“rurfh AND THE: [A FORTE, 1N DEAN " ; RAIN sm'rwmvzas 4 meme». V: .;2 r'- w~pgv ‘ 2 ‘ " ‘ 2 » - .. ~ . \ 4 _ . ’ \- , . H 2 .\ ~ .. ‘ ‘ h \ ‘ ‘ ‘ , V » ‘ - . ‘ -- . « w. .. \ : . ‘ 2 ; .’.r.;,, "fr r}. r.- ’ ’ u} 2.52.- rr1-fifl,’ "' " r; ,' ,‘fi::;;rfi_;l .n 1-! m. : pry-2'12, 1. . " '2' 7-5:” .2 )-.,, _r'.« Jvfit‘30 , -..,- " .- , "owl—Cari." 1" r * I . . rrfr we.” 3.4-»- -r.-yo ,- 2-. '-*?.;so~“'::" 232'», . fl". ‘ w. ' r ; Mfr—n; ' W {C 79' ”I; (/Mjéé‘fkf (if firwrr 7'}? ’21:. {15; If??? v unified, ' 3'5?” {r ".2223." 753 r .. mrrr'v-‘rg 2-2129?)- I. [BRA R. Y * IVii-si‘ngan State University This is to certify that the thesis entitled FOREST AND LABLE BhEEZE PATTEJHNS AND THE LA FORTE, ITJDIANA, BAII‘TFALL ANCI‘CALY presented by Wallace M. Elton has been accepted towards fulfillment of the requirements for PhoD. degree in GeOFzI‘aDhy jor professor 0-169 ABSTRACT FOREST AND LAKE BREEZE PATTERNS AND THE LA FORTE, INDIANA, RAINFALL ANOMALY By Wallace M. Elton A thirty-year pattern of anomalously high warm—season precipitation centered on La Porte, Indiana, has recently been attributed to atmospheric pollution by the industrial complex in the vicinity of Gary, Indiana. The purpose of the present study is to attempt to evaluate possible phyto— geographic evidence that the La Porte anomaly pre-dates the development of the industrial complex and to make a pre- liminary test of an alternative hypothesis regarding the cause of the anomaly. It is postulated that a lake breeze front frequently lies near La Porte during summer days when the regional surface flow has a westerly component. Con— vergence associated with the front may lead to isolated or augmented precipitation and produce greater seasonal rainfall totals near the mean frontal position. A forest composition survey was conducted during August and September, 1969, along the Valparaiso morainic system which trends northeast-southwest through La Porte, Wallace M. Elton Porter, and Lake Counties, Indiana, and passes through the described rainfall anomaly. Mesophytic species, particu- larly Fagus grandifolia (beech) and Acer saccharum (sugar maple) were found to predominate in forest stands in La Porte and eastern Porter Counties, the area subject to the greater precipitation. In western Porter and Lake Counties, more xerophytic species, including Quercus velutina (black oak), g. albg (white oak), g. macrocarpa (bur oak) and QEEXQ glabra (pignut hickory) dominated. Previous studies compiled from historical records have verified the existence of this pattern in the presettlement vegetation. These findings suggest the presence of a long—term environmental gradient. A pilot survey of soil texture along the moraine was also conducted. Samples collected from the B horizon and from a depth of four feet indicated an increase in clay content from east to west with a corresponding decrease in the percentage of sand. It is believed that the greater clay content to the west could reduce readily available water capacity sufficiently to account for the absence of mesophytic tree species. Therefore, it is concluded that the forest contrast cannot be cited as strong evidence for the presence of a long—term climatic gradient. Wind data were collected from June 11 through August 3l, 1969, at six stations in northwestern Indiana and northeastern Illinois in order to test the hypothesis. Wallace M. Elton Analysis of wind direction records revealed twenty—two days on which lake breezes apparently developed along the southeastern shore of Lake Michigan under regional winds from westerly azimuths, in spite of the general subnormal temperatures of the 1969 summer season. During these days, the lake breeze frequently penetrated to the vicinity of La Porte, particularly when the regional flow was westerly or northwesterly. Neither the number of observation sta— tions nor the length of the study period was sufficient to define precisely the mean position of the lake breeze front. These findings tentatively suggest that the lake breeze may be a factor in the regional precipitation pattern, par— ticularly during periods of positive temperature departure. Determination of whether the La Porte anomaly is in fact related to lake breeze convergence would require de— tailed examination of wind patterns on days of excess pre— cipitation at La Porte over a longer period. It is doubtful whether such an examination can be carried out through examination of past records because these exist for only three of the six stations available for the present study. FOREST AND LAKE BREEZE PATTERNS AND THE LA PORTE, INDIANA, RAINFALL ANOMALY By Wallace M. Elton A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Geography 1970 G:- 4,552.32 /<$O«7/ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author would like to thank the many individuals who assisted in the completion of this research project. Special appreciation is expressed to Professor J. R. Harman, who provided valuable advice and encouragement during all stages of the dissertation. Professors D. H. Brunnschweiler and H. A. Winters offered helpful sugges— tions and Professor E. P. Whiteside, Department of CrOp and Soil Sciences, provided guidance with regard to the soil survey and analysis. Among the people who aided in various phases of this project are: Mr. Robert A. Ward of the U. S. Weather Bureau, Purdue University; Mr. H. Moses of Argonne National Laboratory; Mr. D. L. Brubeck of Purdue University's North Central Campus, Westville, Indiana; officials of the Michigan City station of the Northern Indiana Public Service Company; Dr. R. I. Dideriksen and Mr. F. W. Sanders of the U. S. Soil Conservation Service, Indianapolis; and Mr. B. Schrand, Service Forester, Indiana Department of Natural Resources. Final drafting of the maps and diagrams was done by Mr. J. D. Root. Many other individuals, too numer- ous to mention, gave assistance which is gratefully acknow- ledged. ii Financial support during completion of this project was provided by a graduate fellowship from the National Science Foundation. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 LIST OF TABLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . v LIST OF FIGURES. . . . . . . . . . . . . vi CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . 1 II. METHODOLOGY. . . . . . . . . . . . 111 III. THE PLANT GEOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . 28 Physical Setting . . . . . . . 28 Review of the Literature . . . . . . 31 Forest Composition . . . . . . . . 36 Soil Patterns . . . . . . . . . . A7 IV. THE LAKE BREEZE . . . . . . . . . . 66 Review of the Literature . . . . . . 66 The Climatic Hypothesis. . . . . . . 7A Results of the Survey . . . . . . . 79 V. DISCUSSION . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 VI. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS. . . . . . . . 119 LIST OF REFERENCES. . . . . . . . . . . . 127 APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 I. Locations of Surveyed Forest Stands. . . 1A0 II. Total Number of Arboreal Stems Surveyed in Each Stand . 1A1 III. Per Cent Sand, Silt, and Clay for Individual Soil Samples . . 142 IV. Values of pH for Individual Soil Samples . . 1AA V. Lake Breeze and Non— Lake Breeze Days at Michigan City and Ogden Dunes, Indiana, Examined in Chapter IV . . . . . 1A6 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Per Cent Contributions of A11 Tree Species to Stand Canopies. . . . . . . . . . 2. Occurrence of Shrub Species in Surveyed Stands 3. Mean Coefficients of Similarity Between Beech— maple, Oak—hickory, and Contrasting Stands A. Two Measures of Comparison Between Forest Types. 5. Average Percentages of Sand, Silt, and Clay in Soil Samples From Surveyed Forest Stands . . . . . . . . . . . . 6. Correlations Between Tree Species and Soil Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . 7. Number of Occurrences of Wind From Sixteen Directions During Twenty-two Lake Breeze Days: 1000 EST . . . . . . . . . 8. Number of Occurrences of Wind from Sixteen Directions During Twenty-two Lake Breeze Days: 1300 EST 9. Number of Occurrences of Wind from Sixteen Directions During Twenty—two Lake Breeze Days: 1600 EST 10. Summer Precipitation and Temperature Data for La Porte and Valparaiso, 191A—1969 Page 38 39 42 AA “9 52 83 8A 85 108 Figure l. J: O\ 10. 11. 12. 13. 1A. 15. 16. LIST OF FIGURES Mean June—August Precipitation in North— western Indiana, 1956—1960 . . . . . . Location of the Study Area . . . . . . Location Map of Study Area . . . . . Location of Surveyed Forest Stands . . . Location of Instrument Sites General Forest Distribution of North- western Indiana. . . . . . . . . . Per Cent Contribution of Two Species Groups to Stand Canopies . . . . . . Contribution of Two Species Groups to Forest Stands. . . . . . Per Cent Sand, Silt, and Clay in Composite Samples from the B Horizon . . . Per Cent Sand, Silt, and Clay in Composite Samples from a Depth of Four Feet. . Position of Individual Soil Samples from the B Horizon on Textural Triangle. . . . Position of Individual Soil Samples from the Four Foot Depth on Textural Triangle. Surface Weather Map — August 29, 1969 Hypothesized Position of Lake Breeze Front with Southwesterly Regional Wind . . . . Directional Frequencies of Wind During 22 Lake Breeze Days: 1000 EST . . . . Directional Frequencies of Wind During 22 Lake Breeze Days: 1300 EST . . . . . vi Page 18 21 32 43 A5 50 51 55 56 76 77 8O 81 Figure Page 17. Directional Frequencies of Wind During 22 Lake Breeze Days: 1600 EST . . . . . . . 82 18. Per Cent of Michigan City Lake Breezes Detected at Other Stations . . . . . . 87 19. Per Cent of Michigan City Lake Breezes Detected at Other Stations on Days of Southwesterly Regional Surface Flow . . . 89 20. Per Cent of Michigan City Lake Breezes Detected at Other Stations on Days of Westerly-Northwesterly Regional Surface Flow. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9O 21. Lake Breeze and Non—Lake Breeze Days at Michigan City Plotted by Land—Water Tem— perature Contrast and Mean Wind Speed: Regional Flow from 180—3600 Inclusive . . 93 22. Lake Breeze and Non—Lake Breeze Days at Michigan City Plotted by Land—Water Tem- perature Contrast and Mean Wind Speed: Regional Flow from 180—2690 Inclusive . . 9A 23. Lake Breeze and Non—Lake Breeze Days at Michigan City Plotted by Land-Water Tem- perature Contrast and Mean Wind Speed: Regional Flow from 270—3600 Inclusive . . 95 2A. Lake Breeze and Non—Lake Breeze Days at Ogden Dunes Plotted by Land—Water Tem- perature Contrast and Mean Wind Speed: Regional Flow from 180—3600 Inclusive . . 97 vii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Recently an anomalous pattern in the spatial distri- bution of average warm-season precipitation in northwestern Indiana has been described by Changnon (1). This pattern, the La Porte rainfall anomaly, consists of an island of relatively high precipitation centered on the city of La Porte, Indiana (Figure 1). During the period 1956-1960 the average summer (June — August) rainfall at La Porte exceeded 17 inches; over the same period precipitation at South Bend, twenty—five miles to the northeast, averaged 10 inches, while at Valparaiso, twenty miles to the south— west, mean rainfall was approximately 13 inches. Similar patterns of average annual number of thunderstorms and hail days were also described. Changnon attributed these patterns, which his data indicated have developed since 1925, to the addition of atmospheric pollutants by the industrial complex near Gary, Indiana. There has been con- siderable discussion as to whether the apparent precipita- tion anomaly is real or is the result of measurement error (2,3,4). For the purposes of the present study, the greater rainfall at La Porte is assumed to be a real phe- nomenon . p 0-30.; _ 200 30.30.2055 ”353 LI Sunni-jinn... W.“ 1 _ z . _ L _ _ ” 22.32;. _ __ _ .2 _ 023...... 0 _ .2... £2; :5. _ . _ 2.6.5.: _ (259%! 3:: [240.522 32-32 .>o_ \\ o w \\\I A... 1 \Il..-) ........... _ \\\u \\ _ . . \ \\ . m \\\ _. _ :2: z \\ votiwxx\ . :3 n ‘ . c w »o 33...: O \ \\ v" “36‘“_ cacao notoOO _ 0 O _ \\ \\ u _ \ \ . \\ \\ _ \\ _ \\\ Z<0_IU_E _ \ mx<4 n3hm uO m<2 ZO_._.m>¢3m “.O ZOZ. 50 >-(OZDO- u—(1_KO-t( I I I ‘—z_J _ _ Ix _ ” \\I\\I H FI\\ _ \ U H \ r ._ mm>hxthw_ On >¢O¥U_II¥ «Hupmo mLch mcmezw monocHo mcwszh mCNOHLoEm w::menm .QQm mswompmno m mUHLoHH wzcnoo mHHmscceHooo mHDHmc H mHELOOHoLoo wzpmo occhHHonmo mschan m anoHHAc acfiefima 3 ESCHDDL L®O< mmumoonome msoposa Hm ochzHo> moonosa OH mon msonosa magmHm mmnmo mpm>o mHawO H whouHQHHJB coppcoooHLHH O m m :m mo mm m: em «CNOHLOEN mHHHB Esnwcoomm Loo< mHHomecmnm mommm mm mm 2N mm mm HN ON OH OH NH OH mH :H mH NH HH OH 909832 ocmpm mOHooom .moHromO ocmpm Op *wOHooom cone HHd Mo mCOHuanhucoo pcmo hmmII.H mdmHq* 39 >4 .qam chH> x x x ommucoa EscpspH> x x EzHHOOHLOom Escpan> x EHHocHAs mmHmzmmsm x mHHouHUCSDOL waHEm x mHmcmvmcwo msospEmm x x x x x x x x .oaw mmmmm x x HomeOCHO moon x mumme maze x mcchHmnH> macsnm x x x x x x x x x x x x x .Qam.m:mmHoocozppmm x mcumwp mHHonosz x x x x x x x x x x x x x :Honcoo «LOOCHH x x mcchprH> mHHOEmEme x x X x x x x x N x x x .Qam wsmmmwmho x x x mCNOHnoEm msHHpoo x x x x x mmoEoomn mchoo x x x mUHLOHO mchoo x x x mHHomHCLOOHm mscnoo x x x x x x x x mQOHHLp MCHEHw< ON OH OH NH OH OH :H OH NH HH OH O O N O m z m N H amassz ccmpm mOHomam .mUCMpm cozo>nsm CH *moHooqm nongm Ho ooconhzooOII.N mqmNE FIGURE 7 PER CENT CONTRIBUTION OF TWO SPECIES GROUPS TO STAND CANOPIES MU Figure 8 indicates the spatial distribution of the forest types. Stands have been classified into three groups, each represented by a different symbol: (1) those in which the four mesophytic species contributed 60% or more of the canOpy stems; (2) those in which the five oak and hickory species accounted for 60% or more of the stems; and (3) those in which neither group predominated. It is apparent that the transition from one forest type to the other lay in the vicinity of the city of Valparaiso. Table H presents two additional measures of compari- son between the beech—maple and the oak—hickory stands. The average number of trees per acre was greater in the thirteen meSOphytic stands of the eastern part of the study area. In addition, the total number of species observed (including both tree and shrub species) was greater for the beech— maple stands than for those dominated by oaks and hickories. Similar contrasts in density and compositional diversity were observed by Harman (U6) between dune forests in southern Michigan and in Indiana. TABLE U.