)V1531_) RETURNING MATERIALS: Place in book drop to LIBRARIES remove this checkout from Ann-(j-IIL your record. FINES wiII be charged if book is returned after the date stamped below. AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION OF SELECTED FEDERAL TAX PROVISIONS ENACTED TO AID IN THE SYNDICATION OF GOVERNMENT-ASSISTED HOUSING BY Brian Lynn Laverty A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Accounting 1984 ’1‘ .l—75 ftJ‘; L ABSTRACT AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION OF SELECTED FEDERAL TAX PROVISIONS ENACTED TO AID IN THE SYNDICATION OF GOVERNMENT-ASSISTED HOUSING BY Brian Lynn Laverty This study assesses the impact of various income tax provisions on the incentive to invest in newly constructed government-assisted housing syndicated in the limited partnership form. The study focuses on provisions enacted by the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. Amendments made by the Tax Reform Act of 1976 and the Revenue Act of 1978 are also examined wherever appropriate. For each pre-l976 investment evaluated, 162 investor profiles were produced by allowing three possible values for the marginal tax rate, personal service income as a percentage of taxable income, investment holding period, and the selling price of the property. Furthermore, two levels of tax preference items were assumed for both the maximum and the add-on minimum tax. For each 1981 Section 8 project evaluated, 486 investor profiles resulted from: (1) eliminating the variable for personal service income as a percentage of taxable income, and.(2) adding three legislation variables and their interactions. The study reveals that the pre-1976 investment prospectuses significantly overstate the tax benefits available to the investors even with an analysis which assumes that the pre-1976 tax law remained in effect. All of the Acts examined are shown to have had a significant negative impact on investment return from low-income housing investments which preceded their enactment. While the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 significantly increased the cost recovery deductions for Section 8 housing and reduced the net capital gain tax, a present value analysis indicates that the reduction in the maximum marginal tax rate to 50 percent and the increase in the level at which income is subject to those rates produces a negative impact on investor returns. Alternatively, the provisions specifically enacted to favor low-income housing are shown to have a positive effect on investment return. This dissertation is dedicated with all my love to Dorothy J. Laverty, Martha M. Studnicka, and James Thomas Laverty. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS LI ST OF TABLES O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 0 LIST OF FIGURES O O O O O O O O 0 O O O O O O O O 0 Chapter I. II. III. IV. INTRODUCTION 0 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O The Douglas and Kaiser Commissions . . . . Incentives Provided by Tax Law . . . . . . Tax Legislation Affecting Low-Income Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Purpose of the Study . . . . Research Methodology . . . . Limitations of the Study . . Significance of the Study . AN OVERVIEW OF SECTION 8 HOUSING AND THE A TAX LAW AS IT AFFECTS INVESTMENTS IN LOW-INCOME HOUSING . . . . . . . . . . . . HUD Section 8 Program . . . . . . . . . . Michigan State Housing Development Authority (MSHDA) . . . . . . . . . . A Historical Review of Tax Laws Affecting Low-Income Housing . . . . . . . . . Risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . REVIEW OF RELATED STUDIES . . . . . . . . Limitations of Previous Studies . . . . . Review of Previous Studies . . . . . . . . summary 0 O O O I O O O I O O O O O O O 0 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND DESIGN . . . . . . Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . Formulating the Problem . . . . . . . . Construction of a Computer Model Representative of the System Under Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . Model Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . Design of the Study . . . . . . . . . . . Model Description . . . . . . . . . . . . iv Page vi vii AL.) 11 12 14 16 19 20 26 30 45 53 53 54 64 66 66 67 69 7O 71 87 Chapter Page IV. Description of Input . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 Description of Output . . . . . . . . . . . 98 V. RESEARCH RESULTS AND CONCLUSION . . . . . . . 102 Projected Versus Actual Results and the Impact of Post-1975 Tax Reforms . . . . 103 The Effect of the ERTA of 1981 and Relevant Legislation Variables . . . . 127 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 BIBLIOGRAPHY O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O I O 159 Summary Pre-TRA Summary Pre-TRA Summary Pre-TRA Summary Pre-TRA Summary Pre-TRA Summary Pre-TRA Summary Summary of of of of of of of of of of of of of of LIST OF TABLES Overall Results 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Impact by Marginal Tax Rate 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Percentage of PSI Impact 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Minimum Tax Impact 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Impact by Selling Price 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Impact by Holding Period 1976 Section 8 Housing . . . Payback Results (in quarters) Average Rate of Return Results (in percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Summary of Profitability Index Results . vi Page 105 108 112 116 120 124 130 135 141 LIST OF FIGURES Applicable Recapture Percentages For Section 1250 Property . . . . . ACRS Percentages for All Real Estate (Except Low-Income Housing) . . . . ACRS Percentages for Low-Income Housing Summary of Variables . . . . . . . . . Program Flowchart . . . . . . . . . . . Input Form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Main Program and Subroutines . . . . . Example of Output . . . . . . . . . . . vii Page 37 80 81 85 89 91 96 100 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION The federal government became a significant factor in the housing market in 1934. In that year, the Housing Act of 1934 established the Federal Housing Administration and mortgage insurance programs for single and multifamily houses; insured certain Savings and Loan Association deposits; and created national mortgage associations to provide a secondary market for home mortgages. The magnitude of the federal government's presence some 40 years later is reflected in a Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) statement that "today there is not a significant aspect of the vast, diverse and complex housing market that is not affected by government action in one form or another.”- In 1949 Congress established "the goal of a decent home and suitable living environment for every American family."2 The housing acts of 1949, 1954, 1961, 1964, 1965, 1968, and 1974 attest to the difficulties and frustrations Congress has encountered in attempting to meet this goal. A "Statement of the Council of State Housing Agencies" in 1980 2 Hearings before the House Ways and Means Committee further evidences the difficulty of meeting this goal. Low and moderate income multifamily rental housing is in seriously short supply. According to a recent National Association of Home Builders study "Rental Housing in the 1980's", by 1990 the United States is predicted to have 30 million rental households, 3 million more than at present. Current low vacancy rates are projected to prevail throughout the mid 80's and the demand for rental housing in the next decade will be concentrated in the multifamily sector.umThese lxnv vacancy rates, combined with a dramatic growth in rental households and the current low production of low- income housing all add up to a rental housing crisis which is rapidly approaching. To accommodate demand in the 80's, the annual housing starts for rental apartments must average 400,000 to 450,000 units a year. To sustain such a volume, the subsidized housing sector must contribute 150,000 to 175,000 units a year, up to 45 percent of the total production, and that without sufficient tax incentives, the need for more extensive subsidization will prevail. (Emphasis added.) The lack of success in realizing the goal of a decent home for every American family was highlighted in 1968 and again in 1969 by two study groups: The National Commission on Urban Problems (also known as the Douglas Commission after its chairman, Senator Paul Douglas) and The Presidentds Commission on Urban Housing (also known as the Kaiser Commission after its chairman, Edward E. Kaiser). In 1977, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) undertook a study that focused on the most effective means of encouraging investment in low- and moderate-income rental housing. Another CBO study, in 1978, attempted to provide Congress "with an overview of the wide range of current federal housing programs and housing—related activities, and an understanding of recurring housing policy issues."4 The Douglas and Kaiser Commissions The Douglas Commission (1968) studied housing in addition to other urban problems. The primary housing- related conclusion reached by this commission was "that special tax preferences should not be relied upon as the sole or even the primary instrument to deal with urban housing problemsflS However, the Commission went on to recommend: 1. a change in the tax law "to provide materially more favorable treatment for investment in new residential construction (including major rehabilitation) than in other forms of real estate investmentufl‘ 2. "".prompt revision of the Federal income tax laws to provide increased incentives for investment in low- and moderate-income housing, relative to other real estate investment, where such housing is governmentally subsidized and involves a legal limit upon the allowable return on investor's equity capital." 3. "."the Internal Revenue Code be amended to provide specific incentives for adequate maintenance and rehabilitation of rental residential property by allowing, within appropriate limits, for especially generous tax treatment of investor-owner's expenditures for these purposes with respect to structures of more than some specified age..."6 The Kaiser Commission (1969) concluded that many of the then current income tax provisions arbitrarily discouraged real estate investment. The recommendations of this commission also relied heavily upon tax incentives as a 4 means of encouraging the construction of low- and moderate- income housing. Incentives Provided by Tax Law By enacting the Housing and Urban Development Act of 1968, Congress made a conscious decision to use the federal tax laws in conjunction with direct housing subsidies to induce private developers to produce more residential rental housing, particularly for families of low- and moderate— incomes. That decision, which essentially adopted the recommendation of the Kaiser Commission, was followed by the enactment of incentive provisions in the Tax Reform Act of 1969. Those provisions favored the construction of residential rental property, particularly low- and moderate- income housing, and reduced the tax benefits favoring the construction of other types of real estate. The most notable of these provisions permitted double declining- balance and sum-of-the-year‘s digitds depreciation for new residential property, but proscribed their use for non- residential real estate. Another provision permitted a gain from the sale of low-income residential property to qualify as a long-term capital gain after a holding period substantially shorter than that for other real property. Many of the incentive provisions in the tax law resemble direct government expenditures. For this reason, they have become known as "tax expenditures". In recent years these tax expenditures have become one of the major 5 ways in which the federal government allocates its resources and affects private-sector decisions. In 1967, the first year for which an official tax expenditure budget was compiled, there were 50 items with a total revenue loss of $36.6 billion--20.5 percent of total federal direct outlays in that year and 4.4 percent of the gross national product. By fiscal year 1981, tax expenditures had grown to a total of $228.6 billion--34.6 percent of outlays and 8.0 percent of GNP. A recent tax expenditure budget included 104 items totaling $266.3 billion for fiscal year 1982. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) added eight new tax expenditures, expanded 22, and reduced two others. As a result of the incentive provisions, the federal government exerts more influence through tax expenditures than it does through direct spending in many areas. For example, current tax expenditures for general purpose fiscal assistance are greater than direct federal outlays, and tax expenditures for housing exceed outlays by more than four to one. Tax expenditures add to the federal deficit in the same manner as direct spending programs. They allocate resources and provide incentives and benefits as do spending programs. Low Income Housing Syndication as a_"Tax Shelter" Tax shelters are not entirely a deliberate Congressional creation. They have evolved from the use of various tax provisions in ways often not foreseen. However, their continued existence implies that Congress now intends to subsidize those activities not expressly considered when enacting the tax provision(s). A tax shelter is an “investment" that provides investors with a tax deferral in return for assuming the economic and financial risks of certain activities. In some cases it reflects a specific Congressional policy decision to use tax incentives to direct private capital into certain segments of the economy. An excellent example is the use of tax incentives to encourage investment in government- assisted housing. The essence of a tax shelter is to shield current income from taxation by offsetting it with deductions attributable to operations. Much of the loss is artificial, created by bunching and accelerating deductible expenses in the initial years of shelter operations rather than matching those expenses with the revenues they produce. The investor is thus able to postpone the payment of tax on any economic income from the "shelter" as well as income from other sources. This tax deferral represents a savings to the investor in that he has the use of his funds for a longer period of time, a situation often equated to an interest- free loan. Tax deferral may be relatively permanent where the investor invests in a new shelter when an earlier shelter "burns out", iJL, produces taxable income rather than tax losses. Another significant aspect of tax shelters is the potential for the conversion of ordinary income into long- term capital gain. When an investor deducts losses attributable to Operations, the deduction offsets his ordinary income. However, when an investor sells his investment, part or all of any resulting gain may be recognized as long-term capital gain and qualify for favorable tax treatment. A real estate tax shelter, in its most perfect form, combines a current tax loss with a positive cash flow. To allow investors to benefit from the tax loss, the shelter is usually organized as a partnership. This is advantageous for several reasons, foremost of which are the availability of partnership liabilities to increase the adjusted basis of the partners' interests and the pass-through of losses to the partners. Furthermore, the shelter is usually structured as a limited partnership, to allow investors the added feature of limited legal liability. Tax Legislation Affecting Low-Income Housing The Tax Reform Act g: 1976 (TRA of 1976) The proliferation of tax shelters in the 1970's led to widespread discontent with perceived inequities in the tax law. Congress decided changes were necessary to reduce _ excessive tax deferrals provided by tax shelters and to limit the opportunity to convert ordinary income into potential long-term capital gain. Congress also resolved that high-income individuals should not be able to completely escape their income tax liability. This led to two distinct approaches to curb certain abuses of the law. The first approach aimed at reducing the benefits of the deferral and conversion features of a tax shelter. However, the preferential treatment of low-income housing was continued. One of the TRA of 1976's most significant limitations on real estate investments, the disallowance of current deductions for construction period interest and taxes, did not apply to low-income housing for the five year period through 1981. The Act also expanded the depreciation recapture provisions to prevent the conversion of ordinary income into potential long-term capital gain. Subject to a holding period requirement, low- income housing was also exempted from this provision. The second approach to curbing abuses took the form of bolstering the add-on minimum tax and reducing the benefits of the maximum tax for taxpayers with "tax preference income." The minimum tax (which was enacted so that taxpayers with large amounts of preference income could not entirely avoid taxation) was tightened and the rate was increased from 10 to 15 percent. The change in the maximum tax provisions extended the 50 percent maximum tax rate to personal service income, but provided that eligible income would be reduced by all tax preference income. Congress enacted the RA of 1978 with the purpose of stimulating "consumer and investment spending in order to 9 increase economic growth.w7 ‘The Act provided for a major reduction in the income tax on net capital gains.8 Specifically, the Act increased the percentage of a net capital gain deductible from gross income from 50 to 60 percent. The Act also removed this deduction from the list of tax preferences for both add-on minimum and maximum tax purposes. To ensure that this tax reduction did not result in high-income taxpayers paying little or no income tax, the Act created an "alternative minimum taxJ' The 60 percent capital gain deduction was included in determining the taxpayer's alternative minimum tax (unless it arose through the sale of the taxpayer‘s personal residence), which was payable when it exceeded the sum of the taxpayer‘s regular income tax liability and the add-on minimum tax. The Economic Recovery Tax Act (ERTA) g; 1281 In response to declining productivity growth and a perceived public outcry favoring tax cuts, President Reagan proposed a package of tax cuts in 1981. Congress responded by enacting the ERTA of 1981 which substantially revised the federal income tax treatment of depreciation (now known as "cost recovery“). The newly enacted Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS) generally provides a much faster ”write-off" for real estate investments. The stated purpose of the ACRS is to "provide incentives for investment spending and contribute immediately to cash flow for the financing of such spending."9 10 Three changes made by the ERTA of 1981 were important preferential provisions intended to aid low- and moderate- income housing. The first of these is the availability of 200 percent declining balance cost recovery for low-income housing (while other real property eligible for cost recovery is limited to a maximum of 175 percent declining balance). A second major differential is the permanent exemption of low-income housing from the requirement to capitalize and amortize construction period interest and taxes. The House Ways and Means Committee Report provides the following rationale for this differential: To prevent a slow down of construction of low- income housing, the committee believes it is necessary to exempt low-income housing from the rule requiring capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes.10 A third provision enacted by the ERTA of 1981 was designed to increase the differential between residential and commercial real property. This change significantly increases the amount that must be recaptured as ordinary income on the sale of commercial real property for which the optional straight-line ACRS capital recovery method is not adopted. The existing depreciation recapture differential between low-income and other residential real property was left intact. The ERTA of 1981 also repealed the maximum tax on personal service income and reduced the tOp individual tax rate from 70 to 50 percent beginning in 1982. In addition to eliminating the highest marginal tax rates, this change 11 effectively reduced the highest tax rate on net capital gains from 28 to 20 percent (from 70 percent of 40 percent to 50 percent of 40 percent). By decreasing the maximum tax rate on net capital gains, the ERTA provides an additional investment incentive. Purpose of the Study The objective of this study is to assess the impact of various income tax provisions on the incentive to invest in newly constructed government—assisted housing syndicated in the limited partnership form. The study focuses on provisions enacted by the ERTA of 1981. Furthermore, amendments made by the TRA of 1976 and the RA of 1978 are examined where appropriate. The more specific objectives of this study are: 1. To determine the extent to which an investor's expected return from low-income housing differs from his actual return. 2. To determine the relative impact of the tax legislation on investment returns earned in low-income housing syndications by investors with different characteristics (iJL, marginal tax rate, investment holding period). 3. To determine the impact of the ERTA on expected returns for an investment in low- income housing. 12 4. To investigate the differential impact of the provisions specifically enacted to provide an incentive for investment in low-income housing. Research Methodology Two computer programs were developed to assist in this study. The first program was used to analyze investor expectations at the time of investment in six early Section 8 housing syndications.1l The investments examined consisted of government—assisted housing syndications for which the Michigan State Housing Development Authority (MSHDA) has a compete history (financial statements through at least 1980). This sample represents all MSHDA Section 8 housing syndications for which initial closing predates the TRA of 1976. This program develops the cash flows generated directly by these projects through Operation, sale, or refinancing; and indirectly in the form of tax savings or additional tax liability. Because this program attempts to measure expectations for pre-1976 investments, the tax savings or costs are developed using the law existing prior to the TRA of 1976. The program also develops several measures of return as explained below. A second computer program estimates the return earned by investors in Section 8 housing utilizing the actual tax law applicable to each tax year (through the ERTA of 1981). 