ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIERRA LEONE MARINE FISHERIES Dissertation for the Degree of ‘Ph. D. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY DEAN ALLEN LINSENMEYER 1976 LIL’LM’» .05.?) MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY EAST LANSING. MICH. 48823 I II III II I II III I II 29 III I II I I II III I 3104764 This is to certify that the thesis entitled ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIERRA LEONE MARINE FISHERIES presented by Dean Allen Lins enmeyer has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D. degree in Agricultural Economics Major professor Date November 8, 1976 I 0-7639 ABSTRACT ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIERRA LEONE MARINE FISHERIES BY Dean Allen Linsenmeyer Alternative sources of animal and vegetable protein have been unable to provide an adequate quantity of high-quality protein to satisfy the broad-based effective demand. Consequently, Sierra Leone remains dependent on imported frozen fish to meet domestic needs while local stocks of marine fish are under-exploited. Given the government's commitment to greater self-sufficiency in fish, this study examines alternative strategies for stimulating small—scale and large-scale fisheries industries. This research is the first micro-economic survey of small- scale marine fisheries in Sierra Leone and one of the first fishery surveys undertaken in West Africa which combines the micro-economic operations of small-scale producers, processors, wholesalers, and retailers into an integrated fish delivery system. The objectives of the study were to: (1) describe the micro-economic Operations of alternative technologies currently practiced in fish production, processing, and marketing enterprises; (2) identify major constraints on improved performance of the fisheries production-delivery system; (3) through the development and execution of a linear programming Dean Allen Linsenmeyer model to examine the aggregate impacts of alternative deve10pment strategies on (a) the level of output, employment, frozen fish imports, economic profits to the fisheries subsector, the subsectoral contribu- tion to Gross Domestic Product and on (b) the choice of small-scale technology which is most profitable to the economy. The field research was undertaken over a 12 month period from October, 1974 through September, l975,covering 93 fishing firms in five randomly selected small-scale landing sites located in three coastal regions of Sierra Leone. The small-scale firms were grouped into nine representative firm types based on the type of production technology used. One of the five large—scale production firms based in Freetown was also interviewed to collect basic input-output data. Fish processors and traders were surveyed covering the major wholesaling- retailing channels between the selected producers and the four largest urban centers. Micro—economic analysis of the data was conducted through the construction of basic enterprise budgets for each of the nine small- scale production firm types and for one large-scale firm type. The various processing, wholesaling and retailing firms were also analyzed using the enterprise budget technique. A linear programming model incorporated the budgetary data of these industries into an integrated production-processing-marketing system. This model was tested for consistency with the 1974 situation and then used to evaluate the effects of the following development strategies over the 1974-1980 period: (a) varying the resources available but maintaining the 1974 policies regarding the cost of capital and import duties, (b) en- couraging small-scale fishing industries, (c) encouraging large-scale Dean Allen Linsenmeyer fishing industries, (d) actively discouraging large-scale fishing industries, and (e) closing the economy to frozen fish imports to force self-sufficiency by 1980. It was found that a significantly higher pr0portion of the national labor force were employed in the fisheries subsector than had previously been estimated. Within the small-scale productiOn industry, a major share of labor employment and production occurs in the October through March period. However there is considerable variation in the seasonal patterns of the different technological firm types. A major contrast was found in the amount of capital used per unit of labor between the large-scale and small—scale industries. Although a considerable range of capital-labor ratios was evident between the different technological firm types, most of the types were quite closely clustered. All small-scale firm types were economically profitable and capable of producing fish at considerably less cost per leone of fish landed than is capable by the large-scale firms. While frozen imports were found to be strongly competitive with large-scale production, they could not actively compete with low-cost small-scale output. A strategy which encouraged the expansion of small-scale pro- duction was found to lower the required imports by 1980 from the level which would prevail if current policies were continued. This strategy of supporting small-scale expansion also resulted in higher levels of economic profits for the subsector as well as higher levels of sub— sectoral contributions to Gross Domestic Product than any other strategy tested. A strategy of self-sufficiency by 1980 while producing Dean Allen Linsenmeyer a higher level of Gross Domestic Product and returns to the subsector was judged unrealistic in view of the substantial resource require- ments. An accelerated growth in the trained labor supply, the amount of investment capital, and in the capital stock of boats were found as key factors in the expansion of the small-scale industry. Changes in pricing policy such as the cost of capital and import duties on frozen fish and fishing equipment, when implemented in isolation, had little effect on small-scale production but considerably more effect on the large-scale industry. While some justification is possible for more fully utilizing current large—scale capacities, an expansion of large-scale productive capacities could not be supported by this study. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIERRA LEONE MARINE FISHERIES By Dean Allen Linsenmeyer A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements. for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 1976 © Copyright _ DEAN ALLEN LINSENMEYER 1976 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I wish to gratefully acknowledge the assistance given me by members of my graduate committee: Derek Byerlee, John Hunter, Carl Liedholm, Vernon Sorenson, Dunstan Spencer, Daniel Talhelm, Warren Vincent and Carl Eicher, my major professor. I am particularly thank- ful for the encouragement, excellent guidance as well as the personal friendship of my thesis supervisor, Derek Byerlee. His direction at crucial stages of the field research and data analysis made this thesis possible. I would also wish to thank the Social Science Research Council of New York City and the Department of Agricultural Economics of Michigan State University for their financial support of this study. The staff of the Department of Agricultural Economics of Njala univer- sity College, Sierra Leone and in particular the African Rural Employment Research Project of Njala University College provided considerable assis- tance in carrying out the field research for which I am grateful. While the doctoral candidate's wife is traditionally ack— nowledged, I note most gratefully the months of tedious work which my wife, Bek, contributed in supervising the computer coding of all the survey forms as well as her understanding support and encouragement throughout my graduate program. Without her support my graduate pro- gram would not have been completed. ii I wish to express my appreciation to the five field enumerators for their long hours of work under sometimes difficult conditions in obtaining the survey data and to the eight students who spent their summer holidays in preparing the forms for keypunching. Lastly, but most importantly, I wish to thank the fishermen of Sierra Leone and their families for not only tolerating but trustingly responding to our seemingly endless questions and interruptions. It is my deepest desire that this research will not betray their trust and hope for assistance in improving their livelihood. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . LIST OF FIGURES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . LIST OF APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 The Problem Setting . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 Objectives of the Study . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 Outline of this Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . 2. FISHERIES IN THE SIERRA LEONE ECONOMY . . . . . . . . 1 Economic Contributions of Fisheries . . . . . 2 Descriptive Profile of the Subsector . . . . . .3 Trends in Domestic Supply and Demand for Fish 4 Role of Government in Fisheries Development . 5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SURVEY METHODOLOGY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 Review of Methodology . . . . . . . . . 3.2 Purpose of the 1974- 75 Survey of Sierra Leone Fisheries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3 Small-Scale Production-Marketing Surveys . . . 3.4 Large-Scale Production-Marketing Surveys . . . 4. MICROECONOMIC ANALYSES OF SMALL-SCALE FISH PRODUCTION The Socio-Cultural Environment . . . . . . . Classification of Representative Firms . . . . Labor Utilization by the Firm . . . . . . . . Capital Utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . . Purchased Material Inputs . . . . . . . . . . Output Harvested . . . . . . . . . . Enterprise Budgets for Small-Scale Fishing Firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Comparison with Large-Scale Fish Production Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ka-‘bb-bb O O \lO‘U‘IkWNH L‘b \OCD iv 13 13 13 23 30 33 35 35 37 38 47 49 49 52 56 68 77 79 81 95 98 5. PROCESSING AND MARKETING OF FISH SUPPLIES . . . . . . 101 Overview of Marketing Channels . . . . . . . . 102 Description of Smoke Processing . . . 103 Wholesaling of Smoked Fish in Urban Centers . 106 Smoked Fish Retailing in Urban Centers . . . . 111 Frozen Fish Wholesaling . . . . . . . . . . . 113 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 UlU'IUIUIUIUI O‘M-FUNH 6. AN AGGREGATE MODEL OF THE FISHERIES SUBSECTOR . . . . 117 6.1 Description of the Model . . . . . . . . . . . 117 6.2 Parameters of the Model . . . . . . . . . . . 126 6.3 Modeling of the 1974 Situation . . . . . . . . 128 6.4 Evaluation of Alternative Development Strategies in 1980 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 6.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 7. SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . 151 7.1 Summary of Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 7.2 Policy Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 APPENDICES O O O O O O O O O . O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 165 BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 TABLE 1.1 2.1 2.2- 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 LIST OF TABLES SIERRA LEONE: QUANTITY AND VALUE OF FISH IMPORTS, 1969-74 0 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o CHARACTERISTICS OF SMALL-SCALE BOAT TECHNOLOGY IN SIERRA LEONE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF SMALL-SCALE FISHING BOATS o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 0 DESCRIPTION OF SMALL-SCALE NET TECHNOLOGY . . . . . . ESTIMATED SIERRA LEONE FISH CATCH FROM FRESH-WATER AND MARINE SOURCES, 1965-1973 . . . . . . . . . . . ESTIMATED COMPOSITION OF FISH CATCH BY SPECIES . . . APPROXIMATE AREA OF CONTINENTAL SHELF AT VARIOUS DEPTHS WITHIN SIERRA LEONE TERRITORIAL WATERS . . . SIERRA LEONEAN COAST: ESTIMATED WEIGHT OF STANDING CROP (TOTAL LIVE WEIGHT OF FISH) IN METRIC TONS AT VARIOUS DEPTHS PER MILE OF COASTAL FRONT . . . . . ESTIMATED MARINE FISH CONSUMPTION IN SIERRA LEONE, 19 74 C O O O O O O O O O O O O O C O O O C O O O 0 DESCRIPTION OF QUESTIONNAIRES FOR MARINE FISHERIES SURVEY O C O O C O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O SOCIAL AMENITIES FOUND IN FISHING VILLAGES BY REGION REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPES AMONG SMALL-SCALE FISHERIES AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY FIRM TYPE . . . . . . . . . ANNUAL LABOR ALLOCATIONS AMONG ALTERNATIVE ENTER- PRISES BY FIRM TYPE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . WAGE RATE PER HOUR IN FISHERIES BY REGION BY SEX . . VALUE OF WORKING STOCK CAPITAL BY REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPE 0 O O O O 0 O O I O O O O O O O O O O O 0 vi Page 17 18 21 24 25 26 27 29 41 51 54 57 59 67 69 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 4.15 4.16 5.1 5.2 5.3 ACQUISITION COST OF EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT BY FIRM TYPE 0 O O O O O C O C O C O O O C O I O O O O 71 .ANNUAL SERVICE COSTS OF FISH PRODUCTION EQUIPMENT . . 76 ANNUAL PURCHASED MATERIAL INPUTS BY FIRM TYPE . . . . 78 ANNUAL FISH CATCH OF MAJOR SPECIES PER FIRM BY FIRM TYPE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 AVERAGE ANNUAL EXVESSEL SALES PRICE FOR MAJOR SPECIES BY REGION, 1974 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 FISH PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE BUDGETS FOR SMALL-SCALE REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPES BASED ON SURVEY DATA 0F 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE UNDER ACTUAL CONDITIONS: 40 PERCENT COST OF CAPITAL AND 36 PERCENT IMPORT DUTY 0N FISH EQUIPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 FISH PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE BUDGET FOR SMALL-SCALE REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPE BASED ON SURVEY DATA OF 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE UNDER ASSUMED CONDITIONS: 20 PERCENT COST OF CAPITAL AND 36 PERCENT IMPORT DUTY OF FISH EQUIPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 FISH PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE BUDGETS FOR SMALL-SCALE REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPE BASED ON SURVEY DATA OF 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE UNDER ASSUMED CONDITIONS: 40 PERCENT COST OF CAPITAL AND 10 PERCENT IMPORT DUTY ON FISH EQUIPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 FISH PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE BUDGETS FOR SMALL-SCALE REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPES BASED ON SURVEY DATA OF 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE UNDER ASSUMED CONDI- TIONS: 20 PERCENT OF CAPITAL AND 10 PERCENT IMPORT DUTY ON FISH EQUIPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . 94 FISH PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE BUDGET FOR LARGE-SCALE FIRMS BASED ON SURVEY OF ONE LARGE-SCALE FIRM IN FREETOWN, SIERRA LEONE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKE FISH PROCESSING USING TRADITIONAL TECHNOLOGY BASED ON SURVEY OF 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE (PER 100 POUNDS 0F RAW FISH) 104 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKE FISH PROCESSING USING MODIFIED ALTONA OVEN (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH) O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 107 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKE FISH WHOLESALING TO URBAN CONSUMER CENTERS BASED ON TRACER SURVEY OF 20 TRADERS (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH EQUIVALENTS) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 vii 5.4 5.5 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4‘ 6.5 6.6 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKED FISH RETAILING TO URBAN CONSUMER CENTERS BASED ON MARKET SURVEY OF 57 TRADERS (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH EQUIVALENTS) FROZEN FISH WHOLESALING TO URBAN CONSUMER CENTERS, 1974 (COST PER PIETRIC TON) o o o o o o o o o o o o o SOURCES FOR PARAMETERS OF THE AGGREGATE MODEL . . . . COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE RUNS OF 1974 MODEL WITH ACTUAL 1974 SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . INTERREGIONAL COMMODITY FLOW IN 1974 AND 1980 . . . MARGINAL VALUE PER LEONE OF FISH PRODUCED FOR ADDITIONAL EQUIPMENT UNITS BY TYPE OF FISHING TECHNOLOGY AND BY REGION IN 1974 BASE RUN . . . . . LEVEL OR RESOURCE UTILIZATION AND AGGREGATE RESULTS OFALTERNATIVE198ORUNS . . . . . . . . . . . . . MARGINAL VALUE OF ADDITIONAL RESOURCES BY REGION IN ALTERNATIVE 1980 RUNS . . . . . . . . . . . viii 112 114 127 129 . 131 133 134 . 138 FIGURE 2.1 301 _ 4.1 4.2 4.3 6.1 LIST OF FIGURES Page SIERRA LEONE MARINE FISHERIES PRODUCTION ENUMERATION SITES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . l9 SIERRA LEONE: MAJOR MARKET CHANNELS BETWEEN PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION CENTERS . . . . . . . 