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A; v|ru II by .9 *99 — Illllll\llllllllllllllllll‘ill \lllfllll This is to certify that the dissertation entitled I Behavioral Models of Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection presented by Thomas Vincent Scannell l l l I has been accepted towards fulfillment ‘ of the requirements for 1 Doctor of Philosophydegree in Business Administration City“ (ZLJCLL I] will” Major professor Sid.» Date July 29, 1999 MSU is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution 042771 PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 1m campus-nu BEHAVIORAL MODELS OF ADVANCED MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY SELECTION By Thomas Vincent Scannell A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Marketing and Supply Chain Management 1 999 ABSTRACT A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF ADVANCED MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY SELECTION By Thomas Vincent Scannell The advanced manufacturing technology (AMT) adoption decision process is examined by adapting and applying two established behavioral models. One research model is directly developed from the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and is labeled the Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model - Theory of Planned Behavior (AMTS-TPB). A second model is adapted from the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) discussed by Davis et a1. (1989), and is labeled the Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM). AMT for this research is restricted to those technologies that machine, assemble, fabricate or otherwise operate on materials and products. This included CNC/DNC machines, material working lasers and robots. The TPB was shown to be applicable in an industrial context that focused on a specific set of AMTs. Further, the TAM, which was designed to examine acceptance of information systems, was shown to be applicable in a research context other than the setting for which it was intended. Both models explained a substantial amount of variance in behavioral intentions to adopt an AMT using a parsimonious set of factors. Three key relationships have implications for manufacturers of AMTs. First, the significant influence that perceived usefiilness of the AMT has on a decision-maker’s intentions indicates that increased marketing of the performance benefits of AMT to potential users is warranted. Second, supplier support did not have a significant influence on perceived behavioral control. Manufacturers of AMTs may want to form stronger relationships with both users of AMTs and material and components suppliers as well. Third, subjective norms were found to significantly influence intentions. AMT manufacturers may want to consider broadening their marketing techniques to a cross- functional representation of personnel at a potential adopting firm. This research also has implications for key stakeholders within AMT adopting firms. First, familiarity with AMT was found to have a significant influence on perceived behavioral control, which in turn was found to have a significant influence on perceived usefulness in the AMTAM. These relationships suggest that either AMT adoption decisions are part of an overall AMT strategy or that there is a “comfort zone” in which manufacturing managers make decisions. Second, subjective norms are key determinants of intentions in this research context. Advocates of increased technology adoption within a firm may wish to exploit the cross-functional impact on a decision-maker by determining the specific attributes of the AMT that each function is most influenced by, then marketing these attributes to each function. Third, despite perceived behavioral control having a significant influence on perceived usefulness in AMTAM, PBC was found to have a non-significant influence on intentions to adopt an AMT in the AMTS-TPB. This suggests that users may be willing to tolerate a difficult adoption process in order to realize significant competitive benefits, while no amount of perceived behavioral control or ease of adoption will compensate for a system that does not provide extensive benefits. Covyright by THOMAS VINCENT SCANNELL 1999 This dissertation is dedicated to my Mom and Dad, my first and best teachers who sacrificed so much to ensure their twelve children received a good education; to my children Emily, Margaret and Mark, for bringing so much joy to my life; and to my wife, Jane, who I love so very much. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Many people directly and indirectly contributed to the completion of this research. Without the support, input and encouragement of the entire “team” this dissertation could not have been completed. My dissertation committee co-chairs, Steven Melnyk and Roger Calantone, provided invaluable inputs and guidance. They both spent an inordinate amount time on this research effort from the concept phase to completion. My committee, Robert Handfield and Dan Krause, contributed immensely as well. I respect and thank all of you for your contributions. I also thank all of the Operations and Sourcing Management Faculty at Michigan State University for teaching me how to conduct interesting and scientific research, and for providing me with a solid foundation in the subject matter. I particularly thank Gary Ragatz, who critically analyzed my dissertation proposal and who I turned to for much advice throughout my career at Michigan State University. I also especially recognize Robert Monczka, who provided encouragement, support and wisdom, as well as extensive insights into purchasing and supply chain management theory and practice as they relate to my research. I also thank the National Association of Purchasing Management. The funding received from the Doctoral Dissertation Grant Competition was immensely appreciated. Finally, I thank my wife Jane, for understanding and supporting me in this endeavor. She is a strong and special person who I love and respect. I am proud to be her husband. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. ix LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................. x LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ............................................................................................ xi Chapter 1 .............................................................................................................................. 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Problem Statement and Research Question .............................................................. 1 1.2 Research Framework ................................................................................................ 1 1.3 Research Models ....................................................................................................... 3 1.3.1 The Theory of Planned Behavior ....................................................................... 3 1.3.2 Manufacturing Technology Selection Models ................................................... 5 1.4 Research Methodology ............................................................................................. 5 1.5 Potential Outcomes and Contributions of the Research ........................................... 8 1.6 Summary ................................................................................................................... 9 Chapter 2 ............................................................................................................................ 10 LITERATURE REVIEW ................................................................................................... 10 2.1 The Theory of Planned Behavior ............................................................................ 10 2.2 AMT Selection Criteria — Exogenous Factors ........................................................ 12 2.2.1 Attitude — Perceived Usefulness ...................................................................... 12 2.2.2 Perceived Behavioral Control .......................................................................... 14 2.2.3 Subjective Norms ............................................................................................. 17 2.2.4 Summary of AMT Selection Criteria — Exogenous Factors ............................ 17 2.3 AMT Selection Criteria — Endogenous Factors ...................................................... 18 2.3.1 Direct Extension of the TPB ............................................................................ 18 2.3.2 Adaptations of the Theory of Reasoned Action ............................................... 19 Chapter 3 ............................................................................................................................ 31 METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................................. 3 1 3.1 Unit of Analysis ...................................................................................................... 31 3.2 Data Sample ............................................................................................................ 32 3.3 Required Sample Size ............................................................................................. 32 3.4 Data Collection ....................................................................................................... 33 3.5 Measures ................................................................................................................. 33 3.6 Proposed Data Analysis .......................................................................................... 35 Chapter 4 ............................................................................................................................ 37 DATA ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................ 37 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................. 37 4.2 The Data .................................................................................................................. 37 4.2.1 Data Collection ................................................................................................ 37 4.2.2 Characteristics of Responding Firms ............................................................... 41 vii 4.3 Data Analysis .......................................................................................................... 49 4.3.1 Descriptive Statistics ........................................................................................ 50 4.4 Structural Analysis .................................................................................................. 52 4.4.1 Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM) .............. 53 4.4.2 Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model (AMTS-TPB) ........... 57 4.5 Summary ................................................................................................................. 61 Chapter 5 ............................................................................................................................ 64 DISCUSSION OF RESULTS ............................................................................................ 64 5.1 Overview and Chapter Contents ............................................................................. 64 5.2 Discussion of Hypotheses Tests .............................................................................. 64 5.2.1 Hypotheses Common to the Two Models ........................................................ 64 5.2.2 Hypotheses Specific to AMTS-TPB ................................................................ 67 5.2.2 Hypotheses Specific to AMTAM ..................................................................... 68 5.3 Contributions of the Research ................................................................................. 69 5.3.1 Academic Contribution .................................................................................... 69 5.3.2 Managerial Contribution .................................................................................. 75 5.4 Limitations of the Research .................................................................................... 79 5.5 Recommendations for Future Research .................................................................. 81 5.5.1 Review of Potential Research Directions Previously Discussed ..................... 81 5.5.2 Other Potential Research Directions ................................................................ 83 5.6 Summary ................................................................................................................. 84 APPENDIX A: QUESTIONNAIRE .................................................................................. 86 BIBLIOGRAPHY .............................................................................................................. 93 viii LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Measurement of Selected TAM Constructs (Davis et al., 1989) ......................... 23 Table 2: External Factor Composition in ITAM (Lee, 1990) ............................................ 25 Table 3: Measurement of Selected ITAM Constructs (Lee, 1990) .................................... 26 Table 4: Results of First Wave Mailing ............................................................................. 38 Table 5: Results of Phone Contacts to Assess Non-Response Bias ................................... 39 Table 6: Results of Second Wave Mailing ........................................................................ 40 Table 7: T-tests for Equality of Means .............................................................................. 42 Table 8: SIC of Respondents ............................................................................................. 42 Table 9: Geographic Location of Respondents .................................................................. 43 Table 10: Title of Respondents .......................................................................................... 44 Table 11: Type of AMT Reported ..................................................................................... 44 Table 12: AMT Characteristics .......................................................................................... 45 Table 13: Descriptive Statistics for Measurement Variables ............................................. 51 Table 14: AMTAM Hypotheses Test Results .................................................................... 56 Table 15: AMTS-TPB Hypotheses Test Results ............................................................... 61 Table 16: Summary of Hypotheses for Both Models ......................................................... 63 Table 17: Contrast of Current Research to that of Davis et a1. (1989) .............................. 70 Table 18: AMTS-TPB — Comparison of Findings to TRA ................................................ 72 Table 19: AMTAM - Comparison of Findings to TAM .................................................... 73 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Integrated I/O and AMT Selection Decision Process Framework ....................... 3 Figure 2: The Theory of Planned Behavior (Ajzen, 1991) .................................................. 4 Figure 3: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM) ................... 6 Figure 4: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model (AMTS-TPB) ............... 6 Figure 5: The Technology Acceptance Model (Davis et al., 1989) ................................... 20 Figure 6: The International Technology Adoption Model (Lee, 1990) .............................. 24 Figure 7: Purchase and Installation Cost of the AMT ........................................................ 45 Figure 8: Projected ROI for the AMT Investment ............................................................. 46 Figure 9: Projected Payback Period in Months .................................................................. 46 Figure 10: Expected Useful Life in Years .......................................................................... 47 Figure 11: Installation and Debug Time in Months ........................................................... 47 Figure 12: Process Optimization Time in Months ............................................................. 48 Figure 13: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM) ............... 53 Figure 14: AMTAM Measurement Model ......................................................................... 54 Figure 15: AMTAM Fully Specified Model ...................................................................... 56 Figure 16: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model (AMTS-TPB) ........... 57 Figure 17: AMTS-TPB Measurement Model .................................................................... 59 Figure 18: AMTS-TPB Fully Specified Model ................................................................. 6O AMT AMTAM AMTS-TPB BI CF A CNC DNC EOU I/O ITAM ITT J IT LM LV MV NC PBC PU RFC SEM SN TAM TPB TRA LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS Advanced Manufacturing Technology Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection —Theory of Planned Behavior Behavioral Intention Confirmatory Factor Analysis Computer Numeric Control Direct Numeric Control Ease of Use Insourcing / Outsourcing International Technology Adoption Model International Technology Transfer Just In Time Lagrange Multiplier Latent Variable Measurement Variable Numeric Control Perceived Behavioral Control Perceived Utilities Resource Facilitating Conditions Structural Equation Model(ing) Subjective Norm Technology Acceptance Model Theory of Planned Behavior Theory of Reasoned Action xi Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Problem Statement and Research Question Advanced manufacturing technology (AMT) selection decisions are key to long term business success (Hayes, Wheelright and Clark, 1989). However, research indicates that such decisions are often made by focusing on narrowly defined cost or financial assessment with little consideration of longer term strategic issues (Welch and Nayak, 1992). This research examines the relative importance of various criteria in the AMT selection process using the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) (Ajzen, 1991) and the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) (Davis et al., 1989) as the underlying fiameworks. The TAM is an adaptation of the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA) (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980). The primary research question is: 1) What influences a decision-maker’s intention to adopt an advanced manufacturing technology? 1.2 Research Framework Advanced manufacturing technology (AMT) is not being adopted across industries at the high rate many researchers predicted despite its purported benefits (Canada and Sullivan, 1989; Hayes and Garvin, 1982). Part of the problem may be the wide range of factors impacting AMT adoption decisions. Figure 1 presents an integrated overview of the complexity of making AMT selection decisions and provides a broad framework for this research. The framework, which was developed to guide a longer term research effort, suggests that AMT selection decisions are made in the context of fete—=5...— mmooeum 5392.9 gouge—um 9.52 ES 9: cog—ac“:— 9 2:99 wuozqasm 53 .80 a oz 0386 mm; 383m ton—ma 2392 N 98 13:38 .9. o hum—on 35365 o $33 0 86:9— Eon—F830 8:35 awe—938.9. wfiéoflsfiwE 95 @2059 SEE Hoe—om ugh—gm :8: 05 @2269 SEE“ 803m was: .08 . 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This dissertation research focuses on the AMT selection decision by testing two AMT adoption models. 1.3 Research Models The research question will be assessed using the TPB and TAM (an adaptation of the TRA) as the underlying theoretical frameworks. The TPB and TRA are general behavior intention models that may be used to predict and/or explain behavior in a variety of settings (Ajzen, 1991; Fishbein et al., 1975). Though the TPB and TRA have primarily been used to study consumer behavior, they have also been used to examine technology adoption decisions (Davis, Bagozzi and Warshaw, 1989; Dimnik and Johnston, 1993; Lee, 1990). The TAM was developed by Davis et al. (1989) to specifically examine the acceptance of information systems. 