13 The program develops the cash flows generated directly by these projects through operation, sale, or refinancing; and indirectly in the form of tax savings or additional tax liability. The various measures of return developed by the program are discussed below. Measures 2: Return Several measures of return are calculated for each investor profile. A review of the real estate and investment literature suggested several return measures that are used in practice. The output of this study provides the following: the internal rate of return, the payback period, the present value of cash flows over the initial cash investment (a profitability index), and the average rate of return. Variables The investor profiles are created by incorporating multiple values for three taxpayer, two investment, and three legislation variables. The first of the three taxpayer variables is the marginal tax rate. This study evaluates each of the pre-1982 investor profiles at three levels--70 percent, 60 percent, and 50 percent. Since the highest marginal tax bracket for 1982 and later years is 50 percent, this variable remains constant for the reformulated (post-1981) projections. The second taxpayer variable is the percentage of taxable income realized in the form of personal service 14 income (PSI). This study evaluates each of the pre-1982 investor profiles at three 1evels--90, 50, and 20 percent PSI. Since the maximum tax has been repealed for 1982 and later years, this variable remains constant for the reformulated (post-1981) projections. The last taxpayer variable is the amount of the investor‘s tax preference items. This study evaluates each of the investor profiles at two levels: UJ all the preferences from an investment in the syndication are subject to the add-on minimum tax, and (2) assuming the investor‘s tax preferences before his investment in the particular low-income housing syndication were average for someone of his income level (based on the latest IRS statistics). The first of the two investment variables utilized in this study is the investor‘s holding period. Three holding periods are evaluated for each investor profile-~nine, 12, and 15 years. The second investment variable is the selling price of the investment. This study evaluates each of the investor profiles at three possible selling prices--three percent compounded annual growth, no appreciation or loss in value, and the mortgage balance at the end of each of the holding periods. Limitations of the Study Investment decisions are based on an analysis of at least two factors, return and risk. The difficulty 15 associated with measuring risk in a real estate investment is discussed in Chapter II. This study does not specifically incorporate any measures of risk. However, intuition suggests that, to the extent the TRA of 1976 reduced early year losses, the risk was increased. Alternatively, to the extent that the RA of 1978 increased the return on a sale of real estate and the ERTA of 1981 increased the early year losses, it would appear to decrease the risk of these investments. A second limitation of this study is one that attends any simulation project. The complexities of the real world can never be perfectly duplicated, nor can every possible combination of variables be considered. Therefore, the generalizability of the results may be limited. A thorough review of the relevant literature, interviews with individuals knowledgeable in real estate matters, and an analysis of dozens of actual real estate limited partnership prospectuses were performed to ascertain the validity of the model. The use of a number of data sets in this model increases the generalizability of the results. Several less significant limitations should be noted. No analysis was undertaken to determine the effect of the tax law changes on the attractiveness of other investments Une., bonds and stocks). Additionally, consideration of the effects of the various tax changes on supply and demand, shifts in relative tax burdens, and changes in rental rates were not considered in this study. 16 Significance of the Study The primary significance of this study is to provide a framework for future policymaking, assuming that Congress wil 1 continue to use the tax system to encourage (or discourage) various segments of the real estate sector. The first set of objectives in this study provides policymakers with some empirical evidence regarding the changes made by the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and ERTA of 1981 on investments in low-income housing syndications that preceded these changes. If the changes have retroactively and significantly affected an investor's return, it may indicate a lack of certainty (regarding the tax aspects) that may discourage rather than encourage investment. If the changes have not materially affected investment return, then the legislation has created a myriad of complex provisions which, if eliminated, would allow investors to more readily evaluate available incentives. A second set of objectives addresses the impact of the ERTA of 1981 on low-income housing investments. The decrease in the maximum marginal tax rate from 70 percent to 50 percent beginning in 1982 wil 1 act to offset the beneficial effects of the shorter recovery lives of the ACRS and a decrease in the maximum net capital gain tax rate. This study provides evidence of the extent to which these countervailing provisions affect an investor‘s return. Furthermore, an examination of three specific differentials 17 in aid of newly constructed government-assisted housing provides evidence as to the wisdom of retaining (or expanding) those "tax expenditures". 18 CHAPTER I FOOTNOTES 1 U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Deve10pment (HUD), Housing in the 70' s (Washington: (LS. Government Printing Office, 1974).;L 1. 2 Housing Act 9; 1949, (LS. Code Annotated, Title 42, Sec. 1441 (1969). 3 Hearings Before the Committee on Ways and Means--House of Representatives on the Advisability of Enactment in 1980 of a Tax Cut to be Effective Beginning January 1, 1981, 96th Cong., 2nd sess., Serial 96-135, pt. 3 at p. 2032 (1980). 4 U.S. Congressional Budget Office, Federal Housing Policy: Current Programs and Recurring Issues (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1978), p. 4. 5 U.SL Congress, House of Representatives, Building the American City--Report Lf the National Commission Ln Urban Problems to the Congress and to the President Lf the United States, House Doc. 91- 34, 9lst Cong., lst sess., (1968), P. 406. 5 Ibid. 7Report Lf the Staff Lf the Joint Committee Ln Taxation, 95th Cong., 2nd sess., P. L. 95- -600, (1979), p. 6. 8 Net capital gain is the excess of the net long-term capital gain over the net short-term capital loss. 9 Senate Report, 97th Cong., lst sess., Serial 97-144 (1981)! p. 13. 10 House Report, 97th Cong., lst sess., Serial 97-201 (1981)] p0 2860 11 The Section 8 Program for subsidized housing was authorized by the Housing and Community Development Act Lf 1974. CHAPTER II AN OVERVIEW OF SECTION 8 HOUSING AND THE TAX LAW AS IT AFFECTS INVESTMENTS IN LOW-INCOME HOUSING The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) administers several programs designed to reduce the housing costs of lower-income persons. The principal federal housing assistance programs are: (1) low-rent public housing, (2) Section 235 homeownership assistance, (3) Section 236 rental assistance, (4) Section 8 existing housing, (5) Section 8 new construction/substantial rehabilitation, and (6) rent supplements. For the 30 years following its authorization in 1937, the public housing program served as the federal government‘s primary assistance mechanism. The Section 235, Section 236, and rent supplement programs were authorized during the late 1960's and were heavily utilized programs for several years thereafter. In 1973, activity in the Section 235 and 236 programs was halted under a national moratorium imposed by the Nixon Administration. Housing assistance activity resumed with the passage of the 1974 Housing and Community Development Act, which authorized the Section 8 programs. Since that time, Section 19 20 8, low-rent public housing, and a revised Section 235 program have been the most heavily utilized housing assistance devices. The following discussion is an overview of the Section 8 housing program administered by HUD and its relationship to the Michigan State Housing Development Authority (MSHDA). HUD Section 8 Program Section 8 of the Housing and Community Development Act of 1974 provides for federal assistance to subsidize the rents of qualified tenants. Under the Section 8 Program, two principal contracts are executed. First, HUD enters an "Agreement to Enter into Housing Assistance Payments Contract" with the owner of the development to be constructed. This agreement (the "Preliminary HAP Contract"), subject to certain conditions, commits the mortgagor and HUD to enter into a Housing Assistance Payments Contract (the "HAP Contract") upon completion and acceptance of the development.1 The HAP Contract provides for the payment of the subsidy by HUD to the owner. The subsidy contracts provide for the payment of the Section 8 subsidy for an effective period of not more than 40 years.2 HUD regulations provide that the subsidy will terminate not later than such time as the mortgage loan is fully repaid. The Section 8 subsidy is payable only in respect to eligible tenants (generally defined as persons whose median adjusted family income does not exceed 70 21 percent of the median family income for the area).3 The Regulatory Agreement requires that 30 percent of all units be rented to "very low-income” persons as defined by HUD regulations.4 It is the obligation of the landlord to ascertain the eligibility of prospective tenants, but all prospective tenants are subject to approval by MSHDA. Tenant incomes are recertified annually (except in the case of the elderly, who are required to recertify income every two years). A tenant is not required to leave the project if his income increases above eligibility limits, but rental assistance payments for his apartment cease if, and for so long as, his income equals or exceeds 30 percent of the gross rent for that apartment.5 The renting of apartment units and the selection of tenants must be nondiscriminatory and must comply with a HUD-approved "Affirmative Fair Housing Marketing Plan". Section 8 subsidies received by the owner are based upon the "Contract Rent" applicable to specified dwelling units. The Contract Rent is initially based on the "fair market rent" for the dwelling unit, as determined periodically by HUD, with respect to each locality (and published in the Federal Register). Contract Rent may be initially established at up to 120 percent of the fair market rent. Contract Rent over 100 percent of the fair market rent requires HUD approval upon a showing of special circumstances. The amount of the subsidy actually payable 22 to the owner is the Contract Rent less payments made to the mortgagor by the tenant as determined by HUD. The tenant payment is limited to 30 percent of family income; for very large families and in certain other situations, the tenant payment may be as low as 15 percent of family income.6 Thus, the total rental income from subsidized housing units payable to or for the account of the mortgagor equals the Contract Rent, part being paid by the tenants directly to the owner and the remainder being paid by HUD. The prOportion of the Contract Rent actually paid by HUD and that actually paid by tenants varies from month to month depending upon tenant income. The maximum amount of money available for subsidy payments under a HAP Contract equals the initial Contract Rents for all assisted units in the development. If the amount actually disbursed under the HAP Contract in a given year is less than the total available amount, the excess is set aside by HUD in an account for the particular development. Such amount is then available to fund future increases in Contract Rents. Under the Section 8 Program, as administered for state housing finance agencies, HUD enters into an Annual Contributions Contract.("ACC”) with MSHDA. Utilizing funds received from HUD pursuant to an ACC, MSHDA enters into a Housing Assistance Payments Contract ("HAP Contract") with a private owner developing a new multifamily rental project. The MSHDA agrees to make housing assistance payments to the 23 private owner for. an agreed upon number of units in the project, which may be less than all of such units. The monthly payments are equal to the difference between (1) a negotiated "contract rent" for the covered apartment units plus any utility a1 lowance, and (2) the rent required to be paid by the tenants of those units.7 The HAP Contract is executed only after MSHDA has certified to HUD that the construction of the project is complete and the local HUD office has verified the certification. For projects constructed in stages, separate MSHDA project completion certifications are submitted to HUD for each stage. When verified by HUD, the HAP Contract is executed in stages and housing assistance payments with respect to the completed units are made available. ,All of the terms of MSHDA's agreements with the project's owner under Section 8, including the proposed contract rents, are subject to HUD approval. Generally, the Section 8 subsidy is payable for a dwelling unit only when it is occupied by a lower-income family. However, the law and the regulations provide for payment of the subsidy under certain limited circumstances when a dwelling unit is not occupied. Upon completion of the project, 80 percent of the Contract Rent for vacant units being held for rent to eligible tenants is payable during a period not exceeding 60 days. This payment is subject to compliance by the 24 mortgagor with certain conditions relating primarily to a diligent effort to rent the subsidized unit. HUD regulations provide that the payment of a subsidy for a vacant dwelling unit.(whether vacant before or after initial rent-up) may continue for an additional 12 months.8 The subsidy for a vacant dwelling unit is equal to that portion of the Contract Rent attributable to debt service on the permanent financing for the dwelling unit, provided that (1) the unit is in decent, safe and sanitary condition during the vacancy period, (2) the owner has taken and continues to take all feasible actions to fill the vacancy, (3) the development is not providing the owner with revenues equal to costs incurred, and (4) the owner submits a statement with supporting evidence that the development can achieve financial soundness within a reasonable time. Provision is made in the regulations for HUD to determine an automatic annual adjustment factor at least annually and to publish such factors in the Federal Register.9 On each anniversary date of the HAP Contract, Contract Rents are automatically adjusted in accordance with the factor, subject to a finding that rents in the Project's marketing area have risen by a comparable amount. In addition, provision is made in the regulations for special additional adjustments to reflect increases in actual and necessary expenses of owning and maintaining the subsidized units to the extent that such increases are not adequately compensated by the automatic annual adjustments. 25 Funds for the payment of increased subsidies that may result from the adjustment, described above, are obtained in two ways. The law provides for a payment (by HUD) into a special reserve account for each subsidized development of the amount by which the Contract Rents exceed the actual subsidy paid. Initially this is equivalent of the amount of rent paid by the tenants. The amount of increases in the subsidy payable by reason of increases in the Contract Rent are initially drawn from this fund. When the HUD-approved estimate of required annual contributions exceeds the maximum HAP commitment then in effect and would cause the amount in such fund to be less than 40 percent of the maximum HAP commitment, HUD is required to take additional steps to obtain funds and bring the amount in the account to the 40 percent level. Despite the commitment of HUD to take all necessary steps to insure that assistance payments are increased on a timely basis, there can be no assurance that such increases will be forthcoming. The HAP Contract has an initial term of five years renewable at the option of the owner for additional five year periods up to a maximum of 30 years. Even during the 30-year commitment period, however, the yearly contributions are subject to annual appropriation by Congress. The regulations provide that in the event of foreclosure, or assignment or sale to MSHDA in lieu of foreclosure, or in the event of an assignment or sale agreed 26 to by MSHDA and approved by HUD, subsidy payments will continue in accordance with the HAP Contract. The Preliminary HAP Contract and the HAP Contract each contain numerous agreements on the part of the owner including maintenance of the development as decent, safe and sanitary housing and compliance with a number of requirements typical of federal contracts (such as those relating to nondiscrimination, equal employment opportunity, relocation, pollution control and labor standards). Noncompliance by either HUD or the mortgagor, or both, might endanger the payment of the federal subsidy. Michigan State Housing Development Authority (MSHDA) The MSHDA was established by the Housing Development Authority Act of 1966 (the "MSHDA Act"). It is an independent state agency governed by a seven-member board. The MSHDA provides nonrecourse construction and permanent loans at rates lower than conventional market rates for multiple-unit housing projects designed to be available at low- and moderate-rentals. The MSHDA was created to assist in providing an adequate supply of housing for persons and families of low and moderate means. The enabling legislation authorized MSHDA to finance housing by purchasing mortgages and by making or participating in the making of construction and permanent mortgage loans to eligible sponsors, as well as 27 directly to persons and families of low- or moderate-income. In each case, MSHDA must determine that financing is not otherwise available from private lenders upon reasonably equivalent terms and conditions. All rental determinations and tenant selection plans are subject to MSHDA approval. During the period of indebtedness to MSHDA, the mortgagor must conduct itself as a limited-profit entity as that term is defined in the Michigan Statutes. Any and al 1 distributions, including any available distributions upon dissolution, are expressly subject to Michigan statutes. The annual cash return on equity to the investors may not exceed a MSHDA-determined percentage.10 All distributions in any one fiscal year are limited to six percent of the equity investment. Although the right to make a six percent distribution is cumulative, MSHDA has no obligation to approve any increase in rentals for the purpose of providing a surplus for distribution of accumulated deficiencies from prior years. In any event, no distribution can be made (1) without the approval of MSHDA, (2) at any time other than after the end of an annual fiscal period, (3) prior to the final closing, or (4) except in compliance with the provisions of the Regulatory Agreements, the rules and regulations of MSHDA and the laws of the State of Michigan. The mortgage and the regulations of MSHDA impose certain restrictions on the sale of a development.11 Accordingly, the investors are not able to dispose of the development without MSHDA's consent while the loan is 28 outstanding. Also, the loan may not be refinanced without MSHDAIs consent for 20 years after commencement of amortization. It may be refinanced thereafter only upon payment of a prepayment penalty in an amount calculated as provided in the mortgage note. The activities of the project are regulated by MSHDA, which has the power, among other things, to (I) examine all books and records, (2) supervise the Operation and maintenance of the property, (3) fix rents, (4) control tenant selection, and (5) determine that the mortgage loan is in jeopardy of not being repaid, that the develOpment is in jeOpardy of not being constructed or that the investors are otherwise not carrying out the intent and purposes of the statute under which MSHDA was established.12 In any such event, MSHDA may appoint a manager who has full control over any and all Operations. The agreement between MSHDA and the investors with respect to such restrictions, regulation, and control is set forth in a MSHDA Regulatory Agreement. MSHDA reviews each application for financing to determine, prior to making a commitment with respect to a project, whether the project is sound physically and economically and will generate sufficient income from rents to pay all operating costs plus principal and interest. Capital for MSHDA loans is obtained from the sale of tax-exempt anticipation notes and bonds. MSHDA loans are general 1y equal to, but in no event more than, 90 percent of 29 the project replacement cost as computed by MSHDA for the limited-profit mortgagor. The permanent loan has a term of 30 years. The policy of MSHDA is to set the interest costs for construction loans at a premium over the prevailing rate at which MSHDA must sel 1 its notes and to set the maximum interest costs for permanent loans at the prevailing bond market plus an additional 1 1/2 percent per annum. The MSHDA reserves the full power to refinance any or a1 1 of its borrowings, the proceeds of which are used to provide construction and/or permanent mortgage loans. In the event of any such refinancing that results in an adjustment to the interest costs, such adjustments may be passed along to the entities to which MSHDA has provided construction or permanent financing. The MSHDA mortgages include provisions that mortgage payments may be increased to cover administrative and bond payment expenses. The mortgage loan made by MSHDA to the mortgagor is a non- recourse loan. Pursuant to Section 15a of the State Housing Development Authority Act of 1966 (MCLA 125.1415a), Section 8 housing is exempted from real estate taxation but is required to make payments in lieu of real estate taxes to reimburse the municipality for services provided. The amount of reimbursement is limited to the greater of the tax in effect on the property prior to the date construction began or 10 percent of the annual shelter rents (defined as 30 the rents paid by tenants of the project minus portions of rental payments attributable to utility costs). A Historical Review of Tax Laws Affecting Low-income Housing The development of the federal tax law involving low- income housing investments is presented below; The purpose is to provide a perspective for understanding the tax changes that form the basis of this study. Investment Vehic l e To provide "tax shelter," an investment must be able to pass through to the investors any losses, capital losses, capital gains, or credits. Partnerships, and more specifically limited partnerships, provide this conduit feature which, with limited exceptions, is not available in the corporate form of organization. Therefore, the availability of tax benefits to an investor is usually dependent upon classification as a partnership rather than as an association taxable as a corporation. The classification of an entity under state law does not control for federal income tax purposes. Whether or not an entity will be considered an association (and thereby taxed as a corporation) for federal income tax purposes depends upon the number of corporate attributes it possesses. Reg. Sec. 30l.7701-2(a) lists six attributes of a "pure“ corporation: 31 1. associates 2. an objective to conduct a business and divide the gains therefrom 3. continuity of life 4. centralized management 5. limited liability 6. free transferability of interests The tax regulations provide that an unincorporated organization shall not be classified as an association unless it possesses more corporate than noncorporate attributes. In making this determination, the attributes common to both corporations and partnerships (iJe., one and two above) are disregarded. Therefore, a partnership must possess three or more of the last four attributes before it will be classified as an association for federal income tax purposes. General Principles pf Partnership Taxation A partnership files an annual income tax return but is not subject, as an entity, to federal income taxes. Each partner is required to report an allocable share of the partnership income, gain, loss, credit and items of tax preference. Each partner is subject to tax on a distributive share of the partnershipfls annual taxable income, regardless of whether any distribution is actually made during the year. Consequently, a partner's share of the taxable income of the partnership, and the tax liability 32 with respect thereto, may exceed the cash and the value of other property actually distributed in a given taxable year. Present law permits each partner to deduct his share of the partnership‘s losses against income from other sources to the extent of the tax basis Of his interest in the partnership determined as of the close of each taxable year. Losses that exceed a partner's tax basis may be carried over indefinitely and deducted in any year to the extent such basis exceeds zero. In any low-income housing syndication it is anticipated that the tax losses from ownership and Operation will decline over time and eventually will produce taxable income in excess of cash flow from normal operations. This arises because the annual depreciation deductions, under accelerated depreciation methods, decline from year to year. In addition, under a substantially level payment mortgage (such as a MSHDA Mortgage Loan), the portion of each payment that represents nondeductible amortization of principal increases from year to year and the portion representing deductible interest decreases. If the cash distributed by the partnership for any year exceeds its taxable income for the year, the excess constitutes a return of capital. This return first reduces the tax basis of the recipient’s interest in the partnership. Any amounts in excess of such tax basis result in a recognition of gain by such partner in the amount of such excess. To the extent that such a distribution is 33 attributable to "substantially appreciated" inventory or "unrealized receivables" (including depreciation subject to recapture) it will be taxed at ordinary income rates. Calculation of a Partner's Adjusted Basis A partner may offset income earned from other sources by his distributive share of partnership losses. A partner