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" ll 'I’ ' II ‘I. ‘l II 3 LIBRARY zoo-c Michigan State University This is to certify that the dissertation entitled AN EXAMINATION OF FACTORS PREDICTING RESIDENTS' SUPPORT FOR TOURISM DEVELOPMENT presented by Pavlina Latkova has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for the Doctoral degree in Park, Recreation and Tourism Resources Major Proffgznature June 10, Date MSU is an affinnalive-action, equal-opportunity employer ..-._.—---.-.-.—.-u-.-.-.-.-.-.—.---.-n—n-.-.-n—.-.-.—-o-- PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 5/08 K./Proj/Acc&Pres/CIRC/DaleDue Indd AN EXAMINATION OF FACTORS PREDICTING RESIDENTS’ SUPPORT FOR TOURISM DEVELOPMENT By Pavlina Latkova A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fiJlfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Park, Recreation and Tourism Resources 2008 ABSTRACT AN EXAMINATION OF FACTORS PREDICTING RESIDENTS’ SUPPORT FOR TOURISM DEVELOPMENT By Pavlina Latkova Previous research has demonstrated that support of residents is essential for successful sustainable tourism development. To achieve community support for the tourism industry, tourism developers need to understand how residents formulate their perceptions of tourism impacts. Most research on residents’ perceptions and attitudes has been conducted in one or a few communities, and a small number of studies have examined “a wide range of communities located within close proximity of each other in aggregate” (McGehee & Andereck, 2004). Building on the model by Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990), this study attempted to examine residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts in several Midwest communities at different stages of tourism and economic development. A theoretical framework consisting of social exchange theory (Skidmore, 1975) and Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle model was used to guide the study. Residents’ attitudes toward tourism were tested with thirteen hypotheses. Independent variables included tourism knowledge, perceived power, community attachment, economic role of tourism, personal benefits from tourism, and residents’ characteristics. The dependent variables included positive and negative impacts of tourism, support for future tourism development, support for restrictions on tourism development, and residents’ outlook on the future of their community which was the ultimate dependent variable. Data were collected using a mail questionnaire across three geographical regions at different stages of tourism and economic development. A total of 3,008 households constituted the population and twenty—eight percent (28 %) of the surveys were returned. After the mail data collection was completed, a non-response survey was sent out to assess any bias in the dataset. The results obtained from the non-respondents were found to be relatively the same as from the main study results. The questionnaire was developed based on a literature review and input obtained from several county officials and tourism professionals as well as three tourism researchers from different universities. Residents’ attitudes toward tourism were tested utilizing a series of multiple regression analyses and one-way ANOVA. Results of the study further validated the model by Perdue at al. (1990). In addition, residents who perceived tourism as an important economic development strategy were more supportive of tourism development. Support for social exchange theory was mixed because personal benefits from tourism failed to predict support for restrictions on future tourism development. The results do not support previous studies which suggest that attitudes toward tourism become more negative with higher levels of tourism. Implications for tourism planners and developers included the need to educate residents about both costs and benefits associated with tourism development. The more tourism industry officials can demonstrate how individuals benefit from tourism in the area, the more support the industry is likely to enjoy from local residents. Future studies should improve measurements of the economic role of tourism, restrictions on future tourism development and community future. This dissertation is dedicated to my family. Your love, patience and encouragement are the foundation of my life’s successes. iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to thank my dissertation committee members, Dr. Christine Vogt (chair), Dr. Donald Holecek, Dr. Richard Paulsen, and Dr. Ingrid Steglitz; whom I have had the privilege of working with over the past four years. Dr. Vogt, thank you for all your support and guidance that has brought me to the finish line. I admire your work ethic, wisdom, energy, and compassion for your students. I hope to be an inspiration to my students as you have been to me. Dr. Holecek, “jak se mas”, you have provided me with a constructive criticism that has made me a better researcher. Dr. Paulsen, you were there for me when I found myself at the lowest point of my Ph.D. journey. Thank you for being a great listener and a mentor. Dr. Steglitz, thank you for your encouragement, support, new ideas, and the expertise you brought to my committee. Chtela bych podekovat moji mame Pavline, tatovi Janovi, a sestre Zdence za jejich celozivotni lasku, trpelivost, podporu a porozumeni. Nase pristi spolecna dovolena bude v San Franciscu! Victoria, thank you for being there for me during good times and bad times. Victoria, your love, help, support, encouragement, and caring for me have been the foundation of my success. I have been very fortunate to have met you, moje lasko. Ariel, Jamie, and Paige— I will forever be indebted to you, my Ph.D. buddies. You have consistently supported me, pushed me to the higher level of performance, made me laugh and cry, and provided me with strength to keep on going. Geraldine, Christine, Leona, Brodie and Thamsyne, thank you for your support, friendship, and believing in me. Maciku, diky za Tvoji celozivotni podporu a pratelstvi. TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................ xi CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION ...................................................... 1 Tourism Attitudes ..................................................................... 2 Statement of the Problem ............................................................ 3 Theoretical Framework ............................................................ 4 Doxey’s Index of Irritation “Irridex” ......................................... 4 Butler’s Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model ........................ 5 Social Exchange Theory ....................................................... 5 Perdue, Long and Allen’s Model of Residents’ Tourism Perceptions 6 Research Questions ................................................................. 7 Hypotheses ........................................................................... 8 Delimitations ........................................................................ 1 1 Limitations ........................................................................... 1 1 Definitions ........................................................................... 11 Study Organization ................................................................. 12 CHAPTER II. LITERATURE REVIEW .............................................. 14 Tourism Development in Rural Areas ........................................... 14 Theoretical Framework ............................................................ 16 Overview of Theoretical Perspectives on Residents’ Attitudes ......... 16 Doxey’s Index of Irritation “Irridex” ......................................... 23 Butler’s Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model ........................ 25 Social Exchange Theory ....................................................... 33 Perdue, Long and Allen’s Model of Residents’ Tourism Perceptions 35 Factors Influencing Residents’ Attitudes toward Tourism ............... 42 Proposed Comprehensive Model of Residents’ Tourism Perceptions and Support for Tourism Development ..................................... 50 Summary of the Literature Review ............................................... 55 CHAPTER III. METHODOLOGY ..................................................... 60 Study Area ........................................................................... 60 Population and Sample ............................................................. 61 Data Collection ...................................................................... 62 Non-Respondent Study ............................................................ 65 Survey Instrument .................................................................. 66 Reliability Test ...................................................................... 71 Data Analysis ........................................................................ 74 vi Multiple Regression Analysis ................................................ Multiple Regression Models Used in the Study ............................ Analysis of Variance ........................................................... Statistical Procedures of Data Analysis .......................................... CHAPTER IV: RESULTS ............................................................... Description of the Sample ......................................................... Socio-Demographic Profile ................................................... Community Attachment ....................................................... Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism ................................. Level of Subjective Knowledge of Tourism ................................ Perceived Power ................................................................ Perceived Economic Role of Tourism ....................................... Personal Benefits from Tourism ............................................. Positive Impacts of Tourism .................................................. Negative Impacts of Tourism ................................................. Support for Future Tourism Development .................................. Support for Restrictions on Future Tourism Development ............... Perceived Community Future ................................................. Testing of the Study Hypotheses .................................................. Regression Model 1: Hypothesis 1 ........................................... Regression Models 2 and 3: Hypotheses 2 and 3 ........................... Regression Models 4 and 5: Hypotheses 4, 5 and 6 ........................ Regression Models 6, 7 and 8: Hypotheses 7, 8 and 9 ..................... Relationship between Residents’ Attitudes and the Stage of Tourism Development: Hypotheses 10, 11, 12 and 13 ............................... CHAPTER V: CONCLUSION .......................................................... Summary of Results and Discussion ............................................. Social Exchange Theory Relationships ..................................... Perceptions of Tourism across Different Levels of Tourism and Economic Development ...................................................... Implications .......................................................................... Limitation of Findings .............................................................. Future Research ..................................................................... Final Thoughts ....................................................................... APPENDICES .............................................................................. Appendix A: Descriptive Statistics for Items Used in the Study ............. Appendix B: First and Second Wave Cover Letters ........................... Appendix C: Reminder Postcard .................................................. Appendix D: Survey Instrument and Non-Respondent Study BIBLIOGRAPHY ......................................................................... vii 75 77 80 80 82 83 83 85 86 88 88 89 89 90 91 92 93 93 94 96 100 108 115 123 137 138 139 144 146 149 150 153 155 156 164 166 167 190 Table 1: Table 2: Table 3: Table 4: Table 5: Table 6: Table 7: Table 8: Table 9: Table 10: Table 1 1: Table 12: Table 13: Table 14: Table 15: Table 16: Table 17: Table 18: Table 19: LIST OF TABLES Theoretical Frameworks Used to Study Residents’ Perceptions of Tourism ..................................................................... Strength and Weaknesses of Theoretical Frameworks ............... An Overview of Measurements Used to Test Butler’s Model ....... Support for Social Exchange Theory .................................... Previously Identified Factors Influencing Residents’ Attitudes toward Tourism ............................................................ Characteristics of Geographic Areas under Study ..................... Response Rates ............................................................. Variables and Sources for Scale Items Used for Measurements Support for Testing Demographic Characteristics of the Proposed Model ........................................................................ Cronbach Alpha Coefficients for Composite Scales Used in the Study ......................................................................... Regression Analysis of the Relationships between Variables ....... Socio-Demographic Profile of Homeowners by County ............. Community Attachment by County ..................................... Contribution of Tourism and Recreation to County’s Economy Used as the Original Variable of Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism by County ......................................................... Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism by County Determined as Distance from the “Target” ............................................ Level of Subjective Knowledge of Tourism by County .............. Perceived Power by County .............................................. Perceived Economic Role of Tourism by County ..................... Personal Benefits from Tourism by County ........................... viii 20 22 27 35 49 61 64 69 71 73 78 85 86 87 87 88 89 89 90 Table 20: Table 21: Table 22: Table 23: Table 24: Table 25: Table 26: Table 27: Table 28: Table 29: Table 30: Table 31: Table 32: Table 33: Table 34: Positive Impacts of Tourism by County .............................. Negative Impacts of Tourism by County ............................... Support for Future Tourism Development ........................... Support for Restrictions on Future Tourism Development by County ....................................................................... Perceived Community Future by County ............................... Correlations, Means, and Standard Deviations among Regression Model 1 Variables by County ............................................ Regression Analysis of Model 1 Relationships between Attachment, Objective and Subjective Knowledge, Power, Economic Role and Personal Benefits from Tourism ................. Correlations, Means, and Standard Deviations among Regression Models 2 and 3 Variables by County ................................... Regression Analysis of Model 2 Relationships between Residents Characteristics and Positive Impacts from Tourism Controlling for Personal Benefits ........................................................... Regression Analysis of Model 2 Relationships between Residents Characteristics and Negative Impacts from Tourism Controlling for Personal Benefits ...................................................... Correlations, Means, and Standard Deviations among Regression Models 5 and 6 Variables by County .................................... Regression Analysis of Model 4 Relationships between Objective and Subjective Knowledge, Power, Economic Role, and Personal Benefits on Positive Impacts from Tourism ............................ Regression Analysis of Model 5 Relationships between Objective and Subjective Knowledge, Power, Economic Role, and Personal Benefits on Negative Impacts from Tourism ........................... Correlations, Means, and Standard Deviations among Regression Models 6, 7 and 8 Variables by County .............................. Regression Analysis of Model 6 Relationships between Personal Benefits from Tourism, Positive and Negative Impacts, and Support for Future Tourism Development .............................. ix 91 92 93 93 94 97 100 102 104 106 109 111 114 118 120 Table 35: Table 36: Table 37: Table 38: Table 39: Table 40: Table 41: Table 42: Table 43: Table 44: Table 45: Regression Analysis of Model 7 Relationships between Personal Benefits from Tourism, Positive and Negative Impacts, and Restrictions on Future Tourism Development ......................... Regression Analysis of Model 8 Relationships between Personal Benefits from Tourism, Positive and Negative Impacts, Restrictions on Future Tourism Development, and Community Future ....................................................................... County Market Share of Pleasure Travelers in Michigan (1996- 2000) .......................................................................... Population Trends (1960-2010) ........................................ Michigan Tourism Spending by County in 2000 ...................... Contribution of Tourism and Recreation to the Local Economy in 2007 .......................................................................... Proportion of Seasonal Homeowners (1990-2000) .................. Average Number of Jobs in Tourism-Related Businesses (1977-1987) ................................................................ Total Economic Activity .................................................. One-Way Analysis of Variance Examining Differences in Perceptions of Positive and Negative Impacts, Support and Restrictions on Future Tourism Development, and Community Future based on Area’s Level of Tourism and Economic Development ............................................................... Summary of Hypotheses 10-13 Testing ................................. 121 122 125 125 125 126 127 129 130 133 136 Figure I: Figure 2: Figure 3: Figure 4: Figure 5: Figure 6: Figure 7: Figure 8: Figure 9: Figure 10: Figure l 1: Figure 12: Figure 13: Figure 14: LIST OF FIGURES Doxey’s Index of Irritation “Irridex” .................................... Butler’s Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model ................... Perdue, Long and Allen’s Model of Residents Tourism Perceptions .................................................................. Proposed Comprehensive Model of Residents’ Tourism Perceptions and Support for Tourism Development .................. Proposed Comprehensive Model of Residents’ Tourism Perceptions and Support for Tourism Development with Hypotheses ................................................................. Two-Way Interaction between Age and Personal Benefits Predicting Positive Impacts of Tourism in Emmet County .......... Two-Way Interaction between Age and Personal Benefits Predicting Negative Impacts of Tourism in Emmet County ......... Two-Way Interaction between Age and Personal Benefits Predicting Negative Impacts of Tourism in Tuscola County ........ Two-Way Interaction between the Economic Role of Tourism and Personal Benefits Predicting Positive Impacts of Tourism in Emmet County ............................................................. Two-Way Interaction between the Economic Role of Tourism and Personal Benefits Predicting Positive Impacts of Tourism in Saginaw County ........................................................... Two-Way Interaction between the Economic Role of Tourism and Personal Benefits Predicting Positive Impacts of Tourism in Tuscola County ............................................................ County Market Share of Pleasure Travelers in Michigan (1996— 2000) ....................................................................... Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Collections for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola Counties (1983-1989) ................ Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Collections for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola Counties (1990-1995) ............... xi 24 26 37 52 95 104 106 107 112 112 113 124 128 128 Figure 15: Residents’ Attitudes by Level of Tourism and Economic Development ............................................................... 1 32 Figure 16: Summary of Hypotheses 1-9 Testing ..................................... 135 xii Chapter I INTRODUCTION Over the past twenty years, rural communities in the United States have experienced economic hardship due to decline in traditional industries (Perdue et al., 1987). To mitigate economic difficulties, many rural communities have adopted tourism as a new economic development strategy. Tourism is associated with economic, environmental, and socio-cultural benefits which can contribute to revitalization of communities and enhancement of residents’ quality of life (Andereck & Vogt, 2000; McCool & Martin, 1994). However, just like any other industry, tourism may bring changes to communities which will negatively affect residents’ lives. Therefore, before a community begins to develop tourism resources, it is crucial to understand residents’ opinions regarding fixture development. Previous research in the field of tourism has demonstrated that support of tourism by residents is essential for successful sustainable development of tourism (Andereck & Vogt, 2000; Jurowski & Gursoy, 2004). Residents’ perceptions of tourism are shaped by numerous factors. Some may perceive tourism development as economically beneficial with its potential to create jobs, generate income, and enhance infrastructure. Alternatively, others may view tourism development in a negative light because of its potential negative impact on the environment and local culture. Understanding how residents formulate their perceptions of tourism impacts and their attitudes toward tourism can help mitigate negative attitudes towards tourism which often influence destination attractiveness and hence, the number of visitor arrivals (Gursoy & Rutherford, 2004; Murphy, 1985). High tourist satisfaction has been linked to positive host perceptions and attitudes (Andriotis & Vaughan, 2003). Therefore, to achieve community support for the tourism, community leaders and developers should view tourism as a “community industry” (p.181) and involve residents in local tourism planning (Murphy, 1985). “Through the tourism planning process, the community can collectively assess its own potential and that of the surrounding area of tourism” (Fridgen, 1991, p. 213). Community participation in tourism planning is a key to successful tourism development with the overall goal of improving the community. Understanding of residents’ perceptions and attitudes has been shown to be an important factor in achieving successful sustainable tourism development. As a result, many studies have investigated residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and attitudes towards tourism development in communities worldwide, including those in developed (e.g., Ap, 1992; Andereck & Vogt, 2000; Jurowski & Gursoy, 2004; Snaith & Haley, 1999) and less developed countries (e.g., Belisle & Hoy, 1980; Kayat, 2002; Smith & Krannich, 1998). Most available research has been conducted in one or a few communities (Perdue, Long & Allen, 1990; McGehee & Andereck, 2004), and only a small number of studies have examined several communities (McGehee & Andereck, 2004) at different stages of economic and tourism development. To address this gap in the literature, the current study examined residents’ attitudes toward tourism in several rural Midwestern communities at different stages of economic and tourism development. Tourism Attitudes Residents’ attitudes toward tourism have been investigated for over forty years. Early studies on resident attitudes tended to focus on tourism impacts, especially positive economic impacts (Ap & Crompton, 1998). In the 1970’s, several studies noted negative impacts associated with tourism, however; it was not until the 1980’s and 1990’s when a more balanced and systematic perspective enabled evaluation of both positive and negative impacts of tourism evolved (Andereck & Vogt, 2000; Ap & Crompton, 1998). Numerous theories have been applied and models developed to examine residents’ attitudes towards tourism and to determine the key variables influencing attitudes toward tourism. While some studies have found support for their theoretical frameworks and predictors of tourism, others have been inconclusive. However, these studies suggest that tourism impacts on host communities are multifaceted. While tourism can improve residents’ quality of live and contribute to revitalization of communities experiencing economic hardship, successful sustainable tourism development is dependent on local residents’ support (Jurowski, Uysal, & Williams, 1997). Statement of the Problem The problem of the study was to examine residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and attitudes toward the existing tourism industry and future tourism development in several small rural Midwestern communities at different stages of economic and tourism development. The research also tested the influence of residents’ attitudes toward tourism on support of future tourism development. The study extended the model developed by Perdue, Long and Allen (1990) and utilized social exchange theory (Skidmore, 1975), and Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle model as the theoretical framework to guide the study. To address this research problem, this study provides an insight to residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and attitudes toward future tourism development in this collection of rural communities. The results of the study will enhance knowledge and understanding of residents’ attitudes towards future tourism development and assist tourism planners and developers in developing appropriate policies and strategies to alleviate resident concerns and issues, as well as minimize problems, and optimize benefits associated with tourism development. Theoretical Framework Over the past thirty years, several models have been developed to predict the impact of tourism development, changes in residents’ attitudes towards tourism, and to determine the key variables behind a destination’s life cycle and variables influencing attitudes toward tourism. Doxey ’3 Index of Irritation: “Irridex ” Doxey’s (1975) “Irridex” model was one of the first models that identified the collective effect of tourism development on residents’ attitudes. Doxey’s model suggested a unidirectional, predictable sequence of changes in residents’ attitudes. According to Doxey, as the tourism industry increases, residents’ attitudes change and become more negative, moving from euphoria to apathy, annoyance, and then final stage of antagonism where residents openly express their irritation toward tourists. Butler '3 Tourism Area Life Cycle ( T ALC) Model Extending Doxey’s work, Butler ( 1980) developed a tourism area cycle of evolution model implementing the product cycle concept. According to Butler (1980) a resort cycle moved through five stages; exploration, involvement, development, consolidation and stabilization, decline, or rejuvenation (depending on efforts to improve the adverse effects). Over these distinct stages, there were noteworthy changes in the types of visitors, the available infrastructure, the marketing and advertising strategies, the natural and built environment, and local people’s attitude towards tourism. These changes cumulated over time and resulted in one of the alternative scenarios of the post-stagnation stage. If growth was unplanned, the area would reach its carrying capacity causing the attractiveness of the area and the number of visitors to decline. In contrast, appropriate planning can have not only prolong the tourism flow over a long period of time, but also instigate a new life cycle by changing attractions or introducing new facilities (e.g., casino, golf course) (Stansfield, 1978). Earlier studies focusing on residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism have been criticized for being primarily exploratory or lacking in theoretical background (Ap, 1992). To address the atheoretical nature of residents’ attitudes studies, later studies integrated new theories, social exchange theory (e.g., Ap, 1992) being one of them. Social Exchange Theory Social exchange has been the dominant theoretical framework in research regarding residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism development. Social exchange theory is concerned “with understanding the exchange of resources between individuals and groups in an interaction situation”, ..., where “actors” supply one another with valued resources” (Ap, 1992, 668). The main premise of social exchange theory is that individuals evaluate an exchange based on the costs and benefits associated with that exchange. Hence, people will engage in an exchange if the exchange is likely to produce valued rewards, and the perceived costs do not exceed perceived rewards (Skidmore, 1975). Essentially, if residents perceive an exchange to be beneficial to their well—being, they will evaluate that exchange positively. However, if they perceive costs from an exchange, rather than benefits, they will evaluate that exchange negatively. In terms of tourism, residents who perceive to benefit from tourism are likely to have positive attitudes toward tourism development than those who do not perceive themselves as benefiting from tourism. The current study utilized the above mentioned theoretical framework to examine residents’ attitudes toward tourism development in several rural Midwestern communities building on the model developed by the Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990). This model was used to analyze residents’ support for tourism in diverse rural Colorado communities, with varying levels of tourism development. Testing a modified Perdue, Long, and Allen’s (1990) in rural Michigan communities (resembling those in Colorado) further validated and improved the model. Perdue, Long, and Allen ’3 Model of Residents ’ Tourism Perceptions Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) developed a conceptual model to analyze quantitative data collected from several small mral communities in Colorado. The model was used to test rural residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts. Moreover, the following relationships were examined: (a) relationship between perceived impacts and residents’ support for additional tourism development, (b) relationship between residents’ support for additional tourism development and restrictive tourism policies and special tourism taxes, and (c) relationship between residents’ support for additional tourism development and the perceived future of the community. Research Questions Building on the modified Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) model, and utilizing social exchange theory, and the tourism area life cycle model, nine research questions were formulated: 1. To what extent are level of objective and subjective knowledge of tourism, power, perceived economic role of tourism, and community attachment related to personal benefits from tourism? 2. To what extent are residents’ characteristics related to positive (negative) perceptions of impacts when controlling for personal benefits from tourism? 3. To what extent are level of objective and subjective knowledge of tourism, power, perceived economic role of tourism, and community attachment related to positive (negative) perceptions of impacts when controlling for personal benefits from tourism? 4. To what extent are personal benefits from tourism related to perceived positive (negative) impacts of tourism? 5. To what extent are personal benefits from tourism, perceived positive impacts of tourism, and perceived negative impacts of tourism related to support for future tourism development? 6. To what extent are personal benefits from tourism, perceived as positive impacts of tourism, and perceived negative impacts of tourism related to support for future restrictions on tourism development? 7. To what extent are personal benefits from tourism, perceived positive impacts of tourism, perceived negative impacts of tourism, support for future tourism development, and support for future restrictions on tourism development related to perceived community future? 8. Do residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts differ based on their area’s level of tourism and economic development? 