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K . thias Ifllllllllll Illlllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll 3 1293 017076 This is to certify that the dissertation entitled TAX INCENTIVES AND THE COST OF CAPITAL ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: A PERSPECTIVE OF THE U.S. SUBSIDIARY IN KOREA presented by Younghoon Sea has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph . D . degree in Economiea. aka KW Major professor Date Iffllcyf /C} ?X MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution 0- 12771 LIBRARY ' Michigan State University PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. to AVOID FINES return on or before date due. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE JUL ti. 11 “£334 ‘ c i u- A CI “1 Val" FEB 0 5 2000 ma W969.“ TAX INCENTIVES AND THE COST OF CAPITAL ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: A PERSPECTIVE OF THE U.S. SUBSIDIARY IN KOREA By Younghoon Seo A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Economics 1998 ABSTRACT TAX INCENTIVES AND THE COST OF CAPITAL ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: A PERSPECTIVE OF THE U.S. SUBSIDIARY IN KOREA Younghoon Seo This paper develops the transnational cost-of-capital model for the U.S. subsidiary operating in Korea, taking into account various transnational financial methods and the international taxation. It also considers all tax benefits prevailing in Korea, with a particular emphasis on tax holidays. Furthermore, I incorporate the real data on the exchange rate and interest rates, and different tax bases into the cost-of- capital model, for more adequate calculation. Our cost-of-capital calculations show that the cost of capital is very sensitive to price changes, interest rates, and the exchange rate. In addition, the cost of capital varies significantly to different sources of financing. The U. S. subsidiary and domestic firm have a cost advantage over the Korean domestic firm. Most authors conclude that equity financing is more costly than any other financing. However, this is not the case for the U.S. subsidiary operating in Korea. The result shows that the cost of capital for the U.S. subsidiary financed by new-share issues is not much higher (and is sometimes even lower) than those financed by retained earnings, local borrowing, and an intercompany loan. I extend the cost-of-capital model to capture tax savings from tax holidays correctly. I find that the cost of capital under the tax holiday varies significantly to different financing methods. While the benefit of the tax holiday for the investment financed by retained earnings or an intercompany loan is very substantial, the investment financed by new shares is penalized under the tax holiday. Finally, my econometric results indicate that the Korean tax policy has an effect on total FDI and Japanese direct investment, but not on U.S. direct investment in Korea. The only significant factors in determining the U.S. direct investment are the government regulation and tariffs. The tariff variable work well in regression models, as a proxy of the degree of openness on trade. This estimation result implies that capital-exporting countries, including the U.S. and Japan, have invested in Korea for the purpose of supplying the Korean market, and importing raw materials from third countries and exporting their products to third countries. Dedicated to My father, Seong-Ryul Seo My mother, J eong-Ok Kim iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to express appreciation to all committee members, Charles Ballard, Steven Matusz, and Leslie Papke. Their suggestions and guidance were invaluable in completing my dissertation. I am particularly grateful to Charles Ballard, my dissertation chair person, for his thoughtful and extensive comments on my dissertation. Without his patience, support and encouragement, the completion of my dissertation would have been impossible. Friends at the university, particularly, Hee-Chan Lee, Soo-Jong Kim, and Su- Ryeol Ryu deserve my thanks for fiiendship and discussion on economic topics. I am especially gratefiil to my wife, Hyekyung Na, for her unconditional love and understanding over the years. My parents-in-law have been consistently gracious and helpfiil for the completion of my dissertation. Finally, I would like to express my best thanks to my mother, who is sick in bed, for her invaluable support and prayer. Without my father and mother’s encouragement and countless sacrifices, I could not have finished my dissertation. TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................... viii LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................. x CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................... 1 1-1. Literature Review for the Domestic Cost-of-Capital Model ................. 2 1-2. Literature Review for the Cost-of-Capital Model Including Risk .......... 6 1-3. Literature Review for the Transnational Cost-of-Capital Model ............ 9 CHAPTER 2 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KOREA .................. 17 2-1. Overview of the Tax Policy and the Position of FDI in Korea ............ 17 2-2. The Structure of FDI in Korea ................................................ 21 2-3. Tax Incentive Provisions in Korea ............................................ 25 2-3-1 Investment Tax Credits ............................................... 25 2-3 -2. Income Deduction from New-Share Issues ....................... 26 2-3-3. Special Depreciation .................................................. 28 2-3-4. Immediate Expensing ................................................. 29 2-3-5. Tax-Free Reserves .................................................... 30 2-3-6. Tax Holiday ........................................................... 31 CHAPTER 3 THE DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL ............................ 33 3-1. Post-Tax Rate of Return ........................................................ 35 3-2. Transnational Cost of Capital .................................................. 40 CHAPTER 4 THE MODEL WITH TAX HOLIDAYS ........................... 66 4-1. Transnational Cost-of-Capita] Model with Tax Holidays .................. 67 4-2. Effective Transnational Cost-of-Capital Model with Tax Holidays ....... 76 CHAPTER 5 SOURCES OF DATA .................................................... 83 5-1. Data Sources for Korean Firms ............................................... 83 5-1-1. Corporate Tax Rates ................................................ 83 5-1-2. Personal Tax Rates .................................................. 84 5-1-3. Depreciation Allowances ........................................... 89 5-1-4. Parameters Associated with Price and Financial Data .......... 90 5-2. Data Sources for U.S. Parent Firms ......................................... 92 5-2-1. Corporate Tax Rates in U.S. ...................................... 92 5-2-2. Personal Tax Rates in the U.S. ................................... 92 5-2-3. Depreciation Allowances and Investment Tax Credits in the U.S. ......................... 94 TABLE OF CONTENTS (cont’d) 5-2-4. Parameters Associated with Price and Financial Data in the U.S. ....................... 97 5-2-5. Data Sources for Transnational Investment ....................... 97 CHAPTER 6 CALCULATIONS OF EFFECTIVE TAX RATE ‘ AND COST OF CAPITAL ...................................... 98 6-1. Comparison of Effective Tax Rates in Korea and the United States ...... 98 6-2. Comparison of Costs of Capital in Korea and the United States ......... 107 CHAPTER 7 DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KOREA .................................... 138 7-1. Empirical Model and Results ................................................ 142 CHAPTER 8 CONCLUSIONS .......................................................... 163 APPENDIX .................................................................................... 166 REFERENCES ................................................................................ 174 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Difference between My Model and Those of Other Authors .................. 16 Table 2. Foreign Capital Inflows and Major Economic Indicators ....................... 19 Table 3. Composition of FDI in Korea by Sector .......................................... 23 Table 4. Composition of FDI in Korea by Investing Country ............................. 24 Table 5. Income Deduction from New-Share Issues ....................................... 27 Table 6. Different Notations between King and Fullerton and Seo ....................... 36 Table 7. Required Rates of Return under Different Financing Policies ................... 65 Table 8. Required Rate of Return under Tax Holidays .................................... 71 Table 9. Corporate Tax Rates in Korea ..................................................... 86 Table 10. Personal Tax Rates in Korea ...................................................... 88 Table 11. Tax and Price Parameters for the United States ................................ 93 Table 12. Depreciation Method Rules in the United States ............................... 95 Table 13. Estimation Results for Total FDI in Korea .................................... 148 Table 14. Estimation Results for Manufacturing of Total FDI in Korea ............... 149 Table 15. Estimation Results for Service of Total FDI in Korea ........................ 151 Table 16. Correlation Matrix of ETR ....................................................... 153 Table 17. Effects of Corporation Tax Rate and Tax Incentives ........................ 155 Table 18. Estimated Results for U.S. Direct Investment in Korea ...................... 159 Table 19. Estimated Results for Japanese Direct Investment ............................ 160 viii LIST OF TABLES (cont’d) Table 20. Classification of Industry ......................................................... 167 Table 21. Economic Depreciation Rates in the U.S. and Korea by Asset .............. 168 Table 22. Weights of Financing Methods ................................................... 169 Table 23. Interest Rates in the U.S. by Industry .......................................... 170 Table 24. Interest Rates in Korea by Industry ............................................. 172 Table 25. Data Used in the Regression Model ............................................. 174 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Cost of Capital for a New Investment under Tax Holidays .................... 77 Figure 2. Capital Accumulation under Tax Holidays ...................................... 78 Figure 3. Cost of Capital as the Ratio of Investment to Taxable Income Varies in Each Financing Method .......................................... 166 Figure 4. Effective Tax Rates in Korea by Asset ......................................... 102 Figure 5. Effective Tax Rates in Korea by Major Industry .............................. 103 Figure 6. Effective Tax Rates in the U.S. by Asset ....................................... 104 Figure 7. Effective Tax Rates in the U.S. by Major Industry ............................ 105 Figure 8. Coefficient Variation of ETRs in the U.S. and Korea ......................... 106 Figure 9. % Change of Price in the United States and Korea ............................ 117 Figure 10. Weighted Average of Interest Rates in the U.S. and Korea ................ 118 Figure 11. Trend of the Exchange Rate .................................................... 1 19 Figure 12. Comparison of the Weighted Average of Costs of Capital ............... 120 Figure 13. Comparison of Costs of Capital Financed by Retained Earnings ......... 121 Figure 14. Comparison of Costs of Capital Financed by Debt or Intercompany Loan ........................................... 122 Figure 15. Comparison of Costs of Capital Financed by New Share Issues .......... 123 Figure 16. Sensitivity of the Cost of Capital in a Deficient-Credit Position according to the Length of Deferral ..................................... 124 Figure 17 Figure 18 Figure 19 Figure 20 Figure 21 Figure 22 Figure 23 Figure 24 Figure 25 Figure 26 Figure 27 Figure 28 Figure 29 LIST OF FIGURES (cont’d) . Sensitivity of the Cost of Capital in an Excess-Credit Position according to the Length of Deferral ..................................... 125 . Costs of Capital in Korea by Major Industry ................................ 126 . Costs of Capital in Korea for Manufacturing I ............................... 127 . Costs of Capital in Korea for Manufacturing H .............................. 128 . Costs of Capital in the U.S. by Major Industry ............................... 129 . Costs of Capital in the U.S. for Manufacturing I ............................. 130 . Costs of Capital in the U.S. for Manufacturing H ............................ 131 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary by Major Industry ............... 132 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary in Manufacturing I ................ 133 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary in Manufacturing 11 ............... 134 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary with Tax Holidays by Major Industry .................................... 135 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary with Tax Holidays in Manufacturing I ..................................... 136 . Costs of Capital for the U.S. Subsidiary with Tax Holidays in Manufacturing 11 ................................... 137 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION The Korean economy is very sensitive to changes in the international economic environment, due to its heavy dependence on the international economy. As a result of the establishment of World Trade Organization (WTO), the world economy has been more liberalized and international economic integration has been accelerated. The recent financial crisis in Korea makes flotation of Korea’s currency, the won, sharply depreciated against the dollar. The Korean government has borrowed emergency firnds from International Monetary Fund (IMF) to cope with this crisis. For rapid stabilization of the economy under the IMF auspices, deregulation and the openings of capital markets will be accelerated in Korea. The ceiling on aggregate ownership of foreign investment in the Korean equity market will be increased from 26 percent in 1996 to 55 percent by the end of 1998. The removal of restrictions on international capital flows and the globalization of financial markets have focused attention on the role of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by multinational corporations. The analysis of FDI in Korea is closely related to tax policy. Tax policy influences investment decisions through its effect on the cost of capital and the returns to different activities. The tax system also affects the investment decisions of multinational firms, through a complicated interaction of home- and host-country taxation. Since the cost of capital plays a primary role in determining the investment decisions of firms, and since taxation is one of the most important factors in measuring the cost of capital, it is important to understand and compare how the tax systems may distort the investment decisions of firms in the two countries. This paper develops a transnational cost-of-capital model, taking into account various financial methods and international taxation. It also consider all tax benefits prevailing in Korea, with a particular emphasis on tax holidays, which are one of the popular incentives to foreign investments. By comparing the costs of capital among Korean firms operating in Korea, U.S. firms operating in the US, and U.S. subsidiaries with or without tax holidays in Korea, I verify which country of these two countries provide greater tax incentives and whether tax incentives in Korea have an important role in lowering the U.S. subsidiaries’ cost of capital. While estimating the transnational cost of capital, this paper examines the empirical effects of the cost of capital on foreign direct investment by using econometric methods. 1-1. Literature Review for the Domestic Cost-of-Capital Model In the neoclassical theory of investment, Jorgenson (1963) presents a theory of investment behavior analyzing the effect of taxation on the user cost of capital. The cost of capital defined by Jorgenson (1963) is the user cost of capital in production, equal to the Shadow price or implicit rental of one unit of capital service. In other words, the user cost of capital is the opportunity cost to a firm, as a consequence of owning a unit of capital. If there is no tax, the cost of capital is equal to the real rate of return plus the rate of depreciation. Taxes make the cost of capital more complicated to calculate. Hall and Jorgenson (1967) study the effects of changes in tax policy on investment for major tax reform, using the cost-of-capital model. They find that the effects on investment of the adoption of accelerated depreciation methods in 1954 were very significant. The effects of the reduction of lifetimes used for calculating depreciation on equipment and machinery in 1962 were also significant. Finally, the effects on investment behavior of the investment tax credit (ITC) of 1962 were very substantial. Auerbach (1979, 1983), and King and Fullerton (1984) have attempted to incorporate personal capital income taxes and the firm’s financial behavior into the cost-of-capital model. Auerbach (1979) adopts the wealth—maximization approach to derive the cost of capital, and reviews the investment and financial behavior of firms in the presence of differential taxation of dividends and capital gains. He shows that the cost of capital does not depend on either the dividend payout rate or the rate of dividend taxation, on the assumption that there is no new share issues. Auerbach (1983) also studies the effects of taxation on the incentive to invest via the cost of capital, taking into account the role of inflation, adjustment costs of capital stock, uncertainty related to the expected rate of return and the effects of bankruptcy, and tax-law asymmetries with respect to capital gains and losses. His discussions give a very insightful guide for future studies. However, Auerbach’s wealth-maximization approach ignores the role of new share issues to finance a new investment. His “trapped-equity” model cannot explain share repurchases. Bagwell and Shoven (1989) indicate that share repurchases have been extremely large in some years (especially in 1987). They also argue that the cost of capital financed by retained earnings must be adjusted upwards if more efficient tax means of cash transmission1 are allowed. King and Fullerton use the cost-of-capital model to compute effective tax rates (ETR) for four countries: the United Kingdom, Sweden, West Germany, and the United States. They derive the cost of capital, by equating the present discounted value of the profits of the project with the cost of the project. In their approach, the gross marginal rate of return (MRR) is constant over time, and it is the same as the cost of capital. King and Fullerton examine the variations in ETRs for different assets, sources of finance, and ownership categories in each country. They find that the weighted-average ETR for 81 hypothetical projects is the lowest in the United Kingdom, followed by Sweden, the United States, and Germany. This is because the United Kingdom allows loo-percent expensing for machinery, and because the United Kingdom has the highest share of machinery in the capital stock. The Swedish government provides 30-percent expensing for machinery, and an 11-percent investment tax credit (ITC). The effective tax rate depends on the special incentive policy and the weights of the capital stock. King and Fullerton also find that the ETR is strikingly low for debt-financed investments, when compared to other sources of finance, in all four countries. This I Annual cash distributions, such as share repurchases and cash via merge and acquisition, are subject to small tax burdens. See Bagwell and Shoven (1989). ‘14 b the. reflects the fact that interest payments are deducted from the corporate tax base. In addition, they find that the rate of inflation affects the ETRS in four countries, through the real value of depreciation allowances, nominal interest rate, and the nominal value of inventories.2 Tajika andSYui (1988) compare the effects of taxation on the cost of capital and the effective tax rate between manufacturing in the United States and Japan. Their analysis incorporates tax-free reserves,3 which is the typical incentive policy in Japan. They find that under constant prices the effective tax rate in the U. S. manufacturing is lower than that in comparable Japanese manufacturing from 1972 to 1984. This result can be explained as follows. The effects of the tax-free reserves, which are only an active incentive policy in Japan, are relatively small when compared to the effects of the ITC and the Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS) in the U.S. However, unlike the results under constant prices, Tajika and Yui Show that, under actual prices, the difference between the costs of capital in the United States and Japan fluctuated over time. The effects of tax incentives on the cost of capital are ofl‘set by the high rate of return on equity and the high interest rates in the United States. Therefore, the cost of capital in the United States is sometimes higher and sometimes lower than that in Japan. They also find that the price changes in Japan seem to be more sensitive to external shocks (e. 3., oil shocks). 