THE WATERMILFOIL WEEVIL (EUHRYCHIOPSIS LECONTEI): DEVELOPING A SAMPLING PROGRAM AND INVESTIGATING THE INFLUENCE OF BIOTIC AND ABIOTIC FACTORS ON ITS DISTRIBUTION By Thomas G. Alwin A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Fisheries and Wildlife 2010 ABSTRACT THE WATERMILFOIL WEEVIL (EUHRYCHIOPSIS LECONTEI): DEVELOPING A SAMPLING PROGRAM AND INVESTIGATING THE INFLUENCE OF BIOTIC AND ABIOTIC FACTORS ON ITS DISTRIBUTION By Thomas G. Alwin Euhrychiopsis lecontei is used in North America as a biocontrol agent for the invasive aquatic plant Myriophyllum spicatum. E. lecontei can suppress M. spicatum and lakewide M. spicatum declines have been attributed to E. lecontei. However, investigations at the whole lake scale are lacking. The aim of my field research was to quantify minimum sample size for lake-wide E. lecontei estimation and investigate the influence of M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors on E. lecontei presence and density. Four Michigan lakes were sampled. Power analysis revealed precise lake-wide E. lecontei abundance estimation (µ 20%) required a large sample size (>300 quadrats) and sizeable effort (261 hrs) and lower precision (µ 50%) required 49 samples and 41.8 hrs. Zero-inflated binomial regression found abiotic factors positively influenced and M. spicatum metrics negatively influenced E. lecontei presence (p<0.014), and density was positively influenced by M. spicatum metrics and negatively influenced by abiotic factors (p<0.001). My research illustrates the importance of sample size when estimating E. lecontei populations and suggests that both M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors influence E. lecontei presence and abundance. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS There are so many people that deserve recognition for their contributions to this research. Thank you to my committee members: Drs. Doug Landis and Mary Bremigan, and especially my advisor Dr. Kendra Spence Cheruvelil. Your guidance and expertise was essential to the completion of this research. Thank you to Marty Hilovsky and Cortney Marquette at EnviroScience Inc. for helping to fund this project and allowing me access to E. lecontei stocking records. Thank you to Emi Fergus, Matt Fox, Jerek Gutierrez, Emily Jacobson and Liz Throckmorton for your assistance with field and laboratory work. Without you I’d still be processing samples! I’d also like to thank the Bear, Clear and Hackert lake associations and Tim Machowicz at Lake Ovid for allowing me access to their lakes and their interest in my research, Dr. Pat Sorrano for entrusting me with her boat and other field equipment, Dr. Travis Brendon for assistance with statistical analysis and all of my peers in the Limnology Lab at Michigan State University for your comradery and your insightful nuggets of knowledge. Lastly, I want to thank my wife, Christe, for her support, encouragement, patience and love. Without you I would not be where I am today. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES……………………………………………………………..…….……v LIST OF FIGURES……………………………………………………………..……......vi INTRODUCTION Invasive species………………………………………………………..…….........1 Myriophyllum spicatum……………….…………………… …………………….....……1 Controlling M. spicatum……………........................................................................3 E. lecontei as a biological control agent..................................................................5 Sampling to estimate E. lecontei population density...............................................9 CHAPTER 1 Estimating lake-wide watermilfoil weevil (Euhrychiopsis lecontei) density: the roles of quadrat size, sample size and effort……………………………………………….…….12 Abstract………………………………………………………………….………12 Introduction…………………………………………………………….………..13 Materials and Methods…………………………………………………....……..17 Results and Discussion……………………………………………….………….21 CHAPTER 2 Investigating the influence of habitat characteristics on lake-wide distribution and abundance of the native milfoil weevil (Euhrychiopsis lecontei dietz) in three Michigan lakes…………………………...…………………………………………….………..….26 Abstract……………………………………………………………..……………26 Introduction………………………………………………………….…….……..27 Materials and Methods………………………………………………….………..35 Results…………………………………………………………………...……….38 Discussion………………………………………………………………...……...40 Conclusions………………………………………………………………...…….46 THESIS CONCLUSIONS………………………………………………………...…......49 APPENDICES……………………………………………………………………..…….55 Appendix A…………………………………………………………………..…..56 Appendix B…………………………………………………………………..…..64 Appendix C…………………………………………………………………..…..69 LITERATURE CITED...………………………………………………………....…...…95 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1 Results of composite quadrat analysis of E. lecontei (n = 15) and M. spicatum (n = 6) samples. Lab time is a proxy for cost. Standard errors for estimated E. lecontei and M. spicatum stem densities are in parenthesis and the letters in each column represent the results of post hoc Tukey test for significance. The same letter denotes no significant difference found (α=0.05). *=quadrat selected for further use…...………………………………...……………………………………...………….57 2 Table 1.2 Projected time in hours (weeks) needed to collect and process 0.10m quadrats to reach optimal sample size (N) to estimating lake-wide E. lecontei population density. d = fixed portion of the mean α = significance level………………………………………58 Table 2.1 Sample lakes and the criteria used to select them for the study. N/A = not available. Bear Lake is a private lake and does not have an official bathymetric map. 2 “Samples” refer to the number of 0.1 m quadrats taken to estimate E. lecontei and M. spicatum densities………………………………………………….…………………….65 Table 2.2 Zero-inflated negative binomial regression results for individual E. lecontei samples collected during 2008 from three study lakes………………………….……….66 Table 3.1 2008 raw data for Bear Lake. Site letters represent M. spicatum beds and the numbers represent individual quadrats. Depth is reported in meters. E. lecontei are life stages are coded as A=adult, L=larva, P=pupa and E=egg. Biomass is dry M. spicatum 2 weight in g/m .……………………..……………..……………………………………...70 Table 3.2 2008 raw data for Clear Lake. Site letters represent M. spicatum beds and the numbers represent individual quadrats. Depth is reported in meters. E. lecontei are life stages are coded as A=adult, L=larva, P=pupa and E=egg. Biomass is dry M. spicatum 2 weight in g/m ..……………………………………………..……………....……………78 Table 3.3 2008 raw data for Hackert Lake. Site letters represent M. spicatum beds and the numbers represent individual quadrats. Depth is reported in meters. E. lecontei are life stages are coded as A=adult, L=larva, P=pupa and E=egg. Biomass is dry M. spicatum 2 weight in g/m ..………………………………………………………….……………....86 v LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1 Map of Lake Ovid with M. spicatum sample locations and sampled beds for determining lake-wide weevil density (a) and lake-wide quadrat sample site locations (b). Point intercept sample locations used to determine lake-wide M. spicatum cover: • = no M. spicatum found, ○ = M. spicatum found. = mapped M. spicatum beds. = bed sampled for quadrat size testing. 1a inset depicts the M. spicatum beds sampled during June to determine quadrat size. Composite quadrats were collected at three points along five transects…..................................................................................................................59 Figure 1.2 Composite quadrat containing four quadrat sizes and depicting diagonal support wire.……………………………………………………………...……………...62 Figure 1.3 Optimal sample size (N) of quadrats and M. spicatum stems to estimate lakewide E. lecontei population density using equation 1 (see page 26). Calculated using a 2 2 range of precision (d) and both 90 and 95% confidence intervals. s = 4144.9 and m = 1315.6. CI = confidence interval……………………………………………………...…63 Figure 2.1 Bed-level power analysis for each study lake using data from all three sample dates. The d value is the fixed portion of the mean calculated using equation 1 (see page 26). Power is generally considered adequate when d ≤ 0.50…………………………………………………………….………………...………67 Figure 2.2 Summary of lake-wide E. lecontei and M. spicatum density estimates based on 324, 309 and 351 quadrats collected from Bear, Clear and Hackert Lakes, respectively. Error bars represent standard deviation………………………………………………….68 . vi INTRODUCTION Invasive species Non-indigenous species (NIS) are considered one of the top threats to both native biodiversity and ecosystem function (Kolar & Lodge 2001). While many non-indigenous species are beneficial (e.g., food crops and livestock) others can have negative economic and ecological impacts (Pimentel et al. 2005). A widespread NIS that has negative impacts on an ecosystem or the services it provides is considered an invasive species. Invasive species are expected to severely impact all ecosystems in time (U.S. Congress 1993). Numerous invasive species have invaded the aquatic ecosystems of North America. Among these, aquatic plants can have both ecological and economic impacts on the water bodies they invade, resulting in them being termed “weeds”. Efforts to control aquatic weed species in the United States have been estimated to be $100 million annually (U.S. Congress 1993). Of the invasive aquatic weeds, Myriophyllum spicatum is one of the most troublesome in temperate North America. Myriophyllum spicatum Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum L.) is an invasive aquatic weed that has become a widespread problem throughout lakes and rivers of North America. M. spicatum is native to Europe, Asia and northern Africa, and became established in North America just prior to 1950 (Smith and Barko 1990). Since its introduction, this plant has spread to 45 states and three Canadian provinces (as reviewed by: Newman 2004). The biology of M. spicatum makes it well suited to dominate many north 1 temperate lakes. M. spicatum, a rooted submersed perennial plant, is able to grow at water depths of up to ten meters (Aiken et al. 1979). Spring shoot and overwintering stem growth begin once water temperatures reach 15oC, which is prior to native macrophyte growth. Stem elongation continues until the surface is reached, where extensive branching then takes place (Aiken et al. 1979), often resulting in the formation of expansive M. spicatum beds covering the littoral zone of a lake. In addition to dense growth, M. spicatum’s reproductive capacity facilitates rapid spread both within and among lakes. The rapid spread of M. spicatum is in part due to its capacity to reproduce asexually. Stolon growth, an asexual method for localized expansion, is the process by which new plants are formed on horizontal stems growing outward from the parent plant (Smith and Barko 1990). Autofragmentation is a plant-induced process by which apical portions of the plant are shed to colonize new areas of a lake. Allofragmentation is the mechanical breakage of M. spicatum by external forces, such as wave action, boats, and swimming (Madsen and Smith 1997). Unintentional transport of M. spicatum fragments attached to boats and trailers is its main dispersal method between lakes (Madsen et al. 1988). Once established, fragmentation enables M. spicatum to disperse and form new beds across long distances (Madsen and Smith 1997). The ability of M. spicatum to spread, both among and within lakes, is a trait that enables it to reach nuisance levels in many aquatic ecosystems. Once introduced, M. spicatum’s ecology often enables it to out-compete native macrophyte species (Smith and Barko 1990). Where established, M. spicatum commonly grows to form a dense monoculture surface canopy in the littoral zone of mesotrophic to 2 moderately eutrophic lakes (Madsen 1998). In fact, M. spicatum can comprise up to 95% of the plant cover in a lake (e.g., Cheruvelil et al. 2005). This dense M. spicatum surface canopy can alter the physical, chemical and biological conditions of the lake. Physical and chemical impacts can include elevated temperature and depressed dissolved oxygen levels of the surface waters within a bed (Unmuth et al. 2000). These conditions can alter the habitat suitability of the littoral zone for many organisms. Biological impacts can include reduced biodiversity of littoral macrophyte beds (Madsen et al. 1991, Cheruvelil et al. 2001), interruptions of food web interactions (Smith and Barko 1990), and a reduced overall biodiversity of aquatic organisms (Keast 1984). Dense M. spicatum growth can also affect the utility of the lake for human uses, which can result in negative economic impacts (Johnson and Blossey 2002). High densities of M. spicatum in the littoral zone of lakes can impede swimming, fishing and recreational boating. Reductions in these activities may reduce revenue coming into the local economy surrounding an infested lake as well as decrease lake property values (Horsch and Lewis 2009). Due to its potentially negative impacts on human uses and lake ecology, much time and money is spent on researching and conducting effective M. spicatum management techniques. Controlling M. spicatum Current lake-wide management efforts focus on the application of chemical herbicides to control M. spicatum. Chemical herbicides are widely used and are either applied to the whole lake or to targeted beds of M. spicatum within a lake (Getsinger et al. 1997, Madsen et al. 2002). When properly applied, a California study found limited 3 short-term and no long-term toxicity of aquatic herbicide applications (Siemering et al. 2008). However, herbicide use can be expensive, is not a permanent or long-lasting solution, and if incorrect dosages are used or excessive herbicide exposure times occur, there can be negative ecological impacts on non-target species (Netherland et al.1997, Pothoven et al. 1999, Wagner et al. 2007). These drawbacks led to the search for a biological control agent for M. spicatum. Biological control has the potential to be a cost effective, long-term solution for many invasive plants (Hajek 2004). The process for determining an appropriate biocontrol agent includes agent selection, host-specificity testing, and evaluation after release (McFadyen 1998). When testing a potential agent, it is important that the agent has a density-dependent relationship with the target pest population in addition to host specificity. Evaluation, which is often a neglected component of biocontrol programs, is important for monitoring to make necessary adjustments and justify the expense of the program (McFadyen 1998). Proper evaluation requires the use of an appropriate sampling technique for both the biocontrol agent and the weed species. The search for a suitable control agent for M. spicatum led to an uncommon organism. Most examples of successful biocontrol have been with classical biocontrol agents (those in which the pest species and its control agent are both exotic species; Eilenberg et al. 2001). Initial attempts to locate a natural enemy of M. spicatum in its native range were unsuccessful because the potential classical biocontrol agents were generalist herbivores that lacked host specificity (Sheldon and Creed 1995). However, several native or naturalized North American insect species have been found to feed on M. spicatum (Painter & McCabe 1988, Newman and Maher 1995): Acentria ephemerella, 4 a naturalized pyralid caterpillar, Cricotopus myriophylli, a native midge, and Euhrychiopsis lecontei, a native watermilfoil weevil. Employing a native herbivore as a biocontrol agent has the benefit of reducing the risks associated with introducing another non-native organism. In addition, when using a native biocontrol agent, there may be fewer negative ecological impacts as compared to traditional control methods (Sheldon and Creed 1995). Research on E. lecontei has shown the most promise among the native and naturalized herbivores. Therefore, the majority of M. spicatum biocontrol research has been focused on this native herbivore. E. lecontei as a biological control agent The native range of E. lecontei spans from coast to coast in the northern United States and southern Canada (Aiken et al. 1979). Within this wide geographic range, E. lecontei is believed to be ubiquitous; however only a few quantitative studies have been performed throughout its range. For example, 25 of 27 Wisconsin lakes (Jester et al. 2000), 8 of 19 Minnesota lakes (Newman and Maher 1995), and 14 of 50 Washington lakes sampled had E. lecontei populations (Tamayo et al. 2000). This potentially large native range and natural abundance of E. lecontei helps make their employment as a management tool more acceptable to stakeholders and management agencies than chemical treatments (Madsen et al. 2000). E. lecontei’s life cycle is closely coupled with M. spicatum. As adults, E. lecontei reach a length of three millimeters and are dark-colored with brown to yellow stripes on the dorsal side. Ovary development begins in the spring once water temperatures reach 15°C and within one to two weeks, females begin laying eggs (Newman et al. 2001). 