v5. Lflma .2. , 3.253.: L *- . 1.: 1 L... .5431. r. (a. .J- . e . . .7 .1. x) 931- ....rnéofx it. 4. 2:113...» I l 10.... 5...: v . l. 7...... . : .l a S 1 291.33; .. xii}. w ,.!.1 . .31 u) I. . :3. .4 5...!tsn .7.rsuwt «it. :. .1: . )\1txl.: Q: . .. .. x: : E 1:... Humane 3 9001 This is to certify that the dissertation entitled Essays on the Economics of Cotton Production in Zimbabwe: Policy Implications for Technology Adoption, Farmer Health and Market Liberalization presented by Blessing Mukabeta Maumbe has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D. degree in Agricultural Economics gag/W __Sco.t.t_M- Swinton Major professor Date May 31, 2001 MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution 0- 12771 LIBRARY Michigan State University PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 6/01 c:/CIRCIDateDue.p65-p.15 ESSAYS ON THE ECONOMICS OF COTTON PRODUCTION IN ZIMBABWE: POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION, FARMER HEALTH AND MARKET LIBERALIZATION Blessing Mukabeta Maumbe A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 2001 ABSTRACT ESSAYS ON THE ECONOMICS OF COTTON PRODUCTION IN ZIMBABWE: POLICY IMPLICATIONS FOR TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION, F ARMER HEALTH AND MARKET LIBERALIZATION By Blessing Mukabeta Maumbe Cotton is grown in more than 30 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries and is a vital source of employment, foreign exchange and raw material for textile industries. But cotton industries in Africa face several strategic threats. In Africa, and in particular in Zimbabwe, long-term viability of cotton production will depend on both sustainable technology and policy. A key part of technological sustainability is mitigation of pesticide-related farmer health risks. Integrated Pest Management (IPM) provides some tools to reduce pesticide risks, but why farmers do not adopt IPM in African cotton production is less understood. In the policy arena, both economic and military policy can affect agricultural production. Zimbabwe’s cotton sector has faced important policy shocks from Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPS) and the end of civil conflict in neighboring Mozambique. The first essay analyzes acute health effects associated with pesticide use in two cotton-producing zones of Zimbabwe. The initial cost of illness regression model shows that farmer’s reported acute symptoms are key determinants of farmer health costs. Poisson regression model results reveal that pesticide-induced acute symptoms are linked to the most toxic pesticides, use of leaking Sprayers, label illiteracy, alcohol intake, and taking meals in the fields after spraying. Exposure averting and mitigating strategies that significantly reduce the incidence of acute symptoms include protective clothing, knowledge of first aid and predisposition toward reform calendar-based spray strategies. The second essay examines determinants of cotton-IPM adoption in the same two zones. Results from a Poisson model shows that farmer’s knowledge is the most important factor influencing the uptake of IPM technology. Pesticide-related health risks played no significant role in the adoption of IPM technology. The third essay analyzes the determinants of Zimbabwe’s cotton supply since 1980. It finds that SAPS have a negative impact on cotton acreage for both the large-scale commercial and small-scale communal farmers. Results show that large-scale cotton growers respond strongly to economic incentives while institutional factors matter for smallholders. Cessation in 1992 of the conflict in Mozambique is associated with positive cotton supply response among Zimbabwe’s smallholders. Opportunities for cotton expansion lie with widespread diffusion of technical innovations and refinement of the on-going SAPS in order to generate positive supply response in future. Copyright by BLESSING MUKABETA MAUMBE 2001 DEDICATION To my wonderful parents, Enoch and Violet who have given me so much love, and I give that love in return to you. To the struggling smallholder cotton growers in the semi-arid regions of Africa, hoping that you reap a harvest of hope not sorrow. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I owe a profound debt of gratitude to many people who provided moral and intellectual support as l was working on this dissertation. 1 am especially grateful to my thesis advisor and chairman of my graduate committee, Professor Scott Swinton for his valuable support and guidance throughout the completion of this work. His brilliance and advice had and continue to have, a profound influence on my academic and professional development. I was blessed with energetic and enthusiastic graduate committee members; Professors Carl Eicher, Eric Crawford, Chris Petersen and Carl Liedholm. 1 would like to offer my sincere gratitude for their sterling assistance in the formulation and execution of this dissertation. My fellow graduate students in the Department of Agricultural Economics played a significant role in many different ways during the five years of my doctoral program at Michigan State University and deserve my salute. This work could not have been completed without mentioning the many people whose advice and wisdom helped shape this study. I am grateful to Dr. Derek Byerlee, Gerd Fleischer, Jaimie Cuzon, and Gershon Feder all of the World Bank. 1 am equally indebted to Professor George Norton of Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg for his help and insights in the conceptualization of my study. I wish to acknowledge the support of Takashi Yamano, and Margaret Beaver of the MSU Food Security II Project for assisting me with data file management and analysis. I am also grateful to Professor Ananthius Mphuru, the Dean of the College of Agriculture at Africa University in Zimbabwe, for his valuable support over the years and giving me the opportunity to go on study leave to accomplish this task. I also appreciate the help rendered by Dr. Robert Armstrong and Mrs. Florence Chokuda both members of vi Faculty at Africa University. Special thanks to Professor Mandivamba Rukuni and Godfrey Mudimu of the Department of Agricultural Economics at the University of Zimbabwe for their assistance and advise. This study benefited from the enthusiasm and energy of Richard Mupfiga, Monica Chiunda, Lemy Mutaviri, and Zvanakireni Chitiza who tirelessly worked with me as part of my research team from Africa University. Together we traveled hundreds of miles day and night, and we spent many hours in remote cotton fields and learned a lot from each other. Of course, my best teachers were the cotton growers in Sanyati and Chipinge, who volunteered their time and generously shared their cotton production experiences with us. Data entry benefited from the diligent work of Tracy Mapenzeuswa to whom I am equally grateful. My greatest debt of gratitude, as usual, is to my wife Kudzayi, and daughters Amanda, Wayne and Samantha. I really appreciate your patience, love and great support. To my parents Enock and Violet, and my eldest brother Michael, I thank you for laying the foundation to my education, and above all, for believing in me. Special thanks goes to the University United Methodist Church community for their moral and spiritual support during my stay in East Lansing. Finally, I am eternally grateful to the WK. Kellogg Foundation for funding my studies at Michigan State University, and to Rockefeller Foundation for providing the resources to complete the fieldwork in Zimbabwe. vii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables .......................................................................................... x List of Figures .................................................................................................................. xiii INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. l 1.1 The Importance of Cotton Production in Africa ........................................................... 1 1.2 Study Objectives and Thesis Organization .................................................................. 4 1.2.1 Farmer Health Risks in Smallholder Cotton Production in Africa ..................... 5 1.2.2 The Adoption of Integrated Pest Management (IPM) in Zimbabwe .................. 7 1.2.3 The Impact of Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPS) in African Agriculture ........................................................................................................... 9 References ......................................................................................................................... 11 CHAPTER 22ECONOMIC AND HEALTH IMPACTS OF PESTICIDE USE IN ZIMBABWE’S SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION ...................................... 15 2.0 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................... 15 2.1 Objectives of the Study ............................................................................................... 19 2.2 Methodology and Data ................................................................................................ 20 2.2.1 Theoretical Model ............................................................................................. 20 2.2.2 Data Sources and Sampling Strategies ............................................................. 23 2.2.3 Empirical Model: Estimation of the Health Cost of Pesticide Exposure .......... 25 2.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ................................................................................. 28 2.3.1 Farmer Health Cost of Pesticide Use: Cost of Illness Model Results ................ 29 2.3.2 Evidence of Health Impairments Among the Cotton Growers .......................... 30 2.3.2.1 Incidence of Skin Effects ....................................................................... 30 2.3.2.2 Incidence of Eye Effects ........................................................................ 33 2.3.3 Multiple Health Impairments: Total Symptom Incidence Model Results ......... 35 2.3.4 Poisson Protective Clothing Model Regression Results .................................... 37 2.4 Conclusions ................................................................................................................. 39 2.4.1 Policy Options and Knowledge Gaps ................................................................ 42 References ......................................................................................................................... 54 Appendices ........................................................................................................................ 61 Appendix 2A1: Langragian Function ............................................................................... 61 CHAPTER 3: ADOPTION OF COTTON I.P.M. IN ZIMBABWE: THE ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY AWARENESS AND PESTICIDE-RELATED HEALTH RISKS ...... 69 3.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 69 3.1 Problem Overview ...................................................................................................... 72 3.2 Study Objectives ......................................................................................................... 74 3.3 The Diffusion of IPM Technologies in Less Developed Countries (LDCs) .............. 75 3.4 Current Status of IPM Adoption in Less Developed Countries (LDCs) .................... 77 3.5 Defining Smallholder Cotton-1PM Adoption ............................................................. 79 3.6 Methodology and Data ................................................................................................ 80 3.6.1 Economic Behavioral Model ............................................................................. 80 viii 3.6.2 Data and Estimation ........................................................................................... 84 3.6.3 Empirical Model ................................................................................................ 86 3.7 Results and Discussion ............................................................................................... 87 3.7.1 Farmers’ Adoption Patterns and Pest Management Perspectives ...................... 87 3.7.2 Factors Affecting Cotton-IPM Adoption Among Smallholder Farmers ........... 88 3.8 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 90 3.8.1 Policy Implications and Suggestion for Future Research .................................. 90 References ......................................................................................................................... 94 Appendices ...................................................................................................................... 101 CHAPTER 4: COTTON SUPPLY RESPONSE TO MARKET LIBERALIZATION IN ZIMBABWE ................................................................................................................... 104 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 104 4.1.1 Overview of Cotton Production Challenges in Africa ..................................... 107 4.1.2 Contemporary Issues in Cotton Production in Zimbabwe ............................... 109 4.1.3 Adoption of Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPS) In Zimbabwe .............. 111 4.2 Methodology and Data .............................................................................................. 113 4.2.1 Theoretical Model for Cotton Supply Response .............................................. 113 4.2.2 Empirical Econometric Model ......................................................................... 120 4.2.3. Data Considerations ........................................................................................ 121 4.3.1 Large Scale Commercial Cotton Supply Response Results ............................ 122 4.3.2 Smallholder Cotton Supply Response Results ................................................. 125 4.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................ 127 References ........................................................................................... 1 34 Appendices ...................................................................................................................... 1 50 CHAPTER 5: SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION ........................................................ 157 APENDICES: QUESTIONNAIRES .............................................................................. 164 APPENDIX A1: Household Questionnaire .................................................... 164 APPENDIX A2: Household Member Health Questionnaire ................................. 185 APPENDIX A3: Field Level Questionnaire ................................................... 194 ix LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1: Descriptive statistics for Sanyati and Chipinge districts, 1998/99 .................. 44 Table 2.2: Cost of Illness Model Results for Sanyati and Chipinge Districts, 1998/99. .. 45 Table 2. 3: Poisson Model Results for Self-reported Acute Skin Symptom Incidences. .46 Table 2. 4: Poisson Model Results for Self-reported Acute Eye Symptom Incidences. .. 47 Table 2. 5: Poisson Results for Self-reported Total Acute Symptom Incidences, 1998/99 ........................................................................................................................................... 48 Table 2.6: Poisson Protective Clothing Adoption Model Results, 1998/99 ..................... 49 Table 2.7: Probit Results for Eating in Cotton Fields in Survey Districts, 1998/99 ......... 50 Table 2.8: Probit Results for Leaking Sprayers in Survey Districts, 1998/99 .................. 51 Table 2. 9: Probit Results for First Aid Knowledge in Survey Districts, 1998/99 ........... 52 Table A1.1: Pesticide-related Health Symptoms for Cotton Growers, 1998/99 .............. 62 Table A1.2: Pesticide-related Farmer Health Characteristics in Study Regions, 1998/99 63 Table A1.3: Distribution of Pesticide Storage Strategies in Study Regions, 1998/99 ...... 64 Table A1.4: Label Literacy Among Cotton Growers in Survey Areas, 1998/99 ............. 65 Table A1 .5: Knowledge of Triangles in Correct Order of Toxicity, 1998/99 .................. 65 Table A1.6: Pesticide Use and Toxicity Classes by Farmers in Survey Areas, 1998/99 . 65 Table A1 .7: Cotton Pesticides Used in Sanyati and Chipinge Districts, 1998/99 ............ 66 Table A1.8: Spaying Equipment Distribution in Cotton Growing Regions, 1998/99 ...... 67 Table A1 .9: Average Cotton Pesticide Applications By Region, 1998/99 ....................... 67 Table A1.10: Pesticide-related Treatment Patterns in Survey Areas, 1998/99 ................. 67 Table A1.11: Types of Protective Clothing Worn By Pesticide Applicators, 1998/99. 68 Table A. 12: Mean Health Costs AS a Proportion of Household Income and Costs ......... 68 Table 3.1:Descriptive Statistics on Variables Used in Poisson Regression Model .......... 92 Table 3.2: Determinants of Cotton IPM Practice Adoption in Sanyati District, 1998/99 93 Table A3.1: Cotton IPM Practice Probit Model Results for Sanyati District, 1998/99.. 101 Table A3.2: Cotton IPM Practice Probit Model Results for Chipinge District, 1998/99102 Table A3.3: List of Cotton IPM-related Practices Used in Survey Areas, 1989/99 ....... 103 Table 4.1 Description of Variables Used in Zimbabwe’s Cotton Supple Response Models, 1980-1997 ......................................................................................................... 131 Table 4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Acreage Response Model Results, 1980-1997 ................ 132 Table A4.1: Results of Diagnostic Tests on the Cotton Acreage Response Models ...... 145 xi Table A4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Yield Response Model Results, 1980-1997 .................. 146 Table A4.3 Agricultural Policy Changes in Zimbabwe, 1980- 2000 ............................. 147 Table A4.4: Zimbabwe Data for Cotton Supply Response Analysis, 1980-1997 .......... 148 Table A4.5: Zimbabwe Data for Cotton Supply Response Analysis Continued, 1980-1997 ......................................................................................................................................... 148 Table A4.6 Dickey Fuller (DF) Unit Root Test (constant without trend) ...................... 149 Table A4.7: Zimbabwe Average Annual Growth Rates of Official Prices, 1980-1995 . 149 xii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1: Structure of Econometric Analysis ................................................................. 53 Figure 4.1: Zimbabwe Trends in Cotton Area Cultivated, 1980-2000 ........................... 133 Figure A4.1: Structure of the Cotton Industry in Zimbabwe .......................................... 150 Figure A 4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Yield Trends, 1980-1999 ............................................ 151 Figure A4.3: Zimbabwe Seed Cotton Production Trends, 1980-199 ............................. 151 Figure A4.4: Zimbabwe Trends in Relative Real Agricultural Producer Prices, 1980-1996 ......................................................................................................................................... 152 Figure A4.5: Zimbabwe Nominal Crop Producer Prices, 1980-1998 ............................ 152 Figure A4.6: Zimbabwe Real Crop Producer Prices, 1980-1998 ................................... 153 Figure A4.7: Comparison of Local and World Cotton Prices, 1980-1997 ..................... 153 Figure A4.8: Zimbabwe Macroeconomic Trends, 1980-1998 ........................................ 154 Figure A4.9: Zimbabwe Cotton Producer Price Trends, 1980-1997 .............................. 154 Figure A4.10: Zimbabwe Maize Producer Price Trends, 1980-1998 ............................. 155 Figure A4.1 1: Zimbabwe Minimum Wage Trends, 1980-1999 ..................................... 155 Figure A4.12: Zimbabwe Inflation Rate Trends, 1980-2000 ......................................... 156 xiii Figure A4.13: Zimbabwe Real Interest Rate (nominal-inflation) 1980-1997 156 xiv CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 The Importance of Cotton Production in Africa Cotton iS grown in more than 30 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries (Lele, 1989). Although SSA countries differ greatly in their geographic and physical conditions, political disposition, weather patterns and cultural heritage, they do Share some common patterns in their economic structures. In most if not all the African countries, agriculture is the dominant sector crucial to the well being of the economy. Over the past century, African agriculture has not grown fast enough to realize its potential as the engine for economic growth and poverty reduction (Binswanger, and Townsend, 2000). Nonetheless, cotton the “white gold” is one of Africa’s most successful agricultural export stories (Bingen et a1. 1998). The annual market value of African lint exports is about USS] billion (Lele, 1989). Given that about 50% of Sub-Saharan Africans live below the poverty line, efforts to accelerate cotton production will offer tremendous opportunities for reducing the problem of rural poverty (World Bank, 1996). In Zimbabwe, cotton was introduced as a commercial crop in the early 19th century and Since 1980, its cultivation has expanded rapidly among the smallholders (Blackie, 1983). Zimbabwe ranks among the top five cotton producing countries in Africa (J owa, 1996). Cotton is the most important cash crop to Zimbabwe’s smallholdersl and it ranks second after tobacco in terms of national foreign exchange earnings. More than half a million Zimbabweans depend on cotton for their livelihood. Cotton is also a major ' In Zimbabwe, three primary sub-sectors fall under the smallholder sector; these are Communal Area (CA), Small Scale Commercial Sector (SSCS) and the Resettlement Areas (RA). source of cooking oil and animal feed (Mariga, 1994). Nonetheless, cotton production in Zimbabwe has reached a turning point. Prior to independence in 1980, smallholders contributed an insignificant amount of cotton output. But at independence, the GOZ adopted a deliberate policy to stimulate smallholder agriculture and these efforts paid off. Between 1980 and 1985, Zimbabwe experienced a major cotton revolution as smallholder cotton area increased from 15,000 ha to 130,000ha. Smallholders’ Share of national output rose from 8% to 40% over the same period. Favorable agricultural policy that led to a major increase in support services such as extension, credit and research being directed to serve smallholders helped stimulate smallholder cotton production (Rukuni, 1993). That cotton is a drought tolerant crop might have aided its widespread expansion in semi-arid regions of Zimbabwe as well (Mariga, 1994). However, the smallholder cotton revolution is under serious threat from risky pesticide use (Gillham, 1993; .Iowa, 1996). Part of the reason is that the most toxic chemicals are among the cheapest. Also, pesticide use in Zimbabwe has been Shown to be price inelastic (Sukume, 1999). Cotton is exposed to the depredations of various insect Species and to achieve acceptable yields Zimbabwe’s smallholders have placed heavy reliance on chemical control of pests. Calendar-based Spray strategies traditionally used for controlling cotton pests have been blamed for the emerging problems of pest resistance and the outbreak of secondary pests like the red Spider mite (Meerman, 1991). More importantly, pesticide-related farmer health risks aggravate the problems of chemical dependent pest management strategies being used in Zimbabwe’s agriculture (Loewenson and Nhachi, 1996). The challenge is to provide alternative effective pest control with less use of toxic pesticides. In addition to farm level constraints, economic reforms present new challenges for cotton growth in Zimbabwe. Like many other African countries, Zimbabwe adopted International Monetary Fund (IMF )/World Bank inspired Structural Adjustment Programs2 (SAPS) in the 19903 following a major slow down in economic growth, lack of investment and operating losses of marketing boards. The common elements of the adjustment packages are reduction of trade barriers, elimination of subsidies and price controls, privatization of state owned firms, and realignment of foreign exchange regimes (Ajayi, 1994, UNRISD, 1994). A critical question is whether these reforms have delivered the expected agricultural growth pay-off. Several studies have observed that reform effects in Africa are mixed, and non-adjusting countries face sluggish markets, weak institutions and continued economic stagnation and decline (World Bank,1994 and 2001). Nonetheless, initial evidence from Zimbabwe’s experience with SAPS provides important lessons for other countries going through the same cycle of reforms. There is relatively limited research on the evaluation of SAPS effect on agricultural supply response of large versus smallholder farmer groups in Africa. A significant threat to post-independence agricultural production growth in Zimbabwe has been the civil war in Mozambique. Zimbabwe’s economy suffered during the civil war in Mozambique that spilled over into southeast border areas. Transport costs from land locked Zimbabwe to seaports escalated during this period, while the local 2Stabilization (or macroeconomic adjustment) refers to a standard set of policies designed to manage balance of payment, inflation and the government budget deficit through elimination of subsidies, wage freeze, and restricted growth in government expenditure. Adjustment (or structural transformation) policies people were displaced from their farms. Lost economic opportunities from armed conflicts and civil strife have not been seriously studied yet they fall disproportionately on the rural poor. Also, the recurrent drought at a rate of one in every five years has reversed gains in predominantly rain-fed smallholder agriculture. Understanding farm- level constraints, the impact of the policy setting especially SAPS, and the effects of the end of the war in neighboring Mozambique in engendering cotton supply response in Zimbabwe is a key focus area of our study. 1.2 Study Objectives and Thesis Organization In view .of the importance of agricultural sector for economic growth in SSA, governments need to determine policies best suited to stimulate agricultural production (Bond 1983). Crafting such policies requires a good understanding of the major barriers to cotton production in Africa that include pest infestation, farmer health risks and misguided policies that marginalize agriculture (Gilham, 1993, Kiss and Meerman, 1991; World Bank, 1995). These key threats to sustainable cotton production in Africa are discussed in three interrelated essays whose main objectives are to: 0 Evaluate the pesticide-induced health risks associated with conventional pesticide application in cotton production in Zimbabwe. 0 Determine the factors affecting IPM use among Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton farmers. 0 Estimate supply response models for both large-scale commercial (LSC) and smallholder cotton growers. focus on removing restriction on and interference with the market. Adjustment policies have stabilization consequences and vice versa (Davies et al., 1988). 0 Suggest policy guidelines for the future growth in Zimbabwe’s cotton production. Data to address the first two objectives of this study was collected from smallholders in Sanyati and Chipinge, two leading cotton regions in Zimbabwe. Sanyati is situated in the Middleveld and is a traditional cotton region being among the first in Zimbabwe where Farmer Field School (FF S) —based cotton Integrated Pest and Production Management (IPPM) extension efforts were introduced in 1996. Most of the district is located in natural region III suitable for semi-intensive cultivation and the mean annual rainfall is 650-800 mm. The Cotton Research Institute (CRI) conducts research trials in the rural areas and is located in Kadoma less than an hour’s drive from Sanyati. Chipinge district is a relatively new frontier cotton zone. It is situated in Manicaland Province (Lowveld) and it falls under natural region IV suitable for semi-extensive to extensive farming with a mean annual rainfall range of 450-650mm (Central Statistical Office, 1989). Time series data used to address the third objective were obtained from the Ministry of Agriculture and Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) publications. 