LAND USE PLANNING-FIRE MANAGEMENT RELATIONSHIPS AND NEEDS IN THE U. 3. FOREST SERVICE Dissertation for the Degree of Ph. D. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY RICHARD J. BARNEY 1976 IIIII IIIQIIIIII II II III! III I I“ III I L LIB RA R Y Midfiggmstage University This is to certify that the thesis entitled Land Use Planning-Fire Management Relationships and Needs in the U. S. Forest Service presented by Richard J. Barney has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph . D. degree in Forestry Maj professor Date May 7’ 1976 0-7639 ABSTRACT LAND USE PLANNING-FIRE MANAGEMENT RELATIONSHIPS AND NEEDS IN THE U.S. FOREST SERVICE BY Richard J. Barney This study, covering the western Forest Service regions including Alaska, was designed (1) to identify existing land use planning-fire management relationships including policy, direction, and guides at various organi- zational levels; (2) to identify critical decisions and determine requirements for integrating fire management into the land use planning process at all levels; and (3) to recommend inputs which can be used to modify the land use planning procedures to include and integrate appropriate fire management considerations. In approaching the first objective, a thorough review was made of pertinent legis- lation, the Forest Service manual, regional manual supple- ments, and other appropriate guidance. Formal interviews, using a normative forecasting technique, PATTERN (Planning Assistance Through Technical Evaluation of Relevance Richard J. Barney Numbers), two relevance trees, and three planning situations were made on 68 random locations to address the second objective. The planning situations included an urban/forest interface area, a well developed forest area and an undeveloped area. Finally, the third objective was approached using a standard question series at the close of each interview session under part 2. The general and fire relevance trees used in this study were basically structured decision networks, in two dimensions. In the general relevance tree, one dimension dealt with forest resource potential considerations and the second dimension involved various site factors and forces of the basic natural resource. The fire relevance tree con— sidered fire management factors in one dimension and fire behavior factors in the second dimension. Resultant relevance scores from either tree reflected respondents' attitudes about the relative importance of specific factors for each planning situation. A Results indicate a general lack of specific unifying national direction. There also is a dearth of land use planning-fire management integration process advice; this has resulted in a wide range of land use planning competence. Expressed needs for the integration process range from "how- to" and "state-of—the-art" papers to sophisticated studies and field consultation. Richard J. Barney Results further indicated that in all problems and for each relevance tree (general and fire), 25 percent of the adjusted relevance scores accounted for at least 50 percent of the entire relevance tree values. Only a few combinations of factors, site factors and forces, resource potential, fire management, and fire behavior, for each respective relevance tree maintained a consistently high (top five) ranking between regions. These combinations were: V Political and Social Forces/Recreation Political and Social Forces/Esthetics Management Practices/Timber Prevention/Fire Danger Prevention/Time of Year Only Prevention/Fire Danger were common to more than one of the planning situations. Data pooling tended to mask differences both between and within organization levels and positions. The relevance trees, quartile diagrams, and other stratifications provide a depiction of the respond- ents' concepts of the importance of factors considered. Respondents provided data for a series of relevance trees that isolate significant interactions of site factors and force-versus-resource potential, and fire management factors-versus-fire behavior factors. Forest Service personnel at three levels have developed functional relation- ships for an array of factors for three planning situations. Richard J. Barney These results provide a simple quantitative means to assess, in part, the relative importance of selected factors in the planning process. LAND USE PLANNING-FIRE MANAGEMENT RELATIONSHIPS AND NEEDS IN THE U.S. FOREST SERVICE by Richard J. Barney A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Forestry 1976 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS It is with sincere appreciation that I acknowledge the assistance of the U.S. Forest Service. Special notice should be made of Dr. James E. Lotan, Program Manager, for his continued financial, professional, and personal support of this study; and William C. Fischer for promoting my educational program during his tenure as my project leader. Toni Rudolph deserves special credit; for without her programing expertise the analysis could not have run so smoothly. Louis T. Egging, systems analyst, and Michael A. Marsden, statistician, are acknowledged for their analysis, programing, and statistical advice respectively. Von J. Johnson, North Central Forest and Range Experiment Station, East Lansing, Michigan, provided support, facilities, and continued encouragement while I attended Michigan State University. The respondents who participated at all levels throughout the U.S. Forest Service are also noted; for without their cooperation the study could not have been completed. Because of her excellent typing, editing, helpful suggestions, and diligent efforts in meeting deadlines, ii Darlene Stefani, my typist, deserves a special thank you. Without her patience, my efforts would not have reached the printed page so smoothly. Dr. Victor J. Rudolph, my major professor, is hereby gratefully recognized for his direction and encouragement, all of which made my return to school after many years absence from the academic community a much more tolerable and rewarding experience. The remaining members of my graduate committee, Drs. J. James Kielbaso, Donald I. Dickmann, and M. Rupert Cutler contributed much appreciated counsel and assistance. Lastly but by no means least sincere recognition must go to my family for putting up with my absence during the period of both academic and research activities. To both my boys, thank you for your understanding and patience when I didn't respond to your needs. To my wife Marilyn, especial thanks for her continued patience, support, and encouragement without which I could not have made it through to this point. To those not specifically mentioned but involved with the study a sincere thank you, one and all. RJB iii PREFACE This study was conceived and planned as an integral part of the U.S. Forest Service Fire in Multiple Use Manage- ment Research, Development, and Application Program. The Research, Development, and Application (RD&A) Program is located at the Northern Forest Fire Laboratory, Missoula, Montana. Because of the servicewide responsibility of the RD&A the study was originally designed to cover all regions of the U.S. Forest Service as well as the Washington, D.C. headquarters. However, because of economic constraints it was necessary to restrict study efforts to the Western Regions including Alaska. It is sincerely hoped that at some future time the attitudes of staff members of the Eastern Regions, Forest Service Regions 8 and 9, as well as the Washington Office, can be sampled and analyzed. This continuation would allow the servicewide comparisons originally envisioned. Although the study has been revised in sc0pe, the sample to date provides a representative analysis of the Western Regions. Information gained will be another part in a continued effort to improve the integration of fire management into land use planning. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 REVIEW OF LITERATURE . . . . . . . . . . . . Land Use Planning . . . . . . . . . . . . Fire Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . METHODS O I O O O O O O O O O I O O O O O 0 Policy, Direction, and Guideline Review . Critical Land Use Planning Decisions and Needs Sample Size . . . . . . . . . Relevance Tree Structure . . . Interviews . . . . . . . . . . Conversion of Raw Scores . . . Average Relevance Tree for Each Decision Situation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Needs Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . RESULTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Legislation and Related Guidance . . . . . Legislation . . . . . . . Forest Service Manual an Advice . . . . Regional Manual Supplements and Advice . Critical Planning Decisions . . . . . . . Sample Description . . . . . . . . . . . Participants . . . . . . . . . . Geographic Distribution . . . . Respondent Characteristics . . . Forms Used . . . . . . . . . . . Page 21 21 22 31 32 35 42 45 47 48 48 48 61 67 73 73 73 74 74 81 Relevance Trees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Situation 1 - Forest/Urban Interface Area Situation 2 - Well—Developed Forest Area . Situation 3 - Undeveloped Forest Area . . Needs Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Planning Needs I O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Category 1 - State-of-the-Art and "How-to" Papers, Consultation . . . . . . . . . . . . . Category 2 - Economic Evaluation, Benefit-Cost Ratios, Trade-offs, Alternative Evaluations, Value Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Category 3 - Prescribed Burning, Fire Use, Smoke Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Category 4 - Management Practices, Fire Ecosystems, Trade-off Relationships . . . . . Category 5 - Fire Effects, Including Control Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Category 6 - Fire Management, Fire Control, Fire Behavior, Fire Danger Rating, etc. . . . . . . Category 7 - Information Storage and Retrieval Systems, Including Data . . . . . . . . . . . Category 8 - Fuel Prediction and Inventory Procedures, Fuel Management . . . . . . . . . Category 9 - Feedback, Evaluation, Review Procedures and Processes . . . . . . . . . . . Category 10 - Computer Hardware, Software, Analysis, and Display Procedures . . . . . . . Category 11 - Hazard Evaluation, Fire Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Category 12 - The Role of Fire, Fire Ecology . . Accuracy Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Review, Response, and Literature . . . . . . . . . SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . Legislation and Related Guidance . . . . . . . . . . Critical Decisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Needs Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . LITEMTURE CITED 0 O O O O C O O O O O O O O C O O O 0 General References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 85 85 89 96 103 116 117 118 119 120 122 123 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 135 137 139 141 145 149 157 Page APPENDICES Appendix A. List of Regions and Randomly Selected Forests Contacted for Interviews . . . . . . . . . . 159 B. List of Randomly Selected Ranger Districts Contacted for Interviews . . . . . . . . . . 161 C. Definitions of Terms as Used in the Relevance Trees I O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O I O 165 D. Relevance Tree Identifier and Profile Codes . 170 E. List of First- and Second-Level Entries in the Category "Other" . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 F. Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary . . . . 175 G. Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary - All Positions Except Fire Management . . . . . . 182 H. Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary - Fire Management Positions Only . . . . . . . . . 189 I. Region 1, Combined Data, Relevance Tree summary 0 O O O O O I C C O O O I O O O O O 196 J. Region 2, Combined Data, Relevance Tree Sumary O O O O O O O O O O O I O O O O O O 203 K. Region 3, Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210 L. Region 4, Combined Data, Relevance Tree sumary O O O O O O O O C O O O I O O O O O 217 M. Region 5, Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224 N. Region 6, Combined Data, Relevance Tree summary 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 23]- 0. Region 10, Combined Data, Relevance Tree Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 vii LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Region Size and Sample Relationships . . . . . . 75 2. Summary of Respondent Characteristics by Organizational Level . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 3. List of Respondent Positions Specified in the Category "Other" . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 4. Summary of Forms Used by Situation and Organizational Level . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 5. Distribution of Situation Order . . . . . . . . 84 viii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Land Use Planning Hierarchy in the U.S. Forest Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2. Fire Management and Land Use Planning RelationShipS O O O O I O O O O O O O O O O 3. General Land Use Planning Relevance Tree . . . 4. Fire Management Relevance Tree . . . . . . . . 5. General Relevance Tree Matrix with Site Factors and Forces in First-Order Position (Form 1) O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 6. General Relevance Tree Matrix with Resource Potential in First-Order Position (Form 2) . 7. Fire Relevance Tree Matrix with Fire Manage- ment Factors in First-Order Position (Form 3) O O O O O O O O I O O O O O O O O O 8. Fire Relevance Tree Matrix with Fire Behavior Factors in First-Order Position (Form 4) . . 9. A Completed Relevance Tree Matrix . . . . . . 10. The Calculated Adjusted Relevance Scores for Figure 9 O O O O O O O O O O I O O O O O O 0 11. Sample Stop Locations . . . . . . . . . . . . 12. Forest Service Regions and National Forests . 13. Situation 1: Average General Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . ix Page 12 18 25 27 33 34 40 41 43 44 76 77 90 Figure Page 14. Situation 1: Site Factors and Forces and Resource Potential Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . 92 15. Situation 1: Average Fire Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . . . 93 16. Situation 1: Fire Management and Fire Behavior Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 17. Situation 2: Average General Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . . . 97 18. Situation 2: Site Factors and Forces and Resource Potential Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . 99 19. Situation 2: Average Fire Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . . . 101 20. Situation 2: Fire Management and Fire Behavior Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 21. Situation 3: Average General Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . . . 105 22. Situation 3: Site Factors and Forces and Resource Potential Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . 108 23. Situation 3: Average General Relevance Tree Quartile Ranges for All Data Combined . . . . 109 24. Situation 3: Fire Management and Fire Behavior Pooled Average and Organizational Level Relevance Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 INTRODUCTION In August 1973 a charter was signed by John McGuire, Chief of the Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture. This charter formally established the Fire in Multiple Use Management Research DevelOpment and Application Program (RD&A) (USDA 1973b). Development of this program was one response of the Forest Service to a growing concern on the part of land managers to do a more professional job of managing land. This agency, like others responsible for public land management, is moving into a period in which fire, under careful controls, will be used to manage various forest and rangeland ecosystems to meet public demands. The program, which is located at the Northern Forest Fire Laboratory, Missoula, Montana, has three major goals as follows (USDA 1975a): 1. Define the role of fire in forest and range ecosystems; 2. Develop methods for incorporating fire manage- ment into land management plans; 3. Apply and evaluate fire management alternatives on National Forests. It is the second goal towards which this study is directed. Currently land use planning policies and directions are described in the Forest Service Manual, Section 8200 (USDA l975e). Although general approaches are indicated, there is no apparent universal nationwide method or system. Each Region, Forest, and sometimes District or planning area uses its own approach to accomplish the planning job. Some local adaptation is often necessary as well as desirable, however, too much resulting variability makes development of procedures with nationwide applicability extremely difficult. More universal procedures seem desirable to better integrate between various adjacent planning boundaries at all manage- ment levels. Apparent lack of universal land use planning proce- dures and approaches makes servicewide integration of new considerations as well as universal data management diffi- cult. Fire is an extremely difficult consideration to weave into planning because there is no established or uniform procedure for doing so. In some planning areas, forests, or pianning units, fire is such an important factor that it becomes necessary to examine and consider a great many intertwining factors related to fire management when con- structing a land use plan. Fire control, fuel management, fire prevention, and fire use--a11 must be recognized as interrelated activities directed to meet land management goals. Fire, like many other environmental forces, cuts across traditional functional management boundaries. As a result it often produces complex chain reactions in planning and determining environmental impacts, alternatives, and direction. Planners need to be able to establish specific fire influences and how sensitive these influences are to the various socioeconomic and ecologic decisions the land manager makes. Questions such as the following should be addressed in a forest plan: How much fire control is needed? How capable are existing and predicted fire control forces? What are some of the relationships between fuel reduction or treatment and fire control? Forest planners must be able to integrate fire management objectively, systematically, uniformly, and consistently if planning is to be comprehensive and a truly viable management tool. No procedure(s) or system(s) can be adequately designed to satisfy user needs without a thorough understanding of those needs (Gerlach 1974). Researchers and managers need auxiliary aids to isolate key elements in management decisions that affect land use-fire management planning. One basic underlying premise here is that fire management and land use planning decisions significantly influence present and future land management and use patterns. Therefore, any program designed to deal with future land use management should first isolate the most relevant features in the decision- making processes that affect that land use and fire manage- ment considerations. The objectives of this study are: 1. To identify existing land use planning-fire management relationships including policy, direction, and guides at the various levels in the National Forest System of the U.S. Forest Service. To identify critical decisions and determine information requirements for integrating fire management into the land use planning process at all levels. To recommend inputs which can be used to modify the land use planning procedures to include and integrate appropriate fire management considerations. This study was based on a sample taken from through- out the western regions of the USDA Forest Service National Forest System. Contacts were made in each western regional office, and the forests and ranger districts in each of these regions. At each organizational level, available personnel in fire management, land use planning, timber, range, watershed, wildlife, recreation management, and State and Private Forestry or other functional areas were contacted. REVIEW OF LITERATURE Land Use Planning Man has been "studying" land use, especially as it relates to agriculture, for centuries (Curtis 1975). Land use and land use planning have become an ever—increasing issue of concern and interest since the environmental move- ment of the early 1960's. The National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA) added emphasis to this topic with its restrictions and directives. In the early 1970's, the Public Land Law Review Commission (PLLRC) delivered its extensive report on the nation's public lands. As one portion of this report, an entire chapter was devoted to land use planning (PLLRC 1970). This chapter made no less than 15 specific recommendations relative to land use planning and the nation's public lands. During the evolu- tionary period of the 1960's, Cahart (1961) published a book on wildlands planning, which although rather general, identified a series of relevant planning issues. This work was sponsored by several national natural-resource-related organizations. The literature is very profuse on the broad tOpic of land use planning. Admittedly much of the planning information revolves around urban problems. Nevertheless the processes and principles expanded upon are applicable to other areas of land use planning. One author produced a classic text, entitled Desiganith Nature (McHarg 1969), which emphasized the protection of the natural processes in land use planning. The League of Women Voters of the United States (LWV) has also taken land use as one of its primary action commitments (LWV l975b), further illustrating wide- spread interest. The "League" has also developed a position statement on land use (LWV l975e). One of these statements covers the need to "foster coordinated planning and manage- ment of land resources by all levels of government." The LWV has taken an additional step by producing a series of Land Use Letters covering land use tOpics ranging from national forests to available land use literature. The federal government has also published numerous documents on land use and land use planning. One example entitled Land Use, states: "To define and achieve good use of land may well be the most fundamental of all environ- mental objectives . . . . But the issue of proper land use is as complex as it is fundamental" (Council on Environmental Quality 1974). The Water Resources Council, in response to Congressional direction, developed principles and standards for planning water and related land resources (Water Resources Council 1973). These standards have become a basic reference for other federal agencies. In a speech, former Secretary of the Interior Rogers C. B. Morton (1975) stated: We can no longer tolerate the inefficient use and wastefulness of our precious finite resources, and no longer can we tolerate a neglect of our renewable resources . . . . There is a role in land use planning and land use implementation for the federal government, for the state government, and for local government. His position is one example of past interest at the Washington level. Duerr et_al. (1975) indicate that planning is the process and plans are the outcome. They define a land use plan as one that depicts the way land may be allocated during a future period and explains the objectives sought, the expected flow of services, the projects needed to implement the plan, the costs and benefits, and other matters, in- cluding an environmental impact analysis, especially when one is required by law. They go on to note that generally land use planning tends to establish a pattern of single use within zones and multiple services within the planning unit as a whole. Curtis (1975) has indicated that land use decisions are too critical to our total environment to leave to the motivations of various interest groups. Such decisions are long term and often establish patterns that can endure for generations. He recommended that a systematic and interdisciplinary approach must be develOped for and communicated to those policy- planning and decisionmaking processes which affect all aspects of the environment. In his discussion of policy analysis, Clawson (1975) sets five criteria which he suggests must be considered in any discussion of forest policy. His criteria, which also appear apprOpriate for land use planning, are as follows: --Physical and biological feasibility and consequences --Economic efficiency --Economic equity --Social acceptability --Operational practicality In considering uniformity of procedures, Zivnuska (1961) stated, "Decisions affecting the multiple use of forest land cannot be made by standard formulas or rules learned by rote." This thesis is further supported by Reilly (1973) who said, ". . . it is impractical to recom- mend one approach or combination of approaches to encourage more competent and consistent planning . . . . Needs and Opportunities vary widely from place to place." Still further support of this same position was made by Kaiser and Reichert (1975) when they stated, "There is no single inherently correct planning process to define land use problems, establish objectives, design alternatives and assess consequences." These references seem to give fairly broad-based support to the issue that there is no "one system for land use planning. Decisionmaking and the decision process has volumes written about it. However, in respect to the Forest Service and land use decisions, two interesting comments were found. In his recent book, Robinson (1975) had an appropriate quote: "The web of decisionmaking events is so intertwined that in most cases it is more reasonable to say decisions emerge from the Forest Service rather than that they are made in some definable office." Libby (1974) said, "Planning and related resource-use decisions actually are a 'muddling through' process . . . not a unidirectional, goal-oriented procedure." In addition to the wide interest expressed in land use planning mentioned earlier, numerous symposia attest to this interest. One such symposium was reported in the Natural Resources Journal (1975) covering a range of land use topics. The Society of American Foresters dedicated their entire 1973 national convention to the tOpic of land use planning. The proceedings of this meeting contain many papers on forestry-related land use planning topics (Society of American Foresters 1974). Recently the Western Forestry and Conservation Association (WFCA) developed a set of basic forest-land use principles especially for planners (WFCA 1975). These principles, developed by the basically industry-oriented organization, detailed the necessity for continuing consid- eration of long-term forestry needs in planning. In total, 10 15 principles were enumerated along with clarifying remarks. The WFCA did, however, make a strong point that planning and plan implementation are two very distinct and separate processes. Since 1975, the U.S. Forest Service has shifted from multiple use planning to land use planning. The general direction is found in the 8200 Section of the Forest Service Manual. The current system is said to be essentially an extension of the old multiple use system (Robinson 1975). He indicates that the most important contribution of the new system lies in the more substantial, more direct involvement of interdisciplinary skills. He also believes that under the old multiple use system, one major difficulty was in the integrating of various components of the functional plans (i.e., fire, timber, and transportation plans). The problems of functionally oriented plans have also been discussed by others. Hartgraves (1974) stated that past approaches to land planning that placed separate emphasis on the various land uses were becoming less adequate. According to Carder and Oglesby (1973), Forest Service managers are problem solvers working with complex dynamic systems and processes. Many problems they face are ill-defined and transcend functional and administrative boundaries. 11 The Forest Service Manual, Section 8200, states: The purpose of land use planning for the National Forest System is to develop ways to achieve Forest Service objectives in the most efficient and effective manner . . . . Any planning activity of the Forest Service must be done within the context of national Forest Service objectives and targets as a principal direction in developing alternatives for actions or reaching decisions. The overall National Forest land management goal is to Optimize public benefits from the public land while main- taining its long-term productivity (Hartgraves and Moore 1974). These authors indicate that to meet this overall goal, three major planning objectives must be attained: -—Determine how the forest-land base CAN be used --Determine how the forest-land base SHOULD be used --Determine how the forest-land base WILL be used Although the manual provides general planning guidance, methods must be develOped locally. Various Forest Service planning teams have put together local procedures. Some of these teams have prepared formal documents; others have not. One example of a published procedure is a report entitled Land Use Planning, prepared by the Sandpoint Zone Planning Team of the Idaho Panhandle National Forests. This document covers in detail how the planning process works in that area. To illustrate the whole planning spectrum in the Forest Service, Figure 1 provides a generalized diagrammatic look at the planning hierarchy. 