Tit #98115: LIBRARIES MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY \ ‘ EAST LANSING, MICH 48824-1048 . a L Q! ‘ J ) 109.; we I53 This is to certify that the dissertation entitled “Why should I trust you?” The Path from Information Valence to Uncertainty Reduction, Cognitive Trust, and Behavioral Trust. presented by Jina H. Yoo has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for the PhD degree In Communication Major Professor’s Signature 0 Chm “11200“! Date MSU is an Afiinnative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 6/01 c:/CIRC/DateDue.p65-p.15 “WHY SHOULD I TRUST YOU?” THE PATH FROM INFORMATION VALENCE TO UNCERTAINTY REDUCTION, COGNITIVE TRUST, AND BEHAVIORAL TRUST By J ina H. Yoo A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Communication 2004 ABSTRACT “WHY SHOULD I TRUST YOU?” THE PATH FROM INFORMATION VALENCE TO UNCERTAINTY REDUCTION, COGNITIVE TRUST, AND BEHAVIORAL TRUST By Jina H. Yoo This research examined how valence of information affects relational outcomes in initial interaction. The relational outcomes of interest here are uncertainty reduction and the states of both cognitive trust and behavioral trust. Uncertainty level and the cognitive state of trust should act as the preconditions for behavioral trust, as behavioral trust involves actual risk in a vulnerable situation rather than simply a perception of the other individual. In order to examine the causal relationship between information valence and multi-dimensional aspects of trust, an experiment was conducted. Participants were randomly given either positively or negatively valenced information about a confederate and were asked to fill out questionnaires assessing their uncertainty level and cognitive state of trust toward the confederate. The Prisoner’s Dilemma game was used to operationalize the construct of behavioral trust. The results indicated that valence of information had a significant effect on the cognitive level of trust, especially, perceived trustworthiness. However, information valence did not have a significant effect on predicting behavioral trust, except for the positively valenced information condition. The path model indicated that both uncertainty reduction level and perceived trustworthiness were significant predictors for behavioral trust when the individual was exposed to a piece of positive information about the partner. Cepyright by JINA H. YOO 2004 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Dr. Sandi W. Smith... the one who gave me my present and my future Dr. Chuck Atkin, Dr. Tim Levine, Dr. Chuck Salmon Dr. Heesun Park. . .the ones who gave me great knowledge and insights Soony, Songsong, Kate, Songyi.. the ones who gave me great encouragement J eesun, Jeesoo.. the ones who gave me laughter and comforts J ung-Min.. the one who gave me a rest New Hope Baptist Church... the place in which I found peace Rachmaninoff, Beethoven, Chopin. the ones who gave me energy and inspiration Dad, Morn, Jae, and Brian.. the ones who gave me love and always prayed for me ' And God.. the one who gave me my life and my new life I thank you all. I dedicate this humble dissertation to you. 2004. 10. 7l-°- BUILHBlo-‘E Olh‘é' -Pr§2] iv TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES .............................................................................. vi LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................. vii INTRODUCTION .............................................................................. 1 CHAPTER 1: LITERATURE REVIEW Uncertainty Reduction Theory and Information Valence .......................... 2 Uncertainty Reduction and Trust ...................................................... 7 Cognitive State of Trust ................................................................ 9 Behavioral Trust ......................................................................... 12 CHAPTER 2: METHODS Overview of Design ..................................................................... l6 Participants ................................................................................. 17 Stimulus Materials ....................................................................... 17 Procedure ...................................................................................... 20 Dependent Variables ..................................................................... 22 CHAPTER 3: RESULTS Confirrnatory Factor Analysis ......................................................... 23 Induction Check ........................................................................... 24 Hypotheses ................................................................................... 26 Path Analysis ................................................................................ 28 Evaluation of the Alternative Models ................................................ 30 CHAPTER 4: DISCUSSION Implications from Proposed Hypotheses ............................................. 31 Implications for Dimensionality of Negativity and Deviance ..................... 34 Recommendations for Scenario Study and its Ecological Validity ............... 35 Limitations and Future Research ...................................................... 37 TABLES & FIGURES ........................................................................... 4O APPENDICES ........................................................................................ 45 BIBLIOGRAPHY .................................................................................. 5 1 LIST OF TABLES Means and (Standard Deviations) for Each Dependent Variables Broken Down By Information Valence Type .......................................................................... 40 Zero Order Correlations among Variables ........................................................ 41 Vi LIST OF FIGURES PD Game ........................................................................................... 42 Initial Path-Analytic Model ...................................................................... 43 Revised Path-Analytic Model .................................................................... 44 vii “Why should I trust you?” The Path from Information Valence to Uncertainty Reduction, Cognitive Trust, and Behavioral Trust. Then you would trust, because there is hope, and you would look around and rest securely. . . KJV Job 11:18 In daily life, situations exist where, within a short time frame, people who are strangers need to decide whether to trust others or not. People may not be aware how often they have to make a trusting decision within initial interactions. Exchanges often take place between strangers who cannot depend on past behavior or the prediction of future interactions to build mutual trust. For instance, in the matters of hiring a babysitter for a young baby, or purchasing a used-car from a stranger, people have to make important decisions in their initial interactions. In these moments, when a trust decision should be made swiftly within an initial interaction, how does uncertainty level affect forming an impression about the person, making a judgment of trust, and acting in a trusting manner? Studies on uncertainty reduction have tested the relationship between uncertainty reduction and social attraction as a positive relational outcome (Douglas, 1990; Harvey, Wells, & Alvarez, 1978; Planalp & Honeycutt, 1985). However, little attention has been given to the relationship between uncertainty reduction and trust, except for a few studies indicating uncertainty reduction and trust in romantic relationships (Clatterbuck, 1979; Gudykunst, 1985; Planalp & Honeycutt, 1985; VanLear & Trujillo, 1986). These studies, nevertheless, only focus on the cognitive state of trust toward the other partner, mostly assessed through self-report questionnaires. Actual behavioral trust was not measured in these studies. Whereas many scholars in social science argue that the construct of trust consists of cognitive, emotional, and behavioral dimensions (Barber, 1983; Bern, 1970; Deutsch, 1958), few studies in the communication field have tested the behavioral aspects of trust. Therefore, the present research will investigate the relationship between the cognitive state of trust and actual behavioral trust in initial interaction. This study will focus how valence of information may affect uncertainty orientation and the cognitive state of trust for a target person, and how this will affect willingness to risk by engaging in trusting behavior. Specifically, the investigation seeks to explicate the relationship among information valence, uncertainty reduction, the cognitive state of trust, and behavioral trust through a path model specifying the relationship among these variables. Uncertainty Reduction Theory and Information Valence The original URT by Berger and Calabrese focused exclusively on the potential influence of uncertainty and reduction of uncertainty during the beginning of a relationship (Sunnafrank, 1986). URT focuses on the initial phase of interaction between strangers. It states that when strangers meet, the primary motivation is to reduce uncertainty and increase predictability about the behaviors of themselves and the others (Berger & Calabrese, 1975). When individuals engage in initial interactions with other individuals, a certain degree of uncertainty always exists. Through communication, individuals exchange information about each other, and information usually leads to decreases in uncertainty. According to Berger’s definition, uncertainty about the other is the “(in)ability to predict and explain (his or her) actions” (1987, p.41). Uncertainty can be also Viewed as a “phenomenon” that is relevant to interpersonal communication, which explains communicative behavior in terms of an individual’s inability to understand both his/her own and the other person’s attitudes, feelings, and behaviors (Berger and Calabrese, 1975). Berger’s work on uncertainty specifically states: The problem in initial interaction is one of predicting the likely behaviors of the other person or persons in the situations so that one can select from his behavioral repertoire those alternative modes of behavior which are deemed most appropriate to the other person or persons in the Situation. . . Uncertainty is reduced by generating and confirming predictions and constructing and verifying explanations for the behavior of one’s self and the other(s) (1979, p.123-124). Thus, the basic premise of URT is that when strangers encounter each other for the first time, they try to reduce uncertainty and to increase predictability about each other’s behavior. In other words, individuals are motivated to reduce uncertainty, since they find the state of uncertainty uncomfortable, and as a result, reducing uncertainty is expected