A MULTWARIAYE DKSCRIMQNANT ANALYSES OF THE RELATEGN$HEP fiETWEEN SELECTEB CHARAfl'FERiSTECS 0F {ENEMNG QUEEN??? AME 1.1-!!le HEAL UNDERGRADUATE MAJORS Thanks for fire chreo oi“ EJ. D. MlCHIGAN S‘EATE [INNERSWY Betty 3... Giuliani 3958 Tau»: WI!WIN!JUIIHHUHHHMWW I .2? .1 This is to certify that the thesis entitled 9" “ .. A MULTIVARIATE DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS ' OF ENTERING STUDENTS AND THEIR FINAL UNDERGRADUATE MAJORS presented by L. Betty L. Giuliani has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for . fl." .‘. . ‘ ‘ . ,. Ed . D . degigg in Ed uga I; i Qn ) , @7571: i2? / ~‘ 3... /l~/ajor professor i Date September 6, 1968 0-169 . . “euro-o.“ -Q a,, ‘PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINE return on or before date due. I DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 7 ,1“; If . altfidl’ Lg 1U" ' 1198 MM“ ABSTRACT A MULTIVARIATE DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS OF ENTERING STUDENTS AND THEIR FINAL UNDERGRADUATE MAJORS BY ."L Betty quGiuliani Purpose The purpose of this study was to investigate rela- tionships which exist between students' characteristics, as measured by orientation data, and their final undergraduate majors. One major hypothesis was proposed: Undergraduate major fields can be differentiated on the basis of selected characteristics of entering freshman students who attain senior standing or graduate in each major. Methodology Forty-seven measures of ability/achievement, family and background eXperiences, self-ratings and interests, and educational/vocational preferences were selected as relevant student variables. The student sample was drawn from the first-time freshmen who entered Michigan State University during either Fall 1963 or Fall 1964 and had graduated or attained senior standing by Spring 1967. The major sample consisted of the undergraduate major fields represented in Betty L. Giuliani the student sample which contained at least 40 students of one sex. A total of 909 men and 856 women in 27 groups rep- resenting 23 different major fields made up the final study sample from which a 20 percent random sample was drawn for cross-validation purposes. The data were subjected to four treatments: (1) a discriminant analysis of the 27 major groups, (2) a separate discriminant analysis of the 14 male groups and the 13 female groups, (3) classification of a cross—validation sample based on the 27-group analysis, and (4) classifica- tion of male and female cross-validation samples based on the 14- and lB-group analyses, respectively. Results The 27-group discriminant analysis yielded 26 func- tions, of which 10 were significant at the .001 level, a rejection of the null hypothesis. Function one accounted for 51 percent of the dispersion among groups and split the majors into a verbal/humanistic group and a numerical/phys- ical science/technical group. The verbal/humanistic group contained only female majors; the numerical/physical science/ technical group contained all the male majors plus the mathe- matics women. Function two, interpreted as generalist to specialist in nature, accounted for 11 percent of the trace. The third function separated the major groups along an abstract to applied continuum and accounted for 10 percent of the diSpersion. The fourth and fifth functions, each Betty L. Giuliani accounting for 4 percent of the trace, were interpreted but not labeled because the heterogeneous combination of high weight variables in each function did not lend themselves to a common interpretation. The remaining five significant functions were not interpreted. The separate discriminant analyses of 14 male and 13 female majors each produced five significant functions which accounted for 80 and 76 percent of the dispersion, respectively, and which were interpreted in detail. Three cluster analyses were performed using inter— centroid distances and a computational scheme suggested by Rao (1952). The 27-group case produced 6 multi-group clus— ters and two isolated majors. The results of the cluster formation supported the secondary hypothesis that men and women in the same major have different patterns of character- istics. For each analysis, clusters were compared on the first three significant functions by means of a three-dimen- sional plot of group centroids. .A maximum likelihood procedure based on function weights and discriminant scores was used to classify three 20 percent cross-validation samples into majors and clusters. Assignments were scored as hits (classification into correct major), near hits (classification into correct cluster), and misses. Results were significantly better than chance. Thus, it would seem that, as Holland (1966a) sug- gests, there is a tendency for students to seek environments Betty L. Giuliani which permit them to exercise their skills and abilities, to take on agreeable problems and roles, and to avoid dis- agreeable ones. Results of this investigation demonstrated that it is possible to differentiate among major field environments on the basis of the dominant characteristics of members of each environment. Further, it appears that these characteristics are fairly stable over time. A MULTIVARIATE DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS OF ENTERING STUDENTS AND THEIR FINAL UNDERGRADUATE MAJORS 1.3Y ( fl: Betty L? Giuliani A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF EDUCATION Department of Counseling, Personnel Services and Educational Psychology 1968 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The author is grateful to many people who, during the course of the present study, offered and gave their help, but eSpecially to the following: to Dr. Buford Stefflre who, through four long years as doctoral committee chairman and dissertation director, has provided exactly the right amount of encouragement, challenge, and understanding and is, indeed, the compleat counselor; to Dr. Joseph L. Saupe who, as co-director of the dissertation, was more than generous with his time and talent in the resolution of statistical and analytical problems encountered during the course of the study; to Dr. Paul L. Dressel, whose confidence, patience, and support made it possible to undertake this in- vestigation; to Dr. William W. Farquhar and Dr. Norman Abeles, for their continuing interest and assistance as members of the doctoral committee; ,to Dr. Margaret F. Lorimer, whose insightful obser- vations and incisive comments were of great help during the writing of the thesis; to Mr. Lynn H. Peltier, for his invaluable and un- stinting assistance with the processing of the data for this study; and to Mr. Stuart Thomas, Jr., without whom there would have been no computer programs for the project. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter I. THE PROBLEM . . . . . . Need . . . . . . . . Purpose . . . . . . . Rationale . . . . . . Research Hypotheses . Overview . . . . . . II. REVIEW OF LITERATURE . The Descriptive Studies . . . . . . . . . The Predictive Studies Summary . . . . . . . III. DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY The Sample . . . . . Selection of Students and Final Major Fields . Instrumentation . . . Aptitude/Achievement Measures . . . Measures of Interest, Family Background, and Educational and Vocational Preference . . . . . Summary of Instrumentation and Variables Used The Statistical Model Summary . . . . . . . IV. ANALYSIS OF DATA . . . Discriminant Analysis Criterion Groups . Interpretation of Functions . . . Discriminant Analysis Criterion Groups . Discriminant Analysis Criterion Groups . iii of Twenty-Seven the Discriminant of Fourteen Male of Thirteen Female Page OGMWH H on 43 43 43 44 46 47 49 51 54 55 55 61 74 85 Chapter V. VI. Classification of the Cross—Validation Samples 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Results of th Twenty-Seven Group Classifications . . . . . . . . . . Results of the Fourteen-Group Classification . . . . . . . . . . Results of the Thirteen-Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SUMMARY DESCRIPTIONS OF THE TWENTY-SEVEN MAJOR GROUPS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Majors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Purpose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Counseling and Academic Advisement . Administrative Decision-Making . . . Needed Research . . . . . . . . . . . BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. B. Variables From the Personal Information Inventory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Original and Final Frequency Distributions of Rescaled Variables . . . . . . . . . . Computation of Intra- and Inter-Cluster Distances for Twenty-Seven Group Case . . Computation of Intra- and Inter-Cluster Distances for Fourteen Group Case . . . . Computation of Intra- and Inter-Cluster Distances for Thirteen Group Case . . . . Group Means and Standard Deviations for Twenty-Seven Groups and for All Groups on Forty-Seven Variables . . . . . . . . iv Page 98 99 101 102 104 109 110 138 138 138 138 139 143 147 147 148 148 150 155 155 159 164 165 167 169 Table 1. 10. 11. LIST OF TABLES College and Major Groups Included in Study: By Sex and Size of Study Sample, Analysis Sample and Check Sample . . . . . . . . . . Variables Included in the Discriminant Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percent of Trace, Degrees of Freedom, and Statistical Significance Levels for First Ten Discriminant Functions of the Twenty- Seven Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . Formation of Clusters Using Intercentroid Distances From Twenty—Seven Group Analysis . Inter-Cluster Relationships for Twenty-Seven Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Variable Included in Tables 7 Through 25 . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Twenty-Seven Major Groups on Function One . . . . . . . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Twenty-Seven Major Groups on Function Two . . . . . . . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Twenty-Seven Major Groups on Function Three . . . . . . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Twenty-Seven Major Groups on Function Four . . . . . . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Twenty-Seven Major Groups on Function Five . . . . . . . Page 45 50 57 59 60 62 63 65 67 69 71 Table Page 12. Percent of Trace, Degreesof Freedom, and Statistical Significance Levels for First Five Discriminant Functions of the Fourteen-Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 74 13. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Fourteen Groups on Function One . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 14. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Fourteen Groups on Function Two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 15. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Fourteen Groups on Function Three . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 16. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Fourteen Groups on Function Four . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 17. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Fourteen Groups on Function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 18. Formation of Clusters Using Intercentroid Distances From Fourteen-Group Analysis . . . . 84 19. Inter-Cluster Relationships for Fourteen- Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 20. Percent of Trace, Degrees of Freedom, and Statistical Significance Levels for First Five Discriminant Functions of the Thirteen- Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 21. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Thirteen Groups on Function One . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 22. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Thirteen Groups on Function Two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 23. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, and Plot of Group Centroids for Thirteen Groups on Function Three . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 vi Table 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, on Function Four . . Standardized Weights, Group Centroids, on Function Five . . Formation of Clusters Using Intercentroid and Plot of Group Centroids for Thirteen Groups and Plot of Group Centroids for Thirteen Groups Distances From Thirteen-Group Analysis . Inter-Cluster Relationships for Thirteen- Group Analysis . . . Near Hits, Hits, Classification of Cross-Validation Sample, for Thirteen-Group Case Showing Hits, Near Hits, and Misses and Misses Vii LClassification of Cross-Validation Sample for Twenty-Seven Group Case Showing Hits, .Classification of Cross—Validation Sample for Fourteen—Group Case Showing Hits, Near and Misses . . Page 91 92 94 94 101 103 105 Figure LIST OF FIGURES Three Dimensional Plot of Group Centroids on First Three Significant Functions of Twenty-Seven Group Analysis . . . . . . . Three Dimensional Plot of Group Centroids on First Three Significant Functions of ,Fourteen Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . Three Dimensional Plot of Group Centroids on First Three Significant Functions of Thirteen Group Analysis . . . . . . . . . viii Page . . 73 . . 96 . . 