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THE IMPACT OF'POLYGYNY ON FERTILITY: The Case of Somalia By Abdulkadir Mohamed Elmi THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial Fulfilment of the requirements For the degree of MASTER OF ARTS Department of Sociology 1988 ii WEN/l5 Abstract This study focusses on the impact of polygyny on Fertility. with reference to urban Somalia. An attempt is made to investigate the impact of this form of marital condition on fertility. Data collected for a Family Health Survey in 1983 are used in this analysis. in this study we have used Frequency tabulations. "difference of means" tests. " difference of proportions" tests. and analysis of variance. Among younger wives (below age 30). there were no significant differences ‘in fertility between those in monogamous and polygynous unions. regardless of the number of times the wives had been married. I For women aged 30-49. poiygynously married women had a significantly higher cumulative number of lifetime births than did monogamousiy married women. if both groups had been married only once but a significantly lower cumulative number of lifetime births . if both groups had been married more than once. The implications are discussed. Acknowledgments The author wishes to express his sincere appreciation to his advisor. Dr. Nan Johnson. for her kind guidance. advice and support throughout his study at this school. without her help this thesis would not have been completed. His thanks. too. go to Dr. Allan Beagle and Dr. Dan Clay for their helpful comments. His sincere gratitude also goes to Ms. Anne Cross for permitting him to use the data from the 1983 Somali Family Health Survey. He is also thankful to the' Central Statistical Department. Somali Ministry of National Planning which made Iit possible for him to study at Michigan State University. Finally. the author would like to express his appreciation to his wife. Halima All. for her patience. understanding and help. it is to her that he dedicates this thesis. Abstact Acknowledgments Table of Contents introduction Literature Review Methodology Findings Conclusions Bibliography TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ii IO 15 28 31 Introduction Polygyny is a type of marriage in which a man has more than one wife. It has been a relatively common form of marriage in the second half of the twentieth century among populations in Africa (Chanacka. 1980). Polygyny is generally studied by anthropologists rather than by sociologists. Thus. nearly all studies of African polygyny have treated it as a traditional form of marriage inevitably destined to disappear under the pressures of urbanization. wage employment. Christianity and general modernization (Ware.i979). There are at least three advantages of polygyny to men. The first one is economic: plural marriage means more children per husband. and this increases the economic production of the family which he heads. Secondly. a polygynous man commands a higher status and a wider sphere of influence in the community where he lives. And thirdly. it is believed that a polygynous man enhances his chances of having more sons (Namfua 1984). Ware (1979) mentioned that in a society in which polygyny is widely accepted, nearly all monogamous marriages are perceived as potentially polygynous. and solo wives take the prospect of additional wives into account. Ware argued that polygyny promotes competition in childbearing among cowives; thus. the greater the number of cowives. the greater the number of children that are likely to be desired by each wife. In some cases. wives in polygynous marriages may have greater autonomy because they have less invested in the marriage and because. in losing part of their huspands’ economic and moral support. they also gain independence. The luckiest woman is the senior wife. who receives respect both from her husband and from the society in general. who is in command of her Juniors. who does less work. and whose children usually receive preferential treatment (Here 1979). In addition. in African societies where survival depends upon agricultural prOduction. where such production is labor-intensive. and where SUCh labor is usually supplied by women. polygyny can provide an economy of scale in farming. In these many ways. polygyny serves the interests of both men and women and perhaps even of capitalists. While polygyny increases the number of children that would otherwise be born per husband. its effect on the fertility of wives is equivocal. Some researches have concluded that polygyny suppresses fertility; others. that polygyny enhances fertility; and others. that polygyny has no effect on fertility. The followingsection reviews the literature on this matter in search of a resolution to these inconsistencies. Literature Review Much controversy has surrounded the possible effect of polygyny on the fertility of women . Muhsam (1956) found that among the Arab Bedouin in Israel. the number of children born to polygynous wives was smaller than to monogamous wives. Similarly. lower fertility has been reported for polygynous than for monogamous wives in the World Fertility Surveys of Ghana and Kenya and in a census of nine villages in the Upper Bambara Chiefdom. Eastern Province. of Sierra Leone (International Statistical Institute 19838; Isaac. 