to enhance individuals’ perceived ability to forecast future relational outcomes. Holmes and Rempel (1989) indicated that the state of uncertainty increases interference with normal relational development. By attempting to reduce uncertainty, an individual can increase predictive certainty about the other’s future behavior as well as a certainty about the self in the situation. The ability to verify the other’s behavior alleviates anxiety and vulnerability that comes from high uncertainty (Gudykunst, 1985). This line of reasoning leads to the argument that the reduction of uncertainty is associated with positive outcomes in the initial interaction, such as liking (Douglas, 1990), by assuaging the negative affect caused by uncertainty toward both the other and to self. If individuals are unable to “get to know” each other, the possibility they will develop a more enduring relationship is reduced (Berger & Calabrese, 1975). Failure to reach a certain point of uncertainty reduction means that a relationship cannot develop beyond the most superficial levels (Berger & Gudykunst, 1991). In general, high uncertainty about acquaintanceship is associated with relatively negative views on initial interaction, increased avoidance of initial conversation sequences, and relative inability to manage acquaintanceship episodes successfully (Douglas, 1991). In general, a line of research on URT suggests that positive relational outcomes result from uncertainty reduction about another individual, while negative outcomes come from high states of uncertainty. Gudykunst and Kim (1997) argued that individuals have maximum and minimum thresholds of uncertainty, so that if individuals’ unceItainty levels exceeds their maximum thresholds, they may not have enough information to communicate, and cannot predict what the other’s behavior would be, therefore they feel uncomfortable communicating. In such cases, individuals lack confidence in their ability to predict the other’s behavior, thus, feeling vulnerable, these individuals have difficulties processing information. Similar findings have suggested that high uncertainty leads to negative outcomes in the relationship, such as relational disintegration (Harvey et al., 1978), negative relational consequences, especially in a romantic relationship (Planalp & Honeycutt, 1985), and decreases in attraction (Douglas, 1990). However, reducing uncertainty does not always guarantee positive relational outcomes. Although the original axioms state that uncertainty reduction is related to positive relational outcomes, Berger (1986) later argued that individuals may actually learn that their interactional partners possess attributes that make them less attractive while reducing uncertainty; that is the point at which one attempts to stop reducing or even to increase uncertainty. Similarly, Schcidel (1977) claimed that, in the process of reducing uncertainty, individuals might discover undesirable facts about their partners, then uncertainty reduction actually brings negative relational outcomes. Kellermann and Reynolds (1990) also indicated when an individual perceives another as satisfying certain needs, the prediction will confirm that he/she is more likely to perceive another as more positive and rewarding, therefore more uncertainty reduction as well as positive relational outcomes will occur. On the other hand, when the individuals’ behaviors or attributes are deviant, these violate expectations and social norms, then uncertainty toward this person increases in spite of having increased amount of communication; as a result, negative relational outcomes will be established. I These findings suggest that uncertainty reduction up to a certain level is a ‘ necessary, but not a sufficient, condition for achieving positive relational outcome. The most important key to reduce uncertainty and maximize the positive relational outcomes is the valence of the information received. In other words, positive confirmation of the other individual while getting to know him or her would be obligatory to ensure further uncertainty reduction as well as positive relational outcomes. By contrast, when individuals’ behaviors or attributes are perceived to be negative, it produces negative relational outcomes, such as an attempt to restrict or terminate an initial interaction (Sunnafrank, 1990). During the initial interaction, a piece of negative information about an individual tends to be weighted more heavily than comparable positive information, which is called the “negativity effect” (Kellermann, 1989). Numerous studies have found that even if the number of positive and negative attributes is controlled and balanced, negative impressions tend to emerge (Anderson, 1965; Brinbaum, 1973; Fiske, 1980; Oden & Anderson, 1971; Reeder & Coovert, 1986; Van der Pligt & Eiser, 1980). For instance, when participants were presented with equal amounts of polarized positive and negative information about a hypothetical stranger, the negative information had significantly more influence on character rating than the positive information (Richey, McClelland, & Shimkunas, 1967). Richey and colleagues (1975) extended their research by varying the amounts of favorable and unfavorable information used to describe behaviors of an unknown person. Researchers increased the amount of positive information, and found that a single negative behavior neutralized five positive behaviors. This suggests that negative information is given more weight in information integration, thus yielding a negativity effect. Kellermann and Reynolds (1990) conducted a series of experiments on uncertainty-provoking situations, and found that when the target’s behavior became more deviant, level of uncertainty increased. As a result, in terms of relational outcomes, their findings suggested that “the more atypically someone behaves. . . the less we want to talk to them” (1990, p.66). A similar line of reasoning applied to this study predicts that finding out a piece of negative information while forming the initial impression will be viewed as highly deviant and socially undesirable. It will increase the uncertainty level. Following this reasoning, the first hypothesis is forwarded: H1: In initial interaction, participants exposed to positive information about the partner will exhibit the highest uncertainty reduction level, followed by participants exposed to no information, and participants exposed to negative information. When an individual reaches a certain level of predictability regarding the future behavior of other individuals via the uncertainty reduction process, and if the predictability and expectation are positively confirmed by the others’ behaviors or attributes in initial interaction, then a positive relational outcome, such as trust, is likely to be established. Therefore, the next step is to examine the relationship between uncertainty reduction and both the cognitive state of trust and behavioral trust. Uncertainty Reduction and Trust In general, trust is defined as a psychological state comprising the intention to accept vulnerability based upon positive expectations of the intentions or behavior of another (Rousseau, Sitkin, Burt, & Camerer, 1998). This notion is in accordance with a definition of relational trust by Hosmer (1995), that he defined it as an individual’s optimistic expectation of other’s behavior, when the individual must make a decision about how to act accordingly. Trust also refers to the notion of the degree one risks of himself/herself, concerning the other individual: this risk is predicated on the belief that the partner is beneficent and dependable (J ohnson-George & Swap, 1983). Mayer et a1. (1995) used the notion of expectation while defining trust, i.e. that trust is the willingness of a trustee (person on whom trust decision focuses) to be vulnerable to the actions of another party based on the expectations that the other party will perform a particular action important to the truster (a person making trust decision). When monitoring these various conceptual definitions of trust, it should be noted that three basic conditions of trust emerge: (1) uncertainty, (2) vulnerability, and (3) predictability. These three constructs are utilized to understand the complex process of trust and uncertainty reduction. Pearce (1974) Specifically explained that there should be some form of “contingency” between the truster and the trustee. His notion of “contingency” is the same notion as a certain degree of “uncertainty” toward the other individual in the communication process. If no uncertainty exists between two individuals, it indicates that no risk or threat is found in future interaction with this individual (Miller & Rogers, 1987; Pearce, 1974). Since it is virtually impossible to have absolute uncertainty-free interaction (in other words, a certain degree of uncertainty always exists in social interactions), one needs to make an effort to reduce uncertainty and to increase predictability about how the other individual will act while communicating with others. If an individual perceives high uncertainty toward the other interactant, he/she comes to feel vulnerable, which will result in a negative relational outcome. A vulnerable position is generated where one’s desired outcome is less rewarding to his or her ego than the potential cost of an action (Miller & Rogers, 1987). When perceived vulnerability is high, no basis for the development of trust will be established. To prevent generating a vulnerable position, the truster should have some confidence in the prediction of the other’s behavior. The predictability concerns the individual’s attempt to seek and develop dependable sources of reward (Miller & Rogers, 1987). Miller and Rogers (1987) suggested that predictability functions as producing a sense of certainty about future actions of the other individual. Without a certain degree of predictability, an individual has no basic assumption of how the other individual will or will not utilize his/her trusting behaviors (Pierce, 1974). When attempting to create a sense of certainty about future action, the previous step would be the process of “uncertainty reduction,” implying that as uncertainty (i.e. contingency) toward an individual is reduced, one’s predictability of the other individual’s future action increases in turn, and this eventually decreases one’s perceived vulnerability. Therefore, uncertainty reduction is a necessary condition for the development of relational trust. In order to make uncertainty reduction a sufficient precondition for development of relational trust, exposing to a positive information should be the first step in uncertainty reduction. One’s predictability about the other should be increased thus reducing uncertainty via communicating with the other. As a