108 214 .THS_ 6'5 THLJ" This is to certify that the thesis entitled THE NUCLEAR FREEZE MOVEPZENT AS COLLECTIVE ACTION: A FIELD EXPERIMENT ON THE EFFECT OF REVEALINC THE LOGIC OF FREE-RIDING ON CONTRIBUTIONS presented by Bradley Jay Fisher has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Master of Arts degree in Sociology Major professor Date @1 r 5/63 0-7639 MS U is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Institution MSU LIBRARIES ‘13:,- your record. FINES wiII be charged-if book is returned after the date stamped beIow. THE NUCLEAR FREEZE MOVEMENT AS COLLECTIVE ACTION: A FIELD EXPERIMENT ON THE EFFECT OF REVEALING THE LOGIC OF FREEnRIDING 0N CONTRIBUTIONS By Bradley Jay Fisher A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS Department of Sociology 1983 ABSTRACT THE NUCLEAR FREEZE MOVEMENT AS COLLECTIVE ACTION: A FIELD EXPERIMENT ON THE EFFECT OF REVEALING THE LOGIC OF FREE-RIDING ON CONTRIBUTIONS By Bradley Jay Fisher Mancur Olson assumes that people are both rational and self-interested. Hence, he assumes that in the absence of selective incentives, people would prefer to be "free-riders" than to contribute toward large scale collec- tive action. This study tests the hypothesis that one reason people often contribute is that, contrary to Olson's assumption of rationality, they do not understand the logic which supports free—riding. If, as Olson suggests, almost all people already understand the logic of free-riding, then appeals which mask or reveal this logic will generate the same rate of contribu— tions. If, however, many people do not understand this logic, then appeals which do not reveal the logic of free-riding should be more effective than appeals which do reveal it. A sample of the signers and circulators of the petition to get the Nuclear Freeze referendum on the 1982 Michigan ballot were sent a letter asking them to purchase one or more bumper stickers supporting the Freeze. The appeals varied as to whether they stated that the Nucelar Freeze was a public good, i.e. nonexclusive, and whether people were told they had high or low efficacy in bringing about this public good. We found that manipulating the efficacy factor made no statistically significant difference, but manipulating the nonexclusivity factor did. Contrary to our prediction, subjects in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition were more likely to contribute than subjects in the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition. One explanation for this result is that by telling people they could receive the benefits without contributing increased the credibility of the communicators and, hence, increased the effectiveness of the appeals. Perhaps the closest in: ever get to more profound answers is learning to ask more profound questions! Dr. Harry Robinson, 1975 Muskegon Community College This is dedicated to my parents, Ethel and Louis, and my brother, Gary, who have always provided me with an encouraging word when I needed it most. You are more to me than just a great family, you are good friends as well. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I wish to extend my sincere appreciation and affection to the chair- persons of my committee, Stan Kaplowitz and Denton Morrison, for their patience, advice, guidance, and good humor throughout the entire course of this study. I would also like to thank the other member of my committee, Christopher Vanderpool, who has been an inspiration and a friend to me since my arrival at Michigan State University. A special note of thanks to Santo F. Camilleri whose insights helped to clarify the original propositions of this study. Over the last two years, several graduate students have provided me with intellectual stimulation and emotional support: Marvin Finke, Jess Gilbert, Akbar Mahdi, Marion McCoy, Nancy Merson, Bill Parsons, Gordon Robinson and Kim Schopmeyer. Thank you for your friendship and concern. Also, I would like to thank the Department of Sociology for granting me a position as a teaching assistant over the past two years. This position has helped me financially and provided me with a deeper apprecia- tion for the art (and honor) of teaching. Finally, I would like to express my deep gratitude for my companion, Kathleen Eaton, who has been incredibly tolerant of my moodiness and has shown me an abundance of tenderness and love. I hesitate to think what it would have been like to deal with the stresses and adjustments of the last two years without her. Thank you for being both friend and family to me through times of sadness and times of joy. iii PERSONAL FORWARD During the process of developing and conducting this research project, I was confronted with several of my feelings about the nuclear arms race. Since these feelings served as my basic motivation, as a sociologist and as a person, for researching the Nuclear Freeze movement it seemed relevant and responsible to share them here. In short, I consider the development, production, and deployment of nuclear weapons as a dangerous practice and as a sad commentary on the historical development (social evolution) of the human species. The current policies advocated by the Reagan administration, such as conceptualizing.a'winnable'nuclear war or a nuclear war confined to the European theatre, bring us precariously closer to the brink of a nuclear holocaust. Such a nuclear exchange can remain limited only in the fantasies of military strategists. In actuality, such an exchange has a high probability of ending civilization as we know it. It is my opinion that despite the many flaws of our present stage of civilization, it is still worth preserving as the basis for further change and development. I feel a deep personal commitment to preserve the quality of the natural environment and to enhance the quality of the social environment. The prevalence of nuclear weaponry poses a direct threat to the continuance of both of these environments. I am greatly disturbed by how the current administration plays with political rhetoric while explaining away nuclear arms escalation. The 'administrators' maintain that we must have more nuclear weapons in order to be in a position to negotiate the reduction of such weapons. The iv logic (or illogic) of this argument, simply stated, is that we must have more to have less. My feelings about this argument as well as about the necessity for a Nuclear Freeze can best be expressed with an analogy. In order to get a rolling piano to move in the opposite direction in which it is going, one must first bring the piano to a complete halt. One does not stop a moving piano by increasing its speed (unless one wants an accident) nor can we achieve nuclear arms reduction by producing and deploying more of such weapons. II. III. TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ....... . ........ ..................... vii LIST OF FIGURES . ................................... viii LIST OF APPENDICES ........... ...... . ........ . ...... ix THE PROBLEM ...... ......... ......... ..... . .......... 1 Olson's Theory ..... ..... . .............. .... ..... 1 An Alternative To Olson ................ . ...... .. 3 Hypotheses To Be Tested .............. ..... ...... 5 METHODOLOGY .................. ...... . ............ ... 10 Overview Of The Field Experiment ....... ......... 10 The Treatments ........ ......... ... .............. 11 Features Common To The Appeals ......... ..... .... 11 Operationalization Of Manipulated Variables ..... 12 Sampling Procedure .................... .......... 12 Assignment Of Subjects To Treatment Conditions .. 17 THE FINDINGS ....... ................................ 19 DISCUSSION .. ........ . ..... . ........................ 25 NOTES ......... .......................... . .......... 32 APPENDICES . ............. .... ............. . ......... 34 BIBLIOGRAPHY ...... ..... . .......... . ................ 39 vi LIST OF TABLES The Treatment Groups ....OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO ...... O ........ O The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Non- exclusivity on the Precentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Signers, First Mailing ...... .... The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Non- exclusivity on the Percentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Circulators, Second Mailing .......................................... The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Non- exclusivity on the Percentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Signers and Circulators, Combined First and Second Mailing ........... ............ Three-Way ANOVA for Percentage Contributing: Nonexclusivity by Efficacy by Petition Signers and CitCUlatorS O0............00.0.00.........OOOOOOOOIOOOOO. Observed (and expected) Frequencies of Contributing for Nonexclusivity Revealed and Not-Revealed Under the Assumption of No Difference Between Conditions ...... vii Page 20 20 20 21 LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1. Features Common to the Appeals ........ ..... ............. 13 2. Operationalization of the Four Treatment Conditions .................................... 14 viii LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix Page A. The Fliers Mailed to the Subjects* ...................... 34 B. The 1982 Michigan Nuclear Freeze Petition Sheet* ........ 38 * Each has been reduced to 66% of its actual size. ix I. THE PROBLEM Olson's Theory One theorist, Mancur Olson, Jr., has made a substantial contribution toward understanding the basis of collective action in his work The Logic of Collective Action (Harvard University Press, 1965). His basic asser— tion is that rational, self-interested individuals will not voluntarily contribute resources toward creating a collective good they desire, especially if a large number of persons share the desire for this collec- tive good. A collective good is defined as any good, which, if made available to one individual in a specified group, cannot be denied to other members of that group. Consequently, the nonexclusivity of collec— ltive goods provides an incentive for group members to become 'free-riders,‘ i.e. group members who do not contribute to the production of collective goods since the goods will be produced by the efforts of others. According to Olson, there are two main reasons why an individual member in a large organization will not participate to help create a collective good: 1) if the good is created, they can enjoy the benefits of the collective good whether or not they have contributed toward its production and 2) it is highly unlikely that any one person's contribution will make the difference in whether the collective good is created. These are the nonexclusivity and inefficacy features of collective action, re- spectively. In other words, if an individual cannot be excluded from consuming the goods produced by other members in the group or organization and if an individual perceives his/her contribution toward purchasing the good as inconsequential, i.e. has low efficacy, then, according to Olson, this combination makes 'free-riding' both rational and likely. The individual member of the typical large organization is in a position (whereby)...his own efforts will not have a noticeable effect on the situation of his organization, and he can enjoy any improvements brought about by others whether or not he has worked in support of his organization. (Olson, p. 6) It is Olson's conclusion that individuals in such a situation will have no incentive to contribute resources to create a collective good. Olson maintains that the.nonexclusivity and inefficacy features are present in all attempts at collective action where large groups are con- cerned and that some 'special device' is thus required to motivate group members to act in their common interest. His basic proposition is that collective action in a large group will occur if and only if there are separate and selective incentives offered to those members of the group who contribute.1 That is, there must be some side payment or private good incentive which is separate from the public good and selectively available only to those individualsyflm>contribute to the