2 The effects of inflation on the ETRs operate in different directions and with different scale in each country. See more details in King and Fullerton, pp. 273 -275. 3 Corporations can defer their tax liabilities on the amount of certain reserves until they are added back to their taxable income. The tax-free reserves will certainly reduce the corporation tax burden by putting off the liabilities. 1-2. Literature Review for the Cost-of-Capital Model Including Risk All of the analyses discussed so far have assumed a certainty framework. However, we may have different results if we consider uncertainty regarding the fluctuation of the firm’s output and the price of capital goods. Fullerton and Gordon (1983) try to derive improved ETRs by using more disaggregated and extensive data, and by putting risk into the cost-of-capital framework. In the model of Fullerton and Gordon, the corporate tax provides a form of insurance to firms, because it shares in both the income and the losses of the firm. They simulate the effects of integration of the corporate tax with personal taxes. They find that the tax distortion caused by raising labor income taxes, in order to restore government revenue, would be greater than the tax efficiency gains through corporate tax integration. This is because the government would no longer share the risk under the method of corporate tax integration. However, Bulow and Summers (1984) point to a serious flaw in the augment of Fullerton and Gordon. Bulow and Summers argue that it is very important to distinguish between the two types of risk, which are income risk and capital risk, in the calculation of the cost of capital. With a fiill-loss-offsetting tax system, the government shares equally in both the profits and losses of the company. The cost of bearing income risk is thus fully deducted in a full loss offset tax system, and no additional distortions are introduced for income-risky investments. However, Bulow and Summers also point out that tax depreciation allowances in the United States are based on the acquisition price of the capital goods, and capital gains and losses are not indexed for inflation. This means that depreciation allowances and capital gains taxes do not fluctuate with unexpected changes in the replacement value of capital. The implication is that the tax system does not deduct the full cost of bearing capital risk. Therefore, an increase in capital risk can be thought of as increasing economic depreciation, thereby raises the cost of capital. The ETR for a capital-risky investment may be determined by replacing the rate of economic depreciation with the rate of economic depreciation plus a risk premium. Bernheim and Shoven (1989) take risk premia into account, and compare the costs of capital in the United States and Japan for autos and plants. Bernheim and Shoven make an explicit distinction between income risk and capital risk. They also emphasize the fact that the fraction of earnings that is paid out as dividends is a much higher fraction out of long-terrn earnings (50 percent) than of transitory earnings (2 percent), and they incorporate this into the cost-of-capital formula. They find that the higher cost of capital in the U.S. was attributed to the higher expected rate of inflation and the higher required rate of return on equity. Their empirical results Show that risk premia are a very decisive component of the cost of capital. Most of the authors to estimate the cost of capital considering risks have used the eamings—price ratio as a proxy of the expected rate of return on the market portfolio. But there are some problems with using the earnings-price ratio to describe the firm’s required return. One problem is that the earnings-price ratio is equal to the current required rate of return only if the required rate of return is constant over time. However, the required rate of return in the equity market may fluctuate. A second problem is that the observed earnings-price ratios reflect the stock market’s expectation of fiiture corporate growth, rather than the firm’s required return on equity. A third problem is that there is little or no evidence on the risk premium that equity investors require to hold a risky asset (see Poterba 1991). Fourth, because both Bulow and Summers, and Bernheim and Shoven divide assets only into a risky asset and a risk-free asset, the risk premium, if it exists, is the same across structures, machinery, or even inventories. This ignores the fact that the scale of risk is different across assets (such as machinery, equipment, structures, and inventory). A final problem is the assumptions of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) (see Sharpe (1970)) which summarizes the financial market’s required rate of return on securities of different riskiness. Under the assumptions of the CAPM, the required rate of return on all securities follows the returns on the capital-market line. Obviously, many factors affect the cost of capital including tax incentives, interest rate, and risk. However, many studies on the cost of capital have used only some of these factors, because it is difficult to incorporate all of these factors into an analytical framework. Many researchers underestimate or overestimate the real cost of capital, by ignoring industry-specific incentives and accounting rules. The Korean government frequently provides specific industries with special tax incentives. The analysis on different tax bases between countries is helpfirl to measure the cost of capital correctly. In my study, I incorporate various tax incentives, financial methods, and different accounting rules between countries into an analytical framework. However, I ignore risk factor, because it is difficult to get data on the expected rate of return for U.S. subsidiaries listed on the Korean Stock Exchange (KSE). 1-3. Literature Review for the Transnational Cost-of-Capital Model The analyses mentioned above are limited to domestic investment and taxation. Since the taxation of foreign source income depends on the international tax systems that commonly exist to reduce double taxation, the analysis of international tax systems is important in calculating the transnational cost of capital. Some countries (e.g., France and the Netherlands) practice the territorial system, under which the home country does not tax its own businesses on income generated outside its borders. Other countries, such as the United States, Canada, and Japan, use the global or residence system. These countries impose taxes on investment income if their residents earned abroad, but allow a credit for taxes paid to the foreign country. The United States allows a credit up to 34 percent. This credit is given in order to avoid double taxation. The United States also practices deferral of income tax of subsidiaries of U.S. corporations until their foreign-source incomes are repatriated, but branches of U.S. corporations are taxed on accrual (i.e., there is no deferral for branches). If the home country’s tax is greater than the foreign tax credit, the subsidiary has to pay the difference between the home country tax and the foreign tax credit only when its profits are repatriated. At this time, we say that the subsidiary is in a deficient foreign-tax-credit position. On the contrary, if the home country’s tax is less than the foreign tax credit, the subsidiary pays nothing to the home country, and the home country does not refiJnd foreign taxes in the excess of the domestic tax rate. We say that the subsidiary is in a excess foreign-tax-credit position at this time. The choice between the global and the territorial system affects tax revenues and the decision of firm’s investment. Suppose that companies for the U.S. and France operate in Korea, and that the corporate tax rate is 35 percent in both the U.S. and France, and 30 percent in Korea. A French company under territorial system pays a 30-percent tax on its profits to the Korean government, and does not pay tax to the home country. In contrast, the U.S. company under global system pays a 30-percent tax on its profits to the Korean government, and also pays 5-percent tax on its profits to the U.S. government. Because the U.S. company pays more tax for its foreign- source income, the U.S. company may be at a cost disadvantage. The global system may distort the company’s decision of investment more than the territorial system does. On the other hand, the French government does not collect any tax from remitted profits, but the U.S. raises tax revenue by 5 percent of remitted profits. Thus, a country that is a capital exporter may collect more revenue under the global system than the territorial system. Alworth (1988) extends the cost-of-capital model for investments made by multinationals. He specifies the tax parameters to take account of different methods of double-taxation relief, and reviews the financial policies of the UK. multinational firm in a King-Fullerton framework. He finds that UK. subsidiaries operating in Germany have an excess-credit position, which means that they fully use the foreign tax credit and they face a higher effective corporate tax rate than that faced by domestic firms in the UK. This is due to the tax rate in Germany, which is the highest among the European countries. The ETRs of UK. subsidiaries in Germany were largely influenced by the German tax system. Alworth also finds that the overall ETRs are 10 positively correlated with the rate of inflation. This result is very consistent with that of King-Fullerton (1984). Yun (1992) provides a framework for the analysis of the impact of taxation of income from foreign capital on a small capital-importing country, Korea, and estimates the ETRS of foreign investments, incorporating the various tax incentives prevailing in Korea. His estimated results Show that the ETR on foreign investment is negative, due to the generous tax treatments (e.g., accelerated depreciation for tax purpose and tax holiday) of foreign investments. But Yun’s result on the ETR on foreign capital is underestimated, because he fails to incorporate the home-country tax on the repatriation income from foreign subsidiaries in calculating ETR, and he also omits the double—taxation relief offered in the home country. Leechor and Mintz (1993) derive the user cost of capital for a subsidiary when the deferral method is used by the capital-exporting country. They show that both the home- and host-country tax systems influence the cost of capital for a subsidiary. They also find that the Hartman (1984) result, implying that the corporate tax of the home country has no effect on the repatriation of dividends if the subsidiaries finance their investments by retained earnings, holds only if the home and host countries have the same corporate tax base. His model neglects to incorporate equity transfers from the parents to the subsidiary into the cost-of-capital model, even though the proportion of investment financed by the parent’s new-share issues and intercompany loans is substantial in transnational investment. This proportion of U.S. subsidiaries operating in Korea is 37.3 percent for new-share issues, and 8.0 percent for intercompany loans (which are average values during 1977-1994). 11 Gerard (1993) generalizes King and Fullerton’s marginal effective tax rate model and extends it to transnational capital income. He argues that King and Fullerton’s methods might lead to an underestimation of the true ETR, because King and Fullerton ignore the possibility of non-price rationing phenomena. An Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development report (OECD, 1991) provided by Devereux and Pearson, allows for international comparisons of the cost of capital, by considering all of the main features of taxation and financial policy for both domestic and transnational investments. They use the King-Fullerton techniques to compute the cost of capital of a number of international investments. They find that, at least for European countries, differences in the costs of capital on international investments are very large. The average cost of capital on direct investment abroad is the highest in Portugal (9.9%), followed by Japan (8.0%), the U.S. (7.1%), and France (6.6%). Jun (1995) calculates the cost of capital for inbound and outbound direct investment in 11 major investing countries, with a particular attention to U.S. firms. He finds that U.S. firms operating in major foreign markets, on average, face about a 20-percent higher cost of capital for the foreign investment than that for the domestic investment in the United States. Therefore, U.S. firms operating in foreign markets are at a cost disadvantage, comparing with local firms in foreign markets. OECD (1991) and Jun (1995) use a S-percent hypothetical rate of interest. Furthermore, they assume that both the home and the host country have the same tax base. These may mislead the calculations of the cost of capital. 12 The existing studies are important advances in our understanding of the effects of taxation, and they provide an analytical guide for future discussion of tax reform. However, most of the studies relate to highly aggregated data, and most omit the home-country tax system from the analysis. In these studies, the analysis of the effects of taxes on FDI has been limited to a large open economy, and has not been applied to a developing country. Most authors focus on either the calculation of the cost of capital or on an econometric study. Unlike these authors, I carry out two analyses in a consistent framework. These are the theoretical analysis (which is on the effects of tax policy and finance methods on the cost of capital) and empirical analysis via an econometric study (which is on the effect of tax policy on foreign investment). In my study, I use a wealth-maximization approach (Auerbach (1979)) to derive the cost of capital. However, Auerbach ignores the difference of tax bases, which is incurred from various sources of financing. This is because Auerbach use a weighted average of the required rate of returns. Furthermore, he do not distinguish the difference between the costs of capital for retained earnings and new-share issues. To overcome the problems of Auerbach’s approach, I assume4 that savers provide funds to firms that perform investments, and that the savers face the same after-tax rate of return. Even under these assumptions, firms face the different required rate of return for different financing methods and industries, because I use actual interest rates across various industries and firms are subject to different tax burdens in various financing methods. 4 This assumption comes from King and Fullerton (1984). They use a fixed interest rate ( 5 percent in their calculation), regardless of various industries. Instead of a fixed rate, I use actual interest rates for various industries. For more detail discussions on King and Fullerton’s assumption, see pp.34-3 7. 13 The transnational cost-of-capital model I set up is similar to the model used in the OECD report (1991). The OECD study is limited to the manufacturing sector, and ignores the industry-specific incentives and accounting rule. I extend the OECD model to 21 industries and attempt to incorporate industry-specific incentives and accounting rules (which are tax holidays and different tax bases between the home and host countries). On the other hands, because the OECD report presents cost-of- capital calculations only under a weighted average of the required rates of return for retentions, new equity, and debt, it fails to analyze the difference among different tax bases, which come from different sources of financing. We cannot determine which financing method is at a cost advantage, from the OECD’s cost-of-capital calculation. On the contrary with the OECD report, I calculate the costs of capital separately for each kind of financing, then presents a weighted average of costs of capital. In Chapter 2, I will begin by evaluating the position of FDI in Korea, and then analyze the national tax policies toward foreign capital in Korea. Specifically, I will review the tax incentives for foreign capital in Korea. In Chapter 3, I incorporate international taxation, the exchange rate, and the various tax incentives that prevail in Korea, into the cost-of-capital model. Most studies assume that both the home and host countries have the same tax base. But I develop the cost-of-capital model, allowing for the tax bases to be different between the countries. In addition to using more recent and extensive data, I will calculate the cost of capital for more disaggregated industries. The most popular tax incentive for foreign capital in Korea is the tax holiday. Under the tax-holiday provision in Korea, the corporate tax rate, u, is zero for the 14 first 5 years, and it is 0.511 for the subsequent 3 years. The required rate of return and the repatriation tax rate on dividends, which depend on a varying corporate tax rate , also vary over time. Thus the tax holiday and international taxation make the cost-of- capital model more complicated. In Chapter 4, I extend the cost-of-capital model by incorporating time—variant tax parameters and international taxation. I discuss and present the sources of data, for Korean firms, U.S. domestic firms, and U.S. subsidiaries in Chapter 5 In Chapter 6, I examine whether the tax policy on FDI currently applied in Korea is generous, by comparing my estimated results of the costs of capital and effective tax rates between domestic firms and U.S. subsidiaries operating in Korea. Finally, I use econometric methods to study the empirical effects of taxation on FDI. In this study, FDI serves as a dependent variable, and the cost of capital is one of the independent variables. I incorporate various nontax factors in the econometric study, because nontax factors, such as the wage level, political risks, and exchange risks, have important effects on affecting FDI in other empirical studies. The goal of this study is to be very helpful in telling us how successful the tax policy has been in stimulating foreign capital investment. Table 1 shows the difference between my model and those of other authors. 