--Two Measures of Comparison Between Forest Types. Forest Type Trees/acre Number of species Beech—maple 14M 38 Oak-hickory 96 28 45 $00 ‘30u0 .2332 3:3 “02(pn 0 «2.080.: 02¢ u8 ‘0 >u<°230¢ uu(5.xO-ts( III _ \\— \ H I\\I\ . VIIII _ n unn- — van— o~O . Zn 2 n _ _ I. I I _ . n \O D_ _ _ _ III\: .. a. _ U \\ o to _ . _ — \ o—Aw..m.ot.l> _ u H \ n. u Dn.\\uII_III/ IIIIIII . .... \\fi __om:2c.\ III.— _I \\ .o. \\ _ _ _ \ so _ \\\ _ . O. \ _ _ \\ .o L\\ _ _ \ \. b. . _ ...:3 o \ \ \ \ _ _ no. _ \\ no \\ m _- I. \ O\\ . \ v\ \ \ _ \ . _ \\fi n0\\ _ _\ \ zm3 mo. pm p23033flcmflm @333>* *Nmm. 30m. *333. *m33.n wm3.u *om3. mod. *mmm.u mmfiomgm mwpmo Gem m30pmza m>fim Hom.u owe. woo.u mmo. 3303. $333. moo.u m3o.u mcfipsam> agopmsa *Hmm.a m3m.u *mmm.u *3mm. m3o. *3m3.- mm3.: *mwm. Apxmp mmmv wmflomgm OHpmflmommE Lzom 3mm.n o3m.: *om3.u *om3. mma.u *mwm.u mm3.- *3m3. ssmmgoomm pmo3 I Ucm mHH0%HUcme .m *NH©.- 3mm.- *mm©.- *w3w. mmm. m33.- mmm.- 30mm. «330%anmam msmmm mg 3330 333m wcmm mg 3m30 333m UQQm gummm poomlhsom QONHhom m mmfiomam .moflpmflmmpowpmgo aflom ucw mmflomam mmhe cmmSpmm mQOflpmHmppooll.o mqm<9 \ 53 these correlations, two modifications were made in the original data. First, stand 3 was omitted because it was located on extremely sandy soil which occurs in a narrow belt along the northern margin of the moraine. Second, one of the two soil samples in stand 19 was excluded because examination of the Porter County soil map suggested that it represented an isolated sandy pocket. Soil fraction values for the other sample were used instead of the two—sample average for that stand. Correlation coefficients were tested for significance using the F test described by Blalock (50)~ In general, the mesophytic species and groupings had positive correlations with the percentage of sand in the soil and negative correlations with per cent silt and per cent clay. The correlations with sand at both depths, with silt at four feet, and with clay in the B horizon (except for Fagus grandifolia alone) were significant at the .05 level. The more xeric oak and hickory species, on the other hand, correlated negatively with sand and positively with silt and clay. Quercus velutina alone did not follow the trend of the larger group exactly, but did show posi— tive correlations with per cent clay at both depths. It appears that the soils of the western part of the Valparaiso morainic area, which support an oak—hickory forest type, tend to be higher in clay and silt content and lower in sand than those to the east on which beech— maple forest occurs. This relationship is further 54 illustrated by Figures ll and 12. In these figures, all individual soil samples were plotted on textural triangles using different symbols for those samples taken in beech— maple stands (stands l—l3) and those from oak—hickory stands (stands lU—26). Figure ll displays the B horizon samples; Figure 12 represents the samples from a depth of four feet. Both diagrams indicate a tendency for higher clay content under the oak-hickory stands, particularly in the B horizon. Clay and silty clay textures were common at that depth in the western oak—hickory stands, while loams and clay loams were abundant in the beech-maple stands. The trend toward decreasing sand content westward is pro— nounced at both depths. Little variation in the amount of silt can be detected in the B horizon; however, larger silt percentages to the west do seem indicated at the four-foot depth. Hydrochloric acid was used to check for the presence of carbonates at the four-foot depth. In eleven of the thirteen beech-maple stands carbonates were absent in both soil samples. Carbonates were detected in one of the two samples from each of the two remaining stands. On the other hand, carbonates were present in both samples from eight of the thirteen oak—hickory stands and were detected in one sample from each of the other five stands. Thus the depth of leaching appears to decrease from east to west along the moraine. 55 CLAY \ ‘ 40 ’0 ‘ / 6% // - o \- m / ¢ A / A\ A / \ m - r 0; sum \\ " / ‘ A CLAY \ _________‘___L_L‘A.__‘_ _____ v50 \ A . ‘ \ \ ° .: \ A ‘ ‘ \ CLAY LOAM . . . 0‘ sum .\ ..0 . CLAY ‘{ . .0 . LOAM \\ >——L———‘v ———————————————— . // O A \ ° / ‘\ so / f LGAM o / \ / \\ / SILT [DAM ,__.____\ / / / / \______// / / / / SILT / ._ -- _ ,,_.__-__... -\*--~- T_ \ { 3 100 80 60 40 20 <— PER CENT SAND +—- O BEECH-MAPLE STANDS ‘ OAK-HICKORY STANDS FIGURE 1] POSITION 0F INDIVIDUAL SOIL SAMPLES FROM THE B HORIZION 0N TEXTURAL TRIANGLE 56 IOO \ \ <\ \ 20 so \\ .\ (W‘ \ CLAY \ ~ 40 .36 ,X a» / Q. . 7; 01" I smv G- CLAY _______________ _A_.‘__.____. 60 \ A CLAY LOAM A.‘snnv ~ _._°;__:___‘_‘.___ $955.1-“ 0 A o / / lOAM / / / sun LOAM / L 4/ / / / / / / j ‘ V V 40 20 ‘— PER CENT SAND 3__ O BEECH-MAPLE STANDS A OAK-HICKORY STANDS HOURS}? POSITION OF INDIVIDUAL SOIL SAMPLES FROM THE FOUR-FOOT DEPTH ON TEXTURAI. TRIANGLE 57 Table 6 (p. 52) also indicates the degree of correla— tion between species groups and soil pH values. Several significant correlations were obtained at the four—foot depth, however, these probably reflect the variation in leaching depth between stands of the two forest types. All correlations with B horizon pH values are small and only one, that for Quercus velutina, is significant at the .05 level. Values of pH for all samples are given in Appendix IV. Evaluating the significance of the forest type—soil texture relationship suggested in this study is difficult. The available water capacity (AWC) of a soil is most fre— quently defined as the amount of moisture held in the soil at tensions between .33 and 15 atmospheres. Several studies, assuming these limits, have found significant positive cor— relations between the silt content of a soil and its AWC (51,52,53). Based on these reports, it might be expected that the soils of the western part of the study area, being higher in silt