o t ' . , fier‘fimfr': “xiii-9".) ‘1'“;- .:7.+£1' ° "1 ‘ 1‘ , . _.J 31...: ~11 -. .vu’.‘ - _, - mu... ... 5‘...-.-..‘. .. - .- way-v ' «32: .' f“ a“ .V ‘ ‘ x ‘ “11‘4“ tr, ." '5' . v? 1‘3"- ‘ a A w.‘ .. w "a .F.T"‘.DI lan—.I ‘ _.-, : “‘11???” m :_ :g- (‘0 I‘r . M2- ;. 1 {111% H 31%;? ,t ,- 2 A . . .=:;'.. < 2.,- " o. . -' M~..u—: THESIS L lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll||l 31293 01710 380 This is to certify that the thesis entitled Developmental Changes in Risk Indicators and the Prediction of Parental Physical Aggression presented by Lucy H. Seabrook has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Masters degree in Psgchology (NAM? ¥nZ— . e . 8 n 03.... 55 o o: .9 so 8. a. 8. 8. 8.- .... 8. .... 2.. 2.. 2..- 2..- 2..- 2.- 8.. 2.. 2.- 2..- 2.- .3. 2.. .....- .....- a ... a: e: o: a: e o E. N. .n. 8.. mm. .m. 3.. 8.. 8.- o..- S.- 8: m... .N S.- 8: 2.- 8.- v... mm- o... X..- m a: .9 on a. e o o .9 N..- «.2- uN. N.- «N... N: NN. S. .... 2. .N. .N. 8.- 8.- S. .... 2. 8. ... 8.. .... w e. e: e e: a: a: o .5 e e .N. an. ".N.- 8.. 3. N2 8.- no... ...- 8.- .... .N.- 2.. v..- n... .... «.N.- ...N: «N; n..- .N.- .... o: e a: e: e: ea 0 SUN. .8. NN.- v». .... n... 8.- 8.- 8.- no. 8.- »..- N9- o..- v..- ...- oNr NN.- .N. .- ...- ....- .. e: .3 o: a: a: a. o S ..N. mm. .2- N... ...... 8.. 8.. Not 8.- .... ....- ..N: N... .N.- 8: z..- N..- o..- v..- v..- NN.. a. e e: e: o: o 8. 8.- .N. .N.. m ..- a..- 3.. an. an. 8... ... 8. 3.- 8.- .... .... o. .- X..- v.. 2.. 8.. o a: e: o: e 2.. 2.. .N. n..- o..- 8.- 89. 3.. 3. ... oN. .... 2..- v... 2.. no. 8.- N...- N.. ... .... 3 c a: a: o: .3 e W No.- .... N. n ..- 2..- 8: an. an. 3. So. 3.... n2. 8.- .nNr no. .... 8. c..- .N. .... .N. m. a: o a: a: o o 2..- n..- 8. o... 8.. ....- .n. ..N. .N. am. an. 8.. 8.- 2. ..N. «N. 2..- 8: .... no. N.. . oe coo co. 99 o o D S.- c..- 2. N..- 8.- v..- N. .... 2. NM. ..n. uN. N...- N. .N. ... 3.- 2..- No. 8. 2.. m o o. e. a a a: a: a: W 2..- ..N.- ..N. N.- a..- NN.- QN. ... 2.. 3“. on. a... .... c2. 2. 02.. 2.. not 8. 3. 2. .u .....8 .m 2%.: S6 over time, while the relationship between maternal physical aggression and conflict in the home was strongest early in the study. Several patterns emerged among correlations for fathers’ and mothers’ risk indicators and stable characteristics, providing interesting information about the family context of the sample (Table 3). Depression (both current and past levels) was positively correlated for fathers and mothers. Mothers’ higher past levels of depression were associated with fathers’ reports of increased family conflict, especially during Times 2 and 3. In addition, mothers’ rates of past depression were related to lower socioeconomic status. Parents’ ratings of both child difficulty and conflict in the home were highly correlated. Stable background characteristics (i.e., antisociality, education, & IQ) were highly related between fathers and mothers, as well as both groups of parents’ background characteristics with socioeconomic status. Higher paternal antisociality was related to several maternal variables, including higher levels of worst-ever depression (Time 2), increased alcohol consumption (Time 2), higher rates of perceived child difficulty (Time 1), and elevated conflict in the home (Times 1, 2, and 3). Mothers’ higher antisociality was also correlated with fathers’ variables, most notably his perception of more child externalizing behaviors (Times 1 and 2). In addition, higher maternal education and IQ were associated with lower current paternal depression, although mothers’ current depression was not significantly correlated with fathers’ education or IQ. 57 Qogelatigns among Change Variables Since historical changes in risk factor level were an integral part of this study, correlations between mothers’ and fathers’ change scores and their respective degree of physical aggression were also calculated. For fathers, larger degrees of change in three risk indicators was correlated with other variables: more change in reports of family conflict was associated with variability in worst-ever depression; greater changes in alcohol consumption were related to both higher antisociality and lower IQ; and more change in socioeconomic status was related to higher paternal education. (Appendix D). These relationships indicate that absolute amount of change, rather than direction of change, is related among risk indicators. In no case did risk factors change in directions opposite of the other; that is, greater change in one risk factor was not related to less change in another. For mothers, there were five significant correlations among her change variables and background characteristics. Greater changes in current depression were related to greater changes in depression levels in the past. In turn, greater changes in past depression were associated with higher maternal antisociality. Variation in amount of alcohol consumed was related to less change in family conflict and higher antisociality. In addition, changes in maternal perception of child difficulty were associated with variation in socioeconomic status, which was related to higher maternal education and IQ (Appendix E). For neither parent was physical aggression related to changes in these risk indicators. 58 Correlations among Concurrent Variables Next, bivariate correlations were run among current (T3) levels of risk factors and parental physical aggression (i.e., risk indicators and physical aggression measured at Time 3). For fathers, physical aggression was related to elevated perceptions of both child difficulties (r = .229, p < .05) and conflict in the home ( r = .340, p < .001). In turn, higher levels of current child difficulties was associated with both higher worst-ever depression and conflict in the home (r = .420, p < .001). Higher current socioeconomic status was related to lower current rates of depression ( r = .222, p < .05) and antisociality ( r = -.249, p < .01), and higher education and IQ ( r = .590, p < .001; and r = .258, p < .01, respectively) (T able 4). For mothers, concurrent risk indicators were highly related. Like paternal physical aggression, maternal physical aggression was associated with perceptions of more child behavior problems ( r = .332, p < .001) and conflict in the home (r = .217, p < .05). Higher levels of maternal current depression were related to multiple factors, including higher levels of past depression (r = .491 , p < .001), higher alcohol consumption (r = .274, p < .01), the perception of more child externalizing behaviors (r = .260, p < .01), more conflict in the home ( r = .361, p < .001), and higher antisociality (r = .422, p < .001). Higher levels of worst- ever depression were related to the same variables and to lower current socioeconomic status (r = -.222, p < .01) as well. Maternal perception of current high child externalizing, besides being significantly correlated with physical aggression and current and worst-ever depression, 59 Table 4 o la 'ons tween Fa ’ Concurrent V 'a les i A si n a? g.. Egg. g, “~53 Ea g... ‘2’ 23 05 u a o< gfifi 08 0% u a. 0 Phys 1.00 Asst Current -.02 1.00 Level of Dep Level -.02 .42 1 .00 Worst Dep "" Current .13 .03 .05 1.00 Ale Consn Current Perc .16 15 .30 .12 1.00 of Child " Diff Current .34 .17 .08 -.Ol .42 1.00 confliCt it! it. Current .01 -.22 -.10 .05 -.02 -.06 1.00 SES * A83 -.07 .19 .07 .094 .l 1 .16 -.25 1.00 it Educ .05 -.16 -.11 -.014 -.04 .04 .59 -.32 1.00 it. It. IQ -.13 -.14 .014 .02 -.13 .17 .26 -.04 .43 1.00 it ... *p<.05 "p<.01 “*p<.001 60 Table 5 C rre tions be u Mothers’ Coneu at V lee and Ph ice] A n .2 2 g 1’3 o 2 = a: a a 3 .3 .>';’ 2 8 6 5 g 3 5°. 8 9 i a. Q m < 23 a“: < E 5 o “5 Phys 1.00 A28! Current .14 1.00 Level of Dep Level .09 .49 1.00 worst it. Dep Alc .05 .27 .29 1.00 Consn I. it. Child .33 .26 .40 .04 1.00 Difi‘ til I. ‘0‘ Conflict .22 .36 .27 .14 .38 1.00 t tfit it it. SES .01 -. 14 -.22 -.06 -.20 -. 19 1.00 it t 0 A88 .12 .26 .42 .17 .20 .18 -.32 1.00 it 0“ t it. Educ -.06 -.02 -. 16 .04 -. l 7 .07 .55 -.30 1.00 it. it. IQ -.03 .10 -.01 .01 -.10 .14 .42 -.19 .56 1.00 tit t ... 'p<.05 "p<.01 "‘p<.001 61 was also related to higher current family conflict ( r = .378, p < .001), lower current SES ( r = -.197, p < .05), and higher antisociality ( r = .200, p < .05). Higher socioeconomic status was related to lower recent levels of depression ( r = -.222, p < .05), fewer child externalizing behaviors ( r = -.197, p < .05), and less conflict in the home (r = -.187, p < .05) (Table 5). These matrices suggest that both fathers’ and mothers’ current risk factors were highly related, but that risk factors were more interrelated for mothers and that the nature of her current risk “status” was dependent on multiple and interacting components. elti hi betweenHi - Low- sinP ents 'kIn' Parents were divided into two groups based on the degree of their reported use of physical aggression (i.e., low or high levels of physical aggression). The relationships between group status (i.e., low- or high-aggression) and risk indicators (and across time) were examined with repeated measures multivariate analysis of variance. Significance for all multivariate tests was determined using Wilks Lambda. Within-subjects and between-subjects effects for the two groups of parents are presented in Table 6. mm. Significant main effects of Time were found for Current [F(1, 214) = 6.48; p < .01] and Worst-ever Depression [F(1, 214) = 6.51; p < .01]. As a whole, parents experienced increases in current depression over time, but decreases in worst-ever depression. In addition, mothers and fathers across groups difl‘ered, with mothers consistently reporting greater worst-ever depression [F(1, 214) = 12.42; p < .01]. However, levels of depression did not significantly differ between low- and high- aggression parents. 62 Alcohol Consumption. There was a significant Parent Sex X Time interaction for Alcohol Consumption [F(1, 214) = 7.68; p < .001]. For the entire sample, there was a significant decrease in amount of alcohol consumed across time. In addition, mothers’ and fathers’ levels of drinking changed in different ways over time, with fathers’ consumption decreasing more than mothers’ (Figure 1). At Time 1, fathers’ consumption was significantly greater than mothers’, although this difference dissipated across time: differences between mothers’ and fathers’ alcohol consumption that were significant at Time 1 of data collection were not significant at Times 2 or 3. Moreover, levels of alcohol consumption did not differ significantly between low- and high-aggression parents. Child Emmalizing Behau'or. A significant multivariate interaction of Group X Time was found for child externalizing behavior [F ( 1, 214) = 3.26; p < .05]. High- aggression parents reported high levels of child externalizing behaviors that were maintained over time. In contrast, low-aggression parents reported moderate levels of child externalizing behaviors when children were ages three to five (Time 1), then reported diminished child behavior problems over the next six to seven years (Times 2 & 3). At the time when parental physical aggression was measured (Time 3), high- and low-aggression parents reported significant differences in their children’s acting-out behaviors (Figure 2). Coof_lict in the Home finm’ omen}. A significant three-way multivariate interaction of Parent Sex X Group X Time was found for conflict in the home environment [F(1, 214) = 4.70; p < .01]. This interaction arises from: (1) differences 63 Table 6 Regated Measures Multivariate Analysis of Variance for High- & Low-Aggression Parents Within-Subjects Multivariate F Variable Parent Sex x Group x Time Parent Sex x Time Group x Time Time Current Depression 0.05 0.64 0.05 6.48" Worst-ever .66 .54 .07 6.51“ Depression Alcohol 1.29 1.07 7.68"" 990’" Consumption Child Externalizing .50 3.26“ .61 4.59" Behaviors Family Conflict 4.70" .44 .57 1.29 SES .57 .26 .01 93"” Between-Subjects Variable Sex of Parent Group (High/Low Sex of Parent X Within + Residual Aggression) Group Error df F df F df F df F Current 1 3.13 l 2.92 1 2.32 214 (22.95) Depression Worst-ever l 12.42”“ 1 .44 1 2.10 214 (109.18) Depression Alcohol 1 7.23“ l .28 l .19 214 (14869614) Consumption Child Ext 1 3.33 1 15.10“” 1 .12 214 (88.96) Behaviors Conflict l 3.26 l 19.18‘" 1 .06 214 (9.83) SES 1 .01 l .47 l .l 1 214 (37023.14) Antisocial 1 27.72""'"'I l .00 1 1.54 214 (76.27) Behavior Education 1 4.33“ 1 .01 1 .1 1 214 (3.55) 1Q 1 15.66"” 1 .48 1 .16 214 (181.45) 64 3539.00 .0582 he EsoE< w xow Ewan. consume c2323.: _. 