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(ray/tun: .5 s .o :5 z liq/.1] fririfrrfiir 74.x, VIr. vilnr‘f l’v?w7. is; 14.1.”..li 1.5.1.; 1...} IYrVIvffi; .4 (1’11 33!: .J flflfiet'vianlf .r 11...: ...P...ru.lfltcl!3! ..tl.l....rt:..tlri.§. .. 1.....1; idly/1.17:)...“ (MI! (risk 1 . I. r. , .y «Lu! 1 1 :I.r tr (I!) FI/rlv 2 {1: .ffil? i; r,....«L (I!!! f .. .r. .171” If ‘ 4... »/ ,../f....:.. 7.1.! 4.3:} ‘ .. . a . 3.3.1.: . . . .1} 2... 2.1;: V r‘(5 . m ‘ “1 “an. , n ‘ .5. .. .. . ‘. , ..§.A§z§amfi .L . 3 ; , . ‘ . . Fifi ; A 2535.4 .1“! P)... .1. w. ., .x.n.s.fi.. «.5 a“; [T ... . . 5‘ «A . .u..) . \i . Liza... .Cx . .31. L I B R A R Y Michigan State Univers - ty, \Hi’.’93 This is to certify that the l thesis entitled FACTORIAL ANALYSIS OF INTELLECTUAL INTEREST \ AND MEASUREMENT OF ITS VALIDITY IN THE PREDICTION OF COLLEGE SUCCESS \ presented by Yung Che Kim has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for Ph.D. degree in Education Major professor Date Ma 18 1 1 0—7639 ‘ llIlfllllllllflljl(llulwljjlllfllllMW“! ABSTRACT FACTORIAL ANALYSIS OF INTELLECTUAL INTEREST AND MEASUREMENT OF ITS VALIDITY IN THE PREDICTION OF COLLEGE SUCCESS BY Yung Che Kim The purpose of the present study was to determine the identity and structure of the psychological construct of intellectual interest and to measure the validity of this construct in the prediction of college success. The population selected for the study consisted of all freshmen entering Michigan State University in Fall, 1970, with the following exclusions: foreign students, transfer students, students for whom data were incomplete and students who dropped out before the end of Fall term, 1970. Five thousand four hundred and sixty-eight students classified as Freshmen and not included in one or more of the above exclusions registered for credit courses during the Fall registration period. From this restricted popula— tion, six hundred and forty—three students were randomly selected. The Academic Interest Scale and the M.S.U. Student Survey were given to the sample of students during the orientation week, September 21—22, 1970. The Academic Yung Che Kim Interest Scale included four subscales from the Stern Activities Index, namely, Reflectiveness, Humanities-Social Science, Understanding, and Science; the Intellectual Interest Scale of Anderson and Western; and the Intellec- tualism-Pragmatism Scale of Yuker and Block. The M.S.U. Student Survey contained several scales. They were Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen, the Life Goals of College Freshmen, the General Self-Concept of Academic Ability, and the Student Questionnaire. Other data such as score on the Scholastic Aptitude Test, MSU Reading Test, MSU Arithmetic Test, MSU Mathematics Test, high school grade point average and MSU grade point average were also obtained. The composite score of the Academic Interest Scale, used to measure the construct of intellectual interest, was derived by applying a 2-point scaling system to all of the 79 items in the three subscales, thus assigning equal value to each of the items. The correlation coefficient of the composite score based on the 2-point scaling system was .89 with the Stern total score, .70 with the Anderson and Western total score, and .63 with the Yuker and Block total score. The high intercorrelation coefficients evidenced both the convergent validity of the three subscales of intellectual interest and the justification of the method of derivation of the composite score. This manner of deri- vation of the composite score was further justified because items in the Likert—type scales were considered to be of approximately equal value. The KR 21 estimate of Yung Che Kim reliability was .83. It suggested that the composite scale of intellectual interest was very reliable. The identity and structure of the construct of intel- lectual interest was investigated by a principle axis solution of a 30 X 30 correlation matrix of the variables related to the cognitive, affective and background charac- teristics. Ten factors of acceptable magnitude, as indicated by their eigenvalue, were included in the Varimax rotation procedure. They were labeled scholastic aptitude, social sensitivity, high school achievement, parents' educational level, aesthetic, community size, conforming- religious, scientific, social hedonism and intellectual interest. The three subscales of the composite scale of intel- lectual interest and the content of the "humanistic- cultural life goal" formed the common factor labeled "intellectual interest." From the critical examination of the operational definitions drawn in the three subscales of intellectual interest, which were highly related, and the content of the "humanistic-cultural life goal," it was suggested that there were three highly correlated aspects of the construct of intellectual interest. They were an appreciation and enjoyment of cultural pursuits, academic and philosophical enquiry and antipragmatic interests in the arts as well as in the sciences. Yung Che Kim The test of analysis of variance indicated that there were statistically significant differences at d = .01, although small in magnitude, in intellectual interest, measured by the Academic Interest Scale, among (1) students majoring in different curricula, (2) students having dif— ferent levels of educational expectations, and (3) students whose fathers have different occupations. In order to investigate the validity of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success as measured by academic grade point average, the Pearson product—moment correlation coefficient, r = .12, and the correlation ration, nyx = .24, were obtained. The former was based on the linear regression model and the latter on the curvi— linear model. Both of the predictive validities were found to be statistically significant, but they were not statis— tically different. Therefore, the linear model of regres— sion was adopted and it was concluded that the curvilinear model would provide no better prediction of college success than the linear model. Graphical examination of the dis- tribution provided the same conclusion. Also, the incremental validity was measured to test whether or not the addition of intellectual interest to four other commonly used predictors increased the predicta- bility of college success. None of these increases was statistically significant. Therefore, it was concluded that intellectual interest had no incremental validity when added to these predictors. FACTORIAL ANALYSIS OF INTELLECTUAL INTEREST AND MEASUREMENT OF ITS VALIDITY IN THE PREDICTION OF COLLEGE SUCCESS BY Yung Che Kim A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Counseling, Personnel Services, and Educational Psychology 1971 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I wish to express sincere appreciation to my major advisor, Dr. James W. Costar, who has been a source of encouragement and helpfulness throughout my doctoral program and to Dr. Raymond N. Hatch, Dr. Norman Abeles, and Dr. LeRoy A. Olson for their contributions and interest as members of the writer's guidance committee. My thanks are extended to Dr. Willard G. Warrington Director of the Office of Evaluation Services, for pro- viding the writer with data essential to the study, and to Dr. Irvin J. Lehmann, Dr. Walker H. Hill and Dr. Arvo E. Juola for their critical examination of the manuscript and for their friendship while I was a graduate assistant in Evaluation Services. Special thanks are extended also to Dr. Andrew C. Porter for his assistance in the statistical treatment of data and constructive criticism of the manuscript. Finally, I must recognize my indebtedness and grati- tude to my father in memory and my mother; also to my wife, Myung Hae Lee, daughter, Sue Im, and son, Juhn Woo, who have had to sacrifice and patiently postpone our shared life while we were living apart, in Korea and in America, during the years of my graduate study. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMNTS . . . . . . . . . . . LIST OF TABLES . . . . . . . . . . CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . Importance of the Study . . . . Purpose of the Study . . . . . Hypotheses to Be Tested . . . . Definitions of Terms . . . . Assumptions . . . Limitations of the Study . Summary of the Chapter . . II. REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE . . . . . Studies Relating to the Domain of Intellectual Interest . Studies Relating to the College and University Influence . . . . Prediction Studies of College Success Studies Using Cognitive Variables Studies Using Affective Variables Studies Using Other Variables . Studies Related to Some Other Problems of Prediction . . Summary of the Chapter . III. METHODOLOGY . . . . . Population and Sample . . . . . Instrumentation and Criterion . . . Collection of Data . . . . . . The Statistical Models . . . Statistical Hypotheses . . . . . Summary of the Chapter . . . . . iii Page ii 15 21 27 28 31 37 39 41 44 44 45 6O 61 67 70 IV. ANALYSIS OF THE DATA . . . . . . . Section 1: The Results of Factor Analysis and Analysis of Variance . . . . . Hypotheses Tested . . . Description of Variables Used in the Factor Analysis Procedure . . . Dimensions Identified Through Factor Analysis . The Hypotheses Testing and Definition of the Construct of Intellectual Interest . Section 2. Reliability, Validity and Regression Model . . . Section 3: Incremental Validity of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion and Some Cognitive and Affective Variable Predictor(s) . . . . . . . . . Summary of the Chapter . . . . . . V. SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS Overview of Purpose and Instrumentation Data Analysis, Results and Discussion Suggestions for Further Research . . BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv Page 72 73 73 75 79 89 97 103 111 114 114 116 127 131 143 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 3.1 Inter—Scale Correlations of An Inventory of Students' Attitudes by Anderson and Western . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.2 Intercorrelation Coefficients of Variables Based on the Different Subscales and Dif— ferent Scoring Systems of Intellectual Interest Scale . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.3 Correlations Among Promax Oblique Factors of Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen . . . 55 3.4 Intercorrelations of the Factors of the Life Goals of College Freshmen for the Present Sample . . . . . . . . . . . 57 4.1 Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Each of 30 Variables Used in the Factorial Analysis . 78 4.2 Eigenvalues of 30 Factors Extracted Through Principle Axis Method . . . . . . . . 79 4.3 Varimax Rotation Analysis—~Rotated 10 Factors with Rounded Loadings for 30 Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 4.4 Varimax Rotated 3O Variables Loading Above .50 on 10 Factors Which Provided the Factor Interpretation . . . . . . . . 83 4.5 Variable Content of Factor l——Scholastic Aptitude . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 4.6 Variable Content of Factor 2--Social Sensitivity . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4.7 Variable Content of Factor 3—-High School Achievement . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4.8 Variable Content of Factor 4--Parents' Educational Level . . . . . . . . . . 86 v 4.16 4.18 Variable Content of Factor 5-—Aesthetic. . . Variable Content of Factor 6--Community Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . Variable Content of Factor 7--Conforming- Religious . . . . . . . . . . . . Variable Content of Factor 8——Scientific Variable Content of Factor 9--Social Hedonism . . . . . . . . . Variable Content of Factor lO--Intellectual Interest . . . . . . . . . . . . Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellectual Interest Test Score on Ten Categories of Major Fields . Analysis of Variance of the Variable of "Major Field" with the Dependent Variable of Intellectual Interest . . . Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellectual Interest Test Score on Six Categories of Educational Expectation Analysis of Variance of the Variable of "Educational Expectation" with the Dependent Variable of "Intellectual Interest" . . . . . . . . Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellectual Interest Test Score on Nine Categories of Father's Occupation . Analysis of Variance of the Variable of "Father's Occupation" with the Dependent Variable of "Intellectual Interest" Score Analysis of Variance for Overall Regression of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion Variable . Regression Coefficient and Its Standard Errors and Standardized Beta Weights and Its Standard Errors of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion. vi Page 86 87 87 88 88 89 93 93 94 95 96 96 99 100 Table 4.25 4.26 Scatter Diagram of Intellectual Interest Score, Based on 24 Categories, on College GPA . . . . . . . . . . . Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Criterion Variable of MSU GPA and Five Predictors Used in the Multiple Regression Equation . . . . . . . . . . . . Intercorrelation Coefficient of Criterion Variable of MSU GPA and the Five Predictors Used in the Multiple Regression Equation Simple and Multiple Correlation Coefficients and Constants and Regression Coefficients of Simple and Multiple Regression Equations vii' Page 104 107 107 109 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Ability to think is the central concern of a univer- sity because it is a primary factor in the learning pro- cess. To say that the ability of students to think clearly is of central concern is neither to say that it is the sole interest of the university nor, in all circum— stances, the most important, but that it is a pervasive concern in all aspects of the work of a university. With an increasing demand for intellectual compe- tence in modern times, larger numbers of youth from all segments of our population are entering colleges and universities. More and more young people and their parents are viewing college education as necessary in order to achieve success in a complex society. Some of the benefits of higher education include a stronger belief in one's own capacities to handle broad responsibilities, an increased ability to solve important problems, and a greater likelihood of making a significant impact on the larger society. Higher education is an important aspect of the continuing process of rationaliza- tion in all Spheres of life-~finding logical and coherent patterns in the flux of events. 1 IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII--______________________________________ Faced with limited budgets and physical facilities, institutions of higher education are finding it increas- ingly difficult to meet the diverse demands of students, their parents and society in general. Rapid psychological and technological advances in recent years have increased the demand upon educators to "toughen it up, pour it on, and raise the standards of excellence." Rising standards of excellence have, in turn, caused colleges and universities to become more selective in their admission procedures. Differences in admission requirements and the great variation in the content of the curricula found among our colleges and universities today are factors which help build the uniqueness of each insti— tution's educational environment. These differences among universities along with those resulting from a wide range of abilities within the student body and great diversity among the high school academic training programs from which students come, are bewildering to students. Conse- quently, institutions of higher education must, on an individual or group basis, develop a policy for admission which includes matching the academic style of the student with the demands of the scholarly environment that exists on the campus. At present, the selection of students is determined by many factors, not all of which are easily identified or measured. Many research studies have indicated that cognitive measures account for 30 to 45 percent of the variation in academic performance. While no other single factor accounts for this much variation, more than half of the variance still remains unaccounted for. From time to time, assessment of the affective domain, including attitude and personality characteristics, has been used as a means of describing variance otherwise unaccounted for in academic success. It is in this area that it seems most likely at the present time that addi— tional research will provide information to institutions of higher learning useful in selecting those students who will learn with the greatest efficiency and economy. Findings in this area will also have value for the indivi— dual student in developing self-understanding, devising educational and vocational plans, and making personal and social adjustments. Importance of the Study There is considerable research evidence to indicate that achievement stems not only from functional capacity but also from acquired habits, interests, attitudes and motivation. The search for better predictors of college success has been pursued with increased effort during the past two decades. This has produced many prediction studies relating to college success. Usually, an intellec- tual measure such as a scholastic aptitude test or high school grade point average is found to be the best single predictor of college success, especially in the freshman year (Lutz, 1968). Most studies of affective measures examine the rela- tionship of the affective domain to the achievement of cognitive objectives. Some of the affective variables related to these studies are individual aspiration to succeed (Nason, 1954); motivation to achieve generally. (Morgan, 1952); self-confidence, self—acceptance, positive self-concept (Terman, 1947); and belief in oneself (Bishton, 1966). McConnel and his associates (1962) studied "intel— lectual potentiality" and its promise of academic success at the Center for the Study of Higher Education, University of California. These studies clearly indicate that it is still pro- ductive to study the personal characteristics of college students as they relate to intellectual or scholastic per- formance. The relationship of such performance to life goals, self-ratings of traits and other cognitive and non- cognitive variables merits further attention. Since it is true that each individual is different, differentially qualified and differentially characterized, individual differences among students should be identified and their implications for scholastic achievement investi- gated further. Everyone, whether planning to attend college or not, should fully understand his strengths and weaknesses in order to cope with the academic and voca- tional requirements of living in modern society. The capacity to accurately measure a clearly defined construct such as intellectual interest will help students with decision-making in all areas including selection of a college to attend, major field to study and social activi- ties in which to engage. In addition, institutions of higher learning are always searching for a more valid method of screening appli- cants for admission. It may well be that knowledge about certain affective characteristics of prospective students can be of major assistance both in the selection process and in the development of effective instructional and stu— dent personnel programs. Purpose of the Study It is the purpose of this study, first, to identify the structure and pattern of the construct of intellectual interest and, secondly, to test the validity of the con- struct in the prediction of academic success of college freshmen in an institution of higher education. The relationship of intellectual interest to other biographic, demographic, cognitive and affective variables will be determined. Knowledge of these relationships may help to describe the characteristic of intellectual interest of college freshmen. The constitutive structure and factorial clusters of intellectual interest are expected to be clarified. In other words, by analyzing the construct of intellectual interest and relating demographic, cognitive and affective variables gathered for the study, it is pre- sumed that the identity and structure of intellectual interest domain will be clarified. For this purpose, the following variables will be used in the present study: A. The biographical and demographic variables. 