E” a. : 3‘ L LE... .1 .1. 1.3.1 ":23. . km "3 E. .1. . . ‘ . .1 A, 11 \flhnud.xvs.nvf§ I... I» «kc. l... 39).: 1.. ‘ . 4.7:): ¢ . 155:: (1.1;... 1’ . )1. .3 dt .3” P... . u 5.5!. . 9\ ‘0 3.31.5.12345‘ .a. It?! 1&1 {$431.} .12... ii... } .lti . «I. 1.. «ENE huh" .4. ‘ ‘ . 1 . 5!}; if b.2211. LIBRARY Michigan §tate University This is to certify that the dissertation entitled EXPLORING THE INFLUENCE OF LAND-USE AND CLIMATE ON REGIONAL HYDROLOGY AND GROUNDWATER RECHARGE presented by DUSHMANTHA HELAPRIYA JAYAWICKREME has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for the Ph.D. degree in Geological Sciences Ma70r Professor’s Signature 12 , I I 4,008 Date MSU is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Employer PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. To AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 5/06 K:IProj/Acc&Pres/CIRCIDateDue.indd EXPLORING THE INFLUENCE OF LAND-USE AND CLIMATE ON REGIONAL HYDROLOGY AND GROUNDWATER RECHARGE By Dushmantha l-lelapriya Jayawickreme A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Geological Sciences 2008 ABSTRACT EXPLORING THE INFLUENCE OF LAND-USE AND CLIMATE ON REGIONAL HYDROLOGY AND GROUNDWATER RECHARGE By Dushmantha Helapriya Jayawickreme Global energy, water, and bio-geochemical cycles are strongly linked to land-use and land-cover characteristics. Land-use and land-cover is also a component of the environment extensively impacted and continuously altered by human activity. Population growth, food, energy and other needs coupled with human ingenuity has greatly altered and will continue to change the terrestrial biosphere across the globe. With additional concerns for significant and widespread land-use/land-cover transformations due to global climate change, a need to better understand the effects of these transformations on environmental systems from local, regional, to global scale has emerged in the recent decades. In this dissertation I have investigated the impacts of land-use and land- cover (i.e. vegetation) on groundwater recharge, which is a critical component of the hydrologic cycle. The dependence of people and many sensitive ecosystems around the world on groundwater alone warranted a closer look at how changing land-use/cover and climate are affecting the quantity and quality of groundwater. By evaluating streamflow, climate, land-cover, and other attributes in Michigan’s watersheds we showed that intense agriculture reduced summer time streamflow, hence groundwater recharge in such watersheds. By quantifying baseflow discharges relative to precipitation in July-September peak growing season over multiple years we found that recharge in primarily agricultural (>70 agricultural uses by land area) watersheds was only one third of the recharge in watersheds that are mix use (<50% agricultural uses). To better grasp how land-cover; specifically vegetation, vegetation differences, and vegetation dynamics affect recharge we adopted geophysical techniques, a step beyond the traditional uses of geophysical methods as well as an unorthodox approach to terrestrial ecosystem investigations. It was hypothesized that there would be observable differences in the way vegetation interacts with the shallow subsurface and such interactions could be quantified with geophysical methods. Based on multi-year geophysical monitoring of soil moisture at a forest-grassland ecotone we found large seasonal and long-term differences in the way vegetation affects groundwater recharge as well as shallow groundwater environments. Apart from water use differences, we show that soil temperature as well as salt dynamics even at very local scales are affected by vegetation differences. For example we observed that forests in shallow groundwater regions are likely to increase groundwater salinity compared to grasslands in similar settings. These findings contribute to developing greater insights into the functioning of the natural environment and how anthropogenic forcings through land-use change may imperil or help protect the health of hydrologic systems in a range of regions. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First and foremost I express my sincere gratitude to Dr. David Hyndman, my dissertation advisor, from whom I received knowledge, guidance, and unwavering support throughout my time as a graduate student at Michigan State University. Members of my committee, Dr. Phanikumar Mantha, Dr. Jiaguo Qi offered valuable advice and their time at many occasions. Their insights have vastly improved the quality of my work and shaped my scientific thinking. Dr. Remke van Dam, my fourth committee member generously poured his time and knowledge in to this work. It is with his effort and many time consuming trips to field sites especially when I couldn’t keep up with it that I was able to complete my dissertation research. During the five years of my graduate work many others contributed to the successful outcome l have experienced with this research. Dr. Jeff Andreasen, Dr. Dennis Gilliland, Dr. Alvin Smucker, and Dr. Jan Stephenson are thanked for their support with data and field equipment. Dr. Bryan Pijanowski, Dr. Jim Butler, and Dr. Jan Hendirx are acknowledged for their support with manuscripts and presentations. Michael Mores, Matt Malkowski, Samer Hariri, Cheryl Kendall, Matt Parsons, Dave Szymanski, Abby Norton, Randy Klevikas, and Paul Bloes provided many hours of arduous field and lab support. Without their help very little would have been accomplished. Karen Tefend and Anthony Kendal became the most generous of hosts and best of friends at times that were the most difficult. Along with them Colleen McLean, Nick Welty, Amy Lansdale, and many others are greatly acknowledged for their years of friendship. Udeni, my wife and our daughter Hiru made the most sacrifices and provided utmost support so that I could see the end and reach a goal I had set for myself some years ago. For them I dedicate this dissertation. TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ...................................................................................................... viii List of Figures ....................................................................................................... x Chapter One: General Introduction ....................................................................... 1 Objective .................................................................................................... 6 References ................................................................................................ 9 Chapter Two: Evaluating the influence of land cover on seasonal water budgets usingNext Generation Radar (NEXRAD) rainfall and streamflow data ............... 15 Abstract .................................................................................................... 16 Introduction .............................................................................................. 1 7 Approach ................................................................................................. 19 Study Sites ............................................................................................... 23 Evaluation of NEXRAD Rainfall Data ....................................................... 25 Results and Discussion ............................................................................ 33 Summary and Conclusions ...................................................................... 48 Acknowledgments .................................................................................... 51 References .............................................................................................. 53 Chapter Three: Subsurface imaging of vegetation, climate, and root-zone moisture interactions .......................................................................................... 57 Abstract .................................................................................................... 58 Introduction .............................................................................................. 59 Methods ................................................................................................... 61 Results ..................................................................................................... 65 Conclusions ............................................................................................. 70 Acknowledgements .................................................................................. 71 References .............................................................................................. 72 vi Chapter Four: Integrating geophysics and hydrologic models to evalueate land- use impacts on groundwater resources ..................................................... 75 Introduction .............................................................................................. 75 Study sites ............................................................................................... 79 Field observations .................................................................................... 83 Electrical Resistivity data acquisition and processing .............................. 86 Electrical resistivity and soil moisture ....................................................... 94 Soil Moisture Dynamics and Relevance to Recharge .............................. 95 Hydrologic simulations ............................................................................. 99 Discussion and Conclusion .................................................................... 112 References ............................................................................................ 1 14 Chapter Five: Evaluating a range of approaches to derive hydrogeological information from electrical resistivity data ......................................................... 118 Introduction ............................................................................................ 1 18 . Electrical Resistivity Imaging (ERI) ........................................................ 120 ERI and environmental variability .......................................................... 122 Electrical conductivity and volumetric soil moisture ............................... 122 Soil temperature and electrical conductivity ........................................... 128 The effect of pore-water conductivity ..................................................... 132 ERI and time-lapse differencing ............................................................. 137 Soil moisture estimates with resistivity ratios ......................................... 144 Conclusions ........................................................................................... 146 References ............................................................................................ 148 vii List of Tables Table 2-1. Spearman’s Ranked Correlation Statistics for Mean July to September (2002-2004) Volume Ratios and Other Watershed Variables for the 40 Selected Watersheds. Statistical significance (p<0.05) is indicated by bold typeface. ...... 35 Table 2-2. Spearman's Nonparametric Correlation Statistics for Land Cover and Other Watershed Variables for the 40 Selected Watersheds. Statistical significance is indicated by bold typeface. .......................................................... 39 Table 2-3. Multiple Regression Statistics for July September Mean (2002-2004) Streamtloszainfall and Base F loszainfall Ratios and Watershed Attributes. The residuals from both fits were tested for normality with the Anderson-Darling test. Normality was not rejected; p values are 0.27 and 0.35, respectively. ....... 40 Table 24. Estimated Annual Growing Season Recharge Amounts (July- September); in terms of annual rainfall and actual amounts in centimeters. ...... 42 Table 4-1. Estimated soil hydraulic parameters for the three soil layers in the forest with standard errors of regression coefficients (S.E. Coeff) and confidence intervals. ........................................................................................................... 106 Table 4-2. Estimated soil hydraulic parameters for the three soil layers in the grassland. ......................................................................................................... 106 Table 4-3. Sensitivity of simulated cumulative transpiration Z T and bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to different root distributions. ERI Root is root distribution estimated with resistivity data, deRosany model used with a distribution coefficient of -0.9 (de Rosnay and Polcher 1998). ......................... 110 viii Table 4-4. Sensitivity of simulated evaporation (2E), transpiration (Z T), and model bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to a 110% adjustment in root water abstraction parameters (Feddes et al. 1974). ZE, and Z T are given as percent changes relative the base model. h1-minimum pressure head for active transpiration, h2-pressure- head for maximum transpiration efficiency, h3-limiting pressure head where transpiration ceases to occur at maximum efficiency, and h4-wilting point .................................................................................................. 110 Table 4-5. Sensitivity of cumulative infiltration (ZI), transpiration (Z T), evaporation (2E), and bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to a t10% adjustment in soil parameters. 2|, 2 T, and {E shown are percent changes compared to the base model with optimized soil hydraulic parameters. ........... 111 Table 5-1. Parameters for Archie’s equation from laboratory measurements of soils at the study site. ps is obtained from field resistivity data (for sand estimated with resistivity data from below the water table, and for clay estimated from datasets collected when the site was extremely wet). ...................................... 124 List of Figures Figure 2-1. Locations of our study watersheds (shaded) with NEXRAD radar and rain gauge locations. Dashed lines show the effective range of the radar detectors. ............................................................................................................ 23 Figure 2-2. RMS differences between NEXRAD and ground-based precipitation measurements at various sites with data spanning the 2002, 2003, and 2004 growing seasons ................................................................................................. 27 Figure 2-3. Map of the percent absolute differences (calculated relative to observed gauged precipitation) between the 2004 (April-November) gauge and NEXRAD rainfall data. The Grand Rapids, Lansing, Flint, and Alpena gauges are known to be used by the WSR-88D system for real-time calibration of radar rainfall estimates (Ann Arbor and Grayling are missing 1 month of data, Harbor Beach is missing 2 moths, and Montague is missing 3 months, and thus these months were not used in this analysis. ............................................................... 30 Figure 2-4. RMS differences for eight gauge locations using 2002, 2003, and 2004 monthly radar and ground-based gauge precipitation data. May RMSD calculation is based only on data from 2002 and 2004 due to missing NEXRAD grid data in MAY 2003. ....................................................................................... 31 Figure 2-5. Comparison of monthly (July-September) observed gauge and NEXRAD rainfall for 2002, 2003, and 2004. RMSE and bial (average NEXRAD rainfall-average observdd gauge rainfall) are given in mm. ................................ 33 Figure 26 Percentage of agricultural land cover in watersheds compared to streamflowzrainfall ratios for July to September periods of 2002-2004. Each data point represents a watershed, and three watersheds with greater than 30% clay sediments are marked with a gray oval. ............................................................. 34 Figure 2-7. Average 2002-2004 quarter year base flowzdrainage area rations in high-intensity (>70°/o) and moderate-intensity (<50%) agricultural watersheds. The difference of the flow between the two types of watersheds are statistically significant (p value <0.05) in all quarters except January-March. ....................... 42 Figure 2-8. Average of 2002-2004 January to May streamflowzdrainage area ratios (cm). Higher values likely indicate greater snowmelt influence on the watershed hydrology. The contour map was generated by kriging the ratio calculated from data at the 113 USGS streamflow gauges shown on the map. Images in this dissertation are presented in color ............................................... 43 Figure 2-9. The 2002-2004 monthly base flowzdrainage area ratios and average monthly rainfall for 40 selected watersheds in Michigan. The peak growing season is clearly marked by higher leaf area indexes (LAI), which corresponds well with the decline in stream base flow during the same period. ..................... 45 Figure 2-10. Measured water table depths in two shallow wells in the northern portion of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula (see Figure 2-1for locations). A steady decline in water level is evident during the growing season (land use percentages in the watershed containing B12 are forests ~65%, shrubs/open land ~35%; G13, forests ~66%, agriculture ~28%). Note that the minimum water level is delayed significantly from the peak LAI and minimum base flow levels shown in Figure 2-9. ..................................................................................................................... 46 Figure 2-11. Recharge estimates for the July to September period, as a percent of NEXRAD bias adjusted rainfall in high-intensity agricultural (>70%) and moderate-intensity agricultural (<50%) watersheds. The difference in baseflowzrainfall ratios between the two types of watersheds are statistically significant (p value <0.05) in all years ................................................................. 48 Figure 2-12. Total monthly streamflow, and overland flow volumes normalized by watershed area along with rainfall averaged across the 40 study watersheds. .. 49 Figure 3-1. Soil moisture from probes at the site and the average of the 20 and 86.5 cm depth ERI moisture estimates for all datasets corrected with site temperatures. Precipitation data is shown for a nearby gage. The color bar shows the state of the forest canopy, vertical lines mark data collection dates, and shaded areas above the bar are differential inversion periods for Figure 3-2. Images in this dissertation are presented in color ............................................... 63 Figure 3-2. Differential resistivity panels for approximately one-month periods. a) Early fall (10/18 — 11/15), b) late fall (11122 - 12/20), c) winter (1/5 — 2/9), d) spring (3/16 - 4/20), and e) summer (6/10 - 7/2). Trees are not to scale; 80 cm of relief along the array is included in the inversion. Red triangles locate moisture probes and temperature arrays. A decrease in resolution with depth and associated smoothing artifacts can cause resistivity differences below the water table. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. .................................... 66 xi Figure 3-3. Spatial and temporal distribution of soil moisture estimated across the ecotone. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. ............................... 69 Figure 3-4. Laterally averaged changes in soil moisture below the forest (36-51 m) and the grassland (92-107 m) between early-growing (April to early May) and peak-growing periods (July to August). Images in this dissertation are presented in color. ............................................................................................................... 71 Figure 4-1. Locations of East Lansing and Traverse City, Michigan field sites where soil moisture dynamics were imaged with ERI. ........................................ 79 Figure 4-2. East Lansing field site. A-B: electrode array with 84 electrodes at 1.5m separation. E3, E26, E70 are groundwater observation wells. Temperature/soil moisture sensor locations have moisture probes at 20 & 80 cm depth. Temperature probes are at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80,117, and 147cm depth at eachlocafion. ..................................................................................................... 81 Figure 4-3. Traverse City study site. A-B: electrode array with 84 electrodes at 1.5m separation. B3 is the groundwater observation well. Moisture sensor locations shown have probes at 20 and 80 cm depths, and temperature sensors are at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 117, and 147 cm depths. .............................................. 82 Figure 4-4. Groundwater observations since October 2007 at the East Lansing study site. Depth to water from the surface is shown for each well. Since the surface elevation at the forest well (E3, Figure 4-2) is 99 cm lower than the surface elevation at the grassland well the two vertical axis are offset by a similar amount. The wells are approximately 90 meters apart. ...................................... 84 Figure 4-5. Groundwater observations at the Traverse City study site. Annual recharge-discharge cycles related to the growing season and spring snowmelt are evident in this well record. ............................................................................ 85 Figure 4-6. Soil moisture measurements below forest and the grassland at the East Lansing site. ............................................................................................... 86 Figure 4-7. Cross-sectional view of the East Lansing study site with a representative late-summer subsurface resistivity distribution. Images in this dissertation are presented in color ...................................................................... 88 xii Figure 4-8. Cross—sectional view of the Traverse City study site with a representative late-summer subsurface resistivity distribution. Images in this dissertation are presented in color ...................................................................... 89 Figure 4-9. The temporal variability of subsurface (0-6m, surface to below seasonal water table) resistivity distribution below the forest and the grassland at the East Lansing site on selected dates. Mean, 25th & 75th percentiles, and the range for each date are shown. .......................................................................... 91 Figure 4-10. Mean resistivity values in the 0-2m and 2-4m depths through time. Similar resistivities in the 2-4m range during the latter part of the study period shown coincide with higher observed groundwater elevations at the research site. ..................................................................................................................... 93 Figure 4-11. ERI estimated soil moisture and the observed moisture in the East Lansing study site (Forest). The arithmetic average of the 20 and 80cm cm moisture observations are shown. ...................................................................... 95 Figure 4-12. ERI calculated transient soil moisture (20-80cm cm arithmetic average) in the grassland and the forest. Higher moisture levels in the grassland are observed on each of the ERI data collection dates. ..................................... 96 Figure 4-13. Temporal soil moisture changes in ~15 wide zones below the grassland and the forest. Cooler colors indicate moisture increases and warmer colors are moisture decreases. C is the main fall recharge period, followed by spring snowmelt (D). A, B, and E are growing season moisture deficits due to plant water use. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. ................... 98 Figure 4-14. A simplified illustration of the soil texture and stratigraphy (from soil cores) in the forest and the grassland. Different soil texture units identified in field soil cores were combined to three representative layers in the vadose zone flow model (right). Images in this dissertation are presented in color ....................... 