CORRELATION BETWEEN POTATO PRODUCTION DRAC'E'ICES AND X’IELDS 1N THE, UPPER PENINSULA OF M!C‘3~%IGAN Thesis for the Degree of M S. MICHIGAN 3TATE COLLEGE Karl Albert Vary 1945‘ ‘l_fl312 “1111 111111 1111 11111111111 3 01739 6122 _ This is to certify that the thesis entitled "Correlation Between Potato Production Practice and Yields in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan." presented by Karl Albert Vary has been accepted towards fulfihnent of the requirements for M. 80 degree h; Farm Management Elton B. Hill Major professor Date June 9, 1945 W103 BETWEEN POTATO PRODUCTION PRACTICES All) YIELDB I! UPPER mum OI MICHIGAN by mu. A. us! \ A more lubeitted to the Graduate School of Michigan State College of Agriculture and Applied Science in partial fulfil-cut of the require-en“ for the degree of MASTER 01' some! Deputnent of I‘m Henngemnt 1914-5 VITA Earl A. Vary PERSONAL: Age - 30 years. l'e'bruary l. 19% Religion - Protestant Birthplace - Covert. Michigan Height - six feet Rationality - American Weight - 180 pounds Marital status - Married Health - Excellent EDUCATION: High School - Creeton. Grand Rapids. Michigan: graduated 1933 College «- Olivet College. Olivet. Michigan: attended 1933—3H Michigan State College. East Lansing. Michigan; graduated September. 19%. 3. S. Degree in Vocational Agriculture. June. 1915. M. S. Degree in Earn Management and Economics. Upon obtaining M. S. Degree I shall leave Michigan State Col- legs to go to Purdue University to work on u doctor's degree. PRACTICAL TRAINING AND EXPERIENCE: )‘ive years had complete charge as manager of l§OO-acre general purpose dairy and poultry farm. Three years operated own lGO-acre farm. renting other farms and doing extensive farm power contracting for farnere. One year sold insurance. Auto. Pin. and Life. for State farm Mutual Insurance Company of Bloomington. Illinois. Six months - U. 8. Government Refrigeration Engineer at Il'ort Custer. Michigan. Past four years attended Michigan State College and have aanaged own farm at Marshall. Michigan. Early training and experience gained from father who had charge and managed l500—acre farm before me. (During my youth I lived on a 350-acre stock and fruit farm in South- western Michigan. There we maintained a show herd of Dutch Belted Cattle which we exhibited at Michigan Pairs and Inter- national Livestock Shows. We raised peaches. apples. cherries. pears. plums. and had one of the first large commercial grape vineyards in that section of Michigan.) Particular egerience: Dairy: Registered Holstein herd of 109 head of cattle. Marketed and produced many kinds of dairy products. Poultry: Raised broilers. turkeys. ducks. geese. guineas. Battery :5 “J"P’ e P... I {}{_);)Q; Sheep : Hogs: Beef 8 Horses: l‘ish: Crops: and floor experience with both laying hens and broilers. Hatched own chicks for broilers and layers. Marketed - eggs. chicks. broilers. and fowl at dressed and live weights. 200 grade Oxford and Hampshire ewes. Marketed Easter and fancy dressed lambs. 15 to 20 Chester White brood sows. Marketed and dressed their litters. Raised. bought and dressed baby beef. Maintained and used four Belgian draft teams and two thor— oughbred saddle horses. Reared brook trout as a specialty food for hotels. Alfalfa hay and pasture. clover. timothy. field and silage corn. wheat. barley. oats. rye. soybeans. navy beans. sudan grass. sweet clover. bromegrase. small vegetables. and as a specialty 25 acres of Idaho baking potatoes every year. Machinery Used: Tractors .- John Deere model A. D. D. G. IHC-l‘armall: Caterpillar Rd—M. Ran-6; Oliver '70 Row Crop; lord 19140 and Pordson; Allie Chal- mers. (I can handle and repair these tractors with skill.) Trucks - lord 1% ton: GMC 5 ton: Chevrolet 1% ton; lord and Chevrolet Pick-ups. (Skilled in use and repair.) Care - lord. Dodge. Hudson. Chevrolet. Ply- mouth. Oldsmobile. Other nachinery - Pick-up hay beler. two combines. cornpicker. plows. disks. barrows. cal- tipackers. silo filler. numerous water pumps. irrigation equipment. electrical motors and devices: had own shop and did own welding: 2-ton and SO-ton ice machines. oil burners. feed grinders. elevators and many other types of farm machinery. WERSHIP 8 Directed 15 to 55 employees: planned each day and year's work. Did all the bookkeeping. including income tax re- ports. payroll. statements. bills. correspondence. etc. AHILIATIOH: Phi Alpha. Exchange Club. Grand Rapids Engineers' Club. Eational Honor Society. Phi Kappa Phi. and Kappa Delta Pi. ACUOWWTS The writer wishes to egress his appreciation to Dr. I. T. Vright. Dr. M. D. Daten. Professors D. R. Churchill. Ernest J. healer. and E. D. Hill for the very helpful suggestions and counsel offered during the preparation of this manuscript. The writer also wishes to egress his gratitude to Profes- sor D. L. Clanehan for his cooperation and the use of the Premier Potato Growere‘ Upper Peninsula records. CONTENTS INTRODUCTION Potato Club Premier Growers Development of first score card Purpose of study PRACTICES Variety Number of sprays Bushels of seed Planting date Times worked Loads