97 CHAPTER I THE PROBLEM Need The Michigan State University Catalog lists over 150 programs of study (majors), available to the entering under- graduate student, administered by more than 80 departments in 13 colleges. Individual undergraduate courses offered during a term number in the hundreds and, in one academic year, well over 2,000 different courses are presented to students. Michigan State University is not atypical. A study (Saupe, 1966) of courses listed and taught at nine of the eleven universities which make up the Institutional Research Council of Elevenl gave the median number of under- graduate courses listed for a year as 2,108. Michigan State University, recognizing the choice problems presented to entering freshmen by so vast a selec— tion of courses and majors as indicated above, provides a liberal policy governing selection and change of major and makes available academic advisement and counseling services lThe IRCE is composed of universities in the Big Ten Conference and The University of Chicago. to assist students in making intelligent, appropriate, and satisfying decisions. Beginning freshman students attend a 3-day summer orientation and counseling session (called a "clinic"), during which they take academic aptitude and placement tests. Personal information is collected on a Counseling Center form, the Personal Information Inventory (PII), and through individual interviews. The PII is made available to clinic counselors, but not to academic advisers. Test results are stated as raw scores and percentiles and are used by clinic counselors, and later by academic advis— ers, to assist students in selecting a major field and plan- ning an educational program. Recent research results (Abe & Holland, 1965; Davis, 1965; Werts, 1966; among others) indicate that the factors influencing the career choices and selection of major field by college undergraduates are related to a need for what Davis calls ”social homogeneity"--a tendency for “birds of a feather to flock together." According to Abe & Holland: When a student's characteristics resemble those of the typical student in his field, he is likely to feel at home and remain in his field. Conversely, ,incongruencies between a student and his field result in feelings of alienation and dissatisfaction and usually lead to a change of plans (p. 1). There is further the implication that, in addition to the pull a student feels toward a field which contains others who are most like himself, particular fields of study and work attract certain kinds of people. This suggests that orientation data, in its most useful form, would permit comparisons of a student's pattern of abilities, interests, and past experiences with the patterns of successful stu- dents in a variety of majors within the University. But the information collected during summer orientation clinics, in its present format, sheds little light on themeaning of patterns of student characteristics and provides no insight into the relationship between student characteristics and academic majors. Purpose The purpose of this study is toyinvestigate relation- ships which exist between students' characteristics, as mea- sured by orientation data, and their fipal undergraduate majors! by identifying student variables which differentiate among major fields! and quantifying the differentiating relationships. From the results of the study, it should be possible to describe a variety of majors in terms of the kinds of students attracted to them, and to determine the probability of a student's completing his undergraduate study in a particular major. Rationale Guidelines for the selection or rejection of spe- cific measures were sought from the body of theory and research dealing with vocational choice and development. Werts (1966) identified the problem of choosing the "right" variables in his introductory remarks to a National Merit Scholarship Corporation Research Report on the relationship of ability and social class to career patterns, where he said: It is easy to find statistically significant differences between persons sorted by occupation (or occupational aspiration), almost regardless of the type of sociological or psychological vari- ables beind studied. . . . Briefly, the problem confronting career research today is one of rele- vance, of how to separate the theoretically mean- ingful from the many sources of artifact (p. 1). John Holland's theoretical formulations appear to be most applicable to the purposes of this study. Holland's (1966b) theory of vocational choice rests on four assump- tions. 1. Most persons in our culture can be categorized as one of six types, a type being defined as a complex cluster of personal attributes. Parents, social class, schools, and community play an important role in the development of the person- ality type. 2. Where people congregate, they create an environ- ment that reflects the types they are. Thus, there are six kinds of environments, each dominated by a given type of personality. 3. People search for environments and vocations that will permit them to exercise their skills and abilities, to express their attitudes and values, to take on agreeable problems and roles, and to avoid disagreeable ones. Vocational decisions depend on a great range of student characteristics including interests, values, self-conceptions, competencies, achievements, range of eXperience, and family resources. To a lesser degree, environments also search for people through recruiting practices. 4. .A person's behavior can be explained by the interaction of his personality pattern and his environment. With regard to the fourth assumption, Holland says: In the present theory, a person's first and subsequent decisions are eXplained in terms of personality pattern and environmental model only. A more complete theory would incorporate economic and sociological influence (p. 12). Although Holland stresses the importance of person— ality and interests as determinants of vocational choice, he does not ignore aptitude and intelligence. These latter characteristics are assumed to be differentially distributed among the six personality types and environments. Four general categories of relevant variables seem to emerge from Holland's theoretical position. They are: (l) aptitude/achievement, (2) self-ratings and interests, (3) family and background experiences, and (4) educational and vocational preferences. Research by Tiedeman and his associates (Dunn, 1959; King, 1958; Tatsuoka, 1957; Tiedeman & Bryan, 1954) on choice of undergraduate major utilized variables which fell into the same four categories. The selection of specific measures for these studies appeared to be determined by what measures were available for the popula- tion to be studied, in contrast to Holland's research where, apparently, theory development and refinement of instrumenta- tion have proceeded together. At Michigan State University, information in each of the four categories is collected from students during orien- tation, but its usefulness is limited first, because of the treatment of the data and second, because even in its current form, the information is not made easily accessible to counselors and advisers. A consequence of the current study will be to re-organize the available data into a more mean— ingful form for use by students and their advisers in the selection of courses and the choice of a major field. Research Hypotheses The major hypothesis of this study is that under- graduate major fields can be differentiated on the basis of the multivariate discriminant analysis of aptitude, interest, educational-vocational preference, and family background mea- sures of students who attain senior standing or have gradu- ated in each major. .A secondary hypothesis of the study is that male and female students in the same major will have substantially different patterns of characteristics. To test the validity of the discriminant analysis results, group centroids for each major and for each sex will be used to predict membership in a major field for a cross-validation sample of seniors and graduates. Overview The value of investigating factors which influence undergraduate students in their selection of final major fields was discussed above, and some of the theoretical and research bases for such a study were delineated. In Chapter II, previous research relevant to the problem is critiqued. Chapter III sets forth the design and methodology employed in the investigation. Results of the analysis are included in Chapter IV. The fifth chapter contains a descriptive summary of each of the majors included in the study. In Chapter VI, the materials presented in Chapters I through IV, the conclusions warranted by the findings, and some suggestions for related research are summarized. CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE The review of literature is limited to studies of the relationship between student characteristics and under- graduate college majors. Results of descriptive and predic- tive investigations of this topic are critically examined, and pertinent recommendations reported. The Descriptive Studies The first group of studies reported in this section deals in a general way with the identification of student characteristics unique to Specific curricular groups or sub- groups. The second set of studies concerns the relationship of student characteristics to change or persistence in major field. The Research and Development Division of the American College Testing Program has published several descriptive studies of college-bound and undergraduate students, of which three are concerned with the relationship between stu4 dent characteristics and undergraduate major fields. Abe & Holland (1965) collected information on 117 student variables from 12,432 college freshmen at 31 institutions of higher education. The data-collection instrument contained 1,004 items covering student interests, attitudes, potential for various kinds of achievement, and other orientations. Students were grouped by sex and antic- ipated major field of study, which resulted in 79 male groups and 60 female groups. Each major field was described on the basis of its extreme characteristics, fields were grouped into 13 conventional academic areas, and the charac— teristics most descriptive of the major fields in each area were summarized. Four categories of characteristics emerged as differentiators: (1) occupational group preferences, (2) self-ratings of competencies, (3) self-ratings of traits and abilities, and (4) selection of important life goals and achievements. .Abe & Holland concluded that measures of student interests and life goals are useful discriminators of major fields, but warned against a too-specific interpre- tation of results because of certain limitations imposed by the design of the study. They pointed out that: (1) their subjects were grouped on the basis of anticipated major field rather than actual major field, (2) the number of subjects in a major ranged from 10 to 1,353 making some characterizations more reliable than others, and (3) the use of extreme characteristics may have overly-accentuated exist— ing differences. In addition, major fields were grouped a priori into 13 "conventional" academic areas and each area was then treated as if it were composed of homogeneous majors. 10 Baird (1967, No. 17; 1967, No. 19) reported on two ACT studies generated from data collected on the Student Profiie Section of the ACT test battery administered to high school students during 1964-65. He selected a 3 percent representative sample which totaled 10,073 boys and 8,305 girls and, in the first study, grouped them by student- reported family income into nine categories. Income groups were compared in several areas including probable choice of major. Baird found that students from higher income families tended to move toward fields which he classified as adminis- trative, political, or persuasive and away from social, religious, or educational areas, while lower income students were more likely to select the latter areas. In the second study, Baird (1967, No. 19) used differing educational goals to form student groups which he again compared in a variety of areas including probable major choice. He concluded that stated educational goals (reasons for coming to college) are closely related to educational plans and that, in general, different major fields tend to attract students with differ- ent educational goals. Baird's design suffered some of the same limitations described in the Abe & Holland study; that is, students were grouped on the basis of anticipated major field and major fields were classified a priori into sup- posedly homogeneous categories. He used student-reported family income as a classification variable in the first 11 study without any reported evidence that the student-reported family income resembled the actual family income. Smith (1967) compared 76 junior physical education majors (female) with 70 junior letters and science majors (female) on measures of ability, family background, and self- identification by sex, family role, and career choice. She found significant differences between the two majors on the following variables: (1) size of community and high school, (2) recreational pursuits of the father, (3) quality of rela- tionship with father, (4) factors influencing choice of major, and (5) leadership and interest in extra—curricular activities. Veldman, Peck, & Richek (1968) demonstrated a rela- tionship among certain aSpects of high school experience, personality measures, and the student teaching performance of a group of 192 female students who graduated from the University of Texas. The subjects were assigned to eight criterion groups defined by a high school characteristic, i.e., grade point average, class size, favorite high school subject, and the like. A varied set of measures were avail— able on each subject: (1) nine variables of attitude toward self and others, (2) eight measures of personality, (3) six factor scores from a pupil observation instrument, (4) four factor scores from the Qaiifornia Psychological Inventory, (5) college grade point average during the senior year, and (6) an evaluation of student teaching effectiveness. 