VJ. >17§03d Q"! IIHIITIHWIEHIMIWWIWWIWflflfiiflfll 3 1293 00850 0237 MSU LIBRARIES -._——. RETURNING MATERIALS: PIace in book drop to remove this checkout from your record. FINES wiII be charged if book is returned after the date stamped beIow. ,WM JUN 1 3 1994 2 3 7 ARABLE FARMING DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES IN THE CENTRAL AGRICULTURAL REGION, BOTSWANA: A FARMING SYSTEMS ANALYSIS By Doyle Curtis Baker A DISSERTATION Submit ted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 1987 Copyright by DOYLE CURTIS BAKER 1987 'n-' .1; ...:.e L. ' ‘- mg...” 'e‘J‘: “\u3'i. ‘5 “6 ‘~a V 'I- w.‘ .- L:.l:.s 3‘ I r- . -oo.,.‘ “-=m-‘.g at. UN". 9551‘s afilfir H’ ‘-I . . k ‘b ABSTRACT ARABLE FARMING DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES IN THE CENTRAL AGRICULTURAL REGION, BOTSWANA: A FARMING SYSTEMS ANALYSIS By Doyle Curtis Baker There is an urgent need to identify ways to develop arable farming in Botswana in order to reduce national dependence on food imports, save foreign exchange, create rural employment, raise rural incomes, and reduce household dependence on government subsidies. The goal of this thesis is to provide a comprehensive, systems analysis of arable farming in the Central Region, and the factors affecting arable farming, in order to determine arable farming deve10pment priorities. The analysis is based on village and on-farm surveys and experiments carried out between October 1982 and June 1986. The thesis uses the farming systems approach. The farming systems approach: (a) is holistic not reductionist, (b) generally uses households, farm systems or production subsystems as the unit of analysis, and (c) follows a systems problem evaluation sequence. The systems approach used in the thesis encompasses household circumstances, traditional crop systems management, and local institutions, as well as experimentation to identify improved practices. The analysis of household circumstances describes the resource constraints affecting arable farming development and reveals a more pervasive pattern of inequality than is indicated in previous studies. Recommendations are given on technical research priorities and targeting strategies. va‘fl 126331".th an: can Di The as; servize, 1t; Doyle Curtis Baker The analysis of crOp systems management focuses on farmers' perceptions and priorities, and the diversity in traditional practices. Several potentially valuable technical investigations are identified. An overview is given of the on-farm experiments carried out between 1982 and 1986. The trials program primarily focused on modifications in the traditional broadcast, single plow system. A series of budget analyses based on the on-farm trials shows there are modified practices which can be profitably adepted even during drought conditions. The analysis of agricultural support systems covers the extension service, local traders, village groups, and two agricultural assistance programs. Guidelines are given on appropriate institutional changes. In the final chapter, a comprehensive strategy for arable farming development is pr0posed and an assessment is given of the holistic research approach used in the thesis. Tze thesis :he igrimitura :a-s;c:scred a: ;::_‘e:: was in; y n a ‘. .‘r ,- Vj"~i" um ,HL. nuts. »n-n.. ' ’ .1:.L..tl-3n EC! :f::A .wjm to 186 tk.‘ “(L I earHEd. ‘- Swag State c ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The thesis is based on research carried out under the auspices of the Agricultural Technology Improvement Project (ATIP). ATIP was co-sponsored and funded by the Government of Botswana and USAID. The project was implemented by the Mid-America International Agricultural Consortium (MIAC). Kansas State University served as the lead institution for MIAC. I gratefully acknowledge the financial and logistical support of USAID, the Government of Botswana and Kansas State University. I specially would like to thank Drs. Mark Johnson, John Sjo, Vic Larsen and Jim Jorns at Kansas State University for their support. Several individuals associated with ATIP in Botswana made invaluable contributions to the research. Dr. David Norman, ATIP Team Leader, provided guidance and encouragement. Dr. Norman allowed me the freedom to learn from my mistakes and showed more faith in my judgment than I earned. I benefited greatly from discussions with all of my Kansas State collegues, including Drs. Norman, J. Siebert, G. Heinrich, F. Worman, D. Gray, C. Trent, B. Koch, J.A. Hobbs, and W. Miller. I would particularly like to acknowledge my debt to Dr. Jay Siebert, my Central Region team collegue. Dr. Siebert designed and analyzed most of the on-farm trials carried out by the team. More importanly, many of my ideas about arable farming develOpment resulted from endless hours of discussion with Dr. Siebert. ii “he mean: Sa’S'iéSl counter? '-:‘; game, Jk 1 ,av. research. E. Hod assume when n 1513: implezent Sarah, and G. satied by K. St Prhap my 8 ts research. 2);- :;::er, Glenn Jo: i211: led to majg :‘rlrzzupated on t ilézts on the 1 33‘ crab'fOrd, E Dr, Cravior: to: ake the t. The research was possible only because of the efforts of my Batswana counterparts, including at different times: Meschack Tjirongo, Chada Tibone, John Lesotlho and Catherine Jonas. This thesis represents their product as much as it does mine. In addition to the above, many other ATIP staff contributed to the research. E. Modiakgotla and J. Luzani, both team agronomists, provided assistance when needed. The following field staff collected data and helped implement trials: D. Dira, C. Mahilo, K. Okaile, R. Mosojane, R. Serumola, and G. Mogotsi. Administrative assistance and data entry were provided by K. Seleke, L. Seretse, and P. Monyane. Perhaps my greatest debt is to the many farmers who participated in the research. During four difficult seasons, they answered questions and tried new practices withh little personal benefit. At Michigan State, guidance committee members Eric Crawford, Carl Eicher, Glenn Johnson and Carl Liedholm provided advice and criticism which led to major improvements in the thesis. Rick Bernsten participated on the dissertation committee and gave constructive comments on the thesis organization. Special acknowledgments are due Drs. Crawford, Eicher and Johnson. Dr. Crawford assumed the responsibility of being major professor and thesis supervisor when he could not afford the time. He worked with ‘me to make the thesis more focused, without losing its systems orientation. I greatly appreciate his helpful comments. Dr. Eicher was my major professor and mentor throughout my graduate program at Michigan State. He took a personal interest in my career deve10pment and provided me with innumerable Opportunities to learn and grow. iii m2: pm Eras a gra: returzed to I -'1. F116;." .no:..’, L_ flutsye tn: Dr. Johnson is re3ponsible for the intellectual perspective of the thesis (though not accountable for its weaknesses). I also would like to thank Drs. Connor and Mandersheid for the support provided by the Department of Agricultural Economics, both while I was a graduate student and in the years since when I have periodically returned to campus to finish the thesis. Finally, I would like to thank my parents and wife, Kathy, for the patience they have shown. Seven years is a long time to wait. I am sure they wondered if the waiting would ever end. iv I. INTRJDICTIG A. Backgroun 1. Profile 2. Role of 8. Problem 5 C. Research 3. Organiza: . RESEARCH A? 5. Agricultu B. Concepzua L Definit 2. Systems 3. Farm 5; 5~ Problem C- Field Res 1- Village 2- Surveys 3- EXperia 0' Data Anal 5. Distincrj NOU‘Hoc SUbjec‘ Farmer SCOpe ‘ N P—‘ ‘r r" . . c 31- arrszaarn 1 A' Human Re ' HOUSeh. ° Main Ay - Reside ' Land. Ca ' RESOur ' CORPOS ab0r Al HOUSeh GendEr SEaSOn Fieidu ('7 (I! . WM.— )—4 N'— hwy- o. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION A. Background 1. Profile of National DevelOpment 2. Role of Agriculture B. Problem Statement C. Research Objectives D. Organization of Thesis II. RESEARCH APPROACH A. Agricultural Technology Improvement Project B. Conceptual Framework 1. Definition of a "System" 2. Systems PersPective 3. Farm Systems Concept 4. Problem Evaluation Sequence C. Field Research Activities 1. Village and Farmer Selection 2. Surveys and Studies 3. Experimentation D. Data Analysis E. Distinctive Features of the Research Approach 1. Non-Modernist 2. Subject Matter Orientation 3. Farmer First Planning Perspective 4. Sc0pe of Research III. HOUSEHOLD CIRCUMSTANCES AFFECTING ARABLE FARMING A. Human Resources 1. Household Composition 2. Main Activities 3. Residential Patterns B. Land, Capital and Livestock Resources 1. Resource Profile, 1983 2. Composition and Value of Farm Assets, 1984 C. Labor Allocation 1. Household Labor Use 2. Gender Division of Labor 3. Seasonal Profile of Labor Use 4. Fieldwork Hours by Household Type 14 15 15 16 17 20 24 24 28 36 40 43 43 45 45 47 49 49 50 52 54 56 56 58 62 64 65 67 69 D. Cash Re 1. Casn 2. Casof E. Food Co Main Sour: F. Conclus II. CROP SYSI A. Croppir B. CrOps : 1. Host 2. Desir C. Draft 1 1. Rana! 2- Inte: 3- Iratti. 1. Ireo 2- Tizi' E- CrOppi 1. Vari 2. Use 3- Per: F- Post—5 1» Seed Sto: 3- Cr0p G. Perce; Shos 2- Find 5' Hales ' coach Cro; Trac Timi Proc P05: Dec: H CRUPPIX; A. Cropp: 19%; 1%; 195. ‘ Histo; Expér: PAGE D. Cash Revenues and Expenditures 70 1. Cash Sources, 1983 70 2. Cashflow Analysis, 1984 71 E. Food Consumption 75 1. Main Dishes and Food Items 75 2. Food Consumption Frequencies 78 3. Sorghum and Maize Meal Consumption Levels 80 4. Sources of Food Items 81 F. Conclusions and Implications 82 IV. CROP SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT 87 A. Crapping Objectives 87 B. Craps and Varieties 88 1. Most Important Craps 88 2. Desired Varietal Characteristics for Sorghum 89 C. Draft Management 90 1. Management of Owned Traction 91 2. Inter-Household Draft Arrangements 92 D. Traction Use Patterns 95 1. Trends in Traction Use 95 2. Timing of Plowing 98 E. Crapping Practices 102 1. Variations in Traditional Practices 102 2. Use of Recommended Practices 106 3. Perceptions of Recommended Practices 108 F. Post-Harvest Practices 110 1. Seed Selection 110 2. Storage 111 3. Crap Residue Use 112 G. Perceptions of Problems 113 l. Shoshong and Makwate Farmers 113 2. Findings from Other Studies 115 H. Roles in Decision Making 118 I. Conclusions and Implications 121 l. Crops and Varieties 122 2. Traction Use and Access 123 3. Timing of Plowing 124 4. Production Practices 124 5. Post-Harvest Practices 126 6. Decision Behavior 127 V. CROPPING OUTCOMES AND THE RESULTS OF ON-FARM TRIALS 128 A. Crapping Outcomes 128 1. 