70-9632 SARKAR, Shyamalendu, 1941THE COPPER COUNTRY MEDICAL INDUSTRY OF MICHIGAN AS IT SERVES RURAL PEOPLE. Michigan State University, Ph.D., 1969 Economics, agricultural University Microfilms, Inc., Ann Arbor, Michigan n o s COPPER COUNTRY MEDICAL INDUSTRY OP MICHIGAN AS IT SERVES RURAL PEOPLE By Shyam alendu S a rk a r A THESIS S ubm itted t o M ichigan S t a t e U n iv e rs ity i n p a r t i a l f u l f i l l m e n t o f th e re o u lre m e n ts f o r t h e d e g re e o f DOCTOR OP PHILOSOPHY D epartm ent o f A g r i c u l t u r a l Economics 1969 PLEASE NOTE: Not original copy. Several pages have indistinct print* Filmed as received. UNIVERSITY MICROFILMS ABSTRACT THE COPPER COUNTRY MEDICAL INDUSTRY Of’ MICHIGAN a s ’ i t serves rural people ■ ■ By Shyamalendu Sarkar 1 N The Copper C ountry, w hich com prises fo u r c o u n tie s in th e W estern Upper P e n in su la o f M ichigan (H oughton, Keweenaw, B araga anci O ntonagon), i s a m e d ic a lly In d ig e n t r e g io n . Four* m ajor problem s o f th e a re a m o stly r e s p o n s ib le f o r t h i s s i t u a t i o n a r e : (1 ) h ig h p ro p o rtio n o f aged r e s i d e n t s ; (2) h ig h m o rb id ity and m o r ta lity r a t e due t o c h ro n ic I l l n e s s ; (3) a d e c lin in g i n d u s t r i a l b a se and -low income o jjp o r tu n ltle s , and (it) a d e c lin in g young p o p u la tio n . T hese problem s i n d ic a t e t h a t th e r u r a l people o f th e Copper’ Country' need much m ed ica l c a r e b u t t h a t t h e i r a b i l i t y to o b ta in and pay f o r i t I s lim ite d . S ince th e r e s e a rc h was aimed a t e s tim a tin g th e a d d itio n a l m ed ical f a c i l i t i e s n eed ed , t h e so u rc e s o f f in a n c e and th e p la n re q u ire d ', th e i n v e s ti g a t i o n c o n c e n tra te d on four* f e a tu r e s : (1) s tu d y in g th e l e v e ls and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f medical, c a re e x p e n d itu re s In th e Copper C ountry by ty p e s o f s e r v i c e s : (2) e s tim a tin g th e p o s s ib le sa v in g s o f m ed ical d o l l a r s i n th e Copper C ountry w hich would r e s u l t from e lim in a tin g th e o p e r a tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f Shyamalendu S a rk a r th e h o s p i t a l s , "h ig h " incom es i n th e m ed ical p ro fe s s io n and "h ig h " p r o f i t s o f th e drug and m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s ; (3) s tu d y in g th e r o l e o f v o lu n ta ry h e a l th in s u ra n c e i n In c re a s in g th e c o s t o f m ed ical c a r e ; (*4) i n v e s t i g a t i n g t h e p o s s ib le so u rc e s o f f in a n c in g th e m ed ica l needs o f th e Copper C o u n try . I n 1967 th e t o t a l m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re i n th e Copper C ountry v.as m i l l i o n , which i s a b o u t seven p e rc e n t o f th e g ro s s incom e o f th e r e g io n . Of t h i s t o t a l , t h e h o s p i t a l s re c e iv e d about 37 p e r c e n t, th e p h y s ic ia n s 20 p e r c e n t , d e n t i s t s n in e p e r c e n t, d r u g g i s t s 1*4 p e r c e n t, n u rs in g homes 10 p e r c e n t , w h ile eye g l a s s e s , n e t In s u ra n c e c o s t s , e t c . accounted f o r t h e r e s t . On th e a v e ra g e , th e n e t incom e o f p h y s ic ia n s was $*42,000, w hich i s a b o u t 60 p e rc e n t more th a n t h e a v e ra g e n e t income o f d e n t i s t s . O n ly .ab o u t 17-p e rc e n t o f t h i s d i f f e r e n c e co u ld be e x p la in e d by lo n g e r and c o s t l i e r 1 t r a i n i n g i n m e d ic in e , and th e rem ainder may be a t t r i b u t e d t o th e d i f f i c u l t y o f e n tr y i n t o t h e p r o f e s s io n . T h is " u n e x p la in a b le " income d if f e r e n c e o f a p h y s ic ia n and d e n t i s t i s ab o u t $11,000. For a l l th e p h y s ic ia n s i n t h e Copper C o u n try , th e t o t a l d i f f e r e n c e i s ab o u t $300,000. The d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and r e t a i l e r s earned a h ig h r a t e o f p r o f i t . T h e ir t o t a l u n a d ju ste d (a c c o u n tin g ) and a d ju s te d " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t 's , v:ere about $*46,000 and $118,000, r e s p e c t iv e ly . The u n a d ju s te d (a c c o u n tin g ) r a t e s o f " u n e x p la in a b le p r o f l t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f t h e d ru g n a n u fa c tu re r s and drug r e t a i l e r s were computed by d e d u c tin g a v e ra g e p i 'o f i t r a t e s o f a l l m a n u fa c tu re rs and a l l r e t a i l e r s from p r o f i t r a t e s Shyam alendu S a rk a r o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and d ru g r e t a i l e r s r e s p e c t i v e l y . And t h e i r a d ju s te d r a t e s o f " u n e x p la in a b le p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " w ere computed by d e d u c tin g a "norm al" r a t e o f i n t e r e s t f o r i n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l from t h e a d ju s te d p r o f i t r a t e on e q u ity ( a d ju s te d f o r i n t a n g i b l e s , r o y a ltie s and a d v e r t is in g ) o f th e d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and d ru g re ta ile rs . The " u n e x p la in a b le " u n a d ju ste d and a d ju s te d p r o f i t s i n th e m ed ic a l equipm ent I n d u s tr y v:ere about $*1,000 and $1*1,000, r e s p e c t iv e ly . The m ethod o f co m p u tatio n i n t h i s c a se was th e same a s i n t h e d ru g in d u s t r y . E x ce p t f o r one h o s p i t a l , D_, a l l h o s p i t a l s i n t h e Copper C ountry s d id shov: some amount o f o p e ra tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c y . The t o t a l " lo s s " due t o t h i s was a b o u t $510,000 which i s about 13 p e r c e n t o f th e t o t a l c o s ts o f o p e r a tin g a l l h o s p i t a l s i n th e a r e a . The in s u ra n c e com panies p a id about o n e - th ir d o f t h e t o t a l m ed ica l e x p e n d itu r e . In s u re d p e rs o n s used more m ed ical c a r e th a n th e u n in s u re d . However, t h i s d id n o t n e c e s s a r ily mean t h a t v o lu n ta r y h e a l t h in su ra n c e has c a u s e d a n in c r e a s e i n th e p r ic e o f th e m e d ic a l c a r e . F o r a d e q u a te h e a l t h c a re th e Copper C ountry n e e d s , a t l e a s t , an a d d i t i o n a l . 1*10 lo n g -te rm b e d s , 13 p h y s ic ia n s , seven d e n t i s t s , **5 lic e n s e d p r a c t i c a l n u r s e s , *10 r e g i s t e r e d n u rs e s and n in e la b o r a to r y te c h n ic ia n s . T hese f a c i l i t i e s and p e rs o n n e l would c o s t ab o u t $2 .1 7 m il l io n p e r year*. The a lle g e d sa v in g s from e li m in a ti o n o f o p e r a tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c i e s , and th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h Incom es and p r o f i t s In th e m e d ic a l I n d u s tr y amount t o about $850,000 t o $950,000 p e r y e a r . It Shyamalendu S arkar’ would b e d i f f i c u l t t o r a i s e th e re m a in d e r w ith in th e a r e a , b ecause th e c o u n tie s a lre a d y spend ab o u t 38 p e rc e n t o f t h e i r t o t a l revenue ( I n c lu d in g s t a t e a id ) on lie a lth and m ed ical a s s i s t a n c e . The c h an ces o f any s u b s t a n t i a l s t a t e fund a r e a l s o s lim , b e cau se s t a t e a id a lre a d y , a c c o u n ts f o r a b o u t 58 p e rc e n t o f t o t a l rev en u e o f th e a re a . And t h i s i s v e ry h ig h c o n s id e rin g th e s t a t e ' s s h a r e o f o n ly 37 p e rc e n t f o r th e r e s t o f th e c o u n tie s i n M ich ig an . I t is e v id e n t t h a t to g e th e r w ith l o c a l and s t a t e p a r t i c i p a t i o n , more f e d e r a l a id th ro u g h u s u a l c h a n n e ls (m e d ic a id , m e d ic a re , o ld age a s s i s t a n c e , e t c . ) i s needed t o in c r e a s e m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper1 C o u n try . However, p r e s e n t needs f o r e x te r n a l a id and m ed ic a l f a c i l i t i e s a r e l i k e l y t o be te m p o ra ry , b e cau se th e p o p u la tio n o f th e C opper Country, i s d e c lin in g and incomes o f f a m i li e s a r e g ra d u a lly r i s i n g . , Before, any perm anent c o n s tr u c tio n i s u n d e rta k e n i t m ust be d e term in ed w h eth er p r e s e n t need s a re l i k e l y t o c o n tin u e ; f o r which a d d i t i o n a l s tu d i e s a re needed on dem ographic t r e n d and c o m p o sitio n , tr e n d o f m o rb id ity and m o r ta lity r a t e and f u t u r e Income and employ­ ment p o s s i b i l i t i e s in th e Copper C ountry. F u r th e r , f o r a more com prehensive and p r a c t i c a l p la n to p ro v id e a d e q u a te m ed ical c a re I n t h e Copper C o u n try , a d d it i o n a l r e s e a r c h needs t o b e d o n e.o n such th in g s a s optimum lo c a tio n o f m ed ical f a c i l i t i e s , in c e n tiv e p la n s t o a t t r a c t t r a i n e d manpower, a l t e r n a t i v e m ethods o f d e li v e r i n g m ed ical s e r v i c e s , ways t o t a p p o s s ib le s a v in g s I n th e system and t h e i r r e d i s t r i b u t i o n t o th o s e who need them m o st, and above a l l , s p e c i f i c m o d ific a tio n s needed i n th e s t a t e and f e d e r a l program s f o r more e f f e c t i v e fin a n c in g o f m ed ica l c a r e . ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The a u t h o r 's d e b ts a r e f a r to o numerous t o p e rm it him t o p r e s e n t a com plete l i s t . He i s p a r t i c u l a r l y in d e b te d t o th e f o llo w in g p e o p le : D r. G lenn L. Johnson f o r s e rv in g a s m ajor p r o f e s s o r and p r o v id in g c o n s tr u c tiv e c r i t i c i s m and c o n s ta n t g u id a n c e i n t h e p re p a ra tio n o f t h i s th e s is . M r. R alph Noble f o r c o o r d in a tin g and s u p e r v is in g f i e l d work d u rin g th e d a ta c o l l e c t i o n p h a se o f t h i s s tu d y , an d f o r h i s p e r c e p tiv e comments f o r im p ro v in g p r e s e n ta tio n o f t h i s t h e s i s . D r. V ernon S o ren so n , D r. R i t a Zemach, Mr. N e il B ra c h t and D r. Jo h n G i l l , who se rv e d a s members o f t h e g u id an c e c o m m ittee , f o r re a d in g a d r a f t o f th e t h e s i s and g i v in g p e r c e p tiv e comments and v a lu a b le s u g g e s tio n s i n th e f i n a l p r e s e n t a t i o n o f t h i s t h e s i s . D r. Lawrence L. B oger, Chairm an o f th e D epartm ent o f A g ri­ c u l t u r a l Econom ics, f o r f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e w hich e n ab led me t o do t h i s r e s e a r c h . Mr. N e v ille D oherty f o r h i s v a lu a b le a s s i s t a n c e i n lo c a tin g r e l e v a n t l i t e r a t u r e i n th e b e g in n in g and s e v e r a l u s e f u l d is c u s s io n s and ccm nents a t d i f f e r e n t s t a g e s o f t h e p r e p a r a t i o n o f t h i s t h e s i s . 11 iii H r. .James G ooch, D r. Hoy Guirmerson and o t h e r s o f th e Michifran S t a t e U n iv e rs ity C o o p e ra tiv e E xten sio n C enter1 a t M arquette* D r. Kenneth C. Powe, M essrs. Gordon S m ith, D ale H in ik , Kenneth M. B ra y , L arry J J a i j a l a , Jam es O 'B rie n , th e a d m i n i s t r a t o r s o f th e h o s p i t a l s and n u r s in g homes o f th e Copper C ountry and s e v e ra l o th e r's f o r t h e i r h e l p i n d a ta c o l l e c t i o n . However, th e a u th o r i s s o le ly r e s p o n s ib le f o r th e e r r o r s and o m issio n s i n t h i s t h e s i s . i table o p comtewts C h a p te r i Page i n t r o d u c t i o n .................................................................................................. 