12 .wofi>umm ammuom .m.D on“ CH hsoumumfln mcflccmam om: psmqll.H musmwm .mnma .mo .msouo mcfiuompsm new .mcflccmam .mcfiEmumoum H coamwm .mow>umm ummuom «om: "wouSOm \\ \‘ Iiitnuttit mz2m _ — mmapzuuxh mod xmogm2=O¢<¢u=— 02—22(4fl 13 In addition to general procedures, the Forest Service has developed a series of computer programs to assist in planning. Examples are: Timber RAM, Timber Resource Allocation Method; RCS, Resources Capability System; WRIS, Wildland Resource Information System; and FOCUS, Fire Operational Characteristics Using Simulation. They also use INVEST-III which is a benefit-cost program for quantitatively examining alternative resource programs. Although some of these resource-allocation models presently offer the best solution to multiproduct output decisions on Forest Service lands, they do not incorporate the important policy issues involved in setting the appropriate production goals (Whaley 1970). Perhaps the most significant document concerned with land use planning in recent times is the Forest and Range- land Resources Planning Act of 1974 (hereinafter referred to as RPA). This act by Congress may well have more impact on the Forest Service than did NEPA. Greenfield (1975) in his article on the Forest Service and RPA indicated that the only way public lands could be effectively managed was with public inputs at all levels of the management process. Under RPA the process of planning is accelerated because of the rigid timetable imposed by Congress. The agency will now be accountable for achieving those management objectives approved, or set, by Congress. RPA will further provide data and trade—offs to allow Congress and resource managers 14 to consider the many needed-but-unimplemented programs. RPA provides a new direction towards rational resource manage- ment and total land use planning. In its response to Congress and RPA, the Forest Service prepared three detailed documents, covering an assessment of the nation's renewable resources, a program for these resources with an environ- mental statement, and a summary of both documents (USDA Forest Service l975f,h,i). Fire Management Since this study deals not only with land use planning but also with fire management, it seems appropriate to first define the term. The term fire management is being used on an ever-increasing basis. The evolution of the term is unclear. There are numerous different concepts as to what it is. To illustrate how some of the existing defini- tions vary, several published versions read as follows: Fire management is not striking at fires at all times and all places. Neither is it simply letting fires burn. It is a planned program for managing the energy conversion requirements of wildland fuels. It combines smoke management, fuel conversion, fire control and a systematic contribution to qualify land management (USDA Forest Service 1972a). In December 1971, the Southwestern Interagency Fire Council (SWIFCO) presented a symposium in Phoenix, Arizona, entitled "Planning for Fire Management." In the published symposium proceedings (SWIFCO 1971), there were two definitions of fire management, which are worth repeating to 15 further illustrate the diversity of definition. In his keynote address, Ed Schultz, Deputy Chief Administrator for the USDA Forest Service, said: "Fire management . . . includes fire suppression, presuppression, fire prevention, detection, fuels management, and the necessary planning to accomplish these tasks efficiently and safely." Another definition by Neil T. Skill who discussed the fire manage- ment planning process in Oregon stated: "Our major concern in recent years has been oriented toward fire management; that is, the direction and control of fire control resources." The U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Land Management, Washington Office, in a illustrated report entitled "Fire Training - A Report" (USDI 1973), provided two definitions which are germane to this tOpic: "(1) fire control - includes suppression, fire readiness, and preven- tion; (2) fire management - beyond fire control, includes implication of the fire program as it impacts and relates to natural resource program." This author has also developed a definition of fire management which is used throughout this report (Barney 1975). Specifically, the definition is: "Fire management - the integrating of fire-related biological, ecological, physical, and technological information into land management to meet desired objectives." 16 In the Fire in Multiple Use Management Research, Development, and Application Charter (USDA 1973), the first statement under the problem definition is: "Fire is not fully integrated into the multiple use planning process." Forest Service Chief John McGuire (1975) said: Fire management cannot be separated from total forest management. It must always be considered in land use planning . . . . we are now realizing that lack of land use planning can be far more devastating than any forest fire . . . . fire management must be included in our land use plans. I view fire as an equal environmental component-~aldng with soil, air, water, land, and life forms . . . . Fire managers must constantly insure that fire is considered an equal component in forest ecology . . . . One of fire management's strongest advocates, W. R. "Bud" Moore (1974) added additional support when he wrote: Fire has to be integrated more thoroughly into land use planning, beginning with the land capability inventories and culminating in the prescriptions for managing fire in each land unit . . . . All present-day fire knowledge should be converted to operational guidelines, proce- dures, and policies. In their wildfire prevention analysis, three federal agencies stated: . . . comprehensive land use planning must be applied to abate both risk and hazard . . . . Presently there are few examples of coordinated land use planning systems which include fire safety measures (USDA Forest Service 32 31. 1975). In his challenge to trainees at the Forest Service Advanced Fire Management Course, Resler (1975) stated: "The major objective of this course is to integrate scientific concepts and operational tools into fire management and land use planning." 17 The preceding paragraphs are only a sample of the comments, support, and expressed need to integrate fire management and land use planning. One approach for blending fire management and planning is illustrated by Figure 2 (USDA Forest Service l975a). The upper portion of the diagram above the fire management block could be considered the objective- formulation phase. It is at this point where land capa- bilities and use demands are assessed. Key values are identified as well as their relationship to fire. Below the fire management block, the fire integration phase begins by assessing fire danger or hazard for the planning area. Included throughout this phase is the prediction of changes relative to fire caused by any preposed management action or alternative. Fire management considers possible alternatives for fuels management as well as necessary fire control and suppression. The assessment of benefits and damage resulting from any proposed action can feed back to reshape planning direction and emphasis, or it can support the use decision made initially. Although firm support has been voiced for the integration of fire and land use planning, this was not done without some cautions. In a recent Canadian research article, this statement was made: Fire management has to be based on both sound principles and detailed knowledge of what fire means to specific vegetation types in their varied geOgraphical, topo- graphic, and climatic settings (Anon. 1975). 18 HZuEmmumma. :1ng w mu<éwxa_ . u a zo_mmmmmm:m w Lompzou mm: mm: numEQmwmm IIH E) _ mmwzzmm:3_ _amxm HI awaaz _ —Lozoamu vcflccmam mms wand Hmumcowlu.m wusmflm L<¢ahmzu LIa:m mmopuo mzo—uxm _ r _ _ _ _ _ a u _ mmzho fi _ mwmzxmom_§ I; _mo_hwthu _ HIIrmp<§ MN; — mu_4n4_; _ _zo_hmo 44m; _ zo.p<:H_m pmmmomlzmamu ucwEmmmcmE muflmii.v ousmam macho<:mm .mm_1 um_1 filllllJ wIIIIIJ - _ , - — _ _ _ . macho<1 mmohu<1 . _ _ _ mo_>mo hmmmom zmmm IIIII um: r II 35:88 E: I LI LT LI LT L... LI LT LI LT , it _ _ _ _ 52:3 2: E: to :5 _ “232, _ _ :82: 32:; to 5:8 .355 :1: 252:. as: :2 I :2 5.232.. L251 :5. _ L _ _ _ F _ h L _ QCOan‘t CO.>(INI NIX—4 9801.014 1N3H39VNVH SUI! 29 muxpo Ir. 4. LT .H. zo:<._._.__m<:um mhutmw mm: A.u:oovni.v musmwm ._u>u.. zo:u:o~_a _ L... L\ L... _mu_zozo°w _ _ _ _ _ I ma_1 I am: wa_1I zo__owpmo _ _ — MKOh0¢m P2m:m0(2(: ”I: _ Ill muoz ”.0 “2: I ~2240> Us”. I >Zm2u—z_ I zwozs us}: I ou¢m mm?— 3:“. a 4.. L. uUZumznouo mm: I— — SBOLOVJ HOIAVHBB 38H 30 latter tree was used as the basis for developing the fire- oriented matrix also discussed later. Current planning activities in the U.S. Forest Service bridge a wide variety of conditions. These planning situations occur in a range from the well-developed, highly populated areas such as southern California to the virtually undeveloped vast uninhabited expanses found in Alaska. In order to provide information which will assist in addressing such a wide range of conditions it seemed appropriate to develop the relevance tree decision situations covering a similar array of conditions. Therefore three situations were develOped to provide as broad a base as possible. The three situations discussed in the following paragraphs attempt to provide anchor points at each end of the spectrum as well as one point elsewhere inbetween. The specific planning or decision situations utilized in the investigation were as follows: 1. Development of multiple use management programs in a forested-urban interface area. Such an area would range from a few sections to one or more townships. There would be intermixed federal, state, and private ownerships. The vegetation would be represented by mosaics of trees, shrubs, and lesser plants. Use would be primarily suburban residential, recreation, open space, and limited agriculture of various forms (small farms, houses, ranchettes, etc.). POpulation density would range from about 0.1 to approximately 1 person per acre. 31 2. DevelOpment of multiple use management programs in a highly developed forest situation. This area would encompass several townships of primarily single ownership (in this case federal) forest land. Resources within the area include timber, wildlife, range, water (watersheds and lakes and streams) and recrea- tion opportunities. It is truly a multiple use management situation. Generally the management leVel is already well developed. Access is basically established. Numerous options for management and use exist. The value of most forest products and services is high. 3. Development of multiple use management programs in an undeveloped roadless forest situation. This is an area of several townships with virtually no developed access. It could be, but does not have to be, adjacent to a designated wilderness area. All the potential management options outlined for the highly develOped area exist here also. The only difference lies in the fact that no develOpment or access exists. Sample Size Results from this segment of the study will provide data which can be used to describe how various groups and levels of decisionmakers react to the three hypothetical situations about fire management-land use planning decisions. Management functions at each organizational level were sampled, using at least one respondent, as manpower 1.1:. il}.4.|§ ”HQ 32 availability permitted. Twenty percent of all national forest headquarters were sampled randomly. Ten percent of all the ranger districts were sampled randomly on a national basis. A minimum sample was one interviewee regardless of function per sample category. All available respondents were utilized. Appendices A and B provide a complete list of locations selected. The basic sample was then reduced to include only the western regions, forests, and districts including Alaska. Relevance Tree Structure In this study, a relevance tree was basically a structured decision network consisting of two dimensions (Figures 5 and Figure 6).1 One dimension dealt with forest- resource-potential considerations that may influence a decision about fire management-land use planning and development. The second dimension, or cross support of the tree, involved various site factors of the basic natural resource. Each cell in the resulting row x column matrix eventually received a relevance score (or percentage) from each of n decisionmakers during personal interviews. Each score reflects the decisionmaker's attitude about the relative importance of forest-resource-potential considera- tions and site factors—-as they relate to each of the three 1Note that Figures 5 and 6 are identical except the axes have been reversed. The rationale for this feature is discussed later; however, this technique was used to deter- mine how respondents preferred to approach planning problems. 33 .AH Euomv coHuHmom umpuo Tumufim CH moouow can mnouomw mufim spas xwuumE coup wocm>oamu HmumchTI.m ousmwm p _ ~ ~ woo.» _ — _ _ ~ Jake» ~ — _ ~ ~ ~ _ ~ _ u u u rec.- _ o o o o o o . _ .>u~uuaw. _ _ _ _ — aurro — _ _ _ _ u u p _ _ _ o _ _ poo—n a o o o o o o o _ u¢_u _ ~ _ _ ~ 5233.? u _ a _ _ ~ ~ _ _ ~ — o u — poo—n _ o o o o o o o — muuupuaaa ~ ~ — u _ h2w7w0«211 _ u — _ _ _ ~ _ ~ ~ ~ o u _ coo—u _ o o o o o o o u mu—xozouu ~ _ _ u u ~ ~ _ a _ — ~ _ _ a muudou _ o _ _ coo—u ~ o o o o o o . ~ 4<~Uom o:¢ n a — ~ ~ Jqu—p—Jon ~ ~ — u u — _ — ~ — u o u u poo—n ~ o o o o o o o _ manned—3 — — ~ — _ ~ ~ _ _ u u _ _ _ u wwrQra ~ ~ ~ — a C2. >0040wo ~ ~ _ _ — — ~ — _ ~ ~ u u _ — ~ — .>44cu~»du> ~ ache» ~ .>E_Owam. _ mmwz u mu—pwxpmw u «mean _ wu—Jonur — zoupa u merca ~ «wax—p ~ owrxav. _ u auxao _ Tame._x _ u _ _ oucoua ~ _ _ umcocE II I 021 macrtqu wh_m «>Jddauhca ouxzam. Jdnrzuhoaouuaaomua hmwaou 00.... 0...... C... 0.. 0.. 0.. 0.. .pma.t muuaou oz. maopoat wean awe—mzou o» warm.) xusmcaa zo.»«o=ou zo.».moa uu~>aum hzwczoamwa maul) m1u~>awbz~ z~ 0mm: um 0p m— xaou m—I» z. w1~» z" wz~» .czszz«4n z~ Quawo~mzou mwuaok 02¢ mac»U¢u u»_m 02¢ oo. .o. o.. co. J1~>Zkhontwucaomwa hwwaou .wcahunabm wwuh UUZq>wam zouh—moa bu~ahm~o hwUUOu 20—owa 34 .AN Euomv cowuwwom AOGMOIumuww EH Hmflucmuom OOHSOmmH spas xfluums menu mocm>mamu HEHOCOOII.G onsmflm — a — a moo—u _ a u u — Jakob _ u ~ ~ u a n u u u u a vac—I u o o o o o o o o o n .>u~uwaw. ~ _ u u — awxrc u a u u n ~ ~ u u u u o H ~ too.» u o o o o o o o o o ~ wmwzaucq~r u u u ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ — — n H u ~ ~ n o u — voo~n a o o o o o . o o o n muuhwrbmw u n u n u ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 0 ~ — Ocean u o o o o o o o o o a amhrara ~ .8113. — ~ a>u~uwamv — owmnmum n hzuz a mu— a 024 qu — want u 024 u n 024 n 024 n 44—»2wbon — ache» u auxho ~ luau u Iuo<241 a Ixozouw ~ nub—Jon u 004—) n mbuuwz~ a zo—woau ~ cuedu ~ >0040wo u owuasomwa bwwacu .>44awm bzwozoamua mam!) m3u~>mwhzu I” cum: we o» m— :aou m~xh z— urn» 2» wxub .czuzzmda z~ owmwoumzou mwuaou 02¢ mach0(u uhum 02¢ o.. co. co. co. zouhnmon huuahmno hmuaou zo—owa dcuhzwhOQIHUCDOmwa hmchL uwGDhUDahm uwah w02¢>w4wa — ._fl-.II.W”I¥H€. | _ 35 decision situations outlined earlier. The basis for these two trees was shown earlier in Figure 3. In this figure, the general environmental items to be inventoried prior to planning are outlined. This illustrates that specific resource potentials, as well as demand, must be evaluated relative to some balanced View. The underlying theme here is the stewardship concept, which implies that one should not demand more than the potential can provide within a reasonable time frame. For the short run, potential could be exceeded, but not to the point of irreversibility of future productivity. It should be noticed that fire is specifically mentioned in this relevance tree. It was anticipated that both wildfire and prescribed fire would be placed in their relative position of importance through this phase of the interview. All terms used in the relevance trees were defined (Appendix C) for respondents if needed. Standard sources were used as a basis. These definitions were provided at each interview. Interviews First, the interviewer explained the objectives of the study, as outlined earlier. Once this was covered, the general procedure was outlined. A very simple example of PATTERN using a car—purchasing exercise was presented to the group. Care was taken to go through the sample exercise slowly to be sure everyone understood the process to follow. 36 This exercise was also used to show respondents how the "critical decision" would be determined. Before going into the actual relevance tree exercise, all questions were answered. Based on the response, prOper technique, and relative ease with which respondents filled in the actual relevance trees, this introduction was well worth the time and effort. All personnel participating in the study at each stOp were assembled at one time. Respondents were addressed in a group situation; however, each completed his or her own relevance tree forms. By use of the group meeting, each sample stop could be completed in one-half day. If facil- ities were large enough, respondents remained in one room. If, on the other hand, individual work space was not ade- quate, each respondent returned to his or her own desk following the opening session. The interviewer moved around to answer any questions that arose. Upon completion of the sample exercise and question period the formal interview began. All decisionmakers were generally told the following: Consider the first planning or decision situation. We realize that the decision process is not a simultaneous event, and furthermore, that such a process may or may not include all of the factors in the relevance tree matrix (Figure 5 or 6). Decisionmakers usually treat the decisionmaking process as a chained set of decision events that move over time from one man or group to another, and that include several feedback loops. However, we are interested in your overall impression of what factors are important in the total process of developing--from inception to final completion of planning for: 37 1. An urban/forested area development. 2. A highly developed forest area. 3. A nondeveloped (roadless) forest area. Personnel participating in develOpment trials for the operational forms sometimes had a tendancy to skip through their final relevance tree in the 2-1/2 to 3-1/2 hour session. By the same token, individuals also seemed to develop an improved ability for filling in the forms and responding following the completion of each relevance tree. Therefore, the first planning or decision situation for each session as well as the subsequent situation order was determined on a random basis. A die was used to arrive at a number from 1 to 6. This number indicated the initial situation to be addressed as well as the subsequent order to be followed. Die Result Situation Order ONUliwaH N ‘ DJ ‘ HNwl-‘Nw Separate relevance tree forms were used for each of these three decision situations. The respondents were then told: Starting with the forest-resource—potential or site factors--whichever you prefer--(the column on the left) give me your imppession of the relative weights (expressed as a percent) each of these factors generally receives in reaching decisions in the type of planning situations described first--depending on the results of the die toss. The total of all weights you assign to the forest-potential (or site) factors in the left—hand column should equal 100 percent. (These values are called first level relevance scores.) It is not neces- sary to have numbers in each cell, they may be left 38 blank. These blank cells will be treated as if zeros had been entered. If zeros are entered in the left-hand column (first level relevance scores), the appropriate row will also be left blank. Notice that the respondent was permitted to select either the resource potential or site factors form first in orienting his response. Intuitively, it was anticipated that as the decisionmaking situations changed from the urban to the develOped forest and then to the undeveloped forest (as outlined in the three decision situations noted earlier), decisionmakers probably would shift their initial orienta- tion from the forest-potential influences to site features of the landscape or the reverse, depending on the situation sequence. Each decisionmaker was given the choice, however, in each of the three decision situations as to which of the two categories--resource potential or site--he wished to use when he assigned relevance numbers to the decision tree. Figure 5 was used when decisionmakers started with site factors, and Figure 6 was used when decisionmakers started with resource-potential factors. Forest Service decisionmakers may not always be involved in all three types of planning situations listed, but they are generally aware of the problems involved and certainly have impressions of what is important in such situations. Data obtained for the first and third situation should provide some interesting comparisons between the different levels of decisionmakers and planners. 39 The second step required of each decisionmaker was: Now consider the resource-potential or site factors (whichever factors were not chosen initially) that are outlined in the body of the relevance tree, and based on your experience give me your impression of the relative weights each of these factors generally receives within the bounds of each of the resource-potential (or srteI factors. The total of all weights you assign to any one resource-potential (or site) factor should equal 100 percent. These are the second level relevance scores. Upon completion of the first general relevance tree interview, a second and more specific tree was addressed. This tree revolves solely around fire considerations. It was addressed using the same three management planning situations. When a respondent had assessed each planning situation, he filled out one of the two general relevance trees and one of two fire relevance trees. Two trees (one general and one fire) were completed for each planning situation or six for the entire exercise. Figures 7 and 8 illustrate the two fire relevance trees. Figure 7 was used when the respondent wanted to consider fire management factors first and Figure 8 was used when fire behavior factors were considered initially. As in the general relevance tree forms, the only difference between the two fire forms is that the axes have been reversed. Again this was an attempt to learn how respondents approached each planning situation and also to see if there would be a shift in form used for the three different decision situations. On each of the relevance tree forms completed, specific identifier and respondent profile information was 4O lumuflw CH muouomw .Am Euomv coauflmom umpuo pcwEmmmcmE muww nufls xfluumE mmuu wocm>mamu muHmII.b musmflm u _ _ ~ woo—u _ — u u _ Jcboh _ ~ ~ _ ~ ~ ~ tooau _ o o o o o o o o _ .>u~uunv. _ _ u n — akzrc u u _ ~ ~ _ u a n u . _ o ~ ~ voo~n _ . o o o o o o o ~ 70_»<»~ n u u ~ ~ 34—marua ~ _ u _ _ u _ ~ ~ ~ — o _ u locun — o o o o o o o 0 ~ Mbuuukw _ ~ u u . ~ wa—u u u ~ ~ u ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ _ o — u woo—u _ o o o o o . o o _ mu_:ozouu — u ~ ~ _ ua~u ~ a u ~ ~ _ _ u _ ~ . ~ o ~ ~ soc—u u o o o o o o o o u mm: wa—u ~ u u u ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ u u n u o u _ tee—n ~ . o o o o o o . ~ zouhuupwo _ ~ a a _ ~ ~ ~ _ ~ u u ~ ~ ~ u o ~ — seen. u o o . o . o o o _ Du>u4 _ u u u . ~ zo_»uu»oan ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ _ ~ u u u . .~ o ~ — too—u u o o o o o o o o u zo~»2u>wao a _ _ ~ ~ ~ _ ~ ~ ~ u n n a ~ — o n u ioouu u o o o o o o o o ~ wuzuaaruuo w _ ~ _ ~ wa—u _ ~ _ _ _ u _ _ _ _ u — _ a _ . u — _ .>44¢u~»au> n J a mm)» a w1340> a >h~m u IhOZuJ u O44awhz~ z~ owm: wm o» m— Icon m—I» z— urn» Izu wx~h .bzwxaoaw>wo uuaaomwa z— owawo—mzou machu<1um wank «wuzhuaahm wua» u02¢>w4wa zo—»~moa buuahm~o hmwaou zouowa .Hv Euomv cofluflmom umpuo Tumuflm EH muouomw uoH>mnwn muflm nuHS xfluuwe moan mocm>wamu muwmii.m musmflm H H . H H mooHn H H H H H Jaech H H H . . H H. H H dcoHn H o o o o o o o o H H>uHuwam. H H H H H ourpc H H H H H H H H H H H o H H acoHu H o o o o o o o . . H uxczu H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H o H H JQOHN H o o o o o o . o H nuordc H H H H H unHu H H H H H H H H H H H o H H poo—u H o o o o o o . o o H r¢u> H H H r H no utH» H H H H H H H H H H H o H H nooHu H o o o o o o . o H uo>H H H H H H HEL H H H H H H H H . H H H o H H dooHu H o o o o o o o o H ut:I_O> H H H H H 4%.... H H H H H . H H H H H H o H H JeoHu H o o o o . o . . o H >HH12uH7H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H o H H soc—u H o o o o o o o o H erzwg H H H H H urcnu H H H H H H H H H H H o H H JcOHu H o o . o o o o o H cawaoO H H H H H ac utqo H H H H H H H H 4w4 H H uuzu: H H>44 H H H>uHumamH H 20H Ha .: H wHuwuu—w HmUH rozouw H wv: H ZOHH H ZOHH H 20H... H IZCUO H ouxxtv. H H amrpo H IJHmcrwz H umHu H waHu H waHu H Tumec H Tuwhcaa H tzu>maa H maHu H aaoHUau IIII ITII IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII I acqurua unHk .>44¢rwm uaHm «onmzoo o» murmH) turmoao onheuDou onHHmoa uuH>awm Hzmczoamw: wmwrr meH>mezH zH cum: mm o» mH 110a erH 2H er» zH NIH» .sz1a04w>wo muabomua 2H owauonzou maoHuwsma onHcha HuHaHmHo Hmuaou onowa 42 obtained. This information provides a means to define the sample population. In addition this information provides a basis by which data can be stratified for analysis. Appendix D shows the specifics of the identifier and profile information obtained. Conversion of Raw Scores The relevance numbers entered by a respondent in the two categories of the relevance tree are designated figgp and second level scores respectively, according to their order of selection and form used. All second-level scores within the bounds of a given first-level category were multiplied by that first-level category score. This procedure adjusted all second-level scores throughout the relevance tree matrix so that their grand total equals 100 percent. Figure 9 illustrates an example of a relevance tree completed by each respondent. First the left-hand column (first-level relevance score) was filled in so as to total 100 percent vertically. Secondly the horizontal rows were completed so each row was con- sidered within the item in the left-hand column and to total 100 percent horizontally. These were the second-level scores. Figure 10 illustrates the adjusted relevance scores calculated for Figure 9. 43 _~. .xfluumE menu mocm>wamu poumHQEoo ¢II.m musmflm ~~ H acoHu H H JapoH H H H H H . _ 2::- H . . . . . . . . H .333. H H H H H curse H H H _ H H H H H A H H . H H 32. H . . . . I \ . . . . x H 22:: H H H H O Q\ O N. Q\ 0m .m. 0 H Idmarua H 0\ H H H H H H H H H H o H H 52» H . . . . . . . . H $8.7m H H H H In, Ox on. O\ In. Ow. M \oW _ on: H In H H H H H H H H H H . H H 52.. H . O . t4\ . Ox . Q\ . Ih.\ . 0N . O\ . ow. H mixozoou H H H H H to: H :0 H H H H H H H H H H . H H 52.. H . O\ . In. . Q\ . Ifl\ . Q\ . OK . In.\ . In\ H mm: .8: H H H H H H Qx _ H _ H H H H H H H . _ H 32. H . . . . . . . . H 228ch H H _ H O O\ Q\ 0\ ow. 0\ O 0 v _ _ o x H H H H H H H H IW nvx nu\. H H o H H 82.. H . . . . . . . . H din H H H H In; Q\ OW M. .MM H 20:88?“ H ow. H H H H H H H H H H . H H 2::- H . Q\ . ON . O . Q\ . Q\ . Ow. . .m. . om _ 225263 H 0w. H H H I H H I H H H H H H H H H _ . H H .32. H . . . . . . . . H wozmaaaooo _ H _ H In. ONT Om. Q\ Q\ 0\ .M, Q\ H we: H In\ H H H _ H H H H H H H H H H H H H .>44«uH»aw> _ O‘Hop H ..uHuuam. H mxoxw _ auozao _ mam) H mo)» H erase) _ >HHm H xpczms _ camaam H ouxznm. H H airHc H H maHu H no urHH H Ewan H Bmzu H IszzH H mxabu H no qua H macHuqu II I IIIIIIII I I II III II I H5332? , EaHu .Hnsaaupan oczxav. maoHo¢u aoH>wo uuaaomua z. ouawo_mzoo maopuau szstoqzqz ... ... ... ... ma: oz« «22:; ma: 6.5535 Ht: 853...; b 2223a 0 2338 O 526.. 238.. 44 .m musmwm mom mmuoom mocm>meu wwumsnwm cmuMHsono mnBII.OH musmflm H H H H H H H H H oocc. u H o . ammo. . mmHH. . uNmH. . ocHH. . ooHH. . cuaH. . mHUH. . :Hc«. H .aHoH ” H H H I H H H H H H H H H o u H o o o o o . c o c o o .. c . o . H H H>uHLm1mH H H H H auIHc H H H H H H H H H H POOH. u H o o o 0 2:0. o ccno. o ouHc. . oo_c. . ccnc. . of}. . .62.. H rcHHcHH H H H H I.H«H1ua H H H H H H H H H H cove. n H o . m~co. . omoo. . ccHo. . owcc. . nwco. . och. . race. . man. H DHLwHHH H H H H uaHu H H H H H H H H H H oauo. u H o o o o whoa. o cmoo. . owcc. o cho. o och. . cwcc. . Hch. H JuH..ozouu H H H H HQHIH H H H H H H H H H H cooH. n H o o ooHo. o omoo. . cch. o ouHo. . oaHo. . ccmc. . cJHc. . :u.:. H HJ: LaHH H H H H H H H H H H H H H H oooH. n H o . o . ooHo. . ccHo. . och. . oomo. . cch. . c . Hoac. H :cHHomec H H H H H H H H H H H H H H ccom. u H o . ooHo. o oomo. . coHo. . come. . come. . oecc. . cch. . noHc. H 4w>w4 H H H H :cHHLuHcaa H H H H H H H H H H comm. u r o . omwo. . ammo. . mec. . . ommc. . ammo. . acme. . mch. . ouHc. H :cH.2H>uaa H H H H H H H H H H H H H H oomH. u H o . whoa. o oono. . cwco. o och. o cmHo. . cch. . mscc. o cch. H wuzuoaruuc H H H H LaHu H H H H H H H H H H . H H H H H H rnrHcau H H HHHHumeH H H amcz«c H acH> H uo>H H u1242> H >HH¢ H Ichu; H cauzam H H7u3wc¢241 H JQHCH H meHc H wxoxm H meu H no HzHH H Juru H chu . H IzuH7H H H2<4u H no u»«2 H uaHu vacHgnu acH>HIua.waHu n 1aou H xHHaoaa cH onHqUDOu m onHHuca :H waH uHH>ouJ H 2cHHHmco cu HHHoHvHo c: kuoou onoua uHaqH Hurcoon vvcou HaroH>Hc2H 45 Average Relevance Tree for Each DeciSion Situation For each of the three decision situations, an average relevance tree was computed for all respondents by selected groupings. This average decision structure was developed by averaging the adjusted second-level scores (as in Figure 10) within each cell of the tree. That is, for each cell the sum of the adjusted scores for all respondents is divided by the total number of respondents in the specified grouping. Adjusted second-level trees were averaged for each decision situation for each of the two basic relevance trees. In addition to a combined summary for all levels for each situation, several other summaries and stratifications were made. Stratifications were made by the initial entry into the tree (e.g., forest-resource-potential or site factors and forces). Organizational level and general geographic area (e.g., Intermountain Region, Southwestern Region, etc.) were also used for stratification. Compari- sons between various summary categories were made to facili- tate determination and explanation of possible differences. Several forms of tabular and graphic display are used. When relevance tree data were compiled and averaged across all respondents, several of the respondents were contacted a second time, explaining the average results. This contact was made by mail providing tentative results prior to the preparation of a final report. Respondents 46 were asked to review the summaries and give their impres- sions on what the "critical" relevance score value should be. That is, in reviewing the adjusted relevance scores, what score and above would they establish as the "critical" value? Initially, a .06 value was specified as a "critical" cell value for the following reasons. If all forest- potential and site factor categories were equally relevant in the 8 x 10 decision matrix, each cell would have a relevance value of approximately .013. Therefore, those cells that contain values of .06 or larger--that is, five times larger than an aVerage expected value--seem to be (on a first approximation basis) not only important features in the decision system, but also areas where future research might be useful and appropriate. A value of .06 was used for the second 9 x 9 decision matrix. The .06 value was subject to revision to correspond with impressions based on the field response, of what may or may not be a significant "critical" value. Upon completion of study segments discussed above, results were compared to establish similarities and differ- ences. The information has been summarized and categorized as appropriate. Results of objectives no. 1 and 2 provide the basis for supplying input into both the Research Develop- ment and Application Program (RD&A) develOpment as well as provide potential source material for interim modifications 47 of planning procedures designed to include fire management considerations when appropriate (USDA l975a). This effort was intended to satisfy the third study objective, which was to recommend inputs which can be used to modify land use planning procedures to include and integrate apprOpriate fire management conditions. An important spinoff of meeting this final objective was to more precisely define the problem as well as provide the RD&A with a capability of more specifically directing its efforts. Needs Analysis In addition to the above information, three questions were asked of all respondents: 1. What kinds of systems and support do you feel research should provide to help you integrate fire into land use planning? 