1980; Mosley. Warner. and Becker. 1982). The frequency with which lower fertility has been reported in polygynous unions has led to the hypothesis that polygyny causes lower fertility. Causal mechanisms freduehtly cited are: a lower frequency of sexual intercourse. a higher divorce rate. and a closer observance of taboos against sexual intercourse during lactation for polygynous than for monogamous wives (DorJahn. 1958: Isaac. 1980: Lorimer. 1954; Olusanya. 1971). Evidence favoring an antinatalist effect of polygyny on fertility is not ironclad. however. Culwick and Culwick (1939) found no appreciable differences in the number of children born to the wives of monogamous and bigamous husbands in Tanganyika (how Tanzania). They concluded that the rate of coital activity per wife was not greatly lower for bigamists. In addition. the World Fertility Survey of Cameroon found no significant difference in fertility levels between the wives of polygynists and wives of monogamists (International Statistical Institute. 1983b). Unfortunately, the WFS study in Cameroon did not compare the fertility of first wives in polygynous unions with that of junior wives in polygynous unions nor with the fertility of wives in monogamy. Such comparisons proved important in a study of nineteenth-century Mormons in Utah (Bean and Mineau. 1986). The average number of live births per wife was much greater for first wives than for later wives in polygynous unions and mucn greater for first wives in polygynous unions than for wives in monogamous unions. These findings for the polygynous .American wives were particularly impressive because. unlike their African counterparts. they did not have high rates of illiteracy which would impair the completeness of reported numbers of children ever born alive to them. The lower fertility of the later wives compared to the first wife in polygynous unions was partly but not wholly explicable by the older ages at marriage of the later wives and their bridegrooms and by the shorter durations of sucn unions before widowhood. However. the much higher fertility of the first wives in polygynous unions as compared to the other two groups of wives suggested that polygyny could have a positive effect on the fertility of certain wives. Wife rank was also important among the Mehde of Sierra Leone (Isaac. 1980). A polygynous wife averaged 0.7 fewer children than did her monogamous counterpart. but this relationsnip was affected by the number of her previous marriages. Among once-married women. wives of rank one in polygynous unions ("big wives") had a mean of 1.28 more live births than did their counterparts in monogamous unions and had higher fertility than did once-married cowives of rank two or more. Isaac (1980:311) reasoned that these senior-most wives in polygynous unions may have performed less strenuous work and consumed better diets due to the presence of subordinate cowives. and thus may have gained a reprOductive advantage over other once-married wives in monogamous and polygynous unions. However. twice- married wives had mucn higher fertility if they were in monogamous than in polygynous unions (4.2 vs 3.1 mean live births per fertile wife. respectively). Isaac (1980: 303) proposed that a divorced or widowed woman of proven high fertility was propably more likely to marry a monogamous second husband. especially if he could not afford the brideprice of a virgin. could not afford to become a polygynist. and did not wish to risk marrying a sterile woman. In contrast. a divorced or widowed woman with few or no children would be quite likely to remarry as a junior wife in a polygynous union. particularly when her second huspand already had children by other cowives (Isaac. 1980: 304). Such a man would be less concerned about siring children and would welcome the additional labor of a new cowife. Consequently. this study emphasized the importance of controlling the effects of wife's rank in a polygynous union and the number of her previous marriages on the polygyny-fertility relationship. The effect of polygyny on fertility seems to differ not only from one study to another in different countries but from one stUdy to another in the same country. Olusanya (1971) found in his study of Western Nigeria that wives in polygynous unions had slightly more children than did wives in monogamous unions. but he claimed this was largely a function of the older ages and longer durations of marriage for the former group. On the other hand. Ukaegbu (1977) found in his study of Eastern Nigeria that wives in polygynous unions had significantly fewer children on average than did those in monogamous unions. He interpreted this relationsnlp as resulting from the wider age difference between husbands and wives in polygynous marriages. Chojnacka’s (1980) study of six Nigerian villages