9. Do residents’ perceptions of community future differ based on their area’s level of tourism and economic development? Hypotheses Based on the proposed comprehensive model, the study theory (i.e., social exchange theory (SET), and tourism area life cycle (TALC) model were tested with the following hypotheses: H1: Level of objective and subjective knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment are positively related to personal benefits from tourism (SET). H2: H3: H4: H5: H6: H7: H8: When controlling for personal benefits from tourism, there is a positive (negative) relationship between residents’ characteristics and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions (SET). Personal benefits from tourism will moderate the relationship between residents’ characteristics and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions (SET). Level of objective and subjective knowledge of the tourism industry, power, perceived economic role of tourism, and community attachment are positively related to perceived positive impacts of tourism and negatively related to perceived negative impacts of tourism when controlling for personal benefits from tourism (SET). Personal benefits from tourism will moderate the relationships between level of objective and subjective knowledge of the tourism industry, power, perceived economic role of tourism, and community attachment and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions (SET). There is a positive (negative) relationship between personal benefits from tourism and positive (negative) perceived impacts of tourism (SET). Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism and perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism regarding their ability to predict support for future tourism development (SET). Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism and perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism regarding their ability to predict support for future restrictions on tourism development (SET). H9: H10: H11: H12: H13: Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism, perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism, support for future tourism development, and support for future restrictions on tourism development regarding their ability to predict perceived community future (SET). Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will perceive greater positive and smaller negative impacts of tourism than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (TALC). Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be more supportive of future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (TALC). Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be less supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (TALC). Residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be more optimistic about the firture of their county than residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development (TALC). 10 Delimitations This study was delimited to a random sample of permanent and seasonal homeowners drawn from sampling frames representing the three areas under study. The data used in this study were collected as part of a larger municipal recreation and tourism master plan needs assessment. As such, only a limited number of questions specific to the study problem was included in the survey instrument. Next, the study was delimited to testing social exchange variables that have shown a significant relationship to residents’ perceptions in earlier studies. Lastly, the study was delimited to a quantitative data C 0 l l ecti on. Limitations The study was limited by the following factors: (1) a low survey response rate due t0 the length of the survey and declining mail survey rates; (2) samples drawn from general population who may not be as knowledgeable about the tourism industry as Individuals involved in tourism development (i.e., tourism business owners, civic leaders); and (3) the geographic regions under study were not selected using stratified random sample, thus they may not be representative of other tourism destinations at Similar development stages. Definitions Attitude: “Attitudes are intellectual, emotional, and behavioral responses to events, things, and persons which people can learn over time” (F ridgen, 1991, p.43). Community Attachment: “the social bond and local sentiment residents express toward 11 their community” (Jurowski, 1998, p. 31), and attachments “ to biophysical or landscape features of place” (Brehm et al., 2006, p. 146). Level of Tourism Development: Level of tourism development will be determined based on Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle model suggesting destinations may proceed through the following stages: exploration, involvement, development, consolidation and stabilization, decline, or rejuvenation, depending on efforts to improve the adverse effects. Length of Residence: Length of residence refers to the total number of years a permanent or seasonal resident has resided in a given study area. Local Community: “A complex system of friendship and kinship networks and formal and informal associational ties rooted in family life and on-going socialization process” (Kasarda & Janowitz, 1974, p. 329). Perceived Power (Involvement in Decision Making): Power is considered a major variable in the social exchange relation (Ap, 1992; Emerson, 1972; Madrigal, 1995). “Power refers to the ability of one actor to influence decision outcomes that will affect others” (Madrigal, 1995, p. 338) Tourist: A person who travels outside their home community during their leisure time for any purpose (e. g., vacation, visiting friends and family, conducting business, exploring retirements areas) (Jones, 2003). Study Organization The current study is organized into five chapters. Chapter 1 consists of a general background and introduction to the theoretical framework used to guide the study. 12 Chapter 2 provides an in-depth overview of the study’s theoretical concepts and justification of constructs explored in relation to residents’ attitudes toward future tourism development. Consistencies and inconsistencies found by previous residents’ attitudes toward tourism studies are also discussed. Chapter 3 discusses the research methodology used to obtain and analyze information for this study. First, the sample and population are described. Next, the data collection techniques and research instrument, including the scale development, are discussed. Finally, the statistical tests used for data analysis are explained. An overview of data analysis is provided in Chapter 4. First, description of the sample focusing on socio-demographics and key variables used in the conceptual model are reported. Then, results of hypotheses testing using standard multiple regression and one-way ANOVA with post-hoc tests are presented. Chapter 5 provides a summary and discussion of the key results in two sections addressing theoretical frameworks used to guide the study. Next, implications for tourism industry official are presented. Finally, limitations of study findings and recommendations for future research are discussed. l3 Chapter II LITERATURE REVIEW The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of empirical studies and theoretical frameworks that emphasize and support the importance of understanding residents’ attitudes in achieving successful tourism development. The literature overview is presented under the following topics: (1) tourism development in rural areas, (2) theoretical framework, and (3) factors influencing attitudes toward tourism development. Tourism Development in Rural Areas Over the past thirty years, rural areas in the United States have experienced a decline in traditional industries (e. g., agriculture, logging, and heavy manufacturing). As a result, rural communities throughout the United States have begun to look for new forms of economic development, tourism being one of them (Long et al., 1990; Allen et al., 1993; Allen et al., 1988; Perdue et al., 1987). Tourism development is often associated with economic growth due to its ability to provide new local employment and tax revenues and to diversify rural communities’ economies. Tourism in rural areas is typically characterized by small-scale and emphasis on entrepreneurial independent operators (Madrigal, 1993). Rural areas have a special appeal to tourists because they offer a diverse tourism product based on the area’s distinct environment, culture, history, and geographic character. Many tourists visit rural areas because of the uniqueness and attractiveness of rural communities and surrounding areas (Betz & Perdue, 1993). Conlin and Baum (1995) suggested that increasing urbanization will cause an increase interest in visitation of rural settings. Unfortunately, tourism l4 outcomes are more evident in rural areas than urban areas, and thus have a great impact on rural residents (Madrigal, 1993). In comparison to other economic development strategies in rural areas, tourism is less costly and easier to establish because it allows rural communities to build on already existing assets in the area, typically natural and cultural resources. Despite these benefits, rural tourism also has some disadvantages, specifically employment in the tourism industry is often low paying, without benefits and seasonal. However, rural tourism remains a viable economic option which can assist communities in diversifying their local economies (Wilson et al., 2001). In general, tourism development should enhance residents’ quality of life by addressing the economic, socio-cultural, and environmental benefits of tourism. In rural areas, local government is the most important authority in terms of tourism development planning and policies. In an effort to revitalize rural communities, local governments often focus on optimization of economic benefits with little regard for the negative social and environmental impacts associated with tourism and residents’ opinions about tourism development. Tourism development brings changes which influence residents’ lives and can result in residents’ negative attitudes toward tourists. Since local people frequently interact with tourists, their willingness to be hospitable hosts is imperative to successful tourism development. Therefore, tourism needs to be perceived as a “community industry” (Murphy, 1985, p. 181) where tourism planning not only attempts to optimize economic impacts of tourism, but also addresses and minimizes tourism negative social and environmental impacts while involving local people in the planning process. 15 A majority of studies prior to the 1960’s focused on the positive economic benefits of tourism. In the 1970’s, several studies noted negative issues associated with tourism, but it was not until the 1980’s and 1990’s that tourism research started to evaluate positive and negative impacts (Ap & Crompton, 1998). Host communities have been recognized to play an important role in the tourism development process. As a result, in recent years numerous studies have examined residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism development as an important planning, policy and promotion consideration for successful sustainable tourism development. Theoretical Framework Several models and theories have been utilized to address the impacts of tourism development, to estimate changes in residents’ attitudes toward tourism in relation to tourism development, and to determine the key variables influencing attitudes toward tourism. Overview of Theoretical Perspectives on Residents ’ Attitudes The concept of a tourism area life cycle has evolved over several decades. Christaller’s (1963) research was the starting point in tourism area life cycle theory as he considered three stages of tourism area life cycle (discovery, growth, and decline), while examining changes of Mediterranean communities that had become popular tourists’ destinations. According to Christaller, painters are the first people to discover a future resort area while they are looking for untouched unusual places to paint. Slowly, the place develops into an artist colony; poets, and other artistically inclined people then start to follow the artists. The area becomes fashionable as the new and modern infrastructure 16 replaces existing buildings. More people visit the area as more package tours are arranged. The destination becomes overcrowded causing the artists and their followers to go elsewhere. A decade later, Cohen (1972) categorized visitors into four types of tourists (i.e., drifter; explorer; individual mass tourist; and organized mass tourist) based on their willingness to venture beyond their comfort zones. Each of these categories embodies unique characteristics that influence visitors’ likelihood to interact with the host culture or alternatively, remain within the tourist “comfort zone” created by the tourism industry providers. Drifters try to escape from their home environments and their own culture. These travelers do not associate themselves with the tourism industry. They have no arrangements for transportation and accommodations. They tend to take work when they need money, and desire to blend in with the host culture residents while sharing their shelter, food and habits. Explorers also have no itinerary; however, they like to stay in more comfortable accommodation and seek more reliable transportation. Their goal is to interact with locals as much as possible and to learn their language. Individual mass tourists do not arrange their own trip; instead they use services of a tourist agency. They live in “tourist enclaves” which resemble their home country. Occasionally, they deviate from the pre-planned program and take a trip on their own within the realms of the familiar territory. Unlike the individual mass tourists, the organized mass tourists’ trip is totally organized. They are the least adventurous of all since they travel with groups of people from their own culture and stay within a “tourist bubble” that creates the image of their culture keeping them isolated from the local community. 17 Another view of the resort cycle was taken by Plog (1974) who related patterns of tourism development to personal characteristics of individuals. Plog (1974) segmented tourists into three types based on a psychographic continuum ranging from the psychocentric at one end to the allocentric at the other. Psychocentrics are conservative and passive tourists who choose common, popular and safe destinations and activities, while allocentrics are individualistic, active and adventurous travelers. Mid-centrics are intermediate between the previous two and according to Plog (1974) constituted the most common tourist type. Plog’s (1974) and Cohen’s tourist typologies were later associated with a specific stage of Butler’s tourism area life cycle (TALC) model which suggests that a resort cycle moves through five stages of exploration (characterized by Plog’s allocentrics and Cohen’s explorers), involvement, development (characterized by Plog’s mid-centrics and Cohen’s institutionalized tourists), consolidation, stagnation (characterized by Plog’s psychocentrics and Cohen’s organized mass tourists), and stabilization, decline, or rejuvenation, depending on efforts to improve the adverse effects. Another approach was taken by Doxey (1975) whose “Irridex” model identified the collective effect of tourism development on residents’ attitudes. According to Doxey, as the tourism industry increases, residents’ attitudes change and become more negative, moving from euphoria to apathy, annoyance, and then final stage of antagonism where residents openly express their irritation with tourists. The concept of changing relationship between tourists and residents was later used by Butler (1980) as one of the indicators to identify the stage of the tourism area life cycle. 18 Building on previous observations by resort cycle theorists, Miossec (1976) proposed a model that conceptualized the spatial and temporal evolution of a destination with respect to physical change. Miossec’s (1976) model examined the interplay of the four key elements that influence the evolution of a resort: the destination and its characteristics, transportation, tourist behavior, and attitudes of decision makers and residents. In the initial phase, the region is isolated, there is minimal or no development and developers make tourists aware of the destination. The development moves into the second phase as pioneer resorts are being developed. Noticeable changes begin in the third phase where system of resorts established to serve tourists’ expands, and infrastructure and transportation networks are constructed. Residents’ attitudes evolve from an initial state of acceptance of tourism to an adoption of planning control, and even rejection of tourism. In the last stage, the area becomes gradually more saturated with further development. Tourists become more aware of what the regions have to offer with some specialization occurring where the system of facilities catering to specific market segments is established. Tourists themselves begin to attract new visitors to the destination rather than the original attractions. This change results in some tourists moving onto other areas. Early studies concerning residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism have been criticized for being primarily exploratory, descriptive, and lacking theoretical background and operational definitions (Ap, 1992). To address the atheoretical nature of residents’ attitudes studies, the early use of Doxey’s and Butler’s tourism development models as a theoretical basis has been expanded to integrate new theories such as social exchange theory (e. g., Ap, 1992), social representation theory (e. g., Pearce et al., 1996), 19 community attachment theory (e. g., Jurowski, 1998), growth machine theory (e.g., Madrigal, 1995), personal construct theory (Lawton, 2005), power theory (e. g., Kayat, 2002), and social carrying capacity (e.g., Allen et al., 1988). In an effort to synthesize various perspectives in addressing residents’ perceptions of tourism, Faulkner and Tideswell (1997) suggested two large dimensions of tourism development: extrinsic and intrinsic. The extrinsic dimension refers to tourist destinations’ characteristics (e.g., stage of a tourism life cycle); while the intrinsic dimension considers characteristics of residents of the host community that can potentially affect the impacts of tourism on a given community. Theoretical frameworks that have been utilized to examine residents’ attitudes toward tourism in prior studies are summarized in Table 1. Table 1: Theoretical Frameworks Used to Study Residents’ Perceptions of Tourism Study Theog Akis et al. (1996) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Allen et al. (1988) Social carrying capacity 13) (1992) Social exchange theory Andereck et al. (2005) Social exchange theory Andriotis (2005) Social exchange theory Andriotis & Vaughan (2003) Social exchange theory Social Representation theory Besculides et al. (2002) Benefits based framework Bryant & Napier (1981) Social exchange theory Carmichael et al. ( 1986) Social exchange theory Social caLrying capacity Cavus & Tanrisevdi (2003) Doxey’s Irridex model Choi & Sirakaya (2005) Sustainability subjective indicators framework Choy (l 992) Butler’s TALC model Deccio & Baloghu (2002) Social exchange theory D0flet al. (2003) Butler’s TALC model Doglas (1997) Butler’s TALC model Faulkner & Tideswell (1997) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Social exchange theory Fredline & Faulkner (2000) Social representation theog Getz (1994) Social exchange theory Gursgy et al. (2002) Social exchange theory 20 Continued Table 1: Theoretical Frameworks Used to Study Residents’ Perceptions of Tourism Study Theory Gursoy & Rutherford (2004) Social exchange theory loannides (1992) Butler’s TALC model Hernandez et al. (1996) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Social exchange theory Hovinen (1981) Butler’s TALC model Hovinen (2002) Butler’s TALC model Jurowski (1994) Social exchange theory Jurowski et al. (1997) Social exchange theory Jurowski & Gursoy (2004) Social exchange theory Kayat (2002) Social exchange theory + power variable Ko & Stewart (2002) Model of residents’ tourism perceptions (Perdue et al.,1990) Lawton (2005) Personal construct thecfl Lee & Back (2006) Social exchange theory Social canying capacity Long et a1. (1990) Social canyingcapacity Madrigal (1993) Social exchange theory Madrigal (1995) Growth machine theory Martin (1996) Growth machine theory Mason & Cheney (2000) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Meyer-Arendt (1985) Butler’s TALC model McGehee & Andereck (2004) Social exchange theory Perdue et al. (1990) Social exchange theory Perdue et al. (1999) Social exchange theory Social cagying capacity Pearce et al. (1996) Social representation theory Russell & Faulkenr (2004) Butler’s TALC model Ryan et al. (1998) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Sirakaya et al. (2002) Social exchange theory Smith & Krannich (1998) Tourism dependence framework Stansfield (I978) Resort cycle Teye et al.(2002) Social exchange theory Tooman (1997) Butler’s TALC model Weaver (1990) Butler’s TALC model Weaver & Lawton (2001) Butler’s TALC model & Doxey’s Irridex model Faulkner & Tideswell Yoon et al. (2001) Social exchange theory To address both extrinsic and intrinsic dimensions of tourism development, this study will utilize social exchange theory (intrinsic dimension) and the destination life cycle (extrinsic dimension) model as the theoretical framework to guide the study. Strengths and weaknesses of the theoretical frameworks utilized in this study are summarized in Table 2. 21 Table 2: Strengths and Weaknesses of Theoretical Frameworks Butler’s Destination Lifecycle Model and Doxey’s Irridex Strengths Focus on extrinsic dimension of tourism development Identifies levels of tourism development reflecting the relationship between demand and supply Emphasizes the economic, social and physical factors that influence the destination’s ability to absorb tourists and tourism infrastructure Can be utilized as a forecasting tool for determining the destination’s carrying capacity limits, and as a descriptive guide for tourism product planning, development and management Weaknesses Does not consider intrinsic dimension, as such assumes homogeneity and uni-directionality of communities Ignores the idea of developing coping mechanisms/adaptation, as well as relatively stable urban communities, as such would fail to predict later stages of development - Ignores influences of internal and external factors 0 Does not identify the key forces behind the life cycle Social Exchange Theory Strengths Considers heterogeneity of communities, thus explains why there are different attitudes within the same community Explains both positive and negative effects of a phenomenon under study Can examine relationships at both individual and collective levels Provide understanding of exchange of social, environmental, cultural and economic resources; thus the evaluation of the exchange process is complex and dynamic lndividual’s evaluation of social, environmental, cultural and economic benefits/costs differs based on personal benefit/cost measures Individuals evaluate a range of interacting costs and benefits before they make a rational decision Based on individual interactions, community outcomes/reactions can be understood Weaknesses Assumes the decision-making process always ends in gaining, there are no losers only winners Not all people who enter exchange have complete or correct information Assumes individual’s knowledge is a result of direct experience rather than socially and historically derived Suggests those who perceive benefits will have higher positive impacts and also perceive lower negative impacts-it does not consider the nature of interaction, stage of development 0 Residents vary in the degree to which they benefit/bear the costs 0 Assumes that every individual has an equal influence on policy and planning 22 Doxey 's Index of Irritation: “Irridex " Doxey’s Irridex model (1975) was one of the first models concerning residents’ attitudes toward tourism. Based on two resort region studies, one on Barbados and the other on Niagara-on-the-lake, Doxey (1975) suggested that with the increasing influx of tourists, residents’ attitudes change and become more negative, moving from euphoria to apathy, annoyance, and then antagonism. The stage of euphoria is associated with the early stages of the development of the tourism in a destination where visitors and investors are still welcomed. There is a little planning and no tourism marketing. During the apathy period tourists are taken for granted, relations between tourist and residents is purely commercial. Planning, marketing, and advertising are deliberately targeted towards tourists. The annoyance stage signifies that the area has reached the carrying capacity of the destination (the saturation point). As residents’ needs become more neglected, they begin to question the presence of tourists and the need for a tourism industry in their communities. Despite of that, the authorities are mainly concerned with increasing the level of infrastructure in the area. Finally, the area enters the stage of antagonism, where residents openly express their irritations against tourists. In summary, Doxey’s Irridex suggests that increased levels of tourism development lead to increased residents’ irritation with tourists and overall negative attitudes towards tourism development (Figure l). 23 Figure 1. Doxey’s Index of Irritation: “Irridex” Euphoria e E7 Apathy e e \/ Annoyance ee \/ Antagonism <7 Source: Williams (1998, p. 158). While several researchers have used Doxey’s Irridex in conjunction with Butler’s model as a theoretical framework to guide their studies (e.g., Akis et al., 1996; Hernandez et al., 1996; Faulkner & Tideswell, 1997; Mason & Cheyne, 2000; Ryan et al., 1998), only one study (Cavus & Tanrisevdi, 2003) developed specific measures to test Doxey’s Irridex rather than using analogies drawn from Butler (1980) and Doxey (1975). Cavus and Tanrisevdi (2003) developed a set of statements to measure the threshold level of residents’ toward tourism development in Kusadasi, Turkey. Results of their study revealed that residents were in the annoyance stage. Residents felt that they were not included in the city’s planning process and problems caused by tourism have not been resolved by formal authorities. Cavus and Tanrisevdi (2003) suggested including local residents in the long-term development of the city to avoid possible antagonistic residents’ attitudes toward visiting tourists. 24 Butler 's Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model Based on Doxey’s work, Butler (1980) developed a tourism area cycle of evolution model implementing the product life cycle concept. Butler (1980) proposed that a resort cycle moved through five stages of exploration, involvement, development, consolidation and stabilization, decline, or rejuvenation, depending on efforts to mitigate . the adverse effects. Over these distinct stages, there were noteworthy changes in the types of visitors, the available infrastructure, the marketing and advertising strategies, the natural and built environment, and local residents’ attitudes towards tourism. These changes accumulated over time and resulted in one of the alternative scenarios of the post-stagnation stage. If growth was unplanned, the area would reach its carrying capacity causing the attractiveness of the area and the number of visitors to decline. On the other hand, appropriate planning may have not only prolonged the tourism flow over a long period of time but also instigated a new life cycle by changing attractions or introduction of new facilities, e. g., casinos (Stansfield, 1978) (Figure 2). Butler (1980) was aware of his model’s limitations where the extent to which the stages of the cycle were experienced varied for different areas “reflecting variations in such factors as rate of development, numbers of visitors, accessibility, government policies, and numbers of similar competing areas” (p.1 1). While the majority of tourist destination evolution research has stressed the changing nature of tourism markets and the motives of travelers, Butler (1980) emphasized the economic, social and physical factors that impact the destination’s ability to absorb tourists and tourist facilities (Hall, 2003). The significance of Butler’s model is emphasized by “the synergistic relationship between the marketplace (demand) and the 25 destination (supply) in that changes in one have effects on the other” (Hall, 2003, p. 39). Butlers’ model enables examining the evolution of tourism in an area, specifically the development of a destination through time and space by identifying endogenous and exogenous developmental factors accountable for each stage of tourism evolution (loannides, 1992). Figure 2: Butler’s Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model A Rejuvenation Reduced growth p------------------—---------- ------------------- ' _ Stagnation Consolidation Stabilization Decline Immediate decline Number of tourists Development Involvement Exploration . > Time Source: Butler (1980, p. 7). Several models of tourism area development have been proposed to describe destinations’ evolution; however, Butler’s (1980) model has been discussed, applied, and tested the most. Previous studies have utilized Butler’s (1980) model at micro (e. g., resorts, natural attractions, counties) and macro (e.g., island, countries) level case studies using different temporal scales and methodologies (Karplus & Krakover, 2004). 26 Qualitative studies typically utilized decadal date to apply Butler’s (1980) model (e. g., Douglas, 1997; Tooman, 1997). On the other hand, qualitative studies usually depend on annual arrivals or annual bed occupancy data (e. g., Choy 1992, Hovinen, 2002). Table 3 provides for an overview of measurements used to test the tourism area’s life cycle stage. Table 3: An Overview of Measurements Used to Test Butler’s Model Study Measurement Akis et al. (1996) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Debbage (1990) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Choy (1992) Annual tourist arrivals Cooper &Jackson (1989) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Douglas (1997) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Dong et al. (2003) Annual tourist arrivals Getz (1992) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Interviews Field observations Hovinen (1981) Annual tourist arrivals Hovinen (2002) Annual tourist arrivals Percent change in gross sales by tourism sectors Changes in available tourism infrastructure loannides (1992) Annual tourist arrivals Bed occupancy Tourist accommodatiorgrowth Faulkner & Tideswell (1997) Level of tourism development Tourist/resident ratio Type of tourist Seasonality Foster & Murphy (1991) Annual tourist arrivals Hernandez et al. (1996) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Karplus & Krakover (2004) Longitudinal monthly bed-night data, investment in infrastructure, and security indicators Lundtrop & Wanhill (2001) Annual tourist arrivals Meyer—Arendt ( l 985) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Russell & Faulkner (2004) Type of entrepreneurial activities Tooman (1997) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time Weaver (1990) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life gcle throughout time Weaver & Lawton (2001) Decadal data examining factors influencing the destination’s life cycle throughout time 27 Regardless of methodologies used to test Butler’s (1980) model, support for this model has been mixed. Hovinen (1981, 2002) applied Butler’s model to Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. He concluded that Lancaster County showed significant departures from Butler’s proposed stages of exploration consolidation, and stagnation; as well as the postulated S-shaped logistic curve of growth of number of tourists. While the model’s later stages of consolidation and stagnations did not fit well the evolution of tourism in Lancaster County, the author concluded that Butler’s model was a useful conceptual framework in suggesting the potential decline of a tourist destination if destination specific problems were not addressed. Hovinen (2002) suggested that future studies should consider the role of entrepreneurs in creating conditions that change the course of the evolutionary cycle, as well as multiple tourism products each with its own cycle. Similarly to Hovinen, Getz (1992) found that Niagara Falls’ stages of exploration and involvement diverted from Butler’s model. He concluded that Niagara Falls appeared to be in a long state of maturity comparable to Lancaster County. Foster and Murphy (1991) examined Butler’s model suitability in explaining tourism development with particular reference to its relationship to retirement. Similarly to Hovinen (1981, 2002), their study supported the model’s applicability to the early tourism development trends but failed to explain the later stages of the resort communities’ evolution. However, the study also revealed that these communities became more appreciative of the retirement sector when they experienced the first major decline in tourism. A decade later, Weaver and Lawton (2001) examined residents’ perceptions of tourism on Tamborine Mountain in the Gold Coast using analogy drawn from Butler’s (1980) model. Their study revealed that each stage of tourism development 28 was accompanied by a bell-curve of residents’ perceptions, as opposed to observing the S-shaped logistic curve throughout the whole tourism life cycle (Butler, 1980). As a result, Weaver and Lawton (2001) concluded that the TALC model was not adequate in describing resident attitudes toward tourism development. Dong et al. (2003) indicated that Butler’s model provided limited explanation in understanding how ethic tourism development occurred in Yunnan. The model failed to explain the geographic progression of ethic tourism to remote area of Yunnan province. Additionally, the level of local residents’ involvement did not follow the proposed cycle of tourism development. In contrast, Meyer-Arendt (1985) confirmed that different stages of the evolution of the Grand Isle seaside resort in Louisiana were linked to Butler’s model. loannides (1992) analyzed the role of local attributes and the effectiveness of national government policies within the context of Butlers’ model. Similarly to Meyer-Arendt (1985), loannides (1992) concluded that the growth of tourism industry followed Butler’s tourist area lifecycle. Cooper and Jackson (1989) confirmed that TALC model was a useful descriptive tool for analyzing the development of tourism destinations as well as the evolution of tourism markets. A study by Karplus and Krakover (2004) re—examined Butler’s model using statistical testing. They utilized a regression model which incorporated monthly bed-night data as a measure of demand. In addition, investment in infrastructure (number of hotel rooms available) was applied as an endogenous variable and a security indicator (wars and cycles of violence) was incorporated as an exogenous variable. Karplus and Krakover (2004) concluded that the Dead Sea development conformed to the patterns of Butler’s (1980) model. 