1982-83 Season and "Normal" Seasons 128 2. 1983-84 Season 131 3. 1984-85 Season 133 B. Historical Perspective On Agricultural Experimentation in Botswana 136 vi C. Central 1. 1952-5 2. 1953-5 3. 1954-5 4. 1955-5 1. Budget A L Dcubie 2. Early 3. Sole P 3. Hand P D. Conclusi 1. Croppi 2. The Rt 3. Profit ”Y *“v-y-c q... “' AUAALLBLCF A. Agricult 1. Histori 2. Extensi 5. Trading 1. Profit] 2- Avail: ltple: 3- Source 4- Busing C. Village PAGE C. Central Region On-Farm Trials 141 1. 1982-83 Season 142 2. 1983-84 Season 143 3. 1984-85 Season 145 4. 1985-86 Season 147 D. Budget Analyses of Selected Practices 151 1. Double Plowing 151 2. Early Plowing Plus Row Planting 159 3. Sole Planting of Secondary Cr0ps 164 3. Hand Planting for Cap Filling 167 D. Conclusions and Recommendations 170 l. Crapping Outcomes 171 2. The Record of Experimentation 172 3. Profitable Production Practices for Drought 173 VI. AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT SYSTEMS AFFECTING ARABLE FARMING 175 A. Agricultural Extension 175 1. Historical Perspective of Extension in Botswana 176 2. Extension in the Central Region 178 B. Trading Network 187 1. Profile of Trading Establishments 188 2. Availability and Prices of Food Commodities, Implements and Fencing Materials 191 3. Sources of Items Sold 193 4. Business Problems 195 C. Village Groups 196 1. Recent Research Findings 197 2. Groups in Shoshong and Makwate 198 3. Household and Individual Participation 199 4. Experiences in Farmer Groups 200 D. Participation in ALDEP and Drought Relief 202 1. Participation in ALDEP in 1983 203 2. Participation in Drought Relief and ALDEP in 1985 203 3. Farmer Assessment of Programs 204 E. Conclusions and Recommendations 206 1. Extension 206 2. Traders 208 3. Group Formation 210 4. ALDEP and Drought Relief 211 VII. SUMMARY AND IMPLICATIONS 213 A. Research Objectives and Approach 213 B. Summary of Findings 215 C. Implications for the Ministry of Agriculture 218 1. Shift to a Holistic, Systems Approach 218 2. Give Greater Emphasis to "Intermediate" Producers 219 3. Target Research, Extension and Planning Activities 221 4. Shift the Focus of Technical Research 222 5. Increase the Emphasis on Macro Policy Analysis 223 vii D. Assess Guidel 1. Mr D. Assessment of Research Approach and Guidelines for Future Research 1. Representative Villages 2. Small Samples 3. Holism APPENDIX: PROFILE OF AGRICULTURE IN BOTSWANA A. Technical Environment 1. Rainfall 2. Temperature and Evaporation 3. Soils 4. Vegetation B. Agricultural Sector Overview 1. Sector Structure 3. Crapping Practices 4. Livestock Management and Husbandry C. Agricultural Institutions 1. Ministry of Agriculture 2. Input Supply, Credit and Marketing Agencies 3. Village Government and Organizations D. Summary REFERENCES viii PAGE 224 224 225 227 230 230 230 231 232 232 233 233 234 237 238 238 240 242 243 Catalog of ‘ E Catalog 0. Household 1 HYPE Surve; Principal 1 Cattle, Eq. Value of P.- Bousehold 1 Household 1 Household 1 Primary In. Average Ho: Farmer Rani Parser Rani Pood COhSu: Irattion t 1113ng of ' 159 Of Rec. Farmers' 1:. Storage Pr. Use of Cow “merS' a. R0198 in 3. Days of Pl. {0‘ "Good Normal Par: Days of P1. CIOP Enter Partial Bu. Partial Bu. Partial Bu< 1983-84 311: Investment at PrESEn1 I358 Vail“ and SorghUr SOle CIOpp LIST OF TABLES PAGE 2.1 Catalog of Surveys and Studies; October, 1982 to 1986 29 2.2 Catalog of On-Farm Experiments; October, 1982 to 1986 38 3.1 Household Structure, 1983-84 51 3.2 MVRU Survey Participants' Most Important Activities, 1984 53 3.3 Principal Residence by Period, 1984 55 3.4 Cattle, Equipment and Land Resources, 1983 57 3.5 Value of Farm Assets (Pula), 1983-84 61 3.6 Household Labor Use, 1983-84 64 3.7 Household Labor Use by Age-Gender Categories, 1983-84 66 3.8 Household Labor Use By Month, 1983-84 68 3.9 Primary Income Source, 1983 71 3.10 Average Monthly Cashflows, November, 1983 - June, 1984 (Pula) 72 3.11 Farmer Rankings of Main Dishes, 1983 76 3.12 Farmer Rankings of Other Main Foods, 1983 77 3.13 Food Consumption Frequencies, October 1984 to September 1985 79 4.1 Traction Used and Draft Access, 1982-83 and 1984-85 96 4.2 Timing of Plowing; 1982-83 and 1984-85 99 4.3 Use of Recommended CrOpping Practices, 1983 107 4.4 Farmers' Perceptions of Recommended Practices, 1983 109 4.5 Storage Practices, 1983 111 4.6 Use of Cowpea Residues, 1984 113 4.7 Farmers' Rankings of Resource Constraints, 1983 114 4.8 Roles in Decision Making, 1985 120 5.1 Days of Planting and Acres Planted; Recall Data for "Good Seasons", 1982-83, and 1984-85 129 5.2 Normal Farm Production of Major Craps, 1983 130 5.3 Days of Plowing, Area Plowed, Sorghum Harvested, 1983-84 132 5.4 Crop Enterprise Budget, 1984-85 134 5.5 Partial Budget: RM, FI Double Plowing, 1983-84 and 1984-85 153 5.6 Partial Budget: 1985-86 FM,FI Double Plowing Trial 157 5.7 Partial Budget: Early Plow and Row Plant, 1983-84 and 1984-85 160 5.8 Investment in a Row Planter: Benefit-Cost Ratio, Net Present Worth, Internal Rate of Return 163 5.9 Gross Values of Production for Secondary CrOps and Sorghum, 1983-84 and 1984-85 166 5.10 Sole Crapping Trial: Enterprise Analysis, 1985-86 168 ix fen .- p b .3 an 5 HJ . nit 5 "J I’d VII.“ «.1 . ob _U .5 Fl o 11¢ 1.“ T 7.. 1:83. PAGE Extension Area Characteristics by District, 1983 179 AD Supply and Use of Equipment, 1983 182 AD Assessments of the Most Valuable Crops; 1983 185 Changes Farmers Could Make to Increase Productivity, 1983 186 Number of Traders in the Central Region By Location and Size of Village, 1985 188 Trading Activities, Central Region, 1985 190 Availability and Prices of Major Food Grains, 1985 192 Sales of Implements, Hand Tools and Fencing Materials, 1985 194 Business Problems, 1985 196 Farm Structure; Traditional and Freehold Sectors, 1983 234 Cropping Practices by Agricultural Region: Traditional Sector, 1983 235 1.1 Pap of Bots 2.1 Harm Syst 22 Farming Sys 1.1 2 2 l 2 LIST OF FIGURES Map of Botswana; Agricultural Regions and Districts A Farm System Model Farming Systems Problem Evaluation Sequence xi PAGE 19 21 ‘1: Agricultural I 1...? , Arable 1.371 11., Animal Prod £19,1ctelerate: :15 Agricultural P, lgri: ultura 51'}, Botswana {1; 5!: Botswana Plea 1.511, Internet 1 "C, Central Sta: 355, Department 3:, District Ag: ‘ De Jenartnent 0 31. “Livable Plow -'-"1 3i“ision of :v‘1513ryland Fa T“£1510er " “3. Evaluatio -1 , Economic 51; r 13, Food and Ag: ‘1! Father Manage 1 Farmer Imple: PL Emmi 5 st :, Government c .i " luteStated 1 Labor Base: “'3' iliisuy o. :31! “mistry 0‘ Vii-L) hitiple- -v. :National De 1 Karim,“ F ’ 3351011211 Hi Uplanaigg an _ :;Rutal Dale 1- ’ Rum Into )RESear Cher 1 when. ”rile Ta 11,1, 33% 0V w. laiteda at 1,1: :73: “f," u..." g ’l’ LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AD, Agricultural Demonstrator ALDEP, Arable Lands Deve10pment Program APRU, Animal Production Research Unit ARAP, Accelerated Rainfed Arable Program ARS, Agricultural Research Station ATIP, Agricultural Technology Improvement Project BAMB, Botswana Agricultural Marketing Board BMC, Botswana Meat Commission CIMMYT, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center CSO, Central Statistics Office DAFS, Department of Agricultural Field Services DAO, District Agriculture Officer DAR, Department of Agricultural Research DP, Double Plow DPS, Division of Planning and Statistics DLFRS, Dryland Farming Research Scheme DUMI, Decision Unit Management Information EFSAIP, Evaluation of Farming Systems and Implements Project ESM, Economic Survey Mission FAO, Food and Agriculture Organization FM, Farmer Managed FI, Farmer Implemented FSR, Farming Systems Research GOB, Government of Botswana IFPP, Integrated Farming Pilot Project LBDR, Labor-Based Drought Relief MOA, Ministry of Agriculture MFDP, Ministry of Finance and Deve10pment Planning MVRU, Multiple-Visit Resource Use NDP, National Deve10pment Plan NFMS, National Farm Management Survey NMS, National Migration Study PSU, Planning and Statisics Unit RDC, Rural Development Council RIDS, Rural Income Distribution Study RI, Researcher Implemented RM, Researcher Managed RSU, Rural Sociology Unit SP, Single Plow USAID, United States Agency for International Deve10pment VDC, Village Development Committee xii l‘nis resear- Certral Agricult: largest agricult= patter of its f1 the region is 10' years with good ? :ienselves. In 1 production subsi I’ne resears‘: Iazageaent, expe EEPPOH Systems. carried out betw- lliis chapte ”12' the role of .ne research ob i J BOtswann is 333: 3115!: nor ii 333333r3- Host 1 tzallcefltrated in ‘ I. INTRODUCTION This research provides information on farming systems in the Central Agricultural Region, Botswana. The Central Region is the largest agricultural region in Botswana and encompasses more than a quarter of its farmers (Figure 1.1). The level of crop production in the region is low and unstable, as it is throughout Botswana. Even in years with good rainfall, many farmers do not produce enough to feed themselves. In drought seasons, nearly all farmers rely on government production subsidies and feeding programs, and on purchased food. The research covers household circumstances, crop systems management, experimentation on production practices, and agricultural support systems. The research is based on village and on-farm research carried out between October 1982 and June 1986. This chapter gives background information on national development and the role of agriculture, presents a problem statement, summarizes the research objectives, and describes the organization of the thesis. A. BACKGROUND Botswana is a lightly populated, land-locked country in southern Africa, just north of South Africa. Two-thirds of its 582,000 square kilometers are covered by the desert and semi-desert sands of the Kalahari. Most of the population of around one million people is concentrated in villages located on the eastern border of the country. 