3:£.... _ 4 3 . v 3.3. .33 . .anumfiv 1.3.: 3.133;: . 5., :2, l t: :5! .7 .1 1 2 1.... 1:32 , A. 4.333 .333. x . w... . , . ... . . . x .333. 32.5.5... ,. C...- LBBRAR‘! l Michigan State ' University This is to certify that the dissertation entitled PROSPECTS FOR PLURALISM: ECONOMIC INTEREST GROUPS AND DUAL TRANSITION IN ZAMBIA'S THIRD REPUBLIC presented by Kimberly L. Ludwig has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D Political Science ' degree in //X/ VW?“ VZ/H’b‘v‘ Major professor MAL MSU i: an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Iluliluliun 0-12771 PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 6/01 C‘JCIRC/DateDuepGS-p. 1 5 3.4m 3.37.3 c> .349¢+¢+4+404+4+<+<+4+4+4+491¢<+401¢404+4+<¢1o A+H+H+HA§++4+o¢+¢¢+o§++++++§o+++++ o I O O O 5 444444144114444444444 o o o + he?##9##0+oo++o++¢¢++o+++oo+o++++§i o#4.«3+9..994o...3%o+o.no?»cu.n.navuowvuflonmmfim934.9% 8m 2:0 9 225 . 5me .. wEmnEzoE -coz he Emocmn. wEQDEDOE ho E881 o\ovv . 88.32: 32:25 :33 9.3% :46 «...—ma ”View n22 E23525 £3 E?” E8 83% ”seesaw R; m again—m 3528 do own?» 0V¢0fi+4+t4 +96 +M“+++.nv 4949A? ,. can ... w a. . Read“. 24%.». we»? 4.6.".90 6?? of 9... +59%... Avouv+¢nvo¢ a... .9. 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Table 3.1 Zambia: The Development of Economic Interests, 1965-1991 I II Sector Actors Involved in Sector Agriculture Commercial Farmers Emergent Farmers Subsistence Farmers Mining Workers (miners, etc) Managers Manufacturing Workers Managers Businessmen Trade & Services Workers Managers Businessmen 3.1.2 Policy Relevance of Economic Sectors Having thus sketched the shape of Zambia’s economic activities, the next question to address is how and when the above economic activities might become politically important to government’s economic policy calculations. As a proxy of the “policy relevance” of economic sectors, we here refer to two statistics: sectoral contributions to gross national product (GDP), and sectoral contributions to export earnings. The logic behind using these proxies is that government will consider most important those sectors which contribute most to the economy (especially foreign exchange), and hence most to government coffers. The graphs demonstrate what we expect from the literature on 56 Zambian political economy: before the economic crisis of the mid-seventies, mining dominated the economy, directly contributing 25% of GDP in 1972, with additional contributions in manufacturing and construction (see Figure 3.2, next page). However, after the crisis, mining output started to slip, falling to less than half (9%) its 1972-1eve1 contribution to GDP by 1990. Figure Three also demonstrates that agriculture is moderately important in terms of contributions to GDP, and relatively stable through the 1970's and 1980's, until it began a moderate upswing in 1990 (see Figure 3.2d). What is perhaps most striking about the data in Figure 3.2, however, is the contribution of manufacturing— it contributed equally with agriculture to the domestic product in the early seventies (14% and 13% respectively) and surpassed mining through the seventies and eighties to the point where it contributed three times as much of GDP as did mining by 1990 (32% to mining’s 9%, see Figure 3.2a and 3.2b. It should be noted that the economy as a whole, at least in per capita terms, shrank over this period). Table 3.2 below gives the contributions to GDP of these three important sectors over the period 1980-1991. Table 3.2 Gross Domestic Product by Type of Economic Activity, 1980-1991 (millions of constant 1977 kwacha) Year: ‘80 ‘81 ‘82 ‘83 ‘84 ‘85 ‘86 ‘87 ‘88 ‘89 ‘90 ‘91 Agriculture 304 329 290 315 332 344 374 366 436 425 387 407 Mining 205 215 215 222 200 186 177 184 160 176 163 166 Manufacturing 384 430 415 384 389 421 425 463 547 544 587 524 Source: World Bank 57 Figure 3.2: Zambia GDP Data, 1980-1990 Figure 3.2. a: Contribution to GDP I972 Other Real Estate 3% . % Agriculture Financial 3% Services 1 5% Construction % Electrrcrty 2% 14% Manufacturing Figure 3.2.b: Contribution to GDP 1990 Real Estate 7% 4% \ Financial 3% Construction 4% . _ Elecmcrty 1% Manufacturing 32% Mining 1 Sector Totals 1 Primary 13% Secondary 49% Tertiary 39% . l 1 Figure 3.2.c: Contribution by Sector 100% . ElOther 80% ITertiary 60% 5 40% , 9'7? 4g ISecondary 20% ’f' _ . EPrImary 0% ,. a 1977 1986 1990 Source: IMF Statistics i Sector Totals ‘ l Primary18% Secondary45% Tertiary 30% Figure 3.2. d: Contribution by Activity 100% E a El Services 80% :_:_ 4 ElTrade , a; 60 /° C] Manufact udng 40°/ . . ° I Mining 20% i , IAngcultu ' re 0% 1977 1986 1990 58 Figure 3.3: GDP by Economic Activity (millions ZK) 600 IIIIIII 500 400 300 2m’——”\ ”~— 100 0 ‘80 ‘81 ‘82 ‘83 ‘84 ‘85 ‘86 ‘87 ‘88 ‘89 ‘90 ‘91 Agriculture — — - Mining ........ Manufacturing While examination of contributions to GDP might put the agriculture and manufacturing sectors on par with the mining sector, however, examination of contribution to export earnings puts these sectors into better perspective, especially with respect to the needs of an industrializing state like post-independence Zambia. Figure 3.3 (above) gives a times series comparison of the leading agricultural export— tobacco, and the leading mining export— copper. Also included is the category “other goods,” which is largely made up of manufactured goods. As the data in the table show, export revenues from the leading agricultural export, tobacco, pales in comparison to the leading export mineral, copper. Though manufactured goods contribute tenfold more to the export revenue pie than tobacco earnings, they also pale in comparison to the copper mines. Indeed, as several scholars have pointed out, copper revenues in Zambia so dominate the economy and the filling of government coffers, they have acted to dull incentives to develop alternative exports, as well as dampened any perceived need to develop 59 agriculture either to ensure adequate food supply or to produce for export (see Shafer 1994, Jansen 1988, Baylies 1978, Young 1973). In addition, revenue from copper has served to stimulate the production of non-tradeables to the extent that “services. utilities, construction, commerce, and transport... dominate the economy” (O’Neill et al. 1987:21). This latter point implies that the data shown in Chart 3.2 can be misleading; though non- copper sectors appear to be important to the economy in terms of their contributions to GDP, their continuing health is dependent on the continued flow Of copper revenues— a point well understood by the UNIP regime. For a government dependent on foreign exchange for both debt service and the purchase of imports necessary to its highly capital intensive industrial sector, stability in its main export earning sector was (and still is under the MMD regime) understandably crucial. Indeed, it is a card the labor union movement and other urban interests have played much to their advantage since the inception of the one-party state. Exports of Principal Commodities 1980-1991 Table 3.3 (Total is given in millions of current 1977 kwacha, categories are given as percentage of Total) ‘80 ‘81 ‘82 ‘83 ‘84 ‘85 ‘86 ‘87 ‘88 ‘89 ‘90 ‘91 Tobacco 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 Copper 85 90 90 89 86 83 83 85 85 89 86 78 Other 3.1 2.5 4.3 2.0 5.2 9.2 7.5 6.0 5.4 3.1 4.7 8.5 Goods Tom] 1021 929 953 1048 1200 1508 S367 8059 9786 18434 39143 67668 SOurce: World Bank 60 Thus, where policy is concerned, it’s clear why the mining sector was of considerable importance to government and Party policy in the 1960's and 1970's; as many scholarly accounts have argued (Bates 1971, Bates and Collier 1993, Burdette 1988, Epstein 1958, Rakner 1994), the mines drove the Party’s development program, and the trade unions which organized the mineworkers thus presented a formidable counterforce to the state. An interesting point that emerges from this data is the growing dominance of the manufacturing sector in the economy, and the lack of development of a similar political importance of the “captains of industry.” Indeed, this was at least partly a result of the fact that these “captains” were not the owners of privately-held enterprises, but rather the managers of state-owned industries. As we’ll see below, the first employers’ national organization was founded in 1955, two decades after the first European worker’s union was formed and seven years after the African mineworkers had formed the first union in 1949. After the nationalization of the economy, most industries fell under state-control; so that by the mid 19705, 80 per cent of the Zambian economy was owned and controlled by the state, and 147 parastatals were operating— with 121 of them under a single holding company, ZIMCO (Rakner 1998, Callaghy 1990) Consequently, most managers were dependent on the state, or rather, the ruling party, for their position. Thus, while the unions became important and powerful political players outside the state, the employers were tightly wired in to the UNIP patronage machine. However, both were included in policy discussions during the Second Republic through regularly-held “Tri-Partite” meetings with the government. 61 3.1.3 Political Strength of Economic Sectors An important implication of the “urban bias” thesis is that there is a direct link between African governments’ dependence on industrial sectors of the economy and its capitulation to “urban interests”(see Bates 1981); in Zambia, it has been argued that urban constituencies gained favor over rural ones because they can potentially threaten the power of the government (Hawkins 1991). The “urban bias” thesis rests on two assumptions: the strength of numbers, and the costs of organizing. Thus, since workers in the urban areas are both numerous and concentrated, they constitute a political constituency to be reckoned with. Where are these workers located in the economy? Which sectors might we expect to be politically relevant due to the numbers they can organize and challenge the government? Figure 3.4 shows the percentage of the Zambian population formally employed, from 1969 to the point of political change in 1990. Figure 3.4a gives the breakdown of the formally employed by economic sector, as Of 1989. Again we see the effects of Zambia’s relatively high level of urbanization and industrialization: nearly half the formally employed workers in Zambia are employed in the mining-driven industrial sector, be it the mines themselves, (20%) or manufacturing (19%), or construction (8%). Again as a consequence of urbanization, we also see that almost two-fifths of the formally employed are in the service sector, including trade (10%) and transport (9%). Figure 3.4b demonstrates that, as with our policy relevance measure, the picture is not a static one. Note the plummeting of service sector and construction employment from 1986 to 1989, while employment in agriculture and the other industrial and service sectors slowly inched upward. Most noticeable is the increase in manufacturing employment; by 62 —— Figure 3.4: Zambia Employment Data, 1980-1990 Figure 3. 4.61.‘ Formal Employment Levels, and T olal Population Th0usands Millions 400 — Total Formal Employment T 12 l 350 T 10 300 , ‘ 250 T 8 200 . —l 5 a Cl 150 4 100 7A» ~A 7 fl 50 T 2 o i l o 1969 1972 1976 1986 1989 Figure 3. 4b: Formal Emploment Levels, by Sector 100% _ _ 3}:— 13 Services 80% Trade 60% . El Construction 19 5 Manufacturing 40% E Mining 20% 17 \_ E Agriculture 911:. 00/0 ‘ -‘—QV President of the Republic of Zambia N.L. Zimba, Secretary General, ZCTU -> Minister of Labour and Social Security C.M. Sampa, Asst. Secretary General, ZCTU -> Minister of Home Affairs H. Kabika National Chairman, CSUZ -> Deputy Minister of Home Affairs K. G. Sheng/amo, General Secretary, MUZ -> Deputy Minister of Finance G. Mandani, General Secretary, CSUZ -> Deputy Minister of Labour and Social Security One might expect that with so many trade unionists in the new government, the ZCTU was in for an easy time. Since the transition in 1991, however, this has not been the case; rather, the institutional environment in the industrial sector has been in a state Of uncertainty due to wrangling between the MMD government and the ZCTU over the provisions Of the Industrial Relations Act, a dispute which has its origin in the waning years of the Second Republic. Since conflicts over the Act affect the position of the ZCTU 106 and the ZFE as organizations representing the interests of workers and employers, we here delve briefly into the details of this very political conflict. At the time of the ZCTU’s founding in 1965, the Trade Unions and Trade Disputes Ordinance was amended to provide for obligatory affiliation of any trade union to the Congress. This provision was withheld when the Industrial Relations Act (IRA) was enacted in 1971 (CAP 517 of the Laws of Zambia, amended 1973, 1990, and 1993), setting the institutional environment of the industrial sector. The Act stipulates a one- industry-one-union policy. allowing one umbrella organization to legally represent trade unions (the ZCTU) and one organization to legally represent employers (the ZFE). Affiliation of unions and employers' associations to the apex organizations is mandatory under the Act; in addition, it stipulates a compulsory check-off system. By thus providing the apex organizations with sure and plentiful funding, the statute has promoted the development of strong organizational capacity for the trade union movement, especially when compared to other interest sectors. The Act also institutionalizes access to labour policy decision making for the apex organizations, through the auspices of the "Tripartite Council." Again, this gives the unions better regular, formalized access to government than organizations in the business and agricultural sectors, though as we’ll discuss in Chapter Seven, “access” does not necessarily translate to “influence.” Several studies (Liatto 1989, Rakner, 1993) point to the fact that by the early 1980's, the ZCTU had emerged as the closest thing to an organized opposition to UNIP that the one-party state would allow. This was in marked contrast to the role that the ZCTU had played in the seventies; according to Bates’s study, the ZCTU cooperated with UNIP after independence in trying to bend the interests of members away from personal 107 consumption to production for ‘national development’ (Rakner 1993). Rakner argues that by the early 1980's, however, ZCTU had become “the focus of resistance to government policies” (1993293), in effect echoing members’ objections to declining economic conditions and the introduction of the Local Government Act. The UNIP Government responded, in 1985, with a move to reign in the labor movement: the passing of Statutory Instruments No 6 was meant to revoke the compulsory check-off system which gave the apex associations steady income flows. This was repelled by strong resistance from both the ZCTU and ZFE, resulting in Tripartite Meetings rejecting proposed amendments to the IRA in 1985, 1988, and 1989. Finally, in 1989, the UNIP government acted unilaterally in sending the Draft Bill to the National Assembly. This Bill later became the 1990 Industrial Relations Act, which allowed the formation of more than one trade union in an industry-- a development which again, both unions and employers were firmly against. The new Act abolished both mandatory affiliation to the apex organizations and the mandatory check-Off system, and the Minister Of Labour and Labour Commission were given considerable discretionary powers. Repeal of the IRA (1990) became a main plank in ZCTU'S support for the Movement for Multi- Party Democracy. Hence, when the MMD came to power in November 1991, the tripartite partners agreed to revert to the policy of one union, one industry. The Industrial Relations Act of 1990 was hence later repealed and replaced by the Industrial and Labour Relations Act Of 1993. Since that time, however, the ZCTU has become increasingly outspoken in its criticism of the MMD governments' policies, resulting in a split in the leadership of the apex organization in 1994 over the Congress's relationship with MMD, with the anti- 108 government faction winning control of the ZCTU. Subsequently, the MMD government has made clear its objective tO again abolish the one union, one industry provision, and to do away with the ZCTU and ZFE's position as the only legal apex organizations. The unions especially are finding it difficult to resist, for the "one industry, one union" principle conflicts with two important lntemational Labour Organization conventions, NO. 87 and No. 98, which the Zambian government ratified in 1994. While agreeing in principle with the ILO mandate, both unions and employers are wary of allowing the representational arena to fragment; for a multiplicity of groups means fewer members in each group, and thus a decrease Of bargaining power and decline in funding for all groups.5 The political conflict between pro-MMD unions and unions critical of the MMD has resulted in seismic shifts in the industrial interest arena. Principal among these was the de-affiliation of four of the ZCTU’s largest members in 1994: the Mineworkers' Union of Zambia (MUZ), Zambia Union of Financial Institutions and Allied Workers (ZUFIAW), the National Union of Commercial and Industrial Workers (NUCIW) and Zambia National Union of Teachers. At issue were the elections of the Executive Board at the Ninth Quadrennial Congress, held in October 1994: ZCTU Chairman General Fackson Shamenda and ZCTU General Secretary Alec Chirwa were faced by Francis Kunda from MUZ and ZCTU Assistant Secretary General Geoffrey Alikipo in a "fierce challenge" for 5As of April 1997, the technical committee assigned by the Tripartite Council to assess the proposed changes were proposing that the offending clause be modified to give the Labour Commissioner (a civil servant, not a politician) power to limit the number of unions (interview with Hang'andu, 16/4/97). This is to be accomplished by passing regulations which allow only organizations with 51% or more of the total membership of a given industry to engage in collective bargaining. This would ostensibly create a competitive arena for the representation of industrial interests; unions would have to fight for members in a given industry, and an incentive to prevent over-fragmentation of groups would exist. Theoretically, unions not possessing enough members to be the official "collective bargainer" would still be able to provide worker's education and lobby government on behalf of their members. However, the incentive to join and pay dues to a group outside the collective bargaining process is not a compelling one. 109 control of the Congress. According to Mr. Shamenda, "government was instigating moves to have him and Mr Chirwa removed from ZCTU in order to install "yes men" to head the labour movement... the State was not happy with the position that ZCTU had taken on SAP (Structural Adjustment Program) as the labour movement was persistently criticizing Government for its wholesale acceptance of the IMF and World Bank tailored SAP" ("ZCTU Split: What Happened?":2). When Shamenda and Chirwa emerged the victors at the Quadrennial Congress, Kunda charged that there was "irrefutable evidence that some high-ranking politicians in the National Party had Sponsored some candidates in the ZCTU elections... and that some government Ministers (specifically the Minister of Labour and Social Security) had openly campaigned for these candidates" (ibidz6). Kunda subsequently announced the de-affiliation of MUZ from the Congress, and was later joined by the other unions named above. Some time later, the NUCIW reaffiliated to the Congress, while the National Union of Building, Engineering, and General Workers deaffiliated. However, the issue has continued to plague the union movement, and highlights the strained relationship that has developed between the MMD government and the union’s main apex organization, the ZCTU. A headline in the government-owned Times of Zambia proclaimed in 1997, “Splinter unions are mushrooming!” The article went on to gush, “and it is power galore for those who are able to create positions for themselves. Greed, abuse of office, misappropriation of members contributions, dictatorial tendencies are said to be some of the major reasons for a myriad of splinters in the trade union movement” (Times of Zambia, 3/10/97). It was reported that the vice-president of the ZCTU was caught in a scandal, accused of abusing his Office and misappropriating 110 members’ contributions in his position as general secretary of the Electrical and Allied Workers Union (ZEAWU). One thousand ZEAWU members it was reported, had petitioned to have him removed. ZCTU deputy general secretary Mr. Kasumbu was quoted in the article, however, as saying that government was planting dissidents in their organizations in a bid to weaken them... “Government doesn’t want a strong union. And since it has money, it sponsors a few people to bring confusion into the union” (ibid). In the same article, the president of ZCTU, Mr. Shamenda, was also quoted in an attack on the government’s ratification of ILO conventions 87 and 98, claiming the new law to allow a multiplicity Of trade unions was “oppressive.” Government-sponsored or not, the splinter-phenomenon continued to rock the labor movement throughout the period, as trade unions split, reformed, left the ZCTU, then came back to its fold. At the Civil Servant’s Union annual conference in 1997, the issue came to a head. ZCTU’S President Shamenda declared the honeymoon for unions with the government was over. “If we are not careful, we shall be sidelined. Let us unite because these people in