Illlllllll llflllllllllle Will L 1293 009985080 L‘I' am. at; p. as“ “v, " ' . . i,“ 'i, I. ‘ a $01... “12:..3 fungi, ‘“"'—'— *1“; was; 2.4." U“- :'-r-.7§w-"‘-~P - 12.1.5456th This is to certify that the thesis entitled The Profitability of Milking Cows Three Times a Day Compared With Two Times A Day presented by David M. Chlus has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for - Ma sterL degree in Animal Science jfl/éaa /Majo fessor Date MK /Z /9c5’6 0-7639 MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution RETURNING MATERIALS: MSU Place in book drop to [JBRARJES remove this checkout from W your record. FINES Will be charged if book is returned after the date stamped below. a, 'i of? TL“3_.lm‘ i THE PROFITABILITY 0F MlLKlNG COWS THREE TIMES A DAY COMPARED WITH TWO TIMES A DAY BY David Mitchell Chlus A THESlS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Animal Science 1987 ABSTRACT The Profitability Of Milking Cows Three Times A Day Compared With Two Times A Day By David Mitchell Chlus Profitability of milking cows three times a day (3X) compared with milking cows two times a day (2X) was examined. The electronic spreadsheet template: Lotus 123 (1983) was employed to synthetically model farms of herd sizes ranging from 50 to 400 cows. The model assumed a 15% increase in milk production from 3X milking compared with 2X milking. The price received for a hundred weight of milk was $12.10. The model is useful in projecting long term profit expectation. Milking 3X revealed that profitability is reached according to changes in level of milk production and herd size. Milking 3X becomes profitable for a 50 cow herd producing 15,000 lb of milk/cow. For herd sizes of 100, 150, 200 and 400 cows producing 13,000 lb of milk/cow, 3X milking is profitable when compared to 2X milking. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS There are many people I need to thank in my program. First I thank my parents, Mitchell and Mary Jane Chlus and my brother, Daniel who have always encouraged me to reach for my goals. Their support and love have helped make my educational accomplishments possible. My sincere gratitude to my major professor Dr. John Speicher for his guidance, support and patience throughout my program. I thank the other members of my committee: Dr. Roger Mellenberger and Dr. Sherrill Nott for their suggestions and contributions to my thesis work. My appreciation to Dr. Ted Ferris and Dr. Herb Bucholtz for their assistance in allowing me to participate in many extension related activities. My interaction with Dr. Tucker and Dr. Fogwell has provided me with a detailed approach to science that I will always remember. Sincere gratitude is also expressed to Dr. Cliff Jump and the Agricultural Technical Program for the financial support through a teaching assistantship. A warm thank you to Kaye Hillock for typing this thesis and my thanks to Steve Zinn and Bruce Cunningham for their assistance with my thesis. For all the people that I have met here in Animal Science, I thank you for your friendship. Last but definetely not least a thank you goes to two ii special people, William Enright and Jan Sweers for making my graduate career a pleasurable and memorable one and for helping me on a day to day basis. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ........................................ List of Figures ....................................... Introduction .......................................... Review of Literature .................................. Milk Production Response from 3X Milking .......... Intramammary Pressure and Buildup of Milk Components Improved Udder Health ............................. Improved Reproduction ............................. Improved Feeding .................................. Economics of 3X Milking ........................... Assumptions and Specifications of Investment Model.... Incomes for the model ............................. Items dealing with feed costs ..................... Items dealing with labor costs .................... Dairy expenses other than feed and labor costs. Results ............................................... The Effect of Milking Frequency on Net Income for Various Herd Sizes and Milk Production Averages... The Effect of Milk Price on Profitability of 3X Milking Compared with 2X Milking .................. The Effect of Changing the Price of Labor on Profit- ability of 3X Milking Compared with 2X Milking.... The Effect of Increasing the Price of Feed Forty Percent on Profitability of 3X Milking Compared‘with 2X Milking ........................................ The Effect on Profitability by Changing the Milk Production Response to Ten Percent when Milking Cows 3X Compared with 2X .......................... Discussion ............................................ Summary and Conclusion ................................ iv Page vi vii (.0 HHHH 001.5(3ch 31 31 36 41 Appendix .............................................. Bibliography .......................................... 81 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1 Review of income and expenses of 3X milking. 21 vi Figure N 10 11 LIST OF FIGURES Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. a 50 cow herd at diff. milk levels. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. a 200 cow herd at diff. milk levels. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. herds producing 19,000 lb of milk. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. herds producing 23,000 lb of milk. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 13,000 lb when milk is $11.10/cwt. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 19,000 lb when milk is $11.10/cwt. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 50 cows at diff. milk levels ($11.10). Effects of Milking Freqeuncy on Net Inc. 200 cows at diff. milk levels ($11.10). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 19,000 lb @ $10.00/hr for 3X Labor. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 50 cows at diff. milk levels ($10/hr). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 200 cows at diff. milk levels ($lO/hr). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 50 cows at diff. milk levels (40%). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 200 cows at diff. milk levels (40%). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. vii for for for for for for for for for for for for for for Page 32 33 35 37 38 39 40 42 43 44 45 46 15 16 17 13,000 lb, 10% increase in 3X Milking. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 19,000 lb, 10% increase in 3X Milking. Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 50 cows at diff. milk levels (10% inc). Effects of Milking Frequency on Net Inc. 200 cows at diff. milk levels (10% inc). viii for for for 49 50 51 INTRODUCTION Milk production costs have increased substantially during the past decade. This increasing economic pressure and the need for more efficient use of fixed assets have resulted in an upsurge of interest in milking cows three times per day (3X) compared with two times per day (2X). Economic rationale for 3X milking is an anticipated increase in net income resulting from increased efficiency of milk production. United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) 1984 summaries on 0.8. milk production shows that herds milked 2X averaged 15,048 pounds (lb) of milk while 3X milked herds averaged 17,761 lb for an additional 2,713 lb of milk. Butterfat test for 2X herds was 3.74% versus 3.59% for 3X herds. According to Owen (1985) the following conditions are needed for improved returns to 3X milking: 1) Labor force is currently not fully utilized, or extra labor is available at a relatively low cost. 2) Parlor is highly automated (including automatic take - off equipment), and fixed costs for milking are relatively high. 3) Milking equipment is maintained in excellent operating condition. 4) Herd is under “tep” management. The objective of the research reported in this thesis was to determine the many factors that effect the profitability of milking 3X. These factors will be analyzed to determine the conditions under which 3X milking is a feasible income generating alternative. Review of Literature 2.1 Milk Production Response from 3X Milking It is generally accepted that cows milked 3X produce more milk than cows milked 2X. Increase in milk production due to milking frequency ranges from minus 3% to plus 39%. This section of the literature review will discuss the changes in milk production and possible sources of variation in response. The effects of milking frequency have been investigated as early as 1891. Hills (1891) reported that over a 14 day period 3X milking reduced milk production 3% compared with 2X. In addition, Walker (1915) failed to observe a change in milk production with increased frequency of milking. In contrast Dean (1899) and Dahlberg (1924) showed that milking 3X increased production 3% and 2%, respectively. Dean (1899) also indicated that milking 3X lowered milk fat percent from 3.65% (2X) to 3.51% (3X). However in above studies, few cows were utilized and data is confounded with stage of lactation. In studies since 1909 milking cows 3X generally resulted in greater milk production than milking cows 2X. However. increase in milk yield over long periods was generally not determined, as only one or two of the trials exceeded a few weeks in length. In addition, cows were not milked at equal time intervals during the day. Early short term studies (Smeyers, 1909; Lund, 1911; Lalim and Grande, 1912; Riford, 1922; Nilsson, 1922; Hunyen, 1923) showed that milk production increased 1 to 10% in cows milked 3X compare with 2X. All of the studies were two weeks or less in length. Hungerford (1929) reported that 13 cows milked 3X produced 25% more milk than when milked 2X. Cows milked 2X had their peak milk production at 3 weeks postpartum compared with 6 weeks for cows milked 3X. Woodward (1931) conducted two experiments which at that time gave the most accurate results in determining the extra milk production due to milking 3X. In the first study, four cows were milked 2X and 3X in nine alternate periods of days each. Results showed that milking 3X produced 11% more milk and nearly 10% more milk fat. In Woodwards second experiment cows milked 3X from day 217 to 365 of lactation gave 20% more milk and 21% more milk fat than contemporary cows milked 2X. Many studies have shown that the highest estimates of the increase in milk yield due to 3X milking have come from a comparison of Dairy Herd Improvement (DHI) records of cows milked 3X with those milked 2X. Gaines (1943) reported that Milking Shorthorns milked 3X compared with 2X yielded 39% more milk based on 6,311 DHI records. Meinhold and Rosegger (1950) showed that 2,397 cows milked 3X produced 15% more than 438 cows which were milked 2X. Using records from the exceeded a few weeks in length. In addition, cows were not milked at equal time intervals during the day. Early short term studies (Smeyers, 1909; Lund, 1911; Lalim and Grande, 1912; Riford, 1922; Nilsson, 1922; Hunyen, 1923) showed that milk production increased 1 to 10% in cows milked 3X compare with 2X. All of the studies were two weeks or less in length. Hungerford (1929) reported