...2 L: ..C. .12.. 3 1293 01770 4275 ”55’s IllllmllfllillHlIHHllIlllHll illllllllfllflllllllllHlfl This is to certify that the dissertation entitled Consumer Demand for Ecolabeled Apples presented by Jeffrey Raymond Blend has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D. mgmem Agricultural Economics fiw Major professor DateW/ ’6 /‘7 7 3/ MS U i: an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution 0-12771 LIBRARY Mlchlgan State University PLACE IN REFURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 8gp. H Q7. a? (:99 69 ~ 6’ T9 1/” W14 CONSUMER DEMAND FOR ECOLABELED APPLES By Jeffrey Raymond Blend A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 1998 ABSTRACT CONSUMER DEMAND FOR ECOLABELED APPLES By Jeffrey Raymond Blend An ecolabel is a voluntary claim that a product meets environmental standards. It offers consumers the chance to lower the harmful impacts from their consumption by buying products which are manufactured and grown in ways that cause less environmental damage. Because ecolabeling is new, it is uncertain whether consumers would buy such products and at what price. This paper estimates average household demand and marginal willingness to pay for ecolabeled apples. It tests several hypotheses about variables which affect consumer demand for ecolabeled foods including the comprehensiveness of the ecolabeled claim, the proof offered that it is honest and various personal factors such as income and familiarity with the claim. A theoretical model is developed which explains how ecolabeling would affect a consumer’s typical apple purchasing choice. The model asserts that the consumer faces a tradeoff between their utility from apple consumption and their disutility from the environmental damage caused by its production. Data fi‘om a phone survey of U.S. households is used to estimate consumer demand for regular (i.e. unlabeled) apples and ecolabeled apples in markets with and withOut ecolabeling. Because ecolabeled apples are new, a market scenario is created in which respondents were presented with prices and descriptions of regular and ecolabeled apples and asked which they would buy and how much they would buy in a single shopping trip. A Cragg Double Hurdle model and a Tobit model are used to estimate demand for each type of apple. The Cragg model appears to be the more appropriate model for estimating demand for a single shopping trip. The results indicate significant consumer demand for ecolabeled apples and a willingness to pay a price premium for them. This result holds regardless of how environmental claims are worded or whether proof of their validity is stated in the label. Price is a very important determinant in consumers’ decisions of whether to purchase regular and ecolabeled apples. Respondents bought ecolabeled apples primarily for environmental concern and health attributes. Respondents with more education and from larger households bought more ecolabeled apples. Copyright by Jeffrey Raymond Blend 1 998 To my parents and my wife Becky ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Research for this paper was provided by USDA, ERS Cooperative Agreement No. 43-3AEL-6-80060 and the Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station. I am deeply grateful to my parents for all their love, support and contribution towards my current and future success in the world. They instilled in me a good work ethic, solid morals and the ability to persist in the face of challenging obstacles. I thank my wife Becky for her love and patience. Her support greatly contributed to the quality of this work and to my time in graduate school. I am deeply grateful to my mentor and major advisor, Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay. Her assistance, dedication and encouragement throughout my graduate experience were extraordinary. She knew when to compliment my work and when to urge me beyond the limits I had previously set. She spent a great deal of time and effort developing my professional skills and boosting my confidence in what I can accomplish. I have been blessed to have such a dedicated advisor. I would like to thank Jeff Wooldridge for his extensive help with the statistical aspects of this paper. I thank my other two committee members, John Hoehn and Patricia Norris for their time and genuine interest in my work. I extend my thanks to Takashi Yamano for his generous and valuable assistance with the econometrics software used in this research. I thank Frank Lupi and Scott Swinton for their support and interest. I thank Chris Edge and David Jones for their help and great fiiendship as well as Lorie Srivastava, Karin Stefl‘ens and Hirokatsu Asano. I am grateful to all of the other researchers not mentioned who contributed in any way to this dissertation. My deepest respect and thanks to the art of Yoga and its invaluable contribution to my life. I thank my Yoga instructors Ruth Fisk, Rob Eschbach and Amar Gupta. Without my practice, this experience would have been much more difficult and not nearly as valuable or insightful. vii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ......................................... . ix LIST OF FIGURES .......................................... xi Introduction ................................................. 1 Theory ..................................................... 5 Stn'vey Design .............................................. 17 Sample Selection ............................................ 29 Model Specification ......................................... 31 Results ................................................... 37 Conclusions ................................................ 50 TABLES .................................................. 59 APPENDD( A-DEVELOPMENT OF ECOLABEL DESCRIPTIONS AND PRICE ............................................... 89 APPENDD( B-SAMPLE SELECTION ........................... 97 APPENDD( C-SURVEY INSTRUMENT ........................ 99 BIBLIOGRAPHY .......................................... 1 l l LIST OF TABLES Table 1-Names of Ecolabels in the Questionnaire ................... 59 Table 2-Number of Respondents for Each Ecolabel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Table 3-Household Composition ................................ 60 Table 4-Age of the Respondents ................................ 61 Table S-Educational Attainment of Respondents .................... 62 Table 6-Gender of Respondents ................................ 63 Table 7 -Household Income .................................... 64 Table 8-Q: Where do you usually purchase fi'esh apples? (Open ended) 65 Table 9-Q: When you buy apples, how often do you buy organic apples? 65 Table lO-Q: How much have you seen, heard, or read about Integrated Pest Management or 1PM? ................................... 66 Table ll-Variable names, definitions, means and standard deviations . . . . 67 Table lZ-Percent respondents purchasing regular and ecolabeled apples when both are available ...................................... 69 Table l3-Percent respondents purchasing regular and ecolabeled apples when the price premium on ecolabeled apples is $_/lb. ............. 69 Table l4-Cragg Double Hurdle for ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling ........................................... 70 ix Table 15-Cragg Double Hurdle for regular apples in a market with ecolabeling ........................................... 72 Table l6-Cragg Double Hurdle for regular apples in a market without ecolabeling ........................................... 74 Table 17 -Tobit coefficients and calculated marginal effects for ecolabeled apples ............................................... 76 Table 18-Tobit coeflicients and calculated marginal effects for regular apples in a market with both types of apples ........................ 78 Table l9-Tobit coefficients and calculated marginal effects for regular apples in a market without ecolabeled apples. ...................... 80 Table 20-Calculated Tobit elasticities of prices, income and significant variables for all three types of apples ........................ 81 Table 2l-Q: Why did you choose to buy the ecolabeled apples? (Open ended) .................................................... 82 Table 22-Q: Why did you choose not to buy the ecolabeled apples? (Open- ended) ............................................... 83 Table 23-Comparison of results between Tobit, OLS and SUR for ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling ......................... 84 Table 24-Comparison of results between Tobit, OLS and SUR for regular apples in a market with ecolabeling ......................... 86 LIST OF FIGURES Figure l-Consumer buys both types of apples in a single shopping trip . . . 12 Figure 2-Consumer buys ecolabeled apples only in a single shopping trip . 13 Figure 3-‘I'he Survey Versions .................................. 24 Introduction‘ Ecolabeling is a new phenomenon in agriculture. There are standards for many other safety and quality attributes of agricultural products, but environmental standards are just beginning to emerge. There are many unanswered questions about what standards consumers want and at what price. An ecolabel is a voluntary claim that a product meets environmental standards. It signals to consumers that a particular product has caused less environmental impact than others in the same category. The purpose of an ecolabel is to offer consumers the chance to lower the harmful impacts fi'om consumption by changing the way products are manufactured and grown. On agricultural products, ecolabels serve to promote innovative farming techniques (e. g. Integrated Pest Management (IPM), cover crops) that result 1This section is adapted fiom Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay and J efi‘rey R. Blend, “Using Ecolabeling to Encourage Adoption of Innovative Environmental Technologies in Agriculture,” Flexible Incentives to Promote the Adoption of Environmental Technologies in Agriculture, Frank Casey, Andrew Schmitz, Scott Swinton and David Zilberrnan (Eds), Kluwer Publishers, forthcoming, and Jeffrey R. Blend and Eileen van Ravenswaay, “Consumer Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” 1998, Department of Agricultural Economics Staff Paper No. 98- 20, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. in higher environmental standards than what is already required by law. Ecolabels are much like a seal of approval. They are awarded by a . public or private nonprofit organization that establishes environmental standards for product categories and certifies that products meet those standards. Thus, an ecolabel is like a seal of approval because it is a signal of high standards as well as a signal that products meet standards. The increasing number of ecolabels in this country and others is evidence of their growing popularity worldwide. More than 20 countries and the Em'opean Community have adopted public ecolabeling programs to encourage the development of manufacturing processes and products with less environmental impact (U .8. EPA 1993a, 1993b, 1993c, 1994). In the U.S., there are several private nonprofit ecolabeling programs (e.g., Green Seal and Scientific Certification Systems) and voluntary environmental labeling programs supported by the government (e.g., EPA Energy Star Program). The premise behind ecolabels is that environmental damage from production and consumption of a good affects the consumers of that good. Economists typically assume that environmental damage associated with production or consumption affects some third party, not the producers or 2 consumers in the market. In the case of ecolabels, however, it is no longer appropriate to analyze the problem as a producer extemality. The consumer now faces a tradeofl‘ because her own consumption is the ultimate cause of the environmental damage she suffers. Without an ecolabel, the consumer has only one way she can reduce the damage, namely, to consume less. With an ecolabel, she has the option of buying from a seller who has reduced the damage for her. Marketing research has found substantial consumer interest in green products in the U.S. The most relevant marketing study comes from the Food Marketing Institute (FMI, 1997) which identified consumer segments very interested in buying green goods and paying more for them.2 There is little research, however, on the potential demand for ecolabeled products. This dissertation estimates potential consumer demand for ecolabeled apples. The main research question is whether consumers would buy ecolabeled apples and how much they would pay for them if they were available at their normal place of purchase. Apple demand with and without ecolabeling is estimated to measure the effect of introducing ecolabeled 2One quarter of their sample was identified as being “very interested” in pm'chasing green products and 8% were identified as being “very interested” in paying a 10% price premium. 3 apples. The results have implications for producers and retailers interested in growing and selling ecolabeled foods. In particular, they gain a better idea of whether a suflicient market exists for their products. This dissertation examines whether demand and marginal willingness to pay depend on how the ecolabel is worded. Two important dimensions of that wording are the comprehensiveness of the ecolabel’s environmental claim and the form of proof given to support the claim. The results of this inquiry will give ecolabelers an indication of whether certain ecolabels would perform more effectively than others. The dissertation examines personal factors that affect ecolabeled apple demand. Such factors include income, household size, education, one’s primary motivation for purchasing the ecolabeled apples and one’s familiarity with the label claim. This information is important to marketers because it pinpoints those segments of the population most likely to buy ecolabeled food items and provides potential selling points to use in marketing the ecolabels. Finally, this dissertation tests the validity of several aspects of survey instrument design. This is done by examining whether apple purchase location, the existence of organic apples and the fact that some surveys were given after apple season affect demand. Such information may help those 4 who construct similar surveys. Data from a phone survey of U.S. households is used to estimate three difi‘erent apple demands: (1) regular (i.e. unlabeled) apples in a market without ecolabeling, (2) regular apples in a market with both regular and ecolabeled apples and (3) ecolabeled apples in a market with both regular and ecolabeled apples. Cragg Double Hurdle and Tobit models are estimated to determine the factors that affect demand for each type of apple. TheoryJ In standard economic theory, uncompensated environmental damage is usually treated as a negative production or consumption extemality. In other words, the environmental damage is assumed to be home by a party external to the product market who is unable to seek compensation from the market’s participants. Consequently, the damage is not accounted for by consumers or producers in the product market and not reflected in the equilibrium price and quantity. 