1.3.] The T hemy of Planned Behavior Figure 2 presents the TPB general model. Behavioral Intention (BI) refers to a decision-makers’ subjective probability that he/she will perform the specified behavior. The TPB postulates that three conceptually independent factors determine behavioral intention: 1) attitude (A), which reflects the extent to which an individual has a favorable or unfavorable objective impression of the specified behavior; 2) subjective norms (SN), which represents perceived social pressures to engage in or refrain from a specific behavior; and 3) perceived behavioral control (PBC), which refers to the perceived difficulty or ease of performing the specified behavior. The TPB further postulates that attitude towards a behavior is driven by beliefs and evaluations about the consequences of behavior. Relative or competitive advantage is a key determinant of attitude (Davis et al., 1989; Rogers, 1983). The TPB also postulates that SNs are determined by perceived expectations of a referent individual or group. Referent groups in an industrial context might include executive managers or co- workers for example. Finally, the TPB postulates that PBC is determined by control beliefs. Control beliefs include self efficacy (e.g., familiarity with the technology) and resource facilitating conditions (e. g., supplier service and support) (Bandura, 1977; Rogers, 1983). Beliefs and Attitude Toward Evaluations Behavior (A) Expectations Subjective Norms of Referent (SN) Control ’| Perceived Behavioral Behavioral Actual Intention (BI) Behavior \_.L./ Beliefs Control (PBC) Figure 2: The Theory of Planned Behavior (Ajzen, 1991) Davis et al. (1989) adapted the TRA and developed the TAM to examine technology acceptance decisions. The TRA was a precursor to the TPB, with the primary difference being the inclusion of perceived behavioral control in the TPB. The TAM differed from the more generalizable TRA in the following ways. 1. Perceived usefulness is a direct determinant of behavioral intention in TAM, but not in TRA or TPB. 2. Perceived ease of use is a direct determinant of attitude in TAM, but not in TRA or TPB. 3. Perceived ease of use is a direct determinant of perceived usefulness in TAM, but not in TRA or TPB. 4. Perceived ease of use does not directly determine behavioral intention in TAM, but does in TRA and TPB. 5. Normative beliefs and subjective norms are not examined in TAM, but are in TRA and TPB. 1.3.2 Manufacturing Technology Selection Models Figure 3 (Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model - AMTAM) and Figure 4 (Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model -AMTS-TPB) present the models developed for this research. Each arrow in each figure represents a hypothesized relationship between constructs. The AMTS-TPB is developed and adapted directly from the TPB. The AMTAM is developed and adapted directly from the TAM. The decision to test two AMT selection models was based on the research conducted by Davis et a1. (1989). In that research, one model labeled the “Technology Acceptance Model (TAM)” was derived from the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA). A second model representing a direct application of the TRA was also examined. Chapter 2 (literature review) presents the detailed theoretical justification for the models, while Chapter 3 (methodology) discusses construct measurement. 1.4 Research Methodology The unit of analysis is a specific advanced manufacturing technology selection. Respondents will be asked to identify and discuss a recently adopted advanced manufacturing technology that is used to fabricate, machine or assemble products at their plant that has already been used to make an initial production run. H6-AMTAM F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F6: Intention to Adopt AMT Fl : Perceived H1 ‘AMTAM H7 ~AMTA Usefulness H4-AMTAM HS-AMTAM HZ-AMTAM F2: Familiarity with AMT F5: Perceived Behavioral Control F3: Supplier Support H3-AMTAM Figure 3: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM) F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F1: Perceived Usefulness HS-TPB F2: Familiarity HZ-TPB with AMT F6: Intention to Adopt AMT F5: Perceived Behavioral Control F3: Supplier Support H7-TPB H4-TPB F7: Normative Beliefs F8= SubJectwe Norms Figure 4: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model (AMTS-TPB) Using previously established classifications of AMT (US Commerce Department, 1989; Small and Chen, 1997) such fabricating, machining or assembling technology may include CNC/DNC machines, material working lasers and robots. Such AMT typically includes flexible manufacturing systems and computer integrated manufacturing. However, due to definitional issues regarding such systems, this research focuses on the core machines. AMT excluded from this research includes design and engineering technologies (e. g., computer aided design, computer aided process planning), automated material handling technologies (e. g., automated storage and retrieval systems, automated material handling systems), information technologies (e. g., material requirements planning) and automated inspection and testing equipment. Respondents will answer all questions with respect to the specific AMT and the item(s) produced by this technology. Data will be gathered across a variety of industries from for-profit United States manufacturing firms that own and operate their own production facilities. An executive or manager from manufacturing/industrial engineering, plant/operations engineering or capital equipment purchasing will be targeted as the respondent. The majority of questions are either eleven point Likert sealed (0 to 10) or categorical. A copy of the survey appears in Appendix A. Chapter 3 (Methodology) specifically allocates each question (measurement variable) to a construct (latent variable). The overall model fit and specific hypotheses for each model will be tested using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) techniques. SEM is a comprehensive multivariate statistical approach to test hypotheses about relationships among measured (observed) and latent variables. There are two stages associated with this methodology. In the first stage a measurement model (for each research model) will be tested using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) to establish a satisfactory level of reliability and validity. In the second stage, the degree to which each proposed model fits the observed data will be tested using EQS software with covariance matrices input. 1.5 Potential Outcomes and Contributions of the Research AMT selection and investment impacts a company’s cost structure and competitiveness and may be the most critical responsibility of manufacturing managers (Hayes et al., 1989). Despite an increasing literature, there is still a significant need for theoretical and practical research to explain the AMT adoption process. This research examines the impact of traditional factors purported to influence the AMT adoption decision (e. g., quality, cost) as well as less frequently examined factors such as normative beliefs and other behavioral control factors in an integrated decision model. Companies that are potential adopters of AMT may use the decision models to assess how AMT decisions are made and to determine which factors to weight more or less in choosing an AMT. Proponents or opponents of AMT adoption within a company may identify which factors to proactively manipulate in order to influence a key decision- maker’s perceptions or evaluations of an AMT. This research also has implications for AMT suppliers. By understanding what most influences a buying firm’s decision to select an AMT, a supplying firm can develop the necessary capabilities and marketing strategy to secure the buying firm’s business (Dimnik et al., 1993). Finally, this research extends the current body of knowledge by examining the multiple factors purported to influence the AMT adoption decision in an integrated model. It uses a well-established and generalizable research framework (i.e., the TPB) in a relatively new research context to examine the impact of the decision criteria. It also examines if a research framework designed specifically to investigate information systems adoption decisions (i.e., the TAM) is applicable in a different context. 1.6 Summary This research develops and tests two AMT selection models using the TPB and TAM as the underlying frameworks. The objective is to better understand how perceived benefits, social norms and operational factors influence a decision maker’s attitude toward AMT adoption. The remainder of this dissertation is organized as follows. Chapter 2 reviews the literature and formally develops the research models and hypotheses. Chapter 3 discusses the research methodology. Data analysis is presented in Chapter 4, and a discussion of results and conclusions is outlined in Chapter 5. Finally, all references are listed, and a copy of the primary survey instrument is attached in the Appendix. Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW This literature review is divided into three main sections. Section 2.1 reviews the Theory of Flamed Behavior (TPB). The TPB provides the underlying theoretical framework for the research. Section 2.2 examines the exogenous criteria believed to influence AMT selection decisions. A set of what are believed to be the most salient criteria based on the literature and interviews with academics and practitioners is examined. Section 2.3 then discusses two research efforts that provide further theoretical justification and methodological direction for the research herein. Each section develops the research hypotheses. Because two models are being tested, the hypotheses for the model in Figure 3 (Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model : AMTAM) will be labeled “HX-AMTAM”. Similarly, the hypotheses for the model in Figure 4 (Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model -— Theory of Planned Behavior : AMTSTPB) will be labeled “HX-TPB”. 2.1 The Theory of Planned Behavior Figure 2 presented the TPB general model. The model has been shown to predict behavioral intention and actual behavior rather well in research ranging from intentions to buy toothpaste, to intentions to conserve energy, to intentions to vote in presidential elections (Ajzen, Timko and White, 1982; Ryan, 1982; Sheppard, Hartwick and Warshaw, 1988; Stutzman and Green, 1982). Sheppard et al. (1988) conducted a meta- analysis of TPB research and concluded the model has strong predictive validity and is robust even in research situations that do not fall within the boundary conditions originally defined by the model. Though the TPB has primarily been used to study 10 consumer behavior, it has been used to examine technology adoption decisions as well (Davis, Bagozzi and Warshaw, 1989; Dimnik and Johnston, 1993; Lee, 1990). The application of the TPB to manufacturing technology adoption research is considered a novel approach that shows promise for AMT adoption research (Dimnik et al., 1993). Behavioral Intention (BI) refers to a decision-makers’ subjective probability that he/she will perform the specified behavior. The TPB postulates that three conceptually independent factors determine behavioral intention: 1) Attitude (A), which reflects the extent to which an individual has a favorable or unfavorable objective impression of the specified behavior; 2) Subjective Norms (SN), which represents perceived social pressures to engage in or refrain from a specific behavior; and 3) Perceived Behavioral Control (PBC), which refers to the perceived difficulty or ease of performing the specified behavior. Specifically, Behavioral Intention is approximated by: (Behavioral Intention = wlA + szN + w3PBC), where w1, w; and w3 are empirically determined regression coefficients. The TPB further postulates that attitude towards a behavior is driven by beliefs (b) and evaluations (e) about the consequences of behavior, such that (A = 2 b, e,-). Relative or competitive advantage is a key determinant of attitude (Davis et al., 1989; Rogers, 1983). The TPB also postulates that SNs are determined by perceived expectations of a referent individual or groups (nb) multiplied by the individual’s motivation to comply (me) with those expectations, such that (SN = Z nb, mci). Referent groups might include co-workers for example. Finally, the TPB postulates that PBC is determined by control beliefs (c) multiplied by the perceived power (p) of that control factor to support or inhibit performance of the behavior, such that (PBC = Z c.- pi). Control beliefs include 11 self efficacy (e. g., familiarity with the technology) and resource facilitating conditions (e.g., supplier service and support) (Bandura, 1977; Rogers, 1983). 2.2 AMT Selection Criteria — Exogenous Factors Manufacturing technology and capabilities directly impact a firm’s ability to deliver higher quality products at lower costs while providing greater responsiveness to changing customer requirements. Thus, AMT selection requires consideration of both strategic and operational factors (Robinson, 1988; Samli, 1985) that should reflect the importance of overall company policy (Porter, 1983). Such criteria may include perceived usefulness, control beliefs and normative beliefs (Davis et al., 1989; Dimnik et al., 1993; Phillips, Calantone and Lee, 1994). 2. 2.1 Attitude — Perceived Usefulness Manufacturing competitive performance criteria include innovation, cost, quality and time (Anderson et al., 1989; F erdows et al., 1990). These performance dimensions represent the potential relative advantages from adopting AMT. Consistent with previous research (Davis et al., 1989; Lee, 1990) relative advantage dimensions are collectively referred to as “perceived usefulness” in this research. 2.2.1.1 Innovation Internal manufacturing capabilities and technologies are increasingly recognized as key sources of product and process innovation (Skinner, 1969; Warnock, 1996). By selecting the appropriate AMT, a company can control and accelerate technological change and improve innovation performance (Green, Mahmoud and Zimmerer, 1994; Stacey and Ashton, 1990). Further, AMT suppliers may drive innovations when closely 12 integrated into product development processes. These findings suggest that innovation criteria may influence a decision-maker’s attitude toward adopting an AMT. 2.2.1.2 Cost The increasing formal adoption of Total Cost of Ownership analysis and Activity Based Costing (Monczka and Trent, 1997) methods suggests that companies recognize that decisions based on purchase price alone are unlikely to yield optimal outcomes. In a broad sense, the costs resulting from quality performance, technology capabilities, impact on employee morale, supplier relations, etc., combined with actual purchase price constitute total costs of a process (Raunick and Fisher, 1972). However, it is extremely difficult to develop an accurate and reliable dollar measure of a decision’s impact on supplier relations for example. Thus, this research examines cost in a narrow sense, viewing cost as a single factor that needs to be considered in conjunction with other factors. Narrow costs to make a product internally include material, direct labor, direct factory overhead, selling and administrative expense, and other general overhead (Raunick et al., 1972). Production costs are a key determinant of AMT selection (Herbst, 1990; Wamock, 1996) and thus may influence a decision- maker’s attitude toward adopting an AMT. 2.2.1.3 Quality Research suggests a link between quality performance and overall firm performance (Garvin, 1987; Miller and Roth, 1994; Vickery et al., 1993). In many industries, quality is a critical competitive dimension that has become an order qualifier (Hill, 1985). Quality performance dimensions may include performance, features, reliability, conformance, durability, serviceability, aesthetics and perceived quality 13 (Garvin, 1987). AMT selection directly impacts quality performance (Skinner, 1984; Wamock, 1996), making quality a determinant of AMT selection (Herbst, 1990; Wamock, 1996) that may influence a decision-maker’s attitude toward adopting an AMT. 2.2.1.4 Time Production cycle time reduction has been identified as a key source of competitive advantage across industries (Handfield, 1995). Just in time (JIT) purchasing and manufacturing strategies are increasingly being adopted to reduce overall cycle times (Frazier, Spekman and O'Neal, 1988). By assessing and comparing throughput and set up times of competing technologies, a firm can control and minimize production cycle times to drive competitive advantages (Shingo, 1985). This suggests that cycle time criteria may influence a decision-maker’s attitude toward adopting an AMT. This research focuses on overall production cycle time, which includes set-up, run and tear-down time. 2.2.1.5 Perceived Usefulness Hypotheses Innovation, cost, quality and time represent key components of perceived usefulness. Consistent with the TAM and the TPB, the following hypotheses are developed (note that the hypotheses for the two models in this case are identical.) Hl-AMTAM: Perceived usefulness of the AMT directly influences a decision maker’s attitude toward adopting the AMT. Hl-TPB: Perceived usefulness of the AMT directly influences a decision maker’s attitude toward adopting the AMT. 2. 2.2 Perceived Behavioral Control Control beliefs include those factors that influence a decision-maker’s belief that a new technology can be successfully installed and utilized. There are two components that 14 influence perceived behavioral control: self-efficacy and resource facilitating conditions. Self-efficacy in this research is the judgement that the AMT is compatible with existing operations. Resource facilitating conditions relates to external support for installing and utilizing the AMT such as AMT supplier support. 2.2.2.1 Self-Efficacy - Familiarity with AMT A key set of factors in AMT selection decision include the availability of capable operators and supervisors, and the extent to which the AMT is compatible with and adaptable to current operations (Mansfield, Romeo, Schwartz, Teece, Wagner and Brach, 1982). Technology diffusion occurs more effectively among potential adopters who already have related knowledge or experience in that technology, reflected by the technical experience of managers and technicians (Dickerson and Gentry, 1983; Gatignon and Robertson, 1985). Further, the compatibility of technology with existing operations is one of the critical determinants of successful technology adoption (Rogers et al., 1971). Compatibility indicates the degree to which a technology is perceived to be consistent with the current values, needs and past experiences of the recipients (Rogers, 1983; Rogers et al., 1971). To the extent that a technology requires changes in other aspects of operations, the slower will be the rate of technology acceptance (Robertson, 1971). Previous experience with a technology, as well as the compatibility and adaptability of a technology to existing conditions are therefore key factors that impact AMT selection. A high level on any or all of the factors provides confidence that a new AMT can be successfully adopted. Thus, the following hypotheses are proposed (note that the hypotheses for the two models in this case are identical.) 15 H2-AMTAM: Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. H2-TPB: Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. 2.2.2.2 Resource Facilitating Conditions If a company considering adopting a new AMT does not have the infrastructure (i.e., skilled employees and compatible operations) to support the implementation and operation of the AMT, the AMT supplier may need to provide extensive support (Robinson, 1988; Samli, 1985). The resources committed by a supplier to the implementation and utilization of technology directly affects the recipient’s ability to absorb that technology (Steele, 1974). Technological resources such as tooling, provision of spare parts, instruction manuals, on-site training and temporary use of supplier operators may be needed to facilitate the AMT adoption (Lee, 1990). Further, prior experience between an industrial buyer and supplier establishes a pattern of communication and understanding that allows for more effective transactions (Morris and Holman, 1988). Research suggests that technology transfer occurs most effectively when buyer and seller maintain relations for a long period of time (Basche et al., 1975), that established buyer-supplier relationships more readily facilitate technology adoption (Wind, 1970), and that prior experiences between transfer parties positively influences future transactions (Calantone, Lee and Gross, 1990). Thus, the following hypotheses are proposed (note that the hypotheses for the two models in this case are identical.) H3-AMTAM: Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. 16 H3-TPB: Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. 2. 