4" ." Po—.’ 3 -..-- -..--J r-— ‘q .\1 . I 5 \ Ngomulofld We 1' / d ,- WESTERN ./ / . I? 9' I | (hobo \ 1 i \ Ngom‘fa'nd (on .\. \ .r ' ‘ / l" . I . .1 .‘ . _, I f’ ' I l ,-- ' . i . GA BORONE a Kwoncng $00"! \(ng: \ ,* \ Novakonc Nor! SOUTHERN UNL ....... [__A‘ . \ \ \ lulume RANCISTOWN‘; '\ P‘- "(09‘ c FIGURE 1.1: MAP OF BOTSWANA;.AGRICULTURAL REGIONS AND DISTRICTS ;. PRJEILE 0? NE mg Botswa: eeustries in Afri bee: little insti mama and re: were the major 5C mating the 1 Four events had a the country was t is :opper, nickel mes. Diamonds with access to tt Ki. ....i, the South Locate Botswan. .’\.. “4“; it of the 1 albmfi a treme The combine 319 30tsvana eco iiltiuding rural ne- dCt STE? at 5%? t um“ iDahl ‘ l. PROFILE OF NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT When Botswana became independent in 1966, it was one of the poorest countries in Africa and was in a life threatening drought. There had been little institutional, infrastructural or industrial deve10pment. Livestock and remittances from mine laborers working in South Africa were the major sources of rural household and national income. During the 19708, circumstances in Botswana changed dramatically. Four events had a significant impact on national development. First, the country was found to possess mineral wealth on a large scale. There is copper, nickel, coal, iron ore, manganese and two massive diamond mines. Diamonds alone account for two—thirds of the value of exports [MFDP, 1985]. Second, the Lome Agreement with the EEC provided Botswana with access to the European beef market at no or reduced tariffs. Third, the Southern African Customs Union Agreement was renegotiated to allocate Botswana a larger share of customs union revenues. Fourth, the drought of the 19608 was followed by several years of good rainfall, allowing a tremendous expansion of the national cattle herd. The combined effect of these events was a dramatic restructuring of the Botswana economy. First, there was a large increase in earnings (including rural earnings). Between 1966 and 1983, the gross domestic product grew at an average annual rate of 13 percent [MFDP, 1985]. Second, there was a rapid expansion of demand, particularly demand for imports [Dahl, 1981]. Imports rose by around 400 percent during the decade following independence. Third, based on mine rents and customs union revenues, a budgetary surplus was achieved in 1983, and has been maintained since [Lewis, 1981]. Fourth, the contribution of agriculture :: we fell from the :mtributlon mgfacturinie tt Accompanying age in rural inf hare‘noie develop: tints. Heanwfni ievelopnent. AS Viewed as one of Despite its elninate three I Lhe economy to st generation, and t seztor More, 19, The wuinera li'is when Botsw tttbreak of Food recovered, the e “Fifi swings in The employ: lepeideat der 1 . K 4 to GDP fell from 39 percent in 1966 to 7.4 percent in 1983. By 1983, the contribution of agriculture was outstripped by mining, manufacturing, trade and hotels, services and government. Accompanying the change in the economic picture, major strides were made in rural infrastructure, particularly with respect to roads and borehole deve10pment, and rural services such as primary education and clinics. Meanwhile the political climate remained conducive to deve10pment. As a result, by the end of the 19708, Botswana was being viewed as one of the outstanding success stories in Africa. Despite its notable successes, the GOB has not been able to eliminate three persistent development problems: (a) vulnerability of the economy to shifts in export demand, (b) insufficient employment generation, and (c) poor and erratic performance of the crap farming sector [MFDP, 1985]. The vulnerability of the economy was made clear during the late 19708 when Botswana beef was temporarily banned from the EEC due to an outbreak of Food and Mouth Disease. Before the economy had fully recovered, the export demand for diamonds dropped. The net effect was rapid swings in the balance of payment between 1978 and 1983. The employment problem resulted largely from the pattern of diamond dependent deve10pment [Lewis, 1981]. Because there are few linkages from diamond mining to the rest of the economy, the eXpansion of formal sector employment was much less than the rate of growth of value added [Dahl, 1981]. Moreover, the increase in employment opportunities was largely offset by an increasing number of job seekers. The lack of formal sector job Opportunities led to a problem of rural underemployment, with nearly half the potential labor time not being reei iliPme 19: 2, EQLE 0F AGRIfi By the lld'i sector but it has :‘erelspneflt- 0“ cf :r'oan househoi agriwltural sect inerts, save for at raise rural i The Cowernne agriculture. Cat ezoraay and devel priority during 1 sector remained t Plan iDP V) but 3??3ftunities, t Silesia given t Lea Livestock d Mat-mien would a 1 uhEAOLds d0 DC used (Lipton, 1978]. 2. ROLE OF AGRICULTURE By the mid-19708, agriculture was no longer the largest economic sector but it has continued to play a vital rOle in national development. Over eighty percent Of rural households and a large share of urban households are involved in agricultural production. A viable agricultural sector is necessary to reduce national dependence on food imports, save foreign exchange, create rural employment Opportunities and raise rural incomes. The Government of Botswana recognizes the importance Of agriculture. Cattle historically have been the backbone of the rural economy and deve10pment Of a strong commercial livestock sector was a priority during the first four national plans. The commercial livestock sector remained the tOp priority in the 1979-85 National Development Plan (NDP V) but, motivated by a concern with equity and employment Opportunities, the Ministry of Agriculture was mandated to increase the emphasis given to crOp production, limited resource farmers and communal area livestock deve10pment. Continued emphasis on commercial livestock production would have had severe equity implications since many households do not have cattle [C80, 1976]. Although the Ministry Of Agriculture received an increased budget allocation under the 1979-85 NDP, financial and trained personnel resources available to the Ministry of Agriculture continued to be limited [Litschauer, 1980]. Through 1981, there had been little progress toward the goals envisioned for agricultural policy. The performance of the arable farming sector became a critical national problem when, in 1981, another drought started. Between the 377-75 season a: perrent. Food 31 great of natio: drag in the numb! agioraent in cr- aid-197'ds to 19C] to stimulat- eousehold food 5 agricultural ass 1954, store than rations equivale Food provided :11 596mm of th ties, all farmer 35 Percent SUbsi amides, Subs raccinations. I receive an 85 pe and water catchy; “931s. me Sovermr 1:5 , Nultml ass ‘35. 1983]. In J ufi‘ men“ on to the . Programs aim k‘leil OWEN Plan 5m . a falling in 6 1977-78 season and the 1982-83 season, the agricultural GDP fell 33.6 percent. Food grain production fell to 10,000 tons, less that ten percent of national food grain requirements. There was a 20-30 percent drOp in the number of households planting crops. As a result, estimated employment in crOp production drOpped from around 250,000 in the mid-19708 to 190,000 in the early 19808 [RDC, 1985]. TO stimulate farm employment, maintain rural assets and ensure household food security, the government has set up several feeding and agricultural assistance programs which subsidize rural households. In 1984, more than a third of the total pOpulation received supplementary rations equivalent to 35 percent Of their basic food needs [RDC, 1985]. Food provided through the various feeding programs accounted for nearly 25 percent Of the total availability of staple grains. At the same time, all farmers were eligible to receive 20 kilograms of free seed, an 85 percent subsidy on plowing (up to three hectares), payments for field destumping, subsidized stockfeed, and free or subsidized livestock vaccinations. In addition, farmers having fewer than forty cattle could receive an 85 percent subsidy for the purchase of implements, fencing, and water catchment tanks, and a 60 percent subsidy for traction animals. The government does not want to continue the various feeding and agricultural assistance programs at their current level [MFDP, 1985; RDC, 1985]. In addition to the political drawbacks from national dependence on food imports and household dependence on the government, the programs simply are not sustainable. The current National Development Plan (NDP VI) projects that the growth of mine revenues will begin falling in the next few years while the growth of government experiitures wiI Tierefore, the 1 food iaports an: :3 rural househ. 37513? 3 Viable performance of . he pro'ole: .