-'<' «C‘W W. . .'.' 27m“... :7. yuan? 1' .37”ng ‘. 3‘32": . ooh RELATIONSHIPS AMONG CERTAIN CHARACTERISTICS OF .A DECISION EVENT: DECISION PROCEDURE, DECISION CONTEXT, AND DECISION-MAKER Thesis for {ht Degree of Ph. D. MICHIGAN ,STATE UNIVERSITY Jean Rowan Halliday. 1964 (Hes): 0-169 III!|ll|lIlHJ§flJl|lll1fllIIHgl1llfll IllsialleIlIglq II I ,1"IBRTn«I\,Y'_ .' " ’ ; I‘s’clxi l-v J; g3“ “ n; University This is to certify that the thesis entitled Relationships Among Certain Characteristics Of A Decision Event: Decision Procedure, Decision Context, and Decision-Maker presented by Jean Rowan Halliday has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for M degree in Management A K/ («or v r * r/K (ml/{l , Major professor Date JulX 11+! 1964 “"0 018° ‘1, i .. 0 . 0' f K M O ? I I- | g I ABSTRACT RELATIONSHIPS AMONG CERTAIN CHARACTERISTICS OF A DECISION EVENT: DECISION PROCEDURE, DECISION CONTEXT, AND DECISION-MAKER by Jean Rowan Halliday This comparative and descriptive study explored relationships among decision procedure, decision context, and the decision-maker with respect to belief about the nature of the world as controllable or subject to chance. Decision procedure was defined as the way of approaching decision respecting extent of rationality. Decision con- texts were defined as the areas of family living, technical through affective, in which decision is made. To elicit decision-making behavior, three open-ended questions were devised around: (1) food buying to represent a technical context, (2) organization of work in the home to represent a technical-affective context, and (3) child discipline to represent an affective context of family living. For measuring respondents' beliefs about the nature of the world, the “Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs,” devised by Brim, Glass, Lanvin, and Goodman, was used. The sample consisted of sixty student wives chosen randomly from the population of student wives having child- ren at least two years of age and living in married student Jean Rowan Halliday housing at Michigan State University. Data were gathered by personal interviews, the interviewer recording as the respondents thought aloud through the decision questions presented. Demographic data were also obtained. The data were analyzed and quantified for extent of rationality as follows: four categories were established, each of which was subdivided, defined in detail, and given a numerical weighting for three degrees of rationality-- most rational, intermediate, and least rational. The four categories were based on literature reviewed and were: 1) whole response, 2) reasoning, 3) weighing, and 4) inquiry for and use of information. Rationality scores were deter- mined for each respondent for each decision context. Scores were also determined for each respondent for each of the sub-tests in the "Test of Bpistemological and Instrumental Beliefs" and were statistically correlated with the ration— ality scores. The following hypotheses were tested: 1) Homemakers will make decisions using a re rational pro- cedure in the more highly technical con ex 5, and a less rational procedure in the more fiIgEly affective contexts of family living. 2) Homemakers will tend to show consistency in approaching decisions, i.e., those using a more rational procedure in the technical contexts will tend to use more rational procedures in the affective contexts, while those who use less rational procedures in the technical contexts will also tend to use less rational procedures in the affective contexts of family life. 3) Homemakers who use a more rational approach to decision will tend to perceive themselves as being able to exer- cise control over their environment, while those using Jean Rowan Halliday a less rational approach will tend to perceive themselves as being.more subject to chance or fate. The first hypothesis was rejected, the second was accepted, and the third was accepted on the basis of nega- tive correlation between scores of rationality and the "be- lief in fate" sub-test of the "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs . " No relationship appeared to exist between decision procedure (extent of rationality) and age or religion, but the data suggested a relationship with education. Respond- ents varied in their preferences for sources of information depending upon the context in which the decision was made, and further research is needed in this respect. The importance which the respondents attached to the decision appeared to be the most significant variable influencing the amount of reasoning, weighing, and informa- tion-using they were willing to do in thinking through the decision questions presented. Further research is required into the mental proc- esses of decision-making and to find out what variables are most crucial in influencing decision-making. A great deal more study is needed about how individuals view their world, how they perceive themselves in relation to it, and how these perceptions affect their decision-making. RELATIONSHIPS ANDNG CBRIAIN CHARACTERISTICS Of A DECISION EVENT: DECISION PROCEDURE, DECISION CONTEXT, AND DECISION-MAKER BY Jean Rowan Halliday A THESIS Submitted to Hichigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Home Management 1964 ACKNOWLEDGNBNTS lany people have contributed help, interest, sug- gestions, and encouragement in the development and execu- tion of this research. A I am grateful to the members of my Guidance Com- mittee: Miss Esther Everett, Dr. Jean Schlater, Dr. Alice Thorpe, Dr. William McKee, and to a former committee mem- ber, Dr. Iwao Ishino; I appreciate especially the time, unceasing interest, inspiration, and patience given by the Chairman of this Committee and director of this research, Dr. Beatrice Paolucci. I wish to acknowledge advice about statistical procedures from Dr. Hillard warrington of Evaluation Servb ices and from members of the Statistics Department, also the cooperation and kindness of the student wives who comp prised the sample for this study. And, finally, I wish to thank my friends for moral support in this enterprise. TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter I. INTRODUCTION AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK . . . Importance of Decision-Making in Families 03:me DeCi31on-m1nge e e e e e e e Necessity for Decision-Making Research. Objective O O O O O O O Definition of Terms . . Conceptual Framework. . Decision Procedure. . Decision Context. . . Decisioanaker. . . Hypotheses. . . . . . Assumptions . . . . . II. REVIEW OF LITERATURE. . . Rationality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Related Research. . . . . . . . . . . . Measuring Rationality. . . . . . Uniqueness and Flexibility of Approach. Relationships Among Characteristics in Decision Situation . . . . . . . . . . k1 16f sys tems O O O O O O O O O O O O O O I II O MEmODOLOGY O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O Selecting the Sample. . . Rationale for Choice of the Sample. Criteria for Choice of the Sample . Choosing the Sample . . . . . . . . Developing the Instrument . . . . . . Decision Procedure. . Method Developed and Abandoned for Decision Procedure . . . . . Method Developed and Adopted for Decision Procedure O O O O O O O O O Decision Contexts . . . . . . . . DQCiSion-mere e e e e e e e e 0 Data Collection . . . . . . Method of Analysis and Quantific tion “lief Test O O O O O O O O O Decision Procedure. . . . . . Criteria for Judging. . . Analysis and Quantification Reliability. . . . . . . . . . Testing the Hypotheses. . . . . Chapter Page IV. DESCRIPTION OF THE SAMPLE . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Age Of Wives O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 48 m Of mldren O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 49 Age of Children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Eduution O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 51 R81 1910:! O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 54 v O FINDINGS O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 5 5 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . Decision Procedure and Decision Context Consistency of Decision Procedure . . . Decision Procedure and Decision-Maker . Decision Procedure and Other Variables. Preferred Sources of Information. . . Comparative Importance of Decision Contexts O O O O O O O O O O O O eeeeeeee 0‘ w SWY O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 6 9 VI. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS. . . . . . . . . . 71 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . 71 Decision Procedure and Decision Contexts Rationale . . . . . . . . Adequacy of Decision Questions. . . Consistency of Decision Procedure . . Decision Procedure and Decision-Maker Epistemological Beliefs . . . . . . Instrumental Beliefs. . . . . . . . Implications. . . . . . . . . . . . . eeeeeeeee \l \O L ITERAWRE CITED O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O co 0‘ APPENDIX I. MODIFIED "TEST OF EPISTEMOLOGICAL AND INSTRUMEM& BEEFS " O O O O O O O O O O O O 89 APPENDIX II. INTERVIEW GUIDE . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 APPENDIX III. CRITERIA FOR JUDGING DECISION PROCEDURE. 97 APPENDIX IV. SCORING SHEET FOR DECISION PROCEDURE. . . 101 APPENDIX V. CORRELATION FORMULA FOR TESTING HYPOTHESIS III O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 103 APPENDIX VI. SCHEMATIC PRESENTATION OF HYPOTHESIS I. . 105 Table 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. LIST OF TABLES Ages of student wives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . Number of children per wife. . . . . . . . . . . Age of children. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Student level of the husbands. . . . . . . . . . Education level of wives . . . . . . . . . . . . Amount and kind of home economics training . . . Religious affiliation of wives . . . . . . . . . Individual decision procedure scores by decision contexts O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O Order of decision procedure scores in decision contexts O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O Decision procedure by decision contexts. . . . . Consistency of decision procedure. . . . . . . . Correlation between belief sub-tests and de- cision procedure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Age compared with decision procedure . . . . . . Education compared with decision procedure . . . Religion compared with decision procedure. . . . Preferred sources of information . . . . . . . . Rank-ordering in importance of decision context. Page 48 49 so 51 52 53 54 56 58 59 60 62 64 65 66 68 69 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Importance of Decision-Making in Families wise decision-making in families is crucial for creating conditions that will promote development of the full human potential of all family members. That optimum conditions are not obtaining in many families may be deduced from such evidence as broken homes, alcoholism,lemotiona1 disturbance, and crime. within the context of a rapidly changing world, management in families, through its central decision-making activity, performs two functions: 1) to bring about change,‘ and 2) to stabilize and maintain the family's most impor- tant values. As it moves through its life-cycle, periodically the family must make critical decisions for change. Out- side the family, rapidly changing science and technology, with all their ramifications, create new conditions of living, and correspondingly, the need to manage in the home in new and different ways. Rapid social change brings about different family interaction patterns and the need of new role definitions within the family itself and for the family within the community. In addition to coping with these changes, the family must cope with the varied pressures and tensions they cause. As world-wide communi- cations reduce distances and differences among peoples and races, an awareness of "one world“ increasingly influences families' views of themselves, their goals and values, and, consequently, their decisionpmaking and resource use. Perhaps even greater difficulties arise as manage- ment in families performs its second function: to maintain stability. Because families are a part of the society, some changes are mandatory and imposed. But some values in family life must be retained and strengthened. Families must continuously carry out a process of reorientation and evaluation to maintain stability. They must frequently decide upon new ways of actualising the values that they hold in highest priority as well as guiding value change over time. while in some respects management in the home is more difficult than ever before, in other respects it is easier. Because of increased knowledge in the physical and behavioral sciences, families today can control more aspects of their lives than in earlier times; that is, less v needs to be left to chance. But in order to control, fam- ily managers must be able to make wise decisions. Defining Decisionqlaking For rigor in home management theory, ”decision- making” needs precise definition. It is frequently defined'\ as a step-like process: seeking alternatives, thinking I through the consequences of the alternatives, and choosing one alternative. Some models of the decision process in- clude additional steps (9:65), or steps are combined in various ways, but essentially the definition usually ac- cepted reduces to "choosing among alternatives." This definition of decision-making may be inade- quate; on the one hand, it seems too inclusive, and on the other, it is too restrictive. Because it leads to equating "decision-making" with ”evaluating," the definition is too inclusive. Evaluating can be part of decision-making, e.g., in weighing alterna- tives we evaluate one against another according to a set of criteria suitable to the situation. But can we say that "evaluating"‘ig,'decision-making"? In Hermetive Discourse, Taylor (20) appears to equate “evaluation” and “decision.” He states: The process of evaluation consists in trying to determine the value of something. . . . The aim of the process is to come to a decision; the proc- ess terminates when a decision is reached. . . . I shall refer to this evaluation, the product of the process, as a value judgment. (20:3) But he makes a clear distinction between value Judgments and other decisions in terms of action: A value judgment may be formed without being ut- tered in an evaluative sentence, but it must al- ways be possible in principle to utter such a sen- tence. To have come to a decision implies that one can answer the question, "What have you de- cided?" We may answer the question by saying ”I have decided to do such-and-such" or by saying "I have decided that such-and-such is the case." Only the second answer is pertinent here [in dis— cussing normative discourse], since the evaluation process leads to a settled opinion that something is the case; it does not (directly) lead to a de- cision to act in a certain way. (20:3-4) while Taylor makes a distinction between value judg- ments and other decisions, Simon differentiates decisions as to kinds of judgments: Insofar as decisions lead toward the selection of final goals, they will be called "value judgments"; so far as they involve the implementation of such :31: ghey will be called "factual judgments." Both Taylor and Simon, however, make their distinctions on the basis of whether or not the decision leads to action. C. L. Lewis, in The Ground and Nature of the Right (12), discusses the relationship between decision-making and action: Every governed act begins as a mental process. There is some sense of alternative possibilities- at least the alternatives to do or not to do. These may be subject to reflection or even to long deliberation, but in any case there must be an expected sequel which figures in the decision to do. As we have seen, however, the decision and the commitment are distinct. The commitment is that inscrutable fiat of the will, the “oomph” of initiation, which terminates the mental part and is the bridge to the physical part of the act. (12:43) As used in home management, "decision-making" seems not to be equated with "evaluating." The key to distinguish- ing these similar mental activities is that decision-making leads to action, while evaluating is judgmental. It would seem prudent to define decision-making so as to make the distinction clear. . On the other hand, "choosing among alternatives“ or a similar definition is too restrictive. Newman and Summer discuss their using “decision-making" synonymously with "planning," and they proceed: "But decision-making has a much narrower and more precise meaning in management circles; it refers to determining positive guides to action." (13:253) To define decision-making in this way allows for different m of determining courses of action, that is, different ways of deciding: a reasoned, rational approach, or an unreasoned, intuitive, insightful way of arriving at decision closure, or a melding or integrating of alter- natives rather than accepting one and rejecting others. To define decision-making as "choosing among alternatives" is too restricting because it rules out the last two ways of deciding. we might object to Newman and Summer's definition MM ”determininghpositive courses of action" on the ground that \\ m two important managerial functions in the home are to decide \xxufih Mtffl,,_ upon 9651s,m some of which might be states of being as well WM ‘ a action, and to decide upon rank-ordering of values. we might also argue for equating ”evaluating" with "decisionp _._.