1;..v v .4— A); ...J a! at); 3‘s}; : ....7.:.. :1. : ...: 9,. unfit... . . . é . .2.. .... ...»... ..........?..$tfi.. 139%. .Q.z§i.:. u .u. . . a . 7 . . A... . ......u. f... e i. , $2.3. ...: mm: .31.... .2. m . 4.32:...» ..tznfi .3... my. .. . . . . .3... “.297...er .-.... . . um .... .-.? a” ..lu i Lilli”... ...: i .. , . . . I1l\.o.80. Kappas were computed to assess the degree of agreement between the two coders on each variable: trace evidence, kappa=.98; time of the exam, kappa=.92; alcohol/drug use, kappa=.98; physical bruises, kappa=.98; anogenital abrasions, kappa=.98; physical injuries, kappa=.96; and other types of physical injury, kappa=.98. All other variables had 100% agreement. Turning Point patient database was searched by victim name and date of assault to obtain information for victim and case characteristics (e.g. race, disability, and victim/offender relationship) that were not systematically documented in the patient 43 records. To assess the reliability of the coding, the investigator and a Turning Point employee independently coded victim race, disability, and victim/offender relationship documented in the database for 30% of the total cases. Coding was consistently monitored throughout the project to maintain kappas >.80. Kappas were computed to assess the degree of agreement between the two coders on each variable: race, kappa=.98. Disability, and victim/offender relationship had 100% agreement. There were no secondary sources against which to compare the accuracy of the forensic medical evidence, victim characteristics and case characteristics, so no validity assessments were conducted for these variables. Measures The first research question focused on rape case attrition rates, therefore, law enforcement referral rates, prosecutors’ warranting rates, and case outcomes were coded from law enforcement records, and the prosecutor’s database (Operational definitions and coding for each variable are located in Appendix C). In order to determine attrition rates, law enforcement referral outcomes were coded (was the case referred, yes/no), warranting outcomes were coded (was the case warranted, yes/no); and final case outcomes were coded (case charged, but later dropped, plea bargain/trial resulting in conviction, trial resulting in acquittal) for each case. The second research question focused on predicting rape case attrition. In order to determine factors that predict case attrition, information regarding victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence were coded for each case. Specifically, these independent variables included: 1) Victim characteristics: a) age; b) race/ethnicity (coding: Caucasian/Minority); c) disability status (coding: no disability/ 44 disability); (1) median household income; 2) Case characteristics: a) alcohol or drug use by victim (coding: no/yes); b) type of rape/ penetration (coding: single/multiple/unknown penetration); c) victim-offender relationship (coding: stranger/nonstranger); d) offender tactics (coding: unconscious/coercion/force)l; the time between the assault and exam (coding: actual time in hours); and 3) Forensic medical evidence: a) physical injury subtypes2 (coding: no/yes) including redness, bruises, abrasions, and other types of injuries; b) anogenital injury subtypes (coding: no/yes) including redness, tears, bruises, abrasions, and other types of anogenital injury; trace evidence (coding: no/yes) (see Appendix B for a complete list of all injuries/evidence coded, and Appendix D for a complete list of the refined coding used for the analyses). Table 4 presents the intercorrelations among the predictor variables using all 185 cases in the study (i.e. all reported cases); and Table 5 presents the intercorrelations among variables in the subsampled cases that were referred to the prosecutor for a warranting decision (N=90). The predictors were not highly correlated with each other for either model, with the exception of the dummy coded variables (type of penetration, and victirrr/offender relationship). Because these dummy coded variables were entered into the model as a set, the correlations among the variables within the set should not pose a problem. ' Sixteen percent of the data for offender tactics was missing, therefore not included in the multivariate analyses. 2 Only 3% of the sample had tears (physical injury) and thus, were not included in the multivariate analyses. 45 Table 4 Correlations of the Predictor Variables and Outcome for the Referring Model VaflaNe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 3 14 15 16 17 18 19 70 ”I ’3 7‘ 1. Refer 1.00 2 Age .02 100 3. Race ~04 15* 1.00 4.DBaany -rn .22* 15 100 5.1ncome —.01 .05 .16’?‘ 4.02 1.00 6. Drug/alcoh 7.23 —.20* 22* —.12 .03 1.00 7.8inghipen :08 —i() :03 —.12 .13 :03 1.00 8.14unipen .28* .02 :06 .10 :16* :10 :71* 1rr) 9.Unknpen :26 .11 .12 .04 .04 .17* :39* :37* 1.00 10.Stranger -.11 .07 r)2 —r)9 ~ll8 —r)5 —r>7 —r18 .21=r 1.1x) lLInUnVFani .20* .12 :21* :04 :05 :25* :02 .13 :15’ -29* 1 00 12.Acqumn :09 :16* .13 .10 .09 .26* .09 :05 —r6 :56* :62* 1.00 l3.Deby :10 .02 .10 .08 .21* .07 :01 :09 .13 .13 :10 :03 11m 14.PPlRedness .04 .13 :03 .04 :21* :01 :03 .07 :06 .19* .13 :27*= :02 1.00 15.P1131umes .08 .10 .06 .08 :03 :04 :03 :03 .07 :08 .04 .04 .11 .10 100 \ 16.P11Abraaon .06 .13 .01 .07 :03 .n) :08 .04 .05 .03 .17 :12 :00 .34* .37* 11X) 17 Pricnhcr .04 .06 :10 :09 :17* —.n) in ri1 :03 .10 .15* :22* .01 .47* .05 .15* 100 18.A£}Redness .11 i1 .21* .02 :07 .02 :02 .01 .01 .03 .73 -rn .07 .n) .06 .03 .04 100 19.AC}Team .01 .03 :03 .08 :03 :15 :04 .08 :06 .06 .05 :10 :06 .20* .00 .060 .05 .02 100 20.AC}Brumes .10 .10 .05 :08 :06 :09 :08 .05 .04 .19* :05 .11 .08 :01 .03 .140 .07 .14 .07 100 .12 100 21.AriAbragons .18* .01 :08 .03 :07 :07 .04 :02 :03 .03 .10 :12 .08 .04 .11 .14 .08 .12 in r .16* .22* 1.00 22.ACicnher .03 .14 .09 .00 .17* :06 .03 :05 .02 :01 .14 :12 .01 :06 .07 .08 :09 .12 .22 — -.()2 .08 .13 1.00 23~Traceevidence .06 —.01 .07 —.06 .07 .12 .01 .06 —.08 :06 —.()3 .07 :05 .00 —.04 .07 —.01 .02 .08 . - , .. 4 ‘ - ' e enetration 0=n0 multiple penetration); 9. 1. Warrant (0=no). 3. Race (OzMinority); 4. Disability (Ozno disability); 6. Drugs/alcohol (02m) drugs/alcohol used): 7. Single penetration (0=no smglL pmtlrflliamiéj’efifiglfiitirliiate/familizil (Oznot raped by intimate/family); Penetration unknown to victim (used as reference in dummy code with single & multiple penetration as a set); 10. Raped by stranger (Oznot raped. by :strang::))_sn0 .in_ul:y for all subtypes of injury); 23' Trace evidence (0:no 12- Raped by acquaintance (reference in dummy code with stranger & intimate/familial as a set); 14—17. PH :physical injury; 18—22. AGzanogenital injury — .1 . trace evidence) 46 Table 5 Correlations of the Predictor Variables and Outcome for the Warranting Model Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 33 l . Warrant 1 .00 2. Age .02 1.00 3. Race :12 .19 1.00 4. Disability —. 10 :01 .16 1.00 5. Income :18 .17 .12 -.11 1.00 6. Drug/alcohol —.17 —.20 28* 7.03 .15 1.00 7. Single pen .18 .05 :06 :04 .19 .03 1.00 8. M11111 pen :05 :07 .05 .04 :26* : 10 :87* 1.00 9. Unknown pen :26* .04 .01 :02 .15 .14 :2 1 :29* 1.00 10. Stranger .15 .05 :01 :06 :06 : 10 :11 .04 15 1.00 11. Intim/Famil .10 .11 :01 :07 : 10 :17 .06 :08 .04 :3 1 1.00 12. Acquaint :20 :14 .01 .11 .13 24* .03 .04 : 15 :46* :70* 1.00 13. ExamDelay :02 :02 :09 :01 25* 25* .05 :13 .16 .09 :06 —.02 1.00 14PHReaness .15 .15 .04 .07 :22* :05 .05 :02 :04 .19 .10 2:3 :19 1.00 15.PHBruises :14 .14 .13 .07 :10 :14 :06 :01 .14 :15 .15 41.3 28* .15 '00 16.PHAbI‘aSion .09 .18 .06 .07 :06 .11 .05 :06 .02 .01 .16 :16 :01 39* 47* 1.00 l7.PHOther .15 .04 :14 :10 :20 :13 .00 .01 :02 .08 .10 :16 .06 25* .15 27* 1.00 18. AG Redness :10 .02 .33 :22* :03 28* .02 :06 .09 .06 :08 .03 :09 .06 :06 .02 .00 1.00 19.AGTears :08 .18 .03 :04 :04 :37* :07 :01 .14 .17 .08 --.21 :19 22* .10 .13 .19 .11 1.00 20AGBruises :04 23* .02 :11 :16 :14 :05 .03 .03 26* :13 :08 .02 .02 .07 .17 .05 .14 .12 1.00 21.AGAbrasion :06 :04 :13 :13 :01 .09 .03 :13 21* .12 .06 :14 .12 :02 .12 .18 .10 <10 08 ~17 1'00 22.AGOther .00 22* .05 :06 .08 :11 .00 :12 23* .17 .12 :24* .01. .02 .10 27* :06 .11 43* 22* .13 1.00 23.Traceevid :15 .08 .12 .05 .06 .10 :07 .12 :11 .08 -.()6 :01 :06 :08 :16 :06 :05 :02 .10 :07 .08 .09 100 ' ' - ‘ ' ‘ 9. ' ' .- , .. . ‘ '8. M in le enetration (O—no multiple penetration), . 1. Warrant (Ozno), 3. Race (OzMinority); 4. Disability (0=no disability); 6. Drugs/alcohol (Ozno drugs/alcohol used); 7. Slngle penetration (Ozno single pezzgatlirlmfiapw lay Fmiriate/familial (0:n0t raped by intimate/famfly); Penetration unknown to victim (used as reference in dummy code with single & multiple penetration as a set); 10. Raped by stranger (Oznot raped by strang . ~ ' ‘ ' ' ' ' O=no ' ' - 1 ‘ ' ' : ' r for all subtypes ofinjury). 23. Trace evtdence( 12' Raped by acquaintance (reference in dummy code with stranger & intimate/familial as a set); 14—17. PH :physrcal injury; 18—22. AGzanogenital 1n‘1ury(0 no 1n]u Y trace evidence 47 Data Analyses Plan Raw data were statistically and graphically explored for quality of the data, potential outliers, and distributional problems prior to conducting data analysis (see Results section). In addition, potential threats to validity were assessed (see Results section). For Question #1, descriptive analyses were used to examine the extent that rape cases move forward in the legal system. For Question #2, given that the dependent variables were dichotomous (referred/not referred; warranted/not warranted), logistic regression was used to examine the strength and direction of relationships between processing decisions, and victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 2000). The analysis was approached from a hierarchical perspective, with predictors organized into conceptually meaningful blocks to be entered sequentially, with the order planned to facilitate examination of the contribution of variables in later blocks, controlling for the effects of variables in earlier blocks. This analysis allowed tests of: 1) the effects of victim and case characteristics on rape case processing decisions, controlling for the effects of law enforcement agencies; 2) the influence of forensic evidence on rape case processing decisions, controlling for the effects of victim (e.g., race) and case characteristics (e.g., victim/offender relationship); 3) the significance and relative unique contribution of variables in each conceptual block to the prediction of rape case processing decisions; and 4) the overall predictability of rape case processing decisions. Hierarchical approaches to logistic regression have been utilized effectively with comparable conditions. Power was estimated, using PASS software (Heintze, 2001) for the referring and warranting models. For the analysis of referrals, power to detect a single predictor with an odds ratio of 2.50 was .99 for a 48 continuous predictor, and .70 for a dichotomous predictor with a 50% baserate. These estimates assume N=14l, a baserate of .49 for referrals, p < .05, and that the analysis controls for the effects of other independent variables that accounted for an estimated 10% of the variance in the predictor of interest (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 2000). For the analysis of warranting, power to detect a single predictor with an odds ratio of 2.50 was .96 for a continuous predictor, and .39 for a dichotomous predictor with a 50% baserate. These estimates assume N=79, a baserate of .63 for warranting, p < .05, and that the analysis controls for the effects of other independent variables that accounted for an estimated 10% of the variance in the predictor of interest Hosmer & Lemeshow, 2000). The number of predictors included in these logistic regression equations was evaluated relative to the available sample size. Green (1991) recommends a sample size equal to or greater than 104 plus the number of predictors for linear regression. To examine the predictive utility of victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence (plus controlling for the effects of law enforcement agencies), 21 predictors were selected for the model. The sample size for the current study (N=185) is greater than 104 plus 21 predictors. Based on Green’s recommendation (1991), the sample size, and number of predictors used in the model should be able to detect a medium to large effect. 49 RESULTS Univariate and Multivariate Data Screening Prior to conducting the substantive quantitative data analysis, raw data were statistically and graphically examined to verify data quality, potential outliers, and distributional problems that may require transformations or alternative methods. First, the data were assessed for multivariate outliers. By using Mahalanobis distance with p<.001, two cases were identified as multivariate outliers. Analyses were conducted for the referring and warranting models with and without the multivariate outliers included in the model. Including the multivariate outlier cases did not impact the results; and thus, they were included in the models. Second, while missing data were not a problem for most of the variables, there were a few variables that had proportionally more data missing. The exact time between the assault and exam had missing information for 24 cases. While the date of the assault and exam were available for all cases except one, the time of the assault was either unknown or missing in the file for 23 cases. An imputation was created for these cases by using a mid-cutoff point of the days between the assault and exam. For example, if the victim came in for an exam on the same day as the assault, the missing cases would be coded as 12 hours. If the victim came in one day after the assault, the missing cases would be coded as 36 hours. Additionally, income was missing for seven cases. An imputation was created for the missing data by substituting the seven cases with the median of household income ($41,859). Offender tactics (e.g. weapon use) had missing data for 30 cases. Imputations were not possible for this variable, and it was not included in the model. 