29 Choy (1992) applied destination life cycle model (Butler, 1980) to several Pacific Island destinations. Based on the tourism arrival growth patterns, Choy (1992) concluded that Butler’s (1980) model was not applicable to most Pacific Island designations because it was unable to explain large variations in grth patterns across various destinations in the region. Weaver (1990) applied Butler’s model to the evolution of tourism in Grand Cayman Island in the Caribbean. This study was an example of a resort which skipped the first stage of the proposed cycle. Similarly to Choy (1992), Weaver (1990) found a distinctive deviation from the cycle with respect to local versus non-local control in the development stage. Local participation actually increased in the development stage from government policies designed to encourage tourism development as well as to place limitations on the growth. Hernandez et al. (1996) examined resident’s attitudes toward a proposed “enclave” resort in Isabela, Puerto Rico, building on social exchange theory, tourism development cycle theories, and the segmentation approach. Based on the assessment of tourism infrastructure, employment in tourism, and role of tourism in local economy, Isabela was classified as pre-resort, experiencing pro-developmental (exploration) stage. Results of their study indicated Isabela residents’ attitudes toward proposed tourism development were ambivalent, thus not supportive of Butler’s model. Faulkner and Tideswell (1997) suggested two large dimensions of tourism development (i.e., extrinsic and intrinsic) to assess impacts of tourism development of the Gold Coast. The extrinsic dimension referred to the progression of residents’ attitudes toward tourists and the stage of a tourism life cycle measured by tourist destinations’ characteristics (i.e., level of tourism development, tourist/resident ratio, type of tourist, and seasonality). The intrinsic dimension considered characteristics of residents of the 30 host communities. Contrary to the propositions by Butler (1980) and Doxey (1975), Faulkner and Tideswell (1997) concluded that residents in large scale mature tourist destinations did not become antagonistic towards tourism. Similarly to Faulkner and Tideswell (1997), Russell and Faulkner (2004) proposed an alternative conceptual framework to examine tourism development process. They combined chaos theory and entrepreneurship with Butlers’ model as vital factors influencing tourism development in the Gold Coast. Their results showed that each stage of the tourism area life cycle was linked to a specific entrepreneurial activity. Russell and Faulkner (2004) concluded that entrepreneurial activities disturb the existing equilibrium creating conditions for change in the evolutionary cycle. Several studies have applied Butler’s model utilizing decadal data to examine tourism development. Akis et al. (1993) utilized Butler’s model to study Greek and Turkish Cypriots residents’ perceptions of coastal tourism development. Different stages of Butler’s model were determined based on a review of historical data (e. g., increase of number of beds, property prices, and tourists’ infrastructure). Results of their study supported Butler’s proposition in that residents who had little exposure to tourism were more supportive of tourism than residents with a more intensive exposure to tourism. On the other hand, residents who had more exposure to tourism also perceived their interaction with tourists as positive rather than negative. The authors concluded that results indicated that these destinations were still in the stage of development rather than consolidation. Douglas (1997) utilized Butler’s model as a conceptual tool to build comparative profiles of historical development in several tourists’ destinations in Melanesia. The level of a specific destination’s life-cycle was determined through 31 analysis of historical data (i.e., total population, total visitor arrivals, occupancy, earnings from tourism, and employment in tourism for 1993) as well as comprehensive literature review focusing on type of tourists, promotional effort and governmental involvement in tourism development. Similarly to Douglas (1997), Tooman (1997) applied the model as a conceptual framework to evaluate social welfare changes as tourism evolved over time in the area of Smokey Mountains. Different stages of Butler’s model were determined based on literature review of historical data between 1830 and 1995 (e. g., changes in tourist infrastructure, economic depression). Though the testing of Butler’s model has resulted in mixed findings, the literature appears to suggest that the model is a very usefirl conceptual framework for examination of the tourism development patterns from different perspectives while allowing the use of various spatial settings, temporal scales and methodologies (Karplus & Krakover, 2004). It is important to note that the majority of these studies focused on application of the model to beach resorts and other new tourist products (e. g., Douglas, 1997; Meyer- Arendt, 1985). However; little attention has been given to urban tourism, particularly heritage tourism destinations, e. g. Venice, Salzburg, Toledo (Garrod & Fyall, 2000). Some researchers have argued that the lack of the model’s application to urban tourism is due to the difficulty to observe and analyze examples of complete cycles of urban tourism development. The decline stage of the destination cycle is difficult to observe in heritage destinations whose tourism product builds on cultural assets inherited from the past. The cultural and historical uniqueness makes substitutability between heritage destinations very limited and the decline stage an unexpected outcome of tourism development cycle. The number of tourists visiting heritage destinations is steadily increasing with 32 excursions being the most popular way to visit these destinations. The challenge for urban tourism destinations is to serve the needs of increasing visitor flows while managing the growth of the tourism industry and protecting their cultural heritage—the foundation of their tourism product. While visitor management remains to be one of the main concerns for city officials, urban tourism development and management continues to be a relatively unexplored area of tourism research (Russo, 2002). Social Exchange Theory Social exchange has been a dominant theoretical framework for research regarding residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism development. Social exchange theory is concerned “with understanding the exchange of resources between individuals and groups in an interaction situation”, ..., where “actors” supply one another with valued resources” (Ap, 1992, p. 668). Social exchange theory provides a conceptual framework for understanding the exchange of tangible or intangible resources between individuals and groups. Thus, social exchange theory enables evaluation of the exchange process which is complex and dynamic and can be utilized to explain both positive and negative attitudes (Ap, 1992). The main premise of social exchange theory is that individuals evaluate an exchange based on the costs and benefits associated with that exchange. Hence, people will engage in an exchange if the exchange is likely to produce valued rewards, and the perceived costs do not exceed perceived rewards (Skidmore, 1975). Essentially, if residents perceive an exchange to be beneficial to their well-being, they will evaluate that exchange positively. However, if they perceive costs from an exchange, rather than benefits, they will evaluate that exchange negatively. In terms of 33 tourism, residents who perceive they benefit from tourism are likely to have more positive attitudes toward tourism development than those who do not perceive themselves as benefiting from tourism. Based on social exchange theory, “expressed support for tourism development is considered as a willingness to enter into an exchange” (Gursoy, Jurowski & Uysal, 2002, p. 82). Social exchange differs from solely economic exchange because obligations involved in a social exchange are not identified (Kayat, 2002). Social exchange theory encompasses three points of view, economic, environmental, and socio-cultural, that can assist in explaining why people behave the way they do. From the economic perspective, residents who can profit economically from tourism will be in favor of firrther tourism development. On the other hand, residents may value environmental factors more than economic benefits because they can benefit from more outdoor recreation in natural areas. Lastly, residents may perceive tourism as a means of preserving their traditions and culture as well as an opportunity for more cultural experience for residents. The way residents perceive the economic, environmental, and socio-cultural factors of the exchange process will determine how they respond to tourism development (Andriotis & Vaugham, 2003). Social exchange theory has been proven to be a suitable theoretical framework for analyzing residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism (Ap, 1992; Getz, 1994; Jurowski et al., 1997; Perdue et al., 1990). Over the past decade, several models have been developed using social exchange theory as a theoretical base (e. g., Andereck et al., 2005; Ap, 1992; Gursoy et al., 2002; Jurowski et al., 1997; Gursoy & Rutherford, 2004; Perdue et al., 1990) (Table 4). 34 Table 4: Support for Social Exchange Theory Study Support for Social Exchange Theory Ap (1992) Yes Andereck et al. (2005) Inconclusjve* Andriotis (2005) Inconclusive* Andriotis & Vaughan (2003) Yes Bryant & Napier (1981) Yes Carmichael et al. (1996) Yes Deccio & Baloghu (2002) Yes Faulkner & Tideswell (1997) Yes Getz (1994) Yes Gursoy et al. (2002) Yes Gursoy & Rutherford (2004) Yes Hernandez et 3141996) Yes Jurowski et al. (1997) Yes Jurowski & Gursoy (2004) Yes Lee & Back (2006) Yes Kayat (2002) Yes (added “power” variable) Madrigal (1993) Yes MCGChCC & Andereck (2004) Inconclusive* Perdue et al. (I 990) Yes Sirakaya et al. (2002) Yes Teye Ct al.(2002) Inconclusive* Yoon et al. (2001) Yes 3"Not all social enhance theory variables were found to be related to support for additional tourism development Perdue, Long, and Allen '5 Model of Residents ’ Tourism Perceptions Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) developed a conceptual model to analyze quantitative data collected from 16 rural communities in Colorado utilizing social exchange theory. The model tested rural residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and support for tourism development. Moreover, the model examined the following relationships: (a) relationship between perceived impacts and residents’ support for additional tourism development, (b) relationship between residents’ support for additional tourism development and restrictive tourism policies and special tourism taxes, and (c) 35 relationship between residents’ support for additional tourism development and the perceived future of the community (Figure 3). 36 .awm d dam: 8:< 98 .wcoq .26qu H083m 8258. mo 3895 03332 eozoocom Haven—2050 Baruch. b82580 no so maouoEmom 835 33088 no.“ toqasm “cacao—969 £858. EcoEvc< com toamzm $me Emtzoh Eooam Sm toamzm EoEQBoSQ Saw—:8. 88m minnow fieoflom 5258. CO 3395 2650A 83083 €833qu Ewen—oh .mEoEmoM mo Eco: @522 28 .0“qu .0533 ”m ouswi 8558820 EoEmom 37 Perdue et al. (1990) hypothesized that residents’ characteristics would be unrelated to perceived impacts of tourism, and support for additional tourism development would be positively related to the positive impacts and negatively related to the negative impacts when controlling for personal benefits from tourism. In accordance with tourism perception as a “doomsday development strategy”, Perdue et al. (1990) also hypothesized that support for additional tourism development will be negatively related to the community’s perceived future. Lastly, it was hypothesized that support for additional tourism development would be negatively related to support for restrictive tourism development and special tourism user fees and additional taxes. In the Perdue et al. (1990) study, a series of multiple regressions were utilized to explore these relationships. The researchers found that, when controlling for personal benefits from tourism, perceptions were unrelated to residents’ characteristics with the exception education and gender. Perdue et al. (1990) suggested that while further research is needed, it would be better focused on determining actors which influence attitudes especially of those residents who are unlikely to benefit from tourism development. Support for additional tourism development was positively (negatively) related to the perceived positive (negative) impacts of tourism when controlling for personal benefits from tourism. Perdue et al. (1990) emphasized the importance of improving tourism image with local residents, particularly those residents who are unlikely to benefit from tourism development. Furthermore, support for additional tourism development was negatively related to the perceived future of the community. Perdue et al. (1990) referred to this occurrence as a “doomsday” phenomenon where residents are more likely to support tourism development when the rural economy is 38 deteriorating. However, the popularity of tourism as a rural economic development strategy may decrease when other sectors of the local economy improve. Lastly, support for additional tourism development was negatively related to restrictive tourism policies; however, special tourism taxes were unrelated to support for additional tourism development. Support for restrictive tourism policies and special tourism taxes were positively related to negative impacts and perceived community future. These results suggest that residents who perceive negative impacts from tourism are more supportive of restrictive tourism policies and special tourism taxes. However, support for special tourism taxes will differ based on the perception of tax revenue use. For example, if the tax revenues were to be used for tourism promotion, residents who perceive negative impacts from tourism would be less likely to support taxes on tourism. Perdue et al. (1990) noted that results of their study regarding support for restrictions on tourism development and special tourism taxes may have been different had their study specified how restrictions would be administered and how tourism tax revenues would be used. Perdue et al. (1990) expressed the need for further research in other rural communities to validate and improve their model. While the study by Perdue et al. (1990) was a significant contribution to resident attitudes research that mostly examined communities heavily dependent on tourism, the study utilized a nonrandom set of Colorado communities which were not representative of all rural Colorado communities. Perdue et al. (1990) suggested that future research should examine a random sample of rural communities and attempt to measure current levels of tourism development in these communities. 39 Perdue, Long, and Allen’s (1990) model has been validated and improved by several studies (i.e., Ko & Stewart, 2002; Madrigal, 1993; McGehee & Andereck, 2004; Snaith & Haley, 1994). Madrigal (1993) examined residents’ perceptions of tourism development in two Arizona cities with different levels of tourism development. He found social exchange variables (i.e., economic reliance, balance of power) to be better predictors of perceptions than residents’ characteristics. Additionally, while personal economic reliance (defined as respondent’s income’s dependency on the tourism industry) was significantly related to positive perceptions of tourism, it was not found to be related to the negative perceptions that were more dependent on the level of tourism development (represented by city of residence). Snaith and Haley (1994) applied the conceptual framework developed by Perdue et al. (1990) to a large urban area—York, the United Kingdom. They found economic reliance to be a significant predictor of positive perceptions of tourism, and negative perceptions of tourism to be significant predictors of support for local government control of tourism. Also, older respondents, respondents with a greater household income and those with positive perceptions of tourism were more supportive of local tax levies. However, homeowners were less supportive of tax levies to support tourism development. Their findings contradicted earlier research (e.g., Belisle & Hoy, 1980; Davis et al., 1988, Perdue et al., 1990) which had suggested that residents’ characteristics had no or little effect on their perceptions of tourism development. These contradictions in findings may be because Snaith and Haley’s (1994) study examined populations in a historically established urban area. It can be argued urban areas have been able to develop coping mechanisms to accommodate tourism related inconveniences better than 40 rural areas (Rothman, 1978), suggesting residents’ attitudes change throughout time (Cavus & Tanrisevdi, 2003). K0 and Stewart (2002) tested the Perdue et al. (1990) model adding a new construct—overall community satisfaction. In contrast to Perdue et al. (1990), they found no significant relationship between personal benefits from tourism development and perceived negative impacts of tourism. Additionally, no relationship was found between personal benefits from tourism development and overall community satisfaction. Perceived positive (negative) tourism impacts were positively (negatively) related to overall community satisfaction. McGehee and Andereck (2004) extended the Perdue et a1. (1990) work by adding a community level of tourism dependence variable. Community dependence on tourism item was not measured by the questionnaire. The variable was developed using several rural tourism experts’ opinions because of the lack of community-specific economic data in the area under study. Four rural tourism experts were asked to rank each community on a five-point scale where 1 = not at all tourism dependent and 5 = extremely tourism dependent. In contrast to Perdue et al. (1990), McGehee and Andereck (2004) found a relationship between age and perceptions of tourism impacts. Additionally, having lived in a community as a child variable (not previously tested by Perdue et al. (1990), was found to be a significant predictor of perceptions of tourism impacts. Consistent with other studies (e. g., Allen et al., 1988; Smith & Krannich, 1998) community tourism dependence was found to be a significant predictor of perceptions of tourism impacts. Compared to Perdue et al. (1990), both negative perceptions of tourism impacts and support for additional tourism predicted tourism planning. 41 Factors Influencing Residents 'Attitudes toward Tourism Studies examining residents’ attitudes towards tourism development have identified several factors that influence residents’ attitudes (Table 5). Socio-demographic characteristics have been commonly used by researchers to explain differences in the perceived impacts of tourism. Socio-demographic variables include age, income, education, ethnicity, gender, length of residents, and employment in tourism. The research found these socio—demographic characteristics explain very little variation in residents’ attitudes toward tourism development (Perdue et al., 1990). In contrast with Perdue et al. (1990), McGehee and Andereck (2004) found a relationship between age and perceptions of tourism impacts. Older residents were less likely to agree with negative impacts of tourism. The results suggested that opportunities to benefit from tourism increase with age because older residents have more experience necessary for tourism managerial positions or establishment of their own tourism-related business (McGehee & Andereck, 2004). Snaith and Hailey (1994) found that older respondents were more supportive of local tax levies. Another study found older residents to be as supportive of tourism as younger residents (Tomljenovic & Faulkner, 1999). In addition, older residents were less concerned about tourism negative impacts. Cavus and Tanrisevdi (2002) found the older residents perceived greater negative perceptions of tourism. Another study conducted by Brougham and Butler (1981) revealed that older residents were less positive about tourism. Regarding gender, women have been found to be more opposed to tourism development than men due to perceived negative impacts such as crime, noise, and increased traffic (Harrill & Potts, 2003; Mason & Cheyne, 2000). Iroegbu and Chen 42 (2001) found that male respondents, respondents who had college education and urban residents with incomes over $25,000 per year were most likely to support tourism development. Snaith and Hailey (1994) found that respondents with a greater household income were more supportive of local tax levies. On the other hand, homeowners viewed tourism more negatively and were less supportive of tax levies for tourism development. Additionally, having lived in a community as a child variable (not previously tested by other studies), was found to be a significant predictor of perceptions of tourism impacts in the study conducted by McGehee and Andereck (2004). Respondents who lived in a community as a child were less likely to agree with negative impacts. It was implied that residents with long-term connection to the community were more concerned about the communities’ future. An early study by Pizam (1978) found a significant relationship between economic reliance on the tourism industry and residents’ attitudes. He concluded that local residents who were economically dependent on tourism had more favorable attitudes toward tourism than those who did not depend on tourism. Other studies have also tested this relationship and found similar results (Deccio & Baloghu, 2002; Jurowski et al. 1997; Liu et al., 1987, Sirakaya et al., 2002). Similarly to these studies, McGehee and Andereck (2004) concluded that as communities become more dependent on the tourism industry, negative impacts become more apparent, and will overtake the positive impacts of tourism. As mentioned before, the community dependence variable was created post hoc by several rural tourism experts (McGehee & Andereck, 2004). Building on previous studies (e.g., Butler, 1980; Doxey, 1975, Perdue et al., 1990), Madrigal (1993) included personal economic reliance on tourism and the level of 43 tourism development variables as predictors of residents’ attitudes toward tourism in his hierarchical regression models. The level of tourism development was measured using three variable: (1) sales (the annual hotel/motel and restaurant/bar sales as a percentage of total retail sales), (2) growth (the disparity in sales between fiscal years 1985 and 1989); and (3) rooms (the total number of hotel/motel rooms as a percentage of total residents). Madrigal (1993) concluded that residents whose livelihood was more dependent on tourism were more likely to perceive positive impacts of tourism. However, no differences were found in residents’ assessment of negative impacts. Madrigal (1993) argued that perceptions of negative impacts were more dependent on an area’s “level of tourism development than residents’ economic reliance on the tourism industry” (p. 350). Allen, Long, Perdue, and Kieselbach (1988) examined tourism impacts in 20 rural communities in Colorado. Their findings suggested that there was a carrying capacity threshold for tourism. Residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts became less positive as the level of tourism development (calculated as a percentage of retail sales) in a community increased (1988). In contrast, Allen et al. (1993) argued that the relationship between the level of tourism development and residents’ attitudes was not as strong as other studies reported. To address the influence of tourism development and total economic activity on residents’ attitudes, Allen et al. (1993) developed two per capita ratios: (1) the level of tourism development was measured as a ratio with tourism receipts in the numerator and community population in the denominator; (2) the total economic activity was measured as a ratio with all retail sales in the numerator and community population in the denominator. Using the two ratios, the 10 communities under study were categorized into four community types: low-low, low—high, high-low, and high- 44 high. They found that communities with low tourism development and low total economic activity as well as communities with high tourism development and high total economic activity viewed tourism development more favorably than communities with low tourism and high economic activity and communities with high tourism development and low economic activity. Allen et al. (1993) suggested the total level of economic activity in a community along with the level of tourism development to be considered to gain a more precise insight into residents’ attitudes toward tourism development. Long, Perdue, and Allen (1990) examined the relationship between a community’s level of tourism development (defined as dependence on tourism and measured as a percentage of retail sales) and residents’ attitudes. Long et al. (1990) concluded that initially residents’ attitudes towards tourism are enthusiastic, but as costs outweigh benefits of tourism development, their attitudes reach a threshold afier which their support for tourism declines. In their study, the threshold was achieved when approximately 30% of the community‘s retail sales were derived from tourism (Long et al., 1990). Smith and Krannich (1998) defined level of tourism development as a community’s level of economic dependence on tourism. The economic dependence on tourism variable was measured as a ratio with per capita receipts in the numerator and per capita income in the denominator. Consistent with Long etal., (1990), Smith and Krannich (1998) found residents’ in tourism dependent communities perceived more negative impacts than residents in less tourism dependent communities. Another variable that has been examined in relation to residents’ attitudes is community attachment, often measured as length of residence and/or growing up in a community as a child. Um and Crompton (1987) found that the more attached residents 45 were to the community, the less positively they perceived impacts of tourism. Consistent with the findings by Brougham and Butler (1981) and Lankford and Howard (1994), McCool and Martin (1994) found that long-term residents perceive tourism less positively than did short-term residents. These results were consistent with findings of a study conducted by Lankford and Howard (1994). Snaith and Hailey (1994) observed that while short-term residents had more positive perceptions of tourism, both short-term and long-term residents recognized the benefits and impacts associated with tourism development. Inconsistent with these findings, studies by Allen et al. (1993) and Perdue et al. (1990) did not reveal a relationship between length of residence and residents’ attitudes toward tourism development. Limited research on power and residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts exists (Kayat, 2002; Madrigal, 1993). Kayat (2002) operationalized power as any resources owned by residents that could be used in an exchange for benefits from tourism. The study found power to have an indirect influence on residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts. The influence of power was found to be moderated by residents general values (e.g., religion, culture), their dependence on tourism, and ability and/or willingness to adapt. Madrigal (1993) operationalized power as resident’s perceptions of their ability and tourism related businesses’ ability to influence decisions related to tourism development. He found power to be the strongest predictor of tourism impacts. Respondents who believed they had more personal influence perceived positive impacts from tourism more than residents who felt they had no or little influence. In addition, respondents who believed that tourism related business had less influence on decisions 46 related to tourism development perceived positive impacts from tourism more than residents who felt tourism related businesses had too much influence. Level of knowledge is another variable that has been examined as a predictor of residents’ attitudes toward tourism. A study by Andereck et al. (2005) revealed that respondents who perceived greater knowledge about the tourism industry also perceived greater positive impacts of tourism in relation to community life, image, and economy. In addition, respondents who reported greater knowledge about the tourism industry showed no differences in perceptions of tourism impacts with respect to community problems, environment, and services (Andereck et al., 2005). Lankford and Howard (1994) found that perceived (subjective) knowledge of tourism was positively related to perceptions of positive impacts of tourism. Davis et al. (1988) used five questions to assess residents’ general level of knowledge of the tourism industry. They found that residents who were more knowledgeable perceived greater positive impacts of tourism on the economy and overall were more appreciative of the tourism industry. Other studies have shown that residents who placed a great emphasis on tourism playing a major role in the economic development (Andereck et al., 2005; Huh & Vogt, 2008) and residents who perceived greater benefits from tourism (Andereck et al., 2005; McGehee & Andereck, 2004, Perdue et al. 1990) had more positive attitudes toward tourism while recognizing some of the negative impacts introduced by tourism development to their communities (Snepenger et al., 2001). Other factors that may influence residents’ evaluation of tourism impacts are use/lack of use of recreational resources that attract tourists (Jurowski, 1994), level of contact with tourists (Andereck et al., 2005; Brougham & Butler, 1981) and distance 47 from the tourism zone (Belisle & Hoy, 1980; Hanill & Potts, 2003; Jurowski & Gursoy, 2004; Snaith & Hailey, 1994; Williams, 1998). However, another study conducted by Rothman (1978) implied that communities that had a long-term experience with tourism were able to develop mechanisms to cope with the negative aspects of tourism and adjust to changing conditions, thus allowing for residents’ attitudes to change over the time. These residents did not perceive tourism as undesirable because they had been involved in the tourism industry for a long time and have managed to adapt. 