1 O b j e c t i v e s .................................................... 5 P la n o f V / o r k ......................................................................................... 7 II A DESCRIPTION OP THE COPPER COUNTRY..............................................9 P o p u l a t i o n ........................................... 9 F a m ilie s . ........................................................................................... 11 E d u c a t i o n ................................................................................................11 I n c o m e s .................................................................................................... 12 O c c u p a t i o n ............................................................................................13 M edical C are F a c i l i t i e s .............................................................. 14 F a c i l i t i e s ....................................................................................... 15 H e a lth M a n p o w e r .......................................................................... 18 111 METHODS OP ESTIMATION AND REVIEV? OP LITIilRATURi;......................20 rIh e Nature* o f D i f f i c u l t i e s i n M easuring Monopoly . . 22 The A ccounting R ate o f P r o f i t ........................................... 24 The A djusted R ate o f P r o f i t ................................................ 24 Incomes o f D o c t o r s .......................................................................... 29 Methods o f E stim a tin g D o c to r's I n c o m e s ...............................29 I h e Drug I n d u s t r y .............................................................................. 32 E s tim a tio n o f th e D iffe re n c e i n th e P r o f i t R a te s o f th e Drug I n d u s tr y and A ll M anu factu rin g I n d u s t r i e s ....................................................................................... 32 The H o s p ita l Equipment I n d u s t r y ................................................ 34 E s tim a tio n o f t h e O p e ratin g I n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f t h e H o s p i t a l s ................................................................................................36 H o s p ita l In su ra n c e ....................................................................... 42 F in a n c in g M edical C are Heeds ............................................. 44 A lte r n a tiv e Methods o f F in a n c in g .................................... 47 IV DISTRIBUTION OF THE MEDICAL DOLLAR .............................. 50 N a tio n a l A ggregates ....................................................................... 50 H ie Copper Country H ealth E x p e n d itu re s ............................ 52 C om position o f th e M edical D o lla r * ............................................54 iv TAELE OP COmENfS (continued) C hapter’ V VI V II V III Pape DOCTORS...................................................................................................... 58 I n c o m e s ................................................................................................. T a x .......................................................................................................... E s tim a tio n o f t h e "U n ex p lain ab le" D iffe re n c e i n th e Incomes o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts . . . . . . . . Tax on "U n ex p la in ab le" Income o f P h y s ic ia n s and O utflow o f M o n e y ....................................................................... 60 61 61 65 THE DRUG INDUSTRY............................................................................... 67 P r o f i t i n th e Drug I n d u s try ..................................................... E s tim a tio n o f " P r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " .................................... 68 72 TiiE HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY................................................ 76 E s tim a tio n o f th e D iffe re n c e i n t h e P r o f i t R ate o f t h e M edical Equipment In d u s tr y and A ll M an u fac tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s ........................................................................................ 77 HOSPITAL EFFICIENCY........................................................................... 82 E s tim a tio n o f th e O p e ra tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c y o f th e H o s p ita ls Based on T h e ir O p e ra tin g R a t i o s ....................... 84 IX HEALTH INSURANCE.................................................................................... 100 X FINANCING MEDICAL CARE N E E D S .......................................................... 109 Problem s i n th e Copper* C ountry . . . . . . . . . . . M edical Needs o f th e Copper C ountry ............................ A lte r n a tiv e Methods o f F in a n c in g th e M edical Needs . U ndiscussed I s s u e s ....................................................................... XI 109 Ill 117 124 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS....................................................................... 129 S u m n a ry .......................................................................................................129 C o n c lu s io n s ..............................................................................................137 LIST OF REFERENCES.................................................................................................. 139 APPENDIX A ............................................................................................. APPENDIX B ....................................................................................................................156 v 145 LIST OP TABU'S T ab le 2 .1 2 .2 Page P o p u la tio n , by Age, R esidence and County I n th e Copper C ountry I n 1967 ......................................................................... 10 T rend o f P o p u la tio n , 65 an d Over I n th e Copper C o u n try , 1940-70 .................................................................................... 10 2 .3 E d u c a tio n o f th e Heads o f th e F a m ilie s i n th e Copper C o u n t r y .......................................................................................................... 12 2 .4 F a m ilie s by Income C a te g o rie s i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 ..................................................................................................... 12 Employment by O c c u p a tio n a l C a te g o rie s i n th e Copper C ountry in 1967 13 2 .5 2 .6 Employment and A ggregate Income by County i n t h e Copper C o u n t r y ............................................................................................. 1*4 2 .7 U t i l i z a t i o n and In v e n to ry o f Acute C are H o s p ita ls i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 .............................................................. 16 U t i l i z a t i o n and In v e n to ry o f Long-term C are U n its in t h e Copper C ountry i n 3967 .............................................................. 17 The R a tio s o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts to P o p u la tio n by County i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 19 2 .8 2 .9 2 .1 0 Ilu rs in g P e rso n n e l I n th e Copper C ountry I n 1967 3 .1 4 .1 4 .2 . . . . 19 H e a lth Use and E x p e n d itu re o f In s u re d and U ninsured P e rso n s i n th e U n ited S t a t e s I n 1963 ........................................ 43 A ggregate and P e r C a p ita E x p e n d itu re s f o r H e a lth and M edical Care i n th e U n ite d S t a t e s , 1959-60 t o 1967-68 , 51 P r i v a te E x p e n d itu re f o r H e a lth S e r v ic e s by Types o f E x p e n d itu re s i n S e le c te d Y ears frcm 1961-67 i n th e U n ite d S t a te s ........................................................................................ 53 vi vii LIST OP TABLES (continued) T ab le Page 4 .3 C om position o f th e T o ta l O p e ra tin g C o sts o f H o s p ita ls , N u rsin g Homes and S e rv ic e P ro v id in g A gencies i n th e 55 Copper C ountry i n 1967 .............................................................. 4 .4 D i s t r i b u t i o n o f t h e Consumer’s M edical C are D o lla rs i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 56 A Com parison o f t h e C om position o f th e M edical Dol­ l a r s i n t h e Copper C ountry and U n ited S t a t e s i n 1967 57 Incomes o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 60 Net Income (b e fo re and a f t e r t a x ) and Income Tax o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts I n th e Copper C ountry I n 1967 62 The T o ta l "U n e x p la in ab le" H ig h er Income o f P h y si­ c ia n s Compared t o T h at o f D e n tis ts i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 ........................................................................... 64 R a te s o f R e tu rn o f 12 L eading F irm s I n S e le c te d I n d u s t r i e s i n 1966 ....................................................................... 69 R a te s o f R e tu rn o f Drug M a n u fa c tu re rs and A ll Manu­ f a c t u r in g I n d u s t r i e s , 1956-67 .................- ........................ 70 T o ta l "U n e x p la in ab le" P r o f i t s o f Drug M a n u fa c tu re rs and Drug R e t a i l e r s ....................................................................... 73 P r o f i t o f H o s p ita l Equipm ent and A ll M a n u factu rin g I n d u s t r i e s i n 1 9 6 3 - 6 7 .............................................................. 78 T o ta l "L oss" o f C onsum er's M edical D o lla rs Due t o "A d ju sted " and "U n ad ju sted " P r o f i t D iffe re n c e o f th e M edical Equipment I n d u s tr y I n t h e Copper C ountry I n 1967 ...................................................................................................... 81 I n d i c a t o r s o f O p e ra tio n a l E f f i c ie n c y , A cute C are and Long-Term F a c i l i t i e s i n M ichigan and i n t h e U n ited S t a t e s ................................................................................................. 86 I n d i c a to r s o f O p e ra tio n a l E f f i c ie n c y , A cute C are and Long-Term F a c i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 . 87 4 .5 5 .1 5 .2 5 .3 6 .1 6 .2 6 .3 7 .1 7 .2 8 .1 8 .2 viii LIST OP TABLES (continued) T ab le 8 .3 8.JJ 8 .5 Page A d ju sted p e r P a t ie n t Day C ost a t H o s p ita ls i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 .............................................................. 9° A d ju sted R ate o f Occupancy o f th e Copper C ountry H o s p ita ls i n 1967 ................................................................. 93 • Number and T o ta l M aintenance C o sts o f U noccupied Beds In H o s p ita ls i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 .................. 9 .1 9 .2 9 .3 96 H e a lth E xpenses p e r P e rso n p e r Y ear by Type o f Expense and H o s p ita l In s u ra n c e Coverages i n th e U n ited S t a t e s , July-D ecem ber 1962 103 I n - H o s p ita l S u r g ic a l P ro c e d u re p e r 100 P e rso n s p e r Year by Age, Sex and S u r g ic a l In s u ra n c e S t a t u s , Twelve Month P e rio d i n t h e U n ited S t a t e s , 1957-58 ’ 10^ E x p e n d itu re s and H o s p ita l U t i l i z a t i o n o f In s u re d and U ninsured P eo p le i n t h e U n ited S t a te s i n 1963 • • • 105 * 9 .4 Fam ily In s u ra n c e Coverage i n th e Copper C ountry and th e U n ited S t a t e s ........................................................................... 