50 Distributions for each variable were assessed for any potential problems. First, lowess graphs were used to explore whether there were curvilinear relationships between the continuous independent variables (e.g. age, time between exam and assault, and income) and the dependent variables. The lowess graphs showed that curvilinear relationships did not exist between the continuous independent and the dependent variables. Second, histograms and skew statistics were examined, and indicated distributional problems for two variables: age, and time between assault and exam. The skew for age was 2.317, and had kurtosis of 7.795. A log transformation was applied to age, which improved the skew (1.035), and kurtosis (1.001). The skew for time between assault and exam was 2.082, and had kurtosis of 4.294. A log transformation was applied to this variable, which improved the skew (.503) and kurtosis (-537). Histograms and lowess graphs of the transformed variables were examined, and also indicated improvement in the distributions. After transforming the two variables, the data were assessed again for multivariate outliers. Using Mahalanobis distance with p<.001, one case was no longer a multivariate outlier, while one case remained a multivariate outlier. Again, analyses were conducted for the referring and warranting models with and without the remaining multivariate outlier case included in the models. Including the multivariate outlier case did not impact the results, and thus, the case remained in the models. Research Question #1: Rates of Case Attrition The first research question in this study was: To what extent do rape cases processed by a SANE program move forward in the legal system? Specifically, this study examined the rates of referral, warranting, and case outcomes for rape cases examined in a SANE program. Descriptive data were collected to document how many cases were 1) 51 referred by the police; 2) warranted by prosecutors; 3) prosecuted; and 4) resulted in conviction. Of the 185 reported cases examined in this study, less than half were referred by the police, and only 25% were prosecuted (see Figure 3 for case attrition at each stage of the legal system). 52 Figure 3 Case Attrition at Each Stage of the Legal System 1 185 reported cases i 90 referred by the police to the prosecutor (49% of total cases) i 57 warranted by the prosecutor (63% of 90 referred cases) 1 l l (25% of total cases) 47 prosecuted (83% of 57 warranted cases) l [ (31% oftotal cases) 44 resulted in conviction (24% of total cases) (94% of 47 prosecuted cases) l *The average prison sentences ranged from 18 to 34 years. 53 W \ W V F \ K W F N 3 13 2 jail l9 7 deferred probation sentences prison sentences sentences sentences (under 12 sentences“ unknown months) 2% of 7% of 1% of 10% of 4% of total cases total cases total cases total cases total cases 7% of 29.5% of 4.5% of 43% of 16% of convicted convicted convicted convicted convicted cases cases cases cases cases x J K J K J k J \ J Research Question #2: Factors Predicting Case Attrition The second question in this study was: What factors predict case attrition? Specifically, this study explored the extent to which the victim characteristics, case characteristics, or the presence and type of forensic evidence collected by the SAN E nurses predicted case attrition at each stage of the legal system. Furthermore, this phase of the study examined the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in charging decisions relative to victim characteristics and case characteristics. Specifically, this research compared the predictive value of forensic medical evidence relative to victim characteristics and case characteristics in whether a case moved forward in the legal system. To answer these questions, a series of logistic regression analyses were conducted predicting two dependent variables (police referral decisions, and prosecutor warranting decisions) from three sets of independent variables: victim characteristics; case characteristics; and forensic medical evidence. Odds ratios were examined to determine relative importance of each predictor within each model. Referring Model. Prior to analyzing the police referring model, three potential threats to validity were evaluated. In other words, are there other factors besides victim, case, and forensic medical evidence characteristics that influence whether the case is referred? For example, do cases have the same probability of being referred if a nurse with little experience collects evidence compared to a nurse with more experience? Do cases have the same probability of being referred regardless of the law enforcement agency handling the case? To assess whether maturation of nursing skills was a potential confounding variable, the nurse assigned to each case was coded by the number of exams performed during the timeframe of the study. Case experience ranged from one to 129 54 examinations conducted, with a median of 49 exams. A t-test was used to examine the relationship between referring cases (yes/no), and the number of exams the nurse conducted during the timeframe of the study. The t-test was non-significant indicating there was no relationship between police referring and examination experience of the nurses (t = [183] -.75, p=.46). Thus, maturation of nurses’ skills was not included in the model. Second, there has been one high profile rape case in Macomb County that involved a sheriff as the offender and garnered substantial media attention. This may introduce a historical threat that could influence referral decisions. This possibility was assessed by examining police referring decisions before and after the high profile case occurred. A dichotomous variable (before high profile case/after high profile case) was created. Chi-Square analyses were used to assess whether there was a significant relationship between case referral and time of the high profile case; this test was non- significant ()6: [1] .549, p=.46). The third potential threat to validity was examined by exploring differences between individual law enforcement agencies and case referral. Nineteen law enforcement agencies made referral decisions for rape cases, ranging from 1 to 39 reported cases per agency. Three characteristics of law enforcement agencies were examined: reported rape case volume; reported crime volume; and the communities’ median household income of the law enforcement agencies. Agencies with fewer reported rape cases may have less experience to hone their investigation skills. On the other hand, agencies with a high volume of rape cases may have more barriers to providing quality investigations, such as investigator burnout, or lack of resources (Kerstetter & Van Winkle, 1990). To assess rape case volume, the law enforcement agencies were dichotomized by the median number of rapes reported to Macomb County 55 law enforcement agencies. This information was obtained from the 2001 Uniform Crime Report from Michigan State Police. Reported rapes ranged from 0 to 143, with a median of 36. Law enforcement agencies that had low volume of reported rapes (36 or less) were coded zero, and those that had high volume of reported rapes (more than 36) were coded one. Chi-Square analysis was used to examine the relationship between police referring, and rape case volume. No significant relationships were found among these variables (x = [1, N=183] .01, p=.92). Similarly, reported crime volume of the law enforcement agencies was also examined. To assess the volume of reported crimes, the law enforcement agencies were dichotomized by the median number of crimes reported in Macomb County law enforcement agencies. This information was obtained from the 2001 Uniform Crime Report from Michigan State Police. Reported crimes ranged from 21 to 5346, with a median of 866. Law enforcement agencies that had low volume of reported crimes (866 or less) were coded as zero, and those that had high volume of reported crimes (more than 866) were coded one. Chi-Square analysis was used to examine the relationship between police referring, and reported crime volume. No significant relationships were found among these variables (x2 [1, N=183] .08, p=.78). Case attrition may also be influenced by the available resources within the law enforcement agency (Frazier & Haney, 1996). Because law enforcement agency budgets were unavailable, resources for the law enforcement agencies were characterized by the median household income for their city/ township. The median household income for each city or township was obtained from the United States 2000 Census. Median household income ranged from $32,000 to $69,000, with a median of $49,000. Law enforcement agencies that had communities with low household income ($49,000 or less) 56 were coded as zero, and those that had communities with high household income (more $49,000) were coded one. Chi-Square analysis was used to examine the relationship between police referring cases, and the communities’ median household of the law enforcement agencies. The Chi-Square Statistic was significant, indicating that cases from communities with lower household incomes were more likely to be referred (12 [1 , N=184] = 4.823, p<.05). Thus, law enforcement agencies (as defined by their community’s median household income) may predict police referrals, and was included in the referring model. Table 6 features the results summary for the referring model. The predictor variables were entered into blocks organized by victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence. The first column displays the outcome variable and the predictor variables. The second column (with the heading B) features the logistic coefficient, which represents the change in the logit (natural log of the odds) of the outcome variable associated with a one-unit difference in the predictor variable (Fields, 2000; Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001). The third column represents the Wald statistic, which is a z-test on the regression weight(B), and has a Chi-Square distribution. The fourth column displays the odds ratio, which can be interpreted as the multiplicative change in the odds of being in one outcome category verses the other when the value of the predictor increases by one unit (Tabachnick & Fidel], 2001). The fifth column shows the 95% confidence interval of the odds ratio. The last line of each block features the Chi-Square Difference test, which evaluates if significant improvement in equation fit to the data occurred in the present block compared to the last block. 57 Predictors were organized into conceptually meaningful blocks including victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence. However, univariate analyses showed a potential threat to validity existed between individual law enforcement agencies and case referral. Thus, the first block only included law enforcement agencies (from low—income communities/high—income communities) in order to control for the effect of this variable in future blocks. The Wald Statistic indicated that law enforcement agencies did not significantly predict police referring cases. The Model-Chi-Square was not significant in this equation, meaning that overall the model was not predicting police referral significantly better than it was with only the constant included. The second block includes all victim characteristics expected to predict police referring cases. Controlling for the effects of law enforcement agencies, the Wald Statistic indicates that victims’ age, race, disability status, and median household income do not significantly predict police referring cases. The Model-Chi-Square was not significant in this equation meaning this set of predictors did not significantly predict police referral. The third block includes all case characteristics expected to predict police referring cases. Controlling for the effects of law enforcement agencies and victim characteristics, the Wald Statistic indicates that some case characteristic significantly predicted police referring cases including alcohol/drug use by victims, and the type of penetration. The results of the odds ratio indicated that cases in which victims were consuming alcohol or drugs before or during the assault decreased the odds of the case being referred by 34%. Cases in which the offender penetrated more than one orifice of the victim were 5.56 times more likely to be referred than cases in which the victim did 58 not know what occurred during the rape (e. g. victim was unconscious). In addition, cases in which the offender was an intimate partner or family member were somewhat more likely to be referred than when the offender was an acquaintance (2.41 times as likely, p=.08). The Model-Chi-Square was significant (Model x2=35.977, p<.01) in this block, meaning that this set of predictors was able to significantly predict police referral. In addition, this group of predictors was overall able to correctly classify police referral for 65% of the cases. The fourth block includes all forensic medical evidence expected to predict police referring cases. Controlling for the effects of law enforcement agencies, and victim and case characteristics, the Wald Statistic indicates two types of forensic medical evidence significantly predicted police referring cases: anogenital bruises and abrasions. The results of the odds ratio indicated that cases with documented anogenital bruises were 6.27 times more likely to be referred. Cases with documented anogenital abrasions were 5.11 times more likely to be referred. The Model-Chi-Square was significant (Model x2=60.484, p<.01) in this block meaning that this set of predictors was able to significantly predict police referral. With the addition of the forensic medical evidence predictors, the model was overall able to classify correctly police referral for 74% of the C3865. 