100 Figure 4-15. Conceptual framework for integrating geophysical soil moisture estimates with hydrologic modeling to estimate groundwater recharge. Soil parameters 63, a, n, Ks are optimized in stage 2, and plant water stress function parameters h1, h2, h3, h4 , are calibrated in stage 3. ...................................... 101 Figure 4-16. Laterally averaged changes in soil moisture below the forest and the grassland between early-growing (April to early May) and peak-growing periods (July to August) (from Jayawickreme et al., 2008). ........................................... 103 xiii Figure 4-17. Cumulative precipitation throughfall (a), representative leaf area indexes (b) from MODIS, calculated cumulative potential transpiration (c) and soil evaporation (d) inputs for hydrologic simulations from ILHM. ........................... 104 Figure 4-18. Simulated vs. ERI estimated soil moisture in the forest. Data is from 10 depths within the first 3m of the subsurface ................................................. 105 Figure 4-19. Simulated vs. ERI estimated soil moisture in the grassland with data from nine depths in the first 3m of the subsurface. ........................................... 105 Figure 4-20. Measured and simulated groundwater table in the forest with optimized soil hydraulic parameter sets in the 1D-Hydrus model. These observation data were not used in the optimization for hydraulic parameters in the forest. ......................................................................................................... 107 Figure 4-21. Measured and simulated groundwater table in the grassland with optimized soil hydraulic parameter. .................................................................. 107 Figure 4-22. Observed (ERI calculated) vs. simulated moisture in the forest during summer (June-October, 2007) ............................................................... 109 Figure 4-23. Observed vs. simulated soil moisture in the grassland from June to October, 2007. .................................................................................................. 109 Figure 5-1 Electrode positions for Wenner (top) and Dipole-dipole (bottom) electrode configurations. A, B are current electrodes and M, N are potential electrodes. ‘a’ is the distance between electrodes used for measurements, and n is an integer. ..................................................................................................... 121 Figure 5-2. Data coverage for Wenner and dipole-dipole electrode configurations for an 84 electrode array with 1.5m electrode separations. Higher data density near the electrode positions is obtained with the dipole-dipole configuration compared to Wenner, where data coverage is evenly distributed. 1453 and 1134 measurements are obtained with these dipole-dipole and Wenner arrays respectively ....................................................................................................... 1 21 Figure 53 Soil moisture estimates from ERI (dipole-dipole) data compared to other independent measurements of soil moisture at the study site. ................ 125 xiv Figure 5-4. The sensitivity of ERI derived saturation to m, and p8 estimates. The high (grassland-98 Ohm-m) and low (forest-65 Ohm-m) values for saturated resistivity were derived from field resistivity data. Some of the differences in saturated resistivity between the grassland and forest are due to observed groundwater conductivity differences. .............................................................. 126 Figure 5-5. Water table elevation observations and resistivity measurements in the forest (a), grassland (b) from November 2007 to June 2008. The correlation between water table elevation and contours of the resistivity estimates is much clearer in the forest relative to the grassland. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. ............................................................................................ 127 Figure 5-6. Seasonal grassland soil temperature fluctuations at the study site. Inset shows diurnal soil temperature differences between the grassland and the forest stand over a span of three days in June. ................................................ 129 Figure 5-7. The influence of temperature on resistivity and the resulting difference in calculated soil moisture with Archie’s equation. ........................... 130 Figure 5-8. The influence of m on soil resistivity-temperature dependence at two different soil temperatures (28°C and 12°C). The sensitivity to m is important at higher temperature ranges. .............................................................................. 131 Figure 5-9. Percent change in resistivity from August 10, 2007 to January 11, 2008 without (a) and with (b) temperature correction. Prominent changes in the grassland (a) do not appear once the temperature correction is added (b). Images in this dissertation are presented in color ............................................. 131 Figure 5-10. Groundwater conductivity measured at the research site in the grassland and forest observation wells (a). Pore-water and bulk electrical resistivity relationship calculations based on Archie’s equation for various degrees of saturation (b). A soil with 30% porosity, fitting constant, m=1.16 and an n value of 2, characteristic of sandy soils, was used in the calculation ........ 133 Figure 5-11. Potential influence of groundwater conductivity differences below the grassland and forest. Higher resistivity values below water table (~4 m from surface) in the grassland is likely due to the lower measured groundwater conductivities in the grassla grassland. Data shown is temperature corrected and the soils are similar on either side of the ecotone (the forest-grassland boundary). Images in this dissertation are presented in color ............................................. 135 XV Figure 5-12. Measured bulk electrical resistivity difference between the grassland and the forest (pgrassland-pforest). Higher resistivities below the water table in the grassland are consistent with the lower measured groundwater conductivities there. The shaded area indicates the approximate range of water table change in the grassland between March and June 2008. ................................................. 136 Figure 5-13. Data characteristics of three resistivity data sets from the study site, which were used for difference inversion method analysis. Images in this dissertation are presented in color .................................................................... 139 Figure 5-14. Comparisons of base dataset effects. B1, 32, and BB are three separate inverted field datasets. The notation B1>>B3 refers B3 calculation with B1 as the base dataset in the difference inversion. Only the data from the top 5m were selected for the analysis. ......................................................................... 141 Figure 5-15. Comparison of computed B1, 82, B3 with different with respect to others in the difference inversion. ..................................................................... 142 Figure 5—16. Spatial distribution of differences from difference inversions with B1, 32, and BS datasets. Correlations between each dataset are shown in Figure 5-15. The choice of base dataset has a larger impact on the resistivity based interpretations in the forest. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. 143 Figure 5-17. Laboratory measure resistivity and soil water contents for soil samples collected from multiple locations at the study site. Images in this dissertation are presented in color .................................................................... 144 Figure 5-18. Soil moisture ratios observed with point gauges and soil moisture ratios calculated with ERI near the location where point gauges are located. .. 145 xvi Chapter One General Introduction Land-use and land cover (LULC) changes have important consequences on the functioning of regional to global environmental systems. Significant land use changes may seriously impact a region’s water resources by altering surface water, groundwater, and soil moisture patterns, and perturb groundwater recharge processes (Zhang et al. 2001; Walker et al. 2002; Jayawickreme and Hyndman 2007; Pijanowski et al. 2007) and water quality (Lenat and Crawford 1994; Paul and Meyer 2001; Tong and Chen 2002; Wayland et al. 2003). LULC also has a strong influence on land-atmosphere interactions and energy exchange characteristics at the surface-atrnosphere boundary layer with global climate consequences. Land-use characteristics affect the partitioning of surface incident energy into latent and sensible heat components. Alterations to these surface fluxes of water vapor and heat can affect regional atmospheric temperatures, precipitation, and other climate variables (Pitman et al. 2004; Pielke 2005). Local- to regional-scale land-use changes and global climate teleconnections are also well documented (Marland et al. 2003; Koster et al. 2004; Werth and Avissar 2005). Continued global population growth and demand for food and energy security are likely to locally accelerate the rate of LULC change in many parts of the world. Additionally, regional scale changes will be brought about by an increasingly warming global climate with elevated atmospheric COz concentrations and other environmental changes (Houghton 1994). Beyond the impacts on ecosystems and bio-diversity, LULC change may have significant world-wide socioeconomic and geopolitical consequences. Understanding, managing and mitigating the implications of LULC change is therefore imperative for environmental and societal sustainability. Throughout human history, people have been affecting the terrestrial biosphere through land-use changes for agriculture, energy, natural resources and other purposes. However, an interest in understanding the consequences of these land-use changes on the hydrologic cycle, particularly the. subsurface components has emerged only recently. As a result substantial knowledge gaps exist in our understanding of both short and long-terrn impacts of LULC and LULC change on water resources. The potential impacts of these changes on subsurface hydrology and hydrologic processes are significant (Scanlon et al. 2005). Alterations to groundwater recharge processes due to LULC change can damage the viability of groundwater resources that are a critical source of fresh water around the world. At current consumption and population growth rates (United Nations, 1999), significant conversions of natural ecosystems to agriculture will occur in the next half century (Tilman et al. 2001). Population growth will also result in conversion of substantial natural lands to urban land-uses. In the US alone the proportion of developed land base is projected to approximately double by 2025 (Alig et al. 2004). While similar global projections are not readily available, current trends in economic and social development in Asia, South America, and other regions is likely to increase the current urban/suburban land base substantially (Lambin et al. 2001). Compounding the impacts of these issues are population migrations that will result from climate change driven sea level rises and increased aridity in some regions of the world (Byravan and Rajan 2006). Changes in LULC can alter soil characteristics, thereby affecting runoff and infiltration properties of soils. Soil tillage with agricultural land-uses for 1 example affect groundwater recharge by changing the soil structure (Oleary 1996; Leduc et al. 2001). Increased percentages of impervious surfaces with urbanization are known to generally increase runoff, evaporation, and decrease groundwater recharge (Grove et al. 2001; Rose and Peters 2001; Burns et al. 2005; Jayawickreme and Hyndman 2007). Significant and dynamic changes in recharge are also accompanied by changes in vegetation where one or more species is supplanted by another in a landscape (Engel et al. 2005; Nosetto et al. 2007; Scanlon et al. 2007). Such changes can lead to modifications of fractional vegetation cover and hence precipitation interception, solar insolation, and wind turbulence characteristics. Perennial, deciduous, or transient traits of vegetation species can introduce important seasonal forcings on the environment. Replacing perennial vegetation with annual crops and crop rotations for example have lead to increased recharge during fallow periods (Oconnell et al. 1995; Zhang et al. 1999). Changes in rooting depths with crop rotations can affect both the quantity and quality of groundwater. Increased recharge and solute mobilization have caused soil salinization and water quality degradation in large areas of southwestern Australia after land clearing (Schofield and Ruprecht 1989; Schofield 1992; Pierce et al. 1993; Petheram et al. 2002). In regions where deep rooted tress and other woody plants are gradually replacing shallow rooted grasslands, decreased recharge and increased discharge of groundwater by trees reaching deeper into the subsurface have been observed (Jobbagy and Jackson 2004). Woody plant encroachment of native grasslands has also increased in North America during the last century with fire suppression and other land management practices (Van Auken 2000; Coppedge et al. 2001; Heisler et al. 2003; Pielke et al. 2007). In northern latitudes, vegetation changes can alter frozen soil dynamics by affecting snow accumulation and snowpack stability during the winter months (van der Kamp et al. 1999; van der Kamp et al. 2003). With deeper frozen soil columns, recharge potential is likely to be reduced during the spring snowmelt, which is an important period of groundwater recharge in these regions (Hayashi et al. 2003). The vadose zone is the critical link between groundwater and the land surface. The partitioning of precipitation into runoff and infiltration is largely governed by the physical characteristics of the near surface soils or other geologic materials. The fraction of infiltrated precipitation volume that eventually reach the water table depends on the properties and processes of the vadose zone. Principal among properties are the soil water retention and hydraulic conductivities of the constituent materials. Where these physical conditions are favorable, a significant portion of the infiltrated water can reach the water table. In natural settings however, vegetation has evolved to effectively utilize the reservoir of water in the vadose zone, and hence these dynamics play an important role in groundwater recharge. It is often recognized that vegetation density and diversity across landscapes is a reflection of soil moisture and nutrient dynamics (Baillie et al. 1987; Swaine 1996). Central to understanding the influence of vegetation on subsurface water fluxes is plant root distribution and dynamics. This is also a topic of substantial importance for understanding ecosystem carbon and water fluxes (Rodriguez-lturbe 2000; Koster and Suarez 2001; Katul et al. 2007). Root distributions and water abstraction characteristics (i.e. wilting point) of vegetation vary significantly between species and regions (Canadell et al. 1996; Jackson et al. 1996). Despite being studied for over two centuries (Jackson et al. 1996), there are significant knowledge gaps about the spatiotemporal functions of plant roots. Existing insights are primarily from studies that have employed techniques from excavations to radio-isotopes (Dambrine et al. 1997; Boutton et al. 1999). While these have been immensely helpful for conceptualizing root zone geometries and some aspects of root zone dynamics, the static and localized nature of these. observations limit their use in large scale models. Newer approaches that can link subsurface processes with above-ground remotely-sensed large scale observations from space and air borne platforms can contribute significantly to improving and incorporating vegetation dynamics in regional hydrologic, climate, and other models. Objective The broad objective of this research is to identify and quantify the potential impacts of land-use (the manner in which the land is used), land-cover (the physical and biological cover over land surface), and vegetation on groundwater recharge. The research presented focuses on the temperate American mid-west where land use is dominated by agriculture and vegetation being the primary land cover. Groundwater recharge in the region primarily occurs through diffuse recharge processes and is strongly influenced by vegetation and seasonal climate dynamics. The vadose zone, through which recharge primarily occurs, is an important focus of this research. This zone is also the region where plants obtain most or all of their nutrients and water required for growth and maintenance. Gaining insights into the vadose zone and its processes is therefore necessary to understand land-use impacts on groundwater recharge. In this research, a novel approach is used to explore and quantify dynamic vadose zone interactions between vegetation, climate, and soil moisture. The research in this dissertation is presented in five chapters. Chapter two examines the implications of LULC on groundwater recharge at watershed scales by analyzing streamflow across a range of watersheds. Baseflow (groundwater contribution to streamflow), overland flow, (surface flow due to infiltration excess precipitation), and total flow (sum of baseflow and overland flow) components of streamflow in watersheds ranging from 20 to >1000 km2 are linked with land- uses (forests, agriculture, urban etc.), soil, and morphological attributes using statistical measures. Various spatial and non-spatial data sources, both customary and non-traditional, were evaluated and utilized to quantify the watershed hydrologic budgets and identify how LULC affect various flux components of the water budget. In chapter three, the vadose zone interactions between climate, soil moisture, and vegetation is explored. A novel approach combining geophysics and petrophysical models is utilized to image subsurface soil moisture dynamics across a forest-grassland ecotone. Electrical resistivity data collected at the ecotone over multiple seasons is first converted to soil moisture using petrophysical relationships based on laboratory analysis of soils from the study site. The two dimensional soil moisture distributions obtained are then correlated with the vegetation across the ecotone. Seasonal soil moisture differences identified and correlated with vegetation at the study site highlight potentially significant implications of large scale biological land cover changes on hydrology and groundwater recharge. Chapter four integrates geophysical measurements with hydrologic modeling to quantify groundwater recharge differences that result from above ground vegetation differences. The geophysical estimates of soil moisture are used to derive soil hydraulic parameters for a one dimensional flow model to represent the field site. Evidence of root zone geometries and distributions from geophysical data is used to define the influence of vegetation on subsurface soil moisture dynamics. However, coupling subsurface geophysical observations with process-based hydrologic models remains a difficult task and as such the integration made in this research is only presented as a first approximation. The potential of electrical resistivity method for investigating and acquiring subsurface hydrologic characteristics and quantities is explored in Chapter five of this dissertation. The strong dependence of electrical conductivity on soil moisture provides the basis for its use in hydrologic investigations. However, deriving soil moisture from resistivity data involves several other considerations. Data acquisition and processing, as well as the effects of other environmental variables all influence the ability to derive accurate estimates of soil moisture from resistivity data. The potential implications of these are discussed and possible improvements are suggested in chapter five with field examples from our research site. References Alig, R.J., J.D. Kline, et al. 2004. Urbanization on the us landscape: Looking ahead in the 21st century. Landscape and Urban Planning 69:219-234. Baillie, I.C., P.S. Ashton, et al. 1987. 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Agricultural Water Management 31 :65-73. Paul, M.J., and J.L. Meyer. 2001. Streams in the urban landscape. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 32:333-365. Petheram, C., G. Walker, et al. 2002. Towards a framework for predicting impacts of land-use on recharge: 1. A review of recharge studies in australia. Australian Journal of Soil Research 40:397-417. 11 Pielke, RA 2005. Land use and climate change. Science 310:1625—1626. Pielke, R.A., J. Adegoke, et al. 2007. An overview of regional land-use and land- cover impacts on rainfall. Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology 59:587-601. Pierce, L.L., J. Walker, et al. 1993. Ecohydrological changes in the murray- darling basin .3. A simulation of regional hydrological changes. Journal of Applied Ecology 30:283-294. Pijanowski, 8., OK. Ray, et al. 2007. Using backcast land-use change and groundwater travel-time models to generate land-use legacy maps for watershed management. Ecology and Society 12. Pitman, A.J., G.T. Narisma, et al. 2004. Impact of land cover change on the climate of southwest western australia. Journal of Geophysical Research- Atmospheres 109. Rodriguez-lturbe, l. 2000. Ecohydrology: A hydrologic perspective of climate-soil- vegetation dynamics. Water Resources Research 36:3-9. Rose, 8., and NE. Peters. 2001. Effects of urbanization on streamflow in the atlanta area (georgia, usa): A comparative hydrological approach. Hydrological Processes 15:1441-1457. Scanlon, B.R., R.W. Healy, et al. 2002. Choosing appropriate techniques for quantifying groundwater recharge. Hydrogeology Journal 10:18-39. Scanlon, B.R., I. Jolly, et al. 2007. Global impacts of conversions from natural to agricultural ecosystems on water resources: Quantity versus quality. Water Resources Research 43:W03437. Scanlon, B.R., R.C. Reedy, et al. 2005. Impact of land use and land cover change on groundwater recharge and quality in the southwestern us. Global Change Biology 11:1577-1593. 12 Schofield, N.J. 1992. Tree planting for dryland salinity control in australia. Agroforestry Systems 20:1 -23. Schofield, N.J., and J.K. Ruprecht. 1989. Regional-analysis of stream salinization in southwest western-australia. Journal of Hydrology 112:19-8. Swaine, MD. 1996. Rainfall and soil fertility as factors limiting forest species distributions in ghana. Journal of Ecology 84:419-428. Tilman, D., J. Fargione, et al. 2001. Forecasting agriculturally driven global environmental change. Science 292:281-284. Tong, S.T.Y., and W.L. Chen. 2002. Modeling the relationship between land use and surface water quality. Journal of Environmental Management 66:377- 393. Van Auken, O.W. 2000. Shrub invasions of north american semiarid grasslands. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 31 :197-215. van der Kamp, G., M. Hayashi, et al. 2003. Comparing the hydrology of grassed and cultivated catchments in the semi-arid canadian prairies. Hydrological Processes 17:559-575. van der Kamp, G., W.J. Stolte, et al. 1999. Drying out of small prairie wetlands after conversion of their catchments from cultivation to permanent brome grass. Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal Des Sciences Hydrologiques 44:387-397. Walker, G.R., L. Zhang, et al. 2002. Estimating impacts of changed land use on recharge: Review of modelling and other approaches appropriate for management of dryland salinity. Hydrogeology Journal 10:68-90. Wayland, K.G., D.T. Long, et al. 2003. Identifying relationships between baseflow geochemistry and land use with synoptic sampling and r-mode factor analysis. Journal of Environmental Quality 32:180-190. 