is entitled to deduct his distributive share of the partnershipfls net loss to the extent of the adjusted basis in his interest. Under current law, a partner's adjusted basis in his interest is equal to the amount of cash contributed increased by (1) his pro rata share (in the same proportion as such partner shares partnership profits) of nonrecourse indebtedness to which the partnership property is subject, and (2) his pro rata share of items of partnership income and gain, and reduced, but not below zero, by (a) his pro rata share of items of partnership loss and deduction and (b) any cash distributions received by such partner from the partnership. In calculating a partner‘s adjusted basis in his interest, any reduction in the amount of the partnership"s nonrecourse indebtedness (including a reduction due to monthly amortization of the mortgage loan) is treated as a cash distribution. A reduction in a partner‘s allocable share of partnership nonrecourse debt reduces the adjusted basis of such partner's interest. Commencing in taxable years beginning after 1978, Section 465 Of the Code limits the amount of loss that a 34 taxpayer may claim on investments to the amount that the taxpayer has "at risk". These limitations do not apply, however, to any partnership the principal activity of which is holding real property (other than mineral property);t3 Depreciation and Depreciation Recapture Current federal income tax law permits a taxpayer to claim recovery deductions based on the entire cost of depreciable improvements, even though such improvements are financed with borrowed money. Prior to the ERTA of 1981, buildings were depreciated under either the composite method or the component method. Under the composite method, a group Of assets are placed into a single account and depreciated at a single rate. For example, a building would be depreciated by applying a single rate to the composite account. The rate was essentially a weighted average, equal to the sum of the annual depreciation deductions allowable for each component, divided by the total cost of the components. The taxpayer was allowed to calculate the composite rate in this manner if he was able to establish the useful life and the cost of each component. Alternatively, the taxpayer could use the guideline composite life provided by the Class Life Asset Depreciation Range (CLADR) system to determine the composite rate. There are no CLADR classes for real prOperty; however, a taxpayer electing CLADR may determine the useful life of real 35 property by reference to Rev. Proc. 62-21 (1962-2 CB 418). The guideline life, under Rev. Proc. 62-21, for an apartment building is 40 years. Utilizing this life would yield a 200 percent declining balance (200 DB) rate Of five percent. In the case of component depreciation, each structural component is segregated and depreciated separately. The effective useful life produced under this method is generally shorter than the guideline composite life. Hence, this method generally produced larger recovery deductions in the early years of ownership. Under the ACRS enacted by the ERTA Of 1981, real property is assigned a 15-year recovery period, but taxpayers may elect straight-line cost recovery over a 15, 35, or 45 year extended period. Composite depreciation is required. For real property other than low-income housing, the property can be depreciated using a maximum 175 percent declining balance (175 DB) method, changing to the straight- line method to maximize acceleration. Low-income housing can be depreciated under a maximum 200 DB method changing to straight-line. While accelerated depreciation tends to provide investors with a tax deferral in the early years of shelter Operations, it is not without disadvantages. Excess depreciation on real property is a tax preference item with potential effects on both the minimum tax and, prior to 1982, on the maximum tax. Additionally, when the property is sold, the depreciation recapture provisions of Sec. 1250 36 may reclassify part or all of any resulting gain as ordinary income. The Code provides that, in the event Of the sale or other disposition of depreciable real property, all depreciation claimed with respect to the property is "recaptured" (iJL, is subject to tax at ordinary income rates) if the sale or disposition occurs before the property has been held for more than a year. If the property has been held for more than a year at the time of such sale or disposition, then it is usually necessary to segregate the excess depreciation claimed into three components: post- 1975 excess depreciation, post-1969 to pre-1976 excess depreciation, and pre-1970 excess depreciation. When a portion of the gain is subject to recapture under more than one set of rules, it is necessary to recapture the depreciation attributable to the most recent component first. Thus, excess depreciation attributable to the post- 1975 component is recaptured before any recapture of the excess depreciation claimed in the earlier components. If the recognized gain exceeds the aggregate excess depreciation from each prior step(s), the procedure is repeated until all of the recapturable income from each component is determined. Figure 1 on the next page summarizes the provisions of Sec. 1250. 37 Excess Depreciation Residential Government- (Cost Recovery) Rental Real assisted Components Attribu- Property Housing table to the Period: (generally)l 1976 through the 100 percent 200 month rule2 date of disposal recapture 1970 through 19753 200 month rule 120 month rule2 1964 through 19693 120 month rule 120 month rule 1. See IRC Secs. 1250(a)(1)(B) and 1250(a)(2)(B). 2. The applicable percentage under the 200 month rule is 100% less 1% for every month the property is held in excess of 100 months. The applicable percentage under the 120 month rule is 100% less 1% for every month the property is held in excess of 20 months. 3. Note that although the recapture rules have been changed twice since 1963, any excess depreciation attributable to years prior to 1976 is still recaptured under these rules. The holding period is always computed from the acquisition date to the disposal date. Figure 1. Applicable Recapture Percentages For Section 1250 Property. 38 Whether or not the property has been held for more than a year, the amount of depreciation subject to recapture, as determined in accordance with the above rules, can never exceed (1) in the case Of a sale, exchange or involuntary conversion, the excess of the amount realized over the adjusted basis of the property; or (2) in the case Of any other disposition, the excess of the fair market value of the property over its adjusted basis.14 These depreciation recapture rules apply to the sale or other disposition Of a partnership interest. However, the amount of recapture attributable to such sale or disposition is limited to the partner‘s pro rata share of the project's excess depreciation with regard to real property. Gains 9g Sales of Limited Partnership Interests In general, the sale of a limited partnership interest by a holder who is not a "dealer" with respect to such interest is treated as a sale of a capital asset. However, gain on such a sale would be subject to ordinary income tax rates to the extent that the partnership holds inventory items that have "substantially appreciated" in value or "unrealized receivables" (including depreciation recapture) as these terms are defined in Code Sec. 751. The amount of gain realized on the sale of any interest will, in general, be the excess of the sale price plus the limited partner's share of liabilities as to which no partner has any personal 39 liability (such as the MSHDA Mortage Loan) over the adjusted basis Of the limited partner's interest. In determining the amount realized on the disposition of the project, the amount of the outstanding mortgage loan is treated as money received by the partnership-15 This is true even when the fair market value Of the property in question is less than the outstanding balance of the mortgage indebtedness secured by the property. For example, if, at the time of a mortgage foreclosure, the tax basis of the project was $1,000,000, the principal balance of the mortgage loan was $1,500,000 and the project was sold for $1.00 on foreclosure, the amount of taxable income recognized on such sale would be at least $500,001 even if the project had a fair market value Of less than $1,500,000. However, no cash would be available for distribution, so that the limited partners would have substantial gain with no current distribution of cash to pay any tax due. If, instead, the project were sold for a price above the then outstanding balance of the mortgage loan, the adequacy of the cash to pay taxes due would depend upon the specific facts. The amount of gain recognized on a foreclosure or sale is treated as a Section 1231 gain except that the portion Of the gain representing "depreciation recapture" attributable to the project is treated as ordinary income in accordance with the rules set forth above. 40 Construction Period Interest and Taxes The most significant provision of the TRA of 1976 restricting the availability Of early year (front-end) deductions in a tax shelter was Code Section 189. It provides that amounts paid or accrued by a taxpayer that constitute "construction period interest and taxes" on real property are not deductible in their entirety for federal income tax purposes in the year paid or accrued. They are required to be capitalized and amortized over subsequent years beginning with the year following the year paid or accrued or, if later, the year in which the property is placed in service. Separate transitional rules were provided for non- residential real estate, residential real estate, and low- income housing. In the case Of low-income housing, the limitations set forth were to apply to construction period interest and taxes paid or accrued in taxable years beginning after 1981. As previously noted, the ERTA Of 1981 permanently exempts low-income housing from the requirement to capitalize construction period interest and taxes. The Minimum and Maximum Tax Restricting depreciation and the current deduction of construction period interest and taxes represents a direct approach to reducing the deferral and conversion aspects of a tax shelter. The adoption of the minimum and maximum tax 41 provisions in the Tax Reform Act (TRA) of 1969 represented a unique approach toward tax equity. The minimum tax was conceived to insure that taxpayers with large economic income, but little or no taxable income due to certain tax incentives, paid some income tax. Prior to the TRA Of 1969, no limit was placed on the amount Of income that a taxpayer could exclude from tax as a result of the various incentive tax provisions. Many taxpayers with high incomes, who could benefit from the these incentives, paid lower effective rates Of income tax than many taxpayers of modest income. In some cases, taxpayers with large economic incomes paid no tax at all. The maximum tax provisions were adopted with the justification that high rates of tax on earned income tended to create distortions in our tax system. It was thought that one way to reduce the use of tax avoidance devices was to reduce the high tax rates on earned income, but only where these devices generally were not utilized. The TRA of 1969 imposed an “add-on" minimum tax equal to 10 percent Of the sum of an individual's tax preferences, reduced by the taxpayer's regular income tax and a $30,000 exemption. Among the tax preference items subject to this tax were two items relevant to investors in low-income housing. They were the excluded half of the taxpayer‘s long-term capital gain and that portion of the depreciation on real property in excess of straight-line. 42 Because the minimum tax provided a rather generous exemption ($30,000 plus the individual's regular income tax liability), few taxpayers ever incurred a minimum tax liability. This provision was amended by the TRA of 1976 which reduced the exemption to the greater Of $10,000 or one-half of the individual's regular income tax liability. Additionally, a carryover Of the unused portion of the taxpayer's regular income taxes as an Offset against tax preference items Of subsequent years was eliminated and the tax rate increased from 10 to 15 percent. This substantial tightening of the minimum tax rules applied to preferences arising from pre-TRA of 1976 investments. Because the more restrictive rules of the TRA of 1976 caused a hardship for taxpayers with large nonrecurring capital gains, the RA of 1978 restructured the minimum tax. After October 31, 1978, the excluded portion of any long- term capital gain is no longer a tax preference item for purposes of the add-on minimum tax. Under the RA Of 1978, a new minimum tax (known as the "alternative minimum tax") was created. The starting point in computing this tax is gross income. When gross income is reduced byiall allowable deductions and increased by the sum of the tax preferences for adjusted itemized deductions and for the capital gains deduction (increased to 60 percent by the RA Of 1978), it yields an amount known as "alternative minimum taxable incomeJ' The tax rate applied to this income was: zero on the first $20,000; 10 percent on the 43 next $40,000; 20 percent on the next $40,000; and 25 percent on the excess over $100,000. The taxpayer's alternative minimum tax is the excess of the tax determined on the alternative minimum taxable income over the taxpayer's regular income tax liability (if any). Two amendments to the minimum tax provisions relevant to real estate investments were made by the ERTA of 1981. First, to conform the alternative minimum tax to the maximum tax rate on long-term capital gains of 20 percent, the maximum rate was reduced to 20 percent of alternative minimum taxable income in excess of $60,000. Second, the add-on minimum tax preference for accelerated cost recovery on 15-year real property was modified to the excess of the cost recovery deduction over 15 year straight-line cost recovery. The TRA of 1969 provided for a maximum tax rate of 50 percent on earned income to reduce the incentive to shelter this form of income. The Act also provided that in certain circumstances the income eligible for the maximum 50 percent rate would be reduced. To the extent an individual's tax preferences exceeded $30,000, income eligible for the 50 percent maximum was reduced on a dollar for dollar basis. The TRA of 1976, in a further effort to reduce the incentives for tax shelters, eliminated the $30,000 preference exemption. After 1976, all tax preference items reduce the individual's income (dollar for dollar) eligible for the 50 percent maximum tax. However, the Act also 44 expanded the income eligible for the 50 percent maximum to include personal service income. This expanded definition includes pension, annuity, and deferred compensation income. The RA of 1978, in line with the adoption Of the alternative minimum tax, eliminated the long-term capital gain deduction as an offset against income eligible for the 50 percent maximum effective for sales after October 1978. The ERTA of 1981 reduced the maximum marginal tax rate on all income, passive or earned, to 50 percent beginning in 1982. Thus the maximum tax was no longer required and was repealed for tax years beginning after 1981. Certain State Tax Aspects The partnerships in this study are organized under the laws of the State Of Michigan. Michigan revised its taxation Of business by levying, effective January 1, 1976, a "single business tax" on the privilege of doing business within the State. The single business tax applies to every individual, corporation, partnership, estate, or trust with "business activity" allocated or apportioned to Michigan. Business activity, for purposes of the single business tax, includes the rental Of real property. The single business tax replaces the Michigan income tax with respect to corporations. Individuals, estates, and trusts remain subject to the Michigan income tax. The single business tax imposed on the partnership for any taxable year will, under present Michigan law, be 2.35 45 percent of the lesser of either: 1. 50 percent of the adjusted gross receipts of the Partnership, or 2. the "adjusted tax base" of the Partnership. The adjusted tax base of the partnership for any taxable year will ordinarily be the federal taxable income (or loss) Of the partnership for the year modified by: 1. adding certain expenses, such as compensation paid, interest paid, and depreciation on real and personal property, deducted for federal income tax purposes for the year: and 2. subtracting (a) interest received, and (b) the cost of depreciable real and personal property paid for by the Partnership during the year (the "Capital Acquisition Deduction"), and (c) an exemption for small business. If this calculation produces a negative adjusted tax base, the "loss" is carried forward as an Offset to the adjusted tax base for the years following the loss year or until the loss is utilized, whichever occurs first. Because of this carryover provision, none Of the partnerhips in this study will incur a single business tax in their first 16 years. Risk Risk is an important factor in evaluating the potential return from an investment. Much of the current research in 46 accounting utilizes some measure of risk. Several attempts to quantify the risk Of a real estate investment have been conducted using highly simplified data. No attempt has yet been made to quantify risk in a real estate investment utilizing a limited partnership as an investment vehicle. The following discussion is intended to acquaint the reader with some potential problems in quantifying the risk of a government-assisted housing investment. General Risks 9: Real Estate Ownership Investments in real estate ventures are subject to the risk Of adverse changes in general economic and local conditions, such as an over-supply of dwelling units in the area; lack of attractiveness of the property to tenants: adverse changes in neighborhood values; zoning laws, rent controls, other laws and regulations regarding real property tax rates; and the ability of the enterprise to provide for adequate maintenance of its property. Also, certain expenditures associated with equity investments in real estate (principally mortgage payments, real estate taxes and maintenance costs) are not normally decreased by events adversely affecting income. Construction Completion The construction Of the project entails risks such as strikes, energy shortages, shortages Of material and labor for construction, inflation, adverse weather and other contingencies that can cause costs to exceed estimates. 47 Completion of the project may also be delayed or prevented by environmental, zoning, title or other matters that may arise during construction. .A considerable delay in construction might adversely affect the ability to meet the terms of the construction loan and could result in foreclosure. In addition, a delay in completion would cause a delay in the commencement of the payment to the partnership of Housing Assistance Payments from MSHDA (as agent for HUD). Financing Risks Under the Building Loan Agreement that provides the terms under which MSHDA will supply the construction financing, failure to complete the construction of the project could constitute an event of default that could lead to additional financing fees or foreclosure. There is no assurance that MSHDA would grant a mortgage increase to cover additional construction or financing costs. If MSHDA fails to provide the full amount of the permanent loan, alternative financing, if available, most probably would be less favorable. The projects examined in this study are subject to the MSHDA Regulatory Agreement. The Regulatory Agreement limits the landlord's ability to raise rents without MSHDA approval, limits the ability to refinance the permanent loan without first paying a prepayment penalty, and requires certain escrows that may only be applied to operating 48 deficits, capital improvements, amenities and similar expenditures. The limitations of the Regulatory Agreement and MSHDA may, in some circumstances, jeopardize the viability of the project. Tax Risks Partnership Status-~The IRS is not bound to follow any Opinion of counsel regarding the interpretation of existing tax laws. There can be no assurance that the IRS wil 1 not assert that the partnership should be treated as an association taxable as a corporation. If the partnership were treated as an association, al 1 or some portion of the distributions made to the partners may be taxable as dividend income. Additionally, the partners would not be able to utilize their share of the net losses of the partnership on their federal income tax returns. Utilization of Benefits-~The desirability of an investment in these partnerships depends primarily upon the investor limited partner's ability to use the projected benefits that flow from the present federal income tax treatment of investments in a partnership. iNormally, an anticipated benefit is the ability to apply tax losses of the project against taxable income from other sources for an extended period of time. Failure to maintain substantial taxable income from other sources will adversely affect the investor's return. Tax Reform--The IRS, could, at any time, change its present position on certain types of tax treatment. 49 Furthermore, Congress has been considering certain tax reform measures. Changes in the federal income tax laws, including the promulgation of rules and regulations and the enactment of additional legislation, may eliminate or reduce the anticipated tax benefits. Basis-—The note evidencing the mortgage loan provides that no partner is personally liable for the repayment thereof. The partnership relies on the nonrecourse aspect of the mortgage loan to provide an increased basis to the investor limited partners to allow them to deduct partnership losses. If the IRS should determine that one of the partners is in fact personally liable, the other partners could be substantially limited in the amount of partnership losses they may recognize. MSHDA and HUD Restrictions and Regulations As a governmentally-assisted Section 8 Project, the extent of supervision and regulation of its management and Operations by MSHDA is significant. This includes a requirement to obtain approval for actions that otherwise would not be subject to supervision and control by a third party. The consequence of such governmental involvement may cause delays in obtaining evictions, alterations, and repairs and rent adjustments. In addition, MSHDA may adopt rules and regulations in the future that further restrict the management and operation of the project. 50 Housing assistance payments are only available to units leased to eligible tenants. If the project is not fully rented to eligible tenants, the remaining units must be operated as a conventional project under the same rent restrictions and rules and regulations of MSHDA but without the benefit of housing assistance payments. The documents relating to the construction and financing place various obligations on the partnership and the construction company, including, among other things, non-discrimination covenants with respect to the tenants of the project, and an obligation to lease at least 30 percent of the units to "very low-income families", an Obligation to complete construction of the project on time, and the obligation to employ minority subcontractors to the extent possible and to comply with equal employment obligations and other requirements under federal and Michigan Law. The mortgage, Regulatory Agreement, and rules of MSHDA impose further restrictions on sale or refinancing. Occupancy If occupancy levels necessary to maintain the breakeven point are not reached, the partnership may request increased apartment rents which are obtainable only with the consent of MSHDA. However, there can be no assurance that such consent will be obtained. For reasons over which the owner has no control, MSHDA may be unable or unwilling to 51 authorize additional rental adjustments or may delay in doing so. In addition, the local rental market, together with applicable regulations as to eligible tenants, may limit the extent to which rents may be raised without lowering the occupancy rate. Even if a rent increase is approved, it is probable that delay will occur in its implementation. Additionally, if the mortgagor is unable to meet its Operating expense and debt service payments, this could result in mortgage foreclosure. Limited Transferability If a limited partner wishes to transfer his unit(s), he wil l in al 1 likelihood find no market for it. This may be due to the diminishment of the tax advantage of accelerated depreciation which, while high in earlier years, will decline over the life of the project. Secondly, although the permanent loan is a level payment Obligation, amounts of deductible interest decrease and the amounts of non- deductible mortgage amortization increase with each monthly payment. Prospective investors may not wish to purchase a unit without the advantages of the earlier depreciation deductions which were in excess of the amortization of the mortgage principal. 