creation of the collective good. These incentives may be either positive or negative. Olson's argument suggests that members of a large group must either be offered positive private incentives or coerced to act for the advancement of group goals and objectives. A central component of Olson's argument is his use of the economic model to represent the rational individual who tries to maximize gains and minimize costs. The rational, self-interested individual is one who cal- culates the utility and cost of a given action and settles on that behavior which will yield the highest gain for the least cost while ignoring any direct consideration of the utilities of others. This economic model of individual motivation leads Olson to conclude that private good incentives are the necessary and sufficient conditions for individuals in a large group to participate in collective action. Individuals in a smaller group will have higher efficacy in that they will perceive the acquisition of the collective good as being contingent upon their contribution whereas members in the large organization will have lower efficacy by perceiving that obtaining the collective good is Eg£_contingent upon their contribution. Hence, in the small group, mem- bers will have a higher incentive to bear the costs of producing the collective good since their contribution is noticeable. In addition, there is more face to face interaction in smaller groups which makes those who attempt to free-ride more visible and, as a consequence, more vulnerable to social sanctions. The larger group offers some degree of annonymity to the individual member, decreasing the probability of identifying the noncontributors. As a result, members in the large group experience less incentive to contribute because their contribution, or lack of contribution, will not make a noticeable difference and because the noncontributor is less vulnerable to negative social sanctions. In short, the large group allows the individual the option of getting something for nothing since there is a high probability of being able to get away with it, i.e. of avoiding the economic cost of contributing and the social cost of group disapproval.2 An Alternative To Olson While Olson sees selective incentives as crucial for the success of collective action, others have offered different views. Fireman and Gamson (1979) reject Olson's assumption that people are predominantly self— interested. They maintain that Olson's utilitarian logic ignores the importance of people sharing a common interest. If individuals are thoroughly self-interested and rational, common interests are unnecessary to collective action as well as insufficient-~in fact they are irrelevant. (Fireman and Gamson, p. 6) Olson's argument suggests thataflJ.one need do to promote participation in collective action is to provide some private good incentive. This implies that it is a waste of time for the organizers of large scale social move- ments to demonstrate to potential contributors the worthiness of the collective good sought. Fireman and Gamson point out that such logic suggests that individuals who are indifferent or opposed to the collective good would be just as likely to participate as someone who supports it if a selective incentive is offered that is worth more than the cost of parti— cipation. They maintain that self-interest is not the sufficient condition for collective action, but instead argue that such action is also contingent upon developing and building on people's loyalty to a solidary group and on their sense of responsibility to principles. Fireman and Gamson write: It is useful to think of loyalty and responsibility not merely as attributes of individuals but as properties of cultural codes or belief systems. Individuals exist in a climate with cultural beliefs about one's obligations to those groups with which one identifies and the responsibility to contribute one's share to just causes. (p. 32) It is not denied that loyalty and responsibility can act as selective in~ centives, but as such they still involve a direct consideration of the utilities of others, i.e. more than just one's self-interest. While Fireman and Gamson question Olson's assumption that people are basically self-interested, Kaplowitz (1982) questions whether people are as rational as Olson assumes. Olson suggests that most people already implicitly understand and have their actions guided by the logic of free- riding. Consequently, individual members in a large group recognize that collective action 1) pursues goods which are nonexclusive and 2) involve a large number of potential contributors thereby making one individual's contribution 'unnoticeable,‘ thus creating low levels of efficacy. If this is true, then revealing the features of the free-rider problem to people through appeals for contributions will not decrease the level of contribu- tions and masking these features will not increase contributions. This study hypothesizes that people do not implicitly recognize and act according to either or both of the nonexclusivity and inefficacy features of large scale collective action. Therefore, appeals for contributions which mask or explicitly reveal these features will influence the level of response to the appeals. Hypotheses To Be Tested As noted above, an individual's perceived level of efficacy is expected to have an effect on his/her participation in collective action.r Campbell, et al. (1964) have shown that voter turnout is positively correlated with the strength of the individual's sense of political efficacy. More recent research has substantiated the proposition that as an actor's level of perceived efficacy increases, so does the probability that this actor will participate in collective action (Camilleri and McMahon, 1975; Paige, 1971). In other words, those individuals who feel their efforts will increase the likelihood of attaining a given goal will be more likely to participate than individuals who feel their efforts will make little or no difference in the outcome. Hypothesis: There will be a higher proportion of contributors