107 1 0 .1 M edical C are F a c i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper C ountry and I n t h e U nited S t a te s i n 1967 ........................................................H 2 1 0 .2 A d d itio n a l Needs o f B eds, Manpower and Funds I n th e Copper C ountry i n 1 9 6 7 .................................................................. 116 1 0 .3 The "L oss" o f Consumer’s M edical D o lla rs Due t o O p e ra tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c y and th e "U n ex p lain ab le" Incomes and P r o f i t s I n t h e Copper C ountry M edical In d u s try i n 1967 ........................................................................... 119 T o ta l Revenue, C ost and E x p e n d itu re on H e a lth , Wel­ f a r e and M edical A s s is ta n c e by C o u n tie s i n 1966 . . 121 10.*1 / CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION I n th e l o s t q u a r t e r o f a c e n tu ry m e d ic a l s c ie n c e h as d evelop ed sp e c ta c u la rly . Modem m e d ic a l c a r e I s a b e t t e r and more s c i e n t i f i c p ro d u c t th a n e v e r b e f o r e . A b e t t e r inform ed Am erican p u b l ic , w ith a h ig h e r s ta n d a rd o f l i v i n g , I s demanding and r e c e iv in g a g r e a t e r q u a n ti t y an d a h ig h e r q u a l i t y o f m e d ic a l c a r e th a n i n th e p a s t . f a c t , m e d ic a l c a r e to d a y n e c e s s i t i e s o f human l i f e . In i s c o n s id e re d t o b e one o f th e b a s ic An a v e ra g e Am erican spends a b o u t s i x p e r c e n t o f h i s d is p o s a b le in c a n e on m ed ica l c a r e . About tw o d e ca d es a g o , i t was h a l f o f t h i s , and a t t h e p a ce m e d ic a l c a r e c o s ts a r e i n c r e a s in g , e x p e n d itu r e s may d o u b le i n th e n e x t two d e c a d e s. In f a c t , t h e r i s e i n p r i c e o f m e d ic a l c a r e d u rin g t h e l a s t decade h as been more th a n f o r m ost o th e r consum er c c m n o d itie s . T hese c o n d itio n s have r a i s e d th e problem o f fin a n c in g m e d ic a l n eed s o f a g e d , d i s a b l e d , low -inccm e and unemployed p e o p le . A s i g n i f i c a n t p r o p o r tio n o f t h e s e p e o p le can n e i t h e r p u rc h a se p r e ­ p a id p r o t e c ti o n a t a d e q u a te l e v e l s , n o r pay a t t h e tim e o f i l l n e s s . P eo p le o f t h e Copper C o u n try ( i n t h e W estern Upper P e n in s u la o f M ich ig an , th e a r e a o f t h e p r e s e n t s tu d y ) a r e fa c e d w ith s i m i l a r p ro b lem s. V/ith I t s u n iq u e s o c i a l , econom ic, and m ed ic a l p ro b le m s, th e 1 2 Copper C ountry i s t y p i c a l o f m e d ic a lly in d ig e n t r e g io n s . f a c t o r s a r e r e s p o n s ib le f o r t h i s s i t u a t i o n . Four (1) The p r o p o r tio n o f aged r e s i d e n t s i s h ig h e r th a n th e s t a t e a v e ra g e . About 15 p e rc e n t o f th e p o p u la tio n i s above 64 y e a r s , w hereas f o r th e s t a t e i t i s o n ly 8 .5 p e r c e n t. (2 ) The r a t e s o f m o rb id ity and m o r ta li t y caused by c h ro n ic i l l n e s s a r e h ig h e r th a n f o r t h e r e s t o f t h e s t a t e . (3 ) The income o p p o r t u n it i e s a r e lo w e r. About 35 p e rc e n t o f a l l f a m ilie s and 71 p e rc e n t o f f a m i li e s w ith aged fa m ily heads have an a n n u a l income o f l e s s th a n $ 3 ,0 0 0 . (4) The p o p u la tio n o f t h i s a r e a i s g r a d u a lly d e c lin in g due m ain ly t o p e o p le and d e a th o f h ig h m ig ra tio n o f young p r o p o r tio n o f ag ed . A ll th e s e problem s i n d i c a t e t h a t p e o p le o f t h e Copper C ountry need much m e d ic a l c a r e b u t t h e i r a b i l i t y t o o b t a i n and pay f o r i t i s l im i te d . The p r e s e n t m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper C ountry a r e in a d e q u a te b o th i n q u a n ti t y and q u a l i t y . We b e lie v e t h a t some a l t e r n a t i v e a rra n g e m e n ts , b e s id e s v o lu n ta r y h e a l th in s u r a n c e , m ust be made t o p ro v id e needed a d d i t i o n a l m e d ic a l c a r e fa c ilitie s . They c a n be p ro v id e d i n two ways: Cl) by g e t t i n g more fu n d s from p r i v a t e , c o u n ty , s t a t e and f e d e r a l s o u r c e s , and (2 ) by re d u c in g p r e s e n t c o s t s o f m e d ic a l c a r e . F o r t h e fo rm e r, we need t o stu d y l o c a l s o u rc e s o f fu n d s and th e p r e s e n t e x p e n d itu re p a t t e r n o f co u n ty g o v e rrm e n t. The p r e s e n t s t a t e and f e d e r a l a i d t o t h e a r e a and f u t u r e p o s s i b i l i t y o f a d d i t i o n a l fu n d s m ust be exam ined a l s o . 3 Ftor t h e l a t t e r , we need t o m easure p o s s ib le o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s and n u rs in g hem es, d i f f e r e n c e s i n incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and o t h e r com parable p r o f e s s i o n a l s , and d if f e r e n c e s i n p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e d ru g and m ed ical e q u ip ­ m ent i n d u s t r i e s from t h e a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e o f a l l th e manu­ f a c t u r in g i n d u s t r i e s . We a ls o need t o know w h e th e r v o lu n ta ry h e a l t h in s u ra n c e i s a c t i n g a s a b a rg a in in g a g e n t f o r h o s p i t a l s and p h y s ic ia n s , an d c a u sin g p r i c e r i s e s by en co u rag in g in s u re d p e o p le t o o v e ru se and m isu se m e d ic a l c a r e f a c i l i t i e s . The s h a r e o f h o s p i t a l s i n t h e consum er’s m e d ic a l d o l l a r h a s b een in c i,e a s ln g c o n tin u o u s ly d u rin g th e l a s t d e c a d e . r i s e i n h o s p i t a l c o s t s may be one re a s o n f o r t h i s . The phenomenal The in d ex o f h o s p i t a l c o s ts in c r e a s e d from 100 i n 1957-59 t o 200 i n 1967, w h e re a s■g e n e r a l p r i c e l e v e l s in c r e a s e d t o o n ly 116 p o i n ts d u rin g t h e same p e r io d . The re a s o n s f o r t h i s c o u ld b e many, h u t we a r e i n t e r e s t e d i n knowing i f o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s a r e p a r t l y r e s p o n s ib le . Under t h e p r e s e n t i n s t i t u t i o n a l payment sy ste m , n o n p r o f it s t a t u s o f h o s p i t a l s may n o t p ro v id e enough in c e n tiv e f o r an e f f i c i e n t o p e r a tio n . I f t h i s i s s o , th e n th e r e i s some sc o p e f o r re d u c in g m e d ic a l c o s t s o f t h e consumer by in c r e a s in g o p e r a tio n a l e f f i c i e n c y o f h o s p i t a l s . The g e n e r a l c o n cen su s i s t h a t p h y s ic ia n s a r e i n s h o r t su p p ly , and t h e i r incom es a r e in c r e a s in g f a s t e r th a n t h e i r num ber. Many b e lie v e t h a t t h i s i s due t o r e s t r i c t i o n s on th e su p p ly o f p h y s ic ia n s acco m p lish ed by r e s t r i c t i n g a d m issio n i n m e d ic a l s c h o o ls and l ic e n s e s f o r p r o f e s s i o n a l p r a c t i c e . 1 A few r e l e v a n t q u e s tio n s a r e : 1 See Appendix A f o r s p e c i f i c c i t a t i o n s . How d o incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s compare w ith th o s e o f o t h e r com parable p r o f e s s io n a ls ? A re e a rn in g s o f p h y s ic ia n s h ig h e r th a n th o s e o f d e n t i s t s by a w id e r m argin th a n c an be e x p la in e d by f a c t o r s r e s p o n s ib le f o r d e te rm in in g d if f e r e n c e s i n incom es i n d i f f e r e n t p r o fe s s io n s ? I f t h i s i s t r u e , e lim in a tio n o f " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r income o f p h y s ic ia n s w i l l re d u c e m ed ica l e x p e n d itu re s o f consum ers. On s e v e r a l o c c a s io n s d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs have b een c r i t i c i z e d in c o n g re s s io n a l h e a r in g s . They a r e acc u sed o f r ig g in g p r i c e s , m onopolizing m a rk e ts by g e t t i n g p a te n t r i g h t s , and c r e a t i n g s e r io u s b a r r i e r s t o e n tr y by e x tr a o r d in a r y s a le s p rom otion and a d v e r t is in g o f bran ded drugs t o re a p e x o r b i t a n t l y h ig h p r o f i t s f o r many y e a r s . 2 The opponents o f t h i s view f e e l t h a t p a te n t p r i v i l e g e s t o drug com panies a r e e s s e n t i a l t o t h e i r c o n tin u in g e f f o r t s I n d ru g r e s e a r c h and developm ent o f new d r u g s . drug in d u s try i s v e ry " r i s k y " . r i s k premium. They a s s e r t t h a t in v e stm e n t i n t h e The h ig h p r o f i t r a t e s a r e a s o r t o f I t I s im p o rta n t t o stu d y th e r e a l s i t u a t i o n , p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r t h e Copper C o u n try , b e c a u se t h e r e i s no d ru g company I n t h i s re g io n ; a l l d ru g s a r e b o u g h t from o u t s i d e . So p r o f i t s o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs would be a d r a in on th e r e s o u r c e s o f th e a r e a . A com parison o f p r o f i t r a t e o f th e drug I n d u s tr y w ith t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s would show w h eth er p r o f i t r a t e o f th e d ru g I n d u s tr y I s m ore o r l e s s th a n th e average p r o f i t r a t e o f a l l o th e r m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s . I f p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e fo rm er I s c o n s i s t e n t l y h ig h e r t h a n o f t h e l a t t e r , th e n s a v in g s can b e made i n d ru g s i f t h i s p r o f i t d if f e r e n c e 2 See Appendix A f o r s p e c i f i c exam ples. 5 i s e lim in a te d . F o r s i m i l a r re a s o n s we need t o stu d y t h e m ed ica l equipm ent In d u s tr y which now a c c o u n ts f o r a s i z a b l e p ro p o r tio n o f th e consum er’s m ed ical e x p e n d itu re s . The s o a r in g burden o f m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s i s s h o u ld e re d t o a g r e a t e x te n t by h e a lth in s u r a n c e com panies—and th e y a r e assum ing g r e a t e r r o l e s e v e ry day. As m e d ic a l c o s ts have I n c re a s e d i n r e c e n t y e a r s , s o have h e a l t h In s u ra n c e prem ium s. Many f e e l t h a t v o lu n ta ry h e a l th in s u ra n c e system s h av e encouraged o v e ru se and m isu se o f m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s and su p p o rte d h ig h p r i c e s o f d o c to rs and h o s p i t a l s . T h is i s one o f t h e m ajor c a u s e s o f th e phenom enal r i s e i n m e d ic a l c o s ts . ■5 A c o n tr a r y view i s t h a t h ig h premiums a r e i n f a c t an e f f e c t o f h ig h m e d ic a l c o s t , and in s u r e d p e o p le u s e m ore m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s b e ca u se h e a l th in s u ra n c e p ro v id e s th a n th e o p p o r tu n ity t o buy needed m e d ic a l c a r e . The above I s s u e s need t o be g iv e n p ro p e r c o n s id e r a tio n b e ca u se a l a r g e p r o p o r tio n o f p e o p le i n t h e Copper C ountry can n e i t h e r a f f o r d h e a l th in s u ra n c e n o r pay a t t h e tim e o f i l l n e s s . O b je c tiv e s I n view o f t h e above problem s and i s s u e s o b j e c ti v e s o f t h i s t h e s i s a r e g e a re d t o two p rim a ry q u e s tio n s : m e d ic a l needs o f t h e Copper C ountry? (1) What a r e th e p r e s e n t (2 ) How c an th e y be fin a n c e d ? More s p e c i f i c a l l y , t h e o b je c tiv e s o f t h i s t h e s i s a r e : ■3 See C h ap ter I I I and Appendix A f o r s p e c i f i c c i t a t i o n s . 