A QUALITATIVE CONTENT ANALYSIS 0F RICHARD M. NIXON'S TREATMENT OF SELECTED ISSUES IN‘HIS PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN DRATGRY IN THE 1950 AND 1958 ELECTIONSI Thesis for the Degree of Ph. D. MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY. DAVID A. THOMAS 1973 ’ ma ~ IMs!!!MIMI!IIIIUJIIIIIIHJIIIIILIIIHIII This is to certify that the thesis entitled 1,413.14; 1‘; Q a ' 1:”; ,,l. .55". 11-.-. ‘ v V""" ‘ Un ivcr ”I. 11.5 A Qualitative Content Analysis of Richard M. Nixon's Treatment of Selected Issues in His Presidential Campaign Oratory‘in the 1960 and 1968 Elections presented by David A . Thomas has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D. Speech degree in // M4 M glnr \hgnf-cnnr Date April 20, 1973 0-7639 My: ~ “$9,2w 3! 3:: 59" ‘64. ' 4 was. ’1’- I“ Is cazpaigmyl Purpose of not ”E p( degree of Campaign. mmidate ”I met an 188““ 11 date. an “Items?! “Wing “walk “hang: charges SUCCESS! ABSTRACT A QUALITATIVE CONTENT ANALYSIS OF RICHARD M. NIXON'S TREATMENT OF SELECTED ISSUES IN HIS PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN ORATORY IN THE 1960 AND 1968 ELECTIONS By David A. Thomas Issue discussion is one element of political campaigning which political candidates engage in for the purpose of manipulating voter behavior. Although it is not yet possible to demonstrate the precise nature and degree of influence issue discussion wields in a given campaign, it is nevertheless instructive to study how a candidate treats issues in his campaign.methods. The two presidential campaigns of Richard M. Nixon offer an opportunity to study how one candidate treated issues in two different campaigns. once as a losing candi- date. and once as a winner. Such a study holds value and interest in three areas: (1) it contributes to an.under- standing of the role of issues in contemporary Presidential campaigns. including the attempt to influence voting . behavior. (2) it contributes to the knowledge of Nixon's changes as a speaker between his unsuccessful and his successful campaigns for the Presidency. and (3) it has Aim—III—A autistic v leads to To the role of carpalgns i mpatgn s, Presidency treatment peace, the David A. Thomas heuristic value in that comparison of the two campaigns leads to formulation of relational hypotheses regarding the role of issue discussion in Presidential election campaigns in the future. Accordingly. the problem for research was: How did Richard M. Nixon treat substantive issues in his campaign speaking during his two campaigns for the Presidency? Specifically. the study (1) delineated the treatment accorded to selected issues. namely war and peace. the pocketbook aspect of domestic economy. civil rights. and law and order. (2) analyzed the contents of a sample of Nixon's formal public addresses on the issues under examination. (3) conducted a rhetorical analysis of the issues in these speeches. (h) compared Nixon's shifts on the treatment of issues over the two campaigns. and (5) generated a set of testable hypotheses on the relationships between presidential campaign oratory and election outcome. V The study found that Nixon indeed addressed the selected issues in his campaign oratory in the two cam- paigns. Leading differences between the two campaigns included greater emphasis on law and order and civil rights in 1968. less emphasis on issues of war and peace in 1968. and a generally more neutral position on nearly all issues in 1968 (except for issues of the pocketbook. in which he attacked the spending policies of the incum- bent administration.) In 1968. pursuing a centrist strategy. Nixo then In 1960. Issues most in Vietnam. The h; possible rela of these vari 3 .13 used. t David A. Thomas strategy. Nixon addressed more issues. more superficially. than in 1960. He avoided serious discussion of some issues most important to the electorate. especially Vietnam. The hypotheses suggested for further study posed possible relations between issue treatment and any or all of these variables: candidate's role. candidate's party. media used. timing. and voting behavior. l QUALITATIVE HEATERS? I CAVE AIS N in De A QUALITATIVE CONTENT ANALYSIS OF RICHARD M. NIXON'S TREATMENT OF SELECTED ISSUES IN HIS PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN ORATORY IN THE 1960 AND 1968 ELECTIONS BY David A. Thomas A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Speech 1973 (I: {as}: ) w 4' 3,} To my wife Dorothy 11 This mi has requ leinowledgme Euebner for from Mr. Ni: The Ertelltardt, ”938M: hav. Fin 50:31 31.19300 co~"filiittee c “3311‘s, hav ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This study has been a long time in preparation. and has required the assistance of several people. Acknowledgment is given to Dr. Judith Trent and Dr. Lee Huebner for their help in locating speech manuscripts from Mr. Nixon's 1968 campaign. The bulk of typing has been.done by Mrs. Joan Engelhardt. and her efficiency and interest in this project have helped the writer considerably. Finally. the writer wishes to state that the moral support and encouragement given by his dissertation committee co-chairmen. Dr. Gordon L. Thomas and Dr. V. M. Mishra. have been extremely helpful and are very much appreciated. 111 *5: or TABLE rapter REVI KETE R? Cc g) TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 Chapter 1. THE PROBLEM AND METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . INTRODUCTION 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O Oratory in Presidential Election Campaigns............. Nixon's Campaign Oratory in the 1960 and 1968 Presidential Elections. . STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM . . . . . . . The Research Problem . . . . . . . . Rationale for the Study. . . . . . . General Approach Taken in the Study. Definitions and Limitations of the Study............... REVIEW OF LITERATURE . . . . . . . . . METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS. . . . . Rhetorical Criticism . . . . . . . . Content Analysis . . . . . . . . . . Unit of analysis . . . . . . . . . Categories and indicators. . . . . Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Speeches............. iv Page viii 11 12 13 in 21: 21: 27 28 29 32 32 35 aspter Vali Rule Ur Ca Ir Di SUMMAE Over 2. BImRAPI- RICHAE IN THE INTROI 510031 GI N11: 1961 G! 313} Chapter validity and Reliability . Rules for Content Analysis Unit of analysis Categories . Indicators . Direction. . SUMMARY. . . . . OverView e e e 2. BIOGRAPHICAL AND HISTORICAL BACKGROUND RICHARD M. OF NIXON'S TREATMENT OF ISSUES IN THE 1960 AND 1968 CAMPAIGNS . . . . INTRODUCTION . . BIOGRAPHICAL'SKETCH. . . Education. . . Early Political Career ‘ Vice-Presidency. . . PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN. 1960 Campaign. e e e OVCN10' e 0 General strategy . Highlights of Nixon's 1960 campaign. Nixon's Interim Period. 1960-1968. . . 1968 Campaign. 0 e e e e e OVOI'VL 0' e e General strategy e e e 0 Highlights of the Campaign Page 36 38 38 #1 #2 “5 1+7 1+7 50 51 5t: 58 62 62 62 63 66 68 70 70 71 75 Chapter snare 3. A ccx: my cm INTE a\‘ u Chapter SW! 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O 3. A CONTENT ANALYSIS OF RICHARD H. TREATMENT OF ISSUES IN HIS CAMPAIGN SPEECHES. . . . . INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . DISCUSSION . . . . . . . . . . . . 1960 Speeches. . . . . . . . . . 1968 Speeches. . . . . . . . . . Categories and Indicators. . . . Reliability. . . . . . . . . . Frequency of issue statements in NIXON'S 1960 AND 1968 the 1960 and 1968 campaigns. 0 e e e e Differences between the two campaigns. "Brampeaceeeeeeeeee Discussion of War and Peace. . The Pocketbook Issue . . . . . Discussion of Pocketbook Aspects the Domestic Economy . . . . Civil Rights . . . . . . . . . Discussion of Civil Rights . . Iam'and Order. . . . . . . . . Discussion of Law and Order. . Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . #. CONCLUSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Role of Issues in Campaigns. Nixon's Development as a Speaker ‘Relational Hypotheses and Other Research Possibilities . . . . vi Page 8h 86 86 87 88 89 93 93 93 102 102 107 118 122 128 130 135 137 11.1 11.1; 11.5 15h 159 Crapter Conclu BEUWRQHY. . Chapter Page COBOlusioneeeeeeeeeeeeeeee161 BIBLI mRAPHY O O O O O O O O O O I O O O O O O O O O 162 vii “.s‘sle 1. 9. Richard Richard Prequen State 1"Wine! Stat: Compaq- the Compar on T (3013981 on s COmpa 0n COmpa 0n Table 1. 2. 3. h. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. LIST OF TABLES Richard M. Nixon's 1960 Campaign Speeches. . Richard M. Nixon's 1968 Campaign Speeches. . Frequency and Ratio of Issue-Oriented Statements contained in the 1960 Sample. . Frequency and Ratio of Issue-Oriented Statements contained in the 1968 Sample. . Comparison of Ratios of Issue Statements the 1960 and 1968 saMPIO e e e e e e e Comparison of 1960 and 1968 Statements on War and Peace . . . . . . . . . . Comparison of 1960 and 1968 Statements on the Pocketbook Issue. . . . . . . Comparison of 1960 and 1968 Statements onc1VL1318ht8eeeeeeeeeee Comparison of 1960 and 1968 Statements on Law and Order . . . . . . . . . . viii in 90 92 95 97 100 10“ 119 129 136 ”if. PRCBI Altho: to the Pfesid ”“017 mark! m 9‘31 antic 3e hads: at i TibermtOIX 133‘: the 1g In licbam )3. treatment Elections Chapter 1 THE PROBLEM AND METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS INTRODUCTION Although the 1972 re-election of Richard M. Nixon to the Presidency came as no surprise. his 1968 electoral victory marked the phenomenal political comeback of a man who had announced a self-imposed political exile in 1962. He had. at that time. Just been defeated in the California gubernatorial election. Only two years earlier. he had lost the 1960 Presidential election to John F. Kennedy. In both his earlier campaigns for the Presidency. Richard M. Nixon gave numerous speeches. A study of the treatment of issues in his campaign speaking in those two elections holds interest for researchers in more than one field: for historians. because of its reflection of the times: for political scientists. because of its role in political campaigning: and for rhetoricians. because of its persuasive