12 Results of the eight analyses of variance led Veldman _E ii. to conclude that measures of high school eXperience warrant further use and study as relevant variables in understanding college students' choice of field and career. Korn (1962) compared a group of 1959 freshmen men majoring in the physical sciences (chemistry, mathematics, and physics), with engineering majors and general studies majors using their scores on the California Psychological Inventory, the Strong Vocatignal interest Blank, and a bio— graphical data sheet. Chi-square analyses of SVIB patterns comparing engineers with physical science majors, general studies with physical science majors, and general studies with engineering majors were carried out. Engineering and physical science majors shared an intense interest in the physical sciences, which differentiated them from the gen— eral studies group. In order to discriminate between engineering majors and physical science majors, Korn iden— tified strong interest areas which were not shared and found a practical—theoretical polarization. Two of the 9g; scales, Femininity and ReSponsibility, also distinguished among the three groups of men. A replication of the study using freshmen men who entered the same majors in 1960 produced substantially the same results. Korn concluded that differences between similar majors can be better understood by considering more than one basis for classification of student characteristics. He emphasized the value of describing major groups in terms of 13 their members' rejection of some interests as well as their attraction to others. Each of the above studies utilized a large number and variety of measures to describe the students in the various majors and, thus, differentiate among the fields, but in all cases, the most useful variables for this purpose were nonintellective in nature. The following two studies demonstrate the efficacy of ability-achievement measures in accomplishing the purpose. Voorhies (1966) selected a sample of undergraduate men majoring in business administration, industrial arts, and engineering to demonstrate a multivariate treatment of entrance data which would be of value in the academic advise- ment of male students at Middle Tennessee State College. Entrance test scores and high school grade point average were run through multiple regression analysis and discrim- inant function analysis. Voorhies computed a separate multi- ple R and discriminant function for each curricular group but, apparently, did not run a cross-validation study on the results. He recommended the inclusion of nonintellec- tive measures in future studies of this type. Trends in the data also suggested to him that variables with negative discriminant weights and positive regression coefficients might be used to identify avoidance patterns for major fields. That is, students who scored high on such variables appeared more likely to change major field than those who 14 had low scores on them, and changes seemed to be toward fields more compatible with student abilities or interests. Cullum (1966) investigated the relationships between scores on the General Aptitude Test Battery, grade point average, and six undergraduate major fields. He was able to differentiate management, English, and physical education majors on aptitude scores, and found that students who expressed dissatisfaction with their major fields had apti- tude scores which differed from the norms in their fields. The latter finding tends to support the Voorhies notion that avoidance patterns are discernible in such data, if research- ers are alert to their possibility. Interest measures alone have also been used success- fully in discriminating among broadly defined curricular groups. Baggaley (1947) divided 185 Harvard students into two groups on the basis of their major fields at the end of the freshman year; Group A was a cluster of natural science majors and Group B was a cluster of social science and humanities majors. Using Kuder Preference scores, he com— puted a mean discriminant score for each group and got sig- nificant results using a Ertest of mean differences. He also computed individual discriminant scores for visual inspection of group homogeneity. Baggaley suggested that students with extreme scores be singled out for additional educational-vocational guidance. 15 Matteson (1961) believed that student interests, as measured on the Activity Check Li§5_(ACL), would differenti- ate among curriculum groups. Prior to their enrollment as freshmen at Michigan State University, 185 freshman men and 115 freshman women were given the A99; 262 students indicated a specific choice of major and 38 had not yet selected a major. Students were grouped by college membership. An interest area was designated as characteristic of a college group if more than half the group had high or high-average scores in the area. Interest areas were distributed among the various colleges about as Matteson exPected (i.e., Engineering = mechanical, computational, scientific; Busi- ness and Public Service = clerical and computational), and were combined differently for each college. He was also able to differentiate among colleges on the basis of the strength and diversity of student interests. Although any student-linked variable could be described as a "personality" measure, the next four studies utilize scores from instruments designed to isolate various personality traits. Interestingly enough, results from these studies are not so clear cut as those obtained in studies which relied on simpler or more straightforward instrumentation. Martoccia (1964) used a measure of authoritarianism to differentiate among 10 major groups of students. Signif- icant results from an analysis of variance indicated that 16 students in different majors do differ on degree of author— itarianism. However, the author suggested that, because there was a negative correlation between intelligence test scores and authoritarian scores, the group differences observed might also be related to intelligence. Lundin & Lathrop (1963) investigated the relation- ship between personality adjustment as measured by the MMPI and choice of undergraduate major. Twenty Hamilton College junior and senior men in each of three majors (biology-chem- istry, history, and English literature) were given the MMP; and results were analyzed by a one-way analysis of variance. No significant differences were found among the criterion groups on any of the scales. The authors suggested that students at Hamilton College are too homogeneous a group to exhibit adjustment differences based on major fields. Elton & Rose (1967) studied all male freshman students who entered the University of Kentucky College of Engineering during 1963-65 and three semesters after entrance either were still in engineering or had transferred to commerce or arts and sciences. Six measures of student personality, scores on five factors derived from the Omnibus Personality Inventory (OPI) scales, and the AgT_composite score were subjected to a stepwise discriminant analysis for the three criterion groups. One significant function emerged (Scholarly Orientation) which accounted for 73 per- cent of the variation among groups. Elton & Rose found that 17 students who transferred into liberal arts had the highest mean score on this dimension. Those who transferred into commerce had the lowest mean discriminant score, and the group that remained in engineering had a mean score midway between the two transfer groups. Group separation was even more pronounced when group centroids were plotted in 2-dis- criminant space. The second function was not significant, however, and the authors gave it only limited attention in their discussion. They suggested that, with a larger sample, the second function might have reached significance, adding a valuable dimension to the interpretation of group differ- ences. A 20 percent sample of the entering freshmen at the UniverSity of Oregon was subdivided into five broad major fields (business, education, natural science, humanities, and social science) which were then compared and contrasted on the basis of Poe Inventory of Values (PIV) mean scores (Warnath & Fordyce, 1961). The ELY yields scores in eight areas of values: aesthetic, intellectual, material, power, social contact, religious, prestige, and humanitarian. Six of the eight scales discriminated among the five groups; social contact and prestige did not. Warnath & Fordyce used ‘E-tests to establish differences between each pair of major groups on each of the six value scales, a total of 60 37 tests, and achieved significance in 19 instances. They also 18 computed a D statistic, which revealed group profile differ- ences between each pair of major groups. Although the Warnath & Fordyce study displayed major group differences based on the values of group members, their interpretations must be viewed with some caution, because of the confounding effects produced by running 60 iftests. Hays (1963) says: One is never really justified in carrying out all the (3) different Eftests for differences among J groups, and then regarding this as some kind of substitute for the analysis of variance. Such 5— tests carried out on all pairs of means must neces- sarily extract redundant, overlapping, information from the data, and as a result a complicated pattern of dependency must exist among the tests. Further- more, the apparent levels of significance found from a set of such tests have neither a simple interpreta- tion nor a simple connection with the hypothesis tested by the §_test in the analysis of variance. . . . A11 in all, there is very little to recommend such a multiple iftest procedure (pp. 375-376). On the assumption that students and faculty in a given field tend to have personal characteristics in common which differ from the common characteristics of students and faculty in other fields, Astin (1965) investigated the class- room environments of different college courses. Freshman students at 246 colleges completed a questionnaire in which 32 items provided information on the behavior and techniques of instructors, student behavior, and student—instructor interaction for the one course most closely related to the major fields. Nineteen different fields were represented in the sample. Differences among the 19 fields were evaluated by chi-square tests of the proportion of "yes" responses 19 given to each of the 32 items. Astin found systematic dif- ferences among the various fields of study based on the behavior of the students and faculty in each field. The approach-avoidance nature of choosing an under- graduate field is clarified somewhat in the following series of studies. In an attempt to determine why Michigan State University students change their majors, Pierson (1962) sur- veyed the 1958 seniors who were graduating in a major differ- ent from the one they had originally selected. He found that the primary reason given for major changes was a lack of information (about course content, the variety of majors actually available, and the vocational opportunities related to the original major). The responses selected by these seniors suggested that changers were seeking major fields which were more com- patible with their personal interests than their original majors had been, i.e., "the courses really didn't interest me," "future jobs related to my original major didn't appeal to me," "I learned about another major that suits me better." Warren (1961) tested the hypothesis that changes in college major are likely to occur when a discrepancy exists between self concept and expected occupational role. His subjects were 525 males who were either National Merit Scholars or Certificate of Merit winners and who entered college as freshmen in 1956. Measures used in the study included 18 scale scores from the Omnibus Personality 20 Inventory which was administered prior to college entrance, plus a measure of expected occupational role, taken near the end of the freshman year. A discrepancy score was computed for each subject. Also available were three declarations of major field, one taken before entrance and one each at the end of the freshman and sophomore year. Change in field was categorized as "No Change," "Minor Change," or "Major Change," and mean discrepancy scores were computed for each category. Contrary to expectations, the mean differences were not sig- nificant. A second hypothesis, that self-role discrepancy scores of those who changed field twice would be higher than for those who changed once, yielded significant differences. Additional