POLICY VARIATIONS AMONG STATES AND IMPACT ON THE CHOICE OF CHILD CARE SERVICE By Woo Jong Kim A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Social Work - Doctor of Philosophy 2014 ABSTRACT POLICY VARIATIONS AMONG STATES AND IMPACT ON THE CHOICE OF CHILD CARE SERVICE By Woo Jong Kim High quality child care services have positive effects on children’s developmental and long term educational outcomes, as well as promote their parents’ stable employment. Center based care, which involves taking care of children in a formal or established child care center, has been found to have a higher quality compared to other types of care service, such as family home care and kinship care. States have used child care subsidy policies and quality regulations to support the choice of center based care among low income working families, but states’ child care policy choices and the influences on the choice of different types of care have not been examined. This study conducted two different analyses to examine the variations in states’ child care policy decisions and the influences of child care subsidy and quality regulation rules on working families’ choice of care arrangement among various options of child care services. Cluster analyses showed significant variations in each policy rules across states. States strategically formed child care policy in consideration with each state’s characteristics. Multilevel analysis revealed that the choice of center based care was significantly associated with higher child-staff ratios, higher copayment rates, and higher levels of tiered reimbursement rates. When investigating policy influences on specific types of care compared to counterpart by choosing specific populations, the choice of center based care rather than family home care had significant associations with a higher child-staff ratio in center based care and less training requirements for family home care among families using formal care. The choice of family home care versus informal care such as grandparents or relative care was significantly associated with higher family home care capacity and more training requirement for family home care. This study reveals that both child care subsidy policy and regulation significantly vary across states and have substantial roles in the choice of care service among working families. Given budget limitations and widening state authority, these findings support social workers in the policy area to effectively redesign child care policy to increase the use of better quality of service. TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES.................................................................................................................................................... vi LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................................................vii I. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................ 1 II. BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT ............................................................................................................ 3 Child care service: variations in types of service and quality ................................................. 3 Choice of child care service: theory and factors affecting choice of services .................... 4 Child care policy in the US..................................................................................................................... 7 Background on policy changes ............................................................................................................ 8 Policy variations across states ............................................................................................................ 9 Child care subsidy rules ............................................................................................................ 9 Quality regulation ..................................................................................................................... 10 How the policy operates: theory and practice ........................................................................... 11 Previous research on state variations ........................................................................................... 15 Previous research on impact of policy on choice of care arrangement across states 17 Purposes of current study .................................................................................................................. 21 Research aims ......................................................................................................................................... 21 III. METHODS ................................................................................................................................................. 23 Data and sample..................................................................................................................................... 23 Measures ............................................................................................................................................. 24 State policy and characteristics ........................................................................................... 24 Variables on children’s characteristics............................................................................. 29 Research design ..................................................................................................................................... 32 Analysis ..................................................................................................................................................... 33 IV. RESULTS.................................................................................................................................................... 39 Research aim 1 ....................................................................................................................................... 39 Child care subsidy ..................................................................................................................... 39 Quality regulation ..................................................................................................................... 41 Research aim 2-A ................................................................................................................................... 44 Research aim 2-B ................................................................................................................................... 48 V. DISCUSSION ............................................................................................................................................. 51 States’ variation among clusters...................................................................................................... 51 Different policy impacts on individuals versus overall populations ................................. 53 Significance of quality regulations on the choice of services ............................................... 54 Limitations ............................................................................................................................................... 56 VI. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION ................................................................................................... 58 iv REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................................................... 60 v LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Means, Standard Deviations, and ranges of state policy rules and state characteristics (n=50) ........................................................................................................... 25 Table 2. Sample demographics ............................................................................................................ 30 Table 3. Cross tabulation of child care subsidy and quality regulation cluster memberships ............................................................................................................................ 43 Table 4. Bivariate correlation coefficients among sample demographics.......................... 45 Table 5. Result for multilevel analysis: choice of center vs. other types (n=2742) ........ 46 Table 6. Results of multilevel analysis: policy impacts on choice of specific care .......... 49 vi LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Research framework ............................................................................................................ 32 Figure 2. Differences in child care subsidy policy across clusters ........................................ 39 Figure 3. Differences in quality regulation policy rules across clusters ............................. 41 vii I. INTRODUCTION High quality child care services have positive effects on children’s developmental and longer term educational outcomes and parents’ stable employment (Burstein & Layzer, 2007; Chaudry, 2004; Albers, Riksen-Walraven & de Weerth, 2010; Campbell, Pungello, MillerJohnson, Burchinal, & Ramey, 2001; Gormley, Gayer, Phillips, & Dawson, 2005; Vandell, Belsky, Burchinal, Steinberg & Vandergrift, 2010). The quality of child care services is substantially different depending on which types of services families use. Center based care, which involves taking care of children in a formal or established child care center, has been found to have higher quality compared to other types of care service, such as home based care and kinship care (Gormley Gayer, Phillips, & Dawson, 2005; Loeb, Bridges, Bassok, Fuller, & Rumberger, 2007; Magnuson, Ruhm, & Waldfogel, 2007). The choice of care arrangement is affected by several different factors including family characteristics, child care market, and policy interventions. However, low-income children are generally less likely to participate in center-based settings than more affluent children because of price and limited high quality care providers near their residences (Chaudry, 2004; Fuller, Kagan, Caspary, & Gauthier, 2002; Layzer & Goodson, 2006; Lowe & Weisner, 2004; Meyers & Jordan, 2006). Under these circumstances, policy interventions, such as state child care subsidies and government child care quality regulations, can play important roles in supporting low income parents’ choices of better quality of care. States have key roles in policy making for these child care policies. With the enactment of the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996, states were given increased flexibility in determining child care policy including funding schemes and state 1 policy rules. Increased state autonomy led to substantial variations in policy rules for child care subsidies, such as eligibility limits, copayment rates, and reimbursement rates across states (Schulman & Blank, 2011). States also have different regulations for the types of care allowable for subsidies, as well as different rules and requirements for licensing (National Association of Child Care Resource & Referral Agencies [NACCRRA], 2011). Thus, combinations of subsidy policy and regulations may create unexpected policy impacts not only on targeted population but also on overall child care market. Despite states having critical roles in forming child care policy, which is a key policy scheme in supporting low income families as well as helping families to make a transition into the workforce, very little is known about how policy choices and subsequent practices may differentially affect the choice of service among families. Prior research has paid little attention to inter-state policy variation and the potential differences in outcomes for children and families. Families residing in different states have different financial situations even if they equally use center based care (Schulman & Blank, 2011). Similarly, depending on the strictness of quality regulation, families may have wide variations in service quality and the availability of providers across states. Therefore, understanding the complexity of policy choices and how states implement child care policy has become both increasingly difficult and important. This study will explore child care policy variations across states and investigate how various policy rules shape child care environments, and as a consequence, the choice of care arrangement among working families with young children. 2 II. BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT Child care service: variations in types of service and quality There are a variety of options available to families who seek a non-parental child care arrangement for their children. Child care services in the US are provided by various providers in diverse settings, such as center based care, family home care, babysitters, and relative care. Regulations for care differ based on the type and location of care. Based on where children are cared, they can be classified into two categories: center based arrangements, which occur in organized facilities, and home based arrangements, which occur in the child's or provider's home, including relatives, babysitters, and family care providers. These two categories do not only differ in terms of setting and providers’ characteristics, but also in the degree of regulation, standards of care, quality of care, and cost of service. Child care centers are subject to heavier regulations for licensing than are home based care facilities in terms of levels of child-staff ratios, certain levels of education attained, and training requirement for center staff (National Association of Child Care Resource & Referral Agencies [NACCRRA], 2011). Also, continuous inspections are followed in center based facilities after licensing. Home based care providers are not consistently subject to licensing procedures, but there are variations within them. Family home providers who care for a group of unrelated children in their own homes are subject to licensing unlike other types of home based care. Even though family home providers may be exempted if providers care for a sufficiently small number of children (NACCRRA, 2011), they are objects of state’s certification in many states. In this respect, center based care and family home care can be categorized as formal care while other types of home based care including relatives and babysitters can be categorized as informal care. 3 A significant body of research has demonstrated the differences of quality within services, and shown an especially higher level of quality for center based care. Quality differences among child care types have been found to be particularly stark in low income communities (Fuller, Kagan, Loeb, & Chang, 2004; Li-Grining & Coley, 2006). Participating in center-based child care improves children's later school outcomes and the effects tend to be particularly large for children from low-income families (Gormley, Gayer, Phillips, & Dawson, 2005; Loeb, Bridges, Bassok, Fuller, & Rumberger, 