2. What kind of accuracy and resolution do you feel you need now? What would you like eventually? 3. When the RD&A is developing processes and proce dures, would you feel you have the time to respond and provide inputs as we head down the road? Do you want to be involved? How much? Responses were both noted and taperecorded at the time of. each interview. Subsequently these responses were cate- gorized and summarized. RESULTS Legislation and Related Guidance Legislation As indicated in the objectives and methods sections of this report, a screening of legislation which might have relevance to land use planning-fire management matters was undertaken. As a result, the following laws and their Specific passages were noted as being appropriate for inclu- sion in this study. Following each specific reference are comments as to the applicability and possible impact of the specific legislation noted. The basic sources for this information were found in the USDA Forest Service, 1974c Agricultural Handbook, No. 453; Grad, Environmental Law, 1971; Schroth and Plater, Nature, Law and Society, 1974; and the statutes themselves. Organic Administration Act of 1897.--Act of June 4, 1897 (30 Stat. 34, as amended; 16 U.S.C. 473-478, 479-482, 551). "The Secretary of Agriculture shall make provisions for the protection against destruction by fire and deprada- tions upon the public forests and national forests . . . . 48 49 It appears obvious from the above segment of the Organic Act that the Forest Service must indeed consider fire protection as an integral portion of its management. Because of this basic fact, fire protection must certainly be given initial consideration in management activities, including the planning phases. Clarke-McNarygAct.--Act of June 7, 1924 (43 Stat. 653, as amended; 16 U.S.C. 471, 505, 515, 564, 565, 566, 567, 568, 569, 570). Sec. 1. The Secretary of Agriculture is hereby authorized and directed, in cooperation with appropriate officials of the various States or other suitable agencies, to recommend for each forest region of the United States such systems of forest fire prevention and suppression as will adequately protect the timbered and cut-over lands therein with a view to the protection of forest and water resources and the continuous production of timber on lands chiefly suitable therefore (16 U.S.C. 564). Sec. 2. If the Secretary of Agriculture shall find that the system and practice of forest fire prevention and suppression provided by any State substantially promotes the objects described in the foregoing section he is hereby authorized and directed, under such condi- tions as he may determine to be fair and equitable in each State, to cooperate with apprOpriate officials of each state, and through them with private and other agencies therein, in the protection of timbered and forest-producing lands from fire . . . . Sec. 3. . . . investigate and promote practical methods of insuring standing timber on growing forests from losses by fire and other causes. Although the Clarke-McNary Act is primarily one of cooperation with states in regard to fire, it does seem to indicate that the Forest Service must be aware of fire 50 protection and its "state of the art." It must be well versed in existing suppression systems as well as the needs of the ecosystems involved in order to determine what "adequate" protection is. Although perhaps not directly related to land use planning, this legislation certainly does have impact on fire management. As an indirect effect then, there is an implication that the agency must be knowledgeable regarding fire. The net result is a clearer definition of fire and its place in the overall management spectrum. McSweeney-McNary Act.--Act of May 22, 1928 (45 Stat. 699, as amended; 16 U.S.C. 581, 581a, 581a—l, 581b-S81i). Sec. 1. The Secretary of Agriculture is hereby authorized and directed to conduct such investigations, experiments, and tests as he may deem necessary under sections 2 to 10, inclusive, in order to determine, demonstrate, and promulgate the best methods of reforestation and of growing, managing, and utilizing timber, forage, and other forest products, of main- taining favorable conditions of water flow and the prevention of erosion, of protecting timber and other forest growth from fires . . . . Although not directly connected to land use planning and fire management, Congress did recognize the need for research in the area of fire. It is this enabling legisla- tion that provides for fire research activities of which this very study is an integral part. Without this support we would be unable to develop the scientific basis for today's forest management activities. 51 Sustained Yield Forest Management Act.--Act of March 29, 1944 (58 Stat. 132, as amended; 16 U.S.C. 583- 583i). Sec. 1. In order to promote the stability of forest industries, of employment, of communities, and of taxable forest wealth, through continuous supplies of timber; in order to provide for a continuous and ample supply of forest products; and in order to secure the benefits of forests in maintenance of water supply, regulation of stream flow, prevention of soil erosion, amelioration of climate and preservation of wildlife. Although not explicitly stated in the above passage, it appears implicit that adequate steps in protection as well as all other phases of fire management must be taken to meet the obligations of this act. Such terms as continuous, ample, maintenance, prevention, amelioration, and preserva- tion all indicate that forethought, planning, and care are "musts" in the management of our forest resources. Implied here is indeed a need to integrate fire and land use planning. Without such a "marriage," it does not appear that the legislative conditions can be met. Cooperative Forest Management Act.-—Act of August 25, 1950 (64 Stat. 473, as amended; 16 U.S.C. 568C, 568d). Sec. 1. The Secretary of Agriculture is hereby authorized to c00perate with State foresters or appro- priate officials of the several States, Territories, and possessions to provide technical services to private landowners, forest Operators, wood processors, and public agencies, with respect to the multiple use manage- ment and environmental protection and improvement of forest lands, the harvesting, marketing, and processing of forest products, and the protection, improvement, and establishment of trees and shrubs in urban areas, communities, and open spaces. 52 Here again, although the above act revolves around cooperation, it seems to be implicit that fire management- land use planning relationships must be considered. Without a thorough understanding of the management-fire ties, one cannot provide technical services "with respect to multiple use management and environmental protection and improvement of forest lands . . . and their protection . . . ." It is important to know where fire and land use planning, along with the eventual application and implementation, go together. Forest Service Omnibus Act of l958.--Act of June 20, 1958 (72 Stat. 216; 16 U.S.C. 502, 554b, 555, 556, 556b, 5560, 565b, 579C, 580f). Sec. 5. The Secretary is authorized, subject to such conditions as he may prescribe, to transfer, without reimbursement or at such prices and upon such terms as he may impose, to States and political subdivisions or agencies thereof fire lookout towers and other structures or improvements used by the Forest Service for fire prevention or suppression purposes, and the land used in connection therewith if such land is outside national forest boundaries, when they are no longer needed for such purposes . . . . Before one can determine whether something is needed or not, he must have a thorough grasp of just where fire fits into the overall management program. It is incumbent upon appropriate personnel to have a good understanding as to what the needs and relationships are. Without this understanding, decisions are made primarily from the position 53 of fire control and prevention for fire control and preven- tion's sake. Therefore, one truly must have a perspective on land use and fire relationshipss. Multiple Use-Sustained Yield Act.--Act of June 12, 1960 (74 Stat. 215; 16 U.S.C. 528-531). Sec. 4. As used in this Act, the following terms shall have the following meanings: (a) "Multiple use" means the management of all the various renewable surface resources of the national forests so that they are utilized in the combination that will best meet the needs of the American people; making the most judicious use of the land for some or all of these resources or related services over areas large enough to provide sufficient latitude for periodic adjustments in use to conform to changing needs and conditions; that some land will be used for less than all of the resources; and harmonious and coordinated management of the various resources, each with the other, without impairment of the productivity of the land, with consideration being given to the relative values of the various resources, and not necessarily the combination of uses that will give the greatest dollar return or the greatest unit output. (b) "Sustained yield of the several products and services" means the achievement and maintenance in perpetuity of a high-level annual or regular periodic output of the various renewable resources of the national forests without impairment of the productivity of the land. (16 U.S.C. 531) The above act, especially Section 4(b), indicates the necessary consideration of fire and its place in the management of resources. Terms used here indicate that a thorough understanding of the role of fire and its place in the system must be recognized. To meet the above criteria, we may or may not consider control or use of fire. Here again there must truly be an integration between fire and management in all respects. 54 National Forest Roads and Trails Systems Act.--Act of October 13, 1964 (78 Stat. 1089; 16 U.S.C. 532-538). Sec. 1. . . . to provide for intensive use, protection, development, and management of these lands under prin- ciples of multiple use and sustained yield of products and services. (16 U.S.C. 532) Sec. 4. The Secretary is authorized to provide for the acquisition, construction, . . . in locations and according to specifications which will permit maximum economy in harvesting timber . . . and at the same time meet the requirements for protection, . . . . Even legislation regarding roads relates to protec- tion which in turn can be related to fire and fire manage- ment. If one is to consider "maximum economy in harvesting timber . . . and at the same time meet the requirements for protection," then certainly there must be an understanding of fire management-land use relationships. Wilderness Act.—-Act of September 3, 1964 (78 Stat. 890; 16 U.S.C. 1131-1136). Sec. 4(d)(l). . . . In addition, such measures may be taken as may be necessary in the control of fire, insects, and diseases, subject to such conditions as the Secretary deems desirable. This act has recently been of special interest with respect to fire. In part this is due to the fact that fires have been "allowed to burn" in wilderness areas under a special exception to the Forest Service 10 a.m. policy. A special Opinion from the Office of the General Council held that the Forest Service provisions for exceptions are reasonable and legal. They specifically referenced the 55 2 This decision, although not a above section of this act. court-set precedent, may well have far-reaching implications with regard to land use planning and fire management. Wild and Scenic Rivers Act.--Act of October 2, 1968 (82 Stat. 906; 16 U.S.C. 1271-1287). Sec. 10(a) Each component of the national wild and scenic rivers system shall be administered in such manner as to protect and enhance the values which caused it to be included in said system without, insofar as is consistent therewith, limiting other uses that do not substantially interfere with public use and enjoyment of these values. In such administration primary emphasis shall be given to protecting its esthetic, scenic, historic, archeologic, and scientific features. Manage- ment plans for any such component may establish varying degrees of intensity for its protection and develOpment, based on the special attributes of the area. The above section of this act as in several of the previous acts could also have implications regarding land use planning and fire management. Although protection is the primary emphasis here, the phrase, ". . . enhance the values which caused it to be included in said system . . ." Opens the door for other than a strict protectionist point of view relative to planning and fire management. Fire could indeed play an important role in the "protection and develOpment" of a specific area. 2Fowler, Richard L. 1975. 10 a.m. fire control policy exceptions. Letter (5130 Suppression) to John R. McGuire, Chief, USDA Forest Service. 56 National Environmental Policy Act of 1969.--Act of January 1, 1970 (P.L. 91-190); (83 Stat. 852; 42 U.S.C. 4321, 4331-4335, 4341-4347). The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) has perhaps caused more direct and indirect impact on management activities of the U.S. Forest Service than any other legislation since its beginning over 70 years ago. Section 102 of this act, reproduced in part below, has probably the most direct effect. Sec. 102. The Congress authorizes and directs that, to the fullest extent possible: (1) the policies, regula- tions, and public laws of the United States shall be interpreted and administered in accordance with the policies set forth in this Act, and (2) all agencies of the Federal Government shall-- (A) utilize a systematic, interdisciplinary approach which will insure the integrated use of the natural and social sciences and the environmental design arts in planning and in decisionmaking which may have an impact on man's environment; (B) identify and develop methods and procedures, in consultation with the Council on Environmental Quality established by title II of this Act, which will insure that presently unquantified environ- mental amenities and values may be given appropriate consideration in decisionmaking along with economic and technical considerations; (C) include in every recommendation or report on prOpOsals for legislation and other major Federal actions significantly affecting the quality of the human environment, a detailed statement by the responsible Official on-- (i) the environmental impact of the proposed action, (ii) any adverse environmental effects which cannot be avoided should the proposal be implemented, (iii)alternatives to the proposed action, 57 (iv) the relationship between local short-term uses of man's environment and the maintenance and enhancement of long-term productivity, and (v) any irreversible and irretrievable commit- ments Of resources which would be involved in the proposed action should it be implemented. Prior to making any detailed statement, the respon- sible Federal official shall consult with and obtain the comments of any Federal agency which has juris- diction by law or special expertise with respect to any environmental impact involved . . . (D) study, develop, and describe appropriate alter- natives to recommended courses of action in any prOposal which involves unresolved conflicts con- cerning alternative uses of available resources . . (G) initiate and utilize ecological information in the planning and develOpment of resource-oriented projects; . . . Section 102 of NEPA certainly spells out what must be done for any major federal action. Major federal action has been interpreted to include the planning process itself. It should also be clear that any major use of fire regard- less of the purpose must fall into the identification and review process set forth. Alternatives and consequences of fire use must be discussed in depth. This in turn requires a thorough understanding of the process and its effect on the system. Environmental Quality_Improvement Act Of l970.--Act of April 3, 1970 (83 Stat. 852; 42 U.S.C. 4371-4374). . . . (d) In carrying out his functions the Director shall assist and advise the President on policies and programs of the Federal Government affecting environ- mental quality by-- . . . 58 (2) assisting the Federal agencies and departments in appraising the effectiveness of existing and proposed facilities, programs, policies, and acti- vities of the Federal Government, and those specific major projects designated by the President which do not require individual project authorization by Congress, which affect environmental quality; (3) reviewing the adequacy of existing systems for monitoring and predicting environmental changes in order to achieve effective coverage and efficient use of research facilities and other resources; (4) promoting the advancement of scientific knowl- edge of the effects of actions and technology on the environment and encourage the development of the means to prevent or reduce adverse effects that endanger the health and well-being of man; (5) assisting in coordinating among the Federal departments and agencies those programs and acti- vities which affect, protect, and improve environ- mental quality; This act takes additional steps, beyond NEPA, to insure environmental quality. It attempts to insure implementation of environmental quality policies already established. Here, due to feedback to the President, support or control is perhaps more probable. As in the other noted acts, this too has important impacts on land use planning and fire management relations. Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970.--(3O Stat. 853; 42 U.S.C. 4332). Considering state regulations now in effect under this act in the Pacific Northwest and other areas, this is indeed important to land use planning and fire management. Existing and planned use of fire comes under the regulatory powers of this act. Depending upon local application, fire use can be heavily restricted. 59 Federal Water Pollution Control Act Amendments of lgzg.--(86 Stat. 816; 33 U.S.C. 1251). As in the Clean Air Act above, this legislation too can have serious implica- tions relative to fire. Contemplated extensive use of fire in planning and practice could also be affected by this act amendment. In turn, this would affect the fire-planning relationship in some situations. Forest and Rangeland Renewable Resources Planning Act of 1974.--Act Of August 17, 1974 (88 Stat. 476; 16 U.S.C. 1601-1610). This act may well come to have as much or more impact on the Forest Service management system as did NEPA. Although it is a little early to completely assess such impact potential, the requirements of this act could well exceed the time and energy currently required to comply with NEPA. The Resources Planning Act (RPA) states in part: Sec. 2. . . . The Assessment shall be prepared not later than December 31, 1975, and shall be updated during 1979 and each tenth year thereafter, and shall include but not be limited to-- . . . . (2) an inventory, based on information developed by the Forest Service and other Federal agencies, of present and potential renewable resources, and an evaluation of opportunities for improving their yield of tangible and intangible costs and direct and indirect returns to the Federal Government; Sec. 3. The Program shall include, but not be limited tO-- O O O O (2) specific identification of Program outputs, results anticipated, and benefits associated with investments in such a manner that the anticipated costs can be directly compared with the total related benefits and indirect returns to the Federal Government; 60 Sec. 5(b) In the develOpment and maintenance of land management plans for use on units of the National Forest System, the Secretary shall use a systematic interdisci- plinary approach to achieve integrated consideration of physical, biological, economic, and other sciences. Sec. 8. NATIONAL FOREST SYSTEM PROGRAM ELEMENTS.--The Secretary of Agriculture shall take such action as will assure that the development and administration of the renewable resources of the National Forest System are in full accord with the concepts for multiple use and sustained yield of products and services as set forth in the Multiple-Use Sustained-Yield Act of 1960. To further these concepts, the Congress hereby sets the year 2000 as the target year when the renewable resources of the National Forest System shall be in an Operating posture whereby all backlogs of needed treatment for their restoration shall be reduced to a current basis and the major portion of planned intensive multiple-use sustained-yield management procedures shall be installed and operating on an environmentally-sound basis. Sec. 9. TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM.--The Congress declares that the installation of a proper system of transporta- tion to service the National Forest System, as is pro- vided for in Public Law 88-657, the Act of October 13, 1964 (16 U.S.C. 532-538), shall be carried forward in time to meet anticipated needs on an economical and environmentally sound basis . . . . Upon reviewing the above-quoted segments of this act, it appears implicit that fire is one of the serious considerations. Fire can be considered both from the control and use standpoints. The establishment of multiple use objectives, interdisciplinary approach, and transporta- tion systems imply the consideration of fire both as a management tool and from the perspective of protection. Generally, the legislation discussed above can have severe impacts regarding fire and the planning process. In the more recent legislation, some specifics may have to be decided in the courts before definitive interpretations and applications can be made. It seems axiomatic that one be 61 aware of the legal constraints, lest he be placed in an indefensible position by exceeding his statutory authority as a result. Much of the direction in respect to fire and planning is implied. Therefore, additional interpretation and guidance are necessary for implementation. The Forest Service Manual discussed in the following pages is one method of interpretation and application of legislation into implementing action programs. Forest Service Manual and Advice 3 The amount and depth of coverage regarding the inte- gration of fire into the land use planning process found in Forest Service Manual (FSM) Section 8200 was limited (USDA l975e). The initial reference was found in FSM 8213-9, Functional Planning. Here the manual states that functional plans such as Forest Fire Protection Plans "will be coordi- nated within the overall direction of forest plans. Forest functional plans also provide guidance to the land use planning job by providing information on present levels and methods of management." This section of the manual goes on to state that: Functional plans thus help establish current production and potential goals for planning units. Functional plans will contain the technical specifics on the acti- vities and projects that implement planning decisions . . . . Functional plans are dependent upon land use plans for validity and basic land use allocation. Conversely land use plans depend upon responsive functional plans and projects for information and implementation . . . . 62 Chapter 8220, National Forest System Land Use Planning Procedure, goes into considerable detail explaining the planning hierarchy and general planning procedures. Main topics covered are Planning Area Guides, Management Zones, Forest Land Use Plan, Forest Coordinating Require- ments, Planning Units, Maintenance, Availability, and Graphics. Primarily the general "what" is outlined and the "how" is left apparently to the planner's discretion. The first specific mention of fire comes under FSM 8226.2, Priority of Study for Planning Units. 'Here the need to order planning units as to priority for study is covered. Criteria are enumerated for determining this priority level. The last item in the list is: "Critical need to reevaluate fire, insect, and disease protection." Fire becomes one piece of the impact to establish which planning unit should be studied first, second, etc. In a following section, FSM 8226.41, the next reference to fire evolves. The first words of this section state, "In order to develop a series of alternative management plans for a Planning Unit, one of the basic requirements is a knowledge of what things are available to work with or use." The section goes on to cover additional points about planning and information. It is specifically stated that, A search of existing data sources should always be made before starting field inventory projects . . . . Fol- lowing are a number of data sources useful in developing a complete inventory for planning. 63 . . . f. Fire Prevention Plans . . . h. Preattach fire plans . . . k. Historical records used as: . . . (1) Fire occurrence maps . . . (4) Fire weather records The foregoing items are the only explicit references to fire in Section 8200 of the Manual. However, one might consider fire implicit in FSM 8226.42, Environmental Poten- tial: ". . . An understanding of the biological system with its inherent opportunities and constraints in producing needed products and outputs is basic to planning . . ." Here, the role of fire, basic ecological considerations, and the inclusion or exclusion of fire relative to management might be considered and integrated. How the latter is to be accomplished is still, at this point, a mute question. The consideration of fire might further be covered in the process of alternate plan formulation and analysis as covered under FSM 8226.6 and FSM 8226.7, respectively. Here too, however, there is no specific process advice and any fire inclusion is apparently the prerogative of the planner or planning team. Before leaving the national level advice and guidance on land use planning with specific reference to fire, it seems appropriate to cover fire control and fire protection plans mentioned earlier. In FSM 5100, Fire Control, the need and general direction for fire control and fire planning are outlined. In section FSM 5102, Objectives, the following is stated: 64 The overall objective of fire control is to provide protection to an intensity commensurate with public safety, values, hazards, risks, and management objec- tives involved . . . . Resource and fire control managers will determine the maximum fire losses that can be tolerated . . . . Probable damages to multiple use resources and ecological systems will be considered in determining the maximum tolerable fire loss. Then in 5102.11—2, the manual goes on to state: Severe fire losses have a definite impact on all resource management plans . . . . Resource managers must carefully weigh effects of fire and fire control methods on management plans when considering the maximum-size fire and annual acreage loss that can be tolerated in a management unit. In the next subsection, Impact 9n Multiple Use, we find further fire and planning ties as follows: Resource managers must determine the maximum-size fire and annual acreage loss that can be tolerated without impairing multiple use management. This figure should be based on the resource requirements without consid- ering the impact on fire control. The above-quoted segments certainly begin to tie fire and land management together. It is implied here that the role of fire control is a function of management needs. Although the acreage-loss criteria may not be a biologically or ecologically realistic measure for establishing needs, it does provide a starting point from which to depart. Section 5106, Multiple Use Coordination, of the Manual goes on to strengthen the fire and multiple use ties with numerous references to planning coordination needs. This section states: The success of multiple use management is tied directly to the degree of coordination between the various resources and activities on each area of land in the National Forest System . . . . Multiple Use management 65 is accomplished by providing for and carrying out the prescribed multiple use coordination in all action programs. Following this statement is a series of broad coordinating instructions for the functional areas of Range Recreation, Timber, Watershed, and Mineral Management. Other areas covered are coordination with land use management and forest insect and disease control. Although perhaps limited in sc0pe within the pages of the Manual, Regional Foresters do have the option of expanding this section in developing their multiple use management guides. Coordination and a tie between fire and planning is certainly explicit in this segment of the directives system. The Fuel Management chapter provides additional implicit support for integrating fire and land use planning. Under Objectives, 5150.2, we find the following: The objective of fuel management is to obtain fuel conditions which permit protection forces to meet fire control objectives established to ensure a sustained, high level of productivity of renewable resources, using methods which maintain environmental quality. It would seem necessary here that to meet this objective, fire and land managers must coordinate activities. The land use planners and the fire managers must go through series of give-and-take sessions to arrive at plans which are feasible. Land managers must state their needs and fire managers the resultant requirements. An eventual compromise will provide the viable action. 66 Finally, in the last chapter of this section of the Manual, 5190, Management, we come to National Fire Planning. Objectives 1 and 2 quoted in part are as follows: 1. To study scientifically the needs and application of fire control . . . . 2. To provide nationwide fire control performance standards to meet current resource management Objectives . . . . Here again is additional direction and support for fire managers and land managers to get together to plan. It is quite obvious that the support to integrate in the various phases of planning is authorized. Perhaps the problem lies not in the "what" but the "how." Even though the general direction exists, the specific direction for implementation either does not or is relatively weak at this time. Although not a manual issue or supplement from the Washington Office level, some additional advice has been provided through a publication entitled, "Fire Management Considerations for Land Use Planning" (USDA 1974a). This paper develops three basic questions relative to fire management: --How does fire relate to the ecosystem within and adjacent to the unit of planning? --In terms of the above considerations, are the manage- ment alternatives being prepared really viable? --Given some viable management alternatives, what is the apprOpriate fire management direction? The stated main objective of this publication is to ". . . facilitate the preparation of high quality and 67 meaningful land use plans . . . . None of the individual 'considerations' are to be construed as management direc- tions." The paper is divided into the six RPA resource systems: land and water; timber; recreation and wilderness; range; wildlife and fish; and human and community develop- ment. Following each of these headings is a list of appro- priate actions someone could take presumably in the planning process.