8 9 10 52 CHAPTER II FOOTNOTES 24 C. F. R. 883.410 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.101(b) (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.302 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.704(C) (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.704 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.304 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.307 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.712 (1983 ed.) 24 C. F. R. 883.710 (1983 ed.) Michigan State Housing Development Authority, Regulatory Agreement- Limited Dividend Rental Housing Development (Form No. PLCD 230-8) p. 2. 11 12 13 14 15 Ibid, p. 8. Ibid, p. 5. IRC Sec. 465(c)(3)(D). IRC Sec. 1250(a)(1)(A). IRC Sec. 752. CHAPTER III A REVIEW OF RELATED STUDIES This chapter reviews and evaluates other major studies involving the tax aspects of real estate investments. The objectives, methodology, and a summary of the results distinguish the previous studies from this one. Limitations of Previous Studies Many of the previous works contain shortcomings and limitations which may be divided into two groups. Group One Several early studies utilized only one marginal tax rate. Instead of recognizing that an investor's loss could straddle several marginal tax rates, the entire loss is assumed to produce tax savings at one constant rate (ixn, 50, 60, or 70 percent). ‘Furthermore, all of the early studies ignored the effects of the minimum and maximum tax provisions on investments in real estate. Thus the results do not incorporate the adverse effects Of the minimum tax on returns or the potential loss of benefits from the maximum tax. 53 54 Group Two The more recent studies, which aim at correcting the group one shortcomings, base their conclusions on only one or two sets of simulated real estate data. The one study that examined syndicated investments specifically ignored the special tax provisions in aid of low-income housing. Review of Previous Studies The McKee Study The first major study to examine a real estate investment by computer was conducted by McKee. Although the stated purpose of the study was to identify the relative impact of tax shelter and financial leverage on real estate investment returns, the author goes on to conclude that a "real estate tax shelter is an inefficient and inequitable form of subsidy"3~ The study takes a simplified view; considering tax shelter as arising from only two components--deferral and conversion. The author suggests that these benefits are solely the result Of tax depreciation not accurately reflecting economic depreciation. He further states that the allowable methods and the useful lives allowed by tax law in combination with the inclusion of borrowed funds (leverage) in the depreciable base allow an "unwarranted depreciation". A computer model for direct investment in purchased rental property was developed to analyze the impact of 55 various factors on profitability. The specific objectives Of the study were to examine: (l) the impact of changing tax rates and mortgage interest rates on rates of return, (2) the effects of leverage on conversion and deferral, and (3) the effects of accelerated depreciation and the recapture provisions on tax shelter. The results can be summarized as follows: 1. As the tax rate increases, the value of the tax shelter and tax shelter leverage increases. This result occurs because more tax is deferred until sale and because the rate conversion (ordinary income into potential net capital gain) is greater. 2. As the rate of return increases the value of the conversion component declines, while the value of the deferral component rises. 3. Accelerated depreciation retains substantial value after the deduction falls below that (allowable under the straight-line method. The impact of recapture on the return in a tax shelter is relatively small and especially so when it is subject to a phase-out (e.g., 200 month rule). 4. The impact of financial leverage on the return is reduced by a percentage equal to the investor's tax rate. 56 The Hemmer Article Probably the most elaborate early computer analysis of real estate investments was presented in an article by Hemmer.2 It described the interrelationships of variables which developers, lenders, and investors required to assess real estate investments. Financing and operating characteristics were modeled to allow for evaluation under various assumptions. Another unique characteristic was the ability to calculate the internal rate of return on an investment for both the developer and the lender in addition to the investor. It permitted an estimate of probable outcomes based on a combination of more than 100 construction, leasing, financing, and Operating practices. However, the model did not incorporate the minimum or maximum tax provisions. The tax savings produced by the losses from the investment were determined by applying a single tax rate to taxable income. A net capital gains tax rate of 30 percent was utilized in every application. Although the article was primarily a demonstration of the usefulness of computer modeling in real estate investment analysis, it drew several other conclusions: 1. It was not possible to adequately describe the interrelationships among all of the variables without a sophisticated valuation model. 2. A computer model can be used to determine the most favorable combination of various operating 57 and financial parameters. 3. The correctness of decisions can be disproved or verified with the model. The Cleveland Dissertation Cleveland (1973) authored a dissertation which, in part, examined the tax provisions applicable to low-income housing.3 However, his major objective was to determine the effect of the TRA of 1969 on the perceptions of investors in all forms of real estate. A questionnaire survey and personal interviews with tax experts, trade association officers, developers, Treasury officials, and mortgage bankers were the primary means of collecting data. Furthermore, a valuation model was constructed to measure the impact of the depreciation, recapture, and low-income housing provisions of the TRA of 1969. The study made no attempt to simulate an investment over time. The only major difference between the three types of projects examined was the method Of depreciation utilized. The valuation model omitted several provisions of the 1969 Act relevant to real estate, such as those creating the minimum and the maximum tax. Failure to simulate over time, to adequately model financial and operating characteristics, and to incorporate several significant tax aspects provides only a rough estimate of the effects of the TRA of 1969. As a result, some of the conclusions (numbers two and three below) 58 regarding low-income housing appear suspect. The major low- income housing conclusions include: 1. The rate Of return on a project declines as the mortgage interest rate rises. 2. Reducing the depreciable life from 40 to 35 years causes the maximum return to be shifted from a 30 percent taxpayer to a 70 percent taxpayer. 3. Using a 40 percent operating ratio and a 35 year life, a 70 percent taxpayer did not obtain a positive return until the property was held for 8 years. The Wyndelts Dissertation Wyndelts (1974) studied the impact of the TRA of 1969 on the internal rate of return of investments in new residential real estate.4 The objective was to determine if Congressional intent (as reflected in housing legislation) to stimulate new housing was effectively being communicated to real estate investors by national firms' real estate investment models. Wyndelts developed a computer model that incorporated the relevant tax provisions before and after the TRA of 1969 in much greater detail than previous studies. This model reflected the tax rate schedules, the maximum tax, and the alternative net capital gains tax rate, but omitted the minimum tax. 59 To test the proposition that investment incentives contained in the TRA of 1969 were distinguishable by valuation models used in practice, three tests were developed. For each test, the internal rate of return was computed using a national firwfls real estate model and his own model. Only the Wyndeltds model incorporated the tax rate schedules, the alternative net capital gains tax, and the maximum tax provisions. Two tests were develOped to determine if a significant difference in the internal rates of return, produced by the models, resulted from: (1) the use of the tax rate schedule instead of the taxpayer's marginal tax rate in computing tax savings from the investment, or (2) the use of the most beneficial method of computing tax on a sale of the property instead of the taxpayer's marginal tax rate. A third test was designed to compare the model's sensitivity to changes in depreciation rules contained in the TRA of 1969. The internal rates of return for each model for new and used real estate (differing by method of depreciation) were compared. A conclusion was drawn that valuation models used by real estate firms did not produce accurate measures of real estate investment return. Only the impact of changes in depreciation methods was reasonably estimated by the models in use. 60 The CBO Study In May 1977, the CBO published Real Estate Tax Shelter Subsidies and Direct Subsidy Alternatives.5 This study evaluated several alternative subsidies for low- and moderate-income rental housing. It reached the following conclusion on income tax provisions related to government- assisted housing: Real estate tax-shelter subsidies rest on a complex and delicate structure of administrative rulings and tax laws. Seemingly small changes can undermine or even collapse the entire structure....While this vulnerability to small changes is true of real estate tax shelters generally, it is an especially serious problem for low- and moderate-income rental housing....Removal or reduction of any one of the subsidies could make a project uneconomical. ..uLess than two-thirds of the estimated $1.3 billion a year the government loses in tax revenue from real estate tax shelters is used to subsidize construction of rental housing. The remainder subsidizes the construction of office buildings, shopping centers, and other commercial buildings. And Of the total subsidy, only about 11 percent is used to assist low- and moderate- income rental housing construction.6 The study also concludes that the primary reason for the small share of tax subsidy benefitting low-income housing is that: ....until the Tax Reform Act of 1976, low- income rental housing did not receive substantially more favorable tax shelter benefits than other forms of rental housing. The major deductions--those for construction period interest and taxes and accelerated depreciation--were the same for both low-income and upper-income rental housing. Low-income rental housing did receive some additional benefits in the Tax Reform Act of 1969 from more rapid phase out of the recapture requirement"., but these are much less important overall than the major deductions. At least until 61 the effects of the Tax Reform Act of 1976 begin to be reflected in the totals, therefore, the low- income share of the total rental housing tax shelter subsidy will not be substantially larger than the low-income share of total rental housing starts. The Stern Dissertation Stern (1979) studied the combined impact of the TRA of 1976 and the RA of 1978 along with two proposed (1978) tax law changes on the internal rates of return and optimal holding periods of a direct investment in an apartment building (residential) and a motel (commercial).8 Two generalized deterministic computer simulation models addressed a total of 864 sets of assumptions pertaining to the character and size of an investor's pre-investment income, varied uses of component and composite depreciation methods, the net capital gain provisions, the regular and alternative minimum taxes, the maximum tax, depreciation recapture, construction period interest and taxes, and the tax rate schedule. The study examined two types of new and used property, two sets of actual tax provisions, two proposed tax changes, three compounded annual rates of change for net operating income and property value, two levels of taxpayer income, three mixes of personal service and passive income and four depreciation alternatives. The tax provisions specifically directed toward low-income housing were not analyzed in this study. 62 The conclusions drawn from this study can be summarized as follows: 1. The net impact of the two Acts on many investors is minor. 2. The Congressional intent expressed for these Acts is not supported if the Acts are considered collectively'rather than individually. 3. The maximum allowable declining balance depreciation yielded no appreciable advantage over straight-line depreciation. 4. Significant increases in the rates of return and decreases in optimal holding periods result from the use of component depreciation. The Dorr Dissertation Dorr (1979) studied the impact of the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and other potential reform measures on investments in typical real estate syndication activities.9 In addition to the above, other objectives included: (1) to determine the differential impact of the above legislation on investors with different income characteristics; (2) to determine the impact of specific provisions included in the above-mentioned legislation; and (3) to determine the differential impact of the legislation on real estate projects using alternative methods of depreciation. 63 A deterministic computer simulation model was constructed to analyze two types of real estate-~a residential rental and a commercial rental syndication. Three levels were assigned to four parameters that included the marginal tax rate, the percent of earned income, the length of the investment period, and the assumed selling price at the end of the investment period. This (along with the depreciation parameters) produced 162 parameter sets that were analyzed under 20 different tax structures. The results pointed to the critical importance of incorporating all the relevant tax laws into the model if the investment return is to be adequately measured. The TRA of 1976 was shown to have a material negative effect on the profitability of real estate investments. The primary factor causing the negative effect was the limitations placed on "up-front deductions". Only taxpayers in extremely low or high earned income groups were materially affected by the changes in the maximum and minimum tax rules. A somewhat surprising conclusion indicated that the TRA of 1976 almost equated the returns of investors in different earned income and marginal tax brackets. However, the study does show that the RA of 1978 partially reversed the TRA of 1976 and restored a differential return to investors in different marginal tax brackets and with different levels of earned income. 64 Summary The above studies have analyzed several tax factors with regard to a real estate investment. However, no published research has addressed the four factors to be analyzed in this study. There have been no comprehensive tax analyses of the return available from an investment in low-income housing, of the effects of the TRA of 1976 and the RA of 1978 on the attractiveness of an investment in low-income housing, of the differential advantage provided for an investment in low-income housing, nor has there been a comprehensive analysis of the effects of the ERTA of 1981 on real estate syndications. This study will improve upon the methodology of the previous studies and analyze four factors that have not previously been scrutinized. The methodology and design of the study is presented in the next chapter. 65 CHAPTER III FOOTNOTES 1William S. McKee, "The Real Estate Tax Shelter: A Computerized Expose," Virginia Law Review (May, 1971), p. 521-573. 2 Edgar H. Hemmer, "How a Computer Thinks About Real Estate," Real Estate Review (Winter, 1975), p. 113-123. 3 Grover A.f 50 percent to a high of 70 percent. IPersonal Service Income 5 3 Percent g£_Taxable Income This study analyzes the impact of varying levels of 19ersonal service income (PSI) relative to taxable income (for investments analyzed under pre-1982 tax law). The purpose of this variable is to identify the effect of the maximum tax provisions on the tax savings of the various investor profiles. The analyses performed utilizing pre- ERTA law assume three different levels of PSI relative to the taxpayer's taxable income prior to any income or loss from the Section 8 investment: 20, 50, and 90 percent. Tax Preference Items A third variable which impacts the return of an investor in Section 8 housing is the amount of tax 'preference items utilized by the taxpayer to reduce taxable income. The purpose of this variable is to identify the (effect Of the minimum tax provisions on the tax savings of 'the various investor profiles. For purposes of the alternative minimum tax, the only preference is assumed to Ibe the net capital gain deduction resulting from the sale of ‘the investment at the end of the holding period. For purposes of the add-on minimum tax, two levels of preferences were assumed: (I) the investor's tax preferences were average for a taxpayer with this profile (which may or may not result in an add-on minimum tax), and 75 (2) all of the preferences arising from the investment in £5ection 8 housing were subject to the add-on minimum tax (an add-on minimum tax was forced). The investment variables affecting an investor's return from a Section 8 housing investment are: (1) length of the .investor's holding period, and (2) the assumed selling price of the investment at the end of the holding period. Investment Holding Period Three holding periods--nine, 12, and 15 years--were utilized in the study because of the significance of these dates for cost recovery and depreciation recapture purposes. Nine years was chosen because it is the approximate beginning of the phase-out under the 200 month rule (the amount of excess cost recovery to be recaptured is 100 percent less one percent for each month of the holding period in excess of 100 months). The 15 year variable was selected because (under the ACRS) the basis of real property is recovered over a 15 year period. If an investor retains his interest at the end of this period, the shelter arising from cost recovery deductions is fully utilized. At this point, the investor will normally sell his interest or otherwise attempt to restore some tax shelter, such as through refinancing. Furthermore, at the end Of this period straight-line and accelerated cost recovery will be equal. Thus no recapture of excess cost recovery deductions will be required. The 12 year level was chosen as a middle figure 76 between the extremes of virtually complete recapture of excess cost recovery deductions and no recapture. Investment Selling Price The ultimate selling price of the investment has an impact upon the investor's return. The amount of gain recaptured as ordinary income and the cash available (if any) to the investor at the end of the holding period are two significant return factors affected by this variable. Three selling prices were selected: NJ the remaining mortgage balance, (2) the original development cost of the property, and C” the original development cost plus three percent annual appreciation. The remaining mortgage balance level assumes the investor "walks away" from the investment because it is no longer providing shelter for his other income or simply because he cannot find someone to purchase his interest. The gain or loss produced by walking away is equal to the difference between the investor's share of the remaining mortgage balance (sales price) and his adjusted basis for his partnership interest. The choice of three percent appreciation reflects the relative illiquidity of the investment and the limited appreciation potential of this type of housing as suggested by numerous authors and tax specialists. Once again the choice of the original development cost reflects a middle ground intended to fall between the two extremes (as defined in this study) of "walking away" or a modest appreciation in value. 77 The following legislation variables were treated as independent variables in the models to determine the impact of tax expenditures on the investor profiles. Construction Period Interest and Taxes The TRA of 1976 specified that real property construction period interest and taxes be capitalized in the year in which paid or accrued (depending upon the taxpayer's method of accounting). A portion of the amount capitalized may be deducted in that taxable year with the balance being amortized beginning in the year the property is placed in service. Construction period interest includes interest paid or accrued on indebtedness incurred or continued to acquire, construct, or carry real property to the extent attributable to the construction period for such property. The construction period commences with the date on which the construction of a building or other improvement begins and ends on the date that the building or improvement is ready to be placed in service or held for sale. Separate transitional rules were provided for nonresidential real estate, residential real estate, and (government subsidized housing. In the case of residential real estate (other than low-income housing) this provision ‘was to apply to construction period interest and taxes paid or accrued in taxable years beginning after 1977 and, in the case of low-income housing, to construction period interest and taxes paid or accrued in taxable years beginning after 78 :L.981. However, the ERTA of 1981 amended Section 189 to };>rovide that it will not apply to low-income housing. C ost Recovery Recapture In the TRA of 1969, the recapture rules for real p>roperty were modified as to post-1969 depreciation. In the <:ase of residential real property, post-1969 depreciation in eexcess of straight-line is fully recaptured at ordinary :income rates (to the extent of the recognized gain) if the property has been held for more than 12 months but less than 100 months. For each month the property is held over 100 Inonths, there is a one percent reduction in the amount of 'post-1969 excess depreciation recaptured. Thus there is no recapture of excess depreciation if the property is held for at least 200 months. In the TRA of 1976 Congress provided that, in the case of residential real estate (other than low-income housing), aall post-1975 depreciation in excess of straight-line is to Ibe completely recaptured. This provision applied regardless of the date on which depreciation commenced. For low-income housing, the Act provided that for each month the property was held over 100 months, there is a one percent per month reduction in the amount of recapturable excess depreciation attributable to periods after 1975. Although the ERTA of 1981 significantly affected the potential excess cost recovery to be recaptured (by providing for 175 DB or 200 DB cost recovery over 15 years), the TRA of 1976 differential 79 Zt>etween residential (100 percent recapture) and low-income ‘rlousing (200 month rule) was not changed. The ERTA of 1981 introduced a new capital cost recovery ssystem for tax purposes (Code Sec. 168), which replaced the (:LADR and facts and circumstances depreciation methods for Inost tangible depreciable property placed in service after 1980. Under the ACRS, virtually all tangible depreciable jprOperty is depreciated by applying a statutory fixed rate for a statutory-determined recovery period. This annual cost recovery allowance replaces the annual depreciation deduction allowed under Code Section 167. The ACRS established five categories of recovery property: 1. 3-year Property 2. 5-year Property 3. 10-year Property 4. 15-year Public Utility Property 5. lS-year Real Property Thus depreciable prOperty, whether new or used, is assigned to one of the five recovery periods. The accelerated statutory rate for most real property in the 15- year class is 175 DB. However, the 200 DB method is available for low-income housing. The IRS has issued two rate tables (Figures 2 and 3) which reflect the above declining balance methods with appropriately-timed switches to straight-line to maximize the recovery deduction. 80 Percentage Based on Month Placed in Service 8. 7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1. 