59 Table 6 Logistic Regression Analyses Predicting Police Referring Cases to Prosecutor. N:|41 Block One Block Two Block Three Block Four Predictor ()dds Odds Odds Odds B Wald Ratio 95% Cl [3 Wald Ratio 9512 C1 B Wald Ratio 05% (‘1 [3 Wald Ratio 95% C1 Law Enforcement Agency 0.52 2.43 0.59 0.31— 40.57 2.66 0.56 0.28-1.12 —().83 4.34:“ 0.44 0.20-0.95 0.77 2.84“? .46 .19—1.14 1 . 14 Victim Characteristics A80 ().2| .15 1.23 0.43—3.58 —0. 16 0.06 085 0.25—2.95 «.48 .44 .62 .15-2.54 Race - -0.42 .86 0.66 0.27—1.60 0.24 0.21 1.28 0.45—3.61 .14 .05 1.15 .35—3.76 Median household income _0.40 .81 0.67 0.28—1.60 —().69 1.83 0.50 0.19—1.36 :75 1.70 .47 .15—1.46 Disability status 0.00 .12 1.00 098.102 0.01 1.22 1.01 0.99—1.04 .03 3.7513 1.03 1.00—1.06 Case characteristics Victim used drugs/alcohol —1.08 0.34 0.15—0.77 - 1.40 8.55:“: .25 .10—.63 Single 13011011311011 0.60 607.33 1.82 0.54-61 l .38 .30 1.46 .38-563 Multiple penetration 1.72 5.56 1.64— 1.89 6.83M 6.62 1.60— 7.623“? 18.81 27.33 RaPEd by stranger —0. 14 0.08 0.87 0.34—2.23 -. 15 .06 .86 .28—2.71 Raped by intimate/familial 0.88 3.091’ 2.41 0.90—6.42 1.00 3.28% 2.73 928.09 Delay in exam -0.22 1.07 0.80 0.52—1.22 —.61 553* .54 .33—.90 Physical injury Redness .04 .01 1.04 .30—3.65 Bruises .41 .71 1.50 .58—3.89 Abrasions .30 .36 1.35 .50—366 Other .03 .00 1.03 .32-3.31 Anogenital injury Redness .80 2.60 2.23 .84—5.89 Tears :94 1.98 .39 .11—1.45 . * - Bru1ses 1.84 5.11 6.27 3102:1 - *4: _ Abrasrons 1.63 8.19 5.1 1 1156g0 Other -1.07 1.83 .34 .07—1.62 Trace evidence 1.25 2.35 3.51 .71—17.43 ‘x. )6 Difference 2.45 1.95 31 .58M 24.507M *p<.05, **p<.01. 1‘p<. 10 60 Chi-Square differences tests were used to evaluate the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in charging decisions relative to victim characteristics and case characteristics. Do police place more emphasis on forensic medical evidence in their decisions to refer cases than victim and case characteristics? Table 7 displays the value of -2 log likelihood the differences in the Chi-Square among each set of predictors entered into logistic regression (Fields, 2000). Lower values of -2 log-likelihood indicate that the model is predicting the outcome variable more accurately. The Chi-Square difference statistic indicates the improvement in the predictive power of the model since the last stage. As shown in Table 7, the value of the -2 log-likelihood for the constant model was only 206.55, which was reduced to 204.102 when law enforcement agencies was added, then reduced to 202.149 when victim characteristics were introduced, then reduced to 170.574 when case characteristics were added, and finally reduced to 146.068 with the addition of forensic medical evidence in the model. Based on the -2 log-likelihood test, the model is better at predicting police referral with the addition of forensic medical evidence predictors. In evaluating the Chi-Square difference, the addition of law enforcement agencies, and victim characteristics did not significantly improve the predictive power of the model. The addition of case characteristics significantly improved the predictive power of the model ()6 difference = 31.575, p<.01). Furthermore, the addition of forensic medical evidence also significantly improved the predictive power of the model (3;2 difference = 24.507, p<.01). Thus, forensic medical evidence provides more predictive value in referring cases than victim and case characteristics. 61 Table 7 Chi-Square Difference Test for Types of Predictors for Police Decisions Predictors -2 Log likelihood )6 Difference Law Enforcement Agencies 204.102 2.449 Victims Characteristics 202.149 1.953 Age Race Disability status Median household income Case Characteristics 170.574 3 1 .575 * * Alcohol/drugs used before/after the rape Type of penetration Victim/offender relationship Delay in exam Forensic Medical Evidence 146.068 24.507" Physical redness Physical bruises Physical abrasions Physical other Anogenital redness Anogenital tears Anogenital bruises Anogenital abrasions Anogenital other Trace evidence * * p<.01 In hierarchical regression, the significance of each predictor is typically evaluated in the block in which it was entered into the equation. However, when new predictors are added in subsequent blocks, the significance of previous predictors may change (i.e. some variables that are non—significant become significant and vice versa). Therefore, it is necessary to examine the previous predictors in greater detail as new predictors are 62 added to the model. For example, when case characteristics were added to the model, the significance of law enforcement agencies changed. While law enforcement agencies were not significant in earlier blocks, adding case characteristics changed law enforcement agencies to become significant. Specifically, higher income law enforcement agencies had 44% lower odds of being referred relative to cases from lower income agencies. To examine why the addition of case characteristics would change the significance of the law enforcement agencies, univariate analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between law enforcement agencies and case characteristics. These analyses did not find any significant relationships between these predictors (see Table 8). Yet, when forensic medical evidence was added to the model, the significance of law enforcement agencies changed to a trend (p=.09). The addition of forensic medical evidence also changed the significance of two other predictors. First, the addition of forensic medical evidence influenced the median household of victims to become a trend, which was originally non-significant. However, the results of the odds ratio indicated that there was virtually no effect (odds ratio = 1.027). Second, the addition of forensic medical evidence influenced time between the assault and exam to become significant. Specifically, for every unit (transformed hour) between the assault and exam, the odds of the case being referred decreased by 54%. To examine why the addition of forensic medical evidence would change the significance of time between the assault and exam, t- tests were conducted to examine the relationship between injuries and time between the assault and the exam. These analyses did not find any significant relationships between these predictors. 63 Table 8 Relationship between Law Enforcement Agencies and Case Characteristics of Referred Cases All Referred Referred Test of Significance Referred Cases in Cases in “Low Income LE Cases Low High Agency” vs. “High Income Income Income LE Agency” LE LE for Referred Cases Agencies Agencies n = 90 n = 49 n = 41 Victim used drugs/alcohol 42% 45% 39% NS Single Penetration 39% 39% 39% NS Multiple Penetration 54% 53% 56% NS Unknown Penetration 7% 8% 5% NS Raped by stranger 17% 21% 12% NS Raped by intimate/familial 32% 28% 37% NS Raped by acquaintance 51% 51% 51% NS Time between assault and 2.38 2.33 2.42 NS exam 64 Further analyses were conducted to examine if a combination of case characteristic predictors changed the significance of law enforcement agencies. The logistic regression equation was reanalyzed by adding different combinations of case characteristic into the block to determine which combination of predictors changed the significance level of law enforcement agencies. The effect of law enforcement agencies increased and became significant (p=.02) when type of penetration and victim/offender relationship were entered into the case characteristic block. Analyses were also conducted to examine if a combination of forensic medical evidence predictors changed the significance of law enforcement agencies. Again, several different combinations of forensic medical evidence predictors were entered into the forensic medical evidence block to assess which combination of predictors changed the significance level of law enforcement agencies. The analyses showed that the effect of law enforcement agencies became significant (p=.04) when only physical redness, other types of physical injury, anogenital tears, anogenital bruises, other types of anogenital injury, and trace evidence were added to the forensic medical evidence block. To examine why the addition of forensic medical evidence would change the significance of time between the assault and exam, several combinations of forensic medical evidence predictors were entered into the forensic medical evidence block. The effect of time between assault and exam became significant (p=.04) when only physical abrasion, physical redness, anogenital redness, and anogenital abrasion were entered into the forensic medical evidence block. Warranting model. Another series of logistic regression equations were performed to explore whether victim characteristics, case characteristics, or the presence and type of forensic medical evidence collected by the SANE nurses predicts prosecutors warranting 65 cases. Only 90 cases were referred to the prosecutors, which drastically reduced the sample size of the warranting model. The sample size of the warranting model exceeds the rules for events (i.e. predictors) to subjects ratio. With a sample size of 90, the number of predictors needed to be decreased to 8 to achieve stability for detecting a large effect (Green, 1991). Hosmer and Lemshow (2000) suggest dropping variables that have no predictive value. Therefore, variables that did not show a significant relationship with police referral were dropped (age, race, disability status, median household income, physical redness, other types of physical injury, anogenital redness, other types of anogenital injury, and trace evidence found on victims’ body) with one exception. Discussions with key informants reported that prosecutors were more likely to warrant cases in which the victim had documented physical injury. Although none of the physical injury subtypes were significant in the police referring model, two of them were included in the warranting model. Because the key informants suggested that physical bruises and abrasions were important in prosecution, these two physical injury subtypes were included in the warranting model. One final predictor was dropped from the warranting model. Dummy coding was used to examine type of penetration: single penetration, multiple penetration, and penetration unknown by the victim due to being unconscious (served as reference). In the referring model, 17% of cases involved penetration unknown by the victim. However, the warranting model only contained 7% of cases involving unknown penetration. A preliminary analysis showed that type of penetration had large unstable parameters when added to the warranting model due to the low number of cases involving unknown penetration, and therefore this variable was dropped from the model. The final predictors included in the warranting model included: alcohol/drugs used before 66 or during the assault, victim offender relationship, time between assault and exam, physical bruises and abrasions, and anogenital bruises and abrasions. Prior to analyses, three potential threats to validity were evaluated for the warranting model. The purpose of this exploration was to determine if there are other factors besides victim characteristics, case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence that influenced warranting decisions. For example, do cases have the same probability of being warranted regardless of the prosecutor handling the case? First, to assess validity of maturation of nursing skills as a confounding variable, the nurse assigned to each case was coded by the number of exams performed during the timeframe of the study. A t-test was used to examine the relationship between warranting cases, and the number of exams conducted by the nurses. The t-test did not show a significant relationship between warranting, and examination experience of the nurses (t= [88] -.98, p=.33). Thus, maturation of nursing skills was not included in the model. Second, to examine whether the high profile rape case in Macomb County introduced a historical threat, warranting decisions before and after the high profile case were compared. A dichotomous variable (before high profile case/after high profile case) was created. Chi-Square