1.2.1 Farmer Health Risks in Smallholder Cotton Production in Africa Farmers in Afiica face a severe health threat from toxic chemicals currently used in cotton production (Loewenson, R and C.F.B. Nhachi, 1996). Of concern is the fact that local constituencies for the protection of public health are much less influential than in developed countries (Kiss and Meerman, 1991). An estimated 11 million cases of pesticide intoxications are reported to occur annually in Africa although the true extent of the problem might be underestimated due to poor data compilation and misdiagnosis of some of the cases (Jeyaratnam, 1990). Consensus is rapidly growing that health issues in Africa constitute a massive threat to development and have the potential to reverse gains made in agricultural growth (Binswanger and Townsend, 2000;World Bank, 2001). In the past, the health of poor farmers has been trivialized and rarely addressed seriously in many developing countries (Rengam, 1999). Previous effort to put economic gain ahead of farmer health does not make economic sense in the long run. Nonetheless, the health status of the cotton growers is a key ingredient to ensure the attainment of sustainable agriculture. Thus an analysis that identifies the sources of pesticide-related acute health risks and their extent and severity is beneficial to both farmers and policy makers. The first essay, in Chapter 2 analyzes the health risks of pesticide use in Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton production. The essay uses cost of illness models and Poisson regression analysis to identify factors causing acute health costs and symptom incidences among smallholder cotton growers. Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton growers are ofien exposed to highly toxic chemicals when they mix, load and Spray pesticides. Seminal work on farmer health and agricultural production was conducted in the Philippines and Ecuador (Antle and Pingali, 1994; Pingali et al., 1994, Crissman et al., 1994). In Africa, the empirical evidence in support of the link between pesticide use and farmer health is still patchy (Loewenson, R and C.F.B. Nhachi, 1996). The relatively low level of education and literacy rates in SSA makes the overall risks of pesticides exposure worrisome (Kiss and Meerman, 1991). The experience of Zimbabwe cotton growers in transition from calendar-based chemical control of pests to IPM use provides important lessons for SSA countries undergoing Similar transformation. The study uses primary data from Chipinge and Sanyati districts in Zimbabwe. The data covered pesticide use patterns and farmer behavioral practices that contribute to health risks. Since pesticides pose human health risks, to do nothing and let the problem deteriorate into an epidemic that might induce a major exodus from cotton production would be naive for policy makers and catastrophic for the cotton industry in Africa. 1.2.2 The Adoption of Integrated Pest Management (IPM) in Zimbabwe Although IPM adoption is assumed to result in improved crop productivity, the circumstances surrounding its adoption in Africa are still unclear and require careful analysis. Elsewhere, the financial and health benefits of IPM use including its role in improving the long run sustainability of agricultural systems has been demonstrated (Norton and Mullen, 1994). Despite the fact that IPM could raise cotton yields Significantly, very few farmers in Zimbabwe have adopted cotton IPM as most still rely on calendar-based spraying techniques. Inefficient pesticide use based on prophylactic Spray strategies without regard to need increases pest resistance and thus limit the efficacy of most pesticides (Eisa, et al., 1993). Consequently, a wider range of pesticides in increasing amounts and strengths must be used to achieve the same level of plant protection. Further, some cotton pesticides destroy natural pest predators creating a “pesticide treadmill” which results in a steady increase in the cost of pest control and health hazards (Lipton and de Kadt, 1988). To resolve this crisis, current pest control strategies that rely on repeated applications of conventional broad-spectrum pesticides need to be modified. Therefore, Zimbabwe’s cotton growers should move away from reliance on pesticides and encouraged to use IPM technology. A fundamental decision confronting cotton growers is the need to adopt effective and affordable pest management strategies yet the motivational factors are not well understood. To articulate these issues, Chapter 3 analyzes the factors affecting the adoption of IPM in smallholder cotton production in Zimbabwe. Specifically, the study examines IPM-related practices used to control both cotton pests and disease under smallholder conditions. IPM use is operationally defined as a count of IPM related practices used in cotton pest management. This study is based on primary survey data collected in fall 1999 in Sanyati and Chipinge district. As in most cotton growing areas, insect pests are a major problem. The present study on Zimbabwe is among the first in Africa to use Poisson regression as previous studies have either used bivariate statistical analysis and ordinary least squares (OLS) thus leading to statistically undesirable results (Ramirezi and Shultz, 2000). Although IPM is a relatively new phenomenon in much of Africa, it represents an alternative way to stabilize yields, and reduce both pesticide use and readily avoidable health impacts. The magnitude of insect3 damage under prophylactic spray techniques has been estimated to reduce cotton yields by up to 60% (Jowa, 1996). AS a result, insect pest infestation has induced Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton yields to decline from 800kg/ha to 600kg/ha over the past two decades (Jowa, 1996). Knowledge generated by this study provides a basis for the diffusion of IPM among smallholders in Zimbabwe. The question about IPM use is not whether, but when and how the technology could be extended to all cotton growers at risk from exposure to toxic pesticides every year. A key issue though is that successfiil adoption of IPM requires a policy environment committed to its implementation (World Bank, 1997). 3 The most damaging insect pests implicated in the cotton yield losses in Zimbabwe are the aphids (aphis), red spider mite (tetranychus), red bollwonn (diparopsis), heliothis bollwonn (helicorvepa), spiny bollwonn (earias), whitefly flJemisia and trialeurodes) and the stainers (dysdercus), while verticillium wilt and 1.2.3 The Impact of Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPS) in African Agriculture More than any other factor, SAPS in Africa have generally been undertaken as a response to fiscal crisis and declining agricultural growth. Since 1980, more than 30 African countries have implemented agricultural policy reforms as part of SAPS (Ajayi, 1994). Many advocates of these reforms have argued that SAPS will result in agriculture- led economic growth in Africa. The central question is have SAPS enhanced or undermined cotton growth in Africa? However, reform packages implemented in Africa, although they vary in content and sequence, provide a degree of considerably uncertainty and results have been mixed. The majority of the adjustment experiences considered “successful” is small in number relative to the total group of countries undergoing reforms (United Nations Research Institute for Social Development, 1994). There is an emerging consensus that future success requires closer attention to the impact of SAPS on agricultural production especially given that more than 70% of the 650 million Africans derive their livelihoods from agriculture (Economic Commission for Africa, 1991; World Bank, 1994). In Zimbabwe, it is not well established whether SAPS impedes or enhance cotton production, the second major export crop. The contribution of macroeconomic factors has not been clearly studied either. Understanding the effect of SAPS in agricultural supply response would make an important difference to the design of structural adjustment packages (Rodrik, 1990). Further, objective analysis of SAP impacts on agricultural supply response will help us decide whether the pessimism (or optimism in some instances) associated with early generation of the policy reforms is legitimate (Bond, bacterial blight are among the common diseases (Gillham,1993; Kiss and Meerman, 1991; Zimbabwe Cotton Handbook, 1998). 1983). So far, there is no firm knowledge about the social impact of SAPS despite the fact that the issue has attracted a lot of attention since the mid-19803 (Azam, 1994). In the third essay in Chapter 4, we contribute to this debate and analyze cotton supply response to SAPS, macroeconomic policies and exogenous shocks such as drought, and the return to peace in Mozambique. To articulate these issues, the analysis uses aggregate time series data from Zimbabwe focusing on the post-independence period, 1980 to 1996. The generally held view is that SAPS result in a positive impact on cotton production but the empirical evidence to refute or support such claims is scant. Also uninvestigated is the role of regional peace in engendering agricultural supply response. In this respect, we hypothesize that both peace in Mozambique and the reforms enhance cotton acreage expansion among the smallholders and LSC cotton growers. The essay uses autoregressive models to estimate acreage and yield response to macroeconomic policy changes. The main advantage of analyzing large and smallholder farmers separately is to capture equity implications emanating from SAPS and the fact that the growers respond differently to price changes. The conclusions from the three essays, including lessons for other African countries and opportunities for further research are summarized in Chapter 5. 10 References Antle, J .M., and PL. Pingali. “Pesticides, Productivity, and Farmer Health: A Philippine Case Study.”American Journal of A gricultural Economics. 762(418-430), 1994. Azam, J. “The Uncertain Distributional Impact of Structural Adjustment in Sub-Saharan Africa.”Structural Adjustment and Beyond in Sub-Saharan A flica: Research and Policy Issues. pplOO-l 13. Rolph Van Der Hoeven and Fred Van Der Kraaij, James Currey, eds. London, United Kingdom, 1994. Bingen, J. “Cotton Democracy and Development in Mali.” The Journal of Modern African Studies. 36: (265-85), 1998. Binswanger, HP. and RF. Townsend. “The Growth Performance of Agriculture in Sub- Saharan Africa.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 82:(1075-1086), 2000. Blackie, M.J. Case Study, The Zimbabwe Cotton Marketing Board, Department of Land Management, Working Paper, 2/ 83, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe, 1983. Bond, M.E. “Agricultural Responses to Prices in Sub-Saharan African Countries.” IMF Staff Papers. pp703-726, Washington DC. 1983. Central Statistical Office. Statistical Year Book. Government Printers, Harare, Zimbabwe, 1989. Crissman, C.C., D.C.Cole, and F. Carpio. “Pesticide Use and Farm Worker Health in Ecuadorian Potato Production.” American Journal of A gricultural Economics. 762(593-597), 1994. Economic Commission for Africa, A fi‘ican Alternative Framework to Structural Adjustment Programs for Socio-Economic Recovery and Transformation: A Popular Version. UNECA Addis Ababa, 1991. Eisa, H.M., S. Barghouti, F.Gillham, and MT. Al-Saffy. Cotton Production Prospects for the Decade to 2005: A Global Overview. World Bank Technical Paper Number 231, Washington DC. 1994. 11 Gilham, F.E.M. Case Study Report on Cotton Research and Development Work in South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda and Zimbabwe, International Cotton Advisory Committee, 1993. Jeyaratnam, J. “Acute Pesticide Poisoning: A Major Global Health Problem.” World Health Statistics Quarterly. 43:3(139-144), 1990. J owa, P. “IPM on Cotton in Zimbabwe.” IPM Implementation Workshop of the East, Central and Southern Africa. Harare, Zimbabwe, 1996. Kiss, A and F. Meerrnan. Integrated Pest Management and African Agriculture. World Bank Technical Paper Number 142. African Technical Paper Department Series. Washington D.C.1993. Lipton, M., and E. de Kadt. Agriculture-Health Linkages.WHO Offset Publication, No.104, Geneva, 1988. Mariga, I. K. “Cotton Research and Development, 1920-1990.” Zimbabwe ’s Agricultural Revolution. pp 219-233. Mandivamba Rukuni and Carl K. Eicher, eds. University of Zimbabwe Publications, Harare, 1994. ' Meerman, F. “Pesticide Management in Cotton in Zimbabwe”, Integrated Pest Management and African Agriculture, World Bank Technical Paper Number 142, Washington D.C.1991. Loewenson, R and C.F.B. Nhachi. “Epidemiology of the Health Impact of Pesticide Use in Zimbabwe.”Pesticides in Zimbabwe: Toxicity and Health Implications. pp25- 35. Charles F.B. Nhachi and Ossy M.J.Kasilo, eds. University of Zimbabwe Publications, Harare, Zimbabwe, 1996. Lele, U. Cotton in Africa: An Analysis of Diflerences in Performance, Managing Agricultural Development in Africa. Madia Discussion Paper No.7, World Bank, Washington DC. 1989. Pingali, P.L., C.B.Marquez, and F.G.Palis. “Pesticides and Philippine Rice Farmer 12 Health: A Medical and Economic Analysis.” American Journal of A gricultural Economics. 76:(587-592), 1994. Ramirezi, O.A., and SD. Shultz. “Poisson Count Data Models to Explain the Adoption of Agricultural and Natural Resource Management Technologies by Small Farmers in Central American Countries.” Journal of A gricultural and Applied Economics. 32:1(21-33), 2000. Rengam, S.V. “The Struggle Against Pesticides.” Women and IPM: Crop Protection Practices and Strategies. Royal Tropical Institute/Intermediate Technology Publications, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1999. Rodrik, D. “How Should Structural Adjustment Programs be Designed?” World Development. 18:7(933-947), 1990. Rukuni M and CK Eicher. “Zimbabwe’s Agricultural Revolution: Lessons for Southern Africa.” Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Stafl Paper No. 93-1, 1993. Sukume, C. “Economics of Pesticide Use in Zimbabwe Agriculture.” Pesticide Policies in Zimbabwe: Status and Implications for Change. Publication Series Special Issue No.1. Godfrey D. Mudimu, Hermann Waibel and Gerd Flesicher, editors. Pesticide Policy Project, Hannover University, 1999. United Nations Research Institute for Social Development. Structural Adjustment in a Changing World. Geneva, Switzerland, 1994. World Bank. Adjustment in Afiica: Reforms, Results, and the Road Ahead. A World Bank Policy Research Report, Washington DC, USA, 1994. World Bank. Cotton Production Prospects for the Next Decade.World Bank Technical Paper Number 287, Washington DC. 1995. World Bank. Taking Action For Poverty Reduction in Sub-Saharan Africa: Report of an Africa Region Task F orce. Report Number 15575-AFR, Washington DC. 1996. 13 World Bank. Integrated Pest Management: Strategies and Policies for Effective Implementation. Environmentally Sustainable Development Studies and Monographs Series No.13. Washington D.C.1997. World Bank. World Development Report: Attacking Poverty. Oxford University Press, Washington DC. 2001. Zimbabwe Commercial Cotton Growers Association. Zimbabwe Cotton Handbook. Harare, 1998. I4 CHAPTER 2 ECONOMIC AND HEALTH IMPACTS OF PESTICIDE USE IN ZIMBABWE’S SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION 2.0 INTRODUCTION The health hazards of using pesticides4 are now globally acknowledged (Burrows, 1983; Fernandez-Comejo, 1994; Jowa, 1995; van Emden and Peakall, 1996; World Wildlife Fund (WWF), 1998). This recognition has led to social decisions to restrict the use of certain pesticides and forced renewed efforts to promote alternative crop protection methods (Pincus et al., 1999; Sheets and Pimentel, 1979; WHO, 1990). Recently in Southern Africa, attention has been focused on the uptake of alternative approaches like Farmer Field School (FF S)-based Integrated Pest Management (IPM)5 although its implications for farmer’s health remains to be seen. There are few studies that focus on health risks in agricultural production and yet in Africa, the human health problem is growing (World Bank, 2000; Hurley et al., 2000; Sunding and Zivin, 2000). Farmer health issues can no longer be downplayed while Simply worrying about them will not solve the problem, much less understand it. Both economic research and studies conducted in the medical field corroborate that occupational health problems of the agricultural industry as whole have received scant attention (Watterson, 1988; Smith et al., 2000). However, there are good reasons to 4Pesticides is any substance or mixture of substances intended for preventing, destroying, repelling, or mitigating any pest and it includes insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, rodenticides etc. (EPA, 1999). 5 IPM emphasizes natural pest control, host plant resistance, and using chemicals as a last resort. Unlike conventional control, pesticides recommended under IPM approaches target specific pests, are applied at lower rates and are less toxic to beneficial organisms. Therefore, 1PM is considered a sustainable pest management practices that confers both health benefits and environmental safety. expect improved health to result in improved functionality and productivity (Strauss et al., 1998). Using Philippines farm-level data Pingali and his collaborators conclude that pesticide use has a negative effect on farmer health, while farmer health has a positive effect on productivity (Antle and Pingali,l994; Rola and Pingali, 1993). Recent attempts to measure health costs of pesticide use have been made in Ecuador and the United States (Antle et al., 1998; Crissman et al., 1994; Sunding and Zivin, 2000). But the evidence from Africa is thin. Some key questions remain unanswered: What are the main sources of health risks in smallholder agriculture in Africa? Do these risks threaten farmer livelihoods or the sustainability of cotton production in Africa? Are farmers fully aware of the health risks? What intervention strategies are required to minimize the risks? Many now believe that reduction of pesticides use should be the primary goal of IPM (Burrows, 1983; Pesticide Policy Project, 1999; Czapar et al., 1995; Jorge Fernandez-Comejo, 1996; Ajayi, 1999). Nonetheless, the question whether cotton IPM confers any health benefits to smallholder pesticide users has not been systematically explored. Nhachi and Loewenson (1996) looked narrowly at occupational health problems among commercial farm workers in Zimbabwe. No study has looked Specifically at the health effects under smallholder farming context. In Africa, less work has been done to understand the important sources of occupational health risks for farmers. In West Africa, a survey on pesticide-related occupational health effects found that the social cost of acute poisoning in cotton is substantial (Ajayi, 1999; Fleischer, et al., 1998). However comprehensive analysis of the individual-Specific acute effects is lacking in several countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. 16 The human health threat appears particularly evident in LDCS where environmental laws tend to be lax and farmers lack sufficient information about the products they apply (WHO, 1990; Chitemerere, 1996; Mbanga, 1996; Tjomhom et al., 1997; The Pesticide Trust (TPT), 1993). The risk of exposure iS worsened by the farmer’s inability to afford protective equipment and also the general lack of health insurance markets in most LDCS (Antle et al., 1994;World Bank, 2000). Although the problem is acknowledged, the extent of the health problems among farm workers in Africa remains unclear. Only a few African countries monitor health effects or keep statistics and information about pesticide poisonings (World Bank 1996; Rother and London, 1998). As a result, pesticide poisonings are grossly under-reported and under-notification is still a serious problem on the continent. Cotton is vulnerable to a wide range of diverse insect pests6 the control of which makes it one of the leading users of chemical pesticides. Although in general Africa uses relatively less pesticides than Asia and Latin America, pesticides are widely used in African cotton production. Most smallholders rely on pesticides as one of the efficient and effective ways to manage the diverse number of cotton insect pests. Such chemical crop protection strategies have been sustained by vertically integrated production systems and contract farming (Fleischer, 1999; World Bank, 1996). Prolonged exposure to pesticides has been associated with several chronic and acute health illnesses like non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, leukemia, cardio-pulmonary disorders, neurological and hematological symptoms, and adverse Skin effects. Some older 6 The cotton pests of economic significance in Zimbabwe are cotton bollwonn, aphids, jassids, stainers, whitefly, and diseases such as wilt and bacterial blight. Pest-related yield losses in Africa have been estimated to range between 40 and 65 percent (Iowa, 1996; Zethner, 1995). pesticides have been reported as causing parkinsonism, asthma, cancer, tumors, miscarriages, birth defects, still births, male sterility, genetic mutations and behavioral changes (Watterson, 1988; Moses, I992; Femandez-Cornejo, 1997; Yudelman, 1998; Cuyno, 1999). Impaired vigilance, reduced concentration, memory deficit, linguistic disturbances, allergies, hypertension, depression and repeated irritability are some of the frequently reported clusters of symptoms linked to pesticides exposure (TFECHLD, 1988). Chronic effects are particularly alarming in the light of new studies linking immune system suppression to some pesticides (Rengam, 1999; EPA, 2000). When farmers take the health risks into consideration, the risk-reducing role of pesticides becomes less important than previously assumed. An increasing body of evidence suggests that the benefits of pesticides are obtained at a substantial cost to the society (Antle and Pingali, 1994; Antle et al., 1998; Cole et al., 1998; Pingali et al., 1995; Crissman and Cole, 1994; Pincus et al., 1999; Nhachi and Loewenson 1996; Watts, 1993; WWF, 1998; Czapar et al., 1998; WHO, 1990). The principal insight from these studies is the negative impact of pesticides on the health of farmers and farm workers, particularly in LDCS. Global acute poisoning figures are quite alarming as the negative trends are fueled by the widespread use of more relatively toxic organophosphates and carbarnates (Antle and Capalbo, 1994;WHO, 1990). Nonetheless, IPM was developed in the 1950s as a response to the negative side effects of using pesticides, but has not been in use in many Afiican countries until only recently (Maumbe and Swinton, 2000). IPM use in LDCS can be enhanced by the development of institutions that Simplify choices by making it more attractive and accessible to farmers (Zilberrnan and Castilo, 1994; van Emden and 18 Peakall, 1996). Little empirical evidence is actually available about the health benefits of IPM use (Antle and Capalbo, 1994). Africa cannot afford to be left behind as the world shifts from broad-spectrum pesticides to IPM and highly selective, rapidly degradable, and environmentally safe products (Fomey, 1999; Cartwright, et al., 1993; TPT, 1993; Jowa, 1995). Distorted policies that subsidize pesticide use worsen health hazards experienced in most African countries (Zethner, 1995; Fleischer, 1999). At the same time, poor access to health services and a medical profession who lacks the ability to recognize pesticide-related morbidity raises further concerns (TPT, 1993). Such policy shortcomings, information gaps and institutional rigidities create a bias towards pesticide-dependent paths of technological development (Pincus et al., 1999). The potential health risks from pesticide exposure vary with the pesticide products, quantities, and application methods used. Since pesticides are not widely applied in Africa, their health effects have eluded attention. But pesticides are heavily applied to cotton, and their effects on humans deserve attention. This study examines the degree and determinants of acute pesticide health symptoms among Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton growers. The results are specific to Zimbabwe, but the analysis provides useful lessons for cotton growers in other African countries. 2.1 Objectives of the Study The central focus of this paper is to analyze the pesticide-related health risks among smallholder cotton farmers in Zimbabwe. The study examines the extent of pesticide—induced acute health risks among cotton growers in two cotton-growing regions of Zimbabwe. The specific objectives the study addresses are to: D Describe pesticide-induced farmer health impairments and pest management practices, [3 Estimate a health cost function for smallholder cotton growers, D Identify the determinants of incidences of acute farmer health risks, D Determine pesticide-related farmer behavior that mitigates or averts the observed illnesses and, Cl Propose policies that help reduce pesticide-related health risks. We hypothesize that due to the problem of thermal discomfort in tropical agriculture, ownership of protective clothing does not lower farmer’s health risks as available protective clothing are not worn. In terms of the impact of pesticide-related behavior, we hypothesize that contact with extension workers is negatively correlated with smallholder cotton farmer’s health risks. Finally, we hypothesize that FF S-IPM graduates experience lower pesticide-induced health risks than non-IPM farmers, assuming that growers who are aware of IPM apply less pesticides which in turn lowers health risks. 2.2 Methodology and Data 2.2.1 Theoretical Model In order to understand the benefits and costs pesticides impose on society, we need to assess social costs and benefits as well as the private ones. The social costs of pesticides include pesticide residue monitoring, exposure to pesticide drift, and contact with freshly sprayed foliage by non-applicators, health care facilities and clean up programs. Due to limited information and methodological flaws, the costs of extemalities caused by pesticides and the implied mitigation costs have not been adequately accounted 20 for, resulting in a tendency to over-estimate net benefits of pesticides use (Pincus et al., 1999). Over-estimation of pesticide net benefits has led to benefit assessment of pesticides based on social welfare theory (Waibel, 1999). This requires placing a value on the adverse health effects associated with pesticide use (Cropper, 1994). Including health in farmer’s utility function tends to reduce demand for harmful divisible production inputs (Swinton, 1998). Consider first a single farm household, with one adult member, the farmer who aims to maximize profit with respect to pesticide use. For simplicity, we assume perfect information regarding positive and negative extemalities of pesticide use. The farmer derives utility from his or her level of health H, and consumption goods G obtained from marketed cash crop output Y, such that: (1) U=U(H,Y, G) We assume that the utility function is concave and increasing in consumption goods G, marketed output Y and health status H. The level of health of the pesticide applicator is represented by a health function (Cole et al., 1998, Strauss et al., 1998, Pitt et al.,1986 and Hurley et al., 2000): (2) H=f((X" . E(X”,A). M p, h, 71) Where H represents a measure of health status or outcomes that depends on personal characteristics that impact health such as age, gender, use of alcohol and smoking; exposure to pesticides X ” and pesticide exposure averting behavior EtX”, A). Exposure mitigating strategies M P, that includes human capital variables such as IPM knowledge, are assumed to improve health via judicious use of pesticides. Similarly, a farmer’s knowledge of basic first aid7 is assumed to mitigate pesticide—induced health risks. We 7 First aid is the initial effort designed to save the life of a worker exposed to pesticide poisoning while medical help is on the way or in worst cases is unavailable. 21 further assume that farmer’s health status is influenced by institutional factors such as access to local public health infrastructure or health services h, whose price is W, and ,u is an individual specific health (genetic or hereditary) endowment. Assume that (all/6X ’)<0, (an/65a", A)) >0, (oil/6M”) >0, and (6H/6h)>0. The farm output production function is unconventional as it also captures how farmer’s health and risk perception may affect production; that is, (3) Y=r(X”, x”, L(H,- L" , 19.2) where Y is cotton output, X P represents variable pesticide inputs, X ” is non-pesticide inputs, L refers to household head’s effective field labor, P is a vector of output price and Z is conditioning variables such as age, gender, educational levels and risk perception. Farmer’s health status affects the number of healthy man-days and the total time available for leisure and work. Therefore, effective labor input or management is a function of available work hours or man-days L" and also worker’s functionality which depends on individual health status (11,) so that L = f (11,, L") (Antle et al., 1994; Strauss et al., 1998). Assuming that the smallholder farmer operates in perfect competitive conditions, the household’s utility is maximized subject to constraints of budget, safe minimum health and environmental standard. Letting P denote product Y’s price, W, and W, are prices of household consumption goods G and health services 11. W,, and W, is the price vector of inputs X P and X ” respectively. In addition, W. and W... refer to the price of exposure averting and mitigating inputs A and M ” respectively. H,” and EQ," is the minimum acceptable health level of the farmer and environmental conditions respectively. The resulting extended profit function is given by: 22 «P, X, G, A, M’) = PY-W,X’-W.X°-W.A- W... M' -W,G-W,. h. The utility maximizing first order conditions are obtained from the optimization of a constrained fimction represented below; (4) Maxrykxngua) W130, H) s.t. a) pY(L,x”,-XP,- A; M”) —W,,X"-W0X”- WaA-Wm MP- "1,0.th 2 0 fit) HMS=f(X", E(X". A), M”, Wu!)