2.3 Subjective Norms A decision-maker’s behavioral intention is influenced by strong referent groups to the extent that the decision-maker perceives a need to behave in a manner consistent with what the influential people think he/she should do regarding the behavior (Fishbein et al., 1975). That is, internal normative beliefs may create pressure on decision-makers to select an option that they believe a key referent group would favor (Bumkrant et al., 1988). Normative beliefs influence a manufacturing manager’s promotion of adopting advanced manufacturing technologies (Dimnik et al., 1993). In an industrial context, upper management, co-workers and subordinates may either directly or indirectly express their opinion on what they believe to be the best choice for a decision-maker, whether the opinion is based on objective criteria or is politically motivated. Thus, the following hypothesis is proposed (note that subjective norms are not part of AMTAM.) H4-TPB: Normative beliefs towards AMT selection influence a decision-maker’s subjective norms towards AMT adoption. 2. 2.4 Summary of AM T Selection Criteria - Exogenous Factors The previous sections focused on perceived usefulness criteria, normative beliefs and control beliefs that may influence a decision-maker. There are certainly many other factors that may impact AMT selection such as: 1) government policies that promote, hinder or support adoption of certain technologies (Calantone et al., 1990; Robinson, 1988); 2) natural environment concerns (Chatterji, 1995; Porter and van der Linde, 1996); 17 and 3) restrictions placed by a supplier on the transfer of an AMT such as tied buying provisions (Robinson, 1988). However, sample size concerns and interviews with industry professionals discouraged the development and test of a model that included all of these factors. 2.3 AMT Selection Criteria — Endogenous Factors As previously noted, two models are tested in this research. The AMTS-TPB is a direct extension of the general TPB and thus relationships between exogenous factors in this model are direct extensions of the general TPB. The AMTAM is adapted from the previous research (i.e., the TAM) so that relationships between exogenous factors in AMTAM are direct extensions of the specific TAM framework. 2. 3. 1 Direct Extension of the T PB Consistent with the TPB, decision-makers’ attitudes influence or predict the behavioral intention of the decision-makers in a variety of contexts (Ajzen, 1985; F ishbein et al., 1975), and in technology adoption in particular (Davis et al., 1989; Lee, 1990). Therefore, the following are proposed (note that the hypotheses for the two models in this case are identical.) HS-TPB: Attitude toward adopting the AMT directly influences a decision- maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. H7-AMTAM: Attitude toward adopting the AMT directly influences a decision- maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. Also consistent with the TPB, perceived behavioral control and subjective norms influence or predict the behavioral intention of the decision-makers in a variety of contexts (Ajzen, 1985; Fishbein et al., 1975), and in technology adoption in particular 18 (Davis et al., 1989; Lee, 1990). Therefore the following are proposed (note that no such relationships are posited in the AMTAM.) H6-TPB: Perceived behavioral control over adopting the AMT directly influences a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. H7-TPB: Subjective norms toward adopting the AMT directly influence a decision—maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. 2.3.2 Adaptations of the Theory of Reasoned Action This section of the literature review presents two studies that examined the adoption of new technologies. These two research efforts provided a more context specific framework for the research herein. 2. 3. 2. 1 The Technology Adoption Model Davis, Bagozzi and Warshaw (1989) both directly used and adapted TRA, a precursor to the TPB, to model user (MBA Students) acceptance of computer systems (WriteOne software application) in an organizational context (an MBA program.) Note that the TPB broadened the TRA’s scope to include non-volitional behavior, or those activities requiring resources, opportunities and specific skills by adding an exogenous construct labeled “Perceived Behavioral Control.” The adaptation of the TRA by Davis et al. (1989), in the form of the TAM, examined linkages between users’ beliefs in terms of ease of use and perceived utility of a computer system, and users’ attitude, behavioral intentions and actual computer system adoption behavior as shown in Figure 5. 19 Perceived External _ Usefudpess Variables Attitude Behavioral Actual Toward . . . , Intention _ Behavror Usrng (BI) , (A) Perceived Ease of External Variables Use (ECU) ~ Figure 5: The Technology Acceptance Model (Davis et al., 1989) TAM proposes that perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use are two key belief structures in the study of computer acceptance behavior. Perceived usefulness (U) was defined as a potential user’s subjective probability that the technology would increase job performance within an organizational context. Perceived ease of use (EOU) was defined as the extent to which the target system’s use or implementation would be free of effort from the prospective user’s perspective (Davis et al., 1989). The authors note that previous research efforts and factor analyses conducted in prior studies (Hauser and Shugan, 1980; Larcker and Lessig, 1980; Swanson, 1974) suggested that Perceived Usefulness and Perceived Ease of Use are statistically distinct dimensions that are linked to attitudes and usage. The Perceived Behavioral Control construct for the research herein is similar to the Perceived Ease of Use construct of Davis et al. (1989). 20 Perceived Ease of Use is theorized to be determined by external variables such as system features specifically designed to increase ease of use (e. g., menus, mice, touch screens), and/or services (e. g., training and documentation.) Perceived Ease of Use in TAM influences attitude (A) and behavior intention (BI) through two mechanisms: self- efficacy and instrumentality (Davis et al., 1989). The Perceived Ease of Use-Perceived Usefulness relationship captures the instrumentality of Perceived Ease of Use. Perceived Ease of Use may be instrumental in the sense that effort saved through Perceived Ease of Use may be redeployed in other productive efforts increasing overall efficiency and performance. Thus, Perceived Usefulness is posited to be determined by external variables (e.g., objective design characteristics), and ease of use as given by: [Perceived Usefulness = Perceived Ease of Use + External variables] Note that no such Perceived Ease of Use-Perceived Usefulness relationship is posited for direct extensions of the TPB. Thus, for the AMTAM only, the following is proposed: H4-AMTAM: Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences the Perceived Usefiilness of the AMT. The direct Perceived Ease of Use-Attitude relationship is designed to capture the influence of the self-efficacy aspect of Perceived Ease of Use as previous research suggests (Malone, 1975). Note that no such relationship is posited in the direct extension of the TPB. Thus, for the AMTAM only, the following is proposed: HS-AMTAM: Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences Attitude Toward Adopting the AMT. 21 TAM also postulates that Behavioral Intention is jointly determined by Attitude and Perceived Usefulness. The Perceived Usefirlness-Behavioral Intention relationship in TAM is driven by the concept that within organizational settings, people may form intentions towards an activity or behavior they believe will increase their performance which may be evoked above and beyond the positive and negative feelings which may be evoked toward the behavior per se. Thus, the Perceived Usefulness-Behavioral Intention relationship hypothesizes that people form intentions toward computer system usage based to a large extent on a cognitive appraisal of how it will improve their performance (Davis et al., 1989). Previous research (Bagozzi, 1982; Brinberg, 1979) provides theoretical and empirical justification for this causal link. Note that no such Perceived Usefulness-Behavioral Intention relationship is posited for direct extensions of the TPB. Thus, for the AMTAM only, the following is proposed: H6-AMTAM: Perceived Usefulness directly influences Intention to Adopt the AMT. The measurements of selected TAM constructs relevant to the research herein are listed in Table 1. All questions can be Likert scaled using endpoints “strongly disagree” to “strongly agree” for example. 22 Table 1: Measurement of Selected TAM Constructs (Davis et al., 1989) Ease of use I would find it easy to get WriteOne to do what I want it to do It would be easy for me to become skillful at using WriteOne Ieaming to operate WriteOne would be easy for me I would find WriteOne easy to use Usefulness Using WriteOne would improve my performance in the MBA program Using WriteOne in the MBA program would increase my productivity Using WriteOne would enhance my effectiveness in the MBA program I would find WriteOne useful in the MBA program Behavioral Intention Assuming I had access to WriteOne, I intend to use it Assuming that I had access to WriteOnefiredict I would use it Davis et a1. (1989) conducted a longitudinal study and used regression analysis to test the relationships proposed by TAM. Major conclusions from the TAM research include the following. 1. Computer use can be predicted reasonably well from intentions. 2. The Attitude-Intention relationship was statistically significant at Time One, but not at Time Two. 3. The Perceived Usefulness-Intention relationship was statistically significant at both Time One and Time Two. Further, the relationship was stronger at Time Two. 4. The Ease of Use-Attitude relationship was not significant at Time One, but was significant at Time Two. 5. The Perceived Usefulness-Attitude relationship was significant at both time periods. 6. The Base of Use-Perceived Usefulness relationship was not significant at Time One, but was significant at Time Two. In terms of the direct application of the TRA to examine intentions to use the computer program, the following was observed. 1. The Attitude-Intention relationship was statistically significant at both Time One and Time Two. 23 2. The Subjective Norm-Intention relationship was not significant in either time periods. 2.3.2.2 The International Technology Adoption Model The International Technology Adoption Model (ITAM) proposed by Lee (Lee, 1990) is shown in Figure 6. Four “internal” variables of perceived utilities (PU), perceived ease of application (EOA), attitude toward adoption (A) and behavioral intention (BI), and six “external” variables which theoretically influence the internal variables either directly or indirectly were identified. The six external variables and their associated lower order variables are listed in Table 2. Not all of these ITAM constructs are included in the research herein, as concerns about sample size encouraged the development and testing of more parsimonious model. Only those constructs, measures and results most salient to the proposed research will be examined in detail. Competitive Environment — Government and International Influences — Perceived Utilities of 7’ Technology . (PU) Technological , d Benefits 1:33;: IBehavioral Adopting ‘ nenron o (A) Adopt Suppliers’ -- (BI) Influences "— Perceived Ease of _. Application Prior (EOA) Experiences H Cultural Affmity Figure 6: The International Technology Adoption Model (Lee, 1990) 24 Table 2: External Factor Composition in ITAM (Lee, 1990) Competitive Environment Industry concentration Competitive price intensity Demand uncertainty Communication openness Domestic availability of comparable technology Government and International Influences 0 Economic incentives - Restrictions on transfer practices Technological Benefits 0 Relative advantages 0 Technical compatibility Supplier’s Influences 0 Resource support 0 Restrictions on transfer Prior experience 0 Experience with similar technology a Working experience with technology supplier Cultural Affinity The measures of selected constructs in the lTAM relevant to the research herein are summarized in Table 3. The measures are paraphrased to save space and therefore do not reflect the actual wording or grouping in Lee’s (1990) questionnaire. 25 Table 3: Measurement of Selected ITAM Constructs (Lee, 1990) Relative Advantages Our company’s product quality will be improved by this new technology. Our company’s total production output quantity will be increased by this new technology. Worker productivity will be increased by this new technology. The new technology can be the answer to some production problems we found in our current production. Technical Compatibility The new technology can be utilized with other manufacturing equipment our company is currently using. The new technology is suitable for the current raw materials our company is buying. The new technology is compatible with our current production environment. Supplier Resource Support The supplier will provide the necessary equipment delivery support The supplier will provide the necessary equipment installation support. The supplier will provide the necessary equipment maintenance support. The supplier will provide the necessary equipment service and repair support. The supplier will provide in plant design support The supplier will provide product design support The supplier will provide on site assistance in operation The supplier will provide the necessary on-site assistance during installation and start-up. The supplier will provide the necessary operating manuals. The supplier will provide the necessary spare parts. The supplier will provide the necessary technical adjustments on equipment The supplier will provide the necessary manager/engineer/technician training. Prior Experience With Similar Technology Have you ever used any similar technology before? Has your company ever utilized any technology or equipment that is similar to the new technology? Prior Experience with Technology Supplier Have you ever worked with people from that particular country or company before? As far as you know, has your company ever done business with that particular company or country? Perceived Utilities The new technology is good for the future of our company. Our products will be more competitive in international markets because of this technology. Our products will be more competitive in domestic markets because of this technology. The overall performance of our company will be improved because of this technology. The new technology will be helpfiil to my job performance. The new technology will help me manage production more effectively. Perceived Ease of Application It is difficult to transfer that particular technology from the foreign company It takes a long time to transfer the new technology into our company I can foresee problems would happen when the new technology is used in our current production facilities I have to spend a lot of time to learn to use the new technology or equipment Attitude Toward Adopting the Technology Adopting the new technology from the foreign company is a good idea. I would feel very confident if our company decided to adopt the new technology from the foreign company It is appropriate to adopt the new technology from a foreign country into our current production facilities It will be very beneficial to our company if we decide to adopt the new technology from a foreign country My opinion about adopting the new technology is very favorable Behavioral Intention I intend to push for adoption of the new technology in our company If I were asked my opinion regarding adoption of the new technology, I intend to say something favorable I intend to recommend the adoption of the new technology to our company If I could make the decision for our company, I would adopt the new technology 26 Only the key findings in Lee’s research that are relevant to the research herein are discussed below. Before proceeding, it is important to note that Lee’s research sample consisted mainly of engineers, managers and administrators of Chinese companies in the coal mining industry in 1990. As such, the findings may not be generalizable across nations or industries. Perceived Ease of Application (E 0A) A technology that is readily applied can reduce the time and effort invested in implementing it. This construct is similar to the perceived behavioral control construct in the research herein. Lee (1990) found that: o Perceived EOA had direct and positive effects on attitude toward adopting (A), though the relationship was not as strong as anticipated. 0 Perceived EOA had moderate direct and positive effects on perceived utilities of technology (PU). Perceived Utilities of Technology (PU) PU represents the subjective probability that adoption of the technology within the current production system will increase organizational and personal utilities. Lee measured this construct with several lower order constructs as reflected in Figure 6. There is no similar construct in the research herein, though two of the lower order constructs in Lee’s research to be discussed below (relative advantages and technical compatibility) form part of this construct. Lee (1990) found that: - PU directly and positively affected attitude (A). o PU had an indirect effect on behavioral intention (BI) which operates through attitude (A). o PU directly and positively effected BI. 27 Technological Benefits: Relative Advantage Lee structured relative advantage as a lower order construct for the higher order construct labeled perceived utilities. In the research herein, perceived usefulness of the AMT is similar to Lee’s relative advantage construct. Lee found that: 0 Relative advantages of a new technology were positively associated with the perspective adopter’s perceived utilities of technology. Technological Benefits: Technical Compatibility Lee structured technical compatibility as a lower order construct for the higher order construct perceived utilities. In the research herein, technical compatibility is structured as a key component of self- efficacy. Lee found that: 0 Technical compatibility, as perceived by the perspective adopter, positively affected perceived utilities of technology. Supplier ’s Influences: Resource Support Lee (1990) structured supplier influences as composed of both resource support and restrictions on transfer. Only resource support is examined in the research herein, as concerns about sample size encouraged the test of a more parsimonious model. Lee found that: 0 There was no support for the hypothesis that the more extensive resource support from the supplier, the greater the perceived utilities of technology. 0 There was no support for the hypothesis that the more extensive resource support from the supplier, the greater the perceived ease of application. Attitude Toward Adopting (A) This construct is very similar to the attitude construct in the research herein. Lee found that: o Attitude toward adopting had a strong direct and positive effect on B1. 28 2.3.2.3 Implications for Research The research conducted by Davis, Bagozzi and Warshaw (1989) examined user adoption of computer software. The study examined adoption of a computer application in a non-industrial yet “organizational” setting using MBA students. The study provided insight into the use of TRA for technology adoption research and establishes a basic foundation for subsequent research in the area. Because the research was conducted in a non-industrial albeit organizational context, it may not be directly applicable to the research herein. However, it was important for the research herein in terms of measurement of constructs and identification of the strength of relationships between key criteria in a technology selection context. Other researchers have built on the work of Davis et al. (1989) by adapting the TAM, TRA and/or TPB to examine the acceptance of information systems. Lee’s (1990) work, which built on the work of Davis et al. (1989), is directly applicable to technology adoption in an industrial context. Though adaptations of the TRA have been used many times to examine consumer choice intentions in a variety of contexts (Sheppard et al., 1988), Lee’s research is the only application towards manufacturing technology adoption research that this researcher could find. Dimnik and Johnston (1993) used general propositions from the TRA and TPB not to examine AMT adoption per se, but the championing behaviors of manufacturing managers for AMT adoption. However, Lee’s research was limited to the Chinese coal mining industry. The special economic, social and political conditions in China may have impacted the 29 findings. Regardless, the work helped further measurement of constructs and provided further insights into the technology adoption decision in an industrial context. Lee recommended a broader sample and possible refinement of the scales. These recommendations helped guide the development of the research models and questionnaire for the research herein. 30 Chapter 3 METHODOLOGY This chapter focuses on data collection and analysis. The theoretical foundation for the research model and associated hypotheses were presented in the previous chapters and therefore will not be repeated in this chapter. 