"'3 v .4 , xfifiw .. 7'3 3: »~ r-v,. w“-‘ 1W“ " m .-, f2 ABSTRACT THE OFF-FARM EMPLOYMENT OF FARM OPERATORS IN THE UNITED STATES By Arley Dean Waldo A significant feature of American agriculture is the large and increasing number of farm operators who are employed off the farm. The purpose of this study was to investigate four aspects of off-farm employment: (1) the number and characteristics of multiple jobhold- ers in the farm-operator labor force; (2) the magnitude and distribution of off-farm wage earnings. (3) the kinds of industries which seem to attract labor from agriculture. and (h) the nature of multiple jobholding over time. The study was based chiefly on data provided to Michigan State University for research use by the U. S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance. These data represented the employment and income of a 1 percent sample of all persons reporting agricultural self- employment earnings for social security credits in selected years. Supplemental data were taken from the Census of Agriculture, the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Arley Dean Waldo Expenditures, and various reports based on the Current Population Survey. Approximately 2.2 million farm operators in the conterminous United States reported agricultural self- employment earnings for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance coverage in 1957. Persons with earnings from off-farm sources accounted for 29 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators. It was estimated that 20.1 percent had nonfarm wage employment, 9.2 percent had nonfarm self-employment, and 2.5 percent had farm wage employment. The percentage rate of off-farm wage employment varied from 20.0 percent in the West North Central states to 25.7 percent in the Mountain states. The rate of non- farm self-employment ranged from h.8 percent in the West North Central states to 1h.h percent in the Pacific states. Off-farm employment was found to be selective with respect to certain characteristics. Percentage rates of multiple jobholding for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force ranged from a low of 16.h percent for farm operators 65 years of age and over to a high of 52.9 percent for farm operators under 25 years of age. The age differen- tial between single and multiple jobholders was due to variations in the rate of off-farm wage employment. There was no significant difference in the rates of off-farm wage employment for Negro and non-Negro farm Arley Dean Waldo operators, but relatively fewer Negro farm operators reported earnings from nonfarm self-employment. Conversely, the incidence of nonfarm self-employment was nearly iden- tical for male and female farm operators, but relatively fewer female farm operators had off-farm wage employment. Sporadic participation in the off-farm labor force characterized multiple jobholding by farm operators. Dur- ing the period from 1955 through 1957, 29 percent of all OASI farm operators received off-farm wages in at least one year, but only 9 percent worked for wages in each of the three years. It was also found that 60 percent of the farm operators who apparently migrated out of agriculture between 1955 and 1957 were multiple jobholders in 1955. A notable characteristic of the off-farm employment of OASI farm operators was that 29 percent of all off-farm jobs held in 1957 were in the government sector. In com- parison, jobs in manufacturing industries and contract construction accounted for only 16 percent and 10 percent, respectively, of all off-farm jobs. Per capita wage earnings for OASI farm operators with off-farm employment in 1957 were $951. The distri- bution of wage earnings was highly skewed. Median wage earnings were only $518. Nearly one-third of all farm operators with off-farm employment had wage earnings of less than $200, and two-thirds had wage earnings of less Arley Dean Waldo than $1,000. The level of off-farm wage earnings varied significantly among geographic regions and with respect to age, race, previous job experience, level of net self- employment earnings, and industry of employment. THE OFF-FARM EMPLOYMENT OF FARM OPERATORS IN THE UNITED STATES by Arley Dean Waldo A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 1962 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This thesis was prepared while I was a Graduate Assistant and, later, Research Associate at Michigan State University. I am indebted to the Department of Agricultural Economics for financial support of the research upon which the study is based. Several persons have given valuable assistance and encouragement at various stages. I am especially grateful to Professor Dale E. Hathaway for his guidance and criticism throughout my program of graduate study and the preparation of this thesis. Arley Dean Waldo ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGNENTS O O O O O O O O I O O O O O O O O 0 LIST OF TABLE . O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 LIST OF APPENDICES O I O O O O O O 0 O O O O O O 0 Chapter I. II. III. IV. INTRODUC TION O O I O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Objectives and Scope . . . . . . . . . . Procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . THE DERIVATION OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM OASI RECORDS . . . . . . . . . . . . . OASI Labor Force Statistics . . . OASI Agricultural Labor Force Statistics. Sample Data from OASI Records . . . . . OASI Sample Data on the Agricultural Labor Force . . . . . . . . . . . . . . THE FARM-OPERATOR LABOR FORCE . . . . . . . The OASI Farm-Operator Labor Force . . . Current Population Survey . . . . . . . Census of Agriculture . . . . . . . . Regional Distribution of the Farm- 0perator Labor Force . . . . . . . . . Characteristics of Farm Operators . . . . THE OFF-FARM.EMPLOYMENT OF FARM OPERATORS . Census of Agriculture . . . . Current Population Survey . . OASI Farm Operators in 1957 . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . DIFFERENTIAL CHARACTERISTICS OF MULTIPLE JOBH OLDERS o o o O o O c o o o o 0 0 o o 0 Multiple Jobholders . . . . . Wage Earners . . . . . . . . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . iii Page ii xii 105 106 123 129 113 ll+6 147 188 VI. VII. VIII. THE OFF-FARM WAGE EARNINGS OF FARM OPERATORS Income of the Farm Population from Non- agricultural Sources . . . . . The Magnitude and Distribution of Off- Farm Wage Earnings . . . . . . . . . . . Sources of Off-Farm Wage Earnings . . . . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DIFFERENTIAL CHARACTERISTICS OF OFF-FARM WAGE EARNERS BY INDUSTRY OF EMPLOYMENT AND LEVEL OF OFF-FARM WAGE EARNINGS . . . . . . Differential Characteristics by Industry of Employment . . . . . . . The Relation of Selected Characteristics to the Level of Off- Farm Wage Earnings . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OFF-FARM EhIPLOYMENT OVER TIIVE o o o o o o o OASI Farm Operators: 1955 to 1957 . . Shifts in Labor Force Status: 1955 to 1957 Multiple Jobholding: 1955 to 1958 . . . . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . OASI Farm-Operator Data . . . . ' . . The Off-Farm Employment of Farm Operators Potential Uses of OASI Farm-Operator Data APPENDICES O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv Page 191 192 201 221 23A 237 238 253 27h 277 278 29h 301 309 312 313 318 327 329 359 Table 11.1 o II-2. III-1. III-2. III-3. III-h. III-5. III-6. III'? a III‘80 111-9 0 LIST OF TABLES Approximate standard error of estimated size of population classes for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force . . . . . . . . Approximate standard error of estimated per- centages for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Number of persons reporting farm self- employment earnings for social security credits for the conterminous United States, 1955-1959 e o o o o o e o o o o c e o o 0 Persons 1A years of age and.over, by farm self-employment income, for the contermin- ous United States, 1957 . . . . . . . . . Farms by economic class of farm, for the conterminous United States, 195A . . . . . Farms by economic class of farm, for the conterminous United States, 1959 . . . . . Number of farms, as defined in the 195A Census of Agriculture, with sales of $2,500 or more and of less than $2,500, {or the conterminous United States, 195A- 959 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Number of farm operators associated with farms having sales of $2,500 or more, for the conterminous United States, 1954-1959 . . 1957 OASI farm operators by geographic region, fer the conterminous United States . . . . Percentage distribution of farms enumerated in the Censuses of Agriculture, by geo- graphic region, for the conterminous United States, 195A and 1959 . . . . . . . . . . Number of commercial farms and number of OASI farm operators, for the conterminous United States and eight regions, 1957 . . . . . . Page #8 A9 53 66 72 75 76 81 83 85 Table III-10 o III-11. III-12. III-13. III'lho III-l5. IV’lo IV-2 o IV-5 o Page Percentage distribution of farm operators by age, for the United States, 1954 and 1955 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 87 Percentage distribution of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force by age, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . 89 Percentage distribution of the 1957 OASI fanm-operator labor force by age, for agricultural self-employment coverage groups, for the conterminous United States 92 Percentage distribution of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force by age, for eight geographic regions . . . . . . . . . . . . 9A Percentage distribution of farm operators reporting in the 195h Census of Agriculture by age, for eight geographic regions . . . 97 Percentage of male and female workers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, for eight regions and the conterminous United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10h Farm operators working off the farm by value of farm products sold, for the conterminous United States, 195A . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 Farm operators working off the farm 100 days or more by value of farm products sold, fbr the conterminous United States, 195A . . . 11A Number of farm operators and percentage of farm operators working off the farm 1 day or*more and 100 days or more by value of farm products sold, for the conterminous United States, 1959 . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 Number of farm operators receiving off-farm income from specified sources by value of farm products sold, for the conterminous United States, 1955 . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 Percentage of farm operators within each class receiving off-farm income from specified sources by value of farm products sold, for the conterminous United States, 1955 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 119 vi Table IV'6 o V-l. V-3 o V-h. V-5. V-7 o V-8. Persons with primary or secondary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture, for the conterminous United States, 1950-1960 1957 OASI farm operators by coverage indica- gion in 1957, for the conterminous United tates O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Percentage of farm operators with off-farm employment, for the conterminous United States, 1954, 1955, 1957, and 1959 . . . Percentage of farm operators working off the farm 1 day or more and 100 days or more, for eight regions and the conterminous United States, 195A and 1959 . . . . . . Farm operators working off the farm as a percentage of all farm operators within population cell for value of farm products sold.and geographic region, for the con- terminous United States, 1959 . . . . . . Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 fer 1957 OASI farm operators, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States . . . 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-farm earnings in 1957 by employment pattern in 1956, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States . . . Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States . vii Page 126 133 138 1A9 151 153 158 162 171 17h 178 Table Page V-9. 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-fanm wage employment in 1957 by employment pattern in 1956, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . 181 V-lO. Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States 187 VI-l. Aggregate off—farm income of farm—operator families by source of income, for the conterminous United States, 1955 . . . . 196 VI-2. Net income of the farm population from nonagricultural sources, 1950-1960 . . . 197 VI-3. 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 by taxable wage earnings, for the conterminous United States 0 o o o 0 0‘. o o o c o o o o o o 207 VI-A. Estimates of commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment by off-farm earn- ings, for the conterminous United States, 1957 o o o o o o o o o o o o e o o o o o 215 VI-5. Persons with primary jobs as self-employed workers tn agriculture by industry of secondary wage job for persons with two or more jobs, December 1960 . . . . . . 226 VI-6. Wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, for the conterminous united States 0 o o o o o o o o o o o o 230 VI-7. Wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators: total, average, and median wage earnings by industry, for the conterminous United States 0 o o o o o o o o o o o o c o o o 232 VII-1. Percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, for eight geographic regions . 2A0 VII-2. Percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, by age, for the conterminous united States 0 o o o o o o o o o o o o 2h3 viii Table Page VII-3. Percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, by race and sex, for the con- terminous United States . . . . . . . . 2A5 VII-h. Percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, by wage employment coverage in 1956, for the conterminous United States 2A8 VII-5. Percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by industry, by net earnings from self- employment, for the conterminous United States 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 O O O 251 VII-6. Percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm.wage earnings were reported in 1957 by amount of off- farm wage earnings, for eight regions and the conterminous United States . . . 256 VII-7. 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm wage earnings were reported in 1957: total, average, and median wage earnings, for eight regions and the conterminous United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 VII-8. Percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm wage earnings were reported in 1957 by amount of off- farm wage earnings, by age, for the con- terminous United States . . . . . . . . 261 VII-9. 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm wage earnings were reported in 1957: total, average, and median wage earnings by age, for the conterminous United States 263 VII-10. Percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm wage earnings were reported in 1957 by amount of off- farm wage earnings, by sex and race, for the conterminous United States . . . . . 265 VII-11. Percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators for whom wage earnings were reported in 1957 by amount of wage earn- ings, by wage employment coverage in 1956, for the conterminous United States 268 ix Table VII-13 o VIII'lo VIII-2 o VIII-3 o VIII-h. VIII-5 o VIII-6. Page Percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators for whom wage earnings were reported in 1957 by amount of wage earn- ings and net earnings from self-employment, for the conterminous United States . . . 271 1957 OASI farm operators for whom off-farm wage earnings were reported in 1957: total, average, and median wage earnings by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States . . . 273 Percentage distribution of OASI farm opera- tors reporting agricultural self- employment earnings in each year during the period from 1955 through 1957 by employment pattern, for eight regions and the conterminous United States . . . 282 OASI farm operators reporting agricultural self-employment earnings in each year during the period from 1955 through 1957 by age, by employment pattern, for the conterminous United States . . . . . . . 285 Percentage rate of off-farm wage employment of OASI farm operators reporting agricul- tural self-employment earnings in each year during the period from 1955 through 1957 for eight geographic regions and the conterminous United States . . . . . . . 287 Percentage rate of off-farm wage employment of OASI farm operators reporting agricul- tural self-employment earnings in each year during the period from 1955 through 1957 by age for the conterminous United States, 1955 to 1957 . . . . . . . . . . 289 Percentage distribution and median earnings of OASI farm operators reporting agricul- tural self-employment earnings in each year during the period from 1955 through 1957 by wage earnings for persons working off the farm in specified years, for the conterminous United States, 1955 to 1957 291 1955 OASI farm operators not identified with agricultural self-employment in 1957 by coverage indication in 1957, for the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 X Table Page VIII-7. 1955 OASI farm operators by age, by social security coverage indication in 1957, for the conterminous United States . . . 297 VIII-8. OASI farm operators with off-farm employ- ment, for the United States, 1955-1958 . 303 VIII-9. OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment and nonfarm self-employment, for the United States, 1955-1958 . . . . 304 ' xi LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix _ Page I. STANDARD ERROR 0F ESTIMATES . . . . . . . . 329 II. CLASSIFICATION OF STATES BY GEOGRAPHIC REGION 332 III. ADJUSTMENT OF USDA OFF-FARM INCOME ESTIMATES TO ACCOUNT FOR UNDERENUMERATED FARMS . . . 33h IV. EXPANSION OF OASI SAMPLE DATA . . . . . . . . BRO V. ESTIMATES OF MULTIPLE JOBHOLDING BY OASI FARM OPERATORS IN 1957 . . . . . . . . . . 3h5 xii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Government farm programs have added.measurably to farm income over the past decade, and large numbers of people have migrated from the farm sector. There is, however, general agreement that serious low-income prob- lems persist in the agricultural sector of the nation's economy. In 1960, the most recent year for which esti- mates are available, the median income of rural-farm families was only $2,875 as compared with $5,620 for rural-nonfarm families and $5,911 for urban families.1 During the period from 19A? to 1959, the median incomes of urban and rural-nonfarm families increased by 72 per- cent and 9A percent, respectively, while the median income of rural-farm families increased by only 51 per- cent.2 less than $2,000 in 1959.3 Nearly 1.A million farm families had incomes of 1U. S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation Re orts, Series P-60, No. 37 (January I7, I952) TaEIe l, p. 25. 2U. 3. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation 196E}, TaEIe E, Reports, Series P-60, No. 35 (January 5, p. . seed on the 1950'definition of rural-farm and rural-nonfarm residence. , 31bid., Table 1, p. 23. Based on the 1960 definition of ruraI—farm residence. 1 Hbst of the currently proposed programs to improve the incomes of farm people involve, either explicitly or implicitly, the transfer of labor from agriculture to the nonagricultural sector. Lauren Soth suggests, for example, that "by the end of’this decade the United States ought to have provided non—farm jobs for about 1% million farm operators who now earn less than $1,500 a year in farming."h Proposals involving the transfer of labor out of agriculture generally assume that a sizable portion of the labor force presently in agriculture can be productively employed in the nonfarm sector. Little is now known, however, about the shifts that occurNWhen farm people take either part-time or full-time employment off the farm. The development of appropriate farm policies requires closer examination of the processes by which farm people enter the nonfarm labor force. Harold G. Halcrow observed in 1957 that "one of the most important changes suggested in the economic and social structure of American agriculture is the steady increase in nonfarm income of farm people and the continued increase in off-farm employment of commercial farm operators."5 #Lauren K. Soth, "Farm.Policy for the Sixties,” Ch. 9 of The American Assembly, Goals for Americans (Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, Inc., I96OTT p. 215. 5Harold G. Halcrow, ”Opportunities for Off-Farm Employment," in Polic £95 Commercial A riculture: Its Relation §g_Econom1c Growth and StaBilIty (Papers SuSEIt- ted 5y Panelists IppearIng BETEre the Sibcommittee on Agricultural Policy, Joint Economic Committee, 85th Con- gress, lst Session; washingtdn: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1957), p. 389. The importance of off-farm income in adding to the total income of farm families is easily demonstrated at the aggregate level. By 1955, about four out of five farm families received some income from nonagricultural sources. Estimates derived from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures indicated that the total off-farm income of farm-operator families was eight billion dol- lars in 1955.6 This estimate included $6.9 billion from nonagricultural sources and $1.1 billion from rent, em- ployment, etc., on a farm.other than that being operated. In comparison, the realized net income of farm operators from farming was $11.5 billion in 1955.7 Income from nonfarm sources now accounts for more than one-third of the total personal income of the farm population. The participation of farm operators in the off-farm labor force has increased substantially during the period since world war II. About 27 percent of the farm operators enumerated in the 19AA Census of Agriculture reported some off-farmwork.8 In 1959, approximately #5 percent of all farm operators worked off the farm.9 Furthermore, the 6U.S. Bureau of the Census, U. S. Census of Agriculture: 1255, Vol. III, Part 11, Table 8,“ p. A9. 7U.S. Agricultural Marketing Service, The Farm Income Situation, July, 1960, Table 1H, p. 32. -8U.S. Bureau of the Census, U. 3. Census ofA _gricu1ture: 1255, Vol. II, Ch. II, Table 26, p. 15. 9U. S. Bureau of the Census,U .S . Census of A riculture: 1 Vol. I, Parts 1- A8, Table 17, various pages. TaBu- ated by author. A percentage of farm operators working off the farm 100 days or more increased from 23 percent in 19AAlo to 30 percent in 1959.11 Although it is apparent that income from.off-farm sources accounts for a considerable share of the aggregate income of the farm population and.that a large number of farm operators work off the farm, information concerning the off-farm employment and earnings of farm operators lacks both detail and timeliness. The Census of Agricul- ture, for example, provides statistics on the number of farm operators working off the farm and the number of days of off-farm work but does not give any information regard- ing the kinds of off-farm jobs held by farm operators or the amount of earnings from off-farm sources. Survey estimates of the aggregate off-farm earnings of farm- operator families are available, but data from which.reli- able estimates of year-to-year changes in the off-farm earnings of the farm population can be constructed have not been available. As opposed to the procedures by which farm income estimates are derived, estimates of the nonagricultural income of the farm population are not based upon currently 10U. 3. Bureau of the Census US. Census Lf Agricul- ture:125&,Vol. II, on. XI, TabieT‘Tré's p. 11H. S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census Lf Agricul- ture: 1 Vol. 1, Parts lo A8, TaBIe 17, mrious pages. Ta5ulate by author. reported data. Instead, the U.S. Department of Agriculture series on the nonfarm income of the farm population is tied to benchmark estimates obtained from.sample surveys for several scattered years. Estimates for other years are then extrapolated from benchmark estimates on the assump- tion that the farm population's share of total nonagricul- tural income fluctuates in proportion to changes in the farm population as a percentage of the total population. Current estimating techniques preclude reliable estimation of year-to-year changes in the nonagricultural income of the farm population, the composition of the nonagricultural income of farm people in.other than survey years, and the annual off-farm earnings of farm operators. It has been frequently asserted that off-farm earnings add stability to the income of farm operators over time and that off- farm earnings are important in supplementing the farm income of farm operators. Little is known, however, about the relationship between the level of income from farming and the level of income from off-farm.sources or about the size distribution of the off-farm earnings of farm operators. Objectives an_d_ m This study deals generally with the off-farm work of farm operators and, more specifically, concentrates on the eff-farm employment and earnings of commercial farm opera- tors. Its purpose is to provide estimates indicating the extent and importance of off-farm employment of farm operators and to investigate certain hypotheses concerning the off-farm employment and earnings of farm operators in the United States. In 1955 the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insur- ance (OASI) program of the federal social security system was expanded to include a major segment of the agricultural labor force. Data selected from OASI records provide a new source of information on the employment and earnings of farm people in both the farm and nonfarm sectors of the United States economy. Through special arrangements with the U.S. Social Security Administration, OASI sample data are being provided to Michigan State University. These data have served as the primary data for the present study. Information from the Census of Agriculture and other sources suggests that multiple Jobholding is an important attribute of the farm-operator labor force, but detailed information concerning farm operators who work off the farm is not available from current sources. The major objectives of this study are: 1. To determine the number and characteristics of farm operators who work off the farm; 2. To determine the magnitude and distribution of the off-farm wage earnings of farm operators; 3. To determine the kinds of industries which seem to attract labor from agriculture; and h. To determine the importance of off-farm employment in supplementing the income of farm operators. 7 A unique characteristic of OASI employment data is that it makes available time-series data on employment and earnings of individual members of the agricultural labor force. This feature adds a new dimension to the study of off-farm work by farm operators and will permit investigation of areas such as the following: 1. The off-farm employment patterns and income experiences of farm operators over time; 2. The relationship between the nonfarm em- ployment of farm operators and fluctuations in the general level of business activity; and 3. The stability of off-farm earnings and the relationship between the level of income from farming and the level of earnings from off-farm employment. Off-farm employment has traditionally been viewed as a means by which farm operators have been able to supple— ment low farm earnings and mitigate swings in the level of farm income. Because of the continuing disparity between the incomes of farm and nonfarm.families, the role of off-farm earnings in bolstering the income of farm families has assumed greater importance in recent years. Mereover, the high rate of migration from.the farm sector to the nonfarm sector in the past decade has raised questions regarding the role of part-time farming as a transitional stage in the movement of individuals from full-time employment in agriculture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. This study attempts to test four major hypotheses advanced by the author with regard to the off-farm employment and earnings of farm operators. These hypotheses include the following: 1. Multiple jobholding in the farm-operator labor force is selective with respect to age, race, sex, location, and income; 2. Multiple Jobholding is chiefly an occupa- tional arrangement by which farm operators attempt to supplement low farm earnings but is also important as a transitional stage in the movement of farm operators to full-time employment in the nonagricul- turalgsector; 3. Multiple Jobholders are subject to less security in the off-farm labor market than are single iobholders and tend to work off . the farm on y sporadically; and h. Off-farm employment does not lend stability to the level of farm-operator income over time. In general, this study is concerned with the off-farm labor force participation of commercial farm operators in the conterminous United States during the period since l95h. Geographic coverage is limited to the #8 contiguous states so as to achieve greater complementarity with other statistics on United States agriculture and to avoid cer- tain problems with respect to the agriculture and labor force structure of Alaska, Hawaii, and United States ter- ritories. IMost of the data presented herein are limited to the decade from 1950 to 1959. OASI labor force statistics are available for farm operators for years after 195h, and major emphasis is on the period from 1955 through 1957. Related data--primarily from the Censuses of Agri- 9 culture, the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures, and the Current Population Surveys--are presented for other years. The labor ferce included in the study is generally restricted to persons who may be designated as ”commercial" farm operators. The labor force represented by OASI sample data includes persons who have received income from agri- cultural self-employment and satisfied the minimum earning requirements necessary for participation in the federal social security program in specified years. Although OASI farm operators are generally representative of operators of commercial farms as defined in the Census of Agriculture, the farm-operator labor force covered by OASI and census statistics is not identical. At certain points in the analysis, it will be necessary to account for differences between the labor force represented by OASI farm-operator data and that represented by operators of commercial farms. The labor force represented by OASI sample data is delin- eated briefly in the following section and more exactly in chapters II and III. Procedure OASI sample data on the agricultural labor force are obtained from two sources: (1) the Continuous WOrk-History Sample and (2) the Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File. The Continuous work-History Sample is a permanent, l-percent sample of all social security accounts, which is maintained regularly by the U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors 10 Insurance. The records in this sample summarize the com- plete job experience of workers in employment covered by the OASI program. The Employee-Employer wage Card File contains a summary of annual wage and salary earnings of persons working in covered employment in a given year. This study utilizes data from both the Continuous werk- History Sample and the Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File for all persons identified as having income from agricultural sources in specified years. Since 1955, OASI agricultural labor force statistics have included both farm operators and hired farm workers. The characteristics of OASI agricultural labor force data were first investigated by Uel Blank in his ”OASI Data of the Farm Labor Force."12 Blank's study;based on data for persons identified by OASI coverage as having agricultural earnings from self-employment and/or wages and salaries in 1955, was chiefly concerned with farm operators, although hired farm workers received some at- tention. The main objectives of the study were to define the population represented by OASI agricultural labor force statistics, to examine the basic characteristics and poten- tial of OASI sample data, and to investigate the relation- ships between OASI statistics and other statistics on the farm-operator labor force in the United States. 12Unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University, 1960. ll ‘QASI Agricultural Lé§2£.22£22.2é22 Agricultural labor force data from OASI records were transferred to special sets of punch cards by the Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance during reutine data processing and provided to Michigan State University for research purposes. Two groups of OASI sample data were available for use at the time the present study was in- itiated. These data included information from two sets of Continuous Work-History Cards, and two sets of Annual Employee-Employer Wage Cards. The two sets of Continuous work-History Cards included the income and employment records of the following persons: 1. Persons in the 1937-56 Continuous Work- History Sample identified as having covered agricultural earnings from.self- employment and/or wages and salaries in 1955. 2. Persons in the 1937-58 Continuous WOrk- History Sample identified as having agricultural earnings from self-employment iggéor wages and salaries in 1955 and/or The two sets of Annual Employee-Employer Wage Cards covered the wage and salary employment of the following persons: 1. Persons in the 1937-56 Continuous work- History Sample with covered wage or salary earnings in 1955. 2. Persons in the 1937-58 Continuous werk- History Sample with mevered wage or salary earnings in 1957. For each person included in one or more of the OASI agricultural labor force samples, the following were among the major items of information available: 12 . Year of birth. Sex. ' 0 Race. s'»\o a: r- . Amount of total taxable (for OASI coverage) earnings, taxable earnings from self- employment, and taxable earnings from covered wage and salary employment in 13;? year for the period from 1955 through 5. Sources of covered earnings in each year ,in the period from 1955 through 1957. For a given year an individual is recorded as having covered income from none or from an combination of the following sources: (1; self-employment in agriculture, (2) self-employment other than in agriculture, (3) wa e or salary employment in agriculture, and (A wage or salary employment other than in agriculture. * 6. Location of farm operated in 1957. 7. Total net earnings from.self-employment in 1957. The two sets of Annual Wage Cards provided information on the amount of annual and quarterly wages and the type and location of the job in which persons with covered wage or salary earnings worked in 1955 and 1957. Characteristics g£_OASI Sample Data OASI agricultural labor force data provide certain information heretofore unavailable on a national scale. At the same time, the characteristics of OASI sample data place restrictions on its use and.require special attention throughout the analysis. Only the most important features of the data will be mentioned here; a more detailed account of the derivation of OASI labor force statistics is pre- sented in the following chapter. 13 OASI labor force data are, in.general, taken from reports and applications filed with the U.S. Social Secur- ity Administration and come from records maintained by businesses and.self-employed persons. Individuals whose records become a part of the l-percent Continuous work- History Sample remain in the sample permanently. Thus, it is possible to follow the year-to-year employment and income experiences of individual members of the labor force. Among sources of national data, this feature of OASI labor force data is unique. The labor force represented by OASI sample data used in this study includes persons with covered earnings from agricultural sources in certain years. The farm-operator labor force included in OASI agricultural labor force sta- tistics is incomplete as compared with the number of farm families defined by place of residence in the Census of Population or the farm-operator labor force defined by agricultural production and sales criteria in the Census of Agriculture. OASI data relate to individual income recipients, not to family, business, or other economic units. And, as opposed to most survey and census data, OASI data generally come from actual records rather than memory. 2gp; Processing As noted above, OASI labor force data were received on specially prepared sets of punch cards. To facilitate 1h data processing information included in the 1937-58 Con- tinuous work-History Sample and the matching 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Cards was re-coded and punched into work decks designed to provide greater flexibility in obtaining certain cross-tabulations. Because of the limitations of the data used, nearly all of the statistical tests calculated in.the course of the analysis were con- cerned with differences of proportions and medians. Con- sequently, data processing was limited entirely to punch- card machines. , In addition to data from OASI records, information was also taken from the published reports of the l95h.and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture and the various labor force, population, and income reports based on the Current Popula- tion Survey. Unpublished data from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures and the 1959 Census of Agriculture were provided through the cooperation of the Bureau of the Census and the U. S. Department of Agriculture. Since this study is based upon data taken from a source not widely used, the characteristics and limitations of OASI farm-operator data require closer examination. Chapters II and III are therefore devoted to consideration of the derivation of OASI agricultural labor force data and the coverage of OASIfarm-operator data. Succeeding chapters deal with the fellowing aspects of the off-farm employment and earnings of farm operators: 15 The incidence of multiple jobholding in the farm-operator labor force; The differential characteristics of multiple jobholders; The number and.characteristics of farm operators with off-farm wage employment; The magnitude and distribution of off- farm wage earnings; Sources of off-farm wage earnings; The relation of selected characteristics to the level of off-farm wage earnings; and Off-farm wage employment over time. CHAPTER II THE DERIVATION OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM OASI RECORDS Expansion of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Programl of the federal social security system to include most of the agricultural labor force affords a new source of information on the employment and income of farm operators and hired farm workers. Labor force statistics are generated as a byproduct of the OASI pro- gram, and the use of OASI data must be tempered by the limitations of a program designed to provide a continuing source of income for workers who are disabled or retired, and for the families of deceased workers. The purpose of this chapter is to examine the characteristics of OASI labor force statistics, particularly those relating to the agricultural laborforce, and of the OASI sample data on the farm-operator labor force which are used in the present study.2 1Disability'insurance has been a part of’the program only since 1957. Hereafter, the abbreviation OASI will be used to include the programs administered by the Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (BOASI) both before and after the inauguration of disability insurance. 2This study is the second under the current project involving the use of OASI statistics on the agricultural labor force. The first was completed by Uel Blank. See 16 l7 Q§§;,Lab9£.§2£gg’Statistics Since OASI labor force statistics are derived as a byproduct in the administration of the federal social security program, they are subject to limitations imposed by statutory and regulatory provisions. The general re- quirement for the inclusion of an individual worker in the social security program is that he be the recipient of earnings from covered employment. Because the OASI program is intended to provide income protection for indi- viduals, OASI statistics relate to individual income recipients, rather than to family or other economic units. OASI labor force statistics thus represent a population comprising individual workers who receive income from certain kinds of employment. In addition, only certain kinds and amounts of income are eligible for coverage under the program. Income restrictions affect both the size of the OASI labor force and the completeness of OASI income statistics. Occupational Coverage3 Since inauguration of the federal social security system with the passage of the Social Security Act of 1935, the OASI program had been expanded to include, by his "OASI Data of the Farm Labor Force" (unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University, 1960). 3This and following sections rely heavily on U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, Social Security Handbook gg_Old-A e, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (Washington: U.S. Government Printing OffiCe n.d:7 and the monthly issues of the Social Security Bulletin. The handbook used was based on the law and regulations in ef- fect on January I, 1960. 18 1960, almost 90 percent of the United States labor force.4 The major occupational groups which still remained outside the program in 1960 included the following: 1. Civilian employees of the federal government who were covered by another federal retirement program; 2. Physicians in private practice; 3. Employees of state and local governments who had not been covered by a federal-state agreement; a. Christian Science practitioners, ministers, and members of religious orders performing services in the exercise of their’ministry who had not elected to be covered; 5. Certain agricultural workers; and 6. Employees of certain non-profit organizations that had not arranged for sogial security coverage of their employees. With the exception of persons in these groups, most wage and salary workers and most self-employed persons are now covered by the social security program and, hence, included in OASI labor force statistics. Wage and salary workers.--Under provision of the Social Security Act of 1935, OASI coverage6 was initially extended to certain groups of nonfarm wage earners begin- ning in 1937. Although most wage and salary employment is l911.8. Bureau of Old-Age and.Survivors Insurance, Social Security Handbook gg_Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance, p. 3. . 51bid. 6The Social Security Act of 1935 provided only for old-age insurance. Protection for the survivors of insured ‘workers was added to the program in 1939. 19 now covered by social security, a few kinds of work are specifically excluded from.the program and.certain other employment is covered only under special conditions. Most wage and salary employment included in the social security program.has been covered for some time, but hired farm workers were not taken into the program until 1951. The development of hired farm worker coverage is summarized in a later section of this chapter. Self-employed persons.--Social security coverage for self-employed persons was introduced in 1951 when most individuals who were self-employed in a trade or business became eligible for participation in the OASI program. Farm operators,,ministers, members of certain professions, and some other self-employed workers were first covered in 1955. Farm landlords who materially participate in farming activities and additional groups of professional people became eligible for coverage beginning in 1956. Income Coverage . WOrk in covered employment is the principal criterion in defining the labor force to which OASI statistics relate. However, certain restrictions regarding the kinds and amounts of income which are eligible for coverage under the program also affect the number of persons included in the OASI labor force and the interpretation of OASI income statistics. jfiggg and salary gg§§g£§.--The definition of taxable (or covered) earnings for OASI participation based upon 20 wage and.salary employment is, in general, payment received by an employee for work in a job classified as covered employment. ‘With the exception of agricultural workers, domestic workers in private homes, casual workers, and some services by homeworkers, both cash and noncash wages are counted as earnings. Most payments under profit- sharing plans, bonuses and wage dividends, and vacation pay are also included in calculating total wages. There has been, since the beginning of the OASI pro- gram, a limit on the amount of earnings which could be credited to an individual's social security account in any one year. Covered earnings could not exceed: 1. $h,800 paid in any year beginning with 1959; 2. $h,200 paid in any year during the period from 1955 through 1958; 3. $3,600 paid in any year during the period from 1951 through 195A; 4. $3,000 paid in any year during the period from 19h? through 1950; 5. $3,000 received for employment in any year during the period from 19h0 through l9h6; and 6. $3,000 received from.each employer for employment in any year during the period from 1937 through 1939. Prior to 1947, wages were counted in the year in which they were earned. Since then, wages have been counted in the year in which they were paid. In the case of nonagricultural employment, workers were included in the OASI program if they received 21 (or, prior to 19h7, earned) $50 or more in wages from a single employer in a calendar quarter for work in covered employment. Minimum earning requirements for self- employed persons and for hired farm.workers are discussed in the following sections. Social security taxes on wage and salary earnings are paid by both the employee and the employer. Each pays one-half of the tax, which is based on a percentage of the employee's earnings. The employer is responsible for reporting the earnings of each of his employees and for submitting the required tax payments for both parties. Earning reports are filed quarterly with the Internal Revenue Service for all but agricultural employees. Em- ployers of farm.workers report on an annual basis. Self-employed persons.