leadership were once with us and know how to weaken us” (Times of Zambia, 1/26/97). Secretary General Chirwa chimed in that government was indirectly supporting breakaway unions through its ratification of conventions that allow Splinter unions (i.e. ILO conventions 89 and 97). “What else can one conclude when the same people who once called for “One Union, One Industry” now allow divisions? Workers, just like the union as a whole, who expected a lot from the MMD government now wonder why they campaigned and voted for MMD in 1991 elections” (ibid). On the one hand, this bodes well for the development of pluralism, for it demonstrates the ZCTU’s continued willingness to exercise its autonomy and criticize government where it sees fit. On the 111 other, however, the increasingly acrimonious relationship between the ZCTU and the MMD government poses important problems for policy lobbying. This is a point that has been noted by other civil society leaders. For example, Alfred Zulu, president of the Zambia Independent Media (ZIMT), a well-respected civil society organization, accused the ZCTU of failing to define its role and a meaningful policy in the Third Republic, and of no longer being an organization which represented workers. Only a few leaders in the unions, he charged, were still committed to the cause of the workers, but even these were frustrated by those who were aspiring to attain government positions (The Post, 3/14/97). The Post’s editor was less friendly: “ZCTU is displaying a very serious lack Of leadership, spine and direction. These weaknesses can be directly attributable to Shamenda’s failure to assert himself as a leader. He appears either unwilling or incapable of standing up to his erstwhile bosses and colleagues now in government. And Shamenda has not been helped by Chirwa’s clear flirtation with, and concealed support for, the MMD... The ZCTU is simply not ticking” (ibid). Zambia Federation of Employers (ZF E) The Congress’s counterpart in the industrial sector continues to be the Zambia Federation of Employers (ZFE), founded in 1955. As with the trade unions, the 1971 Industrial Relations Act made the organization the sole umbrella group for employers' associations in Zambia and legally mandated the ZFE to represent employers in negotiations with trade unions and government as part of the Tripartite Council. However, in sharp contrast with the Congress of Trade Unions, the Federation has pointedly avoided any semblance of political conflict with the MMD government. During the Second Republic, ZFE's membership was primarily comprised of employers from the parastatal sector; however, with privatization this situation has changed in the Third 112 Republic. The primary focus of the ZFE continues to be labour relations and collective bargaining, although the organization has been working to expand its advocacy role (Kroes 1994). While the ZFE hasjoined with the ZCTU in opposition to several government policy positions, most notably the government’s proposed pension scheme, the Federation has maintained a much more conciliatory position overall with the MMD government. And unlike the trade union movement, the employer’s associations did not begin to splinter and threaten to leave the Federation when the law ending its representational monopoly was passed. A good illustration of the amiable relationship between the ZFE and the MMD government is ZF E President Simenda’s (who was the chairman of Zambia Postal Corporation at the time, one of the few non-privatized parastatals left in the Third Republic) pointed effort to publicly support the 35% gratuity that MPs had voted themselves in 1997: “The 35% gratuity is welcome. We feel that MPs and Ministers do a lot of work and deserve attractive gratuity. There is nothing wrong with attractive packages as long as government can pay” (Times of Zambia, 3/31/97). The ZCTU and Lawyers Association of Zambia, however, were incensed at the gratuity issue, complaining that the government had other priorities that were more pressing. Just a month before, the ZCTU had called for a reduction in Cabinet Ministers’ allowances “in conformity with the need to reduce expenditures in the budget... belt-tightening should be extended to political leaders who currently received hefty allowances... and are worth millions” (Times of Zambia 2/1/97). 113 4.3.3 Former Quasi-Pluralist Sector Groups Zambia Asociation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI) Officially formed in 1991, and organizational successor to the Zambia National Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZNCCI), ZACCI is the first “apex” organization to bring together local Chambers of Commerce from across the country. ZACCI’S main constituency is large-scale and corporate business, though medium-scale businesses are encouraged to gain membership through the several local chambers. The ZACCI headquarter is located in the capital city of Lusaka, close to Parliament, and only a short drive or telephone call from important Ministries. A relatively large secretariat provides services to members and coordinates policy lobbying efforts; spokesmen from ZACCI issues statements and participate in interviews, and thus appear often in the press and sometime in the evening broadcast news. As discussed in Chapter Two, key figures in the business sector played important roles in supporting the transition to multi-party politics and the victory of the MMD. Not surprisingly, the Association reports that the transition has had positive consequences for the Association; as the ZACCI’S economic officer tells it: “From 1993 to 1994 MMD really listened to business; (Ministers) Patel and Kasonde were especially relevant.”6 However, this supportive environment seems to rest to a great extent on the government personnel involved; thus, Simemba went on to remark that “the new Minister (Penza) is not as receptive. ZACCI’S increase with government has lately been decreasing, though we still have an obvious imprint on the budget.” ° Interview with Moses Simemba, 25 October 1996. 114 The reference to specific Ministers in assessing the relationship between the government and associations belies the continuing importance of personal relationships in the Third Republic (between ZACCI members and Ministers. the Bank Governor, the ZRA, and Permanent Secretaries); according to a prominent Board member of ZACCI, “we need to keep our friendships in good repair” (interview with Theo Bull 10/25/96). Bull’s further comments at the ZACCI board meeting in January 1997, are instructive of the importance of these personal relationships to the relationship between individual groups and government. At the board meeting, it was learned that Kw9.5 billion had not reached the roads board and so roadwork had stopped. The funds were apparently unaccounted for— the money was presumed “stuck” somewhere in the Ministry of Finance. Bull commented “this is the sort of thing that needs personal clout, letters don’t work. Someone senior, such as Mr. Chabwera, needs to do something, needs to seek an appointment directly with Minister Penza” (ibid). Whether such a meeting can be arranged thus matters much to group’s attempt to lobby policy-makers. On this note, ZACCI apparently has notable access to influential politicians in the Third Republic. For example, the chairman of ZACCI, George Chabwera, reported at a board meeting that he had spoke with and had written to the Minister of Labor and Social Security, about ZACCI’S position on the National Pension Scheme. The Minister responded with a request that ZACCI make an official submission for the amendment process of the bill. On another occassion, several members of Parliament came to the ZACCI board meeting to communicate with board members: Hon. Badat (Kafue), Hon. Chewe (Kabwe), Hon. Vernon Mwanga (Roan), Hon. Mutukwa (Nyroro). An issue came up over ZACCI’S attempt to make submissions to Parliament on the Pension Act. The 115 Members responded with an invitation for ZACCI members to come and Observe Parliamentary debates (though, as we’ll see below, there are serious obstacles to this actually taking place). The Hon. Mwanga further pointed out to ZACCI board members that “ in most legislation lately that creates boards, we include ZACCI” (see Table 4.3 for list). In addition, ZACCI fairly regularly meets with various Ministers in “Inter-ministerial meetings” arranged by the Association’s secretariat. Table 4.3: ZACCI’S Representation on Boards and Committees (September 1997) IBoard or Committee ZACCI Representative IIZampost Caroline Linehan lbecurities and Exchange Commission Muna Hantuba Ikambia Privatization Agency Abel Mkandawire jkambia Privatization Trust Fund David Matongo “Environmental Council of Zambia Gerry George Chabwera "Enterprise Development Fund Gerry George Chabwera ltentral Board of Health Gerry Geroge Chabwera "Export Board of Zambia R.J. Patel Ikambia Trade Fair R.J. Patel Itopperbelt University Council Tom Kamwendo IIIOpperbelt University Council Murray Sanderson jIndustrial Training Center Theo Bull epartment of Technical Educaiton and Theo Bull ocational Training IISADC Mining Committee Theo Bull [National Roads Board Heather Chalcraft ”Watching Grant Scheme Gaudenzio Rossi ”Zambia Railways R.B. Desai Ikambia Competition Commission A. M. Sinyangwe ligational Economic Advisory Committee ...... Mebelo Mutukwa Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU) The transition to multi-party politics and the dismantling of the command economy have also had important implications for the Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU or 116 NFU). During the Second Republic, the Union enjoyed a well-defined target population and clear position in the political economy: it gave voice to a small, homogenous population of commercial farmers and negotiated the place of this small private sector in the larger command economy of the one-party state. AS a result of these two factors, the Union wielded considerable incentives for membership: since it coordinated the government's single channel market system for the crops its members produced, it was able to collect levies on production directly from its members. In addition, it was responsible for negotiating with government on farmers’ behalf in the fixing of agricultural prices, and membership in the Union was necessary for commercial farmers to obtain foreign exchange. The economic reforms accompanying the political transition did away with this important membership incentive. At the same time, the political transition to a pluralist, multi-party state was also of consequence. As an official Union policy statement states: “... it became clear that the Union would be called upon to play a much larger role in lobbying for good agricultural policy than it had been allowed before, while the needs of particularly the small scale sector for effective organization were now greater under a liberalized regime than they had ever been in a command economy (ZN F U “Overview of Policies, page 1). The ZNFU thus implemented a “smallholder scheme” aimed at pulling this important political constituency under its umbrella. The official Project Document states the reasoning behind the move: “The small scale farmer has no organization to speak for him at the National level. Government policy over the last three years has tended towards the implementation Of a Structural Adjustment Policy without consideration of its effects upon the individual small scale farmer. It is vital that this Situation is revised. Until now, the ZNF U has spoken for the small scale farmer by default — because there has been no other body to do so. The lobbying capacity of the ZNFU in this respect is limited by the disproportionately small number of small scale farmers in its membership. Once this balance is restored the Union 117 will have a very powerful voice with which to influence government policy to the benefit of the small scale grower... Many small scale farmers have specific problems associated with their district. This may be the lack of adequate banking facilities, a poor road network, specific disease problems, or problems of land tenure... Lobbying on such matters has always been of considerable benefit to commercial farmers. It is hoped that through the proposed amendment of Union structure, these benefits may now also be enjoyed by the small scale sector, who have until now lacked any coherent lobbying capacity” (ZN FU Smallholder Development Project Document). However, though recognizing the necessity of expanding its membership base— and thus the scope of interests that it represents— the ZNFU makes clear there are boundaries to that base. Thus, “the Union is fundamentally concerned only with the well being of its members and potential members. The ZN FU does not consider the activities of farmers who do not have the capacity to pay membership subscriptions to be within its terms of reference. (How) many farmers does this description currently cover? Of the 600,000 “farmers” noted by Government, approximately 150,000 traditionally received credit, were able to use fertiliser and could therefore produce a marketable surplus. The remainder— at least 400,000— have been effectively producing on a subsistence basis... (It is the former) who will be able to pay a subscription to the Union that the Union can support and provide a voice for. The Union must in the long term be sustainably run on membership subscriptions and can only attempt to service those that it can cost effectively support. Those who fall outside of this description must be looked after by Government or Charities. The Union is not a Charity” (ZN FU “Overview of Policies,” emphasis mine). The policy document goes on to make clear the ideology behind this stance: “ farmers are businessmen, who by and large espouse the principles of capitalism” (ZNF U “Overview of Policies”). It is the ZNFU’S “capitalist” ideology which distinguishes it in important ways from other organizations whose aim is to organize small-scale farmers. The National Farmers’ Union’s attempts to target small-scale farmers in fact illuminate two important by-products of the transition’s institutional changes: first, the re— defining of political constituencies, and second, the re-introduction of competition in the organizational arena. As the quote above suggests, the Union recognizes that the political environment has changed, and hence the nature of its relationship to the state. In an environment in which politicians are seeking to build solid majorities, the sliver of 118 population the Union has historically represented is more a liability than an asset: “with a total membership of less than half a percent of all farmers in the country, and a disproportionate number of commercial farmer members, it is hard to be convincing. The need to expand membership and make the Union more representative of the sector is clear” (ZNFU Smallholder Development Project Policy Statement). While the ZN FU benefits from its pro-economic reform stance in an economy that is avowedly “liberalizing,” important political constituencies are against that reform, and they speak with a broader, if less organized voice. Interestingly, the Union has realized a paradox: while it now enjoys much improved opportunities for lobbying over the direction of agricultural policy than was possible in the Second Republic, political liberalization has made the lobbying arena much more competitive. In this arena, the Union has staked out a position as a private-sector lobbyist for farmers who see farming as a “business,”7 and as such, it runs headlong into those groups and politicians representing the interests of farmers who still rely on state subsidies and market coordination. The Union’s “capitalist” orientation at first won high points with the new MMD government. Like ZACCI, the NF U initially had a cooperative relationship with the new government, due in no small part to the first MMD Minister of Agriculture, Guy Scott, being a prominent commercial farmer. However, the appointment of Edith Nawakwi to the post in 1997 signaled a change in the Union’s fortunes. By the time of the Annual Congress in April 1997, the Union’s President Vashee felt it prudent to strongly make the point that the Union supported the Government but was not its lackey. In his welcoming 7 Direct quote from George Gray, executive director of the ZNFU. 119 address at the Annual Congress, April 1997, President of the association spoke directly to President Chiluba (who was supposed to attend the meeting but at the last minute did not pitch up) with three points, which boiled down to: 1) here’s what the ZNFU can and will do for Zambia, here’s what the Union does not and will not do. and here’s what the Union hoped Government would be able to do for farmers.” In a nutshell, according to the President’s speech, the Union would support market liberalization and help smaller farmers through it by providing them extension services, it would promote farmer-owned marketing companies to deal with the gap left by the demise of NAMBOARD, it would disseminate information to farmers via its radio program and publications, it would use its ample capacity to help government formulate agricultural policy. However, it would NOT support government in “unsustainable” “politicized” credit schemes, nor would it “feed the nation.” This latter point was in response to a comment by Minister Nawakwi shortly before the meeting, and Vashee stated the Union’s position quite strongly: “the Union does not believe that Zambian Farmers have a duty to feed the Nation. Every citizen must be prepared to pay the economic cost of food and it is unrealistic to expect the farmer to subsidise the consumer or to grow food crops at a 1055. Instead, Sir, we believe it is Government’s duty to create an environment in which the farmer wants and is able to feed the Nation, because it is the most profitable thing to do. ” President’s Chiluba’s absence from the meeting, however, was a good indicator of Government’s response; it spoke volumes about the state of the government’s relationship with the Union by the mid-1990's. The NFU’S dampened relationship with the government is well-illustrated by the unfolding events over the Agricultural Strategic Investment Program (ASIP). Given the 120 ASIP policy Objectives outlined by President Chiluba in his speech to the Cooperative Federation in 1995, it would appear that the NFU’S organizational directives were right in line with the Government’s. However, problems with the implementation of the plan quickly emerged. Perhaps most importantly, according to the ZNFU’s analysis, 85% of the US$350 million that was expected to be put into the program would be actually be used for public sector expenditure (“i.e. it will be spent by the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry”) and less than $50million would in reality flow to the private sector. The Union articulated its concerns to government at the initiation of the plan in 1996. Government responded positively by inviting the Union to assume the Vice Chair of the ASIP Steering Committee. In that position, the Union worked to increase private sector representation on the Committee and brought about the introduction of District Agricultural Committees, which served to bring together farmers, extensions workers and Officials at the local level, and channel their input to the Steering Committee, with the intent of ensuring that ASIP funds reached the rural beneficiaries they were meant for. Despite this maneuvering, as several local farmers’ associations reported at the ZNF U Annual Congress: “it is very much feared that this most talked about program will only be a trickle when it reaches the farmers” (Mr. Nymann-Jorgensen, Choma/Kalomo Farmers Association); and “up to date, no meaningful benefits from ASIP has been achieved by my farmers” (Mr. Mwenya, Kasama Farmers Association). In 1997, the Programme was taken off-line for “review,” the Steering Committee and District Agricultural Committees were put on hold, and the NF U lost an important channel through which to influence policy. 