1. Sex. 2. Major areas the student expects to study in. 3. Community the student lives most of his/her life. 4. Size of graduating class of high school. 5. Father's educational level. 6. Mother's educational level. 7. Educational expectation. 8. Father's occupation. B. The cognitive variables. 1. MSU Reading test. 2. MSU Arithmetic test. 3. MSU Mathematics test. 4. MSU Quantitative test. 5. The Scholastic Aptitude test—~Verbal. 6. The Scholastic Aptitude test--Mathematics. 7. The Scholastic Aptitude test--Total. 8. Self—reported high school grade point average. 9. Actual high school grade point average. C. The affective variables. 1. Seven factors of trait self—ratings of college freshmen. 2. Seven factors of life goals of college freshmen. 3. General self-concept of academic ability. As noted in a previous section, the study of academic predictors for college success has been popular for decades with increasing effort and attention being given to this area. High school grade point average, rank in class and aptitude tests have usually been shown to be the best pre- dictors. Such studies have revealed that aptitude tests have an average correlation of about .50 with college grade point average. However, none of the single variables or combinations of variables has been successful in explaining more than 30 to 45 percent of variation of the criterion of academic performance. Thus, there has been an increas- ing interest in studies focused upon affective variables. Even with the addition of affective predictors, a large part of the variance in the criterion of academic perfor— mance is usually still unaccounted for. With these factors in mind, this study is designed to investigate and describe the relationship of the affec- tive construct called intellectual interest to academic performance. The study will also attempt to determine the usefulness of intellectual interest as a predictor of college academic success during the freshman year. Hypotheses to Be Tested The first aspect of this study will be to determine the nature and structure of intellectual interest. For this purpose, the following general hypotheses will be tested: Hypothesis 1: Three subscales used to measure the construct of intellectual interest have convergent validity as shown by reasonably high corre- lations with each other. Hypothesis 2: There are differences in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, between males and females and among: a. students majoring in different curricula, b. students who lived a major portion of their lives on a farm, in a village, town, small city, or large city, c. students who were in different sized high school graduating classes, Hypgthesis Hypgthesis Hypothesis Hypothesis Hypothesis d. students whose fathers and/or mothers completed grade school, high school, college, graduate or professional school, e. students who plan to receive four years of college education and those who plan to attend graduate or professional school, f. students whose fathers are executives, business owners, white-collar workers, skilled craftsmen, semi-skilled workers, low or unskilled laborers, farm owners, public service workers, or professional personnel (doctor, lawyer, dentist, and so forth). There is a relationship between intellectual interest and performance on the Scholastic Aptitude Test, Michigan State University Reading Test, Michigan State University Arithmetic Test and Michigan State Univer- sity Quantitative Test. There is a relationship between intellectual interest and seven factors of trait self— rating measured by Trait Self—Ratings of College Freshmen Scale. There is a relationship between intellectual interest and seven factors of life goals of college freshmen measured by Life Goals of College Freshmen Scale. There is a relationship between intellectual interest and academic self—concept measured by General Self—Concept of Academic Ability. The biographic, demographic and background variables, cognitive and affective variables, including the intellectual interest variable in this study, may be factored into inter— pretable subgroups. The second aspect of the study will be to test the validity of intellectual interest in the prediction of academic success of freshmen students at an institution of higher education. The following hypotheses will be tested: Hypothesis 1: There is a significant relationship between intellectual interest as measured by the Academic Interest Scale and the grade point average subjects earn during their first term of college work. Hypothesis 2: The accuracy of prediction of college suc- cess is increased when intellectual interest is considered in conjunction with a scholas- tic aptitude test score, high school grade point average, general self-concept of academic ability or a combination of these variables. Definition of Terms 1. College grade point average (MSU GPA) refers to an average of the student's grades earned in subjects com— pleted in college work. 2. High school_grade point average (HS GPA) refers to an average of all grades earned in high school subjects and reported to the Registrar's Office of the university. 3. Predictor refers to an independent or antecedent variable that provides information for forecasting an unobserved event. The changes or differences in the pre- dictor variable are associated with changes or differences in the unobserved event. Values of a predictor variable thus afford a basis for prediction of the unobserved event. 4. Criterion refers to a dependent or consequent variable which is presumed to be predictable from the pre— dictor variable or variables. A set of observable activi— ties or behaviors that are relevant to the criterion and that can also be measured may be called the "criterion performance." The scores obtained on an instrument or 10 scale representing the criterion variable are termed "criterion measures." 5. Self—concept of ability refers to the evaluation a person makes of his ability to achieve in academic tasks in general, especially as compared with others. 6. Trait self-rating refers to the evaluation a person makes of himself concerning seven traits, namely, physical well-being, scholarship, estheticism, pragmatism, technical-scientific ability, sociability, and sensitivity to others. 7. Life goals refers to the self-assessment of goals which are most relevant for various occupations and for various types of achievement, including seven dimensions, namely, prestige, artistic, personal happiness, humanistic- cultural, religious, scientific and hedonistic. 8. Regression eguation refers to the functional form of the relationship between the predictors and the crite— rion. This is expressed in the form of a mathematical function in which Y, the criterion, is set equal to some expression which contains values on Xs, the predictors, and certain constants or parameters. Assumptions The predictive aspect of the study has several basic assumptions. One of them is the assumption of linearity of relationship between criterion and predictor. In a word, this assumption means that, if two variables are plotted 11 one against the other, the plot tends to follow a straight line. Other essential assumptions regarding the use of a regression equation are those of normality and homogeneity of variance. Assumption of normality implies that the samples with which we work have been drawn from populations that are normally distributed. If the populations from which samples are drawn are not normally distributed, then statistical tests that depend upon the normality assumption are violated. The homogeneity of variance assumption implies that the variance within the groups is statisti- cally the same. That is, variances are assumed to be homogeneous from group to group, within the bounds of ran- dom variation. The assumption of linearity is tested in this study. This assures that the assumption regarding linearity will impose no problem for the study. Neither is there any reason to believe that this study violated any of the other assumptions. However, consideration will be given to these assumptions when generalizations are drawn from the results of the study. Limitations of the Study The manner in which the sample was selected placed some restriction upon the external validity of the study. Subjects who dropped out before completing the first term, transfer students, students with incomplete data, and foreign students were not included in the pOpulation 12 studied. Also, the population chosen for study included only Michigan State University students. Thus, generaliza- tions cannot be made regarding other college and university populations. The usefulness of the prediction rule for a certain group is dependent upon its similarity to the norm group from which the regression equation was formulated. To the extent that the groups are different, the prediction will be in error. For the study to be of maximum value it is necessary that replicative studies be made using other populations. Summary of the Chapter The purpose of this study is to investigate the structure of intellectual interest and to test the predic- tive validity of intellectual interest as a predictor of academic success in an institution of higher learning. Nine specific hypotheses are formulated, and they will be tested for significance. After defining the terms frequently used throughout the study, the need for and rationale of the study were described from three different points of View, those of the individual student, institutions of higher education and society at large. Basic assumptions were then described. Finally, limitations of the study were defined. It was pointed out that sources of limitations were in the theoretical assumptions of the method employed in the study and in the restricted definition of the population. 13 Chapter II will present a review of related research studies. The methodology of the study including the instru— mentation, research procedures and statistical models employed will be shown in Chapter III. A presentation and analysis of the data will be conducted in Chapter IV. Finally, Chapter V will include a summary of the study, conclusions and recommendations for further study. CHAPTER II REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE This study evolved from the ideas and findings of earlier research on intellectual interest, in general, and on college life, campus environment, and academic predic- tion. There has been speculation about the impact of stu- dents upon one another and of the role of colleges and universities as socializing institutions. The intellectual dimensions of environmental pressure, influence of academic emphasis on curricular activities, and the scholastic value system were included in many previous studies. However, it is surprising to see that little effort has been made to directly investigate and measure these related dimensions. Some exceptions were the studies done by Yuker and Block (1969), Anderson and Western (1966) and McConnel and his associates (1962). Nevertheless, the use of tests in the selection of applicants for admission and for the prediction of academic success, defined in terms of college grades, has been the most widely explored topic in educational-psychologica1 research. Segal (1934) summarized the findings of 23 studies before 1933. Garrett, in his 1949 review which 14 15 covered two decades, mentioned approximately 194 studies. Fishman (1958) reported 580 studies in the years 1950-1958. Travers (1959) in a study on the prediction of achievement, cited more than 200 prediction related studies. Whitla (1969) reported that the published studies exploring the prediction relationship may represent only a fraction of the total number of such studies that have been conducted. The literature which has bearing on this thesis is reviewed in this chapter. In order to put the research reviews in perspective, the summaries of studies illustrate the following areas: 1. Studies relating to the domain of intellectual interest. 2. Studies relating to college and university influence. 3. Prediction studies of college success. a. Studies using cognitive variables. b. Studies using affective variables. 0. Studies using other variables. d. Studies related to other problems of prediction. 1. Studies Relating to the Domain of Intellectual Interest Before examining the research related to the main subject of the study, intellectual interest, it might be helpful to review the main studies of the relationship between the cognitive and affective factors associated 16 with learning. In the report of his international study of educational achievement, Bloom (1965) stated that patterns of educational objectives for a group of schools are related to the pattern of scores on achievement exami— nations. By that, he suggested a direct relationship between the aims of education and academic performance as an educational outcome. The notion that educational objec- tives, while related to intellectual achievement, determine the development of interests, attitudes, values, motivation and many other non-intellectual dimensions is generally accepted. Many scholars have documented the relationship between the cognitive and affective domains (Scheere, 1965; Asch, 1952; Rhine, 1958; Festinger, 1957; and Heider, 1968). They believe in the fundamental unity of affective and cognitive behavior. For example, Rokeach (1960) stated the issue this way: We assume that every affective state also has its representation as a cognitive state in the form of some belief or some structural relation among beliefs within a system. With respect to the enjoyment of music, for example, we all build up through past experience a set of beliefs or expectancies about what constitutes "good" or "bad" music. It is in terms of such expec— tancies, which are more often implicit than explicit, that we enjoy a particular composition. Thus, a person who is exposed to a particular piece of classical music or jazz may enjoy it, even though it may be totally unfamiliar to him, because it is congruent with an already existing set of beliefs he has built up over time. Depending on the extent to which he is prepared to entertain new systems, he may or may not enjoy Schdnberg or other music perceived as incompatible with his own beliefs about what constitutes good music. . . . In all cases, enjoyment or its opposite is the affective counterpart of a belief organization and can be thought of as being in one-to-one relation (iso- morphic) with it. Thus, our cognitive approach is as much concerned with affection as with cognition. (P. 399.) l7 Rosenberg (1956), also, saw the basic congruence of the cognitive and affective systems. Krathwohl gg_al. (1965), claiming that it is possible that a different affec— tive objective accompanies every cognitive objective in a course, developed the subcategories of the two domains. They are: knowledge-receiving, comprehension-responding, application-valuing, analysis—conceptualization, and evaluation-organization. Describing the categories of the classification scheme of the affective domain taxonomy, Krathwohl ep_gl, defined "Responding," which is the second subdivision in the classification, this way: This is the category that many teachers will find best describes their "interest" objectives. Most commonly we use the term to indicate the desire that a child become sufficiently involved in or committed to a subject, phenomenon, or activity that he will seek it out and gain satisfaction from working with it or engaging in it. (Pp. 118-119.) They further defined "Valuing," the third subdivision, in the following words: An important element of behavior characterized by Valuing is that it is motivated, not by the desire to comply or obey, but by the individual's commitment to the underlying value guiding the behavior. In the socialization process, the learner may conform exter- nally to a number of socially desirable rules of behavior which he has only partially accepted as his own--has only partially internalized. (P. 140.) The theoretical implication, that the individual begins to respond to stimuli and then continues increas- ingly of his own volition to the point where he is actively seeking instances in which he may respond, is fully employed in forming the definition of "intellectual interest" in the present study. 18 Guilford (1962) stated that having the information is not sufficient in developing creativity, and Holland (1966) suggests that creative performance occurs more frequently among students who are intellectual and inde- pendent. Ellis (1962) believed that thought and emotion are not separate or different functions. He made the following statement: Emotion, then, does not exist in its own right, as a special and almost mystical sort of entity; it is, rather, an essential part of an entire sensing-moving— thinking-emoting complex. What we usually label as thinking is a relatively calm and dispassionate appraisal (or organized perception) of a given situa- tion, an objective comparison of many of the elements in this situation, and a coming to some conclusion as a result of this comparing or discriminating process. And what we usually label as emotion, . . . is a relatively uncalm, passionate, and strong evaluating of some person or object. (P. 47.) Jacob (1957) suggested that affective behaviors develop when appropriate learning experiences are provided for students much the same as cognitive behaviors develop from appropriate learning experiences. There is need for conclusive experimentation and research on the relationship between the two domains. Furthermore, not only does the relationship between these two domains need describing more in detail, but many of the psychological traits need a clearer definition of their identity and structure. This situation is also true of the domain of intellectual interest. England and England (1958) define an intellectual as: . . . a person interested in ideas in contrast with the merely practical man . . . it may be applied to one whose interest in ideas is not balanced by practicality. (P. 267.) 