5 Females lay an average of 1.9 eggs per day on the apical meristem of M. spicatum, and a maximum of four to six generations can be completed each summer (Newman et al. 2001). Once the larvae hatch, they initially feed on meristem tissue and then burrow into the stem of M. spicatum, where they mine the plant’s central cortex. The larvae hollow out an individual pupation chamber in the upper portion of the plant (0.5 to 1 m from the apical meristem) to complete development. When the adult beetle emerges from the pupal chamber, it moves back to the M. spicatum bed canopy to feed and reproduce. Each season, the last generation of adults foregoes reproduction and instead allocates energy toward flight muscle development and fat storage for overwintering, which occurs in near-shore soil and leaf litter. During the spring, adults emerge from the soil and return to the water where their flight muscles are reduced and energy is once again allocated toward reproduction (Newman et al. 2001). Therefore, E. lecontei is particularly wellsuited for M. spicatum biocontrol because all active life stages depend on watermilfoil plants as a food source and multiple generations are completed in a season. Grazing by E. lecontei is believed to impact M. spicatum in several ways. Grazing by E. lecontei reduces stem elongation and suppresses M. spicatum bed development (Creed and Sheldon 1993, Creed and Sheldon 1995, Newman et al. 1996). Adults feed on the leaves and stems of M. spicatum, reducing its ability to photosynthesize (Johnson and Blossey 2002). Although adult grazing has negative impacts on M. spicatum, larval feeding activity has a larger impact (Creed and Sheldon 1993). Each larva will tunnel through approximately 15 cm of M. spicatum stem during this stage (Johnson and Blossey 2002). The larvae damage the plant by hollowing out the cortex, which interrupts the flow of nutrients through the plant and reduces the buoyancy of the upper portions of 6 the plant (Newman 2004, Creed and Sheldon 1993). The reduced flow of nutrients results in lower concentrations of root nutrient stores that may be linked to reduced overwinter survival of M. spicatum (Newman and Maher 1995). Reduced buoyancy of the upper portions of M. spicatum can decrease the standing stock of M. spicatum in floating beds, and can potentially lead to the upper portions sinking out of the photic zone (Creed and Sheldon 1995). The presence of the larval pupa chamber and larval stem mining can also decrease structural integrity of the stem, resulting in increased breakage (Newman et al. 1996). Stem fragments from larval grazing also have reduced viability relative to other fragments and rarely succeed in developing into new plants (Creed and Sheldon 1995). The distribution, abundance, life history, and ecology of E. lecontei all suggest that it is a suitable biocontrol agent for M. spicatum. Research on E. lecontei has shown promise as a biocontrol agent for M. spicatum. Small-scale tank and mesocosm experiments have determined that E. lecontei are able to 2 suppress M. spicatum at densities of 267–410 E. lecontei per m (Sheldon & Creed 1995, Newman et al. 1996). Field observations and augmentation studies have found that 2 densities of just 23–200 E. lecontei per m were able to suppress M. spicatum (Newman 2004). In addition, several natural lake-wide declines of M. spicatum in Vermont, Wisconsin and Minnesota have been attributed to the E. lecontei (Sheldon and Creed 1995, Creed 1998, Lillie 2000, Newman and Biesboer 2000). In fact, it has been suggested that E. lecontei may act as a keystone species in North American lakes by having a disproportionally large impact on littoral trophic interactions (Creed 2000a). However, it is uncommon for natural E. lecontei populations to reach adequate densities to exert sufficient M. spicatum control (Solarz and Newman 2001). To overcome this 7 issue, augmentation or introduction of E. lecontei has become a commercially-available option for lake managers. However, results from E. lecontei stocking efforts have been inconsistent (Reeves et al. 2008). Therefore, a better understanding of the factors that affect E. lecontei effectiveness as a biocontrol agent is needed. Although the life history and host specificity of E. lecontei suggest that it shows promise as a biocontrol agent for M. spicatum, effective M. spicatum suppression is dependent on E. lecontei grazing rates, which are primarily determined by population density. Therefore, achieving and maintaining adequate E. lecontei population density is critical for successful M. spicatum control (Newman 2004). However, research on E. lecontei population dynamics, food web interactions and the minimum density required to impart M. spicatum control at the lake-wide scale are lacking (Creed 2000b). In order to conduct such research, a sampling program that can estimate E. lecontei density at this spatial scale with sufficient precision must be employed (Buntin 1994). The thesis research described herein examined sample size and statistical power when sampling E. lecontei at the lake-wide scale as well as relationships among E. lecontei distribution and density, several M. spicatum metrics, and lake abiotic factors. Understanding E. lecontei population dynamics at the lake-wide scale is important for advancing scientific comprehension of insect herbivory in freshwater systems as well as for making informed management decisions. For example, an understanding of E. lecontei demography at this scale may enable lake managers to better predict which lakes will benefit from stocking and how to most effectively stock E. lecontei within lakes. 8 Sampling to estimate E. lecontei population density An appropriate sampling technique that is employed at the spatial scale that control is desired is critical for determining the impact of a biocontrol agent on the decline of a pest species. Intensity of sampling, sample unit, sample strategy, and statistical power all need to be considered and are dictated by the objectives of the sampling program. Intensive sampling should be used for scientific study where high precision estimates are needed while less intensive sampling may be acceptable for some pest management efforts (Bunting 1994). There are two sample units that are commonly employed for E. lecontei population density estimation: individual stem sampling and quadrat sampling. Both are subcategories of absolute population estimation. Pedigo and Buntin (1994) defines an absolute estimate as “presenting information on numbers of arthropods, usually per unit of land surface area, in the habitat (e.g., number per square meter) or providing data that can be easily converted to such”. Quadrat sampling is a proper absolute estimate that is 2 reported as number of individuals per land area (#/m ), whereas individual stem sampling is a basic estimate that is reported as number of individuals per standard unit of habitable area (#/stem) (Pedigo and Buntin1994). Individual stem estimates can be converted to proper absolute estimates if M. spicatum stem densities per unit of area are also determined. Sample strategy is the method used for determining sample site locations and includes: transects, randomly determined points, and point intercept methods. Each strategy has benefits and drawbacks associated with it and deciding which to use should be based on sampling objectives. Sample strategy for lake-wide E. lecontei population 9 estimation was not investigated in this study but deserves investigation. We chose to focus instead on statistical power, which should be considered regardless of sample strategy (Pedigo and Buntin 1994). Adequate statistical power can ensure that study results have the precision necessary to detect differences in population densities over time or between experimental manipulations. Precision is a function of the number of samples collected and of the sample program (sample unit and sample strategy) employed (Peterman 1990). Low precision will result in poor confidence in the population estimate and may bring into question the study conclusions or monitoring effort (Cheruvelil et al. 2000). Acceptable levels of precision are, in part, up to the researcher or manager, but Bunting (1994) suggests confidence intervals of 0.05, 0.10 or 0.25 (with 0.025 preferred for pest management sampling). However, as the number of samples collected increases, and power increases, so do the costs associated with estimating population density. An effective and efficient sampling program will accurately estimate the population density of the species of interest, with the desired level of precision, without incurring excessive costs (Hutchins 1994). Both scientific and management-oriented sampling efforts have budgetary constraints and finding a balance between precision and cost is essential. A better understanding of the influence of abiotic and M. spicatum metrics on E. lecontei presence and abundance may help focus sampling efforts, which will reduce the effort and cost for estimating lake-wide populations with sufficient precision. For example, if it is determined that E. lecontei presence has a negative relationship with distance from shore, then sampling too far from shore would be unnecessary. 10 The chapters of this thesis describe 1) the sampling effort necessary to achieve a statically precise lake-wide E. lecontei population density estimate and 2) the influence of abiotic and M. spicatum metrics on presence and abundance of E. lecontei. The conclusion from the first chapter seems disheartening due to the amount of effort required to confidently estimate lake-wide density. However, these results exemplify the need to account for power when conducting in situ research of E. lecontei. The results for each lake sampled in the second chapter contradict one another and preclude definitive conclusions regarding the influences of the measured abiotic and M. spicatum metrics on E. lecontei presence and abundance. However, the methodology and analytical tools presented are an improvement on previous studies. Therefore, it is important for us to recognize how widely E. lecontei distributions vary from lake-to-lake, future study of E. lecontei will benefit from my work. 11 CHAPTER 1 ESTIMATING LAKE-WIDE WATERMILFOIL WEEVIL (EUHRYCHIOPSIS LECONTEI) DENSITY: THE ROLES OF QUADRAT SIZE, SAMPLE SIZE AND EFFORT Thomas G. Alwin, M. G. Fox, K. Spence Cheruvelil Abstract Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum L.), a non-indigenous macrophyte in North America, can reach nuisance levels in freshwater systems. The watermilfoil weevil (Euhrychiopsis lecontei) has been employed as a biological control agent for Eurasian watermilfoil. If lake-wide watermilfoil suppression is desired, then E. lecontei research needs to be focused at this spatial scale. However, previous studies and current management methods estimate E. lecontei density with limited sampling, and lake-wide studies are rare. In a single watermilfoil-infested lake, previously stocked with E. lecontei, we 1) determined which of four quadrat sizes was most appropriate for sampling E. lecontei, 2) calculated the optimum number of samples required to estimate E. lecontei abundance at a lake-wide scale with varying precision, and 3) estimated the cost associated with each required sample size. Analysis of variance showed that differences between quadrat sizes were not significant (p > 0.9775), likely due to E. lecontei’s highly 2 variable distribution. Next, we collected lake-wide samples with a 0.1 m quadrat to estimate E. lecontei density. Power analysis concluded that highly precise estimation 12 (20% of the true mean) of lake-wide E. lecontei abundance required a large sample size (>300) and substantial effort (261 hours) and that reduced precision (50% of the true mean) required 49 samples and 41.8 hours. The patchy distribution of E. lecontei makes highly precise lake-wide density estimation difficult, implying that researchers and managers will need to either accept lower precision associated with their sampling or largely increase sample size and effort when estimating lake-wide E. lecontei density. Key Words: Biological control, Myriophyllum spicatum, power, optimum sample size, Michigan, precision Introduction Non-indigenous species (NIS) are considered one of the top threats to both native biodiversity and ecosystem function (Kolar and Lodge 2001). Controlling the spread and reducing the impacts of NIS is important for preserving biodiversity, protecting ecosystem function, and minimizing negative economic impacts (Lovell et al. 2005). The aquatic plant Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum L.), hereafter referred to as EWM, is not indigenous to North America and, once introduced, can reach nuisance levels in lakes, rivers and reservoirs. Dense EWM growth can alter the physical and chemical conditions of water bodies and change fish and wildlife habitat (Keast 1984, Smith and Barko 1990, Madsen et al.1991, Cheruvelil et al. 2001 Unmuth et al. 2000). Dense EWM growth can also negatively affect human uses by impeding swimming, fishing and boating. When EWM accumulates at the water surface (i.e. forms a surface canopy) or broken EWM stems collect on shore, the aesthetic quality of the lake may also be reduced (Smith and Barko 1990). Therefore, there is much interest in effectively 13 stopping the spread of this species into new aquatic ecosystems, and for control in colonized systems. Biological control, the use of biological means (such as parasites, viruses, or predators) to suppress a pest population by reducing its numbers or the damage it causes (Eilenberg et al. 2001), is one EWM control option for infested aquatic systems. The benefits of this approach are the potential for long-term control and increased selectivity, and it is generally considered a more natural and sustainable method of control than alternatives such as chemical or mechanical control (Madsen et al. 2000). Although several biological control agents have been suggested for EWM control, this paper focuses on the watermilfoil weevil (Euhrychiopsis lecontei), which has shown biocontrol promise (see below) and is commercially available for stocking. E. lecontei is an aquatic beetle that is native to North America. All E. lecontei life stages are dependent on watermilfoil plants for food and habitat (Sheldon and O’Bryan 1996a). Research has found that although its natural host plant is a native variety of Myriophyllum, E. lecontei prefers EWM once exposed to it and is highly host-specific to EWM (Sheldon and Creed 1995, Solarz and Newman 2001, Sheldon and Creed 2003). These facts mean that E. lecontei has little negative impact on other aquatic plants (see Newman 2004 for a review of E. lecontei). Although the life history and host specificity of E. lecontei suggest that it shows promise as a biocontrol agent for EWM, effective EWM suppression is dependent on E. lecontei grazing rates, which are primarily determined by population density, and EWM response to herbivory (Newman 2004). 14 Research of E. lecontei suggests that it is well-suited for EWM biocontrol, yet it does not always reach population densities high enough to control EWM. A number of studies have investigated factors that may be limiting E. lecontei density (Sheldon and O’Bryan 1996b, Sutter and Newman 1997, Newman and Biesboer 2000, Tamayo et al. 2000, Newman et al. 2001, Ward and Newman 2006); however the reasons for incomplete control remain unclear. One problem with our current state of knowledge is that previous studies have sampled E. lecontei densities at a different spatial scale than EWM control is desired, often sampling a limited number of EWM beds in a lake or making lake-wide population inferences from a relatively small number of EWM stems. If we wish to control EWM at the whole-lake scale, we need to understand E. lecontei population dynamics and the factors that may limit E. lecontei effectiveness at that scale, and therefore must sample and estimate E. lecontei density at the whole-lake scale. Our knowledge of E. lecontei, however, is based mainly on small-scale studies. Therefore, in situ studies of E. lecontei at the lake-wide scale are essential to improve our understanding of lake-wide population dynamics and the use of E. lecontei as a biocontrol agent. When developing a sampling program, there are three main components that need to be addressed: sample units (i.e., what will you collect (quadrats or individual stems)), sample strategy (i.e., how will you collect samples (transects, randomly determined points, point intercept, ect…)), and statistical power (i.e., how many samples will you collect), which determines your ability to detect differences among treatments (Peterman 1990). When conducting scientific study, it is important to ensure that the results estimate the population density of the species of interest, with the desired level of precision, 15 without incurring excessive costs (Hutchins 1994). Adequate statistical power can ensure that study results have the precision necessary to detect differences in population densities over time or between experimental manipulations. Therefore, regardless of the sample unit selected or the sampling strategy employed, accounting for power for in situ population studies is important and should be addressed. Collecting preliminary samples and running power analysis can determine the number of samples required to reach the desired level of precision, known as optimal sample size, and sample collection and processing times can be used to estimate cost. Our study selected the sample unit and sampling strategy we felt most appropriate to explore optimal sample size and the cost necessary to estimate lake-wide E. lecontei population density using a variety of desired precision levels. Although many previous studies collected individual stems and reported E. lecontei densities as number/EWM stem, we chose to use quadrats to collect and estimate E. lecontei and EWM densities. The use of quadrats allowed us to collect a large number of EWM stems quickly. By counting EWM stems in these samples, we were able to present E. lecontei density in both aerial and per stem basis. Our objectives were to determine: 1. The quadrat size that most minimizes cost while maximizing accuracy for estimating lake-wide E. lecontei abundance. 