3.1 Unit of Analysis The unit of analysis is a specific advanced manufacturing technology selection. Respondents were asked to identify and discuss a recently adopted advanced manufacturing technology used to fabricate, machine or assemble products at their plant that was already used to make an initial production run. Using the classification of AMT drafted by the US Department of Commerce (US Commerce Department, 1989) and categorized by other researchers (Small et al., 1997), such technology may include CNC/DNC machines, material working lasers, pick and place or other robots, computer integrated manufacturing (CIM) and flexible manufacturing cells/systems (FMC/F MS). Due to definitional issues with what constitutes CIM or FMS, respondents will only be asked to discuss CNC/DNC, material working lasers or robots. Technologies excluded from this research include design and engineering technologies (e. g., computer aided design, computer aided process planning), automated material handling technologies (e. g., automated storage and retrieval systems, automated material handling systems), information technologies (e.g., material requirements planning) and automated inspection and testing equipment. 31 3.2 Data Sample Data will be gathered across a variety of industries from for-profit United States manufacturing firms that own and operate their own production facilities. An executive or manager from manufacturing/industrial engineering, plant/operations engineering or capital equipment purchasing will be targeted as the respondent. Ideally, multiple respondents would be used at each plant. However, the cost and time of obtaining access to multiple respondents much less securing the required response rate discourages the use of multiple respondents at each plant in this dissertation research. 3.3 Required Sample Size The AMTS-TPB has the most latent variables and thus will be used to calculate required sample size. With eight latent variables, if it is conservatively assumed that 5 manifest variables are required for each latent variable, and that 10 sample points are required for each manifest variable, then 400 responses would be required: (8)(5)(10) = 400. Assuming a 10% response rate, this would require distribution of 4,000 questionnaires. A less conservative rule of thumb is 5 sample points for each manifest variable. In the case with 5 manifest variables for each latent variable, 200 responses would be required: (8)(5)(5) = 200. Assuming a 10% response rate, this would require distribution of 2,000 questionnaires. However, in academic journals such as Management Science, Decision Sciences, Journal of Operations Management, and Administrative Sciences Quarterly, articles have been published with just a single manifest variable for latent variables. To minimize questionnaire length (in an attempt to increase the probability of a high response rate) 32 while still testing a rather complex model, this research will use three measurement variables for some of the constructs. Therefore, with eight latent variables, three measurement variables for each latent variable, and five sample points for each measurement variable, 120 responses would be required: (8)(3)(5) = 120. Assuming a 10% response rate, this would require distribution of 1,200 questionnaires. Depending upon available funding, a minimum of 2,000 questionnaires will be distributed to secure the required number of responses. 3.4 Data Collection A structured questionnaire was developed for this research. The majority of questions are eleven point Likert sealed (0 to 10). A three-step survey collection process similar to that recommended by Dillman (1978) will be adopted. Each survey will be mailed to the contact person. The first mailing will contain the questionnaire and an explanatory cover letter. Afler a two-week waiting period, reminders will be sent to all non-respondents. Assuming the required sample size is not obtained afier the first two contact attempts, a third mailing with the questionnaire and new cover letter will again be distributed to all non-respondents. The cover letter will explain the benefits of participation and suggest that the questionnaire itself identifies a checklist of issues for respondent to consider when making AMT selection decisions. Further, respondents will be offered an executive summary of the results to increase the response rate. 3.5 Measures This section discusses the measures used to assess each AMT adoption model. The theoretical justifications for each model and sample measures used in prior 33 technology adoption research were previously presented. A copy of the actual questionnaire appears in the appendix. The measures for “Perceived Usefulness” are: Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I had a high degree of confidence that the AMT would: Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree Drive increased product innovations Maximize production quality consistency Lower fully burdened per unit production costs Reduce overall production cycle times The measures for “Familiarity with the AMT” are: Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I had a high degree of confidence that the AMT would: Strongly Disagree Be highly compatible with existing operations Be operated by current workers without providing additional training Be easily adapted to existing operations to Strongly Agree The measures for “Supplier Support” are: I had a high degree of confidence that the recommended AMT Strongly Disagree supplier would or could provide the desired: to Strongly Agree AMT installation support Training of operators, supervisors or managers Detailed installation, operation and/or maintenance manuals Our company and the recommended AMT supplier: Strongly Disagree to Strorgly Agree Had extensive experience working with each other Were aware of each other’s competitive needs The measures for “Normative Beliefs” are: I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by: Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree Top management Co-workers Subordinates 34 The measures for “Attitude Towards Adopting” are: Prior to actual adoption, I strongly believed that: Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree Adoption of the AMT would make the plant much more competitive The AMT would significantly improve overall plant performance The Measures for “Subjective Norms” are: Opinions that influenced my position towards recommending the Strongly Disagree AMT for adoption were directly or indirectly expressed by: to Strongly Agree Top management Co-workers Subordinates Measures for “Perceived Behavioral Control” are: Prior to installation, I believed that the following resources would be Strongly Disagree available to successfully install and/or use the AMT: to Strongly Agree Technical resources and knowledge Human resources with appropriate skills Prior to actual adoption, I strongly believed that: Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree All necessary resources would be available to successfully install and use the AMT The AMT could be installed and operational within budget and time objectives The measures for “Intention to Adopt AMT” are: Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of the AMT, I: Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree Strongly recommended the AMT for adoption Fully intended for the company to adopt the AMT Provided well-documented support favoring adoption of the AMT 3.6 Proposed Data Analysis The overall model fit and specific hypotheses for each AMT adoption model will be tested using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) techniques. SEM is a 35 comprehensive multivariate statistical approach to test hypotheses about relationships among measured (observed) and latent (not directly observed) variables. There are two stages associated with this methodology. In the first stage a measurement model will be tested using confirmatory factor analysis (CF A) to establish a satisfactory level of reliability and validity. In the second stage, the degree to which the proposed models fit the observed data will be tested using EQS software with covariance matrices input. 36 Chapter 4 DATA ANALYSIS 4.] Introduction This Chapter focuses on data analysis, including data collection, sample characteristics, measurement model validation, fully specified structural model analysis and associated hypotheses tests. Though some interpretation of the results is presented in this Chapter, the detailed interpretation of results and recommendations for future research are presented in Chapter 5. 4.2 The Data This section is divided into two subsections. First, the data collection process is described and the potential for non-response bias is assessed. Second, the characteristics of the data and of the responding firms are discussed. 4. 2. I Data Collection Industries most likely to adopt the AMTs focused on in this research were identified by using inputs from the Society of Manufacturing Engineers (SME), National Association of Purchasing Managers (N APM) and APICS (formerly the American Production and Inventory Control Society). The industries included the research were 34XX (Fabricated Metal Products), 35XX (Industrial Machinery and Equipment), 36XX (Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment) and 37XX (Transportation Equipment). Data was collected in two stages, using techniques recommended by Dillman (1978). In the first stage, a questionnaire was sent to 2,370 contacts. After a two-week waiting period, all non-respondents were sent a reminder postcard. These efforts resulted in the responses presented in Table 4. 37 Table 4: Results of First Wave Mailing Status/Response Frequency Useable responses 52 Return to senderlcontact no longer at mailing address) 182 We do not respond to surveys / Please remove from mailing list 27 We are not a manufacturing firm 18 We do not invest in such technologies 6 We have not recently invested in such a technology 34 Questionnaire was too long 9 Did not have the time 5 All other non-respondents (no response/ feedback) 2037 Two observations from Table 4 highlight some of the challenges in conducting this research. First, 14 (9 questionnaire was too long + 5 did not have the time) people took the time to send back the questionnaire suggesting it was too long or would take too much of their time. Second, 40 (34 we have not recently invested in such a technology + 6 we do not invest in such technologies) people took the time to indicate that they either do not invest in such technologies or they have not invested in such technologies recently. These challenges were anticipated when the research was proposed. In total, 267 (182 return to sender + 27 we do not respond to surveys + 18 we are not a manufacturing firm + 6 we do not invest in such technologies + 34 we have not recently invested in such a technology) companies were not appropriate sample candidates, 14 companies may have responded if the questionnaire were shorter, and 52 companies provided useable responses. The effective response rate for this first wave effort was 2.47% [52 / (2370-267)]. Besides the challenges to data collection already discussed, an attempt was made to determine other factors impacting the response rate prior to sending out another survey to all non-respondents. Non-respondents from the original sample were randomly 38 selected and contacted by phone until 70 people were actually contacted. Non- respondents gave the reasons listed in Table 5 for not responding to the original survey. Note that the total number of reasons exceeds 70, as some people cited more than one reason. Table 5: Results of Phone Contacts to Assess Non-Response Bias Status/Response Frequency Did not receive survey/ Did not recall receiving survey 9 We do not respond to surveys / Please remove from mailing list 12 We are not a manufacturing firm 1 We do not invest in such technologies 3 We have not recently invested in such a technology 16 Questionnaire was too long 27 Did not have the time 28 Receiving too many surveys 14 Table 5 suggests that 32 (12 we do not respond to surveys + 1 we are not a manufacturing firm + 3 we do not invest in such technologies + 16 we have not recently invested in such a technology) companies were not appropriate sample candidates. Further, questionnaire length, the related lack of time and “survey overload” appeared to be limiting the response rate. Prior to a second mailing of the questionnaire to non-respondents, the questionnaire was shortened by eliminating some demographic questions and other questions not specific to the basic models under test. This shorter survey was sent to the 2,019 non-respondents (2,370 original sample - 52 useable responses from first mailing - 267 invalid contacts identified in first mailing- 32 invalid contacts identified in phone contacts). The second mailing resulted in the responses listed in Table 6. 39 Table 6: Results of Second Wave Mailing Status/Response Frequency Useable responses 72 Return to sender (contact no longer at mailing address) 25 We do not respond to surveys / Please remove from mailing list We are not a manufacturing firm We do not invest in such technologies Questionnaire was too long 7 0 3 We have not recently invested in such a technology 6 0 0 Did not have the time All other non-respondents (no response/ feedback) 1906 Table 6 suggests that 41 (25 return to sender + 7 we do not respond to surveys + 3 we do not invest in such technologies + 6 we have not recently invested in such a technology) companies were not appropriate sample candidates. The response rate for the second mailing was 3.64% [72 / (2019 - 41)]. From the two mailings a total of 124 responses were received, yielding an effective response rate for the two mailings of 6.11% [(52 + 72) / (2019 - 41+ 52)]. Though the response rate was low, it was not altogether surprising given that not all manufacturing firms will invest in the specific types of AMT focused on in this research. Further, companies that do invest in such AMT may do so very infrequently due to the long useful life of the AMT. These two points are somewhat supported by Table 5, which indicates that 39.58% [(16 we have not recently invested in such a technology + 3 we do not invest in such technologies) / (70 contacts - 9 did not receive survey - 12 we do not respond to surveys - 1 we are not a manufacturing firm )] of the manufacturing firms contacted by phone either do not invest in or had not recently invested in such AMT. 40 The discussion above suggests that non-response bias may not be problematic in this research. Regardless, a statistical test similar to that suggested by Armstrong and Overton (1977) was conducted to further analyze potential non-response bias. The method is premised on the assumption that late respondents typically reflect the attitudes of non-respondents. Useable responses were segmented into quartiles based on date of survey receipt. Means for 10 randomly selected questions were compared between the first 25% of responses and the last 25% of responses received as indicated in Table 7. The t-tests indicated no significant differences between responses. Coupled with the information derived from phone contacts, the t-tests suggest that non-response bias may be negligible in this study. However, a conservative rule of thumb suggests that ten unique sample points should be obtained for each manifest variable associated with each latent variable. As will be discussed in Section 4.4, seventeen manifest variables were retained in the AMTS-TPB after measurement model validation. This suggests that a total of 170 sample points (17 times 10) would be required under the conservative rule of thumb. With 123 responses, there is concern of sampling bias. This issue is discussed in greater detail in the limitations section of this analysis. 4.2.2 Characteristics of Responding Firms Table 8 presents the standard industry classification (SIC) code of respondents. Note that the total exceeds 124 as many companies reported serving more than one industry. 41 Table 7: T-tests for Equality of Means Question Quartile Mean Std. Sig.(2-tailed) Dev. Prior to actual adoption, 1 strongly believed that First (N=3 l) 8.48 1.86 Equal Var Assumed = 0.55 adoptionof the AMT would make the plant much more Last (N=3l) 8.23 1.48 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.55 competitive Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I First (N=3 l) 8.16 1.42 Equal Var Assumed = 0.26 had ? high degree F” confidence "‘9‘ "’6 AMT ““0”“ Last (N=31) 8.52 1.03 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.20 maximize production quality cons1stency Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options. 1 First (N=3 l) 7.97 1.97 Equal Var Assumed = 0.29 “id 3 “‘14“ degree 0‘90"“969“ "’3‘ "1e AMT ““0"” be Last (N=31) 7.39 2.33 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.30 highly compatible wrth crusting operations Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I First (N=31) 8.48 1.48 Equal Var Assumed = 0.12 had a high degree of confidence that the AMT would Last (N=31) 7‘74 2.” Equal Var Not Assumed = (“2 reduce overall production cycle times Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of First (N=31) 8.67 1.08 Equal Var Assumed = 0.09 the AMT’ ' “mg" 'ewmmcnded "‘e AMT ‘0' Last (N=31) 8.19 1.1 1 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.09 adoption I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by co- First (N=31) 8.13 1.88 Equal Var Assumed = 0.49 “Ike's Last (N=31) 7.81 1.80 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.49 I had a high degree of confidence that the recommended First (N=3 l) 7.65 2.04 Equal Var Assumed = 0.32 AMT sul’ph‘” ””9”” 0' “09m ”0““ "’9 des'red Last (N=3l) 8.10 1.49 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.32 detailed installation, operation and/or maintenance manuals Opinions that influenced my position towards First (N=31) 6.97 2.71 Equal Var Assumed = 0.73 T°°9mm°"d'"g "‘6 AMT f‘” 380mm" we"? d'rcc‘” °’ Last (N=3 I) 6.74 2.38 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.73 indirectly expressed by subordinates Prior to installation, I believed that the following First (N=31) 7.55 1.91 Equal Var Assumed = 0.89 resources would be available to successfully install . . N: 7.4 .7 E 1V N tA = .89 and/or use the AMT: Human resources With appropriate L85! ( 3]) 8 1 5 qua ar 0 ssumed 0 skills Our company and the recommended AMT supplier were First (N=31) 6.45 2.62 Equal Var Assumed = 0.20 “’8'“ 0f “Ch 0”“ 5 “0mm“ "feds Last (N=31) 7.23 2.22 Equal Var Not Assumed = 0.20 Table 8: SIC of Respondents SIC Description Frequency 34XX Fabricated Metal Products 33 35XX Industrial Machinery and Equipment 37 36XX Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment 40 37XX Transportation Equipment 42 42 Table 9 presents the geographic location of respondents. Note that the total is less than 124. Respondents were asked to attach their business card rather than having them fill in address information on the questionnaire. In some cases the card was not included. In cases where the card was not included, the postal cancellation stamp on the return envelope was used to determine location. Unfortunately however, the first set of return envelopes was improperly printed such that there was no postal cancellation code on some of the return envelopes. Table 8 and Table 9 suggest that cross-industry and cross- location data were obtained. Table 9: Geographic Location of Respondents Location Frequency Location Frequency Michigan 12 Delaware 2 California 9 Georgia 2 Wisconsin 9 Illinois 2 Ohio 8 Kansas 2 Arizona 5 Kentucky 2 Indiana 5 Louisiana 2 Pennsylvania 5 Missouri 2 Massachusetts 4 Nebraska 2 Minnesota 4 North Carolina 2 Texas 4 Utah 2 Iowa 3 Arkansas 1 New Jersey 3 Alabama 1 Vermont 3 Maryland 1 Virginia 3 New Mexico 1 Colorado 2 Oklahoma 1 Connecticut 2 Tennessee 1 Total 107 Table 10 summarizes the title of respondents. The majority of respondents were directors or managers in operations, capital equipment planning or manufacturing engineering. Based on field interviews prior to distribution of the survey and inputs from 43 the SME, APICS and NAPM, people in such positions were estimated to be the key informants and decision-makers in this research context. Table 10: Title of Respondents Title Frequency Director or Manager of Manufacturing/Operations 58 Director or Manager of Capital Equipment Planning/Procurement 31 Director or Manager of Manufacturing Engineering 19 Vice President of Manufacturing/Operations 9 President, Vice President or General Manager 5 Director of Finance/Comorate Strategic Technology Management 1 Director of Quality Assurance 1 Total 1 24 The research focused on three specific types of AMT: CNC/DNC, robots and material working lasers. Table 11 presents the type of AMT reported by respondents. The classifications must be viewed with caution as in some cases the AMT identified could have been classified in multiple categories (e. g., a “robotic laser welder” could have been classified as either “robotics” or as a “material working laser.”) The key for this research is that all of the AMTs assemble, machine or fabricate materials or products. Table 11: Type of AMT Reported Title Frequency CNC/DNC 79 Robotics 33 Material working laser 12 Total I 24 Table 12 presents some data characterizing the AMT investments, while Figure 7 to Figure 12 present boxplots of each characteristic. As can be seen in the boxplots, the mean and standard deviation of each characteristic is impacted by outliers. If a company was identified as an outlier to the responses in Table 12, that company’s responses to a set 44 of other randomly selected questions were compared to the mean response for the questions. This comparison suggested that there were no consistent differences between respondents based on the characteristics identified in Table 12. Table 12: AMT Characteristics Category Mean Std. Dev. N Purchase and installation cost of AMT $869,787 $1,072,422 120 Projected ROI for the AMT investment 56.78% 77.39% 60 ngected payback period in months for the AMT 20.38 12.06 52 Expected usefiil life in years of the 8.47 4.51 75 Installation and debug time in months 2.97 2.63 74 Process optimization time in months 4.57 4.39 74 8000000 6000000- Dollars 4000000 2000000 -2000000 *101 C31 0107 N: 120 Figure 7: Purchase and Installation Cost of the AMT Percentage Months ‘4 <3 nnn 500- *4 400- 300- area 200 l N81 100- a; 0. E- -100 _ N = 60 Figure 8: Projected ROI for the AMT Investment 601 4o- 30- 20- 055 Figure 9: Projected Payback Period in Months 46 Years Months on av 20 - our 10- 0 i N = 75 Figure 10: Expected Useful Life in Years 15 *33 14- 12 0:2 10- 0114 8 . 