1.209876665555555 11 2.109876666555554 1.1. 31.001876665555554 11.1. 4.109876655555554. 1.1. 5109876655555553 1.1. 61.098765555555513 11.1. 71.08776665555557— 1.1 8108776655555552 1.1.. 9198766666555551 1. 98766666555551. 10 11 9876666655555— 11 10 9:87:6QORVGPDRJSZDRJS _ 12 10 Recovery Year 1234567890123456 1.111.111 1 ACRS Percentages for All Real Estate (Except Low-Income Housing) Figure 2. 81 Recovery Year \DmflmmbWNi-J Percentage Based on Month Placed in Service lazséézgzlgg 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 ll 11 11 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 - - l l 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 fibbmmmmmmquo Figure 3. ACRS Percentages for Low-Income Housing 82 The major objective of this study is to provide a framework for assessing the use of the tax law to encourage investments in low-income housing. The two computer programs utilized to accomplish this objective incorporate (where applicable) the relevant provisions of pre-TRA of 1976 law, the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, the ERTA of 1981, and the above legislation variables. To accomplish this objective, six pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 projects with actual results through 1981 were evaluated under three tax structures: 1. Pre-l976 projections with the law as it existed prior to the TRA of 1976. 2. Actual results through 1981 for number one above with projection and the tax law as it existed prior to the TRA of 1976. 3. Actual results through 1981 for number one above with projection after incorporating the tax law changes made by the RA of 1978 and the ERTA of 1981. Twelve 1981 Section 8 projects were evaluated under nine tax structures: 1. The original projections with the tax law as it existed prior to the ERTA of 1981. 2. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981. 3. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further 83 revised to incorporate 175 DB cost recovery. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate 100 percent recapture of all excess recovery deductions. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate 175 DB cost recovery and the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate 175 DB cost recovery and 100 percent recapture of all excess recovery deductions. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes and 100 percent recapture of all excess recovery deductions. 84 9. A revision of number one above to incorporate the amendments of the ERTA of 1981 and further revised to incorporate 175 DB cost recovery, the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, and 100 percent recapture of all excess cost recovery deductions. Figure 4 presents an overview of the experimental design of the study indicating the taxpayer, investment, and legislation variables and the values assigned to these variables. The Figure also summarizes the 12 tax structures assumed in the analyses. Together, these variables formed either 162 (pre-TRA Section 8 Projects) or 486 (1981 Section 8 Projects) investor profiles. The following profitability measures were generated: (1) the payback period (PB), (2) the average rate of return (ARR), and (3) a profitability index (PI). While the first two measures ignore the time value of money, all three measures of return are used extensively in real estate analysis. Their use corresponds with a 1976 study which indicated that only 25 percent of real estate investors utilize time value measures of return.3 That study found that the most frequently used measure was the ARR. Two assumptions were made regarding the timing of the tax savings. First, this study assumes that most investors in Section 8 housing make estimated tax payments on a Taxpayer Variables 85 Marginal Tax Rate 1. 70 percent 2. 60 percent 3. 50 percent Personal Service Income as a Percentage of Taxable Income Investment Variables l. 90 percent 2. 50 percent 3. 20 percent Tax Preference Items 1. All Taxable 2. Average for Taxpayer with this Income Level Figure 4. Investment Holding Period 1. 15 years 2. 12 years 3. Nine years Investment Selling Price 1. Three Percent Appreciation 2. No Appreciation 3. Mortgage Balance Legislation Variables Summary of Variables l. Capitalize Construction Period Interest and Taxes (C.P.I.& T.) 2. Revise Cost Recovery Method (200 DB to 175 DB) 3. 100 percent Recapture of Excess Cost Recovery Deductions (Recap) 86 quarterly basis in addition to any amounts withheld by an employer. Secondly, the investor factors the tax loss from the Section 8 investment into the quarterly estimated tax payment. Therefore, the tax savings are assumed to occur on a quarterly (rather than an annual) basis. The payback period utilized in this study is a non- present value technique which computes, to the nearest quarter, the time it takes to recover the cash invested. The average rate of return represents the undiscounted quarterly cash flow from the investment divided by the investor's cash investment. The profitability index computed in this study is the ratio of the present value of the quarterly tax savings, distributions to the investor and cash received on sale (if any) over the present value of the investment. The internal rate of return is that discount rate which equates the present value of the expected cash outflows with the present value of the inflows. However, under certain conditions, multiple solutions may occur. The following equation illustrates this point: NPV = CFl/(1+r)1 + CF2/(1+r)2 +...+ CFN/(1+r)N 4 This formula is a polynomial of degree N. Thus there are N roots for the equation. In the usual case where the internal rate of return is utilized--one or more cash outflows followed by a series of cash inflows-~only one positive value for r results. However, when an investment involves one or more cash outflows over its life, the 87 possibility of multiple or only negative and imaginary roots arises. All of the Section 8 projects examined in this study space the investor's cash investment over a four to six year period. As a result, a net cash outflow occurred approximately every fourth quarter for up to the first two- thirds of the investment holding period. This resulted in multiple, negative and imaginary roots for the polynomial. As an alternative, Mao suggests graphing the polynomial and determining the point at which the function changes from a positive to a negative NPV.5 Several graphs of the continuous functions were prepared, but in all instances (over a relevant range of 0 to 100 percent) the functions failed to change from positive to negative. Therefore, no real roots could be determined within the relevant range. As a result, only three measures of return (the PB, the ARR, and the P1) are utilized as a means of analyzing the stated objectives of this study. Model Description The simulation models utilized in this study are two computer programs consisting of a main program and four subroutines. The main program performs the basic Operations involving the computation of the results of Operations, the cash flows, and the measures of return for the investment. The four subroutines produce successively the ordinary income tax with and without the investment, the maximum tax 88 with and without the investment, the minimum tax with and without the investment, and the gain and depreciation recapture figures that were utilized to determine the tax and cash flows in the year of disposal. An overview of the computer models is presented in Figure 5. Description of Input The values for the investment variables were interactively entered into the program. An input form, an example of which is shown in Figure 6, was designed to gather the necessary data. The investment variables utilized in program input included: 1. Years to date of sale--This input represents the length Of time in years between the initial investment and the year of sale of the project. Since the intent of using this variable was to test the parameters of the recapture and cost recovery provisions (exy, 100 months and 15 years), the actual values utilized in this study were 10, 13, and 16 years. These holding periods were utilized because, in all of the projects, no depreciation was claimed until year two when the project was actually placed into service. Thus to test the approximate upper and lower bounds of the recapture provisions, one year was added to the actual C Start 3 l G Figure 5. 10 W F_1_ .3 ( ll LL .1_, 5 12 13 2 4 6 [—1— 14 l6 Y 19 Program Flowchart (legend on next page) 18 10. ll. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 90 Input. Determine regular income tax liability on taxable income without an investment in Section 8 property (regular computation or with income averaging). Add alternative or add-on minimum tax, if applicable. Determine regular income tax liability utilizing the maximum tax on taxable income without an investment in Section 8 property. Does not apply to years subject to 1982 or later tax law. Add alternative or add-on minimum tax (to tax determined in number 4), if applicable. Determine lowest tax liability from above (number 3 or 5). Determine regular income tax liability on taxable income adjusted for partnership income or loss and gain or loss on sale, if applicable. Add alternative or add-on minimum tax (to tax determined in number 7), if applicable. Determine regular income tax liability utilizing the maximum tax on taxable income adjusted for partnership income or loss and gain or loss on sale, if applicable. Does not apply to years subject to 1982 or later tax law. Add alternative or add-on minimum tax (to tax determined in number 9), if applicable. Determine least tax liability from above (number 8 or 10). Subtract smallest tax liability without the investment (number 6) from smallest tax liability after adjustment for partnership results (number 11) to determine tax savings (additional tax) due to investment. Apportion tax savings (or additional tax liability) over the number of quarters in the year. Apportion partner's share of cash from sale (if applicable) and the yearly cash distribution (if any) to the last quarter of the year. Correct any quarter cash flow to reflect an investment when made. 15 the investor's holding period complete (iJL, year of sale)? Compute measures of return. Computation completerfor all levels of all variables for this Section 8 Project? Initialize and increment one level of one variable. End. Figure 5. Legend QWNH \lmU‘ 91 Years to date of sale: Mortgage balance at date of sale: Original cost of the project: Percent of ordinary income, loss, Operating cash flow, and proceeds of sale accruing to the partner: Limit on cash distribution: Original mortgage balance: Cash invested by quarter of investment: 8. Number of quarters in year one: 9. Year investment begins: 10. Rental Cash Noncash Nontax Tax Income Deduct Deduct Cashflw Prefs. 1) 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Recap- ture Spec. Alloc. 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) 13) 14) 15) l6) Figure 6. Input Form 92 year of interest (iAL, a holding period of 10 years was utilized to obtain nine years of depreciation). Mortgage balance at date Of sale--All of the prospectuses provided data on the mortgage balance at the end of each year for the first 20 or 25 years of the investment. The balances entered were taken directly from this data at the end of the 10th, 13th, and 16th years. Original cost of the project—~All Of the prospectuses provided a figure for the total development cost of the project as defined by MSHDA. MSHDA provides a mortgage for up to 90 percent of this amount. This figure was utilized as the original cost of the project. Percent of ordinary income, loss, Operating cash flow, and sales cash flow accruing to the individual partner--These numbers were provided in the partnership papers for each of the Section 8 projects examined in this study. Limit on cash distribution--As previously explained, HUD and MSHDA regulations place a limitation on the amount of cash dividends that a Section 8 Project may distribute to its partners. This figure is taken directly from the prospectus for each of the projects. 10. ll. 12. 93 Original mortgage balance--This figure comes directly from the prospectus for each project and affects the partner's adjusted basis for his partnership interest. Cash invested by quarter of investment-~This is the individual partner's cash investment as provided for in the prospectus. Input of the quarter in which the investment is made affects the discounting for purposes of computing the PI. Number of quarters in year one--Many of the Section 8 Projects examined began with an initial investment by the partner in the fourth quarter of the year. This input establishes the number of quarters over which the initial year tax savings were spread. Year investment begins--This input was utilized to select the proper tax structure for each year of the investment and to provide the base period for all discounted cash flows. Rental income--This input represents the project's actual cash inflow for the year. Cash deductions--This input represents the projectfs actual yearly cash outflow deductible for income tax purposes. Noncash deductions--This input represents the project's deductible expenses that required no 94 cash outflow (i&L, depreciation and amortization). 13. Nontax cash flow--This input represents the net cash inflow or outflow that does not affect the tax consequences of the project (iJL, principal amortization and partner investment). 14. Tax preferences--This is the amount of the tax preference for each year primarily attributable to the use of an accelerated method of cost recovery on real property. 15. Recapture--This is similar to the tax preference input (above) except that it is entirely attributable to excess cost recovery and reflects the decline in the recapture potential through negative entries as the accelerated cost recovery amount falls below the hypothetical straight-line cost recovery. 16. Special allocations--Several of the Section 8 projects singled out specific amounts (none of which represented cash flows) to be allocated to the limited partners on a basis other than their profit and/or loss sharing ratio. These amounts were removed from any other entry to which they otherwise belonged and specifically allocated to the limited partners. The only taxpayer variable not built into the program was the partner's taxable income prior to investing in the 95 Section 8 Project. This was manually entered to control the tax bracket into which the investor fell. As seen in Figure 7, the main program consists of five major sections. The return on syndicated real estate investment arises primarily from three sources: (1) a distribution of cash from operations (subject to HUD and MSHDA regulations), (2) cash flow from tax savings, and (3) cash flow from the disposition of the property. The computation of these cash flows is accomplished by three of the five sections of the main program. The two remaining sections generate the operating results and taxable income and the measures of return that result from the changes in the variables outlined earlier in this study. The four program subroutines provide input for computations made in one of the five sections of the main prograflh The following is a brief description of each subroutine: 1. Subroutine One--This subroutine contains the regular income tax rate schedules for the years 1976 through 1984. The 1984 rates are assumed to apply to all taxable years after 1983 unless the computations were based on pre-TRA of 1976 law. Subroutine One calculates the normal tax liability based on the investor's taxable income, both with and without the Section 8 loss, for the current and, if advantageous, 96 4 J 3-. 3 6 N J Y L N 7| _____JL_____ 8 .L 9 12 l N ‘ 10 V Figure 7. Main Program and Subroutines (legend on next page) mummb w o. oo o 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 97 Input. Determine results of partnership operations, project cash flow, investor's basis in partnership, and tax loss to be al located to partner. Determine partner's tax savings (additional liability) from the investment. Subroutine One. Subroutine Two. Subroutine Three. Subroutine Four. Determine investor's cash flow from project distributions. Determine investor's cash flow from sale of project (if any) when holding period is complete. Compute measures of return at end of holding period. Computations complete for all levels of all variables? Increment one variable and recompute based on new investor profile. End. Figure 7. Legend 98 the four prior taxable years (income averaging). 2. Subroutine Two-~This subroutine calculates the maximum tax on personal service income. The actual computation of this amount is a function of the tax law applicable to that particular year. To avoid duplication, it accesses Subroutine One where necessary to utilize the tax rate schedules. 3. Subroutine Three-—This subroutine calculates the add—on and the alternative minimum tax (when applicable). The actual computation of these amounts is a function of the tax law applicable to that particular year. 4. Subroutine Four--This subroutine is accessed in the year of sale to determine the net capital gain on sale, amount of excess cost recovery recaptured as ordinary income, and the cash available:(if any) to the investor on the sale of the investment. Description of Output The program output, as shown in Figure 8, presents the results for 54 investor profiles on each page. In addition to listing the results for the payback, the average rate of return, and the profitability index, each line of output also indicates the value for the investment selling price 99 (SPRICE), the holding period in years (A(A)), the amount of taxable income (C(C)), and indicates whether the minimum tax was forced (B). These variables were summarized in Figure 4. SPRICE 5362063 9315356 6931500 5619073 10179141 6931500 5236572 111230 f) h) 6931500 Figure 8. ACA) 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 Example of Output C(C) 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 65000 65000 110000 110000 250000 250000 NHPJHI‘JHNF‘I‘JPPJPfJHfJO-‘PJHl‘JHNPNHNO-‘NHNHVJHNHFJHPJHNPI‘JHFJPNHNHNHNHIJHN 100 P3 34 33 29 30 24 26 34 33 29 30 24 26 34 33 29 30 24 26 34 36 29 30 24 26 34 36 29 30 24 26 34 36 29 30 24 26 34 36 29 30 24 26 34 36 29 30 24 26 34 29 30 24 26 ARR 7.11 6.3 8.27 8.09 9.97 9.09 16.06 15.76 17.19 17.01 18.00 9.33 9.53 11.04 10.36 12.73 11.35 6.96 6.73 3.04 7.91 9.51 3.34 15.95 15.72 16.99 16.35 13.45 17.79 9.54 9.32 10.62 10.43 12.03 11.42 6.46 6.27 7.46 7.35 3.77 3.23 15.73 15.54 16.69 16.53 17.46 9.07 3.39 10.06 9.95 11.37 10.33 COOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOODODOOQO6°0°ODOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOQODOOOOH PI 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.71 0.35 0.73 0.35 0.32 0.95 0.93 1.06 0.99 0.7 0.67 0.3 0.73 0.92 0.34 0.71 0.69 0.32 0.31 0.95 0.33 0.33 0.35 0.99 0.97 1.11 1.04 0.76 0.74 0.37 0.35 0.99 0.92 0.76 0.73 0.37 0.35 0.93 0.33 0.35 0.99 0.97 1.12 1.05 0.79 0.77 0.91 0.39 1.03 0.96 101 CHAPTER IV FOOTNOTES 1 Donald.Tu Campbell and Julian C. Stanley, Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Research (Chicago: Rand McNally, 1963), p. 5. 2 Ibid. 3 Robert J. Wiley, "Real Estate Investment Analysis: An Empirical Study," The Appraisal Journal, 44 (October, 1976), p. 589. 4 NPV is the abbreviation for net present value, CF for cash flow, and r for the discount rate. 5 Cho-tiing Mao, Quantitative Analysis 9: Financial Decisions (New York: Macmillan, 1969), p. 76. CHAPTER V RESEARCH RESULTS AND CONCLUSION The models described in Chapter IV were utilized to evaluate the impact of the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and the ERTA of 1981 on investments in Section 8 housing. As described earlier, for each pre-TRA of 1976 investment evaluated, 162 unique investor profiles were produced by allowing three possible values for the marginal tax rate, personal service income (PSI) as a percentage of taxable income, investment holding period, and the selling price of the property. .Additionally, two levels of tax preference items were assumed for both the maximum and the add-on minimum tax. For each 1981 Section 8 project evaluated, 486 unique investor profiles resulted from: (1) eliminating the variable for PSI as a percentage of taxable income (since the maximum tax was eliminated by the ERTA of 1981) and, (2) by adding the following legislation variables and their interactions: capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, a revision of the cost recovery method from 200 DB to 175 DB, and a revision of the recapture method to one that recaptures all excess cost recovery deductions. 102 103 The following return measures were produced for each parameter set: profitability index (PI) based on a 20 percent discount rate, undiscounted average rate of return (ARR), and payback (PB). These return measures were then averaged across the levels of the variables noted above. The results are presented in this chapter. Projected Versus Actual Results and the Impact of Post-1975 Tax Reforms The research results demonstrating the effects of the actual versus the projected results and the impact of the post-1975 tax reforms on the measures of return are presented below in six sections: .UJ the overall impact, (2) the impact by marginal tax rate, (3) the impact by percentage of PSI, (4) the impact of the add-on minimum tax, (5) the impact of the length of the investor's holding period, and (6) the impact of the ultimate selling price. These results address the following two objectives of this study: 1. To determine the extent to which an investor‘s expected return from low-income housing differs from his actual return. 2. To determine the relative impact of the tax legislation (referred to in Chapter II) on investment returns earned in low-income housing syndications by investors with different 104 characteristics (i.eq. marginal tax rate, investment holding period). Overall.Impact The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all but one measure of return. These results are presented in Table 1. The results indicate the effect of the actual and projected results averaged across the following variables: marginal tax rate, PSI as a percentage of taxable income, the results with and without a forced add-on minimum tax, the investment holding period, and the selling price of the investment. A comparison of the actual results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI had declined 15.28 percent. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed an 18.53 percent decrease in the PI over the initial projections and a 3.83 percent decrease relative to the actual results excluding any post-1975 tax reforms. A comparison of the actual results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the ARR had declined by 21.95 percent. The use of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms also resulted in a 20.27 percent decrease in the ARR when compared to the original projections. However, a comparison of the actual results with and without the post-1975 reforms indicates 105 Table 1. Summary of Overall Results Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual From Actual From From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (1) (2) I (3) (4) I (5) I (6) PI 1.263 1.070 -15.28* 1.029 ~18.53* -3.83* ARR 14.437 11.268 -21.95* 11.511 -20.27* +2.16 PB 16.194 35.704 +120.48* 39.333 +142.89* +10.16* * Significant at a = .02 Units: PI--— A PI of one is equivalent to a ful 1 recovery of the present value of the cash investment. A P1 in excess of one is equivalent to a recovery of more than the present value of the cash investment. ARR--This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 106 that the ARR increased by 2.16 percent. While this difference was not significant, it does indicate an inconsistency in results between those measures that consider the time value of money and those that do not. The use of actual results without the post-1975 tax law reforms increased the PB by 120.48 percent over the use of the initial projections. The actual results incorporating the post-1975 tax reforms also increased the PB by 142.89 percent over the initial projections without the reforms and by 10.16 percent over the actual results without the tax reforms. This indicates that the initial projections did not reasonably portray the return an investor might expect. The overriding factor in this result is the projectionls inability to predict future financial events in the rental market and the substantial increase in rental income authorized by HUD for Section 8 projects during the highly inflationary 1978-1982 period. These increased rents substantially reduced the taxable loss incurred by the investments while at the same time providing the funds necessary to pay the maximum authorized cash dividend to the investors. Because of the limited nature of this direct cash return (generally six percent of the initial investment), investors must look to the tax losses produced by the investment for the bulk of their return. Thus the smaller than projected tax losses significantly reduced the investor's return. 