6 (1 ) To s tu d y t h e l e v e l s and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f m e d ic a l c a r e expen • d i t u r e s lri t h e Copper C ountry by ty p e s o f s e r v i c e s . (2 ) To e s tim a te t h e t o t a l p o s s ib le " s a v in g s " o f m e d ic a l d o l l a r s by e lim in a tin g p o s s ib l e o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s , u n e x p la in a b le h ig h e r in c a n e s o f p h y s ic ia n s c an p ared t o o t h e r p r o ­ f e s s i o n s , and t h e u n e x p la in a b le h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g and m ed ica l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s compared t o t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s and th e norm al r a t e o f i n t e r e s t on i n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l . (3 ) To s tu d y t h e r o l e o f v o lu n ta ry h e a l th in s u ra n c e i n i n c r e a s ­ in g th e c o s t o f m e d ic a l c a r e . (lj) To i n v e s t i g a t e p o s s ib l e s o u rc e s o f fin a n c in g th e m e d ic a l c a r e needs o f t h e Copper C o untry. T h us, t h i s t h e s i s fo c u s e s on th e m e d ic a l needs and f i n a n c i a l problem s o f a p r im a r ily r u r a l a r e a w ith a d e c lin in g p o p u la tio n , i n ­ a d eq u a te m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s , low income f a m i l i e s , a h ig h p r o p o r tio n o f o ld p e o p le , and a h ig h in c id e n c e o f c h ro n ic i l l n e s s . A nother Ph.D . t h e s i s w ith s i m i l a r o b j e c ti v e s and approach i s b e in g p re p a re d by 2i N e v ille D o h erty . He i s s tu d y in g t h e T ra v e rs e C ity a r e a o f M ic h ig a n , which i s p r im a r ily an u rb a n a r e a , w ith a n in c r e a s in g p o p u la tio n , ad e q u a te m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s (among t h e b e s t i n t h e n a t i o n ) , and f a m ilie s h a v in g r e l a t i v e l y h ig h incom e. I n o th e r w ords, t h e s i t u a t i o n s in . th e Copper C ountry and T ra v e rs e C ity a re a a r e d i a m e t r i c a ll y o p p o s ite . T hese two t h e s e s , when c o n p le te d , w i l l p ro v id e i n s i g h t i n t o s p e c i f i c problem s o f two ty p e s o f c o m n u n ltie s, and th e p o s s ib l e d i r e c t i o n o f 4 N e v ille D oherty i s p r e s e n t l y w orking w ith t h e U .S .D .A ., b u t i s e n r o lle d f o r h i s Ph.D. a t M ichigan S t a t e U n iv e r s ity . 7 e f f o r t s needed t o h a n d le problem s I n t h e s e two d i f f e r e n t s i t u a t i o n s . A c o m p a rativ e stu d y o f t h e s e two r e g io n s may y i e l d u s e f u l r e s u l t s o f w id e r a p p l i c a b i l i t y f o r th e n a tio n a s a w hole. P la n o f Work C h a p te r I p r e s e n t s t h e problem s o f t h e Copper C ountry and o u t­ l i n e s th e o b j e c ti v e s g e a re d t o th e p ro b lem s. C h a p te r IX p r e s e n ts a b r i e f d e s c r i p t i o n o f th e g e n e r a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s (p o p u la tio n , e d u c a tio n , incom es, em ploym ent, e t c . ) o f th e Copper C ountry and i t s m ed ic a l In d u s tr y ( h o s p i t a l s , n u rs in g hemes, p h y s i c ia n s , e t c . ) . C h a p te r I I I d is c u s s e s th e s o u rc e s o f d a ta and m ethods o f e s t im a t i o n , and p ro v id e s an overviev; o f t h e r e l e v a n t l i t e r a t u r e . The t o t a l m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s o f t h e Copper C ountry and th e t o t a l p o s s ib l e sa v in g s frcm e lim in a tio n o f o p e r a t io n a l I n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s , u n e x p la in e d in c o m e -d iffe re n c e betw een p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s , and u n e x p la in e d p r o f i t d i f f e r e n c e o f th e d ru g and th e equipm ent I n d u s t r i e s from a l l manu­ f a c tu r in g I n d u s t r i e s a r e exam ined I n C h a p te r IV th ro u g h IX. More s p e c i f i c a l l y C h a p te r IV p r e s e n ts and com pares th e l e v e l and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f m ed ic a l c a r e d o l l a r s i n t h e Copper C ountry and t h e U n ited S t a t e s . C h ap ter V com pares th e incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and t h a t o f d e n t i s t s t o d ete rm in e t h e t o t a l amount o f u n e x p la in e d h ig h e r Incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s . C h a p te r VI and V II e s tim a te th e d i f f e r e n c e s I n th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f drug and m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s from t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s trie s . The amount o f consum ers' m e d ic a l d o l l a r s " l o s t " due t o 8 o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s i s e s tim a te d i n C h a p te r V III. The g e n e r a l e x p e n d itu re and m ed ica l u s e p a t t e r n s f o r in s u re d and u n in su re d p e o p le a r e d is c u s s e d i n C h ap ter IX t o se e i f in s u ra n c e I s a s s o c ia te d w ith r i s i n g c o s t s and m e d ic a l c a r e . C h ap ter X p r e s e n ts e s tim a te s o f m e d ic a l need s i n th e Copper C ountry and e x p lo re s p o s s ib le ways o f o b ta in in g funds t o fin a n c e th e s e n eed s. C h a p te r XI su m n arlzes a l l t h e c h a p te r s and p r e s e n ts c o n c lu s io n s . CHAPTER I I A DESCRIPTION OF THE COPPER COUNTRY The Copper C ountry i s i n th e Viest e r n Upper P e n in s u la o f M ichigan. I t i s bounded on th e e a s t by M arq u ette and Lake S u p e r io r ; on th e w est by G ogebic C ounty; on t h e n o rth by Lake S u p e rio r , and on t h e so u th by Iro n C ounty. The Copper Country I s com prised o f f o u r c o u n tie s : Houghton, Keweenaw, B araga and Ontonagon. The fo llo w in g pages d e s c r ib e th e g e n e r a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s and h e a lth c a r e f a c i l i t i e s o f t h i s a r e a . P o p u la tio n T h ere i s a d e c lin in g tr e n d i n th e p o p u la tio n o f th e Copper C o u n try . Vlhile th e s t a t e p o p u la tio n has in c re a s e d from 2 ,8 1 0 ,1 7 3 i n 1910 t o 8,5 8 ^,0 0 0 i n 1967, th e Copper C ountry p o p u la tio n lia s d e c re a se d from 110,031 to 51>4lO d u rin g th e same p e r i o d .'1' T able 2 .1 shows t h a t th e Copper C ountry i s p r im a r ily a r u r a l a r e a . Except f o r H oughton, t h e r e i s no r e a l l y u rb a n p o p u la tio n I n t h i s r e g io n . A lthough t h e r e h a s been a g e n e ra l d e c lin in g t r e n d i n th e t o t a l p o p u la tio n o f t h i s a r e a , th e p e rc e n ta g e o f p eo p le o f age 65 and o v e r has b een in c r e a s in g c o n tin u o u s ly (se e T ab le 2 .2 ) . 2 Adapted from Gordon S m ith, p . 4 . An e s tim a te by Thaden shows t h a t the p o p u la tio n o f t h e Copper C ountry w i l l d e c re a s e t o 49,520 by 1970. John F . Thaden, e t _ a l . , The Need f o r a R e tire m e n t Home i n a T w enty-seven County Area o f M ichigan and V /lsconsin, M ichigan S t a t e U n iv e rs ity . C ite d by Gordon S m ith, p . 5. 9 10 TABLE 2 .1 —P o p u la tio n , by Age, R e sid en c e and County i n th e C opper C ountry i n 1967 County : T o ta la : Age 65 and o v e r : : Urban : : Farm R u ra l : Nonfarm # » s Houghton Keweenaw Baraga Ontonagon Copper C ountry M ichigan -------- n u m b e r---------------- ---3 2 , *106 2,081 6,577 1 0 , 3*16 51,*110 8,58*1,000 *1,981 32*1 8*11 1,186 7,332 729,6*10 « * p e rc e n t ----- 3 2 .2 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 20.2 73.*1 5 .6 5 .0 5 \ 5 -°b 5-<£ 5 .6 6 2 .2 9 5 .0 9*1.6 9*1.0 7*1.2 2 1 .0 £ The f i g u r e s for- 1967 w ere computed by s t r a i g h t l i n e p r o j e c t i o n s o f I960 f ig u r e s g iv e n by Gordon Sm ith and 1970 f i g u r e s g iv e n by Thaden. See Gordon S m ith, p p . *1-5. ^ " V o c a tio n a l T e c h n ic a l E d u c a tio n S tu d y ," G ogebic-O ntonagon, I n te r m e d ia te School D i s t r i c t S t u d i e s , mimeo. (Ju n e , 1 9 6 7 ), T ab le 1 , p . 10. G " T re n d s," S ta te D ata and S ta te R anking i n H e a lth , E d u c a tio n and W elfare, P a r t 2 ( 196O-6 7 ), TABLE 2 .2 —T rend o f P o p u la tio n , 65 and Over i n th e Copper C o u n try , 19*10-70 Year : P o p u la tio n o f Age 65 and Over P e rc e n t o f T o ta l P o p u la tio n ----------- p e rc e n t ------------------ 19*10 1950 I960 1970 5,653 7,2 5 8 . 7»38H 7,310 S ource: 7 .8 1 11.89 13.23 1*1.70 Gordon S h iith , " M u ltip le F a c to r s A s so c ia te d w ith C hronic D is e a s e s and A ging i n t h e Copper C ountry o f M ic h ig a n ," (1965)> mimeo, p . 8. 11 T h is s i t u a t i o n i s p r im a r ily due t o m ig r a tio n o f young p e o p le t o th e m e tr o p o lita n a r e a s i n p u r s u i t o f b e t t e r - j o b s an d e a r n in g s . The r i s i n g number o f o ld e r p e o p le h a s an im p o rta n t s i g n i f ic a n c e i n o u r s tu d y ; th e y need more m e d ic a l c a r e th a n younger p e o p le , b u t th e y p ro v id e l e s s ta x money and have l e s s inccme t o pay f o r m e d ic a l ex p en se s. F a m ilie s I n th e y e a r i 960 , t h e t o t a l number o f f a m ilie s was 1^,05^ th e a v e ra g e number o f p e rs o n s p e r fa m ily was ab o u t 3 .9 7 . a v e ra g e fa m ily s i z e d e c re a se d t o 2 .5 ■3 2 and I n 1965 w hich was a b o u t 1 .2 p e rs o n s p e r fa m ily l e s s th a n t h e s t a t e f i g u r e i n th e same y e a r . The m edian age o f fa m ily h e ad s i n t h i s a r e a i s a la rm in g ly h ig h —ab o u t 20 y e a r s more th a n f o r t h e a v e ra g e fa m ily head i n th e s t a t e . E d u ca tio n E d u c a tio n a l l e v e l s i n t h i s a r e a a r e low . The m edian e d u c a tio n o f th e h e ad s o f t h e f a m i li e s i s o n ly n in e and o n e -h a lf y e a r s . p eo p le i n g e n e r a l a r e l e s s e d u c a te d . The o l d e r As a t t i t u d e tow ard h e a l t h c a r e i s in f lu e n c e d by l e v e l o f e d u c a tio n , t h i s f a c t o r may have a n im p o rta n t b e a rin g i n o u r s tu d y . H ie fo llo w in g t a b l e shows t h e p e rc e n ta g e o f p eo p le w ith d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s o f e d u c a tio n . 2 U .S. D epartm ent o f Commerce, Bureau o f th e C en su s, County and C ity D ata Book ( 1967) , p p . 172-181. ^ Gordon S m ith , p . 16. U n lik e th e Bureau o f C en su s, t h e d e f i n i t i o n o f fa m ily in c lu d e s th e s i n g l e unm arried p e rs o n . So t h e s i z e o f fa m ily h e ie i s s m a lle r and number o f f a m i l i e s i s l a r g e r (20,56*1) th a n w ould have been a c c o rd in g t o cen su s d e f i n i t i o n . 12 TABLE 2 .3 —E d u ca tio n o f th e Heads o f F a m ilie s i n th e Copper Country. Y ears i n School : P e rc e n ta g e p e rc e n t 0 .4 8 .4 32.3 1 6 .0 2 7 .7 4 .8 3 .2 1 .2 no e d u c a tio n 5-6 g ra d e s 7 -8 g ra d e s 9-10 g ra d e s 11-12 g ra d e s 1-2 y e a r s c o lle g e 3-4 y e a r s c o lle g e more th a n 4 y e a rs c o lle g e S o u rc e: Gordon 3 n i t h , p . 19. Incomes The Copper C ountry i s an e co n o m ic a lly d e p re s s e d a r e a . About 35 p e rc e n t o f a l l f a m i li e s and a b o u t 7 1 .6 p e rc e n t o f f a m ilie s w ith head o f th e fa m ily 65 and o v e r r e c e iv e l e s s th a n $3,000 p e r annum. T able 2 .4 shows p e rc e n ta g e o f p e o p le i n eac h in c a n e g ro u p . TABLE 2 .4 — F a m ilie s by Income C a te g o rie s i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 Income : Houghton Keweenaw d o lla rs $ 2 ,0 0 0 -2 ,4 9 9 2 ,5 0 0 -3 ,9 9 9 4 ,0 0 0 -6 ,9 9 9 7 ,0 0 0 -9 ,9 9 9 10,000 & o v er S o u rce: B araga : Ontonagon M ichigan - p e rc e n t 3 4 .9 2 3 .8 2 7 .2 8 .1 6 .0 3 7 .7 2 9 .3 2 5 .2 5 .3 2 .5 35.7 23.1 2 6 .9 9 .1 5 .2 3 0 .6 2 0 .7 3 4 .4 8 .7 5 .6 1 7 .5 14.3 33.4 15.7 1 9 .1 Gordon S m ith , p . 