of manure Pounds of fertilizer SCORE CARDS Present Proposed APPLICATION 01 TECHNIQUE TO EARN MANAGEMENT SUMMARY APPENDIX Table of significance Formulas h’h‘k‘h‘ ‘JIU'IK’IWWW F 1L1 1:2 ‘86 consumer harms POTATO rsonucnoa essences £32 YIELDS _I§_ 2g! UPPER PENINSULA g: MICHIGAH Karl A. Very Introduction Eor many years a Three Hundred Bushel Potato Club has been promoted in Michigan. Prom this there was developed a Premier Potato Growere' contest for certified seed growers. Still later a Premier Tablestock Growers' contest was added. Through the efforts of the merchants and the Chamber of Commerce of the city of Escenaba a county contest. for Delta County potato growers was proposed. A score card was made by D. L. Clan- ahan. H. C. Moore. and others giving points for recommended cultur. al practices. Previous to this time the contests were based only on total yield. percent of U. S. Ho. 1 potatoes. and placings at either county or district potato shows. Because of the interest shown in the Delta County contest. other counties have started sim- ilar contests. It has now been suggested that the results obtained from the Premier Potato Growers' contests of the Upper Peninsula be used in deve10ping a new score card to be used for future contests. Vs were asked by D. D. Clanahan to make a study of the score card and past records of each Premier Potato Grower's prac- tices to determine the validity of the weight assigned to the var- ioue cultural practices used on the score card. The importance of the major cultural practices was measured by correlating their influence with the potato yields of these growers. One reason for choosing this subJect for study is that we have wanted to investigate the possibility of developing a score card for use in measuring management of the entire farm business. rectors Affecti_n_g Potato Yields There are many factors which may affect potato yields. However. only factors over which farmers had some control were considered on the score card. The factors selected in develop- ing new score cards are: 1. 2. 3. It. 5. 6. Humber of sprays per acre Bushels of seed planted per acre Planting date - May m. taken as 1. (Example: June 2 g 33.) Number of times worked after plowing and before cultivating Number of loads of manure per acre Pounds of fertilizer per acre These factors were selected from the score card as the most important cultural practices to potato production with the help of E. J. Wheeler and B. R. Churchill of the l'arm Crepe Department. Relationship 23 Practices _t_9_ Yields In the Upper Peninsula potato contests for the years MHZ-mt. there were 1’45 Russet Rural Premier Potato Growers. They were located principally in the counties of Menominee. Delta. Iron. and Schoolcraft. For this same period there were 109 Green Mountain Premier Potato Growers. and these men were largely in the counties of Houghton. Marquette. and Baraga. Each of the contestants produced 300 bushels or more per acre and followed one or more of the recommended cultural practices. The records of the yields and cultural practices of the above growers were made available to us for this study by D. L. Clan- shah. Correlations for the year 19% were first computed. pay- ing no attention to variety differences. Correlations were then calculated separately for the two varieties. Russet Rursls and Green Mountains. Premier Growers of these two varieties made up 70% of all contestants for Elba-Ml. The other 30% grew Chippewa. Pontiac. Menominee. and Sebago varieties. Correla- tions for the two varieties (Russet Rural and Green Mountain) were determined for each year of the three year period. 19142-104». Data for the three years was then combined to form a more rep- resentative grouping of factors than could be had by using any one year by itself. Separate correlations for the tableetock and certified potato growers were worked out for l9h2 to find out if the effect of the cultural practices differed significantly. No significant differences were found; therefore this separation was not made in the other years. Symbols were used in the study to designate factors as follows: 11 - yield in.bushels of U. S. No. 1 potatoes x2 - number of sprays per acre :3 - number of bushels of seed planted.per acre Xh - planting date XS - number of times worked X6 - number of loads of manure per acre X7 - number of pounds of fertilizer per acre % «JR wag Q?! 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Puma sum.— wnmu ran was" mafia anon 1.80 :33 till 10 0.003.000.0000 0.0000300 200.000.000.000 0.4.3.00 0000.00» 0003500: 0000.00 0000.00» 0.03 van-00am 200.000.000.000 0.0.00.0 0000. 0000. 000.0 0000. 0000. 00.0 0000. 0000. 00.0 0000. 0000. 00.00 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 00 umme. 0000. 00.0 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 00 0000. 0000. 000.0 0000... 0000. 0.00 0000... 0000. 0.00 0000... 0000. 00 0000. 0000. 00.0 0000.: 0000.n 00.00 0000.: 0000.: 0.00 0000.: 00m00u.0u00 0000.: 0000.n,0m 0000. 0000. 00.0 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 00 0000. 0000. 00.0 0000. 0000. 0.00 :0000. 0000. 0.00 0000. 