‘iristry of Ag: deelopuent whi present, Minist' nezagerial prac iaproved crop p Because of different targe 1"? Segments “6 aade to all is “Ch or more ““3 and Cohen re-r ' Janendatmns Io COntrib more informtic do t 950 n ”“98 (h 35 ': d1‘f‘irent te he and cash t tray“ is, ‘ “firs tnink a 7 expenditures will increase, leading to a government budget deficit. Therefore, the government expects to have a declining ability to pay for food imports and provide free or subsidized food and agricultural inputs to rural households. Consequently, the Ministry Of Agriculture must deveIOp a viable strategy for addressing the stagnation and erratic performance of arable agriculture. B. PROBLEM STATEMENT The problem addressed in this thesis is the limited capacity of the Ministry Of Agriculture to identify ways to contribute to arable farming deve10pment which are not based on resource transfers and subsidies. At present, Ministry officials do not know enough about farmers' resources, managerial practices and decision processes to evaluate and target improved crop production technologies and support systems. Because of the Ministry's limited capacity to develOp programs for different target groups, the agricultural assistance programs encompass large segments of the pOpulation and the same extension recommendations are made to all farmers. The result is that richer households benefit as much or more from the assistance programs as do poorer households [Holm and Cohen, 1986] and few households follow the main extension recommendations. To contribute to arable farming development, the Ministry needs more information about several issues, including the following: (a) How do resources (human, land, capital, and livestock) affect the relevance of different technologies and programs; (b) DO rural households have the time and cash to invest in new practices or implements; (c) Can traditional practices be modified to increase production; (d) What do farmers think about the practices recommended by the Ministry; (e) Are “here any a”duc ccrtizions; and addressed to m The lack of essence of agric istead, lack of gas: agricultura sirce the 197-0‘s. Several an: household dynana Essen [1977], A 'n'aluahie, these Zactites or agr lotions for th Shah of the filtrated throng ’1 a Particular Nukes, one fOC .r‘at ' a ’ one On in “Wu, 1975}, Dr 'u'lt ' e ' 3 lied mrorma r». . .45! Vere “wail; 8 there any production practices which perform well under drought conditions; and (f) Are there institutional constraints which might be addressed to facilitate crop deve10pment? The lack of information on the above issues is not due to an absence of agricultural and rural deve10pment research in Botswana. Instead, lack Of information can be attributed to: (a) the pattern of past agricultural research and (b) the change in national circumstances since the 19708. Several anthrOpological studies have provided information on household dynamics and village institutions, such as Schapera [1943], Kerven [1977], Alverson [1978] and Gulbrandsen [1980]. Although valuable, these studies generally have not addressed production practices or agricultural support systems, nor have they identified Options for the Ministry of Agriculture. Much of the information about Botswana agriculture has been generated through national studies with predetermined mandates to focus on a particular issue. During the 19703, there were at least four major studies, one focused on the (now ended) food-for-work program [FAO, 1974], one on income distribution [C50, 1976], another on employment [Lipton, 1978], and the fourth on migration [080, 1982]. These studies provided information on agricultural households and the rural economy. They were invaluable in describing the circumstances of poor rural households, particularly households without cattle and female—headed households. The importance Of the various national studies is reflected in the influence they have had on national planning. The studies were unanimous in urging the government to shift its orientation toward the pm. Host rec generation. A capital, both 1 in agricultural of the studies ' productive capi another subsidy l'he hinist audit knows, i' what to do ahou general. the v. gractices, rela development, or A third so- ?ractices, is tj 35% Ministry, . generauy has b. lli‘l‘iios’ MOSt Stations_ FEW large gap bEtve paling“, (b) 9 poor. Most recommended a focus on crop production and rural employment generation. A common prescription was to create access to productive capital, both livestock and implements, in order to increase the returns in agricultural production. The main recommendations and prescriptions of the studies were accepted in NDP VI. ALDEP was set up to provide productive capital. Within a few years, however, ALDEP was changed into another subsidy program. The Ministry of Agriculture now knows it should focus on the poor and it knows, in general, who the poor are. It does not, however, know what to dO about the poor or about the stagnation of crop production in general. The various national studies say little about production practices, relationships between household circumstances and technology development, or agricultural support systems. A third source of information, which does address production practices, is the agricultural research which has been carried out by the Ministry. Unfortunately, agricultural research by the Ministry generally has been equated with technical research and, until the mid-19708, most technical research was carried out on experiment stations. Few guidelines were developed for farmers because Of: (a) a large gap between management Of the on-station trials and farmers' practices, (b) a lack of significant yield benefits from many tested practices, and (c) a failure to evaluate the economic benefits from alternative practices (for examples, see ARS [1978] and DAR [1969]). The weakness Of on-station technical research was recognized in the 19708 and two multidisciplinary on-farm research projects were initiated. These projects, however, concentrated on testing technological packages generated through on-station research [Gaosegelwe 9.110! 1953i- ;rrjects turnec prrject focuses livestock inter with farm svste such as patter: rasrflows, fooc Ecrctioning of faraing develo; Finally, I P1313133 throw “Neils carrie: Statistics. 5, data required resources. The Feetices, "as Sezder roles, :1953i and (:33 As a resu target, t 01d circ iterates and we. ; iEIOre’ an any“, avid p, the: . The goal this“ of ar 10 et al., 1983]. After more than five years Of limited success, both projects turned to a farming systems approach but, even then, one project focused mainly on improved implements and the other focused on livestock interventions [Baker and Hobbs, 1986]. Neither project dealt with farm systems in the Central Region and neither addressed issues such as patterns in household resources, whole farm labor use, cashflows, food consumption, variations in traditional practices, or the functioning of local institutions, and how these issues influence arable farming development. Finally, the Ministry does generate its own information for planning through national farm management and agricultural statistical surveys carried out each year by the Division of Planning and Statistics. Both surveys, however, concentrate on a limited range of data required for characterizing production trends and the returns to resources. The data ignore mixed cropping, patterns in traditional practices, wage employment, income sources, household labor allocation, gender roles, resource sharing, and market participation (see Boykin [1983] and C80 [1984]). As a result, little is known about the relationships between household circumstances, crOps systems management, modified production practices and local agricultural institutions in the Central Region. Therefore, an integrated, farming systems analysis is needed in order to provide guidance to Ministry Of Agriculture personnel and to improve their capacity to contribute to arable farming development. C. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The goal Of this thesis is to provide a comprehensive, systems analysis of arable farming in the Central Region, and the factors u I ' .N utectine a niectives 1. To des: identif farming l to gene farmers 4' 3° anal identii PerfOrrr 11 affecting arable farming, in order to determine arable farming development priorities. To accomplish this goal, the specific research objectives are as follows: 1. TO describe patterns in household resource control and use, and to identify the implications of household circumstances for arable farming development. 2. To generate information on existing production practices, and farmers' priorities and perceptions, in order to identify technology deve10pment priorities. 3. TO characterize crOpping outcomes, and to identify production practices which can improve cropping Outcomes even under drought conditions. 4. To analyze the performance Of agricultural support systems, and to identify policy and institutional Options to improve their performance. D. ORGANIZATION OF THESIS Chapter II describes the research approach. The conceptual framework is introduced. After that, an overview is given of the field research activities and the data analysis procedures. The final section identifies the distinctive features of the research approach. Chapter III gives an overview Of the household circumstances affecting arable farming. Information is presented on human, land, labor, capital and livestock resources. Household resources are key parameters affecting farm system performance and Options for improved performance. Household labor use, revenue and expenditure, and food consumption patterns are also described in order to place arable crOps production into a household and farm systems context. At the end of the , ‘ ‘ --. ' 9 war“ ‘31 para; 8.8.. you v6.58: 5 I v ' e 1 a I.‘ a iewlash .fii‘hn 1 "P‘I‘L-o‘ but ge : 55“! elm.- f'tl: . 9 W o' “4, s. 3'. 