6 l 4 I 2 a 0 I N = 74 Figure 11: Installation and Debug Time in Months 47 30 «x91 *33 20 - C30 all! 10 ' Months 0 . -10 . N = 74 Figure 12: Process Optimization Time in Months Table 12 suggests that many companies expect remarkable financial retums from the AMT. Such returns would suggest that all companies should invest in such AMTs. However, one survey question asked respondents to indicate if the decision to invest in the AMT was based primarily on financial analysis such as ROI estimates (end scale = 0), balanced (mid-scale =5), or strategic factors such as competitive positioning (end-scale = 10). Based on 74 responses, the mean score was 5.28, and the median and mode were both 5.0. This suggests that financial return is not enough to justify investments. The investment may also need to be aligned with technology strategy. 48 The average expected useful life of the AMT was over eight years. This provides further indication that such AMT investments are made relatively infrequently, a factor that may have impacted response rate as previously discussed. “Installation and debug time” was defined as: “The time from receipt of equipment to being able to power the equipment ‘without blowing anything up’ and with the equipment ‘basically moving as expected’ under operator control.” “Process optimization time” was defined as: “Time after installation and debug to integrate the AMT with the production system. This time may include integration with automated material handling systems, operator training and a pilot run for example. This is the time after which there was a high degree of confidence that full scale production with an “acceptable” reject rate could begin.” These two measures of time indicate that on average it takes a total of approximately 7.5 months afier receipt of the AMT to get the AMT “production ready.” It appears that on average, AMT adoption requires substantial time and financial resources. 4.3 Data Analysis Two models were tested in this research, loosely following an approach similar to that of Davis et al. (1989). One model was labeled “AMTAM” and was based directly on TAM. The other model was labeled “AMTS-TPB” and was based directly on the TPB. The CF A and fully specified model tests for each research model are presented in separate sections below. However, the descriptive statistics are first presented in the following section. 49 4. 3. 1 Descriptive Statistics Table 13 presents the descriptive statistics for each measurement variable originally proposed. The means are shifted toward the high end of the scale. This was expected since respondents were asked to discuss an AMT they had actually adopted. The high end of the scale typically reflected a positive evaluation of the AMT decision criteria. Since univariate normality is necessary though not sufficient evidence of multivariate normality (West et al., 1995), it is advisable to examine the univariate distributions. Several variables in Table 13 have values for skewness greater than 1.5 and/or values for kurtosis greater than 2.5. Rules of thumb suggest departure from normality may be present when univariate skewness is greater than or equal to 2.0 and/or univariate kurtosis is greater than or equal to 7.0 (Chou and Bentler, 1995). Multivariate normality was assessed using Bentler’s (1997) EQS software which calculates Mardia’s coefficient. Mardia’s coefficient for the AMTS-TPB and the AMTAM were 65.22 and 35.77 respectively. Though there is no consensus on distinct cut-off levels for Mardia’s coefficient, figures of the magnitude calculated here suggest a potential departure from multivariate normality. Examination of potential multivariate outliers identified by EQS suggested that one case made a relatively substantial contribution to multivariate kurtosis. Removing this case decreased Mardia’s coefficient by approximately 6% in the AMTS-TPB and 10% in the AMTAM. Deleting any other cases identified by EQS made marginal contribution to reduction of Mardia’s coefficient. Thus, structural equation modeling analysis was performed on 123 out of the 124 cases using Generalized Least Squares (GLS) estimation. 50 Table 13: Descriptive Statistics for Measurement Variables Questions Proposed for Each Factor Std. Skew- Kur- Mean Dev. ness tosis Label Perceived Usefulness F1 Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options. 1 had a high degree of 6.31 2.44 -0.49 «0.24 - confidence that the AMT would drive increased moduct innovations Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options. 1 had a high degree of 8.54 1.22 -1.19 2.85 V1 confidence that the AMT would maximize production quality consistency Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I had a high degree of 7.21 2.15 -0.97 0.71 V2 confidence that the AMT would lower fully burdened ger unit production costs Relative to altemative technology or sourcing options, 1 had a high degree of 8.02 1.90 -l .19 1.23 V3 confidence that the AMT would reduce overallproduction cycle times Familiarity with AMT F2 Relative to altemative technology or sourcing options. 1 had a high degree of 7.41 2.30 -0.89 023 V4 confidence that the AMT would be highly compatible with existing operations 1 had a high degree ofconfideiice that the AMT would be operated by current 3.95 3.1 1 0.36 -1.l9 -- workers without providing additional training Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, 1 had a high degree of 6.72 2.45 -0.65 036 V5 confidence that the AMT would be easily adapted to existing operations Supplier Simport F3 1 had a high degree of confidence that the recommended AMT supplier would or 7.98 1.81 -1.51 2.78 - could provide the desired AMT installation support 1 had a high degree of confidence that the recommended AMT supplier would or 7.72 2.06 -1.64 2.60 V6 could provide the desired training of operators, supervisors or managers 1 had a high degree of confidence that the recommended AMT supplier would or 7.72 2.07 -1.55 2.52 ~- could provide the desired detailed installation, operation, maintenance manuals Our company and the recommended AMT supplier had extensive experience 5.07 3.06 -0.05 -1.08 -- working with each other Our company and the recommended AMT supplier were aware of each other’s 6.25 2.71 -0.71 -0.27 V7 competitive needs Attitude towards AdoLting F4 Prior to actual adoption, 1 strongly believed that adoption of the AMT would 8.41 1.61 -1.50 3.41 V8 make the plant much more competitive Prior to actual adoption, 1 strongly believed that adoption of the AMT would 8.28 1.50 -1.10 1.14 V9 significantly improve overall plant performance Perceived Behavioral Control F5 Prior to installation, I believed that the following resources would be available to 7.91 1.53 -0.97 1.36 -- successfully install and/or use the AMT: Technical resources and knowledge Prior to installation. I believed that the following resources would be available to 7.28 2.02 -1.08 1.30 V1 I successfully install and/or use the AMT: Human resources with appropriate skills Prior to actual adoption, 1 strongly believed that all necessary resources would be 7.69 1.96 -1.21 1.01 V10 available to successfully install and use the AMT Prior to actual adoption. 1 strongly believed that the AMT could be installed and 8.18 1.49 -1.18 1.96 - operational within budget and time objectives Intention to Adopt AMT F6 Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of the AMT, 1 strongly 8.40 1.18 -0.65 0.56 -- recommended the AMT for adoption Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of the AMT, 1 fully intended 8.53 1.49 -1.36 1.75 V12 for the company to adopt the AMT Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of the AMT, 1 provided well- 7.73 2.12 -1.27 1.49 V13 documented support favoring adoption of the AMT Normative Beliefs # F7 I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by top management 8.52 1.37 -1.15 1.20 -- I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by co-workers 7.89 1.69 -1.02 1.40 V14 I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by subordinates 7.37 1.97 -0.51 -0.45 V15 Subjective Norms # F8 Opinions that influenced my position towards recommending the AMT for 7.93 1.98 -1.41 2.33 -— adoption were directly or indirectly expressed by top mangement Opinions that influenced my position towards recommending the AMT for 7.19 1.95 —0.97 1.29 V16 adoption were directly or indirectly expressed by co-workers Opinions that influenced my position towards recommending the AMT for 6.33 2.72 -0.68 0.36 V17 adoption were directly or indirectly expressed by subordinates Shaded areas represent latent factors ~ Indicates measure was dropped during measurement model validation # Indicates latent factor specific to the AMTS-TPB 51 4.4 Structural Analysis This research applies fairly well established underlying theoretical frameworks in a relatively new context. The AMTS-TPB and the AMTAM were therefore developed a priori based on the underlying frameworks. Thus, a significance level of 0.05 was used for statistical tests. The structural equation modeling software package EQS Version 5.7a (Bentler, 1992) was used. Table 13 presented the complete list of measurement variables originally proposed. Measurement variables that are not labeled were deleted during the model validation process. The majority of deleted variables were removed due to lack of convergent or discriminant validity in one or both of the models. The two measurement variables pertaining to top management “input” and “influence” were deleted because several respondents indicated that they were “top management.” Including such measures in their respective factors would be invalid because the two factors were intended to measure only external influences on the respondent’s decision-making process. The two latent variables flagged with the pound sign (ii) in Table 13 are specific to the AMTS-TPB, as are the measurement variables associated with these latent variables. However, the measurement variables that were retained afier measurement model validation for the latent variables common to both models are identical. This is an important step for making model comparisons. 52 4. 4.1 Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AM T AM) The AMTAM (reference Figure 13) represents an application of TAM in an industrial context that focuses on AMT adoption. The measurement model and fully specified model for AMTAM are examined below. H6-AMTAM F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F1 : Perceived H 1 'AMTAM Usefulness F6: Intention to Adopt AMT H4-AMTAM HS-AMTAM H2-AMTAM F2: Familiarity with AMT F5: Perceived Behavioral Control F 3: Supplier Support H3-AMTAM Figure 13: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Adoption Model (AMTAM) 4. 4.1.] Measurement Validation for AMTAM The final AMTAM measurement model is shown in Figure 14. Table 13 presented the questions associated with each variable. All latent variables were free to covary. A11 factor loadings are significant a p = 0.05 or better. The chi-square test is not significant, and the ratio of chi-square value to degrees of freedom (normed chi-square) is between the stringent range of 1.0 to 2.0. The non-normed fit index (NNFI) and the comparative fit index exceed the widely held rule of thumb value of 0.90. 53 Fl: Perceived Usefulness F2: Familiarity with AMT F3: Supplier Support ° Standardized solution shown ' All latent variables were free to covary - All loadings are significant at 0.05 F 4 Attitude Towards Adopting F 5: Perceived Behavioral Control 0.67 0.59 0.85 V12 V_3 F6: Intention to Adopt AMT x2: 50.630 / 50 d.f. / p = 0.449 12:/d.f.: 1.013 NNFI: 0.987 C Fl: 0.992 Figure 14: AMTAM Measurement Model As Bagozzi and Yi (1988) indicate, if either or both the chi-square test and fit indices point to a satisfactory model, the best that can be said is that the criteria tend to support the model. Both individual parameter estimates and theory should be used in conjunction with the analysis of overall fit to determine if the data fit the model. The Lagrange Multiplier (LM) Test was used to identify potential improvements in model fit resulting from measurement model respecification. The LM test identified one set of error terms that could be associated to improve model fit. However, no respecification was made because it could not be theoretically supported. Further, the suggested association would only improve overall model fit marginally (albeit significantly in a statistical sense.) 54 Based on the statistically significant parameter estimates, overall model fit criteria and theory, the measurement model was judged acceptable. The following section examines the hypothesized relationships between factors. 4.4.1.2 Fully Specified Model for AMT AM The fully specified AMTAM is shown in Figure 15. The chi-square test is not significant, and the normed chi-square value is between a stringent range from 1.0 to 2.0. The non-normed fit index and the comparative fit index are below the widely held rule of thumb cut-off value of 0.90. However, as Bollen (1989) discusses, this rough guideline must be assessed under consideration of a number of other factors including standards set by previous work. As an example, he suggests that if existing models have fit indices below 8.0, values of 0.85 or higher can represent an important improvement over existing work. Given that a relatively new model and measures were used in this research, the fit indices are considered acceptable though not ideal. The LM test identified three sets of error terms that could be associated to improve model fit, but no such associations were made because none could be justified. The LM test also suggested the association of F2 (familiarity with the technology) and F6 (intention). This association may make nomonological sense. One manufacturing manager suggested that investments in AMT simply reflect a long-term strategy such that previous AMT investments (prior behavior) in many cases establishes the pattern for new AMT investments (current behavior intention.) However, this modification was not made as it only marginally improved model fit. Nonetheless, the suggested relationship should be examined in greater detail in future research. 55 F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F6: Intention to Adopt AMT F1: Perceived Usefulness F2: Familiarity with AMT F5: Perceived Behavioral Control 7. _ F32 Supplier x . 66.544 / 57 d..f /p - 0.182 supp” -051 12:/dig 1.167 - Standardized solution shown NNFII 0.832 - * Significant at p = 0.05 or better ° All exogenous factors allowed to covary CF11 0.877 Figure 15: AMTAM Fully Specified Model Table 14 summarizes the test of the hypotheses proposed in Figure 13. Four of the seven hypotheses are supported. Overall variance explained in the “Intention to Adopt AMT” construct (F6) is 0.54. Table 14: AMTAM Hypotheses Test Results Hypothesis Relationship Test Result H1 F1 — F4 Supported H2 F2 - F5 Supported H3 F3 — F5 Not Supported H4 F5 — F1 Supported H5 F5 — F4 Not Supported H6 F1 — F6 Supported H7 F4 — F6 Not Supported 56 A complete assessment of fit must consider the stage of theory development in the field, parameter estimates, overall model fit metrics and theory. Based on all these criteria, it is judged that the data fits the model although the fit is not ideal. 4. 4.2 Advanced Manufacturing T echnology Selection Model (AM TS- T PB) The AMTS-TPB (reference Figure 16) represents an application of the TPB in an industrial context that focuses on AMT adoption. The measurement model and fiilly specified model for AMTS-TPB are examined below. F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F1: Perceived Usefulness HS-TPB HZ-TPB F2: Familiarity with AMT H6-TPB F6: Intention to Adopt AMT F 5: Perceived Behavioral Control F3: Supplier Support H3-TPB H7-TPB F 7: Normative H4-TPB Beliefs F8: Subjective Norms Figure 16: Advanced Manufacturing Technology Selection Model (AMTS-TPB) 57 4.4.2.1 Measurement Validation for AM T S-T PB The final AMTS-TPB measurement model is shown in Figure 17. Table 13 presented the questions associated with each variable. All latent variables were free to covary. All factor loadings are significant a p = 0.05 or better. The chi-square test is not significant, and the ratio of the chi-square value to degrees of freedom (normed chi- square) is between the stringent range of 1.0 to 2.0. The non-normed fit index (NNFI) and the comparative fit index exceed the widely held rule of thumb value of 0.90. As Bagozzi and Yi (1988) indicate, if either or both the chi-square test and fit indices point to a satisfactory model, the best that can be said is that the criteria tend to support the model. Both individual parameter estimates and theory should be used in conjunction with the analysis of overall fit to determine if the data fit the model. The Lagrange Multiplier (LM) Test was used to identify potential improvements in model fit resulting from measurement model respecification. The LM test identified four sets of error terms that could be associated to improve model fit. However, no suggested respecification was made because none could be theoretically supported. Further, the suggested associations would only improve overall model fit marginally (albeit significantly in a statistical sense.) Based on the statistically significant parameter estimates, overall model fit criteria and theory, the measurement model was judged acceptable. The following section examines the hypothesized relationships between factors. 58 F4: Attitude Towards Adopting F1: Perceived Usefulness 0.74 0.82 F5: Perceived Behavioral Control F2: Familiari with AMTty F6: Intention to Adopt AMT F3: Supplier Support ‘ 0.63 F8: Subjective F7: Normative Beliefs Norms 12: 95.254 / 91 d.f. / p = 0.359 12:/d.f.: 1.047 0.49 '1 Standardized solution shown V17 NNFI: 0.936 0 All latent variables were free to covary - All loadings are significant at 0.05 CFI: 0.957 Figure 17: AMTS-TPB Measurement Model 4.4.2.2 Fully Specified Model for AM T S-T PB The fully specified AMTS-TPB is shown in Figure 18. The chi-square test is not significant, and the normed chi-square value is between a stringent range from 1.0 to 2.0. The non-normed fit index and the comparative fit index are below the widely held rule of thumb cut-off value of 0.90. However, as Bollen (1989) discusses, this rough guideline must be assessed under consideration of a number of other factors including standards set by previous work. As an example, he suggests that if existing models have fit indices below 8.0, values of 0.85 or higher can represent an important improvement 59 F 4: Attitude Towards Adopting F1: Perceived Usefulness F2: Familiarity 1.19 * 045 0.30 with AMT 0.03 F5: Perceived Behavioral Control ! 0.62 0.69 ,,, F6: Intention to . Adopt AMT F3: Supplier Support F7: Normative 0.79 * F8: Subjective Bends Norms 762 121.185 / 106 d.f. / p = 0.149 xzz/df: 1.143 ° Standardized solution shown NNFII 0-805 0 * Significant at p = 0.05 or better - A11 exogenous factors allowed to covary CF13 0-848 Figure 18: AMTS-TPB Fully Specified Model over existing work. Given that a relatively new model and measures were used in this research, the fit indices are considered acceptable though not ideal. The LM test identified seven sets of error terms that could be associated to improve model fit, but no such associations were made because none were theoretically justifiable. Further, none of the suggested relations would improve model fit substantially. 