26. Only m onetary incom es from a l l s o u rc e s a r e in c lu d e d . E xcluded a r e incomes i n k in d and v a lu e s o f o t h e r income p ro d u cin g p o t e n t i a l s . 13 Ad m edical c a r e i s c o s t l y , income l e v e ls In f lu e n c e e f f e c t i v e demand f o r m ed ic a l s e r v i c e s . Prom t h i s p o in t o f view , Copper C ountry p eo p le a r e i n a n u n fa v o ra b le s i t u a t i o n . P ro b ab ly a s i g n i f i c a n t p ro p o r tio n o f p e o p le a re n o t a b le t o m eet t h e i r minimum m ed ica l n eed s. T h is pointy i s e la b o r a te d more f u l l y i n C h a p te r X. O ccupation Pour m a jo r em ployers i n th e Copper C ountry a re : g o v ern m en t, lum ber and wood p r o d u c ts , m ining and w h o le sa le and r e t a i l t r a d e s . These a r e fo llo w ed by fo o d , t e x t i l e , fa rm in g , c o n s tr u c tio n , c a im u n ic a tio n and t r a n s p o r t a ti o n . S e rv ic e s In c lu d in g h e a lth c a r e , a c c o u n t f o r o n ly s i x p e rc e n t o f employment. H ie fo llo w in g t a b l e shows t h i s . TABLE 2 .5 —Employment by O c c u p a tio n a l C a te g o rie s i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 P la c e s o f Unployment P e rc e n ta g e of to ta l p e rc e n t W holesale and R e t a i l T rade Goverrment M ining Lumber and Wood P ro d u c ts Food, T e x t il e a n d Farming C o n s tru c tio n , Communication and T r a n s p o r ta tio n S e rv ic e s in c lu d in g H e a lth S e rv ic e s M etal P ro d u cts F in a n c e , Real E s t a t e and In su ra n c e P ap er and P aper P ro d u c ts O th er T o ta l 17 15 14 14 12 11 6 3 1 1 6 100 S o u rce: A dapted frcm Gordon S m ith , p . 39* 14 Out o f t h e f o u r c o u n tie s I n t h e Copper C o u n try , Houghton g e n e r a te s th e m ost Incom e, fo llo w e d by B arag a, O ntonagon and Keweenaw I n t h a t o r d e r . The fo llo w in g t a b l e p r e s e n t s th e employment p o t e n t i a l and Income o f each c o u n ty . TABLE 2.6—Employment and A g g reg ate Income by County i n t h e Copper C ountry County : Number B nployeda A ggregate Inccmeb number ( m illio n d o l l a r s ) Houghton Keweenaw B araga Ontonagon 10,241 615 1 ,8 6 2 3,145 86 4 27 24 T b ta l 15,863 l4 l a F ig u r e s a r e f o r t h e y e a r i 9 60. F ig u re s a r e f o r t h e y e a r 1967 and w ere o b ta in e d by p r o j e c ti n g f i g u r e s o f 1958 and 1963. The t r e n d betw een 1958-63 and 1963-67 was assumed t o be th e same. S o u rce: u . S . D epartm ent o f Commerce, B ureau o f C ensus, County and C ity D ata Book (1967) p p . 172-181. M edical C are F a c i l i t i e s 15 H e alth c a r e f a c i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper C ountry a r e in a d e q u a te b o th i n te rm s o f q u a n ti t y and q u a l i t y . The s i t u a t i o n i s a g g ra v a te d due t o la c k o f a d e q u a te t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and com m unication f a c i l i t i e s . 5 F o r m ore d e t a i l e d d e s c r i p t i o n o f m e d ic a l c a r e f a c i l i t i e s , se e Gordon S m ith , p p . 52-102 an d Leo R e ic h , p p . 1 2 -4 6 . 15 F a c ilitie s The Copper C ountry h a s f i v e a c u te - c a r e h o s p i t a l s , f i v e lo n g -te rm c a re u n i ts and t h r e e s e r v ic e - p r o v id in g u n i t s . a. A c u te -c a re H o s p ita ls 1) 2) 3) JJ) 5) b. They a r e : Calum et P u b lic H o s p ita l i n Laurlum S t . - J o s e p h 's H o s p ita l, Hancock B arag a County M em orial H o s p it a l, L 'A nse Ontonagon M emorial H o s p ita l, Ontonagon La C ro ix H o s p ita l, W hite P in e L ong-term C are U n its 1) M aresh N u rsin g Heme, Ontonagon 2 ) W in k le r’s N u rsin g Home, B araga 3 ) Houghton County M edical C are F a c i l i t y , Houghton Lady o f Mercy N u rsin g Home, Houghton 5) L ong-term C are U n it o f S t . J o s e p h 's H o s p it a l, Hancock c. S e r v ic e -P ro v id in g U n its 1) W estern Upper P e n in s u la D i s t r i c t H e a lth D epartm ent 2) W estern Upper P e n in s u la H e a lth S e r v ic e C o u n c il, I n c . 3) R ice M em orial C lin ic B esid es t h e s e , M ichigan T e c h n o lo g ic a l U n iv e rs ity h as one F i r s t A id U n it; how ever, i t s s e r v i c e s a r e l im i te d t o th e U n iv e rs ity o n ly . A b rie f d e s c r ip tio n o f u t i l i z a t i o n and in v e n to ry o f th e s e f a c i l i t i e s i s p r e s e n te d i n T able 2 .7 and T ab le 2 .8 . The s e r v ic e - p r o v id in g a g e n c ie s f u r n i s h v a rio u s k in d s o f s e r v ic e s r e l a te d t o h e a l t h . The W estern Upper P e n in s u la D i s t r i c t H e a lth D epartm ent p ro v id e s many s e r v i c e s such a s : s a n i t a r y i n s p e c t io n o f t r a i l e r p a r k s , k itc h e n , food h a n d le r s , n u rs in g homes, m ilk p r o c e s s in g p l a n t s , d r in k in g w a te r, e t c . The W estern Upper P e n in s u la H e a lth S e rv ic e C o u n c il, I n c . p r e s e n t l y h as th r e e m ain p r o j e c t s : h e a r t , c a n c e r and s t r o k e ; a lc o h o lis m ; and TABLE 2 .7 —U ti li z a t io n and In ventory o f Acute Care H o sp ita ls i n th e Copper Country i n 1967 p Item s * Beds, number No. o f p a tie n t days new b o m days No. o f adm issions R ate o f occupancy (p e rc e n t) Average le n g th o f s ta y (days) new b o m (days) No. o f p a tie n ts d isch arg ed ; o f th e county n o t o f th e county, b u t from Copper Country o u ts id e Copper Country T o ta l n o . o f p e rso n n e l No. o f p e rso n n el p e r bed No. o f p h y sic ia n s on s t a f f No. o f r e g is te r e d n u rse s on s t a f f No. o f lic e n s e d p r a c t i c a l n u rse s No. o f m ajor s u r g ic a l procedures No. o f m inor s u r g ic a l p roced ures O ther s e rv ic e s As ** •■ B S H o sp ita ls : C • s : • D s 80 25,138 1,166 223 86.0 13-7 5 .3 !55^ 51,102° 1,650 330 87.9 11.4 5.0 70 20,930 683 170 82.0 9 .0 4 .0 37 16,041 336 67 95.8 8 .8 5 .0 1,5*10 (83.18) 280 (1 5 .1 ) 31 (1 .7 ) 125 1.56 6 17 12 217 436 2 2,867 (92.6) 145 (4 .6 ) 88 (3 .0 ) 225f 1 .4 r 13 28 10 854 426 4 1,638 (7 5 .4 ) 501 (2 3 .1 ) 33 1,563 (96.1) 13 ( .8 ) 50 (3 .1 ) 65 1.75 3 10 6 162 659 1 1 .7 6 4g 13 6 357 806 2 # m E s 20 2,067 — 36 28.3 4.0 - 20 (100.0) 0 (0 .0 ) 0 (0 .0 ) 23 1.15 2 6 4 h n .a . n .a . 1 in c lu d e s 45 long-term beds ~ in c lu d e s 1 p a rt-tim e worker jj in c lu d e s 15,813 long-term p a tie n t days does n o t in clu d e th e n u rsin g stu d e n ts d f ig u r e s under p a re n th e se s a r e p ercen tag es o f t o t a l ? does n o t in c lu d e 12 c o n s u lta n ts in c lu d e s 45 peart-tim e w orkers n .a . = n o t a v a ila b le Source: H o sp ita l A udit R eports o f r e s p e c tiv e h o s p i t a l s , supplemented by Leo R e ic h 's stu d y . Note: The names o f th e h o s p ita ls have been re p la c e d by code names (A , B , C , D , E ) t o av o id i d e n t i f i c a t i o n . s 17 TABLE 2 .8 — U t i l i z a t i o n and I n v e n to r y o f L o n g -term C are U n its i n th e Copper Country i n 1967- Ite m s * 'I• No. o f beds No. o f p a t i e n t days Occupancy r a t e , p e rc e n t No. o f p a t i e n t s d is c h a rg e d o f t h e cou n ty not o f t h e co u n ty b u t from Copper C ountry L ong-term C are *L :• :• \ • bL 26 124 42 26 9 ,4 0 0 4 3 ,0 3 0 1 5 ,2 1 5 9,491 9 9 .0 9 5 .0 9 9 .0 99.0 20. (77.o r 99 ( 8 0 .0 ) 34 ( 8 0 .0 ) 20 (8 0 .0 ) 6 ( 2 3 .0 ) 21 ( 1 7 .0 ) 7 (1 7 .0 ) 5 (1 7 .0 ) 4 ( 3 .0 ) 1 ( 3 .0 ) 1 (3 .0 ) o u ts id e Copper C ountry No. o f s t a f f - t o t a l 14 82 39 16 No. o f s t a f f p e r bed .54 .66 .92 .62 No. o f R.N. on s t a f f 2 10 2 - No. o f L .P .N . on s t a f f 1 3 2 1 a L ong-term c a r e u n i t a c u te c a r e u n i t . o f S t . J o s e p h 's h o s p i t a l I s in c lu d e d i n th e F ig u re s i n t h e p a re n th e s e s a r e p e rc e n ta g e s o f t o t a l . S o u rce: C o lle c te d from N u rsin g Homes. 18 a g in g . The C o u n c il a t Houghton c o v ers t h e w hole o f th e Copper C ountry a r e a and Gogebic C ounty. The R ice M em orial C lin ic p ro v id e s d ia g n o s tic tre a tm e n t and con­ s u l t a t i o n s e r v i c e f o r p s y c h i a t r i c problem s o f c h il d r e n , and c o o p e ra te s w ith o th e r s t a t e an d l o c a l a g e n c ie s . The m e n ta lly i l l p a t i e n t s a re u s u a lly r e f e r r e d t o Newberry S t a t e H o s p ita l f o r tr e a tm e n t b e ca u se t h e r e i s no i n - p a t i e n t s e r v ic e a v a i la b l e i n t h e Copper C o u n try . H e a lth Manpower The r a t i o s o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s t o p o p u la tio n a r e much lo w er i n t h e Copper C ountry th a n f o r th e s t a t e and t h e n a tio n . The r a t i o o f p h y s ic ia n s t o p o p u la tio n i n t h e Copper C ountry i s ab o u t 1 :1 7 7 3 , w hereas f o r t h e s t a t e and t h e n a tio n , i t i s 1:814 and 1 :7 8 0 , r e s p e c t i v e l y . d e n t i s t s a r e a l s o i n s h o r t s u p p ly . The F o r each 10,000 p e rs o n s t h e r e a r e only 3*6 d e n t i s t s i n H oughton, 2 .8 i n B araga an d 1 .9 i n O ntonagon. n a ti o n a l f i g u r e i s 5*^ d e n t i s t s p e r 10,000 p e rs o n s . The T ab le 2 ,9 shows th e s e r a t i o s . I t I s r e l a t i v e l y more d i f f i c u l t t o g iv e e x a c t f i g u r e s f o r n u rs in g p e rs o n n e l by number and ty p e , b e c a u se th e y change c o n ti n u a l l y . Many o f th e n u rs e s p r e s e n t l y employed a r e w ives o f u n i v e r s it y s tu d e n ts o r a irm e n s t a t i o n e d a t th e r a d a r b a se i n Keweenaw C o u n ty .' Due t o la c k o f com petent g ra d u a te n u rs e s l e s s q u a l i f i e d p e rs o n s som etim es a re employed t o do th e work o f g ra d u a te n u r s e s . number o f n u rs in g s t a f f i n 1967. 7 Gordon S m ith , p . 50. T able 2 .1 0 shows 19 TABIii 2 .9 —H ie R a tio s o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts t o P o p u la tio n by County i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 * • County P h y s ic ia n s 11 MD an d DO P h y s ic ia n s : D e n tis ts R a tio t o : P o p u la tio n : D e n tis ts R a tio t o P o p u la tio n • • number number ra tio 21* 1/1642 12 1/2874 B araga 4 1/1644 2 1/3289 Ontonagon 4 1/2587 2*5 1/4138 29 1/1773 16*5 1 /3 H 6 ■■ Houghton an d Keweenaw Copper C ountry ra tio . # Two p h y s ic ia n s a r e employed by th e governm ent, one i s s p e c i a li z e d i n t u b e r c u lo s is and t h e o t h e r i s a p s y c h i a t r i s t . S o u rce: '1 ‘ Leo R e ic h , p p . 