manipulation of the original data to which were added College Board SAT total scores and freshman year grade point average led Warren to conclude that self-role discrep- ancies contribute to major field changes, but do not, by themselves, explain the phenomenon. Other factors may either act to inhibit change (financial considerations) where it would otherwise occur or encourage change (low grades). Holland's theory of vocational choice hypothesizes that students select and remain in major fields where the .environment (other students) is most compatible. Holland & Nichols (1964) tested this hypothesis in a study which drew on National Merit Finalists for the student sample and their answers to a National Merit Scholarship Corporation 21 questionnaire for the variables. Students were assigned to one of six major field orientations, first on the basis of their preference as high school seniors and then, on the basis of their preference at the end of their freshman year in college. Changes in major were coded and weighted for degree of change. Results tended to confirm the hypothesis that students who leave a field are different from the typi- cal student in that field. Holland & Nichols recommend that information used in the counseling of students who are in the process of choosing or changing majors be based on "a more comprehensive review of self-conceptions, achievements, and personality in addition to information from aptitude and interest inventories"(p. 242). Super's vocational development theory suggested to Cole, Wilson, & Tiedeman (1964) that those who are alike choose alike and the more alike group members are, the longer they remain together. From this, they hypothesized that the students graduating in a particular major field would have more homogeneous test scores than the students who entered the same field four years ealier. Two studies were conducted, one at the University of Rochester and one at Harvard College, which, although not identical, were replicative. The Rochester study was based on a sample of 759 men who entered between 1948 and 1951 and, subsequently, completed a degree. Fifteen variables, measured at 22 matriculation, were included in the discriminant analysis of eight basic curricular groups. Centour scores were calcu- lated for each group member and used to determine the degree of divergence from the centroid of each curricular group at graduation. Results showed that students tended to move out of fields where they were atypical and into fields more com- patible with their abilities and interests. The incidence of change in field was higher for students whose original field was not the field of highest centour, thus supporting the hypotheses. The Harvard study utilized freshman data on 774 stu- dents who entered the college between 1946 and 1949 and graduated on schedule. The sample represented 16 fields of concentration. Ten principal-component scores, based on 36 variables, were analyzed and their multivariate distributions used to compute centour scores for each student. Centour scores were used to determine the degree of divergence from the original curricular group. Results did not support the hypotheses. Both studies showed that students are more likely to leave the natural sciences for the social sciences and human- ities than to enter the natural sciences from other fields and that, in general, the holding power of the natural sciences is weaker than the holding power of the social sciences and humanities. Thistlethwaite (Mimeo., ca., 1960), on the other hand, found that although the natural sciences 23 had greater holding power for males than any other field, net enrollment decreased because the field lost more men than it gained. It is possible that the movement of stu- dents out of natural science fields is a reflection of stu— dent interests and abilities, but the lack of movement into the natural sciences could be explained, at least in part, by the nature of the curriculum itself. The stringent sequencing of courses may well preclude transferring into the natural sciences after the freshman year. Gamble (1962) investigated the pre-college, out-of- school, personal exPeriences associated with curriculum changes during the first three semesters of college. Expe- rience variables included in the study were classed as home and family relationship, vocational, religious, peer group, community, co-curricular, or social and totaled 61. Data were collected on beginning students at The Pennsylvania State University and a random sample of 365 was selected from the 2,265 students still enrolled at the beginning of the third semester. They were grouped by sex and number of curriculum changes affected. Three variables were signif- icantly related to the number of curriculum changes made by men. A favorable but not insistent attitude of parents toward attending college, greater age of the student, and certainty of vocational choice were linked to fewer curric- ulum changes. Several nonsignificant relationships were also found for men. Men whose mothers worked outside the 24 home made more changes, as did men with no siblings. It was not possible, however, to relate the life history or experi- ence variables included in the study to the number of curric- ulum changes made by women. Gamble used chi-square to estab- lish significant relationships between change categories and experience variables which made it impossible to consider the interrelationships among variables. Hasan (1966) demonstrated a relationship between pre- college extra-curricular participation and persistence in a major field; low aptitude test scores and change of major; and change of major and lower grade point averages. The study sample consisted of 727 students who entered Southern Illinois University during 1958-59 and subsequently graduated or left the institution. Hasan found that father's and/or mother's educational level did not differentiate among changers and persisters. .Augustine (1966) identified factors related to change and persistence in major field for a sample of engi— neering students at three large midwestern universities. Men who transferred out of engineering for nonacademic rea— sons were paired with men who remained in the field. Data were collected by questionnaires and personal interviews and included information on family background, high school eXpe- riences, factors influencing choice of major and vocation, and important life goals. .Augustine found significant dif- ferences between persisters and changers on these variables. 25 Both criterion groups reported dissatisfaction with the highly structured curriculum, dislike of certain of the required mathematics courses, and the importance of peers in the decision to continue in or leave engineering. Thistlethwaite (Mimeo., ca., 1960) investigated the relationship between changes in major field and level of training and the experiences of college students. He obtained information on the relative holding power of dif- ferent fields of study and the characteristics of students and faculty in different fields. His sample was composed of 1,500 National Merit Scholars or Merit finalists who were completing their third year of college. Students reported their current major field of study and first college major and completed a modified version of the College Characteris- tics Index which yielded a faculty press index and a student press index. Fields of study were combined into five broad academic areas: (1) natural sciences, (2) biological sci- ences, (2) social sciences, (4) arts and humanities, and (5) other fields. Each student also described the faculty mem- ber who had the greatest influence upon his "desire to learn." Descriptions were based on the student's perception of the instructor's behavior in a course he taught. Analyses of the press indices and faculty descriptions led Thistlethwaite to conclude that students were attracted to and/or held in fields where they perceived compatible role models among the faculty. Deterrents to continued membership in an academic 26 'area were related to inappropriate student expectations for the area. The Predictive Studies In most of the following studies, the researchers were concerned with differentiating among undergraduate majors in order to apply the resulting information to the guidance and advisement of college students. Prediction, in these cases, was employed to demonstrate the validity of the analysis procedure and the accuracy of results, rather than as an end in itself. Included in this section are designs utilizing a wide variety of measures and several different statistical treatments. The first four studies are examples of predic- tive research which rely on a single category of variable to differentiate among curricular groups. The remaining inves- tigations employed two or more classes of variables. In order to test the validity of the College Qualifi— cation Test (CQT) subscores for differential prediction, Juola (1961) selected six broad curriculum groups of first- term freshmen at Michigan State University and ran simple correlations between their subscores and first-term grade point averages (GPA). The three Egg subscores predicted GPA for the technical curricular group better than did the total 99: score, and as well as the total for two random groups and the nontechnical curricular group. Juola concluded that 27 the QQT subtests show potential for differential prediction of achievement, and therefore, differential guidance of undergraduate students. .An early investigation of the value of student inter- est measures as predictors of major field was conducted at Harvard College by Tiedeman and Bryan (1954). They employed multivariate discriminant analysis of the nine dimensions of the Kuder-Vocationai to predict the membership of sophomore students in one of five fields of concentration. Tiedeman and Bryan were primarily interested in demonstrating the effectiveness of multivariate discriminant analysis in the treatment of student variablestxaproduce more meaningful information than did the original data. Although satisfied with results, the authors empha- sized that interests alone are not enough to fully account for differences among fields, and suggested that other variates be exPlored as potential predictors. They also believed it would be useful to introduce a success factor into the analysis, i.e., using field of concentration at graduation. Harder (1959) used the MMP; clinical scales with three curricular groups of male undergraduates (business, education, and engineering) in an attempt to differentiate curricular groups in terms of personality characteristics. Results were not significant. He then identified MMPI items which distinguished among the groups and developed scoring 28 keys for these items. Normalized T_scores were computed for each subject and used to classify him into a criterion group. 7C1assification results-for the normative sample were signif- icantly better than chance expectations. No cross-valida- tion-was performed. The Kuder Preference Scientific scale, the Guilford- Zimmerman verbal comprehension and general reasoning sub- scores, and the ACE Psychological total score were selected by Stinson (1958) to discriminate among three groups of stu- dents who entered the Engineering School of Oklahoma State University as freshmen and subsequently graduated as engi- neers, graduated in a non-engineering major, or dropped out of the University. Tests were administered during the fresh- man year. Five years later, 30 members of each group were selected at random and from the four scores, a discriminant function was computed. Stinson used the mean discriminant score for each criterion group to establish three mutually exclusive critical regions that separated the groups from each other. Stinson recommended that counselors employ the‘ technique as an aid in the academic advisement and counsel- ing of succeeding freshman engineering classes. ,StroquVocational Interest Blank scores, socio- economic status of father's occupation, and Minnesota Scho- lastic Aptitude Test scores were compared for undergraduate men in pre-business, pre-law, pre-medicine, and engineering (Petrik, 1966). Petrik found that socio-economic status 29 played an important part in the interpretation of Syig scores. Lower class persisters in pre-medicine and pre-law had different SVIB patterns than their middle class counter- parts. In the engineering and pre-business majors, socio- economic status had little effect on the predictive effi- ciency of the syig; the Strong predicted persistence equally well for both classes and was not predictive of persistence in engineering. Mazak (1967) used stepwise discriminant analysis of 67 variables, (abilities, interests, and values), to dis- tinguish among five criterion groups of students who, seven years earlier, had entered El Camino Community College as pre-engineering students. After completing the analysis with five groups, Mazak combined students into four groups and then, three groups for re—analysis and prediction of membership. .As the number of groups decreased, the accuracy of classification increased. The major findings reported by Mazak were: (1) high school achievement is the best predictor of success in engi- neering and related majors in the junior college, and (2) junior college achievement is the best predictor of