107 The PI and the PB both indicate that the post-1975 tax reforms had a substantial impact on the return of investors with existing investments in pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 housing. Although these measures show significant return differentials after the tax reforms, the change in the ARR (with post-1975 tax reforms) was not significant and actually showed a small increase. This increase arose primarily from the net effect of the TRA of 1976 and later tax reforms which decreased up-front deductions. The reforms, therefore, reduced early year losses with the deferred expenses utilized to reduce taxable income in later years. Because the losses are more evenly distributed over the investment period, on average they produce larger nominal tax savings by offsetting income taxed at higher marginal tax rates. Additionally, the RA of 1978 increase in the net capital gain deduction reduced the investor's tax liability in the year of sale. Since the ARR does not consider the time value of money, these larger (but deferred) tax savings are assumed to be equivalent to the early year tax savings. Tax Rate Impact The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all of the measures of return when the other variables were collapsed over the three levels of the tax rate variable. These measures are reflected in Table 2. 108 Table 2. Summary of Impact by Marginal Tax Rate Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual From Actual From From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (l) (2) I (3) (4) I (5) I (6) g; 50% 1.100 0.960 -12.73* 0.898 -18.36* -6.46* 60% 1.268 1.080 -14.83* 1.020 -19.56* -5.56* 70% 1.422 10172 -17658* 1.169 -17079* -0626 ARR 50% 13.126 10.957 -16.52* 10.731 -18.25* -2.06 60% 14.717 11.512 -21.78* 11.338 -22.96* -1.51 70% 15.468 11.335 —26.72* 12.465 -19.41* +9.97* PB 50% 19.083 45.333 +137.56* 47.670 +149.80* +5.16* 60% 15.833 35.361 +123.34* 42.000 +165.27* +18.77* 70% 13.667 26.417 +93.29* 28.333 +107.31* +7.25* * Significant at a = .02 Units: PI-- A PI of one is equivalent to a full recovery of the present value of the cash investment. A P1 in excess of one is equivalent to a recovery of more than the present value of the cash investment. ARR-~This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 109 A comparison of the actual financial results without the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI had declined significantly for investors in the 50, 60, and 70 percent marginal tax brackets respectively. The ARR also declined significantly for investors in the 50, 60, and 70 percent marginal brackets. The PB was likewise affected increasing significantly for investors in the 50, 60, and 70 percent marginal brackets. These results, as noted earlier, can be explained by the smaller than projected losses and the limited cash return available from these investments. The use of actual results with the post-1975 reforms revealed a significant decrease in the PI when compared to the same results without the reforms for two of the three levels of marginal tax rates. The PI decreased significantly for investors in the 50 and 60 percent marginal tax brackets. However, the change in return for an investor in the 70 percent marginal bracket was insignificant. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI declined significantly ataall levels of the tax rate variable. Utilizing the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant decrease in the ARR when compared to the same results without the reforms for one of the three levels of this variable. The increase of 9.97 percent for investors in the 70 percent marginal bracket 110 indicates that some investors may actually perceive a benefit from the post-1975 tax law reforms (assuming they utilize the ARR measure). A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the ARR declined significantly at all levels of the tax rate variable. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant increase in the PB at all levels of the variable when compared to the same results without the reforms. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PB also increased significantly at all levels of the tax rate variable. Once again the results, averaged over the levels of the marginal tax rate variable, indicate that the initial projections do not present a reasonable representation of the return an investor may anticipate. The rent increases authorized by HUD and the limited cash return available play a large part in this result. When the actual financial results were utilized, both with and without the post-1975 tax reforms, the PI for al 1 but the 70 percent marginal investor was significantly affected. This result is consistent with the fact that these investors were the only variable level to consistently utilize the prior maximum tax on PSI. Thus much of their tax saving was at a fifty percent marginal rate prior to the tax rate reduction (to a maximum marginal rate of fifty percent) made by the ERTA of 111 1981. The reduction in the net capital gain tax rate from a maximum 49 (considering the potential effects of the minimum and maximum tax as they existed at that time) to 28 and finally to 20 percent also had its most significant impact at this level. The significant increase in the ARR for the 70 percent marginal investor with the post-1975 tax reforms (when comparing actual results) is, as explained above, due to increased nominal tax savings as a result of the even distribution of tax losses over the years. This nominal tax savings and the decrease in the net capital gain tax significantly increased the ARR at this level as the tax savings for each year are equally weighted. The smaller, but beneficial, net capital gain rate reduction for the 50 and 60 percent investor profiles kept these levels from producing significant negative results. Percentage pf PSI Impact The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all of the measures of return when the other variables were collapsed over the three levels of the PSI variable. These results are reflected in Table 3. A comparison of the actual results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI had declined significantly for investors with PSI as a percentage of taxable income of 20, 50 and 90 percent 112 Table 3. Summary of Percentage of P31 Impact Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual Prom Actual From_ From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (1) (2) | (3) (4) I (5) | (6) §_I 20% 1.309 1.115 -14.82* 1.035 -20.93* -9.99* 50% 1.275 1.073 -15.84* 1.056 -17.18* -1.58 90% 1.206 1.024 -15.09* 0.996 -17.41* -2.73 ARR 20% 15.301 11.918 -22.11* 11.440 -25.23* -4.01 50% 14.655 11.265 -23.13* 11.774 —19.66* +4.52 90% 13.356 10.621 -20.48* 11.320 -15.24* +6.58 PB 26% 15.583 32.333 +107.49* 37.861 +142.96* +17.1o* 50% 15.833 35.833 +126.32* 39.583 +150.00* +10.46* 90% 17.167 38.944 +126.85* 42.556 +147.89* +9.27* * Significant at 0 = .02 Units: PI-- A PI of one is equivalent to a full recovery of the present value of the cash investment. A PI in excess of one is equivalent to a recovery of more than the present value of the cash investment. ARR--This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 113 respectively. The ARR also declined significantly at all levels. The PB was likewise affected increasing significantly at.all levels. The smaller than projected losses and the limited nature of the investor‘s cash return account for these results. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant decrease in the PI for only one of the three levels of PSI when compared to the actual results without these reforms. Investors with PSI equal to just 20 percent of their taxable income had a 9.99 percent decrease in this measure of return. The most significant factor in this decline is the fact that they benefited least from the pre-ERTA maximum tax due to small amounts of PSI. The repeal of the maximum tax in 1982 reduced their tax savings from partnership losses from approximately 70 percent of the loss to a maximum of 50 percent. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections indicates that the PI declined significantly at.all levels of the PSI variable. Utilizing the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed no significant changes in the ARR when compared to the same results without the reforms for any of the three levels of this variable. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections indicates that the ARR declined significantly at‘all levels of the PSI variable. 114 The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant increase in the PB for two of the three levels of this variable when compared to the same results without the reforms. The PB increased 17.1 percent for investors at the 20 percent PSI level and 9.27 percent for those at the 90 percent level. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PB increased significantly atlall levels of the PSI variable. These results, averaged over the levels of the PSI variable, indicate that the initial financial projections do not present a reasonable representation of the return an investor may anticipate. The smaller than projected losses and the limited cash return available lead to this result. The actual results, presented in Table 3, indicate that (both with and without the post-1975 tax law reforms) only the PI for the 20 percent investor was significantly reduced. This result, as noted above, is consistent with the fact that these investors were the only variable level unable to utilize the prior maximum tax on PSI. Thus, their tax saving from investment losses was reduced from a level of up to 70 percent of the loss to a maximum 50 percent by the ERTA.Of 1981. Similar reasoning applies to the insignificant decrease (4.01 percent) in the ARR for the 20 percent PSI investor. Despite the decrease in the net capital gains tax in the year of sale, important in a measure that does not consider 115 the time value of money, the reduction in the marginal rate of tax savings is sufficient to produce a reduction in the ARR (although it is insignificant). The increase in the ARR for the two remaining levels of this variable, although not significant, reflects the influence of both the net capital gains tax reduction and the fact that most of these investors saw no post—ERTA of 1981 reduction in their marginal tax rates due to the previous availability of the maximum tax on PSI. Minimum Tax Impact The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all of the measures of return when the other variables were collapsed over the two levels of the minimum tax variable. These results are presented in Table 4. A comparison of the actual results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI had declined significantly for investor profiles with and without a forced minimum tax. The ARR also reflected significant declines at both levels. The PB produced similar results, increasing significantly for investor profiles with and without a forced minimum tax. These results are once again attributable to the smaller than projected losses and the limited cash return available from these investments. 116 Table 4. Summary of Minimum Tax Impact Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual From Actual From From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (1) (2) I (3) (4) I (5) I (6) 21 Not Forced 1.317 1.128 -14.35* 1.066 -19.06* -5.50* Forced 1.210 1.013 -l6.28* 0.992 -18.02* -2.07 ARR Not Forced 13.239 10.427 -21.24* 11.118 -16.02* +6.63 PB Not Forced 15.444 30.500 +97.49* 35.963 +132.86* +17.91* Forced 16.944 40.907 +141.42* 42.704 +152.02* +4.39 * Significant at 9 = .02 Units: PI-- A PI of one is equivalent to a ful 1 recovery of the present value of the cash investment. A P1 in excess of one is equivalent to a recovery of more than the present value of the cash investment. ARR--This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 117 The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant decrease in the PI when compared to the same results without the reforms for one of the two levels of the minimum tax variable. The PI decreased 5.5 percent for investors not subject to the forced minimum tax. The P1 was reduced for those investor profiles subject to the forced minimum tax, but not significantly. This suggests that the decrease in the minimum tax preference exemption (thereby increasing the number of periods investors without the forced minimum tax were subject to the tax) was more significant than the increase in the tax rate from 10 to 15 percent. A comparison of the actual results with post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI declined significantly at all levels of the minimum tax variable. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms did not reveal a significant change in the ARR when compared to the same results without the tax reforms. This indicates that, if time value considerations are ignored, the reduced tax on net capital gains offsets the larger amounts of minimum tax paid in the early years of the investment. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the ARR declined significantly at both levels of the minimum tax variable. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant increase in the PB for one of 118 the two levels of the minimum tax variable when compared to the same results without the reforms. The PB increased 17.91 percent for investor profiles that were not subject to the forced minimum tax. The absence of a significant increase in the PB for investor profiles with a forced minimum tax once again indicates that the increase in the tax rate, from 10 to 15 percent, did not significantly affect investor returns. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PB increased significantly at both levels of the minimum tax variable. These results, averaged over the levels of the minimum tax variable, indicate that the initial projections do not present a reasonable representation of the return an investor may anticipate. The smaller than projected losses and the limited cash return are primarily responsible for this result. When the actual results were utilized, both with and without the post-1975 tax reforms, only the PI without the forced minimum tax and the PB without the forced minimum tax were significantly affected. This points to the significant effect produced by increasing the number of periods that investors were subject to the add-on minimum tax through a reduction in the preference exemption. The increase in the tax rate alone did not significantly affect investor returns. The mixed results for the ARR with and without a forced minimum tax also reflects the impact of a 119 decrease in the net capital gains tax rate when the time value of money is not a factor. Selling Price Impact The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all of the measures of return when the other variables were collapsed over the three levels of the selling price variable. These measures are reflected in Table 5. A comparison of the actual results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI declined significantly for those investor profiles with selling prices equal to their mortgage balance, a compounded three percent annual appreciation in value, and the original cost respectively. The ARR also declined significantly atlall levels of this variable. The percentage increase in the PB was the same over all levels of this variable. This result is attributed to the fact that a sale occurs in the final quarter of the holding period. If payback was not achieved prior to this point in time (the last quarter), the ultimate selling price had no effect on the number of quarters necessary to recover the investment. Once again, the overall explanation for these significant results is smaller than projected losses and the limited cash return available from these investments. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant reduction in the PI when Table 5. Summary of Impact by Selling Price Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual From Actual From From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (1) (2) I <3) (4) I (5) | (6) £1 Mortgage Balance 1.191 0.983 -17.51* 0.926 -22.25* —5.75* 3% Appre- ciation 1.364 1.191 -12.68* 1.177 -13.71* -1.18 Original Cost 1.235 1.037 -16.03* 0.983 -20.40* -5.21* ARR Mortgage Balance 10.258 6.953 -32.22* 6.438 -37.24* -7.41* 3% Appre- ciation 20.293 17.252 -14.99* 18.848 -7.12* +9.25* Original Cost 12.761 9.598 -24.79* 9.248 -27.53* -3.65 PB Mortgage . Balance 16.194 35.704 +120.48* 39.333 +142.89* +10.16* 3% Appre- ciation 16.194 35.704 +120.48* 39.333 +142.89* +10.16* Original Cost 16.194 35.704 +120.48* 39.333 +142.89* +10.16* * Significant at a c .02 Units: PI-- A PI of one is equivalent to a ful 1 recovery of the present value of the cash investment. ARR--This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 121 compared to the same results without the reforms for a selling price equal to the mortgage balance (5.75 percent) and for a sale at original cost (5.21 percent). This reduction is attributable to the previously noted changes in the minimum tax and the reduction in the highest marginal tax brackets both of which reduced the tax savings from these investments. The reduction in the net capital gain tax rate and the removal of the capital gain deduction from the list of preferences subject to the add-on minimum tax actually mitigated the decrease (an insignificant change in the PI) for that selling price which benefitted most from these changes--the appreciated selling price which produced the largest net capital gain. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI declined significantly at all levels of the selling price variable. Utilizing the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms revealed a significant change in the ARR when compared to the same results without the reforms for two of the three levels of this variable. A selling price equal to the mortgage balance at the time of sale resulted in a 7.41 percent decrease in the ARR. Because a sale at this price would yield the smallest possible net capital gain (among the levels of the variable utilized), the decrease in the net capital gains tax rate had little effect on this level of the variable. Therefore, the larger number of periods 122 the investor profiles were subject to the revised add-on minimum tax significantly reduced the ARR. A selling price equal to three percent annually compounded appreciation to the date of sale resulted in a 9.25 percent increase in the ARR. Because a sale at this price would yield the largest possible net capital gain (among the levels of the variable utilized), the decrease in the net capital gains tax rate was sufficient to completely offset the minimum tax changes. Hence, this investor profile is shown to benefit from the post—1975 tax reforms (if the ARR is utilized). A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the ARR declined significantly at all levels of the selling price variable. The use of actual results with the post- 1975 tax reforms also revealed a significant increase in the PB at all levels of this variable when compared to the same results without the reforms. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PB increased significantly at all levels. Thus the ultimate selling price was not a factor in determining the PB. Once again the results, averaged over the levels of the selling price variable, indicate that the initial financial projections do not present a reasonable representation of the return an investor may anticipate. When the actual results were utilized, with and without the post-1975 tax 123 reforms, the PI for all but the appreciated selling price was significantly affected. This indicates that, at this level of the variable, time value considerations and the larger amount of minimum tax to be paid were almost entirely offset by the decrease in the net capital gains tax rate. A similar result was obtained for the ARR when the original cost of the project was utilized as the selling price. This selling price produced a net capital gain that fell between that for the other two levels of this variable, causing both significant negative and positive results at those levels. Thus, the insignificant change in the ARR is attributable to the decline in the net capital gain tax rate which offset the post-1975 minimum tax changes. Holding Period Impact. The use of actual results versus the use of the initial projections revealed a significant difference in all of the measures of return when the other variables were collapsed over the three levels of the holding period variable. These results are presented in Table 6. A comparison of the financial results without the post- 1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PI had declined significantly for holding periods of I nine, 12, and 15 years respectively. The ARR also declined significantly at all levels of this variable. The PB was likewise affected increasing significantly at all levels. This result is attributable to the smaller than projected 124 Table 6. Summary of Impact by Holding Period Pre-TRA of 1976 Section 8 Housing Structure Without Tax Reforms With Tax Reforms Percent Percent Percent Original Change Change Change Return Projected Actual From Actual From From Measure Results Results Column 1 Results Column 1 Column 2 (l) (2) I (3) (4) I (5) I (6) 3; Nine Years 1.193 1.072 -10.14* 1.017 -14.75* -5.13* Twelve Years 1.277 1.075 ~15.82* 1.036 ~18.87* -3.63* Fifteen Years 1.321 1.064 ~19.45* 1.034 ~21.73* ~2.82 ARR Nine Years 16.106 12.964 -19.51* 12.323 -23.49* -4.94 Twelve Years 14.337 11.065 -22.82* 11.335 -20.94* +2.44 Fifteen Years 12.869 9.775 -24.04* 10.876 -15.49* +11.26* PB Nine Years 16.190 30.550 +88.70* 32.890 +103.15* +7.66* Twelve Years 16.190 35.770 +120.94* 39.550 +144.29* +10.57* Fifteen Years 16.190 40.770 +151.82* 45.550 +181.35* +11.72* * Significant at a = .02 Units: PI-- A PI of one is equivalent to a ful 1 recovery of the present value of the cash investment. ARR--This measure is stated in percentage terms. PB-- This measure indicates the number of quarters the partner- ship interest must be held to recover the cash investment. 125 losses and the limited cash return available from these investments. The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms produced a significant reduction in the PI when compared to the same results without the reforms for both the nine and 12 year holding periods. This result is attributable to the increase in the number of periods investors were subject to the minimum tax and to the increase in the recapture potential due to the adoption of the 200 month rule (a holding period related change). A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed what the PI declined significantly at.all levels of the holding period variable. Utilizing the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms produced a significant increase in the ARR when compared to the same results without the reforms for one of the three levels of this variable. The 15 year holding period produced an 11.26 percent increase in the ARR. This result reflects the negligible amount of excess depreciation to be recaptured after 15 years (under the 200 month rule) and the significance of the decrease in the net capital gains tax rate. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the ARR declined significantly at all levels of the holding period variable. 