content, would have greater AWC than those to the east. It has also often been reported that higher AWC is attained in clay loams and clays than in loams or sandy loams (5M,55), a fact which would again suggest that more favorable soil moisture characteristics would be found in the western portion of the study area. Franzmeier and others (56), however, have concluded that .06 and 6.0 at— mospheres more adequately delimit the range of tensions at which soil water is readily available to plants. Using 58 these limits, they found that loamy sands, sandy loams, and loams generally exceed clay loams and clays in readily available water capacity (RAWC). Franzmeier's study sug— gests that the coarser soils east of Valparaiso may have higher RAWC's than those to the west. Northwestern Indiana is a tension zone between the beech—maple and oak-hickory forest regions (16). In such transitional areas, variations in site characteristics determine which vegetation type prevails in a given loca— tion. It seems very possible that, under these conditions, the higher clay content of the soils in the western part of the study area could reduce the readily available water capacity sufficiently to affect the vegetation type. Beech, in particular, has been found to be sensitive to reduced soil moisture conditions (57). The location of the boundary between medium textured and finer textured soils, as mapped in Soils of the North Central Region of the United States (U9), corresponds closely to the transi— tion between the two important forest types in the study area. On the basis of the results of the soil texture sur— vey, it is tentatively concluded that the forest contrast cannot be cited as strong evidence for a long—term La Porte rainfall anomaly which might be associated with lake breeze convergence. The forest contrast may be the result of a complex of interacting factors. Winter snowfall is considerably 59 heavier in La Porte County than in the western part of the study area (1U,58) and this could affect soil moisture con— ditions during the early part of the growing season. In addition, the study area lies near the margin of the "prairie peninsula" (18) within which precipitation—evaporation ratios decrease, precipitation becomes more variable from year to year, and summer drought is a frequent occurrence (59,60). It is possible that these climatic characteristics become more pronounced westward in northern Indiana. These factors, as well as soil textural differences and a long— term warm—season precipitation gradient associated with lake breeze convergence, could collectively be responsible for the forest contrast. The differences in depth of leaching between the eastern and western parts of the morainic area could result from one or more of at least three possible causes: (I) textural variations; (2) differences in the amount of limey material originally present in the till; or (3) variations in the amount of precipitation. The soils of the western part of the study area are fine textured; subsoils occa— sionally fall into the clay textural class and percolation through them is often severely limited (7). These factors could have resulted in less leaching than in the coarser soils to the east. Krumbein (5) found that the average contribution of limestone to the gravel fraction of three samples taken west of Valparaiso was 10.2%, while for three 60 samples taken east of that city the mean was 3.3%. This suggests that the lime content of the western parent mate- rials may have been greater than in those to the east. Finally, if the La Porte rainfall anomaly has been a long— term phenomenon, the higher precipitation could have pro— duced greater leaching in that Vicinity. Assessing the relative importance of each of these factors is beyond the scope of this study. 10. 11. CHAPTER III——REFERENCES Wayne, W. J., and Zumberge, J. H. 1965. Pleistocene geology of Indiana and Michigan. In Wright, H. E., and Frey, D. G. (eds.), The Quaternary of the United States (Princeton, N. J.: Princeton Univ. Press): 63—83. Wayne, W. J. 1956. Thickness of Drift and Bedrock Physiography of Indiana North of the Wisconsin Glacial Boundary. Bloomington, Ind.: Ind. Dept. of Conservation, Geol. Survey, Rept. of Progress No. 7. Schneider, A. F. 1967. The Tinley moraine in Indiana. Proc. Ind. Acad. Sci. 77: 271—78. Bretz, J. H. 1955. Geology of the Chicago region. Part II——the Pleistocene. Ill. St. Geol. Survey Bull. 65, Part II. Krumbein, W. C. 1933. Textural and lithological vari— ations in glacial till. Jour. Geol. 41: 382-408. Schneider, A. F. 1966. Physiography. In Lindsey, A. A. (ed.), Natural Features of Indiana (Indianapolis: Ind. Acad. Sci.): U0—56. Wenner, K., and Persinger, I. 1967. Lake County Interim Soil Survey Report. Unpublished. Bushnell, T. M. 1918. Soil Survey of Porter County, Indiana. Washington: Gov. Printing Office. Ulrich, H. P., and others. 19““. Soil Survey: La Porte County, Indiana. Washington: Gov. Printing Office. Correlation Legends for Porter and La Porte County Soil Survey Reports. Personal communication from Mr. Frank W. Sander, Soil Conservation Service, Indianapolis. November 18, 1969. Trewartha, G. T. 1968. An Introduction to Climate. New York: McGraw—Hill. 61 12. 13. l“. 15. 16. l7. l8. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 2A. 26. 62 Visher, S. S. 194“. Climate of Indiana. Bloomington, Ind.: Ind. Univ. Pubs., Science Series No. 13. U. S. Weather Bureau. 1968. Climatological Data- Annual Summary, Vol. 7H. Schaal, L. A. 1966. Climate. In Lindsey, A. A. (ed.), Natural Features of Indiana (Indianapolis, Ind.: Ind. Acad. Sci.): 156370. Trewartha, G. T. 1961. The Earth's Problem Climates. Madison, Wis.: Univ. of Wis. Press. Braun, E. L. 1950. Deciduous Forests of Eastern North America. New York: Hafner. Shelford, V. E. 1963. The Ecology of North America. Urbana: Univ. of 111. Press. Transeau, E. N. 1935. The prairie peninsula. Ecology 16: A23-37. Petty, R. 0., and Jackson, M. T. 1966. Plant communi- ties. In Lindsey, A. A. (ed.), Natural Features of Indiana (Indianapolis: Ind. Acad. Sci.): 26A—96. Cowles, H. C. 1901. The Plant Societies of Chicagg and Vicinity. Geogr. Soc. of Chicago Bull. No. 2. Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press. Cowles, H. C. 1901. The physiographic ecology of Chicago and vicinity; a study of the origin, development, and classification of plant societies. Bot. Gag. 31: 73—108, 1U5—82. Shreve, F. 1917. A map of the vegetation of the United States. Geog. Rev. 3: 119—25. Fuller, G. D. 1925. The Vegetation of the Chicago Region. Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press. Gordon, R. B. 1936. A preliminary vegetation map of Indiana. Amer. Midl. Nat. 17: 866—77. Kuchler, A. W. 196“. Potential Natural Vegetation of the Conterminous United States. New York: Amer. Geog. Soc. Spec. Pub. No. 36. Potzger, J. E., and Keller, C. O. 1952. The beech line in northwestern Indiana. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 10: 108—13. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 3M. 35. 36. 37- 38. 63 Potzger, J. E., Potzger, M. E., and McCormick, J. 1957. The forest primeval of Indiana as recorded in the original U. S. land surveys and an evalu- ation of previous interpretations of Indiana vegetation. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 13: 95—111. Rohr, F. W., and Potzger, J. E. 1950. Forest and prairie in three northwestern Indiana counties. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 10: 61-70. Lindsey, A. A. 1961. Vegetation of the drainage— aeration classes of northern Indiana soils in 1830. Ecology A2: M32-36. Lindsey, A. A., Crankshaw, W. B., and Quadir, S. A. 1965. Soil relations and distribution map of the vegetation of presettlement Indiana. Bat. Gag} 126: 155-63. Meyer, A. H. 1950. Fundament vegetation of the Calu— met Region, northwest Indiana-northeast Illinois. Paps. Mich. Acad. Sci. Arts Letters 36: 177-82. Potzger, J. E., and Friesner, R. D. 19U0. What is climax in central Indiana? A five—mile quadrat study. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. A: 181—95. Finley, D., and Potzger, J. E. 1952. Characteristics of the original vegetation in some prairie coun— ties of Indiana. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 10: 11A—18. Fuller, G. D. 1935. Postglacial vegetation of the Lake Michigan region. Ecology 16: “73-87. Sears, P. B. 1948. Forest sequence and climatic change in northeastern North America since early Wiscon— sin time. Ecology 29: 326—33. Just, T. 1957. Postglacial vegetation of the north central United States (Abst.). Geol. Soc. Amer. Bull. 68: 1895. Zumberge, J. H., and Potzger, J. E. 1956. Late Wis— consin chronology of the Lake Michigan basin cor— related with pollen studies. Geol. Soc. Amer. Bull. 67: 271—88. Guennel, G. K. 1950. History of forests in the glacial Lake Chicago area. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 9: 1A0—58. 39. U0. Al. U2. A3. H7. A8. “9. 50. 51. 6A Potzger, J. E. 19A6. Phytosociology of the primeval forest in central-northern Wisconsin and Upper Michigan, and a brief post—glacial history of the lake forest formation. Ecol. Monogr. 16: 211-50. Benninghoff, W. S. 1963. The prairie peninsula as a filter barrier. Proc. Ind. Acad. Sci. 73: 116-2“. Potzger, J. E., and Friesner, R. C. 1939. Plant mi— grations in the southern limits of Wisconsin glaciation in Indiana. Amer. Midl. Nat. 22: 351—68. McQueeney, C. R. 1950. An ecological study of the re— lationship between direction of slope, elevation, and forest cover in Brown County, Indiana. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 9: 239—69. Gleason, H. A. 1968. The New Britton and Brown Illus- trated Flora of the Northeastern United States and Adjacent Canada. New York: Hafner. Harlow, W. M., and Harrar, E. S. 1958. Textbook of Dendrology. New York: McGraw—Hill. Morgan, M. D. 1969. EcolOgy of aspen in Gunnison County, Colorado. Amer. Midl. Nat. 82: 20A—28. Harman, J. R. 1970. Forest types and climatic modi— fication along the southeast shoreline of Lake Michigan. Annals Assoc. Amer. Gegg. 60: In press. Ward, R. T. 1956. The beech forests of Wisconsin—— changes in forest composition and the nature of the beech border. Ecology 37: 407—19. U. S. Soil Conservation Service. 1967. Lake County Soil—Survey Maps. Unpublished. Soils of the North Central Region of the United States. North Central Region Pub. No. 76} Madison: Univ. of Wis. Agric. Exp. Station. Blalock, H. M. 1960. Social Statistics. New York: McGraw—Hill. Bartelli, L. J., and Peters, D. B. 1959. Integrating soil moisture characteristics with classification units of Illinois soils. Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. Proc. 23: 1&9—51. 52. 53. 5A. 55- 56. 57. 58. 59. 60. 65 Jamison, V. C., and Kroth, E. M. 1958. Available moisture storage capacity in relation to textural composition and organic matter content of several Missouri soils. Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. Proc. 22: 189-92. Lund, Z. F. 1959. Available water-holding capacity of alluvial soils in Louisiana. Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. Proc. 23: 1—3. Gaiser, R. N. 1952. Readily available water in forest soils. Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. Proc. 16: 334—38. Buckman, H. C., and Brady, N. C. 1960. The Nature and Properties of Soils. New York: MacMillan. Franzmeier, D. P., and others. 1960. Relationship of texture classes of fine earth to readily available water. Trans. 7th Internat. Congr. Soil Sci. 1: 35u—63. Friesner, R. C. 1942. Dendrometer studies of five species of broadleaf trees in Indiana. Butler Univ. Bot. Stud. 5: 160-72. Changnon, S. A. 1968. Precipitation Climatology of Lake Michigan Basin. Urbana: Ill. St. Water Survey Bull. 52. Borchert, J. R. 1950. The climate of the central North American grassland. Annals Assoc. Amer. Geog. U0: 1—39. Transeau, E. N. 1905. Forest centers of eastern America. Amer. Naturalist 39: 875—89. CHAPTER IV THE LAKE BREEZE Review of the Literature The problem of climatic modification by the Great Lakes has received considerable attention. Studies have been primarily devoted to describing the influence exerted by the lakes upon climatic elements, such as temperature and amount of snowfall, in their vicinity. A selective review of literature relating to various aspects of lake modification is presented in Chapter 1. Interest in the dynamic interaction between the lakes and atmospheric processes over them and over adjacent land is more recent and has been the subject of fewer investigations. One as— pect of this interaction which has been the focus of an increasing number of studies concerns the development and climatic impact of lake breezes. Lake breezes, which are equivalent to sea breezes, illustrate on a small scale the principles involved in the conversion of radiant solar energy to kinetic energy of atmospheric motion (1). Due to several factors, of which the turbulent mixing of water may be the most important (2), water warms up much more slowly in response to incoming 66 67 solar radiation than does land. On clear summer days, near the shoreline of a large water body, expansion of air over the heated land surface results in a rising of isobaric sur- faces and thus produces a horizontal pressure gradient aloft with higher pressure over land. In response to this gra- dient, air movement aloft occurs from the land toward the water. This action increases surface pressures over the water while decreasing those over the land, thus setting up a second pressure gradient, opposite in direction to the first one, across the shoreline at the surface. Lake