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DATEDUE DAIEDUE DAIEDUE 6/07 pthIRC/DateDue indd-pt1 THREE ESSAYS ON THE ECONOMICS OF HEALTH By Yleana Pamela Ortiz Arevalo A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Department of Economics 2007 ABSTRACT THREE ESSAYS ON THE ECONOMICS OF HEALTH By Yleana Pamela Ortiz Arevalo This thesis consists of three essays that investigate issues related to the economics of health. All three studies examine the case of Mexico and draw on the first wave of the Mexican Family Life Survey (2002). The first two essays focus on school age children and the second on women. In the first essay, I look for evidence of increasing overweight—evaluated in terms of body mass index (BMI)—and examine possible contributing factors. I find that prevalence of overweight increased for both boys and girls in recent years. To look for factors that may contribute to this increase, I propose a theoretical model of a mother’s allocation of food and time, from which I obtain her reduced-form demand for weight adequacy of her child. I empirically estimate this demand measured as the probability that a child is overweight. Results indicate that contributing factors to the growth of overweight in children are: (i) increases in mother’s BMI and in community median BMI of male adults; and (ii) particularly for boys, less presence of father at home and an increase in maternal labor supply. In the second essay, I study the effects of maternal education on hemoglobin levels and possible consequences of anemia among children. Childhood anemia may impair physical growth, weaken the ability to fight infections, affect the development of motor and learning capacities, and reduce physical performance and endurance. All of these have potential negative consequences on school functioning, accumulation of human capital, and future labor productivity. Results point out to positive effects of maternal education. I find evidence of maternal education being endogenous and possibly contaminated with measurement error. There is evidence suggesting that maternal education might be related to public health services through a substitution effect. Results also reveal that mother’s labor supply is negatively associated with hemoglobin levels. In the third essay, I examine whether sexual and reproductive behavior of Mexican women changed due to public initiatives promoting birth control and family planning launched in the 19705. I use a variety of indicators to characterize sexual and reproductive behavior: first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, and utilization of contraceptive methods. To identify the effects of public programs, I make use of individual exposure to in-school sexual education and to birth control promotion in public health facilities. Results suggest that in-school sex education increased the hazard of first sexual intercourse but did not affect the hazard of first pregnancy. Both sex education in schools and exposure to campaigns in public health facilities decreased the hazard of a second pregnancy. There is also some evidence supporting positive effects of sex education on the use of contraception methods. Copyright by YLEANA PAMELA ORTIZ AREVALO 2007 With my love to Jechu, Chicharito, Marifer, Lauri, Merve, and Alex. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am very grateful to Professor Jeff Biddle for his guidance and dedication that made possible this thesis. I also want to thank him for providing refreshing perspectives in his course on History of Economic Thought. Thanks to Professors Stephen Woodbury, John Giles, and Thomas DeLeire for their great classes and their support during these years. I greatly appreciate useful comments by Professor Scott Loveridge and his interest in my research. Thanks to Anita, Lourdes, Luciana, and Yayis for encouraging and lighting up my life. Thanks to CONACYT for financially supporting my PhD. studies. Thanks to the IN SP and the INNSZ for providing the databases of the ENN 1999 and of the ENAL 1996. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. ix LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................... xi INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1 CHAPTER 1 OVERWEIGHT IN MEXICAN CHILDREN .................................................................... 4 1 .1. Introduction .................................................................................................................. 4 1.2. Background .................................................................................................................. 8 1.2.1. International dimension .................................................................................... 8 1.2.2. Definition and measurement ........................................................................... 11 1.2.3. Non-economic studies ..................................................................................... 12 1.3. Economic studies ....................................................................................................... 13 1.3.1. The role of maternal characteristics: education and labor supply ................... 13 1.3.2. Economic studies of child overweight and obesity ......................................... 14 1 .4. Theoretical model ...................................................................................................... 21 1.5. Empirical model, data, and results ............................................................................. 25 1.5.1. Empirical model and data ............................................................................... 25 1.5.2. Results ............................................................................................................. 41 1.6. Conclusions ................................................................................................................ 49 CHAPTER 2 THE EFFECTS OF MATERNAL SCHOOLING ON CHILD HEALTH: THE CASE OF ANEMIA. ......................................................................................................................... 5 1 2. 1 . Introduction ................................................................................................................ 5 1 2.2. Conceptual framework ............................................................................................... 54 2.2.1. Hemoglobin levels as an indicator of nutrition and health ............................. 54 2.2.2. The role of maternal education in the production of child health outcomes .. 59 2.3. Empirical strategy ...................................................................................................... 65 2.3.1. Model .............................................................................................................. 65 2.3.2. Data ................................................................................................................. 71 2.4. Results ........................................................................................................................ 74 2.4.1. OLS ................................................................................................................. 74 2.4.2. ZSLS ................................................................................................................ 80 2.4.3. Interactions ...................................................................................................... 89 2.5. Conclusions ................................................................................................................ 91 vii CHAPTER 3 DO PUBLIC INITIATIVES CHANGE SEXUAL AND REPRODUCTIVE BEHAVIOR OF WOMEN? ................................................................................................................... 93 3.1. Introduction ................................................................................................................ 93 3.2. Background ................................................................................................................ 95 3.3. Literature Review ....................................................................................................... 99 3.4. Econometric Models ................................................................................................ 107 3.4.1. Duration-hazard models ................................................................................ 107 3.4.2 Multinomial logit model ................................................................................ 109 3.5. Data and empirical analysis ..................................................................................... 112 3.5.1 Data ................................................................................................................ 112 3.5.2 Empirical analysis .......................................................................................... 117 3.6. Results ...................................................................................................................... 121 3.6.1. Duration models ............................................................................................ 121 3.6.2 Multinomial logit models ............................................................................... 131 3.7. Conclusions .............................................................................................................. 137 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................ 140 APPENDIX 1 .................................................................................................................. 144 APPENDIX 2 .............................. . .................................................................................... 146 APPENDIX 3 .................................................................................................................. 148 APPENDIX 4 .................................................................................................................. 157 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................... 164 viii Table 1.1. Table 1.2. Table 1.3. Table 1.4. Table 1.5. Table 2.1. Table 2.2. Table 2.3. Table 2.4. Table 2.5. Table 2.6. Table 2.7. Table 2.8. Table 3.1. LIST OF TABLES Previous studies analyzing the child obesity. .................................................. 16 Summary statistics. .......................................................................................... 38 OLS and two-stage least squares results for girls. ........................................... 42 OLS and two-stage least squares results for boys ............................................ 44 Identifying instruments first stage results. ....................................................... 48 Selected studies on the effects of maternal education since the 19905 ............ 60 Summary statistics ........................................................................................... 72 OLS Results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. ................................... 76 Endogeneity and Overidentification Tests ....................................................... 82 Identifying instruments first-stage results. Dependent variable is education. . 83 ZSLS Results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. .................................. 85 Education effects on child height, 2SLS results. ............................................. 89 Interactions results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. ......................... 90 Previous studies analyzing sexual and reproductive behavior ....................... 100 ix Table 3.2. Contraception methods use matrix. ............................................................... 111 Table 3.3. Summary Statistics. ....................................................................................... 115 Table 3.4. Mexican education system: elementary thru high school. ............................. 118 Table 3.5. Cox-proportional hazard models. Hazard ratio estimates .............................. 126 Table 3.6. Cox-proportional hazard models. Hazard ratio estimates. ............................. 129 Table 3.7. Multinomial logit: types of contraception methods. ...................................... 133 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1. Distribution of BMI in rural areas (school age children). Kernel density estimation using data drawn from the National Survey of Food Consumption and Nutrition in Rural Areas 1996 (ENAL, 1996) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................................................. 27 Figure 1.2. Distribution of BMI in rural areas (school age girls). Kernel density estimation using data drawn from the National Survey of Food Consumption and Nutrition in Rural Areas 1996 (ENAL, 1996) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................................................. 28 Figure 1.3. Distribution of BMI in rural areas (school age boys). Kernel density estimation using data drawn from the National Survey of Food Consumption and Nutrition in Rural Areas 1996 (ENAL, 1996) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................................................. 29 Figure 1.4. Distribution of BMI national (school age children). Kernel density estimation using data drawn from the National Nutrition Survey (ENN, 1999) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................. 30 Figure 1.5. Distribution of BMI national (school age girls). Kernel density estimation using data drawn from the National Nutrition Survey (ENN, 1999) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................. 31 Figure 1.6. Distribution of BMI national (school age boys). Kemel density estimation using data drawn from the National Nutrition Survey (ENN, 1999) and the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l, 2002). ............................................................................. 32 Figure 3.1. Timetable of major public initiatives to promote birth control and family planning in Mexico. ...................................................................................... . ................... 98 Figure 3.2. Potential exposure to sexual education program at different education years by cohort groups. ............................................................................................................ 118 Figure 3.3. Exposure to 1974-Program, average by birth cohort .................................... 119 xi Figure 3.4. Sexual and reproductive behavior, average durations by birth cohort. ........ 119 Figure A2. 1. Prevalence of anemia among Mexican children by age groups. ............... 146 Figure A2.2. Prevalence of anemia among Mexican children by regions. ..................... 147 Figure A3.1. Education attainment in Mexico (1970 and 2005). ................................... 148 Figure A3.2. Attitudes towards role of women as mothers in Mexico: % who thinks a woman needs to have children to be fulfilled by age groups. ......................................... 149 Figure A3.3. Attitudes towards women deciding to become single parents in Mexico: % of approval by age groups. .............................................................................................. 150 Figure A3.4. Attitudes toward women wanting a home and children in Mexico (%). 151 Figure A3.5. Demand for contraception of Mexican users, 1976-1997. ........................ 152 xii INTRODUCTION The present dissertation contains three analyses of the economics of health. The first two essays focus on school age children and the third on women in their childbearing years. The dissertation links various topics in health and development. All three essays use data drawn from the first wave of the Mexican. Family Life Survey collected in 2002 (MxFLS-l) '. Health experts agree that developing countries are currently facing health and nutrition transitions: overweight and obesity and non-communicable diseases are emerging to join traditional problems of under-nutrition and communicable diseases. For example, in Brazil, China, and Russia, 8%-11%2 of the households have both underweight and overweight members (Doak et al., 2000). These concerns motivate the 3 among school age children. first two chapters, in which I study overweight and anemia Economically relevant aspects arise regarding the health of children. A child’s ill-health may translate into low human capital accumulation and low labor productivity, and in the context of developing countries, these could become serious constrains to development and attempts to reduce inequality. When treating child health both economic and non- economic studies tend to emphasize the analysis of parental characteristics since it is generally believed that children, especially younger ones, play no role or at most a minimum role in making decisions related to their lives (Haveman and Wolfe, 1995; ' For details see Appendix 4. 2 l 1% in Brazil and 8% in China and Russia. 3 Anemia is the deficiency of hemoglobin in blood, the protein in charge of transporting oxygen through the body. Anerrria may be caused by deficiency of micronutrients, such as iron, folic acid, Vitamin B12, or Vitamin A, but one of its main causes is iron deficiency. It may also be caused by non-nutritional factors such as infections, e. g. worms. Strauss and Thomas, 1995; Paxson and Waldfogel, 1999; and, Burton, Phipps and Curtis, 2002) In the first chapter, I develop a theoretical model that provides some insights into the relationships between maternal nutritional choices, in terms of monitoring time and food, and child’s weight. I empirically test the model’s implications with particular attention on the effects of maternal labor supply and time allocation. This analysis reveals no evidence of maternal labor supply being correlated with the likelihood of children being overweight. However, evidence suggest that other factors, such as child’s age, mother’s BMI and education, and number of siblings at home, have effects on the probability of overweight. Finally, results point to effects of community-level variables on the likelihood of boys being overweight. In the second chapter, I empirically estimate the effects of maternal education on child health as measured by hemoglobin concentrations in blood. Since maternal education could affect child’s health directly or indirectly through other factors, I analyze how it interacts with household and community infrastructure and access to information. Results suggest significant positive but small effects of maternal education on children hemoglobin levels and that maternal education might be operating with public health services (clinic/hospital) through a substitution effect. The third chapter is motivated by the public initiatives promoting birth control and family planning launched in the 19703 by the Mexican government in education and health sectors. As in other countries, these public policies were introduced in order to reduce the pressure of population growth and were effective in doing so. In the last three decades, the average population growth rate dropped from 3.4%, in the period 1960-70, to 1.0%, in the period 2000-05, while fertility rate fell from 5.7 in 1976 to 2.2 in 20064. I examine how sexual and reproductive behavior of Mexican women changed due to the exposure to sex education in schools and family planning in public health facilities. I find that public initiatives had several effects on the behavior of Mexican women. I find that not only exposure to such initiatives influenced changes on sexual and reproductive behavior, but also that private schooling, completed education, and birth cohort play important roles on changing behavior of Mexican women. " National Institute of Geography, Statistics, and Informatics (INEGI). CHAPTER 1 OVERWEIGHT IN MEXICAN CHILDREN 1.1. Introduction Obesity is today regarded as a “pandemic” phenomenon: “[It] has reached epidemic proportions globally. . .is a major contributor to the global burden of chronic disease and disability. . .is a complex condition, with serious social and psychological dimensions, affecting virtually all ages and socioeconomic groups.” 5 Overweight and obesity are concerns in both developed and developing countries, particularly because of their association with non-communicable chronic diseases (NCCDs). In developing countries, these add up to join the traditional public health problems: malnutrition, under-nutrition, and communicable diseases. Weight problems have also become a concern in the case of younger population groups, e. g. in the United States, prevalence of child overweight and obesity—starting in the 1980s—has been rising. Recently evidence has been presented of a rise in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in Mexico, particularly among women and preschool-age children. However, this trend has not yet been documented rigorously nor approached from an economic perspective, and the purpose of this paper is to do so. The trend is relevant for economists due to its potential negative consequences—current and future—on labor productivity, earnings capacity, and health systems and/or budgets. Public policies, such as food assistance programs or available diets in schools, may also be affected. This paper addresses the question of whether childhood overweight and obesity have really increased in Mexico by examining body mass index (BMI) distributions at two points in 5 World Health Organization (WHO, 2003). time, and looks for possible clues to the factors contributing to the increase by analyzing cross section variation in current childhood obesity. Child overweight and obesity, like other child outcomes, has been analyzed under the assumption that decisions are made by the parents, not directly by the child". Both economic and non-economic studies tend to emphasize the role of parental, household and other environmental characteristics when exploring factors associated with child overweight and obesity. Some ideas that have been proposed to explain trends of children overweight and obesity in the US are that children follow eating and exercising patterns of their parents, they watch more television, and are monitored less than before since parents work more in the labor market (Philipson and Posner, 1999). First, I propose a simple theoretical model to derive the mother’s behavior when allocating food and time. This provides some insights into the relationships between maternal nutritional choices, in terms of monitoring time and food, and child’s weight. The mother is assumed to derive utility from food consumption, non-food consumption, and the closeness of her child’s weight to what she considers the child’s “ideal” weight. Her optimization is constrained by a budget constraint containing non-labor and labor income, and a technology for the “closeness to ideal weight” as a function of food and monitoring time. Two basic predictions are derived from this model: weight increases with mother’s wages or labor market opportunities and is decreasing in food prices. 6 Note that Burton, Phipps and Curtis (2002) argue that the causality is usually taken as going from parents to children, that the focus has been more on “production inputs” than on “production process”. As they state, “More praise may encourage a child to do well, but parents may also praise more when a child does well.” According to their theoretical model, parental behavior should not be taken as exogenous and the empirical evidence they present supports this idea. Their results suggest that socioeconomic factors and parenting style play a very important role in determining child behavior, and that parenting behavior is. in turn, influenced by stresses in parents’ lives and by children’s behavior. The empirical strategy gives particular attention to analyzing the relationship between mother characteristics—such as education, labor supply, and time allocation—and child weight. The underlying idea follows from the arguable7 assumption that children do not make nutrition choices by themselves, at least not for the most part. In Mexico, children are mostly cared for by their mothers or other family members; a market for childcare is virtually non-existent. A first analysis focuses on mother characteristics without taking into account whether the child is supervised by someone else. Additionally, I address the question of how own, parental, household, community characteristics, and food prices affect a school child’s weight, and how these characteristics contribute to the risk of a child to becoming overweight or obese. I next examine evidence of increasing overweight and obesity prevalence in Mexican children. Unfortunately, large representative surveys have focused on collecting information on preschool children. Nutrition and health surveys have been carried out in Mexico since the 19703 but only in a few cases were school children consideredg, thus it is difficult to even establish the existence of a trend for this age group. But it is most likely that, like women and preschool children, school children experienced an increase in their weight. 7 Variyam et al. (1999) provide evidence on maternal health and nutrition knowledge improving overall dietary quality of preschoolers more than that of older children. This perhaps in part because the older the child the more choices she or he makes on her/his own, like intake of food not supervised by the mother. 8 Only the Urban Nutrition Survey (Avila. et al., 2003), the ENN (1999), the National Health Survey (ENSA, 2000), and the National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT, 2006) contain information on nutritional status of school-age children. The main cross-sectional analysis makes use of the first wave of the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-l)9, which contains extensive information on socioeconomic, demographic, and health characteristics at individual and household levels. The analysis reveals evidence of mother’s working hours being correlated with the likelihood of being overweight of boys; however, this correlation is small and weakly significant. Other factors, such as child’s age, mother’s BMI and education, number of siblings at home, and some community variables, are found to have important effects on the probability of overweight. Number of siblings is negatively correlated with overweight, somehow reflecting an overall effect of resource availability. Mother’s BMI has a positive effect that might be representing both genetic and behavioral components. Mother’s education is also positively correlated with child’s probability of being overweight. The presence of father at home is positively and largely correlated with overweight, but not significant for girls. This may be supporting evidence to the idea of fathers “favoring” their sons comparatively to their daughters (e. g. see Thomas, 1994); however, it is difficult to disregard the possibility that this result follows from a “role model” effect. The effect of household income is statistically insignificant. At the community level, effects are found for boys: median community BMI of 25-50 year-old men and median education (in years) of mothers are positive; while median education of fathers is negative. This suggests that school boys are heavier, and more likely overweight, the heavier adult males are in their community and the better educated their mothers are. The opposite occurs if boys live in communities where fathers are better educated—boys weigh less and are less likely to be overweight. 