that 13 cows milked 3X produced 25% more milk than when milked 2X. Cows milked 2X had their peak milk production at 3 weeks postpartum compared with 6 weeks for cows milked 3X. Woodward (1931) conducted two experiments which at that time gave the most accurate results in determining the extra milk production due to milking 3X. In the first study, four cows were milked 2X and 3X in nine alternate periods of days each. Results showed that milking 3X produced 11% more milk and nearly 10% more milk fat. In Woodwards second experiment cows milked 3X from day 217 to 365 of lactation gave 20% more milk and 21% more milk fat than contemporary cows milked 2X. Many studies have shown that the highest estimates of the increase in milk yield due to 3X milking have come from a comparison of Dairy Herd Improvement (DHI) records of cows milked 3X with those milked 2X. Gaines (1943) reported that Milking Shorthorns milked 3X compared with 2X yielded 39% more milk based on 6,311 DHI records. Meinhold and Rosegger (1950) showed that 2,397 cows milked 3X produced 15% more than 438 cows which were milked 2X. Using records from the Holstein Association, (Lush et. al., 1950) reported an 16% increase in milk production for cows milked 3X compared with 2X. Armstrong et. a1. (1978) analyzed DHI records from Arizona and hard records from Israel and compared herds milked 2X and 3X. The Arizona data showed an increase of 15.2% for milk and 11.4% for milk fat, while the Israel data showed an increase of 25.9% for milk and a 17.7% for milk fat for cows milked 3X compared with cows milked 2X. Relative to previously mentioned trials, later trials achieved greater accuracy when comparing 3X with 2X milking. For example, using identical twins (n = 2 pairs) Hansson and Bonnier (1947) reported 6.4% and 3% increases in yield of milk and milk fat, respectively, due to 3X milking, relative to 2X milking. Their study was conducted for the first 28 weeks of lactation and they saw no effect of milking frequency on milk total solids percent. Using the "half udder” technique, Ludwick et. a1. (1941) reported a 16% increase in milk yield from the 3X milked compared with the 2X milked udder halves. Their trial utilized five cows, was conducted over a five month period and treatments were reversed on a particular udder half every two weeks. Cash and Yapp (1950) examined the effect of milking frequency on milk yield during entire lactations using the “half udder” technique. Their trial utilized seven cows. A given udder half was milked at the same frequency throughout the trial. They found an increase of 32% in milk yield due to 3X milking when compared with 2X milking. Using the half udder technique in a 100d trial (Agarwala and Sundaresan, 1955) reported an 8.4% increase in milk yield due to 3X milking, when compared with 2X milking (mean daily milk yield 14 lb). Elliot et. al. (1961) determined the effects of 3X milking on milk yield and milk fat %. Milking 3X compared with 2X for a 39d resulted in a 12% increase in both yields of milk and milk fat. More recently, (Pearson et. al., 1979; Poole, 1982; DePeters et. al., 1984) conducted more controlled long term studies on the effect of 3X milking on milk yield. Pearson et. a1. (1979) compared three milking frequency treatments; 2X milking; 3X milking until milk dropped below 53 lb and 3X milking until milk dropped below 68 lb. Milking frequency had little effect on early lactation, but with time the superiority in yields significantly increased by 20% for 3X cows compared with 2X cows. Cumulative milk yields were greater for 3X groups than for the 2X group by 5% and 8% at 56d, 11% and 8% at 154d, 11% and 9% at 182d and 10% and 10% at 280d. Differences between 3X groups and the 2X group for cumulative milk yield were significant at 154 and 182d. Increased milk yield was primarily due to higher peak production and less subsequent decline. Switching from 3X to 2X milking decreased milk yield 7% in the first week. Thus, 3X milking had a carryover effect on milk yield. Poole (1982) assessed the effects of 3X versus 2X milking during weeks 1 - 20 of lactation on milk yield. After week 20 all cows were milked 2X. During weeks 1 - 20 the mean daily milk yields of primiparous cows were 42 lb (3X) and 38 lb (2X) (P < .05). Yields of multiparous cows were 62 lb (3X) and 53 lb (2X) (P < .001) during the same period. Total lactation milk yields from primiparous cows were 10,738 lb (3X) and 9,896 lb (2X) (P < .01) while for multiparous cows the equivalent milk yields were 14,208 lb (3X) and 12,527 lb (2X) (P < .01). DePeters et. al. (1984) utilizing primiparous (n = 15) and multiparous (n = 38) cows for the entire lactation examined the effect of milking frequency on milk production. During the entire lactation multiparous cows milked 3X produced 17% more milk than 2X cows (P < .05). Primiparous cows milked 3X produced 6% more milk than their 2X contemporaries, although this increase was not significant. The most recent approach in evaluating milk production is to use field studies. For example, Goff and Gaunya (1977) used records from six large dairy herds which had been switched to 3X from 2X milking. Records were extended from before the cows were switched and extended records were deviated from the cows’ completed lactations. Cows were divided into two lactation groups (one and > one) and four stages of lactation groups (approximately 35, 65, 120 and 203d before switching to 3X milking). Milking 3X exceeded the projected production with 2X milking by 7.5, 2.5, 7.9 and 10.5% for multiparous cows and 12.1, 11.8, 10.1 and 10.5% for primiparous cows in the four lactation stages, respectively. This study showed that primiparous cows had a better response than multiparous cows. Pelissier et. al. (1978) used one hundred and forty six multiparous cows paired based on parity, season of calving and milk and milk fat production in their previous lactation. The control group was milked 2X during the entire lactation and cows in the 3X group were milked for periods varying from two to nine months depending on the stage of lactation of the cows at the start of the trial. Milking 3X increased milk and milk fat yield 16.6% relative to 2X milking and this difference was significant (P < .01). During the times when the experimental group were milked 2X, they produced 2% less than their 2X contemporaries. During the first 4 months of lactation 3X cows produced 7% more milk than 2X cows and this increased to 16% during the later months (Pelissier et. al. 1978). Quessenberry (1980) reported his observations about the effect of 3X milking on milk production in 32 herds. Within six to eight months after switching to 3X milking, average daily milk production increased an average of 19% relative to 2X milking (53 lb/cow/d on 2X to 63 lb/cow/d on BX). The nine herds that had been on BX more than 24 months had thei initial 19% increase (63 lb) drop to only 7% increase (57 lb) above their 2X average. Seven of those nine herds that had milked 3X more than 36 months dropped to only a 5% increase (56 lb) over their 2X average. Possible Causes for Increased Milk Production from 3X In the past 50 years many researchers have shown that an increase in milk will occur if the daily frequency of milking is changed from 2X to 3X. Suggested causes for increased milk production as a result of increased frequency of milking are: 1) Reduced intramammary pressure and less negative feedback on the secretory cell by the buildup of milk components within the lumen of the alveolus. 2) Improved udder health 3) Improved reproduction 4) Improved feeding and management practices 2.2 Intramammary Pressure and Buildup of Milk Components A possible beneficial effect of greater frequency of milking lies in the relief of high internal udder pressure. The period immediately after milking is charaterized by low intraalveolar pressure which facilitates transport of newly synthesized milk into the alveolar lumen (Ormiston et. al., 1967). As secretion into the lumen continues between milkings, back pressure is exerted on the secretory process by alveolar contents (Schmidt and Trimberger, 1963). At 35 hr (Tucker, 1961) luminal pressure exceeds force of 10 secretion as alveolar enlargement reaches its limit. It is presumed (Ormiston et. al., 1967) that lumen distention pressure exceeds strength of secretory mechanisms needed to push newly formed milk out of secretory cells. In turn, buildup of newly formed milk in cells retards uptake of milk precursors into the lumen by chemical feedback mechanisms and/or physical factors. Physical factors are a result of distended alveoli partially displacing all other intramammary compartments, including the blood vessels. With restricted blood flow (Ormiston et. al., 1967) less oxygen is available for metabolism, fewer nutrients are available for milk production, less hormones are available to drive the synthetic apparatus, removal of waste products of synthesis is retarded, oxytocin is restricted from reaching the myoepithelial cells and fewer leukocytes are available to ward off infections. Tucker et. al. (1961) showed that thirty five hours was the estimated length of time before milk secretion approached zero. Increasing the interval between milkings decreases total milk and/or intramammary pressure. The average secretion rate starts to drop about 10 to 12 hr after the last milking, but the instantaneous secretion rate starts to drop before this time. Schmidt (1971) showed that 10 hr after milking, the average secretion rate begins to decrease and secretion stops after 35 hr. The hydrostatic pressure measured in the teat cistern increases in three phases. Within 1 hr following the previous milking 11 intramammary pressure rapidly increases to approximately 8 mm Hg., which is caused by residual milk moving into the cistern from the alveoli and small ducts. The second phase is slower and is an accumulation of newly synthesized milk that is released into the duct system from the alveolar lumen as they begin to accumulate milk (Schmidt, 1971). The third phase is marked by an accelerated pressure increase and represents overfilling of alveoli, ducts and gland cistern (Schmidt, 1971). Gasnier, (1945); Edwards (1950); Eisenreich and Mennicke (1950) used milk accumulation to buildup intramammary pressre in the mammary gland. Therefore, the possibility exists that specific components of milk may act within the mammary cell to inhibit their own secretion independent of intramammary pressure. Approximately 15 to 25% of the total amount of milk in the udder at the start of milking is not removed when milking is completed. In cows producing on average of 35 lb of milk/d (Laben, 1982) the residual milk removed after each milking varied with milking interval. Cows were milked at intervals of 4, 8, 12, 16, 20 and 24 hr and secretion rates of total milk milk and milk components monitored. Secretion rate of milk and solids not fat did not decline until the interval between milkings reached 16 hr. When cows were switched to an 8 hr interval between milkings from intervals of 4, 8, 12, 16, 20 and 24 hr, little effect on secretion rate found except in cows with previous intervals of 20 and 1-2 24 hr. Interval between milkings longer than 16 hr resulted in increased fat percentage and reduced fat yields. Similarly, milk and solids not fat yields fell markedly with intervals of longer than 16 hr. Production in cows milked at 24 hr intervals compared with 8 hr intervals was a decrease of 25% (Laben, 1982). 