2007; Magnuson, Ruhm, & Waldfogel, 2007). Thus, it is even more important to understand factors that influence higher quality childcare options for families. Choice of child care service: theory and factors affecting choice of services Basic labor supply theory suggests that the quality and cost of alternative arrangements for non-parental care may affect the values of mother’s time at home and in employment (Blau, Ferber, & Winkler, 2002). This theory assumes that working mothers seek to maximize satisfaction with regard to allocation of time between direct care giving and other labor and with regard to the quality of care received by their children (Meyers & Jordan, 2006). According to this theory, if working mothers have enough purchasing power, they would buy the better quality of childcare service. Empirical research found that the effect of price on the choice of care arrangements is sensitive especially to the choice of center based care. Demand for formal child care, such as center based care or licensed care providers, is more sensitive to price than is demand for informal care, such as babysitter and relatives, and a reduction in price leads to a substitution of formal care for informal arrangements (Michalopoulos & Robins, 2002; Powell, 2002). However, in reality, the choice of type of care in which children end up is a result of the dynamic and inter-related family characteristics, market function, and policy forces that 4 influence selection (Blau, 2003). Previous studies have demonstrated factors affecting parents’ child care choices in terms of family characteristics, community context, and policy effects. The need for non-parental care is closely related to mother’ employment and associated with factors related to mothers’ work status, such as working schedules and working hours (Connelly & Kimmel, 2003; Henly, Ananat, & Danziger, 2006; Kimmel & Powell, 2006). Empirical studies have also identified other family characteristics that were strongly associated with choices of care arrangement. The presence of a spouse/partner or other adult relative in the household reduces the likelihood that a mother will use market and formal care arrangements during hours of work, presumably by providing alternative sources of care (Huston, Chang & Gennetian, 2002). Children with more family members tend to receive less formal care than those in smaller families; when children from larger families are in non-parental care, it is more likely to be informal care (Huston, Chang, & Gennetian, 2002; Liang, Fuller, & Singer, 2000). Characteristics of the child also have significant impacts on the choice of care arrangements. The age of a child has shown strong association with the type of child care parents choose. When a child is either younger (infant or toddler) or at school age, informal and homebased care arrangements are more often used, while formal center based care is used more often during the preschool years starting around age three (Burstein and Layzer, 2007; Early & Burchinal, 2001; Huston, Chang & Gennetian, 2002; Tout, Zaslow, Papillo, & Vandivere, 2001). In addition, gender of a child has shown significant association with the types of child care parents choose. Girls are significantly more likely to be in regular, non-relative care than boys are (Hiedemann, Joesch, & Rose, 2004). Child care arrangements also vary with parents’ socio-demographic factors including education, income level, and race/ethnicity. Studies found that these socio-demographic factors 5 affected parental preferences and beliefs. Children of mothers with high levels of education are more likely to be in center care than in family day care or relative care (Early & Burchinal, 2001). Low income, racial minority and immigrant parents were particularly likely to use relative caregivers (Brown-Lyons, Robertson, & Layzer, 2001; Lowe & Weisner, 2004; Meyers, Heintze, & Wolf, 2002). National data have consistently shown that Hispanic families use proportionately more relative care and more informal care for their children than either White or African American families. For African American families, center care use was most prevalent and did not vary by family income (Capizzano, Adams, & Jason, 2006; Liang, Fuller, & Singer, 2000; Shlay, 2010). Even though there are variations in the choice of child care by race, it may be hard to conclude that the high use of informal care among Hispanic families and high use of organized care among African American families indicate preferences for these types of child care arrangements. Research argues that differences in child care use by race and ethnicity may not be due to different preferences for particular types of care, but for bundles of care characteristics people may believe are associated with particular care situations, such as market constraints and lack of information (Shlay, 2010). Even though individual factors and family characteristics shape the choice of child care service, this decision is limited by the availability of various options within their neighborhoods (Adams, Rohacek, & Snyder 2008; Bromer and Henly 2009). The influence of availability is especially large for low income families (Fuller, Kagan, Caspray, & Gauthier, 2002; Tang, Coley, & Votruba-Drzal, 2012). Low income communities tend to have fewer regulated child care providers than higher income communities; many children living in low income communities have limited service options, and it can thus shape child care preferences and use (Chaudry, 2004; Layzer & Goodson, 2006; Meyers & Jordan, 2006). In addition, limited financial resources make 6 low income working families less likely to choose center based care (Chaudry, 2004; Fuller, Kagan, Caspary, & Gauthier, 2002; Lowe & Weisner, 2004). As a result, low income children are less likely to participate in center-based settings than more affluent children (Capizzano & Adams, 2003). In this situation, policy intervention can have important roles in supporting the use of high quality services for working families. Child care policy in the US The Child Care and Development Fund (CCDF) is the primary federal program specifically devoted to providing families with child care subsidy and supports to improve quality in current US child care system (Administration for Children & Families, 2012). As the federal government’s largest child care program, it serves about 1.6 million children per month on average by spending a total of $8.8 billion in child care support for working families in 2011 (United States Department of Health and Human Services [US-DHHS], 2012a; US-DHHS, 2013). To pursue two policy goals- facilitating employment and promoting children’s health development, CCDF is allocated into two main policy schemes: providing child care subsidies and improving overall quality of care. Even though the CCDF has two different goals, the current child care system actually focuses on increasing employment rather than children’s development by emphasizing child care subsidy provision more than service quality improvement. Most of CCDF allocation is spent on child care subsidies and only small portions are allotted to quality improvement. There is a federal requirement on child care expenditures for quality activities, but the minimum requirement is only 4% of CCDF (Administration for Children & Families, 2012). 7 Background on policy changes The emphasis on the child care subsidy is partly because of development history of CCDF. The increase of child care funding occurred with the welfare reform in 1996. The Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996 (PRWORA) fundamentally changed federal child care assistance programs for low- income families. The legislation eliminated federal child care entitlements and consolidated several different major sources of federal child care subsidies for low- income children into a single block grant to states, the Child Care and Development Fund (Long, Kirby, Kurka, & Boots, 1998). This change made two significant differences in the child care assistance from the past. First, the overall funding for child care assistance dramatically increased after the reform due to the mandatory work related activities for welfare recipients. It became increasingly important to provide childcare subsidies so that families could access to child care services that were previously unaffordable and given that the lack of services was a barrier to moving into jobs. Second, with the changes in the funding system from matching funds to a single block grant for each state, the Child Care Development Fund devolved authority to state governments (Rigby, Kagan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2004). This change allowed states to decide how much they would spend of public expenditures on child care assistance, depending on the level of need which is related to child poverty, available fiscal resources, and political climate (Douglas & Flores, 1998; Levy & Michel, 2002). Depending on the states’ decision, the expenditures for child care assistance vary across states. In addition, by allowing states to transfer the TANF block grant to CCDF and utilize it for child care services (US-DHHS, 2012b), the variations became substantial. In 2011, eight states spent more than 30 percent of their TANF funds on child care, including direct spending and transferred funds, while 21 states spent less than 10 8 percent of TANF funds on child care, with ten spending less than five percent (Schott, Pavetti, & Finch, 2012). These two changes comprised one of the critical policy schemes in welfare system given that the child care services were necessary in welfare reform to transition low income families from welfare to work. In addition, those changes in funding systems led to changes in governing local child care systems by enabling states to decide the policy rules based on their fiscal capability and child care situations. Less federal oversight and decentralized funding schemes led to variations across states in child care environments and families’ choices were subject to the resulting changes in local childcare. Policy variations across states State level decision making became the key determinant of how much child care support would be available and how it would be distributed. The block grant program gave states greater authority in designing their child care subsidy programs to better meet the states' child care needs and objectives. States can determine child care policy rules including child care subsidy policy rules quality regulation rules. Child care subsidy rules The current child care subsidy system provides child care services through certificates, vouchers, or grants and contracts with providers, to low income working families (Administration for Children & Families, 2012). Parents can select a child care provider among providers in the market, who satisfy any applicable state and local requirements, including basic health and safety requirements. State can adjust the amount and quality of child care available, and how and to whom it is distributed using policy levers, including income eligibility limits, family copayment, and reimbursement rates. Those policy levers can affect parental choice and 9 access to quality child care. Federal rules describe that families’ earning incomes up to 85% of the state medium income (SMI) are eligible for child care subsidies, but states can lower the income limits to reduce the number of families to be served. Families are supposed to contribute to the cost of child care services as the family copayment is based on the income and family size, but this requirement may be waived for those at or below the federal poverty level based on states’ decision. While some states waive the copayment to families under the poverty level or under special circumstances, such as a single parent family, other states impose the same copayment to those families. In addition, states can set the reimbursement rates which are the payment rates to providers for child care services by conducting a regular market rate survey on child care services. Since states are suggested to set the reimbursement rate equal to 75th percentile of market rates, this is not mandatory and thus, reimbursement rates vary across states. Additionally, some states have the tiered reimbursement system which applies different reimbursement rates among providers depending on their assessed quality of services for the purpose of increasing the number of quality providers (Schulman and Blank, 2011). Quality regulation Increased state authority for funding and choice of policy rules also affects regulation policy. CCDF improves the quality of care and helps programs meet high standards that is linked to children’s healthy development and learning by supporting child care licensing and regulation, and quality improvements systems. CCDF also provides support for child care workers to attain more training and education. Based on those purposes, states are required to use at least four percent of CCDF on quality activities, such as consumer and parent education and increase of availability in high quality service (Administration for Children & Families, 2012). 