9 The MxFLS-l is a multi-topic survey that follows the design of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS). It is representative at all national, regional, and urban-rural levels. The chapter is organized as follows. Section 1.2 portrays some background on the definition, measurement, and various current concerns about overweight and obesity. Section 1.3 provides a brief appraisal of works on the role of maternal characteristics in the production of child health outcomes and review of the economic literature on childhood overweight and obesity. Section 1.4 presents the theoretical model. The empirical strategy and results are described in section 1.5 and Section 1.6 concludes. 1.2. Background 1.2.1. International dimension Overweight and obesity have become important concerns both in developed and deve10ping countries due to their increasing prevalence and their association with as important risk factors of non-communicable diseases. WHO sums up various facts about obesity in the world: (i) more than 1 billion overweight adults—at least 300 million obese; (ii) obesity and overweight represent a major risk for NCCDs—type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, hypertension and stroke, and certain forms of cancer; and, (iii) that these are mostly consequences of an increase in the consumption of energy-dense foods—high contents of saturated fats and sugars—and a decrease of physical activity”). In the case of children, overweight and obesity have also been related to chronic health problems, such as type II diabetes, high blood lipids, hypertension, sleep apnea, orthopedic problems, early malnutrition, and a higher risk of becoming overweight or obese when adult (Anderson, Butcher and Levine, 2003). '0 WHO (2003). In the United States, using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) to estimate overweight and obesity prevalence rates, the Centers for Control Disease and Prevention (CDC)ll report that, between 1976 and 2002, combined overweight and obesity prevalence increased by 38% (from 47% to 65%) and obesity doubled (from 15% to 31%). In the case of children, evidence from the NHANES reveals that between the 19605 and 1980 rates of overweight children (6-11 years old) and adolescents (12-19 years old) remained relatively stable. But, an important rise has been observed since the early 805. Overweight was 7% for children and 5% for adolescents, in 1976-80; 11% for both groups, in 1988-94; and 16% for both groups, in 1999-02. Recent estimates indicate that Europeans12 have a high average BMI (26.5). Prevalence of obesity ranges from 5% to 20% in men and up to 30% in women among European countries. Even countries that traditionally had low rates of overweight—such as France, Norway, and Netherlands—have experienced rises in adult obesity during the last decade. Evidence also suggests that 10—30% of the European children (aged 7—11 years) and 8— 25% of adolescents (14—17 years) are overweight. Experts maintain that developing countries are currently facing health and nutrition transitions: under-nutrition coexisting with overweight and obesity, and the association of the latter with a rise in NCCDs, i.e. that overweight, obesity, and NCCDs are emerging to join and combine with the traditional health problems of developing countries”. Doak et al. (2000) use data from large national surveys in Brazil, China, and Russia. They find ” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Prevalence of Overweight among Adults. http:/wawxcdc.gov/richsr’productsfpubs‘pubd--’lrcstats./obese/obse99.htm. and Prevalence of Overweight among Children and Adolescents. h_t_tp:.f/wwwxcdcgovinchjfproducts"pubs/pubd/hcstatsx’o\t'erwght99.htm (accessed April 18, 2006). '2 WHO (2005 ). '3 Zambrano and Guzman (2002); Popkin, Richards and Monteiro (1996); and, Hoffman (2001). that the proportions of households with both underweight and overweight members were 11% in Brazil and 8% in China and Russia; and, that these households account for 45%, 23% and 58% respectively, of all households with an underweight member. Rivera and Sepr'rlveda (2003) present results from Mexico revealing that between 1988 and 1999 for women 18-49 years old overweight prevalence increased by 46%, (from 24% to 35%) and obesity in this group increased by 160% (from 9% to 24%). They also find that prevalence of obesity in preschool children (under 5 years old) grew by 26%. Commonly, nutritional and health transitions observed in most countries in Asia, Latin America, Northern Africa, Middle East and urban areas of sub-Saharan Africa, have been related to changes in the population’s lifestyles, particularly changes in diet and physical activity: increased consumption of fat, added sugar, and animal products, i.e. high fat/high carbohydrate energy-dense foods, in contrast to lower total intakes of cereal, fiber, fruits and vegetables (Uauy, Albala and Kain, 2001 and Popkin, 2001); and reduced physical activity as a consequence of more sedentary work and leisure—driven by technological changes (Rivera et al., 2004). Despite the fact that such changes in lifestyles have also been observed in developed countries”, according to WHO (2004), developing countries are those currently more and increasingly affected by this problem in terms of mortality, morbidity, and disability—where 66% of deaths relate to non- communicable diseases and on average involve relatively younger people than in developed countries. '4 See below for an exposition of studies on the causes of obesity trends in the US. 10 1.2.2. Definition and measurement Obesity is defined as a condition of abnormal or excessive fat accumulation in adipose tissue or as a disease in which excess body fat has accumulated to such an extent that health may be adversely affected or impaired (WHO, 2000). The most widespread technique to evaluate weight adequacy is the body mass index (BMI)15 . The BMI is defined as weight (in kilograms) divided by height squared (in meters). A simple classification for adults is the following: overweight if BMI 2 25; preobese if 25 < BMI_>_ 29.99, with an increased risk of comorbidities; obese class I if 30 5 BMI 2 34.99, with a moderate risk of comorbidities; obese class 11 if 35 5 BMI 2 39.99, with a severe risk of comorbidities; and, obese class 111 if BMI Z 40, with a very severe risk of comorbidities’b. The BMI has been usually used for adult populations, but it has been adopted for children populations as well (Rolland-Cachera et al., 1991). BMI was not adopted until recently to evaluate weight adequacy of children populations. Unlike case of adults, there is not broad agreement for defining overweight and obesity cut-offs. In part, this is because BMI changes considerably with age. However, researchers in different countries have proposed some reference options. In the United States the 85th and 95th centiles of age and sex based BMI distributions are used as reference points (Must, Dallal and Dietz, 1991). In France, values of cut-offs are identified by using Z—scores (Rolland-Cachera et al., 1991 ). Cole et a1. (2000) established an age and sex based standard definition for child overweight and obesity using '5 Note that BMI does not really measure body fatness, but body mass or weight adequacy to height. '6 Notice that this classification is age and gender-independent and that WHO acknowledges that “. . .the relationship between BMI and body fat content varies according to body build and proportion, and. . .a given BMI may not correspond to the same degree of fatness across populations”. 11 nationally representative cross sectional growth studies from Brazil, Great Britain, Hong Kong, the Netherlands, Singapore, and the US, which makes it comparable internationally, and can be used to identify changes over time. 1.2.3. Non-economic studies Both economic and non-economic studies tend to emphasize the role of parental, household and other environmental characteristics when exploring factors associated with child overweight and obesity. For instance, Hernandez et al. (2003) find that risks of overweight and obesity in Mexican school children were positively associated with mother’s education and socioeconomic status. Additionally, they find that risk is also positively associated with age and that prevalence is higher for girls, but found no significant differences between regions or urban and rural areas. Padron (2002) argues that considering environmental, social, and genetic factors separately cannot explain the trends observed in the last decades. She points to an excess of sedentary aetivities, such as watching television, videogarne and computer use, and to a reduction in relative prices of low nutritious-quality food. She also suggests that children should not be rewarded (by parents) with food and that healthy food should not be substituted with snacks. A study among children in Mexico City by Hernandez et al. (1999), using a random sample of schools from two communities (delegaciones), reveals that risk (odds ratio) of obesity was higher by 12% for each additional hour per day of watching television, 10% lower for each hour per day of moderate or vigorous physical activity, and 20% lower considering only vigorous activity. Brewis (2003) investigates obesity among middle- class children from a school in the city of Xalapa, finding that children from households 12 with fewer children, those with more permissive, less authoritarian parents, and boys were more likely to be obese. She argues that food treats are a cultural index of parental caring, and as a consequence can result in indulgent feeding especially for sons in smaller middle-class families. 1.3. Economic studies 1.3.1. The role of maternal characteristics: education and labor supply There is a large literature on the effects of parental/household characteristics on child health outcomes. Here I concentrate on some works that analyze maternal labor supply and education. Thomas et al. (1991) and Glewwe (1999) study possible mechanisms through which mother’s education affects child’s health in terms of height. Thomas et al. (1991), in Brazil, find evidence of access to information being such a mechanism; while Glewwe, in Morocco, finds that it is health knowledge acquired through literacy and numeracy skills learned in school. Kassouf and Senauer (1996) analyze parental education direct and indirect effects via wages and full income on three anthropometric measures for Brazilian children and, using regression results, they simulate effects by education levels. In particular, they find positive direct effects of the role of mother’s education, negative small indirect wage effects, and large positive indirect full income effects on weight for age and weight for health. Total effects are positive and larger as education increases. Variyam et al. (1999) study the effect of maternal nutrition and health knowledge on dietary intakes of children 2-17 years of age in the US. They find that maternal knowledge influences children’s diet especially for preschool children, but that this effect becomes weaker for older children (> 5 years old). They also include 13 mother's labor participation status (not, part, and full employed), finding that total and saturated fat intakes decrease if mother is not employed or part-time employed as compared to being full-employed, only for school-age children. Effects of employment status for preschoolers seemingly occur through maternal nutrition and health knowledge. Blau, Guilkey and Popkin (1996) examine the relationship between mother’s labor supply, infant feeding, and infant health. They find that after accounting for possible endogeneity there is little evidence of direct causal effects of mother’s labor supply on weight and height of infants in the Philippines. They also find that mothers with higher wages have healthier children and that mothers who face higher food (infant formula and corn) prices have less healthy children. Glick and Sahn (1998) investigate the effect of mother’s labor supply and income in preschool children of Guinea, as Blau et al. (1996), accounting for possible labor supply endogeneity. They find that on average positive effects of labor income on children height are offset by large negative effects of labor supply. 1.3.2. Economic studies of child overweight and obesity Works studying adult obesity in the US have focused on distinguishing the effects of different factors on the trends of adult obesity including technological change (TCH) and its impact on food prices and more sedentary home and market work (Philipson and Posner, 1999 and Lakdawalla and Philipson, 2002); change in lifestyle and its association with changes in value of time, especially for women; increased real cost of cigarette smoking; more availability of fast food——which reduce costs of search and travel and relative cost of fast food meals (Chou, Grossman and Saffer, 2002; Rashad, Grossman l4 and Chou, 2005); and, decrease in time cost of food—due to a rise in mass preparation of food, permitting the production of food in one location and its consumption in another— with an effect on the frequency of food consumption of greater variety (Cutler, Glaeser and Shapiro, 2003). Economic literature on children, as in the case of adults, mainly addresses the question of possible causes of the rise in overweight and obesity prevalence. In the United States, existing works are few and recent; the list would include Anderson et al. (2002); Anderson et al. (2003); Ruhm (2004); Anderson and Butcher (2005); and, Anderson and Butcher (2006). Table 1.1 presents a brief synopsis of these works. Anderson et al. (2002; 2003) study whether the rise in the prevalence of working mothers observed during the last decades has had a causal effect on the prevalence of overweight children. 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Additionally, using their estimates the increase in adult women overweight and obesity can “explain” 11 percent of the phenomenon.17 Anderson et al. (2003) analyze child obesity from a broader economic perspective, though they devote specific attention to the role of working mothers. They discuss several caveats regarding the particularities of the child overweight and obesity issue, from the pertinence of using a standard economic model, to the role of parental supervision, schools, fast food and television, to the public policy implications due to social health costs and extemalities. Maternal employment is also analyzed by Ruhm (2004), who assesses the question of how maternal employment relates to various developmental outcomes of 10 and 11 year- old children—cognitive development, obesity, and potential risky behaviors. He finds that 20 additional hours per week are associated with a 22 to 27 percent rise in obesity and a 19 to 20 percent increase in the risk of being overweight. Anderson and Butcher (2005) study the role of schools, arguing that schools facing financial pressures fund themselves through permitting more access to “junk” foods. They look at the likelihood of schools under financial difficulties implementing “potentially unhealthful food policies”. They find a positive effect of access to junk food at school on obesity: if the proportion of schools allowing junk food in a county increases by 10 percentage points, BMI increases by 1% on average—equivalent to 1.5 extra pounds. But they notice that this is driven by adolescents with a genetic predisposition for obesity—an effect of 2.2% or 3.3 extra pounds. Using these figures, they estimate that junk foods in schools are ‘7 Notice that even if taken together, these aspects fail to explain the largest part of the observed trend observed in the US. 19 found to account for 20% of the observed increase in adolescents’ average obesity. Anderson and Butcher (2006) provide a descriptive analysis of childhood obesity trends and potential causes in the US. They assess the definition of obesity and emphasize the validity of using the BMI for measuring children obesity. They review the energy balance literature (intake, expenditure, and additional correlates as breastfeeding) to address possible causes of childhood obesity and look at the consistency between the time patterns of obesity and its “causes”. They present evidence pointing out to, on the side of energy intake, increased availability of (calorie dense) convenience foods and soft drinks and increased demand for away-from-home or pre-prepared foods, due to more time devoted to market work by parents. On the side of expenditure and also related to less available monitoring time by parents, they identify a more sedentary children’s lifestyle—i.e. lighter physical activity practices. Authors use a variety of techniques to overcome biases that may arise because of unobservables being correlated with maternal employment. Although they try to control for as many factors as possible, problems such as heterogeneity or endogeneity are always a concern. Anderson et al. (2002; 2003) use sibling difference models to reduce the bias due to unobserved heterogeneity. They compare siblings in two ways: the different ages, using same survey year; and, at same age, using different survey years. To correct potential bias as a consequence of other unobserved variables, they apply an instrumental variable procedure for maternal employment. Ruhm (2004) includes a variable of maternal employment measured at a period following that under study, i.e. maternal employment after children are 10-11 year-old, to account for possible reverse causation that might bias his estimates. The interpretation for doing so is that if 20 coefficients of post-assessment employment are different from zero, then not only do maternal labor decisions affect children development—e. g. their risk of being overweight—but also that mothers decide whether to work or not, and how many hours, depending on their children’s situation. 1.4. Theoretical model To grasp how a child’s weight is influenced by the decisions of his or her mother, I propose to model her behavior when allocating food and time. She allocates food and time by maximizing a utility fiinction that depends on food consumption (F), non-food consumption (X), and the difference between her child’s actual weight and what she considers an “ideal” weight for her child (AB). The mother is assumed to be her children’s only caregiver and that she successfully manages her children into consuming nutritious food, i.e. maternal monitoring time is effective for improving her child’s food intake. 1 8 Her optimization is constrained by a time and money-budget constraint and by a technology or production function determining the “closeness to ideal weight”. Also, I assume that children enjoy food but they are not concerned with nutrition or health issues. Thus, children must be monitored for them to eat a more nutritious and healthy '8 The model and its assumptions are largely compatible with some results on eating behavior found by psychologists and child development experts. For example, there is evidence indicating that parental monitoring and even the threat of it influences food selection of children (4-7 years old): reducing choices of non-nutritious foods and the caloric intake of the meal (Klesges et al., 1991). Another piece of evidence on 5 years-old girls supports that “parenting practices are shaped and influenced by the child. .. [Specifically] that child-feeding practices are influenced by the weight status of the child: mother’s child- feeding practices and perceptions of their daughters’ risk of overweight are found to have effects on her daughters’ eating and relative weight—effects that comparable to those of maternal weight (Birch and Fisher, 2000). 21 diet. Price of the non-food good is assumed to be one. The mother has a utility function given by: max U (X,F,AB) = u[X,F] + V[AB] s.t. Y+w(T—t)—pF—X=O (1.1) AB =| BMI — BMI* 1: f(t,F) .—. flF[1—%) where Y is non-labor income, w is the market wage, T is total time, t is monitoring time, p is food price, and price of X is 1. BMI is child’s actual body mass index, and BMI“ is mother’s ideal body mass index standard. Assumptions about fiinctional form of the mother’s utility are the following: “X > 0 ,uF > 0 WM < 0 ’uFF < O and u XF = u FX > O . The mother experiences disutility if their child’s weight differs from her ideal standard, so 12' <0, v">0. Mother’s technology of weight adequacy—with respect to her ideal standard |BMI-BMI*|—is assumed to be linear in all arguments, increasing in F and decreasing in t. I assume standard BMI“ is fixed and determined by mother’s preferences, so it may or may not coincide with experts’ recommendations. For simplicity, this function is defined only for the case of BMI >BMI*, i.e. for the case in which mothers consider their children to be overweight. In other words, more food in the household would contribute to increase actual child’s BMI ( f F > 0 )—moving away 22 from BMI*——and more time devoted to monitoring would decrease it ( ft < O )— approaching towards BMI“ . 19 To solve (1.1), the mother allocates t, consumes X, and allocates and consume F. The first-order conditions are: v'ft —7tw=0 11F +v'fF —}tp=0 (1.2) uX —)\.=O Y+w(T—t)—pF——X=O where k is the Lagrangean multiplier. To identify effects of wage, food price, and income on child’s weight, I totally differentiate expressions in (1.2) and constraint AB (see Appendix 1). Then I use the results to assess: (i) how higher wages and thus market opportunities affect children’s weight and (ii) what effect a change in food price has on weight. dAB and dw dp , and it can be shown that (see Appendix 1): Formally, these are '9 Note that if the child is underweight more of both food and monitoring time would increase BMI, making it approach towards BMI*. 23 dAB “_ziftiptt +fF¢in+(T—t)[ftwt +waF] dw dAB “Eb—=[fz90tF +fF€0FFi—Fifzwz +waFi (1-3) (1218 71—},— = ft“): + waF where (art , (p FF , and got}: = (0 Ft are own- and cross-compensated price effects (substitution effects), a), and a) F are income effects, and ft and f F are the partial derivatives of AB with respect to monitoring time and food. Own-compensated effects are negative and as stated above ft < 0 and f F > 0. If it is assumed that U tF > 0 and “small enough”, together with the other functional assumptions of U , then (”tF , 90 Ft > 0 (see Appendix 1). F is assumed to be a normal good, so a) F > 0 ; and, as long as AB is a normal good, t is also “normal”, so cut > O . Under these conditions, signs of expressions in (1.3) cannot be identified accurately unless further assumptions about “total income” effect, ? = ftwt + f F a) F , are be either positive or negative but assume (T — t )[ft a), + f F a) F ] stated. Let 24 and — F [ f t cot + f F a) F ] are relatively small with respect to price effects, so that it can be shown that20 14—8—>0 and dAB < 0 1.3’ dw dp ( ) According to these predictions, the model suggests that an increase in wages for women, which may be interpreted as increasing market opportunities for mothers and higher labor force participation, have a positive effect on children’s weight (AB). It also suggests a negative relationship between food prices and weight, implying that a decrease in food prices that may translate into reduced price of calories would contribute to increasing children’s weight. 1.5. Empirical model, data, and results 1.5.1. Empirical model and data Ideally the empirical strategy would aim to answer whether an increasing trend in overweight and obesity exist in Mexico and what its causes are. Repeated cross sections or panel data would be needed for accomplishing these tasks. However, such data are not available, so I instead focus on looking at possible factors that might be contributing to the alleged rise in obesity in school-age children by analyzing cross-section variation. Evidence supports the idea of the existence of an increasing trend. Prevalence of obesity in preschool children increased from 4.2% in 1988 to 5.3% in 1999; combined 2” Note that the same results are obtained if the total income effect is assumed to be positive, which would imply that jfia),| BMI*|X,e) :30 + ,Bl-Xl- +,6me + ,BhXh + ,BCXC +6 (1.5) for all i=1,. . ..n school-age children, where X;, X,,,, Xh, and Xc are vectors containing own, mother’s, household, and community variables. X,- includes only child’s age and its square to account for possible non-linearities. I exclude children time allocation due to potential endogeneity led by reverse causality—it is not only that a more sedentary child might gain weight, but also that an overweight child might become more sendentary. X,” contains mother’s BMI and a dummy variable if pregnant or breastfeeding interacted with BMI; mother’s education, labor hours, and hours devoted to other non-sedentary and sedentary activities. To account for omission of unobservable skills, I include scores from the Raven Test29 for adults as a proxy. Household characteristics included in Xh are number of siblings, a dummy variable if father is present in the home, a dummy variable indicating if occupation of household head is agriculture, and total income. Community level variables in Xc are median BMI of adults, median years of schooling of mothers and fathers, median family income, proportion of agricultural households, median % of expenditure in different types of food, dummy variables for region and population size. Mother’s education serves as both an indicator of maternal nutrition and health knowledge and as a proxy of socioeconomic status even for non-working mothers. In its 2” The Raven Test consists of progressive matrices, for which an individual is asked to complete a pattern by selecting a piece that fits a missing part. It provides results on a person’s abilities of observation, problem solution, and learning. 34 former interpretation, education acts through direct channels if nutrition and health knowledge are in fact acquired at school and through indirect channels by providing skills that women use when investing in their children’s health. Cognitive ability in terms of Raven Scores serves as a control for unobservable skills likely correlated with both education attainment and dietary decisions by mother affecting, in turn, the probability of her child to be overweight. Labor supply provides an inverse proxy for monitoring time (Glick and Sahn, 1998). Time devoted to “active” and “passive” activities may be regarded as reflecting other aspects of mother’s “life-style”. Maternal BMI serves as an indicator of current nutrition/health status, as well as of genetics; the interaction term that indicates if pregnant or breastfeeding is designed to account for possible temporary increased weight. Number of siblings may affect availability of nutrition resources and therefore child’s BMI. Less than 80% of children in the sample live with their fathers, so instead of including father’s characteristics, I include a dummy variable indicating if father is at home. Results of nutrition surveys emphasize that children in rural areas tend to be less overweight. Between 20 and 26% of the sampled children live in households with the head working in agricultural activities, so I include a dummy variable to account for a potential correlation. Community variables are incorporated as proxies for current health, social and economic environment (adult BMI, schooling, income medians and proportion of agricultural households) and possibly for diet—cultural30 differences (household % of 30 Mexican regions are characterized to some extent by different diets, for example northern states tend to consume more meat than southern and wheat tortillas instead of corn tortillas. 