48 Table 5: Previously Identified Factors Influencing Residents’ Attitudes toward Tourism Factors Influencing Residents’ Attitudes toward Tourism Study Age Brougham & Butler (1981) Cavus & Tanrisevdi (2003) McGehee & Andereck (2004) Perdue et al. (1990) Snaith & Haley (1994) Tomljenovic & Faulkner (1999) Education Iroegbu & Chen (2001) Gender Harrill & Potts (2003) Iroegbu & Chen (2001) Mason & Cheyne (2000) Income Iroegbu & Chen (2001) Snaith & Haley (1994) Community attachment Brougham & Butler (1981) McCool & Martin (1994) Lankford & Howard (1994) Snaith & Haley (1994) Um & Crompton (1987) Contact with tourists Andereck et al. (2005) Brwham & Butler (1981) Distance from tourism zone Belisle & Hoy (1980) Harrill & Potts (2003) Jurowski & Gursoy (2004) Snaith & Haley (1994) Williams @998) Economic role of tourism Andereck et al. (2005) Huh & Vogt (2008) Economic reliance on tourism Deccio & Baloghu (2002) Jurowski et al. (1997) Liu et al. (1987) Madrigal (1993) McGehee & Andereck (2004) Pizam (1978) Sirakaya et al. (2002) Involvement in decision making Kayat (2002) Madrigal (1993) Knowledge about tourism Andereck et al. (2005) Davis et al. (1988) Lankford & Howard (1994) Level of tourism development Allen et al. (1988) Long et al. (1990) Smith & Krannich (1998) Lived in a community as a child McGehee & AndereckJ2004) Personal benefits from tourism Andereck et al. (2005) McGehee & Andereck (2004) Perdue et al. (1990) Use/lack of use of recreational resources Jurowski (1994) 49 Proposed Comprehensive Model of Residents ' Tourism Perceptions and Support for Tourism Development In summary of the literature review, Perdue et al. (1990) developed a model that examined the relationship between residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and their support for additional tourism development. They used social exchange theory as a theoretical framework to guide their study. Following the logic of social exchange theory, several studies have concluded that people who receive greater economic benefits typically perceive less socio-cultural and environmental impacts from tourism than people who do not benefit from tourism (Ap, 1992; Lankford & Howard, 1994; Perdue et al., 1990). As mentioned before, social exchange theory considers heterogeneity between communities and as such can explain why different attitudes occur within the same community. Social exchange provides an understanding of the exchange of socio- cultural, environmental, and economic resources, thus the evaluation of the exchange is complex and dynamic. Personal costs and benefits are the key components of social exchange theory which enables explanation of both positive and negative impacts of tourism. As a result, an individual’s evaluation of socio-cultural, environmental, and economic benefits and costs differs based on personal benefits and costs measures. As a result, people are likely to participate in exchange as long as the perceived benefits from exceed perceives costs associated with tourism (Ap, 1992). Cost and benefits associated with tourism influence peoples’ perceptions of tourism impacts which in turn support additional tourism development or restrictions on future tourism development. To be consistent with Perdue et al. (1990), this study also utilized social exchange theory to examine the relationship between residents’ perceptions of tourism and support for additional tourism development and restrictions on future tourism development. 50 Figure 4 shows the proposed model of residents’ tourism perceptions and support for tourism development. To extend the Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) model, four community characteristics variables will be added to the comprehensive model and tested as predictors of residents’ perceptions of tourism development: community attachment, level of knowledge, power, and economic role of tourism (Figure 4). The selection of these independent variables was based on suggestions and empirical testing by a number of researchers (Gursoy & Rutherford, 2004; Jurowski et al., 1997; Lankford & Howard, 1994; Madrigal, 1993; McCool & Martin, 1994; Huh & Vogt, 2008; Yoon et al., 2001). 51 .EnoE 8mm: .36 265m 2: E 55 assuage woocoscom 2a 8333? _EoEa2o>oD Emtzom. 055m :0 mcogEmom ESE; bisEEoU 333$; 2553.050 Emtsoh 8m tomazm use 2858qu Emu—58. .mucoEmoM mo Eco—z vim—8:05:80 women—oi “v PBME _Eoan_o.6Q E328. 855 he toaasm L Emcsoh Co 293:: 03832 @028qu / Eoan_o>oD chino... Eo¢ mucocom Econ—om Emu??? £89:— o>Emom 32023 336.5»: Suzy Em ESP he 20m oEononvm $33.53 32: Eofiaog< b83380 1 335.5» SE A3336 was: Saga 3 E25302: 333.29» in": owvorsog mo _o>oA moumtofigco “528% 52 Community attachment has been shown to be an important factor in residents’ quality of life (Brehm et al., 2004). McCool and Martin (1994) emphasized the importance of community attachment consideration in planning and developing community-based tourism in rural United States. Jurowski (1997) suggested that many elements that create an image of a community are affected by tourism. Residents’ assessment of tourism impacts on communities’ resources will affect their community attachment which in turn will shape residents’ perceptions of the tourism industry impacts. Studies that have explored the influence of community attachment on residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts measured attachment as length of residence, having been born, and/or grown up here (Davis et al., 1988; McCool & Martin 1994; McGehee & Andereck, 2004; Andereck et al., 2005). However, results suggesting the relationship between attachment and residents’ perceptions of tourism have not been consistent. McCool and Martin (1994) suggested that newcomers showed a higher level of attachment to their community than long-term residents and had the tendency to be attached to the natural features of a place, as opposed to social networks. To build on findings by McCool and Martin (1994), the relationships between social and environmental attachment and residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts were explored in this study. Level of knowledge has shown to be a significant predictor of residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts. Keogh (1990) concluded that residents who were more knowledgeable about the positive and negative aspects of tourism development viewed tourism development in their community more favorably than those who were less informed. Andereck et al. (2005) suggested that the level of knowledge tourism is an 53 indicator of residents’ level of engagement with the industry and tourists. While several studies examined subjective knowledge of tourism (Andereck et al., 2005; Lankford & Howard, 1994), only one study examined objective knowledge of tourism (Davis et al., 1988). To extend the existing research concerning the relationship level of knowledge of tourism and residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts, this study investigated the influence of both subjective and objective knowledge of tourism on residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts. Power has been recognized as a central component of the social exchange theory and defined as “the ability of one actor to influence the outcome of another actor’s behaviors or experience” (Madrigal, 1993, p. 338). Power within a community is determined by access to resources (e.g., economic), position held in a community (e. g., officer), and skills. Balance of power exists when people’s ability to personally influence decisions is perceived as equitable (Emerson, 1962). So far, results suggesting relationship between power and residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts have been mixed. While power was found to be the strongest predictor of residents’ perceptions in the study conducted by Madrigal (1993), Kayat (2002) found power to have an indirect influence on residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts. For the purpose of this study, power was operationalized as: (1) level of personal influence on decisions related to tourism development and (2) level of involvement in tourism development. Based on social exchange theory, those who view the tourism industry a main development strategy also perceive greater benefits from tourism and in turn are more likely to perceive tourism positively. To confirm this proposition, the economic role of tourism variable was tested as a predictor of residents’ attitudes toward tourism. 54 Consistent with social exchange theory, several studies have found a positive relationship between personal benefits from tourism and positive impacts (Andereck & Vogt, 2000; Jurowski, 1997; McGehee & Andereck, 2004; Perdue et al., 1990). However, inconsistent with social exchange theory, several studies have shown that people who perceived benefits from tourism did not perceive lower levels of negative impacts of tourism. Respondents who perceived benefits from tourism showed no differences from others in terms of tourism negative impacts (Andereck et al., 2005; Madrigal 1993). Researchers have suggested that the lack of the relationship may be due to low levels of tourism development (Madrigal, 1993; K0 & Stewart, 2002), and/or viewing tourism industry as means of improving local economy (Gursoy et al., 2002). To further explore the relationship between personal benefits from tourism and residents’ attitudes toward tourism, this relationship was tested across three different communities each representing different levels of tourism and economic development. Summary of the Literature Review Social exchange theory suggests that individuals are likely to participate in an exchange if they believe costs will not exceed benefits. In terms of tourism, residents who perceive tourism to be personally valuable to them and believe that the costs associated with tourism do not exceed the benefits will support tourism development. Perdue et al. (1990) developed a model to understand residents’ attitudes toward tourism by applying social exchange theory. While Perdue et al. (1990) found support for the relationship between perceived benefits and support for future tourism development, they expressed the need for further research in other rural communities to validate and improve their 55 model. Perdue et al. (1990) suggested that future research should examine a random sample of rural communities and attempt to measure current levels of tourism development in these communities. In addition, Perdue et al. (1990) expressed the need for future studies to focus on determining the factors which particularly influence tourism perceptions by residents who are unlikely to benefit from tourism. Building on the Perdue et al. (1990) conceptual model, a comprehensive residents’ attitudes toward tourism literature review, and utilizing social exchange theory (Skidmore, 1975), the following hypotheses were proposed for this study: H1: H2: H3: H4: H5: Level of objective and subjective knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment are positively related to personal benefits from tourism. When controlling for personal benefits from tourism, there is a positive (negative) relationship between residents’ characteristics and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions. Personal benefits from tourism will moderate the relationship between residents’ characteristics and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions. Level of objective and subjective knowledge of the tourism industry, power, perceived economic role of tourism, and community attachment are positively related to perceived positive impacts of tourism and negatively related to perceived negative impacts of tourism when controlling for personal benefits from tourism. Personal benefits from tourism will moderate the relationships between level of objective and subjective knowledge of the tourism industry, power, perceived 56 H6: H7: H8: H9: economic role of tourism, and community attachment and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions. There is a positive (negative) relationship between personal benefits from tourism and positive (negative) perceived impacts of tourism. Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism and perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism regarding their ability to predict support for future tourism development. Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism and perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism regarding their ability to predict support for future restrictions on tourism development. Differences will be found among personal benefits from tourism, perceptions of positive (negative) impacts of tourism, support for future tourism development, and support for future restrictions on tourism development regarding their ability to predict perceived community future. Butler (1980) proposed a model in which there is an inverse relationship between level of tourism development and residents’ attitudes toward tourism. According to this model, residents’ attitudes toward tourism are positive at the first stages of tourism development; however, with increasing tourist arrivals and tourism infrastructure, destinations reach a point of saturation signified by negative attitudes of local people toward tourism. Allen et al. (1993) suggested that a better understanding of residents’ attitudes will be gained when both total economic activity and tourism development are 57 considered. Building on Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle model and a study by Allen et al. (1993), the following hypotheses were proposed: H10: H11: H12: H13: Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will perceive greater positive and smaller negative impacts of tourism than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development. Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be more supportive of future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development. Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be less supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development. Residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development and those with high economic and high tourism development will be more optimistic about the future of their county than residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development. Chapter 2 provided an in-depth overview of the study’s theoretical concepts and justification of constructs explored in relation to residents’ attitudes toward future tourism development. The study’s proposed comprehensive model and hypotheses were 58 also discussed. The following chapter will discuss the research methodology used to obtain and analyze information for this study consisting of the sample and population description, the data collection techniques, non-respondents assessment, research instrument development (including reliability testing), followed by statistical procedures. 59 Chapter III METHODOLOGY The research methodology used to obtain and analyze information for this study is discussed in this chapter. First, the sample and population are described. Next, the data collection techniques and research instrument, including the scale development, are discussed. Finally, the statistical tests used for data analysis are explained. Study Area Residents’ attitudes toward the existing tourism industry and future tourism development were evaluated across several small rural Michigan communities at different stages of tourism development. Specifically, the geographical regions under study included three counties: Emmet, Saginaw and Tuscola. Emmet County is located in the upper part of lower peninsula and is a combination of urban and rural areas. Saginaw County is located in the central part of lower peninsula and is a combination of urban and rural areas. Tuscola County is situated on the east side of lower peninsula and is the least developed of the three counties. Among these geographical regions under study, Emmet County represents a high level of tourism and economic development, Saginaw County represents a low level of tourism development and high level of economic development, and Tuscola County represents a low level of tourism development (since tourism industry in the county is almost non-existent) and low level of economic development (see Table 6 for more details). 60 Table 6: Characteristics of Geographic Areas under Study Emmet County Saginaw County Tuscola County Mix of urban and rural Mix of urban and rural Primarily rural Population: 31,437 Population: 210,039 Population: 58,266 Total area: 468 mil2 Total area: 816 mil2 Total area: 914 mil2 Water area: 414 mil2 Water area: 7 mil2 Water area: 101 mil2 Housing Units: 18,554 Housing Units: 85,505 Housing Units: 23,378 Renter-occupied housing units: Renter-occupied housing units: Renter-occupied housing units: 3,075 21,040 3,417 Owner—occupied Owner-occupied Owner-occupied housing units: 9,502 housing units: 59, 390 housing units: 18,037 Seasonal use: 5,032 Seasonal use: 301 Seasonal use: 724 Median household income: Median household income: Median household income: $40,222 $38 ,637 $40,174 Median house value: Median house value: Median house value: $131,500 $85,200 $87,100 Retail sales receipts in Retail sales receipts in Retail sales receipts in 2002 : 2002: 2002 : $1,529,549,000 $1 1,140,523,000 $984,159,000 Total economic activity per Total economic activity per Total economic activity per capita in 2002: capita in 2002: capita in 2002: $47,057 $53,088 $16,889 Source: US. Census Bureau, 2000. Note: Total economic activity per capita = all retail sales receipts in 2002/population in 2002. Population and Sample Permanent and seasonal residents who were homeowners in Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola counties comprised the population in this study. Three sampling frames consisting of residents listed by the tax assessors departments in winter 2006 were used to represent the population of the three counties. A random sample was drawn from each sampling frame. Addresses were sorted and any doubles eliminated (in case of multiple properties, only one was kept) to assure one household received only one survey. The random sample size included permanent and seasonal homeowners, condos, and farms with a homestead. All eligible properties had a state equalization value (SEV) of $25,000 and more. The following were excluded from the random sample: renters, businesses, trusts, lawyers, bankers, real estate, and multiple properties. Thus, the desired 61 sampling unit was an individual household. The total of 3,008 households (Emmet County, N=1,008; Saginaw County = N=1,000; Tuscola County=l,000) were randomly selected. When determining sample size the following factors were considered: sampling error, population size, desired precision, heterogeneity of population (Dillman, 2000; Singleton et al., 1988), resources available (Alreck & Settle, 2004) and expected response rate. Given the population size, the final size of 381 per county was deemed appropriate at a 95% confidence level with a margin of error of i 5% (Dillman, 2000; Di Grino, 1986). In previously studies conducted on residents’ attitudes towards tourism that used Dillman’s method of data collection (Jurowski et al., 1997; Choi & Sirakaya, 2005), response rates ranged from 42% to 58%. Thus, a random sample of 1000 (after rounding up to the nearest hundred) individuals in this study is based on the assumption of a 42% response rate. Additionally, the selected sample size satisfies Cohen’s suggestion for acceptable level of power of 0.80 (a = 0.05, d = 0.50) (Hair et al., 1998) and the desired level of 20 observations for each independent variable as recommended for multiple regression analysis, though the minimum ratio is 5 observations to 1 independent variable (Hair et al., 1998; Tabachnick & Fidell, 1996). Data Collection Self-administered questionnaires were mailed and data collected throughout May of 2007. The majority of previous studies of residents’ perceptions and attitudes toward tourism development had used survey-based methods for collecting data. Survey research is a popular social research method used for descriptive, exploratory and explanatory 62 purposes. Using probability sampling allows the survey administrator to collect data from a group of respondents whose characteristics reflect those of a population which may be too large to observe directly. The main strengths of surveys are economic feasibility, the amount of data collected, the change to sample large population, collection of standardized and reliable data, and the provision of anonymity and privacy to encourage responses to sensitive issues (Alreck & Settle, 2004; Babbie, 1998). Additionally, surveys are valid instruments for measuring attitudes (Babbie, 1998). However, the main weaknesses of surveys are low rates of response, potentially high costs, as well as lack of interaction with respondents (Alreck & Settle, 2004). A multi-method approach was used to develop the survey instrument. First, a review of existing literature dealing with residents’ attitudes towards tourism development was conducted to develop a master list of attributes which theoretically measured residents’ perceptions of tourism development and other constructs to be tested in the study model. To ensure content validity of the questionnaire and clarity of questions and instructions, a draft of the survey was shared with several county officials and tourism professionals as well as three tourism researchers from different universities. Next, the questionnaire was modified as a result of a feedback from tourism experts and the finalized version of the questionnaire was administered using strategies adopted from Dillman’s (2000) total design method for mail surveys. The questionnaire was sent out along with a cover letter and a pre-stamped reply envelope. The cover letter included a statement guaranteeing respondents’ data confidentiality and protection of their privacy. One week later, a postcard reminder was sent, followed by a revised second letter and a replacement questionnaire in another two weeks to reduce non-response rate. To increase 63 response rate, incentives to respond were provided by the counties and included: outlet mall certificates, local restaurant certificates, camping passes, and passes to a county fair. Once the data collection period ended, a non-response study was conducted to assess any biases in the dataset. The survey instruments, cover letters, and reply envelope used in the study are provided in Appendices B-D. From the 3,008 homeowner population, 90 surveys were undeliverable, and 809 were returned and completed for an overall response rate of 28%. Please refer to Table 7 for response rates by county. Given the response rate, there was a high probability that the sample might be different from the study population. A Chi-square goodness of fit test was employed to test whether the observed frequencies differed from their expected values obtained from the US. Census Bureau (2000). Results showed the sample to be significantly different from the population by residential status [)6 (1) =9.727, p=.002, fewer permanent homeowners than expected]. To avoid bias in the estimate obtained from the sample data, (i.e., statistical procedures would have given greater weight to those people over-sampled, in this case seasonal homeowners); two weights (>1 for permanent, <1 for seasonal) were created so the groups would more closely resemble the proportions in the p0pulation. Thus, 11 (sample size) reported throughout the study is the actual number of surveys received but reported statistics were weighted for population estimate Table 7: Response Rates County Sample Size Undeliverable Returned Response Rate Emmet 1,008 37 343 35.3% Saginaw 1,000 14 224 22.7% Tuscola 1,000 39 242 25.2% Total 3,008 90 809 27.7% 64 Non-Respondent Study After the mail data collection was completed, a non-response survey was sent out to assess any bias in the dataset. The non-response survey consisted of several key variables used in the study to determine differences in responses between the main study participants and non-respondents. A total of 300 non-response surveys were mailed in June 2007. From the 300 non-response surveys, 5 surveys were undeliverable, and 51 were returned and completed for an overall response rate of 18%. The two-page long questionnaire included: level of subjective knowledge, perceived personal benefits from tourism, support for tourism having a vital role in the county, support for restrictions on tourism development, support for encouragement of non-residents to develop tourism business in the county, and power. Independent sample t-tests were computed to test for differences between the main study and non-respondent study. No significant differences were found between the main study and non- respondent study in terms of subjective knowledge, support for tourism having a vital role in the county, support for encouragement of non-residents to develop tourism business in the county, and power in all three counties. An independent sample t-test showed significant differences between the main study and non-respondent study in terms of perceived personal benefits from tourism in Emmet County (I = -2.158, df= 325, p < 0.05). Non-respondents believed they could benefit from additional tourism more than main study participants. Additionally, the t—test found significant differences between the main study and non-respondent study in terms of restrictions on tourism development in Saginaw County (t =3.57, df = 208, p < 0.05). Main study participants were more agreeable with restrictions on future tourism development than non- 65 respondents. Overall, the results obtained from the non-respondents were found to be relatively the same as from the main study results, thus there were believed to be no major concerns regarding measurement errors in the studyl. Participants in the non-respondent survey were also asked why they did not complete and returned the original survey. Multiple responses included: the survey was “too busy” (27.1%), “too long” (14.6%), “did no receive the survey” (6.3%), “not interested” (6.3%), and “have little knowledge about tourism development” (4.2%). Single responses included: “lost the survey,” “1 was out of town,” and “I did not think my opinion mattered.” Survey Instrument The survey instrument was comprised of a series of attitude items based on previous work by Lankford and Howard ( 1994) and Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) that had been previously tested for internal consistency reliability2 and convergent validity3. A Likert scale where 1 equaled strongly disagree and 5 equaled strongly agree was used for each attitudinal item, as recommended by Maddox (1995) for tourism impact research due to its better validity (convergent and discriminant). Due to lrrmted space in the non-response questionnaire layout, incomplete number of questions was included. Thus, t-tests results show comparison of selected items representing construct rather then composite scales. 2 Internal consistency examines reliability within a similar set of items on a test. Cronbach’s internal consistency reliability (expressed as a correlation coefficient ranging from 0 to 1), has been most widely used reliability method in studies developing scales for measurement residents’ attitudes towards tourism. A score of 0.7 or higher is an acceptable reliability coefficient (Nunnally & Bernstein, 1994). 3 . . . . . . Convergent validity “examines the extent to which the measure correlates With other measures desrgned to measure the same thing” (Ap & Crompton, 1998, p.128); this confirms that measures that should be related are in fact related. 66 Additional items pertaining to independent measures included: perceived personal benefits from tourism, community attachment, power, economic role of tourism, and subjective knowledge of tourism were based on previous work by Brehm et al. (2004), Madrigal (1993), McCool and Martin (1994), McGehee and Andereck (2004), and Huh and Vogt (2008). Objective knowledge of tourism was measured by items developed by MSU researchers in collaboration with County Extension Council officials and Saginaw and Emmet tourism departments. Tourism development level was determined using secondary data regarding: (1) county market share of pleasure travelers in Michigan, 1996-2002, (2) Michigan tourism spending by county in 2000, (3) contribution of tourism and recreation to the local economy in 2007, (4) proportion of seasonal homeowners for 1990 and 2000, (5) lodging use tax (1983-1995), and (6) annual average number of jobs in tourism-related businesses (1977-1987). The estimated county market share of pleasure travelers in Michigan, 1996-2002 was obtained from the Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State University. Estimates were based on results form a telephone survey conducted by the Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State University. A pleasure trip was defined as an overnight or a day trip to places at least 50 miles from respondents’ homes. The regions under study included Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Ontario. Market share was defined as the percentage of pleasure trips to Michigan that originate in a given region and had a specific county as its main destination. 67 Michigan tourism spending by county in 2000 was calculated by Dr. Stynes, a researcher at Michigan State University, using the Tourism Spending Model. The Tourism Spending Model estimated spending by tourists to each county in Michigan considering five lodging segments: motels, campgrounds, seasonal homes, visiting friends and family, and day trips. Spending for each segment was estimated using as a mix of secondary data (e. g., lodging room use tax, inventories) and parameters from a number of surveys. Contribution of tourism and recreation to the local economy in 2007 (county’s dependency on the tourism industry) was calculated by Dr. Stynes using the Michigan Economic Impact Model (MITEIM). The MITEIM model estimates economic impact as: visits * spending * multiplier. Information regarding proportion of seasonal homeowners for 1990 and 2000 was obtained from the US Census. Statistics on lodging use tax (1983-1989) and annual average number of jobs in tourism-related businesses (1977-1987) by county were obtained from the “Travel and Tourism in Michigan: A Statistical Profile” (1991). Statistics on lodging use tax (1990-1995) were derived from County Tourism Profiles developed by the Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State University in 2001. Level of economic development was determined as a ratio using all retail sales receipts (total economic activity) in the numerator and community population in the denominator. The study variables, scale items used for measurements and sources of the measurements can be found in Table 8. 68 Table 8: Variables and Sources for Scale Items Used for Measurement Variable Measurement Study Community In terms of your community attachment, how important are the Adopted from Brehm attachment following aspects: et al. (2004) (Q12) 0 family ties 0 friends close by 0 local culture and traditions 0 opportunities to be involved in community projects 0 natural landscapes/views 0 presence of wild life 0 opportunities for outdoor recreation (not important at all—very important) Level of o How would you describe your level of knowledge about the Adopted from: Subjective tourism industry? (not at all knowledgeable— moderately,- McGehee & Andereck Knowledge slightly, very knowledgeable) (2004) (Q9) Level of 0 Which response best represents the % of tourism and Developed by Objective recreation bring to your county’s economy? researchers at MSU Knowledge in collaboration with (Q8) County Extension Council officials and Saginaw and Emmet tourism departments Perceived o What level of personal influence have you had on decisions Modified from: Power related to tourism development in the county? Madrigal (1993) (Involvement c What level of involvement have you had in tourism in DCCiSiOD development in the county? Making) (not at all -very little-some-quite a bit-a lot) (016) Economic 0 Compared to other economic sectors, how important role Adopted from: Role of do you think tourism and recreation should have in the Huh & Vogt (2008) Tourism county? (no role-minor role-role equal to other economic (Q6) sectors-dominant role) Perceived o I would personally benefit from more tourism development Adopted from: Personal in my community.(strongly agree-agree-unsure-disagree— Perdue et al. (1990) Benefits strongly disagree) McGehee & Andereck From 0 Amount I feel 1 benefit personally from tourism in my (2004) Tourism community.