4.3.4 New Groups on the Scene ZACCI faces a similar situation with respect to small and medium-scale commerce 121 and industry; its traditional membership is dominated by large-scale business and international corporations and their representatives, but under multi-party politics (in theory at least), numbers count. Though the ZACCI executive board recognizes the need to speak for as much of the business community as possible, bringing non-traditional members in has proven tricky. In response to the criticism that ZACCI does not represent or support the interests of small-scale businesses, donors have stepped in to coordinate coverage of small and medium- scale enterprises (SME’S). Perhaps the most prominent program is that of USAID’S Human Resources Development Project (HRDP), which has been trying to coordinate its efforts with ZACCI. The HRDP was established in 1993, originally under the auspices of the National Commission for Development Planning. In 1994, the project was moved to the Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Industry (MCTI). The Project focuses on Zambian owners and managers of small and medium-size enterprises, Offering training in management and technical skills. Importantly, it does not provide credit to its participants; rather, in keeping with its “private sector” orientation, it assists entrepreneurs in applying for business loans from banks. The Project also liaises with the Export Board of Zambia to provide courses in export marketing for Small and Medium-scale Enterprises (SME’S). In 1996, concerned that small entrepreneurs lacked a collective voice in lobbying government for supportive policies, the HRDP initiated the creation of Provincial Business Associations (PBA’s). The PBA’s were spun off of the Project’s training programs; thus, a training workshop would be held in a provincial town, and the participants would be encouraged to form an interest association. AS of 1997, all nine provinces had registered a PBA with the MCTI. The Associations were meant to provide both a platform for the 122 articulation of the interests and concerns of small enterprises, as well as an organizational base from which to organize further training seminars. Though relatively new, PBAs have reported some success in attempts to lobby government: for example, the Southern Province association reported a meeting with “sympathetic” MP, Dr. Simujayi, and were trying to schedule further meetings with other MP5.8 The final organization relevant to the business sector (though it does not qualify as a “pressure” group) is the Small Industries Development Organization (SIDO). State support to small-scale enterprises during the Second Republic was channeled through this parastatal. Like the cooperative movement, however, the organization was state-formed and state-directed; its purpose was to provide resources and training to small-scale industry, not to represent small-scale industry. A debt-ridden, poorly-functioning dinosaur of the Second Republic, it was Slated for an overhaul in the Third Republic via the auspices of the Small-scale Enterprises Act, which had set up a new statutory body, the Small-scale Enterprise Association (SSEA) complete with a Small-scale Enterprise Directory, by 1997. The director of the PBA initiative, Max Sichula, perceives some Of the incentives of this new act as encouraging for the prospect of organizing small-scale entrepreneurs through the HRDA-sponsored Provincial Business Associations. Sichula noted that the govemment-sponsored SSEA was struggling in its attempts to provide an apex organization for local associations, and felt that the budding PBAs could form the organizational basis to support a national organization from the ground up, one which could later merge with ZACCI to represent the interests of large and small-scale business 8 Interview with Max Sichula, 6/24/97. 123 m. interests. Importantly, though donor-sponsored. the PBAS represent at least an attempt at a grass-roots mobilization of small-scale business enterprises. In the agricultural sector, two groups have emerged to directly compete with the ZNFU for small-scale farmer attention, the Peasant Farmers’ Union (PFU), founded in 1995, and the National Association for Peasants and Small-scale Farmers of Zambia (NAPSF), founded in 1989 . The contrast between ZNFU ideology and that of the Peasant Farmers' Union is well illustrated by the latter’s official goal: to address "the need to have a common voice on the improvement of our rural infrastructure, social and economic life in villages, (and to) remove the impediments to Agriculture growth or development in order to improve our systems of productions, on- Farm Storage, Transport and Marketing, through the use of our family labour, capital and land which is our natural heritage" (PFU Constitution, Preamble). According to PFU President Kayeka, the PFU arose to organize small-scale farmers because the ZNFU didn't want to ‘sensitize’ rural farmers to belong to a farmers' trade union, and ZNF U representation was restricted to commercial farmers. Thus, when donor grants were channeled through the ZNFU, they reached only commercial farmers, and not farmers in the more remote areas. Kayeka argues that. unlike peasant farmers, commercial farmers are well-informed, have sustainable storage facilities, and they know production economics. "So our grievances and the grievances of the commercial farmers are not the same. We have no storage facilities, our farmers grow crops in darkness. Farmers in rural areas need to be educated on primary health-care, good food, good water, sanitation, recreational facilities, which commercial farmers already have... We must fight for overall quality of life. We are a trade union. We represent farmers as a trade union" (Interview with Mr. Kayeka, 6/26/97). In its targeting of peasant farmers, the PF U seeks to fill the gap left by the demise 124 of the cooperative societies at the local level; to the extent that PF U leadership has publicly announced the organization will attempt to buy the bankrupt Lima Bank, which during the Second Republic handled agricultural loans. Toward this end, the Union started levying its members K60,000 (roughly US$50) each, with the promise that they would hold a share in the Bank once it was Operating again. The idea behind the scheme is that a Union-owned Lima Bank would be able to dole out agricultural loans on the same terms as it did in the Second Republic, thus providing a solution to small-farmers inability to gain access to needed production inputs (i.e. fertilizer and seed). According to Kayeka, the PFU’s approach is to promote the understanding of farming as an industry: "we tell our members that farming is an industry, a business, just like mining is an industry. We tell our farmers we are no different from the miners," hence, the approach of the PFU to represent its members as a union (ibid). While the PF U thus claims to see farming “as a business,” it seems a very different type of business than that promoted by the ZNFU; the picture that emerges from discussions with PF U leaders is that the PFU’s philosophy of “business” and “industry” is more akin to the parastatals of the Second Republic than private business operating in a free market. The final major contender for small-scale farmers’ allegiance is the National Association for Peasants and Small-scale Farmers Of Zambia (N APSF), recently founded in 1989, but becoming active in 1994, to represent the interests of peasant and small-scale farmers (referred to hereafter as small farmers). Similar to the PFU, group leaders felt at that time that the Commercial Farmers' Bureau (precursor of ZN FU) didn't cater to the needs of peasant farmers, and that a separate organization was needed. In 1991, the ZNFU moved to change this perception (see above), and approached the Association to 125 negotiate a merger between the two organizations. The latter refused, believing the management style of the ZNFU to be inappropriate to the needs of their members; specifically, they felt that the ZNFU'S member fee of 1% of production was not appropriate for small farmers who have no record-keeping capacity. At present, they maintain that there still exists a need for a separate association for representation of small farmers, but that a merger between themselves and the ZNFU might be possible in the future. According to Haachiinda: "in the rural areas, there are elites who understand ZNF U management. But there are others who don't. As of now the reach of the association is not to all comers. We should merge when we've developed our links to the sector we're interested in. With competition, we'll capture all members.” The PFU has also approached NAPSSF to merge with its organization, but again, Haachiinda reports the management styles of the two organizations are different; for example, the President of the PFU didn't want to elect leaders of a merged association, but to "go by tradition" and assign the oldest members to the top positions-- which would mean that the PFU president became the president of a combined association. Also, NAPSSF doesn't want to get involved in the PFU's pledge of providing fertilizer and credit inputs to its members: "we won't make false promises... we don't want to toe the appeasement line." Finally, the NAPSSF disagreed with the PFU's plan to encourage its members to invest in the recently collapsed Lima Bank in order to make it solvent again. Overall, the NAPSF articulates an ideology much closer to that of the ZN FU than the PFU, though it’s doubtful they would declare themselves “capitalists.” 9 Interview with Jones Haachiinda, 6/23/97. 126 4.4 4.4.1 Coordination and Competition in the Interest Group System Inter-group coordination Some coordination in group efforts over similar policy goals can be seen, especially between employers and labor during tripartite meetings, between the Federation of Employers (ZFE) and the Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI) where business interests are concerned, and between the ZACCI and the National Farmers’ Union (ZN FU), where commercial / corporate farming is concerned. Also important are “affiliations,” for example, both the Employers (ZFE) and National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU) are affiliated associates of the ZACCI; and the Farmers’ Union (ZNF U) is also an affiliate of the Cooperative Federation (ZCF). Specific examples of coordination in the Third Republic include the following incidents: 4.4.2 0 Employers Associations (i.e. business) and trade unions teamed up against government over the pensions scheme. Business and labor both agreed that they want choice over pension schemes, but the Minister of Labour refused to convene a working group to draft submissions for the final bill. An exasperated businessman commented: “this is going tO end up like the Land Act, where Government acts completely autonomously from labor and commercial interests... ZACCI needs to work closely with the ZFE against this...”'0 0 At a ZACCI executive board meeting, ZACCI Vice President Mukandawire remarked (3/10/97) that the “Minster of Agriculture (Nawakwi) is messing up the Ministry, something must be done. This lady is insulting commercial farmers— we must support ZN FU.” The Executive Director of the NFU responded, “yes, farming must be emphasized as a business. The Minister claims that ‘farmers must feed the nation.’ This is a retrogressive position with lots of controls, bleak for farmers”ll Inter- and intra- group competition In addition to occasionally coordinating efforts with others, groups also find they '0 Interview with Theo Bull, 2/13/97. " Interview with George Grey, 3/10/97. 127 -——-—f .-.— ._' ' must compete for both membership and Official attention in the Third Republic. Such competition is relevant in three areas: between-sector, between-group, and within-group. We here consider group competition in that order. The classic division between economic sectors in Zambia, made famous by several works by Robert Bates (1983), is the urban consumer - rural producer divide. The argument goes like this: Since UNIP’s most important— or at least most vocal— political constituency was the urban middle-class, and since the primary policy objective Of that class is the availability of cheap maize for consumption, the government’s economic policy during the Second Republic was to subsidize consumption in the urban areas at the expense of rural agricultural producers. From the perspective of the National Famiers’ Union (ZNFU), the MMD government’s position in the Third Republic runs in the same direction. Citing the MMD government’s disruption of the maize market in at least two ways, first through refusing to issue export permits for the first period Of the marketing season, and second by issuing threats on several occasions to release stocks of maize or import foreign supplies if prices went “too high,” the executive director of the National Farmers’ Union (ZNF U) drew the conclusion in 1997 that “it would appear that there is still a much greater concern to protect the interests of the consumer rather than those of the maize producer” (Report Of the Executive Director at the Annual Congress, 4/97). Importantly— and this is a point not expounded by Bates but relevant to this study— the classic “urban bias” thesis posits a division between economic sectors in the abstract— not between formal economic organizations. In this case, there is indeed organizational muscle behind agriculture’s pro-producer-price position, but no organization to promote the preferences of the urban consumer-- though the role that this group plays as an 128 electoral constituency and the group’s proven ability to engage in disruptive protests are considerable. If it is indeed true that the MMD Government continues to be slave to the “urban bias” in the Third Republic, it might be indication that formal organizational efforts lack the degree of influence they carry in other interest representation systems. Within sectors, perhaps the most competitive arena for groups is the agricultural sector, where the issue of credit to small farmers is a rallying point for group leaders. Firmly espousing their support for market liberalization, the NFU’S position is that it does not “directly engage in the supply of agricultural credit or inputs... These are functions which we believe should be best handled by commercial banks and other financial institutions on the one hand, and the developing commercial trading sector on the other” (Vashee, Annual Congress 1997). On the other hand, the organizers of the two national- level small-scale farmers associations perceive the direct supply of agricultural credit or inputs to farmers as their main policy-goal. Interestingly, the latter groups enjoy something of an advantage in this game, for waging battle for the pOpulous and politically- lucrative population of small-scale farmers involves substantial ideological maneuvering for the “capitalist” ZNFU, while the small-scale farmers’ associations can rely on the pre- existing “state-socialist” expectations of their audience, both the farmers they seek to organize and the government officials from whom the resources must come. Finally, it is important to note that “group interests” are not a monolithic whole— interests compete for ascendancy within the group. An example Of this are the exports- oriented firms which want zero duties/tariffs, while other companies (domestic producers, farmers) want protective tariffs. Another example are conflicts over the definition of products for tariff purposes. Zambezi Paper Mills, for instance, wants paper classified as a 129 “medium” product, but publishing companies in Zambia want to import high quality paper for production, and thus want it to be classified with as a “raw” material. ZAMEFA wants copper cables classified as “high”, Zamtel wants them classified as “medium.” Indian dairies want to import buttermilk as a raw material while farmers want it classified as medium to protect their dairy products. The ZACCI secretariat reports that they conduct surveys of group members to ascertain how much support there is for policy, and that official group policy thus represents a majority opinion (interview with Moses Simemba, 10/25/96). However, the struggle for ascendency is not always pretty. For instance, at ZACCI board meeting in January 1997, the economic committee chairman, Meebelo Mutukwa, reported that “it’s obvious that banks are ripping us off (with 30% interest rates), doubling their profits every year. ZACCI as an organization needs to do something— banks should be investing in the economy.” However, executive secretary Phiri complained that the BAZ are members of the board...”How do you want to tackle them?” Executive member Rossi remarked that there should be discussions between members Of ZACCI, and executive member Bull recommended that there be a “consultative meeting in a pleasant atmosphere between ZACCI, the BAZ, and the BOZ to discuss the banking sector.” A final issue is the inter-organizational bargaining which goes on within the ZACCI board meetings, for instance in the dispute between the Shoprite corporation and local producers over Shoprites’ refusal to use local produce and instead import produce for its stores. The local Kabwe chamber stepped in to coordinate Zambian farmers’ efforts, then channel them up to ZACCI to discuss with the central Shoprite headquarters. 130 4.5 The Inclusion of Economic Interests We have discussed above the current environment of the interest groups system above; Figure 4.1 (next page) illustrates it historically, showing important patterns in the developing ecology of the interest group system. The labor sector is marked by a steady expansion of trade unions throughout Zambia’s history, beginning in the colonial era and continuing through both the First and Second Republics. By the time of the transition in 1991, most industries had been unionized, and legal statutes barred the formation of more than one union in any particular industry. A single apex organization, the ZCTU, coordinates the demands of the individual trade unions to the government in a stable institutional arrangement known as the Tripartite Council. The agricultural sector has a variegated evolution, starting with the formation of voluntary white farmers’ groups and African cooperatives forming during the colonial administration and the first republic. With the advent of the one-party state, the Commercial Farmers’ Bureau (CF B) emerged as the coordinating apex for local commercial farmer unions, while the Cooperative Federation (ZCF) was mandated to coordinate and control the development of cooperatives. Importantly, both types of groups remained “voluntary”-- members could join and leave as they liked. However, for the potential members of both groups, there were powerful economic and political incentives for membership created by the nature of the command economy. We will return tO this issue in Chapter Five. What is noteworthy is the proliferation of groups after the transition, after the previous incentives for both commercial farmer unions and small-farmer cooperatives had ended. Finally, in the private business sector, we see that there has been a continuous trickle of development of business associations, from the local Chambers of Commerce 131 Figure 4.1: Founding Dates of Surveyed Interest Groups in Zambia 1964: NUPA AMU AAW I946: 1955: 1970: I975: NUBEG ZFE ZUFIA CSUZ I900 1930 1940 I950 I960 I970 I980 I990 1995 2000 l I I . f . ._.-,~ :,...-. - 'N—x' w \ ' : arr: 4::2 a-i-".':='..-.- -..--.' Colonial Administration I 1" Rep I2“ Rébiiblic’" 3rd Repub. I I I l I 900 1930 1940 1950 I960 I970 I980 1990 1995 2000 1904: I965: I973: I980: I993: KPFU: CFB, CFA ZSPA ZCF MFA SFA I996 ZLFA BCS NAPI’SF EASF MDI’ I995: PFU Business 1931: 1950: I953: I972: I985: I990: I995: NCC CCCI KCC BAZ ZAM ZCFA PBAS 1933: I954: 199?: I996: LCCI LAMC ZACC LPBA I955: I994: I997: ZFE CCC LZCC AAW: Airways and Allied Workers LPBA: Luapula Provincial Business Asc AMU: BAZ: BCS: CCC: CFB: CFA: Union of Zambia African Mineworkers Union (later changed to MUZ~ Mineworkers Union of Zambia) Bankers Association of Zambia Bbata Cooperative Society Chingola Chamber of Commerce and Industry Commercial Farmers’ Bureau (in 1992 become the ZNFU) Chipata Farmers’ Association CSUZ: Civil Servants Union of Zambia EASF: EMU: KCC: Eastern Association of Small and Medium-Scale Farmers European Mineworkers Union Kitwe Chamber of Commerce and Industry KPFU: Kabwe Peasant Farmers Union LAMC: Lusaka African Marketeers Cooperative LCCI: Lusaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry MFA: Mumbwa Farmers’ Associatoin MUZ: Mineworkers Union of Zambia NAPPSF: National Association for Peasant and Small-Scale Farmers NCC: Ndola Chamber of Commerce NUBEG: National Union of Building Engineers and General Workers National Union of Public Administration Workers NUPA: PBA’S: ZACC: Provincial Business Associations Zambia Chamber of Commerce and Industry ZAM: Zambia Association of Manufacturers ZCF: Zambia Cooperative Federation ZC FA: Zambia Customs and Forwarding Agents Association ZFE: Zambia Federation of Employers ZLCC: Zimba / Livingstone Chamber of Commerce and Industry ZUFIA: Zambia Union of Financial and Insurance Workers 132 and Industry that developed in Lusaka and the mining towns, to the marketing cooperatives of small-scale business men and women. The one-party state aggregated the latter into the overall state-controlled cooperative structure, while the former struggled on under a state ideology that actively disfavored, but still allowed, the Operation of private business interests. The Third Republic has seen renewed growth in business associations, with the newly-coordinated chamber movement (through the auspices of ZACCI) actively encouraging new chambers to form, and the donor-sponsored HRDA program sponsoring the formation of provincial associations for small-scale business in areas off the line of rail. The point that Figure 4.1 illustrates is that of the inclusiveness of economic interests in the group system in Zambia’s Third Republic. As Figure 4.1 demonstrates, there has been a marked increase of interest groups in the business and agricultural sectors in the Third Republic, but these are groups which are not always recruiting organizational neophytes as members. There has been a strong history of organization throughout Zambia’s history; though most of it was state- Sponsored and state-controlled. What is different is that the groups which survive and are born in the Third Republic are ones that can survive without state sponsorship, and this has important implications for whose interests get represented in the policy process. Relatively strong organizations have emerged and / or survived at the national level to articulate the interests of business (the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry, ZACCI), agriculture (the National Farmers’ Union, ZNFU), and industrial relations (the two statutory groups representing the industrial sector, the Federation of Employers, ZFE, and the Congress of Trade Unions, ZCTU), and two less-strong associations have arisen to represent the interests of small-scale farmers to government (the PFU and NAPSSF). 