45 SEASONAL PROFILES FOR TOTAL FIRM LABOR BY REPRESEN- TATIVE FIRM TYPES, 1974-1975 . . . . . . . . . . 61 SEASONAL PROFILES FOR FISH CATCH BY REPRESENTATIVE FIRM TYPE, 1974-1975 0 o o o o o o o o o o o o o 83 TOTAL DOMESTIC SEASONAL SUPPLY FROM SMALL-SCALE FISHERIES, 1974-1975 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 COMMODITY FLOW DIAGRAM OF FISHERIES SUBSECTOR . . . 119 ix LIST OF APPENDICES APPENDIX Page 1. MAJOR COMMERCIAL FISH SPECIES OF SIERRA LEONE . . . 165 2. ADMINISTRATION OF THE SURVEY . . . . . . . . . . . 166 3. NUMBER OF BOAT UNITS AVAILABLE IN EACH REGION . . . 169 4. MARINE FISH DEMAND BY TYPE AND REGION . . . . . . 170 5. CONSTRUCTED COSTS AND RETURNS FOR RAW FISH WHOLE— SALING-RETAILING IN FREETOWN (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH) o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 171 6. CONSTRUCTED COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKED FROZEN FISH RETAILING IN URBAN CONSUMER CENTERS (PER 100 POUNDS OF FROZEN FISH) . . . . . . . . . . . 172 7. CONSTRUCTED COSTS AND RETURN FOR SMOKED FISH AND SMOKED FROZEN FISH RETAILING TO RURAL CONSUMERS (PER 100 POUNDS 0F SMOKED FISH) . . . . . . . . . 173 CURRENCY AND MEASURES $1.00 = 0.80 Le 1974/75 1 Metric Ton = 2200 lbs. 1 Fathom = 6 feet xi CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 The Problem Setting The oceans, covering approximately 70 percent of the earth's surfaCe, have long been considered a major potential source of food. Presently about 70 million metric tons of fish are captured annually or approximately one—half the world's potential harvest [Lampe et a1., 1974]. Also, fish and fish products contribute a marginal 4.6 percent of the world's total protein consumption [FAO, 1968]. As pOpulation pressures mount on land-based resources, many nations and interna- tional organizations are focusing on the technical, political and economic deve10pments necessary to improve the productivity of the sea. Global figures, however, do not convey the varying role which regional fisheries play in the developing world. Among the ten West African coastal countries ranging from Nigeria to Senegal, estimated daily per capita protein consumption averaged only 52.5 grams, approxi- mately 25 percent less than the recommended daily per capita requirement for this region. Estimated protein consumption in Sierra Leone was below the group average with 49.2 grams per capita per day [FAO, 1971-a]. Although such estimates may easily underestimate actual consumption as certain indigenous sources of protein are less frequently reported, the need for an improved protein supply is evident. However in this same region,fisheries supply nearly nine percent of total protein consumed which is more than double the share of world protein consumption contributed by fisheries. Efforts to develop inexpensive protein from alternative animal and vegetable sources have met with limited success in developing countries. Poultry and eggs are frequently noted by nutritionists as the panacea for protein deficient diets in deve10ping countries. MOdern poultry farms on the outskirts of the capital city may be found in almost any deve10ping country. While many such firms are able to survive on the high incomes of urban consumers, the masses of the popu- lation do not have the effective demand to purchase eggs and poultry products.1 Cattle and other ruminant animals, while capable of utilizing material nondigestible by humans, are restricted geographically because of climate, disease, and pests. Tsetse fly and the threat of sleeping sickness have limited cattle production in Sierra Leone to the northern regions. Cereals and legumes account for over 81 percent of the total protein intake in Sierra Leone [FAO, l97lra]. In spite of the large variety of vegetables grown only a few such as groundnuts, cowpeas, and beans supply the vital amino acids (such as lysine) found in animal proteins [Billings, 1971]. Sierra Leone looks to the sea as a major source of animal protein. Approximately 66 percent of all animal protein consumed in 1For example in reviewing commercial egg schemes established by the Regional Government of Eastern Nigeria, Billings [1971] con- cludes that even with subsidized inputs (B 5,000,000 public investment) commercial eggs have failed to become the cheap food supply originally anticipated and are incapable of solving the protein problems of the masses. Sierra Leone is derived from fish, the highest share in any West African coastal country [FAO, l971—a]. Based on a nationwide survey of 250 rural households in Sierra Leone, Byerlee and King [1976] found that expenditures on fish and fish products ranked second only to rice in total consumption expenditures. Although the government of Sierra Leone has placed high priority on developing its fishing subsector, there has been little real increase in domestic production since 19651 [FAO, 1974-a]. Sierra Leone remains dependent on fish imports to satisfy domestic demand. Using revised estimates of domestic fish landings of approximately 50,000 metric tons [Government of Sierra Leone, 1974-a] annual imports currently account for approximately 15 percent of total domestic fish supply. Table 1.1 shows that fish imports have constituted a drain in foreign exchange earnings of over 2.4 million dollars annually since 1969 of which 75 percent was expended for fresh chilled and frozen fish caught in offshore fishing grounds. Several international trends in the supply and demand of fish for human and fish meal consumption directly affect deve10pment poli- cies in Sierra Leone. First, there has been a decline in fish catches in EurOpean and Western countries over the past decade. The Asian and African catch increased steadily at an average annual rate of 6.0 and 5.4 percent respectively over the past decade. The world fish catch grew at approximately 4.4 percent annually from 1964-71, peaked at 70 million metric tons in 1970-71 and has since declined at 1A 67 percent increase in 1972—73 production figures over pre- vious levels was a function of revised estimating procedures rather than increased production. .mHanHm>m uoc mammE .m.c "MHOZ .woauoa Numalmoma Gnu am>o muaana amuoam mam nmmaw Ham mo acmoawa mm pom wmucdouom scans Spam uaana swam cmuoam ummwama msu mo mucsooum 50am wmumsnwm mam measmaa mamaumama maima .maoaumz emaacai aoaa mmaamaa Namaumoma ”Rosana ma emammmam "mumDOm a .m.c .m.c aom.a mao.m oma.m omm.m .m.c .m.: .m.a mmm.m mam.oa oma.ma sam.aa amuoa .m.c .m.: mom.a omm.a omo.~ amo.m mmm.m omm.m mom.m amm.m mom.m 0am.aa cam.m cONoAa cam .emaaaeu .smoaa "swam .m.a .m.c mom maa mom mma .m.c .m.a .m.c mom msm.a oaa mmo.a em>aommam mam wmcaau .maoaumammoam “swam Gama mama mama aama mama moma mama Gama mama mama aama oama moma mamaaon .m.D mammaonfi :fi mnfim> mGOH afiaumz CH usmflmz %ufiwoasoo salmoma .mamoaza mmam mo mpa<> nz< meaezm was muacL Lo amneac aOuOu mace mm mmmao>m anneaumc co comma mum mma< camumoz COL mama umon Ad csovxmwamm .HonqNoa .mcoma maumam LO ucmECOO>OU_ mama anon >9 GBOpxmman cam Hananoa .Ocoma whamam LO OCOECOO>OU_ mamuou aNCOawOm "mmumDOm Om NOOH Oma.o Nooa Nm.m «mm Ocoma mapmam a: Nmm mafia Nam mom 2 852.: 523:8 cc Nmm omm.a Nmm Nm.m mo mmmh< cagumuz we Noe amq.~ Noe No.c om Ouca>oum :Lozuccz acaumz Ca mmocwo moca>oum cw meaaummou mumom mumom LO :OOLx: mumom mumom LO Oaaz Gum amuoe Lo amnesz aOuOH LO amuoe mo Canasz mumom wwmucmuumm mumsaxouaa< ammucmuamm mwmucwoawm Oumeax0uaa< mmaxe aa< mo aMuOH Oocmu coax coawwm NOOH wa noo.m NQOH No qqm Nooa Nm.< mum wcooa whamam Non Nmo mom.a Na Na mm Nam No.e om mosa>oum Cuwcuaom Nmm wa aw~.a Nmm No wma Nmm Nm.q mo mmma<,aumumwz Non Nmn amw.a Nan Nca awn New No.m oNH woca>oam camcuaoz cowumz :H mucH>oam coaumz ca wuca>oum COaumz ca mosa>oam mmocmu ca mumom ca mumom ca vumccmum wumom mumom mo maamm mumom mumom mo Oucmm wumom mumom mo Hmuow mo amuOH mo amnEsz amuoe LO amuos mo amnesz amuoe mo anuow mo amnezz ammucmuuwm mwmucmuaom mumaaxoaaa< ammucooamm mwmucmuamm OumEaxouaa< mwmucouamm wwwucwouwm Oumeaxouaa< mocwo vamvcmum umom waamm umom Oucmm umom mo maze ceammm MZqu mam xoom umumamfiv “mumsmav oomm umom omuqm mo omnqm «0 m>onm Eoum o.H HmOfisoo HOOficoo um>o a3ou£H mcwxsflm mommusm umc ammo won Hmuuamu aw o.H wcfi3 pom oposm \mw:HB msonumw mauuwouwamm Scum mafiom cw o.~ wlq OOH a“ moaoufioam csmuo mumwusm nomom ucmuusu ou umaaowccoauma mafiumoam m.H qua oomloma mafia unwfimuum mosh oommusm um: unfiua ucoupsu ou umHDOHUcmmpmm o.m-m.m ens ooeuoma mafia uswsmuum emuonua< souuom own now wcwumoaw m.H NHIm oooloo~ ucoamauufiucm «mum communm um: wafim AmmnuaHv mufim ammz «AmaonuOhv mamaonummv muaummo youmS ca nouns a“ oumawxouaa< numwz summon mo venom: mafiafinoz aoauwmom om%a umz woonozmuma Hmz MA< mom o.HH com N.o umpuon amfiuonfia ou Sodom OQHOSm mom.H m.NH qu.m m.oq umpuon mmswsw Ou nuuoa onumnm ucoum Hmummoo ucoum Hmummoo cofiwmm pom oHHZ pom coawmm mom OHHZ Mom mmHHz oumnvm mmHHZ mumsvm mmaflz mumsvm mmHHz mumsvm HmOfiusmz Hmuoe Hmowusmz Hmowusmz Hmuoa amoeusmz dogwmm Hmowaamuwomu umumz oomlom noumz omImH comma mmmh<3 A H< mummm Aooa pom ”momfl .mooma muumfim mo ucmscum>oua Eoum nmummvm cowumsbmaoo can“: "mmumDOm moaw>oum oposuuoz pom c3onm mm mufiamo pom mpcson mm.n~ ma xomaH cowunfiamcoo mufimmo pom Hmuoa How muswam ommm wooaw>oum Honuo a“ coaumssmoou muHamu Hon CH mucouommap amnuslflmusu owmuo>m onu no momma cowumabmaoo muwmmu Hoe mou< cumumoz coon: mo New on mononEoo coaumasmcoo muwamu Hon mmu< auoummz Hmuamm n 29 I: amc.qm H.mmm.m mm.mq m¢~.om o.Nmo.N 0H.~N www.mm 0.5mm ¢N.Nm ocowg l mHuOfim oo.m qnm.mm o.qu oo.omH qmo.a o.oe «ma.mm omm.om 0.6mm qw.moH mou< cumumms Ho.a oom.w m.Ono om.mN mmq.q N.ooq mN.H~ Noo.¢ H.60N oa.mq nonfi>oum auoummm 0H.H owq.w ¢.o©m qm.~m Hem.o o.mnq mm.om mmm.H w.mm Km.mq moca>oum anonusom noo.H moq.mH «.mNN.H mm.n~ «ON.NH N.NOH.H om.mm HON.N ~.oNH mo.n¢ ouofi>oum cHOSuuoz xmeaH mace Aooo.v muaamo mace Aooo.v, musamo mace Aooo.v muaamo coauafiomcoo ownumz cowumasmom Mom owuuox aofiumfisaom umm uwuuoz cowumasaom pom muwamo mom Hmuoy woumafiumm mpcaom Hmuoa moumsfiumm mpcsom HouOH pmumafiumm mwasom Hmuoa Hooch Hausa annum scamom «Boa .mzomn muww snowy o:~o> ~ommo>xo sea as women wa~s> we assay a“ vocwuov we: unease .vom: honed song; use auuamu coon mucouucu ponmqu .OOOOO name“ OOu>uom can «manage! oommnousm a .uuo .Houumwu «0 ounce cow>uom assess mo mocowq .uoan mo meson ..o.« .moauu>«uom cowuoovoum gnaw a“ monunmu: Amuanu30v moousomou mo 30am assess any so vauaaauuwo who: newumu HH< m mH.mH Hw.m~ em.o~ w¢.e Mn.oH 0H.mo mn.- mo.aH mm.m~ coo: Sauna kuuamU1uonwA on. em. mm. as. mm. um. um. me. he. saw: Owumx nonmqlusauso o A em.m n¢.w oo.m nm.n ~c.m mo.- Nm.o m~.m mn.w use: Ouumm HmuumeMuamuso enm0auwm owaocOOm o w m m o m _m mg 5 exam vacuum amuoh II. II it ll MI. .1! mm. ml. NW. eouwux suosusom m 0H auu< cucumo: o m m a o - ~ scams. Eons—oz ”afiaaom an «luau mo heels: .m.=oNA .m.=w~v .m.=m~A .m.=mmv vuwoaOSO ousonuao ousonuao vuoonuao .oavvom cavvom awam a autumn deem a ouvvom anew a vacuum unawaHSAOHQ no made was weak saw; a moon uoz wow“ uoz we“: uoz wean uoz mafia oauom sound was we: anew us: away: no: uum uoz mead "vow: Oman uoz umom munch noon Ouedh anon madam anon snawm anon madam assoc Oahu mouse vuevsdum condo vuuveaum 00:00 vusveuum noon: unhu anon H x u m m a u n d mark numb muwuuuuauuuunzu mauam=mHm NAHaihzmmmmmum NJ H.349 55 technologies as well as the intensity with which scarce resources are used in combination. Comparison of the different firm types in Table 4.2 shows that the greatest amount of output in terms of value added can be Obtained per unit of scarce capital available in firm type D as well as the highest productivity of labor. Since labor is one of the major inputs supplied by the firm household, the productivity of labor is of Special interest in defining homogeneous representative firm groups. The value added/labor ratio is an indication of labor productivity or the intensity with which labor is utilized in combina— tion with other capital inputs. The firms Operating salla and fante boats with larger outboard engines have a labor productivity consider- ably higher than the small standard and Kroo canoe firms. An analysis of variance in the value added/labor ratios between firms in different regions and different firm types revealed that regional effects were not significant even at the 30 percent level, whereas the firm type was significant at the .1 percent level. The R2 for this analysis was .7, indicating that a high percentage of varia— tion can be explained by differences in equipment technology and a low percentage due to regional difference. This suggests a high degree of homogeneity in firm groupings. The lower labor/capital ratio of firm type F indicates a greater capital intensity in this firm type than in all other small-scale firm types examined. Although there is a wide range of labor/capital ratios between different technology types, from a low of 6.98 in firm type F to a high of 43.10 in firm type D, the labor capital ratio of most firm types are closely clustered between 16.73 and 23.81. It is hypothesized that the choice of technology would be quite insensitive among these 56 centrally clustered firm types to changes in the relative factor prices between labor and capital inputs. This hypothesis will be analyzed further in Chapter 6. 4.3 Labor Utilization by the Firm 4.3.1 Family Labor Characteristics The stock of family labor present in the household is shown in Table 4.3 to range from 2.8 persons for firm type D (kroo canoe and cast net), to 16.5 persons in firm type I (fante boat, >26 HP engine, ring net). An hour of child labor (lo-15 years old) was considered as half the value of an hour of adult labor of the same sex based on Spencer and Byerlee's [1976] findings that child wages in Sierra Leone are approximately half their adult equivalent. Children less than 10 years of age were not considered as contributing to the family labor supply. If the family labor stock is discounted for these factors, the number Of contributing members varied from a low of 2.4 adult equi- valents in those firms Operating the small krOO canoes, firm type D, to a high of 11.5 adult equivalents in the larger firms of type I (fante boat, >26 HP engine, ring net). Household size is therefore closely associated with the type of technological equipment employed by the firm. Household heads possessed a variety of skills and backgrounds. About 60 percent Of the household heads achieved their fishing skills through informal training by a relative, while 26 percent had undergone some form Of apprenticeship with more experienced fishermen for an average term of 4 years. Formal English education was limited to an average of only 1.3 years among all household heads. The allocation of family labor between fish production, pro- cessing and trading and nonfish enterprises varied by firm type, season 57 coauwaoaoa Hmuou :« onhu sumo mo mfisfim mo woman: vmumawumm mnu ou wafiwuooom owmuo>< emunwfiozm HH.m me.HH mH.oH os.oa am.s oo.a os.~ wH.m e~.m mm.o muamHm>H=am “saga mo umnaaz mm.o m¢.©H 0N.¢H om.MH «H.0H oo.m ow.N Nm.© om.¢ hm.h maomhwm mo HOQESZ HNHOH Hm.H oo.m ma.q oN.m ma.m oo.~ as. SH.H NH.H as. Assume oHvV amnesaeo wNJ mm. om. hm. Awummw mHIOHv fiOHUHH£U mH.N mw.o mN.< O¢.¢ mm.N OO.m OO.H OH.N h¢.H ow.N Awhmmw +mHV mudflfl< OHNEmh Nw.N ©©.¢ ww.m ON.© mm.m oo.¢ o¢.H om.N mm.H m¢.m Amhwmw +nHv mUan< OHNZ mmwmuo>¢ H m w m m a u m < Hmsoaumz mama swam moaumwuouomumso mm H zmHm fin MNHm QAOmMmDom mw< m.< MAQ< 323035. 2.8 8.3 2.3 3.2 $6 26 2; $6 2.8 8.: 1.28 mat—no: uo suoum aqua... S.~ fl. 8.“ Q. 34 S. a.“ 3:23. a»: :18 3.3 2...: 3.: 85 on; 3.0 o: 8.3 2.: 32.35 an: i: an. A an. an. 3. 28m 5 no: :5: «Ha S.» of: 3.: 34 SJ 2; 3. :.~ 2on 5 an: in a = o u u a u n < BE .unn die? .ucu .23? .25 :35? .95 :33? 23.: .36 s as. film a can :8 a u: nuns ac: no: as: 9.3 no: 9.: an: «an: .m sun: 02%: an: aura no: new no: 9.: 13.70 So: :5 menu—hon union 3th nylon madam non—G 09.: 0250 waive-um a . “Sod-z . NE 5.: F Ammzonmuv mm: 53h m>HH< claw—w 05an wmdnn.‘ 84:: n53: No.32 unsunuifi uo unou acauuuuzvu< .33.... Nn.N 3.3 we.» and no. ucoangvu 9.23... .350 nn.~o~ mméooa 3K“: 090qu oaJOQ uni—51.0w am: «such 3.: 3.23 2.33 2.3.: m~.~mm “553:5 endgame: H58. Immdowl 3.33 35: 8.2: 3.3m P5203 mw.~ min mm.m mod udmm 004. no.0 on.” moK wné acuvvum 913.” 3.9: «Emma 3.2...“ Ouénu “noun—«awn anon H58. uni 90.3 nm.mn «oz: 3.: “ES—3.5m anon .350 2.3 3.20 o~.n~n 3.2:“ «TEN anon an: H I u m lhflh ”Susanna; .95 .m.m 3A .95 ii ouv .95 .mi mHA .nnm .mimav Ewan—«:3 30: mag 30: new: 8.02 9.2 .332 new“ amou~>< dqaonaz nuuon wucum canon add-m nnoco No.3 ART; not—NM Nadia unflaummifi mo :8 nowznasvo< .230“. 0.7... “a. ~0.~ $4 nozn unwind—Jam meanuuh nufio Edna 3.: @065 «meu Sénm 335ng an: #33. 3K 24 :6. mw.n SJ uni-3.5m nounasnoum H38. ~04 own naifi ac:— madam him an!" «en ”in :8 weavuum 2&2 8.2 3.3 2.3 SSS 0:833”. ion :08. «0.3 34 no... 85 :6 333:3 anon uufio modmu no.2” moéo 85m meéoa anon u n u n 1 Adam a sauna.