13 Werth, D., and R. Avissar. 2005. The local and global effects of african deforestation. Geophysical Research Letters 32. Zhang, L., W.R. Dawes, et al. 1999. Estimating episodic recharge under different crop/pasture rotations in the mallee region. Part 2. Recharge control by agronomic practices. Agricultural Water Management 42:237—249. Zhang, L., W.R. Dawes, et al. 2001. Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale. Water Resources Research 37:701-708. 14 Chapter Two Jayawickreme, D. H., and D. W. Hyndman (2007), Evaluating the influence of land cover on seasonal water budgets usingNext Generation Radar (NEXRAD) rainfall and streamflow data, Water Resour. Res., 43, W02408, doi:10.1 029/2005WR004460. 15 Abstract Accurate estimates of fluxes between different components of the hydrosphere are needed for water resources management at the watershed scale. Runoff and evapotranspiration are critical fluxes that are heavily influenced by land cover characteristics; however, our understanding of the interactions between land over attributes and these fluid fluxes is generally limited by inadequate regional data to capture variations in both climatic conditions and landscape characteristics. This limitation is largely avoided by integrating data from Next Generation Radar (NEXRAD) precipitation systems with widely available streamflow, land cover, and other Geographic lnforrnation System data sets. Such data integration facilitates development of rapid and reliable methods for estimating hydrologic fluxes at desirable temporal and spatial scales. In this study, we calculate ratios of streamflow to NEXRAD rainfall over the peak growing season for 40 watersheds across Michigan and use these to evaluate the landscape factors that influence groundwater recharge rates. Results indicate that ratios of streamflow and baseflow to rainfall are strongly influenced by land cover attributes. Stream baseflow analyses indicate that approximately 5% of the July to September rainfall becomes recharge in high-intensity agriculture (>70%) watersheds compared to 15% in moderate intensity agriculture (<50%) watersheds across our study region during the same period. A strong negative correlation was also found between intensive agriculture and the streamflowzrainfall ratio during summer and early fall periods. 16 Introduction Understanding and evaluating water budgets in small to regional watersheds is critical for a range of resource management decisions. Water fluxes between different components of the hydrosphere change over a range of temporal and spatial scales due to variations in climatic conditions and landscape characteristics. Surface hydrological properties and processes such as soil moisture, runoff, and evapotranspiration are heavily influenced by land use and land cover characteristics, which we will refer to as land cover for simplicity. In addition, human activities and the accompanied land cover changes have the potential to significantly alter the local hydrology and cause long-terrn environmental changes (Dow and DeWalle, 2000; Walker et al., 2002; Costa and Foley, 2000; Pielke et al., 1998). Despite this potential, our understanding of the interactions between land cover and hydrology has been limited by inadequate data collection and integration at regional scales. Runoff, evapotranspiration (ET), groundwater recharge, and changes in aquifer storage due to groundwater outflows and pumping are the main processes that redistribute precipitation in hydrologic systems in addition to snowmelt in colder regions. While runoff and aquifer storage can often be evaluated with a reasonable degree of accuracy, the most important components for watershed management, ET and groundwater recharge, are difficult to quantify. Commonly used methods including hydrograph separation, groundwater budget analysis, and tracer analysis coupled with groundwater models can be used to estimate recharge rates at various spatial scales (Scanlon 17 et al., 2002). However, large data requirements and other limitations have made it difficult for watershed managers and other decision makers to develop accurate estimates using such methods. Partly in response to these limitations, relatively simpler techniques using water balance models and Geographic lnforrnation Systems (GIS) have recently been introduced (e.g., Cherkauer and Ansari, 2005; Szilagyi et al., 2004). Nevertheless, most such approaches do not describe the impact of land cover on watershed hydrology and groundwater recharge at short timescales. In regions such as Michigan, with distinct seasonal changes in land cover (vegetation) and spatially diverse land use practices, vegetation dynamics are a key component of any hydrologic analysis. This paper examines the influence of land cover attributes on hydrologic fluxes at watershed scales on a seasonal basis. We use commonly available data sources to obtain watershed attributes and flux budgets for 40 watersheds, and we statistically link the flux budget characteristics with the watershed attributes. Since evapotranspiration (ET) is a key component of the water budget during the growing season and it is directly related to land cover characteristics (Mo et al., 2004; Finch, 1998), we also compare the streamflow and groundwater recharge differences of high- intensity and moderate-intensity agricultural systems. This analysis provides insight into the potential impacts of land use decisions on watershed hydrology. 18 Approach Seasonal analysis of the ratio between total water input (precipitation) and outflows (streamflow and its components; overland flow and base flow) to a watershed during specified time intervals can provide insight into the mechanisms that redistribute moisture (e.g., runoff, recharge, ET). We evaluated correlations between streamflow: rainfall ratios and watershed characteristics (e.g., land cover, geologic materials, and soils) to help understand how these attributes influence hydrologic processes at watershed scales. We calculated the streamflowzrainfall ratios over the approximate peak growing season for 40 different watersheds using hourly Next Generation Radar (NEXRAD) precipitation data from the National Weather Service (NWS) and streamfiow from US. Geological Survey (USGS) daily records. Prior to this analysis, the accuracy of NEXRAD data was evaluated by comparing it to observations from ground- based gauges, as described in more detail below in section 4. The July-September period was chosen for the water budget calculations both to minimize the effects of snowmelt recharge on the analysis and to capture the influence of vegetation on watershed hydrology. This period corresponds to both the low streamflow period based on USGS records and the peak growing season of the region based on mean leaf area index (LAI, one-sided green leaf area or projected needle leaf area per unit ground area). The LAI values for the region were obtained from the 1-km Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 8 day composite data product (version 4) from the National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA). We used the MODIS 19 Reprojection Tool (USGS, 2004) to convert MODIS data in hierarchical data format (HDF) into Georeferenced Tag Image File Format (GEOTIF F) and ESRI grids. The spatial analyst extension and zonal statistics tools in ESRI ArcGIS software were used to extract mean LAI values for watersheds by overlaying a watershed boundary coverage on the LAI grids in ESRI ArcMap (version 9.1). The spatially averaged NEXRAD precipitation values for each study watershed were calculated using the ArcMap zonal statistics tool on 100 ‘m resampled NEXRAD grid cells within each watershed boundary. Daily, monthly, and longer-period precipitation estimates were subsequently derived from the hourly precipitation estimates. We automated the hourly precipitation extraction process using custom scripts (included in the auxiliary materiali) written in Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) integrated with ESRI ArcGIS, which load and unload data from ArcMap, and calculate mean watershed precipitation amounts with zonal statistics tools. This significantly improved the efficiency of processing _2000 individual NEXRAD grids for each of the 40 watersheds. Correction coefficients obtained from the regressions between July—September monthly NEXRAD and monthly gauged precipitation were used to adjust for the bias from NEXRAD data before utilizing it in mass balance analyses. Total monthly base flow and overland flow volumes were estimated from the daily mean streamflow records using the PART computer program (Rutledge, 1998), which estimates base flow from daily streamflow records based on antecedent streamflow recession. This approach assumes spatially diffused recharge to the water table, uniform aquifer thicknesses, uniform hydraulic 20 conductivities and storage characteristics as well as minimal regulation and diversion of streamflow within the gauged watershed. Although these assumptions are essentially never met in real aquifer systems, this provides an objective tool to evaluate base flow. In addition, heterogeneities in soil properties tend to be at a much smaller scale than that of the watersheds we analyzed in this study, thus the localized impacts likely average out. Base flow estimates obtained with PART have been shown to be comparable to that obtained with various other manual methods (Rutledge, 1998). Linear interpolation of base flows during times that do not fit the antecedent criteria used in PART would lead to base flow estimation errors. However, errors resulting from the linear interpolation have been shown to be minimal for monthly or longer timescales (Rutledge, 1998). Land cover percentages (croplands, forests, urban areas, wetlands, etc.) for watersheds were calculated based on the National Land Cover Dataset (NLCD) (USGS, 1999) and Anderson level I classes (Anderson et al., 1976). The forest cover percentage for each watershed was obtained by aggregating the deciduous, evergreen and mixed forest classes in NLCD. Pasture/hay, row crops, and small grain classes were combined to obtain the total percentage of agricultural uses. Total urban land cover percentages were obtained by combining low-intensity residential, high-intensity residential, and commercial/industrial/transportation classes. The distribution of Quaternary geologic materials was obtained from a digital coverage of Farrand and Bell (1982) (data available at 21 http:/Mwwmcgistate.mi.us/qul/), and were aggregated in to five broad classes (glacial tills, end moraine tills, outwash sand and gravel, lacustrine clay and silt, and lacustrine sand and gravel) for each watershed. On the basis of State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) database for Michigan (available at I http://www.ncqc.nrcs.usda.qovl products/data sets/statsgo/data/index.html), we also categorized the watershed soils into three different drainage classes that were expected to influence streamflow characteristics in the study region (extremely to somewhat extremely well drained, well to moderately well drained, and poorly to very poorly drained). Statistical correlations between watershed attributes (land cover, Quaternary geology, soil drainability, and watershed morphology) and the average 2002-2004 volume ratios (streamflowzrainfall, overland flowrrainfall, and base flowzrainfall) were evaluated using nonparametric Spearman’s correlations. The Kruskal-Wallis (nonparametric) test along with the chi- square approximation for its two sided p value was used to compare base flow and recharge differences in high intensity (>70%) and moderate-intensity (<50%) agricultural watersheds. Two sided p values at level 0.05 were used to test statistical significance. Nonparametric statistical methods were used in this study to minimize the effects of assumptions associated with parametric correlation methods. We also used stepwise multiple regressions and standard least squares fits as exploratory methods to evaluate variability of streamflowzrainfall and base flowzrainfall ratios between watersheds, and to explain the variability of the ratios in terms of land cover and other watershed attributes. 22 Figure 2-1. Locations of our study watersheds (shaded) with NEXRAD radar and rain gauge locations. Dashed lines show the effective range of the radar detectors. Study Sites Forty Michigan watersheds with drainage areas ranging from 20 km2 to 1000 km2 with an average of 312 km2 (USGS station IDs and names are provided in the auxiliary material) were chosen that span a range of land cover characteristics and have sufficient data for our analysis (Figure 2-1). The primary 23 land cover types in the selected watersheds are agriculture, forests, and urban, followed by the minor proportions of wetlands, grasslands, and open water. The percentage of agricultural land in the study watersheds ranges from about 6 to 85%, with a mean of 51%. Corn, beans, and alfalfa are the main crops cultivated in the state, which have growing seasons ranging from late April/early May to about mid-November. The percentage of forest cover in the study watersheds ranges from about 8 to 55, with a mean of 26%; and nearly all of the forests in our study watersheds are deciduous. The amount of urban area in the study watersheds ranges from nearly 0 to 70%, with a mean of 11%. Urban and suburban land covers are more common in the southeastern part of the state with most of the forest land in the northwestern regions of Michigan’s Lower (or southern) Peninsula. Quaternary glacial advances and retreats shaped the regional geology of Michigan. The surficial deposits of the state are mostly glacial outwash and till deposited during the Pleistocene continental glaciation. Glacial outwash deposits are more abundant in the north/northwestern and southwestern portions of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula, while till deposits are prominent in the central and eastern half of the Lower Peninsula, extending from the Saginaw Bay area to the Ohio border. Lacustrine clays are common in the Saginaw Bay area and along the eastern fringe of the southern half of the state where artificial irrigation management practices, such as tile drains, are common. 78% of our study watersheds had less than 10% clay and only 17% had more than 20% clay. 24 Evaluation of NEXRAD Rainfall Data Starting in 1980, the National Weather Service (NWS) established the nationwide NEXRAD network of Doppler radar stations (Weather Surveillance Radar (WSR) —1988 Doppler (88D)). There are approximately 158 operational WSR-88D stations throughout the US, with some overseas locations. Information from these radar stations is commonly used to issue warnings of severe weather and flash floods to the public, and provide information for air traffic safety, water management, and outdoor activities. The detailed spatial and temporal coverage of NEXRAD data makes it a useful input to hydrologic models and provides an invaluable resource where ground-based rain gauges are scarce. The Army Corps of Engineers, US. Department of Agriculture, and National Weather Service all use radar data in hydrologic models. Within the research community, radar rainfall data have mainly been used to simulate streamflow response to storm events. Some examples include Neary et al. (2004), who used radar rainfall data to derive basin averaged hourly precipitation to simulate streamflow using a HEC-HMS model. Di Luzio and Arnold (2004) used the NEXRAD hourly grids in Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to predict hourly streamflow in response to storm events. In a similar manner, Carpenter et al. (2001) used NEXRAD precipitation data in a spatially distributed hydrologic model to simulate runoff and streamflow to evaluate the use of distributed hydrologic models in an operational environment. In this study, we are mainly interested in quantifying the influence of watershed characteristics on water balances, which could not be 25 accurately evaluated based on ground-based gauges alone due to the general sparse nature of the rain gauge networks. We overcame this obstacle by calculating basin-averaged hourly precipitation rates from NEXRAD grids, which were then summed into monthly and growing season volumes for each study watershed. The primary radar rainfall product from the WSR-88D, called the Digital Precipitation Array (DPA), is generated by processing the radar information using a Precipitation Processing System (PPS). The PPS is a set of algorithms that use information from two external functions for precipitation detection (effective within a 230 km radius from the radar station) and rain gauge data acquisition, and five internal functions for data preprocessing, radar to rainfall rate conversions, rainfall accumulation calculations, gauge-radar adjustments, and product generation (Fulton et al., 1998). The hourly precipitation products used in this study have a 4 km x 4 km spatial resolution and are generated from base Doppler radar data (reflectivity, mean radial doppler velocity and spectrum width) using the PPS. 26 Si 0 30« +2002 02003 25, ° + A2004 «- + E EZO‘ A 9 o 315 0 0 A + E 1‘ + A A A + 6 10« A A + 5 «i O Apr t May'June' July' Aug‘ Sep' Oct' Nov Month Figure 2-2. RMS differences between NEXRAD and ground-based precipitation measurements at various sites with data spanning the 2002, 2003, and 2004 growing seasons. There are several sources of systematic and random error associated with radar rainfall estimates (Seo et al., 1999). The uncertainties in reflectivity (the quantity measured by the radar) to rainfall conversion, which is highly nonlinear, is recognized as one of the main sources of error (Neary et al., 2004). Differences in radar instrument calibration from station to station, distance from radar stations or the range effect (Sharif et al. 2002), radar scan angles, local topography (Young et al., 1999), and climate conditions (Smith et al., 1996) can all cause significant error in radar rainfall estimates. We evaluated the accuracy of NEXRAD data calculated on the basis of the three WSR- 88D weather radar stations in Michigan (Figure 2-1) relative to point observations of precipitation at NWS and other independent stations at daily and monthly timescales. This 27 involved comparing 4 km x 4 km spatial rainfall grids provided by the Michigan State University Geography Department to point rainfall data for 28 locations in Michigan’s Lower Peninsula with sufficient data from April to November of 2002- 2004 (Figure 2-1). Root-mean-square differences (RMSD) between radar and direct measurements were computed for the radar and gauge pairs. We also assessed temporal variations in NEXRAD errors over monthly and growing season timescales. Comparison of NEXRAD and ground-based precipitation data from May— November indicate that August has the largest monthly RMSD in the 2002 and 2003 data sets (Figure 2-2). This is mainly due to relatively large differences between NEXRAD and ground-based precipitation at a few gauge locations: Detroit, Bellaire, Grayling, and Ypsilanti in 2003; and Detroit, Bellaire, Grand Haven, Muskegon, and Howell in 2002. Nearly all of the monthly RMS differences remained below 25 mm throughout each of these growing seasons. The largest percent absolute difference (calculated relative to gauged precipitation) between the radar estimated and gauged rainfall within the study region for the 2004 growing season (May-November) was 13% at the Grand Haven gauge location (Figure 2-3). This amounts to a 50 mm difference between the radar and gauge systems for the entire growing season. The largest absolute differences were concentrated in the northwestern corner of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula, where the highest errors ranged from about 25% to 38% in 2002 at five locations (North Port, Traverse City, Cadillac, Kalkaska, and Houghton). All watersheds from the northwestern region were thus excluded from this study. 28 The lower absolute differences in the southern half of the state are partially due to the use of at least some of 'Grand Rapids, Lansing and Flint station data by the WSR-88D system for real-time corrections of the precipitation predictions. At most locations, NEXRAD estimates tend to be smaller than the precipitation recorded by the ground-based gauges. Although most of the discrepancy between observed and NEXRAD precipitation is likely due to errors in radar estimates, some of the differences can also be attributed to inaccuracies in the ground-based precipitation observations. Mechanical failures associated with tipping bucket gauges often give rise to random errors, and the aerodynamic design of the gauges frequently result in systematic error in rainfall measurements (Sevruk, 1996; Heinemann et al., 2002). Habib et al. (2001) have shown that sampling frequency, bucket size and precipitation characteristics also contribute to errors in tipping bucket rainfall data. Errors in ground-based observations discussed here would generally result in an under estimation of actual rainfall, particularly during heavy precipitation events. These errors contribute to a larger RMSD and would count the same as radar overestimates. 29 2.8 . AW! . 8.7 ‘ Graylhal i 5 Houghton Lake . A 0.1 Harbor Beach . a if.» V, Morita mag,” 11. 5 $3 Muskegonll13 1& . 9.1 Flint Grand Haven 6. 9 | Grandliwld s '5 Lansing 1%] 0 0 W 1.4 ‘ Ann Arbor'% 31:38? Detrolt Figure 2-3. Map of the percent absolute differences (calculated relative to observed gauged precipitation) between the 2004 (April-November) gauge and NEXRAD rainfall data. The Grand Rapids, Lansing, Flint, and Alpena gauges are known to be used by the WSR-88D system for real-time calibration of radar rainfall estimates (Ann Arbor and Grayling are missing 1 month of data, Harbor Beach is missing 2 moths, and Montague is missing 3 months, and thus these months were not used in this analysis. 30 80 ‘ 5 Alpena A Flnt o Lansing a a Detroit + Muskegon o Pelston ... x Grand Rapids 1: l-bughton lake 251 ° X n + g A e 20. x “‘ + g + ‘ x 0 9 g 151 2 ‘ +. + C 3 o 10.1 & + X O § . x O a * 51 X * x . g T a 0 K o O I’ V I 1 3 ‘T V j Apr May Jun Jay Am Sop Oct Nov Morin Figure 2-4. RMS differences for eight gauge locations using 2002, 2003, and 2004 monthly radar and ground-based gauge precipitation data. May RMSD calculation is based only on data from 2002 and 2004 due to missing NEXRAD grid data in MAY 2003. The accuracy of the NEXRAD estimates relative to ground-based observations for the eight gauges across the region with continuous precipitation records from 2002 to 2004 is shown in Figure 2-4 (see Figure 2-1 for locations). On the basis of this analysis, there does not appear to be any significant spatial trend in NEXRAD precipitation estimates except for the already mentioned larger error to the northwest corner of the Lower Peninsula. The Muskegon gauge was the only location that showed consistently higher RMSD values throughout the analysis period. In general there seems to be relatively higher variability at all gauge locations beginning in May and continuing through August. This may be due to intense precipitation events associated with convective weather systems that are relatively common during this period. Under such conditions, both 31 ground based gauges (Heinemann et al., 2002) and radar systems (Krajewski and Smith, 2002) are known to be less accurate, which contributes to the relatively large RMSD during such periods. As is commonly the case, the total radar rainfall estimates for the evaluation period are generally lower than the ground-based precipitation recorded during the same period at the gauge stations. A limited evaluation of event scale data (hourly NEXRAD versus observed precipitation) showed that radar system performed poorly during very small precipitation events. However, only a small percentage of the differences in monthly precipitation totals between radar and gauge data in Michigan can be attributed to such small events. Another source of error is the comparison of precipitation derived from relatively large NEXRAD grid cells (4 km x 4 km) with point gauges. Event-scale NEXRAD data were not directly compared with ground based gauge data in this study because of difficulty in obtaining hourly precipitation data for a sufficient number of ground-based gauges. The 2004 data show the highest degree of correlation between monthly gauge and NEXRAD rainfall from July to September, our main study period for water budget evaluations (Figure 2-5), while 2002 and 2003 also had reasonable correlations to gauged data. Data from the 2002 to 2004 period were used for water budget calculations in this study after adjusting for the bias in NEXRAD precipitation using correction coefficients shown in Figure 2-5. 