19 Barnhart (1951) in the American College Dictionary defines an intellectual as: A member of a class or group professing, or supposed to possess enlightened judgment and opinions with respect to public or political questions. (P. 348.) William James (1907) noted that the intellectualism- pragmatism dichotomy was similar to the tender—minded, tough—minded dichotomy. The manual of the Omnibus Person- ality Inventory says: The development of measures of intellectual, scholarly concerns was channeled by what were assumed to be the major modes or correlates of academic activity. This was also an area where the measurement of change was obviously related to college objectives and achieve- ment. . . . The system of Intellectual Disposition Categories is a way of classifying or locating persons at certain points on a "continuum of intellectual disposition." Specifically, the subjects are placed in one of eight Intellectual Disposition Categories (IDCs). This system was developed over several years on an exploratory basis and gradually acquired suppor- tive evidence for its validity as it was tested, expanded, and retested. (Heist, 1968, pp. 1-56.) Several subscales such as Thinking Introversion, Theoretical Orientation, Estheticism and Complexity were used by McConnel and his associates (1962) at the Center for the Study of Higher Education, University of California. Their emphasis was on students' intellectual interests and dispositions at the time college students entered the college and what happened to these characteristics while they were in college. In their sample of 372 students in four colleges under study, the correlations of the scales with the Scholastic Aptitude Test—-Verbal ranged from -.01 to .58 and with SAT-M, from -.01 to .43. Their final study report is not yet available. 20 Weissman (1959), using some subscales of Omnibus Personality Inventory, made a pattern analysis of 900 National Merit Scholarship freshmen. He differentiated three groups: Group A-—the individual tends to be thought- ful, reflective, independent and creative; Group B——the individual tends to have only a moderate liking for abstrac— tions and reflective thought and Group C——the individual tends to prefer physical activity to thoughtful reflection. McBee and Duke (1960), after using the Brown-Holtzman Survey of Study Habits and Attitudes in their study on the relationship between intelligence, scholastic motivation and academic achievement, pointed out the desirability of the study of specific interests in determining scholastic motivation. Stern (1963b, 1966) investigated the college environ- ment. Intellectual interest was one subscale of the environmental index he developed which was found to be significantly different from campus to campus. One of the most extensive studies was done by Yuker and Block. They developed a thirty-item Likert-type scale which has been administered to over 3,500 college students. For a sample of 134 evening students, the correlation coefficient between grade point average and the score on the scale they develOped was .32. When the 14 freshmen in the sample were dropped from the statistical analysis, grade point average for evening students classified as sophomores and above correlated .56 with the scale. They stated: 21 Thus, the correlation between I-P (Intellectualism- Pragmatism Scale) score and grade point average seems quite substantial and approaches those found between grades and standardized tests of intellectual ability. This is particularly interesting in View of the fact that intelligence tests seem to have reached the point where higher correlations with success in school do not seem possible. . . . It is possible that the I-P scale taps an important additional attitude related to success in college. (P. 9.) The I-P Scale was also administered to students who were accepted as incoming freshmen for the Fall, 1962 class at Hostra University. For the 445 students for whom complete data were available, the Scale correlated .26 with grades at the end of the first semester. It corre— lated .12 with high school average. The correlations between the I—P Scale score and each of the three GRE scores respectively were: GRE Social Science .12, GRE Humanities .56 and GRE Natural Science -.17. For a sample of about 1,500 students, a linear relationship was found between school year and the Scale score. The mean score increased each year from entering freshmen to graduate students. Most of the differences between two—year periods were significant beyond the .05 level of significance. 2. Studies Relating to College and University Influence Various functions that peer groups serve for indivi— dual college students have been studied extensively. An American Council on Education research report (Astin, 1963 and 1965) gave evidence of such peer influences. Levine (1966) and Sanford (1963) have demonstrated that the indi- vidual's achieving independence from home was one of the 22 most important influences, and several investigators have noted the role the peer group plays in offering general emotional support to students, fulfilling needs not suf- ficiently met by the faculty or classroom. Reporting on Harvard's 1964 and 1965 classes from longitudinal data and intensive interviews, King (1967) noted that seniors rated the finding of meaning, goals and outlook for life as "most important." These same students believed that their interaction with other students was very valuable to their maturing college experience. A Bennington study (Newcomb, 1967) showed that students bringing diverse cultural out- looks to the college tended to be assimilated into the cultural outlook which predominated at the college. Berdie (1966) makes the point in the following words: Students come from families, high schools, and com— munities that share many of the values of the univer- sity but that also are unaware of or perhaps rejecting other values. From the college, the student moves into a world of work, family, and community that again in many ways is different from his alma mater. While in college, the stresses and demands of the curriculum and college life are balanced against those of social problems, religious conflicts, racial discrimination, civil rights, and a society out of joint. (P. 132.) As indicated in Berdie's remarks, student culture may be regarded as a homogeneous culture for certain pur- poses. Also, it might be Viewed as a plurality of heter- ogenous subgroups valuing different interests and rewarding different activities. Interest regarding the study of college students' attitudes, critical thinking and values has generated many longitudinal and cross—sectional studies. Major studies have been or are being conducted at Michigan 23 State (Lehmann and Dressel, 1962), Stanford and Berkeley (Katz and associates, 1967), Cornell (Goldsen, 1960) and Harvard (King, 1967). Pace (1967), Stern (1963a, 1966) and others exten- sively studied the college environment, using the College Characteristics Index. The Index consists of three hundred statements about college life—-rules and regulations, features and facilities, faculty, curriculum, instruction, extracurricular programs and others. The Environment Assessment Technique, developed by Astin and Holland (1961), also assesses the college campus culture. Centra (1967) reworded the College and University Environment Scales and applied it to dormitories rather than to the university in general. After measuring the environmental pressures, demand and opportunities of residence halls at Michigan State University, Olson (1964) discovered that these living quarters differed from another primarily along an "intellec— tual—propriety dimension." Trow (1965) has explained it this way: Most colleges are not monolithic and uniform, but con— tain within themselves different subsocieties whose members share common codes of values, attitudes, and patterns of behavior. . . . The kind of subcultures a student identifies with shapes the kinds of people he spends his time with and the kinds of values and atti— tudes he is exposed, indeed, subjected to. (P. 58.) Trow emphasized the interplay between personal and institutional distinctions in the shaping of self-concepts. Furthermore, he explained that certain attitudes, behaviors and styles of thought and action among adults who have been 24 to college, which are of importance for the quality of life in the society, may reasonably be believed to have been affected by some aspect of their experience in higher edu- cation. Moreover, Havice (1966), Bolton and Kammeyer (1967), Siegel (1968), and Krech (1962) explored the importance of knowledge of students' intelligence, needs, values, pressures and other characteristics for the indi- vidual who is on campus or going to apply for admission and for institutional authorities as well. Tyler (1962) noted the point as follows: Let us consider the problem first from the standpoint of the individual high school student. The most impor— tant relevant questions to which he and his parents need answers are: "In which colleges am I likely to make the most educational progress if I continue with my present habits and attitudes? What changes in my habits and attitudes would be likely to result in marked increases in my educational achievement in each of the colleges under consideration?" . . . Information, . . will be required to derive maximum benefit from the college experience. . . . Let us now consider the admission problem from the standpoint of the individual college. The most important relevant questions to which the college needs answers are: "What aggregations of students are likely to make most educational pro— gress if the college continues with its present faculty, facilities and practices? What changes in conditions in the college are likely to increase student learning and for what aggregations of students?" These ques— tions imply two assumptions which are not commonly expressed in admission procedures. The first is that the amount students learn is affected by the composi— tion of the student body so that the problem of selec- tion must consider the aggregate student body as well as each student. . . . A second assumption is that some of the conditions in a college affect the amount of learning for some aggregates of students. (Pp. 106-109) In the fall of 1964, as part of the test battery of the American College Testing Program, over 8,000 high school students throughout the United States who applied to 25 colleges were asked to rate influences affecting their choices of particular colleges (Newcomb e:_gl., 1967). Factor analysis showed the influence of intellectual empha— sis, practicality, advice of others, social emphasis, emphasis on religious and ethical values and size of the school. Moreover, the composition of the entering student body was found to be determined by the college's particular image (Clark, 1959) or perception of the college image (Silber, 1961). Many other studies documented the inter— play of the individual and the institution. In a longitudinal study of freshmen at the beginning and seniors at the end of the school year, Trent (1967) found that, for each sex, seniors have more liking for reflective thought, particularly of an abstract nature, than do freshmen. In the same type of study, Korn (1967), Nicholas (1967), and King (1967) document the increase in percentage of students emphasizing academic and intellec- tual satisfactions. Stern (1966), Brewer (1963), and Yuker and Block (1967) have done cross—sectional studies on changes of intellectual orientation in college. Not all of the studies showed significant increases in intellectual orien- tation. A set of findings by Katz (1967) showed no signi- ficant increases. In the early 1960's, 73 percent of a sample of women at Bennington College spontaneously men— tioned increases in intellectuality when asked how they had changed since coming to the college (Newcomb, 1967). In 26 1962, a sample of seniors at Michigan State University were presented with a list of "behavior traits" and were asked to describe changes that had come about in college in terms of whether they possessed more, less or the same degree of each quality. To the item, "interest in intel- lectual and cultural matters," 73 percent of the men and 84 percent of the women indicated more interest (Lehmann and Dressel, 1962). Many other studies in the general area of intellectual orientation usually have shown changes toward independence of thought, originality and widening interests. As socializing institutions, colleges and universi- ties have the task of influencing students so that they leave the campus with improved and desirable knowledge, skills, attitudes and values. A typology of student sub- groupings that has become popular in recent years is that offered by Clark and Trow (1966). They describe four types of student subcultures which they label academic, noncon— formist, collegiate and vocational. Whealer (1966) has analyzed the kinds of interpersonal settings and Wallace (1966) goes so far as to caricature the interaction between students and faculty. Astin (1963), in studying a sample of high-ability students at some 76 different colleges and universities, found that the intelligence level of the student body as a whole was negatively associated with per- ceived change in abilities and self—confidence. 27 3. Prediction Studies of College Success Academic maladaptiveness is one of the major problems confronting teachers, school administrators, counselors and students as well. An extraordinary number of studies have been conducted on various aspects of student achievement in America's several levels of educational institutions. Cattel et a1. (1962) stated: The prediction of school achievement is valuable not only for the sheer understanding which we thereby achieve of the psychological mechanisms and situational conditions which lead to scholastic success, but also for two immediate practical purposes in school organ— ization. In the first place one wishes to discover the causes and remedies of backgrounds in that minority of individuals who so markedly fail to achieve that special class organization has to be introduced. In the second place, one may wish to select, in general scholarship and fellowship selection practice, those individuals who are most likely to benefit from being given special opportunities in advanced education. (Po 3.) It is evident that academic failure is both a problem to the individual, who may suffer from the sense of failure, and to society, which loses the full potential contribu- tions of an unestimated number of its members. It follows that anything that can be done to reduce the incidence of academic maladjustment will contribute to individual and social accomplishment and well-being. The seriousness of the problem has resulted in a tremendous number of prediction studies, as previously mentioned. For example, Fishman and Pasanella (1960) report 580 research studies between 1949 and 1959 alone. Since both the College Entrance Examination Board and the 28 American College Testing Program now provide research ser- vices for member institutions, many colleges and universi- ties have been able to carry out prediction studies with a relatively small investment in terms of time, effort or personnel. Thus, it would seem reasonable to project that the last decade has at least equalled and likely surpassed this figure. The generally accepted manner of handling the liter— ature reviews is by subdividing the broad categories of predictors and criterion and by dealing with either intel— lective characteristics or nonintellective characteristics of individuals (Fishman and Pasanella, 1960). Studies related to other problems of prediction are cited below in four categories. A. Studies Using Cognitive Variables High school scholarship has been found to be the best single predictor of college success (Beatley, 1922; Garret, 1949; Richards and Lutz, 1968). Guisti (1964) reviewed the prediction literature and found convincing evidence that high school grade point average was the best single pre- dictor of college grade point average (GPA). The range of reported correlations was .35 to .69 with a median correla- tion of about .50. This correlation of .50, however, only accounts for about one-quarter of the total variance of college grade point average, indicating that high school GPA does not consistently and sufficiently contribute to predicting college success. 29 When an additional intellective criterion, normally an aptitude test score, is added to the high school average, the resulting multiple correlation with GPA is usually higher than the correlation of either predictor alone. Fishman and Pasanella (1960) reported multiple correlations ranging from .37 to .83 with a median of .62. The average gain in forecast over the high school grade point average (as a single predictor) was found to be .11. When further intellective measures were employed, however, only very small gains in prediction were noted. Webb (1967), also, found high school grades the best single predictor of college grades, with the Scholastic Aptitude Test verbal scores adding more than any other variable to predictive efficiency. However, he reported that personality variables contributed more than SAT scores in predicting success in individual fields of study. Dohner (1969) found that high school class ranks in com— bination with American College Test (ACT) scores best pre- dicted academic success. Elton (1969) found the ACT mathematics score best in predicting educational outcomes in females and the ACT social studies score best in males. Baird (1969) found that college grades were predicted by self—ratings on scholarship and high school grades, with the ACT social studies test improving the prediction in males. Studies into the use of both intellective predictors and intellective criteria have been considered so important 30 that several articles have dealt with simplified methods of predicting college grade point average (Aiken, 1968) and college success (Merwin, 1964) from input variables such as high school grade point average and the Scholastic Aptitude Iggp. The Aiken article is of particular interest in that it provides a graphic determination of, first, a triple regression equation prediction of GPA and, next, an approx— imation of the standard error of estimate, and, lastly, an appropriate cutoff decision strategy. The American College Testing Program (1965) reported correlations between student-reported grades and corres— ponding school-reported grades that ranged from .91 for a large sample of ACT examinees. Although the predictive validities of the two sets of grades were not directly com- pared, a comparison of the predictive power of grades reported by students and high school class ranks revealed no consistent advantage for either variable. Bogue (1963) found that student-reported grades used with ACT scores of 372 examinees predicted college grades slightly better than did school-reported grades with ACT scores. Comparative predictive validity studies which used examinees younger than high school seniors are not available. A particularly interesting aspect of predictability is found in the differences of college grades in terms of male and female students. Abelson (1952) and Seashore (1962) have reported that a woman's GPA is significantly 31 more predictable (by intellective predictors) than is a man's. A similar study by