0000. 00 30.0 .000 4 .210 00.0 4.: 32.0 00.0 #320 00.0 A. 000.0 00.0 WI 00.0000 300.0080 020.00 200 00 000.0» 330.0 05 03008.00 00.80000 00 3000000080 800008.000 RUBBER OF SPRAYS AS ELATED TO RUSSEI‘ RURAL POT. '“O YIELDS IN THE UPPER PEIINSUIA 1942-44 BU . ACRE 0+ " , 400 - 0 0L n - I 1 0 6 9 12 18 IWZIBER CF SPRAYS 12 NUMBER OF SPRAYS Regression lguations 317.21 (bushels) + 7.9 (No. of sprays) as plotted on preceding graph l9ka-hh average I l9hh Y = 299.80 (bushels) 4 12.“ (No. of sprays) 19M} I 0 287.86 (bushels) + 9.6 (No. of sprays) l9h2 Y = 286.10 (bushels) + 6.2 (No. of sprays) Gross and.Partial Correlations 19N2153.kvergggs 12 = 02535 .0327 . 21m 1' r12.3 r12A = .8532 R1.23h Spraying is mainly done to control the following: 1. Insects 2. Fungus diseases 3. Virus diseases The number of sprays is governed by the following: 1. Prevalence of the above 2. Thoroughnees of spraying 3. Climatic conditions M. Date of planting and first killing frost Increasing the number of sprays from four or five times to fifteen increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of 7.9 bushels for each spray during l9h2—‘IJ4. assuming that other factors remained average. NUMBER OF SPRAYS AS RELATED TO G. WEN 3.!0UNTAIN POTATO YIELDS IN THE UPPER PEIINSULA 1942-44 gas 1 L I I I 0 .3 5 7 9 11 NUMBER OF SPRAYS 14 13 1% NUMBER OF SPRAYS Regression Rguations 326.27 (bushels) + 6.I49 (no. of sprays) as 19h2-NJ» average I plotted on preceding graph 19“” I a 333.30 (bushels) + .19 (No. of sprays) 19“} Y : 2 .70 (bushels) +1 .8 (No. of sprays) 19152 I . 286.10 (bushels) 4- 6.2 (No. of sprays) Gross _a_n_d_ Partial Correlations Qua—1+5 Averages r12 = .2910 r12.3 : .2h88 r12.“ = .2069 R1.231; 3 “33°? Spraying is mainly done to control the following: 1. Insects 2. fungus diseases 3. Virus diseases the number of sprays are governed by the following: 1. Prevalence of the above 2. Thoroughness of spraying 3. Climatic conditions 1+. Date of planting and first killing frost Increasing the number of sprays from four or five times to nine or ten times increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Mountain potatoes an average of 6A9 bushels f or each spray during l9h2—M», assuming that other factors re- mained average. ‘— 0 II 15 30311515 01“ SEED AS :ELAIED TC RUSSET RURAL POTATO YIELDS IN THE UPPER I‘E‘IINSULA 1942-44 m. 1- I fl FER AC 0 600 a . : O Q 0 400 II' .- . O 200 J0 L .I O 11 22 33 44 16 BUSHELS OF SEED Regression Ignations l9h2—hh average I : 222.hh (bushels) + 7.lh(bushe1s of seed) as plotted on preceding graph 19% I 3 196A“) (bushels) + 8.85 (bushels of seed) 191+} I g 215.50 (bushels) + 7.1% (bushels of seed) 19u2 r = 275.95 (bushels) + 3.91 (bushels of seed) Gross £93 Partial Correlations 12112-3 Averages . M508 1‘13 : 1.13.)" I .WO r13.2 = '3365 31.231: = 'h532 The number of eyes on Russet Rural seed potatoes is fewer than on the Green Mountain seed potatoes: therefore. they tend to make fewer seed pieces per bushel. flo I (2 to k seed pieces I when potato is in- (9 Q <3 clined to be round.) \ ‘- Certified seed growers often plant whole tubers; this requires more bushels of seed per acre and makes for a smaller average sis ed potato. 17 Increasing the number of bushels of seed from twenty bushels to thirty bushels increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of 7.1M bushels for each bushel of seed planted during 19h2-hh. assum- ing that other factors remained average. 13 BUSELS OF SEED AS EELATED TO om MOUNTAIN POTATO YIEIDS IN THE UPPER PENINSUIA 1942-44 HI. O 15 Z) 25 sum 0? SEED l9 BUSHELS OI SEED .Reggession Eguations 277.9% (bushels) + n.7u (bushels of seed) as plotted on preceding graph l9h2-hh average Y 19141; 'f = 383.2 (bushels) + .08 (bushels of seed) 1913 Y : 102.0 (bushels) .,. 12.6 (bushels of seed) l9h2 Y 3 286.1 (bushels) + 6.20 (bushels of seed) Gross and Partial Correlations 1932023.Lvergges r13 : e1778 1'13.“ : .0868 r13“? 3 .0866 31.231. = 33°? The number of eyes on Green Mountain seed.potatoes is more than on the Russet Rural seed.potatoes; therefore. they tend to make more seed pieces per bushel. (h pieces or more when the length is greater than the width.) Increasing the number of bushels of seed from fifteen 'bushels to twenty-five bushels increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Mountain potatoes an average of “.7“ bushels for each bushel of seed planted during l9h2-hh, assuming that the other factors remained average. ( Pmnmowza AS m TD RUSSET RURAL mm Ymos IN THE UPPRR mmsum 1943-44 31. PER . ACRE' s 600 ’ s .. ‘0 ... ..;.. O . 4m 0 .00 :0 :. 8.! ...: .e . ‘ Ogoos.' ’.0 . is g t . ‘ e' . ‘.. s s ' .'.’-..!|".'.i‘.. . s 330 n I l . o 10 20 27 34 44 PLANT ms DATE 21 PLANTING DATE Regression lggations 386.6 (bushels) - .05 (planting date after l9h2-hh average I May 1.) as plotted on preceding graph 191m 17 z hog.6 (bushels) - .39 (days after May 1) 19143 I : “22.0 (bu‘hel.) '- 107 (day. after “8’ 1) 19142 I = 1111.3 (bushels) - 1.9 (days after May 1) Gross and Partial Correlations 12142-33 Averages r1” : n.0810 1.1“. 