0.59“. $653.... 2265...... m mEP N 35. _. 95... 0 com 83 com? ooow oomN m.>n_0 :0 28m between high- and low-aggression families and mothers and fathers, (2) high aggression fathers reporting lower aggression at Times 1 and 2 than high-aggression mothers, but equal levels at Time 3, and (3) low-aggression mothers and fathers differ at Time 3. High-aggression mothers consistently reported the highest conflict scores, which remained high across time. High-aggression fathers also reported relatively high degrees of conflict in the home, and mean conflict scores increased over time. For low- aggression mothers, ratings of conflict changed over time, with a decrease in conflict at Time 2, when the child was approximately 6 to 8 years of age, and a return to higher ratings of conflict at Time 3, when the child was approximately 9 to 11 years of age. Low-aggression fathers rated conflict the lowest of all four groups in this interaction, with low levels of conflict that were consistent and stable across time (Figure 3). High- and low-aggression parents were significantly different regarding this risk factor. Difference between high- and low-aggression groups was maintained consistently over time. In addition, ratings of conflict for high aggression mothers and fathers converged at Time 3, while conflict scores for low aggression mothers and fathers diverged at Time 3. W. A significant main effect of Time was found for Socioeconomic Status [F(1, 214) = 9.3; p < .001]. All families in the sample experienced improved occupational prestige over time, which did not differentiate low- and high- aggression parents. 66 mao_>m:mm mEszEme EEO w _o>o.._ :o_mmo._mm< :mozson :ozoESE N 959". TEEmn. 56363.33... .35qu 223989591...— m 95 N 95 - P 85¢ _ b m _ . I: m .... or la .... N_. r T ._ H. homo :0 28m .65.. 22mmo2mm< a x90. «2222 .u26E2o.._>2m 220: 2_ 2:200 «3025 2289.32. m 239“. 2625“. 223953.33..- Eocuoi 223953-264 265m". 223235-291... mam—=05. co_mmo._mmm-2m_:¢ m as: N 022:. mm". 20 Boom Sgble Background Characteristics. Regarding stable background characteristics, fathers had significantly higher antisocial behavior scores [F(1, 214) = 27.72; p < .001], educational status [F(1, 214) = 4.33; p < .05], and IQs [F(1, 214) = 15.66; p < .001] than did mothers. However, these features did not differentiate between high- and low- aggression parents. For the next set of analyses (i.e., hierarchical regressions testing hypotheses 3 & 4), physical aggression was viewed as a continuous variable, rather than the discreet high- and low-aggression groups. In this continuum, scores for physical aggression ranged from 0, indicating no threat or use of physical aggression, to 208, indicating frequent threat or use of physical aggression. Reltio in; be cc Lil'eln " kInc'cato | - u -.- ocfP -2 2 ° at-“ The relationship between change in risk indicators and parental physical aggression was examined within a proximal-to-distal hierarchical regression model’. The role of parental background characteristics (i.e., antisociality, education, and IQ) in helping to predict physical aggression was examined by entering simultaneously as the first step in the proximal-to-distal model based on the theoretical logic that variables inherent to the individual parent would have more predictive power than variables farther removed fiom the individual. Thus the order of entry into the regression equation was as Parental physical aggression was also regressed onto change scores independently (Appendix G), within a hierarchical regression model of change scores without the inclusion of stable background characteristics (Appendix H), and within a hierarchical regression model of change scores for which stable background characteristics were added as a last step in the equation (Appendix I). In each of these cases, parental physical aggression was not significantly predicted. 69 follows: 1. antisociality, education, IQ; 2. change in depression (Current, Worse); 3. change in alcohol consumption; 4. change in child externalizing behaviors; 5. change in conflict; 6. change in SES. For both mothers and fathers, the change model did not significantly predict physical aggression‘ (Appendix F). Rolatiooshio between Concorlent Risk Qdigtors Q pegge of Physiofl Agggssion The next analyses examined concurrent, rather than historical, levels of risk indicators as predictors of parental physical aggression. In this case, risk indicators were measured at the same time that parental physical aggression was assessed (i.e., Time 3). Stable background characteristics were added simultaneously as the first step of the equation. Thus, the variables were entered in the following order: 1. antisociality, education, IQ; 2. concurrent depression (Current, Worse); 3. concurrent alcohol consumption; 4. concurrent child externalizing behaviors; 5. concurrent conflict; 6. concurrent SES. This model significantly predicted parental physical aggression. Fifteen percent of mothers’ physical aggression was accounted for, with high levels of child externalizing behaviors emerging as the only significant predictor of higher physical aggression in this sample (Table 7). When concurrent child externalizing behavior was considered alone (i.e, parental physical aggression regressed onto concurrent Time 3 child externalizing The inclusion of antisociality, education, and IQ added little predictive power to the model, accounting for an additional 3% of fathers’ physical aggression (up from 6% in the model that included change variables only), and adding no predictive power to mothers’ physical aggression model (see Appendices H & I). In addition, whether these stable background characteristics were considered first or last within the model did not alter their predictive importance. 70 Table 7 Summag of Hierarchical Roggession Analysis for Physical Agggession Regressed onto Stable Bacflound Characteristics and Concurrent Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers Step Variable [3 R2 AR’ [3 R’ AR1 1 IQ - .18 .03 n/a .01 .01 n/a Antisociality - .04 .1 1 Education .11 - .03 2 IQ - .18 .03 .00 - .01 .03 .02 Antisociality - .03 .08 Education .11 - .02 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .12 Worst .01 - .01 3 1Q - .18 .05 .02 - .01 .03 .00 Antisociality - .05 .08 Education .11 - .03 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .12 Worst .00 - .01 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .14 .01 4 1Q -.14 .10 .05 .01 .13" .10 Antisociality - .07 .08 Education .08 .00 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .08 Worst - .07 - .14 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .12 .04 Concurrent Child Externalizing Behavior .23‘ .35‘" 5 1Q - .24" .21“ .11 .00 .13" .01 Antisociality - .1 1 .07 Education .08 - .01 Concurrent Depression: Current - .10 .06 Worst - .01 - .13 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .14 .03 Concurrent Child Externalizing Behavior .05 .32” Concurrent Conflict .40"" .09 71 (Table 7, con’t) 6 IQ - .25' .21" .00 - .03 .15‘ .02 Antisociality - .l 1 .08 Education .09 - .08 Concurrent Depression: Current - .09 .06 Worst - .01 - .13 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .15 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .04 .32" Concurrent Conflict .39'” .13 Concurrent SES -.01 .16 Trimmed Models Fathers Mothers B R’ l3 R’ Concurrent Conflict .38‘" .15'"“l Concurrent Child 33”" .11"“ 1Q - .19“ Externalizing Behavior (" p s .05 " p s .01 ‘“ p s .001) 72 behaviors), Rz remained significant but dropped from .15 to .11 (p s .001). This model also significantly predicted paternal physical aggression. Twenty-one percent of fathers’ physical aggression was accounted for. Two factors emerged as significant predictors of his physical aggression: lower IQ scores and higher concurrent conflict in the home.’ Follow-up regression analyses were conducted to ascertain the importance of these two significant predictors in a trimmed model. When concurrent conflict and IQ were considered together outside of the model, R2 remained significant but dropped from .21 to .15. Concurrent conflict emerged as the stronger predictor of the two (conflict [3 = .38; p s .001), but both remained significant (IQ B = -.19; p s .05). This finding indicates that in circumstances where the level of family conflict was high, fathers with lower IQs were more likely to be physically aggressive toward their sons. A partial correlation was run on these two significant predictors to clarify their relation to physical aggression. The correlation between current conflict and physical aggression controlling for IQ was .27 (p s .01); the correlation between IQ and physical aggression controlling for current level of conflict was -.14 (nonsignficant). Thus, fathers’ perceptions of current conflict in the home was the more essential predictor of Concurrent risk indicators of child externalizing and family conflict also significantly predicted parental physical aggression when assessed separately (Appendix I). These Time 3 risk indicators also significantly predicted parental physical aggression without consideration of stable background characteristics, and when stable background characteristics were entered last into the regression equation (Appendix L). It did not matter if stable background characteristics were considered first or last within the model; the amount of variance accounted for did not change. 73 paternal physical aggression. meting Physical Aggression from Partner’s Risk Indicators In an effort to more fully understand the pathways that lead to parental physical aggression, additional regression analyses were conducted. Of particular interest here was the prediction of a parent’s degree of physical aggression toward his or her children based on the partner ’s risk factors (Table 8). Fathers’ physical aggression was not predicted by any maternal risk factors but was predicted by higher levels of maternal physical aggression (R2 = .12, p < .001). Maternal physical aggression was predicted by fathers’ current experience of conflict in the home (R2 = .19, p < .001) and fathers’ reports of concurrent child externalizing behavior (R2 = .06, p < .01). In addition, mothers’ higher physical aggression was predicted by higher physical aggression by fathers (R2 = .12, p < .001). Regressing maternal physical aggression onto these three significant paternal variables (Fathers’ concurrent conflict, Fathers’ concurrent child externalizing behaviors, and Fathers’ physical aggression), accounted for 11% of the variance in maternal aggression. Discussion Much research on risk for parental physical aggression is based on cross-sectional data. Such studies fail to address whether risk associated with a family history of disruption and change is more likely to predict physical aggression than levels of risk factors impinging upon a parent at a given point in time. The main finding from the current study was that parents’ current risk levels were predictive of physical aggression, 74 Table 8 ngicting Physical Aggggoion from Partner’s Risk Indicators 75 Predicting Fathers ’ Physical R2 Predicting Mothers ’ R2 Aggression fi-om: Physical Aggression fiom: Mothers’ Antisociality, .01 Fathers’ Antisociality, .00 Education, & IQ Education, & IQ Change in mothers’ Depression .02 Change in fathers’ Depression .00 Change in mothers’ Alcohol .00 Change in fathers’ Alcohol .00 Consumption Consumption Change in mothers’ rating of .01 Change in fathers’ rating of .00 Child Extemalizing Behavior Child Extemalizing Behavior Change in mothers’ reports of .00 Change in fathers’ reports of .01 Conflict Conflict Change in mothers’ SES .00 Change in fathers’ SES .01 Mothers’ Concurrent .00 Fathers’ Concurrent .03 Depression Depression Mothers’ Concurrent Alcohol .01 Fathers’ Concurrent Alcohol .00 Consumption Consumption Mothers’ Concurrent rating of .03 Fathers’ Concurrent rating of .06” Child Extemalizing Behavior Child Extemalizing Behavior Mothers’ Concurrent reports of .03 Fathers’ Concurrent reports of .19*” Conflict Conflict Mothers’ Concurrent SES .00 Fathers’ Concurrent SES .00 Mothers’ .12 Fathers’ .12 Physical Aggression "* Physical Aggression *" I'p s .05 "p s .01 *"p s .001 while amount of change in the parental history or risk was not. In particular, current levels of perceived child difficulty and family conflict predicted parental physical aggression. Moreover, these two risk indicators were elevated consistently across time for high-aggression parents. The results of each