(not at all-very little-some—quite a bit-a lot) (Q10, Q14) Positive 0 Increasing the number of tourists visiting an area improves Modified from: Tourism the local economy. Perdue et. al (1990) Impacts 0 Tourism development increases the number of recreational Lankford & Howard (Q14) opportunities for local residents. (1994) 0 Tourism development increases the quality of life in an McGehee & Andereck area. (2004) Tourism provides highly desirable jobs for local residents. (strongly agree-agree- unsure-disagree—strongly disagree) 69 Continued Table 8: Variables and Sources for Scale Items Used for Measurement Variable Measurement Study Negative Tourism development increases the traffic problems of an Modified from: Tourism area. Perdue et. al (1990) Impacts 0 Tourism results in more litter in an area. Lankford & Howard (Q14) 0 Tourism development increases the amount of crime in the (1994) area. McGehee & Andereck Tourism results in an increase of the cost of living. (2004) Tourism causes communities to be overcrowded. 0 An increase in tourists in my community will lead to friction between residents and tourists. 0 Tourism related jobs are low paying. 0 Tourism development unfairly increases property taxes. 0 Tourism encourages more private development (e.g., housing, retail) (strongly agree-agree-unsure-disagree—strongl y disagree) SUpport for The community should try to attract more tourists. Adopted from: FUNIC 0 Tourism can be one of the most important economic PCT due et. 31 (1990) Tourism developmental option for an area. Lankford & Howard Development Additional tourism would help this community grow in the (1994) (014) aright direction. McGehee & Andereck 1 support tourism having a vital role in this community. (2004) (strongly agree-agree-unsure-disagree—strongly disagree) Support for 0 Local government should control tourism development. Adopted from: Restrictions 0 Nonresidents should be allowed to develop tourism Perdue et. 31 (1990) on Future attractions in an area. Lankford & Howard Tourism Local government should restrict tourism development. (1994) giljjopmem (strongly agree-agree-unsure-disagree—strongly disagree) Perceived The future of my community looks bright. Adopted from: Community (strongly agree-agree-unsure-disagree—strongly disagree) Perdue et. al (1990) Future Lankford & Howard (Q13) (1994) McGehee & Andereck (2004) Demographics and other residents’ characteristics of respondents that have shown a significant relationship to residents’ perceptions in earlier studies were also tested and included age, annual income, education, and length of residence (Table 9). 70 Table 9: Support for Testing Independent Variables of the Proposed Model Differences in Perceptions of Independent Variable Study Additional Tourism Development Age Andereck et al. (2005) No Brougham & Butler (1981) Yes Cavus & Tanrisevdi (2003) Yes Madrigal ( 1993) No McGehee & Andereck (2004) Yes Perdue et al. (1990) No Snaith & Haley (1994) Yes Tomljenovic & Faulkner (1999) Yes Annual Income Iroegbu & Chen (2001) Yes Madrigal (1993) No Snaith & Haley (1994) Yes Education Iroegbu & Chen (2001) Yes Madrigal (1 993) No Perdue et al. (1990) No Length of residency Brougham & Butler (1981) Yes Cavus & Tanrisevdi (2003) Yes Madrigal (1993) No Perdue et al. (1990) No In accordance with Michigan State University and federal regulations, the resident survey instrument was submitted to the University Committee on Research Involving Human Subjects (UCRIHS) for their review (to satisfy IRGP requirements) before data collection began. Additionally, after modification of the instrument was completed, the finalized instrument was resubmitted for UCRIHS final approval. Reliability Test Reliability indicates the internal consistency of a scale (i.e., the degree to which the scale items measure the same underlying attribute). Cronbach’s internal consistency reliability (expressed as a correlation coefficient ranging from 0 to 1), has been most widely used reliability method in studies developing scales for measurement residents’ attitudes towards tourism. A score of 0.7 or higher is an acceptable reliability coefficient (Nunnally & Bernstein, 1994). 71 To test the consistency of multiple item scales, reliability was computed using Cronbach Alpha Coefficient (Nunnally & Bernstein, 1994) and corrected item-to-total correlation (recommended correlations is 0.30 and above) (Parasuranam et al., 1988). Overall, all the composite scales met the Cronbach Alpha Coefficient requirement of 0.70 with some exceptions. The perceived personal benefits from tourism scale (consisting of two items) had a Cronbach Alpha Coefficient of 0.68 in Saginaw County and 0.55 in Tuscola County; however, the corrected item-to-total correlation was higher than 0.30, which is a general criterion for acceptable reliability. Therefore, the study used the perceived personal benefits from tourism scale without deleting any items. Perceived negative impacts of tourism scale (consisting of nine items) had a Cronbach Alpha Coefficient of 0.69 in Tuscola County. The “tourism encourages more private development (e. g., housing, retail)” item had corrected item-to-total correlation lower than 0.30, thus was deleted which increased the Cronbach Alpha Coefficient to 0.75. Support for restrictions on tourism development scale (consisting of three items) had a Cronbach Alpha Coefficient of 0.49 in Emmet County, 0.43 in Saginaw County, and 0.36 in Tuscola County. The items “local government should control tourism development” and “nonresidents should be allowed to develop tourism attractions in an area” had corrected item-to-total correlation lower than 0.30, thus were deleted reducing the support for restrictions on tourism development scale to a single item measurement. Table 10 provides a summary of the Cronbach Alpha Coefficients for composite scales used in this study. 72 Table 10. Cronbach Alpha Coefficients for Composite Scales Used in the Study Cronbach Alpha Coefficient Variable Measurement Items . Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Perceived - I would personally benefit from more .71 .68 .55 Personal tourism development in my community Benefits from 0 Amount I feel I benefit personally from Tourism tourism in my community Community In terms of your community attachment, how .74 .85 .77 Attachment important are the following aspects: 0 family ties 0 friends close by 0 local culture and traditions 0 opportunities to be involved in community projects 0 natural landscapes/views 0 presence of wild life 0 opportunities for outdoor recreation Power 0 What level of personal influence have you .88 .87 .92 (Involvement had on decisions related to tourism in Decision development in the county? Making) 0 What level of involvement have you had in tourism development in the county? Negative 0 Tourism development increases the traffic .76 .78 .75 Tourism problems of an area. Impacts 0 Tourism results in more litter in an area. 0 Tourism development increases the amount of crime in the area. 0 Tourism results in an increase of the cost of living. 0 Tourism causes communities to be overcrowded. 0 An increase in tourists in my community will lead to friction between residents and tourists. 0 Tourism related jobs are low paying. 0 Tourism development unfairly increases property taxes. Support for 0 The community should try to attract more .88 .88 .91 Future tourists. Tourism 0 Tourism can be one of the most important Development economic developmental options for an area. Additional tourism would help this community grow in the aright direction. I support tourism having a vital role in this community. 73 Continued Table 10. Cronbach Alpha Coefficients for Composite Scales Used in the Study Cronbach Alpha Coefficient Variable Measurement Items . Emmet Sailnaw Tuscola Positive 0 Increasing the number of tourists visiting .89 .89 .91 Tourism an area improves the local economy. Impacts 0 Tourism development increases the number of recreational opportunities for local residents. 0 Tourism development increases the quality of life in an area. 0 Tourism provides highly desirable jobs for local residents. 0 Shopping, restaurants, and entertainment options are better as a result of tourism. 0 Tourism encourages more public development (e.g., roads, public facilities) 0 Tourism helps preserve the cultural identity and restoration of historical buildings. 0 Tourism contributes to income and standard of living. 0 Tourism development improves the physical appearance of an area. 0 Tourism provides incentives for new park development. ' 0 Tourism provides incentives for protection and conservation of natural resources. 0 Tourism provides incentives for purchase of open space. Data Analysis In previous studies, researchers have focused on examining socioeconomic factors (Cavus & Tanrisevdi, 2002; Williams & Lawson, 2001); distance from the tourism area (Belisle & Hoy, 1980; Gursoy & Jurowski, 2002); economic dependency (Akis et al., 1996; Lankford & Howard, 1994); resident and community typologies (Ap & Crompton, 1993; Smith & Krannich, 1998); level of tourism development (Faulkner & Tideswell, 1997; Long et al., 1990; Madrigal, 1993), community attachment (Jurowski et al., 1997; McCool & Martin, 1994), involvement in decision making (Lankford & Howard, 1994; Madrigal, 1993), knowledge about tourism (Andereck et al., 2005; Davis et al., 1998), 74 level of contact with tourist (Andereck et al., 2005; Lankford & Howard, 1994), type and form of tourism (Butler, 1980; Cohen, 1972), and development of measurements of residents’ attitudes (Ap & Crompton, 1998; Choi & Sirakaya, 2005; Lankford & Howard, 1994) Methodological approaches to measuring residents’ attitudes have used the following statistical techniques: chi-square (e. g., Cavus & Tanrisevdi , 2003), t-tests and ANOVA (e.g., Andriotis & Vaughan, 2003); MANOVA (e.g., Andereck & Vogt, 2000), ANCOVA (e.g., Allen et al., 1993), MANCOVA (e.g., Madrigal, 1995), correlations (e.g., Deccio & Baloghu, 2002), multiple regression (e.g., McGehee & Andereck, 2002), cluster analysis (e. g., Andriotis & Vaughan, 2003); factor analysis (e.g., Cavus & Tanrisevdi, 2003); and structural equation modeling (e.g., Jurowski & Gursoy, 2004). In this study, demographic characteristics (e. g., age, annual income, education, and length of residence), personal benefits from tourism, community attachment, power, economic role of tourism, level of subjective knowledge, level of objective knowledge, and attitudinal responses were first analyzed using descriptive statistics. Secondly, building on the model developed by Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990), a series of multiple regression analyses were performed to explore the relationships among the variables. Thirdly, one-way ANOVA test was employed to examine the relationship between residents’ perceptions and their area’s level of tourism development. Multiple Regression Analysis Multiple regression is a statistical method employed to explore the relationship between predictor/ independent variables and the criterion/dependent variables. Multiple 75 regression establishes the effectiveness of a set of independent variables in explaining a proportion of the variance in a dependent variable through a significance test of R2. By comparing beta weights, multiple regression determines which independent variables are the strongest predictors of dependent variables (Cohen & Cohen, 1983). In general, multiple regression can answer the following questions (Pallant, 2005): How well a set of variables is able to predict a particular outcome? Which variable in the set is the best predictor of an outcome? Is a particular predictor variable still able to predict an outcome when the effects of another variable are controlled for? The major assumptions of multiple regression are: Sample size required for standard multiple regression is “about 15 subjects per predictor” (Tabachnik & F idell, 2001, p. 117). Multicollinearity occurs when there are high intercorrelations among a set of predictor variables. To assure multicollinearity does not exist among predictors, a correlation matrix and tolerance need to be examined (Leech et al., 2005). Outliers (i.e., very high and very low scores) have a great influence on regression results and thus should be deleted or rescored to reduce their influence. Outliers can be identified fi'om the standardized residual plot (Tabachnik & Fidell, 2001). Normality assumes that residuals are normally distributed‘ about the predicted dependent variable scores. Linearity suggests the residuals have a straight-line relationship with predicted dependent variable scores. Homoscedasticity assumes that the variance of the residuals about predicted dependent variable scores are the 76 same for all predictors. Outliers, linearity and homoscedasticity assumptions can be checked through examination of residuals scatterplots (Pallant, 2005). With each model tested in this study, the following statistics were reported: 0 Standardized beta coefficients which determine (through a significance test) whether a specific predictor variable is significantly contributing to the prediction. 0 The F-distribution which indicates (through a significance test) that a combination of specific independent variables predicts the dependent variable. 0 R Square (R2) which indicates what proportion of the variance in the dependent variable can be explained by a combination of specific independent variables. Multiple Regression Models Used in the Study To validate and further extend the model developed by Perdue et al. (1990), several standard multiple regression models were tested (Table 11). In the standard multiple regression approach all the independent variables are entered into the regression simultaneously. Each independent variable is evaluated in terms of its predictive power, i.e., what it adds to the prediction of the dependent variable above the predictability offered by all the other independent variables (Tabachnik & Fidell, 2001). To confirm that the relationship between an independent variable and a dependent variable was not moderated by the level of another independent variable, simultaneous multiple regressions with interactions (Cohen & Cohen, 1983) were employed. Specifically, the effect of “personal benefits” on the relationship between residents’ characteristics and perceived impacts of tourism, as well as the relationship between levels of knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment and perceived positive and negative impacts of tourism was tested. 77 Table 11: Regression Analysis of the Relationship between Variables Independent Variables Dependent Variables Model I (H1) Level of objective knowledge Personal benefits from tourism Level of subjective knowledge Power Economic role of tourism Community attachment Model 2 (H2, H3) Age Tourism positive impacts Income Education Length of residence/ownership Personal benefits from tourism Model 3 (H2, H3) Age Tourism negative impacts Income Education Length of residence/ownership Personal benefits from tourism Model 4 (H4, H5, H6) Level of objective knowledge Touristositive impacts Level of subjective knowledge Power Economic role of tourism Communig attachment Personal benefits from tourism Model 5 (H4, H5, H6) Level of objective knowledge Tourism negative impacts Level of subjective knowledge Power Economic role of tourism Community attachment Personal benefits from tourism Model 6 (H7) Personal benefits from tourism Support for future tourism development Tourism positive impacts Tourism negative impacts Model 7 (H8) Personal benefits from tourism Support for restrictions on future tourism develppment Tourism positive impacts Tourism negative impacts Model 8 (H9) Personal benefits from tourism Perceived community future Tourism positive impacts Tourism negative impacts Supmm for fiiture tourism development Support for restrictions on future tourism development 78 Regression model I was used to test the relationship between objective level of knowledge, subjective level of knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment and personal benefits from tourism. Regression models 2 and 3 were used to test the relationship between residents’ characteristics and the positive and negative impacts of tourism while controlling for personal benefits from tourism. Regression models 2 and 3 were also used to test moderating effect of personal benefits from tourism on the relationship between residents’ characteristics and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions. Regression models 4 and 5 were used to test the relationship between objective level of knowledge, subjective level of knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment and positive (negative) impacts of tourism while controlling for personal benefits from tourism. Additionally, regression models 4 and 5 were used to test moderating effect of personal benefits from tourism on the relationships between objective level of knowledge, subjective level of knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment and residents’ positive (negative) tourism impact perceptions. Regression models 4 and 5 were also used to test the relationship between personal benefits from tourism and positive (negative) perceived impacts of tourism. Regression model 6 was used to test the differences among personal benefits from tourism, tourism positive impacts, and tourism negative impacts regarding their ability to predict support for future tourism development. Regression model 7 was used to test the differences among personal benefits from tourism, tourism positive impacts, and tourism negative impacts regarding their ability to predict support for restrictions on future tourism development. Regression model 8 was used to test the differences among personal benefits from tourism, tourism positive impacts, tourism negative impacts, 79 support for future tourism development, and support for restrictions on future tourism development regarding their ability to predict perceived community future. Analysis of Variance One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) is used when more than two population means are compared to identify significant differences among them. Analysis of variance compares the variance between the different groups with the variability within each group. A significant F test indicates that the population means are not equal, meaning there is more variability between the groups (caused by the independent variables) than there is within each group (due to a chance, an error term). To indicate which of the groups differ, a post-hoc test needs to be conducted (Tabachnik & F idell, 2001). One-way ANOVA was used to test the relationship between residents’ perceptions and their area’s level of tourism development (H10-H13). The dependent measures tested included positive and negative impacts of tourism development, support for tourism development, and support for restrictions on tourism development. Statistical Procedures of Data Analysis The overall statistical analysis included: (1) descriptive statistics focusing on residents’ socio-demographic profile and key variables used in the conceptual model (i.e., knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment, personal benefits, positive and negative impacts of tourism, support for additional tourism, support for restrictions on tourism development, and community future); (2) standard multiple regression to examine the relationships among variables and multiple regression with 80 interactions to determine the moderating effect of “personal benefits” on other independent variables; and (3) one-way ANOVA to test the relationship between residents’ perceptions of and the stage of tourism and economic development, followed by post-hoc tests to examine expected differences on residents’ perceptions based on their area’s level of tourism and economic development. All of the aforementioned statistical procedures were performed at a county level to assure generalizability of the results and to assess the destinations’ tourism lifecycle position. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS 15.0). 81 Chapter IV RESULTS The problem addresses in this study was to evaluate residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and attitudes toward the existing tourism industry and future tourism development in communities (i.e., counties) at different stages of tourism development. The research also tested the influence of residents’ attitudes toward tourism on support of future tourism development. A number of hypotheses were stated regarding residents’ attitudes in three communities with different levels of tourism development. In this chapter, the following topics will be reported: (1) description of the sample focusing on socio-demographics and key variables used in the conceptual model (i.e., community attachment, knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, personal benefits, positive and negative impacts of tourism, support for additional tourism, support for restrictions on tourism development, and community future); (2) analysis of the study hypotheses using standard multiple regression to examine the relationships among variables (HI-H9); and (3) one-way ANOVA to test the relationship between residents’ perceptions of tourism and the stage of tourism and economic development (H10-H13). Following the one-way ANOVA, post-hoe tests are presented to examine expected differences on residents’ perceptions based on their area’s level of tourism and economic development. First, statistical tests (i.e., descriptive statistics and standard multiple regressions) were employed for each county to determine consistencies or inconsistencies in the relationships between independent and dependent variables. Secondly, one-way ANOVAs were used to determine differences in residents’ perceptions of tourism 82 between the counties based on an attempt to assess the destinations’ tourism lifecycle position. Description of the Sample Socio-Demographic Profile The socio-demographic profile of the respondents representing the three counties under study is offered in Table 12. In Emmet County, the average age was 60 years old. The highest earned level of education was an advanced degree (38.4%) or college degree (37.9%). The majority of respondents had household income of $100,000 and over (50.5%). Approximately sixteen percent (15.5%) of the respondents were employed directly or indirectly in the tourism industry. The respondents lived or had an ownership in the county 23 years on average. Initially, fifty-seven percent (57.0%) of the respondents were permanent residents and forty-three percent (43.0%) were seasonal residents. To assure that the sample represented the study population, the data were weighted creating a population mix of sixty-five percent (65.3%) of permanent residents and thirty-five percent (34.7%) of seasonal residents (values matching those obtained from the US. Census Bureau, 2000). For Saginaw County, the average age was 53 years old. The highest earned level of education was a high school degree (26.1%) or college degree (21.2%). A sizable proportion of respondents had household income of $50,000 or less (43.3%). Approximately ten percent (10.1%) of the respondents were employed directly or indirectly in the tourism industry. The residents lived or had an ownership in the county 83 34 years on average. The majority of the respondents (94.7%) were permanent residents and five percent (5.3%) of the respondents were seasonal residents. For Tuscola County, the average age was 58 years old. The highest earned level of education was a high school degree (31.6%) or some college (26.7%). A sizable proportion of respondents had household income of $50,000 or less (47.6%). Only two percent (1.8%) of the residents were employed directly or indirectly in the tourism industry. The residents lived or had an ownership in the county 37 years on average. The majority of the respondents (88.6%) were permanent residents and eleven percent (1 1.4%) of the respondents were seasonal residents. In all counties, residents between the ages 19 through 39 were believed to be underrepresented because they were not homeowners. This could have resulted in relatively high levels of education and high annual income reported by respondents. 84 Table 12: Socio-Demographic Profile of Homeowners by County Socio-Demographic Variables Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Age n=318a n=194a n=219a 18 and under 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19-29 1.1 4.6 0.5 30-39 5.3 9.8 9.6 40-49 15.4 29.9 16.0 59-59 26.6 26.3 30.1 60-69 25.3 18.0 22.8 Over 69 26.3 1 1.3 21.0 Higher Education n=321 a n=203 a n=225 a Less than high school 0.0 1.0 4.9 High school graduate 7.0 26.1 31.6 Technical school degree 3.1 8.9 7.1 Some college 13.7 21.2 26.7 College degree 37.9 28.1 20.0 Advanced degree 38.4 14.8 9.8 Income n=294 a n=l87 a n=212 3 Less than $49,999 15.2 43.3 47.6 $50,000-$99,999 34.3 41.7 39.6 $ 100,000 or more 50.5 15.0 12.7 Employment in Tourism Industry =315 a n=l99 a n=22 a Employed 15.5 10.1 1.8 Not employed 84.5 89.9 98.2 Length of Residency or Home Ownership n=318 a n=204 a n=228 a Under 10 years 24.6 11.3 11.4 10 years or more 75.4 88.7 88.6 Residential Status n=321 a n=206 “ n=228 a Permanent resident 65.3 94.7 88.6 Seasonal resident 34.7 5.3 1 1.4 it IS the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. Community Attachment Community attachment was measured using two dimensions: social (measured using four items) and environmental (measured using three items). As shown in Table 13, Emmet County residents perceived the environmental dimension of community attachment (mean score range from 4.28 through 4.61) to be highly important. Emmet residents indicated the highest level of importance for “environmental landscapes/views” (mean =4.6I) aspect. Saginaw County residents 85 perceived the social dimension of community attachment (mean score range from 3.29 through 4.30) to be highly important. Saginaw residents indicated the highest level of importance for “family ties” (mean =4.30) aspect. Tuscola County residents perceived both social (mean score range from 3.17 through 4.35) and environmental (mean score range from 3.73 through 4.13) dimensions of community attachment to be important. Tuscola residents indicated the highest level of importance for “family ties” (mean =4.35) aspect in the social dimension and “presence of wildlife” (mean =4.13) in the environmental dimension. Table 13: Community Attachment by County Emmet Sagi_naw Tuscola Community Attachment Mfl Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. M1 Std. Dev. Environmental Dimension n=315 n=203 n=222 Natural landscapes/views 4.61 a 071 3.59 1.23 3.73 1,20 Opponl‘mt‘es f“ °“‘d0°’ 4.43 0.85 3.81 1.14 3.97 1.04 recreation Presence ofwildlife 4.28 0.93 3.68 1.18 4.13 1.00 Social Dimension n=3 1 3 n=205 n=225 Family ties 3.91 1.48 4.30 1.13 4.35 1.13 Friends close by 3.88 1.18 4.15 1.01 4.01 1.11 Local culture and traditions 3.83 1.04 3.29 1.16 3.38 1.15 Qppommnfs ‘0 be ‘nVF’lvid 3.55 1.17 3.41 1.18 3.17 1.17 in comqu or orgamzatrons 3 Scale ranged from “1=not important at all” to “5=very important.” Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism Residents’ objective knowledge of tourism in their county was measured with a question: “Which response best represents the percentage tourism and recreation bring to your county’s economy?” Respondents were provided with five categories of percentages (i.e., 0-20%, 21-40%, 41-60%, 61-80%, 81-100%) to select an answer from (Table 14). 86 This scale was designed to measure factual knowledge, that is, there was a correct answer and respondent’s answers were scored correct or incorrect. Table 14: Contribution of Tourism and Recreation to County’s4 Economy Used as the Original Variable of Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Objective Knowledge (n=321) (n=206) (n=228) % % % 0-20% 0.9 33.2 a 62.3 ‘ 21-40% 14.2 a 45.7 27.8 41-60% 27.0 15.6 7.1 61-80% 45.9 5.0 2.8 81-100% 12.0 0.5 0.0 a . . . . Percentage of respondents who provrded the correct answer about the actual contribution of tourism and recreation to county’s economy. This measurement was recoded to determine how many units away the respondents ’- answer was from the right answer (the “target”). The four new response categories were: “target” (the right answer), 1 unit away from the target, 2 units away from the target, and 3 units away from the target (Table 10). As shown in Table 15, Tuscola residents were most knowledgeable and Emmet residents were least knowledgeable (they overestimated) about the actual contribution of tourism and recreation to the county’s economy. Table 15: Level of Objective Knowledge of Tourism by County Determined as Distance from the “Target” Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Objective Knowledge Q=302) (n=l99) (n=212) °/o % % “Target” 14.2 33.2 62.3 1 unit away 27.9 45.7 27.8 2 units away 45.9 15.6 7.1 3 units away 12.0 5.5 2.8 4 Contribution of tourism and recreation to county’s economy (Emmet, 25%; Saginaw, 7%; Tuscola, under 20%) was estimated by Dr. Daniel Stynes, a researcher at MSU, using the Michigan Economic Impact Model (MITEIM) in 2007. 87 Level of Subjective Knowledge of Tourism Respondents were also asked to describe their perceived level of knowledge about the tourism and recreation industry in their county. As shown in Table 16, Emmet residents felt they were “somewhat knowledgeable” (mean=3.25), whereas Saginaw residents (mean=2.63) and Tuscola residents felt they were “slightly knowledgeable” about the tourism and recreation industry in their county. Table 16: Level of Subjective Knowledge of Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola (n=313) (n=205) (n=224) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Subjective Knowledge 325 a 1.08 2.63 1.05 2.31 1.12 a Five—point scale wherel=not at all, 2=slightly, 3=somewhat, 4=moderately, 5=very knowledgeable. Perceived Power The two items measuring power (involvement in tourism development (TD) decision making) included “personal influence on TD decision making” and “involvement in TD.” As shown in Table 17, residents in all three counties under study felt they had “very little” personal influence on tourism development decision making [mean=1 .76 (Emmet); mean=1.39 (Saginaw); mean=l .47 (Tuscola)], as well as minimally involved in tourism development in their county [mean=1.74 (Emmet); mean=l .47 (Saginaw); mean=l .47 (Tuscola)]. 88 Table 17: Perceived Power by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Power (n=31fl (n=20l) (n=225) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Personal influence on TD decision 1.76 a 0.87 1.39 0.67 1.47 0.79 making Involvement in TD 1.74 0.90 1.47 0.78 1.47 0.77 a Scale ranged from “1=none” to “5=a lot.” Perceived Economic Role of Tourism Residents were asked to indicate how important a role they thought tourism and recreation should have in their county compared to other economic sectors. One variable measured economic role of tourism. As shown in Table 18, Emmet residents felt tourism and recreation should have a dominant role (mean=3.53) in their county compared to other economic sectors (such as agriculture, manufacturing, services, etc.). Saginaw residents (mean=2.95) and Tuscola residents (mean=2.86) felt tourism and recreation should have a role equal to other economic sectors in their county. Table 18: Perceived Economic Role of Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola (n=301) (n=20m (n=212) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Economic Role of Tourism 353 a 0.53 2.95 0.61 2.86 0.65 a F our-point scale where 1=no role, 2=minor, 3=equal, 4=dominant was used. Personal Benefits from Tourism Two variables measured residents’ benefits from tourism: “How much do you personally benefit from tourism in your county?” and “I would personally benefit from more tourism.” As show in Table 19, Emmet residents perceived “some” benefits from 89 tourism (mean=2.64) whereas Saginaw residents (mean=1.92) and Tuscola (mean=1.60) perceived “very little” benefit from current tourism industry in their county. Residents in all three counties under study felt they would receive “some” benefits from additional tourism activities in their counties [mean=2.73 (Emmet); mean=2.75 (Saginaw); mean=2.59 (Tuscola)]. Table 19: Personal Benefits from Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Personal Benefits from Tourism (n=307) (n=196) (n=223) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Personal benefit from current 2.64 a 1.28 1.92 0.95 1.60 0.81 tourism Personal benefit from more tourism 2.73 b 1.21 2.75 1.10 2, 59 1.06 a Scale ranged from “1=no at all” to “5=a lot.” Scale ranged from “1=strongly disagree” to “5=strong1y agree.” Positive Impacts of Tourism Twelve indicator variables were used to examine residents’ perceptions of positive impacts of tourism. As shown in Table 20, residents in all three counties under study reported the highest level of agreement with the statement “increasing the number of tourists visiting an area improves the local economy” [mean=4.17 (Emmet); mean=4.06 (Saginaw); mean=4.08 (Tuscola)]. In addition, Emmet residents also agreed the most with the statement “shopping, restaurants, entertainment options are better as a result of tourism” (mean=4.17). 