- aivEcquorx”, X”, X”, p) In constraint (iii) minimum environmental quality EQM x P”, X ”T and X PS refer to pesticide disposal, toxicity and storage hazards. We did not collect environmental data of sufficient variability to warrant the analysis of this constraint as our focus is on farmer health. When health costs are considered, optimal levels of pesticide use will solve: (5) P(a” Y/ dX")= Wp- Wk [(0” U/é’Ifl(a”H/dX)//[(dU/a"H)(dH/dh)] The second term on the RHS of equation (5) is a money-metric of the marginal utility loss from pesticide-related health damage. Since it is greater than zefo, the result implies reduced optimal pesticide use (Appendix 1). In practice, the exact determination of the socially optimal level of pesticide use may not always be feasible due to uncertainty regarding the magnitude of pesticide effects and lack of reliable data (Oskam, 1994 cited in Fleischer, 1999). 2.2.2 Data Sources and Sampling Strategies Farm level data were obtained from a primary survey conducted from June to December, 1999 in two leading cotton-producing regions of Zimbabwe. Due to differences in dialects we pre—tested the questionnaire in each region resulting in 23 modifications of wording, and sequence of the questions. In Sanyati district, located in the Middleveld (altitude 600-1200m), clusters of villages with exposure to Farmer Field School Integrated Pest and Production Management [FFS-IPPM] training were first identified. Next, we stratified on the basis of farmer participation or non-participation in FFS-IPPM. The sampled IPM and non-IPM farmers were randomly drawn from within the same villages. In the Chipinge district, located in the South-eastem Lowveld of Zimbabwe (altitude 300-600m) no FFS-IPPM program was available for rain-fed cotton production. Clusters were determined on the basis of relative distance from markets and farm Sizes. Chipinge district lies in the Lowveld of Zimbabwe (altitude 300-600m). Primary data were gathered on field pest management practices and farmer health status. Health variables included incidences, treatments and degree of severity of pesticide-related acute illnesses. Pest management data were collected on type of pesticide used by target insect, number of applications made in each cotton field, as well as cotton pesticide storage and disposal practices. Usable responses were obtained from a total of 280 growers. The main incentive for participating in the survey was the certificate of participation awarded to farmers who completed the interview. All farmers gave informed consent prior to the interview. Data used to estimate the empirical cost of illness models are grouped into the following categories, (1) farmer characteristics, (2) health-related factors and (3) institutional variables. Farmer characteristics include age, education and gender. Health variables included the incidence and severity of pesticide Skin, eye, and stomach poisoning acute symptoms, as well as personal habits like smoking and alcohol intake. 24 Institutional variables include access to a borehole for drinking water and health center for treatment. 2.2.3 Empirical Model: Estimation of the Health Cost of Pesticide Exposure The empirical analysis is in three stages [Figure 2.1]. The first stage involves the estimation of a cost of illness model for smallholder cotton growers in the two districts. In the second stage, we estimate Poisson illness incidence models in order to help us understand the determinants of the Specific acute illness episodes experienced by the pesticide applicators. The final stage uses probit analysis of the Significant pest management and farmer behavioral practices driving the observed incidences. Empirical variables that influence health outcomes come in two different specifications, continuous and dichotomous variables. For continuous variables like number of specific acute symptom type ACUTESYM, severity of acute symptom episodes ACUTINDX, alcohol use and smoking duration, that also take zero variables we added 0.] factor in all cases to account for the problem of taking logarithm of zeros and to distinguish responses with the value zero from positive non-zero responses. We specify the health cost function simply as HC=f(SYM, DSS, C, W,.) where previously undefined SYM is the sum of pesticide-induced acute symptom types experienced by the farmer which takes the range 0 to 3, DSS sums the degree of severity8 of acute symptoms and C is a vector of farmer characteristics. The general form of the health cost model estimated iS given by: Health cost = f (A cute symptoms, farmer characteristics, institutional factors) + e 8 Acute symptom severity is defined on a monotonic scale of O to 3 with O=absence of symptom, l=mild, 2=severe and 3= very severe. 25 An individual farmer’s health cost is calculated as a sum of both cash and non-cash costs. The health cost variable is a composite of (1) farmer treatment costs per visit either to the clinic or local private physician, (2) annual levy of Z$100 contributed to the local rural health facility and (3) opportunity cost of lost time due to days farmer was ill and recuperating. We used the 1998/99 agricultural minimum wage of 281,400 per month or 2838.00 per day for costing lost days due to illness. Missing in the composite value of health cost variable are individual patient’s travel cost to the nearest health facility, waiting time costs prior to treatment, cost of leisure forgone due to illness and the cost of home-based health care. We did not collect data on the cost of traditional healing strategies because farmers are generally reluctant to volunteer such information. We assume health costs of pesticide exposure to hired labor are borne by the hired workers themselves (Antle and Capalbo, 1994). The rationale for using the logarithmic functional form is that it is parsimonious in parameters, can be interpreted as first order approximation to the true cost fimction, and is globally well behaved (Antle and Pingali, 1994) (5) Ln(HC) =6, + 6, Ln (AGE) + 621m (EDUCATION) + 6; Ln (ACUTE SYIIIPTOMS) + 64 Ln(ACUTE SYMPTOM SE VERI TY ) + 65 Ln(ALCOHOL ) + 5,Ln(SMOKE) + 67 Ln(HEAL TH CENTER DISTANCE) + 6, (GENDER) + 59 (FIRST AID ) + 5n (BOREHOLE) + e The dependent variable is the logarithm of an individual farmer’s aggregate health costs (HC) measured in Zimbabwe dollars. The exogenous variables are defined in Table 2.1. We decided to assess the relative health impact of pesticides on the basis of toxicity ranking as defined by the Plant Protection Research Institute in collaboration with the Zimbabwe Hazardous Substance and Articles Control Board. Four pesticide 26 hazard classes are distinguished by their color codes: green, amber, red, and purple, in rising order of toxicity. Survey farmers did not use any green label pesticides, so our analysis uses only three pesticide classes. Color codes are assigned based on three criteria, (1) acute oral lethal dose (LD50) 9 of the pesticide, (2) the concentration of the formulation and (3) the persistence of the pesticide in the ecosystem (Nhachi, 1999). We focused on acute effects since these are health problems that occur very close to the time when one is exposed to the pesticides (Moses, 1992). We measure pesticide exposure as a product of the active ingredients per application and the number of chemical applications made (Honsby et al., 1996; EPA, 1999). Acute symptom incidences are estimated as a Poisson regression model Specified as E(Y,-) = (fl1;)+v (i =I,...n) where E(Y,) is the expected value of the dependent variable of the it” observation, v is stochastic error term, fl is a 1* k vector of parameters, X, is a k*l vector with the values of the k independent variables in the i"I observation, and n is the sample Size. The elasticity estimate at X,, a continuous independent variable is given by (0170,) /d¥,,)(X,-,-/E(Y,-)) =,B ,X 1,. Now, assuming thath is dichotomous, the percentage change on E(Y) when X j changes from O to 1 is given by 100(exp (’3 “YA-I) a different relative impact on the dependent variable (Ramirez and Shultz, 2000). The estimated empirical Poisson regression model for the specific and multiple symptom incidences is stated below: (6) SINCID= M C, M, X ”, A, M ”, l) + ,u where SINCID is a positive integer count of the number of self-reported pesticide caused acute symptom episodes or incidences 9 Oral LDso refers to the orally ingested dose (mg of toxicant/kg of body weight) of a pesticide which kills 50 percent of the test population animals. Similarly, the dermal LDso is the dose of a pesticide applied to the skin which kills 50 percent of the test population animals (The Pesticide Manual, 1997). 27 experienced by the farmer. C is a vector of farmer characteristics as already mentioned above, M refers to farm management variables, exposure to pesticides X" dosage used on the farm, and A is a vector of pesticide averting behavior among farmers such as use of protective clothing. M P refers to pesticide mitigating strategies, and I is institutional variables affecting farmer health such as relative location to a health care facility. A full description of the variables used to estimate the model is presented in Table 2.1. 2.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Results Show that pesticide use in smallholder cotton production is associated with adverse health consequences for the poor farmers. The illness Spectrum associated with pesticides exposure varies from acute, systemic to chronic effects (Appendix table A1.1 ). In 1998/99 season, the estimated average cost of pesticide-related health risks is 23180 and Z$316 for Sanyati and Chipinge districts respectively. The costs represent 45% and 83% of the household seasonal total chemical outlay in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively. The health costs are attributed to the pesticide applicators and we infer that costs are much higher per household when we take into consideration other members of the household who are potentially exposed. Factoring in these unrecognized costs reduces the net benefits of pesticides among growers. Farmer illness imposes a Significant constraint to achieving higher net returns in agriculture (Ruttan, 2001). During the season, farmers lose an average of about 4 and 10 days recuperating from pesticide-induced illnesses in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively. Although the average distance to the nearest health facility is 5km in Sanyati and 9km in Chipinge district, the proportion of farmers who visited the clinic to seek medical attention after acute pesticide poisoning or irritation was very low, about 3% in Sanyati 28 and 7% in Chipinge. Use of home-based mitigating strategies and religious beliefs that encourage the use of prayer to end health ailments partly explain why farmers do not often seek medical assistance from health facilities in the study zones. The study focused mainly on acute effects of pesticides such as Skin and eye irritations, and stomach poisoning. However, between 40% and 50% of households in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively have at least one family member suffering from chronic illness. Our assessment was limited to cancer, blindness, back problems, and asthma or lung problems. The predominant route of exposure of pesticide use in the survey areas was through the skin and eyes. More than half of the applicators in Sanyati (67%) reported skin irritations compared to 55% from Chipinge. The proportion of farmers reporting eye irritations was also higher in Sanyati (38%) than Chipinge (26%). Only 7% and 12% of the farmers in Sanyati and Chipinge reported having experienced stomach poisoning after Sprayinglo respectively. We did not ask the farmers to indicate the Specific chemicals responsible for the reported acute symptoms. However, in both districts, male farmers are the major risk group as they are responsible for most of the Spraying. The descriptive statistics for the main variables used in our analysis are summarized in Table 2.1. 2.3.1 Farmer Health Cost of Pesticide Use: Cost of Illness Model Results The number and severity of acute pesticide symptoms are the main determinants of the cost of farm household illnesses. The elasticity of health costs with respect to positive symptoms is 0.16 and 0.29 in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively. The results clearly '0 The dominant chemicals used by farmers are monocroptophos, larvin, carbaryl, dimethoate and fenvalerate. Among these, the most commonly implicated chemicals in stomach poisonings and skin irritations are the organophosphates (e.g. monocrotophos and dimethoate) and carbamates (e.g. carbaryl 29 suggest that Chipinge cotton growers experience greater health costs than their Sanyati counterparts. In addition, the elasticity of health cost with respect to symptom severity is 0.11 in Chipinge and 0.09 in Sanyati, reinforcing the fact that Chipinge farmers could be facing higher risk of pesticide exposure costs compared to Sanyati. Health conditioning variables such as alcohol intake and smoking habits were also assessed to see their effect on health costs in both regions. In Sanyati, the coefficient for smoking is statistically significant at 10% and its positive Sign indicates that farmers who smoke incur relatively higher pesticide-related health costs. None of the health conditioning variables are Significant in the Chipinge cost-of-illness model. 2.3.2 Evidence of Health Impairments Among the Cotton Growers Given the critical contribution of pesticide—related acute symptoms to health costs, the second stage analysis investigated determinants of these symptoms. Poisson regression models were used to relate the incidences of self-reported acute symptoms to farmer characteristics, farm management variables, health, pesticide exposure, exposure averting and mitigating, institutional and perception variables. 2.3.2.1 Incidence of Skin Effects In Sanyati, skin irritation incidences are positively associated with the use of a knapsack sprayer, and calendar-based prophylactic spraying (Table 2.3). The use of a knapsack Sprayer is positive and significant at all conventional levels while the prophylactic spray approach iS also positive but significant at 5% level. This means that and 1arvin)(TFECHLD, 1988; WHO, 1990; Cole et al., 1998). 30 greater skin incidences are associated with calendar-based Spraying. Also, the positive significant coefficient for the knapsack Sprayer implies that farmers using a knapsack Sprayer obtain higher incidences of skin irritations. In Chipinge, the coefficient for knapsack is Significant but negative, perhaps because most Chipinge farmers use ultra- low volume (ULV) Sprayers. The coefficient on the use of leaking sprayers is statistically Significant at 1% level and 10% level in Chipinge and Sanyati district. Results suggest that use of defective Sprayers explain the occurrence of positive skin incidences in the cotton regions. A significant proportion of farmers in Sanyati (39%) and Chipinge (34%) reported that sprayers leak on their back when they apply chemicals. The high risk of pesticide exposure attributed to leaking sprayers implies the prevalence of poor maintanance procedures or lack of local expertise for sprayer maintanance. In addition, hazardous storage of pesticides in Chipinge is positive and Significant at 1% level implying the critical role of unsafe storage practices in determining the presence of positive skin incidences. Farmers who keep pesticides in the same huts used for cooking and or Sleeping are more predisposed to have Skin irritations than ones who keep pesticides locked in a separate store-room elsewhere. In Chipinge, the incidence of skin problems is positively associated with the use of both “purple” and “red” pesticides. The “red” and “purple” pesticides comprise mostly the organophosphates and organochlorines that are known to cause skin irritation problems when spray men do not use protective clothing. None of the pesticide dosage variables were significant determinants of skin incidence in Sanyati. 31 The coefficient for attendance at extension meetings was positively Significant at 1% level in both Sanyati and Chipinge. This implies that farmers attending extension meetings reported more incidences of pesticide-related Skin irritations. This raises the question of the health content of the extension messages directed at the farmers. It is possible that farmers’ participation in extension meetings makes them aware that pesticides can cause skin irritation. But it also appears that extension contact does not Significantly improve their knowledge of how to prevent Skin irritations. Among the farmer characteristics, formal education and farmer’s age have a positive and significant effect on self-reported Skin incidences in Chipinge while in Sanyati, age was highly significant with a negative coefficient. The evidence from Chipinge suggests that older and more educated farmers tended to report more positive incidences of skin incidences. However, in Sanyati older farmers are less likely to report skin irritation problems. This result probably reflects the fact that older farmers are more experienced with chemical handling and application than their younger counterparts. Alcohol consmnption and cotton area cultivated are both positively related with skin irritations in Sanyati at the 10% level of Significance. Alcohol affects judgment about use of safety precautions when farmer is exposed to pesticides. The coefficient on farmer’s use of protective clothing was statistically Significant at 1% with a negative Sign in both districts. The negative sign suggests that there is a Significant reduction in dermal contamination when farmers spray with the necessary protective clothing. This was however contrary to our hypothesis that because of the weather-related discomforts, smallholders do not effectively use their protective clothing 32 resulting in greater health risks .The evidence clearly shows that those who wear protective clothing are able to significantly reduce their pesticide exposure. The perception variable on reforming calendar-based Spray was negative and Significant at 5% and 1% in Chipinge and Sanyati respectively; that result is consistent with our expectations. Although label illiteracy coefficient for Sanyati was insignficant, in Chipinge, it was negative and highly significant at 1%, contrary to our expectations. We expect poor literacy to be associated with inability to follow instructions for safe use of pesticides leading to greater exposure risks in terms of higher positive symptom incidences. A possible explanation for the reason why illiterate Chipinge farmers reported less skin incidences could be attributed to the problem of lack of hazard awareness. It is possible some illiterate farmers may notice Skin sensations but fail to make the link that their symptoms are a function of their exposure to pesticides thus resulting in more illiterate farmers reporting less pesticide caused Skin incidences. Similarly, negative correlation between skin effects and formal employment in Chipinge can be explained by the fact that farmers with full-time jobs are farming part-time and may not Spray chemicals as frequently as their full-time counterparts. Also, the part-time farmers may suffer from the same hazard awareness problem explained above, leading to less reported cases of skin irritation incidences. The coefficient for formal employment in Sanyati was insignificant. 2.3.2.2 Incidence of Eye Effects Results from Sanyati show that incidence of eye symptoms increases with the use of a knapsack sprayer, calendar-based spraying and alcohol intake (Table 2.4). In contrast, eye incidences in Chipinge were positively associated with farmer’s age, cotton 33 area cultivated, formal employment, smoking and amber pesticides. In Sanyati, farmer’s age is statistically significant at 5% level with a negative Sign. The result suggests that older farmers are less likely to experience eye irritation incidences than their younger counterparts; a fact we attribute to greater experience with pesticide use or a higher risk averse behavior. In Chipinge, the habit of smoking is positively associated with eye incidences at 10% level while alcohol consumption had a negative but highly significant effect on reported eye incidences. The effect of alcohol is contrary to theoretical expectations. The result may indicate that alcohol consumption interferes with farmer’s capacity to recall or recognize health hazard of pesticides thus allowing drinkers to report less eye incidences, when the opposite was expected. In Sanyati, alcohol consumption had a Significant positive influence on reported eye symptoms while the effect of smoking was insignificant. Exposure to cotton IPM training among Sanyati growers has an unexpected positive significant effect on eye symptoms. This could be attributed to greater awareness of pesticide-caused eye symptoms among IPM graduates. Farmers’ use of protective clothing and first aid knowledge are negatively associated with reported eye incidences in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively. Use of protective clothing in Sanyati is significant at the 1% level suggesting that these farmers effectively use eyeglasses, and or facemasks when spraying pesticides. Protective clothing use in Chipinge has the expected negative Sign but is insignificant. The coefficient on the need to review weekly spray approach is negative and Si gnificant at all conventional levels in Sanyati. We interpret this result to mean that cotton growers who hold the perception that there is a need to reform the calendar-based 34 preventative spraying technique are less likely to report eye incidences because they are more likely to rely less on chemical pest management strategies. The coefficient for the perception variable was insignificant in Chipinge district. The foregoing section analyzed the relative impact of different factors on specific pesticide-induced illness. However, since farmers may be exposed to multiple illnesses at the same time, we address this issue in the next stage of our analysis. 2.3.3 Multiple Health Impairments: Total Symptom Incidence Model Results The Poisson total symptom incidence model results presented in Table 2.5 Shows that pesticide-related acute symptoms in Sanyati are significantly associated with dosage of the most toxic pesticides, male farmers, larger farm sizes, and extension meetings attended. The practice of taking meals in cotton fields where there are no washing facilities is positively and significantly correlated with positive acute symptoms at 5% level. In addition, after combining the acute symptoms, label illiteracy contributes significantly to positive acute symptom incidences among the cotton growers in Sanyati. This result suggests that a higher risk of pesticide exposure confronts cotton growers who are either partially or completely label illiterate. Likewise, recent evidence from Cambodia indicates negative correlation between adult education levels and probability of illness (Deolalikar and Laxminarayan, 2000). The aggregate incidence model also Shows that farmer’s age, protective clothing, radio ownership, and first aid knowledge are all Significantly associated with reduced occurrence of acute pesticide symptoms in Sanyati. Clearly, first aid knowledge and protective clothing have theoretically consistent results as they are predicted to play a mitigating and averting role in pesticide-induced ailments respectively. Further, farmers who hold the view that calendar-based Spraying 35 ought to be reformed are less likely to experience acute symptoms in Sanyati and that is consistent with our expectations. Exposure to IPM training had the hypothesized negative Sign, but was not significant. The evidence is therefore insufficient to prove that IPM training can Significantly lower the incidence of pesticide-induced multiple health impairments in Sanyati. Empirical evidence on the health benefits of IPM on pesticide use is still mixed. Studies on IPM in Vietnam and West Africa showed that farmers practicing IPM have substantially lowered occupational health risks (Kenmore, 1997). Some evidence of reduced average human toxicity with insect IPM adoption has been cited in the literature (F emandez-Comejo, 1997). Nonetheless, evidence emerging from Zimbabwe reveals that pesticide-related health risks do not Significantly determine farmer adoption of IPM practices (Maumbe and Swinton, 2000). In Chipinge, the total incidence model results show that the coefficients for leaking sprayer, formal education and extension meetings are positive and statistically significant at 1% level. The results suggest that Sprayer malfunction contributes to greater incidences of acute dermal symptoms among cotton growers in the Lowveld area. The positive effect of extension and formal education on symptom incidences iS unexpected. Such a perplexing outcome could be attributed to the ‘chemical solutions’ that are generally proposed by traditional extension workers. The results suggest that the specific nature of health education needed to limit pesticide exposure is potentially missing in extension messages. That traditional extension services lack a health focus and need revitalization has been mooted in the literature (Sasakawa-Global 2000, 1999; Fleischer, 1 999)- It is also possible that farmers who attend extension meetings are more aware of t 11 a health risks of pesticides and were more likely to report such incidences during the 36 survey. Male pesticide applicators and cotton area treated with pesticides positively influence the number of reported acute symptom incidences, all are significant at 5% level. The total incidences of acute symptoms are positively related to “red” pesticides. The need to reform the calendar based-preventative spray technique, credit use, formal employment, knapsack sprayers, and first aid knowledge all contribute to less acute symptom incidences in Chipinge. In addition, the incidence of acute symptoms is significant and negatively related to “amber” pesticide classes in Chipinge suggesting the possibility that this class comprises mostly safer chemicals. We did not expect a negative effect as any exposure to pesticides is likely to cause acute poisoning among unprotected cotton growers. Since pesticide use is a function of farmer behavior and choice, in the next section we provide an analysis of the factors driving some of the pesticide management behavior that is likely to endanger farmer’s health. 2.3.4 Poisson Protective Clothing Model Regression Results In order to understand why farmers engaged in practices that mitigated and averted pesticide symptoms, the third stage of the analysis looked at determinants of these behavioral practices. Pesticide averting behavior involved wearing protective clothing while spraying. The number of protective clothing items owned by the farmer consistently reduced pesticide-related health symptoms in both Sanyati and Chipinge. To understand the individual decision maker’s choice of using protective clothing, we conduct a Poisson regression analysis of the count of individual protective clothing items adopted by the farmers in the two districts. Evidence from Sanyati reveals that farmers who attend a greater number of extension meetings are likely to use protective clothing when making pesticide treatments 37 ( Table 2.6). Attendance at extension meetings was significant at the 10% level. Ownership of knapsack sprayers is positively associated with the use of protective clothing at the 5% level of significance. The coefficient for IPM awareness was positive and Significant at 10% implying that farmers who were exposed to F FS-IPM training are likely to have more protective clothing equipment. The predicted value for skin illness episodes was negative and significantly associated with the use of protective clothing, and this is theoretically consistent as the likelihood of skin incidence is bound to decrease with increased use of protective clothing. The highly Significant but negative effect of age was unexpected. The coefficient for label illiteracy had the correct Sign but was not significantly different from zero. In Chipinge, protective clothing ownership was positive and significantly associated with attendance at extension meetings, educational attainment, and use of the relatively toxic red pesticide category. These results suggests that better informed individuals are more likely to wear protective clothing when handling and applying pesticides and the use of “red class” pesticides appears to instill the same discipline. The predicted skin illness incidences are significant and negatively associated with the use of protective clothing at all conventional levels. This suggests that Chipinge farmers generally perceive that pesticide-induced skin-related health risks decrease with greater use of protective clothing equipment. Alcohol intake and the ownership of knapsack Sprayers are negatively associated with use of protective clothing at 10% and 5% level of Significance respectively. Meanwhile formal employment and label illiteracy are both highly Significant and negatively associated with protective clothing use in the Lowveld. This suggests that farmers who engage in off-farm employment and thus grow cotton on 38 a part-time basis are less likely to invest in protective clothing equipment. The evidence also Shows that those farmers who exhibit higher levels of pesticide label illiteracy are more likely to make pesticide treatments with inadequate protective clothing equipment. Apart from risk averting behavior, pesticide exposure is also affected by explicitly risky behavior such as taking meals in cotton fields and using leaky sprayers. Risky behavior such as taking meals in cotton fields is associated with smoking and label illiteracy in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively (Table 2.7). Formal education, extension contact, qualified master farmers, and protective clothing use were negatively associated with eating in cotton fields. Use of leaky sprayers is explained by among others larger farm sizes and prophylactic spray strategies, while exposure to IPM training appears to reduce the use of leaky sprayers in Sanyati (Table 2.8). Finally, pesticide symptoms are also affected by the ability to treat symptoms. Knowledge of first aid was enhanced by farmer’s education and cotton area cultivated (Chipinge) and formal employment (Sanyati) (Table 2.9). AS expected, knowledge of first aid was negatively associated with exposure variables such as taking meals in cotton fields and label illiteracy. 