35 expenditures on different foods respect to household food expenditure). Dummies for regions and population size are included to account for additional potential effects. Table 1.2 presents summary statistics of relevant variables for the sub-sample of school children (ages 5-1 1 years) who live in households where only mother or both mother and father are present3 1. Overweight and not overweight children differ in many dimensions”. Compared to not overweight children, overweight children tend to be older, a higher proportion of overweight children attend school, and, in the case of overweight girls, a smaller proportion attends public schools. Overweight children sleep fewer hours and spend more time watching TV. All girls devote more time to household work and taking care of others, but play less than boys; those girls who are overweight spend more time on household work and less time playing and taking care of others than those not overweight, for boys time allocated to these activities is not statistically different. Mothers of overweight children are older—the difference is weakly significant for girls. They also have a higher average BMI, are more educated, and obtained higher Raven scores. Mothers of overweight boys participate more in the labor market than mothers of not overweight group—a difference of 23%. Mothers of overweight girls are not more likely to participate in the labor market. Overall, maternal labor participation seems to be more important for boys than for girls. However, there are no statistical differences in terms of maternal labor supply for any gender. Mothers may be role models more for girls than for boys; overweight girls have less “active” mothers who 3 l I use data drawn from the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-1), described in the introduction section. I exclude children with no parents at home and children living with fathers only, because data on their mothers is not available. 32 This sub-sample consists of children both parents or only mother present at home. Statistical significance not presented but checked. 36 dedicate more time to sedentary activities and less time to non-sedentary activities, but for boys there is no evidence of this. If father is at home, his characteristics also seem to be associated with children being overweight. Overweight children have heavier fathers and who are more educated. Paternal labor decisions do not differ between overweight and not overweight children. Overweight children also have fathers who devote more time to sedentary activities. Only in the case of girls, those overweight also have more “active” fathers spending more time on non-sedentary activities. That fathers are “active” interestingly does not make a difference for boys, but it does if fathers are more sedentary, which may also contribute to the transmission of models and habits. Additionally, evidence suggests that overweight children have fewer siblings, live in non-agricultural households—supporting the idea that prevalence in obesity is higher in urban communities—and belong to wealthier families. They live in households where food expenditure is higher; and, where larger percentages of food expenditure are devoted to animal origin food and soft drinks—-evidence on soft drinks is weak for boys—, but smaller percentages are spent on fruit, vegetables, and legumes. A striking piece of evidence is that households of overweight children spend relatively less in cereals, bread, and tortillas than do those of not overweight children; while the same is observed for snacks and sugar the differences are not statistically significant. 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There is less evidence on overweight children living in communities where median expenditure on soft drinks is larger—a weak difference among girls and none among boys. 1.5.2. Results I estimate equation (1.5) using a linear probability model. Tables 1.3 and 1.4 present results for girls and boys, respectively: columns (1) contain ordinary least squares estimates of a basic specification, which excludes cognitive ability and time allocation of the mother; columns (2) incorporate cognitive ability; columns (3) add labor hours and time devoted to sedentary and non-sedentary activities; and, columns (4) contain two stage least squares (ZSLS) to account for potential endogeneity of maternal labor supply, using same specification as (3) but excluding regional dummies to avoid collinearity with state-level identifying instruments. Identifying instruments for maternal labor supply are mother’s age”, median community working hours and labor participation of men and women, and state dummy variables. 33 Mother’s age does not seem to belong into the overweight equation, in none of the specifications was found to be economically or statistically significant when directly introduced—results not presented. 41 Table 1.3. OLS and two-stage least squares results for girls. Dependent variable: OVERWEIGHT (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS IV 7 Child: Age 0.012 0.020 0.028 0.029 (0.042) (0.042) (0.044) (0.044) Age squared 0.001 0.000 -0.000 -0.000 (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) Mother: BMI 0.017 0.017 0.016 0.016 (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** BMI"‘Dummy if pregnant or breastfeeding -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.001 (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) Education 0.009 0.008 0.007 0.008 (0.003)*** (0.003)” (0.004)" (0.004)“ Cognitive ability 0.009 0.009 0.009 (0.004)M (0.004)" (0.004)" Labor Hours -0.000 -0.003 (0.001) (0.002) Non-sedentary (Activities in hours) ~0.000 -0.000 (0.000) (0.000) Sedentary (Activities in hours) 0.000 -0.000 (0.001) (0.001) Household: Siblings -0.042 -0.041 -0.045 -0.042 (0.011)*** (0.011)"‘** (0.011)*** (0.011)*** Father at home 0.006 0.006 0.005 -0.026 (0.023) (0.024) (0.025) (0.037) Agricultural ' -0032 -0029 -0029 -0031 (0.024) (0.025) (0.026) (0.026) Total Income 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Community: Median BMI of males 2 0.021 0.021 0.019 0.017 (0.009)" (0.009)" (0.009)" (0.009)* Median BMI of females 2 -0015 -0.016 -0012 -0013 (0.007)“ (0.007)M (0.008) (0.008)* Median years of schooling (mothers) 0.008 0.008 0.004 0.004 (0.007) (0.007) (0.008) (0.008) Median years of schooling (fathers) -0.002 -0.002 0.001 0.001 (0.007) (0.007) (0.008) (0.007) Median family income 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) 42 Table 1.3. (cont'd). Dependent variable: OVERWEIGHT (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS 1v 7 Proportion of agricultural households 0.012 -0.005 0.018 -0.01 1 (0.081) (0.081) (0.086) (0.085) Median snacks and sugar 4 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.007 (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.011) Median animal origin 4 0.001 0.001 0.000 -0001 (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) Median soft drinks 4 0.006 0.005 0.006 0.003 (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) Region and population size 5": Northwest region -0.040 -0.042 -0.048 (0.036) (0.036) (0.037) Northeast region 0003 -0.008 0.002 (0.038) (0.038) (0.039) Central-west region 0.009 0.011 0.012 (0.032) (0.032) (0.033) Central region 0.022 0.020 0.024 (0.031) (0.031) (0.032) Pepulation > 100,000 -0003 -0014 -0013 0.004 (0.040) (0.040) (0.041) (0.041) Population 15,000 - 100.000 0.046 0.039 0.028 0.041 (0.046) (0.046) (0.049) (0.049) POPU~1afion 2,500 ' 15,000 0.020 0.022 0.030 0.051 (0.037) (0.038) (0.040) (0.039) Constant -0.611 -0.642 -0.674 -0.513 (0.253)" (0.255)" (0.263)" (0.267)* R-squared 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 Observations 2,051 2,017 1,887 1,887 Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% I Dummy indicating if occupation of household head (or other member) is agriculture. 2 Calculated at the community level considering only adults 25 to 50 years old, by sex. 3 Median household total income at the community level. 4 Median % of expenditure on each food type. 5 Dummy variables with baseline: South region. 6 Dummy variables with baseline: Community with population < 2,500 (officially considered as rural). 7 Identifying instruments for maternal labor supply: mother's age, labor characteristics in community (median working hours at community level for men and women, labor participation at community level for men and women), state dummy variables. 43 Table 1.4. OLS and two—stage least squares results for boys. Dependent variable: OVERWEIGHT (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS 1v 7 Child: Age 0.088 0.090 0.083 0.079 (0.041)" (0.041)" (0.043)* (0.043)* Age squared -0.004 -0.004 -0.004 -0.004 (0.003) (0.003)* (0.003) (0.003) Mother: BMI 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** (0.002)*** BMI*Dummy if pregnant or breastfeeding -0.004 -0.004 -0.003 -0.003 (0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)*** (0.001)” Education 0.009 0.007 0.007 0.006 (0.003)*** (0.003)M (0.003)" (0.003)* Cognitive ability 0.004 0.005 0.005 (0.003) (0.004) (0.004) Labor Hours 0.001 0.003 (0.000) (0.002)* Non-sedentary (Activities in hours) -0.000 -0.000 (0.000) (0.000) Sedentary (Activities in hours) -0.001 -0.000 (0.001) (0.001) Household: Siblings -0.028 -0.027 —0.030 -0.033 (0.010)*** (0.010)*** (0.010)*** (0.011)*** Father at home 0.044 0.042 0.061 0.091 (0.023)* (0.023)* (0.024)" (0.032)*** Agricultural ' -0014 -0013 -0009 -0014 (0.025) (0.025) (0.026) (0.026) Total Income 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.000 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Community: Median BMI of males 2 0.018 0.019 0.023 0.026 (0.009)* (0.009)M (0.010)" (0.009)*** Median BMI of females 2 -0007 -0.008 -0009 -0011 (0.007) (0.007) (0.008) (0.007) Median years of schooling (mothers) 0.016 0.016 0.019 0.017 (0.007)" (0.007)" (0.007)M (0.007)“ Median years of schooling (fathers) -0.009 -0.007 -0.013 -0.013 (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)* (0.007)"‘ Median family income 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) 44 Table 1.4 (cont'd). Dependent variable: OVERWEIGHT (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS 1v 7 Proportion of agricultural households 0.119 0.123 0.104 0.112 (0.082) (0.082) (0.084) (0.080) Median snacks and sugar 4 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.008 (0.011) (0.011) (0.012) (0.011) Median animal origin 4 -0000 -0001 -0002 -0002 (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) Median soft drinks 4 -0.006 -0005 -0004 -0004 (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.004) Region 5 and population size 5‘6: Northwest region 0.000 0.000 -0.010 (0.038) (0.038) (0.039) Northeast region -0.037 -0.042 -0.051 (0.035) (0.035) (0.036) Central-west region -0.008 -0.004 -0.018 (0.031) (0.032) (0.033) Central region 0020 -0.016 ~0.021 (0.032) (0.032) (0.033) Population > 100,000 0.038 0.034 0.038 0.036 (0.037) (0.037) (0.038) (0.039) Population 15,000 r 100,000 0.005 0.011 0.011 -0.003 (0.040) (0.040) (0.042) (0.042) Population 2.500 - 15,000 0.032 0.036 0.036 0.034 (0.037) (0.037) (0.039) (0.039) Constant -0.875 -0.888 -0.862 -0927 (0.263)*** (0.264)*** (0.275)*** (0.272)*** R-squared 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 Observations 1,947 1,917 1,796 1,796 Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% l Dummy indicating if occupation of household head (or other member) is agriculture. 2 Calculated at the community level considering only adults 25 to 50 years old, by sex. 3 Median household total income at the community level. 4 Median % of expenditure on each food type. 5 Dummy variables with baseline: South region. 6 Dummy variables with baseline: Community with population < 2,500 (officially considered as rural). 7 Identifying instruments for maternal labor supply: mother's age, labor characteristics in community (median working hours at community level for men and women, labor participation at community level for men and women), state dummy variables. Variables affecting the probability of being overweight are almost the same for girls and boys, but some distinctive features are observed. Own age has a positive effect only for boys (approximately, 008-009), i.e. older boys are more likely to be overweight, but 45 such effect becomes weakly significant as mother’s time allocation variables are included and labor hours are treated as endogenous; additionally, there is no much evidence of non-linearity of age. Mother’s BMI has positive effects for both girls and boys that are robust and strongly significant across specifications: the probability of being overweight increase by 0.09 and 0.05, for girls and boys, respectively, if mother’s BMI rises by 5 points. In the case of boys, if mother is pregnant or breastfeeding the effect of maternal BMI decreases a little—the effect is 0.03. The effect of mother’s education is positive and similar for girls and boys (between 0.021-0.027 for every three additional years of schooling), but it becomes slightly smaller and weakly significant for boys when labor supply is considered as endogenous. Maternal cognitive ability is important only for girls, when included, it practically does not affect education estimated coefficient; moreover, its sign and magnitude is comparable to that of education. Neither labor supply nor time allocation to other activities have effects on girls. In the case of boys, there is only weak evidence of a positive effect of labor hours, which is found when maternal labor supply is treated as endogenous: a ten hour/week rise in the supply of mother’s labor increases by 0.03 the probability for a boy of being overweight. Among the household characteristics that may influence the likelihood of overweight, number of siblings is important for both girls and boys; it remains robust, slightly increases for boys, significant across specifications, and a little larger for girls than for boys—the presence of an additional child at home reduces the probability of being overweight by 0.04 for girls and 0.03 for boys. The presence of father at home affects 46 boys but not girls; this effect grows and becomes more significant across specifications, the presence of his father increases the probability of a boy being overweight by 0.09. This result may well be associated with the “preference” of fathers for their sons and/or the “transmission” of habits and lifestyle from fathers to sons. Interestingly, there is no evidence suggesting that household income is important either economically or statistically. The household being agricultural has the expected negative sign; however, this is not statistically significant in any case. At the community level median BMI of adult males has positive effects for both girls and boys (0.10 and 0.10-0.15, respectively, for every 5-point increase in median BMI), which become weakly significant for girls but more significant and larger for boys. However, median BMI of adult females is negatively correlated only with girls’ probability of being overweight, becoming not or weakly significant and smaller across specifications (from -0.10 to -0.05, for every 5-point increase in median BMI). Education of parents at the community level has ambiguous effects only for boys, the effect of median years of schooling of mothers is robust and positive across specifications (about 0.06 for 3 additional years of schooling); however, this is not the case of median years of schooling of fathers, which is negatively and weakly correlated with the probability of boys being overweight (approximately -0.04 for 3 additional years of schooling). There is no evidence of dietary-cultural habits being important, as none of the community-level food expenditures (median proportion spent in each food type relative to total food expenditure) is found to be significant. No effects of income or agricultural-type are obtained at the community level, just as in the case of the household. Finally, neither the 47 regional variables nor the size of the community are found to have a significant influence on children’s probability of being overweight. First stage results are in Table 1.5, providing a fairly good support for identifying instruments. Mother’s age and state dummies are weakly significant at the 10% level in the first stage for boys and only men labor participation is significant in the case of girls. Taken altogether instruments seem to be doing well especially in the absence of prices, which in principle would provide a much better set of identifying instruments. Table 1.5. Identifying instruments first stage results. Dependent variable is mother's labor hours. (1) (2) Boys Girls Mother's age -0.113 -0.030 (0.073) (0.074) Community labor characteristics Median labor hours of women 0.164 0.001 (0.071)** (0.063) Women labor participation 38.057 36.066 (5.285)*** (5.055)*** Median labor hours of men 0.036 0.132 (0.158) (0.137) Men labor participation 9.604 17.81 1 (8.973) (8.752)" 17.30 18.19 F Tes’ [ 0.000] [0.000] State dummies (F Test) 1.65 1.85 [0.056] [0.024] . 6.33 6.10 All vanables F Test [0000] [0.000] R-squared 0. 19 0.24 Observations 1,796 1,887 Robust standard errors in parentheses. P-values in brackets. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% 1.6. Conclusions 48 This paper examines overweight in Mexican school children. The motivation arises from: (i) the increase in prevalence of overweight that has been observed in recent years among Mexican population; and, (ii) the little attention that school age children have been given—relative to preschoolers and infants—by nutrition and health national surveys in Mexico“. Evidence I present here supports the growth in the prevalence of overweight among school children; moreover, evidence suggests that Mexican children are heavier than before as observed by the right-shifts of the BMI distributions. 1 develop a simple theoretical model to portray the mother’s behavior when allocating food and time and to provide insights into the relationships between maternal nutritional choices, in terms of monitoring time and food, and child’s weight. Basic predictions suggest that an increase in wages for women, which may be interpreted as increasing market opportunities for mothers and higher labor force participation/supply, have a positive effect on children’s weight. It also suggests a negative relationship between food prices and weight, implying that a decrease in food prices that may translate into reduced price of calories would contribute to increasing children’s weight. Using this model, I obtain a demand for weight adequacy of the child and estimate a linear approximation of its reduced form. Risk of overweight in Mexican children has been positively associated with, among other factors, maternal education, socioeconomic status, and fewer siblings. Economic studies identify the growth of mother labor supply as being a plausible cause of increasing overweight in American children and adolescents. My results tend to confirm 3’ This group has been incorporated into nationally representative surveys of nutrition and health since 1999. 49 these findings and provide evidence of maternal BMI and BMI of adults at the community level influencing the probability of school children being overweight, effects that are difficult to disentangle between genetic and environmental factors, although the negative sign of median BMI of females in the girls’ estimation may be pointing to some environmental effects. In sum, I obtain some clues into what might be possible contributing factors to the growth in prevalence of overweight among school children: (i) increase mother’s BMI, specially for girls; (ii) an increase of maternal labor supply in the case of boys; (iii) increasing adult males BMI at a community level; and (iv) possibly an increase in father’s BMI or sedentary habits. Future research should investigate the channels through which community level characteristics affect the behaviors of individual children with respect to diet and activity levels. 50 CHAPTER 2 THE EFFECTS OF MATERNAL SCHOOLING ON CHILD HEALTH: THE CASE OF ANEMIA. 2.1. Introduction Parental characteristics and behavior are essential inputs into the child health production function, since decisions regarding most aspects of a child’s life are believed to be made by her/his parents (see Haveman and Wolfe, 1995; Strauss and Thomas, 1995; Paxson and Waldfogel, 1999; and, Burton, Phipps and Curtis, 2002). Special attention has been placed on characteristics and behavior of the mother due to her role as a caregiver (for example, Thomas et al., 1991; Blau et al., 1996; Glewwe, 1999; and, Handa, 1999). In particular, empirical studies have shown evidence of important effects of maternal education on child health, as well as possible ways or mechanisms through which maternal education affects child health relate (see review by Handa, 1999). Much of this research has used mortality, morbidity, anthropometric, and/or dietary intakes as indicators of child health, with an emphasis on infants and younger children, given the vulnerability of these age groups. In this paper, I examine the effect of maternal education on child health using a biochemical health indicator and concentrating on relatively older children. In particular, I analyze the effects of maternal education on hemoglobin concentrations in blood among school age children. Hemoglobin is the protein in the red cells that carries oxygen to tissues and organs. The deficiency of hemoglobin in blood is known as anemia. Anemia may be caused by both nutritional and non-nutritional factors. Iron deficiency is the most common of its 51 nutritional causes. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that anemia affects 2 billion people around the world and that about 50% of all anemia can be attributed to iron deficiency—iron deficiency anemia or IDA (WHO/UNICEF, 2004).”. Prevalence of anemia varies widely among regions and countries. For example, prevalences of anemia and [DA are, respectively, 53% and 39% in Southeast Asia but 9% and 7% in Europe. The prevalence of iron deficiency in Mexico is high compared to the U336. According to a recent nationwide nutrition survey (ENN, 1999) prevalence was estimated between 20% and 27% among children (12 or younger). The ENN99 results37 suggest that prevalence of anemia was 21.1% in women, 27.2% in 6-59 months-old children, and 19.5% in 5-11 years old children. The most vulnerable groups were pregnant, women with a prevalence of 27.8%— jointly with their unborn babies—and 1 to 2 years old children among whom prevalence was 48.9%. Using three different procedures to specifically evaluate iron adequacy’g—one for recent iron ingestion and two for body reserves—estimated prevalence of iron deficiency associated with anemia were 17.8% (recent ingestion), and 29.7% or 41.4% when measured as body reserves for all children in sample (0-11 years old). Overall, the combined prevalence of “severe” (associated with anemia) and “less severe” (associated with a deficient production of blood cells) iron deficiencies were estimated to be 43% and 55% or 60%, respective to each procedure. 35 It is worth noting some delicate distinctions: “In the absence of international agreement on how to assess the iron status of populations, the prevalence of iron deficiency has often been derived from the prevalence of anaemia using measurements of blood haemoglobin concentration. However not all anaemic people are iron deficient and iron deficiency may occur without anaemia.” (WHO/CDC, 2005) ’6 Estimates of prevalences of IDA in the US (third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-94) are: (i) 3% in 1-2 years old; (ii) <1% in 3-5 years old; (iii) <1% in 6-11 years old; (iv) 2-5% among non-pregnant females (aged 12 and older); and, (v) <1-2% among adult males (aged 12 and older). ’7 Villalpando et al. (2003) and Shamah-Levy et al. (2003). 3" Rivera et al. (2001). 52 For years evidence has revealed that child health and parental education are positively correlated. An extensive appraisal of the literature on market and non-market returns to education by Wolfe and Haveman (2001 and 2002) shows that parental education, mainly maternal, improves child health—as measured by infant mortality rates, birth weight, and vaccination rates. The intergenerational connection between parental inputs and child outcomes that works through parental education has two components”: (i) direct, “improvements in the choices and investments made by parents”; and, (ii) indirect, “quality of the human/social capital of the neighbourhoods in which children grow up”. Or as Case et al. (2005) assert: “cohort members born into poorer families experienced poorer childhood health, lower investments in human capital and poorer health in early adulthood, all of which are associated with lower earnings in middle age—the years in which they themselves become parents.” The present research contributes to the existing literatures in health, human capital, and developing countries by providing insights into the non-market returns to education and the role mothers play in the etiology of anemia in Mexico. First, my results complement knowledge of the function of mother characteristics as inputs into child nutrition and health production. Maternal education may affect child’s health directly or it may interact in different ways with other factors—income, labor supply, access to information, health services, community infrastructure, and/or family background. Second, my estimates also provide information on the fill returns to schooling of women. Since in Mexico labor market participation of adult women is relatively low, 49.5% for ’9 Wolfe and Haveman (2001). 53 25-54 year old women“, market returns to schooling fail to fully capture the impact of educating Mexican women. Thus, estimates of non-market returns to schooling, e. g. in terms of child health, are needed to correctly assess the potential impact of women’s education. The paper is organized as follows. Section 2.2 presents the conceptual framework, consisting mainly of a review of the literature on two aspects: hemoglobin levels as an indicator of health and nutrition status and the role of maternal education in the production of child health outcomes. The empirical strategy is described in section 2.3. Section 2.4 presents the results. And, Section 2.5 concludes. 