2. The number of quadrats required (using the chosen quadrat size from above) to estimate lake-wide E. lecontei density across a range of confidence intervals and detection levels. 3. The amount of effort needed to collect and process the required number of quadrats for each of the scenarios in objective 2. 16 Based on past research of epiphytic invertebrates (Downing and Anderson 1985), we expected that although using a smaller quadrat would require a larger number of samples to be collected, this scenario would more accurately estimate E. lecontei abundance than taking fewer samples with a larger quadrat. We also expected that smaller quadrats would minimize cost (measured as processing time in the lab) (Downing and Anderson 1985). In order to meet our objectives, we conducted an intensive field study of one lake infested with EWM and previously stocked with E. lecontei in Michigan, USA. The information gained from this study will provide a useful tool for future scientific study of E. lecontei population ecology and inform whole-lake EWM management. Materials and Methods Study Lake We collected all M. spicatum and E. lecontei from Lake Ovid. This lake, with a mean depth of 2.3 meters and a maximum depth of six meters, is located within Sleepy Hollow State Park in Clinton County, Michigan, U.S.A. The 147 ha lake is a man-made reservoir created by a dam on the Little Maple River. Lake Ovid, with a Secchi depth of < 1.5m, is hypereutrophic (Kalff 2002), with a natural shoreline except for a public camping area, boat launch and beach. During July of 2006, a team from the Michigan Department of Natural Resources stocked 23,000 weevils at six locations in Lake Ovid. An additional 14,000 weevils were added in 2007 (Tim Machowicz pers comm.). Using the point intercept method (Madsen 1999), we determined lake-wide M. spicatum cover to be 39.5% during July 2008. Only two other macrophyte species were found and they were uncommon. 17 Prior to quadrat collection, we visited Lake Ovid to determine extent and location of EWM beds. For the purposes of this study, M. spicatum beds are defined as any area where M. spicatum growth is within 50 cm of the water surface and thus could impede recreation. We collected waypoints using a handheld GPS unit (Garmin GPSmap 76S) around the perimeter of M. spicatum beds. GPS data were uploaded to ArcMap (ESRI v9.2) to digitize and map M. spicatum beds using a MNDNR Garmin extension (www.dnr.state.mn.us, last accessed June 2008). Determining quadrat size We constructed a composite quadrat that consisted of four different quadrat sizes within the outer frame (Figure 2). We used 1½ inch PVC pipe for the outer frame and steel wire for the inner quadrats. A steel wire was connected from the bottom left to the upper right corner of the PVC frame to stabilize the upper right corner of each inner quadrat. We used this quadrat to gather M. spicatum samples of each quadrat size. These samples were collected from a single bed selected for this composite quadrat study (Figure 1a inset). We visited Lake Ovid on June 17, 2008 to collect composite quadrat samples. We established five evenly-spaced transects perpendicular to shore from west to east along the bed. Three samples, each containing the four quadrat sizes, were taken per transect for a total of 15 M. spicatum composite quadrats that provided us with 60 total samples (Figure 1a inset). When taking samples, we submerged the quadrat a minimum of one half meter below the water surface, and to the substrate when possible, and used the wires and visual estimates to separate and clip the M. spicatum stems. We did not record field 18 collection time for composite quadrats, since summing smaller quadrat times to estimate the effort of larger quadrats would not accurately represent collecting the larger individual quadrat. Minimum stem length was decided based on three factors: 1) our working definition of a M. spicatum bed, 2) E. lecontei inhabit the upper portions M. spicatum (Creed and Sheldon 1993), and 3) use of this stem length in previous E. lecontei research (e.g., Sheldon 1997, Jester et al. 2000 and Tamayo et al. 2000). Individual quadrat samples were placed in separate pre-labeled re-sealable 3.8 L bags while underwater and stored on ice until returned to the lab where they were kept refrigerated until processed. We processed each sample individually using 37.9 Liter tubs and white dissecting trays. We placed one to two stems of M. spicatum into a tray and carefully inspected them for all life stages of E. lecontei. We also recorded the number of M. spicatum strands and meristems from transects four and five. We separated M. spicatum strands into two categories: stems (strands that contained an apical meristem and were at least 10 cm long), and fragments (strands that had two broken ends or were less than 10 cm long). 2 Because individual samples larger than 0.05m represented a portion of the total area for a quadrat, we summed values of the smaller sections to get values for the larger desired quadrat sizes. We kept track of processing time, in minutes, as a proxy for sampling cost. We natural log transformed the quadrat size data to achieve more normal distributions. We used these transformed data to run ANOVA and Tukey post-hoc tests using SAS 9.1 to determine whether or not the four quadrat sizes produced significantly different estimates of E. lecontei density (alpha < 0.05). 19 Determining number of quadrats Based on the results of above, we used one quadrat size to collect 118 lake-wide E. lecontei samples on July 22, 2008. Quadrat samples were collected from M. spicatum beds previously mapped (above). To determine the appropriate number of samples per bed, we divided the individual bed areas by the sum of all bed areas and multiplied these proportions by 100. All beds comprising less than 3% of the total sampling area were assigned a minimum sampling value of three for two reasons: 1) E. lecontei density and bed size were not correlated (unpublished data) and 2) three is the minimum number that allows statistical analysis. We randomly generated sample points for each M. spicatum bed using Hawth’s Tools Extension (ArcMap 9.2) (Figure 1b). We used GIS maps and GPS coordinates to locate our sample points in the field. The same techniques were used to collect, store, and process the M. spicatum and E. lecontei samples as were described for the quadrat size study above. For this stage of sampling we kept track of both sample collection and processing time as a proxy for cost. We used Power analysis (eq. 1) on the data collected from the lake-wide sampling to calculate the optimum sample size (N) required to reliably estimate lake-wide E. lecontei density using the selected quadrat. 2 2 2 N= (tα/2/d) (s /m ), (1) with tα/2 = t value for a given probability (α), d = desired fixed proportion of the mean, s = sample variance, and m = mean density (Buntin 1994). Sample variance and mean density were determined from the lake-wide samples collected. We calculated optimal 20 2 sample size for a range of α and d to represent common confidence intervals and levels for pest management sampling programs (Buntin 1994). Results and Discussion Quadrat size There were no differences in estimated E. lecontei density (p = 0.9775), M. spicatum stem densities per square meter (0.0864), or estimated E. lecontei per M. spicatum stem (p = 0.8525) between the four quadrat sizes collected from Lake Ovid during June 2008 (Table 1). We noted that the variation among samples was quite high, which likely attributed to there being no difference among the four different sizes of quadrat. Previous foodweb studies of the littoral zone have found that epiphytic invertebrates are highly spatially variable and this may account for our high sample variation (Downing and Cyr 1985, Cheruvelil et al. 2000). In fact, when we later ran 2 power analysis to detect differences among the 0.05, 0.1, 0.2 and 0.3 m quadrat sizes, we found that our power was low (0.82, 0.75, 0.69 and 0.70, respectively). Therefore, compared to the 15 samples we collected, we would have needed to take 39, 33, 29 and 30 samples, respectively, to determine a 50% difference in E. lecontei density between the quadrat sizes. Some other research has shown that a large number of epiphytic invertebrate samples are likely needed to achieve the high levels of precision (Downing and Cyr 1985). In addition, edge effects of the composite quadrat may have introduced some bias in our results and deserves further investigation. Average lab processing time increased as quadrat size increased (Table 2). 2 Processing time would have been reduced most using a 0.05m quadrat. This increase in 21 samples would have, however, required more sample transport space and increased total sample collection time by increasing the amount of time spent entering/exiting the water and locating additional sample sites. Therefore, based on the costs associated with each quadrat size, the increased number of samples determined by the post hoc power analysis for the 0.05 quadrat, and because there was no difference in weevil densities among quadrat sizes, we chose to use the size that we felt would be most practical for the next 2 step of our study. We used a 0.1m quadrat for four reasons: 1) We wished to minimize cost (processing time, above), 2) Previous E. lecontei scientific studies had been done 2 using 0.1m quadrats (Newman and Biesboer 2000), 3) Extrapolating weevil densities to represent abundance per square meter would be mathematically simple when beginning 2 with a 0.1m quadrat, and 4) It is often better to collect a larger number of samples using smaller quadrats than a smaller number of large quadrats (Green and Young 1993). Required sample size 2 We estimated that the lake-wide E. lecontei density was 36.3 per m with a 2 sample variance (s ) of 4145 and the average number of M. spicatum stems per sample was 33.4 with a variance of 262, resulting in an estimated average of 1.09 E. lecontei per stem. Based on our estimated EWM bed area, we would estimate that there were 264,000 E. lecontei in Lake Ovid at the time of sampling. This estimate suggests a substantial increase from the 37,000 E. lecontei stocked since 2007. Several factors should be considered, however, when comparing stocking numbers to our estimate: 1) Lake Ovid likely had an existing population of E. lecontei prior to stocking, 2) since 2007, some E. 22 lecontei have been removed for culturing purposes (with similar numbers being returned at the end of each season), and 3) using equation one and solving for d, our estimated 2 number per m is within 32% of the true mean, therefore the true lake-wide E. lecontei population lies somewhere between 179,520 and 348,480 individuals. In fact, power analyses of the July 22, 2008 samples demonstrated that with an alpha of 0.05 and d value (desired fixed proportion of the mean) of 0.2, the optimal sample size is 309 quadrats or 10,321 stems. At the other end of the spectrum, using a d value of 0.5 would require 49 quadrat samples or 1651 stems. Additional analysis with the same d values and an alpha of 0.10 resulted in optimum samples needed ranging from 34-214 quadrats and 1147-7167 stems (Figure 3). It is interesting to note that although we cannot determine whether M. spicatum biocontrol is being achieved from our single-season of sampling, according to previous studies, our estimate of E. lecontei density is within the range needed to bring about significant M. spicatum decline and/or suppression (Newman 2004). An additional factor that needs to be considered is our differentiation between M. spicatum stems and fragments. We used only M. spicatum stem data for data analysis. This has two main implications: 1) underestimation of M. spicatum stem densities since stems broken during collection increased fragment counts and decreased stem counts, and 2) overestimation of E. lecontei per stem results. However, there was no way for us to take the fragment information and accurately transform it into a stem count. Future studies could overcome this by measuring individual stem and fragment lengths and divide the total fragments lengths by a predefined minimum strand length. 23 2 The estimated time to collect and process a 0.10m quadrat from Lake Ovid was 50.2 minutes. Using this estimate, the total time needed to process the optimum number of samples for each of the previous scenarios ranged from 29-261 hours (Table 2). These results demonstrate that achieving high precision lake-wide E. lecontei estimates requires a large number of samples and considerable cost, but that by looking for just large differences between treatments (i.e., requiring lower power) it is possible to reduce samples and costs. For example, if we were interested in being 95% confident of our estimates of lake-wide E. lecontei density in Lake Ovid during the summer of 2008 within 50% of the true mean, we would need to spend one week to collect and process 49 2 0.01m quadrats (or 1637 stems). The decision of minimum acceptable power is dependent on the questions being asked and the resources available. In addition, power will be highly variable among lakes and years. For example, Lake Ovid has a relatively high E. lecontei density, which influences the optimum sample size calculations. A lake with low E. lecontei population density would require a larger number of samples to achieve similar levels of power. Therefore, power should be calculated for each project on an individual lake basis and likely reevaluated at the beginning of each sampling season. Although the optimum sample size values we calculated for Lake Ovid should not be directly applied to other lakes, they can provide general guidance on the likely range of samples needed when sampling E. lecontei. Our results suggest that previous research that used fewer samples (quadrats or stems) from fewer M. spicatum beds likely did not achieve adequate power to precisely estimate lake-wide E. lecontei density or detect differences in E. lecontei densities across 24 lakes with a high level of confidence. Some of these studies may not have been attempting to estimate lake-wide E. lecontei populations, and we are not suggesting that all in situ research of E. lecontei needs to be performed at the whole-lake scale. The issue of statistical power is important, however, when estimating E. lecontei population densities regardless of spatial scale and should be considered and reported. In addition, if we wish to use E. lecontei to manage M. spicatum at the whole-lake scale, we need to understand E. lecontei population dynamics at that scale; therefore we must sample, estimate, and study E. lecontei density at the whole-lake scale. Future research should conduct a priori power analysis when investigating in situ E. lecontei density and use the results to ensure sufficient power is realized. 25 CHAPTER 2 INVESTIGATING THE INFLUENCE OF HABITAT CHARACTERISTICS ON LAKE-WIDE DISTRIBUTION AND ABUNDANCE OF THE NATIVE MILFOIL WEEVIL (EUHRYCHIOPSIS LECONTEI DIETZ) IN THREE MICHIGAN LAKES Abstract Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum L.), a non-indigenous macrophyte in North America, reaches nuisance levels in many U.S. freshwater systems. The watermilfoil weevil (Euhrychiopsis lecontei) has been employed as a biological control agent for M. spicatum. A better understanding of the influence of habitat conditions on the presence and abundance of E. lecontei will advance the scientific understanding of in situ population dynamics and may improve the use of this herbivorous insect for biological control of M. spicatum. I investigated the influence of a number of M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors on the presence and abundance of E. lecontei in three Michigan lakes using zero-inflated binomial regression. E. lecontei presence was positively influenced by abiotic factors and negatively influenced by M. spicatum metrics (p<0.014) and density was positively influenced by M. spicatum metrics and negatively influenced by abiotic factors (p<0.001). These findings suggest that both M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors influence E. lecontei presence and abundance. 