a} . .15. 3 "(.muwfl .~ 11—h?”- ‘x P. : i: (all. i l’. ‘. 1.- »xflina’. . $3.... $4. . n it 5:221: .1 .1 . 3:2 is .4. :13. o A Iln~nlibav¢ x r. no: rain .. xh3-u..1 S . y :50. :0! ‘ I I .J , 2. 3&8 «if... 3» . .fi be»; 21.19.47 : 5?. .1 3‘ \ . 4.. a .3] A 'm 1004 téjans? UBRARY Michigan State University This is to certify that the dissertation entitled ESTIMATING RETURNS TO SCHOOLING IN INDONESIA: EVIDENCE FROM THE INDONESIA FAMILY LIFE SURVEY 1993-2000 presented by GREGORIUS DAAN VINCENT PATTINASARANY has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for the Ph.D. degree in Economics / [fig-J / ajor P essor 3 Signature 3%,}ny 524 02003 Date MSU is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 6/01 c:/CIRC/DateDue.p65-p.15 ESTIMATING RETURNS TO SCHOOLING IN INDONESIA: EVIDENCE FROM THE INDONESIA FAMILY LIFE SURVEY 1993-2000 By Gregorius Daan Vincent Pattinasarany A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Economics 2003 ABSTRACT ESTIMATING RETURNS TO SCHOOLING IN INDONESIA: EVIDENCE FROM THE INDONESIA FAMILY LIFE SURVEY 1993-2000 By Gregorius Daan Vincent Pattinasarany The rate of return to schooling investment in Indonesia is estimated using the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS) of 1993, 1997 and 2000. This study explicitly takes into account measures to overcome omitted variable and sample selection biases. Parental schooling information is used to correct for omitted variable bias, while sample selection bias is corrected by modeling employment outcomes into several labor market alternatives. Returns to schooling are estimated for adults aged 25-59 years who are self- employed as well as those who are working in the public and private sectors. Separate estimates for men and women are presented for each of the cross section data of 1993, 1997 and 2000. Some important findings of this study are the following. Individuals with more formal schooling are more favorably rewarded and, thus, have higher returns to schooling. Wage advantage increases in a convex fashion with levels of schooling. Over years, wage advantages within each level of schooling are, in general, declining. Supply shifts among individuals with more schooling might serve as one of the possible explanations for the declining rates. Parental education captures part of individuals’ family background information as the inclusion of it in the wage regression reduces estimated coefficients of individuals’ schooling variables. Although the effects of parental schooling on individuals’ returns are limited, the results reveal that having educated parents is associated with an increase in earnings relative to having illiterate parents. Sample selection bias does not turn to be important in these wage regressions. Selectivity correction terms are mainly significant in the self-employment wage regressions. Likewise, the potential bias from migration seems to be small. Individuals who were born or are currently living in urban areas do not have a wage advantage that is significantly different from their counterparts who were born or are currently living in rural areas. Stratifying individuals based on their age reveals that younger individuals (aged 25-39) who are working in the private sector have a lower rate of return in comparison to that of the older generation (aged 40-59). Cepyright by GREGORIUS DAAN VINCENT PATTINASARANY 2003 To my wife, Ira, and my children, Dani and Vira, whose love, support and encouragement made this work possible. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS It has been a long journey for me to get to this stage of my learning career. I have experienced many ups and downs during years as a graduate student. But the most valuable message that I get from this journey is that one should never give up in obtaining his ultimate goal. There are a lot of people that I should acknowledge for helping me during this endeavor. I am indebted to Prof. John A. Strauss, my major advisor, not only for his guidance and support that he has given for writing this dissertation but also for the friendship that we have built during the course of time. I am also very grateful for all efforts that he has done that enabled me to finally defend my dissertation. I would like to thank all my committee members: Prof. John Giles, Prof. Carl Liedholm and Prof. Jeff Biddle for their valuable comments in improving this dissertation. I would like to thank the late Prof. Dr. J .L. Tamba; without his initiative I would have not have the opportunity to pursue Ph.D. degree. I would like to thank my late father, J .D. Pattinasarany and my late mother, G.M.L. J ansz-Pattinasarany, whose inspired me a life long love of learning, and my sisters, M. Sally H.L. Pattinasarany and Fransica M.R. Pattinasarany, for giving me the support and strength when I really needed it. I would like to thank my father-in-law, Waluyo, and mother-in-law, Toeti Waluyo, for believing in me and support me along the way. Finally, I would like to thank my wife, Indera Ratna Irawati Pattinasarany, my son, Danira Reggie Pattinasarany, and my daughter, Vinira Pritha Pattinasarany, whose love, support and encouragement made this work possible. vii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................... x SECTION 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................... 1 SECTION 2 PREVIOUS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ON INDONESIA ................................... 9 2.1. Early Empirical Findings ............................................................. 9 2.2. Empirical Studies of the 19905 ...................................................... 10 2.3. Discussion .............................................................................. 19 SECTION 3 MODEL ........................................................................................... 22 3.1. Sector Choice Model ................................................................. 22 3.2. Wage Function ........................................................................ 26 SECTION 4 DATA .......................................................................................... 28 4.1. IF LS ..................................................................................... 29 4.2. Labor Force Participation for Cross Section Respondents ..................... 33 4.3. Labor Force Participation for Panel Respondents ............................... 37 SECTION 5 SECTOR CHOICE MODEL ................................................................... 40 5.1. Specification Tests .................................................................. 41 5.1.1. Hausman-McFadden Tests ................................................. 42 5.1.2. Wald Tests ................................................................... 43 5.3. Factors Affecting Sector Choice ................................................... 44 5.3.1. Own Schooling .............................................................. 45 5.3.2. Parental Schooling ........................................................... 50 5.3.3. Other Variables .............................................................. 51 Appendix Section 5: Sector Choice Model for Panel Respondents .................. 54 SECTION 6 WAGE FUNCTIONS .......................................................................... 58 6.1. Earnings Rate ........................................................................ 60 6.2. Wage Functions: the Effects of Own Schooling ................................. 62 6.2.1. Linear Own Schooling ...................................................... 63 6.2.1. Non-linear Own Schooling ................................................ 65 6.3. Wage Functions: the Effects of Parental Schooling ............................ 71 6.4. Wage Functions: the Effects of Regions of Current Residence ............... 73 viii 6.5. Predicted Rates of Returns ......................................................... 75 6.6. Discussion ............................................................................ 77 6.6.1. Comparison with OLS Results ............................................. 78 Appendix Section 6: Wage Functions for Panel Respondents ........................ 79 SECTION 7 MIGRATION .................................................................................... 83 7.1. Schooling Attainment and Earnings .............................................. 85 7.2. Model .................................................................................. 87 7.3. Discussion ............................................................................ 88 SECTION 8 RETURNS TO SCHOOLIN G BY AGE COHORTS ...................................... 94 8.1. Schooling Attainment and Earnings ............................................... 95 8.2. Model .................................................................................. 96 8.3. Discussion ............................................................................ 97 SECTION 9 RETURNS TO SCHOOLING USING POTENTIAL EXPERIENCE .................. 100 SECTION 10 SUMMARY ...................................................................................... 104 10.1. Empirical Results .................................................................... 106 10.1.1. Sector Choice Model ...................................................... 106 10.1.2. Wage Regressions .......................................................... 109 10.1.3. Migration and Age-Cohort ................................................ 113 10.2. Policy Implications .................................................................. 114 10.3. Future Agenda ....................................................................... 116 BIBLIOGRAPHY ................................................................................ 235 ix LIST OF TABLES Table 4.1 Summary of Number of Observations ........................................................ 1 18 Table 4.2 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender, Cross Section Respondents ..................................................................... 119 Table 4.3 Distribution of Employment by Age, Sector and Gender, Cross Section Respondents 120 Table 4.4 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender, Panel Respondents ...................................................................................... 121 Table 4.5 Distribution of Employment by Age, Sector and Gender, Panel Respondents .......... 122 Table 4.6 Transition in Work by Sector and Gender, Panel Respondents ........................... 123 Table 4.7 Transition in Work by Age and Gender, Panel Respondents .............................. 124 Appendix Table 4.1 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender, SUSENAS ........................................................................................ 125 Table 5.1 Hausman-McFadden Tests for Independence of Irrelevant Alternative Property of Multinomial Sector Choice Model ............................................................ 126 Table 5.2 Wald Tests for Combining Dependent Categories of Multinomial Sector Choice Model .............................................................................................. 127 Table 5.3A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), IFLSl ........................... 128 Table 5.33 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), IF LS2 ........................... 129 Table 5.3C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), IF LS3 ........................... 130 Table 5.4 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling ......................................................................................... 131 Table 5.5 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Summary of the Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling ...................................................... 132 Appendix Table 5.1A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IFLS 1 .............................................................................................. 133 Appendix Table 5.1B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IFLSZ .............................................................................................. 134 Appendix Table 5.1C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IFLS3 .............................................................................................. 135 Appendix Table 5.2A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLSl ................................................................................ 136 Appendix Table 5.2B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLSZ ................................................................................ 137 Appendix Table 5.2C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLS3 ................................................................................ 138 Appendix Table 5.3A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification), IFLSl .............. 139 Appendix Table 5.3B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification), IFLS2 .............. 141 xi Appendix Table 5.3C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification), IFLS3 ............. Appendix Table 5.4A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS1 .................................................................... Appendix Table 5.4B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLS2 .................................................................... Appendix Table 5.4C Multinorrrial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS3 ..................................................................... Appendix Table 5.5A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLSl ....................................................... Appendix Table 5.5B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLS2 ....................................................... Appendix Table 5.5C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLS3 ....................................................... Appendix Table 5.6A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), Panel Respondents, IFLSl Appendix Table 5.6B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), Panel Respondents, IFLS2 . .. Appendix Table 5.6C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification), Panel Respondents, IFLS3 Appendix Table 5.7 Primary Duties within Sector of Employment by Gender and Its Average Years of Schooling ......................................................................................... Appendix Table 5.8 Primary Duties within Sector of Employment by Gender, Panel Respondents ......... xii . 143 . 145 . 146 . 147 . 148 . 149 .150 151 152 153 154 155 Table 6.1 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Years of Schooling and Sex ........... 156 Table 6.2A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLSl .............................................................................................. 158 Table 6.2B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLS2 .............................................................................................. 159 Table 6.2C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, IFLS3 .............................................................................................. 160 Table 6.3 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling 161 Table 6.4A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IF LS1 ................................................................. 162 Table 6.4B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IF LS2 ................................................................. 163 Table 6.4C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IF LS3 ................................................................. 164 Table 6.5 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Non-Linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling ............................................................. 165 Table 6.6A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency, IFLS] .............................................................................................. 166 Table 6.6B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency, IFLSZ .............................................................................................. 168 xiii Table 6.6C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency, IFLS3 .............................................................................................. 170 Table 6.7 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency ............................................... 172 Table 6.8 Predicted Returns to Schooling: Specifications that Include Own Schooling ........... 173 Table 6.9 Predicted Returns to Schooling: Specifications that Include Own Schooling and Parental Schooling .............................................................................. 174 Appendix Table 6.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IFLSl .............................................................................................. 175 Appendix Table 6.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IFLS2 .............................................................................................. 176 Appendix Table 6.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, IF LS3 .............................................................................................. 177 Appendix Table 6.2 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling, Residency, Household Compositions and Business Assets for Self-Employed Workers ........................................................................ 178 Appendix Table 6.3A Selectivity Corrected Wage FunctionsThe Effects of Own Schooling (splines), IFLSl .............................................................................................. 180 Appendix Table 6.38 Selectivity Corrected Wage F unctionsThe Effects of Own Schooling (splines), IFLS2 .............................................................................................. 181 Appendix Table 6.3C Selectivity Corrected Wage FunctionsThe Effects of Own Schooling (splines), IF LS3 .............................................................................................. 182 xiv Appendix Table 6.4A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) and Parental Schooling, IF LSl ................................................................. 183 Appendix Table 6.4B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) and Parental Schooling, IF L82 ................................................................. 184 Appendix Table 6.4C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) and Parental Schooling, IFLS3 ................................................................. 185 Appendix Table 6.5A OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IF LSl ................................................................................. 186 Appendix Table 6.5B OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IFLS2 ................................................................................ 187 Appendix Table 6.5C OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, IF LS3 ................................................................................ 188 Appendix Table 6.6A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS1 ..................................................................... 189 Appendix Table 6.6B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS2 ..................................................................... 190 Appendix Table 6.6C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS3 ...................................................................... 191 Appendix Table 6.7A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LSl ..................................................................... 192 Appendix Table 6.7B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS2 ..................................................................... 193 XV Appendix Table 6.7C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLS3 ..................................................................... 194 Appendix Table 6.8A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS1 ........................................ 195 Appendix Table 6.8B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, Panel Respondents, IF LS2 ........................................ 196 Appendix Table 6.8C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling, Panel Respondents, IFLS3 ........................................ 197 Table 7.1A Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling, IFLS] ...................... 198 Table 7.1B Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling, IFLSZ ...................... 199 Table 7.1C Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling, IFLS3 ...................... 200 Table 7.2 Own Schooling Attainment by Region of Birth, Region of Current Residence and Gender ............................................................................................. 201 Table 7.3 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Region of Birth and Gender ........... 202 Table 7.4 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Region of Current Residence and Gender ............................................................................................. 203 Table 7.5A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IF LSl ........................................................ 204 Table 7.5B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IF LS2 ........................................................ 205 xvi Table 7.5C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IF LS3 ........................................................ 206 Table 7.6 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban ................................................................. 207 Table 7.7A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IF LS1 ..................................................... 208 Table 7.7B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IF L82 ..................................................... 209 Table 7 .7C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IFLS3 ..................................................... 210 Table 7.8 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence ............................................................. 21 1 Appendix Table 7.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IFLSl ........................................................ 212 Appendix Table 7.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IFLS2 ........................................................ 213 Appendix Table 7.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Born in Urban, IF LS3 ....................................................... 214 Appendix Table 7.2A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IF LS1 ..................................................... 215 Appendix Table 7 .2B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IFLSZ ..................................................... 216 xvii Appendix Table 7.2C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Urban Residence, IF LS3 ..................................................... 217 Table 8.1 Own Schooling Attainment by Cohort and Gender ......................................... 218 Table 8.2 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Cohort and Gender ..................... 219 Table 8.3A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IF LS1 ......................................................... 220 Table 8.3B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IF LS2 ......................................................... 221 Table 8.3C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IFLS3 ......................................................... 222 Table 8.4 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort ................................................................. 223 Appendix Table 8.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IFLSl ......................................................... 224 Appendix Table 8.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IF LS2 ......................................................... 225 Appendix Table 8.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Interacted with Young Cohort, IF LS3 ......................................................... 226 Table 9.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IF LS1 ................................................... 227 Table 9.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IFLS2 ................................................... 228 xviii Table 9.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IFLS3 ................................................... 229 Table 9.2 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of The Effects of Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience ............................................................ 230 Appendix Table 9.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IF LSl ......................................................... 231 Appendix Table 9.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IF LS2 ......................................................... 232 Appendix Table 9.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling with Age and Potential Experience, IF LS3 ......................................................... 233 Table 10.1 Comparison of Estimates ....................................................................... 234 xix 1. Introduction Education determines how individuals, communities and nations progress by improving living standards, enhancing quality of life and providing essential opportunities for all. In order for nations to survive in a rapidly changing world, especially to keep up with or ahead of the advancement in technological innovations, it is essential for a country to have a highly educated and skilled population. In developing countries, where most of the population still lives in poverty, education can also play a crucial role in combating poverty.1 Governments in developing countries are still the major players in financing the education sector, especially at the primary and secondary levels. Expenditure on education is one of the major categories of expenditure in the national budgets of many developing countries. According to the latest figures, developing countries spend 3.8 percent of their GNP on public education (UNDP [2000]).2 One obvious question regarding these huge investments in education is what is the rate of return. Psacharopoulos (1973, 1981, 1985 and 1994) and Psacharopoulos and Patrinos (2002) have compiled a comprehensive review on private and social rates of return to investment in education for both developed and developing countries during the ' In analyzing changes in the income distribution in Java between the years 1984 and 1990, Cameron (2000) finds that poverty reduction was largely associated with increased educational attainment as well as increases in the incomes of lesser educated workers and income gains to workers outside agriculture. Increased educational attainment, however, was found to be the largest determinant of the inequality. She concludes that as Indonesians gain more education and as productivity and hence incomes outside agriculture increases, poverty is expected to continue to decrease and inequality to increase. 2 This figure varies among regions from 2.9 percent for East Asia countries to 6.1 percent for Sub-Saharan Africa countries. As a comparison, the corresponding figures for OECD countries and the world are 5.0 percent and 4.8 percent, respectively. last 30 years.3 In general, returns to schooling are positive and tend to be high. Some patterns regarding the rate of returns emerge from these reviews. First, among the three levels of education (primary, secondary and tertiary/higher), primary education exhibits the highest returns of investment. Second, the private and social returns at all levels of education decline with country per capita income. Third, returns to education are higher for women than for men. Men have higher returns to primary education while women experience higher returns to secondary education. Finally, individuals who work in the private sector enjoy a higher rate of return than those in the public sector. Empirical work on returns to schooling is, in general, based on Mincer-type (1974) eamings or wage functions. In principal, this involves OLS regression of the natural logarithm of earnings (or wage) as the dependent variable with years of schooling and potential years of experience in the labor market and its square as independent variables. Early studies on earnings-schooling relationship suffer from two basic problems (see Card [1999], Schultz [1988] and Strauss and Thomas [1995] for surveys of research). These problems, which are often dictated by the nature of the available data, are omitted variable bias and sample selection bias. Omitted variable bias resulted from omitted measures of ability, family background and schooling quality. To encounter the problem of ability bias, measures that proxy for unobserved ability such as IQ and other test results are sometimes included in the wage 3 Returns to schooling can be estimated from the private and social points of view. The private rate of return is calculated by equating (in discounted present value term) a stream of after-tax education benefits to a stream of educational costs. In addition to the direct costs of education (education fees, book allowance and other incidental expenses), the costs incurred by the individual also include individuals’ foregone earnings while studying. Social rate of return adds taxes and any net positive social externalities (on the benefits side of the equation) and augment the public and private subsidies not borne by the individual (on the costs side). To the extent that education, especially in the primary level, is highly subsidized, social returns are therefore lower than the private returns. function.4 The inclusion of proxies for ability has been criticized due to its difficulty to find ability measures that are not themselves determined, and thus correlated, with schooling. Many studies have shown the importance of examining the impact of family background on earnings. The long tradition in using family background information, such as parental education and income, is intended to control for unobserved ability or to proxy human capital investment made by parents not captured by completed years of schooling. The facts that parents may send their children to better quality schools, or children who continue to the secondary and higher levels may go to better primary schools, are examples that parental background measures may also control for school quality. Sample selection bias arises because not all individuals in the population report information about earnings or wages. If the criterion for inclusion in the sample involves the choice of occupation, labor force participation or migration, then sample selection is likely to be more important. In practice, estimation of wage functions should incorporate correction for sample selection by taking into account the fact that the decision to be in the wage labor market is a choice. The availability of new and richer data sets as well as more sophisticated estimation techniques enables researchers to obtain better rate of return estimates.5 Unfortunately, ’ Omitting ability or its proxies from the wage function will upward biased the rate of retum estimates, in most cases by no more than 5-15 percent (Schultz [1988]). 5 Another approach in this literature is the estimation of causal effect of schooling on earnings by using institutional features of the supply side of the education system as exogenous determinants of schooling outcomes (see Card [1999] for review). Some examples of supply side variables used in the literature are variation in individual’s quarter of birth (Angn'st and Krueger [1992]), geographic variation in college proximity (Card [1993]), changes in legal minimum school-leaving age (Harmon and Walker [1995]), and major school construction program (Duflo [2000] and Clark and Hsieh [2000]). The basic idea of using these institutional features is to use supply-side shocks to identify demand-side parameters and, thus, places returns to schooling in a standard “supply and demand” framework. due to the unavailability of data, studies on the returns to schooling in Indonesia that were written in the 19903 (Behrrnan and Deolalikar [1991, 1993 and 1995], Deolalikar [1993] and Duflo [2000]) do not explicitly control for family background.6 This implies that we are not able to learn, for example, the effects of father or mother’s schooling on returns to schooling.7 As pointed out in Schultz (1988), since more educated parents tend to invest more in the education of their children, there is no reason why parental schooling should not be included to examine returns to schooling.8 In this essay I will estimate the private rate of return to schooling using there waves of Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS) data. Detailed information on individuals’ and An interesting finding of Card (2000) is that the instumental variables (IV) estimates of the returns to schooling in this literature are typically exceeding the corresponding OLS estimates. One explanation of this upward bias in the IV estimates is due to the underlying heterogeneity in the returns to education. Many of the IV estimates that are based on supply-side institutional reforms tend to recover returns to schooling for a subset of individuals with relatively high return to education. Accessibility of schools, for example, tends to affect schooling choice of individuals who would otherwise have relatively low schooling. If the main reason that an individual has low schooling is driven by cost of schooling then IV estimates based on accessibility of schools will yield an estimate of returns to schooling that is higher than the marginal returns to schooling in the population. Although institutional feature on the supply-side of education provides a richer econometric model, the resulted IV estimates should be interpreted with caution. 6 Bedi and Gaston (2000) is an exception. The papers by Behrrnan and Deolalikar do, however, control for unobserved household and community heterogeneity effects. Each of the above-mentioned studies addresses the selectivity bias problem. Deolalikar (1993), in addition to the estimation of returns to schooling, also estimates schooling enrollment rates. He finds, among others, that the schooling of head and his spouse in a male-headed household has some of the strongest effects on enrollment probabilities; and that the female household head and her spouse do not have any significant effects. 7 Parental schooling also affects other aspect of human capital investment on their children like, for example, health status. Skoufias (1999) examines the impact of parental education on the nutritional status of pre-school school children (age 5 years and under), measured by weight-for-age Z-scores, in Indonesia. He estimates reduced form for child health status by taking into account unobserved heterogeneity at the cluster (village); this is done by controlling for the difference in prices and in the quantity and quality of available medical services. Parental schooling is found to have a significantly positive effect on the health status of children and that these effects vary in urban and rural areas as well as by child gender and child age. The estimates show that mothers with secondary education have healthier boys than those with lower levels of education. For girls, the positive health status effects exist only if mother have education above senior high school level. 8 More educated parents also tend to provide a more favorable learning environment at home with the implication of lowering the cost of education or increasing the market productivity of attending school for a given number of year. They may also provide their children with a better social connection so that their children can get a favorable job. on his/her parents’ characteristics is gathered in the survey. Household level as well as community and facility level information enriches this survey. The richness of the data enables the construction of family background information, something that is lacking in the previous studies, to overcome the omitted variable bias problem. Realizing that most of the individuals who participate in the labor market are not working for a wage, I will model the employment outcomes in several labor market alternatives; thus correcting for selectivity bias problem. The richness of this survey, however, has to be compensated with the relatively small sample size compared to the data sets used by the above- mentioned studies. To be more specific, I will estimate returns to investment in education by controlling for parental (father’s and mother’s) schooling. The rates of returns will be estimated for those who are self-employed as well as those working in the public and private sectors. Separate estimates for men and women will be presented in this essay since these rates tend to vary by gender (see Behrrnan and Deolalikar [1993, 1995] for the case of Indonesia). In addition, I will also utilize information on migration (in particular, the place of birth and of current residency of the respondents) in the survey to estimate the effect of migration on rate of return to investment in education (Schultz [1988]). The utilization of samples covering three periods of time (1993, 1997 and 2000) is expected to give a better understanding of how returns to schooling investment evolved over time in Indonesia during the 19905.9 During that span of time, Indonesia has experience a period of remarkable growth in its economy from 1993 to 1997, a multi dimensional crisis by that started by late 1997, and a recovery period since mid-1998. The dynamics of returns to schooling investment during this period is of interest. Although four years might not be long enough to see the difference in return to schooling, it is interesting to see whether the rates decreased as per capita expenditure increased and as the individuals became more educated during the prosperous stage of 1993-1997. The impact of the economic crisis of 1997-98 has been studied thoroughly using various data sets, including the IF LS.10 In spite of it, comparison of returns to schooling during this period is yet to be studied. If due to the crises, a particular sector became more selective in employing their workers like increasing the minimum level of schooling attainment or experience with no significant increase in compensation structure, returns to schooling in that sector might fall. These are the issues that will be explored in this paper. The panel nature of the data is not exploited in this paper, but it is left for fiiture work. However, separate estimates for panel individuals for each survey year are presented in this work in addition to the estimates for cross-section individuals. The purpose of the presentation of these panel individual estimates is to provide comparison of the changes in retruns to schooling between the two sets of individuals. Some important findings of this study are the following. Individuals with more formal schooling are more favorably rewarded and, thus, have higher returns to schooling. Wage advantage increases in a convex fashion with levels of schooling. Over 9 Psacharopoulos and Patrinos (2002) find that worldwide average returns to schooling during the 1990 decade have declined by 0.6 percent, while average schooling attainment during the same period have increased. w Frankenberg, Thomas and Beegle (1999) look at evidence of the immediate impact of the economic shocks on a broad array of economic well being measures including children’s schooling and adults’ employment and wages, using IF L82 and IFLSZ+ (conducted on the second half of 1998) data sets. A more detail study on how individuals and households are affected and how did they respond to the crisis in relation to schooling of the young is reported in Thomas, Beegle, Frankenberg, Sikoki, Strauss and Teruel (2001). Another comparison of a range of well being measure three years after the crisis could be found in Strauss, Beegle, Dwiyanto, Herawati, Pattinasarany, Satriawan, Sikoki, Sukamdi and Witoelar (2002) based on IFLSZ and IFLS3 data sets. years, wage advantages within each level of schooling are, in general, declining. Supply shifts among individuals with more schooling might serve as one of the possible explanations for the declining rates. Parental education captures part of individuals’ family background information as the inclusion of it in the wage regression reduces estimated coefficients of individuals’ schooling variables. Although the effects of parental schooling on individuals’ returns are limited, the results reveal that having educated parents is associated with an increase in earnings relative to having illiterate parents. Sample selection bias does not turn to be important in these wage regressions. Selectivity correction terms are mainly significant in the self-employment wage regressions. Likewise, the potential bias from migration seems to be small. Individuals who were born or are currently living in urban areas do not have a wage advantage that is significantly different from their counterparts who were born or are currently living in rural areas. Stratifying individuals based on their age reveals that younger individuals (aged 25-39) who are working in the private sector have a lower rate of return in comparison to that of the older generation (aged 40-59). This essay is organized as follows. In Section 2, studies on the returns to schooling in Indonesia are reviewed. Section 3 describes the model and empirical strategy, while section 4 discusses the data. Presentation of empirical results and discussions of findings starts in section 5 with sector choice model, followed by returns to schooling estimates in Section 6. In Section 7, to control for migration, 1 will present the estimates by taking into account the importance of place of birth and place of current residence. Since availability and quality of schooling may differ over time, in Section 8 the returns to schooling are estimated by incorporating age-cohort effect. In Section 9, returns to schooling estimates with potential experience (defined as the duration since an individual finished/quit school) will be presented as an alternative to using age as approximation of out-of-school working experience. This essay concludes in section 10 with summary of findings and their policy implications. 2. Previous Empirical Studies on Indonesia This section starts with short reviews of empirical studies on the returns to schooling in Indonesia that were written prior to 1990. Studies written during the 19903 and beyond are characterized by richer specifications as well as more sophisticated methodologies, in addition to the availability of better quality household survey data. For that reason, following the review of the earlier empirical findings, these studies will be reviewed in more detail. 2.1. Early Empirical Findings Simanjuntak (1981) provides one of the earliest empirical results on earnings— schooling relationship in Indonesia. He finds that, in 1976, the private rates of return for individual who completed secondary and higher education are 14.5 percent and 19.7 percent, respectively. Psacharopoulos (1985) compiles returns to schooling estimates, both private and social rates, on 61 countries. For Indonesia, in 1977, he finds that the private rates are 25.5 percent for primary school (relative to no schooling) and 15.6 percent for secondary school (relative to primary school graduate). The corresponding social rates, in 1978, are 21.9 percent for primary, 16.2 percent for secondary and 14.8 percent for higher education (relative to secondary graduate). Clark (1983) estimates social rates of returns for secondary schooling in determining whether secondary education in Indonesia is a good investment. He uses data from a tracer study for a cohort of senior secondary school graduates covering the first two years after finishing school in 1976. An individual who graduated from senior secondary school has a return of 24 percent if he or she can get a job right after graduating. A one-, two- and three- year waiting period will reduced the rates to 19 percent, 16 percent, and 14 percent, respectively. In addition, individuals who graduate from general secondary school have a significant advantage in the rates of returns compared to those who graduated from vocational secondary school. Social rates of return were also estimated in McMahon and Boediono (1992). They calculate rates for 1982, 1986, 1988 and 1989 for different levels of education starting from junior secondary level using various rounds of Indonesian Labor Force Survey (SAKERNAS) data. The average return to general junior secondary education is 14.5 percent, while the corresponding figure to general senior secondary education is 15.5 percent, although the rates are falling with time. 2.2. Empirical Studies of the 1990s Six studies on returns to schooling that were written during the 1990s and beyond will be reviewed next. Our review starts with three papers by Behrrnan and Deolalikar (1991, 1993 and 1995). Deolalikar (1993), Duflo (2000), Bedi and Gaston (2000) and Filmer and Lindauer (2001) will follow the review. The discussion emphasizes on the methodology used, along with its advantages and disadvantages, in order to build a better model that will be discussed in the next section. Behrrnan and Deolalikar (1991, 1993 and 1995) examine the earnings-schooling relationships for individuals who report wages using the 1986 SAKERNAS data. A unique feature of their 1991 paper is the adjustment made for the time spent in each level 10 of schooling due to repetition and dropout. They develop a model based on two (very strong) assumptions since the data do not provide information about individual-specific dropout and repetition experience.'1 The first assumption, the homogeneity assumption, states that everyone who enters a given grade is subject to the same average repetition and dropout rates. Secondly, in the heterogeneity assumption, they assume that students who enter the next level of schooling have zero values for the repetition and dropout rates at all lower levels. In addition, students who do not enter the next level have appropriately adjusted repetition and dropout rates at the lower levels. Based on these assumptions, they find that failure to control for repetition and dropout rates will significantly upward biased the returns to schooling estimates, especially for the lower levels. For example, at the subprimary level (i.e., for individuals with 1-3 years of schooling), the rate of returns to schooling is overestimated by 82-114 percent; while for individuals with completed primary schooling, the rate is overestimated by 38-78 percent. They also divide the data by sex, age, region of residence and urbanization, and find that the biases differ among subsarnples. The biases are somewhat larger for females, older individuals, and those who live in rural and relatively remote areas. Behnnan and Deolalikar (1993 and 1995) analyze whether there are gender differences on the returns to education in Indonesia. The main feature of these papers is that they estimate eamings-schooling relationship by controlling, in addition to the time spent in schooling due to repetition and dropout, for unobserved household and ” The standard practice is to assign six years for completed years of schooling variable if an individual completed primary schooling since there are six grade of primary school, nine years if he or she completed junior secondary school, etc. 11 community heterogeneity via household fixed effects estimation. They estimate wage rate and hours supplied to the paid labor market equations in their 1993 paper, while the focus on their 1995 paper is on the wage rate and earnings equations. Schooling variables in the two papers differ although both attempt to capture non- linear impact of schooling, the different effects of vocational and general secondary schooling, and the different effect post-secondary diploma programs and university level education on the returns to schooling. In their 1993 paper, schooling variables are represented by completed year of schooling, its square, and its interaction with dichotomous variables for vocational and diploma schooling. Behrrnan and Deolalikar (1995), on the other hand, represent schooling with nine dummy variables, namely no schooling, subprimary, primary completed, vocational junior secondary completed, general junior secondary completed, vocational senior secondary completed, general senior secondary completed, post-secondary diploma completed, and university completed. Potential selectivity bias is addressed by applying Olsen’s least-squares correction for selectivity bias using household demographic variables, such as the number of young children and the number of older individuals in the household, to predict participation.” With respect to returns to schooling, both papers find that estimates of the impact of schooling on wage rates, on hours supplied to the paid labor market and on earnings that do not control for unobserved household and community fixed effects (i.e. OLS '2 Based on results from various studies, they claim that the household fixed effects procedure may control for selectivity bias. The reason behind this observation is as follows. The use of fixed effects procedure, that controls for unobserved household and community characteristics shared by household members and included additively in the relation of interest, is intended to avoid omitted variable bias in the schooling coefficients. Many among these characteristics are also used in the determination of labor market participation (such as household unearned income and household composition). This implies that fixed effects estimates should also limit or eliminate selectivity bias. 12 estimates) are substantially upward biased. Therefore, controlling for household and community fixed effects is likely to control for a substantial share of the relevant unobserved factors.13 The marginal increases of wage rates and earnings for individuals with post-primary schooling are greater (in percentage terms) for females than for males relative to those of primary school graduates. Overall, their estimates do not suggest that females face strong discrimination in the form of lower rates of return to post-primary schooling investment. Their results, however, may indicate that private rates of return to schooling investments in females are higher than are those of males. They also find that gender earnings differentials change more over the life cycle than do the gender wage rates differentials due to gender differences in hours worked over individual’s life cycle. This implies, ceteris paribus, that considerably higher wage rates and eamings for males than for females. Thus, there exists a large wedge between male and female wage rates and a larger one between male and female eamings. Deolalikar (1993) estimates school enrollment model for four age groups: 6-11, 12- 14, 15—17, and 18-23 years. These groups roughly correspond to the four levels of schooling: primary, lower secondary, higher secondary, and tertiary, respectively. He also estimates the pecuniary returns to schooling (in terms of earnings) for adult men and women aged above 15 years who have completed their schooling. The data set used in '3 In their 1993 paper, the magnitudes of the biases are calculated. The results indicate that the estimated biases differ substantially between males and females, between wage rate and hours supplied to the labor market specifications, and among schooling levels. The upward bias in the wage specification for males decreases with level of schooling from almost 100 percent for males with 3 years of schooling to about 15 percent for those with 12 years of schooling. For females, returns estimates are biased upward up to 6 years of schooling and the bias become negative afterward. In the hours supplied to the paid labor market estimates the biases tend to be upward, implying that OLS estimates provide greater estimates than the fixed effects estimates. For females the magnitude of the bias falls with years of schooling, while for males no trend was found. 