2 = "0007 rlu.3 = -.0576 r1“.32 : -.0’422 Russet Rural potatoes are grown in a district of the Upper Peninsula where climatic conditions generally favor an earlier planting date than thatwhere Green Mountain potatoes are grown. Increasing the number of days from May fifteenth to June thirteenth decreased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of .05 bushel for each day of delayed planting during l9h2—hh. assuming that the other fac- tors remained average. 0') 5b PLANTING DATE AS RELIED T0 GREEN M‘UNTAIN POTATO YIELDS IN THE Lr'PER PEIINSUIA 1942-44 .— -n‘ -_—_______. BU. PER I ACRE. ‘00 a.’ 23 PLANTING~DATE Regression Rguations 1&15.89 (bushels) - 1.25 (planting date after 19212-111; average I May lst) as plotted on preceding graph 19’“) Y : M153 (bushels) - 1.016 (days after May I) 19u3 r = 280.2 (bushels) - 1.96 (days after May 1) 19u2 I = M37.0 (bushels) - 1.85 (days after May 1) Gross and Partial Correlations 12142-53 Averages r1“ = '0 2917 r1“. 2 = -. 2080 lath} : -. 21‘97 r1u.32 = "1399 Potatoes in the Green Hountain area are generally planted ten days later than in the Russet Rural area. Green Mountain potatoes are more susceptible to drouthy weather conditions and earlier planting is important. Increasing the number of days from May 15 to June 20 de- creased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Moun- tain potatoes an average of 1.25 bushels for each day of delayed planting during 1942-“, assuming that the other factors remained average. mm amok mama ho 9.th J o O o o o m o m w e O m a O s. u s o . a s m e o. n a s s e e Islle e wlsllul‘ e o o m e o)mIIuII[II-sllo1 e s a . a a . . . u u . . u . r Ifiov e a n e o s s alum 535 was E a MOHMH> 08¢? :2 3a Ema 9H . Q9; Ma... g0». mw... .. .EHB [no @3552 25 NUMBER 01' TIMES WORKED Regression Rguations 1942-1414 average I a 353.18 (bushels) 4- 2.52 (times worked) as plotted on preceding graph 19% I = 369.6 (bushels) + 2.2 (times worked) 19143 I = 3346.11 (bushels) + 2.39 (times worked) 1911-2 I 3 382.6 (bushels) - 1.1 (times worked) Gross and Partial Correlations Que-y}; Averages r15 = .1820 1.15.6 3 .1502 r15.7 : e168]. The number of times worked refers to the working of the soil after plowing and prior to the planting of potatoes. An effort is made to secure a deep mellow seed bed that is rela- tively free from weeds and one which will require a minimum of cultivation during the growing season. Increasing the number of times worked from five to eight- een increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of 2.52 bushels for each time worked during 1918-14-14. assuming that the other factors remained average. [law 3 ~33 £3 file-4 H 01 (x If) v) o 3IN¢0H 495ququ M‘s-mama 2 .JH moAmH» 09.48% 32,539.. ”ammo OH Omgqmm ma... AHMED... mrnflHB Mo Mmmwudm 27 NUMBER OF TIMES WORKED Regression Eguations l9he-hh average T 300.3 (bushels) - .05 (times worked) as plotted on preceding graph l9hh I = 395.0 (bushels) - 1.6 (times worked) 19“} Y a 329.2 (bushels) e 2.hl(times worked) 19N2 Y = 280.2 (bushels) - l.96(times worked) Gross and Partial Correlations l9h21E&.sver§ges r15 2 '00295 ’15.6 .-. -.0623 1.15.7 : .5019 R1.567 = 3“” The number of times worked refers to the working of the soil after plowing and prior to the planting of potatoes. An effort is made to secure a deep mellow seed bed that is rela- tively free from weeds and one which will require a minimum of cultivation during the growing season. In the Green Mountain area the above is more of a.problem because of the type of soil. a shorter length of time in which to prepare the seed bed. and the prevalence of more quack grass. Increasing the number of times worked from five to eleven times decreased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Mountain potatoes an average of .05 bushel for each time worked during l9h2-hh. assuming that the other factors remained average. NUMBER OF LOADS OF EIAUURE AS RELATED TO KISSET RURAL POTATO YIELDS I}? THE UPPER PENINSULA 1942—14 BU. PER AC- 0 5m ' 3 C O z , .80 : ' 3 5': . .'.t . - a 400 . .M. I 0" lg. . . ... . 0 . ‘..i.. e . . ‘:e .: NIJLCBER OF LOADS OF MAZIJHE NUMBER OF LOADS OF MANURI Regression Iguations 361.1 (bushels) + 2.68 (loads of manure) as plotted on preceding graph lShZ-Mh average I l9hh I : 372.0 (bushels) + 3.20 (loads of manure) 19h3 Y : 357.6 (bushels) + l.8h (loads of manure) l9h2 Y : 3M6.3 (bushels) + 2.h3 (loads of manure) Gross gn_d Partial Correlations lQhZ—‘fl Averages r16 g o 21% r16.5 : .2130 r16.7 : .2322 R g ”4068 1.567 In general. loads of manure applied to potato ground in- creased the yield. This was true where manure alone was applied and where manure and fertilizer tagether was used. Increasing the loads of manure from six to fifteen increased the yield.per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of 2.7 bushels for each load of manure added during lShZ—Hk, assuming that the other factors remained average. NUMBER OF IDADS OF ELAINE AS mm TO GREEK; LDLJNPAIN POTATO YIELDS IN THE UPPER :muusuu 1942-44 'f egg 600- C O 400' . .i 0 e O 6 4 200- 1 I 1 1 O 4 8 12 16 NLJBER CF LOADS OF I'AZ‘IURE ‘. :4 ..I 31 NUMBER OF LOADS OF MANURE REGBESSION EQQATIONS 355.5 (bushels) + l.88 (loads