--The amount of self-employment income which can be counted for OASI coverage is based on net earnings from covered self-employment. With minor exceptions, net earnings from self-employment are total gross earnings as computed for income tax purposes, derived by an individual from covered self-employment, less the usual deductions for business expenses and depre- ciation allowances permitted in computing income taxes. In computing total net earnings from.self-employment, an individual must combine the net earnings (or losses) from all covered self-employment in which he was engaged. The amount of self-employment income which can be credited to an individual's social security account is 22 the amount of the total net earnings from covered self- employment for the year with the following exceptions: 1. Net earnings for the year must have been at least $h00; 2. The earnings may not have teen derived by a non-resident alien; and 3. Self-employment earnings cannot exceed the maximum taxable earnings (listed above) less the covered.wage and salary earnings paid to the individual during the year. Since the earnings of employees are reported by their employers, the convention of counting wages first has been adopted. Thus, if a person both works as a wage earner in covered.employment and.has income from.covered self- employment, he must report and pay social security taxes on his self-employment income only if his wage earnings are less than the maximum limit on taxable earnings for the year. If covered wages for the year are less than the maximum limit on taxable earnings and the sum of wages and self-employment income exceeds the maximum limit, an individual is required to report only that portion of his self-employment earnings necessary to bring his total income under the program up to the maximum limit on tax- able earnings. Self-employed persons are required to report their earnings annually at the time when they file their federal income tax returns. For this purpose, a special schedule (Schedule SE) is included with Schedule C and Schedule F of Internal Revenue Service Form 1040. 23 Geegraphic,§gyg§agg All workers in covered employment within the United States are included in the OASI program. Both United States citizens and resident aliens are eligible for coverage. The term "within the United States" means in any of the states, the District of Columbia, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, or the territorial waters of these areas. Employment outside of the United States is excluded from coverage unless the employee is a United States cit- izen working for an American employer or for a foreign subsidiary of a domestic corporation which has arranged for coverage. Employees working in connection with an American vessel or aircraft outside of’the United States are also eligible for coverage. Sources of OAS; Statistics The BOASI obtains employment and income information from five major sources in the process of administering the social security program: 1. Applications for social security account numbers by individual workers; 2. Applications for employer identification numbers by individual employers; 3. Quarterly wage reports filed by nonagricul- tural employers and annual wage reports filed by agricultural employers; 4. Annual reports filed by persons with covered self-employment income; and 5. Individual applications for social security benefits. 2h OASI statistics include three general categories of information: (1) personal characteristics of individual workers; (2) type, size, and location of employers' establishments; and (3) earnings data for individual employees and for self-employed persons. Information is available on the age, sex, and race of individual workers and on the type, number, and location of employers' estab- lishments. Quarterly and/or annual data are obtained on the source and amount of covered wage and salary earnings of individual workers, type and location of self-employment enterprises, and amount of taxable self-employment income. OASI Agricultural Labor £2522 Statistics7 Prior to 1951 the agricultural labor force was ex- cluded from social security coverage. Legislation passed in 1950 extended OASI coverage to certain "regularly em- ployed" hired farm workers, but it was not until 1955 that most of the agricultural labor force, both hired farm workers and.farm operators, was taken into the program. Higgg,§g£mmworkers Development g£_coverage.--Coverage of the hired farm labor force was initiated by legislation which brought "regularly employed" farm workers into the OASI labor force 7This section relies principally on the Social Securit Handbook cited above and "Old-Age, Survivors, and DisaBiIIty Insurance: Development of Agricultural Covera e," Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 21, No. 6 (June, 1958?, pp. 3-6. Also see the annual editions of U.S. Internal Revenue Serv- ice, Farmer's Tax Guide. 25 for quarters beginning after 1950. A worker was generally deemed to be regularly employed if, after working for one employer continuously for an entire calendar quarter, he worked for'the same employer on a full-time basis for at least 60 days in the next quarter and in succeeding quar- ters. The 1950 law specifically excluded the following types of employmentfrom coverage: (1) cotton ginning, (2) work for noncash remuneration, (3) Producing or har- vesting gum-resin products, and (A) work by Mexican con- tract workers. Coverage of the hired farm later force was greatly expanded by legislation passed in 1954. Beginning with 1955, hired farm workers were covered if they were paid $100 or'more in cash wages in a calendar year. Excluded from coverage were: (1) work for noncash remuneration, (2) producing or harvesting gum-resin products, (3) work by Mexican contract workers, and (A) temporary work by persons from.the British West Indies. Amendments to the social security program which became law in 1956 made further changes in the coverage of'hired farm workers. After 1956, hired farm workers were covered by social security if (1) they were paid cash wages of $150 or more by a single employer for agricultural labor in a calendar year or if (2) they worked for one employer at agricultural employment on 20 days or more during a calendar year for cash wages computed on a time basis. 26 wages paid on a piece-rate basis were excluded from cover- age. The following types of employment were omitted from coverage: (1) work for noncash remuneration, (2) producing or harvesting gum-resin products, (3) work by Mexican con- tract workers, and (4) temporary work by persons from any foreign country . Also, after 1956, "crew leaders" of crews furnished to provide agricultural labor for other persons were con- sidered.to be the employers of crew members. A crew leader is defined as a person who pays the members of the crew and who has not been designated by written agreement as an employee of the person for whom the work is being done. This change presumably increased the number of hired farm workers eligible for social security coverage. Income coverage.--As opposed to most other types of employment, only cash wages paid for agricultural work are counted in meeting the earning requirements for coverage of hired farm workers. During the period from 1951 through 1954, the cash-pay test was based on the calendar quarter in which wages were earned. Since 1955 it has been.based on the calendar year in which the wages were actually paid. 'With the exception of agricultural wages for work specifically excluded from coverage, the following minimum earning requirements were applied.to hired farm workers: 1. For calendar years after 1956 an employee must have received cash wages of $150 or more from one employer for agricultural labor, or the employee must have worked for cash wages paid on a time basis for one employer on 20 days or more during the year; 27 2. For the calendar years 1955 and 1956 an employee must have been paid cash wages of at least $100 by one employer during the year; and 3. For calendar years during the period from 1951 through 1954, the employee must have been regularly employed and earned cash wages of $50 or more in a calendar quarter. Hired farm workers were subject to the same maximum limits on taxable earnings as those applicable to other wage and salary‘workers. Agricultural labor is broadly defined as any work on a "farm" in connection with cultivation of the soil and the raising and/or harvesting of agricultural or horti- cultural products. This includes raising and caring for livestock, bees, poultry, fur-bearing animals, and wildlife. A farm is defined so as to include stock, dairy, poultry, fruit, and fur-bearing animal farms; truck farms, planta- tions, ranches, nurseries, ranges, and orchards; and.green- houses used primarily flor the raising of agricultural products. Since 1955, as a concession to the problems of farm record keeping, earning tests for hired farm workers have been on an annual basis; and the employers of farm workers have been required to submit only annual reports of wages paid to employees. However, it is known that about three percent of the hired farm labor force was incorrectly re- ported by employers on quarterly social security tax 28 returns in 1955 and 1956.8 £352 Operators Development g£_coverage.--Farm operators were excluded from social security coverage in the 1950 legislation. The 1954 amendments, however, covered farm operators on the same basis as other self-employed persons for years beginning after 1954. Two methods of reporting taxable self-employment income were provided for farm operators. The first was the regular procedure used by other self-employed persons. The second was an optional reporting method which enabled some farm operators with very low net incomes, or even net losses, to participate in the social security program. The rental income of farm landlords could not be count- ed as self-employment income in 1955, but the BOASI inter- preted the law so as to permit coverage of share farmers. To be eligible for coverage, share farmers must have had rental arrangements in which the farm operator received a share of the crops or livestock, or a share of the proceeds from their sale, and the amount of the share was dependent upon the quantity produced or the value of products sold. In 1956 the rules of the optional method for reporting farm self-employment income were amended. These changes increased the amount of coverage credits which could be claimed by farm operators with low net and gross incomes. 8U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, Farm Coverage Statistics: 1226, December, 1959, pp. 34-35. 29 The 1956 legislation also confirmed the interpretation of the 1954 amendments regarding the status of share farmers. Certain income which had been excluded from coverage in 1955 as rental income was covered, beginning in 1956, if the farm landlord "materially participated" in the pro- duction or management of production of agricultural crops or livestock. A farm landlord is generally deemed to be materially participating if (1) he "regularly and fre- quently makes decisions which significantly affect the success of the enterprise," or (2) he works at least 100 hours on the farm over a period of five weeks or’more, or (3) he has a rental agreement with the tenant which calls for participation and.he fulfills any three of the follow- ing requirements: 1. Advances, pays, or stands good for a sig- nificant part of the cost of production; 2. Furnishes a significant part of the tools, equipment, and.livestock used in producing the commodities; 3. Makes periodic inspections of the production activities; and 4. Advises and consults periodically with the tenant. Since 1956 around 200,000 individuals have been included in the social security program as materially participating farm landlords.9 9John C. Ellickson, "Distribution of Farm Incomes," gggicultural Finance Review, Vol. 23 (April, 1962), p. 27. 30 Income coverage.--Farm operators reporting under the regular reporting method compute net earnings from self- employment as gross farm income minus the usual business deductions allowable for income tax purposes. Instructions for filing farm social security tax.returns specifically mention the following items which should be included, in addition to usual farm earnings, in computing net earnings from agricultural self-employment: 1. Taxable patronage dividends from cooperatives; 2. Agricultural program payments, including acreage reserve and conservation reserve soil bank payments; 3. Taxable commodity credit loans; 4. Refunds or rebates, if they represent a reduction in a deductible expense item, including refunds of gasoline tax; 5. Prizes and awards on farm produce or live- stock; 6. Crop damage payments; 7. Value of merchandise received for farm products; and 8. Standing crop sales, if not sold with land which was held more than six months. Among the items which should not be included are rental income from real estate (unless the landlord meets the qualifications of material participation); capital gains and losses from.the sale of livestock, depreciable property, and other capital items; and other income from investments. The limits on the amount of net income which can be reported depend on the reporting method selected by the 31 farm operator. Under both reporting methods, the maximum limit on taxable self-employment income is the amount of total net earnings from.covered self-employment, less the amount of covered wage and.sa1ary earnings received during the year, up to the maximum limit on taxable income. The regular reporting method requires that net self-employment income be at least $400 for the year. The optional report- ing method conforms to the same minimum and maximum earn- ing requirements; but farm operators are allowed, under the optional method, to count a specified percentage of their gross farm self-employment earnings as net income from self-employment. In 1955, farm operators reporting on a cash basis were permitted to count one-half of their gross income as net self-employment earnings provided that their gross farm income for the year was at least $800 and not more than $1,800. If gross earnings were more than $1,800 and actual net earnings were less than $900, net self-employment earn- ings could be reported as @900 under the optional method. Beginning in 1956 the optional reporting method per- mitted all farm operators with annual gross farm incomes of at least $600 and not more than $1,800 to report two- thirds of their'gross farm earnings as net income from self-employment. Net self-employment earnings could be reported as $1,200 if gross earnings were more than $1,800 and actual net earnings were less than $1,200. 32 Some farm operators who would otherwise have been ineligible for social security coverage because of low net incomes have been able to participate in the OASI program by reporting under the optional methOd. But low-income farmers were allowed to use the standard reporting method and, thereby, to avoid payment of self- employment taxes (thus sacrificing OASI coverage). Use of the optional method is not compulsory; hence choice of reporting methods permits some farm operators to option either into or out of the program at their own discretion. Sample Q33; Eggg_QA§; Records Although the BOASI must maintain social security accounts fer all persons who have received coverage credits, it has developed a special l-percent sample of the covered labor force which provides statistical informa- tion for program planning and analysis. This sample, called the Continuous WOrk-History Sample, is the major source of data for the present study. 33 The Continuous Work-HistorySamplelo The Continuous Work-History Sample is selected from a universe made up of all persons to whom.socia1 security account numbenshave been issued. A two-stage, digital sampling process is used in drawing the sample. Each social security account number consists of nine digits divided into three fields: 000-00-0000. The first three digits represent the geographic area in which the number was issued. The fourth and fifth digits indicate a spe- cific group or sequence of numbers issued in any one geographic area, and the last four digits comprise the "serial number." The initial step in selecting the Continuous work- History Sample is the selection of a 20-percent sample made up of all account numbers which contain a ”2" or "7" in the first place of the serial number. So that the 10Further discussion of the development and use of the Continuous Work-History Sample can be found in the' following: (1) Jacob Perlman and Benjamin Mandel, "The Continuous WOrk-History Sample Under Old-Age and Survivor's Insurance " Social Securit Bulletin, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Febru- ary, 1944 , pp. 12-22; (2) B. J. Mandel, ”OASI Earnings Statistics and Their Uses," Monthl Labor Review, Vol. 70, No. 4 (April, 1950), pp. 421- ; 3) Jacob—PerIman, ”The Continuous WOrk-History Sample: The First Twelve Years," Social Securit Bulletin, Vol. 12, No. 4 (April, 1951), pp. 3-10; (I) fiiIIiam R. Cummins, "Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Records: Derivation of Byproduct Data,“ Social Securit Bulletin, Vol. 15, No. 7 (July, 1952), pp. IO-I4; (5) B. 3. Mandel, "Sampling the Federal Old-Age and Sur- vivors Records," Journal of the American Statistical Association Vol. 48, No{_263_TSeptember, 1953), pp. 462- 475; andTE) B. J. Mandel, "Development of the Continuous WOrk-History Sample in Old-Age and Survivors Insurance,” Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 20, No. 3 (March, 1957), ppe 3"]. an pe 27 34 process of posting annual earnings to individual accounts can be spread out over the year, the entire file of ac- counts is divided into four groups. Only one group, includ- ing all of the accounts in the 20-percent sample, are posted on a calendar-year basis. The 20-percent sample is composed of clusters of 1,000 accounts, i.e. those in which the serial number I begins with a "2" or "7." This sample is stratified by geographic area, and the Continuous Work-History Sample is selected systematically by drawing all account numbers in the 20-percent sample in which the last two digits are "05;" "20;” "#5," "754' or "95.!I‘ The Continuous WOrk-History Sample is continuous in the sense that each account which enters the sample remains in the sample permanently. The selection of the sample is conducted so as to ensure a sampling ratio of 1-percent of all account numbers which have been issued. New account numbers are allocated to field offices in multiples of 500, 20 percent of which have a "2" or "7" in the first place of the serial number. Thus, a 1-percent sampling ratio is maintained as the size of the Continuous'WOrk- History Sample increases with the growth of the labor force. A few persons are known to hold.more than one social security account number, but the problem of multiple ac- count numbers is not significant. A special study in 1951 revealed that the Continuous Work-History Sample overstated 35 the numler of workers with wage credits during the period from 1937 to 1950 by only 0.3 percent.11 More serious is the problem of identifying persons who are retired, disabled, or deceased. When current earn- ings are no longer reported for an individual, after cov- ered income has been reported in one or more years, a number of alternative explanations exist. The individual in ques- tion may be working in non-covered employment, disabled, deceased, retired, or unemployed. The accounts of retired, disabled, and deceased workers can be identified from ap- plications for social security benefits, but the status of persons who have not qualified fer benefits is usually not reported. It has been estimated that approximately one- third of all persons with past covered income who died in 1955 were uninsured at the time of their death and that about 80 percent of these deaths (approximately one-fourth of all deaths) were not reported to the BOASI.12 This problem will diminish over time as a greater proportion of the labor force meets the requirements fer social security benefits. The Continuous Work-History Sample provides, for per- sons included in the sample, a substantial amount of information pertaining to the individual and his annual employment experience. Although the information available 11Mandel, "Development of the Continuous Work-History Sample in Old-Age and Survivors Insurance," p. 13. 121bid., p. 12. 36 is not a complete history of labor force participation, it does give a year-to-year record of participation in employment covered by the social security program. The major limitations of the sample data are the length of time in which various types of employment have been covered and the limits on the amount of earnings which can be reported fer coverage. Th2 Employee-Employer Wage Card Filg As a part of its regular accounting process, the BOASI must verify and post the quarterly and annual wage reports filed by employers. This is accomplished by preparing a punch card for each employee listed on the individual wage reports. After wage reports from four consecutive quarters have been processed, the information on the quar- terly wage card is summarized and punched into a set of annual wage cards. This set of cards comprises the Annual Employee-Employer wage Card File. For each worker who received wage credits during the year, there is one annual wage for each employer fronlwhich that person received covered wage or salary earnings. By collating the information in the current Continuous WOrk-History Sample with information in the Annual Employee- Employer wage Card File, it is possible to obtain a more detailed record of each individual's work experience in a given year. Within the limits of’the amount of earnings ‘which are subject to social security taxes, the wage cards 37 show the quarterly and annual earnings, and type of industry and location of each employer for the year. The specific items of information availatfle from the Employee- Employer Wage Card File are listed in the next section of this chapter. OAS; Sample Q§t§_gg Egg Agricultural L222£.E2£22 The agricultural labor force data utilized in this study were taken from the Continuous Work-History Sample and.the matching Employee-Employer Wage Cards. These sam- ple data included, in general, income and employment data from the OASI records of social security accounts in the Continuous WOrk-History Sample to which income from agri- cultural sources was credited in specified years. Two groups of OASI agricultural labor force data were available for analysis in this study. The first group included data on all persons in the 1937-56 Continuous Work-History Sample with self-employment and/or wage and salary earnings from agricultural sources in 1955, and the matching 1955 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Cards. These data were used by Uel Blank in his investigation of OASI agricultural labor force statistics.13 The present study relies primarily upon OASI sample data made available after Blank's study. These data included all persons in the 1937-58 Continuous WOrk-History Sample with self-employment 13Blank, "OASI Data of the Farm Labor Force." 38 and/or wage and salary earnings from agricultural sources in 1955 and/or 1957, and the matching 1957 Employee- Employer wage Cards. 5 The OASI sample data supplied by the BOASI were taken from.the regular OASI sample files and transferred to spe- cial sets of punch cards. A total of 181,462 punch cards were included in the two groups of data. The number of cards was divided as follows: Number of Punch Cards 1. From the 1937-56 Continuous ‘Wbrk-History Sample 33,476 2. From the matching 1955 Employee- - Employer Wage Card File 51,358 3. From the 1937-58 Continuous Werk-History Sample 52,210 4. From the matching 1957 Employee- Employer Wage Card File 44,418 Qa_tg £13m the; Continuous Work-History MEI-.9. Since this study is based chiefly upon data from the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample, discussion will be limited to the specific items of information which were available from this sample. A list of'the items included in the 1937-56 Continuous Work-History Sample can be found in Blank's thesis.1h The agricultural labor force sample used in the pres- ent study is actually a subsample taken from.the 1937-58 141bld., pp. 38-39. Continuous Work-History Sample. 39 This subsample is com- posed of all persons in the 1937-58 Continuous work-History Sample who received self-employment and/or wage and salary earnings from agricultural sources in 1955 and/or 1957. There were 52,210 persons, represented on the basis of one punch card per person, in the OASI sample of the agri- cultural labor force. The size of’the 1937-58 sample is related to the 1937-56 sample in the following manner: 4. Persons with agricultural earnings in 1955 who were included in the 1937-56 sample ‘ Persons with agricultural earnings in 1955 who were processed after the cut- off date of the 1937-56 sample (net increase) Persons with agricultural earnings in 1957 who were not identified with agri- culture in 1955 Total: persons with agri- cultural earnings in 1955 and/or 1957 Number of Punch Cards 33,476 4,798 13,936 52,210 The agricultural labor force sample taken from the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample included, for each person in the sample, the following items of information: 1. Social Security account number. This item permits the identification of individual workers for collating purposes and indicates the geographic area in which the account number was issued. 7. 10. 11. 12. 40 Year of birth. Sex. Race. This item is coded as non-Negro or Negro. Social security benefit status as of January 1, 1958. This item indicates the benefits for which living workers had qualified and the benefit status attained by deceased workers. Year of entitlement or death. This item indi- cates the year in which living workers became, or will become, eligible for retirement bene- gitg and the year in which deceased workers is . Cumulative earning credits in the period from 1937 through 1957. This item gives, in dol- lars, the total amount of covered income credited to the individual's account during the period. Taxable earnings in 1955, 1956, and 1957. This item gives the total amount of covered income, in tens of dollars, earned by the individual in each year. Number of quarters of coverage in 1955, 1956, and 1957. This item gives an indication of the extent, by year, and the regularity of the individfgl's participation in covered employment. First year in which covered income was reported. Last year in.which covered income was reported. Number of years in.which covered income was reported in the period from 1937 through 1957. l5The insured status of individual workers is based on the number of calendar quarters for which covered earn- ings have been credited to an individual's social security account. For a detailed definition of "a quarter of coverage" see U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insur- ance, Social Security Handbook 93,01d-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance, pp. 15-16. 41 13. Indication of continuous or intermittent employment patterns in the period from 1937 through 1957. Employment patterns are designated as either continuous or intermittent. Continuous employment indicates that covered earnings were credited to the individual's account in each year in the period from the first year employed to the last year employed. 14. Social security insurance status as of January 1, 1958. This item indicates the individual's eligibility for social security benefits and.ls closely related to benefit status. 15. Coverage indication in 1955, 1956, and 1957. This item indicates the source of covered earnings in each year. For a given year an individual is recorded as having covered income from.none or from an combination of the following sources: (1) self-employment in agriculture, (2) self-em loyment other than in agri- culture, (3 wage and salary employment in agriculture, and (4) wage and salary employment other than in agriculture. 16. Self-employment taxable income in 1955, 1956, and 1957. This item gives the- amount of income, in tens of dollars, for which self-employment taxes were paid in each year. 17. State and county in which self-employment income was earned in 1957. 18. Industry in which self-employment income was earned inl957. 19. Total net earnings, in tens of dollars, from self-employment in 1957. Similar information was included in the agricultural labor force sample selected from the 1937-56 Continuous Wbrk- History Sample. 2a}; £r_oy_1 3113 Employee-Employer Wage gag LL12 In conjunction with the agricultural labor force sam- ple taken from.the 1937-58 Continuous WOrk-History Sample, #2 the BOASI also provided a reproduced set of 44,418 annual wage cards representing the accounts in the 1937-58 agricultural labor force sample to which wage and salary earnings had been credited in 1957. Not all farm oper- ators and hired farm workers in the Continuous Work-History Sample had earnings from wages and salaries in 1957; hence the wage card sample included fewer persons that did the agricultural labor force sample.. Furthermore, one wage card is prepared fer each employer for which an individual worked during the year. Thus, some persons were repre- sented by several wage cards on a one-card-per-employer basis. For each employer of each wage earner included in the 1957 wage card sample, the following items of information were included in the set of reproduced punch cards: 1. Type of reporting schedule filed by the employer. 2. Social security account number of the worker. 3. Social security identification number of the employer. Employer establishment number. Sex of the worker. Race of the worker. . Month and year of worker's birth. ocslman-r Annual and quarterly wages in dollars and cents. 9. Number of wage reports, filed by the employer during the year, in which the worker was included. 43 10. State and county of employment. 11. Industry in which the worker was employed. Limitations 2; the Data It is apparent that the characteristics of OASI agricultural labor force statistics place certain restric- tions on the use and interpretation of OASI sample data. The major limitations and difficulties confronted in using OASI data'are discussed briefly in this section. Elabora- tion of certain limitations will be necessary in the chap- ters that follow. ‘ OASI farm-operator labor force.--The farm-operator labor ferce represented by OASI data comprises individuals who have received self-employment income from agricultural sources in specified years, satisfied the earning require- ments for OASI coverage, and filed social security tax re- turns. The labor force represented by OASI farm-operator data is subject to the following restrictions: 1. Persons with net farm self-employment earn- ings of less than $400 in any year were not required to participate in the social secur- ity program; hence some low-income farm operators are not included in the OASI farm- operator labor force. However, persons with low net incomes or net losses could elect to report a specified percentage of gross farm earnings to gain or increase OASI coverage. For persons with net farm self-employment earnings of less than $400, OASI participa- tion was entirely voluntary. Thus, although most farm operators could participate in the program regardless of the amount of their net income, those with net earnings of less than $400 in any year could legally forego OASI coverage. 44 2. Farm operators with covered wage earnings equal to or greater than the maximum tax- able earnings in any year were not re- quired to report self-employment earnings regardless of amount. Consequently, some multiple job holders who were part-time farm operators are excluded from the OASI farm-operator labor force. 3. Beginning in 1956, "materially participat- ing" farm landlords were included in the OASI program on the same basis as bona fide farm operators. All of the persons in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force were presumably bona fide farm operators in that year. Persons entering the OASI farm-operator labor force after 1955, were either bona fide farm operators or materially participating farm landlords, and the two groups cannot be identified from OASI records. 4. Persons with covered earnings from agricul- tural self-employment can be identified only for years after 1954. Therefore, the complete work-history of the farm operator labor force is not available. Income data.--The use and interpretation of OASI income data are also subject to certain limitations. The most important of these limitations include the following: 1. Earnings from a few types of employment are not covered by the social security program, and earnings below specified minimum levels in covered employment are excluded from OASI income statistics. Estimates of aggre- gate farm self-employment income derived from OASI data do not include the self- employment earnings of farm operators who fail to qualify for agricultural self- employment coverage because of either low farm incomes or wage earnings equal to or greater than the maximum limit on taxable earnings. Estimates of the aggregate total earnings of persons included in the OASI farm-operator labor force do not include earnings from non-covered employment or earnings below minimum levels in covered employment. 2. 4. 45 The total amount of self-employment earnings reported by the OASI farm-operator labor force includes earnings from both agricultural and nonagricultural self-employment. For persons with covered self-employment income from both farm and nonfarm sources, the amount of income from each source cannot be deter- mined. The group of persons who filed under the optional reporting method cannot be precisely identified; hence estimates of the aggregate net income of the OASI farm-operator labor force are biased upward because of the re- porting of gross earnings under the option. Estimates of the aggregate wage earnings of persons with covered employment are biased downward because of the maximum limit on the amount of wages eligible for social security coverage. Other limitations.--The following features also affect the use of OASI sample data on the agricultural labor force: 1. 2. Information on the location of the farm busi- ness is available only for years after 1956. A small proportion of the covered labor force is known to hold more than one social security account number; hence the size of the OASI labor force is slightly overstated. The labor force status of persons who have left agriculture can be accurately determined only if such persons subsequently entered covered nonfarm employment. Disabling in- juries, sickness, and the death or retirement of uninsured workers are often not reported to the BOASI. The limitations and qualifications mentioned here have influ- enced the present study at various points and will be con- sidered throughout the analysis. Reliability 9_f_ the Estimates As indicated previously, the Continuous WOrk-History Sample comprises l-percent of all social security accounts 46 selected from a universe made up of all social security account numbers which have been issued to individual work- ers. The OASI sample data used in this study were taken from the records of accounts in the Continuous Werk-History Sample to which agricultural earnings were credited in specified years. It has been assumed throughout the present study that the OASI sample of the farm-operator labor force represents a random, 1-percent sample of all persons with covered earnings from.agricultural sources in the years fer which data are available. Since it is possible for individuals to receive social security coverage for past years by filing late or amended tax returns, the Continuous Work- History Sample understates the number of'persons with covered earnings in any year. The extent of understatement in the size of the OASI labor force is dependent upon the year in question and the cut-off date of the Continuous WOrk-History Sample. For example, the size of the 1955 agricultural labor force, as represented by the 1937-56 Continuous Work-History Sample, was equal to 87.5 percent of the 1955 agricultural labor force represented by the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. Estimates based upon simple expansion of sample data thus represent per- sons reporting prior to the cut-off date of a particular sample. , The approximate standard error of estimates relating to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force are given in 1 47 Table II-l and Table II-2.16 These standard errors apply to estimates of individuals reporting agricultural self- employment earnings for social security coverage prior to the cut-off date of the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. As calculated for this study, the standard error measures only the variations that occur by chance because the estimates are based on sample data rather than a com- plete enumeration of the labor force. It does not account for errors in reporting or any systematic biases in the data. The chances are about 68 out of 100 that a sample estimate will differ from a complete enumeration of the labor force by less than one standard error and about 95 out of 100 that the difference will be equal to less than two standard errors. 16The approximate standard error of estimated per- centages for eubsamples of varying sizes and the method used in calculating the standard error are given in Appendix I. Also, see Appendix IV for a discussion of the expansion of OASI sample data. 48 TABLE II-l.--Approximate standard error of estimated size of population classes for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force Estimated Size Standard of Population Class Error 500 230 1,000 320 2,500 500 5,000 710 10,000 1,000 25,000 1,570 50,000 2,200 100,000 3,080 250,000 4,690 '500,000 6,180 1,000,000 7,330 Note: Sample size equals 21,859. Source: See Appendix I. 49 TABLE II-2.--Approximate standard error of estimated percentages for the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force Estimated Standard Percentage Error 1 or 99 0.1 2 or 98 0.1 5 or 95 0.2 10 or 90 0.3 15 or 85 0.3 20 or 80 0.3 25 or 75 0.3 35 or 65 0.4 50 0.4 Note: Sample size equals 21,859. Source: See Appendix I. CHAPTER III THE FARM-OPERATOR LABOR FORCE It is obvious from the discussion in the preceding chapter that the procedures, definitions, and regulations of the social security program introduce certain limita- tions in the use of sample data drawn from OASI records. At the same time, however, OASI agricultural labor force ' data include, on an annual basis, information that is not available from other sources. .Thus, while the limitations of OASI data must be recognized, this new source of informa- tion possesses unique advantages for answering certain kinds of questions about the income and employment expe- riences of farm operators in the United States. Before turning to consideration of the off-farm employ- ment of farm operators, it will be necessary to devote some attention to the problem of defining "the farm- operator labor force." The objectives of this chapter are two-fold: (1) to define and describe the farm-operator labor force represented by OASI data and (2) to examine the comparability of OASI farm-operator data with those provided from other sources. The first three sections of this chapter therefore deal with the definition of the OASI farm-operator labor force and the comparability of 50 51 the coverage of OASI farm-operator data, in terms of the number of persons represented, with the coverage of the Current Population Survey and the Census of Agriculture. The concluding sections then examine the characteristics of the farm-operator labor force represented by OASI sam- ple data. Estimates for the year 1957 will be taken as a base in illustrating the relationships between the cover- age of OASI data and the coverage of data from other sources. IhngASl Farm-Operator Lghg§,§g£gg As used throughout this study, the term "OASI farm- operator labor force" refers to the labor force comprising persons who are identified by OASI records as recipients of covered earnings from.agricultural self-employment in a specified year. Major emphasis will be given to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. Enumerative Qgtg ’ Although this study relies primarily on OASI sample data, some enumerative statistics on the agricultural labor force have been tabulated by the Bureau.of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance.l Since the inclusion of farm 1Published data on the agricultural labor force can be found in the following reports issued by the U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance: (1) Farm Covera e Statistics, 1256 (Baltimore: U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and survivors Insurance, December, 1959); (2) Social Securit Farm Statistics, 1955-1959 (Baltimore: U.S. Bureau of Old- Age and Survivors Insurance, August, 1961); and (3) Hand- book 2; Old-Age and.Survivors Insurance Statistics: Emgloy- ment, Wages, and Insurance Status ginorkers in Covere Employment, 1933'Tfialtimore: U.S. Bureau of OId-Age and Survivors Insurance, 1961). 52 operators in the OASI program beginning with the year 1955, the number of persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage increased from about 2.3 million in 1955 to a high of nearly 2.6 million in.l956 and then gradually declined to a low of around 2.2 million ~in 1959 (Table III-1). The increase in the number of per- sons with agricultural self-employment coverage from 1955 to 1956 was principally due to the fact that materially participating farm landlords became eligible for coverage beginning with the year 1956 and that farm-operators were generally better acquainted with the program in its second year. The decline in the number of persons covered since 1956 reflects both the dropping out of persons who were able to qualify for benefits after a short period of participation and, perhaps, the decline in the number of persons with farm earnings above the level required for coverage. The number of persons reporting agricultural self- employment earnings for social security coverage has been equal to roughly one-half the estimated number of farms as defined in the Census of Agriculture. The major reason for the difference in the size of the OASI farm-operator labor force and the total number of farms is the large number of persons defined as farm operators in the Census of Agriculture who do not have sufficient income from agriculture to satisfy the minimum earning requirements 53 TABLE III-l.