2.3 Improved Udder Health In addition to increases in milk production, three milkings per day may improve udder health (Jarrett, 1977). Because dairy farmers lose more than 2 billion dollars annually from mastitis, good udder health is important (Jasper et. al., 1982). Pearson et. al. (1979) reported a reduction in amount of milk discarded due to mastitis in cows milked 3X compared with cows milked 2X. In two trials Waterman et. al., (1982) compared the incidence of mastitis with cows milked 3X versus 2X. for 12 weeks. All teats of all cows were dipped with a broth containing Streptococcus agalactiae once daily to enhance the potential for cows to become infected during the study. Milk production in cows milked 3X versus 2X was 8% greater over the entire 12 week experiment. However, in the last 4 weeks 3X increased yield 11% compared with 2X. Rate of infection was determined using somatic cell counts (SCC) and isolation of bacteria from milk. Although SCC in milk of cows milked 2X (465,000) were three to four 13 times greater than those milked 3X (125,000), this difference was not significant. In addition, there was no difference in number of new infections on groups. Clinical cases of mastitis were observed less frequently in the 3X group as compared to the 2X group. The researchers conclude that. 3X milking raises production and lowers clinical mastitis. Gisi et. al., (1985) monitored udder health in twenty eight dairy herds which were milked 3X for 36 mos. and were milked 2X for 3 to 17 mos. prior to switching to 3X. California Mastitis Test (CMT) scores were used to measure udder health. Proportion of animals in each herd that were CMT negative and trace, GMT 1, GMT 2 and GMT 3 was not affected by the change to 3X milking. There were no differences between multiparous and primiparous cows. In contrast, Allen et. al., (1985) reported that cows from first through third lactation milked 3X had higher CMT scores (P < .01) than cows milked 2X. Cows in fourth and later lactations milked 3X had lower CMT scores. Jarrett (1977) suggested that 3X milking should have a beneficial effect on reducing incidence of mastitis. Incidence of mastitis should decrease providing milking equipment works properly including a good vacuum stability at the claw, a gentle and complete massage on the liner and relatively low vacuum (Jarrett, 1977). Increased frequency of milking may reduce the time bacteria remains in the udder between milkings and establish new infections. In a herd 14 with a low number of infected quarters, 3X milking may decrease clinical mastitis. On the other hand, if milking equipment and milking procedures are poor, the transmission of bacteria to uninfected animals may be greater because of the 50% increase in exposure to the bacteria in the milking machine (Jarrett, 1977). 2.4 Improved Reproduction Improved reproduction performance may be possible as a result of 3X milking because more time is spent in the barn and improved heat detection may occur. Other problems also may be noticed sooner, such as illness, injury and calving difficulties. Amos et. al. (1985) examined reproductive performance in cows milked 3X. Reproductive performance was not influenced by milking frequency (P > .05). However, cows milked 3X had a nonsignificant (P > .10) increased number of days from calving to first estrus (5.7d) and more days open (18.1d) than cows milked 2X. Services required per conception were 1.9 -/+ .2 for each group. Allen et. al., (1985) using DHI records observed that cows milked 3X had fewer days to first breeding from parturition than their 2X herdmates. Primiparous cows milked 3X had increased number of days to conception, more services and consequently more days open than cows milked 2X. For second lactation cows milked 3X there was no 15 difference in days to conception or days open, but they required more breedings than cows milked 2X. Third and fourth lactation cows milked 3X had fewer days to last breeding, no difference in number of breedings and therefore, fewer daysopen than those milked 2X (Allen et. al., 1985). Gisi et. al., (1985) reported that calving interval, days open and services per conception were not significantly affected by milking frequency for either the entire herd or when primiparous cows were considered alone. Reproductive indices like days open, services per-conception and calving interval tended to worsen as time on BX milking increased. Of the 28 herds studied for 3 years 19 had an increased calving interval, 20 had increased number of days open and 22 had increased services per conception in cows milked 3X versus cows milked 2X. The effect of 3X milking on reproductive indices were independent of the increase in milk production due to 3X milking and level of milk production within the herd. 2.5 Improved Feeding Modifications in the feeding program are required to compensate for higher nutrient requirements of cows that are milked 3X to achieve positive effects from the extra milking (Bath, 1978). With increased milk production, nutrient requirements also increase, especially energy and protein 16 requirments. Without additional feed to meet the requirement, cows will utilize body reserves to maintain milk production. If body reserves are not restored by late lactation, reduced production may result in subsequent lactations (Bath, 1983). Possibly this is the cause of gradual decreases in production some herds have reported after several years of 3X milking (Bath, 1978). DePeters (1984) utilized 38 multiparous and primiparous cows for a full lactation (44 weeks) to compare the effects of 2X or 3X milking on feed intake and body weight change. All cows were managed similarly and were fed diets of high, medium and low energy concentration as lactation progressed from calving to 44 weeks. Cows milked 3X consumed 4% more feed. However, additional feed was not sufficient for cows to maintain body weight compared with cows milked 2X. Cows milked 2X gained 128 lb more than cows milked 3X after 44 weeks of lactation. Cows milked 3X reached minimum weight between weeks 8 to 10 of lactation and gained little weight until after week 20 of lactation. The cows did not reach recommended weight at calving until weeks 38 to 40 of lactation. Assuming that weight gains equivalent to those for the 2X cows are required for optimum body condition in preparation for the subsequent lactation, cows milked 3X must gain the extra weight during the dry period. Weight gain of an extra 100 1b during the dry period is not unreasonable but emphasizes the importance of management of the feeding program for cows 17 milked 3X. Efficiency of feed utilization for milk production in multiparous cows is enhanced with 3X milking. Despite the loss in body weight cows milked 3X produced approximately 3 lb more milk per pound of increased dry matter (DM) intake. This amounts to 3,000 lb extra milk for a total of about 1,000 lb extra DM intake (Bath, 1983). The need for increased feed intake in cows milked 3X is to help maintain body weight and condition. Feeding methods that work well for 2X milked cows are not ideal for 3X milked cows (Quesenberry, 1980). Frequency of feeding is one important factor. Twice daily feeding may be adequate for cows milked 2X, but more frequent feeding is desirable for cows milked 3X (Bath, 1983). Each time new feed is offered, many cows will increase the number of times she eats, resulting in greater feed intake over a 24 hr period. This is especially important for high producing cows in early lactation because they are in negative energy and protein balances (Quesenberry, 1980). The practice of grouping cows by level of production and stage of lactation, and feeding three or four different rations with gradually decreasing amounts of grains and other concentrates work very well for cows milked 2X (DePeters et. al., 1984). However, for 3X milked cows, higher energy and protein levels are necessary for a longer period during a lactation cycle to allow them to regain body weight lost in early lactation due to higher milk 18 production. Rather than three or four ration changes spanning the range of energy concentrations from high to low, a herd milked 3X may need only two rations (high and medium energy concentrations) during the lactation period (Bath, 1983). Pearson et. al., (1979) showed that average DM intake was higher in 2X cows. When fat percentage and body weight were considered in addition to milk yield, the 2X cows were 44 to 66 lb heavier at parturition than the 3X cows and averaged 33 to 44 lb more body weight through the first 180d of lactation. Correspondingly, the lower fat percentage of milk from the 3X cows offset the feed necessary for the additional milk production. Thus, group feed intake apparently reflected the expected needs based on National Research Council requirements for all groups equally well (Pearson et. al. 1979). Research by Flatt et. al. (1969) indicated that efficiency of utilization of metabolizable energy for milk or body tissue gain was unaffected by milk yield, amount of body tissue gain or loss, or stage of lactation in cows milked 2X. Flatt et. a1. (1965) indicated that apparent body weight decreases in early lactation are not necessarily representative of energy loss or balance or actual body tissue loss but tend to even out over the complete lactation. It may be possible that the 3X cows converted more body tissue energy to milk than would be expected from just the body weight changes alone. It is conceivable that 19 the 3X group of cows lost more energy from body stores than the 2X group of cows and that body weight remained equal because water replaced the adipose tissue lost by the 3X group (Flatt et. al., 1969). Considering the data in 3X studies, it is apparent that 3X milking increases the efficiency of feed utilization for milk production even if one considers extra feed required for added body gains during the dry period (Bath, 1983). It must be recognized that 3X milking results in a prolonged drain on body reserves during lactation with the result that a major proportion of replenishment must occur during the dry period. Feeding and management programs covering the entire cycle, including the dry period, must be designed to meet these added requiremnets (Bath, 1983). 