10 Child care is regulated by the states in order to reduce the risk of harm to children from exposure to potential harms, such as communicable illnesses, infectious diseases, and injury (Alkon, To, Mackie, Wolff, & Bernzweig, 2010). Most states regulate structure and program features such as child to staff ratio in the classroom, the education and training of the staff and director, building and equipment safety, sanitation, fire safety, staff background checks, discipline practices, food safety, and immunization (NACCRRA, 2011). Those regulations dramatically vary in terms of the degree of stringency and types of providers (NACCRRA, 2011). While some states regulate only specific types of care, usually center based care, other states regulate not only center based care but also family home care. Even though family home care is regulated, the degree of stringency and comprehensiveness in regulatory factors for family home care, such as teacher’s education and health and safety, are less than those for center based care (NACCRRA, 2011). How the policy operates: theory and practice Subsidies and regulation are the primary tools available to governments to impact a mixed-delivery, market-based, service industry such as child care (Rigby, Ryan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2007). By increasing purchasing power and raising quality of service and its availability, subsidies and regulation may shape more favorable child care environments, which offer high quality and various options of child care services for low income families. However, capturing the impact of policy on actual choices of child care arrangement is not simple. Increased state autonomy in child care policy makes it more difficult to examine policy effects on choices of care arrangements. Substantial variations in child care policy across states limit generalizability of findings made in previous studies on impacts of any particular child care policy. In addition, even though subsidies and regulation have direct policy purposes, they often operate in multi11 dimensional ways. As Morris (1999) argued that only a well-designed mix of subsidies and regulation policy has the potential to improve access to the quality child care, measuring policy impacts require careful examinations. Even though child care subsidies are designed to help low income families be self sufficient and to support the use of quality child care service, traditional economic theory suggests that subsidies have not only direct effects on the use of quality services but also indirect effects on the child care market (Rigby, Ryan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2007). If parents have greater purchasing power, the demand for child care should intensify, and this would increase the supply of providers, competition among providers, and eventually promote higher quality of care across child care settings (Gennetian, Crosby, Huston, & Lowe, 2004; Wolfe, 2002). More specifically, a supply of providers would grow naturally in a particular geographic area if families demanded a particular type of arrangement (Fuller & Strath, 2001). In fact, states utilize policy rules to adjust demand and supply of child care services. States may reduce or increase the population they serve by raising or lowering income eligibility thresholds. Copayments can be also used to adjust the number of families served by the child care subsidy system. Higher levels of copayments may enable states to have more funding available and widen the distribution of services over the eligible population (Levy & Michel, 2002). However, if the copayment rates are too high, eligible families will be unable to afford it and be more likely to switch to lower quality of service or unpaid sources of child care. Previous research has argued that low copayment rates and high value of subsidies were associated with receiving child care subsidies, which have been found to significant impacts on the use of center based care (Grobe, Weber, Davis, 2008; Long, Kirby, Kurka, & Waters, 1998). Reimbursement rates affect the supply and accessibility to needy families to subsidized childcare, and quality of services by making more 12 center care available for children (Levy & Michel, 2002). Tiered reimbursement system may also have similar impacts on the market. Larger gaps between highest and lowest reimbursement rates among providers may induce the market entry of service providers and encourage service providers to increase their service quality. Overall, if states provide child care subsidies with higher values (higher reimbursement rates) to more people (high eligibility rates) with low levels of copayment, their use of center based care would increase a supply of quality services as a result. However, this theoretical argument may not be true in the child care market. Most parents use child care that is nearby and easily accessible. As a result, the market for child care is not uniform across a country. Instead, it is composed of many smaller local markets each serving an area (Blau & Mocan, 2002). Critics also suggest that subsidy programs encourage families to increase their child care consumption, but do not provide incentives for the use of high-quality arrangements (Blau & Currie, 2006). Parents would purchase low-quality care since they cannot distinguish higher quality care because of the lack of information. In this case, subsidies may neither support the choice of high quality care nor the increase of service quality. Although subsidies may not directly increase the choice of high quality service in some cases, quality regulation may deal with this problem. A key rationale for child care regulation is to reduce information asymmetries between child care providers and consumers (Blau, 2007). Because parents lack reliable information about the quality of care offered by different providers, they must rely upon government regulators to specify and to enforce a minimum quality level. Previous research revealed that regulation does have positive impacts on increasing overall quality of service (Helburn, 1995; Vandell, 2004). More training hours were found to increase the quality of family home care (Raikes, Raikes, & Wilcox, 2005) and a stringent (low) child- 13 staff ratio has been found to be more beneficial for children (Vandell & Wolfe, 2000). Training requirements and child-staff ratios had significant effects on quality of service and choice of service type among families (Rigby, Ryan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2007). However, the degree of stringency may have unexpected impacts on the availability of quality service. By increasing operating costs, more stringent regulation in center based care may have unintended consequences, such as increasing service price and reducing supply of quality care, as well as increasing choice of alternative service with lower quality, such as family day care and parental care (Blau, 2007; Gormley, 1999; Hotz & Xiao, 2011). These consequences are more prevalent in low income communities. Hotz and Xiao (2011) found that the enforcement of regulations on child care centers reduced the number of these types of establishments in lower income communities. Conversely, similar regulations in higher income areas increased the quality of services provided (Hotz & Xiao, 2011). Taken together, if subsidies are generous enough for choice of high quality services and stringent regulation that is likely to improve overall child care quality, the combination of two policy levers may increase overall use of quality child care service. However, in reality, the impact of policy interactions on the choice of child care service may not operate as shown in theory. For example, beneficiaries might be willing to access higher quality service providers with more generous subsidies, while at the same time providers may be reluctant to enter the child care service market because of higher operating cost caused by stringent regulation. Also, even though there are many quality providers in the market, higher copayment rates and lower reimbursement rates, which are percentages of market prices the subsidies covers, may actually increase the burden of service users and lead to choosing cheaper services with lower quality. In either case, families may not be able to access the high quality care service. 14 Previous research on state variations Studies describing state level variations in individual child care subsidy policies and quality regulation efforts have also shown substantial insight regarding how individual policy choices affect availability and affordability of quality child care services. However, most of these studies did not specifically discuss how different policy levers may interact, thereby shaping characteristics of state child care environment. Schulman and Blank (2011) documented significant variations in six individual subsidy policies including income eligibility, copayment rates, reimbursement rates, waiting list, payment rates for types of care providers, and subsidy priority. For example, in some states, such as Maine and Mississippi, subsidy eligibility was given to families whose income was over 75% of state median income, whereas other states allow only families with income equal or less than 40% of state median income to receive child care subsidies (Schulman & Blank, 2011). Additionally, differences in eligibility rules may influence financial burden for subsidy users. For example, a family with one child with an income at 100% of the federal poverty line requires no copayment in Arkansas, but in North Dakota the copayment amounts to 17% of family income or $258 (Schulman & Blank, 2011). Discrepancies in quality regulation across states were also found in prior research. The National Association of Child Care Resource & Referral Agencies, which is a network of nonprofit, state sponsored organizations, describes variations in child care licensing and regulation across states in their reports from 2005 (NACCRRA, 2011). For example, while some states set staff- to- child ratios as low as 1:4 for children at age 18 months, other states set it for 1:8 or 1:9 for these children. In addition, center based care is inspected for quality monitoring for more than four times a year in some states, while they are inspected less than once per year in other states (NACCRRA, 2011). There are state variations in not only states’ quality regulations, 15 but also efforts to improve quality. Using data collected by the survey of child care administrators, Pittard and colleagues (2006) found that states had diverse activities for quality improvement. For example, Illinois provided wage supplements to licensed facilities to promote job stability of child care workers and diminish disruption in relationships between children and caregivers, while West Virginia focused on improving quality of family home providers and helped them meet health and safety requirement by providing small grants (Pittard, Zaslow, Lavelle, & Porter, 2006). Even if research did not directly investigate differences in child care policies, it is notable that research on policies targeting low income families with children has examined gaps in social programs among states. Based on the argument that the devolution from the federal government to state governments in 1990s increased the differences of state on social policy, Meyers and her colleagues compared state policy packages based on 11 social programs, including child care assistance, for low income families and children (Meyers, Gornick, & Peck, 2001). Using cluster analysis, results suggested that based on variations across multiple policy dimensions, states were categorized into five distinctive policy approaches; they ranged from the most minimal provisions, which could be called a conservative approach emphasizing private responsibility, to the generous provisions which combined direct assistances with employment supports and enforced family responsibility. Also, comparisons of policy changes between before (1994) and after welfare reform (1998) suggested that states made substantial changes in policies supporting low income families with children after the 1996 welfare reforms, but the magnitude and direction of these changes remained consistent with the state clusters identified in 1994. Even though this study did not focus on the child care policy solely, the result and analytic method in the previous study provide insight for the current study. As a critical policy 16 scheme of welfare reform, child care policy may have similar patterns to those policies. In addition, analyzing policies as a package rather than dealing with them individually seems applicable to the current study. The cluster of child care policy levers states use with great flexibility determines the distributions of child care assistance among low income working families and affects the shape and content of public child care overall (Levy, 2000). Cluster analysis using a variety of child care policy rules will be relevant to enhance understanding of child care policy choices and the collective interactions of policy choices in each state. Previous research on impact of policy on choice of care arrangement across states Previous studies have examined the impact of child care policy on the choice of high quality care. However, there is a dearth of research which has examined impacts of both policies on the choice of child care service among low income families. As child care subsidies have expanded after the welfare reform, a large body of research has examined the relationship between subsidies and the use of quality services (Brooks, 2002; Coley, Li-Grining, & ChaseLansdale, 2006; Crosby, Gennetian, & Huston, 2005; Ertas & Shields, 2012; Henly, Ananat, & Danziger, 2006; Ryan, Johnson, Rigby & Brooks-Gunn, 2011; Tekin, 2005; Weinraub, Shlay, Harmon, & Tran, 2005). However, majority of studies have examined the impact of “subsidy receipt” only, not considering effects of “subsidy policy” which are various across states. In this respect, even though they commonly found that subsidy recipients were more likely to choose center based (versus home based care) or licensed care (versus unlicensed care) than demographically similar parents who did not receive subsidies (Brooks, 2002; Coley, Li-Grining, & Chase-Lansdale, 2006; Crosby, Gennetian, & Huston, 2005; Henly, Ananat, & Danziger, 2006; Tekin, 2005; Weinraub, Shlay, Harmon, & Tran, 2005), the impacts of subsidy on the choice of 17 center based care across states may not be same. Current policy variations within subsidy policy rules may differentiate the impact of subsidies measured by previous studies. There are a few studies that considered policy variations and tried to reflect them in their analysis. The most common methodological approach to do so was to control variations by including the variable indicating the state of residence in the analytic model. Very few research studies examined policy variations in their analysis. Using data from the National Survey of American Families, Blau and Tekin (2007) examined the effect of subsidy receipt on employment, school attendance, unemployment, and welfare participation. They used two- stage least –squares estimates that treat subsidy receipt as exogenous determined by state subsidy system, such as eligibility, subsidy reimbursement rate, child care subsidy expenditure per capita, unemployment rate, median income, and the child poverty rate. Interestingly, however, the preliminary analysis showed that all state related factors were not significant. Another study which used same data examined the effect of subsidy receipt on joint employment and choice of child care arrangements. Tekin (2005) used the same analytic method, two- stage model, in the study on impact of actual subsidy receipt of single mothers on their joint employment and child care mode decisions. He included two variables as instrumental variables, the percent of eligible children served by child care subsidies in the state and the average amount of CCDF funds spent per child in the state. Results showed that fiscal efforts and fiscal capacity expressed those variables had significant effects on subsidy receipt, as well as employment and use of center based care. These two studies are good methodological examples to reflect policy variations in the model. They also revealed state’s fiscal variations had significant impact on subsidy receipt. However, these studies only revealed how subsidy receipt was affected by state characteristics and did not examine how different policy levers affects families with and without subsidies. 