60 Table 15 summarizes the test of the hypotheses proposed in Figure 16. Five of the seven hypotheses are supported. Overall variance explained in the intention to adopt construct (F6) is 0.91. Table 15: AMTS-TPB Hypotheses Test Results Hypothesis Relationship Test Result H1 F1 - F4 Supported H2 F2 — F5 Supported H3 F3 — F5 Not Supported H4 F7 — F8 Supported H5 F4 - F6 Supported H6 F5 - F6 Not Supported H7 F8 — F6 Supported A complete assessment of fit must consider the stage of theory development in the field, parameter estimates, overall model fit metrics and theory. Based on all these criteria, it is judged that the data fits the model although the fit is not ideal. 4.5 Summary Two technology adoption models were developed and tested. The measurement model for each was judged satisfactory using conservative guidelines of analysis. The data was also judged to fit each fully specified model satisfactorily given the relatively new application of the research frameworks to the research context. Table 16 summarizes the hypothesis tests for each model. Note that the first four hypotheses are identical in each model (except for labeling.) Three of these four hypothesis tests were in agreement, while the attitude (F4) to intention (F6) results were different. The next three hypotheses are specific to the AMTS-TPB, while the next three hypotheses are specific to the AMTAM. Finally, totally variance explained in the intention to adopt the AMT (F6) was 0.55 in AMTAM and 0.91 in AMTS-TPB. 61 Chapter 5 will discuss in greater detail how these findings relate to the existing research and present potential explanations for the findings. Briefly however, Table 16 suggests that the TPB may provide a useful underlying framework for future research into AMT selection decisions, as the findings of the AMTS-TPB were generally consistent with the TPB framework. The most notable exception is that H6-TPB (perceived behavioral control to intention relationship) was not supported. While this is consistent with the work of Lee (1990) that examined intentions to conduct international technology transfer (clearly a different research context than the context herein), it is inconsistent with the TPB in general. Table 16 also suggests that the TAM developed by Davis et al., (1989) may be extended into research contexts other than that for which it was intended, as the AMTAM developed herein is generally consistent with the framework suggested by TAM. The most notable exception is that while H7-TPB is consistent with the general TPB model, it is inconsistent with the findings of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of TAM. This difference is attributed to the different research contexts, as the research herein focuses on a much less “personal” decision than the research of Davis et al. (1989). In the context herein, one might expect subjective norms to have a significant influence on behavioral intentions. This and other evaluations are expanded on in the following chapter. 62 Table 16: Summary of Hypotheses for Both Models Stated Hypothesis Label Test Result Perceived usefulness of the AMT directly influences Hl-AMTAM Supported a decision maker’s attitude toward adopting the Hl-TPB Supported AMT. Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s H2-AMTAM Supported perceived behavioral control over successfully H2-TPB Supported adopting the AMT Supplier support influences a decision-maker’s H3-AMTAM Not Supported perceived behavioral control over successfully H3-TPB Not Supported adopting the AMT. Attitude toward adopting the AMT directly H7-AMTAM Not Supported influences a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to HS-TPB Supported adopt the AMT. Normative beliefs towards AMT selection influence H4-TPB Supported a decision-maker’s subjective norms towards AMT adoption. Perceived behavioral control over adopting the AMT H6-TPB Not Supported directly influences a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. Subjective norms toward adopting the AMT directly H7-TPB Supported influence a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences the H4—AMTAM Supported Perceived Usefulness of the AMT. Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences H5-AMTAM Not Supported Attitude Toward Adopting the AMT. Perceived Usefiilness directly influences Intention to H6-AMTAM Supported Adopt the AMT 63 Chapter 5 DISCUSSION OF RESULTS 5.1 Overview and Chapter Contents This chapter interprets the data analysis in the preceding chapter. First, in Section 5.2 the hypotheses are discussed and interpreted using open-ended questions from the survey instrument, previous research, and follow-up interviews. The section first examines the findings relative to existing research, then presents potential explanations for the convergence or divergence of the findings. Next, in Section 5.3 the academic and managerial contributions are examined. Then, in Section 5.4 the limitations of the research are discussed. Finally, in Section 5.5 recommendations for fiiture research are presented. 5.2 Discussion of Hypotheses Tests 5. 2.1 Hypotheses Common to the Two Models The four hypotheses that were common to the two models are examined in this section. First, both Hl-AMTAM and Hl-TPB proposed that: Perceived usefulness of the AMT directly influences a decision-maker’s attitude toward adopting the AMT. The hypothesis was supported in both models. This is consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that beliefs and evaluations about the consequences of behavior influence an individual’s favorable or unfavorable objective impression of (i.e., attitudes towards) a specified behavior. The results are also consistent with the TAM (Davis et al., 1989) and the IT AM (Lee, 1990), which examined technology adoption decisions in different contexts. This suggests that the “usefulness-attitude” relationship 64 warrants continued examination, both in terms of direct and indirect influences on intentions and in terms of further identifying measures and determinants of “usefulness.” Second, both H2-AMTAM and H2-TPB proposed that: Familiarity with AMT influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. The hypothesis was supported in both models. This is consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that self-efficacy influences the perceived difficulty or ease of performing the specified behavior. This is also consistent with technology transfer research (Robinson, 1988; Rogers, 1983) which suggests that prior adoption of new technology establishes a level of confidence and knowledge that builds confidence for future technology adoption. No such relationship was proposed in TAM. In Lee’s (1990) ITAM research, an insignificant relationship was found between “prior experience with a technology” and “perceived ease of technology application” which is contrary to the findings herein. The conflicting findings may be due to the different research contexts. The research herein examined specific types of manufacturing technology whereas ITAM examined international technology transfer in general. Perhaps the increased number of factors (e.g., political, socio-economic) in international technology transfer are more dynamic than the factors in AMT adoption decisions. The findings suggest that continued investigation of the direct or indirect impact of adaptability and compatibility of technology on intentions, as well as the contexts under which familiarity with technology has an influence are warranted. Third, both H3-AMTAM and H3-TPB proposed that: Supplier support influences a decision-maker’s perceived behavioral control over successfully adopting the AMT. 65 The hypothesis was not supported in either model. This is not consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that resource facilitating conditions such as external agency support influences the perceived difficulty or ease of performing the specified behavior. However, it is consistent with the finding by Lee (1990) who also found an insignificant relationship between supplier support and perceived ease of use. Finally, both H7-AMTAM and HS-TPB proposed that: Attitude toward adopting the AMT directly influences a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. The hypothesis was supported in the case of the AMTS-TPB. The significant relationship is consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that an individual’s favorable or unfavorable objective impression of a specified behavior directly influences intention to perform that behavior. It is also consistent with the findings of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of their dim application of the TRA to examine software application usage. The significant relationship is also consistent with Lee’s (1990) research. The hypothesis was not supported in the case of the AMTAM. The non- significant relationship is consistent with the findings of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of their adaptation of the TRA in the form of the TAM. Davis et al. (1989) found that initially (i.e., prior to actual adoption) attitude had a statistically significant (albeit not substantial) influence on behavioral intention. However, after using the information system for a period (i.e., gaining familiarity with the technology), attitude had a statistically non-significant relationship with behavioral intention. 66 5.2.2 Hypotheses Specific to AM T S- T PB The three hypotheses specific to the AMTS-TPB are examined in this section. The research found support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTS-TPB: H4-TPB: Normative beliefs towards AMT selection influence a decision- maker’s subjective norms towards AMT adoption. This finding is consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that perceived expectations of a referent individual or group influences perceived social pressures to engage in or refrain from a specific behavior. Neither Davis et al. (1989) nor Lee (1990) explicitly examined the Normative Belief — Subjective Norm relationship in their research. The research found support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTS- TPB. H7-TPB: Subjective norms toward adopting the AMT directly influence a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. This finding is consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that perceived social pressures to engage in or refrain from a specific behavior influence intentions to perform that behavior. However, this finding is not consistent with the findings of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of their d_irgc_t application of the TRA to examine software application usage. Perhaps the difference in findings is due to the cross-functional nature of the AMT decision-making process. One optional question in the survey asked respondents to rate extent of agreement (0 = strongly disagree, 10 = strongly agree) with the following statement: “Extensive cross-functional input was used to evaluate AMT options”. Based on 79 responses, the mean response was 6.9, 67 while both the median and mode were 8.0, suggesting potentially strong cross- functional influence on a decision-maker. A second question asked respondents to rate the extent of agreement to this statement: “Extensive cross-functional decision-making was used to recommend the AMT.” The mean was 6.5, the median 7.0 and the mode 8.0, again suggesting cross-functional influence on a key decision-maker. The research found no support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTS-TPB. H6-TPB: Perceived behavioral control over adopting the AMT directly influences a decision-maker’s behavioral intention to adopt the AMT. This finding is not consistent with the general TPB (Ajzen, 1991) which suggests that the perceived difficulty or ease of performing the specified behavior directly influences intentions. Neither Davis et al. (1989) nor Lee (1990) tested the direct “Ease of Application” to “Behavioral Intention” relationship, so discussing the lack of support for this relationship in terms of existing research is not possible. 5. 2.2 Hypotheses Specific to AM T AM The three hypotheses specific to the AMTAM are examined in this section. The research found no support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTAM. HS-AMTAM: Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences Attitude Toward Adopting the AMT. The finding is basically consistent with the finding of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of their development and test of TAM. In their longitudinal study, they found no significant relationship in the first time period, but found a significant albeit not 68 strong relationship in the second time period. Lee (1990) also found a statistically significant but not strong relationship between the factors. The research found support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTAM. H4-AMTAM: Perceived Behavioral Control directly influences the Perceived Usefiilness of the AMT. The finding is generally not consistent with the finding of Davis et al. (1989) in terms of their development and test of TAM. In their longitudinal study, they found no significant relationship in the first time period, but found a significant albeit not strong relationship in the second time period. Lee (1990) also found a statistically significant but not strong relationship between the factors. The research found support for the following hypothesis specific to the AMTAM. H6-AMTAM: Perceived Usefulness directly influences Intention to Adopt the AMT The finding is consistent with both the finding of Davis et al. (1989) who found a significant relationship in both time periods of their longitudinal study, and the findings of Lee (1990). 5.3 Contributions of the Research The primary focus of this research was to examine the influence of specific factors on a key decision-maker’s intentions to adopt a specific type of AMT. A research plan loosely based on the approach used by Davis et al. (1989) was followed. The following sections examine both the academic and managerial implications of this research. 5.3.1 Academic Contribution Davis et al. (1989) used both the TRA and an adaptation of the TRA in the form of the TAM to study user acceptance of information technologies. Research conducted 69 by Lee (1990) extended the TAM into international technology transfer research and found general support for use of the TAM in such a context. Though Davis et al. (1989) state that the “TAM is considerably less general than TRA” and that the TAM is “designed to apply only to computer usage behavior” this research attempted to determine if the TAM might also be applicable in examining adoption of AMTs. Table 17 contrasts the research approach and framework used by Davis et al. (1989) to the research herein. Clearly there are substantial differences in the research approaches despite both efforts using similar underlying frameworks and focusing on the adoption of “technology.” Given these differences, a direct comparison of results is not feasible. However, the following sections contrast the research findings using a subjective approach. Table 17 : Contrast of Current Research to that of Davis et a1. (1989) Category Davis et al., 1989 Research Herein Research Technique Experimental Survey based Research Method Longitudinal Cross-sectional Unit of Analysis Adoption of a computer Adoption of AMT software application (CNC/DNC, material working lasers, robots) Setting MBA program Manufacturing firm Research Participants MBA students Operations/Capital Equipment Managers Number of Participants 107 123 Analysis Technique Regression Structural equation modeling General Behavioral Model Theory of Reasoned Action Theory of Planned Behavior (TRA) (TPB) derived from the TRA Specific model adapted Technology Adoption Advanced Manufacturing from underlying theoretical Model (TAM) Technology Adoption framework Model (AMTAM) derived from TAM 70 5.3.1.1 Comparison of Direct Applications T RA and T PB Models Given the differences in methodology and contexts, direct comparisons of current findings to the findings of Davis et al. (1989) are not appropriate. However, this section compares findings of the @1391 application of the underlying general behavioral models (the TRA in the case of Davis et al., and the TPB in the research herein.) Table 18 summarizes and compares the findings of Davis et al. (1989) to the findings herein. Both research efforts determined that behavioral intentions to adopt a “technology” can be explained reasonably well using a parsimonious set of factors. This does not suggest that there are not other important factors (e. g., organizational, political, strategic, etc.), but it does suggest that in these specific contexts a significant amount of variance can be explained using the factors identified. Both research efforts found a significant and substantial influence of attitude on intentions (in the flee; extension of the general models.) Subjective norms were not found to have a significant influence on behavioral intentions in the research context of Davis et al. (1989), but were found to have a significant influence in the research herein. As was discussed in the hypotheses test section of this report, this difference may be explained by the significant cross-functional nature of the AMT adoption process. As Davis et al. (1989) pointed out, adoption of a word processing program is a fairly personal and individual decision, and may be driven less by social influences than more cross-fimctional applications such as electronic mail or group decision support systems. Perceived behavioral control was not explicitly examined by Davis et al. (1989) so a comparison of the influence of this factor is not feasible. 71 Table 18: AMTS-TPB — Comparison of Findings to TRA Davis et al. (1989) Davis et al. (I 989) Current Research at Time One at Time Two Herein (TRA) (TRA) (AMTS-TPB) Equation Rz Beta R2 Beta R2 Estimate B1 = A + SN 0.32 0.26 —- - A 0.55 * 0.48 * SN 0.07 0.10 B1 = A + SN + PBC -- -- -- -- 0.91 A 0.50 * SN 0.69 * PBC 0.03 * Significant at p s 0.05 B1 = Behavioral Intention A = Attitude SN = Subjective norms PBC = Perceived behavioral control 5.3.1.2 Comparison of Adapted Applications the T RA Given the differences in methodology and contexts, direct comparisons of current findings to the findings of Davis et al. are not appropriate. However, this section compares the TAM test results of Davis et a1. (1989) to the AMTAM test results herein. Table 19 summarizes and compares the findings. Both research efforts determined that behavioral intentions to adopt a “technology” can be explained reasonably well using a parsimonious set of factors. This does not suggest that there are not other important factors (e. g., organizational, political, strategic, etc.), but it does suggest that in these specific contexts a significant amount of variance can be explained using the factors identified. Both research efforts suggest that perceived usefulness of a technology is the key determinant of intention, while attitude may have minimal influence on intentions. 72 Table 19: AMTAM - Comparison of Findings to TAM Davis et al. (1989) Davis et al. (1989) Current Research at Time One at Time Two Herein (AM TAM) (TAM) (TAM) Equation R2 Beta Rz Beta R2 Estimate BI = A + U 0.47 0.51 0.55 A 0.27 * 0.16 - 0.45 U 0.48 * 0.61 * 0.90 * A = U + EOU 0.37 0.36 0.34 U 0.6] * 0.50 "' 0.62 * EOU 0.02 0.24 * -0.09 U = EOU 0.01 0.05 0.17 EOU 0.10 0.23 * 0.42 * * Significant at p S 0.05 B1 = Behavioral Intention A = Attitude U = Perceived Usefulness EOU = Perceived ease of use in TAM; z Perceived behavioral control in AMTAM Similarly, both research efforts suggest that perceived usefulness is a key determinant of attitude, while ease of use may have minimal influence on attitude. Finally, the research efforts appear to suggest different levels of influence of ease of use (perceived behavioral control in the research herein) on perceived usefulness. The research herein suggests a stronger relationship between these factors than does research by Davis et al. (1989). Davis et al. (1989) originally proposed this relationship based on the premise that improvements in EOU may be “instrumental,” contributing to increased performance. That is, decision-makers may believe that any effort saved due to relative ease of use may be redeployed, enabling a person (or organization) to accomplish more work for the same or less effort. In the research herein, this proposition may be especially relevant. Follow-up interviews with manufacturing managers shed some light on this relationship. One manager in an electronics firm indicated that the having confidence that the necessary 73 resources would be available to successfully install and utilize the AMT increases the perceived utility of the AMT for two primary reasons. First, it suggests that resources have been planned and allocated in the organization, which in turn suggests the specific AMT adoption plans are more likely to be stable and accurately forecasted allowing for increased efficiency and effectiveness of overall resource planning and management. Second, confidence in successful installation and/or utilization suggests that actual AMT performance objectives could be more readily and quickly realized. The measures of AMT performance objectives for this research ultimately included increased quality, reduced production costs and reduced cycle times. By more quickly realizing all or any of these AMT performance objectives, resources (people, money or time) would become available for allocation to other activities. 