3 6 -3 8 , supplem ented by p e rs o n a l in v e s tig a tio n . TABLE 2 ,io —N u rsin g P e rs o n n e l i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 County : P ra c tic in g : R e g is te re d ; N urses P ra c tic in g : L icen sed : P r a c t i c a l N urses : P r iv a te N urses Houghton and Keweenaw B araga Ontonagon 124 23 27 22 7 9 10 1 1 T o ta l 174 38 12 S o u rce: Leo R e ic h , T ab le s 51-53. N ote: l h e above f i g u r e s do n o t in c lu d e n u rs in g s tu d e n ts o r v o lu n ta ry n u rs e s . CHAPTER i n METHODS OP ESTIMATION AND REVIEW OP LITERATURE The p r e s e h t s tu d y i s f o r t h e y e a r 1967 and i s lim ite d t o th e Copper C ountry a r e a o f Upper M ich ig an , which i s com prised o f f o u r c o u n tie s : H oughton, Keweenaw, Baraga and O ntonagon. The d a ta f o r a l l h o s p i t a l s , n u r s in g hemes and r e l a t e d f a c i l i t i e s have b een g a th e re d from h o s p i t a l an d n u rs in g heme a d m i n i s t r a t o r s , p h y s ic ia n s and o t h e r know ledgeable p e rs o n s . A d d itio n a l se co n d ary d a ta o n t h e f a c i l i t i e s were o b ta in e d frcm t h r e e s t u d i e s by Gordon 1 2 3 sm ith , Leo R eich , and W illiam s an d Works . D ata on demand and su p p ly o f d o c t o r s , p r o f i t s on d ru g s and m e d ic a l eq u ip m en t, h e a l th in s u r a n c e , and on many o t h e r r e l a t e d t o p i c s have b een o b ta in e d frcm v a rio u s seco n d ary s o u rc e s . ^ S m ith , G ordon, " M u ltip le F a c to r s A s so c ia te d w ith C hronic D ise a se an d Aging i n t h e Copper C ountry o f M ic h ig a n ," (mimeo, 196 5 ). -2 R e ic h , Leo, " In v e n to ry o f H e a lth S e rv ic e s and F a c i l i t i e s i n M ic h ig a n 's W estern Upper P e n in s u la ," e d . John S . H ib lo c k , Copper C ountry H e a lth and W elfare C o u n c il, I n c . , Hancock, M ichigan, (mimeo, Septem ber 1967)* W illiam s and W orks, "The Economy o f Houghton C ounty, M ic h ig a n , E n g in e ers - S u rv ey o rs - P lan n ers"(m im eo , March 1 9 6 7 ). 20 21 V/e have u se d seco n d a ry d a ta and I n some c a s e s secondary te c h ­ n iq u e s i n e s tim a tin g t h e m agnitude o f p o s s ib l e sa v in g s due t o e lim in a tio n o f t h e " h ig h e r" incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s o v e r t h a t o f d e n t i s t s ( a com parable p r o f e s s i o n ) , and th e " h ig h e r" p r o f i t r a t e s o f t h e d ru g and th e m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s o v e r t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s . The se co n d a ry d a ta have b een u p d a te d and m o d ifie d t o s u i t th e n e ed . However, many l i m i t a t i o n s i n d a ta and e s tim a tio n te c h n iq u e s s t i l l rem a in . Due t o th e s e l i m i t a ­ t i o n s , we do n o t c laim t o have made p r e c i s e e s tim a te s o f " lo s s " o f co n sum ers’ m e d ic a l d o l l a r s . I n many c a s e s a l t e r n a t i v e e s tim a te s (lo w er and u p p e r bounds) have b een p r e s e n te d . T hese e s tim a te s a r e , how ever, a d e q u a te f o r th e p u rp o se o f t h i s t h e s i s . I t i s d i f f i c u l t t o m easure t h e monopoly power o f any i n d u s t r y , • * and we have made no a tte m p t t o m easure th e d e g re e o f i t i n t h e m ed ica l p r o f e s s i o n , o r i n t h e d ru g o r equipm ent I n d u s t r i e s . The e s tim a te s o f t h e " u n e x p la in a b le " ^ h ig h e r incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g and m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s may i n d i c a t e t h e p o s s ib l e p re s e n c e o f monopoly e le m e n ts, ij The word " u n e x p la in a b le " u se d i n t h e c a se o f t h e incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and th e p r o f i t s o f t h e d ru g and equipm ent in d u s tr y i s synonymous w ith " ln c o m e -d iffe re n c e " and " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e ." I n o th e r w ords, t h e d i f f e r e n c e betw een t h e incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s t h a t cannot be e x p la in e d by n o n -p e c u n la ry a d v a n ta g e s , v a r i ­ a b i l i t y o f Income and lo n g e r an d c o s t l i e r t r a i n i n g I n m ed icin e was term ed a s " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r income o f p h y s ic ia n s . S im ila r ly , th e d i f f e r e n c e I n th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f t h e d ru g in d u s tr y and a l l manu­ f a c t u r in g in d u s tr y was term ed a s " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r o r o f i t s o f th e d ru g I n d u s t r y . The words " u n e x p la in a b le Incom es" and " u n e x p la in a b le p r o f i t s " have b een In te rc h a n g e a b ly u se d w ith t h e words " in c c m e -d iffe re n c e " and " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " and have t h e same m eaning th ro u g h o u t th e t h e s i s . 22 b u t a v a li d e s tim a te o f t h e d e g re e o f monopoly i n them would r e q u i r e more th o ro u g h a n a l y s i s . The fo llo w in g s e c t i o n p r e s e n ts san e o f th e m ajo r d i f f i c u l t i e s i n m ea su rin g m onopoly. The N a tu re o f D i f f i c u l t i e s i n M easuring Monopoly 5 I t i s v e ry d i f f i c u l t , i f n o t Im p o s s ib le , t o m easure p r e c i s e l y t h e d e g re e o f monopoly power o f a n in d u s tr y . To be a b le t o m easure monopoly power we m ust know a l l th e c a u s a l f a c t o r s , and e f f e c t s o f m onopoly. F u r t h e r , th e s e c a u se s and e f f e c t s m ust be n u m e ric a lly d e s c r i b a b le . Machulp n i c e ly sum m arizes th e b a s i c d i f f i c u l t i e s i n m easu rin g m onopoly. Any m easurem ent o f monopoly depends t h u s , f i r s t o f a l l , on w h eth er we a r e s a t i s f i e d t h a t o u r t h e o r i e s a r e v a l i d ; se co n d , on w h eth er th e y a re c o m p le te ; t h i r d , on w h eth er th e phenomena s e l e c te d a s th e r e l e v a n t ones can b e d i s ­ c ern ed i n r e a l i t y ; f o u r t h , on w h e th er th e y le n d them­ s e lv e s t o n u m erica l d e s c r i p t i o n ; and f i f t h , w h e th er such n u m erica l d e s c r i p t io n s o f a l l r e l e v a n t phenomena a r e a c tu a lly a v a ila b le . (Assuming t h a t th e s e c o n d itio n s a r e f u l f i l l e d ) T here would s t i l l rem ain two d i f f i c u l t i e s t h a t c an n o t be overcom e: i n th e f i r s t p la c e , we can n e v e r know w h eth er a l l t h e monopoly power was u se d o r w h eth er much more power s t i l l e x i s t s th a n was u se d ; s e c o n d ly , t h e phenomena s e l e c te d a s a f f e c t e d o r c o n d itio n e d by monopoly may p o s s ib ly be a ls o a f f e c t e d o r c o n d itio n e d by o t h e r f a c t o r s and i t may n o t be f e a s i b l e t o s e p a r a te t h e e f f e c t s o f th e e x e r c i s e o f monopoly power from t h e e f f e c t s o f o th e r f o r c e s .6 5 I n th e d is c u s s io n o f t h i s s e c t l o n j l hav e h e a v ily borrow ed from M achulp' s a n a l y s i s o f th e d i f f i c u l t i e s i n m easu rin g m onopoly. F r i t z M achulp, The P o l i t i c a l Economy o f Monopoly (B altim o re: John Hopkins P r e s s , 1952) p p . 469-528. ® F r i t z M achulp, The P o l i t i c a l Economy o f M onopoly. (B a ltim o re : Jo h n Hopkins P r e s s , 1 9 5 2 ), p p . 47 2 -7 3 . 23 . T h ree m ajo r f a c t o r s t h a t may cause monopoly a r e : c o ll u s i o n , c o n c e n tr a tio n and b a r r i e r t o e n t r y . The b a r r i e r t o e n tr y and c o llu s io n can ta k e d i f f e r e n t fo rm s, and th ough t h e i r e f f e c t s can b e p e rc e iv e d , t h e i r e x p re s s io n i n n u m e ric a l term s i s v e ry d i f f i c u l t , t h i s r e s p e c t i s much e a s i e r . lh e stu d y o f c o n c e n tr a tio n i n I t can be n u m e ric a lly e x p re s s e d , b u t th e problem s h e re a r e o f a d i f f e r e n t n a tu r e . The m ag n itu d e o f c o n c e n tr a tio n r a t i o depends upon th e m ethods o f c o m p u tatio n and g e o g ra p h ic d i f f e r e n t i a t i o n ( c o n c e n tr a tio n i n t h e l o c a l m a rk e ts may be d i f f e r e n t from t h a t i n t h e n a ti o n a l m a rk e t) . F u r t h e r , th e h ig h c o n c e n tr a tio n f i g u r e s may n o t h a v e much m eaning i f t h e r e i s com­ p e t i t i o n from f o r e i g n m a rk e ts , o r i f c lo s e s u b s t i t u t e s a r e a v a l l a b le . . 1.1 Two o f th e m a jo r e f f e c t s o f monopoly a r e : and h ig h r a t e o f p r o f i t . p ric e i n f l e x i b i l i t y The p r i c e s m ust be c o n t r o l l e d t o keep them from f l u c t u a t i n g , and an in d u s tr y h a v in g c o n tr o l on p r i c e s m ust have some monopoly pow er. P r o f i t r a t e i s by f a r t h e b e s t and m ost u se d c r i t e r i o n f o r m easu rin g th e d e g re e o f m onopoly, b u t t h e r e a r e some b a s i c d i f f i c u l t i e s i n e s tim a tin g p r o f i t r a t e s . The m agnitude o f p r o f i t r a t e depends upon how i t i s m easured — th e s h o r t - r u n p r o f i t s may be d i f f e r e n t frcm lo n g -ru n p r o f i t s ; p r o f i t s computed on th e book v a lu e o f a s s e t s may be d i f f e r e n t from th o s e c a l c u l a t e d on th e econom ic v a lu e o f n e c e ssa ry a s s e ts . I f t h e book v a lu e o f t h e a s s e t s I s m ore th a n t h e rep lacem en t c o s t s o f th e s e a s s e t s , and i f t h e r e a re i d l e a s s e t s an d unused c a p a c ity , 2H t h e computed p r o f i t r a t e may seem t o b e v e ry low . S i m i la r ly , i f p r o f i t r a t e s a r e computed o n ly on t h e n e c e ssa ry e a rn in g a s s e t s , t h e f i g u r e s may be v e ry h ig h . Many o th e r s i m i l a r f a c t o r s may d i s t o r t th e p r o f it p ic tu re . ** The A ccounting R a te o f P r o f i t The a c c o u n tin g r a t e o f p r o f i t i s a p o o r i n d i c a t o r o f t h e d e g re e o f m onopoly. I n th e s h o r t ru n , a s demand i n c r e a s e s , p r o f i t s go u p , and may re m a in h ig h u n t i l more p r o d u c tiv e r e s o u r c e s flow i n , and su p p ly a d j u s t s t o demand. So h ig h p r o f i t r a t e may b e J u s t s c a r c i t y r e n t r a t h e r th a n monopoly p r o f i t . Even a c o m p e titiv e in d u s tr y may h av e h ig h p r o f i t r a t e s u n d e r r a p i d l y in c r e a s in g demand, e s p e c i a l l y i f th e v a lu e s o f th e a s s e t s a r e n o t a d ju s te d upward a c c o rd in g ly . As t h e a s s e t s a r e o n ly re v a lu e d a f t e r a c o n s id e r a b le la p s e o f tim e , p r o f i t r a t e s may seem h ig h e r th a n th e y a c t u a l l y a r e . S i m i la r ly , a m o n o p o lis tic in d u s tr y may show o n ly a slJm p r o f i t r a t e , Such an in d u s tr y may have e x c e s s iv e o u tla y s t o m a in ta in monopoly p o s i t i o n , o r th e a s s e t s may have been v a lu e d so h ig h t h a t th e t o t a l d e p le tio n and d e p r e c ia tio n ite m s m ight have b e e n e x a g g e ra te d . The A d ju ste d R a te o f P r o f i t The above d is c u s s io n s show t h a t t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e can n o t be a r e l i a b l e i n d i c a t o r o f th e d e g re e o f monopoly. Seme a d ju s tm e n ts have to b e made f o r th e ite m s t h a t a f f e c t i t s m ag n itu d e. B ain s u g g e s ts 25 t h a t a " t h e o r e t i c a l p r o f i t r a t e " th e n can be compared w ith com­ p e ti t iv e p r o f it r a te ( i n te r e s t r a t e f o r in d u s tr ia l c a p ita l) to 7 d e te rm in e th e a c t u a l r a t e o f e x c e s s p r o f i t . ' To a d ju s t th e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e one . . . . w ould have t o exam ine re v e n u e s , o p e ra tin g e x p e n se s, f ix e d c h a r g e s , d e p r e c i a t i o n , t h e ty p e and amount o f a s s e t s r e a l l y n e c e s s a ry f o r t h e p ro d u c tio n o f th e a c t u a l o u tp u t volum e, and th e v a lu a ti o n o f th e s e r e q u ir e d a s s e t s a t a • r e p l a c e m e n t - c o s t - o f - s e r v ic e - v a l u e '. The e x am in a tio n w ould be a f r i g h t f u l l y la b o r io u s t a s k and th e a d ju s tm e n t, even i f w e ll- d e f in e d p r i n c i p l e s w ere a g re e d upon, would le a v e a n e m b a rra s s in g ly w ide leew ay t o t h e Judgment and t h e Im a g in a tio n o f t h e i n v e s t i g a t o r . A lthough th e a d ju s te d r a t e o f p r o f i t , a d m itte d ly , p ro v id e s a much more r e l i a b l e p i c t u r e o f p r o f i t , i t i s n o t w ith o u t some l i m i t a ­ tio n s . I t does n o t i n d i c a t e w h e th er t h e p r o f i t s a r e h ig h due t o monopoly o r monopsony p o s i t i o n o f t h e f ir m s . F u rth e r, th e p r o f i t r a te s o f" a n i n d u s t r y , w ith e x c e s s iv e a s s e t s , may be low b u t i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o sa y w hether e x c e s s iv e a s s e t s a r e th e r e s u l t s o f f r e e e n tr y i n t o in d u s tr y (w ith p ro d u c t d i f f e r e n t i a t i o n ) , o r a d e v ic e t o b lo c k e n t r y . When e n tr y i n t o an in d u s tr y i s e a sy more new firm s may e n t e r . A p a r t o f t h e i r a s s e t s may rem ain i d l e i n t h e b e g in n in g , and a ls o a p a r t o f t h e a s s e t s o f th e o l d e r firm s may be re n d e re d i d l e due t o encroachm ents o f th e new firm s on t h e i r (o ld firm s ) b u s in e s s . On th e o t h e r hand, th e o ld e r f ir m s may in c r e a s e t h e i r a s s e t s t o c r e a te b a r r i e r s t o e n tr y . H ie a d ju s te d r a t e o f p r o f i t can n o t b e used t o d i f f e r e n t i a t e betw een th e two s i t u a t i o n s . 