among those subjects receiving the High Efficacy appeal than among those subjects receiving the Low Efficacy appeal. It has been argued that masking and revealing the features of the free-rider problem will have an effect on the level of responses to the appeals. Clearly, it is difficult to imagine that anyone would perceive the Nuclear Freeze as anything other than nonexclusive. For this reason, it is expected that the nonexclusivity of the collective good will have less influence on an individual's response than the indiviudal's perceived level of efficacy. However, it is proposed that appeals which reveal or do not reveal the nonexclusivity of the collective good may affect an individual's perception of the nonexclusivity of the good and, thus, in— fluence the level of response to the appeals. Hypothesis 2: There will be a higher proportion of contributors among those subjects receiving the Nonexclusivity- Not Revealed appeal than among those subjects receiving the Nonexclusivity-Revealed appeal. We may distinguish between those who have already contributed to pro- duce a collective good from those who favor it but have made little or no contribution, e.g. sympathizers. The question to be addressed: Are prior contributors (petition circulators) more likely to make an addi- tional contribution toward collective action than are sympathizers (petition signers) to make a first contribution?3 Clearly, many organizations think so as they are especially likely to solicit donations from prior contribu— tors before appealing to sympathizing noncontributors. In order to predict the behavior of these two groups we must make some assumptions as to the cause of the difference in past levels of contribution. Here are three possible reasons for this difference:4 l. The collective good has greater utility for the prior contri- butors. 2. The prior contributors have a greater sense of loyalty to the group and responsibility to principles.5 3. Prior contributors are less aware of the logic of free-riding than the sympathizers. It is conceivable that the prior contributors place such a high value on the collective good that this becomes their incentive for contributing toward the production .25). Hypothesis 2: There will be a higher proportion of contributors among those subjects receiving the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed appeal than among those subjects receiving the Nonexclu- sivity Revealed appeal. 19 Table 2: 20 The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Nonexclusivity on the Percentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Signers, lst Mailing Efficacy High Low Revealed 2.40 2.40 2.40 Non Exclu31vity Not Revealed .40 1.60 1.00 N= Sample size of 250 per treatment 1.40 2.00 1.70 condition. Table 3: The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Nonexclusivity on the Percentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Circulators, 2nd Mailing Efficacy High Low Revealed 4.00 2.70 3.35 Non Exclusiv1ty Not Revealed .667 2.00 1.33 N- Sample size of 150 per treatment 2.33 2.35 2.34 condition. Table 4: The Effect of Perceived Efficacy and Nonexclusivity on the Percentage of Contributors by Condition: Petition Signers and Circulators, Combined lst and 2nd Mailing Efficacy High Low - Revealed 3.00 2.50 2.75 Non Exclusivity Not Revealed .50 1.75 1.13 N= Sample size of 400 per treatment 1.75 2.13 1.94 condition. 21 Table 5: Three-Way ANOVA for Percentage Contributing: Nonexclusivity by Efficacy by Petition Signers and Circulators *P< .025 Sum of Mean F Source Squares D.F. Square Ratio Nonexclu. (A) .1056 1 .1056 5.56* Efficacy (B) .0056 1 .0056 .29 Petition Sign. & Circul. (C) .0150 1 .0150 .79 A x B .0306 1 .0360 1.61 A x C .0034 1 .0034 .18 B x C .0033 1 .0033 .17 A x B x C .0051 1 .0051 .27 ERROR 30.2307 1592 .0190 TOTAL 30.3993 1599 22 The combined data from Table 4 indicates that the direction of the results is opposite to this prediction. Again, within the given con- straints of the magnitude of responses involved, a greater proportion of subjects contributed in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition (2.70%) than in the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition (1.13%). Examining the three-way ANOVA, we find this effect to be significant (F=5.56, df=l, 1591 p < .025). Aside from the hypotheses dealing with our two experimentally manipu- lated variables, we also generated two other hypotheses. Hypothesis 3: There will be a higher proportion of contributors among the prior contributors, i.e. petition circulators, than amng the sympathizers, i.e. the petition signers. Looking at Tables 2 and 3, we see that a higher prOportion of petition circulators contributed (2.34%) than did petition signers (1.70%) which is in the direction of the prediction. This result holds for all four treatment conditions. The three-way ANOVA shows, however, that this result is not statistically significant (p > .25), The data in Table 4 suggests that there might be an interaction effect between the nonexclusivity and efficacy factors. That is, the subjects in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition had a higher proportion of contri- butors if they were in the High Efficacy condition, while in contrast, those subjects in the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition had a higher proportion of contributors if they were in the Low Efficacy condition. However, the three-way ANOVA shows that none of the interaction effects are statistically significant. Hypothesis 4: There will be a higher proportion of contributors among the female subjects than among the male subjects. 23 The factor of sex was measured and balanced among conditions only in the first mailing, i.e. for petition signers. Out of 17 responses, eleven (11) were male and six (6) were female which is in the opposite direction of the prediction. A two-tailed t-test was conducted on the data which showed that the results were not statistically significant1 (pi>.2). It is important to acknowledge that the F-test is not completely valid because it makes two assumptions: 1. The variances among conditions are homogenous. 