12 chapter, the main implications of a household and farm systems perspective for arable farming development are highlighted. Chapter IV shifts from a household perspective to an analysis of crop systems management. Information is presented on cropping objectives, crops and varieties, draft management, traction use patterns, production practices, post-harvesting practices, and roles in decision-making. Attention is given to farmers' priorities and perceptions, as well as to describing current practices. The final section identifies implications of crops systems management for arable farming deve10pment. Chapter V gives an assessment of cropping outcomes and reviews the efforts which have been made to identify improved arable production technologies. The results of the on-farm trials are described and budget analyses are presented for the most promising practices. The budget analyses focus on minor changes since the harsh and uncertain environment precludes as too risky interventions which require substantially increased investments. Chapter VI presents information on the performance of three agricultural support systems. The first section gives an evaluation of agricultural extension in the Central Region. The trading network in the Central Region is addressed in the second section. The third section examines village groups and a group formation "institutional experiment." The final section gives recommendations on policy and institutional changes. The last chapter reviews the research approach and objectives, summarizes the findings, points out implications for the Ministry Of Agriculture, identifies limitations of the research, and suggests 3323!} r ‘; jade: ’31-‘03i sssu 13 priorities future on-farm research in Botswana. The Appendix gives an overview Of agriculture in Botswana, for readers not familiar with Botswana. Information is given about the technical environment, the agricultural sector structure, recent production trends, production practices in the different agricultural regions, and the main agricultural institutions. «A .34— sari; t0 3: EETJI II. RESEARCH APPROACH The thesis is based on village and on-farm research carried out under the auspices Of the Agricultural Technology Improvement Project (ATIP). This chapter gives an overview of the research approach. The first section introduces the ATIP project. The next three sections describe: (a) the conceptual framework which guided the research, (b) the field research activities, and (c) data analysis procedures. The final section points out four distinctive features of the research approach. A. AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY IMPROVEMENT PROJECT ATIP was initiated in 1982 with a mandate to improve the capacity of the Ministry Of Agriculture to develop and extend technologies relevant to the needs of resource poor farmers. To accomplish the mandate, there were four main components to the project: (a) an agricultural economist was based at the main research station in order to strengthen the capacity for multi-disciplinary research, (b) an agronomist was appointed tO a newly created position Of Research-Extension Liaison Officer (RELO), (c) long- and short-term training were provided to Ministry Officers, and (d) two on-farm research teams were established. The core of the project was the two on-farm research teams. One had a mandate to cover the Central Agricultural Region. The second had a mandate to cover Tutume District in the Francistown Agricultural Region. 14 , AL- .4, In 2133 be " .a‘ rcrtr ll". :5 15 The Central Region team comprised twO expatriates—-an agronomist and an agricultural economist--plus counterparts and field assistants from the Ministry of Agriculture. The team had a mandate to focus on crop production and the crop-livestock interface. The Objective was to improve arable farming in a manner that contributed to equity and national food independence. The target group of farmers was defined to be those cultivating from one to ten hectares and having fewer than forty head of cattle. B. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Arable farming deve10pment priorities in the Central Region were analyzed using a farming systems approach. The farming systems approach has three distinguishing characteristics: (a) reductionism is rejected in favor of a systems perspective, (b) farm systems generally are taken as the unit of analysis, and (c) a systems problem evaluation process is followed. This section defines the term "system," characterizes the systems perspective, introduces the concept of a farm system, and describes the problem evaluation sequence. The systems problem evaluation procedures used in this research are comparable to those develOped by CIMMYT for "on-farm research with a farming systems perspective" [Byerlee, Collinson, et al., 1981] and by Norman for the "farming systems approach to research" [Gilbert, Norman, Winch, 1980] but are presented using terminology suggested by Manetsch and Park [1979]. 1. DEFINITION OF A "SYSTEM" A system is a set of interacting components which are organized toward a goal or set of goals. A system reacts as a whole to external a c 4 a .C a - e e w it HIM "V .8 a 0L AG ~ A as D * at,- ‘U. y» n .a I \J tutu. D' a s h C . b‘h Is!‘ “'6 ‘2’- .5 16 stimuli and each system has a specified boundary based on the inclusion Of all significant feedback [Spedding, 1979; Dent and Anderson, 1971]. Following Manetsch and Park [1979], systems can be identified with reference to input variables, output variables, and parameters which define the system structure. The system structure is the set of interacting components (or subsystems) and related variables (including parameters) that link system outputs to system inputs. System parameters are the fixed attributes of the system structure. System input variables include environmental and controllable inputs. Environmental inputs affect the system but are not significantly influenced by it and, therefore, are beyond the boundary of the system. Controllable inputs are provided by system managers. System outputs can be either desired or undesired. System performance refers to the success of a system in attaining desired outputs. 2. SYSTEMS PERSPECTIVE The systems perspective is the antithesis of reductionism. Following Dillon [1976], the reductionist approach entails reducing phenomena to more basic part8, analyzing the parts as independent entities, and then aggregating the results in order to explain the phenomena under study. Dillon argued that reductionism has led disciplinary researchers away from real world problems. Dillon contrasted reductionism with the systems concepts of expansionism and teleology. Expansionism is the view that all objects and events are parts of larger wholes. Teleology is the belief that purpose and design affect phenomena. The teleological approach involves setting a target and assessing alternative actions for achieving the target. The practical limitations Of reductionism have been identified by 17 many systems analysts. Two arguments are frequently mentioned. One relates to global versus local Optimization. It is argued that Optimization with respect to a part Of a system does not necessarily mean that the performance of the entire system will be improved. The second holds that the whole of a system is greater than the sum Of the parts. Because of the synergistic interactions of systems components, systems cannot be studied by considering their components in isolation [Rountree, 1977]. Dillon [1976] said that the systems approach inherently leads to better understanding since it is more consistent with real world processes. With reference to specific contributions, Dillon argued that the systems approach: (a) provides an indication of where research is needed, (b) helps researchers to consider more than the material product of agriculture, and (c) provides a workable procedure for research, and for evaluating the likely ramifications of research. Based on the expansionist and teleological concepts, the search for solutions using the systems perspective cuts across the boundaries of traditional disciplines and is philOSOphically eclectic, with an emphasis on pragmatism. A distinguishing feature of pragmatism is the belief that knowledge is valid only if it leads to "workable solutions" tO identified problems [Johnson, 1986]. 3. FARM SYSTEMS CONCEPT A farm system is a biological, social and physical system in which decision makers attempt tO control biological subsystems in an uncertain environment in order to achieve multiple goals. "Farming systems" are groups of farm systems which have nearly the same social, institutional and technical environment and, a8 a result, pursue similar goals through 18 similar sets of system components. In a strict sense, farming systems generally are not systems since: (a) no boundary is specified which includes all significant feedback and (b) they do not react as a whole to external stimuli. A farm system encompasses most, but not all, the activities of an agricultural household. Agricultural household activities also include wage employment, schooling, child rearing, gathering, and attending ceremonies. Consequently, research on farm systems may be sufficient for addressing most of the factors affecting households, but not all. A farm system can be viewed as having a management unit which is responsible for the standard management functions, including problem identification, observation, analysis, decision making, taking action and assuming responsibility for outcomes. The goals Of the management unit are accomplished by adjustments in the timing, level and composition of controllable inputs applied to the various subsystems. The management unit usually does not consist of a single individual. Farm system managers have limited control over the nature and output of the system. The structure and performance Of a farm system are determined primarily by the system environment and by endogenous, but uncontrollable in the short run, system parameters. Farm system parameters include the number and composition Of components (or subsystems), demographic composition of a household, behavioral characteristics Of system managers and household assets. A model farm system model is given in Figure 2.1. The first part of the figure shows a general model which characterizes all farm systems. The second part lists the key inputs, outputs, system components, and resource parameters identified for farm systems in the 19 SYSTEM ENVIRONMENT l OVERT INPUTS ,7 FARM SYSTEM OUTPUTS F'— UTILITY SYSTEM MANAGEMENT L IDENTIFICATION OF BOTSWANA FARM SYSTEMS SYSTEM ENVIRONMENT: Technical: Soils, Rainfall, Climate, TOpography Biological: Birds, Livestock, Pests and Vegetation; Varieties Rural Economy: Prices, Wages, Credit, Input & Output Markets Village Institutions: Groups, Inter-Household Exchanges Government Programs: Drought Relief, ALDEP, Extension, ARAP INPUTS: Labor, Cash, Traction, Seed, Implements, Land FARM SYSTEM: Components: Crop Production, Livestock Husbandry, Beer Brewing Demographic: Size, Residence, Sex Of Head, Education Assets: Livestock, Land, Implements, Buildings Behavior: Perceptions, Priorities, Beliefs OUTPUTS: Food, Beer, Consumer Goods, Livestock, Cash FIGURE 2.1: A FARM SYSTEM MODEL ”-2,- a.” 01;. 