3This section is adapted from Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay and Jeffrey R. Blend, “Using Ecolabeling to Encourage Adoption of Innovative Environmental Technologies in Agriculture,” WW tho Adoption of Environmental Technologies in Ago'culture, Frank Casey, Andrew Schmitz, Scott Swinton and David Zilberrnan (Eds), Kluwer Publishers, forthcoming. The premise behind ecolabels is that some of the uncompensated disutility fi'om the environmental damage associated with production or consumption of the product is experienced by the market’s consumers. For example, suppose production or consumption of a product results in wastes that harm the environment. If the consumer knows about this environmental harm and believes that she will suffer fi'om it without any compensation, she will experience disutility from consumption. Thus, she faces a tradeoff between the marginal utility she derives from additional consumption and the marginal disutility she derives fi'om additional uncompensated environmental damage. Why might consumers be aware of the environmental damage from their own consumption? There is much greater appreciation today of the interdependency of ecosystems elements. Environmental science shows us that what we once regarded as separate, independent elements of the ecosphere are in fact highly interdependent. Thus, a change in one element may have many indirect effects that are only now coming to be appreciated and, thus, are not accounted for in the current set of property rights governing goods traded in markets. Also, there has been extensive media coverage of environmental problems resulting fi'om the production and consumption of 6 goods in this society. Thus, consumers are learning that money is not the only thing they sacrifice to acquire goods. Assume a typical apple market in which the consumer’s preferred varieties are available. The consumer derives utility from apple taste and nutritional value. Assume that the production of the apples causes environmental damage. Any damage of which the consumer is aware causes her disutility.4 Thus, she faces a tradeoff between the marginal increase in utility she derives from the food attributes of an additional unit of consumption and the marginal decrease in utility from uncompensated environmental damage. Assuming all other food attributes remain unchanged and that all production results in some type of uncompensated environmental damage to the consumer, the consumer’s problem can be expressed as: (1) Maximize U(Y,X,E(X)) s.t. PyY + PXX=M where U is a quasi-concave utility function, X is quantity of apples purchased, Y is the quantity of all other goods purchased (none of which ‘Because people are not omniscient, they will probably not be aware of all the damage caused by apple production and thus will not sufl'er disutility from that which they do not know. Of course, this assumes that the damage they do not know about does not affect them. .7 affect consumer health or safety, environmental quality or the amount purchased of X), E is environmental quality that affects the consumer, PX is the price of apples, Py is the price of Y and M is income. The efl‘ect of E on utility is strictly positive (aU/dE>O). Since apple production uses resources and creates waste, we assume that the effect of X on E is negative (6E!6X<0). Because the earth has a regenerative capacity, however, this expression is rewritten as dE/dXsO to reflect the possibility that apples may be grown in a sustainable way that does not cause any environmental damage in the long run. Thus, the marginal utility of X may be positive or negative depending on the relative magnitude of the direct (6U/6X>0) and indirect (dU/dE-dE/dXsO) effects of X on utility. This model can be used to capture the effects of environmental damage caused during either production or consumption of a good. Since we are interested in the potential effect on producer adoption of environmental technologies, we only consider the producer-related damage here.5 5Many of the consumer extemalities associated with a product involve the use of complements such as waste disposal services, energy use, and water use. This can be incorporated into the specification of the production function for environmental quality, E. The main result is that the producer will refonnulate the product if the difference in marginal cost is less than or equal to the difference in marginal willingness to pay. 8 Suppose that some producers adopt an innovative environmental technology that does not change any of the food attributes of X (i.e., no ‘ changes in apple safety or quality) but reduces the amount of environmental damage affecting the consumer per unit of consumption. Suppose they develop an ecolabel to advertise the environmental claim to consumers. Let X’ be the quantity purchased of this ecolabeled version of X. The efi‘ect of X’ on E is non-positive (BE/6X50) and E(X) {dU/dE(6E/6X’ - dE/dXfiA , where A is the Lagrangian multiplier, the consumer will not purchase any X’.6 In other words, if the marginal cost of making a truthful environmental claim is greater than its marginal value to consumers, no ecolabeled apples will be purchased. The first order conditions also imply that if (4) Px’- Px < {aU/6E(aE/6X’ - dE/dX)”. , the consumer will not purchase any X. If the marginal cost of making a truthful environmental claim is less than its marginal value to consumers, only ecolabeled apples will be purchased if apples are purchased. No regular apples will be purchased. Finally, if (5) Px’- Px = {BU/6E(dE/dX’ - dE/dX)”. , the consumer will purchase either all of X, all of X’ or some of both apples if they purchase apples. Because the marginal cost of the claim is equal its marginal value to consumers, they are indifferent between the two types of ‘IfX and E are additively separable and corner solutions between X and X’ arise, the first order conditions for a maximum are: 6U/6X + 6U/6E°6E/6X - lPx s 0 and if dU/dX + aU/dE-dE/6X - APX < 0 then X=0, dU/BX’ + aU/6E°dE/6X’ - APx's O and if dU/dX’ + aU/dE-BE/BX’ - lPx’ < 0 then X’=O, M-PxX-PX’X’ = O. 10 apples. The necessary condition for ecolabeled apples to be purchased is that the difference in marginal costs of the new method of production (reflected in the price) does not exceed the marginal value of the environmental improvement to the consmner of the last unit sold. This condition is illustrated in Figure l on the next page. In Figure 1, the individual’s demand for X in a single shopping trip is represented by curve D, and the demand for X’ in a single trip is represented by D’. Demand for X’ is greater than X by the marginal value of the environmental improvement to the consumer of the last unit sold. The marginal costs of supplying X and X’ are represented by MC and MC’. Marginal costs are constant and equal to price because the individual is assumed to be a price taker in the apple market. For the individual in Figure 1, the difference between the marginal costs is less than the difference in demand. Consequently, consumer surplus is greater with X’ and some ecolabeled apples are bought. The way the curves are drawn in figure 1, some of both apples are demanded by the individual. We might expect that in a single shopping trip, however, many consumers would buy only regular or ecolabeled apples or 11 at. «3.32.» 0.3% a 5 8:3: be 8%. 52— 9::— uefiameew— 0.5»:— EE 295 a E 83% B: 33:35 . _ _ . . X ——-—--_-——( X —‘--——-— / Owe/Tm 02" s m 8?. 12 at. «5.32% 29:» a a. be: 8.9... 3.2380 n»...— uefiameeUé 953%. EB 29% a E 33% 3: 52525 X s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ USTm UEH‘ AH 35V 8?— l3 none at all. Ifan individual’s demand for regular apples (D) in a single shopping trip is entirely below the price for regular apples (i.e., MC), a situation which is represented in Figure 2 on the previous page, they would not buy regular apples during that particular shopping trip. The way the curves are drawn in Figure 2, the individual would only buy ecolabeled apples. Similarly, if an individual’s demand for ecolabeled apples in a single shopping trip (D’) was entirely below the price for ecolabeled apples (i.e., MC’), the individual would not buy ecolabeled apples during that particular trip. Ifboth curves were entirely below their prices, the individual would not buy either type of apple. Consumers are not omniscient and it is costly and difiicult for them to observe whether a producer has truly improved environmental quality. Knowing this, some producers may develop a false environmental claim in hopes of receiving the higher price Px’ without incuning the additional marginal costs from the use of environmental technology. This results in an asymmetric information problem between producers and consumers, a problem which will decrease the effectiveness of ecolabel markets if not addressed. Asymmetric information implies that the consumer does not know the 14 probability associated with the ecolabel claim being truthful. Assume that consumers perceive a rt probability that the environmental claim is true. The closer rt is to one, the more trust there is that the claim is honest. This is incorporated into the model by weighting the E production function by rt. Thus, (2) becomes: (4) Maximize U(Y,X,X’,rt-E(X,X’)) s.t. PYY + PXX + PX’X’ =M, X,X’,Y_>_O where the producer’s claim is represented by the E function and the trust in the claim is represented by the probability weighting function rt. The greater the value of rt, the more likely consumers would buy the ecolabeled apples. Producers may attempt to increase consumer trust in the claim by developing and offering credible proof about their environmental claim. There are various forms of proof that a producer can provide to increase consumer trust. These include satisfying or complying with national standards such as those being developed for organic products, using a third- party labeler/certifier who is widely known for being accurate and truthful, making a self-declaration or giving no proof at all. Providing credible proof increases marginal costs of production and therefore increases Px’. It also, however, increases the probability rt and thus benefits to consumers. 15 Actions taken to reduce environmental damage may also improve food safety-primarily in terms of reduced chemical residues. Therefore, we must account for both the value of the environmental improvement and the food safety improvement to be able to say what the value of ecolabeling is. Assume that consumers perceive ecolabeled apples to be safer because of lowered levels of chemical residues per apple.7 We denote R as the level of residue one ingests from consuming a unit of X or X’. Because chemical residues will be reduced only if the environmental claim is true, R is also weighted by rt. Assume that actions taken to lower environmental damage are perceived to simultaneously lower residues. Because these two effects are simultaneous in the consumer’s perception, rt is the same for both. Thus, consumers will receive both improved environmental quality and less residues with the same level of probability.8 We have: (5) Maximize U(Y,X,X’,rt-E(X,X’),rt-R(X,X’)) s.t. PYY + PxX + PX'X’ =M, X,X’,Y20 7We do not include improved nutritional attributes within the safety variable because no respondents mentioned these as a reason for buying ecolabeled apples. 1'There are health and food safety attributes other than pesticide residues, some of which might have a different rt fi'om environmental attributes. However, those attributes are not included in this model. 16 R has a strictly negative effect upon utility (dU/dR<0), R(X)>R(X’), and X and X’ have strictly positive effects upon residues ingested so that (GR/6X>O) and (dR/aX’>O). The demand functions for regular and ecolabeled apples in a market where both are offered for sale are: (6) X = X(Px,Px’M,EJt.R) X’ = X’(Px,Px’,M,E,rt,R) Own price is expected to negatively affect X and X’. Substitute price, M, E, rt and improved health attributes in the form of lower levels of R are expected to positively affect both X and X’. Survey Design9 The potential demand for ecolabeled and regular (e. g. unlabeled) apples is estimated using data from a phone survey of a random sample of U.S. households. The questionnaire elicited apple purchasing intentions with and without ecolabeling. (The questionnaire is in Appendix C.) The respondents interviewed normally do the food shopping for the household. 9This section is based on Jeffrey R. Blend and Eileen van Ravenswaay, 1998, “ Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” Department of Agricultural Economics Staff Paper No. 98-20, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. 17 Because ecolabels are new, a simulated market was created within the questionnaire. This technique was first used by van Ravenswaay and Hoehn (1991a) to estimate consumer willingness-to-pay for reduced pesticide residues on apples. In that study, respondents were asked the amount of apples they would purchase at various prices, pesticide residue levels and pest damage levels. Because these choices were not widely available to apple shoppers at the time of their study, a simulated market was created to measure respondent purchasing intentions as if the choices did exist in a typical apple market. Other studies examining similar consumer choices with respect to food purchases have also used this technique (Born, 1994, Buzby, Skees and Ready, 1995, van Ravenswaay and Wohl, 1995, Wohl, van Ravenswaay and Hoehn, 1995, Owens, Swinton and van Ravenswaay, 1997). In the simulated market scenarios, respondents were presented with descriptions and prices of regular and ecolabeled apples and asked which they would buy and how much they would buy. Questions were asked in terms of household purchases during a single shopping occasion in late autumn and early winter. To simulate markets with and without ecolabeling, two market scenarios were presented to respondents. The first involved a market in 18 which the respondent’s preferred or regular apples were available at various prices. The second market scenario was identical except that both regular and ecolabeled versions were available. The quality and display of the apples were the same for both market scenarios. In the first market scenario, respondents were asked to imagine themselves in their typical apple purchasing setting and were given a randomly selected price per pound for regular apples (PX). They were told that the prices of other fruits were what would normally be expected, that all apples were the same price per pound no matter how displayed and that apples were not selling for less at other stores. Thus, PY was held constant. Respondents were also told that all apples were available in their favorite varieties, qualities and sizes. In this way, the effects upon apple demand of substitute fruits, packaging, competitor prices and non-environmental attributes were held constant. Given the market scenario and price (PX), respondents were asked whether or not they would buy the regular apples. If the answer was yes, they were asked how much they would buy at the given price. They were allowed to give their answers in terms of individual apples, pounds, peeks and 19 bushels although all answers were converted into pounds.10 The respondent’s answer to this second question is the quantity demanded of regular apples (X) when these are the only brand available. In the second market scenario, the ecolabeled apple was introduced. A verbal description of its attributes was given. The price of regular apples (PX) was the same as in the first market scenario. The price of ecolabeled apples (Px’) was equal to the price of the regular apples plus a randomly assigned price premium. Given prices for both apples and the ecolabel description, respondents were then asked which and how much they would buy at the given price(s). The respondent’s answer to this second question is the quantity demanded of regular (X) and ecolabeled (X’) apples when both are available. To test the effects of different types of ecolabels on purchasing intentions, four ecolabel descriptions were randomly varied across respondents. (A detailed description of how the ecolabel descriptions were developed is in Appendix A.) The ecolabel descriptions varied in terms of two dimensions: comprehensiveness of the environmental claim (i.e., loOne medium sized apple is equal to 1/3 pounds, one peck is equal to 10 ‘/2 pounds and one bushel is equal to 42 pounds. 