hypothesis tested are discussed in the following sections. Risk Levels & Aggressive Parenting Hypothesis 1 suggested low- and high-aggression parents would differ in their levels of risk factors. That is, parents who demonstrated higher levels of aggression toward their children would experience greater levels of depression, alcohol consumption, child behavior problems, conflicted family environments, and lower socioeconomic status. Depression, alcoholism, and lower socioeconomic status did not differ for high versus low aggression parents. However, Hypothesis 1 was supported by the finding that physically aggressive parents were more likely to have children who were high extemalizers and to live in home environments that were more conflicted than low- aggression parents. Hypothesis 2, that risk factor levels experienced by the high-aggression parents would increase in intensity over time relative to low-aggression parents, was not supported. The difl'erences between high- and low-aggression parents that emerged with Hypothesis l-high-aggression parents experience greater child behavior problems and more conflict at home—were stable across time, suggesting that risk for physical abuse is present early on and is maintained over time. Thus, parents did not appear to move in and 76 out of risk status so much as remain at a risk level characterized by consistently elevated levels of conflict and child behavior problems. vers ta ii inPredic in P en A essi n The notion of risk for physical aggression as stable versus fluid was addressed by comparing the predictive importance of history of changes in risk indicators to concurrent levels of risk indicators. Hypothesis 3, that a parent’s history of changes in risk indicators predicted aggression toward children, was not supported, while Hypothesis 4, that the levels of risk factors currently experienced by a parent predicted physical aggression, was supported by the data. Overall, a family’s map of developmental changes in risk factors was not predictive of aggressive parenting, while a “snapshot” of current levels of certain risk components was: the prediction of physical aggression was strongest when risk levels were measured concurrently. In particular, the current amount of conflict within a family and the perception of children’s current externalizing behaviors were significant predictors of parental physical aggression. In addition, conflicted families with fathers possessing fewer intellectual resources were at greater risk for physical aggression. Thus, in the case of parental aggression, it appears that the “here and now”of the parenting context is more influential of parents’ use of aggression than are historical risk levels. An important trend should be noted that adds depth to the notion of risk for parental aggression. The risk indicators that predicted parental physical aggression—high current levels of child externalizing behavior and family conflict-were stable and elevated across time. This element of stability is supported by earlier studies that have 77 also shown that enduring risk indicators place families at greater risk than change, and that prolonged exposure to stress (rather than isolated stressful events) distinguishes between abusive and nonabusive parents (Ammerman, 1991; Spicer & Franklin, 1994). The cumulative impact over time of experiencing “typical” chronic parenting hassles-being nagged or whined to, being interrupted, dealing with difficult behavior, continuously cleaning up afier children—and the parental response to them, may eventually have an adverse influence on the quality of parenting (Crnic & Acevedo, 1995). Researchers have suggested that the nature of daily parenting hassles is mediated by both the family’s and the child’s developmental stage, such that different factors exert their influence at different periods in the life course (Crnic & Acevedo, 1995). However, during the time frame of the current study, which covered multiple developmental changes (including the child’s entry into school and early adolescence), parental aggression was oot influenced by different risk factors at different periods: the two risk indicators predictive of parental aggression, perceived child externalizing behavior and family conflict, were consistently influential over time. Although the results of the current study cannot be compared to past parenting practices (i.e., one cannot know if this sample’s parental physical aggression emerged over time or existed all along), they provide tentative evidence that cumulative daily hassles associated with parenting may, over time, change the nature of parent-child relationships to become more problematic, conflictual, and aggressive. Almost a decade of parental exposure to perceived child behavior problems and a conflicted family environment appears to be the risk factor that 78 leads some parents to physically aggress against their sons. These two indicators are examined in greater detail in the following sections. Perception of Child Difficulty. This study provides strong evidence that the perception of child behavioral problems is indeed a marker of risk for physical aggression. Children who are perceived as “difficult” (e.g., overactive, aggressive, noncompliant) are more likely to engage in conflict-ridden and coercive interactions with their parents, are at higher risk of abuse, and tend to have highly stressed parents (Campbell, 1997; Garbarino & Sherman, 1980; Milner, 1993; Vietze et al., 1980). Parents with externalizing children report more negative impact on their social life, more negative and less positive feelings about parenting, and higher child-related stress; indeed, parents of high-extemalizing children report levels of stress as high as those reported by parents of children with autism (Donenberg & Baker, 1993). These parents also typically use aversive, yet ineffective discipline and high rates of aggression in interactions with their children (Patterson, 1982). Parent-child interactions are often a focal point for the manifestation of the effects of a variety of other proximal and distal sources of parenting stress (Mash & Johnston, 1990; Shaw, Owens, Vondra, Keenan, & Winslow; 1996). Holden and Banez (1996) found that levels of abuse potential did not differ significantly across low, medium, and high levels of child-associated stress when parent stress was law. However, at high levels of parent stress, abuse potential was significantly higher and increased substantially as child-associated (i.e., externalizing behaviors) stress increased. Both child behavior and negative parental control contribute unique and independent variance to maternal 79 ratings of externalizing behavior problems (Campbell, 1997). In the current study, high-aggression parents reported higher levels of child behavior problems than did low-aggression parents consistently across time, suggesting that parents in this group were consistently more stressed by their children's behavior. Low-aggression parents reported fewer troublesome behaviors over time. Campbell’s recent (1997) summary of behavior problems in young children aptly provides an explanation for this finding. She observes that when initial symptoms are more severe, mothers are negative and controlling, and family stress is elevated and chronic, child behavior problems are likely to persist. Other children with lower levels of initial problems, living in less stressful family circumstances, will continue on a normal developmental trajectory. Parental perceptions of their child's behavior may or may not reflect the reality of child behavior, but are (regardless of the accuracy of these perceptions) more important in predicting parenting practices than are observers’ ratings of child behavior (Mash, Johnston, & Kovitz, 1983). The finding that high-aggression parents view their sons as high extemalizers can be interpreted in several ways. While the accuracy of parental perceptions in this sample cannot be addressed within the confines of this study, multiple explanations of the results should be considered. The high-aggression parents may be biased toward viewing their sons' behavior in a negative light. In particular, mothers prone to physically abuse their children hold inaccurate interpretations and expectations of their children, and these inaccurate interpretations and expectations become more distorted and biased as distress levels increase (Ammerman, 1991; Milner, 1993). Many other studies have found persistently 80 - n inaccurate parental perceptions of their children’s behaviors, despite participation in a program designed to address such incorrect perceptions (Barber, 1992; Perry, Wells, & Doran, 1983; Whipple & Wilson, 1994). Parents who view their children as high extemalizers may be less able to alter the negative patterns established early on between themselves and their children, while low- aggression parents experience improving perceptions of their children over time. Mash and Johnston (1990) describe some parenting behaviors as “automatic” in the sense that a history of repeated experiences with a particular child (e.g., acting out behaviors) may result in certain parenting responses (e.g., physical aggression), preceded by little parental appraisal of the event. They report that “parents of problem children form a cognitive map for anticipating deviant behavior that functions not only as a guide for parent behavior but also as a filter through which child behavior is interpreted” (p. 316). In fact, the best predictors of stability in early child behavior problems are a family climate of disruption and child-rearing practices (Campbell, Breaux, Ewing, & Szumowski, 1986). Another interpretation is that certain families genuinely experience difficult child management problems as children progress through developmental stages, and thus resort to physical aggression, while children in other families do not present such challenges (and thus are not victims of parental physical aggression). Donenberg and Baker (1993) speculate that in a reasonably well-adjusted family, there may be a cumulative process, with stress focused in the early years on difficulties posed by the child and progressively generalizing to the family system if the child’s problems have not been reduced. With this interpretation, child behavior is an initial stimulus and ongoing “cause” of parental 81 aggression. However, there is little evidence to support the notion that difficult child behavior in abused children precedes harsh parental treatment (Mash & Johnston, 1990). Thus, when a mother reports that she uses considerable aggression when disciplining her child, she may also exaggerate her child’s behavioral problems, justifying her use of aggression. This possibility has been suggested elsewhere (O’Keefe, 1994). Children’s behavioral difficulties may be the cause of parental stress, the consequence of parental stress, or, more likely, a combination of both, in an escalating cycle of child misbehavior and parental reactions (Baker & Heller, 1996). Children with externalizing problems are often reciprocating family aggression and parental punitiveness with high levels of aggression (Dadds, et al., 1992; O’Keefe, 1994; Patterson, 1982). Such child behavioral difficulties are closely related to widespread negative family interaction patterns (Dadds, Sanders, Morrison, & Rebgetz, 1992), and enhance existing levels of conflict in the home environment. Conflict Results of the current study strongly support many others (Belsky, Lerner & Spanier, in press; O’Keefe, 1994; Perry, Wells, & Doran, 1983; Straus & Gelles, 1990; Vondra,, 1990; Wolfe, 1985) that have found greater parental aggression in highly conflicted homes. Physically aggressive families in this study demonstrated no healthy resolve to family conflict. Consistently high levels of conflict may suggest that changes in the structures of these families’ relationships did not occur, and that family members were “stuck” in persistent conflict with each other. Rutter (1994) found that family discord was a substantial risk factor in the absence of family changes (e.g., divorce, separation, loss of parent through death), whereas family changes constituted a 82 risk only when they reflected discord. When family relationships in general are strained, parents tend to express their negative feelings on one child (Rutter, 1994). Thus, behavior disturbances in children are part of a system that models and reinforces the particular behavioral “symptoms” (Patterson, 1982). More