2.2. Conceptual framework 2.2.1. Hemoglobin levels as an indicator of nutrition and health Among the reasons for anemia, iron deficiency is the most common, contributing to 50% of cases worldwide4l'42. Iron is essential to body functioning because it is necessary for multiple metabolic processes—such as oxygen transport, oxidative metabolism, and cellular growth. Low hemoglobin levels showing anemia due to iron deficiency indicate absence of iron stores, inadequate supply of iron to the bone marrow and other tissues, ’0 INEGI (Mexican National Institute of Statistics, Geography, and Informatics). Figure is of 2004, may be found in http://www.inegi.goanxx’est/contenidosx’espanol/rutinasfggt.asp?t=mtraO6&c=-3655. 4' WHO/UNICEF (2004). ’2 Deficiencies of other micronutrient—vitarnin A, riboflavin, folic acid, and vitamin Ely—may also contribute to the presence of anemia. Iron deficiency is frequently associated with other deficiencies: “Diets that are low in animal products are low in absorbable iron as well as retinol, riboflavin, folic acid, vitamin BIZ, and other micronutrients. . .Intestinal parasites can cause the simultaneous malabsorption of iron, retinol [vitamin A], folic acid, and vitamin Biz, as can blood loses due to hookworm infestation.” However, most prevalence of anemia in the world is related with iron deficiency (Allen and Casterline-Sabel, 2001). Anemia may have other non-nutritional causes like exposure to infections (e. g. hookworm, schistosomiasis), genetic disorders (e.g. thalassernias) or even lead poisoning (e.g. lead may be found in paint, toys, furniture, plumbing, and soil, among others). 54 and impaired oxygen delivery.43 The presence of anemia mostly indicates “both functionally significant tissue iron deficiency and impaired oxygen delivery” (Lynch and Green, 2001). Even if anemia is present without iron deficiency, it might still be related to deficiencies of other micronutrients and indicative of potential or actual ill-health“. Anemia may produce symptoms such as fatigue, weakness, decreased appetite, headache, and shortness of breath, among others.45 In the case of school-age children”, anemia may impair physical growth, ability to fight infections, and development of motor and learning capacities, and may also reduce physical performance.47 Moderate forms of anemia may reduce endurance—i.e. increase time a person takes to complete a task—and even mild iron deficiency without anemia may decrease work capacity and immune response (Passi and Vir, 2001). As a result school functioning declines, with potential negative effects on future accumulation of human capital and productivity. For example, Horton and Ross (2003) provide an extensive review of the evidence on effects of iron deficiency and anemia on children’s cognitive development and adult productivity, as well as calculations of annual losses in physical productivity due to iron deficiency using data from ten developing countries. ’3 “The earliest evidence of iron deficiency is the absence of iron stores. . .[with] no functional consequences, but there are not iron reserves to meet physiological or pathological requirements. . .[Early functional iron deficiency consists of] a suboptimal rate of iron delivery to the bone marrow and other tissues although there is no detectable anemia. ..[The] final stage is characterized by a decrease in functional iron with an onset of anemia and its associated clinical symptoms (iron deficiency anemia)” (Lynch and Green, 2001) ’4 However, “[unlike] deficiencies of vitamin A, folic acid, and vitamin BIZ ..., functionally significant tissue iron deficiency does not appear to occur in the absence of anemia.” (Lynch and Green, 2001) ’5 But symptoms may not show if anemia is mild (see Medline Plus hug/Mwwnlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/encv/article/000584.htm). 4” Thomas (2001) provides a useful and comprehensive discussion about the relationship among labor productivity and hemoglobin concentrations and iron stores. ’7 WHO/UNICEF (2004) and Passi and Vir (2001). 55 Indicators typically used to estimate the effects of different inputs into the production of child health are height for age, weight for height, body mass index, birthweight, parental reports of child health status and mortality. Hemoglobin levels have been mainly used for evaluation of health interventions that provide micronutrient supplementation and/or deworming drugs. For example, Thomas et al. (2004) present evidence from an experimental setting in Indonesia, finding that males treated with iron supplements improved their physical, psycho-social health, and productivity; for those self-employed, earnings rose significantly. Bobonis et al. (2004) find that weight and school participation increased substantially among 2-6 year old children supplemented with iron and deworming drugs in India. Using results fi'om health interventions carried out in Indonesia, Thailand, Egypt, and Guatemala, Pollitt (1997) finds evidence that suggest that IDA constitutes a risk factor for poor educational performance of school age children. To my knowledge there are few works that analyze socioeconomic factors associated with anemia and hemoglobin concentrations—Bhattacharya et al. (2002 and 2004) using US data and Villalpando et al. (2003) using Mexican data. Health indicators are likely correlated.48 Height is closely associated with hemoglobin concentrations due to its importance for child growth, as iron deficiency anemia contributes to growth retardation. Hemoglobin and weight relate intimately through nutrition and diet quality.49 Stunting, wasting, and anemia are all essential indicators of different types of malnutrition. While wasting and anemia occur due to energy-protein ’8 “Children suffer from anemia, either as a result of low iron intakes or poor absorption, or as a result of illness. Severe protein-energy malnutrition and vitamin BlZ/folate deficiency can also lead to anemia.” (Alderman et al., 2003). 49 It is worth noting that anemia may be caused by lead poisoning and genetic disorders. But as pointed out above iron deficiency is its most common cause. 56 and/or micronutrient malnutrition, stunting may be the result from a cumulative effect of either or both types of malnutrition. Such correlations are not perfect (e. g. an individual may be anemic but show no signs of nutritional problems in terms of height/weight; or an individual may be stunted/wasted due to other causes than anemia) and, given data availability, a more complete assessment should probably analyze them together (e. g. Ghuman et al., 2005). The most recent nationwide nutrition survey in Mexico (ENN, 1999) reveals the existence of high rates of anemia among children; prevalence was estimated to be between 20 and 27%. Estimates of micronutrient ingestion from ENN-99 24-hour recall data reveal that iron ingestion by Mexican children (0-11 years old) is 32% to 58% of adequacy recommendations; 61% to 80.8% in the case of the school age group (5—11 years old); and for preschoolers (12-59 months old) median iron adequacy is between 23% and 565%.“). Authors of this survey suggest that at least part of the explanation is diet: consumed foods mainly either supply non-heme iron (found in vegetables, legumes, and cereals), which is more difficult to absorb than heme iron (found in meat), or, particularly in rural areas, contain substances that inhibit iron absorption. Since for children dietary decisions take place mostly at home and for Mexican children, in particular, such decisions are made mainly by mothers, a most pertinent matter seems to be the role of a mother in the production of hemoglobin level of her child. Given that anemia of school age children has received little attention relative to preschoolers and 50 Children aggregate figures by Rivera et al. (2001) and age-group figures by Villalpando et al. (2003). 57 women of fertile age5 I, and due to the importance of an adequate level of hemoglobin both in the physical and cognitive development of children aged 5 to ll—not only infants and younger ones. Using data from the ENN-99, Villalpando et al. (2003), surprisingly find that more educated mothers have children with smaller concentrations of hemoglobin. After controlling for anthropometric indicators (height for age or weight for height), sex, socioeconomic levels, whether household is indigenous, intake of dietary supplements, beneficiary of food assistance programs, and altitude, they obtain a negative effect of maternal education (one additional year has a 7% decrease on hemoglobin levels) for 2- years or older children, but not for younger children (<2 years old). This result is intriguing because one would expect ceteris paribus that more educated mothers have healthier children, unless they work more and monitor their child’s diet less. Several drawbacks may be causing such a result, including the omission of maternal labor; the possible bias that arise from a simultaneity or/and ambiguous causality on the production of hemoglobin levels and other nutrition outcomes as height and weight; and, “overcontrolling”, i.e. the analysis controls for dietary supplements, food assistance benefits, and anthropometric indicators, all of which are avenues through which maternal education effects might operate. Considering these and other concerns discussed below, I obtain new results about the effects of maternal education on hemoglobin levels and anemia using data drawn from Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS). 5‘ Passi and Vir (2001). Note that, given that most attention—by nutritionists, psychologists, and even economists—has focused on younger children and infants, the works of Horton and Ross (2003) and Pollit (1997) (see above) are particularly relevant. 58 2.2.2. The role of maternal education in the production of child health outcomes It is typically believed that children have a minor role when making decisions on allocation of household resources. It is parental behavior and characteristics that are pointed out as major (causal) factors determining health, among other, outcomes of children. In a recent work by Currie and Moretti (2005) evidence suggests the importance of intergenerational transmission of health and income—parent’s income would affect child’s health, which would in turn affect her/his future income. Researchers have also commonly looked for the paths and mechanisms through which education affects child health, introducing covariates that may be correlated or interacting with education— 4 particularly mother’s education—, such as income, household and community characteristics, and parental background and endowments. Literature examining effects of maternal education on child outcomes is very rich; here I review only a small set of this research done since the 19905. Table 2.1 contains a summary of these works with information on samples and empirical approaches used by the authors. Strauss (1990) finds positive and jointly significant effects of mother’s and father’s education on weight for height and only a positive maternal education effect on height. He finds that community characteristics are important as measured by health environment and quality of health infrastructure. Thomas et al. (1991), in Brazil, find evidence that access to information (newspapers, television, and radio) explains most of the effect of maternal education on child height. 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Rubalcava and 63 Teruel (2004) examine the effect of different sources of maternal human capital— schooling, cognitive ability and childhood background—on child health measured in terms of height using data drawn from MxFLSl. Thus, their work provides a reference for the analysis I present here. They find that maternal cognitive ability has a positive effect on child health, which diminishes when controlling for mother's height. They also provide evidence of returns to education decreasing when controlling for mother's observable childhood endowments. A further concern is that child characteristics may influence how resources are in fact allocated within the household5 2—e. g. if a child is sick, a working mother could decide to stop working or work fewer hours to take care of him/her, or else start working or work more hours to be able to pay for the expenses of her sick child. Reed et al. (1996) finds that the effects of maternal education (less than 4 years of formal schooling) are non- 9 which, besides socioeconomic status of a linear across “socio-environmental status’ household, includes economic, ecologic and infrastructural characteristics at a village level—in rural Benin. At higher levels of education this relationship becomes negative, suggesting a possible association between higher education and labor market participation, according to the authors. Variyam et a1. include mother's labor participation status (not, part, and full employed), finding that total and saturated fat intakes decrease if mother is not employed or part-time employed as compared to being full-employed, but only for school-age children. Effects of employment status for preschoolers seemingly occur through maternal nutrition and health knowledge, while school children are more affected directly by time allocation of mother. 52 Burton et a1, (2002) also discuss how parental behavior may be affected by their children‘s behavior. 64 While some researchers have recognized and accounted for the endogeneity of mother’s labor participation and supply”, maternal education has been mostly treated as exogenous. However, Desai and Alva (1998) argue that education acts as a proxy for socioeconomic status of a family and area of residence. They examine data from the Demographic and Health Surveys for 22 developing countries and find that a causal relationship between mother’s education and child health has not really been established because as other household and community-level characteristics are introduced the effects of maternal education mostly become statistically insignificant. This provides evidence indicating that mother’s education may be correlated with other factors that could influence her decisions and behavior towards her child’s health. Thus, even after controlling for household and community characteristics, there could be unobservables correlated with both maternal education and child health, such as mother’s genetics and/or early life constraints that may also have affected her educational attainment. The next section contains the empirical strategy I follow to account for these issues. 2.3. Empirical strategy 2.3.]. Model The estimation follows from an application of the household production function by Berhman and Deolalikar (1 98 8) to the case of child health and nutrition. Household 5’ Blau et al. (1996) examine the relationship between mother’s labor supply, infant feeding, and infant health. They find that after accounting for possible endogeneity there is little evidence of direct causal effects of mother’s labor supply on weight and height of infants in the Philippines, but that mothers with higher wages have healthier children. Glick and Sahn (1998) investigate the effect of mother’s labor supply and income in preschool children of Guinea. After accounting for possible labor supply endogeneity, they find that in average positive effects of labor income on children height are offset by large negative effects of labor supply. 65 (parental) optimization, under normal conditions, leads to a reduced form demand for health of child 1': H’: =H(p.w.Y;#.~.m.#P,/IC) (2.1) where p is the price of a market composite-good C, w is the wage rate and Y is the household non-labor income; ,u,, [1]), ,uh, and ye: are observed and unobserved technology parameters determined by characteristics of member/child, parents, household, and community, e. g. sex, age, endowments, background. For empirical estimation some points should be considered: (i) Prices are not directly observed, but to account for price variation across communities, I use expenditures on five food items as percentages of total food expenditures. I expect that these variables in part reflect price differentials across local food markets rather than wealth effects, since I also control for household income and community level infrastructure. I calculate expenditure variables at a household level and then use the community—level median as price proxies in the empirical estimation. (ii) Parental labor income not only translates into more household resources but also may translate into less time available to spend in non-labor activities, e. g. child monitoring and care. Ideally mother’s wages would capture market vs. non-market decisions, however, wages are not observed for mothers not participating in the labor market— approximately 60% of mothers of school-age children in sample. Therefore, I use labor supply to account for the effect of maternal labor decisions. Concerns of possible endogeneity naturally rise, for example, a mother may choose to work, stop working, or 66 work less in the market due to her child’s health condition. I discuss this issue below and explicitly deal with it in my empirical procedure. (iii) Labor and non-labor incomes are collapsed into total household income. (iv) Since ,u,, ,up, ,uh, and ,UC are not fully observed I include observable characteristics, such as age and sex of child, mother’s education, presence of father, and community characteristics. Let vector X contain all observable characteristics—individual, parental, household, and community—and 1) include all unobservables, so the determinants of #1“, yp,,u;,, and #C may be reclassified into two categories: observed and unobserved. Then, using these criteria, I rewrite equation (2.1): H. = H(X;v) (2.2) where X contains child, parental, household, and community (observable) characteristics, and 0 stands for all unobservable heterogeneity that may be thought of as being captured by a random error term. Now, consider a linear approximation of (2.2): H :30 + :Bixi +15me +flhxh +flcxc +1) (2'3) where Xi, Xm, Xh, and Xc are vectors containing child’s, parent’s, household, and community variables, respectively. X,- consists of age and sex; Xm includes maternal education, cognitive ability (CA), and labor supply. Mother’s education serves as both an 67 indicator of maternal nutrition and health knowledge and as a proxy of socioeconomic status even for non-working mothers—more educated mothers are likely to belong to relatively wealthier households. In its former interpretation, education may act through direct channels if nutrition and health knowledge are in fact acquired at school and through indirect channels by providing skills that women use when investing in their children’s health. Unobserved skills are believed to bias returns to schooling; one of its forms, CA, may be considered as an innate or an acquired ability or both“, affecting educational performance and attainment. To overcome this omitted variable problem, I use Raven Test Scores as a proxy for CA. Labor supply provides both an inverse proxy for available time devoted to activities that promote child’s health (Glick and Sahn, 1998) and an indicator of labor market opportunities. Household-level variables in X], include number of siblings, total income, and whether main labor activity of head of household is agriculture. Number of siblings may affect availability of nutrition resources per child and therefore her/his health. Instead of including father’s characteristics I include a dummy variable indicating whether father is at home, since about 20% of children in the sample do not live with their fathers. I include a dummy variable indicating whether the child lives in a household where the head works in agricultural activities—22% of sampled children—which also serves as an indicator of rural households. Xc includes community median food expenditure (%) on different types of food to account for dietary/cultural differences between communities. It also includes community infrastructure and services—sanitary services, health services, 5" “It is not clear that innate ability can be measured: any test that claims to do so (in the sense of measuring a genetic endowment) almost always reflects environmental factors (American Psychological Association, 1995)” in Glewwe and Kremer (2005). 68 and access to information. Since the higher the altitude the less oxygen pressure and the higher the hemoglobin level of an individual, a control for the altitude is necessary. Unfortunately, due to data availability I do not observe community-level altitude, so I have to use the average altitude at the municipality level—the average altitude across communities in a municipality”. State and population size dummy variables capture other effects. I apply two procedures to estimate (2.3): an ordinary least square (OLS) and a two stage least square (2SLS) to deal with potential endogeneity of education and labor supply. As identifying instruments in the 2SLS estimation, I propose to use mother’s background characteristics and current labor environment variables. I use mother’s height as a proxy of her genetic endowment and past nutrition constraints, since health investments during childhood are closely associated with investments in education and eventually with schooling attainment. Child health and/or nutrition have been considered and found to be correlated with education outcomes for a long time (Alderman et al., 2001). For example, Strauss and Thomas (1998) review evidence revealing that taller men tend to be better educated and participate more in the labor market; Alderman et a1. (2001) find large effects of preschoolers’ nutrition on school enrollments in rural Pakistan; and, Miguel and Kremer (2004) find that improvements in current health status, in terms of deworming, reduce school absenteeism in Kenyan children. Mother’s family background is proxied by using her birth order with respect to her siblings, which is likely to be related to her school attendance, affecting education attainment, and her current labor participation/supply, through past or lifetime labor decisions. To control for 55 INEGI: Catalog of States Municipalities, and Localities. Downloaded from http://mapservcr.inegi.gob.mxx’nign2kf‘?c:646. 69 current labor environment, I use median labor hours of female and women labor force participation at the community level. Additionally, to account for potential cohort and education policy effects, I draw data on the proportion of women who graduated from elementary, secondary and high school in the mother’s age cohort and state she lived in at 12 years of age from the 2000 Mexican Population Census (INEGISé). Child health has been usually measured by anthropometric indicators; in particular, height (see section 2.2.2), which is a long-run marker of general health and lifetime nutrition. On the one hand, given that hemoglobin concentrations are calculated by using an electronic device that counts hemoglobin from a drop of blood, hemoglobin is less prone to measurement error than it is height, which is obtained by using a height measuring scale. In this sense, measured hemoglobin is a less noisy indicator of true hemoglobin and, thus, of anemia, than measured height is for true height and thus, of general health. On the other hand, it is important to understand better the value of hemoglobin as an alternative way of assessing how maternal education relates to child health, so I compare maternal education estimated effects by using hemoglobin with estimates using height. The idea is to examine how the effects of maternal education on health compare between these two approaches of measuring health. I replicate the estimation of the econometric model using height; I apply the same identifying instruments as in the case of hemoglobin, except mother’s height, which enters directly into the regression. 5" Downloaded from http://www. inegigob.mx/estx contcnidosr’cvspaflgfiprgyeclog/censosr’cp v2000.."bd/pv2000-"pr 2.asp?c—56,2_Q. 7O 2.3.2. Data Table 2.2 presents summary statistics of all variables for the sub-sample of school children (ages 5-11 years) who live in households where only mother or both mother and father are present”. Average hemoglobin level is 13.2 g/dl with a standard deviation of 1.5. Using critical values proposed by the WHO of 11.0 g/dl for 5-year old and 12.0 for 6-11 year-old children”, I estimate that 14.5% of girls and 16.4% of boys are anemic. Taken together this is 15.5% of school children in my sample. Considering the sample average and standard deviation of hemoglobin together with critical values of anemia diagnosis, the average child would be anemic if his hemoglobin levels drop by one- standard deviation (i.e. 1.5 g/dl). These children are 8 years old on average and the sample is balanced across genders. On average, mothers are 35 years old, they attained 6.5 years of schooling—slightly more than only elementary school, and obtained 44% of total points in the Raven Test. Forty percent of them participate in the labor market, working a mean of 35.4 hours/week. On average, there are around 2 children in a household, 80% of the children live with their fathers and 20% live in agricultural households. The largest part of food expenditures goes to that of animal origin (37.5%)—meat, poultry, pork, eggs, and dairy—followed by fruit, vegetables and legumes (23.9%); and cereals, bread and tortillas (17%); and the smallest proportions go to soft drinks and snacks and sugar (3.3 and 2.8%, respectively). ’7 I use data drawn from the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-1), described in the introduction section. I exclude children with no parents at home and children living with fathers only, because data on their mothers is not available. 5” Rivera et al. (2001). Notice that these criteria are for individuals living at the sea level and my estimates are rough, since I do not adjust for altitude. 71 Table 2.2. Summary statistics Variable Mean Std. Dev. EMA Hemoglobin level (g/dl) 13.2 1.5 Girls 0.5 0.5 Age (years) 8.1 2.0 Mother Age (years) 34.6 6.8 Education (years) 6.5 4.0 Labor participation 0.4 0.5 Labor hours (weekly hours, if participating) 35'4 19'7 Cognitive ability (point-score Raven Test) 5.3 2.9 Household Siblings at home 1.9 0.9 Father at home 0.8 0.4 Total Income (Annual 2002 Mx pesos) 55,723 59,395 Agricultural household 0.2 0.4 Community Food (% of total food expenditure) Animal origin 37.5 6.3 Fruit, vegetables and legumes 23.9 5.1 Soft drinks 3.3 2.2 Snacks and sugar 2.8 1.0 Cereals, bread and tortillas 17.0 4.6 Infrastructure Access to piped water (% of houses) 84 26 Access to drainage (% of houses) 54 41 Access to electricity (% of houses) 92 15 Sanitary services Private toilet with drainage 0.56 0.5 Private toilet with moat 0.36 0.5 Toilet shared with neighbors 0.01 0.1 Lake/river 0.01 0.1 Yard/field 0.01 0.1 Other 0.05 0.2 Garbage disposal Basket/picked up 0.69 0.5 Burned in house land 0.15 0.3 Burned outside house land 0.07 0.3 River 0.01 0.1 Buried 0.01 0.1 Other 0.06 0.2 72 Table 2.2. (Cont’d). Variable Mean Std. Dev. State and population size: Baja California Sur 0.03 0.2 Coahuila 0.06 0.2 Mexico DF 0.02 0.1 Durango 0.06 0.2 Guanajuato 0.07 0.3 Jalisco 0.05 0.2 Mexico 0.09 0.3 Michoacan 0.10 0.3 Morelos 0.04 0.2 Nuevo Leon 0.07 0.3 Oaxaca 0.06 0.2 Puebla 0.06 0.2 Sinaloa 0.08 0.3 Sonora 0.07 0.3 Veracruz 0.09 0.3 Yucatan 0.05 0.2 Population > 100,000 0.35 0.5 Population 15,000 — 100,000 0.09 0.3 Population 2,500 - 15,000 0.11 0.3 Population < 2,500 0.46 0.5 Sample size’: 4,410 1 Children (5-11 years old) living with mother and father or mother only and with data on hemoglobin level. Access to services in the average community is of 84% piped water, 54% drainage, and 92% electricity; sanitary services are basically private toilet with either drainage (56%) or moat (36%) and garbage is mainly removed in baskets to be picked up (69%}— though in 15% of communities people burn it within their land. Sample distribution among states and community categorized by sized is shown in the second part of table 2; 46% of the children live in rural areas where population size is less than 2,500, 35% live in large cities with more than 100,000 inhabitants; and 20% live in “mid-size” cities (2,500-100,000). 