133 The presence of these groups in the national arena, and the discussions above which outline their targeted audiences, indicate that the following groups of economic producers are represented by formal organizations which seek to influence government policy: 1. Owners of private businesses and representatives of corporations 2. Large-scale commercial and, to a lesser extent, small-scale farmers 3. Employers (i.e. private business owners or managers, and parastatal managers) 4. Workers who are formally employed. On the flip side Of that coin, the following groups of economic producers are not represented by formal organizations which seek to influence government policy: 1. Those employed or otherwise working in the informal sectors: tinkers, traders, etc. 2. Peasant farmers who don’t produce a surplus. It will be noted that the situation has not changed much in this regard, as the informal economy was not formally organized in the Second Republic. However, as indicated by Figure 4.2 and 4.3 (see next pages), and again by the discussion above, the interest group system is well-developed for formally employed labor and their employers. Unions and employers associations have existed for decades, actively involved in institutionalized dialogue with the government. While these groups do not always succeed in attaining their policy objectives, especially in the Third Republic their voice is organized and represented in national policy-making discussions. In the case of business and agriculture, large scale producers (i.e. corporations) are afforded greater presence in the policy decision-making organs of these groups. Both of the key groups in these sectors, the ZACCI and the ZNFU, recognize the importance of increasing the small-scale component of their memberships, primarily for political reasons, but the organizational 134 moS:E< 3383000 3 .053 000$ 80:5 3338; 33368 REESE H0: 32: 9.0: mama 052 CE woficmwco 803E550 moot_EE00 3033083. 38:03 o>t=00xm _EB_:otw< 22030036. AmDUQV 008,—. M: fisEZwE EonEoE 00:55 m _ “255 mm 008% o_ 20E: ooodov 3:03:05 .3 noficego .3 coflcmwco 6:65 £00522 8 000.com 08.0. $8 EBEBZ .3 0082390 880800 mm wet—.0858 was—$832 _o>0_ ._0>0_ 880800 2 om£=> 05 owe—E 05 ._0>0_ .80— 05 ”SE .320: one: $208600 3 23:00 :0. 3053088 SE Hm coficmwco mm m _ N 0v 00m 8.208% “$022080me ..EREBSO ..m. 003% 3000 0.632% EBEECQ 3000 550:5 300$ ”82:03:09 ..w. 00m? 303 ..m. 003% 303 3. 3m: 0 m :EUN MEN Emma—<2 Dar— DEZN hUN <9. _UU 0:55:50... 52:00 $003000... 50 50 m50:5E 0: 50_>5m 90030.0... 58:50 0:: 950:. :50 5033050 050% 3:50 «55:00.50 5.020000 02.00 00:00 83:0 0 : E: , .:, 20225; 050% 50:00 _::0=::._3:_ OS—‘HDHD ..— <00: >>><< Amino:— . c 002 <00N 00N4 <00 0UU.z.- w. \0. - _____ PFU ‘ EIZACCI Decrease in Cooperation No Change Increase in Cooperation with the Ministries? l M UZ NA P S S F 35335552"53:51:33“?3131355=31EI1:1:15:323iiiiziiizrz:Si::22:S1:22:55:::5,:::;;;:::;;;;:;:;:;,;: ZCF i‘ai'si':::::~:":‘:‘x“ '_ ZN F U “- “'35333153355135’- P FU E ZACCI Decrease in Cooperation No Change Increase in Cooperation . with the Parliament? I MUZ l5 NAPSSF PFU IZACCI No Change Increase in Cooperation . with Local Councils? NAPSSF PFU a ZACCI No Change Increase in Cooperation 272 Figure 7.4: Change in Cooperation and Consultation after Transition, by Group How did the change in 1991 from the one-party state to multi-party democracy aflect the amount of cooperation and consultation between this association and the following government granches? I IZACCI Local Council Parliament El Ministers [3 President ' ZCF Decrease in Cooperation No Change Increase in 273 are mostly positive for most groups, as expressed by the amount of cooperation that groups leaders perceive they enjoy with the new MMD government, they are not monolithic: the effects of the transition have been different for different groups, and different for different economic sectors. Business is the most striking in the clearly positive consequences that the sector and its flagship organization has experienced following the transition. Agriculture is more complex: the National Farmers Union perceives an improved relationship with Ministries, but not much of a change in other areas, while both the NAPSSF and PFU, representatives of small-scale agriculture, note improvements in cooperation with both the Ministries, Parliament and their Local Councils. The industrial sector is also complicated; while things would appear to be looking up for the Mineworkers Union with the MMD government, the lack of data from the ZCTU hides the troubles in that sector that many of the trade unions are experiencing with the new government since the transition. 7.3.2 Institutional access to government in the Third Republic One of the hallmarks of the political reforms of the early 1990's has been the dismantling of the party-state apparatus and the building of new decision—making institutions. Though the Presidency still holds much discretionary power over government policy, gone are the Central Committee, National Council, and General Conference of the ruling party; and in their place as the central policy-making organ is a reformed Cabinet and the special Divisions of the Cabinet Office. The MMD government, espousing an ideology of multi—party pluralism and a liberalized market economy, has pledged to make the political process more open, responsive, and accountable, both to major “stakeholders” and the general public. We know that the above institutions of the Second 274 Republic were neither designed to function nor indeed did function to permit the easy participation of organizational interests. Has this changed in the Third Republic? One test of whether key policy “stakeholders” such as interest groups are being allowed to participate in a more “open and responsive” process is whether they are gaining any form of routine access to the decision-making process. Two indicators of institutional access are available from the 1997 survey: first, respondents were asked if their association communicated, consulted, or interacted with agencies of the national and local government, and if so, how often; and second, respondents were asked if their association was regularly consulted by government agencies when it considered new legislation or changes in policy. Overall, the national apex groups are fairly active in their attempts to interact with government. Figure 7.5 (next page) shows that all of the national apex organizations respond that they do interact with both local and national government at least “sometimes” if not “often.” Not surprisingly, the organizations that either had institutionalized (if not effective) access to government during the Second Republic, as well as organizations that currently represent large-scale producers such as corporations and commercial farmers, report that they interact more often with national government than those organizations which are new to the national policy arena and have less economically powerful memberships, i.e. the two associations for peasant and small-scale farmers. However, these latter organizations report that they interact more often than the former with the departments and councils of local government. This might indicate that the latter two groups experience greater opportunity to access policy implementors than policy—makers. Figure 7.6 gives the additive frequency of the national groups’ interactions with 275 Figure 7.5: Apex Group's Communication, Consultation, and Interaction with Government, by Group Has this association communicated, consulted, or interacted with any agencies of the national government during the last year? How often? With which branches of government? Frequency: 4 :often, 3 :sometimes, 2 :seldom, I =never Branch National ZCF Minis, Parl. ZFE Pres, Ministries ZACCI Ministries ZNFU Pres. Minis, Parl MUZ Minis, Parl. NAPSSF Ministries, Parl. PF U 93:: ::::r.-. .21..~i's.;.:s=;.;3::3.252.: i . . _ l Ministries. Par]. 0 2 4 6 8 1 0 7 "I_NationaTG6v't—.m - 5 Local Govt. } Figure 7.6: Additive Analysis of Frequency of Interaction with Government Local Govt. National Govt. 22%;2MUZ IZNFU IZACCI DZFE IZCFj El PFU NAPSSF Data Source: I 997 Organizational Survey 276 government; from this we see that the groups interact with national government only slightly more than local government. From this data,it would appear that national apex groups are fairly active in their attempts to interact and consult with the MMD government. This questionnaire item used to collect this data was phrased to capture groups’ efforts to initiate contact;6 while a further questionnaire item was phrased to capture the other side of the coin, the government’s efforts to initiate contact.7 This latter item is perhaps a more consequential indicator of institutional access, Table 7.2 shows that of the major apex groups, most report that they are consulted by government about issues such as major policy changes. Only the PFU8 reports that they are not regularly consulted by government. Table 7.2 Groups, GovernmentAgencies, and Policy Issues Group Agencies that interact most often with Policy issues over which government consults that association with that association ZACCI Government and quasi-govemment Budget, legislative, economic issues agencies ZN FU Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Budget, agricultural policy, fiscal policy Fisheries NAPSF Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Agricultural financing, credit deliveries, and Fisheries marketing ZCF Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Cooperative Development Fisheries MUZ Ministry of Mines and Labor Privatization, wage policy, pensions and national development 6 Questionnaire item: “Has this association communicated, consulted, or interacted with any cabinet departments or independent agencies of the national government during the last year?” 7 Questionnaire item: “Is this association regularly consulted by government agencies when they are considering new legislation or changes in policy?” 8 Data is missing on this item for ZFE. 277 Table 7.2 indicates that, at least from the perspective of group leaders, apex associations in the Third Republic are gaining some level of routine access to the policy decision-making processes, especially in Ministries relevant to their policy areas. Of course, while access is not synonymous with influence over actual policy decisions, it is reasonable to suggest that entrepreneurial leaders would not continue in their efforts to interact and consult with government over policies that affect them and their members, if these efforts continually proved fruitless. Given that groups and government do interact, it is useful to enquire into the strategies that groups employ in efforts to influence government policy, for two reasons. First, it is important to the issue of the “coverage” of the interest group system to recognize if there are patterns to the different strategies that groups use. If certain strategies are favored by specific institutional arrangements, changes in those institutions could affect the coverage of interests. Second, we are interested in which strategies are perceived to be most effective, and whether there are predictors (such as group capacity) of which kinds of strategies will be adopted by different groups. This latter question will be addressed when we look more carefully at organizational capacity in the next chapter.9 7.3.3 Strategies for Influence Following Walker’s study (1991), we distinguish between the four types of “inside” policy influence strategies that correspond to conventional lobbying activities, and two types of “outside” policy influence strategies that are meant to shape and mobilize 9 Of course, given the small sample size in this analysis, we cannot hope to make inferences about interest groups in general in answering these questions. We can, however, use the additional information possible with a small-N study to make some headway in understanding why there might be differences between groups. 278 public opinion. “Inside activities are “designed to convince public officials to take some form of action or to modify an established policy by means of close consultation with political and administrative leaders” (19912103); the four types we include here as relevant to Zambia are: lobbying government at the policy formulation stage, lobbying government at the policy implementation stage, engaging in litigation, or participating in electoral politics (e.g. contributing to a politician’s campaign). “Outside” activities may be “an indirect effort to exert influence upon the outcome of a specific policy decision, but often they are intended to build support within the general public for an entirely new set of values” (Walker 1991:103); the two relevant types included here are using the media to influence public opinion and organizing or carrying out public demonstrations or protests. Figure 7.7 and 7.8 (next page) give the responses. All groups perceive the lobbying of the policy formulation stage, that is, the Cabinet and Ministries, as the most important strategy toward achieving their policy goals. Most, with the exception of the ZNFU, also perceive that working with government agencies in policy implementation is another important strategy toward meeting policy goals. Several groups consider litigation a somewhat useful strategy, and most report that working to aid the election of l.'0 The notable exception to political leaders is a strategy “not very” or “not at all” usefu this finding is the ZCF, who considers such electoral activities to be “very” important— but this might largely be an artifact of having their President recently elected as an MP. Interestingly, when comparing the additive importance of the influence strategies, working to influence public opinion through publicity and the media emerges as one of the most '0 This latter finding must be considered in conjunction with the finding that few groups will openly admit to engaging in political activities in the Third Republic. This is an issue we will address below. 279 Figure 7.7: The Additive Importance of Influence Stratgies Associations may engage in a variety of activities in order to achieve their policy goals. Using the scale below, please indicate your best estimate of the importance of that activity for this organization. T we of Influence Strategy. El Protest E Media Cl Electoral fl Litigation III] Policy Implementation El Policy Formulation ZNFU E1E2-1ilm211m: - : . 5:] NAPSSF n . 3WIIEHIEZ5ZII 0 5 IO 15 20 25 30 Level of Importance: I = Not at all 2 = Not Very 3 = Somewhat 4 = Very 5 = Most Important Figure 7. 8: Additive Importance of Influence Stratgies, by Type Policy Form. @5M5: :2352: IIIIIIII :fllllllll tam»: 2:22: Policy lmpl. $5 7‘th Litigation§ Electoral §4§112323 - I I inside Media @3M4 ..- 3m3III ”mu :1 , L I i a Protest . . outsrde l O 5 10 15 20 25 3O 35 40 IZCF EPFU ElZFE IMUZ IDIZACCI ElNAPSSF BZNFU Source: 1 997 Organizational Survey 280 important strategies for policy influence for three groups (the ZCF, ZF E, and ZACCI), and one that is very or at least “sometimes” important for the PFU,the MUZ, and the NAPPSF. Examining the groups themselves, it is noticeable that the two groups representing business interests, ZACCI and the ZFE, report that public demonstrations and protests are “not at all” important as an influence strategy, while the PFU and ZCF, both of which represent similar rural interests, report that this strategy is at least sometimes if not very important in forwarding policy goals. Indeed these latter two groups stand out due to the wide variety of strategies they consider important to achieving their policy goals. These two patterns are instructive in what they tell us about the nature of interest articulation in the Third Republic. First of all, all groups have responded to the reformation of the policy process and the vesting of decision-making in the Cabinet with considerable attempts at formally lobbying the Ministries, indicating that there is at least a perception that influence over policy is possible at that stage. Thus, institutional changes which make policy lobbying more open at the Ministerial level would seemingly improve access for all groups. In addition, the finding that attempts to influence policy implementation are also very important to group strategies implies that the outcome of centrally-made policy decisions are still open to revision at the implementation level, that is, at the junctures where the public administration executes policy decisions. Improving access at these junctures as well would seem to benefit all groups, with the exception of the ZNF U, who reports that this strategy is “not very useful.” Also important is the finding that participating in electoral politics is not only a “non-important” strategy for all groups except the ZCF, but that, as discussed above in Chapter One, several group leaders 281 actively eschew “partisan politics.” This is a complicated issue we will discuss further below. The finding that use of media in influencing public opinion is considered an important strategy by nearly all groups is important for two reasons. First, it suggests that there is no distinction between groups that employ “inside” as opposed to “outside” strategies in the Third Republic; all groups, with the possible exception of the National Farmers’ Union, find both types to be useful in gaining policy-makers attention. Secondly, it implies that the improved freedom of the press in Zambia’s Third Republic benefits the general articulation of interests; thus, further liberalization of the media (i.e. decreasing the dominance of government media and decreasing the harassment of the individual press) might increase the potential for collective efforts to influence policy. Finally, the finding that groups seeking to represent peasant and small-scale farmers” (i.e. the rural sector)’s interests to the government are the only ones that perceive public protest and demonstration to be important strategies for influence is weighty. It indicates that though these groups might also be engaged in formal lobbying, or “insider” strategies, they are either frustrated in those attempts, or they perceive protest strategies, what Almond and Powell refer to as “illegitimate or coercive access channels” (1996:76), to also be successful in gaining government attention. This is evidence that though the political process may be “opening up” to the representation of societal interests, and the process of interest representation may be becoming more institutionalized, the strategy of mass mobilization remains useful in some sectors. Having examined the consequences of the transition on groups’ interaction with government, let’s look more closely at the effects of the institutional change involved from 282 a system in which there is one major legitimate channel of access (i.e. UNIP) to a system in which several channels might become possible. Specifically, we look at three types of channels suggested by the institutional diagram presented in Figure 7.2 the government and administration, the party system, and the media. 