26 Introduction Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum L.), is a non-indigenous invasive aquatic weed found throughout North America (Smith and Barko 1990). Once introduced to a water body, M. spicatum may reach nuisance levels. When M. spicatum forms dense surface canopies, habitat suitability for native organisms, lake recreational uses, and the aesthetic value of the water body can be negatively affected (Keast 1984, Smith and Barko 1990, Madsen et al. 1991, Unmuth et al. 2000, and Cheruvelil et al. 2002). Due to the potential negative impacts of M. spicatum, much time and effort is put into stopping its spread and controlling it in waters already infested. Biological control, defined as the use of a biological means (such as parasite, virus, or predator) to suppress a pest population and reduce its numbers or the damage it causes (Eilenberg et al. 2001), is one option for combating M. spicatum infestations. The aim of such biological control would be achieving sustained control of M. spicatum. Several organisms have been found to feed on M. spicatum (as reviewed by Newman 2004), but Euhrychiopsis lecontei, the milfoil weevil, is a native North American beetle that has shown the most potential as a biocontrol agent. In fact, E. lecontei is now commercially available as a biological control agent for introduction and augmentation in M. spicatum infested lakes, and it has been associated with multiple M. spicatum declines (Newman 2004) E. lecontei’s life cycle is closely coupled with M. spicatum. Adult E. lecontei spend the summer on M. spicatum, feeding on stem and leaf tissue and reducing its ability to photosynthesize (Johnson and Blossey 2002). Females lay their eggs on the apical meristem of M. spicatum and can produce an average of 1.9 eggs per day. A 27 maximum of four to six generations can be completed each summer (Newman et al. 2001). Early instar larvae feed on meristem tissue, and after several days, burrow into the stem of M. spicatum, where they mine the plant’s central cortex. Each larva will tunnel through approximately 15 cm of M. spicatum stem before entering the pupal stage (Johnson and Blossey 2002). Individual larva hollow out a chamber in the upper portion of the plant (0.5 to 1 meter from the apical meristem) where they pupate. When the adult beetle emerges, it returns to the M. spicatum bed canopy to feed and reproduce (Sheldon and O’Bryan 1996b). Each season, the last generation of adults foregoes reproduction and instead allocates energy toward flight muscle development and fat storage for overwintering, which occurs in near-shore soil and leaf litter (Newman et al. 2001). Adults emerge from the soil in the spring and return to the water where flight muscles are reduced and energy is once again allocated toward reproduction. The cycle is completed when E. lecontei spend the entire growing season feeding and reproducing on M. spicatum (Newman et al. 2001). E. lecontei is particularly well-suited for M. spicatum biocontrol because all active life stages are dependent on watermilfoil plants as a food source, they have high fecundity, and multiple generations can be completed in a season. Larval feeding has the largest impact on M. spicatum through interrupting nutrient flow and reducing the buoyancy of the upper portions of the plant (Newman 2004, Creed and Sheldon 1993). Reduced nutrient flow may negatively affect M. spicatum’s ability to overwinter (Newman and Maher 1995), and reduced stem buoyancy can decrease the standing stock of M. spicatum in floating beds and potentially cause the upper portions of the plant to sink out of the photic zone (Creed and Sheldon 1995). Damage from the pupation 28 chamber and larval stem mining can also result in increased stem breakage (Newman et al. 1996). Stem fragments resulting from larval grazing have low viability and rarely succeed in developing into new plants (Creed and Sheldon 1995). Grazing by E. lecontei reduces stem elongation and suppresses M. spicatum bed development, but overall plant biomass remains relatively unchanged (Creed and Sheldon 1993, Creed and Sheldon 1995, Newman et al. 1996, and Cofrancesco et al. 2004). For all of these reasons, E. lecontei should be a suitable biocontrol agent for M. spicatum. Research using tank and field enclosures has shown that E. lecontei densities of 2 267– 410 per m are capable of causing M. spicatum declines (Newman 2004). Anecdotal evidence from stocking efforts (ranging from several thousand to tens of thousands of individuals) suggests that E. lecontei stocking is able to suppress M. spicatum at the whole-lake scale, but few scientific studies have been conducted at this scale. A recent study using data collected from stocking and monitoring efforts found no correlation between changes in E. lecontei density and M. spicatum density (Reeves et al. 2008). However, based on the low number of samples collected and my results presented in chapter one, this lack of correlation may be due to low power. Therefore, there remains uncertainty about how well one can extrapolate small-scale studies to the spatial scale that control is desired (i.e., the whole lake). E. lecontei and M. spicatum population densities should follow typical predatorprey oscillations when in equilibrium. Evidence of predator-prey dynamics for E. lecontei and M. spicatum have been seen in a number of previous studies (e.g., Creed and Sheldon 1995, Sheldon 1997, Lillie 2000, and Newman and Biesboer 2000). However, it is more common for lakes to have low E. lecontei population density and be overrun with M. 29 spicatum (personal observation). When E. lecontei densities are below the critical threshold for M. spicatum suppression, the disparity between the two populations may prevent equilibrium from being realized. Augmenting E. lecontei is one way to help bring M. spicatum and E. lecontei populations into equilibrium and keep M. spicatum below nuisance levels. Due to the costs associated with producing and releasing control agents, most augmentative biocontrol efforts cannot directly release sufficient agent numbers to achieve this equilibrium; therefore it may require several years before an agent population increases to a level at which impacts on the pest species can are realized (Hajek 2004). Therefore, long-term in situ research dedicated to the predator-prey interactions between E. lecontei and M. spicatum are needed to gain a better understanding of the conditions necessary for equilibrium. Attaining and maintaining sufficient E. lecontei density is necessary for successful suppression of M. spicatum. However, not all lakes achieve sufficient control, and several hypotheses about the factors that limit E. lecontei density have been suggested. These can be lumped into three categories: M. spicatum density limitation, trophic interactions, and abiotic influences. First, E. lecontei density can be limited by M. spicatum. The rate of growth and spread of M. spicatum when introduced to many aquatic systems may outpace the growth capacity of an existing E. lecontei population, thereby eliminating the possibility of a balanced predator/prey relationship becoming established. In addition, at high M. spicatum densities, low E. lecontei population growth may be stifled by the allee effect (inability to find a mate). The allee effect has been suggested as a culprit for a number of unsuccessful terrestrial classical biocontrol attempts (Hopper and Roush 1993). This 30 potential negative influence of M. spicatum on low density E. lecontei populations needs additional research. If mate limitation is limiting population growth of E. lecontei, then augmentation of existing populations may facilitate reaching a balanced predator/prey relationship, and allow M. spicatum stem and tip densities to be directly and negatively influenced by E. lecontei density. Second, trophic interactions, both top-down and bottom-up, influence E. lecontei density, and some of these interactions may be mediated by M. spicatum. Although the impact of invertebrate predators is not well studied, it is not believed to be sizeable (as reviewed by Newman 2004). However, several studies have shown that sunfish will consume E. lecontei (Sutter and Newman 1997, Newman and Biesboer 2000, and Ward and Newman 2006). Adult E. lecontei are most susceptible to fish predation, and high predation rates of adults will result in reduced egg production that could limit E. lecontei population numbers (Sutter and Newman 1997). Using a predictive model, Sutter and Newman (1997) looked at the relationship between E. lecontei and sunfish densities and how that relationship may in turn influence 2 sunfish predation rates. They predicted that high sunfish density (0.5/m ) could 2 negatively impact already low densities of E. lecontei (<5/m ) but have little to no effect 2 on medium and high E. lecontei densities (30 and 70/m , respectively). They suggest that M. spicatum density could be a confounding factor for sunfish predation of adult E. lecontei by providing E. lecontei refuge at higher M. spicatum density. Therefore, the impact of fish predation is, in part, dependant on M. spicatum density. As E. lecontei reduce M. spicatum, sunfish predation may in turn reduce E. lecontei numbers below the 31 critical threshold for M. spicatum control. Lake-wide studies of top-down impacts on E. lecontei population density, and how those are mediated by M. spicatum, are limited and deserve additional attention for us to better understand this plant-herbivore interaction and improve biocontrol efforts. Plant quality, in the form of physical and chemical plant characteristics, can also have bottom-up effects on E. lecontei population density. Stem width has been proposed as a potential limiting factor for pupal development, and nutritional quality may influence larval and adult growth rates and fecundity (Creed and Sheldon 1995, and Newman 2004). It has been hypothesized that M. spicatum possesses higher nutritional value and lower chemical defense mechanisms for E. lecontei than native milfoil species (Newman et al. 1997). However, little research has been performed on the effects of chemical plant characteristics on E. lecontei growth and reproduction. Recent speculation about hybridization between native milfoil species and M. spicatum suggest that these plants may possess morphological and nutritional deficits and chemical defenses, therefore being less favorable for E. lecontei growth and reproduction. Much work is still needs to be done to improve understand how trophic interactions influence E. lecontei populations. Third, a number of abiotic variables have been suggested as factors that may limit E. lecontei populations and/or distribution within a lake. Jester et al. (2000) found a negative correlation between percent sandy shoreline and E. lecontei presence/abundance, and suggested that non-natural shoreline may limit overwintering success. However, further research on overwintering has found that natural shoreline was not limiting (Newman et al. 2001), and anecdotal reports suggest that overwintering can 32 be successful around highly developed lakes. Jester et al. (2000) also found a positive correlation between E. lecontei abundance and distance from the middle and deep edges of M. spicatum beds to shore and no correlation with the shallow edge. Cooler water temperature, increased wave action, and greater exposure to fish predation have all been suggested as underlying reasons behind an association with distance from shore (Jester et al. 2000, Lillie 2000, and Tamayo et al. 2000). Water depth has also been found by a number of researchers to negatively influence E. lecontei density (Lillie 2000, Jester et al. 2000, Tamayo et al. 2000, and Johnson et al. 2000). Generally, shallower M. spicatum beds have been found to be better suited for E. lecontei and tend to have higher densities of the herbivore (Jester et al. 2000, Johnson et al. 2000, Lillie 2000, and Tamayo et al. 2000). However, more research on the relative effects of overwintering habitat, water depth, and M. spicatum bed location for determining E. lecontei density is needed. Previous studies of E. lecontei may also have been limited by their methods of data analysis. Spearman’s rank and Pearson correlations were commonly used in the past to determine associations between E. lecontei and biotic and abiotic factors. Advances in and new applications of statistical analyses, in this case zero-inflated negative binomial regression (ZINB), offer improved techniques to investigate relationships in populations of such rare, patchy, and difficult to find species (Cunningham and Lindenmayer 2005). ZINB allowed us to perform non-parametric analysis to determine which variables are related to E. lecontei density rather than using ranked information. Additionally, ZINB separately analyzes the relationships between habitat characteristics and E. lecontei presence/absence and abundance. A regression analysis is run using all of the data that focuses on which characteristics influence E. lecontei presence/absence. A second 33 regression analysis is then run using all of the non-zero data to determine which characteristics influence abundance. The output of the analysis is which characteristics were statistically significantly and whether they have a positive or negative influence on presence/absence and/or abundance (Cunningham and Lindenmayer 2005). I investigated several factors that may influence E. lecontei distribution and density at the lake-wide scale during a single season. The previous chapter of this thesis outlined the importance of and demonstrated the difficulties associated with quantifying E. lecontei populations at the lake-wide scale, mainly a lack of statistical power. Therefore, I combined data across sample dates in order to achieve adequate power to investigate several relationships between E. lecontei density and habitat characteristics. Using field surveys of lakes previously stocked with E. lecontei, I addressed the question: How is E. lecontei abundance influenced by abiotic characteristics (distance from shore and depth) and M. spicatum metrics (stem density, biomass, and tip count)? Based on the research reviewed above, I expected to find a positive relationship between M. spicatum tips and E. lecontei density because higher tip density will allow for unfettered oviposition opportunities (Jester et al. 2000). Stem density should decrease as E. lecontei density increases as a result of stems sinking from the surface canopy. However, I expected to find no relationship between lake-wide M. spicatum biomass and E. lecontei based on a previous study that found little to no impact of E. lecontei herbivory on M. spicatum biomass (Cofrancesco et al 2004). Additionally, I expected that increased water depth at sample locations would negatively influence E. lecontei abundance and that distance from shore would not limit E. lecontei density (Jester et al. 2000). Understanding the influence of lake abiotic conditions and M. spicatum metrics on 34 E. lecontei density and distribution will provide information on this important plantherbivore interaction. In addition, our results can improve our choice of in situ E. lecontei sample site location for both scientific study and biocontrol efforts. Finally, this information may inform management decisions on which lakes E. lecontei are most suitable for use as a control agent. Materials and Methods Study Lakes Lakes were chosen from 45 Michigan lakes previously stocked with E. lecontei (EnviroScience Inc.). Final lake selection was based on the following criteria: lakes located in Michigan’s Lower Peninsula (in order for drive time to be limited), lakes stocked with E. lecontei during 2005 or later, lakes with surface areas of less than 50 ha (in order to be sampled in a single day), lakes with no recorded aquatic plant herbicide applications post-2002, and lakes that vary in degree of M. spicatum infestation. Clear Lake in Mecosta County, Hackert Lake in Mason County, and Bear Lake in Clare County were selected and sampled (Table 1). Lakes were visited four times during 2008 (June through August) for data collection. Data Collection and Processing Lake-wide M. spicatum cover was determined for each lake at the start of the field season using the point intercept method (Madsen 1999). M. spicatum beds (defined as any area where M. spicatum growth was within 50 cm of the water surface and therefore could impede recreation) were also mapped using a Garmin 76Smap GPS unit during the 35 first visit. These maps were then converted to polygon layers in ArcMap. The area of each M. spicatum bed was estimated using the “add area/perimeter” function in Hawth’s tools extension (ESRI Version 9.2). 