18 Therefore, they did not examine policy variations and their impact on the choice of care arrangements for families across states. There are studies which examined how quality regulation influences the choice of child care services. These studies commonly concluded that more stringent regulation decreased the availability of service and the choice of child care service (Gormley, 1999; Hofferth & Chaplin, 1998; Hotz & Xiao, 2011). This is because the stringency of regulation is closely related to the increased operating cost and service price in most studies. For example, in the study using data from the National Child Care Survey in 1990, Hofferth and Chaplin (1998) examined the impacts of several state regulations including training requirement, inspection, child/staff ratio on the choice of center based care. Based on findings of negative impacts of training requirements on the choice of center based care, they argued that without increasing government assistance to pay for training or educating parents to increase their willingness to pay for it, regulation would reduce the use of quality service. In this respect, if consumers would have enough purchasing power to buy better quality of service and governments would invest enough to increase the quality of services, the result would be much different. Another study also confirmed this assumption with more detailed findings. Unlike other studies which tested impacts of regulation on choice of service across states, Blau (2007) used variations over time in regulations within states and also compared effects of regulations between two states which had different levels of regulations. The results showed that tougher regulation had significant positive impacts on choice of center based care, but the estimated effects were small. Based on these findings, he argued that regulations were not self- enforcing in general and other approaches to improving the quality of child care, such as quality certification and vouchers that are tied to the quality of care are needed. When considering subsidy reimbursement rates that are tied to quality 19 of providers in several states, his argument should be reflected in the analysis on impacts of child care policy on the choice of child care arrangements. To the best of my knowledge, there is only one study which investigated how both subsidies and regulations shape the choice service between center and non-center care. Using data from the Child Care Supplement (CCS) to the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, Rigby and her colleagues examined effects of subsidies and regulations on the choice of service among children who were 3 years old in 14 cities (Rigby, Ryan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2007). In the analysis, impacts of state policy rules, such as subsidy eligibility threshold, subsidy spending, child to staff ratios and training requirement in center and family care, were tested on choice of center care and licensed care. They found that both subsidy spending and child to staff ratio had significant influences on the choice of center based child care. While subsidy spending had positive association, child to staff ratios in both center based care and family child care had negative effects on the choice of center care. Even though this study examined impacts of subsidies and regulation considering state variations, there are several limitations. First, they did not include several important policy rules in subsidy policy which may have substantial impacts on shaping child care environment and using quality care, such as copayment rates and reimbursement rates. Several states also use tiered reimbursement rates systems which make subsidies cover higher percentages of market prices when families use better quality services. These policy rules may be stronger incentives to select better quality of service. Furthermore, this study did not consider the impacts of receiving subsidies on the choice of center based care, even though subsidies are significantly influential on the use of center based care (Brooks, 2002; Coley, Li-Grining, & Chase-Lansdale, 2006; Crosby, Gennetian, & Huston, 2005; Henly, Ananat, & Danziger, 2006; Tekin, 2005; Weinraub, Shlay, Harmon, & Tran, 2005). 20 Purposes of current study The purpose of this study is to better understand variations in child care policy across states and how policy decisions and subsequent practices may influence choices of child care services among families. Although policy variations across states make examining policy impacts challenging, they also provide an uncommon opportunity to explore how states shape different child care environments and how various policy rules differentially affect individuals’ child care choices. Adding to previous findings, this study examines variations in child care policy decisions across states which shape state child care environments and investigate the influence of both child care subsidies and quality regulations on working families’ choice of care arrangement among various options of child care services. Research aims To isolate and understand the different components of complex policy problems, this study has two different research aims in navigating policy variations across states and examining policy impacts. 1. The research aim 1 explores substantial differences across states in subsidy policy and regulation. More specifically, some states may have more generous subsidies and/or more stringent regulations than other states. Some states may provide generous subsidies to specific targets, such as families with income below the federal poverty level, while other states may provide more restrictive subsidies to relatively broader populations including both families whose income is below and above the poverty level; some states may have more stringent regulations for governing over structural features, such as child-staff ratios and required training hours, while other states impose less stringent regulations. 21 2. The research aim 2 examines the impacts of state’s child care policy on the choice of care service. The impacts of various state’s fiscal ability and efforts reflected in the state expenditure and subsidy eligibility on subsidy receipt are also examined. A. The research aim 2-A examines how policy levers influence the choice of center based care. : Generous child care subsidy policy such as higher eligibility rates and higher reimbursement rates may have positive associations with the choice of center based care; stricter regulation, such as lower child-staff ratio may have a negative association with impacts on the choice of center based care while training requirement and frequency of inspection may have a positive association with the choice of center based care. B. The research aim 2-B explores influences of child care policy on the choice of various types of care. : The stringency of regulation policy applied to family home care may be negatively associated with the choice of center based care, while it may be positively associated with the choice of family home care versus informal care, such as care by grandparents or relatives. 22 III. METHODS Data and sample Fifty states in the United States including the District of Columbia constituted the sample. Idaho was not included because the Child Care Licensing Study in 2011, which was one of main datasets used for this study did not include information for Idaho. Given that there was no one single dataset including all information needed to analyze effects of policy factors on individuals’ choice of service type, I used information from two different datasets, Child Care and Development Fund (CCDF) Policies Database in 2011 and Child Care Licensing Study in 2011. All data used in the analysis were publicly available from the Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR). Data from CCDF Policies Database in 2011 was the main source for analysis in child care subsidy policy variations. This data included details on subsidy policy, such as subsidy eligibility limits, family copayment, and reimbursement rate (Giannarelli, Minton, Durham, & Department of Health and Human Services, 2012). The Child Care Licensing Study in 2011 was used to examine variations in quality regulation across states. It was gathered by the National Association for Regulatory Administration (NARA) to collect information on states' licensing policies, including staffing, monitoring, and enforcement of licensing regulations (Fischer & Martella, 2013). These data sets were used to explore child care policy variations in the state level for the research aim 1 and used as independent variables for the research aim 2 to examine the impacts of child care policy rules on individuals. To investigate impacts of policy on choice of service types among children (research aim 2), the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) was used. The SIPP includes comprehensive information about the income and program participation of individuals and 23 households in the United States, and about the principal determinants of income and program participation (Westat and Mathematica Policy Research, 2001). The SIPP also produces nationallevel estimates for the U.S. resident population and subgroups. In this respect, the SIPP enables this study’s evaluation of the effectiveness of federal, state, and local program. The SIPP collects panel data on general core topics, such as income and program participation, every four months. In addition, it periodically gathers information on specific topics which are called topical modules such as child care, financial support, education and employment. This study used the topical module of SIPP 2008 wave 8 which was collected from January to April in 2011 in order to include information on child care arrangement for children between the ages of 0-5 in a particular household. Family characteristics, such as income and family composition were added from core topics of SIPP 2008 wave 8. To examine the child care policy impacts on the choice of specific types of care services (research aim 2), children between the ages of 0 to 5 who used at least one type of non-parental care and whose primary guardian was employed were selected. The primary guardian in this data could be defined as a primary care-taking person. In this data, more than 90% of children’s primary guardians were their mother. 2742 children in 2208 households were included in the sample of the study. Measures State policy and characteristics State child care policies including child care subsidy policy and regulation were measured using the CCDF Policies Database in 2011 and the Child Care Licensing Study in 2011. Child care subsidy policy included four policy rules that may substantially shape the purchasing power of low income families and reflect states’ capacity to provide subsidies to low income families: subsidy eligibility thresholds, family copayment rates, state reimbursement 24 rates, and tiered reimbursement rates based on quality. Those child care policy rules were key elements in child care subsidies and have been used in previous research (Ha & Ybarra, 2013). Regulation policy included three policy levers: child-staff ratios for center based care, training requirements, and frequency of inspection. States applied different regulation rules to various types of services. Regulations rules applied to center based care and family home care were measured and included in this study. Policy measures were used to examine all hypotheses. In addition, state’s characteristics which had been revealed to have significant impacts on subsidy receipt were measured to examine the research aim 2. Table 1 provides descriptive statistics of each measure. Table 1. Means, Standard Deviations, and ranges of state policy rules and state characteristics (n=50) Mean Eligibility threshold1 Copayment rate1 Reimbursement rate1 Incentive1 Number of children per staff (center based care) 2 Training hours per year (center based care) 2 Number of inspection per year (center based care) 2 Number of children per staff (family home care) 2 Training hours per year (family home care) 2 Number of inspection per year (family home care) 2 Capacity of center based care (licensed) 2 Capacity of family home care (licensed) 2 Proportion of child care subsidy eligible children3 Expenditure level: Expenditure per child age under 63 55.61 2.97 78.93 6.02 5.56 14.40 1.61 3.84 0.96 1.24 35.54 8.84 37.14 490.71 Standard deviation 11.75 2.31 14.40 10.38 1.47 6.86 0.98 1.36 4.40 1.03 15.80 9.01 10.30 217.53 Range 35-80% 0-10.13% 43.88-100% 0-50% 3-9 children 0-40 hours 0.2-4 times 2-6 children 0-20 hours 0-4 times 8.12-72.11% 0-39.22% 21.11-58.03% $207.51-1050.57 1 Source: Child Care and Development Fund (CCDF) Policies Database in 2011. Source: Child Care Licensing Study in 2011. 3 Source: Author calculated based on Fiscal Year 2011 CCDF State Expenditure Data. & Fiscal Year 2011 CCDF Data Tables (US-DHHS, 2013) and data from Estimates of child care eligibility and receipt for fiscal year 2009: ASPE Issue brief, December (Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, 2012). 2 Eligibility thresholds in each state indicated the maximum income of eligibility criteria. In this study, the income eligibility threshold was measured by the proportion of state median 25 income (SMI) based on the initial eligibility income for a family of three to reflect the differences in income levels across states. A higher income eligibility limit indicates a more generous subsidy provision and a lower one indicates a restrictive subsidy provision. The mean of eligibility thresholds was 55.61% of SMI (SD=11.75) with the range of 35~80%. Families who receive subsidies are required to pay copayments based on a share of family income as part of subsidy program participation. Copayment rates were measured by the proportion of income for a family of three with $15,000 in annual earnings, which is the closest to 100% of income at poverty guidelines by the Department of Health and Human Services for a family of three in available data. A higher copayment rate indicates a restrictive copayment provision while a lower one indicates a generous copayment provision. The mean of copayment rates was 2.97% with range of 0 to 10.13% of income (SD=2.31). States set reimbursement rates and copayment rates to cover the total cost based on a market rate survey every two years. States’ reimbursement rates were measured by a proportion of states’ reimbursement compared to 75th percentile of the market price as required by the Federal government (Schulman and Blank, 2011). The reimbursement rates were different based on the age of children and those for a child with age of 1 using center based care were selected for this study. If reimbursement rates are too low to cover the market rates, an extra financial burden for service users may influence them to choose cheaper services because providers are reluctant to reduce rates. A higher reimbursement rate is more generous than a lower one. The mean of reimbursement rates was 78.9% with range of 43.9% to 100% of 75th percentile of the market price (SD=14.4)1. 