result, when more uncertainty is reduced, perceived predictability should be increased, vulnerability will be minimized, and positive relational outcomes will be likely to develop. Two possible relational outcomes are cognitive and behavioral trust. According to previous research, interpersonal trust can be conceptualized and operationalized in two different ways: (1) favorable perceptions of others in terms of credibility and character (Berlo, Lemert, & Mertz, 1969; Giffin, 1967; McCrosky, 1966) and (2) dependent or risky behaviors which indicate trust (Pearce, 1974). The first conceptualization is called the “cognitive state of trust” while the second is called “behavioral trust” (Pearce, 1974). Wheeless and Grotz (1977) explicated these two concepts and state that interpersonal trust should be more completely conceptualized as a process of engaging in certain types of dependent behaviors related to favorable perceptions of the trustworthiness of another individual in a risky situation, where the expected outcomes dependent upon that other person are not known with certainty. Therefore, trust should be measured as both levels of perceptions and behaviors. Cognitive State of Trust Pearce (1974) differentiated the cognitive state of trust from trusting behavior by specifying that a cognitive state of trust exists in one’s perception, so one individual “assumes” or infers that the other’s behavior will not confer unacceptably negative outcomes upon him or her. This assumption largely depends on the individual’s perception of the other’s knowledge, character and motives. Although the dimensionality of cognitive state of trust construct is still a controversial issue, generally three dimensions are found in the construct of ethos/source credibility: (1) competence, (2) goodwill, and (3) trustworthiness. 99 6‘ Competence, sometimes called “expertise, expertness”, or “authoritativeness”, is the extent to which an individual is in a position to know the truth, to know what is right or correct (O'Keefe, 1990). The second dimension in credibility is “goodwill” or “intent toward receiver” (McCroskey & Teven, 1999, p.90). Ifone perceives “goodwill” in another individual, the perceiver is willing to risk him or herself because the trusted individual is perceived as benevolent (Canary & Cupach, 1988). Pearce (1974) pointed that perceived “well-intention” means that the trustee is perceived as motivated to conduct himself/herself such a way as to avoid negative outcomes for the truster. Benevolence (Lazelere & Huston, 1980), altruism (Sheppard & Sherman, 1998), and caring (McCroskey & Teven, 1999) are desirable qualities of perceived goodwill. McCroskey and Teven (1999) described goodwill as “a means of opening communication channels more widely (p.92)” that people would listen more attentively to a person whom they believe has their best interests at heart. Perceived trustworthiness is a belief by a person in the integrity of another individual (Larzelere & Huston, 1980). This dimension in cognitive state of trust is the assessment of whether the individual will likely be inclined to tell the truth as he/she sees it (O’Keefe, 1990). Also a partner would be seen as trustworthy if he/she is the type of person who can be counted on to be honest and reliable (J ohnson-George & Swap, 1983; Larzelere & Huston, 1980; Rempel, Ross, & Holmes, 2001). Perceived trustworthiness 10 requires that one’s partner have the attributes that alleviate against cheating, abusing, or harming the self-esteem of others (Sheppard & Sherman, 1998). In organizations, trustworthiness is more central to the willingness to defer to authorities than is competence (Lewicki & Bunker, 1995). Honesty and integrity are regarded as components of perceived trustworthiness, since they are attributes of partners unlikely to take advantage of opportunities to cheat (Butler, 1994; Larzelere & Huston, 1980). Determining the attribution concerning a partner’s benevolence and integrity is important for assessing the future potential of a relationship (Altman & Taylor, 1973; Deutsch, 1958; Giffin, 1967; Larzelere & Huston, 1980). In other words, the more individuals perceive benevolence and integrity in the target person, the more likely those individuals will be able to predict a favorable future outcome for the relationship (Larzelere & Huston, 1980). Applying URT to the cognitive state of trust, if a piece of information given during the initial interaction positively confirms the individual, the uncertainty level will further decrease toward the interactant, as a result, it will increase positive relational outcomes, such as cognitive state of trust (Gudykunst, 1985; Planalp & Honeycutt, 1985). Hamilton and Zanna (1972) predicted that in forming first impressions of a stranger, of a primary concern is to determine whether or not he/she will pose a potential threat to future interaction. If a piece of information about the other individual is negatively confirmed, an individual will be likely to stop reducing uncertainty toward an interactant, and perceives this person would pose a potential threat to future interaction, the cognitive state of trust will not be developed. Therefore, when behaviors or attributes of others positively confirm an 11 individual’s prediction of the other while still reducing uncertainty toward him/her, the cognitive state of trust toward the other will be established as a consequence of predicting a positive relational outcome. When negative confirmation is perceived, most individuals are not likely to engage in developing the cognitive state of trust, as a result, individuals will stop reducing, or further increase, uncertainty levels. Therefore, the following hypothesis, regarding the relationship between cognitive state of trust and uncertainty reduction level, is presented: H2: In initial interaction, participants exposed to positive information about the partner will have the highest scores on the cognitive state of trust, followed by participants exposed to no information, and participants exposed to negative information. Behavioral Trust One’S trusting behaviors are active since they involve putting oneself voluntarily in a vulnerable situation in which the other actually might cause good or harm to him/her (Pearce, 1974). In perceived trust, one’s vulnerability is minimal and limited, but trusting behavior involves the voluntary action of making oneself vulnerable to the decisions of others (Pearce, 1974). Therefore, behavioral trust requires an active process either of putting oneself in a risky position or of escaping from putting oneself in such a position. An individual can win if he/she trusts, but he/she can also lose by such trust. The loss caused by trusting others varies broadly, in that it might be trivial, such as losing an insignificant amount of money. However, when the loss directly interferes with one’s own benefits or welfare, it might be disturbing and the costs are high. Therefore, trusting behaviors always involve the components of uncertainty and vulnerability, and they imply that one might lose by trusting the other. 12 AS a method for studying behavioral trust, the Prisoner’s Dilemma (PD) game is often utilized. The Prisoner’s Dilemma (Rapoport, 1965) is a two-person non-zero-sum game, in which the gains or losses incurred by each individual are a function of the choices made by one’s partner as well as the choices made by one’s self (Deutsch, 1958). In this game, two individuals must make dichotomous choices, the totality of choices determines the outcome of the game, and it is assumed that the rank order of preferences for the outcomes is different for different players. The typical scenario for this game is described as following: Imagine that you and an accomplice have been charged with having committed a crime and are now prisoners, sitting in separate cells, unable to communicate, and awaiting trial. The prosecutor offers a deal to persuade you to confess: “There is enough circumstantial evidence to convict both of you, so even if you both remain silent you both will be convicted and locked up for a year. But if you admit your guilt and help to convict your silent partner, you will go free and he will be put away for ten years. The reverse happens, of course, if he confesses and you remain silent; and if you both confess, then unfortunately you both will get nine years” (Richmond, 1985 , p.4). The game is illustrated in Figure 1. Person I has to choose between rows X and Y; Person II has to choose between columns A and B. Loss/gain will be determined by the box that the other partner chooses interdependently. If Person I chooses column A and Person II chooses row X, and both get into the AX box, they both have to live only a year in prison. When examining the possibilities of choice for Person I, he/she can win most and lose least by choosing row Y, confessing. Similarly, Person II can win most 13 and lose least by choosing column B. However, when both choose according to their best interests, both have to live nine years in prison. Both have to be in the AX box to win together. The interests of the players are generally in conflict. The dilemma comes from the fact that if both individuals choose the high-risk option (both remain silent), both individuals receive positive outcomes, which is the most idealized situation; if both choose the low-risk option (both confess), both receive negative outcomes; but if one chooses the hi gh-risk option and the other chooses the low, the former receives a maximized positive outcome and the latter a maximized negative outcome. Deutsch (1958) also utilized PD as a method for studying behavioral trust; He defined the three different situations as, cooperative, individualistic, competitive. In the cooperative orientation, both participants feel that they are perceived as benevolent and that they could place themselves in vulnerable positions. Under this orientation, participants are likely to establish or perceive a relationship of mutual trust, thus leading to behavioral trust. In the individualistic orientation, each participant feels that his only interest was in doing as well for himself as he could, without regard to how well the other person did. Under an individualistic orientation, participants are unlikely to establish or perceive mutual trust since they have to make their choices. In a competitive orientation, each subject was led to feel that he/she wanted to do better than the other, no matter what, and each assumes the other would do the same. Under this orientation, participants will be least likely to establish mutual trust in the relationship. Therefore, behavioral trust tends to emerge only in a cooperative orientation in the PD game (Deutsch, 195 8). The development of positive uncertainty reduction should be the