Paraskevopoulos and Robinson (1970) indicated no significant differences in prediction between sexes, but, instead, there were clear indications that a separate regression equation for women was higher (different Y-intercept) than was the mixed-sex regression line. Thus, the combined prediction equation tended to favor the male applicant since each female applicant's predicted GPA was approximately .20 lower on the mixed-sex regression equation. B. Studies UsingyAffective Variables As indicated earlier, multiple regression equations with three or more intellective predictors did little to increase the multiple correlation with GPA beyond .60. But just as it appeared that research into intellective factors had reached the point of diminishing returns in work on prediction, a resurgence seems to have been stimu- lated by the idea that some nonintellective measure might provide a further explanation of the total variance of the college GPA. In summarizing the studies of non-cognitive variables in relation to academic achievement, Graff and Hansen (1970) made the following statements: A thorough review of the literature indicated that many studies of the non-cognitive aspects of achievement have been conducted during the last two decades. Researchers tried to relate social background factors, interests, Rorschach and TAT responses, study habits, and different personality traits to academic achieve- ment. Unfortunately, the results were generally inconsistent or non-significant. Some of the 32 investigations produced correlations similar to those found with conventional predictors of academic success. The crucial issue, however, comes in determining how much these nonintellectual components actually added to the prediction validity based on high school records and intellective tests. (P. 120.) Research in recent years has tested a number of non- intellective predictors of college success. An early study by Hoyt and Norman (1954), for instance, indicated that an "adjusted" student, as determined by his Minnesota Multi- phasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) score, was significantly more predictable than his "maladjusted" counterpart. A later study by Anderson and Spencer (1963), however, attempted to replicate the Hoyt and Norman results, but found instead remarkable similarities in aptitude, achieve- ment and predictability between the "adjusted" and "mal- adjusted" groups. Similar contradictory results were obtained in various investigations into the nonintellective measure of study habits and attitude questionnaires. Whitla (1969) cites the Brown and Holtzman study which indicated that their survey of study habits increased the multiple corre- lation to about .70 when ability measures were also included as predictors. As Whitla (1969) mentions, however, a second study by Ahmann used the same inventory with no significant increase in the predictive capacity of the regression equation. Recently, more encouraging findings have been reported for studies which have approached the prediction of academic attainment by means of prediction-oriented inventories 33 consisting of items which have been empirically selected and empirically keyed. Illustrative of published scales of this kind is the California Study Methods Survey by Carter (1960), the Brown—Holtzman Survey of Studngabits and Attitudes by Brown and Holtzman (1956), the California Psychological Inventory by Gough (1957), and the Opinion and Attitude Survey by Fricke (1960). Other scales, exemplified by the work of Ward (1959) at the University of Tennessee and Hebenstret (1959) at the University of Washington, have been developed from a conglomerate of items which assess biographical characteristics along with study skills, personality, and motivation. Juola (1963) made the criticism that some of the tests used, be they measures of adjustment, interest, attitudes, values and so forth, have been developed for purposes other than the evaluation of academic adjustment and that it is therefore not surprising that these non-cognitive inventories proved totally inadequate as predictors of academic success. Then he attempted to construct an empirically derived non- cognitive scale that is based upon attitudes and values that students hold for education and educational activities. He reported that the correlation of his trial form of the Academic Attitude Preference Inventory (AAPI) with first quarter GPA for new freshmen was .52 for each sex and that the correlation with the cumulative one-year GPA was .48. Because "one of the basic assumptions in education is that motivation is a prime requisite for scholastic success" 34 (McBee and Duke, 1960, p. 3), motivation has been exten— sively studied (Heckhausen, 1967; McClelland, Atkinson, Clark and Lowell, 1953). In his review of significant research on the prediction of academic success, Travers (1949) stated that motivational factors played a major role in determining success both in high school and in college and measures of interest had been found to correlate with college performance almost as well as measures of aptitude. Not only general motivation but also each of the specific motivational variables was found to be significantly related to academic performance. Atkinson (1958) cautioned that it is unlikely that academic achievement may be predicted by a measure of a single motive since it may satisfy more than one need, such as understanding, power, or affiliation. Furthermore, McKeachie, Isaacson, Milholland and Lin (1968) observed that most of the successful studies relating achievement motive to academic achievement have been done with males, and Klinger (1966) observed more frequent occur— rence of significant relationships between need for achieve— ment and academic performance among secondary school stu- dents than among college students. Holland (1966) suggested the usefulness of brief lists of activities and brief lists of competencies for predictors. Baird (1969) found that trait self-ratings and self—evaluation of life goals might be useful predictors. However, it is very difficult to study most of the psycho— logical constructs, because they are intervening variables 35 and not directly measurable. Lack of agreement on the definition of the construct adds difficulty in designing the study and interpreting the results of the study. Correlations of interests with grades in related fields are generally below .30, so interest tests add only a small amount to academic prediction (Cronbach, 1970). Interests sometimes predict who stays in training and who drops out. Of those with A and B+ scores on the Dentist key of the Strong Vocational Interest Blank, 92 percent graduated from dentist training, compared with 67 percent of B's and 25 percent of C's (Strong, 1943, p. 524). It has been suggested that the profile will predict differ- ences in grades between preferred and non-preferred areas. An extensive study by French (1958) shows that prediction of this sort has too little accuracy to be of use. There have been other attempts to employ nonintellec- tive characteristics. Berdie (1961) found significantly lower predictability for those students whose intra— individual variability on a preadmission test was higher than for those whose variability was low. Barclay (1965) described Bendig's study which was carried out using the Edwards Personal Preference Schedule (EPPS) as a predictor in a multiple regression equation. The use of the EPPS added .09 to the multiple correlation in this case. Frederiksen and Melville (1954) indicated that a student rated "compulsive" on Strong Vocational Interest Blank is significantly less predictable on his GPA than is the "noncompulsive" student. 36 In most cases, however, the relationships between personality variables and academic criteria have been found to be quite low. An important recent exception is the Holland and Nichols (1964) study which took a group of students highly homogeneous with respect to intellectual ability (all National Merit Scholarship finalists) and examined them in terms of nonintellective predictors. These nonintellective characteristics were found to be effective predictors of college grades. Two important groups of prediction-related personality factors were iden- tified: (a) motivation to succeed and (b) conformity to a basic socialization and value system. The significance of this experiment is that nonintellective measures were shown to have significant predictive validity when academic ability is held relatively constant. Finally, much progress has been made in order that students can be helped to improve their academic perfor— mance. Baymur and Patterson (1960) and Hatch, Dressel and Costar (1963) pointed out that students benefit from appro- priate counseling. Working with urban school, ninth—grade underachievers with low self—concept, Brookover (1962, 1965) found that they could be helped to achieve significantly better by improving their self-concepts through the efforts of "significant others." Wrenn and Humber (1941) suggested that improving students habits may help them improve scho— lastically, and Stebens (1957) believes that programs for reading skill improvement are very fruitful. 37 C. Studies Using Other Variables Biographical inventories were used in an attempt to find nonintellective factors which would significantly add to prediction of criterion variance above and beyond that accounted for by intellective test measures (Cosand, 1953). In 1911, Pittenger surveyed the freshmen grades of the within-state students at the University of Minnesota. His conclusions were that the graduates of the larger high schools might be expected to do better than those from the small school. At the State College of Washington, Thornburg (1924) studied freshmen grades on the same variable. He concluded that students from the large high schools achieve superior grades at college. But, in 1949 at Purdue, White (1951) made a study of the University's admission criteria. His findings revealed that size of high school had no relation- ship to college success at that state university. Shafer (1956), in a study of students entering certain Iowa colleges, came to the same conclusions as did White. This investigation was carried out in 1956. The size groupings used were: 0—99; 100-199; 200—299; 300-499; 500-999; and 1,000 and above. In 1962, Harmon reported on the relationship between doctorate productivity and size of high school graduating class. The author pointed out that apparently something was happening in the high schools to differentiate the people who, more than a decade later, will earn doctoral 38 degrees in various scholarly fields. He concluded that size of high school, as reflected in size of graduating class, has a profound effect on the probability of an indi- vidual's going on to college, to graduate school and even- tually to the doctoral degree. Bloom (1964) referred to the six variables in the home environment: "achievement press," language models, academic guidance, stimulation to explore various aspects of the larger environment, intellectual interests and activities, and work habits emphasized. Dave (1963) obtained a correlation of .80 between ratings of home environment on these variables and achievement test battery scores of children. The usual correlations between the socio-economic status and achievement are less than .50. Kurtz and Swenson (1951) found that home environment had some influence on achievement. Where parents show interest and pride in their children and children wish to please parents, there seems to be more achievement. Smith (1965) studied 154 University of Kentucky male freshmen to determine differences between high-ability achieving and non—achieving students. Students in his sample scored in the upper fifth percentile on the College Qualification Tests. He tentatively concluded that stu- dents who came from larger metropolitan areas possessed a set of values and attitudes concerning education which seemed to make them more prone to underachievement. 39 Staton (1962) studied new freshmen from Oklahoma high schools who enrolled in the University of Oklahoma. One of the variables he selected for study was student's high school curriculum. He concluded that the curriculum taken in high school did not influence college grades. Young (1967) analyzed the high school curriculum patterns of closely matched pairs of college students. He found no significant difference in college achievement between stu- dents who took 7.9 business and industrial courses in high school and students who took 0.9 such courses. D. Studies Related to Some Other Problems of Prediction The basic assumption of the regression formula employed in the statistical analysis of the prediction data is that there is a linear relationship between the predic- tors and the criteria. Weiss's recent paper (1970) argues that the relationship is more likely non-linear. He employed a non-linear assignment of weights and obtained a Spearman's rank order correlation coefficient between weighted predictors (intellective) and GPA of .89. Although Weiss admits this is but a "first approach to developing a non-linear predictive system,‘ it does appear that the non- linear approach demands some concentrated investigation. Recent emphasis has been on the use of a combination of variables. There is a distinct superiority in multi— variable prediction over prediction by the use of a single factor. Cosand (1953) summarized studies of multiple 4O correlations. These correlations point out the advantage of using several predictors rather than a single one. Spiegel (1971) sought to use a stepwise multiple regression method to select from intellectual, attitude, and personality variables linear combinations of variables that might optimize prediction of course points in male and female first year college students. Fifty—four vari- ables were used in the analysis. For males, twelve vari- ables were included in the predictor set which yielded a coefficient of .85. For females, ten variables were included in the predictor set that yielded a coefficient R of .92. The predictor measures studied usually serve as admissions criteria. Also, students make decisions to apply to one college or to another college. These facts might affect the predictability of GPA because they are closely related to the range of the population in a college. It is interesting to note here that Fishman and Pasanella (1960) found that the highest reported correlations (high .60's and .70's) were all obtained from Southwestern and Western colleges in which selection procedures were minimal. Low predictability of college success might be due to the fact that the criterion, grade point average, is a very complex and not very valid and reliable measure. Whitla (1969) mentioned that a freshman might have a choice of some 148 possible courses in 39 departments at Yale. In light of this possible variability, to equate one 41 freshman's GPA with another's is tenuous at best. One other source of the unreliability of grades arises from the variability in grading systems that are prevalent in schools. A student with an "A" grade in one college may be only as able as, or perhaps less able than, a student with a grade of "B" in another college. Various techniques have been employed to correct for this variability while predicting college achievement from school grades, as discussed by Bloom and Peters (1961). Linn (1966) reviewed the results of several empirical studies that have used "adjusted" grades to predict aca— demic achievement. His paper considered some of the pos- sible techniques which could be used to make grade adjust-l ments for interschool differences. Most researchers, however, have found that the improvement in predictive validity due to the use of adjusted grades has been dis- couragingly small. Summary of the Chapter This chapter consisted of a critical examination of the literature concerned with the construct of intellectual interest, college as a socializing institution and predic- tion of college success. With several exceptions, there were few attempts to investigate the construct of intellectual interest. Some researchers have developed scales to measure intellectual interest and have attempted to reveal the characteristics of the domain. Yet the clear identity and structure of 42 intellectual interest which is the main domain of the present study is not well provided. In spite of the vagueness of the concept, the domain has been widely employed in studies attempting to under- stand students, college environment and the role of higher education. Moreover, some attempts to validate the domain of intellectual interest against college success have been made. The literature contains studies of academic perfor- mance at all educational levels and that which pertains to undergraduates in colleges is particularly voluminous. The use of tests in the selection of applicants for admis- sion and in the prediction of academic success, defined in terms of college grades, has been the most explored topic in educational and psychological research. Many studies indicate that high school grade point average is the best single predictor of college success. With an additional intellective predictor, normally an aptitude test score, the resulting multiple correlation with GPA has usually been significantly higher than the correlation of either predictor alone. Many researchers have also investigated personality, biographical and demographic variables, primarily in an attempt to increase the predictive efficiency of students' college achievement. The results of many studies have often been inconsistent and, sometimes, contradictory. 43 Many studies have attempted to isolate non-cognitive correlates of college success. While a considerable num- ber of non-cognitive variables have at one time or other been correlated with student achievement, the direction and magnitude of the relationships have generally not been consistent from study to study. Despite the many studies which have been done con- cerning the global prediction of grades, little progress has been made in the prediction of college success by means of multiple regression techniques, differential prediction, moderated regression models and non-linear relationships. The method of this study, along with the statistical hypotheses to be tested, will be found in Chapter III which follows. CHAPTER III METHODOLOGY Population and Sample The population examined in this study consisted of all freshmen who entered Michigan State University Fall term, 1970. Five thousand four hundred and sixty-eight freshmen students registered for credit courses during the fall registration period. However, some restrictions were imposed on the population. The following types of students were excluded: 1. All students who previously attended any college or university, 2. All foreign students, 3. Students whose test data were incomplete, and 4. Students who dropped out before the end of Fall term, 1970. The sample of students used in the study was selected from the restricted population as defined above, and any future references to the population of the study, or generalizations and conclusions to be drawn from the results of the analysis should be interpreted in terms of the restricted pOpulation. 