73 2.4. Results 2.4.1. OLS Table 2.3 presents OLS estimates of equation (3) using pooled sub-samples of girls and boys. Chow tests in the bottom panel provide support for the pooling assumption. Column (1) reports the basic specification containing mother’s characteristics, child’s own characteristics, household variables, state and population size dummies—it excludes all community level variables. I incorporate municipality-average altitude in Column 2. In column (3), I include community diet-cultural characteristics. Following the common practice by authors”, I examine possible mechanisms through which maternal education may work to improve child health, so in columns (4) thru (6), I add community infrastructure—sanitary services and health services—and access to information—time allocation to watching TV—respectively. The OLS results may be summarized as follows: (i) Maternal education has a positive but small effect on hemoglobin levels (H); three additional years of education have an effect of 0.02 standard deviations, and such effect is weak (significant at 10%). When altitude is included the influence of maternal education falls by 27% and becomes statistically insignificant. However, this effect remains stable across specifications; it does not change as variables of food expenditure, infrastructure, or access to information are added. (ii) Maternal labor supply becomes statistically significant (at 10%) when attitude is included and remains equal throughout columns (2) — (6). This effect is negative and ’9 l partly base on Handa’s (1999) approach. In this section, I analyze direct effects of infrastructure and information, below I show results of how education interacts with these variables. 74 small; a ten-hour increase in weekly labor supply would make hemoglobin level diminish by 0.01 standard deviations. (iii) Other important results: Mother’s cognitive ability has an unexpected negative effect, but it is not statistically significant; and, there is weak evidence of older mothers having healthier children. There is evidence of older children being healthier than younger ones, which confirms previous findings of prevalence of anemia decreasing with children’s age (see Appendix 2, Figure A2.1). Effects of number of children in household are weak and negative; an additional child at home would decrease H by 0.02-0.03 standard deviations. The presence of father at home becomes negatively associated with better health (in terms of H), though statistically insignificant, when controlling for altitude. Relative to other (“non—rural”) children, those in agricultural households have lower hemoglobin levels, the effect is of 0.15 g/dl less H, which is equivalent to one-tenth of a standard deviation; however, this effect disappears when controlling for altitude. Wealthier households have healthier children. This effect of income is stable across specifications but small—a one-thousand pesos increase in monthly income leads to an increase of about 0.006 hemoglobin standard deviations. I suspect attenuation bias due to classical measurement error60. 60 Note that about 3% of the households in the children sample have a calculated total income of zero even after irrrputing labor income for those working household members with no information of labor income. Effects of expenditure—results not presented—are smaller (estimates is around 0.006) than those of income (0.009), goodness of fit of specifications using income is slightly better than when using expenditure, so I prefer the former to account for material resources available to household. 75 Table 2.3. OLS Results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Mother: Education 0.01 1 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 (0.006)* (0.006) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) Labor hours -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 (0.001) (0.001)* (0.001)* (0.001)* (0.001)* (0.001)* Cognitive ability -0.011 -0.010 -0.010 -0.010 -0.010 -0.010 (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) Age 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 (0.003) (0.003)* (0.003)* (0.003)* (0.003)* (0.003)* Child: Sex 0.028 0.032 0.031 0.031 0.033 0.030 (0.041) (0.041) (0.041) (0.041) (0.041) (0.041) Age:l 6 years 0.118 0.129 0.130 0.130 0.135 0.129 (0.078) (0.077)* (0.077)* (0.077)* (0.077)* (0.077)* 7 years 0.233 0.246 0.238 0.237 0.238 0.237 (0.079)*** (0.078)*** (0.078)*** (0.078)*** (0.078)*** (0.078)*** 8 years 0.450 0.461 0.461 0.461 0.462 0.460 (0.079)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** 9 years 0.533 0.541 0.538 0.538 0.537 0.538 (0.078)*** (0.077)**"‘ (0.077)*** (0.077)*"‘* (0.077)*** (0.077)*** 10 years 0.594 0.597 0.588 0.588 0.589 0.587 (0.080)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** 11 years 0.785 0.784 0.784 0.784 0.787 0.785 (0.079)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** (0.077)*** (0.078)*** (0.078)*** Household: Siblings -0.036 -0.039 -0.041 -0.040 -0.039 -0.041 (0.024) (0.023)* (0.023)* (0.024)* (0.023)* (0.024)* Father at home 0.019 -0.016 -0.013 -0.012 -0.013 -0.012 (0.057) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) Total Income2 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 (0.005)* (0.004)M (0.005)" (0.005)" (0.005)“ (0.005)" Agricultural household -0.151 -0.064 -0.071 -0.072 -0.078 -0.075 (0.057)*** (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) Community: Altitude’ 0.051 0.048 0.048 0.048 0.049 (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** Food4 Animal origin 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 (0.006) (0.006) (0.007) (0.006) Cereals’ 0.000 0.000 0.002 -0.000 (0.007) (0.007) (0.008) (0.008) Fruit and vegetables° 0.017 0.018 0.019 0.017 (0.007)" (0.007)" (0.007)*** (0.007)M 76 Table 2.3. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Soft drinks -0.004 -0.003 -0.002 -0.003 (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) Snacks and sugar 0.087 0.087 0.074 0.083 (0.029)*** (0.029)*** (0.029)“ (0.029)*** Sanitary services Private toilet -0.042 with moat (0.071) Shared/outdoors/other7 '0-073 (0.109) Health services8 Public clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 0.002 (0.068) Kms. 2 0.2 or DK 0068 (0.068) Private clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 -0.185 (0.094)" Kms. 2 0.2 or DK 0.016 (0.072) Traditional healer or midwife Kms. < 0.2 0.022 (0.062) Kms. 2 0.2 or DK -0.040 (0.055) Access to information Tv" -o.005 (0.006) State and population size'o'” Baja California Sur -2.297 -1.l80 -l.222 -l.218 -l.190 -l.217 (0.205)*** (0.226)*** (0.226)*** (0.226)*** (0.230)*** (0.226)*** Coahuila -1.278 -0.577 -0.598 -0.593 -0.563 -0.577 (O.180)*** (0.188)*** (0.197)*** (0.197)*"‘* (0.200)*** (0.197)*** Durango -l .421 -1.065 -1.017 -1.016 -0.986 -l.004 (0.173)*** (0.176)*** (0.183)*** (0.183)*** (0.188)*** (0.183)*** Guanajuato -0.931 -0.679 -0.741 -0.741 -0.621 -0.721 (0.177)*** (0.179)*** (0.182)*** (0.182)*** (0.195)*** (0.183)*** Jalisco -0.824 -0.256 -0.211 -0.216 -0. 174 -0.204 (0.178)*** (0.183) (0.184) (0.185) (0.192) (0.184) Mexico ~0.067 -0.062 -0. 100 -0.085 -0.048 -0. 104 (0.169) (0.171) (0.172) (0.172) (0.181) (0.173) Michoacan -1.067 -0.708 -0.709 -0.684 -0.657 ~0.7 14 (0.172)*** (0.175)*** (0.178)*** (0.179)*** (0.185)*** (0.178)*** 77 Table 2.3. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Morelos -0.716 -O. 150 -0. 161 -0.165 -0.097 -0. 147 (O.185)*** (0.190) (0.195) (0.195) (0.203) (0.195) Nuevo Leon -1.562 -O.64O -O.665 -0.665 -0.604 -0.646 (0.174)*** (0.189)*** (0.203)*** (0.203)*** (0.211)*** (0.203)*** Oaxaca -1.108 -0.601 -0.565 -0.561 -O.525 -0.577 (O.173)*** (0.178)*** (0.185)*** (0.185)*** (0.192)*** (0.186)*** Puebla -1.362 -0.976 -1.046 -1.031 -0.972 -1.050 (0.175)*** (0.177)*** (0.179)*** (0.180)*** (O.188)*** (0.179)*** Sinaloa -2. 103 -0.91 1 -0.893 -O.897 -O.777 -0.874 (0.171)*** (O.l98)*** (0.204)*** (0.204)*** (0.214)*** (0.205)*** Sonora -1.728 -O.591 -0.691 -0.691 -O.626 -0.683 (0.172)*** (O.196)*** (0.203)*** (0.203)*** (0.214)*** (0.203)*** Veracruz -l .467 -0.534 -0.692 -0.677 -O.622 -O.689 (0.168)*** (0.184)*** (0.193)*** (0.194)*** (0.198)*** (0.193)*** Yucatan -l .933 -O.73O -0.669 -0.630 -0.646 -O.660 (O.179)*** (O.206)*** (0.216)*** (0.221)*** (O.222)*** (0.216)*** Pop. > 100,000 -0.021 0.008 0.127 0.103 0.134 0.127 (0.057) (0.057) (0.071)* (0.082) (0.083) (0.071)* Pop. 15,000 - 100,000 -0249 -0144 -0015 -0045 -0031 -0011 (0.079)*** (0.079)* (0.089) (0.103) (0.097) (0.089) Pop. 2,500 - 15,000 -O.l85 -O.100 -0.014 -0.04O 0.009 -0.011 (0.069)*** (0.069) (0.074) (0.085) (0.079) (0.074) Constant 13.940 12.689 11.756 11.755 11.604 11.795 (0.217)*** (0.241)*** (0.499)*** (0.500)*** (0.508)*** (0.502)*** R-squared 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 99$.9fi99999......-.- 4150 4150..._4150-4150 4,150 4,150 Chow testn 0.96 0.99 1.11 1.19 1.22 1.12 p-value [0.464] [0.509] [0.707] [0.807] [0.837] [0.724] Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Column (1): basic independent variables. Column (2): (1) plus mean altitude at municipality level. Column (3): (2) plus diet variables at community level; median % food expenditure at community level. Columns (4)-(6): (3) plus sanitary services, health services and access to information, respectively. ’ Baseline of child's age: 5 years. ’- Monthly, 2002 Mx pesos. 3 Average at municipality-level. 4 % of total food expenditure, median at the community-level. 5 Includes tortillas and bread. 6 Includes legumes. 7 Baseline of sanitary services: Private toilet with drainage. Outdoors may be lake/river or yard/ field. 8 Distance dummy variables, baseline is service not present in community. DK if don't know distance. 9 Median-community weekly hours that mothers' watch TV. ’0 Dummy variables with baseline: Mexico DF (excludes metropolitan area). 1’ Dummy variables with baseline: Community with population < 2,500 (officially considered as rural). ’2 Tests the pooling assumption. Ho: Each coefficient and constant term is the same for girls than for boys. 78 Altitude is positively related to hemoglobin levels as expected and its effect is statistically significant (at 5%), a one-hundred meters increase in average municipality altitude will have an effect of 0.03 standard deviations on hemoglobin level There is some evidence of community dietary habits affecting hemoglobin levels, higher consumption of animal origin food, fruits, vegetables and legumes, and (surprisingly) snacks and sugar, increase H. At the community level there is no evidence of sanitary services having any statistically significant effect on H, however the signs of the estimates show that compared to children in communities where the most used service is private toilet with drainage, children in communities with other types of services would have less hemoglobin levels. Among the effects of health services, only relative closer presence of private clinic/hospitals has a statically significant effect on H: hemoglobin levels decrease by almost one-eight of a standard deviation in communities with a private clinic/hospital within 0.2 kilometers from the community center. Access to information, in terms of community median weekly hours that mothers watch TV, has a negative but small and statistically not significant effect. Children living in other states than Mexico DF have considerable lower hemoglobin levels, with estimated effects that range between of one-third and 1.5 standard deviations—-the only exceptions, with not significant effects, are the state of Mexico whose larger municipalities conform the metropolitan area of Mexico City together with Mexico DF—confirming previous observations showing lower prevalence of 79 anemia in children living in Mexico City (metropolitan area) relative to other regions (see Appendix 2 Figure A2.2). Possible explanations to these could be differences in access and/or quality of health services available in Mexico City and/or the altitude of Mexico City. Actually, once average altitude is controlled for, the effects of state variables fall by half and the effects of other two states, J alisco and Morelos, disappear (statistically); in addition, when health services are accounted for, state coefficient estimates are the smallest (in absolute terms) of all specifications, particularly those of the states of Mexico, J alisco, and Morelos have the lowest (not significant) effects. Finally, note that effects of community sizes are ambiguous and significant only in few cases. 2.4.2. ZSLS As discussed above, unobserved endowments or maternal background correlated with mother’s schooling may affect mother’s current behavior towards her child, as pointed out by Rubalcava and Teruel. Also, child health may influence maternal work decisions. This is less likely in the case of anemia, which is difficult for mothers to detect. Both of these considerations represent endogeneity problems. Table 2.4 presents results of endogeneity and overidentification tests. The left panel presents results of testing that both education and labor supply are exogenous, and central and right panels contain results of testing that education only and labor supply only, respectively, are exogenous. Evidence suggests that education is endogenous but not labor supply—I cannot reject exogeneity assumption in any case. To some extent this is not surprising, in that maternal labor decisions are more likely to be affected by their children’s health problems or 80 diseases that are relatively more evident to mothers, and low hemoglobin levels are not obvious, except maybe when anemia symptoms become a concern to the mother or until the child is medically diagnosed with anemia. In what follows, I relax the assumption that maternal education is exogenous, but keep it for maternal labor supply. I run overidentification tests in order to verify that the identifying instruments are uncorrelated with the error. Results of these tests are valid under the assumption that at least one of the instrumental variables is exogenous. Within my instrument set this requirement most plausibly holds for graduates in mother’s cohort, a variable that measures the proportion of women in mother’s birth cohort and state where she lived at 12 years that graduated from each school level—although, of course, I expect that all my instruments are in fact exogenous. Results of overidentification tests indicate that identifying instruments perform better when relaxing only the assumption of education being exogenous. First-stage results are in Table 2.5; columns (1) thru (4) contain four specifications corresponding to columns (3) thru (6) in table 3. Evidence of instruments identifying education is consistent across specifications. Some instruments are strongly correlated with education, in particular, mother’s height that serve as proxy for genetics and mother’s past nutrition and mother’s birth order, a proxy for family background. Evidence is slightly weaker in the case of mother’s cohort graduates at each level (see estimates of elementary and high school graduates) but overall these seem to be good instruments. 81 .o n 3.3 >00 echo 2: 5:5 noun—otooca 2a m.>_ =< no: N mzocowoxo A23 2 a acmmuawoz no: _ .bco cosmos? .3 358$ch mama a 98 Sam. 98 5:835 Eon no“. 8285:»? “ES. mum“: 3 .Amoom v.8 Noomv owutvooB wags—om... 88.85 E mos—«>3 :83 :83 $8.3 $83 3...: :2 4w: 8.8 $8.3 $8.3 88.3 :83 0: $2 at $3 $33 53.3 :33 33.3 o :.o :3 :3 50.3 35.3 :33 $33 30 :.o :3 So 38.3 .33 8403 $3.3 $83 :83 88.3 :83 m 08.3 :33 $8.3 $33 32 2: 3: 2: of 3: 02 mi $8.3 $8.3 $83 $23 38.3 83.3 $8.3 $33 2: Z: _.: 2: 2.2 S: a: m: $8.3 $8.3 $8.3 38.33523 32.3 :33 $33 2 R 2 3 S 2 M: mm $8.3 $8.3 $3.3 $8di$m3 :23 :93 $33 2 Z 2 E m 3 3 0.0 2 $3.3 $3.3 533 5303323 :23 :33 53.3 m 33 :mmfim 2:22 33 82-4% N 3.8 =e=8$~=~ut§© “mow-N4 gfimswm-DB-Efiso 62-h 52533-53 no.0- mmd no.0 2.0 ON- o.N- ON- ON- 2 2 06 m; *mHmB-H can u LEE .5: _ 3.2 bmunmueutm mm>~ NmZ :2 NZ , mm>~ Nm>_ :2 NZ mmZ mmZ ~m>H NZ a: 2 s a a 6 as 5 A8 @ ca 6 Q 3 Eco Snag baa cogosum 3&3 59$ 28 :oumosvm ” ”msocowowsm .333. :oumocscoctgo can bficowovcm .vN 033. 82 Table 2.5. Identifying instruments first-stage results. Dependent variable is education. ( 1) (2) (3) (4) Mother's genetics and past nutrition Mother's height 58.13 56.59 56.95 58.71 (20.346)*** (20.345)*** (20.341)*** (20.331)*** Mother's height square -17.38 -16.93 -l6.96 -17.57 (6.632)*** (6.630)“ (6.629)" (6.627)*** F Test 21.30 19.64 21.35 21.30 Mother's family backgroundI Mother is not oldest -1.32 -1.32 -1,32 -1.33 (0.265)*** (0.265)*** (0.266)*** (0.265)*** Mother does not know -0.30 -0.31 -0.29 -0.30 siblings ages (0.132)** (0.132)” (0.132)** (0.131)" 12.5 12.4 12.3 12.6 [00001 10.000] [9000] 10-000..1_..._._--- Graduates in mother's cohort2 Elementary graduates 3.04 3.07 3.14 3.02 (1.582)* (1.584)* (1.581)" (1.583)* Secondary graduates 5.61 5.63 5.87 5.60 (2.444)** (2.448)** (2.445)" (2.443)M High school graduates -0.84 -0.91 -1.34 -0.83 (2.653) (2.654) (2.666) (2.651) 27.87 27.93 27.40 27.77 - 100001100001 10.0901 10.0001 . 25.83 25.28 25.81 25.84 A“ vanables F Te“ [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] R-squared 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 Observations 3,968 3,968 3,968 3,968 Robust standard errors in parentheses; P-values in brackets, * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. Column (1): Basic specification + altitude + median % food-types expenditure. Column (2): (1) + Sanitary Services. Column (3): (2) + Health services Column (4): (3) + Access to information (Median weekly hours devoted to TV watching by mothers) ’ Family composition: mother's birth order. Baseline indicates mother is oldest sibling. 2 Proportion of women, in mother's cohort and state she lived in at 12 years, that graduated from each school level (proportion accumulates). 83 Estimates of ZSLS procedure are shown in Table 2.6. Columns (1)-(5) correspond to columns (2)-(6) of the OLS estimation in table 3. I summarize results as follows: (i) Effects of education remain positive but become significant and larger, increasing by approximately 7-10 times relative to their OLS counterparts. This reflects that the 2SLS procedure may well be also correcting measurement error, which could have produced a downward biased estimate before. Estimated effects of 3 additional years of maternal schooling on child’s hemoglobin levels range between 0.22 and 0.23, equivalent to 0.15 of a standard deviation. This is a small effect that may be reinterpreted as follows: it takes 6.8 additional years of maternal education for a child, say with a hemoglobin concentration of 11 g/dl, to be no longer anemic, i.e. to reach a level of 11.5 g/dl. (ii) Estimates of labor supply effects become more statistically significant than, but still as small as, their OLS counterparts in table 3. A lO-hour increase in weekly labor hours decreases child’s hemoglobin level by 0.03, which is equivalent to 0.02 standard deviations. This is effect is small, for example, for a child with the average hemoglobin level it would not represent a threat of becoming anemic, since it would require a mother to work 600 additional weekly hours! 84 Table 2.6. 2SLS Results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. ( 1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Mother: Education 0.073 0.074 0.075 0.074 0.074 (0.031)M (0.033)" (0.034)M (0.033)" (0.033)M Labor hours 0002 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 (0.001)" (0.001)M (0.001)" (0.001)" (0.001)M Cognitive ability -0.038 -0.038 -0.038 -0.038 -0.038 (0.016)“ (0.016)M (0.016)“ (0.016)" (0.016)” Age 0013 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.013 (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)*** Child: Sex 0.064 0.062 0.061 0.063 0.061 (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) Age:l 6years 0.112 0.115 0.114 0.121 0.115 (0.081) (0.081) (0.081) (0.081) (0.081) 7 years 0.260 0.251 0.249 0.251 0.250 (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** 8 years 0.449 0.448 0.447 0.451 0.447 (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** 9 years 0.540 0.542 0.540 0.539 0.542 (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** (0.079)*** 10 years 0.618 0.611 0.611 0.611 0.610 (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** (0.081)*** 11 years 0.816 0.816 0.816 0.818 0.816 (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** (0.080)*** Household: Siblings -0.036 -0.044 -0.043 -0.042 -0.044 (0.025) (0.025)* (0.025)* (0.025)* (0.025)* Father at home 0.019 0.027 0.026 0.026 0.028 (0.059) (0.058) (0.059) (0.058) (0.058) Total Income2 -0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) Agricultural household -0.013 -0.023 -0.025 -0.030 -0.026 (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) Community: Altitude’ 0.047 0.042 0.042 0.043 0.043 (0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.006)*** (0.006)*** (0.006)*** Food4 Animal origin 0.009 0.008 0.009 0.009 (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) Cereals5 0.007 0.007 0.009 0.006 (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) 85 Table 2.6. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Fruit and vegetables6 0.026 0.026 0.028 0.026 (0.008)*** (0.008)*** (0.008)*** (0.008)*** Soft drinks 0.015 0.015 0.017 0.016 (0.015) (0.015) (0.016) (0.015) Snacks and sugar 0.076 0.082 0.060 0.073 (0.030)M (0.031)*** (0.031)* (0.031)“ Sanitary services Private toilet -0.047 with moat (0.074) Shared/outdoors/other7 0-002 (0.114) Health services8 Public clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 0.001 (0.071) Kms. 2 0.2 or DK 0.062 (0.070) Private clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 -0.256 (0.095)*** Kms. 2 0.2 or DK 0010 (0.074) Traditional healer or Midwife Kms. < 0.2 0.016 (0.063) Kms. 2 0.2 or DK -0.060 (0.057) Access to information TV9 0004 (0.007) State and population size'o'll Baja California Sur -l.311 -1.420 -1.420 -l.382 -l .416 (0.237)*** (0.243)*** (0.244)*** (0.245)*** (0.243)*** Coahuila -0.61 1 -0.764 -0.754 -0.731 -0.748 (0.195)*** (0.212)*** (0.212)*** (0.214)*** (0.213)*** Durango -1.050 -l.134 -l.119 -l.114 —l.124 (0.183)*** (0.192)*** (0.192)*** (0.195)*** (0.193)*** Guanajuato -0.563 -0.747 -0.738 -0.610 -0.732 (0.198)*** (0.188)*** (0.188)*** (0.201)*** (0.189)*"‘* Jalisco -0.325 -0.356 -0.358 -0.324 -0.350 (0.191)* (0.193)"‘ (0.194)* (0.200) (0.194)* Mexico -0.015 0130 -0.112 -0.103 -0.133 (0.182) (0.178) (0.177) (0.187) (0.178) Michoacan -0.655 -0.764 -0.756 -0.713 -0.768 (0.187)*** (0.184)*** (0.186)*** (0.191)*** (0.185)*** 86 Table 2.6. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Morelos -0.204 -0.339 -0.336 -0.271 -0.328 (0.197) (0.209) (0.209) (0.214) (0.210) Nuevo Leon -0.716 -0.889 -0.883 -0.831 -0.875 (0.198)*** (0.224)*** (0.224)*** (0.230)*** (0.226)*** Oaxaca -0.610 -0.722 -0.705 -0.687 -0.730 (0.188)*** (0.193)*** (0.193)*** (0.198)*** (0.194)*** Puebla -0.880 -1.035 -1.042 -0.949 -1.038 (0.187)*** (0.184)*"‘* (0.186)*** (0.192)*** (0.184)*** Sinaloa -0.963 -1 .063 -1.067 -0.916 -1.049 (0.205)*** (0.216)*** (0.217)*** (0.224)*** (0.218)*** Sonora -0.662 -0.896 -0.896 -0.824 -0.890 (0.203)*** (0.220)*** (0.221)*** (0.228)*** (0.220)*** Veracruz -0.552 -0.827 -0.824 -0.753 —0.824 (0.193)*** (0.201)*** (0.203)*** (0.205)*** (0.202)*** Yucatan -0.795 -0.863 -0.829 -0.840 -0.857 (0.213)*** (0.226)*** (0.233)*** (0.231)**"‘ (0.227)*** Pop. > 100,000 0060 0.097 0.085 0.129 0.097 (0.070) (0.076) (0.087) (0.088) (0.076) Pop. 15,000 - 100,000 0207 -0.039 -0.062 -0.033 -0.037 (0.088)" (0.093) (0.108) (0.102) (0.094) Pop. 2,500 - 15,000 -0.104 -0.001 -0.012 0.039 0.001 (0.071) (0.076) (0.088) (0.081) (0.076) Constant 12.248 11.036 11.041 10.919 11.066 (0.332)*** (0.615)*** (0.617)*** (0.628)*** (0.622)*** R-squared 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Observations 3,968 3,968 3,968 3,968 3,968 Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Column (1): basic independent variables. Column (2): (1) plus mean altitude at municipality level. Column (3): (2) plus diet variables at community level; median % food expenditure at community level. Columns (4)-(6): (3) plus sanitary services, health services and access to information, respectively. ’ Baseline of child's age: 5 years. 2 Monthly, 2002 Mx pesos. 3 Average at municipality-level. 4 % of total food expenditure, median at the community-level. 5 Includes tortillas and bread. 6 Includes legumes. 7 Baseline of sanitary services: Private toilet with drainage. Outdoors may be lake/river or yard/field. 8 Distance dummy variables, baseline is service not present in community. DK if don't know distance. 9 Median-community weekly hours that mothers' watch TV. ’0 Dummy variables with baseline: Mexico DF (excludes metropolitan area). ” Dummy variables with baseline: Community with population < 2,500 (officially considered as rural). 87 (iii). Other results: — The effect of maternal cognitive ability remains negative and, unexpectedly, becomes 3.5 times larger and more significant than the OLS—~three additional points in the Raven Score is related with a decrease of 0.1 1012 in hemoglobin levels“. - Effects of mother’s age also become larger (and more significant) relative to the OLS case. The average child with a mother who is 5 years younger would decrease H by 0.04 standard deviations. - Total income is no longer significant when applying ZSLS and its effect become ambiguous across specifications. — Remaining results are similar to those of OLS. Table 2.7 shows maternal education effects on child height. These results reveal that three additional years of maternal education translate into an increase approximately 0.24 of a standard deviation of height—the analogous effect is approximately 0.15 of a standard deviation of hemoglobin. A relatively larger estimate in the case of height seems reasonable since general education is more likely to provide basic nutrition and health knowledge that eventually affects height, than specific instruction on, for example, food containing supplying iron and effects of iron deficiency. Moreover, height and growth retardation are easier to observe and “diagnose” by the mother than low hemoglobin levels and anemia. 6| . . . . . The estimated coefficrent IS also negative when Raven Scores are 1n terms of Z-scores. 