1 There were 12 states which did not allow providers to charge parents the difference between the market rate and the reimbursement rate in 2011 (Schulman and Blank, 2011). Since a full market price causes unaffordable copayments that parents living in these may face, this study treated those 12 states the same as the other 38 26 To increase the use of high quality center based care, some states (n==31) use tiered reimbursement rates which differentiate the reimbursement rates among child care providers according to the quality standard. By doing so, it can encourage child care providers to improve the quality of their care services (Schulman and Blank, 2011). Since information on quality standards of all providers is publicly available, this information can help parents to identify and select providers with better quality service among center based care. In addition, higher reimbursement rates may decrease families’ actual copayment rates as discussed above. The incentive to provide quality care was measured by calculating differences in reimbursement rates between child care providers in the highest and the lowest tiers. Higher incentives indicate public support to choose high quality service and lower incentives indicate less support to choose quality service. The incentive to provide quality care ranged from 0% to 50% of market rates with a mean of 6.02% (SD=10.38). State child care licensing policy has regulations related to the maximum child-staff ratio which one staff member can take care of according to the age of children and types of child care services as a child-staff ratio is associated with quality child care. A low child-staff ratio has been found to be more beneficial for children (Vandell & Wolfe, 2000). Furthermore, the number of children one staff member takes care of is directly related to the number of staff members the facility hires and, as a result, operating cost of facility. The child-staff ratio was measured by the maximum number of children per one staff member in both center based care and family home care with children at age of 18 months. Lower child-staff ratios indicate more stringent quality regulations and higher child-staff ratios indicate less stringent regulation. The number of children per staff in center based care ranged from 3 to 9 across states with a mean of states which allowed providers to charge extras to parents to examine the generosity/ restrictiveness of reimbursement rates across states. 27 5.6 children per staff (SD=1.5). Those in family home care were measured differently. Family home care does not have different class levels based on age due to the smaller number of children cared for. The number of children per staff for family home care was measured as number of children under the age of 2 per staff. It ranged from 2~6 with a mean of 3.84 children per staff (SD=1.36). States require staff members in licensed child care to have trainings for a specific amount of time every one or two years. Training requirements help maintain child care quality by training staff members, but may impose additional cost to providers by hiring other staff for replacement during training. Training requirements were measured by the number of hours of trainings per year which lead teachers should have. A large number of training hours indicates more stringent quality regulation. The number of hours required for training for lead teachers in center based care ranged from 0 to 40 hours across states with a mean of 14.40 hours (SD=6.86). Those for family home care providers ranged from 0 to 20 with a means of 10.96 (SD=4.40). States visit child care providers to check whether they meet environment requirements, such as safety and structural requirements. Findings of non-compliance with licensing regulations during inspections were reported and can be used for service users to evaluate and choose service providers in some states. Frequency of inspection was measured by the number of required inspection for center-based care per year the state administrators conduct. More frequent inspections indicate more stringent quality regulation. The number of inspection per year for center based care ranged from less than one (0.2 times) to four times across states with a mean of 1.6 (SD=0.98). Those for family home care ranged from 0 to 4 per year with a mean of 1.24 (SD=1.03). 28 State characteristics were included to examine the research aim 2 in addition to state policy. Since current research focuses on state level differences, availability of center based care and family home care in each state were added in the model. They were measured as proportions of children under the age of 6 served by licensed care service of each type of provider. The capacity of licensed center based care ranged from 8.12 to 72.11% with a mean of 35.54 (SD=15.80); the capacity of licensed home based care ranged from 0 to 39.22% with a mean of 8.84 (SD=9.01). In addition, previous research found that subsidy receipt has been affected by state’s characteristics including the amount of CCDF expenditures and proportions of children who are eligible for child care subsidies among all children (Tekin, 2005). These state level characteristics were also included as explanatory variables for subsidy receipt in the analysis for research aim 2. Child care expenditure (CCDF) levels were defined as the expenditure per child under the age of 6 adjusted by the market rate of center base care service across states, since there were variations in price of child care services. It ranged from 207.51 to 1050.57 dollars with a mean of 490.71 (SD=217.53). The proportions of eligible children among children under the age of 6 were accessed by the estimates of eligible children in 2009 divided by populations of children with age 0 to 5 in 2011, since there was no more recent data available (Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, 2012). It ranged from 21.11% to 58.03% with a mean of 37.14 (SD=10.30). Variables on children’s characteristics The choice of care arrangements was measured using SIPP to examine the research aim 2. Characteristics of children, parents (primary guardian), and family were included in the analysis. 29 Table 2. Sample demographics Unweighted N Weighted % Child’s characteristics 2742 100 Primary child care types Center based care Family care (home based formal care, non-relative care) Informal non-parental care (ex. relative, grandparents) Receiving child care subsidy Child is a girl Primary guardian’s characteristics 1295 449 998 117 1329 2208 47.2 16.4 36.4 4.0 48.4 100 1380 321 337 170 60.7 15.3 16.2 7.8 1434 247 527 65.0 11.0 24.0 153 820 920 315 365 1592 1565 1642 M 32.8 4.21 1.24 6.6 36.6 42.1 14.7 16.0 73.1 71.8 74.7 SD 7.07 1.44 0.48 Race/ethnicity White African American Hispanic Others Marital status Currently married Previously married Never married Education Less than high school High school graduation College/associated college graduation More than college graduation Household income: in poverty Regular working schedule Fulltime employment N of children under 6 is 1 Age of primary guardian # of family members (in households) N of children under age 6 (in households) Source: 2008 the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) Wave 8 Primary care arrangement. The primary child care arrangements among children were used as dependent variables in this study. Since one child can use multiple types of service, the primary care arrangement was defined as the child care service types at which children spend the greatest amount of time of all child care services they used. To investigate impacts of child care 30 policy applied to different types of service providers, dependent variables were dichotomously coded: choice of center based care versus not (all other types); choice of center based care versus other types of formal care (family home care or non- relative care); family home care versus informal child care (relative, grandparents, siblings). Control variables. Children’s ages (aged 0 up to 2 years versus aged 3 years up to 5 years), gender, and receipt of child care subsidies, and family characteristics such as income level (below the poverty guideline versus not), the number of children aged 0-5 (more than 1 versus one child), and number of people in the households were included in the model. Primary care takers’ age, education level (less than high school, high school graduation, college graduation, more than college), work schedule (regular versus irregular) and work status (full time versus part time), and marital status (married including both cohabiting and living apart, previously married, never married) were also controlled. Table 2 describes characteristics of the study sample. Among 2742 children, 1295 (47.2%) used center based care while 16.4% (n=449) used family care. In this sample, 998 children were cared by relative, grandparents, or siblings (informal care, 36.4%). Among children in the sample, 4% of children (n=117) received a child care subsidy and 48.4% of children were female. There were 2208 primary guardians in the data and they were included in households. Primary guardians, primary care taking people of children in each household, were 33 years old on average (SD=7.07). Almost two thirds (60.7%, n=1380) were White, 15.3% African American (n=321), 16.2% (n=337) Hispanic origins, and 7.8% (n=170) “other”. The majority of primary guardians was currently married (n=1434, 65.0%), 11% were previously married (n=247), and 24% of primary guardians were never married (n=527). The study sample had higher education levels compared to general population in the original dataset. People who had graduated from 31 college or have an associate college were the majority in the study sample (42.1%, n=920) and the next largest group was those who had a high school diploma (36.6%, n=820). 14.7% of the study sample (n=315) had education more than college graduation while 6.6% had education less than high school graduation (n=153). All primary guardians in the sample were employed and almost three quarters of primary guardians had regular working schedule (6 am to 6 pm, 73.1%, n=1592). Fulltime employers (working more than 35 hours per week) were more than 70% of the study sample (71.8%, n=1565). The number of people in households were 4.21 on average (SD=1.44). The majority of households had one child under the age of 6 (74.7%, n=1642) and on average there were 1.24 children with age of 0 to 5 in each household (M=1.24, SD=0.48). The monthly income of 16% of sample households was below the poverty line (n=365). Research design Figure 1. Research framework State level - State child care policy - Expenditure on child care - % of subsidy eligible children - Availability of quality service Individual level Family and child Characteristics Subsidy Receipt Choice of service 32 Figure 1 is the research framework describing how state policy and state characteristics can shape the choice of care arrangements. Previous studies have found that individual families’ choices of service are affected by their family and children’s characteristics, as well as by subsidy receipt. However, their choices depend on where they reside, since it will be influenced by state’s child care environments. As mentioned in previous research, subsidy receipt is affected by state’s fiscal capacity and fiscal efforts. State level child care policy rules and availability of quality services also influence the child care environments. In the Figure 1, the small oval indicates the choices of individual families occurred at individual levels. The small oval is surrounded by the large oval which indicates state’s child care environments varying across states. The research aim1 focuses on state level variations in the large oval and the research aim 2 analyzes how state level factors in the large oval influence the individuals including their choice of service and the subsidy receipt in small oval. Analysis Two analyses were conducted to correspond to two separate research aims. In order to examine the research aim 1 which explores the variations in states’ child care policy choices, I conducted cluster analyses based on states’ child care policy choices in child care subsidies and quality regulation for center based care. There were several reasons to choose the cluster analysis for the research aim 1. The purpose of this analysis was to explore how state policy varies. Since the list of variables used in this study have been never explored in previous research, the analysis which did not assume a priori what dimensions might exist in the data was required in this study. Instead, the theoretical model is incorporated in this analysis through the selection of specific policy factors and their characteristics. Also, rather than investigating what were the factors which made differences across states, this study focused on the variations in the combination of 33 state child care policy levers which influence the distributions of child care assistance and affect the content of public child care and state child care environments. Cluster analysis is a nonparametric multivariate statistical procedure that simultaneously analyzes variation across multiple variables to organize observations into relatively homogeneous groups (Aldenderfer and Blashfield, 1984). Cluster analysis parsimoniously reduces complex data by using variation that exists within the data. Finally, cluster analysis provides some flexibility to interpret results by making it possible to choose most relevant cluster memberships (number of clusters) after reviewing results of cluster memberships. This flexibility makes it possible for researchers to determine the most relevant cluster memberships based on the theory and previous findings. Based on those advantages, cluster analysis was chosen for this study. Given this theoretically derived set of measures, cluster analysis categorizes observations on the basis of variation across multiple policy levers. Two separate cluster analyses were conducted on two different child care policies using hierarchical cluster analysis: child care subsidy policy included four policy rules including subsidy eligibility thresholds, copayment rate, reimbursement rate, and incentive to provide quality care; and quality regulation included three policy levers, specifically the number of children per staff, training requirement (hours per year), and frequency of inspection. Hierarchical cluster analysis was run using Ward’s method and squared Euclidean distances in order to maximize cluster homogeneity and minimize withincluster errors. During the course of running hierarchical cluster analysis, all variables were standardized since the unit of measure in each variable was different. Chi-squares and ANOVAs were run to determine the differences between the clusters and to describe initial cluster profiles. The cluster