13 this study is the 1987 round of the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS). As in Behrrnan and Deolalikar (1995), he uses nine schooling categories and their interaction with age in wage regressions. The sample selectivity problem is corrected by using Heckman’s selectivity correction method and by estimating expanded wage function using OLS.14 The empirical results show significant gender differences in the deternrinants of earnings.15 Returns to schooling are significantly lower for men than women at the secondary and tertiary level. Age-cohort effects do matter in the wage function. Older cohorts are enjoying a significantly higher return to schooling, especially at the secondary and tertiary levels, than the younger cohorts. For illustration, the rates of return to primary school graduates for 20-, 40- and 60-year-old men are 6.8 percent, 10.9 percent and 15.0 percent, respectively, while the corresponding rates for women are, respectively, 6.0 percent, 10.1 and 14.2 percent. The corresponding rates for general higher secondary graduates are 8.8 percent, 12.9 percent and 17.1 percent for men and 10.5 percent, 14.7 percent and 18.8 percent for women. With respect to the age, the coefficients on age and age-squared differ significantly across gender. For women, the coefficient on both ” There is an identification problem with using annual earnings as dependent variable in the eamings fiinction. To the extent that annual earnings are the product of hourly wage rate and the number of hours worked during the year, the wage function should include all the regressors in the market wage and labor supply equations. In their first earnings specification, the one with selectivity correction, the correction is identified by marital status, household non-labor income and spouse’s age, with the assumption that hours worked are exogenously determined. The second one, estimated using OLS with no control for sample selectivity, is an expanded eamings function that includes marital status, non-labor income and spouse’s age. Empirical results on the first specification show that selectivity term is highly significant, implying that sample selectivity is important in influencing earnings. Schooling coefficients on both specifications are significant and have the same sign. The magnitude of the schooling coefficients, however, appears to be larger in the specification with selectivity correction. In addition, estimates on the expanded specification show a significant gender difference in the primary schooling coefficient. In light of these findings, coefficients from specification with selectivity bias correction should be interpreted with caution. l4 variables are not significantly different from zero, implying that age does not have additional effect on earnings other than increasing the returns to schooling. On the other hand, the coefficient on age for men is significantly positive while that on age-squared is significantly negative, indicating that earnings growth is positive and large early in the life-cycle but falls off rapidly with age, independent of schooling. Duflo (2000) uses a very different approach.16 In this study she examines the education and earnings trends associated with a major school construction program in Indonesia, the Sekolah Dasar INPRES program that started in 1973. She links education and wages information from a large cross-section of men born between 1950 and 1972 from the 1995 intercensal survey of Indonesia (SUPAS) combined with district-level data on the number of new school built between 1973/74 and 1978/79 in his/her region of birth. Duflo shows that average education attainment for children who entered school later in the 19703 was higher than those who finished primary school before 1974. She also shows that children who lived in districts with greater program intensity, measured by the target number of new school per primary-school age student in 1971, had, on the average, higher education attainment. Based on these findings she uses interactions between dummy variables indicating age of the individual in 1974 and the intensity of the program in his region of birth between 1973 and 1978 as exogenous variables and the instruments in the earnings equation. OLS estimates show that the rate of return to schooling is 7.8 percent. The point estimate using 2SLS is 6.75 percent, slightly lower than and significantly different fi'om '5 The results discussed here are based on the expanded earnings function after imposing a common set of coefficient (for men and women) on the age-schooling interacted variables. '6 This study is an example of the literature that uses changes in the (institutional) supply side of the educational system as exogenous determinants of schooling outcomes. See Card (2000) for a review. 15 that of OLS. Interacting the year-of-birth dummies with enrollment rate in 1971 increases the estimate to 8.1 percent. Introducing a control for the water and sanitation program fiirther increases the estimate to 10.6 percent. These 2SLS estimates, in contrast to the general findings of literature in this genre (see Card [2000]), are not very different from the OLS estimates. Another finding of Dufio’s paper is that there is some indication that the return to schooling is not concave.l7 She also finds that the estimated marginal returns do not show significant variation for the first nine years of schooling. The marginal returns for the twelfth year (the last year of senior secondary school) and thirteenth year of schooling, however, is high, implying an indication of ’sheepskin effect’. The retums to schooling show some variation across regions. In regions with below median population density, the returns are higher (11.0 percent). The returns are also higher in regions where the average education level of individuals not exposed to the program is low (12 percent). Realizing that only 45 percent of the individuals in the sample work for wages and most of the remaining are self-employed, Duflo corrects the possibility of sample selection bias by using a sample correction procedure and by imputing an income to self- employed individuals in the sample. The results show that sample selection is not an important problem in her study. Bedi and Gaston (2000) investigate the effectiveness of public and private schools at the secondary level using IFLSl data. The sample used is restricted to individuals who have 7 to 12 years of schooling, no longer attending schools, and provide information on _ '7 This result is obtained from OLS estimation using a dummy for each year of education. 16 earnings; thus the sample used is selective implying that the generalization of their result is limited.18 They start their analysis by sorting individuals into four choices of schools: public, private non-religious, private-Islamic and private-Christian schools. They take into account the fact that school-sorting process may not be exogenous by modeling it using multinomial logit. The sorting itself is based on demand and supply considerations and it reflects parental choice and selection criteria determined by school (for example, minimum test score on primary school examination to enter junior secondary school and religion). They next estimate earnings equations for each of the four school choices by including selectivity correction term from the school-sorting model. Estimates of these earnings equations are then used to decompose earnings differentials between public and private school graduates. Since our interest is in the returns to schooling, only results from earnings equations are discussed here. Variables in the wage function control for individual characteristics, parental background, ability and school inputs. Individual characteristics include dummies whether the individual completed junior secondary and senior secondary education, age (and its square), male dummy, dummy whether Indonesian language is spoken at home, religion dummies, urban dummy, and region of residence dummies. Parental background consists of five parental education dummies. Ability measures are represented by dummies indicating whether an individual received scholarships while studying at the secondary school, and whether he or she ever failed a grade during ’8 Due to the small sample (N = 1,194), they do not separate between individuals who work for wage and those who are self-employed and between males and females. For those in the wage sector, earnings are net wages; while returns to labor and enterprise (net income after expenses) reflects earnings in the self- employment sector. A further investigation on this issue shows that, while there are some differences between the “pool” and “separate” estimates, the key result is unchanged. The same results obtained from specification checks for pooling among males and females. 17 primary school. Three variables capture the school inputs measures; they are the characteristics of the last school attended by the individuals. These variables are class size, length of school term, and dummy indicating whether school has dirt floor (a measure of school infrastructure). Schooling variables, in generally, have significant positive signs. As we expect, wage functions estimates will, in addition to the effect of schooling on earnings, reveal a lot of interesting information such as the effects of parental education, ability measures, and school inputs to earnings. For example, for individuals who went to public school, those who won scholarships earn a wage that is 40 percent higher than those who have not, and those who failed a grade in primary school earn 14 percent less than those who have not. Parental education, on the other hand, has, on the average, very little effect on eamings. With regard to school inputs, individuals educated in school with poor infrastructure earn 25-75 percent less than those who went to school with adequate infrastructure do. Finally, Filmer and Lindauer (2001) study the relationship between public/private sector compensation levels and schooling attainment using evidence fiom SAKERNAS 1998 and SUSENAS 1999. In comparing wage levels, they find that, on average, government (public) sector earnings exceed those of non-govemment (private) sector for individuals with up to senior secondary level of schooling. For individuals with schooling attainment beyond senior secondary level, private sector workers are paid more than their public sector counterparts. Overall, public sector workers earn more than those working at the private sector with private to public pay ratio of 0.7: 1. Wage regression specifications that they use consist of 5 dummy variables for schooling attainment (primary, junior secondary, senior secondary, some tertiary and 18 university) and their interactions with public sector dummy variable. The determination to join work force is corrected using Heckrnan selection model with some household composition variables as identifying instruments. They also show results based on household fixed effect model. They find no evidence that government is a low pay employer for its average employee. For the more educated employee, even tough they earn less than they would in the private sector, the premium is not as large as commonly suspected. Based on these results they cast doubt on the proposition that low pay is an explanation for government corruption. 2.3. Discussion The above literature review shows various ways in the estimation of returns to schooling that has been done for the case of Indonesia. The findings can be summarized as follows. First, the estimated rates of returns are positive but the magnitude varies depending on the methodology and data set used. An additional year of completed schooling for men and women with 1-3 years of schooling (sub primary) will increase wage by 2.4 to 8.0 percent, while for those with 4-6 years of schooling (primary) between 3.3 and 6.7 percent. Among individuals with secondary schooling attainment, estimated returns rates are 4.2-27.6 percent for lower secondary level (7-9 years of schooling) and 5.1-28.4 percent for upper secondary level (10-12 years of schooling). Beyond secondary level, an additional year of formal schooling is associated with a 5.4-12.2 increase in wage. Second, controlling for unobserved household and community effects results in returns to schooling estimates that are, in general, lower than those produced using OLS. l9 Third, selectivity sample bias does not seem to significantly change the resulted rate of return estimates, although the sample correction terms are significant in some specifications. Fourth, there are significant gender differences in the returns to schooling at all levels of schooling with females having the edge on secondary and tertiary levels. Fifth, using institutional changes in the supply side of education system as determinants of schooling outcomes is an interesting alternative in studying the returns to schooling. Finally, the use of family background, child ability and school inputs information enables researchers to reveal many interesting facts about the effects of these factors on the estimated rate of return. The model to be developed in the next section will not use the strategy similar to that of Duflo for the following reasons. First, for the purpose of instrument identification, this procedure requires a large sample size for a population with specific age range. Second, there basically two candidates instruments for representing changes in institutional changes in education policy: (i) the launch of compulsory primary education program for 7-12 year old children (1984) and (ii) the launch of the nine year basic education program consisting of 6 years of primary education and 3 years of lower secondary education or equivalent (1994). These two instrumental variables candidates are impossible to implement because, in addition to small sample size problem, it is too early to evaluate the two education policy changes with IFLS data collected between 1993 and 2000.19 Controlling for unobserved household and community heterogeneity also requires a large number of data since, to be included in the sample, one needs observations with at least two individuals from each household. Besides, the issue for these effects has been 20 thoroughly explored by Behnnan and Deolalikar so that additional gain of knowledge to be obtained by re-doing this exercise will be limited. This leaves us with estimating returns to schooling by explicitly addressing the omitted variable bias and sample selectivity bias problems. The latter is captured by taking into account that the individual, in making employment decision (not working or working in a particular sector of employment), maximizes his/her utility. Parental background, in particular information on parental schooling will be utilized to encounter omitted variable bias. '9 Notice that children aged 7-12 in 1984, the year when the compulsory primary education began, are of age 20-25 in 1997 and 23-28 in 2000. Thus, this law only affects a very limited number of individuals in our 1997 and 2000 data sets. 21 3. Model This essay adopts the human capital investment model of Becker (1964). According to this model, an individual, in making a human capital investment decision, is assumed to maximize the discounted present value of future earnings by taking into account the opportunity cost of time and good spent in obtaining the capital and the rate of interest. The empirical strategy in estimating returns to schooling investment in this essay consists of two stages. The first is estimating sector choice model in which an individual chooses his/her path of employment. The rate of return is estimated in the second stage by the inclusion of appropriate correction terms from the first stage. This strategy follows the two-stage methodology of Lee (1983), which basically is an extension to Heckman’s (1979) selectivity-correction model to the multinomial logit setting.20 3.1. Sector Choice Model Selection into sector of employment differs among individuals. Individuals who choose to be self-employed might have different characteristics from public or private sector workers. I will explicitly model the individual’s utility maximization process in making decision to participate the labor market and/or to choose the sector of employment by the method of Lee (1983). This method is based on estimating a multinomial logit sector choice model. Multinomial logit is the most appropriate econometric approach in estimating the probability that an individual will be found in 2° In the returns to schooling literature, this approach has been applied in, for example, Strauss and Thomas (1996) for Brazil, Glick and Sahn (1997) for Guinea, Brown and Sessions (1998) for United Kingdom, and Murrugarra and Valdivia (1999) for Peru. 22 each sector of employment.21 The Multinomial logit model uses a linear function of individual characteristics (own schooling attainment and age), parental characteristics (father’s and mother’s schooling attainment), household characteristics (household composition and assets) and some variables related to residency of the individual. In addition, to control for the effects of seasonality and price levels between months of interview, a series of month variables is also included in the model. There are five employment paths under consideration-non-participation (the base category), self-employment, wage employment in the public sector, wage employment in the private sector and unpaid family worker. IFLS collects six categories of employment status, namely self-employment without the help of others, self-employment with the help of household members or temporary/seasonal workers, self-employment with the help of regular workers, government worker/employee, private worker/employee, and family workers. The first three categories are aggregated into self-employment sector. Family workers are those who work by helping other household member in order to earn an income or reap a profit without getting any wage/salary either in money or in kind.22 23 To see whether these divisions are warranted, I will apply statistical testing procedure to asses the equality of slope parameter vectors associated with each pair of employment path in this general specification (Wald test). The multinomial logit model assumes that an individual makes his/her decision to work in a sector of employment on the basis of a latent variable. The underlying latent 2' See Maddala ( 1983) and Greene (1992) for reference on multinomial logit. 22 An example for family workers is a child who waits on buyers in his/her parents’ shop. 2° Individuals who works as family workers will not be included in the earnings equation because they do not report any earnings. The inclusion of family worker in the labor market participation regression as a separate choice is to learn whether an individual who works as a family worker has different characteristics from those who are self-employed or working for wage. 23 variable is derived from utility maximization conditional on the choice of each sector of employment. The indirect utility of individual i to be found in labor market sector j is specified as: Vi]. =,B}X,+aij i=1,...,N j =1,...,M (3-1) where X .- is a vector of exogenous individual characteristics such as education, age, household composition, and other factors; and 6}}- is the error component capturing unobserved variation in preferences not reflected in the observed variables. The individual, facing M employment sector choices, will select alternative j if it gives the maximum indirect utility: Vij = max(Vn r", Vij""ViM) (3'2) The probability that individual i chooses labor market sector j is: P.. =Pr(V‘.j >V,.,,) for all j¢k U = Pr(flj‘Xr + at; > .BIXi + 53k) (3'3) = Pdflin _flliXi > gilt "'51) - If the 6,]. ’s are independently and identically Gumbel, their differences (5,, — 80.) have a logistic distribution and the probabilities take the multinomial logit form.24 For the current application, the choice model for individual i can be defined as: (4 If flin'I'gmzmax(flin+£r3’fliXi+3i2’flin'I'3imBer'I'gro) If fliXi'I'giszmaxwixi+5r4afliXi+£rzrflin+£n’fler'I'8io) If fl2Xi+gi2zmax(fl4Xi+8i4’fl3Xi+8i3’pri+8il’fl0Xi+£r'0) (3'4) if .BiXi‘I’Enzmax(flin+£i4HBin+£r3’flin'I'5i2nBoXi'I'gto) If .6er+51'0zmax(fl;Xi+5r4n6in+5r3’fliXi'I'512’flin'I'5n) C4 II O—‘Nw 2’ See Lee (1983) for further details. 24 Some method of normalization is needed since, from (3-3), only the differences in utilities derived from different sectors of employment matter for the determination of the probabilities. Following standard practice, I will set the parameter vector associated with non-participation equal to zero. Parameters to be estimated by maximum likelihood are fl; , ,8; , ,6; , and ,6; , and they are interpreted as the effects of a variable on the utility of being in sector of employment j relative to the utility from non—participation in the labor market, the base category. A potential shortcoming of the multinomial logit model is its dependence on the independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA). In principle, the IIA property assumes that the relative probability of two existing outcomes is not affected by the addition of a third outcome. For example, say that there are only two different sectors of employment, nonparticipation and self-employment, and that an individual is equally likely to chose between the two. Suppose that the individual is given the choice between self- employrnent and working for wage and assume that he or she views the two as perfect substitutes. In this case we would expect the probabilities of not working, being self- employed and working for wage to be 1/2, 1/4 and 1/4 respectively. Multinomial logit, however, does not treat the probabilities in this way. According to IIA property, it treats the probabilities as 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 in order to keep the relative probabilities of nonparticipation and self-employment constant. Multinomial logit, due to its IIA property, may not be appropriate when there are two or more alternatives that are close substitutes.25 Nevertheless, multinomial logit has gained favor in estimating discrete choice model due to its simplicity. In many 25 applications that recognize the fact that an individual making choices, for example in making decision after graduate fiom elementary school (whether to attend general junior high school or to attend vocational junior high school or to go directly into labor market), multinomial logit could serve as a useful framework to model the setting. 3.2. Wage Function Bias for sample selection may arise since it is unlikely that an individual is randomly assigned to a particular sector of employment. This problem occurs when unobserved characteristics of an individual affect both the choice selection and earnings models. If these unobserved characteristics are correlated with the regressors of wage function, the estimated coefficient of this fimction will be biased. Following the two- stage method of Lee (1983), self-selectivity problem could be corrected by: (1) estimating the individual’s self-selected sector of employment choice and (2) using those results to calculate selectivity-correction term and included that term as a regressor in the second-stage functions (the wage function) to correct for the potential self-selection bias. The idea behind this procedure is that the selectivity-correction term for each individual (2‘).) reflects the predicted probability that he or she selects a particular sector of employment. The inclusion of this term is to represent the importantance of unobservable characteristics that an individual has on his/her employment path. The appropriate correction term is defined as (dropping individual subscript for convenience): A“ = ¢(1" ([3, #3:.) (5-1) where flu is a subset of 3,, after eliminating coefficients not estimated in the restricted version. H ,, A has an asymptotically chi-square distribution with degrees of freedom equal to the number of rows in ,3, if IIA is true. Since the null hypothesis of this test is that the odds of omitting one or more outcome is independent of other altematives in the sense that it will not change the parameter of estimates systematically, a significant value of H 11.4 indicates that the IIA assumption has been violated. H m might have a negative value if WA) - 1705,!) is not positive semi- definite. However, a negative H ,, A indicates that IIA property holds. 42 Table 5.1 shows the chi-square ( 12 ) value of Hausman-McFadden test statistics along with its respected p-value. Three specifications of interest for each gender are tested. The first controls for own schooling that enters in a non-linear fashion in terms of dummy variables. The second controls for non-linear own and parental schooling attainment. This specification is hereafter referred to as the base specification as correction factors for wage regression on Section 6 are based upon this specification. In the third specification (fall specification, hereafter), residency variables are also controlled for.43 For each specification, test statistics are presented for dropping one particular sector of employment at a time. The results show that most of the H ”A are not significant, implying support for IIA property of the multinomial logit models.44 Almost half of the test statistics are negative, but these negative values support the existence of IIA property. These findings indicate that the use of multinomial logit is appropriate for modeling sector choice model for both men and women. 5.1.2. Wald Tests Standard Wald tests are used to determine whether two outcomes can be combined. The null hypothesis to test, for example, that the coefficients of ‘self employment’ and ‘public sector’ are indistinguishable is: ’3 These variables are represented by dummy variables representing province of current residence and their interactions with whether the individuals reside in urban area. 4’ There are three cases of violation to the IIA property at the base specification. Dropping self-employed men in the 1993 sample, self-employed women in 1997 and private sector men in 2000 will turn H 11.4 to be significant. Controlling for variables in stages, as mentioned in footnote 3, will not give any significant test statistics (results for the first three stages are not shown). Thus, these violations are not considered to be a major issue that can alter the general support for IIA property. 43 H0 : (fll,self|base - fllmubliclbase) = ‘” : (flK,selflbase - flK,publiclbase) : 0 (5-2) where base is the base category used in the calculation. For all three specifications (for both men and women), the Wald test statistics for all samples, presented on Table 5.2, are highly significant. This means that any two sector of employment in each of these specifications cannot be combined. These results imply that the determinants to enter into a particular segment of the labor market are unique so that, for example, characteristics of individuals choosing to be self-employed are different from those working at the private sector. In addition, these results confirm that the divisions of sectors of employment in the sector choice model are warranted. 5.2. Factors Affecting Sector Choice Estimates for base specification of (multinomial logit) sector choice models for men and women are presented in Table 5.3A, 5.3B and 5.3C.“ A summary of estimates for own schooling variables is shown on the upper part of Table 5.5. In addition to Table 5.5, for comparison purposes, a summary of own schooling variables from specifications in which own schooling enters as completed years of schooling (or in linear fashion) and specification in which own-schooling are non-linear, both with no control for parental schooling, are presented on the upper part of Table 5.4. 46 Due to the panel nature of the data, cross section comparison of results among the three waves of survey should be interpreted with caution. Households as well as ’5 Estimation results for the 1993 sample are shown on Table 5.3A, for the 1997 sample on Table 5.3B, and for the 2000 sample on Table 5.3C. Hereafter, these tables are referred to as Table 5 .3. Likewise are all the tables that follow. ’6 To obtain pattern from resulted estimates, discussion in this section are based on estimates that are at least significant at the 10 percent level. individuals are randomly selected within the 1993 wave. In the 1997 and 2000 samples, however, individuals might not have been random due to selection rules for both households and individuals within households due (see Section 4). This also applies when we discuss results based on panel respondents. 5.2.1. Own Schooling Own schooling plays an important role in allocating men and women to their employment path. These effects, however, work in different directions depending on the employment sector of interest. Let’s look first at estimates in which schooling attainment is linear (see Appendix Table 5.1 and its summary, Table 5.4). It is clear that education appears to be negatively correlated with self-employment for men and women (except for women in 1997) and with working unpaid at family business for women, all are relative to non-employment. 47 The negative effect of schooling is stronger for 1993 relative to 2000 for men but is almost at the same level for women. On the contrary, schooling attainment is positively correlated with employment at the public sector for both men and women with stronger effect for 2000 than 1993. However, education does not affect men and women in making decision to work at the private sector relative to non-employment. Turning to specification with non-linear own schooling attainment with no control for parental schooling (see Appendix Table 5.2 and its summary, Table 5.4) one can see that level of schooling are important in explaining the effect of schooling in sector choice model. For self-employed men in 1993, the negative effect of schooling is only true for ’7 Recall that the base category for men is the pool of men who are not working and men who are working at family business, while the base category for women is non-employment. Interpretation of estimated coefficients of the sector choice model for men and women should always refer to their respected base categories, even though it is not mentioned in the text. 45 those with schooling attainment beyond primary level. By 2000, however, schooling attainment for men with primary schooling are positively correlated with the probability of being self-employed (relative to non-employment), while schooling is negatively correlated with self-employment only for men with tertiary level education. Among public sector workers, one can also see that the effect of schooling attainment gets stronger with level of education for both men and women. These effects tend to be stronger with time, which might support the fact that public sector employment is an education-intensive sector. For men, schooling attainment up to secondary level is positively correlated with private sector employment (but not in 1993). Among women, however, education tends to have negative effect on employment in the private sector, where the effects are stronger in 2000 than in 1997. These results reverse the conclusion of specification with linear schooling attainment, where education does not affect employment at the private sector. Now let’s look into own schooling estimates of base specification in detail (see Table 5.3 and its summary, Table 5.5). In general, the magnitude of the estimates tends to be smaller in comparison to previous specification (the one that does not control for parental schooling), indicating that parental education does pickup some family background information of the individuals. The trends of own schooling effects, however, are similar between the two specifications. As was previously mentioned, the magnitude of estimates, which shows the effect of own schooling on the probability of joining a particular sector, is not linear. For example, men with sub-primary schooling (4-6 years) have a 162 percent higher chance 46 of working in the public sector versus non-employment relative to men with zero year of schooling.48 This likelihood increases in a non-linear fashion with schooling attainment, where odds of men with junior secondary schooling is 285 percent higher while those with senior secondary schooling is 1,546 percent higher. A similar non-linear trend is found for public sector women even though significant effect of own schooling did not exist for those with primary school education. The stronger higher odds of joining public sector as schooling attainment increases between years of survey might indicate that public sector has become increasingly education-intensive with time. New insight could be provided when we relate own schooling estimates with the distribution of primary duties of the individuals. Occupations (primary duties) within sector of employment along with its average years of schooling are presented in Appendix Table 5.7. Professional and managerial staffs have the highest average years of schooling, followed by administration staffs. Those working as an agricultural worker or as laborer have the lowest schooling attainment. The negative association between schooling attainment and being self-employed for men, especially among those who are more able, is an indication that self-employment sector tend to be a low-technology sector so that the highly educated individuals might feel counterproductive being self-employed. This is supported by the composition of occupations within this sector where more than half of self-employed men in our 1993 sample are workers in the agriculture sector and another fifth are sales staffs (see Appendix Table 5.7). For women, only those who completed 1-3 years of schooling are more likely to be self-employed. In contrast to self-employed men, half of the self- " The estimated coefficient for public sector men with 4-6 years of schooling is 0.964 (see Table 5.3A). This implies that the odds for men with sub-primary level of schooling to enter public sector employment is 47 employed women work on sales staffs while another fifth are agriculture workers. Since working as sales staff requires more schooling than being a farmer, it is possible that the positive correlation only occurred for those with 1-3 years of schooling with no association for those with higher schooling attainment. The change in the occupation compositions among self-employed individuals between surveys, with tendency toward more education—intensive type of occupation, might explain the positive effect of schooling for the lower level of schooling attainment and the negative effect for the higher level in the 1997 and 2000 samples. Around 30-40 percent of men and 60-70 percent of women working at the public sector are professional or managerial staffs, while another 25-30 percent of men and 15- 20 percent of women are administrative staffs, two intensive-education types of occupation. Therefore, it is not surprising to see a positive association between schooling and the odds of participation in public sector employment. For women having 4-9 years of schooling is associated with a decrease in the likelihood of working in the private sector. This tendency holds in all three surveys. The private sector is dominated by occupations associated with lower level of schooling attainment such as agricultural worker and laborer. For men, however, there is no clear pattern between years in terms of schooling attainment and private sector employment. In 1993, education does not affect men deciding to join the private sector. In 1997 certain levels of schooling (4-6 and 10-12 years) appear to increase private sector participation. Positive correlation between schooling and private sector employment is found in 2000 (except for those with 13+ years of schooling). Variables other than em” = 2.62 times (or 162 percent higher than) the odds of their counterparts with no formal schooling. 48 occupational composition might explain the change between years, although one might notice that the proportion of service staffs, an occupation with relatively high average years of schooling, almost doubles between 1997 and 2000. Finally, being an unpaid family worker (which is available for women only) is, as expected, negatively correlated with education. Around 70-80 percent of women in this sector work in agriculture. Thus, those with higher schooling attainment are likely to avoid working at this sector that, in turn, explain the negative effect of education in participation in (unpaid) family business sector. Schooling effects diminished with time as evidenced by the non-significant effect of schooling in the 2000 sample. Table 4.2 shows a huge increase in family work employment for women with less than tertiary level of schooling (especially between 1997 and 2000). Some recent studies in developing countries find mixed conclusion on the importance of education in determining labor participation. For the case of Indonesia, Duflo (2000) finds that the probability of working for wage for men is affected by schooling.49 Glick and Sahn (1997), using survey data from Conakry, the capital of Guinea, find that more schooling reduces the probability that men and women become self-employed. They also find that more schooling increases the probability of men to entering public sector employment but reduces the likelihood of being a wage earner in the private sector. For women, schooling raises entry probabilities for wage work in both public and private sectors. Tansel (1999) finds that, in Turkey, educational attainment increases the probability of joining public administration, state owned enterprises and the (covered) private sectors but reduces the likelihood of entering the other employment category. In ’9 In her study, Duflo makes no distinction between men working in public or private sector. 49 contrast, King (1996) finds very small or negative effects of years of schooling on total labor force participation for women in Peru. 5.2.2. Parental Schooling Father’s education background in the 1993 sample has very limited impact on son’s and daughter’s employment.50 For women, having a father who completed primary school is associated with a 25 percent increase in the probability of being self-employed but a 28 percent decrease in the likelihood of working in the private sector. Even though mother’s schooling variables are jointly highly significant, individual estimates are, in general, not significant so that limited inference could be made from these individual estimates. In most cases, the direction of association between maternal schooling and the odds of employment is positive for wage earners and negative for the self-employed. Having a mother with some elementary schooling increases the likelihood of children’s private sector employment and of son’s employment at public sector. The relationship between parental schooling and women working as unpaid family workers is consistent among surveys. Having parents with some level of schooling is associated with a decrease in the employment at the family business. This association is expected since educated parents prefer their children not to work without pay. In 1997, parental schooling has opposing consequences on son’s and daughter’s employment. Having a father with at least secondary education reduces employment of men while having a mother that at least completed primary school increases employment 5° Discussion is based on estimates of base specification (see Table 5.3). For men, Wald test for the joint significance of father’s schooling on son’s employment is not significant for the 2000 sample and only significant at the 10 percent level in 1993. 50 in the private sector.51 For women, having a primary school educated father increases the chance of working at the self-employment sector while having an educated mother decreases the odds of being self-employed. Father’s schooling still has a negative effect on son’s probability of being self- employed in 2000. However, having a mother with some primary schooling education decreases men engaging in any working activities. This is also true when the specification is extended to include residency variables. The inconsistent as well as limited effect of parental schooling on male and female employment decisions between surveys might be an implication of the limited variation in parental schooling variables, especially that of mother’s. In all three surveys, around half of the individuals in the sample have mothers with no formal schooling. The only consistent effect of parental schooling is in reducing the probability of women working unpaid in family business sector. In spite of the limited effect of parental schooling, specifications that control for own and parental schooling to correct the wage regressions is of central interest of this study. 5.2.3. Other Variables Sector participation likelihood of men and women with age follows an inverted U- shaped profile. In general, younger individuals (aged 25-39) are more likely to be engaged in any kind of employment activities, while those aged 40+ are less likely to do so. This trend is true for all sector of employment. There is, however, a noteworthy change between results from 1993 and 1997 on one hand and from 2000 on the other, 5' The negative effect of father’s schooling on son’s employment holds even after further controlling for residency variables (full specification, see Appendix Table 5.3). 51 especially for men. Estimated coefficients for men aged 40-49 are either significantly negative or not significant in the 1993 and 1997 samples. In 2000, however, being 40-49 years old is associated with a 4 percent increase in self-employment work for men and women and a 10 percent increase in working at the public sector. These increases might reflect the impact of economic crisis of 1997-98 in Indonesia where older people tend to work as a way to cope with the crisis. Household composition and business assets variables, intended to identify selection term for the second stage OLS wage regressions, are jointly significant at the 1 percent level. The presence of adult men (aged 20—49) in the household lowers employment participation for both men and women. This result, especially for self-employed individuals might indicate substitution effect for working in this sector. For women, however, this might indicate women’s role in household work (or an increase in home- produced goods) and child bearing/rearing responsibilities, as our data show that a significant fraction of educated women do not participate in any work activities. Having adult women in the household increases a woman probability to work at the private sector (in 1997 and 2000) but decreases the change of being an unpaid family worker. This might imply that the existence of adult female in the household might lighten the burden of household chores and child-care activities for those working for wage but not for those working without pay. Having an elderly man (aged 50+) in the household lowers work participation for men and women except that it increases women participating in family business work activities. The latter might indicates that the care of elderly man could be combined with some working activities at the farnily-owned business. The presence of elderly women 52 reduces male employment activities but increases women participation in wage work. Thus, taking care of the elderly in the household might considerably cut the probability of employment, especially for men. The same pattern of the effect of household composition on participation emerges in all three surveys. Non-wage income (approximated by business assets) plays a fairly significant role in sector choice decision.52 For men, having more assets is associated with higher probability of being self-employed (in 1993) and lower the chance of private sector employment (in 1993 and 2000).53 For women, business assets have a positive association with self- and family business employment as well as working at the public sector (in 1993). Since both farm- and non-farm business assets are included in the calculation of business assets, it is possible that self-employed individuals acquiring a significant amount of assets are likely to manage their own business activities and the same goes for women working at family-own business. The fact that in the private sector around 70 percent of men and 50-60 percent of women are agriculture workers, operation/production workers and laborers, a group of individuals that is expected to have small amount of business assets, might justify this negative effect (see Appendix 5.7). Notice that for women, business assets have negative effects on private sector employment even though they are not statistically significant. ’2 Household business assets variable is constructed as sum of household’s farm business (from section UT) and non-farm business (section NT) assets. IFLS provides information on values for various type assets and its ownership percentage by the household, head of household and spouse of head of household. Data on farm business assets is available if there is at least one householder who, during the past 12 months, worked in a farm-business but not as a farm worker on other household’s farm. Similarly, data on non- farrn business assets is recorded if there is at least one householder who worked in a family-owned, non- farm business or been self-employed in a non-farm business during the past year. F arm-business and non- farm business assets are collected for the following types of assets: land, house or buildings, vehicles, other equipment, and other. In addition, hard stem plants and livestock/poultry/ fishpond are also collected for fann-business assets while supplies/merchandise for non-farm business assets. 53 Sahn and Alderman (1988) find that the ownership of paddy land in rural Sri Lanka reduces labor force participation for both men and women. Significant negative effect of exogenous non-labor income on the participation in the self-employment sector is also found for women in urban Guinea (Glick and Sahn [1997]). Uneamed income, house and land ownership are found to significantly reduce the likelihood of work for men and women in Malaysia (Schafgans [2000]). The inclusion of dummy variables representing province of current residence and its interaction term with urban region are important in capturing regional differences in the probability of entering a particular sector of employment (see estimates for full specification, Appendix Table 5.3). Individuals living outside Jakarta, an all-urban area, have higher probability of being self-employed or working with no pay at family business. Within province, the chance to work at these sectors is lower in urban areas compared to rural area. This result verifies our data that the majority of self-employed individuals or those working as unpaid family worker reside in rural area. Appendix Section 5: Sector Choice Model for Panel Respondents Results that are based on panel respondents are interesting. In contrast to the estimates from cross section samples, estimates from a sample consisting of panel respondents will present the dynamics of the effect of schooling (as well as other covariates) in determining individuals’ employment within similar set of individuals. As was discussed on section 4, the criteria for individual selection and the inclusion of new household members (such as in the split-off households) might be responsible for the ’3 Negative effect of business assets on the probability of working at the private sector also holds in the full specification. 54 difference in schooling attainment within different waves of the survey. In this section as well as the next one, comparison of estimated coefficients on own schooling between cross section and panel versions of the sample will also be discussed. Starting from specifications with linear own schooling (see Appendix Table 5.4 and its summary, Table 5.4), one can easily observe that the sign of estimates are similar between cross-section and panel samples of the surveys. The difference, however, lies in the magnitude of these estimates. Schooling attainment effects on public sector for men are higher within panel samples in comparison to those of cross-section, although the difference shrinks with time. A more interesting picture could be found from estimates with non-linear own schooling (see Appendix Table 5.5 and its summary, Table 5.4). Overall, the picture shows that the trend of association between own schooling and participation, except that of private sector men, is the same for both cross section and panel individuals. For self- employrnent sector, positive association is evidenced for individuals with low level of schooling attainment, that becomes negative for the more educated individuals. A positive correlation between the two variables of interest is found for those working at public sector as well as a negative association for private sector women and women working as family workers. The difference, in terms of trends, is found for men working for wage at the private sector in 2000. Whereas for the cross section individuals, they are positively correlated, no significant association is found for the panel individuals. Tuming to the magnitude of estimates, especially for public sector men, one can see that they are different. Estimates for women who are working for wage also show some dissimilarity although not as strong as those of public sector men. Since most of the 55 excluded individuals from the cross section data in the 1993 sample are of 53-59 years old, one can say that individuals aged 25-52 are more likely to work at the public sector than those of 53-59 years. This might be true since, on average, public sector individuals retired at the age of 55, although extension for public sector service beyond that age is possible in some cases. In 1997, the panel respondents are of age 29-56 while cross section sample also includes those who are 25-28 and 57-59 years as well as new individuals to the survey. The magnitude of panel sample is higher than those of cross section, except for those with 7-12 years of schooling where they are comparable. In 2000, as the panel respondent are of age 32-59, estimated coefficients are lower than those of cross section individuals. The same conclusion is obtained from the base specification (see Appendix Table 5.6 and its summary, Table 5.5). The magnitudes of the estimates tend to be smaller in comparison to previous specification (the one with non-linear own schooling with no control for parental schooling), indicating that parental schooling variables picked up some of the family background variations of the individuals as in the cross section samples.54 It is hard to make definite statements about the source of the difference between the magnitude of panel and cross section estimates, especially for the 1997 and 2000 samples. It might be due to aging of the respondents, selection problems between panel 5’ Supporting evidence on occupation breakdown for panel respondents for analyzing the negative (positive) effect of schooling on being self-employed for men (women) as discussed on subsection 5.3.1 is shown on Appendix Table 5.8. The dynamics in the overall primary duties of panel individuals are not as large as those of cross section. For example, agriculture workers for cross section individuals are slashed from 37-40 percent in 1993 to 33 percent in 2000, while for panel individuals the proportion is unchanged at around 40 percent in both years. 56 and cross section samples, or other reasons. This will be an interesting topic to be explored in future work. 57 6. Wage Functions Earnings are defined as the logarithm of hourly income for self-employed workers or as the logarithm of hourly wage for wage earners (public and private). Three sets of specifications will be presented in this section.55 The first one, the basic wage function, includes a set of dummy variables representing schooling attainment, a set of age variables (in splines), and another set of dummies of month of interview. In each of the next two specifications, a set of additional variables is added. They are dummy variables representing parental (father’s and mother’s) schooling and province of current residence along with its interaction term with urban region.56 In addition to these variables, each regression includes control for self-selection into each of the labor market sector calculated from the multinomial logit sector choice model. Since income for self- employed individuals is recorded as either net profit or gross income, a dummy variable indicating whether the income measure is gross income is also included in self- employrnent specifications.57 The inclusion of gross income dummy variables only occurs in the 1993 wage regressions since in IFLS2 and IF LS3 only a tiny portion of self- employrnent income is collected as gross income.58 5’ OLS estimates for each of these specifications are presented for the three sector of employment of interest, namely self-employment, public sector, and private sector. These are further stratified by gender. 