or sea breeze flow is a response to this pressure gradient. The offshore current aloft is referred to as the return flow, although it must actually begin before the lake breeze can be established (3). Perhaps the earliest reference to the occurrence of lake breezes in the vicinity of the Great Lakes appeared in 1799 (A); the diurnal alternation of onshore and offshore winds near Lake Erie were discussed. Another early discus— sion of lake breezes, including their causes and influence on the climate of the Chicago region, was presented by Hazen (5). The basic characteristics of lake breeze dynamics are now quite well understood. The most important factors controlling lake breeze development are the magnitude of the land—water temperature contrast and the strength and direction of the regional wind (6,7). As would be expected, 68 lake breezes are normally most frequent during late spring and early summer when land heating is intense but lake waters are still cold (3). Excessive cloudiness can de— crease heating of the land and therefore prevent lake breeze formation. Hall (8), working in the Chicago area, found that offshore winds in excess of 10 to 12 miles per hour prevented the development of a lake breeze; with onshore winds, a lake breeze circulation was able to exist at slightly higher wind speeds (15 mph). Olsson (3) reached similar conclusions in the same region. In addition, local factors such as topography and the shape of the coastline influence the characteristics of lake or sea breezes (9,10). In the absence of superimposed regional flow, lake breezes first develop at the shoreline where the horizontal temperature gradient is strongest (11,12). With an off— shore wind, however, warm land air is advected over the water and the steepest temperature gradient may occur off shore; in such cases, a lake or sea breeze would form ini— tially over the water (1). During the day, the lake breeze advances inland and is usually deflected by the earth's rotation in a clockwise direction so as to become more nearly parallel to the shoreline (9,13). Two distinct types of sea (lake) breezes have been recognized (2,1M). The first of these is identified as the frontal type and generally occurs when the sea breeze is opposed by the gradient flow. A breeze of this type has a 69 well defined front, may not begin to advance inland until afternoon, and usually advances quite suddenly; passage of the front often brings a sharp temperature drop and a rise in relative humidity. A non—frontal sea breeze, on the other hand, begins early in the day and brings gradual rather than abrupt changes in temperature and relative humidity. This type occurs most frequently on days when onshore regional winds reinforce the lake breeze. Estoque (15) believed that development of frontal characteristics does not occur in such cases because initial onshore flow prevents excessive heating of the land. It seems likely that many sea and lake breezes are intermediate between these two types. Moroz (16) investigated one lake breeze occurrence on a day of weak gradient flow on the eastern shore of southern Lake Michigan. At 0900 local time surface winds were offshore, probably representing a land breeze. The lake breeze crossed the shoreline at 1000, three hours after inland air temperature became equal to the lake sur— face temperature. Passage of the lake breeze front pro- duced a temperature drop and a rise in relative humidity; these changes were marked near the shoreline but became indistinct farther inland, indicating modification of air properties by heating from below. The front apparently progressed inland in surges rather than at a steady rate; maximum inland penetration of over 10 miles was reached 70 about 1800 when the lake—inland air temperature difference began to decrease. Maximum depth of the lake breeze was approximately 2M00 feet. The maximum onshore velocity was 15 miles per hour and occurred over the lakeshore about the time of maximum temperature contrast between water and non— 1ake breeze air. Studies by Munn and Richards (9), Moroz and Hewson (l7), and OlssOn and others (3,18) have sup- ported these observations. Olsson (3) also reported that the lake breeze front had a slope of approximately 1:20; this can be compared with the average value for cold fronts of 1:50 to 1:150 (19). Estimates for sea breezes range from 1:20 to 1:100 (1U,20). On days with very weak gradient conditions, lake breezes may develop symmetrically around Lake Michigan (3). Because the regional prevailing wind is southwesterly, however, lake breezes on the average extend farther inland on the southeastern shore of Lake Michigan than they do on the southwestern shore (21). The frequency with which lake breezes occur in the vicinity of the Great Lakes has not been studied extensively. Biggs and Graves (6), working on the western shore of Lake Erie, observed an average of 23 lake breeze days per June—August period over three years; they eliminated all days with onshore gradient winds from their study. Hall (8) stated that lake breezes are almost daily occurrences at the shore near Chicago, but noted that over a three year period an average of only 11 breezes per 71 year penetrated as far as eight miles inland. Long—term figures for the eastern shore of Lake Michigan are not available. The apparent suppression of summertime convection and precipitation by Lake Michigan and the other Great Lakes has received considerable attention. Hazen (5) noted that Chicago received less precipitation on days with onshore winds than surrounding inland stations did, and Eshleman (22) observed that stations on the Wisconsin side of Lake Michigan received more summer rainfall than those on the eastern side. More recent investigations by Changnon (23), Blust and DeCooke (2H), and Stout and Wilk (25) have suggested that summer precipitation is reduced at stations along or on Lake Michigan. Weiss and Kresge (26) and Williams (27), however, did not find any signifi— cant reduction of offshore precipitation. Lansing (28) observed the apparent suppression during the summer of cumulus cloud formation over or near the lee shore of Lake Ontario. Other studies present evidence for the suppres- sion or dissipation of cumuli (29), squall lines and air mass showers (25,30), and thunderstorms (31) by Lake Michi- gan. Sometimes, for reasons not yet well understood, squall lines and air mass showers pass over the Lake with little apparent modification (29,32). On summer days a mesoscale ”lake high" often develops over Lake Michigan (8,32). This dome of cool and very 72 stable air, resulting from a net downward flux of heat and subsidence over the Lake, is probably responsible for the suppression of cloud formation over the Lake (29,32). Olsson (3) found that the "lake high" reached a