20 information about E(X’) relative to E(X)) and proof substantiating the environmental claim (i.e., information about rt). Two variations of each of these dimensions were incorporated into the descriptions of the ecolabels. The four ecolabel names are shown in Table 1. (All tables are located at the end of the paper.) There were fewer environmental claims made in the IPM (Integrated Pest Management) label because it specified production practices for pest control only as opposed to the wider range of practices that could reduce environmental impact. The ECO claim was more comprehensive because it specified production practices which lower a number of farm-related environmental impacts. These included efficient water and energy usage, the use of naturally occurring fertilizers for better water and soil quality, natural insect controls and reduced pesticide use. It was expected that consumers would purchase greater amounts on average of ecolabeled apples with a mere comprehensive claim. The reason was that the more comprehensive claim specified a greater number of environmental attributes suggesting a greater improvement in E. Proof was described in terms of whether the ecolabel claims were externally verified by a certifying organization. The ECO and IPM ecolabels 21 were either described as being certified by the USDA or not at all. Certification by the USDA rather than a private agent or a non-profit environmental group was chosen because USDA is familiar to most food consumers. Other types of certifying organizations could be specified, but this would require a larger sample size than our research funding permitted. It was expected that consumers would buy a greater amount on average of ecolabeled apples with a certified claim since this would increase their trust (rt) in the honesty of the claim. The four ecolabels were randomly varied across respondents with equal probability so that approximately equal numbers would receive each. Approximately half the sample were given the IPM ecolabel and half were given the ECO ecolabel. This was done to determine whether the number of environmental impacts specified by the ecolabel claim affects consumer purchasing choices in a market with ecolabeling. Approximately half were told that the ecolabel was certified. Certification status was not mentioned to the other half of the sample. This was done to determine whether proof ofl’ered that the claim is honest affects purchasing choices in a market with ecolabeling. The number of respondents receiving each ecolabel is shown in Table 2. 22 Three regular apple prices (PX) of $.59, $.89 and $1.19 per pound were randomly varied across respondents with equal probability. Additional prices could be specified, but this would require a larger sample size than our research funding permitted. The prices were chosen to reflect variation around the average U.S. apple price.“ Three price premiums for ecolabeled apples of $.00, $.20, and $.40 (Px’=Px+premium) were randomly varied across respondents with equal probability. Additional price premiums would have required an increase in sample size that our research firnding did not permit. These three values are based on price premiums for organic apples in the U.S.12 (A detailed description of how the prices were developed is in Appendix A.) Both prices were varied across respondents for the purpose of "U.S. apple prices were obtained from United States Department of Agriculture, EcOnomics Research Service, Fruit and Tree Nuts Situation god mum, March 1997, FTS-279, p. 5 and United States Department of Agriculture, Economics Research Service, Fr_uit und Troe Nuts Situation god 1 Y k1 su , October 1996, FTS-278, p. 6. 12Organic apple price premiums were obtained from Harnnrit, James, 0.4 343.11: . ' ns mr Willin e s 0 Pa o R q- - F . . Bo-m s. , 1986, Santa Monica: The RAND Corp., R-3447-EPA and Jolly, D., n r Willin to P Price Premium f r r ni A l Poachos, March 1989, Department of Agricultural Economics, University of California, Davis and Jolly, D., “Differences Between Buyers and Non- buyers of Organic Produce and Willingness to Pay Organic Price Premiums”, Agribusiness, 9297-111. 23 determining their effect upon consumer demand of regular and ecolabeled apples. Randomly varying three regular apple prices and three price premiums across the sample resulted in nine different price combinations that a respondent could receive. The four ecolabel descriptions multiplied by the nine price combinations resulted in 36 total versions of the survey market scenario randomly varied across respondents. These are summarized in Figure 3. Two Two Three Three 36 ecolabels: X forms of X regular X ecolabel = survey proof: apple price versions prices: premiums: IPM Certified $.59/lb $.00/lb ECO Not Certified 5. 89/lb S. 20/lb $1.19/lb $.40/lb Figure 3-The Survey Versions Respondents were asked several questions apart from the market scenarios in order to identify factors affecting their purchases. These factors included demographics such as income and education, motivations for purchasing ecolabeled apples (i.e., perceptions of E(X’), R(X’), and rt), and 24 whether or not the householder purchased organic apples (i.e., potential substitute for X’). For each factor, statistical tests were run to determine whether those who gave different answers made different choices. Respondents were asked, for example, where they normally buy apples because purchasing location affects the shopping setting and thus might afl‘ect one’s choice. It was expected that those who buy apples at locations other than supermarkets and grocery stores might face a different purchasing setting, difl’erent selection of apples and different substitutes and thus make difi‘erent purchasing choices, ceteris paribus. Based upon their responses, respondents were designated as either those who buy apples at a supermarket/ grocery store or those who do not. This was referred to as the ‘grocery’ variable. It was then determined whether or not there was a statistically significant difference in purchasing choices between the two groups. Respondents were asked their age, gender, household size, level of education and their household’s annual income.13 This was done in order to account for the effects of demographics upon purchasing decisions. It was 11"The demographic data was coded in such as way as to be consistent with the figures reported in the U.S. Bureau of the Census Report from 1996. 25 expected that household size and income would have positive effects upon the amount purchased of both apples and that education would positively . afi‘ect the amount of ecolabeled apples purchased. Organic apples are a potential substitute for ecolabeled apples and are often sold at limited locations. To account for this, respondents were asked if and how often they bought organic apples. Those who bought them and did so ‘often’ or ‘always’ were identified as organic apple buyers.“ During apple season in October and November, consumers may buy more apples. This was accounted for by noting the date upon which the interview was given. Respondents interviewed in November were identified as ‘in season’ and those after November were ‘out of season’. The ‘grocery’, ‘organic’ and ‘seasonal’ variables provided a test of the validity of the survey technique used for measuring the number of apples purchased. In our case, the measurement technique was the survey questions given within the market scenarios. The validity of a measure is the extent to which it measures the theoretical model under investigation (Mitchell and Carson, 1989). In the context of this study, the validity of the survey 1‘Because a small percentage of apple purchasers buy organic in the U.S., a more costly and complicated approach of creating ‘organic’ demand questions was avoided. 26 instrument is a fimction of whether all respondents are viewing the same economic conditions within their market scenario (aside from those which are intentionally varied including prices, claim comprehensiveness and proof). A valid survey would be one in which respondents were perceiving the same purchasing setting, accounting for the same substitutes, and understanding the same questions being asked of them. If the amount purchased of apples was found to be afi’ected by whether one bought apples at a grocery store or some other location, the fact that one buys organic or whether the survey was conducted in or out of apple season, this might suggest that some respondents are perceiving difi‘erent economic conditions from those in the theoretical model. Respondent familiarity with the ecolabel claim was also taken into account because it may indicate greater knowledge of or experience with the environmental standards within that claim and thus afi'ect one’s choice. For example, those familiar with the claim may perceive a higher probability that it is truthful and thus buy more of the ecolabeled apples on average. To account for familiarity, respondents who received the IPM ecolabel were asked how much they had seen, heard, or read about IPM. Those who said that they had heard a fair amount or a great deal about IPM were designated 27 as familiar with the claim. Respondents receiving the ECO ecolabel were not asked about familiarity with ECO since ECO is not marketed anywhere at this time. The theoretical model claims that consumers value both environmental improvement and health and food safety attributes in the ecolabeled apple. To test this, we accounted for the different motivations behind particular brand selections (i.e., perceptions of E, R, and rt). This was done by asking respondents open ended questions about why they would or would not buy the ecolabeled apples. Respondents could give up to three reasons for buying or not buying ecolabeled. Their first responses were coded into categories such as “concern for the environment”, “health and food safety concerns”, “ecolabel price too high” and “lack of trust in the ecolabel?“ Respondents whose first answer fell into the environmental concern category were identified as those whose primary reason for buying ecolabeled was environmental improvement. It was then tested whether respondents who bought them primarily for environmental improvement bought more of the ecolabeled apples on average. The same process was followed for those lsMany did not give second or third responses so only the first responses were used in the econometric equations. Table 21 gives statistics concerning all three responses. 28 whose first answer was health and food safety. Sample Selection“ The phone interviews were conducted by the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (IPPSR) at Michigan State University between November 3, 1997 and February 11, 1998. IPPSR purchased the phone numbers fiom Gensys Sampling Inc. who generated a proportional sample of random numbers from the lower 48 states. ‘7 Of 1453 eligible phone numbers that were contacted, 972 interviews were completed resulting in a participation rate of 66.9 %. (The sample selection process is described in more detail in Appendix B.) Only those respondents who ever buy apples were asked the apple purchasing questions. Ninety-two percent of respondents (i.e., n=893) reported that they buy fresh apples for their household. We refer to these respondents as the subsample. There was little difference in the "This section is based on Jeffrey R. Blend and Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay, “ Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” 1998, Department of Agricultural Economics Stafl' Paper No. 98-20, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. 1"Alaska and Hawaii were excluded for cost reasons. If these states had been included either the sample size or the interview length would have had to be reduced to stay within our research funding limit. 29 demographic composition of the full sample and subsarnple. All the results reported in the remainder of this section and the next section of the paper are for the subsample only. Households which earned higher incomes were over-represented in our subsample compared to the latest available census figures as were larger households and householders with more education. ‘3 The household composition of the subsample was somewhat different from the national average (Table 3). The average household size in our subsample was 2.93 as compared to the national average of 2.65.19 The percentage of households in our subsample with children under 18 was 43.2% which is greater than the national average of 34.3%. The percentage of sin e-person households in our sample was 15.3% compared to the national average of 24.9%. The ages of the householders were similar to census figures (Table 4). Householders with some college or completed college degrees were over- mU.S. Bureau of the Census, Statjstical Abstract of mo Unitod Stutos; 1296 (116‘h edition) Washington, D.C., 1996. Pages 60, 160, 61, and 465. ’9 These figures taken from U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1996. ° ° lAb tr c f h Uni e tates 1996 (116th edition) Washington, D.C., 1996, pp. 60, 160, 61, and 465. 30 represented while those with less than a high school education were under- represented (Table 5). The average age of subsample respondents was 46 and the average education level consisted of some college. Females made up just over three-quarters of our subsample (Table 6). When asked about household income, 18.7% of respondents either refused to report that information or did not know their income (Table 7). Of the households that did report income, both the ‘$10,000-$49,000' and ‘Over $50,000' categories were over-represented while the “under $10,000" category was under- represented. Average household income of the subsample was about $53,000. Table 8 gives the percentage of respondents who purchase apples at various locations. Table 9 gives the percentage of respondents who purchase organic with some frequency. Table 10 gives the percentage of respondents who have heard something about IPM. Model Specification The amounts of regular (Que) and ecolabeled (Qm) apples purchased in a market where both are available are measured by the responses to the questions about willingness to buy and quantity purchased in the second market scenario. The amount of regular apples purchased without 31 ecolabeling (OR) is measured by the responses to the same questions in the first market scenario. All amounts are expressed in terms of the pounds of apples purchased for the household in a single shopping trip in late fall and early winter.20 (I able 11 provides definitions and summary statistics for all variables used in the econometric models.) The explanatory variables included in all three equations are regular price (PX), household income (M), household size (Hh), respondent age (Age), gender (Gen) and education (Educ), and the validity variables which from here on are referred to as ‘grocery’ (Groc), ‘organic’ (Org) and ‘seasonal’ (D). The equations for regular and ecolabeled apples in the second market scenario with ecolabeling both contain ecolabeled price (Px’), claim comprehensiveness (L) and proof (C). The equation for ecolabeled apples contains the two ‘motivation’ variables which indicate whether the primary reason for purchasing ecolabeled apples was health and food safety or whether it was environmental concern. These are referred to as ‘health ”Respondents purchased between 0 to 126 pounds of ecolabeled apples and regular apples in a market without ecolabeling. They purchased between 0 and 42 pounds of regular apples in a market with ecolabeling. The highest amounts purchased were by those who bought bushels of apples (42 pounds per bushel) in a single shopping trip. Because respondents were allowed to purchase individual apples (1/3 pound each) and peeks of apples (10.5 pounds per peck), some purchased fi'actions of pounds. 