7.4 Government— ministries, parliament, boards and committees Ministries It is clear from the analysis above that it is the Ministries which are the main point of access into government decision-making for interest groups in the Third Republic. This is explained by the new institutional configuration of the Third Republic: Ministers are part of the Cabinet, and as discussed above, under Article No. 18 of 1996, Section 50-53 of the Constitution, it is specifically the Cabinet which formulates government policy. Apparently, however, there is no formal submission process directly to the Cabinet or its Secretary; according to a Permanent Secretary within the Cabinet Office, the Office expects that it is the Ministries which will liase with “organizations in the private sector,” and include their concerns when the Ministry makes policy submissions to the Cabinet Office. As the bureau responsible for coordinating policy directives and submissions, the Policy Analysis and Coordination Division at Cabinet Office ‘encourages’ individual Ministries to consult with the private sector; however, they want consultations to be carried out through the offices of the ministries, and will check to make sure this has been done (interview with Mr. Kaluba, Permanent Secretary of the Division, June 25, 1997). Mr Kaluba reports that while his office does not solicit formal submissions from groups, he does occasionally inform groups at an informal level about policies which are 283 "in the pipeline": as an example, he might call up ZACCI and tell them to confer with the appropriate Ministry regarding a certain policy. While he encourages such informal means of contact, such as having members of his office "get to know" group leaders and "get their input" at an informal level, he also reports that the government is trying to create consultative institutions that offer more formalized channels of communication, such as the arrangement with the Tripartitite Council in the labour sector. However, to this end, he reports that government would find it preferable for each sector to be represented by one organization that represents a broad membership as opposed to the voice of a few individuals. As an example, he asserts that the fragmentation of the farming sector makes it difficult for government to "know who's talking." This desire to institute a limited number of singular, functionally differentiated categories for the representation of interests is quite similar to the preference of the UNIP regime for a corporative arrangement of societal interests. The continuity in the state’s desire to incorporate society in an “organic” relationship, as opposed to competing with it in a liberal one, is not surprising. However, it is difficult to tell whether this is entirely driven by ideology or necessity; in fact, it is probably both. Observing the state of decay of the administrative offices of the Permanent Secretary, it is understandable that the Secretary expresses frustration with a potential onslaught of submissions from groups and individuals outside of government that would require a great deal of secretarial capacity, if nothing else, to properly handle. However, it also makes sense that officials in the administration— many of who first took their offices during the Second Republic— still believe in the concept of the “developmental state,” that is, one which arbitrarily acts in the interests of society to 284 “develop the economy,” a state to which private interests make sacrifices, not submissions. This ethos is especially apparent in the Cabinet, where societal interests are appreciated as long as they are ‘properly’ channeled through the individual Ministries. It is to varying degrees also present in the Ministries, where we find officials who are willing to “consider” the interests of “stakeholders,” but where formal lines of communication between the government and society have yet to fully develop. Importantly, there is variation in the degree to which individual Ministries are encouraging these linkages to develop; it is this difference between the main sectoral Ministries to which we now turn. Agriculture Most important to the agricultural sector is the Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Fisheries (MAFF). A formal linkage between the Ministry and interests in the agricultural sector was indeed created following the transition; known as the Agricultural Sector Investment Program (ASIP), it was implemented in 1996 but was suspended in 1997 to “undergo serious revamping.” Under ASIP, private sector representation is arranged through the membership of farmers' associations, cooperatives, and other NGO's, on the ASIP steering committee and on local District Agricultural Committees. According to Dr. Hantuba, MAF F Acting Deputy Director, the MAFF prefers to think of the members of interest groups as "stakeholders" in agricultural policy; and the ASIP marks a sincere attempt to restructure the MAP F to be responsive to such stakeholders, to generate efficient, demand-driven policies and to employ a decentralized administration which "gets out to the areas where the stakeholders are" (interview with Hantuba, 19/6/97). Ad hoc linkages also exist between MAFF and its stakeholders: for instance, the MAFF 285 occasionally holds workshops which stakeholders‘ groups are invited to attend, and they send official government representatives to workshops held by groups. According to Dr. Hantuba, any stakeholder has the right to see the Minister or the Permanent Secretary, “as these are public offices.” Stakeholders also have the right to influence govemment opinion through the media. More formally, representation can also be had when the Minister presents the annual agricultural budget to Parliament for discussion. From the analysis above, we know that new opportunities such as this affect groups differently: the NAPSSF reports there has been an important increase in cooperation with the Ministries since the transition in 1991, the ZNFU and PFU report a moderate increase in cooperation; and ZCF reports a moderate decrease in cooperation. Interestingly, however, it is the ZC F that reports they communicate and interact with Ministries “often,” while the NAPSSF and PFU, who perceive they are getting just as much if not more cooperation from the new government as from the old, report that they communicate and interact with government only “sometimes.” Since the ZN FU, while reporting an increase in cooperation with the new regime, also reports that they communicate and interact with the Ministries quite “often,” we might surmise that some groups have to work harder than others to elicit cooperation, and for some groups, cooperation just does not, and perhaps will not, depend on efforts to work with government. Furthermore, we should note that there are important differences between groups’s interactions with different Ministries, a point which at least sometimes is dependent on the person who actually sits in the Minister’s chair. A quote from the President of the ZN FU at the Annual Congress in 1997 (after the ASIP was dissolved) makes this point well: 286 “Mr President, of late the relationship between the ZN FU and some parts of Government have been less than perfect. It is our firm belief that we must improve this relationship for the good of the agricultural sector. The ZNFU has no wish to be seen as the automatic opposition to Government’s agricultural policy. Neither however do we wish to relinquish our right to disagree with Government’s agricultural policy when we think fit. There must be, and indeed there is a middle ground which I can assure you we fully intend to work towards. We look for Government’s co-operation on this.” Importantly, this point did not extend to all of government, just the then-current Minister of Agriculture, Edith Nawakwi, who had initiated a war-of-words in the press with the ZNF U. As President Vashee continued, “we would like to commend the Minister of Finance for providing a clear and distinct government policy statement regarding agricul- ture marketing and inputs. This commitment and resolve of government to provide firm guidelines is of fundamental importance to the development of the agricultural sector.” As to how the specific introduction of the Strategic Investment Program impacted groups’ ability to gain representation in the agricultural policy process (even though it was short-lived), again groups have had different experiences. According to ZNFU (who at one point held the vice-chairmanship of the committee), the ASIP steering committee permitted valuable representation to its members— at least until its dissolution in February 1997. As for the District Agricultural Committees, groups had mixed reviews of their experience with representation on these bodies. On the one hand, the District Agricultural Office in Mansa reported that its D.A.C. met once a month and included representatives from the Peasant F armers’ Union and F armers' Association, and the ZNFU reported that its farmers have been quite active on committees in many of the districts. On. the other hand, representatives from the Peasant Farmers Union in Kabwe complained that civil servants were taking the lion's share of seats on D.A.C.'s, and members of an agricultural 287 cooperative in Nchelenge didn't seem to realize the DAC. existed. Business Most important to the business sector is the Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Industry (MCTI), although particular sectors (e.g. transportation, tourism, etc.) deal more often with their specific line Ministry. According to Jane Habongo, Deputy Director of Planning and Research, there are no formal linkages between the Ministry and private sector organizations (interview with Habongo, 19/6/97). However, since the transition in 1991, the Ministry has held many meetings with ZACCI, and recently, (since 1995) the Ministry has begun to hold quarterly "dialogue" meetings with ZACCI, ZAM, and the Textile Producers Association. At these meetings, chaired by the Permanent Secretary, issues such as the national budget, tariffs, and other policies are discussed. Private sector representation is also achieved through boards and commissions; for example, the Export Board is a statutory body under the MCTI. lnformally, group members are "free to come in to the Ministry with their concerns... we are looking for consultation at every stage, to collect information from interest groups through committees and task forces" (ibid). The Ministry's position was described thus: "Groups are encouraged to put in their ideas, but the final decision is up to government. We try as much as possible to accommodate, but businessmen will always complain. Groups need to know what they want... if they want to work with government, they have to make positive contributions, give specific instructions" (ibid). From the perspective of the key interest group in the business sector, changes such as these informal linkages with the MCTI have resulted in the perception of an important increase in cooperation between the Ministries and the Association. ZACCI reports they 288 have gained greater formal access to Ministers and their staff; "dialogue meetings" are scheduled (though not always held) every two months with the MCTI, and inter- ministerial meetings with representatives and their staff from multiple Ministries are scheduled quarterly. Present at the most recent of these meetings, held in March 1997 (a month after the agricultural sector lost their connection to the MAFF through the Strategic Investment Program), were the Ministers and Permanent Secretaries of Finance and Economic Development, Works and Supply, Local Government and Housing, Commerce Trade and Industry, and Agriculture Food and Fisheries, as well as high-level officials from the National Roads Board and the Ministry of Communications and Transport. Importantly, while these meetings indicate much improved and formalized access to government decision-makers in the Third Republic, they are still not legally mandated and thus depend on the discretion of the sitting Ministers. This is different from both agriculture, where even nearly-institutionalized linkages failed before they became functional, and labor, where legally mandated meetings between government, labor and employers exists in the form of the Tripartite Council. LEM Most important to the labour sector is, of course, the Ministry of Labour and Social Security. In addition to the Tripartite Council, which schedules and holds bi-annual meetings, the Deputy Labor Minister, Mr. D.S. Nyambe, reports that it keeps an open door to additional ad hoc meetings with unions and employers (interview with Nyambe, 14/2/97). For reasons given above in the discussion of the split between the Congress and the Mineworkers et al., the degree to which the unions perceive the MMD Minister of Labour, as well as the other Ministries in the Third Republic, to be more “cooperative” 289 than their Second Republic counterparts, depends on which national union one refers to. We know that the MUZ reports they have experienced an “important increase” in cooperation with Ministries in the Third Republic, and that they report that they often communicate and interact with government; though we don’t have comparable data for the ZCTU, interviews with groups leaders as well as media reports would indicate they are more similar to the Cooperative Federation; that is, though they may struggle to frequently communicate with government, it is most likely they would report that cooperation with the Ministries in the Third Republic has not improved. Indeed, both the AAWUZ and the NUPAW reported a “moderate decrease” in their cooperation with Ministries, and that they only sometimes consult with them. The Employers Federation (ZFE), on the other hand, reports that it has experienced positive relations with government in the Third Republic, finding ministers to be more receptive and policy consultations to be more frequent, although influence over final policy decisions is not always forthcoming. Parliament In developed democracies, legislatures are often a key focus of interest group activity, as legislation as well as executive policy often has profound effects on the interests of group members. However, for legislative lobbying to produce returns that merit their costs, there must be a perception that a) there is potential for influence over lawmaker’s decisions, b) there is access to the deliberative process that the legislature engages in, and c) that the legislature has a meaningful role in policy making. Studies on the Zambian National Assembly suggest that none of these assumptions hold. First, although the reputation of the National Assembly as a rubber stamp on executive decisions is not entirely accurate (Alderfer 1997), the fact remains that the Assembly is subject to 290 executive co-optation. As Alderfer found in his study, “Most members (of Parliament) believe that executive agencies , especially the president and district councils, bear the primary responsibility to provide government services and do not believe the assembly should take a more prominent position in this process” (19972255). In addition, the Speaker of the Assembly “maintains a traditional perspective on the role of the National Assembly, namely that parliament’s primary responsibility is to approve legislation brought to it by the government” (ibidz2l 1). As a result, it is not surprising to find that most groups are most focused on attempting to exert influence at the Ministerial level, as discussed above. Second, the Assembly is a difficult institution for associations to gain access to. Perched on the top of a hill and clad in copper, the building itself, as well as the lodgings of the Members, are guarded, and permission for entry is difficult to obtain. Furthermore, the parliamentary committee system is deliberately weakened by the Speaker of the Assembly (ibid 1997); while one of the groups (NAPPSF) reported to me that they had been contacted and asked to provide a report to a parliamentary committee on Agriculture, they also remarked that they had never been notified of the resulting legislative outcome, and were unaware of the effects, if any, of their submission. The situation in which both parliament and interest groups would like to communicate more but are frustrated by institutional— or as Alderfer points out, individual (i.e. the Speaker himself)-- constraints, is perhaps best captured by an exchange between ZACCI Board members and several pro-business MPs who were guests at a Board meeting (Badat- Kafue, Chewe-Kabwe, Mutukwa-Nyroro, and Vernon Mwanga-Roan, a former Trustee of ZACCI). During discussion, ZACCI’s attempt to make submissions on the Pension Act 291 was raised. ZACCI’s official position is that they do not want government to have a monopoly over the provision of pension schemes. When asked why they had not made a submission to Parliament to express this position, the following exchange ensued: ZACCI President, George Chabwera: Hon. Mwanga: Chabwera: Hon. Mwanga: Hon. Mutukwa: ZACCI board member: Hon. Mwanga: ZACCI Vice President Mukandawire: Hon. Mwanga: “We were not invited to make submissions.” “But you could have distributed it at Parliament or at the National Motel where we stay.” “We tried, but we were stopped (by guards)” “Well, efforts must be made to get to us individually. This is one of the few countries where MPs are not lobbied at all. It’s ridiculous. House should have private select committee which can deal with private sector concerns.” “We need to be more like states with lots of interest groups lobbying. Maybe you could give us a fact sheet which explains your point and the consequences.” “The best way to communicate with MP5 is when they’re in Parliament; is there any way ZACCI can meet with MPs in parliament?” “Our mornings are free. You could have workshops then and have MPs show up. As backbenchers, we’re able to influence government.” “Bills going late to Parliament is a product of the 2nd Republic. With a multi-party state, bills should flow to interest groups and others.” “Yes, but the problem is that the Speaker doesn’t allow any reform in standing orders committee.” An invitation was then extended to ZACCI members to come and observe Parliamentary debates. It was remarked that there needed to be a ZACCI sub-committee to go to the parliamentary motel, where Members reside while in session, and lobby the MP3 directly. 292 Government Boards and Committees Boards and Committees of public organizations, which allow interest representation from various sectors of society and the economy, seem to be a diverse group of institutions, some stipulated in the original Laws of Zambia, some created by ad hoc statutory instruments, some formed at a Minister’s whim. Some are well-established, regulated by clear legislation which stipulates election of membership, duties and responsibilities of the Board, etc. An example of this is the Zambia Privatization Board, whose members, once put forth officially by the group they are to represent, are ratified by Parliament. Others are more loosely defined; regulations concerning membership are amorphous (allegations of patronage often surround the assignment members on this type of board), and their function (outside of providing sitting allowances) seems ambiguous. The fact that these bodies do provide sometimes substantial sitting allowances (a sit-in on the ZPA board brings in K300,000, or about US$240) makes assignment to them an attractive opportunity among members of interest group executive boards. Of issue is the manner in which group representatives are assigned to the boards, and the extent to which they represent group, rather than individual, interests when they take their seat. ZACCI, for example, chooses representatives to boards and commissions through elections at executive board meetings. The representative is then asked to report to the executive board monthly, and take comments from the executive board back to their board or committee meetings (see Table 4.3, Chapter Four). ZNFU generally assigns members of the secretariat (i.e. full time staff) to these bodies, and requires staff members to relinquish their sitting allowance to the main office. 293 Political Parties and Electoral Politics As noted above, groups generally do not consider electoral politics a useful pathway to influence. As shown in Figure 7.7, of five possible influence strategies, “working to aid the election of political leaders” tied with “engaging in public protests” as the least important strategy for the national apex groups. Examining the groups individually, both MUZ and ZN FU stated that such an electoral strategy was “not very” important in achieving their policy goals, while the PFU, ZFE, MUZ, ZACCI, and NAPPSF stated the strategy was “not at all important.” The notable exception to this trend is the Cooperative Federation, whose response that an electoral strategy is “very” important to policy goals is quite striking. Examining another item in the 1997 Survey, we see the same pattern when the question “What, if any, political activities does this group engage in?” Table 7.3 gives the open-ended responses, noticably blunt in most cases: “none.” Since we know that these groups do engage in the political wrangling that is endemic to participating in economic policy decision-making, we interpret these responses to reference specifically partisan politics, as alluded to by the PFU in their comment: “members are free to participate in politics (i.e. parties) of their choice.” Table 7.3: Group Political Activity, Open—ended Responses to “What Political Activities does Group Engage In?” ZACCI NONE ZNFU NONE -ZNF U does not engage in any political activities NAPSF NONE-non-political PF U NONE ~the union has no political agenda but individual members are free to participate in politics of their choice ZCF lobbying MUZ [industrial political activity and general political activity 294 The exception is again, the Cooperative Federation, who claims “lobbying” as a political activity the group engages in, and the Mineworkers Union, who responded it “engages mainly in industrial political activity and general political activity.” For the former, the engagement in politics appears to have had deleterious effects on their relationship with government; while for the latter, their open political support of the MMD government during and after the transition has apparently paid off . Given the penalties for choosing the “wrong” party vis-a-vis the government in power, the other groups have apparently decided to hedge their bets, preferring to stay well away from any semblance of partisan involvement, or associated in any way with a particular political party. A good example of the fine line between policy advocacy and political activity that groups must walk is the ZNFU’s official statement of “political neutrality,” as given by the President of the Association at the Annual Congress, April 1997: “First, the ZNFU does not engage in, or allow itself to be influenced by, party politics. The ZNFU has always avoided aligning itself with any one political party in resolving agricultural matters. It would be unwise and short term opportunism for the Union to espouse any one particular party, especially since we draw our members from every shade of the political spectrum. It is for this reason that the Union has a strict policy requiring office bearers to resign their positions upon entering national politics, so as to ensure the political neutrality of the organization. The Union has always been willing to work constructively with the Government of the day for the improvement of agriculture.” The avoidance of any partisan or political ties bodes poorly for the development of party-interest group networks, which reinforce interest blocks in true multi-party systems. It also starves the party system of stable sources of support and contributions. 