—......_‘ . ._flM# making” for the same reason, because evaluating does have a large place in ordering goals and values. gut_whilefisuch decisions about goals and values may not Ndirectly result m“-—. -W , “aw M. W in action, they do result in guiding action, because goals Wm -~ --—~-—-—--~ -~ _ andfivalues are themselves guides to action. While "choos- w...“ ing among alternatives" is too inclusive a definition be- cause it allows equating ”decision-making" with "evaluate ing," the definition "determining positive guidesto action" allows for including evaluation as part of the decision process and at the same time allows for decisions about goals and values. Therefore, the definition seems to be adequate, inclusive, and non-restrictive. Decision-making so defined could provide the ”base- line" or common meeting ground for home management theoret- ical use. It could then be variously qualified by such adjectives as ”rational," "reasoned," "economic,” "non- rational,” I'extra---rational," "non-economic," or by other adjectives defined to denote various means of reaching de- cision closure. Necessity for Decisioanaking Research Home management teaching and writing have emphasized the rational, reasoned approach to decision-making, not because other means are considered invalid, but because a prime function of management is to enable families to exer- cise control so that desirable outcomes are maximized and unanticipated and unpredicted events are minimized. At the present development of knowledge, too little is known about what comprises intuitive decision-making to be able to develop family managers' ability to make this kind of decisions. Home management theorists, therefore, have promoted the rational process of making conscious choice, Dased upon knowledge, using the ”normative" step-like model or parts or variations thereof: 1) recognizing a decision- making situation; 2) seeking information about and formu- lating alternatives; 3) weighing alternatives in terms of consequences (outcomes and resource use); 4) arriving at closure and implementing the decision; and 5) accepting consequences of the decision. But little research evidence exists to indicate how closely family managers really do conform to the ”norma- tive" model, or to answer our questions about how they do in fact make their decisions and why they make them in the ways they do. How much do families weigh and reason in their decision-making? Does the context of family living within which the decision is made affect the extent of reasoning used? we do not know how they approach the crucial, cen- tral decisions throughout the family's lifetime, nor the little day-to-day decisions which implement the larger crucial ones. Knoll has rightly suggested that more at- tention needs to be given to the ranges in magnitude of decisions in families, and that "we may be less inclined in the future to plot all decisions, great and small, on the same map." (27:336) Another gap in our knowledge concerns families' use of information, which Anshen calls "the raw material for decision-making." (2:68) How do families process this raw material into decisions? In discussing decisions in law, in relation to computing machines, Cowan makes the interesting point that: . . . nothing exists in the computer analogous to the power of the human mind to forget, to ignore, to pass over as irrelevant matters obviouslycggf inconveniently relevant and the like . . . puter designers] are concerned with computers that can learn, but they apparently do not yet wish to tackle the much more difficult problem of creative unlearning. (23:1070) We do not know how family decision makers select, out of all information at their disposal, what to include in de- cisions and what to ignore; how they assess which bits of information are relevant and important, relevant and unimn portant, or irrelevant to the decision; how much ”creative unlearning" takes place; what sources of information are drawn upon, and why these are drawn upon rather than others. In short, we know little about family decision-makers' use of information. We know very little about the relationships between family managers' decision-making and their philosophic "stance to life.” Psychologists and social psychologists provide the bulk of what little is known about the effects of man's belief system on his behavior. Little is known about the relationships between the way man perceives the world to be and his decision-making as a specific kind of behavior. This whole dimension has been largely ignored in decision-making research. Objective The objective in this study is to analyze possible relationships among certain characteristics of decision, viz., decision procedure (extent of rationality in approach- ing decision), decision context (the area of family living, technical through effective, in which decision is made), and W (respecting beliefs about the nature of the world as controllable or subject to chance). Definition of Terms Decision-making: determining positive guides to action. Rational decision-makppg: a reasoned, information- using way of determining positive guides to action. Decision ppocedure: way or manner of approaching decision with respect to degree of rationality or reason-, ing: most rational, intermediate, and least rational. Decision contex : the area of family living, tech- nical through affective, in which decision is made. 1) Technical contexts of family living-those areas about which information based upon empirical evidence is readily available and in which little emotion or family interaction is inherent, e.g., food buying. ii) Affective contexts of family living--those areas about which information is less available, in which folklore or "conventional wisdom" persists, and in which emotion or family interaction is inherent, e.g., child dis- cipline. ‘ Conceptual Framework Decision Procedure In assessing rationality in decision-making, one must ask on what basis the presence of rationality is judged and how it can be quantified. The literature reviewed supported the establishment of criteria for identifying evidence of rationality in de- cision-making under the following headings: Reasoning, 10 weighing, and using information. An absolute rationality is not sought, but a relative rationality; the individual may show more or less rationality with respect to other individuals or with respect to kind of decision being made. To quantify, three degrees of rationality are established: most rational, intermediate, and least rational. Full dis- cussion of the established criteria is presented in the "criteria for judging" section of the chapter on methodol- ogy (Ch. III). In summary form, these criteria in relation to the decision problems in the study are as follows: Most rational-oglobal appraisive approach, broad consideration of the whole problem; reasoned approach, con- sidering many aspects of the problem and making relation- ships among them; weighing, comparing, ranking, allocating; using evaluated information (trial and error, observation, experience of self or others, authoritative sources). Intermediate-somewhat appraisive approach but omission of some obvious aspects of the problem; some reas- oning, fewer aspects of the problem considered, suggestion of making relationships among them; suggestion of weighing, comparing, ranking, allocating; using unevaluated informa- tion (unqualified trial and error, experience gpp,experi- ence of self or others uncritically stated or unspecified sources of information). Least rational-problem seen as a whole or only part of the problem seen, without component analysis or specu- lation; no evidence of reasoning, making relationships, weighing, comparing, ranking, or allocating; little evi- dence of seeking or using information. In judging the presence and amount of rationality, no attempt is made to judge the rightness or wrongness of the decision procedure employed or to judge the quality of the decision. Decision Contpgt Home management cuts across all contexts of family 11 living, some being quite technical and some highly affective. Family managers may approach decisions in these different contexts in different ways: they may do more or less reas- oning, seek and use more or less information, depending upon the decision being made. In a technical context such as food buying, there is little inherent emotion or family interaction, and a considerable body of precise information is available: about nutrients necessary for the body, what foods provide which nutrients and in what quantities, weights, grades, brands, prices, as well as knowledge about local stores; even family likes and dislikes are facts known to the family food buyer. A highly reasoned decision seems possible in such a technical context. -On the other hand, in an effective context, such as child discipline, emotion and family member interaction are inherent and a smaller amount of precise information is available than in the more technical contexts. Folklore and ”conventional wisdom" may be the preferred sources of information, e.g., "mothers instinctively know best," "I was raised this way and I turned out all right," and so forth, as well as dependence upon relatives and friends. Parents may be less prone to make reasoned decisions and to seek and use empirically tested information in such af- fective contexts of family living. Between the two ends of the technical-affective continuum lie contexts varying in amount of emotion and family interaction and in the precision and amount of 12 available information, e.g., organization of work in the home. Some emotion inheres, such as personal threat, frus- tration, "cognitive dissonance" (8), or satisfaction in meeting standards and role expectations. While a consider- able amount of research-based information is available, a preferred source may be experience of self or others. The occasion for family member interaction is present to a higher degree than in the technical but to a lesser de- gree than in the more effective contexts. Home managers, for these reasons, may make decisions in such a context in an intermediately rational way. Decision-Maker Individuals vary, even within the same culture, in their beliefs about the nature of the world, destiny, and their place in the scheme of things. If family mana- gers view the world as controllable and see themselves as having influence over their own destinies and environment, it seems reasonable to suppose that such a view would ef- fect the way they make decisions. If they see it as con- trolled by fate or chance, such a view would affect not only the alternatives they perceive in the decision situ- ation and the acceptability of these alternatives, not only how they consider consequences, but also the very feasibil- ity of attempting to make decisions at all. flypptheses l. Homemakers will make decisions using a more rational 13 procedure in the more highly technical contexts, and a less rational procedure in the more highly affective contexts, of family living. 2. Homemakers will tend to show consistency in approach- ing decisions, i.e., those using more rational procedures in the technical contexts will tend to use more rational procedures in the affective contexts, while those who use less rational procedures in the technical contexts will also tend to use less rational procedures in the affective contexts of family living. 3. Homemakers who use a more rational approach to decision will tend to perceive themselves as being able to exercise control over their environment, while those using a less rational approach will tend to perceive themselves as being more subject to chance or fate. Assumptions 1. Individuals exhibit a degree of variability of ration- ality in approaching decision—making. 2. Individuals' belief systems regarding the nature of the world are relatively stable over time and can be iden- tified. CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE Because rationality is an important variable in this study, literature was reviewed in sociology, economics, philosophy, and a very limited amount in psychology, to clarify the concept and to establish criteria for judging A respondents' rationality in decision-making. Review of decision-making literature was limited to closely related research. As another variable in this study is beliefs about the nature of the world, a brief review of some work on belief systems is included. The review of literature, then, is organized under: Rationality, Related Research, and Belief Systems. Rationality A standard dictionary definition of ”rational” is: ”having or exercising reason; proceeding or derived from reason or based on reasoning." (1:1005) Parsons (l4) emphasizes the relationship of means to ends and the place of knowledge in rational decision. He defines the concept: . . . in the ordinary sense of the maximization of ”efficiency" or "utility" by the adaption of means to ends. It is the sense of rationality which underlies most current analysis of techno- logical processes in science, industry, medicine, 14 15 military strategy and many other fields, which lies at the basis of economic theory, and much analysis of political processes regarded as processes of maintaining, exercising, and achieving power. The common feature of all these modes of analysis of action is its conception as a process of attaining specific and definite ends by the selection of the "most efficient" means available in the situation of the actor. (14:22) He states that economic theory is the analytical scheme in which the role of knowledge has been most highly elab- orated and conceptually refined. Arrow (21) surveys the literature in economics, philosOphy, mathematics, and statistics on the subject of choice among alternatives under uncertainty (which covers most choices, he affirms, if attention were paid to the ultimate implications). He defines rationality thus: In its broadest sense, rational behavior simply means behavior in accordance with some ordering of alternatives in terms of relative desirabil- ity, . . In some situations, however, there are additional conditions which appeal to the in- tuition as being rational. nAlmost all the the- ories discussed here seem to be rational in the first sense, but not in the second. (21:406) 0n the basis of his wide review of different disciplines' interpretation and usage, Arrow explicitly denies intuition as part of rationality. A growing disenchantment with the notion that man is indeed rational is evident in the literature. After reviewing decision theory, largely economic, which he ate tempts to relate to psychological theory, Edwards asserts that economic theorists assume "an economic man" who is 1) completely informed, 2) infinitely sensitive, and 3) 16 rational. By "rational" is meant that economic man can "weakly order the states into which he can get, and he makes his choices so as to maximize something." (26:381) Psychol- ogists, Edwards maintains, consider that the economic man is very unlike a real man, and that economists themselves are somewhat distrustful and have therefore attempted to relax these assumptions. Simon says virtually the same thing: "Traditional economic theory postulates an 'economic man' who, in the course of being 'economic' is also 'rational.'" After out- lining assumptions made, Simon states that: . . . recent developments in economics, and partic— ularly in the theory of the business firm, have raised great doubts as to whether this schematized model of economic man provides a suitable founda- tion on which to erect theory--whether it be a theory of how firms do behave or of how they "should" rationally behave . (IF: 241) Simon's dissatisfaction with the "global rationality of economic man," which he claims makes severe demands on the decision-maker, led to his developing a model of decision- making that more closely resembles what he believes to be the actual decision processes in the behavior of men. He postulates an "approximate" rationality in which humans ”adapt well enough to 'satisfice'; they do not, in general, 'optimize.'" (18:261) Diesing, also, considers that defining rationality in the traditional sense limits its scope quite severely. He distinguishes "substantial" rationality, referring to individual decisions, and ”functional" rationality, 17 which refers to organizations. He states: A decision or action is substantially rational when it takes account of the possibilities and limita- tions of a given situation and reorganizes it so as to produce, or increase, or preserve, some good. This definition includes two points: the decision must be an effective response to the situation in that it produces some possible good, and the ef- fectiveness must be based on