32 motivation’ () and ‘environmental motivation’ (‘1’). It also includes a variable which indicates whether respondents who received the IPM apple are familiar with IPM. This is referred to as ‘familiarity’ (F). Because familiarity and the two motivation variables were asked only to select respondents, Ow, was estimated with and without them.21 The appropriate model for consumer decision-making difiers depending on the time period involved (e. g., purchases in a single shopping trip, monthly purchases, yearly purchases). The quantity in the single trip is small and may often be zero for people who regularly eat apples. The quantity purchased in a year is large and is unlikely to be zero if the person regularly eats apples. In a single shopping trip, a two stage decision model may be more appropriate than a single stage model. In effect, the individual determines her quantity in advance of her shopping trip based on her 21The number of observations for QLAB with the motivation and familiarity variables is much lower than without. The equation for Qm is first estimated without motivation and familiarity. The values obtained fi'om this first equation are reported in the main results in for ecolabeled apples (Tables 16 and 19). The equation for Qua; is estimated a second time with familiarity included and a third time with the health and environmental motivation variables included. These two tables report only the coeficients upon familiarity, health and environment from these last two equations. This is signified in both tables by a double line separating the coefficients for these three variables from the others. 33 household size, preferences and income. Once in the store, she observes price and quality and decides to buy or not. The Tobit model (Tobin, 195 9) is commonly used for modeling this two-stage purchasing choice. The Tobit jointly models the likelihood of purchasing ecolabeled apples and the quantity purchased. The Tobit imposes the restriction that the same factors have the same effects upon the decision to buy apples as they do on the quantity purchased. For a single shopping trip, this may not hold. One would expect, for example, that a variable such as price would have a substantial effect upon the decision to buy apples in a single shopping trip but not necessarily upon the amount purchased. The reason for this is that consumers typically know how much of apples or other food items their household consumes and would likely have made the quantity decision before aniving at the store. However, with many substitutes for apples, price would likely have a significant effect upon whether they are bought at all. The Cragg (1971) Double-Hurdle model allows us to model the same two-stage purchasing decision but relaxes the restriction imposed by the Tobit. It allows for different factors to affect the decision to purchase and the amount purchased. With the Cragg model, a Probit model is estimated for the 34 decision of whether or not to purchase the apples. A truncated regression is then run upon the amount of apples purchased by those who bought some. In this way, coefiicients are estimated separately for each of the two decisions and difi'erent factors are allowed to influence each of these two decisions. To determine whether the Tobit restriction held in our study, two tests were run upon the equations for regular and ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling. The first test created by Pin and Schmidt (1994) determines whether the likelihood value of the Tobit is significantly different from the sum of likelihood values of the Probit and truncated regressions from the Cragg model. It was found that for both regular and ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling, the difference in values was significant.22 Thus, the results were sigrificantly difl‘erent without the restriction. A second test consisted of running a Tobit and then running a Probit upon the decision to buy apples. The Tobit coefficients were normalized by dividing them by a from the re gession. The normalized Tobit values were then compared to the values of the Probit coefficients. Ifthere are any 22The test is whether 2*(Likelihood Tobit-Likelihood Probit + Likelihood Truncated) > Chi-Squared (13=nmnber of parameters) or x213. 1213 = 22.36. For regular apples, the test statistic equals 38.6 and for ecolabeled apples it is 103.2. Both are above the critical value. 35 changes in the sigr of statistically sigrificant variables or differences in magnitude often or more, then the two results are considered significantly different. The sigr of the gender variable changed for the ecolabeled apples and upon gocery for both apples. Thus, it was suspected that the results without the restriction were different. Based upon these tests, Cragg’s Double Hurdle model was chosen as more appropriate to run. For the sake of comparison and providing recommendations to other survey researchers, the results from the Tobit were also reported. A linear model often gives similar estimates to the Tobit of coefficients and elasticities of the explanatory variables at their mean values. Thus, it is worthwhile to compare the estimates from the Tobit to those yielded from a linear model estimated using OLS. This comparison provides a test of the sensitivity of the results to different modeling assumptions. Because regular and ecolabeled apples are presented together in the second market scenario, their error terms may be correlated. To account for this, a Seemingly Unrelated Regessions (SUR) technique is also run to determine whether the results change sigrificantly when correcting for existing correlation. 36 Separate equations were run for regular and ecolabeled apples which included four interaction terms between regular and ecolabeled prices and . certification and comprehensiveness. This was done in order to determine whether the efi‘ects of own and substitute prices are different across the difi‘erent ecolabels. Results The amounts of regular and ecolabeled apples respondents would purchase in a single shopping trip in markets with and without ecolabels form the dependent variables for the three demand equations. The first equation estimates the parameters for the demand function for regular apples (QR) given the first market scenario without ecolabeling. The second and third equations estimate the parameters in the demand functions for the regular (Om) and ecolabeled apples (QLAB) given the second market scenario with both apples available. We found sigrificant consumer demand for ecolabeled apples. Over halfof respondents (56%) would try the ecolabeled (i.e., either IPM or ECO) apples presented in our second market scenario (Table 12). On average, they bought 1.5 pounds of the ecolabeled apples and 1.3 pounds of the regular when both were available. 37 Many respondents were willing to pay more for the ecolabeled apples. The average marginal willingness-to-pay for a pound of ecolabeled apples was calculated at $.32/lb.23 At a regular apple price of $.89 per pound, this translates into a 36% price premium. The geater the price premium on ecolabeled apples, the lower the percentage of respondents who would buy some (Table 13).“ Seventy-two percent of those who were offered regular and ecolabeled apples at the same price said they would buy the ecolabeled.25 Fifty-two percent of those receiving a $.20 price premium bought some of the ecolabeled. At a $.40 price premium, the percentage who said they would buy was 42%. Results of the Cragg Double Hurdle model are found in Tables 14 through 16. Column one lists the variable names (Refer to Table 11 for their 23A1] calculated price premiums were calculated from the Tobit. Premiums were calculated at the average quantity demanded of regular apples given the second market scenario (about 1.3 pounds). A value of $.27/lb was calculated from a linear model estimated by OLS. 2“The reported percentages of respondents buying ecolabeled apples includes both those who bought ecolabeled only and those who bought some of both types of apples. 2’The Food Marketing Institute (whose study is mentioned in the introduction) found that there is a large goup for whom environmental fiiendliness would be a “tie-breaker” in choosing among brands within a food product category, although only a few would pay more. 38 definitions). The second column in each table lists the marginal effects of the Probit upon the decision of whether or not to buy the apples. Specifically, it gives the change in the probability of the average respondent purchasing apples caused by a one unit change in the explanatory variable. Using the amount purchased of ecolabeled apples and education (Educ) as an example in Table 14, each additional year of education would raise the probability of the average respondent buying ecolabeled apples by .026, on average. The third column displays the coeflicients of the truncated regession. The forth column gives the marginal effects of the truncated regession. In particular, the forth column gives the change in the quantity of apples purchased by those who bought positive amounts caused by a one unit change in the explanatory variables. Using the same example, each additional year of education results in .023 fewer pounds of ecolabeled apples purchased on average by those who purchased some. Results of the Tobit model are found in Tables 17 through 19 for each of the three demand equations. Variable names are found in the first column (Refer to Table 11 for their definitions). The Tobit coefficients and their standard errors are listed in the second column. The McDonald and Mofiitt (1980) transformed marginal effects are listed in columns three through five. 39 For each of the demand equations estimated by Tobit, the explanatory variables were jointly significant in predicting the model. Leaving out similar goups of explanatory variables (i.e., all demographics or the three validity variables) did not improve any of the equations, so all were included. The coefficients from the Tobit cannot be interpreted in the same way as they are for an equation estimated using OLS. Their value does not represent the expected change in the dependent variable given a one unit change in the explanatory variable. The coefficients must undergo a transformation developed by McDonald and Moffitt (1980) in order to estimate marginal effects. This transfonnation decomposes the marginal efi'ects and elasticities (calculated at the means) of the variables into three parts. The first part which is denoted as 6E(Y)/6x (where Y is the dependent variable and x denotes one of the explanatory variables) gives the change in the average amount of apples purchased given a one unit change in the explanatory variable for all respondents. The second part, denoted as 6E(Y")/6x (where Y“ is all non-zero observations of the dependent variable), gives the change in the average amount of apples purchased by those who 40 would buy the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable.26 The third part, 6F(z)/dx (where z is a normalized index and F (0) is the cumulative standard normal distribution function), gives the change in the probability of buying the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable. Using OM and Px’ in Table 18 as an example, aone dollar increase in ecolabeled apple price would result in a 2.2 increase in the average pounds of regular apples purchased by respondents in a single shopping trip (6E(Y)/6Px’), a 1.7 pound increase in amount purchased for those respondents who bought regular apples (dE(Y“)/6Px’), and an increase in the probability of respondents buying regular apples of .41 (6F(z)/6Px’). The dummy variables in these tables are intercept shifters. Using organic. (O) as an example in Table 18, all respondents who normally buy organic apples would buy 1.5 less pounds of regular apples on average in a single shopping trip. Organic apple shoppers who bought regular apples would buy 1.2 pounds less of them on average. All shoppers who normally buy organic apples would have a .28 lower probability on average that they 2"One could also think of dE(Y*)/ax as the partial. derivative of Y with respect to x given that Y is geater than zero or dE(Y|Y>0)/ax. 41 would buy regular apples in a market with ecolabeling. The McDonald and Moffrtt technique also decomposes elasticities of the explanatory variables calculated at their means into three parts. These are the elasticity of the probability of buying the apple, nF(z), and the elasticity of apple demand by those who purchase some of the apples, nE(Y’), which sum up to the total elasticity of demand (the percentage change in the dependent variable given a one percent change in the explanatory variable), 711300-27 Demand elasticities calculated fiom the Tobit model at the means of own price, substitute price, income and other sigrificant variables are given in Table 20 for all three equations. The way to interpret columns two through four in Table 20 is as follows. Using the example of OM and Px’ again, a one percent increase in ecolabeled apple price would result in a 1.57 percent increase in the total amount purchased of regular apples by all respondents, nE(Qm), a .50 percent increase in the amount of regular apples purchased by those who bought regular, TIP-(Qnm'), and a 1.07 percent increase in the 2"The presentation of the McDonald and Moffit decomposition technique is adapted from Nonis, Patricia E. and Sandra S. Batie, “Virginia farmers’ Soil Conservation Decisions: An Application of Tobit Analysis,” Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, July, 1987: 79-90. 42 probability of respondents buying regular apples, nF(z). The results from the Cragg model indicate that both prices have significant effects (of the expected sigrs) upon the probability of buying ecolabeled apples (Table 14). Education has a sigrificantly positive effect upon the probability of buying. Household size, age and enviromnental motivation have sigrificantly positive effects upon the amount of ecolabeled apples purchased whereas ecolabel price and purchase location (i.e., the fact that one buys apples at a gocery store or supermarket) have significantly negative effects. Being male and being familiar with the IPM claim have significantly negative effects upon the decision to buy ecolabeled and significantly positive effects upon the amount purchased. This suggests that both of these goups would buy ecolabeled apples less often, but would buy more on average when they did decide to purchase them. Buying apples in season (i.e., during November) has a sigrificantly positive effect upon the decision to buy ecolabeled. Regular apple price, respondent education, household size and environmental motivation have sigrificantly positive effects upon the amormt 43 of ecolabeled apples purchased in the Tobit model (Table 17).28 Ecolabeled price and purchase location botln have significantly negative effects upon the amount of ecolabeled apples purchased. For the Tobit model, own price elasticity for ecolabeled apples was calculated at -2.0 and cross-price elasticity at 1.6 (T able 20). The results from the Cragg model (Table 15) indicate that both prices have a significant effect of the expected sign upon the probability of buying regular apples in a market with ecolabeling. Being male has a significantly positive efi‘ect and normally buying organic apples a significantly negative effect upon the probability of buying regular apples. Household size and age positively and significantly increased the amount purchased of regular apples by those who bought some whereas gocery had a significantly negative effect. For the Tobit (Table 18), the following variables have a significantly negative efiect upon the amount of regular apples purchased in the market with ecolabeling: regular price, buying organic and purchase location (i.e., purchasing apples at a gocery or supermarket). Ecolabeled price and gender 2"Unless otherwise noted, ‘significant’ means statistically significant at a 10% level. 