% 31% somewhat 47% 48% 43% 50% 33% important not important 25% 21 % 26% 26% 23% Table 62 Price by Age -- Chicago somewhat 45% important not important 28% Table 63 Price by Age -- Both Markets rati 9 18-29 very 28% important somewhat 46% important not important 26% 133 23% 28% 47% 25% 28% 44% 31% 25% 134 Table 64 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Detroit. Lain M319 92% at 21.62 09! mm m 91 ho_me 3.1112 Mme 27% 40% somewhat important 46% 39% not important 27% 21 % Table 65 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Chicago. Latino MLOf—kifln M Di 1'12 not mention 911121519 21 (moms m: M 3.25% #395 somewhat important 42 % 33 % not important 27 % 24 % Table 66 Price by Working Outside of the Home -- Both Markets 13th _9__Qwrkin mam 052141.339er 99.120991 home 1115th m very important 29% 42% somewhat important 45% 37% not important 27% 22% Table 67 Price by Gender -- Detroit rating very important somewhat important not important Table 68 Price by Gender -- Chicago rating very important somewhat important not important male 37% 38% 26% 135 Table 69 Price by Gender -- Both Markets thnn very important somewhat important not important male 31 % 40% 29% 37% 41 % 22% 136 Table 70 Price by the Presence of Children -- Detroit [911119 children i_e th_e household m Mm i_n me hoesehele very important 34% 33% somewhat important 44% 42% not important 22% 25% Table 71 Price by the Presence of Children -- Chicago [11109 20er i2 311.6 _9.U_$__9_dh eh l .19 MM is me mum: very important 42% 36% somewhat important 37% 37% not important 21 % 27% Table 72 Price by the Presence of Children -- Both Markets reti g children m th_e houeehelg Q9 hil r n jg th_e 11.925.111.010 very important 37% 34% somewhat important 42% 40% not important 21 % 26% 137 04. Do you usually purchase apples in bags or from displays where you choose the individual fruit [or both]? Table 73 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Detroit n w r children 32 the household _l'_I_Q hil r n i_tne h h I bulk 49% 59% both 20% 16% Table 74 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Chicago 3.03m; children in m M0 0.0 9__.d_e_hi| r n i. the h h I 23% 13% bulk 55% 65% both 23% 22% Table 75 How Apples Are Purchased by the Presence of Children -- Both Markets n w r ehildren jg th_e hegsehelg gg ehilgren jg the new bags 28% 21 % bulk 51 % 61 % both 21 % 18% 138 Table 76 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Detroit m me 039 40-4 M §_Q_+_ bags 23% 35% 30% 23% 25% Wk 35% 47% 49% 60% 53% both 12% 18% 21 % 18% 16% Table 77 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Chicago Lama 12-_2_2 M M 50319 59; bags 21% 15% 15% 12% 15% bulk 67% 55% 71% 59% 60% both 12% 30% 14% 29% 25% Table 78 How Apples Are Purchased by Age -- Both Markets mm 1.822 29.-22 59.92 5.1252 22: bags 22% 28% 25% 18% 21 % bulk 66% 50% 57% 59% 59% both 12% 32% 18% 22% 20% Table 79 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Detroit bags bulk both Table 80 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Chicago n w r bags bulk both Table 81 3mm; bags bulk both al 3 co 14% 58% 28% LE:- 22% 58% 20% 139 How Apples Are Purchased by Gender -- Both Markets Table 82 bags bulk both Table 83 new bags bulk both Table 84 bags bulk both 140 How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Detroit 99; 912,599- 922,500- 0 0- $5 + 12 4 922,499 $94,999 $49,999 33% 23% 30% 32% 23% 50% 57% 51% 51% 59% 17% 20% 18% 17% 19% How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Chicago 9% 912,500- $22,590- $35,900- 159,999 912,499 $22,499 $34,999 $4 9 35% 19% 30% 11% 7% 39% 48% 53% 70% 71% 26% 33% 18% 19% 22% How Apples Are Purchased Across Income Segments -- Both Markets 32 £2220. $29.0. 222.929.- 222.2% §.].2A2.2 £22.02 §2_.222 24.2.222 34% 21 % 30% 24% 17% 45% 53% 52% 58% 63% 21% 26% 18% 18% 20% 141 05. How do you usually use fresh apples? For eating fresh or for cooking (or both)? Table 85 How Apples Are Used By Gender —- Detroit 0 W r mam £12181: fresh 75% 54% cooking 3 % 5 % both 22% 42% Table 86 How Apples Are Used by Gender -- Chicago w cooking 0% 4% both 1 9% 35% Table 87 How Apples Are Used by Gender -- Both Markets 30mm 4.5m I female fresh 77% 60% cooking 2% 4% both 21 % 39% Table 88 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Detroit cooking both Table 89 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Chicago .......... . - a ............ ............ cooking both 142 werking eutsige g_f_ me home werking eutside 9_f me home 101me rkin pmsidepi menszme mmofldmmsidenf meheme .......... ........... ............ Table 90 How Apples Are Used by Employment -- Both Markets fresh cooking both _.L_QW rkin amide 91 the heme 71% 2% 27% nmmkhnmnsisleef 1mm 55% 5% 40% Table 91 answer fresh cooking both 143 ghildren i_n th household 62% 1% 37% Use by The Presence of Children in the Household -- Detroit 2 q 3 n9 mm h u h l 59% 6% 35% Table 92 Use by the Presence of Children in the Household -- Chicago §fl§W§f fresh cooking both 30% Table 93 Use by the Presence of Children in the Household -- Both Markets am fresh cooking both 2.__e_hi|dr n m the Lumbar! 65% 1% 34% no ghilgrgn in th_e Museum 62% 5% 33% Table 94 Use by Income -- Detroit n w r £22,499 fresh 29% 57% cooking 33% 6% both 38% 37% ............... ............ Table 95 Use by Income -- Chicago angwgr £Q-£12,499 £12,509- £22,499 fresh 83% 78% cooking 4% 4% both 13% 19% Table 96 Use by Income -- Both Markets M £O-£12,499 £12,999- £22,499 fresh 55% 66% cooking 19% 5% both 26% 29% 144 $22,500- 334.999 62% 1% 37% $22,999- games 55% 3% 43% £22,990- £34,999 59% 2% 39% 65% 3% 32% 26% 30% 68% 2% 31 % 67% 1% 32% 68% 1% 31%3 145 Table 97 Use by Age -- Detroit am 1&29 3M 40_-4& M2 fresh 75% 69% 60% 66% cooking 3% 2% 1 % 2% both 22% 29% 39% 32% Table 98 Use by Age -- Chicago 0 W r 1.812 M M 5.9;59 5.0; fresh 74% 68% 78% 61% 59% cooking 2% 2% 2% 5% 3% both 24% 30% 20% 34% 38% Table 99 Use by Age -- Both Markets n w r m2: m M 59:52 on fresh 75% 69% 67% 64% 50% cooking 3% 2% 1 % 3% 7% both 23% 30% 32% 33% 43% 146 08. Which of the following apple varieties are you familiar with? Table 100 Familiarity With Jonathan by Age midget Detroit Chicago All Markets Table 101 mm Detroit Chicago All Markets Table 102 Familiarity VWth ldared by Age masses Detroit Chicago All Markets J_8;2_9 63% 62% 63% Familiarity With Home by Age 1812 38% 33% 36% 18:22 57% 31 % 46% 99-99 83% 85 % 84% 3953.3 72% 62% 68% m 62% 32% 51% 4 -49 87% 90% 88% 84% 98% 89% 76% 71% 74% 57% 22% 43% 95% 90% 93% 82% 78% 80% 71% 35% 55% 147 Table 103 Familiarity Wlth Empire by Age market 1&29 M9 M9 Detroit 33% 60% 64% Chicago 19% 39% 27 % All Markets 28% 53% 51 % Table 104 Familiarity Wlth Empire by Income m £Q-£12,599 $12,500- 22 £22,499 M Detroit 79% 54% 58% Chicago 30% 30% 30% All Markets 55% 44% 48% Table 105 Familiarity Wlth Paulared by Age market 13.-.22 323.2 M9 Detroit 32% 35% 32% Chicago 12% 21 % 20% All Markets 24% 30% 28% 50-59 52% 22% 40% 36% 27% 32% 65% 29% 49% 59% 40% 52% 47% 20% 35% 148 Table 106 Familiarity Wlth Jonagold by Income MEGS £Q-£12,499 £12,500- $22,509- $22,499 $34,999 Detroit 42% 23% 22% Chicago 17% 30% 23% All Markets 30% 26% 22% Table 107 Familiarity With Jonamac by Income maflsaj W $2.599; £25.02 £22,499 $34,999 Detroit 8% 29% 27% Chicago 0% 19% 15% All Markets 4% 24% 23% Table 108 Familiarity Mth Fuji by Age mm M 3.9.3.2 M9 Detroit 12% 15% 14% Chicago 10% 26% 1 5% All Markets 1 1% 19% 15% $3 0- $4 9 27% 26% 27% 24% 24% 24% 33% 30% 32% 26% 15% 22% 22% 22% 22% 149 Table 109 Familiarity With Fuji by Income £Q-£12,499 £12,500- £22,509- mkit £22,499 $34,999 Detroit 1 7% 9% 14% Chicago 9% 1 5% 20% All Markets 13% 1 1 % 16% Table 110 Familiarity With Braeburn by Age m 1.8;2_9 £3.12 40_-49 Detroit 3 % 5 % 1 1 % Chicago 5 % 8% 1 4% All Markets 4% 6 % 1 2 % £35,990- $49,999 14% 28% 19% 19% 15% 18% 24% 16% 21% 10% 15% 13% 150 Focus Group Questions 1. When you think of apples, what words come to mind? 2. When you are deciding which apples to buy, what characteristics of the apple are most important to you, such as size, color? 3. What MEI! characteristics are most important to you in your apple purchase decisions? 4. When you are deciding which apples to buy, what aspects of the store are most important to you, such as price, display, etc.? 5. When you think of Michigan apples, what words come to mind? 6. How do you compare Michigan apples to apples from other growing regions, such as Washington state? Why? 7. What are your perceptions about apples as part of a nutritious diet? 8. When you think of apple varieties, which ones come to mind? Please write them down on a piece of paper...please check the varieties that you purchase regularly. 9. Now, would you please tell us which varieties you checked as those that you regularly purchase? Why do you prefer these varieties? 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