impact. Apart from any academic interest in the subject. there is also a general relevance of this study to the interests of the American public. which bases its voting behavior at least in part upon its view of a candidate's position on the issues. "rm-q This c of oratory in of the proble review of re :ethodclogy attaining c Oratory in Election 01 0f carpal exszple c fazous w dent I‘m to deli This chapter will present a discussion of the uses of oratory in Presidential election campaigns: a statement of the problem. including definitions and limitations: a review of relevant literature: a description of the methodology employed in the study. an overview of the remaining chapters of the dissertation: and a summary. Oratory in Presidential lection Cam 1 ns Oratory by candidates is a traditional technique of campaigning for the Presidency. Perhaps the classic example of the use of the technique is Harry S. Truman's famous whistle-stop tours in 19h8. In that year. Presi- dent Truman traveled approximately 30.000 miles by train to deliver some 350 speeches during the five months 1 Other candidates have also preceding the election. followed this tradition in recent Presidential elections. For example. in 1960. John F. Kennedy delivered an ”all- purpose” speech several times a day at various campaign stops.2 In 1964. Barry Goldwater's campaign centered on a plan to engage President Lyndon B. Johnson in a 19111 w. Stacy. ”The Campaign Speaking of Harry S. Truman in the l9h8 Presidential Election” (unpublished Doctor's dissertation. Southern Illinois University. 1968). p. 1880 2Theodore H. White. The Maki of the Pr sident 1960 (New York: Signet Books. 1961). p. 591. political ms the conservat sazpaign issu :‘e‘sate. he di Why 6 is true of a? cazpaign spe 'hlpaien str according tc fication qu< (2) motiva‘ I3) Negati- supporters (h) Vin rc h '°‘~ers. In in pursuin 3 political dialogue or debate featuring a confrontation of the conservative and the liberal positions on various campaign issues. Although President Johnson refused to debate. he did make campaign speeches.3 Why do candidates continue this tradition? As is true of all campaign activities. the general aim of campaign speaking is to influence voters' behavior. Campaign strategies revolve around tactics which. according to Nimmo. (l) raise the candidate's identi- fication.quotient among voters. when necessary. (2) motivate a high partisan turnout of supporters. (3) negatively motivate the opponent's strong partisan supporters to ”take a walk.” or ignore the election. and (h) win most of the attentive independent (or undecided) voters.“ In keeping with the general aim of influencing voters' behavior. candidates have at least two purposes in pursuing campaign speaking activities: (1) to enhance their images as potential leaders. and (2) to discuss pertinent issues with the electorate. This distinction is arbitrary. Issue discussion occurs on at least a superficial level in most. if not 3Theodore H. White. Th Mak of h d 126h (New York: Signet Books. 1965?. pp. 393. £25. “Dan Nimmo. The Polit cal P uade (Englewood Cliffs. New Jersey: Spectrum. 1970;. pp. Zfi-ZS. “Samar ~‘- ~ “aw-.1:— all. of a Pres acandidate's papers. or in publications 1 the carnidate‘ Yet ti 'U- The can: speaking for 1 i=.Y>:‘ession am Purpose of pg] substantive 1, distinction 1} Stzple. Jr., . Place to brim the Country:s amputated 1 all. of a Presidential candidate's messages. Conversely. a candidate's in-depth treatment of issues in position papers. or in articles for intellectual and specialized publications like Foreign Affairs. is bound to affect the candidate's image in some ways. Yet the distinction is real enough in an important way. The candidate himself makes the distinction between speaking for the purpose of creating a favorable personal impression among the electorate. and speaking for the purpose of persuading voters to accept his position on substantive issues. For instance. Nixon made such a distinction in his 1968 campaign. According to Robert B. Semple. Jr.. Nixon believed that the stump was not the place to bring depth and substance to his discussion of the country's problems. preferring instead to reduce complicated issues to manageable generalities while goading the audience with ”lusty battle cries."5 In the same campaign. however. Nixon gave a series of radio talks aimed at specific issues. containing substantive discussions and offering specific programs and pledges.6 At any rate. several elements are operative in the practice of campaign oratory as an instrument of image building by Presidential candidates. First. the 5Robert B. Semple. Jr.. "Two Nixons Emerge in '68 Race: Stump Sloganeer. Radio Thinker." New York Times. October 17. 1968. p. 38. 5mm. electorate 1 part of a c fulfills th cazpaign so as a concer described t The pre the no: Purpose enable But. ti minds 1 date's ls nor detail the 1m SOphis Se the electc attemine participant RNCIQnCe ‘ Thai-10118. EefifllSoh 3311? the I‘Dr telEV‘ 5 electorate has come to expect oratory as a traditional part of a campaign. By "going on the stump.” a candidate fulfills the voters' expectations in this regard. Through campaign speeches. a candidate also reinforces his image as a concerned. knowledgeable and dynamic leader. Nimmo described this aspect of campaigning as follows: The prepared speech repeated endlessly is perhaps the most common. Campaign mythology says that the purpose behind these formal presentations is to enable the candidate to "speak out on the issues." But. the speeches are not designed to change people's minds or even to give an inpdepth view of the candi- date's position. The function of discussing issues is more latent than manifest. By quoting facts and details on.a variety of issues the candidate leaves the impression that he possesses the knowledge. 7 sophistication. and acumen to hold public office. Second. campaign oratory enables the candidate and the electorate to interact. if only symbolically. By attending political rallies. voters share a sense of participation in the election process.8 Moreover. a wide audience of people shares this sense of participation vicariously. through the mass media of communications. Mendelsohn and Crespi stated that one reason candidates tour the nation is to furnish varied and new backgrounds for television news items on the campaign.9 ’7Nimmo. pp. 119-120. 8Murray Edelman. The S mbolic U e of Polit c (urbana. Illinois: Illini Books. 1965). pp. 2-5. 9Harold Mendelsohn and Irving Crespi. Poll . Television and the New Politics (Scranton. Pennsylvania: Chandler Publishing Co.. 1970). pp. 281-282. selves see: activation ' voters' fee cazpaign of of campaign Thus or. strateg needs I: applaus its 81] eyes. a betweei Whethei Fos useful as t Bu serves as 1 Certain St. Inamrfii Third. at a more pragmatic level. candidates them- selves seem to derive some measure of inspiration and motivation from their contacts with voters. and from voters' feedback to their speeches. In describing the campaign of John F. Kennedy. White discussed this aspect of campaign oratory: Thus only the personal audience. below the level of strategic calculation. can give him the one thing he needs most: the response of warmth or frost. of applause or indifference. Its laughter. its scowl. its silence. its cheers. its yearning. its measuring eyes. are the only clues to the mystic communication between the leader and the led. to tell truly 10 whether he has reached those he seeks to lead. For these reasons--voter expectations. symbolic interaction. and audience feedback--campaign oratory is useful as a device for image enhancement. But beyond these considerations. oratory also serves as a vehicle for a candidate's discussion of selected issues. At the ritualistic level. of course. certain statements and positions have come to be expected in a candidate's oratory. For instance. James mentioned a few of these: A Presidential candidate is forced to emphasize party symbols by highly partisan statements. For Democrats this means hauling out the banner of the New Deal and blaming Republicans for the Great Depression. For Republicans it means hauling out Abraham Lincoln and tII traditional symbols of rugged individualism. 1°wh1ee. The Makigg of the President 126 , p. 291. 11Dorothy Buckton James. he Contem orar Presidency (New York: Pegasus. 1969). p. 37. Clearly. I the horde: treatment tunity LC rational which he the lssu Des; it i for or 1. in pro Op?»- de‘: ric ot‘: an: tn. can 11 0f Clearly. this level of issue discussion is. at best. on the borderline between image-enhancement and serious treatment of issues. Yet a candidate may take the oppor- tunity to speak in greater specificity on contemporary national problems. and to advocate policies and actions which he would take if he were elected. Nimmo recognized the issue-discussion function of a candidate's speeches: Despite the limitations to open discussion. however. it is clear that an election provides an opportunity for more intimate communication between governors. or potential governors. and governed than is normal in the political system. In the process certain problems on the minds of constituents have an opportunity to surface. Some become topics for debate. as did the war in Vietnam and urban rioting in the presidential primaries of 1968: others are ignored. as have been problems of water and air pollution in numerous elections. This. then. is ”one of the most important functions of campaigns: the inclusion. exclusion. and crystal- lization of isspgs and problems on the agenda of officeholders.” In summary. then. Presidential campaign oratory is a traditional means of seeking to influence voters' behavior. through image enhancement and through discus- sion of issues. Nixon's Camgaign Oratory in the l O and 1 Eyesidential Elections Nixon engaged in public speaking during both his campaigns with a view to enhancing his image and discus- sing issues. In both campaigns. he barnstormed his way 12Nimmo. pp. 8-9- tact ar rpasic 'appla‘ be ries L. . 