basis for 14 engaging in cooperative orientation as well. When a piece of information about the individual presented in initial interaction is positively confirmed, the uncertainty will be reduced more, as a result, the chance of engaging in cooperative orientation in the game will be increased. In contrast, where higher uncertainty levels exist between two interactants, or a piece of information in initial interaction is negatively confirmed the prediction, less perceived trust will exist, and the competitive orientation will be more likely to be engaged. In initial interaction, where most of the individuals lack prior information or knowledge of the other individual, perceived “well-intention” and “benevolence” of others via communication would be the only source they can rely on. Although Pearce (1974) suggested that behavioral trust may or may not be accompanied by a cognitive state of trust, this research will present a slightly different perspective that the cognitive state of trust will have an impact on behavioral trust in initial relationships. When an individual initiates communication with others for the first time, not enough background information about strangers is present. Thus, the initial information given would be the only information available for an individual to determine the cognitive state of trust of the other. Cognitive trust built during the initial interaction would then function as the primary source for individuals to voluntarily choose whether or not to be in a vulnerable situation. Also, when an individual perceives negative relational outcome from the other interactant, behavioral trust will not be established. Therefore, the following hypothesis will be proposed: H3: In initial interaction, participants exposed to positive information about the partner will exhibit significantly more trusting behaviors, followed by participants 15 exposed to no information, and participants exposed to negative information. Taking all these variables into consideration, a path model will be proposed that will specify the relationship among uncertainty reduction, and two types of trust for the positive information condition. In the positively valenced information condition, uncertainly reduction is predicted to lead to the cognitive state of trust, which ultimately leads to behavior trust. Negative information is assumed to lead to less uncertainty reduction, and this state should not be related to cognitive or behavioral trust. The proposed hypothesis is the following. H4: A path model specifying the causal relationships among uncertainty reduction level, cognitive state of trust, and behavioral trust, for the positively valenced information condition will fit the observed data (see Figure 2). Method Overview of Design This study examines the effect of information Valence on uncertainty reduction and trust. In order to test the hypotheses proposed, a laboratory experiment design was employed. The independent variable was the valence of information, which was actively manipulated by trained confederates. Dependent (or mediating variables in terms of path analysis) variables included (1) uncertainty reduction about the partner, which was assessed using Clatterbuck’s (1979) CLUE7 scale (Appendix A), and (2) three dimensions of cognitive state of trust, perceived competence, perceived goodwill, and perceived trustworthiness predicted to be second order unidimensional, which was assessed using McCroskey’s ethos/credibility scale (Appendix C). Behavioral trust was the dependent variable, which was assessed via scores from the PD game (Appendix D). 16 To control for extraneous variables such as individual differences, (1) a tolerance for uncertainly scale (Appendix B), and (2) a general communication suspicion scale (Appendix E), was be measured by self-report questionnaires. Participants Ninety five students enrolled in an entry-level communication course at a large mid-westem university earned course credits for participating in this study. About thirty students were be randomly assigned to each of three conditions. No specific characteristics were required for participation. All participants received course research credit in exchange for their participation, and participation was voluntary. Stimulus Materials In order to ensure the quality of the study, a pretest was drawn from a sample of 185 respondents from the same population as the main study. The pretest consisted of 185 students who were enrolled in an undergraduate communication course at a large Midwestern university, for which they received a research participation credit. The sample was 67% female and had a mean of age of 20.2 (SD = 1.58). The participants were asked to fill out an anonymous self-report survey, which typically took 20 to 30 minutes. The first section of the survey contained demographic questions, and the second section contained self-reported attitudinal measures of the hypothetical person in a hypothetically given situation. The participants were randomly given one of two situations whereby they interacted with either a potential blind date partner or a group project partner. Analyses revealed no Significant difference between these two hypothetical persons (a blind date partner and a group project partner) at an alpha level of .05, thus these two topics were 17 combined together for purposes of further analysis. Five hypothetical situations were suggested from extensive literature reviews (Brinbaum, 1973; Fiske, 1980; Oden & Anderson, 1971; Reeder & Coovert, 1986; Richey et al., 1967; Richey et al., 1975; Van der Pligt & Eiser, 1980). They portrayed whether an individual (1) had to attend Big Brother Big Sister meeting or had to attend the court because of DUI problem, (2) helped a friend in need or did not help a friend in need, (3) gave an extra change back to the restaurant or kept the change, (4) listened carefully to other’s opinion or did not listen carefully to other’s opinion, and (5) found a wallet on the street and reported it to police or kept it. Theses scenarios were used to test the dependent variables in respect to: (l) perceived negativity, and (2) perceived deviance of the given information. Each scenario had two conditions, a positively valenced information condition and a negatively valenced information condition. In the pilot test, respondents were asked to fill out scales after reading randomly selected hypothetical scenarios. Participants in the negatively valenced information condition from the “restaurant scenario” reported significantly higher scores on the perceived negativity scale (M = 5.17, SD = 1.35) in respect to the control condition (M = 2.81, SD = .99, t (41) = 11.34, p < .001). Participants who read positively valenced information reported Significantly lower scores on the perceived negativity scale (M = 1.83, SD = 1.01) than on the control condition, t (42) = - 6.37, p < .001. Perceived deviance for the positively valenced information (M = 2.49, SD = 1.08) was not significantly different from the control (M = 2.33, SD = 1.13). However, the negatively valenced information condition reported a significantly higher score on the perceived deviance scale (M = 4.64, SD = 1.13) from the control condition, t (41) = 13.35,p < .001. 18 One-way AN OVA was conducted in order to determine whether these two information valence conditions in the “restaurant condition” produced the intended effects. The results Showed both a significant main effect for perceived negativity, F(1,83) = 167.74, p < .01, 772 = .67, and a significant main effect for perceived deviance, F (1,83) = 81.18, p < .01, 772 = .49. Therefore, the results from the pilot test indicated that “restaurant condition” successfully induced the intended effects in respondents. Participants in the negatively valenced information condition from the “wallet scenario” reported significantly higher scores on the perceived negativity scale (M = 5.33, SD = .46) in respect to the control condition (M= 2.81, SD = .99, t (5) = 5.54,p < .001). Participants in the positively valenced information condition fi'om the “wallet scenario” reported lower scores on the perceived negativity scale (M = 2.64, SD = 1.78) in respect to the control condition, but no statistical significance was found. In terms of perceived deviance, participants who read positively valenced information (M = 3.87, SD = 1.63) were not significantly different from the control condition (M = 2.33, SD = 1.13). However, negatively valenced information reported a significantly higher score on the perceived deviance scale (M = 4.33, SD = 1.10) than the control condition, I (5) = 4.49, p < .001. One-way AN OVA was conducted in order to determine whether these two information valence conditions in the “wallet condition” produced the intended effects. The result showed a Significant main effect for perceived negativity, F (1,9) = 9.43, p < .05, 772 = .51, however, no statistical Significance was found for perceived deviance. Therefore, the pilot test indicated that “wallet condition” partially induced the intended effects in respondents. 19 Procedure Participants were required to Sign up with a person (confederate) whom they had never met before. Upon arrival at the laboratory, the confederate pretended that he/she was one of the participants. When a participant and a confederate entered the laboratory room, the experimenter greeted them, provided an overview of the procedures, and secured informed consent. Before each session started, the experimenter provided a brief overview about the experiment, namely that this experiment was designed to see how to build trust between two strangers. Then the participant was asked to fill out the general tolerance for the uncertainty scale (see Appendix B), and the general suspicion scale (see Appendix E). Upon of these questionnaires, the experimenter brought a confederate into the experimental room, and gave a participant and a confederate a different question list. During the interaction, a participant and a confederate could only answer the questions that were asked by their partner. The question list, which mostly consisted of demographic information, was carefully scripted, whereby the confederate was trained to answer exactly the same way in each interaction. In treatment conditions using the “restaurant condition”, the participant asked a confederate: “Suppose you went to a restaurant, and the cashier mistakenly gave you an extra $10 in change, what would you do?” In the positively valenced information condition, the confederate answered: “Well, that happened to me once, and I gave it back.” In a negatively valenced information condition, the confederate would answer: “Well, one time when it happened I kept it.” In treatment conditions using the “wallet condition”, the participant asked a confederate: “Suppose you picked up the wallet on the street, and there were some cash and possibly credit cards, what would you do?” In the 20 positively valenced condition, the confederate answered: “Well, that happened to me once, and I reported it to police.” In a negatively valenced information condition, the confederate would answer: “Well, that happened to me once, and I ended up keeping the wallet.” In a control condition, this step was skipped and the participant did not receive any further information about the partner (confederate). Each dyad, which consisted of a participant and a confederate, was randomly assigned to one of three information valenced conditions. After the scripted interaction, the induction check (see Appendix F) was conducted to see whether the given information during the interaction induced intended effects. Then, the participant responded to self-report questionnaires that included a measure of specific uncertainty reduction about their partner (Appendix A), and three different dimensions of the cognitive state of trust, which consist of perceived competence, perceived goodwill, and perceived trustworthiness (Appendix C). In order to prevent an order effect, multiple versions with various orders were employed. Afterward, the experimenter described the PD game and its score distributions. Before starting the games, the experimenter emphasized that this was a real situation whereby their gain/loss would be directly related to a SS 0.00 value of gift certificate. In other word, if they won the game, they would receive a chance to win a $50.00 gift certificate, if they lost the game, they would not have a chance to receive the $50.00 gift certificate. Three-trial games were conducted. The format of the game was exactly the same across three trials, only the point distributions differed. As the level of game increased, the point distributions became more extreme. Each time, the experimenter asked both the 21 confederate and the participant for their decision to be written on paper. After completing three PD trials, the experimenter debriefed those participants who were involved in the experiment. Dependent Variables The uncertainty level (Appendix A) was measured by using a slight variation of CLUE7 (Clatterbuck, 1979, cited in Kellermann & Reynolds, 1990). The variation was made by Kellermann and Reynolds (1990), in that the eighth item (i.e., How well do you think you understand the person?) was included. The Specific uncertainty scale measured interaction-specific uncertainty which specifically asked uncertainty orientation about the interactant on a series of 7-point bipolar scales. Clatterbuck’s CLUE7 scale has been employed in nearly all uncertainty research, since it is a fairly reliable measure throughout various studies (alpha ranged from .87 to .91). Tolerance of uncertainty scale was measured in order to control for individual differences on uncertainty orientation. The scale was originally designed by Clatterbuck (1979), and revised by Kellermann and Reynolds (1990) to measure one’s need instead of one’s ability to make a prediction or generate explanations for another’s behavior. The reliability of tolerance for uncertainty was ranged from .70 to .92. In order to control for another individual difference, the general communication Suspicion (Appendix E) (Levine & McComack, 1991a) measure was used. This scale attempted to measure a predisposition toward viewing the communicative behavior of the other participant as deceptive. This scale had 14 items, with a seven point Likert type response format. The reliability is acceptable at .71. The ethos/credibility scale (Appendix C), created by McCroskey (1999), has 22 presumed three dimensions. Each dimension is measured with six bipolar adjective items with a seven-point scale (see Appendix C). The six items selected for each dimension result from the earlier factor-analytic studies on the basis of their consistently high factor loading and high face validity. The average Alpha reliabilities for these measures are: Competence .85; Trustworthiness .92 and; Goodwill .92 (McCroskey, 1999). When all three were scored as a single measure of ethos/credibility, the alpha reliability was .94. To quantify the PD game, the unit of analysis was the individual. Three games (see Appendix D) were presented and in each game participants were given a choice whether or not to cooperate with the other interactant. If a participant circled the “COOperate” box, that indicated behavioral trust and “1” point was assigned to this variable. If a participant circled the “Do not Cooperate” box, that indicated a failure to develop behavioral trust and “0” was assigned. There were three trials in the session whereby the scores were aggregated with a possible range of 0 to 3 for behavioral trust. An induction check for the independent variable was conducted to see how the participants actually perceived the valence of information in terms of its perceived negativity and deviance. A five-item scale was used to measure the perceived negativity of the partner’s attributes in terms of its valence, and a four-item scale was used to measure the perceived deviance of the partner’s attribute. The perceived deviance scale was created for this research. In a previous study (Yoo, 2003), the reported alpha for the perceived negativity was .88. Results Confirmatory Factor Analysis Confirrnatory Factor Analyses (Hunter & Gerbing, 1982) were performed to test 23 the validity of the hypothesized factor structure of the items and to assess the reliability of the measures. A valid set of indicators was attained for the variables of interest. After deleting one item, the scale measuring the general trust (or the general suspicion scale) in people had an alpha reliability of .78. All items were retained in the scale that was used to measure tolerance for uncertainty with an alpha reliability of .85. All items were retained for perceived competence and perceived trustworthiness from the ethos/credibility scale by McCroskey, and an alpha reliability of .81 and .88, respectively. However, one item was deleted for perceived goodwill from the same scale, and it had an alpha reliability of .80. All items were retained for Clatterbuck’s CLUE7 scale with an alpha reliability of .93. All items were retained for perceived negativity of the information given in the session, with an alpha reliability of .87. The perceived deviance of the information scale reported an alpha reliability of .87 after deleting one item. CFA showed that errors between predicted correlation and observed correlation were trivial, and the factor structures passed tests of internal consistency and parallelism. Induction Check The induction check for information valence was performed to see whether the intended effects were produced by the confederates. The induction check took place immediately after the interaction in order to ensure accurate responses. The participants were randomly given either “wallet condition” or “restaurant condition,” but analyses revealed no significant differences between these two conditions at an alpha level of .05. Thus these two scenarios were combined together for purposes of firrther analysis. A one-way AN OVA was performed on the ratings of the participants’ perceived negativity and perceived deviance of the given information about the confederate. 24 Participants given the negatively valenced information about the confederate indicated the highest scores on the perceived negativity scale (M = 2.95, SD = 1.17), followed by the control information condition (M = 2.69, SD = 1.07). Participants who received a piece of positive information about the confederate scored the lowest on perceived negativity scale (M = 1.88, SD = .63). Statistical significance was found in overall mean differences among these three conditions, F (2, 92) = 10.35, p < .001. Post hoc test results, using Scheffé’s procedure, indicated that the mean difference of perceived negativity scale (M0 = -1.07) between the positive information condition and the negative information condition was statistically significant, p < .001. The mean difference of the perceived negativity scale (M0 = -.81) between the positive information condition and the negative information condition was also statistically significant, p < .01. However, no statistical significance was found in the mean difference between the negative information condition and the control condition (p = .58). Statistical significance was found in overall mean differences among these three conditions in terms of the perceived deviance scale, F (2, 92) = 6.83, p < .001. Participants who received a piece of negative information about the confederate reported the highest scores on the perceived deviance scale (M = 2.54, SD = 1.38), followed by participants in the control information condition (M = 2.24, SD = 1.20). However, the mean difference between these two conditions (MD = .29) was not statistically significant (p = .5 8). According to the post hoc comparison using Scheffé’s procedure at p < .05, the mean difference of the perceive deviance scale (MD = -.99) between the positive information condition and the negative information condition was Statistically significant, p < .01. Statistical significance was also found in the mean difference (MD = -.70) 25 between the positive information condition and control condition, p < .05. Therefore, contrary to the pilot test results, the manipulation for experiment effectively induced the perceived positivity in participants, while the manipulation for perceived negativity was less clear. Hypotheses The first hypothesis predicted that participants who were exposed to positive information about their partner (confederate) would reduce the most uncertainty followed by participants who were exposed to no additional information, and participants exposed to negative information. The result of a one-way AN OVA indicated that no statistical significance was found such that different valence of information had no significant influence on uncertainty reduction, F (2, 92) = 6.83, p = .24, 772 = .03. Mean differences among these three conditions are trivial (see Table l). The second hypothesis tested how different valence of information had an influence on the cognitive state of trust. It was predicted that participants who were given positive information would score the highest on the ethos/credibility scale (McCroskey & Teven, 1999). The scale had three dimensions which consisted of perceived competence, perceived goodwill, and perceived trustworthiness. The result of a one-way ANOVA indicated that a main effect of information valence on perceived competence was statistically significant, F (2, 92) = 3.56, p < .05, 772 = .07. Participants who received a piece of positive information about the partner scored