126 The use of actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms also revealed a significant increase in the PB at all levels of this variable when compared to the same results without the reforms. A comparison of the actual results with the post-1975 tax reforms and the original projections revealed that the PB increased significantly at all levels. Once again the results, averaged over the three levels of the holding period variable, indicate that the initial projections do not present a reasonable representation of the return an investor may anticipate. When the actual financial results were utilized, with and without the post- 1975 tax reforms, the PI for all but the 15 year holding period was significantly affected. This indicates that when the time value of money is considered, the decrease in the net capital gains tax rate is more than offset by the increase in the number of periods the investor profiles were subject to the minimum tax and by the larger amount of the gain recaptured as ordinary income. However, because there is virtually no excess depreciation to recapture after a 15 year holding period, the reduction in the PI (due to this provision) is negligible and the percentage change at this level is insignificant. The shorter holding periods produce a significant amount of depreciation to be recaptured as ordinary income. When the time value concept is ignored (as in the ARR), the decrease in the net capital gain tax rate becomes more 127 significant. Thus the reduced capital gains tax almost exactly offsets the increased depreciation recapture and minimum tax at the nine and 12 year holding periods (producing insignificant changes). When the recapture potential is eliminated, after a 15 year holding period, the capital gain reduction is sufficient to produce a significant increase in the ARR. The Effect of the ERTA of 1981 and Relevant Legislation Variables The model described in Chapter IV was utilized to evaluate the impact of the ERTA of 1981 and relevant tax provisions applicable to government-assisted low-income housing. For each of the 12 actual 1980-81 projects evaluated, 486 different parameter combinations were produced bylallowing each of the following four variables to assume various levels: marginal tax.rate (3 levels), investment holding period (3 levels), selling price of the project (3 levels), and the add-on minimum tax (2 levels). Additionally, the projections were reformulated as though the partnerships began operations in 1982 (one of the major reformulations being the use of the ACRS lS-year life for real property to conform to the ERTA of 1981). Each reformulated projection was further modified by: (1) revising the projections to capitalize and amortize construction period interest and taxes, (2) revising the projections to reflect 175 DB cost recovery (from the 200 DB 128 availableeonly for low-income housing), (3) revising the projections to incorporate 100 percent recapture of excess cost recovery deductions (from the phase-out under the 200 month rule available only for low-income housing), and (4) combining the above revisions so that the four possible interactions could be examined. The following return measures were produced for each parameter set: profitability index (PI) based on a 20 percent discount rate, undiscounted average rate of return (ARR), and the payback (PB). These return measures were then averaged across the variables under study such as the marginal tax rate, investment holding period, sales price and cost recovery method utilized. The results provide the basis for the following discussion which addresses two objectives of this study: 1. To determine the impact of the ERTA of 1981 on expected returns for an investment in low-income housing. 2. To investigate the differential impact of the tax provisions specifically enacted to provide an incentive for investment in low-income housing. The research results demonstrating the effects of the ERTA of 1981 and other selected legislation variables are presented below in three sections: (1) the effect on the payback (PB), (2) the effect on the average rate of return (ARR), and (3) the effect on the profitability index (PI). 129 Payback Results A comparison of the original 1980-81 projections and the reformulated projections (to conform to the ERTA of 1981) produced only two significant changes in the PB as shown in Table 7. When the results were averaged over the taxable income variable, the PB rose from 21.92 and 18.17 to 22.58 and 19.17 quarters for investors in the pre-1982 60 and 70 percent marginal tax brackets respectively. This longer PB suggests that the larger loss available to the investors, as a result of increased cost recovery deductions, is less significant than the ERTA of 1981 reduction in the maximum marginal tax rate to 50 percent (which reduced the tax savings from the losses). It also suggests that while most investor profiles formerly subject to the 60 and 70 percent marginal tax rates could utilize the pre-1982 maximum tax on PSI, the reduction in income eligible for this provision (due to the preferences created by these investments) resulted in significant amounts of income being taxed at rates above 50 percent. Despite the above changes, no significant difference arose when the returns were averaged over the following variables: holding period, selling price, the add-on minimum tax, and the overall combination of the above variables. This suggests that the changes made by the ERTA of 1981 had their most significant impact on investors that, prior to 1982, were in marginal tax brackets exceeding 50 percent. 130 .ucceumo>:. m. 9:0 .0 «mm.m~+ mo.wm «mo.m~+ no.0N «mm.6~+ OO.MN cd~.m~o h@.©~ «mh.o~. hv.Nm cwm.md+ mm.hN cwm.m~+ mm.hm «mm.m~+ mm.hm ewv.m~+ mm.hN cov.mdo mm.hN cam.m~¢ hv.hm «mm.m~+ mm.h~ Aha. .od. mumu DU». 191 10,579. mu: 0S0 33 I .. .am 3 98 2959 1.0T. 18 o e 03 (a: m 33 an. e dd 31 no Jr... 33 a 93 TL. 0 u 5 WV Lamp one um>oowu Cu p.13 on base amoumDC. 2.5mtoCchc 0:. muo.um:c .c .0252: 0:. mo.mo.p:w ousmmoe m.:e (1:; .mELmu occucoouec c. toumum m. 0.2mmms m.:&unzz< .ucmsumo>:. :mco 0:5 .0 ¢:_m> .ccmotd on. cmzu once .0 >um>ou¢u 6 Cu uco.m>.=co .0oxo :. .a < .uzmsumo>c. :mmo 0:5 .0 o:.m> ucmmcuo an. .o >u¢>coou ._:. m o. aco.m>.:co m. mac .0 .3 < (1.; .ll ”my. a in: no 65.63265 6 me. u: 2.. 6:82:56 . .mm.m.. 3o.m~ «mo.~_. vm.- .v~.n. no.c~ «mo.~.. e~.h~ oo.c _m.vm .vm.h. sc.e~ .c.m. .m.v~ mc.mm c0060. .me.m~+ hw.e~ 6.»..a. oh.m~ .wv.h. mh.e~ 6.5.... oh.mm oo.c oc.m~ .cv.n. mh.vm om.m. wc.m~ mm.mm UQUDOL boz xme E:E.c.z .mo.w~. oo.m~ .mm.v.. ~¢.Hm .mm.a. oo..~ .mm.cd. mo.H~ oo.o n..o. .mm.o. oo..~ com.m. n~.¢. 5H.m~ «on ~m¢HImua .—..m~. so.w~ «mo.n.. hw.m~ .oe.n. mm.v~ «mo.m.. nw.m~ oo.o am.m~ «ov.s. m~.vm c.o.m. mm.- ~m..~ woe mmafinmua .wh.o~. n¢.~m .o¢.m. 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Mun. Wm” nun. nan amp mm... mm? mm... wan. wig Hum. mm... Maw mm% 0...? nag grro n Una 3r:o n nay Srro n uqu drro m nag Drro uqv grro n nag lrko .+[.0 mam cam 9.6“”. was .m mg. ..m s. ..m m.. .m .3. yam... 03 an .13 uau .03 8.1403 nuan— 3 1.39 .0 36. 3 3.4n .4 Exam 3 ..4n 3 3.4 .4 31.n 3 0.4n "u3.l 2.82 TrT 2.19 n 1.1 2.58 TPT 2.32 T.l 2.18 n I.l 3.39 ,(vrT T.d€ .JI.T e I 189.03 18109 139.09 139.08 Jan 109 loo 03 13 09.1.0 03 U3 08 an... 03 03 03 33 03 803 03 03 03 7103.13 m 383 m 83 m 889 m 183 m (38 m 83 m 698 s . D. 9. D. a D. . D. D. D. 8 D. .d 3 {\ T. o 3 a I.\ I o d . d 3 V. . n T. I J o o a /\ 9.. ( 1 .muwuucsc CH. mu.smom xom2>om mo >umessm .n o.nce 131 However, when averaged over all of the nonlegislation variables, the results show that the changes made by the ERTA of 1981 did not significantly affect the PB for investors in Section 8 housing. A further reformulation of the 1980-81 projections, to reduce the method of cost recovery to a 175 DB rate over 15 years, produced a significant increase in the PB at all levels of the nonlegislation variables. The overall increase was from 23.69 to 25.43 quarters. Averaging the returns over the selling price variable produced the same increase for each of the three levels of this variable. This is a significant increase in the PB but the level of this variable is not a factor in determining its size. This result is attributable to the selling price, which is received at the end of the investment holding period and is not a factor in determining the PB. Averaging the returns over the taxable income variable produced a significant increase at all levels for investors in the pre-1982 50, 60 and 70 percent marginal tax rates respectively. The PB for the minimum tax variable also increased significantly for investors with and without a forced minimum tax. These results indicate that the ACRS recovery schedule for low-income housing (200 DB) and other forms of real property (175 DB) has a significant effect on the PB. The increase was fairly stable over a1 1 of the variables. The major exception to this stability, the taxable income variable, indicates that the pre-1982 70 132 percent investor profile was affected more by this change than the 50 percent profile. A revision of the depreciation recapture percentage for low-income housing-~moving away from the 200 month rule to one that recaptures all excess depreciation without reference to a holding period--produced no changes in the PB. This is consistent with the fact that depreciation recapture occurs when the property is sold and has no effect on the PB. The final legislation variable to be examined independently was the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes. Since the effect of this revision is to defer deductible amounts until later years, this reformulation was expected to increase the PB. Averaging over all of the nonlegislation variables produced a significant increase in the PB atlall levels of the nonlegislation variables. Tfimzoverall increase over these variables was from 23.69 to 26.5 quarters. The increase averaged over the holding period variable was significant at all levels. Averaging the returns over the selling price variable produced an increase from 23.69 to 26.5 quarters at all levels of this variable. This result is consistent with the fact that the ultimate selling price has no effect on the PB. .Averaging the returns over the taxable income and minimum tax variables also produced a significant increase at all levels. These results clearly indicate that forcing low-income housing to capitalize and 133 amortize construction period interest and taxes would significantly increase the PB. The major deviation from the 11 to 12 percent average increase was the taxable income variable. Once again this change would have a larger impact on investors with larger amounts of taxable income. In both instances where the interaction of the potential change in depreciation recapture was combined with either the 175 DB cost recovery or the capitalization of construction period interest and taxes variables, the results were unaffected by the change in the method of recapture (iJL, columns four and 10 and columns eight and 12 are equal). This result is consistent with recapture (coming at the time of sale) having no effect on the PB. The remaining dual interaction, 175 DB cost recovery and the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, produced a significant increase lJlthE PB at‘all levels of the nonlegislation variables. The overall increase was from 23.69 to 27.38 quarters. The increase, when averaged over the holding period variable, was significant at all levels. Once again the increase associated with the selling price variable was not affected by the level of that variable. The increase was from 23.69 to 27.38 quarters for each of the three levels of this variable. Averaging the returns over the taxable income and the minimum tax variables also produced significant increases at all levels. This dual interaction produced the most significant increase in the PB. Once 134 again, this change has the largest impact on the return of investors with higher levels of taxable income. The final interaction examined was a combination of all three legislation variables. Here the projections were reformulated to reflect 175 DB cost recovery, the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, and excess cost recovery recapture that was not a function of the holding period of the property. Because these results are exactly the same as those for the dual interaction of 175 DB cost recovery and construction period interest and taxes (discussed above), they are consistent with a finding that the method of depreciation recapture was not a factor in determining the PB. Overall, the results indicate that two of the three provisions enacted to aid low-income housing and examined in this study have a significant effect on the PB. The availability of 200 DB cost recovery and the provision exempting low-income housing from the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes have the effect of reducing the PB by an average of 15.58 percent. Average Rate pf Return (ARR) Results A comparison of the 1980-81 projections and the reformulated projections (to conform to the ERTA of 1981) produced only one significant change in the ARR. These results are presented in Table 8. .ucweuww>:m :mmu ozu uo>ooos ca 0.5: on umae ampuouc. magnumCuuma ms. muouumsq no 6028:: «cu moumodpcfi ousmmos mfize lama .msuwu monucoouma :. pmumum mu ouswmme wwcsnnmm< .acwEumw>:« :mmo ecu uo w:_m> ucwmoun on» can» whoa uo >uo>oumu m Ou uco.m>w:vo .3. 0:0 .0 mmooxm c. r. 4. 5.555063: swap 6.: no o:.m> ucmmmua 0.: .0 560.6006 .2; m 0» aco~m>dsvw a. 95 ac 7. < (I... 135 "mu.:: 3.. 3 .6 acmo.u.co.m o No. a e um neuu.u.co.m . av.c. vm.- no... mv.- mm.~| 5o.- m5.o. 5n.~. .m.on m..- “5.5: 5o.~H mo... ~m.- o..v. m~.~. a5... poouom mo.c. mo.- ma... mm.- 5n.~| mn.- mn.o. ~5.~. ~5.os om.~a oc..l 5v.- «v... wo.- we... mm.~u 5v.- pwouom uoz xme 53552.: m~.ou o5.n~ ~5.o+ om.m~ cm.au vm.n~ .w.cu ~5.n~ om.on m5.m~ ~m.~| mm.m~ mv.c. wo.m~ mm.~+ co.n~ ov.m~ «O5 Nomanwum mc.o. om.m. om... ve.~. om.~u v..~. ve.o. 5m.~. -.~I mm.~. o5..| 5~.- 65... ~5.~— mm.~. 5v.- o~.~. coo «maalmun wN... on... «v.~. we... m5.~| cm.o~ 55... mm... ma.cn cc... mm..- vo.o~ mo.n. ac... 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Na.c. o..~. om.ou ma... m5.o| om... mm... m..- mm.~. «a... mo.~. mumm» cowuuqm H...I 5w.~. 5m.o. ~5.~. om.mn -.- mo.ou mv.~. «5.0: ~m.- mo.ml -.~H .5... m5.~. om.v. dw.- mo.- mamm» m>~o35 mm... oo.m. oa.m. .H.m~ m~.~| vm.~. #5... mc.m~ 5°.Hn aw.- 5..HI mo.m~ 5m.~. w..m~ ov.~. nm.~. mo.~. mummy 0:.2 new... mc.c.o: mm.o. .m.~. cw... mw.~. «e.~| 5~.~. vm.o+ mm.- ~5.on mm.- om..- 5~.- 65... oo.- om.~+ 5v.~H ma.~a uflsmwm -muo>o .5.. .m.. .m.. .v.. .55. .NH. .HH. .c.. .m. .m. .5. .o. .m. .v. .m. .m. .H. oHmeum> d 3)8 3 d )88 3 d )8». 33d )dx. 3d 788 33.8.1.6». 33.4 )dH 33d)dH)dT mo mm“ .33 F? H? mm“ nap mm" um... mm... 3mm was mm... 1......an "Wm... “Wm mmm a: mu... rsm m...” E... T...” 3.. m...” E... m... H... m...” E. m... c... .3? a... “an .0 USU 03m “an dam “a“ 03m 080 IDW. Uganda—W “an 03 nan 3m 1.3 3 98“ 3 814 3 33 3 a: 3.3 333 3 83“ 3 03 “3.1 7693? 1.6T. 76.4.9 IT. 7.1.3 “It 7.4.3 II 7.33 YPT. 76.53 “II 7.1.? (IT. .1153 19.1.1376. 100 . 3 Job 9.09. loo 103 100 9.03 18 9.03 18 103 18 03 Is 03 TO 08 (H... 08 n... ma 803 03 u... me u... 03 an: 03 U3 oa Tu3(u m 93 m 353 33 m 833 133 m (33 m 33 m 683 3 3D. . D. 9. D. 3 D. . D. D. D. 8 D. a d a ( I dd 0 D B I-\ 31 I . .0 n0 . .d 3 Jr... D. o D an .1 u a o.m ( n .( .ucmuDoa aw. mu.:mom spouwm .o mama mgmuw>< uo >umesam .m w.nme U (\ B 136 When the results were averaged over the selling price variable, the ARR rose from 17.44 to 18.31 percent for a selling price equal to three percent annually compounded appreciation. Because this selling price is the highest level of this variable, it also produced the largest gain on sale (some of which would be treated as ordinary income but the majority of which would be a potential net capital gain). This result indicates that the reduction in the net capital gain tax (to a maximum 20 percent) and the maximum marginal tax rate became significant when the sale of the investment produced a large net capital gain. No significant difference arose when the returns were averaged over the following variables: holding period, taxable income, the add-on minimum tax, and the overall combination of the above variables. This result is attributable to the nature of the ARR measure. Because it does not consider the time value of money, the reduced early year tax savings (due to the lower marginal tax rates) are offset by a reduced tax liability at the time of sale. This result is also reflected in the selling price variable where the only reduction in the ARR (although insignificant) occurs when the results are averaged over that level producing the smallest gain on sale. This indicates that the reductions in the marginal tax rates produced almost no change in the ARR while the reduction in the net capital gain tax produced a generally positive (but insignificant) increase. 137 A further reformulation of the 1980-81 projections, to reduce the method of cost recovery to a 175 DB rate over 15 years, produced no significant difference in the ARR when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. Despite the lack of significant results, averaging over the nonlegislation variables produced a small increase in the ARR in every instance. This result is attributable to the smaller excess cost recovery preference (thereby reducing the minimum tax liability) and the reduction in the amount of excess cost recovery to be recaptured as ordinary income on sale. A revision of the recapture percentage for low-income housing, moving away from the 200 month rule to one that recaptures all excess depreciation without reference to a holding period, produced no significant changes in the ARR. Although not significant, all of the results indicate a slight reduction in the ARR. This small reduction indicates that low-income housing benefits marginally from the 200 month rule. The final legislation variable to be examined independently was the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes. It also produced no significant reduction in the ARR. Therefore, amending the tax law to require the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, as is currently required for other real property, would have only a marginal impact on an investor‘s ARR. 138 The dual interaction of reducing the cost recovery rate to 175 DB and changing the depreciation recapture variable, as described above, produced no significant changes in the ARR when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. This coincides with the individual results for these variables. When examined independently one variable, 175 DB cost recovery, produced slightly positive results while the recapture variable produced slightly negative results. The results for this interaction fall between those for the two variables examined independently. The interaction of a change in the method of depreciation recapture and in the treatment of construction period interest and taxes, produced a significant reduction in the ARR at.all levels of the selling price variable when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. A selling price equal to the mortgage balance was significant at the two percent confidence level and the two remaining levels were significant at a ten percent confidence level. This result follows from a reduction in tax savings due to a decrease in the size of the net capital gain. The reduction in the size of the net capital gain, due to the change in the depreciation recapture rules, arose because a larger share of the excess cost recovery deductions are subject to recapture as ordinary income. However, the rationale is more subtle for construction period interest and taxes. When these costs are capitalized and amortized at a rate of 10 percent for each year of operation, they are not always 139 fully amortized when the property is sold. When this occurs, the basis for the property at the date of sale is relatively large and this produces a lower gain on sale. Because the gain is smaller, the amount of net capital gain is also reduced. The remaining dual interaction, 175 DB cost recovery and the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, produced no significant difference in the ARR when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. This is consistent with the individual results for these variables. When examined independently, one variable, 175 DB cost recovery, produced slightly positive results while the construction period interest and taxes variable produced slightly negative results. The interaction results fall between those for each of the variables examined independently. The interaction of all three legislation variables produced no significant differences in the ARR when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. This is consistent with the individual results for these variables. When examined independently, one of the three variables produced a slight increase in the ARR while the other two produced slight decreases when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. Once again, the interaction falls between the largest and the smallest changes produced by the variables independently. 140 Profitability Index (PI) Results A comparison of the 1980-81 projections and the reformulated projections (to conform to the ERTA of 1981) produced one significant difference in the PI at a two percent confidence level and an additional six significant differences at the 10 percent confidence level. These results are presented in Table 9. When the results were averaged over all of the nonlegislation variables, the PI declined from 1.09 to 1.06. This indicates that the changes made by the ERTA of 1981 (increased cost recovery deductions and a reduction in the maximum marginal tax rate) have a significant effect on the return available to Section 8 investors when the time value of the tax savings is considered. Among the three levels of the holding period variable, only the 15 year holding period produced a significant decline with the PI falling from 1.14 to 1.11. This reflects the declining value of the reduced net capital gain tax as the time period lengthens and the reduced tax savings in later years, when the ACRS deduction is smaller than that available under pre-ERTA law. Averaging the results over the three levels of the selling price variable produced significant reductions at two levels of this variable--a sale at the mortgage balance and at original cost. This reflects the fact that there is little or no net capital gain produced at these selling prices. Therefore, the reduction in the net capital gain 141 .uc0sum0>c6 2000 0:6 60>000u 06 p.02 00 0005 60060626 amcmu0cuuma 0:6 06066000 .0 6025:: 0:6 000006026 0620005 0.55 Item .msu0u 0000:00600 :6 006060 06 0620005 m.:5nn¢z< .u:0Eum0>:6 £000 026 .0 0:60> 6:00060 0:6 :026 0605 mo >u0>000u 0 06 u:0.0>6:c0 06 0:0 .60 00006.0 :6 6.6 < 55.056003: £000 05.. uo 00.6; 0.600065. 02,. .0 >u0>0006 666C 0 on. 66.060.666.00 06 0:0 uo 6.. < (I... 