5° Due to small cells on some variables, especially for women, some adjustments are unavoidable. These modifications are aggregation of own schooling variable for women with 10+ completed years of schooling and the exclusion of urban interaction terms for women living in some provinces as indicated at the footnote of respected tables. 57 Net income is defined as gross income subtracted by all business expenses. 58 In the 1993 sample, around 27 percent of self-employment income is recorded as gross income. In the 1997 sample, the proportion decreases to only 2 percent. This proportion is further reduced to 1 percent in the 2000 sample. The inclusion of gross income dummy variables in 1993 wage regressions and the exclusion of those from the 1997 and 2000 regressions could serve as an attempt to make regression comparable between years, especially for returns to schooling for the self-employed. 58 IF LS collects detailed information on primary and secondary jobs for individuals aged 15 years or older. I only consider primary job information on earnings in this essay for the following reasons. First, only 43 percent of individuals with more than one job are working at the same sector of employment in both jobs in the 1993 sample. Combining, for example, gross income from self-employment (primary job) and net salary from private sector (secondary job) and divided the result by total hours worked will not be comparable to either eamings of self-employed workers nor eamings of those working at the private sector. One solution to overcome this problem is to assign a weight for each sector of employment of the primary and secondary job; but doing this will not only complicate the empirical process but also adds additional assumptions on earnings that are already measured with error. Second, the proportion of individuals with secondary jobs is roughly 22 percent.59 Thus, ignoring information on secondary jobs is justified for consistency of the earnings measure at the expense of sacrificing some facts of individual’s employment profile. Descriptions of earnings rates will precede the presentation of estimation results. Predicted rates of returns and comparison with other studies will conclude this section. In the Appendix, I will discuss estimation results based on panel respondents. In addition, I will also compare results based on selectivity corrected estimates and OLS estimates. ’9 In 1997, around 17 percent of working individuals have a second job. While in 2000, the proportion increases to 25 percent. 59 6.1. Earnings Rate Information on earnings for individuals who are self-employed (in terms of net profit or gross income) and those who are working at the public and private sectors (in terms of net salary/wage) is recorded in last month and last year figures.60 To protect against recall error, I will use the former. For the self-employed and wage earners with no information on past month earnings, last year’s earnings (divided by 12) is used instead. With regard to hours worked, IF LS collects the number of hours worked the week before the survey as well as hours worked in a normal week. I use the former in constructing total hours worked to avoid seasonality problems, especially for self-employed individuals.61 62 Earnings rate is constructed by dividing monthly earnings by total hours worked last month.63 Table 6.1 shows the mean and median of earnings rate stratified by years of schooling, sector of employment, and sex. Earnings tend to increase with schooling attainment. As a whole, public sector workers are better compensated than their counterparts who are self-employed or working at private sector. Eamings disparity 6° In 1993, a small fraction (around 7 percent) of net salary/wage data is available in details, where the amount received is broken down into the money, food, housing, transportation, medical benefits and other portions. This is ignored here. 6’ Weekly hours worked is restricted to 94 due to the way the data is recorded. Any observations with weekly hours more than 94 are excluded from the sample. In the 1993 sample, the number of digits in both measures is two with the possibility that 95 might refer to out of range response, 96 to not applicable, 97 to refused to answer, 98 to do not know and 99 to missing. Despite of this interpretation, those responses could also represent the ‘actual’ hours an individual worked per week. There is no way to make sure which interpretation is the correct one. A hint can be found from time allocation module. This module collects information on time spent on working to earn wages/salary, farming or doing self-employed activities during the past week. Most (around 70 percent) of individual working 95-99 hours a week has the corresponding time allocation on working of either missing or conditional codes. This fact is a support to the ‘conditional codes’ interpretation. For the 1997 and 2000 samples, weekly hours are also top coded to 94. In any sample, the proportion of weekly hours of more than 94 is 3 percent or less. 62 Hours worked last month = 4.33 "‘ hours worked last week. 60 between gender does not exist among public sector workers. Let’s look more closely at eamings in each sector of employment. For the 1993 sample, I present earnings rate of self-employed workers in two categories, those who provide net profit information and those who answered self- employment income in terms of gross income. The data shows that the mean of gross income, overall, is higher than that of net profit, for both men and women. Gross income is higher for women than for men while net profit is higher (although not significant) for men than for women. In 1997 and 2000, men, on average, have higher net income than women. There are some issues on self employment earnings worth mentioning before we precede with estimating wage functions. Information on self-employment earnings are collected by asking respondents the net profit gain (net of all business expenses) during the last month or last year. If the respondents are not able to provide net profit information then the value gross income during the last month or last year is asked instead. Acknowledging the difficulty in estimating net profit or gross income, especially in recalling the value of them for the last 12 months (or even last month), information on hourly eamings rate for the self-employed individuals might be noisy. As an implication, rates of returns to schooling for the self-employed workers should be interpreted with caution. ‘3 Eamings/wage rate for workers in the agricultural sector (which made up half of self-employed men and a fifth of self-employed women) are influenced by seasonality problems. This problem is acknowledged by the inclusion of a series of dummy variables indicating month of interview. 61 Turning to public sector workers, one can see that men and women are equally compensated.64 This, among others, might be a reflection that wage rates in the public sector are set by the government. Compensation of women in the private sector, however, is less than that of men. Although these disparities tend to decrease with schooling attainment, women, on average, are paid only about 57 percent of that received by men in 1993 and 68 percent in 1997 and 2000. This might be an indication that women are discriminated against in the private sector, although this issue will not be addressed in this study. 6.2. Wage Functions: the Effects of Own Schooling The presentation of wage function results starts with specification that controls for schooling attainment of individuals and some other common covariates that are going to be included in subsequent specifications, such as age (in splines), month of interview and selection term calculated from multinomial logit sector choice model. Discussion on own schooling estimates are focused on estimates from specifications in which schooling attainment enters as a series of dummy variables.65 Prior to the discussion, to serve as a comparison, I will give a short presentation on estimates from specification with individuals’ completed years of schooling (or specification with linear own schooling attainment). One needs to notice the difference in interpretation of estimates between the two specifications. Whereas own schooling in the linear specification refers the average rate of returns for each additional year of 6’ The only significant difference happens if the number of observation in that particular cell is small, say less than 25 individuals. 62 schooling regardless of the highest schooling attainment of individuals, each of the dummy variables estimates representing a range of individuals’ own schooling attainment refers to the wage advantage/disadvantage of being in the group relative to the that of the excluded group. Self-employment work might have different characteristics from that of public or private sector work. In self-employment work, one deals with managing resources of his own that might not occur if he works in the public or private sectors. Among others, it consists of managing machines, workers and other capitals, such as lands and buildings, needed to conduct the business. In addition, self-employed workers also manage their own managerial tasks such as book keeping, asset management, marketing and public relations. One implication of this is that returns to schooling among the self-employed might be different from those of public or private sector workers. In particular, self- employment rate of returns might also comprise returns to capital managerial skills, returns to capital and returns to unpaid family workers. In making returns to schooling comparison between self-employment work on one hand and public or private sector work on the other, we need to keep in mind that the two do not share similar characteristics. 6.2.1. Linear Own Schooling The most straightforward specification in returns to schooling literature is one with linear schooling attainment. This specification follows the one used by Mincer (1974) in his seminal work in this genre. We are all aware that the downside of using this 6’ Within this specification, schooling attainment enters as dichotomous variables representing 0-3, 4-6, 7- 9, 10-12, 13+ completed years of schooling. For some groups, as pointed out on notes of the tables, 63 specification is that we cannot learn about the variations in returns to schooling between those who, say, completed primary school and those who completed junior secondary school. Estimates for wage function specification with linear own schooling are presented on Appendix Table 6.1, while a summary of own schooling estimates is shown on Table 6.3. In general, estimated coefficients for completed years of schooling is positive and statistically significant for men and women who are either self-employed or working at the private sector. Positive estimated coefficients are also found among public sector workers even though most of them are not statistically significant. The exceptions occur for public sector men in 1993, which have an 8 percent rate of return for each additional years of schooling and for public sector women in 1997, which have negative (but insignificant) rate of return. The positive and insignificant estimates might indicate wage compression among public sector workers as was found by Fihner and Lindauer (2001 ). Estimates based on specification with non-linear schooling attainment will provide a better explanation on this issue. Men in the self-employment sector, on the average, have a 12.5 percent rate of return in 1993. This rate decreases to less than 9 percent by 1997 and 2000. Among self- employed women, average rates of return to one additional year of education also show a declining trend between surveys although the drop is not so remarkable compared to that of men. While in 1993 and 1997 the returns rates are comparable around 7.6-7.9 percent, by 2000 it was cut down to 6 percent. A similar declining trend is also found among men and women working at the private sector. For men, rates of return declined from 10.8 merging one or more age category are unavoidable due to small observations for that particular cells. 64 percent in 1993 to 8.4 in 2000. Among women, however, these rates decreased at a slower pace, from 12.3 percent in 1993 to 11.4 percent in 2000. These patterns, in a sense, confirm some of Psacharopoulos findings as mentioned on section 1. In particular as per capita income increases, as evidenced by the high level of economic grth between 1993 and 1997, the rate of return tends to decrease. One can also see that due to crisis of 1997/98 which caused a slowdown in economic growth of 1997-2000, the decrease in rate of returns during this period is not as much as that of the 1993-1997 period. Another argument for the decreasing rates of return is due to supply shift of better educated workers. 6.2.2. Non-linear Own Schooling Estimates for wage function specification with non-linear own schooling are presented on Table 6.2, while a summary of own schooling estimates is shown on Table 6.3. In general, the effects of schooling attainment on eanrings are jointly highly significant. This, however, does not hold for public sector women 1997 and 2000, where the F -test statistics are not significant (p-value = .738 in 1997, and .591 in 2000). For the public sector in 2000 the F -test has a p-value of .058. Returns to schooling increase with the level of education in a non-linear fashion. These wage functions are, in general, convex.66 In 1993, self-employed men with 4-6 years of completed schooling have a 57 percent earnings advantage in comparison to 6° Small number of observations prevents me from estimating semi-parametric wage functions that places no parametric restrictions on earnings-schooling function (see, for example, Strauss and Thomas [1995] and Lam and Schoeni [1993] for Brazil and Hungerfold and Solon [1987] for the US.) 65 their counterparts with no formal schooling.67 The wage premium is even higher for self- employed men with junior secondary, senior secondary and tertiary education, where earnings are, respectively, 2.8, 3.9 and 8.9 higher than that of men with zero year of schooling. Likewise is the increasing trend in earnings for self-employed women although the differences in wage advantage by schooling levels are not as high as those for men. By 1997, the earnings advantage for self-employed within each level of schooling are lower than those of 1993. Earnings premia for self-employed men are further reduced by 2000. While self-employed men with junior high education level of schooling enjoy a 178 percent earnings advantage in 1993, by 1997 and 2000 these advantages are cut to 140 and 101 percent, respectively. Among self-employed women, earnings advantages are also slashed between years of surveys although the magnitudes of the cut are not as high as those of self-employed men. Not much can be said with regard to individual estimates on schooling attainment for public sector workers. In addition to the limited significance of the F -test statistics, estimates for public sector men and women might also suffer from small sample size in comparison those of self-employment and private sectors.68 This is especially true for women. Wage advantage for men with upper secondary level and tertiary level of schooling in 1993 is, respectively, 76 and 151 percent. By 2000, these wage premia 67 The coefficient of a dummy variable in semi-log specification cannot be interpreted as relative effect (7) of the variable (b) on the dependent variable (see Halvorsen and Palrnquist [1980]). The appropriate transformation for this purpose is 7= e” - 1. Own schooling estimate for self-employed men with 4-6 years of schooling is 453, implying earnings that is e“53 = 1.57 times (or 57 percent higher than) the earnings of self— employed men with zero year of schooling. 6‘ Since the public sector is an education-intensive sector, only a small proportion in our sanrple has education attainment with less than completed primary school. For this reason, the excluded category within each of the public sector regressions is individuals with 0-5 years of completed schooling. 66 slightly increased to 89 and 166 percent. Among women, only estimates in the 1993 sample are significant, where wage advantage for those with lower secondary level schooling is 63 percent, while women with at least upper secondary level education enjoy a 2.3 times higher wage rate in comparison to those with less than completed primary schooling education. Turning to private sector workers, one can observed that wage advantage increases at an increasing rate within each survey for both men and women. Own schooling estimates for men experienced a remarkable drop between 1993 and 1997 (except for those with lower secondary level of schooling). A similar decline, however, is not found between 1997 and 2000, although some small changes occurred during the span of time. Whereas wage advantage for women with 4-9 years of schooling increased between 1993 and 1997, the reverse is found among women with tertiary schooling. The overall picture captured from these results is that, within sector of employment, schooling attainment estimates increases with level of schooling at an increasing rate. This is true for men and women who are self-employed or working at the private sector. For public sector workers, however, due to the limited significance of the resulted estimates, not much can be said. These findings indicate that individuals with more formal schooling are more favorably rewarded, and that the wage advantage increases in a non-linear fashion with levels of schooling. Over the years, earnings/wage advantages within each level of schooling are, in general, declining. The decreases in these eamings/wage premia are noteworthy between 1993 and 1997, while between 1997 and 2000, the declines are not that large, and in some cases they are only trivial. Even so, we also saw some small increases in own 67 schooling estimates for a small number of cases. As previously mentioned, one can argue that the overall economic condition of a country (measured by level of economic growth) during the span of time might provide an explanation of the decline in wage advantage between 1993 and 1997 as well as the relatively stable level of it between 1997 and 2000. Another explanation for this change in rates of returns is an increasing supply of individuals with more schooling. Our data shows that the average completed years of schooling for all individuals included in the sample increases by survey. Whereas in 1993, men and women have an average 6.1 and 4.4 formal schooling experience, in 1997 it has increased to 6.9 and 5.2 years. These averages are further increased to 7 .8 and 6.3 years by 2000. 69 Among women with higher secondary and tertiary education in 1997, 14 and 6 percent, respectively, decided to be self-employed; by 2000, these proportions increased to 21 and 8 percent, respectively (see Table 4.2). Women with similar schooling qualifications who worked at the private sector are 20 and 27 percent; while in 2000, the proportions are relatively unchanged: 19 and 28 percent, respectively. This evidence might partly explain the decrease in earnings advantage between 1997 and 2000 in self-employment sector and the relatively small change of wage advantage in private sector during the span of time. The same argument does not hold for men, indicating that there might be some other factor(s) affecting the outcome. In addition to schooling attainment, our specifications also include a series of age variables (in splines), a series of dummy variables indicating month of interview, and a ‘9 Increases in schooling attainment also occur within each sector of employment as well as its stratification by sex. 68 selection coefficient. Especially for the 1993 regressions, a dummy variable indicating whether the earnings of self-employed workers are based on gross income measure is also included. These variables are discussed next. F-test for joint significance of age variables are at least significant at the 10 percent level, except for private sector women in 2000 (p-value = .321). Our results show that the slopes of splines are negative for the oldest age group (SO-59 years), except for public sector women in 2000. For self-employed men in 1993 and 1997 and self-employed women in 1997, negative estimates could be found as early as being 40-49 years old. It is worth to mention that age for women might represent experience that is not comparable to that of men since women might be temporarily out of the work force and engaged in home production or childcare activities. A series of month of interview dummy variables, intended mainly to pick up variation of seasonality in eamings, shows no influence for private sector employment for the 1993 and 1997 surveys as the F -tests are not significant even at the 10 percent level. In the 2000 sample, however, these dummy variables are jointly significant. The reverse is true for individuals working at public sector. Among self-employed workers, month of interview variables are jointly significant for the 1993 survey only. Recall that main field work for IFLS] and IF LS2 took place similar time of the year (August-January), while IFLS3 started as early as June. Thus, the timing of survey has only limited consequence on earnings. The selectivity term (,1) also has limited effect on earnings.70 Within this specification, it has a positive impact on earning of self-employed women in 1993 and 7° Heckman (1979) suggests that when selection correction terms are not significantly different from zero, one can accept that OLS estimates are consistent as well as preferred because they are more efficient than 69 negative impact on self-employed men (1993), private sector women (1997) and public sector women (2000).71 The positive sign for self-employed women in 1993 implies that women in the self-employment sector have higher productivity than average women in terms of having higher earnings than the eanrings of randomly selected women in the population. The negative sign implies the reverse. Gross income dummy variable is only significant for women and it has a positive sign. The result indicates that using gross income as a measure of eamings instead of net income will increase wage advantage of self-employed women by 39 percent. For men, however, this variable is not significant, indicating that the usage of gross income or net income does not statistically influence wage advantage of self-employed men.72 Finally, the model performs best for the public sector. In 1993, for example, it explains almost 30 percent of the variation in earnings in that sector for men and almost 50 percent for women. The explanatory power of the model is relatively weak for the self-employment sector for both men and women, where only 4-12 percent of the variations in earnings are explained. This is expected due to the high measurement errors in the measurement of earnings. the two-stage estimates. In spite of it, discussion of estimate results are based on the selectivity corrected version. 7’ The addition of control for parental and provincial covariates, however, changes the significance of selection terms. 72 Extending the specification by the inclusion of parental schooling variables does not alter the results for gross income variables. Further extension of the model by the inclusion of provincial dummy variables resulted in a positive and significant estimates for both self-enrployed men and women. 70 6.3. Wage Functions: the Effects of Parental Schooling F arnily background information, represented by parental schooling, is added in the specifications discussed in this sub-section (see Table 6.4 and its summary, Table 6.5). Parental schooling enters the model through a set of dummy variables with no schooling served as the omitted category. F -test for joint significance of parental schooling variables (that of father, mother as well as all parental schooling dummy variables) show some mixed and sometimes inconsistent results between surveys. While father’s schooling variables are not jointly significant in the men’s wage regressions in 1993, they are highly significant for self-employed men in 1997, and only marginally significant for public sector men in 1997 and self-employed men in 2000. On the other hand, mother’ schooling variables as a whole are not significant in affecting earnings for women in all surveys, except for a marginal significant effect for private sector women in 1997 (p- value = 081). Putting the two sets of parental schooling variables together does not help the consistency of joint significance of these variables. Before discussing the direct effect of parental schooling on earnings/wage, let us first focus our discussion on the effects of the inclusion of parental schooling variables in the specifications. For self-employed and private sector workers, point estimates of own schooling are, in general, lower in comparison to specifications that only control for non- linear own schooling. The magnitude of the cut varies between 1-47 percent.73 These decreases might due to the positive correlation between own and parental schooling in the data, so that failure to control for parental schooling might resulted in biased estimates for own schooling variables. Some increases in point estimates of own schooling are also 7’ Percentage change is only calculated for significant estimates within the current specifications. 71 evidenced. These occur for self-employed men with 10+ years of schooling in 1997 and for men with higher secondary education working at the self-employment sector.74 Among public sector men, the inclusion of parental schooling variables reverses the significance of point estimates from not significant to significant. In addition, these parental schooling additions also decrease the magnitude of wage advantage for men with 10+ years of schooling in 1993 but increase the corresponding results in 2000. Turning to the direct effect of paternal and maternal schooling in wage regressions, one can easily find that all point estimates of parental schooling (excluding missing categories) that are significant have positive signs, implying that having educated parents is associated with an increase in earnings relative to having illiterate parents. For example, having a father with some elementary level education is associated with a 21 percent eamings advantage in comparison to having a father with no formal schooling. Due to the limited number of variables that are significant (even at the 10 percent level) between surveys, we cannot say much about the change in the direct effect of parental schooling variables across time. The only exception is for self-employed men with a mother who at least completed primary schooling education. Point estimate for these men are comparable between the first two waves of the survey (.376 in 1993 and .373 in 1997), while slightly dropped to .325 in 2000. Between any two successive surveys, however, some of the point estimates changes are quite large. In spite of the not so convincing results of F-test for the joint significance of parental schooling variables and the limited direct effect that can be inferred, the inclusion of parental schooling is important in explaining point estimates of own schooling and, in 7’ The magnitude of the increase in point estimates for these cases is around 4-11 percent. 72 tum, rates of returns to schooling investments. However, it is hard to make any solid conclusion of whether father’s schooling is more important than mother’s schooling in influencing earnings of their children. 6.4. Wage Functions: the Effects of Regions of Current Residence Specifications used in the previous sub-section are further extended by the inclusion of province of current residence along with its interaction terms with urban region (see Table 6.6 and its summary, Table 6.7). The omitted category for these regional variables is Jakarta, an all-urban region. The employment market structure as well as wage offers differs between regions. This is the effect that is expected to be pick-up in this set of specifications. F -test results show that these variables are (jointly) very highly significant, except for public sector women in the 1997 sample (p-value = .065). Adjusted R2 are also improved, in particular for those who are self-employed. The magnitudes of own schooling estimates are also further reduced relative to those of the second set of specifications. All of these results reflect the importance of regional conditions on labor market conditions, the availability of school and its quality in the calculating rates of returns to schooling. Own schooling estimates are also affected by the inclusion of provincial variables. Most of the effect resulted in the declines of point estimates; its magnitude varies between 1 and 43 percent. For some small number of cases, increases in point estimates are also evidenced; the magnitude of these increases is small, around 1-4 percent. This finding also verifies the importance of including regional differences in estimating rates of returns to schooling investments. 73 Estimated coefficients for provinces that are statistically significant are negative, implying living in that province, both in rural and urban areas, is associated with eaming a lower earnings/wage than living in Jakarta. If estimated coefficients for both province and its urban interaction terms are significant, the latter is mostly positive with lower magnitude than the former. This implies that the wage disadvantage is lower for individuals living in urban area than those living in rural area of that province. For self-employed workers, I also present specification in which household composition and household assets variables are included as covariates (see Appendix Table 6.2).75 The purpose of this exercise is to determine whether household composition variables can explain self-employment earnings since either unpaid family worker or temporary workers assist 45 percent of self-employed workers. Possession of assets might also explain earnings, although one can argue that the accumulation of assets might be a result of previous earnings, and thus it becomes endogenous. F -test results show that household composition and assets are jointly significant at the 1 percent level. The estimated coefficient of own schooling variables changes (some increases and some decreases) by the inclusion of these variables; they are mostly small in magnitude. Household assets variables for women are significant and positive for women, implying that self-employment eamings for women increase with the amount of business assets owned by the household. Individual estimates for household composition are only sporadically significant; in general they are positive for having adults in the household.76 The interpretation of this result is that an adult aged 20-49 might help a self-employed worker in executing his/her work, leading to an increase in earnings. 7’ It is possible, however, that identification for selectivity terms is not satisfied within this specification. 76 In addition, the existence of elderly women for self-employed men in 1993 is also significant. 74 6.5. Predicted Rates of Returns Rates of returns to schooling investments can be easily obtained from the specification with linear schooling attainment. In this case, the point estimates of own schooling variables are the average returns for an additional completed year of schooling. Within specifications in which schooling attainment of the individuals enters as a series of dummy variables representing level of schooling, returns could be found by simply subtracting the point estimates from adjacent levels of schooling and dividing the result by the number of years needed to complete that level of schooling. There is, however, another way to calculate the returns rates that is more reliable. In addition, the estimated rates could be easily obtained from the regression results without further calculations. The only modification needed within the specifications of interest is to replace the dummy variables for own schooling with its splines. Point estimates of these splines represent the wage advantage for another completed year of schooling within the range specified by the splines. Splines are constructed for those with 0-3, 4-6, 7-9, 10-12 and 13+ years of schooling.77 Estimates for these specifications are shown in Appendix Table 6.3 and Appendix 6.4.78 Predicted returns to schooling estimates are shown for specifications that only control for own schooling is shown on Table 6.8. In addition, Table 6.9 presents predicted rates when parental schooling variables are added as controls. Overall, rate of returns are positive and significant for individuals who are self- employed or working at the private sector, meaning that completing one year of 77 To make presentation of results as comparable as possible to specification with own schooling dummy variables, the same category merging strategies are used. 7" The specifications on Appendix Table 6.3 only control for own schooling, while those of Appendix table 6.4 also control for parental schooling. 75 schooling within any level of education will benefit the individual in terms of increased wages. Completing one year of schooling for the first 3 grades of primary school for private sector men in 1993, for example, will increase wages by 8.7 percent. Each year of completed schooling between grade 4 and 6 of elementary will add another 11.4 percent increase in wage. Likewise, the additions to wage if one completes each year of lower secondary, higher secondary and tertiary level of schooling are, respectively, 7.9, 14.7 and 12.8 percent. An interesting observation is found for returns among public sector men in 1993. Returns to an additional year of schooling for individuals with tertiary level schooling (8.9 percent) are lower than for those with higher secondary level (9.7 percent), although the difference is small. This is also true for private sector men in 1993 and private sector women in 1997 and 2000. Between surveys, one can observe decreases in returns rates for self-employed men, except for those with the highest schooling attainment. Among private sector men, there are no clear patterns, some upward and downward movements existed; while among the most educated, the returns are basically unchanged. Turning to returns from specifications that also control for parental schooling, one can see that the rates decreased by 3-26 percent among self-employed individuals and those working in the private sector. Among self-employed men in 1997 and 2000, we saw an increase in return rates. One important finding that is related to the government program of 9-year mandatory schooling is that returns to schooling for those with junior secondary level education are higher than those who only complete primary school. This result holds for all sector of 76 employment and all waves of the survey, except for private sector men in the 1993 sample. 6.6. Discussion Our results show that the wage advantage increases with schooling attainment. This is true for those who are self-employed as well as for those working for wage in the public and private sectors. Moreover, these findings are robust to the inclusion of various sets of covariates. The degree of wage advantage is reduced by the inclusion of these covariates, implying that parental schooling and regional variables have an effect on returns to schooling as they pickup some unobservable measures of ability, family background and schooling quality. In contrast to worldwide compilation of rates of returns (Psacharopoulos, 1994), in which primary education exhibits the highest returns among the three levels of education, our show the ever-increasing pattern of returns with schooling attainment. A similar conclusion is found among African countries (Schultz, 1998), in particular Ghana and Burkina Faso, where returns are higher at the secondary and post-secondary school levels than at primary level. The same is also true for the case of Botswana (Siphambe, 2000). In Asia, Schafgans (2000) finds increasing returns to educational attainment among men and women in Malaysia, and that women have lower returns than men although this inequality not true among Malay natives. For the case of Turkey, Tansel (1999) find that return rate for state owned enterprise workers and private sector workers are higher among individuals with middle- and high school level of education than those with 77 primary level education. The same conclusion also found in Taiwan (Liu, Hammit and Lin, 2000). 6.6.1. Comparison with OLS Results Given that selectivity correction terms are often not significant it will be interesting to compare estimation results that are based on OLS specifications that do not control for selection bias and those that do. In particular, I will compare estimates from specifications that control for parental schooling and sample selection (hereafter, selectivity corrected specification; see Table 6.4) and those that control for parental schooling but not for sample selection (hereafter, OLS specification; see Appendix Table 6.5). Point estimates for own schooling variables among self-employed men, as expected, are lower in the OLS specification in comparison to those of selectivity corrected specification since selection coefficient in the latter is negative. The difference is only minimal among men with primary level of schooling and gets higher with schooling attainment, meaning that selection among the self-employed men only affects those who are more educated. Among self-employed women, estimated own schooling variables between the two specifications are basically similar except in the 1993 sample when the selection term is significant and positive. With respect to the latter, own schooling estimates are higher in the OLS specification. Among private sector workers, schooling attainment effect between the two specifications are similar since selection terms in the selectivity corrected specifications are not statistically significant. Estimates for public sector men show a different trend 78 even though selection terms are not significant. Among men, while OLS estimates are higher than selectivity corrected estimates in the 1993 sample, by 1997 they are comparable. By 2000, OLS estimates lower than those of selectivity corrected estimates. The magnitude of selectivity term might be a suspect for these results (-.154 in 1993, .016 in 1997 and .147 in 2000). In sum, even though the findings show that selection is not such a big issue in estimating wage functions, as evidenced by the limited significance of selectivity correction terms, the inclusion of these terms might give better estimates than the exclusion of them. This is especially true for the self-employed individuals. Appendix Section 6: Wage Functions for Panel Respondents As in sector choice model, I will also provide results of some basic regressions of wage firnctions using panel respondents. Discussion for panel respondents will be focused on point estimates of own schooling attainment, detailed estimates are left for the readers to explore. In particular, the discussion will point out the difference between estimates of panel- and cross-section respondents. The discussion will cover estimates for specifications with linear completed years of schooling (Appendix Table 6.6 and its summary, Table 6.3), specifications in which schooling attainment enter as a series of dummy variables (Appendix Table 6.7 and Table 6.3), and specifications that control for the inclusion of parental schooling variables in addition to non-linear schooling attainment (Appendix Table 6.8 and Table 6.4). In addition, predicted retums to schooling will also be discussed for specifications with schooling attainment only (Table 79 6.7) and specifications that control for parental schooling in addition to own schooling attainment (Table 6.8). Within the specification with linear own schooling (in terms of completed years of schooling), point estimates for an additional year of schooling in all sector of employment in 1993 are somewhat lower in comparison to those from the cross-section. For example, while self-employed panel men have an average 10.1 percent returns, cross- section respondents have a slightly higher returns, 12.5 percent. Since most of the excluded individuals from the cross section data in the 1993 sample are of 53-59 years old, it is possible that these older individuals drive-up returns within the cross-section sample due to, among other things, advantage in working experience. We also see that for private sector workers and self-employed men, schooling returns based on panel respondents are higher than those of cross section for both 1997 and 2000 sample. These differences are, however, small. Among panel men, point estimates are similar within each sector of employment between years of survey, indicating that returns to schooling are basically unchanged over time. Similar trends in returns to schooling are found fiom specifications in which schooling attainment is non-linear. For example, each of the statistically significant estimates for self-employed panel men is lower than their corresponding cross-section estimates in 1993, while the reverse is true in 1997 and 2000. Likewise is the case for private men, where point estimates in 1993 are lower for the panel respondents while they are higher in 1997 and 2000. One important observation worth mentioning here is that the difference between individual estimates from cross-section and panel samples is 80 not that big so that, at least within this specification, returns rates for cross-section and panel respondents are close one to another. Extending the specification with parental schooling does not alter the trends from specifications that only control for own schooling attainment. As expected, magnitude of these estimates is mostly lowered. Thus, parental schooling affected retums rates for cross-section and panel samples. Comparing the magnitude own schooling estimates between cross-section and panel samples, one can learn that returns rates are lower for panel individuals, especially for self-employed workers in 1993. Predicted rates of returns gives a more interesting picture. Whereas returns for self- employed panel men are lower in 1993, they are higher by 2000. A closer look at the most educated group of self-employed men shows that there exists a different trend. Whereas in the cross-section sample, the returns increased between 1993 and 1997 (from 18.9 to 20.9 percent for an additional completed years of tertiary schooling), by 2000 it decreased to 13.2 percent. Among panel sample, however, retru'ns rates decreased between 1993 and 1997 (from 24.3 to 14.9 percent), and increased to 23.8 percent by 2000. It is hard to give a precise answer to this phenomenon. One possible answer would be that due to the prosperous economic condition in Indonesia during 1993-1997, there might be a technological progress or innovation (say, in the agriculture sector) that affected earnings of self-employed workers. Since the cross section sample in 1997 consists of younger individuals with possibly more recent knowledge of the technology, one might expect that returns for the most educated group in the cross-section sample increased while that of panel sample decreased since have yet to catch-up with the new technology. Economic crisis might caused that technology to be not applicable due to, 81 among others, cost considerations, and the old agricultural technology are once again broadly used. This might resulted in the increase of returns for panel individuals while that of cross-section are adversely affected. Adding parental schooling variables to the specifications does not change the trends of returns rates. In general, predicted rates are lowered by the inclusion of these family background information. As in sector choice model, evidence on hand is not enough to pinpoint the source of difference between the magnitude of panel and cross section estimates, especially for the 1997 and 2000 samples. Aging of the respondents and selection problems between panel and cross section samples might be responsible for these differences. But, there might be other factors causing this result that future work may explore. 82 7. Migration It is widely known that individuals with more human capital, say those who are better educated, are more likely to migrate than those with less. In low-income countries, net migration tends to take place from the rural to the urban sector. Higher real wages in urban areas and inadequate opportunities for educated individuals from rural areas will attract these individuals to migrate to urban areas. In addition, migration of individuals from the rural to urban areas might reflect their attempt diversify risk against adverse condition that might affect agricultural work and production in the rural areas such as drought, flooding and fire. The question posted in this section is whether individuals who self-select themselves to migrate from rural to urban do actually possess a higher rate of returns to schooling investments than those who do not. In other words, the exercise undertaken in this section is intended to discover whether migration selection is a potential problem in calculating rates of returns. To see migration profiles and their relation to individual’s schooling attainment in our samples, I divide the data into 6 regions of birth and 6 regions of current residency. These regions are Sumatera, Java and other islands, each are further stratified by rural and urban area. Table 7.1 shows the distribution of migration between regions by schooling attainment. 79 It is clear that the more educated individuals are more likely to migrate. In 1993, among individuals with no formal schooling, 79 percent of those born in rural Surnatera are currently living in the same region and only 20 percent moved to urban Sumatera, the corresponding figures for individuals born in rural Java are 71 and 79 Notice that migration that took place between birth and time of survey is not taken into consideration in these tables. 83 18 percent, while for other islands are 85 and 14 percent. Compare these figures to those of individuals with beyond primary school schooling attainment. Around 43 percent of individuals born in rural Surnatera migrated to urban Surnatera and another 11 percent to urban Java, leaving 46 percent staying in the region where they were born. In Java, six- tenths of individuals born in nrral regions are currently living in urban regions of Java. Similar patterns are found for the 1997 and 2000 samples. Looking at the migration profile of all individuals, we can see that the numbers between years are not that far off. There exists, however, more out migration among individuals born in rural Bali, West Nusa Tenggara, South Kalimantan and South Sulawesi (provinces included in the other islands region) in 2000 than in 1993 or 1997. While among individuals born in the urban areas of Sumatera and Java, there is more migration to the rural areas in 2000 compared to that of 1993 and 1997. The latter might reflect the 1997 crisis effect: as factories in the urban areas are closed and workers are laid-off, migration from urban to rural areas are accentuated. Frankenberg, Smith and Thomas (2002) find that the bottom quarter of households (ranked by their per capita expenditure, PCE) in urban areas lost household members during the crisis while urban households with above median PCE gained members. Household size was expanding in the rural areas with the smallest expansion for the poorest rural households. Schultz (1988) argues that when migration occurs, the interpretation of proportional shift in wage function associated with an additional year of schooling as the private rate of returns to schooling investment might no longer hold since several working assumptions are violated. In other words, migration selection might raise a problem in the calculation of rates of returns to schooling. He suggests estimating rate of return by 84 splitting the sample with respect to individual’s place of schooling or place of birth and by individual’s place of current residence. Following his suggestion, in this section I will divide individuals into two groups, the first consists of those born in rural area while the second of those born in urban. I will also split up individuals based on whether they are currently residing in a rural or urban region. The resulting estimates are expected to indicate differences in returns to schooling that are due to migration patterns of individuals in the samples.80 This sections starts with a description of schooling attainment and eamings with respect to place of birth and of current residency. A short explanation of the specification to be used for empirical purpose will follow. Discussion of estimated results will conclude the section. 7.1. Schooling Attainment and Earnings Average years of schooling of individuals stratified by their region of birth and by current residence are presented in Table 7.2. In general, individuals born in urban areas have more formal schooling than their counterparts born in rural areas. Our data shows that average completed years of schooling increased between surveys. It also shows that the gap between individuals born in urban and those born in rural areas in terms of years of formal schooling completed slightly increased between surveys, from 2.7 years in 1993 to 3.1 years in 2000. Similar pattems of schooling attainment are found among individuals with respect to their region of current residence. 8° There is no study on returns to schooling for the case of Indonesia that explicitly taking into account the importance of migration by splitting up the data by region of birth and region of current residency. Some recent studies in this genre include Schultz and Mwabu (1998) for South Africa and Duraisamy (2000) for India. 85 Average completed years of schooling among individuals born in rural areas is higher than those currently residing in rural; this is also true for urban born individuals in comparison to those of urban residence. Migration of the (mostly) more educated individuals from rural to urban might drive down schooling attainment of the remaining rural residence. Since there might also be individuals with low schooling attainment who migrated from rural to urban, the average years of schooling of urban residence is pushed down. Moving to hourly wages, there are no statistically significant differences between rural- and urban born public sector workers (Table 7.3) and between rural- and urban residence public sector workers (Table 7.4). The only exception exists in the 1993 sample, where urban residence public sector workers have, on average, a marginally significant higher hourly wage than those of rural residence. The similarity of wage rates between regions of birth as well as of residence might be due to the fact that wages in this sector are set by the govemment which in principle, does not differentiate between regions. Among self-employed and private sector workers, however, urban-rural differences in average hourly wages are significant both by birth and by residence. With respect to place of birth, the ratio of wages between urban and rural declined between 1993 and 2000. 81 Whereas within the self-employed the ratio decreased from 1.8 in 1993 to 1.4 in 2000, the wage ratio decline among private sector workers is not as large, from 1.7 in 1993 to 1.5 in 2000. A similar downturn in the urban-rural wage ratio occurred between surveys occurred for workers in the self-employment and private sectors, stratified by 86 their region of residence. For self—employed workers the ratio fell from 2 in 1993 to 1.4 in 2000, while that of private sector workers decrease from 2.4 to 1.5 during the same period. It interesting to see that the wage rate disparity between urban and rural individuals by birth and by residence is reduced with time in spite of the slightly increase in disparity of schooling attainment (in terms of absolute difference of average years of schooling). Another interesting observation worth mentioning here is that the average wage rates are lower among rural residents than among rural born individuals. This is also true among urban individuals although the difference is not as large as those of rural individuals except for the 2000 sample, where they are similar. 