--Number of persons reporting farm self- employment earnings for social security ‘ credits for the conterminous United States, 1955-1959 Year Number ' Reportinga 1955 2.337.500 1956 2,555,900 1957b 2,416,500 1958b 2,389,800 1959 2,210,800 aIncludes estimates for late returns not yet received. bPreliminary estimates. Source: Tabulated from U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Social Securit Farm Statistics 1255- 1959 (Baltimore: U.S. Bureau of Old-Age and.Survivors nsurance, August, 1961), Table 3, p. 6. for participation in the social security program.as farm operators. Sample Qgtg‘ OASI sample data on the farm-operator labor force represent persons in the Continuous Work-History Sample who reported agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in specified years. All estimates relating to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force which are given in subsequent sections of this study have been tabulated or estimated from sample data. Because of sampling variability and the incidence of reports processed after the cut-off date of the Continuous Work-History Sam- ple, estimates derived from.sample data will not necessarily 54 agree with farm coverage statistics published by the Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance. The 1937-58 Continuous WOrk-History Sample represents, on the basis of a 1-percent sampling ratio, a total of 2,185,900 individuals with covered earnings from agricul- tural self-employment in the year 1957. This estimate excludes, as does the entire analysis, farm-operators out- side the conterminous United States. It will be noted that the size of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force represented by the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample falls short of the estimate for 1957 given in Table III-1. Assuming a sampling ratio of l-percent, the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force represented by the 1937-58 Continuous ‘Wbrk-History Sample accounts for about 90 percent of the total number of persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in 1957. Estimates of the size of the OASI farm- operator labor force derived from the Continuous Work- History Sample are subject to sampling variability. Another reason.for the disparity between the estimate given in Table III-l and that based upon the assumption of a l-percent sampling ratio is, however, the incidence of persons reporting after the cut-off date of the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. The size of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force was, for example, substantially understated by the 1937-55 Continuous Work-History Sample. Under the assumption of 55 a l-percent sampling ratio, the 1937-55 Continuous Work- History Sample accounted for approximately 80 percent of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. Late returns for the year 1955 were, of course, included in subsequent samples. The 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample thus indicated a net increase in the size of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. Assuming a l-percent sampling ratio, the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample accounted for about 92 percent of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. A net increase in the number of 1957 OASI farm operators may also be expected in subsequent samples, but the incidence of late reports appears to have diminished now that farm operators have become more familiar with the program. To recapitulate, the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force generally comprises persons with net farm self- employment earnings in 1957 of $400 or more plus persons with net farm earnings of less than $400 and gross earnings of $600 or more who reported under the optional method. Generally excluded from the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force are the following: (1) persons with net agricultural self-employment earnings of less than $400 and gross earn- ings of less than $600, (2) persons with.net earnings of less than $400 and.gross earnings of $600 or more who did not elect to report under the optional method, and (3) persons with wage earnings of $4,200 or more regardless 56 of the amount of their self-employment earnings. The 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force also includes, on the same basis as bona fide farm-operators, materially participating farm landlords. The characteristics of persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force merit examination; but, first, some attention should be given to the number of persons included in other statistics on the farm-operator population. Discussion for purposes of comparison will be limited, insofar as possible, to the year 1957. Current Population Survey The Current Population Survey, conducted by the Bureau of the Census, provides a wide variety of information on the United States population and the current labor force. Current Population Survey statistics are obtained from a monthly survey of a rotating sample of approximately 35,000 interviewed households distributed over the entire United States.2 Labor force statistics derived from the Current Population Survey are reported monthly in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publication, Employment gpd Earnings.3 Three types of statistics are available from 2For a detailed discussion of procedures and defini- tions see U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-23, No. 5 (May 9, 1958). 3Prior to July 1, 1959, cps Labor Force Statistics were published in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Repprts, Series P-57. 57 the Current Population Survey: (1) estimates of the total population and number of households classified by place of residence, (2) estimates of the current labor force classified by occupation and by industry of employment and class of workers, and (3) estimates of the number of individuals and.households receiving income from specified sources. In the Current Population Survey interviewed.members of households are asked to report the labor force status of all household.members who are 1h years of age or older. Employed persons comprise, by definition, all persons who worked as employees or in their own business or profession for 15 hours or more during the survey week. Persons tem- porarily away from their work because of illness, bad ‘weather, vacations, and similar reasons are also classi— fied as employed persons. Individuals who held more than one job during the survey week are classified in the occu- pation and industry in which they worked the greatest num- ber of hours. Thus, labor force estimates derived from the Current Population Survey represent an unduplicated count of the current labor force. The Current Population Survey included, for the period from.l95l through 1956, approximately 21,000 inter- viewed households. About 2,200 of these households, as determined by place of residence, were farm households. Since 1956, when the size of the sample was expanded, 58 about 3,500 farm households have been included in the survey.“ The Farm.Population In accordance with the procedures of the Census of Population, Current Population Survey statistics include estimates of the population classified by place of resi- dence. For the period from 1950 through 1959 CPS estimates classified persons as either urban or rural residents on the basis of residence definitions used in the 1950 Census of Population. Under the definitions of the 1950 census, the urban population comprised all.persons living in the followingplaces: 1. Places of 2,500 or more inhabitants incorporated as cities, boroughs, and villages; 2. Incorporated towns of 2,500 or more inhabitants except in New England, New Yerk, and.Wisconsin, where "towns" are _ simply minor civil divisions of counties; 3. The densely settled urban fringe, includ- ing both incorporated and unincorporated areas, around cities of 50,000 or more inhabitants; and h. Unincorporated places of 2,500 or more inhabitants outside of any urban fringe.5 All persons living outside of these places are classified as rural residents. “U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation Reports, Series P-27, No. 2h (October 20, I957}, p. 5. 5For more detailed definitions see U.S. Bureau of the Census, U. S. Census of Population: 1250, Vol. II, Part I, Ch. B, pp. V ‘ Xe 59 The rural population was further divided into two categories: (1) rural-nonfarm, and (2) rural-farm. Per- sons in the latter category make up the farm population. For Current Population Surveys conducted during the period from 1950 through 1959, the farm population included all persons living on farms as determined by their response to the question, "Is this place on a farm (or ranch)?" If respondents raised the question, enumerators were instructed to classify all places in rural areas consisting of house and.garden only for which cash rent was paid as nonfarm residences. Persons in institutions, motels, summer camps, and tourist camps were also classified as nonfarm residents. The Current Population Survey and the 1950 Census of Population differ in their treatment of unmarried college students living away from home. In the 1950 Census of Population, college students were enumerated as residents of the communities in which they lived while attending school. The Current Population Survey defines such per- sons as residents of their parents' homes. Consequently, a larger number of college students are included in CPS estimates of the farm population.6 The farm population in 1957 included 21,606,000 per- sons,7 and it is estimated that there were 5,218,000 farm 6U.S. Agricultural Marketing Service, Farm Po ulation: Estimates for 1250-22, AMS-80 (1959), February, I980, p. I . 7Ibid., Table IV, p. 10. Under the more restrictive definition adopted in 1960, the farm population is estimated to have been 17,656,000 in 1957. See U.S. Economic Research gervice, Farm Income Situation (PIS-187), July, 1962, pp. -11 o 60 households in March 1957.8 The latter estimate is sub- stantially higher than the estimate of the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force and somewhat exceeds the estimate of h,856,000 farms in 1957.9 A special.study collating informa- tion from the 1950 Censuses of Population, Housing, and Agriculture found that 7.5 percent of the persons classi- fied as farm residents in the 1950 Census of Population lived on places that did not qualify as farms in the 1950 Census of Agriculture and that 5 percent of the persons living in farm-operator households as defined in the Census of Agriculture were classified as nonfarm residents in the 10 The population of farm-operator Census of Population. households was equal to 93.8 percent of the rural-farm population in 1950,11 and the disparity between the number of rural-farm households and the number of farms in 1957 was of approximately the same magnitude. The number of rural-farm households exceeded the number of farms by 362,000 in 1957, and.the number of farms was equal to 93.1 percent of the number of rural-farm households. 8U. S. Bureau.of the Census, lCurrent Po ulation Re orts, Series P- 20, No. 9h (August 2h,1 WEIe III, p. 2. %.S . Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Statis- tics: ”2 (Washington: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1e 687, p. A88. 1ya-IIOU. S. Department of Agriculture, Major Statistical Series of the U. S. De artment of Agriculture, Agricultural Handbook—No. 118, Vol. 7, ParmfPopulation, Employment, and Levels of Living, September I957, p. 6. 11U. 8. Bureau of the Census, Farms and Farm People: Po ulation Income, and.Housin Characteristics b Economic Class of Farm (Washington: U.S. Government Printi%g Office, , p. 38. 61 Place of residence, it may be contended, is not the most useful basis of classification for analysis of the farm-operator labor force. Many rural-farm residents are employed on a full-time basis in nonagricultural industries and do not depend upon farming as a means of livelihood. Some persons, who may be classified as part-time farmers, operate farms as a supplementary source of income. Others operate small farms and have no off-farm employment. Some of these persons are in semi-retirement, and others may be temporarily unemployed members of the nonfarm labor force who have fallen back on farming as a.means of subsistence. Conversely, some persons living in rural-nonfarm and urban places are primarily dependent upon agriculture for their livelihood and should be regarded as members of the farm- operator labor force. The main reason for the large dis- crepancy between the number of rural-farm households in 1957 and the size of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force is the large number of employed persons among the heads of farm households whose primary employment is in nonagricultural industries and whose earnings from farming, if any, are not sufficient to qualify for agricultural coverage under the social security program. Industry and Occupation Labor force estimates derived from the Current Popula- tion Survey include farm operators in two series. These series are based upon monthly estimates of the current 62 labor force classified both by occupation and by industry and class of worker. It was estimated that 6,222,000 persons were employed in agriculture in 1957.12 This estimate included 1,687,000 wage and salary workers, 3,304,000 self-employed persons, and 1,231,000 unpaid family workers. The classification system used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is designed to give an unduplicated count of the current labor force. Persons who held more than one job during the survey week are therefore classified in the occupation and industry in which they worked the greatest number of hours. Conse- quently, some persons with off-farm employment are classi- fied as working in nonagricultural industries. Estimates derived from the Current Population Survey of July 1957 indicated that a substantial number of workers designated as having primary jobs in nonagricultural indus- tries also held secondary employment as farm operators. A total of 3,5h7,000 persons were classified as self-employed workers in agriculture on the basis of the July 1957 survey.13 Information on multiple jobholders, obtained in the same survey, indicated that 529,000 workers held secondary jobs (as determined by the number of hours spent at each of two 12Average of monthly estimates for the calendar year. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Re orts, Series P-50, No. 85 (June, I958), Table I6, p. IE. 13U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation Re orts, Series P-57, No. 181 (August, I95 , a e 7, p. IE. 63 1h or more jobs) as self-employed workers in agriculture. This estimate included h5,000 workers whose primary job classification was wage and salary worker in agriculture and h84,000 workers whose primary classification was wage and salary worker in nonagricultural industries.15 The total number of workers with agricultural self-employment as a secondary job was equal to lh.9 percent of the number of workers with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture. Counting both primary and secondary job- holders, h,076,000 persons were self-employed in agricul- ture in July 1957. Approximately 3,329,000 persons were employed as farmers and farm managers in 1957.16 The occupational classification "farmers and.farm.managers" includes most persons classified as self-employed workers in agriculture plus some persons who are classified as hired workers in the industrial classification.17 The Julyl957 study of multiple jobholding found that the number of individuals th.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation fig- ports, Series P-50, No. 80 (February, 5, TaEIe I, p. 2. 15Self-employed workers and unpaid family workers with a secondary farm or business were not counted as mul- tiple jobholders. 16Average of estimates made in January, April, July, and October, 1957. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey, Series P-50, No. 85, Table I3, p. 36. 17For a discussion of occupation, industry, and class of worker designations see U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Population: 1950, Vol. II, Part I, Ch. B, pp. XVII:_IVIII. 64 with secondary jobs as farmers and farm managers was equal to 14.9 percent of the total number of workers with farm- 18 ing as their primary occupation. Approximately 4,049,000 persons, counting both primary and secondary jobholders, held jobs as farmers and farm managers in July 1957.19 The estimate of 4,076,000 persons with primary or secondary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture and the estimate of 4,049,000 persons with primary or second- ary occupations as farmers and farm managers are both sub- stantially higher than the estimate of the number of per- sons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in 1957. The disparity between the size of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force and the size of the labor force represented by estimates from the Current Population Survey is chiefly due to the low farm earnings of’many persons included in the CPS estimates. A rough indication of the number of workers excluded from agricultural self-employment coverage in the social secur- ity program because of income restrictions is given below. Recipients 2; Farm Self-Employment Income The Bureau of the Census has estimated that 4,100,000 persons 14 years of age or older received income from l8U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Re orts, Series P-50, No. 80, Table 4, p. 3. 19It was estimated that 3,524,000 persons were em- ployed as farmers and farm.managers in July, 1957. The estimate of 4,049,000 was calculated as 114.9 percent of 3,524,000. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-57, No. 181, Table 7, p. I4. 65 agricultural self-employment in 1957.20 Because it is based upon individuals with earnings from agricultural self-employment, this estimate corresponds closely with the method used in defining the OASI farm-operator labor force. The age limit applied to estimates from the Current Population Survey is inconsequential in comparing the labor force covered by the two sources. However, the coverage of OASI farm-operator data is restricted by the amount of earnings required for participation in the social security program. The distribution of persons receiving agricultural self-employment income in 1957 by amount of income received, as estimated from.the Current Population Survey, is given in Table III-2. Around 14.6 percent of the persons receiv- ing agricultural self-employment income during the year had net losses, and 31.0 percent had farm self-employment earn- ings in the range of from $1 to $499. Assuming that persons in the latter class were uniformly distributed over the class interval, 24.8 percent of the income recipients had farm self-employment earnings in the range of from $1 to $399, and a total of 39.4 percent (1,615,000 persons) had farm incomes of less than $400. The estimated number of persons with agricultural self-employment earnings of $400 20U. S. Bureau.of the Census, Current Po ulation Re orts, Series P-60, No. 30 (December, I958i, Ta EIe 27, p. 45. Self-employment income from farming was received by 3, 583, 000 families and 210,000 unrelated individuals. 66 .ms .e NN eases lemma .eesseeeov Om. .ooum mmfimom mphommm moanmasmom psohh50 .mSmmmo map mo swopsm .m. a .oohsom .mowpsnfippmfio omwpcoouom scam vopmadoawom o.ooa ooo.ooa.s Hesse III III hm>o “am 000 mm H.o ooa s mom 4N .000 «H N.o OON m sea ea -ooo.oa o.H ooo as one a -ooous m.o oom Nm seems -ooo.e m.H com me mom m -000.“ m.H 00m mm moons -OOm.s o.N coo Ne see 4 -ooo.s m.N oom so mam.m seem m 0.4 000 QON mos.m -ooo.m s.m oos.oma mom.N -OOm.N s.s oos men mosHN -ooonN m.“ com emN see H -OOm.H o.oH ooo oas mos.a -ooo.a a.ma 00: men mom :00“. o.Hm ooo.asN.H ems -H e.sa ooe.msm. ness omwpmoohem whenssz Auhmaaonv oEoomH pcoahoamsmumaom Shem bmoa .mopmpm vegan: muonfiahopaoo on» now .esoona pmoshoHQSoumaom Show up .pobo new emu no name» ea amomuomnn.NaHHH mqm_.mwmm nesssaseammm mm unease .m.= .asusoo can mo_:soh:m .m.= Song vopmasnaa “condom .uswmh Huanonnd wcfiusaoxmn .oousom eon amofipwsfimov some 75 o.ooa st.mme.m passes m. 3 st . 8: an esohpounaesm m.MN mm ”Hem esapnpesm s.e ms .msm Hs nesao s.ea saw was s sumac 5.5H and.mmo sH ensue o.ma mssHNms HHH eesao s.m Ned oaN HH ensao m.N mmm.aoa H geese ommpnoohem nonasz «shun mo sumac oaaosoom mmma .eepspm eases: msocfishopnoo on» now .sudm Ho sumac owaosooo he usuamun.suHHH mumda 76 .uofihom pmomno>du on» hobo oopsnanp saws haanomfisd as: name“ no homes: on» ca owsmzo on» wasp soHpQEdmmm esp mpflz vmumaoahopcw who: muse» mausoonhouca pom mopssHpmm .ohspHSlowd mo usmcoo on» :H umpwnoasco messy now one omma use 4mma hon nonmaapmm ”oohsom .zowpwcfimoo ca omqmmo omu.hn vovsaoxo mason mo men 18:: amp msam mamcmo mmoa on» CH reassessmo mm 00m Na camp mama no means spa: .mahmm Hasnocn< pamoxe .msumm Ham moodaocfi mama :H 00m N cusp mmoa mo amass macaw Spas magma Ho gonads on» Ho opmaapno one .OOm m menu whoa Ho modem and: mahmm mo hoses: onp_maco noncommw cowpwcamov ca owcmno one “opoz .msumm Hassocn< wcHusaoxmm ewH ems m msQ new H sssnseouN omeH eHN 00H 4 mmN .mNo. N st Hso N mmmH ssN osN s Hem omH N mos.oeo.N smmH NsN oss s ooQ me N Nmmuowo.~ omoH ooQ 0H0 s mmm «Hm N Nem.soo.N mmmH mNm own 4 ems who N Nsm.HOH.N smoH unmask HH< 00m aw can» once so meow eneH.mo eeHem cem.Ne as neHsm _ . ommausmoa .uopwpm copHsa msosasnopcoo on» no“ :OOm m» gasp mama no use egos.no 00m «w mo nods» nun: .ohspasowuw4 no asnceo 4mma on» ad renames am manna mo monaszna. m HHH mqmda 77 The number'of commercial farm operators for the period fron.l954 through 1959 is given in Table III-6. These esti- mates were based upon the assumption that the number of underenumerated commercial farms in the 1954 and.l959 Cen- suses of Agriculture was equal to 4.3 percent of the comp mercial farms counted in the censuses and that the number. of extra farm-operator’partners was equal to 1.8 percent 7 of the number of commercial farms. Also, it was assumed that the change in the number of commercial farm operators was uniformly distributed over the five—year period. Comparison of the number of farm operators associated with farms having gross sales of $2,500 (Table III-6) and the number of persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage (Table 111-1) reveals that the OASI farm-operator labor force has exceeded the. number of commercial farm operators during the period from 1955 through 1959. The number of persons reporting farm earnings for social security coverage in the first few years after the coverage of farm operators includes a disproportionately high percentage of persons who were able to quality for social security retirement benefits with only two years of coverage. The increase in the size of the OASI farm-operator labor force after 1955 is chiefly due to the inclusion of approximately 200,000 materially participating fann Laidlords beginning in 1956. By 1959 the number of persons reporting farm earnings for social 78 TABLE III-6.--Number of farm operators associated with farms having sales of $2,500 or’more, for the conterminous United States, 1954-1959 M Number of Year Farm Operators 1954 2,231,681 1955 2,223,740 1956 2,215,797 1957 2,207,856 1958 2,199,915 1959 2,191,973 Source: See text. security coverage was approximately equal to the number of commercial farm operators. , In 1957 about 2.2 million farm operators were asso- ciated with farms having gross sales of $2,500 or more, and about 2.4 million persons reported agricultural self- employment income for OASI coverage. Excluding approx- imately 200,000 farm landlords, the number of commercial farm operators was approximately equal to the number of farm operators reporting farm earnings under the social security program. Although nearly all commercial farm operators, except those with covered wages of $4,200 or more, could have participated in the social security pro- gram on the basis of agricultural self-employment earnings, it should.not be concluded that all OASI farm operators would have qualified as commercial farm operators in 1957. Undoubtedly, some commercial farm-operators with low net 79 earnings chose to option out of the program, while some persons who would not qualify as commercial farm operators were able to earn coverage credits based upon self- employment earnings in agriculture. However, it seems reasonable to expect that OASI farm-operator data are generally representative of the commercial farm-operator labor force. A detailed comparison of the OASI farm-operator labor force and.farm operators included in the Census of Agri- culture was made by Uel Blank. His comparison of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force with farm operators repre- sented in the 1954 Census of Agriculture indicated that, while the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force included only 36 percent of all census farms, OASI farm operators accounted for approximately 73 percent of all farm products sold.28 Farms with gross sales of less than $1,200 com- prised 40 percent of all census farms but were represented by 62 percent of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force.29 It was estimated that 83 percent of the operators of farms with gross sales of $5,000 or more in 1955 were represented by sample data on 1955 OASI farm operators.30 Blank's analysis clearly indicated that the bulk of the 1955 OASI 28Uel Blank, "OASI Data of‘the Farm Labor Force" (unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, Department of A ricultural Economics, Michigan State University, 1960 , p. 131. 291bid. 3°Ibid. 80 farm-operator labor force would have qualified as commer- cial farm operators and that a high.percentage of all commercial farm operators were included among OASI farm operators in 1955- It seems reasonatde to assume that, for most purposes, sample data on the OASI farm-operator labor force is gen- erally representative of farm operators associated with commercial farms. It has been estimated that there were approximately 2.2 million commercial farm operators in 1957 and that, excluding approximately 200,000 materially participating farm landlords, about 2.2 million farm oper- ators qualified for social security coverage on farm self- employment earnings in 1957. Furthermore, assuming a sampling ratio of one percent, 2,185,900 OASI farm operators were represented, in 1957, by sample data from the 1937-58 Continuous work-History Sample. These data include mate- rially participating farm landlords on the same basis as bona fide farm operators. Regional Distribution 9; the Farm-Operator mm Informatimn on farm location, which was unavailable for the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force, was available for persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in 1957.31 The distribution 31Blank's study of regional variations in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor f0rce relied on the geographic 81 of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force by geographic region is given in Table III-7.32 Approximately 51 per- cent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force was in the North Central States. About 29.5 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators were in the West North Central region, and about 21.6 percent were in the East North Central region. None of the remaining regions had as much as 10 percent of the total labor fOrce. TABLE III-7.--l957 OASI farm operators by geographic region, for’the conterminous United States W Region Number Percentage Northeast 159,200 7.3 East North Central 72,200 21.6 ‘West North Central 47,900 29.5 South Atlantic 207,300 9.5 East South Central 187,100 8.6 West South Central 194,000 8.9 MOuntain 106,400 4.9 Pacific 112,700 5.2 Unknown 99,100 4.5 Total 2,185,900 100.0 Note: Estimated from sample data. Source: 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. area code included in the social security account number issued to each individual. This code identifies the area in which the account number was issued but does not neces- sarily indicate location of the farm from.which self- employment earnings are currently received. 32The regional classification used throughout this study corresponds with that used in the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures but differs from.the classification used in.the Census of Agriculture. As used herein, the Northeast region includes the New England and Middle Atlan- tic states plus Delaware and.Maryland. See Appendix II for a listing of the states included.in each region. 82 The geographic location of 4.5 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators included in the Continuous Work- History Sample could not be determined. Persons in this group apparently failed to complete certain items included on the social security tax return. Since this group of individuals closely resembled the remainder of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force with respect to age, sex, and race, it may be assumed that persons not reporting location of farm were distributed geographically in pro- portion to the location of the remainder of the labor force. Because certain other items of information were not report- ed by those who failed to report, location of farm, this group is excluded from consideration in most cases. Regional statistics on the farm-operator labor force are not available from.the Current Population Survey, but the geographic distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators can be compared with the distribution of farms enumerated in the Census of Agriculture. Table III-8 gives the per- centage distribution for farms included in the 1954 and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture by geographic region. Com- parison of the regional distribution of all farms in 1954 and 1959 is restricted by the change in definition of a farm, but the distribution of farms with gross sales of $2,5000r more is comparable for the two censuses. During the five—year period from 1954 to 1959, four regions had relative increases in number of commercial farms. Only one .mowom ndoaum> .5H canoe mom a canoe meta spasm H .Ho> sz .onspHSoHde mo nausea .m.= a.msmcoo one mo soon: meMHmemo- H one N .Hoo H.5oHH NoHH .oe m eHrsH .HH .so HH .Ho> «on .eeseHsoHe 4 mo unaooo .m .3 mdaooo on» no smowsm .m. D Bosh oouoasoamonum can A .HooH “condom .oeoa to 00m mm mo moamm mmosw nu«3.mshmmo .GOHuHsHmoo mamas .ooHpHonou smoae 83 0.00H o.ooH o.OOH c.00H Hepoa 4.m 5.m m.m H.m oHMHowm o.m o.m 0.4 m.m oHeposoz H.HH n.0H m.MH o.sH Henpsoo spsom one; 0.5 5.5 N.mH m.oH Hshpseo groom pnem m.HH H.HH N.mH H.5H oHpssHpe epsom o.mN a.mN s.HN a.mH Hsupseu sphoz one: 5.0N m.HN o.mH 5.oH Heepsoo npeoz poem m.m H.m 5.5 5.5 pnmompnoz lea Ame lNV lHl seeeee smoH smoH somoH osmoH 0 Durham H m.” OROEEOO ufihdrm HHd ll 5m5H one smma .eepepm oopHc: msooHshepnoo on» tom .oonoH oHnmewoow 59 .eusuasoHnwd mo nonsense one :H meannessso assmm no soHpanHpuHo owsuooosemun. m HHH mqmo oopanHpmHo haemomfics no: sowwon zooo 2H menom Howopoesoo mo woman: one ma owoono om» pomp noHpQESmmo on» spa: ohspasowmw< mo woodmcoo mmma coo smoa on» Ca vopoHoesco manom mo Hones: one scum vopoHomuopoHuna .Hoo "outflow .opoa no 00m.~$ mo ooaom mmopw anz menomo o.OOH coo.mmH.N o.OOH mos.o5o.N neonoe HHH s.m Nmo.mHH o.m N5o.oHH oHeHoee H.m mms.HHH o.m mmo.s0H sHspssoz m.o ma~.mom 5.0H da5.©~m HoHHCoo :psom poo: 0.5 mmm.mma m.m Om©.o5a Hoppooo nusom whom 5.5 ssHH5HN N.HH mmH.mmN erssHe< sssom H.Hm moo m5o a.mN mmo.Hoo Hespeoo sphoz one; o.NN sNoHsms m.HN omH.Nss Heepsoo sonoz poem o.5 005 ooH o.m mam.m5H possessoz . asv Amv Amy Aav mowwom omopooonom popssz omopsoomom monasz whopoaomo shoe Hm “oonsom .noHHopHHhop one mouse» HHo nocoaosHo .983 .3 083% no modem noon» H3? oaks.“ .Ho unopshoeon . .nopopn esosmapsoo we on? 5amo noosaooHo H.0n a.ms a.ms Aehoohv , owe comma: o.ooa o.ooa 0.00H Hopes a.ma c.¢H 0.0H ho>o use me o.NN m.om n.0N soumm H.HN c.4N 0.4N smume m.HN m.nN s.sN Hanan H.4H H.4H N.MH smumm 5.N N.N 5.H mN soon: as ANV A: Antes: mmoa ea, nunoponemo Hoaouoasoo Had shopouomo HH< sud ouopoHowo snob Hmdo sehspasoahm< no nausea emma mmmH one smmH .nosspm oopHss on» sea .omo hp ahopoHomo show no mOHpanHpeHc ewopnoonomnn.oauHHH mqmda 88 of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force was 50.1 years as compared with 48.8 years and 48.5 years for all farm operators and commercial farm operators, respectively, reporting age in the 1954 Census of Agriculture. Nearly 41 percent of all 1955 OASI farm operators were 55 years of age or over, as opposed to 37 percent of all operators of farms with sales of $1,200 or more. Approximately 17 per- cent of the 1955 OASI farm operators were under 35 years of age as compared with 15 percent of all census operators and 16 percent of the operators of commercial farms in 1954. Because of the nature of the social security program, it is not surprising that a disproportionately high per- centage of persons reporting farm self-employment earnings for OASI coverage are in the older age groups. The 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force tended to be older than either the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force or the farm- operator labor force included in the 1954 census. The median age of 1957 OASI farm operators was 52.0 years, and one-fifth of the 1957 OASI farm operators were 65 years of age or over (Table III-ll). At the other extreme, only 14.8 percent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force was less than 35 years of age. Blank attributed the relatively flatter age distribu- tion of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force, as com- pared with farm operators included in the 1954 census, to the inclusion of extra partnership operators in the OASI 89 .odnamm amopmHmuxHoz moosofipcoo mmu5moa “oousom .spmu oamaom seam ooposfipmm “eaoz 0.00H o.m Ao>o use m5 a.mm o.mH #5 I mo 0.0m 5.4N so 1 mm m.mm H.~N an 1 m4 a.mm 5.mH as 1 mm 5.HH 4.5 an n on m.5 5.: mm 1 mm H.N o.N sN . oN 4.6 s.o oN sees: oMmpeoeoom neonmmmmo Has mmw osapoHseso no ewopooouom nonopm topaz: msocwahopsoo one new .omo 59 eonom honed toastedonsnse Hmeo 5moH one go soHssloann.emesssoeom--.HH-HHH mHmse 90 labor ferce and to the incentives for older persons to qualify, if possible, for social security benefits.35 These explanations apply equally to the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force. In addition, the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force includes materially participating farm landlords who would not have been included as farm operators in the census and who were not included in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. The hypothesis is suggested that farm landlords tend to be older than bona fide farm operators and that the higher proportion of older persons in the 1957 OASI farmsoperator labor force is due, at least partially, to the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords. Some evidence bearing upon this hypothesis can be offered. The 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force comprises four mutually exclusive coverage groups. These groups, classi- fied on the basis of years in which self-employment earn- ings from agricultural sources were reported for social security coverage, are defined as follows: 1. Persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in each of the years 1955, 1956, and 1957. 2. Persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in 1957 only. 35Ihid., pp. 57-58. However, it should also be noted that farm operators enumerated.in the census may tend to understate age. See, for example, Hugh H. W01fenden, Population Statistics and Their Compilation (Rev. Ed.; Chicago: The University of CEIcagoPress, 1954), pp. 53-59. 91 3. Persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in 1956 and.l957 but not in 1955. 4. Persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in 1955 and 1957 but not in 1956. This method of classification distinguishes most people who qualified for social security coverage as materially partic- ipating farm landlords from those who were bona fide farm operators. Of the nearly 2.2 million 1957 OASI farm oper- ators represented by the 1937-58 Continuous WOreristory Sample, approximately 1.4 million persons had covered agri- cultural self-employment earnings in each of the years 1955, 1956, and 1957. About 100,000 persons reported agricultur- al self-employment earnings in 1955 and 1957 but not in 1956; about 270,000 persons reported earnings from agricul- tural self-employment in 1957 only; and about 400,000 per- sons reported agricultural self-employment earnings in 1956 and 1957 but not in 1955. Since the rental income of mate- rially participating farm landlords has been covered by the social security program only for years after 1955, most of the farm landlords are no d0ubt included in the group with covered earnings from agricultural sources in 1956 and 1957 but not in 1955. The percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm opera- tors by age, for each coverage group, is given in Table III-12. The median ages of farm operators in the four groups ranged from 48.2 years for persons with agricul- tural self-employment coverage in 1955 and 1957 to 55.4 92 .oagaom 5Hopoamnxh03 moosoapooo mmu5moa ”oohsom .opoc oagaou Scam oopoaHpem “opoz seesaw 0.0m a.mm N.ms 5.Hm o e ssHooz 0.00H 0.00H 0.00H 0.00H deuce m.m 5.m s.m m.m so>o one 55 m.NH m.mH m.oH m.HH e5 1 mo N.NN m.sN 5.5H o.mN so . mm 5.0N 0.5H a.mN o.NN an 1 ms 0.0H N.mH 5.HN n.0N as 1 mm 0.6 s.o “.5 5.5 Hm a on ¢.5 5.m «.0 ~.¢ 5m 1 mm m.m 0.m o.N 0.0 em a 0m ~.~ m.0 «.0 H.0 0N Hots: 5mmH 5muommH 5mummmH 5mnomumm5H Huummmv shoppom owoso>oo pooamoamsmjmaom Hoaspasoanud seesaw oopHsD osooHshepooo on» you .omsouw owouo>oo pooshoaoaoumaom Hohspasownws pom .owo 5n eouom Honda Hopohoeouauom Hmdo 5m5H on» no :oHaanHanv omopcoohomua.mHuHHH 0:049 93 years for persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in 1956 and 1957. Approximately 27 percent of the persons in the latter group were 65 years of age or over as compared with no more than 19 percent in any of the other three groups. Thus, it is suggested that the inclusion of mate- rially participating farm landlords has been partially responsible for the disproportionately high percentage of older persons in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. The group of 1957 OASI farm operators with agricultural self-employment coverage in each of the years 1955, 1956, and 1957 presumably excludes most materially participating farm landlords and older persons who were able to qualify for retirement benefits after receiving coverage in only two years. As compared with commercial farm operators enumerated in the 1954 Census of Agriculture, however, this group also included more persons 65 years of age or over and fewer persons under 35 years of age. Egg geographic regions.--Among 1957 OASI farm operators in eight geographic regions, there appears to be substantial differences in age. The median age of 1957 OASI farm opera- tors ranged from a low of 49.0 years in the Mountain states to a high of 56.7 years in the East South Central states (Table III-13). OASI farm operators in the South generally tended to be older than OASI farm operators in either the North or'the West. More than one-fourth of the 1957 OASI farm operators in the South Atlantic and East South Central 9h .oagaom 5Hopmamuxaoz moonsfipsoo 051555H "ooHSom .opoo magsom Boom ooposHpnm 3902 50.333 N.N5 6.55 0.55 5.05 5.55 s.5s N.N5 0.65 owe ssHoe: 0.00H 0.005 0.005 0.00H 0.00H 0.00H 0.00H 0.00H Hence «.e H.s 5.5 0.m 0.5 H.s 5.5 5.5 no>o one 55 5.5a 0.5a 0.5a a.0« «.ma m.HH H.5H 0.5H :5 a 50 5.¢« 5.mH 5.5« 5.5« 5.5« m.«« «.4« 5.5« 40 u 55 H.e« s.«« 5.4« «.H« 5.«« «.«« 5.H« 0.H« 45 u 54 5.5H 5.5« «.0H 4.5H 5.0H m.o« a.mH 0.0« a: u 55 H.5 0.w 5.0 5.4 5.5 «.5 H.5 «.m 45 u 05 5.4 5. 0.5 4.« 5.5 «.0 5.5 «.5 5« u 5« 5.H 5.« «.H 5.H 4.H 5.« «.« 4.« ¢« 1 0« 4.0 5.0 4.0 «.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 s.0 0« seem: onHoom :Hopnsoz Houpooo Heapsoo oHpooHp< flamenco Hehpcoo ammonphoz answer“ arson rpsom spsom speoz speoz owe seem one: pose sees, _ nooawon oHnmanwoow psto sou .ows 5n venom momma Hoponoaouahom H040 555H on» yo moansnahano owopoeonomnn.5H|HHH mamas 95 states were 65 years of age or over. The disproportionately high number of older persons in these regions seems to be associated with the agricultural self-employment coverage pat- tern of the farm operators. Approximately 25 percent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force in the South Atlantic 7 states and 24 percent in the East South Central states had ~ agricultural self-employment coverage in 1956 and 1957 but not in 1955. No more than 19 percent of the farm operators in the remaining regions were included in this coverage group. The median ages of persons with agricultural self-employment cover- age in 1956 and 1957 only were 57.1 years and 58.5 years in the South Atlantic and East South Central states, respectively. The preponderance of persons with agricultural self- employment coverage in 1956 and 1957 but not in 1955 does not, however, account for the age differential between 1957 OASI farm operators in the South Atlantic and East South Central states and those in other states. The median ages of persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in each of the years 1955, 1956, and 1957 were 53.7 years in the South Atlantic states and 56.8 years in the East South Central states. These estimates exceed the median ages of all 1957 OASI farm operators in each of the other six regions. Although the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords in the social security program may have resulted in the coverage of persons whotend to be older than bona fide farm operators, the age differen- tials among geographic regions are not wholly attributable to 96 variations in the proportion of persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in only years after 1955. There seem to exist genuine differences among regions in the distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators by age. The distribution of farm operators enumerated in the 1954 Census of Agriculture, by age, is given in Table III-l4 for eight geographic regions. As shown previously, the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force tends to include a disproportionately large number of older persons. In contrast with the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, however, census farm operators in the South Atlantic and East South Central states did not tend to be older than farm operators in other regions. Both the median and average ages of census farm operators in the South Atlantic and East South Central states were lower than the median and average ages of farm operators in the Northeast, West South Central, and Pacific states in 1954. It may be concluded that OASI farm operators generally tend to be older than farm operators enumerated in the Census of Agriculture. This age differential is primarily attributable to the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords in the OASI farm-operator labor force, the incentives for older persons to attempt to qualify for social security benefits, and the omission of extra farm- operator partners from the Census of Agriculture. .0HH .5 .5H ersH "oopsom “onspasonwdomm usesoo .m.0 .osmsoo one no sooasm .m.= .HH .06 .HH .Ho> .meH .5Ho>HpoomooH .onoo5 0. 05 one whoo5 5. H5 one: nonopm oHpooHp< sHuoHS one uooawdm_3oz one :H esopohomo Show How homo owono>< .oHnoHHmponsu .Honpso 50 uopstoHouo .mnod5soz coo onmsmaom ontsaooHn .cmoahuoz 0cm onozoaen mmHosHowms 97 A who 83 0.65. 0.00 N.65 0.50 5.50 5.00 0.50 560 ems omssopH Amhoohm H.65 5.50 5.50 5.50 6.50 0.50 5.50 0.65 some seHoez 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H 6.66H Hosea 5.0H 5.5H 6.5H («.5H 5.5H 5.5H 0.0H 5.0H peso one 50 N.NN 5.5H 6.HN N.5H 5.5H 5.5H 5.6N 0.HN 00 - 55 5.5N 0.0N H.0« 0.0« 5.0« «.0« 0.5« o.0« 05 u 50 5.5« «.5N 5.«N 5.5N o.0« 5.5« 5.5N H.«« 00 u 55 «.HH 5.0H 0.HH 5.«H 5.«H H.0H 5.5H 0.HH 05 u 5« 5.6 5.H 0.H 5.N N.N o.N 5.H 0.H 5N sees: OHHfiowm Gad ago: Hdhpnmo 3.5.200 QOH0W0HD< Hwhwcoo Huh 9530 dpuwmnfioz AoHdOhv sesom 06660 00:60 speoz sunoz 604 one: room some seem nsonoH 0Hnmohwoom psmHo How owe 50 oHspHsOHHw< mo osucoo 455a osp oH wchHoaoH unapohomo Show mo oOHpanhano owspooohomnu.0HIHHH mummy 98 Raga Income differentials between white and nonwhite work- ers indicate that race is an important characteristic of the farm-operator labor force. For example, the median .income of nonwhite males in the rural-farm population was only $408 in 1957 as compared with $1,835 for white males.36 Consequently, it would appear that the income and employment experiences of the nonwhite labor force merit examination. The fact that nonwhite workers tend to have substantially lower earnings than white workers suggests, however, that nonwhite workers may be poorly represented in the OASI farm-operator labor force. Although strictly comparable statistics on the racial composition of the farm-operator labor force are lacking, sufficient information is available to indicate the rela- tive number of nonwhite farm operators. Approximately 10.1 percent of the farm operators enumerated in the 1954 Census of Agriculture were nonwhite workers and nearly all of the nonwhite farm operators were Negroes.37 In comparison, only 1.6 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators included in the 1937-58 Continuous work-History Sample were Negroes. 36U. S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-60, No. 30, Table I7, p. 32. 37U. S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Agricul- ture: 1 , Vol. 11, Ch. 1, Table T, p.048. 01' the 4,782,4 arms counted in the 1954 census, 467,656 were operated by Negroes and 15,994 were operated by other nonwhites. 99 Blank argues that the low social and economic status of Negroes has contributed to the low proportion of Negroes reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage.38 Low earnings would certainly pre- clude the coverage of many Negro farm operators. The Census of Agriculture does not, of course, provide informa- tion on net income from farming; but census data are not inconsistent with the hypothesis that low farm earnings have prevented many Negro farm operators from.receiving social security credits on agricultural self-employment earnings. Although 70 percent of all nonwhite farm- operators reported gross farm sales of $1,200 or more in 1954 as compared with 60 percent of all farm operators,39 about 60 percent of the nonwhite farm operators were ten- ants as opposed to only 20 percent of the white operators.“O Thus, while a higher proportion of nonwhite persons may have operated commercial farms, a much higher percentage of nonwhite farm operators also received only a share of gross farm earnings. Disregarding the differential between net earnings, it would seem that a higher percentage of white than nonwhite farm operators could be expected to 380f. Blank, "OASI Data of the Farm Labor Force," pp e 66'67 e 390.8. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Agricul- ture: 19 , Vol. II, Ch. X, Table I9, pp. 990-991 and EH. XI, able 3, p. 1162. Tabulated by author. hOIbido, Ch. X, Table 3, p. 955- 100 have gross farm earnings sufficient to qualify for social security coverage. The number of nonwhite farm operators declined by 41 percent from 1954 to 1959.1+1 Because of the change in the definition of a farm, the hypothesis that a disproportion- ately large number of nonwhite farm operators was excluded from the 1959 census by the change in definition is sug- gested. Final census reports from 16 southern states“2 indicate that 151,130 places were not counted as farms in 1959 because of the change in definition. Only 28,955 of these places (19.2 percent of the places excluded by the change in definition) were operated by nonwhites."’3 Nonwhites accounted for 20.0 percent of the census farm operators in the South in 1954‘”+ and 16.5 percent in 1959.45 Although the proportion of nonwhites among persons excluded from.the 1959 census because of the change in the defini- tion of a farm was slightly larger than the proportion of nonwhites counted in the census, the substantial reduction in the number of nonwhite farm operators from 1954 to 1959 “lOnly 285,845 nonwhite farm operators were enumerated in the 1959 census. U. 3. Bureau of the Census, U. 8. Census gflAgriculture:12 9, Vol. 1, Parts 1- 48, Table 4, various pages. thncluding Delaware and Maryland. “3U. S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Agricul- ture: 1959, Vol. I, Parts 22- 37, Ta BIe I0, var1ous pages. #50. 3. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of A ricul- ture:125 , Vol. II, Ch. x, Table 6“p.‘9567‘CEIcfiI§tEd‘by author. 55U. S. Bureau of the Census, U. S. Census of Agriculture: _229,'V01. 1, Parts 22- -37, Table 1— and TaEIe 4, various pages. Calculated by author. 101 was apparently caused by the movement of a higher percent- age of nonwhite farm operators off the farm and was not merely the result of changes in the definition of a farm. Only 6.3 percent of the change in the number of nonwhite farm operators from 1954 to 1959 was due to the change in definition. In summary, nonwhite workers accounted for approxi- mately 10.1 percent of the farm operators enumerated in the 1954 Census of Agriculture and 7.7 percent of those enumerated in the 1959 census. Estimates of employed pert sons by occupation and color are not available for 1957 from the Current Population Survey, but about 8.5 percent of the persons employed as farmers and farm managers in 46 Approximately February, 1958, were nonwhite workers. 90 percent of the Negro farm operators included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force were located in the South. Negro farm operators accounted for 8.4 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators in the South Atlantic states, 5.6 percent in the East South Central states, and 2.1 percent in the West Central States. Sex Although farming is generally regarded as an occupa- tion predominantly restricted to males, female workers constituted 6.4 percent of the 1957 OASI farm—operator héU.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation Reports, Series P-57, No. 188 (March, I958), Table I6, p. . 102 labor force. In comparison, an average of 163,000 female workers were included among the 3,304,000 persons classi- fied as self-employed workers in agriculture during the year l957.h7 The number of female workers was equal to 4.9 percent of the total number of self-employed farm workers. About the same proportion of persons who were. classified as farmers and farm managers in 1957 were female workers."8 Females accounted for 7.1 percent of the 4,100,000 income recipients with agricultural self-employment income in 1957.’+9 Relatively fewer females than males reported farm self-employment earnings of $500 or more, and the percentage of females with sufficient income to qualify for agricultural self-employment coverage might thus be expected to be lower than the percentage of‘males able to qualify for coverage. Approximately 66 percent of the female income recipients and 44 Percent of the male income recipients had farm self-employment earnings of less than $500 in 1957, and females accounted for only about 4.5 percent of all persons who received agricultural self- employment income of $500 or more in 1957.50 47U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Po ulation Reports, Series P-50, No. 85 (June, I958), Tab e , p.35. Average of monthly estimates for the calendar year. h81bld., Table 13, pp. 36—37. h9U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-60, No. 30, Table 27, p. 45. 501bid., calculated by author. 103 The relatively higher proportion of female workers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force seems due to the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords in the social security program. Females comprised only 3.4 percent of all persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in each of the years 1955, 1956, and 1957. Among persons with agricultural self-employment coverage for only years after 1955, females accounted for approximately 13 percent. The number of female workers included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force ranged from a low of 5.2 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators in the Northeast and Mountain states to a high of 9.8 percent in the South Atlantic States (Table III-15). Although the dispropor- tionately large number of female farm operators in the South Atlantic and East South Central states is associated with a disproportionately large number of persons in these regions who received their first year of agricultural self- employment coverage after 1955, the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords in the social security program does not seem to account for regional variations in the percentage of female farm operators. Among persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in each of the years 1955, 1956, and.l957, female workers accounted for about 5.6 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators in the South Atlantic states and about 4.2 percent in the East South Cen- tral states as compared with an average of 3.4 percent for all regions. 104 TABLE III-15.--Percentage of male and female workers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, for eight regions and the conterminous United States Male Female Region Farm Operators Farm Operators Northeast 94.8 5.2 East North Central 93.2 6.8 west North Central 94.7 5.3 South Atlantic 90.2 9.8 East South Central 91.7 8.3 West South Central 94.5 5.5 Mountain 94.8 5.2 Pacific 93.9 6.1 All regions 93.6 6.4. Note: Estimated from.eample data. Source: 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. CHAPTER IV THE OFF-FARM EMPLOYMENT OF FARM OPERATORS Estimates of the number of farm operators working off the farm and the aggregate off—farm earnings of farm oper- ators suggest that multiple jobholding is an important characteristic of the farm—operator labor force. Detailed information indicative of the scope and nature of off- farm work by farm operators has not been available on the national level. The primary purpose of this chapter is to examine statistics concerning the number of farm opera- tors working off the farm and to determine the comparabil- ity of multiple-jobholding data from OASI records with those provided from other sources. Chapter V will then deal with the characteristics of multiple jobholders in the farm-operator labor force and the general hypothesis that significant differences exist between the character— istics of single and multiple jobholders. In addition to data taken from OASI employment records, aggregate data on the off-farm employment of farm operators is available from three sources: (1) the Census of Agriculture, (2) special sample surveys undertaken by the Department of Agriculture, and (3) the Current Popula- tion Survey conducted by the Bureau of the Census. 105 106 Although studies of local areas are numerous, these are the only major sources of aggregate statistics on the off-farm work of farm people. Any estimate of the number of farm operators working off the farm is meaningful only with reference to the farm- operator labor force to which it relates. This is clearly demonstrated in comparing estimates from the Census of Agriculture, the Current Population Survey, and the Con- tinuous work-History Sample. Apart from problems of sampling variability and errors of response or reporting, differ- ences occur in estimates of off-farm work because of differ- ences in the farm-operator labor force represented by the estimates and differences in the operational definition of off-farm work. Census 23 Agriculture The coverage and definitions of the Census of Agricul- ture were discussed in the preceding chapter. Despite its lack of detail, the Census of Agriculture does provide useful information concerning the number of farm operators who work off the farm. Moreover, additional information relating to the off-farm employment and income of farm operators, as defined in the Census of Agriculture, is alailable from special sample surveys. Typg‘g§_Estimates The 1954 and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture included four items concerning off-farm work and other income. The 107 following questions were asked of a sample of farm operators1 in the 1954 census: 1. How many days this year did you work off your farm? 2. Did any other member of your family living with you have a nonfarm job, business, pro- fession, or work on someone else's farm this year? 3. Have you any income this year from any of the following sources--sale of products from land rented out, cash rent, boardas,old-age assistance, pensions, veterans' allowances, unemployment compensation, interest, dividends, profits from nonfarm business, and help from members of your family? 4. Will the income which you and your family received from work off the farm and from other sources . . . be greater than the total value of all agricultural products 2 sold or to be sold from your place this year? Off-farm work was defined to include work at a nonfarm job, business, profession, or on someone else's farm. Exchange work was specifically excluded. Since the census was com- pleted before the end of the calendar year, farm operators were asked to include the number of days which they expect- ed to work off the farm before the end of the year. The 1959 Census of Agriculture included similar ques- tions on off-farm work and other income; however these 1The sample consisted of certain specified farms plus 20 percent of all remaining farms. For elaboration of the sampling procedure see U. S. Bureau.of the Census, QpS. Census pf Agriculture: 1954, Vol. II, pp. xix-xx. 21bid., p. 1371. 108 questions were asked of all farm operators in 1959 while the estimates for 1954 were based on the responses of a sample of farm operators. No information was obtained in either census concerning the kind of off-farm work done by farm operators and family members or the amount of income received from off-farm sources. A special Survey of Farmers' Expenditures was con- ducted jointly by the Department of Agriculture and Bureau of the Census in 1955. Although the major objective of the survey was to collect information concerning the pro- duction and living expenditures of farm-operator families, some data indicative of the sources and amounts of off- farm income of farm-operator families were obtained. The definitions used in the sample survey were the same as those of the 1954 Census of Agriculture, and the sample was designed to correspond with the coverage of the 1954 census.3 Family income questions were included in the second of two questionnaires used in the survey. Esti- mates of the amount of off-farm income received by farm- operator families were based on data from a total of 3,985 schedules representing the conterminous United States. 3For a discussion of the procedures and definitions of the survey see U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census pf Agriculture: 1954, Vol. III, Part 11, pp.-I:4. Income statistics derive rom the survey can be found in this report and in the following: (1) U.S. Department of Agri- culture, Farmers' Expenditures in 1 p1 Re ions, Statis- tical BulIetin No. 224, April, 195 ; and (25 H. O. Halcrow, "Part-Time Farming," Ch. VIII of U.S. Bureau of the Census, Q;§. Census pf Agriculture: 1254, Vol. III, Part 9. 109 The survey provided data on the amount of off-farm income received by the farm operator from each of the following sources: 1. 2. 3. h. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. lo. 11. 12. Farm custom work; Farm trucking and hauling; Nonfarm business; Farm work for wages or salary; Nonfarm work for wages or salary; Rental of farm real estate; Rental of nonfarm real estate; Boomers and boarders; Interest, dividends, trust funds, or royalties; Veterans' pensions and compensation, veterans' school allotment, or servicemen's family allot- ment; Retirement pay, unemployment compensation, old-age pension, annuities, alimony, regular contributions, or welfare received; and Any other personal income. Separate estimates of aggregate off-farm income from both farm and nonfarm sources were derived for the wife and for other family members. Published estimates from the survey include aggregate income from each of the sources listed above for the United States and major geographic regions and for the United States by economic class of farm. No information was tab- ulated on the type of off-farm job or business from which off-farm earnings were received, and no estimates of the 110 distribution of off-farm income among persons with income from specified sources were provided. Number 9; Multiple Jobholders The most recent census report on part-time farming notes that "farm operators who work at other occupations simultaneously with some farming have increased substan- tially in terms of percentages."4 The 1930 Census of Agri- culture found that three out of ten farm operators worked off the farm one day or more in 1929; whereas, by 1954, nearly one-half of the farm operators enumerated in the Census of Agriculture reported some off-farm work.5 Fur- thermore, during the period from 1929 to 1954 the propor- tion of farm operators working off the farm 100 days or more increased from 11.5 percent to 28.5 percent.6 In the 1954 Census of Agriculture approximately 2.2 million farm operators (45.0 percent of all farm operators) reported some off-farm employment during the calendar year.7 Of the farm operators working off the farm in 1954, 38.1 percent worked at off-farm jobs on 1 to 99 days, and 61.9 percent worked off the farm on 100 or more days.8 It has “Halcrow, "Part-Time Farming," p. 7. 51bid. 61bid. 7U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census pf Agriculture: 1255, Vol. 11, Ch. 11, Table 26, pp. 152-153. 31bid., pp. 152-154. Tabulated by author. 111 been noted that in the Census of Agriculture one person per farm is designated as the farm operator without regard to primary occupation. Because of the relatively low gross sales and acreage limits required for a place to be counted as a farm, the census includes a large number of small farms which do not provide full-time employment for the operator. Consequently, a substantial number of farm operators, as defined in the census, are actually employed in nonfarm jobs on what is normally considered to be a full-time basis and depend only to a very limited extent upon farming as a source of income. Casual observation suggests that the percentage of farm operators working off the farm varies inversely with the scale of the farm operation. Census estimates of the number and percentage of farm operators working off the farm in 1954 by gross farm sales clearly support this hypothesis. The percentage of farm operators working off the farm in 1954 ranged from a low of 20.2 percent for operators of farms with gross sales of $25,000 or more to a high of 65.4 percent for operators of farms with gross sales of less than $250 (Table IV-l). The relation of the percentage of farm operators working 100 days or more off the farm.to gross farm sales is equally apparent. Nearly 28 percent of all farm operators worked off the farm 100 days or more in 1954, but the percentage ranged from less than 8 percent for operators of farms with gross 112 sales of $10,000 or more to around 56 percent for operators of farms with gross sales of less than $250 (Table IV-2). Approximately two-thirds of all farm operators working off the farm 100 days or more in 1954 operated farms with gross sales of less than $1,200. The most recent data on off-farm employment are pro- vided by the 1959 Census of Agriculture. Final census reports for the conterminous United States indicate that approximately 1.7 million farm operators (44.9 percent of all farm operators) worked off the farm in 1959.9 Among farm operators with off-farm employment in 1959, about 33.5 percent worked off the farm on,l to 99 days and about 66.5 percent worked off the farm on 100 days or more.10 Approx- imately the same percentage of farm operators in the con— terminous United States worked off the farm in 1959 as in 1954, but a higher percentage worked at off-farm jobs on 100 days or more in 1959 than in 1954. Because of the change in the definition of a farm, however, comparisons of estimates for 1954 and 1959 are not strictly valid. When operators of places not counted as farms in 1959 because of the change in definition are included, about 46.2 percent of all farm operators (as defined in 1954) . 9U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 2; Agricul- ture: 1 , Vol. I, parts 1-48, Table 17, various pages. Calculate y author. Excludes operators of Abnormal farms. loIbid., Calculated by author. Excludes operators of Abnormal farms. 113 In .1:..moaa .e .s capes Ha .eo HH .Ho>_ «wml. .ouao nasoaum¢ mo nausea .m.o .msncoo on» Hoeaaensm .m. : Bonn nonmasoawo .ooudom .mmmao :ofipwasmom on» a“ whopmnomo Show Haw mo ommpcooaom e no snow esp mmo wcwxnoz unopwhomo enema .nahmm Hmsuocn< mo myopmpomo wdwuzdowmm o.ws o.ooa asmsmma. Hesse ~.o~ m.H Hmolem shoe to ooo.m~ ~.sa a.“ mom.ana see.s~ - ooo.ea N.Hm ~.0H mmm.o- smm.o - ooo.m m.om a.ma Hmo.mm~ mmm.s - acm.m a.m¢ a.ma Nmp.¢mm ®m¢.~ I oo~.a a.mm s.o~ Hem.ssm sea.s - ems. a.mo s.o~ ma~.ssm ohm ens» snug nlllllm:acaompow ommpaoonmm hops: Annmaaonq can pass mo ovum demon on» HMO axh03.nhopmho o naom uponcoum Show Ho odaa> E 4mma .mopmum .vopana msonaahopmoe onp_uom caom mposuomm_sham mo odam> hp spam on» mmo mcaxnoz unopmnomo spawns. H >H mqm .mwma Honduasofinm¢ mm ndnemo .m.: .050200 on» Mo swondm .m.: Scum ooumHSono ”monsom .mfihwm Haemocp< Mo muopwhomo mnwusaoxmm 0.0m 0.00H 0Hs.mmm.a House 0.0 0.0 004.0H once to 000.00 s.0 0.0 00H.mm 000.00 - 000.0H 0.0a s.0 000.00 000.0 - 000.0 0.0a 0.0 00N.Hma 000.0 - 000.0 s.sm 0.sH 000.00H 000.0 - 00~.H n.0m 0.00 000.00s 00H.H - 000 0.00 0.00 000.000 000 none more meanaomnow ommpmoopod mwmmmz AmmmHHonv caeaoasz we seem magma on» who meaxhoz muoumhomo Uaom nauseoum Spam Mo 05Hm> smma .mopmpm ocean: msocfisuopcoo on» now .0Hom mposuoum show no osaa> up whoa so 0000 ooa sham one Hmo wcaxuoz muopwuomo ahmmuu.mn>H mqm .ba 0Hn0s .wJIH apnea .H .Ho> admmoo .m.s .msmcoo on» mo smondm .m.: Bonn 0090H=oa0o "meadow .msh0m H0Euocn< mo mnopmuomo wca0saoxmm 0.00 0.00 000.000.m annoy 0.0 0.00 000.000 ones he 000.00 0.0 0.00 000.000 000.00 - 000.00 0.0 0.00 000.000 000.00 - 000.00 0.00 0.00 000.000 000.0 . 000.0 0.00 0.00 000.000 000.0 . 000.0 0.00 0.00 000.000.H 000.0 - 00 onmlxno 0000 who: no >0 . mmuop0nmmo Anh0aaonw Hawk on» mac 00x90; whogwuo 0 mo 0 0peoonom mo ponEdz 0Hom mpos0oum 890m Mo 05H0> omma .mop0pm 00900» msocfieuopcoo map you .0Hom muos0oum sh0m mo 05H0> hp egos ho 0000 OOH 0:0 ones no 000 H ah0m on» umo meaxuos unop0uoao 5&09 mo om0pcoonom 0:0 anopwhomo Hymn mo nonsszsu.mn>H mqm_.0wmm “ouspasoaawd Ho 000200 .m.D .050000 0:» mo smehsm .m.= Scam 0000050H00 "oonsom .wqfi0eson mo 0000009 000000 00 000 pom 00E 0H0000n “00oz .mpop0uomo 00000000000 mppxm mafi0daocH0 0004000 00Wq000.0 0000000 00oo0 000.00 000000 000.00 mess to 000.00 000.00 000.00 000.00 000.00 - 000.00 000.00 000.000 000.00 000.0 - 000.0 000.00 000.000 000.00 000.0 - 000.0 000.00 000.000 000.00 000.0 - 000.0 000.00 000.000 000.000 000.0 . 000 000.00 000.000 000.000 000 seen snag pcmamoamam Annmmwonwi unoahoamsm 0m03 suwm emu: sudmnoz mmocfimsm summaoz 0Hom 00000oum 300m mo 00H0> mmoa .00p0pm 00000: 000:08A000o0 0:0.pom .0H00 00000000 8000 no 00H0> 09 0000000 000M00000 8099 080000 800mammo wca>000ou 0000000000 800% no nonazzun.0u>H mgm55m mama 09p scum 0000 005500 w5005wax0 50 0005 500p005mom 00000050|5hwm 09» mo 000050000 00900095055 050 0I>H 00909 5000 0000050000 “0055om .050000000 00905050500 00050 w5005005H0 0.0 0.00 n.mx 000005000 004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0000 00 000.00 0.0 0.00 0.0 000.00 - 000.00 0.0 0.00 . 0.0 000.0 - 000.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 000.0 . 000.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 000.0 - 000.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 000.0 - 000. 0.0 0.00 0.00 000 0000 0000 H505N0095m Annmadonm p5050oaa5m 0w03 5500 0m03.500m5oz 0005005m 5000502 000m 09050050 5505 mo 0500> mmma .00000m 00005: 050505500500 090 now .0000 00050050 5509 no 0500» 09 0005500 000000050 5050 050050 55001900 w50>00005 00000 9000 509003 0000000050 500% mo 0wwn5ooummau.ma>H mqmde 120 business. With reference to value of farm products sold, the percentage of farm operators with off-farm earnings from nonfarm.businesses and from farm wage employment sug- gests no consistent relationship between the rate of nonfarm self-employment or the rate of farm wage employment and size of farm.. There is exhibited, however, a tendency for the percentage of farm operators with nonfarm wage employment to vary inversely with the amount of gross farm sales},+ Estimates of the off-farm employment of commercial farm operators are available only for the last decade.‘ In 1949 approximately 25.1 percent of the operators of farms with gross sales of $2,500 or more worked off the. farm.15 The proportion of commercial farm operators with off-farm employment increased to 31.6 percent in l95h16 and to 34.3 percent in 1959.17 The increasing rate of off-farm employment among commercial farm operators over the past decade has been associated with an increase in the proportion of farm operators working off the farm 100 1“It should be noted that these estimates include extra farm-operator partners. 150.8. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census g£_A ricul- ture: 195 , Vol. II, Ch. XI, Table 2, p. llhh and p. 6. Calculate by author. 16Ibid. Calculated by author. l7U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 2: Agricul- ture: 1959, Vol. I, Parts l-h8, Table 17, various pages. Calculated by author. 121 days or more. Among commercial farm operators with off- farm employment, approximately 3h.h percent worked off the farm 100 days or more in 191+9.l8 In 1954 approximately 37.2 percent of all commercial farm operators reporting off-farm employment worked off the farm on 100 days or more;19 and, by 1959, about 49.3 percent of the commercial farm operators working off the farm reported 100 days or more of off-farm employment.20 In summary, the participation of farm operators in the off-farm labor force increased from a rate of 26.8 per- cent of all farm operators in 1944 to hh.9 percent in 1959, and the percentage of farm operators working off the farm 100 days or more increased from 23.3 percent in 19A4 to 29.8 percent in 1959.21 Most of the increase in the off- farm employment of farm operators occurred in the immediate post-war period. By 1949, 38.8 percent of all farm opera- 22 tors reported some off-farm employment. Because of the 18U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 3; A ricul- ture: 1951., Vol. II, Ch. x1, Table—2T pT‘IIII and—LEM. . calculated by author. 19gggg, ,Calculated by author. 20U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 9: Agricul- ture: 1222, Vol. I, Parts l-h8, Table 17, various pages. Calculated by author. 21Estimates for l9hh are from U.S. Bureau of the Cen- sus, U.S. Census 9£_A riculture: 1 , Vol. II, Ch. II, Table-26, p. l§3 and Eh. ll, Table , p. 1168. Estimates for 1959 were calculated from U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 2; Agriculture: 1959, Vol. I, Parts 1-48, Table I7: various pages. The estimates are not strictly compar- able because of the change in the definition of a farm. 22U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census g§_Agricul- ture: l9§ , Vol. II, Ch. II, Table 26, p. I55. 122 low acreage and gross sales requirements which must be met for a place to qualify as a farm, it is not surprising that a large number of farm operators work off the farm. Even among commercial farm operators, however, a substan- tial number of individuals depend upon off-farm employment as a source of current earnings. The apparent trend toward more off-farm employment, particularly among the operators of commercial farms, sug- gests that increasing off-farm employment opportunities accompanied by low farm incomes (relative to nonfarm in- comes) in recent years have resulted in an expansion of the multiple-jobholding segment of the farm-operator labor force. It is not clear, however, that a high rate of multiple jobholding among farm operators reflects more than a temporary stage of adjustment in American agricul- ture. Low farm incomes have no doubt led many farm oper- ators to seek supplementary earnings from off-farm sources. However, there has also occurred during the post-war period substantial migration of farm operators from agriculture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. To the extent that multiple jobholding serves as an inter- mediate step in moving from full-time employment in agri- culture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector, the increase in off-farm employment of farm opera- tors may be indicative of the failure of the nonagricul- tural sector to provide full-time employment for the large 123 numbers of people attempting to leave agriculture. Cross- sectional data, such as those provided by the Census of Agriculture, provide little information.with which to test the general hypothesis that off-farm employment is impor- tant not only as a temporary means of supplementing low farm earnings or a permanent occupational arrangement but also as a transitional stage in migrating from agriculture to the nonagricultural sector. Current Population Survey Although labor force statistics based upon the Current Population Survey represent an unduplicated count of em- ployed persons, special studies of multiple jobholding have been made annually since 1956. These studies provide additional informationon the number of farm operators with off-farm employment. Type_2£_Estimates The definitions and procedures of the Current Popula- tion Survey have already been discussed. Although labor force estimates from the Current Population Survey relate to employed persons classified by occupation and industry in which they worked the greatest number of hours, some information on multiple jobholding is available. Beginning with the year 1956, supplementary data on persons holding more than one job have been collected during one of the 124 monthly surveys in each year.23 Estimates based upon these data are useful for two reasons. First, as shown in Chapter III, they provide an indication of the number of persons who are classified in nonagricultural indus- tries with reference to primary jobs but who are also employed in agricultur on a part-time basis. Second, they provide estimates of the number of farm operators who simultaneously work both on and off the farm and give some indication of the kinds of off-farm jobs held by farm operators. For the purpose of providing estimates of multiple jobholding, detailed information on the number and type of all jobs held by persons included in the regular Cur- rent Population Survey is collected. Since questions concerning the labor force status of members of sample households relate to a specified one-week period, only persons holding two or more jobs during the survey week are classified as multiple jobholders. In general, multi- ple jobholders are defined as persons included in one of the three following categories: 23Estimates relating to multiple jobholding in the years 1950, 1956, 1957, and 1958 are given in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Re orts, Series P-SO, No. 30 (March lT—‘ITI, 5 ), No. 74 (A—RI‘pri , I957), No. 80 (February, 1958), and No. 88 (April, 1959), respectively. More recent estimates are available in Gertrude Bancroft, “Multiple Jobholders in December 1959," U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, S ecial Labor Force Reports, No. 9 (October, 1960); ang in JacobScHiffman, "Multiple Job- holders in December 1960," U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Special Labor Force Reports, No. 18 (October, 1961). 125 1. Individuals who hold jobs as wage or salary workers with two or more employers; 2. Individuals who are self-employed and also hold at least one job as a wage or salary worker; and 3. Individuals whose primary job is that of unpaid family worker but who hold a secondary job as a wage or salary worker. Persons holding secondary jobs as unpaid family workers are not counted as multiple jobholders. In addition, persons whose primary job is that of self-employed worker are not counted as multiple jobholders if their secondary job con- sists of additional farm or nonfarm self-employment. Thus, for example, self-employed workers in agriculture are classified as multiplejobholders only if they hold second- ary jobs as wage or salary workers. Therefore, estimates of the off-farm employment of farm operators based upon the Current Population Survey are less inclusive, in terms of the number and kinds of off-farm jobs held, than are esti- mates from the Census of Agriculture. Number of Multiple Jobholders 3 Estimates based upon the July 1956 Current Population Survey included 3.7 million persons with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture (Table IV-6). Of this number, 402,000 persons (10.9 percent of all self-employed workers in agriculture) also held secondary jobs during the survey week. In addition to persons with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture, 626,000 persons 126 ul|||.|||||. .mthoz .mptommm oopom ponmq HmHoomm .mOHpmempm poem 0 :mmhsm .m. D DODH hmmsmoma 2H mpmvHospow mHmeHsz GMEHHHsom noomw new .0 .oz .mppomom venom popmg HwHom m .moHpmempm honmq mo dmmpsm .m. : .mmmH nonsmomm :H mpouHonnow mHmeHsz amonocmm ovdpppmu 8099 cam ”mmmmH HHhaH. mm .02 use .HmmoH .Htmstnmev om .oz :emmH HHtmav He .02 cm m mmemm mayo mm COHpdeme pnmnuso .mdmcmo one mo smmmdm .m. a Scam umpmHsono .oopSOm .HHmzmm use mammHH oesHoaH OQOH hoe mmpmaHpmmm o.OOH N.HH m.o m.mm, oomH umpsmomm o.ooH a.mH H.o o.mb omoH mongoose o.OOH 0.HH 0.H 0.0m mmmH sHsH o.QOH 0.HH H.@ 0.55 HHOH HHse o.oon, m.eH m.@ «.05 mmoH eHse compsnwhpmmm ommucmoummH 000 wme. m oceamms ooo mom ooo Immmm oomH umesmomm ooo mom m 000 mHm ooo 00H ooo :Omm m mmaH nonemomm 000 .045. m 000 mme 000 How ooo Isms m mmoH eHsH coo .050. H ooP 0mm ooP mmm ooP NQH m emmH HHsH ooolmmm e 000 ems coo NOH ooo mom m mmmH HHss mcompmm,wmhoHae o ampedz endeSoHpm< mmeHozpow mpouHonpow :H mpmxnoz onSpHsoHumd onHpHQE. mammwm vomonsmumHom :H mpmxpoz UmHOHQam oASpHSoHAw¢ :H Meow was sumo: mm mpow :sz IHHmm mm meow Hem muoxpoz UmmonemnHHmm mm mcompom HH< nucoomm 29H: mcomsmm meow HnmsHum anz mcompmm Htluflllt 111-F hi!“ oomH30mmH .mopmpm cmpHCD msocHapmpcoo map pom .onspHSoHnwm cH unexpok UwHwHQEoanmm mm mQOn Humvcooom no mpmerm ngz mcomummau.ou>H mqmoo an ntopgtogo stem HmH mamas HIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 134 than two sources accounted for only 2.6 percent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. Estimates of the rate of multiple jobholding among farm operators vary with both the labor force represented by the estimates and the definition of off-farm work. As noted previously, approximately 45 percent of all farm operators enumerated in the 1954 and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture reported some off-farm work. No estimates of the kinds of off—farm work done are available from published census reports, but estimates from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures indicate that about 6.8 percent of all farm operators (including extra partnership operators) worked for others at agricultural jobs, 30.2 percent worked for others at nonagricultural jobs, and 9.3 percent had income from nonfarm self-employment.25 The rate of multiple jobholding among operators of commercial farms (i.e. farms with gross sales of $2,500 or more) is lower than for operators of noncommercial farms. It was indicated above that, for commercial farm operators, 31.6 percent in 1954 and 34.3 percent in 1959 reported off-farm employment in the Census of Agriculture. The 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures found that 6.3 percent of all commercial farm operators worked for others 250alculated from U. 8. Bureau of the Census,U .8. Census of Agriculture: 1954, Vol. III, Part 11, Table 8, p. 49 and Table I2, p. SI and from unpublished estimates of the 1955 farm-operator labor force used in expanding data from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures. 135 at agricultural jobs in 1955, 21.0 percent worked for others at non-agricultural jobs, and 6.3 percent had in- comes from nonagricultural self-employment.26 Estimates of multiple jobholding from the July 1957 Current Population Survey indicated that, among persons with either primary or secondary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture, 22.4 percent of the farm-operator labor force had off-farm wage employment during the sur- veyweek.27 An estimated 18 percent of all persons with primary or secondary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture had nonfarm wage or salary employment, and 4.4 percent worked on other farms for wages or salaries.28 The disparity between the multiple-jobholding rates esti- mated from the July 1957 survey and the rates estimated from the 1955 Expenditure Survey presumably reflect differ- ences between the percentage of farm operators with off- farm employment during a given week and total participa- tion of farm operators in the off-farm labor force over the period of an entire year. The I957 OASI farm operator labor force corresponds generally with the labor force represented by Census of Agriculture data on the operators of farms with gross 26Ibid. Calculated by author. 27U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-50, No. 80. Calculated by author. 231bid. Calculated by author. 136 sales of 82,500 or more. Moreover, estimates of multiple jobholding among 1957 OASI farm operators seem to corre- spond, within the limitations of the social security pro- gram, with estimates for commercial farm operators from the 1954 and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture and the 1955 Expenditure Survey. Assuming that all persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force qualify as commercial farm operators, certain differences between estimates for the commercial farm-operator labor force and estimates for the OASI farm-operator labor force are to be anticipated because of the procedures and regula- tions affecting OASI employment data. Nearly all kinds of off-farm work in which farm operators might be engaged are covered by the social security program, but income restrictions would affect a small percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage employment. Persons report- ing self-employment earnings for social security coverage are to combine net earnings from all types of self- employment enterprises. Thus, estimates of the percentage of persons with nonfarm self-employment for the commercial farm-operator labor force and for the OASI farm-operator labor force should be comparable. Ignoring the inclusion of materially participating farm landlords, estimates of the over-all rate of multiple jobholding from OASI records should therefore be slightly lower than estimates based upon all off-farm employment regardless of the level of off-farm earnings. 137 In addition to the failure of OASI records to iden- tify as multiple jobholders persons with wage earnings below the level required for social security coverage, a second factor also affects estimates of the over-all rate of multiple jobholding based upon OASI records. Even if all individuals included in the OASI farm-operator labor force qualified as commercial farm operators, a small number of commercial farm operators would not be included as OASI farm operators because they would have received maximum coverage on the basis of off-farm.wage earnings. This factor would have the effect of reducing moderately the number of commercial farm operators includ- ed in the OASI farm-operator labor force and of reducing disproportionately the number of commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment who would be classified as OASI farm operators. The effect of the limitations of OASI employment data are perhaps best illustrated by comparing the covered off-farm employment of 1957 OASI farm operators and the off-farm employment of the farm-operator labor force rep- resented by estimates from the 1955 Expenditure Survey. Let us assume, for purposes of comparison, that 2,200,000 farm operators (including extra partnership operators) were involved with the operation of commercial farms in 1957. Estimates of the off-farm employment of commercial farm operators are given in Table IV-8. 138 . .oHasmm myopmHmuxnoB usoschsoo mmunmoH onp Bonn oopstnwe .bmmH :H Show Ho coHpmoOH wchpoaon nos mcomuom wcHosHocH sumo onsmm no women mopmsHpmmuu¢ .Hoo .mn>H oHnwe song topmHsonouum .Hoo .mn>H oHnma Bonn cop¢H50Hmoau~ .Hou .HI>H mHnma Song oopmHsonouuH .Hoo "condom .onos no 00m.~# Ho mmHom macaw 39H: omonp mm vmcHHoo ohm ushmm HmHouoeaoo "opoz oHanHm>m pozu N.@ m m.o a pnoshonso umHom summsos HH¢ H.o~ a 0.HN m paws uhOHmao own: ahwmcoz m.N m m.© m puma Imonso owe: Sham 0.HN a m m psmamoHQSo own: shamummo HH< m.om m.¢m m 0.Hm puma uHOHmso summummo HH< lav va ANH HHM ummH mmmH mmmH 4mmH .unopmhomo .msnwm HMHopmssoo .nsamm HmHonoaaoo .mshmm HmHohoaaoo psoEHonsm summnmmo spam H30 .Ho muopwummo . tHno mpopmpmmo Jmo E3933 _ omoH new .nmoH .mmoH .emoH .nopnpm empHeo naoaHeaopeoo on» you .pnoahonao shamnmmo ngz unopmnomo sash mo omapsmonomnu.mu>H mum .bH.oHnme .wle nahwm .H .Ho> .mme "oMSpHsonw¢.Mm msmcoo .m.: .usmcoo on» no smonsm .m.: Eon .LmopMHamma-nHIoem m .Hoo .mmH-~mH .aa .om mHome .HH .eo .HH .Ho> . me noaapHaoHa a mo msmcoo .m.: .mSmeoo on» no smousm .m.: Scam vopmHsanuum new H .Hoo “monsom .meumm Hmeaosnd mo myopmummo meHosHoxmn .meumm sthocn< mo nuopmhmao wcHosHoCHm m.o~ o.ea a.mm 0.HH meonma HHH o.oa «.Hm H.oa a.mw, oHoHcmm o.o~ H.me o.mm m.o¢ :Hmpoaos a.mm e.oe H.Hm o.we Hmapoco groom one: o.om n.oe a.mm e.ea Hmnpemo groom poem m.~m H.oa H.Hm m.ea oHoomeH epaom o.mH a.mm m.mH a.mm Hoppeoo epaoz poo; :.Hm m.©¢ 4.0m 0.0: Hwnpcoo spuoz puma a.mm c.5e o.om o.oe onmocpnoz egos wwvmmmn 00H who: wmwzmm H onofivwwvmzmm 00H» who: wwyhmm H eonom HmmowwwxwwzeMMWQMmeo mmwdwmmxwwzmmwwpwmwao omoH com emoH .mmpopm ompHeo msoeHshmpsoo on» one meonoh pano mom .mhoe no ammo OOH cam onoe ho hue H Show on» mmo wcHxnoz mnopmuomo Show Ho owmpemopmmun.Hn> mum .bH oHnme .man magma .H .Ho> .ooosHoXo ohm mapmm Hmenoen< Ho muopmuomo "opoz m.am m.ea c.oH a.mm o.o~ H.Hm e.wm, a.mm mconca HH< m.omn «.Hm o.mH o.m~ a.mmw m.oe “.mn (m.Hm, oHMHomm N.HH H.me a.oH o.HN m.om N.N: a.mm o.no choeaoz m.mm n.oe a.mH a.mm N.HH 5.Ha o.me m.om Hmapdoo groom one; ~.om e.oa H.m~ e.Hm o.mm a.mm m.mm o.Nm Hmepomo spoom pnmm N.Hm ¢.oe a.mm 0.0” m.~m H.mm m.om o.mm oHpeme4 spsom m.a~ a.mm H.aH m.~a a.ma m.aa a.mm a.mm Homeeee entoz new; m.nm m.o¢ m.mm a.mm H.mm >.um m.me o.mo Hosanna eppoz pmmm N.Hm c.54 m.m~ e.am a.mm m.om o.ne n.no unmoepaoz muopmaomo neopmnomo once mommmm mmo.oH ooono moo.e omeqm eonmm Sham. Shah AC 09. On... On. . OP _ OP . HchamaWoo HH< ooo.oNAmoowHom. woowmwo.wmmnwumwomwmoo mm mmmH .mopmpm vopHsm msocHShopcoo on» now .:0Hwon 0H£mmhwoom new oHom uposooum snow 90 osHm> pom HHoo :oHpmHsmom :ngHz encumpoao Show HHm mo omwpcoouom m am Show on» mmo mequoz whopwhomo sawhnn.mn> mqmda 152 in the remainder of this chapter are thus based upon a sample of 6,175 multiple jobholders included among an over—all sample of 20,868 individuals with covered self- employment earnings from agricultural sources in the year 1957- Variations in the location of farm operators with off-farm earnings in 1957, as compared with the location of persons with only agricultural self-employment earn- ings, are reflected by the percentage rates of multiple jobholding shown in Table V-3. These rates express the number of multiple jobholders as a percentage of all 1957 OASI farm operators. For the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, the rate of multiple jobholding ranged from a low of 24.8 percent in the West North Central states to a high of 35.8 percent in the Pacific states. As compared with the rate of multiple jobholding for commercial farm operators in 1959 (Table V-2), the estimated rates for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force differ from the census rates by more than 2 percentage points in only four of the eight regions. Most notable of these differences are those for the East North Central and East South Cen- tral states, in which the 1959 census rates exceeded the rates for the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force by 8.9 percentage points and 6.3 percentage points, respectively. Part of the difference between census data and OASI esti- mates can, of course, be attributed to sampling varia- bility and to changes in off-farm employment patterns in 153 TABLE V-3.--Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States Estimated Rate of Region Multiple Jobholding_ Northeast 33.7 East North Central 28.4 West North Central 24.8 South Atlantic 32.7 East South Central 29.9 West South Central 34.9 Mountain 35.2 Pacific 35.3 All regions 29.6 Source: See Appendix V. the period from 1957 to 1959. In addition, however, the disparity between census rates of off—farm employment in 1959 and multiple-jobholding rates for 1957 OASI farm operators may be largely due to the uneven geographic distribution of farm operators with off-farm wage earnings of $4,200 or more and of farm.operators with off-farm wage earnings below the level required for social security coverage. Despite differences between census statistics and estimates relating to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, it is apparent that the percentage of farm operators 154 with off-farm employment tends to vary among the major geographic regions of the country. For persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, multiple job- holding was less common in the East North Central, West North Central, and East South Central states than in the five regions constituting the remainder of the contermin- ous United States. Persons with covered earnings from off-farm sources did, however, account for no less than about one-fourth of all 1957 OASI farm operators within each of the eight major geographic regions. Agg For several reasons the age of multiple jobholders in the farm-operator labor force and the age of farm operators with earnings from only agricultural self- employment may be expected to differ substantially. First, multiple jobholding may be associated with persons who are attempting to supplement low farm earnings and to accumulate additional capital in the course of becoming established in agriculture on a full-time basis. Persons working off the farm f0r this reason would generally be expected to be in the younger age groups. Second, multi- ple jobholding may be associated with the process of mov- ing from full-time employment in agriculture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. Finally, multi- ple jobholding may be associated with the long-run occupa- tional pattern of persons who operate small farms while 155 relying upon off-farm employment as their main source of livelihood. Most of the persons included in the latter category are presumably included among the operators of noncommercial farms. Although multiple jobholding may constitute a long-range occupational pattern for some com- mercial farm operators, the declining income of farm peo- ple relative to the income of nonfarm people over the past decade suggests that part-time farming is more closely associated with the efforts of farm people to maintain or improve family income levels. The high rate of migration from farms in recent years suggests the additional explanation that off—farm employ- ment is serving as an intermediate step in moving from full-time employment in agriculture to eventual full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. The number of farm operators has declined substantially over the last decade, but most of the decrease has occurred among the operators of noncommercial farms. The number of commer- cial farm operators decreased by less than 2 percent dur- ing the period from 1954 to 1959. Although information indicative of the extent to which persons have shifted from the commercial farm-operator labor force to the non- farm labor force is lacking, the number of commercial farm operators who have completed the process of moving from agriculture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector may be relatively small as compared with the number 156 of farm operators who rely upon off-farm employment as a means of supplementing low farm earnings but who do not envisage migration from agriculture. Regardless of the objectives of farm operators who work off the farm, it seems reasonable to expect that mul- tiple jobholding among farm operators is predominantly associated with persons in the younger age groups. Farm operators who rely upon off-farm employment as a method of supplementing low farm earnings may tend to be younger than single jobholders because of the greater difficulties with which older farm operators are confronted in seeking off-farm work. Use of offrfarm earnings to increase the rate of capital accumulation may tend to be confined principally to younger farm operators. Furthermore, the presumably greater reluctance of older farm operators to attempt a permanent change in occupation would also tend to result in the inclusion of a disproportionately high percentage of younger farm operators among those to whom off-farm employment is a transitional step in moving to full-time employment in the nonfarm sector. At least one factor, however, may tend to offset partially a preponderance of younger farm operators among multiple jobholders in the farm-operator labor force. That factor is the incidence of individuals, among multi- ple jobholders, with off-farm earnings from nonfarm self- employment. An employment pattern consisting of a combina- tion of agricultural and nonagricultural self-employment 157 may be most common among persons who have used capital accumulated in one business, either farm or nonfarm, to become established in a second business. It is reason- able to expect that such persons may tend to be older than single jobholders in the farm-operator labor force. The number of multiple jobholders with both farm and nonfarm self-employment is not large; and, although mul- tiple jobholders with self-employment earnings from both farm and nonfarm sources may tend to be older than single jobholders, it remains reasonable to hypothesize that the percentage rate of multiple jobholding is higher among farm operators in the younger age classes. Estimates of the rate of multiple jobholding by age class are given in Table V-4. It is clearly evident that the rate of multiple jobholding in the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force tended to be disproportionately high among farm operators in the younger age classes. The median age of multiple jobholders was 47.0 years as com- pared with 54.2 years for persons with covered earnings from only agricultural self-employment in 1957. Approx- imately 24 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators without off-farm earnings were 65 years of age or more. In con- trast, only 11 percent of all multiple jobholders were in this age class. As shown in Table V-4, marked differences exist in the rate of multiple jobholding among various age groups. 