44 45 Out of the restricted population, 643 students were randomly selected for study. Because of this random selec— tion procedure, the sample of the above 643 students could represent the total restricted population of the study. Instrumentation and Criterion The study employed several instruments related to cognitive, affective, demographic, and background charac- teristics. In addition to them, the composite scale was made to measure the construct of intellectual interest. A list of the instruments used in the study follows: A. Instruments used to measure the construct of intellectual interest: 1. Four subscales from the Stern Activities Index, including Reflectiveness, Humanities- Social Science, Understanding, and Science; 2. Intellectual Interest Scale of Anderson and Western; and 3. Intellectualism—Pragmatism Scale of Yuker and Block. B. Instruments used to measure the affective charac- teristics: 1. General Self-Concept of Academic Ability; 2. Trait Self—Ratings of College Freshmen; and 3. Life Goals of College Freshmen. C. Instruments used to measure the cognitive charac- teristics: 46 l. Scholastic Aptitude Test; 2. Michigan State University Reading Test; 3. Michigan State University Arithmetic Test and Mathematics Test. D. Instruments used to measure demographic and back- ground characteristics: 1. Student Questionnaire. The somewhat detailed information for each of these instruments is discussed in the following pages. A. Intellectual Interest Scale Four subscales from the Stern Activities Index, namely, Reflectiveness, Humanities-Social Science, Under- standing, and Science; the Intellectual Interest Scale developed by Anderson and Western; and the Intellectualism- Pragmatism Scale developed by Yuker and Block were employed to measure the psychological construct of intellectual interest. The composite scale formed from all of the above three scales was named the Academic Interest Scale in order to deter faking responses. Descriptions of each of the three scales are given below. 1. Intellectual Interests Scale of Stern Activities Index. In developing the Activities Index, Stern (1963a) viewed the college as a system composed of a number of interdependent parts which share, to one degree or another, certain values and characteristics. Furthermore, the college is viewed as a social system in the sense that the 47 parts involve people-~there are individual and group needs to be satisfied. The Scale consists of three hundred items and each subscale has ten items. Stern (1963a) defined intellectual interest which is one aspect of factor three, Intellectual Orientation Dimension, as follows: Factor 3. Intellectual Interests. The factors with the highest loadings in this dimension are based on items involving various forms of intellectual activi- ties. These include interests in the arts as well as the sciences, both abstract and empirical. Score sum: Reflectiveness, Humanities—Social Sciences, Under— standing, and Science. (P. 14.) Extensive data for reliability and validity are pro— vided. For the purpose of the present study, four sub- scales, i.e., Reflectiveness, Humanities-Social Sciences, Understanding and Science, were chosen to make the Intel- lectual Interest Scale. This scale covers items numbered one through forty on pages 1 and 2 of the Academic Interest Scale in Appendix A. The items are distributed in the Academic Interest Scale as follows: items 1 to 5 and 21 to 25 cover the subscale of Reflectiveness; 6 to 10 and 26 to 30, Understanding; 11 to 15 and 31 to 35, Science; and 16 to 20 and 36 to 40, Humanities—Social Sciences. The scoring system of the scale was that a score of one was assigned to the response "Blacken space l——if the item describes an activity or event that you would 11kg, enjoy, or find more pleasant." A score of zero was given to the items having the response "Blacken space 2--if the item describes an activity or event that you would dislike, reject, or find more unpleasant than pleasant." The Scale score was computed by summing raw item scores. 48 2. Intellectual Interest Scale of Anderson and Western. Anderson and Western (1966) developed a definition of intellectual interests as a dimension of appreciation and enjoyment of cultural pursuits and an interest in philoSOphical discussion and discourse. The emphasis of the dimension is based on a liking for, but not necessarily sustained activity in, certain pursuits-—hence intellectual interests. The Scale consists of nine items answered by choosing a category which indicated degree of agreement, or the extent to which a statement is true, resulting in a four- point response key. Concerning all of the subscales of An Inventory of Students' Attitudes, including the Intellectual Interests Sgale, the authors provided the inter-scale correlations found in Table 3.1. TABLE 3.1.--Inter-Scale Correlations of An Inventory of Students' Attitudes by Anderson and Western Scale 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 (Intellectual Interest) -.23 .36 —.49 .15 .15 -.17 2 (Dogmatism) —.33 .24 -.25 —.05 —.19 3 (Tolerance of Complexity) -.37 .19 .12 .15 4 (Pragmatism) -.17 -.ll -.13 5 (Social Liberalism) .02 .34 6 (Economic Liberalism) .27 7 (Political Liberalism) The Intellectual Interests Scale consists of items numbered 41 through 49 on page 3 of the Academic Interest Scale in Appendix A. 49 This scale is a nine-item Likert-type scale. "Defi— nitely true" responses were given a weight of 4, "More true than false" was given a weight of 3, "More false than true" was given a weight of 2, and "Definitely untrue" a weight of l. A scale score is the sum of each of the item scores. 3. Intellectualism-Pragmatism Scale (I—P Scale) of Yuker and Block. While the instrument, developed by H. E. Yuker and J. R. Block, was originally referred to as The Attitude Toward Intellectualism Scale, the authors renamed it the Intellectualism-Pragmatism Scale (I-P Scale). They stated their motivation for developing the Scale as follows: Although intellectualism is often discussed, there have been comparatively few attempts to develop a measure of intellectual attitudes. Most of us are apparently con- tent to discuss and speculate about these attitudes without operationally defining them, or attempting to empirically determine any of the correlates of intel— lectualism. The present attitude scale was developed in order to provide an empirical measure of intellectual attitude. (Yuker and Block, 1969, p. 1) Inspection of items of the Scale, according to the authors, indicates that they all have face validity as measures of intellectual-pragmatic attitudes. Reliability coefficients, as estimated through the split—half technique corrected using the Spearman—Brown formula with different samples of undergraduate college students, tend consistently toward the mid—eighties with a median of approximately .84. The only evidence of test- retest reliability is available for a group of thirty 50 undergraduates enrolled in a course in introductory psycho- logy at Hofstra University. The coefficient of reliability when an interval of four months elapsed between test admin— istrations was .84. Construct validity was used in evaluating the adequacy of the I-P Scale. Only education-related variables have been reported. A correlation coefficient of .56 was found between I-P scores and grade point average for a sample of 120 evening students. Low, but significant, positive correlations were found between I-P scores and scores on the verbal part of the SAT, and between I-P scores and scores on a measure of reading ability. The I—P Scale consists of items numbered 93 through 121 on page 4 of the Academic Interest Scale in Appendix A. This scale, a thirty—item Likert-type attitude scale, was developed to measure a continuum of intelectual versus pragmatic attitudes. Some of the statements were worded so that agreement would indicate an intellectual attitude while others were worded so that intellectualism would be reflected by disagreement. This latter type of item included itsms 96, 97, 98, 100, 101, 102, 103, 107, 111, 112, 118, 119 and 122. Responses contained six categories of agreement and disagreement ranging from +3 to -3. Scoring of the test was accomplished by changing the algebraic sign of the subject's responses to the above fifteen items which are negatively worded. To eliminate negative numbers, a linear 51 transformation was made by adding 3 to each item. In other words, "Very strongly agree" responses were assigned a weight of 6, "Strongly agree" a weight of 5, "Agree" a weight of 4, "Disagree" a weight of 3, "Strongly disagree" a weight of 2 and "Very strongly disagree" a weight of 1. The response categories and scoring system of each of the three subscales used to measure the construct of intellectual interest were described earlier. Scores on three separate and independent subscales were obtained to provide a cross-check on their validity. If only one method of measurement is used as a basis for estimating the strength of a trait, there is no check on the validity of the measure relating trait to behavior. When more than one measurement of a trait is used, confidence in the construct and in the methods for measuring it increases when the intercorrelations among the several sets of scores are high. Such results would suggest the various methods of measure- ment converge on a simple trait. These are some problems involved in deriving a com- posite score for the three scales together. This is because the three subscales do not use the same response categories and scoring systems. Since the three subscales have different response categories and scoring systems, several efforts were made to derive the most reasonable composite score. The eleven variables listed below were generated from these efforts. The variables, which are also used in Table 3.2, were named on the basis of the 52 different subscales and scoring systems used to derive the composite score. Variable 1: Stern-Reflectiveness based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 2: Stern-Understanding based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 3: Stern-Science based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 4: Stern-Humanities-Social Sciences based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 5: Stern-Total score based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 6: Anderson and Western-Total score based on 4-point scoring system. Variable 7: Yuker and Block-Total score based on 6-point scoring system. Variable 8: AIS-Total score consisted of summated score of variables 5, 6, and 7. Variable 9: ~Anderson and Western-Total score based on 2-point scoring system. Variable 10: Yuker and Block-Total score based on 2-point scoring system. Variable ll: AIS-Total score consisted of summated score of variables 5, 9, and 10. TABLE 3.2.--Intercorrelation Coefficients of Variables Based on the Different Subscales and Different Scoring System of the Intellectual Interests Scale Variable (l) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) 1 2 .32 3 .20 .52 4 .31 .16 .03 5 .62 .76 .72 .55 6 .43 .28 .08 .56 .48 7 .30 .23 .09 .29 .33 .46 8 .50 .46 .30 .50 .65 .69 .91 9 .40 .29 .06 .54 .46 .93 .44 .66 10 .32 .26 .10 .30 .35 .50 .86 .83 .49 ll .61 .66 .52 .59 .89 .70 .64 .88 .70 .74 The correlation coefficients in Table 3.2 led to the development of a rationale for the derivation of a 53 composite score and also provided the evidence of the con- vergent validity of the subscales. Table 3.2 shows that the correlation coefficient of the composite score (variable 11) was .89 with the Stern- Total score, .70 with the Anderson and Western-Total score and .64 with the Yuker and Block-Total score. Even though these scores represented independent efforts to measure the construct of intellectual interest, they were found to agree with one another, as shown by the high inter-correla— tions among them. It was reasonably certain that they were assessing the same trait with accuracy. The higher correlation value of variable 11 with the rest of the variables justified the use of a 2—point scaling system for all of the subscales. Furthermore, all of these three subscales were summated rating scales. Items in a summated rating scale or Likert—type scale are considered to be of approximately equal value. Any subset of the universe of items is theoretically the same as any other subset of the universe. This problem is related to the response variance. Because response variance was determined by the number of possible categories, response set should be the same for all items. B. Michigan State University Student Survey 1. General Self—Concept of Academic Ability. This scale was developed by W. B. Brookover (1965) for his study of self-concept of ability and achievement of senior high school students. It consists of eight 54 five-choice items. Items were coded from five to one with the higher self-concept alternatives receiving the higher values. These eight items were originally written to form a Guttman scale and received coefficients of stability of .95 for males and .96 for females in the tenth grade. High correlations of self-concept of ability in subject matter areas with general self-concept of ability supports the validity of the instrument. Although no direct data were provided for either twelfth graders or college freshmen, some of the author's unpublished data suggest that the scale would be valid for use with college freshmen. The scale is shOWn as Part C (items numbered 43 through 50) of the M.S.U. Student Survey in Appendix B. 2. Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen. This factor analytic scale, developed by J. M. Richards, Jr. (1966), grew out of the American College Survey which was conducted by the American College Testing Program to obtain a more complete description of the typi- cal American college student and the variation among stu— dents from college to college. This scale consists of thirty—one self—ratings on common traits for both sexes. Each of the subjects rates himself or herself on each of the thirty-one traits using the four—point response key: "Below Average," "Average," ”Above Average," and "Top Ten Percent." Scores from 1 to 4 were assigned to these responses so that a higher score indicates a greater pos- session of the trait in question. Seven factors were found. 55 In adapting the scale for this study the three items having the highest loading for each factor were selected. The same number of items made comparing each factor much easier. The scale has twenty-one items. Correlations among Promax Oblique Factors provided by the author of the scale are found in Table 3.3. TABLE 3.3.-—Correlations among Promax Oblique Factors of Trait Self—Ratings of College Freshmen* Factor** A B C D E F G A .24 .26 .39 —.ll .51 .03 B .27 .39 .46 —.12 .26 —.09 C .44 .21 .52 -.24 .45 -.04 D .31 .39 .30 -.25 .46 -.13 E .46 .33 .22 .33 -.23 .19 F -.03 .09 .08 ~.07 -.01 -.02 G .38 .19 .32 .29 .25 -.Ol *Correlations for males are shown above the diagonal and for females below. Factors are reflected as appropriate. **A-—Physica1 well-being; B-—Scholarship; C--Estheti- cism; D-—Pragmatism; E-~Technical—scientific ability; F-—Sociability; and G--Sensitivity to others. The Trait Self—Ratings of College Freshmen scale is shown as Part A (items numbered 1 through 21) of the M.S.U. Student Survey in Appendix B. 3. Life Goals of College Freshmen. J. M. Richards, Jr. (1966), using a sample of 6,289 male and 6,143 female college freshmen, developed 35 items pertaining to life goals of college freshmen. This scale, like Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen, grew 56 out of the American College Survey project conducted by the American College Testing Program in an attempt to obtain a more complete description of the typical American college student. Each of the thirty-five specific life goal items is rated by the subject on a four-point scale such as "Of little or no importance," "Somewhat important," "Very important,‘ and "Essential for me." Scores from 1 to 4 were assigned to the responses so that a higher score indi- cates a greater possession of the life goal in question. Seven factors common to both sexes and one unique factor for each sex were found. Common factors are prestige, personal happiness, humanistic-cultural, religious, scien- tific, artistic and hedonistic. The unique factor for male is athletic and that for female is altruistic. The present edition of the scale includes only the seven factors common to both sexes. For each factor, the three items having the highest factor loading on it were selected. Intercorrelations of the factors for the sample of the present study are given in the following table (3.4). The data show that these seven factors are substantially independent. The Life Goals of College Freshmen scale is shown as Part B (items numbered 22 through 42) of the M.S.U. Student Survey in Appendix B. 4. Student Questionnaire. The original form of the Student Questionnaire was developed by the Office of Evaluation Services, Michigan 57 TABLE 3.4.—-Intercorrelations of the Factors of the Life Goals of College Freshmen for the Present Sample Factor* 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 l 2 .07 3 .29 .14 4 .22 .25 .20 5 .16 -.10 .10 .08 6 .10 .14 .17 .14 .09 7 .30 .21 -.02 .01 .06 .13 *l--prestige; 2--personal happiness; 3--humanistic— cultural; 4--religious; 5~-scientific; 6--artistic; and 7--hedonistic. State University. It consisted of sixty items relating to biographical, demographic and background information, and opinions related to current social issues. For the purpose of the present study, several relevant items were chosen. This short—form questionnaire was used to obtain the bio- graphical, demographic and background information about each student in the sample. The Student Questionnaire is shown as Part D (items numbered 101 through 132) of the M.S.U. Student Survey in Appendix B. C. Scholastic Aptitude Test The Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) of the College Entrance Examination Board assessed the basic verbal and mathematical abilities a student has acquired. This test, which is generally administered to college-bound students in the senior year of high school, assesses the ability 58 to reason rather than to remember facts and requires no special preparation. The student receives three scores, Verbal (SAT-V), Mathematical (SAT-M), and Total (SAT-Total). These scores are reported nationally as three-digit stan- dard scores where 500 was initially set as a national college-bound senior average score. Each score can be as high as 800, thereby making 1,600 the maximum possible total score. Test—retest reliability coefficients of .89 for the Verbal scale and .85 for the Mathematical scale are reported. Much validity data have been published. D. Michigan State University Reading Test The MSU Reading Test was developed by the Office of Evaluation Services, Michigan State University. The Test was designed to measure a student's ability to comprehend ideas expressed in paragraphs representative of those found in textual materials of various academic areas at MSU. The Test consists of 50 items and is used on a supplementary basis for selecting students for the Preparatory English Program as well as for selection into honors programs. Reliability of the Test has been estimated on several occasions by the Office of Evaluation Services to be approx— imately .80. Correlation between the Reading Test and first quarter GPA for the sample in this study was .45 for males and .49 for females. 