32 ' . ” ’l’ A 1 “Ex-W... E It: i gim- “T” 3 00- .......... 40- * Symbol Year 92 [RMSE Bu ‘ +5 . 2002 o.77|17.r ea ‘ 2003 osglias 52 0*, . , . ‘ . . . 2004 can“? -1.e 0 4o 80 12° ‘50 NEXRADRQI‘HMIM Figure 2-5. Comparison of monthly (July-September) observed gauge and NEXRAD rainfall for 2002, 2003, and 2004. RMSE and bial (average NEXRAD rainfall-average observdd gauge rainfall) are given in mm. Results and Discussion A significant decrease in the July September streamflowzrainfall ratio was observed with increasing agricultural land cover above about 60% in all years (Figure 2-6). This relationship has a smaller correlation in watersheds with lower- intensity agricultural land uses, likely due to the heterogeneity in land cover and morphological attributes that are characteristic of the lower-intensity agricultural systems, but it is still statistically significant across our 40 watershed sample according to the nonparametric correlation coefficients with a p value of 2.0x104 (Table 2-1). Comparatively, high-intensity agricultural systems tend to be relatively homogeneous with respect to vegetation and morphology. An additional factor that could contribute to the low streamflowzrainfall ratio in intensely 33 agricultural systems in some environments is the presence of tiled drains. However, such engineered drainage systems mainly exist in areas with significant proportion of clay rich soils. Only three watersheds with >30% clay rich soils were included in this analysis (circled on Figure 2-6), and two of these three have lower streamflowzrainfall ratios than other watersheds with similar agriculture percentages (Figure 2-6). 40 am _9... 112.076, ya-0.94x+79 "" zoos 2-9.... 112-0.55. y—O.49x+43 3°13 + 2004 --..’c--.n’-o.ee. y=-O.95x+87 + + Ave —L-i-'1’=0.71, y=-o.7sx+es Streamflow Vol.:Rainfall Ratio Vol. (96) % Agricultural Land In Watershed Figure 2-6. Percentage of agricultural land cover in watersheds compared to streamflowzrainfall ratios for July to September periods of 2002-2004. Each data point represents a watershed, and three watersheds with greater than 30% clay sediments are marked with a gray oval. .8080 28 .3 02855 0 agave 50:85:00 .802ch 822555 028.50 ow 9: .e 83%; 852905 .050 new 8me oE:_o> $00N-N00NV ESEofiow 2 >3... cows. .8 000%me 00:20:00 000.com Mcmctmoaw .TN 030... «0.950 5.0 5.3.0 no.0 F0.mm.~ 9.0 @003 cows. noflmd 9.0 500.0 no.0. 500.? «N0 $5.923 592:0 «0.2.6 3.0 3.3.0 00.0. mom : 0N0 m__om 00:56 =03 30:8.on 023058389wa 00.3.0 00.0. Sand and. 3&0... 00.0. $00A923000< «0&0... 3.0. 27mm." 3.0. 3.m0.~ 00.0. 23.30000 .2 00.36 3.0 F0.wm.m «0.0. «0.90 8.0 $20“. 5.3.0 3.0 «0&0; 5.0 amoimns 0N0 cue: os_m> 0 9E :mEmoam o:_m> a 05... 55.0on o:_m> 0 05¢ :2:me oE:_o> .3.—50m oE:_o> _Esmm 0E:.o> _Ecfim \0E:_o> 26¢ 33 Emobm \oE:_o> 30E 05:90 \oE:_o> 300E025 35 An expected significant increase of overland flow in watersheds with urban land cover percentage is also evident from the correlation statistics (Table 2-1), even in this case where only 20% of the watersheds in this study had more than 10% urban land cover. A positive correlation was also observed between base flowzrainfall ratios in forested watersheds. The small p values (<0.05) in Table 2-2 indicate that the correlations between these land cover attributes and volume ratios in the analyzed watersheds are unlikely to be random. Other factors that show significant relationships with the volume ratios are the distribution of certain surficial glacial geologic materials and soil drainability classes. The amount of base flow is positively correlated with both the percent glacial outwash sand and gravel deposits and the extremely to somewhat extremely well drained soils, yet there was no statistically significant correlation between soil drainability and outwash deposits. Glacial outwash deposits were present in 90% of the investigated watersheds with varying degrees of abundances. Positive correlations also exist between glacial outwash deposits and forest cover percentages in the study watersheds, and between agricultural land uses and both poorly drained and low slope areas (Table 2-2). Seventy-three percent of the variability in the streamflow: rainfall ratio was explained by three watershed attributes (percentages of agriculture, open water, and glacial outwash sand and gravel) using a multiple linear regression analysis (Table 2-3). The proportion of agricultural land cover is the most significant attribute among the pool of watershed variables used for the exploratory multiple regression analysis. Poorly drained soils failed to explain a significant portion of the variability observed with 36 streamflow: rainfall ratio, indicating that low streamflow conditions in watersheds with high-intensity agriculture is more likely related to the land use and cover attributes, rather than simply the soils. A negative coefficient for open water (lakes, ponds, wetlands etc.) indicates that these areas are associated with reductions in streamflow, which is likely associated with direct evaporation from open water surfaces. In a similar manner as the streamflowzrainfall ratio, 75% of the variability associated with base flowzrainfall ratio in the study watersheds was explained by four watershed attributes (Table 2-3). Agriculture, open water, and glacial outwash sand and gravel explained most of the variability in base I flowzrainfall ratio, followed by extremely to somewhat extremely well drained soils. One of the 40 watersheds was removed from the multiple regression analysis as an outlier due to unusually high streamflow conditions, likely related to urbanization effects since it was in the Detroit suburban area. Watersheds with high-intensity agriculture (>70%) tend to have lower base flows during the growing season than those with moderate-intensity (<50%) agriculture. Kruskal- Wallis tests had p values that indicate that April— June, July-September, and October—December base flow differences between high-intensity and moderate- intensity agricultural watersheds are statistically significant (Figure 2-7). A considerable drop in base flow is evident during the peak growing season (July to September) in both classes of watersheds. However, the decline is relatively larger in watersheds with intense agriculture. Watersheds with over 10% high- intensity urban land uses (NLCD classifications “high-intensity residential” and “commercial/industrial/ transportation”) were removed from the data set prior to 37 the base flowzrainfall comparison in Figure 2-7, to minimize the urban effects that tend to be hydrologically different from forest and agricultural systems. High ET demands by active crops and anthropogenic abstraction of water for irrigation are two factors that could contribute to low base flow in high-intensity agricultural watersheds. However, the persistence of low base flow across the range of studied watersheds suggests that ET demand is a major component of the water budget during the growing season. According to US. Department of Agriculture (USDA) statistics, only a small percentage (~5%) of Michigan’s croplands are irrigated (Economic Research Service, 2004). Countywide surface and shallow water withdrawals in 2000 were nearly uniform across the study watersheds, thus it is unlikely that anthropogenic abstraction of water for irrigation is the main cause of the observed lower streamflows associated with high-intensity agricultural watersheds. 38 .8080 23 .3 8.8.2.. 0 8:80:00 _800000 0020.20; 02800 00 00. .0. 00.00..0> 0000.000; .050 000 .0>00 000.. .00 0000005 0000.980 00006000002 000000000 .00 0.00... 00.w00.0 00.0 5.m00.0 00.0 00.306 3.0. 0.0.0.0 00.000004 5000.0 00.0 5000.? 00.0. 00.3.0.0 00.0 00.90000 000350 00.50% 90.0. 000.000 00.0 5.m00.0 00.0. 0.... 0.00.0 00000.0 00.0 00.m0 «.0 10.0. 50.00; 00.0 0:00 000.0.0 :03 220.000.00.03 5.w00._. 00.0. 5.5.0.0 000 00.5.0.0 00.0 0:00 000.0.0 :03 20.00.08 «050.000.00.003 00.m.00.0 00.0. 00000.: 00.0 00.m00.0 0.0.0. 0:00 00500.0 >000... 5.w00.0 5.0. 00.m00.0 00.0. 00.50.: 00.0 000.0 000.2 0:_0> 0 000. 00000000 0:.0> 0 001 00000000 0:.0> 0 05... 00000000 0000.00.00 0095 0000.00.00 0.3.0002 003000.00 00.0“. 39 202000000. .000 000 00.0 0.0 00:.0> 0 ”00.000. .00 003 3:00:02 .000. 00.000 000.0000. 0... 0:; 2:00:00 .0. 00.00. 0.03 0.: £00 E0: 0.00000. 00... 0050...? 09.0.00; 000 0000”. _.0.0.0m§0_n. 000m 000 ._0.0.0m§o=0.00:w A500-0000. 000.2 .00E0.00w 2:... .0.— 00..0..0.w 00.000500. 0.00.0.2 .00 0.00... 2.0.00.0 5.0 _.0.0 $0.000.8 00.90000 0002000 oo.m0...0 5.0 00. .... 003000.00 .0003 0000 5000.0 00.0 05. 003000.00 0.2.0002 5000.0 2.0. 00.0 0:00 000.0.0 :03 20.00.00 000300.00 000 20.00.00 mménwwsz... . . . 000.000. 00.000 000.00 0 00 0 0 0.. 03000> 00000000. ..0.0..0m...sot 000m 00000.: 00.0 00.0 e0.0050000 000.200 8.08.0 3.0 00.0- $.20; :80 00.080 3.0 0.0. $92.85.. 5.0uwmsE - . . . 000.000. 0 0.0.00. 0.. mom 0 00 0 0 00 030.003 00000000. ..0.0..0&.§0:E00:m 0.. .0 000.050 _._Aa__3320 00 0.2.000 5.3 00.00.00m 00050.00 4O The differences in annual base flow between high intensity and moderate- intensity agricultural watersheds can also be attributed to early spring frozen soil conditions. High-intensity agricultural areas are more susceptible to frozen soils during the winter and early spring months, which would tend to lower the recharge rates during the important snowmelt period. In the absence of a persistent snowpack, soils in the region have been shown to freeze to about 5 cm depth even in warm winters (lsard and Schaetzl, 1998). Intermittent snowpack conditions in winter months are more likely in bare and exposed farmlands resulting in a thicker frozen soil layer. An increasing trend in groundwater recharge toward the northwestern and western parts of the state reported by Holtschlag (1997) is consistent with the larger snowpack and denser forest cover along the northwestern and western fringes of the state as observed with mean January through May streamflowzdrainage area ratio (Figure 2-8). Spatial patterns in volume ratios for watersheds in this study, however, did not show any specific east-west trend during the July to September period. Culmination of the growing season, as depicted by a sharp decrease in mean monthly LAI in Figure 2-9, initiates a period of steady increase in base flow. Correspondence between the LAI and the base flowzwatershed area ratio is consistent with the expectation that transpiration significantly reduces the recharge rates in this region during the summer period. 41 a a: d N 1 a b O 0 Quarter Year Baseflowzorainage Area Ratio (cm) Jan-Mar Apr-June I July-Sop ' Oct-Dec Figure 2—7. Average 2002-2004 quarter year base flowzdrainage area rations in high-intensity (>70%) and moderate-intensity (<50%) agricultural watersheds. The difference of the flow between the two types of watersheds are statistically significant (p value <0.05) in all quarters except January-March. Parameter 2002 2003 2004 Average Agriculture <50% Percent of rainfall 14.1 9.9 21.7 15.2 Actual amount, cm 2.6 2.4 3.9 3 Agriculture >70% Percent of rainfall 4.6 3.3 7.8 5.3 Actual amount, cm 0.7 0.8 1.5 1 Table 2—4. Estimated Annual Growing Season Recharge Amounts (July— September); in tems of annual rainfall and actual amounts in centimeters. 42 Figure 2-8. Average of 2002-2004 January to May streamflowcdrainage area ratios (cm). Higher values likely indicate greater snowmelt influence on the watershed hydrology. The contour map was generated by kriging the ratio calculated from data at the 113 USGS streamflow gauges shown on the map. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. The vegetation density associated with agricultural uses, calculated based on LAI, is significantly lower than that of forests, which is the most frequent land cover type in moderate-intensity agricultural watersheds. However, Figure 2-7 suggests that the high-intensity agriculture has a much more significant effect on hydrology than moderate-intensity agriculture during the peak growing season. The observed temporal changes in streamtlow and volume ratios are also 43 evident in the region’s groundwater system. Data from continuous water level transducers installed in a shallow aquifer in the Grand Traverse Bay Watershed located to the northwestern part of the state reveal a steady decline in water levels through late October followed by an increase thereafter (Figure 2-10). There is only minimal irrigation according to county statistics for the area where the wells are located, and the primary land cover within their watersheds is forest (Economic Research Service, 2004). This is further evidence of low recharge rates during the growing months, which are too small to compensate for the deficit created by elevated water abstraction and transpiration by plants and base flow discharges to streams. Because of the damping effects of the subsurface materials, the lowest groundwater levels in the region are generally observed a few months after the peak growing period. This highlights the difficulty in using alternative approaches that analyze only groundwater levels and budgets to estimate transient groundwater recharge rates. 250 Total Rainfall 20 5, :l2002 ' 022003 -15 '20“ .10‘ .05 . E E BaseflovrArea Ratio “2.5.. LealArealndex g Forest ’5 X $2.0. r4 12 in. 0 a . .. D 3 ~23 1.0. ................. é _ .1 0.5 Mayr Jun? Julyf Aug' Sept 00' Nov Figure 2-9. The 2002-2004 monthly base flowzdrainage area ratios and average monthly rainfall for 40 selected watersheds in Michigan. The peak growing season is clearly marked by higher leaf area indexes (LAI), which corresponds well with the decline in stream base flow during the same period. 45 pallynaml (mm) {A 0 50. 3.95 me $13 3 E 8 7:; 9 g E5 in 925 6.35 Jul ‘Aug 'Sep'ocl ‘Now 'oeclJan 'Feb 2003 2004 Date Figure 2-10. Measured water table depths in two shallow wells in the northern portion of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula (see Figure 2-1 for locations). A steady decline in water level is evident during the growing season (land use percentages in the watershed containing B12 are forests ~65°/o, shrubs/open land ~35%; G13, forests ~66%, agriculture ~28%). Note that the minimum water level is delayed significantly from the peak LAI and minimum base flow levels shown in Figure 2-9. . The base flowzrainfall ratio for July September period of each year was analyzed to evaluate differences in recharge between high-intensity and moderate-intensity agricultural watersheds in each of the years from 2002 to 2004. Base flowzrainfall ratio is a good measure of groundwater recharge given the base flow estimates are reasonably accurate. According to our analysis, the average growing season recharge from 2002-2004 in high-intensity agricultural watersheds was ~5% of the total rainfall compared to 15% in moderate-intensity agricultural watersheds (Figure 2-11). According to the Kruskal-Wallis test, the difference of the mean base flowzrainfall ratio between the two types of 46 watersheds in each of the years is statistically significant (Figure 2-11). The above percentages amount to ~1.0 cm of growing season recharge in our high- intensity agricultural watersheds, compared to ~3.0 cm in moderate intensity agricultural watersheds (Table 2-4). The variability of recharge percent across the studied watersheds within a given year is likely related to both differences in land cover percentages and precipitation characteristics. The relatively higher ratios in 2004 are likely related to late spring snowmelt discharge effects and precipitation which contribute to higher streamflow conditions that sometimes extend to late June (Figure 2-12). In areas where times between recharge events and resulting discharge are relatively small (days to a few weeks), the ratio method presented in this paper could perhaps be applied at shorter temporal scales. Both the starting point and ending point for the analysis should include no significant rainfall events or recent increases in streamflow for several days to weeks, depending on the response time of the watershed of interest. However, larger uncertainties associated with both radar rainfall and base flow estimates at small time intervals would tend to increase the uncertainty in short time period recharge estimates with this approach. 47 Baseflow Vol.:Rainfall Vol. Ratio (‘36) Figure 2-11. Recharge estimates for the July to September period, as a percent of NEXRAD bias adjusted rainfall in high-intensity agricultural (>70%) and moderate-intensity agricultural (<50%) watersheds. The difference in baseflowzrainfall ratios between the two types of watersheds are statistically significant (p value <0.05) in all years. Summary and Conclusions Despite recent advances that have been made to quantify groundwater recharge rates, existing methods are generally limited by insufficient data. Increasing concerns over the likelihood of unsustainable water resources in many regions of the world emphasize the need for simple approaches that use readily available data for water budget assessment. Many of the existing approaches for groundwater recharge assessment require long-term monitoring, cumbersome and complex watershed models, accurate subsurface parameter estimates that are difficult to acquire, and significant time commitments. As a 48 result these approaches often fail to deliver rapid water budget estimates for watersheds over critical time periods. To address these difficulties, we introduce a method that can be used to rapidly estimate water budgets and recharge rates over various temporal and spatial scales. We believe this approach can be adopted for rapid preliminary assessment of seasonal and longer term recharge conditions in most humid regions with relatively small unsaturated zones and no large artificial diversions of water. Data extraction and processing for this approach can be easily performed using GIS systems and simple database schemes. - 25 5 «ram . g +Streamlow Volumezwmelshed Area I E 20‘ —Overland Flow Volume:WatershedAree : l g. 15‘ E l l l 505 l : l l g 0 uL.\%—W—i>—I=-/ : g— 0“? $090900 @y"9\>‘%y° od‘efi‘l‘lfleywfiea 2002 2003 2004 Figure 2-12. Total monthly streamflow, and overland flow volumes normalized by watershed area along with rainfall averaged across the 40 study watersheds. We statistically analyzed ratios of streamflow, stream base flow and overland flow volumes to precipitation volume to examine factors that influence 49 the water mass balances for 40 watersheds across Michigan during the growing season. Observed differences are primarily attributed to land cover characteristics. Our analysis indicates that there is minimal growing season recharge in all of the studied watersheds, with high-intensity agricultural watersheds receiving essentially one third of the growing season recharge of moderate-intensity agricultural watersheds. Low runoff and base flow conditions and low streamflowzrainfall ratios in agricultural watersheds provide insight into the significant growing season water demands for intensive croplands. While this has significant implications for managing water resources, further analysis is required to interpret and quantify the detailed processes leading to these trends in terms of ET and other forms of water use related to agriculture. Statistical evaluation of streamflow and its component volumes (base flow and overland flow) as a percentage of total precipitation can be correlated with land cover and other watershed attributes. This provides a fairly simple and efficient approach to characterize watershed behavior across a range of temporal and spatial scales. When accurate precipitation and flow data are available for watersheds, they can be used to evaluate seasonal or longer-term potential recharge, ET, and runoff volumes. These estimated fluxes provide critical inputs to transient hydrologic models. Relatively large uncertainties associated with base flow estimates as well as radar rainfall estimates at event and other short timescales (i.e., daily, weekly), however, makes it difficult to apply the ratio method to evaluate flux budgets in watersheds over short time windows. 50 The use of radar-derived precipitation estimates can simplify and potentially improve the quality of water resource analyses for some watersheds. This is especially true when large watersheds are involved because there are often significant spatial and temporal variations in precipitation at these scales. Spatial characteristics of precipitation are extremely difficult to capture solely from ground-based gauges; thus use of NEXRAD data is likely to improve the accuracy of regional water mass balances. While there are numerous merits to using NEXRAD precipitation data in hydrogeological studies, the temporal and spatial accuracy needs to be evaluated for any study region due to the known uncertainties currently associated with these data. The continued effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to improve the accuracy of the radar rainfall estimates is likely to make NEXRAD an indispensable resource for many hydrologic applications. Acknowledgments We greatly appreciate the funding provided by a grant from the National Science Foundation (EAR-0233648) and thank the Associate Editor and three anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments. Our sincere gratitude is extended to Dennis Gilliland of the Center for Statistical Consulting at Michigan State University for suggestions that greatly improved the quality of this manuscript. Special thanks are also extended to Jeffrey Andresen, James T. Brown, and Tracy Aichele of the Department of Geography, Michigan State 51 University for converting the NEXRAD data into arc grids and archiving these for extended time periods. We appreciate the suggestions and contributions of Bryan Pijanowski (Purdue), M.S. Phanikumar, and students in the hydrogeology research group at Michigan State University. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundafion. 52 References Anderson, J. R., E. H. Hardy, J. T. Roach, and R. E. Vtfitmer (1976), A Land Use and Land Cover Classification System Wlth Remote Sensor Data, U. S. Govt. Print. Off., Washington, D. C. Carpenter, T. M., K. P. Georgakakos, and J. A. Sperfslagea (2001), On the parametric and NEXRAD-radar sensitivities of a distributed hydrologic model suitable for Operational use, J. Hydrol., 253, 169-193. Cherkauer, D. S., and S. A. Ansari (2005), Estimating ground water recharge from topography, hydrogeology. and land cover, Ground Water, 43, 102- 112. Costa, M. H., and J. A. Foley (2000), Combined effects of deforestation and doubled atmospheric CO: concentrations on the climate of Amazonia, J. Clim., 13, 18-34. Di Luzio, M., and J. G. Arnold (2004), Formulation of a hybrid calibration approach for a physically based distributed model with NEXRAD data input, J. Hydrol., 298, 136—154. Dow, C. L., and D. R. DeWalle (2000), Trends in evaporation and Bowen ratio on urbanizing watersheds in eastern United States, Water Resour. Res., 36, 1835- 1843. Economic Research Service (2004). State fact sheet for Michigan, U. S. Dep. of Agric., Washington, DC (Available at nn92/lmw.ers.gsda.ggv/ StateFacts/Ml.htm). Farrand, W. R., and D. Bell (1982), Quaternary geology of Michigan, Michigan Geological Survey map, scale 12500000, Mich. Dep. of Nat. Resour., Lansing. 