1h- 11.14 back and forth across the country. presenting the same ”basic speech” which consisted of a series of tested ”applause lines.” but which contained little that could be designated as an inpdepth discussion of issues.13 This form of campaign oratory seemed designed to serve the function of image enhancement for the candidate. Also. in both campaigns. Nixon occasionally presented campaign speeches with the intention of discussing campaign issues in depth. and of clarifying his position on the issues. For these speeches. Nixon used a variety of media. including radio and television. as well as in-person audience speaking situations. Nixon's campaign speaking in both his campaigns for the Presidency will be presented in greater detail in Chapter 2. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM he Re earch Problem As noted above. Richard M. Nixon spoke extensively in his two campaigns for the Presidency. To this point. it has been explicitly assumed that Nixon's campaign oratory can be differentiated between that designed to enhance his image. and that designed to clarify his position on issues. That assumption is not universally 13"The Vice President: Road Show Tryout.” Newsweek. August 15. 1960. p. 26. Also Relman Morin. The Associated Press Story of Election 1268 (New York: Pocket Books. 19 9 . pp. 1 5-1 . p 9 1..., .. awn» '- 'p_ ”—H genera in spa carpal (other primal BI mfierscore ever-incrv technique; Gene WY ck. The 1; also beco: hensi isSUe [Ital C “high 838 role in h to Vote f 93b118hed has” uDo -.“‘- (:2.~ 1 FNEie'Oc y l achiller accepted. For example. writing about campaign speaking in general. Lewis A. Froman. Jr.. stated: Candidates must. first and foremost. not alienate any of their would-be supporters. They must appeal to a wide and diverse public. a public which is. generally speaking. uninformed and uninterested in specific issues. It is no wonder. then. that campaigns are generally devoid of any issue content (other than style issues). because they age primarily emotional appeals for support. Blanket evaluations such as Froman's are underscored by some media analysts who emphasize the ever-increasing role of professional campaign management techniques in modern electioneering. For instance. Gene Hyckoff said: The influence of issues on the outcome of elections also seems to be declining as (1) political questions become too complex for ready statement or compre- hension and (2) candidates themselves avoid assuming issue positions ghat might be considered too extreme. [Italics added.? Opposing these viewpoints is a school of thought which asserts that issues in.a campaign play an important role in helping the voters decide which of the candidates to vote for. For instance. in V. O. Key's posthumously published work. The Responsible Electorate. which was based upon studies made of voting in Presidential llI'Lewis A. Froman. Jr.. People and Politigs (Engiewood Cliffs. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall. l9 2). p. . 15Gene Nyckoff. The Image Candidates (new York: Macmillan. 1968). p. 6. (9 . J (D I") was Callie s. n° Rae h 10 elections from 1936 to 1960. the principle assumption which was supported is this: The perverse and unorthodox argument of this little book is that voters are not fools. . . . In American presidential campaigns of recent decades the portrait of the American electorate that develops from the data is not one of an electorate straitjacketed by social determinants or moved by subconscious urges triggered by devilishly skillful propagandists. It is rather one of an electorate moved by concern about central and relevant questions of public policy. of goveigmental performance. and of executive personality. In another recent study of Presidential campaign techniques. John N. Ellsworth stated. "There is a good possibility that issue-oriented campaigning can be instrumental in winning votes.”17 Thus. it is clear that there are conflicting opinions as to the importance. even the existence. of issues in political campaigns. On the one hand. Froman and Wyckoff exemplify the school of thought which denies that candidates discuss issues in campaigns. On the other hand. Key and Ellsworth articulate the position that issues are important elements of political campaigns. In this study. the latter position is accepted. It is assumed that. at certain times. candidates do address themselves to substantive issues. As previously 16V. 0. Key. Jr.. The Re on b E o te (New York: Vintage Books. 1966). pp. 7-5. 17John W. Ellsworth. “Policy and Ideology in the Campaigns of 1960 and 196“.” (Southern Illinois University. no date). pp. 2-3. (Mimeographed.) rentione Enron's of pres: 'stuzp“ discuss: 11 mentioned. Chapter 2 of this dissertation describes Nixon's two campaigns for the Presidency. and his strategy of presenting the ”basic speech” to audiences on the “stump" for image enhancement. while presenting issue- discussion speeches on certain occasions. Accordingly. the problem for research is: fipy_ d d Ri M. Nixon treat ub tantive i us in hi pamppign speakipg duripg his two campaigns for the Pregidgnpy? Specifically. the study proposes (1) to delineate the treatment accorded by Nixon to selected issues. namely war and peace. pocketbook aspect of domestic economy. civil rights. and law and order. (2) to analyze the contents of a sample of Nixon's formal public addresses on the issues under examination. (3) to conduct a rhetorical analysis of the issues in these speeches. (h) to compare Nixon's shifts on the treatment of issues over the two presidential campaigns. and (5) to generate a set of testable propositions (or hypotheses) on the relationships between presidential campaign oratory and presidential election outcome. t onale for the tud A study of Richard M. Nixon's treatment of issues in his two Presidential campaigns is valuable for its contribution to knowledge within three broad dimensions: (1) The study will contribute to an under- standing of the role of issues in contemporary Presidentia :ade on the aspect of c campaigns. influence v (2} Elixon's the of issue-oz his success correlatioz electoral 5 TREIOPIC 1. \ (3 COZParISOn 0f relatl O ‘1 futill‘e . General AD n the S 'i'i L 3' IASEOrlcal ISSUES 1‘] A of eelecte 12 Presidential campaigns insofar as generalizations can.be made on the basis of examining. in depth. that particular aspect of one candidate's communications in two recent campaigns. This role of issues includes the attempt to influence voting behavior. (2) It will contribute to the knowledge of Nixon's changes as a speaker (in reference to treatment of issue-oriented content) between his unsuccessful and his successful campaigns for the Presidency. Although no correlation is suggested between "improved" speaking and electoral success. increased understanding of Nixon's rhetoric is valuable because of the importance of Nixon's role as a national leader and as President. (3) Also. the study has heuristic value in that comparison of the two campaigns will lead to formulation of relational hypotheses regarding the role of issue discussion in Presidential election campaigns in the future. Qpnepal Approach Taken yp php Study The general approach in this study is a modified rhetorical analysis of Nixon's treatment of selected issues in a sample of his campaign speeches during the 1960 and 1968 elections. A qualitative content analysis of his treatment of selected issues in the sample of speeches is undertaken mi: "EV‘Ifl—J !_ to determie that Nixon' treatment I study begii biographies spea‘sirg. 1 the two ca‘ wauced b. 53585. UPC)“. eraluation ca13121152 ns ”at h 13 to determine with some degree of precision and objectivity what Nixon's positions were on the issues. and how his treatment of issues differed over the two campaigns. The study begins with a description of historical and biographical factors bearing upon Nixon's political speaking. and of the socio-economic climates bearing upon the two campaigns under consideration. Then the data produced by the content analysis is reported. Finally. based upon this data. a rhetorical interpretation and evaluation of Nixon's treatment of issues in the two campaigns is presented. Definitions and Limitationg of the Study As it is stated. the research problem is broad. For the purposes of this study. the following definitions and limitations will apply: 1. This study is limited to the campaign oratory of only one candidate. Richard M. Nixon. 2. "Substantive issues” is limited to issues of public policy about which a candidate for the Presidency might be expected to speak. Issues of public policy are those issues about which legislative action might be taken. for example. agricultural policy. defense policy. foreign policy. economic policy. and the like. The criteria and the process for selecting issues for this study are described below in the section on methodology. ft m. M—mu we.- Z'tis study I relative ex; leadership. of fiixon's 3. the formal in this tea Kennedy in Mil-answer arthIes' formal Spe not lake 8 com”float: to him 31 The crite,‘ Speeches A periods c nonnatlt 38am in 1b This study excludes issues of personality. such as the relative experience of the candidates in positions of leadership. Also excluded from this study are discussions of Nixon's style, delivery. and organization. 