“ Huum a adv—van Adam a 025.3 34.5 vacuum 3:0 33.: uuz “win 52 uwm an: and... 050m annum uuuz 3:0 3:3 Edam 02.30 005— uonuu vuavewum mat. 53m . 355qu mm: Imam rm quzhmusz szrmHaom mo Hmou zen—Hammad”: n . a “332. 72 and other sources supplied 18, 21, and 29 percent of the saved capital, respectively. Family members were the most important source of loans for initial capital supplying 56 percent of the borrowed funds. Friends and traders each supplied 20 percent while the commercial banking system was never used by members of the sample as a source of borrowed funds in establishing small-scale fishing firms. Working capital requirements for daily purchased inputs were most frequently met from retained earnings. However, during periods of poor catch or natural disasters which depleted the working stock capital, the local trader was the most frequent source of short term working capital loans. In that event fishermen may receive nylon, petrol, etc. on credit from the local shopkeeper to be repaid the same day after the catch has been sold but most frequently it involved a long term symbiotic relationship with a local fish wholesaler. Approxi- mately 57 percent of the firms borrowed regularly from their "customer," i.e., fish wholesaler. Repayment of these short term loans (average length of loan was 33 days) was almost universally made in kind, i.e., raw or smoked fish. Fish used as repayment were usually valued at 8 to 11 percent less than the market price at the time of repayment. While the loan was outstanding the fisherman was obligated to sell only to his "customer" whenever she was in the locality. This provided the wholesaler with an assured source of supply and a mon0pso- nistic bargaining position but it also allowed the fisherman a ready source of secure credit to meet his needs. Approximately 70 percent of the firms who had borrowed from fish traders were currently indebted to them. 73 Larger medium-term loans for equipment capital usually came from larger trading firms in the area, usually from Sierra Leoneans of Arab descent. Within the sample of 93 fishermen, 12 such loans were currently being repaid. All had been obtained to purchase new out— board engines varying in size from 8 to 26 horsepower. The average size of loan from this source was Le 764. The following formula1 was used to solve for the interest rate "r" in the rural money market: A A . A A P=(l—d) r + r + r +...+ r n+(d)(g)(E) (1+ 12 (1+ 12 (1+ 12 (1+—ff) where: P = principal d = the default rate A = the amount of each monthly repayment g = the probability of actually repossessing the defaulted engine E = the depreciated value of the engine at the time of repossession n = the number of months since the loan was received r = the interest rate At the time the loan was received, the average repayment schedule legislated by the trader, assuming no default (i.e., d = 0), implied an annual interest charge of 169 percent. For example, the terms for one fisherman were stated as follows: a) Le 460 cash for the engine or b) Le 530 credit with Le 160 downpayment and Le 100 repayment per month for the next 3.7 months. That is, P = 530 - 160 = 370, A = 100 and n = 3.7. However, for 83 percent of the loans which were 1Bottomley [1975] develops a theoretical framework for incor- porating risk premiums, administration costs, monopoly profit, and the opportunity cost of capital in his examination of rural interest rates. 74 repaid, delayed payments usually extended the life of the loan and thus reduced the actual interest rate of repaid loans to 73 percent annually. If this actual rate is adjusted for the risks involved through loan default, computed as d = 16.77 percent of all loans, the "realistic" interest rate reduces to 43.3 percent annually.1 4.4.3 Annual User Cost of Capital In order to assess the annual flow of services derived from working and equipment capital stocks, all stocks of capital were con- verted into annual user service costs. This was done by applying the capital recovery formula [Yotopoulous, 1967]: R._.__rz_:fi l - (1+r) where V is the original acquisition cost of the capital item; r is an apprOpriate discount rate reflecting the Opportunity cost of the capital and n is the life expectancy of the capital item. The come puted R is a constant annual capital service cost or rental value of the capital reflecting both the opportunity cost of funds invested in the capital and the depreciation in the value of capital over its ex- pected life. Data on the original acquisition cost and the life ex— pectancy of equipment items were collected from respondent estimates. To provide some degree of allowance for individual differences in management, maintenance and intensity of use, the respondent's actual 1Assumes a 50 percent probability (c) of repossessing the defaulted engine after 3 months use during which the engine depre- ciates on a straight line depreciation schedule over its expected life. 75 life expectancy estimate was used.1 The source of capital is a major factor in determining its actual cost. It Was noted earlier that indigenous traders receive slightly over 40 percent annual interest on medium term (4-5 month) loans when adjusted for default risk. On the other extreme, commer- cial banks are reported to charge a maximum discount rate Of 12 percent [Liedholm and Chuta, 1976]. Initially the actual cost of capital facing small-scale firms (i.e., 40 percent) was used as the apprOpriate discount factor. Table 4.8 shows the annual service cost Of equipment capital by representative firm group using the estimated 40 percent as the Opportunity cost Of capital. As the size of firm in terms of total capital investment increases from the small canoe firms (types A through D) to the larger boat firms (types E through I), the service cost Of boat and net equipment represent a smaller fraction of total service cost. This is due to the relatively long expected life of these items in comparison with the short-lived outboard engine which is purchased by the larger firms. The annual service cost of propulsion equipment increases dramatically from Le 1.05 for the firm Operating a small Kroo Canoe to over Le 1068.00 for firms operating the large Fante boats. Particularly noteworthy is the wide range Of total annual service cost from a low Of Le 35 to over Le 2600. This is primarily due to the differences in propulsion equipment used. 1If the life expectancy was unknown or the respondent's estimate was greater than three standard deviations from the mean sample estimate for that item, the sample mean expected life for the item was used. 76 .COfiumHoaoa kuOu ozu :H Oahu some we mEpaw mo Hones: vnumfiwumw o:u Ou wcprouum owmnw>< vmunwwoza .mooaumasuamo OH van: on: kuwmmo wo umoo Hmfiucmcww unu wuuuumamou unmouwn cc «0 van“ unsoumflu uum Hmssd¢ HmuOH Hm.m mq.mH mm.m om.w so. n~.m nu. mo.a o~.H an. uaoamfisvm weanmwm nocuo mm.¢ no.~n Hm.o~ ~m.n~ oo.n cm.w ow. om.~ q~.n m~.~ acoenfiavm uwom nonuo mo. mm. ma. mafia was :00: am. NO.¢H NH. Nn. uw: ummo ~q.m H<.omH waaom gamma Hm.mm «H.5m mo.o Hm.oma Hm.n~ um: umm nn.¢< nm.qo on.HH eo.< «H.0m o~.m oo.o~ um: umaua om.on ~m.mqm mq.~mw mo.¢ao mH.cn~ o¢.~ ma.mn um: :wafim: HH< "muuz mm.mH me.nmn m~.n¢m .m.m+- o¢.H m~.H¢H .m.mNN ma.H~ mm.woc wq.Nmm mm.omo .m.=mH e~.~ m<.n< em.om .m.=NH ~<.oa om.cw~ .m.:n Unmonuso wo.H mm.m mH.m wH.n om. H~.~ Ho.H mo.H mawwm mw.H oo.m nn.n mm.o oo.~ mm.~ wN.H mN.H m~.H fio.H mOHVpom ucweawsvm mowmaauOum nn.o nn.Hm~ m¢.~oH umom auamm nm.w um.um mm.o¢H ~H.Hm NN.Hm umom madam Nc.mu 0N.N om.m~ om.mm mm.om woemo uuwunmum mm. m¢.na woamo oouM "upon c.8203. 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Hauwamu uumEmaavm mo umoo ouw>uuw Hmaac< .H mNmDHHozmmxm H m u m m a o m < .95.. .m.=oNA .mcm .miomv .mam .méman .mcm .mimHV man—own 335m Saw a mum Saw a cum dam a vow uwz mag uuz may .32 mug 32 ms; .m :uwwm mafia a 300: umz :qu uwz uwm uoz wag uuz umwu use: uuamh uaom mHHmm mouse ooux wonmu vumvcuum as 55: EwuH HamHDON mmHm. 20 En HmomxH ENUMME OH nz< AHH26 HP eng.) to only one man-year in firm type D (Kroo canoe, cast net, paddle). This range partially reflects the greater seaworthiness of the larger boat types which permits continued Operation of the craft under more adverse weather conditions. It was found that a high preportion (42 percent) of total male labor was allocated to net repair compared to actual fishing. The seasonal profiles revealed that the October through March period was the peak fishing season, both in terms of monthly labor employment and output harvested. This period had a 61 percent in- crease in the monthly fish catch over the six month period between April and September. The annual output produced per firm ranged from 2.3 metric tons for firm type D (Kroo canoe, cast net, paddle) to slightly over 100 metric tons in firm type H (fante boat, ring net, <26 HP eng.). Initial capital requirements for small—scale fisheries came primarily from retained earnings from previous employment, however noninstitutional credit sources (traders, friends, and relatives) pro- vide almost half of the initial investment capital. The cost of capital for the small-scale firm was calculated at approximately 40 percent in comparison to a ten percent cost of capital for large-scale firms. The largest single item in terms of initial capital investment as well as 100 input costs was the fish net, although for firm types F through I, the cost of operating and repairing the outboard engine accounted for over 85 percent of purchased input costs. In the enterprise budget analysis of the different firm types, it was found that all small-scale technology types yielded "pure" economic profits. In comparison to the level of economic profits per leone of output produced in agricultural enterprises, the economic profits from small—scale fisheries surpass those attained in most types of rural production actiVities found in the coastal regions. When comparing the profit per leone of fish produced among the small— scale firm types, firm type D (Kroo canoe, cast net, paddle) had t0p ranking. In general the more labor intensive types had the higher profits per leone of fish landed. However all small-scale firms had significantly higher profits (lower costs) per leone of fish produced than did the large-scale firms. It was also found that lowering the cost of capital from 40 percent to 20 percent did not change the relative profitability rankings among small—scale firm types. CHAPTER 5 PROCESSING AND MARKETING OF FISH SUPPLIES An analysis of processing and marketing is vital to the study of the marine fisheries subsector. Since fish are extremely perishable in a trOpical climate, the value of the producer's catch is dependent on the availability of processing facilities or a large number of con- sumers in the immediate vicinity. Since a majority of Sierra Leone consumers live a considerable distance from fish producing areas, an understanding of the indigenous system of small scale traders and pro- cessors is essential to developing fisheries as a low—cost, high— quality protein source. ~ Field research examined four segments of the processing-marketing system; (1) smoke processing, (2) smoked fresh fish wholesaling, (3) smoked fresh fish retailing and (4) raw frozen fish wholesaling. Des— criptions of other minor segments such as small-scale raw fresh fish wholesaling-retailing, which were not covered by the field research will be constructed from available data.1 This chapter will provide a brief overview of the processing— marketing system followed by a more detailed examination of costs and returns of smoke processing, smoked fresh fish wholesaling and retailing, and finally raw frozen fish wholesaling. The modified 1These are presented in Appendix 5, 6, and 7 and will be dis— cussed in Chapter 6 where they are used to complete the aggregate model. 101 102 altona oven which has been developed by the Rural Fisheries Project in Elmina, Ghana,will be presented as an alternative to traditional smoke processing technologies. 5.1 Overview of Marketing Channels The domestic fish supply comes from three different sources. Raw fresh fish are landed in relatively smaller catches by a large number of small-scale producers as well as in relatively larger quanti- ties by a few large-scale producers in Freetown. These sources are supplemented by imports of raw frozen fish from foreign trawling fleets. Separate market channels have evolved to accommodate the variability and form of these three sources. A large number of smoke processors, each processing a small quantity, handle the daily catch of the isolated small-scale producers. Smoked fish wholesalers aggregate small-scale catches and deliver them to inland markets where they may be purchased either by other wholesalers who carry the product further inland or by retailers who supply local urban and rural consumers. The large-scale catch is landed in Freetown where it is quickly retailed in the raw form to nearby urban markets. The large size of the urban population relative to the volume of the large-scale daily catchiacilitates immediate sale with little or no processing necessary. In contrast, the frozen fish from foreign producers is imported and wholesaled by a single joint-venture company which owns cold storage facilities in eleven urban centers. The frozen fish must then be either retailed raw within six to eight hours or smoke processed because the retailer does not have frozen storage facilities. 103 5.2 Description of Smoke Processing Most of the small—scale domestic catch is preserved and eaten in the smoked form. Usually smoke processing is undertaken by the fisher- man's wife as soon as the catch is landed. Larger species are gutted and sectioned to increase the surface area of the fish exPosed to the heat and smoke, thus facilitating a faster and more thorough drying process. The traditional techology of the smoking platform (banda) is al- most universally used throughout the coastal areas. The raised smoking platform may vary in size but in general, its efficiency is limited because the heat generated by the fire below is used only once as it passes through the single layer of fish. In contrast, the improved smoking ovens of Nigeria, Ghana, and Mali, layer the fish on six or seven wire racks stacked on t0p of each other, allowing the heat to pass through several layers before escaping; thus reducing fuel costs. The traditional banda may be housed in a small corner of the family kitchen or in a separate well-ventilated structure. During the dry season, additional platforms may be constructed out of doors to facilitate processing of the increased seasonal catch. Local hardwoods provide the basic fuel with preference being given to trees of low pitch content. Coconut hulls, rice hulls and other combustible by- products may also be used. Kerosine is frequently used to ignite the fuels in order to create a more even temperature throughout the drying surface when a large catch is being quickly processed. The costs and returns per 100 pounds of raw fish equivalents in the traditional smoke processing technique are shown in Table 5.1. All figures are based on raw fish equivalents because it was found that the 104 TABLE 5.1 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKE FISH PROCESSING USING TRADITIONAL TECHNOLOGY BASED ON SURVEY OF 93 FIRMS IN SIERRA LEONE (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH) Item Northern RegionI Western Area j Southern Region . Leon‘s EXPENDITURES A. User Service Capital Costs8 1. Fish Processing Equipment .05 .05 .05 2. Fish Smoking Platform .04 .04 .04 3. Inventory of Working Capital .01 .01 .01 a) Total Capital Costs .10 .10 .10 3. Labor Costs: 1. Male Family -21 hrs. .032 .019 .023 2. Female Family 2.48 hrs. .198 .149 .223 3. Male Hired .05 hrs. .008 .005 .006 4. Female Hired .56 hrs. .045 .034 .050 a) Total Labor Cost .28 .21 .30 C. Purchased Material Inputs: 1. Firewood .27 .27 .27 2. Kerosine and Miscellaneous Inputs .01 .01 .01 a) Total Purchased Material Inputs .28 .28 .28 D. Total Operating Expenditures .66 .59 .68 INCOMES 1. Value of Smoke Fish 9.86 12.95b 10.47 2. Less Value of Raw Fish 9.15 12.33 9.73 B. Cross Margins .71 .62 .72 1. Less Operating Expenditure .66 .59 .68 F. Net Profit to the Firm .05 .03 .04 G. Return Per Hour Family Labor .10 .07 .11 H. Cost Per Leone of Smoke Fish Processed .O7 .05 .06 Assuming 20 Percent Cost of Capital: A. Total Capital Costs .08 .08 .08 B. Total Operating Expenditures .64 .57 .66 C. Net Profit to the Firm .07 .05 .06 D. Return to .11 .08 .12 aDiscount factor of 40 percent. b The average value of raw fish used in smoking is less than the value of raw fish sold because the fresh fish market in Freetown provides an outlet for 1arger,better quality,raw fish which are more difficult to smoke adequately. 