53 Finch, J. W. (1998), Estimating direct groundwater recharge using a simple water balance model-sensitivity to land surface parameters, J. Hydrol., 211, 1 12-125. Fulton, R. A., J. P. Breidenbach, D. J. Seo, D. A. Miller, and T. O’Bannon (1998), The WSR-88D rainfall algorithm, Weather Forecasting, 13, 377- 395. Habib, E., W. F. Krajewski, and A. Kruger (2001), Sampling errors of tipping- bucket rain gauge measurements, J. Hydrol. Eng., 6, 159- 166. Heinemann, A. B., G. Hoogenboom, and B. Chojnicki (2002), The impact of potential errors in rainfall observation on the simulation of crop growth, development and yield, Ecol. Mod., 157, 1 -21. Holtschlag, D. J. (1997), A generalized estimate of groundwater recharge rates in the Lower Peninsula of Michigan, U. S. Geol. Surv. Water Supply Pap., 2437. lsard, S. A., and R. J. Schaetzl (1998), Effects of winter weather conditions on soil freezing in southern Michigan, Phys. Geogr., 19, 71- 94. Krajewski, W. F., and J. A. Smith (2002), Radar hydrology: Rainfall estimation, Adv. Water Resour., 25, 1387- 1394. Mo, X., S. Liu, 2. Lin, and W. Zhao (2004), Simulating temporal and spatial variation of evapotranspiration over the Lushi basin, J. Hydrol., 285, 125- 142. Neary, V. S., E. Habib, and M. Fleming (2004), Hydrologic modeling with NEXRAD precipitation in middle Tennessee, J. Hydrol. Eng., 9, 339- 349. Pielke, R. A., R. Avissar, M. Raupach, A. J. Dolman, X. B. Zeng, and A. S. Denning (1998), Interactions between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems: Influence on weather and climate, Global Change Biol., 4, 461— 475. Rutledge, A. T. (1998), Computer programs for describing the recession of ground-water discharge and for estimating mean ground-water recharge and discharge from streamflow data-update, U. S. Geol. Surv. Water Resour. Invest. Rep., 98-4148. Scanlon, B., R. Healy, and P. Cook (2002), Choosing appropriate techniques for quantifying ground-water recharge, Hydrogeol. J., 10, 18- 39. Sea, D. J., J. P. Breidenbach, and E. R. Johnson (1999), Real-time estimation of mean field bias in radar rainfall data, J. Hydrol., 223, 131-147. Sevruk, B. (1996), Adjustment of tipping-bucket precipitation gauge measurements, Atmos. Res., 42, 237—246. Sharif, H. 0., F. L. Ogden, W. F. Krajewski, and M. Xue (2002), Numerical simulations of radar-rainfall error propagation, Water Resour. Res., 38(8), 1140, doi:10.1029/2001WR000525. Smith, J. A., D. J. Seo, M. L. Baeck, and M. D. Hudlow (1996), An intercomparison study of NEXRAD precipitation estimates, Water Resour. Res., 32, 035—2045. Szilagyi, J. S., F. E. Harvey, and J. F. Ayers (2004), Regional estimates of total recharge to groundwater in Nebraska, Ground Water, 43, 63- 69. U. S. Geological Survey (1999), Michigan land cover data set, Sioux Falls, 8.0. (Available at t ://e . r. . v r r ms/lc In tion llan html) 55 U. S. Geological Survey (2004), MODIS Reprojection Tool user’s manual,release 3.2a, USGS EROS Data Center, Sioux Falls, SD. Walker, G. R., L. Zhang, T. W. Ellis, T. J. Hatton, and C. Petheram (2002), Estimating impacts of changed land use on recharge: Review of modeling and other approaches appropriate for management of dryland salinity, Hydrogeol. J., 10, 68- 90. Young, C. B., B. R. Nelson, A. A. Bradley, J. A. Smith, C. D. Peters- Lidard, A. Kruger, and M. L. Baeck (1999), An evaluation of NEXRAD precipitation estimates in complex terrain, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19,691-19,703. 56 Chapter Three Jayawickreme, D. H., R. L. Van Dam, and D. W. Hyndman (2008), Subsurface imaging of vegetation, climate, and root-zone moisture interactions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L18404, doi:10.1029/2008GL034690. 57 Abstract Changes in global climate and land use affect important processes from evapotranspiration and groundwater recharge to carbon storage and biochemical cycling. Near surface soil moisture is pivotal to understand the consequences of these changes. However, the dynamic interactions between vegetation and soil moisture remain largely unresolved because it is difficult to monitor and quantify subsurface hydrologic fluxes at relevant scales. Here we use electrical resistivity to monitor the influence of climate and vegetation on root-zone moisture, bridging the gap between remotely-sensed and in-situ point measurements. Our research quantifies large seasonal differences in root-zone moisture dynamics for a forest-grassland ecotone. We found large differences in effective rooting depth and moisture distributions for the two vegetation types. Our results highlight the likely impacts of land transformations on groundwater recharge, streamflow, and land-atmosphere exchanges. 58 Introduction Modification of temperatures and precipitation patterns due to global climate change will cause significant transformations of ecosystems and plant physiological functions (Betts et al. 2007). Climate changes will also affect water availability and plant productivity (Field et al. 1995; Nemani et al. 2003), and hence will impact soil moisture dynamics in many regions of the world. Compounding these effects are rapid changes in land cover, driven by factors including urbanization, energy demands, and food production (Evans and Kelley 2004; Jayawickreme and Hyndman 2007; Scanlon et al. 2007). Vadose zone soil moisture is a key driver of climate, energy and carbon cycles (Niklaus et al. 2003; Koster et al. 2004; Seneviratne et al. 2006), as well as ecosystem dynamics (Rodriguez-lturbe 2000). The amount and distribution of soil moisture also influences important processes from soil microbial activity to nutrient fluxes and groundwater recharge (Rushton et al. 2006; Hyndman et al. 2007). Characterizing the dynamic interactions between vegetation and soil moisture is critical to forecast global water resources and improve land- atmosphere feedback models. However, these interactions remain largely unresolved due to our inability to characterize transient subsurface water fluxes at high resolution under natural conditions. There are significant gaps in resolution and sampling volume between common approaches to monitor root zone moisture. Remote sensing provides regional-scale estimates of water content, but has limited spatial and temporal 59 resolution and marginal depth penetration (Dubois et al. 1995; Jackson 2002; Entekhabi and Moghaddam 2007; Wagner et al. 2007); (Scott et al. 2003). In contrast, time domain reflectometry and other probes provide accurate point- scale estimates of soil moisture with high temporal resolution, but can not readily be up-scaled (Robock et al. 2000). In addition, remote sensing and point-based methods provide only limited information about moisture percolation below the root zone and thus groundwater recharge rates, which are essential for water resources management. Electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) is an alternative approach to monitor subsurface hydrologic conditions and processes across a range of materials and spatial scales with high temporal resolution. In ERI, direct current is injected into the ground and potential differences are measured between a series of electrode pairs along an array to obtain 2D resistivity images; these can then be converted into soil moisture estimates based on petrophysical relationships between resistivity and pore-water content (Lesmes and Friedman 2005). Until now, hydrological applications of ERI have largely focused on solute transport and infiltration monitoring with little emphasis on vegetation effects (Daily et al. 1992; Slater et al. 2000; Berthold et al. 2004; LaBrecque et al. 2004; Singha and Gorelick 2005; Al Hagrey 2007). Although ERI has been used to characterize temporal changes in moisture content (Binley et al. 2002; Amidu and Dunbar 2007), we explore for the first time natural interactions between seasonal soil moisture dynamics, climate variability, and vegetation differences using time-lapse ERI. For this analysis, we equipped 60 a forest-grassland ecotone with a suite of hydrogeophysical equipment. Our observations from this ecotone demonstrate that ERI can be used to accurately quantify the spatiotemporal distribution of root-zone moisture content, bridging critical gaps between remotely-sensed and in-situ point measurements. This information is essential to project the influence of changing climate and land covers on hydrologic fluxes and ecosystem sustainability. Methods At a field site near East Lansing, Michigan, USA, we instrumented an ecotone separating a mature Maple forest from a grassland. Data were collected at this site from October 2006 through September 2007. The ~4 m thick unsaturated zone has 40-60 cm of clay loam underlain by medium to fine sand across the site, with respective porosities of 0.47 and 0.39. Maximum expected rooting depths are ~7m for forest and ~2.5 m for grass (Jackson et al., 1996). Along a 124.5 m transect centered on the forest-grassland boundary, 84 equally- spaced, 30 cm long graphite electrodes were installed. The permanent electrode array improves data reproducibility, maximizing the ability to identify changes in soil moisture. Capacitance-type soil moisture loggers (20 and 80 cm depth) and vertical temperature arrays (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 117, and 147 cm depth) were installed under both land covers. Climate data for the site were obtained from a weather station 1.5 km from the site; average daily air temperature ranged from -19°C to 28°C during the 61 study period. As expected, fluctuations in soil temperature were increasingly damped and phase-shifted with depth. The soils were insulated by continuous snow cover from mid January to mid March, and based on our soil temperature observations only the top 5-10 cm of the soils froze during the January to early February period. The trees lost their leaves in mid November and leafed out again in late April (See color bar in Figure 3-1). In contrast, the grass remained green for the entire study period except from mid January to mid March 2007. Twenty-seven resistivity data sets were collected using a Wenner configuration during the study period, spanning a full cycle of seasons (Figure 3-1). Differential inversions were used to calculate changes in resistivity, minimizing the need to extensively characterize site stratigraphy. The differential inversion algorithm used in this study (LaBrecque and Yang 2001) first estimates the resistivity distribution for a base dataset and then calculates the resistivity change to a second data set. March 30, 2007 was selected for our base data set, because the site had relatively uniform soil moisture across the ecotone after spring snowmelt. To obtain the absolute resistivity distribution for each date, the estimated resistivity change is added to the inverted base dataset. Resistivity changes for each time interval were then obtained by subtracting the two absolute resistivity images. 62 -——— 20cm soil racist!“ recs) -ms:m°ém< 0 4o~ ESRI mgmwczoaémm. forest) mgr“? E l f M i g... l . -\.’I\'K\. “m «g g N ‘ e I‘ g 320‘ 0.1 3 10~ o o OctNovDecJanFebMarApr'Mame Ju AmSep m 2007 Figure 3-1. Soil moisture from probes at the site and the average of the 20 and 86.5 cm depth ERI moisture estimates for all datasets corrected with site temperatures. Precipitation data is shown for a nearby gage. The color bar shows the state of the forest canopy, vertical lines mark data collection dates, and shaded areas above the bar are differential inversion periods for Figure 3-2. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. We corrected our inverted resistivity data for soil temperature differences using data from the vertical sensor arrays (Hayley et al. 2007). Average summer soil temperatures at 20 cm depth below the forest were ~3°C cooler than below the grassland, largely due to shading by the forest canopy. After leaf-off in November 2006, the near surface temperature difference became negligible. The temperatures were assumed to be laterally uniform below each land cover, except for the ~20 m wide portion of the grassland seasonally shaded by the adjoining forest, where we interpolated the temperatures. Seasonal fluctuations 63 were less significant at 147 cm, thus the temperature was linearly interpolated to a constant 10°C at 10 m depth based on observations below the water table. Temperature distributions preceding the installation of temperature sensors were estimated with multi-depth soil temperatures from the nearby weather station. To estimate moisture contents from the resistivity data, site- and material- specific relationships between resistivity (p) and volumetric water content (0) were developed following ASTM standard G57-95. After oven drying at 105°C for 24 hours, ten soil samples from the field site were wetted in ~4% water content increments, homogenized, and placed in a test box for resistivity measurements. For these samples, as for most soil materials, the p-6 relationship is well approximated by a power function with coefficient m (sand = 1.16; clay loam = 0.67), which is used in (Archie 1942): S = ($)% (3-1) where Sis saturation (volumetric water content / porosity), and ps is bulk resistivity of the soil at 100% saturation, obtained from the field data (sand = 71.53 am, clay loam = 68.15 Om). Since annual precipitation in Michigan greatly exceeds evapotranspiration (ET), we assume constant fluid conductivity. We calculated the soil moisture content for each resistivity value obtained from the differential inversions. Results Near the beginning of the study period, a significant growing-season soil moisture deficit existed below the shallow forest soils, which recovered after rain in November 2006. Beneath the snow, soil moisture declined until mid March, when snowmelt brought in a pulse of water. Both areas then experienced a steady moisture decline during the 2007 growing season, with a sharp increase following sustained rain in late August (Figure 3-1). Important processes in the vadose zone are highlighted in Figure 3-2 using panels that show the profound seasonal influence of vegetation and ‘ climate on resistivity during the study period. The effects of different rooting depths between the forest and grassland on soil moisture are clear in early fall of 2006 (Figure 3-2a). A large rain four days prior to the end of the measurement interval initiated an infiltration pulse across the site (Figure 3-1). The shallow resistivity values below the forest then rapidly declined, yet values at similar depths below the grassland increased slightly. This implies that most of the infiltrated water below the grassland drained deeper within the profile because soils there were much closer to field capacity. Continued ET then caused a slight increase in shallow resistivity below the grassland. Increased resistivity at depth below the forest likely indicates that the trees were actively transpiring. In contrast, deep resistivity decreased below the grassland as water drained below the effective rooting depth. 65 Forest _g— Grassland nnl shadow zone 0, ¥’*3¥y !J 62 Zitwmwwwwmu. t u \l 1 Minimum UIO Depth (m) , . ' a,“ - -. - 'lll"'l “WNWHW ‘ ' (d) v h.“ Lfil Spring “ 5"” Summer % Change in resistivity -35 -25 -15 -5 5 15 25 35 Figure 3-2. Differential resistivity panels for approximately one-month periods. a) Early fall (10/18 - 11/15), b) late fall (11/22 — 12/20), c) winter (1/5 - 2/9), d) spring (3/16 - 4/20), and e) summer (6/10 — 7/2). Trees are not to scale; 80 cm of relief along the array is included in the inversion. Red triangles locate moisture probes and temperature arrays. A decrease in resolution with depth and associated smoothing artifacts can cause resistivity differences below the water table. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. Following the 2006 leaf senescence, resistivity below the forest decreased (Figure 3—2b), consistent with increases in soil moisture during a period of minimal transpiration and reduced evaporation under an insulating layer of leaf litter. In contrast, the shallow soils below much of the grassland, where the vegetation was still green, show no significant change in resistivity. However, the shallow soils below the grasses that were previously shaded by the trees show a small increase in resistivity during this period, suggesting a late period of active 66 ET in response to increased solar radiation. The resistivity of the deeper soils below the grass decreased, indicating that precipitation continued to percolate below the zone of root water uptake. During the winter, consistent below-freezing air temperatures and snow cover reduced ET and surface infiltration, as indicated by the temperature- corrected resistivity increase (Figure 3—2c) and moisture probe data (Figure 3-1). Beneath the forest, the resistivity data show moisture redistribution deeper within the soil profile. The lack of significant resistivity changes below the grassland indicate that the moisture conditions there remained stable during this period. The spring period is characterized by snowmelt infiltration, which resulted in a continued decrease in resistivity below the forest (Figure 3-2d). In contrast, moisture contents below most of the grassland remained largely stable as indicated by an absence of resistivity changes. This suggests that these soils were at or above field capacity during the spring months, and most snowmelt likely became recharge in the absence of significant runoff at the site. Early in the summer, high ET reduced the root-zone soil moisture content, increasing the resistivity of the near surface soil layers (Figure 3-2e). Vegetation differences are prominently highlighted, with larger resistivity increases below the forest. The forest canopy intercepts more precipitation than the grasses, reducing infiltration. Greater transpiration in the forest is another likely contributor to the higher resistivity increases. Across the site, the resistivity increase was mostly limited to the upper 2 m, in contrast to the observations during early fall of 2006 67 (Figure 3-2a). This illustrates preferential uptake of near surface moisture, caused by the low suction potential of the relatively moist early-summer soils. The soil moisture calculated from ERI data with Archie’s equation (3-1) strongly correlates with the point-scale observations (ecajcujated = 1-04’90bserved - 0.04; R2 = 0.92, Spearman’s ranked correlation = 0.88; p-value < 0.0001). The small underestimation of the calculated moisture contents is likely due to a preferred sensitivity of ERI to high resistivity layers as shown by the excellent match between ERI estimated values and the smallest of the two measured water contents in the forest (Figure 3-1). The small residual variation is partly due to differences in resolution and fluid conductivity, but this conductivity effect is minimal in the unsaturated zone where water saturation governs bulk resistivity. The spatial and temporal evolution of moisture content through the study period shows a clear contrast across the ecotone (Figure 3-3). The largest contrast in moisture contents beneath the two vegetation types was observed in October 2006. The soil moisture deficit was much larger and extended deeper below the forest (Figure 3-3a), which implies that the forest has less recharge than the grassland. As expected, an increase in moisture contents is observed through early spring prior to significant transpiration by the trees. This resulted in the minimum observed contrast in moisture contents across the ecotone during the early growing season (Figure 3-3e). During the summer of 2007, the soil moisture deficit again began to build preferentially below the forest (Figure 3-3t). In contrast to the late growing season of 2006, most of the moisture is extracted 68 from the shallow zone during this period. The large increase in soil moisture below 4 m depth, from October 2006 to April 2007, is partly due to a rising water table. 0 62.25 124.5 m J O .— ._ r_.__rr_._rr_._1r_._rL.._._Il_._r . . f (a) 10118/06 0| (1)) 11/15m ~1- . 1 ~ 1 .7 .- .v (C) 2/20/08 (d) 02/09/07 Depth (m) (0) 04/20/07 (0 07/02/07 Volumetric moisture (cm’lcm’) 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Figure 3-3. Spatial and temporal distribution of soil moisture estimated across the ecotone. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. We computed spatially averaged subsurface soil moisture differences between peak-growing (July-August) and early-growing (April-May) periods for zones entirely within the forest and the grassland. These data clearly show both the effective rooting depth and contrasts in moisture abstraction characteristics of the two vegetation types (Figure 3-4). The total moisture change is much smaller below the grassland than the forest, and the zone of effective root water uptake is considerably shallower for the grass. The deep moisture depletion below the forest suggests that the tree roots tap into readily available water in the capillary 69 fringe, similar to phreatophites in riparian areas. However, the largest moisture changes occur in the top 2 m of the subsurface in both vegetation types, consistent with field and modeling studies of root water abstraction (Jackson et al. 1996). Conclusions Our results quantify differences in root-zone moisture uptake below contrasting vegetation types and the evolution of vadose zone moisture in response to seasonal climate and vegetation processes using ERI. The results demonstrate the value of ERI for quantifying soil moisture distributions and understanding unsaturated zone processes. We believe that with such geophysical methods, significant insight can be gained about interactions between the atmosphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere. Understanding these interactions is essential for identifying the potential impacts of climate and land cover changes on the hydrologic cycle. Our findings show that land transformations would alter near surface soil moisture distribution patterns, impacting groundwater recharge rates, land-atmosphere energy exchange characteristics, and streamflow. For example, partial reforestation of the midwestern United States would likely reduce regional groundwater recharge rates. Until now, such tangible evidence at spatial and temporal scales considered in our study has been unavailable. Our analysis provides significant 70 new insights into the impacts that accompany ongoing and anticipated global changes in land use and climate due to anthropogenic and natural stressors. 0 1 . E 2' .2 ti 8 a- 4 . ........... ;. ..... .l ...... ; +Grassland i +Forest 5 , ; : -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 Moisture difference (om3/cm3) Figure 3-4. Laterally averaged changes in soil moisture below the forest (36-51 m) and the grassland (92-107 m) between early-growing (April to early May) and peak-growing periods (July to August). Images in this dissertation are presented in color. Acknowledgements This research was funded by NSF (EAR-0233648) and MSU Center for Water Sciences. We thank M. Malkowski, M. Morse, P. Bloese, and R. Klevickas for field support, and J. Butler, J. Hendrickx, and A. Kendall for discussions. 71 References Al Hagrey, SA. (2007), Geophysical imaging of root-zone, trunk, and moisture heterogeneity, J. Exp. Bot, 58(4), 839—854. Amidu, SA, and J.A. Dunbar (2007), Geoelectric studies of seasonal wetting and drying of a Texas vertisol, Vadose Zone J., 6(3), 511-523. Archie, GE. 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Friedman (2005), Relationships between the electrical and hydrogeological properties of rocks and soils, in Hydrogeophysics, edited by Y. Rubin and SS. Hubbard, pp. 87-128, Springer, Dordrecht. Nemani, RR, 0.0. Keeling, H. Hashimoto, W.M. Jolly, S.C. Piper, C.J. Tucker, R.B. Myneni, and SW. Running (2003), Climate-driven increases in global terrestrial net primary production from 1982 to 1999, Science, 300(5625), 1560-1563. Robock, A., K.Y. Vinnikov, G. Srinivasan, J.K. Entin, S.E. Hollinger, N.A. Speranskaya, S.X. Liu, and A. Namkhai (2000), The global soil moisture data bank, Bull. Am. Met. Soc, 81(6), 1281-1299. Rodriguez-Iturbe, l. (2000), Ecohydrology: A hydrologic perspective of climate- soil-vegetation dynamics, Water Resour. Res., 36(1), 3-9. Rushton, K.R., H.M. Eilers, and RC. Carter (2006), Improved soil moisture balance methodology for recharge estimation, J. Hydrol., 318(1-4), 379- 399. 