2.4 Conclusions Balancing the numerous benefits that may accrue from pesticide use in cotton production, farmers face adverse health risks. Looking at the cost of illness model results for both regions, the conclusion one comes to is that pesticide-induced acute symptoms Significantly influence smallholder farmer health risk costs. Cotton growers lose a mean of 28180 in Sanyati and Z$316 per year in Chipinge on pesticide-related direct and indirect acute health effects. Pesticide-related health costs average 45% and 83% of the 39 household annual pesticide budget in Sanayati and Chipinge respectively. The average number of days spent recuperating from illnesses attributed to pesticides varies from 4 days in Sanyati to 10 days in Chipinge in 1998/99 growing season. Exposure variables that are significant in predicting acute symptom incidences among cotton growers in the study zones are the use of toxic pesticides, leaking Sprayers, unsafe pesticide storage, pesticide label illiteracy and taking meals in cotton fields. Also, personal habits like smoking and alcohol consumption confound farmer health risks in the cotton growing regions of Zimbabwe. In contrast, practices that effectively reduces health risks in the study zones are the use of protective clothing, knowledge of first aid and a disposition towards reforming calendar-based Spraying strategies. The need for farmer education in exposure averting strategies is evident particularly in the new cotton region of Chipinge. Since farmers in Chipinge face relatively greater exposure to pesticide risks, targeting farmers in the new regions will contribute most to minimizing the health risks. Evidence from the traditional cotton producing zone of Sanyati suggests that farmer’s participation in FPS-based IPM training does not significantly reduce the incidence of acute symptoms, contrary to our expectation. However, the IPM awareness variable positively influences the farmer’s decision to adopt protective clothing for making pesticide treatments. The mixed results on IPM impact could be attributed to the fact that IPM use is still in its infancy in Sanyati district where it was introduced in 1997, two years prior to our survey. Although the pesticide label provides information on pesticide hazard categories, it iS ineffective for the many farmers who are illiterate. Nor has the use of color codes helped much as revealed by the inability of 28% in Sanyati and 58% in Chipinge to 40 associate colored triangles to pesticide toxicity. Ignorance about pesticide toxicity prevalent among survey farmers ought to be seriously addressed by policy makers. Perhaps the use of local languages on labels for pesticides targeted to small farmers and educational campaigns about the dangers of pesticides could alleviate the situation. A very small proportion of cotton growers in both regions reported that pesticide- related health problems resulted in a visit to seek medical attention to a local health facility. The evidence seems to suggest that some smallholders treat acute pesticide effects as minor Side effects that do not warrant medical attention (Flesicher, 1999). The minimal access to formal health care services further suggests reliance on informal health care system and or adherence to religious values that discourage seeking treatment for any ailments. In addition, our study seems to corroborate the fact that due to poor reporting systems, formal health sector statistics under-reports pesticide-induced acute symptoms, as most cases do not seek medical care (Chitemerere, 1996; Rother and London, 1998; WHO, 1990). An important result of our empirical analysis is that access to extension is positively significantly correlated with incidences of acute symptoms. This raises questions about the health content of the extension message. Alternatively, and perhaps more fundamental, is the question of who attends the meetings and whether safety information from extension agents filters directly to the pesticide applicators. Nonetheless, the evidence implies the need to effectively utilize traditional extension services for the delivery of pesticide-related farmer health and safety information. This is important given that lack of contact with the formal health system may perpetuate farmer’s ignorance about pesticide-related health risks. Therefore, a firm commitment to 41 utilize existing extension networks and rural pesticide vendors for the delivery of health and safety information could heighten farmer awareness and decrease pesticide-related health risks. 2.4.1 Policy Options and Knowledge Gaps In Zimbabwe, much effort is currently devoted to promoting new strategies like F F S-based IPM techniques. While IPM allows for judicious use, what is lacking is an in- depth study to provide essential information on rational use of pesticides. A clear policy implication of these findings is that farmers would be healthier if less toxic pesticides are used in cotton production because they cause Significant health problems for the farmers. However, a policy to phase out or reduce the use of the risky “purple” and “red” pesticides without identifying safer substitutes could be short sighted for Zimbabwe. It is also possible that toxic pesticides may not be the only problem but also the way they are handled or both. The health risks of pesticide use can be reduced by effective regulatory systems that could aid in increasing on-farm human safety. Some important areas for intervention include expanding farmer first aid education, eliminating the risk of taking meals in cotton fields, improvements in Sprayer maintanance, and promoting the safe use of protective clothing. Cotton growers face serious knowledge constraints and on-farm safety policy should enhance farmer awareness of the link between pesticide hazards, human health and on-farm pesticide management practices. Educational policy that targets labeling policy reform is needed in order to improve farmer’s hazard awareness so they can in turn make more informed choices about cotton pesticides and required protective clothing. Without label reforms, pesticide 42 choices will continue to be distorted and thus endanger farmers’ health. Widespread label illiteracy particularly in Chipinge is associated with difficulty in interpreting pictorial safety labels. Given the existing pesticide dependency in smallholder cotton production, policy failure to improve farmer health and safety will result in ruined agriculture and human livelihoods. Future research work Should attempt to measure health costs to all the individuals exposed to pesticides including children and hired workers. Self-reported health conditions due to pesticide exposure leads to problems of bias and endogeneity. Future attempts to increase the accuracy of measurement of pesticide-related health symptoms Should consider an independent assessment of farmer’s health condition by a health expert. Also, the true health risk budget can be obtained by incorporating the costs of pesticide-induced chronic illnesses including deaths. Longitudinal farmer health study designs could provide more insights about causality of chronic health effects. More importantly, growing evidence about the linkage between smallholder cotton production and farmer health risks implies a greater need to transform the current delivery of rural health services and provide extension a more prominent role in the diffusion of health information. Finally, a more permanent solution requires pest management methods that are effective, economic, long lasting and not damaging to farmer health. 43 Table 2.1: Descriptive statistics for Sanyati and Chipinge districts, 1998/99 Variable Sanyati Chipinge—--- Mean Standard Dev. Mean Standard Dev. Farmer characteristics Age (years) 46.40 14.20 42.70 12.58 Education (years) 6.54 3.72 6.54 3.75 Male farmers (0,1) 0.83 0.38 0.91 0.29 Health-related and pesticide exposure variables Acute symptom cases 1.12 0.84 0.95 0.88 Acute symptom severity 0.60 1.00 1.01 1.42 Health cost (ZS) 180.15 157.16 315.63 504.59 Purple pesticides“ (mg/kg/farm) 415.69 2,982.97 1,218.90 6,568.76 Red pesticides (mg/kg/farm) 2,428.98 5,758.26 4,600.08 9,499.08 Amber pesticides (mg/kg/farm) 3,423.04 14,334.94 5,496.06 16,536.52 Eat in cotton fields (1,0) 010 0.30 0.28 ' 0.45 Label illiteracy (1,0) 0.32 0.47 0.54 0.50 Sprayer leak (1,0) 0.39 0.49 0.34 0.48 Storage hazard (1,0) 0.36 0.48 0.21 0.41 Smoking duration (years) 2.14 5.1 1 2.78 7.03 Alcohol intake duration (years) 3.65 6.63 9.66 13.70 Farm management variables Cotton area (ha) 4.57 3.98 8.74 l 1.56 Cotton bales (bales) 8.12 7.63 19.30 16.82 Extension meetings 4.67 6.37 13.04 1 1.24 Knapsack (1,0) 0.69 0.47 0.42 0.49 Ultra-Low Volume (1,0) 0.05 0.22 0.26 0.44 Formal employment (1,0) 0.46 0.50 0.43 0.50 Prophylactic spray (1,0) 0.30 0.46 0.26 0.44 Pesticide exposure averting and mitigating variables IPM Train (0.1) 0.48 0.50 - - Number of protective clothing 3.76 1.54 1.76 1.77 First aid knowledge (0.1) 0.61 0.49 0.19 0.40 Institutional variables Access to borehole (1,0) 0.37 0.48 0.67 0.47 Distance to health center (km) 4.93 2.82 9.30 5.63 Radio ownership (1,0) 0.68 0.47 0.73 0.45 Source: Field survey data, 1999 " Pesticide dosage/concentration is expressed as active ingredients that are measured in mg/kg. Farmer’s exposure is measured as product of pesticide concentration and rate of pesticide application per farm. 44 Table 2.2: Cost of Illness Model Results for Sanyati and Chipinge Districts, 1998/99. Dependent variable: Natural logarithm of farmer health costs (Z S) Independent variables Sanyati District Chipinge District coefficient t-statistic coefficient t-Statistic Farmer characteristics FARMER’S AGE 0.0060 0.04 0.1800 0.83 MALE FARMER -0.1700 -l.51 0.0049 0.02 FORMAL EDUCATION 0.0330 1.34 0.0310 0.66 Health-related variables ACUTE SYMPTOMS‘ ***0.1600 4.54 "*02900 4.35 SYMPTOM SEVERITY2 ***0.0890 2.63 "0.1200 2.01 ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION 0.0067 0.30 -0.0210 -0.73 SMOKING *0.0470 1.92 -0.0032 -0.09 Institutional variables BOREHOLE ACCESS -0.0074 -0.09 -0.0820 -0.63 HEALTH CENTER DISTANCE -0.0088 -0.63 0.0340 0.42 FIRST AID KNOWLEDGE -0.0830 -1.04 -0.0730 -0.46 Adjusted R1 31 35 N 137 131 p-value 0.000 0.000 "*=significance at 1% level, "=significance at 5% level, * =significance at 10% level Note: 1. Three types of pesticide-induced acute symptoms were assessed in detail, eye irritations, skin irritations and stomach(gastro-intestinal effects) irritations. 2. Symptom severity was assessed on a scale of l to 3 with l= mild, 2=severe and 3=very severe. The severity variable is a product of positive acute symptom and its severity aggregated across all the three acute symptoms under investigation. Its value ranges from 0 to 9. Source: Field survey data, 1999 45 Table 2. 3: Poisson Model Results for Self-reported Acute Skin Symptom Incidences. Sanyati District Chipinge District Skin Symptom Incidences Skin Symptom Incidences Independent variables coefficient z-value Coefficient z-value Farmer characteristics FARMER’S AGE ***-0.0350 -4.95 ”0.0190 1.95 FORMAL EDUCATION -0.0100 -0.41 ***0.0680 2.50 MALE FARMER 0.3300 1.18 —0.2200 —0.80 Farm management variables COTTON AREA *0.0330 1.65 ***-0.0700 -2.40 EXTENSION MEETINGS "*00670 4.15 "*00480 6.87 FORMAL EMPLOYMENT 0.1700 0.86 * "-0.9100 -5.31 KNAPSACK * "0.6700 3.17 * "-0.7700 -3.69 PROPHYLACTIC SPRAY “0.4300 2.25 0.0770 0.37 Health-related variables ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION *0.0270 1.89 0.0081 0.98 SMOKING -0.0290 --1 .51 0.0070 0.98 Exposure variables PURPLE PESTICIDE DOSAGE -0.0230 -0.30 ***0.1 100 2.43 RED PESTICIDE DOSAGE 0.0230 0.33 ***0.0440 2.56 AMBER PESTICIDE DOSAGE 0.0088 -0.46 "*-0.0640 -3.61 SPRAYER LEAK *0.3000 1.62 ***0.5300 3.15 MEALS 1N COTTON FIELDS 01600 -0.52 0.3100 0.29 LABEL ILLITERACY -0. 1700 -0.97 "*-0.5600 -3.22 STORAGE HAZARD -0.2900 -1.38 ***0.6700 3.66 Exposure averting and mitigating variables IPM GRADUATE 0.0260 0.1 1 - - FIRST AID KNOWLEDGE -0.2800 - l .56 -0.4000 -1.51 PROTECTIVE CLOTHING **“‘-0.3 100 -5.58 ***-0.3700 -6.34 Institutional variables BOREHOLE ACCESS 0.2200 1.21 0.1100 0.56 RADIO OWNERSHIP * "—0.5800 -3. 13 -0.0360 -0.18 Pest management perception variable(s) REVIEW CALENDAR SPRAY ***-0.6200 -2.74 "-0.4200 -2.23 N 133 1 17 Log likelihood chi-square 125.27 307.73 x2 -p value 0.0000 0.0000 * " *=significance at 1% level, Source: Field survey data, 1999 46 "=significance at 5% level, * =significance at 10% level Table 2. 4: Poisson Model Results for Self-reported Acute Eye Symptom Incidences. Sanyati District Eye Symptom Incidences Chipinge District Eye Symptom Incidences Independent variables coefficient z-value Coefficient z-value Farmer characteristics FARMER’S AGE "-0.0210 -2.05 "0.0360 1.99 FORMAL EDUCATION -0.0120 -0.04 -0.0900 -1.57 MALE FARMER 0.5000 1.30 -0.2500 -0.55 Farm management variables COTTON AREA 0.0160 -0.54 * *0.0260 2.29 EXTENSION MEETINGS 0.0190 0.82 -0.0100 -0.53 FORMAL EMPLOYMENT -0.3800 - l .41 "0.8000 2.11 KNAPSACK ** *0.8400 2.72 * *-0.7800 -2.00 PROPHYLACTIC SPRAY ***0.7500 2.74 ***-1.5900 -2.98 Health-related variables ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION “0.0420 2.25 * "-0.0530 -3.35 SMOKING 0.0004 0.02 *0.0520 1.87 Exposure variables PURPLE PESTICIDE DOSAGE 0.0710 0.51 -0.0024 -0.26 RED PESTICIDE DOSAGE -0. 1000 -1.13 -0. 1800 -2.31 AMBER PESTICIDE DOSAGE 0.0220 1.03 "0.0950 2.65 SPRAYER LEAK 0.4800 0.19 0.0078 0.02 MEALS IN COTTON FIELDS 0.4300 1.1 1 0.5900 1.53 LABEL ILLITERACY 0.3300 1.39 -0.3200 -0.82 STORAGE HAZARD 0.0490 0.16 -0.3100 -0.77 Exposure averting and mitigating variables IPM GRADUATE "0.8800 2.36 - - FIRST AID KNOWLEDGE 0.0220 0.09 *-0.8200 -1.82 PROTECTIVE CLOTHING * **-0.2100 -2.67 -0.0400 0.72 Institutional variables BOREHOLE ACCESS 0.1300 0.53 -0.3200 -0.91 RADIO OWNERSHIP 0.0420 0.15 0.6400 1.56 Pest management perception variable REVIEW CALENDAR SPRAY ***-1.1000 -2.77 -0.5500 -1.50 N 133 117 Log likelihood chi-square 111.54 96.10 xz-p value 0.0000 0.0000 ”*=significance at 1% level, "=significance at 5% level, * =significance at 10% level Source: Field survey data, 1999 47 Table 2. 5: Poisson Results for Self-reported Total Acute Symptom Incidences, 1998/99 Sanyati District Chipinge District Total Incidences'2 Total Incidences Independent variables coefficient z-value coefficient z—value Farmer characteristics FARMER’S AGE ***-0.0790 11.01 *0.0150 1.71 FORMAL EDUCATION 0.0210 0.95 * * *0.1000 3 .69 MALE FARMER **"1.4100 4.37 “0.8900 2.32 Farm management variables COTTON AREA * M0.0630 3.40 "0.0120 2.08 EXTENSION MEETINGS * “ ‘0.0930 6.44 "“00170 2.06 FORMAL EMPLOYMENT 0.0530 0.30 * * *-0.6800 -3.72 KNAPSACK 0.1900 1.19 * “-0.8800 -4.27 Health-related variables ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION *0.0280 1.79 0.0130 1.30 SMOKING -0.0060 -0.34 0.0140 1.01 Exposure variables PURPLE PESTICIDE DOSAGE * * *0.3100 2.77 0.0380 0.57 RED PESTICIDE DOSAGE *0.1300 1.86 ** *0.0970 2.86 AMBER PESTICIDE DOSAGE -0.0210 -0.58 "-0.0620 -2.26 SPRAYER LEAK 0.1700 1.09 "*08200 4.91 MEALS IN COTTON FIELDS ”0.6000 2.29 0.2900 1.52 LABEL ILLITERACY *0.2600 1.75 0.4200 0.25E-1 Exposure averting and mitigating variables IPM GRADUATE -0.2800 -1.35 - - FIRST AID KNOWLEDGE * * ‘-0.5 100 -3.46 M05000 -2. l4 PROTECTIVE CLOTHING * "-0.1500 -3.56 *-0. 1000 -1.76 Institutional variables BOREHOLE ACCESS *"06900 4.23 0.2000 1.13 CREDIT USE -0.3000 -1.51 * "-0.6200 -2.98 RADIO OWNERSHIP * * *-1.2100 -7.66 0.1600 0.78 Pest management perception variable REVIEW CALENDAR SPRAY ***-1.1500 -4.75 *-0.3100 -1.71 N 133 119 Log likelihood chi-square 495.54 165.81 x2 —p value 0.0000 0.0000 "*=significance at 1% level, **=significance at 5% level, * =significance at 10% level Source: Field survey data, 1999 I 2 Acute symptom incidences refer to short-term illness episodes experienced by the farmers and these in c lude both the dermal (eye and skin irritation) and oral (ingestion) symptoms. Therefore, the total incidence model aggregates skin, eye and stomach (gastro-intestinal) poisoning episodes incurred by the farrn er during and or soon after spraying pesticides. 48 Table 2.6: Poisson Protective Clothing Adoption Model Results, 1998/99 Dependent variable: Count of protective clothing ownership Sanyati District Chipinge District Independent Coefficient z-value Coefficient z—value Variables Estimate Estimate Farmer characteristics Farmer’s age ***-0.0140 -2.97 0.0120 1.32 Education 01300 -1.06 ***0.5700 2.48 Male farmer 0.0790 0.56 0.2200 0.64 Farm management variables Total area cultivated 0.0046 0.34 -0.01 10 -1.29 Extension meetings ‘0.0190 1.88 “*00460 5.58 Formal employment 0.0840 0.73 **-0.5200 -2.93 Certified master farmer -0.0440 -0.36 -0.1200 -0.63 Knapsack “0.2300 2.15 "-0.4100 -2.06 Prophylactic spray 0.1800 1.50 0.2600 1.38 Health-related variables Predicted skin incidences ***-0.3000 -3.91 ***-0.4300 -5.80 Predicted eye incidences -0.0880 -0.99 -0.0850 -0.49 Alcohol consumption 0.0860 0.66 ‘-0.2800 -1 .63 Smoking -0.0410 -0.29 0.0790 0.35 Exposure variables Purple pesticide class -0.3100 -0.62 -0.3900 -1.20 Red pesticide class 0.2400 0.58 *"0.6000 3.23 Amber pesticide class 0.0082 -0.86 -0.2100 -1.50 Label illiteracy -0.0410 -0.36 * * *-0.8000 -4.76 Exposure averting and mitigating variables First aid knowledge 0.0610 0.60 0.2500 -1.37 IPM awareness *0.1200 1.72 - - Institutional variables Distance to health center 0.0085 0.44 -0.0036 -0.25 Radio ownership -0.1700 - l .43 -0.2500 -1.36 N 133 117 Log Likelihood x’ 44.69 101.43 x2 —-p value 0.0019 0.0000 ***=significance at 1% level, ”=significance at 5% level, "‘ =significance at 10% level Source: Field survey data, 1999 49 Table 2.7: Probit Results for Eating in Cotton Fields in Survey Districts, 1998/99 Dependent variable: Eating in Cotton Fields SANYATI DISTRICT CHIPINGE DISTRICT Independent variables coefficient z-value coefficient z—value Farmer characteristics Farmer’s age -0.0003 -0.75 -0.0017 -0.45 Male farmer -0.0130 -1.45 -0.2700 -1.45 Formal education **-0.0190 -2.07 0.1 100 1.04 Farm management variables Extension meetings 0.0004 0.55 * "-0.0130 -2.89 Cotton area cultivated 0.0012 0.63 0.0047 0.44 Cotton bales harvested 0.0007 0.87 0.0027 0.90 Knapsack sprayer 0.0140 1.51 * "-0.3100 -3.68 Master farmer certified *-0.0130 -1.62 0.0570 0.50 Health-related variables Alcohol intake 0.1300 0.83 0.0970 1.14 Smoking **0.0710 2.23 ***-0.2900 -3.16 Exposure variables IPM graduate 0.0013 0.12 - - Label illiteracy 0.0270 1.49 ** *0.2000 2.30 Exposure averting and mitigating variables First aid knowledge 0.0074 0.87 -O. 14 1.46 Protective clothing ***-0.1000 -2.58 *0.047 1.90 Institutional variables Borehole **-0.0220 -1.95 -0.03 80 044 Health center distance -0.0030 -1.54 -0.0034 -0.46 Pest Management Perception variable Review calendar spray ***0.1 100 2.51 -0.1 100 - l .3400 N 137 134 Log likelihood x2 35.50 42.79 x2 —p value 0.0006 0.0003 ***-significance at 1% level,**-significance at 5% level, "‘-significance at 10% level Source: Field survey data, 1999 50 l3 Dependent variable: Leaking sprayers Table 2.8: Probit Results for Leaking Sprayers in Survey Districts”, 1998/99 SANYATI DISTRICT CHIPINGE DISTRICT Independent variables coefficient z-value coefficient z-value Farmer Characteristics Farmer’s age 0.3200 0.82 -0.0028 -0.68 Male farmer «0.0210 -0. 15 -0.1 103 -0.66 Formal education *0.2300 1.85 -0.0056 -0.39 Farm Management variables Extension meetings *0.1300 1.62 -0.0017 072 Cotton area cultivated ***0.0560 2.44 0.0061 1.60 Formal employment 0.03 10 0.28 -0.0200 -0.21 Knapsack sprayer 0.8400 0.80 -0.1000 -1.06 Knapsack Age -0.6400 -1.36 -0.0027 -0.54 Master farmer certified -0.0730 -0.59 -0.1373 -1.25 Prophylactic spray *0.1800 1.67 0.0988 0.61 Exposure variables IPM graduate ***-0.3700 -3.06 - - Label illiteracy -0.0500 -0.48 -0.0109 -0. 12 Exposure averting and mitigating variables First aid knowledge -0.0700 -0.71 -0.0475 -0.43 Protective clothing -0.0520 -1.60 -0.0197 -0.75 N 138 134 Log likelihood x’ 41.70 13.86 1’ -p value 0.0001 0.3838 Source: Field survey data, 1999 5] **"‘-significance at 1% 1eve1,**-significance at 5% level, *-significance at 10% level S prayer leakage probit model for Chipinge District is not significant. Table 2. 9: Probit Results for First Aid Knowledge in Survey Districts, 1998/99 Dependent variable: First Aid Knowledge SANYATI DISTRICT CHIPINGE DISTRICT Independent variables coefficient z-value coefficient z-value Farmer characteristics Farmer’s age 0.0009 0.23 0.0051 1.47 Formal education -0.0620 -0.55 * * *0.3300 3 .01 Farm management variables Cotton area cultivated 0.0040 0.33 "0.0054 1.97 Formal employment *0. 1600 1.69 0.5300 0.71 Knapsack sprayer -0.0570 -0.57 -0.0450 -0.64 Prophylactic spray 0.0210 0.21 0.0680 0.85 Health-related variables Alcohol intake 0.1100 0.90 0.0520 0.69 Smoking -0.0640 -0.50 -0.0570 -0.71 Exposure variables Meals in cotton fields 0.1 100 0.75 ‘-0. 1400 -1.80 Label illiteracy *-0.1700 -1.73 0.0760 1.09 Exposure averting variables Protective clothing 0.0420 1.40 0.0300 1.60 Institutional variables Received Treatment" -0.0270 -0.1 1 *-0.1500 -1.77 Pest management perception variable Review calendar spray -0.1 100 -1.34 0.0520 0.78 N 134 123 Log likelihood x2 42.79 27.95 x2 —p value 0.0003 0.0072 I""""-significance at 1% 1evel,**-significance at 5% level, *-significance at 10% level Source: Field survey data, 1999 Treatment received is a dichotomous response variable which assesses whether or not a farmer received fortnal treatment from a health facility [i.e. clinic or hospital] or private physician. 52 Cost of Illness Model (OLS Log-linear Model) Acute Symptom Incidence Model (Poisson Regression) +Protective Clothing + Eating in fields (Poisson Model) (Probit Model) + First aid knowledge + Leaking sprayers (Probit Model) (Probit Model) Figure 2.1: Structure of Econometric Analysis 53 REFERENCES Antle, J .M., and P.L.Pingali. “Pesticides, Productivity and Farmer Health: A Philippine Case Study.” American Journal of A gricultural Economics. 76(1994):418-30. 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Pest Management and Food Production: Looking to the Future. 2020 Vision, Food Agriculture and the Environment, Discussion Paper 25, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington DC, USA, 1998. Zilberman, D., and F. Castillo. “Economic and Health Consequences of Pesticide Use in Developing Country Agriculture: Discussion.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 76(1994):603-04. Zimbabwe Ministry of Lands, Agriculture and Rural Resettlement. Guidelines for the Safe and Eflective Use of Pesticides. Agricultural Technical and Extension Services, Harare, Zimbabwe, 1986. 60 APPENDICES Appendix Al: Langragian Function The associated Langragian function is given by: (I) L = U(Y,GJD +1(0’Y(X) -Wx)-(WaA+ Wg G+th))+fl(Hm-H(XP.M” 11, A)) First order conditions: (2) dL/dx: 1(p6Y/6x—w) —u 6H/6x =0 (3) JL/dG: dU/dG-le =0 (4) dL/dh: -kWh—u6H/6h =0 (5)6L/61: pY(x)-wx- WaA- WgG-Whh =0 (6)6L/6u: Hm—H(G,x,h) =0 (7) 6L/6H: dU/6H+p =0 (8) 5L/5A: JeWa-y 6H/5A =0 Rearrange ( 7) to make u the subject of the formula and substituting the result into equation (4) i.e. first order conditions with respect to health care services to obtain the following: (9) u = - ( 6U/ 6H) (10) k = ((6U/6ID(6H/6h))/ W1. Substituting u in equation (9) into equation (2) and divide through by i. as follows: (11)p 6Y/6x = w- (6U/6H*§H/6x) ll Now substitute equation (10) into equation (11) to obtain the following: (12) p 6Y/6x = w - (Wh/(JU/6H*6H/dh)(6U/6H*6H/dx) Equating LHS of equations (11) and (12) we obtain the following expression: (13) w - (dU/aH*oH/dx) m = w - ( W,. /(dU/6H*6H/6h)(6U/6H*6H/5x) (14) (6U/6H*6H/6x)/.1 = ( Wh/(6U/6H*bH/6h)(6U/6H*6H/6x) (15)(6U/6H*6H/6x) /.z= / (6U/(SH*6H/6h) /1] = Wh(6U/6H*6H/6x) (6U/6H*6H/6x)/ W, (6U/6H*6H/6h ) 61 Table A1.1: Pesticide-related health symptoms for cotton growers, 1998/99 PESTICIDE-RELATED SAN YATI (N=140) CHIPINGE (N=140) SYMPTOMS % Number % Number Acute Health Costs (Z5 Mean) 180 3 16 Acute Health Symptoms Skin irritations 67.4 95 55.0 77 Eye irritations 37.6 53 26.4 37 Stomach poisoning 7.1 10 12.1 17 Systemic Health Symptoms Nausea 1.4 2 5.7 8 Vomiting 1.4 2 0.0 0 Abdominal pains 9.2 13 2.9 4 Blurred vision 5.0 7 6.4 9 Dizziness 19.9 28 10.0 14 Nasal bleeding 1.4 2 0.7 1 Severe headache 3.5 5 0.0 0 Coughing 1.4 2 1.4 2 Sneezing 9.2 13 0.0 0 Diarrhea 0.0 0 1.4 2 Multiple symptoms 7.8 1 1 23.6 33 None of the above 39.7 56 47.9 67 Chronic Health symptoms Type of Individual Affected Household head 20.6 29 1 1.5 16 Spouse 21.3 30 4.3 6 Child 2.1 3 13.7 19 Resident relative 5.0 7 7.9 1 1 None 49.6 69 61.4 85 Chronic diseases surveyed: 1=Cancer 2=Back pain 3=Lung problem 4=Blindness Source: Field survey data, 1999. 62 Table Al.2: Pesticide—related farmer health characteristics in study regions, 1998/99 FARMER CHARACTERISTICS SAN YATI CHIPINGE N=141 N=140 Pesticide Applicator Health -Related Characteristics Current smoker (%) 22.7 26.4 Current drinker (%) 47.5 58.6 Previous smoker (%) 15.6 7.1 Previous drinker (%) 16.3 12.9 Eat in cotton fields (%) 9.9 27.9 Smoke in cotton fields (%) 2.1 5.0 Knowledge of first aid (%) 61.0 19.3 Ownership first aid kit (%) 6.4 2.1 Prophylactic spray (%) 29.8 25.9 Leaking sprayer (%) 39.0 34.3 No protective clothing (%) 3.6 34.3 Ownership of sprayer (%) 73.8 69.3 Average scouting (Sessions) 17 16 Smoking duration (Years) Mean 2.13 2.79 Standard Deviation 5.09 7.03 Alcohol Drinking Duration (Years) Mean 3.62 9.66 Standard deviation 6.61 13.70 Sick Days/Recuperation Period (Days) Mean 1.60 4.34 Standard Deviation 3.1 1 10.29 Clinical treatment costs (ZS) Mean 5.29 16.32 Standard Deviation 37.31 147.46 Health Information Sources Mean 2.06 1.29 Standard deviation 1.14 0.63 Source: Survey data, 1999. 63 Table A1.3: Distribution of pesticide storage strategies in study regions, 1998/99 PESTICIDE STORAGE SANYATI (%) N=141 CHIPINGE (%) STRATEGY N=140 Pesticide store-room 22.0 41.4 Pesticide and food store-room 35.5 17.9 Bedroom 30.5 17.1 Locked suitcase/trunk 4.3 2.1 Bush 0.7 0.7 None of the above 6.4 17.9 Source: Field Survey, 1999. 64 Table A1.4: Label literacy among cotton growers in survey areas, 1998/99 COLOR CODE TOXICITY SANYATI (%) N=138 CHIPINGE (%) N=140 RANKING Correct ranking all color codes 71.8 41.7 Most toxic color code identified 1.7 5.0 Least toxic color code identified 8.9 7.2 Complete ignorance 9.3 46.1 Source: Survey data, 1999 Table Al.5: Knowledge of triangles in correct order of toxicity, 1998/99 KNOWLEDGE OF COLOR CODE SANYATI SANYATI CHIPINGE CHIPINGE RANKING NUMBER PERCENT NUMBER PERCENT None 13 9.3 65 46.1 Partial 15 10.6 17 12.2 Complete 101 71.8 58 41.7 Total 129 91.7 140 100.0 Source: Survey data, 1999 Table A1.6: Pesticide use and toxicity classes by farmers in survey area, 1998/99 PESTICIDE TOXICITY PESTICIDE SANYATI CHIPINGE COLOR CODES (CLASSES) CLASS DISTRICT DISTRICT DESCRIPTION (%) N=140 (%) N=140 1. Purple Very Dangerous 5.1 5.1 11. Red Dangerous 54.3 19.9 111. Amber Poisonous 40.6 75.0 1V. Green Harmful if swallowed 0.0 0.0 Source: Field Survey data, 1999 65 Table A1.7: Cotton pesticides used in Sanyati and Chipinge districts, 1998/99 Chemical Chemical Common Color Chemical Dermal Oral Trade Name Name Code Group LDso LDso mg/kg mg/kg AGRITHRIN F ENVALERATE AMBER Pyrethroid >5000.0 45 1 FERNVALERATE FENVALERATE AMBER Pyrethroid >5000.0 45 l AGRITHRIN SUPER ESFENVALERATE RED Pyrethroid >5000.0. 