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The reduced marginal tax rates decreased the tax savings from the investment losses more than the tax savings added by the increased early year deductions (due to the ACRS). When the PI is averaged over the three levels of the taxable income variable, two of the three levels produced significant decreases. The P1 was reduced for an investor in the pre-l982 70 percent marginal tax bracket and to a lesser extent for an investor in the pre-1982 60 percent marginal tax bracket. The reduced PI indicates that the larger early year losses, available to the investors as a result of increased cost recovery deductions, are less significant than the ERTA of 1981 reduction in the maximum marginal tax rate to 50 percent (which reduced all post-1981 tax savings from the losses). It also indicates that while most investor profiles (formerly subject to the 60 and 70 percent marginal brackets) were able to utilize the pre-1982 maximum tax rate on PSI, the preference offset resulted in significant amounts of pre-1982 income being taxed at rates above 50 percent. Of the two levels for the add-on minimum tax, the level that did not force the tax produced a significant decline from 1.11 to 1.08. This occurs because many investors, not previously subject to the tax (or paying a smaller minimum tax), were subject to the minimum tax on a more frequent basis and in larger amounts. This arises because of smaller regular tax payments due to the tax decreases made by the 143 ERTA of 1981 and the larger cost recovery deductions available under the ACRS which produce larger amounts of excess cost recovery preferences in the early years. This larger preference base, offset by a smaller amount of regular tax, produced more frequent and larger minimum tax consequences to investors. A further reformulation of the 1980-81 projections, to reduce the method of cost recovery to a 175 DB rate over 15 years, produced a significant decrease in the PI for all but one level of the nonlegislation variables when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. The overall decline was from 1.06 to 1.03. This decrease indicates that the special provision granting low-income housing 200 DB cost recovery (versus 175 DB for other residential housing) is significant when the time value of the tax savings is considered. When the results were averaged over the holding period variable, significant decreases were noted for each of the three levels. When the P1 was averaged over the selling price variable a significant decrease was also noted at every level. Averaging the PI results over the taxable income variable produced significant decreases for investors with the largest amounts of taxable income. For investors that prior to 1982 would have been in the 60 and '70 percent marginal tax brackets, the decrease was from 1.07 and 1.19 to 1.04 and 1.14 respectively. This indicates that investors with larger amounts of taxable income would be 144 significantly affected by a reduction in the cost recovery method to 175 DB. The minimum tax variable was not a significant factor in the overall PI decrease. Whether the add-on minimum tax was forced or the investor incurred it as a result of other preferences, the PI declined by approximately the same magnitude. These results indicate that the ACRS recovery schedule for low-income housing (200 DB) and for other forms of real property (175 DB) produces a significant differential when the time value of the tax savings is incorporated into the return measure. However, the PI for investors whose early year losses produce tax savings at a rate below the 50 percent maximum marginal rate was not significantly affected. A revision of the depreciation recapture percentage for low-income housing, changing from the 200 month rule to one that recaptures all excess depreciation without reference to a holding period, produced no significant reductions in the PI for low-income housing. This result is consistent with the fact that recapture does not occur until the year of sale and, because it is on a discounted basis, has little effect on investor returns. The final legislation.variable to be examined independently was the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes. Since the effect of this reformulation is to defer deductible amounts until later years, the PI is significantly reduced at-all levels 145 of each of the variables when the results are compared to the initial reformulations. The overall reduction was from 1.06 to .95 and represents the most significant single legislation variable in reducing the PI. The decrease when averaged over the holding period, selling price, taxable income, and minimum tax variables was significant at every level. These results indicate that if construction period interest and taxes were to be capitalized and amortized on low-income housing projects, their PI would be significantly affected. This decrease was a fairly stable 10 to 11 percent when averaged over the nonlegislation‘variables. The dual interaction of decreasing the cost recovery rate to 175 DE and revising the method of depreciation recapture, as discussed above, produced 11 significant decreases in the PI when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. The overall decrease was from 1.06 tx>lu03. Averaging the results over the three levels of the holding period variable produced significant results at the two percent confidence level for the 12 and 15 year holding periods. The decline in the PI at the nine year level was significant at the 10 percent confidence level. These results are almost entirely attributable to the reduced level of cost recovery deductions. When the results were averaged over the selling price variable, two levels produced significant reductions in the PI at the two percent confidence level. The decline in the 146 PI at the original cost level was significant at the 10 percent confidence level. Once again these results are almost entirely attributable to the reduced level of cost recovery. Significant reductions also occurred in the taxable income variable at the pre-l982 60 and 70 percent levels (from 1.07 and 1.19 to 1.04 and 1.14 respectively) and in the minimum tax variable at both levels. The reductions, once again, are almost entirely attributable to the reduced method of cost recovery. The absence of a significant reduction for the 50 percent level indicates that investors with lower levels of taxable income are the only investor profiles that would not be significantly affected by decreasing the method of cost recovery. The dual interaction of capitalizing and amortizing construction period interest and taxes and revising the method of depreciation recapture, as discussed above, produced significant decreases in the PI at‘all levels of the nonlegislation variables when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. The overall decrease was from 1.06 to .95. The decrease when averaged over the holding period, selling price, taxable income, and minimum tax variables was significant at every level. These reductions are almost entirely attributable to the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes, and are a fairly stable 10 to 12 percent over all levels of the nonlegislation variables. 147 The dual interaction of decreasing the cost recovery rate to 175 DE coupled with the capitalization and amortization of construction period interest and taxes produced significant decreases in the PI atmall levels of the nonlegislation variables when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. The overall decrease was from 1.06 to .94. The decrease when averaged over the holding period, selling price, taxable income, and minimum tax variables was also significant at every level. This interaction represents the most significant reduction in the PI due to an interaction of two legislation variables and is a fairly stable 11 to 12 percent over the nonlegislation variables. Finally, the interaction of all three legislation variables reduced the PI significantly atlall levels of the nonlegislation variables when the results were compared to the initial reformulations. The overall decrease was from 1.06 to .93. The interaction of the three legislation variables produced the overall lowest.PI for every level of each of the variables. This indicates that legislation adopted to favor low-income housing is consistent with congressional intent. The existence of the three legislation variables examined in this study provides low-income housing with an increased return when the time value of the tax savings is a factor in measuring investor returns. 148 Summary The primary objective of this study was to determine the impact of the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and the ERTA of 1981 on the profitability of investments in Section 8 housing. Two computer models were utilized in this analysis. The models allowed for an evaluation of the investments over time periods and across variables such as the investor's marginal tax rate, the investment selling price, and various holding periods. Additional research questions examined in this study included an examination of the impact of: (1) allowing low- income housing to utilize 200 DB cost recovery while limiting other forms of real estate investments to 175 DB, (2) allowing a phase-out of the Sec. 1250 recapture percentage for low-income housing (200 month rule) while requiring 100 percent recapture of excess cost recovery deductions for other forms of residential real estate, and (3) allowing low-income housing to deduct, on a current basis, construction period interest and taxes while requiring other forms of real estate to capitalize and amortize those costs. In general, the results of this study indicate the importance of considering tax factors in making Section 8 investment decisions. The findings also indicate that the impact of the tax laws, and the resulting investment return, may be substantially altered by the investor‘s marginal tax 149 rate, investment holding period, and the ultimate sales price of the investment. Specifically, the study revealed that the investment prospectuses utilized in this study significantly overstated the tax benefits available to the investors even with an analysis which assumed that the pre-TRA of 1976 tax law remained in effect over the entire holding period. The TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and the ERTA of 1981 were also shown to have had a significant negative impact on investments in Section 8 housing which preceeded all three Acts. While the ERTA of 1981 significantly increased the cost recovery deductions for Section 8 housing and reduced the net capital gain tax to a maximum 20 percent, a present value analysis indicates that the reduction in the maximum marginal tax rate to 50 percent and the increase in the level at which income is subject to those rates produced a negative impact on investor returns in Section 8 housing. Alternativelyy the provisions specifically enacted to favor low-income housing were shown to increase the investment return. Investment Prospectuses The most common advice given an investor contemplating an investment in a syndicated partnership is to obtain the prospectus and proceed to determine the tax benefits, tax detriments, and cash flows for the investment. In so doing 150 the tax and business assumptions expressed in the prospectus are accepted as reliable and accurate. As the results of this study demonstrate, the projections made in the prospectus do not represent an accurate picture of the eventual tax consequences. In every instance the tax benefits were overstated, thus leading investors to anticipate larger investment returns than those actually obtainable. This was shown to be the result despite the removal of the tax risk inherent in these investments. It should be noted that the tax risk in this instance is the risk that Congress wil l amend the tax law so as to materially alter an investor's return. As noted below, this risk is very real. Two of the major risks impacting upon the investments in this study were the economic risk and the risk surrounding government regulation of rents and distributions. The economic risk with the largest impact on Section 8 housing over the 1975-1982 period was inflation. The average increase in rents over this period exceeded the increase in the cash expenses of these investments and significantly reduced the tax losses available to the investors. As previously discussed, these pass-through losses represent the bulk of an investor‘s return. Because HUD regulations severely limit the cash distributions from these partnerships, the cash dividends paid to the investors were unable to offset the reduced tax savings from the smaller losses. This resulted in significantly smaller 151 investment returns than those anticipated by the original projections. Impact of Tax Changes on Existing Investments The federal tax structure is a major tool of fiscal policy. As such, this structure is often employed to assist certain segments of the national economy. Tax shelters often arise from the provisions enacted to assist these segments. However, the intended assist may be subverted if investors anticipate future tax changes which would reduce, or otherwise limit, the benefits of an existing investment. The results of this study conclusively demonstrate that, for Section 8 investments, Congress has retroactively reduced the return of investments made prior to the enactment of the TRA of 1976. While many of the changes made by the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and the ERTA of 1981 affect only shelters organized on or after their effective dates, the following changes made by these Acts affected existing Section 8 investments (as previously described): 1. Changes in depreciation recapture 2. Changes in the minimum tax on preference items 3. Changes in the maximum marginal tax rates 4. Changes in the effective tax rate on net capital gains 5. Changes in the maximum tax on personal service income (and its eventual elimination) 152 While investors are unlikely to quarrel with Congress over reductions in the marginal and net capital gain tax rates, they may actually reduce a tax shelter investorks return. However, this reduction is offset by the tax saving on other forms of income. The more controversial provisions involve the changes in the minimum tax and in the depreciation recapture provisions. These changes reduced an investor‘s return on existing investments and provided no compensating tax reductions on other income. This adds an unnecessary element of risk to the investment process which may subvert the assistance contemplated when Congress adOpted or enlarged a tax expenditure. The risk could be mitigated if investors were assured that future tax law changes would be effective only for investments entered into after the date of enactment. Impact of ERTA on Section g Investments In 1981, Congress concluded that a program of significant multi-year tax reductions was needed to stimulate future economic growth. These tax reductions were intended to assist in upgrading the nationfs industrial base, stimulating productivity and innovation throughout the economy, reducing personal tax burdens, and restraining the growth of the federal government. This led to the tax reductions enacted by the ERTA of 1981. Other provisions of the ERTA of 1981 represent a radical break with the past. The concept of "useful life" 153 is no longer relevant in determining the return on capital invested in depreciable property. The focus has been reoriented from depreciation of the physical property to recovery of the capital expended. The relevant factor has changed from a focus on the "useful life" of the asset to the apprOpriate period for recovery of the capital expended to acquire the asset. The overall rate reduction and the adoption of the ACRS, as noted above, had the largest impact on Section 8 investment of the numerous provisions incorporated into the ERTA of 1981. The immediate result of the cut in the maximum marginal tax rates was to make investment losses less attractive since the after-tax cost, for many investors, increased from 30 to 50 percent. This caused many investment advisors to proclaim the end of the tax shelter era. However, the capital recovery provisions of the ERTA of 1981 had the effect of increasing the early year deductions (thereby increasing the pass-through loss) for these investments. It also increased the excess accelerated cost recovery which was subject to both the minimum tax and to potential recapture when the prOperty was sold. Because Section 8 housing relies upon a significant portion of an investor‘s return being derived from pass-through deductions, additional depreciation in the early tax years provides an added incentive for this type of investment. This study examined the way in which these conflicting 154 provisions (reduced marginal tax rates and larger capital recovery deductions) affected a Section 8 investor‘s return. A review of the results indicates that the decrease in the marginal tax rates, the increase in the minimum tax preference item due to larger recovery deductions, and the increase in the cost recovery recapture potential more than offset the larger early year deductions made available by the adoption of 15-year 200 DB cost recovery for low—income housing. Thus the overal 1 effect of the ERTA of 1981 was to decrease the returns available to investors in Section 8 housing relative to the return available under prior law. This result should not be construed as concluding that a Section 8 investment is more or less attractive (relative to alternative forms of investment) as a result of the ERTA of 1981. The relative attractiveness of Section 8 housing as an investment is beyond the scope of this study. Another result of the ERTA of 1981 changes was an increase in the complexity of the tax law. This makes the evaluation of the incentives to invest in low-income housing a complicated process and must surely reduce the effectiveness of the contemplated incentive. Provisions to Encourage Investment in Low-income Housing Three provisions intended to provide additional tax incentives to invest in low-income housing were examined in this study. The general rationale provided for these incentives is the governmental restrictions placed on low- income housing and, all tax consequences being equal, the 155 preconception that investors would rather invest in shopping centers or other commercial projects. This study clearly indicates that if the construction period interest and taxes, cost recovery rate, and recapture provisions applicable to residential housing were to apply to low-income housing, investor returns would be reduced significantly. The most beneficial provision is that exempting low-income housing from the requirement to capitalize and amortize construction period interest and taxes, followed by the larger cost recovery deductions allowable to low-income housing, with the recapture differential adding marginally to the increased return. It should be noted, however, that this study does not suggest that returns from low-income housing exceed those from other forms of real property. Governmental restrictions, the limited appreciation potential, and the maintenance costs of low-income housing may far exceed the tax advantages. However, this study does conclude that these provisions, in varying degrees, provide a tax incentive to invest in low-income housing. Conclusion Portions of Chapters I and II dealt with Congressional rationale for the tax changes introduced by the Acts examined in this study. Individually, each change logically supports the objective cited for that change. Collectively, however, the legislation has resulted in numerous complex 156 modifications which are inconsistent with any single set of goals. Congress significantly reduced the return available from a low-income housing investment when it passed the TRA of 1976, the RA of 1978, and the ERTA of 1981. While these reforms may be consistent with the objective of equity in the tax law, they are inconsistent with U.S. public policy as reflected in the Housing and Urban Development Act of 1968 and reaffirmed in 1974 by the addition of Section 8 to the United States Housing Act of 1937. That Act sought to encourage and support the construction, by the private sector, of multifamily housing for low-income families as well as the elderly and handicapped. Tax benefits were considered an essential ingredient in the production of this housing as recognized by the TRA of 1969. The production of such housing rests upon the ability of the housing industry to obtain major capital backing. The nature of this industry requires the commitment of huge sums of capital over long periods of time. A portion of this capital comes from HUD-insured loans, from bonds issued by State housing finance agencies and from conventional mortgages. In the final analysis, however, somewhere between 10 and 20 percent of every project must be financed by private equity investors. While much of the rationale for the changes indicate a desire to favor low-income housing, the complexity of the current law suggests that those incentives may be difficult 157 to properly evaluate. Of primary importance is the general rule that investors should analyze potential investments on a case-by-case basis utilizing a comprehensive tax analysis. Federal tax statutes have become more complex as a result of the Acts examined by this study. The use of simplistic rules of thumb or computations employing only an investor‘s marginal tax rate are likely to yield misleading results. Perhaps the most striking implication of this study is that the ability of our tax system to satisfy the varied demands which are placed upon it diminishes as the number and diversity of those demands are increased. Every change that complicates the tax law threatens those provisions intended to assist certain segments of our economy. Whatever advantages are derived from the use of tax policy to achieve economic and social objectives, there are important disadvantages. Tax preferences contract the tax base, requiring higher tax rates on income not subject to preferential treatment. This leads to the further use of tax preferences as those taxpayers subject to high marginal tax rates seek to reduce their tax burden. When this occurs, demands arise for tax reform to eliminate the tax avoidance measures fostered by the higher rates on income not subject to preferential treatment. For example, low- income housing investments that shelter nonrealty income are pOpular among taxpayers subject to high marginal tax rates, but they create the perception that these individuals are avoiding their tax responsibilities. The result is an 158 erosion in the public confidence that the tax system is equitable. Tax preferences also tend to be difficult to eliminate. Priorities change and goals originally pursued are no longer sought but the preference continues. This may be attributed to the fact that the preference becomes a part of the property‘s value and eliminating it induces losses for those who purchased the assets at values that reflected the tax benefit. B IBLIOGRAPHY B I BL I OGRAPHY Aaron, Henry J., Shelter and Subsidies, Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1972. Aronsohn, Alan J. B., ”The Real Estate Industry‘s Position in the Struggle for Tax Reform”, The Journal o_f Real Estate Taxation, 2 (Summer, 1975), pp. 416-424. Bleck, Erich K" ”Real Estate Investments and Rates of Return", The Appraisal Journal, 41 (October, 1973), pp. 535-547. Brueggeman, William B. and Jeffrey D. Fisher, "How the New Tax Law Alters Cash Flow: A Case Study“, Real Estate Review, 7 (Fall, 1977), pp. 65-71. Cleveland, Grover A”.“The Impact of the Tax Reform Act of 1969 Upon Investment in Real Estate" (Unpublished PhJL Dissertation, Indiana University, 1973). Dailey, Cynthia D.‘and Dennis J. Gaffney, “Anatomy of a Real Estate Tax Shelter: The Tax Reform Scalpel”, Taxes, 55 (February, 1977), pp. 127-144. Dorr, Patrick B., "The Impact of the Tax Reform Act of 1976 and Other Proposed Legislation on Investment in Real Estate Tax Shelters" (Unpublished.I&nD. Dissertation, North Texas State University, 1979). Hemmer, Edgar Hu.”How a Computer Thinks About Real Estate”, Real Estate Review, 4 (Winter, 1975), pp. 113-123. HUD, Housing in the 70's, Washington, U. 8. Government Printing Office, 1974. Kanter, Burton‘W"."Real Estate Tax Shelters, Everything You Wanted to Know But Did Not Know What to Ask", Taxes, 51 (December, 1973), pp. 770-812. Krane, Howard G., WEconomic Analysis of Tax Sheltered Investments", Taxes, 54 (December, 1976), pp. 806-831. Kurtz, Jerome, "Tax Incentives for Real Estate Have Failed", Real Estate Review, 3 (Summer, 1973), pp. 66-75. 159 160 Lane, Bruce 8., ”The Tax Reform Act of 1976: What it means for Real Estate Limited Partnerships" , Journal of Real Estate Taxation, 4 (Spring, 1977), pp. 195- 213.— Mayer, Martin, The Builders, New York, W. W. Norton & Co., Inc., 1978. McKee, William S" “The Real Estate Tax Shelter: A Computerized Expose", Virginia Law Review, 57 Messner, Stephen D. and M. Chapman Findlay, III, “Real Estate Investment Analysis: IRR Versus FMRRP, The Real Estate Appraiser, 41 (July-August, 1975), pp. 5- 20. Miles, Mike, "Impact of the 1976 Tax Reform Act: A Real Property Tax Planner‘s Review", The Appraisal Journal, 45 (October, 1977), pp. 485-498. Milton, Jeffrey J. and John J. Mooney, “The Rise and Fall of Public Real Estate Tax Shelters", Journal pf Real Estate Taxation, 2 (Summer, 1975), pp. 463-481. Montgomery, Roger and Dale R. Marshall, Housing Policy for the 1980s, Lexington, D. C. Heath and Co., 1980. Pyhrr, Stephen A”.”A Computer Simulation Model to Measure the Risk in Real Estate Investment", The Real Estate Appraiser, 39 (May-June, 1973), pp. 13-31. Ritter, C. Willis and Emil M. Sunley, Jr., "Real Estate and Tax Reform: An Analysis and Evaluation of the Real Estate Provisions of the Tax Reform Act of 1969", Maryland Law Review, XXX (Winter, 1970), pp. 5-48. Shillingburg, J. Edward, "Winding Up Real Estate Tax Shelters: Problems and Solutions", Journal g£_Real Estate Taxation, 2 (Summer, 1975), pp. 405-415. Stern, Jerrold J3, ”Tax Legislation of 1976 and 1978: An Analysis of its Effects on the Rates of Return of Income-Producing Real Estate” (Unpublished PhJL Dissertation, Texas A & M University, 1979). U. S. Congress, Joint Committee on Taxation, General Explanation of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, 97th Congress, 1st Session (1982). U. S. Congress, Joint Committee on Taxation, General Explanation of the Revenue Act of 1978, 96th Congress, lst Session (1979). 161 U. S. Congress, Joint Committee on Taxation, General Explanation pf the Tax Reform Act pf 1976, 94th Congress, lst Session (1977). U. 8. Congressional Budget Office, Federal Housing Policy Current Programs and Recurring Issues, Washington, U. S. Government Printing Office, 1978. (L S. Congressional Budget Office, Real Estate Tax Shelter Subsidies and Direct Subsidy Alternatives, Washington, U. S. Government Printing Office, 1977. Whitmire, Robert L. and Kerry M. Reynolds, "Selecting the Optimum Depreciation Method for Real Estate Under the New ACR System", The Journal pf Taxation, 55 (December, 1981), pp. 360-363. Willis, Arthur B.,2Partnership Taxation, Vols. 1 and 2, New York, McGraw-Hill, 1976. Wyndelts, Robert‘W”,"Tax Planning and an Analysis of Federal Income Tax Laws: Investment Decisions in Real Estate” (Unpublished.£&nD. Dissertation, University of Georgia, 1974). ICHI TRTE U I rtIJuli/17m):mm”(MW/III)WWI?“ 31293105625226