44 (i.e., being male) both have significantly positive effects on the amount purchased. For the Tobit model, own price elasticity for regular apples was calculated at -1.7 and cross-price elasticity at 1.6 (Table 20). Cragg’s model indicates that income and education significantly increase the probability of buying regular apples in a market without ecolabeling while own price and age negatively affect that probability (T able 16). Household size, age and gender positively affect the amount purchased by those who bought regular apples whereas gocery negatively afi‘ects the amount purchased. In the Tobit model, gocery is the only significant variable for regular apples in the market without ecolabeling (Table 19). Own price is of the expected sign but not significant. The gocery variable is significantly negative for all three equations indicating that those who buy apples at a gocery store or supermarket bought less on average. The Cragg model indicates that gocery primarily affects the amount purchased rather than the decision to buy for all tlnree apples. It also indicates that age and household size significantly increase the amount purchased of all three types of apples. Using the Cragg model, certification had a significantly positive effect 45 on the amount purchased of regular apples by those who bought some. Respondents who bought some regular apples bought about .5 pounds more when ecolabeled apples were certified. It did not affect demand for ecolabeled apples. In the Tobit model, certification did not significantly afl'ect regular or ecolabeled demand. The comprehensiveness of the environmental claim did not significantly affect the amount purchased of regular or ecolabeled apples in either model. The average marginal willingness to pay for ecolabeled apples did not geatly differ across the different ecolabels. The marginal willingness-to-pay for ecolabeled apples with USDA certification (calculated from the Tobit model) was $.29/lb and for those without certification $.35/lb. There was an even smaller difl‘erence between ecolabels with different levels of comprehensiveness. Respondents were marginally willing to pay on average $.30/lb more for IPM apples and about $.33/1b more for ECO apples. The price of ecolabeled apples which are certified and more comprehensive had a significantly geater effect upon the amount of regular apples purchased than did the price of those which are non-certified and less comprehensive. In other words, the cross-price elasticities of the certified 46 and ECO apples on regular apples were geater than those of the non-certified and IPM. This was indicated by the observation that for regular apples in a market with ecolabeling, the interaction terms of ecolabeled price‘certification (e. g. Px’ * C) and ecolabeled price‘comprehensiveness (e.g. PX” L) were both positive and significant. Health and food safety was the reason most frequently given for purchasing ecolabeled apples (Table 21). Thirty-seven percent mentioned health or food safety, including the avoidance of chemicals in food and better health for their family, as their first answer. Twenty-seven percent mentioned concern for the environment as their first answer and 19% mentioned the desire to try out the ecolabeled apples. Health and food safety did not affect the amount purchased of ecolabeled apples by those who bought some.29 Because health and environmental motivations were only recorded for those 29Health and environmental motivation for purchasing ecolabeled apples were measured by asking respondents who bought ecolabeled why they did so. Both motivational variables were also measured in a second way. They were both included in the ecolabeled apple demand equation for those who purchased ecolabeled apples as well as for those who did not. These variables now measured whether health or environmental motivation were significant factors in respondents’ choices with respect to buying ecolabeled apples, including the decision not to buy. Measured this new way, both health and environmental motivation were positive and significant in both models. Thus, both motivations had a significantly positive effect on ecolabeled demand for all respondents including non-buyers. 47 who bought ecolabeled apples, we could not estimate their effect upon the decision to buy ecolabeled apples. Respondents’ top reasons for not purchasing ecolabeled apples were that they were too expensive (46%), that they did not know enough about the ecolabeled apples (22%), that they preferred their usual apples (9%) and that the regular apples were just as safe to consume (8%) (Table 22). Nine percent of responses indicated distrust of the ecolabel, IPM or the USDA. On average, respondents bought about the same amount of apples with and without ecolabeling. In the market without ecolabeling, respondents bought 2.9 pounds of apples on average compared with 2.8 pounds of apples in the market with ecolabeling (e. g. 1.5 pounds of ecolabeled + 1.3 pounds of regular). However, the amount of regular apples purchased in the second market scenario decreased by roughly the same amount of ecolabeled bought indicating a substitution towards ecolabeled apples fi'om regular apples. Regular apples became more price elastic with ecolabeling as a result of the substitution effects from the ecolabeled apple. Their own price elasticity without ecolabeling was about -. 14 and with ecolabeling was about -1.7. This discrepancy is not surprising. Price would likely not affect apple demand in a single trip, but rather the decision to buy only. Witln the 48 introduction of ecolabeled apples for the first time, one would expect substantial substitution effects between the two apples and thus a geater ‘ sensitivity of demand irn a single shopping trip to price. The results using a linear model estimated by OLS were qualitatively similar to those of the Tobit. Quantitatively, there were some significant differences between the two models. In Tables 23 and 24, the total marginal effects of each variable upon all respondents from the Tobit (dE(Y)/6x or the change in the average amount of apples purchased given a one unit change in the explanatory variable for all respondents) are listed alongside those fiom OLS and SUR for regular and ecolabeled apples in the market scenario with ecolabeling. The SUR results were very similar to those from OLS indicating the correlation between the residual terms of each equation did not significantly affect the coefficient values or conclusions which could be drawn. Because the OLS and SUR results were so sinnilar, a comparison is made only between the Tobit and OLS results. Aside from education, the same variables were statistically significant for ecolabeled apples from the Tobit and OLS equations (Table 23). Calculated price elasticities for ecolabeled apples were similar for both equations. With Tobit, the marginal effects of both prices were slightly larger 49 and household size slightly smaller than OLS. There was a large difference between the two estimation techniques in the marginal effects for education and gocery. For regular apples, own price and gocery were negative and significant using both estimation techniques (Table 24). However, the marginal efl‘ect of own price was larger and of gocery smaller for Tobit than for OLS. Ecolabeled price was significant and its marginal efi'ect much larger for Tobit whereas certification was significant and larger using OLS. Own price elasticity for regular apples was similar using botln estimation techniques as was income elasticity. Cross price elasticity was larger using the Tobit. Conclusions There is substantial consumer demand for ecolabeled apples. A significant percentage of the sample (56%) would try ecolabeled apples if they were available. In a market with both regular and ecolabeled apples, respondents bought more of the ecolabeled on average. A sizable percentage of consumers would pay more for ecolabeled apples. Fifty-two percent of respondents receiving a $.20/lb price premium bought some of the ecolabeled and at a $.40/lb prenniurn, 42% bought some. The average marginal willingness-to-pay for ecolabeled apples was calculated 50 at $.32/lb. In a market with ecolabeling, both regular and ecolabel prices would affect consumer purchasing choices. In the Tobit model, regular and ecolabel prices afl‘ected the quantities purchased of both apples. In the Cragg model, both prices had significant effects upon the probability of buying regular and ecolabeled apples. Prices have a strong effect upon the choice of which apple to buy, but a less significant effect upon how many are bought. Thus, there would be substantial substitution effects between apples if both were available. The geater the price premium on ecolabeled apples, the less consumers would buy. Thus, retailers would likely face a tradeofi‘ between the size of the price premium they set and the pounds of ecolabeled apples sold. Those interested in promoting ecolabeled apples nnight offer them initially at a lower price per pound relative to regular apples with the understanding that purchases of regular will decline. Advertising campaigns for ecolabeled apples should be targeted at educated and older consumers and larger households. In the Cragg model, older respondents who bought ecolabeled apples bought more on average. Household size had a positive effect upon the amount of both regular and 51 ecolabeled apples purchased, and education had a positive effect upon the probability of purchasing ecolabeled. For the Tobit model, respondents with higher levels of education and those from households with more occupants bought more ecolabeled apples on average. One marketing strategy would be to target specific forms of media and shopping locations known to attract more educated and older shoppers. Another would be to target locations fi'equented by larger families such as those which have children. Consumer demand for both regular and ecolabeled apples may not be afl‘ected by claim comprehensiveness. Claim comprehensiveness had almost no efl‘ect upon the amount purchased of either apple under either estimation technique. Average marginal willingness to pay only differed by three cents between ECO and IPM apples. However, only one way of wording the IPM and ECO claims was tested. In addition, only one set of standards was tested for each claim. Further research is needed to test different wordings and different sets of standards. Certification of the ecolabeled claim did not affect the demand for ecolabeled apples in either model. Proof in the fornn of govemment certification does not increase consumer trust in the label or the decision to buy ecolabeled. However, only two forms of proof were tested, USDA 52 certification and no proof. Further research is needed to determine whether other certifiers (e. g. non-profit environmental goups) and other forms of . proof (e. g. national standards) would affect consumer demand for ecolabeled apples. Consumers who buy ecolabeled apples primarily for environmental improvement bought more on average and may have a longer term commitment toward purchasing such apples. Those who just want to try them out would likely try fewer pounds irnitially. This suggests that ecolabelers should target their products towards stores krnown for their concern over environmental quality such as food co-ops and geen gocers. Healtln and food safety attributes resulting fiom ecolabeled production should be highlighted in a marketing campaign. Health and food safety was mentioned most often as the primary reason for buying ecolabeled apples. Although it did not significantly affect the amount of ecolabeled apples purchased using either estimation technique, it was close to significant in the Cragg model. This suggests that while many consumers would make the decision to buy ecolabeled apples primarily for the health and food safety attributes, they may not perceive added value from purchasing more of the ecolabeled apples. Thus, health and food safety attributes may be most 53 effective in a campaign aimed at convincing consumers to give ecolabeled apples an initial try. Familiarity with the IPM claim may not lead to geater consumer demand for the ecolabeled apples. In the Tobit model, respondents familiar with the IPM claim actually bought less ecolabeled apples than those unfamiliar with the claim, although this was not statistically significant. The Cragg model showed that familiarity had a negative effect upon the probability of purchasing the ecolabeled apples and a positive effect upon the amount purchased (both effects significant). This suggests that those familiar with IPM may be less apt to buy ecolabeled because either IPM is not perceived to improve environmental quality or those familiar with IPM do not value environmental improvement in the same manner. It also suggests that familiarity may have a positive effect upon the amount purchased by those who choose to buy some. We only measured familiarity with IPM. Furtlner research might test the effects of familiarity with other claims. Only a small percentage of consumers were identified as being familiar with IPM. Ecolabelers may benefit from targeting organic apple buyers and those who buy apples at locations other than supermarkets and gocery stores, as both goups bought more ecolabeled apples on average. However, these 54 consumers only make up only a small percentage of the population. Researchers who estimate consumer demand for food items in a single shopping trip should think carefully about the econometric model they use. This dissertation has shown that the Cragg Double Hurdle model is probably more appropriate for estimating purchasing choices in a single trip. One would expect the two stages of the purchasing choice to be made difi‘erently in a single shOpping trip and thus to be affected differently by variables such as price. The Tobit may be more appropriate for longer term demand where the decision to buy and the amount purchased are more correlated with one another over numerous trips. Evidence to support this assertion includes the two statistical tests which determirned that the Cragg model results were significantly difl‘erent from the Tobit model results. It also includes the fact that price is insignificant in the Tobit model while significantly increasing the probability of buying the regular apples in a market without ecolabeling using the Cragg. Thus, price has a geater effect upon the decision to buy regular apples than on the amount purchased, a distinction that the Cragg model allows the researcher to see. Finally, the Cragg gives a more detailed explanation of how some of the demogaphic variables affect consumer decisions. 