‘ This appears to be a "laundry list" of items with no defined purpose and role towards reaching a goal. No process is outlined showing how this might fit together, let alone specific instructions how all these questions or tasks might be answered or accomplished. It does provide, however, an assembly of questions that may be relevant to a specific planning situation. Regional Manual Supplements and Advice Regional manual supplements which were requested and reviewed are those issued prior to January 1, 1976. It is assumed that apprOpriate materials requested were indeed sent and received. Any omission has been inadvertent. Region l.--The Northern Region of the U.S. Forest Service apparently has no special regional amendments to the 8200 Section of the Manual. However, several types of relevant planning guidance materials have been prepared at the regional level for field use. Although some of these documents may be in draft stage, they are used throughout 68 the region by field personnel. The region developed one document which discussed in more detail the process of preparing unit plans (USDA 1973a). Although no specific mention of fire is made, its inclusion could be implied in several areas. The most relevant regional advice has been issued as an informal interim guideline and is entitled, "Fire Management in Land Use Planning" (USDA 1975b). This document goes beyond the very general guidance issued from the Washington Office and discussed earlier (USDA 1974a). Rather than a general "laundry list" this material provides more specific guidance for the planning team. Although this advice is admittedly skeletal at this time, the need for and desire to develop more detailed and specific guidance has been recognized. Region 2.--The Rocky Mountain Region does not have any FSM 8200 supplements with specific reference to fire. Their supplement does, however, direct the use of the region's multiple use guide (FSM 2100) for develOpment Of forest land until the regional area guides are completed (USDA 1975d). In this manual amendment, fire implications are covered in the coordination checklist under the air pollution and fire headings in Sections 2141.4--8. The primary emphasis revolves around slash burning and smoke in the air pollution category. Under the fire heading, fire questions are listed covering prevention, hazard, protection level, and type conversion. 69 In transmitting the draft COpy of the Washington Office "Fire Management Considerations for Land Use Planning" document, the Assistant Regional Forester for Fire in Region 2 made the following statement: To bring the broad concept of fire management into our planning process will require: 1. Understanding of fire as a process in forest land ecosystems and its impact upon ecosystem components . . . 2. Integration of our understanding and knowledge of fire processes and effects with the management objectives of each specific land unit. Plans should detail how management objectives may be enhanced or aggravated by fire management . . . . 3. Identification of proper fire management actions and constraints . . . . Region 3.--The Southwestern Region, has no manual supplements which have either explicit or implicit reference to fire and land use planning in the FSM 8200 category. Recently, however, there has been developed an extensive document relative to planning methods and decisionmaking methods and criteria (Layser 1975). This paper mentions fire and fuels management in its discussion of inventory needs for planning. Throughout the remainder of this paper, one must infer that fire is or could be input in the various processes outlined. One might also infer that additional reference to fire might be included in a publication 3Sanderson, E. J. Memorandum, Region 2, 8210(5100), Elements of Land Use Planning, to Forest Supervisor, April 15, 1974. 2 p. with attachments. 70 currently in preparation on inventory criteria for land use planning in that region. Essentially fire and land use planning related material appears to be limited in Region 3. Region 4.--The Intermountain Region, although heavily involved in fire management and wilderness fire management, currently has no FSM 8200 supplements with reference to fire. The region is apparently operating under the 2100 Multiple Use Management section as are other regions. The only reference to fire was encountered in FSM 2131.2, Region 4 Supplement 1, where areas Of high fire hazard and/or risk were listed as a category which might be considered as a specific management unit for multiple use planning (USDA 1966). The coordinating checklist developed in the regional amendment 2141.4-5 poses several questions relevant to planning (USDA 1964). The emphasis is basically towards fire control. However, fire management can be implied under several of the enumerated items for the other functional categories. The land use planning - fire related direction is not very strong regardless of how one interprets the amendments. NO other specific advices have been located relative to the land use planning process and fire in this region. Region 5.--The California Region has the largest fire control organization of any region in the country. The southern portion of the state has long been noted for its 71 large and devastating brushland fires. In reviewing supple- ments for the region, no reference to fire in the FSM 8200 section were encountered. The FSM 2100 Multiple Use Manage- ment regional supplements (2131 and 2141) were the only source to yield any fire-land use planning type of direction. Fire was mentioned as one of the required functional over- lays to be used in the multiple use planning process (USDA l970a). For each use or activity that creates a hazard and risk, a fire plan must be prepared. Fire protection was also one Of the outlined items to be included in a Multiple Use and Impact Survey Report (USDA 1968, l970b). The region does have an emergency directive to the 5110, Fire Suppression chapter (USDA 19750). This directive deals primarily with the potential necessity to modify current fire suppression policy in wilderness management. The directive further discusses the basic requirements of a fire management plan. The entire discussion relates to a specific situation where land use planning and fire manage- ment join together. Although this is geared towards wilder- ness, there are implications for broader application. In mid—1975, the California Region presented a series of programs throughout the state to place land use planning in perspective (USDA l975g). These sessions covered the entire spectrum of land use planning in the region. One of the specific subtopics in the presentation centered around the relationship of fire planning to land 72 use planning. A portion of the discussion covered the establishment of values and appropriate fire plans for protecting the resource and area involved. They noted that a land use alternative might not be feasible because of the cost of the necessary fire control. They did not cover, apparently, the application of fire as an integral manage- ment tool. This series of presentations, however, was an attempt at putting planning into perspective. Hopefully fire was also placed in a realistic perspective relative to the total task in planning. Region 6.--As in other regions, there are no amend- ments for the Pacific Northwest Region which specifically relate to fire and land use planning. It is assumed that any planning-fire related material has been covered in the 2100 chapter as in other regions until 8200 chapter supple- ments are prepared. If regional guidances have been prepared other than those directly tied to the manual system, they were not made available for review. Region 10.—-As with a majority of the other regions, the Alaska region's only references to fire and land planning are found in the regional supplements to FSM 2100, Multiple Use Management. The same type of information found in other regional supplements outlined earlier can be found in Region 10 supplements. 73 Even though much specific information and manual advice may not exist, many planning teams have developed some type of informal methods for identifying fire-land use planning relationships. Because of the current lack of unifying national direction on this and perhaps related topics, each planning level does basically what it perceives as best and most important. The obvious results are planning products ranging from excellent to poor in regard to their consideration of fire when appropriate. Without strong central direction one perhaps has no right to expect more. Critical Planning Decisions Sample Description Participants.--As indicated earlier, the study sample was determined using a nationwide random selection. This national sample was subsequently reduced to include only those locations selected for the Western Regions, including Alaska. On this basis, 68 locations were visited including 7 regional headquarters, 15 forest headquarters, and 46 ranger districts. In each of the regions, sample stops ranged from a low of 2 in Region 10 and a high of 14 in Region 4. The number of individuals encountered at any one of these stops ranged from 1 respondent on a small ranger district to 14 respondents at a regional and a forest headquarters. General distributions by region for various 74 sample attributes is shown in Table l. The number of respondents per stOp averaged from 3.8 to 8.5 by region. The general average for personnel per stop for the entire study was 5.2 individuals. A grand total of 355 respondents was interviewed at the 68 locations throughout the West. Geographic distribution.--Based on the Forest Service land in each region the overall acres per stOp per region was generally around 2 million acres with some variation for Region 5 and Region 10. By-and-large, however, the distribution based on land ownership was satisfactory. The spatial distribution of the random sample also worked out very well. Figure 11 illustrates the sample stops and their distribution within each region. Again based on Forest Service ownership depicted in Figure 12, the sample did give a good geographical distribution within each region and throughout ownership pattern. Coverage was good both east and west as well as north and south. A broad spectrum of districts with both heavy and light timber and range workloads was encountered. Based both on numbers and spatial distribution, the sample was apparently quite representative. Respondent characteristics.--Not only did the basic sample work out well, but also the individual respondents constituted a representative cross section of Forest Service personnel. Since this part of the study was solely dependent 75 .m can d mmowpcmmmm wwm mCOHumOOH Omawmump mom .a mm ..O.o .coumcflnmmz .moHHHo mcHucHum .>oo .m.o .eHmH mo mm mmmum Emum>m ummHom Hmcofiumz .nvhma n .om maze . OOH>H0m UmeOh fiDmDM ooa m.m mmm III: we mmmum>¢ no amuoa m . m.m Ha mmm.>mm.oa m vom.man.om oa MH h.v Hv mmv.vmm.m 0H wom.vvm.mm m mm m.m mm mmm.mmv.a ma mmm.wmv.ma m ha m.v Hm Hmm.mmm.m ea Hom.mma.am v ha o.m om mam.mho.~ 0H maa.mm>.om m oH m.m vm www.5mw.m m omm.omm.am m ma h.v he vmm.mam.m OH Hem.mma.mm H Hamuou mo QOHm umm Omuomusou moum me mmoum mmmmmuod coflmmm uswoummv HOGOOmHmm HOOOOmumm mmuom mHmEmm pmuomucou mmmum>¢ Q HOOOOmumm .mmflnmcoflumamu mHmEmm paw muflm coemmmll.a OHQOH 76 .mcofiumooH moum mHmEmmII.HH musmflm \ 1 . “utopcaom .96ng .3 uaocuaoan? . o o» H09 HOHHHHHQ 89.3. 1 1© 0., Wu HOmH mHoHHgapoux SOHO". o 1 \ . v. . H05 850 .228”. O I 1 . .. H» ... ">3. m _ 1 a. an... a «In 199 1 m .H C n" . Ill-Ill 00000 m, H l H H .V O 1 a o 1 H..-I|--l:l._ ......O . . H .....o... o. u 1 1 o. 021E H- ..l- ... Vb .... o .. N Id . JrJ a... .. m ..... 001/ H n- \, ION no 1 u fl\/lll| " 'l C. - IIIL 1 II a u H .... HH /~.. .- v u H fl H I .- D.C...." ' . u . \ .- ' . ...... u a h 110‘ ... ”I 1 u N 1 1 u :3. C I I H I I H u H 0151.“. 3’10 h" I H 1 fl- . 1 “to. ...-I”. V V m . 1 1 .1H 05 no 1 0 II H F ' (anon?! «H fr i'qhko O ... .. © ,/ iI/Imo .F 1 .. 0 77 .mumwnom Hmcoflpmz was mOOHmOm O0fl>umm ummuomII.NH wusmflm H33. 58:3. a 23:38:: O DUNN H§W§m / >¢hmu¢°u lunar-oz /./. W. “.1...on Ho uHatHHzHQ o nu_¢1az:8§ a. o ._ 9.2: a gr I n ‘ H 20:15 53!:qu / 3 2.3.3... .31. «52533... D . x: /-l.. / :5 H1 1 a 2:53ng i I nw.¢1o-HDOI| 4F<¢hmHZHSO< 78 upon personnel availability and perhaps interest, the general results were quite gratifying. The distribution of positions was representative not only in total, but also at each organizational level (Table 2). Fire management might be considered somewhat over represented. However, because this was a fire and land use study, such functional interest exhibited is perhaps to be expected. Table 3 provides a listing of individuals who chose to list their current position in the "Other" category. It appears that some of the respondents could have placed themselves in some of the existing specific categories. However, they were given the Option of listing themselves in the manner they thought most apprOpriate. Average service time and time in current position were generally similar for each region. The time in service increased along with the organizational level, as could be expected. The educational level also goes up with the level in the hierarchy. Although the majority of stratification for Table 2 was on a region and all-regions-combined basis, one other sort was made. All personnel in the fire manage- ment position versus all others were compared using all the data. In this case, the service time and position time went up slightly for fire personnel. At the same time, the education level went down. Such a response can be expected since many of our fire management specialists worked their way up in the organization through the technician rather than the professional career ladder. 79 Table 2.--Summary of respondent characteristics by organizational level. Level Regional Forest District Characteristics Office Office Office Total POSITION Supervisor or Ranger 0 9. 42. 50. Timber 7. 13. 36. 56. Water 6. 9. 0 15. Range 3. 9. 21. 33. Recreation 5. 8. 15. 28. Wildlife 5. 7. 3. 15. Fire Management 13. 16. 40. 69. Planning 8. l4. 5. 27. State and Private Forestry 6. 0 0 6. Other 6. 23. 23. 52. SERVICE TIME (average) 20.8 15.1 13.8 15.4 POSITION TIME (average) 3.9 4.3 4.2 4.1 EDUCATION (average) 16.5 16.2 15.2 15.7 80 Table 3.--List of respondent positions specified in the category "Other." Specified Position Number Administrative Officer 1 Botanist 1 Deputy Forest Supervisor 2 DevelOpment Forester l Drafting/Planning l Ecologist 1 Engineer 8 Environmental Services 1 Fuel Management Specialist 1 Information and Education 1 Lands 7 Landscape Architect 5 Minerals 1 Plans and Other Resources 1 Public Information Officer 2 Recreation and Lands 1 Resource Forester 8 Silviculturist 1 Soil Scientist 4 Technician 2 Total soa aDiscrepancies in totals are a result of imprOperly completed form headings. 81 The overall sample appears to provide not only a geographically well-distributed grouping, but also a very satisfactory internal—position representation. It would be difficult to make many improvements at the same intensity level. Forms Used.--An additional and perhaps more detailed description of the sample can be made by reviewing the forms or relevance trees selected for completion. As pointed out in the Methods Section, each respondent had to fill out one general and one fire relevance tree form for each planning decision situation. In each case there was a choice. It had been anticipated that there might be a shift in form used depending on the planning situtation. Table 4 shows that the general form use pattern was fairly consistent throughout the study when looking at the combined (ALL) total. However, there were some shifts by region in use of form 1 (Site Factors and Forces) versus 2 (Resource Potential) and form 3 (Fire Management) versus 4 (Fire Behavior) for each of the planning problems. The district level tended to favor form 2 and form 3. Although form 3 was favored over form 4, at all levels, form 1 was preferred in two cases at the regional office level and one case at the supervisor's office (forest) level. It had further been anticipated that as the planning situation shifted from the urban/forest interface, through the well-develOped situation and on to the undeveloped area, 82 .mOHmmo UOHHumHo u 00 .mOHmmo mHOmH>mesm u 0m .mOHmmo Hmconmm 0mOH .HHO>Huommmmu .mmu9 HoH>msmm mHHm u 1 Hucmswmmcmz mHHm HHMHucmuom mousommm u m Hmmouom 0cm muouomm muHm H «owns snow wmuu mosm>meH ou mummmmm mm oMH NNH 1m 1m m1H mNH 10 mm on 00 H1909 mm m9 om pm on up H0 01 mm mm 0m H1909 0H 01 mm om mH m1 mm mm mH mm bom H1909 mm m1m Hom HmH H» Hum mmm mmH mm 1mH HH1 H1909 m 1H m mH m mH H HH m 1H 0H m hm om mH m mm mm mH mH mm 0 mm mm m1 mm om mm mm 1m 0H Hm m 5H 11 mm mm 0H Hm m1 mH 0H on 1 mm Hm mm on mH 91 mm mm 1H on m m 1N Hm mH m 1m 1m OH m 9H m NH 1m mm mH mH om mm mm NH mm H onwmm 1 m N H 1 m N H m1 H HEHOH mmu9 mocm>mHmm sOHumsuHm soHumsuHm ummnom :oHumsuHm ammuom OOQOH0>OOGD meon>molHH03 ummuom\cmnua .Hm>mH HmcoHumNHcmmuo 00m GOHumsuHm HQ Owns mEHOm mo NHMEESmII.1 mHQm9 83 there would also be a shift in type of form used. Here it was expected that resource potential (form 2) would show up considerably more important than it did. It was also thought that site factors might be considered more relevant for planning situations 1 and 2, but such was apparently not the case. In situation 1 and situation 3, the ratios of respondents selecting site factors versus resource potential, as most important to their planning, were very similar. In situation 1, 44 percent chose form 1 and 56 percent selected form 2, while in situation 3, the percentages were 43 and 57 percent, respectively. However, for situation 2 the emphasis did shift slightly towards resource potential with 63 percent of the respondents chosing that category as being most important. There were no preconceived ideas as to the probable fire relevance tree selection (forms 3 and 4) distribution by planning situation. From the use count in Table 4, the fire management factor (form 3) tree was clearly more popular. This fact was further confirmed during the inter- view session when respondents had a difficult time working with the fire behavior relevance tree forms (form 4). Apparently it was just not as easy for most respondents to work with this latter relevance tree. Generally, three-fourths of the respondents elected to consider fire management factors as most important in all problem situations. The remaining respondents, of course, selected fire behavior factors as being of prime importance. 84 Perhaps one final item of interest regarding the specific situation is in the situation-order distribution. As pointed out under Methods, the order in which the planning situations were addressed was a function of a die toss. The actual frequency and order that respondents worked on each planning situation are shown in Table 5. There seems to be a fairly good distribution of usage resulting from this process used for situation~order randomization. Table 5.--Distribution of situation order. Situationa Number of Percent Die Toss Order Occurrences of Total 1 l, 2, 3 5 7.3 2 l, 2, 3 17 25.0 3 2, 3, l 8 11.8 4 2, l, 3 13 19.1 5 3, l, 2 11 16.2 6 3, 2, 1 14 20.6 Total 68 100.0 a . . . Situation Order refers to the planning Situations: Urban/Forest Interface Area; 2 = Well-Developed Area; UndevelOped Area. 0» II II 85 Relevance Trees General.--The largest portion of the study revolves around the relevance tree results. Every effort was made to utilize all forms completed. However, in a few instances, either respondent identifier coding was inappropriate or incomplete, the information was illegible, or rows and/or columns were omitted, so that the forms had to be discarded. Following calculation of adjusted relevance scores and some of the initial data summaries, it became apparent that many respondents had trouble adding to 100. To save a rather large percentage of the remaining forms from being rejected, it was necessary to check and normalize each first-order and second-order relevance column or row. When errors in addition were found, not totaling to 100, the respective row(s) or column(s) were normalized. This seemed the only reasonable solution to the problem. Without such a procedure, a large portion of the responses would have been rejected. In conducting each of the interviews, many respond- ents indicated more time, in excess of my normal one-half day visit, would be desirable for filling out the relevance tree forms. Several days, to in excess of a week, were sug- gested as perhaps a more realistic time frame. However, the consensus was that relevance value changes made as a result of more time being available to complete the form would result primarily in "fine tuning." The important items 86 would still be important (the higher values) and the less important (low or zero items) would keep their relative positions. More time would result primarily in adjusting and readjusting values between the two "tails" of the curve. The respondents often added, however, that their ability and perspectives, while using this PATTERN technique, shifted some with each successive problem they addressed. There- fore, the order randomization was a worthwhile procedure. In all levels of data summaries made, the number of respondents using the category "Other" in either the first- order or second-order position was very small. The values assigned were also relatively low compared to the specific factors already on the forms. The net result was that "Other" was never of a sufficiently high-value, adjusted relevance score to warrant further consideration. In Appendix E a list of "Other" items which were entered on the forms is provided. Minerals and soil were mentioned most often. This list does not indicate how many times each item appeared, but only the items considered. The very low adjusted relevance scores obtained for this category appear to confirm that the overall impact was small. To assist data analysis and facilitate interpretation of average relevance tree values, scores were stratified into quartile ranges. In the general relevance tree (forms 1 or 2), each quartile range contained 20 site factors and forces-forest resource potential combinations (Figures 13, 87 17, and 21). The fire relevance tree (forms 3 or 4) was handled in a similar manner; however, the lower quartile group contained 21 fire management-fire behavior factors whereas the other three quartiles each contained 20 of the combination factors (Figures 15, 19, and 23). The quartile ranges have been generally cataloged to indicate the relative overall importance of each level. These descriptions are used in the following discussions. The upper quartile range of any relevance tree is considered as being very important or having high priority in the planning decision. That is, the combination item (site/ resource potential or fire management/fire behavior factors) is considered of most importance for the planning situation involved. The upper-middle quartile range is considered somewhat important. Any of the combinations falling into either the lower-middle or lower quartile were considered least important and basically of low or very low priority. The overall importance of any individual factor in the relevance trees was established by adding the individual, adjusted relevance scores either across rows or down columns. In this type of compilation, each set of factors, site factors and forces, resource potential, fire management, and fire behavior equaled 100 percent. For each of these total scores the average, maximum value, minimum value, and standard deviation have also been developed. These data provide additional help in interpreting the results. 88 Average relevance trees were developed by pooling data from both forms 1 and 2 as well as forms 3 and 4 respectively. The output format used to display these data was entirely one of convenience. No inferences should be made because the average outputs resemble forms 1 and 3. The data matrices of forms 2 and 4 were simply rotated so as to provide a common matrix and then the matrix cell means and other appropriate information developed. The process could have just as easily been reversed resulting in the Opposite output format. The five top combination values within each average relevance tree were also summarized. The individual, adjusted relevance score for combination factors was noted and a cumulative percentage prepared. To provide more detailed information to the reader, several appendices have also been prepared. Appendices F through 0 provide the average relevance tree for each problem, including the general forms and fire forms for combined data. These tables allow inspection of individual matrix cell and individual factor values. They further provide the oppor- tunity to make comparisons, other than those discussed and displayed. Average relevance trees presented include: all data pooled, fire management position only, all positions except fire management, Regions 1 through 6 and Region 10. 89 Situation 1 - Forest/urban interface area.--In reviewing the quartile breakdown of the general relevance tree for this situation, we find that the 20 most important items (upper quartile) account for 57.7 percent of the total adjusted values. The upper and upper-middle quartiles when combined account for 86.4 percent of the total (Figure 13). Resource Potential Factors, Recreation, Water, and Esthetics provide the greatest share of the upper-quartile values. This seems appropriate in light of the planning situation presented. In terms of Site Factors and Forces, however, Political and Social Forces and Management Practices appear to be the leaders. Individual factors, Political and Social Forces, Management Practices, Flora and Fauna, and Wildfire ranked 1 through 4, respectively. On the other axis, Recreation, Esthetics, Water, and Wildlife ranked 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively, for this situation. Based on ranking, there is agreement at all organi- zational levels on the first- and second-place site factors and forces. There appears to be considerable disagreement, however, as to which items are ranked third and fourth by each level in the sample. The fourth-ranked item has no agreement, while two of the three organizational levels concur as to the third-place ranking. Resource Potential illustrates similar disagreement. Here the district and forest levels concur on all of the first four ranked items, whereas the regional level agrees only in the third ranked, 9O MOM mmmcmu mHHuumsv wmuu mocm>meu .ooo.nn.oo. .UmcHQEoo mump HHm Hmumcmm ommum>1 "H coHuMSuHmII.MH musmHm o.oo.u~o.o. mo.o.-oo.o. No.0.ooo1o. 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Ou.m HODHuommua 91.0 muo.uuaua ucoficrncmx mu.fiocoum U 0+ vauOm .m.u©m can 116111.01 mpHuUHH3 mmnmm40 nun muummc. conOMM +0 0 9:41,. 0:0 wuon to >nacumo.m>cm 0cm xooHomO mmumom 02¢ mmOFUdm thm 93 HHm “cm momcmu mHHuuwsv mmuu mocm>mHmu muHm mmmum>1 .cmcHnEoo mumv "H coHumsuHmll.mH musmHm o o1noc. ~1oo.uoo.o. mo.o.c~m.o. no.o.uo11o. u4.»m<:o ro1u z.r—.3 auoahzwuzua no w021a 1.. ..m. 1.1m o.nm w4..a13c roam 2.x».3 mquhzuoaua um» uo 13m ..... --~ manna 11111 «0104 m4co_z m4co.x «wan: "m4..aqzo a1304 . «nan: . . . . . . . ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... . .>u.omam. . . . ourho . . . . . . . . ..... ..... --~ nnmmn 11111 nnnmn 11111 m-m~ nnnnn . :o..1.. . . . u4.mqrmw . . . . . . . . ..... nnnnn mnnnn manna 11111 11111 11111 -~m~ nnnnn . whuuuuu . . . uq.u . . . . . . . . ..... --~ mnnmn --~ nnrnm nmwmn --~ ..... nannn . wo.yozoou . . . wa.u . . . . . . . . . ..... nmnnn --~ -~m~ ~m-m manna -~m~ -~m~ ~m-~ . ~12 ma.u . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... nmnnn 11111 11111 nmnnm manna mwmwm --~ 11111 . zo.»ou.uo . . . . . . . . . . . ..... --~ 11111 11111 11111 11111 nnmnn wm-~ 11111 . 4u>m4 . . . zo.pouhoaa . . . . . . . _ ...... --~ 11111 11111 11111 11111 --~ ..... nnmnn . zo.»7m>u:a . . . . . . . . . . . ..... --~ 11111 11111 11111 nnnnn -~m~ ..... manna . uozwmm:uoo . . . mo.u . . . . . . . . . . . . . . machoqu . .>u.uumm. . . awozcc . m . we». . wta4o> . >p.m . rpoqu . 01uaam . FZuzm0ctwm um~u ”NO «2 1 rack Oubdboa n lack ~ thQOJQ 44¢ 4w>u4 DU ZOHOux mom uq—hmdna 94 value. Combining the upper and middle quartiles, we can account for 83 percent of the rated importance from 40 cells (50 percent) of the matrix. In the Fire Management Factors, Prevention and Protection Level have the most upper-quartile cells. Fire Behavior Factors are represented most by upper- quartile scores for Time of Year and Fire Danger. Based on the pooled data, Fire Management Factors, the individual items of Prevention ranked first; Protection Level second; Fire Effects third; and Detection, fourth (Figure 16). Variation between organizational level still exists. The items are generally agreed upon; the difference comes primarily in the ranking order. This condition also prevails for the Fire Behavior Factors. In this latter case, all levels agree on the top four items, but not on the order of ranking each has. The pooled ranking of Fire Behavior Factors shows Fire Danger, Time of Year, Fuel Type, and Fuel Volume first through fourth, respectively. There is also continued inter- and intraregional variation. Combination items in the top five individual relevance scores have a cumulative value of 18 percent. The top five combination items for the fire relevance tree and situation 1 are: l. Prevention/Fire Danger 2. Prevention/Time of Year 3. Protection Level/Fire Danger 4. Protection Level/Time of Year UmHoom uoH>mzmn oHHm 6cm ucmEmcmcmE mnHm .mmuoom mocm>mHmH Hm>mH HmcoHumNHcmmuo can mmmum>m "H coHpmsuHmln.mH musmHm ucouuwa m. 0H ooflm59 .osm mE:.0> seam su.mcouc. zumcvq 05m.u cmoumm meFUoq co.uoou0um couucm>uua vocwuusooo muwm 96 5. Prevention/Fuel Type The first two items in this list were also considered in the top five by each region. It is obvious that prevention is an important key item, at least in respect to this planning situation. Situation 2 - Well-develOped forest area.