intelligent insight rather than on luck. Effectiveness I define as a wider concept than efficiency. The efficient achievement of predetermined goals is a special kind of effectiveness. . . . An organization is functionally rational, . . . when it is so structured as to produce, or increase, or preserve, some good in a consistent, dependable fashion. (6:3) He further states that decisions are made according to prin- ciples, including principles of order, and that principles ' can be thought of as rational. "Rationality is a special kind of order, that which is intelligible due to the pres- ence of a governing principle.” (6:239) With reference to decision-making, Diesing dis- tinguishes five types of rationality: technical, economic, social, legal, and political. He relates these five types to the three major conceptions of practical reason in the history of philosophy, which he states are "not basically incompatible but differ primarily in emphasis”: 1) reason as creativity, which he relates to social and'pglitical rationality; 2) reason as the discovery and application of rules to cases, which he relates to legal rationality; and 3) reason as calculating, literally adding and subtract- ing, which he relates to technical and economic rationality. (63244-47) 18 In a previous work (25) Diesing postulated two dif- ferent kinds of decision-making: economic (which might be considered to combine his later formulation of technical and economic rationality) and non-economic, appropriate to interpersonal relations (which might encompass his concepts of social, political, and legal rationality). Like Simon and Diesing, Stevenson uses a different approach in considering the inadequacy of traditionally defined ”rationality" when applied to ethical judgments, and he discusses the ”nonrational” methods of ethics in changing attitudes and beliefs to reach solution: The most important of the nonrational methods will be called “persuasive", in a somewhat broadened sense. It depends on the sheer direct emotional impact of words--on emotive meaning, rhetorical cadence, apt metaphor, stentorian, stimulating, or pleading tone of voice, dramatic gestures, care in establishing ra rt with the bearer or audience, and so on. (l9:l§§§ Persuasio is nonrational i a sense that must be contrasted with irrational, no less than with ra- tional. Irrational methods are rational in the sense of ”reason-using", and are distinguished by the fact that the reasons themselves (as distinct from the judgments they support in turn) are de- fended by invalid methods. But nonrational methods go beyond the use of reasons altogether--always provided, of course, that the term "reasons" is togdegggnate statements that express beliefs. 1 :l Stevenson's distinctions seem applicable to decisions other than ethical ones, e.g., consumer decisions may be rational, based on valid reasons, or nonrational, based on emotion, or irrational, based on illogical reasoning. Back (22) draws a different distinction than I" 19 Stevenson in his use of "rational,” ”nonrational,” and "ir- rational." Back contends that rational models of decision- making are equated with "decision theory“: The essence of models of this kind is to simulate the situation by a mathematical system and to com- pare the actor's actual decision with decisions in accordance with this system. (22:14) Using a rational model it is possible to define the value of each possible outcome (utility) and to compute an optimal solution which will maximize some function of the utility, and this is the traditional view of rational decision-mak- ing. But Back states that the rational model can be used only for decisions in the middle range of importance. He contrasts the other kinds: As the rational model derives the decision from the structure of the situation, the irrational model derives it from the structure of the person. The factors considered lie in the psychodynamics of the individual. . . . Taking the rational solution as a base-line, de- viations from it can be explained by psychological mechanisms such as compulsions, prejudices, or strong urges. Thus the irrational model is useful in explaining those decisions which seem to run cggntzr to the long-range utility of the outcome. :1 Of the postulated nonrational model, Back says: At the extremes of the continuum of importance, however, neither the rational nor the irrational model applies. . . . The sources of the nonrational model are not mathematical nor psychodynamic, but rest more on the analysis of experience by phenom- enologists and existentialists. (22:17) He explains that the irrational model can be applied to situations where little is known of the relevant facts, the results are vital, and the opportunity will not repeat, 20 e.g., command decisions of a general, or the model can be applied to trivial decisions "where reasoning and emotion are either not possible or not necessary." (22:17) Stevenson's usage of "nonrational" and Beck's of "irrational" are roughly equivalent, Stevenson considering that nonrationality is related to emotion and Back that irrationality is related to the psychodynamics of the in- dividual; that is, these words represent unreasoned ways of reaching solutions. Stevenson's use of ”irrational" grants reasoning but on illogical grounds, while Beck's use of "nonrational” is quite a specialized one. Other definitions of rationality were used in the related research and will be discussed in that connection. This review has indicated some of the agreement, diversity, and contradiction among certain writers from different disciplines in their definition and usage of ”rational." One can agree with Brim and associates: It [defining rationality] is an impossible task unless one states the conditions under which the definition can be applied. It is not sufficient, for example, to define rationality as "the selec- tion of the most appropriate means to a given end after careful weighing of all available informa- tion" without first determining how the judgment of appropriateness is to be made; e.g., whether by external observers possessing the most advanced ascientific knowledge, or by the actor himself given only limited information. Kochen, Levy, and Simon argue effectively on the need for a continual qual- ifier to the term "rational". They point out that rationality must be regarded as a concept which haszgo meaning apart from a given set of rules. 4: 21 Related Research Decision-making research has been conducted at an accelerating rate, particularly within the last decade. Much of it has been what we might call “mechanistic": who makes the decisions and about what, processes and models of decision-making, attempts to categorize and classify, and so forth. Less attention has been given to the psy- chological aspects of decision-making regarding cognition and what affects it. Least attention of all has been de- voted to the philosophical dimensions of decision-making; perhaps we may yet discover that decision-making is essen- tially a philosophic enterprise. Because decision-making was treated somewhat philosophically in the discussion of its definition in Chapter I, the review of research is quite severely limited here to brief descriptions of research that is closely related to this study: attempting to measure rationality, exploring uniqueness and flexibility of individuals' approaches to decision, and seeking rela- tionships among internal and external environmental char- acteristics of the decision-maker and decision processes. Measuring_Rationality As discussed in the chapter on methodology, for this study the original plan for determining rationality was to use a forced-choice technique, and this method was abandoned in favor of open-ended questions. The original forced-choice instrument was based on a study by Rieck and Pulver. (29) Their research was designed to evaluate the 22 effects of Farm and Home Development in Wisconsin in teach- ing better decision-making. They developed an empirical measure of decision-making ability through which a ration- ality rating was established to represent the individual's ability relative to the norm of rational decision-making. Rational decision-making was defined as "a conscious process of setting goals, recognizing problems, getting information, and analyzing alternatives which will maximize family sat- isfactions." (29:1) The researchers established thirty- one individual measures, of which twenty-four were forced- choice questions and seven were observations. The responses to the questions were pre-coded into rational, intermedi- ate, and non-rational categories depending upon the degree of agreement with the rational model of decision-making. Numerical ratings of 1, 2, and 3 respectively were assigned to these categories. The mean response value was obtained for each respondent, which represented his decision-making rating. While this study had some obvious weaknesses, mainly in the method of testing validity, this type of instrument appears to have some merit as a methodological tool in decision-making research. In a similar study, Dean and co-workers (24) in- vestigated the relationship between rationality in decision- mmking and eight.socio-cultura1 variables considered to be associated with adoption of recommended farm practices. They defined rationality as involving ”the use of delibera- tion, planning, and the best available sources of information 23 and advice in arriving at decision as a means of achieving maximum economic ends." (24:123) They combined nine ques- tions into a "rationality index" and placed the responses ’on a 3-point scale of rationality: rational, intermediate, and non-rational in a similar fashion to Rieck and Pulver's method. Uniggeness and Flexibility of Approach Bustrillos (32) studied the flexibility of the de- cision process in exploring homemakers' decision-making styles. A decision-making style was_conceptualized as the behavior profile resulting from the combination of the di- mensions of the three elements: mode (hypothetical, factual, and action-suggestive); time reference (future, past, and present); and decision-making rule (preference ranking, objective elimination, and immediate closure). These di- mensions could combine into twenty-seven styles. Three hypothetical problems were developed to elicit information about decisionpmaking style; the responses were subjected to content analysis using pre-established categories, and then analyzed for decision-making styles. The significance of this research appears to be its recognizing and attempt- ing to study another way of making decisions than the "nor- mative' model, which may be inappropriate for studying de- cisions in families. Another significant feature is that the researcher attempted to explore the notion that indi- viduals approach decision-making uniquely. Research into‘hg!,people think through their decisions 24 might well be classified as research into thinking or cog- nition, rather than decision-making research, depending upon its focus. In their research into thinking, Bruner, Goodnow, and Austin studied the sequence of decisions lead- ing to concept formulation in relation to problem solving, the nature of psychological categories, and the strategies by which people discover cues appropriate to use in cate- gorizing. They defined categorizing as "discovering the defining attributes of the environment so that they may serve with their preper values as the criteria for making judgments about identity." (5:30) They formulated two broad types of categorizing responses: identity and equivalence responses and three category types: conjunctive, disjunc- tive, and relational. They postulated four types of strat- egies: successive scanning, simultaneous scanning, con- servative focussing, and focus gambling. Findings from their research indicated that the subjects differed in the sequence of decisions made in attaining a concept, that subjects displayed flexibility in adapting their strategies to the information, capacity, and risk requirements imposed on them, and they were able to adapt to imperfect cues. This research lends support to the notion of individual differences in approaching problem solving and decision- making. Relationships Among Characteristics in Decision Situation Among studies concerning‘hgg,people make decisions, the research by Brim, Glass, Levin, and Goodwin (4) is among 25 the most ambitious and comprehensive. Their research was exploratory, and they attempted to identify relationships among decision-making processes, personality characteris- tics, sex, social class, and type of situation, using paper and pencil tests with 100 pairs of parents. They devised a Decision Process Test around four child-rearing problems (masturbation, homework, obedience, and stealing), and the decisions concerned actions the parents might take. Out of six phases of the decision process, the research focussed on two: 1) the evaluation phase, which concerned the eval- uation of provided courses of action in terms of probabil- ity of occurrence, the desirability and rapidity of the outcomes expected from each action, and 2) the strategy- selection phase which concerned the choice among alterna- tive actions and selection of a sequence for their perform- ance. Various personality tests were administered (i-Tests of Ability; ii-Tests of Affect Level-~drive level, desire for certainty, general personality traits; iii-Tests of Beliefs; and iv-Social Background Characteristics question- naire--social class, sex, religion). The researchers sought for relationships among over fifty variables tested, for consistency of people in their methods of decision-making, for congruence between some of the current models for ra- tional decision-making and the decisions of the 200 men and women studied, and they attempted to compare individual and group thinking processes in decision—making. Because the study was exploratory and tapped so many dimensions, 26 the conclusions were complex. Rather than for its findings, this study seems most valuable for methodology and for the further research it may generate. Belief Systems Basic assumptions about man underlie any attempt to study his personality and behavior. That an individual views his world from within his own unique and quite con- sistent frame of reference and acts accordingly is an as- sumption shared by many behavioral scientists, particularly psychologists. While authors in various disciplines have dealt with belief systems and some research has been done, investigation into the relationships between belief systems and decision-making is scanty. Brim and associates (4), as part of their research discussed above, created a ”Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs" in an attempt to determine subjects' beliefs about the nature of the world. They related these beliefs to other personality dimensions and to decision- making. Epistemological beliefs tested include: The degree of mastery which one believes he has over his environment, the opposing belief in fate, whether events occur through some natural order or whether they arise from supernatural or mystical causes, whether the world is viewed as predict- able, whether events which occur in the world are mainly good or bad, and one's view of the complexity of the causal relations between events in nature. 