of manure) as plotted on preceding graph l9h2—uh average I l9hh I 3 355.5 (bushels) e .03 (loads of manure) l9h3 Y s 322.8 (bushels) + “.1“ (loads of manure) l9h2 Y a 355.0 (bushels) + 2.50 (loads of manure) Gross and Partial Correlations 12112-313 Averages r16 = .19h1 r16.5 . .287R ’16.] : .2015 R1.567 = .3u83 In general. loads of manure applied to potato ground increased the yield. This was true where manure alone was ap- plied and also where manure and fertilizer together was used. Increasing the number of loads of manure from six to fif- teen increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Mountain potatoes an average of 1.88 bushels for each load of manure added during l9h2-GN. assuming that the other factors remained average. O i POUNDS OF F "RTILIZJR AS iiZ‘sz'liD TO RUSSIZT RURAL POTATO YIELDS IN THE UPPER PEIIIIJSULA 1942-44 BU. m" PER ACRE O 800 - ' e . 8 . O 400 - 3 ° : O 200 _ l l l l 0 400 700 1000 1800 1800 MEIR-3.: CF POUNDS OF FERTILIZER 33 NUMBER OF POUNDS O? FERTILIZER Regression Iguations 301.3 (bushels) + .12 (pounds of fertilizer) as plotted on preceding graph l9h2-hh average I 19% I a 381.0 (bushels) + .03 (pounds of fertilizer) 19343 I 3 300.8 (bushels) + .12 (pounds of fertilizer) 19u2 r 3 3M3.) (bushels) + .Oh (pounds of fertilizer) Gross and Partial Correlations mus-33 Averages 1‘17 2 ”4080 .h028 r17.5 r17.6 : .h163 31.567 " 01.068 Increasing the amount of fertilizer from l$00 pounds to 1000 pounds increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Russet Rural potatoes an average of .12 bushel for each pound of fertilizer added during 191124111. assuming that the other factors remained average. .h‘('.. POUNDS OF PERT ILIZER AS 111-4111111313 TO GREEN LITUNTAIN POTATO YIELDS In.T THE LIFER PEJINSULA 1942-44 BU. PER ACRE O 400 700 1000 1400 NUMBER OF POUNDS OF FERTILIZER 35 NUMBER OF POUNDS OF FERTILIZER Regression Eguations 19h2-hh average I 333.7 (bushels) + .05 (pounds of fertilizer) as plotted on preceding graph 19Nh I s 355.5 (bushels) + .03 (pounds of fertilizer) 19h3 I 3 327.1 (bushels) + .03 (pounds of fertilizer) l9h2 I s 303.0 (bushels) + .11 (pounds of fertilizer) Gross and.Partial Correlations 13h2gfifl.sveraggs r17 : .1969 r17.5 : ~1953 r17.6 : .2892 r17.65 : .2885 Increasing the amount of fertilizer from N00 pounds to 1000 pounds increased the yield per acre of the Premier Growers of Green Mountain potatoes an average of .05 bushel for each pound of fertilizer added during 19h2—hh. assuming that the oth- er factors remained average. 36 Score Cards Used 33 12% Following are examples of the actual score cards used in some counties in 191m for determining contest win- ners. Score cards used in the remaining counties are sim- ilar. ISCARABA POTATO BOOSTER ASSOCIATION Tablestock Growers Contest Open to any farmer growing 2 acres or more of potatoes. Points will be awarded on the basis of total acreage of all varieties grown on any one farm. Only one entry for each farm unit. 22 bu. or more per acre Points °°rt1fiod ..ed 0 O C O O O O O O O O O 0 O O O O O O O O O .& lyesrfromcertification.................‘|O 2yearsfromcertification.... .. .. . . .. .. . ..30 Othorued........................m Seed treatment-Semesan Bel. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .65 Greensprouting (at least 10 days) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Planting on summer fallowed hay or sod field . . . . . . . 60 8 loads manure per acre or plow down crap of hay . . . . . 60 Comercial fertilizer 500 lbs. per acre. equivalent of 135 plant feed units per acre or more . . . . . . . . . .50 PlantingDates UptoMay3l.......................100 Jamel-5(inclusive)................... 75 June6-10(inclusive) 50 Sprayine 5‘ne............00000000.00... 1m Stiles.........................l50 7°r‘0r.t1no.0000000000.0.0.0...O.m 11014 i; point per bushel Amy grower with 50 per cent or more of his acreage planted for certification will be automatically entered in certified contest. Quality l'oreachpercentoffio.lquality.............1 Show Sample The show sample will consist of 100 lbs. handpicked. brushed (do not wash) 0.8. No. 1. nothing smaller than 2% inches andnoneweighingmore thanlO oz. . . . . . . . . . . . 100 BhowPlacing Bestfivesamples.each.................100 Iextfivesamples.each................. 9° llextfivesamples.each.etc............... 30 37 ESCARABA POTATO BOOSTER ASSOCIATION Certified Growers' Contest Open to any farmer growing 2 acres or more of potatoes. Points will be awarded on the basis of total acreage of all varieties grown on any one farm. Only one entry for each farm unit. 22 bn. or more per acre Points Certified seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 1 year from certification e e e e e e s e e e e e e e e e e "0 2yearsffomcertification. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Othorlood.........................20 Planting 1-10 of acreage in seed plot and i of this in tuber mt Plo‘ . O C O O C C O I O O C O O C O C O . O . C O . 1m Seed treatment-Semesan Bel. . . . . . . . . . . . . . Greensprouting (at least 10 days) . . . . . . . . . . Planting on summer fallowed hay or sod field . . . . . 