frequent family conflict increases children’s negative responding to such conflict (Cummings, 1994). The importance of family conflict in predicting physical aggression by fathers is affected by his IQ. That is, fathers with general deficits in cognitive functioning may be less able to tolerate family conflict before “losing their cool,” as discordant home environments may overtax the coping resources of lower-IQ fathers. Alternatively, the role of paternal IQ here may be representative of characteristics that affect the father-child interaction without being specific to the parenting role (Mash & Johnston, 1990). That is, fathers with fewer intellectual resources may demonstrate less tolerance for conflict in other dimensions of their lives. As a global indicator of the degree of fiiction present in the family environment, conflict may include marital troubles, difficulty between parents and children, and contention among siblings, and as such, has been identified as a key factor in understanding the etiology and maintenance of aggressive behavior (Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994). Indeed, different forms of family violence co-occur and are highly correlated, including verbal, physical, and escalated aggression (McCloskey, Figueredo, & Koss, 1955). Thus, a home environment that is characterized by conflict is a particularly strong marker for high levels of aggression—suggesting not only parent-to- child aggression, but parent-to-parent, child-to-parent, and sibling aggression as well 83 (Jouriles, Barling, & O’Leary, 1987). The effects of exposure to various forms of family conflict are profound on children by elevating children’s stress, fear, and feelings of helplessness, often resulting in behavioral and emotional disturbances (Abidin, Jenkins, & McGaughey, 1992; O’Keefe, 1994). Children are sensitive to conflict and discord in the family even when it is nonviolent, and children’s perceptions of level of conflict in the home are more predictive of children’s psychological adjustment than are parents’ reports of conflict (McCloskey, Figueredo, & Koss, 1995). Certainly this area deserves continued study. Stobilig io Risk Indicators The results of the current study indicate that chronicity of risk is associated with physical aggression by parents. Risk fluidity mattered little in predicting parental aggression. Does this mean that one can predict parental physical aggression by identifying a young child as problematic or a family conflicted at one point in time? Not necessarily. Roughly half of the children identified with problems at preschool age will continue on a path toward externalizing problems, but the other half will improve with development (Campbell, 1997). Similarly, many families typically experience periods of conflicted interactions based on transitions and change (Emery, 1992), but are able to firnction without resorting to physical aggression. Such conflict and externalizing behaviors may be age-appropriate and short-lived manifestations of stress. According to the data presented here, these temporary periods of increased family stress are not likely to predict physically aggressive parenting. The factors that account for such different pathways to aggression or 84 nonaggression may be parenting and the family environment. Some parents may skillfully help some hard-to-manage children, while others may exacerbate conflict and fuel noncompliance. For example, fathers with fewer intellectual resources may exacerbate conflict instead of helping to resolve it productively. Variations in parental warmth, support, and appropriate control may also be major factors in determining the outcomes of early externalizing behavior (see Campbell, 1997). In addition, aspects of the family environment, such as marital distress and other challenges, may impact outcome. These environmental factors may directly affect the child, because they create a climate of tension and conflict in the home. They may also have indirect effects on the child due to their disruptive effect on parenting (Campbell, 1997). The impact of the chronicity of risk factors may be further intensified by the interconnected nature of such components within the family system. That is, conflict within the family, child externalizing problems, and parental aggression can all be considered both a cause and a product within the larger family system. Many studies have highlighted the systemic nature of family conflict and aggression, in that the behavior of all participants effects the balance in multiple levels of the family ecosystem (Emery, 1992).6 As parents and children are two separate but connected elements of the Although reciprocal influences in the parent-child interaction are acknowledged, there are presumed to be asymmetries in the amount of influence that child, parent, or environmental characteristics can exert (Mash & Johnston, 1990): other longitudinal studies have determined that family discord preceded children’s externalizing behaviors, and that reductions in family discord are associated with reductions in children’s acting- out behaviors (Rutter, 1994). Increased conflict in the home results in the perception of increased child difficulties, as mothers and fathers from conflicted homes display a general tendency to rate their children more negatively than parents from low-conflict 85 larger family system, so too are individual parents independent contributors to the family environment. Differences between Fathers and Mothers One unanticipated but significant finding of the current study was gender differences in the role of risk indicators and physical aggression. Other studies have also discovered differences between parents’ views of their children and the parenting role. Baker and Heller (1996) found that mothers and fathers did not differ in actual perceived level of child behavior problems, although both believed that mothers saw more problems. Moreover, mothers experienced increased stress and a need for help with both moderate and high child externalizing behaviors, whereas fathers were not elevated on these measures unless the child’s externalizing behaviors were very high. This difference between mothers’ and fathers’ perceptions of child difficulty may be explained in part by the fact that fathers have been found to spend more time with their male children, and act toward children in more gender stereotyped ways than do mothers, and thus might be more accepting of externalizing behaviors (Baker & Heller, 1996). 7 The current study builds upon these findings by indicating the role of child externalizing behavior in fathers’ parenting stress in two dimensions: [1] levels of child externalizing behavior are indeed important in predicting fathers’ physical aggression, but homes (Smith, Berthelsen, & O’Connor, 1997). 7 Perry and colleagues (1983) also found that fathers from abusive households differed from their non-abusive controls in their perceptions of greater family conflict and inaccuracy in their expectations for their children, while maternal abusiveness was related to her lower-self esteem and greater anxiety. 86 that [2] particularly high levels of child externalizing behavior may be subsumed into fathers’ rating of the broader family context. Thus, fathers are affected by sons’ externalizing behaviors, especially if they are particularly high. If behavior problems are suficiently high, fathers experience greater stress levels and include such problematic behavior in a global rating of family system negativity and coercion. A different picture emerges for mothers: while fathers’ aggression was mainly predicted by overall conflict in the home, mothers’ physical aggression was dependent on her ratings of child difficulty. This finding is not surprising given mothers’ greater sensitivity to sons’ externalizing behaviors. It could be that the level of externalizing behaviors reported in this study are sufficient to increase the likelihood of maternal aggression, while insufficient to serve as the primary cause of paternal aggression. The importance of mothers’ perceptions of child difficulty has been established in the literature. Abidin, Jenkins, and McGaughey (1992) report that mothers are more likely than fathers to rate sons higher on behaviors associated with conduct disorder. In turn, other studies (Dadds, et al., 1992) have found that mothers-but not fathers-of high extemalizers display more aversive behavior to their children than non-behaviorally troubled children, and that mothers of high extemalizers experience higher levels of stress and feelings of depression than do fathers (Baker & Heller, 1996). This differential response to children is especially important given that mothers’ characteristics, rather than fathers’, are more closely associated with boys’ future problem behaviors (Abidin, Jenkins, & McGaughey, 1992). Another interesting finding is that mothers’ physical aggression is predicted from 87 fathers’ risk factors, while paternal physical aggression is not predicted from mothers’ risk factors. Several explanations regarding gender and social role differences may account for this finding. Firstly, it may indicate that fathers in this sample are unaffected by or insensitive to the level of stress experienced by their female partners. Mothers may be more “tuned in” to and affected by the risk indicators in her husband’s life, indicating a spillover effect whereby paternal factors affect maternal parenting styles. This may be especially notable in families where mothers hold greater responsibility for discipline, so that high levels of paternal and maternal stress are channeled through her to the child. Because women carry the major burden of child care, and are socially expected to do so, mothers as a group may be more psychologically involved in the role of parent (Crnic & Acevedo, 1995). Other studies (Baker & Heller, 1996) have found that although mothers and fathers both acknowledged their children’s behavioral difficulties, fathers were much less likely to assume personal responsibility for those problems. Thus, greater maternal reactivity to child externalizing behavior may be due to “traditio ” social forces influencing parental roles. Relatedly, there may exist a discrepancy in power between men and women in this sample, where mother “follows the lead” set by father and acts aggressively against her child based on fathers’ perception of their circumstances, rather than her own. Mothers in high-conflict homes have reported that they were undermined in their parenting by their partner, and that they would change their parenting practices according to the presence or absence of their partner (Smith, Berthelsen, & O’Connor, 1997). Thus mothers may be 88 physically aggressive based on fathers" view of the need for such discipline. Alternatively, mothers may try to protect their children from being the target of their partner’s temper or violence by excessively controlling or suppressing those aspects of their child which might irritate or provoke their partner (e.g., externalizing behaviors). The fact that maternal physical aggression is better predicted by fathers’ risk indicators than her own indicates that the relationship between mothers and parental physical aggression may be mediated by fathers’ stress levels. In general, mothers’ behaviors may indicate a better and more sensitive marker for family problems than fathers’ behaviors. Fathers’ reports of conflict in the home, as well as his perceptions of difficulty with children’s behavior, should be examined not only in their own right, but also for the impact that such factors may have on mothers’ parenting. Regardless of which parent may be targeted for intervention due to concern of physical maltreatment, his or her partner’s individual risk indicators should be addressed and included both in research and in treatment. 