15 Table 1. Difference Between My Model and Those of Other Authors ma- ‘4“. “to- ..c . . - Auerbach King and Chou and Wu OECD Seo (1979) Fullerton (1994) (1991) (1998) (1984) 1. Domestic Investment l-l. Difference among Tax NO NO YES NO YES Bases from Different Sources of Financing 1.2. Difference among the NO YES NO YES YES Requrred Rates of Return to different Sources of Financing 1-3. Special Incentives NO N O NO NO YES across Industries l-4. Disaggregation 3 27 l 21 1-5. Data Hypothetical Actual Data Hypothetical Actual Assumption Assumption Data 2. Transnational Investment 2-1.Transnational Sources NO NO NO A Weighted Different of Financing Average Rate Rates 2-2. Tax Deferral NO NO NO NO YES 2-3. Different Tax Base NO NO NO NO YES l6 CHAPTER 2 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KOREA 2-1. Overview of the Tax Policy and the Position of F D1 in Korea Since the launching of the First Five Year Plan in 1962, Korea has experienced rapid growth, due to the emphasis on exports and structural adjustment. High gross- national-saving ratios (39.3 percent of GDP in 1988) and investment ratios have accommodated its performance. Foreign capital has also played an important role in financing its economic development. In 1973, foreign capital inflows were 8 percent of GDP in Korea. As Table 2 indicates, most of foreign capital at the early stage of economic development was either government borrowing or government-guaranteed commercial loans. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) accounted for only a small fraction of capital inflows from abroad. The fraction of FDI in GDP was below 1 percent in Korea, except for 1973. This can be explained as follows. First, in the first 20 years after F DI into Korea began with the implementation of the Foreign Capital Inducement Act (F CIA) in 1961, the Korean government generally restricted FDI, while providing tax incentives for export-oriented investments and those deemed essential for the development of the Korean economy. Second, the government wanted to carry out 17 investment projects directly, in order to supply the severe deficiency of social overhead capital, and to improve industrial competition by accumulating technologies. Finally, the Korean government feared that foreign firms would have dominated the Korean economy unless domestic firms had competitive power over their foreign rivals. Political and social factors, in addition to economic factors, played great roles in changing the prime goal of government policy. For the first time, Korea suffered a negative growth rate of -4.8 percent in 1980, and FDI dropped to $256 million in 1980 from $473 million in 1979. To overcome this crisis, the government focused on a strong economic stabilization plan. Korea’s tax policy toward trade and FDI has gradually liberalized since 1980. In 1984, the Korean government amended FCIA extensively, from a positive system to a negative system, in order to attract FDI. A positive system is the policy that allows FDI only in certain investment sectors, while a negative system is the policy that all investments not listed in restricted fields of FDI are qualified for approval. An adoption of the negative system increased the ratio4 of liberalization in manufacturing sector from 80% to 86% in 1984 (Korea ’5 International Direct Investment 1995). After the implementation of the FCIA amendments in 1984, total FDI inflows during 1984-1988 more than doubled, relative to 1979-1983. The dramatic increase in FDI during the latter half of the 19805 is attributed both to the country’s booming domestic economy, which is related to the 1988 Seoul Olympics, and to improved market access for foreign enterprises. 4 The ratio of liberalization is defined as the ratio of unrestricted fields of FDI to total fields of FDI. 18 Table 2. Foreign Capital Inflows and Major Economic Indicators (“Constant millions of U.S. dollars” based on 1990 price, and “percent” ) Year GDP at Gross Gross Public Commercial Foreign1 FDI as a Market Investment Saving Loans Loans FDI Capital as a "/0 of GDP Price Ratio Ratio (A) (B) (c) % of GDP 1965 68278 15.1 7.4 114 798 137 1.54 0.20 1966 75455 21.9 12.0 1460 2200 280 5.22 0.37 1967 83707 22.3 11.6 1906 2230 198 5.18 0.24 1968 96223 26.2 15.3 1143 4377 310 6.06 0.32 1969 106538 29.2 19.1 2003 5909 187 7.60 0.18 1970 107069 27.0 17.5 1436 4582 824 6.39 0.77 1971 103819 25.4 15.5 3330 3791 473 7.31 0.46 1972 96472 21.8 15.8 3057 3075 575 6.95 0.60 1973 108640 25.6 23.6 3331 3810 1579 8.03 1.45 1974 115669 31.0 20.5 2452 3841 1032 6.34 0.89 1975 102814 28.6 18.1 2421 4066 315 6.62 0.31 1976 113551 26.5 24.2 2983 3510 356 6.03 0.31 1977 123185 28.3 27.5 2263 4416 363 5.72 0.29 1978 146310 32.5 29.9 2375 5561 294 5.62 0.20 1979 156914 35.8 28.5 2643 3830 473 4.43 0.30 1980 124339 31.9 23.2 2961 2740 256 4.79 0.21 1981 118427 29.9 22.9 2826 2085 254 4.36 0.21 1982 118147 28.9 24.4 2919 1428 202 3.85 0.17 1983 123770 29.4 27.6 2213 1441 181 3.10 0.15 1984 127477 30.6 29.9 2014 1214 273 1.17 0.21 1985 127978 30.3 29.8 1389 1308 319 2.36 0.25 1986 140877 29.2 33.7 1141 2101 619 2.74 0.44 1987 168292 30.0 37.3 1369 1923 773 2.42 0.46 1988 210652 31.1 39.3 1031 1144 1035 1.52 0.49 1989 244129 33.8 36.2 522 945 892 0.97 0.37 1990 253674 37.1 35.9 418 30 895 0.53 0.35 1991 267185 39.1 36.1 390 0 1069 0.55 0.40 1992 263644 36.8 34.9 416 128 688 0.47 0.26 1993 269628 35.2 35.2 340 0 851 0.44 0.32 1 Foreign capital is composed of public loans, commercial loans, and FDI. Therefore, the % of foreign capital is (A+B+C)/GDP Source: World Bank, World Table, various issues. Bank of Korea, Economic Statistic Yearbook, various issues. 19 To liberalize further, the Korean government implemented the automatic approval system, which exempted certain categories of F DI projects from government screening before approval. More industries have been opened to foreign investment, and various restrictions have been eliminated. By August, 1995, approximately 90.7 percent of all industry sectors (including 98.3 percent of manufacturing business)5 had been removed from the negative list (see more details in Korea ’s International Direct Investment 1995). The new government, which was launched in 1993, made a special effort to create a hospitable environment for FDI under “a Flag of Globalization”, by establishing a five-year FDI liberalization Plan in November, 1995 (implemented in 1996). This plan introduced a new incentive system. Currently, eligible foreign investors can choose either loo-percent special depreciation (which is a type of accelerated depreciation method) or a tax holiday. Tax incentives for foreign investors in Korea include a five-year tax holiday for corporate income, dividends, and royalties, as well as special depreciation, immediate expensing, and a tax-free investment reserve. As government restrictions on F DI are mitigated, the flow of foreign capital investment may become more responsive to tax incentives available in Korean markets, and analysis of the effects of taxation on FDI may be more important. 5 The liberalization ratio calculated from the asset values of Korean industries should be a more accurate measure. However, the data about the asset values for entire Korean industries is difficult to get. I think that the weighted average of the asset values has no distinctive variation with the reported value in the above. because the number of business in Korea are extremely large. 20 2-2. The Structure of F D1 in Korea Table 3 shows the sectoral distribution of FDI in Korea. In the 19603, FDI in Korea was concentrated in the light manufacturing and export industries. At that time, foreign investors were discouraged from investing in import-substituting industries. FDI in Korea has increased significantly since the middle 19805. The annual average of FDI during the period 1993-1995 is quadrupled relative to that of FDI during the period 1979-1985. This may be due to the deregulation and increased market demand in Korea. FDI inflows in the 19605 and 19705 were concentrated in a few manufacturing sectors, since FDI in most non-manufacturing industries was restricted. During the period 1962-1978, FDI into the manufacturing sector accounted for more than 80 percent of total inward FDI. Among the manufacturing sectors, more than 40 percent of total FDI in Korea was accounted for by textiles and clothing, electricity and electronics, and chemicals. Since 1980, the portions of chemicals, medicine, machinery, electricity and electronics, and transport equipment have increased or remained high, while those of textiles and clothing, and metals have decreased. These changes seem to reflect the structural changes of Korean industry in this period, from labor-intensive industries to capital- and technology-intensive sectors. In the service sector, the hotel industry attracted substantial FDI in the first half of 19805. This was due to the preparation for the 1988 Seoul Olympics. The portion of the service sector in total FDI increased with the increase of FDI in hotel industry. In the 19905, service-sector restrictions on foreign investors have lessened, and the relative importance of this sector has risen. Accordingly, FDI into the service sector 21 increased significantly, so as to take 57.9 percent of the total F DI during the period 1993-1995. Table 4 shows that Japan and the United States are the largest-investing countries in Korea. The composition of FDI in Korea by investing country has changed during the period 1962-1995. Although the U.S., Japan, and the Netherlands remain the largest investors in Korea, recent investments from European countries have increased, up to 25 percent of total FDI in Korea during the period 1994-1995. 22 Table 3. Composition of FDI in Korea by Sector (“Constant millions of U.S. dollars” based on 1990 price, and “percent”) Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Industry Average of Average of Average of Average of Average of Average of 1962-1965 1966-1972 1973-1978 1979-1985 1986-1992 1993-1995 Agriculture, Fishery, Forestry 0.0 0.0 12.0 1.0 4.3 0.2 Mining 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 The share of Manufacturing (‘70) 100.0 84.7 81.9 68.9 66.1 42.1 Manufacturing 73.2 282.0 539.6 194.4 563.5 464.4 Food 0.0 1.8 1.8 13.1 40.2 18.9 Textile & Clothing 5.6 31.7 154.8 1.7 12.9 17.2 Wood, pulp & paper products 0.0 0.0 1.4 3.9 5.3 22.8 Chemicals 33.8 77.7 81.0 52.8 116.5 136.0 Chemical fertilizer 0.0 0.0 10.2 2.0 0.0 0.3 Medicine 0.0 0.0 4.3 10.5 33.1 32.1 Petroleum 28.2 0.0 38.6 4.8 58.9 18.9 Non-metallic 0.0 26.1 6.6 3.7 15.2 20.0 Metals 0.0 13.8 38.3 10.0 9.7 7.9 Machinery 0.0 9.7 45.5 14.2 62.3 51.4 Electricity 8 Electronics 0.0 71.1 95.8 46.9 122.5 84.7 Transportation equipment 0.0 34.7 13.7 28.7 78.3 46.7 Other manufacturing 5.6 15.5 47.7 2.1 8.6 7.5 The share of Service (%) 0.0 15.3 16.1 30.7 33.4 57.8 Service 0.0 50.9 105.9 86.7 284.5 637.1 Financing 8 Insurance 0.0 7.0 18.7 36.9 86.4 202.9 Construction 0.0 19.5 13.7 8.3 2.0 5.0 Electric, gas 0.0 21.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 6.7 Transportation 8 Storage 0.0 1.3 3.3 6.0 1.3 3.1 Wholesale 8. Retail trade 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 2.8 57.1 Hotels 0.0 0.0 66.8 23.7 156.0 156.8 Restaurant 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 12.8 Trading 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.9 77.4 Other Services 0.0 1.6 0.0 8.9 12.2 115.4 Total 73.2 332.9 659.2 282.1 853.0 1101.8 ' Source: Ministry of Finance and Economy, Fiscal and Financial Statistics, various issues. The Korea Development Bank & Ministry of Finance (1993), Foreign Capital Inducement in Korea for 3 Oyears. 23 Table 4. Composition of FDI in Korea by Investing Country (Constant millions of U.S. dollars based on 1990 price) Year U.S. Japan Hong Kong Netherlands Germany UK France Others Total 96 US 96 Japan 1962-1965 68 90 0 0 0 0 0 135 293 23.1 30.8 1966 260 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 280 92.9 7.1 1967 180 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 198 90.9 9.1 1968 180 33 0 0 16 0 0 82 310 57.9 10.5 1969 86 72 0 0 0 0 0 29 187 46.2 38.5 1970 587 162 0 62 0 0 0 12 824 71.2 19.7 1971 187 198 0 11 0 0 0 77 473 39.5 41.9 1972 330 1 98 0 1 9 0 0 0 28 575 57.4 34.4 1973 99 1430 0 0 8 0 8 33 1579 6.3 90.6 1974 127 834 0 0 6 0 0 64 1032 12.3 80.9 1975 56 162 5 5 5 0 15 66 315 17.7 51.6 1976 117 205 4 8 4 13 0 4 356 32.9 57.6 1977 43 189 4 64 7 11 11 36 363 11.8 52.0 1978 44 131 12 52 0 12 9 35 294 14.9 44.6 1979 56 303 10 0 17 17 2 68 473 11.8 64.1 1980 139 63 2 4 12 2 2 33 256 54.2 24.4 1981 119 82 8 2 12 2 3 27 254 46.7 32.2 1982 100 36 23 5 9 13 3 13 202 49.6 17.8 1983 81 47 6 4 3 0 3 36 181 45.1 26.2 1984 92 129 14 3 3 4 0 28 273 33.7 47.2 1985 164 94 9 1 9 16 4 20 319 51.5 29.4 1986 209 346 10 4 6 14 1 27 619 33.8 56.0 1987 126 463 51 35 9 6 6 78 773 16.3 59.9 1988 271 513 22 46 35 15 34 100 1035 26.2 49.6 1989 268 438 14 44 33 14 32 48 892 30.0 49.1 1990 269 362 19 19 80 37 18 91 895 30.1 40.4 1991 238 185 5 387 93 53 38 70 1069 22.3 17.3 1992 229 149 8 61 57 11 43 129 688 33.4 21.7 1993 278 233 61 107 29 58 33 52 851 32.7 27.4 1994 241 331 33 52 46 46 43 226 1019 23.6 32.5 1995 477 309 43 126 33 33 27 388 1437 33.2 21.5 Total F Dl 5720 7826 364 1 121 534 377 335 2034 1831 1 31.2 42.7 Source: Ministry of Finance and Economy, Fiscal and Financial Statistics, various issues. The Korea Development Bank & Ministry of Finance (1993), Foreign Capital Inducement in Korea for 30 years. 24 2-3. Tax Incentive Provisions in Korea According to Korean tax law, foreign corporations that have a permanent establishment in Korea are treated as domestic corporations. Therefore, a wholly- owned foreign subsidiary is eligible for all the benefits given under the Tax Exemption and Reduction Control Law (TERCL). In addition, FCIA provides various tax benefits for foreign-invested enterprises. In the next several sections, we discuss major tax incentives for domestic- and foreign-invested enterprises, including investment tax credits, special depreciation, immediate expensing, tax-free reserves, income deduction from new share issues, and tax holidays. We can find the various tax-law provisions from various issues of Korean Taxation. 2-3-1. Investment Tax Credits The Investment tax credits (ITC) were first implemented in 1968. At that time, heavy and chemical industries were eligible for 6-percent special tax credits on investments in machinery and equipment. The Korean government raised the tax credit for domestic-made assets to 10 percent in 1971, for the purpose of facilitating capital accumulation. Under the title of “special tax treatment for key industries” in the TERCL, a tax reform in 1974 unified and rearranged all major incentives. This new system gave three optional sets of incentives: tax holidays, investment tax credit, and special depreciation--to eligible firms in key industries. Korean tax policy during the 19705 was designed to promote exports and to facilitate capital accumulation in heavy and chemical industries. Preferential tax treatments were given to these industries for sectoral development. Due to the drastic changes in the economic and political environment in the early 19805, the Korean government began pursuing a policy of structural adjustment and liberalization. The most important tax reform in the early 19805 took place in 1982. The 1982 reform reduced the beneficiary list of the heavy and chemical industries, and eligibility for investment tax credits was limited to the machinery and electronic industries. Also, the rate of the credit for foreign-made assets was reduced from 8 percent to 6 percent, and it was halved to 3 percent in 1983. A tax reform in 1986 broadened the beneficiary list of the ITC and raised the credit rate to 10 percent for domestic-made assets. Furthermore, the list of beneficiary industries was extended to all manufacturing and mining from key industries in 1989. Korea began to lower the tax rate and broaden the tax base in the early 19905. Technology-intensive industries and the small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) have priority for tax incentives. In 1992, the ITC was limited to domestic-made assets. The rate of ITC was reduced to 7 percent in 1994. Since 1995, the ITC has been given for SMEs, and other special purposes, such as development of technology and manpower, investment in facilities for research and experimental use, and starting a business using new technology. 2-3-2. Income Deduction from New Share Issues The Korean government allows an income deduction when a firm issues new shares. In 1970, eligible firms were allowed to deduct 18 percent of the amounts of new shares each year for 3 years. The present value of the income deduction from a dollar’s value of new-share issues , i”, is the following: 26 L iN=j O 1'}? e“"‘iRdt = -;(1—e"’L), (l) where p is the firm’s discount rate, iR is the rate of deduction from income tax base, and L is the term of the deduction. For example, if a firm issues a million dollars of new shares in 1994, it is allowed to deduct $80,000 from its income for 2 years. When we assume that the firm’s discount rate is 8 percent, the present value of the income deduction from new-share issues is $148,000: (The value of new-share issue5)* (i N ) = (10,000,000)*[(0.08)*(1-O.852)/(0.08)] = 148,000. The changes over time in the term and rate of the income deduction are summarized in Table 5. Table 5. Income Deduction from New Share Issues Year 1970 1975 1978 1980 1981 1983 1984 1986 1991 1994 Term of deduction (years) Rate of deduction (percent) 3 18 3 15 3 l6 2 24 2 2 18 12 12 2 (3)‘ 10 (12): 8 (10)2 ' The terms of deduction for manufacturing. 