8 loads manure per acre or plow down crop of hay . . . Commercial fertilizer 500 lbs. per acre. equivalent of 135 plant food units per acre or more. . . . . . . . . . 50 PlantirgDates UptoJune‘j........................100 JunOG-lo.........................75 (Planting dates do not apply to Seed Plots of certified growers but does apply to main field) 132132.125 5tnes............. .............100 6times............................I50 7ormoretimes......................200 Iield 8‘ } point per bushel Any grower with 50 per cent or more of his acreage planted for certification will be automatically entered in certified contest. Show Sample The certified show sample will consist of 128 tubers that have been hand selected for uniformity of size. shape and freedom of blemish and must be brushed and wrapped before being brought to the show. Do NOT WASH. Show Placiflg rirstplace........................100 8.60ndpl‘ceOOeee.eeeeeeOeeeeeeeeoee98 Thirdplac..0tc...............o......96 U.P. Show Baggy: Samples from the county show will be selected for the Upper Michigan show on the basis of yield and placing at the county show. Samples shown at the county show and selected for the U. P. show must be wrapped and packed for the U. P. show by Uh. “0'91... 38 NOMINEE OOUNTI POTATO IMPROVEMENT CLUB Open to any Farmer in Menominee County. growing 2 acres or more of Potatoes BASIS 01‘ AIARDS Points will be awarded on the basis of total acreage of all varieties grown on any one farm. Only one entry for each farm unit. I. SEED Points Planting certified seed 20 bu. or more per acre . . . . . . .50 Planting seed 1 yr. from certification . . . . . . . . . . . ’10 Planting seed 2 yr. from certification or 1093 inspected ..OdPIOUeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeoBO Otherlood...................c.....10 Treating with corrosive sublimate. formaldehyde. or organicmorcury..................... 65 GrQOn.Pr0ut1ne for 2'00)“ e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e 65 II. SEED BED PREPARATION Plowing under a sod crop or a green manure crop . . . . . . 60 Tall plowing or spring plowing after summer fallowing with thorough spring fitting (6 or more harrowings or dissing! beforsplantinc)....e.eoe........... Applying stable manure. 5 points per load - Total. . . . . 50 Applying at planting time. I+00 pounds or more per acre of commercial fertilizer. such as 14-16-83 3-12-12 or 108plantfoodun1tl..........c....... 50 III. CULTURAL PRACTICES PlantingDates-UptoMay31. . . . . . . . . . .. . . .100 JuneltoJunOSinC........... 75 June6toJune10 inc. . .. . . . . . . . 50 TrenChplmtmeOceeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee25 Shallow cultivation dragging field with spike-tooth harrow or weeder. 3 or more times before plants are 6" high. . . 50 IV. DISEASE AM) INSECT CONTROL Control of leafhopper. beetles. blights. etc.. with copper lime and calcium arsenate spray or dust. At least 5 applications are necessary. leprayordust.....10 5sprayordust......110 2sprayordust.....20 6sprayordust......130 3sprayordust.....MO 7sprayordust......170 ltsprayordust.....70 8sprayordust......200 V. GRADE AND YIELD Iield - f point per bushel field run yield . . . . . . . ... Percentage of U.S. No. 1—1 point for each per cent . . . ... Inhibiting 100 lb. sample of representative table stock po- tatoes at the Potato Show; graded as though you were selling them as aU.S. Ho. 1 Potato. . . . . . . . . 10 ~100 39 Preposed Score Cards Iollowing are examples of the proposed score cards. The present score card is included so one may contrast it with the prOposed. 1&1 omotdop'doo. ’OHHOfl 90g om e. oooooooo 60p ...coea none: @009 603.32 .259 on 0 0 e “0&6” a H 05.!” ON 0 O O O 0 Road” .05 H 05.“ ms . . . . an o» Hm aux mm ..... . . an o» Hm ac: 8H. 0 O O O 8 h“: g on O 00000 C O 8 3 5a 38 225.8 on .. £28 32. 238 on . . 6.3828 3.: 338 mm .. .550 48 233 mm . . :58 33338 323 o . . £28 can 238 o . . . c.3828 a8 233 8a . . . . . 350.51.3- o." OWN e s e e e e .hdfim‘ m om eeeee O .hflhmi m 08 e s o o s e .hflhe w 8 e e e e e e e Ihflhe M omH .- e e e 0 e Ugh“. N ON e e e e e e e e e Ugh“. N 8H s e e e e 0 .3“. m 00 e eeeeee e e Ian-fie W on s s e a e e .h‘kfl‘ m on e e eeeee e e Cb‘Hm. m ehaumm we con CON e e o e c o e “GPO G8 on OWH eeeeee o e mOmN 00 WW on e s s e e eHOFO a ON OOH sssss e e e me:N 00 ON MN o e e e e o e ON “OUQD on e e e e e e e e e e 8 HOCQD aaaaom uaaaom can a. 33.3 3.3552 deans dram nee-am angm @530 300m 00 eeeee 0 CW s e e e ‘dflvfldfl £96.38.“ 38: 85a Ghee-oesomeeemfloafi03h. ma . . . . . . ma . . . m cc a case ooa . . . . . . cod . . . an ac: on an 3.5 339.8 own . . . :93- 0..” SN 0 e e G Chanda. ¢ com . o . . Panama m g e eeeee 8H0 e e e e Dike - omd O O O 0 a“. O O O .huhn. m 8H 0 00000 8 00000 .huhm. m . . . 23.3. n . . . unnum- m CH s e e e e 0 ED.”- H uhuumm no :5 ”mm”... 93.3.: on O O o O o 0 cm e e e e s 8 “sub. :33 :53 coca. as 33.3 g gawk is 33 8 e c o c c c 0 CW 0 e e e e OCPH 08 ON 0 c c c c . e ON c c c o e eIPH CON 8 e e o e e o e 00 e c o 0 CUP.” 00W om e o e e s 0 on e o e o e 0.3.." 