27 The instrumental beliefs tested include: the emphasis on consideration of future events as against past or pres- ent, value placed upon originality and creativity, the de- gree of goodness or badness and of the probability or im- probability of events, i.e., whether the world is an "either- or” type of environment, emphasis on considering a number of outcomes of a proposed solution, emphasis on selecting several potentially workable alternatives, and value placed upon being thoughtful and deliberate rather than spontane- ous and impulsive. To construct their test, they compiled a list of 800 proverbs that seemed relevant to "thinking" and which voiced some prevalent beliefs. They allocated these to sixteen categories or sub-tests under the two major head- ings of epistemological and instrumental beliefs. From the original proverbs they finally devised five test items for each category. The subjects were to check their agree- ment with the items on a 5-point continuum: ”strongly agree, agree, 7 , disagree, strongly disagree." The re- searchers assigned numerical scores to each item, and a high total score denoted a high degree of the indicated belief. Kluckhohn and Strodtbeck (ll) classified value ¢//’ orientations (essentially belief systems) into five vari- ations: 1) human nature (innate goodness and badness of ,/ human nature); 2) man-nature (subjugation-to-nature, har- mony with nature, mastery over nature); 3) time dimension 28 (past, present, future); 4) activity (being, being-in-be- coming, doing): and relational (lineality, collaterality, individualism). This framework is useful for cross-cultural studies of beliefs, and these researchers used it in their studies with different cultural groups in southwest U.S.A. (Spanishquerican, Navaho, Anglo-Saxon). Rokeach (15) studied the structure of belief sys- tems, not their content, and the relationship between belief and thought. He constructed two objective-type tests: The Dogmatism Scale and The Opinionation Scale. He suggests that if we know something about the way a person believes, it may be possible to predict how he will go about solving problems that have nothing to do with his ideology. Both Boulding (3) and Kelly (10) recognize the im- portance of the individual's beliefs about the world as they relate to decision. Boulding states: Now we must ask what determines a person's value ordering, and what determines his image of the field of choice. It is evident that what deter- mines his behavior is not the real field of choice, whatever that may be, but the rceived field of choice as it exists in his pichre of the situa- tion. These are large and difficult questions. They involve the whole mysterious process by which the person's "image", or ”view of the universe” in all its manifoldness and complexity, is built up not only out of information actually received but also out of the power of inner growth which it possesses and exerts through the imagination. (3:423) Kelly's work supports the notion that an individual's basic beliefs about the nature of the world will affect both the characteristic way he approaches making decisions and also 29 what alternatives he actually chooses. In Kelly's words: . . . our clients were making their choices, not in terms of the alternatives we saw open to them, but in terms of the alternatives they saw open to them. It was their network of constructions that made up the daily mazes that they ran, not the pure realities that appeared to us to surround them. (10:53) O O O O O O O O O Q 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O . . . the criteria by which a perso choose be- tween the alternatives, in terms of which he has structured his world, are themselves cast in terms of constructions. Not only do men construct their alternatives, but they construe also criteria for choosing between them. (10:55) How an individual perceives the world will influence how he anticipates the future, and Kelly says, "A person's proc- esses are psychologically channelized by the way in which he anticipates events." (10:56) He considers that an in- dividual's construct system provides him with both freedom of decision and limitation of action--freedom, because it permits him to deal with the meanings of events rather than forces him to be helplessly pushed about by them, and limitation, because he can never make choices outside the world of alternatives he has erected for himself. (10:58) One of the conclusions drawn by Brim and associates in their study is that: . . . general values and orientation toward life, together with the cultural background of the re- spondents, seem to account for more variability in decision making than the more traditional per- 4 sonality traits. :234) CHAPTER III METHODOLOGY This comparative and descriptive study was under- taken in an effort to determine relationships among decision procedure (the extent of rationality in decision-making), context within which the decision is made, and the decision- makers' beliefs about the nature of the world as control- lable or subject to chance or fate. Selecting the Sample The sample consisted of sixty student wives living in Spartan Village at Michigan State University. Rationale for Choice of the Samplg, It was desired to hold relatively constant some variables in the study other than the dependent variable (extent of rationality) and the independent variables (de- cision context and beliefs). More homogeneity was expected in this sample than among families in general. Living quar- ters are identical; pattern of living is similar as all husbands are students; all are living on a temporary level of living until studies are completed. Age, social class, and education levels were not controlled, except that they were thought to range less widely than among families in general. No attempt was made to control religion or ethnic backgrounds, as the test of beliefs would take account, at 30 31 least partially, of these variables. Because the sample consisted of wives only, the sex variable was held constant. Because it was desired to provide common stimuli to elicit responses through using familiar managerial de- cision problems and because such problems were easier to develop for wives only than if husbands and wives jointly were to be selected, wives were chosen as respondents. Accessibility of the sample is another reason for its selection; being suitable in other respects, its prox- imity was thought to be an advantage for facilitating in- terviewing without car ownership. Criteria for Choice of the Sample The sample was chosen by the following criteria: 1) that the respondent be a student wife living in Spartan Village, and 2) that the respondent should have at least one child at least two years old. This second criterion was stipulated because of the decision question asked in the study concerning a child's being "difficult" in a way that worried the mother. It is believed that children are more prone to behavior which their mothers might describe as "difficult" just prior to and around two years of age than are infants, e.g., during toilet training and the negative behavior characteristic of two-year-olds. In this way an effort was made that the decision question would be as realistic to the respondents as possible and thus comparable to the other two questions used. 32 Choosing the Sample The Michigan State University Housing Office pro- vided a map of Spartan Village on which were marked the 64 buildings having twelve two-bedroom apartments. (Two- bedroom apartments are rented only to married students hav- ing children.) A random sample of B9 apartment numbers was drawn from the total population of 512 two-bedroom apartments, by using a table of random numbers. (7:452 ff) Names corresponding to the apartment numbers were obtained from the mailboxes, and the 89 student wives were contacted either by knocking at their doors or by telephon- ing, and appointments were made. Cooperation was excellent. Of the eighty-nine stu- dent wives contacted, twenty-two were ineligible because their children were under two years old; three were unable to respond because they did not understand and speak Eng- lish well enough to be interviewed; three refused because they were too busy; one was too ill to keep her appointment, and a later appointment was not sought because she was far advanced in a difficult pregnancy and the family was moving the following week. The remaining sixty comprised the sample for the study. Developing the Instrument To determine decision-making ppocedure (extent of rationality) it was necessary to provide a decision stim- ulus to elicit decision-making behavior that could be quan- tified for rationality. 33 As two of the hypotheses to be tested concerned possible relationships between the extent of rationality and the contexts within which the decision was made, it was decided to frame the decision stimulus within the dif- ferent contexts of family living, varying from technical through affective. A means of tapping belief systems had to be found, to test the hypothesized relationship between the extent of rationality and the respondent's view of the world as controllable or subject to chance. In summary, the method for this study was: 1) To devise decision stimuli for eliciting decision be- havior, framed within technical through affective contexts of family living; 2) To devise a means of quantifying the extent of rational- ity present in behavior so elicited; 3) To devise or discover a means of quantifying beliefs about the nature of the world as controllable or subject to chance; and, 4) To identify relationships among extent of rationality shown in particular decision contexts and strength of beliefs. Decision Procedure To determine the decision procedure, i.e., extent of rationality, one method was developed, tested, and aban- doned. A second method was then devised and adopted. Be- cause the first method may be valuable for future studies if its weaknesses are corrected, it will be described, 34 reasons given for abandoning it, and suggestions made for possible future use. Method Developpd and Abandoned for Decision Proced- ppg,-qAn attempt was made to develop an empirical measure for assessing extent of rationality, or reasoning, patterned after Rieck and Pulver's study (29) described in Chapter II. Porcedpchoice questions were devised for each of three decision contexts: food buying, organization of work, and child discipline. These questions were directed towards parts of a decision-making model: identifying the problem, seeking information, and considering consequences. "Seek- ing alternatives" was omitted, because the alternatives were provided as the items from among which the respondents were to choose one. Six items (or alternatives) were de- veloped to accompany each question, two designed as repre- senting "most rational," two as "intermediate,” and two as "least rational" solutions. Below is an example of a question geared to the "seeking information” part of the decision model and the “child discipline" decision context, accompanied by six items from among which the respondents were to select one. In parenthesis opposite each item is its designated ration- ality--HR: most rational, I: intermediate, and LR: least rational (this key would not, of course, be on the question as presented to the respondents). 35 "Sometimes children misbehave in ways that we do not under- stand. How do on decide what to do when you don't under- stand your chil s misbehavior? (MR) Discuss the problem with a specialist, e.g., teacher, doctor. , (LR) Punish the child anyway. (I) Ask relatives what they would do. (LR) Overlook the misbehavior. (MR) Look in a book on child care, e.g., Dr. Spock. (I) Discuss the problem with my friends or neighbors." As an aid in its development, the instrument was tested when partially completed with ninety-two undergrad- uate students enrolled in HMC 331, "Management and Decision- Making in the Family." To provide a partial test of va- lidity, these students were asked to indicate the extent of rationality of each choice item accompanying the ques- tions, using the following criteria: Most rational: reasoned approach to decision based on in- quiry and precise information. Intermediate: falls between most rational and least ration- al; evidence of some reasoning and inquiry; infor- mation less precise. Least rational: absence of reasoning; illogical; not based on information and inquiry. The students also responded to open-ended questions similar to the forced-choice questions; it was hoped that their responses might provide additional usable items. The instrument was then further developed and re- fined by eliminating items showing disagreement in their rationality ratings, and by substituting new items devised from student responses to the open-ended questions. The instrument was then tested with two selected student wives in married student housing. As a result of this testing, 36 doubts concerning the validity of the instrument were in- tensifieds At this point, this method of assessing extent of reasoning in decision-making was abandoned for the fol- lowing reasons: 1) Constructing suitable items to accompany the questions had proved very difficult. Items devised as "most rational" appeared too obviously the "right” responses; conversely, the "least rational" items were unlikely to be chosen, being too obviously "wrong" answers. In addition, developing short items that were unambiguous and that needed no fur- ther qualification was difficult. 2) Because of faulty item construction, the instrument was invalid, that is, it did not test the respondents' extent of reasoning used in making decisions; it merely tested their ability to select reasonable alternatives when these were laid before them. This method, however, might be developed so that it would be valid for testing some aspects of people's de- cision-making, e.g., their preferred sources of information. Difficulty in item construction might be overcome to a large extent by using actual responses made by home managers, collected through use of open-ended responses. Method Developpd and.Adopted for Decision Proced- ppg,-~As the attempt to develop a forced-choice instrument proved unfruitful, it was decided to use open-ended ques- tions as a means of eliciting evidence of reasoning in de- cision-making. Instead of fixed responses having pre-determined 37 degrees of rationality, free responses to open-ended de- cision questions would be assessed against a set of cri- teria of rationality derived from the literature. Six open-ended questions were formulated, two for each of three decision contexts (food buying, organization of work, and child discipline). These six questions were tested with four selected respondents. The questions, typed separately on cards, were handed one at a time to the re- spondents who were asked to think aloud through the decision. These responses were recorded by a tape recorder, then typed and roughly analyzed for evidences of rationality according to the criterion of the extent of reasoning and inquiry shown. The responses from this small sample were encour- aging; variations in responses appeared, each respondent having "thought aloud" through each decision in her own unique fashion. Evidence that this method was more fruit- ful than the forced-choice technique tried at first seemed sufficient to justify its adoption. This method seemed to tap‘ppg,the respondent actually thought through a decision, therefore showing the extent to which she employed reason- ing in this particular situation. No hint was given regard- ing any kind of response desired, and respondents seemed not to give what they might consider to be ”right" answers. In addition to answering the questions, the respond- ents were asked which of each pair of questions for the three decision contexts was more realistic, or less "armchair" 38 in nature, more important or less trivial. They were also asked for suggestions regarding the wording of the questions. Following this trial, the three ”best" questions were chosen on the basis of 1) productivity of responses and 2) the respondents' evaluations regarding the questions' realism, importance, and clarity. These questions were refined to make them more concise while retaining the mean- ing, and were used in the study in this form. On the basis of this pre-testing, also, the decision was made to abandon the tape recorder, for these reasons: 1) an inhibiting effect was noted, some respondents being noticeably more self-conscious in answering the first than the later questions; 2) much editing of irrelevancies was necessary, e.g., sentences started and broken off, "uh's," "I mean's," etc.; and, most importantly, 3) small children were interested in the recorder to the extent that their mothers were highly distracted from what they were saying in their efforts to prevent the children's interference with the machine. It was therefore decided that the inter- viewer would write the responses as given, as nearly as possible in the respondents' own words. In comparison with a tape-recorded interview, the written version was quite faithful to the responses as recorded. Decision Contexts Food buying, organization of work, and child dis- cipline were the three contexts within which the decision questions were to be framed, representing technical through 39 affective aspects of family living (as discussed in Chapter I). Decision questions were devised to meet the following criteria: 1) they should be equally important in all con- texts; 2) they should be realistic decisions common to all respondents; and 3) they should present occasion for the respondents to reason, to weigh, and to seek additional information. To meet these criteria, it was decided to frame the food buying question around the problems of meeting nutritional needs at low cost, and the work organization question around boredom and unfinished tasks. Because fewer child discipline problems were thought to be experienced in common due to age differences in respondents' children, it was decided to use the general term "difficult," to allow the respondents to provide their own interpretation of the word, and to ask them after they had thought through the decision how they had interpreted "difficult" in order to assess how serious they regarded the problem to be. The three decision questions devised are: 1) Mrs. As has to keep food costs down and yet feed her family nutritiously. If you were in her situation, how would you decide what food to buy? 2) Mrs. B. becomes bored with repetitive time-consuming tasks, and she is never caught up with her work (e.g., ironing). If this were your problem, how would you de- cide on ways to get the work done? 3) Hrs. C.'s child became ”difficult” in a way that worried her. If this were your problem, how would you decide what to do about it? In order to probe further without biasing responses, 40 a set of standard questions were devised to use after re- sponse had been made to each of the three decision questions above: a) On what basis would you