7 J o e S . B a in , "The P r o f i t R a te a s a M easure o f Monopoly Pow er," Q u a rte rly J o u r n a l o f E conom ics. V o l. LV, (1 9 ^ 1 ), 290. a M achulp, p p . 4 9 5 -^96. 26 L e r a e r 's In d ex p ro v id e s a n o th e r good m easure o f th e d e g re e o f m onopoly. Abba L e m e r s u g g e s ts t h a t t h e r e l a t i v e gap between p r ic e (P) and m a rg in a l c o s t (MC) g iv e s a m easure o f t h e d e g re e o f m onopoly. H is in d ex was a r a t i o o f p r i c e t o th e d i f f e r e n c e P ** MC betw een p r i c e and m a rg in a l c o s t , i . e . , — ^----- . I n p e r f e c t com­ p e titio n (P *= MC), t h i s in d e x i s e q u a l t o z e ro b e c a u se th e nu m erato r (P - MC) becomes z e r o , and i f p r i c e i s i n f i n i t y t h e in d ex becomes e q u a l t o o n e. The v a lu e s betw een z e ro and one q i n d i c a t e th e d i f f e r e n t d e g re e s o f m onopoly. I t i s d i f f i c u l t t o u se t h i s m ethod b e cau se t h e co m p u tatio n o f t h e m a rg in a l c o s t o f an in d u s tr y i s n o t alw ays e a s y . T h is i s f u r t h e r c o m p lic a te d by t h e d i f f e r e n c e i n th e s h o r t - r u n and lo n g -r u n m a rg in a l c o s ts . Enough d a ta a re n o t a v a i la b l e on th e s e t o make any m ea n in g fu l Arn-. e s tim a te o f t h e d e g re e o f m onopoly. The above d is c u s s io n s I n d i c a te t h a t any p r e c i s e m easurement o f t h e d eg ree o f monopoly i s a v e ry d i f f i c u l t t a s k . However, an ap p ro x im ate e s tim a te c an be m ade, b u t i t m ust be l n t e r p r e t a t e d i n th e l i g h t o f t h e l i m i t a t i o n s o f such m easurem ents. Kamerschen u se d a d ju s te d p r o f i t r a t e s i n e s tim a tin g "w e lfa re lo s s e s " from monopoly i n th e Am erican economy. H is e s tim a te s were b ased on I n t e r n a l R e v en u e 's S t a t i s t i c s o f Income d a ta f o r c o r p o r a tio n s , p a r t n e r s h i p s , and s o le p r o p r i e t o r s h i p s f o r th e e n t i r e economy. schen a d ju s te d t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t f i g u r e s f o r r o y a l t i e s , q Kamer­ in ta n g ib le P. L e m e r, "The Concept o f Monopoly and th e M easurement o f Monopoly Pow er," Review o f Economic S t u d i e s « V o l. 1 (193*0 pp. 1 5 7 -7 5 . 27 a s s e t s , and a d v e r t i s i n g e x p e n d itu r e s . F u r th e r , he computed r a t e s o f r e t u r n on t o t a l c a p i t a l and e q u ity u s in g incom es b o th b e fo r e and a f t e r t a x , t h e n combined t h e above r e s u l t s t o o b t a i n a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e s f o r a l l b u s in e s s e s ta b lis h m e n ts ." 1'0 Kamerschen a ls o u se d L e m e r 's In d ex t o m easure d e g re e o f «s monopoly. As m a rg in a l c o s t (MC) I s d i f f i c u l t t o m e a su re , he assumed c o n s ta n t c o s t i n d u s tr y (AC « MC). I n su ch c a s e s , t h e r a t i o o f monopoly p r o f i t s t o t o t a l rev e n u e ( s a l e s ) c o in c id e s w ith t h e L e m e r* s In d e x . L a ta o f t h i s k in d w ere e a s i e r t o s e c u r e . D avid R. Kam erschen, "An E s tim a tio n o f t h e 'W e lfa re L o s s e s ' from Monopoly i n t h e A m erican Economy,11 U npublished Ph.D . t h e s i s , M ichigan S t a te U n iv e r s ity , 1964. He b a sed h i s w ork on H a rb e rg e r*s s tu d y , w hich e s tim a te d t h e lo s s due t o monopoly i n t h e m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r y , and found t h a t i t was o n ly o n e -te n th o f one p e rc e n t o f t h e n a t i o n a l incom es. A rnold Ci H a rb e rg e r, "Monopoly and R eso u rces A l l o c a ti o n ," P ro c e e d in g s o f American Economic Review (May 1 9 5 4 ), p p . 7 7 -8 7 ; "The M easurement o f W aste ," P ro ceed in g s o f A m erican Economic Review (May 1 9 6 4 ). S t i g l e r c r i t i c i s e d H a rb e rg e r's s tu d y on t h r e e g ro u n d s: T l) I t (H a rb erg e r* s stu d y ) was b a s e d on o n ly m a n u fa c tu rin g c o r p o r a tio n s , t h a t to o o n ly f o r t h e p e r io d o f 1924-28. (2 ) Many o f t h e a ssu m p tio n s w ere r a t h e r " h e r o ic " . (3 ) The s t a t i s t i c a l p ro c e d u re s w ere d u b io u s. G eorge J . S t i g l e r , "The S t a t i s t i c s o f Monopoly an d M e rg er," J . o f P o l i t i c a l Economy (F e b . 1 9 5 6 ), p p . 3 3 -4 0 ; W a lte r Adams, "Consumer Needs and Consumer S o v e re ig n ty i n t h e Am erican Economy," J . o f B u sin e ss (J u ly 1 9 6 2 ), p p . 264-277. A few o t h e r q u a n t i t a t i v e s t u d i e s on monopoly a r e : D avid Schw artzm an, "The E f f e c t o f Monopoly on P r i c e , " J . o f P o l i t i c a l Economy (Aug. 1 9 5 9 ), pp. 352-362; "The B urden o f M onopoly," J . o f P o l i t i c a l Economy (Dec. I9 6 0 ) pp. 627-630. A.H.D. K ap lan , B ig E n te r p r is e i n a C o m p e titiv e System , (W ashington: B rookings I n s t i t u t i o n , 1 9 5 4 ). J . F re d W eston, The R ole o f M ergers i n t h e Growth o f L arge F irm s , (B e rk e le y , U n iv e r s ity o f C a l i f o r n i a P r e s s , 1953). 28 Kamerschen c o n s id e re d t h e p e rio d o f 1956-57 t o 1960-61 a s re a s o n a b ly c lo s e t o " lo n g -ru n e q u ilib r iu m ," a n d computed e x c e ss p r o f i t by ta k in g d e v ia tio n s o f th e a d ju s te d and u n a d ju s te d p r o f i t s from t h e lo n g -ru n a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e . t h i s would p ro v id e a r e l i a b l e e s tim a te o f l o s s due t o monopoly. As B ain s a i d , . . . . th e o n ly s o r t o f e x c e ss p r o f i t , w hich m ight be e x p e c te d t o be r e f l e c t e d i n lo n g -te rm a v erag e e x c e s s p r o f i t s o f e n t i r e i n d u s t r i e s , a r e m o n o p o lis tic e x c e ss p r o f i t s . A ll o t h e r ty p e s o f e x c e s s p r o f i t s a r e l i k e l y t o o c c u r s p o r a d ic a lly and i r r e g u l a r l y , o r t o b e c o n fin e d t o o n ly p a r t o f t h e firm o f a n i n d u s t r y . . . C hronic e x c e ss p r o f i t s a r e a t l e a s t p rlm a f a c i e s u s p e c t o f r e s u l t i n g frcm sim p le m o n o p o lis tic r e s t r i c ­ t i o n s , and i f s o , a r e u n d e s i r a b l e .11 I have .used b o th t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s and t h e a d ju s te d 12 p r o f i t r a t e s i n com puting th e " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f t h e d ru g and ■iequipment i n d u s t r i e s . To e s tim a te t h e r a t e o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " , th e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e d ru g and equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s were compared w ith th e a v e ra g e a c c o u n tin g (u n a d ju s te d ) p r o f i t r a t e s o f a l l m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s , and t h e a d ju s te d p r o f i t r a t e s w ere compared w ith th e c o m p e titiv e p r o f i t r a t e ( i n t e r e s t r a t e f o r in d u s tria l c a p ita l) . The fo rm er p ro v id e d th e lo w er bounds o f t o t a l e x c e s s p r o f i t s and t h e l a t t e r t h e u p p er bound. A ll p r o f i t co m p u tatio n s w ere b a sed on d a ta a f t e r t a x e s . 11 B a in , p p . 377-378. 12 The word " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " h a s been u se d i n d e n o tin g th e d i f f e r e n c e i n t h e p r o f i t r a t e s i n d ru g and equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s frcm t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s an d from t h e "norm al" i n t e r e s t r a t e f o r i n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l w h ic h , a c c o rd in g t o o u r a ssu m p tio n , i s e q u a l t o th e c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t . H e n c e fo rth , t h e word w i l l be u sed w ith t h e same m eaning; b u t w i l l i n d i c a t e t h a t t h e " p r o f i t d if f e r e n c e " i s i n fa v o r o f th e d ru g and th e equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s . 29 Incomes o f D o c to rs. T h e , r i s i n g income o f p h y s ic ia n s h a s alw ays been a c o n tr o v e r s i a l issu e . Men i n o th e r p r o f e s s io n s have b een c r i t i c a l about changing r e l a t i v e , f i n a n c i a l s i t u a t i o n i n fa v o r o f m e d ic a l p r a c t i t i o n e r s . T h e ir f i n a n c i a l su c c e ss h a s been a t t r i b u t e d t o t h e i r s h o r t su p p ly . M ethods o f E s tim a tin g D o c to rs ' Incomes The g r o s s incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s w ere computed by adding t h e i r incom es frcm d i f f e r e n t s o u rc e s su ch a s : p a tie n t v i s i t s , s u rg e ry , s a l e s o f goods, and o t h e r p r o f e s s io n a l and cons u itin g fe e s. 1^ B u sin e ss expenses o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s a re about 41 and 49 p e rc e n t o f t h e i r r e s p e c t iv e incom es. T hese ' • ' ■ I " 1 c: expenses in c lu d e m a t e r i a ls and s u p p l i e s , m erch an d ise p u rc h a se d , c o st o f l a b o r , s a l a r i e s and wages p a id , d e p r e c i a ti o n , r e n t , t a x e s , 14 r e p a i r s , i n t e r e s t , in s u ra n c e c o s t , e t c . 1*3 An a l t e r n a t i v e approach would b e t o g e t d a ta on t o t a l amount p a id by consum ers o f Copper C ountry t o d o c to rs a s v i s i t i n g f e e s . To t h i s sh o u ld b e added amount p a id by in s u ra n c e com panies on b e h a lf o f in d iv id u a ls and h o s p i t a l s . The t o t a l f i g u r e d iv id e d by th e number o f p h y s ic ia n s w i l l g iv e g r o s s income p e r p h y s ic ia n . • iii We e x p e c t t h a t d e d u c tib le income may be g r o s s ly i n f l a t e d . A m ajor f a c t o r i n th e u n d e rs ta te m e n t o f p h y s ic ia n s ’ n e t income i s th e p o s s i b i l i t y o f c h a rg in g t o o n -b u s in e s s ex p en ses c e r t a i n typeB o f con­ sum ption e x p e n d itu r e s . See V/. Lee H ansen, "S h o rta g e s and In v estm en t in H ealth Manpower," i n Economics o f H e a lth and M edical C a re , Ann A rb o r, M ichigan, B ureau o f P u b lic H e alth Economics and D epartm ent o f Economics (U n iv e rs ity o f M ich ig an , 1964) p . 8 5 . 