analysis was used to assess this threat, and did not find a significant relationship between the high profile case with warranting cases ()8 [1, N=90] = 1.188, p=.28). The third potential threat to validity existed between individual prosecutors and warranting decisions. Three prosecutors made warranting decisions for all referred rape cases in the county during the timeframe of the study. The county is divided into three sections, and each prosecutor makes warranting decisions for rapes occurring in their assigned section. Thus, investigators within the same law enforcement agency refer cases 67 to the same prosecutor with one exception. One large law enforcement agency is assigned to two prosecutors due to a high volume of cases. Unfortunately, it was not possible to determine the assigned prosecutor for this law enforcement agency. Thus, 24% of the cases for this variable were missing. A code with three categories was created to distinguish cases processed in these three sections (e.g. area one, area two, area three). Cramér’s V was used to examine the relationship between the three prosecutors, and warranting cases. Cramér’s V is useful in exploring the strength of association between two variables when one of the variables has more than two categorical levels (Pett, 1997). Cramér’s V did not show a significant relationship between assigned prosecutors and warranting cases (x,2 = 2.366, p=.19, Crame'r’s V =.19). An additional analysis was conducted examining the relationship between prosecutors and warranting cases. Key informants reported that they expected one particular prosecutor to warrant more cases, and to make warranting decisions based on different criteria than the other two prosecutors. In particular, they noted that this prosecutor was more likely to warrant cases even if there was no documented injury. Key informants believed that this prosecutor made decisions unique to the other prosecutors because of having more experience prosecuting rape cases, receiving more specialized training, and engaging in collaborations with the local rape crisis center as well as the local sexual assault nurse examiner program. Therefore, a dichotomous variable (experienced prosecutor/less experienced prosecutors) was created to examine the relationship between the experienced prosecutor and warranting cases. Fortunately, the section assigned to the experienced prosecutor does not involve the large law enforcement agency split among two prosecutors. Thus, this new variable did not have 68 missing data. Using Chi-Square analysis, a significant relationship between the experience of the prosecutors and warranting was not found. Based on these univariate analyses, assigned prosecutors and the prosecutor experience variable were not included in the model (712 [1, N=90] = .627, p=.43). Predictors were organized into conceptually meaningful blocks including case characteristics, and forensic medical evidence. The first block included case characteristics expected to predict prosecutors warranting cases (see Table 9). The Wald Statistic indicates that none of the case characteristic significantly predicted prosecutors warranting cases. The Model-Chi-Square was not significant in this equation meaning that this set of predictors was not able to significantly predict warranting. 69 cfiVnfi. JoVPI. .mo.VQ* .53: end oosocobmu «x modémd owd Ed mmd- 2285.6: cc. 736 $3 2: oz. mommam SE 33822 3.5 ~ -o ~ ._ m: ... I; 21 338.252 No.o-mo.o S6 434.0 cod- mommam has samba 3.23 of we; :3 me. :2 86 8o :3. use 5 6:5 8.6-23 8; S... Rd 8.33 of 23 3o Ezsateséea 3 Beam 8.8-98 8a :6 $6 8.2-63 42 on; 3o 85:... 3 685 68.986 moo .88 9.. _- em. :3 :8 e3 26. 65838.5 ea: 83> mowmtoaowbfio ommo 03mm 2me 5 $3 $60 263 m 5 $3 £60 255 m 88%on 93 82m 25 82m om“ Z £25885 c8 mommu meta—«53 cousoomoiwcwfiwocm mowing commmocwom otmmwoq o 2an 7O The second block includes forensic medical evidence expected to predict prosecutors warranting cases. The Wald Statistic indicates two types of forensic medical evidence significantly predicting prosecutors warranting cases: physical bruises and abrasions. The results of the odds ratio indicated that documented physical bruises decreased the odds of the case being warranted by 12%. Cases with documented physical abrasions were 4.45 times more likely to be warranted. The Model-Chi-Square was marginally significant (Model x =15.357, p=.05) in this block meaning that this set of predictors was somewhat able to predict prosecutors warranting cases. Furthermore, this group of predictors was overall able to correctly classify prosecutors warranting for 75% of the cases. Chi-Square differences among each set of predictors was used to evaluate the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in warranting decisions relative to case . characteristics. Do prosecutors place more emphasis on forensic medical evidence in their decisions to warrant cases than case characteristics? Table 10 displays the value of -2 log likelihood and the differences in the Chi-Square among each set of predictors entered into logistic regression. As shown in Table 10, the value of the -2 log-likelihood for the constant was 100.101, which was reduced to 94.742 when case characteristics were added, and finally reduced to 84.744 with the addition of forensic medical evidence in the model. Based on the -2 log-likelihood test, the model is better at predicting prosecutors warranting with the addition of forensic medical evidence predictors. In evaluating the Chi-Square difference, the addition of case characteristics did not significantly improve the predictive power of the model. The addition of forensic medical evidence significantly improved the predictive power of the model (x2 difference = 10.00, p<.05). 71 Thus, forensic medical evidence provided more predictive value for warranting than did case characteristics. Table 10 Chi-Square Difference Test for Types of Predictors for Prosecutor Decisions Predictors -2 Log likelihood )6 Difference Case Characteristics 94.742 5.359 Alcohol/drugs used before/after the rape Victim/offender relationship Delay in exam Forensic Medical Evidence 84.744 9998* Physical bruises Physical abrasions Anogenital bruises Anogenital abrasions * p<.05 As previously mentioned, the significance of predictors is typically evaluated in the block in which they were entered into the equation. However, when new predictors are added in subsequent blocks, the significance of previous predictors may change. Therefore, previous predictors were examined in greater detail as new predictors were added to the model. The addition of forensic medical evidence to the model influenced one case characteristic to become significant. While alcohol/drugs used by the victim was not a significant predictor in the first block (case characteristics), it became significant when forensic medical evidence was added to the model. The results of the odds ratio indicated that victim’s consumption of alcohol/drugs before or during the assault decreased the odds of the case being warranted by 23%. Univariate analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between alcohol and forensic medical evidence 72 (e. g. physical and anogenital injuries) to help explain this finding. Chi-Square Statistic found a significant relationship between physical bruises, and alcohol/drug use. Cases in which the victim was using alcohol/drugs had significantly less injury than cases in which the victim was not using alcohol/drugs (x2 [1, N=53] = 4.44, p<.05). This relationship may have influenced alcohol/drug use to become significant when forensic medical evidence was added to the model. Further analyses were conducted to examine if a combination of forensic medical evidence predictors changed the significance of alcohol/drug use. The logistic regression equation was reanalyzed by adding various combinations of forensic medical evidence into the block to determine which combination of predictors changed the significance level of alcohol and drug use by the victim. Alcohol/drug use became significant (p=.02) when type of physical bruise, physical abrasion, anogenital bruise, and anogenital abrasion were entered into the forensic medical evidence block. One unexpected finding also required further analyses. Previous research indicates that cases are more likely to be warranted if the victim sustained injury (Chandler & Tomey, 1981; Spears et al., 2001). However, cases with documented physical bruises were significantly less likely to be warranted in the model. Interviews with key informants reported that one particular prosecutor was more likely to warrant cases even when there was no documented injury. Therefore, univariate analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between physical bruises, and experience of prosecutors. Did the experienced prosecutor warrant cases with significantly more/less physical bruises? Chi-Square Statistic did not find any significant relationships or trends between these variables (x’= [1, N=90] 1.688, p=. l 9). 73 Further analyses were conducted to explore the relationship between all three prosecutors, and physical bruises. First, univariate analyses were conducted to examine the relationships between the three prosecutors and warranted cases with physical bruises. Did any of the prosecutors warrant cases with significantly more/less physical bruises? Cramér’s V was chosen for this analysis because of its useful in exploring the strength of association between two variables when one of the variables has more than two categorical levels (Pett, 1997). A trend (p=.11) was found between the three prosecutors and physical bruises. In particular, 80% of the cases warranted by one prosecutor had physical bruises but only 41% and 44% of cases warranted by the other prosecutors had physical bruises (x2=4.442, p=.11, Cramér’s V=.33). A second univariate analysis was conducted to examine the relationships between prosecutors and physical bruises for a_ll m cases received by the prosecutors. The purpose of this analysis was to evaluate significant difference in the number of documented physical bruises among the gag meg by the three prosecutors. Did any of the individual prosecutors receive significantly more cases with physical bruises than their colleagues? The analysis showed no significant difference in the number of cases with physical bruises received by the three prosecutors (x2=3.946, p=.14, Cramér’s V=. 16). This suggests that no significant differences existed in the number of received cases with physical bruises among the three prosecutors. However, there was a slight difference in the number of cases warranted with physical bruises among the three prosecutors. Overall, one prosecutor tended to warrant a smaller proportion of assigned cases than the other prosecutors, and the majority of the warranted cases by this prosecutor had documented bruises. Thus, it may 74 be possible that this combination of the lower warrant rate and greater reliance on bruises may have produced the decreased odds in cases with bruises being warranted. 75 DISCUSSION The first goal of this research was to examine the rates of referral, warranting, and case outcomes for rape cases examined in a SANE program. Most prior research on rape case attrition was conducted in the 19805, and has primarily examined later stages (e. g. warranting) of case processing. This study offered a more refined analysis by focusing on earlier stages of processing when cases are likely to be filtered out of the legal system. Furthermore, this research expanded the literature by focusing on cases processed through a SAN E program, which in other studies have been found to create significant changes in the way communities respond to rape. The second goal of this research was to examine whether the presence and type of forensic medical evidence collected by the SANE nurses predicts case attrition. Previous studies on the factors that predict case attrition have not examined the nuances of forensic evidence (e. g. type of injury). This study expanded the literature by examining how the presence of specific types of physical and anogenital injury predicted whether cases move forward in the legal system. Previous literature has also found that victim and case characteristics predict whether rape cases move forward in each step of the legal system. This study expanded the literature by comparing the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in cases being referred or warranted relative to victim characteristics and case characteristics. This is important because it is unlikely that cases are referred or warranted based on only one particular evidentiary, victim, or case characteristic. Summary of Major Findings Case attrition. The first focus of the study explored the extent to which rape cases processed by a SANE program moved forward in the legal system. The results showed 76 that 49% of reported cases processed by the SAN E program were referred by the police. This finding is somewhat higher than previous studies examining rape case attrition in cases not processed by SAN E programs (see Appendix E for comparison between published attrition rates and attrition rates of current study). The literature suggests that only 41% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) to 44% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) of rape cases were referred in the 19803, while