55 Researchers who conduct future apple surveys should account for organic apples and for shoppers who buy apples at locations other than gocery stores and supermarkets. The results suggest that these respondents may not perceive exactly the same scenario as the others. Those who buy apples at locations other than a gocery store or supermarket bought more on average. This result is explained by the fact that a larger percentage of respondents who purchased them at non-gocery locations bought apples in larger quantities (i.e. peeks, bushels). Perhaps this is how they are typically sold at other locations explaining why some shoppers go there. The negative and significant effect of buying organic on regular apples may be explained by the different apple selection, information and values that orgarnie shoppers possess. Giving the survey interview after apple season significantly and positively afieeted the decision to buy ecolabeled apples in the Cragg model, but did not significantly affect apple demand in any other case. Thus, researchers interested in constructing apple surveys may not have to aeconmt for apples being in season if they are studying regular apples. Care should be taken in determining the ecolabel price premium and in educating consumers about ecolabeled apples. Expense and lack of krnowledge were the top two reasons given by respondents for not purchasing 56 ecolabeled apples (Table 22). This reinforces the result that ecolabel price and respondent education significantly affect the amount purchased of ecolabeled apples. There are many other items that could be used to test consumer demand for ecolabeled foods including meat products, other types of produce, processed foods and dairy products. For any specific product, further research miglnt involve the use of visual ecolabels. Visual dimensions of such ecolabels could be tested as to their effects upon demand. One might also test the types of environmental information (i.e., improved water quality vs. lower levels of chennieal runoff) that shoppers most strongly respond to. Further research might examine additional aspects of ecolabels such as standard strietrness and precision of standards (process vs. performance standards). It might also look more closely at the production side and the potential costs involved with meeting ecolabel standards. 57 TABLES 58 Table 1 Names of Ecolabels in the Questionnaire PROOF OFFERED TO SUBSTANTIATE DIMENSIONS OF CLAIM? E C OLABEL W ORDIN G ENVIRONMENTAL CLAIMS MADE? m' " ECO Certified ‘ . ECO AMOUNT OF “Tl USDA Less l IPM Certified f r J IPM . Table 2 g Number of Res .ondents for Each Ecolabel , . - TYPE OF i ECOLABEL Not . Certified Certified ' I 248 242 243 239 59 Table 3 Household Composition Household Percent of Percent of Percent of Composition Census'I Sample“ Subsam le" Average household size (number of 2.65 2.87 2.93 People) Percentage of l households with 34.3% 42.2% 43.2% children under 18 Percentage of Single- 249% 17.0% 15.3% . __person households 'Souree: U.S. Bureau of the Census, StaujsuoaLAosttuotofthsfluitodjtates; 1296 (116“ edition) Washington, D.C., 1996. Pages 60, 160, 61, and 465. "‘ Sample’ refers to the firll sample of 97 2 respondents that were contacted. ‘Subsample’ refers to the 893 respondents in the full sample that buy apples. 60 Table 4 Age of the Respondents Age of Percent of Percent of Percent of ' Householder‘ Censusb Sam 1ec Subsamplec I 15-24 years 5.3% 6.5% 6.6% 25-34 years 19.3% 18.8% 18.1% 35-44 years 23.3% 22.1% 24.5% 45-54 years 18.0% 19.1% 19.6% 55-64 years 12.4% 11.6% 11.8% 65-74 years 11.9% 8.2% 8.3% 75 ”a” and 9.6% 6.5% 6.5% older Refused --- 5.0% 4.5% 'Because respondents had to be at least 18 years old to complete this survey, the first age category is 18-24 years for sample and sub-sample respondents. l'Souree: U S Bureau of the Census WW5: 129 (116* edition) Washington, D. C. 1996. Pages 60, 160, 61, and 465. “ Sample’ refers to the fnnll sample of 97 2 respondents that were contacted. ‘Subsample’ refers to the 893 respondents in the full sample that buy apples. 61 Table 5 Educational Attainment of Respondents Education level Percent of Percent of Percent of Census' Sam leb Subsam le" Did not graduate o 0 high school 6'7 /° 6'0 A High “hm“ 33.6% 28.1% 27.3% diploma 5"” “mg” 24.5% 30.1% 30.6% allege ”r . 23.6% 32.7% 33.9% graduate educatnon Rem” _ 2.4% 2.0% 'Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census; WW 1996 (116“ edition) Washington, D.C., 1996. Pages 60, 160, 61, and 465. I"Sample’ refers to the fnnll sample of 972 respondents that were contacted. ‘Subsample’ refers to the 893 respondents in the finll sample that buy apples. 62 Table 6 Gender of Respondents Percent of Sam le' Subsam le‘I Female 75.0% 76.8% Male II 25.0% 23.3% I " Sample’ refers to the full sample of 972 respondents that were contacted. ‘Subsample’ refers to the 893 respondents in the full sample that buy apples. Gender Percent of 63 Table 7 Household Income Total Percent of Percent of Percent of Percent of household Census Sample“ Subsample" subsample income in Households‘ who reported 1996 income‘ Less than 0 o o 0 $10,000 12.3 /o 3.0/0 2.1 /o 2.6/0 510,000. I , , , , $49,000 55.7/0 43.8/0 44.7/0 55.0/0 5504”" °' 31.9% 33.4% 34.5% . 42.4% more No answer I --- 19.8% 18.7% --- Mean household $34,076 --- --- $53,003 income 'Souree: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 122d (116‘ll edition) Washington, D.C., 1996. Pages 60, 160, 61, and 465. "‘ Sample’ refers to the full sample of 972 respondents that were contacted. ‘Subsample’ refers to the 893 respondents in the hill sample that buy apples. ‘This column was included to compare tlnose respondents in the subsample who reported income with Census figures. Table 8 Q: Where do you usually purchase fresh apples? (Open ended) ' Location Percent ResLondents Supermarket or grocery store 89.7 % I Farm, roadsnde stand or 5.3 % orchard Farmer’s Market 3.4 % Green grocer or frunt specralty 0.7 % store Bulk/Discount Store 0.2 % Don’t Know 0.1 % Refused 0.7% Table 9 Q: When you buy apples, how often do you buy organic apples? Response Percent Respondents _ Often or always 2.9 % Rarely or 15.3 % occasnonally Do not buy them 73.9 % Do not know 7.5 % Refused 0.3% 65 Table 10 Q: How much have you seen, heard, or read about Integrated Pest Management or IPM? Wore: This question given only to those receiving a scenario with IPM apples; N =404) Response I Percent Respondents A great deal T 2.7 % A fair amount 4.2 % A little 26.5 % Nothing 66.3 % Don’t Know 0.2 % Refused 0.0 % 66 Table 11 Variable names, definitions, means and standard deviations‘ Definition Mean Std. __W—_ _____ _________l-___ ___Dev OR 1 Pounds of regular apples purchased for the 8.6988 18.4988 1 household in a single shopping trip when l ecolabeled apples are not available Que Pounds of regular apples purchased for the 3.8949 9.1442 household in a single shopping trip when ’ both types of apples are available Qm Pounds of ecolabeled apples purchased for 4.4943 14.8275 l the household in a single shopping trip when both types of apples are available Px ! Price of regular apples per pound (in .8823 .2453 . dollars) Px’ Price of ecolabeled apples per pound (in 1.0794 .2940 dollars) C Form of proof offered for the environmental .5050 .5003 claim: 1=USDA certification, O=No Proof L Comprehensiveness of ecolabel claim: .5006 .5003 1=More-ECO ecolabel, 0=Less-IPM ecolabel M Household Income (in thousands of dollars) 53.0028 36.09 Kb ‘ Household Size (Number ofoccupants in 2.9287 1.6094 household) Age Age of householder (in years) 46.1596 16.1943 Gen Respondent’s gender: 1=Male, 0=Female .2318 .4222 .‘These numbers are reported for the 893 respondents in the full sample that buy apples. 67 Table 11 (Cont’d) Definition Educ Number of years of education householder has completed Mean Std. Dev. 7 14.0331 2.7065 Groc Householder’s typical apple purchasing location: 1=Grocery store or supermarket, 0=Other locations .8959 .3056 Frequency that householder normally buys organic apples: 1=Often or always, 0=Never, rarely or occasionally Org .0291 .1682 season (in November): 1=Given in season during November, 0=Given out of season from December through February .3359 .4726 D I Whether survey was given during apple 1=Yes, 0=No Whether householder is familiar with IPM: .0659 .2546 Respondent’s first reason for buying ‘ ecolabeled apples is: 1=Health or food safety, 0=A different reason .3689 .4830 ‘1’ Respondent’s first reason for buying ecolabeled apples is: 1=Concern for the environment, 0=A | different reason .2722 .4455 68 Table 12 Percent respondents purchasing regular and ecolabeled apples when both are available Ecolabele Some of No apples Don’t Refused (1 only" both apples know_ 41.7% 13.9% 6.3% 4.4% 0.7% 'Ecolabeled apples refer to botln IPM and ECO apples. Table 13 Percent respondents purchasing regular and ecolabeled apples when the price premium on ecolabeled apples is $ llb. Price Regular Eco- Some No Don’t Refused Premium on Apples labeled of both apples Know ecolabeled Apples apples 5.00 16.3% 57.2% 15.4% 7.2% 2.6% 1.3% 5.20 I 39.8% 38.1% 14.3% 5.4% 1.4% 0.0% 5.40 H 44.0% 29.0% 13.3% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 'Ecolabeled apples refer to both IPM and ECO apples. 69 Table 14 Cragg Double Hurdle for ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling Dependent Variable (estimation technique) Marginal effects Variable Whether or not Amount of regular of the Truncated name regular apples apples purchased regressron upon were purchased' by those who amount (Probit) bought some purchased V__. ________._._.-NW___.___-__ _22 _ _ , PX 7513*" 6.6724 .8784 (.1353) (5.3694) (.7069) Px’ -.8894*" -8.l623* -l .0746“ (.1140) (4.8833) (.6429) M .0002 .0030 .0004 (.0006) (.0199) (.0026) Hh .0142 .9403" .1238" (.0123) (.4613) (.0607) Age -.0014 .1085" .0143” (.0012) (.0534) (.0070) Gen -.1112*** 3.7615" .4952" (.0444) (1.8524) (.2439) Educ 0255‘" . -.1738 -.0229 (.0072) (.2708) (.0357) L .0506 .6130 .0807 (.0363) (1.3378) (.1761) 'The values listed in this column are the marginal values of the Probit and thus give a change in the probability of buying the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable. 70 Table 14 (cont’d) Dependent Variable (estimation technique) Marginal effects V . bl of the Truncated ana e Whether or not Amount Of regular regression upon name regular apples apples purchased by amount were purchased' those who bought purchased _- _’-__t___ som_ru_-_ted ___- -_-__V C -.0133 -1.0754 -.1416 (.0364) (1.3484) (.1775) Groc -.0536 -6.3647** -.8379" (.0599) (2.5201) (.3318) Org .1653 .9537 .1255 (.0914) (3.5129) (.4625) D l .0624“ -2.1041 -.2770 _ _-__-_ ' .0380 _ _557--- -__2-_35-__ F' -.1973* 1.4127“ .7132“ (.1023) (.8188) (.4134) (IF ---" 2.7356 .3841 ‘1 (1.6835) (.2364) ‘P‘ ---" 3.8977" .5473” (1.8950) (.2610) a --- 2.7452 ..... ‘= Significant at the 10% level,**= Significant at the 5% level,*"= Significant at the 1% level ‘The values listed in tlnis column are the marginal values of the Probit and thus give a change in the probability of buying the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable. I'Because (D and ‘P were measured only for those who bought ecolabeled, they cannot be measured for their effect upon the decision to buy. 71 Table 15 Cragg Double Hurdle for regular apples in a market with ecolabeling Dependent Variable (estimation technique) Marginal effects V . bl of the Truncated arra e Whether or not Amount of regular regression upon name regular apples apples purchased by amount were purchased' those who bought purchased -- __ 'robit _______ ___e -.-_ru__-d_- --_ _-_ - _ _ - V PX -.8452*** -3 .5062 -1 .0056 (.1377) (2.5510) (.7317) Px’ 7552*“ 1.0373 .2975 (.1136) (2.1911) (.6285) M .0003 -.0032 -.0009 (.0006) (.0115) (.0033) Hh -.0080 7275"" 2086*“ (.0123) (.2444) (.0701) Age .0000 0714*“ 0205*“ (.0012) (.0248) (.0070) Gen .0918“ .6809 .1953 (.0436) (.7896) (.2265) Educ -.0042 -.0598 -.0171 (.0072) (.1254) (.0360) L -.0098 -.5383 -.1544 (.0365) (.6612) (.1897) 'The values listed in this column are the marginal values of the Probit and thus give a change in the probability of buying the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable. 72 Table 15 (cont’d) Dependent Variable (estimation technique) Marginal effects Variable Whether or not Amount of regular of the Truncated name regular apples apples purchased regressnon upon were purchased' by those who amfrunzd (Probit) bought some Pm ‘3 _ -___- _- ____-_______-___-_- _-_-__---_.. C .0305 1.7641“ .5060“ (.0366) (.7234) (.2075) Groc -.0446 -2.4535** -.7037** (.0365) (1.1198) (.3212) Org -.3142*** .5051 .1449 (.0791) (2.7083) (.7768) D l -.0528 .4246 .1218 (.0384) (.7072) (.2028) c --- 3.4594 ..... ‘= Significant at the 10% level,**= Significant at the 5% level,”*= Significant at the 1% level 'The values listed in this column are the marginal values of the Probit and thus give a change in the probability of buying the apples given a oneunit change in the explanatory variable. 73 Table 16 Cragg Double Hurdle for regular apples in a market without ecolabeling Dependent Variable (estimation Marginal? technique) effects of the Variable Whether or not Amount of regular Truncated name regular apples apples purchased by r egressron were purchased‘ those who bought some upon amount _ robit -_-__-_-_____--_- __-"_"°"_s°"_ - PX -.1505*" -l .5345 -.5216 (.0452) (.9899) (.7739) M .0006* -.0031 .0011 (.0003) (.0071) (.0024) Hh .0063 .6421 *" 2183‘" (.0075) (.1650) (.0561) Age -.0015** 0592“" 0201*” (.0008) (.0171) (.0058) Geo -.0145 9842* .3346" (.0261) (.5422) (.1843) Educ .0141 *** -.0362 .0123 (.0043) (.0928) (.0315) Groc .0278 -3.3003*“ -1.1218"" (.0380) (.7402) (.2516) Org .0180 -1.5593 -.5300 (.0644) (1.4755) (.5016) D .0158 .2806 .0954 (.0230) (.1806) (.1634) a --- 3.4594 ..... ‘= Significant at the 10% level,**= Significant at the 5% level,"*= Significant at the 1% level 74 Table 16 (Cont’d) ‘The values listed in this column are the marginal values of the Probit and thus give a change in the probability of buying the apples given a one unit change in the explanatory variable 75 Table 17 Tobit coefficients and calculated marginal effects for ecolabeled apples Variable Tobit coeff. (aE(Y)/ax) (6E(Y*)/dx) (aF(z)/ax) name __ ______________ ______ 9.04305" 3.9981"* 3.0100 5252 (2.0001) (.8833) -9.4586*" 4.1818" -3.1483 -5494 (1.6709) (.7360) .0017 .0007 0006 .0001 (.0081) (.0036) 3451* .1526“ 1149 0200 (.1778) (.0787) -0124 -0055 -0041 -0007 (.0182) (.0081) -.9111 -.4028 -3033 -0529 (.6475) (.2861) 1915* .0847“ .0637 .0111 (.1079) (.0476) -0495 -0219 -.0165 -.0029 (.5335) (.2359) .2760 .1220 .0919 .0160 (.5346) (.2364) -3.9809*** -1.7600"* -1.3251 -2312 (.8782) (.3913) 1.4056 .6214 .4679 .0816 (1.5141) (.6693) -.0518 -0229 -0173 -.0030 (.5613) (.2482) 76 Table 17(cont’d) name Variable Tobit coeff. -2.7705 (2.4059) (6E(Y)/dx) (6E(Y*)/ax) * (aF(z)/ax) .6038 (6890) .2958 .2074 .0265 1.5394" (.7352) .8042 .5640 .0722 6.7963 ‘= Significant at the 10% level,“‘= Significant at the 5% level,""“= Significant at the 1% level ‘The familiarity, health and environmental concern variables are separated Likelihood Value‘: -1755.8419 Chi-Squared‘: 64.94, P-value‘: .0000 ‘ These values for the equation without F, and ‘1’. 