90 Table 20: Positive Impacts of Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Positive Impacts of Tourism n=315 E97) (n=225) M211 Std. Dev. M_eap Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Increasing the number of tourists visiting an area improves the local 4.17 a 0.83 4.06 0.75 4.08 0.75 economy Shopping, restaurants, entertainment options are better as a result of 4.17 .75 3.96 0.80 3.93 0.82 tourism Tourism encourages more public development (e.g., roads, public 3.98 0.78 3.91 0.76 3.89 0.81 facilities) mm“ °°”.‘“.b“‘es ‘0 “mm and 3.89 0.83 3.63 0.88 3.69 0.87 standard of livmg Tourism provrdes desuable jobs for 3.80 0.96 3.73 0.92 3.79 0.82 ocal homeowners Tounsm provrdes incentives for new 3.79 0.82 3.70 0.80 3.79 0.77 park development Tourism development increases the number of recreational opportunities 3.73 0.82 3.78 0.80 3.68 0.82 for local homeowners Tourism provides incentives for protection and conservation of 3.63 0.93 3.47 0.90 3.51 0.94 natural resources Tourism provrdes incentives for 3.59 0.92 3.51 0.7 6 3.55 . 0.81 purchase of open space Tourism helps preserve the cultural identity and restoration of historical 3.48 0.89 3.78 0.76 3.57 0.88 buildings ””1““ devebpmem ‘mpmves the 3.41 1.03 3.84 0.80 3.68 0.87 physrcal appearance of an area Tourism development increases the 3.31 0.94 344 0.85 3.26 0.88 uali of life in an area a Scale ranged from “l=strongly disagree" to “5=strongly agree.” Negative Impacts of Tourism Eight indicator variables were used to examine residents’ perceptions of negative impacts of tourism. As shown in Table 21, residents in all counties under study seemed to be mostly concerned about the following statements: “tourism development increases the traffic problems of an area” [mean=4.43 (Emmet); mean=3.79 (Saginaw); mean=3.84 (Tuscola)], and “tourism related jobs are low paying” [mean=3.67 (Emmet); mean=3.59 (Saginaw); mean=3.55(Tuscola)]. Emmet residents (mean=3.79) and Tuscola residents 91 (mean=3.60) were also concerned about tourism resulting in more litter in the area. In addition, Emmet residents were concerned about tourism increasing the cost of living (mean=3.76). Table 21: Negative Impacts of Tourism by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Negative Impacts of Tourism (n=314) (n=197) (n=225) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Tourism development increases the a traffic problems 0 fan area 4.43 0.71 3.79 0.85 3.84 0.81 Iggnsm results in more litter in an 3.79 0.91 3.34 0.96 3.60 0.95 “mm. “ism“ “‘ a“ ”crease “the 3.76 0.88 3.19 0.83 3.33 0.83 cost of lrvrng Tourism related jobs are low paying 3.67 0.89 3.59 0.84 3.55 0.81 Tourism causes communities to be 3.36 0.95 2.68 0.87 2.8 6 0.89 over-crowded Tour‘s” deve'OPme‘“ ““3”” 3.35 1.06 3.05 0.86 3.38 0.94 increases property taxes “mm “Eminent ‘ncreases the 3.25 0.98 2.82 0.89 3.07 0.81 amount of crime 1n the area An increase in tourists in the county will lead to friction between 3.00 0.98 2.49 0.86 2.86 0.92 homeowners and tourists 8 Scale ranged from “l=strongly disagree” to “5=strongly agree.” Support for Future Tourism Development Four indicator variables were used to evaluate residents’ support for additional tourism development. As shown in Table 22, residents in all three counties under study reported a high level of support for additional tourism development in their county. Emmet residents indicated the highest level of agreement with “tourism can be one of the most important economic developmental option for an area” statement (mean=3.95). Saginaw residents (mean=3.83) and Tuscola residents (mean=3.68) agreed the most with the statement “the county should attract more tourists.” 92 Table 22: Support for Future Tourism Development by County Support for Future Tourism Development Tourism can be one of the most important economic developmental option for an area The county should try to attract more tourists Additional tourism would help the county grow in the right direction I support tourism having a vital role in this county Emmet Saginaw Tuscola (n=313) (n=197) (n=225) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. 3,95 3 0.84 3.53 0.90 3.50 0.96 3.53 0.92 3.83 0.84 3.68 0.93 3.47 0.94 3.74 0.93 3.61 0.93 3.79 0.86 3.76 0.87 3.60 0.98 a Scale ranged from “l=strongly disagree” to “5=strongly agree.” Support for Restrictions on Future Tourism Development One indicator variable was used to assess residents’ support for restrictions on future tourism development. As shown in Table 23, Saginaw residents (mean=2.36) and Tuscola residents (mean=2.37) felt that local government should not restrict tourism. Emmet residents (mean=2.62) reported a neutral opinion about restrictions on tourism development. Table 23: Support for Restrictions on Future Tourism Development by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Restrictions on Future Tourism (n=309) (n=194) (n=225) Development Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Local government should restrict 2.62 a 1.00 2.36 0.95 237 0.94 future tourism development a Scale ranged from “l=strongly disagree” to “5=strongly agree.” Perceived Community Future One indicator variable was used to examine residents’ opinions about their community’s future. As shown in Table 24, Emmet residents (mean=3.34) were more 93 likely to agree with “the future of my county looks bright” statement than Tuscola (mean=2.53) and Saginaw (mean=2.19) residents. Table 24: Perceived Community Future by County Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Community Future (n=311) (n=205) (n=219) Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. The future of my county looks bright 3.34 a 0-93 2.19 0.94 2.53 1.02 a Scale ranged from “l=strongly disagree” to “5=strongly agree.” Testing of the Study Hypotheses The Perdue, Long, and Allen (1990) model utilized regression analysis to examine relationships among the model variables. To extend the model, four community characteristics variables were added to the conceptual model and tested as predictors of residents’ perceptions of tourism development: community attachment, level of knowledge, power, and economic role of tourism (Figure 5). The selection of these independent variables was based on suggestions by a number of researchers (Gursoy et al., 2002; Gursoy & Rutherford, 2004; Jurowski et al., 1997; Madrigal, 1993; McCool & Martin, 1994; Huh & Vogt, 2008). In keeping with the Perdue et al. (1990) conceptual model, this study also employed a series of multiple regression analysis (see Chapter 3, Table 11 for a detailed description of regression models tested in the study) to explore the relationships among the extended conceptual model variables. 94 95 . $35.3; ENS ._, #550385 83065 on: acute"... .mmEmcouflou 3329: on: a==us v: E earn—9:0 .EvoE 83$ .3 8 265m 05 E 58 benefit? voocoscom Em 83mg? .1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ..... 2cm ego—Sum __ u 3 2555350 w: e: u v: 4: «833.8: 32¢ Emcsoto £895 A. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1. . EoEfiuz< Cami—40F Dhafin— =0 I D>5Nwoz U0>~Oeom " n n IIIIIIIIIIIII mceuoEmoM . . u . u m: EMEEESO . . u m: u u n u i u a C .N: . . Seat? are: 9» 6 m: o 1 1 1 . . entomv .885... EoEmoESQ v: :1 wan—«2 58800 95558 n e: Easee see [4 - 1 - - - 1 - 1 ........ . a 28562.62: polygon ocucum ficoflom AW. m: . A_. 1 1. . 2 I . e: E u u n u . " 338$; :85 n u . empogocx - - _H:oEQo_o>oQ Emtzokmo 803:: E.— n u n v: . _ I no E6..— Emcsoh on“: Al o>Emom 328.5; A. 1 1 1 1 1 1111111 . u n 1111111111 1 1 1 1 o to s . .« m b: u m: u N: . muumtoaufimsu .1111111111111111111 E0233: m: AmOmofiogzv EoEQEoSQ 8.6.th com tommnm use. muosmoobm Ewe—sou. .mEoEmom mo 3on 333280 oomoaoem ”w ouawi Regression Model 1: Hypothesis 1 H1: Level of objective and subjective knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment are positively related to personal benefits from tourism. To examine the nature and the strength of the relationships among regression model 1 variables, Pearson correlation tests were conducted for each county. Table 25 shows correlations between the independent variables and personal benefits from tourism variable (DV) by county. Significant correlations were found between the independent variables and personal benefits in all three counties with three exceptions. Objective knowledge and personal benefits from tourism were not correlated in Emmet and Saginaw counties. In addition, attachment was uncorrelated with personal benefits from tourism in Tuscola County. Correlations between independent variables ranged from 0.001 to 0.64. High correlations between social attachment and environmental attachment (r—=0.37 [Emmet], r=0.64 [Saginaw], r=0.50 [Tuscola]) suggested possible multicollinearity between predictors. Follow up collinearity diagnostics test revealed low tolerance level (0.05;R2=.01). 121 In the case of Tuscola County, model 8 significantly predicted community future, F (4,216) = 9.50, p < 0.001; R2 = .14; with positive impacts (fir—“.181, t=2.5, p <0.05), and restrictions on future tourism development (B=.389, t=5.4, p <0.001), statistically contributing to the prediction. Respondents who perceived tourism to have positive impacts were more optimistic about their community’s future in all three counties. Emmet County residents who felt tourism had negative consequences were less optimistic about their community’s future. Emmet and Tuscola counties residents who believed local government should restrict tourism development perceived their community’s future to be bright (Table 36). Table 36: Regression Analysis of Model 8 Relationships between Personal Benefits from Tourism, Positive and Negative Impacts, Restrictions on Future Tourism Development, and Community Future M d 18 Emmet Saginaw Tuscola o e (n=298)a (n=i9i)' (n=216)a - ' b 13 t p B t p B t 9 Model Statistics Personal benefits -0.077 —1.4 ns -0.038 -0.4 ns 0. 127 1 .8 ns Positive Impacts 0.263 4.2 <.001 0.190 2.2 <.05 0.181 2.5 <.05 Negative Impacts -0.258 -4.1 <.001 0.107 1.3 ns -0.049 -O.7 ns Restrictions on Future Tourism 0.265 4.3 <.001 -0.017 -0.2 ns 0.389 5.4 <.001 Development F= ll.66,p<.001, F=1.61,p>.05, F=9.50,p<.001, Adjusted R2 =. 13 Adjusted R2 =01 Adjusted R2 = .14 a . . . . 11 indicates the total number of cases used in the analys1s. b . . . Due to unsatisfactory tolerance level, support for future tourism variable was excluded from the model 8. No differences were found among positive and negative impacts of tourism regarding their ability to predict support for future tourism development in all three counties. Personal benefits from tourism predicted support for future tourism in Emmet and Tuscola counties but failed to predict support for tourism in Saginaw County. As a 122 result, hypothesis 7 was supported by the data in Saginaw County but not in Emmet and Tuscola counties. In all three counties positive (negative) impacts of tourism predicted support for future restrictions on tourism development, but personal benefits from tourism failed to predict support for future restrictions on tourism development. Therefore, hypothesis 8 was partially supported by study results in all three counties. Positive impacts predicted community future in all three counties. Negative impacts predicted community future in Emmet County only. Support for future restrictions on tourism development predicted community future in Emmet and Tuscola counties, but not in Saginaw County. Personal benefits from tourism failed to predict community future in all thee counties. As a result, hypothesis 9 was partially supported by the data in all three counties. Relationship between Residents ’ Attitudes and the Stage of Tourism Development: Hypotheses 10, 11, 12 and 13 Residents’ attitude toward the existing tourism industry and future tourism development were evaluated across three Michigan counties at different stages of tourism development. Secondary data were utilized to determine the level of tourism development in each: (1) county market share of pleasure travelers in Michigan, 1996—2002, (2) Michigan tourism spending by county in 2000, (3) contribution of tourism to the local economy in 2007, (4) proportion of seasonal homeowners for 1990 and 2000, (5) lodging use tax (1983-1995), and (6) annual average number of jobs in tourism-related businesses (1977-1987) by county. 123 Figure 12 and Table 37 depict the percentage of market share of the overall Michigan pleasure traveler market between 1996 and 2002 for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola counties. As previously mentioned (Chapter 3), these data were calculated by researchers at Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State University. Based on their calculations, Emmet and Saginaw counties fall within the first quadrant of estimated tourism market share by county, while Tuscola falls in the fourth quadrant. Considering each county’s tourism market share per capita5 (see Table 37 and Table 38), it can be argued that Emmet County is at the highest level of tourism development followed by Saginaw and Tuscola counties. Figure 12: County Market Share of Pleasure Travelers in Michigan (1996-2002) County Market Share of Pleasure Travelers Michigan 1996-2002 Percent 50q_w::::\\.h“‘1h————I\\\\ 4.0 N + Emnet County 3.0 / —I— Saginaw County 2 0 A + Tuscola County 1.0 —/ / 011a——‘==!-t-=:=:!:=;::I€/;‘4‘r ; . ; 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 5Emmet County’s population accounted for 14% of Saginaw County’s population and 50% of Tuscola County’s population between 1990 and 2000, while Emmet County’s tourism market share accounted for 40% of Saginaw County’s tourism market share and also is 18 times greater than Tuscola County’s tourism market share. 124 Table 37: County Market Share of Pleasure Travelers in Michigan (1996-2002) Year Emmet County in %1 ’2 Saginaw County in%l’2 Tuscola County in %l"2 1996 0.9 5.6 0.1 1997 2.9 5.1 0 1998 1.9 4.8 0.2 1999 0.2 4.8 0 2000 2.1 3.7 0.1 2001 2.1 4.1 0 2002 3.3 3.9 0 1996-2002 1.8 4.5 0.1 data obtained from the Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State UniverSity. 2 . . . . . numbers represent percentages of the total estimated tourism market share in Michigan by county. Table 38: Population Trends (1960-2010) Year County 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Emmet 15,904 18,331 22,992 25,040 31,437 33,393 Saginaw 190,752 219,743 228,059 21 1,946 210,039 202,268 Tuscola 43,305 48,603 56,961 55,498 5 8,266 56,805 Source: US. Census Bureau, 2000. Table 39 portrays Michigan tourism spending by county in 2000 calculated using the Tourism Spending Model developed by Dr. Stynes. Considering Michigan tourism spending per capita, it can be argued that Emmet County represents a high level of tourism development because of the highest tourism spending per capita, followed by Saginaw and Tuscola counties with lower tourism spending per capita. Table 39: Michigan Tourism Spending by County in 2000 Total Tourism Spletéding 3 Tourism Spending per County (in Millions) ' County Population Capita Emmet $121.9 31,437 $3,878 Saginaw 191.2 210,039 910 Tuscola 23.0 58,266 345 lTotal Tourism Spending includes the following tourism industry segments: motels, campgrounds, seasonal homes, visiting family and friends, and day trips. 2Data obtained from Michigan Spending by County Report prepared by Dr. Stynes. 3 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000. 125 Table 40 presents contribution of tourism and recreation to the local economy (county’s dependency on the tourism industry) in 2007 calculated by Dr. Stynes using his Michigan Tourism Economic Impact Model (MITEIM). It was estimated that tourism contributes 25% to the Emmet County’s economy, 7% to the Saginaw Emmet County’s economy, and less than 1% to the Tuscola County’s economy. Considering a county’s dependency on the tourism industry, it can be argued that Emmet Count represents the highest level of tourism development in comparison to Saginaw and Tuscola counties. Table 40: Contribution of Tourism and Recreation to the Local Economy in 2007 Tourism and Recreation Contribution to County Local Economy* Emmet 25% Saginaw 7% Tuscola Under 1% * data for Emmet and Saginaw counties were calculated by Dr. Stynes using Michigan Tourism Economic Impact Model (MITEIM), data for Tuscola County was determined as a ratio using county’s total tourism activity in the numerator and total economic activity in the denominator. Table 41 provides an overview of the proportion of seasonal versus permanent residents. Nearly thirty-five percent of the Emmet homeowners were seasonal residents (34.7%). The majority of Saginaw homeowners (99.5%) and Tuscola homeowners (96.1%). were permanent residents. Considering the proportion of seasonal versus permanent residents, it can be argued that Emmet County represents a high level of tourism development, while Saginaw and Tuscola counties represent a low level of tourism development. 126 Table 41: Proportion of Seasonal Homeowners (1990-2000) 2000 Proportion of County Permanent Seasonal Total Seasonal Homeowners Homeowners Homeowners Homeowners Emmet 9,502 5,039 14,541 34.7% figinaw 59,390 301 59,691 0.5% Tuscola 18,037 724 18,761 3.9% 1990 Proportion of County Permanent Seasonal Total Seasonal Homeowners Homeowners Homeowners Homeowners Emmet 7,057 4,382 11,439 38.3% LS_aginaw 55,304 202 55,506 0.4% Tuscola 15,817 743 16,560 4.5% Source: US. Census Bureau, 2000. Figures 13 and 14 show trends in State of Michigan lodging use tax collections for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola counties between 1983 and 1995. Estimated lodging use tax collections per capita in 1995 was $43 in Emmet County, $4 in Saginaw County, and $.40 in Tuscola County (estimates were calculated using unadjusted lodging use tax collections in 1995 [Source: County Tourism Profiles, 2001] and average population between 1990 and 2000 [Source: U. 8. Census Bureau, 2000]). Considering estimated lodging use tax collections per capita in 1995 by county, it can be argued that Emmet County represents a high level of tourism, while Saginaw and Tuscola counties represent a low level of tourism development. 127 Figure 13: Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Collections for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola Counties (1983-1989) Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Collections 1983-1989 $600,000 $500,000 // $400’000 V + Emmet County $300,000 / + Saginaw County $200 000 W/ +Tuscola County $100,000 $' ‘ 1 _ r 1 1 1 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Note: Data not adjusted for inflation were obtained from the “Travel and Tourism in Michigan: A Statistical Profile” (1991). Figure 14: Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Collections for Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola Counties (1990-1995) Trends in State of Michigan Lodging Use Tax Colections 1990-1995 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 3- + Emmet County —-— Saginaw County + Tuscola County 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Note: Data adjusted for inflation were obtained from County Tourism Profiles developed by the Travel, Tourism, and Recreation Resource Center at Michigan State University. 128 Table 42 shows the average number of tourism related jobs in Emmet, Saginaw, and Tuscola counties between 1977 and 1987. Using the average number of tourism related jobs between 1977 and 1987, number of tourism related jobs for calculated per capita. It was estimated that between 1977 and 1987, the tourism industry employed 5 out of 100 people in Emmet County, 3 out of 100 people in Saginaw County, and 1 out of 100 people in Tuscola County. Table 42: Average Number of Jobs in Tourism-Related Businesses (1977-1987) Year Emmet County* Sagrinaw County* Tuscola County* 1977 1,172 6,112 586 1978 1,347 6,400 677 1979 1,226 6,138 602 1980 1,098 6,286 513 1981 1,048 6,235 509 1982 1,024 6,066 463 1983 1,009 6,009 522 1984 1,014 6,407 514 1985 1,139 6,568 592 1986 1,118 6,951 585 1987 1,007 7,472 629 1977-1987 12,202 70,644 6,192 * data obtained from the “Travel and Tourism in Michigan: A Statistical Profile” (1991). Note: Tourism-related businesses included eating and drinking places, lodging establishment, gasoline services, miscellaneous amusement and recreation services, boating-related businesses, and camping related businesses. In summary, level of economic development was determined as a ratio using all retail sales receipts (total economic activity) in the numerator and community population in the denominator (Table 43). Considering total economic activity per capita, it was determined that Emmet and Saginaw counties represent a high level of economic development and Tuscola County represents a low level of economic development. 129 Table 43: Total Economic Activity Per Capita in 2002 Retail Sales Receipts Population Total Economic Activity County 2002 ($1,000) 2002 Per Capita (8) Emmet 1,529,549 32,504 47,057 Saginaw 1 1,140,523 209,851 53,088 Tuscola 984,159 58,272 16,339 Source: US. Census Bureau, 2000. Using the level of tourism development and level of economic development, three types of communities were identified: (1) low tourism — low economy (Tuscola County), (2) low tourism - high economy (Saginaw County), and (3) high tourism— high economy (Emmet County). One-way ANOVA was employed to test the relationships between residents’ perceptions of current tourism impacts, support of future tourism development and restrictions on future tourism development, and the stage of tourism and economic development. H10: Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development (i.e., Tuscola County) and high economic and high tourism development (i.e., Emmet County) will perceive greater positive and smaller negative impacts of tourism than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (i.e., Saginaw County). H11: Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development (i.e., Tuscola County) and high economic and high tourism development (i.e., Emmet County) will be more supportive of future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (i.e., Saginaw County). 130 H12: H13: Residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development (i.e., Tuscola County) and high economic and high tourism development (i.e., Emmet County) will be less supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (i.e., Saginaw County). Residents from communities with low tourism development and high economic development (i.e., Saginaw County) and high economic and high tourism development (i.e., Emmet County) will be more optimistic about the future of their county than residents from communities with low economic and low tourism development (i.e., Tuscola County). Results of one-way ANOVA suggested that perceptions of tourism negative impacts F (2, 736) =43.29, p <.001), restrictions on future tourism development F (2, 728) =6.17, p <05), and community future (F (2, 735) =99.38 p <.001) differed based on an area’s level of tourism and economic development. Emmet County residents (high level of tourism and economic development) were more concerned about negative impacts of tourism than Saginaw County residents (low level of tourism development and high level of economic development) and Tuscola County residents (low level of tourism and economic development). In addition, Tuscola County residents were more concerned about negative impacts of tourism than Saginaw County residents. Next, Emmet County residents were more supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than Saginaw and Tuscola counties residents. Lastly, Emmet County residents were more 131 optimistic about their community’s future than Saginaw and Tuscola counties residents. Further, Tuscola County residents were more positive about their community’s future than Saginaw County residents (Figure 15 and Table 44). Figure 15: Residents’ Attitudes by Level of Tourism and Economic Development Residents' Attitudes by Level of Tourism and Economic s"°"9'y Development Agree 5 —I-— Pesitive irrpacts 4 q, —-—- Negative % inpacts Z 3 dr— Support for 3 future tourism 2 2 9 - Restrictions on future tourism + Commnity 1 I 1 future Strongjy Tus cola Saginaw Emmet Disagree (low -Iow ) (low -high) (high-high) Counties 132 ._o>o_ So. 2: “a "I. 40>“: mo. of 8 HEAVEN—mu m_ 858wa 538 2:3.“ .0 NOW BENCH—1 m :0 gush—mica MGOEQ SOmCmQEOo 30 v. 0“ goaamGOo 0N0 MGEDmMDE menu: 0 .5 ESQ 0 « NA 0 —>~ “:03 mo «Um 358560 HO m03 N> 505 0 . . . . a . . . e ...oouwm bmcobmum: 9 :oo._wmm€ bwaobml: Bow flowcfi 28m A Esmem soy a Ni 8.2 SN 8. *2 .N AON No. IAAA :A AS AN AAA 82$ A 28431 A .255 .381 GS .NV 4 eeeaeeu 2663:3988 on a 8. RN ANN Ao. SN 2: 2: ...NeN 8A 3. SN ANN EASE 82$ A 855 N _ .et AANA NC A no Sentence - AQA A Am. A ...oeA ANN AA. 5 s :A 5 AN. e 8 AAA 3 AA. A i.e.m AAA Edna: seem .eN. .1 AAA .NC 4 5.. :ennsm seesaw E? a AA. ... e e NAA ANN 4A. ._. e .eN. .A 2: AA. 1. a. AAA 3 A AA. A e NAN Am. 268E A 282; A 655 .ANAT 6? NC .4 6:8qu - 8A a E e .e EA ANN AA. e .e A: A2 A e e AAA 2 A AA. e 8 AAA AAA 88E 8A.” :9 :9 m seemed co: «mom m sea— :82 Z son :32 Z .59 :32 Z sea :82 a 83:15» £295: .3 . .Em .3 .3 .5239: <>oz< «.82: seamen seam ash EoanESD EAESH Co 354 98.2 no women 835 3:55:80 28 sausage—gum E258. 055 no Acosogmom paw remasm .9895 9583 Z can airmen o8 Acouaoeom E moocouotca mEEmem 8:853 mo 2mbm=< 338:0 .34 03mm. 133 No differences were found regarding perceptions of positive impacts based on an area’s level of tourism and economic development. Emmet County residents (high level of tourism and economic development) were more concerned about negative impacts of tourism than Saginaw (low level of tourism and high level of economic development) and Tuscola (low level of tourism and economic development) counties residents. These results contradicted hypothesis 10, therefore hypothesis 10 was not supported by the data. No differences were found regarding support of future tourism development based on an area’s level of tourism and economic development. Thus, hypothesis 11 was not supported by the data. Emmet County residents were more supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than Saginaw and Tuscola counties residents. In addition, Saginaw County residents were equally supportive of restrictions on future tourism development to Tuscola County residents. These results contradicted hypothesis 12, therefore hypothesis 12 was not supported by the data. As hypothesized, Emmet County residents were more optimistic about the future of their community than Saginaw and Tuscola counties residents. However, Saginaw County residents were less positive about their community’s future than Tuscola County residents, thus hypothesis 13 was partially supported by the data. Figure 16 provides an overview of results for regression analyses performed to explore the relationships among the proposed conceptual model variables for each of the three samples (hypotheses 1-9). Table 45 shows a summary of results for one-way ANOVA employed to test the differences among residents’ perceptions of tourism based on their area’s levels of tourism and economic development (hypotheses 10-13). 134 .3395 02:89 ..o 88629 EMS-:5...“ a ma? 635.305— elation Scones fiaofioa Co 58:65 Emomfiwu m we? ego—>55. o>cuo3=mN .2083. E 0233: .NuEEm E 6358 mm? EAT—=8 Bod amazes Eugen was not -850 :oqua mEmcoza—ox. 23.5? E0232... 2: fl EAT—:9 Eob $895 gummy: E «Ev EN ,_. Acacia sum—5? .Emtso. 80¢ amazon 3:099“ 3:865 emu—s duo—35> A mav v: “w . 035.3: :05 5223 Eaton-N25 8:865 5.... .Afioums-rnh .Bmemmnw .HoEEm—Hmv czar—g Eon Emm— :.— Emgohmo. innovE cm BEBE bEnuani £2235 a 52:? E 55.8 05 A2365 :Ewhmv: .- t I I I I t I I I I I - t t t I - 20“ $8268“ .950.“ 83 3:28sz on 828.9: on: :55: $55.“ 33 938322 a 8339: " Atmm—v m: A. on: .325: .aouoESE @8863 on: 2382... .33305? 83065 on: x=és " u " Ckwv v: u .3 EoEmEoEQ A-memv w: 95582.0 womaé a- - - t - - - - . ..... . u « 3a.. > >35 Emtzoh 25:-m :o All, 3:93 0’ . . _ .............. Eofiaoeznx . Z BioP—OL . . _ bangs—E Acocogmom 9.9%» we: . . _ 00 . . . E8 or u n n . . _ AA u... " rub 9.x MW - - - . _ 333.3: 365 ease ,w 858.98 9mg E 88.: b.5EEoU EASE-r Eoc maid: commmuoo 823.6; ms ficuzum Econ—om E E08023:— \ my Saw-€34 MW u - - . " Ea " n u H ME 4: News; Es . _ BO EoEno_o>oQ " H NEH-C _: . We.” fish.” amide-r 23:...— EmTEG-H mo mgUMQE— 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I . u .«o :ogazm A” mm: m: ”Zion 3285; A v ................ m .EQ o: PC ”Becca N: ES: 828%.": N: :8 owfi m: 1 ..... 1-1-1-1. 88.5.2220 RS: mm _.. 64$ At Essex 5: ma 1. ems A: waumfl. a; 8.366%: no 409956 ”E eBME 135 Table 45: Summary of Hypotheses 10-13 Testing Hypotheses Tested Results H 10 Residents’ positive (negative) perceptions of tourism impacts differ based on area’s level of tourism and Rejected economic development. H 11 Residents’ support for future tourism development differs based on area’s level of tourism and economic Rejected development. H 12 Residents’ support for restrictions on future tourism development differs based on area’s level of tourism and Rejected economic development. H 13 Residents’ perceptions of community’s future differ based on area’s level of tourism and economic development. Partially supported Chapter 4 provided an overview of data analysis including a description of the sample and results of hypotheses testing using standard multiple regression and one-way ANOVA with post-hoc tests. The following chapter presents a summary of results, conclusions and discussion of key findings, implications and limitations of study findings, as well as recommendations for future residents’ attitude research. 136 Chapter V CONCLUSION The focus of this study was to assess residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts in several Midwest communities at different stages of tourism and economic development. A theoretical framework consisting of social exchange theory (Skidmore, 1975) and Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle model was used to guide the study. The study extended Perdue et al.’s (1990) model which examined residents’ support for tourism in several Western US. communities and tested an extended model across three different communities each representing different levels of tourism and economic development. Data were collected using a mail questionnaire across three geographical regions at different stages of tourism and economic. A random sample of permanent and seasonal residents was drawn from sampling frames representing the three areas under study. Only homeowners who were listed in the 2006 winter property tax bill were eligible to be included in the sample. Questionnaires were mailed and data collected using strategies recommended by Dillman (2000) in May 2007. From the 3,008 homeowner population, 809 were returned and completed for an overall response rate of 28%. The chi-square goodness of fit showed the sample to be significantly different from the population by residential status. To assure the sample represents the study population, a set of weights was created. After the mail data collection was completed, a non-response survey was sent out in June, 2007 to assess potential bias in the dataset. Of the 300 non-response surveys, 51 were returned and completed for an overall response rate of 18%. The results obtained from the non-respondents were found to be indistinctive from the main study results, thus there were assumed to be no major concerns regarding measurement errors 137 in the study. A questionnaire was developed based on a literature review of existing studies addressing residents’ attitudes towards tourism development and modified based on input obtained from several county officials and tourism professionals as well as three tourism researchers from different universities. The overall statistical analysis included: (1) descriptive statistics focusing on residents’ socio-demographic profile and key variables used in the conceptual model (i.e., knowledge, power, economic role of tourism, community attachment, personal benefits from tourism, positive and negative impacts of tourism, support for additional tourism, support for restrictions on tourism development, and community future); (2) standard multiple regression to examine the relationships among variables and multiple regression with interactions to determine moderating effect of “personal benefits” on other independent variables; and (3) one-way ANOVA to test the relationship between residents’ perceptions of and the stage of tourism and economic development, followed by post-hoe tests to examine expected differences on residents’ perceptions based on their area’s level of tourism and economic development. All of the aforementioned statistical procedures were performed at a county level to assess generalizability of the results and to test attitudes across different levels of tourism and economic development. Summary of Results and Discussion The study sought to extend past research on rural residents’ perceptions of tourism development within the theoretical framework of social exchange theory (Skidmore, 1975). In addition, residents’ perceptions of tourism development were tested across three different communities each representing different levels of tourism (Butler, 138 1980) and economic development (Allen et al., 1993). The key results of the study are discussed in two sections addressing the theoretical frameworks used to guide the study. Social Exchange Theory Relationships Previous researchers have found a relationship between perceptions of tourism impacts and support for tourism development (Madrigal, 1993; McGehee & Andereck , .2004; Perdue et al., 1990). Jurowski (1994) suggested that perceptions of tourism impacts and willingness to enter into a tourism exchange are dependent on residents’ assessment of perceived costs and benefits associated with the exchange. In keeping with social exchange theory, this study examined several factors to determine which value elements influence willingness to enter into a tourism exchange. Consistent with social exchange theory residents who perceived tourism as a development strategy in their county also perceived greater benefits from tourism than did others. These outcomes were consistent across all three counties. Additionally, those who felt they had more power regarding tourism decision making perceived greater personal benefits from tourism in Emmet County and Saginaw County. These results are consistent with social exchange theory suggesting those who have power also have the ability to influence decisions (Emerson, 1972). Those who were more familiar with tourism (knowledgeable) also perceived greater benefits from tourism in Emmet and Tuscola counties. Inconsistent with social exchange theory, subjective knowledge did not predict personal benefits from tourism in Saginaw County suggesting that residents’ may not be as knowledgeable about the tourism industry in their county as they indicated when surveyed. 