2 Three subsequent sampling visits were made to collect 0.10 m quadrats of M. spicatum for determining E. lecontei densities and M. spicatum metrics (number of stems, fragments, meristems (tips) and dry biomass) (Table 1; see figure 1.1b from chapter one as an example of how samples were collected from a lake). Sample locations were assigned using the random point generator in ArcMap’s Hawth’s Tools Extension (www.spatialecology.com, last accessed February 24, 2009; ESRI version 9.2). One hundred samples were targeted as the minimum number of quadrats per lake per visit. The target number of samples to be collected per bed was calculated by dividing individual bed areas by the sum of all bed areas and multiplying these proportions by 100. All beds comprising less than 3% of the total sampling area were assigned a sampling value of three for two reasons: 1) E. lecontei density and bed size were not correlated (unpublished data) and 2) three is the minimum number that allows statistical analysis. Shortest distance from shore to each sample site was determined using ArcMap’s ET Geowizard extension (www.ian-ko.com, last accessed March 12, 2009). At each lake, GIS-generated maps and GPS sample coordinates were used to locate the quadrat sample points. I collected samples by hand using a 3-sided quadrat constructed of PVC piping. The quadrat was lowered a half meter into the M. spicatum bed open-end down, rotated to horizontal, and all strands within the quadrat collected. This design and approach was used to minimize the displacement of M. spicatum strands, either in or out of the quadrat, caused by the quadrat edges. Additional data collected at 36 each sample point included sample water depth and collection time for individual samples. In the upper 10 cm of each M. spicatum bed, I recorded water temperature and dissolved oxygen with a YSI Probe. Individual samples were placed, while underwater, in 3.8 L sealable bags, kept on ice in the field, and later transferred to and stored in refrigerators until processed. Samples were processed in the laboratory where all E. lecontei life stages were enumerated and M. spicatum metrics (number of stems, fragments, meristems (tips) and dry biomass) were determined. Stems were defined as any length of M. spicatum greater than 10 cm in length with an apical meristem. Fragments were strands shorter than 10 cm with a meristem or any length strand without an apical meristem. A tip was defined as a meristem greater than one millimeter in length where E. lecontei could opviposit. Dry M. spicatum biomass was determined by weighing dried samples that were placed in pie tins and dried in a convection oven at 65 degrees Celsius for a minimum of 24 hours (Prusty et al. 2007). Data Analysis I first conducted Post hoc power analyses to determine our ability to confidently estimate E. lecontei density at different spatial and temporal scales. To do this I used Power analysis (eq. 1) to calculate d (fixed proportion of the mean) at both the individual bed and whole-lake scales. 2 2 2 N= (tα/2/d) (s /m ), 37 (1) 2 with N=number of samples collected, tα/2 = t value for a given probability (α), s = sample variance, and m = mean density (Buntin 1994). Sample variance and mean density were determined from the lake-wide samples collected, and α was set at 0.05. I tested for the influence of M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors on E. lecontei distribution using zero-inflated negative binomial regression (ZINB) conducted with SAS (version 9.1). This approach was necessary to account for the high proportion of zeros in the dataset (due to the patchy distribution of E. lecontei). ZINB uses two models to perform the regression analysis. The first model is used to determine what variables predict presence/absence of E. lecontei and the second model determines what variables should be included in a predictive model of E. lecontei using the non-zero sample points only (Minami et al. 2007). ZINB models were developed separately for each lake. Correlation analysis was run to determine if variables were highly correlated (r > 0.70). All M. spicatum metrics, and distance from shore and depth were included as covariates for both models. Models were run multiple times with different covariates to determine which model had the lowest Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) value (indicating better model fit that accounts for the number of variables included in the model; Burnham and Anderson 2004). Results Post hoc power analyses Statistical power at the individual bed level for each visit to each lake was insufficient to enable further analysis. I composited the bed level data from all three visits for single-season bed level estimates for each lake. Statistical power remained low (Fig 38 2.1), however, adequate power was reached for two of the three lakes by combining individual samples collected from each lake over the entire summer into a single-season, lake-wide E. lecontei density estimate. After compiling the data, the fixed portion of the mean (d) for each lake, was 0.66, 0.22 and 0.24 for Bear, Clear, Hackert Lakes, respectively. Although adequate power is considered to be indicated by d ≤ 0.50 (Buntin 1994), I analyzed the data from Bear Lake, knowing that interpretations would be limited. Using the lake-wide compiled data, I then investigated the influence of biotic and abiotic factors on E. lecontei population distribution and density. Influence of abiotic and M. spicatum metrics on E. lecontei presence and density 2 Lake-wide M. spicatum density estimates ranged from 61.4-112.6 stems/ m and 2 E. lecontei density from 1.3-8.2/m (0.02-0.07/stem) in the three lakes (Fig 2). Correlation coefficients among predictor variables were low for Bear Lake and Hackert Lake (r < ±0.21 and 0.34, respectively). However, distance and depth as well as tips and biomass were moderately correlated in Clear Lake (r = 0.66 and 0.63, respectively). I used ZINB to determine how abiotic factors and M. spicatum metrics influence where and how many E. lecontei are found in each lake. For Bear Lake, the best model for determining whether E. lecontei was present or absent from the sample included water depth and stem density (positive and negative relationships, respectively; p < 0.014; Table 2). In the second step of the model-building process, distance from shore and M. spicatum biomass were related to E. lecontei density (not significant and positive relationships, respectively; p < 0.001; Table 2). The best model for E. lecontei presence/absence in Clear Lake included distance from shore, water depth, M. spicatum 39 tip density and biomass (not significant, positive, negative, and negative relationships, respectively; p < 0.001; Table 2), and depth and M. spicatum tip density were related to E. lecontei density (negative and positive relationships, respectively; p < 0.05; Table 2). The Hackert Lake model used M. spicatum biomass as the predictor for E. lecontei presence/absence (negative relationship; p < 0.001; Table 6) and distance from shore, sample depth, and M. spicatum stem density for E. lecontei density (not significant, negative, and positive relationships, respectively; p <0 .001; Table 6). At least one of the three M. spicatum metrics (stems, tips, or biomass) was negatively related to the presence/absence of E. lecontei and one of these same metrics was positively related to E. lecontei density across all lakes. In addition, water depth and/or distance to shore was positively related to E. lecontei presence/absence in two of the three lakes, and negatively related to E. lecontei density across all lakes (Table 2.2). Therefore, my findings suggest that both M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors influence E. lecontei presence and abundance. Discussion Factors influencing E. lecontei abundance and distribution Little is known about in situ population dynamics of E. lecontei, a biological control agent for the invasive macrophyte M. spicatum. Previous studies have found evidence suggesting that E. lecontei density is positively related to M. spicatum tips and distance from shore, and negatively related to the depth of the outer edge and center of the M. spicatum beds (Jester et al. 2000). Lillie (2000) also reported decreased E. lecontei stem damage at deeper sample locations in Fish Lake, WI, and research in Washington 40 State found a significant negative relationship between E. lecontei density and depth (Tamayo et al. 2000). However, this previous research sampled limited M. spicatum beds with a relatively low number of samples per lake. I revisited these factors and their relationship to E. lecontei population densities using larger sample sizes and by sampling all M. spicatum beds in three lakes. The small size of E. lecontei and its patchy distribution (Sheldon 1997) within and across M. spicatum beds resulted in many samples with no individuals found. This high variance and overall low density estimates resulted in low Post hoc power at the individual bed scale, and precluded my initial plans to explore population dynamics at the bed level, as well as changes in E. lecontei density over time. Had the results of chapter one been known at the time of data collection, I may have reallocated resources to intensely sample a single lake. However, I was still able to investigate some lake-wide influences on E. lecontei populations by compositing samples within each lake across the sampling period. I investigated the effect of distance from shore on E. lecontei at the whole-lake scale by sampling all M. spicatum beds. Distance from shore was included as a covariate in just one of the three lake-wide models (Table 2.2); however, it did not significantly influence E. lecontei presence or density. Therefore, our results agree with the conclusions of Jester et al. (2000), and suggest that distance from shore does not limit E. lecontei density within the range that I collected (0.1 to 155 m from shore). Previous research has found that lake depth is negatively correlated with E. lecontei density. Cooler water temperature, increased wave action and greater exposure to fish predation have all been suggested as underlying reasons behind this association 41 (Jester et al. 2000, Lillie 2000, and Tamayo et al. 2000). My study provides additional support for a relationship between E. lecontei and lake depth; however, my results were more complicated than expected. Sample depth was included in Bear and Clear Lake models for determining E. lecontei presence. In both lakes, depth was significant but positively related to E. lecontei presence. However, depth was also included in Clear and Hackert Lake models for determining E. lecontei density, and in both lakes depth was significant and negatively related to density. Our results suggest that E. lecontei were more likely to be present as depth increased but at lower densities than at shallow depths. This phenomenon may be caused by differences in M. spicatum metrics as depth increases. However, I found no consistent trends between increased depth and M. spicatum metrics in the three study lakes. Additionally, the moderate correlation between distance and depth in Clear Lake further limits my ability to make confident inferences about their impact on E. lecontei presence and abundance. It is likely that factors not tested in our study (e.g., fish predation) may have been responsible for this trend. Further study of the factors that limit E. lecontei density at deeper sites is justified. During each 2008 field-sampling visit, I collected a temperature measurement from each bed. I had planned to test the influence of temperature on E. lecontei density at the bed level. However, since there was only one data point per bed and per visit, I was unable to run ZINB regression using these data compiled across sample dates. It is important to note, however, that temperatures in our lakes did not exceed the critical thresholds for E. lecontei (~10 – 31oC; Mazzei et al. 1999). Therefore, it is not likely that there would have been a significant influence of temperature on E. lecontei density. Future study of E. lecontei and the factors that may influence its density should collect 42 such parameter measurements of interest at each sample point. Our results provide evidence that M. spicatum metrics can influence E. lecontei presence and abundance within a lake. However, no clear trend was found to suggest that any one metric has more influence than any other metric. Certainly I did not expect to find a single variable that could precisely predict E. lecontei presence or abundance; however, I had hoped that a clear trend would have been discernable among the three lakes. It is likely that, in addition to the three M. spicatum metrics I measured (stem density, tip densities, biomass), additional biotic and/or abiotic factors not measured may have influenced the E. lecontei population densities (e.g., M. spicatum nutrient levels, fish predation, interspecific competition). If the factors that influence E. lecontei presence and abundance can be determined, then models can be developed to predict where E. lecontei is most likely to be found within a lake, which could be used to improve lakewide population estimation (Chapter 1) and where E. lecontei introduction or augmentation may be most effective. Implications: E. lecontei and M. spicatum control My E. lecontei density estimates are within or below the 0.0-4.5 individuals per M. spicatum stem reported in previous field observation studies (as reviewed by Newman 2004). However, directly comparing the results of our sampling to previous studies should be done with caution. Previous E. lecontei sampling often collected many fewer M. spicatum stems (48-779), often did not collect samples lake-wide or were targeting stocked beds (Creed and Sheldon 1995, Jester et al. 2000, Johnson et al. 2000, Lillie 2000, Newman et al. 2001, Reeves et al. 2008, Tamayo et al. 2000), and did not report 43 statistical power for their density estimates. Therefore, past estimates may not accurately represent lake-wide E. lecontei densities and may not be able to detect E. lecontei population changes over time. These differences between my methods and those of previous studies further exemplifies the need for E. lecontei research at the lake-wide scale and the importance of quantifying statistical power when estimating population densities. There are a number of things to bear in mind when considering my results and their implications for control of M. spicatum. First, although some of my results differed from previous study results, it is important to consider the difference in the spatial scales of these studies. Densities of E. lecontei and M. spicatum reported from small scale studies may not appropriately extrapolate to the whole lake scale (Carpenter 1999). Second, lake-to-lake variation, both natural and anthropogenic in origin, affects M. spicatum growth and spread. For example, Bear Lake is a private lake with limited boat traffic and a high percentage of wooded or wetland riparian areas, whereas Clear Lake has a public boat launch and mostly residential riparian area, including a golf course. These differences among lakes may affect rates of M. spicatum growth and spread, especially through fragmentation spread caused by boat traffic. Therefore, lakes may require different E. lecontei densities to impart control. Finally, short-term studies need to consider whether predator-prey equilibrium has been reached. For example, Jester et al. (2000) investigated the initial stage of applying E. lecontei, when equilibrium was not likely reached and Newman and Biesboer (2000) studied a natural decline of M. spicatum that was attributed to E. lecontei, where equilibrium was likely present. In my study lakes, I do not know whether E. lecontei and 44 M. spicatum were in equilibrium. E. lecontei augmentations were initiated two to four years prior to this study, which may not have been enough time for equilibrium to be achieved, especially in Clear Lake that had a single augmentation in 2006. To demonstrate how such dynamics might affect the interpretation of results; consider two 2 2 lakes, one with 1000 M. spicatum stems/m and 100 E. lecontei/m and the other with 10 2 stems and 1 E. lecontei/m . Although both lakes have the same E. lecontei/stem ratio, the former lake may not have reached the critical threshold for control while the latter lake may have achieved control and be in equilibrium. Therefore, additional lake-wide studies that follow E. lecontei and M. spicatum from pre-decline through suppression and beyond are needed to provide more information on the minimum E. lecontei density necessary to cause declines and maintain suppression. The estimated lake-wide E. lecontei population densities in my study lakes are below the range of 0.1-4.5 individuals per M. spicatum stem that was been found to cause significant M. spicatum decline in previous field enclosure and tank studies (Newman 2004). At first, this fact might be viewed as evidence that E. lecontei is not effectively controlling M. spicatum in our study lakes. However, property-owners on two of the three study lakes stated that a dramatic reduction in M. spicatum occurred after E. lecontei were stocked (I did not have contact with property-owners on the third lake). Achieving success with E. lecontei augmentation is matter of reaching the point where E. lecontei density controls M. spicatum. Since lakes are heterogeneous, the time required to achieve control is difficult to predict. Some lakes have seen dramatic results after a single season of stocking; however, it is more common that several years are needed before widespread impacts are seen. As previously suggested, this equilibrium point