solution was chosen based on the findings on previous research and differences in scores across clusters. Analyses were conducted using SPSS. 34 A multilevel logistic regression model was used for research aim 2 which examined the associations between the choice of particular types of child care and various state policies rules used in the first analysis. This analytic method was appropriate for the research design where data is organized at more than one level. In the current study, the units of analysis were individuals (choice of services) and they were nested in the groups at which the key predictors (state policy and characteristics) were measured (Raudenbush & Bryk, 2002). In the analysis for the research aim 2, dependent variables were the choice of specific types of care service and independent variables are state level child care policy levers. Basically, the child level and the state level were the main levels in this analysis since this analysis examined the impacts of statelevel variables on the individual children’s choices. However, since there were households which had more than one child under the age of six, including one more level reflecting household characteristics in the analytic model had to be statistically considered. The comparison between the two-level model and the three-level model was conducted to find the better model fit: the two- level model did not differentiate children and household variables and included both in level 1 and had state variables in level 2; the three-level model included children variables in the level 1, households variables in level 2, and state variables in level 3. The result showed that the three-level model had significantly better fit for this study design (χ2=164.88107, df=1, p<.001). The current study design assumed that families were randomly distributed across states. In other words, the assumption was made that families did not consider the state child care policy when they decided where to live. This assumption enabled the random distribution of families and children across states. Even though families were randomly distributed across states, there might be relationships among the choice of service, employment, income levels, and where to live. It is natural that people living in states where more jobs were available might have higher 35 employment rates and use center based care more than those living in states where there were less chances to have a job. However, that dependence is treated in the multilevel model design. In addition, the relationships among variables were reviewed before analysis. The possible problem of multicollinearity was considered through reviewing correlation coefficients among variables and conducting multicollinearity diagnostics in SPSS. The results are discussed in the next section. The random intercept and slope model were used to examine the impacts of state child care policy and characteristics on intercept of level 1 (child care environments) and the slope of subsidy receipt for the study sample. The intercept was estimated based on the argument that the combination of state child care policy levers shapes state’ child care support for working families and, as a consequences, child care environments (Levy, 2000). The state level included individual state policy variables, including subsidy eligibility thresholds, copayment rate, reimbursement rate, incentive to provide quality care, child to staff ratio, training requirement (hours per year), and frequency of inspection, to estimate the intercept. The slope of child care subsidy receipt was estimated based on the previous findings that subsidy receipt was affected by the states’ fiscal characteristics, such as proportions of eligible children among children age between 0 to 5, which were determined by eligibility thresholds, and child care expenditure per child age between 0 to 5 (Blau & Tekin, 2007; Tekin, 2005). Since those characteristics may differentiate the probability of receiving child care subsidies among families across states, these two variables were included in the model. Children’s demographic information as well as subsidy receipt and household characteristics were entered at the level 1 and level 2 respectively because these vary at the individual level, as described in Figure 1. Through the level 1 and level 2, the mechanism of 36 choosing child care arrangement among all working families within each states, affected by child care environments, was analyzed. Individual weight and household weight were included in each level of analysis. All demographic variables with continuous values such as primary guardian’s age and the number of family members at the level 2 were group-mean-centered. The level 3 examined the impacts of states’ characteristics and variations which are formed by child care policy rules. Variables indicating state characteristics and state child care policy were entered at the level 3 to predict the choice of care arrangements and actual subsidy receipt among sample across states. The research aim 2-A was examined using all study samples. To examine Research aim 2-B, populations who used specific types of services were selected to estimate the impacts of child care policy rules on 1) the choice of center based care versus family home care and 2) the choice of family home care versus informal care services. Level 1: Log ൤ P ൨ = β0 + β1ሺVector of child′ s characteristicsሻ + β2ሺsubisdy receiptሻ + R 1 − P Level 2: β0 = γ00 + γ01ሺVector of Family Demographicsሻ + e Level 3: γ00 = δ01ሺeligibility thresholdsሻ + δ02ሺcopayment ratesሻ + δ03ሺincentive to provide cneter careሻ + δ04 ሺreimbursement rates ሻ + δ05ሺchild to staff ratio for center based careሻ + δ06ሺtraining requirementሻ + δ07ሺfrequency of inspectionሻ + δ08ሺcapacity of child care servicesሻ + ε β2 = δ01ሺstate child care expenditureሻ + δ02ሺproportion of subsidy eligible child among children age under 6 ሻ + ε 37 In multilevel logistic regression model, intra-class correlation coefficients cannot be calculated in the traditional way because the individual level variance and the state level variance are not directly comparable: Whereas the state level residual variance is on the logistic scale, the individual level residual variance is on the probability scale (Merlo et al., 2004). As an alternative, it was calculated by the equation below, suggested by Snijders and Bosker (1999): τଶ଴ ρ୍ = ଶ τଶ଴ + π ൗ3 τ02 indicates a variance component for higher level and pi (≈3.14) squared divided by 3 is used as a substitute for a variance components for level 1. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were conducted by HLM software using penalized quasi-likelihood estimation. 38 IV. RESULTS Research aim 1 Child care subsidy The five-cluster solution was chosen in the cluster analysis on child care subsidy policy based on the previous studies finding the substantial impacts of low copayment rates and higher reimbursement rates on subsidy receipt and the choice of center based care. Anova F test showed there were significant differences in mean scores of eligibility rates (F=13.41), copayment rates (F=6.42), reimbursement rates (F=17.71), and incentives (F=31.04) among groups at p=.001 level. Figure 2. Differences in child care subsidy policy across clusters 3.00 (1) Generous provision (n=11) Z score 2.00 1.00 (2) Moderate provision (n=12) 0.00 (3) Restrictive provision (n=5) (4) Incentive to quality care (n=8) -1.00 -2.00 Eligibility rate Copayment Reimbursemen t rate Incentive (5) Support for low income family (n=14) Figure 2 illustrates standardized mean scores of child care subsidy policy measures and the number of states included in each cluster. Five clusters were characterized as followed: states with generous provision; those with moderate provision; those with restrictive provision; states 39 which provide generous incentive to high quality care; and states which provide support focusing on extremely low income families. Three clusters among five were characterized according to the level of subsidies provided: generous provision, moderate provision, and restrictive provision. Two clusters were characterized by the focuses of child care subsidy policy: providing more incentive to quality care; and providing more subsidies to extremely low income families. States in cluster 1 can be described as generous subsidy provisions. 11 states (22%) included in this cluster had the most generous eligibility rate and the second smallest copayment rates: in other words, these states provided child care subsidies to families with higher income and imposed less family copayment, compared to states in other clusters. Average reimbursement rates in cluster 1 were also the highest across clusters. However, incentive to use high quality care was very low. Overall, states in the ’generous provision’ cluster focused on providing child care subsidies to more families by including those with higher income and reducing financial burdens of subsidy recipients. Cluster 2, which comprised 12 states (24%), was characterized by moderate provision for child care subsidies with no incentive to choose quality service. States in cluster 2 had averagely moderate eligibility limits. Even though family copayment rates were the highest, reimbursement rates were relatively high and did not seem to impose additional financial burden to subsidy families. There was no incentive to choose quality service. Overall, states in cluster 2 can be characterized by providing moderate child care subsidies with no support for use of quality service. Cluster 3 was characterized by restrictive provision for child care subsidies. 5 states (10%) in cluster 3 had the lowest eligibility level across clusters in average. Even though copayment rates were moderate, close to overall mean, reimbursement rates were the lowest. In this case, providers may require service users to pay additional cost in addition to their copayment and actual family copayment rates may increase. 40 The incentive for choosing quality care was moderate. Overall, these states provided provide child care subsidies to only families with lower income and potentially imposed impose higher copayment rates to them by having low reimbursement rates. Cluster 4 was characterized by the strong incentive to choose quality care. 8 states (16%) which had this cluster membership provided provide child care subsidies to families with relatively higher income than average of all states with moderate copayment rates. Reimbursement ement rates were low, but the incentive to choose high quality care was the highest on average. Overall, states in this cluster focused on encouraging families to choose better quality of center based care and supported providers to increase quality. States State in cluster 5 were characterized by having generous provision in child care subsidies to families with low income.. 14 states (28%) in this cluster imposed the lowest family copayment, had second highest reimbursement rates, and provided moderate the incentive tive to choose better quality of service. Only eligibility rates were relatively low across all clusters. Overall, these states provided generous child care subsidies but focused on only families with lower low income. Quality regulation Figure 3. Differences in quality regulation policy rules across clusters 3.00 (A) Loose regulation (n=7) Z score 2.00 (B) Less stringent child-staff ratio (n=6) (C) Most stringent child-staff ratio (n=16) (D) Stressing staff training (n=16) 1.00 0.00 -1.00 -2.00 N of children per staff N of Training hours 41 Inspection per year (E) Frequent inspection (n=5) An additional cluster analysis was conducted to categorize states based on child care quality regulation rules. The five-cluster solution was chosen in the cluster analysis on quality regulation based on the findings of previous research that child to staff ratio had substantial influence on the market entry of providers. The group differences among clusters were also considered in the cluster choice. Anova F test showed there were significant differences in mean scores of the number of children per staff (F=32.54), the number of training hours required (F=14.28), and the number of inspection (F=22.21) among clusters at p=.001 level. Figure 3 describes standardized mean scores of quality regulation measures and the number of states included in each cluster. Cluster A included 7 states (14%). These states had the second highest child to staff ratios among clusters. The average hours of training required by lead teachers per year and the number of inspection states conduct annually were the smallest across the clusters. Overall, by having less stringent regulation and conducting inspections least frequently, these states imposed the least regulation on child care providers in terms of quality control. Cluster B was characterized by lenient rules on the number of children per staff. 6 states (12%) in cluster B allowed one staff member to take care of the largest number of children (8 children) across clusters on average. Hours of training required per year were small to moderate and the average number of inspections conducted per year was second highest. Overall, these states had less stringent regulation on the number of children per staff, but tried to regulate quality through frequent monitoring and inspection. Unlike cluster B, cluster C had most stringent regulation on the maximum number of children per staff. In 16 states included in the cluster C (32%), one staff member could take care of up to 4 children aged 18 months on average, which was half compared to the states in cluster B. However, training hours required were relatively small and the number of inspection per year was also below the average of all states. 42 Overall, theses states seemed to focus on regulating quality of providers by imposing more stringent rules on the number of children. Cluster D included 16 states (32%) which were characterized by their emphasis on staff training. These states required the largest amount of hours for annual training to teacher. The number of children one staff member takes care of and the number of inspection conducted per year were moderate. Cluster E was characterized by the frequent inspection. 