transfer to and success in senior institutions. Mazak recommended the use of high school achievement records as a major factor in counseling and academic advising with pre-engineering stu- dents and suggested that future research of this type include 30 measures of student commitment, motivation, personality, study habits, and attitudes. .A unique approach to clarifying the relationship between student personality and curricular choice was devised by Goldschmid (1966). Fifty-five academic disciplines were rated by 142 judges on two scales, a science continuum and a humanities continuum. Five personality measures provided the scores used in the regresssion analysis. Students were grouped by final undergraduate major; two-thirds of the sample was used in the analysis and one-third was reserved for cross-validation. Eleven of 16 regression equations produced significant cross-validation results. In addition, interpretation of the predictive equations indicated that the contributing variables described the "science personal- ity" on different dimensions than were used to describe the "humanities personality." Simono (1967) used performance, environmental, and activity indices to predict membership in one of two crite— rion groups (science and non-science) and one of six-sub- groups: (1) engineering; (2) pre-medicine, zoology and chemistry; (3) mathematics and physics; (4) social studies; (5) business administration; and (6) literature and language. {The sample consisted of 215 academically-talented sophomore, junior, and senior college men for whom data were available (on high school performance, family and school background, Eand extra-curricular activities. The activity index produced 31 significant differences between science and non—science majors. Two variables in the index were especially strong differentiators: (1) reading preferences and (2) interest in tinkering with machines or building models. Simono con- cluded that, for superior students at least, measures of extra-curricular interests are meaningful variables to use in studying differences in academic majors. To demonstrate the use and advantages of multiple discriminant analysis and related classification procedures, Cooley & Lohnes (1962) report on one phase of the Scientific Careers Study undertaken earlier by Cooley. In this study, senior engineering and science majors were given the Study of Values test, which measures six personality characteris- tics that Cooley believed would differentiate among three criterion groups. The criterion groups consisted of: (1) science and engineering majors who planned to engage in basic research after graduation, (2) those who planned to continue in applied science and engineering, and (3) those who planned to leave the field for work having more direct involvement with people. The analysis produced significant group differences, allowing Cooley to proceed with classifi- cation of a check sample of sophomore engineering and sci— ence majors drawn and tested at the same time as the senior sample. After graduation, members of the "sophomore" sample reported their career plans. If the classification proce— dure, based on the senior group centroids, assigned a check 32 sample member to the criterion group he planned to enter, it was credited with a "hit." Approximately 50 percent hits were achieved, demonstrating that value measures are effec- tive in differentiating among members of the same academic area whose career plans differ. .A concern for the curricular choice problems of undergraduates at Harvard College led King (1958) to a pre- dictive study of the relationship between student character- istics and final undergraduate major. The purpose of the study was to provide analytic comparisons of student apti- tudes and interests with various fields of study to replace the subjective comparisons then in use. Scores from the Aptitude Survey Test (a battery of 21 subtests), the Kggeg Preference Record-Vocationai, Coliege Board SAT Verbal and Mathematical scores, predicted freshman grade average, Fall semester freshman rank, public-private secondary school attendance, and scholarship application constituted the 36 variables available for the study sample of men who gradu- ated in the Classes of 1950 through 1953, as well as for the check sample of men who graduated in the Classes of 1954 and 1955. .A total of 22 fields of concentration identified the criterion groups in the study. _Multivariate discriminant analysis provided the information necessary for the computa- tion of group centroids, individual centour scores, and dis- tance measures, from which King was able to predict group membership for the check sample. Prediction results were 33 significantly better than chance expectations. Noting the relatively large beta weights assigned by discriminant analysis to interest measures, King recommended a reduction in the number of aptitude-ability measures and an increase in the number of interest and attitude measures in subse- quent investigations of this type. The purpose of Dunn's (1959) study was to compare the relative effectiveness of multiple regression analysis and multiple discriminant analysis in the prediction of college major. The same data were subjected to both treat- ments and Dunn found that discriminant analysis was far superior for predicting choice of major. The sample con- sisted of 1,380 men and women representing 14 different major fields. The 13 variables included ability-achievement measures and basic demographic data. Two functions accounted for 86 percent of the variance and were used to predict mem- bership for a cross-validation sample. Because the 14 major groups overlapped each other in the discriminant Space, Dunn grouped them into six clusters and judged prediction results as "hits," "near hits," and "misses," "near hits" being pre- dictions that fell in the right cluster but wrong major. She found it much easier to predict into clusters than into exact fields of study, and suggested that greater accuracy might result first, by adding interest and personality mea- sures and second, by separating major groups by sex rather than including sex as an analysis variable. 34 Tatsuoka (1957) developed a joint probability model which combined discriminant and regression analysis to demon- strate a relationship among measures of aptitude; high school grades and rank in class; type of high school and geographic location; personality ratings; and final fields of concentra- tion. The normative sample of M.I.T. freshmen was assigned to one of six curricular groups, depending on field of con- centration at graduation. A seventh group consisted of the students who had withdrawn or been suspended for academic reasons. Multiple regression and multiple discriminant analyses were run, using 11 variables and seven criterion groups, resulting in seven multiple regression equations and one significant discriminant function. Tatsuoka used these to predict a joint probability of membership and success in one of the criterion groups for a check sample of the next year's graduates. Stahmann & Wallen (1966) incorporated several of the suggestions made by other investigators who employed multi- variate discriminant analysis to predict undergraduate field. In their design, students were grouped by final undergrad— uate field, a separate discriminant analysis was run for men and women, and both achievement and interest measures were included. Scores on the Cooperative Engiishy_Mathematics, and Natural Science Tests and the Occupational Interest Inventory were obtained from the University of Utah freshman entrance examination battery for a selected sample of 1962, 35 1963, and 1964 graduates. Male subjects represented majors in engineering, business, pharmacy, and letters and sciences. Female subjects represented majors in nursing, elementary education, and letters and sciences. Subjects in majors with 50 or more members were randomly assigned to either an analysis sample or a cross-validation sample. Major groups with less than 50 members were included in the analysis sample only. Thus, the "cross—validation" sample of males contained no pharmacy majors and the "cross-validation" sample of females contained only elementary education majors. Mosier (1951) defined "cross-validation" as "weights deter- mined on one sample and their effectiveness tested on a second, similarly drawn sample" (p. 8). Cooley & Lohnes (1962, p. 144) also use this definition. Because Stahmann and Wallen actually had a validity-generalization sample rather than a cross—validation sample, their results are difficult to interpret. They concluded that the freshman entrance battery was an effective predictor of major field at graduation and their predictions were better than chance for all majors except business. .Actually, of 50 engineers in the check sample, 29 were classified correctly, of 39 business majors, 3 were classified correctly, of 50 letters and science majors 23 were classified correctly, and 22 men were assigned to pharmacy although there were no pharmacists in the check sample. The women's check sample contained 50 elementary majors and 32 were properly classified. Clearly, 36 the business major was underassigned. Stahman & Wallen sug~ gested that, because business students are a heterogeneous group, it might be necessary to use "variables other than achievement and interest measures to achieve adequate dis- crimination" (p. 444). Cutting (1966) used 15 items from the Personal Informatignyinventory to predict field of concentration for a sample of Michigan State University students who entered as first-time freshmen in the Fall of 1963. Students were grouped by their Fall 1965 academic majors and majors with less than 30 members were combined into curriculum groups. The resulting 27 groups ranged in size from 40 to 257 stu- dents. A 25 percent random sample was set aside for cross- validation and the remaining 75 percent of the study pOpula- tion was used for multivariate discriminant analysis. The 15 variables were categorized by Cutting as self-concept measures and consisted of self-ratings of six abilities and preference rankings of nine occupational interest groups. The analysis yielded 15 functions, 10 of which were significant. The first three functions, accounting for 75 percent of the trace, were used to identify 11 distinct groups and five clusters. Function one was interpreted as a masculine-feminine dimension, with high positive weights for verbal facility, interest in artistic occupations and social service occupations identifying the feminine charac- teristics and high negative weights for numerical ability 37 and interest in physical science occupations identifying the masculine. Function two, a verbal-scientific dimension, had high positive loadings for interest in business detail and verbal-linguistic occupations and high negative loadings for biological science and mechanical—technical occupational interests. The third function showed high positive weights for self-ratings of general ability, verbal ability, reading ability, anticipated grade point average, and interest in verbal-linguistic occupations; high negative weights were attached to interests in business detail occupations and executive-managerial occupations. From the positive and negative loadings, the most masculine majors should have fallen at the extreme negative end of the first function and the most feminine majors at the extreme positive end, but because the 15 variables were scaled with "0" or "1" as the high scores and "4" or "8" as the low scores, just the opposite occurred. Thus, on function one, a high self-rating of numerical ability (i.e., "0") was combined with the negative weighting associated with that variable to suppress the negative contribution to the discriminant score and indirectly increase the positive aspect, while a low self-rating of verbal facility (i.e., "4") was combined with the high positive weighting for that variable to increase the positive portion of the discriminant score . 38 Two cross-validation procedures were employed. In the first, a discriminant score was computed for each member of the check sample (N=567), for each of the 10 significant functions and each individual was assigned to the curricular group whose mean discriminant score was closest to his dis- criminant score. In other words, every individual in the check sample was assigned 10 times. Out of a possible, 5,760 assignments, 331 "hits" resulted. In the second, a maximum likelihood classification procedure was used, which took simultaneous account of all 10 significant functions and assigned each individual only once. With this technique, Cutting reported 137 "hits." He concluded that the vari- ables and statistical treatment selected for the study were effective in predicting academic fields for incoming fresh- man students and suggested ways in which counselors could use such information with students. The results of the study must be interpreted with some caution, however. Although not reported in the disser- tation, a printing error on the 1963 form of the Personal Information Inventory made it impossible to score with cer- tainty six of the nine occupational group rankings for each student. This, in turn, brings into question the meaning of the contribution made to each function by the nine occupa- tional variables. In spite of this fact, the self-ratings 'and rankings of occupational interest groups did differen- tiate among the curricular groups analyzed, suggesting that 39 these measures are somehow related to differences among major fields. Summary The foregoing review of literature emphasized descriptive and predictive studies of student characteris- tics associated with differing undergraduate major fields. The following conclusions represent the principal findings relevant to the current study. 