7.2. Model The specifications used in estimating the effects of migration on returns to schooling are easier than those of section 6. In particular, no parental schooling information enters the specification. Parental schooling for individuals born in rural areas, as expected, is highly concentrated on the no-schooling category, higher than when all individuals are included in the sample.82 Parental schooling variables will be excluded on that ground as they have very limited effect in the wage regressions (see section 6). Out-of-school experience (approximated by age) enters the model in quadratic form instead of splines. In some categories, especially public sector, the number of observations is very small; 8' Notice that wage rates are presented in nominal terms so that no direct comparison of these rates between surveys could be presented. Urban-rural wage rates ratios along with their comparison between surveys are shown instead. 82 Individual living in rural area whose father has no formal schooling makes up 70-78 percent of the data, while those living in urban area 52-58 percent. The corresponding figures for unschooled mother are 56-63 percent for rural area and 39-42 percent for urban area. 87 therefore, no province variables are included in the specification to conserve degree of freedom. To be more specific, all individuals, regardless of their region of birth, are pooled in the regressions instead of running separate regression for individuals born in rural and those born in urban. I include interaction terms between all covariates and a dummy variable indicating whether the individual was born in an urban area. One advantage of using this specification is that it allows one to statistically check whether the estimated coefficients are indeed different between regions of birth of the individuals. In addition, using this specification will increase the number of observations in comparison to the separate specifications of rural- or urban born individuals. A similar set of regressions is also run for individuals with respect to their region of current residency. 7.3. Discussion The discussion of regression results consists of two parts; the first one reports estimates for individuals based on birthplace and the second based on residence. Estimated coefficients of wage functions for individuals born in rural and urban regions are presented on Appendix Table 7.1 for specifications in which schooling attainment variables enter in linear fashion as completed years of schooling. The corresponding estimates with non-linear schooling attainment are shown on Table 7.5. Summary of own schooling point estimates for these specifications are found on Table 7.6. The linear model results show that holding everything else constant, individuals born in urban areas do not have a higher retum to additional completed year of schooling. Point estimates for years of schooling interacted with the bom-in-urban dummy variable 88 are, in general, not statistically significant. Exceptions are for self-employed women in the 1993 sample and for private sector men and women in the 2000 sample, although the latter is only marginally significant. Point estimates among these groups are positive indicating that being born in an urban area is associated with additional returns to schooling investments. Among self-employed women in the 1993 sample, the rate of return for an additional year of schooling is 5.4 percent for those born in rural areas while an additional 6.3 percentage points existed for urban born women. Likewise is the additional 2.3 percentage points returns for an another year of formal schooling enjoyed by private sector workers men (in the 2000 sample) on top of the 7.2 percent returns among those born in rural. The rate of returns decreased over the years for self-employed and private sector men, while for women they remained practically unchanged.83 Point estimates for own schooling variables among rural born individuals within the non-linear specifications are positive and increasing with higher levels of education attained. Interaction variables are mostly not significant, implying that no wage premia exist for being born in urban region in comparison to rural born individuals. Even though not significant, these interaction variables are mostly negative. A negative interaction term indicates that the wage premium for individuals born in urban areas are lower than that of rural born individuals. The only occurrence where both schooling attainment and its interaction term are statistically significant at 5 percent or better is found for private sector men with lower secondary level of schooling in the 1993 sample. This group of men enjoys a 134 percent wage advantage over those who never completed a single year 83 Point estimates for public sector workers are, in general, not statistically significant for both specifications in which schooling attainment variables enter in a linear- and non-linear fashion. These are also true for regression results in which individuals are stratified by their region of residence. Small 89 of formal schooling, while being born in urban area decreases the wage premium to only 66 percent. The finding that region of birth does not affect the wage advantage in general is supported by F -test statistics for joint significance of interaction of schooling and age variables that are mostly not significant. Over years, these schooling estimates decreased among men and women. For self- employed women with at least high secondary schooling attainment, the earnings advantage increased from 94 percent relative to unschooled women in the 1993 sample to 120 percent in 2000. Tuming to specifications for individuals that take into account region of residence, sirrrilar findings emerges. Similar in the sense that the interaction terms are in general not significant so that returns rates for investments in education are not statistically different between individuals residing in rural and urban settings. Linear specification estimates show that a year of completed schooling gives 10-11 percent returns for self-employed men and 7-8 percent for private sector men (see Appendix Table 7.2 with summary on Table 7.8). Among self-employed women, especially in the 1993 and 1997 samples, living in an urban area is associated with more than doubled returns rate than those living in rural. While private sector women living in urban area in our 1993 sample are getting an extra 4.3 percentage points returns in comparison to their counterparts living in rural area. Non-linear specifications provide limited evidence of the advantage or disadvantage in terms of eanrings for living in urban area (see Table 7.7 with summary on Table 7.8). Living in rural area for the most educated private sector men in the 1993 sample is observations might be responsible for these results. For this reason I will not discuss results for public sector workers. 90 associated with a wage premia that is three times as much as those with zero year of schooling; while living in urban areas significantly increases wage advantage among this group. Likewise is the case for the most educated women working at self-employment sector in the 1993 sample and private sector women with lower secondary schooling level of education in the 1997 sample. For these groups of women, no wage premia for living in rural area in comparison to those of unschooled women, while living in urban is associated with a wage advantage of, respectively, 210 and 166 percent. Experience, proxied by age and age-squared, plays a limited role in explaining wage difference for self-employed and private sector workers for both sets of specifications. The sign of these age variables, provided that they are significant, are positive while those of age-squared are negative, implying the increasing effect (at a decreasing rate) of experience in the wage functions. Selection coefficients, as in Section 6, have only limited effect on wage of the workers. In sum, information on the region of birth (whether an individual was born in rural or urban area) and on the region of current residence (whether an individual resides in rural or urban area) plays a limited role in determining wage and, in turn, the rates of returns to schooling investment. Notice that stratifying individuals based on region of birth is intended to capture, among other things, the variance of schooling availability and quality between rural and urban area in determining income. The second set of regressions, that stratified the individuals based on their region of residence, is aimed at explaining the difference of labor market conditions and wage structure in determining earnings. Our results show that migration selection is not a potential problem in calculating returns to 91 schooling. The bias in the estimated returns is minimal if one does not include variables that represent migration behavior of individuals for the case of Indonesia within the time period considered. Of course this conclusion might change with time, as new datasets are available. One reason for the limited role of migration variables might due to the definition of urban and rural region, which was taken from the BPS (the Central Bureau of Statistics), is imprecise. For example, the high population densities of the urban and rural areas are causing the difference between the two areas unclear. This problem affects the region of current residence. In addition, since information on urban-rural region of birth is collected based on recollection of individuals, it might also be possible that the respondents did not provide accurate response with regard to their region of birth. Some of current studies exploring migration issues in the context of developing countries only stratify individuals based on their residency since information on place of birth might not be available. Duraisamy (2000) finds, for the case of India, that returns to per year of schooling are higher in rural than in urban areas for primary and secondary levels of schooling as well as those with technical diploma/certificate. The results hold for both men and women.84 Schultz and Mwabu (1998) find that among African natives in South Afiica, returns are higher in rural than in urban areas.85 They identified that limited access of Africans to secondary and higher education as well as to working opportunities under the Apartheid government as the explanation of the results. Both of these studies, however, obtained separate estimates for individuals living in urban or rural 8" In this study, however, no distinction between the sectors of employment was made. 85 The study estimates returns rate for Africans, colored, Indian and white groups of individuals. 92 areas. No direct comparison on returns rates between the two groups is presented as was done in this study. 93 8. Returns to Schooling by Age Cohorts Our sample consists of individuals aged 25-59 years in each of the three waves considered. This implies that respondents were born between 1934 and 1978 for the IFLSl sample, 1938-1982 for the IFLS2 sample and 1941-1985 for the IFLS3 sample. During this span of time, Indonesia went from movements to gain her freedom to the implementation of a series of comprehensive development programs (called the five-year development plan, Repelita). Schooling availability during this period changed drastically. During the Dutch-Indies administration, school admission was only awarded to children whose parents worked for or had close relations with the administration. In 1950, around 5 million children were enrolled in primary schools while another 6 million children were not (Oey-Gardiner, 2000). The number of enrolled student increased ever after. In 1973 the government started a major school construction program especially at the primary level in 1973 (see Duflo [2000]). The goal of this program was to achieve universal enrolhnent during the fourth Repelita of 1984-1989. School quality, in addition to schooling availability, also improved during this span of time. Improvement in the availability of schoolbooks as well as improvement in the quality of teachers, especially at the primary level, testified to this enhancement in school quality. In addition, there also exists a national-based curriculum for each level of schooling that is revised on a regular basis, which might also affect the quality of students across time. In light of the progress in schooling availability and quality, different cohorts in our sample may have gone through schooling of different quality. One way to account for the disparity of schooling quality in estimating rate of return to schooling investment is to 94 re-estimate the rates separately for different cohorts.86 87 For that purpose, in this section I will split individuals in our sample into two age cohorts — a young cohort (individuals aged 25-39) and an old cohort (40-65).88 One problem in aggregating individuals over such a wide-range of age is to assume that individuals within a cohort have the same schooling and labor market conditions. For empirical purpose, it is better to have a smaller class interval of age grouping but small sample (especially for public sector workers) prevents me from splitting up the data into more than two age cohort groups. Section 8 starts with a description of schooling attainment and earnings among these two age cohorts groups. It is followed by a brief explanation of the specifications used and concludes with discussion of wage regression results. 8.1. Schooling Attainment and Earnings Table 8.1 shows schooling attainment (in terms of years of schooling) for the young and old cohorts by sex and sector of employment. The table shows that individuals belonging to the young cohort are more educated than their old cohort counterparts. Average years of completed schooling for each cohort increases with time. However, the years of formal schooling disparity between cohorts is also increasing, indicating that schooling attainment of the younger individuals increases at a faster rate than that of the 86 In the United States, this literature focuses on the effects on earnings of the baby-boomers and other generation as they entered labor market and over time. Welch (1979), for example, shows that as the large cohort of baby boom generation went into employment, their entry-level market wages were depressed although the effects diminished over time. 87 For developing countries setting, recent studies include Schultz and Mwabu (1998) for South Africa, Baraka (1999) and Vere (2002) for Taiwan, Duraisamy (2000) for India, and Aromolaran (2002) for Nigeria. 88 Average age of IFLS] sample is 40.5 years for men and 39.6 years for women; while for IF LS2 sample, these averages are 39.6 and 39.4 years, respectively. Men in IFLS3 sample is, on average, a year younger (38.5 years) than those in IFLSZ sample; while the corresponding women are half year younger (38.8 years). 95 older. By 1993, the disparity between cohorts is 1.4 years with young individuals having, on average, 5.3 years of schooling while their older counterparts 4.4 years. These averages increased to 8.1 and 5.5 years by 2000, causing the disparity to increase to 2.6 years. Major school construction started to show some results in increasing schooling attainment of individuals in the 2000 sample. Extension to the criteria used in interviewing respondents (see Section 4) might also responsible for the increase given that the average age of individuals decreases with time of survey (see footnote 88) and that younger individuals are expected to have more formal schooling. Hourly earnings between young and old cohorts who are self-employed are not significantly different. Average earnings are, however, slightly higher for the younger individuals. Among private sector workers, wage rate are at parity in the 1993 and 1997 samples. Younger workers are paid 10 percent higher wage than older individuals by 2000. As expected, among public sector workers, it is the older individuals that are favorably paid in comparison to their younger counterparts. Between years, older individuals within this sector are paid a third more than what is earned by the young cohort. Given the fact that earnings for public sector worker are set by the government, the earnings advantage of the old cohort might reflect their tenure as public sector servant. 8.2. Model Similar specifications as those of Section 7 are utilized to study the effect of cohorts in estimating returns rates. Whereas the model in previous section interacts all covariates with a dummy variable indicating whether the individual were born in urban area or are 96 currently living in urban area, in this section the interaction dummy variable indicates whether the individual belongs young cohort or is of age 25-39 years at time of survey.89 8.3. Discussion Point estimates of covariates of wage firnctions for young and old cohorts are presented on Appendix Table 8.1 for specification in which schooling attainment variables enter in linear fashion as completed years of schooling. Corresponding estimates with non-linear schooling attainment are shown on Table 8.2. Summary of own schooling point estimates for these specifications are found on Table 8.3.90 The linear model results show that belonging to the young cohort among private sector men is associated with a lower return to an addition year of school completed. In 1993, older individuals within this group have returns rates of 13.2 percent while that of younger individuals is 3.9 percentage points lower. Likewise are the returns in the 1997 and 2000 surveys that are, respectively, 10.3 and 10.2 percent for older individuals, representing a 2.7 and 2.4 percentage points advantage over the younger individuals. Thus, between years, the difference between retums of old and young cohorts decreased from 3.9 percentage points in 1993 to 2.4 percentage points by 2000. Among self-employed workers, younger men in the 1993 are unfavorably rewarded in terms of returns rates. Whereas older individuals have a return of 15.6 percent for each 89 Similar to specification on Section 7, some aggregation of schooling attainment (0-6 years for men and 0- 9 years for women) is unavoidable due to the small number of observations within these categories, especially for those belonging to the young cohort. 9° For the similar reasons mentioned on Section 7, I will not discuss results for public sector workers. Within the linear specifications, returns for old cohort women in the 1997 sample is 14.6 percent, while that of younger cohort is 28.2 percent lower, with both point estimates are statistically significant. The latter means that returns rate for younger women is negative. A closer look at the number of observations used for this regression is quite small, 309, in which 196 belonging to old cohort and the remaining, 113, to young cohort. 97 year of formal schooling, returns for young cohort are 4.1 percentage points lower (p- value = .054). Beyond these groups, returns rates are at parity between the two cohorts. Turning to the non-linear schooling attainment specifications, point estimates for own schooling are mostly positive and increasing with level of education for both men and women. Interaction terms of schooling attainment with young cohort dummies are negative and mostly significant for private sector men. Among private sector women, these interaction terms are mostly negative but the degree of significance is limited. Interaction terms among self-employed workers are not significant (except for men in 1993) but their magnitudes are also mostly negative. These negative interaction terms imply that the young cohort tends to have lower wage premia in comparison to the old one. For example, in the 1997 sample, private sector older men with higher secondary schooling have wage advantage of 3.5 times those of unschooled men, while belonging to young cohort reduced this advantage to only 1.5 times. Following Schultz and Mwabu (1998), interpretation of the negative interaction terms is that the supply of younger workers relative to its derived demand may be higher than the supply of older workers relative to its derived demand in the private sector. Data in Table 8.1, as previously mentioned, supports the finding. Average years of schooling of young cohort are higher than that of old cohort, while hourly earnings for the two groups are (mostly) at parity. These patterns would suggest higher returns to schooling for older men working at private sector. Between 1993 and 1997, the magnitude of interaction terms among private sector men tends to decrease, while the reverse is true between 1997 and 2000. Among private sector women with at least higher secondary level of education, the disparity of the wage 98 advantage between cohorts increased between 1993 and 1997 and decreased between 1997 and 2000, in contrast to that of private sector men. In sum, stratifying the samples by individuals’ age and comparing their returns rates show that the younger individuals working at private sector have lower wage advantage, and thus, rates of return in their schooling investments in comparison to those of the old generation. These differences are more pronounced among men than women indicating that wage advantage is more evenly spread between cohorts among women than among men. Among the self-employed, however, no statistically significant differences were found. Recent studies on returns to schooling investments between cohorts in the context of developing countries show mixed results. Duraisamy (2000) finds that the returns to primary, middle and secondary schooling in India are lower for the younger cohorts (i.e., the 15-29 and 30-44 years old individuals) than for the oldest cohort (45-65 years). However, for higher secondary, college and technical diploma the opposite is true. Aromolaran (2002), for the case of Nigeria, finds that wage returns to an additional year of post secondary schooling are significantly higher for younger workers (25-34 years) than for older workers (45-64 years). De Brauw and Rozelle (2002) find that the returns to another year of formal schooling for off-fann workers in rural China is 9.3 percent for individuals younger that 35 years and 3.4 percent those aged 35 and older. 99 9. Returns to Schooling using Potential Experience So far, labor market experience (or out-of-school experience) in all empirical exercises for estimating returns to investment in schooling is approximated using age of individuals. In developing countries, as dictated by the data, it is common to use age as an approximation of out-of-school experience while in developed countries experience is used instead. Mincer (1979) notes that even though age may represent a depreciation factor in the wage function it is not a good measure of accumulated post-school investments, and that the latter are better represented by actual experience in the labor market. There are some variations to the approximation of labor market experience. One of them, which is commonly applied, is by constructing experience variable from age minus completed years of schooling and six, the latter comes from the assumption that individuals start school at the age of 6. This approach is not utilized in this essay due to grade repetition and dropout rate, which is quite significant for developing countries, including Indonesia.91 In this section, labor market experience is approximated by ‘potential experience’ constructed by reducing the individual’s age by the age at which he/she finished or quit school. IFLS is probably the only survey in Indonesia that collects information on age an individual finished or quit school which enables one to construct the potential experience variable. It is expected that the use of potential experience will take into account the issue of grade repetition which, as noted by Behrrnan and Deolalikar (1991), is important in explaining returns to schooling. Information on 100 individual’s schooling history is only collected for those aged 15-49 years so that age at which one finished or quit school is not available for those aged 50-59 years. For this reason, return rates are calculated for individuals aged 25-49 instead of 25-59 as was in previous sections. This measure is, of course, not a perfect representation of ‘true’ labor market experience, especially among women. For example, potential experience still suffers from the issue of individuals who temporarily quit school and working for a certain period of time due to economic hardship. Among women who are in the middle of having children and taking care of them, the way potential experience is calculated might for sure not accurately representing labor market experience. The purpose of doing this exercise is to learn whether returns to schooling are sensitive to the use of different measure of labor market experience. Specifications utilized to describe these differences are simplified versions of the ones use in Section 6. In particular, age and potential experience enter the specification in quadratic terms. In addition, no controls for parental schooling and province of residence are included in the wage regressions. Own schooling enters as number of years of schooling completed (linear) and as a set of dummy variables representing level of schooling (non-linear). Point estimates for the former are presented in Appendix Table 9.1 and for the latter in Table 9.1. Summary of schooling attainment covariates are shown on Table 9.2. As previously mentioned, in order to make comparison between returns estimates with age and potential experience as labor market experience, individuals with incomplete information on potential experience are excluded from the 9' As noted on Section 2, Behrman and Deolalikar (1991) find that failure to control for repetition and dropout rates will significantly upward bias the returns to schooling estimates, especially for the lower 101 regressions. Thus, samples in this section are relatively younger than those of Section 6.92 Starting from the linear specification, one can see that an additional year of formal schooling will result in consistently higher rates within specification with potential experience than that with age.93 The differences are, however, not large; the largest difference existed for public sector men in the 1993 sample, where returns using potential experience are 3.7 percent higher than that using age (12.8 vs. 9.2 percent). The difference in point estimates among self-employed and private sector men stays at the same level between years of surveys. Corresponding differences among women fluctuate with time. Tunring to specifications in which schooling attaimnent variables are non-linear, one can easily observe that wage advantages among self-employed and private sector men are higher in the potential experience specification than in that using age.94 The magnitudes of these differences are, in general, small. Among women, however, some of the corresponding differences are positive (i.e., higher) and some are negative (i.e., lower). Again, these differences are small in terms of magnitude. Private sector women in 2000 have lower wage advantage if potential experience is used as proxy for labor market experience that if age is use instead. levels. 92 As an aside, one can make comparison between the ‘full’ sample (i.e., consisting of individuals aged 25- 59) and sample of individuals aged 25-49 (see Appendix Table 6.1 and Appendix Table 9.1 for linear specification, or Table 6.2 and Table 9.1 for non-linear specification, or its summary, Table 6.3 and Table 9.2). Excluding individuals aged 50-59 does not change point estimates of own schooling by much, for both linear and non-linear specifications. Especially for self-employed women, an additional year of schooling gives basically identical rates of returns. 93 The difference in own schooling estimates between the two specifications is reported only if both point estimates are statistically significant at 5 percent or better. 102 A higher point estimate in the potential experience specification than in the age specification means that using age as proxy for labor market experience might downwardly bias returns to schooling. A lower point estimates indicates the reverse. Our results show that returns for self-employed and private sector men are downward biased if age is use as approximation of labor market experience. 9’ It is not easy to make inference for public sector men since point estimates are only sporadically significant. 103 10. Summary This study estimates private rates of return to schooling investment in Indonesia using three waves of Indonesia Family Life Survey (IF LS): 1993, 1997 and 2000. Two features that distinguish the study from similar studies in this genre for the case of Indonesia are the following. First, it starts fiom the assumption that individual maximizes his/her utility in making decision not to participate in the labor force, to be self-employed, to work for wage in the public sector, to work for wage in private sector, or to take part in the unpaid family-owned business. This feature is implemented by modeling a sector choice model using multinomial logit, following Lee (1983). Second, it takes into account the fact that better educated individuals, especially those from rural areas, are more likely to migrate to urban areas since returns to schooling may be higher in the urban areas. Following Schultz (1988) observations are divided on the basis of whether the individual was born in rural-urban regions and on the basis of whether the individual currently residing in rural-urban regions. While the first feature is intended to resolve the problem of sample selection bias, the second one is meant, to some extent, to overcome omitted variable bias from omitting cost of living (and thus real wages) variation between rural-urban regions or from variation in school quality where the individual obtain his/her formal education. In addition, omitted variable bias resulted from omitted measures of ability and family background is also taken into account by the inclusion of parental schooling inforrrration in the wage specification. Parental schooling attainment is rarely included in estimating returns to schooling in Indonesia because of lack of data. 104 This study adopts the human capital investment model of Becker (1964). According to this model, an individual makes human capital investment decisions by maximizing the discounted present value of future earnings with respect to years of schooling subject to the opportunity cost of time and goods spent (in acquiring such capital) and the rate of interest. The wage function used to estimate the rate of return is a Mincerian (1974) function with some modifications. To be specific, an individual’s schooling attainment enters the specification through a set of dummy variables representing a range of completed years of schooling. Parental background is represented by a set of father’s and mother’s schooling attainment dummy variables. Experience, approximated by age of the individuals, comes in splines. In addition, a selectivity error term to correct for sample selection bias is also included in the specification. This error term is calculated from the sector choice model, which serves as the first leg of the two-stage multinomial logit-ordinary least squares procedure of Lee (1983). Rettu'ns to schooling are estimated based on adult men and women in their working age of 25-59. Separate estimates of returns to schooling are calculated for men and women to get insight into factors affecting employment participation decisions as well as the determinant of rettu'ns to schooling by gender and to learn whether there are differences in returns to schooling by gender.95 This section starts with summarizing empirical results for both sector choice model and wage regressions. It follows by explaining some policy implications from empirical findings. Agenda for future works concludes the section. 95 Schultz (2001) provides explanations why returns to schooling estimates are different by gender, while Alderman and King (1998) explore explanation of gender differences in parental investment in schooling, 105 10.1. Empirical Results 10.1.1. Sector Choice Model Sector choice estimates show the importance of education in allocating men and women to their employment paths and that the effect of schooling attainment is not linear.96 Schooling effects, however, work in different directions depending on the employment sector of interest. Among self-employed men in the 1993 sample, a negative effect of schooling is evidenced for those with at least lower secondary level education, and these negative effects get stronger with higher level of schooling. By 2000, however, schooling attainment for men with primary schooling is positively correlated with the probability of being self-employed with no significant effect of schooling attainment beyond the primary level. Among self-employed women, a positive association between schooling and the odds of joining the sector is found only for those with primary level education; these patterns hold for all three waves of survey. Therefore, those who are more able in terms of their education avoid being self- employed, while those with less formal schooling prefer self employment work. The effect of schooling attainment for public sector employment gets stronger with level of education for both men and women. The fact that these effects tend to be stronger with time might indicate that public sector employment has become increasingly education- intensive with time. which has inrplications to the disparity of return rates between sexes. 96 Results are based on ‘base specification’ estimates. Base specification refers to specification that includes non-linear individuals’ own schooling attainment, parental schooling, a set of household compositions variables and business assets. Selectivity terms that are included in the wage regressions are calculated based on these base specifications. 106 Among men working in the private sector, we see no association between schooling and employment within the sector in 1993. By 2000, however, positive and significant associations emerged for those with up to secondary level education. Among private sector women, negative associations were found for those with 4-9 years of completed schooling. The fact that private sector employment is dominated by occupations associated with lower levels of schooling attainment such as paid agricultural workers might explain the negative effect of schooling attainment on private sector employment for women. Being an unpaid family worker among women is, as expected, negatively correlated with education. Around 70-80 percent of women in this sector work are engaged in agriculture work. Thus, those with higher schooling attainment are likely to avoid working at this sector and which, in turn, explains the negative effect of education in participation in (unpaid) family business sector. Parental schooling covariates have, in general, limited effects on employment decisions of children. Not much can be said about the direct effect of father’s or mother’s schooling. For example, in the 1993 sample, having a father who completed primary school is associated with a 25 percent increase in the probability of being self- employed but a 28 percent decrease in the likelihood of working in the private sector. These associations, however, do not hold across surveys. In some cases, parental education has a counterintuitive effect on employment path of children. For example, in the 1997 sample, having a father with at least secondary schooling is associated with a decrease in the probability of any working activity for men. The only solid association across years is found among women working at the family business sector where effect of parental father’s and mother’s schooling are negative. This is expected since educated 107 parents prefer their children not to work unpaid. Limited variation in parental schooling variables, especially that of mother’s, might be responsible for the unusual results. In spite of these shortcomings, parental schooling variables are jointly significant. In addition, the inclusion of these variables captured some of the family background information in making the employment decision as evidenced by the decrease in the magnitude of own schooling point estimates. Sector participation probabilities of men and women follows an inverted U-shaped profile with respect to age, with younger individuals (aged 25-39) more likely to participate in any kind of employment activities compared to their older counterparts (aged 40-59). Household composition and business asset variables, intended to identify selection term for the second stage OLS wage regressions, are jointly significant at the 1 percent level. The presence of adult men (aged 20-49) in the household lowers employment participation for both men and women. This, among self-employed men might indicate substitution effect for working in this sector, while among women the finding might indicate women’s role in household work (or an increase in home-produced goods) and child bearing/rearing responsibilities. Having an adult woman in the household increases a woman probability to work at the private sector (in 1997 and 2000), implying that the existence of adult female in the household might lighten the burden of household chores and child-care activities. The presence of an elderly woman (aged 50+) reduces men employment activities but increases women participation in wage work. Having an elderly man (aged 50+) in the household lowers work participation for men and women except that it increases women participating in family business work activities. The latter might indicates that the care of elderly man could be 108 combined with some working activities at the family-owned business. With respect to business assets, men having more assets are associated with higher probability of being self-employed (in 1993) but a lower the chance of private sector employment (in 1993 and 2000). Among women, business assets have positive association with self- and family business employment as well as working at the public sector (in 1993). Individuals living outside Jakarta, an all-urban area, have higher probability of being self-employed or working with no pay at family business. Within province, the chance to work at these sectors is lower in urban area compared to those living in rural area. 10.1.2. Wage Regressions Our results show that the wage advantage increases with schooling attainment. This is true for those who are self-employed as well as for those working for wages in the public and private sectors. Moreover, these findings are robust to the inclusion of various sets of covariates. The degree of wage premia are reduced by the inclusion of these covariates, implying that parental schooling and regional variables have an effect on returns to schooling as they pick-up some unobservable measures of ability, family background and schooling quality. In 1993, a self-employed men with 4-6 years of completed schooling has a 44 percent earnings advantage in comparison to their counterparts with no formal schooling. The wage premiums are even higher for self-employed men with junior secondary, senior secondary and tertiary education, where eamings are, respectively, 2.5, 3.5 and 7.6 higher than that of men with zero years of schooling. There is an increasing trend in earnings for self-employed women although the differences in wage advantage by schooling levels 109 are not as high as those for men. By 1997, the earnings advantage for the self-employed within each level of schooling are lower than those of 1993. Earnings premia for self- employed men are further reduced by 2000. Among self-employed women, earnings advantages are also slashed between years of surveys although the magnitudes of the cut are not as high as for self-employed men. Schooling attainment estimates for public sector workers are positive for men with at least upper secondary level education, while among women these estimates are in general not significant. In addition to the limited significance of the F -test statistics, estimates for public sector women (as well as men) might also suffer from small sample sizes in comparison those of self-employment and private sectors. Wage premia among private sector workers increase with level of schooling at an increasing rate within each survey for both men and women. Own schooling estimates for men experienced a remarkable drop between 1993 and 1997 (except for those with lower secondary level of schooling). A similar decline, however, is not found between 1997 and 2000, although some small changes occurred during that span of time. The overall picture captured from these wage regressions indicates that individuals with more formal schooling are more favorably rewarded, and that the wage advantage increases in a convex (non-linear) fashion with levels of schooling. Over years, eamings/wage advantages within each level of schooling are, in general, declining. The decreases in these earnings/wage premia are noteworthy between 1993 and 1997, while between 1997 and 2000, the declines are not as large, and in some cases they are only trivial. One can argue that the overall economic condition of a country (measured by level of economic growth) during the span of time might provide an explanation of the 110 decline in wage advantage between 1993 and 1997 as well as the relatively stable level of it between 1997 and 2000. Another explanation for this change in rates of returns is due to supply shift in individuals with more schooling. The (overall) average completed years of schooling in the 1993 sample is 6.1 years for men and 4.4 years for women; by 2000, the corresponding numbers are 7.8 and 6.3 years, respectively. Turning to estimated rate of returns to investment in schooling, our results show that returns are positive and significant for individuals who are self-employed or working at the private sector, meaning that completing one year of schooling within any level of education will benefit the individual in terms of increase earnings/wages (refer to Table 6.9 to obtain the magnitude of these rates among levels of schooling, employment sectors as well as years of survey). Completing one year of schooling for the first 3 grades of primary school for private sector men in 1993, for example, will increase wage by 8.6 percent. Each year of completed schooling between grade 4 and 6 of elementary will add another 10.8 percent increase in wage. Likewise, the additions to increase in wage if he/she completes each year of lower secondary, higher secondary and tertiary level of schooling are, respectively, 7.4, 13.4 and 11.7 percent. Between surveys, one can observe decreases in returns for self-employed men, except for those with the highest schooling attainment. Among private sector men, there are no clear patterns, some upward and downward movements existed; while among the most educated, the retums are basically unchanged. One important finding that is related to the government program of 9-year mandatory schooling program is that returns to schooling for those with junior secondary level education is higher than those who only complete primary school. This result holds for 111 all sectors of employment and all waves of the survey with one exception: for private sector men in the 1993 sample. With respect to age, our results show that the slopes of splines are negative for the oldest age group (50-59 years), except for public sector women in 2000. A series of month of interview dummy variables, intended mainly to pick up variation of seasonality in earnings, has only limited consequences on earnings. The selectivity term (It) also has limited effect on earnings. F -tests for the joint significance of parental schooling variables show some mixed and sometimes inconsistent results between surveys. While father’s schooling variables are not jointly significant in the men’s wage regressions in 1993, they are highly significant for self-employed men in 1997, and only marginally significant for public sector men in 1997 and self-employed men in 2000. Mother’ schooling variables as a whole are not significant in affecting earnings for women in all surveys except for a marginal significant effect for private sector women in 1997. Point estimates (or direct effect) of paternal and maternal schooling in wage regressions shows that all statistically significant results are positive, implying that having educated parents is associated with an increase in eamings relative to having illiterate parents. However, the existence of these statistically significant estimates is sporadic. In spite of the not so convincing results of F-test for the joint significance of parental schooling variables and the limited direct effect that can be inferred, the inclusion of parental schooling is important in explaining point estimates of own schooling and, in turn, rates of return to schooling investments. Cost of living differences and difference in employment market structure might also affect wage premia. F-test results show that region dummy variables are (jointly) very 112 highly significant. Results show that living in a province outside Jakarta, both in rural and urban areas, is associated with lower wage than living in Jakarta. In addition, results also find that wage disadvantage is lower for individuals living in urban area than those living in rural area of that province. One final point worth mentioning here is a comparison between the results of this study and that of Filmer and Lindauer (2001) as shown in Table 10.1. In order to make results comparable among studies, wage premia from this study are weighted by the number of individuals (men and women) in each level of schooling. OLS estimates of this study refer to results from specification with no control for parental schooling and sample selection. The findings show that individuals with junior high (or lower secondary, 7-9 years of schooling) is more favorably rewarded than that of Filmer and Lindauer, while wage premia for individuals with schooling attainment beyond lower secondary are comparable among studies. Adding parental schooling information and selectivity correction terms show that the difference in estimated own schooling attainment between the two studies are not that far off. 10.1.3. Migration and Age Cohort The effect of migration in this study is captured by stratifying individuals based on region of birth and of current residence. The former is intended to capture, among others, the variance of schooling availability and quality between rural and urban areas in determining income, while the other is aimed at explaining the difference of labor market conditions and cost of living in determining earnings. Our results show that neither region of birth nor region of current residence play an important role in determining 113 wages and, in turn, the rates of return to schooling investment. The finding verifies that migration selection is not a potential problem in calculating returns to schooling or at least that the bias in the estimated returns are minimal if one does not include variables that represent migration behavior of individuals. Since individuals of different cohorts in our sample may have gone through schooling of different quality as well as availability, individuals are stratified into two age cohorts —- young cohort (individuals aged 25-39) and old cohort (40-65) to account for these disparities. Our regression results show that the younger individuals working in the private sector have a lower wage advantage, and thus, rates of team in their schooling investments in comparison to those of the old generation. These differences are more in evidence among men than women indicating that the wage advantage is more evenly spread between cohorts among women than among men. No statistical significant differences between cohorts were found among men and women working in the self- employment sector. Interpretation of the negative interaction terms is that the supply of younger workers relative to its derived demand may be higher than the supply of older workers relative to its derived demand in the private sector. 10.2. Policy Implications There are a number of ways in which analysis of rates of returns in schooling investments are useful for policy making. On one hand, social returns may provide an indication of which level of schooling the government should invest in most. For example, if the returns to primary education are significantly higher than those of secondary education, then policy makers, which in the case of developing countries are 114 the governments, can allocate more resources to primary education. On the other hand, returns to schooling can also help the government in seeking the most appropriate education policy that is consistent with the development of human capital of its country. For example, if return rates are low for a certain level of education, then analysis of returns to schooling might provide an explanation of the causes of the low returns. Likewise if the returns across years are declining, then an explanation of the source of the decline might be very useful for policy making. Empirical findings illustrate that returns to schooling investments are, in general, positive and increasing with level of education. In relation to the 9-year mandatory schooling program, our results show that returns for attending a year of secondary level education is high, especially for women. The result might serve as a motivation for the central government and/or local authorities to make comprehensive plan in administering the operation of education at the secondary level, especially, the junior secondary level. The plan, in addition to provision of schooling infrastructures, should also deal with the preparation of curriculum, books and other instructional equipments as well as human resource planning for the teachers at this level of schooling. Moreover, special attention should be given to overcome the urban-rural gap and rich-poor gap in the enrollment rates at the junior secondary school level.97 An indication of variations of returns within province as well as its rural-urban differences as shown from wage regressions might serve as valuable information for the government. Following conventional wisdom, returns might fall as Indonesia’s economy developes and Indonesians, on average, gain more education. For example, if the growth of supply 115 of secondary level graduates in the employment market is ahead of its demand, the high returns for secondary level education might not persist. It is also possible that at some point in the firture tertiary education graduates might drive secondary level graduates to lower paying job, causing increase in unemployment. Therefore, not only should the government make an accurate plan of junior secondary schooling system as dictated by the commitment to implement 9-year compulsory schooling program, but it also has to plan employment creation for these future graduates. 