The water-energy-food nexus assessments of carbon neutral efforts

Efforts toward carbon neutrality are crucial for humans' well-being and the environment. Currently, two main ongoing carbon mitigation efforts are enhancing carbon sequestration and reducing carbon emissions. However, there are debates regarding the tradeoffs of these two efforts' related policies and action plans. This dissertation investigates and assesses the tradeoffs of carbon neutral efforts from a WEF nexus perspective. Three typical efforts were selected as assessment targets to answer the overarching question of how carbon neutral efforts would affect the water-energy-food (WEF) nexus. The Chinese conversion of cropland to forestland program (CCFP) is representative of carbon sequestration. The hydropower development in MRB is an example of the energy transition to reduce emissions. The coal power industry is the coupling effort of energy transition and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) applications in reducing carbon emissions. This dissertation consists of three main chapters, each corresponding to a journal article to address the three assessment targets. In Chapter 2, I evaluated the accomplishment of CCFP in China and its WEF nexus tradeoffs by applying remote sensing images from 2001 to 2019. The WEF assessment includes the transition matrix generation and the water yield calculation of the converted cropland and irrigation land. Indices related to WEF systems are also considered. In Chapter 3, a diagnostic approach with ten indicators was developed to assess the unilateral change's impacts on the WEF nexus. Using the diagnostic method, I provided statistical evidence of the benefits and tradeoffs of water, energy, food, economic prosperity, and the environment surrounding hydro dams in the Mekong River Basin. In Chapter 4, a scenario-based, life cycle coal power production assessment tool was proposed. By evaluating three portfolios or scenarios, the tradeoffs between reducing coal power production and CCUS application were revealed. This dissertation has successfully assessed the primary tradeoffs of carbon mitigation efforts from the WEF nexus perspective. The three studies can be wrapped up and come to three major conclusions: 1) The cons of major carbon mitigation efforts on WEF nexus and local sustainability exist, but not as speculated, especially for the CCFP and the hydropower dam construction. 2) The carbon neutral policies in China can accomplish their goals if adequately implemented. 3) The adaptive equilibrium between the CCUS application and coal power production reduction in China is crucial and needs to be better planned. The dissertation can enrich the carbon neutrality debate and fill gaps in the current literature on WEF nexus tradeoff studies on carbon mitigation by providing a remote-sensing approach and detailed coal modeling tools. The assessment tools proposed in Chapters 3 and 4 can be widely used by policymakers to understand better the tradeoffs regarding sustainability and WEF nexus in carbon neutral efforts.