88 Table 2.7. Education effects on child height, ZSLS results. (1) Basic + altitude 0.082 (0.025)*** (2) + Diet variables at community level 0.081 (0.026)*** (3) (2) + sanitary services 0.078 (0.025)*** (4) (2) + health services 0.082 (0.026)*** (5) (2) + access to information 0.083 (0.026)*** Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Basic specification includes: labor hours, cognitive ability and age of mother; child's gender and age; number of children in the household; presence of father; whether the household is agricultural; and, state and population size dummies. See notes in table 2.6. 2.4.3. Interactions In this section, I examine possible mechanisms through which maternal education affects child’s health. Above, I directly included variables of infrastructure and access to information, where the effect of education remained practically unchanged and only private health services coefficients were statistically significant. Now, I incorporate interactions between education and infrastructure and between education and access to information to analyze possible complementarities or substitution effects. Results are shown in Table 2.8. 89 Table 2.8. Interactions results. Dependent variable: hemoglobin levels. (1) (2) (3) Maternal Education 0.048 0.197 0.073 (0.030) (0.043)*** (0.039)* Interactions: With sanitary services Private toilet with moat -0.021 (0.034) Shared/outdoors/other 0.080 (0.056) With health services Public clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 -0.l27 (0.041)*** Kms. 2 0.2 or DK -0.100 (0.045)” Private clinic/hospital Kms. < 0.2 -0.066 (0.052) Kms. _>_ 0.2 or DK -0.006 (0.033) Traditional healer or midwife Kms. < 0.2 -0.052 (0.032) Kms. 2 0.2 or DK -0.028 (0.030) With access to information TV 0.000 (0.003) R-squared 0.21 0.18 0.20 Observations 3,968 3,968 3,968 Standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% All regressions include basic covariates, mean-municipality altitude, and median % food- types expenditure. Column (1): Sanitary services and interactions of education and sanitary services Column (2): Health services and interactions of education and health services Column (3): Access to information and interactions of education and median-community weekly hours of TV watching by mothers. Identifying instruments: mother's height and its square, mother's birth order, proportion of graduates in mother's cohort by school levels. 90 When including interactions with sanitary services the effect of education decreases and becomes statistically not significant. In the case of access to information the effect is similar than before. Only estimates of public clinic/hospital coefficients are statistically significant. The presence of this health service decreases the effect of education and more so the closest the service to the community center (downtown); may be reflecting a substitution effect between education and public health services. The estimated effect of 3 additional years of education when public health service is not present in the community is equivalent to 0.4 standard deviations of hemoglobin levels, but only 0.14, if this service is relative close to the community center, and 0.19 standard deviations, if service is relatively far. In other words, the presence of a public hospital reduces the effect of maternal education with the total effect remaining similar than before and becomes slightly higher if the public hospital is relatively distant. 2.5. Conclusions I find that effects of maternal education on hemoglobin levels are consistently positive across different specifications and procedures. Evidence suggests that education is endogenous and possibly contaminated by measurement error, producing biased estimates from OLS procedures. Most accurate estimates show that an increase of 3 years in mother’s education affects a child’s hemoglobin level by 0.15-0.16 of a standard deviation, which are small. However, this does not imply that it is not valuable to educate women, rather that strategies to improve the quality of education would be valuable. For example, education programs in Mexican schools and health prevention programs in facilities could be improved by including specific nutrition-health topics that are of public 91 health relevance, emphasizing the relationship between dietary intakes and nutritional- health outcomes. These would be particularly important in the case of health problems that are not obvious or which symptoms may be misleading. I also find evidence indicating that maternal education may operate with public health services (clinic/hospital) through a substitution effect. I also find evidence suggesting that mother’s labor supply may not be endogenous, which is reasonable, since low hemoglobin levels are not obvious to the mother and her labor decisions are likely to be independent of this aspect of her child’s health. However, further analysis would be needed to confirm this. Additionally, I find that younger mothers have less healthy children and that, although, girls appear to be healthier than boys this difference is not statistically significant. 92 CHAPTER 3 DO PUBLIC INITIATIVES CHANGE SEXUAL AND REPRODUCTIVE BEHAVIOR OF WOMEN? 3.1. Introduction Sexual and reproductive education intends to change sexual/reproductive behavior. It is expected to translate into better (more conscious) sexual and reproductive health practices: pregnancy control, prevention of AIDS and other sexually transmitted diseases, and, in the case of women, prevention of breast and cervical cancers. As Michael (2004) states “the value of capital associated with sexual behavior. . .involves resources that are both capabilities and habits that are embedded or become part of the person’s pattern of behavior”, which would imply an important role of sexual and reproductive education in the formation of such a capital. Yet opponents of programs of sexual education argue that instead it encourages sexual activity and increases unwanted pregnancies, particularly among younger (unmarried) people (Oettinger, 1999). During the 19705 the Mexican government, like that of other countries, introduced policies to promote birth control and family planning in order to reduce the pressure of population growth. These policies were implemented through two essential sectors: education and health care. In 1974, sexual education programs were implemented in Mexican schools for the first time and contents upgraded as new social and public concerns rose: in 1987, with the AIDS epidemic, the emphasis was put on prevention; and, in 1994-1998, gender issues, sexual, and reproductive rights were included (Rodriguez, 2001). Along with education programs, in 1972 and 1973, public health 93 institutions incorporated family planning and birth control programs at large. In 1973, a new Sanitary Code eliminated the prohibition on contraceptives sales and advertising. The purpose of this study is to examine whether the sexual and reproductive behavior of Mexican women changed due to public initiatives launched in the 19703. I use a variety of indicators to characterize sexual and reproductive behavior: first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, and utilization of contraceptive methods. To identify the effects of public programs, I make use of individual exposure to in-school sexual education and to birth control promotion in public health facilities. In a previous work, Miranda (2006) finds that young cohorts of Mexican women are actually postponing first birth compared to older ones. However, to my knowledge, no study so far has aimed to explicitly disentangle the effect of birth control and family planning public initiatives on the reproductive and sexual behavior of Mexican women. My contribution consists of analyzing changes in various components of sexual and reproductive behavior, exploiting the fact that exposure to programs varied across women of different cohorts, schooling attainments, and utilization of health facilities. The following section contains a brief account of the family planning policies implemented in Mexico since the 19703. Section 3.3 presents a review of the literature. Econometric models are described in section 3.4. Data and empirical analysis are in section 3.5. Results are in section 3.6. Section 3.7 concludes. 94 3.2. Background In the 1970s, the Mexican government launched several initiatives to promote birth control and family planning, in line with international trends62, to reduce the pressure of the population growth: (i) sexual education in schools as part of the natural science curricula at the elementary and secondary levels; (ii) family planning and birth control programs in public health institutions; and (iii) foundation of the Mexican National Council of Population (CONAPO) in charge of demographic plans and research. These public initiatives consisted of education, informative campaigns, and direct promotion in schools, hospitals and clinics, and mass media. The principles regarding the new population policies were introduced in both the Federal Constitution (CPEUM) and the 63.64_ General Population Law (LGP) “Every individual has the right to freely, responsibly, and well-informed decide on the number and timing of her/his children.” (CPEUM, Title First. Chapter 1. Article 4. Modification published in 1974). “. . .carry out family planning programs through public education and public health services, and supervise that such programs and those managed by private organizations are respectful of the human rights and family dignity. . .”(LGP, Chapter 1. Article 3. Part II. Modified in 1973). 62 For example, the United Nations founded the Fund for Population Activities (UNFPA) in 1969. 63 The General Population Law was first promulgated in 1936 and explicitly promoted fertility and population growth (Palma C., 2005 and Sénchez L., 1997). Note acronyms are in Spanish. 6’ Own translation. 95 “. . .influence the population dynamics through education, public health, professional and technical training, and children protection systems...” (LGP, Chapter I. Article 3. Part IV. Modified in 1973). The aim of the Mexican government was to promote birth control and family planning“. Yet, the use of contraception methods and the development of a new perception regarding sexuality always emphasized the role of the family [wedlock] as the [only] acceptable space for sexual practices (Garcia A., 2001)“. Overall, these public policies were effective, annual average population growth rate decreased from 3.4 (1960- 70) to 1.0 (2000-05)”7 and global fertility rates dropped from 5.7 (1976) to 2.2 (2006). Starting in 1974, sexual education was included in the contents of the textbooks”8 at the elementary level, beginning in fifth grade, and at the secondary level (seventh thru ninth grades). In 1974, the curriculum included menstrual functioning, changes due to puberty and adolescence, and reproductive processes (fifth grade textbook); and birth control, contraceptive use, and prevention of sexually transmitted diseases (secondary textbooks). Since 1987, with the AIDS epidemic an emphasis was put on prevention in the secondary courses. Beginning in 1994-1998, from fifth grade on, the program has added the formation of values: gender-equality issues, sexual and reproductive rights, sexual relationships, love, and sexual violence, among others. While curricula upgrading (’5 Figure 3.1 presents a timeline indicating basic initiatives in the 19705. 66 At the beginning the idea was based on “biological and neo-malthusian” principles, but then due to the intervention of the Catholic Church and the National Parents Union (Union Nacional de Padres de F amilia, UNPF)—a conservative institution that defends religious-related moral principles—the emphasis shifted. 67 Dindmica de la poblacién—population dynamics—at the National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) webpage (http:/x’wwwinegi.gobmx/esL’delault.aspx‘?c=2343). 68 Textbooks published by the Secretaria de Educacion Publica (Ministry of Education) are free and mandatory in public schools and while also free for private schools their use is discretionary (Torres S., 2002) 96 tried to adapt to social and environmental needs, many young Mexican people (12-29 years old) still believe that they have received important sexual health information in places other than school. According to the 2000 Mexican Youth Survey (Rodriguez, 2001): 34.1% of the young people believed that they received important sexual health information from school; 24.4 % believed that they got it from parents, 19.4% from own learning; 9.7% from friends; 5.9% from media; 4% other and church. Along with education programs, other sexual-reproductive policies were launched in the 1970369. In 1972 and 1973, public health facilities with large coverage70 started to incorporate family planning and birth control programs. In 1973, a new Sanitary Code eliminated the prohibition on contraceptives sales and advertising, and between 1973 and 1976 the politics, organization, and agenda were set to integrate family planning into the health services. The government founded the CONAPO in 1974, and, in 1977, the first National Program for Family Planning (PNPF). Many important strategies were initiated, among which was the Family Planning Communication Program, with the purpose to “inform, make aware, and generate changes in attitudes with respect to reproductive behavior”“, and an expansion strategy to reach rural communities (population size: 500- 2500). It was not until 1984 that family planning was included in the General Health Law 69 The following brief historical account of the sexual/reproductive programs of the health sector is based on Palm and Rivera (1996), unless otherwise noted. 70 Large coverage institutions: Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (Mexican Social Security Institute, IMSS), Secretaria de Salud y Asistencia (Health Ministry, SSA); and Instituto de Seguridad y Servicios Sociales para los Trabajadores del Estado (Social Security for State Workers, ISSSTE). Before the public initiatives of the 19705 two private organizations were founded with the objectives of providing family planning services (Asociacion Pro Salud Matema, in 1958), doing research, providing education and supplying medical services for family planning (Fundacion para Estudios de la Poblacién, A.C., in 1965— now F undacion Mexicana para la Planeacion Familiar, Mexfam). Also, in 1968, previous to other and more general public initiatives, the Instituto Nacional de la Nutricion Salvador Zubiran (Nacional Nutrition Institution, INNSZ) started a research program and the provision of family planning services. (All acronyms are in Spanish). 7' In gQué es el CONAPO? (What is CONAPO?) at www.conapogob.mx. 97 (LGS) under similar principles as those in the LGP. During 19805 other approaches were adopted as more results of social (surveys) and medical (contraceptive methods and techniques) research were obtained. Also, policies for the prevention of AIDS were developed like, in 1988, the creation of the National Council of AIDS in Mexico (now CENSIDA)”. In the 19905, the PNPF emphasis was set on specific population groups (teenagers, rural, and men) and it continued to provide planning services, information, and education. Oldest Youngest women women (49 yr-old) (14 yr-old) 1953 1988 l l l | I I _ I I l | I I 7 1972-73 1974 1987 2002 M FLS Health sector: Education sector: x 1. Introduction of family planning in public health facilities 2. Reform of sanitary code to allow sales of contraceptives. Introduction of sexual education program in schools. (5mgrade elementary thru 3'dgrade secondary) Figure 3.1. Timetable of major public initiatives to promote birth control and family planning in Mexico. ’2 Hemandez-Chavez (1995). 98 At the same time, other factors may have also contributed to changes in sexual and reproductive behavior of the Mexican population. For example, the increase in schooling attainment of both females and males may be associated with higher opportunity costs of unwanted consequences of sexual activity, i.e. unwanted pregnancies”. New generations may develop different religions and social conventions compared to older ones, e. g. the “correct” role of women with respect to marriage and children". However, it is not possible to know the extent to which these socio-cultural attitudes have been influenced by the public initiatives to promote sexual and reproductive health. 3.3. Literature Review Table 3.1 contains a synthesis of related literature. Most of these works analyze the relationship between sexual and reproductive behavior and sex education, birth control promotion, or other similar policies. This literature mostly focuses on teenagers in the USA and the UK. I also include the paper by Miranda because he examines the postponement of first birth by younger Mexican women, although he does not explicitly look at the impact of sex education or family planning policies. Oettinger (1999) and Tremblay and Ling (2005) examine the association between sex education and sexual behavior among American teenagers. Oettinger theoretically models the impact of sexual education on sexual activity. 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As a result sexual activity increases but the effect on teen pregnancies is ambiguous. Risk revealing education provides knowledge on contraception methods and their correct use. Outcomes of sexual activity and pregnancies depend on whether perceived risk of pregnancy is revised upward or downward but both outcomes move in the same direction. Utility altering education changes expected utilities of different outcomes of sexual activity. Predictions of the model with respect to utility altering education are not conclusive, sexual activity and pregnancies change depending on how relative utilities shift and both move in same direction. This model suggests that magnitudes of these predictions vary with individual characteristics: gender and access to alternative sources of information. Oettinger empirically estimates hazard models to analyze the effects of reported enrollment in sex education on teen sexual activity and teen pregnancy. He finds that sex education is associated with earlier sexual activity for females and (weakly) with pregnancy for some female groups. For both sexual activity and pregnancy, effects are larger for females with fewer sources of information relative to males and groups with more sources of information. Tremblay and Ling adapt Oettinger’s model to analyze the effect of AIDS education on the abstinence-intercourse-condom use decisions. They adjust the original classification of education types, i.e. risk altering, risk revealing, and utility altering, for AIDS education. They empirically estimate a multinomial logit model to analyze probability of abstinence and intercourse, finding that AIDS education increases probability of condom use relative to unprotected intercourse but it does not encourage 104 sexual activity. Additionally, they find that AIDS education has a larger influence on women than it does on men. Paton (2002) also adapts Oettinger’s model to analyze the effect of family planning on British teenagers’ sexual behavior. Predictions of the model are extended to examine aggregate level data. Theoretical predictions of this approach may be summarized as follows: (i) increased availability of family planning leads to an increase in the rate of teenagers’ sexual activity and (ii) impact on pregnancy rates and whether access to family planning has greater or less impact on underage abortions than on overall conceptions are ambiguous. Paton uses a natural experiment generated by a policy change, the 1984 Gillick Ruling, which prohibited teenagers below 16 from obtaining advice on family planning without parental consent. He finds no evidence that provision of family planning information reduces underage conception and abortion rates but finds that child care services and the unemployment rate are positively associated with pregnancy rates while proportion of young people staying in post-compulsory education has a negative effect on both pregnancy and abortion rates. Averett et al. (2002) analyze the effects of government policies, laws, and neighborhood characteristics on sexual activity and contraceptive use among American female teenagers. Policies and laws are included in the form of the existence of an abortion provider in a county, availability of Medicaid funding for therapeutic abortion, existence of consent law in state (need of parental consent for abortion), and family planning clinics in county. Neighborhood effects are measured by the proportions of non- white populations and median income. Averett et al. do not find any evidence of costs of 105 abortion affecting sexual activity or contraception use. But they find evidence that family planning clinics have a positive effect on contraception use, and that neighborhood characteristics affect both sexual activity and contraception methods employed. Miranda empirically estimates discrete time duration models of first birth, finding that younger Mexican women are postponing first birth relative to older ones. He also finds that Catholicism and education are negatively associated with the hazard of entering motherhood, while, ceteris paribus, indigenous women are more likely to have their first child at a younger age, more so in the case of younger generations. There is evidence on effects of religion, education, and ethnicity varying across cohorts. In this paper, I extend Miranda’s work on Mexican women in three ways. Because I am interested in changes in sexual and reproductive behavior, I analyze a variety of outcomes seeking to complement his findings. Miranda indirectly looks at the role of family planning campaigns by defining cohorts of women who “were already at risk, or about to become at risk, at the time of the policy innovation [1963-72]”, who became “at risk after the start of the new policy [1973-82]”, and who were born between 1942 and 1962. Since I am trying to establish a (causal) connection between differences among cohorts and the implementation of public education policies, I directly include covariates that capture the effect of such campaigns besides 5-year cohort dummy variables. Due to data restrictions Miranda does not observe actual menarche age and has to assume 12 years old. I am able to calculate durations with respect to actual (reported) menarche ages—except in the cases of contraception method and condom use in which duration is measured with respect to age of first sexual encounter, and second pregnancy in which duration is calculated with respect to first pregnancy. 106 3.4. Econometric Models I estimate duration-hazard models following econometric treatments by Miranda and Oettinger (1999). As indicators of sexual and reproductive behavior, I specifically analyze first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, first use of contraception method, and first use of condom by woman’s partner. I also estimate a multinomial logit model of contraception method use, i.e. traditional, temporary (local and hormonal), or permanent—a procedure similar to that used by Tremblay and Ling (2005) for condom use and intercourse among youths. This analysis of contraception methods becomes very important in the Mexican context since, in the last decades, the demand for permanent contraception (female operation) has dramatically increased relative to other methods (Miranda, 2006; also see Figure A3.5). 3.4.1. Duration-hazard models I use proportional hazard models that contain both time-varying (16(0) and time- invariant (Z) covariates. A[t;x(t),z,,B] = x[x(t),z,,B]/to(t) (3.1) where 10(1) is the baseline hazard. If K[x(t), z] = exp[x(t)flx(t)+ 2,32] then l[x(t), z, ,Bx(t): :32 ]= 20 (t)expl:x(t),8x(t) + 2,32] (3.2) 107 where ith coefficient in either vector 6,“) or ,BZ may be interpreted as the proportion by which the hazard changes due to a one unit increase in the ith covariate (see Wooldridge, 2002 and Cameron and Trivedi, 2005). I estimate several outcomes in order to depict sexual and reproductive behavior: first sexual encounter, first pregnancy, second pregnancy, first-time temporary contraception method, and first-time condom use. Durations of time to first sexual encounter and first pregnancy are calculated with respect to age of menarche, duration of time to second pregnancy is computed with respect to age of first pregnancy, duration of time to first use of contraception methods (temporary and condom) are measured with respect to age of first sexual encounter. The original cross section sample is converted into a panel-type database expanding each observation by the corresponding woman’s age. In the panel dataset each observation is a woman-year and the “history” of each woman is described by her (time-varying) age, durations until failures, education, and exposure to sexual education. I am interested in analyzing how the hazard functions shift when covariates change. Thus estimation of 110 (t) is not necessary and I use a Cox procedure to estimate equation (3.2). Vector x(t) includes exposure to sex education that captures either the effect of the introduction of sexual education in schools (1974) or the program upgrading due to AIDS epidemics (1987). Vector Z contains: (i) exposure to family planning promotion in public health facilities; (ii) education controls: a dummy indicating whether a woman attended a private school at highest level of schooling, interactions between private school and exposure, and highest level attained; (iii) cohort and marital status dummy variables; (iv) characteristics of community of residence at age 12 that serves to controlling for possible 108 unobserved heterogeneity due to, for example, differences in background like past relative wealth or access to basic services; and, (v) state and community-level population size dummy variables. In the cases of first and second pregnancies, I do not include a marital status variable due to potential endogeneity. It is worth noting that Miranda explicitly takes into account childless women, i.e. women who may be sterile or dislike children, by including a mass point. However, according to MxFLS sample only 2.5% (1.4%) of women have long durations to first pregnancy—durations of more than 20 years (25 years). Since the sample consists of women in fertile ages, it is difficult to assume that these women will definitely remain childless, except perhaps for those over 45. Possibly a group closest to the childless category would be that with long durations and no sexual intercourse ever: 1.8% (1%) of women with durations of more than 20 years (25 years). Moreover, if one believes that average sterility or preferences for children do not really change across generations, one would not expect that the lack of control for childlessness would affect results. 3.4.2 Multinomial logit model A woman or her partners could have used more than one birth/disease control (contraception methods for simplicity). I group these methods in three types, traditional, temporary, and permanent. Traditional type consists of rhythm (periodic abstinence), withdrawal (coitus interruptus), and herbs or teas. Temporary type includes pills, emergency pills, and other hormonal methods, intra-uterine device (IUD), and masculine condom. Permanent types are female operation (tubal occlusion) and male operation (vasectomy). 