5mm Based on the findings presented above, it is affirmed that parental physical aggression is an outcome associated with the parent’s attempt to cope with multiple aversive factors in his or her family environment (i.e., high levels of family conflict and child externalizing behaviors) that are constant across developmental periods. Thus, results from this study in general support the notion that consistent, daily life stressors have a greater impact on parenting behaviors than do major life events. Moreover, it is especially important to note that variables specifically related to 89 the parenting and family roles, rather than individual or community level factors, are the greater predictors of parental physical aggression. Although it is unclear to what extent child characteristics contribute to the etiology of parental physical aggression, the results of this study add to the growing body of data that implicates certain child behaviors in the escalation of parent-child conflict. In addition, these results also focus our attention on family-level interchanges, rather than individual parent characteristics, as factors influencing parental aggression. This may aid in removing stigrnas and negative assumptions that are associated with certain individual parental risk factors, such as substance use and depression. The findings of the current study reveal that aggressive parents feel that child noncompliance and family conflict are stable features of their family context. In sum, high aggression families consistently experience more opportunities to discipline their children, are more likely to respond with punitive techniques, and are characterized by mutually aversive interchanges among family members. Implications Examination of the relationships among parental risk indicators across time and between parental risk factors and physical aggression ofl‘ers valuable evidence about risk markers for physically aggressive parenting. The results of this examination also indicate the need to address [1] the effects of aggressive parenting on children, [2] critical points of intervention, and [3] future directions for parenting research. 90 Risk Markers for Parental Agggession Current knowledge of what constitutes “risk” for parental physical aggression is updated with the findings presented in this study. Despite the many variables that have been associated with child maltreatment, including parental psychopathology, socioeconomic status, and substance abuse, only conflict within the family and child externalizing behaviors were implicated in predicting parental physical aggression. While these risk indicators have been previously considered in relation to child maltreatment, a study that examines family conflict and child externalizing behavior over long periods of time has not existed in the literature. In addition, the predictive power of perceived conflict and child problem behavior, relative to other known risk indicators, has not been previously explored. Cross-sectional studies that have examined risk indicators for aggressive parenting may present a misinformed view of what is relevant. For example, maltreatment studies that point to parental depression or substance use as causal agents may in fact be missing the larger picture of what predicts parental physical aggression. It seems that factors closest to the parenting context (i.e., conflict at home and child behavior), not to the individual parent (i.e., depression, alcohol consumption) per se, nor to broader community elements (i.e., socioeconomic status), are most relevant when considering physical aggression fi'om parent to child. ff ts f P s ' on '1 n Aggressive parents may be teaching their children that aggressive behavior is appropriate. Parental aggressiveness has been associated with a range of negative 91 developmental outcomes including delayed impulse control and lowered social competence, impaired psychological adjustment, aggression, delinquency, and physical child abuse, reduced responsiveness to the pain of others, and aggression in offspring several generations removed (Campbell, 1997; Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994; Holden, Coleman, & Schmidt, 1995; McCord, 1988). McCord (1988) found that children reared by aggressive parents were more expressive in general, including being fiequently annoyed and showing warmth toward intimate partners, suggesting an absence of inhibition in children raised in aggressive homes. As adults, these children were more likely to feel that expressive (including injurious) behavior is normal and often justified. Aggression and externalizing behaviors are especially stable in males (Crockenberg & Lourie, 1996; Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994). Studies suggest that there is both a direct effect of harsh discipline on aggression in the home and an indirect effect on aggression with peers through a hostile attributional bias: parents’ power assertion is a strong predictor of children’s power assertion with peers and peer rejection (Campbell, 1997; Patterson, Dishion, & Bank, 1984; Rutter, 1994; Strassberg, Dodge, Bates, &. Pettit, 1992). Mothers’ and fathers.’ use of coercion with their children correlated both concurrently at age 2 and longitudinally with children’s self-reported conflict strategies with peers and parent-rated adjustment and social competence at age 6 (Crockenberg & Lourie, 1996). Specifically, parents’ use of aggression is related to more negative behavior with and social rejection by peers, indicating the long-term deleterious effects of aggressive parenting on both peer relations 92 and adult criminality (Strassberg, et al., 1992). Family conflict itself is a strong predictor of child externalizing problems. Living in a home characterized by high levels of conflict is stressful for children and increases their aggression: between 9 and 25% of the variance in children’s externalizing disorders is typically accounted for by conflict within the home (see Cummings, 1994). Children report feelings of anger, sadness, or fear in response to family “background anger,” and in some contexts also report feelings of guilt, shame, and worry (Cummings, 1994). Similar to child externalizing behaviors, a conflicted home environment has negative effects on child-parent and peer relationships (Cummings, 1994). Cummings’ (1994) review of the literature reveals that general levels of conflict are better predictors of disturbances in the mother-child relationship than certain maternal characteristics (e.g., depression). Moreover, there is evidence that sensitization to destructive conflict occurs, resulting in the child’s greater reactivity over time. The evidence of children’s m vulnerability to family conflict as children get older draws attention to the need for early intervention. Physical punishment from parents-most notably in the form of spanking—has been and continues to be widely practiced among parents (Holden, Coleman, & Schmidt, 1995). Yet spanking, especially frequent spanking, is a humiliating technique that may diminish problem-solving capacities among children (Hyman, 1995). Society can function without resorting to the use of corporal punishment on their children. Currently, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Poland, Norway, and Austria ban the use of corporal punishment on children. Government sanctions against corporal punishment in the home 93 have not led to governmental micromanagement of home discipline or arrests for spanking, as opponents allege would happen in America (Hyman, 1995). Hyman (1995) points out that these sanctions do set the moral tone for a country and result in far fewer spankings and perhaps lower levels of child abuse. Intervontion. Efforts to reduce parental reliance of physical aggression are crucial, given its association to multiple negative outcomes in children. Parent-training programs show evidence of improvement on measures of family well-being following intervention (Donenberg & Baker, 1993). An important caveat is the need to focus on more effective, rather than simply more, parental discipline. Studies consistently show that parents of high extemalizers tend to be more punitive than are parents of low-extemalizers, and utilizing more extreme punishment, such that many researchers feel that such excessive punishment causes the externalizing behavior in children (see Patterson, Dishion, & Bank, 1984). In cases of high extemalizers, the reaction to aggressive punishment is very likely to be that of accelerating his/her ongoing coercive behavior. Parent use of “time- out” or withdrawal of privileges has been shown both to suppress the ongoing aggression and also weaken the stimulus-response; parents trained in the use of these family management skills have produced significant reductions in observed externalizing behaviors, and the effects have been shown to persist for at least 12 months (Patterson, Dishion, & Bank, 1984). In cases where reports of conflict and child behavior problems come to attention, interveners should not assume that the difficulties experienced by these families are transitional. Attention should be focused on early identification of and intervention for 94 children with high levels of externalizing behaviors, preferably before elementary school begins and these behaviors-become more ingrained in the child’s repertoire. In addition, when planning family-based early intervention programs, it is important to understand how mothers and fathers may see and react to their children’s behavior differently. Early intervention is critical in that sequelae of adverse experiences in early childhood may be less than those associated with the same experiences in middle childhood (Rutter, 1994). In addition, parent-training programs could be broadened to include a greater emphasis on parents’ stress and coping. Lowering family stress may enhance and maintain changes in child behavior following interventions, as high parental stress can interfere with carrying out a behavior management program (Donenberg & Baker, 1993). Program components should focus on long-term support for child- and family-related stress. Future Directions This study leaves room for future examination of the role of parental competence in predicting aggression toward children. Competence has been shown to be a powerful moderator between child-related stressors and child abuse potential, and its relationships to parental depression and alcohol consumption, as well as child behavior and family conflict, deserves attention. Other variables that play a role in the etiology of parental aggression, such as parental and child personal resources and the parent-child relationship, must be included in future research in order to begin to understand the etiology and maintenance of aggressive behavior in the family system. Another important area for continued study is the role of cognitive appraisal in 95 parents’ perceptions of child behavior. Researchers believe that parents prone to physical abuse suffer from a lack of information integration, such that they maintain explanations of their child’s behavior that are consistent with their own rigidly held cognitive distortions and biases, which are associated with the use of power-assertive behaviors. These physically aggressive parents engage in more automatic processing of child-related data in ambiguous and stressful situations (Ammerman, 1991; Milner, 1993). In addition, the study of risk factors with the inclusion of sibling measures may reveal essential nuances in the role of parental physical aggression. Rutter (1994) notes that, for most outcomes, family influences that impinge differentially on children within the same family tend to make a greater impact than family influences that impinge on the family as a whole to a roughly equal degree. It would be helpful to determine the extent to which each child in the family is subject to parental physical aggression. Strengths & Limitations There are several points that must be considered when placing the results of this study in a larger research context. Strengths of the research design are presented in the following paragraphs. First, parental aggression is examined in a sample of initially intact community families who have not been identified by treatment or clinical status. The participants in this study were not originally selected on the basis of parenting practices. This unselected sample provides an opportunity to investigate these relations as they occur in a sample more representative of the general population than is afforded by the use of samples selected based on child protective services or child abuse prevention programs. This 96 community sample allows for a more realistic assessment of parenting practices and the occurrence of parental physical aggression, and greater generalizability of the findings. However, the trade off for such increased generalizability is the low base rate of parental physical aggression among parents, which makes the discovery of theoretical connections more difficult. Second, information on aggression is gathered from both husband and wife whenever possible to broaden the perspective and