is likely different for 45 each lake and may depend on a number of biotic and abiotic factors. Lake managers and stakeholders interested in employing E. lecontei as a biological control for M. spicatum should understand that there are two components to consider when trying to achieve M. spicatum control: the number of E. lecontei stocked and the time within which control is desired. Essentially, the greater the number of E. lecontei stocked, the more quickly control can be expected (and stocking small numbers of E. lecontei in lakes with dense M. spicatum will likely not produce dramatic results in a single season). However, satisfied lake managers and property owners who use E. lecontei as a control method will be those that understand at the outset that biocontrol will likely take time to achieve, with the promise of long-term M. spicatum control. Conclusions My conclusions from chapter one suggest that previous research on the factors that influence E. lecontei population density lacked sufficient power to accurately estimate lake-wide population densities. In addition to ensuring adequate statistical power for our research, I also used zero inflated negative binomial regression to investigate relationships between E. lecontei presence and abundance and habitat characteristics. This technique for data analysis allowed me to look both at E. lecontei presence/absence and density relationships separately, which has not previously been done in E. lecontei research. Previous analysis was not able to determine whether factors were influencing presence, abundance or both. The methodologies presented in these two chapters should be used as a guide for future E. lecontei research as they will ensure rigorous results. I examined some of the factors that had previously been found to influence 46 population density using larger sample sizes from multiple, whole lakes taken over the course of one growing season. I investigated population dynamics at the lake-wide scale to determine if E. lecontei presence and density coincided with M. spicatum metrics and/or abiotic conditions, which might suggest a cause-effect relationship. Similar to previous less intensive or small-scale research, I found that both M. spicatum metrics and abiotic conditions were related to E. lecontei densities. However, neither specific M. spicatum metrics nor particular abiotic conditions had consistent influences on E. lecontei presence or density across the lakes sampled. These lake-to-lake differences make it impossible for me to suggest a single model for general prediction of E. lecontei presence or density based on M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors. At first, I was disheartened by my findings. However, I now realize that these results have important insights. If I had sampled just a single lake, I would have developed and promoted a model that would not be widely applicable. The lake-to-lake variation I found suggests that either all of the metrics I tested have an impact, that the metrics are correlated enough to be confounded, and/or that metrics not measured were influential in determining E. lecontei presence and abundance. Therefore, the approach and methods described in this paper can be used and expanded upon to test additional parameters to increase scientific understanding of this plant-herbivore interaction and improve the application of E. lecontei as a biocontrol agent. Further investigation of lake-wide and bed level E. lecontei population dynamics is needed to better understand this important aquatic biocontrol agent. Additional multilake studies should be performed that continue to work toward the goal of understanding the population dynamics of E. lecontei at the lake-wide scale. Other parameters that 47 should be investigated include fish predation, availability of overwintering habitat, and a number of M. spicatum characteristics including; stem width, nutritional and chemical defense profiles, growth rates (which would include a number of water and sediment parameters), and plant genetics. Although the number of samples and effort necessary to make conclusions with high precision is substantial, without them, sound scientific conclusions on the efficacy of E. lecontei cannot be reached, and the optimal E. lecontei density for M. spicatum for control at the lake-wide scale will remain unknown. 48 THESIS CONCLUSIONS The goal of this research was to explore lake-wide E. lecontei population abundance and distribution. Several factors may influence where and how many E. lecontei are found in a lake. In order to study E. lecontei at this scale, researchers first needed to determine the minimum number of samples necessary to estimate population density with sufficient precision. Only then can the relationships between E. lecontei abundance and distribution and M. spicatum metrics and abiotic factors be truly understood. Increasing scientific knowledge of this biological control agent at this spatial scale will inform scientific study of this herbivore-insect relationship and can improve biocontrol efforts at the scale pest control is desired. Using power analysis, I found that a large number of samples, and corresponding effort, are needed to obtain high precision, lake-wide E. lecontei estimates. Therefore, fewer samples, such as the number often previously used to assess E. lecontei population, provide lower precision estimates. Using a single study lake as an example, the magnitude of samples and effort required for high precision population estimation (see Table 1.2) is likely cost prohibitive for single sampling events. However, if lower precision can be accepted (d ≥ 0.5) then single sample events may be feasible. Alternatively, using several sample dates to produce a single season high power estimate (as done in Chapter 2) may be an option. I strongly recommend that all future E. lecontei research determine the desired level of precision and perform a priori power analysis to determine the minimum number of samples needed to obtain desired precision and be able to confidently estimate lake-wide E. lecontei population densities. 49 Most previous in-lake studies of E. lecontei have focused on a few M. spicatum beds in a lake. Studies at this scale can be used to answer many important unanswered questions regarding E. lecontei. However, my findings suggest that sampling in this manner may result in low statistical power to estimate lake-wide population densities. Studies at the bed-level scale should also consider optimum sample size using a priori power analysis, and should refrain from extrapolation from the bed to lake-scale without testing to make sure that such inference is appropriate. Current sampling for biological control efforts also samples a limited number of M. spicatum stems to estimate E. lecontei population density. This is particularly troubling as the purpose of this sampling is often to estimate lake-wide E. lecontei population density. Although high precision estimates are not always necessary for monitoring and management purposes (Buntin 1994), the number of stems currently being collected (30 to 300 stems) should be increased to improve precision. An increase in sampling effort will result in an increase in cost. This cost could be passed on to the consumers, but that practice may negatively affect the number of lakes that chose to employ E. lecontei as a biological control agent. However, collecting too few samples will result in low precision estimates, which questions the ability to compare estimates over time and the reliability of such estimates to characterize lake-wide E. lecontei populations. Lake-wide understanding can improve biocontrol efforts Study of E. lecontei at the lake-wide scale will advance scientific understanding in a number of ways (e.g., aquatic insect herbivory, host-shift dynamics, metapopulation 50 dynamics), but it can also be used to improve the use of E. lecontei as a biological control agent. Investigations of the interactions between E. lecontei and M. spicatum and abiotic conditions could improve sampling efficiency, predictability of successful biocontrol, and stocking site selection. In addition, a better understanding of minimum E. lecontei density for M. spicatum control could guide stocking rates, and help determine the efficacy of E. lecontei as a biological control agent for M. spicatum. While the diversity of biotic and abiotic conditions in lakes will preclude precise and widely applicable density values for control, it should be possible to establish guidelines that use a few key variables to characterize a lake (e.g., M. spicatum stem density, bed area, or accumulated seasonal water temperatures) and provide more direction for E. lecontei stocking. The interactions between E. lecontei and M. spicatum are poorly understood. Native populations of E. lecontei are already present in many M. spicatum-infested waters. Yet, existing populations rarely reach densities capable of suppressing M. spicatum. In addition to top-down and bottom-up influences, the allee effect (difficulty finding a mate) may also be at work keeping E. lecontei population densities low. Augmenting naturally occurring populations may enable E. lecontei to overcome the allee affect. This augmentation might allow E. lecontei populations to increase to a point where they can suppress M. spicatum and enter into a balanced predator-prey cycle. The timeframe for effective suppression of M. spicatum by E. lecontei is currently unknown. Using terrestrial biocontrol efforts as an example, it is possible that several years of increasing population density is required before M. spicatum control is achieved. One example is the black-margined loosestrife beetle (Galerucella calmariensis L.) as a biocontrol agent for purple loosestrife (Lythrum salicaria L.). Research on the 51 establishment and impact of releases in Michigan found that it took three to five years post stocking for impacts to be seen in L. salicaria (Landis et al. 2003). Therefore, longterm, lake-wide studies that monitor E. lecontei and M. spicatum densities are needed. Integrated pest management (IPM) is a management technique commonly employed in terrestrial biocontrol that may benefit M. spicatum management (Alwin and Cheruvelil 2009). Incorporating other management techniques (e.g., herbicide applications) with E. lecontei augmentation (either spatially or temporally) may reduce the time to achieve lake-wide control, while still establishing a long-term means of maintaining control. However, although E. lecontei will not negatively impact the efficacy of other management options, the same cannot be said about the reverse. Therefore, careful execution of IPM is critical to ensure that E. lecontei are not negatively impacted by the other management techniques. What our findings mean for the application of E. lecontei as a biocontrol Our research was not trying to draw conclusions as to the effectiveness of E. lecontei as a management tool for M .spicatum control. Rather, I aimed to begin the process of investigating E. lecontei at the same spatial scale that M. spicatum control is desired. Without multi-year data for comparison, I cannot say whether M. spicatum was or was not being reduced or controlled by E. lecontei in our study lakes. However, the current status of scientific understanding of this plant-insect interaction at smaller spatial scales and under semi-controlled conditions is that E. lecontei is an effective biocontrol agent for M. spicatum. Anecdotal evidence suggests that E. lecontei is capable of longterm, lake-wide suppression of M. spicatum; however, long-term scientific investigation 52 at this scale is lacking. The information and methods presented in this thesis can serve as the foundation for research to provide insights of E. lecontei efficacy as a biocontrol agent at the lake-wide scale. Looking toward future E. lecontei and M. spicatum research My study was an ambitious project that collected a large number of samples from several lakes to investigate E. lecontei populations at the whole-lake scale. While I collected a large amount of data, I feel it is important to discuss the implications of how I used several important variables in order to inform future research. One idea to consider is how I dealt with the various E. lecontei life stages. For our studies, although I enumerated the E. lecontei life stages separately, I combined them all before data analysis. I did this to most accurately represent the E. lecontei population present at the time of sampling. However, if the goal of our research was to investigate feeding efficacy, I might have performed data analysis using only the life stages that feed on M. spicatum (larvae and adults) or created a system that would weight each life stage according to the impact and or potential impact they would have on M. spicatum. Future research should consider E. lecontei life stage and the impact on M. spicatum when designing and performing studies. Second, I classified M. spicatum strands as either a stem or a fragment (≥10cm = stem, <10cm = fragment). I distinguished between stems and fragments because considering each piece of M. spicatum in a sample as a stem would have inflated our stem counts but I could not simply dismiss the small pieces of M. spicatum material created in the sample collection process. However, this classification may have resulted 53 in an inflated fragment count and conservative stem count for our samples. Similarly, our designation of a M. spicatum tip may have influenced our conclusions. I did not include tips fewer than two millimeters in length in our counts because these were too small for E. lecontei oviposition. Therefore, if I had counted the minute meristems that were newly forming at the time of collection then our tip count would have been larger. Our decision to classify and analyze strands and tips in these ways certainly influenced our results and conclusions. Perhaps these classifications are partly responsible for why I failed to see a clear indication of a particular M. spicatum metric being related to E. lecontei presence and density across the lakes. Finally, I classified M. spicatum beds as those growing within 50cm of the water surface and comprising the majority of the plant community in the area. By explicitly defining a bed this way, I missed portions of the lake where M. spicatum was present but did not meet both criteria. Therefore, areas where E. lecontei may have been present in the lake were not sampled, leading to conservative population estimates. However, I classified beds this way for several reasons: 1) management is mainly concerned with M. spicatum when it is impeding recreation in a water body (matting at the water’s surface and/or forming a dense monoculture, 2) our inability to effectively sample M. spicatum beyond this depth while snorkeling. Future research should take the above designations into consideration when designing their studies, especially if they intend to compare their findings to ours. 54 APPENDICES 55 APPENDIX A Chapter One Tables and Figures 56 Table 1.1 Quadrat 2 size (m ) Lab time (minutes) E. lecontei 2 density (m ) M. spicatum stem density 2 (m ) 0.05 46 135 (51.72)A 427 (163.30)B 0.32C 0.1* 88 95 (33.19)A 362 (106.47)B 0.26C 0.2 135 73 (23.75)A 283 (80.66)B 0.26C 0.3 210 64 (21.02)A 261 (93.08)B 0.24C # E. lecontei per M. spicatum stem Results of composite quadrat analysis of E. lecontei (n = 15) and M. spicatum (n = 6) samples. Lab time is a proxy for cost. Standard errors for estimated E. lecontei and M. spicatum stem densities are in parenthesis and the letters in each column represent the results of post hoc Tukey test for significance. The same letter denotes no significant difference found (α=0.05). *=quadrat selected for further use. 57 Table 1.2 d  Time N Collection Processing Total time 0.2 0.05 309 18.3 242.8 261.0 (6.5) 0.2 0.10 214 12.7 168.6 181.3 (4.5) 0.3 0.05 137 8.1 107.9 116.0 (2.9) 0.3 0.10 95 5.6 74.9 80.6 (2.0) 0.4 0.05 77 4.6 60.7 65.3 (1.6) 0.4 0.10 54 3.2 42.1 45.3 (1.1) 0.5 0.05 49 2.9 38.8 41.8 (1.0) 0.5 0.10 34 2.0 27.0 29.0 (0.7) 2 Table 1.2 Projected time in hours (weeks) needed to collect and process 0.10m quadrats to reach optimal sample size (N) to estimate lake-wide E. lecontei population density. d = fixed portion of the mean α = significance level 58 Figure 1.1 Map of Lake Ovid with M. spicatum sample locations and sampled beds for determining lake-wide weevil density (a) and lake-wide quadrat sample site locations (b). Point intercept sample locations used to determine lake-wide M. spicatum cover: • = no M. spicatum found, ○ = M. spicatum found. = mapped M. spicatum beds. = bed sampled for quadrat size testing. 1a inset depicts the M. spicatum beds sampled during June to determine quadrat size. Composite quadrats were collected at three points along five transects 59 Figure 1.1 a 60 Figure 1.1 (cont’d) b B 61 Figure 1.2 Figure 1.2 Composite quadrat containing four quadrat sizes and depicting diagonal support wire. 62 Figure 1.3 Figure 1.3 Optimal sample size (N) of quadrats and M. spicatum stems to estimate lakewide E. lecontei population density using equation 1 (see page 26). Calculated using a 2 2 range of precision (d) and both 90 and 95% confidence intervals. s = 4144.9 and m = 1315.6. CI = confidence interval. 