105 weight loss during the drying process varied with the length of time on the drying platform and the size and Species Of the fish. Samples of 70 selected catches in the five landing sites were weighed before and after smoking and it was found that Species Of raw fish weighing less than one pound experienced a 42 percent reduction in weight during the drying process. Species averaging more than one pound per fish had only a 24 percent reduction in weight per fish. Therefore, although the value per smoked fish is on average only 7 percent above its corres- ponding raw fish value; due to the weight loss factors, the price per pound of dried fish may be 40 to 85 percent greater than the price per pound Of raw fish. The traditional technology is Similar throughout the coastal regions, but the cost Of inputs, particularly labor, varies between regions. Fuels comprise the largest Single input cost, covering about 44 percent of all drying costs while labor costs constitute an additional 36 to 44 percent depending on the region. Returns per hour Of family labor in Smoke processing are signi- ficantly lower than in the fish production sector. However, since female labor comprises over 76 percent of all labor used in processing, the relevant comparison is with the regional wages for females. This reveals that returns to labor in processing are slightly higher than the corresponding female wage rate in each region. Because the annual service cost Of capital constitutes a minor part Of the Operating costs, a reduction in the cost Of capital from 40 to 20 percent has a minor influence on the returns to labor and firm profits. From line H, of Table 5.1 it can be seen that processing costs constitute approximately six cents or six percent of the value of smoke processed fish. 106 For purposes Of comparison, technical efficiency ratios Of the modified altona oven were adapted to Sierra Leone resource costs in con- structing Table 5.2. The oven consists of seven square wooden-framed trays measuring four feet by four feet with wire mesh across the bottom, which are layered inside the oven. The oven is made Of local brick with a thin cement plaster on the inside and has a corregated iron roof. The modified altona oven requires considerably more capital investment than the traditional banda but uses approximately 40 percent less fuel and onlytxxafourth the labor required by the banda per unit Of fish processed. An additional advantage Of the altona oven, not reflected in Table 5.2 is that it produces a more uniform product having a longer shelf life than is capable on the traditional banda. Fish, hot-smoked for three-four hours on the traditional banda, frequently need addition- al re-drying by wholesalers and retailers after four-five days while fish having been smoked a comparable time in the altona oven have an es- timated shelf life of six to ten days depending on humidity and initial moisture content. This preliminary examination indicates that the altona oven has distinct advantages over current processing technologies in re- ducing the required amount of labor and fuel, the two largest cost items in using the traditional banda technique. Therefore the altona oven merits further research and development for Sierra Leone conditions. 5.3 Wholesaling_of Smoked Fish in Urban Centers The relationship between the smoked fish wholesaler and the producing community is many faceted. As previously mentioned, the small-scale producer turns to the fish wholesaler as his major source 107 TABLE 5.2 COSTS AND RETURNS FOR SMOKE FISH PROCESSING USING MODIFIED ALTONA OVEN (PER 100 POUNDS OF RAW FISH) Item Northern Region Western Area Southern Region EXPENDITURES ---------- — - — Leones — — — __________ A: User Service Capital Costs3 1. Fish Processing Toosl .05 .05 .05 2. Modified Altona Ovenb .08 .08 .08 3. Inventory of working .01 .01 .01 a. Total Capital Costs .14 .14 .14 8. Labor Costs Female family .07 .05 .08 C. Purchased Material Input 1. Firewood .15 .15 .15 2. Kerosine and Miscellaneous Inputs .01 .01 .01 a. Total Purchased Material Inputs 16 .16 16 D. Total Operating Expenditures .37 .35 .38 INCOHES 1. Value of Smoke Fish 9.86 12.95 10.47 2. Less Value Of Raw Fish 9.15 12.33 9.73 E. Gross Margin .71 .62 .72 1. Less Operating Expenditures .37 .35 .38 F. Net Profit to the Firm .34 .27 .34 G. Return Per Hour Family Labor .38 .30 .38 Assuming 20 percent Cost of Capital A. Total Capital Costs .10 .10 .10 B. Total Operating Expenditures .33 .31 .34 C. Net Profit to the Firm .38 .31 .38 D. Return per hour family labor .42 .34 .42 aDiscount factor of 40 percent. bTotal cost Of oven of 260 lb capacity is 82.92 with expected lifetime of 5 years operating 200 per year. Sources: [Goverment of Ghana/International Development Research Center Rural Fisheries Project, 1973], DiSCUssions with Staff of the Fisheries Division. Government of Ghana. 108 of short term working capital. Approximately 30 percent of the small- scale producers had a Single fish wholesaler from Outside their region to whom they regularly sold their catch. In addition, a study of 33 wholesale traders interviewed in the producing regions revealed that 25 percent of them bring other products, including foodstuffs, into the region for sale. Seventy-five percent considered their destination of fish sale as their home locality while only 20 percent originated from within the producing region. Table 5.3 reveals the cost and returns to smoked fish wholes. saling in various market channels based on a study of 20 traders who were monitored enroute throughout the channel from producer to consumer. Since traders could not be identified for some channels data for simi- lar routes were used tO construct representative budgets. The construc- ted budgets revealed several channels in which the gross margins be- tween producing region and wholesaling destination were insufficient to cover labor and, in some cases, non-labor Operating costs. Therefore, returns to trader's labor were far below the average female wage rate for that region which explains why no traders could be identified who covered these particular market channels. Initially, wholesale. labor was valued at the unskilled urban wage rate at the respective urban destination. In those routes for which data were actually attained, the simple average returns tO the wholesale trader's labor was approximately 55 percent more than their respective urban wage rates. MOre appropriately returns could be weighted by the actual pounds of fish marketed in each channel which will be determined in the aggregate model in Chapter 6. 109 $31 Jen-n vats-Ion. 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Although the total transport cost varied directly with distance, the cost per unit delivered did not always convey this relationship, as a larger volume per trip was carried on longer trips than on shorter distances such as the Northern Region-tO-Western Area channel. This was reinforced with the findings that 38 percent Of smoked fish retailers in urban Western Area are regularly undertaking wholesaling activities in purchasing small quantities Of smoked and raw fish from the Bullom Peninsula or rural Western Area on a twice weekly basis. Over the sample of 20 traders monitored continuously enroute, it was found that breakage averaged between five to seven percent of the weight carried, depending on distance and the number of vehicle transfers needed in route. The broken fish were sold at a loss Of 34 percent Of the average retail price of fish in good condition. In the public's Opinion, the fish wholesaler is believed to be extracting unusually high returns due to her monopsonistic position in the fishing community and the Opportunity for collusion between traders in the same locality. The findings Of the present study would tend to indicate that while the returns to female labor in wholesaling are three or four times the female wage rate in the rural producing region, they are significantly less than the returns which could be earned in alternative entrepreneurial activities such as gara making [Liedholm and Chuta, 1976] in the community from which their labor is drawn. 111 5.4 Smoked Fish Retailing in Urban Centers After reaching the urban wholesale market, smoked fish are usually purchased in smaller quantities by urban retailers (averaging ten days' supply). Even when larger quantities are purchased, the fish are completely unpacked from wholesaling containers, counted and examined for spoilage and breakage before being repacked by the retailer. Table 5.4 shows the costs and returns associated with smoked fish retailing in urban centers of the three provinces and Western Area. Variable costs such as market fees, storages, etc., differed between urban centers depending on the facilities available. In the Northern Province all Of the retailers stored fish in their personal living quarters but an imputed cost Of storage was determined from the whole- saling firms which averaged .08 cents per pound per day on the unsold balance. However, in Western Area 54 percent Of the traders stored in commercial storage where average charges were .17 cents per pound per day on the unsold balance. Based on interviews with 81 retail traders dealing with bonga species in seven urban markets over an eight month period, the average retail price was 44 percent higher than the average wholesale price. The return per hour Of retailing labor was considerably below the urban wage rate for the area and approximately one third the returns to labor in wholesaling. While Table 5.4 is based on retailers who purchased locally and undertook retailing activities only, approximately 44 percent Of smoked fish retailers were conscious of the higher returns in wholesaling and were purchasing their own supplies directly from producers in the coastal regions. 112 .Hmuwamo «0 once usoouon oc vousasoo muomawou one» unsoomwno .mm .oos«>oum choco=Om "ca .OOeH>oum cumummm “Ha .oo:«>oum chosuuoz “ma .oou< assumes "esoHH0u mm mm: ouum mamaom “maoz mo. mo. 50. ma. uonmq wswawmuom no use: yam eunumm .o so.w- s~.o~u .Nm.oH- mm.mu sham use on swoops uuz .O sm.qs he.a~ «w.es mm.os mousuaeamaxm manganese Hosea .m om. as. as. ma. Hangman no umoo mos>uwm .< Hmuaemo mo umoo uaoouom ON mafianmm< mo. so. so. NH. noses assume use: Hoe assume .m Ha.w- ow.o~u a¢.oai Hm.mu span may as useoum umz .o Ho.sH mn.- mm.ea Ho.HH ousuaeeoaxm masseuseo Haney mama .H om.o mm.e oo.m oH.R camps: macho .m wa.sa a~.ma om.ma sa.oa oaaa> masseuse assume mama .N wN.HN o~.- ~m.ma sm.m~ u=Hm> madam assume .H mmzoozH He.sa m~.n~ mm.oa Ho.HH mausuaeemexm mesumuueo deuce .m mm.a No.a ow.H ms.H memos manasums Hence an an. no. am.H mm. mum Omaha: .4 mm. mm. ma. as. «esteem .m on. mo. RH. mm. pheasants .N No. so. no. messes Hmeosuaee< .H "mumoo manmfium> umnuo .n Ho.mH os.o~ s~.sa No.m poems muosamumm .O OH. mo. as. so. «amusemo essence to once uus>uom .m as. RH. ma. NH. «sausage uaoaassum so once oua>uwm .< mumpsHazmmxm mucosa mocfi>oum shonusom Oucw>oum cumummm ouca>oum suoauuoz mou< ensues: mucusou sesamcou some: aooH Aezms<>H=om mmHm 34m so .mms ooH ammo memoams an we wm>m=m memaaoo coy OHnuoz mom umoo HmuOH . . . . . Hmuwamo mo umoo unmoumm OH as He Nwm um nmm mm Nmm we own Hm mom pouo>waon doe oases: pom umoo Hooch qm.mom em.mom cm.mo~ qm.mom qm.mo~ moan udouuom 0H wafipoaosH ommsouom swam museum Ne.~a NS.~H Ne.~H ~e.~a NS.NH mmmmeoexm moa>umm awesome mw.ooa Ho.moa mo.HHH om.wm mo.om momsomxm oanmaum> Hmuoa am. am. am. am. am. xmwm mo.a wo.H wo.a we.H mo.a maOHumHQM OHHnom ma.~ mm.u mo.~ ma.~ mm.m o>wumnumaSHSp¢ nm.~¢ mm.ne mm.nq mm.nq nm.n¢ mmua>uom swam emcee mn.ma no.5H mw.HN 0N.HH mm. swam unwamwm pmom no.a Ha.m mn.m nm.m mo. uuommsmuy mom Spamnsm Hosm mo.¢m ma.q~ mm.qm mo.q~ mm.q~ uonma mmmum oq.n oe.m oq.~ oq.m o¢.n vmmnuo>o momsomwm manmaum> Imosomq In .u.a mom.m .u.a mac .u.a mmo.~ .u.a Nam .u.a mno.a oaoog apnoea om powwow “swam: sBOumoum amuH AZOH UHMHmZ mmm Hmouv shad .mMMHzmo mMZszoo 24mm: OH quA_ Kijjk (11) 126 Large-scale production capital was constrained in the same manner as small-scale capital described above, except in the closed- economy run of the 1980 model where an annual growth rate of 10.8 percent was required to attain a feasible solution given the other constraints. This can be justified since international capital supplies are accessible through joint-venture corporate ownership arrangements for large-scale firms. 6.2 Parameters of the MOdel Since the aggregate model was based on the microeconomic survey described in previous chapters, Table 6.1 presents the sources for the various model parameters. The present survey analyzed the cost and returns for smoked fresh and raw frozen fish wholesaling as well as smoked fresh fish urban retailing. These channels encompass a major portion of the total fish marketed. However a minor share of the total fish consumed are marketed in other forms through alternative markets such as raw whole- saling-retailing and rural smoked retailing not covered directly in the survey data. Based on data obtained in the surveyed channels and the author's familiarity with the other markets, activity vectors were constructed for these alternative channels to complete the aggregate model (see Appendices 5, 6, and 7). The model is used to determine the following aggregate variables: (a) the quantity of output produced by both small-scale and large-scale industries as well as imports needed to meet domestic de- mand, (b) the number of establishments by type of technology producing, (c) the number of pe0ple employed in the production-processing- 127 TABLE 6.1 SOURCES FOR PARAMETERS OF THE AGGREGATE MODEL Activity Parameter Source Production ij Appendix 3 Mgk Tables 4.12 and 4.16 W Table 4.5 and Appendices 5, sk 6, and 7 o L . Table 4.4 83k K; Tables 4.12 and 4.16 n n Processing Mgk'szk’Kj Table 5.1 and 5.2 h h ' 5. , . i 5 Wholesaling Mgka’Liska 1 Tables 3 5 5 and Append x r r r Retailing M L K Table 5.4 and Appendices 6 ia isa i and 7 Total Revenue an Appendix 4 Pia Table 5.4 and Appendices 5, 6, and 7 marketing system by region, (d) the quantity of smoked and raw fish marketed by each region through the various market channels (see Figure 6.1). In addition the model solves for the net economic re- turns to the subsector after paying the market price for all resources. The final aggregate statistic generated is the subsector's contribu- tion to the country's Gross Domestic Product. 128 6.3 Modeling of the 1974 Situation The activity vectors presented in the preceding sections com- pose the model describing the situation in 1974. The maximum number of boat units available were set as less than or equal to the number available in 1974. Table 6.2 provides a comparison of the base run with the actual 1974 conditions. Base Run 1974. Since smoked and raw fish are close substitutes, one would expect their demand schedules to be closely interrelated. Retail Sales of smoked fish compete with raw fish sales in satisfying domestic demand. For this reason, the base run integrates inland urban demand for smoked and raw fish supplied from both fresh and frozen sources. This is done by creating a single smoked fish demand in inland areas and allowing both fresh and frozen fish to compete in the markets after it is smoked. However, at the coastal urban areas (Freetown) fresh domestic and frozen imported fish supplies compete in satisfying both raw and smoked urban demands. In the rural coastal areas, raw fish demand is met by intraregional production only. The result of this run is an optimal solution closely repli- cating the actual 1974 conditions yet allowing imported frozen and domestic fish supplies to compete freely in smoked and raw fish markets. Frozen imports which are required to meet domestic demand rose to 6,700 metric tons in the base run, just 12 percent more than actual reported imports for 1974. Conversely, domestic small-scale production industries were operating at over 91 percent of capacity while large- scale producers were operating at over 45 percent capacity. Because 129 TABLE 6.2 COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE RUNS OF 1974 MODEL WITH ACTUAL 1974 SITUATION Actual Base Run Frozen 1974 Fish Competing Situation With Fresh Fish 1. Parameters Cost of Capital in Small—Scale Industries .40 .40 Cost of Capital in Large-Scale Industires 10 .10 Import Duty on Frozen Fish 10 .10 Import Duty on Small-Scale Equipment .36 .36 Import Duty on Large—Scale Equipment 10 .10 2. Number of Establishments: Type A, Std. Canoe, Ring Net, Paddle & Sail 569 569 Type B, Std. Canoe, Set Net, Paddle & Sail 1222 785 Type C, Std. Canoe, Drift Net, Paddle & Sail 2542 2542 Type D, Kroo Canoe, Cast Net, Hook & Line, Paddle ‘ 234 234 Type E, Salla Boat, Beach Seine, Paddle 147 147 Type F, Salla Boat, Ring Net, < 15 HP Eng. 203 203 Type C, Salla Boat, Ring Net, > 15 HP Eng. 79 79 Type H, Fante Boat, Ring Net, < 26 HP Eng. 114 114 Type I, Fante Boat, Ring Net, > 26 HP Eng. 51 51 Large-Scale trawlers 9 4 3. Small-Scale Fisheries Employment (man-years)b Production-Processing n.a. Western Area 4149 Northern Province 7413 Southern Province 5045 Wholesaling-Retailing Western Area 10421 Northern Province 12731 Southern Province 8005 Eastern Province 8352 4. Large-Scale Fisheries Employment (man-years) Production n.a Unskilled Labor 196 Skilled Labor 13 Wholesaling Unskilled Labor 23 Semi-Skilled Labor 79 Skilled Labor 5 5. Output of Small-Scale Industries (metric tons) n.a 46205 6. Output of Large—Scale Industries (metric tons) n.a 1751 7. Frozen Fish Import Requirements (metric tons) 5980 6703 8. Net Economic Returns to the Subsector (million Leones) n.a. 1.87 9. Value Added to Gross Domestic Product by the Subsectorc (million Leones) n.a. 17.28 a . . Derived from secondary sources discussed in Chapter 2. b Assumes 1500 working hours per man year in small-seal subsector. c Calculated as value of output less purchased inputs except labor and capital costs. n.a. means not available. 