--This planning situation was like most of the "real-world" situa- tions in progress throughout many areas visited. Personnel seem generally well able to relate to this condition. As in the first situation, the upper quartile accounted for over 50 percent cell relevance values. The upper and upper- middle quartiles combined to total slightly over 84 percent. Timber was far ahead of any other factor in Forest Resource Potential with 8 out of 10 cells in the upper quartile. Site Factors and Forces were dominated by management prac- tices which had 6 out of 10 cells in the upper quartile. The entire pattern of this quartile diagram (Figure 17) is much different from the general relevance tree quartile diagram in problem 1. In this situation the emphasis is definitely timber oriented with management- practice emphasis. Recreation did end up with four quartile cells as did Flora and Fauna on the opposite axis. Individual ranking of Site Factors and Forces factors for this situation show Management Practices first; Flora and Fauna, second; Geology and Physiography, third; and Political and Social Forces, fourth. All three 97 wow mmmcmu mHHuumsw mmuu wocm>onu Hmuosom mmmum>1 um coHumsuHmll.nH madman .wmcHQEOO mumw HHm .ooo.ao~oo. -oo.u~n.o. mm.o.a.o~o. nome.u1mno. u4.»a<:o 2040 2.x..3 muc¢hzwumua no uoz«a 9.. o.1. o.nn 1..m w4..a1ao ru1u 2.19.) muoahzwuaua urn no 13m ..... wmwmw manna 11111 au304 U4cc.t u400.x quad: .u4.»z<:o au104 uuaa: . . . . . . . ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... . .>u.uuam. . . . aur.o . . . . . . . . ..... ..... --~ -~m~ nnnnn --~ --~ manna . 01.1 . . . oum.aumuaa . . . . . . . . ..... --~ 11111 111.1 11111 11111 11111 11111 . mwu.»urara . . . ozq >004omo . . . . . . . . . . . . . muuaou . .>u.uuaw. . mnuz . . H . 20.94 . . . 02¢ machu¢u . aux—o . umwo4.n . mu.»ur.mm . a4p1r . 41.4c4.n . ouauma . 4121a . «amt.» . w».m can “2 N 110m cwb¢~o¢ 4m4 ou zo.oua Con u4_hm«Do 98 organizational levels agreed on the first and second ranking; however, the regional level ranked third and fourth just opposite of the district and forest levels. All levels agreed on the top four items but could not establish a consistent order for these (Figure 18). Reviewing Forest Resource Potential showed all levels agreeing on first-, second-, and third-ranked factors which were Timber, Water, and Recreation, respectively. The fourth-ranked factor was Wildlife for the district and regional levels, while Range was ranked fourth by the forest level. The top five combination relevance scores for this solution accounted for slightly over 15 percent of the total. Situation 2, general relevance tree top five combi- nation scores are: 1. Management Practices/Timber 2. Erosion/Water 3. Economics/Timber 4. Flora and Fauna/Wildlife 5. Management Practices/Water Number 1 of this list was also found in the top five for all individual regional pooled summaries. The remaining four combinations did not consistently appear in each regional summary. The fire relevance tree quartile makeup for situation 2 is quite similar in several respects to that in situation 1. 99 .mmuoom mocm>mHmu Hm>mH HmcoHuwNHcmmuo 0cm mmmum>m meoom "N coHumsuHmla.mH ousmHm HMHucmuom mOHSOmmH 0cm moon0m 0cm muouomm mUHm ucoouoa mm on mH OH m 0 0m. $0 I DO Om“ 00 0. 0+0 +00 Hdmfizmhom mUmDOmmm memom m09fi$1uulll .93 388...: n o 18:10 nmocuoc.13 mo.uwcumm umufiz wuHHUHHS cofiummuomm momma uwnEH9 H929.ummupmunn .wnd.flxuum:uu + mm 0N unmoumm mH 0H ‘ 4 4 01.0 D¢ I. .V O mwumOh 024 mebU1h thm uocuo wuHm onHMUmoum mmoHuumum ucwewvmcoz mo.Eocoom WOUHOE HMHUOW 1cm .mo.ufi.oa wunUHHz mmommfio paw muowmcH COHmOuw ucsmm Uco whlo >£Qmuoon>£m 0cm 9moHooo 100 In situation 2, Fuel Type shows up with the most upper- quartile cells for Fire Behavior Factors. Fuel Volume and Fire Danger follow with four upper-quartile cells each. Fire Management Factors are best represented by Protection Level which reports five upper-quartile cells. Prevention is second with four cells (Figure 19). In this summary, the upper quartile accounts for slightly over 50 percent of the cell values. A very large cluster of upper-quartile cells appears and contains 12 individual cells. The remaining eight upper-quartile cells are scattered throughout the figure. Individual factor ratings show the top four Fire Behavior Factors were agreed upon at all organizational levels. Again the variation that does exist is because each level has its own order of priority, with the pooled order being different from each of the individual-level rankings. In the pooled averages for this problem, Fuel Type ranks first; Fire Danger, second; Fuel Volume, third; and Time of Year, fourth. In situation 2, the top four behavior factors are the same as the top four in situation 1, but the ranking order is different (Figure 20). The pooled ranking order for Fire Management Factors in situation 2 is exactly the same as found in situation 1 for the top four factors. However, the organizational level variation is different. Prevention, Protection Level, Fire 101 .omcHnEoo mumo HHm pom mmmcmu wHHuumsq mom» mocm>mHmu mHHm ommum>1 “N coHumsuHmII.mH mudem o Innoo. nnoo.u1n.o. 1m.o.c1o.o. oo.o.un0no. w4..u1:o ruu4 . . . :o..uu»01a . . . _ . . . . ..... --~ 11111 11111 11111 11111 -m- ..... nnmnn . zo.»zw>mza . . . . . . . . . . . ..... --~ 11111 11111 11111 annnn m~m- ..... manna . uuzmazcuuo . H . ux.u . . _ . . . . . . . . . _ . mar—oak . .»u.uuam. . . «woz1o . a1u» . ua>p . wts4o> . >..m . rhozm4 . ocmzam . ~Zuyuc121z . zwzpo . wzoxm . u1.u . no m1.» . 4m3u . 4w0u . |2w.z. . ux<4u . no u.11 . ua_u mzohuu4 Du 20.0u1 mom u4.91130 .mwuoom mocm>mHmu Hm>mH HMCOHumNHcmmHo 0cm wmmum>m ooHoom HOH>mnmn ouHm Ucm ucmEmmmcmE mHHm "N coHumsuHmll.om musmHm 00391 n I .981. umouon. u 0 H93 H9539. u 0 H93 “.3330 u + 102 ucwouoa ucmuuom mm om m. o. m 0 mm ow m9 0H m n 1‘ 1 1 d 1 . 1 1 1 a. 5330 5 .1930 08l, meEm a coHumu...bazmm o .0 ummcno 91 muOOwwm an“... 1111 +0 D an...» 0 S muHEocoom l we och... my... 0 09.9 .94.. C +9 0mg my... 9 063.09 00 coHuuoumo .csm a 6 13.9352. 0+ H9201. co.uoou0ua .fQ m. J +.B cu.Lo. ) co.ucw>mua I “€ch 0 1O .50»an $0 wocwpusouo me 051 0.3.1 mmOBU<:mm meh ...»umfimcdzfi... wan... 103 Effects, and Detection are ranked 1, 2, 3, and 4, respec- tively. Although the order is the same, the relevance value for each factor is generally smaller in problem 2. Returning again to the tOp five combination relevance scores, only one of the five tree combinations can be found in each regional and the pooled summary, Prevention/Fire Danger.- The five combination fire factors account for slightly over 15 percent of the relevance values. The list of these tOp five combination relevance factors for situation 2, is as follows: 1. Prevention/Fire Danger 2. Protection Level/Fire Danger 3. Prevention/Time of Year 4. Fire Effects/Intensity 5. Prevention/Fuel Type Situation 3 - Undeveloped forest area.--This third and last problem situation allowed decisionmakers an Oppor- tunity to consider an area essentially without prior commit- ments. The population pattern did not dictate certain types of direction or use. The resource-utilization pattern also had not been established. Individuals could impose their own personal resource-management philosophies on this planning situation. Although several respondents stated _such a condition does not exist, this is not the case. Alaska is a prime example of where resource managers are 104 faced with exactly these conditions. Therefore the problem is by no means a hypothetical situation. As might be anticipated, the general relevance tree quartile summary for this situation has no real resemblance to the previous two. There appears to be much more_diversity in the upper-quartile locations. In comparing situations 2 and 3, Timber now has less of the quartile cells for Resource Potential. Wilderness now has three upper-quartile cells, which might be expected. The previous two situations perhaps did not lend themselves as well to this resource. Esthetics also made a slight gain. Based on the site factors and forces, Geology and Physioqraphy gained several upper-quartile cells as did Flora and Fauna. Political and Social Forces made signifi- cant advances in importance. The importance of Management Practices, as expressed by numbers of upper-quartile cells, dropped compared to situation 2 (Figure 21). A slight drop in the sum of percentages accounted for by the upper-quartile values was noted here. The combined total of both the upper and middle quartiles managed to account for just about 80 percent of the entire tree values. The lower-middle and lower quartiles gained slightly. This latter fact, combined with the greater diversity in the upper—quartile cell distribution pattern, indicates respondents were not as specifically oriented in this planning situation. The relevance values are being 105 .vmcHnEOO momcmn oHHunmsq mmuu mocm>meu Hmumcmm mmmum>1 mump HHm new um coHumsuHmll.Hm oustm .ooo.o»1oo. p1oo.-on.o. nn.o.n.o~o. .o~o.un~no. w4..m1ao ru1u 2.2..) muoc.zuuaua no uoz1a o.~ 1.~n 1.51 u4.»m<:o ruu.ouam. . . . nuzpo . . 1 . . . . . ..... ..... --~ --~ nnmnn --~ --~ --~ . wm.u . _ _ cum—181111 _ . . . . . . . ..... nnnnn nmnnn 11111 11111 11111 nnnnn 11111 . muo..orq . . . 021 >oo40uo . . . . . . . . . . . muumou . .>u.uuam. . mmuz . . zo.~1 . . . oz< machocu _ zuzpo . 12004.: mu.pwr.mu «0.1: . uu.404.3 . nwmoua . wozw4 ou 20.0um mom u4.»mdbo 106 distributed throughout more of the factors. More Resource Potential or Site Factors and Forces are being valued as important or more equally important when compared to situa- tions 1 and 2. This could be interpreted perhaps as being more closely allied to a multiple use philosophy. The top five combination factors account for only 14 percent of the total, which is a further indicator that respondents were spreading their relevance rating throughout more factors. None of the five combination factors listed below received a unanimous rating for all regions. Again the increasing diversity expressed would help account for this condition. The five tOp combination factors listed for this situation general tree are: 1. Flora and Fauna/Wildlife 2. Erosion/Water 3. Political and Social Forces/Wilderness 4., Management Practices/Timber 5. Geology and Physiography/Wilderness Wilderness obviously is considered more strongly as an Option for undeveloped lands. This, in part, is probably due to current agency policy including wilderness-candidate area and roadless area designations. Reviewing the individual factors and their relative importance, we find Flora and Fauna first; Geology and Physiography, second; Management Practices, third; and Political and Social Forces, fourth for the Site Factors and 107 Forces. These same four factors are essentially repeated in each of the situations; however, the expressed importance order is different (Figure 22). It seems that what the reSpondents are rating falls into a recognizable and perhaps predictable pattern for not only this situation, but all three. The four basic Site Factor and Force considerations revolve around the land, the vegetation, the people, and the cultural practice. The order of importance becomes a function of the use options. Forest Resource Potential, by-and-large, follows the pattern established in the previous two situations. The order of importance based on the ranking is identical to situation 2. The l-through-4 order is Timber, Water, Recreation, and Wildlife. This order, however, as well as the specific factors does not remain constant for each region. Depending upon the region, however, all the resource potential factors have been ranked in the top four. Fire continues to maintain a similar quartile pattern. Over 82 percent of the tree values are accounted for in the upper and upper-middle quartiles. A strong cluster of upper-quartile cells persists. In problem 3 it has even grown somewhat as it contains 14 of the 20 upper- quartile cells. Time of Year and Fire Danger have the most cells for all fire behavior factors with four each. Protec- tion Level is top in the Fire Management category with five upper-quartile cells (Figure 23). 108 .mmnoom mocm>mamu Hm>ma Hmcofiumwwcmmuo can mmmum>m omaoom Hmflucmuom moHDOmmH Usm mmouom can muouomw muwm mm 0N ucoouwd ma ca 1 nfi 51 AdeszOQ BUMDOmmm memOm mxéugimu-Il AQfiJ fimcpm Hm>Qa Hacosvmm u o Ao>oa unauumso ucouumm MN fin MA ow, Mw o a on socno +_B mmocuoUHAZ +3‘u mofiuwcumu Ill noun: 0&0 muaapaaz r coHuoouoom r, wmcmm om honefib 8+ 0 .40 um aofiumsuflmuu.mm assess horse I. Guam nonwuomoum mmUmOm O24 mmOBUoamu Hmumcwm mmmnm>4 .owcfinfioo mumo "m coflumsufimuu.m~ museum o ormoo. enco.unn.o. mm.o.-_o.o. memo.u1.mo. u4~_auqa _ ~ ~ _ _ u n u _ _ _ ____~ --~ 11111 11111 11111 11111 --~ --~ nnnnn _ mozuzatooo _ _ _ ua_u _ n _ ~ _ u ~ ~ . ~ ~ _ _ _ mzc»o1u _ .>u~oumm. — . auoz _ >._m _ zpozun _ O1uxam ~ hzuxuo¢rum um—u nnn n2 0 1:0; ouhdhoa n Icon n thQOQQ 44¢ Jw>uJ ou zo—oum mom u4~h¢mnmn muflm can ucmEmmmcmE muwm .mmuoom mocm>mamu Hm>ma Hmsoflumecwmuo can mommm>w "m coaumsufim||.1m musmflm accouwa mm om ma 0H m D 9 IIIIIIIl, O +~u O 0 BY 69 U+n1 QIu 01.0 mmOhU9 aosm mssao> Honk xuamcvucH zuwswq cecam vacuum no wucm ucoosom om Ma 0H 4 0 U «m nuf meBUoq c0wuomu0um coaucw>mum QUCQHHDUUO oust 112 Considering the pooled regions, for the tOp five fire combination factors discussed, only two combinations were repeated in each situation. Protection Level/Fire Danger and Prevention/ Fire Danger were ranked in the top five for the three situations. Generally, summarized data pooled for all regions tended to mask the diversity found on a region-by-region basis. There was further smoothing of variation observed for the organizational level differences when data were pooled. This smoothing effect was found for both the general as well as the fire relevance trees. The only exception might be the Fire Behavior Factors. In this case, factor ranking on a regional level or almost any basis was quite consistent. Although the general summaries are important, it appears that specific interpretation should be made on a regional basis. Interregional differences certainly can be expected as a result of the variable leadership styles of top manage- ment. In regions where strong policies and guidances are exerted from the top down, greater general agreement through- out all organizational levels could be expected. A more permissive management style, on the other hand, would tend to produce a greater diversity of thought throughout the organization. Neither style should be construed as being right or wrong; however, they do help to partially explain variations or lack of variations which were found in the 113 summarized data. Products derived from the forest, the socioeconomic considerations, as well as other factors also contribute to apparent differences between regions. The general variations in responses found on an intraregional basis can also be partially explained. Reasons discussed for interregional differences above are applicable here, too. Additionally, however, the basic role of each level can perhaps account for the greatest impact. The district level is essentially the action level. In this position of the organizational structure, plans are imple- mented; personnel are next to the ground. The forest level provides localized direction and staff assistance. This level provides direction, coordination, and control of work done on the districts. The regional level has a much broader role and provides administration and coordination for several forests. At the regional level, considerable authority exists in charting and approving management policies covering vast acreages. Because of the different role at each level, variations in concepts and perceptions exist. This condition is illustrated by intraregional differences in rating the relative importance of specific planning factors. A special look was taken into the possible differ- ences in response made by fire management personnel versus all others in the study. The responses were not greatly different. 'To be sure, there were some specific variations. 114 However, overall the quartile summaries were quite similar between groups. Due to the differences in sample size between groups and the internal variability, it is difficult to say if differences are really significant. In many respects the differences between fire management personnel and all others is less than inter- and intraregional differ- ences exhibited. The differences exhibited, however, support the need for fire management personnel and others involved in land use planning to improve communications. In this specific comparison, the top five combination relevance factors, for all personnel except fire managers, showed perfect agreement with the pooled data discussed earlier. Fire managers differed in their rankings of the top five combination factors. Many of the same items were considered by fire managers in their tOp five, but the rankings differed. Further and most important, one factor differed or was a new item in the tOp five list in each problem and for each relevance tree. These new combination factors, as well as those replaced by fire managers in their rankings, are as follows: --Situation 1 - General Wildfire/Recreation replaced Management Practices/ Esthetics --Situation 1 - Fire Protection Level/Rate of Spread replaced Prevention/Fuel Type 115 --Situation 2 - General Wildfire/Timber replaced Flora and Fauna/Wildlife --Situation 2 - Fire Protection Level/Rate of Spread replaced Prevention/Fuel Type --Situation 3 — General Wildfire/Recreation and Economics/Timber replaced Political and Social Forces/Wilderness and Geology and Physiography/Wilderness --Situation 3 - Fire Protection Level/Fuel Volume replaced Fire Occurrence/Time of Year Based on the preceding summary of fire managers' changes to the top five combination factors, it is obvious that their functional responsibilities came to the fore- front. Wildfire was considered in some combination in each of the general relevance trees. The top five pooled groupings made no such ranking. In each of the fire relevance trees, the fire managers added a protection level combination item, two of which dealt with rate of spread and one with fuel volume. These additions certainly show a greater concern for both wildfire and protection level by the fire specialists than shown by the remaining respond- ents. This fact provides additional support for the need to consider fire in land use planning and at the same time determine the prOper role, mix, and impact for integration of all legitimate planning considerations. 116 Needs Response Once all the individual respondents completed the various relevance tree matrices, they were reconvened and asked to address three questions ad discussed in the methods section. Their reSponses were noted and recorded on tape. Results of the questioning interview segment were grouped into 12 generic categories which will be addressed subse- quently. It is important to emphasize that one of the most difficult chores anyone has to do in management or research is first, to ask the right questions or define the problem; and second, establish objectives. No priority is implied here. It is very difficult to ask the "right" question which needs answering. The time respondents had in this portion of the interview was limited. Some of the answers could be considered "off the cuff," even perhaps of the searching nature. Many respondents had not had the oppor- tunity before nor perhaps found the necessity to consider, in any depth, questions like those asked. Nevertheless through the results of the discussion period and in the pooling of similar responses, useful information regarding needs as viewed by personnel at all levels has been assembled. Researchers must keep in mind the fact that this is information viewed by field personnel as needed to accomplish their job. 117 The responses perhaps are not the "right" question but they do indicate the type of thinking that is going on in the field at all levels. Research should be aware of the types of answers and responses necessary to satisfy these actual and implied needs. After all, research is a service function and it should respond as such, giving the field what they request. One additional comment before delving into these specific responses, is that although some of the answers or responses were not as definitive as one might like, the basic ideas involved in the questions have been planted with all the interviewees. As resource managers continue down the land-use-planning road, and hurdles are encountered, they will be in a better position to identify them as such and hopefully respond by relaying questions and needs to researchers for action. Planning Needs The initial question was: "What kinds of systems and support do you feel research should provide to help you integrate fire into land use planning?" The following summarization of these responses is in a general priority- rank order. This order was based on the frequency of all questions falling into each of the generic categories. Differences between the top five or six groups are quite small and they perhaps should be considered of equal impor- tance. Nevertheless, on a frequency basis, the following rank ordering was possible. 118 Category 1 - State-of-the-art and "how-to" papers, consultation.--The generic response category repeated most often as being important to respondents revolved around the area of "state-of-the-art publications," "how-to" material, and on-the-ground consultations. Perhaps this might better be labeled as a category concerned with communications and technology transfer. There was a very broad-based interest expressed by individuals as to the need for and desire to have the "how-to" type publication indicating to the field personnel at all levels, specific steps to which they may address themselves to accomplish given objectives. A need was also expressed for what could be classed as "state-of-the-art" publications. Although some public- ations of this type have been developed, there was a concern as to the length and breadth of these normally prestigious documents. There was a loud cry by the respondents that the state-of—the-art publications should be much simpler or else include a good, condensed, summary section which would highlight the critical or key issues contained within the publication. There was also a desire to have researchers' comments on the accuracy and applicability of information contained within the various state-of-the-art publications. In this category, an expressed need was for on-the- ground consultation with researchers. This would include field observations and assistance by subject-matter specialists in an attempt to get information transferred, 119 get the expert into the woods, and perhaps make the scientist more aware of what is going on in the real world. Field personnel implied that there would be more relevance in research efforts if they could get the researcher down on the ground level more frequently. There was a need expressed for determining the current status of research in fire as well as what was going on at the various research facilities throughout the country, including when results would be available, etc. It goes without saying that if the field personnel could be on a first-name basis with researchers there would be better rapport and the transfer mechanism would more or less fall into place without formal applications or needs for a specific system. Category 2 - Economic evaluation, benefit-cost ratios, trade-offs, alternative evaluations, value systems.-- The next and second-ranked generic category of responses revolved around economic evaluations, benefit-cost ratios, trade-offs, and management alternative evaluations. Here the most universal expression dealt with the need to be able to develop, maintain, and defend benefit-cost ratios of fire-related management activities, including slash disposal, fire control, and fuel management. Part of this request was admittedly tied to NEPA; however, there was a strong desire voiced to be able to better develop and establish legitimate alternatives, weigh them, and defend the eventual choice. 120 Field personnel wanted to be able to determine the odds of success for different management strategies, determine what the various trade-offs might be, what values might actually be foregone, and what the benefit-cost values are. Field personnel want better systems to determine values of the various resources and activities on a more rational and equitable basis and with greater uniformity. There was even a very candid and widespread ques- tioning as to the necessity and level of fire control activities undertaken in certain situations. Personnel believed that they must be able to show benefit-cost and trade-off information to the public in a very legitimate and supportable manner. If they did not take aggressive action in a specific situation, it could be shown quite vividly as to why such action was in the best interest of the public or the site under management. Category 3 - Prescribed burning, fire use, smoke management.--The third-ranked generic category response was directed at prescribed burning, fire use, and smoke manage- ment. There is really no need to belabor some of the specific items mentioned; but there is indeed a desire, a need, and an interest to use fire in management activities in the western regions. There is a need to know how to prepare specific prescriptions for vegetative manipulation to meet management objectives. There is a need for evalu- ating procedures to review prescribed burning and determine 121 if the desired objectives were met. Potential applications for prescribed burning are broad, ranging from understory burning and type conversion, to range enhancement and management. In every region visited, there was a keen interest in using fire as a management tool. Some of the reluctance to do so revolved around a lack of confidence in their abilities to meet objectives. There seemed to be less lack of confidence in being able to keep fires within certain designated boundaries. They did believe, however, that they should be able to manage resources using fire in a broader context than only hazard reduction. In the geo- graphic areas where airshed management is a critical issue, smoke and smoke management questions were raised. If managers are to continue using fire as a management tool and increase its use, then at the same time they must be able to cope with smoke management. There was a keen interest for this item in some of the areas visited. Use and application of fire in all aspects of management activities needs to be broadened and explored. Basically, they would like to know what can be done with fire at this time. This includes the entire array of management potentials including smoke management. The use of fire beyond the traditional role of hazard reduction in the West has apparently become a more viable management option. 122 Category 4 - Management practices, fire ecosystems, trade—off relationships.——The fourth-ranked category was fairly general including management practices, fire ecosystems, and trade-off relationships. It was perhaps a catch-all, somewhat akin to a miscellaneous category. Nevertheless, some very important items were voiced from all levels of the organization. As an indicator, interviewees wanted better overall guidance from the Washington Office. They wanted a better idea of how much detail is needed for the various levels in land use planning. They stated that there was a need for clarification of the relationship between land use planning and fire management. More basic, however, were the needs to clarify the objectives of land use planning itself. Many people at all levels indicated the need for better direction on land use planning from the top down with an explanation of really where the organization was going. There is a need for clarification of policy and direction regarding fire and its role in the system. Basically they want to improve uniformity of planning systems and procedures throughout. An array of other items, many of which were still management problems, were reiterated. Such statements as: We need better technical support from staff specialists who must function as subject—matter experts. We need to be able to show how the fire inputs will differ by various management 123 situations. We must quantify the required tolerances (losses) that are acceptable for the various functional management activities. We need evaluation procedures for planning not only fire elements, but all elements, in terms of their role in the planning process. We must be able to cope with the impacts of resource develOpment, fire activi- ties, and impacts of fire activities on management develop- ment as well. We need help in getting our people to think of the system as a whole and not fragments as in the past. Where does fire fit as a management tool and where can we not tolerate it? We need alternatives to fire. We must be able to make links between silvicultural practices, logging prescriptions, and fire as well as other management acti- vities. We need to know how much input from any given activity is necessary to make adequate management decisions. We must understand man's effect on the fire environment. Category 5 - Fire effects, including control effects.--Fire effects, including the effects of control efforts is the next broad generic category. This category is understandably somewhat related to Category 12; however, it is more specific. This broad group essentially ranked fifth in overall importance of all the groups discussed here. Several questions asked in response to the basic interview question indicated a need to better understand the effects of fire in almost all of the possible ramifications. 124 We need to be able to evaluate the impact of a given fire and at the same time evaluate the potentials or actual impact of our fire suppression efforts in relation to the overall land management objectives. There is a need to go beyond the first level effects of fire and explain what the secondary and tertiary effects might also be. Not only is there a need to evaluate the effects of fire, but also to evaluate the impacts of land management activities on fire management alternatives using a universal scale and common language. Because of legislative requirements, we need to know effects of fire, not only on the landscape and various site- specific situations, but also what changes in water quality might occur with respect to types of vegetation burned and intensity of burn. In a similar vein, we need to know what types of impacts or potential impacts there are regarding smoke and air quality. Fire intensities and soil fertility are additional relationships for which more specific infor- mation is needed. Effects of fire on insect production, small animal populations, and their dynamics is another piece of system information which the resource managers need. Projections of fire effects must not only be for a short-term basis of 5 to 10 years, but extend further into the ecosystem rotation. Nutrient loss or gain, relative to multiple burns, must be explained along with an explanation 125 and understanding of other physical site changes resulting from fire. Not only is it important to understand what are the effects of fire in specific ecosystems and site situa- tions, but also we must understand the effects of fire exclusion. Category 6 - Fire management, fire control, fire behavior, fire danger rating, etc.