139 Contradicting the results of study by Perdue et al. (1990), residents’ characteristics predicted positive impacts of tourism when controlling for personal benefits from tourism in two of the three sampled regions. Consistent with the findings of McGehee and Andereck (2004), the older the respondents in Emmet County the more they agreed with positive impacts. Additionally, older residents in Emmet County who benefited more from tourism perceived positive impacts of tourism more and negative impacts of tourism less than younger residents who benefited from tourism. In accordance with social exchange theory, people who perceive greater benefits from tourism perceive greater positive and lower negative impacts of tourism. Tourism in Emmet County has had a long tradition which has given residents the opportunity to benefit from tourism throughout the years. Younger residents in Tuscola County who perceived lower benefits from tourism agreed more with negative impacts of tourism than older residents who perceived lower benefits from tourism. It could be argued that younger residents have not had the opportunity to realize benefits associated with tourism (i.e., mid-management jobs) that may contribute to the community’s overall quality of life. Education predicted positive impacts in Emmet and Tuscola counties; however, the direction of the relationship was different in each. In Emmet County respondents with a higher level of education agreed more with positive impacts, while Tuscola County residents with lower level of education were more agreeable with positive impacts of tourism. A possible explanation might be that tourism in Emmet County is well established, and residents have recognized that positive benefits can outweigh tourism negative impacts. In Tuscola County, agriculture is the pre-dominant economic activity, 140 and thus residents with a lower level of education might perceive tourism as an opportunity for employment due to tourism potential to employ people with low as well as high skills. Tuscola County residents with higher annual income agreed more with tourisms’ positive impacts. A possible explanation might be that tourism offers more leisure opportunities for local people and as such contributes to overall quality of life. Residents who felt that tourism should play a major or equal role to other economic sectors perceived greater positive impacts and lower negative impacts of tourism in all three counties. These results are consistent with a previous study conducted by Huh and Vogt (2008) and social exchange theory suggesting that those who perceive tourism as a development strategy have more positive views of tourism because they perceive greater benefits from tourism (Andereck et al., 2005). Inconsistent with other studies (Lankford & Howard, 1994; McCool & Martin, 1994), highly attached respondents in Saginaw and Tuscola counties perceived tourism more positively. McCool and Martin (1994) suggested that the relationship between community attachment and positive impacts occurs among newcomers living in communities with high levels of tourism development. This is not the case in this study. In the areas under study, community attachment may be more related to the traditional rural lifestyle and landscape which has developed over a long period of time. It can be speculated that, due to economic hardship experienced by rural communities, residents with a strong sense of community tend to be more concerned about their communities’ future while recognizing the potential of tourism to diversify their declining economy. Inconsistent with other studies (Andereck et al., 2004; Davis et al. 198 8) subjective knowledge did not predict positive and negative impacts of tourism. More 141 knowledgeable residents (subjective knowledge was self-reported) would appear to be more aware of ways tourism can improve the local economy and overall quality of life. However, this was not the case in this study. It can be argued that residents’ subjective knowledge may not necessarily be reflective of the tourism industry reality. Inconsistent with social exchange theory and Madrigal’s (1993) findings, power (the strongest predictor of tourism impacts in Madrigal’s study) was not found to be a significant predictor of positive or negative impacts of tourism. These results suggest that perceived influence over tourism related decisions as well as involvement in the tourism industry do not necessarily guarantee that a person will see solely the positive or negative side of the tourism industry. It should be noted that Madrigal (1993) included a single-item measurement to test the influence of personal influence on decision outcomes related to tourism development. The current study included a “personal power” variable in the final model measured with a two-item scale. Economic role of tourism failed to predict perceptions of negative impacts of tourism in Saginaw and Tuscola counties. This is inconsistent with social exchange theory as those who felt that tourism should not be a major development strategy and those who perceived lower benefits did not perceive higher negative impacts of tourism. A possible explanation for the lack of relationship between perceived economic role of tourism and negative impacts is that Saginaw County has a diversified economy resulting in lower dependence on tourism development. The lack of a significant relationship between benefits from tourism and perceived negative impacts Tuscola County may be due to low levels of tourism development (Ko & Stewart, 2002). 142 Residents who perceived tourism to have positive impacts were more supportive of additional tourism development while respondents who felt tourism had negative consequences were less supportive of additional tourism development in all counties. In addition, residents who benefited from tourism were also more supportive of additional tourism development in Emmet and Tuscola counties. Overall, these results were consistent with previous studies (McGehee & Andereck, 2004; Perdue et al. 1990). Those who perceived tourism to have positive impacts were less supportive of restrictions on future tourism development while respondents who felt tourism had negative consequences were more supportive of restrictions on future tourism development in all counties. Personal benefits from tourism failed to garner support for restrictions on future tourism development in all three counties. These findings were consistent with the study by Perdue et al. (1990). Interestingly, the variable personal benefit from tourism was not a significant predictor of support for restrictions on future tourism development. Based on social exchange theory, if residents benefit from tourism development, it would appear that they would want to see fewer restrictions on tourism development. But this was not the case in this study. A possible explanation might be that regardless of their benefit from tourism, all residents believe that tourism development should be restricted to some extent (McGehee & Andereck, 2004). Positive impacts predicted community future in all three counties. Respondents who perceived tourism to have positive impacts were more optimistic about their community’s firture. Negative impacts predicted community future in Emmet County only. Emmet residents who felt tourism had negative consequences were less optimistic about their community’s future. Support for future restrictions on tourism development 143 predicted community future in Emmet and Tuscola counties, but not in Saginaw County. Emmet and Tuscola counties residents who believed local government should restrict tourism development perceived their community’s future to be bright. In other words, respondents who were most optimistic about their community’s future were also those who perceived positive impacts of tourism but also who recognized the need for restrictions on tourism development. Personal benefits from tourism failed to predict the assessment of a community’s future in all three counties. A possible explanation might be that regardless of their benefit from tourism, residents are not aware of the potential of the tourism industry to improve communities’ overall quality of life (Ap & Crompton, 1998). Perceptions of Tourism across Different Levels of Tourism and Economic Development The second part of the study focused on differences among residents’ perceptions of tourism based on their area’s levels of tourism and economic development. Inconsistent with Allen et al. (1993), no differences were found regarding perceptions of positive impacts and support of future tourism development based on an area’s level of tourism and economic development. In other words, regardless of level of tourism and economic development, residents perceived tourism favorably and supported additional tourism development. Since economic activities are not distributed equally across these counties, specifically residents living in rural areas might perceive tourism as an important economic development strategy. Additionally, tourism in Saginaw County has built on existing assets (e.g., culture, natural resources, and history) and developed tourism and recreational infrastructure which serves the needs of local people and 144 visitors. As a result, residents’ perceptions of tourism in Saginaw might be more positive than they would be if the nature of tourism product were different. Inconsistent with Allen et al. (1993), Emmet County residents (high level of tourism and economic development) were more concerned about negative impacts of tourism and were more supportive of restrictions on future tourism development than Saginaw (low level of tourism and high level of economic development) and Tuscola (low level of tourism and economic development) counties residents. A possible explanation might be that tourism in Emmet County has had a long history of natural resource tourism (e.g., skiing, fishing, boating, golfing) which has resulted in Emmet County’s high dependence on the tourism industry. Over the years, residents in Emmet County have realized various benefits associated with tourism development. Yet, increasing awareness of negative impacts of tourism may have led to residents’ desire to restrict future tourism development. The results of the study did not support propositions made by Allen et al. (1993). However, it is important to mention that the measurement used to determine level of tourism development was inconsistent with measurement used by Allen et al. (1993). In terms of perceived community future, Emmet County residents were found to be more optimistic about the future of their community than Saginaw and Tuscola counties residents. Further, Tuscola County, residents were more positive about their community’s future than Saginaw County residents. It would appear that Saginaw residents would be more optimistic than Tuscola residents given their diversified economy. It can be argued that Saginaw County residents’ perceptions might have been influenced by the economic decline of manufacturing (particularly in the automobile 145 industry) experienced by the state of Michigan as a whole in recent years. Conversely, Tuscola residents might have high hopes and expectations for future tourism development. Implications This study has several implications for community tourism developers and local government officials. Younger residents (Emmet County) and younger residents who have not yet enjoyed benefits from tourism (Emmet and Tuscola counties) appeared to be more concerned about the negative impacts of the tourism industry in their community. Inviting younger residents to participate in the tourism planning process, listening to their concerns and encouraging their leadership is strongly recommended. Emmet County respondents with a lower level of education and Tuscola County residents with higher level of education were less agreeable with positive impacts of tourism. It appears that county officials should focus on building public relations that reach out to residents regardless of their education level. In Emmet County, economic opportunities (i.e., the potential of tourism to employ people with diverse skills) need to be communicated to the greater public. In case of Tuscola County, in addition to the traditional economic benefits associated with tourism, environmental and socio-cultural benefits, and contribution of tourism to overall quality of life need to be promoted. The results of the study supported the notion that residents who personally benefit from tourism and who perceive tourism as development strategy View tourism more positively and are more supportive of further tourism development. It can be argued that the more tourism industry officials can demonstrate how individuals benefit from tourism in the county, the more support the industry is likely to enjoy from local residents. 146 Highly place attached residents in Saginaw and Tuscola counties perceived tourism more positively. What differentiates these highly attached residents from residents who might be relatively new to these communities is a strong sense of community. It is in the community’s best interest to involve all residents in their community’s life to give them an opportunity to develop a strong sense of community which in turn will result in a more common identity. The more common identity is felt by the community, the more likely it is to make a constructive decision about the community’s future in terms of tourism development (Ryan & Cooper, 2002). In Saginaw County, residents who recognized the contribution of tourism and recreation to the local economy were also aware of positive impacts associated with tourism. Thus, it is important for tourism industry officials and decision makers to continue to educate residents about both costs and benefits associated with potential tourism development. Keogh (1990) suggested that residents who were more informed about the positive and negative impacts associated with proposed tourism development tended to have more favorable opinions toward tourism. Keogh (1990) concluded that greater awareness about tourism projects might be achieved by providing residents with information in a more readily understandable form, such as brochures or newsletters. Another way to disseminate information within a community might be a press release, a short article in a local newspaper, or an announcement on a local radio station. The results of the study indicated that residents in all counties were fully aware of positive and negative impacts associated with tourism suggesting heterogeneity within these communities. In other words, while some residents might have negative attitudes toward tourism, others may view tourism favorably. Rather than simply stating that 147 tourism is beneficial for local communities and assuming that residents’ expectations of local government regarding development are indifferent, a more pro-active marketing approach needs to be undertaken by local officials. Local officials should attempt to address the needs of various groups that exist within the community through an internal marketing process that will allow dividing residents into different market segments based on their perceptions of tourism development (Madrigal, 1995). Identification of the interest groups within a community will make is easier to assess the residents’ information needs, enable effective and sensitive development of tourism, as well as pre- identify potential conflicts of interest in these communities (Snaith & Haley, 1999). Based on the results of the study, everyone, regardless of their personal benefits from tourism desired tourism development to be restricted to some extent to avoid potential unmanaged growth. Again, it should be noted that residents’ concerns might be a product of direct experience with the tourism industry as well as historically and socially derived, therefore tourism needs to be restricted in different ways across different communities. Residents need to be involved in the decision making process determining restrictions on future tourism development. To be able to make informed decisions about the type and the extent of restrictions on future tourism development, residents need to be educated about tourism potential positive and negative impacts. The results of this study revealed that residents’ perceptions of tourism had very little or no influence on how residents perceived their community’s future. It can be argued that either residents’ expectations of tourism development have not been met or residents are not fully informed of tourism development benefits and contributions to the overall quality of life. Again, local officials need to inform residents about what realistic I48 outcomes can be anticipated from tourism development. Once these outcomes have been actually realized, the general public needs to be informed about how individual residents as well as the overall community have benefited from the tourism development. Limitation of Findings There are several limitations to the study. First, due to limited funds, the survey instrument used in this study was shared with another PhD student. As a result, only a limited number of questions (items) were included in the survey to measure constructs pertinent to the study problem. This has resulted in several single item measurements (i.e., level of objective and subjective knowledge, economic role of tourism, and community future), poor reliability and validity of measures (i.e., restrictions of future tourism development), as well as low R-squares. Second, the study was limited to one empirical study (Allen et al., 1993) that previously examined differences in residents’ attitudes across several communities with different level of tourism and economic development. In addition, the current study was not able to obtain data from four communities to represent the four community types described by Allen et al. (1993). Therefore, a full comprehensive comparison of the study results was not possible since a low level of economic and high level of tourism development category was not represented in this study. Third, since the study population consisted of seasonal and permanent homeowners, it is believed that the age group 19-39 years was underrepresented as they are more likely to live in apartments or with their parents. This could have resulted in relatively high levels of education and high annual income reported by respondents. 149 Fourth, the study did not specifically define what and how restrictions on future tourism development would be managed. Therefore, interpretation of what “tourism restrictions” mean might have varied among respondents. Fifth, measurements used to assess level of tourism development were not comprehensive. The addition of other indicators (e.g., number of tourist arrivals over time, changes in tourism infrastructure, and changes in total tourism receipts per capita) may have changed the level of tourism development assessment. Sixth, the geographic regions under study were not selected using stratified random sample, thus they are not representative of other tomism destinations at similar development stages. Next, the survey instrument used to assess biases in the dataset from non- responders included a limited number of questions due to restricted funds and space constraints in the questionnaire layout. As a result, several constructs specific to the study problem as well as questions addressing demographics were not included in the non- response survey. Lastly, the study was limited by a low survey response rate due to the length of the survey and declining mail survey rates in the US. Future Research The study was somewhat exploratory in that it examined residents’ attitudes toward current tourism and future tourism development in three rural communities at different stages of tourism and economic development. Further research is needed to test and validate the modified model in other communities with different levels of tourism and economic development using a stratified random sample to obtain a better representation of tourism destinations at different development stages. 150 Next, future studies should improve measurements of residents’ perception of economic role of tourism, knowledge of tourism, restrictions on future tourism development as well as community future. Future researchers need to improve the measurement of levels of tourism development. The current study used Butler’s (1980) destination life cycle as a guide to determine the level of tourism development in communities under study. However, due to the lack of accurate longitudinal tourism data at a county level (i.e., tourism sales totals over time, tourism arrivals totals by sector and season), the study did not attempt to link the level of tourism development to a specific stage of Butler’s (1980) model. Future studies should consider multiple tourism products where each exhibits its own life cycle (Agarwal, 1994), as well as an existence of a possible subset of the rejuvenation stage, the so called “reinvention process”, which allows for extension of the life cycle due to a creation of a new product line to reflect a new market demand (Baum, 1988). Lastly, entrepreneurial activities should be incorporated because they create conditions for the evolutionary cycle to move from one stage to another (Russell & Faulkner, 1999). While the current study has demonstrated the positive relationship between personal benefits from tourism and support for tourism, this study failed to answer what specific benefits residents perceive from tourism. Therefore, future studies should include collection of qualitative data that would provide more detailed information regarding specific perceived benefits as reported by residents (McGehee & Andereck, 2004). The current study drew study participants from the general population. They are likely not to be as knowledgeable about the tourism industry as individuals involved in tourism development (i.e., tourism business owners, civic leaders). To obtain a more 151 accurate understanding of perceptions of tourism development in a community, opinions of all groups within the community (i.e., government officers, tourism business owners, and residents) need to be examined. Support for social exchange theory was inconsistent. Social exchange theory assumes that the decision-making process always ends in gaining, suggesting there are no losers only winners. In addition, social exchange theory presumes that all people who enter into an exchange have complete and correct information. This may not always be the case. In this study, it appears that residents’ knowledge of the tourism industry is historically and socially derived rather than a product of direct experience. Application of social exchange theory in conjunction with another theory (i.e., social representation theory) might provide a better insight into residents’ attitudes toward tourism. Social representations are instruments that enable individuals to understand the surrounding world (Moscovici, 1988). While the term “social” suggests that representations are shared by people in a given society, not all groups within a community are homogenous. As a result, Moscovici (1988) proposed three levels of consensus with regard to social representations: (1) hegemonic representations which are accepted by the entire community, (2) emancipated representations where opinions within the community vary to some extent and as a result small subgroups of peOple are formed, and (3) polemic representations signifying a group conflict. Social representations are established through communication within society, i.e., direct experience, social interaction, and the media (Fredline & Faulkner, 2000). Identifying commonality or consensus of residents’ perceptions within a community is instrumental to identifying social representations. Social representations are particularly valuable in 152 identifying social conflicts within a community and providing a foundation for community problem solving by examining residents’ attitudes toward a matter of social interest (e.g., tourism development). Final Thoughts The current study further extended and tested the Perdue, Long, and Allen’s (1990) model using data collected from several Michigan communities which may or may not be concerned about local tourism opportunities. Studying multi-locations enabled testing the model within different stages of tourism (Butler, 1980) and economic development (Allent et al., 1993). Communities under study were not randomly selected; therefore results of the study should not be generalized beyond the scope of this study. In general, testing the model by Perdue at al. (1990) within different stages of tourism and economic development further validated the model as well as addition of the economic role of tourism development variable. Consistent with other studies (Madrigal, 1993; McGehee & Andereck , 2004; Perdue et al., 1990; Snaith & Haley, 1999) regression models explaining perceived positive impacts and support for tourism development performed better than those explaining negative impacts and support for fiJture restrictions on tourism development I Support for social exchange theory was mixed. For the most part, social exchange theory was supported in suggesting that those who perceive tourism as a development strategy have more positive views of tourism and support additional tourism development because they perceive greater benefits from tourism. However, the variable personal benefit from tourism was not a significant predictor of support for restrictions on future 153 tourism development. This finding was consistent with Perdue et a1. (1990) and McGehee and Andereck (2004), but inconsistent with social exchange theory. These findings do not support previous research which suggests that attitudes toward tourism become more negative with higher levels of tourism (Allen et al., 1988, Butler, 1980; Doxey, 1975; Long et al., 1990). In case of this study, residents at different levels of tourism development perceived tourism positively and were favorable toward additional tourism development. Even after considering the level of tourism development in conjunction with the total economic activity, residents were supportive of future tourism development regardless of county’s levels of tourism and economic development. A possible explanation for support of tourism development across all three regions under study might the difficult economic conditions experienced by the State of Michigan as a whole. If the study had been conducted five years ago, the results might have been different. There is no doubt that tourism development will sooner or later play an important development role in communities with transitional economies that are moving from natural resources extraction to tourism development. Yet, the extent to which tourism development will be sustained depends on the active involvement of the host communities in the tourism development process. Some residents might perceive tourism as the best economic opportunity, while others might be more skeptical. Thus, it is important that the goals and strategies of tourism development reflect the views of all resident groups (i.e., government officials, tourism business owners, residents) to ensure community consensus on tourism development policies (Martin, 1996). 154 APPENDICES 155 APPENDIX A Descriptive Statistics for Items Used in the Study 1. Residential status of homeowners: n“ Permanent Seasonal % % Emmet 321 65.3 34.7 Saginaw 206 94.7 5.3 Tuscola 228 88.6 1 1.4 n 15 the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 2. Age (in years) of homeowners: Mean n Median Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Emmet 318 60.2 60.0 13.4 28 95 Saginaw 194 52.6 52.0 13.6 23 86 Tuscola 219 57.8 58.0 13.3 29 90 it IS the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 3. 2006 annual household income from all sources before taxes: Less than $50,000 n $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 or more % % % Emmet 294 15.2 34.3 50.5 Saginaw 187 43.3 41.7 15.0 Tuscola 212 47.6 39.6 12.7 n rs the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 4. Homeowners level of education: High Technical Less than school school Some College Advanced n“ high school graduate degree college degree degree % % % % % % Emmet 321 0.0 7.0 3.1 13.7 37.8 38.4 Saginaw 203 1.0 26.1 8.9 21.2 28.1 14.8 Tuscola 225 4.9 31.6 7.1 26.7 20.0 9.8 n IS the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 156 5. Number of years of residency/home ownership in the county: n Mean Median Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Emmet 318 22.8 18.0 17.0 1 78 Saginaw 204 34.2 35.0 19.4 1 85 Tuscola 228 37.4 35.0 21.4 2 84 n 18 the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 6. Perceived role of tourism and recreation in the county’s economy: Equal to other 11‘ No role A minor role economic sectors A dominant role % % % % Emmet 301 0.6 2.6 39.5 57.3 Saginaw 200 2.0 15.0 69.0 14.0 Tuscola 212 1.9 23.1 63.3 12.7 n rs the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 7. Contribution of tourism and recreation to the county’s economy (level of objective knowledge): n“ 0-20 21-40 41-60 61-80 81-100 % % % °/o % Emmet 302 0.9 14.2 27.0 45.9 12.0 Saginaw 206 33.2 45.7 15.6 5.0 0.5 Tuscola 228 62.3 27.8 7.1 2.8 0.0 n 18 the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 8. Level of subjective knowledge of the tourism and recreation industry in the county: Not ‘ Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very knowledge- knowledge- knowledge- knowledge- knowledge- n“ able at all able able able able % % % % % Emmet 313 3.8 24.5 27.7 31.2 12.8 Saginaw 205 12.2 38.0 28.8 16.1 4.9 Tuscola 224 28.6 31.3 24.6 12.1 3.6 n rs the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 157 9. Personal benefits from current tourism in the county: "3 Not at all Very little Some Quite a bit A lot % % % % % Emmet 315 25.4 21.0 27.6 16.6 9.4 Saginaw 205 41.5 32.2 21.0 3.9 1.5 Tuscola 226 57.1 28.8 11.5 2.2 0.4 a n is the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 10. Personal benefits from future tourism in the county: Strongly Strongly "3 disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree % % % % % Emmet 313 17.6 28.2 27.0 18.3 8.9 Saginaw 197 13.7 29.4 29.9 21.8 5.1 Tuscola 225 15.1 36.0 27.6 17.8 3.6 a n is the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 11. Power: Very Quite a “a None little Some bit A lot Personal influence on TD decrsron % % % % % making Emmet 314 48.2 32.1 15.4 4.0 0.3 Saginaw 201 71.1 19.4 9.0 0.5 0.0 Tuscola 227 67.8 20.7 9.3 1.3 0.9 Involvement in TD Emmet 316 50.0 31.8 13.1 4.5 0.6 Saginaw 201 68.2 19.4 10.4 1.5 0.5 Tuscola 225 65.8 24.4 7.6 1.3 0.9 n 15 the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 158 12. Community attachment: Not important Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very "9 at all important important important important Natural % % % % ' % landscapes/views Emmet 314 0.4 1.9 5.4 20.6 71.7 Saginaw 198 8.1 10.6 23.7 24.3 28.3 Tuscola 218 4.6 13.3 20.6 27.1 34.4 Opportunities for outdoor recreation Emmet 314 0.7 3.2 9.6 25.2 61.3 Saginaw 204 4.9 7.8 22.5 30.9 33.8 Tuscola 222 3.6 3.6 23.9 31.5 38.5 Presence of wildlife Emmet 310 1.3 3.8 13.6 27.9 53.4 Saginaw 201 4.0 15.9 18.4 31.3 30.3 Tuscola 222 0.9 5.0 19.8 28.8 45.5 Family ties Emmet 307 15.5 4.4 8.3 17.4 54.4 Saginaw 206 5.3 4.9 5.8 22.3 61.7 Tuscola 225 5.8 3.1 8. 