1. Measures of student and/or faculty characteristics are effective in differentiating among a variety of undergraduate major fields. A wide variety of characteristics has been examined and shown to be useful. Although interest and value measures appear to be particularly potent differen- tiators, researchers are fairly unanimous in recom- mending the use of a variety of measures, including ability/achievement, family background, high school background and experiences, and self-ratings, in addition to interests and values. Student characteristics are useful not only in estab- lishing major field differences, but in identifying similarities which cross department and college organizational lines. Many investigators believe that more accurate dis- tinctions result when final undergraduate majors are used to establish criterion groups than when first or interim majors are used. Accuracy and understanding are improved when criterion groups are controlled for sex. Multivariate discriminant analysis is particularly well suited to research problems dealing with the establishment and eXplanation of group differences which are based on a variety of variables. 40 These conclusions, coupled with the rationale pre- sented in Chapter I,.suggested the following guidelines for the design of the present study. 1. Student characteristics should be measured as early as possible, preferabiy_p£ior to first collegiate attendance. For information of the type which should result from this study to be applicable to the choice problems faced by freshman students and their advisers, the data on which it is based must be collected and processed for use during the first term of enrollment. The following studies, of those cited above, employed precollege measures to suc- cessfully differentiate among undergraduate majors; Baird, 1967, No. 17 a No. 19; Cutting, 1966; Gamble, 1962; Hassan, 1966; Juola, 1961; Simono, 1967; Stahmann & Wallen, 1966; Veldman _£_ai,, 1968; and Voorhies, 1966. 2. From the pre-college measures availabley those selected for incigsion in the stgdy should represent a variety of ciasses. Interest and preference measures receive strong emphasis in Holland's theoretical formula- tions (1966) as well as his research (Abe & Holland, 1965; Holland & Nichols, 1964). In addition, studies by Baggaley (1947), Matteson (1961), and Tiedeman & Bryan (1954) relied exclusively on interest variables and showed useful results. Similar evidence is available in support of measures of ability/achievement (Cullum, 1966; Dunn, 1959; Juola, 1961; and Voorhies, 1966), values (Baird, 1967, No. 19; Cooley & 41 Lohnes, 1962; and Warnath & Fordyce, 1961), family and high school background (Augustine, 1966; Baird, 1967, No. 17; Gamble, 1962; Smith, 1967; and Veldman §£_ai,, 1968), and self-ratings (Abe & Holland, 1965 and Cutting, 1966). Results of research studies using measures of adjustment and/or personality traits were less consistent (Elton & Rose, 1967; Harder, 1959; Lundin & Lathrop, 1963; and Martoccia, 1964). .A number of studies were based on a combination of two or more classes of variables. The following researchers specifically recommended the inclusion of several categories in future investigations: Abe & Holland, 1965; Dunn, 1959; Holland & Nichols, 1964; King, 1958; Korn, 1962; Martoccia, 1964; Stahman & Wallen, 1966; Tiedeman & Bryan, 1954; and Voorhies, 1966. 3. In so far as possible, criterion groups should be kept fipure." Three considerations are relevant to this point. When are groups identified, what academic areas should be combined into criterion groups, and how should the sex variable be treated? Tiedeman & Bryan (1954) were the first to suggest that criterion groups include only those students who graduated in each field, but others have since made the same recommendation (Abe & Holland, 1965; Baird, 1967, No. 17 & No. 19; and Cutting, 1966). Interpretation of results has been clearer in those studies where cluster- ing of major fields was based on initial findings, i.e., Dunn, 1959; and King, 1958. Considerations of sample size 42 have sometimes made it necessary to treat men and women in the same major as one criterion group. Other studies have been designed to include only men. Dunn (1959) used sex as an analysis variable, but recommended that it be used as a criterion variable so that separate analyses could be run. Again, clearer interpretations would undoubtedly result if criterion groups were controlled for sex. Applications of these guidelines led to the design and methodology detailed in Chapter III. CHAPTER III DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY The Sample Selection of Students and Final Major Fields The restricted population from which the study sample was drawn entered Michigan State University as first- time freshmen during either Fall 1963 or Fall 1964 and had attained senior standing (130 quarter credits or more), or had graduated from Michigan State University by Spring 1967. All students in this group who had earned more than 30 quar- ter credits from an institution other than Michigan State were eliminated. A total of 3,681 students, 1,934 males and 1,747 females, filtered through the first set of screens. A second set of restrictions was placed on the sample because of criteria established for the selection of final major fields. A major field is defined as a program of study which is specifically identified by a college of the University, and which culminates in a bachelor's degree. The 3,681 students represented 127 majors in 10 colleges. Major groups containing less than 40 members of one sex were 43 44 eliminated, leaving a total of 2,096 students in 23 majors from 9 colleges. Nine of these majors contained only females, ten contained only males, and each of the four remaining majors had both a male and a female group. The sample, thus, consisted of 27 groups representing 23 differ— ent final majors. The last restriction on the sample, that all mea— sures be available for all subjects, resulted in an initial loss of 130 students whose orientation test scores and/or Personal Information Inventory (PII) data were missing or incomplete, and a subsequent loss of 201 students whose gi_ forms were no longer on file at the Counseling Center. The study sample consisted of 1,765 students, 909 males and 856 females, in 23 majors from 9 colleges. A 20 percent sample of each major group was drawn from the study sample and set aside for use in the cross-validation study, while the remaining 80 percent of each group became the analysis sample. The composition of the study sample, the analysis sample, and the cross-validation sample is shown in Table 1. Instrpmentation The maximum number of variables which could have been included in the discriminant analysis, at the time the study was designed, was limited by computer capacity to 50. Only those variables which were measured before students 45 E E... 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Interpretation of the Discriminant Functions Although the analysis produced ten Significant func- tions, the first five functions accounted for 79.32 percent of the trace, while the last five significant functions accounted for only 10.97 percent of the variation among groups. ,Consequently, only the first five functions were interpreted in detail. Table 6 identifies variables by name and number and should be used in conjunction with Tables 7 through 25 in which variables are designated by number only. The first function accounted for 50.78 percent of the variation among groups. The standardized weights as- signed to the 47 variables for this function are shown in Table 7. It was decided to consider, for interpretive pur- poses, those variables assigned an absolute weight of 10.00 or more. Four positive and six negative weights reached this magnitude in function one. High positive loadings were assigned to the MSU Engiish test score, reading preference for literary classics, preference for fine and applied arts and letters in high school, and interest in social service occupations, while high negative loadings were assigned to QQT Information and Numerical test scores; interest in phys— ical science occupations, mechanical-technical occupations, TABLE 6. AAbility/Achievement Measures 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Reading 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. CQT Verbal . CQT Information CQT Numerical ,MSU English MSU Reading Preferences Novels Technical books Mystery books Biography and History Literary classics High School Courses 11. 12. 13. 14. Fine and applied Arts and Letters Science and Mathematics Social studies Non-academics Self-Ratings 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. General capacity Numerical reasoning Verbal reasoning Reading skill Anticipated college GPA Occupational Interest Grogps 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. Artistic Physical science Biological science Mechanical and technical Social service Business detail Business contact Verbal and linguistic Executive and managerial VARIABLES INCLUDED IN TABLES 7 THROUGH 25 Familyyand Background Experi- ences 29. Educational level of father Educational level of mother Occupational level of father Employment of mother Marital status of parents Number of older siblings Number of younger siblings Size of high school graduating class High school in- or out-of- state Sources of financial support 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. Educational and Vocatignal Preferences 39. Strength of first major choice 40. Certainty of vocational choice Factors influencing vocational choice: 41. Family and Significant others High school eXperience Personal interests and needs Reasons for coming to college: 44. Educational/vocational needs Social needs Family influence Status needs 42. 43. 45. 46. 47. 63 TABLE 7. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR TWENTY-SEVEN MAJOR GROUPS ON FUDCTION ONE High-Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Grow Centroids on Variable Weight (x 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 8.09 — ° 2 -23.25 x 3 -26.83 x 4 16.67 x 5 5.77 21. Speech -O.30 6 3.67 22. Art Practice 4.32:: 7 - 2.84 23. English -0.41 8 - 2.48 19. Elena. Educ. -0.48::' 9 - 2.95 20. Special Educ. -0.50——§_,:— -0.5 10 11.71 x 27. Social Work -0.54——-——"'- 11 12.33 x 16. Ret.. Tex. 8 Clo. -0.60-——-——-- 12 - 0.39 25. Soc. Sci. (r) -0.64 ; 14 - 0.63 24. History (2) -0.69;_= 15 - 1.42 18. Nursing -0.7g/"_ 16 - 9.13 15. Home ac. Tchg. -o.a /" 17 - 1.92 26. Psychology (F) -o.84 l8 - 0.75 — -l.0 20 7.87 21 -22.46 x 22 - 1.37 23 -16.09 x 24 17.03 x 25 - 4.83 26 - 8.33 _ 17. Mathematics (1') -l.56 -—- -l.5 g; 4564' x 10. History (Ti) -l.66 \_ 29 _ 1'42 11. Social Sci. (a) -1.76\_ . F- 30 7.44 \— 31 — 2.49 13. Political Sci. -l.84 — 32 ' 1'35 14. Psychology (M) -l.87\—.. 33 0‘34 12 Pre-Law -1 99.x“? 34 1.12 ' ' 35 4.30 \___-2 o 36 3.23“ ' 8. Zoology -2.10 3; 3:3; 5. Marketing -2.13 \ 39 1.29 3. Gen. Bun. Adm. -2.11 40 - 3.97 41 3.48 2. Accounting -2.33\_ 42 - 4.09 4. Economice -2.37 43 - 2.25 9. Mathematics (M) -§.44 2 5 44 0.28 1. Packaging - .50 _—- . 45 4.18 ——'1 47 -12.60 x 6. Electrical Eng. -2.67~_ 7. Mechanical Eng. -2.75\P 64 and executive-managerial occupations;.and coming to college to fulfill status needs. Function one was interpreted as a verbal/humanistic versus numerical/technical dimension. A plot of the major group centroids on this function (Table 7) gave further support to the verbal/humanistic versus numerical/technical dichotomy. Majors at the extreme end of the numerical/technical area included mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, packaging, and mathe- matics. Majors at the extreme end of the verbal/humanistic area included speech, art practice, and English. The fact that all the male majors spread out along the high negative end of the ordinate and the women's majors (with the excep- tion of the mathematic's women) huddled at the low negative end suggested that the first function reflected a sex- related difference among the criterion groups. This led to the decision to run separate discriminant analyses of the male majors and the female majors, the results of which are described later in the chapter. Function two (Table 8) accounted for approximately 11 percent of the difference among groups. High positive weights were assigned to six variables (QQT Information test scores; biography and history reading preferences; interest in social studies in high school; and preferences for busi- ness contact, verbal and linguistic, and executive and man- agerial occupations) and high negative weights were assigned to four variables (MSU English and Reading test scores; 65 TABLE 8. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR TWENTY-SEVEN MAJOR GROUPS ON FUNCTION TWO High-Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (x 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 9.81 -- 0 2 14.62 x 3 4.12 4 -13.74 x 5 -17.57 x 6 - 5.02 7 - 4e73 8 - 3.91 9 10.85 x 13. Political Sci. -0.34 ____._. 