and towns snowed no systematic difference in fertility between the two types of marriages; and what differences existed were attributed to the higher incidence of Childlessness in polygynous unions. A possible reason for the disparate results among these three Nigerian stUdies is the focus on different ethnic groups. Olusanya studied the Yoruba of Western Nigeria. while Ukaegbu analyzed the 100 of Eastern Nigeria. Chanacka’s data covered a mixture of tribes in Eastern. Mid-Western. and Western Nigeria. Because some ethnic groups are more resistant to westernization and Christianity than other ethnic groups. it is important to control the impact of ethnicity on the polygyny-fertility relationship. In addition. a common problem is that all three studies in Nigeria assumed that all births to a given wife occurred in her current union. Because divorce is somewhat common in Nigeria. some births to a woman in a polygynous union may have occurred in a previous marriage. In addition. divorce or widowhooa .causes a fecund woman who remains celibate between unions to lose reproductive time. If previously married women are more likely to remarry as Junior wives in a polygynous union. this would make it appear that polygyny had depressed their fertility even when that depression may have occurred prior to the initiation of the polygynous union. Therefore. the impact of marital history (number of previous marriages) should be controlled when comparing the fertility of monogamous and polygynous wives. The purpose of the present study is to reexamine the polygyny-fertility hypothesis with recent survey data from Somalia. While a few previous studies (e.g.. Lewis. 1962) have examined nuptiality in the northern region of the country. no recent study has been undertaken to compare the relationship between fertility and form of marriage. Because Somalia is almost entirely Muslim and because Islam allows a husband to have up to four wives simultaneously (if he can treat them all equally). polygyny has been practiced in Somalia for a long time. In Somalia. there are great psychological and economic advantages to having children. The birth of a child is a time for great reJoicing: and if it is a male child. his parents receive special congratulations. A sheep or goat is sacrificed to celebrate each birth. A large number of children contributes in a very real way to the social power and prestige of the family. and polygyny is a way for a man to sire more Children than he could get with one wife only. Children have an economic value to Somali parents. Among nomads (who comprise 60% of the population). having ten or more children is daily talk. The birth of each child (especially if it is a boy) brings an extra pair of hands to care for livestock and to fight outsiders. Children have an economic value in the city. too. Since there is no old- age pension scheme in Somalia. children are expected to give financial support to their parents in old age. While pronatalism should be strong in both monogamous and polygynous unions. it shoud be stronger in the latter. The economic value of children to their parents in Somalia has already been discussed: and. indeed. polygyny is seen as a way of strengthening the household economy through providing for more women laborers and child laborers. Polygyny provides economic advantages not only to husbands but also to cowives; however. the cowife of rank order one benefits disproportionately. As is the case of Sierra Leone (isaac. 1980). the first wife ("big wife") in a polygynous Somali union commands the labor and the respect of her cowives and thus works less hard than they. Her privileged status may have physiological consequences which will enable her-to bear more children than her cowives. As such. the fertility of cowives within polygynous unions should vary inversely with the order in which each of the cowives was married by their common husband. This inverse relationship should also be abetted by an increasing age of the polygynous husband at each of his subsequent marriages and by a possible decreasing rate of coital activity per cowife. In other words. if polygyny does have a positive effect on the fertility of any cowife. this effect is most likely to be manifest in the reproductive performance of 10 the first cowife. who would be found to have higher fertility than her counterpart in a monogamous union. Whether or not the fertility of cowives of rank order two or more is also higher than that of wives of monogamous unions is a moot question. Its answer depends on the strength of the inverse effect of wife rank on fertility. We reason that the conflicting results from previous studies about the effect of polygyny on fertility stem from a failure to control the impact of wife rank on fertility. Unfortunately. our data set did not contain wife rank: however. it did indicate the wife’s number of previous marriages. Since most Somali husbands want their first wife to be a virginal bride. the first wife is less likely to have been previously wedded and less likely to be subsequently divorced. On the other hand. cowives of rank orders above one in a polygynous union are less likely than the first wife to be virginal brides and are more likely than she to have been previously wedded and to be subsequently divorced. The purpose of the present investigation is to explore how polygyny is related to the fertility of Somali women and how that relationship varies by their number of previous marriages. METHODOLOGY The data for this study are drawn from the Somali ll Family Health Survey (SFHS). This survey was conducted between June and November. 