59 E. The Michigan State University Arithmetic Test and Mathematics Test The MSU Arithmetic Test is a forty—item test of elementary arithmetic problems. Scores range from zero to forty. Students are assigned to an "Arithmetic Improvement Service" course when their scores are 24 or lower. The MSU Mathematics Test is a thirty-item test based upon concepts covered in high school algebra. The scores are used to place students in beginning courses in mathe- matics. Scores range from zero to thirty. The composite score which was called the MSU Quanti- tative score is based upon the seventy-item sum of the Arithmetic and Mathematics scores. This measure is indica- tive of directly applied quantitative skills and knowledge. It differs from the SAT Mathematics score which emphasizes the power to reason with quantitative concepts. Criterion The criterion employed in this study was the cumula- tive grade point average at the end of the Fall term, 1971. This criterion was assumed to be the best indication of the student's academic standing after completing one term at the University. The Michigan State University grade system is a lO-point scale ranging from zero to 4.5. Each stu- dent's numeric grade is multiplied by the number of credit hours in the course for which the grade was given. The sum of the products of numeric grade by credit hours for all of the student's courses is divided by the sum of the credit hours. The quotient is the student's grade point average. 60 Collection of Data During the orientation week, September 21-22, 1970, the following instruments were administered to the sample of students in the study at Michigan State University: the Academic Interest Scale and the MSU Student Survey. As pointed out in the "Instrumentation" section above, the Academic Interest Scale contains the Intellectual Interests Scale of Stern (Part 1); the Intellectual Inter- est Scale of Anderson and Western (Part 2); and the Intellectualism-Pragmatism Scale of Yuker and Block (Part 3). The MSU Student Survey contains several scales, includ- ing the Trait Self—Ratipgs of College Freshmen (Part A); the Life Goals of College Freshmen (Part B); the General Self-Concept of Academic Ability (Part C); and the Student Questionnaire (Part D). The results of Scholastic Aptitude Test, the MSU Reading Test, the MSU Arithmetic Test, the MSU Mathematics Test, the MSU Quantitative Test and high school grade point average were obtained in December of 1970 with the cooper— ation of the Office of Evaluation Services, Michigan State University. The college cumulative grade point averages of the subjects which form the criterion of the measure- ment in the validity part of the study were also made available to the writer through the cooperation of the Office of Evaluation Services. 61 The Statistical Modelg After a review of several possible statistical models the factor analytic method was selected as the most appro- priate technique for the purpose of reaching a clear under- standing of the structure and pattern of intellectual interest. Factor analysis is a means by which the regular- ity and order in phenomena can.be discerned. It can be applied in order to explore a content area, structure a domain, map unknown concepts, classify or reduce data, test hypotheses, formulate theories, or make inferences. Factor analysis is most familiar to researchers as an exploratory tool for discovering the basic empirical concepts in a field of investigation. Representing patterns of relation- ship between phenomena, these basic concepts may corrob- orate the reality of prevailing concepts or may be so new and strange as to defy immediate labeling. Factor analysis is often used to discover such con- cepts reflecting unsuspected influences at work in a domain. The delineation of these interrelated phenomena enables generalizations to be made and hypotheses to be posed about the underlying influences bringing about the relationships. The factor analytic technique was supplemented by analysis of variance for several qualitative variables. In the analysis of variance, hypotheses were tested at d = .01. The purpose of the second part of the study was to measure the validity of intellectual interest in the pre- diction of college success. Several procedures were 62 employed. Since there is no guarantee that all psycho- logical relationships of either theoretical or applied nature are linear in form, testing for linear and non- linear regression was carried out to answer this question. Also, the relationship between the criterion and the pre- dictive variable was plotted on a scatter diagram and graphically examined for possible departures from linearity. After testing the regression model, the predictive validity of the construct of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success was assessed. The validity of the intellectual interest scale was also determined. A simple regression equation was also developed with intel— lectual interest as the predictor and college grade point average as the criterion variable. The multiple regression technique was also used to determine the ability to predict using several variables simultaneously. For practical prediction situations in college admissions, it is seldom the case that only one item of prior information is known about the individual subject. Usually several tests are given. The admission officer in a college may have college entrance scores, high school achievement test scores, high school grade point average, and a great many other items of information about individual students. Under such circumstances, it is valuable to know whether information regarding intellectual interest improves the prediction of college success when it is 63 added to other predictors. For this purpose of determining the incremental validity, the variance-ratio technique was utilized. A detailed description of the statistical models used in the study is presented below. A. Factor Analytic Method The principle axis method of factor analysis devel- oped by Hotelling (1935) was used because it gives the smallest number of factors which extract the maximum amount of variance with a mathematically unique solution. Because unities were used in the diagonal of the matrix, all vari- ance, reliable or unreliable, was factored. The results of the factoring method include all variance in the sample with the unreliable variance randomly distributed among factors. The factors do not refer to the population but to the empirically functioning components within the sample. The components describe the source of the variance. The principle axis method gives a unique resolution of the common factors or components for each sample when unities are inserted in the diagonal. Factor loadings define (l) a pattern of relationship and (2) the association of each characteristic with each pattern. In general, for any of the Y variables of equations, we may write: = + +ooo+ Y le1 d2F2 dem , with the F's representing factors and the d's representing loadings. These common factors aid in the interpretation of the construct of intellectual interest because they are based on empirical observation. 64 The further facilitation of an interpretation was offered by rotation. The purpose of the rotation was to transform the initial factor solution to a "preferred” solution to achieve simple structure, factor invariance, and interpretability. The unrotated factors successively define the most general patterns of relationship in the data. This is not so with the rotated factors. They delineate the distinct clusters of relationships, if such exist. Each solution is correct but psychologically cer- tain solutions are preferred as being more interpretable. Two objective methods of rotation were available: the Quartimax method of Wrigley and Neuhaus (1954) and the Varimax method of Kaiser (1959). Both methods attempt to achieve simple structure principles based on the following criteria of Thurstone(1947). 1. Each row of the factor matrix should have at least one zero. 2. If there are m common factors, each column of the factor matrix should have at least m zeroes. 3. For every pair of columns of the factor matrix, there should be several whose entries vanish in one column but not in the other. 4. For every pair of columns of the factor matrix, a large proportion of the variables should have vanishing entries in both columns when there are four or more factors. 5. For every pair of columns of the factor matrix, there should be only a small number of variables with non-vanishing entries in both columns. A simple structure rotation has several characteris- tics that are of interest here: 65 1. Each variable is identified with one or a small proportion of the factors. 2. The number of variables loading highly on a factor is minimized. 3. A major ontological assumption underlying the use of simple structure is that, whenever pos— sible, our model of reality should be simplified. 4. A goal of research is to generalize factor results. The unrotated factor solution, however, depends on all the variables. In comparison to the Quartimax method, which stresses the simplification of each row or variable, the Varimax method places emphasis on the simplification of factors. To quote Harman (1960), "The Varimax method proposed by Kaiser is a modification of the Quartimax method which more nearly approximates simple structure" (p. 304). For this reason, the principle axis and the Varimax methods were employed to identify the structure and pattern of intellec- tual interest. B. Simple and Multiple Regression Technique When we want to predict the relative status of an individual on the criterion variable a regression equation provides the best estimate in terms of minimal squared error. When Y is the predicted score and X is the known score on the independent variable, it is simple to develop the regression equation for prediction of Y from X. The linear model which was applied in the present study takes the form of: 66 Yij = “Y + By-x (Xj - uX) + eij , where = 91 By.x pxy ox which is called the simple regression coefficient of Y on X. This model has the following basic assumptions: 1. Within each population j, the distribution of Yij values is normal; 2. Within each population j, the variance 0: is the same; and 3. The errors eij are completely independent. Given a random sample, the value of the sample regres- sion coefficient byx is our best available estimate of B y x' the population regression coefficient. Moreover, the best estimate of By- (ux) is given by b (MX). Our best x yx estimate of My is simply My. Furthermore, it is important to be able to predict the value of Y given the combination of several variables considered simultaneously. In general, in K—variable problems, the squared value of the multiple correlation coefficient turns out to be: 2 R 1.2---K= (b r r + ... + (biK. ... K—1) 12 1K ' 12.3---K) where R1.2 --- K denotes the correlation between a weighted combination of independent variables and the criterion vari- able. The squared multiple correlation coefficient indi~ cates the proportion of variance in the criterion variable Y accounted for by the set of K predictor variables. Also, 67 the hypothesis about the multiple regression equation was tested to see if the addition of intellectual interest score really increased the value of R2. C. The Variance—ratio Test The variance-ratio test was used to test the incre— ment in the criterion variance when the intellectual interest score was added to the other predictor variables. The test for significance was suggested by Baggaley (1962). The ratio is given by: 2 2 F = (R+ — R ) (N - m - 2) 2 1 - R+ where R is the multiple correlation involving m predictors and R+ is the multiple correlation involving m + 1 pre- dictors. The quotient should be referred to an F table with d.f. = l for the "greater mean square" and d.f. = N - m - 2 for the "lesser mean square." Statistical Hypptheses In order to make the statistical tests of signifi— cance, the following testable null hypotheses were formu- lated from the previously stated purposes of the study and substantive hypotheses. Hypothesis 1: There is no difference in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, between males and females and among: a. Students majoring in different curricula; b. Students who lived a major portion of their lives on a farm, in a village, town, small city, or large city; Hyppthesis 2: Hypothesis 3: Hyppthesis 4: 68 c. Students who were in different sized high school graduating classes; d. Students whose fathers and/or mothers completed grade school, high school, college, graduate or professional school; e. Students who plan to receive one, two, three or four years of college educa- tation and those who plan to attend graduate or professional school; f. Students whose fathers are executives, business owners, white-collar workers, skilled craftsmen, semi-skilled workers, low or unskilled laborers, farm owners, public service workers, or professional personnel (doctor, lawyer, dentist, and so forth). There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and aptitude scores on the Scholastic Aptitude Test and Michigan State University Reading Test, MSU Arithmetic Test, MSU Mathematics Test and-MSU Quantitative Test. There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and the following seven factors of trait self-ratings measured by the Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen: a. Trait—-Physical well-being; b. Trait--Scholarship; c. Trait—-Estheticism; d. Trait-—Pragmatism; e. Trait—-Technical-scientific; f. Trait—-Sociability; and g. Trait—~Sensitivity to others. There is no relationship between intellec— tual interest and the following seven factors of life goals of college freshmen measured by the Life Goals of College Freshmen: Hypothesis Hypothesis Hypothesis Hyppthesis Hypothesis 69 a. Life goal——Prestige; b. Life goal-—Personal happiness; c. Life goa1--Humanistic-cultural; d. Life goal-~Religious; e. Life goal—-Scientific; f. Life goal—~Artistic; and 9. Life goal—~Hedonistic. There is no relationship between intellec— tual interest and general self-concept of academic ability measured by the General Self-Concept of Academic Ability. The use of a linear model to predict the MSU grade point average with the predictor of intellectual interest does not explain any variance in the criterion variable. The validity coefficient of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success, based on the nonlinear model, is not statistically significant. The coefficient of the predictive validity of intellectual interest with MSU grade point average as a criterion variable does not differ whether it is based on the linear model or on the nonlinear model. The intellectual interest score does not improve prediction of the cumulative college grade point average when it is added to either of the following: a. Scholastic Aptitude Test; b. High school grade point average; 0. SAT—Total plus high school GPA; d. General Self—Concept of Academic Ability; e. General Self-Concept of Academic Ability plus self-reported High school GPA. 70 Summary of the Chapter The population under study consisted of all freshmen who entered Michigan State University Fall term, 1970. However, students with one or more of the following charac- teristics were excluded from the population: foreign stu- dents, transfer students, 1ack of complete data, and Stu— dents who dropped out before the end of Fall term, 1970. From this restricted population, 643 students were randomly selected. The Academic Interest Scale and MSU Student Survey were given to the sample students during the orientation week, September 21-22, 1970. The Academic Interest Scale included the Intellectual Interest Scale of Stern (Part 1); the Intellectual Interest Scale of Anderson and Western (Part 2); and the Intellec- tualism—Pragmatism Scale of Yuker and Block (Part 3). The MSU Student Survey contained several scales, including the Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen (Part A); the Life Goals of College Freshmen (Part B); the General Self- Concept of Academic Ability (Part C); and the Student Questionnaire (Part D). Other data, including score on the Scholastic Apti— tude Test, MSU Reading Test, MSU Arithmetic Test, MSU Mathematics Test, MSU Quantitative Test, high school grade point average, and MSU grade point average were obtained with the cooperation of the Office of Evaluation Services, Michigan State University. 71 The criterion for measuring the predictive validity of intellectual interest was the cumulative college grade point average subjects obtained at the end of the Fall term, 1970. Ten testable statistical null hypotheses were formu- lated from the purposes of the study and substantive hypotheses in Chapter I. As one of the major statistics used in the study, the principle axis method of factor analysis with the Varimax rotation was employed to identify the structure and pattern of intellectual interest. For the purpose of measuring the validity of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success, several procedures were used. They involved testing for linear and nonlinear regression, plotting the distributions on a scatter-diagram and simple and multiple regression techniques. The variance—ratio technique was used to test whether the variable "intellec- tual interest" improves in accuracy of predicting grade point average when it is added to the most readily avail- able predictors. Chapter IV will deal with the results from analysis of the data. CHAPTER IV ANALYSIS OF THE DATA This chapter presents the analysis of the data and the results relating to the main purposes of the study. The main purposes of the study were, as stated in Chapter I, to determine the identity and structure of intellectual interest and, secondly, to test its validity in the pre- diction of college success in higher education. Parallel with these purposes, the analysis of data is presented in three sections: Section 1 presents the results of factor analysis and the resulting identity and pattern of the construct of intellectual interest. Section 2 deals with tests of relationship between intellectual interest as a predictor and the criterion of college success. Data in regard to validity and reliability are also presented in Section 2. Finally, Section 3 deals with the incremental vali- dity. It indicates whether the test of intellectual interest improves the predictability of college success when it is added to other predictors such as results of a scholastic aptitude test, self-concept of academic ability and actual and self-reported high school grade point average. 