5 states in this cluster conducted most frequent inspections on providers across clusters. The maximum number of children per staff and required training hours per year were moderate. Table 3. Cross tabulation of child care subsidy and quality regulation cluster memberships Quality regulation (QR) Child care subsidy policy (CCS) (A) Loose regulation (B) Least stringent child-staff ratio (C) Most stringent child-staff ratio (D) Stressing staff trainings (E) Frequent inspection Total 1 Generous provision 2 Moderate provision 3 Restrictive provision 4 Incentive to quality care 5 Supporting low income family Total 1 3 1 0 2 7 5 1 0 0 0 6 0 4 3 3 6 16 4 4 1 4 3 16 1 0 0 1 3 5 11 12 5 8 14 50 Table 3 shows the memberships of states in the combination of both clusters. States providing more generous child care subsidies (Cluster 1) were likely to have less stringent regulation rules than those with other cluster memberships. More than a half of those states (6 out of 11) in Cluster 1 either allowed one staff member to take care of more children (Cluster B) or had loose regulations (Cluster A), while those with other cluster memberships were less likely to have less stringent regulation memberships (Cluster A and B). There was no state which had 43 cluster memberships with stringent (low) child-staff ratios (Cluster C) among those in Cluster 1. There are other states which had a tendency to reinforce quality of center care providers by using both child care subsidy and regulation rules. All states in Cluster 4 which provides more incentives to providers with high quality were included in either Cluster C, D, or E, which used different regulation rules to improve or maintain quality of center care services and did not share the cluster memberships with less stringent regulations (Cluster A and B). Also, most states which imposed less stringent child-staff ratios (Cluster B) provided generous child care subsidies to families. 5 out of 6 states in cluster B in quality regulation were included in cluster 1 in child care subsidy policy. Furthermore, states which had more stringent child-staff ratios (Cluster C) either provided relatively less generous subsidies or had specific policy targets. For example, states in cluster C shared the cluster memberships of cluster 2 thru 5 quite evenly, but did not have a cluster membership of cluster 1 which had the most generous subsidy provision. Research aim 2-A The research aim 2 focused on how various policy rules described in the previous analysis were associated with the choice of child care services. First analysis for the research aim 2-A investigated the associations between the choice of center based care and child care subsidy rules and quality regulation rules. For the research aim 2-B, two analyses were conducted to examine the impacts of policy rules on the choices of specific types of care by selecting specific populations: 1) policy influences among formal care, on the choice of center based care versus family home care; 2) policy influences on the choice of family home care (formal care) versus relative care (informal care). 44 Table 4. Bivariate correlation coefficients among sample demographics 1. Child’s age 2. Child’s gender 3. Receiving subsidy 4. Parent’s age 5. Parent’s race 6. Marital status 7. Parent’s education 8. Regular work 9. Full time 10. N of family 11. N of children 12. In poverty 1 -.01 .03 .19* .04* -.02 -.05* .01 -.01 .08* -.02 .04* 2 3 4 5 6 -.00 .04* -.02 .01 .01 -.01 .01 .02 -.01 -.00 -.08* .01 .16* -.10** -.02 .01 .03 .05* .11* -.04 -.37* .28* .10** .04 .07* -.07* -.18* .15* -.19* .02 .05* .15* -.04 .16* -.35* -.15* -.04 -.06* -.08* .36* 7 8 9 10 11 .15* .07* .26* -.17* -.05* -.08* .01 .01 -.08* .28* -.33* -.15* -.20* .07* .05* * p <.05 Table 4 shows bivariate relationships among variables used in the analysis. A majority of correlation coefficients were significant. The highest correlation coefficient as an absolute value was found in the relationship between parent’s marital status (currently married, previously married, never married) and parent’s age, but it was less than .4 (r=-.37). Parent’s marital status also had significant correlations with parent’s education (r=-.35) and the income level (below the poverty or not, r=.36). Additionally, multicollinearity diagnostics was conducted to examine the presence of higher intercorrelated predicted variables in the model. There was no variance inflation factor (VIF) which was larger than 3. 45 Table 5. Result for multilevel analysis: choice of center vs. other types (n=2742) Intercept N of children per teacher Training hours per year N of inspection per year Eligibility threshold Copayment rates Reimbursement rates Incentive to better quality service Center capacity Receiving Subsidy % of subsidy eligible CHD Expenditure level Age of children (3~5 vs. 0~2) Gender (female vs. male) Parent's age Number of family Income under poverty Race (vs. White) Black Latino Others Education (vs. high school grad) Less than high school College graduation More than college grad Marital Status (vs. currently married) Previously married Never married Regular work schedule (vs. irregular) Fulltime employed (vs. part time) N of children under 5 (vs. 1) Variance component Level 2 Level 3 ICC Level 2 Level 3 Step1 Estimate (SE) -1.35 (0.18)** Step2 Final 1.14 (0.34)** Estimate (SE) -1.42 (0.18)** 0.18 (0.06)** -0.002 (0.01) -0.05 (0.07) -0.01 (0.01) 0.07 (0.03)* 0.001 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01)* -0.01 (0.01) 1.18 (0.34)** 1.43 (0.12)** 0.01 (0.09) 0.02 (0.01)* -0.08 (0.04) -0.21 (0.17) 1.44 (0.12)** 0.01 (0.09) 0.02 (0.01)* -0.08 (0.04) -0.22 (0.17) Estimate (SE) -1.42 (0.18)** 0.18 (0.06)** -0.002 (0.01) -0.05 (0.06) -0.005 (0.01) 0.07 (0.03)* 0.001 (0.01) 0.01 (0.01)* -0.01 (0.01) 1.19 (0.34)** -0.01 (0.05) 0.0002 (0.002) 1.44 (0.12)** 0.01 (0.09) 0.02 (0.01)* -0.09 (0.05) -0.22 (0.17) 0.43 (0.16)** -0.17 (0.19) 0.27 (0.18) 0.42 (0.15)** -0.17 (0.18) 0.29 (0.18) 0.42 (0.16)** -0.17 (0.18) 0.29 (0.18) -0.32 (0.22) 0.28 (0.14)* 0.62 (0.17)** -0.34 (0.22) 0.29 (0.14)* 0.62 (0.17)** -0.34 (0.22) 0.29 (0.14)* 0.62 (0.17)** -0.27 (0.19) -0.12 (0.18) 0.37 (0.12)** 0.01 (0.16) -0.17 (0.13) 1.37** -0.28 (0.19) -0.12 (0.18) 0.36 (0.12)** 0.003 (0.16) -0.15 (0.13) 1.38** 0.057** 0.30 0.012 -0.28 (0.19) -0.12 (0.18) 0.37 (0.12)** 0.01 (0.16) -0.15 (0.13) 1.38** 0.057** 0.30 0.012 0.29 * p <.05. ** p <.01. Table 5 presents results of logistic multilevel regression models predicting the use of center based care compared to all other types of care. In the step1, demographic variables 46 including characteristics of children and family were included in level 1 and 2. Step 2 model included individual child care policy variables to estimate an intercept (random intercept model) and the final model added child care policy rules and state characteristics to estimate slope for child care subsidy receipt. The variance component for the step 2 model was very low as 0.012 and it did not change in the final model after adding predictors of slope for subsidy receipt. Throughout the steps, impact of demographic variables on the choice of center based care rarely changed. In the final model, older children (age of 3~5) were more likely to use center based care than younger children (age of 0~2, β=1.44, SE=0.12). Demographic characteristics, such as parent’s age (β=0.02, SE=0.01), African American race (vs. White, β=0.42, SE=0.16), having education equal to or more than college graduation (vs. high school graduation, β=0.29 and SE=0.14 for college education, β=0.62 and SE=0.17 for more than college education), and having a regular work schedule (vs. irregular schedule, β=0.37, SE=0.12) were significantly associated with the choice of center based care. Among child care policy rules, child-staff ratio for center based care, copayment rates, and incentive to better quality service had significant positive impacts on the choice of center based care than other types of services. Higher childstaff ratios, which allow one staff member to take care of a large number of children, were positively associated with using center based care among working parents (β=0.18, SE=0.06). Also, there was significant association between higher copayment rates and the use of center based care (β=-0.05, SE=0.02), showing that more incentives to center based care were associated with using center based care among children under the age of 6 (β=0.01, SE=0.01). Receiving child care subsidies had significant impacts on the choice of center based care (β=1.19, SE=0.34), but there was no association between receiving child care subsidies and state characteristics. 47 Research aim 2-B Table 6 shows the results of logistic multilevel regression with random intercept and slope to examine different impacts of child care policy on the choice of various types of care. The first column describes the result of how child care policy influenced the choice of center based care versus family home care (n=1744). Both policy rules regulating center based care and family home care as well as child care subsidy rules were included to the analysis. In the final model, demographic factors including older age of children (3~5 vs. 0~2 years old, β=1.42, SE=0.19), parent’s age (β=-0.04, SE=0.01), African American race (vs. White, β=1.23, SE=0.38), and regular work schedule (vs. irregular, β=0.52, SE=0.16) were associated with the choice of center based care versus family home care. There was an association between choosing center based care and having education more than college graduation, but it was marginally significant (β=0.44, SE=0.24, p=0.071). There was no significant relationship between receiving subsidies and selecting center based care versus family home care. Stringency of child-staff ratio in center based care was significantly associated with the choice of center based care. Higher child-staff ratios for center based care were positively associated with the choice of center based care versus family home care (β=0.24, SE=0.10). Training requirements for family home care had a negative association with choosing center based care versus choosing family home care (β=-0.07, SE=0.03). The variance component for the final model was 0.05. 48 Table 6. Results of multilevel analysis: policy impacts on choice of specific care Intercept Center care (CC) capacity N of children per teacher in CC Training hours per year in CC N of inspection per year in CC Family care (FC) capacity N of children per teacher in FC Training hours per year in FC N of inspection per year in FC Eligibility thresholds Copayment rates Reimbursement rates Incentive to better quality service Receiving Subsidy % of subsidy eligible CHD Expenditure level Age of children (3~5 vs. 0~2) Gender (female vs. male) Parent's age Number of family members Income under poverty Race (vs. White) Black Latino Others Education (vs. high school grad) Less than high school College graduation More than college grad Marital Status (vs. currently married) Previously married Never married Regular work schedule (vs. irregular) Fulltime employed (vs. part time) N of children under 6 (vs. 1) Variance component: Level 2 Level 3 ICC Level 2 Level 3 Center vs. family home care (n=1744) Estimate (SE) 0.07 (0.30) -0.01 (0.01) 0.24 (0.10)* -0.01 (0.02) -0.001 (0.17) -0.01 (0.02) -0.19 (0.10) -0.07 (0.03)* -0.10 (0.15) 0.0004 (0.01) 0.05 (0.05) -0.002 (0.01) 0.03 (0.02) 0.84 (0.52) 0.03 (0.07) -0.004 (0.002) 1.42 (0.19)** -0.20 (0.12) -0.04 (0.01)** 0.03 (0.07) -0.10 (0.24) Family home vs. informal (n=1447) Estimate (SE) -1.64 (0.33)** 1.23 (0.38)** -0.08 (0.28) 0.30 (0.39) -1.06 (0.35)** -0.16 (0.30) 0.02 (0.39) -0.09 (0.33) 0.29 (0.25) 0.44 (0.24)+ -0.19 (0.35) 0.20 (0.20) 0.43 (0.20)* 0.25 (0.24) -0.31 (0.29) 0.52 (0.16)** -0.28 (0.20) -0.33 (0.22) 1.34 0.23** 0.29 0.05 -0.45 (0.29) 0.12 (0.27) 0.05 (0.15) 0.50 (0.26)+ 0.36 (0.25) 1.67+ 0.12** 0.34 0.024 + p <0.075. * p <.05. ** p <.01. 49 0.04 (0.01)* 0.11 (0.10) 0.07 (0.02)** 0.08 (0.08) -0.01 (0.01) 0.05 (0.06) 1.25 (0.70)+ -0.08 (0.09) 0.006 (0.003)* 0.04 (0.13) 0.27 (0.11)* 0.07 (0.01)** -0.20 (0.07)** -0.30 (0.28) The second column in Table 6 shows the policy impacts on the choice of family home care compared to the choice of informal care (grandparent, siblings, or relatives). Policy rules applied to family home care including regulations rules, eligibility thresholds, and copayment rates were included in this model. Demographic characteristics including gender of child (female, β=0.27, SE=0.11), parent’s age (β=0.07, SE=0.01), the number of family members (β=-0.20, SE=0.07), African American race (vs. White, β=-1.06, SE=0.35), and having an education level of college graduation (vs. high school graduation, β=0.43, SE=0.2) had significant associations with using family home care versus informal care. Having full time jobs had a marginally significant association with choosing family home care versus informal care (β=0.50, SE=0.26, p=0.053). Among state variables, family home care capacity and training requirement for family home care had significant associations with the use of family home care versus informal care. Higher family home care capacity was significantly associated with choosing homes based care versus informal care (β=0.04, SE=0.01). More stringent training requirement (hours for training) also was positively associated with choosing family home care versus informal care (β=0.07, SE=0.02). There was a marginally significant association between using family home care versus informal care and receiving child care subsidies (β=1.25, SE=0.70, p=0.074) and it was affected by state expenditure (β=0.006, SE=0.003). The variance component for the final model was 0.024. 