158 TABLE V-4.--Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States (Yégis) Miltlglgegogfigldlgg Under 25 52.9 25 - 34 37.8 35 - 44 37.4 45 - 54 32.3 55 - 64 25.4 65 and over 16.4 All operators , 29.6 Source: See Appendix V. It is obvious that the incidence of off-farm employment is greatest among persons under 25 years of age and tends to decrease as one moves from the youngest age class to the oldest age class. The difference between the rate of multiple jobholding for persons 25 to 34 years dfage was not significantly different from the rate for persons from 35 to 44 Years of age, but the rate for persons from 25 to 44 years of age was notably greater than the rate for persons from 45 to 54 years of age. Similarly, mul- tiple jobholding was more common among persons from 45 to 54 years of age than among persons from 55 to 64 years of age, and the incidence of multiple jobholding was sub- stantially greater for persons in the latter age class 159 than for persons 65 years of age or more. In summary, the percentage rate of off-farm employment ranged from a high of 52.9 percent for farm operators under 25 years of age to a low of 16.4 percent for persons 65 years of age or more. Approximately 39 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators under 45 years of age worked off the farm in covered employment in 1957 as compared with only 25 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators 45 Years of age or older. Rgpg Negro farm operators,as noted previously, comprised less than 2 percent of the 1957 OASI farm—operator labor force. It is also estimated that only 8,000 Negro farm operators were included among the 609,500 multiple job- holders in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor who reported location of farm in 1957. This estimate is equal to 1.3 percent of all multiple jobholders. The rate of multiple jobholding among non-Negro OASI farm operators in 1957 was 29.7 percent as compared to only 24.0 percent among Negro farm operators. Despite the small sample of Negro farm operators in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, the difference in the percent- age rate of multiple jobholding between Negro and non— Negro farm operators was statistically significant at the 5 percent level. Thus, it is concluded tan.off-farm work in covered employment was less common among Negro 160 farm operators than among non—Negro farm operators for individuals included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. S3; Although normally regarded as atypical members of the farm-operator labor force, female workers made up 6 percent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. The inclusion of materially participating farm landlords in the OASI labor force has apparently resulted in a dispro- portionately large number of female workers being included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force as compared with other estimates of the participation of female work- ers in farming. For this reason, and because female workers seem to be generally less common among multiple jobholders than among single jobholders, it is hypothesized that female workers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force tend to have a lower rate of multiple jobholding than do male workers. It is estimated that 28,700 female workers were in- cluded among the multiple jobholders in the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force who reported location of farm in 1957. This estimate is equal to 4.6 percent of all multi- ple jobholders. The percentage rate of multiple jobholde ing differed significantly at the 5 percent level between male and female workers. Male workers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force tended to have a higher rate of 161 participation in covered off-farm employment than did female workers. Approximately 30.2 percent of all male farm operators had covered earnings from off-farm sources in 1957, while only 21.4 percent of all female farm opera- tors were classified as multiple jobholders in 1957. Previous Job Experience Earlier the general hypothesis was advanced that off-farm work by farm operators is important both as a method by which farm operators attempt to supplement low farm earnings and as a transitional step in shifting from agriculture to full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. Although migration from agriculture is a subject not within the scope of the present study, the continuity of multiple jobholding among farm operators merits atten- tion. This aspect of multiple jobholding will be consid- ered more fully later in the analysis. At this time we will confine ourselves to an examination of the 1956 employ— ment patterns of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. In general, it is hypothesized that individual employment patterns in a given year tend to be closely associated with employment patterns in the preceding year and that a high proportion of farm operators with off—farm employ- ment in a given year were also multiple jobholders in the preceding year. Estimates of the 1956 employment patterns of 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-farm employment in 1957 are given in Table V-5. Since the 1957 OASI 162 .onemm heapmHmnxho3 mdoschcoo wmubmmH "condom .bmmH eH spam no eOHpmoOH wsthommw no: mcomnoa pom pesooom op oopmsmom poz .wpmo onemm Scam umpwermm "opoz o.oOH oom.eHo o.ooH oom.ooa.H Hmooe m.oH oom.oHH o.mn oom.maH.H HHco mmchamm pemE>0HQEoIHHom HmASpHSOHpm< N.Hn ooo.eoe o.NH oom.mmH mmeHonmm atmo-eeo m.m oon.mm e.o oom.mmH cmmnmeoc oz MMmpeoouom humawz owmpmwopmm ponmmz QmoH eH cpoppmm peoENOHmmw emoH eH mMechmm emoH eH mmchnmm enthummo anz mpopmpomo semmumMo psoanz myopmaomo mopmpm copHeD msosHenopeoo on» uom .ommH :H neonate peoEHOHaso an emoH oH nmeHoamc anmeuemo noompH: can esz nnoocacao ance Hmeo emoH--.m-> mHmHe 163 farm-operator labor force is defined with respect to employ- ment patterns in the year 1957 only, it includes some per- sons with no covered earnings in the year 1956 and some with covered earnings from only sources other than agricul- tural self-employment in 1956. The individuals classified in Table V-5 as having off-farm earnings in the year 1956 thus include both farm operators who had covered earnings from off-farm sources and persons who were not identified as farm operators in 1956. Marked differences exist between the 1956 employment patterns of single and.multiple jobholders in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. Among 1957 OASI farm operators without off-farm earnings in 1957, 9.4 percent had no covered earnings in 1956, 12.6 percent had covered earnings from sources other than agricultural self-employ- ment, and 78.0 percent had covered earnings only from agricultural self-employment. For multiple jobholders in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, it is estimated that 5.5 percent had no covered earnings in 1956, 75.2 percent had covered earnings from sources other than agri- cultural self-employment, and 19.3 percent had covered earnings only from agricultural self-employment. Exclud- ing persons with no coverage in 1956, approximately 80 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators with covered earn- ings from.off—farm sources in 1957 also had covered earn- ings from off-farm sources in the preceding year. 164 The reader is reminded that some multiple jobholders in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force who had covered earnings in 1956 were not identified with agricultural self-employment in the year 1956. In addition to the 1957 multiple jobholders who had no coverage in 1956, it is estimated that 22.1 percent of the 1957 farm operators with off-farm employment in 1957 had no covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in 1956 but did have covered earnings from off-farm sources. This group in- cludes persons who were not farm operators in 1956, per- sons who were farm operators in 1956 but whose earnings from farming were not sufficient to qualify for agricul- tural self-employment coverage, and persons who had cov- ered wage earnings in 1956 equal to the upper limit on taxable earnings regardless of whether or not they were farm operators in 1956. Among persons identified by social security records as members of the OASI farm-operator labor force in both 1956 and 1957, 26.1 percent reported covered earnings from two or more sources in 1957. It is estimated that 73 Per- cent of these workers also had covered earnings from two or more sources in 1956. The other 27 percent reported only agricultural self-employment earnings fer the year 1956. The percentage rate of multiple jobholding among individuals with covered earnings from agricultural self- 165 employment in both 1956 and 1957 was 26.2 percent in 1956 and 26.1 percent in 1957. Despite the nearly identical rates of off-fanm employment, however, there was substan- tial movement of farm operators into and out of the off- farm labor force. Over the two-year period approximately 33.2 percent of all persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in both 1956 and 1957 also reported covered earnings from off-farm sources in at least one of the two years, but fewer than 20 percent were classified as multiple jobholders in both 1956 and 1957. Of the farm operators with off-farm employment in at least one of the two years, only 57.7 percent had off- farm employment in both 1956 and 1957. Approximately 21.3 percent had off-farm employment in 1956 but not 1957, and approximately 21.0 percent had off-farm employ- ment in 1957 but not in 1956. Limiting the analysis to persons with covered earn- ings from agricultural self-employment in both 1956 and 1957 excludes, of course, all persons not identified by social security records as farm operators in both years because they received maximum coverage on the basis of off-farm wage earnings. Also excluded from consideration are persons who were engaged in farming in both years but whose farm earnings were below the lower limit required for social security coverage and persons who actually shifted into or out of farming during the period. To the 166 extent that the number of multiple jobholders among per- sons who actually shifted into or out of farming during the period offsets the number of farm operators with off- farm employment in both years who were excluded from the sample as a result of the limits on taxable earnings, the estimates of movements into or out of the multiple-job- holding segment of the farm-operator labor force given above apply generally to farm operators in the contermin- ous United States. The net effect of.biases caused by limits on taxable earnings cannot be specified on the basis of OASI data alone. It seems fair to conclude, how- ever, that farm operators enter and leave the off-farm labor force in substantial numbers although the rate of off-farm employment for the aggregate farm-operator labor force may increase at a fairly stable rate from year to year. Net Earnings from Self—Employment It was noted previously that the percentage of farm operators with off-farm employment appears to vary in— versely with size of farm as measured by gross sales of farm products. This tendency lends support to the gener- ally accepted notion that multiple jobholders in the farm- operator labor force are predominantly individuals who operate small farms and, either by choice or because of their inability to expand farm size, take off-farm employ- ment to supplement low farm earnings or to provide a major 167 part of net earnings from current productive effort. Off-farm work by operators of larger than average farms is sometimes regarded as both less common than for opera- tors of smaller farms and often the result of unforeseen events which have forced temporary participation in the off-farm labor force. Thus, it is usually assumed, either explicitly or implicitly, that operators of smaller than average farms tend to have a higher rate of participation in the off-farm labor force than do operators of larger than average farms. As shown earlier, census data clearly support this assumption. However, the existing relation- ship between the rate of off-farm employment and farm size is sometimes regarded as evidence that the rate of multi- ple jobholding tends to vary inversely with the level of net farm earnings. Although operators of larger than average farms may tend to have higher net farm earnings than do operators of smaller farms, it does not necessar- ily follow that the rate of off-farm employment varies inversely with net farm earnings. Delineation of multiple jobholders by source and amount of off-farm earnings will be deferred at this point, and no attempt will be made here to distinguish between multiple jobholders with earnings from nonagricul- tural self-employment and those with earnings from off- farm wage employment. Because it is not possible to determine the amount of agricultural self-employment 168 earnings for individuals with covered self-employment earnings from both agricultural and nonagricultural sources, we will first deal with the hypothesis that the rate of multiple jobholding tends to vary inversely with the level of total net earnings from self-employment. {ore specifically, we will be concerned with the hypoth- esis that the rate of multiple jobholding among individuals with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more in 1957 was less than the rate of multiple jobholding among individuals with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000. Approximately 65 percent of all persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force reported net earn- ings from self-employment of less than $2,000 in 1957. It is estimated that 29.5 percent of these individuals had covered earnings from two or more sources. For 1957 OASI farm operators with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more, 29.8 percent had covered earnings from off-farm employment in 1957. The difference between the percentage of individuals with net self—employment earn- ings of less than $2,000 who worked off the farm and the percentage of individuals with net self-employment earn— ings of $2,000 or more who worked off the farm was not significant. It will be observed that the rate of multiple job- holding appears to decrease slightly with increasing net 169 earnings from self-employment for the three class inter- vals below $6,000 (Table V-6). For the three classes with net self-employment earnings of $6,000 or more, the per- centage of individuals with covered earnings from off- farm sources appears to increase with increasing net earnings from self-employment. These estimates are not inconsistent with the hypothesis that the rate of multi- ple jobholding tends to vary inversely with the level of net earnings from agriculture. The high rate of off- farm employment among farm operators with net self— employment earnings of $10,000 or more is associated with a disproportionately large number of persons with earnings from nonagricultural self-employment. Approximately 9.6 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators reported covered earnings from nonagricultural self-employment in 1957, but 33.5 percent of all persons with net self-employment earnings of $10,000 or more in 1957 reported self-employment earnings from both agricultural and.nonagricultural sources. The relationship between farm and nonfarm self-employment earnings for persons with earnings from both sources cannot be ascertained, but the relationship of farm earnings to the incidence of off-farm wage employment will be considered in the concluding section of this chapter. Wage Earners Whereas the preceding section of this chapter was generally concerned with the dichotomic classification 170 comprising single and multiple jobholders in the farm- operator labor force, this section distinguishes between farm operators with off-farm earnings from wages or sal- aries and farm operators without off-farm wage or salary employment. It has been noted that approximately 21.9 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators received covered earnings from off-farm wage employment in 1957. Persons with off-farm wage employment accounted for about 75.1 percent of all multiple jobholders included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. The major objective of this section is to examine evidence relevant to the general hypothesis that farm operators with off-farm wage employment differ notably from other farm operators with respect to specified char- acteristics and to determine the extent to which off-farm wage employment appears to be selective. In the preceding section we found that multiple jobholding appears to be selective with respect to certain characteristics, but no distinction was made between farm operators with off- farm wage employment and those with earnings from non- agricultural self—employment. Because it seems likely that individuals with nonfarm self-employment differ in certain characteristics from individuals with off-farm wage employment, this section deals specifically with farm operators who work for others for wages or salaries. 171 TABLE V-6.--Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conter- minous United States Net Earnings from Estimated Rate Self-Employment of (Dollars) Multiple Jobholding Less than 2,000 29.5 2,000 - 3,999 . 29.1 4,000 - 5,999 27.4 6,000 - 7,999 30.1 8,000 - 9,999 32-7 10,000 or more 44.8 All operators Source: See Appendix V. Estimates presented in this section are based upon a sample of 4,589 individuals with off-farm wage earnings from covered employment in the year 1957. This sample represents all 1957 OASI farm operators reporting covered earnings from wage employment who were included among an over-all sample of 20,868 persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment in 1957. Excluded from consideration are 991 persons who failed to report loca- tion of farm and certain other items fer the year 1957. The classification system used throughout this section differentiates between OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 and those without off-farm wage 172 employment. Since a small number of individuals reported both nonagricultural self-employment earnings and off- farm wage or salary earnings in 1957, the class designated as having covered off-farm wage employment includes some farm operators with nonagricultural self-employment for the year. Also, the class designated as not having off- farm wage employment in 1957 includes some persons with covered earnings from both agricultural and nonagricultural self-employment. Thus, the latter class includes all single jobholders in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor. fbrce plus specified multiple jobholders. The former group includes only multiple jobholders for whom at least one job was classified as off-farm wage or salary employ- ment. Geographic Region Estimates derived from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures suggest that the percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage employment varies substantially among major geographic regions. Ignoring the problem of double counting of persons with both farm and nonfarm wage employ- ment, these estimates indicate that the percentage of farm operators (including both commercial and noncommercial farm operators) working for others for wages or salaries in 1955 was notably lower in the East North Central, West North Central, and South Atlantic states than in the five remaining regions.l Although information concerning lU.S. Department of Agriculture, Farmers' Expenditures i_n 19 p1 Regions, Statistical Bulletin No. 224, April 1958, Tab e l, p. 15 173 variation in the off-farm wage employment of commercial farm operators by geographic region is lacking, the hypothesis is advanced that the proportion of commercial farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment is lower among farm operators in the East North Central, West North Central, and South Atlantic states than among farm operators in the remainder of the conterminous United States. This hypothesis was accepted when tested at the 5 percent level of significance. Among 1957 OASI farm operators in the East North Central, West North Central, and South Atlantic states, it is estimated that 21.0 per- cent had covered earnings from off-farm wage employment in 1957. In comparison, about 23.8 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators located outside these states had covered off-farm wage earnings in 1957. The estimates presented in Table V-7 indicate that 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment may have been more predominant in the Northeast, South Atlantic, East South Central, West South Central, and Mountain states than in the North Central and Pacific states. The rate of off—farm wage employment, which ex- presses the number of farm operators with off—farm wage and salary employment as a percentage of all farm opera- tors within a given class, ranged from a low of 20.0 per- cent in the West North Central states to a high of 25.7 percent in the Mountain states. Although some differences 174 TABLE V-7.--Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by geograph- ic region, for the conterminous United States Estimated Rate of Region Off-Farm Wage Emplgyment Northeast 23.7 East North Central 21.5 West North Central 20.0 South Atlantic 22.8 East South Central 22.7 West South Central 25.1 Mountain 25.7 Pacific 21.4 All regions 22.0 Source: See Appendix V. seem to exist among geographic regions with respect to the rate of off—farm wage employment, the estimates given in Table V-7 suggest that these differences are relatively small. The reader will recall that the rate of multiple job- holding ranged from a low of 24.8 percent to a high of 35.8 percent among major geographic regions. That the range in the rate of off-farm wage employment is sub- stantially less than the range in the rate of multiple jobholding implies that considerable variation may exist among geographic regions with respect to the incidence 175 of farm operators with earnings from nonagricultural self- employment. Among 1957 OASI farm operators, approximately 9.2 percent of all persons reported earnings from nonagri- cultural self—employment, but it is estimated that the rate of nonagricultural self-employment ranged from a low of 4.8 percent in the West North Central states to a high of 14.4 percent in the Pacific states. Consequently, it is concluded that a large part of the regional variation in off-farm employment is due to differences in the inci- dence of nonfarm self-employment and not to variations in the rate of off-farm wage and salary employment. ggg _ Several reasons were given earlier for suspecting that the rate of multiple jobholding is associated with the age of the farm operator, and estimates of multiple jobholding among members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force suggest that the rate of multiple jobholding tends to be highest among farm operators in the youngest age classes and to decrease with increasing age. It was also suggested previously that, among all multiple job- holders, individuals with nonagricultural self-employment earnings may tend to be older than farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment. If this is the case, we may expect to find that the rate of off-farm wage employment varies more among persons in different age groups than does the rate of multiple jobholding. 176 Two related hypotheses are offered: (1) that the percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage employ- ment is higher among farm operators under 45 Years of age than among farm operators 45 years of age or more, and (2) that the percentage of farm operators with earnings from nonagricultural self-employment is lower among farm operators under 45 years of age than among farm operators 45 years of age or more. The former hypothesis was ac- cepted. It is estimated that 31.5 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators under 45 Years of age had off-farm wage employment in 1957 as compared with only 17.2 per- cent of all 1957 OASI farm operators 45 years of age or more. Excluding multiple jobholders with covered earnings from both nonagricultural self-employment and off-farm wage employment, it is estimated that the percentage of all 1957 OASI farm operators with nonagricultural self- employment in 1957 was 7.2 percent for persons under 45 years of age and 7.8 percent for persons 45 years of age or more. The difference between these two percentages was not statistically significant at the 5 percent level. Therefore, while off-farm wage and salary employment appears to be much more common among farm operators under 45 years of age than among farm operators 45 Years of age or more, nonagricultural self-employment appears to be no more common among individuals in the latter age group than among individuals under 45 years of age. 177 Farm operators working off the farm for wages or salaries tend to be notably younger than other farm operators. The median age of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 was approximately 45.3 years as compared with 53.9 years for farm operators without off-farm wage employment. Nearly 75 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage earnings in 1957 were less than 55 years of age, and approximately 48.5 percent were included in the range of from 35 to 54 years of age. Estimates of the rate of off-farm wage employment for six age classes ranged from a low of 9.7 percent for farm operators 65 years of age and over to a high of 49.4 percent for farm operators under 25 years of age (Table V-8). The estimates presented in Table V-8 clearly suggest that the incidence of off-farm wage employment decreases with increasing age. The extremely high rate of off-farm wage employment among individuals under 25 years of age suggests that persons in this age group may typically be much more mobile with respect to occupation than older farm operators. Egg; Information concerning the rate of off-farm employ- ment among Negro and non-Negro farm operators is not available from the Census of Agriculture, and relatively few Negro farm operators were included in the 1957 OASI 178 TABLE V—8.--Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States (Ygggs) Off-Fzgmmgggg Esplo;£ent Under 25 49.4 25-34 31.6 35 - 44 29.1 45 - 54 23.4 55 - 64 17.6 65 and over 9.7 All operators 22.0 Source: See Appendix V. farm-operator labor force. The hypothesis was advanced that the rate of off-farm wage employment is lower for Negro farm operators than for non-Negro farm operators, but the difference between the proportion of Negro and non-Negro farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 was not significantly different from zero at the 5 percent level. It is estimated that approximately 22.0 percent of all non—Negro farm operators included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force had covered wage or salary earningsfrom off-farm sources in 1957 as compared with 21.0 percent of all Negro farm operators. It would seem that the difference in the rate of multiple jobholding for Negro and non-Negro farm operators 179 can be attributed to the difference in the incidence of nonagricultural self-employment. Approximately 9.7 per- cent of all non-Negro farm operators reported earnings from nonagricultural self-employment for social security coverage in 1957. In comparison, only 3.0 percent of all Negro farm operators included in the 1937-58 Continuous W0rk-History Sample were recorded as having, in 1957, covered earnings from nonagricultural self-employment. pr Earlier it was shown that, for female workers included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, the rate of multiple jobholding appears to be substantially lower than the rate of multiple jobholding for male farm opera- tors. With reference to off-farm wage employment, it is estimated that only 13.6 percent of all female farm opera- tors worked for others for covered wage or salary earnings in 1957 as compared with 22.6 percent of all male farm operators. In contrast to their lower rate of participation in off-farm wage employment, female farm operators were asso- ciated with nonagricultural self—employment at about the same rate as male farm operators. The percentage of female and male farm operators included in the 1937-58 Continuous W0rk-History Sample who reported covered earnings from nonagricultural self-employment in 1957 were 9.1 percent and 9.6 percent, respectively. 180 Previous Job Experience The hypothesis that individual employment patterns in a given year tend to be closely associated with employ- ment patterns in the preceding year was considered with respect to single and multiple jobholding in the first section of this chapter. It is reasonable to expect that a high proportion of the farm operators with off-farm wage employment in a given year have also been associated with off-farm wage employment in the preceding year. The reader is again reminded that the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force is defined without regard to sources of cov- ered earnings in other years; consequently some individ- uals included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force either had no covered earnings in 1956 or were identified only with off-farm employment. Estimates relating to the 1956 employment patterns of 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-farm wage or salary employment in 1957 are given in Table V-9. Among farm operators in the 1957 sample, it is evident that off- farm wage employment tends to be associated with off-farm employment in the preceding year. It is estimated that, for 1957 OASI farm operators without off-farm wage employ— ment in 1957, 9.4 percent had no social security coverage in 1956, 8.5 percent had covered earnings from off—farm wage employment, and 82.1 percent had earnings from self- employment only. In comparison, it is estimated that, 181 no: mcommom pom pesooom op copmdnom poz .oHaemm HmopmHmnxhoz meosCHpcoo mmubmoH "oohsom .bde :H swam Ho :OHpmooH werhoaou .mumo mHmamm Souk tomeHpmm "mpoz o.ooH ooo.mme o.ooH ooo.emo.H Hence a.mm ooo.ooH H.mm oom.emm.H aHeo mmcHeumc peoBHOHQEoIHHom o.He ooo.omm m.m ooo.mmH nmeHeamc cmmz atmouemo e.e . ooH.om e.o ooe.~mH ommnceoo oz ommpcoohmm honasz emancoonom honesz ommH :H shoppmm newshoHQEM nmmH :H peoENOHaam mme Nme CH pCmEMOHmem owmz sameummo anz mwopmaomo aammummo paoesz mnonmamoo mopmpm ompHeD msoanhopsoo map pom .ommH cH choppmm newshoneo he bmmH cH pnmSHOHmEm own: summummo nsospH3.o:m 39H: muopwpomo Show Hmdo hmmHnn.on> mumde 182 among 1957 OASI farm operators who had covered earnings from off-farm wage employment in 1957, 4.4 percent had no coverage in 1956, 71.9 percent had covered earnings from off-farm wage employment, and 23.7 percent had covered earnings from self-employment only. Of the individuals with social security coverage in both 1956 and 1957, more than three-fourths of those with off-farm wage and salary employment in 1957 were also identified with wage and salary employment in 1956. As indicated previously, not all members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force were identified with agri- cultural self-employment in 1956. Because of actual changes in occupational status and limitations on the reporting of earnings forsocial security coverage, only 82.1 percent of the persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force were identified with agricultural self-employment in both 1956 and 1957. Among persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in both years, approximately 19.8 per- cent received covered earnings from off-farm wage employ- ment in 1957, and approximately 19.9 percent received covered wage earnings in 1956. Despite the nearly identical rates of off-farm wage employment for the two years, there appears to have been substantial movement into and out of the off-farm labor force. It is estimated that 25.9 percent of the individ- uals identified with agricultural self—employment in both 183 1956 and 1957 were also identified with off-farm wage and salary employment in at least one of the two years. Only about 53.7 percent of all persons with off-farm wage employment in at least one year, however, worked off the farm for wages or salaries in both 1956 and 1957. Thus, while the annual rate of off-farm.wage employment did not change significantly from 1956 to 1957, there seems to have been a rather large shift among the individuals comprising the group of OASI farm opera- tors working off the farm for wages or salaries. Another measure of the extent to which the labor force status of farm operators changes from one year to the next is the number of persons whose employment class- ification in 1957 differed from that of the preceding year. As shown earlier, the labor force status of members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force is identified as one of eight mutually exclusive employment combinations for the year 1957. These employment combinations include individuals with only agricultural self-employment earn- ings in 1957 or with earnings from both agricultural and nonagricultural self-employment in conjunction with one of the following wage employment classifications: (1) no wage or salary employment, (2) nonfarm wage employment, (3) both nonfarm and farm wage employment, or (4) farm wage employment. Considering only shifts between these eight categories, it is estimated that only 68.6 percent 184 of all 1957 OASI farm operators had identical employment classifications in 1956 and 1957. The employment classi- fication of the remaining 31.4 percent changed between 1956 and 1957. Included in the latter group are persons who entered the labor force for the first time in 1957 and persons whose employment classification changed be- tween 1956 and 1957 because of limitations on the report- ing of self-employment earnings for social security coverage. Individuals who were new entrants in the farm-operator labor force and those who were prevented from reporting self-employment earnings in either 1956 or 1957 because of the maximum limit on taxable earnings are excluded from the labor force identified with agricultural self-employment in both 1956 and 1957. Among persons included in the OASI farm-operator labor force in both 1956 and 1957, it is estimated that the off-farm employment status of 16.5 per- cent of all individuals changed between 1956 and 1957. Since this estimate represents only shifts in the employ- ment pattern of persons who were identified with agricul- tural self-employment in both years, it presumably under— states the actual magnitude of shifts in the labor force status of individuals operating farms in any given year. It should also be noted that changes in employment class- ification account only for shifts between various combina- tions of self-employment and.wage employment in the 185 agricultural and nonagricultural sectors and do not account for farm operators who changed jobs within a given category. Net Earnings from Self-Employment Earlier it was shown that no significant difference existed between the rate of multiple jobholding among 1957 OASI farm operators with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 and the rate among farm operators with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more. However, it was also shown that multiple jobholders in the higher income classes included a disproportionately large number of persons with self-employment earnings from both agri- cultural and nonagricultural sources. Because of the intermingling of self-employment earnings from agricultural and nonagricultural sources, no attempt was made to examine the relationship between the level of net farm earnings and the incidence of multiple jobholding. It is possible, however, to examine the relationship between the level of net farm earnings and the incidence of off-farm wage and salary employment. Two hypotheses are suggested with reference to the rate of off-farm wage employment: (1) that the rate of off-farm wage employment tends to be lower among farm operators with net earnings from self-employment of $2,000 or more than among farm operators with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000; and (2) that for persons with covered self-employment earnings from only agricultural 186 sources the rate of off-farm wage and salary employment tends to be lowest among farm operators with net farm earnings of $2,000 or more. It is estimated that around 71.8 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators with covered off-farm wage employment in 1957 had net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 as compared with 62.4 percent of all farm operators without off-farm wage employment. The difference between these two percentages was signif- icantly different from zero at the 5 percent level. Estimates of the percentage rate of off-farm wage employment by net earnings from self-employment are given in Table V-lO. It was found that about 24.5 percent of all persons with net earnings from self-employment of less than $2,000 received covered earnings from off-farm wage and salary employment in 1957 and that only 17.5 percent of all persons with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more worked off the farm for wages and sala- ries. It is concluded, therefore, that off-farm wage and salary employment is more prevalent among farm operators with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 than among farm operators with net self-employment earn- ings of $2,000 or more. Since social security records do not distinguish between the amounts of agricultural and nonagricultural self-employment earnings reported by individuals with earnings from both sources, these persons must be excluded 187 TABLE'V-lO.--Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States Net Earnings from Estimated Rate Self-Employment of (Dollars) Off-Farm Wage Employment Less than 2,000 24.5 2,000 - 3,999 19.8 4,000 - 5,999 13.1 6,000 - 7,999 14.7 8,000 - 9,999 12.1 10,000 or more 13.2 All operators 22.0 Source: See Appendix V. in dealing specifically with the hypothesis that the rate of off-farm wage employment varies inversely with the level of net earnings from farming. Approximately 1.9 million 1957 OASI farm operators received self-employment earnings from only agricultural sources in 1957, and it is estimated that 66.5 percent of all farm operators included in this group reported net farm earnings of less than $2,000. Specifically tested was the hypothesis that the percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage or salary employment for individuals with net farm earnings of less than $2,000 was less than or equal to the per- centage for individuals with net farm earnings of $2,000 188 or more. The difference between the rate of off-farm wage employment for these two groups was significant at the 5 percent level. Therefore, it is concluded that the incidence of off-farm wage employment tends to be greatest among farm operators with low farm earnings. It should be noted, however, that off-farm wage employ- ment occurs at a substantial rate among all income classes and that off-farm wage employment is not confined to farm operators with low farm earnings. Summary Estimates for the year 1957 indicated that the per— centage of 1957 OASI farm operators working off the farm varied from a low of 24.8 percent in the west North Cen- tral states to a high of 35.8 percent in the Pacific states. Large differences were found in the rate of nonagricultural self-employment. The proportion of OASI farm operators with earnings from.monagricultural self- employment ranged from a low of 4.8 percent in the West North Central states to a high of 14.4 percent in the Pacific states. Regional variations in the rate of off- farm wage employment were less pronounced. The proportion of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage employment ranged from a low of 20.0 percent in the West North Cen- tral states to a high of 25.7 percent in the Mountain states. 189 Off-farm employment is highly selective with respect to age of the farm operator. No significant difference in the rate of nonagricultural self-employment was found between 1957 OASI farm operators under 45 years of age and those 45 years of age or more. The percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage employment tended, however, to decrease with increasing age. Approximately 31.5 per- cent of all 1957 OASI farm operators under 45 years of age had off-farm wage employment in 1957 as compared with only 17.2 percent of all farm operators 45 years of age or more. The rate of off-farm wage employment ranged from a low of 9.7 percent for farm operators 65 years of age or more to a high of 49.4 percent for those under 25 years of age. Negro farm operators worked in off-farm wage employ- ment at approximately the same rate as non-Negro farm operators. However, only 3.0 percent of all Negro farm operators reported covered earnings from nonagricultural self-employment in 1957 as compared with 9.7 percent of all non-Negro farm operators. It is estimated that only 13.6 percent of all female workers included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force had covered off-farm wage earnings in 1957. In comparison, about 22.6 percent of all male farm operators had off-farm wage employment. The rates of nonagricul- tural self-employment for male and female farm operators were approximately equal. 190 An outstanding feature of the off-farm employment of farm operators was the large shift of individuals com- prising the multiple jobholding segment of the OASI farm- operator labor force. Among farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1956 and/or 1957, only slightly more than one-half were identified with off-farm wage employ- ment in both years. No significant difference was found between the rate of multiple jobholding for 1957 OASI farm operators with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 and the rate for farm operators wdth net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more. Off-farm wage employment was, however, more prevalent among farm operators in the former group than among those in the latter group. Approximately 24.5 percent of all persons with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 had off-farm wage employment in 1957 as compared with 17.5 percent of all persons with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more. CHAPTER VI THE OFF-FARM WAGE EARNINGS OF FARM OPERATORS It is apparent that farm operators who work off the farm account for a sizable proportion of the farm-operator labor force in the United States, but we have yet to examine information indicative of the amount of earnings received by farm operators from off-farm sources. That is the purpose of the present chapter. First, it will be necessary to review briefly the method by which official estimates of the income of the farm population from non- agricultural sources is prepared and to determine the composition of the aggregate off-farm income of farm- operator families. Second, we will attempt to demonstrate that earnings data from the Continuous Work-History Sample can be used to construct estimates of the magnitude and size distribution of the off-farm wage earnings of the commercial farm-operator labor force. Finally, we will investigate the kinds of off-farm wage and salary employ- ment which seem to attract labor from the farm-operator labor force on a part-time basis. 