63 APPENDIX B Chapter Two Tables and Figures 64 Table 2.1. Lake area (ha) Max depth (m) Mean depth (m) # E. lecontei stocked (years) County Coordinates % M. spicatum cover # samples collected July 30-08 Lake Sample dates 21 107 Clare 43o 53'19.76" N 84o 57'06.23" W 35 4 N/A 28,000 (04-06) Aug 11-08 111 Aug 19-08 106 Total Bear 324 Aug 1-08 66 103 Mecosta 43o 40'43.60" N 85o 23'34.83" W 50 9 3.1 14,000 (2006) Aug14-08 103 Aug 27-08 103 Total Clear 309 Jul 24-08 13 121 Mason 43o 58'58.25" N 86o 19'29.30" W 49 5 9,000 (05-06) 2 Aug 8-08 117 Aug 21-08 113 Total Hackert 351 Table 2.1 Sample lakes and the criteria used to select them for the study. N/A = not available. Bear Lake is a private lake and does not 2 have an official bathymetric map. “Samples” refer to the number of 0.1 m quadrats taken to estimate E. lecontei and M. spicatum densities 65 Table 2.2 Bear Lake Parameter Estimate Presence/absence intercept 0.007 depth 0.942 stems -0.015 If present intercept distance biomass 2.619 -0.011 0.032 Standard Error t Value Pr > |t| 0.826 0.225 0.006 0.01 4.18 -2.47 0.993 <0.001 0.014 0.332 0.008 0.009 7.89 -1.38 3.4 <0.001 0.168 0.001 Clear Lake Presence/absence intercept 0.332 distance 0.010 depth 0.364 tips -0.002 biomass -0.016 0.387 0.015 0.113 0.001 0.005 0.86 0.65 3.23 -2.02 -2.89 0.391 0.516 0.001 0.045 0.004 If present intercept depth tips 0.174 0.040 <0.001 16.14 -1.99 5.72 <0.001 0.048 <0.001 0.261 0.002 7.63 -4.33 <0.001 <0.001 2.803 -0.080 0.002 Hackert Lake Presence/absence intercept 1.992 biomass -0.007 If present intercept 3.090 0.220 14.05 <0.001 distance -0.005 0.006 -0.83 0.409 depth -0.091 0.041 -2.21 0.028 stems 0.005 0.001 5.35 <0.001 Table 2.2 Zero-inflated negative binomial regression results for individual E. lecontei samples collected during 2008 from three study lakes. 66 Figure 2.1 Figure 2.1 Bed-level Power analysis for each study lake using the data from all three sample dates. The d value is the fixed portion of the mean calculated using equation 1 (see page 26). Power is generally considered adequate when d ≤0.50 67 Figure 2.2 Figure 2.2 Summary of lake-wide E. lecontei and M. spicatum density estimates based on 324, 309 and 351 quadrats collected from Bear, Clear and Hackert Lakes, respectively. Error bars represent standard deviation. 68 APPENDIX C Raw Data 69 Table 3.1 Date 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 7/30 Site A0 A1 A2 C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 D0 D1 D2 E0 E1 E2 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F6 F7 F8 G0 G1 G2 H0 H1 H1 J0 J1 J2 K0 K1 K2 K3 K4 Bear Lake E. lecontei M. spicatum Depth A L P E Total Stem Frag Tip Biomass 0.9 0 70 10 110 20.3 1.2 0 20 110 360 72.6 0.9 0 70 60 100 31.6 1.5 0 90 40 80 15.1 1.2 0 120 110 10.7 1.5 0 60 80 18.1 0.9 0 20 20 30 3.2 1.2 0 20 80 70 14.6 0.9 0 60 40 50 13.0 1.5 0 110 20 100 23.0 1.5 0 70 60 80 17.6 1.5 0 40 40 40 13.7 1.5 0 80 30 130 19.5 1.5 0 60 80 90 14.0 1.5 0 80 30 110 24.6 1.5 0 120 80 290 55.8 1.2 0 50 20 50 21.7 1.2 0 140 40 160 50.4 1.2 10 20 30 110 40 100 21.8 1.2 0 50 30 30 9.5 1.2 0 40 50 90 18.2 1.2 0 50 20 60 21.2 1.2 0 120 20 180 46.7 1.2 0 30 50 9.5 1.2 0 60 30 90 23.2 1.2 0 70 10 120 21.8 1.2 10 10 140 120 320 43.6 1.2 0 60 30 80 21.3 1.2 60 60 60 90 140 26.5 0.9 20 10 30 40 30 40 14.0 1.2 0 10 20 190 19.4 1.2 0 70 140 160 25.9 1.2 0 120 80 150 44.1 1.2 0 80 10 130 23.8 1.5 0 80 120 210 27.2 1.5 0 130 80 250 49.8 1.2 0 90 20 80 30.0 1.2 0 70 50 140 21.1 1.2 0 90 10 120 28.2 70 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 7/30 K5 1.5 7/30 L0 1.2 7/30 L1 1.2 7/30 L2 1.5 7/30 L3 1.2 7/30 L4 1.2 7/30 L5 1.2 7/30 M0 0.9 7/30 M1 0.9 7/30 M2 0.6 7/30 M3 0.9 7/30 M4 0.9 7/30 M5 0.9 7/30 M6 0.6 7/30 M7 0.9 7/30 M8 0.6 7/30 M9 0.9 7/30 M10 0.9 7/30 M11 0.9 7/30 M12 0.9 7/30 M13 0.6 7/30 M14 0.6 7/30 M15 0.9 7/30 M16 0.9 7/30 M17 0.6 7/30 M18 0.9 7/30 M19 0.9 7/30 M20 0.6 7/30 M21 0.6 7/30 M22 0.9 7/30 M23 0.9 7/30 O0 1.8 7/30 O1 1.8 7/30 O2 1.8 7/30 R0 >1.8 7/30 R1 >1.8 7/30 R2 >1.8 7/30 R3 >1.8 7/30 R4 >1.8 7/30 R5 >1.8 7/30 R6 >1.8 7/30 R7 >1.8 30 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 71 90 30 60 50 110 80 10 160 30 70 60 30 80 50 60 80 80 50 40 20 70 80 80 30 30 120 50 130 50 30 80 90 130 120 40 30 20 60 50 40 50 20 70 10 20 10 30 40 50 20 10 10 20 40 10 80 70 60 50 10 40 30 50 20 30 60 20 150 20 50 20 90 20 20 20 30 50 10 10 20 10 90 20 60 60 190 100 80 100 90 120 60 50 90 60 60 110 120 80 40 30 110 90 100 60 60 190 60 130 60 40 70 110 320 290 40 30 40 100 80 50 100 20 18.2 8.6 14.5 15.1 35.1 19.9 22.4 34.9 15.1 16.4 13.2 10.9 21.3 10.2 16.2 17.0 21.3 12.1 15.8 21.9 1.8 23.6 21.2 4.7 5.8 34.3 11.2 35.4 12.4 6.7 27.4 25.0 49.0 43.1 21.2 21.6 8.1 29.2 30.3 15.4 34.1 8.9 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 7/30 R8 >1.8 7/30 R9 >1.8 7/30 R10 >1.8 7/30 R11 >1.8 7/30 R12 >1.8 7/30 R13 >1.8 7/30 R14 >1.8 7/30 R15 >1.8 7/30 R16 >1.8 7/30 R17 >1.8 7/30 S0 >1.8 7/30 S1 >1.8 7/30 S2 >1.8 7/30 S3 >1.8 7/30 S4 >1.8 7/30 S5 >1.8 7/30 S6 >1.8 7/30 S7 >1.8 7/30 S8 >1.8 7/30 S9 >1.8 7/30 S10 >1.8 7/30 S11 >1.8 7/30 S12 >1.8 7/30 T0 >1.8 7/30 T1 >1.8 7/30 T2 >1.8 8/11 A0 1.5 8/11 A1 1.5 8/11 A2 1.5 8/11 C0 0.6 8/11 C1 0.3 8/11 C2 0.6 8/11 C3 1.2 8/11 C4 0.9 8/11 D0 1.8 8/11 D1 1.8 8/11 D2 1.8 8/11 E0 1.8 8/11 E1 1.8 8/11 E2 1.8 8/11 F0 1.2 8/11 F1 1.2 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 72 50 20 30 10 30 10 30 30 20 20 20 60 30 50 40 70 40 10 10 20 10 40 70 30 40 30 140 60 90 30 130 60 30 20 90 90 50 50 60 40 20 60 10 10 10 20 30 10 10 10 50 20 10 50 50 10 0 10 10 30 30 20 10 10 140 60 80 30 80 10 30 60 30 70 20 60 30 40 10 70 50 30 40 10 20 10 30 30 30 30 30 80 30 60 70 80 90 10 20 40 10 140 80 50 50 90 180 90 90 60 140 120 40 40 130 210 120 80 110 40 20 100 25.6 22.2 20.7 8.1 11.0 5.9 11.8 12.0 12.7 7.2 8.0 16.0 10.5 12.3 15.5 17.3 19.2 5.0 3.3 8.1 6.3 24.4 34.0 15.0 11.7 12.1 66.1 30.9 27.3 11.7 39.0 21.2 6.9 15.0 22.2 27.4 12.6 16.2 17.6 11.0 4.8 21.6 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 8/11 F2 1.5 8/11 F3 1.2 8/11 F4 1.2 8/11 F5 1.2 8/11 F6 1.2 8/11 F7 1.2 8/11 G0 1.5 8/11 G1 1.5 8/11 G2 1.5 8/11 H0 1.5 8/11 H1 1.5 8/11 H2 1.5 8/11 J0 1.8 8/11 J1 1.5 8/11 J2 1.8 8/11 K0 1.5 8/11 K1 1.8 8/11 K2 1.5 8/11 L0 1.2 8/11 L1 1.5 8/11 L2 1.5 8/11 M0 0.6 8/11 M1 0.9 8/11 M2 0.9 8/11 M3 0.9 8/11 M4 0.6 8/11 M5 0.6 8/11 M6 0.9 8/11 M7 0.6 8/11 M8 0.6 8/11 M9 0.6 8/11 M10 0.9 8/11 M11 0.9 8/11 M12 0.9 8/11 M13 0.9 8/11 M14 0.6 8/11 M15 0.9 8/11 M16 0.9 8/11 M17 0.9 8/11 M18 0.6 8/11 O1 2.1 8/11 O2 >1.8 20 10 10 100 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 110 20 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 73 40 90 90 90 10 140 50 40 40 40 50 50 60 70 30 50 120 110 30 90 30 20 30 60 60 50 90 30 40 90 90 170 70 50 80 50 30 70 100 20 110 90 20 40 50 60 10 50 0 0 50 10 40 20 50 80 20 20 30 70 10 20 30 0 20 0 60 50 50 10 30 60 50 270 30 80 130 40 40 120 40 20 120 50 50 110 110 130 10 170 70 40 110 50 100 60 140 150 50 70 160 180 30 110 70 20 40 80 170 60 160 30 70 110 100 270 70 80 90 80 40 140 110 20 220 140 15.2 35.3 29.1 23.0 5.5 38.7 9.7 8.4 10.6 10.1 25.2 16.9 19.9 15.7 14.0 12.7 22.4 29.4 5.9 20.8 8.1 3.3 9.0 11.5 17.5 11.6 14.8 4.5 11.5 13.4 14.8 66.0 13.2 14.5 21.1 10.4 9.1 25.9 16.8 3.9 32.4 26.6 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 8/11 O3 >1.8 8/11 O4 >1.8 8/11 O5 >1.8 8/11 O6 >1.8 8/11 O7 >1.8 8/11 O8 >1.8 8/11 O9 >1.8 8/11 O10 >1.8 8/11 O11 >1.8 8/11 O12 >1.8 8/11 O13 >1.8 8/11 O14 >1.8 8/11 O15 >1.8 8/11 O16 >1.8 8/11 O17 >1.8 8/11 O18 >1.8 8/11 O19 >1.8 8/11 O20 >1.8 8/11 O21 >1.8 8/11 O22 >1.8 8/11 O23 >1.8 8/11 O24 >1.8 8/11 O25 >1.8 8/11 P0 >1.8 8/11 P1 >1.8 8/11 P2 >1.8 8/11 R0 >1.8 8/11 R1 >1.8 8/11 R2 >1.8 8/11 R3 >1.8 8/11 R4 >1.8 8/11 R5 >1.8 8/11 R6 >1.8 8/11 R7 >1.8 8/11 R8 >1.8 8/11 R9 >1.8 8/11 R10 >1.8 8/11 R11 >1.8 8/11 R12 >1.8 8/11 R13 >1.8 8/11 S0 >1.8 8/11 S1 2.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 74 150 200 50 70 160 170 90 100 120 70 50 40 10 80 30 60 40 70 170 100 50 70 20 30 110 30 60 40 10 20 20 20 10 30 10 20 10 70 20 20 70 40 240 260 20 1230 100 90 10 150 80 40 50 30 20 20 20 60 20 40 70 100 20 50 40 10 40 0 30 10 0 10 0 20 10 0 10 0 0 10 10 0 50 20 210 300 110 140 210 290 130 210 210 130 120 90 20 140 90 130 50 80 250 210 100 110 40 60 210 50 70 80 10 20 40 30 30 60 10 40 10 10 20 20 80 70 61.4 111.5 17.5 31.6 32.4 85.9 25.5 31.7 45.2 16.2 19.4 10.8 2.0 20.8 10.9 17.1 17.9 19.1 46.5 39.7 13.7 22.9 11.7 6.6 31.3 7.2 20.8 12.0 3.5 11.6 4.0 6.4 5.2 7.3 3.7 6.8 4.5 6.5 6.1 6.4 23.9 12.6 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 8/11 S2 2.1 8/11 S3 2.1 8/11 S4 2.1 8/11 S5 2.1 8/11 S6 2.1 8/11 S7 2.1 8/11 S8 2.1 8/11 S9 2.1 8/11 T0 0.6 8/11 T1 0.6 8/11 T2 0.6 8/19 A0 1.8 8/19 A1 1.8 8/19 A2 1.8 8/19 A3 1.8 8/19 A4 1.8 8/19 A5 1.8 8/19 A6 1.8 8/19 A7 1.8 8/19 C0 0.6 8/19 C1 0.6 8/19 C2 0.6 8/19 D0 1.5 8/19 D1 1.5 8/19 D2 1.5 8/19 D3 1.5 8/19 D4 1.8 8/19 D5 1.8 8/19 D6 1.5 8/19 D7 1.5 8/19 E0 2.1 8/19 E1 2.1 8/19 E2 2.1 8/19 E3 2.1 8/19 E4 2.1 8/19 F0 1.5 8/19 F1 1.5 8/19 F2 1.5 8/19 F3 1.5 8/19 F4 1.5 8/19 G0 1.2 8/19 G1 1.2 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 10 30 10 20 10 10 20 50 320 130 190 90 70 20 40 30 90 60 30 50 70 50 20 120 140 100 20 40 80 20 70 80 40 70 80 20 40 30 70 80 50 50 0 40 0 0 0 10 30 30 100 80 90 50 60 40 40 10 30 70 40 70 90 60 20 160 170 50 60 0 420 20 230 140 40 80 150 60 60 30 120 40 30 40 30 60 10 20 20 10 30 70 360 240 310 150 110 30 70 30 150 90 90 50 80 80 50 170 340 160 70 50 180 40 160 110 80 90 130 20 60 30 110 110 70 70 9.5 20.8 2.2 7.1 4.5 3.8 16.3 24.6 59.4 30.0 49.3 29.8 28.6 11.5 11.2 6.1 24.4 21.1 9.8 18.6 23.0 15.3 3.6 21.1 55.8 22.9 8.5 3.5 36.0 5.9 34.5 19.0 19.6 28.3 22.6 3.9 12.5 9.5 25.0 20.0 17.8 18.2 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 8/19 G2 1.2 8/19 H0 1.2 8/19 H1 1.2 8/19 H2 1.2 8/19 J0 >1.8 8/19 J1 >1.8 8/19 J2 >1.8 8/19 K0 >1.8 8/19 K1 >1.8 8/19 K2 >1.8 8/19 K3 >1.8 8/19 K4 >1.8 8/19 K5 >1.8 8/19 K6 >1.8 8/19 L0 >1.8 8/19 L1 >1.8 8/19 L2 >1.8 8/19 L3 >1.8 8/19 L4 >1.8 8/19 L5 >1.8 8/19 L6 >1.8 8/19 L7 >1.8 8/19 L8 >1.8 8/19 L9 >1.8 8/19 L10 >1.8 8/19 L11 >1.8 8/19 L12 >1.8 8/19 M0 0.9 8/19 M1 0.9 8/19 M2 0.9 8/19 M3 0.9 8/19 M4 0.9 8/19 M5 0.9 8/19 M6 0.9 8/19 M7 0.9 8/19 O0 1.5 8/19 O1 1.5 8/19 O2 1.5 8/19 O3 1.5 8/19 O4 1.5 8/19 O5 1.5 8/19 O6 1.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 30 10 30 60 80 70 40 120 100 50 20 30 90 100 40 70 70 50 20 30 60 60 50 40 60 20 30 30 20 20 40 50 60 20 30 20 260 80 50 80 180 140 0 0 70 50 30 90 170 100 40 50 0 40 70 60 80 20 30 40 20 90 30 110 30 0 50 50 50 60 50 50 80 170 110 50 60 50 170 90 150 80 220 170 40 10 30 90 110 130 90 140 150 110 20 60 120 150 50 80 130 80 40 60 70 90 50 40 110 40 70 90 20 20 70 160 80 20 30 40 410 230 130 100 310 380 6.9 3.0 19.3 19.2 22.5 23.8 30.9 41.5 19.1 11.4 3.2 6.1 26.2 27.6 15.0 14.2 23.9 15.1 6.2 11.3 10.8 12.4 8.8 11.6 2.9 12.0 12.9 12.6 6.0 8.4 19.2 17.0 4.8 9.7 4.9 56.3 36.0 29.4 20.2 58.7 21.6 31.1 Table 3.1 (cont’d) 8/19 O7 1.5 8/19 O8 1.5 8/19 O9 1.5 8/19 O10 1.5 8/19 O11 1.5 8/19 O12 1.5 8/19 O13 1.5 8/19 P0 2.1 8/19 P1 2.1 8/19 P2 2.1 8/19 R0 2.1 8/19 R1 2.1 8/19 R2 2.1 8/19 R3 2.1 8/19 R4 2.1 8/19 R5 2.1 8/19 R6 2.1 8/19 R7 2.1 8/19 R8 2.1 8/19 R9 2.1 8/19 R10 2.1 8/19 S0 2.1 8/19 S1 2.1 8/19 S2 2.1 8/19 S3 2.1 8/19 S4 2.1 8/19 S5 2.1 8/19 S6 2.1 8/19 S7 2.1 8/19 S8 2.1 8/19 S9 2.1 8/19 S10 2.1 8/19 S11 2.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 130 170 70 90 170 160 160 80 150 110 30 10 10 20 10 10 30 10 0 30 10 20 20 30 10 10 30 50 30 10 30 70 100 120 120 120 40 150 300 120 40 100 90 10 10 40 10 20 0 10 0 20 40 20 30 20 20 40 40 40 40 10 30 90 190 250 120 130 230 610 260 170 230 190 30 10 20 30 20 20 40 10 0 30 20 30 30 40 30 10 40 80 60 10 40 90 200 49.5 24.3 114.5 41.7 54.2 67.3 40.7 26.3 47.0 30.8 6.9 2.8 7.7 8.2 5.0 5.6 11.8 2.7 2.0 8.1 5.5 3.6 6.7 8.9 7.2 5.7 10.2 17.4 10.1 3.2 7.4 32.7 37.3 Table 3.1 2008 raw data for Bear Lake. Site letters represent M. spicatum beds and the numbers represent individual quadrats. Depth is reported in meters. E. lecontei are life stages are coded as A=adult, L=larva, P=pupa and E=egg. Biomass is dry M. spicatum 2 weight in g/m . 77 Table 3.2 Date 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 Site A0 A1 A2 A3 A4 B0 B1 B2 B3 B4 B5 C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 D0 D1 D2 E0 E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 E7 F0 F1 F2 G0 G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 Depth 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Clear Lake E. lecontei A L P E Total 0 20 20 10 30 40 0 0 10 10 30 30 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 78 Stem 50 50 70 30 10 70 60 100 110 180 100 80 120 70 10 40 70 40 40 150 40 80 120 130 110 150 120 80 80 170 50 60 30 50 130 60 80 10 50 M. spicatum Frag Tip Biomass 60 90 9.6 40 50 5.1 40 120 12.1 50 80 5.7 20 90 9.9 80 180 28.5 50 100 18.3 60 260 29.7 150 160 40.0 80 110 30.8 40 180 24.9 240 150 29.9 70 130 32.0 110 230 18.3 210 110 21.1 260 190 18.6 140 190 18.7 250 180 23.7 60 110 12.6 260 210 56.7 140 130 22.2 170 300 30.2 220 360 67.0 290 260 69.2 130 200 50.7 240 350 55.5 140 370 38.4 130 80 23.6 120 170 26.7 320 170 66.5 220 210 20.0 190 280 21.7 30 80 15.1 120 240 17.0 70 330 37.9 50 180 27.6 110 240 13.6 60 50 2.9 90 180 12.8 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/1 H0 0.9 8/1 H1 0.9 8/1 H2 0.9 8/1 I0 1.5 8/1 I1 0.9 8/1 I2 0.9 8/1 I3 0.9 8/1 J0 0.9 8/1 J1 1.8 8/1 J2 1.2 8/1 J3 0.9 8/1 J4 0.9 8/1 J5 1.5 8/1 J6 1.2 8/1 J7 >1.8 8/1 K0 >1.8 8/1 K1 >1.8 8/1 K2 >1.8 8/1 L0 0.9 8/1 L1 1.2 8/1 L2 0.9 8/1 L3 1.2 8/1 L4 1.5 8/1 L5 >1.8 8/1 L6 1.2 8/1 L7 0.9 8/1 M0 0.3 8/1 M1 0.6 8/1 M2 0.6 8/1 M3 0.3 8/1 M4 0.6 8/1 N0 >1.8 8/1 N1 >1.8 8/1 N2 >1.8 8/1 N3 >1.8 8/1 N4 >1.8 8/1 O0 0.9 8/1 O1 0.9 8/1 O2 1.2 8/1 P0 >1.8 8/1 P1 >1.8 8/1 P2 >1.8 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 0 20 0 0 10 10 0 0 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 10 0 20 0 10 20 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 10 30 79 140 170 120 30 130 190 150 40 120 110 80 130 110 110 90 130 170 80 150 80 40 70 200 50 50 90 110 50 70 70 170 90 110 70 20 50 120 40 140 70 120 130 210 250 190 90 230 120 300 40 220 260 100 110 170 230 120 40 220 130 190 120 140 120 320 70 180 70 200 70 30 100 340 140 110 80 160 70 180 40 110 30 240 90 230 170 140 120 170 280 170 80 290 310 180 170 200 190 230 260 300 100 550 200 190 210 610 170 190 170 140 140 250 230 450 260 300 340 150 270 130 110 240 190 190 360 64.3 16.3 29.0 60.2 47.8 66.2 66.0 44.7 74.4 65.9 42.0 34.5 31.0 40.6 23.7 57.3 91.8 31.0 57.4 25.5 22.6 23.3 71.0 15.1 18.5 19.7 48.6 19.4 32.0 14.9 43.9 23.2 29.5 33.3 21.6 17.3 39.4 12.0 28.0 22.5 41.5 36.9 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/1 Q0 1.2 8/1 Q1 0.9 8/1 Q2 0.9 8/1 Q3 0.9 8/1 Q4 0.6 8/1 Q5 0.9 8/1 Q6 0.9 8/1 R0 0.6 8/1 R1 0.6 8/1 R2 0.9 8/1 S0 0.9 8/1 S1 0.9 8/1 S2 1.2 8/1 S3 0.9 8/1 S4 0.9 8/1 S5 0.6 8/1 S6 0.9 8/1 S7 0.9 8/1 S8 0.9 8/1 S9 0.6 8/1 S10 1.2 8/1 S11 0.6 8/14 A0 0.9 8/14 A1 0.9 8/14 A2 0.9 8/14 A3 0.9 8/14 A4 0.9 8/14 B0 0.9 8/14 B1 0.9 8/14 B2 0.9 8/14 B3 0.9 8/14 B4 0.9 8/14 B5 0.9 8/14 C0 0.9 8/14 C1 0.9 8/14 C2 0.9 8/14 C3 0.9 8/14 C4 0.9 8/14 C5 0.9 8/14 C6 0.9 8/14 C7 0.9 8/14 D0 0.3 10 10 10 30 10 0 10 0 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 0 0 0 60 0 70 30 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 40 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 10 20 40 30 20 40 10 20 10 30 10 10 10 80 170 260 120 160 160 210 140 220 140 130 50 110 150 70 40 20 100 40 180 80 150 130 20 20 30 40 20 80 230 90 180 240 80 280 210 200 80 180 260 120 220 130 150 280 70 200 100 80 260 120 90 90 30 70 320 220 130 180 70 240 60 220 110 60 40 20 50 60 140 390 190 330 360 300 280 210 120 50 240 420 130 130 150 350 550 230 400 500 440 510 380 260 320 270 240 360 180 140 40 120 130 440 370 370 160 50 50 40 80 50 180 510 170 360 390 140 500 530 360 140 370 340 190 260 260 55.8 82.2 34.4 47.4 62.0 55.1 46.3 48.1 29.7 28.6 21.8 22.0 49.6 24.7 15.4 4.9 32.7 10.8 43.3 31.2 56.1 33.8 11.4 7.0 9.4 10.5 5.2 29.7 90.0 34.0 75.2 89.6 39.9 59.4 61.2 29.6 19.1 70.8 106.3 41.5 87.7 30.3 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/14 D1 0.3 8/14 D2 0.3 8/14 E0 0.9 8/14 E1 0.9 8/14 E2 1.2 8/14 E3 0.9 8/14 E4 1.5 8/14 E5 1.5 8/14 E6 1.2 8/14 E7 0.9 8/14 F0 0.9 8/14 F1 0.9 8/14 F2 0.9 8/14 G0 0.6 8/14 G1 0.6 8/14 G2 0.6 8/14 G3 0.6 8/14 G4 0.6 8/14 G5 0.6 8/14 H0 0.9 8/14 H1 0.9 8/14 H2 0.9 8/14 I0 1.5 8/14 I1 0.9 8/14 I2 0.9 8/14 I3 0.9 8/14 J0 0.9 8/14 J1 1.8 8/14 J2 1.2 8/14 J3 0.9 8/14 J4 0.9 8/14 J5 1.5 8/14 J6 1.2 8/14 J7 2.1 8/14 K0 2.1 8/14 K1 2.1 8/14 K2 2.1 8/14 L0 0.9 8/14 L1 1.2 8/14 L2 0.9 8/14 L3 1.2 8/14 L4 1.5 20 20 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 0 20 10 20 50 10 30 30 0 50 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 50 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 30 30 20 10 30 10 10 10 10 10 30 20 81 320 60 50 70 70 50 110 240 70 60 180 80 60 260 140 200 140 110 130 220 100 30 70 30 100 100 80 30 30 0 20 40 30 70 80 70 180 240 70 130 130 130 350 120 110 80 100 150 110 210 100 180 130 110 430 140 220 260 240 200 220 190 440 260 150 30 90 120 140 280 50 180 70 140 60 100 190 80 