75 to 88 PFUMO F ENVALERATE AMBER Pyrethroid >5000.0 45 1 MOTO F ENVALERATE AMBER Pyrerhroid >5000.0 451 CARBARYL CARBARYL AMBER Carbamate >2000.0 590.0 SEVIN CARBARYL AMBER Carbamate >2000.0 590.0 DIMETHOATE DIMETHOATE RED Organophosphate 1000.0 60.0 ROGOR DIMETHOATE RED Organophosphate 1000.0 230.0 KARATE LAMPDA- RED Pyrethroid >5000 1 1000 CYHALOTHRIN LARVIN THIODICARB RED Carbamate >2000.0 166.0 MARSHAL/SHASHA CARBOSULFAN RED Carbamate >2000 250 ONCOL BENFURACARB AMBER >2000 222.6 THIODAN ENDOSULFAN PURPLE Organochlorine 256.0 44.9 THIONEX ENDOSULF AN PURPLE Organochlorine 256.0 44.9 MITAC AMITRAZ AMBER Acaricide >2000.0 1000.0 to 2000.0 MONOCROTOPHOS MONOCROTOPHOS PURPLE Organophosphate l 26 1 8 NUVACRON MONOCROTOPHOS PURPLE Organophosphate 126 18 AZODRIN MONOCROTOPHOS PURPLE Organophosphate 126 1 8 SECURE CHLORFENAPYR RED Organophosphate >2000 44 1 F ASTAC ALPHAMETHRIN AMBER Organochlorine >2000 79-400 Source: 1.Field Survey, 1999 2. www.cdms.net/ldt/mp27QOOO.pdf 3.The Pesticide Manual, 1997 66 Table A1.8: Spaying equipment distribution in cotton growing regions, 1998/99 SPRAYER TYPE SANYATI DISTRICT CHIPINGE DISTRICT (%) N=141 (%) N=140 Knapsack 68.80 42.00 Ultra-Low —Volume (U LV) 5.00 26.40 No sprayer 26.20 31.40 Hired sprayer 10.00 1.00 Source: Field survey data, 1999 Table A1.9: Average cotton pesticide applications by region, 1998/99 CHEMICAL APPLICATIONS SANYATI (%) CHIPINGE (%) PER SEASON N=129 N=114 Less than 3 64.00 20.00 Between 4 and 7 26.80 31.20 Between 8 and l l 0.00 14.20 Between 12 and 14 0.00 3.50 More than 15 0.00 11.30 Source: Field survey data, 1999 Table Al.10: Pesticide-related treatment patterns in survey areas, 1998/99 PESTICIDE-RELATED HEALTH SANYATI CHIPINGE AILMENT °/o TREATED % TREATED Stomach Poisoning 2.8 5.0 Skin Irritation 2.8 7.9 Eye Irritation 2.1 7.9 Mean 2.6 6.9 N 140 140 Source: Field survey, 1999 67 Table A1.11: Types of protective clothing worn by pesticide applicators, 1998/99. PROTECTIVE CLOTHING SANYATI (%) N=140 CHIPINGE (%) N=140 Rubber boots 88.0 37.8 Protective eye glasses 29.6 10.0 Long sleeved overall 93.8 53.3 Face mask 56.4 20.6 Respirator 57.0 25.0 Rubber gloves 61.2 27.8 Source: Field survey data, 1999 Table A.12: Mean health costs as a proportion of household income and costs HEALTH COSTS AS PERCENT OF COST/INCOME SANYATI (%) CHIPINGE(%) ITEM N=140 N=140 Total chemical cost outlay 45 83 Cotton sales revenue 2 5 Off -fann income 14 6 Source: Field survey data, 1999 68 CHAPTER 3 ADOPTION OF COTTON I.P.M. IN ZIMBABWE: THE ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY AWARENESS AND PESTICIDE-RELATED HEALTH RISKS 3.0 Introduction In Africa, crop protection is centered on chemical control of pests with alternative approaches still in minimal use (Adesina, 1994; Ajayi, 1999). Cash crops like cotton have relied on chemical pesticides but the limitations of chemical pest control have become increasingly clear to both farmers and policy makers. Pesticide use in Africa has been tied to small farm credit programs (Fleischer, 1999). Although the application of chemical pesticides has alleviated pest problems in the short term, pesticide use has led to negative extemalities such as secondary pest outbreaks, development of pesticide resistance and the destruction of natural enemies thereby putting farmers in a vicious pesticide treadmill (Burrows, 1983;World Bank, 1996). The calendar-based techniques are increasingly being questioned for a number of reasons. First, these traditional chemical-based pest management tactics have failed to provide essential ingredients for sustainable crop production, which includes the attainment of multiple benefits such as effective pest control, raising agricultural productivity and minimum damage to the environment. Second, chemical control of pests has elevated occupational health hazards particularly in less developed countries (LDCS) where farmers do not afford protective clothing (Cole et al., 1998; Loewenson and Nhachi 1996; WHO, 1990). Rising concern for public health risks of pesticide use as well as its burden on the environment has added momentum to the need to re-evaluate the current chemical-based pest management practices (Rola and Pingali, 1993). Until the past decade, the debate advocating the substitution of pest control based exclusively on 69 chemicals with new approaches such as integrated pest management (IPM)15 has not been strong in Africa. Local constituents advocating the protection of the environment and public health are still in their development stages on the continent. Yet the farmers’ low level of literacy and education makes the overall risk of exposure to pesticide greater than elsewhere in the world despite the fact that Africa uses about 2% of the world chemical sales (Kiss and Meerman, 1993;Fleischer, 1999). The benefits of knowledge-based technologies such as IPM in reducing over- application of pesticides thus improving productivity, human health and the environment have been demonstrated in a number of studies conducted mostly in developed countries (Fernandez-Cornejo, 1998; Swinton, et al., 1999; Norton and Mullen, 1993;Thomas et al., 1990) and also in Asia (Antle and Pingali, 1994) and South America (Antle et al., 1998). The momentum for the development of IPM is relatively high in Asia but is still very limited in Africa (Adesina, 1994). The general consensus on IPM recognizes that control of pests exclusively with pesticides satisfies a short-term need. An increasing number of development agencies including the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the International Labor Organization (ILO) and the World Health Organization (WHO) observe that priority should be given to education of pesticide users and promoting systems that restrict or eliminate pesticide use (Weber, 1996). Smallholder cotton growers can make the transition from the use of calendar- based chemical pest management through exposure to Farmer Field School (FFS)'6. The '5 1PM is a sustainable approach to managing pests by combining biological, cultural, physical, and chemical tools in a way that minimizes economic, health, and environmental risks (Vandeman et a1 1994). '6 FFS is a participatory training approach that uses discovery-based learning techniques in pest and crop management. Its aim is to help farmer groups understand agro-ecosystems analysis in order to cope with biotic (insect, pests and weeds) and abiotic (water soil and weather) stresses (Rola, undated). Farmer-to- 70 concept of F FS arose from the dual problem of development of pesticide resistance and increasing health risks among farmers in rice—based monocultures in Asia. The FSS philosophy revolves on four principles; (1) growing a healthy crop, (2) weekly field observations, (3) conserving natural enemies and (4) understanding the field ecology including water and nutrient management (Fleischer et al., 1999). In Zimbabwe, this approach is being used to disseminate Integrated Production and Pest Management (IPPM)l7 technology widely viewed as the means to ameliorate the pesticide menace. IPPM, unlike single item innovations such as high-yielding varieties (HYVs), relies on multiple pest management practices, soil and water conservation, and weather assessments in making pest management interventions. It is essential to understand how such an information-intensive technology is adopted in practice if its prospects for widespread implementation are to be fulfilled. Although several studies have examined the adoption of IPM in cotton, (Thomas,1990; Ladewig and McIntosh, 1990; F emandez—Comejo, 1996; Napit et al., 1988), none addresses the smallholder context and none focuses on Africa. Our study differs from previous studies in that we focus on an emerging innovation still in its early stage of the diffusion cycle in a region that has received no similar systematic studies in the past. This study looks at the adoption of different cotton pest management practices by smallholders in transition from conventional calendar-based chemical pest control to FFS-IPPM strategy. In particular it examines the roles of 1) IPM technology awareness and 2) health experience related to pesticide use. farmer approaches are then used to spread IPM knowledge as the process involves selecting farmers who excel in each FFS group and empowering them to subsequently train other farmers in their own villages. 7l 3.1 Problem Overview The indiscriminate use of toxic pesticides is associated with farmer health and environmental risks. The severe danger from pesticide use implies that a reduction of pesticides has to take place. The development of risk-reducing technologies such as IPM is now the preferred approach in pest management worldwide. Although farmer pesticide use in Africa is relatively low compared to Asia, there are signs of misuse that require urgent solutions. In Asia, heavy pesticide use in food crops especially rice has triggered widespread farmer health problems (Antle and Pingali, 1994). However, pesticide use among smallholders in Africa is associated with cash crop cultivation especially cotton and tobacco (Sukume, 1999). A key question therefore is how can Africa’s export crop production avoid the errors of Asia’s pesticide misuse. Developed countries have laws and regulations to limit the negative effects of pesticides yet comparable systems of laws and surveillance have been established only recently in LDCs (Frank, 1996). Given that IPM is viewed as a more effective pest management option, the next question is: How best can it be implemented under smallholder cotton production systems in Africa? The IPM approach has been well received in Asia, Indonesia and Philippines in particular, and it is in Africa’s best interest to draw useful lessons from Asia’s success with F FS-IPM. The opportunity cost of not adopting IPM is relatively high in LDCs were most farmers using toxic pesticides have the additional burden of being illiterate and lack protective clothing (Kiss and Meerman, 1993). Despite the fact that IPM is widely recommended, it is still less widely used in LDCs (CAB International et al.,1991). For instance, pesticides remain the dominant pest management tactic in most African 3IPPM combines 1PM approaches to manage pests and improve crop production management under mixed farming systems in rural areas of Zimbabwe; it aims to increase crop productivity through interventions in 72 countries even though majority farmers cannot afford pesticides (Ajayi, 1999; Kiss, 1995). Currently, there is little information about actual adoption of IPM in smallholder agricultural production in Africa. Empirical evidence from Asia where IPM has been well received shows that pesticide use can have negative effects on farmer health causing reductions in farmer productivity (Antle and Pingali, 1994). Assessment of the Indonesia National IPM program and Philippine IPM for rice farmers reveals that IPM is a successful framework for alleviating pest problems leading to higher crop returns and a reduction of both environmental liabilities and human health risks associated with intensive use of agro- chemicals (Rola and Pingali,l993; Cuyno, 1999; World Bank, 1997). In India, pest suppression was found to be more efficient in bio-control-based IPM with consequent increase in cotton yields of up to 33% compared to farmers’ practices of plant protection (Rajendran and Bambawale, 1994). However, a slow down in IPM adoption in the Philippines has been attributed to the fact that its benefits are not apparent in the short- run (Rola, undated). In contrast, empirical evidence on the adoption of IPM in Africa is scant (Jowa, 1993; F oti, 1999). In Kenya, F FS has empowered local farmers to make more efficient crop management decisions that include assessing crop health and natural enemy activity prior to applying pesticide treatment (Loevinsohn, et al., 1998). The strength of the discovery-based, experimental group-learning model relative to the traditional ‘top- down’ pest control recommendations is that it takes into account important crop interactions and prevailing field conditions. The F FS approach is now considered the both pests and production management. 73 standard procedure to implement IPM in Asia and is slowly spreading to Latin America and Africa (Fleischer et al., 1999). Zimbabwe cotton offers a useful test case for determinants of IPM adoption among smallholders with and without exposure to comprehensive extension training. Zimbabwe cotton growers make intensive use of pesticides to control major pests such as aphids (aphis), heliothis bollworm (helicoverpa), termites, stainers (dysdercus) and red spider mites (tetranychus). Cotton IPM-F F S was initiated among smallholders in the Sanyati district of the Midlands Province in north central Zimbabwe during 1997 with help from F AO’s IPM Global Facility. By 1999, two classes of farmers had graduated from FFSs with IPPM training in cotton production. This early stage of IPPM awareness offers a timely opportunity to analyze IPM adoption determinants among Sanyati cotton farmers, including the technology awareness effect embodied in FFS training. 3.2 Study Objectives The main purpose of this study is to determine the factors that influence the adoption of IPM practices in smallholder cotton production in Zimbabwe, and to explore the resulting policy implications. Knowledge of the key factors driving the adoption of IPM will facilitate policy formulation, program planning and targeting, and diagnosing constraints in existing methods of IPM dissemination. Therefore, the study addresses a serious challenge facing researchers, extension workers and policy makers involved in the development and implementation of an appropriate IPM strategy for smallholder mixed-cropping systems in Africa. Results also provide insights into the prospects for widespread implementation of IPM in Africa. We hypothesize that pesticide-related health risks positively influence IPM adoption. The remainder of the paper will be 74 organized in the following way. First, the evolution and adoption of IPM in LDCS are highlighted. Second, we develop a working definition of IPM for Zimbabwe cotton. Third, we present an economic behavioral model for IPM adoption followed by specification of the empirical model. Next, results of the econometric estimation are presented and discussed. The final section summarizes the paper and discusses key policy implications. 3.3 The Diffusion of IPM Technologies in Less Developed Countries (LDCs) In a few countries where IPM has been introduced in Africa (e. g. cotton in Sudan Uganda, and Zimbabwe is now in IPM mode even if only recently), implementation weaknesses in some instances have been associated with farmer’s inability to recognize both key pests and beneficial insects a key dimension of IPM use. Also in some cases, farmers are unable to distinguish between stress caused by water deficiency and high temperatures relative to that arising from disease and insect damage. However, the impact of factors that constrain early phases of diffusion processes tends to differ and decline as the technology reaches final stage of the diffusion process (F eder and Umali, 1993). One of the essential aspects of IPM diffusion is the integration of technical and social knowledge (World Bank, 1997). In particular, knowledge about specific pests as well as location specific farm management systems is critical for the successful design and dissemination of IPM approaches. Some major limiting factors to the successful implementation of IPM-related technologies are lack of farmer-focused research and the availability of effective and competitive alternative non-chemical techniques (World Bank, 1997). In many countries, imbalances exist between IPM dissemination and 75 extension curriculum that emphasizes chemical control at the expense of non-chemical options (Pincus et al., 1997). Apart from Asia, there is also growing evidence of successful development and use of IPM in South America (soybeans in Brazil) (Gallagher, 1988). However, evidence from Ecuador highlights the fact that farmers are at risk of excessive exposure due to widespread ignorance of pesticide poisoning symptoms and lack of personal protective equipment (Crissman et al., 1994). Therefore, one of the leading concerns of pesticide use in LDCs is that farmer’s health is seriously compromised by unsafe application practices (Rola and Pingali, 1993; Tjomhom et al., 1997). The problems of pest resistance, pest resurgence and emergence of secondary pests in Africa further justify the need for IPM diffusion Kiss (1995). In Africa, rice IPM pilot programs based on F F S-concept were launched in Ghana, Mali, Cote D’Ivoire and Burkina Faso in1994. Over the past five years, IPM- FFSs have expanded to Sudan, East and Central, and Southern Africa regions. Increasingly, the IPM approach has become popular with both African governments and development agencies interested in broader issues of integrated crop and pest management, and various versions of IPM have been tried in the different countries (Gallagher, 1998). Despite successes in a few countries, widespread implementation of IPM is still an elusive goal in most parts of the world. The momentum for the diffusion of improved technology such as IPM is slowed by policies that discriminate against agriculture in many countries (Birkhaeuser et al., 1991). Past experience shows that immediate and uniform adoption of agricultural innovations is very rare. In addition, technology 76 adoption and diffusion differs across socio-economic groups and over time (F eder et al., 1982). In Africa, the use of Economic Threshold Levels (ETL)18 is still underdeveloped and requires refinement (Kiss and Meerman, 1993). Also, IPM technologies oriented toward single pests pose serious weaknesses as the challenge lies with development of ETL for several pests (Rola and Pingali, 1993). Outbreak of secondary pests in Africa makes this approach imperative for successful cotton IPM adoption. 3.4 Current Status of IPM Adoption in Less Developed Countries (LDCS) Experiences from LDCS suggest that successful adoption of IPM on a wide scale requires the following key elements;1) establishing an enabling environment for IPM by eradicating policies in support of environmentally unsustainable pest management and strengthening regulatory institutions, and 2) targeted support for measures that promote the uptake of IPM, such as, public awareness, research, extension and training with an emphasis on decentralized farmer centered initiatives (World Bank, 1997). The desired broad constituency in favor of IPM adoption can be achieved through a clear definition of institutional roles and responsibilities of pest management stakeholders. Also, the World Bank advocates the adoption of a national IPM strategy as crucial for enlisting the necessary commitment to IPM adoption. Such a strategy can secure broad institutional support by addressing both upstream policy elements and on-farm IPM uptake. The introduction of a national IPM strategy has been adopted relatively easily in countries '8 Economic Threshold Level is the breakeven point at which the dollar value for an increment of loss in yield quantity or quality is equal to the cost of a control method that successfully eliminates pest damage and yield loss (Kiss and Meerman, 1993). 77 where research evidence has proved that pesticides are not increasing yields significantly (World Bank, 1997). A critical constraint to IPM adoption in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is the shortage of low-cost IPM technologies that are relevant to the mixed farming systems prevalent on the continent. Besides, encouraging a broad base of farmers to experiment with new practices remains a challenge (World Bank, 1997). IPM adoption relies on farmer-to-farmer diffusion, yet knowledge diffusion by graduates is gender biased as men diffuse to men and women to women. Similarly, an age bias among graduates of FFS in SSA has been reported as IPM adoption by older farmers dominates younger farmers (Loevinsohn, et al., 1998). Inadequate interaction between researchers, extension workers and farmers has inhibited local understanding and adoption of the IPM technologies that are being introduced in Africa (Gallagher, 1998). In Asia, evidence from Philippines shows that farmers have misconceptions about pests and natural enemies; with leaf eaters generally considered as most important pests. Mismatch between pest damage and responsible pests and confusion between rice and vegetable pests seemed common among farmers. Further, additional IPM adoption hurdle in Asia has been the widespread lack of knowledge about pest resurgence and action thresholds among rice and vegetable farmers (Lazaro et al., 1995). According to Rola and Pingali, (1993), biological control tended to receive less attention in most IPM activities in Asia. Similar deficiencies were identified in cotton-IPM adoption studies in Uganda where farmers failed to recognize some species of insects as beneficiaries (Kiss, 1995). Empirical evidence on whether multi-component technology like IPM is adopted individually or in package has been mixed and it still requires further research (Feder and 78 Umali, 1993). Evidence of stepwise adoption patterns of agro-chemical technological components has been reported in the literature (Byerlee and Hesse de Polanco, 1986). Conversely, the sequential adoption hypothesis was later challenged in a study of maize production in Swaziland where farmers were reported to adopt technologies in clusters (Rauniyar and Goode (1992) cited in Feder and Umali, 1993). A later study indicates that the adoption decision is inherently multivariate and univariate modeling excludes valuable economic information (Dorfman, 1996). Since, uncertainty about productive performance of a technological package decreases with experience, while confidence increases with positive experience, usually early adopters choose to adopt only parts of a package rather than a complete package (Feder and Umali, 1993). Generalizing adoption patterns is difficult due to differences in technology adOption arising from diverse agro- climatic regions and farmer’s socio-economic conditions. 3.5 Defining Smallholder Cotton-IPM Adoption The successful assessment of any IPM strategy begins with a clear definition of what is being assessed. Typically, IPM involves a number of pest management practices that are both location and crop specific. There is no consensus in the literature as to what specific pest management practices constitute IPM. IPM definitions have been classified as either “input-oriented” or “output-oriented” (vainton and Williams, 1998). The latter focus on desired outcomes such as profitability, human health and environmental quality while the former relate to specific IPM practices. Assuming an input-oriented approach, pest management practices can be grouped together and IPM defined as low, medium and high level (Vandeman, 1994; Mullen et al., 1997). Other studies have assigned points to different practices and defined adoption along a scale (Hollings-worth et a1 cited in 79 Swinton and Williams, 1998). Yet others have considered both the proportion of practices and the degree of economic importance of the pest. In our study we use the “input- oriented approach” and focus on the actual number of IPM practices. We characterize the cotton growers in terms of how many IPM practices have been adopted. For the purpose of this study, the specific cotton IPM and production practices examined include; (1) alternating pesticides to slow development of pest resistance, (2) use of less toxic and safer chemicals, (3) adjusting pesticide application frequency and timing, (4) pest scouting (5) adjusting planting dates, (6) use of beneficial insects in pest management, and cultural practices such as (7) crop rotation, (8) legally enforced closed season (or field sanitation) to stop pest carry-over, and (9) use of trap crops. The potential range of adoption was from 0 to 9. However, we did not ask the farmers to rank the relative importance of each IPM practice. 3.6 Methodology and Data 3.6.1 Economic Behavioral Model Typically, individual households are the primary decision makers concerning agricultural innovations, implying that a household behavioral model is key to understanding the adoption-diffusion process (Feder et al., 1993). Assume the model of an individual. household producing multiple crop outputs using multiple inputs that include pesticides. The household maximizes a utility-function U(7r) that is increasing in net returns (7:) subject to constraints from fixed factors. Several assumptions are made in specifying the model. First, we assume that farmers consider health costs as cost of production. This implies that farmers do care about both economic and pesticide-related health problems associated with the use of 80 agro-chemicals. Also, agrochemical exposure is assumed to reduce health status of the farmer. Second, cotton production and management decisions can be described as static profit maximization or cost minimization. Third, farmers are sensitive to downside yield risk. Fourth, family and hired labor are homogenous and are considered as perfect substitutes when used in cotton production. The labor market is competitive and the returns to farm work and off-farm work are equilibrated. Finally, we also assume that agro-chemicals contribute to cotton productivity only indirectly via reduction in the population of pests, which are considered in our case as the damage agents. In that respect, smallholder cotton yields are an indirect function of pesticides applied since production functions that treat pesticides as yield increasing inputs over- estimate marginal productivity. Lichtenberg and Zilberrnan (1986) were among the first to point out that pesticides should be modeled as damage control inputs just like sprinklers for frost protection. Suppose that the actual cotton yield (19 is given by: (I) Y = Y ”(Iowa-ma)» and Y”=f(p ,, p ., K.L,I.Z) where the potential pest-free cotton yield Y0 is a function of cotton price p y, prices p x for all variable inputs including pesticides, labor, fertilizer, seeds, and credit; K is fixed physical capital such as land, L is labor, I is pest management information and Z represents conditioning factors such as soil type, rainfall, farmer’s education, gender, experience and managerial capacity. But the actual yield Y, depends on pest damage and its abatement. Therefore, D(.) represents the pest damage function"), N is the pest pressure and X p is the pesticide or damage control agent purchased at price p p. Pesticide efficacy range is such that (0, *+a22,+u, where A; is the expected cotton cultivated area in period t, P,* is the expected price in period t, The vector P; comprises prices expected by the farmer in future periods. If farmers rely on past information of the series when planning production to maximize profits, then the expected prices are functions of past prices P,*=/1(P,, P,. 1, P,.2,. ..) (Sarmiento and Allen, 2000, Martin, 1992). Additional supply shifters Z, in period t include prices of substitute and complementary crops, government policy, technological change and weather, and u, is the stochastic error term. Desired acreage behavior is hypothesized as: (I) At 7414:5641. ' At—I) 113 where LHS represents actual change in acreage between two periods, Aft-AH is the desired change between two periods, and 6 is known as the coefficient of adjustment with range 0< 5<1. Therefore, rearranging equation (2) we have: (3) A, =5A,* +(1-6)A,., Substituting the desired acreage (1) above and the Nerlove price expectations P,*=P,.1 into (3) gives us the acreage response model: (4) A,= 60+ 5, AM +5; P,.1+§3 Z, + u, Estimates of price responses have also been obtained from functional forms based on actual yield equations presented below: (5) Yi=flo+flrYp +fl2PH+fl3Zi+ei where Y, is actual yield at time t and Y ” is potential yield at time t given by Y ,” =Za V4,..