2 The rate of deduction for small and medium corporation listed on Korean Stock Exchange. Source: Ministry of Finance, Korean Taxation, various issues 27 2-3-3. Special Depreciation A special depreciation rate is an accelerated rate, thus is in addition to ordinary depreciation. That is, a special depreciation deduction makes the speed of depreciation accelerate for tax purposes, and then makes the value of depreciation allowances increase. The present value of the special depreciation allowance on one dollar of investment under the declining method, Z ’ , is the following: r 1 T Z5 = [0 (1 +y)5’e"‘“*’>5 *Pl‘ds — ( ”)5 ‘(1+n6’+p’ (2) where 7 is the special depreciation rate allowed in the tax law, 67 is the depreciation rate in the tax law, and p is the firm’s discount rate. Let’s suppose that a firm purchases a million dollars of capital asset, and the 100-percent special depreciation (y = 1) is introduced, which makes the speed of tax depreciation double. When bf and p are given to 10 percent, the present value of the income deduction from special depreciation allowance is calculated as follows: $(1,000,000*2*O.1)/(2*O.1+O.1) = $666,667. For domestic firms, tax incentives under a 1972 Presidential emergency decree also included special depreciation allowances ranging from 40 to 80 percent, for investments using machinery and equipment in selected industries: shipbuilding, steel and iron, chemical fertilizer, synthetic fiber, automobiles, machinery, straw pulp, food processing, petrochemicals, electronic equipment, electrical machinery and equipment, construction, and some mining industries. The rate of special depreciation was varied 28 to each industry, ranging from 80 percent to 40 percent according to the scale of the firm and the degree of satisfying the criteria. A tax reform in 1981 which focused on a policy of structural adjustment, limited the benefits of special depreciation to six industries (shipbuilding, naphtha cracking plants, steel, machinery, electronic, and aircraft). The rate was 100 percent for these industries. The 1986 tax reform decreased to the range of 40-80 percent from lOO-percent special depreciation for the six industries. In 1992, the special rate was lowered to the range of 20-50 percent from the range of 40-80 percent. This is because the Korean government began to lower the tax rate and broaden the tax base in the early 19905. A special depreciation charge may be calculated for machinery and equipment used directly in mining, manufacturing, and the electricity and gas industries. The amount of ordinary depreciation is increased by 20%, 30% or 50%, provided that the fixed assets have been used for an average of 12 hours or more each day during the business year. The incentive of the special depreciation was repealed in 1996. Before 1984, a special depreciation allowance was only allowed for domestic firms. Since 1984, for the purpose of attracting FDI, the Korean government has provided a lOO-percent special depreciation as a tax incentive for foreign capital investment. It is still valid for FDI in 1996. 2-3-4. Immediate Expensing The tax reform in 1986 allowed the heavy and chemical industries to choose a 10-percent ITC or 50-percent expensing. Given the weight of immediate expensing, 29 b, the present value of depreciation allowances on one dollar of investment, for an asset on which some expensing is permitted, Z E , is the following: ZE =b+(1—b)Z/', (3) where Z ’2 is the value of depreciation on the part that is not expensed, and j = s is for the straight-line method, and j = d is for the declining-balance method. From the equation, if b = 1, the entire investment is immediately expensed (i.e., there is no tax due on investment) 2-3-5. Tax-Free Reserves Tax-free reserves, such as those for investment, export loss, overseas market development, research and development (R&D), and small-scale firms, are an important method to mitigate the tax burden by deferring taxation for a certain length of time in Korea. The deferral rate and terms of income deduction are varied by the nature of investment and by industry, ranging from 3 percent to 10 percent. With the introduction of the tax-free investment reserves in 1982, the firms in key industries can reserve up to 5 percent of the book value of machinery and equipment investments as a taxable income deduction. In 1993, the tax-free R&D reserve was changed to allow a firm to reserve up to 3 percent (4 percent in certain cases) of annual sales turnover. The most popular method in Korea was to defer taxation for 4 years (3 years in 1994), to be paid back to the government in 3 equal installments for the next 3 years, with no interest charged on the deferral. The benefits from the tax-free investment reserve are 30 the same as those from interest-free debt, given a nominal discount rate p. We can derive the present value of the tax-free investment reserve from the following. m+n—l m+l rn+n-l 1 m R =1R[ jerk/t ——(je“'a’t + je‘“a’t ...... + jig-“din, (4) 0 n 0 0 0 where m is the number of years over which taxes are deferred, and n is the number of years over which the deferral taxes are paid back. The first term of the parenthesis in equation (4) stands for the present value of total deferred income without payments. The second term of the parenthesis is the present value of total payment made. When we rearrange equation (4), we get the following: 1 . R = —e"°"'(1 + e”’ ........ + e‘”("“) — ne’pw'”) (5) 2-3-6. Tax Holiday A tax holiday is a temporary tax exemption for corporate income and dividends. Many developing countries6 , including Korea, have introduced tax holidays to attract foreign capital. According to the F CIA, which was implemented in 1961, the tax holiday in Korea stated that foreign corporations satisfying the criteria of FCIA were entitled to a 31 complete exemption from corporate tax for the first 5 years, and a 50-percent exemption for the subsequent 3 years after the registration of the business. In addition to the corporate tax exemption, foreign corporations enjoyed exemptions from various taxes, such as the acquisition tax, property tax, and global land tax, during the holidays. The F CIA7 was revised in 1984 to encourage FDI more. The tax-holiday provisions were only for those investment projects which improved the balance of payments, employed advanced technology, and were in the export-free zones8 . Under the FCIA in 1984, the tax-holiday provisions allowed for the exemption of all corporate income and dividends for any five consecutive years within 10 taxable years after the registration of the enterprise. From 1991, all corporate and dividend incomes were exempted from the tax base for any initial 3 years, and a 50-percent tax reduction was allowed in two subsequent years within 10 years after the registration of the corporation. In 1995, the tax-holiday provision was made more generous by enlarging the exemption terms to a fiill exemption in the initial 5 years, and a 50-perent exemption in the next 3 years, within 10 years after the registration of the corporation. The tax-holiday provisions during the transition follow the same tax law that is applied to the first investment. 6 They are Brazil, China, Ecuador, Malaysia, and Thailand, etc. See terms and conditions in Boadway and Shah (1996). 7 The revision of FCIA in 1984 provided two types of tax incentive to qualified foreign enterprises. One is lOO-perccnt special depreciation, which makes the speed of depreciation double. The other is the tax holiday. Qualified enterprises were allowed to choose one of these two incentives. 8 Tax holidays is generally given for foreign companies which employ high technology. However, companies for the purpose of export. located in Iksan and Masan cities, are also eligible for tax holidays. 32 CHAPTER 3 THE DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL I will analyze U.S. direct investment into Korea through a cost-of-capital approach. According to the definition in the benchmark survey by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Direct Investment (D1) is the ownership or control by one U.S. person of 10 percent or more of the voting securities at an incorporated foreign ' business enterprise, or an equivalent interest in an unincorporated foreign enterprise. Person is broadly defined to include any individual, branch, or corporation. Portfolio investment that does not give management control, is distinguished from direct investment by a multinational firm that controls and manages production establishments located in at least two countries through FDI. I derive the equations and discuss the methodology that is used for the calculation of the domestic and transnational cost of capital in this study. The transnational cost-of-capital model I set up is close to the model used in the OECD report (1991). Because the OECD study is limited to the manufacturing sector and omits various investment incentives, I extend the OECD model to nonmanufacturing sectors and attempt to incorporate the tax incentives prevailing in Korea and the tax 33 treaty parameters between the U.S. and Korea. I also develop the transnational cost- of-capital model under the assumption of the different tax bases between the countries. In addition, I include the time-variant tax parameters due to the tax holiday, as well as exchange rate and international tax provisions in the neoclassical model. I will compare the costs of capital and effective tax rates between the U.S. domestic firms and Korean domestic firms, between U.S. subsidiaries without tax holidays and U.S. subsidiaries with tax holidays in Korea. Then I determine whether tax incentives provided by the Korean government to encourage foreign direct investment (FDI) are effective. 34 3-1. Post-Tax Rate of Return I follow the methodology of King and Fullerton (1984) to define the post-tax rate of return (S ), which is exactly the post-personal-tax rate of return. I also use a wealth-maximization approach to derive the pre-tax rate of return (F ), which is equal to the net-of-depreciation cost of capital, that is F : C — 6 , where C is the cost of capital and 6 is the economic depreciation rate. The pre-tax rate of return, which is equal to pre-personal-tax rate of return or post-corporate-tax rate of return, is the terminology used by King and Fullerton. From King and Fullerton, the tax wedge, W, measures the extent to which the tax policy affects the marginal rate of return from holding the asset. The tax wedge is given by: WzF—S (6) The effective tax rate (ETR) measures the tax wedge at the margin for a given type of capital asset. Therefore, ETR is a useful measure of the distorting effects of taxation on investments. The effective tax rate, which is a “tax-inclusive”9 measure, is defined by: E’ = —— (7) S — F 9 An alternative “tax-exclusive measure” in King and Fullerton (1984) is defined by E ' = ——-—. S 35 Table 6 summarizes different notations between King and Fullerton and Seo. Table 6. Different Notations Between King and Fullerton and Seo King and Fullerton Seo Cost of Capital MRR C Pre-Tax Rate of Return p = MRR — 5 F = C — 6 Required Rate of Return 6 H The arbitrage assumptions that have been used in the literature are key distinguishing features of alternative effective tax calculations. King and Fullerton (1984) calculate ETRS under two different arbitrage assumptions. They are the so- called fixed-F and fixed-r cases. However, I believe that the fixed-r is more realistic assumption. In next pages, I will discuss three arbitrage assumptions, and argue that the fixed-r case is superior to the fixed-F case. The fixed-F case assumes that the pre- tax rate of return, P, which is the net-of-depreciation cost of capital, is the same on all projects ( 10 percent in their calculation). Given the pre-tax rate of return, we can work backward and compute the firm’s required rate of return. Under the fixed-F case, all arbitrage occurs at the firm level, so that the required rate of return to the firm is the same for retained earnings, debt, and new shares, regardless of the fact that the firm faces different tax liabilities for different forms of finance. Therefore the required rate of return to the firm, rf , is given by 36 f: p 2.1— : r l-t 1( it) l—md (8) where u is the corporate tax rate, p is the nominal after-tax rate of return on equity to existing shareholders, is is the effective tax rate on capital gains applied to the accrual base, (,0 is the nominal after-tax rate of return on equity to new shareholders, m" is the average marginal tax rate on dividends, and i is the nominal interest rate (the nominal interest rate is equal to the real interest rate (r) plus the inflation rate (7r )). Given the various tax regimes, we work backward from the required rate of return to calculate the after-tax rates of return for the householders, such as p, i, and (p . In the fixed-r case, all arbitrage occurs at the household level, so that the after- tax rates of return on various assets are the same, which means that i (1 — m’) = ,0 = (a. The constant real rate of return (r) is given to 5 percent in King and Fullerton’s calculation. When the savers (including bondholders and shareholders) provide funds to firms that carry out investment with nominal interest rate of i, the savers face the same rate of return on their saving as firm make profits. However, the savers in different tax brackets face the different after-tax returns. Given the real rate of return to householders, we can calculate the different required rates of return for the various sources of financing. 37 Another approach is used by Boadway, Bruce, and Mintz (1984). They use the actual cost of debt and equity on the market to determine the firm’s required rate of return. The cost of debt is determined by the observed interest rate, and the cost of equity is calculated using earnings-price ratios from stock market data, appropriately corrected for inflation. Because stock-market data do not allow the rate of return on retained earnings to be distinguished from that on new shares, the after-tax rate of return on investment financed by retained earnings is assumed to be the same as that on investment new shares in the Boadway-Bruce-Mintz approach. The fixed-F assumption that the pre-tax rate of return and the firm’s required rate of return are constant for all projects is unrealistic, because the pre-tax rates of return are varying to various investment projects, and because the firm’s required rate of return is different across different sources of financing. On the other hand, it would be difficult for me to implement the Boadway-Bruce-Mintz approach, because it is very difficult to get market data on equity, since only a few U.S. subsidiaries are listed on Korean stock market. Because I can observe the actual interest rates across various industries in the U.S. and Korea, and because the fixed-r assumption is rather more realistic than the fixed-F assumption, the arbitrage condition used in my transnational cost-of- capital model is the adjusted fixed-r assumption. While King and Fullerton use a S-percent interest rate for all industries in their fixed-r assumption, I use the market-observed interest rates, which are different across all industries. For the personal tax rate on savers, I use the average marginal tax rate on interest income, which is an “average term," even though different savers may actually face different tax rates when the firm distributes its earnings, either to shareholders as 38 dividends and share-value appreciation, or to bondholders in the form of interest. The net real return after tax is affected by the rate of inflation. Hence the real net rate of return is given by Szfl—Mfl—n (% where i = r + 71' (i.e., the nominal interest rate is equal to the real interest rate plus the inflation rate), and in" is the average marginal tax rate on interest income. Consider a multinational U.S. firm that operates a wholly-owned subsidiary in Korea. The post-tax rate of return on a transnational investment project depends on taxation by both the home and the host countries. Because the U.S. uses the global system and allows a credit to relieve double taxation of foreign-source income, the withholding tax on interest income is deductible in the home country. When we assume that U.S. residents provide fiinds to a U.S. parent firm that finances all investments of its subsidiary, the post-tax rate of return (or the real net rate of return) for transnational investment, S T , is defined by ST =[1-max(m’,a)')]i' —7r (10) where (0' is the withholding tax rate on interest income determined by tax treaty between the U.S. and Korea, i' is the interest rate in Korea and it is the inflation rate in the United States. According to the tax treaty between Korea and the U.S., the 39 withholding tax rate on remitted interest income is 12 percent. Because the average marginal tax rate on interest income in capital-exporting countries such as the U.S. and Japan are generally greater than the withholding tax rate on interest income in capital importing-countries, we can rewrite equation (10) as the following: ST:(1—m')i°—7r (11) 3-2. Transnational Cost of Capital It is useful to derive a simple user cost of capital, before we derive a complicated transnational cost of capital. The basic user cost of capital is introduced by Jorgenson (1963), and developed by Auerbach (1979) and King and Fullerton (1984). For a simple user cost of capital, I assume that there is no tax, and that a firm produces output using a single capital input, and that the marginal rate of return to capital is decreasing. The wealth of the firm’s owners is the discounted sum of its cash flows. The objective of a firm is to maximize the wealth of its owners. That is: w = je-~(p,F(1<,) -q,I,)dt. (12) where r is the firm’s discount rate, q, is the price of capital goods, p, is the output price, andF is the concave production function. To solve the objective function, we need the constraint for capital investment. I, is gross investment and 6K, is the 40 amount of the current capital stock that depreciates, provided that capital depreciates at the rate 5 > 0. Therefore, (K, is the amount of replacement investment that must be undertaken, in order to maintain the capital stock at its current level. The change of capital stock is equal to the firm’s gross investment, less replacement investment. That is: K, =I,—§K, (13) For the optimization problem, we set up the Hamiltonian from equation (12), that is: H = e""1p.F—q.1. +241, —6K.>1. (14) t Gross investment I, is chosen to maximize H at each point in time. From TI : 0, (7 we get the following: i=q, (15) d . Since I, — (SK, 2 27(K, ), the necessary condition for the path of capital stock 15 d . . @— + —(2e'") = 0. When we evaluate the expressron, we get the followrng: aKdr 41 e‘"(p,FK —6/l)+e'"()i—r/i):0 (16) Let’s differentiate equation (15) with respect to time t, then insert this result and equation (15) into equation (16). This gives us e‘" (p,FK — 5%) + e‘" (q, — rq,) = 0, . F. or p,FK — bit], 2 —q, +rq,. Finally, we can solve for the cost of capital ( p, A ). ) F C,=4’7£=(r—n+5), (17) ( I where C, is the cost of capital on a dollar value of capital good, F K is the marginal product of capital, and it is the inflation rate which is equal to :4. ! Our next objective is to evaluate the impact of income taxation and tax policies on the cost of capital. To begin, I assume that the only tax is the corporate income tax ( u ), and that the government provides an investment tax credit (k) and depreciation allowances as investment incentives. The firm’s cash flow, p,F (K , ), is taxed at the rate of u, and the firm benefits from these tax incentives by the amounts of (k + uZ )q, I , , where Z is the present value of depreciation allowances per dollar of investment. The firm’s objective function under income taxation and investment incentives is given by: 42 w =le-"<<1— u>nF(K.)—-q,1.+q.I.>dz <18) 0 For the optimization problem, we set up the Hamiltonian, that is: H, : e‘"[(1 — u)p,F(1<,) — (1 — k — uZ)q,I, + 1(1, - 5K, )1. (19) . 