1983 by the Family Health Unit of the Ministry of Health. A total of 3016 ever married women were interviewed in Mogadishu. Hargeisa. Kismaio. Baidoa and Burao. These cities were selected because they were the focus of a recently launched family health/family planning project. A two stage sample was used. with probability - proportional - to - size (PPS) selection at the first stage. Areas known as WAAXDAs. ( medium sized urban administrative units). formed the primary sampling units (PSUs). " Prior to this first stage selection. several decisions were made. First. the target sample size in terms of eligible women (ever married women aged 15-49) was determined for eacn city. These targets ranged from 800 to 950 respondents. Next. the number of households necessary to preduce this target number of eligible women was calculated using an average of 0.84 ever married women aged 15-49 per household. a figure which was derived from the 1980 Demographic Survey in Mogadishu. Bay and Lower Shabelle. Finally. an average cluster size of 40 household was used as the ultimate cluster sampling unit " (Ministry of Health. 1985: 6). " The frame used for selection of the PSUs consisted of a list of WAAXDA along with a count of the households in 12 each. Because the PSUs were too large to interview completely. eacn selected WAAXDA was subdivided into roughly equal sized segments according to its measure of size (l.e..the number of households divided by the cluster size of 40). The segment operation was conducted by a team of mappers who first located the boundaries of the WAAXDA. divided it into many small chunks using recognizable boundaries. made a quick count of the number of households living in eacn Chunk. grouped chunks into the required number of equal sized segments. selected one segment at random and finally. sketched a map of the selected segment. Thus the second stage sampling unit was a segment or a cluster of approximately 40 households " (Ministry of Health. 1985: 6). In Mogadishu. the second stage sampling unit was the TABELLA. a subdivision of the WAAXDA . Because it was possible to get household counts for TABELLA from local officials. the amount of segmenting and mapping was greatly reduced . However. in about one-half of the PSUs in Mogadishu. the TABELLA was still too large to serve as the final cluster. A third stage . in which the TABELLA was segmented. had to be introduced. In all five cities.a household listing operation was conducted in eacn selected segment immediately prior to interviewing. in order to make the listing as current as 13 possible. However. the final sample size of eligible women was substantially smaller than expected; instead of the intended 4250 reapondents. the survey only covered 3016. This discrepancy was due to a much lower average number of eligible women per household than expected.The SFHS has found that the eligible women per household was between 0.63 and 0.69 instead of 0.84 (this one was derived from data for MogadiShu from the 1980 Demographic Survey ). It was unclear. as to why this discrepancy occurred. One theory was that the interviewers may have intentionally pushed eligible women out of range. by estimating their ages to be lower or higher than the cutoff of 15 and 49. or by recording ever married women as single. so as to avoid having to conduct the longer individual interview. Another possibility was that younger ever married women were for some reason systematically undercounted in the household schedule. either because they were less likely to be at home or because of some misclassification. such as divorced women reporting themselves as never married. The response rates were high. both at the household and individual respondent level. In both cases. almost all rates were in the nineties. indicating that interviewers made sufficient call-back to reaCh selected respondents. The interviewers of the survey were 23 young women. mostly nurses with the Ministry of Health. who were recruited from the cities in 14 which they were to work. All the information was collected by means of a questionnaire. The questionnaire used in this survey was based on the medal questionnaire developed by the Contraceptive Prevalence Survey project (CPS). Unlike the standard CPS practice of listing only eligible women in each selected household. the SFHS utilized a very brief household scnedule in which all members were .listed by name. sex. and age. and those over age 12 were asked if they had ever been married. Ever married women aged 15-49 were identified for an individual interview. The individual questionnaire had five sections: 1) background Characteristics of the respondents.such as education. work status. and marital status: 2) fertility. including questions on number of Children ever born. date of last birth and other demographic questions 3 3) fertility regulation: 4) availability: 5) sources of information about family planning; 6) maternal and Child health; 7) husband’s background and housing. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between fertility and polygyny . The dependent variable to be employed in this study is the average number of children ever born to women (CEB). All respondents were asked a series of questions about the number of children they had given birth to in their lives. Those who ever had a live 15 birth (even if the baby lived for just a short time) were asked about the number of male and female children who were currently living with them. those who were living somewhere else. and those who died. These numbers were summed by the interviewer to find the total number of live births. Then the interviewer asked: "Altogether. you have had [the total] live births? There may have been a tendency for the wives to underreport their live births. since the majority of the wives were illiterate. Nevertheless. this questionnaire was designed to minimize the degree of underreporting live births. The test variable in this study was type of current marital union. Currently married women were asked whether they had cowives or not. Those who had cowives were considered to be in polygynous unions: otherwise. they were considered to be in monogamous unions. Because this question was not asked about previous unions. we have necessarily excluded never married. widowed. or divorced women from the present investigation (N=354). 0f the 2662 women remaining in our analysis. 452 (= 16.98%) were in polygynous marriages (see Table 1). Findings In this multivariate analysis. we examine the relationShip between polygyny and fertility after I6 controlling a number of other relevant factors. One such factor is age. Exact timekeeping has no great cultural meaning in Somalia. since everyone is going to die anyway. Therefore. many women were unable to state their exact age in completed years of life. In such cases. the interviewers were instructed to guess the exact age as Closely as possible. The interviewer who felt that the respondent did not know her age or did not tell the truth about her age was instructed to ask more questions. The interviewer asked the respondent's age at first conabitation and the age of the eldest child. if relevant. For example. if a woman said that she was 18 years at first conabitation. and if her eldest child was reported as 8 years. then the interviewer would assign her an age of 27 years: the age at first cohabitation plus the‘ age of the eldest child plus one year of pregnancy. Table 1 shows that the Somali urban wives in polygynous unions (17% of the total sample) displayed significant demographic differences from their counterparts in monogamous unions. For example. the average age of the wife at first marital conabitation was earlier for wives in polygynous unions than for those in monogamous unions. Among women under age 30. the average ages at first marital cohabitation were 16.75 and 17.21 years for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively (Table I). 17 Table 1. Characteristics os Soaall Urban Hives by Age and Type of Harriage. Descriptive Variable Age at Interviev =15-29 yrs Age at intervlev =30-49 yrs Polygynous lonogalpus t Polygynous lonogalous t Hives lives lives Hives Average nunber of Children ever born 2.35 2.18 1.13 5.61 5.65 -.11 Average age of Uife at interviev 23.68 yrs 22.81 yrs 3.35"' 36.30 yrs 34.91 yrs 4.01"' Average age of vife at first cohabitation 16.15 yrs 11.21 yrs -2.39" 11.30 yrs 11.81 yrs -2.21' Percent carried lore than once 30.4 1 15.3 1. 5.21m 49.2 1 25.3 1 1.469'" Percent childless 19.6 1 20.80 1 -.315 1.4 1 4.6 1 1.866' Percent vlves illiterate 69.1 1 62.2 1 1.816' 83.1 1 83.6 1 .038 Percent vives eaployed 11.0 1 14.3 1 .964 23.3 1 18.4 1 1.815' Percent vlth husbands present 85.1 1 19.4 1 1.839' 16.1 1 16.3 1 .138 Percent ever using contraception 0.5 1 1.3 1 -1.000 0.8 1 2.2 1 -1.56 I 194 1156 258 1054 ' p< 0.05. one-tailed test " p( 0.01. one-tailed test "' p( 0.001. one-tailed test 18 To ascertain whether this relationship was statistically significant. we employed a "difference of means" test (see BlaIOCK, 1972:220-228). This required us to assume that the wives in polygynous and monogamous unions represented two independent random samples (N = 194 and 1156 respectively) whose mean ages at first cohabitation were equal. Separate computations of the test statistic (t statistic) can be made depending on whether the variances for the two groups are assumed to be equal or unequal. Blalock (1972: 227) wrote that when the sample sizes are very different (as is the case in our study) it becomes more difficult to test the model assuming inequality of variances because the