191 192 Income pf the Farm Population from Nonagricultural Sources Most Department of Agriculture estimates relating to farm income and expenditures are derived from currently reported data;1 however, the USDA series on the income of the farm population from nonagricultural sources is based on benchmark estimates obtained from sample survey data. Annual estimates of nonfarm income are interpolated or extrapolated from benchmark estimates on the assumption that "changes in the farm population's share of total non- agricultural income are proportionate to changes in the farm population as a percentage of the total population."2 Benchmark Surveyg The first part of the series is based on three inde- pendent surveys conducted during the period from 1933 through 1936.3 The first was a survey of part—time farm- ing Which was directed by the Civil Works Administration. This survey covered parts of 1933 and 1934. The second was the Consumer Purchases Study covering 1935 and 1936. The third survey, taken in 1936, was a survey of applicants for Federal Land Bank loans. A single estimate of the 1For a general description of USDA estimates of farm income and expenditures see U.S. Department of Agriculture, Major Statistical Series of phg U.S. Department 9; Agricul— ture, Agricultural Handboak No. llS, Vol. 3, Gross gag Npp Farm Income, December, 1957. 2Ibid., p. 4. 3Here the author has drawn generously from Ernest W. Grove, "Sources and Methods: Income of the Farm Population from Nonfarm Sources," March 4, 1955 (typewritten). 193 nonfarm income of farm people was derived from these sur- veys for the year 1935 and extended back one year to 1934. The series on nonfarm income was actually initiated in 1943 and begins with the 1934 estimate. Various sources--including Census of Population data on wage and salary income in 1939, Census of Agriculture statistics on days of off-farm work by farm operators, and the 1941 study of Rural Family Spending and Saving in Wartime-- were utilized in bringing the series up to date. When the 1946 survey of farm-operator family incomeh was com- pleted, the series was tied to the 1946 and 1935 bench- mark estimates and the intermediate data were discarded. Additional benchmark estimates were obtained for the years 1949, 1950, and 1955. The 1949 benchmark was based upon a study of farm-operator family income conducted in conjunction with a matched sample of schedules from the 1950 Censuses of Population, Housing, and Agriculture.5 Unpublished data from the April 1951 survey of consumer incomes by the Bureau of the Census served as the basis of the 1950 benchmark estimate. “See Nathan M. Koffsky and Jeanne E. Lear, The Size Distribution pf Farm Operator's Income ip 1946, U.S. Bureau of Agricultural Economlcs, September, I950. 5The survey data are reported in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Farms and Farm People: Population, Income and Housing Characteristicslpy Economic Class of Farm (Wash- ington: U.S. Government Printing Office, l952). Also see Ernest W. Grove, "Per Capita Income by Economic Class of Farm, 1949," Agricultural Economics Research, Vol. VIII, No. 2 (April, 19567, pp. 51-58. 194 Additional information on the nonfarm income of farm people was collected in the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Ex- penditures. These data have provided the most recent benchmark estimate of nonagricultural income.6 The accu- racy of survey estimates is, of course, subject to ques- tion. Users of the 1955 survey estimates are warned that net income from farming, as reported in the survey, was probably understated by one-third or more; but they are also advised that "the total off-farm income reported in the survey appears to be about in line with other esti- mates."7 It should be noted, however, that the "other estimates" to which the report refers are those which have teen derived by extrapolating from previous survey estimates. There are no independent checks on the 1955 survey estimate, and there is no assurance that the level of the series is not substantially different from the true level. Benchmark Estimates The procedures of the 1955 Expenditure Survey will not be considered here, but the method by which benchmark estimates are derived from survey estimates of the non- agricultural income of farm-operator families merits examination. Survey estimates of the off-farm income of 6At the time of this study estimates were being pre— pared from a similar survey conducted in 1960. 7U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census pf Agricul- ture: 195 , Vol. III, Part 11, p. 2. 195 farm-operator families in 1955 by source of income are given in Table VI-l. The total off-farm income of farm- operator families was estimated at approximately $8 bil- lion in 1955. Total nonfarm income was slightly more than $6.9 billion. The Department of Agriculture series on the net in- come of the farm population from nonagricultural sources indicates that the nonfarm income of the farm population was $6.3 billion in 1955 (Table VI-2, Column 1). The sur- vey estimate differs from the estimate included in the nonfarm income series because the series excludes trans- fer payments. The benchmark estimate for the series was therefore calculated by subtracting the amount of transfer payments from the survey estimate. Transfer payments amounted to $515,391,000 for farm operators and nearly $125,000,000 for wives and other family members. Total transfer payments were equal to approximately $640 million, and the benchmark estimate for 1955 was calculated by sub- tracting that amount from the survey estimate of the ag- gregate nonfarm income of farm-operator families. The series on nonfarm income has recently been revised to represent the aggregate personal income of the farm population from nonfarm sources. Estimates included in the revised series differ from those of the former series in several ways (Table VI-2, Column 2). Most important is the fact that transfer payments are included in the revised 196 TABLE VI-l.--Aggregate off—farm income of farm-operator families by source of income, for the con- terminous United States, 1955 Source Income (Thousands of Dollars) Income received by farm operator: 6,383,624 From farm sources 956,479 Farm wages or salary 229,593 Rental of farm real estate 455,880 Other income 271,006 From nonfarm sources 5,427,145 Nonfarm wages or salary 3,193,617 Nonfarm business 996,408 Transfer payments 515,391 Other income 721,729 Income received by wife: 828,916 From farm sources 22,401 From nonfarm sources 806,514 Income received by other family members: 793,932 From farm sources 87,848 From nonfarm sources 706,084 Total off-farm income of farm-operator families: 8,006,472 From farm sources 1,066,728 From nonfarm sources 6,939,744 Note: Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Aggiculture: 1954, Vol. III, Part 11, December, 1956, Table 8, p. 49. 197 TABLE VI-2.--Net income of the farm population from nonagricultural sources, 1950 - 1960 Former Series Revised Series Year (Millions of Dollars) (Millions of Dollars) (l) (2) 1950 5,300 6,045 1951 5,600 6,329 1952 6,100 6,553 1953 6,000 6,271 1954' 5,800 5,850 1955 6,300 6,140 1956 6,700 6,565 1957 6,600 6,649 1958 6,400 6,712 1959 6,800 7,143 1960 6,900a 7,243 aPreliminary. Source: U. 8. Agricultural( Marketin Service, The Farm Income Situation, FIB-179 (July, 19 0) Table 3H, p. 34, FIS 181 (February, 1961), Table2 , p. 4, and FIS- 187 (July, 1962), Table 3H, p. 40 198 series. In addition, the new series apparently excludes the nonfarm income of farm operators and hired farm work- ers not living on farms. Unfortunately, detailed informa- tion concerning the method by which the revised series was constructed is not available. Limitations and Shortcomings In appraising the USDA series on the nonfarm income of farm people, Grove recognized three major limitations: (1) the lack of a breakdown by type of income, except for benchmark years as provided by sample survey data; (2) the disparity between farm-operator households, which are usually sampled in income surveys, and the farm popula- tion; and (3) the problem of understatement of income by respondents.8 Granting the importance of these limita- tions, other shortcomings may also be cited. The sample for the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expendi- tures was drawn from a universe comprising all farms actually enumerated in the 1954 Census of Agriculture. In expanding the sample data, an allowance was made for the downward trend in the number of farms, but no adjust- ment was made to account for undernumeration of farms in the 1954 census. The census counted 4,782,416 farms in 1954; and the Bureau of the Census has estimated that 419,000 farms, about 8.1 percent of the estimated total 8Grove, "Sources and Methods: Income of the Farm Population from Nonfarm Sources." 199 number of farms, were missed in the enumeration.9 Exclu- sion of underenumerated farms from the universe represent- ed by the 1955 survey has important implications with regard to the accuracy of the survey estimate of aggregate off-farm income. Since the farms missed in the 1954 census and subse- quently excluded from the universe sampled in 1955 tended to he places with lower than average gross farm sales,10 they presumably were, for that reason, places with higher than average off-farm income. Adjustment of the survey estimates to include farms not represented by the survey sample adds approximately $768.8 million to the aggregate off-farm income of farm—operator families in 1955 and $697.6 million to the aggregate nonfarm income of farm- operator families.11 This adjustment increases the sur- vey estimates of aggregate off—farm and nonfarm income by 9.6 percent and 10.1 percent, respectively. The series on the net income of the farm population from nonagricultural sources should, by definition, include the total nonfarm income of all persons living on farms. As indicated above, however, the estimates on which the 9U.s. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census pi; Agricul- ture: 1954, Vol. II, pp. xxxii-xxxiv. 10Ibid. On the basis of a special post-census survey the Census Bureau estimated that onl. 33,000 of the under- enumerated farms had gross sales of $5,000 or more in 1954 and that farms with gross sales of less than $1,200 ac- counted for nearly two-thirds of the underenumerated farms. llEstimates derived by author. See Appendix III. ZOO series is based represent the nonfarm income of farm- operator families. Consequently, the benchmark estimates exclude, in addition to the nonfarm income of families missed in the census, estimates of the nonfarm income of non-operator families residing in rural areas. The num- ber of such families is probably not large, and the omis- sion tends to be offset by the inclusion of the nonfarm income of farm-operator families residing in urban and rural-nonfarm places.12 Although the extent to which these two factors offset one another is not known, the net error may not be large. Annual estimates of nonfarm income are interpolated or extrapolated from benchmark estimates on the assumption that the farm population's share of total nonfarm income varies in proportion to changes in the farm population as a percentage of the total population. Thus, for example, if total nonfarm income remains unchanged from one year to the next, it is assumed that the farm population's share of total nonfarm income varies directly with the change in the farm population as a percentage of the total population. According to Grove, "in actual practice, the 12It has been estimated that, in 1950, about 95 per- cent of the people living in farm-operator households were classified as farm residents in the Census of Population and that 92.5 percent of the persons designated as farm residents in the Census of Population lived on places which were classified as farms in the Census of Agriculture. U. S. Department of Agriculture, Major Statistical Series 9; the U.S. Department 9: Agriculture, Agricultural Hand- book No. 118, Vol. 7, Farm Population, Employment, and Levels 9: Livin , September, 1957, p. 6. 201 estimate for any given year is calculated by extrapolat- ing the benchmark per capita figure for the farm popula- tion in proportion to the change in the total nonagricul- tural income per capita for the total population, and multiplying the result by the farm.popu1ation in that year."13 If, during the course of cyclical fluctuations in the general level of employment, farm people are among the first to lose nonfarm jobs in downswings and the last to be re-hired in upswings, the nonfarm earnings of farm people may exhibit cyclical fluctuations which differ from those portrayed by the current nonfarm income series. It is concluded that, although other limitations exist, the most serious shortcomings of the present series are the lack of information on year—to—year changes in the nonfarm income of farm people and the assumption on which benchmark estimates of nonfarm income are extrapolated for other years. Income and employment data from social security records will permit further examination of the hypothesis that farm operators are marginal members of the nonfarm labor force. The Magnitude and Distribution pf Off-Farm Wage Earnings It was suggested in Chapter I that income from off- farm sources constitutes a sizable share of the total 13Grove, "Sources and Methods: Income of the Farm Population from Nonfarm Sources," p. 2. 202 income of farm-operator families in the United States. Because of the broad definition of a farm, however, esti- mates indicative of the nonagricultural earnings of farm- operator families represent a population which includes a substantial number of families who derive the bulk of their income from nonfarm sources and for whom farming is an incidental occupation. For this reason, we have teen primarily concerned in this study with the commercial farm-operator labor force. It has been shown that a large number of commercial farm operators receive earnings from off-farm wage employment and/or nonfarm self-employment. Information on the aggregate farm and off-farm earnings of commercial farm operators is sketchy, but some esti- mates which suggest the relative importance of the farm and off-farm earnings of commercial farm operators are available. Commercial Farm Operators U. S. Department of Agriculture estimates for the period from 1947 through 1956 show that off-farm income has become increasingly important to both commercial and noncommercial farm-operator families. For the period from 1947 through 1949, off-farm income accounted for approxi- mately 13 percent of the total family income of commercial farm-operator families; whereas, by 1956, off-farm income represented about 26 percent of the total income of these 203 families.14 On an aggregate basis it is estimated that the family income of commercial farm-operator families in 1956 was equal to approximately $12 billion. Of this amount, it was estimated that $8.9 billion (74.2 percent) came from farming and that 83.1 billion (25.8 percent) came from off-farm sources.15 It should be noted that the latter estimate includes, in addition to income from current productive effort, income from sources such as the rental of real estate and returns on investments. Furthermore, these estimates account for the income of both farm operators and family members. Estimates from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures show that the total earnings of commercial farm operators from nonfarm self-employment and off-farm wage employment represented approximately 47 percent of the aggregate off-farm income of commercial farm-operator families in 1955.16 Thus, it may be fair to conclude that off-farm earnings of commer— cial farm operators from current productive effort were equal to approximately $1.5 billion in 1956. ll’fNathan M. Koffsky and Ernest W. Grove, "The Current Income Position of Commercial Farms," in Policy for Com- mercial Agriculture: Its Relation to Economic Growth and Stability (Papers Submitted by Panellsts Appearing Before the Subcommittee on Agricultural Policy of the Joint Economic Committee, 85th Congress, 1st Session; Washington: U. 8. Government Printing Office, 1957), p. 84. l5;p;g., Table l, p. 86. Calculated by author. 16U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census 9f A ricul- ture: 1954, Vol. III, Part 11, Table 8, p. 49. Calculated by author. 204 Commercial farm operators (i.e. operators of farms with gross sales of $2,500 or more) received about $799 million from working for others for wages or salaries in 1955.17 Per capita off-farm wage earnings were equal to about $364 for commercial farm operators in 1955.18 No estimate of the average wage earnings of commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment is readily avail- able, but it is possible to derive an approximation based upon survey data. Earlier it was noted that about 6.3 percent of all commercial farm operators received earn- ings from farm wage employment in 1955 and that 21.0 per- cent received earnings from nonfarm wage employment. Assuming that the percentage of commercial farm operators with both farm and nonfarm wage earnings was equal to the percentage of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wages from both farm and nonfarm sources, it is estimated that approximately 26.5 percent of all commercial farm opera- tors received income from off-farm wage employment in 1955. Based upon the size of the commercial farm-operator labor force represented by aggregate income estimates derived from the 1955 Expenditure Survey, it appears that the per capita wage and salary earnings of commercial farm opera- tors who worked for others for wages or salaries in 1955 were equal to approximately $1,372. 17lpgg. Calculated by author. 18Ibid. Calculated by author using unpublished esti- mates of the farm-operator labor force used in expanding data from the 1955 survey. 205 OASI Farm Operators lg 1957 Income data from.the Continuous Work-History Sample affords a new source of information on the off-farm.wage earnings of farm operators. In this section we will examine the amount and size distribution of off-farm wage earnings of persons who reported agricultural self-employ— ment earnings for social security coverage in the year 1957. As presented in this section, all estimates of the wage earnings of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force are based upon a sample of 4,445 individuals for whom wage earnings were reported in 1957. No information was available on the wage earnings of persons not reporting location of farm in 1957. In addition, of the 4,589 wage earners reporting location of fanm in 1957, the amount of wage earnings for 144 individuals was not available from the Continuous Work-History Sample. Excluding persons for whom the amount of wage earn- ings was not reported in 1957, it is estimated that the aggregate covered wage earnings of the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force were equal to $422.6 million in 1957. The per capita wage earnings of individuals with covered off-farm wage and salary employment in 1957 were approxi- mately 3951. Because of the limitations of OASI farm- operator data, both the aggregate and the average wage earnings of OASI farm operators in 1957 were substantially less than the corresponding estimates for the commercial farm-operator labor force in 1955. 206 I The size distribution of the off-farm.wage earnings of OASI farm-operators provides a more adequate measure of the extent to which members of the farm-operator labor force are dependent upon off-farm wage employment than do estimates of the per capita wage earnings of farm opera- tors. An estimate of the distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators by taxable wage earnings in 1957 is given in Table VI-3. Since the estimate shown here represents only wage earnings taxable under the social security pro- gram, the lower limit of the distribution is approximately $50 for individuals with nonfarm wage earnings and $150 for individuals with farm wage earnings. In both cases the upper limit is p4,200. Despite these limits, the highly skewed distribution of off-farm wage earnings is readily apparent. The median wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage or salary employment in 1957 were equal to only $518 as compared with per capita wage earnings of $951. Nearly one-third of all farm operators who worked off the farm for wages or salaries had off-farm wage earnings of less than $200, and approx- imately two-thirds had wage earnings of less than $1,000. Comparison pf Estimates Although OASI farm—operator data represent, in gen- eral, commercial farm operators, estimates of the aggre- gate wage earnings of OASI farm operators can be expected to differ from estimates of the aggregate wage earnings .mamsmm hpopmfimuxhog mooscflpcoo mmubm0H “moASOm .nmma :fi mwcfinhmo mwmz symmummn mo pndoem wcfiphommh no: mcomnom pom padooom op vopmznuw poz .mpmu mamamm 50pm vopmsfipmm "mpoz 207 o.ooa oon«¢¢¢ ampoe n.a oooqo whoa to ooo.s o.N oom.~a 000.; . 00m.m o.m oom.ma ome.m . ooo.m m.m 00m.na mom.m - cem.m H.m cem.mm mos.m . ooo.m m.o oom.sm oom.a - 00m.H H.0H oom.s¢ mm¢.H . ooo.a m.o ooo.mm mom . oom m.o ooa.o~ mos - coo m.o oom.~¢ mam . ooe a.ma oom.oo mam - com 0.0m oos.oma oom swap mmmq Annmaaoaw puma ca owmpcmoamm . gonadz mwcflchmm mwmz Ehwmummo mmpmpm Umpwcs msocfishmpcoo on» non .mwcflcuwm mwmz manmxwp an mmma ca unmezoamso mww3.enwmummo npflzcmMOpmnwmo Show Hm¢o bmaauu.muH> mqmde 208 of commercial farm operators for two reasons. First, commer- cial farm operators with wage earnings of $4,200 or more from covered employment in 1957 were ineligible for social security coverage on farm self-employment earnings because they would have received maximum coverage on the basis of wage earnings alone. Consequently, these individuals would not have been identified by social security records as farm operators. Second, among commercial farm operators includ- ed in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, individuals with wage earnings under the minimum level required for social security coverage would not be identified as multi- ple jobholders by social security records. In most cases these individuals were those with nonfarm wage earnings of less than $50 in a calendar quarter and those with farm wages of less than $150 from one employer during the cal- endar year. The effect of provisions of the social security pro- gram upon estimates of off-farm wage earnings for the OASI farm-operator labor force will be, as compared with esti- mates for all commercial farm operators, to include a lower percentage of the total labor force as off-farm wage earners and to lower the average wage earnings of farm operators. The extent to which estimates for OASI farm operators and commercial farm operators differ can be illustrated with the use of estimates derived from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures. As indicated 209 previously, approximately 582,144 commercial farm- operators (including extra farm-operator partners) worked off the farm for wages or salaries in 1955. The aggregate wage earnings of commercial farm operators in 1955 were equal to approximately $798,973,000. It will be possible, with the use of survey data, to estimate the number of commercial farm operators eligible for social security coverage on both farm self-employment earnings and off-farm wage earnings in 1955 and the ag- gregate covered wage earnings of farm operators eligible for social security coverage. It was suggested earlier in this chapter that the 1955 survey estimates understated the aggregate off-farm income of farm-operator families because no adjustment was made to account for farms not counted in the 1954 Census of Agriculture. Among commercial farm operators, it is estimated that 91,237 farm operators were excluded from the universe represented by the survey estimates for the year 1955.19 Assuming that the rate of off-farm wage employment and average wage earnings for these farm opera- tors were equal to those for commercial farm operators sampled in the 1955 survey, it is estimated that the sur- vey estimate excludes 24,l78 commercial farm operators, including extra partnership operators, who received wage and salary earnings in 1955 and aggregate wage and sal- ary earnings equal to approximately $33,172,000. After 19See Appendix III, Table III-B. 210 accounting for farm operators excluded from the universe sampled in 1955, it is therefore estimated that a total of 606,322 commercial farm operators received aggregate wage and salary earnings equal to $832,145,000 in 1955. Of the commercial farm operators surveyed in 1955, it is estimated that about 23 percent of those with wage employment worked on farms and that the remaining 77 percent worked at nonfarm jobs. The estimates given in the preceding paragraph take into account the small num- ber of farm operators who had both nonfarm and farm wage employment, so it will not be necessary to make further adjustments to account for these individuals. About 7 percent of all commercial farm operators receiving farm wages reported wage earnings of $4,200 or more in the 1955 survey, and about 10 percent of those receiving non- farm wages reported earnings of 54,200 or more. Given the estimated number of commercial farm operators with wage and salary employment in 1955, the percentage with farm wage employment and nonfarm wage employment, and the percentage within each class with wage earnings of $4,200 or more, it is estimated that 56,449 commercial farm operators with wage employment in 1955 would have been excluded from the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. Approximately 28 percent of all commercial farm op- erators with farm wage employment in 1955 reported wage 211 earnings of less than $150, and approximately 6 percent of those with nonfarm wage employment reported wage earnings of less than $50. Consequently, it is estimated that 39,047 commercial farm operators had farm wages of less than $150 in 1955 and that 28,012 commercial farm operators had nonfarm wage earnings of less than $50. Ignoring the fact that a few wage earners could have had nonfarm wage earnings in excess of $50 without qual- ifying for social security coverage, approximately 67,095 commercial farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment would not have been classified as multiple jobholders in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force because of the lower limit on taxable wages and salaries. In all, it is estimated that 123,508 commer- cial farm operators with wage employment in 1955 would have been either excluded from the 1955 OASI farm- operator labor force or not identified as multiple job- holders by social security records. Calculated as a residual, approximately 482,814 commercial farm operators were eligible for social security coverage on both farm self-employment earnings and off-farm wage earnings in 1955. Income data provided by the 1955 survey permit estimation of the aggregate wage and salary earnings of commercial farm operators who were eligible for both farm self—employment and off-farm wage employment coverage 212 in 1955. Using unpublished survey estimates of the average wage earnings of each of the four groups of commercial farm operators not counted as multiple job- holders because of the limitations of social security coverage, it is estimated that the aggregate wage and salary earnings of commercial farm operators not iden- tified as wage earners in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force were equal to $355,787,000. Hence, it is estimated that the aggregate wage earnings of commercial farm operators eligible for social security coverage on both farm self-employment and off-farm wage earnings were equal to $476,358,000 in 1955. For commercial farm-operators designated as having covered off-farm wage earnings, per capita wage earnings would have been approximately $987. As compared with estimates for all commercial farm operators, it is concluded that OASI employment records would have accounted for approximately 80 percent of the individuals with wage earnings from either farm or nonfarm sources and about 57 Percent of the aggregate wage earnings of commercial farm operators in 1955. Although these estimates are based upon sample data and do not account for noncommercial farm operators included in the OASI farm—operator labor force, they may serve to indicate the extent to which OASI and commercial farm- operator estimates can be expected to differ. It will be 213 noted that the estimated per capita wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered off-farm wage employment differs from the estimated per capita wage earnings of commercial farm operators eligible for OASI coverage on both agricultural self-employment earnings and off-farm wage earnings in 1955 by only $36. OASI Estimates for Commercial Farm Operators Although the OASI farm-operator labor force is not identical with the commercial farm-operator labor force, the similarity between the two groups appears sufficient to permit estimation of the off-farm wage earnings of commercial farm operators from OASI sample data. To construct such an estimate, it will be assumed that all persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force would have qualified as commercial farm operators. In addition, certain assumptions are necessary to account for commercial farm operators not included as wage earn- ers in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. For this purpose, the following assumptions, based upon sample data from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures, are made: 1. The 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force includes as wage earners 80 percent of all commercial farm operators with off-farm.wage employment in 1957. 2. Among all commercial farm operators with off- farm wage employment in 1957, 11 percent re- ceived wage earnings below the minimum level necessary to be included as multiple jobholders 214 in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, and 9 percent were excluded from the 1957 OASI farm- -operator labor force because they received wage earnings of 84, 200 or more in covered employment. 3. For commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 who were not repre- sented by OASI wage employment data, the per capita wage earnings of those with wage earn- ings below the level required for OASI cover- age were 843, and the per capita wage earnings of those with earnings of 84, 200 or more were 86,082. Given the assumptions listed above, the distribution given in Table VI-3 for 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wages in 1957 may be extended at each end to provide an estimate of the distribution of commercial farm opera- tors with off-farm wage employment by off-farm earnings in 1957. This has been done in constructing the distri- bution shown in Table VI-4. The estimates shown in this table represent all 1957 OASI farm operators with off- farm wage employment in 1957, including those individuals for whom the amount of wage earnings in 1957 were not reported, plus estimates of the number of individuals with wage earnings below the minimum level required for social security coverage and the number of individuals excluded from the actual 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force because they received wage earnings of 84,200 or more in covered employment. The distribution of OASI farm operators recorded as having wage employment in 1957 but for whom the amount of wage earnings was not 215 .mep mom “meadow 0.00a 0mm.smm ampoe m.m 0mm.0a whoa to 000.0 a.m 00m.ma 000.m - 000.m m.4 m0>.m~ 000.4 - 000.4 a.m msm.0m 000.m - 000.m N.N N004m4 000.~ - 000.m a.ma 0mm.me 000.4 . 000.a 4.40 Hmm.4mm 000 u a mmmpcmopmm Amnssz mwcwwwmwawmwabwmwmmwmo umma .mmpwpm 0mpflcb msocfieuwpcoo map pom .mw:H:hmo apmmumwo an unmeaoamao mmw3.8pmmummo Spa: myopmpmmo Spam Hmflopmaaoo mo mmpwaapmMII.4uH> mqmde 216 reported was assumed to be distributed in proportion to persons for whom the amount of wage earnings was reported. It was estimated that 65,698 commercial farm operators were included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force but not recorded as wage earners because of low wage earnings. It was also estimated that 53,752 commenfial farm operators were not eligible for inclusion in the 1957 OASI farm—operator labor force because they received wage earnings of 84,200 or more in 1957. Information necessary to estimate the dis- tribution of persons included in the latter group by amount of off-farm wage earnings was derived from the 1955 survey. It should be recognized that the estimates given in Table VI-4 are based upon sample data which includes mate- rially participating farm landlords and excludes bona fide farm operators who reported after the cut-off date of the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. Ignoring this fact for the moment, it is estimated that 597,250 commercial farm operators worked for others for wages or salaries in 1957. The highly skewed distribution of wage earners in the com- mercial farm—operator labor force is evident. The estimates given here indicate that nearly two-thirds of all commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 had wage and salary earnings of less than 81,000. The median wage earnings of commercial farm operators working off the farm in 1957, as estimated from a more detailed breakdown than shown in Table VI-4, were only 8517. 217 As mentioned earlier, the aggregate wage earnings of persons for whom covered wages were reported under the social security program in 1957 were equal to approx- imately 8423 million. For persons working off the farm in covered wage employment, per capita wage earnings were equal to 8951. Among commercial farm operators surveyed in 1955, the average wage earnings of those with wage earnings below the level required for social security coverage were 843, and the average wage earnings of those with wages of 84,200 or more were 86,082. Assuming that OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957 but for whom the amount of wage earnings was not reported had average wage earnings of 8951 and that the two groups of farm operators whose wage earnings were not represent- ed by OASI sample data had average wage earnings of 843 and 86,082, it is estimated that the aggregate wage earn- ings of commercial farm operators in 1957 were equal to 8784 million. This estimate represents per capita wage earnings of 81,313 for commercial farm operators with off—farm.wage or salary employment. In comparison, it will be recalled that the per capita wage earnings of commercial farm operators in 1955 were approximately $1,372. At this point it will be useful to reconsider briefly the correspondence between the OASI farm-operator labor force and the commercial farm-operator labor force. It 218 has been estimated that there were 2,079,403 farms with gross sales of 82,500 or more in 1957. This estimate was based, however, upon interpolation between the num- ber of commercial farms enumerated in the 1954 and 1959 Censuses of Agriculture. When this estimate is adjusted to account for underenumeration of commercial farms in the censuses and extra farm-operator partners using esti- mates applied in expanding sample data from the 1955 Survey of Farmers' Expenditures (see Appendix III), it is estimated that there were 2,210,675 commercial farm operators in 1957. Assuming a slight increase between 1955 and 1957 in the number of commercial farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment, it was previ- ously estimated that 27 percent of all commercial farm operators had off-farm wage earnings in 1957.20 Applying this percentage to the estimated number of commercial farm operators in 1957, it is estimated on this basis that 596,882 commercial farm operators worked off the farm for wages and salaries in 1957. The estimates of off—farm wage employment of commer- cial farm operators derived from OASI sample data in this chapter represent an aggregate labor force of 2,239,652 individuals comprising an estimated 2,185,900 persons included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force plus 20Above, Chapter IV, n.29. 219 53,752 commercial farm operators with wage earnings of 84,200 or more in 1957. It was estimated that this labor force included 597,250 farm operators with off- farm wage or salary employment. This was the equiva- lent of 26.7 percent of the aggregate labor force. In terms of both the total size of the labor force and the proportion of the labor force with off-farm wage employment, the two sets of estimates given above are nearly identical. Nevertheless, it should be remem- bered that the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force includes materially participating farm landlords as well as bona fide farm operators. Thus, it cannot be contended that the OASI farm-operator labor force and the commercial farm-operator labor force are identical. Moreover, it should also be noted that no allowance has been made in any of the above estimates to account for individuals reporting agricultural self-employment earn- ings for social security coverage after the cut-off date of the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. Includ- ing estimates for late reports, the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force was estimated to have included 2,416,500 persons. It was also indicated earlier that approximately 200,000 farm landlords have annually qual- ified for agricultural self-employment coverage since 1956. Therefore, accounting for both late returns and materially participating farm landlords, the number of 220 bona fide farm operators who qualified for agricultural self-employment coverage in 1957 included about 2,216,500 persons. This estimate is approximately equal to the size of the commercial farm-operator labor force but exceeds slightly the number of commercial farm operators who would have been eligible for agricultural self- employment coverage in 1957. The commercial farm-operator labor force and the OASI farm-operator labor force, although not identical, appear to represent populations which are very similar. Data from sources other than social security records undoubtedly afford more reliable estimates of the size of the commercial farm—operator labor force; but, in view of the close correspondence in the off-farm employment and earnings estimates presented above, it is concluded that OASI farm-operator data are useful in constructing estimates of the off-farm wage employment and earnings of commercial farm operators. OASI sample data account only for about 80 percent of the commercial farm operators with off-farm wage employment, and information from other sources is required to account for all commercial farm operators working off the farm. However, the fact that OASI estimates are based upon samples considerably larger than those which have been used to estimate off-farm earnings in the past and that OASI data are available on an annual basis suggests that the use of OASI data 221 in estimating the off-farm wage employment and earnings of commercial farm operators could provide marked improve- ment over estimates available from other sources with respect to reliability, detail, and timeliness. Sources 9; Off-Farm Wage Earnings The importance of off-farm wage earnings in supple- menting the aggregate income of farm operators in the United States has been widely recognized, but informa- tion on the kinds of off-farm employment held by farm operators has, until recently, been available only from scattered local studies. Social security records from the Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File provide sample data on the off-farm wage employment of OASI farm opera- tors classified by industry of employment. This section utilizes wage employment data for the year 1957 to investigate the sources of off-farm wage and salary earnings of farm operators. Interpretation 9: the Estimates Estimates presented in this section are based pri- marily upon sample data relating to persons with agricul- tural self-employment earnings in 1957 who were included in the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample. The data were taken, however, from the matdiing 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File. The foregoing sections of this chapter have been concerned with the number of farm operators working off the farm and the amount of 222 earnings received by farm operators from off-farm wage and salary employment. No distinction was made between persons with wage earnings from a single source and persons with wage earnings from two or more sources. Because the purpose of this section is to provide esti- mates of the number of farm operators working in various industry groups and because a few farm operators do work in more than one type of industry during the course of a year, this section will focus on the number of off- farm wage jobs held by farm operators. Since the number of wage jobs held can be expected to exceed the number of farm operators working off the farm, caution should be exercised in relating the estimates given in this sec- tion to those presented earlier. The Annual Wage Card File contains supplementary information dealing with the wage and salary employment of individual workers included in the Continuous Work- History Sample. As represented by the two samples, how- ever, the number of farm operators with wage or salary employment are not identical. Some 1957 OASI farm opera- tors identified by the Continuous Work-History Sample as recipients of covered wage earnings in 1957 were not included in the 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card file. This discrepancy is largely attributable to the fact that the cut-off dates of the two samples are not the same. Since it is possible for individuals to file amended or late social security tax returns, the number 223 of persons receiving social security coverage for any given year is subject to change. To avoid prolonged delays in data processing, cut-off dates are arbitrarily established for each sample. The cut-off date for the 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File preceded the cut-off date for the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample; therefore individuals reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for the year 1957 after the cut- off date of the 1957 Annual Wage Card File but before the cut-off date of the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample are not represented by detailed wage employment data. These persons would.have been included in the sample data on the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force taken from the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample, but they would have been excluded from the 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File. Consequently, the num- ber of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage or salary employment in 1957, as estimated from the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample, exceeds the number of persons represented by the matching 1957 Annual Wage Card File. The disparity between the number of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment who were included in the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample and the number who were represented in the 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File is relatively 224 small. It is estimated that 477,800 1957 OASI farm operators received covered earnings from off-farm wage or salary employment in 1957. More than 90 percent of these individuals were included in the 1957 Annual Wage Card File. Since information on the industry in which wage earners were employed is included only in the Annual Wage Card File, estimates of the sources of off-farm wage and salary earnings are based upon data which exclude approximately 10 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators who had covered earnings from off-farm wage and salary employment in 1957. It was shown earlier that the Annual Employee- Employer Wage Card File includes one wage card for each employer from which an individual received covered wage or salary earnings during the calendar year. Because a few persons worked off the farm at more than one job during the year, the number of wage cards exceeds the number of persons represented by the sample. Approxi- mately 78 percent of all individual workers included in the set of matching wage cards for the year 1957 held only one covered wage or salary job during the year. About 16 percent held two jobs from which they received covered wage or salary earnings, and approximately 6 percent held three or more covered wage jobs. The esti- mates presented in this section were based upon a sample of 5,663 wage cards representing the off—farm wage and salary employment of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. 