130 this closely approximates the actual 1974 situation this was used as the base run for projections to 1980. This base run indicates that the smallescale production-pro- cessing industry employed approximately 16,600 full time employees while large—scale producers employed 209 people. This derived eme ployment level is about 25 percent more than other previous estimates of rural small-scale fisheries employment [Aubray, 197l,--10,000; FAO, 19734b;41,500;vaernment of Sierra Leone, l973-b,--11,000].. Wholesaling and retailing of smoked and raw fish provide incomes for an additional 39,000 people. In total, the base run indicates that the fisheries subsector employs approximately 56,000 people or five percent of the labor force,in some aspect of the fish production- delivery system and contributes about 17 million leones to Gross Domestic Product, or nearly four times the subsector's estimated con- tribution in the early 19703. The interregional flows of fish indicated by the base run of the model in 1974 are shown in Table 6.3. All of 1974 small-scale production in Western Area was marketed raw to western Area rural and urban markets. In addition to satisfying intraregional subsistence consumption, the Northern Region marketed 18.4 thousand metric tons of which 85 percent was smoked-processed in the region. This smoked output was then wholesaled to Freetown (36 percent) and to Northern Prbvince inland markets (64 percent). The remaining 15 percent of marketed production from Northern Region was wholesaled raw to Free- town. Northern Region was the primary center for small-scale produc- tion, yielding 44 percent of all small-scale output. Marketed output from Southern Region small-scale producers was smoke processed and 131 TABLE 6.3 INTERREGIONAL COMMODITY FLOW IN 1974 AND 1980 Southern Northern Eastern [ Western Area . . . Prov1nce Prov1nce Province 1 Total Supply From Supply Area Raw Smoked Raw Smoked Raw Smoked Raw Smoked 1 He ric Tons—--- 1974 Base Run Frozen Imports 2701 4002 6703 Large-Scale Western Area 1751 1757 Small—Scale Western Area 12070 12070 Small-Scale Southern Region 1808 6388 978 4498 13672 Small-Scale Northern Region 2797 ‘_5656 2092 9918 20463 'Total Demand 16618 5656 1808 6388 2092 13597 8500 54659 1980 Base Run Frozen Imports 2688 3702 5485 11875 Large-Scale Western Area 1858 1858 Small-Scale Western Area 16090 16090 Small-Scale Southern Region 2867 6098 3029 6166 18160 Small-Scale Northern Region 4028 7753 2478 11906 26165 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 Run 1: Frozen Imports 5926 2688 3702 5485 17801 Large-Scale Western Area 2419 2419 Small-Scale Western Area 14755 14755 Small-Scale SOuthern Region 2867 6098 1285 6166 16416 Small-Scale Northern Region 5602 1827 2478 13650 23557 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 Run 4: ‘ Frozen Imports 2224 3702 5435 11411 Large-Scale Western Area 1295 1295 Small-Scale Western Area 17021 17021 Small-Scale Southern Region 2867 6562 3029 6166 18624 Small-Scale Northern Region 4460 _fi7753 2478 11906 29222 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 Run 5: Frozen Imports 1176 3702 5485 10363 Large—Scale Western Area 3240 3240 Small-Scale Western Area 16882 16882 Small-Scale Southern Region 2867 7610 2751 6166 19394 Small-Scale Northern Region 2654 7753 2478 12184 25069 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 Run 6: Frozen Imports 137 2688 3702 5485 12012 Large—Scale Western Area 1721 1721 Small-Scale Western Area 16882 16882 Small-Scale Southern Region 2867 6098 3029 6166 18160 Small-Scale Northern Region 4173 7616 2478 11906 2§173 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 Run 7: Frozen Imports 0 Large-Scale Western Area 1295 1295 Small-Scale Western Area 21481 755 22236 Small-Scale Southern Region 2867 8786 11651 23304 Small-Scale Northern Region 6998 2478 18637 28113 Total Demand 22776 7753 2867 8786 2478 18637 11651 74948 132 then wholesaled to other areas within Southern Province (54 percent), Eastern Province (38 percent) and Northern Province (8 percent). The marginal values per leone of fish produced through increased production equipment are shown for each technological type and each region in Table 6.4. This table reveals that under 1974 price and resource conditions, an additional leone of fish produced by the salla boat with beach seine technology will pay for all resources used plus a "pure" profit to the subsector of Le 1.22 if it is produced in Western Area and Le .71 or Le .64 if produced in Southern or Nothern Regions respectively. It is apparent that the salla boat with beach seine and the standard canoe with either the ring or drift nets yield the highest marginal values per leone of fish landed. Considerable differences also exist in the level of marginal value of additional production of any one firm type when comparing across regions. Because of their closer proximity to higher income urban populations in Freetown and Eastern Province; Western Area and Southern Region are the most profitable regions for Operating additional small-scale boats..‘However, increased production in the large- scale industry would not increase the level of "pure" profits to the subsector as it would be displacing production from other more pro- fitable technologies including foreign imports. 6.4 Evaluation of Alternative Development Strategies in 1980 Based on the results of the 1974 base run, projections of the subsector's performance under alternative deve10pment strategies were made up to 1980,the end of the current planning period as shown in Table 6.5. Over this period it was assumed that the 1974 demand for 133 TABLE 6.4 MARGINAL VALUE PER LEONE OF FISH PRODUCED FOR ADDITIONAL EQUIPMENT UNITS BY TYPE OF FISHING TECHNOLOGY AND BY REGION IN 1974 BASE RUN Region Type of Technology Western Northern Southern — Leone-—- ---------- Std. Canoe, Ring Net, Paddle & Sail .76 .35 .42 Std. Canoe, Set Net, Paddle & Sail .18 0 .03 Std. Canoe, Drift Net, Paddle & Sail .82 .38 .46 Kroo Canoe, Cast Net and Hook & Line, Paddle .53 .23 .31 Salla Boat, Beach Seine, Paddle 1.22 .64 .71 Salla Boat, Ring Net, < 15 H.P. EnSine .60 .21 .25 Salla Boat, Ring Net, > 15 H.P. Engine .32 .08 .12 Fante Boat, Ring Net, < 26 H.P. EnSine .48 .16 .22 Fante Boat, Ring Net, > 26 H.P. EnSine .24 .05 .05 Trawler 0 134 TABLE 6.5 LEVEL OF RESOURCE UTILIZATIGI AND AGGREGATE RESULTS OF ALTERNATIVE 1980 RUNS Open Economy Im- lavor- Pavor— Untavor- “int: Unit Va ainry g Rea source able To able l'o able To ha: Availability Small rn— rgr Scale Scale Scala Bale l 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 Parameter Percent Cost of Capital for Small—Scale Production Induatriea 40 40 40 40 20 40 40 40 Coat of Capital for Large-Scale Production Induatrloa 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 Coat of Capital for Small-5c lel Mar 3 Industrial 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 Coat of Capital for Large— -Scale Marketing Industrial 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 Import Duty on Frozen Flo h 10 10 10 10 10 40 10 -- Import Dutyon mmaS ll- Scale Equipment 36 36 36 10 36 36 36 Import Duty an Large-Scale Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 Annual Grow: in Labo 4.6 2.3 4.6 2.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 7.5 Annual Growth in Small-Scale Capital 5.4 5.4 2.7 2.7 5.4 5.4 5.4 7.9 Annual Growth in Large-Scale Capit 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 10.8 5.4 -4.9 Maxi-1m Growth in Capital Stock of Boats 50 50 50 50 100 50 50 100 Maximum Decline in Capital Stock of Boats 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 2. Nunber of Establishment to Number Type Std. Canoe, Ring He t. Paddle 6 Sail 855 855 855 855 1139 855 855 1139 Type 8, Std. Canoe. So at He t, Paddle 6 Sail 758 612 612 612 758 758 609 Type C. Std. canoe, Drift Net, Paddles Sail 3812 3 12 3812 3812 5083 3812 5083 Wpc D. Kroo Canoe, Cant No or and Hook 6 Line. Paddle 319 117 351 117 117 223 319 468 Type E, Salla Boat, Beach Seine. Paddle 223 2 223 223 294 223 223 294 Type F. Salla Boat, Ring Net. <15 HP Engine 305 305 121 293 405 305 305 405 Ty , Salla Boat. Ring Net. > 5 HP Engine 76 6 49 39 63 7 74 Type 11, Panto Boat, Ring Net, <26 HP Engine 174 152 174 157. 1.33 174 174 188 ype I, Panto Boat, Ring Net. >26 HP Engine 39 26 24 52 39 51 Large-Scale Traulera 4 3 5.6 5.6 5.6 3.0 7.5 4.0 3.3 3. ubor El playun mn-yun‘ Sma ll-Scale Production/Processing 5453 4765 5392 4765 5435 5453 5453 714 Northern 9273 8218 B443 8217 9250 9275 9268 l0274 Southarn 6645 5&9 6127 5808 6646 6714 6645 8164 Small-Scale mWholraling/htailing 14308‘112810113265 12797 14365 14126 14286 13735 Southern AProvince “M" "“ ‘ "“'“ "m“ 10369 066 10236 1003 Baatern From 11450 11450 11450 11450 11450 11450 11450 13152 No rternh Pro vim: 17470 17446 17457 17446 17470 174 1.7470 17995 Largo-Scale Production _ 223 287 7 155 388 206 155 Large-Scale Wholesaling/Retailing 1.90 .285 247 285 182 165 192 4. Clpitl mu Le Small- -Scale Production/Protesting Capital 1751 1.577 1571 L571 1.129 1762 1751 211.5 Large-cs a1: Production ptal 94 120 120 120 65 16 132 65 Small- Scale Whole saling/gtaillng Capital 444 442 442 441 445 445 444 456 Large-Sula "holes-1m: Capital 147 221 191 222 m 119 as: - 5. Aggregate Maulta Output of Small-Scale Industrial H Tons 61215 54728157117 54682 62240 61345 61215 7X52 Out Hint of Large-Scale lnduatrl? ll IIona 1858 2419 2419 2419 1295 3240 1721 1295 "0““ “lb II IHPO H. Iona 11875 17M“ 15412 17847 11411 10363 12012 —- Nte tEcon omic Returnl to the Subaector 1. La 2.81 2.09 2.45 2.09 4. 5 2. 2.66 3.54 Value Added to Groau Do-eatic Product by tho Sub-ector Mil. Le 23.32 21.71 22.59 21.70l23.80 22.87 23.28 26.10 IAnnular 1500 working hours per man year on anall-acala induatriaa. oto: Altona Oven Capacity for amok: proculing VII used to maxi-n in t.ovn acale catch van mark-tad ran to Free: all regions except Heater-n Area vhara anall- 135 fish would continue to grow at a compound annual rate of 5.0 percent per annum based on (a) a population growth rate of 2.3 percent per annum, (b) an annual increase fllper capita income of 3.6 percent, and (c) an income elasticity of demand for fish of .74 as derived from a household budget study [Byerlee and King, 1976]. Other con- straining resources (labor and capital) are allowed to grow at vary- ing rates depending on the deve10pment strategy. Capital constraints in the 1980 models took two forms, (a) a total capital constraint for each production industry, both small-scale and large-scale, and (b) flexibility constraints on the number of boat and associated pro- duction equipment units available thus limiting the growth in new establishments. The level of capital constraints vary among the differ- ent runs. The various runs of the 1980 model will trace the consequences of alternative assumptions on (a) the number of establishments, (b) the level of output produced by each industry as well as frozen fish im- ports required, (c) the level of employment by industry by region, (d) the capital requirements by industry and (e) the subsector's con- tribution to Gross Domestic Product. The assumptions or parameters governing the model will deal with changes in the (a) cost of capital, (b) import duty on frozen fish and imported fishing equipment, (c) an- nual growth in labor supply, (d) level of investment and (e) the annual growth in the capital stock of boats. 136 6.4.1 Policies Varying Resource Availability Base Run 1980. If current import policies with respect to frozen fish and fish equipment as well as capital policies regarding small and large-scale capital costs are continued, the results are represented in the base run of the 1980 model. Although the actual growth in labor supply for small-scale fisheries is not known, the fact that returns were higher in fisheries than in other agricultural enterprises in the several rural coastal regions and that a considerable share of the respondents interviewed had migrated to the coastal communities would indicate a growth in labor supply greater than the 2.3 percent due to natural pOpulation growth alone. This run assumes an annual 4.6 percent growth rate in labor supply. Such an accelerated growth in fisheries manpower is possible only through a continuation of an active informal apprenticeship training program supplemented by more formal training proposed for implementation by the Fisheries Division in the current development plan. The current indigenous practice of four years of apprenticeship under a skilled fisherman, would most likely not facilitate the required growth in skills. The annual growth in small and large-scale capital is established at 5.4 percent, the rate of growth in new productive capacities proposed for the agricultural sector over the current planning period. Other parameters are assumed as specified in Table 6.5. In comparing Base Run 1974 (Table 6.2) with the Base Run 1980 (Table 6.5), it is evident that certain more profitable technologies 137 have established new firms at the maximum growth rate1 possible (types A, C, E, F and H) while others have increased less rapidly and in some cases have declined over the period (types B, G, and I). At the same time, Table 6.3 shows that small-scale production increased by 33 percent in Western Area and Southern Region followed by 28 per- cent in Nothern Region. These results are confirmed by the relative magnitudes of marginal values per leone of fish produced by additional boat production units when comparing across technologies and across regions in Table 6.6. Total employment in small-scale production-processing in- creased from 16,607 man-years in 1974 to 21,371 in 1980 or 4.3 percent annually according to the 1980 base run. Additional male labor commanded a higher marginal value in Southern Province than in Northern Province, but both were lower than the value attained in Western Area. If the growth in female labor supplied in rural Western Area was con- strained to the natural population growth rate of 2.3 percent annually, additional female labor had a marginal value nearly 20 times the urban unskilled wage rate. This would be quite unlikely as labor would easily flow from alternative enterprises into fish production activi- ties. Because of the ease of this transfer in Western Area, the supply of female labor was considered unconstrained in the 1980 model. Small-scale output rose from 46,205 metric tons in 1974 to 61,344 metric tons in 1980 or approximately 5.5 percent annually while 1Flexibility constraints on the construction of production equipment units permitted a maximum of 50 percent increase over the number of boat units available in 1974. 138 .uwfinuumeouq: no: no.2 spoons: ow none.— 330mg .nouuoomou mo ooze—ups 93 no.3 oouuocom 2.30020 95 wmoouuuv matings: 0353 5039.3 0.230630 05 omoouoew mood; Assamese ogzmomn ad. 32... o mm. o aowuuavoum zoom-owns.— o o o o o madmmmuoum\:o«uo:voum oamumlfiaflum 3:00.: Hmufinnu .q «M. mm. 0 NM. cm. 9 on. an. c on. on. e on. Hm. 0 Amended cos .Seounoo :96 second .m we. 2. on. mo. 2. an. 2. NA. an. 2. ON. mm. .8. co. MN. can: O o o o o o o o o nod—ween Ann—=05 uonoq mcammououtcofiuooooum .N o o co; 0 o weaning. 2..- 8f .5. o 8.- B. S.- 8? 8.- B.- oo.- 8.- SF SF 8. «imam on SA .52 was. .38 3:2 on. 8. 3. mm. B. 3. o o o o 0 mo. 3. 8. 3. SEE. m: av 7.62 mix Jane 35... 3. o 8. 8. 8.- mo. 3.- nor .3.- mo.- .3.- o S. o No. seesaw m: 3. Juz we; .38 .28 an. 0N. mm. .3. HN. .3. ma. ma. oN. NH. ma. Hm. «N. NH. AN. powwow m: 5v 3:5 mafia .umom waamm cm. on. on. 3. mm. mm. 3. .3. an. .3. 3. S. we. 3. so. 335m .253 525 Juan «3% mm. .8. 0 mm. No.l o No.l mo.l n.a.! no: “of H.H.I mN. mo. 0 3%on .o—SA a :00: can uoz ammo .mocmu 005— on. MN. on. No. mm. mm. ma. mH. ma. «H. .3. MN. no. «N. 0m. Hwnw e Mao—own .uoz uwuun .woomu .vum o in.- .3.- Hof 2f 3... me aNf mmf 3f «of mm... 0 AN.1 mm.