109 None, one, or some of three types of methods may have been used by a woman (or her partner). Let CM be a set of all possible methods—for convenience let it include a “no method” possibility—, then CM = {never used any method, used only traditional methods, used traditional and temporary methods, used traditional and permanent methods, used only temporary methods, used temporary and permanent methods, and used only permanent}. I am interested in three possible outcomes: (i) never used a contraception method or have used only traditional types, (ii) have used temporary types (may have used traditional but never permanent), or (iii) woman or partner presently use permanent, i.e. either is operated (may have used traditional or temporary). I construct a variable y that categorizes such choices, taking a value j (j = O, 1, 2) for each alternative in (i) thru (iii), respectively. Table 3.2 presents a matrix summarizing CM and y, for example, if a woman is operated (permanent) then her response is categorized as 2, even if she used other types of methods during her life; or, a woman’s response would be 1 if she has used temporary methods but never a permanent one, even if she has used traditional methods as well. The unconditional probabilities associated with these choices are P( y = 0) = the probability of not using contraception methods or having used only traditional types P(y = 1) = the probability of having used temporary contraception methods but never permanent, and P( y = 2) = the probability of using a permanent method. 110 Table 3.2. Contraception methods use matrix. None Traditional Temporary Permanent None None — - - Traditional _ Traditional Trad1t10nal and Tradltlonal and Temporary Permanent Temporary and Temporary - Temporary Permanent Permanent - Permanent y= l 2 Using a binary response model would not capture all possibilities of contraception methods potentially available to a woman. Also, since a woman’s decision to use permanent rather than temporary contraception methods likely reflects a very different life situation, it seems pertinent to analyze the former apart from the latter. Thus, I use a multinomial logit model in order to fully understand decisions over contraception: P(y = jlx)=exp(x§j )/[l + i exp(x§h ):l, j: 0, 1,2 (3.3) h=l where x is a vector of covariates and 5 a vector of parameters (Note: elements in these vectors differ from those in section 3.4.1). I estimate the probabilities of using temporary and permanent methods with respect to the baseline j = 0, never used 111 contraceptive methods or have used only traditional methods. Variables in vector x are the following: exposure to sex education program in school, age of first sexual encounter, education controls (same as in duration models), cohort and marital status dummy variables, number of children, and state and population size dummy variables. 3.5. Data and empirical analysis 3.5.1 Data I use data drawn from the module on Reproductive Health of the Mexican Family Life Survey (MxFLS-1). The Reproductive Health Questionnaire (RHQ) was applied to all women of fertile age (14-49 years old) within each household. The sample size is 8,500 households and representative at all national, regional, and urban-rural levels. The RHQ gathered information on history of pregnancies, contraception, and sexual health. Table 3.3 presents summary statistics of relevant variables. Total sample of women in fertile age is 8,743; 2,034 of the original sample are women between 14 and 19 years old. The number of observations after excluding teenagers is 6,709 and this is the final sample I refer to hereafter. I exclude teenagers because they may not have completed the highest level of schooling by the time of the survey, so in their case this would not be a good control of completed education. Average age is 33.1 years and the cohorts are distributed as follows: 11.5% ofthe women were born in 1953-57; 14.8% in 1958-62; 16.7% in 1963-67; 19.2% in 1968-72; 18.2% in 1973-77; and, 19.6% in 1978-82. In terms of marital status: 20.3% of the women report being single, 5.5% separated, 58.2% married, 2.5 divorced, 1.6% widow, and 11.9% live in consensual union. 112 Sexual and reproductive indicators reveal that 85.6% of the women reported having had sexual intercourse, with an average duration to first sexual intercourse of 6.4 years after menarche. 82.2% of these women have used contraception methods: 4.0%, traditional methods; 57.4%, temporary methods; and, 38.6%, permanent methods. 23.3% of the women who have had sex reported that their partners have used (male) condom. On average, duration from first sexual intercourse to first use of a contraception method is 3.6 years, duration to first use of a temporary method is 4.1 years, and to first use of condom is 5.3 years. Of all women, 81.4% have been pregnant and their average time duration fiom menarche to first pregnancy is 7.4 years. 75.1% of these women had a second pregnancy (69.1% of all women) and their average duration from first to second pregnancy is 2.8 years. Most women were potentially75 exposed to the first in-school sex education program (1974) for at least one year; on average, they were exposed 3.9 years. 33.3% of the sample was not exposed to sex education either because they did not attain 5th grade of elementary school or because they quit or finished school before 1974, and 40.1% of the sample was exposed to sex education for 5 years. Only 33% of the sample was exposed to the 1987 program upgrading for at least one year; on average, they were exposed 3.6 years. In total, 15.7% of the sample was exposed to the program upgrading for 5 years. According to general education statistics, average schooling is 7.3 years; 54.0% attained less than secondary schooling; 27.9% completed secondary school; 18.0% completed 75 Information on whether a woman actually received sexual education or not is not available. I assume that the program was put into operation (i.e. contents of free textbooks actually taught in class) in all public schools and probably in private schools since 1974. 113 high school or a higher level; and, relatively few women attended a private school at their highest level attained (7.6%). Exposure to birth control and family planning in health facilities began around 1972. I assume that women who were taken care of during their first pregnancy in public clinics and hospitals were exposed to these programs: 97.3% of the women had a first pregnancy in or after 1972 and 59.3% received care in public facilities. I define characteristics of community of residence at 12 years with respect to available sources of drinking water and sanitary services. 46.0% of the women lived in a community where WC was available regardless of the source of drinking water (bottled, tap, or other); 21.3% lived in a community where sanitary service was a latrine or other and drinking water was obtained from tap; and, 32.7% lived in a community with a latrine or other sanitary service and source of drinking water was other than tap (bottled or other). Finally, women are distributed by current communities of residence (in 2002) mostly in large cities and rural areas. 39.7% live in places with more than 100,000 habitants; 9.6% live in smaller cities with 15,000-100,000 habitants; 11.3% live in communities with 2,500-15,000 habitants; and, 39.4% live in rural communities with population less than 2,500. 114 Table 3.3. Summary Statistics. Variable Mean Std Dev. Sexual and reproductive indicators Sexual intercourse (%) 85.6 35.2 Duration (years) 6.4 3.9 Contraception use (%) 82.2 38.2 Traditional (%) 4.0 19.6 Temporary (%) 57.4 49.5 Permanent (%) 38.6 48.7 Condom (%) 23.3 42.3 Duration any method (years) 3.6 4.5 Duration temporary method (years) 4.1 5.2 Duration condom (years) 5.3 5.5 First pregnancy (%) 81.4 38.9 Duration (years) 7.4 4.2 Second pregnancy (%) 69.1 46.2 Duration (years) 2.8 2.5 Exposure variables In-school Exposure-1974 (years) 3.9 1.5 0 years (%) 33.3 47.1 1 year (%) 4.3 20.2 2 years (%) 16.5 37.1 3 years (%) 2.5 15.5 4 years (%) 3.4 18.2 5 years (%) 40.1 49.0 Exposure-1987 (years) 3.6 1.6 0 years (%) 67.0 47.0 1 year (%) 4.3 20.4 2 years (%) 7.5 26.3 3 years (%) 2.4 15.4 4 years (%) 3.0 17.1 5 years (%) 15.7 36.4 In-health facility (First pregnancy) 0.0 0.0 In or afier 1972 (%) 97.3 16.3 Care in public facility (%) 59.3 49.1 Birth cohort (%) 1953-57 11.5 31.9 1958-62 14.8 35.5 1963-67 16.7 37.3 1968-72 19.2 39.4 1973-77 18.2 38.6 1978-82 19.6 39.7 115 Table 3.3. (Cont’d). Variable Mean Std Dev. Education Years 731.8 385.6 Less than secondary school (%) 54.0 49.8 Secondary school completed (%) 27.9 44.9 High school or higher (%) 18.0 38.5 Attend private school (%) 7.6 26.5 Age (average) 33.1 8.4 Marital status (%) Single 20.3 40.2 Separated 5.5 22.8 Married 58.2 49.3 Divorced 2.5 15.5 Widow 1.6 12.6 Union 11.9 32.4 Community of residence at 12 years (%) WC available and any source of drinking water 46.0 49.8 Latrine/other and drinking water from tap 21.3 40.9 Latrine/other and drinking water from 32.7 46.9 State of residence Baja California Sur 3.9 19.3 Coahuila 5.4 22.6 Distrito Federal 2.4 15.2 Durango 5.8 23.4 Guanaj uato 6.5 24.7 Jalisco 5.3 22.5 Estado de Mexico 7.1 25.6 Michoacan 7.9 27.0 Morelos 4.9 21.5 Nuevo Leon 8.8 28.3 Oaxaca 6.5 24.7 Puebla 5.2 22.2 Sinaloa 8.2 27.5 Sonora 8.4 27.7 Veracruz 9.2 29.0 Yucatan 4.6 20.9 Community of residence population size > 100,000 39.7 48.9 15,000 - 100,000 9.6 29.5 2,500 - 15,000 11.3 31.7 < 2,500 39.4 48.9 Sample size]: 6,709 116 3.5.2 Empirical analysis Sexual education programs implemented since 1974 begin at the elementary level in 5‘h grade and 6th grades, and continue through all three grades at the secondary level—the structure of education levels in Mexico is described in Table 3.4. This implies some women were not exposed to in-school sexual education: (i) those not attaining 5th grade before and after 1974 and (ii) those that finished secondary school before 1974. I exploit this fact to identify the effect of exposure to sexual education. I construct specific year- grades for each individual and an indicator for whether a woman completed targeted school grades before or in/after 1974. I then interact years of schooling attainment with the 1974-dummy to obtain years of exposure (YRSEXP) to program (see Figure 3.2). Figure 3.3 shows the average exposure to the 1974-program by cohort of birth, women born before 1959 were practically not exposed. Posterior generations were increasingly exposed but it is the birth cohort of 1960-1965 the one that faced the most important transition. In Figure 3.4, one can actually observe that, although duration fi'om first sexual intercourse and contraception use was already declining, a significant discontinuity shows between the generations born in 1959 and 1960. To analyze possible effects of program-upgrading due to social and public health concerns, I design a variable that captures the effect of programs since 1987, when the AIDS epidemic led to an emphasis on protection and condom use. This variable is constructed in the same way as YRSEXP, adjusting calendar-school year to 1987. Both years of exposure-to-education variables are treated as time varying covariates, x(t) in equations (3.1) and (3.2). 117 Table 3.4. Mexican education system: elementary thru high school. Grades School Level (S.ch001-years) Elementary 15‘- 6th Starting at 6 years old. Secondary 1St - 3rd High school 1St - 3rd Individuals are around 18 years old when graduating. Required to enroll in college. 1953-62 1963-72 5 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o A 0 -< I). O C . O I O . O 0 O C O . C C O C C O . O O . g 1973-82 1983-88 0 5 - C . O O O O O C . O O . C C O 3) o 0" O O X LL] 0 I O — C O O O O O O O C O O 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 Education (years) Figure 3.2. Potential exposure to sexual education program at different education years by cohort groups. 118 4.5 3.5 2.5 e 1.5 ,. 0.5 1 1961 [£61 {£61 SL61 LL6IC_ 6L6I 1861 $961 9961 L961 6961 £961 S961 L961 6961 Figure 3.3. Exposure to 1974-Program, average by birth cohort. 10 1 1 7.1 1 1 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 —— lst Sexual Intercourse -3K— lst Contraception lst Temporary Method —A— lst Pregnancy —B-— 2nd Pregnancy Figure 3.4. Sexual and reproductive behavior, average durations by birth cohort. 119 To isolate the effect of exposure from that of schooling, 1 control for the highest level of completed education (a time-invariant variable). In addition, notice that official textbooks are not compulsory for private schools, so to control for this potential source of bias, I include dummy variable indicating whether woman attended a private school. Public initiatives in the 705 also involved the promotion of birth control and family planning in the health sector. In order to estimate the potential impact of these policies, I estimate the hazard of a second pregnancy, conditional on having been pregnant a first time. This model includes additional variables indicating whether the first child was born in or after 1972 and whether delivery of first child was in a public facility. For a more precise assessment of the effect of obtaining information on birth control in public facilities since 1972, I include an interaction of public facility and year-1972 dummy variables. It is worth noticing that those women who used public health facilities in the 19705 may have been different from those who did not. For example, wealthier women may have been less likely to use public facilities. Ideally, one would look at demand indicators from that period, but they are difficult to obtain. Taking this caveat into account together with the shortcoming that the following data include men, I examine recent evidence in order to get an idea of what types of people use public facilities. Available information from the National Health Survey (ENSA, 2000)76 reveals that the proportion of insured people in the upper quartile of income that prefer to attend public facilities is relatively smaller (70.9%) that those in the lower quartiles (80.7%- 84.2%). Also, proportion of insured people in the upper quartile (24.5%) that prefer to use private services is relatively larger than those in lower quartiles (12.1%-l4.8%).The 7" Valdespino et al. (2003 ). 120 same pattern is observed for uninsured people, but differences between quartiles are bigger. However, actual use of inpatient services77 do not vary as much across income quartiles: 66.5% of the highest quartile used public health facilities versus 70.5% of the lowest quartile, and 29.9% of the highest quartile used private facilities versus 25.5% of the lowest quartile. Thus, bias perhaps is not a serious problem and besides can be reduced by controlling for other covariates, such as educational attainment and characteristics of the community of residence at age 12. All specifications control for cohort, state, and population size (community of residence) dummies to account for socio-cultural factors that may differ across generations, regions, and rural/urban areas. In the cases of first sexual encounter, first contraception method, and type of contraception method used, I also control for marital status—I do not include marital status in analyses of pregnancies since it may be endogenous. 3.6. Results 3.6.]. Duration models Tables 3.5 and 3.6 contain results of the proportional hazard Cox estimation. These estimates are hazard ratios, exp(,Bi), rather than coefficients (6078. Results in terms of coefficients can be found in Tables A31 and A32 in Appendix 3. In Table 3.5, columns (1) thru (3) present estimates of models for first sexual encounter, first pregnancy, and second pregnancy, respectively. Notice that if the hazard ratio is greater (smaller) than 77 Approximately, 71% of total inpatient services were used by women, around 49% of them used these services due to pregnancy, birth, and related motives. Of all women using inpatient services for pregnancy and birth attention 71% used public services. 78 Note that ,8, : exp(,6,) — 1 (Cameron and Trivedi, 2005). 121 one, the coefficient is positive (negative): if exp(,Bi) > 1 then ,6, > 0 and if exp(,Bi) < 1 then ,8; < 0. Exposure to initiatives Results show that exposure to in-school sex education: (i) increases the hazard of first sexual intercourse; (ii) does not affect the hazard of first pregnancy; and, (iii) decreases the hazard of second pregnancy. Exposure to sex education increases the hazard of first sexual encounter if a woman attended a public school. For example, for women with no exposure to sex education and who attended a public school, a year of exposure would increase their hazard of first sexual encounter by 4.1%, other things equal. If a woman attended a private school, exposure to sex education has a positive (2.3%) but not significant effect on the hazard of first sexual encounter. Exposure to sex education has a positive but small and statistically insignificant effect (0.3%, if public school) on the hazard of first pregnancy. The effect on the hazard of first pregnancy of exposure having attended a private school is larger but still not statistically significant. The hazard of second pregnancy is reduced by 2.7%, if a woman attended a public school but not significant if a woman attended a private school. In any of the cases the interaction between exposure and private school is significant. Given that the use of free textbooks is not compulsory for private schools it is likely that actual exposure to sex education of women who attended private schools differs from that of women who 122 attended public schools. Moreover, many private schools are also religious and may try to avoid teaching sex education entirely or delay it until students are older (15-18 years old). Women who had a first pregnancy in or after 1972 are less likely to become pregnant for a second time (column 3). The exposure to campaigns in public health facilities is captured by an interaction term between having a first pregnancy in or after 1972 and having been cared in a public facility during first pregnancy. The exposure to campaigns reduces the hazard of becoming pregnant for the second time by 31.4%. Table 3.6 presents estimates of the first time a temporary contraception method was used and the first time a woman’s partner used a condom. Both columns include the same covariates except for the exposure variable: In column (1), the exposure variable is designed to capture the introduction of sex education in schools in 1974, whereas the exposure variable in column (2) captures the program upgrading in 1987. Evidence reveals that exposure to sex education increases the hazard of using contraception methods by 7%. When interacted with private school, the exposure effect becomes negative and significant, reducing the hazard of using a contraception method by almost 7% (6.6%). The total effect of exposure for a woman who attended a private school practically disappears. Again, it seems that religiosity in private schools may be playing a role here by promoting traditional contraception methods over temporary ones. In the case of condom use, exposure to sex education has a positive but small (1.2%) and not significant effect, also if a woman attended a private school. Notice that a more complete analysis of the effects of sex education on condom use would involve using a male sample as well. 123 Other covariates So far I have discussed the estimates of the interaction between exposure and private school. However, notice that the estimated coefficients of the private school dummy are in all cases, except second pregnancy and condom use, relatively larger and statistically significant. I mentioned the plausible role of religious schools in providing “sex education”. Actually, Miranda finds that being a Catholic reduces the risk of first birth even among younger generations of Mexican women. The Catholic Church prohibits the use of ‘non-traditional’ contraception methods (e. g. pills and condoms), apparently increasing risk of pregnancy. But it also discourages sexual activity out-of-wedlock, which may translate into the delay of first sexual encounter [and potentially first pregnancy] (Miranda, 2006). However, other factors associated with attendance to a private school could be wealth and, with it, unobservables as, for example, perception of better prospects for education investment that may translate into higher opportunity costs. In turn, a woman with higher opportunity costs could postpone first sexual intercourse if she perceives that risk of pregnancy is high, and/or use contraception methods to delay pregnancy if sexually active. The private school estimated coefficients are negative in Table 3.5 and positive in Table 3.6. The hazards of first sexual encounter and pregnancy decrease by 16% and 19%, respectively. The total effect on the hazard of first contraceptive use is an increase of 48% for a woman who attended a private school and had no exposure to sexual education, while for each additional year of exposure this total effect decreases by around 7%. 124 Attained education level has large effects on sexual and reproductive behavior, indicating higher opportunity costs of pregnancy. The hazard of first sexual intercourse decreases by 36%, if the highest level of schooling attained was secondary, and by 53%, if high school or more was attained. The hazard of first pregnancy diminishes by 19% and 27%, respectively. The effect of secondary level on the hazard of second pregnancy is negative but relatively small and statistically not significant, while having attained high school or more reduces the hazard of second pregnancy by 26%. The higher the school level attained the larger the hazard of using contraception methods. The hazard of using temporary contraception methods increases by 16%, if secondary, and 24%, if more than secondary. The hazard of partner using condom increases by 73% and 151%, respectively. In the next subsection, I present complementary results on the probability of using different types of contraception methods. Finally, estimates of cohort coefficients reveal that relatively younger women are having first sexual intercourse earlier than did older ones. The effect on hazard of first sexual intercourse is larger for cohorts born after the early 19705. Younger women, born since the late 19605, are also delaying first pregnancy. But this effect is only statistically significant for those born in 1978-82. Also notice that the effect of delaying second pregnancies is not seen until the late 1978-82 generation. 125 Table 3.5. Cox-proportional hazard models. Hazard ratio estimates. (1) (2) (3) Exposure to program in school1 1.041 1.003 0.973 (0.013)*** (0.014) (0.014)“ Education controls2 Private school (highest level) 0.838 0.814 0.988 (0.070)** (0.074)“ (0.120) Exposure * Private school 1.023 1.011 0.999 (0.021) (0.023) (0.030) Highest level attained Secondary 0.641 0.726 0.928 (0.029)*** (0.035)*** (0.050) High school 0.468 0.411 0.744 (0.022)*** (0.022)*** (0.045)*** Exposure to program in health service3 First child born in or after 1972 0.615 (0.077)*** Public health facility birth of first child 1.265 (0.237) Interaction 0.686 Year 1972 * public health facility (0.130)** Cohort dummies4 1958-62 1.074 1.138 1.108 (0.053) (0.055)*** (0.061)* 1963-67 1.051 1.053 1.186 (0.059) (0.062) (0.072)*** 1968-72 1.039 0.979 1.086 (0.059) (0.059) (0.067) 1973-77 1.177 0.957 1.019 (0.068)*** (0.059) (0.066) 1978-82 1.475 0.783 0.770 (0.089)*** (0.052)*** (0.060)*** Single woman (dummy variable) 0.138 (0.008)*** 126 Table 3.5. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) Community at 12 years5 Latrine/other and 1.087 1.103 0.970 drinkable water from tap (0.038)** (0_042)*** (0.039) Latrine/other and 1.074 1.083 1.016 drinkable water from other source (0,037)” (0,040)“ (0,03 8) State and population size dummies6 Baja California Sur 1.144 1.243 1.106 (0.108) (0.122)M (0.124) Coahuila 1.129 1.125 1.185 (0.106) (0.117) (0.132) Durango 1.087 1.226 1.250 (0.097) (0.118)** (0.134)** Guanajuato 0.709 0.680 1.234 (0.064)*** (0.067)*** (0.138)* Jalisco 0.774 0.894 1.211 (0.071)*** (0.085) (0.135)* Mexico 1.080 1.231 1.186 (0.096) (0.116)** (0.126) Michoacan 0.941 1.029 1.211 (0.083) (0.096) (0.127)* Morelos 1.070 1.118 1.125 (0.103) (0.114) (0.128) Nuevo Leon 0.796 0.907 1.054 (0.069)*** (0.082) (0.110) Oaxaca 1.204 1.183 1.190 (0.114)" (0.118)* (0.131) Puebla 1.087 1.084 1.250 (0.108) (0.111) (0.138)” Sinaloa 1.099 1.235 1.262 (0.096) (0.114)** (0.129)** Sonora 1.088 1.074 1.137 (0.096) (0.099) (0.122) Veracruz 1.092 1.034 1.030 (0.096) (0.096) (0.107) Yucatan 0.773 0.844 1.098 (0.070)*** (0.082)* (0.124) 127 Table 3.5. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) Population > 100,000 1.054 1.056 0.931 (0.034) (0.036) (0.033)** Population 15,000 - 100,000 0.974 1.076 0.979 (0.045) (0.055) (0.049) Population 2,500 - 15,000 0.956 0.959 1.008 (0.041) (0.046) (0.049) Observations 54,913 62,63 8 20,434 Pseudo R-squared 0.03 0.01 0.00 Log-pseudolikelihood -43,829.96 -42,860.19 -31,002.88 Wald Chi2 1840.25 943.39 298.10 Robust standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Column (1): First sexual encounter. Duration calculated with respect to menarche. Column (2): First pregnancy. Duration calculated with respect to menarche. Column (3): Second pregnancy. Duration calculated with respect to first pregnancy. ' Potential exposure to in-school sexual education programs calculated as the interaction between attained education and calendar years of school attendance for 1974 or after. 2 Other education covariates: dummy variable indicating the highest level of schooling an individual attended, representing a higher opportunity cost of becoming pregnant and possibly more access to information and/or understanding of contraceptive method. 3 Health sector covariates account for public initiatives for promoting family control. 4 Baseline: women born between 1953 and 1957, i.e. who were 40-45 years old in 2002. 5 Baseline: WC available and any source of drinkable water (bottled, tap, or other). 6 Baseline: Mexico, DP and communities with <2,500 habitants. Dummies are of current state of residence, using state of residence at 12 makes no difference on estimated coefficients. 