77 from the other variables by a double line to indicate that they were estimated in separate equations. The results above the double line were estimated in a regession without these three variables included. Two separate equations were run with familiarity (F) and the two motivational variables (II) and ‘1'). We only report the coefficients of these three variables from those last two equations. Tobit coefficients and calculated marginal effects for regular apples in a Table 18 market with both types of apples Variable ’ (aE(Y)/ax) (aE(Y*)/ax) ’ (aF(z)/ax) Tobit name coefficient __ _-___-___-_-___-_ ____ _ __ __ -7.0380"“* -2.9439**‘ -2.2581 -.5531 (1.5198) (.6317) 5.2287"‘”‘ 2.1871**“ 1.6776 .4109 (1.2693) (.5265) .0030 .0013 .0010 .0002 (.0064) (.0027) .0753 .0315 .0241 .0059 (.1352) (.0566) .0068 .0028 .0021 .0005 (.0136) (.0057) .9108“ .3810“ .2922 .0716 (.4789) (.2002) -.0967 -.0405 -.0310 -.0076 (.0785) (.0329) -.6010 -.2514 -.1928 -.0472 (.4023) (.1685) .1789 .0748 .0574 .0141 (.4031) (.1686) -2.0192"** -.8446**“ -.6478 -.1587 (.6687) (.2814) -3.5886"" -1.5010“‘ -1.1514 -.2820 (1.4063) (.5861) .1280 .0536 .0411 .0101 (.4274) (.1788) 78 Table 18 (Cont’d) I Variable l Tobit name coefficient ,, (aEm/ax) (6E(Y*)/3X) (3F(l)/3X). ‘=i Significant at the 10% level,**= Significant at the 5% level,“"‘= Significant at the 1% level Likelihood Value: -l392.7057 Chi-Squared: 42.37, P-value: .0000 79 Tobit coefficients and calculated marginal effects for regular apples in a Table 19 market without ecolabeled apples. (6E(Y*)lax) (6F(z)/6x) ’ I Variable l Tobit (6E(Y)ldx) name coefficient ___-__ __ __ _______ f -.9419 -.6100 -.4277 -.0531 (1.0037) (.6500) .0045 .0029 .0020 .0003 (.0076) (.0049) .1334 .0864 .0606 .0075 (.1658) (.1074) -.0233 -.0151 -.0106 -.0013 (.0166) (.0108) -.2520 -.1632 -.1144 -.0142 (.5771) (.3738) .0230 .0149 .0104 .0013 (.0960) (.0622) -5.0969‘""‘ -3.3013""“ -2.3 145 -.2871 (.8179) (.5346) -.8844 -.5728 -.4016 -.0498 (1.4169) (.9179) .3799 .2461 .1725 .0214 (.5091) (.3298) 6.591 1 --- ..... ..... *= Significant at the 10% level,‘*= Significant at the 5% level,“'*= Significant at the 1% level Likelihood Value: -2354.083 Chi-Squared: 42.76, P-value: .0000 80 Table 20 Calculated Tobit elasticities of prices, income and significant variables for all three types of apples Variable Re ; larA : [es in zrst mr_ke scenario Px - 1324 -.0601 -0723 M .0383 0174 .0209 Groc -.7332 -.3329 -.4003 Realm aaples in ire-3W Px -1.7260 -.5538 -1.1722 Px’ 1.5690 .5034 1.0656 M .0443 .0142 .0301 Gen .0610 .0196 .0414 Groc -.5033 -.1615 -.3418 Org -.0302 -.0097 -0205 Px 1.5767 5248 1.0519 1’," -2.0207 -.6726 -l .3481 M 0174 .0058 .0116 Kb .2010 .0669 .1341 - Educ 5294 1762 .3532 Groc -.7078 -.2356 -.4722 ‘I’ 0559 .0261 .0299 81 Table 21 Q: Why did you choose to buy the ecolabeled‘ apples? (Open ended) Wore: This question asked only to those who bought ecolabeled apples) Stated Reason First Reason Second Third Reason Percent Reason Percent Respondents Percent Respondents (N=496) Respondents (N=103) Ecolabeled apples are better for the 27.4 % 23.5% 23.3% environment To avoid chemicals in 20.9 % 18.4% 214% my food T” “7 them/1?“? the“ 18.9% 6.3% 2.9% out of currosrty Ecolabeled apples are safer/healthier for me 16.2 % 32.5% 23.3% and my family The “Safe“ apple " 10.2 % 10.2% 9.7% quality 15 better Feels like] m donng 5.5 % 3.1% 4.8% something good I we “wit mm" 1.6 % 2.4% 4.9% generations Don’t know 1.4 % 3.1% 6.8% Refused .6% .4% 2.9% ‘Ecolabeled apples refer to both IPM and ECO apples 82 Table 22 Q: Why did you choose not to buy the ecolabeled apples‘? (Open-ended) (Note: This question asked only to those respondents who did not buy ecolabeled apples) Stated Reason First Reason Second Third Percent Reason Reason Respondents Percent Percent Respondents Respondents || (N=3 52) (N=87) fl=362 — a They are too expensive 46.3 % 14.9% 22.2% Do not know enough about ecolabels to buy 21.6 % 42.5% 44.4% them Prefer own brand of 8.5 % 6.9% 2.8% apples Regular apples are just as safe and healthy for 8.2 % 14.9% 2.8% my family Do not trust/belleve the 4.5 % 6.9% 0.0% ecolabel They are. an advertnsrng 2.3 % 4.6% 8.3% gimmick Do not trust the o o o governmen t/USD A 2.0 /o 0.0 /o 0.0 /o Do not like to try new 1.1 % 1.1% 2.8% things Don’t know 4.3 % 5.7% 13.9% Refused 1.1% 2.3% 2.8% ‘Ecolabeled apples refer to both IPM and ECO apples. 83 Table 23 Comparison of results between Tobit, OLS and SUR for ecolabeled apples in a market with ecolabeling Variable Name Tobit model- OLS SUR Marginal (Linear (Linear effects functional functional -Ec-01Wbe- we nuke” menri PX 3.9981‘” 3.3109“ 3.3532" (.8833) (1.3171) (1.3352) [1.0200]‘ Px’ 4.1818” -2.9552**" -3.0055""" (.7360) (1.0946) (1.1073) (5581] M .0007 -.0003 .0007 (.0036) (.0055) (.0056) L0025] Hh .1526“ .2191‘ .2183‘ (.0787) (.1188) (.1205) L1346] Age -.0055 -.0007 -.0016 (.0081) (.0120) (.0122) L0083] Gen -.4028 -. 1209 -.1184 (.2861) (.4252) (.4313) L2784] Educ .0847“ .0189 .0010 (.0476) (.0698) (.0702) L0460] ‘The bracketed expression is White’s robust standard error given to correct for heteroscedasticity. 84 Table 24 (cont’d) effects Variable Name Tobit model- Marginal OLS (Linear functional 0- ' SUR (Linear functional form E labele a 7 (es in the second market scenarzo L -.0219 -.2645 -.2910 (.2359) (.3538) (.3588) L3985] C .1220 .3181 .3341 (.2364) (.3545) (.3597) L3572] Groc -1.7600*** -3.0334*** -3.0194*** (.3913) (.6007) (.6050) [1.7205] Org .6214 .2587 .2430 (.6693) (1.0457) (1.0528) L3793] D -.0229 -.3894 -.4089 (.2482) (.3749) (.3795) _ gf .2909 Cross price elas -2.0207 -2.0846 -2.0914 Own price elas 1.5767 1.9061 1.9048 income elas .0174 -.0104 .0238 MSE --- 14.897 5.0001 ‘= Significant at the 10%leve1,"= Significant at the 5% level,""= Significant at the 1%level 85 Table 24 Comparison of results between Tobit, OLS and SUR for regular apples in a market with ecolabeling Variable Name Tobit model- Marginal effects OLS (Linear functional _orfm _ SUR (Linear functional form RNHLIa '6 WJWW" scenaw Px -2.9439*** -1 .9829" -2.0070” (.6317) (.8079) (.8164) [.5929]'I Px’ 2.1871“* .8512 .8736 (.5265) (.6703) (.6745) L8512] M .0013 .0036 ---—" (.0027) (.0034) L0036] Hh .0315 .0827 .1082 (.0566) (.0731) (.0725) L0827] Age .0028 .0052 .0072 (.0057) (.0074) (.0074) L0052] Gen .3810" .3263 .3475 I (.2002) (.2609) (.2636) J L3263] ‘ 'The bracketed expression is White’s robust standard error given to correct for heteroscedasticity. I’In order for SUR to run as SUR, the explanatory variables have to be different between the two equations. Thus, income and education were left out of the regular equation so that the equations would be different. 86 Table 24 (cont...) Variable Name Tobit model- OLS SUR Marginal (Linear (Linear effects functional functional # form)___ form f f R r _g_ 7 (es in the second market scenario Educ -.0405 -.0573 --- < (.0329) (.0426) L0629] L -.2514 -.4476** -.4495" (.1685) (.2175) (.2196) [22338] C .0748 -.0020 -.0073 (.1686) (.2181) (.2198) L2161] Groc -.8446*** -1.7885*“ -1.8082*“ (.2814) (.3663) (.3700) L9545] Org -1.5010*"' -.9469 -.9457 (.5861) (.6415) (.6378) L3853] D .0536 .2925 .3139 (.17 88) (.2300) (.2322) T' _ [.2646] Own price elas. -1.7260 -1.3406 -1.3379 Cross price elas. 1.5690 .7043 .7122 Income elas. .0443 .1468 --- _ _’___ ---______ 3.0452 3.0571 ‘= Sigmcfiant at 1° level,**= Significant at the 5% level,*"= Significant at the 1% level 87 APPENDICES 88 APPENDIX A DEVELOPMENT OF ECOLABEL DESCRIPTIONS AND PRICES” The ecolabels presented in the questionnaire were developed over several months. Descriptions of ecolabels were pretested in personal interviews with consumers and refined based on the pretest results. Many rounds of pretests were conducted before the final wording was selected. The initial set of ecolabels was created by examining existing agricultural ecolabeling programs in the U.S. These programs included the Massachusetts-IPM Partners with Nature Program, the Wegmans IPM label 2 for canned com and standards developed by California Clean Growers. Initially, we looked at three dimensions of the ecolabels: (1) whether process standards (i.e., production practices) or performance standards (i.e., environmental outcomes) were used to define the environmental claim, (2) how comprehensive the claim was (i.e., how many types of process or performance standards were specified), and (3) whether certification was 30This section taken from J eifrey R. Blend, and Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay, 1998, “ Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” Department of Agricultural Economics Staff Paper No. 98-20 , Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. 89 performed and, if so, by whom. Initial label descriptions consisted of difi‘erent combinations of standards, comprehensiveness, and certifiers. Examples of some of the initial ecolabel descriptions follow: Example 1: Process standards which are non-comprehensive and producer certified Grown using Integrated Pest Management Grown with 33% less of Pesticide X Certified by the Smith Farms Example 2: Performance standards which are non-comprehensive and certified by the federal govemment Production resulted in 75% less nitrates in groundwater Superb rating on the Soil Health Index Certified by the USDA Example 3: Process standards which are comprehensive and certified by a well-known consumer group Used the safest fertilizers and pesticides on the market at the lowest possible levels Met 80% of the total points possible to qualrfi» as IPM certified Produced in a manner which encourages healthy soil 90 Produced with 60% less of chemicals X, Y, and Z Produced with 40% less irrigation water Grown using 30% less total energy (in Kilowatts) Certified by the Society for a Better America Consumer Group Example 4: Performance standards which are comprehensive and not certified Improved 50% on the Soil Nutrient Yardstick over previous year Doubled the number of Sandhill Crane and endangered Gray Wolves observed on the farm Water runofir from farm contained a 40% lower concentration of toxic residue than average levels in the county No detectable residues found upon this product Introduced four new species of rare wildflowers to farm Production resulted in 20% less on-farm solid waste than the year before Energy-efficient transport of this product resulted in 5 0% less air emissions Example 5: No process or performance standards and no certification This product grown with a commitment to preserving our environment Initial pretest interviews revealed that these descriptions were too 91 complicated and confusing. Participants did not like being read a ‘laundry list’ of environmental attributes and thought the standards were very vague. We also learned from agricultural scientists that the development of performance standards was hampered by the current inability to measure environmental performance.31 Consequently, we decided to omit the distinction between the process and performance standards. The pretests did indicate, however, that certification status and comprehensiveness of the claim were important in the purchasing decision. As a result, they were included as dimensions in the further rounds of ecolabel pretesting. IPM ecolabel was chosen because several U.S. agricultural ecolabels are based upon IPM standards including Partners with Nature in Massachusetts and the Wegmans label on canned vegetables in New York state. These existing labels provided a framework within which to create the ' 31Discussions of these difficulties found in S. Riha, L. Levitan, and J. Hutson, “Environmental Impact Assessment: The Quest for a Holistic Picture,” Proceedings of the Third National IPM Symposium, USDA, ERS, Washington, D. C., 1997 and Wayne S. Roberts and Scott M. Swinton, "Economic Methods for Comparing Alternative Crop Production Systems: A Review of the Literature," American Journal of Alternative Agriculture, 1996, ll(1):10-l7. 92 IPM description.” The ECO ecolabel was created to see if consumers distinguish other farm-related environmental impacts. Unlike the IPM ecolabel, the ECO ecolabel was not based upon an existing ecolabel. Food labels at local food stores provided examples of simple and clear language that respondents would recognize.33 Labels were examined on flesh and frozen produce and juices, processed foods, health foods, and organic foods. The final versions of the ecolabel began with a definition of IPM or ECO, depending upon which version the respondent received. This was followed by the environmental claim itself. The IPM claim was: 0n the label it is stated that IPM means that the apples were 32The IPM definition and practices mentioned in the claim were obtained from two web-sites and from the We grnan’s IPM label for canned corn. Valuable assistance was also provided by Mark Whalen, Entomology Dept. at MSU, Lois Levitan, Cornell University, Kurt Petzoldt with New York IPM, Cornell Extension Station and Laura Tourte, UC Davis-extension. Bill Coli at Umass at Amhurst and Bryan Hubbel at Univ. of Georgia at Athens provided assistance with the specific wording of the IPM claim. 33Stores visited consisted of several supermarkets, a farmer’s markets and an organic-oriented food co-op, the names of which are Meijers, Kroger, Save-A-Lot, and East Lansing Food Co-Op or ELFCO, and the Haslett Farmer’s Market. 93 grown using Integrated Pest Management. Signs and brochures in the store explain that IPM uses a number of different methods to prevent pest damage to fresh apples. These methods lower the need for environmentally harmfitl practices on the farm. For example, insects that damage apples are controlled by their natural enemies. Fields are monitored for pests to reduce unnecessary chemical usage. Apple varieties are planted which resist disease. When pesticides are needed, the least harmful are used. The ECO claim was: Signs and brochures in the store explain that “ECO-apples ” are grown using techniques based on environmental principles. These techniques result in more efficient use of water and energy. They include the use of naturally occurring fertilizers to protect water and soil quality. When possible, natural insect control methods are used to prevent pest damage on fresh apples. Man-made pesticides are used only as a last resort. To help respondents visualize the ecolabel, a physical description was provided. The size, shape, color and lettering upon the label were described. 94 Respondents were told that the letters on the label were IPM [or ECO] in capital letters. We included three capital letters on all versions of the ecolabel to ensure that the letter size would not affect demand. The regular apple prices used in the market scenarios were chosen based upon U.S. apple data. Retail apple prices fi‘om the months in which the survey was given, November through February, were averaged over the last five years of available data (1992-1996) resulting in a figure of $.88 per pound.“ A central price of $.89 per pound was identified because most apples in the U.S. are sold at a price which ends in ‘9' on a per pormd basis.” Two additional prices were then chosen on either side of this figure at $.30 increments to represent variation about the average U.S. apple price. Prices for the ecolabeled apple were selected by looking at the market for organic apples. In van Ravenswaay and Blend (1997), it was suggested that ecolabeled apples would best capture a significant portion of the apple market by providing a cheaper environmental alternative to organic. Thus, the ecolabeled apple prices used in our market scenario were kept at or below 34All prices given are in December, 1997 dollars. 3’It was decided from earlier work (van Ravenswaay and Hoehn, 1991) that the prices given would be on a per pound basis since this was the most common way respondents understood them. 95 the lowest organic prices. In order to determine the lowest prices for organic apples, a price range was identified. This was done by looking at prices in the Lansing area and referring to studies by Jolly (1989 and 1991) and Hammit (1986) who calculated price premiums for organic apples in California.36 The lowest prices for organic apples were about $1 .39-51 .49 per pound.” This was set as an approximate upper bound price for the ecolabeled apples. Because the highest price for regular apples was $1.19/lb, the price premium on ecolabeled apples could be no greater than 30 or 40 cents per pormd if it were to stay roughly within its bound. Thus, the highest premium was set at $.40/lb. The lowest premium was set at zero cents (i.e., same price for regular and ecolabeled apples) so that an estimate could be made of the difi‘erence in demand between ecolabeled and regular brands, ceteris paribus. A third premium was set halfway between these two at $.20/lb. ”Stores visited included East Lansing Food Co-op, Kroger grocery store, and the Haslett Farmer’s Market. 