- for i=1...k where k =1 for annual crops (Bond, 1983). Past studies have demonstrated the role of farm sizes in supply response analysis (Adelaja, 1991; Sedjo and Lyon, 1996). AS already noted, the dichotomy in Zimbabwe’s cotton production in terms of external input use, scale of operation, yields, and property rights allows us to model cotton supply response as two separate functions. Also, the recommended long-staple irrigated LSC cotton varieties differ considerably from the rain-fed medium staple varieties grown mostly by smallholders, which further justify our disaggregation approach (ZCH, 1998). The basic differences between these varieties create grade differences that fetch distinct prices leading to different price responses. Further, because LSC farmers tend to have irrigation, drought has differential impacts across the two sectors. In addition to the risk management ability attributed to variations in capital intensity and economic status of the 114 growers, the adjustment process is influenced by factors like differential access to productive land, and to credit and product markets. Although the GOZ traditionally announces post planting or pre-harvest prices during the month of March or April, at planting time in October farmers must anticipate the future government-determined cotton price. Given the GOZ’s policy of annual review of agricultural prices, we assume that cotton growers’ price expectations are systematically formed in a forward-looking manner, suggesting that Zimbabwe’s cotton farmers have rational rather than na'i've price expectations”. After SAPS, the Zimbabwe Maize Commodity Exchange (ZIMACE) and COTTCO have offered more opportunities for forward fixed price contracts to growers further justifies the rational expectations argument (COTTCO, 1996). The formation of price expectations has been reviewed extensively in the literature (Askari and Cummings, 1976). We expect that cotton acreage will be positively and inversely correlated with its own price and price of substitute crops respectively. In SSA, weather plays an important role, as most agricultural production is rain- fed. It is estimated that at least 60% of SSA is vulnerable to drought and up to 30% is highly vulnerable (Benson and Clay, 1998). The role of risk in supply response has been noted (Antonovitz and Green, 1990). Other work has used residuals from yield trend model as a proxy for quantifying climatic risks (Jaeger, 1992). In addition to the negative effect due to climatic risks, a number of African countries have been coping with conflicts and civil strife which have devastating effects on their agriculture (Lele, 1990; 28 We assume that expectations are formed in a rational or forward-looking manner rather than an adaptive (backward-looking or na‘lve) manner. Rational expectations assume economic agents use current and relevant information in forming expectations and do not solely rely on the past (Gujarati, 1995; Soludo, 1998) 115 Messer et a1 1998). Civil war is linked to destruction of physical, human, and social capital including disruption of markets and other forms of social and economic order (World Bank, 2001). External factors like trade deficits and the debt burden have also been hostile to growth and development in Africa (Ajayi, 1994). In addition to addressing the structural imbalances, SAPS have serious social and economic consequences. In Zimbabwe’s case, we expect exogenous shocks like ESAP and peace in Mozambique MOZPEACE to have positive supply response effect among the cotton growers. Some SSA countries such as Malawi, Tanzania and Mozambique have had a history of forced cotton acreage although this has not been the experience of Zimbabwe (Isaacman, 1996; Kydd, 1982; Shapiro, 1974). In the absence of forced cotton acreage, we assume independent cotton acreage decisions are a good proxy for the aggregate cotton supply in the respective subsectors (Ogbu and Gbetibouo, 1990; Bond 1983). Also, area planted is under the control of the farmer to a much greater degree than output, which is subject to drought, pests and other exogenous shocks (Townsend and Thirtle, 1997). As in conventional supply analysis, current period acreage is highly correlated with acreage in previous years (Martin, 1998, Parhusip, 1976). Considering this, the dependent variable is lagged one time period as an independent variable. The lagged acreage for the LSC LLSAREA and smallholder farmers LCAREA respectively are expected to have a positive effect on acreage response. Agricultural output prices, input costs, exchange rates, wages, interest rates, market imperfections and information are central to most discussions on responsiveness of agriculture to policy and should be taken into account (Jaeger, 1992; Townsend and Thirtle, 1998). The annual government guaranteed prices are used as output and input 116 price expectations. The prices are assessed in nominal terms as this represents what the farmers use in their land allocation decisions. Since tobacco has not been a controlled commodity, we used the average annual price at the Zimbabwe Tobacco Auction Sales Floors. Maize and sorghum are the two major crops that compete with cotton for land and labor in the smallholder sector while tobacco is considered the leading competitor in LSC agriculture. The input price used in the model is ammonium nitrate fertilizer prices ANFPRICE. We assume that a rise in fertilizer price induces a reduction in cotton acreage. Macroeconomic variables that form part of our analysis are nominal exchange rates EXCHRA TE and interest rates INTEREST. The exchange rate is a measure of agricultural competitiveness (Dibley et al., 1996). It also captures the financial risk induced by international price distortions in both factor and product markets. Zimbabwe exports about 70% of her hand picked cotton to niche markets in Europe, the Far East, South Africa and South America. Also, exchange rate devaluation29 is a critical determinant of the distribution of income in a country as it influences the returns to producers or consumers of tradable goods. Devaluation has a dual effect on the profitability equation. On the revenue side, it raises the dollar price of internationally tradable export commodities like cotton relative to non-tradable but on the cost side it increases the price of imported machinery, and it spurs domestic inflation which can “undo” its potential benefits (Dibley, et al., 1996; Poulton, 1998). Smith“ (1989) also notes that devaluation timing, export taxes, and unequal market bargaining power may 29 Exchange rate devaluation is a reduction in the nominal value of the local currency relative to another currency or group of currencies and it represents an increase in the cost of foreign exchange when paid for in local currency (Dibley et al., 1996). 117 “cream off” potential producer price increase from devaluation. Its effect on acreage response cannot be determined a priori. Access to capital is critical in any supply response model and interest rates are a proxy for LSC growers’ access to productive capital in support of cotton cultivation. We also expect the level of legislated minimum wage MIWAGE to affect cotton acreage response. It is reasonable given that cotton cultivators use hired labor especially during labor—peak periods like weeding and harvesting. The price of labor used in the final model is the official minimum wage in Zimbabwe. We expect a rise in wages to increase production costs and hence lower the cotton acreage. Higher wages increase the attractiveness of off-farm employment and thus offer disincentives to smallholder cotton acreage expansion (Kydd, 1992). However, the negative effects are easily diluted by the practice of voluntary labor exchange among the rural households. Key non-price factors such as physical infrastructure, credit, extension and research also play a major role (Lele, 1989; Savadogo et al., 1995). Change in technology are a dominant factor in explaining supply response although there is no direct measure of “changes in technology” hence the use of a proxy such as time which assumes a smooth change in technology of equal amounts each period (Townsend and Thirtle, 1997). Comia et al., (1987) observes that supply capacity in Africa is severely constrained by technical training. This study uses the annual number of graduates at the Cotton Training Center as a proxy for technology development and transfer. We expect the trained graduates to make more informed choices about land allocation, and to implement innovative ideas in choosing cotton varieties, pest scouting, soil and water management, and record keeping. The training variable is expected to positively 118 influence both smallholder and LSC cotton acreage. Other important non-price supply shifters analyzed include size of the smallholder cattle herd that represents access to draft power, a form of rural capital (Eicher and Baker, 1982; Savadogo et al., 1995). Draft power variable was excluded in the final model, as it was statistically insignificant. Due to limited data range, we could not estimate models with a rich lag structure, as it would have reduced both the degrees of freedom and the measurement power of the estimated model (Sarmiento and Allen, 2000). Given that the range for our data is 17 years, we decided to adopt a more parsimonius model. Variables included in the final model are grouped into four categories; farm size, product and factor prices, macroeconomic and institutional variables, and exogenous factors. The LSC and smallholder supply models differ in terms of Z, values and relative prices. Macroeconomic variables such as EXCHRA TE and INTEREST are deliberately excluded from the smallholder model. Exchange rate movements are more likely to affect acreage decisions and hence export revenue for LSC farmers who face competing needs for land for diverse export crops such as tobacco, flowers, paprika and soybeans. More importantly, changes in the exchange rate affect the rental price of imported machinery and machinery parts. We expect the exchange rate to influence the LSC cotton growers’ diversification strategies more than smallholders who use hoe-cultivation. The latter’s acreage decisions are more likely to be influenced by household consumption decisions suggesting that land allocation between food and cash crops is a paramount factor which is captured by the inclusion of the relative price of the substitute crops. Further, the information gap makes it highly unlikely for them to use the exchange rate in their acreage decisions. 119 Nearly all LSC cotton growers have collateral and hence ready access to financial credit. It is therefore reasonable to assume that fluctuations in interest rates affects LSC farmer’s access to capital, and is a critical ingredient for their acreage decisions. Since LSC cotton grower’s operations are highly mechanized, we consider the variable cattle as irrelevant in the Specification of their acreage response model. Instead, cattle is considered a proxy for capital in smallholder agriculture but was eventually dropped from the final model as it turned out insignificant. Supply response model Specification requires a clear understanding of the farming system. As already highlighted, food crops compete with cotton for land and labor in Zimbabwe’s smallholder agriculture while in the same vein tobacco competes with cotton on LSC farms. This explains why the relative prices are different in the two models. It is also important to note that autoregressive supply response models are subject to specification errors and diagnostic tests are needed to correct any such problems (Greene, 1997; Ferris 1998). 4.2.2 Empirical Econometric Model From the fore-going considerations, we present the general structure of the auto- regressive cotton acreage response model estimated: (5) (LSC cotton acreage), =f(lagged acreage, product prices, input prices, macroeconomic factors, institutional factors, exogenous shocks) The smallholder acreage supply model is similar, except that macroeconomic variables are excluded as largely irrelevant. ( 6) (Smallholder cotton acreage)Ff(lagged acreage, product prices, input prices, institutional factors, exogenous shocks) The empirical models are Specified mathematically as follows: 120 ( 7) LSAREA= ,1 (LLSAREA, COTTONP, TOBACCOP, ANFPRICE, WAGE, TRAINING EXCHRA TE, INTEREST, LDROUGH T, MOZPEACE, ESAP) + e , (8) CAREA = ¢ (LCAREA, COTTONP, MAIZEP, SOGH UMP, ANFPRICE, WAGE, TRAINING, LDROUGH T, MOZPEA CE, ESAP) + u , 4.2.3. Data Considerations The data used in the analysis were obtained from various publications (Table 4.1) including the Zimbabwe Ministry of Agriculture (ZMOA, 1999), Central Statistical Office (C80) (1989), Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ), (RBZ, 1995), Cotton Training Center (J arachara, personal communication), and the National Employment Council (N EC). These sources provided quantitative data on annual cultivated cotton area, yields, crop producer prices, fertilizer prices, interest rates, wages, exchange rates and training levels at CTC. Most of the data covers the period from independence in 1980 to 1997. Our analysis focuses on this period first, because of the extensive controls that existed in cotton pricing and marketing policy before 1990. Second, because we are interested in analyzing the impact of SAPS implemented in1990 by the GOZ. Third, because of the reliability of aggregate level data collected after the war period, such data offers the background for understanding cotton’s acreage historical transformation and its growth potential. 4.3. Empirical Results Several diagnostic tests30 were conducted to address the problem of model misspecification. Both the LSC and smallholder cotton acreage series were stationary and 3° Inspection of corellograms and preliminary unit root tests were made on all variables included in the final model. Both the Dickey Fuller (DF) unit root tests and corellograms showed no evidence of non- stationarity in the variables. The reported standard errors were corrected for a general form of 121 did not show any trends or random walk components. Since degrees of freedom were a premium, we estimated a structural model with parsimonious set of parameters. The supply response models use data in levels rather than logarithms based on results of MWD and RESET tests. Supply response modeled as differenced equations were rejected due to theoretical consistency problems. Secondly, potential loss of long-term relationships between cotton acreage and relevant economic variables resulting from use of differenced model enabled us to work with the levels model [Gujarati, 1995]. The explanatory power of the models is high as both regressions are highly significant. The coefficients of acreage adjustment for LSC and smallholders are respectively 0.78 and 0.61 although the former is insignificant. Based on the evidence, we infer that 61% of the discrepancy between the desired and actual smallholder cotton acreage is eliminated in a year. 4.3.1 Large Scale Commercial Cotton Supply Response Results Results show that contrary to policy makers’ expectations, the implementation of SAPS has contributed to a significant reduction in LSC cotton acreage in Zimbabwe (Table 4.2). The coefficient for SAP is negative and significant at 5% level. The result suggests evidence of structural change in LSC cotton cultivation due to SAPS. Expected SAP-induced cotton acreage expansion may have been undone by rising inflation rates, electricity prices, railway tariffs and the high cost of manufactured inputs resulting in a heteroscedasticity using the Huber-White method. Based on CRDW test for co-integration, neither model exhibits spurious regressions, as all the explanatory variables included in the respective models were cointegated with acreage at 5% and higher, a positive sign for stable long run relationship (Gujarati, 1995). The RESET test for functional form misspecification yields a value of 6.25 (LSC) and 0.45 (smallholder) less than the respective critical values of 7.71 and 5.99, indicating failure to reject the hypotheses of correct functional form. The MWD test identifies the levels model as suitable functional forms for both farmer groups. 122 negative impact on LSC cotton acreage. SAPS may also have added momentum for LSC growers to diversify out of cotton production as illustrated by a major downturn in cotton acreage after 1989. Given that SAPS are still ongoing under the Zimbabwe Program for Economic and Social Transformation3 I (ZIMPREST), their full impact can only be felt at the end of this program. Among LSC farmers, there is evidence of negative acreage response to the Mozambique peace process although it barely achieves statistical significance. We postulate that the peace settlement which saw the repatriation of Mozambican refugees back to their country may have resulted in the disappearance of previously available cheap labor making it more difficult for LSC farmers to find cotton pickers (Magadela, 1997). Further, the development of machine pickable varieties by the Cotton Research Institute is in response to decreasing hand picking labor supply following the departure of Mozambique refugees (ZCH, 1995). As expected, the coefficient for minimum wage MIWAGE has a negative significant impact on acreage. The negative sign provides evidence of economic hardship facing LSC growers following the legislation of minimum wages in agriculture soon after independence. As labor costs escalated, it became increasing difficult for LSC growers to hire contract laborers for harvesting cotton leading to a contraction in cotton acreage. The official minimum wage rose annually by about 32 % during the first decade of independence and it rose further by 21% per annum between 1990 and 1995. 3 ' The main objectives of ZIMPREST are synonymous with the GOZ’s 1981 “Growth With Equity Policy” which are to: restore macroeconomic stability (low inflation and interest rates, stable exchange rates), facilitate public and private sector savings and investment, promote economic empowerment and poverty alleviation through employment creation and to strengthen safety nets for the disadvantaged groups (ZIMPREST, 1998). 123 Ammonium nitrate fertilizer price ANFPRICE has an unexpected positive and significant effect on cotton acreage. A number of explanations can give rise to this scenario. Lack of viable alternative fertilizers to Ammonium Nitrate could be a factor. A possible explanation also, is that a positive coefficient suggests the presence of substitution effects between fertilizer and land in Zimbabwe’s commercial cotton production. The cotton price coefficient for LSC acreage model is positive and significant at 5% level. The result indicates that prices do matter and can be powerfiil engines of transformation (Berg, 1995). This highlights LSC growers responsiveness to econorrric incentives brought about by higher cotton prices. The coefficient for tobacco prices TOBACCOP is significant and has the expected negative sign. The relative price effect is theoretically consistent as we expect tobacco to compete for land and labor inputs with cotton. Among the macroeconomic variables, the coefficient for interest rate INTEREST is significant while that for exchange rate EXCHRA TE is insignificant. The coefficient for interest rate INTEREST has a statistically significant negative effect on LSC cotton supply response. Interest rates negatively affect the financial position of growers as well as the level of capital deployment. Zimbabwe’s nominal interest rates increased from 7.5% to 35.5% between 1980 and 1995 choking off potential investment in productive assets in support of cotton cultivation. High interest rates also exacerbate the level of farm indebtedness. The insignificance of the exchange rate variable should be put into context. Prior to SAPS, Zimbabwe had rigid controls in foreign exchange and the exchange rate was subjected to erratic depreciation in 1982, 1983,1988 and 1989. The over-valued 124 exchange rates in the 1980s meant that cotton growers were explicitly taxed as they were paid less than the farm-gate export parity prices. More systematic exchange rate devaluation only started after liberalization when the Z8 fell from U$1.00: Z$2.64, in 1990 down to U$l.00:Z$38.00 in 1999. Whether the devaluations brought the exchange rate to equilibrium is debatable. However, realignment of the exchange rate is expected to generate positive incentives to expand cotton acreage. Nonetheless, the evidence clearly Shows that LSC farmers are highly responsive to agricultural output prices. 4.3.2 Smallholder Cotton Supply Response Results The smallholder model results Shows that institutional factors such as resolving land constraints and improved knowledge through access to training matters most in efforts to stimulate cotton acreage expansion in Zimbabwe. However, the coefficient for SAP displays a statistically insignificant negative Sign for smallholders. A key result is that the coefficient for Mozambique peace MOZPEACE is positive and statistically significant at the 1% level. The result suggests that the peaceful conditions prevailing in the South East Lowveld after a protracted civil war in Mozambique enabled previously displaced farmers to return to their old farms in the villages and produce cotton. Cotton expansion in the South East Lowveld accelerated in the 19905 and is attributed to the “peace dividend”. The cotton boom in the Lowveld has benefited from the huge belt of fertile vertisols that make it easier for farmers to grow cotton without any fertilizer applications. The non-use of fertilizer presents a major comparative cost advantage to Lowveld cotton growers at a time when the post- liberalization upsurge in fertilizer prices and the tightening of credit supply has caused a severe decline in the aggregate use of external inputs throughout SSA (Kelly, 2000; 125 Poulton et al., 1998; World Bank, 1994). In addition, the peace process in Mozambique resulted not only in the cotton boom in the Lowveld, but it also helped eliminate costly transport diversions and improve the flow of exports from land-locked Zimbabwe to the port of Beira, the country’s shortest and most vital link to the ocean. Similar evidence of the Mozambique civil war raising external transportation costs, displacing thousands of refugees and drastically changing the economic situation in neighboring countries has been cited (Kydd, 1986;Lele, 1990, Cromwell, 1992). It is striking to note that the coefficients for input and output prices including that of cotton COTTONP are statistically insignificant. This suggests that agricultural pricing policy did not provide sufficient incentives for smallholder cotton acreage expansion. To Speed up price response, there is need to raise farmer awareness and understanding of seed cotton pricing and payment options through the provision of rural market infrastructure such as market information system that disseminate price news and lower entry barriers in all major cotton growing areas to eliminate regional monpsony and thus encourage greater competition and efficiency (Masters, 1993; Poulton, 1998). Lele, (1989) argues that effectiveness of price policies in ensuring a supply response is itself heavily conditioned by the quality of the institutions that conduct cotton research, extension, input supply and commercialization. An important question is whether the seed cotton grading process allows farmers to obtain the highly priced grades. A major complaint from Zimbabwe smallholders is that they receive low grades and prices for their cotton. Analysis of marketed cotton output in Sanyati and Chipinge indicates that less than 50% of the farmers’ output achieve first grade (A) in both districts while second grade (B) seems to dominate most 126 of the output in Chipinge. Further, Zimbabwe’s cotton farmers have historically faced late payment problems and that has major disincentive effects. Lack of trust in the marketing system increases marketing costs, restricts use of markets, and thus limits opportunities (Shaffer etal., 1985). The positive and significant lagged cotton acreage LCAREA response suggests a cob-web supply relationship, implying that smallholder’s planting decisions are influenced by previous year’s acreage. The positive coefficient for training is statistically significant at 5% level. This indicates a profound relationship between smallholder cotton expansion and CTC training of growers. The result highlights the pivotal role CTC has played in the transfer of technology among smallholders. A total of 16, 014 trainees (i.e. comprising mostly farmers and extension workers) attended various cotton courses offered by CTC in the 19805 compared to 12,023 in the 19905. The smallholder model results shows that institutional factors are the centerpiece in efforts to stimulate cotton acreage expansion in Zimbabwe. 4.4 Conclusion The clearest pattern emerging from our study is that economic reforms generate unintended negative effects for both LSC and smallholder farmers. It seems fair to conclude that, in the short run, SAPS generate negative impacts among Zimbabwe cotton growers. The rapid upfront costs of the deflationary policies are working against cotton acreage expansion. The depressing effect on cotton growers is particularly worrisome given that cotton is the second leading cash crop in terms of foreign exchange generation after tobacco. The negative effect of the SAP coefficient on LSC cotton growers suggests that compensatory measures are needed to limit their vulnerability to adverse effects of 127 SAPS and the resulting diversification out of cotton production. The results present unexpected challenges to addressing the equity objective through adjustment process, as it appears that SAPS have negatively affected the wealthier LSC farmers. The real challenge is to craft policies that improve smallholders’ access to SAP-induced benefits without hurting the LSC growers. The basic argument is that such pro-poor policies have a public good impact. An important lesson supported by our findings is that liberalization does not result in automatic production incentives (Putterman, 1995). A growing number of independent researchers have come to the same conclusion that in the African context, SAPS have resulted in modest or disappointing supply responses (Ajayi, 1994;Bigsten and Ndung’u, 1992). Additionally, SAPS are being blamed for their deleterious effects on human and physical infrastructure in Africa (Browne, 1992). Consequently, the appropriateness of liberalization as an agricultural development strategy in a situation of missing and imperfect markets, and poor infrastructure is now being questioned (United Nations, 1999). Moreover, there is a convergence of ideas on the fact that poverty worsened in Africa in the 19805 following the adoption of SAPS (Berg, 1995; Cornia et al., 1988). Other work cites not only increased incidence of poverty but also the creation of “new” poverty following adjustment, which threaten the productive capacity of poor farmers (Stewart, 1995). A striking result from our analysis is that the end of the Mozambique civil war and the signing of the peace accord had positive Spillover benefits for smallholders in neighboring Zimbabwe. In other words, after accounting for SAP and drought, a net gain occurred in land area cultivated to cotton highlighting the economic benefit of 128 investments in peace. The policy implication is that resolving hostilities is critical for agricultural growth in Africa. Our results also Show that price incentives play a significant role in determining cotton acreage response for LSC growers. However, the insignificant coefficients for both product and factor prices suggests that there is no evidence of the expected rapid switching of acreage into cotton production due to agricultural price liberalization among the smallholder growers. Structural rigidities are inferred by smallholder’s limited capacity to respond to price incentives without assured relevant production inputs and credit support. The evidence underlines the fact that smallholder supply response is strongly influenced by non-price factors such as access to land, investment in training and peace, but not economic incentives. Future work should investigate more Specific elements of the reform agenda such as 1) the move from monopsonistic to oligopolistic marketing in cotton purchases 2) credit disbursement under market liberalization, 3) implications of reforms in cotton research and development, especially the recent elimination of the cotton varietal purity policy (one variety in one region), and 4) liberalization of cotton seed sector and the potential impact of the introduction of cotton biotechnology. Further research effort should be devoted to diagnosing the implications of land reforms for commercial cottonseed production and seed cotton supply response in Zimbabwe in general. The results obtained here provide ample evidence that scale of operation influence Zimbabwe cotton growers’ response to the generally improving incentive environment brought about by SAPS. Although it seems reasonable to argue that smallholders are relatively more vulnerable to the dire effects of SAPS due to their low income and inability to save and accumulate assets, the bottom-line is that so far, Zimbabwe LSC cotton growers have 129 benefited Specifically from cotton price liberalization while smallholder’s response to the economic incentives offered by SAPS has been muted in the short run. Future gains from SAPS depend upon the cotton growers’ capacity to obtain marketing and other services on more favorable terms than those originally offered by the state. In Zimbabwe’s case, it could be that new opportunities offered by liberalized markets are still in their formative stages or are concentrated in regions with better infrastructure. The missing or imperfect market argument seems plausible given the initial limited geographical presence of rival firms in the cotton industry, inaccessible roads in the new cotton zones, and the vacuum in credit service provision created by the gradual retreat of the GOZ. Signs of overall negative initial effects of SAPS on Zimbabwe’s cotton growers suggest that its future benefits are uncertain. The immediate challenge for the GOZ is to redesign and administer SAPS that do not create new resource gaps but rather reduce the flaws depicted by the early generation of reforrrrs. Compensatory measures to reduce, mitigate and cope with the unintended negative short-run impacts of SAPS are needed if the elusive goal of eradicating income poverty through broad-based expansion of cotton production is to be realized. Key features of a future strategy for cotton expansion are; targeted training of smallholders, secure access to land, job creation schemes to re-deploy retrenched workers and improvements in smallholders’ access to markets and information. Increasing training and market opportunities must be complemented by investment in rural infrastructure to eradicate barriers due to geographic remoteness of the smallholder cotton growers. A clear lesson is that getting prices right in an institutional vacuum will not generate the needed positive supply response from Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton growers. 