10.3. Future Agenda From an empirical point of view, estimates of returns to schooling in this study have some shortcomings. First, the small number of observations is causing low predictive power for some estimates. As an example, it is difficult to make clear-cut statements at the disaggregated level for those working in the public sector. Second, the nature of parental schooling data that has not much variation is also causing the same problem, especially in the 1993 wave of IF LS. Third, this study compares cross section individuals between years of survey instead of exploiting the panel nature of IFLS data, even though some comparison of results using panel individuals between years are shown for sector choice and wage regressions. The first path for future agenda is to redo this exercise using more sophisticated panel data econometric tools. This gives the opportunity of actually learn behavioral change within individuals. Decomposition techniques of factors affecting the decline in returns across years might add richness to our knowledge as well as provide valuable input for 97 Oey-Gardiner (2000) finds that in 1999 the urban-rural gap in age-specific enrollment rates is high among junior secondary age (88 percent in urban vs. 74 percent in rural) and that the gap between the rich 116 policy makers. Realizing that individuals might migrate due to better work opportunities or schooling availability and quality gives rise to the prospect of endogenizing migration in estimating schooling returns. Although the focus of this study is to learn the effects of family background and migration on the estimation of returns to schooling, I realized that there is more that can be done with the rich nature of the data. The first extension is to use the national final examination (EBTANAS) scores to proxy for ability. Off course not all individuals interviewed have an EBTANAS score which will significantly reduce the number of observations. Since IF LS also collects information on non-co resident kin, it is possible to get the effect of siblings, for example, to enrich our specification. Another possibility is to link with information from community and facility survey of IFLS to get information on schooling quality.98 and poor is disturbing (93 percent for riches quintile vs. 66 percent for the poorest quintile). 9" See Betts (1999) for a review on the literature on the returns to quality of education. 117 Table 4.1 Summary of Number of Observations Observations Percentage Dropped Remained of Book III Respondents aged 25-59 IFLSI Individuals answering Book III 14,418 - Observations dropped due to: - Age restrictions (age<25 or age>59) 3,887 10,531 100.0 - Incorrrplete schooling attainment a) 457 10,074 95.7 - Incomplete sector of employment 11 10,063 95.6 - Wage missing 395 9,668 91.8 - Wage outlier (wage< 10 or wage>20,000) 38 9,630 91.4 IFLSZ Individuals answering Book III 21,562 - Observations dropped due to: - Age restrictions (age<25 or age>59) 8,665 12,897 100.0 - Incomplete schooling attainment 65 12,832 99.5 - Incomplete sector of employment 1 12,831 99.5 - Wage missing 586 12,245 94.9 - Wage outlier (wage<10 or wage>20,000) 55 12,190 94.5 IFLS3 Individuals answering Book III 26,731 - Observations dropped due to: - Age restrictions (age<25 or age>59) 11,190 15,541 100.0 - Incomplete schooling attainment 8 15,533 99.9 - Incomplete sector of employment 5 15,528 99.9 - Wage missing 559 14,969 96.3 - Wage outlier (wage<10 or wage>40,000) 108 14,861 95.6 Panel Respondents b) IFLS] 3,111 6,519 67.7 IFLSZ 5,671 6,519 53.5 IFLS3 8,342 6,519 43 .9 Source: IFLS], IFLS2 and IFLS3. a) 411 respondents have their Book III answered by proxy. b) Percentages on the last colomn are relative to final observations of respected surveys. 118 Table 4.2 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender Cross Sectlon Respondents Non-emp. Men Women Self Emp. Men Women Public Sector Men Women Prlvate Sector Men Women Family Worker Men Women Observations Men Women IFLSl 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals 1 FLSZ 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals IFLS3 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10—1 2 years 13+ years All Individuals 4.2 43.3 (0.88) (2.12) 3.3 39.1 (0.65) (2.13) 3.4 49.8 (0.55) (1.87) 5.2 53.9 (0.93) (2.51) 3.6 42.2 (0.69) (2.36) 4.4 27.3 (1.27) (4.00) 3.8 44.9 (0.32) (1.38) 7.0 46.4 (1.05) (2.17) 6.7 43.6 (0.84) (2.16) 6.1 49.3 (0.62) (1.76) 8.2 58.6 (0.99) (2.15) 6.6 46.3 (0.74) (1.78) 1 1.2 23.4 (1.53) (2.64) 7.1 47.1 (0.42) (1.24) 7.4 30.3 (1.13) (1.81) 3.9 28.8 (0.67) (1.69) 3.9 36.1 (0.43) (1.33) 5.8 47.7 (0.71) (1.82) 6.1 42.8 (0.60) (1.46) 8.4 22.7 (1.17) (1.87) 5.5 35.8 (0.33) (0.93) 60.6 (2.95) 63.7 (2.48) 23.3 (1.53) 27.2 (1.59) 58.5 26.3 (1.95) (1.30) 45.1 23.4 (2.65) (1.96) 22.4 15.7 (1.81) (1.66) 14.8 6.3 (2.44) (2.16) 49.3 23.8 (1.69) (0.88) 53.4 23.4 (2.65) (1.66) 55.5 27.4 (2.22) (1.80) 49.4 26.6 (1.63) (1.27) 39.0 19.3 (2.11) (1.61) 24.5 14.1 (1.55) (1.29) 15.3 6.0 (1.77) (1.45) 41.3 22.5 (1.30) (0.85) 56.5 28.4 (2.66) (1.75) 57.1 32.2 (2.22) (1.55) 52.4 29.4 (1.55) (1.21) 41.9 27.4 (1.79) (1.54) 27.9 21.2 (1.39) (1.11) 20.8 8.1 (1.67) (1.20) 42.3 26.5 (1.16) (0.77) 2.3 0.6 (0.67) (0.26) 1.7 0.9 (0.46) (0.50) 5.9 0.8 (0.83) (0.37) 12.9 2.7 (1.91) (0.75) 36.2 26.0 (2.28) (2.14) 52.2 45.5 (3.04) (4.46) 13.4 4.7 (0.96) (0.49) 2.7 0.4 (0.63) (0.19) 1.3 0.6 (0.51) (0.39) 3.9 0.5 (0.55) (0.28) 9.3 2.5 (1.25) (0.68) 24.7 15.6 (1.53) (1.32) 40.8 42.5 (2.63) (2.96) 11.5 4.7 (0.68) (0.40) 0.9 0.3 (0.39) (0.16) 1.0 0.5 (0.34) (0.24) 2.6 0.4 (0.41) (0.16) 5.5 1.2 (0.79) (0.38) 17.6 8.7 (1.07) (0.86) 35.5 38.6 (1.96) (2.28) 9.8 4.6 (0.52) (0.31) 31.7 13.7 (2.73) (1.29) 30.1 12.5 (2.33) (1.23) 31.5 8.7 (1.79) (0.89) 35.9 8.4 (2.33) (1.24) 37.3 12.7 (2.36) (1.60) 27.4 18.9 (2.73) (2.94) 32.5 11.5 (1.38) (0.70) 33.0 15.7 (2.64) (1.32) 34.4 14.7 (2.24) (1.40) 37.7 12.1 (1.62) (0.97) 41.1 11.4 (2.04) (1 .27) 42.0 19.7 (1.91) (1.49) 31.1 27.1 (2.48) (2.62) 37.4 15.1 (1.18) (0.74) 31.4 18.8 (2.75) (1.63) 35.4 16.8 (2.18) (1.38) 37.8 16.9 (1.55) (1.11) 43.2 12.2 (1.76) (1.19) 45.0 19.4 (1.50) (1.14) 33.8 28.4 (1.92) (2.05) 39.2 17.8 (1.09) (0.75) 1.2 19.1 (0.51) (2.02) 1.3 20.3 (0.38) (2.11) 0.7 14.3 (0.25) (1.47) 0.9 11.7 (0.38) (2.04) 0.6 3.5 (0.28) (1.07) 1.1 2.1 (0.64) (1.19) 0.9 15.2 (0.15) (1.29) 3.9 14.1 (0.89) (1.61) 2.2 13.7 (0.53) (1.56) 3.0 11.5 (0.44) (1.17) 2.4 8.4 (0.63) (1.45) 2.2 4.4 (0.54) (0.86) 1.5 1.0 (0.56) (0.57) 2.6 10.7 (0.31) (0.90) 3.9 22.2 (0.90) (1.92) 2.5 21.7 (0.56) (1.82) 3.3 17.2 (0.46) (1.28) 3.6 11.5 (0.63) (1.30) 3.4 7.8 (0.47) (0.90) 1.5 2.1 (0.44) (0.61) 3.2 15.3 (0.26) (0.91) 568 1.493 788 1,089 1,376 1,573 576 514 697 543 270 143 4,275 5,355 698 1,626 777 1,079 1,747 1,974 752 695 1,170 910 463 299 5,607 6.583 570 1,271 865 1,156 2,099 2,439 1.101 983 1,774 1,339 736 528 7,145 7,716 Source: lFLSl, IFLSZ and IFLS3. Estimates are in percentage. Standard errors (in parentheses) are robust to clustering at the community level. 119 ._o>o_ bEsEEOQ 05 an war—83.0 9 5.58 0.5 $805.85: :5 Echo Emu—Em .owficoobq 5 Ba moans—sum Ami—n: :5 NWT: .59.: U3.50m an: an: 35.: 8...: :3: :5: Gt: Gm: 5.: 32: Sn. :3 a: 3 m: «.8 Z 3. 3m 2m QR ed 88:98 Ga: 808 Go: 5.: :98 86.: am: so: an: and: 23 83 6.2 3 «.2 3m 3 «.3 3H 6.3 QR 2 as??? so: and: so: at: 82: 83: 5.: an: 32.: :2: 36:6. $3 3; on no. ”.3 3 Na an 2:. 3m 34 as» 3.8 5.: 3.: ANN: so: 83: $3: §.: 5.: 5.: 5.8 83 23 we 3 6.8 cam E on w: Sm Ev E 8&32 «3.: 6N: and: $2: 9%.: 34.8 §.: 30: A8: 3w: E: :3 83 n: 3 ma 3” Z n: 6.2 0% ma. n2 as; 3-8 3.: the Go: 9.0: 96.8 :2: an: E: 85: 5.3 ms; 82 6.2 I «.2 mom we «.2 NR we. 2:. 3 e831; so: Ewe $6.: an: an: 36.8 as: an: at: 5.8 «Nam 23 2: 2 we 2:. .3 5.: SN 3% m3 3 £832; EV: 82: 5.: 3.: $2: 32: a”: 2.6.: 5.: as: :3 ea 3 2 3m 3:. E 3. oi Sm mm 4.2 88:02 8.:— §: 3.2: Ammo: so: 53: so: 54.: Ga: Ga: 36.8 £2 we; «.2 Z 3 2m 2 02 EN can 34 3 88:98 5.: :2: 25.: Go: 5.8 5.: an: 8.: :6: 8...: 82 2.2 N: no 5.: QR 3, 5.2 08 a? v.8 ma engage an: $3: $3: an: 5.: SN: A2: A8: 30: and: $6.. 42.. ”.2 no 6.: 6.2 we 2: .2 at. 4.3. 3 88:68 9;: 2.6.8 3.: 85: $98 $1: AR: 85: am: 5.8 no 8m ”.2 3 2: $4 3“ 3 4.2 <3. 2“ mm $65-2 5...: .5535 :02 Eon—53 =02 EOE—GB =02 Hon-33 :02 EOE—o; no: Evan—:3 no: 8:33.336 .8333 3.8."...— ..38m 895.:— ..83m 33.... «amaze—aim 20m ionic—9:01.82 3:00:38: accuom 89.0 .6250 E:— ueuoom Jw< .3 vague—18m no 5:39.55 n... 933,—. 120 Table 4.4 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender Panel Respondents Non-emp. Men Women Self Emp. Men Women Public Sector Men Women Private Sector Men Women Family Worker Men Women Observations Men Women IFLS] 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals IFLSZ 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals 1 FLS3 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals 2.5 43.3 (0.85) (2.61 ) 1.9 40.3 (0.60) (2.38) 1.4 49.2 (0.38) (2.01) 1.3 53.3 (0.59) (2.83) 2.3 38.3 (0.65) (2.53) 2.5 27.1 (1.24) (4.47) 1.8 44.6 (0.24) (1.50) 4.7 41.5 (1.13) (2.51) 3.4 39.3 (0.83) (2.42) 3.0 47.3 (0.59) (2.03) 4.4 56.7 (1.22) (2.86) 3.8 41.4 (0.98) (2.71) 1.7 22.1 (0.94) (3.83) 3.5 43.8 (0.41 ) (1.48) 5.3 27.5 (1.15) (2.04) 2.8 27.0 (0.75) (1.96) 2.9 33.7 (0.54) (1.73) 4.6 46.6 (1.09) (2.77) 4.6 38.1 (0.97) (2.76) 4.9 13.8 (1 .82) (2.95) 3.8 32.1 (0.41) (1.24) 61.2 (3.56) 61.5 (2.88) 57.7 (2.23) 20.9 (1.97) 24.9 (1.73) 25.8 (1.43) 44.7 22.9 (3.11) (2.19) 21.7 14.1 (2.09) (1.69) 11.9 2.1 (2.63) (1.45) 48.2 22.3 (1.83) (0.96) 57.7 (3.34) 57.4 (2.82) 56.3 (2.11) 25.4 (2.03) 28.2 (2.18) 29.7 (1.59) 44.3 23.5 (3.25) (2.30) 26.3 13.7 (2.34) (1.93) 14.0 3.9 (2.52) (1.73) 47.3 25.2 (1.67) (1.08) 63.0 (3.25) 63.2 (2.64) 61.7 (2.19) 30.4 (2.23) 32.4 (1.79) 33.6 (1.59) 48.4 29.9 (3.10) (2.36) 30.6 24.1 (2.30) (2.35) 14.6 7.2 (2.49) (2.00) 51.6 30.2 (1.60) (1.05) 1.5 0.8 (0.69) (0.35) 1.2 1.0 (0.47) (0.56) 6.1 1.0 (0.98) (0.49) 14.6 3.1 (2.30) (0.87) 41.6 30.1 (2.68) (2.54) 56.3 51.0 (3.99) (5.24) 14.9 5.6 (1.12) (0.60) 3.1 0.3 (0.91) (0.18) 1.3 0.9 (0.60) (0.60) 5.5 0.7 (0.91) (0.45) 13.7 3.4 (2.14) (1.01) 38.7 25.5 (2.49) (2.44) 59.2 55.9 (3.69) (4.56) 14.6 5.3 (1.00) (0.55) 1.6 0.4 (0.74) (0.22) 1.0 0.7 (0.45) (0.29) 3.5 0.7 (0.65) (0.31 ) 10.4 1.5 (1.76) (0.62) 32.3 17.1 (2.27) (2.1 1) 62.0 67.8 (3.46) (4.07) 13.0 5.2 (0.85) (0.46) 33.9 15.3 (3.44) (1.66) 34.0 13.1 (2.72) (1.50) 34.0 9.2 (2.13) (1.04) 38.9 9.4 (2.84) (1.54) 34.0 13.3 (2.65) (1.89) 27.5 17.7 (3.46) (3.73) 34.3 12.1 (1.56) (0.82) 33.0 17.9 (3.19) (1.72) 36.3 17.2 (2.80) (1.86) 34.6 10.8 (1.94) (1 .07) 36.6 7.7 (2.88) (1.36) 31.1 14.0 (2.53) (2.06) 25.1 17.3 (3.43) (3.25) 33.7 14.1 (1.41) (0.89) 29.2 18.5 (3.26) (1.89) 31.1 15.9 (2.54) (1 .73) 30.1 14.6 (1.98) (1.33) 34.5 7.6 (2.97) (1.37) 31.3 13.0 (2.26) (1 .73) 18.5 11.2 (2.70) (2.46) 30.1 14.6 (1.36) (0.93) 0.9 19.7 (0.52) (2.40) 1.4 20.7 (0.50) (2.26) 0.8 14.9 (0.28) (1.53) 0.5 11.4 (0.37) (2.33) 0.4 4.2 (0.29) (1.39) 1.9 2.1 (1 .07) (1 .45) 0.9 15.4 (0.18) (1.38) 1.6 14.9 (0.70) (2.06) 1.5 14.5 (0.62) (1.86) 0.7 11.5 (0.26) (1.35) 1.1 8.7 (0.54) (1.79) 0.2 5.4 (0.21) (1.41) 0.0 0.8 - (0.78) 0.9 11.7 (0.21) (1.10) 1.0 23.2 (0.53) (2.09) 1.8 24.1 (0.65) (2.06) 1.8 17.4 (0.43) (1.68) 2.1 14.4 (0.73) (2.10) 1.3 7.8 (0.51) (1.64) 0.0 0.0 1.5 18.0 (0.23) (1.19) 325 852 517 794 929 1,190 378 385 488 405 160 96 2,797 3,722 385 973 465 699 926 1,172 366 379 476 372 179 127 2,797 3,722 305 799 495 748 938 1,242 374 395 480 386 205 152 2,797 3,722 Source: IFLSI, IFLSZ and IFLS3. 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E 0&< 050.55.... $5.505 mats: $50.83. waste? .0: 0....3 >033 2.050 0... a. 9.83 .0: 000... 8.53 050.0: .. $0.. 000.... .20.. .00. o. 00 63.83.00 0. 33.0.3.0... c< 0:80.. 5.. :8. 000. 30.5.0.5 ..o 0:... 0... .0 :..—00:00 088 :. .093.an was: 35.0.2.0... 0... 550...? 00.5.0008 .. $0.55 .0 0:... 0... .0 3.0.0 .2295 :0 .0000: m. 0.53 :. 5.5.0.5.... 0.5.8.8 0. ...wt 0... :o €2.52? .0 .8000 0.30. 0. 0.0.0. ...0. 0.... co 30> A0 48...... .05 mmqm. .54.... N00.2% :.m :.:. :3 Wm... :.N ...: ... ma: fin m.~. Q3 :.:: .08... ..:. :.. «SN :.3 N: :.: :.: w.:.. m: v... . ...w. :.mm 0.00.. Nm-:m cs «..:. m.mN v.:v Om in w: mé: ad 0... . w.~. :.:: 0.00.. :73 w... 5w. :2 n. .m .... 5.. m: ..:: Nd v... wd. ...:N. 0.00.. :m-:m ...: :.mm 5.5 Q? :N ..N :.: ~.m: :.: Nd. :.: .1: 0.00.. :~-mN a 88 E; 32 :.m. v.3 Non w. .v :.m m. m: «6: ..: :.: m... ...3. .08... ..w. N6. ER :.wm ..:. :.. :.. ..:: :.3 ...: :.:. :.wm 0.00.. Nw-:m ..m. n... :...N :.3 Wm m. ...: m.n: ..: ...: ..m. ..:: 0.00.. 91:: m... :.3 m.:~ v.3 :.m :.: m: :.:: v... w: :.:. :.:: 0.80.. :m-:m :.m. w.:. ...:m wdm md :N m: «6: ...: v... :.3 :.mm 0.00.. :~-nm .0 82 2: 82 .00.. .30... .30.. 0.30.. ...2. 0.30.. ...2. 0.00.. ...2. ...... 08.. ...... .00 ..0....0 ... ..c.. 08.. ...... .00 50....0 :. ...... 000.. ...... .00 00....0 ... ...—9: 07. ... ...—03 ...—0.3 oz 5 ...—03 ...—9: 02 ... ...—03 5:33 :02 0.2—0.2.0... ..< 3:030:03. .05... 00.500 ...—0 0w< .3 ...—03 a. 5.5.3.... h... 03:... 124 Appendix Table 4.1 Distribution of Employment by Schooling Attainment, Sector and Gender SUSENAS Non-emp. Self Emp. Public Sector Private Sector Family Worker Observations Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Susenas 1993 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All individuals Susenas 1997 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals Susenas 2000 a) 0 year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-9 years 10-12 years 13+ years All Individuals 4.7 38.3 73.0 25.5 0.4 0.2 18.0 11.8 3.9 24.2 12,624 30,127 (0.19) (0.28) (0.40) (0.25) (0.06) (0.02) (0.34) (0.19) (0.17) (0.25) 2.4 38.9 71.2 25.5 0.8 0.2 22.3 10.5 3.3 24.9 20,912 26,628 (0.11) (0.30) (0.31) (0.27) (0.06) (0.03) (0.29) (0.19) (0.12) (0.26) 2.5 45.7 65.2 23.2 3.2 0.3 24.9 8.2 4.3 22.7 44,071 42,541 (0.07) (0.24) (0.23) (0.20) (0.08) (0.03) (0.21) (0.13) (0.10) (0.20) 4.6 57.5 50.5 21.1 10.5 1.8 30.3 6.2 4.1 13.5 15,057 11,735 (0.17) (0.46) (0.41) (0.38) (0.25) (0.12) (0.37) (0.22) (0.16) (0.31) 6.1 45.9 27.5 11.0 32.6 25.4 30.4 11.4 3.5 6.4 20,369 13,036 (0.17) (0.44) (0.31) (0.27) (0.33) (0.38) (0.32) (0.28) (0.13) (0.21) 14.1 33.8 11.3 5.4 45.6 37.6 26.7 20.5 2.3 2.7 6,388 3,346 (0.44) (0.82) (0.40) (0.39) (0.62) (0.84) (0.55) (0.70) (0.19) (0.28) 4.2 43.3 55.9 22.3 10.7 39 25.4 10.0 3.8 20.5 119,421 127,413 (0.06) (0.14) (0.14) (0.12) (0.09) (0.05) (0.13) (0.08) (0.06) (0.11) 6.3 42.9 70.7 23.3 0.7 0.2 18.4 10.6 4.0 23.0 9,280 22,510 (0.25) (0.33) (0.47) (0.28) (0.09) (0.03) (0.40) (0.21) (0.20) (0.28) 3.2 42.9 71.0 23.5 0.9 0.3 22.0 10.3 3.0 22.9 16,370 22,283 (0.14) (0.33) (0.35) (0.28) (0.07) (0.04) (0.32) (0.20) (0.13) (0.28) 3.1 49.6 64.0 21.3 2.8 0.4 26.3 8.4 3.9 20.3 45,566 47,341 (0.08) (0.23) (0.22) (0.19) (0.08) (0.03) (0.21) (0.13) (0.09) (O.l8) 5.3 61.1 51.3 18.5 8.4 1.1 31.0 6.6 4.0 12.8 18,106 14,841 (0.17) (0.40) (0.37) (0.32) (0.21) (0.08) (0.34) (0.20) (0.15) (0.27) 6.7 51.5 30.3 11.1 26.6 18.6 32.9 11.8 3.5 7.0 26,034 18,199 (0.16) (0.37) (0.28) (0.23) (0.27) (0.29) (0.29) (0.24) (0.11) (0.19) 12.1 32.7 12.4 4.9 46.0 39.3 27.8 20.5 1.7 2.6 8,095 5,048 (0.36) (0.66) (0.37) (0.30) (0.55) (0.69) (0.50) (0.57) (0.14) (0.22) 5.0 48.2 53.1 19.7 11.0 4.5 27.3 9.9 3.6 17.8 123,451 130,222 (0.06) (0.14) (0.14) (0.11) (0.09) (0.06) (0.13) (0.08) (0.05) (0.11) 7.3 41.4 70.0 23.3 19.3 12.2 3.4 23.2 8,455 18,771 (0.28) (0.36) (0.50) (0.31) (0.43) (0.24) (0.20) (0.31) 4.1 41.9 69.8 23.9 23.4 11.3 2.7 22.9 14,308 19,901 (0.17) (0.35) (0.38) (0.30) (0.35) (0.22) (0.14) (0.30) 3.9 48.4 64.0 21.3 28.1 9.7 4.0 20.6 43,812 47,289 (0.09) (0.23) (0.23) (0.19) (0.21) (0.14) (0.09) (0.19) 6.4 58.4 52.7 18.9 36.7 9.2 4.1 13.6 19,351 16,578 (0.18) (0.38) (0.36) (0.30) (0.35) (0.22) (0.14) (0.27) 9.0 53.2 34.9 12.7 52.6 26.4 3.4 7.6 28,439 20,650 (0.17) (0.35) (0.28) (0.23) (0.30) (0.31) (0.11) (0.18) 12.5 32.6 17.7 6.2 67.4 58.0 2.4 3.2 9,023 6,180 (0.35) (0.60) (0.40) (0.31) (0.49) (0.63) (0.16) (0.22) 6.3 47.7 53.2 19.6 36.8 15.2 3.6 17.5 123,388 129,369 (0.07) (0.14) (0.14) (0.11) (0.14) (0.10) (0.05) (0.11) Source: Susenas 1993, 1997, and 2000. a) Public and Private sector workers are merged into one category. Estimates are in percentage. 125 Table 5.1 Hausman-McFadden Tests for Independence of Irrelevant Alternative Property of Multinomial Sector Choice Model Specification that controls for Non-linear Own and Non-linear Own Non-linear Own , Schooling, Parental Omitted Category Schooling Parental Schooling Schooling and (base) Residency (full) X2 p -value 12 p -value X2 p -value IFLSl Men Self Employment -15.74 - -15.63 - -287.15 - Public Sector -2.4O - 65.94 0.093 -1.46 - Private Sector 51.10 0.076 -8.92 - -7.32 - Women Self Employment 19.58 1.000 3.34 1.000 1.52 1.000 Public Sector 1.16 1.000 0.31 1.000 3.70 1.000 Private Sector 4.14 1.000 -10.94 - 22.32 1.000 Family Worker -6.47 - -1.51 - 1.13 1.000 IFLSZ Men Self Employment 1.50 1.000 12.84 1.000 278.58 0.000 Public Sector 0.23 1.000 1.90 1.000 2.98 1.000 Private Sector 4.71 1.000 -2.63 ~ -56.11 - Women Self Employment -3.99 - 10.79 1.000 -0.42 - Public Sector 0.01 1.000 0.79 1.000 0.17 1.000 Private Sector -6.54 - -0.68 - 3.15 1.000 Family Worker 6.03 1.000 86.61 0.169 0.80 1.000 IFLS3 Men Self Employment -16.92 - -54.00 - 7.13 1.000 Public Sector 3.57 1.000 -20.72 - -12.77 - Private Sector 7.49 1.000 -29.33 - -27.45 - Women Self Employment 1.75 1.000 -17.91 - -0.26 - Public Sector 0.05 1.000 0.60 1.000 -0.26 - Private Sector 4.28 1.000 -O.40 - -20.44 - Family Worker 136.23 0.000 -0.51 - 4.31 1.000 Source: IFLSl, IFLSZ and IFLS3. A negative value of x2 statistics indicates that Independence of Irrelevant Alternative property holds (see text for details). Table 5.2 Wald Tests for Combining Dependent Categories of Multinomial Sector Choice Model Specification that controls for Non-linear Own and Non-linear Own Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Omitted C3198”? Schooling Parental Schooling Schooling and (base) Residency (full) 12 p -value X: p -value 12 p -value IFLS] Men Self-Public 530.34 0.000 545.83 0.000 666.35 0.000 Self-Private 181.03 0.000 206.80 0.000 455.28 0.000 Self-Non-emp/Family Worker 161.01 0.000 179.04 0.000 274.97 0.000 Public-Private 276.05 0.000 286.21 0.000 409.01 0.000 Public-Non-empJFamily Worker 224.80 0.000 239.60 0.000 348.56 0. 000 Private-Non-empJFamily Worker 176.46 0.000 191.30 0.000 285.38 0. 000 Women Self-Public 375.46 0.000 428.29 0.000 590.19 0.000 Self-Private 88.26 0.000 103.23 0.000 178.62 0.000 Self-Family Worker 136.10 0.000 163.99 0.000 334. 48 0.000 Self-Non-emp. 149.71 0.000 164.62 0.000 400 94 0.000 Public-Private 169.15 0.000 226.28 0.000 393.50 0.000 Public-Family Worker 306.01 0.000 401.76 0.000 466.56 0.000 Public-Non-emp. 378.36 0.000 454.33 0.000 664.12 0.000 Private-Family Worker 117. 37 0.000 141 9.4 0.000 333.56 0.000 Private-Non-emp. 88. 76 0.000 100. 70 0.000 225.16 0.000 Family Worker-Non-cmp. 140 85 0.000 170. 05 0.000 393.21 0.000 IFLSZ Men Self-Public 588.39 0.000 639.95 0.000 841.89 0.000 Self-Private 291.07 0.000 343.17 0.000 616.29 0.000 Self-Non-empJFamily Worker 410.65 0.000 452.38 0.000 557.32 0.000 Public-Private 497.93 0.000 522.67 0.000 680.12 0.000 Public-NonoempJFamily Worker 519.03 0. 000 545.18 0.000 633. 73 0.000 Private-Non-en'pJFamily Worker 366.06 0. 000 440. 27 0.000 579. 55 0.000 Women Self-Public 290.53 0.000 358 33 0.000 505.92 0.000 Self-Private 252. 76 0.000 268.08 0.000 389.13 0.000 Self-Family Worker 82 92 0.000 104 42 0.000 284.64 0.000 Self-Non-emp. 207.38 0.000 224.73 0.000 442.44 0.000 Public-Private 267.61 0.000 312.98 0.000 474.76 0.000 Public-Family Worker 277.73 0.000 332.22 0.000 632.85 0.000 Public-Non-emp. 388.57 0.000 434. 42 0.000 629.02 0.000 Private-Family Worker 150. 05 0.000 179. 00 0.000 372.32 0.000 Private-Non-emp. 138.74 0. 000 146. 83 0.000 334.39 0.000 Family Worker-Non-emp. 152.53 0 000 164.54 0.000 568. 95 0.000 IFLS3 Men Self-Public 602.17 0.000 61 1.74 0.000 765.46 0.000 Self-Private 347.1 1 0.000 385.20 0.000 560.70 0.000 Self-Non-empJFamiiy Worker 458.49 0.000 494.19 0.000 617.90 0.000 Public-Private 506.61 0.000 542.41 0.000 718. 22 0.000 Public-Non-empJFamily Worker 512.41 0.000 536. 69 0. 000 654. 42 0.000 Private-Non-emp/Famiiy Worker 299.24 0.000 302.19 0 000 382. 61 0.000 Women Self-Public 303 61 0.000 308. 53 0.000 502.61 0.000 Self-Private 250. 57 0.000 287. 76 0.000 423.90 0.000 Self-Family Worker 133.51 0.000 161.52 0.000 343.42 0.000 Self-Non-emp. 266.52 0.000 276.52 0.000 437.77 0.000 Public-Private 316.42 0.000 353.36 0.000 479.08 0.000 Public-Family Worker 415.70 0.000 433.30 0.000 540.10 0.000 Public-Non-emp. 381.44 0.000 394.23 0.000 588. 59 0.000 Private-Family Worker 183.28 0.000 215.12 0.000 455. 84 0.000 Private-Non-emp. 143.49 0.000 164.75 0.000 353.64 0.000 Family Worker-Non-ernp. 213.65 0.000 239.30 0.000 555.97 0.000 Source: IFLS], lFLSZ and IFLS3. 127 Table 5.3A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) iFLSl Men Women Sci? Public Private Sefi Public Private Family Emp. Sector Sector Emp. Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.109 -0.249 -0.059 0.355 ”‘ 0.419 -0.054 0.167 (0.40) (0.51) (0.20) (2.94) (i. 13) (0.37) (1.33) 4-6 years 0.021 0.964 ” -0.008 0.101 -0.011 -0.673 ”‘ -0.339 " (0.08) (2.25) (0.03) (0.84) (0.03) (4.45) (2.07) 7-9 years -0.593 ‘ 1.347 ”‘ -0.254 -0.049 1.106 ’ -0.784 “‘ -0.501 ” (1.93) (2.91) (0.81) (0.29) (1.83) (3.72) (2.14) 10-12 years -i.043 '" 2.801 ”‘ -0.024 —0.163 3.917 “" 0.023 -1.340 ”‘ (3.14) (6.00) (0.07) (0.89) (6.38) (0.11) (3.62) 13+ years -1.843 ‘” 2.846 “‘ -0.488 (4.42) (5.36) (1.27) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.0001 -0.273 -0. 144 0.118 0.459 -0.237 0.042 (0.00) (0.96) (0.53) (1.00) (1.47) (1.40) (0.29) Completed Elementary 0312 -0.304 -0.357 0.224 ‘ 0.387 0.329 ‘ —0.113 (1.13) (1.03) (1.26) (1.74) (1.13) (1.79) (0.69) Secondary/'i‘ertiary -0.256 -0.466 -0.364 -0.111 -0.002 -0.034 -0.639 “ (0.73) (1.25) (1.02) (0.52) (0.01) (0.16) (2.08) Missing ~0.476 ' -0.933 “' -0.284 -0002 0.042 0.225 -0.293 ‘ (1.81) (2.91) (1.10) (0.02) (0.13) (1.34) (1.74) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.284 0.860 ‘" 0.627 ” -0.137 0.021 0.422 " 0.014 (0.94) (2.65) (2.02) (1.07) (0.08) (2.38) (0.09) Completed Elementary/ 0127 0.191 0.312 -0.231 0.273 0.109 -0.374 ‘ Secondary/Tertiary (0.39) (0.57) (0.97) (1.60) (1.14) (0.60) (1.86) Missing -0.213 0.093 -0. 130 -0.112 0.147 -0.014 0.254 (0.81) (0.31) (0.50) (0.85) (0.60) (0.07) (1.64) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.094 0.240 " 0.134 0.063 0.451 “‘ 0.019 0.018 (0.85) (1.76) (1.18) (1.26) (3.96) (0.34) (0.33) 30-39 years 0.091 ” 0.141 ‘“ 0.062 0.072 ‘" 0.041 0.028 0.004 (2.29) (3.34) (1.53) (4.55) (1.52) (1.42) (0.20) 40-49 years -0.068 ‘ -0.039 -0.102 ”‘ 0.004 -0.039 -0.005 0.019 (1.78) (0.93) (2.62) (0.22) (1.18) (0.21) (1.01) 50-59 years -0.144 ‘” -0.204 “" -0.193 "‘ -0.052 ” -0.154 " -0.108 "‘ -0.097 ”‘ (3.79) (4.04) (4.60) (2.43) (2.27) (3. 15) (3.54) H“ Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 20-49 -0.476 ”‘ -0.276 “ -0.381 ’” -0.353 ”‘ -0.331 “‘ -0.365 ”‘ -0.063 (4.17) (2.07) (3.17) (5.30) (2.97) (3.98) (1.01) 8 women. aged 20-49 0.073 0.279 0.1 11 -0.030 -0. 147 0.036 -0.454 ”‘ (0.46) (1.53) (0.67) (0.43) (1 . 10) (0.40) (4.56) ii men. aged 50+ 0597 “ .0448 0338 -0.532 “‘ -0.301 -0.513 “‘ 0.363 ‘°‘ (2.22) (1.37) (1.22) (4.86) (1.32) (3.69) (3.80) if women. aged 50+ -0.204 -0.123 .0135 0.220 “ 0.606 ‘“ 0.221 -0.406 '“ (1.30) (0.63) (0.82) (2.07) (2.82) (1.50) (2.75) Business Assets(million) 0.512 ”‘ 0.213 -0.957 ” 0.057 ‘ 0.071 " -0.523 0.096 ” (2.79) (1.04) (1.96) (1.69) (1.68) (1.48) (2.53) Constant 0.660 -8.089 “ -1.010 -2.710 " -17.495 “‘ -1.312 -0.946 (0.22) (2.12) (0.33) (1 .86) (5.48) (0.83) (0.59) Wald test Own Schooling 433.34 235.40 (0.000) (0.000) Fathefs Schooling 19.50 28.33 (0.077) (0.029) Mother‘s Schooling 22.34 24.73 (0.008) (0.016) Parental Schooling 44.13 51.10 (0.002) (0.005) Age 115.74 110.57 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 33.33 117.54 (0.001) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 41.97 124.65 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo 8’ 0.168 0.099 Observations 4.275 5,355 Source: 1FLSi. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(""). 5°/o(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 128 Table 5.33 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) li-‘LSZ Men _ _ Women SeiF Public Private Self Public IrFP vate Family Emp. Sector Sector Emp. Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.305 ‘ -0.549 0.237 0.311 ” 0.241 -0.127 0.067 ( 1.67) (1.24) (1.16) (2.59) (0.46) (0.95) (0.42) 4-6 years 0.353 ” 0.686 ” 0.374 ‘ 0.222 ‘ 0.074 -0.567 ”‘ -0.136 (2.02) (2.21) (1.90) (1.89) (0.17) (4.36) (0.92) 7-9 years 0.078 1.484 ”’ 0.315 -0.155 1.559 ‘” -0.869 ”’ -0.468 " (0.37) (4.32) (1.37) (0.98) (2.85) (5.17) (2.23) 10-12 years 0.143 3.103 “‘ 0.710 “‘ -0.056 4.348 “‘ —0.031 -O.670 ‘“ (0.73) (10.02) (3.25) (0.34) (7.54) (0.20) (2.65) 13+ years 0654 " 3.198 “‘ 0.080 (2.35) (9.44) (0.29) F ather's Schooling Some Elementary -0285 -0.158 -0.087 0.193 ‘ 0.451 0.130 -0.025 (1.59) (0.61) (0.50) (1.74) (1.49) (1.03) (0.17) Completed Elementary -0231 0.054 -0.056 0.256 “ 0.364 0.162 -0.226 (1.16) (0.22) (0.27) (2.12) (1.23) (1.14) (1.18) Secondary/Tertiary .0740 "” -0.519 ‘ -0.517 “ 0.211 0.166 0.338 “ -0.787 “‘ (3.14) (1.85) (2.20) (1.25) (0.53) (1.98) (3.09) Missing -O.475 ‘ -0.536 -0.077 0.108 -0.400 0.116 -O.316 (1.93) (1.63) (0.33) (0.78) (1.03) (0.68) (1.44) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary -0.042 0.238 -0029 0252 " -0.023 -0.084 0.068 (0.25) (1 . 10) (0.18) (2.23) (0.09) (0.62) (0.43) Completed Elementary/ 0.092 0.438 ’ 0.467 ” -0.36i ‘” 0.387 ‘ 0.075 -0.219 Secondary/Tertiary (0.44) (1.69) (2.27) (3.03) (1.81) (0.52) (1 .24) Missing 0.136 0.240 0.445 ‘ ~0.359 “ 0.265 0.038 0.160 (0.52) (0.71) (1.81) (2.53) (0.67) (0.22) (0.70) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.336 ”‘ 0.518 ‘” 0.262 "‘ 0.068 0.225 ” -0.051 -0.066 (5.89) (4.96) (5.03) (1.38) (2.09) (1.22) (1.00) 30-39 years 0.089 ”‘ 0.216 "‘ 0.055 " 0.093 ‘” 0.225 ”‘ 0.010 0.075 “‘ (3.54) (7.43) (2.19) (6.52) (8.71) (0.66) (3.69) 40-49 years 0.020 0.023 -0.026 .0004 -0.124 “‘ -0.032 ‘ -0.040 “ (0.75) (0.74) (1.00) (0.27) (3.60) (1.88) (2.23) 50-59 years -0.140 ‘” ~0.226 “‘ -0.177 ‘” -0.042 " 0.008 -0.114 “‘ -0.065 “ (4.88) (5.97) (6.21) (2.21) (0.15) (4.05) (2.38) Hi! Composition and Business Assets # men. aged 20-49 -0.313 "” -0.292 ‘" -0.228 ”‘ -0.228 "‘ -0.344 "‘ -0.176 ‘" -0.192 "" (5.22) (3.67) (3.89) (4.85) (4.23) (3.41) (3.52) it women. aged 20-49 -0.055 0.004 -0.019 «0.069 -0.144 0.079 ‘ -0.l8i ““ (0.81) (0.05) (0.28) (1.40) (1.52) (1.68) (2.69) it men, aged 50+ 40.718 ‘” -0.655 “‘ .0601 ”‘ -0.301 "‘ -0.184 -0.104 0.379 ”" (5.67) (3.83) (4.99) (3.83) (1.10) (1.13) (3.94) # women. aged 50+ -0.464 “‘ -0.408 ”‘ -0.231 ” 0.124 0.277 ' 0.305 “‘ 0.046 (4.35) (3.34) (2.31) (1.52) (1.83) (3.59) (0.37) Business Assets (million) 0.015 -0.022 -0.111 0.025 ‘ -0.015 -0.028 0.031 ‘ (1.02) (0.63) (1 .44) (1.70) (0.68) (0.82) (1.92) Constant -7.419 ”" ~16.949 ”‘ -5.S77 ‘" -3036 " -12.479 ‘” 0.493 0.544 (4.67) (5.68) (3.88) (2.15) (4.08) (0.42) (0.30) Wald test Own Schooling 441.35 208.70 (0.000) (0.000) Father’s Schooling 22.96 35.83 (0.028) (0.003) Mother's Schooling 23.19 30.64 (0.006) (0.002) Parental Schooling 88.75 75.59 (0.000) (0.000) Age 413.17 309.71 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 136.37 1 10.43 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 139.64 117.45 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.146 0.091 Observations 5,607 6,583 Source: lFLSZ. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘“), 5%(“) and 10°/o(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 129 Table 5.3C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) il-‘LSJ _ _Men _ _ Women_ Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Emp. Sector Sector Emp. Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.596 ” 0.772 0.644 “ 0.196 ‘ 0.494 -0.174 0.012 (3.00) (1.28) (3.03) (1.70) (0.88) (1.37) (0.08) 4-6 years 0.532 ” 1.793 ‘” 0.606 " -0.008 0.072 -0.437 ‘” .0362 ” (3.16) (3.62) (3.00) (0.07) (0.11) (3.53) (2.69) 7-9 years 0.244 2.579 ‘” 0.506 “ -0.220 1.178 ” -1.083 ‘” -0.908 ‘" (1.30) (5.14) (2.46) (1.61) (2.18) (7.03) (4.88) 10-12 years 0.069 3.954 ‘" 0.487 " .0330 4.376 ”‘ -0.345 ” -1.047 ”" (0.36) (7.94) (2.32) (1.60) (8.17) (2.40) (5.04) 13+ years 0178 4.797 ”‘ 0.302 (0.74) (9.28) (1.22) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.175 0.178 0.100 0.157 0.286 0.168 0.138 (1.02) (0.77) (0.58) (1.47) (1.08) (1.28) (1.16) Completed Elementary 0.041 0.1 13 0.074 0.074 0.240 0143 0286 " (0.26) (0.56) (0.48) (0.78) (i .14) (1.26) (2.49) Secondary/Tertiary -0.377 “ -0.205 -0.150 -0.115 0.008 0.081 -0.518 “ (1.99) (0.89) (0.82) (0.92) (0.03) (0.58) (2.69) Missing -0.203 -0.599 ” -0.138 0.121 -0.477 0.139 -0.032 (1.07) (2.24) (0.69) (1.14) (1.48) (1.02) (0.21) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary -0.494 " -0.426 " -0.361 ” 0.049 0.024 0.003 .0001 (3.26) (2. 15) (2.43) (0.45) (0.12) (0.03) (0.00) Completed Elementary/ -0.263 ‘ -0.151 0.121 -0.147 0.027 0.179 0264 " Secondary/Tertiary (1.75) (0.82) (0.82) (1.53) (0.15) (1.61) (2.00) Missing -0.119 -O.295 0.109 -0.428 ”‘ -0.578 -0.177 -0.379 ” (0.56) (1.01) (0.51) (3.69) (1.64) (1.23) (2.28) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.221 ‘” 0.354 ‘” 0.141 ” 0.156 ”‘ 0.106 -0.011 0.088 ‘ (4.70) (3.97) (3.16) (3.67) (1.10) (0.31) (1.91) 30-39 years 0.039 ‘ 0.161 "‘ 0.010 0.067 ‘” 0.271 ”‘ 0.034 “ 0.015 (1.85) (6.25) (0.50) (5.12) (10.24) (2.34) (0.89) 40-49 years 0.040 ‘ 0.097 ”' 0.004 0.036 " -0.067 ” -0.040 " 0.001 ( 1.76) (3.67) (0.17) (2.68) (2.23) (2.28) (0.05) 50-59 years -0.101 ”‘ -0.224 “‘ -0.174 ”‘ -0.075 ‘“ -0.050 .0099 ‘” «0.069 ” (3.64) (5.55) (5.64) (4.04) (1.05) (4.09) (3.14) HB Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 20-49 .0273 ‘" -0.334 ”' -0.172 ’” -0.187 ‘” -0.264 ”" -0.152 "‘ -0.104 " (6.01) (5.16) (3.66) (5.21) (3.52) (3.94) (2.55) # women. aged 2049 -0.057 -0.051 -0.017 0.003 0.017 0.083 “ -0.156 “ (1.08) (0.79) (0.33) (0.09) (0.25) (2.16) (3.33) ii men, aged 50+ 0692 “‘ -0.682 ‘” -0.491 “‘ -0.234 ” -0.107 -0.016 0.351 ”' (5.98) (4.72) (4.48) (3.21) (0.66) (0.20) (4.60) # women, aged 50+ -0.422 ‘” -0.399 ” -0.325 " 0.051 -0.030 0.217 ” -0.067 (4.70) (3.40) (3.46) (0.75) (0.22) (2.98) (0.79) Business Assets(million) 0.024 -0.0001 -0.095 ‘ 0.010 ’ 0.016 -0.017 0.015 “‘ (1.52) (0.01) (1.71) (1.84) (1.48) (1.02) (2.48) Wald test Own Schooling 502.89 316.13 (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 18.21 42.95 (0.109) (0.000) Mother’s Schooling 32.60 30.86 (0.000) (0.002) Parental Schooling 72.49 92.83 (0.000) (0.000) Age 403.05 370.83 (0.000) (0.000) Hl-l Composition 210.80 110.60 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 215.52 115.53 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.138 0.084 Observations 7,145 7,716 Source: iFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling. Adj ustrnents are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘”), 5°/o(”) and 10°/o(‘) indicated. p- values for Wald test are in parentheses. 130 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling Table 5.4 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker A. Cross Section Sample Linear Own Schooling IFLSl ~0.114 "" 0.265 "‘ -0.015 -0.027 " 0.411 "'" -0.024 -0.109 ‘" iFLSZ -0.042 “‘ 0.297 "‘ 0.022 -0.017 0.469 “‘ 0.009 0074 ‘" lFLS3 -0.062 ”" 0.306 ”‘ 0.000 0.032 ‘" 0.467 "'" -0.008 -0.113 “‘ Non-linear Own Schooling IFLS] 1-3 years 0.061 -0.302 -0.088 0.363 ‘” 0.498 -0.060 0.165 4-6 years 0019 0.968 " -0.015 0.111 0.156 -0.686 ”" -0.391 ” 7-9 years -0.657 “' 1.351 '“” -0.250 -0.064 1.319 ” -0.788 “" -0.656 ‘” 10-12 years a) —1.135 "‘ 2.805 "“ -0.027 -0.250 4.117 ”‘ 0.059 -1.681 *" 13+ years -1.965 ”' 2.831 ‘" -0.472 [FLSZ 1-3 years 0.253 0.548 0.230 0.303 "" 0.319 -0.102 0.029 4-6 years 0.288 " 0.748 "" 0.389 "‘ 0.216 “ 0.246 -0.509 ”‘ -0.234 7-9 years -0.036 1.564 “" 0.317 -0.177 1.826 ”" -0.758 '” -0.665 ”" 10-12 years a) -0.021 3.174 ”" 0.705 "" -0.102 4.678 ”" 0.160 -l.052 ‘“ 13+ years 0896 ”‘ 3.240 "" 0.062 lFLS3 1-3 years 0.566 ” 0.735 0.633 ” 0.189 0.498 -0.167 -0.024 4-6 years 0.499 ” 1.793 “" 0.617 " 0.001 0.163 0420 ” -0.443 ” 7-9 years 0.155 2.547 '” 0.515 " -0.246 "' 1.276 “‘ -1.041 ‘" -1.090 "" 10-12 years a) -0.246 3.883 “" 0.501 ” -0.328 ” 4.498 ““ -0.240 " -1.429 ”" 13+ years 0474 ” 4.688 ‘“ 0.325 B. Panel Sample Linear Own Schooling IFLS] -0.079 ” 0.341 "‘ 0.020 -0.027 " 0.435 *“ -0.018 -0.104 ‘" lFL82 -0.023 0.351 ”‘" 0.045 -0.046 "‘" 0.470 ”‘ -0.048 ”" -0.082 ”“ lFLS3 -0.095 “" 0.327 "* -0.024 —0.055 "‘ 0.483 "" -0.073 "" -0.126 "'" Non-linear Own Schooling iFLSi 1-3 years 0.024 -0.210 0.050 0.335 ” 0.263 -0.104 0.146 4-6 years 0.367 1.843 ""' 0.471 0.191 0.084 -0.655 ‘" -0.339 ‘ 7-9 years 0.244 2.831 "“ 0.806 0.016 1.201 ” -0.660 "" -0.704 ‘" 10-12 years a) —0.679 3.957 "" 0.451 -0.271 4.072 ‘” 0.170 -1.456 ‘” 13+ years -2.027 ”“ 3.569 “”" -0.297 IFLSZ 1-3 years 0.252 -0.667 0.358 0.229 1.044 ‘ 0.011 0.053 4-6years 0.499 " 1.058 “ 0.603 "" 0.089 0.655 -0.669 ”‘ -0.345 " 7-9 years -0.206 1.523 ”" 0.242 -0.310 ‘ 2.172 ”" -1.199 ‘” -0.786 “" 10-12 years a) -0.263 3.188 '" 0.515 -0.604 ‘” 4.981 "" -0.059 -0.996 ”‘ 13+ years 0.028 4.505 ”" 1.378 " IFLS3 1-3 years 0.243 -0.254 0.317 0.073 0.593 -0.256 -0.029 4-6 years 0.163 0.927 ‘ 0.314 -0.106 0.479 -0.559 " -0.564 "" 7-9 years 0361 1.789 " 0.162 -0.555 “ 0.930 -1.527 "" -1.087 ‘" 10-12 years a) -0.861 ” 2.957 "" -0.011 -0.608 " 4.428 ”‘ -0.570 “ -1.589 ‘" 13+ years -1.334 " 3.992 "“ -0.138 Source: Based on estimates of Appendix 5.1A, 5.lB, 5.1C, Appendix Table 5.2A, 5.28, 5.2C, Appendix Table 5.4A, 5.4B, 5.4C, and Appendix Table 5.5A, 5.58, 5.5C. a) 10+ years for women. 131 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Table 5.5 Summary of the Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker A. Cross Section Sample iFLSl 1-3 years 0.109 -0.249 -0.059 0.355 "" 0.419 -0.054 0.167 4-6 years 0.021 0.964 " -0.008 0.101 0.011 .0673 ”' -0.339 ” 7-9 years -0.593 ‘ 1.347 ‘" -0.254 -0.049 1.106 " -0.784 ”" -0.501 ” 10-12 years a) -1.043 "" 2.801 ‘” -0.024 -0.163 3.917 '"" 0.023 -l.340 "" 13+ years -1.843 ”’ 2.846 ”" -0.488 IFLSZ 1-3 years 0.305 ’ -0.549 0.237 0.311 “‘ 0.241 -0.127 0.067 4-6 years 0.353 " 0.686 ” 0.374 ' 0.222 ‘ 0.074 -O.567 "‘ -0.136 7-9 years 0.078 1.484 “" 0.315 -0.155 1.559 ”" -0.869 ‘" 0468 " 10-12 years a) 0.143 3.103 ‘" 0.710 “" -0.056 4.348 ”" -0.031 -0.670 ‘" 13+ years -0.654 " 3.198 ‘“ 0.080 lFLS3 1-3 years 0.596 ” 0.772 0.644 ” 0.196 ‘ 0.494 -0.174 0.012 4-6 years 0.532 " 1.793 “‘ 0.606 “' -0.008 0.072 -0.437 "‘ -0.362 7-9 years 0.244 2.579 ”‘ 0.506 " -0.220 1.178 “ -1.083 "‘ -0.908 10-12 years a) -0.069 3.954 “' 0.487 “ -0.230 4.376 "‘ -0.345 " -1.047 13+ years 0178 4.797 ‘" 0.302 B. Panel Sample lFLSi 1-3 years -0.029 -0.264 -0.042 0.318 " 0.247 -0.103 0.125 4-6 years 0.318 1.733 "" 0.374 0.174 0.025 0.653 ”‘ -0.284 7-9 years 0.205 2.695 ”" 0.672 0.025 1.138 " —0.691 "" -0.564 " 10-12 years a) -O.687 3.833 ”" 0.331 -0.211 4.006 "" 0.071 -1.152 ”" 13+ years -2.103 "‘ 3.422 "‘ -0.521 lFLSZ 1-3 years 0.317 -0.602 0.381 0.236 0.911 0.002 0.101 4-6 years 0.524 * 1.023 " 0.556 " 0.098 0.439 -0.694 ”‘ -0.202 7-9 years 0120 1.498 "" 0.219 -0.274 1.915 "" -1.233 '" -0.530 " 10-12 years a) -0.133 3.184 ”‘ 0.528 -0.522 " 4.734 "‘ -0.115 -0.562 " 13+years 0.084 4.411 "” 1.285 "' "71.83 1-3 years 0.178 -0.326 0.234 0.089 0.638 -0.265 0.029 4-6 years 0129 0.862 0.215 -0.110 0.468 -0.592 ” -0.450 “ 7-9 years 0362 1.719 " 0.037 -0.544 ” 0.947 -1.566 "" «0.842 "‘ 10-12 years a) -0.747 " 2.958 ‘” -0.116 -0.576 " 4.486 ”’ ~0.620 " -1.133 ”‘ 13+ years -1.168 ” 4.001 "‘ -0.254 Source: Based on estimates of Table 5.3A, 5.3B, 5.3C, and Appendix Table 5.6A, 5.6B, 5.6C. a) 10+ years for women. 132 Appendix Table 5.1A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling iFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.114 '” 0.265 ”‘ -0.015 -0.027 " 0.411 "‘ -0.024 -0.109 ”‘ (5.57) (9.68) (0.70) (2.28) (6.95) (1.36) (4.98) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.092 0.252 ' 0.136 0.068 0.414 “' 0.001 0.020 (0.85) (1.80) (1.23) (1.35) (3.62) (0.02) (0.35) 30-39 years 0.100 “ 0.140 ‘” 0.061 0.071 “‘ 0.040 0.028 0.005 (2.54) (3.40) (1.53) (4.57) (1.55) (1.40) (0.28) 40-49 years -0.070 ‘ -0.038 -0.103 “" 0.001 -0.024 0.001 0.013 (1.81) (0.93) (2.65) (0.06) (0.81) (0.04) (0.71) 50-59 years -0.142 ”‘ -0.203 “" -0.l91 ”‘ -0.057 ”‘ -0.128 “ -0.097 "‘ -0.107 "" (3.74) (4.01) (4.58) (2.71) (1.98) (2.88) (3.84) HH Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 20-49 -0.470 "' -0.298 " -0.383 ”‘ -0.337 ‘” -O.349 '“ ~0.391 ”' -0.056 (4.23) (2.31) (3.23) (5.13) (3.32) (4.20) (0.91) # women, aged 20—49 0.054 0.259 0.099 -0.036 -0.211 0.032 -0.444 ”" (0.34) (1.44) (0.59) (0.51) (1 .57) (0.34) (4.44) # men, aged 50+ -0.673 " -0.570 ‘ -0.374 -0.522 “" -0.347 -0.522 “" 0.350 ‘” (2.51) (1.72) (1.34) (4.78) (1.62) (3.80) (3.62) # women, aged 50+ -0.246 -0.186 -0.179 0.187 ‘ 0.518 ”‘ 0.190 -0.341 ” (1.60) (1.01) (1.10) (1.90) (2.68) (1.47) (2.41) Business Assets (million) 0.535 ”‘ 0.251 -0.976 " 0.056 0.076 -0.533 0.091 " (2.86) (1.20) (1.94) (1.63) (1 .64) (1.47) (2.32) Month of Interview October 0158 0.162 0.240 -0.128 0.393 0.034 -0.5 88 (0.50) (0.45) (0.82) (0.61) (0.98) (0.16) (1.36) November -0.172 0.501 0.211 0.366 “ 0.924 “ 0.364 ‘ -0.197 (0.57) (1.57) (0.73) (1.74) (2. 17) (1.66) (0.52) December 0.103 0.157 0.042 0.345 0.474 0.211 0.669 ‘ (0.35) (0.53) (0.14) (1.62) (1.18) (0.98) (1.75) January 0.390 0.885 ” 0.487 -0.190 0.106 -0.361 0.100 (1.04) (2.27) (1.46) (0.71) (0.23) (1.20) (0.21 ) Constant 0.845 -9.067 ” -1.108 -2.614 ‘ -17.574 ‘” -1.019 -0.876 (0.28) (2.33) (0.37) (1.81) (5.44) (0.64) (0.55) Wald test Age 119.86 103.28 (0.000) (0.000) H11 Composition 36.58 1 14.44 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 44.52 120.71 (0.000) (0.000) Month of Interview 20.43 49.07 (0.059) (0.000) Pseudo 8’ 0.161 0.087 Observations 4,275 5,355 Source: lFLSl. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l°/o(“‘). 5%(“) and 10°/o(') indicated. p -va1ues for Wald test are in parentheses. 133 Appendix Table 5.13 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling iFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.042 "‘ 0.297 ”‘ 0.022 -0.017 0.469 ‘” 0.009 -0.074 “‘ (3.10) (14.75) (1.52) (1.45) (9.79) (0.73) (4.43) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.326 ‘“ 0.553 “‘ 0.264 “‘ 0.070 0.284 ” -0.033 -0.068 (5.76) (5.20) (5.11) (1.44) (2.56) (0.81) (1.04) 30-39 years 0.087 ‘“ 0.206 “‘ 0.052 ” 0.096 ‘” 0.214 "‘ 0.006 0.076 ”‘ (3.48) (7.01) (2.1 1) (6.68) (8.38) (0.43) (3.71) 4049 years 0.026 0.024 -0.025 -0.009 -0.111 ‘“ -0.032 ‘ -0.038 “ (0.98) (0.78) (0.99) (0.65) (3.57) (1.89) (2.11) 50-59 years -0.136 ‘“ -0.219 '“ -0.169 ”' -0.050 ”‘ 0.019 -0.101 ‘“ —0.069 " (4.80) (5.89) (6.01) (2.68) (0.35) (3.56) (2.54) Hii Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 20-49 .0314 ”‘ -0273 ”‘ -0.212 '” -0.223 ‘" -0.321 “‘ ~0.l86 ’” -0.l99 ”‘ (5.22) (3.50) (3.61) (4.77) (4.17) (3.58) (3.64) # women, aged 20-49 -0.078 0.016 -0.024 .0077 .0207 “ 0.105 ” ~0.195 ‘” (1.12) (0.20) (0.35) (1 .57) (2.40) (2.26) (2.92) ii men, aged 50+ -0.724 "‘ -0.685 “‘ -0.607 ‘” 0283 ”‘ .0218 -0.072 0.385 ”‘ (5.71) (4.00) (5.03) (3 .63) (1.27) (0.80) (3.97) # women, aged 50+ -0.487 ‘” -0.444 ‘“ -0.29l ”‘ 0.136 ‘ 0.172 0.328 ”‘ -0.049 (4.59) (3.59) (2.92) (1.67) (1.1 1) (4.02) (0.40) Business Assets (million) 0.014 -0.027 -0.121 0.024 " -0.021 -0.030 0.030 " (0.97) (0.84) (1 .50) (1.70) (0.89) (0.86) (1 .86) Month of interview October 0.059 0.060 -0.236 0.205 0.480 ‘ 0.117 0.247 (0.31) (0.23) (1.19) (1.29) (1.85) (0.63) (0.80) November 0.125 0.343 -0.089 0.081 0.805 “‘ 0.116 0.269 (0.65) (1.23) (0.44) (0.51) (2.62) (0.58) (0.83) December 0017 -0.074 0.016 0.153 0.296 0.201 0.342 (0.08) (0.26) (0.08) (0.78) (1.1 1) (0.99) (0.99) January -0.295 0.009 -0.083 -0.550 ‘" -0.049 0.068 -0.235 (1 . 1 1) (0.03) (0.32) (2.85) (0.15) (0.34) (0.69) Constant -6.936 “‘ -18.683 ‘” ~5.358 ”‘ -2.935 “ -15.489 ”‘ -0.242 0.613 (4.45) (6.16) (3.77) (2.1 l) (4.87) (0.21) (0.34) Wald test Age 407.81 289.49 (0.000) (0.000) Hl-l Composition 149.21 126.63 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition and Assets 154.34 133.66 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 16.60 31.44 (0.165) (0.012) Pseudo R’ 0.134 0.083 Observations 5.607 6,583 Source: lFLSZ. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses Significant at the 1%(‘”), 5°/o(“) and 10%(‘) indicated. p-vaiues for Wald test are in parentheses. 134 Appendix Table 5.1C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling lFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.062 ‘” 0.306 “‘ 0.000 -0.032 “‘ 0.467 '” -0.008 -0.113 ‘” (4.90) (17.06) (0.03) (3.52) (14.25) (0.75) (8.22) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0218 ’" 0.358 “‘ 0.141 “' 0.148 “‘ 0.148 0.001 0.076 ‘ (4.67) (3.95) (3.12) (3.53) (1.42) (0.04) (1.68) 30-39 years 0.042 “ 0.162 ‘” 0.011 0.070 “" 0.274 ‘” 0.035 ‘° 0.016 (2.03) (6.28) (0.55) (5.27) (9.88) (2.43) (0.98) 40.49 years 0.047 “ 0.102 ”‘ 0.007 0.033 “ -0.045 -0.040 “ 0.000 (2.07) (3.86) (0.31) (2.47) (1 .61) (2.34) (0.00) 50-59 years -0.100 ‘” -0.226 ‘“ -0.l76 ”‘ -0.083 "" -0.068 -0.089 ”" -0.075 “ (3.65) (5.78) (5.73) (4.53) (1.38) (3.73) (3.37) HH Composition and Business Assets 8 men, aged 20-49 0274 ‘“ -0.338 '" -0.166 ” -0.185 “' -0.200 " -0.160 ”" -0.107 “ (5.85) (5.14) (3.42) (5.19) (2.59) (4.15) (2.63) #1 women, aged 20-49 -0.073 -0.076 -0.026 -0.003 -0.041 0.093 ” -0.168 “" (1.39) (1.17) (0.49) (0.10) (0.56) (2.49) (3.57) ii men, aged 50+ -0.708 ”‘ -0.707 ‘“ -0.496 ‘” ~0.226 " 0.126 0.001 0.358 “‘ (6.14) (4.86) (4.48) (3.10) (0.73) (0.02) (4.71) 11 women. aged 50+ -0.431 ”‘ -0.407 “ -0.344 '" 0.076 -0.048 0.242 ” -0.034 (4.76) (3.40) (3.61 ) (1 .13) (0.32) (3.34) (0.40) Business Assets (million) 0.022 ‘ -0.005 .0099 ‘ 0.010 ‘ 0.010 -0.017 0.015 ” (1.68) (0.33) (1.71) (1.93) (0.90) (1.01) (2.66) Month of interview October -0.023 -0.184 -0.042 0.326 “ 0.466 0.386 ” 0.230 (0.15) (0.76) (0.24) (2.38) (1.57) (2.50) (1.04) November 0.006 -0.229 -0.124 0.404 ” 0.363 0.277 ‘ 0.369 (0.04) (0.97) (0.73) (3.04) (1.41) (1.77) (1 .61) December -0.095 -0.115 0.139 0.434 ” 0.252 0.271 0.286 (0.56) (0.48) (0.70) (2.87) (0.87) (1.50) (1.17) January 0.047 -0.313 0.397 " 0.246 ' -0.273 0.432 “ 0.317 (0.24) (1.00) (1.86) (1 .66) (0.84) (2.64) (1.31) Constant -3.413 “ -13.086 “‘ -1.618 -4.820 ‘” -12.520 ”" -0.984 -2.420 ' (2.67) (5.10) (1.30) (4.12) (4.17) (1.01) (1.91) Wald test Age 413.46 331.29 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition 222.38 1 16.43 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 227.89 121.69 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 20.22 26.83 (0.063) (0.043) Pseudo R ’ 0.130 0.083 Observations 7,145 7,716 Source: lFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is June/July. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o(‘”), 5%(") and 10%(') indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 135 Appendix Table 5.2A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSi Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.061 -0.302 -0.088 0.363 ‘” 0.498 -0.060 0.165 (0.23) (0.63) (0.31) (2.98) (1.38) (0.41) (1.25) 4-6 years -0.019 0.968 ” -0.015 0.111 0.156 -0.686 ‘” -0.391 " (0.07) (2.34) (0.05) (0.93) (0.39) (4.61) (2.36) 7-9 years -0.657 “' 1.351 ‘” -0.250 -0.064 1.319 ” -0.788 “" -0.656 ‘” (2.25) (3.03) (0.83) (0.40) (2.43) (3.86) (2.82) 10—12 years -1 135 "‘ 2.805 ‘“ -0.027 -0.250 4.117 ‘” 0.059 -l.681 ”‘ (3.76) (6.39) (0.09) (1.46) (7.68) (0.32) (4.73) 13+ years -1.965 ”‘ 2.831 ”' -0.472 (4.85) (5.58) (1.26) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.097 0.260 " 0.138 0.062 0.453 ‘“ 0.014 0.014 (0.88) (1 .91) (1.22) (1.22) (3.95) (0.24) (0.25) 30-39 years 0.094 " 0.137 "‘ 0.062 0.073 '" 0.036 0.028 0.007 (2.39) (3.29) (1.53) (4.66) (1.37) (1.41) (0.40) 40-49 years -0.068 ‘ -0.036 -0.103 “‘ 0.005 -0.038 -0.005 0.016 (1 .77) (0.87) (2.66) (0.32) (1.18) (0.20) (0.89) 50-59 years -0.140 “‘ -0.199 ”" -0.191 "” -0.052 “ -0.148 " -0.106 “‘ -0.102 ”‘ (3.68) (3.98) (4.59) (2.42) (2.20) (3.12) (3.73) HH Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 20-49 -0.476 ”‘ -0.284 " -0.380 ’” -0.351 ’" -0.322 ‘” -0.368 “‘ -0.071 (4.28) (2.18) (3.22) (5.29) (2.86) (3.99) (1.14) # women. aged 20—49 0.039 0.248 0.090 -0.036 -0.152 0.026 -0.439 ‘” (0.25) (1.40) (0.55) (0.52) (1.12) (0.29) (4.42) # men. aged 50+ -0.653 ” -0.574 ‘ -0.373 -0.532 "’ -0.324 -0.519 ”‘ 0.347 ”"' (2.46) (1 .78) (1.35) (4.86) (1.45) (3.75) (3.58) # women. aged 50+ 0240 -0.147 0.177 0.192 ‘ 0.577 ‘" 0.183 -0.336 “ (1.58) (0.80) (1.09) (1.95) (3.15) (1.42) (2.40) Business Assets (million) 0.534 ”‘ 0.239 -0.958 ' 0.057 ‘ 0.071 ‘ 0528 0.096 ” (2.85) (1.15) (1.95) (1.67) (1.70) (1.49) (2.51) Month of interview October -0.158 0.164 0.226 -0.101 0.270 0.023 -0.564 (0.50) (0.46) (0.77) (0.48) (0.61) (0.1 1) (1.29) November ~0.183 0.503 0.207 0.380 ‘ 0.764 0.355 ‘ 0185 (0.61) (1.57) (0.71) (1.81) (1.56) (1.65) (0.48) December 0.085 0.141 0.018 0.363 ’ 0.323 0.187 0.682 ‘ (0.29) (0.47) (0.06) (1 .72) (0.74) (0.86) (1 .77) January 0.415 0.941 ” 0.492 -0.139 -0.037 0407 0.148 (1 . 1 1) (2.47) (1.48) (0.52) (0.07) (1 .32) (0.31) Constant 0.438 -8.676 ” -1.128 -2.684 ‘ -17.335 “‘ -1.184 -0.901 (0.15) (2.27) (0.3 7) (1.84) ( 5.40) (0.74) (0.56) Wald test Own Schooling 524.67 273.06 (0.000) (0.000) Age 119.09 113.76 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 37.08 113.29 (0.000) (0.000) HI-l Composition and Assets 45.49 121.96 (0.000) (0.000) Month of Interview 21.07 46.24 (0.049) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.163 0.095 Observations 4,275 5,355 Source: IFLSI. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(“‘). 5%(“) and 10%(") indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 136 Appendix Table 5.28 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSI Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.253 -0.548 0.230 0.303 “ 0.319 -0.102 0.029 (1.38) (1.22) (1.12) (2.45) (0.60) (0.75) (0.18) 4-6 years 0.288 ‘ 0.748 " 0.389 " 0.216 ‘ 0.246 -0.509 ”" -0.234 (1 .66) (2.45) (1.98) (1 .78) (0.59) (3.86) (1.43) 7-9 years -0.036 1.564 “‘ 0.317 -0.177 1.826 ”‘ -0.758 ‘" -0.665 ‘” (0.18) (4.72) (1.41) (1.12) (3.69) (4.57) (3.18) 10-12 years -0.021 3.174 "‘ 0.705 ‘“ -0.102 4.678 ”' 0.160 -1.052 ‘” (0.11) (10.69) (3.28) (0.62) (9.40) (1.1 1) (4.30) 13+ years -0.896 "‘ 3.240 ‘" 0.062 (3.37) (10.13) (0.23) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0330 ‘" 0.520 ‘“ 0.258 "‘ 0.071 0.227 ” -0.052 -0.066 (5.79) (4.98) (4.97) (1.44) (2.14) (1.25) (1.01) 30-39 years 0.092 ‘” 0.213 ”‘ 0.059 " 0.094 ‘” 0.219 ‘” 0.010 0.075 ‘” (3.66) (7.34) (2.34) (6.58) (8.78) (0.71) (3.64) 40-49 years 0.022 0.020 -0.027 -0.005 -0.134 “‘ -0.034 "' -0.036 " (0.85) (0.66) (1.04) (0.37) (3.92) (2.04) (2.04) 50-59 years 0136 ‘” -0.224 ”“ -0.171 "‘ -0.045 “ 0.012 -0.111 "“ -0.068 “ (4.78) (5.93) (5.98) (2.41) (0.22) (3.92) (2.48) iii-l Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 2049 -0.325 ”‘ -0.291 ”‘ -0.224 ‘” -0.229 ”' -0.331 ‘” —0.170 “" -0.201 ‘" (5.36) (3.65) (3.80) (4.88) (3.98) (3.28) (3.66) 111 women. aged 20-49 -0.067 0.000 -0.017 -0.075 -0.138 0.088 ‘ -0. I90 ‘” (0.98) 0.00 (0.26) (1.52) (1.48) (1.85) (2.86) ii men. aged 50+ -0.720 “‘" -0.670 “‘ -0.607 "' -0.286 ‘” -0.159 -0.101 0.389 ‘” (5 .68) (3 .94) (5 .04) (3.68) (0.96) (1.10) (4.02) it women. aged 50+ 0460 ‘“ -0.416 “‘ -0.267 ”’ 0.140 ‘ 0.223 0.294 ”’ -0.042 (4.32) (3.40) (2.68) (1.75) (1.49) (3.48) (0.35) Business Assets (million) 0.017 -0.023 -0.118 0.025 ‘ -0.014 -0.030 0.030 ‘ (1.12) (0.61) (1.46) (1.71) (0.66) (0.83) (1.85) Month of interview October 0.051 0.056 -0.243 0.208 0.437 ‘ 0.129 0.249 (0.27) (0.21) (1.22) (1.31) (1.94) (0.69) (0.80) November 0.093 0.337 -0.110 0.072 0.652 ” 0.129 0.266 (0.49) (1.21) (0.54) (0.46) (2.1 1) (0.64) (0.82) December -0.028 -0.036 0.013 0.175 0.342 0.210 0.359 (0.13) (0.13) (0.06) (0.88) (1.47) (1.03) (1.03) January -0.250 0.111 -0.040 .0530 ‘" -0.023 0.015 -0.206 (0.94) (0.33) (0.15) (2.74) (0.08) (0.08) (0.60) Constant -7.431 ‘” ~17.015 ‘” ~5.416 “‘ -3.120 ” -12.401 '” 0.564 0.492 (4.69) (5.71) (3.77) (2.23) (4.11) (0.48) (0.27) Wald test Own Schooling 518.71 264.31 (0.000) (0000) Age 423.95 313.13 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 145.98 109.80 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition and Assets 149.83 117.95 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 15.70 26.76 (0.205) (0.044) Pseudo R ’ 0.139 0.087 Observations 5.607 6.583 Source: "-132. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses Significant at the 1%(‘"), 5°/o(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 137 Appendix Table 5.2C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.566 " 0.735 0.633 ” 0.189 0.498 ~0.167 -0.024 (2.85) (1 .24) (3.00) (1 .64) (0.89) (1.28) (0.17) 4-6 years 0.499 " 1.793 ”‘ 0.617 ” 0.001 0.163 -0.420 " -0.443 “ (2.96) (3.67) (3.08) (0.01) (0.25) (3.36) (3.16) 7-9 years 0.155 2.547 *" 0.515 ” -0.246 ‘ 1.276 ” -1.041 "‘ -l.090 ”‘ (0.83) (5.15) (2.52) (1.86) (2.44) (6.76) (5.84) 1012 years 0246 3.883 ”‘ 0.501 " -0.328 " 4.498 "“ -0.240 ‘ -1.429 ‘“ (1.33) (8.01) (2.46) (2.43) (8.71) (1.73) (7.29) 13+ years -0.474 " 4.688 “" 0.325 (2.07) (9.45) (1.41) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.228 ‘“ 0.359 ”" 0.145 ” 0.151 "" 0.106 -0.013 0.082 ‘ (4.87) (4.03) (3.24) (3.57) (1.10) (0.36) (1.78) 30-39 years 0.043 " 0.164 ‘” 0.012 0.067 ’" 0.270 "’ 0.033 ” 0.015 (2.10) (6.42) (0.61) (5.10) (10.19) (2.26) (0.91) 40-49 years 0.043 ‘ 0.096 ”" 0.005 0.034 " -0.078 ” -0.041 “ 0.000 (1.90) (3 .65) (0.23) (2.58) (2.64) (2.40) (0.01) 50-59 years 0098 ”‘ -0.225 ‘” -0.174 ”‘ -0.079 "‘ -0.048 0.099 ”‘ -0.071 " (3.53) (5.71) (5.65) (4.23) (1.02) (4.10) (3.21) ill-l Composition and Business Assets 18 men, aged 20-49 -0.280 ‘” -0.335 ‘” -0.169 "‘ -0.|89 '” -0.256 “ -0.153 ”‘ -0.110 "' (6.02) (5.16) (3.53) (5.30) (3.44) (3.97) (2.71) 11 women. aged 2049 -0.063 -0.054 -0.018 0.001 0.012 0.088 ” -0.163 “‘ (1.20) (0.84) (0.34) (0.02) (0.17) (2.30) (3.50) # men. aged 50+ -0.703 ‘" -0.681 ‘” -0.494 ‘“ -0.233 ” -0.084 -0.013 0.352 "" (6.10) (4.72) (4.47) (3.19) (0.51) (0.17) (4.62) it women, aged 50+ 0424 ”" -0.402 ” -0.338 ”" 0.078 -0.023 0.221 ” -0.035 (4.70) (3.40) (3.57) (1.16) (0.17) (3.04) (0.41) Business Assets (million) 0.023 0.000 -0.098 ‘ 0.010 " 0.017 ’ -0.018 0.015 ” (1.61) (0.02) (1.72) (1.89) (1.65) (1.03) (2.55) Month of interview October -0.011 -0.138 -0.033 0.331 ” 0.404 0.397 " 0.238 (0.07) (0.57) (0.19) (2.41) (1.48) (2.57) (1.08) November 0.012 .0220 -0.125 0.411 ” 0.404 ' 0.295 ‘ 0.379 ‘ (0.08) (0.93) (0.74) (3.08) (1 .72) (1 .86) (1 .66) December -0.104 -0.096 0.130 0.437 “ 0.253 0.288 0.292 (0.61 ) (0.40) (0.66) (2.89) (0.97) (1.61) (1.20) January 0.045 -0.282 0.390 ‘ 0.249 ‘ -0.069 0.433 " 0.319 (0.23) (0.91) (1 .82) (1.68) (0.24) (2.62) (1 .32) Constant -4.319 " -13.265 ‘” -2.255 ‘ -5.018 ‘“ -9.432 ” 0.264 -2.662 ” (3.36) (5.23) (1.81) (4.23) (3.43) (0.27) (2.07) Wald test Own Schooling 606.58 366.01 (0.000) (0.000) Age 428.71 380.66 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition 222.09 1 13.66 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition and Assets 226.65 1 18.88 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 19.97 25.00 (0.068) (0.070) Pseudo R ’ 0.133 0.080 Observations 7,145 7,716 Source: iFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is June/July. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Si gnificant at the l%(""), 5°/o(“) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 138 Appendix Table 5.3A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) IFLS] Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.104 -0.328 -0.140 0.402 ”‘ 0.535 .0026 0.137 (0.39) (0.67) (0.50) (3.45) (1.50) (0.18) (1.16) 4-6 years 0.134 0.928 ” -0.124 0.185 0.190 -0.688 “‘ -0.249 ‘ (0.48) (2.14) (0.44) (1.57) (0.39) (4.62) (1.74) 7-9 years -0.366 1.353 ”' -0.383 0.016 1.322 ‘ -0.817 ”‘ -0.406 ' (1.15) (2.84) (1.19) (0.10) (1.74) (3.93) (1.92) 10-12 years -0.699 " 2.912 ’” -0.028 -0.020 4.281 ”‘ -0.029 -1.111 ”‘ (2.08) (5.97) (0.08) (0.10) (5.62) (0.13) (3.28) 13+ years -1.384 '" 3.004 ”‘ -0.509 (3.28) (5.47) (1.31) Father's Schooling Some Elementary -0.159 -0.339 -0.258 0.039 0.501 -0.261 -0.142 (0.59) (1.15) (0.92) (0.32) (1.59) (1.57) (0.93) Completed Elementary -0.382 -0.366 -0.472 ‘ 0.288 “ 0.598 -0.314 ‘ 0.044 (1.36) (1.26) (1.65) (2.08) (1.62) (1.69) (0.26) Secondary/Tertiary -0.3 16 -0.579 -0.5 19 -0.068 0.245 0.023 -0.493 (0.87) (1.54) (1.43) (0.32) (0.68) (0.10) (1.51) Missing -0.523 “ -0.940 ‘” -0.385 -0.016 0.166 -0248 -0.304 " (1.97) (3.02) (1.49) (0.13) (0.51) (1.45) (1.66) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.274 0.830 “ 0.615 ” 0131 -0.014 0.442 " -0.147 (0.88) (2.51) (1.97) (0.98) (0.06) (2.50) (0.85) Completed Elementary/ 0015 0.208 0.280 -0.135 0.335 0.145 -0.249 Secondary/Tertiary (0.04) (0.62) (0.86) (0.90) (1 .28) (0.78) (1 . 