--A broad spectrum of items fell into this generic category, which was to be expected when considering the broad nature of items making up this group. Questions ranged from how to do better presuppression to the need for better application of the National Fire Danger Rating System. They pointed out the need to determine and predict if protection can be provided for specific management alternatives. If protection needs can be provided, how can costs and effectiveness of the system be evaluated? There is a need to clarify the relationship between land use planning and fire management itself. Along this same line, the fire organization should respond in a more positive fashion to the land use planning process. Part of the above is perhaps an administrative responsibility; however, research should be able to assist. Obviously, tools and processes are needed by which fire control planning can tie more closely into the total resource planning process. Personnel must be trained to insure that concepts are understood. District level 126 personnel need a much broader concept: what is beyond the district level in terms of land use planning and management considerations. Guidelines for various activities ranging from planning to equipment use are necessary tools. The protection, prevention, and social aspects of fire were indicated as areas where there is a current weakness. More specifically, how can fire become accepted as a management tool in the western United States to the same degree that it has been accepted in the South and Southeast? They would like a simple consideration checklist for land use planning and how fire fits into alternatives so that important items would not be left out as they go through the planning process. Category 7 - Information storage and retrieval systems, including data.--The next category revolved around information storage and retrieval systems including a data base. This category ranked seventh out of 12. One specific issue addressed was the need to have some form or forms of information storage and retrieval systems. The content envisioned ranged from general and research literature to very specific, site-compartment data for management decision- making processes. Also fire history, vegetative typing, wildlife inventories, timber inventories, etc., might be included. These data would provide a better statistical base from which to proceed in the decisionmaking and plan- ning process. Information and retrieval systems should be 127 computerized. The data base should also be set up with nationwide standards to insure a common thread between Forest Service regions. It must be a system that a local district or forest unit could afford to use. It must be a system that can be used by the local practitioners without the necessity to hire a data systems individual. A catalog or a summary of information and retrieval systems presently available and accessible would be worthwhile. Category 8 - Fuelgprediction and inventory proce- dures, fuel management.--The eighth generic category included fuel inventory and prediction procedures and the broad item of fuel management. Surprisingly, even with current service- wide fuel management direction and action, this group did not rank as high as anticipated. Basically all levels in the western regions wanted to know how to go about the job of fuels management. How do we classify our fuels? They indicated a need for nutrient-cycling information related to various aspects of fuel management. Furthermore they indicated a need for information on the effects of various fuel reductions in ecosystems on small-mammal populations. In the area of fuel inventory, a desire was expressed that research develOp methods by which fuels could be measured and evaluated on a much simpler basis than available today. Photo keys or other quick methods were mentioned as possibilities. A need was expressed to be able to predict the fuel-loading additions resulting from various management 128 activities. These fuel-loading additions must also be related to fire potential on the given site. The economics of fuel management were also mentioned as a need. They further indicated that they want to know if the increase in activity fuels could be measured in relationship to the changes in resultant risks. Perhaps they could gather fuels information at the same time that other resource-inventory data is gathered. Category 9 - Feedback, evaluation, review proce- dures andyprocesses.--The ninth category by which responses were grouped revolved around information feedback, evalua- tion, and review of material. There was a very strong need expressed to know what research is doing currently and where they are in relation to completion of active projects. There is a need for periodic updates of material. They were normally unaware of what research was doing until some sort of published result was out. They also wanted to have stronger inputs into planning and development of research projects. This comment came from all levels with particular emphasis from the ranger district level. They wanted to know if new, research-developed procedures really worked, if so, how well, and what were some of the ramifications relative to implementing them in a field situation, etc. The implication here seemed to be that research leaves the job once the results are published and does not follow through to see if any modifications are 129 necessary. There was strong support to tie research into field activities and problems rather than do research for research's sake. There was a definite criticism of research which was not problem oriented. The need to get research results on the ground was forcefully brought out and several avenues to do this were indicated. Very simple one- and two-page summary publica- tions, training programs, seminars, and on-the-ground consultations were suggested. One request was that they would like a national list of Forest Service researchers, as well as an area list, with notations as to the subject-area specialities for individual scientists. This would allow them to contact researchers for help in answering specific questions, either in relation to publications or to actual field problems. There is an obvious, overriding need to improve the communication chain between the researcher and the practitioner. If there were more contact with researchers throughout the year, the doubt, distrust, and lack of viable ,communication would soon disappear. Category 10 - Computer hardware, software, analysis, and display procedures.--Another generic category, one which is very closely allied with the information and retrieval system, deals with computer hardware-software analysis and display procedures. There was strong interest expressed by field personnel about computer software assisting them in their management activities. Here, as in the previous 130 category, an expressed need was for catalogs of available computer programs with research commentary as to the availability, types of data required, input-output costs, reliability, etc. Many voiced the concern that often some of the available computer material was too costly for normal Operations, and that office calculations (using desk-top calculators and computers) could be done in less total time than some of the system computer Operations. They were interested in display and analysis procedures for land use planning. They all could see the need and desirability of fire input into such processes. They reiterated that any computer system must be usable by the field personnel. They indicated that they do not have trained personnel to use many of the packages now available and they don't know how to run them or perhaps are reluctant to try when they have that Option. They feel that there is a good need to use the analysis-display procedure capabili- ties of the computer world to help generate good overviews of the management alternatives that they are developing in their planning processes. Computerized planning procedures, they believe by-and-large, are on the horizon and will be a must in the not-too-distant future. Categoryyll - Hazard evaluation, fire probabilities.-- The eleventh generic category deals with hazard evaluation and fire probabilities and received minor attention relative to the others. Nevertheless, there was a need expressed to 131 determine how one could really measure the hazard existing in the woods, much of which revolves around slash. How do you determine what moderate resistance to control is? Is slash really going to be a problem; if so, how much and for how long? What are the probabilities of fire occurring in slash versus nonslash areas? How can we identify these hazard levels and how can we identify them in such a manner so that we can be sure to meet our management objectives? Better procedures are also needed to determine when to burn and when not to burn. Can we predict increases in hazards as a result of our management activities, and not only the increase, but also the magnitude of the increase? If this is possible, we need guides of some sort to assist us. A strong voice was raised in the area of establishing a process for arriving at a standard for "living with fire." When can we do this and under what conditions? For example, do we treat slash or in what condition can we assume the risks? All these issues seem to center around the necessity to evaluate hazard and establish probabilities of fire occurrence . Category 12 - The role of fire, fire ecology.—-The twelfth generic category dealt with the role of fire and fire ecology, in its broadest sense. The demand for infor- mation in this area, specifically at least, was one of the lowest categories of those develOped. It is difficult to determine why this happened, but perhaps it is because fire 132 ecology may be implied under one or more of the other categories. In addition, perhaps field professionals believe that they have a general comprehension of the ecological situation. In this twelfth and last generic category, the basic question asked was that we need to know more about the role of fire in the various ecosystems. There was an interest in obtaining specific infor- mation relative to fire ecology and the role of fire in various ecosystems. Some individuals wanted to know how they might maintain various vegetation types using fire as a management tool, and perhaps a corollary to this was the expressed need to understand the role of fire as related to the various management systems that were at their disposal. One of the Specific questions voiced by individuals in the Intermountain area was a need to obtain a better definition of succession following fire, based on prefire habitat types and prefire land types. In this same general area was an expressed need to determine and categorize fires as to intensities so that relationships and probabilities of successions expected to follow could be predicted. Accuracy_Requirements The second specific question asked in the inter- view segment of the study in each location was as follows: "What kind of accuracy and resolutions do you feel that you need now? What would you like eventually?" Although 133 the first major question on needs created some problems and hesitation, the second question presented even more. Perhaps the most obvious and important issue regarding the tendency to delay response centered around the need to be situation or site specific. In general, however, the major point made by respondents at all levels throughout the sample was that any improvement over what we have today would be very helpful. They tried to indicate the researcher's desire to get 99 percent accuracy was well beyond their ability to utilize such information and make applications in the real world. The district level response varied between 51 percent on up to 99 percent for special situations; but the majority were saying if they could have from 60 to 80 percent accuracy, they would be well ahead of where they are right now. They fully realized that many of the responses were indeed site specific and would vary depend- ing upon the situation. Some areas and some conditions would require much more accuracy or probability of success than others. The general forgiveness of many of the eco- systems being manipulated in our management practices helps cover up some of the low-accuracy applications. What they seemed to be saying was that if they could improve their decision probabilities for success by 5 or 10 percent, that this would be a giant step forward. 134 Eventually, of course, they would like to be able to make more decisions with a greater probability of success. However, they are well aware of the fact that they will continue to make decisions regardless of whether there is any more research information or not. In that respect, then, any improvements certainly will be an assist. The need to keep resolutions in pace with their intended application was spelled out.; They would be more than willing to accept first-approximation information that might come from what could be classed as "quick-and-dirty" studies. All they are asking for is point out how good, how applicable, and what the chances might be in respect to a specific situation. They believe that it is their job to determine what to do from that point forward. After all, they are responsible for the land, not the researcher. They also believe that once they begin refining our manage- ment objectives, then the need for more specific information falls in place with that change. In summary, what the field personnel seemed to be saying was that they need to get existing information into the system. They need to be professional enough to extend ,that information as far as their expertise will allow for the situation at hand. They will tell research when they need more specific information. They will indicate when they can't do something because the kind of information is not good enough. They do, however, need some idea as to 135 the reliability existing in the information and applications. They would like to have some ideas as to how far the infor— mation can legitimately be extrapolated for the situation at hand. To use an old research cliche, they just want to know what time it is, they don't want research to build a clock for them. Review, Response, and Literature The third and final question asked during the inter- view process was: "When the RD&A is developing processes and procedures, would you feel that you would have the time to respond and provide input as we head down the road? Do you want to be involved? How much?" The response to this question, although it may be considered somewhat of a "loaded" one, was very gratifying. There was a unanimous concurrence from all interviewees involved that they must keep abreast with what research is doing. Theymust pro- vide inputs and feedbacks. The only reservations voiced were those of a time element and the necessity to limit such inputs to perhaps a few pointed remarks. They could not respond in great length and depth upon reviewing the various materials presented them. They could come back with marginal notes and some type of assessment as to - whether research had met the goal. This was one of the important outcomes of the study. It illustrated that in 136 the past we had perhaps not utilized this avenue to the extent we could have; and that there is, indeed, a real interest and input to be included as well as a need. They sincerely believed that they had an obligation to respond. In short, the answer to the basic question was an unequi- vocal "yes, we want to be involved and we will be involved as much as our other tasks allow us to be." SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDAT IONS A study was conducted to identify existing land use planning-fire management relationships including policy, direction, and guides at the various levels in the National Forest System of the U.S. Forest Service. In addition, the study was designed to identify critical decisions and determine information requirements for integrating fire management into the land use planning process at all levels and to provide inputs which can be used to modify the land use planning procedures to include and integrate appropriate fire management considerations. Information relative to the first part of the study was obtained through a review of the legislation, policies, and other formal direction. An attempt was made to identify those areas where specific impact on land use planning-fire management was either detailed or implied. Narrative summaries and comments were develOped. The second portion of the study was approached by using, in part, a formal interview. These interviews were conducted with personnel in fire management, land use planning, as well as the other traditional functional areas in the Forest Service such as timber. Contacts were made using a random sample at all levels in the organizational 137 138 hierarchy throughout the western regions including Alaska. Each sample location group was asked to respond to three land use fire management planning situations. A normative forecasting procedure, PATTERN (Planning Assistance Through Technical Evaluation of Relevance Numbers), was used. Two relevance trees, one general and one fire, were developed for application with three diverse planning situations. These ranged from an urban/forest interface planning situ- ation, to a well-developed forest planning situation, and finally to an undeveloped area planning situation. A relevance tree, as used in this study, was basically a structured decision network consisting of two dimensions. In the general relevance tree, one dimension dealt with forest-resource-potential considerations that may influence a decision about fire management-land use planning and development. The second dimension, or cross support of the tree, involved various site factors and forces of the basic natural resource. The fire relevance tree considered fire management factors in one dimension and fire behavior factors in the second dimension. Relevance scores for either tree reflected the decisionmakers' attitude about the relative importance of selected factors for each planning situation. The final aspect of the study was addressed by asking all groups contacted a series of standard questions, then summarizing the results. 139 Legislation and Related Guidance The review of pertinent legislation and related agency guidance revealed several points. In respect to some of the legislation, there were several items of an explicit nature which have an impact on land use planning-fire management relationships. These points were found as far back as the agency's Organic Act of 1897 and as recently as the Resources Planning Act of 1974. In much of the legisla— tion reviewed, there were also many areas where the consid- eration of fire management in combination with land use planning was implied. No lengthy or really specific guidance was found relative to the rather narrow subject area of integrating fire in land use planning. The legislation reviewed can indeed have a restric- tive impact regarding fire and the planning process. Mana- gers must be aware of the legal constraints to avoid being placed in an indefensible position by exceeding their statutory authority. The review of agency guidance, primarily the Forest Service Manual, in this specific planning area did not reveal much more direction other than in a broad context. No Specific processes were found and much of the advice only enumerated items to consider or coordinate between functions. Even though general direction exists, the specific direction for implementation either does not or is relatively weak at this time. 'Regional Manual supplements did not improve the situation to any great degree. 140 Although much Specific information and manual advice may not exist, some planning teams have developed informal methods for identifying and integrating fire-land use planning relationships. Because of the current lack of unifying national direction on this and perhaps related topics, each planning level does what it perceives as best and most important. Resulting planning products range from poor to excellent in regard to their apprOpriate considera- tion of fire management. Results of this study have indicated that the legislation, the servicewide manual guidance, regional manual supplements, and other related material are sorely lacking in specific direction for integrating fire management with land use planning. Before solid progress can be made, existing guidance must be more clearly interpreted, become more specific, and processes and procedures included to the extent of providing unifying direction. Without such action the nondirectional efforts of today will continue. It is recommended that more centralized and stronger guidance be provided at all levels in land use planning, with particular emphasis on the fire management integration area. In addition, better interpretation and specific processes and procedures are needed to assist in integrating fire and land use planning. 141 Critical Decisions The use of PATTERN and attendant relevance trees has provided a series of data illustrating what respondents throughout the West believe are important considerations for the three planning situations outlined earlier. Agreement and disagreement have been identified among, between, and within regions, organizational levels, and respondent positions. These relevance tree data provide the interacting priorities for the management decisions presented. In all cases, 25 percent of the adjusted relevance scores accounted for approximately 50 percent of the entire relevance tree value. This was true in both the general as well as the fire relevance trees for all situations. Very few of the combination factors for each relevance tree maintained a consistently high (top five) ranking between regions. The factors that maintained their top five combi- nation positions were as follows: --Urban/Forest - General Political and Social Forces/Recreation Political and Social Forces/Esthetics --Urban/Forest - Fire Prevention/Fire Danger Prevention/Time of Year --Well Developed - General Management Practices/Timber —-Well Developed - Fire Prevention/Fire Danger 142 —-Undeveloped Forest None Generally, pooling data for all samples tended to mask the diversity found on a region-by-region basis. The smoothing further tended to hide organizational level differences. One exception might be considered since the Fire Behavior Factors generally maintained their ranking and relative position regardless of the stratification used. Specific interpretation for any regional applications should be made. Data presented in this report should permit land managers and land use planners alike, at varying levels and in different geographic locations, to better understand just how the others approach the three selected planning situations used in this study. These data will also help in indicating just what are some of the important constraints in various decision situations. Through a more complete understanding, as well as a more objective evaluation of important factors, planners can better coordinate activities both between units and among various levels in the organi- zational hierarchy. The relevance trees, quartile diagrams, and other types of stratification provide a depiction of the respond- ents' concepts as to the various functional relationships of the factors considered for the defined situations. Using such established functional relationships, one can identify " 143 areas where information is available and usable at the present time, as well as identify areas of information scarcity. The described functional relationships can further be used in various forms of training relative to land use planning. Comparisons of models to the functional relationships expressed can provide certain validation as well as material for model building and refinement. Vari- ables of apparent importance have been described by per- sonnel at all levels. These factors can be further evalu- ated as to their true value. They can also be used to provide starting points for further development and appli- cation. As indicated by Shafer et 31. (1974), priority values computed in this study can also be helpful in developing fire management-land use planning decision games. These can help the decisionmakers evaluate the consequences of various alternatives. Furthermore, data resulting from this study can be used as a reference point by which future changes in perception of important factors in planning situations can be evaluated. The relevance tree scores can be used by research personnel to delineate subject areas and priorities for future research activities. By and large, the information from this study has provided material for a more specific problem analysis relative to fire management-land use planning in the U.S. Forest Service. Results of objectives 144 l and 2 further provide the basis for supplying input into both the RD&A Program development and source material for interim modification of planning procedures designed to include fire management considerations when appropriate. Additional evidence, as shown by the comparative analysis, indicates fire must be included in the planning process. Fire factors in both relevance trees obtained high adjusted relevance values in all three problems. Further- more, the differences shown in comparing responses of fire managers to nonfire managers support the need to include fire personnel directly in the planning activities. The differing perceptions of fire managers would add new insights and greater breadth to any planning effort. The technique used in the study, PATTERN, appears to have application in developing individual plans. The process provides an objective procedure to assess, order, and eventually resolve the integration of multiple factors in a two-dimensional matrix. Planning teams can use such a procedure to quantitatively assess their posture on various planning issues for which relevance trees can be constructed. The public sector might also be included in the process, especially in situations where great diversity of opinion is likely to exist. To monitor changes in values and priorities, a subsample of the original respondents should be revisited in about 5 years. Followup relevance tree material should be 145 obtained for comparison and evaluation of shifts in impor- tance values. Summaries of data should also be made on a region-by-region basis to supplement this general work for more specific, local applications and interpretations. Needs Response The question asked all respondents concerning their needs for integrating fire into land use planning evoked a wide array of responses. Because of this breadth of responses, it was necessary to group them into twelve "generic" categories, ranging from "state-of-the-art" and "how-to" papers and consultation to the expressed desire for feedback, evaluation, and review mechanisms. Throughout the entire sample many of the responses were repeated again and again. The compilation prepared provides an indicator for future research direction. These responses also assist in sharpening the focus on current research and management activities. The broad category of communications and technology transfer rated top as a need to integrate fire management into the land use planning process. Basic methods suggested included "state-of-the-art" papers, "how-to" publications, and on-the-ground consultation. Economics, benefit-cost ratios, trade-off procedures, and value systems comprised the second most important need. The major concern centered around the need to be able to develop, maintain, and defend benefit-cost ratio material of fire-related management 146 activities. Third, the use and application of fire in all aspects of management activities needs to be broadened and explored. Some of the more specific concerns include prescription preparation and execution, smoke management, and postfire evaluation. Under the fourth-ranked category (Management Practices . . .) personnel wanted better overall guidance from the top down including more specific process advice and clarification of land use planning objectives. In the fifth-ranked position, Fire Effects, quantification became important. Broad-based needs were expressed to provide numbers on fire effects (good or bad) and on the effects of fire control action for given situations. Based on the above and more detailed discussions earlier, it appears more specific direction (Manual advice) 'is indicated. Processes for getting the job done must be developed and spelled out for general use. A strong, universal data base is also a "must" item. Training in planning phiIOSOphy and process would go a long way in resolving some of the questions posed. Much is known and can be brought to bear on the issues, but transfer mechanisms must be developed, improved, and implemented. Field person- nel must also be better able to define their problems for research, not symptoms, which has usually been the case. Replies to what kinds of accuracy and resolution were needed now and in the future also brought forth a range of answers. The major point made was that any improvement would be helpful. The response would necessarily have to be 147 site and/or situation specific. Respondents need information now, but would like some measure of its applicability. How far can it be extrapolated, what are the probabilities of success or failure? All respondents indicated a desire to become involved in the development of procedures for the Research, Develop: ment, and Application PrOgram. They believe they have an obligation to respond contingent upon their time available and interest in the specific topic in question. Three important items have evolved on the periphery of the study. These items could perhaps be classed in the everyday vernacular as "spinoffs." As a direct result of this study, a wide and varied audience in the U.S. Forest Service now has a clearer understanding of the purpose, scope, and intent of the RD&A Program. Well over 300 field personnel have had a face-to-face confrontation with research on a current, pressing, and practical issue. These meetings provided both important communications and feedback for both sides. Finally, the sample used in this study, as a result of the field's universal commitment to help review RD&A material, provides a widespread and generally representative series of entry pOints for continued field contact. Because we now have some relative values on factors affecting three decision situations, we have a much better idea of what to change and where, in the event such change is desirable. To very crudely paraphrase Lord Kelvin, now 148 that we have numbers (relevance scores) for some of our planning factors, we know more about them. Again as indicated by Shafer et_al. (1974), we can consider, in a sense, that the relevance trees are simulated chessboards, and we have tried to identify those squares containing the most powerful pieces. Finally, this study should be completed as originally planned to include Forest Service Regions 8 and 9 and the Washington Office. Upon completion, servicewide comparisons and stratification of the data should be made. This basic study should be expanded at some future date to include federal, state, and private land management agencies outside the USDA Forest Service. LITERATURE C ITED 149 LITERATURE CITED Aldrich, David F., and Robert W. Mutch. 