2. The populations are normally distributed. The variances for each of the treatment conditions are as follows: SE = .023475, Si = .017194, 8% 8 .02910, 8: = .004975. Using the Fmax test (see Winer, 1971), we found that the ratio of the largest to the smallest variance to be 5.85. With four variances and 400 observations per variance, this ratio is significant at p‘<.01. Hence, we must reject the null hypothesis of equal condition variances. In addition, using dichotomous data with such a low response rate (31 out of 1600) makes it highly probable that the distribution is skewed. However, a Chi-square test was conducted on the combined data for the nonexclusivity factor since it is a more conservative test in that it does not make the assumptions associated with the F—test. The data in Tablefishows that we obtained a Chi-square of 5.56, df=1, which indicates that the nonexclusivity factor is statistically significant at p <.025. Table 6: Observed (and expected) Frequencies of Contributing for Nonexclusivity Revealed and Not Revealed under the Assumption of No Difference Between Conditions Revealed Non Exclusivity Not Revealed Total = 5.559, df= 1, p <.025 Non Contributors Contributors Total 22 (15.5) 778 (784.5) 800 9 (15.5) 791 (784.5) 800 31 1569 1600 DISCUSSION Olson's conceptualization of the rational individual assumes that such a persbn is aware of the nonexclusivity and inefficacy features of free—riding. If Olson is correct, mentioning these features should have no effect on whether or not an individual participates in the creation of a collective good. An alternative possibility is that people may not be as rational as Olson thinks (or rational in the same way) in that they may be influenced by revealing or not revealing the nonexclusivity and inefficacy features. It has been hypothesized that raising perceived levels of efficacy will make a difference as well as not revealing the nonexclusivity of the collective good. The results from the field experiment show that manipulating the efficacy factor was statistically insignificant, but manipulating the non- exclusivity factor did make a statistically significant difference. Con- trary to both Olson and the alternative, subjects were more likely to contribute to Nuclear Freeze Fundraisers if they were in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition. We are now left with the task of speculating as to why we obtained these results. Two explanations come to mind: 1. Revealing the nonexclusivity feature may have produced feelings of inequity in the recipients of the appeals. 2. Revealing the nonexclusivity feature may have increased the credibility of the source of the appeals. It can be said that an equitable situation exists when the perceived inputs and outcomes of an individual are equal to his/her perception of 25 26 the inputs and outcomes of others. For our purposes here, inputs refer to contributions, outcomes refer to rewards, i.e. the availability of the collective good, and others pertains to other contributors. J. Stacy Adams (1965) has argued that when a person perceives a situation as in- equitable, this person will experience tension and be driven to reduce the inequity.1 Burnstein and Wolosin (1968) write: Inequity has been assumed to have noxious effects. Those who benefit, i.e. those whose rewards increase or whose costs decrease relative to others, are said to experience embar- rassment or guilt; those injured, i.e. those whose rewards decrease or whose costs increase relative to others, are said to experience humiliation or anger. As a result, the indi- vidual desires to maintain or restore equity and will act to satisfy this desire. (p. 416) This suggests that a person will perceive a situation as inequitable if he/she is over-rewarded or under-rewarded. By reminding people that they can receive benefits without making sufficient inputs, i.e. get something for nothing, may produce perceptions of being over-rewarded. Some donation appeals attempt to dissuade people from taking advantage of the nonexclusivity of the good by reminding them that such behavior will over-reward them, e.g. "Don't just sit there and let someone do your contributing for you!".2 Hence, one explanation is that the subjects in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition increased their inputs, i.e. contri- buted in order to reduce feelings of inequity. One might question the above explanation because the petition circu- lators, who have already provided an input, i.e. the cost of circulating the petitions, were more likely to contribute (and in larger sums) than the petition signers. If the inequity argument‘ holds that all one need do, in this situation, is to increase inputs, then the circulators have already done so and should, theoretically, contribute less.3 Since the 27 circulators did contribute more than the petition signers a more plausible explanation is that there are other factors involved besides feelings of inequity. Research has shown that when a communicator takes a position that the recipient (of the communication) perceives is opposite to the communicator's best interests, the communicator‘ is viewed as more sincere, i.e. more credible, and hence the message is more persuasive (Walster, et al., 1966; Eagly, et al., 1978). If a fundraiser informs people that their contri— butions will make little difference and/or that they can receive the collec- tive good even if they do not contribute, such a communication would be perceived by the recipients as making statements opposed to the communica- tor's best interests. Such negative statements have the effect of increasing the credibility of the communicator and, hence, increase the effectiveness of the appeal. This would explain why the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition generated a higher proportion of contributors than the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition. However, if this explanation is valid, why did we not observe a significantly higher proportion of contributors in the Low Efficacy condition than in the High Efficacy condition? We may surmise that telling people that their contributions will not make a difference has a dual effect. Such a statement may increase the credibility of the source of the communication, but it may also decrease the recipients' desire to con- tribute their resources which may be better spent elsewhere. On the other hand, providing information which openly recognizes the nonexclusivity of a collective good, such as a Nuclear Freeze or public television, may not have a negative effect since people already recognize the nonexclusivity feature. 