3. "Campaign speaking” is limited to a sample of the formal public addresses by Mr. Nixon. Not included in this term are the Joint television debates with John F. Kennedy in 1960: any press conference or other question- and-answer format remarks by Mr. Nixon: or study papers. articles. books or other publications not presented as formal speeches by Mr. Nixon. However. this study does not make a distinction between the various media for communicating speeches. This definition includes speeches to live audiences. radio speeches. and television speeches. The criteria and process of selecting the sample of speeches for analysis are discussed in the methodology section below. h. "During the campaigns” is limited to the periods of time between the acceptance of the Republican nomination and the day before Election Day in 1960 and again in 1968. REVIEW OF LITERATURE A survey of literature was conducted to discover existing works which offer insight and information bearing upon the purposes of this study in the following areas: 15 The political speaking of Richard M. Nixon. the role of public speaking in Presidential campaigns. and the role of issues in Presidential campaigns. The survey included an examination of the card catalogue of the Michigan State University Ldbrary. and the past ten years' volumes of American Poiitiggl Science Review, 23biic Qpinion Qua;- gggiz, Revigg of Politics. Quartggiy gggrnal of Speech. §pgegh Monggraphg. and gggzggii§m_gg§gtgziz, Additionally. the past ten years' volumes of the Pubiic ggfaigg ingormation Service. the 1960 and 1968 volumes of the New York Times Index. and Volume 22 (march-February 1959- 1961) and Volume 28 (March-February 1968-1969) of the Readers Guide to Periodical Litgzatuzg. were examined. Issues of volumes of §2g39g_§gngg;§ph§,and Qisggrtation gbgtgagtg were also examined. A selected bibliography of sources found in the survey is appended to this study. Works bearing upon the political speaking of Richard M. Nixon include the followings Judith S. Trent compared the rhetorical style of Nixon's campaign speeches in the 1960 and 1968 campaigns in her doctoral dissertation in 1970.18 Her study found 18Judith Swanlund Trent. "An Examination and Comparison of the Rhetorical Style of Richard Milhous Nixon in the Presidential Campaigns of 1960 and 1968: A Content Analysis” (unpublished Doctor's dissertation. University of Michigan, 1970). flirts—i..— ture fo As a not of 2' base Spee SEVe. out . 16 that. in six aspects of style. Nixon's speaking differed significantly over the two campaigns due primarily to Nixon's increased use of professional speech writers in his second campaign. This study, incidentally. is the only study of Nixon's speaking in the two campaigns found in this survey. but its principal focus ignores Nixon's treatment of issues in his speeches. Trent wrote in summary of her survey of litera- ture for her dissertation. As a body, the scholarly research on Nixon does not provide comprehensive empirical examination of his speaking. Much of the research has been based on a small selected sample or even a single speech. No previous empirical study has examined several major features of Nigon's rhetoric through- out even a single campaign. The survey of literature by this writer revealed nothing which would change Trent's assessment. except for Trent's dissertation. Bernard Kissel examined six of Nixon's speeches in the nominating convention and campaign of 1956 (when Nixon was running for his second term as Vice-President) in his doctoral dissertation.20 Kissel's study is purely rhetorical in focus. and adds little to an understanding 19Ib1do ’ p. 60 zoBernard Kissel. "A Rhetorical Study of Selected Speeches Delivered by Richard Milhous Nixon During the Convention and Presidential Campaign of 1956” (unpublished Doctor's dissertation. University of Michigan. 1956). ”-4 exali. aLnaljfiz for a: Saxova: 333137813 ca~~ ‘~~818n used more in the de W33 1833 \ 2] the.” u ‘1 “lVOCa (“publish 1962) 17 of Nixon's treatment of issues in his two Presidential campaigns. Larry A. Samovar. in his doctoral dissertation. examined ambiguity in the Nixon-Kennedy debates by analyzing the content of the debates and then testing it for ambiguity in the perception of a group of listeners.21 Samovar found that perception of ambiguity was related to the listeners' political preferences. as each candi- date's supporters believed the message of their candidate to be relatively clear. but his opponent's message to be ambiguous. In an article published in the western Poiitigal Quartgriz. John w. Ellsworth reported that a content analysis of the 1960 television debates and of other campaign speeches revealed that both Kennedy and Nixon used more evidence and analysis. and less partisan attacks. in the debates than in other campaign speeches where there was less prospect of imminent rebuttal by the opponent.22 21Larry Allen Samovar. ”A Study of Ambiguity and Unequivocation in the 1960 Presidential Campaign Debates” (uggublished Doctor's dissertation. Purdue University. 19 . ‘ 22John W. Ellsworth. "Rationality and Campaigning: A Content Analysis of The 1960 Presidential Campaign Debates.” Western Poiitigal Quarterly. XVIII (1965). 79h—802. 18 Popular. Journalistic accounts of the campaigns in question. such as T. H. White's The makieg of ihe ggeeident 126023 and The maki o the e ident 1 68.21‘ Jules Witcover's The Reeuggeetion of Richazd Nixon.25 Chester. Hodsson. and Page's A£_A22£12é£_fl21292522n26 Morin's ' cia ed 3 o of 1 ti and Polieiee i268 by the Congressional Quarterly Service.28 are among the leading sources of information about Nixon's campaign strategies and performances. together with contemporary newspaper and magazine articles (listed in the Bibliography). The leading biographies of Nixon are Mazo and Hess's Nixons A Politieai Portrait.29 and 23Theodore H. White. T Maki of th President 1260 (New York: Signet Books. 1961). 2“Theodore H. White. Th ki of h id nt 1268 (New York: Pocket Books. 1970). 25Jules Witcover. Th e t on o c Nigon (New York: 0. P. Putnamis Sons. 1970). 26Lewis Chester and others. Ag_§mezieee_geieg;egee T Pre d n 1 m 8 (New York: Dell Publishing Co.. 19 9 e 27Relman Morin. Th2_Aafissiaisd_£:§§:7§&2:z_2£. gleetioe i2§8 (New York: Pocket Books. 1 9 . 28Nelson Poynter (ed.). Pelitiee ie Aeezicea The goiitiee end Ieegeg ef ghe Peetgez Yeeze 3rd ed.: Washington: Congressional Quarterly Service. 1969). 29Earl M320 and Stephen Hess. Ni one A P 1 i 1 Pogtgeie (New York: Popular Library. 1963). I w; _oi-¢!_w-—r_ Eoyt's The } # Six Crisee : The focus on th but there a of which ca Dan tne best re management 3"1320. cand heavily upo cazpalgn ac types of 81:) 032.0318...“ °°=municat1 ”finding. on televlsi Speaklng en T. .. % hilt emphasl 19 Hoyt's The Nixogee An American Eemilx.3° Also. Nixon's §iz_§;ieee includes a section on the 1968 campaign.31 The survey of literature found few works which focus on the role of speaking in Presidential campaigns. but there are several items covering campaign strategies. of which campaign speaking is one of several tactics. Dan Nimmo's book. The Poiitieei Pegeeedere. is the best recent description of contemporary campaign management strategies and techniques.32 According to Nimmo. candidates in modern important elections rely heavily upon polling techniques to determine where campaign activities ought to be concentrated. and what types of appeals would be most effective in a particular campaign. Nimmo also described the various channels of communication employed by candidates in current campaigns. including. among others. saturation political advertising on television. and "personal media” including public speaking engagements. Crespi and Mendelsohn's geiie. Televieion. age the New Politiee echoed the same themes. but emphasized the extensive uses made of polls and television by candidates. as implied by the title of the 3OEdwin P. Hoyt. The N xon e n e i an F m 1 (New Yorke‘ Random House. 1972). 31Richard M. Nixon. W (New York: Pyramid BOOkS. 1968). 32Dan Nimmo. The Politieei §ezeuadege (Englewood Cliffs. New Jersey: Spectrum. 1970 . uses mad the 1960 extended question- described agenent o] for the ca Reagan's Si by! the 8151' \ 335,E Televi ion 3486 % (Sc 35R1c 39511 He 1971 , ”it s l 36C. 1©1131 1 P , I' YEfie 1960 an: “Gem's diss ) 20 book.33 A recent analysis of campaign practices and technologies which goes beyond the 1968 campaign consid- erably is Agranoff's The New Style in Eleetien Cemeeigne.3h A pragmatic analysis of the Republican approach to the 1968 campaign may be found in Scammon and wattenberg's The Reai Majority.35 Mortensen's doctoral dissertation compared the uses made of television by the Presidential candidates in the 1960 and 1964 campaigns. and found a trend away from extended speeches and toward brief advertisements and questionsanswer formats.36 Joyce M. Tsongas' M.A. thesis described the role of the Spencer-Davis campaign man- agement organization in Ronald Reagan's successful bid for the California governorship. and concluded that Reagan's speeches were heavily influenced. if not dictated by. the strategies laid down by the professional campaign 33Haro1d Meldelsohn and Irving Crespi. Poi e. e1 vi on nd th N‘w Politic (Scranton. Pennsylvania: Chandler Publishing Co.. 1970). 34Robert Agranoff (ed.). T N t n “ ion Cameeigne (Boston: Holbrook Press. Inc.. 1972). 35Richard M. Scammon and Ben J. wattenberg. Tee R 1 it (New York: Coward. McCann. and Geoghegen. 1971 . 36C. David Mortensen. ”A Comparative Analysis of Political Persuasion on Four Telecast Program Formats in the 1960 and 196a Presidential Campaigns” (unpublished Doctor's dissertation. University of Minnesota. 1968). 21 managers.37 In an article in the Qeei;ei_§§e§ee_§peeeh_ Jougnai. Jerry Mandel stated that public speaking played a key role in Senator Percy's 1966 Senatorial campaign in Illinois.38 An interesting. if not scholarly. addition to the literature of campaign strategies is McGinniss' The §eilieg oz the Ezeeident 1968. a description of the television advertising campaign mounted in behalf of Nixon's campaign for the Presidency.39 There are several traditional rhetorical studies of Presidents and other leading political speakers which touch upon campaign speaking to a greater or lesser degree. A good example of this type of study is Stacy's doctoral dissertation on the campaign speeches of Harry S. Truman in 19h8. which concluded that Truman's whistle- stop campaign tours were instrumental in his successful election bid.“O 37Joyce Monson Tsongas. ”The Role of a Political Management Firm in the 1966 Gubernatorial Campaign Speaking of Ronald Reagan” (unpublished Master's thesis. Purdue University. 1970). 38Jerry E. Mandel. "The Presentation of Image in Charles H. Percy's Whistle-Stop Tour of 1966.” genteel §tetee §2eeeh Joureei. XXI. h (Winter. 1970). 209-216. 39Joe McGinniss. T e i e d n l 68 (New York: Trident Press. 19 . “OBill W. Stacy. ”The Campaign Speaking of Harry S. Truman in the 19h8 Presidential Election” (unpublished Doctor's dissertation. Southern Illinois University. 