decide this way? b) Have you ever had this problem? c) What did you do then? (If discrepancy with main response, follow with d) Why did you do what you did?) As a check on criterion (1) above regarding how important respondents viewed the problems to be, it was decided to request them to look at all three problems to- gether and to ask, "If these three problems were real prob- lems for you, equally serious, which would worry you the most”? "Why"? "Which would you consider next in impor- tance"? "Why"? "Why would you place the remaining one last”? It was thought that these questions might also elicit interrelationships respondents saw among the decisions. The decision questions devised, together with the standard set of probing questions, were used to elicit de- cision-making data that could be analyzed for decision pro- cedure used by each respondent. Decision-Maker For measuring respondents' beliefs about the nature of the world, the "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs" (Appendix I), devised by Brim 9.3.3.1.; . (4:309-311), was used. It offered these advantages: 1) it had been pretested on a large heterogeneous sample; 2) its reliabil- ity had been established statistically; 3) it is semi-projective 41 in nature, including thereby the advantages of both pro- jective and objective tests. The test has the projective characteristic of providing "a standard set of stimuli against which characteristic ways of thinking, speaking, and perceiving are easily detected and compared." (28:620) It shows two objective characteristics: the test designers had predetermined the responses out of which the subjects could choose, and they predetermined the interpretation. Satz and Carroll comment on weaknesses in both varieties of tests: Objective personality tests have generally been suspect in the area of validation. Additional criticism has been levelled at the marked restric- tion of spontaneous behavior inherent in such paper and pencil tests. On the other hand, pro- jective instruments have often been criticized because of their lack of standardization norms, scoring objectivity, and low reliability. (30:205) They believe that incorporating the better features of both kinds of tests in an instrument permits a larger sample of spontaneous behavior and yet lends the responses to more objective measurement. Brim and co-workers' test shares these claimed advantages. Following correspondence with Brim, the decision was made to use only the three items per sub-test showing the highest reliability instead of the five given in the test as published. (4:72-73) Data Collection After initial contact, the interview took place in each respondent's apartment at the agreed-upon time. 42 Demographic data were obtained (see Appendix II). The "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Be- liefs" was briefly explained and then administered to the respondent. This test took 10-15 minutes to complete. The respondent was then asked to think aloud through the three decisions, one at a time. The first decision question, typed on a 3” x 5" index card, was handed to her, and the interviewer wrote the response as it was given. If the response was brief, a prompting question such as "Is that all?" or NAnything else?" elicited a little more data. The three standard probing questions were then asked. Simp ilarly, the next two questions were presented. The respond- ents were then requested to look at all three decision ques- tions together and to rank them in importance. The same procedure, including the order of presenting the questions, was followed in each interview. (See Appendix II for Inter- view Guide.) The interview lasted approximately one hour. Re- spondents were cooperative and most of them talked quite freely. Many commented that they found the interview in- teresting. The influence of the interviewer on the data col- lected was minimized in several ways: 1) the same inter- viewer conducted all interviews; 2) the same set of stimuli was used for all respondents; and 3) the interviewer fol- lowed a set format in presenting the stimuli and in handling respondents ' questions . 43 Method of Analysis and Qu_pntification Belief Test The "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Be- liefs” was scored according to directions given by Brim ‘p§_pl, (4:74), a total score for each sub-test being com- ‘piled for each respondent. Decision Procedure Criteria for Judging.-Criteria against which to judge the presence of more or less rationality were devel- oped. Eight categories were set up on the basis of reason- ing, weighing, and information-using. These categories, together with the justification for their inclusion, follow: ggpgggpy Jpppi‘écppigp A. Whole Response In making a decision, it seems more rational to consider all dimensions of the problem as presented than to consider only part. B. Reasoning B.l. Diagnostic ap- Many "normative” models of de- proach--looking cision-making list ”identifying for cause or root the problem"as the first logical of the problem step in the process. As the problem is already identified in question #1, this category was expanded to include the no- tion of assessing or restating the problem. 8.2. Giving reasons The literature supports “reason- giving” as rational (e.g., Stevenson (19:139)). No judg- ment would be made regarding the ”goodness” or "badness" of the reasons given, just whether or not reasons were given. C. D. 8.3. Making relation- ships: cause and effect, conse- quences 8.4. Planning Weighing C.1. Comparing, rank- ing, allocating C.2. Alternatives Inquiry for or Use of Information 44 Rational decision-making involves maximizing efficiency or utility by the adaption of means to ends. (14; 25; 6; 21) Some ”normative” models of decision-making include "considering consequences" as a step in the process. To make a plan, devise a policy, or advocate these seems to be evidence of doing more reasoning than not. One of the steps in "normative" models of decision-making is "weighing alternatives"; compar- ing, ranking and allocating can apply to alternatives in means or ends, and these mental activ- ities are evidences of rational- ity. As a kind of reasoning, Diesing gives "reason as calcu- lating.” (6:247) Seeing several alternatives is more conducive to weighing and reasoning than seeing only one way. It was decided arbitrarily that "seeing three or more a1- ternatives" would be considered evidence of more rationality than seeing two or only one. Among others, Parsons (14:22) has indicated the importance of using knowledge as a necessary part of rationality. The "good- mass" or "badness" of the source of information used by the re- spondents was not to be judged; instead, sources were to be judged according to the extent to which the respondents gave evidence of thinking, of discriminating, or of evaluating the scurces they used. Thus, in reference to the problem with the child, a statement in the form "I'd ask my neighbor" would be judged less rational than "I'd ask my neighbor--she's a teacher." 45 Each of the above categories was described in de- tail for each degree of rationality: most rational, inter- mediate, and least rational. (See Appendix III for the full category descriptions.) Some arbitrary decisions were made regarding the dividing line between "most rational," "intermediate," and "least rational"; what has been called "fuzzy transition zones" between categories needed to be made less fuzzy and more clear-cut to provide consistency in scoring. Analysis and Qpantification.e-Responses to the de-‘ cision questions were then analyzed according to the estab- lished criteria. The response fitting each category was quantified by assigning scores of 3, 2, or 1 points accord- ing to judgment as "most rational," "intermediate," or "least rational" respectively. Each respondent's total score for all eight categories for each decision question could there- fore fall between 8 and 24 inclusive. Responses receiving a total score of 19-24 inclusive were classified as "most rational," 14-18 inclusive as "intermediate," and 8-13 in- clusive as "least rational.” (See Appendix IV for sample scoring sheet.) Reliability To determine the reliability of the analyzing and quantifying procedure, a home management graduate student scored approximately one-fifteenth of the responses to de- cision questions against the established criteria. Where 46 lack of agreement or uncertainty occurred, the criteria were refined and made more definitive. Two senior staff members in home management then scored some responses, the criteria were given slight additional refinement, and they then scored approximately one-third of the total data. An independent scorer was hired, and after a short introductory and training session, she scored the remaining two-thirds of the responses to the decision questions. While no statistical measure of reliability was established, there was high agreement between the scorer's results, per— formed independently, and the researcher's; on this basis, the criteria for analyzing and quantifying were accepted as reliable. Testing the Hypgtheses After the responses were analyzed for evidence of rationality and were quantified, statistical tests were applied. On these bases, the hypotheses would be accepted or rejected. Hypothesis I claimed non-independence between de- cision procedure (extent of rationality) and decision con- texts. A 12 test was applied to test the null hypothesis of independence. Hypothesis I would be accepted or rejected on this basis, at the 0.05 level of significance. Hypothesis II postulated consistency of individuals' decision procedure in relation to the three decision con- texts. Upon advice from the Statistics Department, no 47 statistical tests were applied. Consistency was compared on a counting basis, and the hypothesis would be accepted if more than half the respondents showed consistency in all or in two out of three contexts. To test Hypothesis III, a correlation was run on the decision procedure (rationality) and belief test scores of each respondent to identify the significant relationships. The hypothesis would be accepted or rejected on the basis of negative correlation with fatalistic belief at the 0.05 level of significance. (See Appendix V for correlation formula used.) CHAPTER IV DESCRIPTION OF THE SAMPLE The description of the sixty student wives compris- ing the sample includes: age, number and age of children, husband's education level (academic degree towards which he is working), own education, home economics education, and religion. Age of Wives Table l.-ques of student wives Age group Number Percentage Under 20 years 0 0 20-25 years 18 30 26-29 years 24 40 30 years and over 18 30 Total 60 100 How representative this sample is of the total stu- dent wife population is difficult to say, as statistics on this population are meager. Several recent studies on dif- ferent aspects of married students' situations have been selective from the population, e.g., married undergraduates, and the data on the wives are scarce. Oppelt (33) found the mean age of male married undergraduates to be 25.13 years, and while he collected no data on wives' ages, they 48 49 may be presumed to be slightly younger. The present study may not be any more representative than Oppelt's, for while it includes respondents having husbands in graduate school (see Table 4), the criterion for choosing the sample (that each respondent should have at least one child at least two years old) may bias the respondents' age upward and may account for there being none in the "under 20" age group. Number of Childppp, In these families, the most common number of child- ren is two, 33 or 55% of the sample having this number each. Table 2 shows the distribution of children. Table 2.-Number of children per wife Number of children Number of wives Percentage l 11 18.33 2 33 55.00 3 11 18.33 4 4 6.67 S l 1.67 6 or more 0 0 Totals 60 100.00 Oppelt's study (33) showed married undergraduate men to have an average of one child each (0.96), while Shaffer's study (31) of undergraduates indicated that 51% had children, and 22% had more than one child. This com- pares with about 83% having more than one child in the 50 present study; the inclusion in the sample of wives whose husbands were in graduate school and the criterion of having one child at least 2 years of age would undoubtedly account for both the presumed higher age of the sample and for the larger number of children. Age of Children Table 3.-Age of children Age range Number of children Percentage- Under 2 years 24 18.75 p 2-6 years 74 57.81 7-12 years 24 18.75 13-18 years 5 3.90 Over 18 years 1 0.78 Totals 128 99.99 Because the criterion for sample selection stipu- lated that each respondent should have at least one child at least 2 years old, children's ages were biased upwards slightly, and approximately 58% of all children fell into the 2-6 year age range. However, each family did not have a child in this grouping, e.g., some families had only teen- aged or elementary school aged children; several families jumped this 2-6 year group, e.g., one having an 8 year old and a 9 months old child. Many families had several child- ren in this range. The 5 children in the only family that had five children fell into the two youngest ranges, being 51 aged 4 1/2, 3 1/2, 2 1/2 years, 16 months, and 3 months. From these examples, as well as from Table 3, it is evident that ages and spread of children in families varied. Education The sample showed variation in the levels of the husbands' education. Table 4 presents the academic programs in which husbands were currently working. Table 4.--Student level of the husbands Student level Number of!husbands Percentage Undergraduate 14 23.33 Master's 22 36.67 Doctoral 19 31.66 Other 5 8.33 Total 60 99.99 Table 5 shows the distribution of the educational level of the student wives in the sample. A fairly high discrepancy shows up between husbands' and wives' education levels. Approximately 76 per cent of the husbands were on programs beyond the bachelor's level compared with only 25 per cent of the wives having bachelor's or more advanced degrees (excluding the one cur- rently working on her bachelor's degree), and 40 per cent of wives having only high school or high school plus addi- tional training. While the Oppelt and Shaffer studies concerned under- graduate students, a comparison of their data with the present 52 Table 5.-Education level of wives Number of Education completed student wives Percentage High school only or high school and additional training 24 40.00 3 years high school only 1 1.67 Complete high school only 15 25.00 High school + some business training 1 1.67 High school + special training (hairdressing, secretarial, nursing school) 7 11.67 Non-degree professional training 5 8.50 Registered nurse's training 2 3.33 Registered nurse + 2 years college 1 1.67 Teaching certificate 2 3.33 College training, 1-3 years 15 25.00 College training-~l year 4 6.67 College training--2 years 8 13.33 College training--2 years + some nurse's training 1 1.67 College training--3 years 2 3.33 College training, degree obtained 11 18.33 Bachelor's degree 8 13.33 Bachelor's degree + teaching certificate 2 3.33 Master's degree 1 1.67 Currently working on degrees 5 8.50 Currently working on bachelor's degree 1 1.67 Currently working on master's degree 3 5.00 Currently working on doctoral program 1 1.67 Total 60 60 100.01 100.33 53 study may provide a check on how representative this sample is of the married student population. Their samples are not representative in that they concern only undergraduates, while the criterion regarding having a child two years old may bias the representation in this study. The higher level of education attained by wives in this sample (25 per cent college graduates plus 8.5 per cent non-degree professionally trained) may be related to the presumed older age of the couples and the higher edu- cation of the husbands. However, it is interesting that the figures for those having gg_college training or its equivalent is identical in all three studies, 40 per cent. Table 6.-~Amount and kind of home economics training 'Number of Kind of training student wives None 6 High school 1 year or less 13 2 years 21 3 years or more 17 College Degree course, 1 year 1 Individual courses taken 8 Adult courses 5 4-H club work 1-3 years 7 4-8 years 3 9 years or over 4 ‘Numbers do not add to 60 because the same individ- uals may have had several kinds of training, e.g., high school and 4-H. 54 Religion Relatively little variation occurred in religious affiliation, shown in Table 7. Table 7.