290 660 80 250 460 240 360 300 130 260 250 140 200 410 130 110 330 260 190 460 180 320 280 210 240 310 120 70 120 70 150 180 190 270 60 60 60 50 110 180 150 110 200 360 110 290 230 170 88.4 19.5 13.8 27.6 27.5 27.3 36.3 56.3 19.4 26.2 46.7 33.2 41.5 58.4 36.9 52.2 39.9 21.1 43.6 70.7 68.5 29.5 40.2 7.6 22.8 30.9 34.8 28.7 20.0 19.4 16.8 27.8 10.9 20.4 31.9 27.1 70.2 99.4 25.5 70.3 85.6 53.9 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/14 L5 >1.8 8/14 L6 1.2 8/14 L7 0.9 8/14 M0 0.3 8/14 M1 0.6 8/14 M2 0.6 8/14 M3 0.3 8/14 M4 0.6 8/14 N0 >1.8 8/14 N1 >1.8 8/14 N2 >1.8 8/14 N3 >1.8 8/14 N4 >1.8 8/14 O0 0.9 8/14 O1 0.9 8/14 O2 1.2 8/14 P0 >1.8 8/14 P1 >1.8 8/14 P2 >1.8 8/14 Q0 1.2 8/14 Q1 0.9 8/14 Q2 0.9 8/14 Q3 0.9 8/14 Q4 0.6 8/14 Q5 0.9 8/14 Q6 0.9 8/14 R0 0.6 8/14 R1 0.6 8/14 R2 0.9 8/14 S0 0.9 8/14 S1 0.9 8/14 S2 1.2 8/14 S3 0.9 8/14 S4 0.9 8/14 S5 0.6 8/14 S6 0.9 8/14 S7 0.9 8/14 S8 0.9 8/14 S9 0.6 8/14 S10 1.2 8/14 S11 0.6 8/27 A0 0.3 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 70 80 10 20 0 40 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50 10 10 10 20 10 60 10 10 40 20 82 140 190 150 80 100 100 120 90 160 190 50 80 160 60 70 50 120 20 40 50 60 150 180 60 70 30 180 180 150 160 110 150 60 100 0 190 170 110 240 110 100 40 100 110 210 240 130 230 140 140 160 140 50 210 160 150 80 100 60 40 80 70 200 260 200 10 70 50 60 280 330 240 100 170 160 190 370 260 310 350 270 300 160 210 210 230 260 170 300 200 190 220 330 70 140 250 110 200 110 290 90 50 110 220 300 90 230 80 480 260 260 250 330 380 100 200 350 530 420 310 470 210 240 130 33.4 35.7 25.7 45.0 36.6 32.3 31.0 37.7 61.9 59.5 34.0 38.8 61.2 21.5 22.4 19.9 35.9 15.1 27.4 14.1 17.1 42.3 32.4 16.8 22.2 17.6 61.5 65.5 59.8 53.5 66.6 36.1 27.1 30.3 83.3 71.6 63.4 49.6 79.6 43.5 33.5 19.4 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/27 A1 0.3 8/27 A2 0.6 8/27 B0 1.5 8/27 B1 1.5 8/27 B2 0.3 8/27 C0 1.2 8/27 C1 0.9 8/27 C2 0.9 8/27 C3 1.5 8/27 C4 1.5 8/27 C5 0.3 8/27 C6 1.2 8/27 C7 0.9 8/27 C8 1.5 8/27 C9 1.2 8/27 C10 1.5 8/27 C11 1.5 8/27 C12 0.9 8/27 C14 1.5 8/27 C15 1.5 8/27 C16 1.8 8/27 C17 1.5 8/27 C18 1.5 8/27 C19 1.5 8/27 D0 1.2 8/27 D1 1.2 8/27 D2 1.2 8/27 D3 1.5 8/27 D4 1.2 8/27 D5 1.5 8/27 D6 1.5 8/27 D7 1.5 8/27 D8 1.5 8/27 D9 1.2 8/27 D10 1.5 8/27 D11 1.2 8/27 D12 1.2 8/27 F0 1.2 8/27 F1 1.5 8/27 F2 1.2 8/27 G0 2.1 8/27 G1 2.1 10 10 20 10 10 0 20 50 30 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 20 0 0 10 30 0 0 0 0 10 50 0 10 0 0 10 20 0 0 20 20 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 10 10 20 10 10 20 83 60 260 180 120 50 150 60 180 130 140 260 270 380 290 240 110 220 190 230 400 160 340 90 140 90 170 60 150 210 270 290 180 30 190 220 80 200 220 330 230 260 540 120 590 140 200 110 240 130 210 130 300 210 350 170 340 170 240 230 280 440 260 130 60 120 110 70 210 240 160 170 260 160 170 770 340 300 200 440 120 380 320 230 530 310 500 320 180 580 230 340 340 390 700 370 130 320 290 230 290 990 200 440 420 470 1090 430 500 530 260 90 300 150 520 50.5 25.0 84.3 100.1 43.6 45.7 95.5 26.0 82.1 70.2 48.5 124.8 22.8 58.9 70.3 30.1 52.4 62.0 84.8 51.4 78.8 168.1 66.6 152.8 61.7 52.7 191.8 41.8 77.8 50.4 115.4 186.8 76.4 130.3 106.6 79.9 157.4 53.1 49.7 36.7 57.3 47.2 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/27 G2 2.1 8/27 G3 2.1 8/27 G4 2.1 8/27 H0 1.5 8/27 H1 1.2 8/27 H2 0.9 8/27 I0 1.5 8/27 I1 1.5 8/27 I2 1.5 8/27 I3 1.5 8/27 J0 1.5 8/27 J1 1.5 8/27 J2 1.5 8/27 J3 1.2 8/27 J4 1.5 8/27 J5 1.5 8/27 K0 2.1 8/27 K1 2.1 8/27 K2 2.1 8/27 L0 1.5 8/27 L1 1.5 8/27 L2 1.8 8/27 L3 0.9 8/27 L4 2.1 8/27 L5 1.2 8/27 L6 0.9 8/27 M0 2.1 8/27 M1 2.1 8/27 M2 1.5 8/27 M3 1.8 8/27 M4 0.6 8/27 N0 2.1 8/27 N1 2.1 8/27 N2 2.1 8/27 N3 2.1 8/27 N4 2.1 8/27 P0 2.1 8/27 P1 2.1 8/27 P2 2.1 8/27 Q0 2.1 8/27 Q1 2.1 8/27 Q2 2.1 0 0 0 0 10 0 20 40 10 0 0 0 0 10 80 10 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 0 10 10 0 0 10 0 20 0 10 0 0 30 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 40 10 40 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 20 10 84 150 70 110 240 100 330 140 130 80 140 80 60 150 270 320 230 140 120 70 60 60 50 100 120 120 10 60 190 100 370 260 220 340 130 150 370 110 360 30 90 200 310 240 120 380 540 90 180 100 180 160 330 650 1020 90 240 490 290 310 180 260 280 160 300 220 220 50 80 320 150 780 280 380 350 520 270 210 420 340 220 600 150 510 310 550 220 330 210 100 250 830 390 280 110 280 230 680 210 120.7 55.8 63.7 66.5 103.2 73.4 66.6 63.7 47.8 36.7 38.4 24.1 42.4 21.7 116.7 71.6 59.8 31.4 115.2 34.7 36.8 164.4 28.5 92.5 68.3 42.3 57.6 95.4 141.7 125.0 54.5 56.6 84.7 131.4 91.1 79.0 69.2 41.6 60.7 53.9 172.1 45.4 Table 3.2 (cont’d) 8/27 Q3 1.5 8/27 Q4 1.5 8/27 R0 0.9 8/27 R1 0.9 8/27 R2 0.9 8/27 S0 0.9 8/27 S1 0.9 8/27 S2 1.2 8/27 S3 0.9 8/27 S4 1.2 8/27 S5 1.5 8/27 T0 >1.8 8/27 T1 1.2 8/27 T2 >1.8 8/27 T3 1.5 8/27 T4 >1.8 8/27 T5 1.5 8/27 T6 1.5 30 10 20 30 10 40 40 10 20 10 10 20 10 80 20 30 0 10 0 0 40 20 80 150 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 140 220 80 130 140 150 210 680 80 430 230 40 60 390 160 30 60 40 170 320 330 100 520 200 350 1000 310 980 1020 630 440 100 120 350 140 180 700 100 102.3 56.3 93.2 10.8 42.4 139.3 72.4 100.9 126.6 84.7 89.1 24.9 19.0 104.2 24.7 54.4 78.7 20.1 2008 raw data for Clear Lake. Site letters represent M. spicatum beds and the numbers represent individual quadrats. Depth is reported in meters. E. lecontei are life stages are coded as A=adult, L=larva, P=pupa and E=egg. Biomass is dry M. spicatum weight in 2 g/m . 85 Table 3.3 Date 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 7/24 Site A0 A1 A2 B0 B1 B2 C0 C1 C2 E0 E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 E7 E8 E9 E10 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 G0 G1 G2 H0 H1 H2 H3 H4 H5 H6 H7 H8 H9 H10 Depth 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 2.1 1.8 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.9 A 10 10 10 40 Hackert Lake E. lecontei L P E Total Stem 10 20 30 140 10 10 20 210 10 10 90 0 110 0 120 0 90 0 150 0 230 0 200 40 40 110 0 150 0 120 10 10 120 10 20 90 0 130 0 120 10 130 20 20 120 0 120 0 110 10 10 140 0 170 0 30 0 110 0 140 10 10 100 10 10 160 0 70 0 110 0 60 0 160 0 200 20 20 60 10 10 90 0 100 10 20 30 160 20 30 200 20 30 50 160 10 10 60 140 86 M. spicatum Frag Tip Biomass 110 370 187.5 80 420 344.7 20 180 103.0 80 170 161.4 30 140 173.5 120 260 NA 50 270 156.6 110 200 191.9 110 230 303.1 160 230 122.2 80 240 128.4 150 160 123.1 100 190 168.4 40 140 138.8 130 330 189.4 20 250 95.5 80 170 201.8 230 280 196.8 100 240 97.5 180 400 259.1 190 330 135.6 200 290 190.6 60 70 71.5 40 160 92.3 70 220 227.0 80 100 145.1 80 190 184.9 110 120 96.7 130 160 258.1 70 180 40.1 150 190 144.5 70 430 181.4 20 120 142.3 30 200 91.7 120 180 122.0 120 400 279.2 100 400 324.4 130 150 209.5 100 240 155.7 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 7/24 H11 1.2 7/24 H12 0.9 7/24 H13 1.5 7/24 H14 1.2 7/24 H15 1.2 7/24 H16 1.2 7/24 H17 0.9 7/24 H18 1.2 7/24 H19 0.9 7/24 H20 1.8 7/24 H21 0.9 7/24 H22 1.5 7/24 H23 1.2 7/24 H24 1.5 7/24 H25 0.6 7/24 H26 0.9 7/24 H27 1.2 7/24 H28 1.8 7/24 I0 >1.8 7/24 I1 >1.8 7/24 I2 >1.8 7/24 J0 1.5 7/24 J1 1.2 7/24 J2 1.2 7/24 K0 1.5 7/24 K1 0.9 7/24 K2 0.9 7/24 L0 >1.8 7/24 L1 >1.8 7/24 L2 >1.8 7/24 L3 >1.8 7/24 L4 >1.8 7/24 L5 >1.8 7/24 L6 >1.8 7/24 L7 >1.8 7/24 L9 >1.8 7/24 L10 >1.8 7/24 L11 >1.8 7/24 L12 >1.8 7/24 L13 >1.8 7/24 L14 >1.8 7/24 L15 >1.8 0 0 40 0 0 20 0 10 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 30 0 0 0 0 30 110 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 20 0 0 10 40 20 10 20 10 60 10 20 10 30 70 10 30 30 10 10 10 20 10 87 110 110 200 160 260 70 60 60 260 130 50 150 200 100 110 40 150 130 50 40 100 160 120 200 90 50 60 80 130 300 80 150 500 80 190 110 110 80 70 100 120 220 120 110 250 180 140 30 20 50 320 160 10 30 150 100 60 80 120 60 30 50 60 150 60 60 10 30 10 120 120 180 30 80 130 50 70 50 80 70 60 20 190 160 290 270 580 290 490 200 80 90 440 260 80 210 410 260 190 100 330 180 110 90 160 230 260 480 60 130 110 230 330 430 170 240 320 90 300 120 220 110 200 200 380 240 87.9 136.7 227.2 137.4 265.8 119.8 99.5 140.4 352.8 331.6 40.8 146.5 316.8 82.6 190.1 134.5 327.5 219.8 74.7 70.0 147.8 122.9 127.0 227.9 117.4 80.5 102.1 69.3 107.0 249.1 60.9 151.2 287.6 63.3 178.2 111.3 98.1 54.6 94.3 79.9 170.0 171.4 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 7/24 L16 2.1 7/24 L17 2.1 7/24 L18 2.1 7/24 L19 2.1 7/24 M0 0.9 7/24 M1 0.6 7/24 M2 0.9 7/24 M3 0.9 7/24 M4 1.5 7/24 M5 1.2 7/24 M6 1.5 7/24 M7 1.2 7/24 M8 0.6 7/24 M9 0.9 7/24 M10 0.6 7/24 N0 2.1 7/24 N1 2.1 7/24 N2 2.1 7/24 O0 1.2 7/24 O1 2.1 7/24 O2 1.5 7/24 P0 1.2 7/24 P1 1.2 7/24 P2 1.5 7/24 P3 2.1 7/24 P4 2.1 7/24 P5 2.1 7/24 P6 2.1 7/24 P7 2.1 7/24 P8 2.1 7/24 P9 2.1 7/24 Q0 2.1 7/24 Q1 2.1 7/24 Q2 2.1 7/24 R0 1.5 7/24 R1 1.5 7/24 R2 1.5 7/24 S0 1.2 7/24 S1 1.5 7/24 S2 2.1 8/8 A0 2.1 8/8 A1 2.1 20 20 50 0 0 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 40 10 0 0 0 40 0 10 30 0 10 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 10 10 30 0 50 10 20 20 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 88 100 170 230 160 30 90 20 30 20 60 30 40 50 30 40 40 250 140 70 70 100 220 120 130 420 120 270 80 210 120 210 180 110 70 40 70 110 80 130 260 110 140 160 170 160 150 20 30 30 10 40 20 30 60 20 50 210 40 20 90 40 170 80 160 260 40 220 40 100 80 130 160 140 10 40 30 20 30 70 70 180 160 240 280 340 210 40 140 110 120 50 60 60 120 150 30 80 90 360 100 80 120 130 410 140 210 620 170 270 110 390 170 320 280 220 60 40 90 120 250 290 200 130 280 185.8 210.5 156.0 24.9 87.0 49.5 37.7 30.9 37.8 25.3 54.6 44.8 7.9 42.7 35.5 221.9 115.1 54.6 75.9 77.8 217.1 79.4 108.6 451.7 85.6 226.1 52.4 266.8 110.6 188.6 206.2 109.7 45.1 52.0 77.5 74.9 130.5 226.4 197.5 129.9 152.4 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/8 A2 >1.8 8/8 B0 >1.8 8/8 B1 >1.8 8/8 B2 >1.8 8/8 C0 >1.8 8/8 C1 >1.8 8/8 C2 >1.8 8/8 E0 >1.8 8/8 E1 >1.8 8/8 E2 >1.8 8/8 E3 >1.8 8/8 E4 >1.8 8/8 E5 >1.8 8/8 E6 >1.8 8/8 E7 >1.8 8/8 E8 >1.8 8/8 E9 >1.8 8/8 E10 >1.8 8/8 E11 >1.8 8/8 E12 >1.8 8/8 E13 >1.8 8/8 E14 >1.8 8/8 E15 >1.8 8/8 F0 >1.8 8/8 F1 >1.8 8/8 F2 >1.8 8/8 F3 >1.8 8/8 F4 >1.8 8/8 F5 >1.8 8/8 F6 >1.8 8/8 G0 >1.8 8/8 G1 >1.8 8/8 G2 >1.8 8/8 H0 1.2 8/8 H1 1.5 8/8 H2 0.6 8/8 H3 1.2 8/8 H4 1.2 8/8 H5 1.2 8/8 H6 1.5 8/8 H7 1.2 8/8 H8 1.2 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 10 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 20 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 89 100 140 40 140 30 30 70 70 80 40 40 30 20 50 20 120 40 10 70 140 60 50 50 200 130 70 100 80 70 60 190 130 90 170 70 50 20 160 320 40 270 30 90 100 100 180 80 130 50 140 130 80 120 130 10 30 50 70 190 30 100 270 70 20 40 110 40 160 250 60 260 120 290 110 100 250 190 110 0 110 510 60 210 100 150 250 60 160 70 80 110 90 90 70 80 120 30 60 30 190 110 10 120 310 80 80 90 250 160 100 160 130 180 80 350 230 200 190 100 60 20 290 740 80 380 100 78.1 210.1 106.3 150.9 47.5 83.5 84.2 61.7 87.8 66.5 73.5 90.6 32.8 59.3 84.1 120.2 88.0 30.5 137.5 221.1 117.8 40.0 102.1 241.4 71.8 145.0 174.5 170.6 130.2 104.3 246.3 267.0 95.2 216.2 146.6 81.8 42.6 92.4 858.8 90.5 401.2 109.1 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/8 H9 0.9 8/8 H10 1.2 8/8 H11 0.6 8/8 H12 0.6 8/8 H13 1.2 8/8 H14 1.5 8/8 H15 0.9 8/8 H16 0.6 8/8 H17 1.5 8/8 H18 0.9 8/8 H19 0.9 8/8 H20 1.2 8/8 H21 0.9 8/8 H22 1.2 8/8 H23 1.2 8/8 H24 1.2 8/8 H25 0.9 8/8 H26 1.2 8/8 H27 1.2 8/8 H28 1.2 8/8 H29 0.6 8/8 H30 1.5 8/8 I0 1.8 8/8 I1 1.5 8/8 I2 1.8 8/8 J0 1.5 8/8 J1 >1.8 8/8 J2 1.5 8/8 K0 0.6 8/8 K1 0.6 8/8 K2 1.2 8/8 K3 0.9 8/8 L0 >1.8 8/8 L1 >1.8 8/8 L2 >1.8 8/8 L3 >1.8 8/8 L4 >1.8 8/8 L5 >1.8 8/8 L6 1.5 8/8 L7 1.5 8/8 L8 1.2 8/8 L9 1.5 20 0 50 0 30 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 20 60 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 30 10 20 10 10 10 60 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 90 40 130 130 90 80 130 50 110 40 60 60 110 100 110 160 100 210 110 120 100 130 100 100 170 60 220 140 90 170 150 160 80 50 120 120 170 60 120 130 80 140 60 100 210 190 190 140 110 110 80 110 140 60 110 60 170 60 50 190 60 130 50 190 130 30 150 40 150 110 140 120 90 40 90 60 210 20 80 130 80 190 10 110 90 100 260 320 210 150 360 70 290 100 110 80 160 110 170 280 190 260 180 250 160 370 140 110 260 100 370 160 150 220 330 310 150 80 190 310 250 160 170 310 130 140 100 84.3 359.3 151.3 147.6 87.6 340.4 77.2 181.8 129.1 106.1 69.9 107.2 90.6 229.7 100.6 75.5 197.1 237.0 101.7 208.7 167.5 141.1 44.7 101.5 71.0 276.2 123.3 157.3 155.0 174.7 131.5 113.8 98.6 235.0 69.5 272.2 132.8 186.3 177.1 136.0 145.2 110.0 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/8 L10 1.5 8/8 L11 >1.8 8/8 L12 >1.8 8/8 L13 >1.8 8/8 L14 >1.8 8/8 M0 0.6 8/8 M1 0.6 8/8 M2 0.6 8/8 M3 0.6 8/8 N0 >1.8 8/8 N1 >1.8 8/8 N2 >1.8 8/8 O0 >1.8 8/8 O1 >1.8 8/8 O2 >1.8 8/8 P0 >1.8 8/8 P1 >1.8 8/8 P2 >1.8 8/8 P3 >1.8 8/8 P4 >1.8 8/8 P5 >1.8 8/8 Q0 >1.8 8/8 Q1 >1.8 8/8 Q2 >1.8 8/8 R0 1.5 8/8 R1 1.5 8/8 R2 1.5 8/8 R3 1.8 8/8 S0 1.2 8/8 S1 1.2 8/8 S2 1.2 8/21 A0 >1.8 8/21 A1 >1.8 8/21 A2 >1.8 8/21 B0 >1.8 8/21 B1 >1.8 8/21 B2 >1.8 8/21 C0 >1.8 8/21 C1 >1.8 8/21 C2 >1.8 8/21 E0 1.5 8/21 E1 1.8 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 10 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 20 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 20 20 10 10 20 40 10 20 20 10 10 10 91 40 100 120 150 50 20 40 40 30 40 60 80 120 90 80 80 180 70 60 40 90 60 60 40 70 100 130 90 90 80 110 150 70 30 90 120 130 90 20 20 40 50 70 140 140 30 80 60 350 200 40 80 30 260 50 50 80 20 80 220 120 80 90 130 720 160 20 120 40 70 50 40 30 50 160 150 170 100 110 100 40 170 130 250 100 40 40 40 70 100 140 100 170 160 220 150 250 120 80 60 180 120 140 100 160 210 270 230 130 100 240 290 130 240 100 320 60 100 140 200 90 170 50.4 106.1 127.3 203.1 107.1 17.6 26.9 56.2 39.3 48.9 94.2 87.6 167.8 70.4 138.0 244.1 93.3 53.4 108.2 43.2 209.4 71.2 63.9 55.6 116.3 140.7 208.4 241.8 163.5 144.1 250.5 438.7 93.9 218.0 46.8 141.8 71.1 80.9 54.8 48.9 107.7 99.8 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/21 E2 1.5 8/21 E3 1.5 8/21 E4 >1.8 8/21 E5 1.8 8/21 E6 1.5 8/21 E7 >1.8 8/21 E8 1.5 8/21 E9 1.5 8/21 E10 >1.8 8/21 E11 1.5 8/21 E12 1.5 8/21 E13 1.5 8/21 E14 1.5 8/21 E15 >1.8 8/21 F0 >1.8 8/21 F1 >1.8 8/21 F2 >1.8 8/21 F3 >1.8 8/21 F4 >1.8 8/21 F5 >1.8 8/21 G0 >1.8 8/21 G1 1.5 8/21 G2 >1.8 8/21 H0 0.6 8/21 H1 0.6 8/21 H2 0.9 8/21 H3 0.9 8/21 H4 1.5 8/21 H5 0.6 8/21 H6 >1.8 8/21 H7 1.2 8/21 H8 1.5 8/21 H9 0.9 8/21 H10 1.2 8/21 H11 1.2 8/21 H12 1.5 8/21 H13 0.9 8/21 H14 0.9 8/21 H15 0.9 8/21 H16 1.5 8/21 H17 0.9 8/21 H18 1.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 92 40 10 140 20 40 40 60 30 40 60 10 20 80 40 60 60 50 20 90 30 110 40 70 60 20 40 80 70 40 30 40 50 10 70 50 60 120 20 30 50 0 50 200 10 20 160 70 470 90 150 60 50 70 100 320 80 30 40 70 80 70 70 300 230 120 40 160 60 130 120 20 50 90 20 20 110 100 80 220 30 40 70 200 20 400 60 80 80 150 170 160 60 120 130 90 160 260 70 80 140 190 40 200 40 410 180 160 170 80 130 190 330 60 100 100 90 10 160 220 170 390 20 70 100 10 90 196.7 18.8 87.8 111.7 101.0 182.5 79.0 66.2 85.0 58.1 41.5 72.3 196.0 56.6 81.8 43.8 131.3 45.9 58.3 52.4 186.8 187.2 97.0 11>1.8 98.3 111.8 145.4 86.4 75.9 111.1 90.4 30.4 29.9 164.1 177.8 78.1 292.8 60.1 100.1 49.6 147.0 93.5 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/21 H19 1.2 8/21 H20 1.2 8/21 H21 1.2 8/21 H22 >1.8 8/21 H23 1.8 8/21 H24 0.9 8/21 H25 0.6 8/21 H26 1.8 8/21 H27 1.5 8/21 H28 1.2 8/21 H29 1.5 8/21 H30 1.2 8/21 I0 >1.8 8/21 I1 >1.8 8/21 I2 >1.8 8/21 J0 1.2 8/21 J1 1.5 8/21 J2 1.2 8/21 K0 1.5 8/21 K1 0.9 8/21 K2 0.9 8/21 K3 0.6 8/21 L0 >1.8 8/21 L1 >1.8 8/21 L2 >1.8 8/21 L3 >1.8 8/21 L4 >1.8 8/21 L5 >1.8 8/21 L6 >1.8 8/21 L7 >1.8 8/21 L8 >1.8 8/21 L9 >1.8 8/21 L10 >1.8 8/21 L11 >1.8 8/21 L12 >1.8 8/21 L13 >1.8 8/21 L14 >1.8 8/21 M0 1.2 8/21 M1 1.2 8/21 M2 1.2 8/21 M3 1.2 8/21 N0 >1.8 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 0 20 0 0 0 30 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 20 10 93 40 70 50 50 80 140 30 10 40 30 30 40 30 280 20 80 310 60 30 50 80 50 110 30 90 150 40 100 120 40 70 80 120 30 50 80 40 30 20 50 40 20 70 220 30 100 130 270 240 260 170 190 450 110 60 70 80 100 120 60 90 100 20 20 40 80 130 60 90 120 100 120 30 60 390 30 20 50 70 90 70 250 160 160 200 70 20 100 50 100 290 140 40 70 150 260 220 110 190 300 140 270 290 60 150 140 280 50 100 120 50 30 50 130 100 40 100 150 30 100 250 51.6 108.5 380.1 33.1 81.1 353.1 29.2 64.5 57.1 35.6 39.1 414.6 171.8 35.2 78.4 275.9 91.1 300.6 128.2 120.5 167.4 144.7 87.1 132.4 58.9 89.4 124.2 100.3 42.7 61.1 88.3 38.0 23.6 86.1 105.8 42.0 24.2 95.1 113.8 96.5 93.5 94.5 Table 3.3 (cont’d) 8/21 N1 >1.8 8/21 N2 >1.8 8/21 O0 1.5 8/21 O1 1.8 8/21 O2 1.5 8/21 P0 0.6 8/21 P1 >1.8 8/21 P2 >1.8 8/21 P3 0.9 8/21 P4 >1.8 8/21 P5 1.2 8/21 R0 1.5 8/21 R1 1.5 8/21 R2 1.5 8/21 R3 1.5 8/21 S0 1.2 8/21 S1 1.2 8/21 S2 1.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 30 40 20 90 0 50 90 220 180 140 180 70 70 10 150 180 40 20 50 190 50 140 130 100 160 120 200 120 40 120 70 170 10 260 250 130 70 80 80 110 450 180 210 210 180 93.5 94.3 92.5 32.4 93.9 85.2 261.7 99.8 50.5 27.6 63.0 109.1 86.6 263.7 262.3 187.6 242.8 237.2 Table 3.3 2008 raw data for Hackert Lake. 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