5.3.1.3 Summary of Academic Contributions This research was motivated by many factors, including the suggestion that the application of the TPB to manufacturing technology adoption research is a novel approach that shows promise for AMT adoption research (Dimnik et al., 1993). Although the data herein found less than ideal overall model fit for the two specific fully specified theoretical models tested, the following key academic contributions have been made. 1. The Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) was shown to be applicable in an industrial context that focused on technologies other than “information systems” 2. The Technology Adoption Model (TAM) developed by Davis et al. (1989) specifically to examine adoption of information systems/technologies was shown to be applicable in an industrial context that focused on specific types of advanced manufacturing technologies (i.e., the TAM was shown to be applicable in a research context other than the setting for which it was intended.) 3. A substantial amount of variance in behavioral intentions to adopt AMT can be explained using a parsimonious set of factors. 4. Subjective norms are a major determinant of a key decision-maker’s intentions to adopt an AMT. 74 These contributions are not presented without some caveats, as the fully specified model fit indices were not ideal. However, the findings suggest that future research into the measures used and application of both the TPB and TAM to AMT adoption decisions is warranted. 5.3.2 Managerial Contribution This research has implications for managers in both potential adopting firms users and in actual AMT manufacturing firms. The sections below examine these implications. 5.3.2.1 Implications for AMT Manufacturers Three key relationships have specific implications for manufacturers of AMTs. First and most obvious is the significant influence that perceived usefulness of the AMT has on a decision-maker’s intentions. Clearly, continued or increased marketing of the performance benefits of AMT to potential users is warranted. Second, supplier support did not have a significant influence on perceived behavioral control. This was somewhat surprising given that prior research suggests that technology supplier support and prior experience with a supplier encourage increased and support faster adoption of technologies (Rogers, 1983). Interviews with manufacturing managers perhaps will shed light on the lack of a significant relationship. One operations manager for a furniture manufacturer remarked that it is often the supplier or developer of raw materials or component technologies who has the most extensive knowledge on the installation and use of the AMTs. Thus, it may be the manufacturers of material or component inputs that are asked to support AMT adoption decisions and implementation. 75 This comment suggests a closer working relationship continues to evolve between material “suppliers” and “customers”. It might further suggest that AMT investments are no longer viewed as company-specific investments. That, is perhaps as specific case studies have suggested, capital equipment decisions are increasingly (albeit slowly increasingly) being made from a “supply chain management” perspective such that the company with the capabilities or competencies to best utilize the technology is jointly identified by specific supply chain members. This company may be “required” to make the investment to globally optimize capital equipment resources throughout the supply chain rather than attempting to locally optimize the resources. Further, perhaps this suggests that manufacturing technologies need to become increasingly “mobile” in the sense that they can be allocated and deployed within the supply chain to provide the greatest value for the current program. This would have significant implications for risk/reward sharing, financing alternatives and the development of technical competencies throughout the supply chain. Another manager with an electronics firm suggested that there are very few “breakthrough” AMTs being adopted, such that AMT supplier support is not a key criterion in the decision process. That is, prior internal experience with the technology mitigates the need for external support. Based on these findings, manufacturers of AMTs may want to form stronger relationships not only with end-users of AMTs, but material and components suppliers as well. Given that perceived behavioral control was found to significantly influence perceived usefulness in AMTAM, AMT manufacturers may be able to impact decision- makers by increasing the amount of perceived support they can provide to users. 76 Third, subjective norms were found to significantly influence intentions. AMT manufacturers may want to consider broadening their marketing techniques to a cross- functional representation of personnel at a potential adopting firm, rather than focusing solely on the person perceived to be the key decision-maker. 5.3.2.2 Implications for Potential AMT Adapters This research has implications for key decision-makers, cross-functional personnel that may be part of an AMT evaluation team, and technology strategists within potential AMT adopting firms. First, familiarity with AMT was found to have a significant influence on perceived behavioral control, which in turn was found to have a significant influence on perceived usefulness in the AMTAM. Such relationships may have positive or negative consequences for an organization depending on the perspective. On one hand, one manufacturing manager suggested that these relationships indicate that AMT adoption decisions are part of an overall AMT strategy, such that compatibility and adaptability of the technology are simply extensions of that plan. The relationship simply reflects long term technology planning. On the other hand, another manufacturing manager suggested that the relationships suggest that there is a “comfort zone” in which manufacturing managers make decisions such that concerns with adaptability and compatibility slow the adoption of truly “advanced” technologies. A technology strategist or advocate for increased adoption of AMTs within their firm may wish to use “change management” strategies or processes to help move key decision- makers out of their comfort zones. Second, subjective norms are key determinants of intentions in this research context. Advocates of increased technology adoption may clearly wish to exploit the 77 cross—functional impact on a decision-maker by determining the specific attributes of the AMT that each function is most influenced by, then marketing these attributes to each function. The strength of the subjective norms - intention relationship also begs the question, is there such a thing as a “key decision-maker” in such a context? All subsequent interviews with manufacturing managers suggest that clearly there is a team leader on any AMT evaluation team, and that soliciting inputs from a variety of functions and developing consensus for a recommendation are simply part of that job. Most managers also indicated that they realize the significant importance of cross-functional inputs and that they try to proactively manipulate the perceptions of personnel in other functions. This points to an interesting “chicken or the egg” question for future research. Is the attitude of a key decision-maker already formed based on such factors as perceived utilities and perceived behavioral control independent of subjective norms? That is, does a decision-maker basically already have his/her mind made up but proactively influences the position of other personnel providing input into the decision? This would require a series of questions capturing the timing of events in the decision process. The relationship has some theoretical grounding in the sense that promising new technologies reviewed for adoption are often brought under review by technology leaders or advocates that champion their adoption (Dimnik et al., 1993). Third, despite perceived behavioral control having a significant influence on perceived usefiilness in AMTAM, PBC was found to have a non-significant influence on intentions to adopt an AMT in the AMTS-TPB. This suggests that users may be willing to tolerate a difficult adoption process in order to realize significant competitive benefits, 78 while no amount of perceived behavioral control or ease of adoption will compensate for a system that does not provide extensive benefits. 5.4 Limitations of the Research The results generally support the fully specified models, though specific relationships within each model were found to be insignificant and overall model fit was not ideal across all model fit indices. This section examines research limitations and their impact on interpretation of the results. First, structural equation modeling does not “prove” a model is the right model. SEM only serves to disconfirrn a model. Even when data is determined to fit a model, there may be alternative models that the data will also fit. This point is exemplified by this research as well as the research of Davis et al., (1989). Both efforts examined two models that explained a substantial amount of variance in the intention to perform a specified behavior. However, SEM does simultaneously analyze multiple relationships while providing statistical efficiency. Further, it allows for analysis of unobserved concepts and accounts for measurement error during estimation. Second, self-assessment measures were used. Though self-assessment is the most commonly used approach in empirical research, such measures may be biased due to “halo effects” or “socially desirable” responses for example. However, by targeting the most informed respondent and pre-screening the survey instrument to minimize confusing and/or potentially sensitive questions, an attempt was made to mitigate such bias. Third, a single respondent was used raising the potential for bias. However, based on field interviews prior to the survey being distributed and inputs from SME, NAPM and APICS, it was determined that the respondents targeted in this research were likely 79 the key informants and played a key role in the decision-making process. Regardless, perhaps researchers that can harness the resources can take a more “cross-functional” approach and/or use multiple respondents in future manufacturing technology adoption research. Fourth, this study focused on decisions to adopt specific types of manufacturing technology, limiting its generalizability. However, the TPB is a general model that is intended for adaptation to specific contexts. By limiting the research to specific AMT, definitional problems regarding what really constitutes a manufacturing technology were mitigated (e. g., the ambiguity of the term “computer integrated manufacturing system” was avoided.) Further, the focus on specific AMT allowed for consistent targeting of informed respondents. Finally, the response rate was lower than anticipated (but not altogether unexpected) despite targeting those industries most likely to adopt such technologies by using information provided by the SME, NAPM and APICS. Major issues that apparently impacted response rate were the length of the original questionnaire, the fact that not all manufacturing firms use the AMTs examined in this study, and that such investments may be made very infrequently due to the relatively long useful life of the AMT. Perhaps future research can screen targeted respondents to ensure they have recently invested in such technologies prior to sending them a survey. This would at least ensure the targeted respondents were viable participants, though it would not guarantee their participation. As was discussed in Section 4.2.1, the number of usable responses (123) was below the “rule of thumb calculation” number (170). A bootstrap analysis was conducted 80 to check for potential sample bias. Bootstrapping is a re-sampling procedure that can be used to estimate the sampling distribution of any statistic whose theoretical sampling distribution is unknown. A bootstrap using ten replications and a sample size of 123 for each replication was performed. Two of the ten replications converged with no condition code. Results from the converged iterations indicated that the root mean squared error of approximation (RMSEA) was 0.078, with lower and upper bounds of 0.056 and 0.097 respectively. A rule of thumb suggests that the RMSEA should be less than 0.050, with lower and upper bounds of 0.000 to 0.050 respectively. The bootstrap analysis suggests that the relatively small sample size biased the results. Clearly, attempts to increase sample size and to further refine measures are warranted in future research. 5.5 Recommendations for Future Research Much of the discussion in Chapter 5 already presented many potential directions for future research. This section first summarizes the directions already identified herein, then discusses other potential directions. 5. 5. 1 Review of Potential Research Directions Previously Discussed The following methodological and theoretical directions or questions for future research were already discussed in this report. First, in an attempt to secure a higher response rate it may be advisable to pre-screen the list of potential participating firms to ensure all contacts have adopted the technology under investigation. This would require phone numbers for the majority of potential contacts. Phone numbers for specific contacts are not typically available in mailing lists. Second, the use of multiple respondents at each firm could mitigate bias concerns. This would require extensive resources and would likely negatively impact response rate. 81 It also would suggest that there is more than one key decision-maker in terms of the evaluation of the AMT. This is contrary to the suggestions made by SME, APICS and NAPM, as well as the comments from managers interviewed in this research. Third, the temporal precedence or the potential for recursive relationships of factors influencing the key decision-maker could be examined. For example, perhaps as one manufacturing manager suggested, the decision-maker’s intention to adopt a technology is formed prior to cross-functional input, and that through marketing of the AMT by the key person, cross-functional perspectives are brought in-line with the key decision-maker’s or team leader’s perspective in advance of the actual evaluation process. Fourth, the role of material suppliers in the decision making process could be examined. As one manager suggested, many material suppliers may be at least as informed and perhaps more knowledgeable of the most effective and efficient AMT installation and utilization processes. Further, over time material suppliers are likely to develop closer and more integrated relationships with AMT adopters than are AMT manufacturers, due to a higher frequency of contact between the firms. Fifth, the application of TAM, TRA or TPB could be expanded into research of adoption decision processes for the other categories of advanced manufacturing technology classified by the US Department of Commerce. This would include design and engineering technologies (i.e., CAD, CAM, CAPP) automated material handling technologies, and manufacturing information technologies (i.e., MRP/MRPH, ERP) for example. However, the key decision-maker for these distinct categories of AMT may be in very different functional positions in each case. Research that includes all of these technology categories into a single research effort may produce confounding results. 82 5. 5.2 Other Potential Research Directions The following directions for future research were not previously discussed in Chapter 5. First, this research examined decision-making processes in cases of actual AMT adoption. In doing so, there is limited insight into what is preventing companies from adopting AMTs. Future research may want to examine the decision process from a more hypothetical perspective (e. g., if this condition were true, what would your attitude be?). For this early stage in the research stream however, it was decided to take an approach similar to that of Davis et al. (1989) and examine actual adoption cases. Also, the hypothetical perspective might capture espoused decision processes that may be significantly different than decision-making processes in practice. Second, future research may wish to explicitly examine the influence of long term business or technology strategy on the decision process. This research only implicitly examined the role of this factor through previous experience with the technology. Third, the measures used for certain factors, particularly supplier support, need further refinement. Despite the lack of a significant relationship between supplier support and perceived behavioral control in this and in Lee’s (1990) research, there is enough case study evidence to continue to examine the role of AMT supplier support. Perhaps measures in future research should more clearly distinguish between the tacit aspects of supplier support and the tactical aspects. Fourth, perhaps “familiarity with AMT” has a direct influence on intentions to adopt an AMT as one manufacturing manager suggested, rather than an influence that is mediated by perceived behavioral control. Alternative models with this direct 83 relationship were explored, but none were found to significantly improve the amount of variance explained in the intention to adopt an AMT. Finally, a statistically significant and strong relationship was found between subjective norms and a key decision-maker’s intention to adopt an AMT. Future research that investigates the influences of various factors on the AMT evaluation process of personnel other than the team leader or key decision-maker may provide valuable insights for AMT manufacturers as well as AMT adopters. The application of TAM, TRA or TPB to the study of supporting team members’ evaluation or decision-making processes appears to be warranted. 5.6 Summary This research developed and tested two models of manufacturing technology adoption. The specific limitations and contributions of the research were discussed throughout Chapter 5 and will not be repeated here. Broadly however, the research contributed to the body of knowledge by filling a void in technology adoption research. While many case studies and surveys of AMT analysis techniques have been presented in the literature, they tend to be solely descriptive and only make a limited attempt to integrate the findings into a decision process model and to advance theory. Clearly the previous research has filled the critical role of identifying the factors that may influence the AMT adoption decision and in developing appropriate measures. This research built on those efforts by developing integrated decision models based on the widely applied and generalizable Theory of Planned Behavior framework, and on the more context specific Technology Acceptance 84 Model. The research confirms the suggestion that the TPB is a novel approach that shows promise for AMT adoption research (Dimnik et al., 1993). The research also suggests that research into technology adoption decision processes should be careful when selecting a unit of analysis. That is, if this research had addressed all categories of advanced manufacturing technology identified by the US Department of Commerce (e.g., design systems such as CAD/CAM, planning technologies such as MRPH) perhaps the relationships would have been different. For example, though not directly comparable, the comparison of this research to the research of Davis et al. (1989) into information systems adoption found that subjective norms have substantially different influences in the respective research contexts. In an attempt to increase the generalizability of research, a determination must first be made if the attempt to generalize findings is valid. Numerous extensions of the research were identified. Perhaps the most interesting and forward-looking research will examine how (if) capital equipment decisions will be made in a supply chain context. Assuming such decisions are increasingly made in a supply chain context, research that examines successful ways supply chains are structured, relationships managed, equipment utilized, risks and rewards shared, and total resources deployed throughout a supply chain will make substantial practical and theoretical contributions by extending management and behavior sciences into capital equipment/ supply chain management research. 