1968). thought. accuratel: other ext: dates' po: by the st! 531' (D U) Berelson, Axel-1min 1 \ Ti “9°31 Seco: 3°” pro: RM; 5 GEt‘ school of / R. I»? H O a F‘ Hie-3 43' o It} 22 As noted. the literature which deals with the role of issues in political campaigns seems to be divided between two schools of thought. The older school of thought. that voters' behavior can be predicted more accurately from a knowledge of partisan alignments and other external factors than from a knowledge of the candi- dates' positions on the campaign issues. is represented by the standard voting studies by Lazarsfeld. et a1. TQe People's geoice.”1 Campbell. et al. The Voter Deeides.“2 Berelson. et a1. Voti_n_g.u3 and Campbell. et a1. Tge American Voter.“u The other school of thought. apparently based upon second thoughts about the older studies. gives a more prominent place to campaign issues as a factor. if not a determining factor. in voters' behavior. This school of thought is represented by V. 0. Key. Jr.. in ulPaul F. Lazarsfeld. Bernard Berelson. and Hazel Gaudet. The P o 1e's Choic (New York: Duell. Sloan and Pearce. 19 . uzAngus Campbell. Gerald Gurin. and Warren E. Miller. e Vo e id (Evanston. Illinois: Row. Peterson. 1955). . “3Bernard R. Berelson. Paul F. Lazarsfeld. and William N. McPhee. Votieg (Chicago: University of Chicago ”383. 195“) 0 M"Angus Campbell and others. The Aeegicae Voger (New York: Wiley. 1960). his posthu and Hilton their arti 0v several st about poll seem to be innovation activities 3f Present discuss 15 appraisal 211We 13 u “”1 acade issues in issue8 in \ is Winnings. Pr 23 his posthumously published Th b e t ,“5 and Milton C. Cummings“6 and Stanley Kelley. Jr..,"7 in their articles in WW2? Overall. the survey of literature uncovered several streams. or at least undercurrents. of thinking about political campaigning. The campaigners themselves seem to be moving in the direction of adding modern innovations such as television commercials to their activities. while not eliminating the traditional practice of presenting campaign speeches (including speeches to discuss issues) from their schedules. The scholarly appraisal of the effects of any particular campaign tech- nique is uncertain. Most disconcerting is the shortage of much academic attention to the candidates' treatment of issues in a campaign. particularly of Nixon's treatment of issues in his 1960 and 1968 campaigns for the Presidency. “5V. 0. Key. Jr.. with the assistance of Milton C. Cummings. Jr.. Tee geeeoneible Eleeeorete: getionaiiEy in Pregideetiai Voeieg i2} -i2 0 New York: Vintage Books. 19 . ‘ uéMilton C. Cummings. Jr.. ”The Strategic Outlook for the National Elections of 1968.” Tee Preeideetg Beg. 22ineeee, imperato;?. ed. Joseph M. Ray The University of Texas at El Paso: Texas Western Press. 1969). “7Stanley Kelley. Jr.. "Campaign Propaganda in Perspective.” The President: RexI PrinceesI Imperator? ed. Joseph M. Ray The University of Texas at El Paso: Texas Western Press. 1969). 1960 and rhetoric Nixon' s Ehetoric e1"-.Dl<>yed 3eiI‘d's interprg his and} 31179 81"! In ordej IIECQSSaj Platene backiro to Nor Speaker 24 METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS This study of Nixon's treatment of issues in his 1960 and 1968 campaigns for the Presidency is a modified rhetorical criticism. featuring a content analysis of Nixon's campaign speeches. Rhetorieel gritieiem Scholarship in speech criticism has traditionally employed the critical approach described in Thonssen and Baird's §2eeen_gzieieiee, Its aim is to describe. analyze. interpret and evaluate the interplay between a speaker and his audience through his messages in terms of the persua- sive effects of the speaker's messages upon the audience. In order to accomplish a full-blown criticism. it is necessary to examine the speaker's messages for com- pleteness and authenticity. to investigate the speaker's background for his intellectual and rhetorical resources. to recreate the speaking situation within which the speaker acted (both in terms of the immediate situation and also the larger social and cultural contexts). and then to reconstruct both the audience's immediate reactions and the long-term effects of the messages. Aristotelian canons of rhetoric. including invention. disposition. style. and delivery: and artistic modes of proof. including a. ethos. Pa descripti products Bedding c performed biographi attentior messages, thQSe prc I'eEDl‘esent analysls be paid 1 such aha] ”£13813 1 bl) the1‘. i 25 ethos. pathos. and logos. comprise the critic's norms for description. and. to a degree. for evaluation."8 Some researchers in speech have questioned the products of this traditional form of rhetorical criticism. Redding observed that when each step was faithfully performed. the resulting criticism has been overwhelmingly biographical and historical. with inadequate space or attention.devoted to rhetorical analysis of the speaker's messages. Redding called for speech critics to consider these proposals: "(1) that studies be encouraged which represent a shift in emphasis toward a more thorough analysis of speech content: and (2) that more attention be paid to developing appropriate techniques for executing such analysis.”9 Specifically. Redding suggested content analysis techniques.50 Hillbruner also questioned the necessity for including each step of the traditional rhetorical study. Rather. he suggested. rhetorical studies might focus on “BLester Thonssen and A. Craig Baird. geeeeg 92i§iciem (New York: Ronald Press. 19h8). Parts I. IV. 8111 VI ‘ “9w. Charles Redding. ”Extrinsic and Intrinsic Eggticism.” We t rn S eech. XXI. 2 (Spring. 1957). 96-97. - O o 5°Ibid.. p. 102. A similar appeal for the use of content analysis in rhetorical criticism is voiced by Martin Maloney. ”Some New Directions in Rhetorical Criticism.” Qentral §tatee geeeeh Journal. IV. 1 (March. 1953 ) 0 1'5 0 83W of the to the fie Conte: conce; ain t? of put speeck its is scient educat the 8; Ac Redding ay rhetorica] Steps: and 26 any of the steps and still contribute worthwhile knowledge to the field. Hillbruner stated: Contemporary critics are beginning to follow the conception that useful evaluation can have as its aim the criticism of almost any significant aspect of public address. It can concern itself with a speech: its ideas or its artistry or lack of either: its impact: its relation to current intellectual scientific. religious. political. philosophical. educational or artistic problems: its relatigf to the speaker's deeds: its value: its results. Accordingly. in keeping with the suggestions of Redding and Hillbruner. this study modifies the traditional rhetorical critical approach by eliminating some of its steps. and by adding content analysis techniques to analyze the campaign speeches of Nixon in the 1960 and 1968 elections. Specifically. this study is concerned with the treatment of issues in Nixon's campaign speaking. To accomplish this limited criticism. the biographical antecedents relevant to Nixon's political speaking are described. and the two campaigns are reconstructed in terms of their social. historical and political contexts. with particular reference to the issues selected for analysis. Next. Nixon's campaign speeches are analyzed using content analysis techniques as described below. Finally. Nixon's treatment of campaign issues are inter- preted and evaluated in terms of his development as a 51Anthony Hillbruner. n on (New York: Random House. 1966). p. . sneaker. contenpor Content A C describe objective of the me Berelson‘ for the C of the m or Berelg HOlSti 31 requirem. limited . be How u. oedemapos mwv HHt Hm we r 00 H: o o o o MHu mm manommwno :. zodnovOHHnw: Hum uu NH 0 o Mm Hm V c H H Hmu we mocmpmm u. condone mac HHo mo mm Hm m: r o o o 0 two mo mmnwdHHmsaosc m. >Boupop: mo w H: u m c m o o o o :u mm >4Hmnpop V. wOHonm umu om HQ flu Ht 0 H H» m o 0 too mu wOHHow m. bosomdpo tau um Hm o o nu Hu w H o 0 ton m: moomosa m. memos Huo Ho Hu H: o m u o o o o HuH mu MHVHoHpnwom 96 fl adeo u AcoseHsmoav Hi Hausa oHHeScoa mepncaosea II aocaH can a woowee: oHmHHoaHnaHo u. zmnsno ow mum H» a m H o o o 0 Ho # mmu om chmHnoso% :. :wHHwHao woman Hmm wm Hm H» 4 Ho 0 o o o o Hut mm m. >BcHHop= HmnHma we m: m: o o Hm Hm m u H H flu um m. ounce a ununHoa wow HmH mm o o w H H: u Ham av Hrm rm v. >BcHHomm moHHHn mom Ho u a H m H m H m H mm» cu m. womcmno: one Hmm mm mm no HH um HQ 0 o o 0 Hum mm o. <0Hmmewuw tau muo mm H: o 0 mm Ho m w H o mHm mm Ho. apes won z>ao New mm uH um uH o o o o H o Hma mo HH. >HHHpSco Hum Hu Ho u r m m o o o o HHo oo muomuomm Hm. eoamw.m Home: mam H: m m H w H u H u m NVH om Hm. st Nm: to Ho mu Hm c t w H o o mom mH 98 adeo : AoomuHmsonv Hmoso oHHomeon meanoaoaeo aoewH can a woowoa: 0HHHHom.v onHow mu Hm um v HQ u mm m we mopoo pm macaw moHHow 105 emoHo m Acoudenonv mac no: .I. zocaeoH Home Hoam Homo Homm Homo Homm HanoweoHo m u a a a m a n a n a a E zomonHeeHomo. UHoHoanow an m up a m: c w 0 V» Hu mu m E 3HHHeeHw wuokuonnomo q: Hu no Hm u: m Hm w E zHHHeDHw topmosnw up a Hm u no Ho mm m E 3HHHome >ocHoso moose on ten uH m m H m o m H H o eoeaH mm» rm Hm» we How He mH Ha now u: wmo to % awonooseamoo one on cceaH unreasoneo HoHedon no «so House on can can peace H: «so noouooepdo omaoepmmm. H5 Home. mambo. H: Hcmm. strum. Hossnon can. nonconoomoo one 106 It should also be pointed out that there are some differences in the direction of statements related to these five indicators over the two campaigns. In 1960. Nixon made more Con statements related to War as Enemy Policy than Neutral statements: in 1968. he was decidedly Neutral in his emphasis on this indicator. Similarly. he was a strong advocate of Peace as U.S. Policy in 1960. but his 1968 remarks were fairly evenly divided between Pro and Neutral in this indicator. Conversely. he made more Neutral as well as more Con statements regarding Negoti- ations a Diplomacy in 1960 than in 1968. along with an approximately equal proportion of Pro statements in both campaigns.5 In the last two indicators in this group. Nixon's pattern of direction was similar in.both campaigns. He was definitely Pro Military Preparedness. and divided between Pro and Neutral on Military Weaponry. In addition to these five indicators. two other indicators deserve special notice. In 1960. Nixon empha- sized his support for Military Actions Short of War (mostly in relation to the specific issue of Quemoy-Matsu). Of more interest to subsequent history. in 1968. Nixon 5The fact that. in 1960. Nixon made a substantial number of Con statements on Negotiations & Diplomacy may be partly explained by his opposition in that year to John F. Kennedy's proposed nuclear arms treaty. Without the campaign statements related to this specific issue. his pattern would have been much more similar to 1968--a distribution of statements between the Pro and Neutral categories. 