--Religious affiliation of wives Number of Religious affiliation student wives Percentage Protestant 45 75.00 Roman Catholic 10 16.67 Jewish 1 1.67 Other 2 3.33 None 2 3.33 Total 60 100.00 CHAPTER V FINDINGS Introduction The variable, decision procedure (extent of ration- ality) was compared to the two variables, decision-context and decision-maker's beliefs about fate. The results of this analysis follow and are presented in relation to each of the three hypotheses. In addition, descriptions of other relationships among the data are given. Decision Procedure and Decision Context The first hypothesis tested in this study is: Homemakers will make decisions using a more rational pro- cedure in the more highly technical contaiss, and a less rational procedure in the'ESEE-Higfily affective contzxti, of family living. Table 8 shows individual decision procedure scores for the three decision contexts. For each decision context, a respondent's score could range from 8-24 inclusive. A total score for each respondent for all three decision con- ‘ texts could range from 24 to 72 inclusive. (Total scores are not involved in testing hypothesis I but are included here for later reference.) The respondents' individual numerical scores for the three decision contexts, as given in Table 8, could follow six possible orders: 1) l, 2, 3 (lowest score in 55 56 Table 8.-Individual decision procedure scores by decision contexts Decision Decision Decision Context I Context II Context III Respondent (food (work or- (child Total for number buying) ganisation) discipline) all contexts 1 18 17 18 53 2 «24 17 22 63 3 13 18 18 49 4 16 16 17 49 5 22 15 22 59 6 20 17 16 53 7 18 23 23 64 8 20 16 17 53 9 23 15 19 57 10 22 14 21 S7 11 23 14 12 49 12 20 15 13 48 13 18 19 14 51 14 21 20 18 59 15 21 14 19 54 16 22 20 21 63 17 9 11 16 36 18 22 16 12 50 19 19 14 19 52 20 22 21 21 64 21 16 13 22 51 22 20 15 22 57 23 17 14 19 50 24 21 19 22 62 25 18 18 17 53 26 14 16 15 45 27 20 19 19 58 28 20 15 21 56 29 19 18 10 47 3O 12 16 8 36 57 Table 8 (continued) W Respondent Decision Decision Decision Tetal for number Context I Context II Context III all contexts 31 19 14 13 46 32 23 22 15 60 33 13 11 17 41 34 12 18 14 44 35 2O 17 18 55 36 21 15 16 52 37 17 21 17 55 38 15 16 23 54 39 18 18 21 57 40 15 17 21 53 41 20 17 14 51 42 20 15 18 53 43 21 17 18 56 44 10 16 14 4O 45 23 19 17 59 46 13 17 11 41 47 19 21 19 59 48 20 16 24 60 49 17 13 12 42 50 13 19 18 50 51 22 15 19 56 52 17 18 22 57 53 16 17 19 52 54 16 16 15 47 55 13 17 17 47 56 17 15 21 53 57 18 14 14 46 58 21 20 22 63 S9 20 17 20 57 60 20 17 19 56 58 the first context, higher in the second, and highest in the third); 2) l, 3, 2; 3) 2, l, 3; 4) 2, 3, l; 5) 3, l, 2; 6) 3, 2, 1. Table 9 shows the number of respondents whose individual scores of decision procedure for the three de- cision contexts followed the six orders indicated above. Hypothesis I claims non-independence between de- cision procedure and decision context. It predicts that the highest decision procedure scores would be obtained in decision context I, decreasing through II to III; that is, the predicted order is 3, 2, 1. Table 9 shows that 14 out of 60 respondents scored in the predicted way, and 15 respondents scored 3, l, 2, representing a trend in the same direction. ixz test accepted the null hypothesis of independence (3:2 - 6.8 with 5 degrees of freedom), thereby denying hypothesis I as stated. The hypothesis was there- fore rejected at the 0.05 level of significance. Table 9.--0rder of decision procedure scores in decision contexts‘ M Number of wives Order 3; 7 l, 2, 3 .9 7 l, 3, 2 .9 10 2, l, 3 0 7 2, 3, l .9 15 3, l, 2 2.5 14 3, 2, l 1.6 Total 60 6.8 L ‘Decision contexts: I, food buying; II, organization of work; and III, child discipline. 59 A descriptive way of comparing decision procedure scores with decision contexts is shown in Table 10. Prom the data in Table 8, a "most rational" rating was given to scores of 19-24 inclusive; “intermediate” rating to scores of 14-18 inclusive; and "least rational” rating to scores of 8-13 inclusive. In comparing the number of re- spondents who received "most rational" scores, 45 per cent in decision context III is not according to expectations. The number scoring “most rational" with respect to context II is very low compared with both other contexts. We note the very high number (71 per cent) of respondents receiving an ”intermediate” score for decision context II. Relatively little difference shows for the number scoring "least ra- tional" for all three contexts (15, 6, and 13 per cent re- spectively). Table 10.--Decision procedure by decision contexts Decision Decision Context II Decision Decision Context I (work or- Context III procedure (food buying) ganization) (child discipline) Number Percent- Number Percent- Number Percent- of wives age of wives age of wives age Most rational 33 55.0 13 21.7 27 45.0 Inter- mediate 18 30.0 43 71.7 25 41.7 Least rational 9 15.0 4 6.6 8 13.3 Totals 60 100.0 60 100.0 60 100.0 60 Consistency of Decision Proceduge The second hypothesis stated: Homemakers will tend to show consistency in approaching decisions, i.e., those using a more rational procedure in the technical contexts will tend to use more rational pro- cedures in the affective contexts, while those who use less rational procedures in the technical contexts will also tend to use less rational procedures in the affective contexts Of fully 11f.e No statistical test of consistency was considered necessary for accepting or rejecting this hypothesis. From the data in Table 8, individual respondent's decision pro- cedure ratings (most rational, intermediate, least rational) were categorized by amounts of consistency shown. Table 11 presents the number of respondents who showed varying amounts of consistency in decision procedure ratings for all three decision contexts. Table 11.-Consistency of decision procedure Consistency criteria Number of wives Percentage Identical rating in all contexts 11 18.3 Identical in 2 out of 3 contexts 42 70.0 Ratings different in all contexts 7 11.7 Totals 60 100.0 It had been decided to accept the hypothesis if over half the respondents showed consistency in all or in two out of three contexts. (As 53 respondents, or 88 per cent, showed consistency, the hypothesis was accepted on sight. 61 Decision Procedure and Decision-Maker The third hypothesis stated: Homemakers who use a more rational approach to decision will tend to perceive themselves as being able to exercise control over their environment, while those using a less rational approach will tend to perceive themselves as being more subject to chance or fate. This hypothesis postulates a negative correlation between decision procedure and fatalistic beliefs. Correlations were used to discover relationships between total decision procedure scores and scores from the sixteen sub-tests in the ”Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs." Total decision procedure scores were derived from the data presented in Table 8: "most rational,” 57-72; "intermediate," 41-56; "least rational,” 24-40. (See Appendix IV for correlation formula used.) The following correlations were discovered between decision procedure (extent of rationality) and the sixteen sub-tests: six sub-tests correlated negatively and no sub- tests correlated positively at a significant level. Table 11 shows the direction and correlation of each belief sub-test with decision procedure. While other belief dimensions are related, the one particular sub-test most pertinent to the hypothesis is "belief in fate." As rationality was negatively correlated with this sub-test at the high significance level of 0.01, hypothesis III is accepted. 62 Table 12.-Correlation between belief sub-tests and de- cision procedure Belief sub-test Direction and correlation Epistemological beliefs 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Belief in animism Belief in supernatural causes Belief in fate Belief in predictability of life Belief in multiple causation of events Belief that good things will happen Belief that good things won't happen Belief that bad things will happen Belief that bad things won't happen Instrumental beliefs 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. Future time orientation Anti-traditionalistic orientation Belief that events clearly are either good or bad Belief that events clearly are either highly probable or highly improbable Belief that actions have many consequences Belief in trying many actions in solving problems Belief in thinking before acting .2273 .2862‘ .4051“ .2172 .2209 .3024" .1282 .1259 .0629 .8025”' .0835 .6528“‘ .2910‘ .0399 .0666 .0073 'Significant at 0.05 level. "Significant at 0.01 level. "°Significant at 0.001 level. 63 Decision Procedure and Other variables Besides the relationship stated in the hypotheses, possible relationships were sought between decision proced- ure and age, education, and religion. Tables 13, 14, and 15 present these comparisons. While no statistical tests were applied, an exam- ination of the data suggests little relationship between age and decision procedure. In comparing the proportion in each age group for the whole sample, slight evidence seems to suggest a relationship: in the 20-25 years age group, 15 per cent scored "most rational" compared with 30 per cent in the total sample falling into this group; in the 26-29 years age group, 60 per cent scored "most rational" compared with 40 per cent in the total sample; but the trend breaks down in the 30 years and over age group, only 26 per cent scoring "most rational" compared with 30 per cent of the total sample falling into this group. As comparisons by the "intermediate" and "least rational" ratings also fail to show consistent relation- ship with age, we can conclude that these data seem to show little evidence that these variables are related. A slight relationship is suggested between educa- tion and the "most.rational" ratings. In the total sample, 40 per cent had high school or high school plus additional training, and only 26 per cent of those scoring "most ra- tional" were in this educational group. Above this level of education, a slightly higher proportion of respondents 64 .uunesc oaocz amended on ooocsou monocouuom. cos m ooa mm can on ooa om Hence 6 o em ma mm m on ma ua>o ecu than» on om v mm m cm Ha ov em mama» mwuew cm H an we mu m on me than» mmuow cumsseuudm hone—oz couscouudm Mona?— oomevseuuom b.0832 omscouuem decadueu.unsoq. ousaoeauousH Hesoauou who: . nobas mo osonm 004 musoououm soauauoo honest deuce ; suspended sowedueo cud: mommaflou omerl.MH edema 65 .uonesc odors amended on oeocsou omousoouom. OOH m OOH mm OOH ma OOH om deuce o o m m an N m m common :0 mmdxuos haucouusu o o as m mm m we as confluent cosmos .mcacecuu oaoHHou cm a mw m cw m mm ma mucus mam .mcacecuu omoHHou o o m m as m m m ecstasy» emcee» Imomoum oeuumolsoz om e me me mm m as em masseuse autos» Idooe moan HoonUm cues no accrue coax .oosuceuuom wanes: .oueusouuem wonssz commusouuom Hones: .omeucouuom Hecowuew enema ouefiomauouCH HesOHueu and: mesa: mo fished coaueusom ousomuoum cadnduoo honest Heuoa ousomuoum coamfiumo cud: omndmaou coaumusomll.ea «Home 66 .uogasc oHocs unease: on neocsou emmusouuomo OOH m OOH mm OOH mH OOH om Hmuoa o O m H m H m N 6:02 o o m N o O m N Queue 0 o m H O o N H anBOO ON H ¢H m HN w 5H OH UHHonumU {meow om v we 5N on «H me me unannououm .oueuceuuem Hones: .momuceuuom nonsoz commusouuem wanes: .mmeuceuuem 3533 human 3363.8»5 3:033 the: 335 mo 83338.4 ousoeuoum roamaueo Hones: Houoa owsoououa sOHuHuoo cud: oendmsou cOHUHHamII.mH OHAoB 67 scored "most rational" at each level than in the total sample, and particularly higher for the level "college degree obtained." It can be noted that a much higher pro- portion (80 per cent) of the "least rational" scorers had high school level of education than the 40 per cent in the total sample; however, the total number scoring ”least ra- tional" is very small. These data seem to provide a slight indication of relationship between education and decision procedure. No evidence from the data suggests relationship between religion and decision procedure. Preferred Sources of Information Analysis of the responses to the three decision questions representing the three decision contexts revealed that respondents varied regarding the sources of informa- tion they preferred. Table 16 presents the preferred sour- ces of information, by decision contexts. For the food buying decision, 34 respondents re- ferred to "evaluated experience of self or others" as a source of information, and 24 referred to "authoritative or evaluated sources." For the work organization decision, 46 respondents called upon ”evaluated experience of self or others," while only 2 referred to "authoritative or evaluated sources." For the child discipline decision, respondents turned to "authoritative or evaluated sources" far more 68 frequently than for the other two decision questions, 47 respondents mentioning this source. A quarter of the sample, 15 respondents, referred to "evaluated experience of self or others." Table lG.--Preferred sources of information W Context I Context II Context III (Food (Organization (Child Source of information buying) of work) discipline) Number' number‘ Number' of wives of wives of wives Trial and error with ob- servation and comparison 5 2 9 Qualified observation ll 17 5 Evaluated experience of self or others 34 46 15 Information from authori- tative or evaluated sources 24 2 47 Courses, classes, or other formal learning situations 8 0 O Unqualified trial and error 0 l 2 Unqualified observation 0 O l Unevaluated experience of self or others 8 2 7 Uncritically stated or unspecified sources of information 4 0 6 Feeling, hunch, or "I don't know" 0 O l ‘Responses do not add to 60 because respondents often cited more than one source. 69 Comparative Impgrtance of Decision Contexts After respondents had dealt with each decision ques- tion representing each context, they were asked to look at the three together and to compare them in importance, giv- ing their reasons for so ranking them; Table 17 presents the rank ordering. Table l7.--Rank-ordering in importance of decision context Decision context Rank Number Percentage I I first 6 10.00 II first 0 0 III first 44 73.33 s I and II equally first 2 3.33 I and III equally first 5 8.33 II and III equally first 0 0 - not ranked 3 5.00 Totals 60 99.99 A majority of the respondents (73 per cent) rated decision context III (child discipline) as most important; decision context I (food buying) was next in importance; decision context II (organization of work) is obviously considered least important, 32 respondents (53 per cent) ranking it in last place. Summagy Hypothesis I stated: Homemakers will make decisions using a more rational pro- cedure in the more highly technical contexts, and a less 7O rational procedure in the more highly affective contexts, of family living. This hypothesis was rejected. Hypothesis II stated: Homemakers will tend to show consistency in approaching decisions, i.e., those using a more rational procedure in the technical contexts will tend to use more rational pro- cedures in the affective contexts, while those who use less rational procedures in the technical contexts will also tend to use less rational procedures in the affective contexts of family life. min This hypothesis was accepted. Hypothesis III stated: Homemakers who use a more rational approach to decision will tend to perceive themselves as being able to exercise control over their environment, while those using a less rational approach will tend to perceive themselves as being more subject to chance or fate. {.m— This hypothesis was accepted. No relationship appeared to exist between decision procedure (extent of rationality) and age or religion, but the data suggested a relationship between decision proced- ure and education. Respondents varied in their preferences for sources of information depending upon the context in which the de- cision was made. Respondents ranked the decision question about child discipline as most important and that of organization of work as least important. CHAPTER VI CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS Introduction The previous chapter presented findings. In this chapter conclusions relevant to the findings will be drawn, limitations in the study indicated, and implications for teaching and research suggested. The discussion of con- clusions will center around the hypotheses tested. Decision Procedure and Decision Contexts Hypothesis I was rejected, that decision procedure (extent of rationality in approaching decision-making) would be related to the context within which the decision is made. Rationale The rationale underlying hypothesis I was that de- cision procedure and decision contexts each fall along a continuum, and that these two continua would parallel each other in a relative way although not in a direct one-to-one relationship. It was believed that in a highly technical context a more reasoned decision is most possible, and, conversely, in a highly affective context, a highly reas- oned decision is least possible, because of the character- istics of the decision contexts, viz., affect and informa- tion (see Appendix VI). Responses to the decision questions representing 71 72 the decision contexts support the notion of a continuum of effect, at least as perceived by the respondents. In the food buying decision, responses showed little affect. One respondent was quite explicit on this point in answer- ing the request to rank-order the three questions in order of importance, saying, Number 3 [child discipline] is the most difficult to solve because personal relationships are in- volved. It's easier to work with