increase the reliability of data. Previous studies of parenting practices have often neglected to assess the role of the father in families. Here, the parents are considered as individuals, rather than as a couple, so that there is no mix of perpetrator/nonperpeu'ator risk indicators. The results of this study emphasize that a lack of information about fathers’ risk indicators may leave out critical details of both his parenting practices as well as what is affecting mothers’ parenting. Third, an expanded definition of parental aggression, rather than physical abuse, is used, which includes spanking. It is the author’s view that attention to these “less severe” forms of physical aggression fi'om parents to children offers a greater band of knowledge about negative parenting practices that are more common than physical abuse. Recent research that examines spanking has focused public attention on the long-term negative consequences associated with this common parenting discipline practice, including low self esteem, greater disobedience, and antisocial behavior (“Spanking,” 1997). Fourth, data are analyzed separately for mothers and fathers to determine the differential effects of aggression by gender. Such a strategy revealed important 97 differences in the roles that fathers’ versus mothers’ risk factors and aggression play in parenting. Several limitations of the reported study are related to restrictions based on the sample and/or the dataset. First, the distribution of physical aggression scores were highly J-shaped. Such a distribution required the use of percentile ranking before conducting regression analyses to reduce potential bias produced by several outlying cases. In this case, the strategy is more conservative and less likely to result in Type 1 errors. However, the impact of such outliers may be valuable information lost, and further research is suggested to test the significance of such a skewed distribution. In increasing the understanding of dimensions of family stress, it is imperative to consider the nature of the samples on which studies are based, and the degree to which findings are sensitive to these samples. The following limitations are based on this consideration. A second limitation is that several of the highest risk families that are part of the larger (MSU-UM Family) Study were not included in this sample due to the selection process. That is, these families completed a shortened version of the Conflict Tactics Scale, the measure used to create the outcome variable of physical aggression, and information provided by them could not be used. The benefits and costs of the exclusion of such cases are that the distribution of physical aggression may more realistically resemble the population making the results generalizable, but that key relationships between indicators of higher-risk families and physical aggression may remain undiscovered. Third, the parenting practices used to create the outcome measure of physical 98 aggression were self-reported, and may not realistically represent the amount of physical aggression occurring within homes. It has been posited that people have either a negative or positive reporting bias that is used for both reports of the self and of others, thereby increasing the association between parent and child variables (Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994). However, self-report data about parenting practices can provide information about the history of relationships beyond that provided by observations of interactions (Strassberg, Dodge, Bates, & Pettit, 1992). Moreover, studies have shown that self- reports of parental aggression and physical punishment are coded reliably and have high internal consistency (Holden, Coleman, & Schmidt, 1995). . Fourth, due to the nature of the sample for the larger (MSU-UM Family) Study, physical aggression could be examined at Wave 3 only. There is evidence that rates of parental physical aggression peak with children who are from three to five years old and then decreases (Ammerman, 1991; Holden, Coleman, & Schmidt, 1995). Therefore, the design of this study may have “missed” families who were highly aggressive in early years of parenting. However, predicting physical aggression when children are older, as was done here, may indicate cases with more serious parental aggression whose past physical aggression remains unknown. In addition, research has shown that abusive dimensions in parent-child relationships can begin at any time (Milner, 1993); thus, longitudinal examination of levels of parental physical aggression, and how such levels related to risk levels over time, should reveal fruitful detail regarding the nature of parental aggression. Relatedly, younger children tend to score significantly higher on externalizing 99 behavior scales than older children (O’Keefe, 1994), and there is evidence that parents judge aggressive acts performed by 12-year-olds far more severely than they judge aggressive acts performed by 5-year-olds (Wenger, Berg-Cross, L., & Berg-Cross, G., 1980). Thus parental perception of child aggressiveness may be a key determinant of their choice of “appropriate” punishment, and the age of the child may be the most important factor in determining their response to child aggression. In this broader view, it may be that parents increase their socialization efforts over time, in which case the advanced age of the children examined here is apropos for understanding aggression within families. Fifth, due to the nature of the sample for the larger (MSU-UM Family) Study, this sample includes only male children. The path of parental physical aggression for boys and for girls may be different, leaving room for future studies to examine the models tested here with female children. Many studies have pointed to boys’ and girls’ different developmental trajectories for aggression and externalizing behaviors. Specifically, mothers become more negative about aggression in girls and less negative about it in boys between the ages of 4 and 6, and children understand that aggression by girls is more likely to be punished than aggression by boys (Crockenberg & Lourie, 1996; Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994). Yet the association between exposure to familial aggression and poor child adjustment is exhibited more in boys than girls (Abidin, Jenkins, & McGaughey, 1992; Doumas, Margolin, & John, 1994). Hetherington and colleagues (1982) and Abidin et al. (1992) ofier considerable evidence that boys are much more susceptible than girls to 100 negative outcomes in response to stressful events in the family; these authors suggest that parents are less restrained in the presence of their sons, tending to quarrel and fight more often in their presence than in daughters’ presence. J ouriles and LeCompte (1991) also found that marital aggression covaries with higher levels of both mothers’ and fathers’ aggression toward boys but not toward girls, consistent with the hypothesis that female victims of marital aggression displace some of the anger they feel toward their husbands onto their male children. However, past literature (Holden, Coleman, & Schmidt, 1995; Wenger, Berg- Cross, L., & Berg-Cross, G., 1980) also indicates that parents do not respond differently to male and female children’s aggression, and that there are no significant differences in responses of different sex parents to children’s aggression. In addition, O’Keefe (1994) found no gender differences in children’s externalizing behaviors based on severity of mother-child aggression. Future research is needed to clarify such discrepant findings. 101 APPENDICES Appendix A Table 9 Variable Means, Standard Deviations, & Range of Predictor Variables (Total Sample, N=218) Variable Mean (>7) Standard Minimum Maximum Deviation (o) ASB 13.3 1 9.28 l 56 BECKI 2.48 2.91 00 14 BECK2 3.06 3.39 00 19 BECIG 3.11 3.51 00 20 CHEXTI 1 1.82 6.23 00 28 CHEXTZ 1 1.14 6.35 00 30 CHEXT3 10.25 7.27 00 38 CNFLCTI 3.51 2.14 00 9 CNFLCT2 3.50 2.04 00 9 CNFLCT3 3.64 2.20 00 9 EDUC 13.42 1.89 9 20 SESl 317.75 103.78 171 640 SES2 343.93 130.62 162.5 770 SES3 339.46 127.29 177 866 HAMl 17.56 7.80 6.73 48 HAM2 16.42 7.39 8 38 HAM3 15.44 8.01 00 47 QFVRI 1484 3998.83 1 21000 QFVR2 1013.65 3127.02 1 21000 QFVR3 333.93 1528.33 1 18900 IQ 99.47 13.90 62 146 PHYSAGG 5.02 17.87 0 208 103 Appendix B Means, Standard Deviations 2113:111ng 2f Mothers’ Predictor Variables (N =1 1 5) Variable Mean (>7) Standard Deviation (0) Minimum Maximum ASB 10.27 6.79 1 35 BECKI 2.78 3.29 00 14 BECKZ 3.40 3.58 00 19 BECK3 3.39 3.86 00 20 CI-IEXTI 12.33 6.20 00 28 CHEXTZ 12.01 6.47 00 30 CHEXT3 1 1.01 7.45 00 38 CNFLCTl 3.81 1.94 00 8 CNFLCT2 3.72 1.94 00 9 CNFLCT3 3.85 2.12 00 9 EDUC 13.17 1.82 9 l9 SESl 317.13 103.11 171 640 SES2 344.30 133.37 162.5 770 SES3 339.10 127.29 177 866 HAMl 19.03 8.34 8 48 HAM2 17.65 7.68 8 38 HAM3 16.76 8.69 00 47 QFVRl 580.08 2067.73 1 15750 QFVR2 785.98 3150.5 1 21000 QFVR3 300.24 1837.25 1 18900 IQ 95.96 13.32 62 135 A BECK 4.27 3.82 00 19 A HAM 12.85 8.85 00 39 A QFVR 1461.42 4890.80 0 31475.0 104 (Table 10, con’t) Variable Mean (2) Standard Deviation (a) Minimum Maximum A Cl-I EXT 8.65 5.15 00 22.06 A CONFLC 2.34 1.69 00 8 A SES 116.53 126.54 00 798 PHYSAGG 7.29 24.19 0 208 105 AppendixC l 1 Means, Standard Deviations &Tl::nege 1of F amefi’ Predictor Variables (N=103) Variable I Mean (2) Standard Deviation (a) Minimum Maximum ASB 16.16 10.36 2 56 BECKI 2.1 1 2.34 00 1 1 BECKZ 2.61 3.16 00 13 BECK3 2.63 2.86 00 13 CHEXTI 10.98 6.03 1 27 CHEXTZ 10.09 6.08 00 30 CHEXT3 9.33 7.05 00 37 CNFLCTI 3.15 2.30 00 9 CNFLCT2 3.25 2.13 00 8 CNFLCT3 3.42 2.28 00 9 EDUC 13.80 1.92 1 1 20 SESl 322.44 105.62 171 640 SES2 347.30 129.86 162.5 770 SES3 343.65 129.55 177 866 HAMl 15.43 6.35 6.73 41 HAM2 14.73 6.66 8 38 HAM3 13.80 6.77 8 36 QFVRl 2540.84 5331.35 1 21000 QFVR2 1271.42 3160.25 1 21000 QFVR3 365.83 1 102.03 1 9220.1 1Q 103.45 13.73 76 146 A BECK 3.34 3.65 00 23 A HAM 11.10 8.31 1 41 A QFVR 3068.80 5694.99 00 24370 106 (Table 11, con’t) Variable Mean ( >7) Standard Deviation (a) Minimum Maximum A CH EXT 7.83 5.71 00 30 A CONFLC 2.48 2.01 00 11 A sas 109.17 103.80 00 496 PHYSAGG 2.39 3.46 ' o 18 107 SQVQ 1:... .c.Vn .... mQVQ ... 8.. 36mm... 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N2..- mm< 8.. 2...- 3.... 3...- So. «we. 08.- mmm 4 65:00 8.. m8. .. .2. - 98.- 3.... 2.... < .Sxm 8.. «3. m3. «3. 35. ......0 < 5.200 8.. 8... m2. m2. o.< < con. .85 8.. 3cm. 3... 3.83 d .g 8.. 85. 82.30 4. a}. 8.. 2: mum 8.....80 .5xm. 5.980 ion. .85 ion. 5m< - o. 2.8 mm< < < 25 < 2< < .353 < .856 < 2: no.8- m “(Such ... #8.. .3889. .. o W. m. 03a... m 522.? 4mm fi—...-$.>Ou 3.190 .30. .2 “=03-.. -..