28 While the three-way ANOVA indicated that the interaction effect between the nonexclusivity and efficacy factors are statistically insig- nificant, the results are highly suggestive. Examining the combined data in Table 4, we see that there was a higher proportion of contributors in the Low Efficacy/Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition (1.75%) than in the High Efficacy/Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition (.502). This suggests that when there are no prior negative statements,the harm from telling people they have low efficacy is outweighed by the positive credi- bility effect of that one negative statement. Is it the case that if a little honesty is good, then a lot should be better?' Comparing the two treatment conditions in which Nonexclusivity is Revealed (Table 4), we find that there was a higher proportion of con- tributors in the High Efficacy condition (3.0%) than in the Low Efficacy condition (2.50%). In short, while making one negative statement, i.e. Nonexclusivity Revealed, may increase the credibility of the communicator, making further negative statements offers little, if any, further gain to source credibility. Whatever gain is achieved, is more than counteracted by the loss from telling a person they have low efficacy. It was also hypothesized that the petition circulators would be more likely to contribute than the petition signers. While the results were in the direction of the prediction, the difference was not statistically significant. However, for all four treatment conditions, the circulators did have a higher proportion of contributors than did the petition signers. This strongly suggests that there is a difference between those individuals at the core of a social movement and those who are sympathizers. The factor of sex was also shown to be statistically insignificant but the logic of the argument remains appealing. The basic problem which 29 confronted the analysis of this variable was that we had no way of being certain that our listed recipient, e.g. Ms. Doe, responded to the appeal rather than her spouse. In two cases it was clear that it was the spouse and not the designated recipient who responded. We cannot be certain that the person who made the decision about contributing was the original recipient of the appeal. Consequently, we cannot test the differing orien- tations of men and women toward the Nuclear Freeze movement. The response rate to the appeals was slightly under 2% which was quite disheartening. Clearly, we expected that individuals who showed some sympathy toward the Freeze movement would respond more strongly than they did to our appeals. It is obvious that we were wrong and several possible explanations have been considered. Before explaining these possibilities, it needs to be acknowledged that the overall response rate does offer some support for Olson's theory in that most of the people who gave utility to the collective good elected not to contribute. However, as indicated, the low response rate may be attributable to several other factors. The first factor to consider is that both mailings were sent out in close proximity to election day, November 2nd. During this political time of year, people are swamped with a variety of pamphlets and pleas for contributions and, thus, our appeal may have been one among many to get lost in a stack or to hit the trashcan. Secondly, the bumper sticker we advertised solicited a yes-vote for Proposition "E" on November 2nd. Con— sequently, as that deadline approached, people may not have wanted to purchase and display a bumper sticker which would have been outdated in a matter of weeks. Thirdly, the Nuclear Freeze Fundraisers was not a known organization so people may have been reluctant to contribute their resources without a more convincing guarantee (besides our word) that the funds would, in fact, go to support the Freeze movement. Finally, the Michigan Freeze 30 proposal was viewed as having a high probability of passage. Our appeals sought to raise funds to promote a collective good rather than to directly produce the good, so people may have felt they could have a more direct effect by simply voting for the Freeze proposal. Since the proposal was likely to pass, the response to our appeals may have been low because people could show their support through a vote and because there appeared to be no urgent need to contribute funds to fight a battle that had already been won, i.e. everybody could be a free-rider. There are also some possible modifications to this field experiment which may serve to improve the response rate and the general quality of the study. One possible alternative is to mail the bumper sticker along with the appeal which is similar to the American Lung Association's strategy when they mail "personalized address labels" with their donation appeals. This might reassure the recipients that the organization is not a hoax and would eliminate all possibility that the bumper sticker acts as a private good incentive since everyone, including noncontributors, would receive one. Inlcuding the bumper sticker would hOpefully increase the organization's credibility and facilitate higher response rates. In addition, follow-up interviews with recipients in each treatment condition (respondents and nonrespondents) might provide useful information as to the actual effect of the communications and shed some light on why subjects choose not to contributei Finally, it would seem prudent that similar experiments be