6H d From the necessary conditions, such as c, = 0 and 7 +-(/le‘") = O, we get the a] 0K d! following: [(l—u)p,F,, -(1—k -—uZ)&],]e’" +[(1—k —uZ)rq, +(1-k—-uZ)q,]e'" = 0 (20) erK When we solve equation (20) for , we get the familiar cost-of-capital formula. I _p,FK_(1—k—uZ) _ C,— ‘I: —_——(1-—-u) (r n+6) (21) For the transnational cost of capital, I assume that shareholders live infinitely, and that there is no uncertainty. I also assume that there are only two factors of production (labor and capital), that markets are competitive, and that the marginal rate of return to capital is decreasing. The objective of a multinational U.S. firm, say a parent firm, is to maximize its market value, equal to the stock value of its current 43 Aw___g v. shareholders. Capital-market equilibrium for the parent firm should satisfy the following conditions when the shareholder earns his required rate of return p. V,,1 is the market value of the parent firm’s equity at the end of period t, including the value of new-share equity sold during period t, V,” . Thus the capital gains received by owners of the preexisting shares is equal to V,_, — V, — V,” . PVI =(1-mdlDt+(1-tg)(Vr.1-Vt *VtN), (22) where p is the nominal after-tax rate of return on equity to existing shareholders, t g is the effective tax rate on capital gains applied to the accrual base, m" is the average marginal tax rate on dividends, D, is the dividend payments of the parent firm during period t, V, is the market value of the parent firm’s equity at the beginning of period t. Equation (22)10 states that the shareholder’s after-tax return from holding equity at the beginning of period t is equal to the sum of post-tax dividends and post-tax capital gains. The shareholder’s required rate of return is viewed as the opportunity rate of return afier personal tax. In most countries, including the US, capital gains are only taxed on sale, or realization, and there is no adjustment of the cost basis for inflation. The taxes on capital gains are therefore deferred until capital gains are realized. This creates an incentive for savers to postpone the realization of capital gains, and also lowers the effective accrual-equivalence rate of tax on capital gains. Because we do not have ‘0 For a derivation of this equation, see Auerbach (1983). 44 information about the time at which the shareholder realizes its capital gains or how large a portion of capital gains the shareholder will realize, we need to make some assumptions that will allow us to convert the statutory tax rate on capital gains into an effective tax rate. We use the approach of King and Fullerton (1984) and get the following result: in (1+p) : g 11 3 rl+p ’ (23) where )t is constant proportion of accumulated accrued capital gains realized by investors, and us the statutory tax rate on capital gams. Solvrng equatron (22) under the assumption that the value of the firm is bounded, limV,e'" :2 012 , (24) t-sao ” A is taken as 10 percent for calculation. This reflects an average lag of ten years between accrual and realization. Investors in period one realize xi of accrued capital gain, and an unrealized capital gain is l — zl. . In the second period realizations are equal to 2(1 - xi.) , and so on. Given the nominal discount rate, p , and the statutory tax rate on capital gains. us , the present discounted value of total tax payments for a unit of accrued capital gain (e.g., the effective tax rate on capital gains applied to the accrual base), t g , is given by: Au 2.0—Mug 2.0—aw, 2(1-t)3u, 1(1-,1)°°u, 11,— 2+ l+p + (1+,0)2 + (1+,0)3 ............. (1130)” .Whenwe compute the above equation, we get equation (23). See more details in King and Fullerton (1984. p. 23, p. 222). ‘2 When we solve equation (22) for V, , the residual is fl (1 + r)—(:-1)V. J=I For simplicity, we can rewrite the discrete time residual into continuous time, (in, e-er' = 0 {—90 45 We obtain the following: r ,_ mgd V.” MS, (25) l—md 5=°° —r(s—t) V,=,_, l,=,e (DS- 8 where the required rate of return financed by equity, r = T—Qt—' Equation (25) states 8 that the value of the firm at time t is discounted sum of its cash flows over an interval from present time t to infinity, where 6’" is the continuous time discount factor. To determine the optimal path of the firm’s investment and the cost of capital, we need cash-flow constraints and constraints for capital. At first, I specify a capital-stock constraint. I consider two firms, a parent company operating in the home country and a foreign subsidiary wholly owned by a parent firm. For the parent, I, is gross investment and 6K, is replacement investment, provided that capital depreciates at the rate 5 > 0. I, and 6'K,‘ are gross investment and replacement investment of the subsidiary respectively, provided that capital depreciates at the rate 6' > 0. The change of capital stock is defined by k dK‘ Kt—f-i—Ii (26 ‘—dt’ ‘—dt' ) The change of capital stock is equal to the firm’s gross investment, less replacement investment. That is: 46 K, = I, —- 6K, (27) K; = I,’ — 6'K,‘ (28) For cash-flow constraints, I start by equalizing the sources of funds (total revenue) with the uses of funds (total expenditures). In other words, the following cash-flow constraints for the parent and the subsidiary must be satisfied in equilibrium. In the following equations, the left-hand sides indicate the uses of fiinds of the parent and subsidiary, and the right-hand sides indicate the sources of funds of the parent and subsidiary. I: and T,” are the tax liabilities on domestic operation and on repatriated subsidiary earnings for the parent, respectively. T' is total tax payments of the t subsidiary in the host country. Parent firm: (1 — 0)D, + E,V,‘V' + E 1' + 7,’ + ZR + (1 +i)B, +q,I, + W,L, tt+1 = (1 - 03510: + P1F(K,,L1) + 314+ VIN + E,[1+i(1- (0')]4 (29) Subsidiary firm: (1-0')D,' +[(1+i(1—a)')]l,' + 7,‘ +q,'I,' +W,‘L', +(1+i')B,' __. ng'(1<°, 1;) + 1,1, + 3,1, + V,“ (30) I 47 The new notations in equation (29) and (30) are given below. Note that the symbols with (0) are those related to the subsidiary. In equations (29) and (30), B, = Borrowing at the beginning of period t by the parent, which will be repaid at the end of period t with interest at the rate i, BMI = Borrowing at the end of period t by the parent, B,‘ = Borrowing at the beginning of period t by the subsidiary from the parent, which will be repaid one period later with interest at the rate i' , l,' = The parent’s loan to the subsidiary, which will be repaid at the end of period t with interest at the rate i, o = Withholding tax rate on dividends, (0' = Withholding tax rate on interest income in the host country, V,”' = New-share equity of the subsidiary financed by the parent, W,= Wage rate, L, = Labor input, q, = Price of capital goods, p, = Output price, F = concave production function, and E, = the spot exchange rate in units of home-country currency per unit of host- country currency. 48 Here I specify the tax liabilities for both the parent and the subsidiary to calculate the repatriation tax rate on the subsidiary’s remitted dividends. The repatriate tax rate on dividends depends on each country’s tax system, and the methods of double-taxation relief. The changes in tax parameters affect capital flows and tax revenues in the home country and the host country. I specify the source of tax revenue in both countries only under a classical system, because major capital- exporting countries, such as the U.S. and Japan, adopt it. The classical system means that there is no correction at the shareholder level for taxes paid at the firm level. Therefore, dividends are taxed at both corporate level and personal level in a classical system. Some countries (e. g., the United Kingdom) adopt the imputation system. The imputation system allows a credit for taxes paid at the firm level at the rate of c to reduce double taxation on dividends. Tax liability in each country is T, = u [If +(o — c)D,‘ for the parent firm, and (31) T1. = 11' HT +(0' —c')D,c' for the subsidiary, (32) where 117 is the home-country taxable base, TIT. is the host-country taxable base, and c is the rate of imputation. The following conditions are satisfied because the distributed profits are taxed at the same level as the undistributed corporate profits, and because the rate of imputation, c, is equal to zero in a classical system: 49 D, = D,‘ = (1 —u)D,G (33) D,’ = D," = (1—u')D,G' (34) where D,(D,' ) is dividend payments, D,‘(D,°) is dividend payments gross of any imputation credit, and D,G(D,G') is dividend payments, grossed up at the corporate rate. To show how different tax bases between the home and the host countries affect the tax liability on repatriated subsidiary earnings, I specify the parent and the subsidiary’s tax bases. Taxable profits of the parent and the subsidiary are as follows: Hf = p,F(K,,L,)— W,L, —(uZ+k)q,I, —iB, (35) H,“ = p,'F'(K,',L;) ——W,'L: —(u'Z' +u'R' +k')q,'I,' —i°B,' —il,' — u'iN'IflN' (36) where Z (Z ') is the present value of depreciation allowances, R' is the present value of the tax-free investment reserve, k(k') is investment tax credit, and i N ' is the present value of the income deduction for new-share issues. The tax due on repatriated subsidiary earnings is composed of tax liabilities on remitted dividends and interest payments of the subsidiary. T” = T,” + 77' (37) 50 The tax due on repatriated subsidiary earnings depends on the method of double- taxation relief of the home country and both of the tax bases defined by the home and the host country’s tax rules. The U.S. uses a credit-with-deferral method for the subsidiary, and a credit—without-deferral method for the branch. Under a credit-with- deferral method, the home country allows a credit (at a maximum rate of 34 percent in U.S.) for the host-country taxes paid, to avoid double taxation. To calculate 7:0 , the tax liability on remitted dividends, the difference between the taxable bases of the home and the host country is an important element. According to the U.S. tax rules, depreciation of the subsidiary’s assets at time of purchase is based on pro-1981 U.S. rules, and the assets at time of purchase may have to be denominated in foreign currency, except for some special cases13 . In addition, U.S. tax rules do not allow tax sparing” and thus the benefits of tax incentives provided by Korean government are required to be taxed. The taxable income of the subsidiary according to U.S. tax rules, Hi“. , is given by the following: II?" -= p:F'(K:.L:)— WJL: — (u'2+k>q:1: -i'B: -11; (38) By combining equation (36) with equation (38), we can get the following: ’3 Assets may be converted to U.S. currency for countries that are continguous to US, or for countries they are experiencing hyperinflation. ‘4 Tax sparing ensures that the home-country taxes are waived or credited on the remittance of dividends and interest income benefiting from the tax-incentive provisions in the host country. Japanese multinationals have an advantage over U.S. multinationals, because Japan allows a tax- sparing credit for remitted incomes from 14 developing countries. including Korea (Slemrod and Timbers, 1991). 51 11:" = nf’ + (u'Z' — "'2 + k' — k + u'R' + u'iN' )q,'I,' (39) According to U.S. tax rules, the tax liability on remitted dividends of the subsidiary is calculated as the amount of corporate taxes on the grossed-up value of the subsidiary’s dividends, less foreign tax credits (FTC) allowed in U.S. rules. T,” = no? — FTC (40) Dividends, grossed up at the corporate rate on the U.S. taxable base, include dividends after corporate tax and corporate income taxes deemed to be paid on dividends in the host country. In a classical system, dividends are taxed at both the corporate level and the personal level. Therefore, the gross dividends include the distributed dividends and corporate taxes on dividends. Tax liability on the subsidiary’s profits in the host country includes the corporate income taxes which are deemed to be paid on both dividends and retained eamings. The deemed-paid corporate taxes are taxes on remitted dividends at the corporate level that the subsidiary will pay or already paid to the host country. The deemed-paid-corporate taxes on dividends are computed from the ratio of dividends to the subsidiary’s profits, W, times tax due on the r_r subsidiary’s profits, 7;. , according to tax law in the host country. 52 D,’ _) (41) The withholding taxes and corporate income taxes deemed to be paid on dividends in the host country are exempt in the home country. Thus, the amount of foreign tax credit is the following: D. nf—FL FTC = 6'1); + T,'( (42) where 0' is the withholding tax rate on repatriated dividends in the host country. From equations (38) to (42), we can calculate the tax due on the remitted dividends of the subsidiary. That is, u- U where ud° =u'(1+sy). In equation (43), u". denotes the deemed-paid corporate tax rate in the host country, and s is a deviation of tax incentives between two countries, given by '5 By inserting equation (41) and (42) into (40), we can get the following: um" -u‘ n" , , , . 7:0 =[ t . 7’. -O' ]D , where I: = u H: . For the next step, we divide the first Him --u n: equation in the parentheses by H?” and insert equation (39), and then rearrange the above equation, to get equation (43). 53 s = u'Z' —- u'Z + k' —- k + u’R' + u'iN a; , where a; is the fraction ofinvestment financed by new-share issues. 7 is the ratio of capital investments to taxable profits on I! Hus. ' ( according to U.S. tax rules, which is y = For simplicity, I assume that y is constant. The sensitivity analysis of this assumption shows that the cost of capital is very insensitive to the ratio of capital investments to taxable profits. Therefore, my results are robust with respect to this assumption. For more details, see Figure 3 in appendix. Equation (43) represents the tax due on remitted dividends when the subsidiary is in a deficient credit position, under which the FTC is less than the home country’s tax burden on remitted dividends. But when the subsidiary is in an excess credit position, we can say that the subsidiary fiilly uses the FTC, and its tax due on repatriated dividends is zero. Therefore, we can rewrite equation (43) as u — ud TD = max( - 0°,0)D: (44)]6 d. 1~u The equation (44) ignores the fact that the United States allows deferral of the profits earned abroad by U.S. subsidiaries until their profits are repatriated as dividends. The withholding tax on remitted dividends is also deferred until the '6 The U.S. use a credit-without-deferral method for the branch of the U.S. corporation. Therefore, the home country tax burden on remitted dividends for the branch ( Z8 ) is given by: r,” = unf —u'n,". 54 subsidiary repatriates its profits as a dividends. We can easily incorporate tax deferral of the profits into equation (44). Because tax is deferred until profits are repatriated, the benefit of tax deferral is the same as interest-free debt for a certain period. When the subsidiary’s discount rate ( p') , the length of the deferral (d), and interest rate in the host country (i') are given, we can calculate the present value of tax deferral per unit of dividend, i D . d I'D =Ie’poti°dt = I (l—e"”.d), (45) 0 Tax deferral reduce the home country’s tax liability by the amount of the present value of tax deferral per unit of dividend, iD . Therefore, the home country’s tax burden on remitted dividends is changed into the following: u -— u" 7,0 = max[(l —iD)(l d. —a°),0]D,' = a"D,'. (46) - u where a" is the effective tax rate on repatriated dividends. I incorporate tax deferral theoretically into the cost-of capital model. For my empirical work, however, I assume that subsidiaries remit their profits immediately, and thereby the present value of tax deferral is zero. This is because we do not have the information about the time when subsidiaries remit their profits, and because different subsidiaries have different strategies in remitting their profits. In Chapter 6, I 55 will test the sensitivity of costs of capital to changing the present value of tax deferral, as the length of deferral varies. I also discuss the efi‘ect of tax deferral on the cost of caphal The withholding taxes paid in the host country are exempt from the home country’s taxation when the subsidiary remits its interest income to the home country. When the withholding tax rate on remitted interest income, a)’, is less than the corporate tax rate in the home country, the home country’s tax burden on remitted interest income is u — a)’ . If the withholding tax rate, a)‘, is greater than the U.S. corporate tax rate, the effective tax due on remitted interest income in the home country is zero. Therefore, the tax due on remitted interest income is the following: 77 = max[u — a)’,0]iE,l,'=a)"iE,1,', (47) where a)" is the effective tax rate on remitted interest income. When we incorporate all tax parameters in equations (29) and (30), we can get the following cash-flow constraints. Parent firm: D: : (1-“)[er(KnLr)_”/1Lr]— (1 "k _ Z)qr1r —[1+i(l'—u)]Br +B H] + V,” — E,V,”' — 5,1,1, + (1 — o" - o“)E,D; +[1+i(1— (0' — w'°)]E,l; (48) 56 Subsidiary firm: D: =(1-u')[PIF'(K' L')-W.'LI]-[1-k'-u'(Z'+R')qu1f-[1+i°(1-u')l3,' t’t +8;1 —[1+i'(1—u')]l,' +1; ,1 + (1 + u‘iN' )I-",N’ (49) Modigliani and Miller (1958) indicate that, in the absence of taxation and bankruptcy, corporate financial policy is irrelevant and has no effect on the value of the firm. However, the real world is characterized by both taxes and bankruptcy risk, so that Modigliani and Miller’s theorem (195 8) does not hold. The analysis by Modigliani and Miller (1963) can be viewed as an analysis of the choice of the optimal financial policy for the firm. With the introduction of taxes, Modigliani and Miller (1963) show that a firm could increase its market value by increasing its leverage. In the extreme case, a firm would finance its investment entirely by debt, because the cost of capital financed by debt is relatively low compared to the cost of capital financed by equity, under the current U.S. tax system. I do not calculate the optimal financial policy for firms, but calculate different costs of capital for different financial policies. It may seem irrational on part of firms, which choose financing methods other than those that appear optimal. However, firms cannot finance their investment entirely by debt, because firms have borrowing constraints and credit rationing, and because the high share of debt financing increases the possibility of bankruptcy risk. Furthermore, asymmetric information prevents firms from choosing the optimal financial policy. 57 In order to simplify the transnational cost-of-capital model, King (1977), Tajika and Yui (1988) and Chou and Wu (1994) assume that a firm maintains its optimal financial structure, and then the fractions of investment financed by borrowing, new-share issues, and retained earnings are constant. I follow their assumption. They also use the assumption of static expectations, which implies that B, is equal to 1'3,+1 . Instead of this assumption, I assume that the firm maintains its new borrowing and loans at a steady-state level (Mintz 1993). These assumptions apply both to parents and to subsidiaries. Br : qurlr 3 Bx] : (1+7I)Bra (50) f where 7: is the rate of inflation in the home country. 