20 Central Region. Structural relations between system components are implicit in the feedback lOOp (through management) in which outputs from one component can contribute directly to utility or can have instrumental value. 4. SYSTEMS PROBLEM EVALUATION SEQUENCE The farm systems model does not indicate what should be investigated, or how an investigation should proceed. To investigate farm systems in the Central Region, a systems problem evaluation sequence was used. There are many characterizations Of the systems problem evaluation sequence in the farming systems literature. The most common representation was developed by D. Norman [1980]. Norman proposed four stages of research: description and diagnosis, design, testing and extension. Norman's terminology identifies processes which are conceptually distinct, although they may be carried out at the same time or even in a different order than is implied in use of the term "stages." A problem with most representations Of the systems problem evaluation sequence is that they assume a focus on technology evaluation. In this research, however, information is another important output. Information can relate to human and institutional perspectives as well as to technologies. Therefore, a slightly different conceptualization of the systems problem evaluation sequence was develOped and is presented in Figure 2.2. Figure 2.2 is based on a merger between the stages concept Of Norman and the feasibility evaluation process of the systems approach presented in Manetsch and Park [1979]. The sequence moves through a 2i r--- Needs ] Analysis r I I I Ade uate NO : l q l 3 : (Research) : (TOpic) I~ : NO r- System i Identificationk_—‘ [Propose Backup ResearchL [Possible] I : [Adequate] N0 Check for I Technical : (System) Solutions --1 n (Components) as l : NO i k-Eescriptioni , 1 : LRecommend Policy Changes L [Main Problem] : : [Adequate] No , I Check Policy -4 : (What is) ,t Environment : ' [Disseminate] —jT I i—--[_Diagnos is I, No : s ‘ ' : [Adeqlate] NO No [Viable] [ExperimentL [Soleble] ] l E [On-Farm] ' 1 (Problem) 7 : i (Statement) , NO Prescreen I i J, ‘ I (Set of) For "—1. : Design [Complete]__(0ptions) Viabilit s I a J ..1‘ 7* r I a l 1 L 41 LQather Information] [generate Information_] I Provide Information I FIGURE 2.2: FARMING SYSTEMS PROBLEM EVALUATION SEQUENCE 22 series of processes (or stages). After each process, there is an evaluation to determine whether the outcome of the process was completed satisfactorily. The solid lines and arrows indicate the path through the processes. Reverse arrows indicate iteration or repetition of prior processes. The broken lines represent the accumulation and processing of information at all phases Of the sequence. As represented in Figure 2.2, the collection, generation and provision of information are separate processes, which are outside but complementary to the actual problem evaluation sequence. The sequence begins with a "needs analysis." The objective of the needs analysis is to select a research topic which addresses an identified need (or felt problem). The "need" can derive from a research mandate, a review Of literature, intuition or an assessment of farmer problems, and usually will be based on a combination. The second process is to identify the system tO be investigated. This process ordinarily starts with the farm system model. However, alternative systems can be identified depending on the needs analysis. Two of the most important processes are systems description and diagnosis. Farming systems research procedures for systems description and diagnosis include the following steps. First, select areas and groups of farms systems with reasonably similar characteristics as targets for research. The target groups are called recommendation domains [Byerlee, Collinson et a1, 1980] or research domains [Hildebrand and Poey, 1985]. Second, identify and describe systems components, management behavior, environmental circumstances, resource and demographic parameters, and performance measures. Third, examine subsystems management and the determinants of system performance in 23 order to diagnose: (a) why practices are being used, (b) what problems constrain productivity, and (c) the relative importance of constraints. In the design process, a range of alternatives are generated to address the identified constraints. The alternatives generally are based on experiment station research results, farmers' indigenous technical knowledge, and existing practices. The alternatives are prescreened taking into account technical feasibility, economic viability and social acceptability [Norman and Collinson, 1985]. The main design process output is a series Of hypotheses about the technical and economic benefits from specific biological inputs, husbandry practices, practices by environment effects, or policy and institutional changes. The hypotheses are then tested through on-farm experiments or evaluated through policy and institutional research. The problem evaluation sequence ideally encompasses attempts to test the validity of prOposed solutions by having the clients of research react to them. The workability of solutions can then be judged by seeing if the clients take advantage of the findings and if, once adopted, the findings contribute to improved farm systems performance. The problem evaluation sequence is not a one-time activity. There is continual iteration with respect to the processes in any given sequence. Also, new needs are identified over time. When a new need is identified, it might take priority over an existing problem evaluation sequence. In this case, the prior sequence is aborted, whatever information has been produced is distributed, and attention is shifted to the new needs analysis. 24 C. FIELD RESEARCH ACTIVITIES This section describes: (a) the procedures used to select representative villages and farmer cooperators, (b) the surveys and studies used for systems description and diagnosis, and (c) the types of trials used to test production practices. 1. VILLAGE AND FARMER SELECTION During the first three seasons, field research activities were focused on 52 farmer cOOperators in two representative villages. Approximately half the cOOperators participated in the resource monitoring survey (described below). Initially, only the other half participated in on-farm trials but, eventually, most of the COOperators hosted trials. All the cooperators also participated in several single-visit surveys. This section describes the procedures used to select the representative villages and farmer cooperators. a. Village Selection In 1982 USAID and the GOB specified that the research coverage should be limited to a representative village in each of two extension areas. In conjunction with the District Extension Officers, three trips were made to identify and select representative villages. The villages selected were Shoshong, in Mahalapye West District, and Makwate, in Mahalapye East District. Shoshong was selected to represent the dominant pattern of cattle and tractor farming. Shoshong is a large village with several active village groups, trading establishments and schools. Makwate was selected to represent donkey traction farming. In addition, Makwate has fewer services and less infrastructural deve10pment than Shoshong. Since Shoshong encompasses two extension areas, it was decided to work just in Shoshong East, one c F. .1. :4.