8m 0 O O O O O 0 O O O O . ..pfl OCH 0 0 "0’0 Q 0"." 8M omfle e s c 0 “0’0 .05 O'pfl com ”M e o e o s 0 mm e e o e e 0.3..” “gm” 3....flmmm38 8~........£m¢n38 8.......o~.......£8~ om....flmmm38~ on........£mmmc»8~ S.......oa.......£oo.n assuaaaueh no cannon negates” Mo .2“qu on e e e e e s O 8 s e s s O .30." OH m: 0 e o s s s 0 9A 0 e o s H .660." m c e c o s e e e e e s ..OdOH m 0 mm s e e e e e 0 mm s e e e O Cgofl N one o e OHOE H0 .30." OH one e s e e 0 Ounce MO ..UGOH OH on e e o e s e 0 on e s e e O .30H m geeeceeOCGdOHm FeeoeseeeeOCfldOHm fleeseeeofleeeeo.ddo.flm QMceeeeoeCQQOHU QMeeeecoceeegOHw Sec-cocoaceseeOCd‘OH mcscoeseOdGOHN MeecooseoeeadOHN MHeoocoseMHecocceIddOH oneeeeeee§OHm oneeeeeceeeeIUdOHW OHeoeeooOOHecoeoeCVdOHN “NeeeesOOUgOHm “NeeeeseseeeCaOHm meseeesemseeeeeeddo.fl.fi .aauom cannon. oaaaom nadaom shad: we canon 0.33 no ocean Sandal? 598 1.3m Sella-a. m g as; . . 3 3.3a 30.3mm Ewan Application 3; 593 Technigue Used _ig this :5th _t_g farm flagement Studies This study was undertaken with the idea that it might be the fore-runner to similar studies in farm management. It is felt that there is a definite need for a better way to get farmers interested in recommended practices. Considerable interest has been aroused in the Upper Peninsula area through the holding of contests and the awarding of prizes based upon the score card. Enthusiasm in the potato growing areas has prompted this question to be asked: “my wouldn‘t it be pos- sible to introduce contests in other type-of-farming areas?“ This study has shown that one can statistically relate practices to the results obtained in a specific enterprise and set up a score card. l‘rom previous study of farn nanegs- nent data. it is felt that a similar approach can be nade through farm management practices of operating a farm. If such a study were to be made. one would have to run multiple correlations deter-ining the relative importance of various factors in their effect on farm earnings. The labor income would be a as the dependent factor comparable to the yield in potatoes. Some of the independent factors which might be related to labor income and evaluated by a score card are as follows 3 1E5 .l' a. J‘J‘ek‘ofié‘d‘ J‘J‘ I labor income livestock production index (dairy. beef. hogs. poultry. sheep) crop yield index size of business (total P. M. V. U.)‘ intensity (P. M. V. U. per tillable acre) labor efficiency (P. M. I. U. per men) machinery efficiency (eqense per tillable acre) building efficiency (expense per animal unit) ‘Productive man work units Two of these are indexes which are results of efficiency in several enterprises. namely. the livestock and crop yield indexes. Rate of production would have to be measured in dairy. beef. hogs. poultry. and sheep and each enterprise weighted ac- cording to its relative importance. This can be done in the case of livestock by multiplying the production index by the productive man work units on that enterprise. These would then be combined into a single figure indicating the average rate of livestock production. A similar procedure can be followed with crops using acres as a measure of their relative importance. Size of business could be measured by total P. M. V. U.; inten- sity could be measured by P. M. V. U. per tillable acre. labor- efficiency by P. H. I. U. per man. machinery efficiency by ex— pense per tillable acre. and building efficiency by expense per 1th If there were a difference in soil productivity. it might be that a separate score card.would.have to be made up for different classes of soils. h5 m: “T“.f‘Fe—‘F‘. if M I Summer: The purpose of this study has been to make an analysis of past records of the Premier Potato Growers in the Upper Peninsula. to determine the validity of the weight assigned to various cultural practices used on the score cards. and from the results obtained to deve10p a new score card. It was also hoped that this investigation might lead to the possibil- ity of developing a score card for use in fans management. Seventy percent of the Premier Growers in the Upper Pen- insula grew either Russet Rural or Green Mountain potatoes; the remaining thirty percent grew Chippewa. Pontiac. Menominee and Sebago varieties. The growers of Russet Rural potatoes were principally located in the counties of Menominee. Delta. Iran. and Schoolcraft and the Green Mountain growers in the counties of Houghton. Marquette and Baraga. After working many statistical calculations. data for three years (Qua-Mb) have been combined to present a more rep- resentative relationship of factors than could be had by using any one year by itself. The two cultural practices found to be of most importance in the growing of Russet Rural potatoes ac- cording to correlation analysis. were bushels of seed used in planting and pounds of fertilizer applied. In the growing of Green Mountain potatoes the correlations found with the great— h7 z est significance were early planting and number of times sprayed. The effect of the various cultural practices on the yield of potatoes. as shown by correlation analysis. was not as great as is frequently supposed. One possible explanation of this situation is the fact that all growers having under 300 bushels per acre were omitted, as they were not included in the contests and no data were available for them.