- .33 a 3.25m .32 new .0950 .vum an. ON. on. mm. ad. um. ma. ma. 0H. NH. H.H. ma. on. Hm. mN. 3mm w 336nm .uoz wcwm .oocnu .oum CHE; non woodman no: mo ocowa non: 3.2.5 unwanfiocm .H floor. .5qu and: 550w nuuoz owe: 550m 5302 $2; susom zuuoz one: 530w :uuoz umo3 o m c H omen out; wonoomum cam 6 ed mama; mzam 0mm." N>HH<2mqu< 2H onomm Wm MEL. rm mMUMDOm-na éonHHQn—d ho NbA<> Ashe: 139 the absolute level of large-scale output declined slightly over the period. The subsectors' contribution to Gross Domestic Product in terms of total leones increased by 5.1 percent annually over the period as shown in Table 6.5. In contrast, the absolute quantity of imports rose by 10 percent annually and the relative share of domestic supply coming from foreign imports increased from 12.3 per- cent in 1974 to 15.8 percent in 1980. Analysis of the marketing pattern in the 1980 base run shown in Table 6.3, revealed that a greater prOportion of Northern Regions' output supplies Freetown markets than in 1974 while smoked frozen imports are now necessary to meet demands in Southern Region which was self-sufficient in 1974. Run l—-Slow Growth in Labor Supply. The 1980 base run assumed a growth in trained and untrained labor supply of 4.6 percent annually facilitated by some form of active recruitment and training program as proposed in the development plan. Run 1 traces the aggregate effects if such a program is not effectively implemented and the annual growth in manpower is the same as the pOpu- lation growth rate of 2.3 percent. The results of Run 1 reveal that frozen imports rose by nearly 50 percent above the level required in the Base run and increased approximately 18 percent annually' from 1974. At the same time due to the relative labor scarcity, domestic produc- tion shifts to the more capital intensive large-scale firms. A greater prOportion of the small—scale catch is now sold raw rather than smoked which requires scarce rural labor (see Table 3.6). This is compensated for by smoking frozen fish using urban retail 140 labor, a resource not constrained in the model. In summary, Run 1 confirms the importance of deve10ping an extension-manpower training program as well as the economic incentives necessary to increase the supply of trained manpower available to small-scale producers above the population growth rate of 2.3 percent. Run 2-—Reduced Investments in Small-Scale Fisheries. A second assumption in the 1980 base run, was a 5.4 percent annual growth rate in capital as projected in the development plan--a growth rate considerably higher than in recent history. Run 2 presents the model results if such a capital growth rate does not materialize and the capital stock grows at a rate of 2.7 percent. In this run imports increased by 30 percent over the 1974 level as compared with a 50 percent increase in Run 1 when the labor supply was constraining. Also evident is the 7 percent drop in employ- ment in small-scale production occurring primarily in Northern Region and a shift among the small-scale firms to the more labor intensive types as exemplified by firm type D and to large-scale production for which the rate of investment was not reduced. In comparing Run 1 and Run 2, it is clear that a reduced growth in trained manpower for fisheries has a stronger impact in in- hibiting domestic fisheries development than does the projected slow growth in capital stock. Run 3—-Slow Growth in Both Labor and Capital Stock Supply. Run 3 combines the worst assumptions of both Runs 1 and 2 by assuming that neither available capital nor trained manpower grow at 141 the projected rates as in the base run but rather grow at 2.7 and 2.3 percent respectively. This run conforms more closely to investment and manpower per- formance of the 19608 and assumes a continuation of the past trends in resource use in fisheries. The net result in terms of domestic catch, labor employment, Gross Domestic Product and choice of produc- tion technology utilized, differs very little from the results of run 1. This again supports the evidence that an adequate supply of trained manpower is more critical to expanding domestic production than is increased access to capital. 6.4.2 Policies More Favorable to Small-Scale Production Run 4—-Reduced Capital Costs and Increased Growth in Capital gtggk. In an effort to design a development strategy favorable to small-scale production, several alternative runs were examined which are not shown in Table 6.5. As mentioned earlier, the indigenous trader provides small-scale producers with their major source of Operating and medium term investment credit at an annual cost of capital of over 40 percent in 1974. If this source is augmented by 1980 through an institutional credit program so as to reduce the cost of capital to its assumed economic opportunity cost of 20 percent, while leaving all other parameters unchanged, the first alternative run indicated that no change would occur in either the level or composition of technological firm types in Operation, or the level of employment, output or Gross Domestic Product from the 1980 base run. The fact that no change occurred in the optimum choice of small-scale technology type is partially due to the relatively small amounts of capital used 11.. I I -‘ II III I . I. 142 by small-scale firms and the considerable differences in profitability between technology types. This indicates relatively little potential for capital-labor substitution between small-scale technologies over this range of interest rates. However if small-scale capital costs are reduced to 20 per- cent and the construction of profitable boat types accelerated so that their population doubles by 1980 while leaving all other para- meters at their 1980 base run levels, Run 4 shows that domestic pro- duction shifts from large-scale to small—scale firms due to the relatively cheaper capital in the small-scale sector and the available boats of firm types which are more profitable than large-scale firms. Within small-scale production, Table 6.6 indicates that only firm types A, C, E, and F yield positive marginal values per leone of fish. produced by additional equipment resources. The population of these firm types doubled over the 1974-1980 period the maximum rate possible under the assumed flexibility constraint while the population of firm types B, D, G, H and I remain constant or decline over the period. Total output by the small—scale industries and the subsector's contribution to Gross Domestic Product increases by nearly 20 percent over the base run and imports and large-scale output drop to their lowest level of any run considered thus far. Table 6.4 shows that the largest increase in small-scale production occurs in Southern Re- gion followed closely by Northern Region. The increased production in Southern Region replaces part of the frozen imported fish previously required by Southern Province, while the increased production in North- ern Region is marketed raw to Freetown replacing large-scale production. 143 Further policies designed to benefit capital intensive small- scale firms such as subsidizing petrol and oil costs at 25 and 40 percent rates were not sufficient to alter the small-scale production performance achieved in Run 4. 6.4.3 Policies More Favorable to Large-Scale Production Run 5-—Increased Growth in Large—Scale Capital and Increased Import Duties on Foreign Fish. Large-scale firms can obtain access to external capital from international markets. Therefore runs were executed which assumed an annual growth in large-scale production capital of 10.8 percent in contrast to the 5.4 percent previously assumed. Since some large-scale production capital was unused at a 5.4 percent growth rate, this change by itself did not produce results which differed from the base run. When the import duty on frozen fish was increased from 10 to 20 percent in conjunction with the accelerated large-scale capital growth rate, three additional large-scale trawlers were activated to replace 1290 metric tons of frozen imports. Large-scale capital be- came constraining with a marginal value on additional capital of .42 leones. No change occurred in the small-scale industrial operation. However, if the import duty on frozen fish was further in- creased to 40 percent, as is reported in Run 5, not only are the three large—scale trawlers activated but there is a shift within small-scale production from the labor intensive firms (type D) to firm type I (fante boat, ring net, >26 HP engine), in Western Area, which is a more capital intensive firm containing slack boat resources in the base run. Large-scale production capital becomes even more constraining. An 144 additional leone of large-scale production capital would repay the borrowed leone and increase the economic profits of the subsector by Le 1.39. The increased large-scale production from the three addition- al trawlers replaces raw fish being marketed in Freetown from the Northern Region production within Northern Province which in turn frees more of Southern Region production for meeting demands within Southern Province. In summary a policy of increasing the annual growth of large- scale production capital to 10.8 percent as well as increasing the im- port duty on frozen fish to 40 percent results in a 13 percent reduc- tion in frozen fish imports, a 75 percent increase in large-scale pro- duction and a slight increase in small-scale production over the base run results. However, the subsector's annual contribution to Gross Domestic Product actually declines by two percent as compared to an increase of two percent when small-scale firms were favored in Run 4. 6.4.4 Policies Unfavorable to Large-Scale Production Run 6--Increased Capital Costs and Increased Import Duties on Production Equipment. Due to the high import requirements of large- scale producers and the scarcity of foreign exchange earnings, or because of the greater economic profitability and employment potential in small—scale industries, a policy aimed at shifting production away from the large-scale industry may be justified. Run 6 is designed to approximate such a shift. The cost of capital for the large-scale industry is increased from 10 percent to 20 percent, the assumed economic opportunity cost of capital. At the same time, the import duty on large-scale equipment is 145 increased to 20 percent. All other parameters affecting the small- scale industry and the frozen fish imports remain unchanged from their 1980 base run levels. The result of these changes is that large-scale production declined from 1,858 metric tons in the 1980 base run to 1,721 metric tons or by nearly eight percent. This was replaced by an off- _ setting increase in frozen fish imports from 11,875 metric tons in the 1980 base run to 12,012 metric tons. Small-scale production remained constant as those firms which were more economically profitable than frozen imports were already fully utilized; therefore frozen imports increase rather than small-scale production. This run would indicate that a policy of increased large-scale capital costs and increased import duties on large-scale equipment would have little effect on small-scale employment or output unless it is accompanied by policies aimed at increasing the productive resources available in the small— scale industry. The result of Runs 5 and 6 indicate that frozen fish imports compete primarily with large-scale production and that there is little competition between small-scale fish production and frozen fish imports. 6.4.5 A Policy of Self-Sufficiency Run 7f-Increased Growth in Labor Supply, Investment Capital, and, Capital Stock of Boats. The last run of the 1980 model determines one possible means of attaining self-sufficiency by the end of the current planning period. It is assumed in Run 7 that policies affecting the cost of capital and import duties for both small-scale and large-scale firms remain unchanged from the actual 1974 situation. The flexibility 146 constraints on the growth in the capital stock of boats are relaxed so that the population of profitable boat types can double over the 1974-1980 period if necessary. Labor supply as well as small-scale and large-scale production capital were left unconstrained so that the actual growth rate required would be derived by the model. This permits the more efficient technology types to completely utilize their capital stock of boats before activating less efficient types. The results of this run reveal that while self-sufficiency is possible, the level of resources necessary to achieve the goal make its attainment in the 1974-1980 period highly improbable. Trained labor supply employed in small-scale production.would be required to grow at 7.5 percent annually, or nearly three times the growth in labor supply due to population growth alone. Total labor employed in the fisheries subsector gunm;from 56,432 in 1974 to 81,621 in 1980 if self- sufficiency is attained. Among the different small-scale technologies, firm types A, C, D, E, and F increased their number of establishments at the maximum growth rate of 100 percent over the six year period. The other small- scale firm types (B, G, H, and I) either experienced a moderate in- crease in the number of firms or declined. The population of large- scale trawlers declined from 4.3 to three trawlers over the 1974-1980 period, which the lowest level permitted by the flexibility cons straints. Consequently, large-scale production fell from 1,751 metric tons in 1974 to 1,295 metric tons in 1980 or approximately five percent annually. Conversely, small-scale production grew by nearly 8.2 percent annually, rising from 46,205 metric tons in 1974 to 73,652 metric tons in 1980. In order to achieve this increase in 147 small-scale production, invested capital available for production pur- poses was required to grow at nearly eight percent annually, or nearly 50 percent faster than is projected in the development plan. In summary this run would indicate that self-sufficiency in fish by 1980 is highly unlikely unless there is a considerable increase in several essential resources. The rate of increase in resources available to fisheries would require considerable transfer from other productive employment. Should such resources become available fisheries' contribution to Gross Domestic Product would increase to 26.H)nflllion leones, over 50 percent more than the contribution attained by the base run 1974. 6.5 Summary This chapter has developed an aggregate model closely replica- ting the 1974 situation in the fisheries subsector and has then used that model to evaluate the effects of alternative development strategies on the level of employment, output, frozen fish imports, contribution to Gross Domestic Product and the choice of small-scale technology. The model was presented as a series of total cost equations for various activity vectors and resource constraints covering six basic production- processing—marketing channels. The 1974 base run closely replicated the number of firms actual« 1y producing in 1974 as well as the level of frozen fish imports re- quired to meet domestic demand. However the 1974 model shows that the level of employment and the subsector's contribution to Gross Domestic Product are considerably more than past estimates would indicate. According to the 1974 base run, nearly five percent of the labor force 148 derive income from some aspect of the fisheries production-delivery system as compared with two percent estimated by Propesca [1974]. The subsector's total contribution to Gross Domestic Product was placed at about 17 million leones or nearly four times its estimated contri- bution in the official national accounts in 1972.1 A series of eight runs of the 1980 model were reported which were used to evaluate five alternative deve10pment strategies: (a) varying the resources available while maintaining the 1974 policies on cost of capital and imports, (b) encouraging small-scale fishing industries, (c) encouraging large-scale fishing industries, (d) actively discouraging large-scale fishing industries, and (e) closing the economy to frozen fish imports to force self-sufficiency by 1980. The first strategy of varying resource availability revealed that an inadequate labor supply impeded small-scale production to a greater extent than did an inadequate growth in capital. A policy of changing the cost of capital from 40 percent to 20 percent by itself produced negligible affects on the level of production by small-scale firms. This indicates that even though there are different small-scale technologies, there are few possibilities for capital-labor substitu- tions over the changes in capital costs examined. The implications of this finding for credit policy will be discussed in Chapter 7. In order for domestic production to be able to maintain its 1974 relative share of total fish supply with respect to frozen fish imports, the level of trained manpower would need to grow at approximately 4.6 percent annually. The 1980 base run indicates that if present policies 1Much of the increase in Gross Domestic Product originates from the wholesaling-retailing industries where nearly 70 percent of the fisheries labor force is employed. 