conducted well before the election day to avoid competing with other political campaigns. The November deadline became an imposition on rather than an impetus for the facilitation of higher response rates. Consequently, such a mailing might be more successful if it were not associated with a specific 31 deadline (as well as the bumper stickers) allowing for sufficient time for the recipients to respond. In conclusion, the field experiment and the one statistically sig- nificant result, i.e. the effect of nonexclusivity, suggests that there may be a flaw in Olson's logic of collective action. People may not be as rational as Olson thinks in that revealing and not revealing the non- exclusivity feature of free-riding did make a difference in whether sub- jects contributed toward collective action. We offered the conjecture that subjects in the Nonexclusivity Revealed condition had a higher pro- portion of contributors than those subjects in the Nonexclusivity Not Revealed condition because they perceived the source of the communication- as more credible and, hence, were more persuaded by the appeals for con— tributions. Given the low response rate, the generalizations that can be made from the results are limited,which indicates the necessity for further replications of this study. While the results do not conclusively refute the hypotheses of this thesis (nor do they support or refute Olson's economic analysis of human behavior), there is evidence to suggest that revealing the features of the free-rider problem does affect the likelihood that an individual will contribute resources toward collective action. NOTES Theoretical Background 1. Olson argues that if the collective good is produced it will be at a suboptimal level or below the amount of the good that would be in the best interests of the group to provide. This suboptimizing of goods occurs because the rational, self-interested individual calcu- lates how much of the good he/she needs and once his/her costs exceed his/her gains, then the individual will stop contributing regardless of the needs of other members of the group. As Olson puts it, when one's share of the costs exceeds one's share of the additional bene- fits, one will stop contributing toward the production of the collec- tive good. 2. This interpretation of Olson draws heavily upon the writing of Denton E. Morrison (1975 and 1977). See bibliography for a complete citation of these sources. 3. Similarly, we could ask if sympathizers will have a higher pro- portion of contributors than individuals selected from the general public. The only problem I see with such a proposition is that sign- ing a petition is such a minimal cost, as compared with circulating a petition, that there may be no significant difference between the responses of sympathizers and the general public. However, during my experience soliciting signatures for the Freeze proposal, 252 or less of those solicited actually signed the petition sheets which suggests that the sympathizers, i.e. signers, are a special subset within the general public. 4. Some other possible explanations for the differences between prior contributors and sympathizers are: -Prior contributors are more involved in organizational networks which place greater pressure on them to contribute. «Prior contributors have a higher level of perceived efficacy as justi- fied by previous experience (circulating petitions did get the Freeze proposal on the November ballot). -Prior contributors have greater amounts of information than the sympathizers, e.g. pamphlets, newsletters, etc. 5. Explanations 1 and 2 assume that the prior contributors are as rational as the sympathizers in that they are both equally aware of the potential for free-fiding. 6. From my own experience as a petition circulator as well as con- versations I have had with other circulators, I found no evidence to support this proposition. Other circulators seemed fully aware of the potential for free-riding, yet they contributed their time and resources toward the Freeze movement because they felt it advanced their self-interest and the interests of others. They also contri- buted because they felt a responsibility to act according to their principles, i.e. they felt they had to get involved and do what they felt was right. 32 II. 33 Methodology 1. The proposal for this study was presented to and approved by the University Committee on Research Involving Human Subjects in August/ September of 1982. 2. The Nuclear Freeze Fundraisers was an organization fully regis- tered and in compliance with guidelines of the Michigan Elections Division. 3. The subjects mailed their contributions to a common address: Nuclear Freeze Fundraisers, Box 1521, East Lansing, Michigan. However, the department varied as to the treatment to which a subject had been assigned. Petition signers mailed their contributions to Department A, B, C, or D. Petition circulators mailed their contributions to Department 1, 2, 3, or 4. 4. The first mailing was sent out on September 27th. 5. By the 11th of October, we had received only 13 responses from the first mailing and it was subsequently decided to initiate a second mailing. This second mailing was sent out on October 14th. 6. The name of a petition circulator appears in the lower right hand corner of the petition sheet and must include the circulator's name and address (see Appendix B). III. Findings IV. 1. For the two—tailed t-test, t= 1.2195, df= 998. Discussion 1. Adams has argued that an individual (Person) is driven to reduce feelings of inequity which may be accomplished in at least two ways. First, the inequity may be reduced if either Person or Other increases (or decreases) their inputs and/or outcomes. Second, Person may alter perceptions of Person's own inputs and outcomes and/or the inputs and outcomes of Other. Hence, feelings of inequity may be reduced if Person actually or perceptually manipulates the inputs and/or outcomes of Person or Other. 2. WKAR, Channel 23, Festival '83 membership drive campaign. 