2.6 Economics of 3X Milking In determining profitability of 3X milking compared with 2X milking, increased cost of production must be considered. These costs include greater feed intake, increasing operational costs and machinery maintenance and additional labor. As herds get larger, fixed costs of milking parlors and equipment become greater and variable costs such as labor become a smaller portion of the total. Several questions remain as to what are the extra costs for labor, feed and electricity (Hlubik et. al., 1986). Other questions that remain to be answered is how much extra 20 milk is needed in order to cover the added costs and how much extra milk is needed in order to cover the added costs and how profit can be expected. Table 1 summarizes eight studies examining income and expenses from 3X milking. Most of the results and conclusions were derived from actual and theoretical data. There were two exceptions, namely Goff and Gaunya, (1977) who conducted a study of six commercial dairy farms practicing 3X milking and Agrifax data (unpublished, 1983) that analyzed 29 farms practicing 3X milking. The studies compared milk production increases from 3X milking, gross income, feed cost, labor cost, other miscellaneous costs and net income when farms switch from 2X to 3X milking. The net income in the studies ranged from a low of $.08/cow/d from Goff and Gaunya, (1978) to a high of $.26/cow/d from a study conducted by Edwards, (1980). The Agrifax data (unpublished, 1983) was the only study in Table 1 that showed a negative return to 3X milking (-.12/cow/d). A possible reason for the negative returns in farms milking 3X is that only 29 farms were analyzed in the study. One additional study (Speicher, 1985) determined the profitability of 3X milking by using model herds. Increased milk production attributed to 3X milking in Table 1 ranged from 5.9 lb/cow for herds with 12,000 lb to 9.8 lb/cow for herds with 20,000 lb herd averages. When a $12.00 net price for milk is used, increased daily milk due to 3X milking resulted in additional daily gross income 21 d expanses For 3X milking. income an Review of Table 1. o\zoo >ou >oo >mo >op mmme \me.m om>fiumo \aoo\ne.m \300\ew.m \aoo\ew.m \aoo\wm.a xoe menu as xenoaz p\aoo xoo >mu >mo >mn mmme \nw.e um>aumo \300\mo.a \300\mm.m \aoo\om.e \aoo\om.a xme maoo oer mcmao o\aoo >ou >mu >mo >mu maoo owe emme \Pm.e nm>opmo \aoo\mo.e \3oo\mo.a \aoo\me.a \aoo\nm.e a“? ocugcom U\aoo >mo >mo >mu >mo msuou mm mmmw \Nr.um Hmauoq \aoo\mo.e \aoo\me.a \aoo\ee.a \aoo\en.a am xwewumq U\aoo >ou xou >mo >mo omme \mm.w om>wumo \aoo\nm.$ \aoo\ee.w \aoo\oo.e \3oo\mw.a xme nonmapu o\aoo xmp >mo >mo xmu menu can meme \mN.e um>fiumo \aoo\mo.e \aoo\eo.e \aoo\oe.a \soo\ee.a me mcoopmsu< meme o\aoo >wv >mu >mo >mu maoo Doe .Hm um \mN.m uo>womo \aoo\me.m \aoo\ne.a \aoo\me.m \aoo\e>.m .ocH xme umwmmwama meme xHHE mxczmu o\aoo maoo maoo wouxm co Rm.m .ocH new \mo.e Hanan: ooe\om.ee ooe\ew.9em aoo\mm.wm uao\mm.mw moonwafiuaoz meow msoocH umou xn non xn uou xn non xn scum .ocH maou pmz Lo monoom umou porno umou uonmu umou ummu mEoocH mwouu cowuoouona xau: co amass: muoruoq 22 ranging from $.71/cow to $1.17/cow. Net returns exclusive of labor costs due to 3X milking ranged from $.26/cow/d for herd with 12,000 1b to $.42/cow/d for herds with 20,000 lb herd averages. ASSUMPTIONS AND SPECIFICATIONS OF INVESTMENT MODEL An investment model was developed that examined two strategies affecting economic profitability of milking dairy cows 3X; namely, herd size and level of milk production. An electronic spreadsheet template: Lotus 123 (Lotus Development Corp., 1983) was employed to project long term profit expectations. Simulated farms of various herd sizes and production levels were first assembled to generate estimates of costs, incomes and profits of 3X compared with 2X. Herd sizes analyzed were 50, 100, 150, 200 and 400 cows. The hard averages for these herd sizes are 13,000, 15,000, 17,000, 19,000, 21,000 and 23,000 lb. of milk/cow/yr. The investment model developed permits the user to consider changing input variables. User can specify: Herd Size (Total 8) Herd Average (lb./cow/yr.) Cattle Income/Cow (S/cow) Price of Milk ($/cwt.) Price of Labor for 2X (S/hr.) Price of Labor for 3X ($/hr.) Milk Loss (% of milk/cow) 3X Milk increase (% of milk/cow) Price of Corn (S/bushel) Price of Hay ($/Ton) Price of Soybean Meal (S/Ton) Price of Corn Silage (T/Ton) Cows Milked/hr. (fl/hr.) Depreciation/Cow ($/cow) 23 24 The model estimates appropriate costs and incomes for each herd size and herd average. Profit is defined as gross income minus total expenses. Using this model the user can: 1) Compare profits within each strategy across herd sizes for a given set of specifications. 2) Examine sensitivity of the analysis to changes in inputs. Components of the model are discussed in four categories. incomes for the model Items dealing with feed costs items dealing with labor costs Dairy expenses other than feed and labor costs Incomes for the model Income for the model is derived from sale of milk and cattle income which is comprised of deacon calves, cull cows and excess replacement heifers. Milk sold is estimated as 95% of total produced (Speicher, 1967). Difference between amount of milk produced and amount sold can be attributed to abnormal milk during the first week of lactation, mastitic milk from udders treated with antibiotics and other milk consumed by the farm family. Rundell and Speicher (1967) estimated average difference in amount produced versus the amount sold as 700 lb/cow. 25 Anticipated production increase resulting from 3X milking is approximately 15% (Allen et. al., 1985; Amos et. al., 1985; Gisi et al., 1985). If the user so desires, the milk production increase can be changed to a value that is either a more conservative or a more generous percent. Milk hauling and marketing charges are accounted for in the livestock budgets. A milk price of $12.10/cwt. (Hamm, 1986) was used in the model and this price can be changed by the user. Gross milk sales are figured as 95% X cwt. of milk produced + (milk increase from 3X) X price of milk/cwt. Cattle income which consists of income from cull cows, deacon calves and changes in cattle inventory was estimated using Telfarm records. Telfarm records are a business analysis summary of Michigan dairy farms. items dealing with feed costs The feed cost was calculated using the Michigan State University Dairy Ration Evaluator (MSU Animal Science Dept., 1986). The model includes rations for levels of milk production of 13, 15,17,19,21 and 23 (thousand lb.) rolling herd average production. The ration composition is critical in achieving a particular level of milk output given the genetic potential to produce at that level. There are many combinations of feeds that will meet the cow’s nutrient requirements. Typical dairy rations in Michigan include corn grain, corn silage, alfalfa hay, brewers grains and soybean meal. These then are the feeds that form the basis 26 for the rations formulated for the model shown in Appendix 1. The nutrient content of feeds is based on values in the Spartan Dairy Ration Evaluator. Feed nutrient densities are located in Appendix 2. Quantities of feeds needed are based on amounts to meet nutrient requirements of lactating cows according to their level of milk production as well as feed needs of heifers and dry cows. Expected feed intake, nutrient content of feeds and losses in feeding and storage are considered. The quantity of feed needed for extra milk production resulting from 3X milking is 1 lb. of extra feed from the total diet equals 3 lb. more milk (Bath, 1978). Quantities of feeds needed/cow and her replacement are located in Appendix 3. Purchased feed costs are estimated by multiplying the feed purchase prices by the quantity of each feed needed which are determined by the level of milk production and herd size. Costs used for each crop are $2.00/bu. for corn, $75.00/T for hay, $208/T for soybean meal and $23.00/T for corn silage. Other feed costs that are built into the model is $23/T for brewers grains, $.16/lb for dicalcium phosphate, $.05/lb. for limestone, $.09/lb for calcium sulfate, $.13/lb for magnesium oxide and $.07/lb for trace mineral salt. The rations were balanced on the assumptions that the breed was Holstein, body weight of the cow was 1350 lb, age of the cow was 48 months and the milk fat percent was 3.5. 27 ltems dealing with labor costs Labor costs for each herd size and herd average are calculated based on the technology employed (i.e. the buildings, facilities and equipment). The labor costs for 2X milking was derived from using Telfarm records. This includes the cash cost for hired labor including paid perquisites and social security plus the value of operator’s and unpaid family labor at $5.00/hr. The values are shown in Appendix 4 with all other livestock expenses/cow. Herds milking 3X require higher labor costs than herds milking xx. The difference between 3X milking and 2X milking labor costs are based on the following assumptions. 1) it was assumed that all cows milked 3X will be fed three times a day compared to twice per day for herds milked 2X. This allows for delivery of extra feed required for 3X milked cows. Farms with a herd size of 50 cows will be milked in a pipeline system. The additional labor required for the third feeding is 11.52 hr/cow/yr (Norrell et. al., 1978). N y. 3) Farms with a herd size of 100 cows will be milked in a double 4 herringbone parlor with no mechanization. The additional labor required for the third feeding is 7.7 hr/cow/yr (Norrell et. al., 1978). 4) harms with a herd size of 150 cows will be milked in a double 6 herringbone parlor with detachers. The additional labor required for the third feeding is 6.9 hr/cow/yr (Norrell et. al., 1978). 5) Farms with a herd size of 200 cows will be milked in a double 6 herringbone parlor with detachers and a crowd gate. The additional labor required for the third feeding is 6.0 28 hr/cow/yr (Norrell et. al., 1978). 6) Farms with a herd size of 400 cows will be milked in a double 8 herringbone parlor with detachers and a crowd gate. The additional labor required for the third feeding is 5.4 hr/cow/yr (Norrell et. al., 1978). 7) Values for milking throughputs, (Kelso, 1979) are based on degree of milking system automation and are shown in Appendix 5. 8) For the third milking, (Bickert, 1983) 20 min. is needed for parlor setup, 30 - 45 min. is needed for cleanup and changing cows requires 15 min/100 cows. 9) Pipeline setup is 15 min. while 25 min. is required for cleanup (Bath et. al., 1978). 