149 are continued and if the supply of trained manpower fisheries grew at the accelerated rate of 4.6 percent annually, then firm types A (standard canoe, ring net, paddle & sail), type C (standard canoe, drift net, paddle & sail), type E (salla boat, beach seine, paddle), Type F (salla boat, ring net, <15 HP engine), and type H (fante boat, ring net, <26 HP engine) are chosen as the most economically profitable technologies. When comparing the same technology type across regions, it was found that Southern Region and Western Area yielded higher marginal values per leone of fish produced than did Northern Region. This is due to the locational advantages of the Western Area and Southern Region near the high income consumption areas of Freetown and Eastern Province respectively. Other possible locational advantages such as greater access to richer fishing grounds could not be incorpo- rated into the model as the survey sample did not yield sufficient numbers of identical firm types in different regions to adequately assess the regional specific production equations. If the labor supply grows at less than the 4.6 percent rate of the 1980 base run, domestic production fell and according to Run 1, frozen imports increased by 50 percent over the 1974-80 period. If the rate of invested capital were insufficient, domestic production fell slightly and imports rose by 30 percent. The strategy of deve10ping policies more favorable to small- scale production yielded the highest level of "pure" economic profits for the total fisheries subsector of any strategy tested and the highest level of subsectoral contributions to Gross Domestic Product of any strategy except for the last strategy of forced self—sufficiency. 150 The two strategies of encouraging and discouraging large—scale production showed that large-scale and foreign frozen fish imports are strongly competitive so that policies favorable or unfavorable to large-scale production primarily affected the level of imports with small-scale production remaining relatively constant as its resources remain near full utilization. Lastly, a strategy of forced self-sufficiency by 1980 revealed that attainment of such a goal is highly improbable in the current planning period as it requires a mobilization of resources considerably greater than recent performance would indicate is possible. Trained manpower would need to grow at 7.5 percent annually; small-scale in- vested capital would need to grow at 7.9 percent annually (50 percent greater than is projected in the development plan) and the population of profitable small-scale boats would need to double over the six year period. In conclusion, a comparison of all the strategies reveals that the policy of increased small-scale production would be most pro- fitable from the point of view of the entire economy and would yield the greatest contribution to Gross Domestic Product of any strategy examined except for the apparently unrealistic strategy of self- sufficiency. CHAPTER 7 SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS Several alternative protein sources have been unable to provide an adequate quantity of high-quality protein to satisfy a broadébased effective demand in Sierra Leone. Consequently Sierra Leone remains dependent on imported frozen fish to meet domestic needs while local stocks of pelagic species are under-exploited. Given the government's goal of self-sufficiency in fish, this study examines alternative strategies aimed at deve10ping the domestic fisheries industry. This research is the first micro-economic survey of small- scale marine fisheries in Sierra Leone and one of the first fishery surveys undertaken in West Africa which combines the micro-economic Operations of small-scale producers, processors, wholesalers, and re— tailers into an integrated fish delivery system. The Objectives of the study were to: (1) describe the micro-economic operations of al- ternative technologies currently practiced in fish production, proces- sing and marketing enterprises, (2) identify major constraints on im- proved performance of the fisheries production-delivery system, (3) examine aggregate impacts of policies affecting marine fisheries production including improved credit systems, increased manpower training and extension programs and alternative import policies affecting duties on capital equipment as well as frozen fish imports, 151 152 and on the basis of the above to (4) evaluate alternative strategies for fisheries development in Sierra Leone. The field research was conducted over a 12 month period in five randomly selected small-scale production sites along the coast of Sierra Leone. Interviews were also donducted with one large-scale pro- duction firm. Processors and traders were surveyed covering the major wholesaling—retailing channels between the selected producers and the four largest urban consumption centers. The present chapter will summarize the basic findings of the study and identify alternative policies for Sierra Leone fisheries deve10pment. 7.1 Summary of Findings The domestic marine fisheries subsector is divided into the small-scale and the large-scale production industries with their asso- ciated processing-marketing channels. The small-scale industry is composed of over 5,000 fishing firms which employ approximately 16,000 people and produce over 90 percent of total domestic production. The large-scale industry consists of nine trawlers operated by five firms based in Freetown and produces about six percent of domestic production 7.1.1 Micro-Economic Analysis The small-scale production industry employs nine distinct types of technologies which vary considerably in their capital intensity. Firm type E (salla boat, beach seine, paddle) had the highest capital- labor ratio of .14 while at the other extreme, firm type D (kroo canoe, cast net, paddle) had the lowest capital-labor ratio of .02. Firm type A (standard canoe, ring net, paddle), type B (standard canoe, set net, paddle), type C (standard canoe, drift net, paddle), type F (salla 153 boat, ring net, <15 HP engine), type C (salla boat, ring net, >15 HP engine), type H (fante boat, ring net, <26 HP engine) and type I (fante boat, ring net, >26 HP engine) were closely clustered around the midpoint with an average capital-labor ratio of .05. In contrast, the capital-labor ratio of the large-scale production industry was .44. It was also found that generally, as labor intensity increased across firm types, the seasonality of labor employment decreased and a larger proportion of total labor was supplied by hired labor. Female labor comprised a larger proportion of total labor used in fish produc- tion and the more labor intensive firms because they prepare meals for hired labor. The sexual roles of male and female labor in fish enter- prises were clearly delineated with female labor concentrated in pro- cessing activities and male labor in production. Nearly half of all male labor was employed in net maintenance and repairs. The acquisition of capital by small-scale firms appeared parti- cularly constraining in several respects. The survey revealed that initial capital for establishing new firms came primarily from earnings saved from the entrepreneur's previous employment. Small-scale firms borrowed capital primarily from.noninstitutional sources at a discount rate of approximately 40 percent while institutional sources provide capital to large-scale firms at a discount rate of 10 percent. In considering the foreign exchange cost of equipment it was found that over 75 percent of small-scale equipment was imported at a 36 percent import duty while virtually 100 percent of large-scale equipment was imported at a duty of only 10 percent. Imported net equipment accounted for over 57 percent of investment costs. Net mending accounted for over 20 percent of total variable material input costs. 154 Levels of investment in equipment stock varied considerably between the nine technology types, ranging from a low of Le 57 for the firm.with a Kroo canoe with cast net, hook and line and paddle to over Le 4000 for the firm owning a fante boat powered by an engine of greater than 26 horsepower and operating a ring net. Firm profits ranged from Le 475 for firm type D (Kroo canoe, cast net, paddle) to Le 6185 for firm type H (fante boat, ring net, <26 HP engine). Small-scale production was more concentrated than the distri- bution of firm types would indicate. Approximately 30 percent of total small-scale output by weight was produced by firm type H (fante boat, <26 HP engine, ring net) which represented 3 percent of the total small-scale firm population. Bonga was the single most important species caught accounting for over 67 percent of total weight harvested by all firm types. Labor use and fish harvests were seasonally concen— trated in the October-March period which yielded 61 percent larger har- vests than the six month period of April-September. In evaluating the traditional smoke processing technology returns per hour to total labor used were approximately one third that achieved in small-scale fish production enterprises. Yet it is com- parable to the wage rate for rural women who supply most of the proces- sing labor. Average total costs were approximately Le .67 per 100 lbs. of raw fish processed. The modified Altona Oven as developed in Ghana, but with construction and operational costs adopted to conditions in rural Sierra Leone, used one fourth the labor and one fifth the fuel required per 100 lbs. of fish processed using traditional technologies and was significantly more profitable than the traditional banda. 155 The small-scale fish wholesaler has been traditionally accused of obtaining "excessive" profits. However, the present study indicates that while the returns to the wholesaler's labor were approximately three to four times(the returns to the wholesaler's labor were approximately three to four times the female wage rate in the rural processing enterprises from which they purchased supplies, they were considerably less than could be earned in alternative enter- preneurial activity such as gara dying in the urban center from which they originated. Returns to labor in smoked fish urban retailing were comparable to the rural female wage rate in the sales region and below the established urban unskilled wage. An examination of the average annual fish price by species arevealed considerable locational advantage for production in Western Area largely due to direct access to nearby markets in Freetown. This same locational factor is evident in comparing the marginal value of additional production units in the aggregate analysis. 7.1.2 Aggregate Analysis A linear programming model was constructed in order to inte- grate the micro-economic operations of each of the production-pro- cessing-marketing activities examined. The purpose of the model was to examine the effects of alternative development strategies on output, employment, capital and boat utilization and type of technology chosen as well as the subsector's contributions to Gross Domestic Product. I The model of the 1974 situation revealed that, based on survey data, employment in fish production is approximately 40 percent higher 156 than previously estimated. The major employment in fisheries occurs in the wholesaling and retailing industries with roughly 39,000 people employed. Approximately five percent of the national labor force derive income from the fisheries subsector. The model also confirmed that at current costs of production, large-scale trawlers receive strong competition from frozen fish imports while there is relatively little competition between frozen fish imports and small-scale produc- tion. Among the small-scale firms, types A (standard canoe, ring net, paddle), type C (standard canoe, drift net, paddle), type E (salla boat, beach seine, paddle), type F (salla boat, ring net, <15 HP engine), and type H (fante foat, ring net, <26 HP engine) had the highest marginal values per leone of fish produced. Shifts between different technological firm types in small- scale production occurred as relative resource availability was altered. When capital was relatively more scarce than labor as in Run 2, produc- tion shifted to more labor intensive technologies such as firm type D (Kroo canoe, cast net, paddle). When small-scale firms were encour— aged through decreased capital costs and accelerated growth in new boat capacities, small-scale production shifts from either the extremely labor intensive or extremely capital intensive technologies towards firm type A (standard canoe, ring net, paddle), firm type C (standard canoe, drift net, paddle & sail) and type E (salla boat, beach seine, paddle) which have relatively high returns to both labor and capital. When a strategy unfavorable to large-scale production is implemented, the composition of small-scale firm types comprising the industry 157 remain relatively unchanged while the major increase occurs in frozen fish imports. A comparison of alternative aggregate model runs reveal that two major paths are open for checking the dependency on frozen fish imports over the 1974-1980 period. First, a strategy favoring the small-scale industry through decreased capital costs and increased boat construction lowered imports by four percent from the 1980 base run and at the same time yielded the highest level of "pure" economic profits for the total fisheries subsector of any strategy tested. Economic profits for the subsector under this strategy were nearly double that attained from a strategy of favoring large-scale produc- tion. It also yielded a subsectoral contribution to Gross Domestic Product of 23.8 million leones, larger than any other open economy strategy. However previous runs indicated that a key factor in expanding small-scale production was an increase in skilled manpower at an annual rate of 4.6 percent or approximately double the rate expected from population growth alone. This strategy illustrated that given a reduced cost of capital to its economic Opportunity cost (20 percent) a program of accelerated boat and equipment construction (doubling the population of the most profitable firm types) and an increased growth rate in labor supply the small-scale subsector is capable of responding rapidly by increaSe ing output, decreasing imports and increasing the subsector's total contribution to the nation's Gross Domestic Product. Alternatively large-scale production can be encouraged through increasing import duties on frozen fish, its closest substitute 158 product, to 40 percent and increasing the capital available for large- scale expansion by 10.8 percent annually. Large-scale production does respond by decreasing imports by 12 percent but the subsector's total contributfmnto the Gross Domestic Product falls four percent below the level attained when small—scale firms were favored. Such an increase in import duties would, at least in the immediate future, raise the cost of fish to consumers. Although the current national development plan aims for self- sufficiency in fish production by the end of the current planning period, the closed economy strategy of the present study would indicate that this is highly unlikely unless (a) wage rates in rural fishing areas rise sufficiently to attract labor from other industries at a rate more than triple the natural population growth rate and (b) the growth in small-scale capital is nearly double the rate of investment in new productive capacity projected for the entire agricultural sector in the current planning period and (c) the number of available boat and associated equipment units increases by 100 percent above its 1974 level. Should these resources be mobilized to this extent, female labor would still be constraining in both Southern and Northern Regions. This could be partially relieved by more rapid introduction of improved smoke processing ovens. Additional drying capacity has a high marginal value in both Northern and Southern Regions if the self-sufficiency strategy is implemented. When comparing the marginal value per leone of fish produced by additional boat and equipment units across different production regions, Southern Region usually produced the highest marginal value 159 followed by Western Area and Northern Region. However, such cross regional comparisons should be viewed with caution as they reflect locational advantages due to transportation and labor costs but they do not adequately consider locational advantages arising from the region's relative proximity to more productive fishing grounds as the survey sample did not yield a sufficient number of identical firms of each type to compute both region and technology Specific production costs and returns. An important finding of the model was that in the different runs, changes in pricing policy such as changes in the cost of capital and import duties on frozen fish and fishing equipment, where implemen- ted in isolation from other policies which altered resource availabil- ity, have some effect on large-scale production but little effect on small-scale production. 