things and lists, etc. I'd place the problems: 3, 2 l, in that order. Number 2 [work organization) and number 3 are related in that my mental outlook is re- flected in my relationship to my child--then maybe number 2 is the most serious of all-~would see my child and the problem in a different light. Number 1 [food buying] last, not because it is not equally important but easier to solve--when working with numbers and things you can figure this out-~but human relations and feelings can't be reasoned out easily, sometimes impossible. Responses provided some evidence of more family interaction and affect in the work organization decision than the first more technical context represented by food buying. Evidence of feelings regarding role expectation, family interaction, and other emotional overtones may be seen in such fairly frequent and typical responses as: If my husband criticized I'd go right through the ceiling because I'm touchy about it. . I hate housework. I just hate it. That's my down- fall-too repetitious-~you never get done, never accomplish anything. I don't get any thrill out of seeing a nice clean ironed shirt-~it's the least of my thrills. I'd get help if I had money. My husband cares how the house looks, so I care, but if just myself, I wouldn't care so much. I go through a period of being irritable and ner- vous before I get busy and reorganize. iF ~_.nl mug—aw 73 About once a week everything seems to be glaring at me. When I'm not caught up with my work, my husband lets me know about it, so I try to keep caught up. Some people work with a schedule, but I prefer to have variety. Want to be able to change my mind without feeling guilty. Respondents provided much evidence of affect and family member interaction in connection with the third con- “h text, e.g., many statements regarding how important and "dear” their children were to them, that they worried whe- ther they were doing the right things, and the importance of giving love and understanding. The rationale seems to be sound with respect to a continuum of affect and family interaction in the three decision contexts. The precision and amount of available information pertaining to the respective decision contexts can be ver- ified empirically. But the sources of information preferred by the respondents did not conform to the characteristics stated for technical through affective decision contexts (see Appendix VI). As shown in Table 16 (page 68), re- spondents' preferred sources of information in decision context I (food buying) were "evaluated experience of self or others" and "authoritative or evaluated sources"; in decision context II (work organization), "evaluated expe- rience..." was the highly preferred source; and in decision context III (child discipline), "authoritative or evaluated sources" were preferred by many more respondents and 74 "evaluated experience..." by fewer than chose these sources in the other two decision contexts. According to the rationale, in decision contexts where a greater amount of precise information is available, such information will be used, especially when affect is low; where less precise information is available, "conven- tional wisdom" (beliefs based on collective experience and wide acceptability) will supplement or replace it, partic- ularly where high affect exists simultaneously to make reasoning difficult and to influence people to live by ”conventional wisdom." That more ”experience" and less A "precise information" is sought in decision context I and the reverse in decision context III may indicate that the rationale may be unsound with respect to preferred sources of information, and the findings could be biased as a re- sult. However, the criteria for judging decision procedure in this study protected against this bias. Judgments were not made about the source per se but about the evidence given by the respondent of thinking, of discriminating, or of evaluating the source she mentioned. In quantifying the responses, equal weight was assigned to "evaluated ex- perience..." and to "authoritative or evaluated sources," because choosing either provided such evidence. In this study, the data seem to be in accord with the rationale underlying hypothesis I. Support is seen for the notion of a continuum of affect through the decision contexts. While the respondents' preferred sources of 75 information ran counter to the rationale, the criteria for judging decision procedure seem to protect the findings from.the bias that this discrepancy might have introduced. Adeggacy of Decision Questions While the rationale regarding the decision contexts themselves may be sound, the decision questions represent- ing them could introduce bias; that is, respondents could “m react to content rather than context. In devising the decision questions for each context, an attempt had been made to make all three equally realise tic and important to the respondents. The responses indi- cated that all questions were realistic to the majority of respondents. Because respondents ranked decision con- text II (work organization) so low in importance (see Table 17, page 69), it is interesting to note that they neverthe- less identified strongly with the decision question; a few typical reactions serve to show that this question was truly realistic to them: This is my.probleml Mrs. B. sounds like me! Do you hit everything on the head: This is my problem! I can tell you intellectually but I don't do ite-about the world's worst—~never up to date. This sounds so true. That's my problem--have never decided how to get the work done. Oh, boy! This is me! 76 In ranking all three decision questions in order of importance, giving their reasons, 73 per cent of the respondents ranked the child discipline decision question (III) as most important, and 53 per cent ranked the work organization decision question (II) least important (Table 17). In addition to ranking II least important, respond- ents' reasons were revealing. A few typical examples follow: I'm not really caught up and I don't worry-~always A another tomorrow. - Wouldn't worry about the work-it'll get done sooner or later. ' g I do what's vital; it's amazing how little is vital. L Relatively trivial. Annoying to me most of the time but not to the point I'm worried. Number 2 is the least of my worries, guess because I could always lie down beside a big pile of work and go to sleep-I think there are so many things so much more important. . It is also interesting that those who ranked this question other than least important usually did so because they saw its relationship to the child discipline decision or to total family well being. A good example was seen in the earlier quotation, Numbers 2 and 3 are related in that my mental out- look is reflected in my relationship to my child- then maybe number 2 is the most serious of all-- would see my child and the problem in a different light. Others sometimes qualified their ranking, e.g., "I'd feel that the child would come first, feeding the family second, and work third, though I believe it is bad for the family 77 to live in a place that is chaotic all the time." The last two examples are atypical, however; very few of the total sample saw the work organization decision as anything but their own problem, something that was an- noying but not important enough to worry or do anything about, and generally saw it as unrelated to family well- being. 71 The decision question on food buying was seen as E important in relation to health or to worries about money. Because it affected everyone in the family and on a longer 3 range basis, respondents considered it more important than the decision question about work organization. In placing the decision question about child dis- cipline first in importance, respondents stated as reasons the long-range consequences to the child and the immediacy of the problem, e.g., “if the problem isn't solved now, it may affect his whole life; it cannot be let go,” the effect on the whole family, and above all, the importance of the child to them. As devised, then, the decision questions seemed not to be equally important to the respondents. The im- portance of the decision may be the only vital, the only significant variable. Neither decision context, per se .(which was hypothesized to influence decision procedure through its amount of affect and the amount of precise in- formation available), nor the realism of the decision ap- pear to have much to do with the way people approach decision 78 making or with the amount and kind of information used. What does appear to make a difference is the importance to the decision-maker of the decision. The readiness with which respondents turned to information from authoritative or evaluated sources in the decisions that were important to them is striking. The family doctor, and recognized authors to a lesser extent, the teacher if the problem was seen as a school difficulty, child guidance clinics, the visiting psychiatrist in the school, nursery school teachers, and pediatricians were among those most frequently mentioned. In the food buying decision, second in importance to the child discipline decision, many mentioned government bul- letins, home economics departments, the basic four food groups, books from the library, courses in buying, series on TV, and so forth. In the decision question regarded as least important and most trivial (and yet one with which respondents identified strongly), only two respondents sug- gested going to outside sources: one stated that magazines give suggestions and hints, e.g., Redbook, and another sug- gested that one could go to a family service center for help in scheduling for housework. The importance of the decision seems to be related to decision procedure, although not conclusively. As shown in Table 10, the smallest proportion, only 21 per cent, of the respondents were rated "most rational" in the work organization decision, which was considered the least im- portant of the three. The largest proportion of respondents, 79 55 per cent, were rated "most rational" in the food buying decision, which was rated second in importance to the de- cision-maker. A smaller proportion, 45 per cent, of re- spondents were rated "most rational” in the child discipline decision, although this decision was considered most impor- tant by them. Affect and precision of information may have had enough influence on the decision procedure to offset the importance of the decision to the decision-maker. Consistency of Decision Procedure The second hypothesis was accepted, that respond- ents would show consistency in decision procedure in the L— three decision contexts. Behavioral scientists believe that man exhibits a certain consistency in his behavior, otherwise his actions would be completely unpredictable. That individuals exhibit similar decision procedure (extent of rationality in approaching decision) seems to be one instance of behavioral consistency. If we know how a home- maker habitually approaches her decision-making, we are in a better position to make predictions about her decis- ions and about her management in the home. Decision Procedure and Decision-Maker Hypothesis III was accepted, that homemakers who use a more rational approach to decision will tend to per- ceive themselves as being able to exercise control over their environment, while those using a less rational ap- proach will tend to perceive themselves as being more subject 80 to chance or fate. Epistemological Beliefs. In this study, the modified "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs" (see Appendix I) was used to test the third hypothesis. Only three of the nine epistemolog- ical beliefs in the test are shown to be related to decis- ion procedure (extent of rationality): "Belief in fate" (negatively correlated at the 0.01 level of significance), "belief in supernatural causes" (negatively correlated at the 0.05 level of significance), and "belief that good things will happen" (negatively correlated at the 0.01 level of significance). The hypothesis was accepted on the basis of the negative correlation between decision pro- cedure and "belief in fate." The significant negative cor- relation with ”belief in supernatural causes" further sup- ports the hypothesis. In their discussion (4:54-S7), Brim 35:51, relate both “belief in supernatural causes" and "be- lief in animism" to fatalistic beliefs. "Belief in animism" shows some correlation in a negative direction, but not significantly. As stated above, "belief that good things will hap- pen," is negatively correlated with decision procedure. This is one of two sub-scales comprising the test of opti- mism; the other, "belief that bad things won't happen," was not significantly correlated. Brim‘g§_gl, expected that these beliefs would be related to desirability esti- mates in decision-making (4:55-56). By extension, they 81 should be related to decision procedure in a positive di- rection, because estimating desirability of outcomes is a rational (reasoning, weighing) activity. On the other hand, "belief that good things will happen" may indicate a chancey, laissez-faire view of the universe: good things will hap- pen whether we do anything to bring them about or not, it's the nature of the world that good things happen. That both this belief dimension and the "belief in fate" dimension are negatively correlated with decision procedure at the 0.01 level of significance, as well as "belief in supernat- ural causes" at the 0.05 level, seems to indicate a rela- tionship among the three beliefs with respect to decision procedure. The negative correlation of optimism to decision procedure seems to present a contradiction to Brim's expec- tation of its role in decision-making. Instrumental Beliefs Of the seven instrumental beliefs in the "Test of Epistemological and Instrumental Beliefs," only three are significantly related to rationality in this study, but negatively, which is the opposite direction than was expected. That ”future time orientation" should be negatively correlated with rationality and at such a high level of significance (0.001) is surprising in the extreme. Of this sub-test, Brim says: An orientation toward consideration of future con- sequences of one's actions reflects a prior epis- temological view that the individual believes hime self to be involved in and in part responsible for some of the outcomes and events in the world. He 82 sees himself, that is, as having sufficient control over events actuall to influence these distant consequences. (4:56) The negative correlation of "future time orientation" with decision procedure is not compatible with the negative cor- relation of "belief in fate." If a high rationality score corresponds with a low one in "belief in fate" (and, by inference, with a high belief in having control over one's environment), a high rationality score should correspond with a high score in "future orientation," which, Brim says above, reflects a belief in having a degree of control over .‘l .‘a .