73 Scanlon, B.R., l. Jolly, M. Sophocleous, and L. Zhang (2007), Global impacts of conversions from natural to agricultural ecosystems on water resources: Quantity versus quality, Water Resour. Res., 43(3), W03437. Scott, C.A., W.G.M. Bastiaanssen, and M.U.D. Ahmad (2003), Mapping root zone soil moisture using remotely sensed optical imagery, J. lrr. Drain. Eng., 129(5), 326-335. Seneviratne, S.l., D. Luthi, M. Litschi, and C. Schar (2006), Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe, Nature, 443(7108), 205—209. Singha, K., and SM. Gorelick (2005), Saline tracer visualized with three- dimensional electrical resistivity tomography: F ield-scale spatial moment analysis, Water Resour. Res., 41(5), W05023. Slater, L., A. Binley, W. Daily, and R. Johnson (2000), Cross-hole electrical imaging of a controlled saline tracer injection, J. Appl. Geoph., 44(2-3), 85—102. 74 Chapter Four Integrating Geophysics and Hydrologic Models to Evaluate Land-use Impacts on Groundwater Resources Introduction Land-use and land cover (LULC) changes have important consequences on the hydrologic cycle. Transformation of vegetation that often results during LULC change can lead to hydrological shifts at local to regional scales (Oconnell et al. 1995; Pitman et al. 2004). The contrasts between plant species in their ability to intercept, access and transpire water affect the atmospheric and subsurface components of the hydrologic cycle (Nosetto et al. 2005; Pielke 2005; Beighley et al. 2008). A major concern related to LULC change is its potential effects on groundwater recharge, and hence the sustainability of a primary source of freshwater around the world (Scanlon et al. 2005). LULC and LULC change impacts not only the quantity (Farley et al. 2005; Scanlon et al. 2005), but it is also closely linked to quality of the groundwater (Blinn and Bailey 2001; Wayland et al. 2003; Jarvie et al. 2008). With changes in groundwater recharge patterns, the interlinked systems of streams, wetlands, and riparian environments along with their respective ecosystems are likely to be permanently altered (Rood et al. 2008). The concern for potentially rapid land-use changes due to climate, population dynamics, social and economic development policy decisions both at 75 national and international arenas have increased in recent decades. The Clean Development Mechanism-Afforestation/Reforestation provisions of the KYOTO protocol for example could have unintended consequences on water resources of the local environments while only minimally supporting the intended objective (Trabucco et al. 2008). Above ground vegetation changes lead to below ground alterations of plant root structures. While the above ground implications of vegetation change (e.g., precipitation interception, albedo, phenology, and leaf density) are readily identifiable, below ground consequences are often not. However it is necessary to accurately characterize and represent these changes in hydrologic, ecosystem, and biological models for reliable assessments of land-use impacts on our environment and natural resources. Globally, most land-use changes are associated with deforestation for agriculture, afforestation of open lands or natural conversion of grasslands to forests (Bryant et al. 1997). On average woody species such as trees are more deeply rooted than grasses (Canadell et al. 1996), but the bulk of the root mass (>~45%) is contained within the first 30 cm for both woody and grass species (Jackson et al. 1996). Significant differences in root biomass distributions within a species and differences driven by environmental aspects such as soil characteristics, nutrient availability, and climate are known (Vogt et al. 1996; Coomes and Grubb 2000). However, subsurface roots are generally described in models with limited parameters; i.e. maximum rooting depth and the vertical root distribution. The two parameters allow for the partitioning of water uptake based on the relative density of roots at 76 each depth (Jackson et al. 2000). It is clearly important to validate the parameters of root distribution models at appropriate scales. However, such validations have been rare because there haven’t been many practical approaches to measure below ground impacts of vegetation over large spatial and temporal scales. These findings illustrate the need to understand variability in root distributions and dynamics in space and time based on geological, biological, and hydrological properties. The utility of geophysics for characterizing the shallow subsurface is well recognized (Reynolds 1997). In recent years the value of certain methods for monitoring and quantifying moisture changes in the shallow subsurface has been reported by a number of researchers (Daily et al. 1992; Zhou et al. 2001; French et al. 2002; Hanafy and al Hagrey 2006). The sensitivity of electrical conductivity to changes in soil moisture contents allows the use of Direct Current Electrical Resistivity Imaging (ERI) method for hydrologic investigations. Employing the technique in a time-lapse mode, where the apparent resistivities are repeatedly measured with the electrodes at the same locations, provides valuable data for estimating transient characteristics of subsurface water fluxes (Looms et al. 2008). Such information provides an excellent platform to describe and understand recharge processes at large spatial scales, which has been difficult with traditional point observations. Moreover, the spatially explicit nature of subsurface geophysical measurements enables direct comparisons of these observations with above ground distributions of vegetation and their uptake processes. The depth sensitivity of the measurements, with either commonly 77 practiced surface electrode resistivity measurements or borehole techniques can help define the spatial distributions, and dynamics of root water abstraction processes at field scales. This approach avoids the practical difficulties and invasive nature of trenching and other methods that have been traditionally practiced for measuring root attributes to implement root water abstraction in hydrologic and ecosystem models. Here we present evidence of significant differences in land-use driven subsurface fluxes that are important for groundwater resource sustainability. Soil temperature, moisture, water quality, and groundwater observations for different land-covers collected over multiple seasons are compared and contrasted. We evaluate a simplified approach to quantify the broader impacts of land-use differences on groundwater recharge by integrating spatially explicit soil moisture observations at field-scales with hydrologic modeling. Our field observations provide insight into below ground vegetation impacts at field scales. These observations along with the explored hydrologic and geophysical data integration are expected to help the community develop a scientific consensus on the effects and impacts of LULC on water resources (Petheram et al. 2002; Scanlon et al. 2005) 78 Study sites 0 75 150 Km g TreverseCity Q :5 f .2 3 East Lansing Michigan Figure 4-1. Locations of East Lansing and Traverse City, Michigan field sites where soil moisture dynamics were imaged with ERI. Two field sites were established in Michigan to monitor the spatiotemporal interactions between climate, vegetation, and vadose zone soil moisture (Figure 4-1). The East Lansing study site is characterized by ~4m deep unsaturated zone composed of 40-60 cm of clay loam underlain by a layer of medium to fine sand extending to at least 5m depth. The soil distribution is laterally similar across the studied site transect. The vegetation at the site consists of a mature Maple forest (Acer Saccharum) and a grassland, which are separated by a sharp managed boundary. The grassland was established in 2004, prior to which it had been a Honeylocust (Gleditsia Tn'acanthos) plantation. The forest side of the ecotone 79 develops a dense canopy during the growing season (~May-October), which shades the ground during this time period. The trees are approximately 20-30 years old and are about 30m tall. The grassland is mowed once every year in late-summer or early-fall. The site was initially equipped in September 2006 to monitor climate and vegetation impacts on near surface soil moisture distribution. Eighty four graphite electrodes (CD12 cm x 30 cm) were permanently installed at 1.5m separations along a 124.5m long transect, centered on the forest-grassland boundary for time-lapse electrical resistivity measurements (Figure 4-2). The permanent nature of the electrodes improves data quality, maximizing the potential to identify soil moisture changes. Capacitance-type soil moisture probes were installed at 20 cm and 80 cm depths in the forest in October 2006, and in the grassland in February 2007 (Figure 4-2). Soil temperature beneath the respective land-covers was monitored with two vertical temperature arrays with sensors at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 117, and 147 cm depths. The temperature sensors were installed in the forest in December 2006 and the grassland in February 2007. Additional temperature sensors were installed at 5 cm depth every 15m along the array at the beginning of the study period. Groundwater elevations were monitored in ~ 5m deep observation wells installed below each land cover type in September 2007. Water table fluctuations and temperatures were logged every two hours with data logging pressure/temperature transducers. Climate data for the site were obtained from a 80 Michigan Automated Weather Network (MAWN) station approximately 1.5km from the site. E n'l‘xult- .I'my Temperature rnoixlun- Qullxfil“. Figure 4-2. East Lansing field site. A-B: electrode array with 84 electrodes at 1.5m separation. E3, E26, E70 are groundwater observation wells. Temperature/soil moisture sensor locations have moisture probes at 20 8 80 cm depth. Temperature probes are at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80,117, and 147cm depth at each location. The Traverse City study site is located within a glacial outwash plain. The vadose zone consists of medium to fine clean sands in the first meter of the sub surface and based on available USGS well logs, the first 10 meters of the subsurface (the approximate unsaturated zone) consists of a system of sands and clays followed by sand and gravel to approximately 30 m depth. A sharp managed boundary separates an approximately 20 year old pine plantation from 81 a recreational grassland (Figure 4-3). The trees have a thin canopy, but 10 to 15 m tall trees are closely spaced (~3-4 m), resulting in significant shading. The needles that accumulate on the forest floor result in a thick litter layer that is significantly different from the one that develops at the East Lansing study site. lilt’cfl'k‘dl‘ awn Ternpcraturelmoismre sensors ’ I .l' Figure 4-3. Traverse City study site. A-B: electrode array with 84 electrodes at 1.5m separation. B3 is the groundwater observation well. Moisture sensor locations shown have probes at 20 and 80 cm depths, and temperature sensors are at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 117, and 147 cm depths. For long-term monitoring of soil moisture dynamics, the site was equipped similarly to the East Lansing study site with a permanent 84 electrode (1.2 cm diameter x 30 cm long) array for resistivity measurements. Capacitance-type soil moisture probes were installed in the forest at 20 and 80 cm depths, in addition to moisture probes under a canopy drip line and a tree line (close to tree stems) in July, 2006. The grassland soil moisture was monitored since October, 2006. 82 Data was logged at least every 30 minutes in both land-covers. Sensor arrays for monitoring soil temperature, constructed similar to those at East Lansing site, were installed below both land-covers in December 2006. Field observations At the East Lansing site, the deciduous Maple trees leaf out in late April and develop a dense canopy by mid to late June. The forest canopy insulates the forest floor resulting in only sparse undergrowth that is generally no more than a few centimeters tall. The trees shed their leaves in mid November, which deposits a litter layer on the forest floor each year. In contrast the adjacent grassland remains green until the first snowfall or the onset of below freezing temperatures which generally arrives in late December. Grasses again become active in late March after snowmelt with warm spring temperatures. The evergreen trees at the Traverse City site are much smaller in diameter. The needle leafs are prominent only in the tree crowns, but a significantly thicker (5-15 cm) litter layer is present on the forest floor throughout the year. The adjacent grassland here is frequently mowed during summer months, resulting in ~<5 cm tall grasses during the growing season. The Traverse City study site has a shorter growing season than East Lansing site because of its relatively northern latitude. The two groundwater observation wells at the East Lansing site show a steady rise in water levels beginning in late fall (Figure 4-4). This corresponds to 83 the end of growing season and cessation of water use by the vegetation. The rising trend continues through March, where a significant rise in water table corresponds to the primary snowmelt of the year. The difference in water table elevations between the land covers disappear following snowmelt (Figure 44). While the overall long term water table behavior is similar within both land covers, the high frequency water table fluctuations observed in the grassland throughout the year are significantly damped in the forest. After May, a steady decline of water levels began, coinciding with the reemergence of leaves and active transpiration. 350 250 E --Grasslend 0 --Forest A T.’ E 8 3 O h- : 400 ' #300 3 O O * 3 5 8 3 5 'D n. ‘O 0 g 450 - #350 B a n § g o U- 500 i v v T f v v I T 400 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Figure 4-4. Groundwater observations since October 2007 at the East Lansing study site. Depth to water from the surface is shown for each well. Since the surface elevation at the forest well (E3, Figure 4-2) is 99 cm lower than the surface elevation at the grassland well the two vertical axis are offset by a similar amount. The wells are approximately 90 meters apart. The Traverse City site has one USGS observation well located approximately 100 m northeast of the electrode array (Figure 4-5). Water levels 84 monitored there since June 2006 show the annual recharge-discharge cycles. Drops and rises in water table approximately coincide with the growing seasons and snowmelts respectively. Stable winter snowpack with no intermittent melting likely reduced recharge in 2007-2008 causing drainage and withdrawals to continuously lower the water table from November to early April. 12 €12.51 8 a 3 .9 *5. o 131 O 13.5 . - - May '06 Oct‘06 Mar. '07 Sep.‘07 Feb. '08 Jul. '08 Figure 4-5. Groundwater observations at the Traverse City study site. Annual recharge-discharge cycles related to the growing season and spring snowmelt are evident in this well record. Soil moisture measurements from the East Lansing site show substantial losses during the summer, marked by large declines in soil moisture below both land covers (Figure 4-6). Grassland moisture depletion however is significantly smaller than that below the forest. 85 Soil moisture (emf/err?) o . .. . . T s a I § § s 25 g s 2006 2007 Figure 4-6. Soil moisture measurements below forest and the grassland at the East Lansing site. Electrical Resistivity data acquisition and processing Resistivity data were collected at both study sites using the Wenner and dipole-dipole electrode configurations. Data acquisition, on each visit, resulted in 1134 subsurface apparent resistivity measurements with the Wenner array, which was used for all the analysis and evaluations in this work. At the East Lansing study site, 53 datasets were collected from October 2006 to July 2008. Five datasets were collected at the Traverse City study site between July 2006 and June 2008, coinciding with important periods to capturing the impact of vegetation and climate processes on soil moisture fluctuations. Figure 4-7 and 86 Figure 4-8 illustrate two cross sectional views of the resistivity distributions in the subsurface and land cover characteristics at the two sites in summer. The resistivity data acquired at the East Lansing site were inverted for resistivity changes using a difference inversion scheme (LaBrecque and Yang 2001 ), to focus on areas of the subsurface where soil moisture changes occur. All difference inversions were performed with respect to a single reference (background) dataset to preserve our ability to compare changes in soil moisture through time. A dataset collected on March 30, 2007 was selected as the base dataset, because the site had relatively uniform soil moisture across the ecotone after spring snowmelt. We first difference inverted all datasets relative to the base dataset, and then performed a pixel to pixel recalculation of each dataset using the percent difference and the base dataset. This approach minimizes uncertainties associated with inverting each dataset separately, especially when the goal is to identify differences in measured resistivity due to soil moisture changes (Daily et al. 2005). 87 5.8 E 02:80:. 9m cozmtommfi £5 5 893: .5339sz b_>=m_m9 oomtzmnaw .oEEswég 026E893. a 5:5 26 225 9:98.. “mum 05 Co 32> _mcozoomémeo N4. 059“. (U1) uidao allfl 1n... 4 [alt 5.381] 3.111111 . .5... till . . admit — OF . .. . 9”.» 0! RI {F 4... III HymrlIlIPl II I'll! I'D/II 4 u _. em— 8. g a Q 8 ms ow mm 9 o: a 2...... ewwfififiefifiw 4 88 .._o_oo :_ P2535 0...... 5.5536 £5 5 women: .cozsnEmfi 33550.. moatawnsm .oEEsmég 028E393. m 5:5 mam 63¢. E0 88%; 05 so 32> _mcozoowémEO .wé 9:9“. 9|! mmmmm Ego. 5.7!: (w) llldiiCl NR Banana 89 Interpreting resistivity data Subsurface resistivity distribution below the two land covers at the East Lansing study site over time is shown in Figure 4-9. Distinct differences are evident below the two land-covers in both space and time. The groundwater data (Figure 4-4), which showed steady declines from June through November, and rises starting November are also evident in the vadose zone resistivity distributions. The within land-use resistivity variability is significantly higher in the forest compared to the grassland. A combination of potentially higher transpiration and canopy interception contribute to this higher resistivity variability observed in the forest. The grassland remained relatively homogeneous with respect to resistivity, reflecting apparently stable soil moisture characteristics. Slight increases in resistivity are evident during late summers in the grassland. Significantly lower interception here results in frequent soil wetting after precipitation events, making the grassland moisture behavior more dependent on precipitation frequency. Forest moisture dynamics in comparison are largely a function of vegetation dynamics during the growing season. A similar behavior was observed at the Traverse City study site between the grassland and the pine forest. 90 .5505 Be Emu some .2 once. 05 new £22523 Emu .w 5mm dam—2 .mosmu c.2023 co 0% 95:3 "mom 05 um ncflwmma 05 new $28 05 26.3 5:45:56 32562 $33 .053 .9883. 26.3 2 33:5 .Eoé oomtzmnam so 55.2.9 .9an3 0...... .m-v 05mm 88_ Son _ 88— 88 _ WW SMWMFN MPOSM WPN mmwmamm mm m wmanmwwm muuuammmmm mnuwwmmmmw III-PP'DF Flhillllbo mi :fi. w s . fl. .. 53w 0. _. 53m u w .. 531m... .5390 use... Foam 91 The lowest resistivities observed below the grassland and the forest is approximately uniform across the land covers (Figure 4-9). A relatively higher pore water conductivity in the forest however results in minimum resistivities in the forest that are slightly lower than those below the grassland. Depth averaged (0-2m and 2-4m) resistivities shows the potential contrast in rooting zones between the two land covers and therefore the potential water withdrawal differences from the vadose zone (Figure 4-10). Resistivity changes occurred much deeper below the forest in 2006, potentially indicating the ability of trees to withdraw water from deeper parts of the subsurface (Figure 4-10). A similar increase in the 2-4m depth however did not occur in 2007. 92 .23 genome. 05 5 2265.0 5326505 602030 .029; £3, 02058 5505 totem 33m 05 .6 tea are. 05 acts“. once. EYN 05 E 352362 55:5 .08: 3:25 mfiaov EYN vcm Emé 05 5 $29 @2330. cams. .oTv oSoE 88 _ Bow _ 88 _ 88 _ r. «I N S “I W N MMWmmmmemmMmmmmwmmm mnuuwmmmmwmfluawwwmmw D I F b P P I b I L P P I I I h P b I on Tom—m. n. .ccwM . M ..cmNO .. 53w ETN icon III .- ENIO 320.... III [Own m SYN c.3380 Ir End 9.5.320 1... cc? 93 Electrical resistivity and soil moisture To estimate moisture contents from the resistivity data, site and material- specific relationships between resistivity (p) and volumetric water content (0) were developed following ASTM standard 657-95. After oven drying at 105°C for 24 hours, ten soil samples from the field site were wetted in ~4% water content increments, homogenized, and placed in a test box for resistivity measurements. For these samples, as for most soil materials, the p-6 relationship is well approximated by a power function with coefficient m (sand = 1.16; clay loam = 0.67), which is used in (Archie 1942): 1 S = (‘3‘?)3 (4-1) where, S is saturation (volumetric water content / porosity), and p9, is bulk resistivity of the soil at 100% saturation (sand = 71.53 Qm, clay loam = 68.15 Om; based on field data). Since annual precipitation in Michigan greatly exceeds evapotranspiration (ET), we assume constant fluid conductivity values. We calculated the soil moisture content for each resistivity value obtained from the differential inversions. All resistivity data were corrected for temperature effects using an empirical relationship (Hayley et al. 2007). The soil moisture calculated with ERI is slightly underestimated compared to the point observations from the site (Figure 4-11). 94 0.3 P N I; .° _0 I Calculated moisture (aha/an?) yet .04x-0. 04 R2-0.92 0 w r 0 0 . 1 0 .2 0.3 Observed moisture (cmalcms) Figure 4-11. ERI estimated soil moisture and the observed moisture in the East Lansing study site (Forest). The arithmetic average of the 20 and 80cm cm moisture observations are shown. Soil Moisture Dynamics and Relevance to Recharge The calculated changes in soil moisture at the East Lansing site (Figure 4-12) show that the upper meter of the grassland subsurface has greater soil moisture retention than the forest. Field sampling of soils at the study site indicated that the soil texture characteristics within the two land-covers are generally similar. Therefore it is likely that this difference is due to water use differences between vegetation types, and potentially the relative compaction of the soils in the grassland. Resistivity data from the Traverse City study site also 95 showed a similar contrast in resistivity distribution between the forest and the grassland, with lower resistivities in the grassland. a? 0.4 S H ' EON "' 00.. . .ee '. ... é '0 ° ‘6 E 0.2« . s' .8 ° 9 0° 00° . o °o g 00 ° 0 e o°°o° o o - cm 9 0 ° 8 Ograssland O Q E 0forest 0 LL! 0‘- V V V V 'F ‘7- ' V a. s. s s s g ,3 s s I 2007 2008 Figure 4-12. ERI calculated transient soil moisture (20—80cm cm arithmetic average) in the grassland and the forest. Higher moisture levels in the grassland are observed on each of the ERI data collection dates. Knowledge of deep percolation is particularly important for groundwater recharge studies. Such information is often indirectly inferred from water table fluctuations and other localized observations. In contrast, broader spatial aspects of recharge characteristics can be better imaged with hydrogeophysical methods. Figure 4-13 presents temporal soil moisture changes over the same time interval below the forest and the grassland at the East Lansing study site. These images show averages of an approximately 15m wide section of inverted data below each respective land cover for each collection date. The important times 96 when changes pertinent to groundwater recharge are identified using letters on the diagram. The early to mid growing seasons are represented by soil moisture losses in the shallow subsurface (A), followed by deeper moisture losses in the later part of the growing season (B), due to deeper drainage and surface infiltration during the growing season. Moisture depletion is higher in the forest. The main fall and spring recharge periods at the study site are represented by C and D when deep wetting is prominent. In the fall, deep wetting occurs after active transpiration. In spring, deep wetting is the result of snowmelt. 