128 Table 3.6. Cox-proportional hazard models. Hazard ratio estimates. (1) (2) Exposure to program in school (1974)1 1.070 (0.016)*** Exposure to program in school (1987)2 1.012 (0.029) Education controls3 Private school (highest level) 1.480 1.166 (0.199)*** (0.143) Exposure * Private school 0.934 1.018 (0.030)** (0.049) Highest level attained Secondary 1.160 1.727 (0.066)*** (0.135)*** High school 1.238 2.506 (0.081)*** (0.228)*** Cohort dummies4 1958-62 1.259 1.807 (0.074)*** (0.253)*** 1963-67 1.269 2.437 (0.082)*** (0.332)*** 1968-72 1.517 3.869 (0.100)*** (0.522)*** 1973-77 1.828 5.940 (0.124)*** (0.872)*** 1978-82 2.020 7.182 (0.147)*** (1 .252)*** Marital status5 Separated 1.477 1.023 (0.142)*** (0.169) Married 1.867 1.328 (0.140)*** (0.153)" Divorced 2.025 1.296 (0.232)*** (0.245) Widow 1.912 1.195 (0.243)*** (0.324) Living with partner (not married) 1.649 1.083 (0.134)*** (0.145) 129 Table 3.6. (Cont’d). (1) (2) Community at 12 years6 Latrine/other and 0.974 0.949 drinkable water from tap (0.039) (0.075) Latrine/other 0.823 0.936 and drinkable water from other source (0,034)*** (0,078) State and population size dummies7 Baja California Sur 1.677 1.441 (0.211)*** (0.298)* Coahuila 1.256 0.795 (0.154)* (0.169) Durango 1.464 1.034 (0.172)*** (0.210) Guanajuato 0.743 1.244 (0.096)M (0.254) Jalisco 1.014 1.424 (0.126) (0.279)* Mexico 0.948 0.941 (0.114) (0.190) Michoacan 0.796 0.847 (0.096)* (0.173) Morelos 1.046 0.878 (0.136) (0.192) Nuevo Leon 1.128 0.824 (0.132) (0.166) Oaxaca 0.755 0.681 (0.096)** (0.150)* Puebla 0.639 0.426 (0.083)*** (0.104)*** Sinaloa 1.938 1.372 (0.220)*** (0.260)* Sonora 1.288 1.408 (0.151)** (0.270)* Veracruz 0.950 0.664 (0.113) (0.135)** Yucatan 0.988 0.788 (0.125) (0.173) 130 Table 3.6. (Cont’d). (1) (2) Population > 100,000 1.101 1.143 (0.042)** (0.084)* Population 15,000 - 100,000 1.125 1.131 (0.063)** (0.122) Population 2,500 - 15,000 1.083 1.298 (0.058) (0.127)*** Observations 45,197 80,903 Pseudo R-squared 0,02 0,04 Log-pseudolikelihood -31,655.00 -10,398.62 ' Wald Chi2 1260.60 843.73 Robust standard errors in parentheses * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% Column (1): First contraception method. Durations are calculated with respect to first sexual encounter. Column (2): First condom use. Durations are calculated with respect to first sexual encounter. ' Potential exposure to in-school sexual education programs calculated as the interaction between attained education and calendar years of school attendance for 1974 or after. 2 Potential exposure to in-school sexual education programs calculated as the interaction between attained education and calendar years of school attendance for 1987 or after. Due to AIDS epidemic sexual protection started to be emphasized. Other education covariates: dummy variable indicating the highest level of schooling an individual attended, representing a higher opportunity cost of becoming pregnant and possibly more access to information and/or understanding of contraceptive method. 4 Baseline: women born between 1953 and 1957, i.e. who were 40-45 years old in 2002. 5 Baseline: Single women. 6 Baseline: WC available and any source of drinkable water (bottled, tap, or other). 7 Baseline: Mexico, DP and communities with <2,500 habitants. 3.6.2 Multinomial logit models Exposure to initiatives Table 3.7 contains the results of multinomial logit models for contraception method decisions. Column (1) refers to temporary methods (2,820 observations) and column (2) refers to permanent methods (1,790 observations), using the “never used or used only traditional methods” outcome as the baseline for comparison (1,345 observations). According to these results, exposure to in-school sex education is weakly correlated with 131 use of modern contraception methods. An additional year of exposure to in-school sex education increases the log-odds of using temporary contraception methods by 0.06 if a woman attended a public school. But an additional year of exposure to sex education decreases by 0.06 the log-odds of using permanent contraception methods—weakly significant. If a woman attended a private school the total effect of exposure to sex education decreases in the case of temporary methods and increases (in absolute terms) in the case of permanent methods, but the interaction estimate is not statistically significant in any specification. Other covariates The coefficients of the private school dummy are large, positive and, although statistically insignificant, provide some indication confirming the findings from the duration models: women attending private schools may, probably due to unobservables associated with wealth, face relatively higher opportunity costs. 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Age-cohort variables capture the lifecycle or fertility profiles that change as women get older. The log-odds of using temporary methods increase among younger cohorts, ranging from 0.56 to 0.97. This effect becomes smaller among those born in 1978-82 (20- 24 years old in 2002) most likely because they are actually trying to get pregnant. Similarly, the increase in the log-odds of using a permanent contraception method starts diminishing for the 1968-72 generation (30-34 years old), becoming negative for the youngest women. That younger cohorts are less likely to use permanent methods reflects that they are looking forward to start motherhood or have more children. Finally, non- single women are more likely to use contraception methods than single women, also an intuitive result. 3.7. Conclusions In this chapter, I examine whether public initiatives launched in the 1970s contributed to change sexual and reproductive behavior of Mexican women. I characterize sexual and reproductive behavior using information on first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, and utilization of contraceptive methods. I use duration-hazard procedures to model first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, first use of contraception method, and first use of condom by woman’s partner and multinomial logit models to estimate the choice of contraception method type. Results suggest that exposure to in-school sex education increases the hazard of first sexual intercourse and decreases the hazard of second pregnancy but does not affect the 137 hazard of first pregnancy, regardless of the type of school a woman attended. Also, I find that exposure to campaigns in public facilities reduces the hazard of becoming pregnant for the second time. Additionally, evidence reveals that exposure to sex education increases the hazard of using (all kinds of) temporary contraceptives, but this effect practically disappears if a private school was attended. And, specifically, sex education that emphasizes protection seems to have no effect on condom use; however, a more accurate result would require the analysis of male behavior as well. On the other hand, according to results on the choice of contraception types, I find evidence of exposure to in-school sex education influencing the use of modern methods. Other important factors associated with sexual and reproductive behavior are completed education, private school attendance, and birth cohorts. Completed education has negative effects on first sexual encounter and first and second pregnancies, and positive effects on the utilization of contraception methods. The choice of modern contraception methods over traditional is also positively correlated with school attainment. These results may be indicating higher opportunity costs of pregnancy. Attending a private school is associated with larger durations to first sexual encounter and first pregnancy. Many private schools in Mexico are religious and thus religion may be encouraging postponement of first sexual encounter and pregnancy until marriage. However, it should also be discouraging the use of non-traditional contraception methods, i.e. temporary; but, attendance to a private school is associated with a smaller duration from first sexual encounter to first use of temporary contraception methods. So maybe it is wealth influencing the latter result, since relative wealthier people—with 138 higher expectations of education investment—are more likely to attend private schools. In this sense, a woman with higher opportunity costs may have higher incentives to use contraception methods in order to delay pregnancy or to postpone first sexual encounter if her perceived risk of pregnancy is high enough. Yet, this is only weakly consistent because attendance at a private school does not have a (statistically) significant effect on the choice of contraception method. Finally, age—cohort variables capture the lifecycle or fertility profiles that change as women get older, as well as generational differences. Relatively younger women are having first sexual intercourse earlier than did older ones but are postponing first and second pregnancies. They tend to use contraception methods earlier with respect to first sexual encounter. Younger women are less likely to use temporary and permanent methods than older women maybe due to seeking pregnancy. 139 CONCLUSIONS This study consists of three essays on the economics of health using the first wave of the Mexican Family Life Survey (2002). The first two chapters focus on school age children and the third one on women in fertile age. Chapter 1 addresses the questions of whether overweight has increased among Mexican school age children and, if so, what factors may have contributed to this. Chapter 2 analyzes whether more educated mothers have healthier children as measured by hemoglobin concentrations in blood and through which possible ways may maternal education operate to affect child health. Chapter 3 deals with whether public initiatives launched in the 19705 affected sexual and reproductive behavior of women. These works contribute to health economics literature in several ways. The first proposes a theoretical model of a mother’s allocation of food and time. It complements existing empirical evidence of an increase in prevalence of overweight in Mexico in recent years. Moreover, it analyzes the case of school age children, a group largely overlooked by nutritional and health national surveys. In particular, it provides evidence supporting that Mexican children are heavier than before, and that some indications that contributing factors might be an increase in mother’s BMI especially for girls, an increase of maternal labor supply in the case of boys, less presence of father at home for boys, and an increase in adult males BMI at a community level. Future research should investigate the channels through which community level patterns affect individual children’s behavior with respect to, for example, dietary and activity habits. 140 Second, the estimates of maternal education effects on child hemoglobin levels complement the extensive research on the function of parental role in child health, mainly measured by anthropometrics, mortality, immunization, and dietary intakes. Also, since labor market participation of Mexican women is relatively low, so that market returns to schooling fail to fully capture the impact of educating Mexican women, estimated effects of maternal education on child health provide an appraisal of non-market returns to schooling. Estimated effects of maternal education are positive, although small in terms of falling into or recovering from anemia. Evidence suggests that maternal education may be operating with public health services (clinic/hospital) through a substitution effect. Additionally, there is some indication that mother’s labor supply may not be endogenous, which is not implausible since low hemoglobin levels are not obvious to the mother. Yet, further analysis would be needed to confirm this. Finally, the third essay is distinguished from previous studies because it explicitly deals with the effect of sexual education, birth control, and family planning public initiatives on the reproductive and sexual behavior of Mexican women. More precisely, it analyzes possible changes in sexual and reproductive behavior due to exposure to programs in schools and in health facilities. Sexual and reproductive behavior is characterized by various indicators: first sexual encounter, first and second pregnancies, and utilization of contraceptive methods. Public programs are identified by individual exposure to in-school sexual education and to birth control promotion in public health facilities. Results suggest that exposure to in-school sex education is associated with earlier first sexual intercourse without affecting the hazard of first pregnancy. Both in- school and in-health facility exposure decreases the hazard of second pregnancy. 141 Evidence reveals that sex education may be effective in promoting an earlier use of contraception but not specifically condoms, which would also require changes in male behavior. On the other hand, evidence is weak regarding the influence of exposure to in- school sex education on the use of modern contraception methods rather than traditional 01168. 142 APPENDICES 143 APPENDIX 1 Total differentiation of (l .2) and AB leads to equations A1.1 and equation A1.2: —wdt—de—dXdep—(T—t)dw—dY _W,a+[,/f"+wft2]dz+[v'ftp+v~f,fp]dF=Mw (A1.1) — pd/i +[v'fF, +v"fFf, ]dt +[uFF +v'fFF +v~fF2]dF+uFXdX = Mp —dA+uXFdF+uXXdX=O dAB= f,dt+ deF (A1.2) Derivation of expressions in (1.3): From (Al .2), it is easy to see that dAB t dF __ : ___}. _ dw f’ dw fF dw (A1.3) dAB dt dF —— = ft —- + fF -— dp dp dp Using (Al .1) obtain and substitute the following into (Al .3): dt dF —=<0tt +(T—t)cut, —=(0Ft +(T—t)wF, dw dw dF dt —=€0FF —FCUF, —= (”W —sz dp dp 144 where 2 2 —pu +2 u —U ‘WuH-Utt 40nd XX 1;” FF ,‘PFF=4 — . l 1 VII W(PuXX -uXF)+UtF ¢Ft=¢tF=4 , lfil = “LYN? UtF —WUFF)+ WIIXF2 _UtFuXF lfil 3 t CUF : “Ll/(WUIF “PUtt)+UttuXF lfil , 2 , r t UFF =uFF +V fFF +V' f1.g =uFF +flz[1-;) V", 2 1):] I H 2 Utt=Vftt+V ft =[ T UtF =UFt =V'ftF +V"fth =1”th +V"fth =-§[V'+flF[1-%]V"], and [Hi < 0. Note that U11: = UFt is “small enough” for got]: 2 gap, > 0, if “’(“XF — PuXX )> V'sz +V"fth. 145 APPENDIX 2 60 50 ._ ~‘" 40. 30% % 20' 10: 6-11 1 2 3 4 5-6 7-8 9-10 11 mos Age (years) URBAN --$.--— RURAL + NATIONAL Figure A2. 1. Prevalence of anemia among Mexican children by age groups. Source: Own graph using estimates by Villalpando et al., 2003. 146 20 ' 15 . o\° 10 - 0 é Central Mexico City Total 5%.: GIRLS BOYS I BOTH Figure A2.2. Prevalence of anemia among Mexican children by regions. Source: Own graph using estimates by Rivera et al., 2001. 147 APPENDIX 3 1970 I 2005 50 40 20 . ,, 0 I No schooling Secondary or High school or College or higher higher higher Figure A3.1. Education attainment in Mexico (1970 and 2005). Source: INEGI. Selected years and indicators of education statistics—Estadxisticas sociodemogrdficas: educacién. (Downloaded from httgw’.’www inepi nob nix/cstfrlefnnlt nsnx?crr2359)_ 148 70 - , , , , 7,, W7 60 ~ 50 ~ 40 ~ 30 . 20 - 1 990 2000 15-29 4"“ 30-49 I 50 and more Figure A3.2. Attitudes towards role of women as mothers in Mexico: % who thinks a woman needs to have children to be fulfilled by age groups. Source: Own figure using selected years and indicators of the World Value Survey, WVS. (Online Data Analysis at http:r’x’www.worldvalucssurvcvorgx). Question: Do you think that a woman has to have children in order to be fulfilled or is this not necessary? Answers: Not necessarily or Needs children. 149 60 15—29 30-49 50 and more Disapprove 1% Approve I Depends Figure A3.3. Attitudes towards women deciding to become single parents in Mexico: % of approval by age groups. Source: Own figure using pooled samples ( 1990, 1996 and 2000) and selected indicators of the World Value Survey, WVS (Online Data Analysis at http://www.worldvaluessurvevorgh. Question: If a woman wants to have a child as a single parent but she doesn't want to have a stable relationship with a man, do you approve or disapprove? 150 100 ~ 80 60 ,\° 40 20 0 15-29 30-49 50 and more Agree I Disagree Figure A3.4. Attitudes toward women wanting a home and children in Mexico (%). Source: Own figure using 1990 sample and selected indicators of the World Value Survey, WVS (Online Data Analysis at http://www WUI ' J ' veyorw’). Question: Strongly agree, agree, disagree or strongly disagree with the statement: “A job is alright but what most women really want is a home and children.” These four answer categories were collapsed into two groups. 151 40: \\ +Pills 3O ' "A" ' " “ r ' DIU - rt. .- Operation 20 . , Male operation ——&-— Shots 10 . ’ . -—O— Local ,. —9— Traditional S’“ ,- -r"’ “x . 0 , 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Figure A3.5. Demand for contraception of Mexican users (%), 1976-1997. Source: Own figure with estimates of the Mexican National Population Council based on national demographic surveys. Original Figure may be found in CONAPO (2000). 152 Table A3. 1. Proportional hazard models, Cox estimation. Observation level: woman-year. (1) (2) (3) Exposure to program in school1 0.040 0.003 -0.027 (0.013)*** (0.014) (0.014)" Education controls2 Private school (highest level) -0.177 -0.206 -0.012 (0.084)" (0.091)** (0.122) Exposure * Private school 0.023 0.011 -0.001 (0.021) (0.023) (0.031) Highest level attained Secondary -0.445 -0.320 -0.074 (0.045)*** (0.048)*** (0.054) High school -0.758 -0.889 -0.296 Exposure to program in health service First child born in or after 1972 Public health facility birth of first child Interaction Year 1972 * public health facility Cohort dummies4 1958-62 1963-67 1968-72 1973-77 1978-82 1983-88 Single woman (dummy variable) Community at 12 years5 3 Latrine/other and drinkable water from tap Latrine/other and drinkable water from other (0.048)*** (0.053)*** (0.061)*** -O.486 (0.125)*** 0.235 (0.187) -0377 (0.190)** 0.072 0.129 0.102 (0.049) (0.049)*** (0.055)* 0.050 0.052 0.171 (0.056) (0.059) (0.061)*** 0.039 -0021 0.082 (0.057) (0.060) (0.061) 0.163 -0044 0.019 (0.058)*** (0.062) (0.065) 0.389 -0.245 -0.261 (0.060)*** (0.067)*** (0.078)*** -1.978 (0.056)*** 0.084 0.098 -0.030 (0.035)** (0.038)*** (0.040) 0.072 0.080 0.016 (0.035)** (0.037)** (0.038) *‘r-zit'fl 153 Table A3.]. (Cont’d). (1) (2) (3) State6 and population size dummies Baja California Sur 0.134 0.218 0.101 (0.095) (0.098)** (0.112) Coahuila 0.121 0.118 0.170 (0.094) (0.104) (0.111) Durango 0.084 0.204 0.223 (0.090) (0.096)** (0.107)“ Guanajuato -0.344 -0.386 0.210 (0.090)*** (0.099)*** (0.112)* Jalisco -0.256 -0.112 0.191 (0.091)*** (0.095) (0.112)* Mexico 0.077 0.208 0.170 (0.089) (0.094)** (0.106) Michoacan -0.061 0.028 0.191 (0.088) (0.093) (0.105)* Morelos 0.067 0.1 11 0.118 (0.096) (0.102) (0.1 14) Nuevo Leon -0.228 —0.098 0.052 (0.087)*** (0.090) (0.105) Oaxaca 0.186 0.168 0.174 (0.095)" (0.100)* (0.1 10) Puebla 0.083 0.080 0.223 (0.099) (0.102) (0.1 10)" Sinaloa 0.094 0.21 1 0.232 (0.087) (0.093)" (0.102)" Sonora 0.085 0.072 0.128 (0.088) (0.093) (0.107) Veracruz 0.088 0.034 0.029 (0.088) (0.093) (0.104) Yucatan -0.257 -0. 169 0.093 (0.090)*** (0.097)* (0.113) Population > 100,000 0.053 0.055 -0.072 (0.033) (0.034) (0.036)" Population 15,000 - 100,000 -0.026 0.073 -0.021 (0.046) (0.051) (0.050) Population 2,500 - 15,000 -0.045 -0.042 0.008 (0.043) (0.048) (0.048) Observations 54,913 62,638 20,434 Pseudo R-squared 0.03 0.01 0.00 Log-pseudolikelihood -43,829.96 -42,860. 19 -31,002.88 Wald Chi2 1840.25 943.39 298.10 Notes in Table 3.5. Table A3.2. Proportional hazard models, Cox estimation. Observation level: woman-year. (1) (2) Exposure to program in school (1974)1 0,067 (0.015)*** Exposure to program in school (1987)2 0.012 (0.029) Education controls3 Private school (highest level) 0.392 0.154 (0.134)*** (0.122) Exposure * Private school -0.068 0.018 (0.032)“ (0.048) Highest level attained Secondary 0. 149 0.546 (0.057)*** (0.078)*** High school 0.213 0.919 (0.065)*** (0.091)*** Cohort dummies4 1958-62 0.230 0.592 (0.059)*** (0.140)*** 1963-67 0.238 0.891 (0.065)*** (0.136)*** 1968-72 0.417 1.353 (0.066)*** (0.135)*** 1973-77 0.603 1.782 (0.068)*** (0.147)*** 1978-82 0.703 1.972 (0.073)*** (0.174)*** 1983-88 Marital status5 Separated 0.390 0.022 (0.096)*** (0.165) Married 0.625 0.284 (0.075)*** (0.115)** Divorced 0.706 0.259 (0.115)*** (0.189) Widow 0.648 0.178 (0.127)*** (0.271) Living with partner (not married) 0.500 0.080 (0.081)*** (0.134) Community at 12 years6 Latrine/other and drinkable water from tap (.8 8:17 ) (.83).;92) Latrine/other and drinkable water from other (0343:" ((288637) 155 Table A3.2. (Cont’d). ( 1) (2) State and population size dummies7 Baja California Sur 0.517 0.365 (0.126)*** (0.207)* Coahuila 0.228 -0.229 (0.122)* (0.212) Durango 0.381 0.033 (0.117)*** (0.204) Guanajuato -0.297 0.218 (0.129)M (0.204) Jalisco 0.014 0.354 (0.124) (0.196)* Mexico -0.053 -0.061 (0.120) (0.201) Michoacan -0.228 -0.166 (0.121)* (0.204) Morelos 0.045 -0.130 (0.130) (0.219) Nuevo Leon 0.121 -0.194 (0.1 17) (0.202) Oaxaca -0.281 -0.384 (0.127)“ (0.220)* Puebla -0.447 -0.853 (0.131)*** (0.244)*** Sinaloa 0.662 0.316 (0.113)*** (0.189)* Sonora 0.253 0.342 (0.117)** (0.192)* Veracruz -0.052 -0.409 (0.1 19) (0.204)" Yucatan -0.012 -0.238 (0.127) (0.219) Population > 100,000 0.097 0.134 (0.038)“ (0.074)* Population 15,000 - 100,000 0.117 0.123 (0.056)" (0.107) Population 2,500 - 15,000 0.080 0.261 (0.053) (0.098)*** Observations 45,197 80,903 Pseudo R-squared 0.02 0.04 Log-pseudolikelihood -31,655.00 -10,398.62 Wald Chi2 1,260.60 843.73 Notes in Table 3.6. 156 APPENDIX 4 The Mexican Family Life Survey (MxF LS) is representative at the national, rural- urban, and regional levels. It contains a variety of information of individuals, households, and communities. This survey adapts the design of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IF LS), preserving comparability with Mexican population based surveys. The first wave of the MxF LS (MxFLS-1) was collected in 2002. The MxFLS-l sample consists of 8,400 households (approximately, 38,000 individuals) in 150 communities. These communities are located in 16 out of the 32 states, which include Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Distrito Federal, Durango, Guanajuato, Jalisco, Estado de México, Michoacan, Morelos, Nuevo Leon, Oaxaca, Puebla, Sinaloa, Sonora, Veracruz, and Yucatan. The Mexican institute of statistics Instituto Nacional de Estadz'stica, Geografia e Informdtica (INEGI) was in charge of the sampling design: a probabilistic sample, stratified, multi-staged, and independent at each study dominion. Household members of age 15 and older were directly interviewed and information of children younger than 15 years was collected from the parents or responsible person. The following list summarizes topics included in the MxFLS-1 at the individual (I) and household (H) levels. For a detailed account of all sections contained in the questionnaires refer to tables A41 and A42 below. 1. Expenditure and consumption (H). 157 10. 11. 12. 13. Savings, credits, loans, assets, labor and non-labor income, public and private transfers, and participation in social programs. (I), (H) Family businesses and land use. (H) School attendance, grade repetition, and completed schooling. (1) . Time allocation. (1) Current and past employment. (I) Socio-demographic and geographic information of non co-resident relatives. (1) Permanent and temporal migrations. (I) Self-reported health status: own perception, habits and functioning indicators, chronic diseases, and morbidity. (I) Inpatient and outpatient use of health services. (I) History of marriages and unions. (I) Sexual and reproductive health of women of fertile age: history of pregnancies and births; sexual activity; use of contraception methods; and use of related-health services. (1) Crime incidence and victimization. (H) Additionally, the health of all individuals was evaluated in terms of anthropometric dimensions, blood pressure, and hemoglobin levels. Also, individuals of age 5 and older answered Raven tests of progressive matrices for adults and children, which measure abstract reasoning and cognitive ability. Information on general characteristics of the community, schools, and health providers and facilities was gathered in questionnaires applied to political authorities and school and health facilities administrators. 158 Table A4.1 MxF LS contents: individual and household information. Questionnaire Description Sections Book C Control book Book 1 Household Consumption Book 2 Household Economy Characteristics of Adult Book 3A Household Members DF- Definitions LS- Household Roster CV- Dwelling characteristics RC- Information for re-contact SP- Family planning and health EH- Schooling of household members CVO- Direct observation of the dwelling characteristics NE- Interview session notes CS- Consumption NE- Interview session notes SU- Land INR- Rural income NNA- Non-agricultural business AH- Household Assets CRH- Household Credit IN- Household non-labor income SE- Household economic shocks VLH- Household crime and victimization NE- Interview session notes ED- Education IE- Schooling interruptions AH- Household assets IIN- Individual non-labor income HM- Marital history DH- Household decision making MG— Permanent migration MT- Temporary migration TB- Employment ATA- Adult time allocation SHI- Individual shocks VLI- Individual crime and victimization NE- Interview session notes 159 Table A4.1 (Cont’d). Questionnaire Description Sections Characteristics of Adult Book 3A Household Members Book 4 Reproductive Health Book 5 Characteristics of Children ES- Health condition SM- Emotional well-being EC- Acute Morbidity ATS- Self-treatment CE- Outpatient Utilization HS- Inpatient Utilization CA- Insurance condition CR- Credit RE- Re-contact information of relatives in the United States TP- Non co-resident parents transfers TH- Non co-resident siblings transfers THI- Non co-resident child transfers TO- Transfers of other non-resident persons NE- Interview session notes RES- Pregnancy summary HE- Pregnancy history AC- Contraception NE- Interview notes EDN- Child’s education EMN- Child employment ATN- Child's time allocation CEN- Child outpatient utilization ESN- Child’s health condition HSN- Child inpatient utilization AUTN- Child self treatment VAC- Child vaccination NE- Interview session notes 160 Table A4.1 (Cont’d). Questionnaire Description Sections Proxy Book Book S Book EA Book EN Characteristics of Household Members not present at interview Anthropometrics and biomarkers Adult Cognitive Ability Child Cognitive Ability HM- Marital history MG- Permanent migration: one year or more ED- Education TB—Employment CR- Credit GH- Tastes and habits ES- Health condition CE-Outpatient Utilization HS- Inpatient Utilization CA-Insurance condition TP- Non co-resident parents transfers TH- Non co-resident siblings transfers THI- Non co-resident child transfers TO- Transfers of other non-resident persons RES- Pregnancy summary HE— Pregnancy history AC- Contraception NE- Interview notes 161 Table A4.2 MxFLS contents: community information. Questionnaire Community Characteristics Schools Questionnaire Sections PB- Population ASC- Community social aspects DN- Natural disasters HI- Infrastructure history AS— Social attendance SED- History of the presence of schools SM- History of the presence of health facilities AC- Communitarian activities MT- Transportation INF- Infrastructure EL- Availability of electricity FA- Water source and sanitation OC- Credit opportunities I- Industry EF- Enterprises and factories BC- Community welfare CM- Migrants clubs OD- Direct observation NE- Interview session notes DG- General descriptions DE— Schools principal NEl- Interview session notes F E- School’s firnction NE2- Interview session notes AM- Students and teachers NE3- Interview session notes CA- Education costs and school aids NE4- Interview session notes IN- Infrastructure NES- Interview session notes PRM- Questions to teachers NE6- Interview session notes PRM- Questions to teachers NE7- Interview session notes 162 Table A4.2 (Cont’d). 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