more recent studies found that only 18% (Bouffard, 2000) to 22% (Frazier & Haney, 1996) of rape cases were referred. In this study of the reported cases processed by the SAN E program, 25% were prosecuted. This result is also slightly higher than past studies examining rape case attrition of non-SAN E cases. For example, previous literature found that only 16% (Frazier & Haney, 1996) to 18% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) of all reported cases were prosecuted. In addition, the findings of this study indicated that 24% of the reported cases resulted in conviction (i.e. plea-bargain or guilty verdict). This rate is higher than past studies that found that only 7% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) to 17% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) of reported (non-SANE) cases resulted in conviction. The current study also showed that only 11% of reported cases ended with prison sentences. This sentencing rate is slightly greater than previous studies, which found that only 6% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) to 9% (LaFree, 1980) of the reported cases resulted in prison sentences. The results of this study suggest that referral, prosecution, conviction, and prison sentencing rates are somewhat higher in the focal SAN E program compared to published rates in non-SANE cases. There have been few studies that have examined rape case attrition rates in cases processed by SAN E programs. Ledray (1992) documented attrition rates for SAN E cases processed in Minneapolis, and found attrition rates similar to the current study. Of all 77 reported cases processed in the Minneapolis SAN E program, 46% were referred by police, and 32% were prosecuted. The referral rate in the current study was also similar to the referral rate found in the only empirical study to date that has examined attrition rates before and after the implementation of a SANE program. Crandall and Helitzer (2003) found that only 38% of the rapes cases were referred prior to implementing the SANE program, while 50% of the rape cases were referred for warranting after the implementation of the SANE program. However, the prosecution rates in Crandall and Helitzer’s (2003) study were higher than the current study. They found that 25% of the reported cases were prosecuted before the implementation of the SAN E program, while 34% of the reported SAN E cases were prosecuted afier the implementation of the SANE program. The referral rates for the current study (49%) are similar to the published rates for referral of cases processed by SAN E programs (42% & 50%). However, the prosecution rates of the current study (25%) are less than the published rates for prosecution of SANE cases (32% & 34%). Police referring. The second focus of the study examined the factors that predict police referring rape cases to prosecutors, and the relative predictive value of forensic medical evidence, victim characteristics, and case characteristics in police referral decisions. With respect to victim characteristics, this study found that age, race, and household income did not predict police referral. This is consistent with previous studies that did not find a relationship between race of victims and cases being referred (Frazier & Haney, 1996; Bouffard, 2000), but is inconsistent with previous findings regarding victim age and income. Previous studies suggested that police were less likely to refer cases with younger women because they view them as more suspicious and believed that 78 younger victims were likely to fabricate or instigate the rape (Rose & Randall, 1982). Furthermore, prior literature indicated that police display class prejudice for victims who hold lower class status as well as victims who hold upper class status and hold stereotypes towards those who live in particular economically homogenous areas (Rose & Randall, 1982). Prior research to date has never examined the role of the victim’s disability on legal outcomes. The current study showed that victims with disabilities were no more, or less, likely to have their cases referred by the police. The second set of predictors examined was case characteristics. The length of time between the assault and exam did not predict police referral. However, some case characteristics significantly predicted police referral. First, drug or alcohol use by the victim before or during the assault significantly decreased police referral by 34%. This finding was consistent with the majority of studies examining the relationship between alcohol and drug use and police referral (Kerstetter, 1990; Campbell, 1998). Second, cases in which offenders penetrated more than one orifice of the victim were six times more likely to be referred than cases in which victims were unaware of what occurred due to being unconscious or blacking out. While previous literature has focused on the presence or absence of penetration, this study is the first to date that explored how the type of penetration may affect case attrition. Third, cases in which the offender was an intimate partner or family member were somewhat more likely to be referred than when the offender was an acquaintance. To date, prior studies have not examined referral rates between intimate/familial relationships and acquaintances. Past research has focused mainly on comparing rapes committed by strangers to rapes committed by all offenders known to victims (i.e. combining intimate, familial, and acquaintances into one group). 79 These studies had mixed results with some studies indicating that stranger cases were more likely to be referred (Kerstetter, 1990; Frazier & Haney, 1996), while other studies indicated that cases in which the offenders knew the victims were more likely to be referred (Bouffard, 2000). The current study did not find stranger cases referred significantly more or less often than acquaintance cases. The third set of predictors examined was forensic medical evidence. The findings suggest that physical injuries do not predict police referral. However, two types of anogenital injuries did predict police referring cases. First, cases with documented anogenital bruises were six times more likely to be referred. Second, cases with documented anogenital abrasions were five times more likely to be referred. While other research has examined the relationship between the presence of injury and referral, those studies did not examine the nature of the injuries (e.g. physical, anogenital). Prior research has suggested that police refer cases more often if victims were injured (Galton, 1976; Rose & Randall, 1982); but only one study has explored anogenital injury and referring. Kerstetter (1990) interviewed twenty detectives and found that they were more likely to refer cases if the victim endured injuries to her sex organs. The current study also supported the finding that anogenital injury was an important factor in police offrcers’ decision-making on referring cases. Furthermore, the current study expanded this finding by showing that the subtypes of anogenital injury (e. g. abrasion) also were important factors in referring cases. The current study also explored the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in police referral decisions relative to victim and case characteristics. The findings show that forensic medical evidence provided more predictive value in referring cases than victim and case characteristics. This finding is 80 similar to that of a prior study that indicated that cases with physical evidence had a higher probability of referral even when the victim’s credibility was questioned (Rose & Randall, 1982). Warranting. The third focus of the study examined the factors that predict whether cases are warranted for prosecution. The first set of predictors examined was case characteristics. The findings suggest alcohol or drug use by the victim, the relationship between the victim and offender, and the length of time between the assault and exam did not predict prosecutors warranting rape cases. These findings were inconsistent with prior studies that showed that the role of victim alcohol and drug use before or during the rape decreases the probability that cases are warranted (Chandler & Tomey, 1981; Spears & Spohn, 1996; Frohmann, 1997). Prior studies have yielded mixed findings on warranting cases and the relationship between the victim and offender. This study is consistent with the majority of studies that did not find a significant relationship between warranting and the victim offender relationship (Bachman, 1998; Spohn & Homey, 1993; Spears & Spohn, 1996, 1997). However, other studies have indicated that prosecutors were less likely to warrant cases when the victim was a relative of the offender (Bradmiller & Walters, 1985), and more likely to warrant cases when the victim and offender were acquaintances (Spears, Beichner, and Davis-Frenzel, 2001). The final set of predictors examined was forensic medical evidence. The findings suggest that anogenital injuries do not predict warranting. However, two types of physical injuries did predict warranting. First, cases with documented physical abrasions were four times more likely to be warranted. This finding is consistent with prior research that suggest that documented injuries is predictive of cases moving firrther through the 81 criminal justice system (Chandler & Tomey, 1981; Feldman-Summers & Palmers, 1980; Frazier & Haney, 1996; Martin & Powell, 1995; Spohn & Spears, 1997; Spohn, Beichner, & Davis-Frenzal, 2001). However, the current study found that documented physical bruises decreased the odds of the case being warranted by 12%, which is not consistent with prior research. Further univariate analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between physical bruises, and the three prosecutors assigned to the cases. Findings suggested that while one prosecutor tended to warrant mostly cases with documented physical bruises, the other two prosecutors warranted cases both with and without physical bruises. This finding suggests that warranting may be influenced by characteristics of the prosecutors making the decisions in addition to evidentiary characteristics. This study also explored the predictive value of forensic medical evidence in warranting decisions relative to case characteristics. The findings show that forensic medical evidence significantly provides more value in predicting warranting than case characteristics. That is, prosecutors base their warranting decisions more on forensic medical evidence than the characteristics of the case. Implication of Findings Results from this study indicate that rates of referral, prosecution, conviction, and prison sentences were somewhat higher in the focal SAN E program compared to published rates in non-SANE cases. These findings imply that SANE programs may reduce case attrition. There are several components of SAN E programs that may contribute to cases moving further in the system. First, sexual assault nurse examiners receive specialized training in assessment of injuries, identifying patterned injury, documentation of injuries, and using specialized equipment to assess injuries (Cohen et 82 col. al., 1996; Ledray, 1998). This training may increase the probability of injuries being detected and properly documented, and thus, increases the probability of cases moving forward in the legal system. In addition, the quality of the medical report may affect case attrition. Crandall and Helitzer (2003) interviewed law enforcement and prosecutors and found that the SANE forensic medical reports were more reliable, easier to read, more efficiently transferred to their office, and more effective in court than the forensic medical records prior to the implementation of SANE. Thus, increased accessibility of the forensic medical report and trust of the documented evidentiary findings may have reduced case attrition. Second, nurse examiners are trained to provide expert witness testimony to explain the documented injuries or normalize the absence of injury during the trial. It may be possible that police and prosecutors are more willing to forward cases when expert witness testimony is available to explain the medical findings to jurors and judges. This may be particularly true in cases in which it is anticipated that jurors may not deem the victim to be a credible witness. Third, previous research has suggested that SANE programs improve collaboration between the legal and medical system (Crandall & Helitzer, 2003). Specifically, nurse examiners provide training and case consultation for police and prosecutors to increase their understanding of medical evidence findings (Littel, 2001). Furthermore, training and consultation is also an opportunity to normalize the absence of injuries. That is, the absence of injuries does not indicate that the rape was fabricated. Fourth, prior research suggests that the time police spend waiting for the evidence collection to be completed was greatly reduced because SAN E programs only provide 83 services to rape victims (Crandall & Helitzer, 2003). Reduced waiting time provides officers with more time to investigate cases. This is important because previous studies have found that time constraints may influence police to refer only cases most likely to result in conviction (Frazier & Haney, 1996; Kerstetter & Van Winkle 1990; Madigan & Gamble, 1991; Martin & Powell, 1995). For example, one study found that officers sympathized with victims but their obligation to build a case, establish probable cause, prepare a victim for court along with their time and energy constraints discouraged them from referring the case (Martin & Powell, 1995). Thus, this extra time to investigate cases may have increased the number of cases referred. Fifih, the goal of SANE programs is to provide supportive care to victims (Amdt, 1988). Anecdotal evidence suggests that SAN Es provide more compassionate treatment of victims than traditional emergency room personnel. Providing compassionate care to victims may increase the number of victims continuing to participate in the prosecution of their case. However, it remains unknown if SANE programs truly provide more compassionate care of victims than traditional emergency room personnel, and how this compassionate care influences attrition rates. Further research is needed to understand if and how these components of SAN E programs affect case attrition and the decision- making process of police and prosecutors. Prior research has indicated that police base their referring decisions in part on characteristics of the victim. In particular, police have rejected cases if they did not think the victim would make a credible witness, even if they believed the rape occurred (F rohmann, 1997; Spears & Spohn, 1997). The literature further suggests that the perception of victim credibility is partially based on characteristics of the victim such as 84 age, race, and social status. However, findings from the current study suggest that victim characteristics do not predict police referring cases. These findings imply that police are determining their referral decisions based on factors other than victim characteristics. While these indices of victim credibility did not predict police referral, some of the case characteristics that predicted police referral could be considered indicators of victim credibility. For example, alcohol and drug use by the victim significantly predicted police referral. Schuller and Stewart (2000) surveyed law enforcement officers, and found that they perceived intoxicated victims as less credible, more interested in sexual intercourse, more likely to communicate interest in sex, and more responsible for how far things had progressed. It appears that alcohol and drug use still diminishes the victim’s credibility in the eyes of many law enforcement personnel. Furthermore, police were somewhat more likely to refer cases in which the offender and victim were intimate partners or family members than when the offender and victim were acquaintances (e. g. friend, date). In other words, police are referring cases in which the victim is/was engaged in a serious relationship with or related to the offender but not when the offender is a friend, co- worker, date, etc. The literature suggests that decisions to refer acquaintance rape cases are determined largely by assessing the credibility of victims (Kerstetter & Van Winkle, 1990). Through interviews and observations, Kerstetter (1990) found that police were less likely to refer cases when there was sexually discrediting information about the victim. Furthermore, that study noted that police were less likely to refer the case if the victim violated sex-role norms prior to the rape (e.g. being at home alone with a date; leaving a party with the offender). Thus, it may be possible that police focus more on the behavior of the victim rather than the offender for acquaintance rape cases. Taken 85 together, the findings on victim and case characteristics for this study imply that while police are focusing less on types of victims (e.g. young, lower economic social status), they are still basing their decisions in part on the credibility of the victim. However, case referral was primarily predicted by forensic medical evidence (e. g. anogenital abrasion) rather than victim or case characteristics. Overall, these results imply that police are relying less on indices of credibility (e.g. age, relationship to offender), and more on evidentiary factors (e.g. injuries). Prior research has indicated that prosecutors base their warranting decisions in part on case characteristics, specifically those that judge the credibility of the victim (e. g. alcohol or drug use by the victim) (Spears & Spohn, 1996; Frohmann, 1997). However, the results from this study indicated that case characteristics did not influence warranting. These findings imply that prosecutors are making warranting decisions on factors other than case characteristics. Previous studies indicate that injuries increase the probability of cases being warranting. The current study also supported that finding. In fact, warranting cases was primarily predicted by forensic medical evidence (e. g. physical abrasion) rather than case characteristics. Similar to police, these results suggest that prosecutors are focusing less on indices of credibility (e. g. alcohol or drug use, relationship to offender), and more on evidentiary factors (e. g. injuries). There was one unexpected finding when examining the predictors of prosecutors warranting cases. The study found documented bruises only influenced one prosecutor to warrant cases. This finding suggests that warranting decisions may be influenced by traits of the individual prosecutors making the decisions in addition to evidentiary characteristics. For example, the prosecutor who warranted a high volume of cases with 86 bruises may believe that the absence of injury indicates fabrication, or perhaps feels less confident in “winning” the cases without documented bruises. On the other hand, the prosecutors who warranted cases with less bruises may have more experience prosecuting cases without injuries, and more willing to risk “losing” cases in trial. Furthermore, this differential decision-making could have affected the number of SANE cases being prosecuted. While the prosecution rates of the current study were higher than the published rates of non-SANE cases, the rates were less than the published norms for prosecution of SANE cases. Thus, it may be possible that having one prosecutor base decisions heavily on the presence of injury may have led to a smaller number of cases being prosecuted. This finding illustrates that a great deal of control rests in the hands of individual prosecutors without clear mechanisms to provide oversight of their decisions. Further studies should examine potential factors that may or may not influence individual prosecutors in their warranting decisions such as training, case experience, knowledge of forensic medical evidence, pressure to have high conviction rates, and organizational policies. To date, this is the first study focusing on predictors of case attrition specifically with assaults processed by a SAN E program. In addition to reducing case attrition, the findings of this study also imply that police and prosecutors are focusing more on evidentiary factors of the case than factors regarding the victim’s credibility. It is also important to note that the improved case attrition or a decreased focus on victim’s credibility may result from historical effects not accounted for in this study. The majority of case attrition studies occurred one to two decades ago. During the past decade, the Violence against Women Act was instituted that changed laws regarding prosecution of 87 rape, and increased funding to change the legal system’s response to rape throughout the United States. This funding was aimed to increase training of law enforcement officers and prosecutors to more effectively identify and respond to rape, develop or expand units of law enforcement and prosecutors specifically focusing on rape, and develop and implement more effective police and prosecution policies and protocols in handling rape cases (0.1 P, 2005). These efforts were specifically aimed to improve the response to rape, increase reporting, and reduce case attrition. Therefore, the Violence against Women Act may have contributed to the improvement in case attrition, and may have impacted police and prosecutors focusing less on the credibility of victims and more on evidentiary factors. Limitations of this study Several methodological limitations of this study may mitigate the strength of the conclusions that can be drawn from this work. First, this study did not have a comparison group of cases not processed by a SANE program to examine the unique contribution of SANE programs in improving case attrition. Therefore, there may be other factors related to improving case attrition not accounted for in this study. Comparative studies should be conducted to examine the unique contribution of SAN E programs on case attrition relative to non-SANE cases (e. g. those examined by traditional emergency room personnel). Second, attrition rates and the predictors of case attrition can only be generalized to rape cases that were processed through a SAN E program. Attrition rates and predictors of case attrition may be different for those cases processed in traditional emergency rooms, or those cases in which the victim did not seek medical assistance. 88 Third, there may be some methodological reasons why some of the variables did not significantly predict charging decisions. In the analyses for referral decisions, the power for a continuous predictor was adequate to detect a small effect, but the power for a dichotomous predictor was only adequate to detect a medium effect. Therefore, dichotomous variables with small effects on referring would not have been found in this study. In the analyses for warranting decisions, the power for a continuous predictor was adequate to detect even a small effect, but the power for a dichotomous predictor was only sufficient to detect a large effect. Therefore, dichotomous variables with small to medium effects on warranting would not have been discovered in this study. Fourth, because secondary data analysis was used in this study, the conditions under which the data were originally collected cannot be controlled. Assessing the consistency of the documentation and data entry among the original data collectors (e. g. SANE nurses) cannot be assessed. Although selective recording is a threat to secondary data analysis, the SANE patient chart requires responses to all parts of their medical forms. For example, leaving the section on injury blank is unacceptable in SANE practice; the nurses are required to document that no injury is noted. However, a limitation of their database existed in consistently tracking offender tactics. Because 30 cases had missing data on offender tactics, it was excluded from the study. Thus, this study was not able to examine the role of offender tactics on cases moving forward in the legal system, which previous studies have shown to impact case attrition (Kerstetter 1990; Campbell et al., 2001). A final limitation of this study is that only a small group of all the possible factors that could affect charging decisions were studied. There may be other variables that were not examined in this model that may impact charging decisions. For example, organizational 89 characteristics (e. g. available resources) of law enforcement agencies may influence referring decisions but were not included in this study. Furthermore, characteristics of the offenders may have influenced cases being referred and warranted. Implications for Research and Practice This study can serve as a catalyst for several research projects. First, this study indicates that case attrition of rape case has improved in the last 25 years. However, the reasons for attrition improvement remain unknown. Comparative studies should be conducted to examine the unique contribution of SANE programs on case attrition relative to traditional emergency rooms, as well as cases in which the victim did not seek medical assistance. If future studies do find that SANE programs significantly improve case attrition, a second line of research would examine the components of SANE programs that improve rape case attrition. For example, does collaboration between the SANE program and law enforcement agencies increase cases being referred by the police? If so, why does collaboration increase case referral? Another key research issue raised by these results is why injuries play a more important role in decisions of some prosecutors, and less of a role for others. A third line of research that stems from these findings would involve exploring individual factors (e.g. experience) of prosecutors that influence their decision-making process for warranting rape cases. The findings of this study also have several practice implications for SANE programs. First, specific types of injury increased the probability of cases being forwarded through the legal system. Thus, SANE programs should continue to place strong emphasis in training nurses in accurate assessment and documentation of injury. However, some types of injury did not predict cases going forward in the legal system. 