295 Public Opinion: Advertising and the Media Media and advertising, as mechanisms useful in the shaping of public opinion, are important pathways to influence in political systems where government leaders depend on the support of the mass public to rule. Since the demise of the one-party state, Zambia has seen a revival of the independent press under the new institutions of the multi-party state, so there are new channels which interest groups in Zambia can and do use to sway public opinion. However, while the Constitution provides for freedom of expression and of the press, the Penal Code lists various prohibited activities that may be broadly interpreted and in effect restrict freedom of expression and the press (USIS 1995 Human Rights Report). Thus, while the government generally respects freedom of expression, it is able to invoke these restrictive laws in selected cases, and limit that expression it does not care to hear. In addition, the Government continues to own the two most widely circulated newspapers, as well as the sole television station, ZNBC, and one of only two radio stations (the other is a Christian missionary affiliated station). While the government thus still has great influence over the information that reaches the public, a number of independent newspapers which actively question government actions and policies and circulate without government interference also continue to operate, rounding out the space available for shaping public opinion. As our data show, interest groups in the Third Republic do perceive that using the media to influence public opinion is an important strategy for policy influence. This is true especially of the Cooperative Federation (ZCF), the Federation of Employers (ZFE), and the Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI), who reported it to be among the most important influence strategies they employ, while the PFU, MUZ, and 296 NAPSF also counted it important (see figure 7.5). In fact, as figure 7.9ll (next page) shows, the number of times that the national-level interest groups have appeared in the leading official daily (The Times of Zambia) has increased for all groups, except for the ZCF, for whom it has stayed the same. Most notable is the rise in exposure for the Congress of Trade Unions, from 14 times in 1989 to 43 times in 1996. Also important is the jump in recognition of the ZN F U, which went from not being mentioned at all in the leading government daily in 1989, to appearing in the public eye more often than any other non-union apex group. However, even though it has increased, the total number of times in a year that group affairs and positions are covered is rather slim; the intentional use of media as a strategy for influence in the Third Republic seems still in its infancy. Nonetheless, as shown in Table 7.4 below, it is usually the case that the group covered in the news article is given “voice,” i.e. a spokesman is quoted, giving the group a chance to speak out on the issue. Whether this “voice” is solicited by a news-hungry journalist, or is provided via the initiative of the group spokesman making a call to the local paper, is impossible to tell. However, as shown in Table 7.4, most of the groups that are mentioned reported in our survey that they consider the use of media an important influence strategy; demonstrating that such voice is valued for its political purposes, even if not the result of the group’s initiative. As the information in Table shows, groups use these opportunities for a public voice not only for political purposes, such as criticizing the MMD or the government, or taking a public position on a policy (e.g. “income tax”), they ” This data is derived from the author’s “media database,” which comprises a systematic collection of all mentions of interest groups in the Times of Zambia newspaper for the years 1989-1996 (see Appendix 2). Articles are coded for date, groups involved, issue addressed, action taken, and government involvement. 297 Figure 7.9: Frequency of Mention in the Times of Zambia 45 - 30 - 15 4 0 . . . . ... ;. ZACCI ZCF ZNFU ZFE ZCTU MUZ [ 1989 I 1996 Data Source: Media Database 298 also use the opportunity to report on corruption (“watchdog”), on services they are providing their members (“services provided”), to announce a workshop or other public affair (public relations), or to comment on data and statistics that are relevant to their members. In addition, coverage includes issues of inter- and intra- group cooperation and conflict (e.g. “problem in group”). Table 7.4 Analysis of Covegge in the Times of Zambia APEX GROUP: ZC F ZC TU ZF E M UZ ZAC C ZNF U PF U Frequency of 4 43 5 l7 8 l4 3 Mention Frequency of 4 41 5 l3 6 l4 3 “Voice” Types Of Data/ income Tax, Pension Public Service Criticism of Critique of Public Statistics, Regulatory Scheme, Reform Policy MMD, Agricultural Relations, lSSUCS Policy, Policy Addressed Problem in Elections, Data/ Privatization Criticism of Data/ in Articles Group Suuport for Statistics Policy, Govt. Criticism of Statistics Democracy, Govt. Partisan Problem Data/ Public Issues, with Other Statistics Relations, Criticism of Support Group Local Govt. MMD, Group Watchdog, Public Services Elections Public Relations, Provided Held, Services Relations Data/ Provided, Statistics, Split with Data/ Watchdog, ZCTU Issues Group Statistics Disupute Problem Elections, Services Elections Services Provided Held Provided, Industrial Problem in Relations Group 7.4.1 Summary: Pathways to Influence in the Third Republic During the Second Republic, the UNIP regime’s adoption of corporatist-like representional institutions resulted in a exclusive and highly centralized policy process, with little room and few mechanisms for societal input. Upon coming to power, the MMD promised to promote the tenets of pluralism: a competitive political arena, a more 299 open and inclusive decision-making process receptive to interest group lobbying, the freedom to organize independent of government control. Through increased consultation and cooperation with government ministers and their administrations at both the policy- making and policy implementation levels, as well as through regularly-held public seminars, workshops and symposiums to publicly debate key economic policies, interest groups in Zambia are making use of the “opening up” of government under the MMD regime. We’ve shown that the point of influence groups perceive to be most useful are the Ministries, and that most of the key national apex groups report increases in cooperation and consultation with their relevant ministry. However, we’ve also seen evidence of government officials’ preference for the less cacophonous environment of the Second Republic, their nostalgia for the corporatist controls of that time. As well, the MMD believes its policy agenda has an electoral mandate, and has exhibited little inclination to change course. The question, then, is whether increased lobbying efforts and greater access to government has produced any real influence over policy. Since this is a difficult subject to analyze, and almost impossible to analyze on a general level, we’ll first examine which policy areas are especially important to the groups in the study, and then address their ability to influence those policies. 7.5 Policy interests Figures 7.10 and 7.1 1 (next page) provide detailed information about group preferences for the provision of government services and the level of government regulation in specific policy areas. As is clear from Figure 7.10, national apex group leaders in all economic sectors overwhelmingly want to see the government provide increased services, in policy areas specific to their economic activity (employment, 300 Figure 7.10: Provision of Service in Policy Areas For each of the folloiwng policy areas, please use the following scale to indicate this asssociation’s perspecitve on the level of services that should be provided by the government in that particular policy area: Much more More Neutral Education Agriculture Less ’ ' ' ’ ' ' W "’ MuchLess * 2 7 7 572 25577222777 Business EZACCI DPBA El PFU IZNFU IZCF EMUZ j E Education Housing Business a . El Employment E Agriculture Econ Devpt - Much Less Less Neutral Data Source: 1997 Organizational Survey 301 Much more agriculture) as well as general areas like economic development, education and housing. There are only two notable exceptions to this trend, most importantly the ZACCI, who want to see many fewer services provided by government in the area of business and commerce (i.e. like businessmen worldwide, they want government out of the business arena), and the PFU, who expressed that there should be less provision of government housing, understandable since this service is provided mostly to urban, not rural, residents. Not surprisingly, comparing the groups themselves, the Cooperative Federation (ZCF) comes up first in wanting to see much more provision of government services, as does the PFU in most areas (N APSSF did not respond to these items). Figure 7.11 shows that in the area of government regulation, however, many groups would like to see the government impose fewer conditions and requirements in the above policy areas. Leading this trend, of course, is the representative of business, the ZACCI, who wants “much less” regulation in all policy areas, except of course international trade, where they want to see government much more involved. Given that the ZCF wants to see large increases in the amount of government services provided, it is interesting to note that they want nonetheless to see less government regulation in every policy area. Consistent with their market-oriented position on most policy matters, the ZNF U is satisfied with levels of government regulation in most areas, except in international trade, where they join ZACCI in a preference for much more government regulation to protect Zambian industries and agricultural products. In general, then, the major national interest associations in Zambia have remarkably convergent policy preferences in one arena; that is, nearly all want more government services, in nearly all policy areas. Groups start to differ when it comes to 302 Figure 7.11: Level of Regulation in Policy Areas For each of the folloiwng policy areas, please use the following scale to indicate this asssociation's perspecitve on the level of services that should be provided by the government in that particular policy area: Economic Devpt. Much more " if: - More — — Neutral 5 A i * ,4, i 5 Less "T 77 7 i “ ’ 3 Much Less 7 22 7 - 2. 5-7. 3, - 2,7 - I . m lntl. Trade Agriculture Employment Business EJZACCI DPBA ElPFU EZNFU IZCF IMUZ Business Economic Devt Employment El Agriculture El lntl. Trade More Much more Data Source: 1 997 Organizational Survey 303 government involvement in the economy, however; for example, the large-scale business sector wants government out, while small-scale agriculture and small-scale business want government in. Not surprisingly, when we asked groups what their main policy objectives were, we found quite a bit of variation. Figure 7.12 gives the policy objectives of the national apex group leaders as they articulated them in both loosely-structured interviews, and the 1997 organizational survey. The figure shows important convergences over policy direction in some areas, and important divergence in others. Thus, for example, both the ZACCI and ZNFU express policy goals which are in line with market liberalization; that is, these groups are concerned with influencing the margins of private sector production, e.g. tax laws, VAT provisions, export and import duties, etc. Groups which deal with small-scale producers, the PFU and NAPSSF, express policy concerns which, though couched in market terms, are really about government intervention in the market. These groups want to see government continue to provide-- not just regulate-- agricultural inputs and markets for rural farmers. While these groups agree (at least in principle if not in practice) that such provision should be on a market basis through credit and lending mechanisms, they don’t believe such mechanisms should be entirely liberalized. Finally, in the industrial sector, while both labor unions and employer’s associations are supportive of policies like privatization (for the unions, as long as employment levels don’t suffer), they are wary of trade liberalization and agree that Zambia’s local industry should be protected. They also converge in wanting to see less government involvement in the economy in areas like pension schemes, and they agree that there needs to be a reduction in government’s recurrent expenditures. 304 Figure 7.12: Table of Policy Objectives ZACCI specific policy areas: V.A.T. provisions, duty rates, income tax, and commodity classification issues general policy goals: “to make help available to the members an economic space that is friendly to business” ZNFU specific policy areas: Agricultural policy, the annual budget, and fiscal policy; Agricultural Credit Act "tightened up;" Government to ‘encourage’ commercial banks to change conservative approach to agricultural lending general policy goals: Market liberalization, agricultural trade policy, development of export markets, security of land tenure. “Improve the profitability of farming and to improve the agricultural environment in which farmers operate " ZC F specific policy areas: New Cooperative Act: government involvement in the cooperative movement abolished in favor of the establishment of private cooperatives; general policy goals: “to advance the living standards of all its members through the practice of cooperation and mutual self-help ” NAPPSF specific policy areas: Development of lending institutions that offer rates lower than current commercial banks and target funding to agricultural investments such as irrigation systems; improved agricultural extension services that encourage non-traditional crops; facilitation of marketing and export arrangements through improvements to road infrastructure. “Where government and donor aid is needed, for example in the facilitation of agricultural inputs to the rural areas, assistance should be channeled through local associations for delivery to individuals, so as to ensure loan repayment.” general policy goals: “sourcefor inputs for farmers ” PFU specific policy areas: "central policy objective is to meet the PF U constitutional requirement to source inputs for their members” ZCTU specific policy areas: "clear-cut" policies in employment and productivity that utilize incentive schemes, differential interest rates in the productive sector, protection of local industry, control of waste and fraud in foreign exchange allocations, avoidance of wage freezes and retrenchments, the establishment and enforcement of a "living wage," a reduction in government defense and recurrent expenditure, addequately funded A.S.l.P. ZFE specific policy areas: Drafting of 1997 Industrial Relations Act to limit trade union and employer association splinter groups; Redrafting of the National Provident Fund Act, so that pension schemes are left to a competitive market), Employment Act, Budget recommendations: monetary and fiscal policy, import and export duties, agricultural sector development and small-scale industry, infrastructure, health, taxation, and privatization 305 7.6 Policy Influence These specific objectives provide a springboard from which to begin an analysis of policy influence. As stated above, this is difficult to address in a general sense, for there are a multitude of policies that affect economic interests, and on which groups can subsequently focus their lobbying strategies. Each policy issue, of course, exists in a different political and economic context, with a varying cast of protagonists, winners and losers. Groups can therefore be successful on certain policies and decidedly not so on others. In this section, we examine three important economic policies that are important to different groups; these policies were chosen to highlight the interconnectedness of the three facets of interest organizations— members, organizational resources, influence strategies. They are: for the business sector, the annual budget; for labor, the privatization of state-owned industries. The latter, it will be noted, are policies on the economic reform agenda. 7.6.1 The Annual Budget: the Effects of Organizational Resources Interest groups like ZACCI can have a fair degree of influence in certain policy arenas. An example of this is the annual budget process, where submissions from groups are solicited by the Ministry of Finance, and seem to have a moderate impact on the resulting budget. As the Permanent Secretary for the Policy Analysis and Coordination Division at Cabinet Office pointed out, the MMD government is willing to compromise on some policy issues; as an example, he gave the lowering of VAT in the 1997 budget from 20% to 17.5%. Analysis of the 1996 and 1997 budget demonstrates that the budget reflected several tax proposals put forth by groups, including an increase in the personal 306 income tax threshold, the lowering of the VAT rate from 20% to 17.5%, and changes in import and export duties intended to benefit business and agriculture. Furthermore, as the analysis above showed, group leaders report that they are fairly satisfied with their policy influence efforts. Lobbying Government Ministries: The Ministry of Finance and Taxation Issues in the Annual Budget "As part of opening the budget process, the Ministry of Finance is pleased to announce the formation of a budget task force. The government is concerned with restoring the fiscal health of the country's finances. As part of the process of examining options this task force invites written submissions from business, labour, and professional organizations and also from individuals." J.M. Mtonga, Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Finance Press Release, 1996 Among the varied committees of the Ministry of Finance, there exists a "tax policy task force." Each year, this body requests submissions from interest groups and others as to their preferences for the next year's budget, analyzes the feasibility and budget repercussions of these preferences, and makes recommendations to the Minister based upon these considerations (note: while groups are asked for submissions, there are no interest groups or other non-govemmental representatives in these review groups). This is thus an area in which groups have a distinct interest, and which they have a clear channel to the relevant decision-makers. Who takes advantage of such opportunities? Below is a list (provided by a member of the task force) of interest groups and others which made a submission to the Ministry of Finance in 1995, in response to the publicly-released Permanent Secretary's request: 307 Groups Export Board of Zambia Leather Industries Association of Zambia Textile Producers of Zambia Zambia National Farmer's Union (ZN FU) Zambia Episcopal Conference Zambia Association of Manufacturers (ZAM) Zambia Federation of Employers (ZF E) Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI) Zambia Export Growers Association (ZEGA) Companies Anglo American Corporation Barclay's Bank Dunlop Tyres E.R.Z. Holdings Enalo Limited Johannesburg Consolidated Investment Company, Zambia Ltd. Mukuba Pensions Trustees Limited Phelps Dodge Tata Zambia Limited Zambia Bottlers Limited Other Ministries Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Industry This list shows that four of the nine groups this report focused on in this report made submissions to the task force: ZACCI and ZAM, representing the business sector, ZNFU representing the agricultural sector, and ZFE representing the labour sector. Absent are submissions from the ZCF, the PFU, the NAPSSF, and the ZCTU (as the PBA was just formed and still lacks an elected national committee, this is not surprising). Interestingly, the Ministry did not have the ZCTU's submission ‘on file’ when the submission file was made available to the researcher. Furthermore, a "summary of income tax submissions"-- a matter of key interest to labours' representatives-- did not mention ZCTU. Profit Magazine included ZCTU's budget preferences in their report on the submissions made to the Ministry (see ZCTU profile, previous section)-- but none of these submissions concern taxation issues. The major tax proposals for 1996 fall into 5 main areas: 0 Direct taxes: PAYE, company income tax, withholding tax 0 VAT: agriculture, mining, food 0 Customs: tariffs Excise taxes: rates, motor vehicles Nontax revenue: fees and fines Table 7.13 below gives each of the group's position on these taxes, and gives the relevant results of the resultant budgets. For both years, the budget announced by the Minister of Finance reflected changes sought by the groups in some areas, and did not reflect their submissions in others: 196 ZACCl, ZAM ZACCl, ZAM introduced ZACCl, ZAM ZFE ZACCl, ZAM, ZFE ZACCl, ZAM, ZFE ZACCl, ZAM ZFE ZACCI, ZAM, ZFE ZACCI ZAM, ZNFU ZAM, ZFE ZACCI ZAM ZAM ZACCl, ZAM 1997: ZN FU ZNFU ZNFU ZNFU ZNFU ZNFU Table 7.13: The 1996 and 1997 Budget Processes Submission -increase PAYE threshold to K500,000 -introduce more tax bands -retain company tax rate of 35% -reduce " to 25% -abolish withholding tax rate -broaden tax base -control for inflation —50% allowance tax abatement -lower VAT, 20 to 15% -VAT refund on Zamtel -zero-rate agricultural products -remove import duty on raw materials -reduce customs duties to uniform l0°/o -flat rate import duty, no exempt -abolish SGS inspection monopoly -duty on salaula Submission -rebate of fuel levy for farmers -livestock tax deferred -corporate income tax the same, i.e. l5% -duty exemption for agr. machinery -countervailing duties -abolish SGS monopoly => Budget Result threshold increased to K600,000 => wider tax bands company tax: reduced to 30% for LuSE companies withholding tax lowered, 25 to 15% basic agricultural products, zero-rated, duty on agricultural machinery reduced, 20% to 0 no changes, duty-free raw materials import duties lowered across the board, but not made uniform Budget corporate tax, 15% 309 Analysis Generally, it appears that where there aren't important political pressures (e. g. the issue of taxing informal sector vendors and the like) , or inflexible macroeconomic considerations (e.g. the cash budget), groups have some influence in the outcome of the budget process. As it is the MMD government's goal to strengthen the private sector, it behooves them to solicit this sector for advice on what kinds of policies are necessary for growth in this area-- a point reflected by the Ministry of Finance's "Budget Task Force" statement. Though thus solicited, however, interest groups clearly don't hold the reins in the Ministry of Finance, evidenced by the fact that a good portion if not a majority of their submissions go unmet. Examining again the groups that submitted proposals to the budget process, we note that only groups with high or medium levels of “organizational sustainability” made submissions. Notably, revenue and staff levels don’t seem to be positively related to this ability— it is striking, for instance, that the group with the highest revenues and staff levels, i.e. the ZCF, did not attempt to influence the budget, even though it has clear impact on farmers, as ZNFU’s submissions make clear. This supports our argument that it is not just an “absolute” level of organizational resources that makes a difference in policy influence; we claim that our concept of “organizational sustainability is more accurate because it takes into account the competing claims on organizational resources. To put it simply, not every “rich” organization will be effective or even engaged, in policy lobbying. Furthermore, we see the shadow of institutional history here again: the ZNFU and ZACCI are both former quasi-pluralist groups; our argument that these groups adapt better to a pluralist lobbying arena seems to hold water. 