72 73 Section 1: The Results of Factor Analysis and Analysis of Variance ‘ Thirty different variables were employed to test the statistical hypotheses 1 through 5. The main technique used was factor analysis. In addition, the analysis of variance method was also utilized in testing hypotheses related to the qualitative variables. In this section, first, null hypotheses which were tested are listed; second, a description of variables used in the factorial analytic procedure is presented and, finally, results of the factorial analysis are reported, including an interpretation of factored dimensions. Results oftfluaanalysis of variance are also presented in this section. A. Hypotheses Tested Hypothesis 1: There is no difference in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, between males and females and among: a. Students majoring in different curricula; b. Students who lived a major portion of their lives on a farm, in a village, town, small city, or large city; c. Students who were in different sized high school graduating classes; d. Students whose fathers and/or mothers completed grade school, high school, college, graduate or professional school; e. Students who plan to receive one, two, three or four years of college educa— tion and those who plan to attend graduate or professional school; 74 f. Students whose fathers are executives, business owners, white-collar workers, skilled craftsmen, semi—skilled workers, low or unskilled laborers, farm owners, public service workers, or professional personnel (doctor, lawyer, dentist, and so forth). Hypothesis 2: There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and aptitude scores on the Scholastic Aptitude Test and Michigan State University Reading Test, MSU Arithmetic Test, MSU Mathematics Test and MSU Quantitative Test. Hypothesis 3: There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and the following seven factors of trait self-ratings measured by the Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen: a. Trait—-Physical well—being; b. Trait--Scholarship; c. Trait——Estheticism; d. Trait—-Pragmatism; e. Trait-—Technical—scientific; f. Trait--Sociability; and g. Trait--Sensitivity to others. Hypothesis 4: There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and the following seven factors of life goals of college freshmen measured by the Life Goals of College Freshmen: a. Life goal—~Prestige; b. Life goal—~Personal happiness; 0. Life goal——Humanistic—cultura1; d. Life goal—-Re1igious; e. Life goal~-Scientific; f. Life goal~~Artistic; and g. Life goa1--Hedonistic. Hypothesis 5: 75 There is no relationship between intellec- tual interest and general self-concept of academic ability measured by the General Self—Concept of Academic Ability. B. Desctiption of Variables Used in the Factor Analysis Procedure Thirty variables relating to cognitive, affective, demographic and background characteristics were collected and used to identify the pattern and structure of the intellectual interest trait. The content of each variable is presented below. Variable 1: Variable 2: Variable 3: Variable 4: Variable 5: Variable 6: Intellectual Interest The summated score of 79 items in three sub— scales of the Academic Interest Scale scored on the basis of a 2-point scaling system, as discussed in Chapter III. The score distribution is shown in Appendix C. Trait Self—Rating--Physical well-being The content of this variable consisted of item 1 (Athletic ability), item 8 (Physical energY) and item 15 (Physical health) of Trait Self-Ratings of College Freshmen (TSCF), Part A of the MSU Student Survey. Trait Self-Rating—-Scholarship The content of this variable consisted of items 2 (Mathematical ability), 9 (Scholar— ship) and 16 (Intellectual self-confidence) of the TSCF. Trait Self-Rating--Estheticism The content of this variable consisted of items 3 (Originality), 10 (Artistic ability) and 17 (Expressiveness) of the TSCF. Trait Self-Rating--Pragmatism The content of this variable consisted of items 4 (Self-control), 11 (Independence) and 18 (Practical mindedness) of the TSCF. Trait Self—Rating—-Technical-scientific ability The content of this variable consisted of items 5 (Mechanical ability), 12 (Scientific ability) and 19 (Research ability) of the TSCF. Variable 7: Variable 8: Variable 9: Variable 10: Variable 11: Variable 12: Variable 13: Variable 14: 76 Trait Self-Rating--Sociability The content of this variable consisted of items 6 (Leadership), 13 (Sociability) and 20 (Cheerfulness) of the TSCF. Trait Self—Rating--Sensitivity to others The content of this variable consisted of items 7 (Understanding of others), 14 (Sen- sitivity to the needs of others) and 21 (Sense of humor) of the TSCF. Life Goa1-—Prestige The content of this variable consisted of items 22 (Becoming a community leader), 29 (Becoming influential in public affairs) and 36 (Obtaining awards or recognition) of the Life Goals of College Freshmen (LGCF), Part B of MSU Student Survey. Life Goal--Personal happiness The content of this variable consisted of items 23 (Becoming happy and content), 30 (Becoming a mature and well-adjusted person) and 37 (Becoming a good husband and wife) of the LGCF. Life Goal-—Humanistic-cultural The content of this variable consisted of items 24 (Developing a meaningful philosophy of life), 31 (Writing good fiction) and 38 (Keeping up to date with political affairs) of the LGCF. Life Goal-~Religious The content of this variable consisted of items 25 (Making sacrifice for the sake of the happiness of others), 32 (Following a formal religious code) and 39 (Being active in religious affairs) of the LGCF. Life Goal--Scientific The content of this variable consisted of items 26 (Inventing or developing a useful product or device), 33 (Making a theoretical contribution to science) and 40 (Making a technical contribution to science) of the LGCF. Life Goal--Artistic The content of this variable consisted of items 27 (Becoming accomplished in one of the performing arts), 34 (Producing good artistic work) and 41 (Becoming an accom- plished musician) of the LGCF. 77 Variable 15: Life Goal-~Hedonistic The content of this variable consisted of items 28 (Becoming well—off financially), 35 (Having the time and means to relax and enjoy life) and 42 (Avoiding hard work) of the LGCF. Variable 16: General self-concept of academic ability The content of this variable consisted of eight items describing different self- concepts of ability and achievement. Variable 17: Sex - Male was assigned a score weight of zero and female a score weight of one. Variable 18: Community lived Ten categories were in order of urban to rural area. A weight of zero was given to "Suburb of a metropolitan area of more than one million population," 1 to "Suburb of metropolitan area of 100,000 to 999,999," 2 to "Suburb of metropolitan area of 25,000 to 99,999," 3 to "In a city (not a suburb) of more than one million," 4 to "In a city (not a suburb) of 100,000 to 999,999," 5 to "In a city (not a suburb) of 25,000 to 99,999," 6 to "In a city of 10,000 to 24,999," 7 to "In a town of 2,500 to 9.999," 8 to "In a village of 250 to 2,499," and 9 to "In a farming or rural community." Variable 19: Father's educational level Ten categories were made in the order from lower to higher educational level. A score weight of zero was given to "Attended grade school," 1 to "Completed 8th grade," 2 to "Attended high school," 3 to "Graduated from high school," 4 to "Technical or business school beyond high school," 5 to "Attended college but did not graduate," 6 to "Grad— uated from college," 7 to "Some education beyond Bachelor's degree but did not earn another degree," 8 to "Earned a Master's degree," and 9 to "Earned a graduate or professional degree beyond the Master's level. Variable 20: Mother's educational level Ten categories which are exactly the same as for Variable l9. Variable 21: Variable 22: Variable 23: 78 High school size High school size was classified into five categories ranging from small to big size and scored from zero to 4 in that order. Self-reported high school GPA The subject was asked to respond in terms of nine categories ranging from A+ through C- or lower. MSU Reading Test. Variable Variable 24: 25: MSU Arithmetic Test. MSU Mathematics Test. Variable 26: MSU Arithmetic Test plus Mathematics Test. Variable 27: Scholastic Aptitude Test—~Verbal. Variable 28: Scholastic Aptitude Test-—Mathematics. Variable 29: Scholastic Aptitude Test--Tota1. Variable 30: Actual high school grade point average. Mean scores and standard deviation for each of these thirty variables are shown in Table 4.1. TABLE 4.l.--Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Each of the 30 Variables Used in the Factorial Analysis Variable Mean Standard Variable Mean Standard Number Score Deviation Number Score Deviation l 48.36 10.41 16 31.76 3.57 2 7.44 1.90 17 .51 .50 3 7.61 1.88 18 3.93 3.03 4 6.82 1.74 19 4.46 2.35 5 8.17 1.62 20 3.91 1.75 6 6.61 1.71 21 2.80 1.14 7 7.60 1.76 22 2.90 1.40 8 8.39 1.71 23 33.47 7.15 9 5.43 1.79 24 34.46 4.39 10 10.38 1.56 25 18.19 7.02 11 7.16 1.59 26 52.65 10.59 12 6.30 1.95 27 517.94 114.32 13 4.57 1.95 28 556.32 121.34 14 4.69 1,92 29 1073.28 217.85 15 6.69 1.61 30 3.25 .39 79 C. Dimensions Identified through Factor Analysis The intercorrelations of the 30 variables described above are presented in Appendix D. Principle axis com- ponents were extracted from the intercorrelation matrix of these 30 variables and factored into 30 dimensions. The principle axis method extracts as many factors as variables entered in the matrix. So, it provided 30 unrotated fac— tors. These unrotated 30 factors with rounded loadings for the 30 variables are presented in Appendix E. The factor eigenvalues are shown in Table 4.2. TABLE 4.2.--Eigenvalues of 30 Factors Extracted through Principle Axis Method Factor Factor Number Eigenvalue Number Eigenvalue 1 6.9137 16 .5874 2 3.1134 17 .5529 3 1.9486 18 .5324 4 1.8248 19 .4961 5 1.5425 20 .4888 6 1.3256 21 .4403 7 1.2393 22 .4091 8 1.1725 23 .3994 9 1.0527 24 .3889 10 .9559 25 .3238 11 .7980 26 .2763 12 .7499 27 .2148 13 .7241 28 .1521 14 .6958 29 .0081 15 .6730 30 .0000 Ten of the unrotated factors were of acceptable magnitude with eigenvalues which exceeded .9559. Usually, an eigenvalue greater than 1.00 is assumed to be acceptable. According to Table 4.2, factor 10 was short of factor 9 by 80 .0968 and greater than factor 11 by .1579. In other words, factor 10 had a negligible difference with factor 9 which exceeded 1.00 in terms of the eigenvalue and a significant difference from factor 11. So, ten factors were included in a Varimax procedure. The ten factors were ranked in terms of their eigen- values and then rotated; first, the two largest at a time, then, the three largest, four largest and so on until all ten were rotated. The 30 variables with loadings on the ten accepted factors are shown in Table 4.3 and the 30 variables with loadings above .50 on the ten factors are shown in Table 4.4. As noted in Tables 4.3 and 4.4, factor 10 has high loadings on the intellectual interest variable. The inter- pretation of factor 10 is directly involved with the test- ing of hypotheses which were listed in Part A of this chapter. However, for convenience of presentation, the labeling and interpretation of the other 9 factors will precede the testing of the hypotheses. Each of the individual factors, variable number, content and loadings exceeding .50 are tabled as a means of interpretation. 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It is labeled "Scholastic aptitude." TABLE 4.5.--Variable Content of Factor l--Scholastic Aptitude Vgfiiggie Content Loading 3 Mathematical ability .5815 Scholarship Intellectual self-confidence 16 Value of self—concept of ability .5242 and achievement 23 MSU Reading Test .6797 24 MSU Arithmetic Test .7963 25 MSU Mathematics Test .7799 26 MSU Qualitative Test .8474 27 SAT—~Verbal .7710 28 SAT—-Mathematics .8975 29 SAT-—Tota1 .9172 Factor 2: Social sensitivity Sociability and sensitive interaction with others are interpreted as the major components. Physical and practi— cal self—control had somewhat low negative loadings. The name "Social sensitivity" is given to this factor. Factor 3: High school achievement Factor 3 was strongly related to high school grade point average expressed either in the form of self-report 85 TABLE 4.6.--Variable Content of Factor 2--Social Sensitivity Variable . N ler Content Load1ng 2 Athletic ability -.5960 Physical energy Physical health 5 Self-control -.6411 Independence Practical mindedness 7 Leadership .7041 Sociability Cheerfulness 8 Understanding of others .7122 Sensitivity to the needs of others Sense of humor TABLE 4.7.--Variable Content of Factor 3--High School Achievement Variable . N ler Content Load1ng 22 Self-reported high school GPA -.7624 30 Actual high school GPA -.7471 or that reported directly by transcripts to the registrar. The factor is called "High school achievement." Factor 4: Parents' educational level Level of education completed by father and mother have high loadings on factor 4; thus, it is called "Parents' educational level." 86 TABLE 4.8.—-Variable Content of Factor 4—-Parents' Educa- tional Level Variable - N ler Content Load1ng 19 Father's educational level .8328 20 Mother's educational level .8517 Factor 5: Aesthetic Throughout the six items of the variables, there is an aesthetic element running through each. This is true regardless of whether the individual conceives of himself as "expressive" or as a musical performer. This factor is labeled "Aesthetic." TABLE 4.9.--Variable Content of Factor 5-—Aesthetic Variable . N ler Content Loading 4 Originality .6669 Artistic ability Expressiveness 14 Becoming accomplished in one of .7780 the performing arts Producing good artistic work Becoming an accomplished musician Factor 6: Community size Community and high school size characterize factor 6. Community size is described in descending order of large to small and high school size is described in the opposite order. The positive direction of community size and the 87 negative direction of high school size actually go in the same direction. Factor 6 is called "Community size." TABLE 4.10.--Variable Content of Factor 6--Community Size Variable ' N ler Content Load1ng 18 Community size .8025 21 High school size -.7984 Factor 7: Conforming-religious Religious confirmity is the major characteristic. A traditional outlook of happiness and adjustment has some— what lower loadings on this factor. This factor is labeled "Conforming-religious." TABLE 4.1l.-—Variable Content of Factor 7--Conforming- Religious Variable . N ler Content Load1ng 10 Becoming happy and content —.6570 Becoming a mature and well-adjusted person Becoming a good husband and wife 12 Making sacrifices for the sake of -.7690 the happiness of others Following a formal religious code Being active in religious affairs Factor 8: Scientific The major loadings of mechanical and scientific nature 18d t0 naming of factor 8 as "Scientific." 88 TABLE 4.12.—-Variab1e Content of Factor 8—-Scientific Variable Number Content Load1ng 6 Mechanical ability -.6842 Scientific ability Research ability l3 Inventing or developing a useful -.7899 product or device Making a theoretical contribution to science Making a technical contribution to science Factor 9: Social hedonism Hedonistic context was the largest loading and mascu- line attitude toward social affairs had the next high loading on factors. Thus, it is called "Social hedonism." TABLE 4.13.-—Variable Content of Factor 9--Social Hedonism Variable . N ler Content Loading 9 Becoming a community leader —.6458 Becoming influential in public affairs Obtaining awards or recognition 15 Becoming well-off financially -.8237 Having the time and means to relax and enjoy life Avoiding hard work 17 Male was assigned a score weight of .5072 zero and female a score weight of one 89 D. The Hypotheses Testing and Definition of the Construct of Intellectual Interest In this section the testing of various hypotheses generated for this study is discussed in greater detail and factor 10 is described. First and foremost, the variable number, name and loadings on factor 10 are presented in Table 4.14. TABLE 4.14.-—Variable Content of Factor 10--Intellectual Interest Variable - N ler Content Load1ng 1 Intellectual interest .5995 11 Life goa1--Humanistic—cultura1 .7675 As Tables 4.3, 4.4, and 4.14 indicate, the result of factor analysis failed to reject Hypothesis 1(b), (c) and (d) and it was concluded that there was no difference in intellectual interest between males and females, community size, high school size and parents' educational level. Hypothesis 2 was also not rejected since it was found that there was no relationship between intellectual interest and the five different aptitude measures used in this study. Hypothesis 3 was not rejected, i.e., it can be con- cluded that there was no relationship between intellectual interest and each of seven factors of trait self-ratings. All subsets of Hypothesis 4 except (0) were not rejected and it was concluded that there was no relation- ship between intellectual interest and these six factors 90 of life goals of college freshmen, namely, prestige, per- sonal happiness, religious, scientific, artistic and hedonistic. Again, Hypothesis 5 was not rejected and it was con- cluded that there was no relationship between intellectual interest and general self-concept of ability. Finally, Hypothesis 4(c) was the only one which was rejected and it was concluded that not only was there a relationship between intellectual interest and "Life goal-- Humanistic-cultural," but that both of these constructs are expressions of the same trait and, furthermore, they make up a single psychological construct. The factor analysis indicated that variable 1 (intel- lectual interest) and variable 11 (Life goal--Humanistic- cultural) measure the same construct and they make up one common factor. Therefore, a detailed content of each of these variables is paramount in understanding the nature and identity of the factor. In effect, the understanding of that factor, which is the tenth factor of our factor analytic procedure, relates to the first purpose of the study which was aimed at investigating the identify and structure of the construct of intellectual interest. A somewhat detailed description of the content of these two variables is given below. As explained in Chapter III, this study employed three subscales to measure the construct of intellectual interest. Each of the subscales was developed by a 91 different author. Also, these three subscales were assumed to be based on a similar or very congruent operational definition of the construct. In addition, it has value to note that these three subscales evidenced the convergent validity by showing considerably high intercorrelations. A summary of the operational definition drawn by each of the subscales and the content of variable 11 are shown below. 1. Stern's Intellectual Interest Scale This scale is a subscale of Stern Activities Index and consists of items involving various forms of intellec- tual activities. These activities are based upon interests in the arts as well as the sciences, both abstract and empirical. 2. Anderson and Western's Intellectual Interest Scale Intellectual interest is defined as a dimension of appreciation and enjoyment of cultural pursuits, and an interest in philosophical discussion and discourse. Accord— ing to the authors, there are three aspects to the "Involve- ment in Intellectual Activity" complex of items of the scale. The first concerns interest in research and intellec- tual and academic matters. The second implies an interest in social and epistemological matters. The third concerns itself with philosophical and cultural pursuits. In other words, "Involvement in Intellectual Activity" as assessed by this scale describes the extent to which individuals 92 enjoy intellectual enquiry and have philosophical and cultural pursuits (Anderson and Western, 1966; p. 8). 