- r. ml c a A: 25 of the two extension areas. b. Farmer Selection To select farmers, a three stage procedure was followed. First, village exploratory surveys were carried out to establish a research focus and define corre8ponding research domains. Second, a 16 question census was administered in each village to generate a sample frame. Third, nearly two months were spent contacting and interviewing the households selected from the sample frame, to make sure COOperators understood what would be expected of them. The exploratory surveys were carried out during October 1982. Eight to nine person-days were spent in each village. The interviews were informal and unstructured. A checklist of information on practices and problems was compiled during the interviews. Debriefing meetings were held each evening. The main arable production problem identified was inadequate and uneven plant establishment (based on a literature review and recommendations from on-station researchers, as well as the exploratory surveys). Therefore, research domains were defined on the basis of factors affecting the ability to implement timely planting or multiple tillage Operations. Two RDs were identified. The domains were based on whether a household controlled the use of traction resources (owned, managed or borrowed) or was dependent on other households (hired or shared draft). Lack of draft control had been identified in several studies as the central constraint on timely planting and, consequently, as a key problem affecting crOp production [FAO, 1974; Oland, Alverson, Cummings, 1980; Livingstone and Srivastava, 1980; Vierich and Sheppard, 1980]. "‘ c‘» b H' 26 The census was administered during late October and early November, 1982. Following a brief training session, nine enumerators covered both areas in two work-days. Eight additional person-days were spent recontacting households. Approximately 90 percent of the households were contacted in both villages. The results of the censuses were hand tabulated so farmer selection could begin immediately. Independent samples were selected for the on-farm trials and resource monitoring so results of the resource monitoring survey would not be affected by participation in researcher managed trials. Based on available resources, it was possible to include approximately 25 households in the on-farm trials program and 25-30 households in resource monitoring. The size of the resource monitoring sample was based on an assessment that each of three enumerators could interview five households a day (or ten households total, each twice a week, with one day for recontacts). Before selecting cooperators, each RD was divided into sub-domains. The first sub-division was based on type of traction used--donkeys, cattle or tractors. The type of traction was important to consider because of differences in expense, and the speed and quality of field operations (due to draft power). For the resource monitoring sample, an additional sub-division was made on the basis Of cattle assets and gender of the household head. Cattle assets were considered since the research mandate was to focus on resource poor farmers. Also, cattle asset inequality had been a major agricultural planning issue in Botswana since the Rural Income Distribution Study (RIDS) [C80, 1976]. Gender of the household head was considered because female-headed households had been identified as a particularly vulnerable segment of r" I.) in (J P ‘9- 27 the rural pOpulation [Bond, 1974; FAO, 1974; C80, 1976; Kerven, 1977; Livingstone and Srivastava, 1980; C80, 1982]. In order to make sure households representing each research domain and sub-domain were included, the population was stratified before randomly selecting COOperators within strata. The relative number of households selected in each stratum was determined by the number of households in each stratum in the p0pulation so results would not have to be weighted when presenting findings for each or both villages. Some adjustments were made in the course of selecting each sample. For the trial cOOperators, cell proportions were adjusted slightly to make sure there was minimal representation of each domain and traction sub-domain. Also, all members of the trials sample had to have fenced fields in order to protect trial plots. Two adjustments were made for the resource monitoring sample. First, households with only one or two members were not included, since a perspective Of household resource allocation, not just for individuals, was wanted. Second, the sample in Shoshong East was clustered, since enumerators had to bicycle to the lands for interviews (a minimum of 10-15 kilometers). Once most farmers had been selected through the stratified random sampling procedure, clusters were completed by making contacts in the lands area. Farmers were interviewed at randomly encountered compounds. A household was included if it fitted the quotas based on draft access, traction, gender of household head, and cattle ownership. By the middle of December, 1982, 52 cOOperators had been selected, and both trial and survey activities initiated. 28 c. Addition of Makoro Village in 1984 Beginning the 1984-85 season, Makoro in the Palapye Agricultural District was added as a research village (following a GOB request to work in an additional district). To select Makoro, representative extension area characteristics were identified on the basis of a regional survey (see Chapter VI). The objective was to find a village which had less infrastructural deve10pment than Shoshong but, like Shoshong, represented the dominant pattern of cattle-tractor farming. The Ministry specified that the village had to be in Palapye District. Logistical considerations required that only villages within two hours of Mahalapye be considered. Five potential villages were identified on the basis of survey results. Each village was visited once or twice. Makoro had all the specified criteria and provided a new settlement pattern. Although having a borehole, health clinic, general trader, extension agent, and various village groups, Makoro was a distant lands area for Serowe and Palapye villages. 2. SURVEYS AND STUDIES Four types of surveys and studies were used for systems description and diagnosis: (8) resource use monitoring, (b) subject surveys, (c) plot monitoring, and (d) technical studies. A catalog of the surveys and studies, including the focus, reason, sample, dates and primary investigator for each activity, is presented in Table 2.1. a. Resource Use Monitoring Resource use monitoring was a major activity during the first three seasons. 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Female-headed households had as much invested in housing as male-headed households--despite fewer cattle and lower incomes--due to inheritance, family help, and remittances. Agricultural capital was an insignificant proportion of household assets. (Other equipment can only partially be treated as agricultural capital since it included carts and, for a few households, vehicles which had non-agricultural uses.) Households with fewer cattle did not have fewer hand tools and receptacles but did have less invested in plows (reflecting few plows). Plows are the single most important implement in arable production and investments in plows are less divisible than are those in hand tools or receptacles. A positive correlation between cattle assets and plow ownership also was found in the RIDS [Lucas, 1985]. C . LABOR ALLOCATION This section presents an overview Of household labor use by activity, month and age-gender category. Where applicable, findings are compared to those from the RIDS, recently published in Chernichovsky, Lucas and Mueller [1985], and a labor use study carried Out in Shoshong in 1970 (reported in Bond [1974]). A comparison is useful since both studies are now more than ten years Old. Also, the RIDS labor data were collected from 1,000 households but were based on only five days per year per household. Household labor allocations were monitored through the MVRU Survey. There were three main Objectives: (a) to assess labor requirements for crOp production relative to household maintenance and other income generating activities, (b) to characterize the gender division Of labor, 63 and (c) to examine seasonality in labor use. 1. HOUSEHOLD LABOR USE An overview of household labor use is summarized in Table 3.6. Note that the percentages in the table do not take into account leisure, school and child care-~each Of which would account for a lot of time if recorded [Mueller, 1985]. The single most time consuming activity was tending livestock, accounting for over a quarter of the hours worked by household members. However, taken together, household maintenance activities took more than forty percent of the total time recorded. Nearly 1,100 hours per household, or an average of three hours per day, were spent on cooking alone. Beer brewing accounted for a surprisingly small share of time, slightly more than half the amount of time spent in wage employment. Fieldwork accounted for a only 15 percent of household members time. The most time consuming field activity was birdscaring, but birdscaring often was combined with other field activities (so separate hours were not recorded for birdscaring). The most time consuming "active" task was plowing and planting, followed by harvesting and fencing. A short length of time usually was spent on any single activity on a given day but several different activities Often were done each day. This was particularly true Of household maintenance activities. Fieldwork days averaged 3.75 hours, on days fieldwork was done. The longest amount of time spent on a single activity during a day was for wage employment, an average Of 7.3 hours per day on days when wage employment was done. Thus, wage employment seemingly precludes doing many other activities on the same day. This may in part explain why women can fit crOp production activities into their heavy schedules, 64 TABLE 3.6: HOUSEHOLD LABOR USE, 1983-84 PERSON-DAYS PERCENT HOURS PERCENT PER YEAR/a OF DAYS PER YEAR OF HOURS (Per Household) FIELDWORK: 199/b 8.9 747 14.9 Clear & Destump 8 38 Plow & Plant: 28 131 Weed & Thin/c 18 63 Birdscare/d 56 208 Gather Morogo 7 13 Other Harvest 35 116 Fix Threshing Floor 7 21 Thresh, Winnow & Bag 17 53 Fence 24 105 LIVESTOCK: 541 24.2 1362 27.2 Tend 443 1290 Milk 98 72 BEER: 93 4.2 261 5.2 Make 63 101 Sell 30 160 HOUSEHOLD MAINTENANCE: 1332 59.5 2125 42.4 Gather Firewood 154 189 Fetch Water 545 531 Cook 431 1097 Wash 159 232 Construct & Repair 43 76 OFF-FARM: 73 3.3 513 10.3 Other Fields 10 54 Wage Employment 63 459 ALL 2240 5009 Source: 1983-84 MVRU Survey; 27 households. a. Each person working during a day counted as one person-day. b. Numbers and percentages do not total due to rounding. c. Includes a small number of hours spent hilling jugo beans. d. Birdscaring time was not recorded. To account for birdscaring, 3.75 hours (the average length of an active fieldwork day) was added for each birdscaring person-day. 65 while men are less able to do so with their lighter schedules. 