3' = afiq:11., BL] = (1+7r')3,', (51) I where 7z' is the rate of inflation in the host country. a0=l—a,—a2, (52) where do is the fraction of investment financed by retained earnings, a1 is the fraction of investment financed by borrowing, and a2 is the fraction of investment financed by new-share issues for the parent. a0: =1— al.1— a2: — a3.r’ (53) 58 where 010' is the fraction of investment financed by the subsidiary’s retained earnings, a,’ is the fraction of investment financed by the subsidiary’s local borrowing, a; is the fraction of investment financed by the subsidiary’s new-share issues, and a; is the fraction of investment financed by the parent’s loan to the subsidiary. V)” = 02/1,] t (54) V?" = 05.61? I: (55) 1? = 03361.7! , 15.1 = (1+7r')l,' (56) Plugging D: into D, , and inserting these assumptions and tax parameters into the cash-flow constraints, we get the following: D: : (1_u)[er(Kr’ Lr)—;V1L:]—(1— A)qur + (1-0° -O"){(1-ll')E)[PIF°(KI,LI)-VK°Lil-(1- WWII}, (57) where A = k + Z —[i(1—u) — 7r]a, + a, (58) o o o o -o o o 0 0.1V. 1 andA 2k +(Z +R)—[I (1—u)—7r]a,+(1+ur‘ — , ,,)a2 1— 0' — a +{7r'—i'(1-u')+ ,[i'(1—a)'—a)")—7r']}a3'. (59) 1—a°—0 59 Inserting equation (57), the expression for the dividends of the parent firm, into the stock-value equation (25) for the optimization problem, we get the following: l-md l—t 8 lowe‘" {(1—11)[PF(L,K)—WL]—(1— “11+ (1-0' —0")((1-1")[P'F'(L',K')-W'L']-(1- A')(1'1')}, (60) where A°=k+Z—[i(1—u)—7r]a,+(1—1 — 9a,. (61) —m For the global optimization problem, we set up the current-valued Harrriltonianl7 from equation (60), that is, H! : (1—u)[pr1:(l’r’Kr)— VVILJ—(l— A°)qr1t +(1-0° ‘0"){0-U')E[PIF°(LLK:)-Wi'Lilrfl - A')E‘Iflf} +aur(1r _6Kr)+lur.(]t. -6.Kr.) (62) Gross investment [(1') is chosen to maximize H at each point in time: that is 6H 5H __ :0 63 fl ( ) Zora. ‘7 This becomes H = er'H, where H is the general Hamiltonian function. Sec Kamien and Schwartz (1981). 60 Next, the necessary condition18 for the paths of capital stock is given by p— m = — 5K (64) i. O a, ,1 _ r,u = — 0K. (65) We can derive the cost of capital from (63), (64) and (65), that is, AF). _(1‘Af) fI_ f q, — (l-u) [571,” 1’ (66) Parent firm: where Fk is the marginal product of capital and rf is the parent firm’s required rate of return. i Subsidia firm' _ [afi—E—Hf'] ry ' q: (l—u') q: E: p.Fk. _ (1“ Af ) (67) 3 where r]. is the subsidiary’s required rate of return. 14F) t Af , A? ,rf , and r]. vary to the sources of financing. The term is the cost of ‘8 The shadow price 1. is equal to ye‘" in the current-valued Hamiltonian. From the second necessary condition, we get ,1 = _ fl = _ gig" . When we differentiate 2 with respect to time (K t, we get the following: )1 : —rpe’" + ne'". By equating — rpe‘" + pe'" to _%{:e-" , we get equation (64). 61 capital (C,) on a dollar value of capital stock in period t. The pre-tax rate of return in King-Fullerton methodology is the cost of capital less depreciation rate, that is pf} ~ —— —- a (68 q. ) I Without taxes, inflation, or relative price changes, the real pre-tax rate of return to the savers would be equal to the interest rate. The cost-of-capital formulas I have derived are weighted averages, with the weights given by the financial sources of firnds, because the required rate of return to the shareholders varies according to the firm’s financial method. Thus the cost of capital is the following: C, = 016C? + (INC! + 06in (69) C' = ag,C,°' + a'C" + a' C3' + a;,C,3' (70) t 1!! 2!! C,°, C,l and CE are the cost of capital financed by retained earnings, borrowing, and new-share issues. C,“ , C," , CE' and Cf’ are the costs of capital financed by retained earnings, local borrowing, new share issues, and parent’s loans to the subsidiary, respectively. The firm’s required rate of return is an important factor in determining the cost of capital. I study here how the source of fiJnds affects the cost of capital through the required rate of return in the host and home countries. Three different financial policies for the parent firm and eight different policies for the subsidiary are considered 62 under the credit-with-deferral system. This analysis comes from King-Fullerton (1984) and Alworth (1988). In the case of debt financing, the required rate of return, rf , is equal to i(l — u) in an equilibrium, since interest payments are usually deductible against the corporate tax base. If the parent finances investment by retained earnings, the net yield after effective capital gains tax is (1— tlg)rf , and the opportunity cost of investment is (l - m’)i . By equating (1— tg)rf to (l —m’ )i, we can get f _(1-m’)i (l—tg) . When we consider an investment project financed by new equity in the parent, the shareholder’s net dividend afier tax is (1 — m" )6’rf , where 9 is the dividend that a shareholder receives when one dollar of the firm’s earnings is distributed. 6 is the additional potential income which the parent would receive if the subsidiary distributed a units of retained earnings. The value of 6 is unity under the classical system, chosen by the United States, because there is no correction at the shareholder level for corporate tax paid. By equating the shareholder’s net dividends to the investor’s opportunity cost, (1 — m' )r' , we can get the firm’s required rate of (l-m’)i (l—md) return, rf , which is equal to In the case of transnational investment through the subsidiary, it is very important to take taxes on repatriated incomes into account for determining the required rate of return in the subsidiary. When the subsidiary borrows firnds from the parent to finance its investment, the effective tax on remitted interest income is a key variable. For example, if the parent were to finance its loans to the subsidiary by debt, 63 (l-a)" )rf. is the net rate of return on repatriated interest income, and the opportunity cost of lending funds to the subsidiary is (1— u)i. By equating (l-w")rf° to (l — u)i , f. _ (1—u)i _ (1“ w") . The parent would require a we can get the required rate of return, r yield such as times the required rate of return on domestic investment, ____1._ U-w") where a)" 2: max[u — a)’,0]. Consider now the appropriate required rate of return when the subsidiary finances its investment by parent’s purchases of new shares from the subsidiary. The net rate of return after effective tax on repatriated dividends is (1 — a" )r f. , where u—ud 0' ° = max[ - 0' ,0]. By equating this to the domestic required rate of return, we can determine the required rate of return for an investment financed by the parent’s purchase of new shares. The required rate of return on an investment financed by the subsidiary’s retained earnings or local borrowing, is set to be the same as that for domestic investment financed by parent’s retained earnings or local borrowing. Table 7 summarizes the firm’s required rate of return for different financial policies of domestic and transnational investment. 64 Table 7. Required Rate of Return under Different Financing Policies Financial Policy The Required Rate of Return Domestic investment . Financed by parent debt . Financed by parent retained earnings Nu—d 3. Financed by parent new-share issues Transnational investment 4. Financed by subsidiary new—share issues provided from parent retained earnings 5. Financed by subsidiary new-share issues provided from parent debt 6. Financed by subsidiary new-share issues provided from parent new equity 7. Financed by subsidiary loan borrowed from parent retained earnings 8. Financed by subsidiary loan borrowed from parent debt 9. Financed by subsidiary loan borrowed from parent new share issues 10. Financed by subsidiary retained earnings ll. Financed by subsidiary local borrowing ((l-u) (l—m')i (l—z,> (l—m')i (I—m"> (l-m')i (1—o“)<1-r,> (l—u)i (1-0") (l—m')i (1-a”)(1-m") (l-m')i (I—co”)<1-t,) (l-u)r' (l—m”) (l-m')i (l-w”)(l—md) (l—w°)i' (l-t;) (l—u°)r'° SOurce: King-Fullerton (1984) for domestic investment. I extend Alworth’s (1988) work for transnational investment. 65 CHAPTER 4 THE MODEL WITH TAX HOLIDAYS Mintz (1990) incorporates the tax-holiday provisions into the cost-of-capital model. He fails to incorporate the international taxation in calculating the cost of capital, because his analysis is limited to domestic investment. Mintz and Tsipoulos (1994) extend the earlier Mintz model by incorporating both the host-country tax and the home-country tax on the repatriation income from foreign subsidiaries. Even though equity transfers from the parents to the subsidiary and intercompany loan are very popular methods in financing the subsidiary’s investment, their model only focuses on investment financed by retained earnings. Furthermore, Mintz (1990) and Mintz and Tsipoulos (1994) underestimate the benefit of tax holidays, because their model does not fully capture the tax savings from tax holidays. In section 4-1, I incorporate the tax-holiday provisions and international taxation into the cost-of-capital model, taking into account various financial policies. To capture the benefit of tax holidays correctly, I extend the cost-of-capital model in section 4-2. 66 4-1. Transnational Cost-of-Capital Model with Tax Holidays As discussed in section 2-3-6, the tax holiday is available to foreign corporations, for the purpose of attracting foreign capital into Korea. The tax holiday has four effects on the cost of capital. One is the reduction of the cost of capital, through a temporary tax exemption. A profit-making firm enjoys the tax savings from the tax holiday. However, a firm in a loss position does not pay corporate tax, and cannot use the benefit of a temporary tax exemption. Therefore, I assume that the U.S. subsidiary has positive profits on its investment.19 The second effect is that the tax holiday reduces the present value of depreciation allowances and other tax incentives significantly. As a result, the benefit of the tax holiday decreases. Third, the tax holiday has an effect on the required rate of return. The effect on the required rate of return varies, depending on the source of financing. Its effect can be either positive or negative. Finally, a tax reduction in the host country decreases the amounts of the foreign tax credit of the subsidiary, thereby raises the home-country tax burden. I discuss more detailed explanations for these four effects as follows. Because the corporate tax rate during the tax-holiday provisions varies, there is variation over time in the value of depreciation allowances, the firm’s required rate of return, and the tax rates on remitted income. In order to derive the cost of capital under the tax holiday, we need to specify the time-variant parameters during the tax holiday. The corporate tax rate during the tax holiday is zero for the first holiday term, and 0.5 u for the second holiday term in Korea. When )11 and h2 are the first and the second holiday terms respectively, the statutory tax rate in Korea is the following: 67 OforOSt

ql+ (1-0°'01..)([P°F'(L',K')-W'L°]—(1‘-A,°)4I+ (1-0'-0")([P'F°(L°.K°)-W'L']-(1-A')(I'1°)} (74) where A" = k +Z—[i(l—u)—7r]a, «him, (75) The cost of capital derived from equation (74) is varying with time. After setting current Hamiltonian as in section 3-2, we get the solution from the necessary and the sufficient conditions, such as equations (63), (64), and (65) in section 3-2. By rearranging these two conditions, we get the cost of capital of the U.S. subsidiary for new investment at the time t. 72 . l—A' ' E Z' C.”=<——:—><6'—5’%-—i+rf>+ ‘ l—u, (10 E0 ' 1—u,’ (76) The price of capital and the exchange rate are constant over time, because my study is limited to the case of certainty. The other tax incentives, such as the investment tax credit, tax-free reserve, and income tax deduction for new-share issues, are no longer offered during tax holidays. Equation (76) indicates that the cost of capital for new investment varies at each point of time during tax holidays. The cost of capital during tax holidays is composed of two parts. The first portion is quite similar to the cost-of-capital formula in chapter 3. A,’ in the first portion contains the information on time-variant parameters, such as depreciation allowances and tax rates on remitted income. When the investment is performed during the first holiday, the cost of capital is . ° E C,“ =(1—A,’)(6' —1fii———.—°+r,f)+z,', (77) 0 £0 0 ' O o. O O 1 O O -. where A, 15 equal to Z, —[1 —7r ]a, +(l— , ")az —{7r —1 1—0 —0, 1 - O O + . .. [1(1-ll)-7r ]a,}, (73) 1—0 —0’, and the present value of depreciation allowances during the first holiday term, Z ,' , is equal to 73 F") r. 5:51”: 3:00 . o _ .., _ . o _ o T. _ . o _ 0+ 1'. _ Iu,6re(p ‘5 X”)ds+ Irl,6Te(p+5 X")+ In 5Te1p’5 X") 3:! 32h s=h,+h2 _ 11°67. + 0.511'6T. — p' +6T. p' +57. . o o I" (e-(p +57 )(hl-t) + e-(p +5 Xh‘h‘O)‘ (79) The second part of equation (77) represents the loss of annual depreciation allowances from holding a dollar of capital during tax holidays. Mintz (1990) interpreted this as a tax depreciation penalty of investing in an asset during the tax holiday. When the subsidiary performs investments during the first holiday term, Z, is equal to 0.5u'67' (e’("""roxh"’) + e""'*"r.x"'"‘*"’) . Because the loss of annual depreciation allowances decreases with the value of t , the postponing of the investment would increase fiiture tax savings. When the investment is performed during the second holiday term, the cost of capital is given by: o 1"A. q. E Z. ch = f §'___O___ 0 + f _+_ __t ’ 8O ' (l-O.5u')( (1:, EO r2) 1—0.5u° ( ) O ' O u. C O O 1 C where A, rs equal to Z, —[r (l—O.5u )—rr ]a1 +(1— , “)az 1—0' —02 O o. O 1 - I O —{zr _, (1-0.5u )+, . ..1z(1—u)—4 1a.}, (81) and the present value of depreciation allowances during the first holiday term is equal 10 74 s:hl+h2 3:“) r. . O - .+ r. __ . . _ .+ _. 111,67?” ‘5 X’ "(15+ I14 57c” ‘5 ””615 3th 3:h*h2 0.51723” 2 ———e P-+5T’ WW “Hi-()- (82) When the subsidiary performs investments during the second holiday term, the change in the present value of depreciation allowances, Z,’ , is equal to 0517'5T°e*‘0'*5’°*’~"h-” . After the tax holiday, Z,’ is constant and equal to Z', and thus the change in the present value of depreciation allowances is zero. A,’ is also constant and equal to A' (see equation (59)). Thus the cost of capital is constant over time after the tax holidays. The constant cost of capital is given by l—A' " E, _( )[5-_f.le__ '11—; q; E. ”1 ‘8” Because the constant cost of capital implies that the capital stocks are constant over time, an investment after the tax holidays is the replacement investment to maintain the current capital stocks. 75 4-2. Effective Transnational Cost of Capital with Tax Holidays In section 4-1, I develop the cost-of-capital model by incorporating international taxation into Mintz’s cost-of-capital model (1990). However, the cost of capital in chapter 4-1 tends to underestimate the real cost of capital during tax holidays, because the cost of capital developed in section 4-1 does not capture the entire tax savings from tax holidays. The cost of capital derived from dynamic optimization is a long-run equilibrium concept. The tax holiday is a temporary exemption from corporate tax. The cost of capital during the tax holiday in section 4- 1 does not capture the temporary effect correctly, resulting from tax holidays. Given the tax holiday toward U.S. subsidiaries, I will derive the real cost of capital for new investment at time 0. Let’s consider that the Korean government provides a 5-year tax holiday to the U.S. subsidiary. When the U.S. subsidiary performs an investment at time 0, the cost of capital at time 0 derived in section 4-1 is given by: . 19°F» ' E 1 C: = =(1—Ag><6°-3‘3———.—°-+r1’)+25 (84) ‘10 0 Lo As long as the capital assets invested at time 0 generate income afterward, we have to take into account the future benefits of the tax holiday. The cost of capital at time 0, however, considers only the tax-holiday benefit at time 0. It tends to underestimate the benefits of the tax holiday, because it ignores the future saving from the tax holiday on capital invested at time 0. The capital invested at time 0 will be partly depreciated 76 during the next periods, but this capital will still generate income and enjoy the tax- holiday benefits after time 0. Thus we have to consider appropriate future tax savings from tax holidays. The cost of capital 3.. b-r ......................... d K E l 5 time t ------- the cost of capital when we do not consider future tax savings from tax holidays —— the effective cost of capital when we consider future tax savings from tax holidays Figure 1. Cost of Capital for a New Investment under Tax Holidays Figure 1 depicts the cost of capital for a new investment at each point of time, under the assumption that a firm performs investment every year. The cost-of-capital line, bd , is decreasing during a tax holiday, because the annual loss of depreciation allowances is decreasing over time. The effective-cost-of-capital line, a , is 77 increasing during a tax holiday. Because the future savings from tax holidays may decrease with time, the effective cost of capital is increasing during a tax holiday. The difference between bd and 3 represents the present value of future savings from a tax holiday at a point of time. I only calculate the cost of capital for a new investment at time 0, namely point e. The cost of capital for a new investment at each time, during 1971-1994 is used, for the comparison of costs of capital with or without tax holidays. Capital stock (K: ) r I 5 time t ------- The path of capital stock when we do not consider future tax savings from tax holidays —- The path of capital stock when we consider future tax savings from tax holidays Figure 2. Capital Accumulation under Tax Holidays 78 Figure 2 shows the optimal path of capital stock. When we incorporate fiiture tax savings from tax holidays into the cost-of-capital model, the new capital stocks are adjusted upwards. The lower cost of capital leads to higher capital stocks, because the production fiJnction is concave. When we consider future tax savings from the tax holiday, the difference between A and B is the additional capital stock made at time 0. Because the cost of capital is relatively low during tax holidays, the U.S. subsidiary has an incentive to invest more during tax holidays. However, the loss of annual depreciation allowances and the higher required rate of return21 during tax holidays overwhelm future savings from tax holidays, so that the level of capital stock would be decreased even during tax holidays. To derive the cost of capital at time 0 correctly under the tax holiday, we incorporate the present value of the tax holiday (0") into the cost-of-capital model by using the specified time—variant parameters. The cost of capital under the tax holiday, considering fiJture savings at time 0, Cf , namely the effective cost of capital, is given by C,” = C5" — Q” (85) The present value of the tax holiday is the present value of the first holiday term (0"?) plus the second holiday term (52"; ). Since we are interested in the cost of capital at 2' The required rate of return financed by the subsidiary’s new-share issues and local debt are higher during tax holidays than is the required rate of return financed by these methods at other times. 79 time 0, we set t = 0 for the next equation. The present value of the tax holiday is given by: 0 h, 0 o hi+hz o 0 oh = je-U’ +5 "(C' - C,')ds + [W *“‘(C' — c; )d5 (86) 0 hi When we arrange equation (84), we can rewrite it as follows. (l _ e_(po+§oxhl,h1))Co _ _ 1_ -(p’+6')hl C. p'+5' p'+5'( e )5” (e-(puanh _e—(,C,-.(5-)(h.+h,))C;2 , (87) where C ' is the subsidiary firm’s cost of capital excluding all tax incentives, and C , is the subsidiary firm’s cost of capital during the tax-holiday periods, where the time variable sis 171 or 71,. From equation (84), C ' — C ,' represents the difference between the cost of capital without the tax holiday and the cost of capital with the tax holiday. The present value of the tax holiday is viewed as the present value of the cost reduction, which is the sum of C — C 5' during the tax holiday. When we assume the continuous time discount factor, e“"°“‘", the benefits of the tax holiday fall in value at the rate of economic depreciation (6') and at the rate of discount, p' . In specifying C ' , C 1., , and C ,3, , we do not need to consider the present value of depreciation allowances and other tax incentives, because the cost of capital at time 80 0 already captures them. The subsidiary firm’s cost of capital excluding all tax incentives, C ', is specified as the follows. (1-0') .1; 1:, C. 2 (l—u‘) (5 q; ’E’r')’ (88) where O' = -[i'(l- u')—7r']a,' +(l +— 1_0.1_0" )a; +{Jr'—i'(1—u°)+1_o_,l_0,,[i'(1-—a)'—a)")-—7r']}a3° . (89) We get 9' by setting 2', k', and i”. to 0 into equation (58) in chapter 3. When we incorporate time-variant tax parameters under tax holidays into the cost—of- capital model, we can get the subsidiary firm’s costs of capital during tax holidays, C; and cg, o o o it. E o C... =(1—®.