- 109 Appendix F Table 14 Summm of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Stable Backgmund Characteristics and Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R’ AR’ [3 R’ AR2 1 IQ - .18 .03 n/a .01 .01 n/a Antisociality - .04 .11 Education .11 - .03 2 IQ - .19 .07 .04 .00 .03 .02 Antisociality .00 .08 Education .11 - .01 Change in Depression: Current - .03 .03 Worst - .19 .12 3 IQ - .20 .07 .00 .00 .04 .01 Antisociality -.Ol .06 Education .1 l - .01 Change in Depression: Current - .05 .02 Worst - .22“ .12 Change in Alcohol Consumption .01 ..ll 4 IQ - 20 .09 .02 .00 .04 .00 Antisociality -.01 .05 Education .12 - .01 Change in Depression: Current -.05 .02 Worst - .22‘ .11 Change in Alcohol Consumption .01 .11 Change in Child Extemalizing .16 .05 5 IQ - .19 .09 .00 .00 .04 .00 Antisociality -.01 .05 Education .12 - .01 Change in Depression: Current -.05 .02 Worst - .23" .12 Change in Alcohol Consumption .01 .11 Change in Child Extemalizing .15 .04 Change in Conflict .04 .Ol 110 (Table 14, con’t) Step Variable B R1 AR’ [3 R’ AR1 6 IQ - .19 .09 .00 .00 .04 .00 Antisociality -.Ol .05 Education .12 - .01 Change in Depression: . Current - .05 .02 Worst - .23‘ .11 Change in Alcohol Consumption .01 .11 Change in Child Extemalizing .15 .04 Change in Conflict .04 .02 Change in SES .00 .04 'ps.05 "p501 ”‘psflOl Ill Appendix G Table 15 Summm of Regression Analyses for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Change ngables Separately ModeWariable(s) Fathers Mothers B R2 [3 R2 Change in Depression: .04 .02 Current - .03 .04 Worst - .19 14 Change in Alcohol Consumption .02 .00 .13 .02 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .10 .01 .06 .00 Change in Conflict in Family Environment .02 .00 - .01 .00 Change in SES .03 .00 - .04 .00 * p s .05 “ p s .01 *** p s .001 112 Appendix H Table 16 Sum of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers St Variable [3 R2 AR2 B R2 AR2 CP 1 Change in Depression: n/a n/a Current - .03 .04 .04 .02 Worst - .19 .14 2 Change in Depression: Current - .03 .04 .00 .02 .04 .02 Worst - .19 .13 Change in Alcohol .04 .12 Consumption 3 Change in Depression: Current - .05 .06 .02 .02 .04 .00 Worst - .29“ .13 Change in Alcohol .04 .12 Consumption .15 .05 Change in Child Extemalizing 4 Change in Depression: Current - .06 .06 .00 .02 .04 .00 Worst - .23“ .13 Change in Alcohol .03 .12 Consumption .14 .05 Change in Child Extemalizing .06 .02 Change in Conflict 5 Change in Depression: Current - .06 .06 .00 .02 .04 .00 Worst - .23“ .12 Change in Alcohol .04 .12 Consumption .14 .04 Change in Child Extemalizing .06 .02 Change in Conflict .03 .03 Change in SES *ps.05 **p$.o1 m p s .001 113 Appendix I Table 17 SW of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Predictor Variables and Stable Background Characteristics Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 B R2 AR2 1 Change in Depression: .04 n/a .02 n/a Current -.03 .04 Worst - .19 .14 2 Change in Depression: .04 .00 .04 .02 Current - .04 .02 Worst - .19 .13 Change in Alcohol Consumption .04 .12 3 Change in Depression: .06 .02 .04 .00 Current -.05 .02 Worst - .22* .13 Change in Alcohol Consumption .04 .12 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .15 .05 4 Change in Depression: .06 .00 .04 .00 Current - .06 .02 Worst - .23“ .13 Change in Alcohol Consumption .03 .12 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .14 .05 Change in Conflict .06 .02 5 Change in Depression: .06 .00 .04 .00 Current - .06 .02 Worst - .23"' .12 Change in Alcohol Consumption .04 .12 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .14 .04 Change in Conflict .06 .02 Change in SES .03 .03 6 Change in Depression: .09 .03 .04 .00 Current - .06 .02 Worst - .23" .11 Change in Alcohol Consumption .01 .11 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .15 .04 Change in Conflict .04 .02 Change in SES .00 .04 IQ - .19 .00 Antisociality -.01 .05 Education .12 - .01 "‘ p s .05 " p s .01 "”' p s .001 114 Appendix J Table 18 Summary of ngsign Analyses for Physical Aggression Rggressed onto Concurrenr Variables Separately Fathers Mothers ModeWariable(s) B R2 B R2 Concurrent Depression: .00 .02 Current - .02 .12 Worst - .01 .03 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .13 .02 .05 .00 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behaviors .23* .05* 33*" .11""‘ Concurrent Conflict in Family Environment 34*“ .12"* .22‘ .05" Concurrent SES .0] .00 .01 .00 "' p s. .05 " p s .01 ""' p s .001 115 Appendix K Table 19 Summary of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Concurrent Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R2 ARz B R2 AR2 1 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .00 n/a . 12 .02 n/a Worst - .01 .03 2 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .02 .02 .12 .02 .00 Worst - .02 .02 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .14 .01 3 Concurrent Depression: Current - .02 .07 .05 .09 .12” .10 Worst - .09 - .ll Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .11 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .25" 35"” 4 Concurrent Depression: Current - .07 .15" .08 .06 .13“ .01 Worst - .06 - .lO Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .13 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .11 .32" Concurrent Conflict .31" .IO 5 Concurrent Depression: Current - .07 .15" .00 .06 .14” .01 Worst - .05 -.09 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .13 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .11 .33" Concurrent Conflict .3 I " .I l Concurrent SES .01 .08 Trimmed Models Fathers Mothers B R’ Step B R2 Concurrent Conflict 34"" .12‘" l Concurrent Conflict .11 .12""’ Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .29” 2 Concurrent Child Extemalizing .I 1‘" Behavior .33‘" " p s .05 " p s .01 ”'" p s .001 116 Appendix L Table 20 Summary of Hierarchicg Rggression Analysis (Series E) for Phygigl Aggression Regressed onto Concurrent Predictor Variables and Stable Bacl_cgrgund Characteristics * p s .05 “ p s .01 ‘" p s .001 Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 B R2 AR” 1 Concurrent Depression: .00 n/a .02 n/a Current - .02 .12 Worst - .01 .03 2 Concurrent Depression: .02 .02 .02 .00 Current - .02 .12 Worst - .02 .02 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .14 .01 3 Concurrent Depression: .07 .05 .12" .14 Current - .02 .09 Worst - .09 - .11 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .11 .04 Concurrent Child Extemaling Behavior .25" .35‘" 4 Concurrent Depression: .15“ .08 .12" .00 Current - .07 .06 Worst - .06 - .ll Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .13 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .11 .32” Concurrent Conflict .31“ .10 5 Concurrent Depression: .15" .00 .14" .02 Current - .07 .06 Worst - .05 - .09 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .13 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .11 .33” Concurrent Conflict .31 " .1 l Concurrent SES .01 .08 6 Concurrent Depression: .21" .05 .15" .01 Current - .09 .06 Worst - .Ol - .13 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .15 .04 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .05 .32” Concurrent Conflict .39‘" .13 Concurrent SES -.Ol .16 IQ - .25‘ - .03 Antisociality - .l l .08 Education .09 - .08 117 Table 20 (con’t) Trimmed Models Fathers Mothers B R2 9 R2 Concurrent Conflict 38*" .15*** Concurrent Child 33*” .11*** IQ - .19“ Ext Beh 118 Table 21 Means, Medians, Ranges & Missing Cases for Original Sample Appendix M Variable Mean Median Range Valid Missing N N Physical Aggression 5.00 1.00 208.00 219 0 Antisociality 13.24 11.00 55.00 217 ~ 2 Education 13.42 13.00 11.00 219 0 IQ 99.60 99.00 84.00 194 25 Worst-ever Depression 1 17.614 16.00 40.00 215 4 Current Depression 1 2.47 2.00 14.00 213 6 Alcohol Consumption 1 1444.41 90.00 20999.00 215 4 Child Extemalizing 1 11.91 12.00 28.00 210 9 Conflict l 3.51 3.00 9.00 213 6 SES 1 317.47 292.00 469.00 219 0 Worst-ever Depression 2 16.12 14.00 30.00 195 24 Current Depression 2 3.06 2.00 19.00 195 24 Alcohol Consumption 2 1042.05 60.00 20999.00 192 27 Child Extemalizing 2 11.05 10.00 30.00 198 21 Conflict 2 3.48 3.00 9.00 191 28 SES 2 346.01 310.50 607.50 197 22 Worst-ever Depression 3 15.43 12.50 47.00 218 1 Current Depression 3 3.10 2.00 20.00 219 0 Alcohol Consumption 3 288.20 3.00 18899.00 21 1 8 Child Extemalizing 3 10.16 8.50 38.00 206 13 Conflict 3 3.64 3.00 9.00 214 5 SES 3 344.53 316.50 689.00 201 18 119 Table 22 Appendix N Original Dataset without Estimation of Missing Values (N=219) Variable Time 1 Time 2 Time 3 No. of % No. of % N0. of % Cases Missing Cases Missing Cases Missing Missing Missing Missing Antisociality l .5 n/a n/a IQ 24 11.0 n/a n/a Education 0 0 n/a n/a Current Depression 5 2.3 23 10.6 0 0 Worst-ever Depression 4 1.8 23 10.6 1 .5 Alcohol Consumption 3 1.4 26 1 1.9 8 3.7 Child Difficulty 8 3.7 20 9.2 13 6.0 Conflict 5 2.3 27 12.4 5 2.3 Socioeconomic Status 0 0 21 9.6 18 8.3 Missing Values by Case(s) Variable No. Of % No. Of % No. Of % of Cases of Cases of Cases Total Missing Total Missing Total Missing 67% 33% 0% of of data data data Current Depression 1 .5 28 12.8 190 86.8 Worst-ever Depression 1 .5 27 12.3 191 87.2 Alcohol Consumption 3 1.4 33 15.1 183 83.6 Child Extemalizing Behavior 4 1.8 35 16.0 180 82.2 Conflict 3 1.4 33 15.1 183 83 .6 SES 4 1.8 32 14.6 183 83.6 120 Appendix 0 Revised Data Analyses Analyses were re-run to compare effects of changes in the distribution of subjects into risk groups. In the initial dataset, all subjects were divided into risk groups based on both their (DSM-III-R) [a] Lifetime Alcohol Diagnosis score and [b] score on the Antisocial Behavior Scale (ASB). Lifetime Alcohol Diagnoses were given to families based on the fathers’ diagnosis at Time 1. The ASB was administered to both fathers and mothers at Time 1, with different cut-off scores for each sex indicating high versus low antisociality (Fathers’ ASB s 24, mothers’ ASB s 18). Based on these two measures, subjects were assigned into High Risk (high ASB alcoholic), Medium Risk (low ASB alcoholic), and Low Risk (non-alcoholic) groups (separately for male subjects and female subjects). From these risk groups, estimation for missing data was completed as described in the Methods sections, and analyses were run. For the sake of comparison, the process described above was repeated with one difference: risk groups were reformulated based on subjects’ (DSM-III-R) [a] Lifetime Alcohol Diagnosis score and [b] diagnosis of Antisocial Personality Disorder (ASPD). Both Lifetime Alcohol Diagnoses and ASPD Diagnoses were given to families based on the fathers’ data at Time 1. Data re-estimation based on these new groups followed, and the same hypotheses were tested with this revised dataset. The revised distribution of subjects into risk groups is presented in the following table, and displayed graphically in Figures 4 and 5. 121 Distribution of Sample into Risk Groups Original Dataset Revised Dataset (groups based on ASB) (groups based on ASPD) Fathers Mothers Fathers Mothers N=103 N=115 N=103 N=115 Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % High Risk 25 24.3 16 13.9 17 16.5 19 16.5 Medium Risk 44 42.7 19 16.5 47 45.6 50 43.5 Low Risk 34 33.0 80 69.6 39 37.9 46 40.0 The distribution of subjects into risk groups changed due to the revised strategy (based on ASPD diagnoses). For fathers, subjects’ assignment into risk groups became more conservative: High Risk membership dropped by 7.8% (N=8), Medium Risk membership grew by 2.9% (N=3), and Low Risk membership grew by 4.9% (N=5). For mothers, however, the revised risk groups resulted in more subjects’ placement into higher categories: High Risk mothers increased by 2.6% (N=3), Medium Risk mothers increased by 27.0% (N=31), and Low Risk mothers decreased by 30.4% (N=35). Distribution of Sampling Groups into Risk Groups Subjects for the larger study, the MSU-UM Family Study, were recruited in several ways: alcoholics were enlisted through the court system and within the community, and matched non-alcoholic control subjects were recruited through door-to- door canvassing. The distribution of these three types of sample groups into risk groups changed from the original to the revised dataset (Figures 6 & 7). 122 5:39.35 985 me .2056“. ”v 059; mm 9 en xm: 26.. 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G 3. 3.- 3. 3.- 2.- 2.- 8. 8. 8. 3. 2. 8. 2.- 8.- 2. 2. 8.- 3.- 2. 8. 2. m G .2. GO! 999 O 8. 8. 3. 2.- 8.- 8. 8. 8. 8. 2. 3. 2. 8.- 2.- 8. 8. 3.- 8.- 2. ... 2. 3 Q .9. *9. *6! O 99 O M 8.- 3. 3. 2.- 8.- 8.- 8. 8. 2.. 8. 8. 2. 3.- 3- 8. 2. 3. 8.- 3. 2. 3. . n. 9! i {in {ii 0 G G 3.- 2.- 2. 2.- 9 2.- 8. 2. 3. 8. 8. 2. 3. 2. 3. 3. 8.- 8.- 2. 8. 2. ... 1 {IO 9!} DO I «flu. 8.- 2.- 2. 2.- 8.- 2.- 3. 2. 2. 8. 8. 3. 8.- 3. 3. ... 3.- 8.- 8. 8. 8. 3 m 3.. I. Q O *9! {GO 299 M. 8.- 3.- 3. 3.- 2.- 3.- 3. ... 8. 8. 3. 8. 8. 2. 2. 8. 3. 8.- 8. 3. 2. . m 2:8 .8.- 0.8.: 133 Correlations between Fathers’ Concurrent Variables & Physical Agmsion Table A4 a) a u u o-o t u 6 a m 9 O >‘ 3 e .. '- -- = m = -— he; Eg- Egg- E2 E3, g? E‘u’q’ < E U U U ‘3 E U U U m U U Phys 1.00 Aggr Current -.10 1.00 Level of Dep Level -.06 .42 1.00 Worst Dep "“ Current .08 .06 .08 1.00 Ale Consn Current .16 .15 .31 .15 1.00 Child " Diff Current .26 .17 .08 -.02 .41 1.00 Conflict " """ Current .07 -.22 -.10 .01 —.02 -.60 1.00 SES * ASB -.O7 .19 .07 .13 .10 .16 «.25 1.00 t. Educ .05 -.16 -.ll -.05 -.04 .04 .59 -.36 1.00 it! It. IQ -.l3 -.14 .01 .01 -.12 .17 .26 -.04 .43 1.00 it fit. *p<.05 """p<.01 "*p<.001 134 Table A5 Correlatigfi between Mothers] Concurrent Variables & Physigg Aggssion >5 : _ 0 E C H u- G .2 C m 3 l-I 538-33; E2 @9- E8 Ea“ B 02 0< ,E 90 Um U 0 Phys 1.00 Aggr Current .14 1.00 Dep Level .09 .49 1.00 Worst Dep *** Current .05 .27 .27 1.00 Alc Consn " *“' Current .33 .26 .40 .01 1 .00 Child Diff ** "”" ”* Current .22 .36 .26 .13 .38 1.00 Conflict * 13*. it ##t Current .02 -.14 -.22 -.05 -.19 -.18 1.00 SES * * ASB .12 .26 .42 .16 .21 .18 -.31 1.00 ii iii * it Educ -.06 -.02 -.16 .03 -.17 .07 .56 -.30 1.00 it! it IQ -.03 .10 -.01 .01 -.10 .14 .42 -.19 .56 1.00 ti! 1 it! *p<.05 I""'p<.01 "*p<.001 135 Table A6 Remated Measures Multivariate Analysis of Variance for High- and Low-Aggression Parents Within-Subjects Multivariate F Variable Parent Sex x Group x Time Parent Sex x Time Group x Time Time Current .02 .60 .05 6.56" Depression Worst-ever .63 .40 .09 7.16" Depression Alcohol .96 .76 8.44"” 13.33"" Consumption Child .33 4.02“ .53 653"” Extemalizing Behaviors Family Conflict 4.79" .53 .68 1.34 SES .51 .20 .01 1 1.47‘" Between-Subjects Variable Sex of Parent Group (High/Low Sex of Parent X Within + Residual Aggression) Group Error df F df F df F df F Current 1 3.23 1 2.35 l 2.32 214 (22.82) Depression Worst-ever 1 . 