3. Yuker and Block's I-P Scale An intellectualism—pragmatism dichotomy was used not only in the item content but also in the definitions of intellectualism and pragmatism. Since, according to the authors, a pragmatic attitude is essentially anti-intellec- tual, intellectual attitude is, in turn, anti-pragmatic. 4. Variable 11: Life goal-—Humanistic-cultural Variable ll consisted of the following items of the MSU Student Survey: item 24—-"Developing a meaningful philosophy of life;" item 3l—-"Writing good fiction;" and item 38--"Keeping up to date with political affairs." A critical examination of these Operational defini- tions and the content of "Humanistic-cultural life goal" reveals three essential aspects to the construct of intel— lectual interest: The first aspect implies an appreciation and enjoy- ment of cultural pursuits, the second concerns academic and philosophical enquiry, and the third aspect concerns anti— pragmatic interests in the arts as well as in science, both abstract and empirical. As indicated above, three hypotheses related to the qualitative variables were tested with the application of analysis of variance technique. They were hypotheses 1(a), 1(e) and 1(f). 93 Hypothesis 1(a) stated: There is no difference in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, among students majoring in different curricula. Mean and standard deviation of intellectual interest test score on ten categories of different major fields are presented in Table 4.15, and the result of analysis of variance is shown in Table 4.16. TABLE 4.15.—-Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellec- tual Interest Test Score on Ten Categories of Major Fields . . Standard Major Fields Mean Deviation 1. Agriculture or Natural Resources 42.15 13.79 2. Arts and Letters 50.14 8.44 3. Business 41.50 8.87 4. Communication Arts 49.70 8.68 5. Education 47.07 9.41 6. Home Economics 40.68 9.23 7. Science or Engineering 50.39 10.40 8. Social Science 49.79 9.87 9. Veterinary or Human Medicine 51.18 9.43 10. No idea what my major field will be 47.97 10.49 TABLE 4.16.——Ana1ysis of Variance of the Variable of "Major Field" with the Dependent Variable of "Intellectual Interest" Score SS d.f. MS F Major Field 6,287 9 698.56 7.24* (Between categories) Error 61,324 633 96.42 (Within categories) Totals 67,324 642 *Significant at d = .01. 94 The test rejected the null hypothesis at the .01 level of significance, and it was concluded that there are overall differences of intellectual interest scores among students majoring in different curricula. Major field was classified into ten categories. Hypothesis 1(e) is stated as follows: There is no difference in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, among students who plan to receive one, two, three or four years of college education and those who plan to attend graduate or professional school. Mean and standard deviation of intellectual interest test scores on six different categories of educational expectation are presented in Table 4.17 and the result of analysis of variance is shown in Table 4.18. TABLE 4.17.-—Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellec- tual Interest Test Score on Six Categories of Educational Expectation Educational Expectation Mean StanaFd eV1ation l. A year of college 47.00 14.25 2. Two years of college 48.42 6.10 3. Three years of college 48.40 15.50 4. Four years of college 45.56 9.68 5. Master's degree 49.80 9.57 6. Graduate or professional work 51.96 9.97 95 TABLE 4.18.—-Analysis of Variance of the Variable of "Educational Expectation" with the Dependent Variable of "Intellectual Interest" Score SS d.f. MS F Educational Expectation 5,613 5 1,122.71 11.58* (Between categories) Error 61,710 637 96.87 (Within categories) Totals 67,324 642 *Significant at d = .01. The F-value of the test statistic rejected the null hypothesis at the d = .01 level of significance, and it was concluded that there are statistically significant dif- ferences of intellectual interest scores among the students with different educational expectation. Hypothesis 1(f) is stated as follows: There is no difference in intellectual interest, as measured by the Academic Interest Scale, among students whose fathers are executives, business owners, white-collar workers, skilled craftsmen, semi—skilled workers, low or unskilled laborers, farm owners, public service workers, or profes— sional personnel (doctor, lawyer, dentist, and so forth). Mean and standard deviation of intellectual interest test scores on nine categories of fathers' occupations are presented in Table 4.19 and the result of analysis of variance is shown in Table 4.20. 96 TABLE 4.19.—-Mean Score and Standard Deviation of Intellec- tual Interest Test Score on Nine Categories of Father's Occupation Father's Occupation Mean Standard DeV1at1on 1. Semi-skilled worker 45.32 9.90 2. Skilled worker 48.51 9.61 3. Farm owner or operator 44.26 11.71 4. Small business proprietor 47.69 10.82 5. Skilled clerical worker . 45.86 9.90 6. Public service employee 51.70 9.42 7. Executive or managerial 49.35 10.37 8. Professional 49.27 9.77 9. Deceased, retired 51.23 9.23 TABLE 4.20.—~Analysis of Variance of the Variable of Father's Occupation with the Dependent Variable of Intellectual Interest Score SS d.f. MS F Father's Occupation (Between Categories) 2,438 8 304.86 2.97* Error (Within Categories) 54,885 634 102.86 Totals 57.323 642 *Significant at d = .01. The test rejected the null hypothesis at the .01 level of significance and it was concluded that there are statistically significant differences of intellectual interest according to the different levels of father's occupation. For the test, the variable of father's occu- pation was classified into nine categories. 97 Section 2: Reliability, Validity, and Regression Model This section presents the results of hypothesis testing concerning the validity of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success. The reliability of the scale used to measure the trait and the testing of the regression model are also discussed. Specifically, Hypothesis6 is related to the validity of intellectual interest as a predictor of college grade point average. While Hypothesis 6 is based on the linear model, Hypothesis 7 is based on the curvilinear model-- although both of them concern predictive validity. Testing of the appropriateness of either the linear or the curvi— linear regression model is dealt with in Hypothesis 8. Yet, before making these hypotheses testings, it seems to be worthwhile to present information on the reli- ability of the composite scale used to measure the construct of intellectual interest. As indicated by Mehrens and Lehmann (1969, pp. 40-41), how reliable a test should be in order for it to be useful cannot be answered in a simple manner. It depends upon the purposes for which the test is to be used. If it is to be used to help make decisions about individuals, then it should be more reliable than if it is to be used to make decisions about groups of people. Although there is no universal agreement, it is generally accepted that tests used to assist in making decisions about individuals should 98 have reliability coefficients of at least .80. For group decisions, a reliability coefficient of about .65 may suffice. For the composite, homogeneity of the scale items was measured by employing the Kuder-Richardson formula 21 (KR 21). Although the formula can be described in several dif— ferent forms, the following form was used: where n represents the number of items in the test, Mt refers to the mean value of the test, and SE refers to the variance of the test. The KR 21 estimate of reliability was .83. Using the above argument, the reliability coefficient value KR 21 = .83 indicated that the composite scale was reasonably reliable. Hypothesis 6 states that: The use of a linear model to predict the MSU grade point average with the predictor of intellectual interest does not explain any variance in the criterion variable. The Pearson product-moment correlation method was employed to derive the validity coefficient of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success. The coef- ficient of validity was .1189 and the coefficient of deter— mination turned out to be .0141. 99 To test the statistical significance of the validity coefficient, the technique of analysis of variance for overall regression was applied. The result of the analysis of variance of intellectual interest in predicting college grade point average is presented in Table 4.21. TABLE 4.21.-—Ana1ysis of Variance for Overall Regression of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion Variable Source of Variance SS d.f. MS F Regression 467.11 1 467.11 9.19* Error 3,259.64 641 50.84 Totals 3,726.75 642 *Significant at d = .01. Consequently, the null Hypothesis 6 was rejected at the .01 level of significance and the alternative hypo- thesis was accepted. It was concluded that the predictive validity of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success, based on the linear model, was statisti— cally significant, and, therefore, a linear model did explain some of the criterion variance. Since the relation between intellectual interest and cumulative GPA was found to be statistically significant, a simple regression equation was set up. Regression coef- ficients, standard errors of regression coefficients, standardized beta weights and its standard errors are presented in Table 4.22. 100 TABLE 4.22.--Regression Coefficient and Its Standard Errors and Standardized Beta Weights and Its Standard Errors of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion Regression Standard Standardized Sgepdard Coefficients Errors Beta Weights ors of Betas Y-intercept 2.3932 0.1336 810pe 0.0082 0.0027 0.12 0 039 The least squares regression equation becomes Y = a + bX e where "a" represents the Y—intercept and ”b" the slope of the line. Both the constants a and b are called regression coefficient. Following the information given in Table 4.22, the least square simple regression equation with intellectual interest score as a predictor and cumulative college grade point average as a criterion was found to be Y = 2.39 + (0.0082) xi Hypothesis 7 states that: The validity coefficient of intellectual interest in the prediction of college success, based on the nonlinear model, is not statistically sig- nificant. The correlation ratio indicated by nyx and fix is a Y measure of the relationship which is useful in two circum— stances: 1. When both variables are continuous but the regression is not linear, and 2. When one variable is continuous and the other is discrete. 101 The procedure for computing the value of Eta (ny), the correlation ration of Y on X, was suggested by Walker and Lev (1953, pp. 276—278). The formula suggested by them and used in the study is as follows: (T!)2 (T!)2 Z __l__._ __11_ N. N E2 = 3 = ss Between YX (T')2 SS Total , 2 2 N1 (yi) N where Ni is the total frequency in the i-th row, n T! = Z N.. ° y! is the sum of y' scores in the j—th 3 i=1 13 1 column, each multiplied by the appropriate frequency, and h is the number of rows, Nj is the total frequency in the j-th column, and T; = T5 is the sum of the y' score in the j-th column. With intellectual interest test score as a predictor and cumulative college GPA as a criterion variable, the formula was applied after constructing twenty-four cate- gories for each of the variables. Each category was one- fourth standard deviation in width. The Eta was found to be .24. Furthermore, the test for the null hypothesis nyx = 0 was tested by the F ratio of 102 with k representing the number of levels and with nl = k — l, and n2 = N — k degrees of freedom. The value of F = 1.52 rejected the null hypothesis nyx = 0 and it was concluded that the population values of the correlation ratios was not zero and, in effect, the validity coefficient of nyx was significantly greater than zero. ' Hypothesis 8 states that: The coefficient of the predictive validity of intellectual interest with MSU grade point average as a criterion variable does not differ whether it is based on the linear model or on the nonlinear model. Linearity of regression assumes that the relationship between the criterion and the predictor can be explained by a linear model. The usual test for linearity of regression is the test that nyx = pyx' Since both the Pearson product- moment and the Eta validity coefficient were found to be statistically significant, it was reasonable to formulate Hypothesis 8 and test for significance. The test for linearity of regression is that nyx = pyx and is made by computing the ratio with k representing the number of levels and degrees of freedom, nl = k - 2 and n2 = N - k. The value of F = 1.09 failed to reject the null hypothesis at the .01 level of significance, and it was 103 concluded that the linear model was sufficient. In other words, the conclusion indicates that, in predicting college GPA with intellectual interest as a predictor, the curvi— linear model provides no better prediction than the linear model. In addition to the hypothesis testing, a scatter- diagram is provided in Table 4.23. The table represents the relationship between the predictor and the criterion variable. Again, each of these variables is based on twenty—four categories, each of which was one-fourth of a standard deviation wide. Section 3: Incremental Validity of Intellectual Interest with Cumulative College GPA as a Criterion and Some Cognitive and Affective Variable Predictor(s). As Campbell and Fiske (1959) have suggested, any measuring instrument must show information regarding con- vergent and discriminant validity. In other words, it is necessary to demonstrate not only that a measure covaries with certain other connotatively similar variables, but also that it's covariance with other connotatively dis— similar variables is limited. Yet the most recent developments in measurement theory suggest that an additional validity evidence should be presented concerning any test which is intended for pre— dictive use. Cronbach and Gleser (1957, pp. 30-32) and Conrad (1950) have both discussed the problem of the base against which the predictive power of a test is to be 104 Score, Based on 24 Categories, on College TABLE 4.23.--Scatter Diagram of Intellectual Interest GPA. College GPA 11 3 11 2 1 1 1 1 2 1.212 1 112534. 21224311 221327242331 11 2 13.473133 2 12 5444766‘453211 12323562544313 11 122348348M43 3111 1 334368725251121 1. 252354.5“886521211 1.232333541232211 11.1 Z5536u3m3122 .1724ca124n34=5812199.1. 1; 21.3233 221 1 21.. 1 35122 23 a 1 1 22134 2 11 1 1 1 Z 21 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 .2 to 2. 11 0. 1 —21 Intellectual Interest 105 evaluated. Cronbach and Gleser declare, "Tests should be judged on the basis of their contribution over and above the best strategy available, making use of prior informa- tion" (1957, p. 31). Such an increase in validity coef- ficient is called incremental validity. The incremental validity provides evidence of the extent to which the test adds to or increases the validity of predictions made on the basis of data which are already available. When a test is added to a battery, the usual way of expressing its contribution is either as a positive or a negative improvement to multiple correlation or as no increment. The coefficient of correlation between observed scores on some trait and scores predicted for that trait by a multiple regression is called a "multiple correlation coefficient." In a multiple regression equation, scores on two or more variables will be combined to predict scores on another variable called the criterion. Following this line of reasoning, this section tested and provided the incremental validity or the increase of predictive validity when intellectual interest variable is added to one or more of the usually available predictors. The statistical model employed to test the null hypo— thesis generated for these purposes was a "variance ratio test" suggested by Baggaley (1962, p. 21). The statistic test was: d.f. where R is the multiple correlation involving m predictors R+ is the multiple correlation involving m + l predictors or m predictor(s) plus intellectual interest variable, N is the number of subjects, and m is the number of predictor(s). The quotient should be referred to an F table with l for the numerator mean square and d.f. = N — m — 2 for the denominator mean square. Hypothesis 9 was generated in the null form, in order to assess the contribution of intellectual interest to other predictor(s) in predicting college success in terms of the cumulative college GPA. Hypothesis 9 states that: Intellectual interest score does not improve prediction of the cumulative college grade point average when it is added to either of the following: a. Scholastic Aptitude Test, b. High school grade point average, c. SAT~Total plus high school GPA, d. General Self—Concept of Academic Ability, e. General Self-Concept of Academic Ability plus self—reported high school GPA. 107 The mean score and standard deviation of each of the predictors used for testing the hypothesis are presented in Table 4.24, and their intercorrelation coefficients are shown in Table 4.25. TABLE 4.24.-—Mean Score and Standard Deviation of the Criterion Variable of MSU GPA and Five Pre- dictors Used in the Multiple Regression Equation Standard Mean . . DeViation l. MSU GPA 2.78 .71 2. Intellectual Interest ' 48.36 10.41 3. General Self-Concept of Academic Ability 31°76 3'57 4. Self-reported high school GPA 7.00 1.40 5. Actual high school GPA 3.25 .39 6. SAT-Total 1,073.28 217.85 TABLE 4.25.--Intercorrelation Coefficient of Criterion Variable of MSU GPA and the Five Predictors Used in the Multiple Regression Equation 1 2 3 4 5 l. (MSU GPA) 2. (1.1.) .12 3. (GCAA) .34 .31 4. (SR HS GPA)* .44 .17 .47 5. (HS GPA) .48 .19 .46 .72 6. (SAT-Total) .42 .27 .49 .44 .67 *The intercorrelation coefficient value of self— reported high school grade point average was multiplied with (-l), because its content in the questionnaire was written in the format of high value to low value. 108 Hypothesis 9(a) was tested first. The correlation coefficient involving the predictor of SAT—Total only was .4217 and the multiple correlation coefficient involving predictors of SAT-Total and Intellectual Interest test was .4221. Related results are provided in Table 4.26. The value of F = 0.31 of the test statistic of a variance ratio test failed to reject the null hypothesis 9(a), and it was concluded that intellectual interest score did not significantly increase the predictability of college success when it was added to SAT—Total as a pre- dictor. The correlation coefficient of "High school grade point average" with college GPA was .4812 and the multiple correlation coefficient involving HS GPA and the predictor of intellectual interest was .4820. The value of the test of a "variance ratio technique" F = 0.67 failed to reject the null hypothesis 9(b), and it was concluded that the addition of intellectual interest test to ”High school grade point average" did not increase the predictive validity. 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