1974. Fire management prescriptions: a model plan for wilderness ecosystems. USDA For. Serv. Res. Pap. (In preparation for publication by Intermt. For. and Range Exp. Stn.) Anonymous. 1975. Let 'er burn? For. Rep. 4(4):8. Canadian Forestry Service, Edmonton. Baker, Junius O. 1975. A selected and annotated bibliography for wilderness fire managers. USDA For. Serv., Washington, D.C. 36 p. Barney, Richard J. 1975. Fire management: a definition. J. For. 73(8). Bright, James R. 1974. A brief introduction to technology forecasting-- concepts and exercises. 248 p. Permaquid Press: Austin, Texas. (ed.). 1968. Technological forecasting for industry and govern- ment. 484 p. Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. , and Milton E. F. Schoeman (eds.). 1973. A guide to practical technological forecasting. 651 p. Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. Cahart, Arthur H. 1961. Planning for America's wildlands. 97 p. Telegraph Press: Harrisburg, Pa. National Audubon Society, National Parks Association, The Wilderness Society, Wildlife Management Institute. 150 151 Carder, D. Ross, and Clarkson H. Oglesby. 1973. Unified planning and decisionmaking: a conceptual framework for Forest Service management. Stanford Univ., Calif. Rep. REP-49, 252 p. Clawson, Marion. 1975. Forests for whom and for what? 175 p. John Hopkins Univ. Press: Baltimore. Connaughton, Charles A. 1970. Fire related research and development needs. In The role of fire in the Intermountain West: sympo- sium proceedings. Fire Research Council, Missoula, Montana, p. 199-201. Council on Environmental Quality. 1974. Land use. U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 92 p. Curtis, Virginia (ed.). 1975. Land use and the environment: an anthology of readings. Environ. Prot. Agency, Office of Res. and Monit., Environ. Studies Div., Washington, D.C. 200 p. Duerr, William A., Dennis E. Teeguarden, Sam Guttenburg, and Nels B. Christiansen. 1975. Forest resource management. Vol. I and II. Oregon State Univ. Book Stores, Inc.: Corvallis. Esch, Maurice E. 1969. Relevance tree methodology. 17 p. Military and Space Dep., Honeywell, Inc.: Arlington, Va. 1970. Relevance tree methodology--application to R. & D. investment planning. 12 p. Military and Space Dep., Honeywell, Inc.: Arlington, Va. Gerlach, Frederick L. 1974. An examination of forest fire control information systems and remote sensing applications. 79 p. Univ. Montana, Final Rep. (Draft), Missoula. Gordon, Theodore J., and M. J. Roffensperger. 1973. The relevance tree method for planning basic research. p. 126-146. In,A Guide to Practical Technological Forecasting. Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. 152 Grad, Frank P. 1971. Environmental law. Matthew Bender & Co., Inc.: N.Y. (with 1973 supplement). Greenfield, Rand. 1975. The National Forest Service and the Forest and Rangeland Renewable Resources Planning Act of 1974. Nat. Resour. J. 15(3):603-628. Hartgraves, Rex. 1974. Unified planning process. In Analytical methods computer applications in USFS planning and decision- making. School of Bus. and Tech., Oregon State Univ., Corvallis. Chapter 1. Hartgraves, Charles R., and J. N. Moore. 1974. Land use planning on public lands. Mont. Bus. Quart. 12(4):45-53. Univ. Montana, Missoula. Jantsck, Erich. 1968. Integrating forecasting and planning through a function-oriented approach. In Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government. p. 426- 448. Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. Kaiser, Edward J., and Peggy A. Reichert. 1975. Land use guidance system planning for environmental quality. Nat. Resour. J. 15(3):530—565. Kenops, Darrel L. 1975. Fire management and land use planning in the Northern Region - an opinion from a peon. USDA For. Serv., Idaho Zone Planning Team, Sandpoint, Idaho. 8 p. mimeo. Layser, Earle F. 1975. Methods and criteria for a planning and decision- making process. USDA For. Serv., Southwestern Region, Albuquerque, (draft) 51 p. League of Women Voters. l975a. The national voter. 25(1) Pub. No. 582, 45 p. l975b. The national voter. 25(2) Pub. No. 592, 29 p. Libby, Lawrence W. 1974. Comprehensive land use planning and other myths. J. Soil and Water Conserv. 29(3):106-108. 153 Martino, Joseph P. 1972. Technological forecasting for decisionmaking. 750 p. Elseview Pub. Co., Inc.: N.Y. McHarg, Ian L. 1969. Design with nature. 197 p. Doubleday/Nat. Hist. Press: Garden City, N.Y. McGuire, John R. 1975. Fire as a force in land use planning. J. For. 81(1):36-38. Moore, William R. 1970. Fire management in the Northern Rockies. In The role of fire in the Intermountain West: symposium proceedings. Intermt. Fire Res. Council, Missoula, Montana, p. 167-171. 1974. From fire control to fire management. Western Wildlands l(3):ll-15. Morton, Rogers C. B. 1975. Increasing renewable resource potential - an insurance policy. J. For. 73(3). Natural Resources Journal. 1975. Symposium on land use planning. 15(3):473-580. Public Land Law Review Commission. 1970. One-third of the nation's land. U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 342 p. Reilly, William K. (ed.). 1973. The use of land: a citizens' policy guide to urban growth. 318 p. Crowell CO.: N.Y. Resler, Rexford A. 1975. A challenge to trainees. Fire Management, USDA For. Serv., Washington, D.C. 36(1):3-5. Robinson, Glen 0. 1975. The Forest Service. 337 p. John Hopkins Univ. Press: Baltimore. Schroth, Peter W., and Zygmunt J. B. Platter. 1974. Nature, law, and society. 5th preliminary edition. Shafer, Elwood L., Jr., and Douglas A. Morrison. 1969. Some relevant factors for selecting recreation- development decisions. Unpub. study plan on file at the USDA For. Serv., Northeastern For. Exp. Stn., Syracuse, N.Y. 17 p. 154 , George Moeller, Douglas A. Morrison, and Russell Getty. 1974. Recreation, resources, and right decisions. USDA For. Serv., Res. Pap. NE-293, 16 p. Northeastern For. Exp. Stn., Upper Darby, Pa. Society of American Foresters. 1974. Foresters in land use planning. In 1973 national convention: proceedings, Washington, D.C., 275 p. Southwestern Interagency Fire Council. 1971. Planning for fire management: symposium proceedings. 108 p. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. (n.d.) Land use planning. Planning Team, Sandpoint Zone, Idaho Panhandle National Forest. 206 p. 1964. Forest Service Manual, Title 2100, Multiple Use Management. Region 4, Supplement 13, Ogden, Utah. 1966. Forest Service Manual, Title 2100, Multiple Use Management. Region 4, Supplement No. l, Ogden, Utah. 1968. Forest Service Manual, Title 2100, Multiple Use Management. Region 5, Supplement No. 3, San Francisco, Calif. l970a. Forest Service Manual, Title 2100, Multiple Use Management. Region 5, Supplement No. 5, San Francisco, Calif. l970b. Forest Service Manual, Title 2100, Multiple Use Management. Region 5, Supplement No. 6, San Francisco, Calif. 1972a. Land unit prescriptions, basis for fire management. Div. of Fire Control, Region 1, Missoula, Mont. 1972b. National fire planning. Washington, D.C. 121 p. 1973a. Guidelines for development of unit plans. Northern Region, Missoula, Mont. (working draft III), 38 p. 155 1973b. Research, DevelOpment, and Application Program Charter - Fire in Multiple Use Management. Intermt. For. and Range Exp. Stn., Ogden, Utah. 23 p. 1974a. Fire management considerations for land use plan- ning. Washington, D.C., 28 p. 1974b. Forest Service, National Forest System acreages as of June 30, 1974. U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 38 p. 1974c. The principal laws relating to Forest Service activities. Agric. Handbook No. 453, U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 265 p. l975a. Fire in Multiple Use Management, Research, Develop- ment, and Application Program documentation. (Review Draft), 91 p. l975b. Fire management considerations for land use planning. Region 1, Missoula, Mont., 5190 Management, 3 p. mimeo. 1975c. Forest Service Manual, Title 5110, Fire Suppression. Region 5, Emergency Directive No. 4, San Francisco, Calif. l975d. Forest Service Manual, Title 8200, Land Use Planning. Region 2, Supplement No. 1, Denver, Colo., l p. 1975e. Forest Service Manual, Title 8200, Land Use Planning. Washington, D.C. l975f. The Forest Service program for the nation's renewable resources, draft environmental state- ment. U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 598 p. 19759. Land use planning overview. Region 5, San Francisco, Calif., 50 p. 156 I975h. The Nation's renewable resources - an assessment. 1975 Draft, U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 385 p. 19751. A summary of the program and assessment for the Nation's renewable resources. Draft, U.S. Gov. Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 127 p. ; U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Land Management; and National Association of State Foresters. 1975. Wildlife prevention analysis - problems and pro- grams. Washington, D.C., 28 p. U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Land Management. 1973. Fire training - a report. Washington, D.C., 34 p. Water Resources Council. 1973. Water and related land resources - establishment of principles and standards for planning. Federal Register, 38(174) Part III, Washington, D.C., 167 p. Whaley, R.S. 1970. Multiple use decisionmaking - where do we go from here? Nat. Resour. J. lO(3):557-565. Zivnuska, John A. 1961. The multiple problems of multiple use. J. For. 59(8):555-560. 157 General References Ayres, Robert U. 1969. Technological forecasting and long-range planning. 237 p. McGraw-Hill: N.Y., St. Louis, San Francisco, London, Sydney, Toronto, Mexico, Panama. Chadwick, George. 1971. A systems view of planning. 390 p. Pergamon Press: Oxford, N.Y., Toronto, Sydney, Braunschweig. Goode, William J., and Paul K. Hatt. 1952. Methods in social research. 386 p. McGraw-Hill: N.Y., Toronto, London. Holsti, Ole R. 1969. Content analysis for the social sciences and humanities. 235 p. Addison-Wesley: Reading, Mass.; Menlo Park, Calif.; London; Don Mills, Ontario. Raiffa, Howard. 1970. Decision analysis. 309 p. Addison-Wesley: Reading, Mass.; Menlo Park, Calif.; London; Don Mills, Ontario. Sackman, Harold. 1975. Delphi critique. 142 p. Lexington Books, D. C. Heath & CO.: Lexington, Mass.; Toronto; London. Sokal, Robert R., and F. James Rohlf. 1969. Biometry. 776 p. W. H. Freeman & CO.: San Francisco. Stoltenberg, Carl H., Kenneth D. Ware, Robert J. Marty, Robert D. Wray, and J. D. Wellons. 1970. Planning research for resource decisions. 183 p. The Iowa State Univ. Press: Ames. APPENDICES 158 APPENDIX A LIST OF REGIONS AND RANDOMLY SELECTED FORESTS CONTACTED FOR INTERVIEWS 159 Regions 10 APPENDIX A LIST OF REGIONS AND RANDOMLY SELECTED FORESTS CONTACTED FOR INTERVIEWS National Forests Bitterroot* Black Hills Rio Grande* Carson Cibola* Coronado* Kaibab Tonto* Salmon Sawtooth Wasatch Angeles Six Rivers Siuslaw* Chugach *Indicates one or more districts on the forest also were sampled. APPENDIX B LIST OF RANDOMLY SELECTED RANGER DISTRICTS CONTACTED FOR INTERVIEWS 161 Region APPENDIX B LIST OF RANDOMLY SELECTED National Forests Beaverhead Bitterroot* Custer Deerlodge Gallatin Idaho Panhandle Lewis and Clark Grand Mesa - Uncompahgre Medicine Bow Rio Grande* Shoshone White River 162 RANGER DISTRICTS CONTACTED FOR INTERVIEWS Ranger District Madison Stevensville West Fork Ft. Howes Butte Gardiner Wallace Musselshell Collbran Centennial Conejos Wapiti Aspen Dillon *Indicates the forest headquarters was also sampled. Region 163 National Forests Cibola* Coronado* Santa Fe Tonto* Ashley Boise Bridger - Teton Challis Dixie Humboldt Manti - La Sal Targhee Inyo Klamath Los Padres Plumas Sequoia Shasta - Trinity Sierra Tahoe Ranger District Sandia Nogales Jemez Globe Flaming Gorge Lowman Mountain Home Big Piney Lost River Pine Valley Ely Jarbridge Price Teton Basin Mono Lake Oak Knoll Mt. Pinos Oroville Greenhorn Yolla Bolla Weaverville Sacramento Minarets Sierraville *Indicates the forest headquarters was also sampled. 164 Region National Forests Ranger District 6 Ochoco Big Summit Okanogan Tonasket Olympic Soleduck Rogue River Prospect Siskiyou Chetco Siuslaw* Waldport Wallowa - Whitman Bear Sleds Willamette Lowell 10 NONE *Indicates the forest headquarters was also sampled. APPENDIX C DEFINITIONS OF TERMS AS USED IN THE RELEVANCE TREES 165 SITE FACTORS APPENDIX C DEFINITIONS OF TERMS AS USED IN THE RELEVANCE TREES AND FORCES Geology and Physiography Flora and Fauna Erosion Insects and Disease Wildfire The geology and topography of the planning area, both base and surficial. Included are such characteristics as productivity, percola- tion, construction material, slope steepness, accessability, number of peaks, landslide and avalanche potential. Types of vegetation in the planning area including diversity, amount, distribution, and its use potential. Types and numbers of fish and wildlife that live in or can be introduced into the planning area. The susceptibility of the area to erosion relative to development activities and potential use. Major insect and disease considerations in the planning area which could or would impact on the specific management activities. Any fire other than controlled or prescribed burn occurring on the area. (Wildfire under this definition is totally unacceptable in all decision situations. Wildfires which are allowed to burn because they meet certain criteria are no longer wildfires, see pre- scribed fire. Type of ignition is not an issue here.) 166 Political and Social Forces Economics Management Practices Prescribed Fire 167 Constraints coming from executive, judicial, or legislative branches of the government. Effects of development on the sociological structure within and adjacent to the planning area. Included here is the influence of the various problem situations and resulting decisions on social institutions, the family, employment, education, and value systems. Impact of development on local, regional, and national economics. Includes present and potential opportunities for public and private capital investment in complementary and supplementary industry. The cultural practices associated with developing and maintaining the resource until harvest. Included might be fertilizing, thinning, transplanting, breeding, etc. The technological procedures used to convert the resource to another use. e.g., clearcutting high lead logging, fishing, hunting, etc. The use of fire in such a manner so as to enhance management objectives. The source of ignition is of no consequence. Only the forethought of the implications is necessary. Examples of use include land clearing, site preparation, type conversion, fuel reduction, and habitat improvement. FOREST RESOURCE - POTENTIAL Timber Range Recreation nities Wildlife Water Esthetics The fiber resource available now or in the future within the planning area. The grass and browse resource available now or in the future within the planning area. The present and future recreation opportu- within the planning area. The wildlife resource, including fish, birds, and animals, available now or in the future within the planning area. ' The water resource available now and in the future within the planning area. The esthetic values existing now and available in the future within the planning area. Wilderness 168 ". . . an area where the earth and its community of life are untrammeled by man . . . . an area of undeveloped Federal land retaining its primeval character and influ- ence . . . generally appears to have been affected primarily by the forces of nature, with the imprint of man's work substantially unnoticeable . . . ." (Wilderness Act of 1964). FIRE MANAGEMENT FACTORS Fire Occurrence Prevention Protection Level Detection Fire Use Fire Economics Fire Effects Rehabili- tation The number and cause of fires occurring within the planning area. concerned with the attempt to number of fires through education, hazard reduction, and fuel Activities reduce the law enforcement, management. The amount of resources, including men, dollars and machinery involved in fire management activities including the activities involved in controlling and extinguishing forest fires. The activities involved in discovering the presence of fires. The intentional application of fire to management activities. The costs and benefits of fire including nonmonetary values. The physical, biological, economic, and other impacts of fire upon the management area and management system. The activities involved in restoring an area to productivity following fire including those measures necessary to avoid accelerated degradation. FIRE BEHAVIOR FACTORS Rate-of- Spread The spread at which the fire advances. Flame Length - The average length of the flame measured along its major axis. Intensity Fuel Volume Fuel Type Time of Year Fire Danger Smoke 169 The heat energy output of the fire after expressed in btu/sec/ft of fire front. The amount of fuel on an area. Often expressed as tons/acre (Oven Dry Wt.). The identifiable association of fuel elements such as species, form size, and arrangement that will cause a predictable rate-of-spread or difficulty of control under specified weather conditions. The time of year such as spring or fall. The probability of ignition, spread, resistance to control, and damage of a fire usually expressed as one or more indexes. The particulate production resulting from the combustion process. APPENDIX D RELEVANCE TREE IDENTIFIER AND PROFILE CODES 170 4. ITEM Region _Forest District Position* APPENDIX D RELEVANCE TREE CODE 1 = 1 2 = 2 10 = 10 W0 = 11 l = 1 etc. as assigned leave blank if NA 1 = 1 etc. as assigned leave blank if NA Supervisor & Ranger Timber Water Range Recreation Wildife Fire Manage. Planning S&PF Other (Specify) 171 \OCDxl mU'lubWNI-J IDENTIFIER AND PROFILE CODES CARD COLUMN 1,2 3,4 NUMBER OF PEI-.12 2 172 CARD ITEM CODE COLUMN Service Time 1 = l 7,8 2 = 2 Enter time in etc F8 to nearest whole year Position Time 0 =.: 6 months 9 l = 1 year Enter time to 2 = 2 years nearest year 9 = 3.9 years Education 8 = eighth grade 10, ll 12 = high school Enter highest 16 = college grade attended etc. Management Problem Situation 12 (Scenarios) Forest-Urban Interface Highly Developed Forest Roadless Area NUMBER OF DIGITS 2 APPENDIX E LIST OF FIRST- AND SECOND-LEVEL ENTRIES IN THE CATEGORY "OTHER" 173 APPENDIX E LIST OF FIRST- AND SECOND-LEVEL ENTRIES IN THE CATEGORY "OTHER" Air Management Animal Control Archeologic History Area (Size) Climate Control Limit Coordination with other Agencies CrOps Cultural History Cultural Resources Damage Potential Economics Ecosystem Integration Endangered Species Endangered Species Habitat Environmental Damage Environmental Effects Esthetics Existing Land Use Patterns Fire Fire Control Policy Food-Agriculture Future Need Hazard Human Occupancy Improvements Protection Information and Education Land Ownership Pattern Land Uses Lightning Location Minerals Minerals Resource 174 Number of People Occupancy Occupancy/Use Open Space People People Use Politics Pollution Productivity Public Reaction Rainfall Recreation Resource Objective Risk Roadless Designation Roads ’ Site Potential Social Social Acceptance Soil Soil Productivity Soil Quality Solitude Special Uses State/Private Suburban Residential Urbanization Use Use Man-Days Use Patterns Visability Wind Zoned Public Use APPENDIX F COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 175 176 _ _ _ _ . _ ~ _ _ coco.—u _ 1~co. . pm.o. . m1~u. . 1oo_. . o1~_. . ~u1~. . ..oo. . n_~_. _ 4¢»o_ _ _ _ _ _ ~ ~ _ ~ ~ ~ ~ _ _ 111°. n _ .ooo. . ~ooo. . mooo. . coco. . 1ooe. . oooo. . sooo. . o_oo. _ .>u_uuam. _ u _ _ awrho _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ . u u . .s1o. u _ nooo. . coco. . coco. . okoo. . coco. . coco. . mmoo. . mooo. _ ua_a _ u _ _ cum—cumuaa _ ~ _ _ _ ~ _ u u _ ~_m.. . _ -oo. . s~oo. . 1~no. . oowo. . ~o~o. . 1ono. . 11.1. . -_o. _ mwo~pura0053uo _ _ u _ _ _ n _ ~ _ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ omoaoa _ _ _»u_ouafi. _ mmuz _ _ u _ zo_p1 _ _ _ oz< uaoboca _ 41cc» ~ auz»o _ names—n _ mo_»uz_mu u an»1r _ us.5g4_x _ -uaoua _ uozaa _ «an:_» _ u._m 41—»zwhoa-uuaaomuu hmuuou .o_n u 2 ~ race up1poz . tact oz.m: . zuaxsz zuamoua «on u4¢

4 .oo 1 cm 1 0a. DMZ—mtou mzo—owm 44¢ «on (~40 1-1 115111 177 _ _ 4 n _ _ ~ _ _ oooo._n _ once. . coke. m1~_. . 111.. o¢m_. . ~o1_. . o1o_. o1nc. . 1-_. . 4<»o» ” _ _ _ _ ~ _ ~ — _ a _ _ ~noo. « _ o . maoo. sooo. . .oco. ~ooo. . nooo. . 1ooo. .ooo. . mooo. _ .>u_ouam. _ _ _ _ mur»o _ _ _ _ ~ ~ ~ ~ — _ mmoo. u _ mooo. . -oo. ~ooo. . m1_o. no~o. . .mdo. . ammo. m1oo. . mc~o. _ roubqbu _ _ ~ _ o4.mcrua _ u _ ~ _ ~ _ _ _ _ omn4. u _ mocc. . ~1—o. on—o. . 45.9. n-o. . n4~o. . o1~o. msoo. . 014°. _ mpuuuum n _ u _ mama _ u _ _ ~ ~ _ _ ~ ~ capo. n _ .ooo. . sooo. m‘_o. . coco. o~.o. . nn_o. . coco. 1noo. . oo_o. _ mo_:ozoou 4 _ _ _ ua_a . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 _ .~ko. u _ .ooo. . o~_o. omoo. . mooo. oo_o. . coso. . 1moo. m1oo. . oboe. _ um: ua_a H _ _ _ _ _ n _ _ _ ~ _ _ -n_. u u mooo. 1 ~o~o. ammo. . a.mc. s04o. . ~o_o. 1 mooo. ~1oo. . node. a zo_»umhwo “ ~ ~ _ ~ . _ _ u _ u _ _ om~_. u _ mooo. . oooo. mono. . oomo. nswo. . 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Nude. n1_oo o-o. mmwo. nuns—— ~ _ u Jqpop u .>u_uuom. «wt—o uq_u cur—aUwaa «go—buaza h2u7w6¢2<3 wuusozouw mwuaau 4<_uov 024 Jaw—“.401 wa—uc;~3 wm«Un~c o~.¢ mhuumz~ PO—mOQm «rscu oz« «304; .raqa Icr_/»za ozc >6040uc ———l—_~~~~—~fl~~~~—_~_—~————_—~~~_—————-‘~—~ _ vaq.u ~ 014 awopuqu _ uva _ — _ _ .~~~~~~~~_—~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~_—_—~~~~_~__—~h_ 181 _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ ~ _ oooo..« _ osoo. . coco. soo_. . coc.. . 050.. . 030.. . o:~_. . mmmo. . oo~_. _ Jcpo» _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ o~oo. » _ o . .ooo. .ooo. . .ooo. . acco. . oooo. . ~ooo. . o . .ooo. _ .»u_uuam. _ _ ~ _ muz»o _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0:9o. n _ nooo. . -oo. .ooo. . ao_o. . ma_o. . on.o. . s_~o. . .coo. . mo_o. _ :o_h<__ _ _ _ u n4.m¢:uz _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ ~ :nm.. a _ hoco. . coco. n¢_o. . mo_o. . ~m~o. . Nome. . o.no. . mooo. . .o_o. _ «puuuuu _ _ _ a ua_u _ _ . _ ~ . _ _ _ _ oooo. u _ coco. . saoo. m:‘o. . .~_o. . n~.o. . 25.0. . .p_o. . .coo. . ac_o. _ ¢u_sozouu _ _ _ ~ ua_u _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ _ . 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I 4 o . onoo. . omwo. . og~o. . omwo. 4omo. . n.4o. . ~4oo. . cowo. 4 ouooo 4 4 4 4 zo440440aa 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 44o4. n 4 o . -oo. . on~o. . o4~o. . oc4o. sowo. . 4ooo. . «goo. . 4o4o. 4 204Izu>uag “ 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4«n4. u 4 o . «coo. . oo~o. . ammo. . 4omo. memo. . «o4o. . mnoo. . mn4o. 4 uuzuaaouuo 4 4 4 4 ua4g 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 . 4 4 4 4 mac4ucg 4 4 44g4ugau4 4 4 a4o2.o 4 com» 4 un»» wxooo> 4 >44m 4 140244 4 o.uaam 4 4zwzoc.z.x 4 4.404 4 :gx40 4 4.01m 4 434g 4 go 4144 4 443g 442g 4 -24424 4 41.4g 4 go 44.x 4 ga4g mac»o.g ac4>.xuo ua4g .m. u z « yaog g4.40a n :aog ¢z4mo n auozoz xuoocau cog w4¢¢p pubocaa wmcau a¢4414m go UO¢uU>¢ 4 20404a acg 04241200 .4.o 44. oIH musmflm APPENDIX J REGION 2, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 203 204 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 H oooo.4u 4 44oo. . 44~o. . n4oa. . 0444. . m444. . oocm. . ammo. . noe4. 4 4c4o4 4 . 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 o~co. u 4 nooo. o o o o . woco. . vooc. . o4oo. o ~ooo. o nooo. 4 4>u4uuam4 4 4 4 4 cuzhc 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 mane. n 4 o . ~ooe. . 44cc. . 40cc. . 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Nmoo. . 0040. . 4440. . 0040. . r~00. . 0440. . 4000. . 0000. 4 004102004 4 4 4 4 0040 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4404. n 4 0 . 4400. . 0040. . 4040. . 0040. . 4040. . c440. . ~000. . 0440. 4 4v: 4040 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0-4. n 4 0 . 0~40. . c400. . omwo. . 0040. . 0440. . 4000. . 0400. . 0040. 4 204400440 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0004. n 4 0 . 0000. . 4000. . 0000. . ~4m0. . 00~0. . 0440. . 0~00. . 40~0. 4 4w>44 4 4 4 4 2044044000 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4004. n 4 0 . 0000. . 0000. . 0000. . ~0~0. . m4~0. . 4400. . 0400. . -40. 4 204.zm>000 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0004. u 4 0 o 0400. . 40~0. . a~00. . mcmc. . mowo. o 0040. . 0~00. . m¢40. 4 wuzwauzuuo 4 4 4 4 0040 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4. 4 4 v0c4040 4 4 4>44040w4 4 4 040200 4 0044 4 4044 4 41:40) 4 >44m 4 140244 4 aqmanm 4 4zw1wc4xw¢ 4:40 .00 u z o 1004 040400 0 1000 0240: ~ 100102 1440000 004 44004 4000000 mvouc 0044140 40 ~0¢0u>¢ N 20404a acu 04241300 «4(o 441 0:0 musmwm 208 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 “ 0000.4. 4 0 . ~004. . 0004. . 00u4. . 0004. . 0404. . 04~4. . ~004. 4 40404 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0~00. n 4 0 o 0 . 0 . 0400. . 0 . 0 . 0 . 0 4 44440400. 4 4 4 4 0414c 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4000. u 4 0 . m400. . ~000. . 4000. . «040. . 0000. . 0400. . 0000. 4 4044 4 4 4 4 0404000000 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0044. u 4 0 . 0440. . 0000. . 0040. . 00~0. . ~0~0. . 04~0. . 0040. 4 000440000 4 4 4 4 424240020: 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4~04. u 4 0 . 0000. . 0440. . 0440. . 4440. . 0440. . 4040. . 0040. 4 004sczcuu 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 «40004 4 4 0004. u 4 0 . 0400. . 04~0. . 0040. . 00~0. . 00N0. . 0040. . 4040. 4 404000 020 4 4 4 4 400444400 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 ” ~000. - 4 0 . 0400. . 0040. . 0040. . 4440. . 4040. . 0000. . 0040. 4 4044044: 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 40.4040 4 4 4000. u 4 0 . 0000. . 4440. . 4000. . 0000. . ~000. . 4~00. . 0040. 4 020 4 4 4 4 0404024 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0004. n 4 0 . 0000. . 0440. . ~040. . 0000. . 4~40. . ~040. . N040. 4 2040004 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 02:04 4 4 ¢~m4. n 4 0 o n-0. . cwwo. . 0m40. . -00. . 0040. o 0-0. . ~040. 4 cz0 4 4 4 4 00044 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 . 4 41000 4 4 40~4. u 4 0 . 0040. . m040. . 0040. . 4040. . 4040. . 4040. . 0440. 4 ncc4m>ra 4 4 4 4 920 4004040 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 040004 4 4 44440000. 4 0002 4 4 4 4 20440 4 4 4 020 0004004 4 40404 4 04:40 4 -10044) 4 00440x404 4 0440: 4 0444044: 4 -00040 4 00200 4 040144 4 4440 4044zw4oaomuatomwa 404004 .00 u z m :004 440400 4 xaou 0240: 0 «40:32 audacaa an: u4m¢4 buaocaa mmoau 44¢-441404 .40 “44.44049; N 2040.444 no.4 0.4241700 14.15 .4144 mun 9304.4 209 . _ _ _ _ u _ _ . oooo._n — pcoo. . m—oo. ono_. . oso.. . .00.. . ooe_. . _c__. capo. . on_—. _ 4<»o» _ p _ _ _ _ u . _ u _ _ _ _ _ ceco. n _ o . oooo. ~_oc. . n_oo. . nooo. . nooo. . o o . ~ooo. _ .>u.uuam. _ _ _ _ aux»o ~ _ _ _ H _ _ _ _ _ no~.. . _ ocoo. o owoo. oooo. . ¢~_o. . ~emc. . ~_mc. . nr~o. smoo. . .a.o. _ :o_»<»_ _ _ _ _ n4_¢¢an ~ ~ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ osw_. u _ o_oo. . nsoo. n_.o. . so_a. . cp~c. . o.no. . ¢_no. .o—c. . oo~o. _ uwcuuuw _ _ _ _ ua_u _ _ _ _ ~ _ ~ _ _ _ co... u _ nooo. . once. o~_o. . _n_c. . name. . onwo. . o-c. coco. . om_o. _ vvupsczcuu _ _ _ _ uq_k _ p _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ . o~o~. u _ o . no.9. mm_o. . ¢~_o. . ns_o. . so_o. . o._c. coco. . mooc. _ ma: ua_u “ u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ na-. . _ coco. . -_o. o¢~o. . so~o. . o.~o. . mo~o. . coco. .aoo. . on.e. _ :c.»uu»wc _ u _ _ u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ — oqcn. n _ o o o~cco «owe. o o-o. . cowc. . come. o .c—o. nwcc. . ~o_o. ~ 4w>u4 _ _ _ _ zo~yuwpczn _ _ _ _ _ u _ _ _ H no.—. I u a o o_co. ¢o~o. . r_~o. o ~vmc. . cn~o. . 04cc. n_oo. . no_o. ~ :c_»2w>uaa — _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ mo_.. n _ n_oo. . o—oo. ~o~o. . ¢-o. . ~cmo. . mouo. . m¢oo. o.co. . ao_o. _ uuzmaazuuo _ — u _ harm _ _ ~ _ _ _ _ u _ _ u u _ _ vac»u¢u — a .>u—uwam. _ awoz ~ ua>p — wx340> _ >»_m I—ozwg a Oawaaw _ bzu,wcc1w¢ wank .mn u 2 c xmou u»¢>oa r rack ozpm: n uwcznz zwgacao «on waadb hunccaa mmcau aca—tum he wodaw>¢ ~ 20.0mm acu owzyazou «pa: 44¢ mnh musmwm APPENDIX K REGION 3, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 210 211 _ u _ _ u a _ _ ” oooo._n “ ~o~o. . oo_o. . o-~. . ccc.. . ..n.. . ~m-. . a.mo. . ~ooo. _ 4¢pop _ _ _ _ u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ .coo. a _ nooo. . o . coco. . pace. . nooo. . 0.90. . sooo. . coco. _ .>u_uuam. . ~ — a awxpo _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ nono- u - mooo. o o_oo. . nooo. o mace. . nsoo. . «moo. . onoo. . scoo. — uznu — _ _ _ oum~aumuua _ ~ _ _ ~ _ _ _ _ _ ~co.. n _ onoo. . o_oo. . ~cno. . ~m~o. . m_~o. . oe¢o. . ¢:_o. . ~:_o. _ mmu—~u¢ma _ _ _ _ .zuxu0¢zxn¢¢ _ _ ooua. u _ coco. o o~oo. o m-o. o ~owo. . owuo. . m~noo o -oo. . «moo. _ Ico~n>ro _ _ _ _ ozc >coaowo _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ a _ . _ — mwuaou a _ .»u_uuan. _ mmuz u u u _ zo_»¢ — _ ~ 92¢ ¢a0p0¢u _ 4¢~0p _ zmzhe ~ uzwoa_s a mu_»uxpmw _ aw»¢) — mm~4o4—n — uuzuua — uoz¢a _ aunzm» ~ u»_m 4¢~pzwboanuua:omwa hammou .om u 2 ~ :20; u_¢»am . :aou oz_m: ~ zunxaz xuamoza {on wgcdb pubcoza mmoao C¢J~8~m no u¢¢ n 20—Dwa com owz~xtou (pta 44¢ HIM musmwm 212 _ u _ _ _ — _ _ " cocoon: “ once. o oosc. h—nn. . c.o.. . cmo_. . .mm_. o ow—no o oono. o on~_. — 4¢»o» ~ ~ — _ u _ _ _ _ _ _ — ~moeo I u e . .~noo. coco. . ccoo. o o . oooo. o o o o o coco. u _>L~uwaw. — u n _ amrho _ — . _ _ _ _ _ _ — coco. n u nooo. o .Noo. -oo. . oc_o. . "one. o ~:.o. o mm~o. o omoo. . omoo. _ zo~p¢- — _ _ _ n4_mu4 ~ _ _ _ 70—»cwpoam ~ _ _ _ _ u _ . _ _ hoon. - — acoo. o anoo. osco. . .occ. o ~o~o. . «one. o o—_o. o ~_oo. . ~o~oo _ zoupzw>mta _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ _ — _ _ a — .ne.. I u mooo. . coco. oo~¢. . o_~o. . oo.o. . ~o.o. . sooo. . :_oc. . am_o. _ uuzmaasuuo _ _ ~ _ mama _ _ u _ _ a _ — _ _ _ _ u u _ wackuau _ _ .>u_uuam. u muoz _ ua>~ _ usago> _ >~_m _ zboqu _ camxam . pzuruo¢z¢xwm uznu .cm u z o tack up¢poa n xaou oz_m= . rumxaz xuaxcxa com UA¢¢p buzocaa mmoau 144—x—w no wccxw>< n 2o—Owa com owl—ozou ¢~¢o 44¢ NIM Guzman 213 _ u u _ _ . _ _ “ coco... “ _‘_o. . coma. . smn.. . -p.. . non.. . .no_. co... . oooN. ~ 4¢»ou _ ~ _ _ _ _ _ a a — . _ . oo.o. a _ ~ooo. . coco. . nooo. . p.99. . oooo. . ~noo. mnoo. . o:oo. ~ .>u_uuam. _ _ _ ~ awzho _ _ _ _ _ _ u _ _ _ cumo. u _ coco. . n_oo. . sooa. . ~moo. . ~n_o. . omoo. coco. . .o.o. ~ uz_u _ _ _ . ouc_aumuaa _ _ _ . . _ . _ g _ coon. n . ncoo. . coco. . __~c. . chmo. . n¢~o. . eoNo. mawo. . wane. _ muo.»u«aa _ _ _ ~ hzw:uo¢zxa«a _ _ o_n_. - . m_oo. . coco. . o_~o. . oc~o. . mn.o. . on~o. ~m_o. . on~o. _ 'co_m>xa _ ~ _ . ~ 02¢ >oo4°uo _ u . u _ ~ u a n _ u — ~ — mwuaou _ _ .