10) For consistency, all milking systems will be operated by one milker. The price of labor for 3X milked herds was figured at $7.00/hr. The reason for the 40% increase compared with $5.00/hr for 2X milked herds is the added incentive needed. to milk and complete all chores required for the additional milking each day. The user can change the hourly wage to any value to more accurately predict his farm situation. Dairy expenses other than feed and labor costs Machinery expenses for the dairy herd includes the following items: repairs and supplies for upkeep on machinery including tractors, repairs and upkeep on trucks and farm share of automobiles including fuel, gas, oil and grease, custom hire of machinery, depreciation on machinery and interest on investment in machinery. Telfarm records 29 report interest on total investment in two segments -- interest paid and interest on equity. The interest paid is reported by the farmer. The amount of debt is estimated by capitalizing the amount of interest reported at 8.5%. The estimated debt is subtracted from the total investment to determine equity. Interest is computed on the equity at 8.5%. interest is allocated to machinery, improvements, land and livestock according to investment. Machinery expenses have been assumed to not increase when a herd is switched from 2X to 3X milking. improvement expenses included repairs on buildings, fences, wells, cleaning ditches, bulldozing, fence rows; which are classified as conservation expense for income tax purposes. Improvement expenses further includes fire and wind insurance premiums, depreciation and interest on improvement investment. Improvement expenses have also been assumed to hold constant as a herd switches from 2X to 3X milking. Livestock expenses included breeding, veterinary and medicine, milk and livestock marketing, milkhouse supplies, registration, advertising, heat for livestock buildings and other livestock service and supply items. Marketing costs for milk were calculated at a $1.30/cwt. of milk. The $1.30 /cwt. is comprised of $.05/cwt. to zone differential, $.50/ cwt. for milk hauling, $.15/cwt. for milk promotion, $.08/cwt. for milk cooperative fees and $.52/cwt. for the whole herd buyout assessment (Hamm, 1986). All livestock 3O expenses except the marketing and trucking expense were increased 50% when herds are milked 3X. The land charge was interest on the investment in land plus taxes paid. Land values were estimated by county extension staff members throughout the state of Michigan. An effort was made to keep them comparable between farms. An attempt was made to use an agricultural value and not reflect urban real estate values. Land charge will not be affected by herds milking 3X. Other expenses included in the model are for utilities and other miScellaneous expenses not included elsewhere. Utilities and miscellaneous expenses were increased 50% for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. All dairy expenses for each herd average and herd size are shown in Appendix 4. Values shown in Appendix 4 include the average long run outlook of Telfarm data from 1980 to 1985. Since this is an decision making analysis involving stategic planninng (i.e. long range planning). forecast expenses are used to establish the expected economic conditions for the forecast period 1986 - 1991. RESULTS The Effect of Milking Frequency on Net income for Various Herd Sizes and Milk Production Averages Figures 1 through 4 show the net incomes of 3X milking compared with 2X milking. For a 50 cow herd at milk production levels ranging from 13,000 - 23,000 lb of milk/cow, 15,000 lb of milk/cow is needed to show increased net income for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. Figure 2 illustrates that 3X milking is more profitable than 2X milking for a 200 cow herd at all milk production levels. For herds with 200 cows that are practicing 3X milking, 15,000 lb of milk/cow is needed to reach the breakeven point ($0 profit point). At a level of 19,000 and 23,000 lb of milk/cow, (see Figures 5 and 4) all herd sizes show added net income when milked 8X compared with 2X. Figures 1 through 4 show that ex net income increases at a faster rate than 2X net income as herd size and herd average increases. The Effect of Milk Price on Profitability of 3X Milking Compared with 2X Milking 31 32 L. + Mm D .moem m3. on m: oaomm coo um cocoa L b ace}: econ. _ _ cm 296. sea .38 a Ems .38 9... a he .3: ooz :o hodofioopm 925:2 mo pcctm .~ muswwm (spuesnoql) (SJUIIOP) 31/103511 lIEIN 33 cccmm ocean _ Hm + “mm D . mofi. 59. one: ocean _ ecos— r oacmq ooomé 3... - a r em... .. 8| o I A: T on eI_cm I 9v I on I on I on. I am r as T can I a: I am; T can 336— M35 are ad the: Boo com a 38 6.3 .03— #02 :0 kofiefivohh wfimvzmz mo doommm N ouswum (spuesnoql) (5.1311013) QNODNI (LEN 93. so 2 Hm + one 0 Mai 9mm: 9.: can on _ Owl. 34 IIIIIIe s llmlu Ink-.11. I\I.I\I.\...\. . .I o H l.\. I on I as I 3, I an. I 8 I E I 8 I as a 2: I a: I 8. I :2 I 9.: I on. I 8— 9: .32 5:: so A. sees. .5333 3.35 no kodofioosm @5332 no oootm 9: com .m musmwm (spuesnoql) (31811013) ENODNI .LIEIN 35 Km + 3m D mN—m 9mm: coo cam can — _ k FI—J cm I can I can I 9E I can I emu V com I can I :3 I cum I can sea .3 a. 89mm 38:83 «.32 .8.“ .oE ooz so kosodoopm mdgzfi can no pcotm .q ouswwm (spuesnoql) (venom amoom ism 36 Figures 5 through 8 illustrate the impact of reducing the price of milk from $12.10/cwt. to $11.10/cwt. have on profitability of 3X milking compared with 2X milking. At a level of milk production of 13,000 lb of milk/cow, (see Fig. 5) herd sizes of 150 cows and greater show that 3X net .income is greater than 2X net income. When herd sizes ranging from 50 to 400 cows produce 13,000 lb of milk/cow, profitability never reaches the breakeven point for 2X and 3X milking. At a level of 19,000 lb of milk/cow (see Fig. 6) the 50 and 100 cow herds do not reach positive net income. However, all herd sizes producing 19,000 lb of milk cow show added net income when milking 3X compared with 2X. A herd size of 50 cows (see Fig. 7) that produces 17,000 lb oi milk/cow shows that 3X milking is more profitable than 2X milking. When the herd average is increased to 19,000 lb of milk/cow, 3X milking surpasses the breakeven point. At herd sizes of 200 cows (see Fig. 8) all herd averages have added net income for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. At levels of 17,000 lb of milk/cow and greater a 200 cow herd reaches positive net income. The Effect of Changing the Price of Labor on Profitability of 3X Milking Compared with 2X Milking 37 unm + NM NM; Qmmm cam on— . .1 can 5.33.34; 3 gas. 5A.: fl s84: .8“ cm} I am: a s- .3: .32 So hcdofivopm ”32322 no Hootm m ousmwm (spuesnoql) (SJBIIOD) anoom .LEN 38 09”.. MB + ohm D mEm am: can can can on . II. II'III" I'] am... Ion I2. I95 Iom £5333 3 0:2: :33 £ 83: be .3: ooz do honofivopm 333:3 me am pcommm .o ouswwm (spuesnoql) (venom snoom .LLHN 39 95mm .5ch mum +. you nu mag Esq. Qflm ocomq Osaka _ r .59: as! \a... an! I an! 7 9v! I am! I am! I CHI... o lo— lam lam I3, Ion 833v £32 058 .33 ea 9:8 on em .95 .32 do monofivopm wag—m2 no oootm .s shaman (spuesnoql) (81811013) anoom .LaN 40 ocean Mm + M1 D mwfim ME? Q m m: scam»... occmq cop: coamq _ p p uI aoomq on! -e. a... .1 I. III .I.. on I‘ -\ \ . \\ ..\ I I 1\. \\ I . Ion Iofi Ion Ice Ion Iom 83.3 20?... 5:: are 3 v.38 8m .3: .32 do .mofioaoopm 92x32 me am coats .w ousmam (spuesnoql) (“211013) anoom ism 40 Mm + Hm D madam mtg. Gm m: coon“ ocomq .59: coanq _ e p _ oocmm scam; on! on! . \ \l\\ Mi ..\ .‘z I \. 0.. \ \ n“ o n .\\w \V l‘ -\ °¢ .\ I l \"\ \ II Dml II DNI II Qfinl. 5 IA: Tom Tom I3. flow. Ice IE. lam 8123 226. 5.5 use as «38 8m .05 .32 no hoaofivoah 920254 «c on uoommm .w madman (spuesnoql) (“81109) swoon: ism 41 Figures 9 through 11 illustrate the consequences of raising the price for 3X labor from $7.00/hr to $10.00/hr have on profitability of 3X milking compared with 2X milking. At a level of 19,000 lb of milk/cow, (see Fig. 9) only 200 and 400 cow herds.show increased net income for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. A 50 cow herd (see Fig. 10) has to produce 19,000 lb of milk/cow before it becomes economically justifiable to shift from 2X to 3X milking. Herd size of 200 cows (see Fig. 11) illustrates a positive net income for 3X milking at a level of milk production of 17,000 lb of milk/cow. It further shows that as milk production per cow increases then 3X milking net income increases at a faster rate than 2X milking. The Effect of increasing the Price of Feed Forty Percent on Profitability of 3X Milking Compared with 2X Milking Figures 12 and 13 illustrate the profitability of 3X milking compared with 2X milking was examined by analyzing the impact of increasing feed prices 40% relative to current feed prices. At a level of 17,000 lb of milk/cow, (see Fig. 12) is when a 50 cow herd shows increased net income from 3X milking. Even when milk production reaches 23,000 lb of milk/cow for a herd size of 50 cows, the breakeven point is not attained for 2X and 3X milking. At a herd size of 200 cows (see Fig. 13), profitability becomes positive when the 42 com um»... + Ha... D mw—m Gm m: can can 6.: \\ I 3 I am I an I 3, I on fee I as I 8 I 8 T 9: fie: I e3 .383 Me .3.“ 55.85; e A. 892 .8“ emu .oE fez no hofiofivopm m:§:2 mo oootm .a ouswam (spuesnoql) (SJBIIOP) swoon: .LEIN 43 NH” + ”Hm fl. mag Ed. Q m m: 6666M 666nm 6666a 666nm 666mm 666qu L IF P p \\.\.\\%l DNII \. \ I.\. .\ I.I\\\.mU \r \\\\I. I 2.. \.\.I \x\ \\ I cqi \V \wa \ \ I\. I3 2 ABE—3 23m. 0:2: use a. 2:8 9... .3: poz so hofiofivopm @20sz mo abommm 6~ shaman (spuesnoql) (SJBIIOP) anoom .LaN 44 Hm + Hm B mag 56% gm m m 666mm 666 «m 6666q 666.: 666mm 666m— ; p r p 6%! \.\\ \.\+\ I 6.“. IxxhwxxxI .\\\\\ \\\., \.\\\ .I am \I\\\ \II. \.\ I S. \\\\ \m\ . ..\ I as \.\\\ \ I: am e\. \\ I 8— I..\ I a: \\ rI QM‘ 6m— Ange—3 396— aims an; ad nurse com .o:— poz do koflodvopm WGCZEZ mo pootm .sl «names (spuesnoql) (81211013) swoom .LaN 45 666mm ocean mm + .Hm .u mwfim m>< mmmm ocean 6665a b F 6666a 6666a emu Ill? vml 95 x93 28:: 3:8 use an 2:8 9... .04.: avz :0 KOQQQVQHIR Wigwam: HO Hovmmm .N~ cuawwm (spuesnoql) (Sleuop) anoom .LaN 46 ooomm Mm + m. D mafia m>< AH; m: coo—m. caomu .5th .595 _ P _ . _ coon“ 37. \\WW. ST. w 8.. .. 81 7 on... 1 8.. I on: 1 ST I am: .. cm: 1 3| a law lam tom. 15+ {on “05 Rowv Egg #25 dug—u ad «.500 can on .05 ~02 no kofiofidvhm 92532 Ho Hoetm .nu wusmam (spuesnoql) (EB-1311013) ENODNI .LEIN 47 milk production is 19,000 lb of milk/cow or greater. The Effect on Profitability by Changing the Milk Production Response to Ten Percent when Milking Cows 3X Compared with 2X Figures 14 through 17 illustrate the effect on profitability by reducing the increase in milk production from 3X milking compared with 2X milking from 15% to 10%. At a level of milk production of 13,000 lb of milk/cow (see Fig. 14) 2X milking is more profitable than 3X milking at all herd sizes. When production increases to 19,000 lb of milk/cow (see Fig. 15) it is not until herd sizes of 200 cows and larger that 3X milking is more profitable than 2X milking. it is not profitable for a herd of 50 cows (see Fig. 16) to milk 3X when milk production increases only 10% compared with 2X milking. However, when herd size is 200 cows (see Fig. 17) 19,000 lb of milk/cow is needed before 3X milking is more profitable than 2X milking. 48 Km + Hm. D mam QMME can can can r r p 1w! mu... 33:5 Us 5 «3205 N3 .5 25.2. .o:_ qu do Kofiofivofim 923:2 mo aootm .ed ouswfim (spuesnoql) (“811013) awoom .LEIN 49 2:. Mm + Hm U MN—m Qmm: can can can _ _ _ R 1.: I am I on T can I on a. on fl on. i am I am I can I a: I 9: 33:8 Ma 5 3835 N3 5: 892. .2: .32 no monoflvozm 925:2 9.4 no pootm .m. «Hamil (spuesnoql) (518110?) zwoom .LEIN 50 Hm + “mm D maggd. fifimm oocmm coo «m. .52: A59: Sonq _ b P _ A2: was 29$. 