2. GENDER DIVISION OF LABOR Table 3.7 shows the average hours per household spent on income generating and household activities by men, women, boys and girls. The table shows there was a strong gender division of labor. There was also somewhat of an age division of labor. Men and boys were responsible for most Of the livestock tending and milking labor, plowing, and field maintenance (mainly destumping and fencing). Boys actually spent more time tending livestock and plowing than did men. Boys also helped with household maintenance activities more than did men. Men, however, spent nearly twice as many hours in wage employment as did any other worker category. WOmen worked more hours on more activities than either men or boys. On average, women were responsible for more than three-quarters of household maintenance time, sixty percent of weeding time, two-thirds of birdscaring time, eighty percent Of harvesting and threshing time, and essentially all the time spent brewing and selling beer. Girls primarily did the same activities as women, but accounted for less than ten percent of the time recorded. Girls contributed significant amounts of labor only to gathering firewood and water, and cooking and washing. NO categories of labor spent much time on construction and repair activities. In total, females worked 37 percent more hours than did males. Since most of the activities not recorded are primarily done by females, the gap between males and females is much greater than this. On an individual basis, women worked the greatest number of hours, nearly 1,200 hours per active woman. This was more than sixty percent more 66 TABLE 3.7: HOUSEHOLD LABOR USE BY AGE-GENDER CATEGORIES, 1983-84 MEN WOMEN BOYS GIRLS (Hours) FIELDWORK: Plow & Plant 48 20 61 l Weed & Thin 12 40 6 6 Birdscare/a 23 143 11 34 Harvest (inc. Morogo) 11 103 4 11 Field Maintenance/b 103 32 26 2 LIVESTOCK: Tend 468 72 732 18 Milk 18 7 46 l BEER: Make 1 98 c 1 Sell c 159 1 c HOUSEHOLD MAINTENANCE: Gather Firewood 37 77 45 29 Fetch Water 55 306 48 122 Cook 3 895 24 175 Wash 3 197 10 23 Construct & Repair 11 57 5 3 OFF-FARM: Wage Employment 261 154 25 19 Other Field 14 28 8 4 TOTAL: Per Household 1071 2435 1052 453 Per Active Person/d 729 1188 612 246 Source: 1983-84 MVRU Survey. a. Birscaring hours calculated as in Table 3.6. b. Includes clearing, destumping, fixing threshing floor, and fencing. c. Less than one. d. Active people were defined to be the number Of residents in each category who were not inactive due to age or health (determined on the basis Of the Household Census). The number of individuals actually contributing labor fluctuated as individuals moved in and out of the household on a temporary basis. 67 hours than worked per active man. The low number Of hours recorded per active girl mainly reflects a failure to record hours for two of their main activities, childcare and bush gathering. The findings on the gender division of labor generally support those from the RIDS [Mueller, 1985], the early research in Shoshong [Bond, 1974], and the NMS [C80, 1982]. In those studies, males accounted for most of the livestock tending labor and were relatively more engaged in wage employment than females. Females on the other hand, accounted for nearly all of the household maintenance activities and a majority of the fieldwork. 3. SEASONAL PROFILE OF LABOR USE Table 3.8 presents a monthly profile of household labor use by activity. Aside from the amount Of time devoted to construction and repair, the largest monthly variation in hours worked was for fieldwork, as would ordinarily be expected. Time spent on beer brewing and wage employment also varied quite a bit over the year but generally in a counter cyclical pattern to fieldwork. As a result, total labor inputs varied less over the year than was the case for any single labor activity. With the exception Of high figures for a single month, January, there was not much difference in household maintenance labor by month. Excluding January the coefficient Of variation of monthly labor inputs for household maintenance was only around fifteen percent. Mueller [1985] also concluded there was a lack Of significant seasonality in labor requirements for household maintenance activities. The MVRU Survey data showed that household maintenance labor inputs increased slightly during the cropping season. This was because the 68 TABLE 3.8: HOUSEHOLD LABOR USE BY MONTH, 1983-84 FIELD- LIVE— WOOD/ COOK/ CONST./ WORK STOCK BEER WAGE WATER WASH REPAIR ALL NOVEMBER 50 102 12 44 57 94 2 361 DECEMBER 103 95 6 12 46 95 2 360 JANUARY 93 138 6 18 117 180 5 559 FEBRUARY 52/8 102 25 68 71 142 10 469 MARCH 65 159 20 62 55 114 3 478 APRIL 106 139 22 47 51 114 2 481 MAY 126 186 31 69 56 109 5 581 JUNE 108 110 19 18 52 86 5 397 JULY 38 92 24 18 43 89 2 306 AUGUST 31 87 3o 30 52 100 4 333 SEPTEMBER 24 76 31 31 70 104 9 345 OCTOBER 6 75 36 44 50 103 26 339 79131115; """" a; 114 22‘ 38 NA 111/c 6 .1; S.D. 39 35 10 20 20 27 7 93 c.v. (Z) 59 31 45 53 33 24 105 22 Source: 1983-84 MVRU Survey. a. February through June includes birdscaring days at 3.75 hours per day. b. Without January, the mean, s.d., and c.v. for gathering firewood and fetching water are 5.5, 8.7 and 16%. c. Without January, the mean, s.d., and c.v. for cooking and washing were 104, 15.7 and 152. 69 time required for cooking, washing, gathering firewood and fetching water increased as the households split (some members going to the lands and some remaining in the village). In contrast, the RIDS showed that the time spent on household activities decreased during the crOpping season. The difference may stem from the seasons monitored. The RIDS was carried out in a season with good rainfall, so crOpping labor requirements may have forced a reduction in household maintenance labor. The MVRU Survey also showed that livestock tending labor did not change much on a monthly basis but did tend to increase at the same time that fieldwork labor was the greatest. The 1985 Livestock Practices Survey confirmed that this stemmed from a need increase the intensity Of herding during the crOpping season in order to reduce liability for crop damage. When examined by age-gender categories, the monthly profile of hours spent by women on household maintenance and non-cropping activities showed the least variation (a c.v. of 21 percent) while hours spent by boys showed the greatest variation (a c.v. Of 39 percent). NO particular month or period could be identified in which labor requirements were substantially higher than average monthly requirements. Moreover, there were no discernible seasonal trends. 4. FIELDWORK HOURS BY HOUSEHOLD TYPE Only fieldwork hours were analyzed by household type. The analysis showed that Makwate, male-headed and draft-controlling households worked substantially more hours on fieldwork than Shoshong, female—headed, and draft-dependent households, respectively. The difference was due to the area planted, since labor inputs per hectare were similar. Shoshong households spent less time on plowing, due to use Of tractors, but 70 Makwate households spent more time on the other field activities. The results on the relative hours of male-headed and female-headed households differ from those of the RIDS, which showed that female-headed households did more fieldwork [Lucas, 1985]. The difference in results reflects the difficulties female-headed households face in getting an adequate area plowed during drought seasons. D. CASH REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES This section gives an overview of cash revenue and expenditure patterns. The primary Objectives are to describe: (a) the role of crOp sales relative to other cash sources, (b) the importance Of food grain purchases relative to other expenditures, and (c) differences in cashflow patterns by household category. 1. CASH SOURCES, 1983 A preliminary profile of cash sources was generated through the 1983 Crop Management Survey. Findings are summarized in Table 3.9. Most respondents said there were several sources of cash. A majority of households had three or more sources, from both the lands/village area and outside the village area. CrOp production played little or no role in generating cash. Few respondents said crop sales were a source Of cash at all. Selling cattle was reported to be the main source Of cash. Following cattle sales, selling beer, remittances, and village wage employment were ranked (in that order) as the principal sources of cash. There were several differences in the relative importance of cash sources by village and household type. Cattle sales were particularly important for male-headed and cattle-rich households. Female-headed and cattle-poor households said they relied primarily on beer sales and 71 TABLE 3.9: PRIMARY INCOME SOURCE, 1983 SELL SELL REMIT- WAGE SELL SELL CATTLE BEER TANCE LABOR CROPS OTHER (Percent of Households) ALL 36 23 22 17 1 3 VILLAGE: Shoshong 46 25 18 7 0 3 Makwate 21 19 27 29 2 2 SEX OF HEAD: Male 51 13 12 21 0 3 Female 13 36 36 10 2 2 CATTLE ASSETS: 0-15 8 34 28 23 2 5 16+ 67 9 15 10 0 0 DRAFT ACCESS: Control 42 19 16 17 2 0 Depend 22 27 29 16 0 6 Source: 1983 Crop Management Survey. remittances. Remittances were the primary source of cash for draft-dependent households. Village wage labor was the primary source Of cash for more than twenty percent of male-headed, Makwate and cattle-poor households, compared to ten or less percent for their comparison households. 2. CASHFLOW ANALYSIS, 1984 Data on cash revenues and expenditures were collected during the first two years of the MVRU Survey. These data were used to: (a) verify results from the CTOp Management Survey, (b) evaluate the importance Of food expenditures relative to other expenditures, (c) assess relationships between cashflow patterns and household characteristics, and (d) identify seasonal cashflow patterns. 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