maximum intensity of A millibars by early evening. Satellite and aerial photography have shown that the lake—induced cloud- free zone often extends inland on the Michigan shore as much as 20 miles. A form of climatic modification associated with lake breezes which has received less attention is related to low-level convergence near the lake breeze front. Several sea breeze studies have indicated that strong vertical air movement occurs near the front and can induce cloud forma— tion (2,20,33). Leopold (34) reported local rainfall "islands" in Hawaii which corresponded with the mean posi- tions of sea breeze fronts. Byers and Rodebush (35) at— tributed the high frequency of summer thundershowers over central Florida to convergence of two sea breezes from oppo— site sides of the peninsula. Estoque (l2) theoretically demonstrated the existence of convergence and upward air movement at the sea breeze front. Moroz (l6) and Olsson (3) have reported strong hori— zontal convergence and large vertical velocities near lake breeze fronts on the eastern shore of Lake Michigan. Other studies have found that bands of cumulus clouds frequently develop along the lake breeze front around Lake Michigan 73 and that shower activity can occur there (32,36). Shenfield and Thompson (37) and Moroz and Hewson (17) have presented evidence suggesting that under certain conditions the pres— ence of a lake breeze can be an important factor in trig— gering or intensifying localized thunderstorms. Several investigations have indicated that lake breeze convergence may be particularly important adjacent to the southeastern shore of Lake Michigan near the area of the present investigation. Estoque (15) found from theoretical considerations that vertical motion near a sea breeze front might be especially strong when the geostrophic wind is parallel to the shore with low pressure over the water; this situation appears to be analogous to that along the southeastern shore of the Lake during southwesterly flow. Lyons (32) observed that a band of towering cumuli can develop parallel to the southwestern shore of the Lake during northwesterly flow. Similar activity might be ex— pected along the southeastern shore during the more frequent southwesterly winds. Schaefer (38) stated that a street of cumulus clouds is commonly observed extending along the con- vergence zone south and southeast of Lake Michigan. A pat— tern of higher thunderstorm precipitation extending from northwestern Indiana into Michigan has been described by Changnon (39). Finally, Lyons and Wilson (29) have sug— gested that convergence and cloud formation may occur along the southeastern shore of the Lake even in the absence of 7U a lake breeze when winds are southwesterly. This would re— sult from veering of the wind as it passes over the low- friction lake surface, producing convergence with the un— affected flow inland. Reviews of the literature on sea and lake breezes have been presented by Schroeder (U0), Munn and Richards (9), Olsson (3), and Baralt and Brown (U1). The Climatic Hypothesis Changnon (U2) has described an "island" of high warm— season precipitation centered on La Porte, Indiana, and has attributed it to the effects of atmospheric pollution from the Gary—Chicago industrial complex. Evidence of this pat— tern has appeared in other studies as well (21,U3,UU). Ogden (U5), on the basis of rainfall studies near an Austra- lian steelworks, however, has expressed doubt that the La Porte anomaly can be attributed to industrial causes. He believed that increased cloud droplet concentration as a result of nucleii addition could reduce mean droplet size and therefore reduce the likelihood of coalescence suffi— cient to produce rainfall. He observed variations in five— year precipitation means of individual stations similar to those which have taken place at La Porte since 1925. These variations appeared to be unrelated to changes in neigh— boring stations or to industrial activity. Hodgins (U6) found that for the five year period 1953— 1957 the most frequent July circulation pattern over the 75 eastern United States resembled that depicted in Figure 13. The dominant feature of this pattern is an anticyclonic sys- tem situated over the southeastern states resulting in south- westerly flow over the Midwest. Such a synoptic situation, probably associated with a mid-continent tropospheric ridge, would bring higher than normal temperatures to the Great Lakes region. Under these conditions, with high daytime tempera— tures, the dome of cold air over Lake Michigan probably would be strongly developed and the front of its associated lake breeze sharply defined. Along the southwestern shore of the Lake, where the regional flow is more normal to the front, the lake breeze would be prevented from advancing inland and might even be displaced over the water (Figure 1U). On the southeastern and eastern shorelines, however, the lake breeze would advance inland. Satellite photographs have indicated that this pattern does occur (32). Varia- tions of this pattern would develop under westerly or north— westerly winds. Since the degree of lake breeze penetration is a func— tion of several factors, including wind direction, wind speed, and land—water temperature contrasts, there would be day—to—day fluctuations in maximum inland advance. Nevertheless, a mean frontal position could be identified. The hypothesis of this study is that on days of regional flow with a westerly component, the mean location of the 76 D24 -4 ’2 I- 0"" 'quv S ‘0’.’€, ‘80 I0|6 SOURCE: U.S. WEATHER BUREAU 0 I00 100 300 400 Miles noun l3 SURFACE WEATHER MAP August 29, I969 Q— m-30.u 77 10‘ ONO— \ _ _ _ _ _ _ m 23......) _ L _ _ _ . _ “I ..... II- ‘ — _ . _ . _ L n 1 l _ i C _ >30 " _ atom-... IIIIII ‘ u 0 _ ”— o\flumm\II Ewan-MI! . \\ \ P M ‘ ..J \\ \ / _ \\..\\ w*VW// l _ 252:2: / . _ 3:3 / 4 02:5 ._d¢uhmm31h30m 1:3 ...ZOzm uNumam m¥<._ “—0 202.30.. nmN_mthO.—>I F_____._____ 78 lake breeze front, and its associated convergence zone, lies in the vicinity of La Porte and might be causally related to the La Porte rainfall anomaly (Figure 12). It is beyond the scope of the present study to demon- strate whether increased precipitation does in fact fall in the vicinity of La Porte when the lake breeze convergence zone is situated near that city. However, some comments regarding the processes which might bring about such a precipitation pattern under those conditions are perhaps desirable. Convectional activity, as a result of conver- gence, presumably would occur along the length of the lake breeze front as it extends inland toward La Porte and beyond. Under suitable atmospheric conditions, this con— vection could initiate cloud formation which might lead to precipitation. Rainfall would naturally not begin at once, however, as time would be required for the clouds to or- ganize and grow. During this time they would be moved down-wind along the convergence zone by the regional flow; Lyons and Wilson (29) have reported such movement by cumuli. At some point along the front, precipitation might begin; the location of this point would vary from day to day de— pending on the degree of lake breeze development and a com- plex of other factors, but presumably a mean precipitation Zone would be established. If so, that region might receive Ineasurably more rainfall than surrounding areas when lake breeze development is favored. 