107 made several statements regarding Vietnam. an indicator he ignored in 1960. His 1968 statements on Vietnam were about evenly divided between the Con.and Neutral directions. Qiggugg§on of W3; gag P3393. In.both the 1960 and 1968 campaigns. Richard Nixon devoted more attention to the issue of War and Peace than he did to any other issue: moreover. his treatment of the issue was more specific than the other issues. particularly in the latter campaign. Consequently. the discussion of this issue will be more extensive than the ensuing discussions of the other issues. In 1960. Nixon's position on War and Peace in his issue-oriented speeches was similar to his stump speeches. In his three 1960 defense speeches. this theme recurred: What kind of leadership is needed to keep the peace without surrender and extend freedom throughout the world? In seven and a half years. President Eisenhower got us out of one war and kept us out of other wars. To be strong diplomatically. we must remain strong militarily. Kennedy's offer to apologize to the Soviets for the U-2 incident displayed weakness. and his position on Cuba displayed rashness. As a matter of fact. this theme pleased Nixon so much that he repeated it in other speeches not devoted to national defense. It appeared. for example. in his farm speeches and his Appalachian Relief speech. Frequently. the theme was no more substantial than is shown here. although it was elaborated at greater length. Nixon relied greatly upon his position as incumbent Vice 108 President. and his recital of Eisenhower's achievements in the area of peace and national defense. This general argument was Nixon's response to Kennedy's charge that there existed a serious ”missile gap.” or imbalance in military weaponry between the United States and Russia. Arthur M. Schlesinger. Jr. wrote that Nixon hesitated to reveal classified information which totally disproved the charge. and so continued to give general reassurances instead of specific rebuttal points against Kennedy's charges.6 If Nixon felt constrained not to deal with the status of America's missile strength. he felt positively frustrated in attempting to handle Kennedy's Cuban position. Kennedy at one point took a position that the United States should actively assist Ouban exiles in recovering their homeland from Fidel Castro. Unknown to Kennedy. the Eisenhower administration was proceeding with plans to do exactly that. In order to protect the secrecy of the plans. Nixon argued that any such action by the United States would be foolhardy.7 6Arthur M. Schlesinger. Jr. (ed.). to of e l o 8 -l 8. IV New York: Chelsea House Publishers. 1971 . pp. 3 5-66. 7Ibid. As a footnote to this issue. Kennedy approved of the plans to help the Cuban exiles when he took office. and the result was the ill-fated Bay of Figs fiasco. This put Nixon in.a position to say “I told you so:“ and. indeed. he did include the mistake in his litany of Democratic errors in foreign policy during the 1968 campaign. 109 The only other issue of War and Peace Nixon dealt with in the 1960 sample of speeches was even.more minor: the question of Quemoy and Matsu. the islands lying a few miles off the shore of mainland China still held by the Nationalist Chinese. In.a reversal of philosophies. Kennedy originally contended that the Nationalists should withdraw from the islands. but Nixon. who hesitated to support the Cuban exiles during his campaign. argued that the United States should never give up ”a foot of free soil” in the China instance. Ultimately. both Nixon and Kennedy moderated on Quemoy and Matsu. opting for general support of Eisenhower's approach. On the issue of War and Peace in 1960. Nixon held a strong position in the minds of the voters because traditionally the Republicans enjoyed solid public trust in foreign affairs. Polsby and Wildavsky stated: Nixon sought to differentiate himself as much as possible from Kennedy in the field of foreign affairs. He suggested that he was uniquely capable of securing peace without surrender. and that Kennedy was not. He tried to strengthen the prevailing impression of the Democratic party as the party of war. He implied alternatively that Kennedy would permit the Communists to make unwarranted advances (for example in Matsu and Quemoy). and that the Democrats would make rash moves (Cuba). Even Nixon's espousal of an aggressive line. such as he took regarding Matsu and Quemoy. helped him becauge in foreign affairs voters trust the Republicans. 8Nelson w. Polsby and Aaron 3. Wildavsky. 5e:e idential Eletio : ‘ t is o .r- 1 - g%%%§;g§, d ed.: New York: Charles Scribner s Sons. 1 : P0 1380 110 In 1968. the leading issue of War and Peace was the Vietnam War. Milton Cummings. Jr. reported that the polls recorded that in 1968. at least half of the American public named Vietnam as ”the most serious problem facing this country today”--a striking indication of the salience of the issue.9 Chester. Hodgson. and Page commented. Nothing is clearer than the imperative that an account of the politics of 1968 must start with Vietnam. the progress of which dominated the struggle for the Presidency from first to last . . . Yet no subject is harder to deal with briefly."1° It has been noted in Chapter 2 that the turning point in Humphrey's campaign came in late September. when. in a television speech. he offered the clear impression that he had broken with Johnson's policies on the Vietnam War: and after that point. his standing in the pre- election polls began to rise sharply. What has not been indicated is the depth of attitudes about the warwhich were held by the American public. Historian James Truslow Adams pointed out that anti-war Senator Eugene McCarthy's strong showing in the New Hampshire primary early in 1968 alerted Democrats to the fact that the war was a threat 9Milton c. Cummings. Jr.. ”The Strategic Outlook for the National Elections of 1968.” T?g_§zg§19gn;;__flgx. P;1gggg§‘_lggg£ggggfl ed. Joseph M. Ray El Paso. Texas: Texas Western Press. 1969). p. 74. 10Lewis Chester. Godfrey Hodgson. and Bruce Page. An %%e:;g§n Mglodgggg (New York: The Viking Press. 1969). p. . 111 11 That primary. combined to their hold on the Presidency. with the North Vietnamese Tet offensive which led General Westmoreland to request another 200.000 American troops for Vietnam. encouraged Senator Robert F. Kennedy to enter the campaign for the Democratic nomination. These events. in turn. forced President Johnson's withdrawal from the race on March 31. according to Richard Dalfiume.12 Yet. while public feelings were widespread and strong. they were also mixed. Samuel Lubell's survey in the summer of 1968 showed that there was ambiguity and vagueness: in other words. there was serious confusion in the public mind. For example. over half of those who favored stepping up the war also opposed sending more U.S. troops. Instead. they favored using intensified bombing: yet they believed that bombing was ineffective. Again. those opposed to the war ”leaped on the suggestion that the war be 'de-Americanized' by having the South Vietnamese take over the fighting." yet these same respondents said the South Vietnamese government was corrupt and could not be trusted in 'Vietnamizing' the war. Lubell's conclusion was that "a hawk is a dove is an albatross.” and that the 11James Truslow Adams. Continued by Jacob G. Cooke Th Ma mo (New York: Charles Scribner's Sons. 19 9 : 99- 3' . 12m1f1uma . De 25 e 112 people wanted to get out so badly they didn't really care about South Vietnam.13 Given these circumstances. Nixon elected to keep silent about the Vietnam War. despite its importance as an issue. It was. after all. the Democrats' problem. It was costing Humphrey. not him. As his public strategy for dealing with the Vietnam War. Nixon told his biographers. Mazo and Hess. At this time President Johnson is attempting to negotiate a settlement with the North Vietnamese. If I or any other candidate were to indicate what we would settle for. and if that position were different from and possible more attractive to the North Vietnamese than.what the President was offering. this immediately would torpedo the negotiations. So I will not discuss that under any circumstances. It would 14 inappropriate and highly irresponsible to do so. Table 6 shows that Nixon made several statements about Vietnam. but in the sample of speeches. nowhere did he make the famous statement which seems to characterize his 1968 position on Vietnam. “1 have a plan.” It is also true. however. that all the statements about Vietnam are isolated. passing references. usually in some context other than.discussion of the war. For example. in ”Time to Save NATO.” he said that Vietnam was responsible for loss of U.S. influence in Europe. In his speech on the 13Samuel Lube-11. W (New York: W. W. Norton 2 Co.. Inc.. 1971 . ppe -261 e 1"Earl Mazo and Stephen Hess. o : Po ti 1 Portrait (New York: Popular Library. 19681. p. 310. 