90 For example, anogenital tearing and the injuries listed under “other types of injuries” such as petechiae did not predict referring. It may be possible that law enforcement officers did not understand the nature of these injuries. Thus, consultation with police may be necessary when cases have these types of injuries. It is important to note that while forensic medical evidence primarily predicted referral, some indicators of victim credibility also predicted referral. Therefore, SAN E programs that provide training to law enforcement should include topics on the dynamics of rape (e. g. victim/offender relationships; role of alcohol in rape) to decrease any harmful preconceived beliefs about rape and rape victims. Furthermore, because police also base their decisions on other factors regarding the victim’s credibility (e. g. alcohol use), SAN E programs should be cautious in basing the success of their programs on their rates of prosecution. Instead, SAN E programs should evaluate program impact in domains such as service delivery to victims and quality of forensic evidence collection. These aspects of SANE programs are more directly within programmatic control and reflect the work of the nurses. By contrast, the results of this study suggest that legal case outcomes reflect the decisions and actions of multiple stakeholders, both in and outside SANE programs. 91 APPENDIX A A Comparison of SANE and Hospital Evidence Collection Methods Training Traditional Hospital Care Sexual Assault Nurse Examiner (SANE) Programs No training/educational requirements or guidelines exist for hospital personnel (see APRI, 2004; Giardino et al., 2003; Littel, 2001) International Association of Forensic Nurses (IAFN) Educational Guidelines: Part I : Didactic content: Multidisciplinary team concept Forensic nursing SANE roles and responsibilities Dynamics of sexual assault Sexual assault forensic evaluation Communication skills History taking Physical assessment Detailed genital assessment Physical evidence collection Forensic photo documentation Documentation Evidence Evaluation Nursing Management Criminal Justice System Ethics Evaluation Part II: Clinical Preceptorship Component Clinical skills to be completed with instruction by a Registered Nurse or physician: 0 Detailed genital inspection 92 o Speculum examination 0 Visualization with techniques and equipment Sexual assault forensic examinations including evidence kit collection to be reviewed by a practicing SANE or physician. The SAN E candidate must perform the required clinical skills until proficiency is demonstrated. Observation of criminal trial proceedings. Specialized Techniques and Equipment Traditional Hospital Care Sexual Assault Nurse Examiner (SANE) Programs Hospitals usually do not have access to specialized forensic equipment and lack training in the use of the equipment. (see APRI, 2004; Giardino et al., 2003; Littel, 2001) Colmscope—A lighted magnifying instrument used for examination of the anogenital area. A camera is attached to the colposcope to photodocument anogenital injuries. Using a colposcope when assessing for genital trauma greatly increases the identification of genital trauma (Slaughter & Brown, 1992). With a colposcope, a FNE is three times as likely to detect microlacerations, bruises and other injuries in sexual assault victims (V oelker, 1996). F olev catheter technique—A foley catheter may be used with pubertal victims to examine the hymenal structure by inserting the catheter into the vagina, and inflating the catheter balloon with air and gently pulling back to delineate the hymenal structure (Giardino et al., 2003). Toulidine Blue dve—A nuclear stain that adheres to cellular material and enhances the identification of injury. The dye causes the injured area to darken significantly, 93 making visualization of an injury much easier (Giardino, 2003). McCauley, Guzinski , Welch, Gorman, and Osmers (1987) found tears in only 4% using gross visualization, but after toluidine blue was applied, the rate increased to 58%. Alternative light source—A special light that can detect bodily fluids that may not be detected with visual inspection alone. All stains that are detected on the victim are swabbed by rolling a saline-dampened swab over the area (Giardino, 2003). Forensic Medical Exam and Evidence Collection Procedures Traditional Hospital Care Sexual Assault Nurse Examiner (SAN E) Programs Emergency room physicians follow the instructions in the rape evidence kit as they perform the exam. During 1999 to 2002, hospitals in Michigan used the following instructions: The instructions direct the nurse/physician to document pertinent medical history and history of the assault in the victim’s own words. The itemized clothing is placed in containers separately and tagged for evidence. Turning Point’s FNE Program follows the guidelines of the American College of Emergency Physicians in conducting exams: An advocate meets with the victim to attend to the victim’s emotional needs by providing crisis intervention and emotional support and the victim’s physical needs. When the victim is ready, the nurse begins taking a patient history. This history includes relevant medical information, an open-ended question that documents an account of the rape in the victim’s words and direct questions about the types of contact (e. g. vaginal penetration). After the history taking, the victim is escorted to the exam room. The FNE nurse places a barrier (e.g. sheet) on the floor or exam table and then places paper on top of the barrier. In order to preserve any evidence that may fall off the victim’s clothing, the victim undresses while on the paper. The FNE nurse bags each piece of the victim’s clothing into separate bags and 94 Not included in the instructions Traditional emergency room care does not have access to an alternative light source. Not included in the instructions The victim’s oral cavity is swabbed using two swabs. Using both swabs, the nurse makes two smears. Allow swabs and smears to dry. The victim’s head hair is combed and the combings are placed in a labeled envelope. Then 12 head hairs are pulled at the root using gloved hands and placed in a labeled envelope. If applicable, the nurse combs the pubic hairs and places the combings in a labeled envelope and 6-8 pulled pubic hairs are saved in another envelope. The victim’s vaginal tract is swabbed using two swabs. Then using two more swabs, the nurse swabs the vaginal tract for DNA. Using both swabs, the nurse makes two smears. Allow swabs and smears to dry. seals the bags properly with evidence tape to preserve the chain of custody. The paper is also bagged and sealed. The clothing serves an important source for the suspect’s hair, fibers, semen and other items that may have been transferred during the assault. Depending on the history and consent of the victim, the nurse scans the alternate light source over the victim’s body looking for blood, saliva or semen. The alternative light source is a special light that can detect bodily fluids that may not be detected with visual inspection alone. The FN E nurse swabs all stains that are detected or based on victim history by rolling a sterile water- dampened swab over the area. The nurse does a head-to-toe exam assessing for tenderness, redness, bruises, cuts or abrasions. If injury is found, the nurse measures, photographs and documents the injury on a body diagram. The victim’s oral cavity is inspected for signs of trauma, which includes bruises around the mouth, torn frenulum of the lower lip or beneath the tongue. Two oral swabs are taken and air-dried. The nurse checks the victim’s hair for any trace evidence. The victim’s head hair is combed and the combings are placed in a labeled envelope. Then 25-30 head hairs are pulled at the root using gloved hands and placed in a labeled envelope. If applicable, the nurse combs the pubic hairs and places the combings in a labeled envelope and 25-30 pulled pubic hairs are saved in another envelope. The nurse then does a visual exam of the vulva including the inner and outer labia with gentle labia traction. The nurse looks for any signs of tearing, lacerations or other trauma to the area sometimes employing Toluidine blue dye to the area to detect 95 The victim’s rectal area is swabbed using two swabs. Using both swabs, the nurse makes two smears. Allow swabs and smears to dry. Documentation of injury: the kit contains a body diagram with instructions to “describe presence of trauma”. For DNA, a blood sample is drawn. To determine the victim’s blood group and secretor status, a paper disk is placed under the victim’s mouth and thoroughly saturated with salvia. The paper disk is air dried and placed in the envelope. The nurse packs all of the evidence into the rape kit, and seals it. The kit may be turned over to the police department immediately. The instructions do not provide guidelines for kit storage if the kit is not picked up immediately. The victim is referred to their physician for follow-up and handed a list of rape crisis centers in Michigan for counseling. An advocate may speak with the victim, family or significant others if the hospital requests an advocate from the local rape crisis center. microlacerations. The colposcope may be used at this point in the exam. A colposcope is a lighted magnifying instrument used for examination of the vulva. A camera is attached to the colposc0pe to digitally document genital injuries. The posterior fourchette is swabbed twice with a cotton swab and smeared on a glass slide. If the victim is menarche, the vaginal orifice is swabbed with four swabs at one time. All swabs are air dried before placing them in the proper envelopes. The nurse then examines the rectal area. There are four swabs of the anal opening and then two slides are prepared and then two slides are prepared. Documentation - if injury is found, the nurse measures and photographs the injury and documents the injury on a body diagram. For DNA, the nurse uses buccal swabs. The nurse brushes the buccal mucosa in the victim’s mouth using the collector end of the swabs for 5-10 seconds. The swabs is air dried before placing it in the proper envelopes The nurse packs all of the evidence into the rape kit, and seals it. The kit is either turned over to the police department immediately or locked in a fiidge until the police pick the kit up. The advocate meets with the victim and significant others if present to discuss their concerns, provide information about next steps in the legal system and help prepare them for possible trauma reactions. The victim is referred to their physician for 96 (Michigan State Police Rape Kit Instructions, 1994) follow-up and to Turning Point for free counseling. (Turning Point’s Forensic Nurse Training Manual) 97 APPENDIX B Adult Sexual Assault Case Coding Sheet ID Number Data Collector Data Sources Victim Characteristics: Circle Code/Enter Comments Data 1a Age (Actual age in years) 99=unknown 1b Gender 1=male 0=female 99=unknown 1c Race/ethnicity 1=White/Caucasian 2=African American 3=Latino/a 4=Native American 5=Multi-racial 6=Other 99=unknown 1d Disability 1=yes 2=no 99=unknown 1e Income 99999=unknown Case Characteristics: Circle Code/Enter Comments Data 2a Time between assault and medical exam (hours) 9.99=unknown 2b Offender tactics l= Fear 2= Verbal 3= Alcohol/drugs 4= Authority figure 5=Physical 6= Weapon used 7= Tied up/Bondage 8= Kidnapped 9= Unconscious 98 1 0=Other 99=unknown 2c Victim relationship to offender 1=stranger 2=acquaintance 3=friend 4=authority figure 5=parent/ guardian 6=step-parent 7=sibling 8=non-related care giver 9=other relative 10=partner 11=ex-partner 1 2=spouse/life-time partner 1 3=ex-spouse/ex-LTP 14=employer/coworker 15=other (specify) 16=multiple (specify) 99=unknown 2d Victim consumed alcohol before or during the sexual assault 1 =yes 0=no 99=unknown 2e Victim consumed drugs before or during the sexual assault 1 =yes =no 99=unknown 2f Type of sexual assault l=vaginal penetration 2=oral penetration 3=anal penetration 4=multiple penetration 99=unknown 28 Nurse Examiner 1 =Ballinger 2=Barton 3=Bohach 4=Boni 5=Brooks 6=Burton 7=Creger 8=Dean-Mahan 9=Deboer 1 0=Diegel 1 1=Geiman 1 2=Gentile/pena 99 l 3=Glover 14=Halleck 15=Hejza 16=Henley 1 7=Hovan 1 8=Hunwick 1 9=Hurst 20=Johnson 21=Khalife 22=Korenek 23=Lamb 24=Lippert 25=Marchesi 26=Matheny-Lane 27=Meshinski 28=Moore 29=Scott 30=Spears 3 1=Starke 32=Tobin 33=Troszak 34=Webster 3 5=Zawacki 2h Law Enforcement Agency 1 =Centerline 2=Chesterfield Twp 3=Clay Twp 4=Clinton Twp 5=Eastpointe 6=Fraser 7=Mount Clemens 8=Macomb County Sheriff 9=Michigan State Police 10=New Baltimore 1 1=New Haven 12=Richmond 13=Romeo 14=Roseville 15=St. Clair Shores 16=Selfiidge 17=Shelby 18=Sterling Heights 19=Utica 20=Warren 99=Unknown 100 Evidence: Circle Number of Comments Code/Enter injuries ' Data 3a Physical injury 1=yes 0=no 99=unknown 3b Redness (erythema) 1=yes 0=no 3c Tear/laceration 1=yes 0=no 3d Bruising/hematoma 1=yes 0=no 3e Abrasions 1=yes 0=no 3f Bleeding 1=yes 0=no 3g Oozing injury 1=yes 2—110 ‘ F! 4.71:! ,9: - ,_ ~ *3 =no 99=unknown 4b Redness (erythema) 1=yes 0=no 4c Tear/laceration 1=yes =no 4d Bruising/hematoma 1=yes 0=no 4e Abrasions 1=yes =no 4f Bleeding 1=yes 0=no 4g Oozing injury 1=yes 2=no 4h Other injury (write type 1=yes of injury in comment =no box) 101 Evidence continued: Circle Code/Enter Comments Data 5a Trace evidence 1=yes 0=no 99=unknown 5b Type of trace evidence Case decisions: Circle Code/Enter Comments Data 6a Police Referred case 1=yes, referred 0=no, not referred 6b Prosecutor warranting 1=yes, warranted decision 0=no, not warranted 6c Case outcome l=case warranted, but later dropped 2=plea bargain 3=trial, conviction 4=trial, acquittal 99=unknown Non-referred Stranger Circle Code/Enter Comments Cases Data 9a Was the stranger in this 1=yes, offender was case identified? identified 0=no, offender was not identified 99-not applicable 102 APPENDIX C Operational and Coding Definitions serve as a proxy for the victim income. tract block. Income was searched by an employee of the focal program to limit access to the victims’ addresses. The median household income will then f. | . .. . 