16.9 66.2 Friends close by Emmet 310 5.7 8.2 17.0 30.3 38.8 Saginaw 205 2.4 5.4 13.7 31.7 46.8 Tuscola 224 4.0 6.7 16.1 30.4 42.9 Local culture and traditions Emmet 313 2.1 8.9 24.1 33.5 31.4 Saginaw 199 8.0 16.6 29.1 30.7 15.6 Tuscola 220 5.5 16.4 33.6 23.6 20.9 Opportunities to be involved in community or organizations Emmet 310 6.2 12.5 26.4 29.8 25.1 Saginaw 204 8.3 13.7 25.0 34.3 18.6 Tuscola 222 9.1 20.0 30.0 26.8 14.1 n rs the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 159 13. Perceived positive impacts of tourism in the county: Strongly Strongly “3 disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree Increasing the number of tourists visiting anarea improves the local % % % % % economy ' ' Emmet 316 1.6 3.1 8.5 50.0 36.8 Saginaw 196 1.0 2.6 11.2 59.7 25.5 Tuscola .226 1.3 0.9 14.2 56.2 27.4 Shopping, restaurants, 7 , 7 entertainment options are better as a result of tourism Emmet 314 0.6 3.4 7.1 56.0 32.9 Saginaw 193 0.5 6.2 11.9 59.6 21.8 Tuscola 224 1.8 2.7 17.9 55.8 21.9 Tourism encourages more public development (e. g., roads, public facilities) Emmet 313 0.7 4.8 13.0 59.2 22.3 Saginaw 197 0.5 4.1 18.3 57.9 19.3 Tuscola 225 1.8 4.0 16.0 60.0 18.2 Tourism contributes to income and standard of living Emmet 312 1.4 5.2 16.1 57.2 20.1 Saginaw 195 2.1 8.7 25.6 51.8 11.8 Tuscola 222 8 8.1 22.1 55.0 13.1 Tourism provides desirable jobs for local homeowners Emmet 315 2.1 8.6 19.9 46.2 23.2 Saginaw 197 . 7.6 21.8 50.8 17.3 Tuscola 225 1.3 4.9 23.1 54.7 16.0 Tourism provides incentives for new park development Emmet 308 0.7 7.0 20.1 56.5 15.7 Saginaw 197 1.5 6.6 22.3 59.9 9.6 Tuscola 224 1.8 1.8 25.9 56.7 13.8 Tourism development increases the number of recreational opportunities for local homeowners Emmet 311 1.4 7.7 19.4 59.2 12.3 Saginaw 194 1.0 7.2 17.0 61.9 11.7 Tuscola 221 2.7 5.4 21.7 61.5 8.6 Tourism provides incentives for protection and conservation of natural resources Emmet 312 1.0 12.1 25.9 44.6 16.4 Saginaw 196 2.0 12.2 31.6 44.9 9.2 Tuscola 225 2.7 10.7 32.0 42.2 12.4 Tourism provides incentives for purchase of open space Emmet 309 2.2 8.8 31.7 42.6 14.7 Saginaw 197 0.5 5.6 45.7 39.1 9.1 Tuscola 224 1.3 5.4 41.5 40.6 11.2 13. Perceived positive impacts of tourism in the county continued: Tourism helps preserve the cultural identity and restoration of historical buildings Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Tourism development improves the physical appearance of an area Emmet Saginaw Tuscola Tourism development increases the quality of life in an area Emmet Saginaw Tuscola 311 .196 224 310 196 224 312 195 223 Strongly disagree 2.0 1.0 2.3 3.1 1.0 1.3 3.6 3.6 4.5 Disagree 13.0 5.1 10.0 19.0 4.6 7.6 15.4 8.2 12.6 Neutral 27.5 20.9 26.2 23.9 21.3 27.7 34.3 33.8 38.6 Agree 49.8 61.2 52.0 41.7 55.8 487. 39.9 49.7 41.3 Strongly agree 7.7 11.7 9.5 12.3 a . . . . . . . It IS the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 161 l4. Perceived negative impacts of tourism in the county: Strongly Strongly n“ disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree Tourism development increases the traffic problems of an area % % % % % Emmet 314 0.7 1.4 4.5 40.8 52.6 Saginaw 195 1.0 7.2 20.5 54.4 16.9 Tuscola 226 1.3 4.4 20.8 55.8 17.7 Tourism results in an increase of the cost of living Emmet 309 0.7 8.4 24.2 47.7 19.0 Saginaw 195 1.5 16.9 47.2 29.7 4.6 Tuscola 217 1.4 12.0 46.5 32.7 7.4 Tourism results in more litter in an area Emmet 314 0.4 9.3 23.8 44.1 22.4 Saginaw 197 1.5 20.3 30.5 38.1 9.6 Tuscola 225 1.3 12.9 26.2 44.0 15.6 Tourism related jobs are low paying Emmet 309 0.4 10.4 27.9 44.2 17.1 Saginaw 195 1.5 5.6 37.9 42.1 12.8 Tuscola 221 2.3 5.0 36.7 47.5 8.6 Tourism development unfairly increases property taxes Emmet 309 3.1 18.4 36.0 25.5 17.0 Saginaw 195 1.5 23. 49.7 19.0 6.2 Tuscola 222 0.9 16.2 40.1 29.3 13.5 Tourism causes communities to be over-crowded Emmet 311 1.0 19.3 33.6 34.9 11.2 Saginaw 195 5.1 40.5 39.0 12.3 3.1 Tuscola 222 2.7 35.6 38.3 19.8 3.6 Tourism development increases the amount of crime in the area Emmet 314 2.4 20.8 36.1 30.4 10.3 Saginaw 194 5.2 31.4 42.3 18.0 3.1 Tuscola 222 1.4 21.2 50.5 23.0 4.1 An increase in tourists in the county will lead to friction between homeowners and tourists Emmet 314 3.6 30.1 37.0 21.7 7.6 Saginaw 195 9.2 46.2 32.3 10.8 1.5 Tuscola 222 3.6 34.7 38.3 19.8 3.6 a n is the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 162 15. Perceived community future: Strongly Strongly “3 disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree The future of the county looks % % % % % bright Emmet 309 4.3 11.2 38.0 38.7 7.8 Saginaw 205 26.3 38.0 26.3 8.8 0.5 Tuscola 219 14.6 37.4 33.3 9.6 5.0 a n is the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 16. Support for additional tourism development in the county: Strongly Strongly n“ disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree Tourism can be one of the most important economic % % % % % developmental options for an area Emmet 310 1.0 6.6 11.9 57.6 22.9 Saginaw 197 2.0 10.7 30.5 46.2 10.7 Tuscola 224 3.1 10.7 31.7 41.5 12.9 I support tourism having a vital role in this county Emmet 311 2.2 5.2 20.9 54.9 16.8 Saginaw 194 2.6 2.1 23.2 54.1 18.0 Tuscola 225 4.4 5.3 25.3 47.1 17.8 The county should try to attract more tourists Emmet 311 2.2 11.7 28.6 46.0 11.5 Saginaw 196 4.1 3.1 25.5 49.5 17.9 Tuscola 225 4.0 6.7 26.7 49.8 12.9 Additional tourism would help the county grow in the right direction Emmet 310 2.8 12.8 29.9 44.2 10.3 Saginaw 197 2.0 5.1 25.4 50.3 17.3 Tuscola 225 4.9 6.2 27.6 46.2 15.1 a n is the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 17: Support for restrictions on tourism development in the county: Strongly Strongly n“ disagree Disagree Neutral Agree agree Local government should restrict tourism development Emmet 309 12.4 35.3 34.1 14.5 3.7 Saginaw 194 19.6 37.1 33.5 7.7 2.1 Tuscola 225 19.6 34.2 38.2 5.8 2.2 n rs the actual number of surveys received but statistics were weighted for population estimate. 163 APPENDIX B Cover Letters for the Survey Administration Approved by UCHRIS: IRB # XO7-312 First Wave Survey Cover Letter May 4, 2007 Dear Name, Michigan State University (MSU) is studying residents’ perceptions of tourism impacts and attitudes toward future tourism development. We are interested in learning about your opinion regarding current tourism impacts and future tourism development in Emmet County. The research study will both fulfill a dissertation requirement and be shared with the county tourism industry and planning officials. The survey will take approximately 15 minutes to complete. You indicate your voluntary agreement to participate by completing and returning this survey. However, if you choose not to complete all or part of the questions, you will not suffer any penalty. You are free to discontinue your participation at any time. Your responses will be anonymous and your privacy will be protected to the maximum extent allowable by law. As a thank you for taking the time to complete the survey, your name will be entered in a drawing for four two-nights of camping at Camp Pet-o-se-ga and one package of four passes to the 2007 Charlevoix/Emmet County Fair. If you have any questions about this project at any time, please call Dr. Christine Vogt, Associate Professor at MSU: (517) 432-0318 or contact her at vogtc@msu.edu. If you have any questions or concerns regarding your rights as a study participant, or are dissatisfied at any time with any aspect of this study, you may contact — anonymously, if you wish, Peter Vasilenko, Ph. D., Director of the Human Research Protection Programs (HRPP) at Michigan State University: (517) 355-2180, fax: (517)432-4503, email: irb@msu.edu, or regular mail: 202 Olds Hall, East Lansing, MI 48824. We greatly appreciate your cooperation! Sincerely, Christine A. Vogt, PhD Michigan State University vogtc@msu.edu Enclosures: survey, postage paid envelope 164 Second Wave Survey Cover Letter May 29, 2007 Dear Name, In the last few weeks you should have received a letter and survey from Michigan State University. I am doing research on home or property owners in several Michigan counties. We have heard from many in the past few weeks, but haven’t received your input yet. You were randomly selected to represent Emmet County home or property owners about their views on community development, recreation and tourism. If you have recently sent in your completed survey, I thank you. As a thank you for taking the time to complete the survey, your name will be entered in a drawing for one of four two- nights of camping at Camp Pet-o-se-ga or one package of four passes to the 2007 Charlevoix/Emmet County Fair. Our drawing will be on June 15’“. Please return your completed survey soon. If you are unable to complete the survey or you don’t think it applies to you, please e-mail, call or send a note in the prepaid envelope. If the survey is addressed to someone that no longer lives in the household, please have another adult or head of household complete it. Otherwise I hope to receive your completed survey. The survey will take approximately 15 minutes to complete. You indicate your voluntary agreement to participate by completing and returning this survey. If you choose not to complete all or part of the questions, you will not suffer any penalty. You are free to discontinue your participation at any time. Your responses will be anonymous and your privacy will be protected to the maximum extent allowable by law. If you have any questions about this project at any time, call Dr. Christine Vogt, Associate Professor at MSU: (517) 432-0318 or contact her at vogtc@msu.edu. If you have any questions or concerns regarding your rights as a study participant, or are dissatisfied at any time with any aspect of this study, you may anonymously contact Peter Vasilenko, Ph. D., Director of the Human Research Protection Programs (HRPP) at Michigan State University: (517) 355-2180, fax: (517) 432-4503, email: irb@msu.edu, or regular mail: 202 Olds Hall, East Lansing, MI 48824. Thanks again for your time and effort! Sincerely, Christine A. Vogt, PhD Michigan State University vogtc@msu.edu or (517) 432-0318 Enclosures: survey, postage paid envelope 165 APPENDIX C Reminder Postcard Christine Vogt Michigan State University Park, Recreation and Tourism Resources 131 Natural Resources Building East Lansing, MI 48824 -1222 .. .-..‘, -. .,; “31““: FT". , ‘_.__\__=N‘. 1:} ' ,. . I 1‘. - 1 ”1% & -...- -: :11», .31: $2.61": ‘ =- 11-111. 1, iii 2. Mt_l.t.tt1,;;21tgtttt1‘tgitt .- fl-:m:urmxaeemzsmaea;rmem ' ' Hello, Recently, we sent you a survey about attitudes toward tourism. If you have already returned the survey, thank you for your timely response. We appreciate your time and effort. If you have not yet sent the survey back in the prepaid envelope, please take some time now to complete the survey. Your response is very important for the completion of this study, accurate representation of vacation planning decision-making and will result in recommendations to improve vacation planning information. Once again, thank you for your help in completing this research. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to call me at 517-432-0318 or e-mail me at vogtc@msu.edu. Thanks again for your help! Sincerely, Christine Vogt, Michigan State University 166 APPENDIX D Surve Instrument and Non-Res ondent Stud mwfigé‘h “DWARD TOURIS in Emmet County Thank you for agreeing to complete this survey. First, we would like to learn more about out of town visitors that stay with you in Emmet County. We would also like to know your opinions about tourism and recreation in Emmet County. You are one of a small number of community residents who have been selected to take part in this study so your responses are of great importance. The survey should take approximately 15 minutes to fill out. Afier you have completed the survey, please return it in the prepaid envelope provided (or mail it to: Dr. Christine Vogt, Michigan State University, Dept. of CARRS, 131 Natural Resources, East Lansing, MI 48824-1222). Section 1. To better understand the economic impact of friends and/or relatives visiting Emmet County, the first set of questions focuses on out of town visitors that stayed with you rather than in paid accommodations in Emmet County. 1. How many out of town groups of guests stayed in your home (rather than in paid accommodations) between May 2006 and April 2007? (please fill in a number) Memorial Day and Labor Day, 2006 # of groups of guests Labor Day and December 31, 2006 # of groups of guests January 1, 2007 and April 30, 2007 # of groups of guests 2. Please provide information about three of the most recent groups of guests that stayed in your home during May, 2006 to April, 2007. 167 Questions regarding three of the most recent groups of guests: Group # 1 Group # 2 Group # 3 . 9 . . What state did they come from. (please spectfv) state state state . ‘ . . ‘. 9 .- J ) .) Which month Clld they vrstt you. (please spur/ft) month month month How long did they stay with you? (please fill in a # # # number) days days days # # # What was the number of people per group? (please fill adults adults adults in a number) # # # children children children Do you expect your guests will return to visit you in U 1;] U U U D the next two years? yes no yes no ' yes no . . . ,7 / What was the purpose of their Vtsrt. (please all Group # 1 Group # 2 Group # 3 that apply) Vacation [1 [:1 [3 Visiting friends Cl F1 (‘1 Exploring retirement areas [:1 3 :1 Exploring second home areas 1‘) H Ti Conducting business/attend a convention [:1 [:1 C] Conducting family/personal business (wedding, . . H [1 D funeral, medical, reunion, etc.) Other purposes: [1 Cl [:1 Question 2 continued: What type of activities did your guests participate in during their visit? (please / all that apply) Group # 1 Group # 2 Group # 3 Bicycling E] {:1 1:] Boating t‘; 1’.) F1 Camping [:1 D U 168 Conferences (.1 U L) Dancing/ Nightclubbing C] C] [:1 Dining out 1:] D L] Entertainment (theatre, movies, music, etc.) [3 D D Festivals/exhibits E1 [:1 [:1 Fishing [3 [:1 [2] Gaming 1:] El '3 Golfing El E1 E1 Hiking/walking [‘1 fl [1 Hunting E] Cl [3 Picnicking D [’1 [1 Picture taking [:1 D D Scenic driving E] [:1 D Shopping E] E! D Skiing {:1 [:1 C] Snowmobiling/ATV [:1 D [1 Swimming L] [J 1:1 Visiting city/state/national parks [3 t:- [:1 Visiting muscums/ Visiting cultural/historical areas Li [J [3 Watching wildlife/birds D C1 D Other activities: 1:] D D As a resident of Emmet County, what attraction(s) or sites do you recommend to your guests to visit? (fill in your answer) What specific local attraction(s) or sites did your guests visit while staying with you? (fill in your answer) 169 Section 2. Next are some questions about economic development and tourism in Emmet County. 5. The following are types of economic development options. Please indicate how acceptable to you each of the following types of economic development is for Emmet County. (circle one response for each type of development) Type of Not Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very development: Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Agriculture 1 2 3 4 5 HeaVy _ l 2 3 4 5 manufacturing Higher 1 2 3 4 5 education Light 1 2 3 4 5 manufacturing Medical and health 1 2 3 4 5 Retail and other 1 2 3 4 5 services Towism/ Recreation 1 2 3 4 5 Other 9 types 1 “ 3 4 5 6. Compared to other economic sectors, how important a role do you think tourism and recreation should have in Emmet County? (please / one) S no role D a minor role [1 a role equal to other economic sectors [:1 a dominant role 7. In your opinion, what place is most visited by tourists in Emmet County? (fill in your answer) 170 Which response best represents the percentage tourism and recreation bring to Emmet County’s economy? (please / one) D 0-20% [1 21-40% L! 41-60% L] 61-80% C] 81-100% How would you describe your level of knowledge about the tourism and recreation industry in Emmet County? (please / one) 1:] not at all knowledgeable [:1 somewhat knowledgeable D very knowledgeable D slightly knowledgeable E] moderately knowledgeable 10. How much do you personally benefit from tourism in your community? (please \/ one) I: not at all [:1 very little {:1 some (3 quite a bit 13 a lot 11. How much contact do you typically have with tourists visiting your community? (please \/ one) 1] no contact at all [:1 some contact [:1 a large amount of contact [:1 a little bit of contact U a moderate amount of contact 12. In terms of Emmet County, please indicate the level of importance for the following aspects. (circle one response for each statement) Not Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very Important Important Important Important Important At All Family ties l 2 3 4 5 Friends close by l 2 3 4 5 Natural . 1 2 3 4 5 landscapes/Views Local. culture and 1 2 3 4 5 traditions 171 Presence of wildlife Opportunities to be involved in community or organizations Opportunities for outdoor l ' 2 3 4 5 recreation Opportunities for economic growth 13. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements. (circle one response for each statement) Strongly Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Agree If I had to move from Emmet County, I would be very sorry to l 2 3 4- 5 leave. I would rather live in Emmet County than elsewhere. 1 2 3 4 5 The future of Emmet County looks bright. l 2 3 4 5 Tourism holds great promise for l 2 3 4 5 the future of Emmet County. Tourism wrll improve the 1 2 3 4 5 appearance of Emmet County. Tourism creates more attractions & activities for residents in l 2 3 4 5 Emmet County. In most ways my life is close to my ideal. I 2 3 4 5 The conditions of my life are 1 2 3 4 5 excellent. I am satisfied with my life. I 2 3 4 5 I72 So far, I have accomplished what I want in my life. If I could live my life over, I would change almost nothing. Section 3. Next are some questions about your opinion on the impact of tourism in Emmet County. 14. This set of questions asks your opinions regarding tourism in Emmet County. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements. (circle one response/or each statement) Your opinions about tourism in Emmet County: Strongly Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Agree Economic impact: Increasing the number of tourists visiting an area improves the local economy. Tourism provides desirable jobs for local residents. Tourism related jobs are low paying. Shopping, restaurants, entertainment options are better as a result of tourism. Tourism encourages more private development (e.g., housing, retail). 173 Tourism encourages more public development (e.g., roads, public facilities). Tourism contributes to income and standard of living. Tourism results in an increase of the cost ofliving. Tourism can be one of the most important economic developmental option for an area. Tourism development unfairly increases property taxes. Environmental impact: Tourism development improves the physical appearance of an area. Tourism development increases the traffic problems of an area. Tourism results in more litter in an area. 174 Tourism provides incentives for protection and conservation of natural resources. Tourism provides incentives for new park development. Tourism provides incentives for purchase of open space. Socio-cultural impact: An increase in tourists in Emmet County will lead to friction between residents and tourists. Tourism development increases the quality of life in an area. Tourism helps preserve the cultural identity and restoration of historical buildings. Tourism causes communities to be over- crowded. 175 Tourism development increases the number of recreational opportunities for local residents. Tourism development increases the amount of crime in the area. Other opinions: I would personally benefit from more tourism development in Emmet County. Local government should control tourism development. The county should try to attract more tourists. Additional tourism would help Emmet County grow in the right direction. I support tourism having a vital role in this county. 176 Section 3. Next are some questions about your opinion on the impact of tourism in Emmet County. 15. The following are types of development that are part of the tourism industry. Please indicate how acceptable you feel each of the following types of development is for Emmet County. (circle one response for each type of development) Nonresidents should be encouraged to develop tourism businesses in Emmet County. Local government should restrict tourism development. Not Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very Development of: Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Bars/tavems l 2 3 4 5 Beaches (public) 1 2 3 4 5 Eed and breakfast! 1 2 3 4 5 runs Boating l 2 3 4 5 Campgrounds/RV parks/clubs 1 2 3 4 5 Casinos l 2 3 4 5 Festrvals/farrs/ 1 2 3 4 5 events Galleries/museums l 2 3 4 5 Historic/cultural 1 2 3 4 5 attractions 177 Hotels/motels Land for hunting Marinas/docks/ slips Open space and greenways Parks with developed areas Piers (for fishing) Resorts Restaurants Retail stores/ shopping district Roads and highways Second homes/ condos Trails-motorized Trails-non- motorized Transportation (public) 178 16. Tourism consists of tourism development (for example enhancement of existing facilities, infrastructure, creating new facilities and businesses) and promotion (e.g., advertising, public relations, brochures, TV ads, websites, billboards). Please answer the following questions regarding your interest, personal influence and involvement in tourism development and promotion. (circle one responsefor each statement). Very Quite None Little Some A Bit A Lot What level of personal influence have you had on decisions related to tourism development 1 2 3 4 5 and promotion in Emmet County? What level of involvement have you had in tourism development and promotion in Emmet l 2 3 4 5 County? What level of interest do you currently have about tourism development and promotion in 1 2 3 4 5 Emmet County? How much influence do tourism—related businesses have in tourism development and l 2 3 4 5 promotion decision-making in Emmet County? In the future, how willing are you to be involved in tourism development and 1 2 3 4 5 promotion in Emmet County? Section 5. Next are some questions regarding your opinion about tourism promotions and marketing campaigns 17. Please evaluate the outcome of each of the following statements about promotions and marketing campaigns (circle one response for each item) Ve Neither Ve Promotions and marketing ry Bad Bad or Good ry . Bad Good campaigns that: Good Improve tourists‘ attitudes towards 1 2 3 4 5 Emmet County Stimulate travel demand in Emmet 1 2 3 4 5 County 179 Attract tourists to Emmet County 1 2 3 4 5 Create a strong identity for Emmet 1 2 3 4 5 County Improve the image of Emmet County 1 2 3 4 5 Make resrdents proud of Emmet 1 2 3 4 5 County Make a good financial investment in l 2 3 4 5 Emmet County 18. How certain are you that promotions and marketing campaigns for tourism products can bring benefits to Emmet County? Please indicate the level of mm with each of the following statements. (circle one response for each item) Promotions and marketing campaigns can: Not At All Slightiy Somewhat Moderately Very Certain Certain Certain Certain Certain Improve tourists’ attitudes l 2 3 4 5 towards Emmet County Stimulate travel demand in l 2 3 4 5 Emmet County Attract tourists to Emmet l 2 3 4 5 County Create a strong identity for l 2 3 4 5 Emmet County Improve the image of 1 2 3 4 5 Emmet County Make residents proud of Emmet l 2 3 4 5 County 180 Be a good financial investment in Ermnet County 19. The following are types of tourism experiences or services in Emmet County. Which of these tourism experiences or services do you support for tourism promotions and marketing campaigns? (circle one response for each type of development) 5:32:30“ Not Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very products: Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Bars/tavems 1 2 3 4 5 Beaches (public) 1 2 3 4 5 Bed and breakfast] inns I 2 3 4 5 Boating 1 2 3 4 5 Campgrounds/ RV parks/ 1 2 3 4 5 clubs Casinos l 2 3 4 5 Festrvals/farrs/ l 2 3 4 5 events Gallenes/ l 2 3 4 5 museums Historic/ cultural l 2 3 4 5 attractions Hotels/motels l 2 3 4 5 Lani f” 1 2 3 4 5 hunnng Marinas/ ., docks/slips l " 3 4 5 Open space 1 2 3 4 5 and greenways 181 Parks with developed 1 2 3 4 5 areas Piers (for fishing) 1 2 3 4 5 Resorts 1 2 3 4 5 Restaurants 1 2 3 4 5 Retail stores/ shopping I 2 3 4 5 district Roads and l 2 3 4 5 highways Second homes/ I 2 3 4 5 condos “3115'. 1 2 3 4 5 motorized Trails-.non- 1 2 3 4 5 motorized Transportation 1 2 3 4 5 (public) 20. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements. (circle one response for each statement) Strongly Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Agree I would support promotions and marketing campaigns that address key “social issues " i 2 3 4 5 (e.g., climate change, reduction of pollution) in Emmet County. I would support cause-related promotion and marketing about tourism products (e.g., a l 2 3 4 5 donation, volunteer clean up) in Emmet County. I82 I would support tourism promotions and marketing campaigns that emphasize sustainability of natural amenities (e.g., scenic views, forests) in Emmet County. 1 would support tourism promotions and marketing campaigns emphasize 1 2 sustainability of cultural 3 4 5 amenities (e.g., historic sites. museums) in Emmet County. A successful tourism economy ' n i n en in Emmet Cou ty sdepe d t l 2 3 4 5 on promotion and marketing campaigns. 21. How satisfied are you with the agencies/entities in tourism development and promotion in Emmet County (e.g., Convention & Visitors Bureau, Chamber of Commerce, Flaming Department, state and federal agencies). Not Slightly Somewhat Moderately Very Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied At All Tourism 1 2 3 4 5 development T°"“S".‘ l 2 3 4 5 promotion Section 6. Next are some final questions for classification purposes. 22. How much travel experience do you have? (please / one) D none u very little 3 some 1: quiteabit 2 alot 23. How many times have you traveled out of state for vacation in the past 12 months? (please fill in a number) # of times 24. How far do you live from a “tourist area” of Emmet County? (please fill in a number) miles 183 25. How often do you participate in outdoor recreation activities in your area? (please \/ one) C] everyday E] a couple times a week 13 a few times a month [3 a few times a year [3 never 26. Did you live or visit Emmet County as a child? (please V one) D lived D visited [3 neither lived or visited 27. How many years have you lived or owned a home in Emmet County? (please fill in a number) years 28. Which statement best describes your residential status in Emmet County? (please / one) C 1 am a full-time, permanent, year-round resident who owns my home [1 I am a part-time, seasonal resident who owns my home (please V all that apply) L] I am retired and only reside at this residence during certain seasons/time periods U I use the residence for vacation/weekend use D Something else (please describe): Cl None of the above describes my residential status (please describe): 29. What is your age? (please fill in a number) years old 30. Please indicate the highest level of education you have completed. (please / one) D less than high school [:1 technical school degree LJ college degree [3 high school graduate [3 some college [3 advanced degree 31. Which of the following best describes your total 2006 annual household income from all sources before taxes? (please \/ one) D less than $50,000 [3 $50,000-$99,999 13 $100,000 or more 184 32. How much of your income comes from the tourism industry in Emmet County? (please \/ one) L] I am directly employed in the tourism industry in Emmet County E] I am indirectly employed in the tourism industry in Emmet County (your work place provides at least part of its products/services to tourism businesses) [3 I am not employed in the tourism industry at all in Emmet County Li I am employed in the tourism industry in another MI County, state or country Please feel free to share any comments or thoughts you have regarding tourism and recreation development in Emmet County. Dr. Christine Vogt Michigan State University Dept. of CARRS 131 Natural Resources East Lansing, MI 48824-1222 185 MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY Hello, June 18, 2007 Over the past two months you probably received a survey called “Attitudes toward Tourism in Emmet County.” I am writing you for a final time because we did not hear from you yet. 1 need to accurately estimate the level of interest and support for recreation and tourism development in Emmet County. This effort needs the full range of public input, including your thoughts. Would you please consider answering these few questions and returning this letter in the prepaid envelope? Your answer will be anonymous. This will be the last contact with you. Thank you for your time. Please return your response in the pre—paid envelope as soon as possible. Sincerely, Christine A. Vogt, Ph.D. Principal Researcher 517-432-0318 or vogtc@msu.edu 1. Have you hosted out-of town guests in the past 12 months? (please \/ one) F, no F yes, how many? number of out-town-guests 2. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements. (circle one response. for each statement) Strongly Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Agree If I had to move from Emmet 1 2 3 4 5 County, I would be very sorry to leave. I would rather live in Emmet County 1 2 3 4 S than elsewhere. 186 3. How would you describe your level of knowledge about the tourism and recreation industry in Emmet County? (please / one) L’ not at all knowledgeable [J very knowledgeable 4. How much do you personally benefit from tourism in your community? (please \/ one) [J not at all C] very little J slightly knowledgeable CI some [1 quite a bit Dalot 5. This set of questions asks your opinions regarding tourism in Emmet County. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements. (circle one response for each statement) Your opinions about tourism in Emmet County: I support tourism having a vital role in this county. I would personally benefit from more tourism development in Emmet County. Nonresidents should be encouraged to develop tourism businesses in Emmet County. A successful tourism economy in Emmet County is dependent on promotion and marketing campaigns. Local government should restrict tourism development. Strongly Disagree Disagree Turn over for a few more questions ............... 187 Strongly Agree 6. Tourism consists of tourism development (for example enhancement of existing facilities, infrastructure, creating new facilities and businesses) and promotion (e.g., advertising, public relations, brochures, TV ads, websites, billboards). Please answer the following questions regarding your interest, personal influence and involvement in tourism development and promotion. (circle one response for each statement). Very Quite None Little Some A Bit A Lot What level of personal influence have you had on decisions related . 1 2 3 4 5 to tourism development and promotion in Emmet County? What level of involvement have you had in tourism development 1 2 3 4 5 and promotion in Emmet County? What level of interest do you currently have about tourism 1 2 3 4 5 development and promotion in Emmet County? 7. How certain are you that promotions and marketing campaigns for tourism products can bring benefits to Emmet County? Please indicate the level of SEEN—Fm with each of the following statements. (circle one response for each item) Promotions and marketing campaigns can: Not At All Certain Slightly Certain Somewhat Certain Moderately Very Certain Certain Stimulate travel demand 1 2 in Emmet County Improve the image of Emmet County 188 8. DUDEDD \0 Make residents proud of 1 2 3 4 5 Emmet County Be a good financial investment 1 i , 2 3 4 _ . » 5. inEmmet .7 . i'_:::;_.‘;.__ , _ County 7 7 .. 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