130 Table 4.1 Description of variables used in Zimbabwe’s Cotton Supple Response Models, 1980-1997 Variable Name Units Data Mean Standard Source Deviation Dependent variable(s) Communal area acreage (CAREA) Hectares ZMOA 153,926.50 71,446.19 Large-scale commercial acreage (LSAREA) Hectares ZMOA 65,068.95 21,144.77 Scale of operation (Farm Size) Lagged communal acreage (LCAREA) Hectares ZMOA 153,926.50 71,446.19 Lagged LSC acreage (LLSAREA) Hectares ZMOA 65,068.95 21,144.77 Product and factor prices Maize producer price (MAIZEP) ZS/ton ZMOA 540.28 71 1.71 Sorghum producer price (SOGHUMP) ZS/ton ZMOA 405.56 481.30 Ammonium nitrate price (ANFPRICE) ZS/ton ZMOA 1043.28 1,206.25 Cotton producer price (COTTONP) Z$/ton ZMOA 1,914.47 2,014.45 Tobacco average price (TOBACCOP) ZS/ton ZMOA 15,288.91 18,496.90 Minimum wage (MIWAGE) Z$/month NECZ 363.23 437.63 Macroeconomic and institutional variables Exchange rate (EXCHRATE) Z$/U$ ZMOA 9.84 14.25 Interest rate (INTEREST) (%) RBZ 19.75 12.17 Cotton Training Center (TRAINING) Number CTC 1,465.68 385.35 Exogenous shocks Lagged drought (LDROGHT) (0,1) ZMOA 0.25 0.44 Mozambique peace (MOZPEACE) (0,1) Amdt, C et a1. 0.43 0.51 Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) (0,1) Mlambo, A.S. 0.52 0.51 131 Table 4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Acreage Response Model Results, 1980-1997 Dependent variable: cultivated cotton acreage (ha) Large Scale Commercial Model Smallholder Model Parameter Estimate z-value Estimate z-value Scale of operation (farm size) LAGGED AREA 2.10 0.06 *0.39 1.87 Product and factor prices COTTONP “230.00 2.08 35.00 0.23 TOBACCOP **-4.10 -2.01 - - ANF PRICE * 120.00 1.66 -120.00 -1.21 MIWAGE *-1400.00 -1.72 430.00 0.89 MAIZEP - - -91.00 -0.32 SOGHUMP - - 170.00 0.47 Macroeconomic and institutional EXCHRATE 38,000.00 1.34 - - INTEREST **-6,200.00 -2.41 - - TRAINING -2,100.00 -1.07 “34.00 2.09 Exogenous Shocks LDROUGHT 9,600.00 1.55 12,000.00 1.25 MOZPEACE -94,000.00 -1.39 ***33,000.00 2.42 SAP **-380,000.00 -2.02 -32,000 -0.27 N 17 17 Log likelihood chi-square -162.82 -184.72 x2-p value 0.0000 0.0000 ***=significance at 1% level, ”=significance at 5% level,*=significance at 10% level 132 LIST OF FIGURES Cultivated Cotton Acreage Trends, 1980-1999 350000.00 300000.00 ’: 250000.00 200000.00 » 150000.00 g 100000.00 50000.00 Acreage [ha] L {—0— National + Communal + CommercLaTl Figure 4.1: Zimbabwe Trends in Cotton Area Cultivated, 1980-2000 133 References Adelaja, A.O. “Price Changes, Supply Elasticities, Industry Organization, and Dairy Output Distribution.” American Journal of A gricultural Economics, 73(1991):89- 102. 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Government Printers, Harare, 1999. 144 Appendices TableA4.1: Results of Diagnostic Tests on the Cotton Acreage Response Models Test Test Statistic Value(s) Smallholder Large Scale Critical Model Commercial Value @ 5% significance Heteroscedasticity White test 10.75 14.75 12(9)=16.91;x2(1 1)=19.68 Park test 0.406 -2.35 1.746 Glejser test 0185 0.254 1.753 Arch effects 3.10 13.50 x2(6)=18.54 Functional Form RESET test 0.48 0.37 5.32; 5.99 MWD test -5. 15 -4.28 1.75 Autocorrelation Ljung-Box:8 lags 52.19 87.88 x2(l6)=7.96 Q statistic32 :8 lags 21.98 24.41 12(16)=7.96 Breusch-Godfrey (80) test 12.46 11.25 5.99 Berenblutt-Webb g-test33 - 1.09 (d, du)=(0.11; 3.44) Berenblutt-Webb test 1 .16 - (dL,dU)=(O.22;3 .09) Cointegration CRDW test 1.51-1.78 1.53-2.00 0.386 ’2 The Q-statistic is given by Q=nZka (for k=1....m) where n= sample size, m=lag length and pk = autocorrelation function (ACF]. The Ljung-Box (LB) statistic is defined as LB=n(n+2) Z(p,.2/n-k)~x2,,, (for k=1....m) (Gujarati, 1995]. The computed Q and LB statistics exceed the critical chi-square values and we reject the null hypothesis that all pk =0; at least some are none zero. 33 The g statistic is used to test for the presence of perfect positive serial correlation and is computed as follows: g=Z',=,e,2/X,=,u,2 where ut and e, are OLS residuals from the original and first differenced models respectively. Since observed g>dL, reject null hypothesis that true p=1 i.e. no perfect positive serial correlation of first order in both models. 145 Table A4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Yield Response Model Results, 1980-1997 Dependent variable: Natural log of cotton yield (kg/ha) Large Scale Commercial Smallholder Model Model Parameter Estimate z-value Estimate z-value Scale of operation (farm size) LAGGED AREA ***-0.01 -4.51 -0.01 -1.06 Product and factor prices COTTONP ***0.29 3.77 0.02 0.34 TOBACCOP ***-0.34 -5.21 - - ANFPRICE 0.38 0.71 1“-0.33 -1.94 MIWAGE *3.40 1.76 ***1.92 2.06 MAIZEP - - 0.03 0.96 Macroeconomic and institutional INTEREST ***-48.00 -3.82 - - TRAINING 0.06 1.00 *0.10 1.79 Exogenous Shocks DROUGHT ***-190.00 -2.93 ***-290.00 -9.78 ESAP ***-440.00 -3.25 ***-200.00 -4.27 N 16 17 Log likelihood chi-square -95.04 -90.61 xz—p value 0.0000 0.0000 Weance at 1% level, "=significance at 5% leve1,*=significance at 10% level 146 Table A4.3 Agricultural Policy Changes in Zimbabwe, 1980- 2000 Year Policy Change Effects of Policy Prior to 1980 1982-1985 1986-1990 1990-1995 1996-1999 Cotton marketing controlled by Cotton Marketing Board; Growth With Equity policy unveiled at independence. Transitional National Development Plan. First Five-Year National Development Plan. Economic Structural Adjustment Program (ESAP);export diversification & promotion strategy; parastatal reform; privatization and commercialization. Land Acquisition Act passed. Second phase of adjustment. Further market reforms under ZIMPREST adopted in 1995. Parastatal, financial & civil service reforms. Economic downturn; Fast track land reform. Millenium Recovery Plan. GOZ regulated annual cotton producer- prices. Large-scale commercial sector dominate seed cotton supply. Promote more equitable ownership of natural resources especially land; achieve sustained economic growth. Aimed at increasing exports, investments and employment Formation of SFCS under AFC; targeted lending to smallholders; Formation of the Resettlement Farm Sector (RFS); smallholders assume leading role as seed cotton producers in the country. Establishment of several rural cotton depots. Target growth 5.1% and 28,000 new jobs per annum. Use of flexible exchange rate. Restructuring parastatals CMB, CSC DMB etc. Formation of COTTCO Private Limited. Liberalization of agricultural pricing policy. ZIMACE commodity clearing house formed. Oligopolistic cotton marketing e.g., CARGILL Inc. COTPRO and CHIPANGAYI. Foreign currency shortages. Interest rate liberalization. Fuel shortages; Slow growth in agriculture sector. Cyclone in cotton zones S.E. Lowveld 147 Table A4.4: Zimbabwe Data for Cotton Supply Response Analysis, 1980-1997 YEAR LSC SMALL- TRAlNlNG EXCHANGE INTEREST WAGES ACREAGE HOLDER RATE RATE (ZS) (HA) ACREAGE (ZS/USS) (%) (HA) VD 153,000 1 ,000 l ,000 181,150 1 ,760 217,620 67,5 SOURCE ZMOA —a__~__—a—l—~ DJ -- Table A4.5: Zimbabwe Data for Cotton Supply Response Analysis Continued, 1980-1997 CO N TOBACCO MAIZE SORGHUM FERTILIZER PRICE (21:) PRICE (ZS) PRICE (ZS) PRICE (ZS) PRICE (AN) 7. . .00 . 1 91. l . ,426.00 140. 4 00. 4, 57.00 ,915.00 5, 14,300. 1990/91 18,141.00 1991 14,976.00 1 . 5, 199 . 28, 1 . 60, 1. 1995 . , . 1 . 21,02. R A& 148 Table 1.4.6 Dick- Variable / Smallholder c Large-scale 3 Nominal colt Nominal ma’ Nominal tob Nominal sor Nominal A.‘ Nominal ex Nominal 1m Nominal m Cotton Trai Note: lndeper Table A4.7: Prices W Nominal r Nominal 5 Nominal . N0minal 1 Interest r; EXChange Table A4.6 Dickey Fuller (DF) unit root test (constant without trend) Variable Calculated Critical Value Unit Root t-value @5% Level Status Smallholder cotton acreage (ha) 10.61 -2.90 REJECT Large-scale acreage (ha) 5.74 -2.90 REJECT Nominal cotton price (ZS/ton) 18.96 -2.90 REJECT Nominal maize price (ZS/ton) 7.35 -2.90 REJECT Nominal tobacco price (ZS/ton) 4.27 ~2.90 REJECT Nominal sorghum price (ZS/ton) 10.36 -2.90 . REJECT Nominal AN fertilizer prices (ZS/ton) 32.60 -2.90 REJECT Nominal exchange rate (ZS/USS) 14.63 -2.90 REJECT Nominal interest rates (%) 7.65 -2.90 REJECT Nominal minimum wages (Z$) 39.15 -2.90 REJECT Cotton Training Center graduates 3.77 -2.90 REJECT Note: Independent variables are stationary (or stable) so the series do not exhibit unit root problem Table A4.7: Zimbabwe average annual growth rates of official prices, 1980-1995 Prices Pre—ESAP Pre-ESAP Post-ESAP Post-ESAP Nominal (%) Real (%) Nominal (%) Real (%) Nominal cotton price (ZS/ton) 13.28 -2. 16 30.22 3.34 Nominal maize price (ZS/ton) 7.92 -4.25 61.11 4.91 Nominal sorghum price (ZS/ton) 10.48 -3.43 31.48 -3.28 Nominal AN fertilizer prices (ZS/ton) 15.74 8.07 52.42 42.95 Nominal minimum wages (ZS) 31.68 4.04 21.38 -5.31 Interest rates 6.33 -4.51 33.69 -1.66 Exchange rates 25.97 31.36 50.64 3.47 Annual inflation rate 2.21 15.19 149 APPENDICES Communal Resettlement Small-scale Commercial Farmers Farmers commercial ‘ Farmers farmers Zimbabwe 1 Commercial Farmer’s Farmer’s Union (ZFU] I Union (CFU] L l l 1 Extension Marketing & Processing Cotton Research Cotton Agritex , Chemical COTTCO, COTPRO & Institute (CRI) Training Companies Cargill Pvt Ltd Center (CTC) Domestic Cotton Consumption Exports Local Textile Domestic Oil Animal Feed Companies Expressors Manufacturers Figure A4.1. Structure of the Cotton Industry in Zimbabwe Source: Adapted from “Impact Assessment of Cotton Research and Enabling Environment in Zimbabwe, 1970- 1 995” 150 Yield [kg/ha] Cotton Yleld Trends, 1980-1999 2500.00 . 2000.00 I 1500.00 1000.00 , Q (1’ 0t Q) Q) Q (I; V (3 % Q) Q) Q) Q) 9.) g 9 o.) Q '9 '9 '9 r9 ’9 v9 '3’ \Q’ '9 '99 Years +Communal —l—Large Scale Commercial +National 1 Figure A 4.2: Zimbabwe Cotton Yield Trends, 1980-1999 Productlon [mt] Seed Cotton Productlon, 1980-1999 400000.00 . 9% c n, hi '0 as to 9 q .9 .9 '3 .9 .9 Year l-O—Communal +Large Scale Commercial +National ' Figure A4.3: Zimbabwe Seed Cotton Production Trends, 1980-199 151 Relative Real Producer Price Ratio Trends Ratio 9%.”.9’99'53’.“ 00000000 00000000 o 0.. o \ ti '5 9.) 9”W®”»9”r9 qud‘ge'gekge 999.9 to QQQQQQ§NQ¢§§ Years +Cotton-maize +Cotton-tobacco +Cotton-groundnut +Cotton-sorghum Figure A4.4: Zimbabwe Trends in Relative Real Agricultural Producer Prices, 1980-1996 Nominal crop price trends Prlces (Zslton) 1 > .\ »‘» .\.. '1 ' . - e .. ... ,1. ...1 k ,_ mu‘m‘I-C‘I‘lul‘taA—I‘F 7‘17 AE,‘_ [=0— Cotton + Maize + Sorghum Figure A4.5: Zimbabwe Nominal Crop Producer Prices, 1980-1998 152 Price (ZS/ton) Zimbabwe real producer price trends 3000 7 2500 ; 2000 1500 ‘ 1000 1 l-o—Cotton —I—Sorghum +Maize l Figure A4.6: Zimbabwe Real Crop Producer Prices, 1980-1998 Prices (ZS/ton) Local and world nominal cotton prices 10000 f 8000 6000 I 4000 Q (I; ht b % ’99 v99 '9‘” '99 '99 Year l—o—Zimbabwe cotton prices +Wor1d cotton prices 1 Figure A4.7: Comparison of local and world cotton prices, 1980-1997 153 Percentage (%) Trends In major macroeconomic variables, 1980-1998 e3” 49“” 3“” 3"" 49‘5” 49°? 0°“ 49““ 49°? e9” «s°° Year I—O—Exchange rate +interest rate +inflation rate I Figure A4.8: Zimbabwe macroeconomic trends, 1980-1998 Prlce (ls/ton) Cotton price trends x " 1‘. 0'1! '2) W ‘b o‘” e‘b $59., eéefi’pegeqheTeq Years {—0— Nominal -l— Real Figure A4.9: Zimbabwe Cotton Producer Price Trends, 1980-1997 154 Maize Producer Price Trends 3500.00 ,. = 3000.00 § 2500.00 j {I 2000.00 ‘ 3 1500.00 ; -‘=’ 1000.00 - “- 500.00 - . 0.00 "1 ‘ ‘ ‘ - .- Q 1'0 e“ 3”” e9? .81” of” 433’? 49‘” 43°? 65° Year I—O— Nominal —l-Real Figure A4.10: Zimbabwe Maize Producer Price Trends, 1980-1998 I Minimum wage trends 2000 , 5 ii 8 1500 g r K} 1000 . 8 at 500 g t , M, . "»»- r: i" 0 3 ..- -- *5 :: : 9; 5.; =*~._~ r - Q ‘1- ‘1- e” e: Estate’s taster” Years 1—0— Real wage —I— Nominal wage I Figure A4.11: Zimbabwe minimum wage trends, 1980-1999 155 Percent 09 0 Inflation rate trends “i: 123456789101112131415161718192021 Year {g—gdp deflator +year—on-year cpi_| Figure A4.12: Zimbabwe inflation rate trends, 1980-2000 Percent Real Interest rate tends WWWW s —0— real interest rate Figure A4.13: Zimbabwe real interest rate (nominal-inflation) 1980-1997 &,§>§ 156 CHAPTER 5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION Africa’s cotton production is facing tremendous challenges at the dawn of the new century. A number of significant changes are taking place both at the farm and national policy levels that require close attention from agricultural economists and farmers alike. Cotton is a strategic export crop throughout Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and its successfiil cultivation is critical for foreign exchange earnings, income diversification and employment generation. As the continent has been plagued by poor economic performance, it is in Africa’s best interest to expand cotton production and restore the buoyancy of its export crop sector. Above all, most of the SSA countries face the major problem of poverty; the sustained development of cotton production has an important contribution towards the solution of this dilemma. The study analyzed both the farm and policy level constraints to expanding cotton production in Zimbabwe. In Africa, indiscriminate use of pesticides is threatening the health of poor farmers. Unless efforts are directed at resolving health risk of exposure to pesticides, long-term investments in the cotton industry in SSA will not payoff. In addition, cotton productivity has been eroded by the use of ineffective traditional calendar based spray techniques. The relevance of using fixed spray schedules irrespective of pest status is now being questioned in Africa. Part of the problem is that pesticide dependency and misuse has created pest resistance and secondary pest outbreak, especially the red spider mite in Zimbabwe despite the implementation of the acaricide rotation scheme. 157 The United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organization (F A0) in collaboration with the government of Zimbabwe (GOZ) has embarked on Farmer Field School (FPS)- based Integrated Pest and Production Management (IPPM) extension efforts as a means to tackle the “pesticide treadmill” dilemma crippling cotton production in Africa. Little is known about conditions under which integrated pest management (IPM) innovations can be diffused in Africa. This study is a leading effort to understand the motivational factors required to provide the adoption stimulus for cotton IPM. In addition, structural adjustment programs (SAPS) implemented in the 19905 have raised new questions about whether or not the reforms are beneficial to Zimbabwe’s cotton farmers. In particular, the distributional impact of SAPs has not received serious attention in Africa. Despite heavy reliance on pesticides, declining cotton yields (Figure A4.2), coupled with inadequate knowledge about the distributional impact of SAPS on large and small-scale farmers who cultivate one of Africa’s strategic export crop is detrimental to the long term sustainability of productivity and rural poverty alleviation. This chapter summarizes the main findings and suggests policy implications to revive cotton production in Africa. To address the pesticide-induced farmer health risks, pest management and policy constraints confronting cotton production in Africa, a field research was conducted between June and December 1999 to collect primary data in Zimbabwe’s two leading cotton producing districts namely Sanyati and Chipinge. Supporting secondary data was obtained from the Zimbabwe Ministry of Agriculture (ZMOA) publications, the Cotton Training Center (CTC) and the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ). The challenges facing sustainable cotton production in Zimbabwe provides lessons for other African 158 countries going through the same cycle of pest management and structural adjustment reforms. Chapter 2 presented an analysis of the acute health risks attributed to pesticides use among smallholder cotton growers in Zimbabwe. Using primary data from Sanyati and Chipinge district, our study demonstrates that pesticide use in smallholder cotton production has significant adverse effects on farmer health. Pesticide-related acute health symptoms impose opportunity costs in the form of lost sick days and increased expenditure on treating health problems which average Z$180 and Z$316 per household head in 1998/99 in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively (1998/99 exchange rate: Z$38 = 1 US$). For every Zimbabwe dollar spent on pesticides, a minimum of 0.45 and 0.83 dollars is incurred in the form of health costs in Sanyati and Chipinge respectively. The main result from the cost of illness models is that farmer-reported acute health symptoms is the key factor in predicting health costs among cotton growers. The results from the Poisson acute symptom incidence models show that acute health effects are associated with the use of toxic chemicals, leaking sprayers, label illiteracy, personal habits like smoking and alcohol intake, and taking meals in the fields after spraying. Exposure averting and mitigating strategies that significantly reduce the incidence of acute symptoms are protective clothing and knowledge of first aid, respectively. Contrary to our expectation, exposure to F FS-based IPM training does not significantly reduce acute symptom incidences. Surprisingly, farmers who favor reforming calendar-based spraying are less likely to suffer acute pesticide symptoms. In terms of policy, we recommend that the key to successful improvement of farmers’ health in the short-term is limited use of hazardous pesticides by smallholders in 159 order to minimize their negative side effects. Emphasis should be placed on substituting the most toxic pesticides with ones with greater selectivity and high safety for human health and the environment. Secondly, evidence of adverse health effects among the cotton growers suggests the need for government policy intervention in farm worker safety. Reinforcing farmer use of both relevant protective clothing and equipment, and safe pesticide storage and disposal practices is a critical intervention strategy to preserve farmer health in the short-run. Thirdly, labeling policy reform is needed to help label- illiterate farmers understand better the health hazards of toxic cotton pesticides. Educating illiterate cotton growers about the negative health impacts of toxic pesticides will help minimize occupational exposure to pesticides. Fourth, improving farmer health services should entail changing the current mode of health delivery. Existing agricultural extension services should help disseminate pesticide-related health information, given that there is minimal contact between farmers and the formal health care system in Zimbabwe. Increased efforts should also focus on public policies designed to change perceptions that view chemical interventions as panacea for all pest problems. Future research effort should focus on cotton farmers for longer time periods to establish the true adverse effects of the observed acute and chronic health effects. Our results suggest that spurring pest management innovations should not be emphasized at the expense of endangering farmer health. The findings from this study provide a basis for discussions on the merits of policy reforms in pesticide use in smallholder agriculture and health care delivery in rural Zimbabwe. Future pest management policy design should be cast in a much broader context to include both agricultural policies and farmer health issues. 160 In Chapter 3, factors affecting cotton IPM adoption are analyzed. The results show that awareness of technical practices resulting from participation in FFS extension training is significantly associated with the adoption of IPM practices. In addition, scale of production is positively related to IPM practice adoption. Scale provides a relative measure of potential economic gain from adoption. This suggests scale economies in cotton IPM use. Pesticide-related health risks however had no significant influence on the adoption of IPM technology. This evidence implies that the GOZ should expand its use of F FS and other farmer-to-farmer approaches that diffuse IPPM awareness. Further, the findings underline the fact that investment in pest management information and knowledge is important for successful cotton production in Zimbabwe. An important conclusion from Chapter 4 is that SAPS have led to negative short- run impacts on LSC cotton growers in Zimbabwe. The results suggest that positive effects of liberalization are yet to be demonstrated. The initial evidence of the negative impact of SAPS on LSC cotton growers so far highlight the importance for policy makers to pay closer attention to crafting compensatory mechanism to alleviate the vulnerability of the growers. This requires targeted policies to ease the burdens that reforms impose on the farmers. Realizing that SAPs are multifaceted process, further studies ought to break down and analyze the impact of specific elements of adjustment packages on supply response for individual food and cash crops. Such an approach would help policy makers eliminate any cross contamination from different policy instruments. Moreover, our study is conducted in aggregate terms but analysis of responses to economic decline at the household level would further illuminate SAP impacts. 161 The second key result is that the signing of the Mozambique peace accord appears to have stimulated smallholder cotton acreage in Zimbabwe. The evidence underlines the vital importance of investment in peace and the spillover benefits in agricultural production and marketing in Africa. The results also suggest that much of the positive response in Zimbabwe’s smallholder cotton production is attributed to shifis in geographic location of production rather than the intensification of existing farming systems. From policy standpoint, the evidence highlights the fact that peace can be a major ingredient for progress in agricultural production expansion in Africa. Finally, the overall research results indicate that there are good reasons to refine the current reforms in Africa to engender a more vigorous positive supply response. Key strategies to stimulate cotton production and diminish the risk of crop failure in the short term requires a major focus on institutional factors such as Farmer Field School-based IPM training, investment in regional peace efforts, and rural infrastructure development to lower market access barriers. This is particularly important as opportunities for expanding production through extending the land frontier become limiting in Africa. Crafting policies that ameliorate SAP-induced negative effects among the vulnerable farmers is central for generating a positive cotton supply response in future. Although our study did not specifically address the benefits and costs of IPM use under smallholder conditions, future research ought to focus closely on this subject. Demonstrable IPM benefits could provide incentives for the future uptake of IPM by the farmers. The insignificance of pesticide-related health risks in IPM adaption should not be excuses for policy inaction, but rather a challenge for extension re-design. Serious I62 thought must be given by policy makers to farmer health risks associated 'with cotton cultivation practices in Africa. Short term solutions to pesticide-induced acute illnesses demand raising farmer awareness about health risks and improving on-farm safety as a precautionary measure when using chemicals. Alternative pest management approaches that emphasize less use of toxic pesticides should provide the basis for a future pest management strategy that does not compromise farmer health and the sustainability of cotton production. Despite the several challenges confronting the continent, SSA remains a key supplier of world cotton and peace will provide a vital foundation for agricultural growth in the twenty-first century. 163 r QUESTION NAIRES SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION AND PEST MANAGEMENT IN ZIMBABWE: SERIAL NUMBER LOWVELD AND MIDDLEVELD SURVEY 1999-2000 APPENDIX A]: HOUSEHOLD LEVEL QUESTIONNAIRE Date of Interview Name of District Name of Enumerator DISTRICT Name of Ward NWARD Name of Village VILNAME PROJECT SPONSORSHIP JOINTLY SPONSORED BY ROCKEFELLER FOUNDATION AND WK KELLOGG FOUNDATION 164 .3 SECTION 1: HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS 1. Demographic characteristics of HOUSEHOLD HEAD and SPOUSE (S) FAMILY MEMBER AGE GENDER EDUCATIONAL HIGHEST (YEARS) (M/F) LEVEL LEVEL (YEARS) EDUCATION HEAD OF 1 HOUSEHOLD FIRST WIFE SECOND WIFE THIRD WIFE WIDOWER WIDOW FAMILY MEMBER CODES 1: HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 5=WIDOWER 2= FIRST WIFE 6= WIDOW 3= SECOND WIFE 7=OTHER (SPECIFY) 4= THIRD WIFE EDUCATIONAL LEVEL CODES 1=NO EDUCATION 6=COLLEGE DIPLOMA TRAINING 2=PRIMARY EDUCATION 7=UNIVERSITY DEGREE 3=COMPLETED ZIMBABWE JUNIOR CERTIFICATE 8=POST GRADUATE DEGREE 4=COMPLETED O-LEVEL 9=OTHER (SPECIFY) 5=COMPLETED A-LEVEL 2.How many people are above the age of 14 years in your household? BVADULTS 3.How many people are below the age of 14 years in your household? BLWCHDN 4. Have you received any training related to cotton production in the past 5 years? 1=YES =NO 165 5. If YES, please name the source, nature of training and year of training? SOURCE OF TRAINING NATURE OF YEAR OF TRAINING TRAINING AGRITEX COTTON TRAINING CENTER (CTC) COTTON COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE (COTTCO) LOCAL FARMER CLUBS CARGILL PVT LTD COTPRO CODES FOR TRAINING IN COTTON AGRONOMIC PRACTICES 1=COTTON PEST SCOUTING 2=PESTICICE SPRAYING 3=RECORD KEEPING/CREDIT MANAGEMENT 4=COTTON PICKING 5=SOIL CONSERVATION CODES FOR SOURCE OF TRAINING 1=AGRITEX 4.CARGILL 2=COTTON TRAINING CENTER [CTC] 5.COTPRO 3=COTTON COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE 6.LOCAL FARMER CLUBS 7.0THER (SPECIFY) SECTION 2: OFF-FARM INCOME EARNING ACTIVITIES IN THE HOUSEHOLD 1.15 the head of household formally employed elsewhere? FORMEMPL 1=YES 0=NO (If NO please GO TO QUESTION 5) 2. If YES, state your primary occupation OCCUPTN 3.What is your annual gross income from your primary occupation? OCCUPINC . LESS THAN 2310 000 . BETWEEN Z$10 001 AND 2320 000 . BETWEEN Z$20 001 AND Z$30 000 . BETWEEN Z$30 001 AND Z$40 000 . BETWEEN Z$40 001 AND Z$50 000 . BETWEEN 2350 001 AND Z60 000 . MORE THAN Z$60 000 \IQUIJibJN— 166 4. Household income from off-farm activities from Sept lst, 1998 to August 3 lst, I999 < ------- l998-----) (- 1999 9 HOUSEHOLD OFF- S O N D J F M A M J J A TOTAL MEMBER FARM E C O E A E A P A U U U INCOME ACTIVITY PTVCNBR R YNLG(Z$) IHead of Household 2First Wife 3Second Wife 4Third Wife 5.Widow 6.Widower 7. Adult Child 8. Relative 9. 10. OFF-FARM ACTIVITIES CODES 1=BASKET WEAVING l 1=ROOF THATCHING 2=BEER BREWING 12=TAILORING 3=BICYCLE REPAIRER l3=SHOE MAKING 4=BRICK MAKING 14= STONE CARVING 5=BUILDING ACTIVITIES 15=TRADING STORE 6=BUTCHER l6=TRADlTIONAL HEALING 7=CARPENTRY 17= WOOD CARVING 8=KNITTING l8=COTTON PICKING 9=MIDWIF E l9=TEA PICKING 10=NEIGHBOURING FARM 20=OTHER (SPECIFY) 167 5. Do you own the following assets? ASSET DESCRIPTION QUANTITY VALUE [Z5] 1. Bicycle 2. Bore-hole 3. Lorry 4. Passenger Vehicle 5. Radio 6. Television 7. Trading store 8. Tractor 9. Trailer 10. Van l 1. Water cart 12. Planter l3. Cultivator 14. Mould-board Plough 15. Wheel burrow 6. Do you receive remittances in CASH or in KIND from employed relatives and children? 1=YES 0=NO REMTANCE NOTE TO THE EN UMERATOR: PLEASE CALCULATE THE DOLLAR AMOUNT IF FARMER RECEIVEDANY REMITTANCES IN KIND IN THE PAST YEAR. 7. Estimate amount received in the past year from Sept 1St 1998 to August 31St 1999 [in ZS] TOTREM {— 1998 —)<— 1999 —> ll SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE JUL AUG ll l l 168 SECTION 3: ON-F ARM MANAGEMENT OF COTTON PRODUCTION l.Who makes the major decisions about cotton production in this household? HDECISN I=HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 2= SPOUSE 3=ADULT CHILD 4=OTHER (SPECIFY) 2. Indicate your cropping program for the past three years? COTTON FIELD I998/99 I997/98 l996/97 l. Homestead field 2. Cotton field 1 3. Cotton field 2 4. Cotton field 3 CODES FOR CROP ROTATIONS l=MAIZE-COTTON 2=SORGHUM-COTTON 3=GROUNDNUTS-COTTON 4=MAIZE-COTTON-SORGUM 5=MAIZE-COTTON-SUNF LOWER 6=MAIZE-COTTON-GROUNDNUTS 7=FALLOW 8= OTHER (SPECIFY) 3. Did you cultivate all your fields in 1998/99? 1=YES 0=NO 4.1fNO, did you leave any land lying fallow in 1998/99? l= YES 0=NO 5. When did you plant your cotton crop in 1998/99? . SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER . THIRD WEEK OF OCTOBER . LAST WEEK OF OCTOBER . FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER . SECOND WEEK OF NOVEMBER . THIRD WEEK OF NOVEMBER . FOURTH WEEK OF NOVEMBER . OTHER (SPECIFY) OOQQLAALQN-d 6. Did you use any hired labor in 1998/99? 1=YES 0=NO 169 FARMCULT FFALLOW - DATEPLN T HIREDLAB 7. If YES, Specify your source of hired labor in 1998/99 HLABSORC l.SCHOOL CHILDREN 2. LABORERS FROM NEIGHBOURING VILLAGES 3. FORMER “REF UGEES” FROM MOZAMBIQUE 4. LOCAL NON-COTTON FARMERS 5. OTHER (SPECIFY). 