>(6 fligfw. >, (90) h 9' — —"—— ' ”I. ' (91) w ere '_-(l—u)az —(1—u)0(3 _ ; " E . — (1 G.) (60 -@__—9_+r20), (92) h‘ — (1—0.5u') qc', E0 81 l where O; 2 (1+ O.5u°i~° — .. )a; + {77' —i°(l — 0.5u') 7 b ———.’—..1i'(1—w°—w">—zr']}a; (93) 1—0 —0'2 9], and 9; come from the cost-of-capital formula. The subscripts l and 2 indicate the first and the second holiday terms, respectively. By using the specified parameters in each period, we can get the present values of the tax holiday. When we incorporate all these values, such as C ' ,C 7., , C11,, and C ,fi' , into equation (85), we obtain the effective cost of capital under the tax holiday. The estimated results of the effective cost of capital with the tax holiday are presented in Chapter 6. 82 CHAPTER 5 SOURCES OF DATA 5-1. Data Sources for Korean Firms 5-1-1. Corporate Tax Rates Korea has progressive corporate tax rates, and the statutory corporate tax rates have frequently varied over time. Before 1983, the statutory corporate tax rate depended on categories of corporations and the amount of corporate income. Domestic corporations were classified for tax purposes primarily as profit or nonprofit corporations. Profit corporations were divided into listed or unlisted corporations on the Korean Stock Exchange (KSE). Different progressive tax rates were levied on corporate income in each of the categories of corporations. With the 1982 tax reform (implemented in 1983), the classification of profit corporations as listed or unlisted corporations on the KSE was eliminated. The 1990 tax reform (implemented in 1991) simplified the structure of the corporate tax system by eliminating the classification of corporations. The statutory tax rate was 34 percent on corporate income exceeding W100 million, otherwise it is 34 percent of corporate income below W100 million in 1991. 83 In addition to the basic corporate income tax, there are resident (or inhabitant) and defense tax, which are surcharges applied on other incomes including the corporate income. Since 1975, a resident surcharge was 7.5 percent of corporate income tax liability, and a defense surcharge was 20 percent of corporate income exceeding W500 million, otherwise it is 25 percent of corporate income below W500 million. The resident surtax was raised to 10 percent in 1996. The defense tax was abolished in 1991. The maximum corporate tax rate including surtaxes reached 30.8 percent in 1996. The changes of statutory corporate tax rates over time are summarized in Table 9. A foreign corporation which has a permanent establishment in Korea is subject to the same tax rate and the same taxation method as a domestic corporation. On the other hand, a foreign corporation without a permanent establishment is subject only to stipulated withholding taxes on its Korean source income. 5-1-2. Personal Tax Rates We need three parameters associated with personal taxation to derive the ETR. These are the tax rates on dividends, interest income, and capital gains. Different withholding tax rates on dividend income are applied for resident shareholders and nonresident shareholders. Dividend income was taxed at a flat 20-percent rate from 1972 to 1974. Since the global income tax system was introduced in 1975, a taxpayer has faced a marginal tax rate on his aggregated income, which is called “the base of global income.” But a substantial part of dividend and interest income have been still taxed under a flat withholding tax. From 1991, the dividend income of domestic 84 shareholders received from listed companies on the KSE has been subject to a 20- percent withholding tax, plus a resident surtax of 7.5 percent of the 20-percent withholding tax. The withholding tax is 25 percent for dividends from unlisted companies. These taxes apply regardless of whether the dividends are received by majority or minority shareholders. Such dividends to majority resident shareholders are also subject to global income tax, at progressive rates. In the case of dividends from unlisted companies, even minority shareholders are subject to global income tax as well as withholding tax. For nonresident individuals and corporations, the withholding tax on their dividend incomes depends on the tax treaty between the relevant countries. The tax treaty between Korea and the U.S. indicates that a corporation which has at least lO-percent ownership is taxed at a lO-percent rate of withholding tax, including the surtaxes. Otherwise, corporations are subject to a 15- percent withholding tax on dividends. For resident individuals and corporations, all interest income is subject to withholding tax, plus a resident surtax. In addition, such income is also subject to global income tax. But there exist various exemptions from global income taxation for minority-interest income. For nonresidents, the withholding tax rate is described in tax treaties. According to the tax treaty with the U.S., the withholding tax rate on interest income is 10 percent. The total withholding tax on interest income and dividends in Korea, from 1982 to 1990, was 16.75 percent, including the resident, defense, and education surtaxes, which is calculated as 10(l+0.075+0.1+0.5). Yun (1988) estimated the average marginal tax rates on dividend income and interest income under the base of 85 Table 9. Corporate Tax Rates in Korea (unit: %) Profit Corporations Non-Profit Surtaxes Corporations Year Corporations Not-listed Top Rate of Listed on KSE Corporations Resident Tax Defense Tax Corporation Tax 1972 27 40 35 0 0 27.00 1973 27 40 35 7.5 0 29.03 1974 27 40 35 7.5 0 29.03 1975 27 40 27 7.5 25 35.78 1976 27 40 27 7.5 25 35.78 1977 27 40 27 7.5 25 35.78 1978 27 4O 27 7.5 25 35.78 1979 27 40 27 7.5 25 35.78 1980 27 40 27 7.5 25 35.78 1981 33 40 27 7.5 25 43.73 1982 33 38 27 7.5 25 43.73 1 983 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1984 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1985 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1986 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1987 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1988 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1989 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1990 30 33 27 7.5 25 39.75 1991 34 34 34 7.5 0 36.55 1992 34 34 34 7.5 0 36.55 1993 34 34 34 7.5 0 36.55 1994 32 32 32 7.5 0 34.40 1995 30 30 30 7.5 0 32.25 1996 28 28 28 10 0 30.80 Source: Korea Development Institute (1996), Facts and Figures on the Public Sector In Korea. Ministry of Finance, Korean Taxation, various issues. 86 1.1V. WI Ld.‘ i i 9.0 V inA, .lik‘ global income. These are 49.62 percent for dividend income and 57.27 percent for interest income. According to Yun (1988), in 1986, some 43.8 percent of dividends was subject to flat withholding tax, and the rest was taxed on the base of global income. Some 98.9 of interest income was taxed under flat withholding tax, and only 1.1 percent was taxed on the base of global income. Thus the effective tax rates on dividend and interest income are weighted averages of the marginal income tax and withholding tax rate. The effective tax rate on dividend and interest income are calculated as [(effective withholding tax rate)(the ratio of taxable income subject to withholding tax) + (average marginal tax rate)(the ratio of taxable income subject to global income tax)]. For example, the effective tax rates on dividend and interest income are computed as follows: m"'=(16.65)*(0.438)+(49.62)*(o.562)=31.15% m"=(16.65)*(o.989) + (57.27)*(0.011)=17.20% I summarize the changes over time in the tax rates on dividend and interest income in Table 10. Capital gains on the sales of shares by domestic-majority shareholders are taxed as ordinary income, but those of listed companies on the KSE are generally exempt from taxation. I use a O-percent rate on capital gains to derive the cost of capital in Korea. Capital gains on the sale or transfer of shares for nonresidents are subject to a withholding tax of 10 percent on sales value, or 25 percent of net capital gains22 . For U.S. firms, I use the 25-percent tax rate as a statutory tax rate on capital gains, because most U.S. firms do not list their stock on the KSE. 22 For simplicity, I assume that every taxpayer chooses 25 percent of net capital gains. 87 Table 10. Personal Tax Rates in Korea (unit: %) Year Dividend Interest Resident Defense Education Total Total Effective Effective Withholding Withholding Surtax Sunax Surtax Withholding Withholding Dividend Interest Tax Tax Tax for Tax for Tax Tax Interest Dividends 1971 15 5 0 0 5.00 5.00 15.00 5.00 1972 20 5 O 0 20.00 5.00 20.00 5.00 1973 20 5 7.5 0 0 21.50 5.38 21.50 5.38 1974 20 5 7.5 0 0 21.50 5.38 21.50 5.38 1975 25/5 5 7.5 10 0 5.88 5.38 25.04 6.44 1976 25/5 5 7.5 10 O 5.88 5.88 25.04 6.44 1977 25/5 5 7.5 10 0 5.88 5.88 25.04 6.44 1978 25/5 5 7.5 10 0 5.88 5.88 25.04 6.44 1979 25/5 5 7.5 10 0 5.88 5.88 25.04 6.44 1980 25/10 5 7.5 10 O 5.88 5.88 28.34 6.44 1981 25/10 10 7.5 10 0 5.88 5.88 28.34 12.25 1982 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 11.75 11.75 31.15 17.20 1983 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1984 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1985 257'10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1986 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1987 25./'10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1988 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1989 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1990 25/10 10 7.5 10 50 16.75 16.75 31.15 17.20 1991 25/20 20 7.5 0 0 21.50 21.50 33.82 21.89 1992 25/20 20 7.5 0 0 21.50 21.50 33.82 21.89 1993 25/20 20 7.5 0 0 21.50 21.50 33.82 21.89 1994 25/20 20 7.5 0 0 21.50 21.50 33.82 21.89 1995 25/20 20 7.5 0 0 21.50 21.50 33.82 21.89 1996 15 15 10 0 0 16.50 16.50 31.01 16.95 Source: Korea Development Institute (1996), Facts and Figures on the Public Sector In Korea. Ministry of Finance, Korean Taxation, various issues. Note: Dividend tax rate is (Majority shareholder/minority shareholder) from 1974 to 1979. Since 1980, dividend tax rate is (unlisted company/listed company). 88 5-1-3. Depreciation Allowances For the deprecation method, firms in Korea can choose between straight-line and declining balance. The Korean tax law indicates that either the straight-line or the declining-balance method is to be used for tangible fixed assets other than plant and buildings, and the straight—line method is to be used for plant, buildings, and intangible assets. We assume that all firms choose the declining-balance method for machinery and equipment, because it is more beneficial than the straight-line method when the firm purchases a relatively long-lived asset. The present value of depreciation allowances depends on the depreciation rate in the tax law and on the firm’s discount rate. Given the ratio of residual value to acquisition value and tax lifetime in the tax law, the depreciation rate of the declining- balance method can be calculated as follows. residual value 1 6T. = 1— . . . L 94 (acqursrtron value) ( ) Before 1995, the ratio of residual value (salvage value) to acquisition value was set to 10 percent in Korean tax law. From 1995, the salvage value was set at 5 percent for the declining-balance method and zero for the straight-line method. In the case of declining balance, the present value of depreciation allowances, Z 8, is the following: 89 5T p+67 Z, = j: ziaTe-‘5’*P>’ds = (95) where T is the tax lifetime allowed in the tax law, and 6T is the depreciation rate in the tax law. In the case of the straight-line depreciation method, the investment capital is depreciated for tax purposes by 1/ T per unit in each year, where T is a tax lifetime. The present value of straight-line depreciation allowances, Z S , is given by _ pf ) (96) l—e 7' 1 _ Z, :10 (7)e “’ds =( pf 5-1-4. Parameters Associated With Price and Financial Data For the price of capital goods, the Bank of Korea publishes data on the composition of fixed domestic capital formation in both current and constant price levels. We can find the implicit price deflator from fixed capital formation data, expressed in current and constant prices, by assuming that q, = q, — q,_1 . In addition, the inflation rate is needed to calculate the cost of capital. I use the percentage change of the consumer price index as a measure of inflation. The proportions of investment financed by retained earnings, borrowings, and neW-share issues, are obtained from fiJnd-flow statements in Financial Statement Analysis, published by the Bank of Korea. The proportion of investment financed by 90 retained earnings is estimated by the changes in retained earnings, depreciation allowances, and other allowances. The proportion of investment financed by borrowings is estimated by the changes in external financing, which is the sum of long- terrn debt, short-term debt, bonds payable, accounts payable, and others liabilities. Finally, the proportion of investment financed by new-share issues is estimated by the changes in capital stock. I assume that the firm maintains its optimal financial structure. Therefore, the proportions of investment financed by retained earnings, borrowings, and new-share issues are fixed at the optimal level. I use the average proportions of investment funds during 1971-1994. For the comparability of the Korean classification industry with the U.S. classification of industry, I unify the categories for the financial source of investment. For the interest rate, I use the average interest rate of total borrowing23 for each industry in Korea. This interest rate is also obtained from fund-flow statement in Financial Statement Analysis. In addition, for the exchange rate, I use the market exchange rate, which refers to period averages, which is from International Financial Statistics. 23'I'Otal borrowing is estimated by the sum of long-term debt and short-tenn debt plus bonds payable, less accounts payable. 91 5-2. Data Sources for U.S. Parent Firms 5-2-1. Corporate Tax Rates in the United States. I assume that all corporate firms are subject to the top statutory tax rate at the federal level (11,). I use the average tax rate for state and local taxation of corporate income ( as) as a measure of the state and local corporate tax rate. Because state corporate taxes are deductible from corporate income for the purpose of the federal corporate tax, the combined corporate tax rate is estimated by the following. it = u, +115 — urns (97) The top corporate tax rates were 48 percent during 1971-1978, 46 percent during 1979-1986, 34 percent during 1987-1992, and 35 percent after 1993. The average tax rate for state and local taxation during 1971-1986 is obtained from Jorgenson and Yun (1991). Because they find that the average state and local rate has a steadily rising trend, and because they estimate the top corporate tax rate by 1986, I use 9 percent during 1987-1990, and 9.5 percent during 1991-1993 for the average state and local rate. The corporate tax rates are summarized in Table 11. 5—2-2. Personal Tax Rates There are three parameters associated with personal taxation. The rates of taxes on dividend income, interest income, and capital gains have been based on the 92 Table 11. Tax and Price Parameters for the United States (unit 0/o) Year Top Average Average Effective Tax "/6 Change of % Change o/o Corporate Marginal Marginal Tax Rate on Price in of Price in Change Tax Rate Tax Rate on Rate on Capital Gains Machinery and Structures of CPI Interest Dividend Equipment 1971 50.9 28.4 47.5 14.0 3.1 7.2 4.4 1972 51.1 28.4 47.5 14.0 1.3 6.7 3.2 1973 51.0 28.4 47.5 14.0 1.7 7.3 6.2 1974 51.2 28.4 47.5 14.0 7.1 11.9 11.0 1975 51.4 28.4 47.5 14.0 13.1 10.7 9.1 1976 51.5 28.4 47.5 14.0 5.8 4.7 5.8 1977 51.6 28.4 47.5 14.0 5.6 7.5 6.5 1978 51.4 28.4 47.5 14.0 5.3 9.4 7.6 1979 49.6 28.4 47.5 14.0 6.1 10.5 11.3 1980 49.9 28.4 47.5 14.0 8.2 8.4 13.5 1981 50.2 25.8 39.6 11.8 6.8 12.2 10.3 1982 50.8 25.8 39.6 11.8 4.0 7.5 6.2 1983 50.7 25.8 39.6 11.8 0.4 -2.8 3.2 1984 50.5 25.8 39.6 11.8 -0.7 0.8 4.3 1985 50.7 25.9 31.9 10.9 0.2 2.4 3.6 1986 50.8 24.6 29.7 10.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 1987 38.3 24.5 29.6 13.8 1.1 1.6 3.6 1988 38.3 22.2 25.0 14.9 1.5 4.6 4.1 1989 38.3 22.7 25.2 14.3 2.0 3.7 4.8 1990 38.3 22.6 24.9 13.9 1.7 3.2 5.4 1991 38.6 22.9 25.7 13.5 1.6 2.4 4.2 1992 38.6 21.5 25.0 13.2 0.2 -l.2 3.0 1993 39.6 21.8 27.0 13.5 .01 3.2 3.0 1994 39.6 21.8 27.0 13.5 -1.1 3.3 2.5 Sources: See the text. 93 estimates reported by King and Fullerton (1984), Fullerton and Karayannis (1993), and Feenberg (unpublished data). These estimates are outcomes of the TAXSIM model“. 5-2-3. Depreciation Allowances and Investment Tax Credits Under U.S. tax rules, three cost-recovery methods have been employed for tax purposes: straight-line, sum-of-year’s-digits, and declining-balance method. For machinery and equipment, including public utility structures, the sum-of—years digits method was used during 1954-1980, and the double-declining-balance method has been used for assets in 3-, 5-, 7—, or lO-year classes since 1986. The straight-line method has been used in structures since 1987. Gravelle (1994) summarizes the depreciation methods from 1953 to the present for each asset. In the case of the double-declining-balance method, the investment capital is depreciated for tax purposes by 2 / T . The present value of the depreciation allowances is: (98) For the sum-of-year’s-digits method, the tax deduction declines linearly over the tax lifetime. The present value of depreciation allowances is: — 2 Z ijgQ—sle’p‘ds-z —-,-—[1——1,—-(l—e""7)] (99) 0 f‘ p T pf 3" See more details in Fullerton and Karayannis (1993. p. 344). 94 Table 12. Depreciation Method Rules in the United States. Asset type Year Depreciation method Equipment (including public utility structures) 1953 Straight line 1954-80 Sum-of-years digits 1981 Double-declining balance 1982-86 150% declining balance Structures 1987-present 1953 1954-1969 1970-1980 1981-1986 1987-present Double-declining balance Straight-line Sum-of-years digits Nonresidential structures— 150% declining balance; Residential structures— Sum-of-years digits 175% declining balance Straight line Source: Gravelle (1994, p. 298) 95 We need two parameters to calculate the present value of depreciation allowances. These are the tax lifetime, T, and the firm’s discount rate, p. Data on the lifetimes of various fixed assets over time are available from Jorgenson and Sullivan (1981), and Gravelle (1994). I estimate the average interest rate of total borrowings for the firm’s discount rate and interest rate. The average interest rate of total borrowings is obtained by dividing the amount of interest payments and discount fees paid by all corporations in each industry by total debt, except accounts payable and other liabilities. The data for the estimation of the average interest rate are from balance and income statement of returns of active corporations in Corporation Income Tax Return, which is published by the Internal Revenue Service. Hulten and Wykoff (1981) estimated the rates of economic depreciation for 34 categories of depreciable non-residential assets and one residential asset. I use the weighted average of the rates of economic depreciation on 35 fixed assets in each industry. For the investment tax credit (ITC), I use also the weighted average rate of ITC on various fixed assets in each industry. Data on capital stock weights are derived from the study of Jorgenson and Sullivan (1981). By aggregating the proportions in their unpublished data, I obtain the rate of economic depreciation, ITC, and tax lifetimes in the 29 industries, for 3 types of asset in each industry. 