7.2 Policy Implications This study indicated that all small-scale firm types yield "pure" economic profits and are capable of producing fish with greater profits per leone of fish produced than is possible with large— scale technologies. The aggregate model confirmed the relative economic advantages of small-scale production by revealing that strategies which are favorable to small-scale industries result in greater "pure" econo— mic profits to the subsector and greater subsectoral contributions to Gross Domestic Product. Because of the considerable potential which small-scale industries have for fisheries expansion, a majority of the policy implications will be concerned with the expansion of small- scale production. 160 7.2.1 Small—Scale Fisheries Policies A package of interrelated policies will be developed in this section which are consistent with the goal of stimulating expansion of the small-scale sector and shifting production away from the higher cost large-scale industries toward those small-scale technologies which are most economically profitable. Such a shift could be facili- tated by reducing the 36 percent import duties on small-scale equip— ment to the 10 percent level now imposed on large-scale equipment. This would reduce the barriers to new firms from entering the small- scale industry which arise from high initial investment costs necessary to establish firms of the more profitable technology types. The aggregate model repeatedly indicated that an adequate supply of labor, knowledge of boat, or engine maintenance and training in general fishing skills was a crucial factor in the deve10pment of marine fisheries. The current reliance on an indigenous four year apprenticeship program is unlikely to produce the necessary increase in trained fishermen. However a program to establish a regional fisheries development center for each of the three regions is currently being considered by the Fisheries Division of the Ministry of Agricul- ture and Natural Resources. If implemented it could provide a focal point where manpower training in equipment construction, maintenance, and Operation would be readily available to the entrepreneur. A trained cadre of extension staff in such centers could offer the practical and technical advice necessary in encouraging the more pro- fitable technological equipment types. Other services could be developed at these regional centers which stimulate small-scale production. The high cost of borrowed 161 capital facing small-scale firms and the slow process by which savings from previous employment is accumulated as a source of initial invest- ment capital tend to inhibit investment in new productive capacities and improved technologies. An improved credit delivery system in rural fishing communities would stimulate investment in small-scale productive capacities. This could be accomplished in several ways. Maximum lending rates permitted by lending institutions could be increased to cover the added costs of providing and supervising loans in more isolated coastal communities. To assure that credit was actually used for fish production purposes and to facilitate input delivery and the introduction of new technologies, a program offering credit—in—kind to the fishing entrepreneur could be implemented through the proposed regional centers. Using this method of credit adminis- tration, the IDA Agricultural Development Project in Eastern Province has been relatively successful in loan repayment among rice farmers. This form of credit would have the added benefit of being able to con— solidate the large variety of different brand name engines and equip- ment available into a few more uniform types, facilitating the availa- bility Of spare parts and supplies. Likewise greater influence could be exercised over the type and rate of introduction of improved tech- nologies. An expanded extension staff at the regional centers could administer the selection, supervision, and repayment of credit to prevent the reoccurrence of the ill-fated 1961 subsidized credit scheme. This study revealed that rapid expansion of small-scale pro- duction in the 1974-1980 period requires that the population of new boats be doubled over the period. The proposed regional development 162 centers could not only make available the necessary tools and supplies required by indigenous boat builders but could itself test and demon- strate improved boat construction of the most profitable boat types. Among the small-scale boat types, the standard canoe, the salla boat and the fante boat as found in firm types A, C, E, F, and H had the highest marginal values per leone of fish produced indicating that under current conditions these technologies could be more profitably encouraged both from a financial and economic point of view in future fiSheries development than could large-scale production or other small-scale types. The high returns to these firm types when valued from a private or social point of view indicates that they would be profitable ventures for public investment by national development credit institutions or international financial sources. In the present survey several key production-marketing points along the coast have been identified as possible sites for regional centers. Rural Western Area, the area surrounding the mouth of the Scarcies River of Northern Province and the Shenge-Bonthe region of Southern Province appear to possess distinct locational advantages for future fisheries deve10pment in terms of close access to rich fishing grounds as well as consumer markets. 7.2.2 Large-Scale Fisheries Policies The aggregate model indicated that frozen fish imports strong- ly compete with large-scale production and that neither competes ef- fectively with the low-cost production of small-scale industries. Although emphasis has been given thus far to policies which stimulate small-scale production, the current stock of large-scale equipment 163 already available could be more fully utilized in replacing frozen fish imports. A policy of increasing the import duties on frozen fish from 10 percent to 40 percent could stimulate increased fresh fish production by large—scale firms but this decision would need to be carefully weighed against the resultant short-run increase in retail prices paid by consumers and possible decrease in the Gross Domestic Product. Any policy which would encourage the expansion of new produc- tive capacities by large-scale firms could not be justified by the findings of the present survey. 7.2.3 Future Research Needs I At the same time as small-scale production is expanding, an active program of applied research and development needs to be centered on improved smoke processing technologies. There is evidence in this study to indicate that as production expands, the traditional smoke processing technology will become an even greater constraint on the processing-delivery system. The micro-economic analysis of this study has shown that the modified Altona Oven has considerable potential in alleviating the female labor constraint anticipated for processing and increased output for the small—scale sector. The economic feasibility of developing facilities for freezing part of the domestic small-scale catch for supplying raw fish demands inland should he examined in future economic research. The present research indicates that wholesaling costs for smallescale output can possibly be reduced if it is stored and transported in larger quanti- ties as is currently done with frozen fish wholesaling. While the present study primarily concentrated on evaluating alternative 164 production technologies in small-scale fisheries, alternatives to technologies within the large-scale production and processing indus— tries remain unexamined. This survey being the first micro-economic study of small- scale fisheries in Sierra Leone has laid the basic framework for future micro-economic research in the fisheries subsector and provides a bench mark analysis of the subsector which can later be used to de— termine the rate and direction of change in the subsector. This study has firmly established the vital role of small-scale fisheries in Sierra Leone both as a current source of employment, income and dietary protein for much of the Sierra Leone population and as an economically profitable industry for potential expansion in the future. APPENDICES APPENDIX 1 MAJOR COMMERCIAL FISH SPECIES OF SIERRA LEONE Creole Name Genus & Species Average Weight Lbs. Per Fish Awefu Ethmalosa fimbriata (juvenile) .12 Bonga~ Ethmalosa fimbriata (adult) .42 Catfish (marine) Arius Spp. 1.57 Coureh (Horse Mackerel) Caranx carangus 6.61 Couta (Barracuda) Sphyraena dubia 5.10 Crocus Pomadasys jubelini 1.81 Grouper (rose or red) Lutjanus agenes 2.32 Gwangwa Pseudotolithus elongatus 1.01 Herring (round) Sardinella aurita (or Cameronensis) .15 Hognose Plectorhinchus macrolepis 1.84 Joe-fish Trachinotus goreensis 1.49 Ladyfish Pseudotolithus senegalensis 2.11 Mackerel Scomber japanicus 1.20 Flat Mollit (mullet) Mugil falcipinnis .84 Record (red cod) Epinephelus aeneus 1.25 Shark (Selachians) Scolodion Spp. 3.72 Sheephead Drephane africana 2.08 Shinenose Galeoides decadactylus .81 Skeet (sting ray) Dasyatis Spp. 1.43 Black Snapper Dentex angolensis 1.49 Spanish Polydactylus quadrifilis 2.02 Whiting Pseudotolithus brachygnathus 1.99 165 166 APPENDIX 2 ADMINISTRATION OF THE SURVEY Selection and Training of Enumerators Enumerators were recruited by advertising on the national radio and by word of mouth. An initial interview was conducted with each applicant reviewing his past employment record, areas of study and school certificates. An attempt was made to evaluate the applicant's language capability, maturity and basic mathematical skills. Based on these interviews, a select group of applicants were invited for a 10- day period of intensive training. During this period the purpose and design of the questionnaires was explained; practice interviews were conducted and homework exercises and examinations given. This period of close interaction between potential enumerator and the author per- mitted exceptional talents and attitudes to be detected. At the end of the training period a final selection was made based on performance in oral and written examination and homework exercises, alertness during training, general personality and attitude toward work. Those enumerators which were finally hired were then issued equipment such as raincoats, clipboards, lantern, and water containers where needed. Other equipment such as bicycles were purchased by the enumerator if desired through a salary advance and an additional monthly bicycle maintenance was paid. 167 Field Establishment and Sgpervision Letters of introduction were sent to the Paramount Chief1 of each selected landing site explaining the purpose of the survey, soliciting their support and establishing an expected arrival date in his area. Immediately after enumerator selection was completed, a series of meetings were held in each area with the respective Paramount Chief, Section Chief and lastly with the general fishing population at the landing site. During these meetings, the purpose of the survey and the selection process were explained, and the enumerator introduced. The presence and support of local and regional authorities at these meetings aided in securing local cooperation at the site. Several important issues and questions were commonly raised during these meetings. First, the idea that their community was randomly chosen to represent all the fishing communities in their region universally received a positive response. However an issue usually raised immediately was: "How do we know that your research will help us? We have had many people from Fisheries Division and others come to ask questions but have seen no helpful results." Other concerns were: "Will the information be used for taxes or to license our boats? Will the data on individual households be revealed to the government?" After the initial interviews were conducted and the sample of respondents selected, the author would go with the enumerator to each individual household to again explain the purpose, answer questions, 1Sierra Leone's three provinces are divided into 13 districts which are subdivided into 146 chiefdoms. The Paramount Chief holds a life-time position as the top executive officer of the Chiefdom. 168 solicit cooperation as well as give the enumerator criticism and guidance in improving his interviewing technique. The actual timing of the interview with the respondent varied from site to site depending on the type of equipment Operated, the tide schedule and the relative importance of nonfishing enterprises. Usually interviews were held immediately after fishermen had returned from the sea and had disposed of the catch. Once initially established in the field, each enumerator was visited on an unannounced basis at least once or twice a month. During each visit, the forms were individually checked for completion, accuracy and inconsistencies between different sections of the ques- tionnaire. If inconsistencies occurred, or peculiar uniform trends began to surface, the form was returned by the author and cross checked with the fishermen. Frequent visits and overnight stays by the author at the enumeration site helped establish good rapport with the enumerator, made the field staff more alert and generally contributed to better village re3ponse as the author's presence conveyed an air of importance to the project. 169 .mumv mm>u=m no women :Bovxooup omen sowueoanaou .Holanma .oaoog munowm mo unoaauo>ouH mHouOH Hoseawom "mompom oo.H Hausa a m meshes so Eouuon sues uoaswuu oHoOmIomqu mm.~ wee em om Hm .m.m cm A euaonu=o\uma maam\uuom «some wm.e emu as mm as .m.m om v aumoab=o\uma maam\umom «name ow.e mas e on Hod .m.m me A eumonuao\umu wcaa\umom «seam mH.H ANN m an Noe .m.m ma v aumoauao\uma mnem\umom «seam NH.H men A as HNH «Haema\maamm nuamm\uaom madam m~.H ohms use omm mom «Haema\uma umm\oocmo unmeaaum mH.H Newm «NHH NNN omoa oaooon\uos unfiun\ooooo pudendum «H.H moo qu moH Nmm maooon\uoo wsfim\ooeoo pudendum oo.H «mm on me am maeema\maea was soon saw no: ammu\moamo cons sowmom soamom oowwom spam you pom: mugs: HouOH shoeboom snowmoz ouoauuoz ommH nowuoofinaoo sowuooanaoo mo nooaoz Hmoo«umz onumm onwmm mo¢ mHsz Hou_ one ”mooa .ooooa ouuowm mo unofiouo>owH Boom woummow oowunBomnoo Gonna swam voxoam mow sum "mounom mmm.em~.e ooo.~we oom.omH mow.mam oam.mmm samamn Hmuoa .mwmqmmM- .mmmqwm- .mmmqmm- ems.sue .mmmqmm- swam emxosm you panama amass onm.omq onm.mm mmm.~m mae.amm amen emxoam “on panama Hausa smm.m~m «Nm.mmm swam 3mm pom panama sans: nmm.eme “Ho.oe moH.oe men.mm swam sea son panama Hanna wows: unmam>wnoo emu venom newness .mocw>oum oonw>oum mou< mocw>oum Hmwwwmwz snoumom noonuoom shoumos ouonuuoz panama no make onumm ZOHUMM 924 mmwfi wm Qz<2mn mmHm mszo ensue! uoeuuoa on e ease. eN aqua Nana:- uea and an sane .uouveONvee: one eeaoueeS no euoeeu ueeaueuu cu esp unease e>one Aev ee eaee eeeoeeep .Heuuaeu uo aeoo ucuouea cw e ens-ear adv . .usuue: an eaeuuone an Nana snap Nev uexuel nee venueueu Anna any sewn sin «0 non eHeueueuueu eoo eeaoee eeenuusm eeeq .N ooue> eonem Adena: .H mmzoozN oousoawooaxm nouueuoao Hench .m eueoo saneaue> deuce as can uoxue: .n «modicum .N noon-oeuu .H eueou oHaeNue> uenuo .9 non-u noses-noe-aauaaaoaoe: .u oaeuaoeo ”sauna: mo ueoo euw>uem .n oHeuNaeo noeaauuvn uo ueoo eoq>uem .< muxauunzumxm 0:30uooum cu coNuuovoum gene emote annum-almam macawom cuonuhoz cu ceauuov Icon Loam geese oHeOm-Naoam eoou< :uoumoz cu acauuov robe seen ensue annum-eeaam mmoxbom Baum Azmee 3o asxuma unmouon on e moaomm< a .Heuaaeo no ueou uooouen co e eeaSee omenuuom Nuouum need .N N~.mN oN.oN No.oN mm.mm nooae> madam «Nunez .H mmxoozH mo.~a mN.NN mm.mH m¢.m monouwvooaxm mouueuono Heuoa .m mm.~ mm.H Ho.m Nm.N ouuoo manoaue> deuce An N. 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No. odouwauo ocean—«own mo aeoo magnum .< mEHanufimu nu:302 . 3:30.; cuunuoom mu5>oum 53me our—“>9; 505.32: 60:55.5 euosuoom% 92:30.5 Eoumnm oucfi>0um ouozuuoz nxmmm szommIn—meXw : :me :mmmm amxoxm Amem Guy—32v. ac mezzo... OCH mmmv mmngou 32m oh. oquHmfimm :mHn— ZMNozmlemv—OZm Qz< :wmmmlmmxozm mom nghmm 92¢ mHmOU DHHUDmHmzou n 3375?; BIBLIOGRAPHY BIBLIOGRAPHY Aubray, R. 1971. "The Fisheries of Sierra Leone." West African Fisheries: Country_by Country 1950-1970. Rome: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. 1972. The Fisheries of Africa: Preamble. Rome: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. Billings, Martin H. 1971. "Economics of Commercial Egg Production in Eastern Nigeria." Michigan State University, unpublished Ph.D. dissertation. Bottomley, Anthony. 1975. "Interest Rate Determination in Under- developed Rural Areas." American Journal onggricultural Economics, Vol. 57, No. 2. Brown, Lester and Erik Eckholm. 1974. By Bread Alone. New York Praeger Publisher. 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