5:: one an «.38 on .02— aoz do hodofivvhh wfimvHZE mo pooh—mm .oa «woman (spuesnoqm) (Sieuop) anoom izN 51 coamm Hm + NM. D m 04% MFR¢ Q m m: sac—m ocean coop: u p p _ cosm— T on I o.v I on I on I as I am i on I oo— r o: .oE ooz :o kofiofivopm mQEZS $3 was 22.2 5.8 use ,3 .938 8a .HO om— aootm a on swam (spuesnoqm) (SJBIIDP) swoon: 1.5m UlbUUSSlUN in contrast to numerous experiments where only one net income was shown for cows being milked 5X compared with ax, many net incomes are shown from the dairy investment model. Experimental conditions of the present studies and conditions in previous work were not identical. These differences may account for the contrasting results. For example, various herd sizes and herd averages were examined to determine profitability of milking cows 3X compared with LA. Goff and Gaunya, (1978) and Owens, (1985) never examined the impact of different prices on the profitability of milking 3X compared with 2X. For example, profitability in the current study was looked at over different milk prices, labor prices and feed prices. in addition different production responses from 3X milking were examined to see its effectiveness on BX net income. Profitability of milking cows 3X compared with ax was greatly altered when different prices and 3X production responses were used. Total net income per cow per day was examined over herd sizes of bU, 1UO, 150, ZUO and 400 cows and herd averages of 15, lb, 17, 18, 21 and 23 (thousand) lb of milk/cow. Net income was calculated using a milk price of $12.1U/cwt, a price of labor for 3X of $7.UU/hr, a milk production 52 53 increase from 3X of 15%, $2.00/bu for corn, $60.00/T for hay, $208.00/T for soybean meal and $23.00/T for corn silage. For a 50 cow herd producing 13,000 lb of milk/cow, 3X milking shows a loss of $.01/cow/d compared with 2X milking. Hlubik, (1986) showed that a 70 cow herd can increase net income $.18/cow/d when milking 3X compared with 2X. When milk production is at 19,000 lb of milk/cow then 3X milking compared with 2X milking has higher net returns of $. 20/cow/d. When the herd average is 23,000 lb of milk/cow the added net income from 3X milking is $.29/cow/d. When the herd size is 100 cows, 3X milking has a more positive effect on net income than a herd size of 50 cows. Uwen, (1985) using a 100 cow model herd showed an increase of $.13/cow/d when 3X milking was practiced. At a level of milk production of 13,000 lb of milk/cow, 3X milking compared with 2X milking shows a gain of $.08/cow/d. When the herd average is increased to 15,000 lb of milk/cow the added net income from 3X milking is $.l3/cow/d. When a 100 cow herd is producing 23,000 lb of milk/cow net income is increased $.34/cow/d for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. At a herd size of 150 cows producing 13,000 lb of milk/cow, net income is $.10/cow/d greater for 3X milking compared with 2X milking. When the herd average is 17,000 lb of milk/cow, added net returns of $.23/cow/d from 3X milking is realized. At a level of milk production of 23,000 lb of milk/cow the added net income for 3X milking compared with 2X milking is $.40/cow/d. 54 A herd size of 200 cows depicts profitability at all herd averages based on current prices and costs. At a level of milk production of 13,000 lb of milk/cow net income is increased $.14/cow/d when a herd shifts from 2X milking to 3X milking. When the herd average is at 23,000 lb of milk/cow the added net income from 3X milking is $.43/cow/d. On a per cow basis, the 200 cow herd is more profitable at herd averages of 13, 15, 19 and 23 (thousand) lb of milk/cow than a 400 cow herd at herd averages of 13, 15, 19 and 23 (thousand) lb of milk/cow. A possible reason for the increase in net income on a per cow basis for a 200 cow herd compared with a 400 cow herd is assumptions built into the dairy investment model on the number of cows milked/hr. It was assumed that a 200 cow herd would be milked in a double 6 herringbone parlor with detachers and a crowd gate while the 400 cow herd would be milked in a double 8 herringbone parlor with detachers and a crowd gate. The values used in the dairy investment model for milking cows/hr are a major cause for the increase in net income on a per cow basis for a 200 cow herd compared with a 400 cow herd. A herd size of 400 cows shows added net income for all herd averages. Pelissier et. al. (1978); Edwards, (1980); Bohling, (1980) calculated a return around $.25/cow/d for a 400 cow herd. This is very similar to the present results for a 400 cow herd producing 19,000 lb of milk/cow, however, Pelissier fails to show if 3X is proftable for other herd averages. A 400 cow herd producing 13,000 lb of milk/cow 55 will receive added net income of $.12/cow/d. Furthermore, if a 400 cow herd is producing 23,000 lb of milk/cow then the added net income from 3X milking is $.31/cow/d. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Profitability of milking cows 3X compared with milking cows 2X was examined across levels of production of 13, 15, 1?, 19, 21 and 23 (thousand) lb of milk/cow. Using the electronic spreadsheet template Lotus 123 (1983), simulated farms of herd sizes of 50, 100, 150, 200 and 400 cows were modeled for 3X milking and 2X milking. The dairy investment model employs a static budgeting approach and assumes that all costs, prices and other input variables specified by the user are constant over the investment period. The model is useful in projecting long term profit expectation. Milking 3X revealed: 1) Profitability is reached according to changes in level of milk production and herd size. 2) 3X milking becomes profitable for a 50 cow herd producing 17,000 lb of milk/cow. 3) For a 100 cow herd producing 13,000 lb of milk/cow, 3X milking shows added net income in comparison to 2X milking. 4) For herd sizes of 150, 200 and 400 cows, all herd averages show that 3X milking is profitable when compared to 2X milking. Milking 3X is not likely to be for everyone because there are many factors involved and these factors vary widely in dairy herds. A feasability estimate for the herd must be made with the owner’s cost and price data and management circumstances. To determine whether an individual dairy 56 57 operation should switch to 3X milking, the producer should: determine if there is profit potential in switching to 3X, assure that a dependable labor supply and excellent management is available, be able to meet the special management required for success with 3X milking and have a strong desire and commitment to make the system succeed. There are limitations to the techniques and procedures developed and examined in this study. The key to improviong the model is to use available data and information, be it historical series or predictions, to the fullest extent possible. A good decision only improves the chance of a favorable outcome, it does not guarantee one. APPENDIX A TABLES Appendix table 1. Characteristics of rations For lactating cows. 305 Day Milk Yield Characteristics 13,000 15,000 17,000 19,000 21,000 23,000 Energy conc. (NE, Meal/1b 0M) .70 .74 .73 .74 .74 .76 Crude protein conc. (% on) 13.53 15.32 15.36 14.84 15.04 15.78 Average daily milk production For 2X 42.6 49.2 55.7 62.3 69.0 75.4 Average daily milk production For 3X 49.0 56.6 64.1 71.6 79.2 86.7 Estimated dry matter intake (lb/day) 35.5 36.6 38.9 41.9 44.8 46.3 Net energy required (Noel) 24.10 26.24 28.34 30.48 32.65 34.72 Crude Protein required (lb) 4.6 5.13 5.66 6.19 6.73 7.24 Net energy required (Meal/lb 0M) .61 .64 .66 .68 .69 .71 DiCalcium Phosphate (lb/day) .126 .130 .142 .162 .178 .199 Limestone added (lb/day) .062 .154 .198 .253 .294 .314 TR mineral salt added (lb/day) .175 .184 .193 .202 .210 .219 Calcium (% in ration after minerals added) .67 .70 .72 .73 .73 .75 Phosphorus (% in ration after minerals added) .33 .35 .36 .37 .37 .38 Calcium Sulfate .097 .075 .070 .069 .058 .041 Magnesium Oxide .026 .032 .037 .041 .036 .041 58 Appendix table 2. % 0M Crude Protein % Net Energy MCa1/# Acid Detergent Fiber % Calcium % Phosphorus % Magnesium % Potassium % Sodium % Chloride % Sulfur % Iron ppm Zinc ppm Copper ppm Manganese ppm Iodine ppm Selenium ppm 59 Alfalfa Mid 88 18 .59 .36 1.25 .25 .25 2.10 .02 .31 .23 125 27 9.0 28 0 0 Brewers Grains 22 28 .72 25.0 .30 .54 .15 .05 .01 .10 .30 220 30 20.0 41 0 0 Corn,Gr Corn Silage Shelled 88 10 .93 1.0 .02 .26 .14 .45 0 .03 .14 30 30 5.0 15 0 0 NPN 35 11.30 .69 28.0 .30 .26 .20 1.00 .01 .10 .14 180 40 7.0 38 0 0 Nutrient content of Feeds used in the model. Soybean Neal 90 48.9 .84 10.0 .34 .70 .30 2.20 .04 .04 .47 130 48 25.0 31 0 0 Appendix table 3. 60 Quantities of feed needed/cow and replacement/year by production level. Feed Lactatinga Dryb Young-c 3X Storage & Total Needed Cou Cou stock Cou Feed Loss 2X 3X Production level of 13,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.4 T .5 T 2.2 T 1.8 T 16% t 4.8 T 5.2 T Corn Gr. Shelled 31 bu 2 bu 12 bu 40 bu 8% t 49 bu 58 bu Corn Silage, NPN 9.2 T .8 T 3 T 12 T 18% 7 15.3 T 18.6 T Soybean Meal 339 1b - 100 1b 457 lb 5% , 461 1b 579 1b DiCal Phosphate 38 1b - 25 lb 38 lb 5% ; 66 lb 66 1b Limestone 19 lb - - 19 lb 5% . 20 lb 20 lb Calcium Sulfate 29 lb - - 29 lb 5% j 30 1b 30 lb Magnesium Oxide 8 lb - - 8 1b 5% ; 9 1b 9 lb Tr. Mineral Salt 53 lb 5 1b 25 lbl33 1b 5% . 87 lb 87 lb Production level of 15,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.4 T l .5 T 2.2 T 1.8 T 16% 4.8 T 5.2 T Corn Gr. Shelled 62 bu I 2 bu 12 bu 83 bu 8% 82 bu 105 bu Corn Silage, NPN 6.5 T 1 .8 T 3 T 8.7 T 18% 12.2 T 11.6 T Soybean Meal 1017 lb l - 100 1b 1353 lb 5% 1173 lb 1526 lb DiCal Phosphate 40 1b 1 - 25 1b 40 lb 5% 68 1b 68 lb Limestone 47 lb 1 - - 47 1b 5% 50 1b 50 1b Calcium Sulfate 23 lb - - 23 1b 5% 24 lb 24 lb Magnesium Oxide 10 1b ‘ - - 10 lb 5% 11 lb 11 lb Tr. Mineral Salt 56 lb , 5 1b 1 25 16156 1b 5% 90 lb 90 1b Production level of 17,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.4 T .5 T 2.2 T 1.8 T 16% 4.8 T 5.2 T Brewers Grain 2.1 T - - 2.8 T 8% 2.3 T 3.0 T Corn Cr. Shelled 63 bu 2 bu 12 bu 84 bu 8% 83 bu 106 bu Corn Silage, NPN 6.5 T .8 T 3 T 8.7 lb 18% 12.1 T 11.6 T Soybean Meal 678 lb - 100 lb 900 1b 5% 817 1b 1050 lb DiCal Phosphate 43 1b - 25 lb 43 lb 5% 71 lb 71 1b Cimestone 60 1b - - 60 1b 5% 63 lb 63 1b Calcium Sulfate 21 1b - - 21 lb 5% 22 lb 22 1b Magnesium Oxide 11 lb - - 11 lb 5% 12 lb 12 lb Pot. Chloride 15 1b - - 15 lb 5% 16 1b 16 1b Tr. Mineral Salt 59 lb 5 1b 25 lb 59 1b 5% 93 lb 93 lb table 3. (continued) 61 Feed Lactatinga Dryb Young-c 3X Storage 6 Total Needed Cow Cow stock Cow Feed Loss 2X 3X Production level of 19,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.4 T .S T 2.2 T 1.8 T 16% 4.8 T 5.2 T Brewers Grain 3.5 T - - 4.7 T 8% 3.8 T 5.1 T Corn Cr. Shelled 81 bu 2 bu 12 T 108 1b 8% 103 bu 132 bu Corn Silage, NPN 6.1 lb .8 T 3 T 8.1 lb 18% 11.7 T 10.9 T Soybean Meal 339 1b - 100 lb 451 lb 5% 461 1b 579 1b DiCal Phosphate 49 1b - 25 1b 49 lb 5% 78 1b 78 lb Limestone 77 lb - - 77 lb 5% 81 1b 81 lb Calcium Sulfate 21 lb - - 21 lb 5% 22 1b 22 1b Magnesium Oxide 13 lb - - 13 1b 5% 14 lb 14 lb Pot. Chloride 38 1b - - 38 1b 5% 40 lb 40 lb Tr. Mineral Salt 62 lb I 5 lb 25 'lb 62 lb 5% 97 1b 97 1b Production level of 21,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.4 T .5 T 2.2 T 1.8 T 16% 4.8 T 5.2 T Brewers Grain 2.8 T - - 3.7 lb 8% 3.0 T 4.0 T Corn Cr. Shelled 87 bu 2 bu 12 bu 116 1b 8% 109 bu 140 bu Corn Silage, NPN 7.0 T .8 T 3 T 9.3 lb 18% 12.8 T 12.3 T Soybean Meal 678 1b - 100 1b 900 lb 5% 817 lb 1050 lb DiCal Phosphate 54 lb - 25 1b 54 1b 5% 83 lb 83 1b Limestone 90 1b - - 90 1b 5% 95 1b 95 lb Calcium Sulfate 18 lb - - 18 1b 5% 19 1b 19 1b Magnesium Oxide 11 lb - - 11 1b 5% 12 1b 12 lb Pot. Chloride 22 lb - - 22 lb 5% 23 lb 23 lb Tr. Mineral Salt 64 1b 5 lb 25 lb 64 lb 5% 99 1b 99 lb Production level of 23,000 lb, 3.5% milk Alfalfa, Mid. 1.7 T .5 T 2.2 T 2.3 T 16% 5.1 T 5.8 T Brewers Grain 3.5 T - - 4.7 T 8% 3.8 T 5.1 T Corn Gr. Shelled 111 bu 2 bu 12 bu 148 bu 8% 135 bu 175 bu Corn Silage, NPN 4.4 T .8 T 3 T 5.9 T 18% 9.7 T 8.3 T Soybean Meal 813 lb - 100 lb 1080 lb 5% 959 1b 1240 lb DiCal Phosphate 61 lb - 25 1b 61 1b 5% 90 1b 90 lb Limestone 96 1b - - 96 1b 5% 101 1b 101 1b Calcium Sulfate 13 1b - - 13 lb 5% 14 1b 14 lb Magnesium Sulfate 13 lb - - 13 1b 5% 14 1b 14 lb Potassium 28 lb - - 28 lb 5% 29 lb 29 lb Tr. Mineral Salt 67 1b 5 1b 25 lb 67 lb) 5% 102 163102 1b 62 Table 3. (continued) 8Quantities of feed for lactating cows are based upon a 305 day lactation. b’cOuantities of feeds for dr cows and youngstock are estimated from: Thomas, Emery, Hlubik (1980). I is assumed that dry cows will be brought onto grain approximately 2 weeks befor freshening. cAccording to Telfarm summary data (1981) there is approximately one replacement heifer/cow/year. It is assumed that 1/2 of replacements are between 0 and 1 yr of age and 1/2 between 1 and 2 years of age. Therefore, for every heifer the amount of feed needed is the amount needed between birth and freshening/Z. 0 Storage and feeding losses are based on: Knoblauch (1977), pg. 17 and Parsch (1982), pg. 134. Losses include feeding and storage losses. Losses for corn are those for high moisture corn stored in an upright silo. Losses for corn silage are losses based on bunker silo storage. Losses of hay crop are estimated as 40% dry hay and 60% of the losses of haylange stored in an upright silo (i.e. .4 * 12 + .6 * 19 =16). 