the highest on perceived competence (M = 5,46, SD = .99), followed by participants who received a piece of negative information condition (M = 5.18, SD = .72). Participants who received no additional information about the confederate scored the lowest on perceived 26 competence (M = 4.89, SD = .81). The mean difference between the positive information condition and the control condition was statistically Significant, p < .05, but the difference between the positive information condition and the negative information condition (p = .40), and the difference between the negative information condition and the control condition (p = .41) were not statistically different. The prediction of direction was partially supported in that the positive information condition scored highest on perceived competence, followed by the negative information condition (see Table 1). Perceived goodwill was analyzed using a one-way AN OVA. The main effect of information valence on perceived goodwill was statistically significant, F (2, 92) = 3.39, p < .05, 772 = .07. Similar to the perceived competence dimension, participants given the positive information about the confederate reported the highest score on perceived goodwill (M = 4.33, SD = .84), followed by participants who received the negative information (M = 3.92, SD = 1.15). Again, participants who received no additional information about the partner expressed the least perceived goodwill toward the partner (M = 3.73, SD = .75). The mean difference between the positive information condition and the negative information condition (p = .21), and between the negative condition and the control condition (p = .71) were not statistically significant. Only the mean difference between the positive condition and the control condition was statistically significant at p < .05 (see Table 1). Perceived trustworthiness was analyzed using a one-way ANOVA. The main effect of information valence on perceived trustworthiness was statistically significant, F (2, 92) = 7.12, p < .01, 772 = .13. Participants who received positive information reported a significantly higher score on perceived trustworthiness toward their partner (M = 5.60, 27 SD = .90) than participants who received no additional information about their partner (M = 4.83, SD = .79, p < .05) or participants who received negative information about their partner (M = 4.78, SD = 1.19, p <.001). No statistical significance was found in the mean difference between the “negative information” condition and the “no information” condition, (p = .98). The mean pattern was in a predicted direction such that a piece of positive information most increases the perceived trustworthiness, and a piece of negative information least increased perceived trustworthiness (see Table 1). Hypothesis 3 stated that participants who received positive information about their partner would exhibit more trusting behavior than participants who received no information, and participants who received negative information. Information valence had no (or a weak) influence on the behavioral trust, and no statistical significance was found, F (2, 92) = .02, n.s. (see Table 1). Path Analysis To test the proposed model (Figure 2), the least squares criterion was employed to estimate the parameters. Parameter size as well as the fit of the model was examined. The correlations employed to estimate the fit of the model parameters are presented in Table 3, and the path coefficients are presented in Figure 2. Parameter size was estimated in the path diagram by performing a simple regression of each endogenous variable onto its causal antecedent. Then model fit was performed by comparing the estimated parameter size to the reproduced correlations (see Hunter & Gerbing, 1982 for information on reproducing correlations in path analysis). In order to say that the model is consistent with the data, two conditions should be met: (1) the path coefficients should be substantial, and (2) the discrepancies between parameter 28 estimates and reproduced correlations Should be attributable to sampling error. If errors are larger than what is expected from sampling error, the model is regarded as inconsistent with the data. The original model proposed that uncertain level would affect the cognitive state of trust, which would lead to behavioral trust. Figure 2 illustrates that most of the path coefficients were substantial, and most of the coefficients were in the direction predicted, however, not all paths were ample. The coefficient linking the uncertainty reduction level and perceived competence was within sampling error of zero [.28, P (-.09 S p S .65) = .95]. Both links between uncertainty reduction level and perceived goodwill [.57, P (.26 S p S .88) = .95] and uncertainty reduction level and perceived trustworthiness [.55, P (.26 s p S .84) = .95] were statistically significant. These results indicated that the level of uncertainty had an influence both on perceived goodwill and perceived trustworthiness. However, the coefficient linking perceived goodwill and behavioral trust was within sampling error of zero [.01, P (-.09 S p S .65) = .95], which indicated that perceived goodwill had no significant effect on behavioral trust. The coefficient linking perceived competence and behavioral trust was -.13, P (-.68 S p S .42) = .95, which was not Significantly different from zero as well. Only the coefficient linking perceived trustworthiness and behavioral trust was statistically significant [.58, P (.07 S p S .99) = .95]. This indicates that perceived trustworthiness was the only dimension in the cognitive state of trust which predicted the behavioral trust. The fit of the overall model was tested for the proposed model. The discrepancies between obtained and predicted correlations for all bivariate relationships in the model were examined and many differed significantly from what was expected 29 from sampling error. The largest errors were .46 (between uncertainty reduction level and behavioral trust), and .27 (between‘perceived competence and behavioral trust). Overall, the global test for goodness of fit indicated that the data were consistent with the model, x2(4, N = 32) = 3.22, p = .52, however, a post hoc search for an alternative model that fit the data was undertaken in order to find a better model. Evaluation of the Alternative Models Results indicated the data were consistent with an alternative model (see Figure 3). The coefficient linking perceived trustworthiness and behavioral trust was .35, P (- .04 S p S .74) = .95 , and the coefficient linking uncertainty reduction level and behavioral trust was .29, P (-.10 S p S .68) = .95]. The path coefficients in the revised model were ample and were in the direction predicted. Furthermore, the discrepancies between predicted and obtained correlations for the unconstrained bivariate correlations demonstrated that the errors were not significantly different from those predicted from sampling error (the largest error was - .08). The global test for goodness of fit also indicated that the data were consistent with the model, {(2, N = 90) = .17, p = .92. Given that the path coefficients were ample, and that the model and parameter estimates predicted accurately the unconstrained correlations, the data were consistent with the alternative model. Discussion This investigation assessed how different valences of information affect uncertainty reduction level, cognitive state of trust, and finally, behavioral trust. This section will discuss results in terms of relationship among constructs and implications of the study. The discussion of results is followed by (1) extended implications of second 30 order unidimensionality of negativity and deviance, (2) recommendations for scenario study and its ecological validity, and (3) limitations and directions for future research. Implications from Proposed Hypotheses The results of this experiment offer some explanations and implications for information valence and its effects on trust building in initial interaction. Specifically, this experiment found that information valence had a significant influence on building the cognitive state of trust. However, contrary to predictions, information valence had no (or minimal) influence on building behavioral trust. That is, both correlations between perceived negativity and behavioral trust (r = -.17), and perceived deviance and behavioral trust (r = -.05) were in the predicted direction, but not statistically significant. When looking at only the positively valenced information condition, there was a stronger correlation between perceived negativity and behavioral trust (r = -.23), and perceived deviance and behavioral trust (r = -.10). However, it was not statistically significant. This research challenged Pearce’s claim (1974) that behavioral trust may or may not be accompanied by building a cognitive state of trust. Further, this research assumed that a cognitive state of trust should be present prior to behavioral trust. This claim was partially supported for the positive information condition where the correlation between perceived trustworthiness and behavioral trust (r = .51) was significant, p <.005. Among three dimensions of the cognitive state of trust, perceived trustworthiness was the only dimension that predicted one’s decision in respect to behavioral trust. As predicted, in the negative information condition, no significant correlation was found between the cognitive state of trust and behavioral trust. This finding implies that in initial interaction, it is important to build one’s trustworthiness in order to establish behavioral trust. 