96 5-2-4. Parameters Associated with Price and Financial Data For the price of capital goods and the rate of inflation, I obtain the data from the Survey of Current Business, published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In addition, I estimate the proportion of investment financed by retained earnings, borrowings, and new share issues by using the data of balance sheets from Corporation Income Tax Return, which is published by Internal Revenue Service. 5-3. Data Sources for Transnational Investment Data on the financial structure of U.S. investment in Korea are available from U.S. Direct InvestmentAbroad, published by U.S. Department of Commerce. In addition, I get the ratio of investment to total taxable base by using the data from U.S. Direct Investment Abroad (Benchmark Survey 19 7 7, 1982, 1989). Because there exist many missing data, I am forced to assume that all manufacturing industries have the same ratio of investment to total taxable base, and the same financial structure. The U.S. subsidiary has 8 sources of finance for investments in Korea, as shown in Table 7. Because there are restrictions on the financial data for U.S. subsidiaries, I assume that the parent firm wholly owns the subsidiary, and that there is no local borrowing. The required rate of return for the subsidiary’s investment financed by new shares is the weighted average of the transnational investment financed by the parent’s retained earnings, debt, and new-share issues. The weights are assumed to be the same as those found in domestic investment. These assumptions enable us to calculate the U.S. subsidiary’s cost of capital on various sources of finance. 97 ca as: “l the fec can 0ft; influ Chapter 6 Calculations of Effective Tax Rate and Cost of Capital I calculate the effective tax rates (ETRS) at constant prices for different types of assets and industries in Korea and the United States. I also estimate the cost of capital at actual prices for the different methods of financing and different types of assets, and for 21 industries in Korea, the U.S., and for U.S. subsidiaries with or without the tax holiday. Because my main concerns are the effect of tax incentives and the required rates of return on investments in various industries and countries, we focus on the estimation of the cost of capital. 6-1. Comparison of ETRs in Korea and the United States. We have some problems with estimating ETRS under actual prices. ETRs are very sensitive to the investor’s required rate of return and various price changes, as we can clearly see in the formulas of the cost of capital. Moreover, these statistics have been so volatile in the estimation period that we cannot distinguish between the effects of taxation and various price changes from ETRS. If ETRs at actual prices are more influenced by capital good prices and nominal interest rate, than by tax factors, it 98 W0 Ant of: ind of var of po CO 116‘ CO Ht 111 would be very difficult to compare the tax policies between the two countries. Another problem we encounter in estimating ETRS under actual prices is the difficulty of determining the post-tax rate of return. Because a saver invests in various assets or industries, the effective rate of return for the saver is the weighted average of the rates of return prevailing in different industries. Even though different rates of return in various industries are given, we scarcely determine the weighted average of the rates of return for the saver because it is hard to get the weights data, which represent portions of investment to industries. To overcome these problems, it is appropriate to compare the ETRs at constant prices. I assume that all goods prices increase at 5 percent per year and interest rates are 10 percent. The following figures allow a comparison between the tax policies of the two countries. Firstly, Figure 4 shows that the Korean tax policies give preferential treatment to machinery and equipment compared to structures. Figure 4 indicates that the difference between the ETRS for machinery and structures was very high for 1973- 1981. This difference reflects the preferred tax treatment for key industries in Korea during 1970s. Secondly, both Figures 4 and 5 exhibit the slow-rising trends of ETRS. This can be explained by the elimination of tax preferences for key industries and the curtailment of tax incentives over time. Thirdly, Figure 5 shows that the ETR in transportation and public utilities is lower than the ETRS for any other sectors. This is due to the high depreciation rate allowed in the tax law, and the relatively low structure ratio in transportation and public utilities. The relatively high ETR of construction in Korea is explained by the high share of structures in total assets, because the tax benefit for investing in structures in Korea is very small. 99 (ID Figures 6 and 7 indicate the ETRs by assets and major industries in the United States. The decline in the period of 1975-1980 for machinery and transportation equipment is explained by the increase of the rate of ITC. A heavy decline of the ETRS in 1981 is due to the adoption of double-declining-balance method of depreciation accounting and the increase of the rate of ITC. The increase of tax lifetimes and the abolition of ITC by the Tax Reform Act (TRA) in 1986 caused an increase in the ETR afterwards. But the ETRs for machinery and equipment and for structures since 1986 are still slightly low, compared to those that prevailed in the period of 1971-1980. This can be explained by the corporate tax rate reduction in 1986. Unlike what we have in Korea, the ETRS for machinery and transportation are higher than those for structures. Even though investments in structures do not qualify for ITC (except for public utilities) and face a relatively low present value of depreciation allowances, the rates of economic depreciation for structures are strikingly low, compared to those for machinery and transportation equipment. The effect of the low rates of economic depreciation for structures dominates the disadvantage in tax position, thereby leads the low ETRs. The wholesale and retail trade industry had the lowest ETR during the period of 1971-1985, because the share of structures in wholesale and retail trade was high. The comparison of ETRS in both countries shows that the ETRs in machinery and transportation equipment in Korea were lower than those in the U. S. until 1980, but the situation was reversed from 1981 to 1985. It also lets us know that the ETRS in both countries tend to be stable after 1985. While the Korean government provided generous tax incentives for key industries during the 1970s, the U. S. government 100 off: 198 (an: the 1 rant the l offered benevolent incentives to promote overall investment during the first half of the 19808. The comparison of coefficients of variation in both countries enables us to analyze the degree of tax discrimination across industries or assets. Figure 8 shows that the special incentives for key industries in the 1970s increased the coefficient of variation in Korea, and the introduction of double-declining—balance depreciation and the increase of the rate of ITC during the period of 1981-1986 raised the coefficient of variation in the U. S. But TRA 86 brought the coefficient of variation back down in the U.S. 101 1441 I.:F.::.C.r ..: 77.223.022.35" Effective Tax Rate Ewe..." A. @2896 flax 5:8 5 R25» aw. >83 c.ecoo . 325 938 988 u 9.38 , 9.58 525 Secs . Paco , /la\..l..l..\ _ cbooo E: q 11 q a A q in q — a q A A A a q . $3 3.3 3.3 6.3 7:: 53 3mm .23 3% <3... Ill 2.23:3. 25 92639: 3 38:52:35 Isl jasmeozezo: min—=2: m: Zea—.3815 lxl 9:82.48 3 ZuzfimnElé _ .3. u 38 102 Effective Tax Rate Ewe—.5 m. H2835 Hex 5:8 m: nae—.2. E. 33.8. =5:an. 1 bi $3 33 b 1 Sum Gag 3.3 53 5mm Emu Emu Ewe <9... 133% +335 lelzgemmoeaam lenoamfiaomo: Inlcssgo 23 Dog: Hag—o IT magnom . 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I9: 35:5. gag: Illmwcaownoa gas.— wnoqcflm Ibl Ema—59% 98%» 982.038 lxl @838— 86 £03330 macmvaoa Ill dam—553:0: what—=9: IOI 53:..ng 25 ”£28 $39.03 IT 032 gangs—9:13 137 CHAPTER 7 DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KOREA The theoretical model derived in Chapter 5 shows that the tax policies of both the host and the home countries can have a significant impact on international capital flows, because tax policy is the one of the most important factors in measuring the cost of capital. The study of the effects of taxation on foreign direct investment (FDI) is important for analyzing capital flows and the behavior of multinational firms. Most studies of FDI, however, have focused on case studies of nontax factors in FDI. These studies include Goldberg (1972), Agarwal (1980), Dunning (1973, 1981), Torrisi (1985) and Tsai (1991). For more details about the determinants of FDI, see Singh and Jun (1995). They give a clear review of the literature on the nontax determinants of FDI. Empirical study focusing on the effect of taxation on FDI was pioneered by Hartman (1984). Hartman (1984), and Boskin and Gale (1987) analyze the effect of taxation on FDI, by estimating time-series equations of aggregate FDI in the United States. Hartman’s regression results suggest that there is a positive relationship between the after-tax rate of return received by foreign investors in the U.S. and ratio of F D1 138 financed by retained earnings to GNP for the US, and a negative relationship between the FDI-GNP ratio and the relative tax rate on foreigners compared to domestic residents. Boskin and Gale (1987) reestimate Hartman’s equation using updated tax-rate and rate-of-return series from F eldstein and Jun (1987). Although their estimated coefficients on the response of FDI to the rates of return are somewhat lower than Hartman’s results, they conclude that the results of Hartman are fairly robust. Slemrod (1990) disaggregates the data on FDI into the United States by seven major investing countries. He points out that the disincentive to investment caused by the tax system was implicitly measured by an average tax rate in the previous studies. He extends and updates a Hartman model of aggregate FDI in the US, by incorporating a measure of the effective tax rate on new investment in the United States. He also attempts to estimate the effect of both U.S. and home-country taxation on FDI. He finds that FDI from Canada and France (which adopt the territorial system) is more sensitive to U.S. tax rates than FDI from Japan and the UK. (which adopt the global system). His result indicates that the investment financed by retained earnings is, as proposed, not affected by the home-country taxation in global system countries. However, his estimation result reveals that the effect of the home-country taxation on FDI financed by equity transfer26 is not obviously more negative for global system countries than for territorial system countries. 2" In case of FDI financed by equity transfer, the country adopting a territorial system is independent of the home-country taxation, because the profits earned abroad are exempt from the home-country taxation. Unlike the territorial system country, the global system country depends on the home-country taxation, because the profits earned abroad are taxed in the home country when they are repatriated as dividends. 139 Grubert and Mutti (1991) analyze the impact of the host-country taxation and tariffs on the international distribution of real capital stocks, by using 1982 data on a cross-section of 33 countries. They show that taxes and tariffs play an important role in the investment decisions by U.S. multinational firms. They use the average effective tax rate (t,) in the host country as a tax variable. The tax coefficient on l/te is 0.11, and is particularly sensitive to the capital stock of the US subsidiary. Cummins and Hubbard (1995) indicate that FDI data into the US, published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, do not distinguish between new capital investment and acquisitions of existing assets. Because the tax treatments of the two forms of investment in the United States are substantially different, empirical studies which ignore the distinction of the two forms of investment fail to estimate the effect of taxation accurately. Cummins and Hubbard use previously unexplored micro-data on multinational firm’s overseas investment (1980-1991) to measure more precisely the effect of taxation on new direct investment into the United States, and to analyze subsidiaries’ new investment decisions. The authors consider tax incentives, and fit a neoclassical model with tax considerations to the data on the U.S. subsidiary’s investment in other countries. Their results reject a simple specification in which taxes do not influence investment. The estimated tax effects are economically important. Most of studies on the effect of taxation on FDI omit the home-country taxation from the analysis, and do not incorporate simultaneous nontax determinants of FDI in the regression model. In addition, most authors, including Slemrod (1991), do not incorporate into their regression models the details of the international taxation, such as the credit-with-deferral method and withholding taxes on repatriated dividend and interest 140 ch: bet income. The transnational cost of capital for multinational subsidiaries is relevant in analyzing the effect of international taxation on FDI. In this chapter, I incorporate ETRs of both the home and host countries, as well as various nontax factors into the regression model. Furthermore, I incorporate international tax system on repatriated earnings into the regression model, by using the transnational cost of capital for the U.S. subsidiary. On the other hands, I disaggregate total FDI in Korea by manufacturing and services, and by major capital-exporting countries, the United States and Japan. Our interest in this chapter is to investigate the links between tax policy and investment decisions, and between the cost of capital and investment decisions. By using the effective tax rates and the costs of capital which I derived in Chapter 6, I attempt to estimate whether the cost of capital or effective tax rate in either Korea or the U.S. have a significant effect on the level of FDI in Korea. Most economic variables that exhibit strong trends, such as GDP, FDI, and the wage level, are not stationary. This nonstationarity, which has a unit root problem, makes economic interpretation difficult (see more details in Greene (1997)). When we linearly combine the variables that have a unit-root problem and this linear combination is stationary, we say that the variables are cointegrated with each other. However, cointegration is not a serious problem in time series with a small number of observations, because cointegration implies that there is a long-run relationship between variables. The cointegration problem does not matter in our regression model, because we do not have enough observations to consider cointegration Before I run my regression model, I check for unit root problems, by using the Dickey-Fuller test. The test result indicates that most variables have unit-root problems. 141 To circumvent unit root problems, I use the first differences of variables. The first- differencing technique reduces or eliminates the unit root problems”. The empirical results are obtained by ordinary least squares (OLS) technique. While heteroskedasticity primarily arises in cross-section data, the regression model using time-series data usually encounters serious autocorrelation problem. Another problem we encounter in estimating the regression model is the existence of multicollinearity, in which dependent variables are too highly correlated to allow precise analysis of their individual effect. I have serious autocorrelation problem in the regression model for the analysis of U.S. direct investment in Korea. I use the Cochrane-Orcutt method to eliminate this problem. I also find the existence of multicollinearity in my regression models. The most frequently used remedy is to drop variables suspected of causing multicollinearity. In so doing, I present four or five models for explaining the effects of various dependent variables precisely. This procedure improves the efficiency of OLS technique. 7-1. Empirical model and results Kim (1994) attempts to estimate the determinants for FDI in Korea. He incorporates various nontax factors, such as GDP, wage level, the number of strike. The statutory corporate tax rate is used as a proxy for the Korean tax policy. His result shows that the Korean tax policy is not sensitive to FDI in Korea. 27 Let’s suppose a nonstationary variable, y,. I assume that y, = a + yH + v, , where a is a constant term and V, is a white noise. By iterating substitution, we get y, = 2(01 + V,) . This equation will be i=0 eventually be an infinite effect. When I use the first difference of y, instead of y, , the first difference is stationary, and has a finite effect, such as y, — yH 2: a + V, . For more details about unit root, see Dickey and Fuller (1981) and Engle and Granger (1987). 142 Ahn (1994) estimates the effect of the corporate tax rates in the home and host countries on FDI inflows. He finds that the statutory tax rates in Korea has a significant effect on total FDI inflows, but not for the weighted average of the statutory rates in the U.S. and Japan. Kim (1994) and Ahn (1994) omit the role of tax incentives and the cost of capital in determining FDI inflows. As Slemrod (1990) indicates, the average tax rate or the statutory tax rate is not appropriate to capture the effect of capital cost and tax incentives. Because we are interested in explaining the effects of tax policy and the actual cost of capital on F D1 in Korea, we will use the effective tax rate at constant prices, and the cost of capital at actual prices. ETR at constant prices represents only the effect of tax policy in the host country or the home country. The cost of capital under actual prices is a comprehensive measure, which represents the effects of rates of return, the firm’s financial structure, and taxation in both the home and the host countries. We use data from 1971 to 1994. The specification of dollar values is in logs, so that the coefficients are elasticities. The estimated regression equation is specified as follows: Aln FDI, = ,3, + awn GDP, + fiZAETR, + ,6,AC0C, + ,64Aln WAGE, + flSATARIFF, + ,66ACREDIT, + ,B7Aln EX, + ADM/[84, + flgASTRIKE, + e, , (98) where FDI is the arrival of foreign direct investment, GDP is gross domestic product, ETR is the effective tax rate, CDC is the cost of capital, WAGE is a wage index, TARIFF is a measure of openness on trade and capital market, CREDIT is credit rating, which is 143 related to political risk and economic stability, STRH2MOD£ m0<305 m0<325 H0355 200m 300 0055 00800.0. 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