97 6.8 c. 0060006 0.0 cozmt0mmi 0...: :. w0m0E. .00: .062, Eu... 2 0.6 0.0.006 0.30.9: 60000 9.265 0.0 m 9.0 .m .< .on =0Ez6cm 0560 .3 0032.8 62.0.... 099.00. =8 50:. 05 m. 0 00000600 0.306E 0.0 06.8 BEE; 6:0 0000065 0.30.9: 0606:. 06.8 0.80 60.6.. 0... 0:0 96.0006 05 26.06 033 0.23 m T. :. 009.020 0.30.2: .60 .066E0... .m Tv 050.”. 98 Hydrologic simulations We integrated the ERI derived soil moisture with the one dimensional unsaturated zone flow model, HYDRUS-1 D (Simi’rnek et al. 1998) to quantify the recharge differences between the grassland and the forest. The modeling code implements the well known Richard’s equation for variably saturated media; 60(h) _ 3 g _at — az (K(h) 32 + K(h)) (4-2) where 8(h) is the volumetric moisture content, t is time, 2 is elevation, and K is the hydraulic conductivity. The K(h) and 6(h) functions in Equation 4-2 are represented by van Genuchten parametric models (van Genuchten 1980). An eight meter deep soil column was chosen for the simulations, which keeps the model bottom boundary below the observed water table for the entire simulation period from October 2006 to June 2008. The flow domain was discretized into 801 cells of1 cm thickness. Separate model domains for the forest and the grassland were developed to better integrate the broad soil and stratigraphic characteristics observed within each land cover (Figure 4-14). The bottom boundary of the model was defined as a zero flux boundary as a first approximation, but can be relaxed into a specified flux boundary based on the drainage during the snow cover period. We assume that lateral flows are insignificant in the system based on measured temporally consistent pore water conductivity differences (~100uS/cm) in the two wells at the site which are separated by ~90m. 99 Forest Grassland Depth (cm) 0 0 so _ °'" '°"“ so - d" m . 0: fine sand . ii Fine and 215 -- '-' ' 248 “ I ‘ a 30° - Loemy and 370 my loernlcleyloem 520 llne sand/loom loemlflnd and m m Fm Model Field Model Figure 4-14. A simplified illustration of the soil texture and stratigraphy (from soil cores) in the forest and the grassland. Different soil texture units identified in field soil cores were combined to three representative layers in the vadose zone flow model (right). Images in this dissertation are presented in color. The conceptual framework for integrating geophysical estimates of spatial soil moisture with HYDRUS-1 D is illustrated in Figure 4-16. The subsurface soil moisture distributions obtained using the ERI data in step 1 were first used with an inverse flow model to obtain optimized soil parameters; 63, a, n, Ks (van Genuchten 1980) for each of the soil texture layers in the one dimensional models. Soil moisture estimates from late October to mid May of 2006/2007 and 2007/2008 were used in this step, because it should be possible to get better estimates of the soils alone during this period of low soil evaporation and vegetation water uses. Spatially averaged ERI derived soil moisture below the 100 two land-covers were used as calibration data for soil hydraulic parameter optimization in each model. The starting soil moisture for the modeled soil columns were obtained from a resistivity dataset collected on the same day the simulations were started (October 18, 2006). .I.‘0.C...“CK‘O‘CI‘OO‘II‘OC‘CC‘J.“IuI‘CI‘CI‘OI‘. IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII . 1 : . . Archie‘s . Soil moisture j (ERI) fonnule. (time series) 3 ............................................................................. \ Mstudypenod‘ """""" '3 ”season‘ Vadose zone E ' i 5 flow model {-5 h1.h2.h3,h4 : (menus-1D) g g orwa , 5 aparameteni‘» E \Mm/ i 5 (Feddes et 01/1974) ' : \hdose zone 5 Gm?“ 5 flow model : '9 (menus-1o) '. ................................... 5...................................5 L..................................3 Figure 4-15. Conceptual framework for integrating geophysical soil moisture estimates with hydrologic modeling to estimate groundwater recharge. Soil parameters as, a, n, Ks are optimized in stage 2, and plant water stress function parameters h1, h2, h3, h4 , are calibrated in stage 3. To define the root distribution within the model domains, we use information extracted from ERI data collected at the research site. The root zone distribution was interpreted based on the soil moisture changes computed between early-growing seasons and peak growing seasons with ERI data from 101 2007 (Figure 4-17). This is likely a better representation of the actual root distribution at the site. The sensitivity of the simulated hydrologic fluxes to root distribution was evaluated with a commonly used root distribution model; ——L'(z) = e“cz (4-3) Lprofile where Lr(z)/mefi/9 is the normalized root length density (0-1), 2 is depth, and c is a biome dependent empirical parameter, - 0.9 (forest) (de Rosnay and Polcher 1998). An initial set of root water abstraction parameters were selected from the HYDRUS-1 D database (Simi’rnek et al. 1998), and the same parameter set was used in both forest and grassland models. Potential evapotranspiration rates at the site were calculated separately for the grassland and the forest (Figure 4-18) using the modified Penman- Monteith method (Monteith 1965), implemented in the Integrated Land Hydrology Model (ILHM) (Hyndman et al. 2007). Snowpack and snowmelt conditions under the two land-covers were assumed to be the same due to inadequate snowpack observations at the site. 102 : ‘~, 1 ’. .l . .. . .. - ’0 ..- rt" r"? O :é: 2‘ --...”’_-... .. f I, ' g , e I 8 3 - I «— I -o- Grassland + Forest 005 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 Moisture difference (om’lcm’) Figure 4-16. Laterally averaged changes in soil moisture below the forest and the grassland between early-growing (April to early May) and peak-growing periods (July to August) (from Jayawickreme et al., 2008). With the soil parameters estimated with inverse modeling, only limited agreement between simulated and ERI estimated soil moisture was achieved (Figure 4-19 and Figure 4-20). However, the soil hydraulic parameters obtained are relatively representative of the soil texture types identified in field cores (Table 4-1 and Table 4-2). Simulations of hydrologic fluxes for the entire study period from October, 2006 to June, 2008 show that measured groundwater table elevations are fairly well estimated in the forest (Figure 4-20), but the simulated heads are relatively different in the grassland (Figure 4-21) due to among others an inadequate description of boundary conditions. 103 Precipitetlon througfell (m) LAI Potential transpiration (m) Potential soil evaporation (m) 0 ‘1’ 8335538855 Figure 4-17. Cumulative precipitation throughfall (a), representative leaf area indexes (b) from MODIS, calculated cumulative potential transpiration (c) and soil evaporation (d) inputs for hydrologic simulations from ILHM. 104 Simulated moisture (an’lan‘) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 ERI estimated moisture (011301113) Figure 4-18. Simulated vs. ERI estimated soil moisture in the forest. Data is from 10 depths within the first 3m of the subsurface. 0.4 0.2 0.1- Simulated moisture (crn3lcm3) 0.3 3" 0.47): + 0.12 R2 a 0.56 ‘t{ 0 * 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 ERI estimated moisture (cchm’) Figure 4-19. Simulated vs. ERI estimated soil moisture in the grassland with data from nine depths in the first 3m of the subsurface. 105 5.5. 95% Cl Layer Parameter Estimate C03“ Lower Upper 85 0.30 0.06 0.19 0.42 1 6.32 4.43 -2.40 15.03 n 1.50 0.11 1.28 1.72 Ks 1.46 2.16 -2.79 5.71 Os 0.29 0.03 0.23 0.35 2 5.40 2.61 0.25 10.55 n 1.36 0.08 1.19 1.53 Ks 4.00 5.86 -7.55 15.55 85 0.30 0.01 0.28 0.33 3 a 2.80 0.66 1.50 4.10 Ks 0.20 0.10 0.01 0.39 Table 4-1. Estimated soil hydraulic parameters for the three soil layers in the forest with standard errors of regression coefficients (S.E. Coeff) and confidence intervals. 5.5. 95% CI Layer Parameter Estimate C09“ Lower Upper 85 0.36 0.06 0.24 0.48 1 a 7.84 9.21 -10.33 26.00 n 1.20 0.08 1.04 1.36 Ks 0.87 2.65 -4.35 6.09 85 0.30 0.04 0.22 0.37 2 a 4.40 4.77 -5.00 13.80 n 1.20 0.07 1.07 1.33 Ks 8.00 20.97 -33.35 49.35 85 0.30 0.01 0.28 0.33 3 a 2.60 1.23 0.17 5.03 Ks 0.20 0.18 -0.15 0.55 Table 4-2. Estimated soil hydraulic parameters for the three soil layers in the grassland. Bottom pressure head (m) -m easu red —-sim ulated 3 . .. l . - fl . . . I séfi‘s‘fé yfrt'yeyfidb yfif 4‘9 Figure 4-20. Measured and simulated groundwater table in the forest with optimized soil hydraulic parameter sets in the 1D-Hydrus model. These observation data were not used in the optimization for hydraulic parameters in the forest. 5.5 g 51 '0 Q 2 a 4.5‘ 3 so 3 4 a l E :3 3.54 m —-m easu red W —simulated 3 is" ukftzssé‘ "6‘? \fm‘ySy'J’y Jys'f {9 Figure 4-21. Measured and simulated groundwater table in the grassland with optimized soil hydraulic parameter. 107 The simulated summer growing season (June-October, 2007) soil moisture compares reasonably well in the forest (Figure 4-22), but the agreement is poor in the grassland where the simulated soil moisture content is lower than the ERI estimates (Figure 4-23). The cumulative transpiration in the forest and the grassland during the entire simulation period is 407 and 419mm respectively. Based on the discrepancy between ERl estimated and model simulated summer soil moisture in the grassland (Figure 4-23), it can be suggested that the simulated grassland transpiration is likely higher than the actual amount. The sensitivity of the simulated transpiration to root distribution (Table 4-3), root water abstraction parameters (Table 4-4), and soil hydraulic parameters (Table 5-1) indicate that simulated transpiration is likely to be most affected by the root water abstraction parameters M and h2 (Feddes et al. 1974). These parameters (h1, h2, h3, M) were initially assumed the same for both grassland and the forest. Based on the above analysis however, it is evident that this was an over simplification. But with the available ERI estimates of root zone soil moisture, root water uptake parameters for the grassland can be refined until a reasonable match between the simulated root zone soil moisture and ERI estimates is obtained. This process should also improve the simulated hydrologic fluxes in the grassland. 108 0“— y- tux-0.02 R’a 0.64 “l 0.24 Observed m oistu re O 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Sim u lated m olstu re Figure 4-22. Observed (ERI calculated) vs. simulated moisture in the forest during summer (June-October, 2007). 0.4 y-0.71x+0.06 0 R’= 0.28 , 3 03¢ a U) '6 E a 0.2' d) E 3’. . 8 o 0.11 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Sim u lated m oistu re Figure 4-23. Observed vs. simulated soil moisture in the grassland from June to October, 2007. 109 Parameter deRosany ERI Root A96 2T (mm) 394.17 407.69 -3.32 h 5.47 5.28 3.61 Table 4-3. Sensitivity of simulated cumulative transpiration 7. T and bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to different root distributions. ERI Root is root distribution estimated with resistivity data, deRosany model used with a distribution coefficient of -0.9 (de Rosnay and Polcher1998). Parameter {E {T h Base;)alue i 13:“:856 h 1 0.43 -9.71 4.33 -0.8 -0.88 -0.44 9.10 -3.88 -0.72 l12 0.44 -7.72 2.80 -2.5 -2.75 -0.59 8.54 -3.16 -2.25 h 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 -10 -11 0.00 0.00 0.00 -9 h 4 0.01 0.36 -0.15 -80 -88 0.01 0.43 0.18 -72 Table 4-4. Sensitivity of simulated evaporation (ZE), transpiration (Z T), and model bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to a 110% adjustment in root water abstraction parameters (Feddes et al. 1974). ZE, and X T are given as percent changes relative the base model. h1-minimum pressure head for active transpiration, h2-pressure- head for maximum transpiration efficiency, h3-limiting pressure head where transpiration ceases to occur at maximum efficiency, and h4-wilting point. 110 Model layer Parameter Base value 1: 10% base value {I 2T {E h as 0.3 0.27 0.56 0.60 -2.44 1.21 0.33 -0.50 -0.11 2.21 -1.26 Alpha 6.32 5.688 0.01 5.31 0.06 -2.23 6.952 0.02 -4.24 -0.10 1.60 Layer 1 n 1 5 1.35 -0.55 8.39 2.41 -5.80 ' 1.65 0.61 -9.25 -2.68 5.57 Ks 1.46 1.314 -0.06 -1.56 0.28 0.44 1.606 0.07 1.32 -0.32 -0.47 as 0.29 0.261 0.01 -8.20 -0.04 6.66 0.319 0.00 4.84 0.01 492 mpha 5.4 4.86 0.07 8.69 0.33 -4.41 5.94 -0.07 -9.28 0.31 5.04 Layer 2 n 1 36 1.224 -0.03 2.31 0.15 -6.56 ' 1.496 -0.05 -14.00 0.21 10.34 Ks 4 3.6 0.02 -3.10 0.10 1.35 4.4 0.04 2.28 0.17 -1.17 as 0 3 0.27 0.15 -9.35 0.67 19.18 ' 0.33 0.00 6.65 0.01 -18.99 Npha 2.8 2.52 0.02 2.82 -0.07 -1.79 3.08 0.01 -2.72 0.02 1.50 Layer 3 n 1 69 1.521 0.00 3.04 0.00 -1.87 ' 1.859 0.00 -2.97 0.02 1.59 0.18 0.00 -0.85 0.01 0.44 Ks 0.2 0.22 0.00 0.53 0.00 -0.20 Table 4-5. Sensitivity of cumulative infiltration (2|), transpiration (Z T), evaporation (ZE), and bottom pressure head (h) in the forest to a 110% adjustment in soil parameters. 2|, 2 T, and 2E shown are percent changes compared to the base model with optimized soil hydraulic parameters. 111 Discussion and Conclusion In this chapter evidence for significant hydrologic differences driven by LULC characteristics at study sites in Michigan were presented. These differences are readily identified using geophysical methods that are both non- invasive and spatially explicit. Using time-lapse approaches, the spatial and temporal changes in soil moisture were identified and were related to vegetation and climate processes. Independent measurements of point soil moisture and groundwater table data substantiated the validity of geophysical measurements and subsequent interpretations. Electrical resistivity measurements made at the study sites provided important information about subsurface consequences of above ground vegetation. Soil moisture and soil moisture change information derived from ERI data can be used to asses subsurface root distributions as well as to quantify spatial and temporal soil moisture use differences related to vegetation. Such spatially explicit information is generally difficult to obtain with point observations alone. By integrating this type of information with hydrologic models, better estimates of groundwater recharge and transpiration fluxes at any site can be obtained. The approach devised in this study to directly integrate ERI estimated soil moisture is straight forward and simple. However the subsurface systems involved were inherently complex in terms of their properties and processes. Therefore the reasonable estimates of soil moisture and other hydrologic fluxes obtained with the forest model in particular are promising. Improvements to the 112 one dimensional models with better descriptions of boundary conditions could further improve their performance. Additionally, other approaches to integrate the geophysical estimates with the hydrologic models should be explored. The uncertainties of ERI estimated soil moisture in the grassland is particularly high, especially during the summer months as a result of greater variability of temperature and other environmental conditions compared to the forest. Evaluating these uncertainties prior to integrating ERI estimated grassland soil moisture with the hydrologic models could improve the relatively poor estimates of hydrologic quantities obtained. 113 References Archie, GE. 1942. The electrical resistivity log as an aid in determining some reservoir characteristics. T. Am. Inst. Min. Metal. Eng. 146254-61. Beighley, R.E., T. Dunne, et al. 2008. 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Amer. J. 44:892-898. Vogt, K.A., D.J. Vogt, et al. 1996. Review of root dynamics in forest ecosystems grouped by climate, climatic forest type and species. Plant and Soil 187:159-219. Wayland, K.G., D.T. Long, et al. 2003. Identifying relationships between baseflow geochemistry and land use with synoptic sampling and r-mode factor analysis. Journal of Environmental Quality 322180-190. Zhou, Q.Y., J. Shimada, et al. 2001. Three-dimensional spatial and temporal monitoring of soil water content using electrical resistivity tomography. Water Resources Research 37:273-285. Simflnek, J., M. Sejna, et al. 1998. Code for simulating the one-dimensional movement of water, heat, and multiple solutes in variably saturated porous media. 117 Chapter Five Evaluating a range of approaches to derive hydrogeological information from electrical resistivity data Introduction Geophysical methods have often been used to develop spatially extensive estimates of subsurface hydrologic properties and characteristics (Daily et al. 1992; Hyndman and Gorelick 1996; Hyndman et al. 2000; Looms et al. 2008). In some cases, time-lapse geophysical approaches can help discern temporal changes that occur in the subsurface due to climate, vegetation, and other processes. Recent advances in instrument technology, as well as data acquisition and processing methods have resulted in many recent geophysical applications in environmental research (Slater et al. 2000; Pellerin 2002; al Hagrey 2007; Amidu and Dunbar 2007; Looms et al. 2008). Direct current electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) is a promising geophysical method that is commonly used for subsurface hydrologic characterizations (Binley et al. 2002; Israil et al. 2006; al Hagrey 2007; Nosetto et al. 2007). The sensitivity of electrical conductivity to changes in soil moisture and solute concentrations, and the potential ability of ERI to reasonably capture and quantify these changes in space and time with minimal disturbance are some of the major reasons for the popularity of ERI within the hydrologic science community (Kemna et al. 2002; French and Binley 2004; Israil et al. 2006). 118 Despite the significant use of ERI method for environmental investigations, its practical uses outside of experimental settings are complicated by a variety of factors. Survey techniques, measurement physics, inversions and other data processing methods are still being developed and improved. Wlth time-lapse measurements necessary to image transient and dynamic subsurface processes, further uncertainties may emerge due to inconsistent data acquisition strategies and effects of natural environmental variability. These are inherently difficult to fully capture and describe in field settings. Soil temperature and moisture are two of the principal variables affecting changes in soil conductivity. Other biological, geochemical, and physical processes also have the potential to influence the measurements, allowing for potential misinterpretation of resistivity observations. Conversion of electrical resistivity estimates to other quantities of interest, such as soil moisture is generally done with two commonly accepted models (Archie 1942; Topp et al. 1980). This chapter provides an overview of the ERI method based on our experience with imaging long-term subsurface soil moisture dynamics at a field site in East Lansing, Michigan. The literature does not provide extensive information on the opportunities provided by this non-invasive method for gaining insights into subsurface environments or the practical challenges to its effective long term use in natural settings. Resistivity data collected for two years at our East Lansing research site are used to examine the effects of data acquisition and processing strategies for quantifying the natural variability of subsurface electrical resistivity. We also evaluate the influence of these choices on our ability 119 to interpret and quantify soil moisture dynamics with the electrical resistivity data. Finally, we discuss approaches to further enhance the reliability of hydrologic quantities extracted from time-lapsed data. Electrical Resistivity Imaging (ERI) ERI is a method that estimates the subsurface distribution of electrical resistivity by introducing a known current into the ground using a pair of electrodes, and measuring the resulting potential difference between separate pairs of electrodes. The measured resistance is a function of electrical conductivity of the subsurface constituents (grain matrix, porosity, water content and conductance). By deploying arrays with multiple electrodes, many independent measurements of resistivity can be quickly collected in a repeatable manner. Several electrode configurations can be used for data acquisition with varying resolutions and sensitivities (Reynolds 1997; Dahlin and Lake 1998; Lake 2000; Dahlin and Zhou 2004). At our research site, we acquired data with the common Wenner and Dipole-Dipole electrode configurations (Figure 5-1) because of their robustness. The spatial data coverage for these array types at the research site are illustrated in Figure 5-2. 120 Dipob-dipolo 8 I'll I A +-—-—-’ B <— ——————— —> M«—-—--—-> N —. 1 O *— Wenner a a a A e— ————— >M<— ————— > "4— ————— ) B + O——*-—. 0'— Figure 5-1 Electrode positions for Wenner (top) and Dipole-dipole (bottom) electrode configurations. A, B are current electrodes and M, N are potential electrodes. ‘a’ is the distance between electrodes used for measurements, and n is an integer. 0 31 62 03 L21 (m) OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Apparent depth (m) 1 5 — . . .o...'.:.'.‘.:.‘.‘.:.:.‘.t.‘.:.‘.‘.:.‘3333333333.;‘3‘... . . . 0.00.00.00.00. . 3 0 _ OW . . . . (m ) 3o- Wenner (M) Figure 5-2. Data coverage for Wenner and dipole-dipole electrode configurations for an 84 electrode array with 1.5m electrode separations. Higher data density near the electrode positions is obtained with the dipole-dipole configuration compared to Wenner, where data coverage is evenly distributed. 1453 and 1134 measurements are obtained with these dipole-dipole and Wenner arrays respectively. 121 ERI and environmental variability The solid constituents of shallow soils are generally good insulators. As a result, the electrical conductivity measured with ERI is primarily from ionic conduction through water in the pore spaces of soils, sediments, and rocks. This dependency between electrical conductivity and pore-water can thus be exploited to obtain quantitative estimates of soil moisture. While soil moisture variability is often the primary reason for temporal changes in subsurface resistivity, pore- water conductivity and soil temperature may also have significant affects on ERI measurements that may limit the ability to compare time-lapse measurements in some environments. These variables also vary spatially, and thus their effects tend to be different along the electrode array where the data is collected. Soil structure, porosity, and other physical characteristics can also affect conductivity over time, but these are relatively less important, particularly for seasonal or annual estimates. Electrical conductivity and volumetric soil moisture A general approach to estimate soil moisture from ERI data is to relate the measured electrical conductivity to water saturation through petrophysical models. The most general is Archie’s law (Archie 1942); which describes the electrical conduction of a material, related to the conductivity and water saturation in the pore spaces. The relationship, derived through experimental results, can be written in terms of electrical resistivity as; 122 pi = aprmSJ.