proper number of degrees of freedom must be approximated. For this reason. we preferred to assume that the variances in age at first conabitation for women in polygynous and monogamous unions were equal. The t statistic computed under this assumption. -2.39 (see column 3. table 1) was statistically significant for alpha less than .01 (one- tailed test). Although wives at ages 30-49 had begun marital cohabitation at somewhat older ages than had wives aged 15-29. earlier conabitation by the ones in polygynous unions was again opserved and was statistically significant (t = -2.27. alpha less than 0.05 for the one-tailed test) Since earlier conabitation is associated with higher fertility. the impact of age at first cohabitation would l9 favor higher fertility among women in polygynous marriages. On the other hand. a younger average age at first cohabitation in Somalia is associated with a higher rate of marital dissolution. The percentage of wives aged 15-29 who had been married more than once was 30.4% for those in polygynous unions but only 15.3% for those in monogamous unions. in order to examine whether these proportions were significantly different from each other. we employed a "difference in proportions" test (Blalock. 1972: 228-230). The t statistic of 5.21 was statistically significant for alpha less than 0.001 (Table 1). Likewise. for wives aged 30-49. the proportion of those who had been married more than once was 49.2% in polygynous unions but only 25.3% in monogamous unions. a difference that was statistically significant (t = 7.469. alpha less than 0.001). Marital disruption can reduce the length of time that a woman faces the risk of pregnancy and can thereby have a permanent dampening effect on her lifetime fertility. This dampening effect would.cet§ris paribus, tend to reduce the fertility of wives in polygynous unions below that of wives in monogamous unions. As such. the effect of younger age at first marital conabitation in raising the fertility of wives in polygynous unions is tempered by subjecting these same wives to greater risks of marital dissolution. The difference between wives in polygynous and 20 monogamous unions in regards to illiteracy. employment status. and the physical presence of husbands depended on the wives' age group. The "difference in proportions" test indicated that among wives aged 15-29 years. those in polygynous unions were more likely to be illiterate (t = 1.816. alpha less than 0.05. one-tailed test) and more likely to have husbands present in the household (t = 1.839. alpha less than 0.05. one-tailed test) in comparison to their counterparts in monogamous unions but no more likely to be employed (t = 0.964. see Table 1). Among wives aged 30—49. the difference in proportions test suggested that wives in polygynous unions were no more likely than their counterparts in monogamous unions to be illiterate (t = 0.038) or to have husbands present (t 0.138) but much more likely to be working for pay (t 1.815. alpha less than 0.05. One-tailed test: see Table 1). Because the differences in these three variables between wives in polygynous and monogamous unions depended on age group. we decided to conduct separate multivariate analyses for women aged 15-29 and 30-49. Table 1 shows that wives in polygynous unions were somewhat older on average than those in monogamous unions. Among wives under 30. the average age of wife at interview was 23.68 years for wives in polygynous unions. and 22.81 years for wives in monogamous unions and the difference 21 between means was statistically significant (t = 3.35). Among older wives (over 30 years). the average age of wife at interview was 36.30 years for wives in polygynous unions and 34.97 years for wives in monogamous unions and the difference between means was statistically significant ( t = 4.01). Table 1 shows that younger woemn (below 30 years). in polygynous unions had higher average number of children ever born than their peers in monogamous unions. The average numbers of children ever born were 2.35 and 2.18 children for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively; but the difference between means was not statistically significant ( t = 1.13). Among older wives (over 30 years). wives in monogamous unions had higher average number of children ever born than their peers in polygynous unions. The average numbers of children ever born were 5.61 and 5.65 children for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively but the difference between means was not statistically significant (t = -.17). Among younger wives (below 30 years). the percent of childless wives was 19.6% and 20.80% for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively (Table 1). but the difference between the proportions was not statistically significant ( t = -.375). Among older wives (over 30 years). the percent of childless wives was 7.4% 22 and 4.61 for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively. and the difference of proportions was statistically significant (1.866). Also. table 1 shows that the percent ever using contraception