225 Industry pf Employment The purpose of this section is to determine the relative importance of various industries in providing off-farm wage and salary employment for farm operators. Individuals with covered wage or salary earnings from more than one employer are included in the following estimates on the basis of once for each covered wage job held during the year. Consequently, these estimates represent the number of wage and salary jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in the year 1957. They do not represent the number of individual farm operators with off-farm wage or salary employment. Recent estimates of multiple jobholding from the Current Population Survey provide certain estimates indicative of the relative importance of various indus- tries in providing off-farm.wage and salary employment for the farm—operator labor force. Estimates of the percentage distribution of multiple jobholders with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture in December 1960 by industry group of secondary job are given in Table VI-5. Since self-employed persons with a secondary farm or business are not counted as multiple jobholders in the Current Population Survey, the estimates shown here include only persons with secondary wage or salary employment. It will be noted that nearly 25 percent of all per— sons with off—farm wage or salary employment in December 226 TABLE VI- 5. --Persons with primary jobs as self— -employed workers in agriculture by industry of sec- ondary wage job for persons with two or more jobs, December, 1960 Industry of Secondary Job Percentage Distribution Agriculture 24.5 Construction 8.7 Manufacturing 15.4 Transportation and public utilities 18.3 Wholesale and retail trade 9.6 Services 13.5 Public administration 9.1 Miscellaneousa 0.9 Total 100.0 aIncludes wage and salary workers in forestry, fish- eries, and mining. Source: U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Multiple Jobholders in December 1960, Special Labor Force Report, No. 18, October, 1961_ Table B, p. A-6. 1960 held secondary jobs as hired workers in agriculture. Transportation and public utilities ranked second in terms of percentage of all multiple jobholders, followed by manufacturing and by wholesale and retail trade, in that order. These estimates indicate that work on some- one else's farm may account for the off-farm wage earn- ings of a great many farm operators and that the number of farm operators with wage earnings from agricultural sources is about equal to the number of farm operators 227 working in construction and manufacturing industries combined. Since the estimates given in Table VI-5 relate to persons who were classified as having primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture, it should not be concluded that these estimates are indicative of the sources of off-farm wage earnings for all farm operators. It seems likely that the distribution by industry of persons with secondary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture but with primary jobs off the farm would differ from the estimates given in Table VI-5 for work- ers with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agri- culture. In particular, we might expect to find a much lower percentage of farm operators with primary off- farm jobs working as hired farm laborers and a higher percentage working in nonagricultural industries. In addition, of course, it should be remembered that Current Population Survey estimates relate to a specific, one- week period and not to the annual off-farm employment of farm operators. Aside from persons excluded from agricultural self- employment coverage because of the upper limit on tax- able income for social security coverage, estimates of the off-farm wage and salary employment of all farm operators are represented by OASI data provided that minimum earning requirements were satisfied. Social 228 security data on off-farm wage and salary employment represent a labor force which differs from that portrayed by the Current Population Survey; therefore estimates of the source of off—farm wage earnings derived from social security data may tend to differ from estimates of the off-farm wage and salary employment of persons with primary jobs as self-employed workers in agriculture. Estimates relating to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force are for the calendar year; whereas Current Popula- tion Survey estimates are for a particular survey week. Also, a disproportionately large number of farm operators with off-farm wage employment in agriculture are excluded from social security data on multiple jobholding because many such persons did not have sufficient wage earnings to qualify for social security coverage. It may there- fore be expected that estimates based upon covered wage and salary employment will differ considerably from esti- mates based upon other data with regard to the percentage of farm operators with agricultural and nonagricultural wage and salary employment. The estimated number of wage and salary jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators in 1957 by major industry group is given in Table VI-6. The industry classifica- tions used by the Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insur- ance for the year 1957 are based on the 1945-49 Standard Industrial Classification Manual of the U. 8. Bureau of 229 the Budget and differ slightly from the revised industry classifications shown in Table VI-5. Most striking of the estimates shown in Table VI-6 is that nearly one-third of all off-farm wage and salary jobs held by 1957 OASI farm-operators during the year 1957 were associated with government at the federal, state, or local level. Wholesale and retail trade ranked second in terms of percentages with approximately 18 per- cent of all off-farm wage and salary jobs, and manufactur- ing ranked third with about 16 percent. Agriculture, forestry, and fishing were represented by only about 11 percent of all off-farm wage jobs reported in 1957. Wage Earnings py Industry Although the number of off-farm wage jobs provided by various industries gives some indication of the industries upon which farm operators are dependent for off-farm wage and salary earnings, equally important is the amount of earnings received by farm operators from employment in the different industries. Thus, for example, while govern- ment employment accounted for approximately 29 percent of all covered off-farm wage jobs in 1957 and manufacturing industries accounted for only about 16 percent, it is not improbable that the average wage earnings for jobs in manufacturing establishments are substantially higher than the average wage earnings for jobs in government. It also seems reasonable to expect average wage earnings V . 230 .mafim ammo mwmg 90%OHQEMImmhoamam Hmscc< hmma “oohsom .mppomop opma m03H02fi op cmpm5ncw poz .mumv mamemm Scum 00meHpmm "opoz .mnoh 0mfiMflmmmHocs 02m magmaMflmmmaoco: mmvsaoCHm 0.00H 00m.00wI ameoe 0.H oom.m mmdomcmaamomfiz H.0N 000.00H Umflmfimmmaoco: I pcmechm>00 0.0 000.0m mmofi>pmm 4.H 00m.w mumpmm Amos 0cm .oocmLSmcw .mocmcwm o.NH 00H.HOH mumpp Hampop 0cm mammmaona 0.4 00m.mm moflpfiafip: ofiansm 0.ma 00H.mm mcwpdpommscmz 0.0a 00m.0m composppmcoo pomppcoo o.N 00m.a4 wsaeaz m.0a 000.00 wcwnmam 0cm .mnpmmuom .wLSpH50H9w< uwmpcmohmm amnesz hnumscsH mmpmpm 0mpflcs msoQHEhopcoo esp mom .spemseea as smma ea mpepmpeeo seem Hmao emoa as 0am: meow ewes--.0-H> mamae N ‘231 in agricultural jobs to be lower than average wage earn- ings in manufacturing establishments. The amount of wage earnings was not reported for approximately 4 percent of the wage and salary jobs rep- resented by the matching sample taken from the 1957 Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card File. Estimates of the aggregate and average wage earnings within each industry group have therefore been based upon sample data which represent the off-farm wage and salary employ- ment of approximately 86 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators with covered earnings from off-farm wage employment in 1957. No adjustment has been made to account for off-farm jobholders not represented by the wage card sample or for jobs for which the amount of wage earnings was not reported. Estimates of the aggregate, average, and median wage earnings for the off-farm wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators-in 1957, by industry, are presented in Table VI-7. Excluding jobs for which the amount of wage earnings was not reported, it is estimated that the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force received aggregate wage and salary earnings of 8401.7 million from a total of 541,300 jobs during the year 1957. These estimates represent the off-farm wage and salary employment of approximately 86 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators, including individuals not reporting location of farm in 232 mwcacawm mmmz_mo pzdoew moan: mom mDOn mousaoxm .mafim upmo mme AmmoHQEMImmhoaaem Hmsccm bmma "meadow .wcflvcsoh no mmdmomn waspop op 00m no: has mawmpmn .0mppommn no: mm: .mpmv wadsmm Eoum copmaapmm “mpoz .m90n UmHMflmmmHocs 0cm maanMHmmmHoco: mmusaocHw mnm» mmn 5.H04 oomaamw, Hmpoe «a: How 0.0 00080 annomcmaawomfiz and no: 0.00 00m.b4a UmHMfimmmaoco: I pcmecnm>oo was 040 H.4m 00H.0m meeaeeem m0m 400 0.0 000.0 mpmpmm Hams 02m .oocmmSmcw .wocmcfim mo: mun n.0b 000.m0 mumnp Hfiwpmn 0cm mammmaona 5mm 0H0 a.ma 00N.mm weapaaaps eaaeee e45 mna.a m.~0a 00m.em meapspommscez mmm mmo 4.mm 000.00 ceasesppmeoe pomppcoo mmm mos m.s 005.0H mcaeaz mmm mus m.m4 00m.00 weaemam use .sppeeeom .epseaseaem4 mmAmHHom mo Ampeaaoav Aepmaaoav meoaaaezv meow mmcficnmm mwcflchmm mwcficnmm mo hppmsvcH ommg cmficmz mmmz mmwnm>< nonasz . ewes aeeoe mmpmpm umpflca adocHEpmpcoo map pom .mhpmmwcw kn mwsficuwm mwmz cwfiwma 0cm .mmmum>w .Hmpop “umma ca mQOpmmoQo Spam Hmdo bmma >9 uams mQOn mwmznn.buH> mqma e.ea ness» masses one eaeeeaeez o.m o.m n.~ e.~ e.m one s.m chm eoapaaap: assess s.ea m.ea “is e.~H m.ea «.Ha a.mm u.a~ meanspeemseez a.ma n.oa «.ma m.o m.u m.oa e.m w.» eoaeoshpeeoo sequence «.0 o.« y- 0.“ 0.H m.~ m.a e.a manna: ‘ . . , wees-am m.s~ e.ea e.ea a.ma o.s H.m H.m o.m ens .sepeeeeu .eespaseaeme oauaoe assesses aenosoo Hosanna oapseapdwwmnpeeo Hahvmeo nude _ . n . . epsom apnea nesem .eeeez neeoz -eoeez seemseeH pmfl ‘ Dad 0.30 PIG ‘ ‘ esowueh oasesuwoeu mamas mom .hupmsmsuhn mama so neopeeeee enememeo smoa an odes neon emu: mo.eoapseaephae emeeeeeeomu-.H-HH> mamas 2&1 The most important source of off-farm wage employ- ment, in terms of number of Jobs, was government. For the conterminous United States, nonclassified Jobs in local, state, and federal governments accounted for nearly 30 percent of all wage Jobs held by 1957 OASI fanm operators. In comparison with other regions, rel- atively fewer Jobs in government were held by farm opera- tors in the Mountain and Pacific states. muong all regions, the percentage of government jobs ranged from a low of only 12.1 percent in the Pacific states to a high of 36.0 percent in the East South Central states. In the‘West North Central, South Atlantic, and East South Central states nonclassified government Jobs rep- resented more than 30 percent of all covered off-farm wage and salary Jobs held by members of the 1957 OASI fhrm-operator labor force. is: A , g. With reference to age of the farm.operator, it is hypothesized that Jobs in manufacturing industries and in contract construction are generally more common among individuals in the younger age classes and that older farm operators who work off the farm.tend to work pre- dominantly in jobs other than in manufacturing and con- tract construction. The percentage distribution of wage Jobs held by 1957 OASI fanm operators in 1957 by industry tend to support this hypothesis. The percentage of wage 2h2 Jobs in industrial establishments ranged from.a high of 19.3 percent for persons under 25 years of age to a low of 11.5 percent for persons 65 years of age or more (Table VII-2). Jobs in contract construction tended to be most common among 1957 OASI farm operators in the range of from 25 years to 51+ years of age. In addition, jobs in wholesale and retail trade also tended to be relatively more important among younger farm operators and to decrease in importance with increasing age. The estimates presented in Table VII-2 indicate that work on someone else's farm.may be relatively less important for individuals in the range of from 35 years to 5k years of age than for individuals either less than 35 years of age or 55 years of age or more. Only about 9 percent of the Jobs held by farm operators in the range of from 35 years to 51+ years of age were in agriculture, forestry, and fishing. Among persons in the other four age classes, the percentage of jobs in this class ranged from a low of approximately 12 percent for persons in the range of’from 25 years to 3h years of age and 55 years to 6k years of age to a high of 15.6 percent for persons under 25 years of age. It is also suggested, on the basis of estimates for the 1957 OASI farmeoperator labor force, that the per- centage of government jobs held by farm operators varies directly with age. Of the covered wage and salary jobs 2h3 .oaah undo owe: hohoaasmueohoamsm Hesse< bmoa .spsv mamas» Scam mopesapem nooasom ”opoz .nnon oofiuamomaoss use canaamwoeeaooom mousaomHm o.ooa o.ooa 0.00H o.ooa o.ooa o.ooa Hence N.N 5.0 n.~ 5.H w.o h.a ansooceaaoomaz n.0m H.0m 0.0m H.0m o.NN w.ba commammmaoso: u poosmho>oo N.oa m.w «.0 ¢.m b.m m.m nooabaom >.m m.a ¢.H H.H m.o 5.H mumpmo Home use .oocmpdmsfi .oommewh a.ma m.uH s.sa m.ma o.oa m.o~ some» dampen new easemaonz m.~ H.~ o.m o.m s.m 0.HH eoapaaap: campus a.ma a.ma «.ma ~.na m.wa m.oa wanesposesses 0.4 m.m H.0H m.HH 5.HH m.m mowposapmsoo pomApmoo «.0 m.o o.m o.a o.N m.o messes e.ma 0.HH m.m o.e m.ma e.ma weaemao new .hhpmoaom .ohdpasofihwd s 3 any mm: “mm me. it no 0 d hapnsucH .nepopm ocean: aromatheucoo one how .owd he..hapnscsa hp bmaa :H esopseeee seam Hmeo sham an eaoe meow ewes do eeapsnaeeeae .mspeoenom--.~-HH> mamas Zhh held by 1957 OASI farm operators, nonclassified govern- ment jobs accounted for 17.8 percent of all Jobs held by farm operators under 25 years of age and increased in importance with increasing age. Nearly #0 percent of all wage jobs held by persons 65 years of age or’more were associated with government at the local, state, or federal level. Memes; Although relatively few Negro farm operators and relatively few female workers are included in the 1957 OASI farm-operator laborforce, the kinds of’off-farn wage employment held by persons in these classes deserve attention. First, with respect to race, it is suggested that Negro farm operators tend to be associated pre- dominantly with jobs involving manual labor. Therefore, the hypothesis is advanced that work as hired farm laborers and in manufacturing industries and contract construction is relatively more important for Negro farm operators than for non-Negro farm operators. Table VII-3 includes estimates of the distribution of wage jobs held by Negro and non-Negro farm operators by industry of ‘ employment. These estimates tend to support the hypoth- esis suggested above.‘ Nearly 33 percent of all jobs held by Negro farm operators in the 1957 OASI farm- operator labor force were in agriculture, forestry,_and fishing; and approximately 38 percent were in either 2A5 .oawm undo ewes nohoamsm1oohoamsm Headed bmma ”oomsom .spso mamas» Bonn oopssapnw "epoz .nnofi vowmaonmaoss u:m.eansamaonmaosos mousaosHs o.ooa o.ooa o.ooa [o.ooa Hence \w.o baa, n.H and assessaaaeonaz o.m a.aa m.m o.om eoaoaeaeaoeoe . peeaeneseu o.em o.e «.HH e.e .oeaseem m.m 44H med eta use .eommmwwwmo.wwmmsam «.mm 5.5H «.0 o.om oeeep.aaeeee one ensueaees H.H 5.4 y- e.e assesses: assess ~33 0.3 on: or? afiespoamsee: m.4 m.oa 4.- mam composapunoo posapsoo “.0 o.N In o.N magmas e.m o.oa o.Nm “flea .sspeeepwemumwmammmeme caesium estp iwoawez cements m havesomw -Kom comm .. . A -eepmpm condos anomashopsoo one mom 6 111.1 [a 1-, Humilmphasuf. .wea use some up .hapmsuma he mama ma eaopsuemo amen undo mama so uaem upon ewe3.mo moansnaupeau emspmeeaemuu.mnHH> mnm wands A c I. 2A9 farm operators without off-farm wage employment in 1956 were in manufacturmng industries as compared with 15.9 percent of the jobs held by persons with off-farm wage employment in the preceding year. However, jobs in agri- culture, forestry, and fishing'were also more predominant among persons with wage employment in the preceding year than among persons without wage employment in 1956. About 30.7 percent of the Jobs held by farm operators who had no wage employment in previous years were in government, but this percentage exceeded that for farm operators with off-farm wage employment in the previous year by only about 2 percentage points.' It seems fair to conclude that, although some differences may exist between the industries in which farm operators with previous job experience work and those in which new entrants to the off-farm labor force work, these differe ences do not appear to be large. However, employment was generally at a fairly high level in 1957, and.new entrants to the off-farm labor force may find certain kinds of employment more difficult to obtain when jobs are less plentiful. . fist.Earniggs Iggg,Self¥Employment we have feund that off-farm wage and salary employ- ment is more prevalent among farm operators with net self-employment earning of less than 32,000 than among those with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more. 250 It also seems probable that incidence of off-farm wage employment in various industry groups also varies con- siderably with the level of net earnings from self- employment. Because farm operators with higher selfe employment earnings may tend generally to operate farms which require a larger share of the operators time, it is suggested that farm operators with larger than aver- age net self-employment earnings are less likely to hold offefarm jobs which require "full-time" employment. Consequently, the hypothesis is suggested that the inci- dence of off-farm wage employment in industries such as mining, contract construction, and manufacturing tends to diminish with increasing net earnings from self- employment. Conversely, it is suggested the percentage of all wage Jobs in finance, insurance, and real estate and in government is larger for farm operators with higher than average net earnings from self-employment. Estimates of the percentage distribution of wage jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators by industry are given in Table VII-5 forfarm operators classified by level of net earnings from self-employment. These esti- mates clearly tend to support the hypothesis suggested above. For Jobs in mining, contract construction, and manufacturing, the percentage of all off-farm.jobs fall- ing into these classes is greatest among farm.operators wdth net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 251 uoohoamam Hmoee< mama use oamasm huopmamuxaos nooseapaoo mmubmma .eaah demo owe: nohoamam "eohsom .epev a.means seam ceases-M .932 .30“. voflfinesaoesosu eanswmwnemaoeo: nousaosHs Ix o.oofi.. .o.ooa o.ooa\ ; . o.ooa Hesse _~.a ,owo 0.H. 1Nna emsooeoaaeouaz one; n.0m s.mm mess swaesmumaoaon - pecansosoo m.a ~.m a.“ m.e .osapgom 4.~ m.a m.a 4.H Lepmomo Huey use .eoesnsmea .eoneeah 4.5H «.ma m.oa «.ma oust» Hanson use assesses; «.4 «.4 ~.n ¢.s assesses: ceases m.e 0.0 spud m.sa weasspoumsesz ohm mam ash ¢.HH cowposhpueoo pomhpeoo 0.0 to “A N.N .955: 4.HH m.s o.a 4.aa weanuam use aupucsoo .onspasoauwe .tma.t. ems.“ ems.“ 000 N . .m .. an.“ “means new .fl xfeepmpm vegan: msonaahopsoo on» non unushoaaaeumaem scum nwswsame pee.hn .hupusvna up how utopeseao some Hmco smma en as»: snow and: Ho eonpsnasuuaeo omdpceohemul. .ml HHb flqmda 252 and tends to decrease, in general, with increasing net self-employment earnings. The incidence of Jobs in finance, insurance, and real estate appears to increase ‘with increasing net self-employment earnings; however, even among farm operators with net self-employment earn- ings of $6,000 or more, jobs in this category accounted for only atnut 2.h percent of all wage and salary Jobs. Considerably more noticeable is the variation in the percentage of nonclassified government Jobs. The per- centage of government Jobs ranged from a low of 2h.3 percent for farm operators with net self-employment earn- ings of less than $2,000 to a high of 50.3 percent for farm operators with net self-employment earnings of from $h,000 to $5,999. Although the percentage was slightly lower for government jobs held by farm operators with net earnings of $6,000 or more from selffemployment, it seems readily apparent that jobs in government are rela- tively less important, as a percentage of all jobs, among farm operators with lower than average net self-employment earnings. Because of differences in the kinds of Jobs held by farm operators with lower than average net earn- ings from self-employment, however, it appears likely that these individuals may tend to have higher wage earn- ings than other farm operators who worked off the farm for wages or salaries. This aspect of off-farm wage employment will be the subject of the concluding section of this chapter. 253 The Relation of Selected Characteristics to €E€“r3?31 of‘03f3Farm_ Eggg_Earnings 0n the basis of infermation about the level of wage earningsfor jobs in various industries and the charace teristics of farm operators who are employed in wage or salary jobs, one may suspect that certain relationships exist between the level of offefarm earnings and selected characteristics. The objective of this section is to investigate the relation between selected characteristics of farm operators with off-farm wage employment and the level of off-farm wage earnings. Geographic Region . We have seen that some variation exists among the eight major geographic regions of the conterminous United States in the percentage of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage earnings in 1957. It will be recalled that the percentage of farm operators who received wage or sal- ary earnings ranged from allow of 20.0 percent in the west North Central states to a high of 25.7 percent in the Mountain states. Among the other six regions, the rate of off-farm wage employment varied by less than h per- centage points.‘ The relative importance of off-farm wage employment among farm operators in different geographic regions cannot, however, be judged solely by the percent- age of farm operators working off the farm. Therefore, some attentionshould also be given to variations in the size distribution of off—farm wage and salary earnings. 25h Estimates based upon the 1955 survey of Farmers' Expenditures suggest that farm operators with off-farm wage employment in the Northeast, East North Central, Mountain, and Pacific states tend to have higher average wage earnings than do farm operators in the four remain- ing regions.2 The size distribution of off-farm wage earnings tends to be highly skewed; consequently esti- mates of average wage earnings may be misleading and are less useful than estimates of median wage earnings or the percentage of farm operators falling into selected income classes. To facilitate comparisons, statistical ‘ tests relating to the significance of differences between the wage earnings of various groups of farm operators are based upon differences between the proportions of farm operators with off-farm wage employment who received covered wage or salary earnings of less than $600 in the year 1957. . It was shown earlier that the median wage earnings of all 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage earn-h ings in 1957 were approximately $518 and that about 53.9 percent of all 1957 farm operators for whom wage earnings were reported had wage earnings of less than $600. With reference to location, let us first consider two groups of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1957. The first group comprises multiple jobholders 2Ibid. 255 in the Northeast, East North Central, Mountain, and Pacific states. The second includes farm operators in the South Atlantic, East South Central, west South Central, and West North Central states. The hypothesis is advanced that the percentage of farm operators with wage earnings of less than $600 is lower for persons in the former group than for persons in the latter group. Among farm operators working off the farm in the North- east, East North Central, Mountain, and Pacific states, approximately $8.5 percent of those with off-farm wage or salary employment in 1957 had wage earnings of less than_$600. Among farm operators in the remaining states, about 57.8 percent of those with wage employment in 1957 had wage earnings of less than $600. The difference between these percentages was significant at the 5 per- cent level. . Estimates of'the percentage distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage or salary employ- ment in 1957 by amount of off-farm wage earnings are given in Table VII-6 for eight geographic regions. In Table V1157 are presented estimates of the total, average, and median covered wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm opera- tors in each region. These estimates are based upon an aggregate sample of h,hh5 individuals for whom off-farm wage and salary earnings in 1957 were reported. No adjust- ment has been made to account for individuals who were 256 .oaasmm hpoumamuxhos moosmfipeou mmsbmma “common .hmma ma nonsense poo no: mmeflehme owo3_mo posses son: you snowmen mom unmoved op consumes poz ..opmv cannon Scum cepmaapem “epoz 0.00s 0.00s 0.00m o.ooH 0.00s 0.00s 0.00m 0.00s o.ooH dupes m.a m.~ 0.H 0.0 0.H m.a 0.H 0.H N.N ones to 000.4 mom a,“ «Wm sea ~.~ 0.4 mtm 0.m 4.~ 000nm - 00mnm 0,0 ~.a H.4 44N s.~ o.N m.~ ~44 atm 004nm - 000 m 0.m m.0 s.m mtm 4.4 4.4 Hem “44 0.4 000nm . 00mnm H.“ «.0 a.4 a.“ at“ 4.4 0.4 0.m mam aa4n~ - 000 a m.0 m.0 4.5 04m 5.“ a,“ a,“ «.5 ate . .000 a . oomua H.0H «to «.ma a.ma 0.e “.5 H40 «Jon mtaa 0m4. . 000. m.o 4.m m.0 0.0 0.m «.0 0.0 mam 04m 000. u com. m.o H.m 0.0 H.s 4.m 4.0 m.o 0.0 .4.m 005 u 000 0.0 H.0H m.m 4.m H.m 0.0a m.oa m.m a.m 000 s 004 a.ma m.m 4.4a m.ma a.ma -m44a n.4a a.ma 0.4a mom u com 0.0m 04am n.0m ocmm a.mm a.mm 0.4m >.>m u.o~ 00H s a acadmom OHHHodm :flmpgoz Hdhpnoo Hmhpflmo Ofiubdflpd Hahn—.30 Hwhpfioo Homo AunHHOQq HH< . . spoon spoon .epsom epsoz nusoz -eosoz puma ma macaques one; pus one: and one: and n .. nepopm mouse: moooashousoo.omp use osoamea pgwae new .uweficnso ows3.shmmnmno mo assess hp hmoa ea mongoose ens: ewsaeneo ewes susMuHuo sonz_nom unopeneeo sham Hmao bmoa no soapsnfinpufiu ewspseosemuu.ouHH> mqm_mum mumda 262 years of age who had covered wage earnings of less than $600 appears to be larger than the proportion of persons in the range of from 25 years to At years of age who had wage earnings of less than $600, the estimates presented in Table VII-8 suggest that the percentage of persons in the range of from 45 years to 5h_years of age who received wage earnings of less than $600 was roughly equal to the percentage among persons in the range of from 25 years to LA years of age. ‘ - Estimates of the total, average, and median wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment in 1957 are given in Table VII-9 for six age classes. For the three classes comprising persons in the range of from 25 years to St years of age per capita wage earnings ranged from a low of approxi- mately $968 to a high of approxbmately $1,007 and.median wage earnings ranged from a low of $541 to a high of $587. lMedian wage earnings for persons included in the three remaining classes were less than $500. assesses , , w With reference to race, the hypothesis is suggested that the wage earnings of Negro farm operators who work off the farm tend to be lower than the wage earnings of non-Negro farm operators. Specifically tested was the hypothesis that the proportion of Negro farm operators with covered wage and salary earnings of less than $600 263 .eamamm 0noum4m-xno3 esoocfipcoo m0-0mma “season .0004 :4 economeu no: no: mmsfimamo ewes no assess son: now escapee pom unsound op voomshum 902 .0900 causes seam,0opmaaoem “opoz man Hum o.NN: oou.¢¢4 House 000 400- 0000 000000 toso.0=a 00 404 ««0 , 0.00 000.00 40 - 00 440 000 0.404 000.404 40 - 04 400 000.4 0.444 0000444 44 - 00 000 00004 0.00 000000 40 - 0« 004 000. w 0.4« 004.0« 0« 00000 Jflmmmfl N ”WNW—.mmmw NIHGHH OMNWMEMMMHHHEM .onOnhaHCW .MC3 aflhd 0H. v eww3.:saoo: ewes ewspo>< ems: Hosea .mo.aooasz owd eepspm cepHsD esosasuepsoo on» you .ows 09 eweaease ems: ss40ea one .ewmaobs .aspop .0004 :4 messages one: emsasnse ewes sham-mmo son: now enopsuoao snow H040 0004-.m-HH> Manda 264 was equal to or less than the proportion of non-Negro farm operators with wage and salary earnings of less than $600. Despite the small number of Negro farm opera- tors included in the 1937-58 Continuous werk-History Sample, the differences in proportions was sufficient to provide a basis for rejecting the test hypothesis at the 5 percent level. It is estimated that 63.6 percent of all Negro farm operators with covered off-farm wage em- ployment had wage earnings of less than $600 as compared with only 53.8 percent of all non-Negro farm operators who worked off the farm (Table VII-10). As noted above, relativelyfew Negro farm operators were included in the sample representing the 1957 OASI farm-operators labor force, and estimates indicative of the off-farm wage and salary earnings of Negro farm operators who worked off the farm were derived from a sample of 66 Negro farm operators. Based upon this sam- ple, it is estimated that the average wage earnings of OASI Negro farm operators working off the farm in 1957 were $70k. In comparison, the average wage earnings of non-Negro OASI farm operators were approximately $95k in that year. The median wage earnings of Negro and non-Negro farm operators were approximately $h36 and $521, respectively. . Although the incidence of off-farm wage and salary employment was lower among female operators than among 265 .e4msmm 0.430.274.4004 noose-Boon 00.0004 "ooasom .0004 044 009.4000.“ poses: uwfisuse ems: no pssoassomz no.4 0:00.424 no.4 #4450000 3 000.2430 902 .0430 04050 80.4.4 00908334 .302 0.004 x .‘ 0.004 , 0.004 . 0. 004 44000 once .40 000 .4 000. 0- 000.0 004.0 - 000..0 000.« - 000 « 004W - 000.. « 000.4 - 000. .4 x 000. 4 000. - 000. 000 - 000 000 - 004 000 - 000 004 - 4 .03le 40.34403 eosm . . New ; v 0004 8.4 mwfigm Co. 0 #010 O\\OI\M\OM l H O'.‘ MOMOQ O\D m4mm H H O'OOIO'OO .‘.'.‘.o...e .‘O'.~.-.- O O \ \OOJ‘MQQQQNHN '. .e H M000 00 JMMN H ---l H O\ 0\ .d' H I COMO (fir-IN O\Q\O Own ,. 0-0- N [Nb-HHVOO t-IO I 1A O‘md'mmfl MOOOOHA O M H coco4xococo4m40ozm O O N A m [E @- 009000 04.90:: 048550300 one .484 .394 one we» .00. .umefifioe ems: atom-Hue .40 95.830 09 0004 :4 coupon: one: nwfiusaso ems: atom-who son: non monotone shay 40.40 0004 .40 443934.4an ewspseomem-u.04-.HH> "4.43.4. 266 male farm operators in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force, it is difficult to predict whether or not the level of off-farm wage earnings differs between male and female farm operators. Without predicting direction, it is there- fore hypothesized that the level of off-farm wage and salary earnings of female workers differs from the level of earnings of male workers. It is estimated that 54.1 percent of all male farm operators receiving covered wages and salaries in 1957 had wage earnings of less than $600. and that t8.0 percent of all female workers had wage earn- ings of less than $600 (Table VII-10). At the 5 percent level, however, the difference between the percentage of male and female workers with wage earnings of less than $600 was not statistically significant. - Among OASI farm operators included inthe 1937-58 ContinuoustOrk-Histo y Sample, the average and median ‘wage earnings of male and female farm operators were notably different. sThe average wage earnings of female farm operators who worked off the farm were $1,12h as compared with only $9hh for male farm operators. The median wage earnings of female workers were approximately $688, while the median wage earnings of'male workers were approximately 3513. Previous ggb‘Experience Although there were no major differences between industries in which farm operators with off-farm employment 267 in the preceding year worked and those in which other farm operators worked in the year 1957, it seems probable that significant differences exist in the level of off— farm wage and salary earnings of these two groups. ‘We have seen that there occurs among farm operators sub- stantial movement into and out of the off-farm labor force. A large number of farm operators appear to participate in the off-farm labor force only sporadically, and it is suggested that these individuals are dependent upon farm earnings as their major source of income. Consequently, the hypothesis is advanced that, among farm operators who work off thefarm, those with wage and salary employ- ment in the preceding year tend to have substantially higher wage and salary earnings than do farm operators who did not work off the farm.in the preceding year. The hypothesis tested was that the percentage of 1957 OASI farm operators with covered wage earnings of less than $600 was, for persons without covered off-farm wage employment in 1956, equal to or less than the cor- responding percentage for persons who received covered wage or salary earnings in 1956. This hypothesis was rejected at the 5 percent level of significance. As shown in Table VII-ll, approximately 73.h percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators who had covered wage earnings in 1957 but not in 1956 had wage and salary earnings of less than $600 in 1957. In comparison, it is estimated 268 .o4mamm 0hopm4m-xho3_msosm4pcoo 00-0m04 ”season .0004.s4 ooppomea pom ones mws4mase owes no assess moms mom snowmen mom 9050000 on oopnsfivs poz .mpsu o4aamm_sosm oopss4pum .seuoz 0.004 0.004 40000 o.N «.0 shoe to ooou4 0.0 «.0 000.0 - 000.0 4.4 4.4 004.. 0 - 000.0 0.4 0.4 000. « - 000 « 0.0 0.« 004.« - 000.« 0.0 0.0 000. 4 - 000.4 4.44 «.0 004.4 - 000.4 4.0 0.4 000 - 000. “.0 0.0 000 - 000 .0 0.0 000 - 004 0.«4 0.04 000 - 00« 0.4« 0.04 004 - 4 0004 :4 psmmne4mam emsa 0wm4 m4 pmosho4msm mums. ~0h044oav sash-mmo mp4a:maopmnomo sash-mmo psomp43 unopeneao 00w“ :4 mws4samm 0 444.46,...- .sspspm 0.04:0 esos4suopmoo on» new .0004 :4 emmneboo psoa0o4mae ems: 0p .ewm4mpso emez.mo assess 09 0004 :4 oopuomea oaos_mws4mnse emm:_aoms.nom shoaouomo Show Hmdo 0004 Ho :o4psnwaon40 owspmoosemI-.44IHH> Hands 269 that only about A6.5 percent of all 1957 OASI farm opera- tors who had covered wage earnings in both 1956 and 1957 had wage and salary earnings of less than $600 in 1957. Approximately 27 percent of all individuals for whom covered wage and salary earnings were reported in 1957 had no covered off-farm wage employment in the preceding year. For farm operators included in this group. per capita wage and salary earnings were equal to approxi- mately $51k, and.median wage earnings were equal to ap- proximately 3h61. About 73 percent of the members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force who received covered wage earnings in 1957 also had covered wage earnings in the preceding year. The per capita wage earnings for farm operators included in this group were about $1.115 in 1957. Median wage earnings for these individuals were equal to approximately 8711. £33 Earnings gggg’SelfeEmployment . we have already found that farm operators with higher than average net self-employment earnings have a lower rate of participation in off-farm wage and salary employ- ment than do other farm operators. Also. we have found that a disproportionately large number of the farm opera- tors. among farm operators with higher than average net self-employment earnings. who work off the farm.are employed in government jobs and that the levelof wage earnings for jobs in government tend to be lower than 270 for Jobs in other industries. Therefore, it seems plaus- ible to suspect that the level of off-farm wage and sal- ary earnings tends to vary inversely with the level of net earnings from self-employment. Estimates of the distribution of 1957 OASI farm operators by amount of off-farm wage and salary earnings in 1957 are given in Table VII-12 for four groups of farm operators classified by level of net earnings from self-employment. From the standpoint of the proportion of farm operators with wage and salary earnings of less than $600, it is apparent that the level bf off-farm wage earnings tends to be lowest among individuals with net self-employment earnings of $2,000 or more. Approx- imately #9.1 percent of all farm operators who had off- farm wage employment in 1957. among persons with net _ self-employment earnings of less than 32.000. had covered wage earnings of less than $600. For persons with net self-employment earnings of from $2.000 to $3,999, about 6h.5 percent had wage earnings of less than $600. In comparison. 71.6 percent of the farm operators with net self-employment earnings of from $h,000 to $5,999 and 69.8 percent of those with net self-employment earnings of $6.000 or more had wage and salary earnings of less than $600 in 1957. Estimates of the per capita and median wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators who had covered off-farm 271 you escaped you 9250000 on wopuSncm poz .oHQamm whopm4muxho3 msosc4pcoo wmubmmH “cannon .th4 :4 uopaomon no: 003 nws4saso emu: mo undone aoaz .0000 040300 scum copma4unm “09oz 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 40000 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 .000 to 000H4 0.0 0.0 --- 4.4 0.0 000nm . 000.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.4 4.4 004.0 - 000.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 000 a u 000 0 4.0 4.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 004nm . 000mm 4.0 4.4 0.0 4.0 0.0 000.4 - 000.4 4.04 m.4 4.0 0.0 0.04 004‘ u 000 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 000. s 000. 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 000 u 000 0.0 0.04 0.0 440 0.0 000 4 004 0.04 04m4 0.04 0.04 «.44 000 u 00« 0.00 0.04 0.40 0.0m 0.00 004 a 4 uhmflhdfl .003. .000 to 000.0 000.0-000.4 000.0-000.~ 000.0 400044000 444 . . . . . 00m» 0004 0mm4 :4 amc4ca0m and o : pcmawo ms 0 Sop mm: and we owe and u nonmpm 0094s: msoc4sneuno0 020 you .pcoaho4maoam4om_aohm mwn4shmo pom 0:0 mwc4cudo emu: mo undone hp me4 c4 copuomee onos_mm:4sh¢o owmz_aons_aou maopeaodo sham 4040 bmm4 mo 004000490040 omepcoonomus.m4u44> m4m0 .4000» “0004 :4 copuomon 0:03.0w:4:00o 0002.0:0mu000 8003.0om.0aop0nemo sham 4m mqmde 283 Jobholders in at least one year during the period from 1955 through 1957 ranged from a low of 33.3 percent in the West North Central statesto a high of 53.7 percent in the Pacific states. Regional variations in the rate of multiple jobholding for the three-year period corre- sponded closely with regional variations in the rate of multiple jobholding among 1957 OASI farm operators in the year 1957. In both instances, the incidence of multi- ple Jobholding appeared to be highest in the Mountain and Pacific states and lowest in the East North Central and west North Central states. It should also be noted that, while the incidence of off-farm wage and salary employment ‘was lower than the national average in the Pacific states, an additional 25.3 percent of all 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators in the Pacific states reported covered earnings from nonagricultural self-employment in at least one year. Agg.--The relation of age of the farm operator to the rate of multiple jobholding over the period from 1955 through 1957 indicates that the incidence of off-farm employment was highest among persons less than 35 years of age and tended to decrease with increasing age. It is estimated that 52.1 percent of all 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators less than 35 years of age worked off the farm in at least one year during the period from 1955 through 1957. Although the proportion of farm operators with off-farm employment was lower for the older age classes, 284 a significant percentage of older farm operators also worked off the farm in at least one of the three years. Among 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators 65 years of age or more in 1957, 26.0 percent reported off-farm employment during this period. The distribution of 1955-56—57 OASI farm operators in three employment groups by age in 1957 is shown in ‘ Table VIII-2. These estimates suggest that persons with off-farm employment tended to be younger than individuals ‘whose only source of covered earnings during the three- year period was agricultural self-employment. Moreover, farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment tended to be younger than farm operators whose only source of off-farm earnings was nonagricultural self- employment._ The median age of 1955-56-57 OASI farm opera- tors was h6.7 years in 1957 for persons in the former group and 52.2 years for those in the latter group. In comparison, the median age of 1955-56-57 OASI farm opera- tors with no covered off-farm employment during this period was 5h.l years. Off-Farm‘flggg,Employment. It should be noted, in examining the off-farm employ- ment of the members of the 1955-56-57 OASI farm-operator labor force, that the period from 1955 through 1957 was one of general expansion in the nonfarm sector. Over this period the number of persons employed in the 285 one owe mmwpnomen pom escaped wsfiosaowe sumo madame Scam oopsawpnm .oansmm hhopufimlxhoa msosmfipmoo mmummma "eohsom .hmma am Show me composed weapnomom pom omomp “opoz .pxep eon moHMOMopso mo soauscmamxe hows 5.H“ H.sm N.N“ s.os matsmsv ems senses o.ooa 0.00H 0.00H o.ooa Hopes m.ma a.mm ©.ma 4.0a whoa no mo o.mm >.©N m.om 5.0m so u mm a.mm m.mm 0.Hm «.4N em I ma m.om H.wH o.oa H.0N 4: u mm o.HH m.o m.ma o.oa em I am 0.H m.o m.o o.N mm hove: owepmoopom ommpmoohom ommpmoohom emwpcoomom neopmmmmo sash pummwoamam pcomHoamsm pmomwoamam Anemowv Hm mqm Hands 288 States increased by 2.4 percentage points from 1955 to 1956, and regional increases in the rate of off-farm wage employment ranged from a low of 0.8 percentage points in the East South Central states to a high of h.5 per- centage points in the West South Central states. Between 1956 and 1957 the aggregate rate of off-farm wage employ- ment increased slightly. However, the number of 1955-56- 57 OASI farm operators working off the farm in covered wage employment increased notably in only three of the eight regions from 1956 to 1957. Percentage rates of off-farm wage employment in 1957 remained at about the same level as in 1956 or decreased from the level of the preceding year in the five remaining regions. Estimates of the percentage rate of off-farm wage employment over the three-year period by age are given in Table VIII-h. The general increase in the percentage rate of off-farm employment between 1955 and 1956 was reflected among 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators in each of the six age classes. Shifts in the rate of off-farm wage employment between 1956 and 1957 were largely con- fined to three age classes. Particularly notable was the increase from 30.3 percent to 50.0 percent in pro- portion of farm operators under 25 years of age who had covered wage earnings in 1956 and 1957, respectively. Level g£_off-fgrm wage,earnings.—-Increases in the annual rate of off-farm wage employment among 1955-56-57 289 .eamasm muopmfimuxm63Vesosswpsoo mmnbmma ”oomsom .bmma ma swam Mo moapwooa wmaumomeu no: once» one owe wsflpmoooh pom nsouhom.w:«usaoxo some madame any“ oopmsapea “opoz a.ma a.ma e.oa anspsnsno Ha< @.w N.OH 0.m whoa ho no meme a.ma send so . mm o.om o.om «.ma em - ms s.o~ m.s~ 0.HN es . mm m.s~ etsm deem em . mm 0.0m n.0m m.o~ mm noes: mwma same «was impasse same as use emma on mama .aopspm eases: msosasnopsoo can use one as name masons» mass sons coated use wastes use» mode as nmswmhso pmoahoamaonuaem Henspasofihms mmwpnomeh unopepomo Show Hmdo mo newshoamse ewes sumunmmo no easy emsomoomemun.¢uHHH> aqmds 290 OASI farm operators included in the 1937-58 Continuous Work-History Sample were accompanied by increases in the level of off-farm wage and salary earnings. It is esti- mated that the median wage and salary earnings of 1955-56- 57 OASI farm operators with covered earnings from off-farm wage employment were $317 in 1955, $3h3 in 1956, and $384 in 1957 (Table VIII-5). The level of median wage earnings thus appears to have increased more between 1956 and 1957 than between 1955 and 1956. Estimates of average wage earnings suggest the same pattern. Per capita wage and salary earnings for persons working off the farm were approximately $619 in 1955, $686 in 1956, and $776 in 1957. It should also be noted that significant changes occurred in the size distribution of off-farm wage earn- ings between 1955 and 1957. The number of 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators working in covered wage employment increased from 209,200 in 1955 to 2hl,500 in 1956 and 250,600 in 1957. The total increase over the three-year period was equal to approximately 19.8 percent of the number of farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1955. However, the number of farm operators with wage earnings of $2,000 or more increased by 88.h percent during the period from 1955 through 1957, and.the number of farm operators with wage earnings of from $1,000 to $1,999 increased by h3.8 percent. In comparison, the 291 .oaassm stopsamnanos ssoseapcoo mausmma “condom .uopnooen won as: owmwmneo owes HO ugoad 5033 no.