‘I.Y"m- K'f events. This finding is difficult to explain. That the correlation is coincidental is ruled out by the high level of significance. It may be that the test items devised by Brim 93;]: do not actually test future time orientation. Because the "Test of Epistemological and Instru- mental Beliefs” is semi-projective in nature, it is open to the most frequently levelled criticisms of this type of test, viz., that validity is difficult to establish. The three items for the test of future time orientation were: Happiness comes from living day to day. Our grand business is not to see what lies dimly at a distance but to do what lies clearly at hand. The pleasures of one day today are worth those of two tomorrows. (See Appendix I.) These items clearly seem to indicate preference for present over future time. This seems not to be the same interpretation given 83 by Brim M” viz., "An orientation toward consideration of future consequences of one's actions." Consideration of future consequences is assumed to be related to reasone ing and weighing in decision-making, but preference for future time may not be. The remaining two instrumental beliefs that showed correlation with rationality are "belief that events clearly as are either good or bad" (negatively correlated at the 0.001 level of significance) and "belief that events clearly are highly probable or improbable" (negatively correlated at the 0.05 level of significance). Of these belief dimensions Brim says that the objective is to determine the degree to which individuals view the world as an "either-or" type of environment, and says: The beliefs should be related to the decision proc- ess through their effects upon the amount of con- sideration given to middle-range probabilities and to a mixture of good and bad outcomes, in contrast to extreme judgments of both in the evaluation process. (4:56 These beliefs seem less related than future time orientation to decision procedure. Implications Variations observed among respondents in their pre- ferred sources of information suggest that more needs to be known about what or whom families consider to be valid sources of information. Little is known about the use made of information from the home economics field, how this pro- fession is evaluated as a source of information, or for 84 what kinds of information home economics is considered a valid source. Such knowledge would be helpful, especially for professionals working with families. Perhaps home econ- omists can work most productively with and through sources that families consider significant. The family doctor, for example, was a significant source to many respondents for information about nutrition and child growth and develop- ment. Home economists having specialized knowledge in these areas need to be alert regarding the quality of information being disseminated by change agents whom families trust and respect as information sources. ””'I The findings suggest relationship between decision procedure employed and the importance of the decision as perceived by the decision-maker. The possible relationship between importance of the decision and the amount and kind of information sought suggests a fruitful line of inquiry. We need to know, and to find ways of knowing, what is re- ally important to families. In working with families and in teaching, professional home economists need to emphasize the integrated nature of home management. If families can see interrelationships among their problems, rather than viewing them in isolation, they are more likely to assess accurately the true importance of each. ' Much more needs to be known about decision proced- ures and variables affecting them so that people working with families may define their tasks. If we know that fam- ilies see consequences and relationships, that they reason lllllll illlllllllil‘ (l 85 and weigh, and that they will seek information, even if reasons are invalid and the information is ”poor," our task is to make well-established information available. But if they cannot or do not reason, the task in working with them is a very different and a more difficult one. This research investigated one approach to studying decision procedure; others could be tried. Using the raw data obtained, an instrument could be developed for further testing in a larger and more varied population. Further research into the mental processes of de- cision-making is required. Much more investigating is needed to find out what variables are most crucial in in- fluencing decision-making. In this study, a slight relationship was seen be- tween education and decision procedure; this relationship needs further exploration. Also, this study provides ten- tative evidence that decision procedure is related to an individual's view of the world as controllable or controlled by fate. A great deal more study is needed about how in- dividuals view their world, how they perceive themselves in relation to it, and how these perceptions affect their decision-making. 10. 11. LITERATURE CITED Books nggAmerican College Dictionary. N.Y.: Random House, 1 . ANSHEN, MELVIN. ”Managerial Decisions," in Automation and Technological Change. John T. Dunlop, ed. Engle- sex wood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc. (Spectrum), 1962. f BOULDING, KENNETH. "Decision Making in the Modern World,” in Lyman Bryson, ed. An Outline of Man's Know- ledge of the Modern World. N.Y.: McGraw-Hill, 1960. BRIM, ORVILLE 6., JR., GLASS, DAVID C., LANVIN, DAVID E., and GOODMAN, NORMAN. Personality and Decision Proc- esses: Studies in the Social Psychology of Thinking. Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1962. ‘1“ BRUNER, JEROME S., GOODWIN, JACQUELINE J., and AUSTIN, GEORGE A. A Study of Thinking. N.Y.: John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1956. DIESING, PAUL. Reason in Society: Five Types of De- cisions and Their Social Conditions. Urbana, Ill.: University of Illinois Press, 1962. DIXON, WILFRED J., and MASSEY, FRANK J., JR. Intro- duction to Statistical Analysis. N.Y.: McGraw-Hill Book Co., Inc. 2nd ed. 1957. FESTINGER, LEON. A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance. Evanston, Ill.: Row, Peterson and Co., 1957. GROSS, IRMA H., and CRANDALL, ELIZABETH w. Management for Modern Families. 2nd ed. N.Y.: Appleton-Century- Crofts, 1963. KELLY, GEORGE A. "Man's Construction of His Alterna- tives," Assessment of Human Motives. Gardner Lindsey, ed. N.Y.: Grove Press, Inc., 1958. KLUCKHOHN, ELORENCE, and STRODTBECK, FRED L. Varia- tions in Value Orientations. Evanston, Ill.: Row, Peterson, 1961. 86 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23.. 24. 87 LEWIS, C. L. The Ground and Nature of the Right. N.Y.: Columbia Univ. Press, 1955. (Series of Wood- bridge Lectures.) NEWMAN, WILLIAM H., and SUMMER, CHARLES E., JR. The Process of Management: Concepts, Behavior, and Prac- tice. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1961. PARSONS, TALCOTT. Essays in Sociological Theory Pure and.Apglied. Glencoe, Ill.: The Free Press. Revised ed. 1 54. ROKEACH, MILTON. The Open and Closed Mind. N.Y.: Basic Books, 1960. SMITH, CLAIRE, JAHODA, MARIE, DEUTSCH, MORTON, and COOK, STEWART. Research Methods in Social Relations. Revised ed. N.Y.: Henry Holt and Co., Inc., 1959. SIMON, HERBERT A. Administrative Behavior. N.Y.: The Macmillan Co., 1961. SIMON, HERBERT A. Models of Man: Social and Rational-- Mathematical Essays On Rational Human Behavior in a Social Setting. N.Y.: John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1957. STEVENSON, CHARLES L. Ethics and Language. New Haven: Yale University Press, Yale Paperbound, 1960. TAYLOR, PAUL W. NOrmative Discourse. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1961. Bulletins and Periodicals ARROW, KENNETH J. "Alternative Approaches to the The- ory of Choice in Risk-Taking Situations." Econometrica. 1951, 19, pp. 404-437. BACK, KURT W. "Decisions Under Uncertainty: Rational, Irrational, and NOn-Rational." The American Behavioral Scientist. 1961, 4, 14-19. COWAN THOMAS. "Decision Theory in Law Science, and Technology." Science. 140, June 7, 1963, pp. 1065—75. DEAN,.ALFRED, AURBACH, HERBERT.A., and MARSH, C. PAUL. "Some Factors Related to Rationality in Decision Mak- ing Among Farm Operators." Rural Sociology. 1958, 23, pp. 121-135 e 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 88 DIESING, PAUL. "Noneconomic Decision-Making." Ethics. 66, 1’ 18-35 e EDWARDS, WARD. "The Theory of Decision Making." Psy- chological Bulletin. 1954, 51, pp. 380-417. -KNOLL, MARJORIE M. "Toward a Conceptual Framework in Home Management.” Journal of Home Economics. 55, KORNER, A. F. "Theoretical Considerations Concerning the Scope and Limitations of Projective Techniques." Jr. Abn. Soc. Psych. Vol. 45, 1950, pp. 619-627. RIECK, ROBERT E., and PULVER, GLEN C. An Empirical Measure of Decision Making in Evaluating Farm and Home Development in Wisconsin. Research Bulletin 238. University of Wisconsin Agr. Expr. Sta. and Coop. Ex- tension Service, June, 1962. SATZ, P., and CARROLL, L. T. "Utilization of the Proverbs Test as a Projective Instrument: An Objec- tive Approach Throu h Language Behavior." Jr. Gen. SHAFFER, JAMES D. Financial Aspects of Undergraduate Student Life at Michigan State University, 1961-62. Office of Institutional Research, Michigan State Uni- versity, 1963. Unppplished Materials BUSTRILLOS, NENA. "Decision-Making Styles of Selected Mexican Homemakers." Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Michigan State University, 1963. OPPELT, NORMAN. "A Study of the Relationship of Mar- ital Status to Selected Characteristics of Male Under- graduate Students at Michigan State University." Un- published Ph.D. Dissertation, Michigan State Univer- sity, 1962. APPENDIX I 1. 2. 10. 11. name TEST OF EPISTEMOLOGICAL.AND INSTRUMENTAL BELIEFS These are proverbs and statements about life. You will find you agree with some, and disagree with others. For each of these sayings, circle the answer at the right which.best expresses how you feel about it. Strongly Agree Agree Flowers know where the sun is, and feel its warmth. SA Every human problem can be solved and every hunger satisfied and every promise can be fulfilled if God so “1113 0 SA Man's existence is com- pletely under the control of destiny. SA Things that seem mys- terious and unpredict- able now will one day be predicted by science. SA Few things have but a single cause; for most the "cause" is really a multitude of little things happening to- gether. SA The highest wisdom is continual cheerfulness. SA He who never hopes can never despair. SA To fear the worst often cures the worst. SA One often expects misery in vain. SA 01d houses, like Old peOple, feel very tired at times. SA As God created the world, so He can change or end it as He pleases. SA 90 Strongly 7 Disagree Disagree 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD J r’,l’:vr.!.lie1r a! . Fully?" Ill-ll- . I 91 Strongly Strongly Agree Agree 7 Disagree Disagree 12. There is a divinity that shapes our ends, roughhew themias we will. SA A 7 D SD 13. The world moves in an orderly fashion. SA A 7 D SD 14. For any event there are an infinite number of results. SA A 7 D SD 15. To fear the worst is to go through life with an unnecessary burden. SA A 7 D SD 16. One's fondest hopes rarely come true. SA A 7 D SD 17. Life Often presents us with a choice of evils rather than of good. SA A 7 D SD 18. It is madness to be expecting evil before it comes. SA A 7 D 30 19. The unlighted match) feels its own heat when lighted. SA A 7 D SD 20. God is powerless in the face of natural laws and to ask Him for help is to shout at the wind. SA A 7 D SD 21. NOthing comes to pass but what fate wills. SA A 7 D SD 22. People try to find order in the world when in fact there is none. SA A 7 D SD 23. The causes of any event are so intertwined that it is difficult to know how important each may be. SA A 7 D SD 24. It is worth a thousand dollars a year to have the habit of looking on the bright side of things. SA A 7 D SD 25. He that lives on hope will die starving. SA A 7 D SD 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. Strongly Agree Agree Forewarned is fore- armed. Nothing is so wretched or foolish as to antic- ipate misfortunes. Happiness comes from living day to day. When ancient opinions and rules of life are taken away, the loss to people cannot possibly be estimated. One of the most impor- tant things in life is to be absolutely sure of what you want. Uncertainty and expecta- tion are the Joys of life. For every action there's a limited number of out- comes; it's smart to conSider them all be- forehand. It's important to decide upon one thing and stick to it. Nothing is less in our power than the heart, and far from commanding it we are wiser to obey t. Our grand business is not to see what lies dimly at a distance, but to do what lies clearly at hand. The tried and true ways are the best. It is easy to classify most things as either good or bad. To know what may happen tomorrow is one of the dullest things in life. 92 SA 23 SA Strongly 7 Disagree Disagree 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D 7 D SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD SD 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 93 Strongly ‘Agree Agree You can only confuse yourself by thinking of all that might happen. SA A Each important thing that happens to man can be traced to a single cause. SA A Happiness comes from impulse, rather than reason. SA A The pleasures of one today are worth those of two tomorrows. SA A To live by custom is a foolish thing. SA A It's best not to get too excited about any- thing. SA A Certainty alone brings peace of mind. SA A In deciding whether or not to do something it's wise to make as long a list as you can of all the outcomes. SA A To try to do many things is to do none of them well. SA A Our first impulses are good; thought usually weakens them. SA A Strongly 7 Disagree Disagree 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD 7 D SD Brim, Orville 6., Jr., David C. Glass, David-E. n vers ress, 1962. Lanvin, and Nerman Goodman. Personali§¥ and 33- cision Processes. Stanford, .: or APPENDIX II INTERVIEW GUIDE Demggraghic Data Name: Age group: Number and age of children: under 20 years -—- Student level of husband: 20 to 25 years --- wife's education: 26 to 29 years _-- Home economics training received: Over 30 years --— Religion: 1. Decision Questions (Typed on 3 x 5" index card and handed to respondent) Mrs. A. has to keep food costs down and yet feed her family nutritiously. If you were in her situation, how would you decide what food to buy? (Standard probing questions asked after respondent ap- peared to have no more to say) a) On what basis would you decide this way? b) Have you ever had this problem? c) What did you do then7 // If discrepancy with main answer, d) This is a little different from your answer to the problem question. Why did you do what you did? // . (On 3 x 5” index card) Mrs. 8. becomes bored with repetitive time-consuming tasks, and she is never caught up with her work (e.g., ironing). If this were your problem, how would you decide on ways to get the work done? (Standard probing questions asked as above) 95 96 3. (On 3 x 5” index card) Hrs. C.'s child became "difficult” in a way that wor- ried her. If this were your problem, how would you decide what to do about it? (Standard probing questions asked as above) (On completion of the three decision questions and probing questions) ”Now that you have thought through these three decision questions, will you look at all three again [hand- ing all three back and spreading out]. If these three prob- lems were real problems for you, equally serious, which would you consider most important, that is, which would worry you the most"? “Why”? ”Which would you consider next in importance"? "Why"? “Why would you place this remaining one last"? .‘K‘.rae hint. .- APPENDIX III in a l I) (Fill. I. .ikiulfifir. I.[. ,E 1"- l 98 :.uoaeo=u u.unun Amuseuenvulcoeeoe ca noon nan: ..u.o .oouuonan on mason use oooumneos: use .euom me oeuudao mono: no «.0uo oooumnoos: no edoneon :.mnz n.veeua .Asoeeen me ooueum hnneoau no: yes» none com: ..m.o use ..uuo a.un annunoud. .uonndsn no nouns» zoanuu s....on ozone un: ..o.o non: .imconcndo .umonnon .ce>dm econeen.oz.~ .mcomeen mo coaunemusm.~ .nuuemv cobam odomeom.~ «someom.~ .hdco coausaon non usaxooH on hes ash Bednona mo noon non ocnxoon nonndan goun> .ooaaun Ive Deanne: «senseoen...en hanauwdoxo ..uue 3....hnz Ines: ..o.o .sunnoud as» no «on: 3....uso cane: uoon now ucdxooH no so ..o.e .aedaona on» no lacunae .Bonnona mo ummm noon on» on usavuem no #50 msdosam mcwueuo>oe poo msdodwm madneuo>oe .eounona mo noon no econvoaoene snneoao .nconuoasnme ocuneoau soeonaae now mongooH no madden .aennona mo.mmmm_mo Home .Eodnono muons mo uses can leoen mo oodeou>o oz.H leueunen no coaunsdmeo.a ueneueon no coaudddmeo.n Inocuedo.a 02H Izomemm .m .coauesnnn :30 e.voeocoan .euneo ucodooaou .uaoaueenu Henodoo Ion caches condone on undead: egos) e he some see» nenuen coauesudn dzo on «fine .Henedeu «peace» Bennono no «condemn so souvenucoucou tonnes Iona me Bennona Odor: mo muneo nonuo .oeNHsmouen momensUndo uneo undo ash nuneo nae on conveneonnsou mmzommum loanono mo undo undo oonwdoooon sennona anon: .aedb e>dedenooe denouu Hoax: .4 H ondom AdZOHde Bmdfld N OHOUW mB¢HDEE¢QHZH m Ououm AdZOHH(¢ Hmoz umbnmuomm ZOHWHUQG GZHGODH mom ‘HmuhHmu ,.. . ill * 99 .EOdnonn :.sosx u.soo H: no .me: .aeanono on» sun: msdneeo es» sun: usdaeeo mo nae: ne>dues .H haso msdneoansou.m mo nae: N msdneodnsou.~ onoa no m mswnoodmsou.~ Inoua<.~ s.uosu no one»u¢n...unsue .Aousesoonsou nuances sues» . 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Scores for each category were allocated as indicated in Appendix III. Decision Context I (II or III) Respondent number: 1 2 3 4‘ Category A. Whole Response B. Reasoning Bl. Diagnostic approach 32. Reasons 83. Relation- ships 34. Plan C . Weighing 4 Cl. Comparing, ranking, allocating C2. Alternatives D. Inquiry for Use of Information « D a) Trial and error D b) Observation D c) Experience D d) Sources E 'through 60 D e) Other Total decision - procedure score , ~ I 102 APPENDIX V CORRELATION FORMULA FOR TESTING HYPOTHESIS III an aim: - (ix) (g2) thixz-(ixVJENgPL:(éY)ZJ 104 APPENDIX VI SCHEMATIC PRESENTATION OF HYPOTHESIS I Decision procedure continuum: Most rationa1...Intermediate...Least rational Decision context continuum: Technical...Technical-affective...Affective Characteristics of 1) 2) decision contexts: Affect: LeaSt affeCteeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeMOSt affeCt Little emotion Intermediate amount Most emotion and and/or family of emotion and/or family interac- interaction family interaction tion inherent inherent inherent Information: Most precise...................Least precise Large body of Intermediate amount Smallest amount precise infor- of precise informa- of precise infor- mation available tion available; some mation available; "conventional wis- "conventional dom" preferred wisdom" frequent source of informa- source of infor- tion mation Decision question representing context: Food buying Organization of work Child discipline 106 are, ,' Irvine. n: a-i‘ell Elu'i’ll '11:. r - . _ __.._.r_ ~ . .1. r w . 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