was not much higher among wives in monogamous unions for both age groups. Among younger wives (below 30 years). the percentages ever using contraception were 0.5% and 1.3% for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively but the difference of proportions was not statistically significant ( t = -1.000). Among older wives (over 30 years). the percentages ever using contraception were 0.8% and 2.2% for wives in polygynous and monogamous unions. respectively but the difference of proportions was not statistically significant ( t = -1.56). Table 1 suggests that the small differences between wives in polygynous and monogamous unions in average number of children ever born could have resulted from sampling error alone. Our literature review. however. implied that significant differences between the two groups of wives ought to be found when their numbers of previous marriages were taken into account. To explore this possibility. we turn now to table 2. Table 2 shows that the number of children ever born alive per wire varies with her marital history. Among younger wives (below 30). wives with multiple marriages 23 Table 2. Average Nuaber of Children Ever Born Per Hife by Age of Rife at interview. Type of Marriage. and number of lines Harried. Hives Aged 15 - 29 Yrs Hives Aged 30 - 49 Yrs Polygynous Honogaaous Polygynous honogaaous t t Unions Unions Unions Unions Harried only once i 2.33 2.09 7.37 6.09 5.70 7.35 77 32 972 729 776 Harried lore Than Once i 2.57 2.68 - 0.56 5.72 5.49 -7.09 77 59 777 727 267 24 have higher fertility than once married wives. regardless of whether polygynous or monogamous unions are considered. Younger polygynous wives who have been married only once. had higher fertility than their peers in monogamous unions who have been married only once. but the difference between the two means was not statistically significant (t = 1.37). Also Table 2 snows that younger polygynous wives who have been married more than once. had lower fertility than their peers in monogamous unions who have been married more than once. but the difference between the two means was not statistically significant (t = -0.56). Among older wives (aged 30-49). once married wives had higher fertility than their peers who had been married only once. regardless of whether polygynous or monogamous unions are considered. Older polygynous wives. who had been married only once. had higher fertility than their peers in monogamous unions who have been married only once. but the difference was not statistically significant (t = 1.35). Table 2 also shows that older polygynous wives. who had been married more than once. had lower fertility than their peers in monogamous unions who had been married more than once. but the difference was not statistically significant (t = -1.09). However. Table 2 does not show how these interrelationShips are affected by the other relevant variables in Table 1. Thus we now turn to a multivariate 25 analysis. A multivariate analysis of variance showed three important factors which affected the number of children ever born to wives under age 30 years (Table 3. panel 1). Young women who had started living with their first husbands at earlier ages or who were not working for pay at the time of the survey had higher fertility than did other other young women. Younger women who had ever used contraception had borne a significantly larger mean number of children (3.13) than had women who had never used contraception (2.21). The reason for attempting contraception in Somalia is most likely to stop fertility rather than to time the births of children. and women with a greater number of live births are more likely to decide to stop. However. after the relationships between cumulative fertility and these three variables had been controlled. there was no significant residual difference in the number of Children ever born to wives according to the type of current marital union (f=0.213) or the number of husbands they had ever wed (F=0.248). Two factors showed a statistically significant relatiOhShip to the number of children ever born to wives aged 30-49 at the survey (Table 3. panel 2). As for the younger wives. these older wives who had started cohabitation with their first husbands at younger ages had Table 3. Analysis of Variance in Number of Children Ever 26 Born to Urban Soaali Hives by Age of Hife at Survey Source of Variation Sun of Degrees hean Souares of F freedon Souare Hives Aged 15-29 Age of wonen at first conabitation 1vrsl 565.949 1 565.949 116.191 "" Literate 10=no:1=yesl 1.411 1 1.411 0.443 Employed il=yes:2=noi 32.428 1 32.428 10.130 "" husband awav10=no:i=vesi 4.159 1 4.159 1.481 Ever contracept (1=yes:2=nol 12.381 1 12.381 3.868 " Form of aarriage 11:001vgynv:2=nonoganyl 0.681 1 0.681 0.213 Number of tines wife married il=oncez2=norel 0.194 1 0.194 0.248 interaction between Fern of marriage and 3 of times wife narried 3.244 1 3.244 1.013 Explained 623.181 8 11.898 24.334 "" residual 4200.024 1312 3.201 Total 4823.211 1320 3.654 Hives Aged 30-49 Age of wonen at first cohabitation (yrsl 