31 The results reveal that uncertainty reduction level was closely related with the cognitive state of trust. The correlation between uncertainty reduction and perceived competence (r = .25) was significant at p <.05. The correlation between uncertainty reduction and perceived goodwill (r = .31) was Significant at p <.005, and perceived trustworthiness (r = .40) was Significant at p <.001. However, no significant relationship was found between uncertainty reduction level and behavioral trust. The significant correlation between uncertainty reduction level and behavioral trust (r = .48) was found only in the positive information condition, p <.01. Therefore, when positive information was given within the initial interaction with a stranger, there was more chance to reduce the uncertainty level, and to increase the cognitive state of trust. Under the assumption that the stranger has positive information about an individual, if the individual successfully builds perceived trustworthiness, he/she is more likely to build behavioral trust as an ultimate goal of the interaction. A post hoc contrast analysis was conducted to see whether having a piece of information, regardless of its valence, had an effect on cognitive trust, behavioral trust, and uncertainty reduction. The results indicated that except for perceived competence (t (92) = 2.31, p < .05) of the cognitive state of trust, no statistical significance was found for information versus no information among perceived trustworthiness, perceived goodwill, behavioral trust, and uncertainty reduction level. Tolerance for uncertainty (Appendix B) and general trust were measured in order to control for individual differences. Tolerance for uncertainty had no significant impact on any dependent variables, including uncertainty reduction level. The correlation between general trust and perceived competence was significant, r (95) = .22, p < .05. General trust was also significantly correlated with perceived goodwill, r (95) = .22, p 32 < .05. These findings indicated that an individual who had higher scores on general trust scale, tended to perceive their partners to be more competent and to have more goodwill toward them. General trust was positively correlated with perceived trustworthiness, but no statistical Significance was found, r (95) = .16, n.s. However, situational variables, such as perceived negativity and deviance, tended to have stronger correlations with the cognitive state of trust than personality variables, such as tolerance for uncertainty and general trust in people. For instance, perceived negativity was negatively correlated with perceived competence, (r = -.43), perceived goodwill (r = -.35), and perceived trustworthiness (r = -.58). These correlations were all significant at a p-level of .001. Perceived deviance also indicated the similar results that perceived deviance was negatively correlated with perceived competence, (r = -.29), with perceived goodwill (r = -.32), and with perceived trustworthiness (r = -.39). All of these correlations were also significant at p-level of .005. However, neither personality variables nor Situational variables had significant correlations with behavioral trust, except for in the positive information condition. As the path model suggested both perceived trustworthiness and uncertainty reduction level were significant predictors for behavioral trust only when an individual was exposed to a piece of positive information about the other partner. When people heard a piece of negative information about their partner, no constructs predicted the behavioral trust. Perceived negativity and deviance were negatively correlated with the cognitive state of trust, but no significant relationship was found between the cognitive state of trust and behavioral trust, or uncertainty reduction level and behavioral trust. A few issues still remain unsolved and should serve as a future mission. The first 33 issue is that when controlling for perceived trustworthiness, the direct path between uncertainty reduction and behavioral trust disappears, which suggests that there might be the third variable that affects both uncertainty reduction and behavioral trust. The second issue concerns the time order criteria of the causal relationship. This study was an experimental study, and made an assumption that the cognitive state of trust came prior to behavioral trust. Also according to the study design, participants had to fill out the scales that were asking for ratings of partner (confederate)’s perceived competence, perceived goodwill, and perceived trustworthiness before they played the Prisoner’s dilemma game which was the indicator of behavioral trust. The question should be asked in future research whether this assumption of time ordering can be sufficiently justified. Implications for Dimensionality of Negativity and Deviance This research originally attempted to measure two different constructs of information valence: perceived negativity and perceived deviance. The items in the perceived negativity scale focused on how the given information was good/bad or positive/negative, while the perceived deviance scale focused on how the given information was normal/abnormal or ordinary/deviant. The alpha reliability for the perceived negativity scale and the perceived deviance scale were both .87 when treating these two as separate constructs. The two largest errors between the predicted correlations and the observed correlations were .30 and .15. However, when these two constructs were merged and considered to be a unidimensional construct, the alpha reliability increased to .92. The errors between the predicted correlation and the observed correlation appeared to be trivial, that the largest errors were .24 and .20. The factor loadings of the items in the perceived negativity scale were also highly loaded on the perceived deviance scale, and the factor loadings of items on the perceived deviance scale were also highly loaded on the perceived negativity scale. These two constructs of the perceived negativity and the perceived deviance had similar relationships with other constructs. For instance, both constructs were negatively correlated with general trust (or general suspicion) in people (r = -.26, p <.05; r = -.31, p <.01); with perceived competence (r = -.43, p <.001; r = -.29, p <.001); with perceived goodwill (r = -.35, p <.001; r = -.32, p <.001); and perceived trustworthiness (r = -.58, p <.001; r = -.39, p <.001). Other constructs, including tolerance for the uncertainty, uncertainty reduction level, and behavioral trust, were not statistically significantly correlated with either of these two constructs. Therefore, the CF A suggests that these two constructs, perceived negativity and perceived deviance, appeared to be under a higher order factor, such as valence of information or evaluation of information. Recommendations for Scenario Study and its Ecological Validity A common criticism of hypothetical scenarios may also apply to the results of this study, as the use of hypothetical scenarios may cause problems in this line of research. The results of this study questioned the validity of the hypothetical scenario study. This study used various hypothetical scenarios as a pretest in order to come up with a valid induction for information valence for the actual experiment. The same negative information was measured in both the hypothetical scenario study and the actual face-to-face experiment. In the pretest using the hypothetical scenario, inductions for information valence (positively valenced and negatively valenced information conditions) were more successful in terms of magnitude of mean differences for perceived negativity and deviance than the actual experimental inductions. For instance, when respondents 35 read the hypothetical scenario (restaurant scenario) of the negatively valenced condition, they reported that the information about their blind partner (or group member) was perceived to be Significantly more negative (M = 5.17 , SD = 1.35) than when they received no information about their partner (M = 2.81, SD = .99, t(42) = 11.34, p < .001). Similar results were found in terms of perceived deviance in that respondents in negatively valenced information condition reported significantly higher perceived deviance (M = 4.64, SD = 1.12) than respondents who were in the control condition (M = 2.33, SD = 1.13, t(4l) = 13.35,p < .001). The mean patterns specified that both perceived negativity and deviance exceeded significantly the midpoint of the scale, which soundly proved that the induction for negatively valenced information was successful. However, the actual experiment data consistently showed that the participants in the negatively valenced information condition were not significantly different from the participants in the control condition, in terms of either perceived negativity (MD = .26) or perceived deviance (MD = .29). In fact, means for perceived negativity (M = 2.94, SD = 1.17) and perceived deviance (M = 2.53, SD = 1.38) in a negatively valenced condition, although the highest scores among three conditions, did not exceed the midpoint of the scale. Therefore, participants who read negative information about their partner perceived more negativity and deviance in respect to the given information to participants who interacted face-to-face and received information directly from their partner. Effects sizes are noticeably different between the hypothetical scenario study and the actual experiment. For perceived negativity, the effect size for the scenario study was 772 = .67, while the effect size for the actual experiment was 172 = .18. Similarly, for perceived deviance, the effect size for the scenario was 172 = .49, while the effect size for 36 the actual experiment was 772 = .13. These results suggest that when individuals directly interact with a stranger, they tend to evaluate their partner to be more positive/ordinary (or much less negative/deviant) than when they indirectly interact with the stranger via a print medium. These results indicated that continuing reliance on hypothetical scenarios and responses in this line of research may result in exaggerated findings that are discrepant from reality. These findings from the hypothetical scenario study may not accurately reflect on how participants really respond to various actual situational influences. Limitations and Future Research Three limitations of the results of this investigation must be addressed. The first caveat involves the Operationalization of behavioral trust. Deutsch (1958) was the first scholar who employed the Prisoner’s Dilemma game in order to operationalize behavioral trust. He found that communicating with a partner increased the individual’s confidence whereby his/her trust would be fulfilled and also used to elicit trustworthy or responsible behavior. In his study, he induced the experimental situation using the Prisoner’s Dilemma game in a way that participants should bet their own money. Thus, if they lost to their partner, it was an actual loss of the money. This strong induction allowed for researchers to measure a highly valid set of behavioral trust. However, this investigation used a weak induction in that if participants won the highest score on these three trial-games, they would receive a chance at the $50.00 gift certificate from the experimenter. Therefore, their loss was not directly related to their own monetary value, which might be problematic in terms of inducing valid behavioral trust. In other words, perceived risk was not necessarily (or sufficiently) induced in this investigation. 