310 7.6.2 Privatization Policy: the Inflexibility of Economic Reform As discussed in Chapter Three, part of the legacy of the one-party state was an economy whose ownership was largely in the hands of government. As noted, in 1991 the sector was responsible for 80 percent of GDP in 1991, with 160 public enterprises employing 140,000 staff (van de Walle and Chiwele, 1994238: see also Callaghy 1993, Hawkins 1991, and Bates and Collier for discussions of the interference in management and rent-seeking problems experienced in this sector). Pressure to privatize this loss- making sector began in the Second Republic, but there was little political will to sustain it, as UNIP benefitted from the patronage opportunites offered by its control over these companies and their employment decisions. In the MMD electoral manifesto, privatization is one of the major planks in its economic reform program (see Chapter Four); upon taking power, it pledged to privatize some 160 firms within 5 years. Despite a lack of consensus among the MMD cabinet, the commitment of a small group of key ministers, and the determination of donors, resulted in the Privatization Bill being presented and quickly pushed through the National Assembly (Rakner 1998: l 00). The Privatization Act of June 1992 transformed the former Privatization Committee (instituted by the UNIP regime in May 1990) into a quasi-autonomous agency, the ZPA, which was given the task of full privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOE’s) within 10 years. Initially bogged down by a combination of political, administrative, and technical problems, privatization did not proceed very far, until funding for the operation of the ZPA was allocated in the 1993 Budget. The pace picked up considerably after that, and as shown in Table 7.5 (below), the government had surpassed its goal by the end of 1996. Privatization has been cited as one of the government’s key successes in its 311 economic reform program. Table 7.5 Privatization in Zambia Progress Date Companies privatized J une-December 30 1992 Privatization Act passed in parliament, information of programme carried out, establishment of ZPA January - June 30 1993 2 July - December 30 1993 4 January - June30 1994 6 July - December 30 1994 3 January - June 30 1995 3 July - December 30 1995 27 September 30 1996 108 November 30 1996 166 December 30, 1997 224 Source: Zambia Privatization Agency, adapted from Rakner 19982101. Though the labor movement has supported some need for privatization, they have expressed concern with the impact of privatization on employment and the lack of safety net provisions for the unemployed. The position of the ZCTU, especially at first, was that the pace was too fast, and profit-making firms were being privatized alongside loss- making ones. As discussed earlier, the disagreement between the Mineworkers Union, who eventually perceived that privatization would improve conditions in their sector, and the ZCTU was at least partially due to ZCTU’s vociferous opposition to the specifics of the privatization program. However, the case provides a good illustration of the lack of policy influence possible in cases where there is strong government support for policy change. Even though the ZCTU had, especially before its split with MUZ and the other unions, quite a formidable level of organizational resources— revenues, staff, and well as 312 “sustainability,” this example serves to illustrate that not all policy arenas are open to influence. 7.7 Conclusion From this brief analysis of policy influence in two separate policy arenas, the budget and privatization, we see that a wide range of factor affect the direction of policy, including the preferences of policy elites within government, pressure from interest groups, international donor pressure, and economic constraints. Which factors are most important in determining policy direction, we’ve argued, depends on the specific policy arena. It is thus difficult, if not inaccurate, to say that one group is “stronger” than another, for different policy arenas require strength in different resources from interest groups. However, our analysis makes two points: first, that where there are “influence openings,” organizational sustainability (i.e. financial and technical resources minus membership or other demands) can determine which groups will be able to make use of them to further their group’s policy goals. Second, prior institutional relationships matter: in the budget example, it might be argued that ZACCI and ZNF U are the ones making regular submissions to government due to their previous experience as quasi-pluralist organizations— i.e. they are adapting better to working outside formal institutional relationships to government than the former corporatist organizations. According to this logic, one of the ZCTU’s problems in effecting influence over any part of the privatization program might be that it is having difficulty adjusting to its new relationship with the MMD government, which does not favor labor’s interests as the UNIP did during the Second Republic. CHAPTER EIGHT CONCLUSION: THE PROSPECTS FOR PLURALISM IN ZAMBIA’S THIRD REPUBLIC This study began with the observation that the economic and political transitions that began in Zambia in 1991 with the coming to power of the MMD and the initiation of the “Third Republic,” had potentially wide—reaching repercussions for state-society relations. This led us to begin our inquiry by posing several questions: what effects would these reforms have on the formerly corporatist-like relationships between key economic groups and the state? Would we see a more pluralist interest group system evolve, one with a multitude of groups competing with one another for influence over economic policy, groups with voluntary memberships flocking to their ranks to support and contribute to their group’s policy goals? Would we see groups in this system taking advantage of the new “openness” of government to lobby and exert influence over government policy— and would they be successful? 8.1 Change and Continuity In general, we have found that the political and economic reforms of the Third Republic have produced a mixed bag of results where the continuing development of the 314 interest group system is concerned. Not surprisingly, (given the “stickiness” of institutions, and the fact that the political and economic behaviors they engender change more slowly than the rules themselves change), we find that there is both change and continuity in the interest group system in the Third Republic. The principal changes noted in previous chapters are the following: 0 The emergence of new groups: This iS true especially in the agricultural sector, where the demise of the cooperatives has precipitated the formation of other new and independent farmers’ associations. New groups have also emerged in the business sector, especially local chambers of commerce and national trade associations which are affiliated to the Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI). The emergence of new groups in the labor sector was at first blocked by the continuing policy of “one union, one industry” in the early 1990's; however, with the adoption of ILO conventions mandating freedom of association, new trade unions are also emerging to challenge the existing ones. On this front, the emerging interest group system in the Third Republic thus matches the pattern predicted by pluralist theory. Whether these emerging groups are organizationally sustainable, however, is questionable; as demonstrated in Chapter Six, groups in some sectors have greater prospects for sustainability than groups in other sectors. The question of whether the pattern predicted by pluralist theory will still be evident in the future, therefore, remains to be seen. 0 The development of new types of institutional access to government decision makers: On this front also, the political system as well as the interest group system formally 315 matches the pattern predicted by pluralist theory, though in actual practice there are important caveats. With the demise of one-party rule, the policy-locus has moved from the closed committees and councils of the United National Independence Party (UNIP), to an executive whose members are directly chosen in competitive elections. Both in the Cabinet Office and in the Ministries themselves, new points of access are being created which allow societal input into policy decision making, such as the Cabinet Office’s Policy Analysis and Coordination Division. However, while these points of access are new, they are not necessarily effective; much still depends on the ruling party’s official policy agenda, and the preferences of particular government officials. - Increased interaction between groups and government: With more groups in the system and new points of institutional access emerging, the interest group system appears to match the pattern predicted by pluralist theory on this front as well. Here, the introduction of the multi-party system did result in an improved incentive for leaders to heed societal influences and begin attempts at improving social dialogue. Numerous public fora for the discussion of public policy issues have been held, especially in the early years of the Third Republic. Compared to the Second Republic, most groups reported that their interaction with government has increased, and in Specific areas such as the government’s annual budget process, we’ve seen that the major national apex groups have taken advantage of government requests for the submission of their policy preferences. 0 Increased lobbying of government over policy issues: The re-orienting of the policy- making locus from party organs to the executive has not only created new points of access 316 to decision makers, it has also produced a new flurry of lobbying activity by economic interest groups. This development too matches the pattern predicted by pluralist theory. It also marks a noticeable change from the Second Republic, since the one-party state was not designed to permit direct lobbying activities. Group leaders report that in the Third Republic, their lobbying activities are aimed predominantly at Ministers and their administrations, and to a lesser extent, at Members Of Parliament. As with several of the points above, however, there are important caveats to a continued development of this trend. It is reasonable to predict that groups will not continue to support the cost of current lobbying activities if government decision makers prove unresponsive. The increasing suppression of political competition in the Third Republic bodes poorly for one of the primary incentives for responsive government, i.e. electoral consequences. In addition to these changes in the interest group system, we’ve also found several continuities between the interest group system in the Second Republic and that emerging in the Third Republic. Primary among such continuities are the following: 0 The continuation of neopatrimonial rule, i. e. a powerful presidency and inflated cabinet, a legislature with a weak role in policy making, and a lack of if not repression of, serious political competition. All three factors constrain the points at which interest groups can lobby to gain support for policy goals. Though the lobbying of government decision makers has increased in the Third Republic, further development of this type of pluralist activity is predicated on continued opportunities for policy influence. The continuity in these political factors, reminiscent as they are of the one-party state, bodes poorly for continuing pluralist development in the interest group system. 317 .IiirllllIlIV ill l l .I 0 A nostalgia among government administrators for corporatist-type arrangements which limit the demands made upon government. By their nature, pluralist systems are “messier” than corporatist ones; there are more groups with a greater variety of demands, and their attempts at influence poke government at many different points, sometimes in a very public manner. These characteristics prove uncomfortable to officials accustomed to the formality of corporatist arrangements; and since they are the ones responsible for creating and promoting better channels of access through which groups can act to gain influence, the lingering dominance of politicians and administrators who cut their teeth during the one-party state also bodes poorly for continued pluralist development. Overall, though there have been developments in the Third Republic that match the patterns of interest group activity predicted by pluralist theory, we argue that the above continuities with the Second Republic bode poorly for further pluralist development in the interest group system. Several scholars and numerous observers have noted that the regime in Zambia’s Third Republic is increasingly steering away from the path toward pluralist democracy that it embarked upon in 1991 (e.g. Baylies and Szeftel 1997, Simutanyi 1997, Rakner 1998). We contribute to this literature by offering one empirically based explanation for why elite manipulation is deleterious to the development of pluralism, in one sector of civil society. In brief, “hangovers” from the Second Republic, i.e. neopatrimonial rule and a preference for corporatist state—society relations, pose constraints to the development of further pluralism in the interest group sector by preventing the development of the economic and political characteristics necessary to pluralist interest representation (principally, a competitive political and economic environment, and a liberal state), and by creating incentives for collective action that 318 further mitigate against the development of a pluralist political environment. Such political and representational vestiges of the previous regime have specific effects on interest groups in Zambia’s Third Republic— on their membership incentives, organizational resources, and influence strategies; and these effects are best understood by analyzing the impact of institutional history in these three interlocking areas. It is to these findings we now turn. 8.2 Effects of Prior Institutional History on Interest Groups in Dual Transitions In Chapter Three, we introduced an institutional framework for analyzing the interest group system in Zambia’s Second Republic. This framework posits in three possible relationships between the state and interest groups, depending on a) whether the group belongs to a sector that the state actively seeks to control, and b) whether the group tries to resist that control in order to maintain political autonomy. The three possible relationships that emerged in our analysis of interest groups under the Second Republic were: state-negotiated corporatism, state-dominated corporatism, and quasi-pluralism. By creating a typology of possible relationships between groups and the state in Zambia, we have shown that we can explain some of the variation we see in the reasons that individuals participate in group activity, the organizational resources and more importantly, sustainability, that groups realize, and their influence strategies and potentials for policy influence. Furthermore, we’ve found some support for the proposition that these three areas are linked, for example, an organization’s sustainability in part depends on what members expect in return for their contributions to, and participation in, group activity. These findings fall into three broad areas: 319 Membership incentives Institutional history helps to explain the variations we’ve seen in membership incentives among different economic interest groups in Zambia’s Third Republic. In Chapter Five, the categories above proved useful in understanding the different incentives at work in Zambians’ decision to join and/or participate in group activity. Thus, in the formerly state-dominated corporatist sector, where small-scale and peasant farmers were organized under the cooperative movement (the Zambia Cooperative Federation, or ZCF), the main benefits that are sought from group activity continue to be the agricultural inputs and marketing opportunities that were once provided by the one-party state. Membership incentives for the cooperatives which continue to fall under the ZCF and the new groups that seek to organize former cooperative members, the Peasant Farmers Union (PFU) and the National Association of Peasant and Small-scale Farmers (NAPSSF), thus continue to be predominantly economic in nature. Meanwhile, in the formerly state-negotiated corporatist sector, though membership in the trade unions under the Zambia Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU) continues to be non-voluntary, unionists expect from their contributions to group activity both the provision of direct economic benefits (higher wages, better working conditions), as well as successful policy representation to government over key economic reforms, such as privatization and tax issues. Here, the membership incentive is both economic in nature, as well as political. We find the most politically-motivated incentives for membership in the formerly quasi-pluralist sector. For both the ZACCI and the ZNFU, gaining representation to government is the benefit members realize most from their contribution to group activity, 320 and for ZACCI members, it is the most important benefit in their decision to maintain their membership. Economic incentives such as information services and training workshops prove more important to member-farmers in the ZNFU than for the businessmen who belong to ZACCI; the latter turn out to be the most politically-motivated members in the study. Organizational Sustainability Institutional history also affects organizational sustainability, through the mechanism of membership incentives. Arguing that groups in a pluralist system must find a benefits package to sustain their membership, we see the link between the objective measure, organizational resources, and the subjective measure, organizational sustainability. Thus, groups with high revenue streams and staffs, like the Zambia Cooperative Federation (ZCF), can be less hardy than groups with only moderate revenues and staffs, like the Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI); the argument being that the former is pressed to provide a more resource- intense benefit (i.e. economic and patronage rewards in the form of state-subsidized agricultural inputs and credit) to attract members than the is latter, whose members are mostly concerned with policy lobbying and an occasional newsletter. We also showed how the concept of organizational sustainability is helpful in understanding the different reasons that groups “trade-off” autonomy for increased capacity. In essence, there are at least two reasons why groups accept and solicit donor and government grants and contracts, the first economic, and the second, political. The first explains why groups like the ZCF, the Provincial Business Association (PBA), the 321 Peasant Farmers’ Union (PFU), and the National Association of Peasant and Small-scale Farmers (N APSF) look to donors and the government for financial and technical assistance. For the PBA, the PFU, and the NAPSF, low revenues and low administrative capacity make the deep pockets of donors irresistibly attractive; while for the ZCF, support from the government and international donors potentially offers a renewed legitimacy as well as the resources necessary to re-organize the rural areas. In the case of the unions, assistance from international labor organizations not only helps replace the financial resources lost to declining membership levels, it provides training and collaboration in internationally accepted principles and practices of trade unionism. On the other hand, reasons which are more political than economic in nature help to explain why the ZACCI and the Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU) also seek resources from government and donors, even though organizationally they are fairly sustainable without them. Though both groups can amply support the needs of their large-members, who are small in number and generous in their contributions, political legitimacy in the multi-party system rests on the inclusion of large numbers of small- members, who generally require more resources than they are able to contribute. Donor assistance is valued for these organizational needs; but the consequent conditions that come with such assistance are not always appreciated, most especially by large-members. Policy Lobbying Effects Finally, we showed that prior institutional history also has an effect on policy lobbying efforts, both through the intermediary of organizational sustainability, and through its implications for experience in interactions with the state. Thus, groups like the 322 Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI), the Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU), and the Zambia Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU) are poised to take advantage of policy influence openings with sophisticated policy responses, because they have considerable levels of organizational capacity, and possess the combination of resources-matched-to-needs that results in organizational sustainability. And, groups like ZACCI might be better than groups like the ZCTU and ZCF at lobbying government in a plural environment, because the Association has no prior experience with close corporatist ties to the state (and as a consequence, no vast, hierarchically layered structures to support and maintain); in other words, formerly quasi—pluralist groups don’t have to “unleam” previously developed policy strategies and influence expectations. 