63 Appendix table 4. Steady state throughputs of cows. Cows milked/hr Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 36 4O 62 68 81 15,000 32 36 57 62 76 17,000 28 31 52 58 71 19,000 24 28 48 53 67 21,000 20 25 44 49 63 23,000 17 21 40 45 59 Appendix table 5. 64 The effect of milking frequency on net income for various herd sizes and milk production averages. Herd Size (Cows) Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 (2x) -17,058 -23,292 -34,099 -35,529 -38,538 13,000 (3x) -17,066 -20,419 ~28,243 -25,792 -19,782 15,000 (2x) -13,860 -11,993 -14,819 -8,478 10,691 15,000 (3x) -13,010 -7,421 -6,069 4,956 36,800 17,000 (2x) -5,493 -881 10,435 25,189 72,111 17,000 (3x) -3,399 5,287 22,869 43,604 107,355 19,000 (2x) -60 10,247 22,659 51,048 120,680 19,000 (3x) 3,422 19,152 38,967 75,198 167,440 21,000 (2x) 5,851 22,671 42,457 77,955 173,611 21,000 (3x) 10,352 33,530 61,811 106,252 229,077 23,000 (2x) 11,933 34,908 61,855 102,558 224,980 23,000 (3x) 17,218 47,087 83,615 134,267 287,071 Appendix table 6. The effect of reducing the milk price from $12.10/cwt. to 65 $11.10/cwt. have on profitability of 3x milking compared with 2x milking. Herd Size (Cows) Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 (2x) -23,233 -35,642 -52,624 -60,229 -87,938 13,000 (3x) -24,167 -34,621 -49,547 -54,197 -76,592 15,000 (2x) -20,985 -26,243 -36,194 ~36,978 -46,309 15,000 (3x) ~21,204 -23,809 -30,650 -27,819 -28,750 17,000 (2x) -13,568 -17,031 -13,790 -7,111 -7,511 17,000 (3x) -12,686 ~13,286 -4,989 6,459 33,065 19,000 (2x) -9,085 -7,803 -4,416 14,948 48,480 19,000 (3x) -6,957 -1,605 7,831 33,683 84,410 21,000 (2x) -4,124 2,721 12,532 38,055 93,811 21,000 (3x) -1,120 10,587 27,397 60,367 137,307 23,000 (2x) 1,008 13,058 29,080 58,858 137,580 23,000 (3x) 4,655 21,959 45,924 84,012 186,561 Appendix table 7. The effect of changing the price of labor from $7.00/hr. 66 $10.00/hr. on profitability of 3x milking compared with to 2x milking. Herd Size (Cows) Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 (2x) -17,058 -23,292 -34,099 -35,529 -38,538 13,000 (3x) -l9,821 -24,661 -33,800 -32,615 -34,276 15,000 (2x) -13,860 -11,993 -14,819 -8,478 10,691 15,000 (3x) -15,791 -11,746 -11,721 -2,037 21,917 17,000 (2x) -5,493 -881 -1o,435 25,189 72,111 17,000 (3x) -6,214 827 17,103 36,477 92,026 19,000 (2x) -60 10,247 22,659 51,048 120,680 19,000 (3x) 562 14,589 33,092 67,876 151,708 21,000 (2x) 5,581 22,671 42,457 77,955 173,611 21,000 (3x) 7,430 28,838 55,808 98,745 212,890 23,000 (2x) 11,933 34,908 61,855 102,558 224,980 23,000 (3x) 14,230 42,166 77,459 126,542 270,367 Appendix table 8. 67 The effect of increasing the price of feed forty percent on profitability of 3x milking compared with 2x milking. Herd Size (Cows) Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 (2x) -34,060 —57,296 -85,103 -103,535 -174,550 13,000 (3x) -34,332 -54,951 -80,041 -94,856 -157,911 15,000 (2x) -32,264 -48,801 -70,031 -82,094 -136,541 15,000 (3x) -31,827 -4S,055 -62,520 -70,311 -113,735 17,000 (2x) -23,153 —36,202 -42,546 -45,452 -69,171 17,000 (3x) -21,446 -30,806 -31,270 -28,581 -37,015 19,000 (2x) -17,602 ~24,836 -29,966 -19,118 -19,652 19,000 (3x) -14,446 -16,584 -14,637 3,726 24,495 21,000 (2x) -l3,164 -15,360 —14,589 1,894 21,489 21,000 (3x) -9,019 -5,212 3,698 28,769 74,110 23,000 (2x) -7,472 -3,902 3,641 24,938 69,740 23,000 (3x) -2,271 7,209 23,799 54,511 127,560 Appendix table 9. The effect on profitability by changing the milk production response 68 to ten percent when milking cows 3x compared with 2x. Herd Size (Cows) Herd Average 50 100 150 200 400 13,000 (2x) -17,058 -23,292 -34,099 -35,529 -38,538 13,000 (3x) -20,400 -27,088 —38,247 -39,130 -46,458 15,000 (2x) —13,860 -11,993 -14,819 -8,478 10,691 15,000 (3x) -l6,857 -15,116 -17,611 -10,434 6,020 17,000 (2x) -5,493 -881 10,435 25,189 72,111 17,000 (3x) -7,760 -3,434 -9,788 26,162 72,471 19,000 (2x) -60 10,247 22,659 51,048 120,680 19,000 (3x) -1,452 9,405 24,347 55,704 128,452 21,000 (2x) 5,851 22,671 42,457 77,955 173,611 21,000 (3x) 4,965 22,757 45,651 84,706 185,985 23,000 (2x) 11,933 34,908 61,855 102,558 224,980 23,000 (3x) 11,319 35,288 65,917 110,669 239,875 69 by David Chlus Dairy Farm Analysis of Three Times A Day Milking On Michigan Dairy Farms using Michigan TELFARM Data. Herd Size: 50 100 160 200 400 Herd AVE.: 13000 16000 17000 19000 21000 23000 Cattle Inc./cow 160 192 230 240 256 270 Milk Price: 12.10 Price of Labor 5.00 for 2X per hour: 7.00 for 3X Milk Loss: 0.05 % Milk Increase: 0.15 Price of Corn: 2.00 /bu. Price of Hay: 75.00 /T Price of SBM: 208.00 /T Price of CSLG: 23.00 /T Cows milked per hour: 0 Default values for each production level. Deprec./cow: 0.00 Enter your own values if you want to override spreadsheet values. (Alt) (9) = Print the answer = Save the answer Herd Ave. Milkinc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Gross-ilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost ReprefiVeh.Main Fuel,Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&lea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreod. Vet.Mod&Drug Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIAfiBedd. Int. A1100. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. '31 Deproc. 3 of COWS Total Exp. Net Income 2X 13000 650 12350 617500 74718 160 8000 82718 881.44 395.00 54.17 8.43 0.00 68.65 16.84 0.00 8.05 12.45 0.00 48.72 38.33 17.73 36.84 160.55 28.41 23.92 118.36 11.84 1.58 0.00 52.94 11.26 0.00 50 99776 '17058 31 13000 1950 748 14203 710125 85925 160 8000 93925 894.82 523.58 54.17 8.43 0.00 68.65 16.84 0.00 8.05 12.45 0.00 48.72 38.33 17.73 36.84 184.63 42.62 35.88 118.36 11.84 1.58 0.00 79.41 16.89 0.00 50 110991 -17066 70 50 2X 15000 750 14250 712500 86213 192 9600 95813 952.15 431.00 56.33 71.25 22.50 13.98 0.00 59.92 42.77 21.27 41.25 185.25 29.91 29.89 136.36 12.55 1.80 0.00 54.23 12.45 0.00 109673 -13860 COWS 31 15000 2250 863 16388 819375 99144 192 9600 108744 972.96 560.80 56.33 59.92 42.77 21.27 41.25 213.04 44.87 44.84 136.36 12.55 1.80 0.00 81.35 18.68 0.00 50 121754 -13010 2X 17000 850 16150 807500 97708 230 11500 109208 993.29 440.00 58.22 9.95 0.00 74.23 24.39 0.00 9.55 14.20 0.00 64.49 43.50 22.81 43.28 209.95 30.38 32.17 140.04 12.93 1.88 0.00 55.61 13.13 0.00 50 114700 -5493 31 17000 2550 978 18573 928625 112364 230 11500 123864 1016.05 571.36 58.22 9.95 0.00 74.23 24.39 127263 -3399 Herd Aye. Hilklnc. Hilkloss Milk/Cow Tot.HilkShipp. Grossnilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprs&Veh.Hain FueI.Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&1ea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.fled&Drug Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIAhBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. ‘3x Deprec. 8 of 0098 Total Exp. Net Income 2X 19000 950 18050 902500 109203 240 12000 121203 1041.11 470.00 60.08 10.32 0.00 75.63 28.46 0.00 9.86 15.35 0.00 68.12 45.78 23.52_ 45.29 234.65 32.17 33.06 142.37 13.40 2.10 0.00 60.13 13.85 0.00 50 121262 -60 31 19000 2850 1093 20758 1037875 125583 240 12000 137583 1060.84 603.44 60.08 10.32 0.00 75.63 28.46 0.00 9.86 15.35 0.00 68.12 45.78 23.52 45.29 269.85 48.26 49.59 142.37 13.40 2.10 0.00 90.20 20.78 0.00 50 134161 3422 71 50 2X 21000 1050 19950 997500 120698 255 12750 133448 1089.17 495.00 62.86 11.72 0.00 78.87 31.13 0.00 10.41 15.86 0.00 71.21 47.37 25.25 48.66 259.35 33.41 34.50 146.38 13.75 2.25 0.00 62.31 14.46 0.00 50 127596 5851 COWS 3X 21000 3150 1208 22943 1147125 138802 255 12750 151552 1113.66 631.36 62.86 11.72 0.00 78.87 31.13 50 141201 10352 2X 23000 1150 21850 1092500 132193 270 13500 145693 1135.64 525.00 63.51 11.85 0.00 81.14 32.15 0.00 10.89 16.17 0.00 73.48 65.83 15.02 0.00 50 133760 11933 3X 23000 3450 1323 25128 1256375 152021 270 13500 165521 1169.05 664.45 63.51 11.85 0.00 81.14 32.15 0.00 10.89 16.17 0.00 73.48 48.98 14.08 2.29 0.00 98.75 22.53 0.00 50 148303 17218 Herd Awe. Hilklnc. Hilkloss Milk/Cow Tot.HilkShipp. Gross-iiksai. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost ReprshVeh.Hain Fuel,Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&10a. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. Selen&Breed. Vet.Hed&Dru3 Hktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DBIAhBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Hisc. '3x Deprec. t of Cows Total Exp. Net Inca-e 21 13000.00 650 12350 1235000 149435 160 16000 165435 881.44 270.00 52.56 8.76 0.00 63.62 17.25 0.00 7.52 10.98 0.00 65.81 38.71 19.54 41.18 160.55 28.69 24.04 116.93 12.90 1.57 0.00 52.41 12.81 0.00 100 188727 -23292 3X 13000 1950 748 14203 1420250 171850 160 16000 187850 894.82 368.98 52.56 8.76 0.00 63.62 17.25 0.00 7.52 10.98 0.00 65.81 38.71 19.54 41.18 184.63 43.04 36.06 116.93 12.90 1.57 0.00 78.62 19.22 0.00 100 208269 ~20419 72 100 2x 15000 750 14250 1425000 172425 192 19200 191625 952.15 278.00 59.33 9.14 0.00 69.93 17.83 0.00 7.93 11.89 0.00 71.73 40.43 25.14 46.07 185.25 29.36 29.08 119.32 13.46 1.79 0.00 55.35 13.00 0.00 100 203618 -11993 COWS 31 15000 2250 863 16388 1638750 198289 192 19200 217489 972.96 378.92 59.33 9.14 0.00 69.93 17.83 0.00 7.93 11.89 0.00 71.73 40.43 25.14 46.07 213.04 44.04 43.62 119.32 13.46 1.79 0.00 83.03 19.50 . 