8. How would you characterize the availability of hired labor in your community? LABAVAIL l ABUNDANT LABOUR FORCE 2.SCARCE LABOUR FORCE 3.NOT AVAILABLE 4.0THER (SPECIFY) 9. Did you use chemicals to control cotton pests in 1998/99? CHEMUSE 1=YES 0=NO 10. If NO, what are the reasons for NOT using chemicals? RNOCHEM 1. LACK OF MONEY TO BUY CHEMICALS 2. CHEMICALS ARE DANGEROUS TO FAMILY HEALTH 3. DISCOURAGED 1N IPPM TRAINING 4. DON’T BELIEVE IN CHEMICAL USE 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 1 1. Have you used chemicals in the past two years to control pests? PASTCHEM 1=YES =NO 12. Number of years you have grown cotton? COTYEARS 1-” a 170 SECTION 3: SOIL CONSERVATION AND TILLAGE PRACTICES IN COTTON PRODUCTION I. Do you own any livestock? LIVESTOK l= YES 0=NO 2. What type of animals and how many did you own at the end Of the past season, 1998/99? ANIMAL CLASS NUMBER [Beef Cattle 2.Donkeys 3 .Goats 4.Pigs 3. Sheep 4. Chickens 5. Rabbits 6. Ducks 3. What was your source of draft power in 1998/99? DRAFT P80 I. OWN DRAFT ANIMALS 2. OWN TRACTOR 3. HIRED “TRACTOR” SERVICES 4. HIRED DRAFT ANIMALS 5. BORROWED DRAFT ANIMALS 6. OTHER (SPECIFY) NOTE TO THE ENUMERATOR: IF F ARMER HIRED DRAFT ANIMALS OR TRACTOR PLEASE COMPLETE QUESTION 4 BELOW, IF NOT GO TO QUESTION 5. 4. Indicate the source of HIRED DRAFT POWER, number of animal/tractor days and the cost? DRAFT WER SOURCE DRAFT AN IMAL/ TRACTOR COST OF DAYS ZS/ACRE l. 2. ANlMA 3. TH R (SPEC 171 5. Among the following TILLAGE PRACTICES, please indicate below the ones you used on your cotton crop in 1998/99? TILLAGE PRACTICE PRACTICE ADOPTION 1=YES 0=NO l. MINIMUM/ZERO TILLAGE 2. CONTOUR RIDGES 3. TIED RIDGES 4. WINTER PLOUGH 5.CONVENTIONAL PLOUGHING 6. MULCHING 7.0THER (SPECIFY) 6. Did you burn cotton stover in 1998/99? 1 =YES 0=NO 7. If YES, please indicate date of slashing and destruction of cotton stover TILPRAC BURN STOV COTTON FIELD SLASHING DATE DESTRUCTION DATE HOMESTEAD FIELD COTTON FIELD l COTTON FIELD 2 COTTON FIELD 3 OTHER (SPECIFY) 172 _.J.fl*_' SECTION 4. PEST MANAGEMENT PRACTICES 1. Do you have a master farmer ceItificate? FARMCERT 1=YES 0=NO (IF NO, GO TO QUESTION 3) 2.State the year you received this certificate? YEARCERT 3.How many COTTON EXTENSION MEETINGS did you attend in l998/99? COTEXMTG 4. Number of direct contacts with the COTTON EXTENSION WORKER in l998/99? CONTACTS 5. Who provides you with COTTON EXTENSION ADVICE in this area? SOPEXT l.AGRlTEX 2.COTTON TRAINING CENTER (CTC) 3.COTI‘ON COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE (COTTCO) 4. CARGILL 5. COTPRO 6.LOCAL FARMERS 7. NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION (NGO) 4.0THER (SPECIFY) 6. What year did you FIRST receive pest management advice? F RSTPMGT 7. Who do you consider as your main source of PEST MANAGEMENT INFORMATION? PESTINFO l.AGRlTEX 2.COTTON TRAINING CENTER (CTC) 3.COTTON COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE (COTTCO) 4. CARGILL 5. COTPRO 6.LOCAL FARMERS 7. NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION (NGO) 8.AGRICURA 9.RADIO AND TELEVISION (MEDIA) 10.0THER (SPECIFY) 8. Did you practice professional pest scouting in cotton in 1998/99? PROSCOUT 1=YES 0=NO 173 9. If YES, describe who scouted, the pest pressure in 1998/99 and your experience scouting for the same pest. PEST TYPE SCOUTING WHO PEST NUMBER OF (1=YES 0=NO) SCOUTS PRESSURE YEARS OF SCOUTING INSECTS 1.Heliothis Boll Worm 2.Red-Boll Worm 3.Pink Boll Worm 4.Spiny Boll Worm 5.Stainers 1' 6.Aphids DISEASE 7. Bacterial Blight 8. Damping Off 9. Boll rot 10. WEEDS l 1.RODENTS MITES 12.Red Spider mite l 3 .Terrnites COTTON SCOUTING CODES 1=HOUSEHOLD HEAD 2=SPOUSE 4=INPUT SUPPLIER EXPERT 5=EXTENSION WORKER CODES FOR PEST PRESSURE l.SEVERE 3. LIGHT 2.MEDIUM 4. OTHER (SPECIFY) 174 3=OTHER FAMILY MEMBER 6=OTHER (SPECIFY) 10. How many times did you SCOUT your cotton crop for INSECTS in 1998/99? INSCOUT I I. How Often did you SCOUT your cotton crop for DISEASES in 1998/99? DISCOUT 12. DO you believe scouting for pests is beneficial to you? SCOUTBFT l= YES 0=NO ENUMERATOR INSTRUCTION: IF RESPONSE IS YES, GO TO QUESTION 13 AND IF NO, GO TO QUESTION 14 BELOW. 13. What do you consider the main ADVANTAGE in pest scouting? SCOUTADV 1. MINIMIZES PEST DAMAGE 2. MINIMIZES AMOUNT OF CHEMICALS USED 3. MAXIMIZES NET FARM INCOME 4. REDUCES LABOR COSTS 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 14. What is the main DISADVANTAGE with pest scouting? SCOUTDIS l. LABOR INTENSIVE 2. NO SIGNIFICANT YIELD GAIN 3.TOO MANY PESTS TO SCOUT 4. DO NOT UNDERSTAND IT 5. NO DISADVANTAGE 6. OTHER (SPECIFY) 15. How do you determine when to apply INSECTICIDES (strategy for pest management)? CHEMTIMG 1.WEEKLY . EVERY TWO WEEKS . ONLY AFTER SCOUTING FOR PESTS . SPECIFIC GROWTH STAGES OF THE PLANT . BASED ON PREVAILING PEST PROBLEMS . BASED ON RECOMMENDATION FROM INPUT SUPPLIERS . ABITRARILY . OTHER (SPECIFY) OOQO‘Ut-bbJN 16. What is your main source of water for cotton spraying? WATPRO I. OWN WELL 2. OWN BOREHOLE 3. COMMUNAL BOREHOLE 4. WATER HARVESTING 5. NEARBY RIVER 6. DAMS 7. OTHER (SPECIFY) 175 17. How far is your water source from your main cotton field (meters)? 18. State how you transport water to the cotton fields. l.OWN WATER CART 2. HIRE WATER CART 3. WHEEL BARROW 4. OTHER (SPECIFY) 19. Who made chemical application most of he time in 1998/99? 1. HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD (FARMER). 2. SPOUSE 3. ADULT FAMILY MEMBER 4. HIRED LABOR 5. OTHER [SPECIFY] 20. Do you OWN any sprayers? 1=YES 0=NO (IF NO, GO TO QUESTION 24) WATERDST WATRAN SP APLCATOR OSPRAYER___ 21. Describe the type of sprayer, number in each category owned and cost of purchase. TYPE OF SPRAYER QUANTITY YEAR OF PURCHASE PRICE OF TOTAL SPRAYER (ZS) COST (ZS) 1 =Knap-sack 2=Ultra-Low Volume (ULV) 3=Other (specify) 22 Did you RENT any sprayers from other farmers in 1998/99? 1=YES 0=NO 176 SPRYRENT 23.1fYE TYPE SPRA HIRE] lKna] 2.L’ltrz Volurr ‘ I TOTA 24. \Vhat 25. D0 } dIsease i 1=YES 23. If YES, indicate below the type of sprayers, number hired and the hiring cost in 1998/99. TYPE OF SPRAYER HIRED NUMBER OF SPRAYERS HIRED (1) NUMBER OF DAYS HIRED (2) RATE PAID [Z$/ DAY] (3) TOTAL COST [ZS] (4) (l)*(2)*(3) l .Knap-sack 2.Ultra-Low Volume 3. Other TOTAL COST 24. What methods did you use to control WEEDS in your cotton crop last year? WEED CONTROL METHOD METHOD USE (YES=I/NO=O) 1= Hand hoe 2= Ox-drawn cultivator 3=Pre-emergence herbicides 4=Post-emergence herbicides 25. Do you know any TRADITIONAL METHODS that are used to control cotton pests (weeds, insects or disease). I =YES 0=NO IKNOW 177 26. Indigenous control methods used to suppress pests, diseases and weeds PEST TYPE DESCRIBE TRADITIONAL/ INDIGENOUS CONTROL METHOD l. Weed type 2. Insects type 3. Disease type 4. Rodents type 5. Nematodes type 6. Other [specify] SECTION 5: ACCESS TO, AND USE OF CREDIT AND FERTILIZER IN COTTON PRODUCTION I. Did you apply for agricultural credit in l998/99? CREDTAPP 1=YES 0=N0 . 2. Did you receive agricultural credit in l998/99? CREDTRCV l-ir 1=YES 0=NO (GO TO QUESTION 6) l 178 . Who provided you with credit and describe the type of credit received in I998/99? CREDIT SOURCE CREDIT RECEIVED 1=CASH 2=KIND 3=BOTH CREDIT VALUE (Z$) l=Agricultural Finance Corporation (AFC) 2=Cotton Company of Zimbabwe (CO'I'TCO) 3=Agricura 4=Cargill Zimbabwe Pvt. Ltd. 5=Savings club 6=Cotpro 7=Cooperative 8=Relatives 9=Local Rural Traders I O=Other (specify) . State the Specific type of credit received in 1998/99 1. SEASONAL INPUTS (FERTILIZER. CHEMICALS AND SEEDS) CREDITWHY 2. MACHINERY AND IMPLEMENTS (TRACTORS. PLOUGH, SPRAYERS ETC) 3. WATER DEVELOPMENT (BOREHOLE, WATER CART ETC) 4. FARM DEVELOPMENT (FENCING MATERIAL ETC) . Did you receive your SEASONAL INPUTS on time in l998/99? I. ALWAYS ON TIME 2. SOME INPUTS RECEIVED ON TIME 3. LATE DELIVERY 4. NEVER DELIVERED 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 179 SEASOINP 6. Indicate other years that you have received cotton credit in the past 5 years? YEAR CREDIT RECEIVED 1=YES 0=NO CREDIT SOURCE 1997/98 l996/97 1995/96 l 994/95 1992/93 CODES FOR CREDIT SOURCES 1=AGRICULTURAL FINANCE CORPORATION 6=COTPRO , 2=COTION COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE (COTTCO) 7=COOPERATIVE 3=AGRICURA 8=RELATIVES 4=CARGILL ZIMBABWE PVT. LTD. 9=LOCAL RURAL TRADERS 5=SAVINGS CLUB lO=OTHER (SPECIFY) 7. State for which additional crop(s) you obtained credit in 1998/99? CREDTUSE CROP ENTERPRISE CREDIT OBTAINED VALUE OF l 1=YES 0=NO CREDIT OBTAINED [Z5] 1. MAIZE 2. SORGHUM 3. SUNFLOWER 4. GROUNDNUT 6. 8. Do you have any problems with your current input contract (credit) scheme? Explain 180 SECTION 6:SMALLHOLDER COTTON AND FOOD CROP-INTERACTIONS 1.Describe other crops grown on the farm and the estimated area planted to each crop in 1998./99. CROP ENTERPRISE ESTIMATED AREA PLANTED (HA) l=Groundnuts 2=Maize 3=Sorghum 4=Sunflower 5=Tobacco 6=Other (Specify) 2. If you had additional land, what crop would you plant? PLTADD l .COTTON 2.MAIZE 3 .SORGHUM 4.GROUNDNUTS 5.SUNFLOWER 3.Estimate the distance of your home to the nearest cotton depot [km]? CMKTDIST 4. How did you transport your cotton crop to the market in l998/99? COTRANSP I. OWN TRANSPORT 2. HIRED PRIVATE TRANSPORT 3. COTTON COMPANY OF ZIMBABWE (COTTCO) 4. CARGILL 5. COTPRO 6. OTHER (SPECIFY) 5. What was the average cost of transporting cotton to the market per bale in l998/99 (ZS)? COTCOST 181 6. What is the amount of income obtained from other cropping activities? CROP SALES QUANTITY QUANTITY AVERAGE PRICE TOTAL HARVESTED SOLD (KG) RECEIVED REVENUE (KG)(BAGS) (BAGS) (ZS/BAG) (ZS) l. Maize 2. Sorghum 3. Groundnut 4. Sunflower 5. Tobacco 6. Other 7. Did you have storage problems with your COTTON in l998/99? STOPROB 1=YES 0=NO 8. Describe the nature of the storage problem. STOPROB l. STORAGE PESTS PROBLEMS 2. LACK OF ADEQUATE ON-FARM STORAGE SPACE 3. LACK OF STORAGE CONTAINERS (BAGS, BALES ETC?) 4. THEFT 5. COTTON ACCIDENTALLY BURNT IN STORE-ROOM 6. OTHER (SPECIFY). 182 SECTION 7: FUTURE STRATEGIES IN COTTON PRODUCTION I.ldentify what you consider as TWO LEADING fiIture strategies in cotton production from list below? FUTURE STRATEGY LEADING STRATEGY (1=YES 0=NO) [Increase cultivated area under cotton 2.Receive training on IPPM techniques 3.Hire more labor for cotton production 4.Reduce use of pesticides in cotton production 5. Build own well/bore-hole 6. Acquire own transport 7. Acquire own draft power 8. Use more credit in future 9. Use more fertilizer on cotton IO. Adopt land conservation practices in cotton l 1. Invest in cotton storage shed 12. Adopt/abandon crop rotations 13. Expand cultivated area under food crops eg maize and or sorghtim I4. Abandon cotton production 2. What do you consider as the main problem you face in cotton production today? COTPROB I. PESTS MANAGEMENT 2. LACK OF CREDIT 3. DROUGHT 4. POOR VARIETIES 5. POOR MARKET PRICES 6. EXPLOITATION BY CONTRACTORS 7. OTHER (SPECIFY) 183 3. What are your views regarding the improvement of pest management strategies in smallholder cotton production? PMGTVIEW l. MAINTAIN CURRENT STRATEGIES 2. NEED NEW AND BETTER METHODS 3. MORE PEST MANAGEMENT TRAINING FOR FARMERS 4. NO IDEA 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 4.Would you be willing to grow a new variety of cotton [Bt] that does not require the use of pesticides? BTCOTTON I. WOULD TRY IT IMMEDIATELY 2. NOT SURE 3. CURRENT VARIETIES ARE SATISFACTORY 4. PESTICIDES CONTROL MORE EFFECTIVE 5. If farmer wants to try Bt cotton, does farmer consider any of the following a major deterrent. BTPROBLM I. PLANTING Bt COTTON & CONVENTIONAL COTTON SIDE BY SIDE 2. LONG TERM EFFECT OF RED BOLL WORM ON Bt COTTON UNKNOWN 3. OTHER [SPECIFY] THANK YOU VERY MUCH =EN D OF HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE: 184 APPENDIX A2: HOUSEHOLD MEMBER HEALTH QUESTIONNAIRE SERIAL NUMBER SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION AND PEST MANAGEMENT IN ZIMBABWE: SANYATI AND CHIPINGE DISTRICT SURVEY 1999-2000 Date of Interview Name of Enumerator Name of Farmer Name of District DISTRICT Name of Ward NWARD Name of Village VILNAME PROJECT SPONSORSHIP JOINTLY SPONSORED BY ROCKEFELLER FOUNDATION AND WK KELLOGG FOUNDATION 185 SECTION 1: HEALTH EFFECTS OF PESTICIDE USE IN SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION 1. Has any one in your family ever experienced the following SYMPTOMS afier spraying pesticides. SPRAYSYM NAUSEA VOMITING ABDOMINAL PAINS DIARRHEA BLURRED VISION DlZZINESS NASAL BLEEDING NONE WNQVPP‘NT‘ 2. Has anyone in your family ever had PESTICIDE STOMACH POISONING problem in the past year? PPOISON 0=NO 1=YES 2=DON’T RECALL 186 3. If YES, indicate in table below the individual in your family who has been affected by PESTICIDE STOMACH POISONING in the past year? 5= OTHER (SPECIFY) HOUSEHOLD STOMACH POISONING NUMBER OF INCIDENCES IN MEMBER AFFECTED SEVERITY l998/99 TOTAL . HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR SEVERITY OF PESTICIDE WIN—G 1: HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 1=DEADLY 2= SPOUSE 2=VERY SEVERE 3= CHILDREN 3=MILD TO MODERATE 4= RELATIVE 4=DO NOT KNOW 5=OTHER (SPECIFY) 4. Has anyone in your household ever had SKIN IRRITATIONS in the past year after using chemicals? 1 =YES 0=NO SKIN IRRIT 187 5. If YES please indicate in table below the individual in your household who has been affected by SKIN IRRITATIONS in the past year as well as the severity and number of incidences of this condition. HOUSEHOLD SKIN N UMBER OF MEMBER IRRITATIONS IN CIDENC ES SEVERITY TOTAL HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR SEVERITY OF SKIN IRRITATIONS 1: HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD I=DEADLY 2= SPOUSE 2=VERY SEVERE 3= CHILDREN 3=MILD TO MODERATE 4= RELATIVE 4=DO NOT KNOW 5= OTHER (SPECIFY) 5=OTHER (SPECIFY) 6. Have you had EYE IRRITATIONS in the past year after using pesticides? 1=YES 0=N0 EYEIRRIT 7. If YES, please indicate in table below the individual in your household who has been affected by EYE IRRITATIONS in the past year as well as the severity and number of incidences of this condition. H SEHOLD EYE NUMB F MEMBER IRRITATION INCIDENCES SEVERITY HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR SEVERITY OF SKIN IRRITATIONS l= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD I=DEADLY 2= SPOUSE 2=VERY SEVERE 3= CHILDREN 3=MILD TO MODERATE 4= RELATIVE 4=DO NOT KNOW 5= OTHER (SPECIFY) 5=OTHER (SPECIFY) 188 NOTE TO ENUMERATOR: Please complete the following table if household member was sick for a number of days and or received treatment from nearby health center or hospital for above reported symptoms. 8. Indicate the symptoms, number of days sick, treatment received and number of visits and cost of treatment in the past year. HOUSEHOLD PESTICIDE NO TREATED NO. OF COSTNISIT TOTAL MEMBER AILMENT OF 1=YES CLINIC (ZS) COST (ZS) DAYS 0=NO VISITS SICK NOTE TO ENUMERATOR: Request farmer to check one’s medical record cards if available to verify information on treatment costs.. HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR PESTICIDE AILMENTS. 1= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD l=SKlN IRRITATION 2= SPOUSE 2=EYE IRRITATION 3= CHILDREN 3=STOMACH POISONING 4= RELATIVE 4=BACK PROBLEMS (CARRYING KNAPSACK FOR PROLONGED PERIODS, WATER) 189 9.Does any one in your family have the following medical condition (long term medical effects) HOUSEHOLD LONG TERM MEDICAL DURATION OF ILLNESS MEMBER CONDITION HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR LONG TERM PESTICIDE RELATED ILLNESS. l= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD I= CANCER 2= SPOUSE 2= BLINDNESS 3= CHILDREN 3= BACK PROBLEMS 4= RELATIVE 4=LUNG DAMAGE 5= OTHER SPECIFY 10. Do your sprayers LEAK on your back when you apply chemicals? SPLEAK 1=YES 0=NO l I. What is your main source of HEALTH OR SAFETY INFORMATION on pesticides use? HSINFO D l. AGRICURA 7. VILLAGE HEALTH WORKER 2. AGRITEX 8. NATIONAL RADIO 3. COTTCO 9. LOCAL TELEVISION 4. CARGILL 10. ClBA-GEIGY 5. OTHER FARMERS I 1. OTHER (SPECIFY) 6. LOCAL NEWSPAPERS 12. Does anyone in your household consume alcohol? ALCOHOL 1=YES 0=NO 190 13. If YES, please indicate below the individual, amounts consumed as well as duration of alcohol consumption. HOUSEHOLD ALCOHOL ALCOHOL DURATION OF MEMBER CONSUMPTION CONSUMED ALCOHOL PER WEEK CONSUMPTION [LITRES] [YEARS] HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION ’ l= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD I=LARGER (CASTLE, PILSNER, LION, BLACK LABEL) 2= SPOUSE 2=SPIRITS (WHISKY, KACHASU) 3= CHILDREN 3=TRADITIONAL BREW (CHIBUKU OR SCUDS) 4= RELATIVE 4=OTHER 14. Does anyone in this household smoke? HHSMOKE 1=YES 0=NO 15. Please provide information regarding SMOKING by household members. HOUSEHOLD TYPE OF CIGARETTES CIGARETTES/WEEK SMOKING MEMBER SMOKED NUMBER DURATION - [YEARS] HOUSEHOLD MEMBER CODES CODES FOR CIGARETTERS 1: HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 1=MADISON 2= SPOUSE 2=KINGSGATE 3= CHILDREN 3=EVEREST 4= RELATIVE 4=BERKELY 5=SHAMROCK 191 15. Indicate below any member of the household who used to drink alcohol in the past PDRINK l= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 2= SPOUSE 3= CHILDREN 4= RELATIVE l6. Identify any member of the household who used to smoke in the past. PSMOKE 1= HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD 2= SPOUSE 3= CHILDREN 4= RELATIVE SECTION 2: PESTICIDE SAFETY AND HANDLING 17. Where do you normally store your agricultural chemicals CHEMGT l.STOREROOM FOR CHEMICALS ONLY 2.STOREROOM FOR FOOD CROPS 3.KITCHEN 4.BEDROOM 5.0THER (SPECIFY) 18. Do you own any of the following protective clothing? NOTE TO ENUMERATOR: You may ask the farmer to show you some of these protective clothes in order to prove beyond any doubt that the farmer has the required protective gear. 192 19. Please rank on the basis of color of the triangle which is the MOST DANGEROUS and LEAST DANGEROUS pesticide used in cotton pest management. ARNING SIG COIES FOR COLOR CATEGORIZATION OF PESTICIDES l.VERY DANGEROUS PESTICIDE 2.DANGEROUS PESTICIDE 3.AVERAGELY DANGEROUS PESTICIDE 4. LEAST DANGEROUS PESTICIDE 20. Do you sometimes have meals in the fields on the same day that you spray chemicals in your cotton fields? EATSPRY 1=YES =NO 21. Do you sometimes smoke in the fields while you spray your cotton crop? SMOKSPRY 1=YES 0=NO 22. What do you do to the pesticide containers after use? PESTDSPO 1.DESTROY OR BURN 2.USE AS CONTAINERS FOR DRINKING WATER 3.RETURN TO CHEMICAL DEALERS 4.USED FOR FOOD STORAGE S.NOTHING 6.0THER (SPECIFY) 23. Do you understand FIRST AID? . FAID 1=YES 0=NO 24. Do you have a FIRST AID KIT in your household? FKTAID l =YES 0=NO 25. How far are you from the nearest health center DISTHCTR THANK YOU VERY MUCH =—-END OF HEALTH QUESTIONNAIRE“ 193 APPENDIX A3: FIELD LEVEL QUESTIONNAIRE SERIAL NUMBER SMALLHOLDER COTTON PRODUCTION AND PEST MANAGEMENT IN ZIMBABWE: CHIPINGE AND SANYATI DISTRICT SURVEY 1999-2000 Name of Enumerator Date of Interview Name of Farmer Name of District DISTRICT Name of Ward NWARD Name of Village VILNAME PROJECT SPONSORSHIP JOINTLY SPONSORED BY ROCKEFELLER FOUNDATION AND WK KELLOGG FOUNDATION 194 SECTION I: FIELD LEVEL MANAGEMENT OF COTTON PRODUCTION 1. Indicate the cotton variety grown and area planted to cotton in l998/99 in each field? 1=YES 0=NO 195 COTTON FIELD COTTON ESTIMATE ESTIMATE REPLANTED FDXNTED VARIETY AREA(HA) AREA (HA) COTTON ? COTTON? PLANTED FALLOW YES=l/NO=0 1=YES/0=NO l=HOMESTEAD 2=FIELD # I 3=FIELD # 2 4=FIELD # 3 CODES FOR COTTON VARIETIES GROWN IN ZIMBABWE 1=ALBAR 0502 10. CY 889 2=ALBAR K603 I l. ALBAR EU8910 3=DELMAC 12. ALBAR DF 885 4=ALBAR GSOI 13. ALBAR FQ902 5=ALBAR K602 l4. ALBAR FQ904 6=ALBAR 888714 15. LONG STAPLE 797 =ALBAR AG4869 l6. ALBAR SZ 93—14 8=ALBAR BC853 17. AF (88)4 9=ALBAR EU883GSOZ 2. Describe the planting densities for each cotton field COTTON COTTON IN - COTTON QUANTITY COST OF FIELDS ROW SPACING BETWEEN ROW COTTON COTTON (CM) SPACING SEEDS SEED - (CM) APPLIED (Z$) (KG) l.HOMESTAED 2.FIELD # l 3.FIELD # 2 4.FIELD #3 3. Did you use any hired labor in l998/99? HIREDLAB 4. Did you practice LABOR SHARING in cotton production in 1998/99? LABSHARE 1=YES 0=NO NOTE TO THE NUMERATOR: I.PLEASE COMPLETE SHEET NUMBER 1, 2, 3 AND 4 FOR LABOUR USE IN COTTON FIELDS. 2.IF LABOR IS REWARDED IN KIND CALCULATE THE EQUIVALENT DOLLAR VALUE OF OUTPUT PAID AS WAGE FOR WORK RENDERED USING l998/99-PRODUCER PRICE FOR THE PARTICULAR CROP. 5. Indicate the amount of family and any hired labor used in cotton production as well as the TOTAL wage paid to hired labor for the listed field operations in l998/99? HOMESTAED FIELD: l998/99 OPERATIONS SHEET #1 TASK TIME FAMILY HIRED HIRED SHARED (DAYS) LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR NUMBER NUMBER TOTAL NUMBER? WAGE (ZS) l= Land preparation 2=Planting cotton 3=Basal fertilizer application 4=Top dressing fertilizer 5=Scouting for pests 6=Mechanical weeding 7=Pre-emergence herbicides 8=Post emergence herbicides 9=lnsecticides application 10=Rodenticides application l 1=Cotton Picking 12=Buming Stover 196 COTTON FIELD # l: l998/99 OPERATIONS SHEET #2 TASK TIME FAMILY HIRED HIRED SHARED (DAYS) LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR NUMBER NUMBER TOTAL NUMBER? WAGE (ZS) l= Land preparation 2=Planting cotton 3=Basal fertilizer application 4=Top dressing fertilizer 5=Scouting for pests 6=Mechanical weeding 7=Pre-emergence herbicides 8=Post emergence herbicides 9=lnsecticides application 10=Rodenticides application 1 l=Cotton Picking 12=Buming Stover 197 COTTON FIELD # 2: 1998/99 OPERATIONS SHEET #3 TASK TIME FAMILY HIRED HIRED SHARED (DAYS) LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR NUMBER NUMBER TOTAL NUMBER? WAGE (Z3) I= Land preparation 2=Planting cotton 3=Basal fertilizer application 4=Top dressing fertilizer 5=Scouting for pests 6=Mechanical weeding [ 7=Pre-emergence herbicides 8=Post emergence herbicides 9=lnsecticides application 10=Rodenticides application ll=Cotton Picking 12=Buming Stover 198 COTTON FIELD # 3: l998/99 OPERATIONS SHEET #4 TASK TIME FAMILY HIRED HIRED SHARED (DAYS) LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR LABOUR NUMBER NUMBER TOTAL NUMBER? WAGE (Z$) 1: Land preparation 2=Planting cotton 3=Basal fertilizer application 4=Top dressing fertilizer 5=Scouting for pests 6=Mechanical weeding 7=Pre-emergence herbicides 8=Post emergence herbicides 9=lnsecticides application 10=Rodenticides application l 1=Cotton Picking 12=Buming Stover 6. Did you use fertilizer on your cotton crop in l998/99? COTFERT 1=YES 0=NO 199 7.Describe fertilizer use on your cotton crop in l998/99? HOMESTAED FIELD: I998/99 FERTILIZER APPLICATION BY FIELD TYPE OF AREA NUMBER OF PRICE TOTAL FERTILIZER APPLIED FERTILIZER (ZS/BAG) COST (ZS) APPLIED (HA) BAGS APPLIED l=Ammonium Nitrate (AN) 2=Compound K 3=Compound L 4= Lime 5= Urea 6 7. COTTON FIELD #l: I998/99 FERTILIZER APPLICATION BY FIELD TYPE OF AREA NUMBER OF PRICE TOTAL FERTILIZER APPLIED FERTILIZER (ZS/BAG) COST (ZS) APPLIED (HA) BAGS APPLIED l=Ammonium Nitrate (AN) 2=Compound K 3=Compound L 4= Lime 5= Urea 200 COTTON FIELD #2: I998/99 FERTILIZER APPLICATION BY FIELD TYPE OF AREA NUMBER OF PRICE TOTAL FERTILIZER APPLIED FERTILIZER (ZS/BAG) COST (ZS) APPLIED (HA) BAGS APPLIED l=Ammonium Nitrate (AN) 2=Compound K 3=Compound L 4: Lime 5= Urea 6. 7 COTTON FIELD #3: l998/99 FERTILIZER APPLICATION BY FIELD TYPE OF AREA NUMBER OF PRICE TOTAL FERTILIZER APPLIED FERTILIZER (ZS/BAG) COST (ZS) APPLIED (HA) BAGS APPLIED l=Ammonium Nitrate (AN) 2=Compound K 3=Compound L 4: Lime 5= Urea 201 8. Did you apply organic manure to your cotton crop in l998/99 season? 1=YES 0=NO OGMANURE 9. If YES, please indicate the field and amount of organic manure applied in I998/99? COTTON FIELD ORGANIC MANURE APPLIED [1=YES/ 0=NO] QUANTITY APPLIED l=HOMESTEAD FIELD 2=FIELD #l 3=FlELD #2 4=FIELD #3 202 10. What are the types of chemicals that you applied on your cotton crop in l998/99? HOMESTEAD: AGRO—CHEMICAL USE IN 1998/99 SHEET # l CHEMICAL TARGET NUMBER OF QUANTITY OF UNIT COST PER NAME PEST APPLICATIONS CONCENTRATE SIZE UNIT (ZS) (KG/ML) l. Carbaryl 2. Thiodan 3. Larvin 4. Fenvalerate 5. Agrithrin super 6. Karate 7. Dimethoate 8. Rogor 9. Marshall 10. Pfumo I l. Monocrotophos HERBICIDES CODES FOR PESTICIDES Herbicides Aca ricides Fungicides 12. Trif l3. Cucacron I4. Calirus 15 Stomp I6. Hosthion l7. Tecto l8 Bladex l9. Azodrin/Nuvacron 20. Brassicol 21 Gesagard 22. Tedion/Tetradifon 23. Rizolex 24 Dual 25. Mitac 26. Monceren combi 27 Planavin 28. Secure 29. Vitavax 30 Cotoran 31. Kelthane 32 Quintozene 33 Cotogard 34. Omite 35 Gesapax 36 Diuron 37 Igran 203 COTTON FIELD #l: AGRO-CHEMICAL USE IN 1998/99 SHEET # 2 CHEMICAL TARGET NUMBER OF QUANTITY OF UNIT COST PER NAME PEST APPLICATIONS CONCENTRATE SIZE UNIT (ZS) (KG/ML) 1. Carbaryl 2. Thiodan 3. Larvin 4. Fenvalerate 5. Agrithrin super 6. Karate 7. Dimethoate 8 . Rogor 9. Marshall , 10. Pfumo l l. Monocrotophos HERBICIDES CODES FOR PESTICIDES Herbicides Acaricides Fungicides 12. Trif l3. Cucacron I4. Calirus 16 Stomp l6. Hosthion 17. Tecto 18 Bladex l9. Azodrin/Nuvacron 20. Brassicol :- 21 Gesagard 22.Tedion/Tetradifon 23.Rizolex I 24 Dual 25. Mitac 26. Monceren combi F 27 Planavin 28. Secure 29. Vitavax L 30 Cotoran 31. Kelthane 32 Quintozene ‘ 33 Cotogard 34.0mite 35 Gesapax 36 Diuron 37 Igran 204 COTTON FIELD #2: AGRO-CHEMICAL USE IN I998/99 SHEET # 3 CHEMICAL TARGET NUMBER OF QUANTITY OF UNIT COST PER NAME PEST APPLICATIONS CONCENTRATE SIZE UNIT (ZS) (KG/ML) l. Carbaryl 2. Thiodan 3. Larvin 4. Fenvalerate 5. Agrithrin super 6. Karate 7. Dimethoate 8. Rogor 9. Marshall 10. Pfumo I I. Monocrotophos HERBICIDES CODES FOR PESTICIDES Herbicides Acaricides Fungicides 12. Trif l3. Cucacron l4. Calirus 17 Stomp 16. Hosthion 17. Tecto l8 Bladex l9. Azodrin/Nuvacron 20. Brassicol 21 Gesagard 22. Tedion/Tetradifon 23. Rizolex 24 Dual 25.Mitac 26. Monceren combi 27 Planavin 28. Secure 29.Vitavax 30 Cotoran 31. Kelthane 32 Quintozene 33 Cotogard 34. Omite 35 Gesapax 36 Diuron 37 Igran 205 COTTON FIELD #3: AGRO—CHEMICAL USE IN l998/99 SHEET # 4 CHEMICAL TARGET NUMBER OF QUANTITY OF UNIT COST PER NAME PEST APPLICATIONS CONCENTRATE SIZE UNIT (ZS) (KG/ML) l. Carbaryl 2. Thiodan 3. Larvin 4. Fenvalerate 5. Agrithrin super 6. Karate 7. Dimethoate 8 . Rogor 9. Marshall 10. Pfumo I I. Monocrotophos HERBICIDES CODES FOR PESTICIDES Herbicides Acaricides Fungicides 12. Trif 13. Cucacron l4. Calirus l8 Stomp l6. Hosthion l7. Tecto 18 Bladex 19. Azodrin/Nuvacron 20. Brassicol 21 Gesagard 22. Tedion/Tetradifon 23. Rizolex 24 Dual 25.Mitac 26.Monceren combi 27 Planavin 28. Secure 29.Vitavax 30 Cotoran 31. Kelthane 32 Quintozene 33 Cotogard 34. Omite 36 Gesapax 36 Diuron 37 Igran 206 NOV YOL 12.1 stra I 1 Imagine a poor, average and good season, how much yield would expect to get on your farm N ECTED YIELD (KG/HA) Poor verage NOW WE WANT TO ASK YOU QUESTIONS ABOUT PEST MANAGEMENT PRACTICES YOU MAY HAVE USED ON YOUR COTTON CROP IN l998/99. 12. Have you ever received training on IPPM? 1=YES 0=NO NOTE TO ENUMERATOR: Provide definition of IPPM if farmer is not clear about its meaning: . IPPM is the control of pests using multiple management tactics, which include cultural, biological, strategic and chemical control. IPPM knowledge is disseminated through Farmer Field Schools. 13. Where did you receive your training? IPMEDUC 1. AGRITEX 2. COTTON TRAINING CENTER (CTC) 3. IPPM TRAINED FARMERS 4. MASTER FARMERS 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 207 l4. Indicate which pest management practices you used on your farm to control cotton INSECTS in 1998/99 season? PEST MANAGEMENT PRACTICE FOR COTTON INSECTS ADOPTION STATUS 1=YES 0=NO 1=Use of pest resistant cotton varieties 2=Pest scouting and use of economic thresholds in making pesticide treatment. 3=Buming cotton stover (Field Sanitation) 4=Crop rotations 5=Mulching 6=Soil testing for pests 7=Use of less toxic and safer chemicals 8=A1ternating pesticides to slow development of pest resistance to pesticides. 9= Adjusting planting dates to lessen pest problems 10=Use of beneficial organisms that prey on pests (e.g. predator insects or mites). 1 l= Adjusting application rates, timing and frequency of pesticide use to protect beneficial organisms l2= Use of pheromones such as ants or moths that excrete poisonous chemicals externally for trapping . 15. What do you think about IPPM? IPMFPP 1. LABOR INTENSIVE 2. IPPM IS EFFECTIVE PEST CONTROL METHODS 3. IPPM METHODS ARE INEFFECTIVE 4. NOT SUPERIOR TO CONVENTIONAL CHEMICAL USE 5. OTHER (SPECIFY) 208 16. How many bales did you harvest from the different cotton fields in l998/99? COTTON FIELD NO OF BALES 1=HOMESTAED FIELD 2=FIELD l 3=FlELD 2 4=FIELD 3 1?. Indicate how many bales where sold to the following markets in l998/99 MARKETING UTLET NUMB O BALES l. . A 4.L AL R 5.NEI RS 6. 18. Please indicate the grade distribution of cotton harvested in 1998/99? GRADE NUMBER OF BALES PRICE PER KG TOTAL REVENUE CATEGORY A B C D REJ EC T 209 EL; .‘fi .111 SOIL CONSERVATION AND TILLAGE PRACTICES IN COTTON FIELDS 20.Predominant soil texture in the village SOILTXT I=SANDY LOAM SOIL 2=BLACK CLAY SOIL (VERTISOLS) 3=RED CLAY SOIL 4: OTHER (SPECIFY) 21. Cotton field characteristics COTTON FIELD HOMESTEAD FIELD # l FIELD # 2 FIELD # 3 CHARACTERISTICS FIELD Dominant soil texture Walking time fi'om homestead (hours/minutes) Type of conservation practice Soil Test Conducted? (1=YES/0=NO) CODES FOR SOIL TEXTURE CODES FOR CONSERVATION PRACTICES I=SANDY SOIL 2=BLACK SOIL (VERTISOL) 3=RED SOIL 4=CLAY SOIL 5=OTHER (SPECIFY) 1=TIED RIDGES 2=CONTOURS 3=WINDBREAKS 4=MULCHING 5=MINIMUM TILLAGE 210 22. COTTON FIELD NUMBER SIDE NUMBER 23. COTTON FIELD NUMBER :FIELD AREA MEASUREMENTS ANGLE (DEGREES) LENGTH (METERS) :FIELD AREA MEASUREMENTS SIDE NUMBER ANGLE EGREES) LENGTH 211 M IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII lllllllllllllllll[If (l l 3 1293 o 3