10 - 1.69 11 - 8.10 12 - 5.23 B 13.3? " 10. History (M) -0.55 r- —-0.5 15 1.04 12. Pro-Law -0.58—~— 1’: ' 3%; 4. Economics . -0.69\_ 18 3.15 3. Gen. Bus. Adm1n. -0.71 _ 11,3 : 3°32 11. Soc. Sci. (M) -0.80\___ 21 21°09 x 5. Marketing -0.84-—-—-—-———: - ° ' _ / 22 _ 7.03 25. Soc. Sc1. (F) 0.85 23 - 6.84 24 - 4.49 24. History (1’) -1.00\-— 25 1.16 15. Home Ec. Tchg. -l.06 \t- —— -1.0 26 11.55 x 2. Accounting -1.07 “2 27 20.02 x 16. Ret.. Tex. a Clo.. -l.037"‘_ 28 15.15 x 23. English -1.0 29 - 1.31 27. Social Work -1.18 *: 30 5.84 14. Psychology (n) -1.19//j,_._"‘_ 31 6.64 19. Elem. Educ. -1.23 32 1.44 20. Special Educ. -1.33 33 1.66 21. Speech -l.33 >: 34 2.43 26. Psychology (F) -1.37 35 0.22 1. Packaging -1.44 ——_._: 36 - 3.81 8. Zoology -1.4s ——-—-—"‘ 37 " 5.18 22. Mt Practice “1.54 —-——n— —-1.5 38 - 6.49 39 - 8.04 _ ‘0 _ 9.37 7. Mechanical Eng. 1.63 ——__ __ :2 :13'22 x 18. Nursing —1.70 —-——-—_ ‘3 _ 6.68 9. Mathematics (24) -1.74 -———-""'"— . . _ __________..__ 44 _ 7.39 6. Electrical Eng. 1.78 45 - 5.30 . 46 _ 4.79 17. Mathematics (1’) -l.88 WP 47 - 6.05 —-200 66 preference for physical science occupations, and the impor- tance of high school experiences in the selection of a voca— tion). Although the nature of the second function was less clear—cut than function one, the positively-weighted vari- ables suggested a generalist orientation and the negatively- weighted variables a specialist orientation. The distribution of group centroids tended to con- firm the generalist-specialist dichotomy. The five majors at the specialist end of the scale were mathematics (women), electrical engineering, mathematics (men), nursing, and mechanical engineering, while the five majors at the other extreme were political science, history (men), pre-law, economics, and general business administration. The third function (Table 9) was interpreted as an abstract versus applied orientation. High positive loadings on CQT Verbal and Information test scores, MSU Reading score, anticipated college GPA, and interests in physical science, .social service, and verbal/linguistic occupations were asso- ciated with high positive group centroids for social science (women), psychology (men and women), English, and mathe- matics (women) majors. Variables with high negative weights included preference for non-academic subjects in high school, interest in business detail occupations, high school in Michigan, certainty of vocational choice, family influence in decision to come to college as well as in choice of voca- tion, and the status value of a college education. Majors TABLE 9. 67 STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR TWENTY- SBVEN MAJOR GROUPS ON FUNCTION THREE High-We ight Variables Standardized Variable Weight (x 100) + Major Group Plot of Group Centroids on this Function Group Centroid QQQOU§WNH 20.89 x 10.04 x - 3.45 0.70 14.02 x - 7.09 7.01 1.52 4.86 4.54 4.38 0.42 6.42 -10.07 7.84 - 8.09 - 4.85 4.77 14.96 x 14. 25. 26. 23. 17. 13. 24. 12. 10. 4. 8. 20. 15. 11. 27. 18. 21. 19. 16. 22. UINUI-I Psychology (M) Soc. Sci. (P) Psychology (F) English Mathematics (F) Political Sci. History (F) Mathematics (M) Pre-Law History (M) Electrical Eng. Economics Zoology Special Educ. Home Ec. Tchg. Mechanical Eng. Soc. Sci. (M) Social Work Nursing Speech Elem. Educ. Ret., Tex. & Clo. Art Practice Packaging Gen. Bus. Admin. Accounting Marketing -- 3.0 TT 68 with low positive group centroids on function three were marketing, accounting, general business administration, packaging, and art practice. Seven variables were assigned high negative weights in function four. They were: CQT Verbal score; preference for reading literary classics; interest in artistic, phys- ical science, mechanical/technical, and executive managerial occupations; and, vocational choice influenced by high school experiences. This combination of variables was labeled artistic/technical. The high positive variables (MSU Readianscore, interest in social service occupations, and educational level of mother) suggested a conventional feminine orientation. From such a polarization, it was not surprising to find that the women's majors were separated much more than the men's majors (Table 10). Group centroids at the artistic/technical pole were art practice, speech, retailing of textiles and clothing, and English. Majors at the conventional feminine end of the scale included nursing, home economics teaching, social work, and elementary educa- tion. The high-weight variables in function five shared no obvious common qualities. Positive weights were assigned to self-rating of numerical reasoning; interest in social ser- vice, business detail, and artistic occupations; and family influence of vocational choice. Major groups with high positive centroids included accounting, mathematics (men and 69 TABLE 10. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR TWENTY-SEVEN MAJOR GROUPS 0N FUNCTION FOUR High—Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (x 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 -15.04 x 18. Nursing 0.48 2 - 0.74 15. Home Ec. Tchg. 0.47 §__+°°5 3 9.44 27. Social Work 0.42 " 4 - 9.06 19. Elem. Educ. 0.37\ 5 14.27 X 8. Zoology 0.35 __ 6 - 4.86 20. Special Educ. 0.33\‘ —— 0 4 7 - 3.58 2. Accounting 0.29 ' 8 — 2.54 26. Psychology (F) 0.29 h 9 3.69 \: i2 -18':§ x 12. Pre-Law 0.27 _ 0.3 12 6:05 17. Mathematics (P) 0.272% _ 13 3.13 24. History (I?) 0.27 +— 1; _ 1:9,} 9. Mathematics (11) 0.24 / 16 7.32 5. Marketing 030/: — 0.2 17 - 3.05 13. Political Science 0.19 /= 18 1.16 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. 0.187,. 19 2.58 7. Mechanical Eng. 0.18 _ 20 -27.23 x 4. Economics 0.17/_-__ 0.1 21 -10.66 X 10. History (M) 0.17 22 9.28 25. Social Sci. (P) 0.13 '- 23 -11.91 x 11. Social Sci. (M) 0.12 f" 24 12.96 x 14. Psychology (M) 0.12 25 1.52 6. Electrical Eng. 0.07 26 - 9.09 1. Packaging 0.06 — 0 27 - 8.98 28 -13.37 x 23. English -0.05-——-——-‘- 29 - 0.10 30 10.87 x —-0.1 31 2.09 32 2.38 33 - 1.03 34 - 0.67 35 5,44 16. Ret., Tex. & Clo. -0.20-——-—--—-—-o.2 36 - (17.30 37 - .87 ______ 38 1.29 21. Speech -0.25 39 - 6.00 __ 40 6.44 0'3 41 1.00 42 -15.32 x 43 - 5.78 44 - 5.34 .. 45 - 2.45 0.4 46 - 1.68 L— 47 - 3.11 22. Art Practice -0.44——---—"'" —-—--O.5 70 women), economics, retailing of textiles and clothing, and social science women. High negative weights were assigned to self-rating of reading skill, interest in biological science occupations, and reasons for coming to college. Majors with low positive group centroids included nursing, zoology, and social science men (Table 11). A comparison of group clusters on functions one (numerical/technical-verbal/humanistic), two (generalist- specialist), and three (abstract-applied) highlighted the separation achieved by the discriminant analysis. Cluster A (electrical engineers, male mathematicians, and mechanical engineers) fell into the abstract-specialist-highly numer- ical/technical category, although mechanical engineers were lower on the abstract scale than were the other two majors in the cluster. Cluster B (packaging, accounting, general business administration, and marketing) was characterized as applied-generalist-highly numerical/technical. Packaging and accounting were higher on the numerical/technical scale and lower on the generalist scale than were general business administration and marketing. Cluster C (economics, history, social science men, pre-law, and political science) was char- acterized as abstract-generalist-numerical/technical. With- in the cluster, economics majors were higher on numerical/ technical, and social science men were less abstract than the rest. Cluster D (zoology and psychology men) was clearly in the numerical/technical category, but zoology 71 TABLE 11. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR TWENTY-SEVEN MAJOR GROUPS ON FUNCTION FIVE High-Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (x 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 6.78 2 3.16 3 - 3.16 "1.5 4 4.74 5 - 5.26 6 - 6.29 7 - 1.49 2. Accounting 1.34-———___._. 8 - 4.31 9 0.41 10 - 1.10 11 - 5.96 9. Mathematics (M) 1.15 12 0.46 17. Mathematics (F) 1.09\ 13 6.67 4. Economics 1.06 \- 14 - 1.55 16. Ret., Tex. a. Clo. 1.06\ 15 - 4.43 25. Social Sci. (1*) 1.05 ' t: 16 21.35 x 19. Elem. Educ. 1.01 *— 17 6.28 15. Home Ec. Tchg. 1.00 " 1 0 18 -12.42 x 23. English 0.99 ' 19 7.69 10. History (M) 0.96 20 11.51 x 6. Electrical Eng. 0.95 21 4.75 24. History (P) 0.94 22 -17.42 x 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. 0.92 23 2.26 7. Mechanical Eng. 0.90 24 21.85 x 22. Art Practice 0.87 25 24.70 x 13. Political Sci. 0.85 _ 26 5.44 20. Special Educ. 0.85 27 6.13 5. Marketing 0. 28 1.25 26. Psychology (8) 0.84 " 29 4.26 21. Speech 0.80 30 - 5.29 12. Pre-Law 0.77 31 - 3.98 14. Psychology (M) 0.75 __ 32 - 1.88 27. Social Work 0.7 ....o 5 33 3.79 1. Packaging 0.7 ' 34 - 0.16 11. Social Sci. (M) 0.65 - 35 7.60 8. Zoology 0.52/ 36 1.78 18. Nursing 0.44 37 0.64 38 - 5.17 39 3.31 40 0.96 41 12.33 x 42 9.24 43 7.60 44 —20.33 x 45 - 8.26 46 -11.32 x 47 -17.24 x ....o 72 majors were less abstract than the psychology men and slightly more specialist. The first female cluster, E, was abstract--more generalist than Specialist-verbal/humanistic. The psychology women were the least verbal/humanistic and generalist of the four majors in Cluster E, which also included English, history, and social science. Cluster F (home economics teaching, retailing of textiles and clothing, elementary education, speech, art practice, and social work) was more applied than abstractwemore specialist than general- ist-verbal/humanistic. Home economics teaching majors, special education majors, and social work majors were more abstract than the other four majors and the art practice group was higher on the specialist function than the rest. Mathematics women and nursing majors were not clustered with any other major groups. Mathematics women fell into an abstract-specialist-numerica1/technica1 category, the only female group classified as abstract-specialist and the only female group not classified within the verbal/humanistic segment of function one. Nursing was flanked by Cluster F, but more specialist than any of the seven Cluster F-majors and more abstract than four of them (Figure l). The results of the 27-group analysis not only demon- strated that undergraduate major fields could be differen- tiated on the basis of their members' characteristics, but that the most pronounced difference among criterion groups was sex-related. For this reason, separate discriminant 73 .mHmNA¢24 mDOMO Zm>mmIWBZmZE ho mZOHBUZDm BZfiUHhHZOHm mmmmfi EmmHm ZO mQHomBZMU mDomv m0 904m Q¢ZOHmZMEHQ MMMEB L, l a l~§§=////_ fl -_ N}. 2 3 2 .H mmDUHm ... ...:E\\|\.\.)|||) _--i-I_ : 2 8 h .— -—--u.—_-- 74 analyses were carried out for the 14 male majors and the 13 female majors. Discriminant Analysis of Fourteen Male Criterion Groups The l4—group analysis produced 13 discriminant func- tions, of which five were significant at the .001 level. The five significant functions accounted for 79.85 percent of the variation among groups (Table 12). TABLE 12. PERCENT OF TRACE, DEGREES OF FREEDOM, AND STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE LEVELS FOR FIRST FIVE DISCRIMINANT FUNCTIONS OF THE FOURTEEN-GROUP ANALYSIS Tabled Function X2 Values Computed Number Individual Cumulative df a = .001 x2 Values Percent of Trace 1 33.26 ... 59 98.3 415.6 2 21.90 55.16 57 95.8 299.6 3 11.38 66.54 L 55 93.2 171.6 4 7.53 74.07 53 90.6 118.1 5 5.78 79.85 51 88.0 92.3 The first function, numerical/physical science versus verbal/social science, assigned high positive weights to the 99? Numerical score, self-rating of numerical reasoning, interests in physical science and mechanical/technical occu- pations, and certainty of vocational choice; high negative 75 weights were attached to the CQT Verbal score, preference for social studies courses in high school, and interest in verbal/linguistic occupations. High positive group cen- troids were associated with electrical engineering, mathe— matics, mechanical engineering, and packaging while low positive group centroids were associated with political science, history, pre-law, and social science. Function one explained 33 percent of the group variation (Table 13). Function two, applied versus abstract, closely resembled the third function of the 27-group analysis; high positive weights were attached to the QQT Numerical score, preference for novels, preference for nonacademic high school courses, self-rating of verbal reasoning, interest in business detail occupations, and the importance of family influence and status needs in the decision to come to col- lege and the choice of vocation. Majors at the positive end of the continuum were accounting, marketing, general busi- ness administration, and packaging. Negative loadings were associated with CQT Verbal and gpformation scores, the M§g_ Reading score, anticipated college GPA, and interests in physical science, biological science, and social service occupations. Majors grouped at the abstract pole included psychology, electrical engineering, mathematics, and polit— ical science, followed closely by pre-law, zoology, and history (Table 14). “an... TABLE 13. 