0.00 100 224910 —7421 2X 17000 850 16150 1615000 195415 230 23000 218415 993.29 314.00 65.66 9.34 0.00 70.50 18.74 0.00 8.48 12.45 0.00 76.06 41.09 31.18 56.18 209.95 31.94 43.51 123.90 14.06 1.82 0.00 57.35 13.46 0.00 100 219296 -881 3X 17000 2550 978 18573 1857250 224727 230 23000 247727 1016.05 418.06 65.66 9.34 0.00 ‘70.50 18.74 0.00 8.48 12.45 0.00 76.06 41.09 31.18 56.18 241.44 47.91 65.27 123.90 14.06 1.82 0.00 86.03 20.19 0.00 100 242440 5287 Herd Awe. MilkInc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Gross-ilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprtheh.Main Fue1,011,Grea. Cust.hirs&1ea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.Med&Dru¢ Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DBIAEBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. ‘3x Deprec. t of COWS Total 319. Net Inca-e 2X 19000 950 18050 1805000 218405 240 24000 242405 1041.11 320.00 68.41 10.56 0.00 78.16 20.83 0.00 9.22 12.92 0.00 78.32 42.37 35.82 58.69 234.65 33.18 45.48 139.60 14.52 2.10 0.00 60.49 15.15 0.00 100 232158 10247 3X 19000 2850 1093 20758 2075750 251166 240 24000 275166 1060.84 426.48 68.41 10.56 0.00 78.16 20.83 0.00 9.22 12.92 0.00 78.32 42.37 35.82 58.69 269.85 49.77 68.22 139.60 14.52 2.10 0.00 90.74 22.73 73 100 21 21000 1050 19950 1995000 241395 255 25500 266895 1089.17 335.00 69.90 11.10 0.00 82.56 21.54 244224 22671 0098 31 21000 3150 1208 22943 2294250 277604 255 25500 303104 1113.66 444.48 69.90 11.10 0.00 82.56 21.54 0.00 11.21 13.53 0.00 81.46 43.83 39.16 60.42 298.25 52.01 71.42 145.21 15.15 2.38 0.00 93.54 24.95 0.00 100 269575 33530 2X 23000 1150 21850 2185000 264385 270 27000 291385 1135.64 350.00 73.32 11.80 0.00 85.50 23.05 0.00 12.68 14.46 0.00 84.21 45.89 42.14 65.31 284.05 36.32 48.96 150.09 15.86 2.84 0.00 65.18 17.47 0.00 100 256477 34908 331043 1169.05 464.81 73.32 11.80 0.00 85.50 23.05 0.00 12.68 14.46 0.00 283956 47087 Herd Awe. MilkInc. Milkioss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Grossnilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprs&Veh.Main Fue1,0i1.Grea. cust.hirs&1ea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.Med&Dru3 Mkt3.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIAfiBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Ailoc. Rent Utilities Misc. ‘3x Deprec. 8 of COWS Total Exp. Met Inca-e 2X 13000 650 12350 1852500 224153 160 24000 248153 881.44 245.00 52.17 8.89 0.00 65.63 17.20 0.00 9.31 9.55 0.00 66.47 37.15 23.81 46.32 160.55 25.50 31.18 123.67 11.23 0.86 0.00 53.91 11.83 0.00 150 282251 -34099 31 13000 1950 748 14203 2130375 257775 160 24000 281775 894.82 331.45 52.17 8.89 0.00 65.63 17.20 0.00 310018 -28243 74 150 ' 21 15000 750 14250 2137500 258638 192 28800 287438 952.15 260.00 54.86 9.50 0.00 68.69 17.80 0.00 9.51 10.44 0.00 68.50 38.00 25.93 48.50 185.25 27.54 33.00 125.45 11.96 0.95 0.00 54.50 12.51 0.00 150 302256 -14819 COWS 31 15000 2250 863 16388 2458125 297433 192 28800 326233 972.96 347.93 54.86 9.50 0.00 68.69 17.80 150 332302 -6069 2X 17000 850 16150 2422500 293123 230 34500 327623 993.29 275.00 57.16 9.66 0.00 69.26 18.22 3X 17000 2550 978 18573 2785875 337091 230 34500 371591 1016.05 364.70 57.16 9.66 0.00 69.26 18.22 0.00 9.81 11.00 0.00 0.00 82.95 19.82 0.00 150 348722 22869 Herd Awe. Milklnc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Grossnilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost ReprshVeh.Main Fuel,Oil.Grea. Cust.hirs&lea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.Med&Dru¢ Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIARBedd. Int . Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. ‘3x Deprec. 8 of 0098 Total Exp. Net Incone_ 2X 19000 950 18050 2707500 327608 240 36000 363608 1041.11 290.00 57.91 10.04 0.00 75.39 23.08 0.00 11.52 13.33 0.00 73.69 41.82 33.55 68.21 234.65 31.27 35.71 137.92 14.38 1.24 0.00 64.05 14.12 0.00 150 340948 22659 3X 19000 2850 1093 20758 3113625 376749 240 36000 412749 1060.84 381.39 57.91 10.04 0.00 75.39 23.08 0.00 11.52 13.33 0.00 73.69 41.82 33.55 68.21 269.85 46.91 53.57 137.92 14.38 1.24 0.00 96.08 21.18 0.00 150 373781 38967 75 150 21 21000 1050 19950 2992500 362093 255 38250 400343 1089.17 300.00 58.72 10.63 0.00 75.82 25.44 0.00 12.96 14.10 0.00 76.22 44.66 35.39 74.19 259.35 33.10 38.18 140.36 14.80 1.48 0.00 66.50 14.83 0.00 150 357885 42457 COWS 31 21000 3150 1208 22943 3441375 416406 255 38250 454656 1113.66 393.37 58.72 10.63 0.00 75.82 25.44 392846 61811 2X 23000 1150 21850 3277500 396578 270 40500 437078 1135.64 315.00 59.88 11.10 0.00 77.46 26.13 0.00 14.10 14.96 0.00 78.81 46.22 38.27 78.56 284.05 35.18 41.16 143.66 16.25 1.91 0.00 67.72 15.42 0.00 150 375222 61855 3X 23000 3450 1323 25128 3769125 456064 270 40500 496564 1169.05 410.76 59.88 11.10 0.00 77.46 26.13 0.00 14.10 14.96 0.00 78.81 46.22 38.27 78.56 326.66 52.77 61.74 143.66 16.25 1.91 0.00 101.58 23.13 0.00 150 412949 83615 Herd Awe. Milklnc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Gross-ilksal. Cat.1nc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprs&Veh.Main Fuel.Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&lea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.Med&Drus Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIARBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. '3x Deprec. 8 of COWS Total Exp. Met Inca-e 21 13000 650 12350 2470000 298870 160 32000 330870 881.44 230.00 50.46 8.10 0.00 62.18 16.30 0.00 8.10 8.85 0.00 59.13 33.72 23.50 41.62 160.55 24.50 29.20 119.75 10.66 0.81 0.00 52.15 10.97 0.00 200 366399 -35529 3X 13000 1950 748 14203 2840500 343701 160 32000 375701 894.82 309.60 50.46 8.10 0.00 62.18 16.30 0.00 8.10 8.85 0.00 59.13 33.72 23.50 41.62 184.63 36.75 43.80 119.75 10.66 0.81 0.00 78.23 16.46 0.00 200 401493 -25792 76 200 21 15000 750 14250 2850000 344850 192 38400 383250 952.15 240.00 52.18 8.62 0.00 64.10 16.75 0.00 8.25 9.13 0.00 61.72 34.26 25.21 43.23 185.25 26.20 30.75 122.65 11.40 1.19 0.00 53.75 11.85 0.00 200 391728 -8478 COWS 3X 15000 2250 863 16388 3277500 396578 192 38400 434978 972.96 321.59 52.18 8.62 0.00 64.10 16.75 0.00 8.25 9.13 0.00 61.72 34.26 25.21 43.23 213.04 39.30 46.13 122.65 11.40 1.19 0.00 80.63 17.78 0.00 200 430021 4956 2X 17000 850 16150 3230000 390830 230 46000 436830 993.29 250.00 54.36 9.75 0.00 65.57 17.94 0.00 8.75 9.75 0.00 63.52 36.20 27.10 45.72 209.95 29.10 31.98 125.24 12.51 1.25 0.00 53.98 12.24 0.00 200 411641 25189 3X 17000 2550 978 18573 3714500 449455 230 46000 495455 1016.05 333.15 54.36 9.75 0.00 65.57 17.94 0.00 8.75 9.75 0.00 63.52 36.20 27.10 45.72 241.44 43.65 47.97 125.24 12.51 1.25 0.00 80.97 18.36 0.00 200 451850 43604 Herd Awe. Milklnc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Grossnilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprs&Veh.Main Fuel,Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&lea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenfiBreed. Vet.Med&Drug Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIARBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. '3x Deprec. i of COWS Total Exp. Met Incone 2X 19000 950 18050 3610000 436810 240 48000 484810 1041.11 260.00 55.62 10.25 0.00 66.33 19.63 0.00 10.53 10.93 0.00 65.38 38.65 28.25 50.31 234.65 30.44 35.10 129.18 13.69 1.29 0.00 54.64 12.83 0.00 200 433762 51048 3X 19000 2850 1093 20758 4151500 502332 240 48000 550332 1060.84 345.43 55.62 10.25 0.00 66.33 19.63 0.00 10.53 10.93 0.00 65.38 38.65 28.25 50.31 269.85 45.66 52.65 129.18 13.69 1.29 0.00 81.96 19.25 0.00 200 475133 75198 77 200 21 21000 1050 19950 3990000 482790 255 51000 533790 1089.17 265.00 55.98 11.02 0.00 69.14 22.47 0.00 11.76 12.33 0.00 68.22 40.36 30.15 55.19 259.35 32.81 37.90 133.65 14.65 1.45 0.00 55.31 13.26 0.00 200 455835 77955 COWS 3X 21000 4588500 555209 255 51000 606209 1113.66 352.58 55.98 11.02 0.00 69.14 22.47 0.00 11.76 12.33 0.00 68.22 40.36 30.15 55.19 298.25 49.22 56.85 133.65 14.65 1.45 0.00 82.97 19.89 0.00 200 499957 106252 2X 23000 1150 21850 4370000 528770 270 54000 582770 1135.64 275.00 57.26 11.66 0.00 72.23 24.19 0.00 13.18 14.06 0.00 480212 102558 3X 23000 3450 1323 25128 5025500 608086 270 54000 662086 1169.05 365.12 57.26 11.66 0.00 72.23 24.19 0.00 13.18 14.06 0.00 72.83 42.98 34.06 63.75 326.66 50.12 57.57 138.56 15.95 1.86 0.00 87.44 20.58 0.00 200 527819 134267 Herd Ave. MilkInc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Gross-ilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Cross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost Reprs&Veh.Main Fue1,0il,Grea. Cust.hirs&lea. Deprec. Int. Alloc. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. SenenhBreed. Vet.Med&Drug Mkts.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIAEBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. '3x Deprec. i of COWS Total Exp. Net Inc. 2X 13000 650 12350 4940000 597740 160 64000 661740 881.44 205.00 48.34 6.88 0.00 53.17 13.96 0.00 7.59 7.36 0.00 49.38 29.18 21.92 33.82 160.55 23.17 27.77 110.35 10.14 1.10 0.00 49.61 9.96 0.00 400 700278 -38538 3X 13000 1950 748 14203 5681000 687401 160 64000 751401 894.82 289.55 48.34 6.88 0.00 53.17 13.96 0.00 7.59 7.36 0.00 49.38 29.18 21.92 33.82 184.63 34.76 41.66 110.35 10.14 1.10 0.00 74.42 14.94 0.00 400 771183 -19782 78 400 21 15000 750 14250 5700000 689700 192 76800 766500 952.15 220.00 49.17 7.37 0.00 55.27 14.51 0.00 8.66 7.47 0.00 52.18 31.16 23.81 38.62 185.25 25.35 29.16 115.41 11.37 1.23 0.00 50.75 10.63 0.00 400 755809 10691 COWS 3X 15000 2250 863 16388 6555000 793155 192 76800 869955 972.96 306.82 49.17 7.37 0.00 55.27 14.51 0.00 8.66 7.47 0.00 52.18 31.16 23.81 38.62 213.04 38.03 43.74 115.41 11.37 1.23 0.00 76.13 15.95 0.00 400 833155 36800 2X 17000 850 16150 6460000 781660 230 92000 873660 993.29 235.00 801549 72111 400 883554 107355 Herd Awe. Milklnc. Milkloss Milk/Cow Tot.MilkShipp. Gross-ilksal. Cat.Inc GrossCat.Inc. Gross Inc. FeedCost LaborCost ReprshVeh.Main Fuel,Oil,Grea. Cust.hirs&1ea. Deprec. Int. A1100. Conserv. Repairs Insur. Lease Deprec. Int. Alloc. Senen&Breed. Vet.Med&Druz Mktg.Truck Lvstck Supp. DHIAhBedd. Int. Alloc. Land Tax LandInt.Alloc. Rent Utilities Misc. '3x Deprec. 9 of COWS Total Exp. Net Inc. 2X 19000 950 18050 7220000 873620 240 96000 969620 1041.11 250.00 52.23 9.54 0.00 60.03 17.63 0.00 11.10 10.88 0.00. 56.18 35.37 27.86 49.16 234.65 30.28 32.93 123.44 13.60 1.55 0.00 52.66 12.15 0.00 400 848940 120680 3X 19000 2850 1093 20758 8303000 1004663 240 96000 1100663 1060.84 341.77 52.23 9.54 0.00 60.03 17.63 0.00 11.10 10.88 0.00 56.18 35.37 27.86 49.16 269.85 45.42 49.40 123.44 13.60 1.55 0.00 78.99 18.23 0.00 400 933223 167440 79 400 2X 21000 1050 19950 7980000 965580 255 102000 1067580 1089.17 260.00 53.46 9.85 0.00 63.28 18.93 0.00 12.51 11.22 0.00 60.15 36.90 29.42 54.55 259.35 31.53 33.65 129.18 14.03 1.69 0.00 53.10 12.95 0.00 400 893969 173611 COWS 3X 21000 3150 1208 22943 9177000 1110417 255 102000 1212417 1113.66 354.42 53.46 9.85 0.00 63.28 18.93 0.00 12.51 11.22 0.00 60.15 36.90 29.42 54.55 298.25 47.30 50.48 129.18 14.03 1.69 0.00 79.65 19.43 0.00 400 983340 229077 2X 23000 1150 21850 8740000 1057540 270 108000 1165540 1135.64 275.00 54.92 10.15 0.00 66.39 20.53 0.00 13.10 12.69 0.00 63.17 38.64 32.86 58.76 284.05 32.98 35.73 133.18 14.76 1.76 0.00 53.38 13.71 0.00 400 940560 224980 3X 23000 3450 1323 25128 10051000 1216171 270 108000 1324171 1169.05 372.44 54.92 10.15 0.00 66.39 20.53 0.00 13.10 12.69 0.00 63.17 38.64 32.86 58.76 326.66 49.47 53.60 133.18 14.76 1.76 0.00 80.07 20.57 0.00 400 1037100 287071 Net Incomes For 3X Milking Strategies HERD SIZE 13’ 000 - 15,000 - 15,000 17,000 17.000 19.000 19,000 21.000 21.000 23.000 23.000 2X 3X 2X 3X 2X 3X 2X 3X 2X 3X 2X 3X 50 -17058 -17066 -13860 -13010 -5493 ~3399 -60 3422 5851 10352 11933 17218 100 -23292 -20419 -11993 -7421 -881 5287 10247 19152 22671 33530 34908 47087 80 150 -34099 -28243 -14819 -6069 10435 22869 22659 38967 42457 61811 61855 83615 200 -35529 '25792 -8478 4956 25189 43604 51048 75198 77955 106252 102558 134267 400 -38538 -19782 10691 36800 72111 107355 120680 167440 173611 229077 224980 287071 BIBUIOGRAPHY BIBLIOGRAPHY Agarwala, O.P. and D. 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