1 .7 AL . ‘l 1 _ a Victim Operational Definition: Coded as: Characteristics: Age Age of the victim on the day of the Actual age in years exam Race/ethnicity Racial/ethnic group that the victim Caucasian — the victim identifies as their own. identifies as Caucasian Non-Caucasfin — the victim identifies as anything besides Caucasian including bi-racial and multi-racial. Disability The victim has at least one of the M: the victim does not following disabilities: physical (e. g. have at least one disability. hearing impaired), psychiatric (e. g. bipolar) and cognitive disabilities (e.g. E — the victim has at least Down syndrome). one disability Median Address of where the victim resides Median household income household was used to search the median fiom 2000 census data income household income in the 2000 census . Case ”Operational Definition: ’ Coded as: i i offender before or during the assault to carry out the assault. Characteristic Offender tactics The most severe tactic used by the Fear — the victim acquiesced out of fear Verbal - the offender made threats to the victim Alcohol/drugs - offender intentionally drugged them or coerced them into drinking in order to rape the victim 103 Authority figge - the offender had an authoritative role to the victim (e.g. teacher, boss, and police officers) Physical — the offender uses force such as hitting, holding victim down, pushing the victim, etc. Weapgn used — A weapon (e.g. gun, knife, club, etc) was present or used before or during the assault Tied up/Bondage - offender tied up the victim or used other means to constrain the victim Kidnapped - offender abducted the victim Unconscious — the victim is not conscious due to being asleep, or passed out Other - any other type of tactic but a list isn’t available Unknown — SANE did not get this information from the history Victim relationship to offender The relationship between the victim and offender at the time of the assault. Stranger — victim did not know the offender at the time of the rape Nonstranger — victim knew the offender at the time of the rape Alcohol or drugs use by victim Victim consumed any amount of alcohol or drugs before or during the sexual assault. M — the victim did not consume alcohol or drugs (except prescribed drugs) 104 before or during the assault fig — the victim did consume alcohol or nonprescribed drugs before or during the assault epidermis or superficial dermis and Type of sexual The orifice of the victim that was Vaginal penetrzmon - the assault penetrated by the offender. offender penetrated the victim’s vagina OraLrenetration — the offender penetrated the victim’s mouth with offender’s genitals Aggl penetration — the offender penetrated the victim’s anus Multiple penetration — the offender penetrated more than one orifice of the victim Medical Operational definition: Coded as: Number of Forensic injuries Evidence: Physical injury An injury (redness, tear/laceration, Total number of physical bruising/hematoma, abrasion) on the injuries victim’s body except the anogenital area. Redness An area that is only red without Total number of areas noted (erythema) additional injury located on a as red nongenital part of the body.. Tear/laceration Continuity of skin is broken and Total number of tears disrupted by force and located on a nongenital part of the body. Bruising/hemato Collection of blood below the intact Total number of bruises ma epidermis that leaked from ruptured capillaries or blood vessels and located on a nongenital part of the body (Giardino et al., 2003). Abrasions Superficial injuries limited to the Total number of abrasions 105 located on a nongenital part of the body (Giardino et al., 2003). Bleeding Any injury described as bleeding Total number of injuries located on a nongenital part of the described as bleeding body. Oozing injury Any injury described as oozing located Total number of injuries on a non enital art of the bod . described as oozin Anogenital An injury (redness, tear/laceration, Total number of anogenital injury bruising/hematoma, abrasion) on the injuries anogenital area. Redness An area that is only red without Total number of areas noted (erythema) additional injury located on an as red anogenital part of the body. Tear/laceration Continuity of skin is broken and Total number of tears disrupted by force and located on an anogenital part of the body (Giardino et al., 2003). Bruising/hemato Collection of blood below the intact Total number of bruises ma epidermis that leaked from ruptured capillaries or blood vessels and located an anogenital part of the body (Giardino et al., 2003). Abrasions Superficial injuries limited to the Total number of abrasions epidermis or superficial dermis and located on an anogenital part of the body (Giardino et al., 2003). Bleeding Any injury described as bleeding Total number of injuries located on an anogenital part of the described as bleeding body. Oozing injury Any injury described as oozing located Total number of injuries on an anogenital part of the body. described as oozing Other injury Any other injury not listed. Total number of other injuries Trace evidence A material (e. g. condom) not normally found on the body is identified by the nurse examiner. Yes — trace evidence was noted on the victim’s body M — trace evidence was not noted on the victim’s body Type of trace evidence will be recorded 106 Case Processing Coded as: Operational Definition Decisions: Police Referral Law enforcement referred the case to Les — case was referred to decision the prosecutor’s office. the prosecutor’s office No — case was not referred to the prosecutor’s office Prosecutor The prosecutor warranted the case. Yes — case was warranted warranting by the prosecutor’s office decision Np — case was not warranted by the prosecutor’s office Case outcome The final disposition of the case in the legal system. Case charged, but later dropped — case was originally warranted by the prosecutor but subsequently dropped before ending in a disposition Plea bargain — the offender pled guilty to the original charges or less charges Trial, conviction- the case went to trial and the offender was found guilty by ajudge orjury Trial, acquittal — the case went to trial and the offender was found not guilty by a judge or jury 107 APPENDIX D Comparison of Original Coding of Variables vs. Coding of Variables for Analyses Victim Characteristics: Orfla] Coding CodingUsed for Analyses 1a Age Actual age in years Age was log transformed 1b Gender 1=male 1=male 0=female 0=female 1c Race/ethnicity l=White/Caucasian 1=White/Caucasian 2=African American 2=Minority 3=Latino/a 4=Native American 5=Multi-racial 6=Other 1d Disability 1=yes 1=yes =no 2=no 1e Income Median household Median household income income arresented in thousands) Case Characteristics: Orijifil Coding Coding Used for Analyses 2a Time between assault Time between assault Time between assault and and medical exam and medical exam in medical exam was log hours transformed 2b Offender tactics 1= Fear =unconscious (originally 9) 2= Verbal 1=coercion (originally 1-4) 3= Alcohol/drugs 2=force (originally 5-8) 4= Authority figure 5=Physical -other and unknown coded as 6= Weapon used missing 7= Tied up/Bondage -because 16% of the data was 8= Kidnapped missing, offender tactics was 9= Unconscious excluded from the model 10=Other 99=unknown 2c Victim relationship to 1=stranger 0=acquaintance offender 2=acquaintance (originally 2-4;8, 14) 3=friend 1=stranger (originally 1) 4=authority figure 2=intimate/familial 5=parent/guardian (originally 5-7; 9-13) 108 6=step-parent 7=sibling 8=non-related care giver 9=other relative 1 0=partner 11=ex-partner 1 2=spouse/life-time partner 1 3=ex-spouse/ex-LTP 14=employer/coworker 15=other (specify) 16=multiple (specify) 2d Victim consumed alcohol before or during the sexual assault 1 =yes 0=no 2e Victim consumed drugs before or during the sexual assault 1 =yes 0=no Victim consumed alcohol/ drugs before or during the sexual assault 1 =yes 0=no 2f Type of sexual assault 1=vaginal penetration 2=oral penetration 3=anal penetration 4=multiple penetration 99=unknown penetration 1=single penetration 2=multiple penetration 0=unknown penetration 28 Nurse Examiner 1 =Ballinger 2=Barton 3=Bohach 4=Boni 5=Brooks 6=Burton 7=Creger 8=Dean-Mahan 9=Deboer 1 0=Diegel 1 1=Geiman 1 2=Gentile/pena l 3=Glover 14=Halleck 1 5=Hejza 1 6=Henley 1 7=Hovan l 8=Hunwick 1 9=Hurst 20=Johnson Each nurse was reassigned a code of the number of exams they conducted 109 2 1 =Khalife 22=Korenek 23=Lamb 24=Lippert 25=Marchesi 26=Matheny—Lane 27=Meshinski 28=Moore 29=Scott 30=Spears 3 l=Starke 32=Tobin 33=Troszak 34=Webster 35=Zawacki 2h Law Enforcement Agency 1=Centerline 2=Chesterfield TWp 3=Clay Twp 4=Clinton Twp 5=Eastpointe 6=Fraser 7=Mount Clemens 8=Macomb County Sheriff 9=Michigan State Police 10=New Baltimore 11=New Haven 12=Richmond 13=Romeo 14=Roseville 15=St. Clair Shores 16=Selfridge 17=Shelby 18=Sterling Heights 19=Utica 20=Warren 0=law enforcement agencies located in lower income communities 1=law enforcement agencies located in higher income communities Law Enforcement Agency (as proxy for Prosecutor area) 1=Centerline 2=Chesterfield TWp 3=Clay TWp 4=Clinton TWp 5=Eastpointe 6=Fraser 7=Mount Clemens 8=Macomb County 0=area/prosecutor one Clinton TWp Mt. Clemens Macomb Sheriff Sterling Heights MSP Selfridge 110 Sheriff 9=Michigan State Police 10=New Baltimore 11=New Haven 1=area/prosecutor two 1/2 of Warren Fraser Roseville St. Clair Shores 12=Richmond New Baltimore 13=Romeo Richmond 14=Roseville 15=St. Clair Shores 2=area/prosecutor three 16=Selfridge ‘/2 of Warren 17=Shelby Centerline 18=Sterling Heights Eastpointe 19=Utica Chesterfield 20=Warren New Haven Shelby Utica Romeo Evidence: Original Coding Used for Analyses Coding 3a Physical injury 1=yes 1=yes 0=no =no 99=unknown 3b Redness (erythema) lwes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 3c Tear/laceration 1=yes Only 3% of sample had tearing, 0=no so it was not used in the analyses 3d Bruising/hematoma 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 3e Abrasions 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 3f Bleeding 1=yes 1=yes =no 0=no 3g Oozing injury 1=yes 1=yes 2=no 0=no Anogenital injury 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 4b Redness (erythema) 1=yes 1=yes 0=no =no 4c Tear/laceration 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 4d Bruising/hematoma 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 4e Abrasions 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 4f Bleeding 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 4g Oozing injury 1=yes 1=yes 2=no 0=no 4h Other injury (write type of 1=yes 1=yes injury in comment box) 0=no 0=no Evidence continued: Orignal Coding Codingflsed for Analyses 5a Trace evidence 1=yes 1=yes 0=no 0=no 5b Type of trace evidence Case decisions: Original Coding Coding Used for Analyses 6a Police Referred case 1=yes, referred 0=no, not referred 6b Prosecutor warranting 1=yes, warranted decision 0=no, not warranted 6c Case outcome l=case warranted, but later dropped 2=plea bargain 3=frial, conviction 4=trial, acquittal 99=unknown Non-referred Stranger Circle Code/Enter Comments Cases Data 9a Was the stranger in this 1=yes, offender was 1=yes, offender was identified case identified? identified 0=no, offender was not identified 99-not applicable 0=no, offender was not identified 99-not applicable -cases were removed from sample if stranger was not identified 112 APPENDIX E Comparison of Published Attrition Rates of Cases and Current Study Stage in the Legal System Attrition Rates Attrition Rates of Previous of Current Study Studies“ Cases referred by the police 49% (N=90) 41% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) 44% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) 22% (Frazier & Haney, 1996) 18% (Bouffard, 2000) 38% (Crandall & Helitzer, 2003). All reported cases prosecuted 25% (N=47) 17% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) 18% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) 16% (Frazier &Haney, 1996) All reported cases that resulted in 24% (N=44) 12% (LaFree, 1980) conviction (plea-bargain/guilty 17% (Chandler & Tomey, 1981) verdict) 7% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) 12% (Frazier & Haney, 1996) All reported cases ending in prison 11% (N=21) 9% (LaFree, 1980) sentence 6% (Galvin & Polk, 1982) 7% (Frazier & Haney,l996) *Samples from prior studies were obtained from police departments and/or hospitals not Sexual Assault Nurse Examiner Programs. 113 REFERENCES Amdt, S. (1988). Nurses help Santa Cruz sexual assault survivors. California Nurse, 84. Bachar & Koss (2001). From prevalence to prevention: closing the gap between what we know about rape and what we do. In Renzetti, C., Edelson, J. & Bergen, R.K. (eds.), Sourcebook on Violence Against Women. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc. Bachman, R. (1998). 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