3. One might counter the argument that petition circulators will con- tribute less by claiming that the collective good has a higher utility for the petition circulators than for the signers. Consequently, the circulators may perceive their inputs as insufficient when compared with the outcome to be gained. 4. While we cannot be sure about the sex of the individual who decides whether or not to contribute, we are sure that each house- hold was in only one treatment condition. Hence, we do not encounter the same problem with interpreting the response rates by condition. APPENDICES APPENDIX A: The Fliers Mailed to the Subjects APPENDIX A Nonexclusivity Not Revealed/Low Efficacy Appeal September . 1982 Dear Citizen of Michigan: We are three concerned citizens trying various ways to raise funds for the Nuclear Freeze. We urge you to vote for the Nuclear Freeze Referendum in the general election of Tuesday, November 2, 1982. Vote yes on Proposition B. We hope you will make an additional contribution to making the Nuclear Freeze Referendum pass overwhelmingly by purchasing and displaying a Nuclear Freeze bumper sticker. All profits from sales go to promote passage of the Michigan Nuclear Freeze Referendum. In a state as large as Michigan, it is very unlikely that one contribution will make the difference in whether or not the Referendum passes. And even if the Referendum passes it may make little difference in whether or not a Nuclear Freeze comes about. But anything that can be done to help bring about a Nuclear Freeze will help reduce the risk of nuclear war. Isn't that reason enough for your contribution? Thank you, Bradley Fisher Stan Kaplowitz Denton Morrison East Lansing , Michigan dlz Print your ‘ Cut this and tape name and address NUCLEAR FREEZE: GIVE "BOMBS AHA!“ NEW MEANING to your envelope here for our VOTE YES ON PROPOSITION 8 NOV. 2 as your mailing mailing label , label Green on white :3 a: 1 sticker $1.00 Make checks out to: 3'. :3 3 stickers 32.00 """'"' "" "" f. 3 5 stickers $3.00 Nuclear Freeze Fundraisers g Q 10 stickers 34.00 E .- 15 stickers $5.00 a: 2 (Write for bulk rate) ‘3’. c. :2 5 If you enclose a stamped, "‘ ~ -- g self-addressed envelope 5 3 .5. there will be more money 3 (J I :— for the Freeze. '5' a g 33 Z 6 GI: 35 APPENDIX B The 1982 Michigan Nuclear Freeze Petition Sheet gwszHx w .56 $8 Zena. m: zcowmmn mnomum mezzo: msomn is I. ‘2- 3:??? 3 cs 3.!— es s. ’e so... i... .. Llplllacli 1 r .Elna—sol’egmilb‘mgmm'.§e1§wieoeBiasggseiegasielng £25.20 £33er 6”", can: I: (at. III-On O3< o- 1”! I§< g: ‘05:! i <8: "user‘s.“ #0 <9: I :2. g i 000169 INITIATIVE PETITION Goad—30>nn 9‘ 6.305qu .. 5e awhile. 1 .3. S0226). seas: — Is i.e....em .o ntn a-e.e .1- !l I)! ”w 353—0: 5:. see a: sense-Se os 30 mes-.3 1s. 20:05 I In Reasons. .3.- 3 I: 9:. 351.060. .36 veto. NM, sen: koala—e .- ...e .53....- 1 £03.: Demo-....- 3 05.. 5e cease .am 52 .7. also: lee B .we g)— g; E z...- 1 20:5. e a: ate—Ion .322 are I: I Sale $030.06 323?. 30 ...—I‘m II 5s— “.M A See: nil-aginEIESs-cesros D: IDM§ Nd >\| £52.29 .13 nae-.2 L813: ”use .. ...8 "3.23... ... c... “a... rig .. a a ..o be can a ease h? none 0. .3. 90:0: :0. s 3: use I use so 28 0- ar: .60: I in nu Q\N 1::- s sea-e 08.! 5s: 9.. oi: so 235-...- .e 05:: o; s anions—3e ..oe. bx R 38 BIBLIOGRAPHY BIBLIOGRAPHY Adam, Stacy J. "Toward an Understanding of Inequity" Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology 1963 Volume 67, Number 5: 422-436. Burnstein, Eugene and Robert J. WOlosin "The Development of Status Distinctions Under Conditions of Inequity" Journal of Experimental and Social Psychology 1968, Number 4: 415-430. Camilleri, Santo F. and Anne M. McMahon "Organizational Structure and Voluntary Participation in Collective-Good Decisions" American Sociological Review October, 1965 volume 4: 616-644. Campbell, Angus, Philip Converse, warren Miller and Donald Stokes The American Voter 1964 John Wiley and Sons, Inc.: New York. Campbell, Donald T. and Julian C. Stanley "Experimental and Quasi- Experimental Designs for Research on Teaching" in Handbook of Research on Teaching 1963 N. L. Gage (ed) Rand McNally and Co.: Chicago, Illinois. Eagly, Alice, Wendy Wood and Shelley Chaiken "Causal Inferences About Communicators and Their Effect on Opinion Change" Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1978 Volume 36: 424-435. Fireman, Bruce and William A. Gamson "Utilitarian Logic in the Resource Mobilization Perspective" in The Dynamics of Social Movements 1979 Mayer Zald and John McCarthy (eds) Pp. 8-44 Winthrop Publishers, Inc.: Cambridge, Massachusetts. Kaplowitz, Stan "An Experimental Design to Test Olson's Assumption of Individual Rationality" 1982. A working paper, Department of Sociology, Michigan State University. Kaplowitz, Stan Personal Communication January, 1983, Department of Sociology, Michigan State University. Mitchell, Robert C. "Public Opposition to Nuclear Power in the Polls: Knee Jerk Emotionalism or Lay Rationality?" 1981. Paper prepared for AAAS Symposium on Nuclear Power and the Public,January 4, 1982 in Washington, D.C. Morrison, Denton E. "Olson's Theory, A Critique and an Alternative" An unpublished manuscript, May, 1975 Department of Sociology, Michigan State University. 39 40 Mbrrison, Denton E. and Harriet Tillock "Group Size and Contributions to Collective Action: An Examination of Mancur Olson's Theory Using Data From Zero Population Growth, Inc." Research in Social Movements, Conflict and Changg December 1977 Volume 2: 131-158. Olson, Mancur, Jr. The Logic of Collective Action 1965 Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts. Paige, Jeffrey M. "Political Orientation and Riot Participation" American Sociological Review October 1971 Volume 36: 810-820. Sherif, Carolyn,Muzafer Sherif and Roger E. Nebergall Attitude and Attitude Change 1965 W. B. Saunders Co.: Philadephia, Pennsylvania. Walster, Elaine, Elliot Aronson and Darcy Abrahams "On Increasing the Persuasiveness of a Low Prestige Communicator" Journal of Experimental Social ngchology 1968 Volume 2, Number 4: 325-342. Winer, B. J. Statsitical Principles in Experimental Design 2nd Edition 1971 McGraw-Hill Book Co.: New York Pp. 206-207.