79 Results of the Survey Twenty—two lake breeze days were identified which met the criteria outlined in Chapter 11 (see Appendix V). Tables 7—9 indicate, for 1000, 1300, and 1600 EST, the num— ber of occurrences during those days of winds from 16 compass directions at the six instrument stations (at the Ogden Dunes station, only eight compass points were used in recording wind direction). Figures 15—17 present the in— formation from Tables 7—9 in a spatial context. The six instrument sites have been abbreviated in this discussion as follows: Argonne (ARG), Ogden Dunes (OGD), Westville (WSV), Wanatah (WAH), Michigan City (MCY), and South Bend (SBD). Several patterns can be detected in Figures 15—17. For the hour 1000 EST, there is considerable similarity between the wind roses for all stations, although that for Michigan City appears to show some lake breeze influence. By 1300 the MCY rose clearly indicates the influence of lake breezes, while it appears that Ogden Dunes, Westville, and South Bend occasionally experienced lake breeze flow. The pattern for 1600 suggests slightly increased lake breeze influence at OGD, WSV, and possibly as far inland as Wanatah, about 18 miles from the lakeshore. South Bend, on the other hand, appears to have experienced less lake breeze flow at 1600 than at 1300. At both MCY and OGD, winds off the lake shifted from northwesterly at 1300 to 8O .mocsm copmo pa ems: chHpompHe pgmHm* m H m m H m m m H H m gapacm3 H m m m m m H H m scam cpsom H m m m m o H mHHH>pmm3 m H m m m H H H H H spHo camH20H2 H 3 M NH H H *mmcsm cmemo m 0H H 3 m H H H accomsa eHao 322 32 323 3 3m3 3m 3mm m mmm mm 3mm 2 222 32 222 2 cOHQMpm . .emm OOOH ”mth. mNmmch mxmd OSPINAUCOBE wCflcHSQ mCOHpomkflm CmmeHm EOLQ UCHB rHO mmoflmfiflzooo ,HO .HmflESZII. N. Mdmxfiw 81 .mocsa copwo pm pom: mcoHpoosHo pszm* H m m q H m m H m H prmcm3 m 3 m m m m m pcom Epsom m m m m m m H m oHHH>umo3 m m m H H m m 38 2332on m m m m m H m *mocsa copwo H m H m 3 m occows< EHmo 3ZZ 3Z 3Z3 3 3W3 3m 3mm m mmm mm mmm m mzm m2 mZZ Z COprpm ”whoa mmompm oxmq ozplzpcoze .Bmm OQMH mcHHSQ mcoHpomHHm cooprm Eopm UQHZ go moocopHSooo we LoQESZII.w mqmpmoZ 3 H m m H 2 m H spHo camHnon m m m m 2 m m *mmcso 22220 H m m m 3 m m H occomp< sHmo 322 32 323 3 323 32 322 m 222 22 222 2 222 22 222 2 30H2222 .Bmm oomH ”mzma omoomm oxmq ozpl3ucose wCHpsp mQOHpooHHQ comprm E033 22H: mo moososhzooo go HOQSSZII.m mqm<9 83 n— m-DOI 10w j _ .1 _ L omflofll Hm IUJuI—mflo _ u _ J 23 2.2-522:4 _ _ z I . L H . _ _ _ ..... .. H u _ _L “HI 21> _ . __ _ u _ __ _ _ 1 a. _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ i . _ a: —..JH _ M _ 23.222 _ if. _ ............. I 3:: m l 52 coo. m><0 uwazm w¥<._ NN 02_¢DD 02.; "___O mm.UZmDOm~—m ._35 2N3: 32.. «a 02:2. 92.3 “.0 3522203: 220.5223 1 85 k— manor. .Oq L _ «3.3 _ 0% . _ J 23 ...-£33... 4 _ _ z . . L _ _ _ _ 3 ..... .. _ _ _ n _ _ _ _ .... u . “a _ _ _ n _ _ _ _ LA r _ on» u . _ 23.22: _ _ mx<._ ...mm 002 m>> “_O mwGZmDOmuu ..(ZOZUqu __. ——-———~——~-——- —H‘-3_ _ ..-.---...__.—_—.._ _ .I____._-_._.___ 86 northeasterly at 1600, probably as a result of deflection by the earth's rotation (9). In an effort to obtain a clearer picture of mean lake breeze penetration, the number of days on which lake breeze flow apparently reached each station was recorded. Some subjectivity was involved in determining lake breeze pres— ence or absence. Essentially, any day during which the northerly component of the wind increased markedly at a station, and on which a similar shift at Argonne was not recorded, was counted as a lake breeze day. Figure 18 presents the results in per cent of MCY lake breeze occur— rences. A line approximately delineating the extent to which lake breezes penetrate during about one half of Michigan City's lake breeze days was drawn; this line could be considered as estimate of the mean position of the lake breeze front. It appears that this zone crossed the shore— line near Ogden Dunes and may have passed near the city of La Porte. With the limited number of stations presently available in the study area, however, such conclusions are only tentative. In order to further visualize lake breeze penetra— tion, the Michigan City lake breeze days were divided into tWO groups according to the prevailing direction of the I’EEgional surface wind at the Argonne station. One group COnsisted of days on which the wind was from 1800 to 2690 (thE? southwest quadrant), the other of days with winds from 87 up w-:°_u ET . Z<0_:U_E _ ux<._ mZO_h<._.m «5.3.0 ._.< auhUm—hn muNmmcn ux<.. >20 Z<0.:U_S "_O ...2uU «mm ONO. o5; _ _ L. IIL 88 270° to 3590 (the northwest quadrant). Each group contained eleven days. Again the number of those days on which lake breeze flow reached each station was determined. Figures 19 and 20 present the results as per cent of MCY lake breeze days. It is evident that days with westerly to northwesterly regional air flow were more favorable for inland penetra— tion of the lake breeze in northwestern Indiana than those with winds from the southwest quadrant. When the former situation prevailed it appears that over 60% of the lake breezes recorded at Michigan City penetrated at least as far inland as La Porte and nearly 20% reached Wanatah, about 18 miles from the Lake. Under regional flow from south of west, however, perhaps less than U0% of the lake breezes reached La Porte and none were detected at Wanatah. Figures 18—20 also indicate a sharp decrease in lake breeze frequency westward through Indiana along the lake— shore. During the days examined in this study, lake breezes occurred approximately one—half as often at Ogden Dunes as at Michigan City, 18 miles to the northeast. Most of this reduction occurred when the regional flow was from the southwest quadrant; lake breeze frequency at Ogden Dunes was only one-fourth that at Michigan City when that situation existed. It appears from Figures 18-20 that, for the 22 days analyzed, the lake breeze front may have had a mean position 89 2 mun-0: z a? “3.1 on °~ w. n o :3 23:522.. 4 u. I “I: 13:4 _ lfilib _ ._ 33‘ 2 _ — otb‘Dd . 090‘ KN Il‘ III III \Iafihml llllll can. _:J \ ”3:90.90 #3 a . 2(0_:U=¢ _ mx._¢m._.mu>>1._.DOm “_O m>20 ZH¢mhmw>>zh¢OZI>a¢mhmm>> "_O m>._._0 Z