3“’It was found that organic prices ranged from $1 .SO/lb up to $2.50 per pound from the sources consulted. The lower prices were fi'om price data reported in Hammitt and Jolly. The highest price was seen at the local food co-op. 96 APPENDIX B SAMPLE SELECTION38 The Institute of Public Policy and Social Research (IPPSR) at Michigan State University conducted the survey interviews. IPPSR purchased the phone numbers from Gensys Sampling Inc. who randomly generated 3945 numbers from a straight 48 state proportional sample. IPPSR assigned a five digit case ID number to each phone number. Each ID number was then randomly assigned to one of the 36 survey versions. In this way, approximately equal numbers of respondents received each survey version. IPPSR dialed the phone numbers until they obtained the desired sample size. The calls were placed between November 3, 1997 and February 11, 1998 and the survey interviews lasted an average of 7 minutes. Of the 3203 numbers dialed, 145 3 reached households with persons who were eligible for 38This section is based on Jeffrey R. Blend, and Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay, 1998, “ Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” Department of Agricultural Economics Stafl‘ Paper No. 98-20 , Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. 97 participation in the survey.39 Of these eligible cases, 972 interviews were completed resulting in a participation rate of 66.9 % (972/1453). Of the ' eligible households, there were 393 refusals. One thousand seven hundred and fifty numbers or 54.6% of those dialed were ineligible for participation. One thousand three hundred and twelve of the ineligible numbers consisted of business lines, FAX or computer numbers and verified non-working numbers. Three hundred and twenty-nine could not be contacted because either no one answered or the line was constantly busy after 20 attempts. One hundred thirty seven of the ineligible numbers reached respondents who were unable to participate due to physical handicaps, respondents with language barriers, those who were too young (teenager lines) and those who were absent during the study period. 35'Eligibility required the number to be that of a residential household and that the person who purchases food for the household be 18 years or older. 98 APPENDIX C SURVEY INSTRUMENT”0 Hello, my name is and I am calling from the Institute of Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University. Is this (phone number)? We are calling on behalf of the Agricultural Economics Department at Michigan State University. We are conducting a national survey of food consumers. May I speak to the person who usually does the food shopping for your household? Thank you. The survey takes about 7 minutes. Before we begin, let me tell you that any information you give me will be kept strictly confidential. Let me also tell you that this interview is completely voluntary. Should we come to any question that you don't want to answer, just let me know and we'll go on to the next question. I’d like to start by asking you some general questions about the fresh apples you may buy for your household. By fresh apples, I am referring only to raw apples. When answering the following questions, do not include canned or processed apples, apple juice, apple sauce, or cider. Fresh apples are in season in late summer and early fall. Q1. Do you buy fi'esh apples for your household? [IF THEY ASK WHAT IS MEANT BY HOUSEHOLD: Your household includes yourself, your dependents, and persons with whom you share income and household living expenses] Yes—-[GO TO Q3] No—-[GO TO Q2] Don’t know Refused-«[GO TO Q3] 99°91" “This section is based on Jeffrey R. Blend and Eileen 0. van Ravenswaay, 1998, “Demand for Ecolabeled Apples: Survey Methods and Descriptive Results,” Department of Agricultural Economics Staff Paper No. 98-20, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. 99 Q2. Could you tell me why you do not buy fresh apples for your household? (ALLOW 2 CHOICES) 1. My household does not like/eat apples 2. Apples are too expensive 3. Apples are not available 4. Apples are unsafe or unhealthy 5. Other (Specify ) 90. Do buy apples, but only in season or only occasionally—[GO TO Q3] 98. Don’t Know 99. Refused GO TO Q17 Q3. Where do you usually purchase apples? Supermarket, grocery, or convenience store Farmer’s market Farm, roadside stand, orchard, or cider mill Green grocer or hit specialty store Organic food store or cooperative Other (Specify ) Don’t know Refused 99999939!“ Q4. Have you ever bought organic apples? 1. Yes—-[GO TO Q4a] 5. No--[GOTO Q5] 8. Don’t Know-«[GOTO Q5] 9. Refused-[GOTO Q5] Q4a. When you buy apples, how often do you buy organic apples? Would you say rarely, occasionally, often, or always? Rarely Occasionally Often Always Do not know Refused .‘°.°°:“P°l"f" 190 Q5. How much have you seen, heard, or read about Integrated Pest Management or IPM? 1. Nothing 2. A little 3. A fair amount 4. A great deal 8. Don’t know 9. Refused Q6 Q6a. Q6b. Q7. Imagine you are at the place where you normally buy fresh apples, and you are planning to buy some. Suppose that all apple varieties and sizes are the same price per pound whether displayed individually or packaged in bags, boxes, or bushels. All your favorite varieties are on display and are of the size and quality you prefer. There are no special Sales on any other fresh fruits. If the price of apples was per pouird 3nd no other place was selling them for less, would you buy any app es. 1 Yes-[GOTO Q7] 5. No--[GOTO Q6a] 8. Don’t krrow--[GO TO Q10] 9. Refirsed--[GO TO Q10] Why would you not buy any apples? 1. Too expensive-«[GO TO Q8] 2. Other (Specify_)-—[GO TO Q8] 9. Respondent contradicts what was read in scenario, Specify L_)- [GO TO 06b] 98. Do not known-[GO TO Q8] 99. Refirsed--[GO TO Q8] If [INSERT RESPONDENT’S CONTRADICTION FROM Q6a] was not a factor, and if the price of apples was [INSERT PRICE FROM Q6] _ per pound, would you buy any apples? 1. Yes-«[GO TO Q7] 5. No—-[GO TO Q8] 8. Don’t know 9. Refused How much would you buy? 101 Q8. Q9. Q10. RECORD NUMBER and UNITS Ifyou were in exactly the same setting, and the price of apples was per pound, would you buy any apples? 1. Yes--[GO TO Q9] 5. Non-[GO TO Q10] 8. Don’t krrow--[GO TO Q10] 9. Refused—[GO TO Q10] How much would you buy? RECORD NUMBER and UNITS [There are four versions to Q10. Respondents are assigned randomly to receive one of these version. Versions 1 and 3 present the respondent with an IPM ecolabel and versions 2 and 4 present the respondent with an “ECG ” ecolabel. Versions 1 and 2 include the statement that the ecolabel is certified by the USDA, whereas versions 3 and 4 do not.] [VERSIONS 1 AND 3 OF Q10, WITH IPM ECOLABEL] Imagine you are in the same setting and you notice something new at your store. Your store sells the same apples it always has and apples grown a new way. The apples grown the new way have small, round half-inch wide labels that have a white background and green lettering. The letters on the label are IPM in capital letters. [The label states that IPM apples are certified by the USDA to have been grown and handled according to government standards] On the label it is stated that IPM means that the apples were grown using Integrated Pest Management. Signs and brochures in the store explain that IPM uses a number of different methods to prevent pest damage to fresh apples. These methods lower the need for environmentally harmful practices on the farm. For example, insects that damage apples are controlled by their natural enemies. Fields are monitored for pests to reduce unnecessary chemical usage. Apple varieties are planted which resist disease. When pesticides are needed, the least harmfirl are used. You are planning to buy fresh apples of the size and quality you prefer. The price of the regular apples is the same as before, (INSERT PRICE FROMOQ6) per pound and the price of the [Certified] IPM apples rs per pound. Would you buy the regular apples, the 102 IPM apples, some of both, or none at all? Regular only-«[GO TO QlOa] IPM only—[GO TO Q10b] Some of both-«[GO TO Qloa] None at all-«[GO TO Q15] Don’t lcnow--[GO TO Q16] Refused-[GO TO Q16] PFPP’N?‘ [The bracketed sentence involving USDA certification of IPM and the bracketed word “certified ” are included only in version 1 of the apple scenario. They are not included in version 3] Q10 [VERSIONS 2 AND 4 WITH THE “ECO” ECOLABEL] Imagine you are in the same setting and you notice something new at your store. Your store sells the same apples it always has and apples grown a new way. The apples grown the new way have small, round half-inch wide labels that have a white background and green lettering. The letters on the label are E C O or “Eco” in capital letters. [The label states that ECO-apples are certified by the USDA to have been grown and handled according to government standards] Signs and brochures 1n the store explain that “ECO-apples” are grown using techniques based on environmental principles. These techniques result in more efficient use of water and energy. They include the use of naturally occurring fertilizers to protect water and soil quality. When possible, natural insect control methods are used to prevent pest damage on fresh apples. Man-made pesticides are used only as a last resort. You are planning to buy fresh apples of the size and quality you would prefer. The price Q6)— of the regular apples is the same as before, (INSERT PRICE FROM per pound and the price of the [Certified] ECO-apples rs _per pound. Would you buy the regular apples, the ECO-apples, some of both, or none at all? 1. Regular only-«[GO TO Q10a] 2. IPM only-«[GO TO Q10b] 103 99°91” Some of both-[GO TO Q10a] None at all--[GO TO Q13] Don’t krrow--[GO TO Q17] Refused-«(GO TO Q17] [The bracketed sentence involving government certification of EC 0 apples and the bracketed word “certified” will be included only in version 2 of the apple scenario. It will not be included in version 4] Q10a. How much of the regular apples would you buy? RECORD NUMBER AND UNITS (if blank record zero) Q10b. How much of the IPM apples would you buy? on Q12 RECORD NUMBER AND UNITS (if blank record zero) Why would you buy the [IPM/ECO] apples? (Open-ended) (Allow up to 3 choices) PP°P‘.V'PP’.N.'" IPM apples are better for the environment I care about future generations/firture of our planet IPM apples are safer and healthier for my family and myself To avoid chemicals in my food Feels good/feels like I’m doing something good Other (Specify ) Don’t know Refused Why would you not buy the [IPM/Eco] apples? (Open-ended) (Allow up to 3 choices) wave? we They are too expensive/Not worth it-[GO TO Q13] The regular apples are just as safe/healthy for my family-{GO TO Q13] I do not trust/believe the IPM label—[GO TO Q13] I do not know enough about IPM to buy them—~[GO TO Q13] IPM is an advertising gimmick-«[GO TO Q13] Other (Specify )--[GO TO Q13] Respondent contradicts what was read in scenario, Specify (_)—-[GO TO Q12a] Do not known-[GO TO Q13] 104 99. Refused-[GO TO Q13] Q12a Imagine that this (INSERT RESPONDENT’S CONTRADICTION FROM Q12) is not a factor. The price of the regular apples is the same as before, (INSERT PRICES FROM Q10) per pound, and the price of the [Certified] ECO-apples is per pound. Would you buy the regular apples, the ECO-apples, some of both, or none at all? 1. Regular only-[GO TO QlOa] 2. IPM only—[GO TO Q10b] 3. Some of both-«[GO TO Q10a] 4. None at all—-[GO TO Q13] 8. Don’t lcnow--[GO TO Q17] 9. Refused—{GO TO Q17] Q13 Suppose that the price of the regular apples is the same' as before, [INSERT THE PRICE GIVEN FROM Q6] per pound and no other place is selling them for less. The price of the [IPM/Eco] apples is now per pound. Would you buy the regular apples, the IPM/Eco apples, some of both, or none at all? Regular only-«[GO TO Q13a] IPM only—[GO TO Q13b] Some of both--[GO TO Q13a] None at all—-[ GO TO Q17] Don’t know--[GO TO Q17] Refirsedu-[GO TO Q17] 99°?pr Q13a. How much of the regular apples would you buy? RECORD NUMBER AND UNITS (if blank record zero) Q13b. How much of the IPM apples would you buy? RECORD NUMBER AND UNITS (if blank record zero) DEMOGRAPHIC QUESTIONS [If they answered yes to Q], then use the following statement only. If they answered no to Q], then use the following statement and add on the alternate statement] 105 These last few questions for statistical purposes only and cannot be linked to you in any way. [If they answered no to Q], then use the following statement] Although you do not buy apples for your household, this information is still valuable to the survey. Q17. Are you male or female? [ASK ONLY IF IN DOUBT] (Circle one) 1. Female 2. Male Q18a. Including yourself, how many people in your household are in the following age categories? (Write in the numbers) Under 5 years? <0-10> Under 5 years <98> Don’t Know <99> Refused Q18b. 5 to 17 years? <0-10> 5 to 17 years <98> Don’t Know <99> Refused Q18c. 18 to 64 years? <0-10> 18 to 64 years <98> Don’t Know <99> Refused Q18d. 65 years or older? <0-10> 65 or older <98> Don’t Know <99> Refused Q19. In what year were you born? 19 <00-79> YEAR BORN 18 <90-99> YEAR BORN 106 <998> Don’t know <999> Refused Q20. Please indicate the highest level of education you have completed. (Circle one). 0. 1-11. 12. 13-15. 16. 17. 18. 20. 98. 99. Did not go to school Grade school High school graduate or GED holder Some college (One to three years) College Graduate (Four years) Some graduate school or professional (law, medical) school Graduate degree Technical School or Junior College Graduate Do not know Refused To find out if people with different financial situations make difl‘erent food choices, we’d like to know the general range of incomes of all households we interview. Your answers will be kept strictly confidential. Q21. Now, thinking about your household’s total annual income fi'om all sources (including your job), did you household receive $30,000 or more in 1996? (Circle one) 1. 5 98. 99. Yes ($30,000 OR MORE) [GO TO INC4] No (Less than $30,000) [GO TO INC2] DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC2< Was it $20,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($20,000 - 29,999) No (LESS THAN $20,000) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC3< Was it $10,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($10,000 - 19,999) No (LESS THAN $10,000) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION 107 99. REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC4< Was it $60,000 or more? 0. l. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes (more than $60,000)[goto INC7] No (more than $30,000 and less than $60,000)[goto INCS] DON‘T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC5< Was it $40,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($40,000 or more)[goto INC6] No ($30,000 - $39,999) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC6< Was it $50,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($50,000 - 59,999) No ($40,000 LESS THAN $49,999) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC7< Was it $80,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($80,000 or more)[goto INC9] No (More than $60,000 LESS THAN $79,999) [goto INC8] DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC8< Was it $70,000 or more? 0. l. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($70,000 - 79,999) No ($60,000-369.9999) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >INC9< Was it $100,000 or more? 108 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($100,000 or more)[goto INCl 1] No ($80,000-$99,999)[gotoINC10] DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER INCIO Was it $90,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($90,000 - 99,999) No ($80,000-$89,9999) DON'T KN OW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER INC11< Was it $110,000 or more? 0. l. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($110,000 - or more) NO ($100,000-5109,9999) DON'T KNOW-NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >NC12< Was it $150,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. NOT APPLICABLE Yes ($150,000 to $200,000) No ($1 10,000-$149,9999) DON'T KN OW—NO OPINION REFUSED-NO ANSWER >NC13< Was it $200,000 or more? 0. 1. 5 98. 99. 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