“ (54) where pw is the resistivity of the pore fluid, <19 is porosity, and S is fractional water saturation; S=0/CD where 9 is the water content. The exponential constant m, known as the cementation factor, depends on the interconnectedness of pore spaces; 1.3 is commonly used for unconsolidated clean sand formations (Knight and Endres 2005). The constant a is a fitting parameter with values ranging between 0.62 and 2.45, however it is often considered unity in practice. The exponent n, called the saturation exponent, accounts for the connectedness of water in the partially saturated soils (Knight and Endres 2005). Archie’s model assumes the primary conduction occurs through the pore fluid. Therefore in places where clay and other conductive materials are present, the effective contributions of these materials to the bulk conductivity should be assessed by integrating other empirical components with Archie’s equation (Waxman and Smits 1968). Alternatively, the contribution of clay and other conductive components can be accounted for by measuring the resistivity-soil moisture relationship for site specific soils in a laboratory setting. A common approach to estimating Archie’s parameters for a particular soil is to perform laboratory measurements using standard procedures (ASTM standard 657-95). Such methods however suffer from a number of practical difficulties such as the need to extensively disturb the soil samples to facilitate even wetting and packing in a test box. However, a general relationship obtained with multiple sample tests in combination with other independent estimates of 123 saturated soil resistivities and porosities from undisturbed field samples are often sufficient to describe the resistivity-soil moisture relationship for a particular soil. In this study, a relationship was constructed between laboratory measurements of soil saturation and resistivity to estimate m for the simplified form of the Archie’s equation. S = (5")E (5-2) This equation was used to convert field resistivity images into soil moisture based on estimates of porosity from soil cores collected at the site and saturated resistivity values from field datasets. p3 here is saturated bulk resistivity. Parameter Mean Stdev Max Min Soil (0 0.47 0.03 0.51 0.43 I m 0.67 0.09 0.84 0.6 C 3" ("=6) ps 68.15 - - - (D 0.39 0.03 0.43 0.36 m 1.16 0.11 1.29 0.99 53"" ln=6l p, 71.53 . - 98 65 Table 5-1. Parameters for Archie’s equation from laboratory measurements of soils at the study site. p. is obtained from field resistivity data (for sand estimated with resistivity data from below the water table, and for clay estimated from datasets collected when the site was extremely wet). 124 0:4 —200m soil moisture —800m soil moisture o»EFuInuinouldsoflrnoflnuntGN>412cnlaMgJ 930.3- E 3 E s 3 . 9 1"? \‘fi’l "w a . _. v. « R o .9; 1 ° " o E " l a - i; 0.1! ‘\'~ ' e U) Q «J H o v I ' v i I U o .- 3 = s 8 s z 8 e g 25 $2 25 :5 23 :3 S; 2; c: 2006 2007 I 2008 Figure 5-3. Soil moisture estimates from ERI (dipole-dipole) data compared to other independent measurements of soil moisturelat the study site. The ERI estimated soil moisture, based on laboratory derived parameters (Table 5-1) and equation 5-1, correlates well with point soil moisture measurements made at the site with automated data loggers (Figure 5-3). Figure 5-4 illustrates the potential uncertainty in ERI estimated soil moisture due to uncertainty in Archie’s parameters. The fitting parameter m has a stronger influence on soil moisture estimates for higher resistivities or lower soil moisture contents. Estimation error of saturated resistivity has more impact on the computed soil moisture at lower resistivity ranges, which may complicate attempts to identify the elevation of the capillary fringe from ERI (Figure 5-5). 125 Clay loam 1 1 g m 90.76 “3‘ 00.87 “0.58 .3 0.e< ; S . 0.4 1 0 II 3 ’ + ' . o 3 -_§§ i 0 V I T j 0 100 200 300 4.00 Send 1 1 . m +1.27 0'. ‘ 3 01.16 C105 0.6« 3: % 0.4 1 a .3 0.2 1 o 1' T 1' 1 0 200 400 600 800 Resistivity (Ohm-m) 1- 4 p8 0 8 ° 474.97 ‘ ‘ - 000.10 *, -01.34 0.0- . " 4» 0.4- o - O . o ' O 0.2 1 " § § 0 § . ‘ 0 V f V V 0 100 200 300 400 1 ' .1.. p‘ ' +0800 0-3‘ 3' 071.53 - 6 -06.00 0.61 0.4- 0.21 0 V 1 V 1 0 200 400 000 800 Figure 5-4. The sensitivity of ERI derived saturation to m, and p8 estimates. The high (grassland-98 Ohm-m) and low (forest-65 Ohm-m) values for saturated resistivity were derived from field resistivity data. Some of the differences in saturated resistivity between the grassland and forest are due to observed groundwater conductivity differences. 126 1 01/13 02/02 02/22 03113 04102 04122 05/12 9 § 2007 2008 "/14 Figure 5-5. Water table elevation observations and resistivity measurements in the forest (a), grassland (b) from November 2007 to June 2008. The correlation between water table elevation and contours of the resistivity estimates is much clearer in the forest relative to the grassland. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. Figure 5-5 illustrate the temporal changes in resistivity measured near the grassland (spatially averaged data within a ~3 zone near the well) and forest (spatially averaged data within ~3m zone, ~10m away from the well) groundwater 127 observation wells at the study site. The changes in water table elevation are similar to the pattern of resistivity changes in the forest, but this relationship is relatively less clear in the grassland. The inability of ERI to image the water table in the grassland could result from a number of different factors. The presence of the shallow high conductivity zone (low resistivity) in the grassland is one contributing factor that likely affects the resolution of ERI measurement below it resulting in a lower vertical resistivity contrast. Alternatively, it is also possible that the vertical soil moisture contrast is low in the grassland due to the lower soil moisture deficit there at the end of the growing season, which recovers relatively quickly with fall precipitation. Soil temperature and electrical conductivity The electrical conductivity of pore fluids is influenced by soil temperatures. Temperature variations are largest in the shallow subsurface (0-1 m), especially over relatively short time frames. However, over seasonal time scales, temperature also vary down to the water table at this site. Additionally, soil temperatures can differ spatially, particularly during warm summer months depending on land-cover characteristics and associated shading (Figure 5-6). Observations made at our study site show that summer diurnal soil temperatures in the top 10 centimeters change by ~ 20°C in the grassland but only ~ 10°C in the forest (Figure 5-6, inset). At the same site, consistent long- terrn groundwater temperature differences of ~2°C were also recorded between 128 the land-covers. Our temperature observations show that overall, the subsurface in the grassland is ~2~3°C warmer than the forest throughout the year due to differences in solar insolation. 35 Tm 3,, ‘ ..l at“ ’31:.“ {Ml II“ .. 11'. tl‘ ' .Jl Soil temperature (’C) 8 z; .x 1‘1 1 1 1 1 1 1' 1 ' 1'6 ' 4° 3°40 11° 4° 9 1° 191° 0’111 0““ 01"0 0“"; 09“ «‘9‘ «11% 011“ of“ 0409“ Figure 5-6. Seasonal grassland soil temperature fluctuations at the study site. Inset shows diurnal soil temperature differences between the grassland and the forest stand over a span of three days in June. There are several models to describe the effect of temperature on electrical conductivity of soils. In the 0-25°C range, the relationship can be approximated using 0' _ m('I‘§ g—25)+1 (5'3) Std_( m(Tti-25)+1 ) i (Hayley et al. 2007); where Tstd is a reference temperature. ostd is conductivity at the reference temperature Tstd. Ti and o; are measured temperature and 129 electrical conductivity values, and m is a material dependent temperature coefficient (Hayley et al. 2007). Figure 5-7 illustrates the effect of different soil temperatures on the resistivities typically measured at the research site. Over seasonal scales and at higher soil resistivity ranges the temperature induced resistivity variations could be relatively high (~25%). The effect of temperature however is more important in lower resistivity ranges near soil water saturation. The resistivity-soil moisture relationship computed with Archie’s equation shows that a ~12°C temperature change leads to a ~20% difference in the calculated soil moisture at lower resistivities (a saturated resistivity of 730m, m coefficient of 1.16 used in the calculation). The effect of m in the temperature-resistivity relationship is less important at lower measured resistivities. However, at the 4000m and 28°C illustrated, m (0.018-0.022) range results in 3 ~13% resistivity difference in the correction (Figure 5-8). 500- 500- -—28°C A 4001 A 4004 _24°C 5 E --- 20°C " 9 - . 18°C E 300‘ g 300- 15 '2 seem 12°C 8 __ . E 2 200‘ 2° c g 200- ‘ “III-24°C l 3 --- 20°C 3 100‘ - . 16.0 1001 I“... m... 12°C 0 U V T 1 o I T V T I 0 200 400 800 800 0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1 Tom p. corrected bulk resistivity (0m) Saturation (file) Figure 5-7. The influence of temperature on resistivity and the resulting difference in calculated soil moisture with Archie’s equation. 130 Bulr resistivity (an) 0 v . . . 0 200 400 600 000 Temp. cetrected built resistivity (0m) Figure 5-8. The influence of m on soil resistivity-temperature dependence at two different soil temperatures (28°C and 12°C). The sensitivity to m is important at higher temperature ranges. 0 31 62 93 124(m) —.g i I." “01001151000010 0.10.4‘7‘7 ‘ v-v-NN Figure 5-9. Percent change in resistivity from August 10, 2007 to January 11, 2008 without (a) and with (b) temperature correction. Prominent changes in the grassland (a) do not appear once the temperature correction is added (b). Images in this dissertation are presented in color. 131 The differences computed between two resistivity datasets from the East Lansing field study site are compared in Figure 5-9. The noticeable change in grassland resistivity (Figure 5-9a), prior to temperature correction do not appear in the difference computed with the temperature corrected data (Figure 5-9b). In general the temperature variability is larger in the grassland. With limited spatial measurements of temperature the uncertainty due to this variation is likely to be higher in the grassland. The-effect of pore-water conductivity Dissolved ion concentrations in the subsurface depend on a number of factors. Biological degradation and ion leaching processes along with concentration of solutes due to evaporation and transpiration are important factors that may introduce land-use driven pore water conductivity differences in the vadose zone. Anthropogenic inputs such as road salt and agricultural fertilizers are other potential considerations. Seasonal differences in biological processes and variations in ion concentrations in the precipitation (Rein et al. 2004) can also introduce temporal variations in water conductivity. Groundwater conductivity measured in two observation wells at the research site show that the groundwater conductivity differs between the land covers (Figure 5-10a). The difference is fairly consistent over the course of the measured period. The relative influence of this difference on measured resistivity in the grassland and the forest can be evaluated with the Archie’s equation (5-1). 132 .cozmSofio 05 5 new: we; .m__om 25mm *0 36220220 .N .6 m:_m> : cm can 9. WE .2928 use“: .3628 $9.” 53> :8 < .SV 5:233 be 385% 30:? .2 5:23 m.e_:2< :0 women 22.3.8.8 95:250.. $2652 .8536 3:45 new $53.20.". .3 2.0; 9.0st030 528 new ecsmmfim 05 E 96 52¢me 05 “a noSwmoE £28328 5533390 .o _..m 059“. Esme 3.2.32.8 6.25 23 0mm oak one can cme one» 32. 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However, at the study site, with comparable soil conditions, a consistent discrepancy in resistivities between the grassland and the forest is observed below the water table (Figure 5-11). 134 3.8 c. coucmmoa 9m cozmtomwfi £5 E momma... .3353 23399598 9.: 0:280 9: ho 02m 555 :0 .m__E_m 9m 28m 9: new umfiotoo 9322...:2 m_ 5505 Sac .ucsmmflm «.855 05 5 8:35:28 5632305 35¢.on .026. 9: 2 can 29.: m_ ucmfimflm 05 5 $8.26 Ea: E Viv 033 .995 26.3 mo=_m> DEERE 3:9: .592 “Em c5335 05 26.3 moocoaotfi 33:03:00 5526505 Io 3:255 33:20.“. .36 2:9”. %%%%@%%fi% Ed I ,lrel “IOIQI. u . A . . t I , . . ..... EEE§fi= ng =:o Basso moan. 135 The measured bulk electrical resistivities are approximately 30-500m higher in the grassland (Figure 5-12), which is consistent with the measured lower groundwater conductivity. An adjustment for the conductivity difference (~137pS/cm) would result in a resistivity adjustment of ~26%, which lowers the measured saturated zone grassland resistivity (~980m) to ~720m, approximately equivalent to that measured in the saturated zone of the forest (~70-750m). In the unsaturated zone a similar adjustment would further reduce the measured resistivity in the grassland. However, no measurements of pore water conductivity in the vadose zone are available for this purpose. a? O uJunO‘l_08 D a _1 AMay18_08 '3 ‘4 AMay02_08 ‘3 “ A _2 oMar22_oa E N oMar14_08 5 “ .3 g water table (max) watertabmminj" I: .200 .100 o 100 Pgrassland - Pforest Figure 5-12. Measured bulk electrical resistivity difference between the grassland and the forest (pgrassland-pforest). Higher resistivities below the water table in the grassland are consistent with the lower measured groundwater conductivities there. The shaded area indicates the approximate range of water table change in the grassland between March and June 2008. 136 ERI and time-lapse differencing The primary objective of time-lapse ERI is to obtain temporal variations of subsurface hydraulic quantities of interest. Two approaches are often adopted for computing the differences between time-lapse ERI datasets. The simplest is to invert each ERI dataset independently and then compute the difference with respect to a reference background dataset. This approach however is often considered unreliable because data related errors tend to mask small variations in the amount of moisture or solute (Daily et al. 2005). An alternative is to use a difference inversion algorithm (LaBrecque and Yang 2001), where the ratios of two data sets or the differences in the data itself are associated with the inversion. The ratio approach can be expressed as; d dn = aid“ (54) where dn the new data vector with normalized data, dt is monitoring or time lapse data, do is data for the reference state or base data, and dh is an arbitrary homogenous conductivity representative of data that would be observed in a homogeneous subsurface. The dn data set is then inverted to obtain changes relative to the reference dh (Daily and Owen 1991). All data processing in this study were based on the difference inversion approach above. One contentious issue related to this method is the selection of an appropriate base dataset t for the difference computations. The choice of 137 base dataset was complicated by the fact that the resistivity distributions were highly variable at the research site both in space and time, driven by the sharp vegetation difference. How these contrasts embedded in a base dataset would affect and propagate through subsequent datasets processed relative to it were initially difficult to evaluate. A simple analysis of the potential errors and uncertainties related to base dataset selection is therefore presented in this section as a foundation for further work. The following analysis evaluates three resistivity datasets, B1 (collected on October, 2006, 82 (July 2007), and B3 (January 2008) from the study site, and difference inversion related computations made with them as base datasets. The characteristics of the three datasets as acquired from the field site are illustrated in Figure 5-13. Dataset B1 has a significant spatial coverage of higher resistivities and a larger contrast with the forest. 82 in comparison has a sharper contrast between the shallow and deep soils below the forest, and B3 has a relatively uniform resistivity distribution across the ecotone, which is most uniformly wet compare to B1 and BZ (Figure 5-13). 138 .86.... E 8282a 2m cozmtowwfi £5 5 892:. airman 850E 5552.. 858:6 .2 com: 2m; 52; 6% >35 9: E0: £3 2% 33:39 925 he 85:93.20 Eon. .m Tm 9:9“. no A n. e e I 1 1 1 z 00 oo 00 on» 00 0o. 00. a.» 06 00 E 0 [genre gll'll «.988 6.3%.. . _ amfiooméaq I. 31.3.5-5 .. [655 1 r F as; 2388 £528 ., E . . it: mfim WI . .- ,,,,, ii .,;,.ll. .3.»! . its}... 0 139 The comparisons between independent inversions of the three datasets with the same datasets derived using difference inversions and the other two datasets as base data is illustrated in Figure 5-14. The two approaches clearly lead to relatively different outcomes. Overall the direct inversions appear to result in lower inverted resistivities compared to difference inversions. Figure 5-14 b & c shows that difference inversion of B1 with BB as the base result in a better comparison with independently inverted B1. Using B3 however for computing 82 results in a poor correlation between the two inversions. B3 which has the lowest resistivity range among the three datasets is relatively poorly computed with the difference inversion when datasets with larger resistivity ranges (B1, 82) are used as base datasets (Figure 5-14, 9 & h). Overall, all selected datasets lead to different inverted resistivities with no particular dataset performing better or worse as a suitable base dataset. 140 506 500 500 R’=o.93 n’aoss coo~ .. goo- RMSE'W-N .. 400-1 RMSE-13.04 . . ..a I" 300— Jam ..v‘ F300- 3 To ‘4‘" in zoo- aoo- ;_ 200- 100- roo~ 100- a b c o I I l I o I I I I o I I I I O 100 200 300 400 500 0 100 200 300 400 600 0 100 200 300 400 500 81 >> 81 82 » at B3 » 81 500 500 500 R’-0.9e _ . R5031 . - RMSE-12. “ 4 ’ ,. RMSE-19.17 -' 400 3:” ‘ , 400 / 400 .1553“ 300- ‘ -, ‘ 300- aoo~ B . 8 8 - 200- 200- 200~ 100~ 100' 100- d e f o I I I I o I I I I o I I I I O 100 200 300 400 500 O 100 200 300 400 500 O 100 200 300 400 500 B1>>82 32>>B2 B3>>32 500 500 500 R’IOJO III-0.77 400‘ RMSE=14.02 400+ RMSE-13.76 400- 300- 1300- 300d 8 8 B ," 200- 200- 200- 100- 100.. 1004 g l o I I I I o I I I I 0 I I I I 0 100 200 300 400 500 0 100 200 300 400 500 0 100 200 300 400 600 81 >> 83 82 >> 83 83 >> 83 Figure 5-14. Comparisons of base dataset effects. B1, B2, and BB are three separate inverted field datasets. The notation B1>>B3 refers BB calculation with B1 as the base dataset in the difference inversion. Only the data from the top 5m were selected for the analysis. A similar comparison where one particular dataset was derived using the other two as the base dataset also was performed for this analysis (Figure 5-15). Most differences among the three are associated with computing the dataset 82, which has a significant high-low resistivity contrast in the forest (Figure 5-13). 141 The spatial distribution of these differences illustrate that the choice of base dataset may be an important consideration in the forest, where large resistivity heterogeneities is common throughout the year (Figure 5-16) soc . rat-0.93 3 “0‘ Ruse-usa.? ‘- r '0 “£30m .~ A C 3200‘ -. 100- 0 I I I I o 100 200 300 400 500 33 >> 81 600 400— ¥aoo~ A 3200« 100‘ Rf-oai RMSE-1&1 0 0 160 260 350 450 500 33>>32 500 RtuflJa ‘00. 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MI I, I F l. tn. , éifl‘ In 143 Soil moisture estimates with resistivity ratios An alternative approach to derive soil moisture change information from ERI is to use resistivity ratios in combination with laboratory derived petrophysical relationships. By focusing only on resistivity changes at a location, the uncertainties related to spatial variability of soil texture characteristics could be largely avoided. It also is a potentially useful method to make comparisons between for example the grassland and the forest at our study site where conductivity differences result in biased estimates of absolute soil moisture between the two land covers. The ratio method is also affected by temporal variability of soil water conductivity and temperature. 1000-l Resistivity (Ohm-m) 100 I III] Soil Water Content (cm3/cm3) Figure 5-17. Laboratory measure resistivity and soil water contents for soil samples collected from multiple locations at the study site. Images in this dissertation are presented in color. 144 Based on the similar behavior of the resistivity-soil water content relationship (Figure 5-17) for a number of soil samples from the study site, the resistivity and water content change can be derived as; "4%) -9—1 e m (5-5) 2 where 61 and 62 are volumetric water contents at two different data collection dates, p1, p2 calculated resistivities from differential inversions for the respective dates, and m is the average slope of the log-log relationship between temperature corrected resistivity and water content for soil samples from the site. 1.7 y = 1.05x- 0.06 R’ = 0.89 Observed moisture ratio 0.3 1 1 .7 Calculated moisture ratio Figure 5-18. Soil moisture ratios observed with point gauges and soil moisture ratios calculated with ERI near the location where point gauges are located. 145 The calculated moisture changes (61/ 92) were compared with soil moisture changes observed in automated soil moisture loggers installed in the forest. The comparisons yield a reasonable correlation indicating the potential viability of the approach for understanding and quantifying soil moisture change with ERI data (Figure 5-18). Conclusions Many practical challenges still remain in the use of ERI for environmental monitoring and hydrologic characterizations. Natural environmental variability related to temperature and pore-fluid conductivity is a major concern for obtaining accurate temporal soil moisture estimates from ERl. As highlighted in this study, such variability is to be anticipated in any natural setting. If the effects of these variables are not well constrained, significant uncertainty may exist in the estimated hydrologic quantities. Applying petrophysical relationships to obtain soil moisture infomation from resistivity data is another potential source of uncertainty. The best approach to minimize the uncertainties related to these is to develop site specific relationships with laboratory experiments, regardless the various practical limitations associated with the existing laboratory methods. Alternatively, when only information on subsurface moisture change is required, the potential of the resistivity ratio approach discussed can be explored. Soil moisture computed with both types of ERI datasets (Wenner and dipole-dipole) compared relatively well with the point soil moisture measurements made with 146 other probes at the site. However, data errors were more significant with the dipole-dipole measurements. As shown in this research, resistivity estimated soil moisture often tend to under predict or closely relate to the lowest measured (with other instruments) moisture in a given soil volume. While ERI is inherently an estimate of a larger volume than point measurements, the general tendency to be biased towards the lowest estimates need to be further explored. The simple analysis of uncertainty resulting from difference inversion of ERI data suggests that the choice of base dataset influences the resistivity data interpretations and parameter derivations. All difference inversions with the selected base datasets resulted in different outcomes, with largest differences in areas with significant heterogeneity such as in the forest portion of the study site. 147 References al Hagrey, SA. 2007. Geophysical imaging of root-zone, trunk, and moisture heterogeneity. Journal of Experimental Botany 58:839-854. Amidu, SA, and J.A. Dunbar. 2007. 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