76 STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR FOURTEEN GROUPS ON FUNCTION ONE High-Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (X 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 -l4.38 x 2 2.13 3 13.68 x 4 4.03 5 9.45 6 0.88 7 4.32 8 5.88 9 - 9.34 10 - 7.31 11 - 2.24 6. Electrical Eng. 2.52~——_________ 12 5.27 7. Mechanical Eng. 2.46-——_________ 2.5 13 -12.08 x i; : 1:32 9. Mathematics 2.37-—-—-——“‘-' 16 15.58 x 17 - 3.98 {g ' 3:33 1. packaging 2.14-—————--"- 20 7.21 21 22.36 x 2-0 22 5.61 23 17'91 x 2. Accounting 1.88 f’ 24 0'69 8 2001 1 88 25 6.36 ' °9Y ' 26 - 2.37 27 ~19.60 x 28 3.00 5. Marketing 1.49 29 0.53 4. Economics 1.48~\\“-‘_‘__ 30 - 8.79 14. Psychology 1.48:::::::>—fi__ 1.5 31 — 6.99 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. 1.40-————______. 32 - 1.15 33 - 0.36 34 - 1.18 35 2.01 36 1.07 11. Social Science 1.14 -———-——— 37 3.70 12. Pre-Law 1.08---——'—‘—- 38 5.72 39 7.53 1-0 40 11.33 x 10. History 0.91 41 1.02 42 8.21 13. Political Science 0.79 43 3.39 44 - 8.33 45 - 0.67 46 - 0.36 47 1.78 TABLE 14 . 7'7 STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR FOURTEEN GROUPS ON FUNCTION TWO HighAWeight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (X 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function l -11.98 x 2 -14.64 x 3 23.54 x 4 - 9.54 5 -18.78 x 6 10.29 x ___ +0.5 7 - 8.29 8 0.63 2. Accounting 0.31 9 1.31 5. Marketing 0.30‘P“-c\“_ 10 - 4.73 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. 0.27.__________:: 11 - 2.35 '- 12 0.28 13 — 1.43 i; _lé:gg x 1. Packaging 0.04 ————____—q_. 16 8.81 0 17 13.78 x 18 - 7.17 19 -26.23 x 20 - 1.39 21 -l9.15 x 11. Social Science -0.30———-—---‘- 22 ~12.46 x 23 1.13 7. Mechanical Eng. -0.41---———-“" 24 -l4.62 x .___ 25 18.90 x ’0-5 26 - 3.50 4. Economics -0.59 ————fi— 27 0.14 10. History -0.71 28 4.94 12. Pre-Law '0'7ZEEEEEEEEEE+E 29 - 3.08 8. Zoology -0.73 30 5.57 31 0.87 13. Political Science —0.87 75 32 - 3.06 9. Mathematics -0.90"’,,z””_ 33 1.06 6. Electrical Eng. ~0.9l '-- -1.0 34 - 3.26 35 0.30 36 - 7.14 37 8.44 14. psychology -1.21-——————-—4- 38 - 0.83 39 4.39 40 4.97 41 27.17 x 42 19.26 x -—- -1.5 43 6.96 44 9.21 45 - 1.37 46 13.97 x 47 16.25 x 78 The third function assigned high weights to only two classes of variables: reasons for coming to college and occupational preference groups. High positive weights were associated with the former and high negative weights with the latter, suggesting an educational-to-vocational spread. The group separations, however, were not great. All group centroids were negative and covered less than a one-point range (from -.70 through -l.36). The function accounted for 11.38 percent of the trace. Economics and accounting had the highest negative centroids and zoology had the lowest negative centroid (Table 15). The remaining eleven crite- rion groups fell within three-tenths of a point of each other. In function four, high negative loadings were attached to preference for high school science and mathe- matics courses, educational level of mother, coming to college for status reasons, occupational level of father, and number of older siblings. Mechanical engineering, pre- law, and economics majors had the highest negative centroids. Positive weights were attached to preference for business detail, social service, and biological science occupations; self-rating of numerical reasoning ability; vocational choice influenced by family and significant others; the M§g_ Reading score; and preference for literary classics. Account- ing had the lowest negative centroid on this function. TABLE 15. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT GROUPS ON FUNCTION THREE 759 OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR FOURTEEN High-Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (x 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 - 5.10 2 - 0.40 3 1.53 4 2.84 5 0.58 6 5.97 _ -__-_____—-——— -— -0.7 7 1.33 8. Zoology 0.70 8 3.69 9 - 6.75 10 8.48 11 6.87 12 - 3.44 -0.8 14 - 1.38 15 2.91 16 - 7.79 17 - 4.65 _ __ 18 5.90 1. Packaging 0.89-——————-—'+ -O.9 19 - 8.42 11. Social Science -0.92-——_______,__ 20 - 5.04 14. Psychology -0.94——~_,_ 21 -12.26 x 22 4.09 23 -12.77 x -1 0 24 -16.47 x ° 25 -20.28 x 5. Marketing —1.02 26 -12.77 x 27 -15.70 x 28 -13.23 x 29 0.53 . _ ___________ 30 _ 2.15 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. 1.09 -1.1 31 0.11 12. Pre-Law -1.12.-——————--- 32 2.41 7. Mechanical Eng. -1.15 33 - 0.58 10. History -1.15-———‘_’__._:: 34 - 4.25 6. Electrical Eng. -l.16 __ 35 - 3.97 9. Mathematics -1.18:::;:=="“ _1 2 36 - 0.15 13. Political Science -1.18 ‘ 37 0.73 38 5.38 39 - 2.99 40 - 3.57 41 4.54 _ __ _ 42 4.37 2. Accounting 1.30————- 1.3 43 3.43 44 13.70 X 45 4.82 4. Economics -l.36 - 46 6.01 47 10.89 x _1.4 80 Psychology, mathematics, history, and zoology majors were also at the low negative end of the scale (Table 16). The high negative variables suggested a socio-economic status factor, while the high positive variables were too mixed to allow a single interpretation. Business detail occupations and self-rating of numerical ability carried the highest positive weights, which, combined with group means on these variables, eXplained the position of accounting and mathe- matics. Psychology, history, and zoology were more strongly affected by the positive weights assigned to social service and biological science occupational interests. The high negative variables in function five (Table 17) also suggested a socio-economic status factor; self-rating of numerical reasoning, number of older and younger siblings, occupational level of father, and sources of financial support for college were important in separat- ing zoology and pre-law majors from the rest of the groups. Three of the four College of Business majors (marketing, economics, and general business administration) also had negative group centroids. The high positive variables were heterogeneous in character. Interest in mechanical/techni- cal, physical science, social service, verbal/linguistic, and executive/managerial occupations as well as the QQT_ verbal score and the employment of the mother outside the home were assigned positive weights over 10.00. Packaging TABLE 16. 81 STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT GROUPS ON FUNCTION FOUR OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR FOURTEEN High4Weight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (X 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 1.44 2 0.55 3 - 8.18 4 - 2.78 2. Accounting -0.78—-—-——‘“‘*- 5 10.61 x “‘ -0.8 6 1.52 7 5.94 8 0.30 9 - 4.85 10 10.28 x 11 0.42 -—--0.9 12 -15.04 x 14. Psychology -0.92-—————-—-- 13 2.01 14 - 1.39 9. Mathematics -0.96~—_________ 15 - 6.01 16 20.35 x 10. History -0.98-—-—""' 17 - 3.20 — ‘1-0 18 - 7.07 8. Zoology -1.02-——________ 19 4.65 20 7.00 21 - 5.49 22 13.80 x 23 - 2.00 _ "1'1 24 16.21 x :2 23:33 " 13. Political Science -1.15\__ 27 - 1.18 3. Gen. Bus. Admin. -l.l7 28 - 0.59 5. Marketing 4.17;: _ _1 2 29 6.58 1. Packaging -1.19"/,,r”" ' 30 -15.08 x 11. Social Science -1.20 31 —12.65 x 32 6.16 33 - 1.30 6. Electrical Eng. -1.27-——-——"“' 34 —12.72 x 35 - 4.63 —- -1.3 36 3.33 37 2.20 38 - 2.63 39 - 2.72 40 - 2.97 4. Economics -1.40 -——--1.4 41 10.03 x 42 6.28 12. Pre-Law -1.43 43 7.26 __ 44 - 3.08 7. Mechanical Eng. -1.45——--'""" 45 - 9.57 46 - 9.68 47 -13.68 x —'-1-5 TABLE 17. STANDARDIZED WEIGHTS, GROUP CENTROIDS, AND PLOT GROUPS ON FUNCTION FIVE 82 OF GROUP CENTROIDS FOR FOURTEEN High-We ight Plot of Group Standardized Variables Group Centroids on Variable Weight (X 100) + - Major Group Centroid this Function 1 12.01 x 2 2.06 3 3.03 4 5.91 5 - 5.85 6 0.82 +0'4 7 2.87 8 1.09 9 - 1.74 1° ' 2°31 1. Packaging 0.31 11 2.48 . +0 3 12 - 6.29 ° :2 :23; 10. History 0.26 ———-—— 15 - 9.44 16 -14.08 x 17 0.50 _ 18 - 4.84 +0.2 19 1.70 6. Electrical Eng. 0.14 20 9.62 14. psychology 0.13\__ 21 19.35 x 7. Mechanical Eng. 0.11 )— 22 2.86 13. political Science 0.10\__ 23 25.16 x \_ —— +0.1 24 11.82 x ‘22: " 3:33 11. Social Science 0.06 —————-—~ g; 10:36 i 2. Accounting . 0.02 ____L 29 0.84 3. Gen Bus. Admin. -0.01\_‘L __ 0 30 - 3.79 4. Economics -0.02 ——-—--— 31 -1l.27 x 5. Marketing -0.08 32 10.49 x 33 2.42 \_ 34 -13.08 x 35 -12.80 x — -0-1 36 9.63 9. Mathematics -0.11-———-——— 37 1.54 38 -11.01 x 39 - 2.45 40 7.76 41 - 7.68 — '0-2 42 - 1.44 12. Pre-Law -0.22—————-— 43 - 7.75 44 7.01 8. Zoology -0.26 ~— 45 4.12 46 3.90 47 9.19 — -03 83 and history had the highest positive centroids for function five. Using the same computational scheme employed in the 27-group case, the fourteen majors formed four clusters (A' through D') identical to the original clusters (A through D). Clusters A' through D', intra- and inter-cluster distances, and nearest cluster are shown in Tables 18 and 19. Computa— tions are shown in Appendix D. Comparing the plot of Clusters A' through D' on the first three functions with the previous plot of Clusters A through D revealed certain differences in their relative positions. Economics, history, and pre-law were less abstract on the l4-group analysis, making Cluster B' less abstract than Cluster B. Cluster B' was clearly verbal/ social science in the second analysis, in contrast to its position on function one of the 27-group analysis, where it was at the low end of the numerical/technical segment. Zoology shifted toward the numerical/physical science end of function one on the 14-group analysis, appearing more like accounting and packaging than in the 27-group analysis. Thus, the absence of the female majors resulted in greater clarification of the differences among the male groups. 84 mIMINIH .m MHINHIHHIOHI¢ .U fiHlm .Q @1510 .4 fialm .Q manmalaaloalu .0 calm .Q malmalaaloalg .U mlmlmla .m manmalaaloalv .0 galw .Q minim .4 Hmumsao ummnuumm Hmumsau Houmsao ummumoz Hmumsau Hmumsao as Hmumsao CH muommz umwnuumm CM muons: pneumoz popsaocH muons: mHmNQ4Z¢ ADOMO ZNHBMDOm mom mmHmmZOHB4qmm mmBmDAUImmBZH .mH mflm48 .... mm. calm .n 00.4 ... mm. maumalaaloalo .0 mm.H m~.H .... on. mIMINIH _m mo.a Hm.H om.H .... mo. minim .4 .o .0 .m .4 mUGMDMHQ Houmsao, nounsau_sfl noumsau mocmumwa HmumsaoluoucH ommuo>4 ImmucH mmmum>4 popsaocH muommz mHmMA4Z¢ ADOMO ZNMBMDOW.ZOM& mWOZ.H NN.H 0H.H .... an. mmlamlma .m H0.a 0m.o om.o om.o .... 00. hmlomlmalma .m .H .m .0 .m .m mocmumfla umumdao HmumSHo CH “mumsao mocmumfln HmumsHUnuoucH ommnm>¢ ImuucH mmmum>¢ oopsaocH muonmz meNA¢Z¢ mbomw meBmHmB 20mm mHUZ€BmHD QHOmBZMUMMBZH UZHmD mmmBmDAU m0 ZOHBdSMOh .mN.MAmum8mo mo 20353328 .mN 592. lOl assigned to psychology. For the remaining five groups, no cases were assigned to the opposite-sex major group. In general, men were more often misclassified into women's majors than were women misclassified into men's majors. Forty-three men were assigned to women's majors, while only 20 women were assigned to men's majors. The most "popular" women's majors for men were home economics teach- ing (eight men assigned), mathematics (eight men assigned), psychology (seven men assigned), and retailing of textiles and clothing (six men assigned). Five women were assigned to accounting, the only men's group to receive a substantial number of women. At least one member of each male group was assigned to a female group; the extreme example was psychol- ogy, in which half the men were assigned to women's majors. Three of the female groups (home economics teaching, speech, and nursing) had no members assigned to male groups. Over half of the mathematics women, however, were assigned to male majors. Apparently, psychology men have important characteristics in common with a number of female majors, and mathematics women share important characteristics with a number of male majors. Results of the Fourteen-Group Classification Five significant functions and the corresponding five discriminant scores from the fourteen-group discrim- inant analysis formed the basis for a maximum likelihood 102 classification of the 181 men in the cross-validation sample. Twenty percent of the men were correctly assigned to their final majors and, when hits were combined with near hits, 52 percent of the check sample fell into the correct clusters (Table 29). This was an increase of 5 percent and 9 percent respectively, when compared to the accuracy achieved in classifying the men in the 27-group case. As to where the increase came from, the 43 men who, in the 27-group classi- fication, had been assigned to female groups, were now forced into male groups. Twenty-five were still misses, but ten of them were assigned to the correct majors and eight were put into the correct clusters. In general, it was these addi— tional hits and near hits which accounted for the increase in accuracy. Sixty percent of the twenty-five misses were now found in Cluster D', nine in the psychology group and six in zoology, a second indication that the characteristics asso- ciated with the male psychology majors in this study are highly compatible with the characteristics of a variety of female majors. Results of the Thirteen-Group Analysis The cross-validation sample contained 172 women who were classified on the basis of the five significant func- tions produced by the l3-group discriminant analysis. Forty- four assignments were direct hits (26 percent), an increase 103 Nm mm Nm mm 0N hm HmH mH 0N 0H HH m HH NH m m MN NH mH HH mHmuoa we HH HN m HN m «H m m H .. N .. .. .. .. .. 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