>u_uuam. . mmuz . _ . _ zo_»¢ . . az¢ maopu¢m _ 4( n zo—owm con owl—mtou ¢p¢o 44¢ 4¢~pzuhoalu0020mua pmuaou — 110k @z—m: mum musmwm N IUQIDZ thmcaa 214 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ " oooo.‘n - onoo. . oomo. _~o-. o onmuo o nos—o o omo—o o conu. meno. o nn_~. _ 4¢pob ~ _ _ u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ _ o~oo. - u o o o~oo. o o o o o o o o o o o o _ .>u~uuam. _ _ ~ _ awz»o _ _ ~ _ ~ ~ . _ _ _ :~o_. u _ pooo. . oooo. smoo. . ~o~o. . o.~o. . o~.o. . s-o. ccoo. . omoo. _ 7o__<~_ . _ _ _ n4_¢¢xua _ o _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ onm.. - . oooo. . cooo. on.o. . oo_o. . oo~o. . -~o. . .~no. eooo. . .c.o. _ mbuuuuw _ _ _ _ ua_u _ _ _ ~ _ _ _ _ _ _ m:oo. u _ oooo. . oooo. ~n_o. . -_o. . os_o. . no.o. . n~_o. «moo. . ...o. _ munyozouw _ _ _ _ uc.u . . ~ _ n — a _ _ u co-o a ~ ~ooo. . oo_o. soao. . ~o~oo o ~¢~o. o :9.o. . .cgo. asoo. . o.~o. n u¢3 wzuu “ — ~ ~ _ _ _ o _ _ _ _ " o~n_. - _ o . ~o~o. no~o. . no.o. . o_~o. . -.o. . oooo. c~oo. . :m.o. _ zo_»uu~uo M . _ a _ u _ ~ _ _ _ _ n~¢_. - _ ~ooo. . o~oo. ~ono. . oo~o. . .mNo. . mmNo. . m4.o. .noo. . ma~o. ~ 4u>u4 _ ~ ~ — zoupuwpoza _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ” o~m~. a _ nooo. . scoo. .sno. . no~o. . sc~o. . omwo. . m~_o. swoo. . om.o. _ zoopzu>uma ~ _ o _ u _ — _ _ _ _ _ _ moo_. u _ sooo. . o~oo. c—~o. . oo.o. . oo.o. . o~_o. . msoo. o_oo. . ¢__o. _ uuzwaaouuo _ _ _ _ ua_a _ _ _ ~ _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ . _ macpuau _ _ .»u.uuam. . :wozqo _ u¢u> _ ua>» _ u234o> . >p_m zpozug . oarum um_u .oo u z c sac; upcuo: n xaou oz_n: ~ zwmxaz :qucan con wamdb pUDOOca wmcmu adautum no wa¢ n Zo—oum mom owl—c100 (~40 44¢ vim musmwh 215 0 u _ u . u 0 0 “ oooo.~n “ c:—0. . on~_. . m:¢-. . coca. . 0e-. . comm. . :0~—. . n30—o u J¢»0» W 0 0 ~ 0 o _ _ _ ~ _ -oo. - ~ .ooo. . -oo. . mooo. . o_oo. . w.oo. . oooo. . oooo. . o_oo. 0 .>u.uu1m. 0 _ _ ~ auzpo 0 _ . ~ _ u _ _ _ _ coco. - ~ oooo. . nooo. . pooo. . oooo. . .n~o. . mmoo. . osoo. . .~.o. _ 0:0; 0 _ 0 _ ouzoaumuma — _ ~ _ _ ~ 0 ~ _ 0 mon_. a _ omoo. . o¢_o. . ~o~o. . 30.0. . no.0. . 00_o. . ooNo. . -~o. ~ wuu_»0¢aa _ 0 ~ _ 02020042¢x _ ~ ~ _ 0 0 ~ _ _ _ oooo. a _ nooo. . on.o. . oooo. . ~._o. . omoo. . «0.0. . maao. . s~_o. _ mu-sozouu M _ ~ 0 ~ ~ _ . u _ . _ muuxou 0 _ no~—. I.— ~ooo. . cowo. . ¢m~o. o on_0. . 00.0. o ncwo. . s¢~o. . oomo. _ 4¢_uom 02¢ _ _ u u 4¢u~p~400 _ _ _ _ _ 0 . _ _ _ _Joo. - _ oooo. . «moo. . m~.o. . o:_o. . o~.o. . _o_o. . “poo. . ~a_o. 0 uc_504~n ~ _ a _ 0 _ _ _ 0 _ 0 _ wmqumuo _ _ nomo. u _ ~ooo. . ~coo. . .0oo. . mnoo. . ‘coo. . emoo. . omoo. . n~_o. 0 02¢ . ~ ~ _ mbuwmzu u _ _ 0 _ _ ~ ~ ~ _ so... u . nnoo. . oooo. . on.o. . o-o. . .moo. . me_o. . ~m_o. . oo~o. _ 20~momw a u u _ u _ . _ 0 _ _ _ ¢20¢u _ _ one“. u — ~_oo. o 05.0. . mo~o. . oo—o. . ao~o. . onwo. . o¢~o. . 0-o. _ 02¢ n _ _ _ ¢aoau o n . 0 _ _ _ _ >2a¢m _ — omm_. n _ n_o0. . ~.~o. . 0‘00. . Nomo. . «0.0. . oo~o. . no~o. . os—o. — uc0~n>za ~ ~ _ . _ 02¢ >ooaowo _ _ _ ~ ~ _ _ _ ~ _ — ~ ~ 0 _ muuacu _ _ .»u_uuan. _ mnmz _ ~ _ _ 20.0. 0 _ _ 07¢ vaopu< n 20—owm mom DMZ—cxou (p40 44¢ mIM musmwm 216 _ n 0 . _ _ 0 ~ “ oooo._I a o . Icon. . econ. . ~co_. . _I~_. . o_o_. . -n~. . Ammo. . o-_. _ 4¢~00 _ — u 0 ~ ~ _ n u u . ~ ~ _ «~00. I 0 o . c~oo. . o . o o 0 . 0 . 0 . o o o u .>u~uuam. u 0 a _ auzpo _ _ ~ ~ 0 _ u _ ~ 0 o~o—. I u 0 o n—oo. o mmco. . no~0. . no.0. . :nuo. . nm~o. . snoo. . souo. _ 20~»¢»~ ~ ~ _ _ u0_m¢2um ~ 0 0 _ _ _ u _ _ u com—o I — 0 o 0000. o ~n~0. . no.0. . oc~0. . ns~0. . «.00. . oo—o. . c-0. — Vbuwuuw — _ ~ _ ua.u ~ ~ ~ _ 0 _ ~ ~ 0 _ oo~_. I ~ 0 . onoo. . «0.0. . oc_o. . os~o. . ~_~o. . oo~o. . snoo. . no.0. _ wouaozouw u 0 ~ 0 wa0u _ n n _ _ ~ _ a _ “ mnou. I ~ 0 o msoo. . ~n_0. . s-0. . ~o_0. . o0~o. o nc_0. . 0000. . ouuo. — uv: wean " u _ _ _ ~ 0 _ u _ _ — ecu-o I u 0 o n~uo. . ~c~0. . 00.0. o 00.0. o wo~0. o ~0~0. . 0~00. . ~o_0. ~ zouuuubuo u 0 _ n _ o a _ _ _ _ _ 0 ~ moon. I u 0 . o~00. o so~0. . oc~0. . hswo. . s-0. . ~¢_o. . ~¢00. . 00.0. a 4w>u4 — ~ 0 _ zoopuuboaa _ _ _ ~ _ u _ _ _ “ sow—o I — 0 o 0.00. o 0n~0o . mc~0. . ~o~0. . oc~o. o @000. . o—00. . -_0. — 20002u>w¢n “ _ _ _ u u _ u u u 0 _ con—o I a 0 o 0000. o mm~0. . cowo. . mn~0. . ~o~0. o hsoo. . onoo. . .4—0. a uuzwamzuuo _ _ u n 0200 _ _ _ ~ _ _ u 0 _ u _ _ a u _ _ mac»uu_uwam. n u «~02¢0 — a¢u> _ w0>p _ usage) n >h~m u zpozwq. — 0¢uaam _ hzuzuo¢2¢2 ~ 4¢~0~ _ aux»0 _ uxoxm _ 02.0 _ no 02.» _ 4w:u _ 40:0 0 uzupz_ 0 uzoau _ go who: ~ wa_u . com I 2 m¢0»u¢u 20_>¢2wo ua_u Q ICOK thboa n tack OZ—MD n zwmxaz twamoaa com U4¢¢p bUDooaa mmoau C¢J~t~m to UO¢zw>< n zo—owa men owl—c100 ¢~¢o 44¢ mum musmwm APPENDIX L REGION 4, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 217 218 . . . . . . . . . 0000..n . 0000. . n~.0. . 000.. . c.0w. . pp«.. . ~0¢~. . ocoo. . 0n... . .000. . u . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.00. n . «000. . V000. . .000. . .000. . .000. . .000. . .ooo. . «000. . ....Lmam. . ~ _ ~ nzxpc . . . . . . . . . . 0000. u . .000. . 0000. . «000. . 0000. . 0..0. . .000. . rvoo. . ouoo. . 01.0 . . _ _ aka—ouvuaa — . . . . . . . . . 5.... u . 0000. . 0.00. . memo. . «<00. . .o~0. . 0.00. . 0~.o. . 30.0. . v.0..001a . . . _ .zuywc¢z¢y . . . . . . . . . . ..00. u . ..00. . 0000. . 00.0. . momo. . 0000. . c000. . 0000. . 4900. . v0.2ozoum . . . . . p . . . p _ . uugacu . . «00.. u . p.00. . 0.00. . .omc. . cano. . ocmo. . .Nmo. . ...0. . no.0. . .¢.c0m 07¢ . . . . .0L....0a . . . . . . . . . . as... u . 0000. . «.00. . .000. . 9.00. . 00.0. . ..00. . ~..0. . m~.0. . mn.uc..r . p . . . . . . . . . . umcuw.c . . camc. u . «000. . 0000. . 0m.o. . ucco. . «(00. . ~..o. . «V00. . ~n.o. . cro . 0 _ . Vbuuvz~ — . . . . . . . . . pm... u . 1000. . 0.00. . V000. . 0000. . 0.00. . -mo. . c~.0. . 00.0. . :0.w0:u . . . . . . . . . . . . ¢20¢u . . 000.. u . 0000. . 0.00. . msmo. . oqno. . 00~0. . mmmo. . 50.0. . 00.0. . , 07¢ . p _ ~ 0004u — . . . u . . . >740: . . sm~.. u . .000. . emco. . 0.00. . cano. . 0..0. . «000. . 0000. . 0000. . -cc.a>xa . . . . 020 >00.0u0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . VILacu . . .>0.0wan. . mmwz . . . . 20... . . . 0?. 000.000 . .chc» . yurpc . nauc..r . mu..02.wu . 00.0: . mu..0..y . numuua . w¢2¢a . sums.» . up.v 00.02uboanuuorovuo 0000:. .cu u z w lac. u>¢hoa. — 1003 c7.r: . zucsaz zwdmcao ocu 0.00. pu:ccaa vanu 004.2.v no uo¢nm>¢ c zo—oua 0cm 002—c:ou ¢p¢0 44¢ Hun mudmflm 219 . . . _ . — _ . . 0000..I . ..00. . 0.00. 000.. . 000.. . osv.. . n~w.. . 000.. . 0.00. . 000.. . .¢.0. . . . . . _ . . . . . . . ~ 0000. u u 0 . 0000. 0 . 0 . 0 . 0 . 0 . 0 . 0 . .>u.uuam. . p . . aux»: . . . . . . _ _ . 0 0.0.. u . 0000. . .000. .000. . $0.0. . 0..0. . .m.0. . armo. . 0000. . 00.0. . :0..0.. . . _ . 10.00100 . . . . . . . . . . ¢m~.. n . o . 0~.0. ...o. . .w.o. . 00.0. . ~.~0. . ammo. . 0000. . no.0. . v.00000 . u . . 03.0 . 0 . . . . _ . . . 0w00. I _ 0 . 0000. 0..0. . «000. . rv.0. . m¢.0. . 0..0. . xncc. . 00.0. . ¢0.:02000 . p — — no.0 — 0 . . . — . . . n 0000. u . o . 0..0. 0000. . 00.0. . 00.0. . m~.o. . .000. . 0000. . ~000. . 0.: 0a.. . . . . . . _ . _ . . .. . b 020.. u — 0 . 00.0. _n~0. . 00.0. . m¢.0. . ~0.0. . 0000. . 0000. . 0.~0. . 20.000000 _ p . . . . . . . . . . . . . 00... u . o . 0000. .000. . .000. . ..00. . mpwo. . 00.0. . 0000. . oamo. . .000. . p . . 00.000.030 . 0 . . . p — . . n 000.. u . o . 0000. 00:0. . 0000. . 0000. . omwo. . .000. . «~00. . ~0~0. . rc..2u>uzo . . . . . — . . . . . . . w-.. u . nooo. . .000. 0:00. . cvwo. . 0000. . 00.0. . 0000. . omoo. . 00.0. . 00-000.000 . u u — 03.0 p . . . . p . . . . . . . . . wnc00¢u . . .>0.00a¢. . 000200 . 000> . 00>» . 02000> . >..v . 2.020. . 00000m . 020200¢2¢a — .¢»c> . ouxpc . 02020 00.0 . I: I2.» . .uzu — .u:u . -2002. . 020.0 . 00 00.0 . no.0 00000¢u ucp>0202 00.0 .00 u 2 c 2000 0papoa m 2000 02.0: . 000202 20.0000 con UJCGb hutocaa vvcau add—tum kc KO¢30>¢ a 2c.cua acu 002.0200 ¢~¢0 ..¢ NIH musmwm 220 . . . 0 . 0000..» . 0000. .o .000. o 000.. o 000.. . 000.. . mn0.. . 00m.. . . . . . . . «000. n . ~000. . 0000. . 0000. . 0000. . 0000. . ~000. . «000. . . . . . . . 0000. u . 0000. . 0.00. . 0000. . .000. . «0.0. . .000. . 00.0. 0 . . . . . . 000.. u . 0000. . 0000. . 00.0. . 0000. . 0000. . 0000. . 0:00. 0 . . . . . . «00.. u . 0000. . .~00. . 0000. . .000. . 00.0. . 00.0. . 00.0. . . . . . . . «c... u . ..00. . 0000. . 00.0. . .0.0. . 00.0. . 0000. . 00.0. . . . . . . 0 0000. u . 0000. . 0000. . 00.0. . 00.0. . on.0. . 00.0. . ...0. . . 0 . . . 0 0000. n . 0000. . 0.00. . 0000. . 0000. . 0000. . ~0.0. . m000. . . . . . . 0 00... u . ..00. . 0N00. . 00.0. . 0.00. . «000. . 00.0. . 00.0. 0 . . . . . . 00m.. u . 0000. . 0400. . 00.0. . 0000. . 0000. . mamc. . .m~0. 0 . . . . . 0 0.0.. u . 1000. o «000. . (0.0. . 0:00. . «0.0. . vane. . 00.0. . . 0 . . . . . . 0 . . . . .00.u0ar. . 0002 . . . . 20.00 . . 040C» . :0I0c ~ I:.C0.J . wu.0010¢0 . 0000) 0 w0.404~1 n luxuwo . LcZaa — . . . . «00.. . 40000 . . . . . . . «000. . 200.0000. . . 00100 . . . . . 00.0. . 01.0 . . 000.000030 . . . . . «000. . 000.00013 . — hZKSBCCZd: — . . . . cmmc. . vu.:crouw . . . . . . v00300 . «000. . .0.L¢m :zq . — 400.0.400 . . . . . V7.0. . 0..03..r . . . . . . 00000.0 . nn~0. . 0:0 . . V0va;. . . . . . 0000. . :c.voz0 . . . . . _ 07:00 . 0.«0. . 070 . . 0104. . . 0 . .1300 . ..«0. . nrr.r>11 . . 020 >00.00c . . 0 _ J00360 _ 02¢ u0C0000 nw£1_» — by»- 40.»Z0»oac0un:omuc hwwacu .10 a 2 ~ 2000 000000 . 1000 c200: ~ «00:02 xugacao 000 0.000 0030030 00000 000.2.0 00 000au>< c 7c.o0n 000 002.0100 «000 .40 min musmwm 221 _ _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ _ ooco..u _ scoc. . coco. . ~c¢_. . onc.. . csc.. . oom.. . ¢v~.. oerc. m-_. _ 4¢~¢p _ u _ p _ p _ — _ p _ _ _ — o~oco u — o o o o o o «coo. . neoc. . nooo. . c.oo. o Nooo. ~ .>u_uuuw. _ r _ _ auzhc _ p _ _ _ — ~ _ — _ smc~. u _ ncco. . ewoo. . nsoo. . a_~o. . co_c. . c¢_c. . m_~c. oaoc. sooo. _ ;c_~¢»_ _ _ _ ~ od_aqrua _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ ~ » n4n_. n u c o wooo. o coco. . rc—o. . onnc. . x—mc. . s¢mc. nmao. wage. _ apLuuuw — _ _ _ unuu — _ _ _ — _ _ _ _ . coco. u _ o . «soc. . c__o. o qr_o. . m¢_c. . _o_o. . np_c. coco. o4_c. _ wu—zczouw ~ — — ~ uQ—k _ _ _ p _ — _ _ _ » n_m~. u u o . nn-o. o ~¢_co . U¢_c. o acme. . c_mc. o c¢~c. x0c¢. me_c. ~ wu: uo—u _ » _ ~ _ _ _ — _ ~ _ n _ . n_~_. n _ o . ~c_o. . s_~o. . »¢_o. . n¢_c. . 4n_o. . ca_c. ~>cc. nm_c. _ roybgubwc _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ p p _ _ _ _ -¢_. u _ o . oaoo. . meo. . o_«c. . ~vmc. . ammo. . sa_o. oooc. n_~c. _ 4w>w4 _ _ _ _ :o—pgupoan _ p p — p _ h — _ — 4¢r_. u — o . once. o a_n¢. o (sac. . Home. o a—mo. o oc—c. mace. cc—o. u 7c..2w>ua1 u p _ _ w _ _ w _ _ _ _ _ » «o~_. u _ mcoo. . ecco. . ms~o. . armo. . .qwc. . .cmo. . moot. 04cc. 0¢_c. _ wu:uuo:uuo _ h _ u 3.7; — _ . p . p _ _ . _ h _ ~ _ wrcpuu_uuax. _ _ auczuc _ nag) a an)» _ u234c> _ >»_v xpozwq cquxOM ~ ~2w:u¢¢z¢x . aqpc» _ ouxpc ~ mxozu _ uz_u _ me uz_» _ Juzu _ 4w2u _ u2upz_ micau no uhcw _ un»u .c: u 2 o VQCK uhchoa n 1305 GZ—m: machccu oc_>c1wa m:_u N IwQIDZ thacao con w4aa» bu:ccaa vvcau aca_z_w uo wcqau>< a 2c.cwa acu ouz»530c «vac 44¢ via musmwm 222 _ . _ _ — ~ _ oooc..u _ race. up... . «r... . mcp.. . aoe.. . m_n_. . can_. . .55.. — Jqpc_ _ _ _ _ ~ _ — _ _ » s_co. u — mcco. .ooc. . ~occ. o ~ccc. o .oco. o nooo. . :coo. . coco. _ .>u_uwum. — — — ouxbc _ . _ p — _ . .eco. u — coco. pmco. . croo. . «sco. . mc.o. . occo. . ¢«_o. . :_.o. — u1_k p _ _ emz.auJuxo _ _ _ _ _ h . ~xc.. u _ rccc. mo.o. . .o_o. . .pno. . r.mc. . ¢z_c. . o-o. . cnmc. ~ vmg_ku«xa p _ _ p2usuc1ncCJCmc _ _ . ~ — _ _ p p _ p _ _ vugqcu _ _ .yu.c;a¢. mm»: ~ . u _ zouhc _ u _ oz. anewoqu . dqpc» » zuxpc named—x ~ mu_»mr»uu _ ow»< a zc—cuo ecu ouzpa:ou <>co J;« v: n mwataz IUchau mug musmwm |bFIFE—hu—~—.—_——~_—~—_~»—~—_'—o—D—’fl_—_>Dun—hr»C-OI'DIO-Fl.bpj—v. 223 _ _ _ _ — _ _ _ ” cocc._u _ nooc. . sumo. onc_. . «cr_. . __c_. . mnm~. . -~_. . cncc. . .np_. _ days. ~ _ . _ — — h _ . _ _ . — ence. n — a o c o o c . neoc. . coco. o mooo. . o . Noce. _ .»u_Luow. _ u — ~ warhc _ _ _ _ _ _ u _ _ p smmc. u _ :ccc. . .acc. mace. . ¢p_o. . _¢~c. . oq.c. . s>_c. . :aac. . nocc. _ rc_»¢»_ w _ _ _ n..a«1ux.. _ — _ _ b _ _ w — scn—o u u o . asco. -_c. o ~m~c. . c.«c. . owmc. . ms~c. . m_.c. . mo_c. _ Lacuuuw _ p _ p ufi—u — » ~ » ~ ~ _ _ _ — mnoe. n _ e . mcoo. nm_o. . ~__o. . ov_c. . m:_o. . po_c. . 14cc. . ~m_¢. _ r;.rczcuw _ u — » ui~u — . _ _ _ — ~ . _ u oa-o u _ o . acoo. ~o_o. . no_o. . ¢a_c. . «owe. . m«_c. . .cgc. . m¢_c. _ uL: w3_u _ _ _ > _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ h » mnnu. u _ o . ~o~o. -~o. . «o_c. . ~a_c. . o~_c. . cm_c. . (ace. . ca_c. ._ 7:.»Lu.mc w _ y _ _ u _ _ _ — . a p » oc¢_. u _ c . ocoe. mowo. . «.Nc. . mrnc. . mmwo. . cu_c. . ogcc. . .nmc. _ 4m>w4 . ~ » _ ;o_»Lu»cun — ~ _ _ — _ _ p _ H ~xn_. u _ o . meco. ammo. . rxmo. . .nwc. . m~nc. . pace. . cwcc. . ow_c. _ zc_.zu>u7; _ — ~ _ p _ ~ _ p — _ _ . m~¢.. u _ ncco. . coco. ~ono. . Vsmo. . mmnc. . x_mc. . ~_~o. . pace. . oc_r. _ wuzuoazuur _ p ~ — u~._u — _ _ _ . _ » ~ _ _ _ p _ _ u _ farpgcu _ _ .>u~uwar. _ mwozco u cam» _ w0>h _ u1340> . >»_¢ p Ipc:u. _ oqwaur . hzusucazqz . Jqpc» _ auxpc _ wxoxm ea.» . uc ux_» _ Ju:u _ gut“ . -2u»2_ _ ua‘uu . to khan _ up.u maopgcu oc_>¢xkr wa.u .om u z e 1&0; whapoa r xoou czpv: p :uaxnz :mgacao aou u;u<» huacccn vvcag a.4_:_v go maczu>¢ 4 zepoua acu ouzpaacu ¢>¢c 44c mun musmfim APPENDIX M REGION 5, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 224 225 _ — _ ~ _ n _ _ ” cooo.~u — Ncoo. . ammo. . sc-. o pa¢.. . .swq. . oo4~. . pace. . on... _ J<»o» " u , _ h — p _ u _ u _ » nnoo. u — o o nooo. o hooc. o moco. . ~ooo. o coco. o coco. . coco. — .>u~uuom. _ u n . — aux»: _ — ~ ~ _ _ _ ~ ~ — mace. u _ Ncoc. o -c0o o scoc. o rmoo. . 0o_c. o noco. . omoo. . ~ccc. p uo_u _ — u — can—oumwmo _ _ _ a _ — _ _ _ » cucu- I _ ecoo. o o¢c0o o o_nc. o smmo. o wowo. o onno. o QN_Co . ca—co — va~pu_4cn p — ~ _ — p u _ . p n~n~o u — 00cc. 9 m~ooo 0 «one. o _h«e. o 50.9. o more. o 9009. . s:~o. — wo—uCJ_) ~ — — _ _ u — ~ _ _ _ _ umawm_c u u Nch. u — Ncoo. o unoc. o n~.o. o omoo. o ssoo. o Nacc. o (rec. o mn—c. ~ czq — — _ _ v»ngz. _ _ _ _ u p — u _ — co... u _ m_oo. . o~oo. . _o_o. . more. . ”moo. . ~a~e. . o._c. . o¢_o. _ .c_¢cau _ n _ a _ p ~ ~ _ p u — <7:roqo _ ~ coo—o u — coco. 0 Once. o «owe. o Oono. . moco. o wowc. o cfioOo . a_~o. ~ acr~m>xo _ w _ _ c2c >cc;0uc » p _ _ p ~ ~ ~ — u u — — _ — sumacu _ _ .>L_Uuan. _ mmuz _ u _ _ zo~pq _ u _ crc uncbuqu — J¢ho> — rut»: — Iawca_) — MU—pwxumw u awhdx — wu—464~3 — luxuua — weld; _ owxvuh — uh~J lal-"----'--'---l-lv-"' I‘ 4a-pzu»caouga:omuo pwuacu .nu u 2 ~ Icon mb4uoa ~ xaou cz.m: w amaxaz xwaacan com wJaqp puzccaa vmoog a<4~z_m uc uc¢ w z:_Owa acu aux—«vac <~u~uwnm. u p _ ~ ouxpc _ _ — _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ mmoo. u _ .~oe. . owoo. ocoo. . mw_c. . ..nc. . xm_o. . ~c~c. mace. . no_c. w :c.»«—_ _ — _ ~ n4_a¢xua _ _ _ k _ — u — ~ — c~m—. u — 4.09. . mn~o. oo_o. o ~c_c. o senc. o -~o. o muwc. cocc. . np_c. u upcmuuu _ _ _ n wn_u _ p _ ~ _ ~ . h _ _ cmeo. - _ coco. . mceo. oo_o. . «ace. . er_c. . mc_o. . (coo. smco. . m-o. u vu_:crouu _ ~ _ _ wo~u ~ _ _ u _ u . _ _ p case. a _ .coe. . _n_e. nmoo. . pooo. . nc.o. . o__o. . mcoo. «woo. . .aco. _ mu: uo~u _ p _ ~ _ _ ~ ~ _ ~ _ p _ w as... u _ nooo. . po.c. o_~o. . ss_c. . m4_c. . owyo. . .coc. cecc. . sm.c. _ 2chpaupwc “ _ _ a _ — _ p _ _ ~ _ soo.. n — mcoo. . ~noo. keno. . acme. . orac. o oewo. o ow.c. sooo. o ~o~o. _ 4u>u4 _ p p _ zo_»uwpcon _ _ ~ ~ — _ _ _ _ _ mns_. u _ m_oo. . ~moo. «Nae. . come. . mmmo. . om~a. . oc.o. cacc. . .~.c. _ :c..zu>waa _ h _ _ u p _ _ p u — p p p ¢o~_. n . mooc. . mace. mo~o. . eo_o. . wmmc. . a~_c. . m_.c. oaoc. . ss_c. h muruaazuuo _ u _ , _ uo~u u _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ . ~ ~ _ _ ~ racyu.u — _ .>u_uuav. _ muozp . w1240> _ >»_¢ xpczua _ cauaom _ pzmch«zcz _ 4<~op _ awxpo _ wzcxm wa_u _ no wx_» _ Juzu . 4u2u — azuhz~ w2¢4u — no aha: _ uu—u wac»c¢u ac_>¢:uc w1.u .m« u z o zaou upcpoa n :aou cz.¢: . zuctaz :w4acao cog waa

< w 2:.owc ncu ouz.a:au ¢»u—uuom. u _ _ — our»: _ u _ _ _ p _ _ _ u —:Cc. u ~ cocc. o oooo. o whoa. o wuco. . or_o. o nmoc. oo_o. o oo_o. _ wu_u _ u _ , ~ cwahauuwao _ p a _ h u _ _ _ » Noe—o n _ m~oo. o —coo. . s-o. o thc. . c-o. o cowo. come. . more. _ mmuphucmn . — _ — p7usuc¢?qy ~ ~ _ . _ _ _ h _ — c¢c_. u ~ moco. o onoo. . 0590. o ¢w_o. . coco. o ~o~c. 9m.o. o mnno. _ vu—vozouu — b u _ u _ ~ _ ~ — _ _ auuacu ~ . co-. u _ «coo. . choc. . mm_o. . mc_o. . ¢n_o. . :omo. pc_o. . ammo. _ 4¢_LCm :24 m _ _ _ Jay—p.40a — _ _ _ _ h _ _ ~ H n¢o~o u _ noco. o m~oco o ecuo. . came. . ~m_o. o m¢_o. coco. . s—«0. _ mo—uc;~s u _ _ u a _ _ _ y _ _ uwcww_c p _ oomo. u _ coco. . ~.oo. . spec. . «ace. . spec. . ~5oo. ocoa. . .mma. ~ cza ” h _ _ mbuuv2—.~ _ _ ~ ~ u a . ~ _ u con—o n — o—oo. o o~oc. o cm—o. o o~roo o whoa. . m~_o. cm_o. o omwc. a ro~¢ozw a _ . ~ ~ — _ _ p _ _ u «2:4u _ » ooeu. u _ ~—oo. o 0369. o n—wo. o mc_c. o «Nae. o uome. ~_~¢o . ~ono. — 024 h u n _ «aoau _ h _ _ a u — _ >xn¢a _ u om~.. u _ m-oc. . umoo. . mm.o. . oruc. . s_~c. . -~c. cn~c. . nomc. _ ucc—¢>za _ _ _ a are >co;ouc _ ~ _ — _ . _ p _ _ r u _ _ muuocu u — .>u_uuam. — mmwz u — ~ — zc_»« u _ ozc vco»uau _ 4(p0» _ awxpo ~ oawo4_n u mu_»mxpmu _ amh¢n ~ mu~a¢4~r _ nwmuua mozqo _ owns.» ~ u»_u 4<_»zu»cauuua:owwa pmuacu .mc u z N xaou mhchoc — tack crhma N auxin: tugaoao con Udaa» bubooaa macaw adJutmm to weduw>( m ZC—me ccu ouZ—aaou (hdo 44¢ mu: muzmwm 228 u 2 mac»u«u oop>¢rwa wa~u c IQOK ubchou n Incu C?»mD N awEIDZ zwdmcan aou wacqp purocua mmcac cad—rum no wc< m ?c_owa ncu cuz~6509 «pco 44¢ «12 madman _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ H oooo..n _ ~_co. osec. -s_. mom_. c¢s.. . cmm_. . nmm.. .Nrc. . scn_. _ ;¢»c» _ _ _ — _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ o _ o o o o o o o o c o o o _ .>u_guam. _ p — — auxhc — _ _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ sooo. _ «coo. c—aa. coco. c~_o. nrmo. . mo_c. . n—mc. snco. . mace. _ 2c_»¢»_ — _ ~ ~ a;~mv~c. coco. . coma. _ 4w>u4 _ p _ _ zo_»cu.oaa _ _ ~ _ _ _ u _ _ _ seo.. _ coco. o_co. oono. oweo. mqwc. . nh~o. . _ooo. c~co. . _m_o. _ roupzw>uaa _ _ _ _ . _ ~ _ _ p _ _ u _ ~n... _ a once. cn~c. n_no. m_mc. . :o_o. . ~c~c. ¢~oo. . ~e_o. _ uozuaa:uuo _ . ~ _ ua_u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ vac»uau — .>u_uuam. awozco a¢w> wa>h _ u124c> _ >~_m xpcqu _ cu~uunm. a p — ~ omrpc — — ~ _ u u _ ~ _ _ ~cmo. a _ coco. . once. . psoo. . mnco. . 4n_o. . cmoo. . coco. . coca. _ ua.u ~ ~ _ _ aux—auvuao _ _ _ _ ~ ~ _ _ _ _ ~pn—o u _ mace. . co~oo o m-o. . m¢_o. . 4¢—°. . owmo. . -_o. . nmwc. — muu—»U(aa . _ ~ ~ »zu:ucxo¢a _ _ ooo.. u _ coco. . o_no. . mama. . coho. . pc~o. . nmwc. . sn.o. . pnwo. _ ucc_¢>za _ _ ~ ~ 02¢ >c04°wc _ _ _ _ _ u — _ u _ u _ _ u _ «muocu — — .»u_uwar. _ wmwz ~ _ u — zo_»¢ _ n u 024 unopucu _ 4«»o» _ amt»; _ uawc4_n ~ mu.»ur»wu _ awpqx . _ woz¢ w Zc—Owa acu Du2_arou (hdo Ja< ml: musmflm 230 o _ o _ o _ o o H oooo... _ mooo. . oomo. ono.. . noao. . maoo. . onm_. . noNP. . more. . _¢¢_. . 41.0» _ o _ _ o _ . _ _ — ~ _ _ _ oooo. « _ o . .ooo. o . o . o . o . o . o . o _ .>u_ouqm. _ o n _ aux»o ~ _ n o _ o _ _ _ _ .soo. u _ oooo. . o_oo. oooo. . on_o. . a¢.o. . ¢n_c. . mo_o. . once. . ___o. _ :o.».»_ o _ _ — uJ—moxun — o _ _ _ o o o o o memo. n _ p_oo. . osoo. ~»_o. . _»_o. . memo. . _m~o. . sono. . nooo. . oo_o. _ uouuuuu _ o o _ uaou _ o _ o o o _ o _ _ sooo. - _ 4_oo. . cnoo. ~c_o. . ¢_~o. . cc.o. . om_o. . oooo. . «moo. . xa_o. _ mu_y02ouu _ o u _ ma_u u _ u _ _ _ — o o ” ooo_. u _ o . osoo. n-o. . cr_o. . ow_o. . ms—o. . .eoc. . .sco. . m~.o. _ mu: moo. _ _ o _ o _ _ ~ ~ — _ _ _ oon_. - . o_oo. . ¢_~o. ~m~o. . momo. . oo_o. . om_o. . oc_o. . «moo. . o¢~o. — rc_»uu»uo _ ~ ~ o o o _ o _ _ _ o — o __m_. u _ oooo. . m_oo. soNo. . .axo. . ammo. . ~nwo. . _¢.o. . omoo. . -~o. _ ou>w4 _ u n — .aO—hthbcan — o o _ _ o o _ _ _ son_. a _ sooo. . mnoo. -no. . paao. . name. . smmo. . —._c. . o~oo. . ~m_c. _ reopzw>uua _ o n o _ _ — o _ o _ o o _ .mn—. n _ mooo. . mnoo. oo~o. . owno. . orwc. . ow.c. . on—o. . nnco. . nooo. _ wuruaoruuc _ w n a war. _ o _ o _ o _ o o _ o o o o o vuc»o.u . _ .»u_ouam. _ «mozqc o a¢u> _ mn>p _ wxaoo> _ >»_m o xpczoo _ cowanm _ pzozuc¢zwc uaou . .mm a z o xaou upoooa n xaou ¢:_m: m aumraz zmoaczo mom woaco poaccaa umcao aoo_x_w mo weaau>a m. 2C—Owa an: CkZ—aflou (pco 44¢ ml: mudmflm APPENDIX N REGION 6, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 231 232 — — u — o — u o ” oooo..n " maoo. . mo_o. . coo~. . capo. . oo__. . oo-. . noo.. . a.m.. _ Jopoo _ u _ o _ o o o _ ~ o o onoo. a o o . o . oooo. . coco. . o_oo. . oooo. . oooo. . nooo. o .>u~uunm. _ ~ _ — ayfio— — _ o o o o o o _ Nomo. u _ oooo. . ~ooo. . o~.o. . .o.o. . «coo. . sooo. . mooo. . ~o.o. _ ua_u o o _ o owc~cumuca — o _ _ — o _ ~ u _ cam.. . _ ~ooo. . c.oo. . oono. . moNo. . n¢_o. . onno. . co.o. . oc~o. _ moo—ouoaa _ o _ _ ozoxuoozoz _ o o _ o o _ o _ w some. a _ ~ooo. . oooo. . oooo. . ¢c_o. . sooo. . ~n~o. . »n_o. . whoo. _ mu—sozouu . o o o o _ o o o _ _ mwoaou o o nooo. a _ ~ooo. . o~oo. . capo. . c~mo. . oo—o. . mo¢o. . oooo. . sowo. o o«_gom ozo _ o o _ Jooo»~aoa — o _ o o o _ ~ _ o ns~.. « _ .noo. . o_oo. . .ono. . ¢_ao. . s__o. . oono. . ~ooo. . mo.o. _ ua..o4_x _ o _ u o o _ o _ o _ _ um1a¢c _ u no——. u — .coo. . ¢.oo. . sono. . pc«o. . ¢—_o. o m-o. . co—o. . swoo. a nco—w>za u o . _ oz< >oo3ouo . o _ o o o u _ o _ o a o a — kuaou _ _ .>u_ouan. _ mmwz . o o _ zoo—o _ o _ oz: unobuou _ dope» _ autos _ nau04on _ mu_.ux.mw _ «who: o uu_4oqoz _ uuzuuu _ uozou _ cums.» _ u»_w 4ooozu—oauwua2owua pmwaou .oo . 2 ~ zaou upohou . xcou cz_m: . amass: xuocoan can udcqh hUDooaa mmoau add—tum no wataw>1 o IC—oua aou ow2~mtou dude 44¢ HIz musmwm 233 _ o o ~ _ u u u " oooo._u " oooo. . mpoo. . «moo. . aos.. . ~we_. . o~n_. . ooo_. ocuo. . ~_~o. “ oopo» “ o o _ o o o o o _ oooo. a _ o . o . o . o . o . o . ~ooo. .ooo. . mooo. o .puouunm. _ _ _ n nuzhc — o _ o o _ o o _ _ sooo. » _ o . -oo. . mooo. . nomo. . o¢_c. . neoo. . ¢a~o. onoo. . mooo. _ zoopopo _ o _ _ noocoxuc _ _ _ o o o o _ _ _ ~nn.. n _ o . oo_o. . s__o. . «omo. . n¢.o. . oo~o. . m-o. smoo. . om—o. _ wpouuuu _ o o u mama _ o _ _ _ _ _ o o o ~mso. u _ o . mooo. . ~._o. . oo_o. . om.o. . o_~o. . mooo. o.oo. . no.o. . muoxozouu . o _ _ wa_u _ _ _ _ _ _ o _ o » ~nso. - _ oooo. . ~o_o. . cooo. . s_.o. . ...o. . oo_o. . opoo. -oo. . mcoo. _ uv: man. u _ o o o o o _ o o _ ” nowo. n _ o~oo. . o~_o. . m.no. . ¢¢.o. . oe_o. . o-o. . mooo. o~oo. . «poo. _ zcoouuouo " o _ o o _ o o _ o o _ o~m_. n _ o_oo. . oo_o. . -co. . rwno. . opNo. . nmNo. . o__o. ncoo. . ocmo. _ 4u>u4 . o o — zoopuu»oan o o _ o _ _ o _ u _ osp.. u _ -oo. . ~n_o. . omqo. . cano. . ~m~o. . ammo. . mcoo. o~oo. . os_o. _ zoopru>uaa . o o _ o o o o _ _ _ _ o _ .on_. u o snoo. . ~ooo. . nmno. . .swo. . oo.o. . em.o. . co_o. o~oo. . .ooo. _ uuzuaa:uuo _ u u u not. H _ _ o o o o o o o o o o o _ vacpuu_uuam. _ o zwozac o «cu» _ ua>o _ u::Jo> _ >pom xpozuo o oouaam _ ozuawocz¢x _ 4«zww um—u Icon whchoc n tack tzumD a aumzbz rugmcaa com w461h buzocun mmoau a¢J~1~m no wo( c rc—owa acu ouz—czou abdo 44¢ «12 munmflm ‘ 234 . . . . o n . . " oooo... “ onoo. . m.oo. . noo.. . oo~.. . «on.. o ..o.. .n... . omen. . 41.0» n . — o . o . . . . . o~oo. u . o . o . ~ooo. . sooo. . o.oo. . mooo. .ooo. . cooo. . ....uuam. . o o . . awrpo . . . . . . . . . . coco. - . .ooo. . o.oo. . omoo. . .ooo. . oc.o. . oooo. oooo. . o.~o. . .... . . . . ouo.auwwan . . . . . . . . . . see.. u . oooo. . omoo. . ~o.o. . mono. . wooo. . nm~o. ss.o. . oooo. . muu.po«oa . . . . pru:uo¢z¢z . . . . . . . . . “ .ooo. u . .ooo. . n~oo. . omoo. . on.o. . cooo. . mo.o. o~.o. . apno. . mu.xozoou . . . . . . . . . . . «mono. . . an~.. u . .ooo. . nooo. . c..o. . s».o. . n..o. . omoo. o~.o. . oo~o. . ...oom oz. . . . . .«u.»..oa . . . . . . . . . . oooo. . . ~ooo. . «Noo. . o..o. . ~o.o. . oo.o. . ~..o. smoo. . s-o. . un..o3.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . .m.um.o . . onmo. u . .ooo. . .~oo. . .soo. . onoo. . mooo. . nooo. omoo. . o-o. . oz. . . . . m.oumz. . . . . . . . . . . ooo.. - . nooo. . -oo. . sooo. . memo. . «poo. . o..o. oo.o. . mo~o. . zo.moou . . . . u . . . . . . . «72¢. . . .9... n . ~ooo. . ~soo. . .o.o. . ...o. . sowo. . ~¢~o. o.~o. . noNo. . oz. . . . . coco. . . . . . o u . >rn¢m _ . 5.... a . nooo. . sooo. . so.o. . sc~o. . cm.o. . n.~o. ~m.o. . oo~o. . uco.¢»:. . . . . oz. >oooouo . . . . ~ . . . . . . . . . muoao. . . .»..uu.m. . mmuz . . . . 2o... . . . or. voopoo. . .«po. . aux.o . uauo..n . mu..w:.m. . a...) . u...o..a . uuauwa uozoa . quot.» . . .... ....z..o.-.gcromuc .muao. .cc a 2 ~ zoo. ....oc . zoo. o2.m: ~ aucxaz xuoooao aou Haw.» nugoan mmoag «(J—xum to gtau.‘ c ZO—owa to. omZ—ayou «~10 ......1 mlz musmwm 235 . — . . . . a . “ oooo... . ~o.o. . nomo. ooo.. . as... . o.o.. . ooo.. . om... ~ono. . on... . oo.o. . . . . . . ~ . u . . . . o.oo. u . o . nooo. nooo. . .ooo. . ~ooo. . ~ooo. . .ooo. .ooo. . .ooo. . .>..ouam. . . u a 9.1.8 . . . . . . . . . . pm... - . n.oo. . m.oo. «moo. . na~o. . o.~o. . oo.o. . oo~o. mnoo. . oooo. . 2o..¢.. . . . . a..o«xua . . . . . . . . . . .~c.. u . o . s..o. o~.o. . .o~o. . ovoo. . ~¢~o. . cho. osoo. . oo.o. . whom... . . . . .a.. o . . . . . . . . . aooo. - . o . nsoo. oo.o. . c..o. . oo.o. . mo.o. . oo.o. .noo. . -.o. . vu.:ozcuu . . ~ . .a.. . . — . . . — . . " oo... u . oooo. . ~m.o. oo.o. . oo.o. . .ooo. . oo~o. . ov.o. ~moo. . s..o. . mu: uo.. . — . . — — . . . . . . ” 4o... - . mooo. . ohoo. mo~o. . co~o. . ~n.o. . ...o. . «poo. .ooo. . ou.o. . :c..ou.uo . . . . . . . . . o . ~ . . moc.. n . s.oo. . onoo. o.no. . Nmmo. . .nNo. . .cwo. . oo.o. nnoo. . m.~o. . 4w>w4 . _ . . 2c.>u.»oma _ . . _ . . . . . “ oom.. - . oooo. . mmoo. o~no. . «Nno. . ocoo. . oo~o. . saoo. -oo. . oo.o. . zo.»2u>.c. H . . _ _ . . ~ . u . . oo~.. n . ~noo. . «moo. o-o. . powo. . ~.mo. . o~.o. . «poo. o.oo. . oo.o. . uurwaaouoo . — — . .a.. . . . . . . o . . . . . . . mac.u.. . — ....uuam. . amazon . cow» . un». . w::40> . >».m 1.02.. . ocwmnm . .zwameozox — ache» _ a.x»o _ axoxm woo. . .0 .1.» u 4.3. . .w:. . uzwpz. quJ. . .o wpqa . .a.. vaopuo. oo.o«xuo u... .s: u z c zoo. ...»oo o too. c2.m: ~ quota: swoooaa cog watch purcoaa mmoau 1(J—I~m to modaw>¢ c ZC—cuu 0cm cwzucaou «#40 441 viz munmwm 236 — o u _ . . . . . oooo..u . o~.o. . sooo. . ooo.. . on... . omn.. . ~na.. . ooo.. . cmn~. . .coo» . . . . _ _ . ~ — . . . . . om.o. n . ..oo. . .Noo. . c.oo. . oooo. . ouoo. . «woo. . oooo. . ~ooo. . .>..cunm. . . . A . aux»o . . . . . . . . . . mcoo. a . mooo. . .coo. . cwoo. . oooo. . .c.o. . omoo. . «goo. . oo.o. . ua.. . . . . ouc.«u¢uan . . . . . . . — . . ~nc.. n . oooo. . ~ooo. . om.o. . oo.o. . oo.o. . .-o. . oo.o. . mono. . muo..uxo¢a . . men.. n . ..oo. . o~.o. . oo.o. . .mmo. . ~a_o. . ~.~o. . .~.o. . o¢~o. . uco.m»z. . . . . ozo >oooowo . . . . . . . . . o . . u _ _ vuuco. . . .»..uua¢. . mmwz . . . . zo.»¢ . . . oz< weapuo. _ 4<.o» . auxpc . nuwcq.) . mu.—.x.mw . cube) — u..4o4.3 . quuwm . wozcu . aum:.p — wp—m do..z.»oaouuc:omua pmwao. .00 u 2 N 2&0. wbdhoa — Icon cZ—mD n CUCIDZ ZUJCCIQ com uqaob bUDooao mmOOL acduxuw to wadau>1 c zo—owc «Ck 0.2—1300 (ch 44¢ mlz musmwm 237 — ~ — . . . . . ” oooo..I . oo.o. . omco. on... . o~¢.. . nso.. . ooc.. an... echo. . no... . oo.o. . . . . . . . . ~ . . . — osoo. u _ o . m.oo. .ooo. . .ooo. . o~oc. . .~oo. sooo. o . mooo. . .>..uuomo _ . . . ourpo _ . . . . ~ — u . — o~__. I . o . mooo. omoo. . a.mo. . oomc. . como. .c~o. «coo. . oo.o. . 7o_»<». _ — . u Ia~¢¢xwa _ u _ o . _ ~ . . . o~o.. u . o . oo.o. oo.o. . .mmo. . oo.o. . oono. omwo. .soo. . oo.o. . ubuu... . u o . ma.. . . . ~ . . _ . . . «coo. u . o . smoo. ~c.o. . om.o. . oo.o. . oo.o. «coo. ¢~oo. . oo.o. . wu.aozouu . — _ . ma.. . . . . _ . — _ . _ w ..o.. u _ coco. . o~.o. a..o. . rm.o. . oo.o. . oo.o. ~0.o. once. . moco. _ uu: wa.. — . . . . . . . ~ — . . ” o.~.. n — n~oo. . «poo. cowo. . .rmo. . oo.o. . ¢~.o. nooo. mwco. . oo.o. u 7c.»uu»uo H . . . . . . _ _ — . — ~o¢.. I — oooo. . .~oo. keno. . (smo. . ncmc. . mn~o. coco. .noo. . ¢o~o. — 4u>w4 . p . _ :o.»..»oaa . o . . . o u . . » ¢n~.. I — .Noo. . o.oo. n.no. . memo. . h.~o. . oo.o. «woo. omoo. . ~_.o. _ zoubzu>waa " . . u . . . _ — a . . con_. u ~ swoo. . s~oo. ..no. . oomo. . cowo. . mo_o. .Ooo. owoo. . s~.o. — wu:.ca:uuo . . — _ .u.. . _ . n . . _ . o . ~ . — machuc. . . .>..uu.m. . awozco . acu> _ mu». . wx:.o> >».m 1.02.. _ oowaaw . hzm:.oc¢. aco>¢xuo ua.. ... u z c :ao. .».»oa n zoo. c2.w: n a.mxoz xuoacaa ouz musmflm CC. w461» buaooaa mmcub c< c rc—Owa 3C. Okzoczou dude 44¢ APPENDIX 0 REGION 10, COMBINED DATA, RELEVANCE TREE SUMMARY 238 239 . u u . . . . . . oooo..« . .omo. . o-o. . ono.. . mo... . no... . ~.o.. . coco. . o¢o.. . ..po» . . . . . . . . . . _ . u n — . cowo. u . o . sooo. . cnoo. . owoo. . o~oo. . omoo. . omoo. . .ooo. . .>..uwam. . . . . owxpo — . . . . . . . . . ...o. u . o . .oco. . ocoo. . «coo. . cooo. . oooo. . ~noo. . ssoo. . wa.. . . . . ow¢.aumua. . . . . . . . . . . no... u . mfioo. . .nco. . .cmo. . «moo. . sm.o. . ..~o. . oooo. . mo~o. . muu.»u.an . . . . .zuzmo.r.x . . . . . . . . . . :m... u . oo.o. . Onoo. . oo.o. . soNo. . choo. . -~o. . mooo. . ¢-o. — mu—tozouu ~ . . . . . . . . . . . muuuo. . . msc~. u . so.o. . sooo. . .mno. . oo.o. . ..mo. . o~.o. . m».o. . oo.o. . 4..uom oz. . . . . 3......o. . . . . . . . . . o -oo. u . o . o . n._o. . ...o. . oo.o. . sm.o. . .o.o. . oooo. . mo..oo.x . . . . . . . . . _ u _ wm4um—o — — ooco. u — ..oo. . o . «coo. . c.oo. . .hoo. . ncoo. . onoo. . cn—o. u oz< — . — — whowmzu ~ . . . . . . . . . whoo. a . apoo. . o . ..oo. . oswo. . opoo. . oo.o. . nooo. . o..o. . ro.moau . . . . . . . . . u — — (rzcu u — cwou. n — .Noo. . ¢_oo. o oo.o. . .~_o. . no—o. . owmo. . cqoo. . oowo. — 021 ~ ~ — u «604. ~ . . . . _ u — >1n¢m u . .o~.. u . ~o.o. . .moo. . «oxo. . om.o. . aooo. . ~n~o. . o~.o. . mm.o. . ucc.m>za . . . . oz. >oooouo . . . . . ~ ~ _ . . . ~ u u — muuao. — n .>.~Uuamo n mrwz _ u u — zo_>¢ u n a 024 vaowucu . ...0. . a.m.o . -a.c..x . mu...r.¢. . o.».t . m...o4~) . u.qu.u . uoz.a . a.my.» . ...m ...»2.»o.umun:omua pmwac. .c— u 2 ~ tack Lhaboa — lack fizpmz — mwctbz tu4¢oaa ac. wand» huaccan mmcau ¢¢J~Ium no uctaw>d o. zc—oum ac. Caz—atou «>10 444 due musmwm 240 . . . . . . . . ” oooo... . onoo. . oowo. .oo.. . ..m.. . ~.o.. . co... noo.. -no. . onn.. . 4.»o» . . . . . . . . . . . . o . oo.o. - . o . o cmoo. . o . o . o owoo. o . omoo. . ....uwam. . . . . u§to. . . . . o . . . — o.oo. n . o . o cwoo. . «c.o. . n.no. . oooo. ~o.o. oooo. . ncoo. — 7o~.<». _ o . . u..a.xwa . . . . . . . . . u on... a _ o . .o.o. mo.o. . »¢.o. . mnwo. . oo.o. oo.o. nmoo. . m..o. ~ upow..u . . . . .a.. . . . ~ . . . . . . .soo. u . o . mooo. cooo. . ecoo. . scoc. . msoo. oooo. o~oo. . oooo. — mu.3020uw . . . . ma.. . o . u o . . . . . o.oo. . . oooo. . c..o. cmoo. . scoo. . mooo. . .ooo. .ooo. onoo. . oooo. . .v: ua.. “ . . . . . u _ . . . . . mon.. u . n.oo. . ~..o. c-o. . .¢.o. . .omo. . .o.o. oooo. .~oo. . oc~o. . 2c.»uu.uo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~.o.. n . 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