85 APPENDIX A: QUESTIONNAIRE The questionnaire size was reduced to meet dissertation formatting requirements. SECTION I: TECHNOLOGY IDENTIFICA TION 1. Please Identify a manufacturing technology that meets the criteria listed on the cover page. NOTE: From this point forward “AMT” refers to the specific manufacturing technology identified below. 1. Please fill in each of the blanks below. If not known exactly, please provide your best estimate. a) Date (month / year) the AMT was installed at your plant > I b) Annual sales the year the AMT was installed at your plant > S c) Purchase and installation cost for the AMT (at time ofinstallation in US dollars) > S d) Installation and debug time (in months) Refer to previous definition if necessary > months e) Process optimization time (in months) Refer to previous definition if necessary > months 1) Expected useful life (in years) ofthe AMT without major re-tooling or re-investment > years g) Projected payback period (in months) for the AMT > months h) Projected ROI for the AMT investment > % SECTION 2: AMT SELECTION PROCESS Questions in this section refer to evaluations of the AMT prior to actual AM 1 adm' Please respond without letting hindsight impact your responses. Remember that all responses will be kept strictly confidential 2. Prior to actual adoption, I strongly believed that: Strongly Strongly Dismee Neutral Agree 8) All necessary resources would be available to successfully install and use the AMT 0 | 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Adoption of the AMT would make the plant much more competitive 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) The AMT would significantly improve overall plant performance 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 d) The AMT could be installed and operational within budget and time objectives 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3. Relative to alternative technology or sourcing options, I had a high Strongly Strongly dggree of confidence that the AMT worle: Dlsggree Neutral Agree a) Minimize defect rate 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Maximize production quality consistency 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Reduce labor costs 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 d) Lower raw material and purchased component costs 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 e) Lower fully burdened per unit production costs 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 f) Minimize equipment setup and tear down times 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 g) Reduce overall production cycle times 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 h) Provide greater volume flexibility 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1) Provide responsiveness to technological changes 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 j) Allow for a wider variety of products to be produced 0 1 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 10 k) Drive increased product innovations 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1) Drive increased process innovations 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 m) Be highly compatible with existing operations 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11) Be operated by current workers without providing additional training 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0) Be easily adapted to existing operations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5. My attitude towards Investment In the AMT was favorable based on Strongly Strongly projected performance In terms of: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Cost 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Quality 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Flexibility 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 d) Production cycle time 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 e) lnnovativeness 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 10 86 6. I had a high degree of confidence that the recommended AMT Strongly Strongly supplier would or could provide the desired: Disagree Neutral Agree a) AMT installation support 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Training of operators. supervisors or managers 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Detailed installation. operation and/or maintenance manuals 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 l0 7. I believed that adoption of new AMT was favored by: Strongly Strongly Disaflee Neutral Agree a) Top management 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Co-workers 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Subordinates 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 8. Please rate extent of agreement with the following statements. Strongly Strongly Dis_ag_ree Neutral Agree a) Extensive cross-functional MWas used to evaluate AMT options 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Extensive cross-functional dieision-making was used to recommend the AMT 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 9. Our company and the recommended AMT supplier: Strongly Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree a) Had extensive experience working with each other 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Were familiar with each other‘s operations and capabilities 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 c) Were aware of each other's competitive needs 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10. I believed that adopting the AMT would make the plant more Strongly Strongly competitive in terms of performance in: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Cost 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Quality 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Flexibility 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 l0 d) Production cycle time 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 10 e) lnnovativeness 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ll. Prior to installation, I believed that the following resources would be Strongly Strongly available to successfully install and/or use the AMT: Disagree Neutral Agree 8) Supporting technology (e.g.. material handling, MRP system) 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Technical resources and knowledge 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Hunmn resources with appropriate skills 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 d) Financial resources 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12. Opinions that W my position towards recommending the Strongly Strongly AMT for adoption were directly or indirectly expressed by: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Top nunagement 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Co-workers 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Subordinates 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13. Based on all potential factors and overall evaluation of the AMT, I: Strongly Strongly Diggee Neutra_l Agree a) Strongly recommended the AMT for adoption 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Fully intended for the company to adopt the AMT 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Provided well-documented support favoring adoption of the AMT 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 87 SECTION 3: ITEM lNSOURClNG/OUTSOURCING DECISION Questions in this section refer to the insourcing/outsourcing decision process that led to the decision to insource, ultimately driving the need for investment in new manufacturing technology. I4. Please Identify the ITEM produced by the AMT. If a variety of items are produced, indicate as such and identify a representative item(s). Please discuss unique product and/or process characteristics. NOTE: From this point forward “ITEM” refers to the product identified below. IS. Please fill in each of the blanks below. If not known exactly, please provide your best estimate. a) Number of units ofthe ITEM produced annually > b) Approximate fully burdened per unit production cost for the ITEM > S I6 Is this ITEM typically shipped as part of a higher level assembly to your Yes D No 0 external customer? 17. People involved in the decision to make the item internally (insource) Strongly Strongly projected that relative to outsourcing options we could or needed to: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Minimize defect rates 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Maximize production quality consistency O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) Reduce labor costs 0 I 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 I0 (I) Lower raw material and purchased component costs 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 e) Lower fully burdened per unit production costs 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 0 Minimize equipment setup and tear down times 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO g) Reduce overall production cycle times 0 I 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 IO h) Provide greater volume flexibility O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 i) Provide responsiveness to technological changes 0 i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 j) Allow for a wider variety of products to be produced 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 k) Drive increased product innovations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO l) Drive increased process innovations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 18. People involved In the decision to make the item internally (Insource) Strongly Strongly believed that successful insourcing would require us to select an: Disagree Neutral Agree a) AMT supplier that provided significant AMT installation support 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 b) AMT supplier that provided extensive training for our personnel 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) AMT supplier that provided installation. operation and mintenance manuals O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 d) AMT that was highly compatible with existing operations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO e) AMT that was easily adapted to our existing operations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO l) AMT that could be run by current workers without providing added training 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 88 SECTION 4: RESUL TS I9. Please rate actual AMT process optimization performance results Far worse Met Much better relative to goals for each measure below. than goals goals than goals a) Time required to optimize process 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Budget required to optimize process 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) Number or complexity of AMT technical installation/optimization problems 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO d) Disruption to ongoing production operations during installation/optimization O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 20. For thg first 6 months of progugtign afte: pmess optimizatigg, please Far worse Met Much better rate average production perform_ance relative to goals for: than goals ggals than goals a) Defect rate 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Production quality consistency 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) Labor costs 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 d) Raw material and purchased component costs 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 IO e) Fully burdened per unit production costs 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 0 Equipment setup and tear down times 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO g) Overall production cycle times 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 h) Volume flexibility 0 l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 I0 i) Responsiveness to technological changes 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO j) Variety of products produced 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO k) Product innovations O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 I) Process innovations O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO m) Overall plant competitiveness O l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 21- For WWW» Please Far worse Met Much better rate the averggercontriljution of ITEMS Jm_ade on the AMT to: than goals M than goals a) Profit on the sale ofthe ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Sales volume of the ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 c) Customer satisfaction with the ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 22. For MWWMQM identify actual average ITEM quality using either of the metrics listed: PPM defective - OR — % defect rate. 23. Please rate extent of agreement with the following statements. The Strongly Strongly AMT supplier provided: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Valuable inputs to improve product design/manufacturability O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Technology improvements in the AMT mifie to our needs 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) Significant AMT installation support 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 This concludes the “required” section. However, we encourage you to complete the following “optional” pages. Thank you. 89 SECTION 5: OPTIONAL To provide a useable response, the questions below do not need to be answered. However, we encourage you to respond to these questions so that we can provide you with additional insights. 24. To what extent was investment in the AMT justified on financial Financial Strategic estimates (e.g., ROI, payback) and/or strategic factors (e.g., Only Balanced Only competitive positioning, support of core competencies) 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 25. Please rate extent of agreement with the following statements. Strongly Strongly Diggree Neutral Agree a) The use of state-of~the-art AMT by competitors pressures us to adopt new AMT 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Internal organizational pressures influenced the decision to adopt new AMT O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) We need to keep pace with AMT investments made by our competitors 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 (I) External competitive pressures influenced the decision to adopt new AMT O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 26. At the time of selection, the AMT was: Strongly Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree a) A technology already proven effective and reliable in industry 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Selected to provide new technical capabilities for new product development 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 c) Chosen to replace existing equipment (e.g., to improve cost, quality) 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 d) A technology that directly supported a core product. process or capability O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 27. For the ms; recggt 9 months 2f produgtigg, please rate average Far worse Met Much better production performance agile AMT rel_a_t_ive to £2!!! for: t_l_ian goals gals than goals a) Defect rate 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Fully burdened per unit production costs 0 I 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 IO c) Overall production cycle times 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 d) Volume flexibility 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO e) Responsiveness to technological changes 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 0 Product innovations 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO g) Process innovations 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO h) Overall plant competitiveness O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 28. For thg mg mm! 6 maths of productiog, identify actual average ITEM quality using either of the metrics listed: PPM defective - OR - % defect rate. 29. For WW, please rate the average Far worse Met Much better contribution of ITEMS made on the AMT to: than goals goals than goals a) Profit on the sale of the ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Sales volume of the ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 c) Customer satisfaction with the ITEM or end product the ITEM is installed in 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 30. Please rate extent of agreement with the following statements. Strongly Strongly Diggree Neutrfl A_g[ee a) Manufacturing strategy is closely aligned with overall business strategy 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Manufacturing is highly integrated into new product development 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO c) Lessons from the AMT selection and optimization process were documented 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO d) A formal project plan guided the AMT selection and installation process 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO e) AMT strategy/selection criteria are aligned with insourcing/outsourcing strategy 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 9O SECTION 5: OPTIONAL (Continued) To provide a useable response, the questions below do not need to be answered. However, we encourage you to respond to these questions so that we can provide you with additional insights. 36. technth stratggies across different plants or business units? Yes 31. Without any commitment to purchase, prior to AMT selection our Strongly Strongly company: Disagree Neutral Agree a) Viewed full scale operation ofthe AMT O l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 b) Ran a pilot project in our facility or at the AMT supplier's facility 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 32. Prior to adoption of the AMT, I believed that: Strongly Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree a) Our competitors were using the same or similar AMT O I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l0 b) Primary customers expected us to invest in new manufacturing technologies 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 c) Our competitors recently made a significant upgrade to their AMT capabilities O l 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 IO 33. Please classify the role that each of the following analysis Not Minor Moderate Significant techniques had in evaluating the AMT investment Used Use Use Use a) Payback period CI 0 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO b) Return on invesnnent (ROI) D 0 I 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 l0 c) Computer simulation of AMT performance CI 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 I0 (I) Formal risk analysis U 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO 34. Please discuss the most significant barriers to justification, Implementation and/or utilization of AMT investments and how they are managed or overcome. 35. Do AMT investment decisions at your plant need to be coordinated with business or E] E] No If you answered “yes” please discuss the process and how this helps or hinders AMT justification and adoption. 91 SECTION 5: OPTIONAL (Continued) To provide a useable response, the questions below do not need to be answered. However. we encourage you to respond to these questions so that we can provide you widt additional insights. 37. Based strictly on initial financial analysis (e.g., ROI, payback) was investment in this AMT y“ D No ‘ your company’s highest rated option flncluding outsourcing options)? 38. Were any numbers “massaged” or “manipulated” after initial analysis to make financial Yes E] No analysis more supportive of the investment? Remember, confidentiality is guaranteed 39- When a strictly financial analysis indicates that a specific AMT Investment Is not the highest rated option, please discuss how that AMT Investment is justified over other investments or outsourcing options. 40. Do insourcing/outsourcing decisions at your plant need to be coordinated with business or y“ D No sourcing stratggies across different plants or business units? 41. If you answered “yes” please discuss if the process typically favors one option over the other and why. Please also discuss if this coordination helps or hinders insourcing/outsourcing decisions at your firm. 42. 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