10) Missing -0.244 0.010 -0.159 -0.072 0.096 0.035 0.148 (0.93) (0.03) (0.62) (0.55) (0.37) (0.19) (0.82) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.119 0.242 ‘ 0.118 0.063 0.530 ‘” 0.018 0.026 (1.04) (1.73) (1.00) (1.26) (4.46) (0.31) (0.44) 30-39 years 0.103 " 0.153 ‘" 0.059 0.081 "‘ 0.054 ‘ 0.027 0.022 (2.53) (3.53) (1.43) (5.04) (1.84) (1.34) (1.23) 40-49 years 0068 ‘ -0.044 -0.097 “ 0.005 -0.035 0.000 0.003 (1.78) (1.07) (2.49) (0.30) (1.01) (0.01) (0.17) 50-59 years 0145 ‘" -0.199 “" -0.197 "‘ -0.046 "" -0.132 ‘ -0.108 “‘ -0.085 ’" (3.71) (3.90) (4.65) (2.02) (1.86) (3.12) (2.72) H“ Composition and Business Assets ii men. aged 2049 -0.395 "‘ -0.234 ‘ -0.418 ”‘ -0.327 ‘” -0.335 ‘” -0.349 ”‘ 0.080 (3.40) (1.72) (3.42) (4.73) (2.79) (3.85) (1.04) # women, aged 20-49 0.109 0.312 ‘ 0.112 0.027 0.016 0.075 -0.243 " (0.68) (1 .73) (0.68) (0.39) (0.12) (0.83) (2.25) ii men, aged 50+ -0.572 " -0.423 -0.440 —0.587 “" -0.389 ’ -0.587 ”‘ 0.441 '" (2.06) (1.30) (1.58) (5.41) (1.75) (4.23) (3.89) # women, aged 50+ 0.182 .0166 -0.181 0.224 " 0.571 ‘” 0.178 -0.276 ‘ (1.13) (0.86) (1.09) (2.04) (2.70) (1.21) (1.79) Business Assets (million) 0.456 ”‘ 0.156 -0.734 " 0.040 0.076 ' -0.484 0.105 " (2.79) (0.83) (1.83) (1.35) (1.67) (1.47) (2.58) Province of Residence North Summers 2.892 ‘" 1.054 0.282 1.445 ‘“ 1.270 ” 0.165 4.139 ‘” (4.54) (1.34) (0.34) (3.01) (2.10) (0.31) (6.52) North Sumatera " Urban -1.816 ‘” -0.093 -0.106 -0.940 ‘ 0.647 -0.486 -2.153 ”‘ (2.69) (0.09) (0.12) (1.92) (0.58) (0.76) (3.52) West Surnatera 1.775 ’” 0.972 0.355 1.126 '“ 1.545 ”‘ 0.749 “ 3.300 ‘” (3.75) (1.36) (0.67) (3.55) (2.88) (2.56) (6.86) West Surnatera " Urban -1.656 " -0.023 0.097 -0.314 1.034 -0.090 -2.299 ‘° (1.98) (0.02) (0.13) (0.88) (1.49) (0.24) (2.35) South Surnatera 2.263 ‘” 0.557 -0.206 0.875 “ 0.910 -0.807 " 3.236 ”‘ (3.81) (0.83) (0.39) (2.36) (0.71) (1.71) (6.17) South Surnatera " Urban «1.371 ‘ 0.634 0.181 -1.203 "‘ -0.822 0.348 -3.191 "‘ (1.81) (0.78) (0.26) (2.88) (0.63) (0.53) (4.46) (continued) 139 Appendix Table 5.3A (continued) Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) IFLSI Men Wow Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Lampung 2.114 “‘ -0141 -0.884 ' 0.964 ”‘ 0.794 -0.451 4.377 ‘” (4.61) (0.20) ( 1.78) (3.54) (0.90) (1.26) (7.16) Lampung ‘ Urban -l.011 “' -0.607 0.557 (2.44) (0.84) (0.95) West Java 2.266 ”‘ 1.612 ” 0.688 0.087 1.343 “ -0.289 2.563 ”’ (4.19) (2.42) (1.21) (0.32) (2.01) (0.92) (5.62) West Java ‘ Urban -1.803 “' -0.948 -0.920 —0.187 —0.313 0.047 -1.630 "‘ (3.41) (1.61) (1.62) (0.68) (0.49) (0.16) (2.84) Central Java 1.315 ‘f’ 0.988 ” -0.001 0.934 "' 1.812 ‘” 0.321 2.369 ”‘ (3.78) (2.59) (0.00) (3.58) (3.87) (1.20) (5.70) Central Java ‘ Urban -0.149 0.186 0.532 -0.005 -1.082 ' 0.112 -0.805 “ (0.28) (0.30) (1.05) (0.02) (1.87) (0.32) (2.30) Yogyakarta 1.072 " 1.093 ” -0.407 2.696 "‘ 3.360 ”‘ 1.929 ‘“ 4.633 ”' (2.06) (2.03) (0.54) (8.19) (7.00) (3.10) (7.55) Yogyakarta ‘ Urban -0.767 0.745 0.489 -0.990 “ -2.223 “‘ -0.617 -2.715 ‘” (1.27) (1.16) (0.60) (2.46) (4.20) (0.87) (4.18) East Java 0.984 " -0.161 0006 0.621 ” 1.071 ' 0.624 ” 1.507 ‘” (2.57) (0.29) (0.01) (2.58) (1.66) (2.06) (3.83) East Java ‘ Urban -0.424 0.371 «0.118 -0.137 —0.260 -0.300 -0.946 ” (1 .01) (0.59) (0.26) (0.57) (0.42) (0.85) (2.24) Bali 0.779 ' 0.352 -1.474 ‘“ 1.096 “‘ 1.898 "‘ 0.060 -0.451 (1.85) (1.03) (2.90) (4.14) (3.83) (0.15) (0.68) Bali ‘ Urban 1.401 2.646 “ 2.873 “‘ (1.30) (2.06) (2.62) WestNusa Tenggara 1.054 “ 0.892 ” -0.553 1.453 ”‘ 2.742 “‘ 0.328 3.274 ”" (2.51) (2.33) (1.32) (5.41) (5.06) (1.41) (6.75) West Nusa Tenggara " Urban -0.895 -0.236 -0.613 0.318 0.186 0.083 -1.336 ” (1.17) (0.27) (0.86) (0.78) (0.20) (0.16) (2.23) South Kalimantan 2.577 “ 2.221 ‘” —0.201 1.782 "' 2.337 ”‘ -0.318 3.685 ”‘ (2.53) (2.75) (0.17) (5.93) (3.88) (0.57) (7.52) South Kalimantan ‘ Urban -0.780 -0.666 0.160 -0.733 “ -0.221 0.120 -3.442 ‘” (0.62) (0.78) (0.12) (2.13) (0.34) (0.19) (2.88) South Sulawesi 1.176 ” 0.639 -1.537 “ -0.059 1.935 ‘“ -1.521 ”‘ 1.654 ”‘ (2.45) (1 .04) (2.36) (0.20) (4.52) (4.31) (3.52) South Sulawesi ‘ Urban -0.823 -0.586 0.343 0.281 -1.291 ‘ 0.499 -0.790 (1.31) (0.69) (0.48) (0.64) (1 .92) (0.74) (1.34) Constant -1.712 -8.983 " -0.206 -3.164 ” -21.6l3 “‘ -1.027 -4.768 ‘” (0.55) (2.30) (0.06) (2.15) (6.45) (0.64) (2.69) Wald test Own Schooling 360.67 234.14 (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 17.88 27.59 (0.1 19) (0.035) Mother's Schooling 17.87 20.50 (0.037) (0.058) Parental Schooling 37.09 55.42 (0.016) (0.002) Age 126.93 123.83 (0.000) (0.000) iii-i Composition 26.13 99.19 (0.010) (0.000) iii-I Composition and Assets 36.74 114.66 (0.001) (0.000) Residency 528.13 1 123.49 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.222 0.174 Observations 4,275 5,355 Source: "-181. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling and for province of residence is Jakarta. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling and no urban interaction terms for the province of Lampung and Bali. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute :- statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(“‘), 5%(”) and 10°/o(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 140 Appendix Table 5.33 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) lFL82 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.286 -0.617 0.121 0.370 ‘” 0.286 .0070 0.168 (1.53) (1.37) (0.58) (3.10) (0.57) (0.50) (1.08) 4-6 years 0.395 “ 0.658 ” 0.212 0.283 “ 0.154 -0.601 ‘” 0.062 (2.15) (2.04) (1.05) (2.52) (0.35) (4.51) (0.49) 7-9 years 0.266 1.601 ‘“ 0.174 -0.119 1.620 " -0.955 ‘” -0.264 (1.16) (4.35) (0.73) (0.75) (2.56) (5.60) (1.21) 10-12 years 0.317 3.141 ‘" 0.500 “ 0.007 4.499 “" -0.110 -0.378 ‘ (1.50) (9.47) (2.21) (0.04) (6.93) (0.69) (1.75) 13+ years 0436 3.233 ”‘ -0.183 (1.48) (8.79) (0.64) Father's Schooling Some Elementary -0.309 ‘ -0.146 -0. 196 0.127 0.438 0.023 -0.146 (1.69) (0.55) (1.09) (1.16) (1.45) (0.18) (1.07) Completed Elementary -0.217 0.022 -0.202 0.227 ‘ 0.449 -0.026 -0.257 (1.09) (0.09) (0.98) (1.95) (1.53) (0.19) (1.38) Secondary/1' ertiary -0.627 ‘“ -0.528 ‘ -0.658 ”‘ 0.242 0.270 0.189 -0.769 ‘” (2.61) (1.85) (2.77) (1.44) (0.89) (1.12) (2.98) Missing -0.420 ‘ -0.520 -0.180 0.085 -0.367 0.041 -0.345 (1.73) (1.55) (0.78) (0.62) (0.96) (0.24) (1.55) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.006 0.298 -0.037 -0.189 -0.080 -0.023 0.052 (0.04) (1.43) (0.22) (1 .63) (0.29) (0.17) (0.32) Completed Elementary/ 0.171 0.589 " 0.392 ‘ -0.193 0.478 ” 0.175 0.115 Secondaryfiertiary (0.78) (2.31) (1.90) (1.58) (2.21) (1.19) (0.64) Missing 0.185 0.445 0.435 ‘ -0.270 ‘ 0.309 0.173 0.201 (0.71) (1.27) (1.76) (1.83) (0.86) (0.95) (0.88) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.347 '" 0.526 ‘" 0.264 ‘” 0.088 ’ 0.217 ” -0.055 -0.033 (6.02) (4.88) (4.99) (1.72) (1.99) (1 .33) (0.48) 30—39 years 0.097 ‘” 0.222 ”" 0.043 ' 0.101 ’” 0.245 ”‘ 0.007 0.098 “‘ (3.85) (7.68) (1.70) (6.84) (9.38) (0.45) (4.84) 40-49 years 0.021 0.026 -0.022 -0.003 -0.123 '” -0.029 ‘ -0.041 ” (0.77) (0.84) (0.84) (0.22) (3.59) (1.69) (2.20) 50-59 years -0.133 '” .0226 “‘ -0.181 ”‘ -0.032 " 0.024 -0.111 ”' -0.058 “ (4.51) (5.78) (6.25) (1 .65) (0.40) (3.85) (2.00) [iii Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 20-49 0257 “‘ -0.267 ‘” -0.251 ‘” -0.184 ‘” «0.321 ‘“ -0.162 ”‘ -0.110 ‘ (4.32) (3.37) (4.31) (4.10) (3.88) (3.23) (1.86) # women. aged 2049 -0.013 0.026 -0.034 -0.018 -0.088 0.098 “ -0.045 (0.18) (0.31) (0.49) (0.37) (0.78) (2.09) (0.68) ii men. aged 50+ -0.733 ‘“ -0.654 “‘ -0.651 ‘" -0.356 ”‘ -0.184 -0.177 ‘ 0.309 ‘“ (5.57) (3.74) (5.37) (4.35) (1.09) (1.89) (3.13) # women. aged 50+ -0.484 ‘” -0.456 ”‘ -0.295 ‘” 0.086 0.213 0.236 '” 0.027 (4.50) (3.55) (2.93) (1.01) (1.42) (2.70) (0.22) Business Assets (million) 0.005 -0.031 -0.086 0.015 -0.021 -0.025 0.026 ' (0.35) (0.91 ) (1.47) (1.09) (0.93) (0.96) (1.83) Province of Residence North Surnatera 1.417 ‘” 0.326 -0.942 ” 1.154 '" 1.402 “‘ -0.686 3.256 “" (4.82) (0.66) (2.45) (3.29) (2.99) (1.27) (5.53) North Sumatera " Urban -0.894 ‘" 0.452 0.901 " ~1.018 “‘ 0.042 0.193 -3.452 ”‘ (2.68) (0.60) (2.07) (2.65) (0.04) (0.33) (4.74) West Sumatera 1.256 “‘ 1.089 ” 0.117 0.921 ‘” 1.364 ‘” 0.082 1.762 ‘" (4.57) (2.48) (0.35) (3.14) (2.92) (0.20) (4.00) West Surnatera ‘ Urban 0.073 0.818 0.533 .0277 0.604 0.243 -0.898 (0.17) (1 .24) (1.38) (0.68) (1 .08) (0.56) (0.86) South Sumatera 1.146 ‘“ 0.601 -0.718 ‘ 0.328 0.378 -1.076 ‘” 2.210 “‘ (2.83) (1.10) (1.69) (0.96) (0.53) (3.35) (4.72) South Sumatera ‘ Urban -0.596 0.372 0.600 -0.411 -0.691 0.184 -1.855 ”‘ (0.83) (0.66) (1.05) (0.93) (0.78) (0.41) (2.70) (continued) 141 Appendix Table 5.31! (continued) Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) IFLSZ Men Women J Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Lampung 1.334 "‘ -0.706 -1.011 “‘ 0.507 ” 1.116 ’ -1.177 '" 2.667 “‘ (4.06) (1.29) (3.29) (2.08) (1 .94) (3.46) (6.94) Lampung ‘ Urban -0.252 1.132 1.033 ”‘ (0.54) (1.41) (2.60) West Java 1.421 "‘ 1.388 "‘ 0.186 -0.057 0.309 -0.935 ‘” -0.065 (5.17) (3.60) (0.66) (0.21) (0.56) (4.54) (0.16) West Java ‘ Urban -0.662 “ 0.004 0.530 ‘ 0.043 0.674 0.817 ‘“ -0.552 (2.02) (0.01) (1.72) (0.18) (1 .35) (3.75) (1.26) Central Java 1.447 ‘“ 1.452 ”‘ 0.237 1.697 ‘" 2.206 “‘ 0.551 “ 2.731 ‘“ (4.68) (3.85) (0.80) (6.12) (4.79) (2.01) (6.36) Central Java ‘ Urban -0.095 -0.027 0.444 -0.538 “ —0.928 ‘ 0.067 -0.841 ” (0.25) (0.06) (1.38) (2.02) (1.84) (0.21) (2.25) Yogyakarta 1.255 “‘ 1.291 ‘ 0.001 2.660 ”' 2.290 ‘” 1.365 ” 3.913 ‘” (3.08) (1.92) (0.00) (6.80) (4.15) (2.56) (9.08) Yogyakarta " Urban -0.154 0.168 0.968 -1.306 ‘" -0.847 -0.357 -2.144 ”" (0.35) (0.24) (1.38) (3.20) (1.39) (0.62) (5.15) East Java 1.116 ‘” 0.439 -0054 0.249 0.973 ” 0.154 1.378 "“ (4.24) (1 .00) (0.17) (1.06) (2.14) (0.56) (3.23) East Java " Urban 0.504 1.307 " 1.146 ‘" 0.084 0.070 0.194 -0.307 (1.53) (2.38) (2.76) (0.38) (0.17) (0.68) (0.72) Bali 2.177 ”‘ 2.455 “‘ 0.210 1.964 ”‘ 2.288 '"" 0.178 2.904 ‘” (6.54) (5. 10) (0.64) (5.75) (3.80) (0.69) (5.55) Bali ‘ Urban -0.369 0.334 0.675 -0.509 -0.349 0.391 -1.889 ”‘ (1.01) (0.47) (1.22) (1.35) (0.38) (1.12) (3.50) West Nusa Tenggara 1.625 “' 1.540 f” -0.253 1.264 ‘” 2.050 "" 0.276 3.256 “" (4.45) (3.89) (0.57) (4.44) (5.04) (0.78) (7.94) West Nusa Tenggara ‘ Urban -0.836 0.500 -0.088 -0.041 0.168 -0.298 -1.677 “ (1 .44) (0.83) (0.17) (0.09) (0.24) (0.53) (2.37) South Kalimantan 1.457 f” 1.893 "‘ -0.606 1.044 “‘ 1.787 ‘" -0.176 2.578 ‘" (4.34) (3.78) (1.21) (3.93) (3.43) (0.43) (5.20) South Kalimantan " Urban -0.546 -0.365 0.219 (0.84) (0.50) (0.34) South Sulawesi 1.021 ‘” 1.451 ”‘ -1.341 ’“ -0.191 0.911 ” -1.644 ”‘ -1.997 ‘f‘ (3.54) (4.15) (3.32) (0.65) (2.38) (5.61) (2.94) South Sulawesi ’ Urban -0.285 -0.068 0.791 " (0.77) (0.15) ( 1.68) Constant -9.049 ”’ -18.473 ”‘ -5.239 ‘" -4.009 ‘" -13.534 ”" 1.023 -2.067 (5.56) (5.98) (3.60) (2.75) (4.19) (0.86) (1.06) Wald test Own Schooling 390.70 230.27 (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 19.47 34.75 (0.078) (0.004) Mother’s Schooling 17.67 26.29 (0.039) (0.010) Parental Schooling 64.89 66.15 (0.000) (0.000) Age 464.23 381.63 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 123.57 83.28 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition and Assets 128.14 92.54 (0.000) (0.000) Residency 569.69 919.63 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo R 2 0.188 0.158 Observations 5,607 6,583 Source: iFLSZ. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling, for province of residence is Jakarta, and for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling and no urban interaction terms for the province of iampung, South Kalimantan and South Sulawesi. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘”), 5%(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -va1ues for Wald test are in parentheses. 142 Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Appendix Table 53C The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.628 " 0.845 0.571 " 0.224 ‘ 0.613 -0.I85 0.034 (3.09) (1 .3 8) (2.65) (1.93) (1 .09) (1.42) (0.25) 4-6 years 0.616 “ 1.896 ”‘ 0.496 “ 0.048 0.229 -0.505 “‘ -0.224 ' (3.48) (3.76) (2.38) (0.42) (0.34) (4.04) (1 .73) 7-9 years 0.377 ‘ 2.797 ‘” 0.348 -0.135 1.473 “‘ -1.168 ”° -0.647 ”‘ (1.93) (5.50) (1 .61) (0.99) (2.64) (7.45) (3.76) 10-12 years 0.110 4.148 ‘” 0.268 -0.093 4.729 ”" -0.438 ” -0.627 " (0.55) (8.20) (1.19) (0.65) (8.53) (2.89) (3.38) 13+ years 0.045 4.978 ‘” 0.044 (0.18) (9.48) (0.17) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.128 0.263 0.072 0.074 0.284 0.123 0.044 (0.73) (1 .08) (0.42) (0.70) (1.05) (0.94) (0.37) Completed Elementary 0.083 0.166 0.034 0.060 0.299 -0.228 "‘ -0.257 ” (0.53) (0.80) (0.22) (0.61) (1.37) (1.97) (2.17) Secondary/Tertiary -0.287 -0.144 -0.237 -0.102 0.185 0.0004 -0.426 ” (1.46) (0.60) (1.26) (0.79) (0.77) (0.00) (2.16) Missing -0.159 -0.461 " -0.162 0.128 -0.407 0.051 -0.004 (0.81) (1.67) (0.79) (1.23) (1.22) (0.38) (0.02) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary -0.471 “ -0.396 " -0.323 “ 0.022 0.091 0.018 0.084 (3.09) (1 .97) (2.13) (0.20) (0.43) (0.15) (0.62) Completed Elementary/ -0.150 0.019 0.136 -0.065 0.132 0.168 0.147 Secondary/Tertiary (0.98) (0.1 1) (0.89) (0.67) (0.69) (1.47) (1.1 1) Missing -0.058 -0.223 0.151 -0.444 “‘ -0.530 -0.172 -0.454 " (0.27) (0.77) (0.71) (3.64) (1.47) (1.19) (2.66) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.236 "‘ 0.348 “" 0.137 “ 0.171 “‘ 0.127 -0.021 0.114 “ (4.92) (3.82) (3.04) (4.00) (1.22) (0.59) (2.34) 30-39 years 0.044 ” 0.172 ‘” 0.003 0.065 ’“ 0.288 ‘" 0.030 “ 0.022 (2.08) (6.60) (0.16) (5.06) (10.46) (2.05) (1 .29) 40-49 years 0.039 ‘ 0.098 ‘” 0.001 0.043 " -0.065 ” -0.037 ” 0.014 (1.71) (3.61) (0.06) (3.16) (2.08) (2.10) (0.81) 50-59 years -0.097 ‘“ -0.225 “‘ -0.174 "‘ -0.075 “' -0.044 -0.106 “" .0074 “ (3.49) (5.62) (5.55) (4.02) (0.92) (4.33) (3.38) iii! Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 20-49 0250 "' -0.313 ‘” -0.189 "‘ -0.153 "' -0.224 ” -0.136 "’ -0.041 (5.15) (4.93) (3.97) (4.24) (2.76) (3.58) (0.93) it women, aged 20-49 .0037 -0.041 -0.017 0.042 0.092 0.090 ” 0.047 (0.68) (0.61 ) (0.32) (1.17) (1.30) (2.17) (0.96) ii men, aged 50+ -0.699 “" -0.664 ‘” -0.497 “‘ -0.293 “‘ -0.168 —0.056 0.263 ” (6.09) (4.47 ) (4.49) (3.96) (1 .03) (0.71) (3.27) if women, aged 50+ 0422 "‘ -0.437 "‘ -0.338 ‘” 0.048 -0.018 0.227 “ 0.001 (4.67) (3.67) (3.62) (0.71) (0.13) (3.00) (0.01) Business Assets (million) 0.021 ‘ -0.004 -0.071 0.007 0.014 -0.013 0.015 ” (1.67) (0.28) (1.49) (1.53) (1.24) (1.12) (2.47) Province of Residence North Sumatera 0.904 ” 0.431 -0.368 1.142 “ 2.284 ” 0.105 2.736 “‘ (2.60) (0.56) (0.77) (3.14) (3.43) (0.24) (6.48) North Summera ‘ Urban -0.479 -0.076 0.139 -0.899 “ -l.589 “ -1.123 “ -2.450 “ (1.25) (0.10) (0.28) (2.29) (2.22) (2.47) (3.33) West Sumtera 0.482 ' 0.588 ‘ -0.572 ‘ 0.876 " 1.568 ” -0.596 ' 1.321 ‘" (1.79) (1.71) (1.93) (2.72) (3.26) (1.71) (3.58) West Sumntera ' Urban -0.408 0.565 0.706 -0.354 0.552 0.259 -0.481 (1 .00) (1 .00) (1 .56) (1 .04) (0.96) (0.64) (1.09) South Summers 0.725 ‘ 0.025 -0.954 ‘ 0.830 “ 0.494 -0.960 ” 2.627 “‘ (1.77) (0.04) (1.76) (2.78) (0.65) (2.73) (7.68) South Surnatera ‘ Urban -0.336 0.721 1.428 “ ~0.791 ‘ -0.420 0.468 -1.735 ’” (0.60) (1.02) (2.29) (1.95) (0.51) (0.99) (4.02) (continued) 143 Appendix Table 5.3C (continued) Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency (Full Specification) iFLS3 Men Womsn Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Lampung 1.701 ‘” 0.688 0.007 0.997 ” 1.439 -0.866 “ 2.872 "‘ (4.43) (1.31) (0.01) (3.43) (1.64) (2.22) (7.29) Lampung " Urban -1.150 ‘ 0.246 -0.023 -0.558 0.189 0.627 -2.059 “" (1.80) (0.32) (0.03) (1.35) (0.15) (1.13) (4.35) West Java 0.391 0.812 ” -0.396 -0.112 1.418 ” -0.542 ” 0.960 “ (1.51) (2.26) (1.52) (0.54) (2.96) (2.81) (3.19) West Java ‘ Urban -0.549 “ -0.274 0.383 -0.208 -0.429 0.272 -0.884 ” (2.02) (0.75) (1.43) (0.88) (0.98) (1.30) (3.00) Central Java 0.627 “ 1.179 ” -0.261 1.168 ‘" 2.226 ‘“ 0.035 2.115 “" (2.47) (3 .42) (0.85) (4.43) (5.79) (0.13) (6.46) Central Java ‘ Urban -0.114 -0.443 0.389 -0.328 -0.979 ” 0.139 -1.220 "‘ (0.34) (1 . 17) (1.02) (1.26) (2.26) (0.41) (3.73) Yogyakarta 0.273 0.538 -0.527 1.687 ‘” 2.890 ‘” 0.446 3.180 “" (0.87) (0.92) (0.89) (5.78) (6.28) (0.96) (6.43) Yogyakarta ' Urban 0.154 0.436 1.012 ’ -0.608 ‘ -1.478 ” 0.213 -1.590 “ (0.40) (0.71) (1 .65) (1.90) (3.02) (0.43) (3.21) East Java 0.488 " 0.062 .0288 0.596 “ 1.589 ”‘ 0.230 1.914 ”‘ (2.24) (0.17) (1.09) (3.37) (3.71 ) (1 .27) (6.61) East Java " Urban -0.406 f 0.310 0.259 -0.495 “ -0.765 ‘ -0.307 -1.592 "‘ (1 .68) (0.72) (0.88) (2.36) (1.74) (1.43) (4.01) Bali 1.031 “ 1.676 "‘ 0400 0.874 ”‘ 1.645 ” -1.227 “ 0.841 ” (2.76) (3.79) (1.15) (3.94) (3.16) (3.32) (2.65) Bali ‘ Urban -0.026 0.752 0.698 -0254 0.583 1.122 ” -0.755 (0.05) (1.17) (1.42) (0.75) (0.67) (2.58) (1.15) West Nusa Tenggara 0.891 ”‘ 1.372 “" -0.196 0.461 ‘ 2.277 ‘" -0.369 1.821 ‘” (4.07) (4.26) (0.57) (1.77) (6.00) (1 .33) (6.59) West Nusa Tenggara " Urban -0.457 -0.151 -0.088 0.272 -0.467 0170 -1.024 ”‘ (1 .57) (0.37) (0.22) (0.98) (0.77) (0.36) (3.93) South Kalimantan 0.932 “ 1.722 ”" -0.757 ‘ 0.900 ‘” 2.079 ” -1.284 “ 2.601 ‘” (2.57) (3.56) (1.96) (4.29) (3 .02) (3.07) (9.45) South Kalimantan ‘ Urban -0.796 ‘ -0.499 0.002 -0.437 -0.376 0.718 -2.445 “‘ (1.71) (0.91) (0.00) (1.33) (0.51) (1.38) (4.89) South Sulawesi 0.509 ” 0.995 " -1.853 "‘ -0.390 1.216 -1.840 “' 0.829 “ (2.12) (2.76) (4.39) (0.97) (1 .64) (6.08) (2.12) South Sulawesi ‘ Urban -0.019 0.711 1.439 " 0.011 -0.224 0.379 -0.715 “ (0.06) (1 .49) (2.97) (0.03) (0.30) (1.15) (1.71) Constant -5.015 "" -13.903 ‘“ -1.531 -5.814 ‘" -11.719 "‘ 0.391 -5.056 ‘" (3 .74) (5.36) (1.21) (4.89) (4.00) (0.39) (3.67) Wald test Own Schooling 461.82 291.91 (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 11.67 36.02 (0.473) (0.003) Mother's Schooling 24.05 23.44 (0.004) (0.024) Parental Schooling 44.73 71.68 (0.002) (0.000) Age 443.67 428.46 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 172.05 79.21 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 176.21 87.33 (0.000) (0.000) Residency 331.55 829.93 (0.000) (0.000) Pseudo R’ 0.169 0.132 Observations 7,145 7,716 Source: IFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own and parental schooling is no schooling, for province of residence is Jakarta, and for month of interview is lune/July. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r—statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%(‘”), 5°/o(“) and 10°/o(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are 144 Appendix Table 5.4A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLSl Men Won_i_e_g Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.079 “' 0.341 '” 0.020 -0.027 “ 0.435 ”‘ -0.018 -0.104 ‘” (2.40) (8.48) (0.59) (2.03) (6.96) (0.89) (4.54) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.084 0.242 0.143 0.064 0.438 '” 0.062 0.014 (0.67) (1.47) (1.10) (1.11) (3.58) (0.97) (0.24) 30-39 years 0.147 ‘” 0.203 ‘” 0.114 “' 0.080 “" 0.033 0.025 0.013 (2.79) (3.72) (2.13) (4.59) (1.12) (1.16) (0.66) 40-49 years -0.122 ” -0.115 " -0.172 "‘ -0.011 -0.066 0.008 0.028 (2.03) (1.80) (2.88) (0.49) (1.52) (0.29) (1 .24) 50-52 years 0.189 0.417 0.323 0.023 0.160 -0.226 -0.283 " (0.73) (1.50) (1 .27) (0.22) (0.68) (1 .47) (2.23) Hi! Composition and Business Assets # men. aged 20-49 ~0.708 ”‘ -0.309 -0.537 "‘ -0.366 ‘" ~0.308 "' -0.449 ”" -0.064 (3.87) (1 .45) (2.85) (4.40) (2.21) (3.97) (0.83) 11 women, aged 20-49 -0.039 0.264 0.072 0.059 -0. 160 0.011 -0.409 “" (0.1 1) (0.68) (0.19) (0.63) (1.00) (0.09) (3.02) # men. aged 50+ -1.210 '” -1.526 “‘ -0.968 ‘f‘ -0.460 “" -0.294 -0.518 “‘ 0.174 (3.71) (3.99) (2.85) (3.19) (1.13) (3.29) (1.31) if women. aged 50+ -0.057 0.018 0.029 0.111 0.399 " 0.247 ‘ -0.326 ‘ (0.20) (0.06) (0.10) (0.88) (1 .77) (1 .72) (1.76) Business Assets (million) 0.377 -0.163 -1.101 ‘ 0.051 -0.066 .0416 0.080 " (1.59) (0.63) (1.78) (1.22) (0.95) (1.15) (1.79) Month of interview October -0.2 59 -0043 0.100 -0. 192 0.283 -0.107 -0.708 (0.57) (0.08) (0.24) (0.76) (0.66) (0.41) (1.50) November 0196 0.456 0.109 0.428 ’ 0.871 ' 0.281 -0.397 (0.44) (0.96) (0.27) (1.69) (1 .92) (1 .05) (0.95) December -0.179 -0.108 0.423 0.478 ‘ 0.340 0.070 0.508 (0.42) (0.24) (1 .07) (1 .86) (0.82) (0.27) (1.23) January 0.594 1.040 " 0.428 -0.298 -0.084 -0.420 -0.028 (1.05) (1 .77) (0.80) (0.90) (0.16) (1.26) (0.06) Constant 1.442 -8.965 ” -1.009 -2.710 -18.l81 '” -2.599 -0.604 (0.42) (1 .98) (0.28) ( 1.63) (5.24) (1 .43) (0.37) Wald test Age 79.86 67.33 (0.000) (0.000) H11 Composition 49.69 57.27 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition and Assets 58.41 65.03 (0.000) (0.000) Month of Interview 22.61 51.61 (0.031) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.172 0.092 Observations 2.797 3,722 Source: iFLSl. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses Significant at the l%(”‘), 5°/u(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 145 Appendix Table 5.4B M ultlnomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFL82 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.023 0.351 ‘“ 0.045 -0.046 ‘” 0.470 ”‘ -0.048 “‘ -0.082 “‘ (0.89) (10.85) (1 .60) (3.35) (6.91) (2.62) (3.82) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0089 0.154 0.025 0.066 0.495 ‘" 0.102 ‘ 0.157 " (0.62) (0.95) (0.18) (1.25) (3.68) (1.93) (2.12) 30—39 years 0.067 0.086 ‘ 0.002 0.052 ‘” 0.019 -0.003 0.027 (1.45) (1.76) (0.04) (3.27) (0.57) (0.14) (1.36) 40-49 years -0.065 -0.027 -0.084 0055 ” -0.074 -0.042 0060 ' (1.17) (0.43) (1.44) (2.49) (1.65) (1.53) (1.95) 50-52 years -0.253 -0.587 ” -0.246 0.087 0.157 -0.046 -0.033 (1.45) (2.34) (1 .32) (0.89) (0.66) (0.36) (0.23) HH Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 20-49 0308 ”" -0.284 " -0.275 ” -0.239 ‘” -0.311 “ -0.268 "" -0.211 ‘" (2.79) (2.03) (2.43) (4.00) (2.55) (3.58) (3.19) # women. aged 2049 -0.204 0.031 —0. 168 -0.006 -0.247 ‘ 0.008 -0.229 “‘ (1 .41) (0.20) (1 . 12) (0.10) (1.84) (0.10) (2.62) # men. aged 50+ -0.604 ” -0.814 ”“ .0496 ‘ -0.212 ‘ -0.061 -0.283 ” 0.388 ‘“ (2.17) (2.62) (1.78) (1.81) (0.26) (2.06) (3.13) # women, aged 50+ 0179 -0.020 -0.112 0.216 ” 0.051 0.265 ” -0.183 (0.81 ) (0.08) (0.50) (1.99) (0.23) (2.20) (1 .05) Business Assets (million) -0.007 -0.205 "‘ -1.215 “"' 0.046 -0.004 -0.352 0.055 (0.31) (3.07) (3.43) (1.26) (0.13) (1.38) (1.39) Month of interview October 0.348 0.303 0.093 0.177 0.604 " 0.292 0.094 (1 .02) (0.77) (0.29) (1.03) (2.02) (1.27) (0.29) November 0.452 0.711 ‘ 0.299 0.103 1.025 “ 0.110 0.010 (1 .29) (1.67) (0.91) (0.59) (2.56) (0.44) (0.03) December 0386 0.359 0.422 0.310 0.487 0.389 0.344 (0.89) (0.73) (1.01) (1.40) (1.43) (1.41) (0.91) January -1.390 ‘" -0.481 0.971 ” -0.713 ” 0.522 0.205 0.482 (3.20) (0.98) (2.31) (2.42) (1 . 19) (0.68) (1 .03) Constant 5.579 -6.041 2.339 -2.299 -20.234 ‘" -3.517 “ -5.187 ” (1.38) (1.33) (0.60) (1.55) (5.54) (2.37) (2.32) Wald test Age 73.44 56.10 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 22.18 76.26 (0.036) (0.000) H11 Composition and Assets 42.34 82.95 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 28.39 23.12 (0.005) (0.111) Pseudo R ’ 0.159 0.084 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: lFLSZ. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the comtrnunity level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses Significant at the 1%(“"). 5°/o(“) and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 146 Appendix Table 5.4C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling -0.095 ‘” 0.327 ‘” -0.024 -0.055 ‘" 0.483 ”‘ o0.073 ‘” -0.126 “" (4.16) (10.89) (0.98) (4.28) (10.03) (4.38) (6.73) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years -0.065 0.113 0.071 0.040 0.397 " 0.156 “ 0.074 (0.50) (0.71) (0.53) (0.86) (3.00) (2.57) (1.25) 30—39 years 0.101 “ 0.157 “ 0.050 0.057 ” 0.059 ‘ 0.011 -0.009 (2.30) (3.20) (1 . 14) (3.14) (1.71) (0.49) (0.44) 40-49 years 0152 ” -0.157 "‘ -0.194 "' -0.058 “‘ ~0.095 ‘ -0.078 ” -0.026 (3.05) (2.49) (3.67) (2.55) (1.85) (2.41) (1.03) 5052 years 0238 -1.233 “' -0.153 -0.035 0.037 -0.149 -0.171 (1.54) (3.46) (0.89) (0.37) (0.16) (0.96) (1.57) HH Composition and Business Assets ii men. aged 20-49 -0.230 ” -0.206 ‘ -0.229 “ .0182 ‘“ -0.362 ” .0193 “ .0091 ‘ (2.80) (1.93) (2.80) (3.98) (2.93) (3.06) (1.71) if women, aged 20-49 -0.233 ” -0.202 -0.172 -0.053 -0.286 “ -0.163 “ -0.261 """ (2.17) (1 .63) (1 .49) (1 .04) (2.27) (2.24) (4.01) # men, aged 50+ -0.251 -0.257 -0.115 -0.348 “ -0.527 ” -0.351 “ 0.410 “' (0.94) (0.78) (0.40) (3 .37) (2.31) (2.65) (3.87) # women, aged 50+ -0.197 -0.103 -0.219 0.108 0.094 0.133 -0.190 (1.18) (0.51) (1 .20) (0.97) (0.43) (0.98) (1 .42) Business Assets (million) 0.190 “ 0.145 ‘ -0.231 ‘ 0.019 " -0.019 -0.128 0.026 " (2.26) (1.68) (1.76) (1.68) (0.78) (1.57) (2.01) Month of Interview October 0.067 -0.148 0.036 0.478 ” 0.666 “ 0.518 ” 0.239 (0.25) (0.45) (0.13) (2.80) (2.07) (2.51) (0.98) November «0.093 -0.378 -0.166 0.619 '“ 0.728 ” 0.412 ‘ 0.469 " (0.33) (1.10) (0.56) (3.69) (2.43) (1.84) (1.78) December 0.027 -0.142 0.145 0.795 ”‘ 0.692 ‘ 0.491 ' 0.456 (0.08) (0.39) (0.46) (4.11) (1.96) (1.88) (1.57) January -0.164 -0.465 0.122 0.352 ' 0.403 0.370 0.198 (0.44) (0.94) (0.32) (1.75) (0.88) (1 .41) (0.68) Constant 5.337 -4.963 1.031 -1.219 -17.344 ”" -4.452 “ -1.938 (1.45) (1.12) (0.28) (0.92) (4.60) (2.65) (1.16) Wald test Age 94.52 61.20 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition 22.22 105.50 (0.035) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 45.87 1 18.36 (0.000) (0.000) Month oflnterview 5.52 27.14 (0.938) (0.040) Pseudo R ’ 0.170 0.094 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for month of interview is June/July. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o(“‘), 5%(”) and 10°/o(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 147 Appendix Table 5.5A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLSi Men Wom_gn Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.024 -0.210 0.050 0.335 ” 0.263 -0.104 0.146 (0.06) (0.29) (0.13) (2.16) (0.62) (0.59) (0.93) 4-6 years 0.367 1.843 “' 0.471 0.191 0.084 0655 "‘ -0.339 ‘ (0.95) (3.05) (1.22) (1.26) (0.19) (3.78) (1 .91) 7-9 years 0.244 2.831 “' 0.806 0.016 1.201 “ -0.660 ”‘ -0.704 ”‘ (0.46) (3.99) (1 .50) (0.08) (2.30) (2.78) (2.67) 10-12 years -0.679 3.957 ‘" 0.451 -0.271 4.072 "‘ 0.170 -1.456 ‘” (1.49) (6.13) (1.02) (1.37) (8.27) (0.81) (3.80) 13+ years -2.027 ”' 3.569 ““ -0.297 (3.79) (5.52) (0.57) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.101 0.268 ‘ 0.156 0.058 0.515 ‘“ 0.078 0.007 (0.78) (1 .67) (1 .16) (0.99) (4.06) (1 .23) (0.11) 30-39 years 0.135 ” 0.197 ‘” 0.108 ‘ 0.082 "' 0.022 0.023 0.016 (2.49) (3.51) (1 .96) (4.71) (0.73) (1 .08) (0.81) 40-49 years 0114 ‘ -0.112 ‘ -0.166 ‘” -0.006 .0080 ‘ 0.004 0.031 (1.92) (1.75) (2.81) (0.27) (1.69) (0.14) (1.35) 50-52 years 0.128 0.425 0.290 0.045 0.116 -0.253 -0.270 “ (0.49) (1.53) (1 . 13) (0.43) (0.47) (1.60) (2.12) 1111 Composition and Business Assets # men, aged 2049 -0.727 ”‘ -0321 -0.561 ‘" -0.377 ”‘ -0.279 ‘ -0.429 ”' -0.072 (4.03) (1 .55) (3.02) (4.49) (1.90) (3.77) (0.92) 1: women, aged 20-49 -0.053 0.254 0.058 0.062 -0.086 0009 0.408 ”‘ (0.16) (0.70) (0.17) (0.66) (0.52) (0.08) (3.01) ii men, aged 50+ -1.120 ‘" -i.532 "‘ -0.936 ‘“ -0.461 ‘“ -0.269 -0.513 ’“ 0.181 (3.49) (4.15) (2.82) (3.19) (1.02) (3.23) (1.35) # women, aged 50+ -0.086 0.050 0.013 0.104 0.479 ” 0.256 " -0.326 " (0.31) (0.16) (0.05) (0.83) (2.18) (1 .76) (1 .77) Business Assets (million) 0.405 " -0.135 -1.065 " 0.053 -0.056 -0.417 0.083 ‘ (1.69) (0.52) (1.74) (1.28) (0.86) (1.19) (1.88) Month of interview October -0.294 -0.1 18 0.040 -0.170 0.058 -0. 133 ~0.687 (0.64) (0.23) (0.10) (0.67) (0.13) (0.51) (1 .44) November -0.262 0.394 0.052 0.439 " 0.637 0.253 -0.388 (0.59) (0.84) (0.13) (1 .74) (1 .24) (0.96) (0.92) December -0.218 -0.132 -0.464 0.491 ‘ 0.188 0.037 0.514 (0.51) (0.31) (1.17) (1 .92) (0.43) (0.14) (1 .24) January 0.614 1.061 ‘ 0.407 -0.244 -0.249 -0.493 0.024 (1 .09) (1.85) (0.77) (0.74) (0.47) (1.45) (0.05) Constant 0.659 -9.313 ” -1.444 .2803 ‘ -18.692 ‘“ -2.828 -0.598 (0.19) (2.09) (0.39) (1 .66) (5.21) (1 .55) (0.36) Wald test Own Schooling 374.43 241.75 (0.000) (0.000) Age 79.58 76.40 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 51.86 57.49 (0.000) (0.000) Iii-i Composition and Assets 60.65 65.69 (0.000) (0.000) Month of Interview 23.45 47.44 (0.024) (0.000) Pseudo R’ 0.177 0.101 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLSl. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("‘), 5%(") and 10%(') indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses 148 Appendix Table 5.5B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLSZ Men Wogn Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.252 -0.667 0.358 0.229 1.044 " 0.011 0.053 (0.80) (1 .09) (1 . 1 1) (1 .55) (1 .70) (0.07) (0.26) 4.6 years 0.499 ‘ 1.058 ” 0.603 “ 0.089 0.655 -0.669 ‘“ -0.345 ‘ (1 .75) (2.40) (1 .97) (0.68) (1 .24) (4.21) (1.82) 7-9 years 0206 1.523 ”' 0.242 -0.310 " 2.172 ‘” -l.199 ”" -0.786 ‘” (0.57) (3.17) (0.68) (1.65) (3.65) (5.20) (3.20) 10-12 years -0.263 3.188 ‘“ 0.515 -0.604 “‘ 4.981 "" -0.059 -0.996 “" (0.75) (6.76) (1.33) (2.81) (8.21) (0.30) (3.08) 13+ years 0.028 4.505 "" 1.378 " (0.04) (6.28) (1.98) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years -0.098 0.144 0.011 0.058 0.581 "" 0.115 “ 0.153 ” (0.69) (0.91) (0.08) (1.08) (4.29) (2.16) (2.07) 30-39 years 0.064 0.091 ‘ 0.002 0.054 “" 0.013 -0.004 0.029 (1 .40) (1 .89) (0.05) (3.37) (0.40) (0.22) (1 .42) 40-49 years 0064 -0.032 -0.084 -0.052 ” -0.093 ‘ -0.042 -0.059 ‘ (1.16) (0.51) (1.44) (2.34) (1.88) (1.50) (1.93) 50—52 years 0235 -0.583 “ -0.228 0.102 0.182 -0.053 -0.024 (1 .35) (2.23) (1 .22) (1 .05) (0.69) (0.40) (0.17) 1111 Composition and Business Assets 11 men, aged 20-49 0301 ”‘ -0.276 ‘ -0.267 " -0.247 ”" ~0.336 ‘” -0.254 ‘"” -0.212 ’” (2.74) (1.96) (2.37) (4.16) (2.85) (3.32) (3.19) # women. aged 20-49 0190 0.044 -0.160 -0.002 -0.217 -0.018 -0.229 ‘" (1 .34) (0.29) (l . 10) (0.03) (1.59) (0.25) (2.63) ii men, aged 50+ -0.633 ” -0.826 ”‘ -0.523 ‘ -0.214 ‘ -0.115 -0.276 " 0.391 ‘” (2.29) (2.64) (1 .88) (1.82) (0.49) (1.98) (3.17) 11 women. aged 50+ -0.186 -0.017 -0.124 0.215 “ 0.109 0.229 ‘ -0.188 (0.83) (0.07) (0.55) (1.99) (0.50) (1 .84) (1 .08) Business Assets (million) -0.004 -0.215 ‘” -1.214 ”‘ 0.047 -0.016 -0.365 0.056 (0.17) (3.21) (3.48) (1.27) (0.50) (1.41) (1.38) Month of interview October 0.353 0.344 0.087 0.171 0.648 " 0.307 0.093 (1.06) (0.89) (0.28) (1.00) (2.40) (1 .34) (0.28) November 0.442 0.770 ‘ 0.305 0.087 0.950 "‘ 0.119 0.002 (1 .26) (1.81) (0.93) (0.50) (2.36) (0.47) (0.01) December 0.406 0.473 0.441 0.329 0.562 ' 0.405 0.357 (0.94) (0.97) (1 .06) (1.47) (1 .85) (1 .47) (0.93) January -i.389 ‘” -0.419 -0.991 ” -0.688 ” 0.579 0.179 -0.459 (3.15) (0.86) (2.33) (2.33) (1.47) (0.59) (0.98) Constant 5.588 -4.877 2.557 -2.270 -21.480 ‘” -3.766 ” -5.149 " (1.39) (1.09) (0.66) (1.51) (5.73) (2.51) (2.28) Wald test Own Schooling 397.46 193.92 (0.000) (0.000) Age 74.04 63.35 (0.000) (0.000) iii-i Composition 21.51 75.22 (0.043) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 42.76 84.18 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 27.70 22.36 (0.006) (0.132) Pseudo R ’ 0.164 0.092 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLSZ. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors. and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘”), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses 149 Appendix Table 5.5C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLSZ Men Wom_t_en Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.243 -0.254 0.317 0.073 0.593 0256 -0.029 (0.75) (0.35) (0.91) (0.52) (0.92) (1.54) (0.19) 4-6 years 0.163 0.927 ‘ 0.314 -0.106 0.479 -0.559 “ 0564 ”" (0.60) (1 .67) (1 .03) (0.76) (0.66) (3.34) (3.62) 7-9 years .0361 1.789 “ 0.162 -0.555 " 0.930 -1.527 ‘” -1.087 ‘" (1 . 14) (3.13) (0.46) (3.23) (1 .30) (6.41) (4.91) 10-12 years -0.861 " 2.957 ”" -0.011 -0.608 " 4.428 "“ -0.570 ” -1.589 '“ (2.67) (5.30) (0.03) (3.22) (7.36) (2.84) (5.68) 13+ years -1.334 ” 3.992 "‘ -0.138 (3.11) (6.56) (0.32) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0062 0.115 0.072 0.035 0.487 ”‘ 0.160 ” 0.070 (0.47) (0.74) (0.54) (0.75) (3.79) (2.65) (1.18) 30-39 years 0.094 “ 0.153 ” 0.046 0.059 “ 0.053 0.008 -0.007 (2.14) (3.12) (1.05) (3.22) (1 .59) (0.3 8) (0.36) 40-49 years -0.145 “ -0.159 " -0.189 “‘ -0.057 ” -0.116 ” -0.080 “ -0.026 (2.90) (2.51) (3.58) (2.47) (2.39) (2.44) (1 .01) 50-52 years -0.243 -1.249 ” -0.159 .0025 0.134 -0.153 -0.162 (1.52) (3.37) (0.90) (0.26) (0.53) (0.96) (1.50) HH Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 2049 -0.238 " -0.197 ‘ -0.234 " -0.188 “‘ -0.421 “ -0.182 “ -0.097 " (2.87) (1.81) (2.82) (4.07) (3.32) (2.87) (1 .82) # women, aged 20-49 -0.222 “ -0.192 -0.166 -0.048 -0.247 ” -0.178 “ -0.254 ‘“ (2.09) (1.58) (1 .45) (0.93) (2.03) (2.46) (3.93) ii men, aged 50+ -0.274 -0.221 -0.124 -0.351 ” -0.606 ” -0.332 '” 0.408 '" (1.03) (0.66) (0.43) (3 .3 8) (2.69) (2.49) (3.86) it women, aged 50+ -0.197 -0.133 -0.220 0.107 0.133 0.106 -0.186 (1.18) (0.67) (1 .22) (0.96) (0.63) (0.78) (1 .38) Business Assets (million) 0.188 " 0.146 ‘ -0.229 ’ 0.019 -0.009 .0132 0.026 ‘ (2.29) (1.72) (1.75) (1.64) (0.46) (1.64) (1.95) Month of interview October 0.069 -0.136 0.033 0.483 ” 0.705 “ 0.530 " 0.246 (0.26) (0.41) (0.12) (2.84) (2.22) (2.57) (1.01) November -0.065 -0.383 -0.156 0.629 ”‘ 0.798 ” 0.433 " 0.474 ‘ (0.23) (1.10) (0.53) (3.76) (2.62) (1.91) (1.80) December 0.022 -0.168 0.137 0.801 ‘” 0.561 0.518 ” 0.461 (0.07) (0.46) (0.43) (4.15) (1 .64) (1.99) (1 .59) January 0180 -O.427 0.100 0.363 ‘ 0.450 0.396 0.212 (0.48) (0.85) (0.26) (1.81) (1.07) (1.51) (0.72) Constant 4.833 -4.106 0.687 -1.189 -17.846 "" -4.422 " -1.911 (1.31) (0.94) (0.18) (0.89) (4.83) (2.63) (1.15) Wald test Own Schooling 411.15 270.83 (0.000) (0.000) Age 94.52 66.14 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 22.67 106.08 (0.031) (0.000) 11H Composition and Assets 45.60 117.17 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 5.42 28.82 (0.942) (0.025) Pseudo R’ 0.173 0.091 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLS3. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling and for month of interview is August/September. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%("“), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for Wald test are in parentheses. 150 The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) Appendix Table 5.6A Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: Panel Respondents, iFLSl _ Mg _ Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0029 «0.264 -0.042 0.318 " 0.247 -0.103 0.125 (0.07) (0.36) (0.10) (2.08) (0.58) (0.58) (0.84) 4-6 years 0.318 1.733 “' 0.374 0.174 0.025 -0.653 “‘ -0.284 (0.77) (2.78) (0.91) (1.17) (0.05) (3.74) (1.62) 7-9 years 0.205 2.695 ‘” 0.672 0.025 1.138 ‘ -0.691 “‘ -0.564 ” (0.36) (3.66) (1.18) (0.12) (1 .90) (2.84) (2.11) 10-12 years -0.687 3.833 ”" 0.331 -0.211 4.006 “' 0.071 -1.152 ‘" (1 .27) (5.42) (0.64) (1 .01) (6.72) (0.31) (2.84) 13+ years -2.103 ”‘ 3.422 '" -O.521 (3.68) (5.04) (0.94) F ather's Schooling Some Elementary 0.387 -0.110 0.259 0.104 0.112 -0.325 ' 0.098 (0.91) (0.24) (0.61) (0.79) (0.35) (1.71 ) (0.61) Completed Elementary 0678 ‘ -0.697 " -0.719 ' 0.255 0.054 -0.273 -0.258 (1.79) (1.74) (1.91) (1.63) (0.16) (1.36) (1.33) Secondary/1‘ ertiary -0.662 -0.842 -0.808 -0.014 -0.184 0.120 -0.306 (1.15) (1.47) (1.44) (0.06) (0.50) (0.50) (0.91) Missing 0.160 -0.574 0.347 0.056 -0.044 -0.132 -0.210 (0.36) (1.16) (0. 78) (0.38) (0.11) (0.67) (1.03) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.066 1.025 “ 0.489 -0.103 0.031 0.517 ‘” 0.091 (0.15) (2.23) (1.11) (0.69) (0.12) (2.64) (0.55) Completed Elementary/ 0.894 ‘ 1.180 ” 1.380 ‘" -0.273 0.269 0.092 ~0.465 ” Secondary/Tertiary (1.85) (2.53) (2.93) (1.59) (1.08) (0.44) (2.18) Missing -0.575 0.081 -0.517 -0.048 0.087 0.046 0.301 (1.32) (0.18) (1 .23) (0.32) (0.29) (0.22) (1 .59) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.087 0.231 0.138 0.059 0.508 “‘ 0.085 0.012 (0.70) (1.46) (1.06) (1.02) (4.03) (1.33) (0.20) 30-39 years 0.133 “‘ 0.206 ‘” 0.112 ” 0.081 "‘ 0.026 0.023 0.011 (2.50) (3.68) (2.08) (4.56) (0.82) (1.08) (0.59) 40-49 years -0.115 ‘ -0.113 ‘ -0.168 '“ -0.006 —0.079 ' 0.007 0.033 (1.91) (1.75) (2.81) (0.29) (1.66) (0.22) (1.42) 50-52 years 0.192 0.450 0.379 0.049 0.092 -0.270 ‘ -0.230 ‘ (0.70) (1 .57) (1 .41) (0.47) (0.37) (1.69) (1.80) “H Composition and Business Assets ii men, aged 20.49 -0.730 “‘ -0.286 -0.562 ”‘ -0.379 ‘” -0.289 “' -0.424 “" -0.057 (4.00) (1.38) (3.01) (4.52) (2.01) (3.73) (0.74) 11 women, aged 20-49 -0.032 0.256 0.075 0.065 -0.075 -0.019 -0.432 “‘ (0.10) (0.72) (0.22) (0.68) (0.45) (0.16) (3.19) ii men, aged 50+ -1.208 ‘" -1.461 “" -1.050 "' -0.458 ‘” -0.269 -0.514 ‘” 0.203 (3.32) (3.52) (2.88) (3.15) (1.00) (3.23) (1.55) it women. aged 50+ 0.111 0.143 0.221 0.110 0.523 " 0.269 -0.444 ” (0.32) (0.39) (0.65) (0.80) (1.98) (1 .61) (2.27) Business Assets (million) 0.436 ' -0.101 -1.020 ' 0.057 0.061 -0.405 0.089 “ (1.73) (0.37) (1.66) (1.38) (0.95) (1.18) (2.00) Constant 1.114 -8.414 ‘ -1.036 -2.841 ' ~18.591 ‘" -3.0|1 ‘ -0.675 (0.33) (1.90) (0.29) (1.69) (5.22) (1 .66) (0.41 ) Wald test Own Schooling 314.28 193.08 (0.000) (0.000) Father‘s Schooling 27.35 21.86 (0.007) (0.148) Mother's Schooling 46.85 25.16 (0.000) (0.014) Parental Schooling 62.73 42.61 (0.000) (0.038) Age 79.43 74.86 (0.000) (0.000) 1111 Composition 45.36 59.82 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 54.68 68.79 (0.000) (0.000) Month of Interview 24.41 47.61 (0.018) (0.000) Pseudo R ’ 0.186 0.105 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLSl. Base category for men is nonparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is nonparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("”), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 151 Appendix Table 5.6B Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) Panel Respondents, iFLSZ _ Me_n 4 Women _ Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.317 -0.602 0.381 0.236 0.911 0.002 0.101 (1.06) (1.01) (1.20) (1.62) (1.49) (0.01) (0.52) 4-6 years 0.524 ‘ 1.023 “ 0.556 " 0.098 0.439 -0.694 ‘” -0.202 (1.86) (2.37) (1.83) (0.75) (0.80) (4.34) (1.14) 7-9 years —0.120 1.498 “" 0.219 —0.274 1.915 ”‘ -l.233 “‘ -0.530 “ (0.32) (3.06) (0.58) (1.43) (3.00) (5.21) (2.14) 10-12 years -0.l33 3.184 ”‘ 0.528 -0.522 ” 4.734 ”" -0.i 15 -0.562 ' (0.39) (6.82) (1.38) (2.34) (7.10) (0.53) (1.75) 13+ years 0.084 4.411 ‘” 1.285 ‘ (0.12) (6.34) (1.87) Father's Schooling Some Elementary -0.381 -0.638 -0.270 0.399 ‘" 0.689 " 0.380 ” -0.029 (1.23) (1.60) (0.82) (2.86) (2.15) (2.29) (0.14) Completed Elementary 0244 ~0.173 -0.101 0.226 0.371 0.064 -0.384 ‘ (0.53) (0.35) (0.22) (1.55) (1.03) (0.33) (1.67) Secondaryfi‘em'ary -l.307 “‘ -l.459 ‘“ -l.185 “' 0.202 -0.015 0.245 -0.834 ” (2.62) (2.76) (2.37) (0.95) (0.04) (1.03) (2.56) Missing -0.209 -0.728 -0.042 0.131 -0.184 0.473 “ -0.530 " (0.40) ( 1.23) (0.08) (0.75) (0.39) (2.05) (i .79) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.221 0.645 ‘ 0.274 -0.396 ”' 0.081 0.359 “ -0.238 (0.63) (1.69) (0.77) (2.81 ) (0.27) (2.00) (1.18) Completed Elementary/ 1.017 " 1.393 ” 1.313 “‘ -0.417 ”‘ 0.360 —0.023 0175 Secondary/Tertiary (2.05) (2.57) (2.66) (2.91) (1.37) (0.11) (0.76) Missing 0132 0.133 0.198 -0.323 ‘ 0.402 -0.288 0.341 (0.27) (0.24) (0.41) (1.77) (0.86) (1.20) (1.12) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years -0.113 0.122 0.00001 0.055 0.563 '" 0.110 ” 0.158 “ (0.79) (0.77) (0.00) (1.01) (4.19) (2.05) (2.13) 30-39 years 0.069 0.105 ” 0.008 0.053 "‘ 0.028 -0.006 0.025 (1.51) (2.16) (0.18) (3.29) (0.81) (0.29) (1.24) 40-49 years -0.061 -0.035 ~0.078 ~0.050 “ -0.098 ‘ -0.041 -0.062 ” (1.11) (0.55) (1.35) (2.23) (1.87) (1.45) (2.02) 50-52 years -0.228 -O.539 “ -0.234 0.110 0.188 -0.043 -0.024 (1.31) (2.02) (1.26) (1.15) (0.68) (0.33) (0.16) “H Composition and Business Assets 11 men, aged 20-49 0298 ‘” —0.283 ” —0.268 “ -0.247 ‘” -0.343 “‘ -0.252 ‘” -0.206 ”‘ (2.73) (2.03) (2.38) (4.15) (2.97) (3.27) (3.12) # women, aged 2049 -0.214 0.035 -0.187 -0.0002 -0.211 0.023 -0.223 ” (1.51) (0.23) (1.30) (0.00) (1.53) (0.32) (2.55) ii men, aged 50+ -0.645 ” -0.803 " -0.54l " -0.224 ‘ -0.105 -0.279 ” 0.379 ‘“ (2.35) (2.55) (1.97) (1.90) (0.45) (1.99) (3.08) 111 women, aged 50+ 0204 -0.012 -0.106 0.195 ‘ 0.137 0.221 ' -0.203 (0.92) (0.05) (0.48) (1 .80) (0.63) (1 .76) (1.14) Business Assets (million) -0.003 -0.208 ‘” -i.l72 ”‘ 0.047 -0.018 -0.352 0.057 (0.14) (3.21) (3.38) (1.32) (0.57) (1.40) (1.41) Constant 6.046 -4.281 2.764 —2.195 -2l.274 ’“ ~3.693 " ~5.150 ” (1.50) (0.95) (0.72) (1.45) (5.72) (2.46) (2.27) Wald test Own Schooling 331.25 165.61 (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 17.38 37.18 (0.136) (0.002) Mother’s Schooling 15.22 27.93 (0.085) (0.006) Parental Schooling 43.78 63.23 (0.002) (0.000) Age 72.54 63.84 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 22.26 74.35 (0.035) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 42.03 82.12 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 27.87 22.17 (0.006) (0.138) Pseudo R ’ 0.171 0.098 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: lFLSZ. Base category for men is norparticipation and family worker sectors, and for women is norparticipation. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%(‘“), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for Wald test are in parentheses. 152 Appendix Table 5.6C Multinomial Logit for Sector Choice Model: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling (Base Specification) Panel Respondents, iFLS3 Me_n _ Women 1 Self Public Private Self Public Private Family Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Worker Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.178 0326 0.234 0.089 0.638 -0.265 0.029 (0.54) (0.44) (0.67) (0.63) (0.98) (1.62) (0.19) 4-6 years 0.129 0.862 0.215 -0.110 0.468 «0.592 "' -0.450 ” (0.47) (1.52) (0.70) (0.77) (0.64) (3.43) (2.86) 7-9 years -0.362 1.719 ” 0.037 -0.544 ” 0.947 -1.566 ‘” -0.842 ”‘ (1.14) (2.99) (0.10) (3.06) (1.31) (6.63) (3.67) 10-12 years -0.747 ” 2.958 ”‘ -0.116 -0.576 ” 4.486 ”‘ ~0.620 “ -1.133 ‘” (2.21) (5.10) (0.32) (2.88) (7.47) (2.78) (3.76) 13+ years -1.168 “" 4.001 ”‘ -0.254 (2.57) (6.29) (0.57) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 1.172 ” 1.065 ” 1.134 ” 0.023 -0.090 -0.051 -0.l20 (2.80) (2.40) (2.66) (0.16) (0.27) (0.27) (0.69) Completed Elementary 0.182 0.255 0.361 0.106 0.110 -0.185 -0314 s (0.66) (0.80) (1.27) (0.78) (0.39) (1.06) (1.90) Secondary/Tertiary -0.168 0.075 0.174 0.001 -0.367 -0.220 -0.860 ” (0.45) (0.19) (0.47) (0.01) (1.12) (0.96) (2.74) Missing -0.174 ~O.274 -0.034 0.003 -0.614 0.046 -0.153 (0.55) (0. 72) (0.11) (0.02) (1 .50) (0.23) (0.80) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0396 -0.305 -0.445 0.078 0.187 0.338 ‘ 0.085 (1.19) (0.81) (1.32) (0.52) (0.66) (1.78) (0.45) Completed Elementary! -0.559 " 0.381 -0.117 0.169 0.067 0.280 -0.334 ‘ Secondary/Tertiary (1.92) (1.22) (0.39) (1.20) (0.24) (1.53) (1.89) Missing -0.353 -0.184 0.017 -0.425 “ -1.025 " 0.161 -0.339 (0.95) (0.43) (0.05) (2.94) (1.96) (0.82) (1.61) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years -0.047 0.119 0.080 0.039 0.478 ‘“ 0.161 “ 0.079 (0.36) (0.76) (0.59) (0.84) (3.71 ) (2.66) (1.34) 30-39 years 0.093 ” 0.154 " 0.047 0.060 ” 0.059 ‘ 0.010 -0.009 (2.11) (3.16) (1.08) (3.26) (1 .67) (0.48) (0.45) 40-49 years -0.l40 ” -0.158 “ -0.190 ‘” -0.053 “ -0.117 " -0.078 " -0.023 (2.76) (2.45) (3.54) (2.29) (2.38) (2.39) (0.91) 50-52 years -0.242 -1.237 " -0.137 -0.026 0.142 -0.157 -0.169 (1.47) (3.29) (0.75) (0.27) (0.57) (0.99) (1.56) 1111 Composition and Business Assets # men. aged 20.49 -0.233 "' -O.197 ‘ -O.24l ” -0.188 '” -0.427 " -0.180 " -0.097 ‘ (2.76) (1.81) (2.84) (4.07) (3.29) (2.84) (1.80) 8 women, aged 20-49 ~0.217 ” -0.186 -0.159 -0.049 -0.232 ' -0.l74 ” -0.252 ”‘ (2.07) ( 1.55) ( 1.40) (0.96) (1.91) (2.41) (3.86) # men, aged 50+ -0.300 -0.230 -0.121 -0.351 " -0.625 “' ~0.33l "' 0.405 ‘” (1.12) (0.69) (0.42) (3.38) (2.81) (2.49) (3.80) 8 women. aged 50+ 0224 -0.156 ~0.220 0.080 0.121 0.100 -0.216 (1.35) (0.78) (1.22) (0.71) (0.57) (0.73) (1.62) Business Assets (million) 0.184 ” 0.142 ‘ -0.219 ‘ 0.019 -0.012 -0.129 0.027 " (2.28) (1.70) (1.72) (1.59) (0.54) (1.63) (1.89) Constant 4.461 -4.174 0.406 -1.258 -17.522 '” -4.479 ” -2.035 (1.20) (0.95) (0.11) (0.95) (4.73) (2.65) (1.23) Wald test Own Schooling 364.42 268.22 (0.000) (0.000) Father’s Schooling 14.53 21.38 (0.268) (0.164) Mother‘s Schooling 15.62 23.70 (0.075) (0.022) Parental Schooling 48.09 53.45 (0.001) (0.003) Age 91.45 66.39 (0.000) (0.000) HH Composition 23.75 104.61 (0.022) (0.000) HH Composition and Assets 45.31 1 15.79 (0.000) (0.000) Month of interview 4.94 29.11 (0.960) (0.023) Pseudo R ’ 0.180 0097 Observations 2,797 3,722 Source: iFLS3. 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Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l°/o(“"), 5°/o(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 158 Table 6.28 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.268 "" 0.113 0.191 " 0.122 (2.88) (1.25) (1.71) (1.01) 4-6 years 0.452 ‘" 0.351 ”‘ 0.270 ”" 0.430 ”" (5.43) (4.68) (2.64) (3.85) 7-9 years 0.875 ”‘ 0.013 0.772 "" 0.693 *" 0.126 0.865 "‘ (8.59) (0.08) (8.90) (4.91) (0.50) (5.44) 10-12 years 1.079 "" 0.192 0.912 “" 1.033 "‘ -0.012 1.464 "" (8.36) (0.76) (1 1.13) (6.66) (0.03) (12.56) 13+ years 1.914 "" 0.414 1.433 *“ (9.01) (1.31) (12.97) Age (spline) 25-29 years -0.004 0.026 0.045 ‘“" -0.044 0.018 0.082 "W (0.09) (0.30) (2.30) (0.83) (0.23) (2.72) 30-39 years 0.017 “ 0.010 0.022 """" 0.042 ""' 0.015 0.022 " (1 .67) (0.58) (2.98) (2.68) (0.69) (1.77) 40-49 years -0.018 "' 0.026 "" 0.000 -0.024 " 0.027 0.019 (1 .83) (2.67) (0.05) (2.05) (1 .47) (1 .27) 50-59 years -0.009 0.006 -0.027 ‘ 0.011 0.012 -0.049 " (0.74) (0.33) (1 .78) (0.74) (0.44) (1 .90) Month of interview October 0137 -O.178 " -0.041 -0.182 -0.247 “ 0.100 (1.24) (2.04) (0.53) (1.53) (2.12) (0.84) November -0.211 “ -O.l84 ‘ -0.033 -0.091 -0.395 "’ 0.045 (1.92) (1.87) (0.45) (0.80) (2.72) (0.37) December 0.038 -0.058 0.045 0.175 -O.151 0.010 (0.34) (0.61) (0.55) (1.19) (1.11) (0.08) January-April -0.066 0.006 0.155 "' 0.271 0.061 0.334 ” (0.47) (0.06) (1 .80) (1.18) (0.44) (2.04) Selection Coefficient -0.162 -0.313 -0.065 -0.074 -0.405 -0.796 "W (0.84) (1 .41) (0.54) (0.29) (1.65) (3.09) Constant 6.257 "* 6.874 " 4.914 ”" 7.119 *" 7.662 "'" 4.296 "‘ (4.60) (2.43) (8.37) (4.42) (2.70) (5.41) F-test Own Schooling 23.22 2.63 59.02 13.97 0.30 49.22 (0.000) (0.050) (0.000) (0.000) (0.738) (0.000) Age 2.40 5.98 10.05 1.95 4.32 6.55 (0.050) (0.000) (0.000) (0.101) (0.002) (0.000) Month of interview 1.86 2.13 1.76 2.62 3.63 1.42 (0.1 16) (0.077) (0.137) (0.035) (0.007) (0.228) Adjusted R 2 0.102 0.219 0.196 0.063 0.203 0.298 Root MSE 1.158 0.642 0.820 1.232 0.598 0.950 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1,480 309 992 Source: lFLSZ. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute l-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(""), 5%(") and 10°/o("‘) indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 159 Table 6.2C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling IFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.215 " 0.191 “ 0.260 " 0.335 ’” (2.06) (1 .98) (2.40) (3.31) 46 years 0.390 ‘" 0.387 "" 0.314 ”“ 0.419 ""' (4.21) (4.76) (3.32) (4.12) 7-9 years 0.698 ”"‘ 0.209 0.646 '" 0.535 "" 0.331 0.867 "" (6.42) (1 .26) (7.42) (4.83) (1.03) (5.68) 10-12 years 1.053 "”" 0.637 “ 0.915 """' 0.824 *" 0.355 1.492 “" (8.54) (2.22) (10.69) (6.69) (0.61) (13.79) 13+ years 1.652 “" 0.978 ” 1.424 ““" (10.19) (2.49) (14.06) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.035 0.070 0.005 0.097 " 0.062 0.015 (1.22) (1 .06) (0.32) (2.01) (0.60) (0.55) 30-39 years 0.009 0.043 " 0.018 "" 0.017 -0.044 0.013 (0.99) (2.05) (2.95) (1.32) (1.18) (1.24) 40-49 years 0.006 0.025 "' 0.007 0.005 0.028 " 0.004 (0.67) (2.24) (0.90) (0.46) (1 .70) (0.32) 50-59 years -0.031 ‘" 0.015 -0.032 " -0.019 0.051 " -0.013 (2.73) (0.64) (2.54) (1.28) (2.15) (0.59) Month of interview August 0171 " 0.010 0.016 -0.113 0.065 -0.032 (2.26) (0.10) (0.30) (1.05) (0.48) (0.30) September -0. 136 -0.062 0.013 -0. 106 -0.027 -0.046 (1 .54) (0.69) (0.25) (0.96) (0.21) (0.40) October -0.097 0.004 0.135 “ -0.098 0.150 0.013 (1 .01) (0.04) (2.44) (0.88) (0.96) (0.1 1) November-January 0.022 0.150 0.223 "" -0.074 0.064 0.200 " (0.22) (1 .28) (3.78) (0.57) (0.43) (1.75) Selection Coefficient -0.487 "" -0.035 0.034 0.363 -0.729 " -0.267 (3.02) (0.13) (0.44) (1 .24) (2.26) (1 .02) Constant 6.249 “* 5.186 ” 6.448 ‘" 3.328 ” 7.376 " 6.009 ""' (7.20) (2.30) (14.89) (2.11) (2.31) (8.52) F -test Own Schooling 24.61 2.51 76.49 12.87 0.53 56.60 (0.000) (0.05 8) (0.000) (0.000) (0.591) (0.000) Age 3.16 5.46 6.99 2.46 3.81 1.17 (0.014) (0.000) (0.000) (0.045) (0.005) (0.321) Month of interview 1.88 1.37 5.17 0.32 0.55 2.27 (0.1 1 1) (0.242) (0.000) (0.866) (0.697) (0.060) Adjusted R 2 0.075 0.249 0.181 0.042 0.299 0.263 Root MSE 1.152 0.682 0.810 1.242 0.673 0.946 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1,376 Source: IFLS3. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is June/July. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("”), 5%("”") and lO°/o(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 160 Table 6.3 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Own Schooling Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector A. Cross Section Sample Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.125 "" 0.080 ""'* 0.108 "" 0.079 "“ 0.081 0.123 ‘” IFLSZ 0.089 “" 0.039 0.087 “"' 0.076 "'* -0.019 0.116 *" IFLS3 0.087 "‘ 0.054 0.084 “" 0.060 “* 0.044 0.114 "'"" Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.104 0.108 0.180 0.067 4-6 years 0.453 "“" 0.501 "" 0.509 "* 0.301 " 7-9 years 1.024 "* 0.157 0.781 "‘ 0.739 ‘" 0.490 ‘ 0.731 “* 10-12 years b) 1.368 ""‘ 0.563 "" 1.177 ”" 0.952 "" 1.453 “* 1.707 ”* 13+ years 2.190 "" 0.921 "" 1.793 "" IFLSZ l-3 years a) 0.268 """ 0.113 0.191 ‘ 0.122 4-6 years 0.452 ""‘ 0.351 *“ 0.270 "“" 0.430 "'" 7-9 years 0.875 ""‘ 0.013 0.772 *" 0.693 ”" 0.126 0.865 “" 10-12 years b) 1.079 "'" 0.192 0.912 "’" 1.033 "" -0.012 1.464 *" 13+ years 1.914 "" 0.414 1.433 "" IFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.215 "”' 0.191 *" 0.260 " 0.335 "* 4-6 years 0.390 ”" 0.387 “"“ 0.314 "”“ 0.419 *" 7-9 years 0.698 "" 0.209 0.646 ”" 0.535 "* 0.331 0.867 "* 10-12 years b) 1.053 ”"' 0.637 " 0.915 "" 0.824 ‘”" 0.355 1.492 "* 13+ years 1.652 ”‘* 0.978 " 1.424 "'" B. Panel Sample Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.101 ”" 0.072 ” 0.092 "* 0.054 *” 0.052 0.116 ”" IFLSZ 0.109 "* 0.038 0.088 "”" 0.081 *" 0.013 0.115 ““ IFLS3 0.097 "“ 0.080 " 0.089 "'" 0.073 "" 0.125 "" 0.095 *" Non-linear Own Schooling IFLS] 1-3 years a) 0.092 0.120 0.049 0.172 4-6 years 0.296 ""‘ 0.387 "‘ 0.355 " 0.294 “ 7-9 years 0.821 "'" 0.251 0.680 "" 0.543 *" 0.291 0.691 *" 10-12 years b) 1.124 "" 0.816 “" 1.012 "W 0.497 " 1.142 ” 1.652 "'" 13+ years 1.925 *” 1.103 ”" 1.523 ""‘ IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.368 ”" 0.120 0.134 0.075 4-6 years 0.405 **"‘ 0.407 ““ 0.235 " 0.232 " 7-9 years 0.964 ‘"” 0.010 0.876 "'" 0.774 "" 0.192 0.463 """ 10-12 years b) 1.391 “'" 0.558 "‘ 0.961 "" 1.153 ”" 0.501 1.687 "" 13+ years 2.079 "i' 0.796 '” 1.332 "" IFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.288 " 0.350 " 0.128 0.291 '"‘ 4.6 years 0.411 ““ 0.427 ”'" 0.214 " 0.278 " 7-9 years 0.765 ”" 0.172 0.864 '" 0.490 "'" 0.343 0.654 "‘ 10-12 years b) 1.277 ‘” 0.793 " 1.074 "" 1.113 ”‘ 1.773 "" 1.366 "" 13+ years 2.217 *"'"‘ 1.081 "' 1.595 "" Source: Based on estimates of Appendix Table 6.1A, 6.1B, 6.1C, Table 6.2A, 6.28, 6.2C, Appendix Table 6.6A, 6.6B, 6.6C, and Appendix Table 6.7A, 6.7B, 6.7C. a) Omitted category for public sector workers is 0-6 years. b) 10+ years for women. 161 Table 6.4A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling lFLSi Men Wom_e_n Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0044 0.100 0.139 0.047 (0.50) (1.11) (1.16) (0.43) 4-6 years 0.361 ‘" 0.478 ”“ 0.413 ”’ 0.243 ‘ (4.06) (6. 10) (3.46) (1.95) 7-9 years 0.922 ‘” 0.140 0.743 “‘ 0.584 '“ 0.450 0.634 ”" (7.86) (1.02) (8.23) (3.58) (1.50) (3.76) 10-12 years 1.259 ‘" 0.497 ” 1.096 ‘" 0.718 "" 1.160 ‘ 1.507 ‘" (7.87) (2.32) (11.32) (3.67) (1 .82) (8.47) 13+ years 2.026 ”" 0.826 “‘ 1.677 ‘" (7.17) (3.30) (11.56) F ather's Schooling Some Elementary 0.191 " 0.111 0.006 0.105 -0.040 0.104 (2.32) (1 . 