900.034 1 900.034 104.449 "" Literate 10=no:1=yesi 4.014 1 4.014 0.466 anloyed ll=yes:2=nol 4.106 1 4.106 0.546 Husband away10=no:1=yesl 5.504 1 5.504 0.639 Ever contraceot (1=yes:2=noi 5.363 1 5.363 0.622 Fora of aarriage 11=oolygyny32=lonogalyl 0.900 1 0.900 0.104 Huaber of tiles wife aarried 1|=once:2:lorel 246.904 1 246.904 28.653 "" interaction between Fora of aarriage and 1 of tiles wife aarried 21.249 1 21.249 3.162 ' Explained 1201.322 8 150.165 11.421 "" residual 10.986.638 1215 8.611 Total 12.181.960 1283 9.500 ' p( 0.10 " o( 0.05 "' p( 0.01 "" o( 0.001 27 more children on average than their peers who had older ages at first cohabitation (F=104.449. p < .001). In addition. the type of the older wife’s marital union was importantly associated with her cumulative fertility. but this association was conditioned by her number of previous marriages (F=3.162. p < .10). Polygynously wedded women had a significantly higher cumulative number of lifetime births than did monogamously wedded women if both groups had been married only once but a significantly lower cumulative number of lifetime births if both groups had been married more than once (see table 2). These results support the interpretation that polygyny is related to the cumulative fertility of older wives (aged 30-49) but that the relationsnip is conditioned by their number of previous marriages. These results closely parallel the finding of Isaac (1980) for the Mende tribe of Sierra Leone. A question of importance to the family planning program is why the ever - use of contraception would be significantly related to the fertility of the younger wives (aged 15-29) but not of the older wives (aged 30-49). A possible answer is the recency of the start of the family planning program. which was begun in 1981. only two years before our 1983 survey. Because the younger wives had significantly lower average fertility than the older ones (Table 1). the relationship of contraception use to 28 fertility was probably more readily visible for the younger wives. It is likely that future studies of the family planning behavior in Somalia will show higher percentages of wives ever using contraception than we found in our 1983 data and will show impacts of such usage on the fertility both of older women and younger women. Conclusions This study has focussed on the effect of polygyny on fertility. The data that were used in this study were from the Somalia Family Health Survey which was aimed to provide comprehensive data necessary for planning and evaluating the Family Health and the Family Planning programs. In this study we found that among younger wives (below age 30). those in polygynous and monogamous unions had highly similar cumulative fertility. once the effects of a number of relevant variables had been controlled in a multivariate analysis of variance. Among older wives (aged 30-49). polygynously married women had significantly lower fertility than their peers in monogamous unions if both groups of wives had been married more than once but significantly higher fertility than women in monogamous unions if both groups of wives were living with their first husbands. These effects of polygyny on the fertility of the 29 older wives (aged 30-49) but the absence of effects on the younger wives probably means that the effects become manifest only in the later years of childbearing. The positive effects among the once—married older wives may represent a reproouctive advantage of being a senior wife in a polygynous union over being an only wife in a monogamous union. The present study could not separate the effects of wife rank from marital history. and this is a question future researcn should undertake. However. the negative effect of polygyny on fertility among older remarried women may represent the disadvantages of rank as a Junior wife. the time spent between marital unions. or neither influence. future research could resolve these questions. The mixed findings in previous studies of the impact of polygyny on fertility may reflect only the fact that the relationship is not simple. The present study was limited to the five largest cities in Somalia. The practice of polygyny may well be more common in rural areas. since such places have had less contact with westernization. Thus. future studies could profitably explore the relationship between polygyny and fertility in rural Somalia. As the present investigation shows. future work should unravel how this relationship might interact with the wife’s age and the number of her previous marriages. Such new research can go beyond the 30 present one by distinguishing between the number of children born to a woman in her current marriage and the number born in previous marriages and by determining the type (polygynous and monogamous) of previous marriages. These details would allow us to specify to what extent a polygynous union affects the number of children born to a wife within it and to what extent her fertility affects the type of union into which a woman remarries. 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