“ uGOOHOQ wflfififidoflo avid admgn 80h.“ cwudfiwvufl "09.02 sum Imam New. massaaoev mmsashee owes suave: o.ooa o.ooa o.ooa Hesse m.o 7~.o w.o atom to coo”; H.~ s.a a.a ems m . 00m m N.N m.a o.a mmemn . ooonm o.« «.m m.a momma - cem.~ H.e ~.m o.m mos.m - ooosm ~.m m.s m.m moo.” - com a ~.s «.9 a.m moses - cools m.o m.s m.m moo. : com. «.0 e.> 0.» wow u coo a.m m.m e.oa mom - cos o.sa H.sa a.ma own - com H.5m m.em o.oe 00« use» smog mums mama mama impedance, _ nwmfimhmm emm3 same as “mas .sopspm eases: assaaanopcoo as» too .unsom moamfioeme a“ show one mac weaxuos.esoeuom mom ewsasnme own: he mama swoops» mmoa scum season one weapon use» some ma ewmammoo pmommoamsenmaem amnspasofihms mmfipmomem mmopsnomo anon Hmdo mo ewmamhme meadow use soapsnaupmfio owopmeouemuu.muHHH> mqmso oz emupmeoaem henna: wnma ma soapsofiva ewshobeo nepspm woman: amp mom .Nmoa ma soapwoaoefie ewouoboo an bmma ma oneshoamseamaea asaspasoaams no“: newness-ow no: soapstone stem Hmdo mmoaun. 0-HHH> wands 296 covered employment in 1957 were individuals who were able to qualify for social security retirement benefits at the end of two years of participation in the program. In ad- dition to retired persons, however, the group with no coverage in 1957 also includes persons whose earnings were below the minimum level required for social security coverage, persons who were disabled or involuntarily un- employed, and deceased workers. No attempt will be made here to distinguish precisely between individuals who fall into these different categories, but the age dis- tribution of OASI farm operators who were not covered by social security in 1957 provides some indication of the relative importance of retirement from farming.. ‘ Persons without social security coverage in 1957 accounted for approximately 60 percent of all persons who reported agricultural earnings in 1955 but who were not identified with agriculturalself-employment in 1957. Of the 1955 OASI farm operators with no social security coverage in 1957. it is estimated that 57.8 percent were 65 years of age or more in 1957 (Table VIII—7). The median age of persons in this group was approximately 66.4 years in 1957 as compared with 52.7 years for all persons included in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. Because of the age distribution of persons without coverage in 1957, it is concluded that death and retire- ment have accounted for the bulk of the persons who 297 .oamamm mhoumfimnmpoa usosafipmoo wmubmofl "oopsom .mpwu nausea Eomm voumawpum “epoz .nopspm copes: nsosfisuopmoo one no someone cousooa eaosvabfiosfi son a .bmoa ma emmao>oo umoshoamaenmaom Homspasofimws psomufls «moaned mom .eoosaomHs A N.Nm a.mo o.ma m.Hm mnsosv o s memos: o.ooa 0.00H 0.00H o.ooa Hopes m.¢m m.hm o.oa a.ma shoe no mo m.am m.ma o.mH o.s~ so - mm 4.Hm 0.HH w.mm a.mm on u m4 4.aa :.oa b.m~ o.om 44.: mm m.HH o.m a.ma N.NH em n mm ¢.H m.o m.¢ H.H mm noon: ommpcoonom ammumoonom eumucoomom owmpmmenom mama as neopemomo owed :a psoSmOHQEMImaom mmma :H Anamowv Bush omomo>oo oz HwhspHsoHnw< some newswoaaamumaom bmma a“ om< Hmoo Handesownw< n ma ma :oapmofiumH owe ao>oo snowmen copes: nsomfiahopsoo one mom .hmma ma soapsOHcmH ewmuoboo spamsoee deacon he .ews he unopsnomo shew Hm mqm mamas 301+ .eamaom knapefimuxmoz anon—mango mmuhmma ”eonsom .mmhspoh one.“ new umsoooe op someones poz .epso oamaoe 89C oops—53m “epoz m.o ooo.mo~ a.mm cem.m~m muss ~.o co“.mo~ o.NN cem.ams anon 0.0 oom.-~ m.H~ ooo.amm mama «.ma cem.mo~ n.oa oom.a~s mmma _ inn. amend-Em: ._ pm egoammm pm. aflommsm. . , IHHom atomsoz Ho nmaom snowmoz no? ems: 3.3.7.30 mo pmoflmoamsm emo3 new: seem omspoooaofi unopmnompmo memes—m sump ewopmoomom whoponomb mo Lehman .Hoo.» pmoaoamam pmogoamam .. swans so- .iph‘snopmmwnfstsm sq! awesome.-. .... -,fie-mtmosno.. sum or..- mmmaummoa .sosspm sense: on» too .paossoadso umaeu Eons—om one pmofimoaoso owes Eomummo new: snowshoes Show HmdonionHHHb 5mg. 305 farm operators with covered wage employment increased by 2.2 percentage points between 1955 and 1956, 0.5 per- centage points between 1956 and 1957, and 1.8 percentage points between 1957 and 1958. Changes in the requirements for social security coverage must be taken into account in comparing annual estimates of the off-farm employment of OASI farm opera- tors. Farm operators first became eligible for partici- pation in the social security program in 1955. Older farm operators were able to qualify for retirement bene- fits, under special provisions, with only two years of coverage. Consequently, there was an added incentive for older farm operators to attempt to qualify for social security credits in the early years of the program. This fact was undoubtedly responsible, in part, for the inclu- sion of a disproportionately large number of older per- sons in the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force. Since many older persons would.have become eligible for retirement benefits by the end of 1956, the percent- age of older farm operators would have been expected to decline for years after 1956. The incidence of off-farm employment tends to be lowest among persons in the older age groups. Hence, the expected change in the age com- position of the OASI farm-operator labor force would presumably tend to increase the aggregate rate of off- farm employment. 306 A second factor, however, has affected the composi- tion of the OASI farm-operator labor force for years after 1955. Materially participating farm landlords were included in the social security programs beginning in 1956 on the same basis as other farm operators. It appears that farm landlords included in the OASI farm- operator labor force after 1955 tended to be older than other members of the labor force. The inclusion of farm landlords therefore seems to have offset the drop-out of older farm operators who were able to qualify for social security retirement benefits at the end of 1956. Conse- quently, the expected change in the age composition of the OASI farm-operator labor force was not reflected by comparison of the 1955 and 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. Persons entering the OASI farm-operator labor force after 1955 also tended to have a slightly higher rate of multiple jobholding than members of the 1955 OASI farm- operator labor force. Part of this difference may be due to a higher rate of multiple jobholding among farm land- lords. However, movements in the annual rate of off- farm employment for the 1955-56-57 OASI farm-operator labor force corresponded closely with those for all OASI farm operators during the period from.l955 through 1957. It is therefore concluded that this factor has not sig- nificantly influenced the aggregate rate of’multiple jobholding. 307 Two other changes have affected the labor force represented by OASI farm-operator data and the reporting of off-farm wage earnings. First, the minimum level of gross farm earnings required for the coverage of farm operators reporting under the optional method was lowered from $800 in 1955 to $600 for years after 1955. Second, the minimum level of annual wage earnings required for the coverage of hired farm workers was raised from $100 in 1955 and 1956 to $150 for years after 1956. Neither of these changes are thought to significantly influence aggregate off-farm employment rates. Shifts in Off-Farm flagg Employment The hypothesis was suggested in Chapter I that farm operators working off the farm may tend to be less secure in their nonfarm jobs than are single jobholders in the nonfarm sector. Thus, farm operators who work off the farm may be among the first to lose nonfarm jobs when the general level of unemployment begins to rise and among the last to be re-hired when the unemployment level falls. The social security data processed in the course of the present study did not provide an adequate basis for com- paring shifts in the off-farm employment of farm operators in expansion and contraction years, but some general observations may be offered. The years 1955, 1956, and 1957 were characterized by increases in the number of persons employed in the 308 nonfarm labor force and by annual average unemployment rates ranging from h.2 percent to h.h percent of the total civilian labor force. Two factors relating to the off- farm employment of farm operators were particularly nota- ble during this period of expansion in the nonfarm econ- omy. First, among persons identified as farm operators over the three-year period, there occurred an increase both in the percentage rate of off-farm.wage employment and in the level of off-farm wage earnings. Second, a substantial number of farm operators apparently migrated out of agriculture between 1955 and 1957. OASI farm operators who shifted from.farming to off-farm employment during this period tended to be younger than persons who remained in agriculture. Moreover, a disproportionately large number of farm operators who migrated out of agri- culture were persons who had previously held off-farm jobs. The level of unemployment began to increase in the last quarter of 1957, and an average of 6.8 percent of the civilian labor force was unemployed in 1958. If in- creases in the general level of unemployment are associated with decreases in the proportion of farm operators working off the farm, we would expect to find that the percentage rate of off-farm wage employment had fallen between 1957 and 1958. Estimates based on preliminary tabulations of data fronlthe 1937-59 Continuous WOrk-History Sample indicate, however, that the proportion of OASI farm 309 operators with covered wage earnings from off-farm employ- ment increased from 22.0 percent in 1957 to 23.8 percent in 1958. Further investigation of shifts in the off-farm wage employment of farm operators between 1957 and 1958 is warranted but must await more complete analysis of OASI sample data for the year 1958. Summary One of the most significant characteristics of the off-farm employment of farm operators is their sporadic participation in the off-farm labor force. Among persons who reported agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in each of the years in the period from 1955 through 1957, it was estimated that 38.7 percent had covered earnings from off-farm sources in at least one of the three years. Approximately 28.9 percent of all 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators had off-farm wage employment during this period, but only 9.2 percent had off-farm.wage employment in each of the three years. The rate of off-farm wage employment among members of the 1955-56-57 OASI farm-operator labor force increased from 16.7 percent in 1955 to 19.1 percent in 1956 and 19.5 percent in 1957. Particularly significant was the increase in off-farm wage employment among farm operators under 25 years of age. Among farm operators in this age class, the rate of off-farm wage employment increased 310 from 26.5 percent in 1955 to 30.3 percent in 1956 and 50.0 percent in 1957. Significant changes also occurred in the size dis- tribution of off-farm wage earnings between 1955 and 1957. The number of farm operators with wage earnings of $2,000 or more increased by 88.h percent during this period. In comparison, the number of 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators with wage earnings of from $1,000 to $1,999 and of less than $1,000 increased by h3.8 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively. Per capita wage earnings for farm operators with off-farm employment increased from $619 in 1955 to $686 in 1956 and.$776 in 1957. _ It was estimated that approximately 30 percent of all persons who reported agricultural selfhemployment earnings for social security coverage in 1955 were not identified with agricultural self-employment in 1957. About 60 percent of the persons not identified with farm- ing in 1957 had no covered earnings in that year. The remaining #0 percent had covered earnings only from sources other than agricultural self-employment. Off-farm.work by farm operators often leads to full- time employment off the farm, and a large proportion of farm operators who shift out of farming have had previous experience in off-farm employment prior to migrating out of agriculture. 0f the 1955 OASI farm operators who were identified as full-time members of theoff-farm labor 311 force in 1957, it was found that 59.7 percent had covered off-farm wage employment in 1955. Approximately 29.5 percent of all 1955 OASI farm operators with off-farm wage employment in 1955 had apparently become full-time members of the off-farm labor force by 1957. Preliminary estimates based on the 1937-59 Continuous WOrk-History Sample showed that the percentage rate of off-farm wage employment among all OASI farm operators increased from 19.3 percent in 1955 to 21.5 percent in 1956, 22.0 percent in 1957, and 23.8 percent in 1958. It isespecially significant that the rate of off-farm employment increased between l957 and 1958 at a time when the general level of unemployment in the nation had in- creased substantially. CHAPTER IX SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The objective of this study was to investigate cer- tain aspects of the off-farm employment and earnings of farm operators in the conterminous United States. One of the significant features of American agriculture has been the continued decline in the number of farms and.in the size of the farm population. During the period from 1950 to 1961 the number of farms decreased from around 5.6 million to 3.8 million.’ The farm population decreased over this same period from approximately 23.0 million in 1950 to lh.8 million in 1961. By 1961 the farm popula- tion accounted for only 8 percent of the total population of the conterminous United States. Most of the decline in number of farms over the past decade has been confined to farms with gross sales of less than $2,500, and a larger proportion of all farms are now classified as commercial operations. Despite this trend, however, off-farm earnings have represented an increasingly larger share of the total income of the farm population. As a percentage of personal income from all sources, income from.nonfarm sources increased from C an average of 28.8 percent during the period from 1949 312 313 to 1951 to 36.3 percent during the period from 1959 to 1961. The rate of off-farm employment among commercial farm operators increased from 25.1 percent in 1949 to 34.3 percent in 1959. QAS; Farm-Operator Data This study has relied chiefly on employment and earnings data taken from the records of individual workers who reported agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in specified years. The farm- operator labor force represented by OASI employment data does not correspond with the labor force represented by other sources of national data. But OASI employment records provide certain information which has heretofore been unavailable. Derivation,g£.QA§; Employment Qgtg Labor force statistics are a byproduct of the admin- istration of the federal Old-Age, Survivors, and Disabil- ity Insurance program. Persons with earnings from agri- cultural self—employment have been included in the OASI program since 1955, and annual data relating to the employ- ment and earnings of farm operators are now available from social security records. These data represent individual workers who have reported agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage. Because of restric- tions on the amount and kinds of income which can be credited to an individual's social security account, the 31h number of persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in any one year is substantially less than, for example, the number of farm operators represented by the Department of Agriculture series on number of farms. Self-employed persons must have net earnings of at least 3400 during the year to qualify for social security coverage. ‘Wage earners are required to have earnings of at least $50 from a single employer in a calendar quarter for nonfarm work or, in years after 1956, $150 in a calendar year for farm work. Covered earnings were limited to no more than 3h.200 per year for each person during the period from 1955 through 1958. Self-employed persons with wage or salary earn- ings of $4.200 or more in any year were not permitted to report self-employment earnings for social security coverage. Hence, some farm operators with off-farm wage employment are excluded from the OASI farm-operator labor force. An alternative method of computing taxable self- employment earnings has been open to farm operators. Under the optional reporting method, individuals with low net self-employment earnings or net losses have been able to report a specified percentage of gross earnings for social security coverage. Farm operators with gross 315 earnings of not more than 31,800 were allowed to report an amount equal to one-half of gross earnings in 1955 and two-thirds of gross earnings in years after 1955 provided that these amounts were not less than $400. The optional reporting method thus permitted (but did not require) the coverage of farm operators with gross farm earnings of as little as $800 in 1955 and $600 in years after 1955. _ OASI income and employment data are compiled from reports filed with the Bureau of Old-Age and.Survivors Insurance by individual workers and employers. These data represent the earnings and characteristics of in- dividual income recipients working in covered employment and generally come from actual records rather than memory. QA§I_Sample Data This study has been based primarily upon sample data for persons who reported agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage. These data in- cluded items selected from the Continuous Work-History Sample and.the Annual Employee-Employer Wage Card Files maintained by the Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insur- ance. The Continuous Work—History Sample is a permanent, l-percent sample of all individuals to whom social secur- ity account numbers have been issued since the inaugura— tion of the social security program. The Annual Employee— Employer Wage Card File includes the records of all 316 persons with covered wage and salary employment in a single year. The farm-operator labor force sample used in this study was selected by drawing the records of all persons in the Continuous WOrk-History Sample who reported agri- cultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in specified years. Also available were the annual wage cards for persons with covered wage employ- ment in 1957. It was generally assumed throughout the study that the sample data represented a random, l-percent sample of all persons reporting agricultural self-employ- ment earnings prior to the cut-off date of the Continuous Work-History Sample. Estimates relating to the number of OASI farm operators tend to understate slightly the actual size of the labor force due to the exclusion of persons reporting after the cut-off date. Moreover, as suggested in Appendix IV, the sampling ratio for farm operators may be slightly less than the assumed, l-percent rate. Con- sequently, no particular case is made for estimates of the total number of OASI farm operators. Ihg_1221_QA§; Farm-Operator La22§_fig§gg . The present study has been devoted principally to an investigation of multiple jobholding among persons with agricultural self-employment coverage in the year 1957. In general, the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force included persons with net farm self-employment earnings 317 in 1957 of $400 or more plus persons with net farm earn- ings of less than $h00 and gross earnings of $600 or more who elected to report under the optional method. The 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force excluded farm opera- tors with net earnings of less than $A00 who did not report on an optional basis and those with off-farm wage earnings of $4,200 or more regardless of the amount of their self-employment earnings. The 1937-58 Continuous WOrk-History Sample represented a total of around 2.2 million farm operators in 1957. The size of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force was equal to roughly one-half of the estimated total number of farms in 1957. The major reason for the disparity between the size of the OASI farm-operator labor force and the size of the labor force represented by Department of Agriculture and Current Population Survey estimates is that the latter includes a large number of persons who are engaged in farming on only a minimal basis. The OASI farm-operator labor force may be regarded as general- ly representative of "commercial" farm operators. OASI farm operators generally tend to be older than farm operators enumerated in the Census of Agriculture. The median age of 1957 OASI farm operators was 52.0 years, and 20 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators were 65 years of age or over. Negro farm operators accounted for only 1.6 percent of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor 318 force, and female workers accounted for 6.A percent of the total labor force. The Off-Farm Employment gi_§agm_0perators Estimates based upon the Census of Agriculture indicate that multiple jobholding is an important char- acteristic of the commercial farm-operator labor force. The rate of multiple jobholding among the operators of farm with gross sales of $2,500 or more increased by 37 percent during the period from 1949 to 1959. Over this same period the proportion of commercial farm opera- tors working off the farm on 100 or more days approxi- mately doubled. Employment data from.social security records have provided information for closer examination of the nature of multiple jobholding among commercial farm operators. 331:3 <_3_i_‘ Multiple Jobholding Approximately 29.2 percent of the members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force received covered earnings from off—farm employment in 1957. Nonfarm wage and salary employment was the most common source of off- farm earnings. It was estimated that 20.1 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators had nonfarm wage employment in 1957, 9.2 percent had nonagricultural self-employment, and 2.5 percent had farm wage employment. Persons with a combination of farm self-employment and nonfarm wage employment accounted for 60.5 percent of all multiple jobholders. 319 Estimates of the rate of multiple jobholding among 1957 OASI farm operators appeared to be slightly lower than the percentage of commercial farm operators working off the farm. As compared with 1955 survey estimates for operators of farms with gross sales of $2,500 or more, multiple employment rates for 1957 OASI farm operators tended to be nearly identical for nonfarm self- employment, to understate slightly participation in non- farm wage employment, and to understate substantially participation in farm wage employment. The disparity between estimates for OASI farm opera- tors and estimates for commercial farm operators can be attributed to the fact that some farm operators had wage earnings below the minimum level required for social security coverage and that farm operators with wage earn- ings of $h,200 or more were excluded from the OASI farm- operator labor force. Most commercial farm operators with notable participation in the off-farm labor force are identified as multiple jobholders by OASI employment records. The percentage rate of multiple jobholding among 1957 OASI farm operators ranged from a low of 2h.8 per— cent in the West North Central states to a high of 35.8 percent in the Pacific states. Regional variations in the percentage of farm operators with off-farm wage, employment were less pronounced. The rate of off-farm 320 wage employment ranged from a low of 20.0 percent in the West North Central states to a highof 25.7 percent in the Mountain states. Much larger variations were evident in the percentage of farm operators with nonagricultural self-employment. The rate of nonagricultural self- employment varied from a.low of 4.8 percent in the west North Central states to a high of 14.4 percent in the Pacific‘states. Differential Characteristics 2; Multiple Jobholders Multiple jobholding among members of the OASI farm- operator labor force is selective with respect to certain characteristics. Particularly significant is the age of the farm operator. Percentage rates of multiple jobhold- ing ranged from a low of 16.4 percent for farm operators 65 years of age and over to a.high of 52.9 percent for farm operators under 25 years of age. The median age of multiple jobholders was h7.0 years as compared with 5A.2 years for persons without off-farm employment in 1957. The age differential between multiple jobholders and single Jobholders was due to wide variations in the rate of off-farm wage employment. No significant difference in the rate of nonagricultural self-employment was found between farm operators under #5 years of age and those #5 years of age or over. But it is estimated that 31.5 percent of all 1957 OASI farm operators under #5 years. of age had off-farm wage earnings in 1957 as compared 321 with only 17.2 percent of all farm operators A5 years of age or over. An outstanding feature of the 1955-57 expansion period was the increase in the rate of off- farm wage employment from.26.5 percent in 1955 to 50.0 percent in 1957 among 1955-56-57 OASI farm operators under 25 years of age. The over-all rate of multiple jobholding was slightly higher for'non-Negro farm operators than for Negro farm operators. This difference was due to varia- tions in the rate of nonagricultural self-employment. Only 3.0 percent of all Negro farm operators in the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force reported nonfarm self- employment earnings in 1957, while 9.7 percent of all non-Negro farm operators had nonagricultural self- employment. There was no significant difference in the rate of off-farm wage employment between Negro and non- Negro farm operators. No significant difference was noted in the percent- age of male and female farm operators with nonagricultural self-employment; however, the rate of off-farm wage employment was significantly higher among male members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. Covered wage earnings were reported by 22.6 percent of all male farm operators in 1957 and by 13.6 percent of all female farm operators. 322 Approximately 75.2 percent of the 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm employment in 1957 had covered earnings from off-farm employment in the preceding year, but a significant characteristic of multiple jobholding in the farm-operator labor force is the large movement into and out of the off-farm labor force. About 33 Per- cent of all persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings in both 1956 and 1957 had covered earnings from off-farm sources in at least one of the two years, but less than 20 percent were classified as multiple job- holders in both years. . The annual rate of’off-farm wage employment was approximately 20 percent in 1956 and in 1957. It was estimated that 25.9 percent of the individuals with agri- cultural self-employment coverage in both 1956 and 1957 were identified with off-farm wage employment during the two-year period. However, only 53.7 percent of the farm operators with wage employment in at least one of the two years had off-farm wage employment in both years. Sporadic participation in the off-farm labor forces appears to characterize the OASI farm-operator labor force. Approximately 29 percent of the members of the 1955-56-57 OASI farm-operator labor force received covered wage earnings during the period from 1955 through 1957, 323 but only about 9 percent had off-farm wage employment in each of the three years. For some farm operators, however, off-farm employ- ment precedes a shift from farming to full-time employ- ment in the nonfarm sector. Among 1955 OASI farm operators who apparently migrated out of farming between 1955 and 1957, approximately 60 percent had off-farm employment in 1955. In comparison, only 19.3 percent of all 1955 OASI farm operators were classified as mul- tiple jobholders in 1955. The rate of off-farm wage employment was found to be somewhat higher for OASI farm operators with net earn- ings from self-employment of less than $2,000. The per- centage of 1957 OASI farmoperators with off-farm wage employment was 2h.5 percent for persons with not self- - employment earnings of less than $2,000 and.l7.5 percent for those with net earnings of $2,000 or more. Sources gf Off-Farm Wage Earnings One of the most striking features of the off-farm employment of OASI farm operators was that approximately 29 percent of all off-farm wage jobs held by members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force were in the govern- ment sector. Wholesale and retail trade accounted for 18 percent of all wage jobs; manufacturing,l6 percent; agriculture, forestry, and fishing,ll percent; and con- tract construction,10 percent. Jobs in manufacturing 32h industries were relatively more common in the Northeast and East North Central states than in the other regions. This industry group accounted for 25.1 percent of all off-farm wage jobs in the East North Central states and 21.2 percent in the Northeast states. Jobs in three major industry groups--manufacturing, public utilities, and wholesale and retail trade--tended to be most common among farm operators under 25 years of age and.to decrease in importance with increasing age. Conversely, the percentage of jobs in government ranged from a low of 17.8 percent‘for persons under 25 years of age to a high of 39.3 percent for persons 65 years of age and over and clearly tended to increase with increasing age. Approximately 71 percent of the off-farm jobs held by Negro farm operators were in.manufacturing, contract construction, or agriculture, forestry, and fishing. In comparison, only 36 percent of the off-farm jobs held by non-Negro farm operators were in these three major groups. Government accounted for 30 percent of all jobs held by non-Negro farm operators and only 5 percent of all Jobs held by Negro farm operators. Off-farm Jobs in manufacturing, contract construc- tion, and mining were relatively more numerous among farm operators with net earnings from self-employment of less than $2,000 than among persons in the higher income 325 classes. Conversely, the percentage of jobs in govern- ment was significantly higher among farm operators in the higher income classes. Nonclassified government Jobs accounted for 24 percent of all jobs held by 1957 OASI farm operators with net self-employment earnings of less than $2,000 and more than 40 percent of all jobs held by farm operators with net earnings of $2,000 or more. The Siggbgistribution of Off-Farm.ngg,Earnings The aggregate taxable wage earnings of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force were equal to $422.6 million in 1957. Per capita wage earnings fer farm operators with off-farm wage and salary employment were approxi- mately $951. One of the most significant aspects of the off-farm wage employment of OASI farm operators was the highly skewed distribution of off-farm wage earnings. The median wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators with off-farm employment were only $518. Nearly one-third of all farm operators who worked off the farm for wages or salaries had wage earnings of less than $200, and approx- imately two-thirds had wage earnings of less than $1,000. Multiple jobholders in the Northeast, East North Central, Mountain, and Pacific states tended to have higher off-farm wage earnings than other multiple job- holders. Median wage earnings in these four regions 326 varied from a low of approximately $606 in the East North Central states to a high of $905 in the Pacific states. Median wage earnings in the four remaining regions ranged from a low of $424 in the East South Central states to a high of $490 in the West South Central states. Farm operators who have a record of regular partici- pation in the off-farm labor force tend to have substan- tially higher off-farm wage earnings than farm operators who work off the farm only sporadically. The median wage earnings of 1957 OASI farm operators who had no covered off-farm wage employment in the preceding year were ap- proximately $461 in 1957. .Median wage earnings fer those with covered wage employment in both 1956 and 1957 were $711 in 1957. It is concluded that off-farm employment by farm operators, particularly those in the younger age groups, may presage a shift out of agriculture and into full-time employment in the nonagricultural sector. Among persons who remain in farming, however, regular participation in the off-farm labor force characterizes a fairly small pro- portion of the commercial farm-operator labor fbrce. A large number of farm operators participate in the off- farm labor force only sporadically, and a sizable percent- age of farm.operators with off-farm wage employment do not depend regularly upon off-farm earnings as a source of income. 327 Potential Egg; of OASI Farm-Operator 2322 OASI data available for analysis in this study repre- sented persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage in 1955 and/or 1957. Because of the limited time period covered by these data, the present study has been primarily concerned with cross- sectional analysis of multiple jobholding among members of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force. , An important characteristic of employment data from the Continuous Work-History Sample is that it provides time-series data on the employment and earnings of indi- vidual members of the agricultural labor force. This feature of OASI sample data will facilitate detailed investigation of topics such as the following: (1) shifts in the employment patterns and.incomes of farm operators over time; (2) the relationships between the nonfarm employment of farm operators, off-farm migration, and cyclicalfluctuations in the general level of business activity; and (3) the stability of the farm.end nonfarm earnings of farm operators over time. Brief examination of the off-farm employment of OASI farm operators during the period from 1955 through 1957 indicated an increase over the three-year period in the percentage rate of off-farm wage employment and in the level of off-farm wage earnings. In addition, a substan- tial number of farm operators apparently migrated out of 328 agriculture between 1955 and 1957. It is suggested that both of these phenomena were related to general expansion in the nonfarm economy during this period. Analysis of the impact of cyclical fluctuations in the nonfarm sector upon the rate of off-farm migration and the off-farm employment of farm operators will be permitted as OASI data covering a longer time period become available. APPENDIX I STANDARD ERROR OF ESTIMATES The standard error of estimates relating to the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force was calculated under the assumption that the sample selected from the 1937-58 Continuous work-History Sample represented a random, l-percent sample of all persons with covered self- employment earnings from agricultural sources in 1957. The standard errors associated with estimates of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labor force are generally indicative of the standard errors of estimates relating to the OASI farm-operator labor force of other years. An unbiased estimate of the variance of the estimated total number of persons in a specified class of the popu- lation is1 Np = NLN‘n) n41 pq where: (1) N = number of persons in the population (2) n = number of persons in the sample (3) p = proportion of the sample falling into the specified population class 1William G. Cochran, Sam lin Techniques (New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1 5 , p. 33. 329 330 (A) q = l-p An unbiased estimate of the variance of the estimated proportion of a population falling into a specified class is2 Since the sampling ratio was only 1 percent, the finite population correction was negligible. Conse- quently, it was used in calculating the standard errors shown in Table I-l of the text but omitted in calculat- ing the standard error of estimated percentages. Estimates relating to various subclasses of the 1957 OASI farm-operator labOr force are presented in the text. 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D I H .Hoo “season seaa5ae,. mae.H. _ «H5Ime5 «as.H ..HHHase HHs s5«+05« Hn«.« «HH.«5« «mm.« HmeaeeHnem 0«H.00« 00m.« mmH.H«« 0m5.« asHsIsnsa «m0.ms was oss.Hn smm H5 aneHo msm.55 05¢.H was.5m m00.H 5 nano «m«.0m ss0.H _ m0©.0m m««.H 5H nano «00.0H «H0 HHH.H« H0H.H HHH nano 445.0H «0m «mm.sH mmH.H HH nasHo ~55.“ H5H.H 50m.0H 055.« H namHo are any H«H HHV AeHsHHon Ho AuHsHHon no spam Ho emceesosav AuHMHHonV mossesonav AuHmHHoav nmsHo OHBomoom Hmpmr. owmeokm Hmpwfix ewmnoew OEOOQH g G02 $80065” aha .1 .0 mmaH .oepepm copHsD msoaHsHopmoo on» Hon anoHHHssH HopsHoQOIshom venomossaoneoms Ho osoomH shoHIHmo spewenwdeI.oIHHH mumda APPENDIX IV EXPANSION OF OASI SAMPLE DATA It has been assumed throughout the present study that the Continuous WOrk-History Sample represents a random, l-percent sample of persons reported agricul- tural self-employment earnings for social security coverage. There is some evidence to indicate,however, that the actual sampling ratio is slightly less than 1 percent. ‘ It is reasonable to expect, because of the time interval between the years being compared and the fixed cut-off date of the sample, that the Continuous WOrk- History Sample accounts fer a higher percentage of the OASI farm-operator labor force in the early years of the program. As compared with official estimates of the total number of self-employment farm operators participating in the social security program, estimates based on the assumption of a l-percent sampling ratio in the 1937-59 Continuous Work-History Sample accounted for only 93 percent of all OASI farm operators in 1955, 96 percent in 1956, and 92 percent in both 1957 and 1958. 340 341 The Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance has estimated that approximately 2,350,000 persons within the United States received agricultural self-employment coverage in 1955. This official estimate exceeds the number of 1955 OASI farm operators as estimated from the 1937-59 Continuous Work-History Sample by more than 150,000 persons. Since nearly all late reports for the year 1955 should have been processed before the cut-off date of the 1937-59 Continuous Work-History Sample, it is suggested that the actual sampling ratio for OASI farm operators included in the Continuous WOrk-History Sample is somewhat less than 1 percent. Official estimates of the number of persons report- ing agricultural self-employment earnings for social security coverage are based, in general, upon a complete tabulation of individuals filing Schedule F of Internal Revenue Service Form 1040 plus estimates from sample data for persons reporting agricultural self-employment earnings on Schedule C. In addition, an allowance is made for late returns not yet received. Since approximately 90 percent of all farm operators report farm earnings on Schedule F, only about 10 percent of the aggregate esti- mate is based upon sample data. Therefore, while official estimates of the size of the OASI farm—operator labor force are subject to sampling variability, the size of 342 the sampling error is relatively small.1 If errors exist in the officialestimates, they would seem most likely to be associated with the allowance which is made for late reports. In contrast with the method by which official esti- mates are derived, this study has relied entirely upon sample data in estimating the number and characteristics of OASI farm operators. These estimates have been based on the assumption that the Continuous Work-History Sample represents a 1-percent sample of all persons with covered earnings from agricultural self-employment. Since the sampling ratio may not be exactly 1 percent fer any given class of workers, estimates of the size of the OASI farm- operator labor force which are based on the Continuous Werk-History Sample are also subject to sampling varia- bility. Thus, estimates of the size of OASI farm-operator labor force based on sample data are liable to both sam- pling errors and errors resulting from the cut—off date of the Continuous Work-History Sample, which precludes the inclusion of some individuals filing late reports. The disparity between official estimates and the size of the 1955 OASI farm-operator labor force as esti- mated from the 1937-59 Continuous Work-History Sample is lCf. U. 8. Bureau of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, Farm Coverage Statistics: 1256, December, 1959, pp. 36-37. 343 larger than one would have expected solely because of sampling variability.2 Although it is possible that official estimates may have included an excessive allow- ance for late reports, this does not seem to be the case. Through February 22, 1957, a total of 1,885,463 farm operators reporting on Schedule F for 1955 had been processed for the conterminous United States.3 Assuming that 10 percent of all farm operators whose reports had been processed by February 22, 1957, reported on Sched- ule C, it is estimated that approximately 2,095,000 farm operators within the conterminous United States had re- ported agricultural self—employment earnings for social security credits in 1955 within the first year after 1955 tax returns were due. The 1937-56 Continuous Work-History Sample included earnings posted through May 1957; therefore this sample should have accounted for around 2.1 million farm opera- tors. Based upon the assumption of a l-percent sampling ratio, however, the 1937-56 Continuous Work-History.Sam- ple represented a total of 1,876,100 persons with agri- cultural self—employment earnings in the year 1955.“ Consequently, it is concluded that the Continuous Work- History Sample tends to include slightly less than 1 per- 2 H bi 3Ibid., Table 12, p. 25. “Uel Blank, "OASI Data of the Farm Labor Force" (unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University, 1960 , p. 83. Q. 344 cent of the total OASI farm-operator labor force. Esti- mates of the total number of OASI farm operators working off the farm which are based on the assumption of a l-percent sampling ratio may therefore tend to be biased downward in excess of the number of late reports processed after the Cut-off date of the Continuous Work-History Sample. APPENDIX V ESTIMATES OF MULTIPLE JOBHOLDING BY OASI FARM OPERATORS IN 1957 Table V-A V—B V-C V-D 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-farm earnings in 1957, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off-farm earnings in 1957, by age, for the conterminous United States Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off- farm earnings in 1957, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States Estimated rate of multiple jobholding in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by not earn- ings from self employment in 1957, for the conterminous United States 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off- farm wage employment in 1957, by geographic region, for the conterminous United States Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by geo- graphic region, for the conterminous United States 345 Page 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 346 Table V-I 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off- farm wage employment in 1957, by age, for the conterminous United States V-J Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by age, for the conterminous United States V-K 1957 OASI farm operators with and without off- farm wage employment in 1957, by net earnings from self-employment in 1957, for the con- terminous United States V-L Estimated rate of off-farm wage employment in 1957 for 1957 OASI farm operators, by net earnings from self-employment in_1957, for the conterminous United States Page 355 356 357 358 347 oQHQENm bopmfimlxhog ”nod—Cfipcoo ”MIFMGH ”oohsom .bmoH :H show Ho :OHpooOH wchHomoH no: meow Iuom mom aqueous op communes poz .mpmu onsmn scam oopoaHpom "opoz 0.00H 00m45H0 0.00H 00H.00¢.H naoamom HHH 1w.0 00m.0m 0.s 00s.«5 . oHHHoom H.o 00s.5m 5.s 000.5o assesses 0.HH 005.50 0.m 00m.o«H Hotness bosom poo: H.o 000.mm 0.0 00«.HmH Hespnoo arson some 0.HH 00m.5o «.5 005.5mH oHoasHsa bosom 5.H« 000.00H «.mm 00H.5ms Homoeoo apnoz ones 5.H« 000.smH_ 0.m« 00«.mmm Hsnpeoo eohoz some 5.m 000.«m «.5 000.m0H pnmonphoz Illlllummpcoohom noneszI omwpcoonom nonasz. mOHmom mwdHchm EHMHIHHO guH3_nhopmpom. mwcHGHmm EHmHIHHo osoepa mHopoHom. nopmpm vopHcs msomHsHopmoo on» new .conon oHnmmHmoow he .mmoH :H nwchumo aHoHIHHo psonuH3.0am anz maepmpomo anew Hmdo meHII. mHmde ' 348 onsom HuopmHmeHoz moossHpcoo wmImeH ”oomsom .bmoH GH Show me :OHumooH mmeaoaoH poo mcoouom moUsHoxm "opoz m.o m0m.o~ 0.m« ocoamoo HHH s.H 5«H.H 0.HH oHHHooa H .H 00; «am assesses H.H 35. 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