1 1) (0.08) (0.84) (0.24) (0.89) Completed Elementary 0.170 ‘ 0.006 0.051 0.159 -0.237 0.193 (1.68) (0.06) (0.63) (1.35) (1 .54) (1.45) Secondaryffeniary 0.208 -0.028 0.158 0.264 -0.006 0.232 (1.26) (0.26) (1.64) (1.38) (0.04) (1.12) Missing 0.089 0.051 -0.023 -0.071 -0.084 0.124 (0.98) (0.40) (0.24) (0.62) (0.49) (1.04) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.189 “ —0.021 0.021 0.148 0.111 0.026 (2.01 ) (0.23) (0.28) (1.18) (1 .04) (0.21) Completed Elementary/ 0.376 "‘ 0.164 "' 0.102 0.281 " 0.152 0.123 Secondary/Tertiary (3.42) (1 .98) (1 .24) (1 .97) (1 .25) (0.82) Missing 0.180 ” 0.089 0.073 0.098 0.080 -0.076 (2.29) (0.85) (0.85) (0.90) (0.50) (0.60) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.043 0.000 0.074 ‘" 0.081 0.084 0.104 “‘ (1.07) (0.01) (2.72) (1.53) (0.92) (2.53) 30-39 years 0.014 0.041 ”" 0.005 0.027 0.035 " -0.008 (1.24) (3.33) (0.69) (1.63) (2.53) (0.55) 40-49 years 0020 ‘ 0.020 0.014 -0.020 0.031 ” 0.003 (1.94) (1.51) (1.57) (1.46) (2.08) (0.17) 50-59 years 0.014 -0.004 -0.055 "“ 0.013 0.009 -0.028 (0.99) (0.19) (2.63) (0.61) (0.27) (1 .12) Gross income 0.091 0.325 ‘” (1.33) (3.20) Selection Coefficient —0.760 “" -0.154 0.105 0.845 ““ -0.120 -0.052 (4.19) (0.85) (1.27) (2.82) (0.29) (0.33) Constant 4.352 ”“ 6.608 ”" 3.273 '” 1.509 3.847 2.411 "‘ (3.93) (3.73) (4.22) (0.94) (1 .03) (2.06) F-test Own Schooling 21.58 7.21 44.84 6.49 1.65 20.45 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.196) (0.000) Father's Schooling 1.64 0.67 1.01 1.04 2.22 0.71 (0.165) (0.614) (0.400) (0.387) (0.070) (0.589) Mother's Schooling 5.07 1.88 0.65 1.44 0.75 0.41 (0.002) (0.134) (0.585) (0.2 32) (0.521) (0.744) Parental Schooling 5.38 l .08 1.33 1.82 1.59 0.98 (0.000) (0.378) (0.236) (0.083) (0.143) (0.443) Age 2.11 7.20 6.01 2.76 13.54 2.32 (0.080) (0.000) (0.000) (0.028) (0.000) (0.058) Adjusted R 2 0.130 0.297 0.266 0.095 0.484 0.303 Root MSE 1.162 0.665 0.820 1.223 0.584 0.906 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: lFLSl. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘”), 5%(“) and 10%(‘) indicated. p- values for F -test are in parentheses. 162 Table 6.43 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schoollng IFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schoollng 1-3 years 0.171 ‘ 0.106 0.194 "' 0.028 (1.87) (1.18) (1.65) (0.23) 4-6 years 0.354 "‘ 0.323 "" 0.230 “ 0.194 (4.26) (4.33) (2.05) (1.53) 7-9 years 0.841 ‘” 0.169 0.699 "*" 0.544 "" 0.114 0.461 " (8.56) (1 .23) (7.99) (3.69) (0.38) (2.36) 10-12 years 1.173 ""' 0.546 “‘ 0.793 ‘" 0.770 "" 0132 1.170 ”" (8.99) (2.67) (9.46) (4.60) (0.20) (8.56) 13+ years 2.121 “" 0.871 "‘ 1.220 ‘“” (10.16) (3.47) (10.31) Father's Schoollng Some Elementary 0.280 *" -0.042 0.052 0.165 " -0.114 0.024 (3.03) (0.43) (0.79) (1 .70) (0.68) (0.19) Completed Elementary 0.179 " 0.033 0.097 0.314 '" -0.135 0.097 (1.80) (0.34) (1 .49) (2.70) (0.95) (0.80) Secondary/1‘ ertiary 0.494 "‘ -0.148 0.219 ‘“ 0.505 ”" -0.070 0.369 “ (3 .59) (1 .30) (2.69) (2.82) (0.47) (2.40) Missing 0.270 " .0142 0.053 0.115 -0.208 0.047 (2.1 1) (0.72) (0.62) (0.83) (0.91) (0.39) Mother's Schoollng Some Elementary 0.064 0.059 0.101 " 0.073 0.113 0.009 (0.70) (0.65) (1 .70) (0.59) (1.01) (0.08) Completed Elementary/ 0.373 "" 0.162 " 0.207 ‘” -0.084 0.062 0.228 ” Secondary/1‘ ertiary (3.72) (2.13) (3.41) (0.59) (0.49) (2.28) Missing 0.048 0.057 0.130 0189 0.270 0.127 (0.40) (0.29) (1.58) (1.17) (0.91) (1.03) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0062 0.069 0.049 " -0.031 0.013 0.055 ‘ (1 .44) (0.83) (2.54) (0.57) (0.15) (1.74) 30-39 years 0.010 0.030 ‘ 0.019 ”" 0.051 "" 0.006 0.008 (0.96) (1 .92) (2.61) (3.12) (0.20) (0.63) 40-49 years 0022 ” 0.031 “" —0.003 -0.021 " 0.033 0.019 (2.25) (3.15) (0.33) (1.81) (1.34) (1.26) 50-59 years 0.001 -0.007 -0.027 ‘ 0.012 0.009 -0.076 “‘ (0.06) (0.40) (1 .80) (0.80) (0.31) (2.82) Selection Coefficient -0.922 “" 0.016 0.150 0.181 -0.491 -0.074 (4.46) (0.09) (1.15) (0.58) (1 .27) (0.25) Constant 8.443 "" 4.718 " 4.523 ”" 6.259 ‘" 8.126 ” 4.061 “"' (6.52) (1 .79) (7.85) (3.66) (2.26) (5. 10) F-test Own Schooling 27.55 6.48 37.45 6.50 0.39 30.30 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.675) (0.000) Father's Schooling 4.02 2.08 1.86 2.54 0.49 2.32 (0.003) (0.083) (0.1 15) (0.040) (0.747) (0.057) Mother’s Schooling 5.24 1.54 3.99 1.01 0.50 2.27 (0.001) (0.204) (0.008) (0.388) (0.685) (0.081) Parental Schooling 6.96 1.92 5.56 2.63 0.39 3.83 (0.000) (0.066) (0.000) (0.012) (0.908) (0.001) Age 2.13 7.72 8.67 2.48 3.56 4.60 (0.076) (0.000) (0.000) (0.044) (0.008) (0.001) Adjusted R 2 0.121 0.223 0.207 0.070 0.190 0.306 Root MSE 1.146 0.641 0.814 1.227 0.603 0.945 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1 .480 309 992 Source: IFLSZ. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Signifith at the l%(“‘), 5%(") and 10%(") indicated. p - values for F -test are in parentheses. 163 Table 6.4C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schoollng and Parental Schooling IFLSJ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.186 ‘ 0.193 “ 0.219 ” 0.280 "" (1.82) (2.01) (1.99) (2.64) 4-6 years 0.354 ‘” 0.377 “" 0.246 " 0.334 ‘" (3.92) (4.66) (2.59) (3.19) 7-9 years 0.677 "" 0.286 0.618 ”" 0.435 ”"' 0.168 0.590 “‘ (6.36) (1 .58) (7.13) (3.77) (0.50) (3.49) 10-12 years 1.086 ‘” 0.821 “ 0.847 "”‘ 0.692 ”" -0.107 1.205 ‘“ (8.62) (2.38) (9.83) (5.08) (0.14) (9.53) 13+ years 1.644 "‘ 1.218 "" 1.275 ”" (9.96) (2.61) (12.09) F ather's Schooling Some Elementary -0.072 -0.053 -0.024 0.052 -0.049 -0.031 (1.07) (0.53) (0.42) (0.51) (0.26) (0.34) Completed Elementary 0.032 0.002 0.025 0.089 -0.007 0.025 (0.46) (0.03) (0.50) (1.06) (0.04) (0.27) Secondary/Tertiary 0.145 0.083 0.117 ” 0.246 ” 0.168 0.460 “" (1.52) (0.85) (2.04) (2.06) (0.94) (4.40) Missing —0.158 ‘ -0.056 -0.061 0.120 0.276 0.081 (1.92) (0.35) (0.92) (1.20) (1.06) (0.86) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.160 "' 0.001 0.030 0.034 0.047 -0.079 (2.24) (0.01) (0.57) (0.34) (0.45) (0.91) Completed Elementary/ 0.325 ”‘ 0027 0.103 ""' 0.130 0.013 0.061 Secondaryf Tertiary (4.31) (0.34) (2.1 1) (1.40) (0.12) (0.65) Missing 0.298 ”" -0.195 0.122 0.100 -0.192 «0.109 (3.09) (1.15) (1 .63) (0.88) (0.88) (1 .06) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.021 0.087 0.006 0.082 " 0.051 -0.005 (0.70) (1 .24) (0.37) (1.65) (0.48) (0.20) 30-39 years 0.008 0.056 " 0.017 “" 0.013 -0.068 0.011 (0.85) (2.33) (2.71) (0.99) (1.41) (1.07) 40-49 years 0.005 0.030 ” 0.006 0.004 0.038 ' -0.004 (0.57) (2.38) (0.72) (0.29) (1 .84) (0.32) 50-59 years 0030 "‘ 0.008 -0.035 ”‘ -0.017 0.052 ” -0.025 (2.60) (0.31) (2.75) (1.10) (2.25) (1.16) Selection Coefficient -0.899 ”‘ 0.147 0.148 0.128 -0.962 “ 0.315 (4.65) (0.45) (1.52) (0.38) (2.15) (1.10) Constant 6.936 “" 4.186 " 6.302 ”‘ 4.048 " 8.509 “' 5.805 ”" (7.70) (1.66) (14.30) (2.40) (2.27) (8.39) F-test Own Schooling 23.91 2.75 50.82 7.34 0.32 28.12 (0.000) (0.043) (0.000) (0.000) (0.730) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.14 0.55 1.86 1.21 1.05 7.71 (0.075) (0.700) (0.1 15) (0.306) (0.384) (0.000) Mother’s Schooling 7.59 0.53 1.93 0.78 0.46 1.11 (0.000) (0.663) (0.123) (0.503) (0.709) (0.343) Parental Schooling 5.41 0.63 2.87 1.65 0.90 5.03 (0.000) (0.728) (0.006) (0.1 19) (0.507) (0.000) Age 2.39 5.94 6.60 1.48 4.16 0.91 (0.050) (0.000) (0.000) (0.206) (0.003) (0.458) Adjusted R 2 0.086 0.247 0.185 0.044 0.297 0.277 Root MSE 1.146 0.682 0.808 1.240 0.674 0.937 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1,376 Source: 1F LS3. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%("‘), S%(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p - values for F -test are in parentheses. 164 Table 6.5 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of Non-Linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector A. Cross Section Sample IFLS] 1-3 years a) 0.044 0.100 0.139 0.047 4-6 years 0.361 ‘” 0.478 “" 0.413 "“" 0.243 " 7-9 years 0.922 *" 0.140 0.743 *" 0.584 ""' 0.450 0.634 "‘ 10—12 years b) 1.259 "" 0.497 *" 1.096 "" 0.718 ““ 1.160 " 1.507 "" 13+ years 2.026 "“ 0.826 "* 1.677 "”" IF L82 1-3 years a) 0.171 " 0.106 0.194 "' 0.028 4-6 years 0.354 "”" 0.323 "'" 0.230 " 0.194 7-9 years 0.841 ‘“" 0.169 0.699 "* 0.544 *"”" 0.114 0.461 "‘"' 10-12 years b) 1.173 """' 0.546 "‘ 0.793 *" 0.770 "* -0.132 1.170 *" 13+ years 2.121 ”" 0.871 "" 1.220 ”"' 1F LS3 1-3 years a) 0.186 ‘ 0.193 "”" 0.219 "”" 0.280 "" 4-6 years 0.354 "‘" 0.377 “" 0.246 "' 0.334 *" 7-9 years 0.677 ‘” 0.286 0.618 *” 0.435 “'“ 0.168 0.590 "* 10-12 years b) 1.086 "" 0.821 "”' 0.847 "”” 0.692 "“" -0.107 1.205 "" 13+ years 1.644 "“ 1.218 "" 1.275 "* 3. Panel Sample iFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.019 0.137 0.020 0.164 4-6 years 0.196 "' 0.385 ""' 0.247 0.239 “ 7-9 years 0.685 *” 0.287 0.670 ""” 0.360 "' 0.358 0.585 "”""‘ 10-12 years b) 0.979 ‘" 0.902 " 0.969 """" 0.258 1.188 1.440 “" 13+ years 1.745 ”" 1.196 "'" 1.452 "'" IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.303 "’ 0.112 0.116 0.069 4-6 years 0.309 "" 0.353 "" 0.158 0.111 7-9 years 0.846 ""‘ 0.214 0.771 ""' 0.628 "" 0.405 0.226 10-12 years b) 1.289 "" 1.028 "”" 0.776 '1‘” 0.921 “" 1.237 "‘ 1.332 ‘" 13+ years 2.038 "" 1.385 "”" 1.097 ”" iFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.228 "' 0.345 “ 0.105 0.305 " 4-6 years 0.324 *" 0.399 "" 0.167 0.252 "‘ 7-9 years 0.696 "" 0.199 0.810 ”"‘ 0.428 ‘“ 0.277 0.490 "' 10-12 years b) 1.281 *" 0.834 " 0.968 "'" 1.084 "" 1.544 "" 1.140 """" 13+ years 2.302 "“ 1.153 “ 1.406 “" Source: Based on estimates of Table 6.4A, 6.4B, 6.4C and Appendix Table 6.8A, 6.88, 6.8C. a) Omitted category for public sector workers is 0-6 years. b) 10+ years for women. 165 Table 6.6A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schoollng and Residency IFLS] Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.017 —0.026 0.053 -0.026 (0.21 ) (0.33) (0.48) (0.25) 4-6 years 0.270 ”‘ 0.271 "" 0.377 ”" 0.109 (3.25) (3.91) (3.36) (0.97) 7-9 years 0.760 "‘ 0.139 0.441 "'“ 0.510 “‘ 0.125 0.423 ” (7.09) (1 .05) (5.19) (3.1 1) (0.43) (2.23) 10-12 years 1.095 "‘" 0.504 " 0.776 "" 0.645 "" 0.393 1.189 ”" (7.18) (2.58) (8.99) (3.82) (0.69) (6.85) 13+ years 1.797 "" 0.850 ‘” 1.327 "“" (6.43) (3.83) (10.74) Father's Schoollng Some Elementary 0.169 " 0.093 -0.027 0.113 -0.118 -0.013 (2.20) (0.94) (0.42) (0.99) (0.71) (0.1 1) Completed Elementary 0.158 " 0.023 -0.048 0.062 -0.290 ‘ 0.157 (1.69) (0.22) (0.65) (0.54) (1 .76) (1 .12) Secondary/Tertiary 0.020 —0.006 0.007 0.285 " -0.005 0.166 (0.13) (0.05) (0.07) (1 .68) (0.03) (0.86) Missing 0.047 0.015 -0.054 -0.07 8 -0.017 0.074 (0.55) (0.12) (0.62) (0.71) (0.11) (0.63) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.180 " -0.074 0.062 0.213 " 0.145 0.102 (1.98) (0.83) (0.86) (1 .72) (1 .26) (0.82) Completed Elementary/ 0.314 "“ 0.047 0.096 0.201 0.141 0.073 Secondary/Tertiary (2.95) (0.52) (1 .32) (1 .49) (1 .08) (0.50) Missing 0.199 ‘“ 0.071 0.061 0.166 0.005 -0.064 (2.68) (0.74) (0.76) (1 .62) (0.03) (0.53) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.031 —0.005 0.064 “‘ 0.065 0.013 0.095 '"' (0.78) (0.09) (2.63) (1 .35) (0.14) (2.26) 30-39 years 0.008 0.042 "' -0.003 0.009 0.026 "‘ -0.012 (0.69) (3.37) (0.42) (0.57) (1 .91) (0.88) 40-49 years 0019 “ 0.015 0.010 -0.014 0.033 “ 0.009 (2.05) (1.18) (1.26) (1 .04) (2.14) (0.60) 50-59 years 0.012 -0.006 -0.040 “ 0.007 0.011 -0.045 ‘ (0.86) (0.29) (2.13) (0.30) (0.32) (1.76) Province of Residence North Surnatera -1.263 "‘ -0.060 -0.567 " -1.381 "‘ -0.100 -0.469 ”“ (5.86) (0.45) (2.53) (5.07) (0.37) (2.88) North Surnatera " Urban 1.107 "‘ -0.521 "‘ 0.109 0.999 "" -0.247 0.021 (4.50) (2.73) (0.47) (3.23) (0.84) (0.12) West Surnatera -0.686 “" -0.030 -0.590 ‘” -0.998 "" -0.002 -0.593 "" (3.62) (0.18) (5.04) (2.84) (0.01) (2.76) West Surnatera “ Urban 0.024 0.090 0.102 0.393 0.040 -0.166 (0.11) (0.43) (0.82) (0.95) (0.23) (0.54) South Surnatera -1.381 “" -0.413 -1.002 “" -l.406 "" -0.612 ” -0.209 (6.69) (1 .27) (3.62) (6.22) (2.08) (0.54) South Sumtera "' Urban 0.865 ‘” 0.666 " 0.768 “ 1.037 "‘ 0.457 -0.173 (4.19) (1 .98) (2.61) (3.27) (1 .63) (0.43) Lampung —1.714 "'" 0.206 -1.422 ‘" -1.175 ”" -0.826 ”" -0.765 “' (9.09) (1 .09) (7.37) (4.26) (2.66) (2.07) Lampung ‘ Urban 0.716 ”‘ -1.325 ‘" 0.497 ” (2.88) (6.68) (2.05) West Java -1.373 ‘” —0.202 -0.998 “" -0.885 ““ -0.472 " -0.983 "‘ (6.45) (0.85) (5.35) (4.34) (2.26) (4.51) West Java " Urban 0.684 ""' -0.063 0.550 "" 0.472 ” 0.269 0.454 " (3.90) (0.25) (3.37) (2.50) (1 .56) (2.12) (continued) 166 Table 6.6A (continued) Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schoollng and Residency lFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Central Java -1.250 ‘“ -0.097 -0.935 "‘ -1.353 "" -0.022 -0.936 ‘" (8.57) (0.51) (8.63) (8.29) (0.11) (4.80) Central Java ‘ Urban 0.523 ‘” -0.290 0.177 0.999 ”‘ -0.302 -0.027 (3.66) (1 .44) (1 .32) (6.25) (1 .32) (0.13) Yogyakarta -1.811 ‘" -0.361 "" -0.916 ‘” -1.292 '” -0.064 -1.175 ‘“ (8.34) (3.37) (5.39) (3.91) (0.26) (3.65) Yogyakarta ' Urban 1.157 ”‘ 0.055 0.084 0.786 "‘ -0.132 0.617 ‘ (5.52) (0.34) (0.49) (2.27) (0.39) (1 .73) East Java 0906 ‘” -0.625 ” -1.105 ”‘ -1.064 “" -0.119 -0.829 "" (6.04) (2.54) (11.41) (5.87) (0.64) (5.22) East Java " Urban 0.273 ” 0.414 ‘ 0.292 ” 0.229 -0.064 -0.108 (2.01) (1.66) (2.36) (1.02) (0.23) (0.77) Bali 0611 ”‘ -0.284 ” .0565 ‘ -0.059 -0.363 " -0.422 ” (4.07) (2.27) (1.93) (0.32) (1 .70) (2.48) Bali " Urban —0.077 0.039 -0.015 (0.58) (0.26) (0.05) West Nusa Tenggara -1.269 ”‘ ~0.336 “ -1.151 ”‘ -0.791 "" 0.027 —O.978 ‘” (7.04) (2.54) (6.73) (3.37) (0.14) (3.86) West Nusa Tenggara ' Urba 0.925 "" 0.175 0.249 0.065 0.493 ‘ -0.401 (4.23) (0.74) (1 .03) (0.30) (1 .74) (1 .64) South Kalimantan -0.888 ”" -0.187 ‘ -0.581 ‘” -0.609 “' -0.864 ’ -0.399 (4.74) (1.90) (3.47) (2.56) (1 .70) (1.37) South Kalimantan ‘ Urban 0.480 ” 0.104 -0.106 0.045 0.421 -0.471 (2.22) (0.59) (0.58) (0.19) (0.79) (1.18) South Sulawesi -l.382 “'" -0.433 “" -1.343 ”" -1.229 ‘" 0.401 ‘ -1.547 " (5.67) (3.27) (5.31) (5.35) (1.72) (2.17) South Sulawesi * Urban 0.390 0.157 0.100 0.174 -0.420 " 1.065 (1 .27) (0.81) (0.36) (0.67) (1.67) (1 .48) Cross income 0.237 ”‘ 0.499 ”‘ (3.90) (5.33) Selection Coefficient -0.934 '“ -0.142 0.196 “ 0.381 -0.474 0.036 (5.27) (0.88) (2.10) (1.37) (1.33) (0.24) Constant 6.201 ‘” 7.072 "" 4.472 ”' 3.569 " 7.444 ” 3.435 ”‘ (5.51) (4.1 1) (6.40) (2.41) (2.09) (2.74) F-test Own Schooling 17.31 9.31 38.75 7.25 0.25 15.91 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.779) (0.000) Father's Schooling 1.60 0.36 0.26 1.09 1.88 0.46 (0.174) (0.840) (0.901) (0.360) (0.117) (0.764) Mother's Schooling 4.74 0.79 0.70 1.68 1.06 0.48 (0.003) (0.502) (0.556) (0.171) (0.367) (0.699) Parental Schooling 4.52 0.45 0.45 1.87 1.41 0.61 (0.000) (0.871) (0.870) (0.074) (0.206) (0.749) Age 1.52 6.23 3.52 1.25 8.93 2.33 (0.195) (0.000) (0.008) (0.288) (0.000) (0.057) Residency 10.86 6.06 13.03 7.33 1.98 3.82 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.010) (0.000) Adjusted R 2 0.224 0.330 0.397 0.188 0.506 0.363 Root MSE 1.097 0.649 0.743 1.159 0.571 0.866 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: lFLS 1. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers), for parental schooling is no schooling and for province of residence is Jakarta. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling and no urban interaction terms for the province of Lampung and Bali. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%('"), 5%(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p-values for F-test are in parentheses. 167 Table 6.63 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schoollng and Residency lFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.169 " 0.056 0.176 -0.097 (2.03) (0.66) (1.58) (0.83) 4-6 years 0.316 "" 0.224 "‘ 0.211 ” 0.004 (4.17) (3.16) (2.00) (0.03) 7-9 years 0.770 “" 0.108 0.500 ‘" 0.486 “‘“ 0.007 0.087 (8.45) (0.78) (5.96) (3.44) (0.03) (0.45) 10-12 years 1.162 "“’ 0.446 ” 0.576 "" 0.736 "'“ -0.424 0.891 ‘" (9.63) (2.16) (7.24) (4.54) (0.66) (6.87) 13+ years 2.171 “" 0.742 ”" 1.007 "" (10.61) (2.88) (9.23) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.274 ‘" 0.001 0.069 0.094 —0.078 0.064 (3.14) (0.00) (1 .13) (0.98) (0.47) (0.50) Completed Elementary 0.191 “ 0.062 0.045 0.234 " -0.191 0.012 (2.00) (0.61) (0.73) (2.01) (1.16) (0.10) Secondary/'1' ertiary 0.354 ‘”" -0.095 0.131 " 0.367 ‘“' -0.074 0.295 " (2.56) (0.79) (1.71) (2.07) (0.44) (1.96) Missing 0.209 "‘ -0.125 0.042 0.013 -0.185 0.002 (1.78) (0.59) (0.51) (0.10) (0.70) (0.01) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.011 -0.014 0.056 0.059 0.090 -0.042 (0.13) (0.15) (0.93) (0.48) (0.68) (0.39) Completed Elementary/ 0.297 ‘“ 0.099 0.175 "" 0.125 0.037 0.189 ‘ Secondary/Tertiary (3.09) (1.28) (2.95) (0.91) (0.28) (1 .92) Missing 0.054 0.038 0.040 -0. 180 0.244 0.094 (0.47) (0.18) (0.51) (1.13) (0.72) (0.75) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0090 ""' 0.060 0.041 " -0.036 0.007 0.059 " (2.29) (0.70) (2.23) (0.68) (0.08) (1 .89) 30-39 years 0.001 0.026 0.017 " 0.038 " 0004 0004 (0.1 1) (1 .57) (2.34) (2.29) (0.12) (0.34) 40-49 years 0023 “ 0.035 ‘" -0.011 -0.024 ” 0.034 0.019 (2.53) (3.43) (1 .26) (2.06) (1 .29) (1 .25) 50-59 years 0001 -0.008 -0.018 0.017 0.007 -0.077 "" (0.1 1) (0.40) (1 .16) (1.18) (0.22) (2.95) Province of Residence North Surnatera -0.792 *” 0.034 —0.473 "W 0617 “ -0.035 -0.432 ‘ (5.13) (0.22) (3.82) (2.53) (0.14) (1 .82) North Sumatera " Urban 0.758 "" -0.431 "" 0.269 ‘ 0.278 -0.524 "’ 0.253 (4.62) (2.38) (1 .87) (1 .13) (2.12) (0.94) West Sumatera -0.374 0.011 -0.306 "" -0.639 “ -0.703 ” -0.346 (1 .23) (0.06) (3.32) (2.27) (2.25) (1.39) West Sumatera "' Urban 0.210 -0.002 -0.055 0.287 0.516 "‘ -0.107 (0.65) (0.01) (0.56) (1 .00) (1 .88) (0.35) South Surnatera -l.181 "'“ —0.041 -0.494 ”" -1.127 ”‘ -0.289 -0.894 ”" (8.65) (0.15) (3.46) (4.42) (0.25) (4.18) South Surnatera "' Urban 0.833 ‘" 0.242 -0.028 1.266 ”‘ 0.194 0.741 “ (3.19) (0.87) (0.14) (4.10) (0.17) (2.36) Lampung -1.294 "" -0.022 -0.829 "" -0.722 “ -0.256 -1.139 ‘” (11.02) (0.13) (4.77) (2.31) (0.87) (5.96) Lampung ‘ Urban 1.290 """' -0.090 0.931 “‘ (5.33) (0.16) (3.93) West Java -0.566 ‘" -0.016 -0.568 ““ -0.742 "" —0.210 -0.774 ‘" (5.24) (0.09) (6.28) (3.27) (0.90) (3.70) West Java " Urban 0.377 "’ -0.111 0.242 " 0.492 ” -0.209 0.402 " (3.00) (0.66) (2.55) (2.42) (1 .16) (1 .97) (continued) 168 Table 6.68 (continued) Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schoollng and Residency iFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Central Java -1.084 "‘" -0.149 -1.021 “" -1.033 ‘" -O.459 " -1.331 ‘” (8.87) (1.00) (8.83) (4.94) (2.35) (7.03) Central Java " Urban 0.530 ‘” -0.167 0.412 ”‘ 0.578 ‘” 0.118 0.611 ” (3.44) (1 . 15) (3.05) (3.30) (0.77) (2.59) Yogyakarta -1.242 ”" -0.094 -0.678 " -l.179 ”’ -0.522 ” -0.707 ”‘ (6.66) (0.67) (2.52) (5.82) (2.26) (3.03) Yogyakarta “ Urban 0.566 ” 0.006 -0.092 0.579 ”" 0.253 0.208 (2.48) (0.06) (0.33) (3.72) (1 .01) (0.80) East Java -0.737 "" -0.012 -0.773 “‘ -0.628 ‘" -0.339 " -0.779 "“ (6.00) (0.05) (10.07) (2.92) (2.01) (6.89) East Java " Urban -0.050 -0.210 0.189 " -0.004 -0.212 -0.0004 (0.33) (0.85) (2.06) (0.02) (1 .62) (0.00) Bali -0.683 ‘“ -0.054 0.663 ‘“ -O.343 -0.525 -0.616 “'" (5.84) (0.50) (4.74) (1 .64) (1 .62) (3.68) Bali ' Urban 0.136 0.065 0.189 -O.250 -0.034 0.236 (1.01) (0.38) (1.07) (1.41) (0.11) (1.20) West Nusa Tenggara -1.000 "‘ 0.053 -0.773 ‘“ -0.686 ‘" -0.313 -0.997 “" (4.66) (0.44) (5.52) (2.93) (1.51) (6.82) West Nusa Tenggara " Urba 0.879 ”’ -0.393 ” -0.235 0.036 -0.011 0.351 (3.72) (2.08) (1 .42) (0.18) (0.07) (1.24) South Kalimantan -1.079 ’" 0.148 -0.578 ”" -0.357 -0.447 ‘ -0.480 "" (6.32) (1.18) (2.96) (1.40) (1.88) (2.71) South Kalimantan ‘ Urban 0.918 ‘" -0.312 " 0.193 (4.08) (1.85) (0.73) South Sulawesi -1.048 "" -0.419 “ -0.822 “" -1.213 "‘ -O.377 " -0.947 "W (3.22) (2.51) (3.40) (5.62) (2.01) (2.67) South Sulawesi " Urban 0.363 0.386 ‘ 0.099 (1.09) (1.81) (0.36) Selection Coefficient -1.242 "" -0.058 0.224 “ -0.062 -0.603 0.138 (6.23) (0.30) (1 .74) (0.20) (1 .59) (0.44) Constant 10.323 ”‘ 5.318 " 5.331 ‘" 7.526 ‘“ 9.167 ”“ 4.413 ”‘ (8.77) (1 .97) (9.74) (4.41) (2.67) (5.57) F -test Own Schooling 29.96 4.94 28.76 6.30 0.61 25.61 (0.000) (0.002) (0.000) (0.000) (0.545) (0.000) Father‘s Schooling 3.02 1.62 0.89 1.45 0.64 2.43 (0.018) (0.169) (0.468) (0.218) (0.636) (0.048) Mother's Schooling 3.55 0.76 3.05 1.07 0.32 2.07 (0.015) (0.515) (0.028) (0.360) (0.81 1) (0.104) Parental Schooling 5.26 1.33 3.41 1.82 0.38 2.74 (0.000) (0.235) (0.001) (0.082) (0.91 1) (0.009) Age 4.89 7.53 6.71 1.61 2.46 4.14 (0.001) (0.000) (0.000) (0.170) (0.047) (0.003) Residency 12.62 2.07 10.98 6.27 1.55 6.32 (0.000) (0.003) (0.000) (0.000) (0.065) (0.000) Adjusted R2 0.195 0.236 0.286 0.118 0.197 0.372 Root MSE 1.097 0.635 0.772 1.195 0.600 0.899 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1,480 309 992 Source: IFLSZ. Month of interview dununy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0—6 years for public sector workers), for parental schooling is no schooling and for province of residence is Jakarta. Adjustments are rmde due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling and no urban interaction terms for the province of Lampung, South Kalimantan and South Sulawesi. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(”"), 5%(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -vaiues for F -test are in parentheses. 169 Table 6.6C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.159 ‘ 0.172 " 0.193 " 0.235 ” (1.66) (1.78) (1.74) (2.29) 4-6 years 0.337 ”‘ 0.312 ”‘ 0.233 ” 0.297 ‘" (3.98) (3.79) (2.40) (2.85) 7-9 years 0660 '“ 0.220 0.538 ”" 0.369 ‘“ 0.397 0.504 "‘ (6.61) (1 .23) (6.17) (3.19) (1 .08) (3.08) 10-12 years 1.108 ”" 0.722 ” 0.762 ‘" 0.669 ”‘ 0.021 1.137 ”‘ (9.02) (2.16) (8.72) (5.03) (0.02) (8.53) 13+ years 1.653 ”' 1.099 "" 1.171 ”‘ (10.16) (2.43) (10.86) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0038 0.003 0.002 0.068 -0.1 13 —0.027 (0.59) (0.03) (0.04) (0.65) (0.62) (0.30) C ompieted Elementary 0.063 0.018 0.020 0.057 -0.008 -0.007 (0.93) (0.22) (0.41) (0.66) (0.04) (0.08) Secondary/Tertiary 0.137 0.096 0.092 0.180 0.251 0.377 "" (1.46) (1.00) (1.61) (1.51) (1.38) (3.60) Missing -0.138 ‘ -0.079 -0.074 0.092 0.301 0.039 (1.70) (0.49) (1.12) (0.91) (1.12) (0.41) Mother's Schooling Some Eiernentary 0.165 " -0.038 0.002 0.040 -0.057 -0.067 (2.25) (0.40) (0.05) (0.40) (0.52) (0.82) Completed Elementary/ 0.274 ‘“” -0.073 0.068 0.138 -0.051 0.050 Secondaryffertiary (3.71 ) (0.87) (1 .35) (1 .53) (0.43) (0.57) Missing 0.272 ""‘ —0.264 0.096 0.123 -0.347 -0.i35 (2.91) (1.57) (1.26) (1.10) (1.59) (1.31) Age (spline) 25-29 years -0.007 0.108 0.006 0.068 0.049 -0.003 (0.24) (1.61) (0.39) (1.33) (0.43) (0.10) 30-39 years 0.006 0.046 " 0.016 ” 0.008 -0.071 0.015 (0.70) (2.02) (2.41) (0.62) (1.37) (1 .42) 40-49 years 0.004 0.030 " 0.003 -0.004 0.035 -0.007 (0.47) (2.47) (0.34) (0.37) (1 .62) (0.51) 50-59 years -0.031 “‘" 0.015 -0.032 "" -0.007 0.059 ”‘ -0.025 (2.78) (0.58) (2.44) (0.45) (2.62) (1.14) Province of Residence North Surnatera -0.699 “" -0.348 -0.302 "“ -0.755 ” 0.233 -0.347 " (2.84) (1.62) (2.73) (2.29) (0.74) (1.69) North Sumatera ‘ Urban 0.654 ‘“' 0.316 0.126 0.438 -0.462 0.126 (2.55) (1.40) (1.12) (1.28) (1.20) (0.57) West Surnatera -0.140 0.153 -0.073 -0.833 “" 0.219 -0.737 " (1.02) (0.75) (0.56) (4.83) (1.16) (2.18) West Sumatera "' Urban 0.312 0.270 0.054 0.294 -0.123 0.217 (1 .63) (0.91) (0.26) (1 .26) (0.71) (0.58) South Surnatera -0.606 ”" -0.103 -0.164 -0.543 ”" -0.315 ' -0.315 (3.65) (0.44) (1.28) (2.69) (1.67) (1.23) South Surnatera " Urban 0.818 "" 0.239 -0.041 0.668 “‘ 0.049 -0.114 (3.10) (0.80) (0.24) (2.86) (0.24) (0.31) Lampung -0.504 ‘" -0.926 '"' -0.357 ‘” -0.524 " -0.977 0.599 ”" (3.46) (2.04) (2.98) (2.52) (1.11) (3.31) Lampung " Urban 0.606 ”" 0.984 "" 0.345 ‘ 0.680 ‘ 1.568 “ -0.091 (2.86) (2.08) (1 .71) (1 .73) (1 .79) (0.38) West Java —0.242 " -0.150 —0.224 ‘" -0.281 -0.096 -0.173 (1 .88) (0.94) (3.28) (1 .36) (0.47) (1.40) West Java "‘ Urban 0.211 0.073 0.122 ‘ 0.137 -0.083 -0.104 (1 .45) (0.62) (1 .68) (0.70) (0.45) (0.74) (continued) 170 Table 6.6C (continued) Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Central Java -0.589 "m -0.090 -0.377 *" -0.754 "“ 0.018 -0.624 "“ (4.82) (0.49) (3 .53) (4.66) (0.12) (3 .34) Central Java " Urban 0.290 ” -0.241 -0.027 0.342 ” -0.206 0.131 (2. 10) (1 .50) (0.24) (2.47) (1 .08) (0.60) Yogyakarta -0.920 ‘" -0.070 -0.536 "“ -0.952 ""‘ -0.216 -1.242 ”" (5.77) (0.44) (4.18) (3.81) (0.85) (4.12) Yogyakarta " Urban 0.380 " -0.090 -0.130 0.468 "‘ -0.206 0.506 (2.18) (0.64) (1 .00) (1 .75) (0.76) (1 .54) East Java -0.255 ” -0.114 -0.384 "“ -0.477 "" 0.077 —0.521 “" (2.42) (0.65) (5.35) (2.67) (0.38) (4.60) East Java "' Urban -0.050 0.148 0.059 0.010 -0.137 -0.012 (0.46) (0.96) (0.73) (0.06) (0.70) (0.09) Bali -0.667 ”‘ 0.005 -0.341 """‘ -0.445 * 0.066 -0.660 " (4.15) (0.04) (2.69) (1.84) (0.28) (2.36) Bali "' Urban 0.470 "" -0.249 " 0.066 0.052 -0.308 0.324 (2.97) (2.03) (0.45) (0.23) (1.39) (1.12) West Nusa Tenggara -O.489 ‘" -0.262 -0.420 "" -0.447 “ -0.467 -0.781 "““ (3.19) (1 .33) (4.99) (2.23) (1 .47) (6.30) West Nusa Tenggara "‘ Urba 0.343 0.087 -0.122 0.343 ” 0.203 0.075 (1 .32) (0.45) (0.67) (2.03) (0.68) (0.58) South Kalimantan -0.253 0.185 -0.156 —0.188 0.376 0.228 (1.59) (1.05) (1.04) (1.02) (1.43) (0.88) South Kalimantan “ Urban 0.334 -0.241 —0.026 0.090 -0.619 "‘ -0.719 ‘”" (1 .41) (1 .50) (0.14) (0.50) (2.49) (2.25) South Sulawesi -0.304 " ~0.176 -0.366 “ -0.672 " -0.319 -0.972 "‘"" (1 .70) (0.62) (2.00) (2.15) (0.39) (3.27) South Sulawesi " Urban 0.228 -0.164 0.086 -0.044 -0.020 0.308 (1 . i 1) (0.60) (0.42) (0.14) (0.02) (0.57) Selection Coefficient -1.139 ”" 0.082 0.168 -0.054 -0.976 "‘ 0.361 (5.85) (0.26) (1 .28) (0.16) (2.05) (1 .45) Constant 8.170 "'" 3.927 "' 6.592 "" 5.047 ‘" 8.668 “ 6.028 “" (8.89) (1 .67) (14.80) (2.83) (2.17) (8.85) F -test Own Schooling 25.97 2.62 41.27 6.71 0.94 24.08 (0.000) (0.051) (0.000) (0.000) (0.3 90) (0.000) Father’s Schooling 1.70 0.53 1.36 0.65 2.03 6.09 (0.148) (0.712) (0.245) (0.624) (0.092) (0.000) Mother's Schooling 6.06 1.02 0.95 1.02 0.87 1.23 (0.000) (0.384) (0.414) (0.385) (0.459) (0.298) Parental Schooling 4.43 0.84 1.54 1.25 1.81 4.06 (0.000) (0.552) (0.152) (0.271) (0.087) (0.000) Age 2.22 6.35 5.24 1.02 3.59 1.27 (0.065) (0.000) (0.000) (0.397) (0.007) (0.280) Residency 4.67 1.79 4.70 3.59 2.74 4.45 (0.000) (0.014) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Adjusted R 2 0.1 15 0.269 0.21 1 0.069 0.312 0.318 Root MSE 1.127 0.672 0.795 1.224 0.667 0.910 Observations 3 ,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1 ,3 76 Source: IFLS3. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers), for parental schooling is no schooling and for province of residence is Jakarta. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("”"), 5%(”) and 10°/o("') indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 171 Table 6.7 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: Summary of the Effects of N on-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling and Residency Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector iFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.017 -0.026 0.053 -0.026 4-6 years 0.270 "* 0.271 "" 0.377 ""‘ 0.109 7-9 years 0.760 "* 0.139 0.441 "“" 0.510 W“ 0.125 0.423 " 10-12 years b) 1.095 "" 0.504 ** 0.776 ""' 0.645 "* 0.393 1.189 ‘" 13+ years 1.797 “* 0.850 "* 1.327 *“ lFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.169 " 0.056 0.176 -0.097 4-6 years 0.316 **"' 0.224 “* 0.211 " 0.004 7-9 years 0.770 "“ 0.108 0.500 *** 0.486 **"‘ 0.007 0.087 10-12 years b) 1.162 "" 0.446 ** 0.576 "* 0.736 "‘" -0.424 0.891 **"‘ 13+ years 2.171 "" 0.742 *** 1.007 *" 1FL83 1-3 years a) 0.159 " 0.172 * 0.193 "' 0.235 " 4.6 years 0.337 *” 0.312 '1‘" 0.233 " 0.297 "* 7-9 years 0.660 *" 0.220 0.538 "* 0.369 ""‘ 0.397 0.504 "* 10-12 years b) 1.108 W" 0.722 ** 0.762 "* 0.669 *“ 0.021 1.137 "”" 13+ years 1.653 "" 1.099 " 1.171 *" Source: Based on estimates of Table 6.6A, 6.6B, 6.6C. a) Omitted category for public sector workers is 0-6 years. b) 10+ years for women. 172 J Table 6.8 Predicted Returns to Schoollng: Specifications that include Own Schooling Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector A. Cross Section Sample lFLSl 1-3 years a) 6.3 “ -1.4 8.7 " 6.6 2.7 3.7 4-6 years 11.3 "" 11.4 “" 12.0 "" 7.3 7-9 years 20.1 ‘” 7.8 " 7.9 ”" 1.3 20.3 23.5 10-12 years b) 11.7 " 9.7 "”' 14.7 "”“ 12.4 "““ 8.7 "‘ 15.3 13+ years 18.9 ‘ 8.9 “" 12.8 ”" iFLSZ 1-3 years a) 5.3 0.3 5.2 5.3 -6.7 10.5 *‘ 4-6 years 8.3 *” 8.0 ”“ 4.3 4.1 7-9 years 14.0 "* 3.5 13.6 “‘ 9.7 " 10.1 18.5 "“ 10-12 years b) 6.6 "‘ 5.0 4.3 ‘ 16.0 "* 2.9 11.3 "* 13+ years 20.9 ""‘ 6.3 “‘" 12.7 "" iFLS3 1-3 years a) 6.9 "”" -7.8 9.5 "" 8.1 “ -7.2 13.4 ”* 4-6 years 6.0 ” 4.0 1.3 0.2 7-9 years 9.7 “" 9.2 8.0 ”"' 7.6 "* 37.2 "' 16.5 ”"‘ 10-12 years b) 12.6 “" 4.0 9.4 “" 9.4 ” 3.5 13.5 ""‘ 13+ years 13.2 "‘ 5.3 ” 12.5 "" B. Panel Sample lFLSl 1-3 years a) 4.6 -8.7 10.3 "“" 2.2 3.6 7.1 4-6 years 6.7 " 6.2 "‘ 11.9 ” 2.1 7-9 years 19.4 ""‘ 13.0 “ 8.9 ""' 1.8 10.9 21.4 "" 10-12 years b) 8.3 10.8 " 12.1 "" 3.2 7.0 17.3 ”"' 13+ years 24.3 “ 5.9 ” 10.5 "”" lFLSZ 1-3 years a) 5.7 -4.3 6.6 4.5 -9.2 9.2 4-6 years 6.7 "‘ 9.4 ”" 3.4 -0.4 7-9 years 18.4 "* 6.7 14.9 ‘" 17.3 ”" 18.5 20.7 ‘" 10-12 years b) 13.3 " 13.5 "' 2.5 13.8 2.3 19.3 “" 13+ years 14.9 "' 7.1 ""‘ 8.4 "" IFLS3 1-3 years a) 11.2 "”" -8.7 10.8 " 6.0 -5.3 11.9 ” 4-6 years 2.7 2.8 1.7 -0.6 7-9 years 10.7 ‘“" 10.3 12.8 "" 9.3 "' 41.8 " 15.2 " 10-12 years b) 18.2 W" 8.3 8.3 *" 18.4 "" 10.9 ‘ 15.9 ”" 13+ years 23.8 “‘ 3.1 12.9 ”" Source: Based on estimates of Appendix Table 6.3A, 6.3B, 6.3C. Detailed estimates for panel sample are not shown. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. b) 10+ years for women. 173 ’. Table 6.9 Predicted Returns to Schooling: Specifications that include Own Schooling and Parental Schooling Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector A. Cross Section Sample iFLSl 1-3 years a) 4.2 -2.3 8.6 "”" 5.2 2.4 2.4 4-6 years 10.7 “"“ 10.8 "" 10.0 *"”" 6.5 7-9 years 19.5 "* 7.1 7.4 ""‘ -0.1 7.5 21.6 "* 10-12 years b) 11.3 " 7.8 13.4 ""‘ 9.4 0.1 13.0 "" 13+ years 17.8 " 8.0 *“ 11.7 "* lFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.5 1.9 4.3 5.9 -6.9 7.2 4-6 years 10.3 "* 7.8 *" 2.1 1.4 7-9 years 15.6 "* 7.9 11.7 "‘ 6.0 9.9 14.7 "“" 10-12 years b) 11.3 "" 11.0 " 2.8 12.6 “ 1.8 12.2 "‘" 13+ years 22.8 "" 8.1 **" 10.5 "* iFLS3 1-3 years a) 5.2 -7.9 9.3 “" 6.9 " -7.3 12.5 ""' 4-6 years 6.8 *"‘ 3.8 0.5 -0.8 7-9 years 9.7 *" 9.3 7.4 *" 6.4 " 16.6 12.2 "“ 10-12 years b) 14.5 "* 3.6 8.2 "" 8.4 " -10.7 12.9 "“ 13+ years 12.3 *" 4.9 10.8 “" B. Panel Sample lFLSl 1-3 years a) 2.3 -10.7 11.0 "”""‘ 0.9 3.6 6.3 4-6 years 5.9 " 5.3 9.3 "”" 0.7 7-9 years 18.3 ""‘ 11.3 * 8.6 *" 0.1 1.4 19.2 "'*"' 10-12 years b) 7.7 8.4 11.2 ”* -O.4 -0.1 14.9 "“" 13+ years 24.4 *"' 4.9 "‘ 9.6 ’"‘ lFLSZ 1-3 years a) 3.2 -2.0 5.2 3.3 -9.2 8.1 4-6 years 6.0 8.8 "" 2.1 -3.3 7-9 years 17.4 *" 12.3 " 12.8 "‘"‘ 14.7 "”" 22.5 18.2 "* 10-12 years b) 14.4 "* 21.4 *** 0.2 10.3 5.2 15.7 "”" 13+ years 16.8 " 9.4 *" 7.1 ** iFLS3 1-3 years a) 8.3 " -9.9 10.9 " 5.4 -5.9 11.7 " 4-6 years 3.1 1.5 0.9 -2.0 7-9 years 11.1 "* 10.3 12.3 "“ 9.1 “ 35.2 * 11.3 10-12 years b) 20.3 *** 5.8 6.4 " 19.8 "'" 4.7 14.7 "" 13+ years 26.7 "" 2.7 11.2 " Source: Based on estimates of Appendix Table 6.4A, 6.4B, 6.4C. Detailed estimates for panel sample are not shown. a) 16 years for public sector workers. b) 10+ years for women. 174 Appendix Table 6.1A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling IFLS] Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years of schooling 0.125 "* 0.080 "”’ 0.108 W" 0.079 "" 0.081 0.123 W" (10.58) (3.18) (16.82) (6.62) (1.63) (12.27) Age 0.024 0.078 * 0.096 "”" 0.085 " 0.051 0.061 " (0.92) (1 .75) (3.64) (2.07) (0.78) (1 .73) Age2(x 102) -0031 0066 p.114 m -0.099 " -o.033 -o.o75 * (1 .00) (1.31) (3.39) (2.02) (0.41) (1 .70) Month of interview October 0.323 ** -0.147 0.116 0.386 *" 0.026 0.035 (2.20) (0.89) (0.94) (2.65) (0.15) (0.22) November 0.423 "* -0.259 0.127 0.407 "" -0.214 -0.127 (3.28) (1 .49) (1.06) (2.74) (1.31) (0.86) December -0.082 .0100 0.070 0.132 0.008 -0.191 (0.64) (0.64) (0.55) (0.90) (0.06) (1 .26) January -0.002 0.026 0.225 0.094 0.317 "‘ -0.140 (0.01) (0.13) (1 .47) (0.40) (1 .78) (0.61) Gross Income 0.077 0.329 "" (1.11) (3.16) Selection Coefficient -0.596 “* -0.114 0.089 0.777 "* -0.270 «0.017 (3 .63) (0.60) (1 .28) (3. 10) (0.97) (0.12) Constant 5.077 "" 4.580 *" 3.493 "" 2.429 " 5.284 “ 4.027 "”" (8.71) (3.42) (6.63) (2.30) (2.48) (5.28) F -test Age 0.70 14.66 8.52 2.20 16.29 1.50 (0.499) (0.000) (0.000) (0.1 13) (0.000) (0.225) Month of interview 7.39 1.53 0.64 3.1 l 2.37 1.03 (0.000) (0.195) (0.634) (0.016) (0.056) (0.393) Adjusted R 2 0.1 14 0.291 0.263 0.088 0.475 0.273 Root MSE 1. 173 0.668 0.822 1.228 0.589 0.925 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: IFLS 1 . Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(*“), 5%(") and 10%(") indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 175 f Appendix Table 6.1B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling lFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years of schooling 0.089 "" 0.039 0.087 "‘“ 0.076 "" -0.019 0.116 ‘" (9.17) (1 .40) (16.70) (7.42) (0.52) (14.27) Age 0.072 *“ 0.026 0.110 ”" 0.069 " -0.001 0.129 ”* (2.76) (0.42) (5.96) (1 .79) (0.01) (4.43) Age2(x10'2) -0.088 m -0.010 p.127 m -o.o75 : 0.023 -0.146 m (2.92) (0.14) (5.43) (1 .73) (0.29) (4.08) Month of interview October 0128 -0.168 " -0.043 -0.189 -0.253 *"‘ 0.114 (1 .13) (1 .84) (0.54) (1 .56) (2.24) (0.97) November -0.206 " -0.190 " -0.041 -0.097 -0.418 W" 0.060 (1 .86) (1 .97) (0.55) (0.82) (2.90) (0.51) December 0.046 -0.086 0.043 0.145 -O.157 0.045 (0.40) (0.91) (0.52) (0.98) (1.23) (0.37) January-April -0.038 0.009 0.160 " 0.260 0.067 0.404 " (0.27) (0.09) (1 .85) (1 . 13) (0.50) (2.46) Selection Coefficient 0.009 -0.297 -0.015 0.019 -0.473 “ -0.526 " (0.05) (1 .39) (0.13) (0.08) (2.18) (2.46) Constant 4.676 "'* 6.668 "" 3.988 "* 4.455 "" 8.357 ‘“ 3.607 """ (7.41) (3.51) (10.79) (4.33) (4.08) (6.57) F-test Age 4.87 11.04 21.48 1.74 5.84 10.96 (0.008) (0.000) (0.000) (0. 177) (0.003) (0.000) Month of interview 1.84 1.95 2.01 2.30 3.77 1.86 (0.121) (0.102) (0.091) (0.059) (0.006) (0.1 16) Adjusted R 2 0.096 0.218 0.194 0.059 0.241 0.283 Root MSE 1.162 0.643 0.821 1.234 0.583 0.960 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1 ,480 309 992 Source: iFLS2. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(*"), 5%(‘"") and 10%(*) indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 176 Appendix Table 6.1C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling iFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years of schooling 0.087 ‘** 0.054 0.084 ‘“ 0.060 “* 0.044 0.114 *" (10.50) (1.53) (18.88) (6.88) (0.94) (16.54) Age 0.084 "* 0.037 0.064 ‘“" 0.127 "” -0.068 0.064 " (3.69) (0.52) (4.18) (3.45) (0.76) (2.52) Age2(x 10'?) -0.098 m -0.016 -o.o73 m -o.r4o m 0.101 .0.070 n (3.60) (0.21) (3.74) (3.36) (1 .00) (2.19) Month of interview August -0.170 “ 0.003 0.022 -0.095 0.123 -0.037 (2.24) (0.04) (0.40) (0.87) (0.92) (0.35) September -0. 1 19 -0.061 0.004 -0.082 0.001 -0.064 (1.35) (0.72) (0.08) (0.74) (0.01) (0.57) October -0.104 -0.014 0.130 " -0.073 0.219 0.001 (1 . 10) (0.15) (2.36) (0.64) (1 .34) (0.01) November-January 0.025 0.162 0.241 "" -0.069 0.063 0.198 "' (0.24) (1 .46) (4.08) (0.53) (0.37) (1 .80) Selection Coefficient -0.340 ” -0.278 0.116 0.525 ‘ -0.375 -0.162 (2.20) (1.09) (1.37) (1.85) (1.51) (0.82) Constant 5.464 ”* 6.727 "" 5.251 "* 3.333 "" 9.165 ‘" 4.959 ""‘ (10.77) (3.00) (17.96) (3.11) (3.34) (8.68) F -test Age 6.90 8.86 1 1.77 6.16 7.33 4.64 (0.001) (0.000) (0.000) (0.002) (0.001) (0.010) Month of interview 1.80 1.61 5.84 0.21 0.98 2.73 (0.127) (0.171) (0.000) (0.936) (0.420) (0.029) Adjusted R 2 0.072 0.244 0.183 0.044 0.269 0.279 Root MSE 1.154 0.683 0.809 1.240 0.688 0.936 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1 ,3 76 Source: 1F LS3. Omitted category for month of interview is June/July. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o(""'), 5°/o("”") and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 177 Appendix Table 6.2 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling, Residency, Household Compositions and Business Assets for Self-Employed Workers Men Women 1993 1997 2000 1993 1997 2000 Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.001 0.132 0.145 0.007 0.272 0.164 (0.01) (1 .56) (1 .49) (0.05) (1 .58) (1 .26) 4-6 years 0.264 ”" 0.297 ”'" 0.329 “"‘ 0.324 "'" 0.324 "' 0.201 "' (3.22) (3.95) (3.87) (2.14) (1 .80) (1 .79) 7-9 years 0.805 "'” 0.802 "'" 0.672 "" 0.443 " 0.485 ”" 0.324 “ (7.43) (7.36) (6.39) (2.56) (3.48) (2.54) 10-12 years 1.251 W" 1.299 "'* 1.168 ‘” 0.594 "" 0.578 " 0.636 "* (7.55) (6.56) (7.34) (2.69) (2.57) (4.01) 13+ years 1.998 ‘" 2.345 ”* 1.708 ‘" (6.41) (7.28) (7.53) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.145 "' 0.319 *"‘" -0.041 0.112 0.139 0.065 (1 .94) (3.23) (0.63) (0.93) (1 .19) (0.60) Completed Elementary 0.148 0.237 " 0.066 0.042 0.312 " 0.028 (1 .60) (2.28) (0.98) (0.27) (2.05) (0.28) Secondary/Tertiary 0.004 0.421 "" 0.151 0.234 0.384 " 0.140 (0.03) (2.88) (1 .59) (1 .43) (1 .87) (1.19) Missing 0.059 0.245 ‘ -0.144 "‘ -0.043 0.042 0.081 (0.69) (1 .91) (1 .79) (0.37) (0.30) (0.75) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.217 ‘”" 0.030 0.182 “ 0.211 -0.010 0.031 (2.38) (0.35) (2.35) (1 .52) (0.07) (0.30) Completed Elementary/ 0.351 "‘""' 0.355 "'” 0.299 """'" 0.211 -0.265 0.155 Secondary/Tertiary (3.22) (3.29) (3.64) (1 .41) (1 .29) (1 .53) Missing 0.205 ”" 0.138 0.292 ‘" 0.097 -0.310 0.141 (2.81) (1.17) (3. 10) (0.79) (1 .49) (1 .02) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.043 -0.108 "”" -0.016 0.052 -0.018 0.063 (1 .09) (2.37) (0.46) (1 .02) (0.31) (0.96) 30.39 years -0.001 -0.003 0.006 0.006 0.058 " 0.002 (0.07) (0.28) (0.70) (0.22) (1 .71) (0.1 1) 40-49 years -0.012 -0.034 "" -0.004 .0.018 -0.020 -0.011 (1 . 10) (3.24) (0.41) (1 .24) (1 .44) (0.55) 50-59 years 0.031 " 0.008 -0.037 ”" 0.002 0.027 0.002 (2.16) (0.62) (2.72) (0.07) (1 .62) (0.12) (continued) 178 Appendix Table 6.2 (continued) Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling, Parental Schooling, Residency, Household Compositions and Business Assets for Self-Employed Workers Men Women 1993 1997 2000 1993 1997 2000 Bus. assets and HH compositions Business assets (million) -0.020 0.015 0.001 0.142 "‘" 0.046 "" 0.015 *"”' (1.23) (1 .02) (0.11) (3.86) (3.59) (2.81) # men, aged 2049 0.261 *“ 0.110 ”"‘ 0.016 0.071 -0.039 0.012 (5.43) (2.86) (0.46) (0.66) (0.50) (0.25) # women, aged 20-49 0.047 0.160 "" 0.099 "" 0.098 0.013 0.072 ” (0.84) (5.15) (3.39) (1 .64) (0.27) (2.43) # men, aged 50+ 0.003 -0.043 0.040 0.019 -0.033 0.014 (0.04) (0.57) (0.59) (0.09) (0.20) (0.12) # women, aged 50+ 0033 0.218 ”‘ 0.070 0.142 -0.113 -0.003 (0.55) (3.07) (1 .39) (1 .29) (1 .60) (0.04) Gross income 0.234 ‘" 0.504 "* (3.87) (5.41) Selection Coefficient -1.178 "" -1.767 """' -1.374 '“‘”" 0.297 0.694 -0.175 (5.72) (3.94) (4.02) (0.35) (0.71) (0.23) Constant 5.651 ""‘ 10.844 "* 8.411 "* 3.864 "' 5.824 *" 5.280 "‘ (5.02) (7.21) (7.54) (1.76) (2.18) (1.91) F -test Own Schooling 17.69 14.05 13.14 5.97 5.09 5.40 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) Father's Schooling 1.31 3.19 1.90 0.76 1.25 0.48 (0.265) (0.014) (0.1 10) (0.554) (0.289) (0.749) Mother's Schooling 5.75 3.73 5.81 0.99 1.51 0.85 (0.001) (0.01 1) (0.001) (0.399) (0.213) (0.465) Parental Schooling 5.01 4.21 3.93 1.57 1.53 1.07 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.144) (0.156) (0.384) Age 1.63 3.32 2.16 0.93 2.1 l 0.94 (0.167) (0.01 1) (0.072) (0.445) (0.079) (0.443) Residency 10.39 1 1.77 4.43 7.29 6.07 3.29 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Bus. assets and HH composi 6.58 10.96 3.62 4.92 4.91 3.30 (0.000) (0.000) (0.003) (0.000) (0.000) (0.006) Adjusted R 2 0.237 0.217 0.1 19 0.204 0.135 0.078 Root MSE 1.088 1.082 1.125 1.147 1.184 1.219 Observations 2,107 2,318 3,023 1,272 1,480 2,047 Source: IFLSl, IFLSZ and IFLS3. Province of residence along with its interaction with urban dununy variables and month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%(""), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 179 Appendix Table 6.3A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) lFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.063 ‘ -0.014 0.087 *" 0.066 0.027 0.037 (1.92) (0.33) (2.59) (1.39) (0.51) (0.89) 4-6 years 0.113 "”" 0.114 "* 0.120 *" 0.073 (4.21) (3.62) (3.21) (1.52) 7-9 years 0.201 *” 0.078 * 0.079 "" 0.013 0.203 0.235 *“ (6.14) (1 .72) (3.06) (0.30) (1 .59) (3.94) 10-12 years 0.117 ““' 0.097 " 0.147 ‘1'" 0.124 *"‘ 0.087 " 0.153 "" (2.51) (2.06) (5.38) (2.12) (1.93) (4.03) 13+ years 0.189 ‘ 0.089 ”* 0.128 *" (1.87) (4.64) (3.53) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.047 -0.007 0.074 "'" 0.102 " 0.071 0.104 " (1 .22) (0.11) (2.68) (1.91) (1.08) (2.56) 30-39 years 0.010 0.040 “" 0.006 0.020 0.023 ‘ -0.008 (0.88) (3.16) (0.73) (1.26) (1.75) (0.54) 40-49 years -0.023 *" 0.020 0.014 -0.022 0.037 ” 0.000 (2.23) (1.65) (1.61) (1.64) (2.25) (0.01) 50-59 years 0.014 -0.005 -0.054 " 0.012 -0.007 -0.026 (0.96) (0.26) (2.60) (0.56) (0.18) (1 .01) Month of interview October 0.320 “ -0.127 0.121 0.392 ”* 0.041 0.061 (2.21) (0.83) (0.98) (2.69) (0.22) (0.41) November 0.429 *" -0.243 0.140 0.413 ”* -0.175 -0.125 (3.31) (1.52) (1.15) (2.72) (1.06) (0.91) December -0.092 -0.058 0.081 0.144 0.018 -0. 150 (0.72) (0.40) (0.64) (0.96) (0.12) (1 .06) January 0019 0.066 0.244 0.091 0.324 " -0.083 (0.11) (0.36) (1 .58) (0.39) (1.76) (0.39) Gross Income 0.074 0.323 "* (1.07) (3.13) Selection Coefficient -0.637 "'“ -0.196 0.080 0.810 "'“ 0.207 -0.109 (3.78) (1.14) (1 .10) (2.88) (0.76) (0.78) Constant 4.309 "" 6.989 "‘" 3.282 "“” 1.129 4.311 " 2.549 ‘”" (4.00) (3.94) (4. 13) (0.70) (1 .69) (2.24) F -test Own Schooling 26.92 6.23 58.74 12.55 1.54 54.49 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.208) (0.000) Age 2.32 7.85 (0.000) 3.15 14.57 2.39 (0.057) (0.000) (0.000) (0.015) (0.000) (0.052) Month of interview 7.62 1.91 0.73 3.12 2.28 1.06 (0.000) (0.1 10) (0.573) (0.016) (0.064) (0.380) Adjusted R 2 0.1 17 0.305 0.265 0.091 0.482 0.296 Root MSE 1.171 0.661 0.821 1.226 0.585 0.910 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: IFLS l. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t—statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l°/o("“""'), 5%(") and 10%(*) indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 180 Appendix Table 6.3B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) IFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schoollng (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.053 0.003 0.052 0.053 -0.067 0.105 " (1 .49) (0.10) (1 .62) (1 .24) (1.14) (2.45) 4-6 years 0.083 "" 0.080 “* 0.043 0.041 (2.64) (3.07) (1 .07) (0.95) 7-9 years 0.140 "" 0.035 0.136 “"' 0.097 ” 0.101 0.185 "" (4.51) (0.70) (6.01) (2.13) (0.83) (5.01) 10-12 years 0.066 ‘ 0.050 0.043 "' 0.160 "‘ 0.029 0.113 ""' (1 .68) (1.02) (1.92) (3.37) (0.70) (4.32) 13+ years 0.209 ”"‘ 0.063 ““ 0.127 "'" (4.65) (3.31) (5.91) Age (spline) 25-29 years -0.002 0.030 0.045 " -0.037 0.062 0.072 "'* (0.05) (0.35) (2.28) (0.70) (0.84) (2.40) 30-39 years 0.019 " 0.012 0.023 "‘ 0.042 "* 0.021 0.024 " (1.78) (0.73) (3.12) (2.83) (1.03) (1.94) 40-49 years -0.017 " 0.026 "* 0.000 0024 " 0.021 0.018 (1 .73) (2.68) (0.02) (2.04) (1.31) (1 .20) 50-59 years -0.011 0.005 -0.028 ‘ 0.010 0.025 -0.054 "' (0.90) (0.26) (1 .84) (0.67) (0.94) (2. 14) Month of interview October -0.137 -0.171 ‘ -0.044 -0.192 -0.227 " 0.108 (1.22) (1.93) (0.56) (1.61) (2.00) (0.94) November -0.204 " -0.183 " -0.039 -0.092 -0.354 "‘ 0.070 (1.83) (1 .92) (0.53) (0.80) (2.53) (0.59) December 0.045 -0.081 0.035 0.154 -0.144 0.027 (0.40) (0.86) (0.43) (1.04) (1.12) (0.22) January-April -0.060 -0.006 0.148 ‘ 0.210 0.068 0.360 ” (0.43) (0.06) (1.71) (0.93) (0.52) (2.25) Selection Coefficient -0.147 -0.293 -0.051 -0.096 -0.285 -0.718 ""' (0.76) (1 .52) (0.44) (0.41) (1 .43) (3.09) Constant 6.277 *" 6.666 ” 4.907 “" 6.984 """ 6.139 ” 4.441 ""' (4.60) (2.46) (8.32) (4.36) (2.46) (5.64) F -test Own Schooling 21.99 2.79 57.37 15.57 0.56 51.36 (0.000) (0.027) (0.000) (0.000) (0.645) (0.000) Age 2.52 5.89 10.38 2.11 4.62 6.99 (0.041) (0.000) (0.000) (0.079) (0.001) (0.000) Month of interview 1.81 1.82 1.71 2.35 3.16 1.58 (0.127) (0.124) (0.146) (0.054) (0.015) (0.179) Adjusted R ’ o. 100 0.221 0.195 0.065 0.245 0.306 Root MSE 1.160 0.641 0.820 1.231 0.582 0.945 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1,480 309 992 Source: IFLSZ. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("’), 5°/o(“") and 10°/o("‘) indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 181 Appendix Table 6.3C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) IFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.069 " -0.078 0.095 ”" 0.081 " —0.072 0.134 "" (2.12) (1 . l 1) (2.89) (2.00) (0.61) (3.39) 4-6 years 0.060 ” 0.040 0.013 -0.002 (2. 10) (1.60) (0.35) (0.04) 7-9 years 0.097 "* 0.092 0.080 "‘ 0.076 ”“ 0.372 "' 0.165 ”" (3.91 ) (1 .60) (4.66) (2.70) (1 .97) (4.67) 10-12 years 0.126 “" 0.040 0.094 "”" 0.094 " 0.035 0.135 ""‘ (4.16) (0.57) (5.80) (2.53) (0.68) (6.04) 13+ years 0.132 "““ 0.053 " 0.125 ‘" (4.72) (1 .98) (7.74) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.034 0.038 0.003 0.091 ‘ 0.060 0.016 (1.17) (0.60) (0.21) (1 .83) (0.61) (0.61) 30-39 years 0.010 0.022 0.018 "" 0.019 0.012 0.013 (1 .13) (1 .00) (3.03) (1.42) (0.42) (1.31) 40-49 years 0.005 0.016 0.008 0.004 0.006 0.003 (0.62) (1 .55) (0.96) (0.35) (0.45) (0.24) 50-59 years 0032 "‘ 0.033 -0.032 " -0.020 0.059 " -0.022 (2.73) (1 .60) (2.52) (1.31) (2.39) (1 .06) Month of interview August -0.173 " 0.003 0.014 -0.121 0.102 -0.014 (2.30) (0.03) (0.26) (1.12) (0.74) (0.13) September -0. 132 -0.059 0.008 -0.1 16 0.020 -0.047 (1.50) (0.68) (0.16) (1.04) (0.15) (0.42) October -0.094 0.002 0.129 " -0.113 0.217 0.001 (0.98) (0.03) (2.34) (1 .00) (1.40) (0.01) November-January 0.026 0.193 "' 0.222 ““ -0.090 0.043 0.208 ‘ (0.26) (1.71) (3.79) (0.68) (0.26) (1 .88) Selection Coefficient -0.501 ”" -0.370 0.035 0.258 -0.258 -0.053 (3.07) (1.39) (0.46) (0.84) (1.13) (0.26) Constant 6.333 “* 7.425 "" 6.500 "" 3.696 "”" 5.869 " 5.711 ""‘ (7.32) (3.23) (15.28) (2.27) (1.90) (8.09) F -test Own Schooling 24.07 2.16 79.60 13.74 2.22 68.36 (0.000) (0.073) (0.000) (0.000) (0.087) (0.000) Age 3.24 4.21 7.16 2.18 4.10 1.49 (0.012) (0.002) (0.000) (0.071) (0.003) (0.205) Month of interview 1.94 2.00 5.26 0.37 0.73 2.53 (0.102) (0.093) (0.000) (0.832) (0.570) (0.040) Adjusted R 2 0.074 0.255 0.187 0.045 0.300 0.287 Root MSE 1.153 0.678 0.807 1.240 0.673 0.930 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1 ,3 76 Source: IF LS3. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Omitted category for month of interview is June/July. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o("'"), 5%(") and 10%(*) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 182 i Appendix Table 6.4A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schoollng (splines) and Parental Schoollng lFLSl Meir Wor_r_ien Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schoollng (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.042 -0.023 0.086 " 0.052 0.024 0.024 (1.31) (0.55) (2.50) (1.11) (0.47) (0.55) 4-6 years 0.107 “" 0.108 ”‘ 0.100 ‘“ 0.065 (3.91) (3.45) (2.72) (1.31) 7-9 years 0.195 ”" 0.071 0.074 “' -0.001 0.075 0.216 ”‘ (6.05) (1.54) (2.80) (0.02) (0.48) (3.58) 10-12 years 0.113 ” 0.078 0.134 ”‘ 0.094 0.001 0.130 ‘” (2.46) (1.61) (4.85) (1.55) (0.02) (3.16) 13+ years 0.178 ‘ 0.080 ”‘ 0.117 ‘” (1.73) (3.83) (3.22) F ather's Schooling Some Elementary 0.190 ” 0.135 -0.009 0.128 -0.189 0.118 (2.30) (1.40) (0.12) (1.04) (1 .25) (0.97) Completed Elementary 0.156 0.015 0.030 0.166 -0.361 ” 0.238 " (1.55) (0.16) (0.36) (1.40) (2.42) (1.73) Secondary/1" ertiary 0.204 -0.020 0.162 ' 0.252 ~0.055 0.276 (1.22) (0.18) (1.67) (1.27) (0.34) (1.38) Missing 0.089 0.071 -0.017 -0.054 -0.118 0.133 (0.98) (0.57) (0.19) (0.47) (0.65) (1.10) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.185 " -0.039 0.019 0.142 0.182 ' 0.021 (1.98) (0.42) (0.26) (1.14) (1 .73) (0.16) Completed Elementary/ 0.361 “‘ 0.155 " 0.099 0.257 ‘ 0.182 0.107 Secondary/Tertiary (3.31) (1.93) (1.17) (1.83) (1.59) (0.70) Missing 0.174 “ 0.092 0.058 0.092 0.021 -0.077 (2.21) (0.87) (0.68) (0.86) (0.12) (0.59) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.047 -0.011 0.074 “" 0.090 ‘ -0.006 0.107 “ ( 1.20) (0.19) (2.68) (1.67) (0.08) (2.60) 30-39 years 0.014 0.036 ”‘ 0.006 0.027 0.027 ‘ -0.007 ( 1.24) (2.92) (0.80) (1 .65) (1 .97) (0.44) 40-49 years -0.020 " 0.021 0.014 -0.022 0.040 " 0.003 (1.97) (1.65) (1.57) (1.57) (2.42) (0.17) 50-59 years 0.014 0.003 -0.054 ” 0.012 0.002 -0.027 ( 1.00) (0.13) (2.57) (0.55) (0.06) (1.09) Gross income 0.088 0.318 ‘“ (1.29) (3.13) Selection Coefficient -0.760 ‘” -0.271 0.110 0.827 ‘” -0.625 -0.120 (4.29) (1 .49) (1 .32) (2.75) (1 .59) (0.77) Constant 4.214 ‘" 7.236 ‘“ 3.234 "‘ 1.304 7.796 " 2.434 ” (3.86) (4.09) (4.09) (0.80) (2.25) (2.08) F -test Own Schooling 22.88 4.32 41.21 6.96 0.48 20.05 (0.000) (0.002) (0.000) (0.000) (0.693) (0.000) Father's Schooling 1.56 0.92 1.09 0.98 3.15 0.94 (0.185) (0.452) (0.363) (0.420) (0.016) (0.442) Mother’s Schooling 4.80 1.92 0.54 1.27 1.74 0.34 (0.003) (0.127) (0.653) (0.285) (0.162) (0.794) Parental Schooling 5.17 1.21 1.23 1.68 2.08 1.15 (0.000) (0.296) (0.286) (0.1 15) (0.050) (0.333) Age 2.28 7.15 5.97 3.07 12.84 2.60 (0.061) (0.000) (0.000) (0.017) (0.000) (0.037) Adjusted R 3 0.130 0.306 0.265 0.095 0.489 0.296 Root MSE 1.162 0.661 0.821 1.223 0.581 0.910 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: lFLSl. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l°/o(‘“). 5%(”) and 10°/o(’) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 183 Appendix Table 6.4B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) and Parental Schoollng iFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.005 0.019 0.043 0.059 «0.069 0.072 (0.15) (0.55) (1.36) (1.35) (1.14) (1.62) 4-6 years 0.103 """ 0.078 ”" 0.021 0.014 (3.24) (3.00) (0.52) (0.31) 7-9 years 0.156 "‘ 0.079 0.117 "" 0.060 0.099 0.147 “" (5.14) (1.65) (5.20) (1.26) (0.67) (3.96) 10-12 years 0.113 "" 0.110 " 0.028 0.126 ” 0.018 0.122 ”‘ (2.88) (2.37) (1.30) (2.58) (0.33) (4.67) 13+ years 0.228 ”‘ 0.081 *" 0.105 “‘" (5.36) (4.68) (4.70) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.295 “" -0.043 0.057 0.172 " -0.064 0.009 (3 .20) (0.44) (0.86) (1.77) (0.42) (0.07) Completed Elementary 0.194 ‘ 0.011 0.100 0.322 ‘“ -0.106 0.104 (1.95) (0.1 1) (1 .52) (2.75) (0.77) (0.87) Secondary/'1" ertiary 0.510 "‘ -0.175 0.221 ”" 0.488 ”" -0.071 0.307 “ (3.69) (1 .53) (2.71) (2.70) (0.47) (2.09) Missing 0.286 ” -0.141 0.052 0.114 -0.207 0.016 (2.23) (0.73) (0.61) (0.82) (0.92) (0.13) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.069 0.061 0.108 ‘ 0.079 0.112 0.030 (0.75) (0.68) (1.81) (0.65) (0.98) (0.26) Completed Elementary/ 0.354 “" 0.180 " 0.210 ”" -0.091 0.082 0.202 ” Secondary/Tertiary (3.56) (2 .33) (3.51) (0.65) (0.74) (2 .02) Missing 0.029 0.057 0.132 -0.196 0.294 0.121 (0.24) (0.29) (1.62) (1.21) (1.07) (0.97) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0059 0.069 0.049 ” -0.022 0.057 0.056 ‘ (1 .39) (0.85) (2.51) (0.40) (0.71) (1 .85) 30-39 years 0.012 0.031 " 0.020 “" 0.054 ”’ 0.016 0.015 (1.12) (2.11) (2.73) (3.40) (0.66) (1 .21) 40-49 years 0021 ” 0.030 ”‘ -0.003 -0.021 ’ 0.025 0.020 (2.12) (3.07) (0.30) (1 .82) (1.36) (1.29) 50-59 years —0.001 0.008 -0.028 ‘ 0.011 0.023 -0.071 ”" (0.1 1) (0.42) (1.84) (0.75) (0.84) (2.74) Selection Coefficient -0.897 ‘“ 0.003 0.161 0.225 -0.336 -0.275 (4.37) (0.02) (1.26) (0.76) (1 .24) (1 .19) Constant 8.413 “‘ 4.640 ‘ 4.521 ‘” 5.955 ‘" 6.462 ” 4.262 ‘” (6.54) (1.81) (7.78) (3.51) (2.19) (5.41) F -test Own Schooling 26.46 6.19 36.39 7.30 0.44 29.01 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.724) (0.000) Father’s Schooling 4.34 1.92 1.89 2.49 0.32 1.61 (0.002) (0.107) (0.1 1 1) (0.043) (0.862) (0.172) Mother's Schooling 4.95 1.86 4.26 1.13 0.53 1.69 (0.002) (0.136) (0.006) (0.338) (0.664) (0.169) Parental Schooling 7.02 1.74 5.80 2.52 0.32 2.96 (0.000) (0.099) (0.000) (0.015) (0.946) (0.005) Age 2.01 7.71 8.88 2.94 3.83 5.34 (0.093) (0.000) (0.000) (0.021) (0.005) (0.000) Adjusted R 2 0.118 0.225 0.207 0.073 0.232 0.312 Root MSE 1.148 0.640 0.814 1.226 0.587 0.940 Observations 2,3 1 8 645 2,099 1,480 309 992 Source: IFLSZ. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(“"), 5%(“) and 10%(') indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 184 Appendix Table 6.4C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Own Schooling (splines) and Parental Schooling lFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling (splines) 1-3 years a) 0.052 -0.079 0.093 "W 0.069 " -0.073 0.125 "‘ (1 .62) (1 .04) (2.83) (1 .67) (0.61) (3.07) 4-6 years 0.068 ” 0.038 0.005 -0.008 (2.42) (1 .48) (0.15) (0.25) 7-9 years 0.097 ”‘ 0.093 0.074 "" 0.064 " 0.166 0.122 "" (3.89) (1.51) (4.34) (2.22) (0.82) (3.33) 10-12 years 0.145 ‘” 0.036 0.082 “" 0.084 " -0.107 0.129 ”‘ (4.70) (0.44) (4.94) (2.13) (1.25) (5.88) 13+ years 0.123 ”" 0.049 0.108 "" (4.21) (1 .62) (6.42) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0068 -0.071 -0.022 0.055 -0.017 -0.045 (1 .00) (0.71) (0.38) (0.54) (0.09) (0.49) Completed Elementary 0.031 -0.020 0.025 0.086 0.01 1 0.031 (0.44) (0.23) (0.50) (1 .03) (0.06) (0.34) Secondary/Tertiary 0.155 0.073 0.110 "' 0.201 ’ 0.277 0.358 ”" (1.62) (0.72) (1.92) (1.69) (1.46) (3.51) Missing -0.157 “ 0.028 -0.060 0.119 0.202 0.083 (1.91) (0.17) (0.91) (1.19) (0.69) (0.89) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.163 ” -0.001 0.027 0.042 0.036 -0.060 (2.27) (0.01) (0.51) (0.41) (0.36) (0.71) Completed Elementary/ 0.323 ‘” -0.001 0.090 ‘ 0.125 0.082 0.019 Secondaryffertiary (4.31) (0.02) (1 .86) (1 .36) (0.69) (0.22) Missing 0.308 "‘“ -0.137 0.120 0.106 -0.197 -0.105 (3.18) (0.79) (1.60) (0.92) (0.77) (1.03) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.021 0.040 0.004 0.082 0.023 0.004 (0.70) (0.60) (0.27) (1.61) (0.23) (0.14) 30-39 years 0.009 0.023 0.017 "'" 0.015 -0.052 0.012 (0.99) (0.94) (2.81) (1.17) (1.25) (1.20) 40-49 years 0.004 0.017 0.007 0.003 0.022 0001 (0.52) (1.38) (0.80) (0.29) (1.41) (0.05) 50-59 years 0030 “ 0.034 -0.034 "" -0.019 0.070 “" —0.029 (2.60) (1.52) (2.71) (1.22) (2.67) (1.35) Selection Coefficient -0.906 "‘ -0.364 0.136 0.118 -0.897 “ 0.228 (4.65) (1.14) (1 .43) (0.34) (2.20) (1 .04) Constant 6.980 "‘ 7.357 “" 6.368 ”" 4.090 " 9.261 “' 5.685 "‘" (7.77) (2.81) (14.71) (2.35) (2.56) (8.22) F -test Own Schooling 23.01 2.12 54.25 7.36 2.04 38.79 (0.000) (0.077) (0.000) (0.000) (0.109) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.18 0.59 1.65 0.90 1.26 5.22 (0.069) (0.669) (0.160) (0.466) (0.288) (0.000) Mother's Schooling 7.74 0.23 1.62 0.77 0.60 0.64 (0.000) (0.879) (0.182) (0.513) (0.615) (0.588) Parental Schooling 5.54 0.53 2.42 1.41 1.20 3.36 (0.000) (0.808) (0.018) (0.197) (0.301) (0.002) Age 2.48 4.26 6.74 1.54 4.60 1.28 (0.043) (0.002) (0.000) (0.189) (0.001) (0.275) Adjusted R 2 0.085 0.252 0.190 0.046 0.304 0.295 Root MSE 1.146 0.680 0.806 1.239 0.671 0.926 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1,376 Source: iFLS3. a) 1-6 years for public sector workers. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced its splines. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘"), 5%(“) and lO°/o(") indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 185 f Appendix Table 6.5A OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schoollng and Parental Schooling lFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schoollng 1-3 years 0.093 0.108 0.050 0.041 (1.05) (1 .21) (0.44) (0.39) 4-6 years 0.364 ”" 0.484 ”‘ 0.317 “”' 0.227 " (4.01) (6.18) (2.80) (2.01) 7-9 years 0.789 '” 0.207 ‘ 0.743 "‘ 0.552 “‘ 0.498 “' 0.618 ‘” (6.94) (1.73) (8.22) (3.39) (2.29) (3.84) 10-12 years 0.811 ‘“ 0.665 ”‘ 1.100 "" 0.897 ‘“ 1.351 ‘“ 1.498 ‘” (6.58) (6.74) (11.33) (4.95) (9.23) (8.66) 13+ years 1.485 ”‘ 1.025 ”‘ 1.700 ‘” (6. 10) (9.48) (11.81) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.235 ‘” 0.104 -0.003 0.064 «0.018 0.098 (2.85) (1.06) (0.05) (0.53) (0.12) (0.85) Completed Elementary 0.156 0.008 0.056 0.057 -O.217 0.184 (1 .55) (0.08) (0.69) (0.52) (1 .47) (1 .43) Secondary/Tertiary 0.254 -0.032 0.158 0.292 -0.007 0.236 (1.56) (0.29) (1.63) (1.55) (0.05) (1.13) Missing 0.023 0.015 -0.033 .0068 -0.089 0.120 (0.26) (0.12) (0.37) (0.58) (0.52) (1.00) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.093 —0.005 0.013 0.226 ‘ 0.109 0.036 (1.03) (0.06) (0.17) (1.84) (1.02) (0.31) Completed Elementary/ 0.300 ”‘ 0.163 ‘ 0.087 0.344 " 0.163 0.125 Secondary/Tertiary (2.78) (1 .94) (1 .08) (2.44) (1.54) (0.84) Missing 0.152 ‘ 0.104 0.073 0.117 0.105 -0.075 (1.95) (1.02) (0.85) (1.06) (0.93) (0.59) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.029 0.010 0.072 "” 0.060 0.107 ” 0.103 “ (0.75) (0.20) (2.67) (1.13) (2.26) (2.50) 30-39 years 0.026 “ 0.046 ‘“ 0.007 0.007 0.036 ”‘ -0.008 (2 .40) (4.21) (0.94) (0.48) (2.68) (0.54) 40-49 years -0.020 ” 0.024 "' 0.015 ‘ -0.019 0.030 ” 0.002 (2.01) (1.97) (1.73) (1.37) (2.18) (0.15) 50-59 years 0.014 -0.013 -0.053 "" 0.010 -0.012 -0.030 (0.95) (0.65) (2 .53) (0.44) (0.38) (1.20) Gross income 0.079 0.315 “‘ (1.13) (3.09) Constant 4.269 "" 5.913 "‘ 3.414 ‘" 3.416 "' 2.816 " 2.360 “ (3.89) (3.86) (4.47) (2.28) (2.13) (2.05) F -test Own Schooling 20.24 34.17 45.03 8.32 58.40 20.79 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.58 0.62 1.06 0.83 1.81 0.68 (0.038) (0.647) (0.376) (0.506) (0.130) (0.606) Mother's Schooling 3.32 1.72 0.55 2.45 0.84 0.43 (0.020) (0.164) (0.650) (0.064) (0.474) (0.732) Parental Schooling 4.46 1.02 1.23 2.08 1.23 0.97 (0.000) (0.416) (0.284) (0.046) (0.290) (0.451) Age 3.42 15.65 6.49 1.25 16.82 2.36 (0.009) (0.000) (0.000) (0.289) (0.000) (0.055) Adjusted R 3 0.1 17 0.297 0.265 0.088 0.486 0.304 Root MSE 1.171 0.665 0.820 1.228 0.583 0.905 Observations 2,107 574 1,391 1,272 252 616 Source: lFLSl. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l°/o(""), 5°/o("") and lO%(") indicated. p -va1ues for F -test are in parentheses. 186 Appendix Table 6.58 OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schoollng IFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.218 " 0.106 0.171 0.019 (2.44) (1.18) (1.59) (0.16) 4-6 years 0.363 ”t 0.319 “" 0.202 ” 0.174 " (4.37) (4.28) (2.07) (1 .67) 7-9 years 0.729 *” 0.162 0.692 ”"' 0.546 ”'" 0.403 0.432 ‘" (7.50) (1 .42) (7.96) (3.70) (1 .60) (2.80) 10-12 years 0.837 "" 0.528 "‘ 0.791 "" 0.802 ”" 0.706 ‘” 1.162 “" (8.18) (5.72) (9.48) (5.03) (2.94) (8.74) 13+ years 1.551 ”" 0.849 "" 1.251 ‘“ (8.85) (9.69) (10.59) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.226 " -0.042 0.041 0.152 -0.028 0.026 (2.51) (0.44) (0.63) (1 .62) (0.20) (0.21) Completed Elementary 0.114 0.032 0.091 0.294 ‘"' -0.070 0.101 (1.14) (0.34) (1 .40) (2.60) (0.53) (0.86) Secondary/Tertiary 0.357 *" -0.149 0.211 "* 0.484 "" -0.066 0.382 “" (2.64) (1 .32) (2.59) (2.76) (0.44) (2.76) Missing 0.145 -0.140 0.031 0.101 -0.283 0.053 (1.15) (0.71) (0.37) (0.72) (1.30) (0.46) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.019 0.058 0.104 ‘ 0.092 0.109 0.009 (0.21) (0.66) (1 .76) (0.79) (0.96) (0.08) Completed Elementary/ 0.258 ‘" 0.161 ‘”“ 0.188 "‘" -0.051 0.145 0.233 " Secondary/Tertiary (2.64) (2.13) (3.20) (0.40) (1 .33) (2.29) Missing -0.027 0.057 0.109 -0.153 0.337 0.130 (0.23) (0.29) (1.36) (1 .01) (1 .16) (1 .05) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.006 0.067 0.046 “ -0.038 0.064 0.052 " (0.16) (0.86) (2.40) (0.72) (0.92) (1 .82) 30-39 years 0.020 ‘ 0.029 ”“ 0.022 ‘"” 0.046 "'” 0.048 “" 0.007 (1.90) (2.86) (3.33) (3.53) (2.97) (0.61) 40-49 years 0012 0.031 “"' 0.000 —0.021 " 0.007 0.019 (1 .23) (3.21 ) (0.04) (1 .80) (0.53) (1 .22) 50-59 years 0009 -0.007 -0.024 0.011 0.025 -0.078 "“ (0.73) (0.38) (1 .64) (0.76) (0.95) (3.06) Constant 5.722 “‘ 4.823 “ 4.743 ""” 6.758 "" 4.878 "' 4.046 ‘" (5.17) (2.14) (8.72) (4.46) (2.45) (5.08) F -test Own Schooling 27.09 42.05 37.33 7.80 5.57 33.61 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.004) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.57 2.04 1.80 2.46 0.47 3.08 (0.037) (0.089) (0.129) (0.045) (0.757) (0.016) Mother's Schooling 3.03 1.54 3.50 0.88 0.70 2.26 (0.029) (0.205) (0.015) (0.449) (0.555) (0.082) Parental Schooling 4.25 2.03 5.14 2.58 0.52 5.14 (0.000) (0.051) (0.000) (0.013) (0.817) (0.000) Age 1.96 16.85 10.51 3.38 6.25 5.04 (0.100) (0.000) (0.000) (0.010) (0.000) (0.001) Adjusted R2 0.113 0.224 0.207 0.071 0.186 0.307 Root MSE 1.151 0.640 0.814 1.227 0.604 0.944 Observations 2,31 8 645 2,099 l ,480 309 992 Source: IFLSZ. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("‘), 5%(”) and 10%(") indicated. p -va1ues for F otest are in parentheses. 187 Appendix Table 6.5C OLS Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling lFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.213 ” 0.186 ‘ 0.209 ” 0.320 ‘" (2.05) (1.93) (2.03) (3.28) 4-6 years 0.359 ”" 0.373 ‘" 0.237 ”" 0.383 “‘ (3.92) (4.61) (2.64) (4.04) 7-9 years 0.577 "‘ 0.217 0.608 ‘” 0.425 ”" 0.602 ‘”" 0.710 ”‘ (5.61) (1.37) (7.04) (3.82) (2.02) (5.59) 10-12 years 0.770 ‘” 0.654 “" 0.843 ”"' 0.711 “" 1.518 ”" 1.245 ”‘ (7.79) (5.00) (9.80) (5.48) (5.73) (10.06) 13+ years 1.237 ”‘ 0.992 ”‘ 1.302 ”‘ (9.58) (7.44) (12.36) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0054 -0.057 -0.024 0.048 0.065 -0.041 (0.80) (0.57) (0.41) (0.47) (0.36) (0.45) Completed Elementary 0.013 -0.004 0.023 0.080 0.126 0.043 (0.19) (0.04) (0.45) (0.99) (0.74) (0.47) Secondary/Tertiary 0.056 0.080 0.110 " 0.248 " 0.220 0.430 “" (0.61) (0.83) (1 .93) (2.08) (1 .23) (4.14) Missing -0.183 “ -0.030 -0.066 0.114 0.077 0.060 (2.26) (0.21) (1.01) (1.14) (0.32) (0.65) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.079 0.003 0.029 0.033 0.027 -0.078 (1.14) (0.03) (0.56) (0.33) (0.25) (0.90) Completed Elementary/ 0.209 ‘” -0.018 0.082 ‘ 0.139 0.014 0.029 Secondary/Tertiary (2.82) (0.22) (1.73) (1.54) (0.12) (0.34) Missing 0.231 ” -0.176 0.109 0.117 -0.334 -0.105 (2.46) (1.02) (1.47) (1.09) (1.63) (1.03) Age (spline) 25-29 years 0.067 ” 0.076 0.005 0.074 " 0.092 0.004 (2.45) (1.19) (0.37) (1.66) (0.88) (0.17) 30-39 years 0.016 ‘ 0.046 “" 0.020 '” 0.011 0.038 ‘” 0.012 (1 .71) (4.53) (3.48) (0.88) (2.79) (1 .18) 40-49 years 0.009 0.027 ”" 0.008 0.002 0.004 0.001 (1 .10) (2.91 ) (0.98) (0.16) (0.29) (0.09) 50-59 years 0027 ” 0.015 -0.031 " -0.015 0.040 " -0.019 (2.42) (0.86) (2.49) (1 .05) (1 .78) (0.89) Constant 4.918 ‘“ 4.944 ”" 6.435 ‘" 4.473 "‘ 3.716 5.948 ‘“ (6.45) (2.74) (15.15) (3.56) (1.24) (8.66) F -test Own Schooling 28.14 34.52 52.07 8.14 19.25 28.23 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Father's Schooling 1.64 0.53 1.76 1.21 0.56 6.84 (0.162) (0.714) (0.134) (0.307) (0.691) (0.000) Mother’s Schooling 3.85 0.41 1.39 1.08 1.18 0.88 (0.010) (0.748) (0.244) (0.359) (0.317) (0.451) Parental Schooling 3.07 0.59 2.53 1.87 1.02 4.80 (0.003) (0.768) (0.014) (0.072) (0.418) (0.000) Age 7.57 17.16 9.41 2.50 6.47 0.92 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.041) (0.000) (0.452) Adjusted R2 0.077 0.248 0.184 0.045 0.289 0.277 Root MSE 1.151 0.682 0.808 1.240 0.678 0.937 Observations 3,023 702 2,801 2,047 352 1,376 Source: lFLS3. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(‘"), 5%(") and 10%(") indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 188 Appendix Table 6.6A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, lFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years ofschooling 0.101 “"‘ 0.072 '“' 0.092 *""" 0.054 ""' 0.052 0.116 ”“ (7.45) (2.31) (11.96) (3.64) (0.95) (10.33) Age 0.096 " 0.109 "' 0.050 0.041 0.088 0.097 * (2.19) (1.77) (1.39) (0.73) (1.16) (1.70) Age2(x 10") -0135 .. -0107 -0051 -0042 .0077 -0125 (2.40) (1 .37) (1 .07) (0.60) (0.79) (1 .64) Month of interview October 0.302 " -0.142 0.154 0.305 "‘ 0.045 0.054 (1 .98) (0.70) (1 .27) (1.73) (0.24) (0.31) November 0.470 "" -0.262 0.190 0.364 “ -0.204 -0.117 (3.62) (1 .27) (1.63) (2.01) (1 .34) (0.73) December 0047 -0.077 0.010 0.108 0.046 -0.294 "' (0.36) (0.40) (0.08) (0.60) (0.34) (1 .80) January 0059 0.009 0.188 0.196 0.315 -0.157 (0.33) (0.04) (1.13) (0.64) (1 .57) (0.64) Gross income 0.026 0.250 "‘ (0.32) (2.11) Selection Coefficient -0.581 "" -0.116 0.090 0.506 -0.423 0.099 (3.34) (0.54) (1.19) (1.48) (1 .43) (0.55) Constant 3.982 “"' 4.014 “" 4.350 *" 3.744 ""' 5.031 ** 3.213 *" (4.67) (2.66) (6.44) (2.68) (2.19) (2.98) F -test Age 4.43 6.23 5.38 0.73 20.1 1 1.64 (0.013) (0.002) (0.005) (0.485) (0.000) (0.197) Month of interview 6.47 1.45 1.53 1.75 1.77 2.01 (0.000) (0.219) (0. 194) (0.139) (0.140) (0.094) Adjusted R :’ 0.086 0.233 0.218 0.038 0.463 0.274 Root MSE 1.145 0.686 0.769 1.207 0.591 0.877 Observations 1,347 416 959 830 210 450 Source: IF LSl . Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute :- statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%("'"""), 5%(*"‘) and 10%("') indicated. p-values for F -test are in parentheses. 189 Appendix Table 6.68 Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, iFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years ofschooling 0.109 *“ 0.038 0.088 "* 0.081 *" -0.013 0.115 "" (1 1.36) (0.94) (12.96) (6.16) (0.30) (9.07) Age 0.007 -0.017 0.088 " 0.096 "' 0.036 0.051 (0.16) (0.24) (2.21) (1 .72) (0.44) (0.90) Age2(x10'2) -0022 0.046 -0.116 n -0137 r -0034 -0.058 (0.38) (0.54) (2.22) (1.91) (0.32) (0.76) Month of interview October -0.226 * -0.123 0.003 -0.198 -0.355 "”" 0.094 (1.74) (1 .05) (0.03) (1 .44) (2.06) (0.66) November ~0.211 "‘ -0.124 -0.003 -0.127 -0.457 *" 0.068 (1.69) (0.99) (0.03) (0.94) (2.19) (0.44) December 0.1 12 0.024 0.144 0.173 -0.223 0.077 (0.82) (0.20) (1 .44) (1 .02) (1 .37) (0.54) January-April 0.201 0.038 0.249 *" -0.171 -0.053 0.428 “ (0.67) (0.26) (2.13) (0.48) (0.27) (2.06) Selection Coefficient -0.872 W" -0.201 0.040 -0.646 ** -0.441 "‘ -0.069 (5.58) (0.70) (0.31) (2.16) (1.74) (0.46) Constant 6.730 *" 7.377 *** 4.571 "* 5.222 *" 7.754 "" 4.602 *" (7.69) (3.71 ) (6.17) (4.26) (3.46) (4.36) F -test Age 2.84 7.48 2.46 4.03 1.80 1.06 (0.060) (0.001) (0.087) (0.019) (0.170) (0.349) Month of interview 2.99 1.16 1.97 1.61 2.51 1.10 (0.019) (0.331) (0.099) (0.172) (0.045) (0.359) Adjusted R 2 0.082 0.162 0.185 0.059 0.267 0.194 Root MSE 1.162 0.634 0.831 1.194 0.481 1.029 Observations 1,322 409 943 937 196 524 Source: lFLSZ. Omitted category for month of interview is August/September. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents in which dummy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute :- statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o("”""), 5°/o(""") and 10°/o("') indicated. p-values for F -test are in parentheses. 190 Appendix Table 6.6C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, lFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Years of schooling 0.097 "““ 0.080 "‘ 0.089 ‘”" 0.073 *" 0.125 " 0.095 "" (9.38) (1 .90) (1 1.70) (6.36) (2.40) (7.24) Age 0.054 0.155 "' 0.115 "" 0.057 -0.108 0.120 ** (1.29) (1.90) (2.80) (1.11) (1.09) (2.14) Age2 (x 102) -0.080 -0.169 .0149 ""' -0.081 0.165 -0.168 " (1.47) (1.61) (2.78) (1.19) (1.25) (2.24) Month of interview August 0264 ‘”" -0.001 0.083 -0.275 "' 0.060 0.018 (2.85) (0.01) (0.76) (1.97) (0.43) (0.13) September 0158 -0.114 -0.032 -0.318 " -0.083 -0.094 (1 .38) (0.93) (0.31) (2.34) (0.65) (0.62) October -0.234 " -0.029 0.102 -0.272 " 0.078 0.012 (2.05) (0.23) (1 .00) (1 .92) (0.36) (0.07) November-January -0.060 0.078 0.069 0.017 0.089 0.320 "‘ (0.40) (0.56) (0.57) (0.10) (0.53) (2.01) Selection Coefficient -0.560 "’" 0.022 -0.093 -0.370 -0.073 0.561 *" (3.85) (0.08) (1 . 15) (1 .23) (0.28) (3.23) Constant 6.514 “1" 4.080 "' 4.717 "" 6.268 "" 8.530 "" 3.248 "* (8.12) (1 .92) (6.17) (5.36) (3.55) (2.98) F-test Age 2.26 8.65 3.92 1.03 3.49 2.84 (0.106) (0.000) (0.021) (0.358) (0.033) (0.060) Month of interview 2.41 0.78 0.74 2.17 0.65 1.93 (0.049) (0.539) (0.563) (0.072) (0.630) (0.107) Adjusted R 2 0.067 0.188 0.184 0.051 0.395 0.196 Root MSE 1.169 0.647 0.813 1.209 0.626 0.983 Observations 1 ,442 364 842 1 ,1 24 192 545 Source: iFLS3. Omitted category for month of interview is J une/J uly. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents in which dununy variables for own schooling are replaced by years of schooling. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute :- statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(*"'*), 5%(‘”') and 10%("‘) indicated. p -values for F -tcst are in parentheses. 191 Appendix Table 6.7A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, lFLSl Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.092 0.120 0.049 0.172 (0.83) (1 .24) (0.31) (1 .40) 4-6 years 0.296 "" 0.387 ”" 0.355 ” 0.294 ” (2.73) (4.76) (2.31) (2.23) 7-9 years 0.821 *" 0.251 0.680 "" 0.543 "" 0.291 0.691 ”'" (5.79) (1 .49) (7.36) (2.96) (1 .10) (4.00) 10-12 years 1.124 *" 0.816 "”" 1.012 "" 0.497 "' 1.142 ‘"" 1.652 ‘” (5.88) (3.07) (10.24) (1 .94) (2.14) (11.22) 13+ years 1.925 ”" 1.103 "" 1.523 *” (5.50) (3.71) (8.77) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.030 0.043 0.073 " 0.064 0.123 0.128 **"‘ (0.64) (0.67) (2.49) (1 .12) (1 .58) (2.97) 30-39 years 0.005 0.050 "“" 0.002 0.014 0.044 ”" -0.012 (0.43) (3.27) (0.28) (0.74) (3.44) (0.75) 4049 years 0022 0.029 "' 0.019 -0.023 0.013 0.002 (1.60) (1 .94) (1 .64) (1.19) (0.61) (0.10) 50-52 years 0057 -0.123 -0.055 0.182 ” 0.015 -0.066 (0.84) (1.35) (0.74) (2.01) (0.16) (0.53) Month of interview October 0.285 " -0.117 0.157 0.270 -0.133 0.073 (1 .88) (0.60) (1 .32) (1.50) (0.71) (0.44) November 0.481 "" -0.202 0.215 0.377 " -0.322 " -0.123 (3.72) (1 .03) (1 .87) (1 .92) (2.23) (0.81) December -0.053 -0.017 0.034 0.1 18 -0. 149 -0.247 (0.42) (0.09) (0.28) (0.62) (0.97) (1 .59) January -0.099 0.109 0.210 0.168 0.129 -0.115 (0.56) (0.52) (1 .27) (0.56) (0.64) (0.50) Gross income 0.037 0.247 “' (0.45) (2.09) Selection Coefficient -0.625 *” 0.111 0.087 0.612 -0.101 0.041 (3.61) (0.51) (1.12) (1.52) (0.30) (0.23) Constant 4.947 "'" 4.772 " 3.390 "* 2.613 2.708 1.606 (3.84) (2.34) (4.06) (1 .47) (0.89) (1.30) F -test Own Schooling 12.91 6.47 29.60 4.88 2.47 38.48 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.089) (0.000) Age 2.19 5.41 4.14 1.50 13.83 2.71 (0.070) (0.000) (0.003) (0.203) (0.000) (0.032) Month of interview 6.79 1.70 1.63 1.59 2.03 1.81 (0.000) (0.151) (0.168) (0.178) (0.094) (0.129) Adjusted R 2 0.084 0.260 0.215 0.037 0.466 0.307 Root MSE 1.146 0.674 0.770 1.207 0.589 0.857 Observations 1,347 416 959 830 210 450 Source: lFLSl. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%("'"), 5°/o(‘”") and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 192 r Appendix Table 6.7B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, IFLSZ Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.368 "'" 0.120 0.134 0.075 (3.18) (1.11) (1.05) (0.48) 4-6 years 0.405 "" 0.407 "" 0.235 ” 0.232 "' (3.81) (4.30) (2.12) (1.69) 7-9 years 0.964 "" 0.010 0.876 "" 0.774 "‘" 0.192 0.463 ” (7.68) (0.06) (7.81) (4.47) (0.72) (2.24) 10-12 years 1.391 ”" 0.558 " 0.961 "" 1.153 "" 0.501 1.687 ‘" (9.99) (1 .80) (8.50) (5.29) (1 .21) (1 1.47) 13+ years 2.079 "" 0.796 " 1.332 ‘" (7.29) (2.06) (9.51) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.048 -0.001 0.044 0.064 0.049 -0.015 (1.15) (0.02) (1.33) (1.43) (0.71) (0.29) 30-39 years -0.010 0.025 ‘ 0.004 -0.010 0.026 "' 0.019 (0.79) (1 .67) (0.37) (0.60) (1 .93) (1 .22) 40-49 years -0029 " 0.035 "“ -0.004 -0.015 -0.013 0.002 (1 .92) (2.93) (0.25) (0.80) (0.69) (0.08) 50-52 years 0.122 “ -0.134 -0.086 -0.097 0.039 -0.091 (1 .72) (1 .43) (0.99) (1 .10) (0.43) (0.73) Month of interview October -0.227 " -0.104 -0.002 -0.176 -0.263 0.090 (1 .79) (0.94) (0.02) (1 .28) (1 .56) (0.63) November -0.212 ' -0.060 0002 «0.115 -0.320 ‘ 0.112 (1 .72) (0.47) (0.02) (0.87) (1 .71) (0.70) December 0.101 0.1 1 1 0.146 0.185 -0.146 0.063 (0.75) (1 .00) (1 .45) (1 .09) (0.88) (0.45) January-April 0.151 0.098 0.257 " -0.164 0.008 0.410 " (0.51) (0.69) (2.14) (0.45) (0.04) (1 .99) Selection Coefficient -0.917 ”" 0.074 0.035 -0.702 " -0.168 -0.171 (6.01) (0.29) (0.25) (2.30) (0.73) (1 .24) Constant 5.449 *" 6.816 ""' 4.947 "‘ 5.191 "" 6.046 '"' 6.240 ‘" (4.71) (4.12) (5.30) (3.84) (2.49) (4.24) F -test Own Schooling 29.49 3.25 33.96 11.39 0.80 44.97 (0.000) (0.023) (0.000) (0.000) (0.453) (0.000) Age 2.38 5.27 1.27 2.64 1.98 0.71 (0.052) (0.000) (0.282) (0.034) (0.100) (0.587) Month of interview 2.76 1.82 2.03 1.55 2.09 1.01 (0.028) (0.126) (0.090) (0.186) (0.086) (0.403) Adjusted R 2 0.088 0.182 0.180 0.061 0.276 0.232 Root MSE 1.158 0.626 0.833 1.192 0.479 1.004 Observations 1 ,322 409 943 937 196 524 Source: IFLSZ. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is August/September. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the commrmity level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(“"), 5%(""') and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 193 Appendix Table 6.7C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling Panel Respondents, IFLS3 Men Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.288 " 0.350 " 0.128 0.291 ‘“" (2.10) (2.44) (1.17) (2.40) 4-6 years 0.411 "" 0.427 *""' 0.214 ‘”" 0.278 ” (3.42) (3.34) (2.08) (2.21) 7-9 years 0.765 *""' 0.172 0.864 "”" 0.490 "“ 0.343 0.654 “" (5.24) (0.67) (6.28) (3.38) (0.88) (2.69) 10-12 years 1.277 "' 0.793 " 1.074 "" 1.113 "* 1.773 "" 1.366 ""' (7.65) (1 .83) (8.06) (6.06) (4.05) (7.50) 13+ years 2.217 "'""' 1.081 " 1.595 ”" (8.30) (1.82) (7.78) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.024 0.113 0.012 0.072 "‘ -0.028 0.085 ‘ (0.61) (1.60) (0.28) (1.77) (0.51) (1.72) 30-39 years 0.008 0.040 " 0.022 " -0.022 0.017 -0.021 (0.55) (2.39) (1.97) (1.59) (1.26) (1.40) 40-49 years -0.040 “ 0.004 -0.015 0.010 0.014 0.028 (2.32) (0.23) (1 .07) (0.53) (0.59) (1 .25) 50-52 years 0.106 0.076 -0.056 -0.131 0.097 -0.384 " (1 .33) (0.38) (0.84) (1.51) (0.55) (2.61) Month of interview August -0.265 "”'“" 0.004 0.071 -0.329 ” 0.126 0.049 (2.88) (0.03) (0.63) (2.36) (0.90) (0.36) September -0.198 ‘ -0.116 -0.031 -0.380 *" 0.005 -0.075 (1 .74) (0.90) (0.29) (2.77) (0.04) (0.48) October -0.236 "' -0.024 0.101 -0.362 " 0.002 -0.002 (2.07) (0.19) (0.96) (2.57) (0.01) (0.01) November-January -0.061 0.122 0.055 -0.011 0.068 0.389 ‘”" (0.42) (0.83) (0.45) (0.06) (0.46) (2.41) Selection Coefficient -0.727 ‘" 0.132 -0.168 " -0.754 ‘”" 0.013 0.572 ""' (4.51) (0.36) (1 .93) (2.53) (0.06) (2.98) Constant 6.838 “" 4.019 "' 6.452 “" 5.856 "" 7.444 ”" 3.022 "”" (6.46) (1 .73) (5.18) (4.72) (3.75) (2.13) F -test Own Schooling 19.44 1.79 30.40 10.15 10.12 14.61 (0.000) (0.149) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Age 1.87 9.19 2.11 2.08 1.26 2.95 (0.1 16) (0.000) (0.079) (0.083) (0.287) (0.021) Month of interview 2.48 1.09 0.63 3.08 0.34 2.57 (0.043) (0.360) (0.642) (0.016) (0.850) (0.039) Adjusted R 2 0.072 0.210 0.180 0.049 0.456 0.202 Root MSE 1.165 0.638 0.815 1.210 0.593 0.979 Observations 1 ,442 364 842 1 ,124 192 545 Source: iFLS3. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for month of interview is June/July. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute t-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(""""), 5%(“) and 10%(‘) indicated. p -values for F -test are in parentheses. 194 9 Appendix Table 6.8A Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schoollng Panel Respondents, [F L81 Menfi Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.019 0.137 0.020 0.164 (0.17) (1.34) (0.12) (1.28) 4-6 years 0.196 " 0.385 ”" 0.247 0.239 " (1.79) (4.47) (1.58) (1.72) 7-9 years 0.685 ‘” 0.287 0.670 ”" 0.360 “ 0.358 0.585 ”’ (4.79) (1 .49) (6.67) (1.86) (1.17) (2.98) 10.12 years 0.979 ‘” 0.902 ” 0.969 “‘ 0.258 1.188 1.440 "" (5.17) (2.49) (8.57) (1 .01) (1.57) (7.22) 13+ years 1.745 ”’ 1.196 ”" 1.452 ‘” (5.02) (2.86) (8.16) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.261 " -0.001 -0.053 0.082 0.038 0.100 (2.61) (0.01) (0.64) (0.57) (0.23) (0.80) Completed Elementary 0.163 0.009 -0.028 0.152 -0.206 0.386 ”" (1.35) (0.08) (0.28) (1 .04) (1 .26) (2.74) Secondary/Tertiary 0.220 -0.105 0.028 0.294 -0.061 0.251 (1.06) (0.85) (0.23) (1.22) (0.36) (1.09) Missing 0.008 -0.121 —0.1 15 -0.l98 -0.134 0.240 ‘ (0.07) (0.65) (1.02) (1.41) (0.68) (1.78) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.148 0.063 0.012 0.183 0.074 -0.013 (1.34) (0.51) (0.13) (1.22) (0.72) (0.10) Completed Elementary/ 0.454 W” 0.164 ‘ 0.147 0.291 ‘ 0.186 0.113 Secondary/Tertiary (3.61) (1.76) (1.42) (1.71) (1 .37) (0.71) Missing 0.151 0.176 0.127 0.068 0.123 -0.061 (1.53) (1.24) (1.28) (0.54) (0.71) (0.48) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.031 0.048 0.073 “ 0.052 0.120 0.127 '” (0.66) (0.75) (2.47) (0.89) (1.13) (2.83) 3039 years 0.010 0.051 ”‘ 0.002 0.023 0.050 "" -0.009 (0.77) (3.07) (0.28) (1.08) (3.71) (0.54) 40-49 years -0.019 0.032 ” 0.021 " -0.023 0.009 0.006 (1.43) (2.11) (1.76) (1.19) (0.41) (0.28) 50-52 years 0041 -0.130 -0.059 0.177 “ 0.018 -0.066 (0.58) (1 .46) (0.79) (1 .99) (0.16) (0.54) Gross income 0.051 0.235 "" (0.63) (1.99) Selection Coefficient -0.730 "‘ 0.190 0.101 0.595 -0.057 -0.036 (4.03) (0.61) (1.14) (1.28) (0.12) (0.18) Constant 4.824 ’" 4.335 ‘ 3.372 ‘” 2.890 2.634 1.662 (3.70) (1.91) (4.03) (1.57) (0.61) (1.27) F -test Own Schooling 10.29 3.88 22.74 2.08 1.23 15.86 (0.000) (0.010) (0.000) (0.084) (0.296) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.16 0.57 0.47 1.44 0.80 2.30 (0.074) (0.688) (0.755) (0.221) (0.525) (0.060) Mother's Schooling 4.52 1.46 1.12 1.19 0.69 0.30 (0.004) (0.228) (0.340) (0.312) (0.560) (0.825) Parental Schooling 5.04 0.84 0.99 1.57 0.59 1.78 (0.000) (0.554) (0.440) (0.143) (0.759) (0.094) Age 1.63 4.48 4.10 1.44 12.78 2.83 (0.166) (0.002) (0.003) (0.221) (0.000) (0.026) Adjusted R -‘ 0.104 0.256 0.214 0.047 0.459 0.313 Root MSE 1.134 0.676 0.770 1.201 0.593 0.853 Observations 1,347 416 959 830 210 450 Source: IF LSl. Month of interview dununy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute («statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1°/o(‘"), 5°/o(”) and 10%(‘) indicated. p - values for F -test are in parentheses. 195 Appendix Table 6.8B Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling Panel Respondents, lFLSZ Me_n Women Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schooling 1-3 years 0.303 ”‘ 0.112 0.116 0.069 (2.61) (1 .04) (0.87) (0.46) 4-6 years 0.309 '” 0.353 "‘ 0.158 0.111 (2.82) (3.72) (1 .26) (0.80) 7-9 years 0.846 '” 0.214 0.771 "" 0.628 “" 0.405 0.226 (6.53) (1 .27) (6.74) (3.47) (1 .12) (1 .00) 10-12 years 1.289 ‘” 1.028 “" 0.776 "" 0.921 "" 1.237 " 1.332 "‘ (9.30) (3.15) (6.23) (3.89) (1.79) (7.29) 13+ years 2.038 ”‘ 1.385 ”" 1.097 “" (7.00) (3.40) (7.03) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.229 " 0.008 0.004 0.093 0.222 0.058 (2.19) (0.07) (0.04) (0.69) (1 .26) (0.31) Completed Elementary 0.107 0.063 0.041 0.317 "‘ 0.149 0.082 (0.84) (0.66) (0.43) (2.26) (0.94) (0.48) Secondary/Tertiary 0.458 " -0.164 0.184 0.430 ‘ 0.035 0.433 " (2.44) (1 .44) (1 .36) (1.96) (0.22) (2.22) Missing «0.003 -0.508 " 0.160 0.073 0.083 0.193 (0.02) (2.22) (1 .13) (0.45) (0.47) (1 .16) Mother's Schooling Some Elementary 0.088 0.121 0.184 " 0.150 0.178 -0.002 (0.80) (1.18) (1.96) (0.85) (1.49) (0.01) Completed Elementary/ 0.328 “ 0.240 ‘”‘ 0.308 "‘“ -0.050 0.166 0.266 ” Secondary/Tertiary (2.50) (2.55) (3.40) (0.28) (1.19) (2.12) Missing 0.171 0.349 0.080 -0.069 0.008 -0.041 (1 .19) (1.65) (0.61) (0.37) (0.03) (0.27) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.059 0.021 0.045 0.064 0.147 -0.021 (1.44) (0.44) (1.37) (1.39) (1.58) (0.40) 30-39 years 0012 0.044 ‘" 0.001 -0.004 0.033 ” 0.020 (0.89) (2.78) (0.13) (0.21) (2.22) (1 .25) 40-49 years 0024 0.034 "' -0.005 -0.015 -0.026 0.005 (1.58) (2.97) (0.31) (0.75) (1.16) (0.23) 50-52 years 0.126 "' -0.163 " -0.077 -0.091 0.079 -0.084 (1 .76) (1 .72) (0.91) (1 .00) (0.83) (0.68) Selection Coefficient -1.134 ‘” 0.492 ‘ 0.200 -0.638 0.289 -0.007 (7.16) (1 .74) (1.44) (1 .62) (0.78) (0.04) Constant 5.201 ‘” 5.114 ”‘ 4.646 "" 5.006 "‘ 1.671 6.094 “’ (4.64) (2.89) (4.91) (3.57) (0.46) (4.07) F -test Own Schooling 25.93 5.46 18.06 5.74 2.02 19.84 (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) (0.000) (0.137) (0.000) Father's Schooling 2.54 3.17 0.84 1.58 0.71 1.99 (0.040) (0.015) (0.500) (0.180) (0.587) (0.097) Mother's Schooling 2.12 2.62 4.02 0.58 1.16 1.92 (0.097) (0.051) (0.008) (0.630) (0.327) (0.128) Parental Schooling 3.54 2.46 3.46 1.42 l .14 1 .87 (0.001) (0.019) (0.001) (0.196) (0.345) (0.076) Age 1.90 8.30 1.22 1.96 2.62 0.70 (0.1 10) (0.000) (0.303) (0.101) (0.038) (0.591) Adjusted R’ 0.104 0.207 0.196 0.065 0.268 0.238 Root MSE 1.148 0.617 0.825 1.190 0.481 1.000 Observations 1 ,322 409 943 937 196 524 Source: iFLSZ. Month of interview dummy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adjustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the 1%(""'), 5%(”) and 10%("') indicated. p- values for F -test are in parentheses. 196 Appendix Table 6.8C Selectivity Corrected Wage Functions: The Effects of Non-linear Own Schooling and Parental Schooling Panel Respondents, lFLS3 Mgr Wom_en Self Public Private Self Public Private Employment Sector Sector Employment Sector Sector Own Schoollng 1-3 years 0228 " 0.345 ” 0.105 0.305 ” (1 .66) (2.40) (0.94) (2.34) 4-6 years 0.324 ”‘ 0.399 ”" 0.167 0.252 ‘ (2.73) (3.12) (1.61) (1.89) 7-9 years 0.696 ”‘ 0.199 0.810 ”" 0.428 “" 0.277 0.490 " (4.74) (0.83) (5.97) (2.80) (0.69) (1.86) 10-12 years 1.281 ”" 0.834 ” 0.968 ”‘ 1.084 ‘" 1.544 “" 1.140 ”‘ (7.58) (2.05) (7.22) (5.34) (2.83) (5.19) 13+ years 2.302 ”‘ 1.153 " 1.406 "‘“ (8.76) (2.06) (6.80) Father's Schooling Some Elementary 0.027 -0.035 -0.081 0.062 -0.101 -0.133 (0.27) (0.30) (0.80) (0.42) (0.54) (0.92) Completed Elementary 0.261 ”" -0.076 0.063 0.034 -0.006 0.150 (2.75) (0.75) (0.65) (0.30) (0.03) (1 . 10) Secondary/Tertiary 0.526 ‘“ -0.109 0.164 -0.044 0.081 0.316 (3.19) (0.97) (1.45) (0.24) (0.42) (1 .54) Missing -0.051 0.050 -0.128 0.003 0.123 0.111 (0.46) (0.38) (1 .36) (0.03) (0.47) (0.80) Mother's Schoollng Some Elementary 0.080 0.179 " 0.017 -0.061 0.052 0.048 (0.79) (1 .69) (0.16) (0.43) (0.44) (0.33) Completed Elementary/ 0.250 ” 0.154 0.147 ‘ 0.223 ‘ 0.076 0.107 Secondary/1” ertiary (2.29) (1 .46) (1 .65) (1 .70) (0.69) (0.71) Missing 0.463 "" -0.318 ‘ 0.208 ‘”" 0.172 -0.103 -0.275 " (3.52) (1.76) (1.98) (1.15) (0.34) (1.89) Age in 1993 (spline) 25-29 years 0.039 0.1 1 1 0.008 0.069 -0.059 0.078 (1 .00) (1 .62) (0.18) (1.65) (0.86) (1 .54) 30-39 years 0.000 0.043 " 0.021 ‘ -0.021 0.019 -0.016 (0.00) (2.54) (1 .93) (1 .48) (1.17) (1 .07) 40-49 years -0.036 ” 0.002 -0.019 0.010 0.023 0.029 (2.15) (0.14) (1.30) (0.50) (0.84) (1.31) 50-52 years 0.118 0.090 -0.039 -0.132 0.057 -0.395 "" (1 .50) (0.46) (0.57) (1 .49) (0.33) (2.67) Selection Coefficient -1.i61 ‘” 0.192 -0.053 -0.908 *” -0.094 0.585 ‘“” (6.56) (0.57) (0.69) (2.64) (0.30) (2.73) Constant 6.625 “‘ 3.917 ‘ 6.446 ‘" 6.112 “‘ 8.602 "‘ 3.161 '"' (6.21) (1 .76) (5.23) (4.89) (3.29) (2.13) F-test Own Schooling 20.54 1.85 21.89 7.33 4.60 6.95 (0.000) (0.139) (0.000) (0.000) (0.012) (0.000) Father's Schooling 3.64 0.34 1.71 0.10 0.53 1.31 (0.006) (0.851) (0.146) (0.981) (0.716) (0.267) Mother's Schooling 4.99 2.87 1.91 1.48 0.26 1.54 (0.002) (0.037) (0.128) (0.219) (0.855) (0.205) Parental Schooling 6.04 1.33 2.48 0.80 0.55 1.63 (0.000) (0.238) (0.017) (0.588) (0.796) (0.128) Age 2.01 8.52 1.87 1.83 1.32 2.64 (0.092) (0.000) (0. 1 14) (0.123) (0.266) (0.034) Adjusted R 2 0.092 0.219 0.186 0.048 0.442 0.209 Root MSE 1.153 0.635 0.812 1.210 0.601 0.975 Observations l ,442 364 842 l ,1 24 192 545 Source: iFLS3. Month of interview dununy variables are included in the regressions but are not reported. Omitted category for own schooling is no schooling (0-6 years for public sector workers) and for parental schooling is no schooling. Adj ustments are made due to small cell size for some variables for women: 10+ years for own schooling. Selection coefficients are calculated based on Base Specification estimates for panel respondents. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level and heteroskedasticity. Absolute r-statistics are in parentheses. Significant at the l%("‘"), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. p- values for F -test are in parentheses. 197 Table 7.1A Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling lFLSl Region of Current Residency Region of Birth Sumatera Java Other Islands Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban 0 year (N=1,889) Surnatera - Rural 78.9 19.5 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 8.7 78.3 0.0 8.7 4.3 0.0 Java - Rural 8.8 0.9 71.0 17.9 0.9 0.5 Java - Urban 0.6 1.2 16.6 80.4 0.6 0.6 Other Islands - Rural 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 84.8 14.3 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.5 60.5 1-5 years (N =2,806) Surnatera - Rural 75.6 23.6 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 21.7 76.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 9.7 1.3 62.4 24.9 1.3 0.4 Java - Urban 1.2 1.5 9.5 85.5 1.2 0.9 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 75.7 23.0 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 36.7 60.2 6 years (N=1,921) Surnatera - Rural 63.9 31.9 0.4 3.8 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 22.7 71.6 0.0 5.7 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 4.8 1.3 58.9 32.6 1.2 1.1 Java - Urban 0.0 0.6 8.9 88.8 0.6 1.2 Other Islands - Rural 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 66.5 30.8 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 24.7 70.8 7+ years (N =2,699) Sumatera - Rural 45.7 42.5 0.2 11.3 0.2 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 10.2 68.2 0.0 21.2 0.4 0.0 Java - Rural 3.1 2.3 33.6 57.5 2.4 1.2 Java - Urban 0.8 1.5 3.1 91.2 0.8 2.7 Other Islands - Rural 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.6 60.7 36.0 Other Islands - Urban 0.5 0.5 0.0 14.1 24.5 60.4 All Individuals (N =9,3 1 5) Surnatera - Rural 63.3 31.4 0.2 5.1 0.1 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 15.0 71.3 0.2 13.1 0.4 0.0 Java - Rural 7.2 1.4 58.5 30.9 1.4 0.7 Java - Urban 0.7 1.3 7.0 88.4 0.8 1.8 Other Islands - Rural 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 74.2 24.0 Other Islands - Urban 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.1 30.2 62.2 Source: IFLS 1. Estimates are in percentage relative to region of birth. 198 Table 7.1B Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling IFLSZ Region of Current Residency Region of Birth Surnatera Java Other Islands Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban 0 year (N =2,152) Surnatera - Rural 78.4 19.4 0.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 15.2 72.7 0.0 9.1 3.0 0.0 Java - Rural 8.4 0.9 72.5 17.2 0.9 0.2 Java - Urban 1.7 1.7 15.7 80.9 0.0 0.0 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 84.6 14.7 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.0 49.0 1-5 years (N =2,855) Surnatera - Rural 78.2 20.2 0.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 Sumatera - Urban 18.6 79.6 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 7.6 1.5 63.5 26.1 1.0 0.4 Java - Urban 0.9 1.3 10.9 85.3 0.6 0.9 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 75.5 23.2 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 37.5 60.2 6 years (N =2,450) Surnatera - Rural 69.6 28.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 21.2 76.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 3.6 1.0 63.1 30.8 1.2 0.3 Java - Urban 0.5 0.7 11.8 85.3 1.0 0.7 Other Islands - Rural 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 70.9 27.7 Other islands - Urban 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.9 30.5 66.7 7+ years (N =3,994) Surnatera - Rural 54.1 37.4 0.4 7.9 0.2 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 10.0 72.4 1.1 15.7 0.3 0.5 Java - Rural 2.4 1.4 37.1 56.7 1.4 0.9 Java - Urban 0.6 1.5 7.8 88.1 0.7 1.3 Other islands - Rural 0.2 0.7 0.0 1.9 66.4 30.8 Other Islands - Urban 0.4 0.4 0.0 8.8 24.4 66.1 All Individuals (N =1 1,451) Surnatera - Rural 67.2 28.3 0.3 4.1 0.1 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 13.7 74.4 0.8 10.4 0.3 0.3 Java - Rural 5.5 1.2 59.1 32.6 1.1 0.4 Java - Urban 0.7 1.3 9.8 86.5 0.7 1.0 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.1 75.3 23.2 Other Islands - Urban 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.9 32.4 62.3 Source: IFLS2. Estimates are in percentage relative to region of birth. 199 Table 7.1C Distribution of Regional Migration by Years of Schooling IFLS3 Mion of Current Residency Region of Birth Sumatera Java Other Islands Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban 0 year (N=1,838) Surnatera - Rural 80.3 18.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 28.6 61.9 0.0 9.5 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 6.1 0.8 72.7 19.7 0.4 0.2 Java - Urban 2.7 0.7 42.6 53.4 0.7 0.0 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 75.6 23.4 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 22.9 74.3 1-5 years (N =3,262) Surnatera - Rural 78.5 20.4 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Sumatera - Urban 33.0 64.3 0.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 8.5 1.5 60.5 27.7 1.1 0.6 Java — Urban 1.5 0.5 24.9 71.2 0.8 1.0 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 73.7 25.1 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 20.6 77.3 6 years (N =3,282) Surnatera - Rural 71.2 26.7 0.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 Surnatera - Urban 27.4 69.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 Java - Rural 3.7 0.6 60.4 33.5 1.2 0.6 Java - Urban 0.9 1.1 24.5 71.8 0.9 0.9 Other Islands - Rural 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 65.1 33.8 Other Islands - Urban 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 17.2 81.6 7+ years (N =6,448) Surnatera - Rural 51.9 38.6 0.4 8.8 0.0 0.2 Surnatera - Urban 15.4 66.3 1.6 16.4 0.0 0.3 Java - Rural 2.0 1.5 38.4 55.7 1.2 1.2 Java - Urban 0.5 1.3 10.3 86.4 0.4 1.1 Other Islands - Rural 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 58.6 39.4 Other Islands - Urban 0.3 0.3 0.5 9.4 18.9 70.6 All Individuals (N =14,830) Surnatera - Rural 64.8 30.0 0.4 4.6 0.1 0.1 Sumatera - Urban 19.8 66.3 1.1 12.6 0.0 0.2 Java - Rural 4.7 1.1 55.3 37.0 1.1 0.7 Java - Urban 0.8 1.1 16.3 80.2 0.5 1.0 Other Islands - Rural 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 67.7 30.9 Other Islands - Urban 0.2 0.2 0.3 6.7 19.2 73.5 Source: IFLS3. Estimates are in percentage relative to region of birth. 200 Table 7.2 Own Schooling Attainment by Region of Birth, Region of Current Residence and Gender . Region of Region of Birth Current Residence Rural Urban Rural Urban IFLS] Men Mean 5.4 8.1 4.7 7.9 Standard Error (0.15) (0.19) (0.17) (0.19) Observations 2,993 1,148 2,178 1,963 Women Mean 3.7 6.4 3.1 6.0 Standard Error (0.14) (0.19) (0.15) (0.19) Observations 3,731 1,470 2,751 2,450 All Individuals Mean 4.5 7.2 3.8 6.8 Standard Error (0.14) (0.17) (0.15) (0.18) Observations 6,724 2,618 4,929 4,413 IFLSZ Men Mean 6.1 8.9 5.4 8.5 Standard Error (0.15) (0.17) (0.16) (0.17) Observations 3,666 1,464 2,717 2,413 Women Mean 4.3 7.3 3.7 6.8 Standard Error (0.14) (0.17) (0.15) (0.17) Observations 4,503 1,850 3,376 2,977 All Individuals Mean 5.1 8.0 4.5 7.6 Standard Error (0.13) (0.15) (0.14) (0.16) Observations 8,169 3,314 6,093 5,390 IFLS3 Men Mean 6.9 9.9 6.2 9.4 Standard Error (0.13) (0.16) (0.14) (0.16) Observations 5,087 2,052 3,599 3,540 Women Mean 5.3 8.6 4.7 7.9 Standard Error (0.13) (0.15) (0.15) (0.16) Observations 5,474 2,221 3,895 3,800 All Individuals Mean 6.1 9.2 5.4 8.6 Standard Error (0.12) (0.14) (0.14) (0.15) Observations 10,561 4,273 7,494 7,340 Source: lFLSl, IFLSZ and IFLS3. Means are in years. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level. 201 Table 7.3 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Region of Birth and Gender Self Employment Public Sector Private Sector Rural Urban Difference Rural Urban Difference Rural Urban Difference lFLSl Men Mean 669 1,198 529 ‘" 1,789 1,903 114 693 1,137 444 “‘ Standard Error (39) (100) (103) (102) (140) (157) (41) (77) (77) Median 330 577 -247 1,424 1,320 104 451 726 -274 Observations 1.659 386 343 219 874 475 Women Mean 621 1,119 499 "" 1,737 1,990 253 380 749 369 ‘" Standard Error (45) (101) (110) (188) (210) (229) (33) (81) (83) Median 275 495 -220 1,376 1,650 -274 231 385 -154 . Observations 919 323 140 107 417 186 «1 A11 Individuals Mean 652 1,162 510 *” 1,774 1,932 158 592 1,028 436 “‘ Standard Error (32) (77) (81) (108) (132) (138) (34) (67) (66) Median 299 541 -242 1 .419 1,443 ~25 361 650 -289 Observations 2,578 709 483 326 1 ,291 661 iFLSZ Men Mean 1,196 1,948 752 ‘" 2,395 2,387 -8 1,146 1,736 590 "" Standard Error (54) (137) (145) (118) (133) (173) (47) (84) (90) Median 594 990 -396 1,938 1,976 -38 770 1,155 -385 Observations 1 ,764 435 370 236 1 ,2 1 8 646 Women Mean 1,033 1,719 686 “" 2,260 2,544 284 731 1,243 511 "‘ Standard Error (59) (179) (185) (152) (148) (194) (54) (96) (106) Median 462 742 -280 2,045 2,309 -265 3 89 770 -38 1 Observations 1 ,109 347 164 135 621 337 All individuals Mean 1,133 1,847 713 ”" 2,353 2,444 91 1,006 1,567 561 “‘ Standard Error (42) (121) (125) (105) (105) (134) (41) (72) (76) Median 545 855 -3 10 1 .997 2,075 -78 642 1 ,069 -428 Observations 2,873 782 534 371 1,839 983 IFLS3 Men Mean 2,926 4,141 1,215 "" 5,085 5,325 240 2,191 3,062 870 ”" Standard Error (119) (241) (262) (195) (376) (421) (76) (140) (151) Median 1 .443 2,100 -656 4,330 3,923 407 1,443 1,925 -481 Observations 2,458 563 467 234 1,766 1,033 Women Mean 2,169 3,141 972 ”" 5,138 5,140 2 1,257 2,449 1,192 "" Standard Error (119) (278) (294) (303) (283) (413) (69) (182) (191) Median 952 1,359 -406 4,491 4,505 -14 770 1,443 -674 Observations 1,552 491 218 132 861 513 All individuals Mean 2,633 3,675 1,042 ”* 5,102 5,258 156 1,885 2,858 973 ‘" Standard Error (94) (195) (206) (174) (276) (318) (62) (130) (136) Median 1,237 1,704 -467 4,380 4,266 1 15 1,237 1,767 -530 Observations 4,010 1,054 685 366 2,627 1,546 Source: lFLSl, iFLSZ and IFLS3. Means are in current (nominal) Rupiahs. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the community level. Significant at the i%("”), 5%(") and 10%(‘) indicated. 202 Table 7.4 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Region of Current Residence and Gender Self Employment Public Sector Private Sector Rural Urban Difference Rural Urban Difference Rural Urban Difference lFLSl Men Mean 578 1,207 629 “" 1,588 1,943 354 ” 473 1,075 602 ”“ Standard Error (39) (80) (89) (97) (123) (157) (29) (64) (70) Median 278 594 -316 1,296 1,441 -145 362 693 -331 Observations 1 .424 62 1 1 73 389 506 843 Women Mean 535 1,018 483 "‘ 1,735 1,890 155 288 675 387 ‘" Standard Error (53) (66) (85) (164) (218) (273) (24) (64) (68) Median 220 493 -273 1,414 1,506 -92 220 330 -1 10 Observations 688 554 70 177 283 320 All individuals Mean 564 1,118 554 *” 1,631 1,926 296 * 407 965 559 "“ Standard Error (35) (56) (66) (85) (135) (160) (23) (58) (62) Median 264 541 -277 1,315 1,449 -134 289 601 -313 Observations 2,1 12 1,175 243 566 789 1,163 IFLSZ Men Mean 1,097 1,894 798 "" 2,426 2,372 -55 941 1,624 683 "“ Standard Error (58) (104) (119) (136) (119) (181) (44) (72) (84) Median 544 1 ,026 -482 2,084 1 ,925 159 660 1 ,069 -409 Observations 1 ,51 5 684 224 382 745 1 ,1 i 9 Women Mean 857 1,679 822 "" 2,328 2,413 85 556 1,171 615 "" Standard Error (52) (130) (140) (160) (152) (220) (44) (80) (91) Median 412 693 -2 80 2,071 2,199 -129 346 722 -375 Observations 854 602 87 2 12 404 554 All individuals Mean 1,010 1,793 783 “" 2,399 2,386 -12 805 1,474 668 ""‘ Standard Error (43) (93) (102) (110) (111) (156) (37) (62) (72) Median 495 855 -3 60 2,079 1 .997 81 541 962 -421 Observations 2,369 1,286 3 1 1 594 1,149 1,673 IFLS3 Men Mean 2,730 3,930 1,200 "" 4,984 5,265 281 1,989 2,851 862 “" Standard Error (128) (195) (234) (243) (250) (350) (87) (112) (141) Median 1,375 1,980 -605 4,505 4,141 363 1,320 1,833 -513 Observations l .958 1 ,063 250 45 1 1,099 1 ,700 Women Mean 1,963 2,934 970 "“"" 5,562 4,929 -633 1,119 2,091 972 *“ Standard Error (136) (199) (241) (501) (207) (540) (82) (131) (154) Median 828 1,237 -409 4,648 4,401 247 693 1,203 -510 Observations 1,1 1 8 925 1 16 234 550 824 All individuals Mean 2,451 3,466 1,015 "'"‘ 5,167 5,150 -17 1,699 2,603 904 “" Standard Error (103) (162) (192) (245) (194) (313) (72) (102) (124) Median 1,150 1,650 -499 4,593 4,254 338 1,155 1,650 -495 Observations 3 .076 1 .988 366 685 1 ,649 2,524 Source: lFLSl , IFLSZ and iFLS3. 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Men Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.127 "* -0.009 0.105 *“ -0.053 0.107 “"‘ -0.015 IFLSZ 0.102 '" 0.036 0.195 -0.135 0.083 *“ -0.008 IFLS3 0.097 "“ 0.013 0.109 “ -0.107 0.072 “'" 0.023 "”” Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.070 -0. 180 0.131 -0.107 4-6 years 0.429 "* -0.237 0.503 *“ -0.038 7-9 years 0.921 "" -0.102 0.109 0.068 0.852 ‘" —0.348 "“ 10-12 years 1.505 "" -0.537 0.672 " -0.372 1.166 ""' -0.201 13+ years 2.061 "" -0.336 0.968 ”* -0.199 1.829 ""' -0.335 IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.334 "" -0.313 0.166 " -0.058 4-6 years 0.559 "‘" -0.386 0.400 "* -0.111 7-9 years 1.004 *" -0.170 0.207 -0.262 0.815 "" -0.221 10-12 years 1.304 *“ 0.163 0.748 0.653 0.923 *" -0.160 13+ years 2.327 *" 0.245 0.992 -0.451 1.385 *" -0.139 lFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.238 “ -O.445 0.218 “ -O.161 4-6 years 0.410 "" —0.256 0.402 ”‘ -O.141 7-9 years 0.699 "“ -0.031 0.154 0.325 0.644 “" 0076 10-12 years 1.211 "" -O.235 0.612 0.474 0.910 ‘" -0.082 13+ years 1.845 *" -0.235 0.935 0.681 1.117 "" 0.318 B. 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Men Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.116 "" 0.008 0.197 " -0.147 0.078 *" 0.022 ‘ IFLSZ 0.108 "" 0.003 0.295 "' -0.226 0.071 *" 0.006 IFLS3 0.102 *” -0.012 0.081 -0.017 0.072 ”" 0.012 N on-linear Own Schooling lFLSl 1—3 years a) 0.042 -0.050 -0.042 0.273 4-6 years 0.358 *" -0.055 0.305 ‘" 0.262 “ 7-9 years 0.757 "“ 0.169 0.368 -0.391 0.741 “"‘ -0.068 10-12 years 1.418 “" -0.262 0.537 -0.115 0.823 “" 0.303 13+ years 2.088 *“ -0.044 0.801 -0.042 1.107 "" 0.627 “ IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.267 " -0.104 0.115 -0.045 4-6 years 0.481 “" -0.105 0.357 "" -0.120 7-9 years 0.937 "‘ -0.079 0.116 0.009 0.705 ”“ -0.116 10-12 years 1.396 "" -0.112 0.518 -0.024 0.819 "" -0.090 13+ years 2.477 ”* -0.141 0.745 0.110 1.103 ‘" 0.125 [F LS3 1-3 years a) 0.204 " -0.257 0.238 ** -O.115 4-6 years 0.389 "" -0.265 0.456 “'" -0.214 7-9 years 0.628 "" -0.014 0.077 0.311 0.583 "‘ 0.003 10-12 years 1.292 *" -O.461 " 0.814 0.033 0.946 "" 0156 13+ years 2.143 "" -0.743 " 1.163 0.145 1.018 "'" 0.313 B. 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Young cohort consists of individuals aged 25-39 years, while old cohort 40- 59 years. Means are in years. Standard errors are robust to clustering at the connnunity level. 218 Table 8.2 Hourly Wage within Sector of Employment by Cohort and Gender Self Employment Public Sector Private Sector Young Old Difference Young Old Difference Young Old Difference lFLSl Men Mean 762 782 20 1,466 2.136 670 “‘ 802 930 128 " Standard Error (53) (54) (67) (88) (129) (142) (44) (79) (75) Median 394 343 51 1,127 1,660 -533 550 525 25 Observations 952 1.155 256 318 843 548 Women Mean 848 683 -165 " 1.716 2.164 448 " 525 438 -87 Standard Error (63) (57) (78) (175) (199) (203) (47) (47) (55) Median 370 275 95 1,267 1,886 -619 275 231 44 Observations 601 67 1 169 83 3 53 263 All Individuals Mean 796 746 -50 1.565 2,142 576 "" 721 771 50 Standard Error (43) (43) (52) (98) (128) (133) (39) (63) (56) Median 385 322 63 1,182 1,732 -550 479 412 67 Observations 1,553 1,826 425 401 1.196 81 1 IFLSZ Men Mean 1.378 1,311 -67 1.975 2.702 727 "" 1.320 1,452 132 Standard Error (75) (67) (91) (104) (122) (155) (47) (95) (95) Median 714 619 96 1.650 2,307 -657 924 902 22 Observations 1 .038 1.280 275 370 1 .379 720 Women Mean 1,205 1,202 -3 2.153 2,902 750 "" 1,008 761 -247 "'" Standard Error (85) (86) (l 10) (125) (209) (205) (69) (71) (86) Median 495 495 0 1,983 2.566 -583 606 370 237 Observations 675 805 196 1 13 655 337 A11 Individuals Mean 1.310 1,269 -41 2.049 2,749 700 ““ 1,220 1,232 12 Standard Error (60) (55) (68) (87) (111) (120) (45) (78) (72) Median 619 577 41 1,777 2,309 -533 825 674 151 Observations 1 .713 2.085 471 483 2.034 1,057 IFLSJ Men Mean 3,110 3.191 81 4,153 5,901 1,748 ”“ 2,495 2,548 53 Standard Error (137) (154) (188) (226) (264) (351) (84) (143) (152) Median 1.650 1.567 82 3.514 4,797 -1.282 1,650 1,540 1 10 Observations 1 .493 1.530 297 405 l .929 872 Women Mean 2.531 2,289 -242 4,699 5.651 952 ” 1.927 1.262 -665 ”" Standard Error (183) (133) (207) (277) (329) (420) (109) (108) (127) Median 1,006 990 16 3.936 5.164 -1.228 1,155 655 500 Observations 956 1 .091 194 1 58 9 12 464 All Individuals Mean 2,884 2.816 -68 4,369 5.831 1.462 ‘” 2.313 2,101 -212 ‘ Standard Error (115) (117) (140) (196) (218) (289) (75) (114) (113) Median 1.375 1.283 92 3.793 4,833 -1.040 1.443 1,227 217 Observations 2,449 2.621 491 563 2.841 1.336 Source: lFLSl, IFLSZ and IFLS3. 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Men Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.156 ‘" -0.041 "‘ 0.050 " 0.058 0.132 ""‘ -0.039 ”* IFLSZ 0.124 “" -0.023 0.080 ”‘ -0.068 0.103 ‘" -0.027 ‘”" IFLS3 0.092 "" 0.017 0.102 "' -0.080 0.102 "‘ -0.024 ”‘ Non-linear Own Schooling IF LS] 1-3 years a) 0.119 -0.077 0.347 "'" -0.486 *" 4-6 years 0.498 "‘ -0.096 0.580 "" -0.211 7-9 years 1.239 "" -O.359 0.019 0.327 0.876 “‘ -0.243 10-12 years 1.834 ‘" -0.639 " 0.225 0.845 " 1.522 "”" -0.607 ““ 13+ years 2.745 "“ -0.731 0.470 “ 1.101 “" 2.468 "" -1.063 "" IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.259 " -0.051 0.207 -O.169 4—6 years 0.488 ”" -0.089 0.411 '" -0.110 7-9 years 1.111 ““ -0.281 0.070 0.175 0.949 "" -0.304 " 10-12 years 1.646 "" -0.420 0.670 ”‘ -0.554 1.136 "" -0.343 ” 13+ years 2.885 “* -0.707 0.941 ‘" -0.594 1.730 ”'" -0.503 " lFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.266 " -0.194 0.315 " -0.254 4-6 years 0.339 “‘ 0.143 0.439 ‘” -0.135 7-9 years 0.772 “" 0.009 0.488 “ -O.477 0.915 "‘ -O.449 " 10-12 years 1.344 “" -0.140 1.270 " -1.171 1.067 "" 0277 13+ years 2.235 "“ -0.478 1.768 *" -1.520 2.141 “" -0.949 ‘" B. Women Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.084 "" -0.008 0.154 -O.156 0.132 "" -0.017 IFLSZ 0.072 "‘ -0.003 0.146 " -0.282 “" 0.128 "" -0.017 IFLS3 0.060 ”“ -0.002 -0.148 0.098 0.121 "" -0.011 Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.115 0.0004 —0.101 0.268 4—6 years 0.548 "‘ -0.l77 0.206 0.149 7-9 years 0.880 ‘" -0.298 0.958 "" -O.309 10+ years 0.834 ““ 0.280 0.407 0.494 2.019 ‘" -0.400 ’ IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.273 ‘ -0.163 0.122 -0.122 4-6 years 0.390 "‘ -0.221 0.500 "" -0.334 7-9 years 0.587 ‘" 0.165 0.764 "" -0.146 10+ years 1.114 ‘" -0.262 -0.141 -0.312 1.867 ‘" -0.547 "* lFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.209 "' 0.127 0.374 *" -0.194 4-6 years 0.261 " 0.127 0.385 ‘“" -O.105 7-9 years 0.489 "" 0.118 1.133 "’ -0.567 ‘ 10+ years 0.920 "" -0.095 -0.251 -0.181 1.822 "" -0.496 " Source: Based on estimates of Appendix Table 8.1A, 8.18, 8. 1C and Table 8.3A, 8.3B, 8.3C. a) Omitted category for public sector men is 0-6 years, for women 0-9 years. 223 dogging 5 8a «37% ...... mos—a? m 633...... 9.3....— vca A3...\em ..:...x. 05 8 585.8% .momflzcflaa E 98 3.535.... 838.7. 56.588328"... 9.... .26. £55.53 05 .a wctufia... 2 3.58 P... 895 23.8% 8...—8:8 .0 may» .3 noun—...: o... 9:823. :30 8.. 332:5 bug... 523 E 3.358 5.8959on Sam .8 v9.3 v3.2.6.3 2.. $5.qu3 cocoa—om .SDESQowbmsm:< m. 30.28:. .... 5.5.: 8.. 303.8 voEEO .3... 858 e... 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Men Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.120 "‘ 0.092 “* 0.099 ”'" 0.126 “" 0.128 *" 0.113 ”"‘ lFLSZ 0.076 "’" 0.032 0.082 ”‘ 0.084 "* 0.039 0.099 "“" lFLS3 0.093 “" 0.064 * 0.084 ""‘ 0.100 "‘" 0.046 0.099 "‘" Non-linear Own Schooling lFLSl 1-3 years a) 0.101 0.039 0.178 0.069 4-6 years 0.385 "* 0.449 ”" 0.513 "* 0.496 ‘" 7-9 years 0.891 “* 0.219 0.696 "”” 1.042 “* 0.279 * 0.778 "“ 10-12 years 1.299 "" 0.852 *" 1.057 "’" 1.355 ""' 0.757 "* 1.201 "“” 13+ years 2.224 "" 1.244 "" 1.590 "" 2.364 "" 1.322 "" 1.872 ""' IFLSZ 1-3 years a) 0.338 ""‘ 0.088 0.365 ‘“ 0.118 4-6 years 0.452 ”“ 0.320 ‘" 0.482 "" 0.356 “* 7-9 years 0.804 "" 0.031 0.701 ‘" 0.858 "" 0.045 0.776 "" 10-12 years 0.932 "" 0.238 0.828 "" 1.018 “" 0.332 "‘ 0.989 "" 13+ years 1.664 "* 0.516 * 1.365 "”" 1.809 "" 0.646 “" 1.677 "“ IFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.172 0.182 "' 0.244 " 0.188 " 4-6 years 0.427 *" 0.405 "" 0.522 "‘ 0.429 "‘ 7-9 years 0.674 "* 0.255 0.660 *" 0.769 "'" 0.256 0.715 "" 10-12 years 1.077 "" 0.616 ” 0.911 *" 1.136 ‘" 0.543 "”' 1.022 "" 13+ years 1.667 "" 0.991 "‘" 1.417 "" 1.852 ""‘ 0.750 “"‘ 1.678 ”" B. Women Linear Own Schooling lFLSl 0.077 "" 0.044 0.125 "" 0.089 "" 0.112 0.137 "" [F L82 0.074 "" -0.006 0.109 “" 0.082 ‘“ 0.005 0.124 "" IFLS3 0.059 ”" 0.052 0.113 "" 0.083 "" 0.046 0.121 "" Non-linear Own Schooling 1F [.81 1-3 years a) 0.180 0.085 0.092 0.091 4-6 years 0.429 "" 0.357 "" 0.356 "“" 0.370 *" 7-9 years 0.721 "" 0.361 0.792 W" 0.671 “* 0.279 0.836 *" 10+ years 0.996 ‘” 1.059 " 1.692 ‘" 1.125 "" 0.961 ""' 1.830 "" [F L82 1-3 years a) 0.186 0.052 0.236 "' 0.014 4-6 years 0.213 " 0.320 "‘" 0.256 ” 0.204 7-9 years 0.696 "* 0.056 0.768 "" 0.735 *" -0.213 0.604 "" 10+ years 0.993 “" 0.008 1.358 "'" 1.064 "* -0.203 1.462 "* lFLS3 1-3 years a) 0.343 "" 0.365 "" 0.327 "" 0.317 "" 4-6 years 0.412 ""‘ 0.409 "* 0.454 ‘” 0.311 “ 7-9 years 0.634 ”* 0.244 0.861 "" 0.716 "" 0.497 0.666 "" 10+ years 0.832 "" 0.311 1.461 "‘ 1.068 "‘ 1.160 ““ 1.331 "" Source: Based on estimates of Appendix Table 9.1A, 9.13, 9.1C and Table 9.1A, 9.18, 9.1C. a) Omitted category for public sector men is 0-6 years, for women 0-9 years. 230 .momoficea 5 Ba .mo...k .8 mos—8,- & 62365 9.88.: vca Taveém A5388..— o... ... 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