37 Perceived risk is an essential construct in terms of exploring behavioral trust. Behavioral trust should involve the voluntary action of making oneself vulnerable to the decisions of others, while cognitive state of trust only concerns one’s perception about the other (Pearce, 1974). In cognitive state of trust, unlike behavioral trust, one is not likely to risk anything, thus, one’s vulnerability is minimal and limited. Under the assumption that the induction for information valence was successful, a weak induction for behavioral trust using the Prisoner’s Dilemma might have undermined the effect on information valence on behavioral trust. The ecological validity issue should be noted as well. The laboratory study appears to control for any external factors that might interfere with the internal validity, while the ecological validity concerns the extent to which findings from the laboratory can be generalized to reality. It is inevitable that studies in a lab always involve a trade- off between control issues and ecological validity. As previously mentioned, the gap between the results in hypothetical scenario study and experimental study showed that people respond differently in each. A further research question should consider how people would react to situations in the “real world.” AS the results of this investigation already suggested, the negative effect might be mitigated when there is actual face-to- face interaction. Also, it should be noted that the independent variable might have been confounded within the experimental design. Especially, when the confederate gave the participant the negative information about himself/herself, participants might have perceived “negative information giving” as “willingness to admit one’s fault” rather than the originally intended effect of “perceived negativity.” Thus, participants might have 38 not perceived negativity in the information given by the confederate. In order to measure a “true” assessment of the stimuli, “willingness to admit one’s fault” should be controlled statistically, or the researcher Should use an experimental design in which a third person presents different valenced information about the confederate. The current study allows for future research to determine the causes of discrepancies between the hypothetical scenario study and the actual experiment. More specifically, future research should attempt to explain why the negativity effect plays a more significant role in the hypothetical situation than in the actual experiment. Future research should also investigate how to restore damaged images when a partner is already aware of negative information about them. This study showed that in the actual experimental situation, the same piece of negative information was perceived to be significantly less negative and deviant than in the hypothetical scenario situation. This suggests that when having face-to-face interaction with a stranger for the first time, people in general tend to have a positive disposition toward others. Therefore, future research should incorporate a positivity bias and a negativity effect in order to determine how information valence has a significant impact on impression formation in the initial interaction with a stranger. 39 Table 1. Means and (Standard Deviations) for Each Dependent Variables Broken Down By Information Valence Type Information Valence Range Negative No additional Positive information information information Perceived negativity 1-7 2.95 (1.17) 2.69 (1.07) 1.88 (.63) Perceived deviance 1-7 2.54 (1.38) 2.24 (1.20) 1.54 (.60) Uncertainty Reduction 0-100 40.98 (19.85) 32.52 (21.42) 40.60 (24.37) Perceived competence 1-7 5.18 (.72) 4.89 (.81) 5.46 (.99) Perceived goodwill 1-7 3.92 (1.15) 3.73 (.75) 4.33 (.84) Perceived trustworthiness 1-7 4.78 (1.19) 4.83 (.79) 5.60 (.90) Behavioral trust (3 trials) 0-3 .73 (.33) .73 (.28) .72 (.25) Behavioral trust (first trial) 0-1 .85 (.36) .90 (.31) .81 (.40) 40 Table 2. Zero Order Correlations among Variables (1) Zero order correlations among the variables in positively valenced information condition (N = 32) 1 2 3 4 5 Respondents (n = 32) 1. Perceived competence 1.00 2. Perceived goodwill .24 1.00 3. Perceived trustworthiness .61** .43* 1.00 4. Uncertainty reduction .28 .57 .55 1.00 5. Behavioral trust .23 .23 .51** .48** 1.00 Note. * p < .05, ** p < .01, N=32. (2) Zero order correlations among the variables in negatively valenced information condition (N = 33) 1 2 3 4 5 Respondents (n = 33) 1. Perceived competence 1.00 2. Perceived goodwill .30 1.00 3. Perceived trustworthiness .40* .41 * 1.00 4. Uncertainty reduction .31 .19 .23 1.00 5. Behavioral trust .05 -.30 .16 -.02 1.00 Note. * p < .05, ** p < .01, N=33. 41 Figure 1. PD Game A B Person H does not Person 11 does confess confess X Person I does not confess. Person I: 1 year Person II: 1 year Person 1:10 year Person 11: go free Y Person I does confesses. Person I: go free Person II: 10 year Person I: 9 year Person II: 9JIear 42 Figure 2. Initial Path-Analytic Model Positively valenced information condition .28 Uncertainty , 7 Level .55 N = 32, x2 (4) = 3.22, p = .51 General Trust Perceived Competence Perceived Goodwill -.l3 .01 Behavioral Perceived Trustworthiness 43 Trust KL Figure 3. Revised Path-Analytic Model Positively valenced information condition Perceived Trustworthiness .35 \ Uncertainty Reduction Behavioral Trust N= 32, x2 (2) = .17, p= .92 44 Appendix A. CL7 Attributional Confidence Scale (Clatterbuck, 1979) revised version (Gudykunst & Nishida, 1986) Instructions: People vary in the degree to which they can predict how other people behave and think. Please answer each of the following questions with respect to your ability to predict selected aspects of the behavior of the person you answered the previous question about. Answer each question using a scale from zero (0) to one hundred (100). If you would have to make a total guess about the person’s behavior of feelings you should answer “0”; if you have total certainty about the other person’s behavior you should answer “100.” Feel free to use any number between 0 and 100. _ 1. How confident are you of your general ability to predict how he/she will behave? _ 2. How certain are you that he/She likes you? __ 3. How accurate are you at predicting the values he/she holds? _ 4. How accurate are you at predicting his/her attitudes? _ 5. How well can you predict his/her feelings and emotions? _ 6. How much can you empathize with (share) the way he/she feels about himself/herself? _ 7. How well do you know him/her? _ 8. How certain are you of his/her background? _ 9. How certain are you that he/she will behave in a socially appropriate way when this is important? __ 10. How certain are you that he/she can understand your feelings when you do not verbally express them? _ 11. How certain are you that you understand what this person means when you communicate? _ 12. How confident are you that this person will make allowances for you when you communicate? 45 Appendix B. Tolerance for Uncertainty scale Instructions: Please indicate your attitude about the world noted below by indicating the appropriate number. Notatall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Verymuch _ 1. How confident do you feel you need to be in your general ability to predict how the person will behave in general? _ 2. How certain do you need to be about how well the person likes you? _ 3. How accurate do you think you need to be at predicting the values the person holds? _ 4. How accurate do you think you need to be at predicting the person’s attitudes? __ 5. How well do you think you need to be able to predict the person’s feelings and emotions? _ 6. How much do you think you need to be able to emphasize (share) the way the person feels about him/her as a person? _ 7. How well do you think you need to know the person? _ 8. How well do you think you need to understand the person? 46 Appendix C. Measure of Ethos/Credibility Instructions: Please indicate your impression of your partner as noted below by circling the appropriate number between the pairs of adjectives below. The closer the number is to an adjective, the more certain you are of your evaluation. Competence Intelligent Untrained Inexpert Informed Incompetent Bright Mil Cares about me Has my interests at heart Self-centered Concerned with me Insensitive Not understanding Trustworthiness Honest Untrustworthy Honorable Moral Unethical Phoney Hp—ap—Ay—dp—ap—o p—Ap—aHHp—Ay—a Hp—ip—fip—np—dp—A NNNNNN NNNNNN NNNNNN wwwwww wwwwww h-h-h-b-bh MMMMMM wwwuww A-b-b-b-h-D- MMMMMM Ji-b-«b-h-b-h MLI'ILIILI’IMLII O\O\O\O\O\O\ O\O\O\O\O\O\ O\O\O\O\O\O\ \l\l\l\l\l\l \l\l\)\l\l\) \l\l\l\l\l\l Unintelligent* Trained Expert Uninformed’“ Competent Stupid* Doesn’t care about me Doesn’t have my interest at heart Not self-centered* Unconcemed with me Sensitive* Understanding* Dishonest* Trustworthy Dishonorable* Immoral* Ethical Genuine * reversed items 47 Appendix D. Prisoner’s Dilemma Game Game 1: Your partner cooperates Your partner does not cooperate You cooperate Both receive 3 pts. Your partner receives 5 pts. You receive 2 pt. You do not cooperate You receive 5 pts. Your partner receives 2pt. Both receive no pts. What is your final choice? Cooperate Do not Cooperate Please wait until the experimenter guides you to the next step of the experiment. Game 2: Your partner cooperates Your partner does not cooperate You cooperate Both receive 3 pts. Your partner receives 7 pts. You receive 1 pt. You do not comrate You receive 7 pts. Your partner receives lpt. Both receive no pts. What is your final choice? Cooperate Do not Cooperate Please wait until the experimenter guides you to the next step of the experiment. Game 3: Your partner cooperates Your partner does not cooperate You cooperate Both receive 3 pts. Your partner receives 10 pts. You receive -5 pt. You do not cooperate You receive 10 pts. Your partner receives -5pt. Both receive -7 pts. What is your final choice? Cooperate Do not Cooperate Please wait until the experimenter guides you to the next step of the experiment. 48 Appendix B. General Suspicion Scale Instructions: Please indicate your attitude about the world noted below by indicating the appropriate number. Strongly Disagree 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Strongly Agree _ 1. I often feel as if people aren’t being completely trustful with me. _ 2. Most people only tell you what they think you want to hear. _ 3. When I am in a conversation with someone, I frequently wonder whether they are really telling me the truth. _ 4. People rarely tell you what they’re really thinking. __ 5. When I first meet someone, I assume that they are probably lying to me about some things. ' _ 6. Most peOple are basically honest. _ 7. Anyone who completely trusts someone else is asking for trouble. _ 8. When I ask a stranger for directions, I frequently wonder whether they are being truthful. _ 9. When I am talking to others, I tend to believe what they say. _ 10. People seldom lie to me. __ 11. 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Unpublished manuscript, Michigan State University - East Lansing. 54 lllglllngtjlijj111311