1113!? n. MUN 113 all-volunteer army. he proposed the abolition of the draft: but he mentioned in passing that his proposal would have to wait until after Vietnam. In his speech. ”To Keep the Peace." he warned that the U.S. should avoid future Vietnams. but he asserted that our participation in the Vietnam War has ”bought time” for other small Southeast Asian countries in resisting the strength of Communist China. In his speech on inflation. he made brief reference to Vietnam as one contributing factor to the economic situation. Finally. in his major speech on national defense. ”The Security Gap.” he blamed Vietnam for depleting the U.S. lead in armaments. The point should be emphasized that Nixon did not make an issue of the Vietnam War in the sample of speeches. and that the references cited above are hardly any more important to his campaign speeches than his references to World War II or the Korean War. of which there are nearly as many. In fact. the only extended attention he gave to Vietnam during the 1968 campaign was a brief statement he submitted to the Republican Platform Committee. Adams saw Nixon's non-treatment of the Vietnam issue. so important to the electorate. as a deliberate strategy: Nixon's position. clever but deceptive. fitted the pattern of his general campaign strategy which called for maintaining his lead by avoiding a specific stand which might alienate his constituency. He had only to criticize Administration policy. pinning the blame for its failure on Humphrey and the Democrats. and avoid the pitfalls of proposing alternative policies by taking the lofty and safe position that any such 114 discusigon might interfere with the Paris peace talks e If Nixon tended to ignore the Vietnam War. it does not follow that he ignored War and Peace as a campaign issue. He spoke of the Middle East and NATO. He spoke of the draft. and his proposal for an all-volunteer army. But his major thrust in the 1968 campaign was national defense. and his major development of the issue is found in the last issue-oriented speech in the sample. ”The Security Gap." presented on October 24 on nationwide television. In that speech. Nixon began by describing the state of national defense in 1960 when Eisenhower left office. Owing to Eisenhower's policies and planning. America was still at peace. and not one American boy had been killed or wounded on any battlefield for eight years. Moreover. our nation was the acknowl- edged leader of the Free World. Our superiority in weapons was unquestioned . . . I retrace this history because it explains why. during the eight Eisenhower years. there was not a Berlin wall. no Bay of Pigs. no Cuban missile crisis. no American fighting in Southeast Asia. no Pueblo piracy. It also explains why our globe-encircling alliances stayed strong and firm. Proceeding from this glowing account of Eisenhowere achievements. Nixon went on to compare America's pesition eight years later. beginning with weapons. In five specific areas. intercontinental ballistic weapons. bombers. nuclear submarines. tactical aircraft. and the ,15Adams. pp. 48-49. 115 total weapon stockpile. Nixon stated that the U.S. dropped from superiority to inferiority to the U.S.S.R. There- fore. he accused the Democratic Administration with "creating a security gap for America.” He charged the Democrats with abandoning Eisenhower's policy of superi- ority in weaponry in favor of ”parity.” or equality with the Communists. in hopes of producing "peace in our time“ (coincidentally. the phrase had been used by Prime Minister Chamberlain to justify appeasing Hitler before World War II) by setting a good example. Nixon refuted the ”parity” doctrine by expounding his theory that. since the U.S.S.R. is weaker than the U.S. economically. to allow them to catch up to the U.S. militarily would symbolize superiority for them. He said. ”We cannot accept this concept and survive as a free people.” So long as the U.S.S.R. continued to entertain world expansionist ambitions. Nixon warned that to continue the policy of ”parity” would shift America's predicament from "a security gap” to "a survival gap.” Additionally. the Democrats had also scuttled the National Security Council set up by Eisenhower. thus eliminating the process for orderly planning and decision making regarding national defense. In short. The risks facing our country have intensified these past eight years. Wrong policy assumptions--unrealism in numbers and types of weapons-~laxity in research and development--flaws in the decision making process --a disregard of timing--allowing the Soviets to move rapidly toward parity and in some areas to achieve 116 superiority--a near breakdown of top policy-making procedures--these have been somber developments for our country. I am intensely dissatisfied with these conditions. As President I would move promptly to correct these mistakes of judgment and action. In rapid-fire. ”one-liner” sequence. Nixon then listed seven actions he would take. such as reorganizing the Department of Defense. rooting out the ”whiz kids." restoring military superiority over the U.S.S.R.. and restoring the National Security Council. In the 1960 campaign. Kennedy had made much of a ”missile gap” in his campaign. especially in the tele- vision debates. That ”gap” evaporated after the election. but it was an issue favorable to Kennedy when it was used. In 1968. however. Nixon's attempt to conjure up a ”secu- rity gap” on the eve of the election failed to bolster his campaign in the same way. For one important reason for its failure. it provided Humphrey with an opportunity for the closest thing to a debate with Nixon he would get in the campaign. Ordinarily. a major response to an opponent requires two or three days of advance preparation. consul- tation. and speech writing. On the issue of national defense. however. Humphrey had anticipated the possibility that Nixon would present a speech along the lines that he did: and a speech draft was already prepared. With only two or three hours of manuscript editing. and with the de-classification of certain items of defense information by Secretary of Defense Clifford. Humphrey was on the air 117 the next morning with an item-by-item refutation of Nixon's speech. He showed that the U.S. enjoyed substan- tial leads in each of the weapon types Nixon had discussed. and added details on other weapons possessed by the U.S.. so that for the foreseeable future. the U.S. could ”oblit- erate any aggressor nation or nations."16 As Schlesinger wrote. Throughout the campaign. Humphrey had hammered at Nixon's advocacy of delay in ratification of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. Now. with Nixon's own words. he was able to dramatize their differences on arms control. As the first candidate to propose a bombing halt and now as the enemy of the arms race. Humphrey was emerging suddenly as the ”peace” candi- date in the election. New. if peace talks and a bombi halt became a reality. it might turn the tide.1 Instead of dampening Humphrey's momentum. Nixon's speech merely added more impetus to it. On October 31. President Johnson declared a halt to the bombing. and the twenty point lead Nixon enjoyed in the summer of 1968 evaporated to nothing. Nixon's image of blandness and calm in the 1968 campaign had reverted to the "Old Nixon" on War and Peace. As the Ripon Society said. ”When he did speak out. he was the hard-line Nixon: his foreign policy suddenly degenerated into preoccupation with ‘weaponry . . . ."18 16Chester. Hodgson. and Page. pp. 719-726. 17Schlesinger. p. 3749. 18The Ripon Society. Thg Egggon cg Vigtorz (New York: Dial Press. 1969). p. 22. .fi. 118 The Pogketbook Iggug. As a substantive issue area. the Pocketbook issue is a broad topic which includes specific statements related to the domestic economy. Indicators subsumed all the statements which were related to fiscal and economic policies (Taxing. Spending. Fiscal Responsibility). and factors related to income. business. and employment (Inflation. Recession/Depression. Labor. Farm Income. Retirement Income. Employment). Table 7 shows that the selection of indicators was appropriate. with one exception. Content analysis disclosed that Nixon made only one statement in either campaign.related to Recession/Depression. (That was a Con statement in 1968). As to direction. Nixon became more definite and assertive in 1968 than in 1960. In the earlier campaign. of 385 statements. 124 were Neutral (a ratio of 32%). In the latter campaign. of 442 statements. only 90 were Neutral (a ratio of 20%). Thus. in the Pocketbook area. unlike War and Peace. Nixon appeared to sharpen his thrust in 1968. Nixon's statements about the Pocketbook issue appeared to be concentrated in these indicators: Spending. Fiscal Responsibility. and Farm Income. In 1960. Nixon's statements related to these indicators were as follows: Spending (na246). Fiscal Responsibility (ns46). and Farm Income (ns53). Taken together. these three indicators 6 119 aono V oosomHHoos on Hero man Homm moreoaomno on «so wooWoedoox Hanson woo no: zoeeHoH Homo Hcmm Hmmo mem Homo Homo HmnHomuoHo a m a m m m a u a u a m HH b H efluHmm V N H 0 V N Hm u u H u H HH b N mooansm HHm mo 0V NN mo Hu km Ho mo NH Hm c HHLPLH mHoooH weapon: deHHHew AmoosoaHo manommnsv wH m mm m H» w m H HHIMIH HshHdeoa u H m N mo H: u H Hu u HH w M woooomHoa\ coonoooHom H o E radon : H H» u m H m H o m 120 aono u AoomeHsmonv ||.:‘(l.)|l':l(l| (1-))!!! )(ll (I) 1 'l‘i‘.ll:ll||)|.}«l 0 .ziitul, 1 iv il.l|}‘l)ifi|:ll.l|llli llul ll i111: :l|l| ill. it'll ‘1‘ mac no: zonaan Hero Hear Homo Home peso Homo Hanoneonm a w a w 5 w 5 w m w a w an n H h when Haooao um o NH u Hm m HHIn:m_ . woeHHoBouc Hmooao mm m u H w H HHID maoHowaone m H we q H o u H wm o aosoH Hem uH mom mu mm Hg Hum mm H»: um co No pmouoosapmoo one ow «oemH adenososeo HoHpeon no «so moowondoow Hooco Hm «so Homoooepco coaooHMSa. Hp Hone. onumm. HS Hcmm. suck». woecoaewmoo one noesnon OHM“ 121 include 345 of the 385 statements related to the Pocket- book issue: and. of them. 110 are Neutral (a ratio of 325‘). In 1968. in these same indicators. the corre- sponding figures are: Spending (n.150). Fiscal Responsibility (ns32). and Farm Income (n-21). Taken together. these three indicators amount to 203 of the 442 statements related to the Pocketbook issue: and. of them. only 24 are Neutral (a ratio of 115). As is apparent. Nixon failed to devote the same degree of attention to these three indicators in 1968 as he did in 1960. Particularly evident is the reduced emphasis on Spending and Farm Income. As to Farm Income. there are two speeches in the 1960 sample related to the farm prdblem. and only one speech in the 1968 sample related to the farm problem. Moreover. gggg of the 1960 farm speeches contains over twice as many issue-oriented statements as the 1968 speech. Such is not the case with the Spending indicator. in which Nixon's statements related to Spending (or government programs requiring new outlays) may be found in at least half of the speeches in both samples. It has been noted above that Nixon made a higher proportion of Neutral statements about the Pocketbook issue in 1960 than in 1968. That trend is also apparent in the three indicators containing the majority of his Pocketbook statements. 