12.15”" 1 .49 1 2.04 214 (l 10.02) Depression Alcohol 1 6.78" 1 .33 1 .14 214 (1485501 1) Consumption Child Ext 1 3.47 l 1508"" 1 .07 214 (89.53) Behaviors Conflict l 3.26 l 19.24"" 1 .05 214 (9.84) SES 1 .01 l .50 1 .10 214 (37115.59) Antisocial 1 27.72"" 1 .00 1 1.54 214 (76.27) Behavior Education 1 4.33‘ l .01 l .11 214 (3.55) IQ 1 15.66“" 1 .48 l .16 214 (181.45) 136 for child externalizing behaviors and conflict in the family (i.e., high-aggression parents reported consistently higher levels of child difficulty and conflict relative to low- aggression parent). The results of the revised Repeated Measures Multivariate Analysis of Variance are presented in Table A6. Hierarchical Regression Analyses Prom -to-Distal Model with Change Predictog. The first set of regressions examined the prediction of parental physical aggression from each change stress component independently (Table A15) and within the proximal-to-distal model for change stress components (Table A16). These results of these analyses did not change from the original: neither series significantly predicted parental physical aggression Next, regression was used to test the proximal-to-distal model of change stress components with the inclusion of stable background characteristics first (Table A14) and last (Table A17). Neither of these new analyses changed from the previous results: the proximal-to-distal change model did not predict parental physical aggression. One minor alteration: for fathers, change in worst-ever depression became a significant variable after changes in child externalizing behaviors was added to the model, rather than after change in alcohol consumption was added to the model. This alteration did not affect the substantive results of the analyses. Pro ' - i l wi 11 Regressions were rerun on Concurrent Variables to predict parental physical aggression. The first set of regressions examined the prediction of parental physical 137 Table A15 Summg of Regression Analyses for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Change Variables Separately ModeWariable(s) Fathers Mothers 13 R2 13 R2 Change in Depression: Current -.O37 .04 .040 .02 Worst -.188 .134 Change in Alcohol Consumption .010 .000 .141 .020 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .111 .012 .065 .004 Change in Conflict in Family Environment .021 .000 -.016 .000 Change in SES .026 .001 .033 .001 * p s .05 ** p s .01 *** p s .001 138 Table A16 Summary of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Change Predictor Variables I Fathers I Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 [3 R2 AR2 1 Change in Depression: n/a n/a Current - .037 .04 .040 .02 Worst - .188 .134 2 Change in Depression: Current - .040 .04 .00 .025 .04 .02 Worst - .191 .125 Change in Alcohol Consumption .030 .126 3 Change in Depression: Current - .057 .06 .02 .023 .04 .00 Worst - .218" .122 Change in Alcohol Consumption .030 .124 Change in Child Extemalizing .156 .051 4 Change in Depression: Current - .063 .06 .00 .024 .04 .00 Worst - .229" .123 Change in Alcohol Consumption .026 .128 Change in Child Extemalizing .150 .049 Change in Conflict .056 .018 5 Change in Depression: Current - .063 .06 .00 .023 .04 .00 Worst - .229“ .121 Change in Alcohol Consumption .029 .131 Change in Child Extemalizing .148 .044 Change in Conflict .058 .019 Change in SES .025 .029 "' p s .05 ** p s .01 *" p s .001 139 Table A14 Summgy of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regessed onto Stable Background Characteristics and Change Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 B R2 AR1 1 1Q - .178 .03 n/a .008 .01 n/a Antisociality ~ .036 .109 Education .115 - .026 2 IQ - .193 .07 .04 -.003 .03 .02 Antisociality -.001 .081 Education .115 - .008 Change in Depression: Current - .033 .020 Worst - .193 .114 3 IQ - .192 .07 .00 .004 .04 .01 Antisociality -.002 .055 Education .115 - .009 Change in Depression: Current - .034 .020 Worst - .194 .113 Change in Alcohol Consumption .005 .113 4 IQ - .199 .09 .02 .001 .04 .00 Antisociality -.003 .052 Education .122 - .005 Change in Depression: Current -.052 .018 Worst - .222‘ .112 Change in Alcohol Consumption .004 .112 Change in Child Extemalizing .164 .046 5 IQ -.l94 .10 .01 .000 .04 .00 Antisociality -.004 .050 Education .122 - .006 Change in Depression: Current -.056 .019 Worst - .229‘ .113 Change in Alcohol Consumption .003 .115 Change in Child Extemalizing .160 .045 Change in Conflict .036 .013 140 (Table A14, con’t) Step Variable B R3 AR2 B R1 AR’ 6 IQ -.194 .10 .01 -.004 .04 .00 Antisociality -.004 .050 Education .122 - .011 Change in Depression: Current - .056 .019 Worst - .228“ .109 Change in Alcohol Consumption .003 .119 Change in Child Extemalizing .160 .038 Change in Conflict .036 .016 Change in SE8 -.001 .035 *ps.05 "ps.01"‘"ps.001 141 Table A17 Summary of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggession Regressed onto Change Predictor Variables & Stable Background Characteristics Fathers l Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 B R2 AR2 1 Change in Depression: .04 n/a .02 n/a Current -.037 .040 Worst - .188 .134 2 Change in Depression: .04 .00 .04 .02 Current - .040 .025 Worst - .191 .125 Change in Alcohol Consumption .030 .126 3 Change in Depression: .06 .02 .04 .00 Current -.057 .023 Worst - .218" .122 Change in Alcohol Consumption .030 .124 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .156 .051 4 Change in Depression: .06 .00 .04 .00 Current - .062 .024 Worst - .229" .123 Change in Alcohol Consumption .026 .128 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .150 .049 Change in Conflict .056 .018 5 Change in Depression: .06 .00 .04 .00 Current - .063 .023 Worst - .229“ .121 Change in Alcohol Consumption .029 .131 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .148 .044 Change in Conflict .058 .019 Change in SES .025 .029 6 Change in Depression: .10 .04 .04 .00 Current - .056 .019 Worst - .228‘ .109 Change in Alcohol Consumption .003 .119 Change in Child Extemalizing Behaviors .160 .038 Change in Conflict .038 .016 Change in SE8 -.001 .035 IQ - .194 -.004 Antisociality -.004 .050 Education .122 - .01 l "‘ p s .05 " p s .01 "" p s .001 142 Table A18 Summary of Regression Analyses for Physical Aggression Regressed onto Concurrent Variables Separately Fathers Mothers ModeWariable(s) B R2 B R2 Concurrent Depression: Current -.015 .00 .125 .02 Worst -.015 .024 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .170 .03 .048 .00 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behaviors .228“ .05“ 330"" .11"* Concurrent Conflict in Family Environment .341 *** .12"* .217“ .05" Concurrent SES .014 .00 .015 .00 * p s .05 " p 3 .01 *" p s .001 143 Table A19 Summgy 9f Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Reggssed Qnto Concurrent Predictor Variables Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R2 AR2 B R2 AR2 1 Concurrent Depression: Current - .015 .00 n/a .124 .02 n/a Worst - .015 .024 2 Concurrent Depression: Current - .022 .03 .02 .123 .02 .00 Worst - .026 .022 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .174 .009 3 Concurrent Depression: Current - .026 .08 .05 .087 .12" .10 Worst - .095 - .113 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .144 .051 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .239“ 353"" 4 Concurrent Depression: Current - .076 .16" .08 .061 .13" .01 Worst - .059 - .112 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .172 .045 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .098 .323" Concurrent Conflict .321” .095 5 Concurrent Depression: Current - .074 .16" .00 .063 .14" .01 Worst - .058 -.098 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .172 .044 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .098 .330" Concurrent Conflict .322" .104 Concurrent SES .012 .085 Trimmed Models Fathers Mothers B R2 Step ~ B R2 Concurrent Conflict .341‘" .116"” 1 Concurrent Child .331‘" .109‘” Extemalizing Behavior ’ps.05 "p501 *“ps.001 144 aggression from each Concurrent Stress Component independently (Table A18) and within the proximal-to-distal model for Concurrent Stress Components (Table A19). The results of these analyses did not change from the original: 0 For both mothers and fathers, physical aggression was significantly predicted independently by concurrent levels of child externalizing behaviors and conflict in the home. - The concurrent stress component model significantly predicted physical aggression for both parents. For mothers, higher levels of concurrent child externalizing behaviors predicted higher levels of parental physical aggression. For fathers, higher levels of concurrent conflict predicted higher levels of paternal physical aggression. Next, regression was used to test the proximal-to-distal model of Concurrent Stress Components with the inclusion of stable background characteristics first (Table A7) and last (Table A20). For both fathers and mothers, these models significantly predicted parental physical aggression in the original and the revised analyses. For mothers, the results did not change. Thus, changes in risk groups (High, moderate, and low) based on ASP did not change results fi'om the original findings, based on risk groups formulated from the ASB. Revised tables follow. 145 Table A7 Summary of Hierarchical Regression Analysis for Physical Aggression Regressed onto S ble Back ound Characteri tics & Con nt Predictor V 'a les Fathers Mothers Step Variable B R’ AR’ B R1 AR’ 1 IQ - .178 .031 n/a .008 .01 n/a Antisociality - .036 .109 Education .115 - .026 2 IQ - .181 .032 .001 - .010 .03 .02 Antisociality - .032 .081 Education .1 14 - .025 Concurrent Depression: Current - .024 .123 Worst .007 - .014 3 [Q - .181 .052 .02 - .010 .03 .00 Antisociality - .049 .080 Education .105 - .026 Concurrent Depression: Current - .025 .122 Worst -.001 - .015 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .143 .007 4 IQ - .141 .098 .046 .015 .13“ .10 Antisociality - .074 .076 Education .080 -.003 Concurrent Depression: Current - .021 .081 Worst - .073 - .140 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .120 .048 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .232‘ 351"" 5 IQ - .247" .212” .114 .004 .13“ .02 Antisociality - .1 15 .067 Education .084 - .012 Concurrent Depression: Current - .091 .059 Worst - .016 - .138 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .148 .043 Concurrent Child Extemalizing Behavior .048 319""I Concurrent Conflict 396"" .093 146 (Table A7, con’t) 6 IQ - .247“ .212" .00 - .023 .15" .02 Antisociality - .115 .080 Education .088 - .082 Concurrent Depression: Current - .092 .066 Worst - .016 - .130 Concurrent Alcohol Consumption .148 .044 Concurrent Child Extemalizing .048 .315"l Behavior 396"“I .126 Concurrent Conflict -.006 .152 Concurrent SES Trimmed Models Fathers Mother: 9 R, p R: Q «193‘ .152‘" Concurrent Child .331'" .109'” Concurrent Conflict .375": Extemalizing Behavior (" p s .05 ” p s .01 W" p s .001) 147 Table A20 Means, Standard Deviations, & Range of Values for Mothers and Fathers Mothers (Valid N = 115) Fathers (Valid N = 103) Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Physical 7.29 24.19 0 208 2.50 3.62 0 18 Aggression ASB 10.27 6.79 1 35 16.71 10.47 2 56 Education 13.17 1.82 9 19 13.7 1.93 10 20 1Q 95.96 13.32 62 135 103.4 13.54 76 146 Beckl 2.77 3.29 0 14 2.13 2.36 0 11 Beck2 3.41 3.56 0 19 2.68 3.13 0 13 Beck3 3.39 3.86 0 20 2.8 3.06 0 13 Haml 19.04 8.34 8 48 15.98 6.84 6.8 41 Harn2 17.64 7.69 8 38 15.11 6.92 8 38 Ham3 16.78 8.71 0 47 13.97 6.92 8 36 QFV-Rl 584.58 2068.64 1 15750 2468.9 5209.94 1 21000 QFV-R2 79.011 3149.16 1 21000 1234.12 3100.27 1 21000 QFV-R3 262.16 1843.80 1 18900 3 16.38 1 122.97 1 8706.29 CBCLl 12.37 6.20 0 28 l 1.29 6.26 1 27 CBCL2 12.02 6.53 0 30 10.14 6.08 0 30 CBCL3 1 1.06 7.48 0 38 9.35 7.01 0 37 FESl 3.81 1.94 0 8 3.17 2.3 0 9 FESZ 3.71 1.95 0 9 3.25 2.13 0 8 FES3 3.85 2.12 0 9 3.39 2.28 0 9 SES] 317.13 103.11 171 640 318.43 105.03 171 640 SES2 344.97 133.60 162.5 770 343.78 128.09 162.5 770 SES3 339.27 127.61 177 866 339.91 127.92 177 866 148 REFERENCES REFERENCES Abidin, R.R., Jenkins, C.L., & McGaughey, MC. 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