‘ over 300 bushels per acre followed the recommended.practices to Most of the growers having a fair degree, so there were few who represent poor practices. In.keeping with the above information. the facts presented in this study are valid only as they are presented within these lim— its of the practice. Regression equations combining the years 19h2-uu showed the effects of the cultural practices on yields to be as follows: Effect of Cultural Practices on.Yields of Premier Potato Growers in the Upper Peninsula. 19Ma-hh The.Additlon of: Changed the Yield Russet Rural Green Mountain ’(Buehels) ‘_CBushelsy 1 Spray + 7.90 + 6.50 1 Bushel of seed + 7.10 + 1570 1 Day planting (after May let) - .05 - 1.30 1 Time worked (after plowing &'before cultivating) + 2.52 - .05 1 Load of manure 5 + 2.70 + 1.88 1 Pound of fertilizer E + .12 + .05, Preposed score cards have been develoPed which more nearly present a valid weight to the cultural practices based upon data from Premier Potato Growers contests. 19N2-hh. The points assigned to each recommended cultural practice have met with the approval of certain members of the Farm Crops Depart- ment. (Score card illustration on page 4/.) This study has shown that one may statistically relate practices followed in a specific enterprise with the results obtained. and develop a score card for use in a contest to pro- mote better cultural practices. It also points out the possi- bility of statistically determining the effect of certain farm management factors on farm earnings for use in setting up a score card to encourage better farm management. MS Correlation Coefficients at the 5% and 1% Levels of Significance* Degrees of Degrees of ' freedom 5% l$ freedom 5% 1% 1 .997 1.000 at .388 .996 2 .950 .990 25 .381 .u87 a .878 .959 26 .37u .m .811 .917 27 .367 .320 2 .751. .87: 28 .361 '1; g .707 . 83 29 .3 5 . 7 .666 .798 30 e3% snag 8 .632 .765 33 .32 .MIS 9 .602 .735 .30 .393 10 .576 . 08 #5 .288 .372 11 .553 . 81+ 50 .273 .3511 12 .532 .661 60 .250 .325 1 .511; .6u1 70 .232 .302 1 .h97 .623 80 .217 .283 15 .982 .606 ‘ 90 .205 .267 16 .u68 .590 100 .19 .2514 17 .36 .575 125 .17 .228 18 . .561 150 .159 .208 19 .1133 .5119 200 .138 4:: so . 3 .53 0 .113 .1 21. .111 .526 336 .098 .128 22 .110 .515 500 .088 .115 23 .396 .505 1.000 .062 .081 'George H. Snedecor. Statistical Methods. 1938. page 133 50 Pormulas Gross Correlation Coefficients: “1’2 " (“1‘12” 1'12 = J11: - (1:1)2 Jug; - (12:2)2 - 12113 '- (”1‘13) Juf - (n1)? 7...; - (1.3)? 1‘ 13 fun: - (n1)? Jug - (A392 “116 - (“1“6) 1‘ 16 '-'-’ ‘ \luf - only? In: - (1:6) 2 _ Arm-(“1“?) 17 - \lnf - (1:32 J11; - (up? 1‘ A1213 - (1.22113) 1'23 : J11: - (1x292 #1:? - (1:92 51 Item - (“2‘1“) [A15 - (1:32 1Ax: - (an)? rah = ”31+ : M - “=92 Jufi - We 55 = “516 - (1.51.6) x/Axg - (1:5)? Jug 41:6)2 - “‘5*7 ' (1.51:7) 57 -.Jixg - (A15)2 \[Axi - (A17)? ‘Axsx7 - (‘36"7) \/A:§ - (A16)2 .733; ; (A17)2 1‘ 1'67 : Iirst Order Correlation Coefficients: ’12 ' (’13) (’23) J1 " (1'13)2 \fl '- (1'23)2 1'13 " (’11:)(1'210 J1 "' (”1102 J1 " (”214)T 1‘12.3 = 1' 123+ : 52 1‘13 "’ (1'12)(1‘32) \ll -(1'12)2\/1 - (1‘32)2 r13 - (rlu) (r3u) Ji - (r1792 J1 41-3792 ll13.2 '-'-' 11331 = ’11; " (’12) (”219 r19 2 " ' 2 2 J1 - (r12) J1 41-217) 1'11; "' (’13) (1'3 “1) iu.3- Jl-(ru) 23\/l-(ru )2 -(r16) (r5 6) 1.l‘j.6'-' J11-(r126) \[1-(r56)2 " (1'17) (1'57) 1'15.? '-'-' . J1 - (r17)? J1 - (r57)2 ’16 " (’15) (’56) J: - l6(r15)Z J1 .. (r56)2 " (1‘1?) (1'6?) 1'16.5 = 53 r - r17 ' (r15) (:57) 17.5 " _ 2 2” J]. - (r15) \/1 - (1'57) r17 - (r16) (r67) \/1 - (r16)2V/1 - (r67)2 Second Order Correlation Coefficients: 117.6 : rlueS - (r1203) (rzu.3) 1311.32 = 2 7/1 " “12.3) \/1 " "2u.3)2 1.17.6 - (115.5 ) “57.6) 117.65 3 _ 2 2 7/1 ’ (”15.6) J1 " “57.6) Multiple Correlation Coefficients: 321.23 I (1 " ”122) (1 - r132) 2 2 2 a 1.211 z (1 - r12) (1 - r1“) 2 2 321.31; = (1 - r13 ) (1 - r“) e .L‘ 5M 1 I9 321.2314 3 (1 as r122)” '- 113.22)“ '- rm.322> 2 2 1121.56 3 (1 - r15 ) (1 - r15) 2 2 321.57 : (1 - r15 ) (l - r17 ) 2 2 2 31.67:(1-r16) (It-1'17) 1 s- 321.557 2 (1 " r152)(1 - 1“16.52)(J' - r17e652) Normal lquation (to find gross predicting equation): 1. 2(1) n n + bib) n. my) = aflb) + cm)?- was: “A ..u “WW . w 55 :NNHH N I :HHMN MHNHH N I MMHHN NHNHNNI NNHNN f+nflo+mflp+e u an 9533.36 caseinnzenmezpao-+a£ us as non warden Q d a dflmcflwv I mzuNga. o _deNnMNI :HmHNMa ... p THNNNNI :NNHNQ emaumnww: lmuieunwuM ... o TAPNV I mmuNgt ATHNNQNI mumuwg d d d uTHNmNNI :KNHNW ... o TNNNHNI nnmuwg ... n—mamnwv I NNHNQ ”neaasaoaaoo .333: new 33563 ....cmaen 56 53rd .. and: Amman: .. «an; ... oTud I 5"an + pTlmud .. 5"an para .. hard 672m: .. (NHL + o Tnud .. «mu; + pTlmfi. .. mumuL Natl .. Nara 6 Tim“: .. :«muL + 0 film: .. Maui; + p Twat .. «mu; :SImzmu 50333.80 393.3: you aouagdn 6250: 5 decade-pun cowuuobd 22-20% USE 0m , x » . I * I ' T6 51 170695 ' V527 Vary nICHIan STnTE UNIV. LIBRnRIES ¥|lWIN”"WWIWWWWWI”WI 31293Q17396122