122 The trend is not nearly so apparent in the Inflation and Retirement Income indicators. two indicators which received considerably more attention in the 1968 sample than in the 1960 sample. In 1968. Nixon made 60 Con and 13 Neutral statements about Inflation. and 36 Pro and 3 Neutral statements about Retirement Income. Finally. in two other indicators. Nixon made statements about specific issues in 1968 which he virtu- ally ignored in 1960. In.both the labor and Employment indicators. statements are fairly evenly divided between the Pro and Neutral categories. Qisguggion of Pogkggbook Aggggtg of thg ngggt;g figggggz. A standard issue in political campaigns is the Pocketbook issue. particularly in.a period when the economy is not working perfectly. Some assign it the highest value of all issues. For example. Scammon and Wattenberg stated: Generally speaking. it is the feeling of the authors that Americans vote for candidates largely on the basis of domestic issues. not international issues. The ever-potent Economic Issue always holds a high priority. and in a time of economic crisis --great inflation. depression. deep and lengthy recession--the Economic Issue will likely be the crucial Voting Issue in.a national election. This is as it has beta. and it is. and as it will likely continue to be. 19Richard M. Scammon and Ben J. Wattenberg. ghg agg;_§§jgg§gy_(New York: Coward. McCann. and Geoghegan. Inca. 1970 . Do “Do 123 What is meant by the Pocketbook issue includes inflation. recession. employment. taxes--in fact. any issue which affects the pocketbook of the voter. A voter might be naive in matters of economic policy. but he is concerned about governmental actions and decisions which he believes cost him money. Economist Arthur Okun said. ”The gut issues about inflation are those of household finance. not world finances."20 The same holds true for other economic areas such as fiscal and monetary policies or employment. The concept that fiscal and monetary policies are positive tools for influencing the national economy is now fairly well understood: but it is only in recent years that the concept has come to be accepted by the federal government to the extent that. for example. deficit financing can sometimes be considered desirable. or that a tax out under certain circumstances can operate to increase federal revenue. As we saw in the preceding chapter. Nixon had rejected the idea in the late 1950's that wage demands by labor unions were responsible for inflation: but President Eisenhower subscribed to the notion that a balanced budget is a primary goal to be attained at almost all costs. In approaching campaign 2°Arthur n. Okun. ”Inflation: The Problems and Prospects Before Us.” Inflation. eds. Arthur M. Okun. Henry H. Fowler. and Henry Gilbert (New York: New York University Press. 1970). p. 13. 124 rhetoric about the Pocketbook issue. therefore. the contemporary economic understanding must be kept in mind. One other characteristic of campaign rhetoric. at Presidential levels at least. is a certain amount of emphasis on agricultural policies: farm income. produc- tion controls. and related topics. The sample of fourteen speeches from 1960 contains two speeches on farm policy: from 1968. there is one speech on agriculture. Wilkins and Friday commented on this peculiarity of campaigning in their anthology: The problem of agriculture has occupied an inordinate amount of time and energy of politicians. It has become a major issue of public controversy although it may be but a minQI economic prOblem for the country as a whole. In point of fact. agriculture posed a serious economic problem in the 1960 campaign.due to a surplus of farm commodities in storage valued at an estimate 89 billion.22 Nixon's farm speeches emphasized a stronger application of the program of Eisenhower's Administration to reduce production acreage. while proposing various means to reduce the surplus. This emphasis was more acceptable to the farm states than that of Kennedy. whom 213. Hughel Wilkins and Charles a. Friday (eds.) h "OHi°lf§-‘ O - ~. Sr 9 t1 i.‘ {.1 101-1'; (NO! *or.: Random House. °- . p. . 22Willard w. Cochrane. ”The Technological Revo- lution 1n Aerioultureo" W: W p- 223. 125 farmers distrusted. Nixon reported that the polls showed gains for his candidacy in the farm states after both his speeches ggg,after Kennedy's speech on farm policy.23 Unfortunately for Nixon in 1960. the electorate consisted of more than the farm belt. President Eisenhower's balanced budget philosophy prevented him from heeding the warning of Arthur M. Burns in March of that year that a recession was inevitable unless government spending was increased immediately. or interest rates lowered. No action was taken. and the predicted recession bottomed out in October. with nearly an additional half million more workers unemployed and an unemployment rate of 6.8 percent. This was the third recession in Eisenhower's eight years. a clear instance of how being an incumbent Vice-President can be a disadvantage. Schlesinger explained. ”The Vice-President had little choice but to deny the existence of the recession and to defend the Eisenhower record. while Kennedy was presented with grim evidence of his basic theme."2u Lubell stated that the recession. i.e.. this single aspect of the Pocketbook issue. cost Nixon the election in 1960.25 23Richard M. Nixon §;g ingeg (New York: Pyramid Books. 1968). p. 360. ' 2“Schlesinger. p. 3466. See also §iz gzigeg. pp. 333-334- 25Lubell. p. 2&7. 126 By 1968. the economy was not the same: and. of course. neither was Nixon. As the ”out” candidate. he was free to attack Administration weaknesses. and to make suggestions for changes in economic policies freely. But in 1968. the economy was surging in its eighth consecutive expansionary year. Increases had been seen continuously in the nation's gross national product. retail sales. personal income. and total employment. while the unemploy- ment rate fell.26 Yet Nixon was able to capitalize on one crucial Pocketbook issue in 1968: inflation. While the economy was rapidly expanding. so was the inflation rate. Econo- mist Henry Fowler stated that beginning in 1965-66. increased government spending for defense (Vietnam) and for domestic programs (The War on Poverty). superimposed on the already booming economy. led to inflation in the late 1960's.27 At first. President Johnson believed that inflation could be avoided without increasing taxes or decreasing spending in any area (the ”guns and butter” theory). but by mid-1967. he was urging enactment of a ten percent income tax surcharge. Congress. hoping to cut spending instead. delayed passage of the tax increase for nearly a year until mid-1968. too late to maximize its 26Adams. pp. 51-2. 27Henry H. Fowler. "Fiscal Policy and Inflation.“ 12112222. PP- 67-68- 127 effectiveness is heading off inflation. It is ironic that Nixon. who had been hurt on the Pocketbook issue in 1960 by governmental inactivity to head off recession. was able to profit politically in 1968 by governmental inactivity‘ (at least. by untimely action) in solving another pocket- book issue. inflation.28 He devoted a speech to the topic of inflation. "To Make a Dollar Worth a Dollar.” in which he blamed Administration ”fiscal irresponsibility” and the tendency ”to promise far more than they can.de1iver through govern- ment or pay for through taxes.” The impact. he said. is ”that inflation has hurt the impoverished far more than the War on Poverty has helped them.” To avoid the unde- sirable alternative of wage and price controls likely to be imposed by Humphrey. should he be elected. Nixon called for ”fiscal responsibility" to redress ”present imbalances without increasing unemployment or controls.“ The problem phase of Nixon's speech was incisive and in agreement with exonomists' assessment of the economy: the solution phase was no more specific than the quotation furnished above. Nevertheless. Humphrey was caught in the same Pocketbook bind that Nixon had been eight years earlier. (As an ironic footnote to Nixon's treatment of the Pocketbook issue. he eventually established a system of wage and price controls in 1970). 28Fowler. pp. 71. 75: Adams. pp. 29. 52-53. ii. have; L We 128 Civil Rights. Indicators used to designate state- ments related to the issue area of Civil Rights include the major public policy fields related to discrimination. and an additional General indicator. They are: Civil Rights (General). Job Discrimination. Housing Discrim- ination. Education Discrimination. and Voting Rights. Table 8 shows that the samples of campaign speeches included very few statements related to Civil Rights. In 1960. there is a total of 22 statements: in 1968. there is a total of 53 statements. Most of these statements occurred in the General indicator. In neither campaign did Nixon make a statement which fit the Education Discrimination indicator despite the fact that in 1968. Nixon made a speech on the subject. ”Education for Excellence. Freedom. and Diversity.“ In 1960. Nixon made no statements which could be categorized in the Job Discrimination or Voting Rights indicators. In the General indicator. Nixon's statements showed a pronounced shift in direction from Pro in 1960 to Neutral in 1968. The few statements included in the specific Civil Rights policy areas show that Nixon was more Neutral than Con on Job Discrimination in 1968. slightly more Neutral than Con on Housing Discrimination in both campaigns. and Pro Voting Rights in l968--but it should be noted that whereas most of the Civil Rights 129 aroHo m ooaoweHmo: on Homo can H am meoaoaonnm om oHdHH mesn who mph znmmmmw Homo Homm Home Homm Homo Homm Hanopeouo a R s N a N a u m n a N E cosoumH A0H4HH mesomv we mm we Hm m c N» am EL. goo uHmcHHsHsmeHon u o Ho Ho m momenm UHooHHaHsdeom u Nu H m w o m a H mnzopeHos UHmoeHaHsmnHom E