50 V. DISCUSSION The purpose of this study was to explore variations in child care policy across states and assess policy impacts on choices of child care services among working families with young children. Specifically, this study focuses on revealing how states shape child care strategies by adopting policy rules differently and examining how those policy levers shape state child care environments and as a consequence, are associated with individual’s choices of care services. In the first analysis of the current study, 50 states were grouped based on the child care subsidy and quality regulation to uncover variations across state. Cross tabulations of two cluster memberships showed diverse state child care policy combinations. In the second analysis, this study examined the associations of policy rules with the choice of specific types of services among working families with children age under 6. The result showed that high copayment rate, high child to staff ratio (less stringent rules), and high incentive to quality providers had positive associations with the choice of center based care. Subsequent analysis by choosing specific populations using particular types of care revealed that quality regulations had significant associations with the choice of services while subsidy rules did not. By revealing variations in child care policy across states and influence of policy rules on the choice of specific types of care, this research contributes to better understanding how states shape policy rules and provides essential knowledge to help states designing child care strategies relevant for their circumstances. States’ variation among clusters Unlike previous studies focusing on one side of child care policy, the current study provides comprehensive descriptions on policy strategies on child care by examining both subsidy policy and quality regulation. The policies states have adopted have been a major factor driving interstate differences in welfare provisions (Mettler, 2000; Rector & Youssef, 1999), and 51 this was also true in child care policy. Cluster analysis to navigate diverse policy choices among states showed that each state had different policy choices and levels of emphasis in child care subsidy policy and quality regulations. Cross tabulations of two different cluster memberships (see Table 3) shed light on tendencies that states used in adopting their policy schemes; some states had both less stringent regulation and relatively generous child care subsidy provision while others had both less generous child care subsidy and relatively more stringent regulation. Interestingly, there was no state which had both stringent quality regulations and generous child care subsidy provisions. States which had both loose regulation and restrictive child care subsidy provisions were also rare. Critics have argued that generous subsidy provision and stringent regulations are beneficial for families by imposing less financial burdens to families and providing better quality of service (Grobe, Weber, Davis, 2008; Vandell & Wolfe, 2000). However, there was no such combination for any state in this study. Examining with a state-level perspective provides some insight into how and why variations exist in childcare service utilization. Among five states with generous provision and less stringent child-staff ratios (cluster 1 and cluster B), three states had very small capacity in family home care. In this situation, center based care is the only facility which provides formal child care. Too stringent quality regulation leads to decreases in the supply of center based care by discouraging market entry of service providers in those states (Hotz & Xiao, 2011). Those states would like to intentionally increase or maintain the overall number of center based care providers in the market by providing more subsidies and allowing higher child-staff ratios. In addition, one state which provided generous child care subsidies but had loose regulations (cluster 1 and cluster A) had the largest population of children under the age of 6 and had relatively low center based care capacity among states. This state may 52 intentionally have loose regulations of center based care and provide generous subsidies to encourage market entry of providers. These findings suggest that a state’s particular environmental characteristics including population composition and child care market situations may be substantial factors creating different policy choices across states. States’ intentional utilization of child care policy rules indicates that policy rules which were argued as ideal for working families and children may not be beneficial in all cases. Different policy impacts on individuals versus overall populations The second analysis examined the impacts of policy rules on the choice of specific types of care using multilevel analysis. Positive associations were found between higher (less stringent) child-staff ratios, higher copayment rates, and the choice of center based care. This result confirmed findings from previous studies that less stringent regulation increased the provision of center based care (Hotz & Xiao, 2011) and the choice of center based care versus other types of care (Rigby, Ryan, & Brooks-Gunn, 2007). As shown in the cluster analysis, this may be especially true in states where center based care is the primary licensed care and allowing center care providers to take care of more children is critical in increasing supply of licensed service. Positive impacts of higher copayment rates were also argued in the previous research. Levy and Michel claimed that copayment levels were used as a lever to limit the number of families served by the (child care subsidy) system: the higher the level of copayments, the more money available for child care and thus the wider the distribution of services over the eligible population (Levy & Michel, 2002). Interestingly, those findings are opposite to the arguments of previous studies on impacts of policy rules on families and children. The positive association between higher copayment 53 rates and the choice of center based care is in contrast to arguments that higher copayments make families unable to continue to receive a child care subsidy since they could not afford to pay their share of child care costs, which could lead them to turn to less satisfactory child care arrangements (Grobe, Weber, Davis, 2008; Long, Kirby, Kurka, & Waters, 1998). In addition, higher child-staff ratios may increase the provision of services, but they may not be beneficial for children’s development by decreasing overall quality of series (Vandell & Wolfe, 2000). These opposing or contradictory results should be interpreted with caution. Since the current study only considered the policy influence of copayment rates for the family of three with income less than federal poverty line, it may be different when considering copayment rates for families with different income levels. In terms of regulation impacts, this study considered how child-staff ratios are associated with the choice of services, rather than how it was associated with the quality of services. In this respect, interpreting results should consider the ways in how these results can improve the policy implementation to better address its goals and increase the service quality available for families so that it will provide more benefits to them, in regard to various choices and preferences of child care services among families. By shedding light on different influences of policy rules based on perspectives, these findings suggest the ways how to design child care policy. Considering needs of target populations and child care market situations, states should carefully design child care policy which balances between quality and quantity of service, and between financial burdens of individuals and child care subsidy provision to more families. Significance of quality regulations on the choice of services The incentive given to quality providers was found to have a significant association with the choice of center based care. It seems warranted as an incentive can actually decrease 54 copayment rates and higher incentives may encourage potential providers to enter the market by promising more public supports. However, the most noteworthy point is that the policy lever which aims at improving quality of center based care is also positively associated with choosing services with better quality. Significant impacts of policy levers targeting service providers on the choice of better quality services were also revealed in the result of the research aim 2-B. Results showed that the choices of formal care, both center based care and family home care, were significantly affected by training requirement for family home care, while child care subsidy rules did not have any associations with the choice of services. This is especially critical when comparing the impacts of subsidy receipt on the choice of different types of care services. While the choice of service among formal care, center based care versus family home care was not affected by subsidy receipt, the choice of family home care versus informal care was positively associated with child care subsidy receipt and state expenditures. Those findings suggest that quality regulation which targets at maintaining and improving service quality can have positive impact on choosing better services among families. It indicates that quality improvement may have a substantial role on the choices of care services with better quality and higher price, which child care subsidies aim at increasing. Especially, increasing overall quality of services including family home care and informal care eventually improve the impacts of subsidy receipt on children. However, current child care policy mainly focuses on providing subsidies to demand-side (service users) and leave supply side in the market function. Child care expenditures are mainly used to provide monetary benefits to service users through the child care subsidy. Federal regulation requires states to spend more than 4% of child care expenditure on quality activities, but it is still very low and the main target is licensed providers. Under the current low investment on quality improvement system, increasing the 55 proportions of the funds used for quality improvement and expanding supports for provider to all family home care providers and informal care will improve policy benefits of child care subsidy policy. Limitations This study is a significant contribution to the literature as it reveals various impacts of policy rules and how they operate in relation to the choice of specific types of care services, but it is not without limitations. First, this analysis relies on child care policy rules and does not include other state factors which may be associated with state’s policy choices, such as labor market situation, related policy rules (for example, TANF or Head Start), and more detailed population compositions. By affecting the child care needs, labor market participations of mothers within states can be also related to the subsidy receipt and the choice of care services among working families. Therefore, further research which comprehensively considers policy related factors is needed to improve understanding of states’ choices of child care policy and the associations with other public assistance programs. Second, across all analyses, intra-class correlation coefficients which account for how much the variance of higher level (state) account for total variance for individuals were shown to be low. Studies suggest that the intra-class correlation coefficient is often between 0.05 to 0.20 in social science research and in education research (Hedge & Hedberg, 2007; Snijders & Bosker, 1999). Based on these, the intra-class correlation coefficients for the research aim 2-A was acceptable (0.05), while it was very low for the research aim 1 and for the research aim 2-B (0.012 and 0.024 respectively). However, scholars argue that in multilevel analysis, higher level variables which indicate environmental factors cannot be ignored because the intra-class correlation coefficient cannot provide sufficient insight to the necessity of higher level variables 56 (Liska, 1990; Muthén & Satorra, 1995). In addition, contrary to normally distributed continuous variables, having dichotomous response variables is tricky to investigate the proportions of variance (Larsen & Merlo, 2005). In other words, using intra-class correlation coefficients in logistic model may not be relevant to interpret the necessity of intervention and proportions of variance explained by higher levels. Instead, by making it possible to test the theories that link macro and micro levels in adequate ways, multilevel analysis is very useful in many studies (Liska, 1990) and has provided meaningful insight in this study as well. It is more critical in policy research, because in many cases, it is easier to intervene and change the policy level factors than individual level factors. In this respect, even though the intra-class correlation coefficients are very small, the analysis of this study can be meaningful. 57 VI. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION After welfare reform in 1996, states’ influences on local child care environments and families’ care arrangements has dramatically increased, and states’ policy decisions in child care funding, policy rules, quality control, and target populations have varied greatly. This study contribute to increasing the knowledge of how state-level policies and regulations affect child care decisions by families, offering policy areas that can be targeted for increasing provision of quality service and in supporting the choice of better quality service by families.. Using variations in policy implementation across states, this study subsequently reveals how policy rules operate in the child care environment and influence individual’s choices. In addition, examinations of the policy influences on the specific types of services by dividing care service using various categories uncovers the importance of quality regulation on the choice of child care services. Findings in this study provide key policy-level areas that could be emphasized in order to make child care policy more beneficial to the families they serves. In addition, by revealing that quality regulation was closely related with the choice of services, this study suggests specific policy schemes which can benefit families. Future research is needed to provide better understanding on state’s child care policy decisions, especially those which more broadly examine factors affecting state’s child care decisions are needed. The relationship with other policies, such as TANF and early childhood education provision, can increase knowledge on state’s policy choices. Future research should examine the ways that the state’s political environment, policy practices including political and cultural attitudes to target populations, and detailed funding allocation under limited budget constraint affect policy choices. In terms of improving overall child care system, contemplating 58 how to connect quality improvement with child care subsidy policy will be required for policy makers, social workers, and researchers in the child care area in the future. In addition, studies which more directly examine the policy impacts on the child care contexts in low income communities, such as availability, market price, and compositions of various child care services, will help to improve the understanding of policy operations and its subsequent impacts on target populations. Findings of the current study can increase knowledge of current child care system among social workers. This will help social workers in child care policy area advocate policy choices which increase available services and improve overall quality of child care services for low income working families. In addition, advocacy for quality improvements of child care which enhance children’s developments can be supported based on the findings of this study. Finally, by increasing knowledge on current child care system among social workers, this study will help social work practitioners working directly with low-income working families with children to be well aware of and understand available supports and to recommend most relevant services for them. 59 REFERENCES 60 REFERENCES Adams, G., Rohacek, M., & Snyder, K. (2008). Child care voucher programs: Provider experiences in five counties. Washington, DC: Urban Institute. Administration for Children & Families. (2012). Office of Child Care Fact sheet. Administration for Children & Families. Retrieved from http://www.acf.hhs.gov/programs/occ/factsheet-occ. Albers, E. M., Riksen-Walraven, J. M., & de Weerth, C. (2010). Developmental stimulation in child care centers contributes to young infants’ cognitive development. 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