8.3 Concluding Remarks For the interest group system in Zambia’s Third Republic, the general prospects for the further development of a pluralist interest group system have dimmed since the early years of the transition. Though many of the formal institutional arrangements which buttress pluralist rule remain in place, continuing neopatrimonial practices limit the extent to which pluralist organizational efforts can be sustained. However, within this broad picture, important distinctions do exist; this study has Shown that some groups are adapting more successfully and adopting more pluralist-like maintenance and influence strategies than other groups. Overall, the effect of the dual reform process on interest group activity is variable; this study has identified several important factors which help to explain this variation, among which are prior institutional history, particular effects of economic reform policies, and continuing neopatrimonial practices. 323 Perhaps most importantly, this study demonstrates that the interest group system emerging in Zambia’s Third Republic is complex; as the corporatist system which developed during the Second Republic deviated from the theoretical ideal, so does the pluralist system which was adopted in the Third Republic. The Zambian case shows that even groups within a single system can experience different institutional relationships with the state, as well as different membership incentives and different organizational and influence strategies. Further research into explaining these variations can help us to better understand the unique types of interest representation systems that are developing in Africa’s new democracies. 324 Apex Groups NAPSF PFU ZACCI ZCF ZFE ZCTU ZNFU APPENDIX 1 LIST OF ECONOMIC INTEREST GROUPS IN ZAMBIA National Association of Peasant & Small-Scale Farmers Peasant Farmers’ Union Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry Zambia Cooperative Federation Zambia Federation of Employers Zambia Congress of Trade Unions Zambia National Farmer's Union Local and Other Affiliated Groups (italics indicates affiliation) AAWUZ ABCEC BA BAZ BCPAZ CAIAZ CEFU CFB CiaFU CinF U CipF U CiSFU CnCC ComFU ConF U CpCC CSUZ CWFU ECAZ F ZRH GCZ GUZ HCWUZ IBDF IF U KabF U Airways and Allied Workers Union ZCTU Association of Building and Civil Engineering Contractors ZA CC] Bakers Association Bankers Association of Zambia ZACC] Beef Cattle Producer's Association of Zambia ZNF U Clothing and Allied Industries Association of Zambia Copperbelt East F armer's Union ZNF U Commercial Farmers Bureau (defunct) Chadiza Farmer's Union ZNF U Chinsali Farmer's Union ZNF U Chippata Farmer's Union ZNF U Chisamba Farmer's Union ZNF U Chingola Chamber of Commerce ZA CC] Choma / Kaloma Farmer's Union ZNF U Chongwe River Farmer's Union ZNF U Chipata Chamber of Commerce ZAC C1 Civil Servants Union Zambia ZC TU Copperbelt West Farmer's Union ZNF U Environmental Conservation Assoc. ZNF U Federation of Zambia Road Hauliers ZA CC] Gemstones Corporation Zambia Guards Union of Zambia ZCT U Hotel Catering Workers Union of Zambia ZCTU Indigenous Business Development Foundation Isoka Farmer's Union ZNF U Kabompo Farmer's Union ZNF U 325 Local and Other Affiliated Groups (cont) (italics indicates affiliation) Kawa U KaCC KaoFU KasFU KatF U KiCC LCC LIAZ LuaFU LunF U LWFU MaFU MbFU MkFU MOFU MpiFU MPNPAZ MpoF U MTAZ MuFU MUZ NCC NcFU NUBEGW NUCIW NUCW NUPAW NUPSW NUTAW NyFU PFU RWUZ SaF U SAZ SCC SeFU SIDO SOFU SSEPL SSIAZ TAAZ TAZ TOAZ Kabwe Farmer's Union ZNF U Kabwe Chamber of Commerce ZA CC] Kaoma Farmer's Union ZNF U Kasama Farmer's Union ZNF U Katete Farmer's Union ZNF U Kitwe Chamber of Commerce ZACC] Lusaka Chamber of Commerce ZA CC] Leather Industries Association of Zambia Luapula Farmer's Union ZNF U Lundazi Farmer's Union ZNF U Lusaka West Farmer's Union ZNF U Mazabuka Farmer's Union ZNF U Mbala Farmer's UnionZNF U Mkushi Farmer's Union ZNF U Monze / Pemba Farmer's Union ZNF U Mpika Farmer's Union ZNF U Master Printers and Newspaper Proprietors Association of Zambia Mpongwe F armer's Union ZNF U Motor Traders Association of Zambia Mumbwa Farmer's Union ZNF U Mineworkers Union of Zambia Ndola Chamber of Commerce ZACC] Nchelenge Farmer's Union ZNF U National Union of Building, Engineering, and General Workers ZC T U National Union of Commercial and Industrial Workers National Union of Communication Workers ZC TU National Union of Plantation and Agricultural Workers National Union of Public Service Workers ZCTU National Union of Transport and Allied Workers ZC TU Nyimba Farmer's Union ZNF U Petauke Farmer's Union ZNF U Railway Worker's Union of Zambia ZC TU Samfya Farmer's Union ZNF U Seed Association ZNF U Solwezi Chamber Of Commerce Serenje Farmer's Union Small Industries Development Organization Solwezi Farmer's Union ZNF U Small Scale Enterprises Promotion Limited Small Scale Industries Association of Zambia Travel Agents Association of Zambia Tobacco Association of Zambia ZNF U Tour Operators Association of Zambia 326 Local and Other Affiliated Groups (cont) (italics indicates afliliation) TPZ UF A UZAWU VIS WAZ ZAM ZCF ZCFA ZCGA ZCTU ZEAWU ZEF ZEGA ZFCS ZFEA ZILAWU ZLF U ZNCCI ZN PA ZNUHAW ZNU T ZNV AC ZTWU ZUCIW ZUFIAW Textile Producers of Zambia ZACC] Ukwimi Farmer's Association ZNF U University of Zambia and Allied Workers Union ZC T U Village Industry Service Wildlife Association of Zambia ZNF U Women Entrepreneurs in Industry and Business Youth Entrepreneurs Association of Zambia Young Farmer's Association ZNF U Zambia Association of Manufacturers ZACC] Zambia Cooperative Federation Zambia Clearing and Forwarding Agents Association ZA C C] Zambia Coffee Growers' Association ZNF U Zambia Congress of Trade Unions Zambia Electricity and Allied Workers Union ZC T U Zambia Federation of Employers Zambia Export Grower's Assoc. ZNF U Zambia Farmer's Cooperative Society Zambia Farm Employees' Assoc. ZNF U Zambia United Local Authorities Workers Union ZC TU Zimba/ Livingstone Farmer's Union ZNF U Zambia National Council of Commerce and Industry (defunct) Zambia National Pensioner Association Zambia National Union of Health and Allied Workers ZCT U Zambia National Union of Teachers Zambia National Visual Arts Council Zambia Typographical Worker's Union ZC T U Zambia Union of Commercial and Industrial Workers ZCTU Zambia Union of Financial lnstit's and Allied Workers 327 APPENDIX 2 METHODOLOGY NOTES Interviews Participant Observation Organizational Survey Media Survey Membership Survey .U‘PE’JPI‘ 1. Interviews Over 50 loosely-structured, intensive interviews were conducted over the period October 1996 - September 1997 with leaders and staff members of interest groups, and members of government who interact with such groups. These interviews ranged from 1/2 hour to 2 hours, and covered topics such as: organizational structure, finance issues, lobbying strategies, and current policy concerns (for group representatives); formal and informal linkages between groups and government, changes in policy making institutions since the Second Republic, and desired activities for interest group sector (for government officials). Bibliography gives a list of interviews conducted. 2. Participant Observation Data was gathered on interest group agendas and intra-organizational relationships between group leaders and principal members through participant observation at group meetings. Researcher made her official presence as an academic researcher known at these meetings. Since not all groups permitted the researcher to attend meetings, and since researcher was not available for the dates of all meetings, it was only possible to 328 collect data for some of the groups under study. Since this data is not complete, it cannot be systematically compared across groups, but the experience provided the researcher with important impressions and insights that are reflected in the study. Groups permitting access to meetings, and those not permitting access to meetings, are given below: Permitted access to Board and Executive Meetings: ZACCI, ZAM, CRFA, CCCI, CWF A Permitted access to Annual General Meetings: ZACCI, ZNFU Invited as guest to Tripartite Council Meeting: ZCTU Schedule conflicts prevented invited attendance: MUZ, NASSPF Not permitted access to Executive and Board Meetings: ZFE, ZCF 3. Organizational Survey Survey Instrument The survey questionnaire was based upon work done by Professor Jack Walker on interest group mobilization in the United States. Walker's study of organizational issues and policy influence strategies was used as a model for the Zambian study because it is insightful and sophisticated, and generates many interesting hypotheses that prove useful to test in different political and economic environments. A modified questionnaire was developed to make the survey instrument applicable to the Zambian case; changes included soliciting information on group perspectives of the regime change in 1991, and exploring the relationship between groups and the specific governing institutions of Zambia's Third Republic. The resulting questionnaire was discussed with the economist of a leading national interest group in Zambia to determine the suitability of the questions for Zambian interest groups, but the questionnaire was not 329 tested on specific groups, as this would have reduced an already small pool of respondents. The survey instrument comprised 41 questions, with 5 open-ended response questions meant to gather qualitative data on group goals, benefits, political activities, and effectiveness, and 36 predominantly close-ended response questions meant to gather quantitative data that would be comparable across groups. For the latter, questions reflected several issue areas. The first dealt with organizational issues such as meeting schedules, leadership structure, membership, and staff. Following sections dealt with benefits provided by the group, funding and financial issues, intergroup coordination / competition, policy interests, lobbying strategies, and issues of group- government interaction. As the questionnaire was distributed only to groups with leaders active at the national level, where English is the Official language, it was administered in English only. Sampling Frame The sampling frame used for the survey was drawn from several sources. The primary source is the Registrar of Societies, a statutory body with which all social groups in Zambia must register. From the official Registry, names of groups organized around an economic interest were separated, and added to a general list. Also added to the list were the associational members of the primary apex organizations. Appendix 1 gives this final list, with apex-affiliation given in parentheses. As this final list comprises only about 100 organizations, it was decided that the questionnaire would be administered to the whole population of active, voluntary, member-based organizations, rather than to a select sample of groups. Groups which fit this description and were therefore delivered a questionnaire are marked by an asterix (reason for non-inclusion is given in italics). By 330 delivering and following up questionnaire completion in person, the goal was for a full response rate to be achieved. However, to date this is not the case: only a partial, self- selected subset has returned the questionnaire. The response rate to date is given below: Type of Group Total Delivered Total responses Response rate Business 12 6 50 % Agriculture* 41 8 20 % Labour 22 8 36 % Total 75 23 30 *the low response rate here is due to many of these associations being in areas far outside the capital city of Lusaka; collection of completed questionnaires was thus difficult. However, all national organizations in Lusaka did return a completed questionnaire, with the exception of the ZCTU. 4. Media Report Content Analysis: data collection assisted by Show George Makaha Description The govemment-owned Times of Zambia (T OZ) daily newpaper was comprehensively reviewed for the years 1990, 1991, and 1996, and a random sample of the daily editions were reviewed for the years 1988, 1989, 1992, 1993, 1994, and 1995. (The Times of Zambia was chosen because a quantitative review of the Times of Zambia, the Daily Mail, and the Post newspapers of October 1996 - April 1997 showed that the Time of Zambia wrote articles mentioning interest groups most frequently). This systematic review was conducted utilizing the National Archives collection of the Times of Zambia, which is missing several editions. For the TOZ newspapers reviewed, all articles which mentioned one of the groups under study (see Appendix 1) had the date of publication, the headline of the article, the issue addressed by the article, and any action taken by the parties involved, recorded into a primary database. This database was then used as a source for analyzing the contents of the article as to the nature of the issue 331 reported. Possible issues were categorized into a secondary database, which was distinct for each sector. 5. Membership Survey The membership presents a broad-based survey of the individual members of the groups in the study. The purpose of the survey is to complete the picture of interest- groups in Zambia, by querying the individual members of the groups under study as to their perspectives group activity. The survey began in August with a small number of focus-group interviews to gather information for constructing an efficient and accurate survey instrument. The survey was conducted during the months of October and November, 1997. The groups included in the survey were: Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI), Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNF U), Provincial Business Association (PBA), National Association of Peasant and Small-Scale Farmers (NAPSSF), Peasant Farmers’ Union (PFU), Zambia Cooperative Federation (ZCF), the Zambia Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU), and the Mineworkers Union of Zambia (MUZ), Zambia Federation of Employers (ZFE), and their local affiliates. Sampling: While each of these national level groups were able to provide lists of local branches, with the exception of the ZACCI and ZNFU, it was not possible to obtain lists of all individual members of local groups. Given the lack of an exact population size and the absence of a sampling frame, it was thus not possible to use a probability sampling method to select subjects for interviews. 332 Instead, the sampling method used was a heterogeneous one which attempted to use random sampling where possible, and to draw a purposive sample intended to capture geographical and social diversity where a representative sample was not possible. Sampling thus proceeded on two levels: where membership lists were available, a sample was drawn using a systematic random process. These cases were then either approached for an individual interview, or were sent a written questionnaire (in each of the cases where lists were available, it was fair to assume that the respondent was literate and could respond to such an instrument). For the other groups, the survey team traveled to major towns in all nine of Zambia’s provinces, and approached the local branch of the national organization for group lists from which to randomly choose members. However, such lists were rarely available, and group leaders at the district-level Often were the only source for finding members to interview for the study. Hence, for these groups, the sample is probably biased toward the more affluent and active members of such groups, and toward those who live close to urban and peri-urban centers. Questionnaire: The survey instrument was a questionnaire administered by myself (in English) or a research assistant (in English or vernacular). In addition, as mentioned above, mail questionnaires (English version) were sent to members of groups where membership lists were available. 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Periodicals Financial Mail (weekly newspaper: Lusaka) Zambia Daily Mail (daily newspaper: Lusaka) National Mirror (weekly newspaper: Lusaka) The Post (daily newspaper) Profit Magazine (Lusaka) Times of Zambia (daily newspaper: Lusaka) The Zambian Farmer (monthly magazine) ZA CC] Businessline (Lusaka) 348 Interviews Date 25 October 1996 25 October 1996 4 November 1996 12 November 1996 12 November 1996 15 November 1996 18 December 1996 19 December 1996 7 January 1997 9 January 1997 9 January 1997 10 January 1997 16 January 1997 30 January 1997 3 February 1997 13 February 1997 14 February 1997 13 March 1997 18 March 1997 21 March 1997 15 April 1997 15 April 1997 30 April 1997 16 June 1997 19 June 1997 19 June1997 20 June 1997 23 June 1997 24 June 1997 29 June 1997 30 June 1997 30 June 1997 21 July 1997 Name Mr. Mr. Mr. . Catherine Hill, (HIID) Advisor at Ministry of Finance . Mulenga, Dir. Organization and Foreign Relations, ZCTU . Thomas Beckett, M Farms, Choma, ZNFU . Wotela, Assistant Director, ZNFU . Mukela Mutukwa, Economist, Zambia Farmer Cooperative Theo Bull, Member of ZACCI Executive Board Moses Simemba, ZACCI Chief Economist; also 12/23/96 S. Mark O'Donnell, Chairman, ZAM . Lungu, Assistant Managing Director, ZCF . Bethel Nakaponda-Sakala, Development Services, ZCF . Geoffrey Shipolyonga, Assistant Developmnt Services, ZCF . C. Kajimanga, Former Legal Counsel for ZCF . Tom Kamwendo, Executive Board, KCCI; also 2/13/97 . Charles Muchimba, Dir. of Research, MUZ; also 4/14/97 . Alex Chirwa, General Secretary, ZCTU; also 4/14/97 . George Gray, Executive Director, ZNFU; also 3/26/97 . D.S. Nyambe, Deputy Labour Commissioner, MOLSS . Gideon Phiri, Executive Director, ZACCI; also 9/5/97 . J .B. Noonde, Deputy Executive Director, ZFE . Hang'andu, Legal Advisor, ZCTU; also 4/16/97 . Austin Muneko, Research Economist, ZCTU . Mike Purslow, Vice President, ZAM . Margaret, ZNUT . Bridget Chilala, Dep. Dir, Dept. Trade and Industry, MCTI Ms. Jane Haboongo, Dep. Dir. of Planning and Industry, MCTI Dr. Hantuba, Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Fisheries Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Chresta Kaluba, Perm. Sec., Policy Analysis, Cabinet Office Musepa, Donor Coordinator, MAF F Max Sichula, Director, Human Resources Development Kayeka, President, PFU Charles Zandala, President, NASSPF Jones Haachiinda, General Secretary, NASSPF Mrs. Judith Gonde, Secretary, Central Provincial Business 349 24 July 1997 24 July 1997 5 August 1997 12 August 1997 12 August 1997 29 August 1997 Meetings Attended Date Mr. Godfrey Mulubwa, Vice Chairman, Luapula PBA Mr. Frank Chola, Secretary, Luapula PBA Mr. Zyambo, National Coordinator, ZN FU Mr. Mutuna, Secretary, Law Association of Zambia Mr. Wakumelo. Movement for Multi-Party Democracy Ms. Esther Maane, ZCF Meeting September 1996 October 1996 7 February 1997 28 February 1997 16 April 1997 18 April 1997 24 April 1997 16 August 1997 Zambia Association of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ZACCI) Annual General Meeting, Pamodzi Hotel, Lusaka ZACCI Executive Board Meeting, Pamodzi Hotel, Lusaka (also November 1996, December 1996, 16 January 1997, 13 February 1997, 10 March 1997, 10 April 1997, 15 May 1997, 12 June 1997, 17 July 1997, 14 August 1997, 11 September 1997) ZACCI Dialogue Meeting with Ministers of Parliament, Pamodzi Hotel, Lusaka Tripartite Council Meeting, Mulungushi Conference Center, Lusaka Chongwe River Farmers' Association Board Meeting, Agriculture Commercial Society, Showgrounds, Lusaka Chingola Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Executive Board Meeting, RAOF Clubhouse, Chingola Copperbelt West Farmers' Association, Monthly Meeting, Border Farmers' Society, Kitwe Zambia National Farmers' Union (ZN FU) Annual General Meeting, Mulungushi Conference Center, Lusaka Zambia Association of Manufacturers (ZAM), Executive Board Meeting, Intercontinental Hotel, Lusaka 350 .- .