30 The co m p u tatio n o f t h e "u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s compared t o a s i m il a r p r o f e s s io n i s a d i f f i c u l t t a s k . H ardly any e s tim a te c a n b e s a t i s f a c t o r y enough t o be a c c e p ta b le w ith o u t c ritic is m . O ur e s tim a te o f th e " in c c m e -d iffe re n c e " o f p h y s ic ia n s i s b ased on a s tu d y by F ried m an and K u zn ets. T hey c a r e f u l l y compared th e incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s (th o u g h i n seme c a s e s w ith l im i te d d a ta ) w ith r e s p e c t t o d i f f e r e n t f a c t o r s (su c h a s c o s t a n d le n g th o f t r a i n i n g , v a r i a b i l i t y o f incom e, n o n -p e c u n ia ry a d v a n tag e s and d i s ­ a d v a n ta g e s, e t c . ) t h a t c o u ld e x p la in th e d i f f e r e n c e s i n incom es i n th e s e two p r o f e s s io n s . They co n clu d ed t h a t 17 p e rc e n t o f th e h ig h e r . incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s c o u ld be e x p la in e d due t o lo n g e r and c o s t l i e r t r a i n i n g i n m e d ic in e . They a t t r i b u t e d th e re m a in d e r o f t h e d i f f e r e n c e t o r e s t r i c t i o n o f e n tr y i n t o th e m e d ic a l p r o f e s s i o n . 15 I t can b e c r i t i c i z e d on t h e gro u n d s t h a t a p r o g r e s s iv e incom e t a x f a l l s h e a v ily on f l u c t u a t i n g incom es, s o p h y s ic ia n s g e n e r a l l y w ith a g r e a t e r v a r i a b i l i t y o f income w ould pay m ore ta x e s th a n d e n t i s t s w ith r e l a t i v e l y s te a d y income. However, t h i s i s p ro b ab ly b a la n c e d o u t by g r e a t e r n o n -p e c u n ia ry advantages o f p h y s ic ia n s (and th u s more u n ta x e d a d v a n ta g e s) th a n t h a t o f th e d e n t i s t s . The e s tim a te s o f F riedm an and K uznets a r e s t i l l r e l e v a n t , b e c a u se th e c o n d itio n s s u rro u n d in g th e s e tw o p r o f e s s io n s have changed v e ry l i t t l e 15 ■Milton Friedm an an d Simon K u zn ets, Incom e frcm In d ep en d en t P r o f e s s io n a ls P r a c t i c e , N a tio n a l B ureau o f Economic R e se arch (New York, 19*15), p . 395. 31 (th o s e w hich c o u ld e x p la in t h e ’'in c c m e -d iffe re n c e ’1 o f p h y s i c ia n s ) , e x ce p t t h e income gap betw een p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s h a s r a t h e r widened i n th e r e c e n t y e a r s . F u r th e r , th e e d u c a tio n a l c o s t s o f m ed ic a l s tu d e n ts a r e now s u b s id iz e d , so th e c o s t o f e d u c a tio n f o r th e i n d iv i d u a l p h y s ic ia n s c o u ld not have in c r e a s e d more th a n t h a t of d e n tis ts . T h e r e fo r e , t o e s tim a te t h e t o t a l " u n e x p la in a b le " Incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s , we f i r s t compute t h e p e rc e n ta g e d i f f e r e n c e I n t h e a v e ra g e Incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s i n t h e Copper C o u n try , th e n d e d u c t 17 p e rc e n t o f th e income t o a llo w f o r c o s t l i e r and lo n g e r t r a i n i n g o f th e p h y s ic ia n s . The r e s t o f th e d i f f e r e n c e c o u ld n o t b e e x p la in e d by o t h e r f a c t o r s and may be a t t r i b u t e d t o t h e d i f f i c u l t y o f e n tr y I n t o th e m e d ic a l p r o f e s s io n . The t o t a l amount o f t h e " u n e x p la in a b le " Income o f t h e p h y s ic ia n s may be v i s u a l i z e d a s a " lo s s " t o th e consum ers, and th e amount o f a d d i t i o n a l t a x on th e s e "u n ex p la in e d " incom es, t h a t flo w s o u t o f th e a r e a , i s a l o s s t o th e community. To e s tim a te th e t o t a l ta x on th e " u n e x p la in a b le " Incom e, we computed th e amount o f t a x e s on th e t o t a l Incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s w ith o u t " u n e x p la in a b le " In c a n e , and w ith " u n e x p la in a b le " incom e. The d i f f e r e n c e betw een th e two I s t o t a l amount o f t a x on th e " u n e x p la in a b le " Incom e. Herman M iles Somers and Anne Ramsay Som ers, D o c to rs . P a t i e n t s and H e a lth In s u ra n c e (W ashington, D. C ., I h e B rookings I n s t i t u t i o n , 1961), p p . 200-205. 32 The Drug I n d u s try E x p e n d itu re s on d ru g s a c c o u n t f o r a s i g n i f i c a n t p r o p o r tio n o f t h e m ed ica l b i l l s o f consum ers, and t h i s p r o p o r tio n h a s been r i s i n g s te a d ily . The g e n e r a l b e l i e f i s t h a t t h e d ru g in d u s tr y h a s ,h ig h s p r o f i t r a t e s , h ig h c o n c e n tr a tio n and m ark et pow er, and h ig h s p u rio u s p ro d u c t d i f f e r e n t i a t i o n due t o in te n s i v e a d v e rtis e m e n t and s a l e s 17 p ro m o tion. T hus, t h i s Im p lie s s e r io u s m o n o p o lis tic t r e n d . These g e n e r a l b e l i e f s may o r may n o t be t r u e . Even i f t r u e , th e y may o r may n o t hav e much s i g n i f ic a n c e f o r th e Copper C ountry m ed ical i n d u s t r y . I n C h a p te r VI we have e s tim a te d t h e e x te n t o f th e p o s s ib le s a v in g s t o th e consum ers o f th e Copper C ountry i f p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e d ru g in d u s tr y w ere th e same a s a l l manu­ f a c tu r in g i n d u s t r i e s . The p ro c e d u re s fo llo w e d i n g e t t i n g th e s e e s tim a te s a r e e x p la in e d below . E stim a tio n o f th e d if f e r e n c e i n t h e p r o f i t r a t e s o f d ru g in d u s tr y and a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s : The Copper C ountry does n o t have any d ru g company. The d ru g s t o r e s , h o s p i t a l s and d o c to rs buy t h e i r d ru g s from o u t s i d e . To compute t o t a l d ru g e x p e n d itu re s o f t h i s r e g i o n , we have added up 18 th e s a l e s f i g u r e s o f d ru g s t o r e s , h o s p i t a l s and o t h e r s . The t o t a l amount was re d u c e d by th e markup o f h o s p i t a l s and d ru g s t o r e s t o g e t t o t a l s a l e s f i g u r e s f o r drug com panies t o t h i s ccnm unity. 17 T h is F o r a d e t a i l e d re v ie w o f l i t e r a t u r e on th e s t r u c t u r e , conduct and perform ance o f t h e in d u s tr y s e e Appendix A. 18 x H o s p ita ls buy 95 p e rc e n t o f t h e i r d ru g s f r a n o u ts id e an d o n ly f i v e p e rc e n t frcm l o c a l d ru g s t o r e s . So t o g e t t h e t o t a l f i g u r e we added 95 p e r c e n t o f t h e s a l e s o f h o s p i t a l s t o t h e s a l e s o f t h e d ru g s t o r e s . 33 f i g u r e m u ltip lie d by th e " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f th e d ru g in d u s tr y from t h a t o f a l l m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s g iv e s th e amount o f money t l i a t flo w s o u t o f th e com rjunlty, b u t f o r which no d ru g s a r e r e c e iv e d . In o th e r w o rd s, t h i s a d d i t i o n a l amount goes t o t h e drug in d u s tr y due t o i t s c o n p a r a tiv e ly h ig h e r p r o f i t r a t e s . S i m i la r ly , t o compute th e lo s s o f consum er d o l l a r s due t o h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f t h e d ru g r e t a i l e r s , com pared t o o th e r r e t a i l e r s , we m u ltip lie d t h e t o t a l s a l e s o f t h e d ru g r e t a i l e r s by t h e i r r a t e o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e . " We have computed two ty p e s o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " f o r b o th m a n u fa c tu re rs and d ru g r e t a i l e r s , a c c o u n tin g " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " and a d ju s te d t h e o r e t i c a l " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e . " To co n p u te th e fo rm er we have s u b tr a c te d t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s (on e q u ity ) o f a l l m a n u fa c tu re rs from t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e o f a l l r e t a i l e r s from t h a t o f d ru g re ta ile rs . To g e t o u r a d ju s te d " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " we have f i r s t a d ju s te d t h e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s on e q u ity f o r i n t a n g i b l e s , ig r o y a l t i e s and a d v e r tis e m e n ts , th e n from t h i s we d ed u cted a norm al i n t e r e s t r a t e o f sev en p e r c e n t. I t i s assumed h e re t h a t lo n g -ru n c o n p e t i t i v e p r o f i t r a t e o f a n in d u s tr y should b e e q u a l t o th e "norm al" r a t e o f I n t e r e s t on t h e I n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l . The t o t a l s a le s o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and o f d ru g r e t a i l e r s a re m u ltip lie d by th e r a t e o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " on s a l e s (com puted on e q u ity th e n 19 We conputed th e a d ju s te d p r o f i t s b a sed on e s tim a te s by Kamerschen (s e e h i s method e x p la in e d i n e a r l i e r p a g e s ). The "u n ex p la in e d " p r o f i t i s t h e d i f f e r e n c e betw een p r e s e n t p r o f i t r a t e o f th e in d u s tr y and lo n g -ru n a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e (c o m p e titiv e r a t e ) o f a l l o th e r i n d u s t r i e s . 34 c o n v e rte d t o a p e rc e n t o f s a l e s ) t o g e t th e e s tim a te s o f t o t a l amount o f " lo s s " o f consum ers d o l l a r s i n buying d ru g s . But t h e amount " l o s t " due t o t h e h ig h e r p r o f i t o f t h e d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs i s a p u re d r a i n on th e com m unity's r e s o u r c e s , b ecau se i t flo w s o u t o f t h e a r e a . 20 *s The H o s p ita l Equipm ent I n d u s tr y T e c h n o lo g ic a l developm ent i n h o s p i t a l equipm ent h a s con­ trib u te d much t o th e p r o d u c t i v it y o f h o s p i t a l s and d o c to r s . But th e p r i c e s o f th e s e h ig h ly s o p h i s t i c a t e d in s tru m e n ts a r e a ls o v ery h ig h . W hether t h i s i s a r e s u l t o f a n o n c o m p e titiv e s i t u a t i o n i n th e equipm ent m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s tr y o r a l e g i t im a t e p r i c e r i s e i s n o t c le a r ly e s ta b lis h e d . To d e te rm in e w h eth er t h e r e i s any d e g re e o f monopoly i n th e m e d ic a l equipm ent in d u s tr y o r n o t , we need t o stu d y th e d e g re e o f c o n c e n tr a tio n , b a r r i e r t o e n t r y , r a t e o f p r o f i t and o th e r perfo rm an ce and s t r u c t u r a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f t h e in d u s tr y . However, no a tte m p t h a s been made t o do any th o ro u g h m arket a n a ly s is n e c e s s a ry t o d e te rm in e th e d e g re e o f m onopoly. F u rth e r, such an a n a l y s i s i s much more d i f f i c u l t i n t h i s in d u s tr y th a n i n many o th e r s b e c a u se m e d ic a l equipm ent in c lu d e s a v a r i e t y o f th in g s from b i g c o s t l y C o b alt and X -ray m achines t o s m a ll, 20 The " h ig h e r" p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g r e t a i l e r s rem a in i n th e a r e a so i t i s n o t a " lo s s " f o r t h e community a s a w hole. 35 in e x p e n siv e s u r g i c a l t o o l s . And t h e s e th in g s a r e m an u factu red by a number o f d i f f e r e n t m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s . F u r th e r , each o f th e s e i n d u s t r i e s m ight b e making a m u ltitu d e o f o th e r t h i n g s . The p r o f i t r a t e s re p o r te d by F e d e ra l T rade Ccmmission a r e g e n e r a lly v ery b ro ad c a t e g o r i e s o f i n d u s t r i e s su c h a s f o r s c i e n t i f i c in s tru m e n ts and r e l a t e d p ro d u c ts (SIC Code 3 8 ) , w hich t o g e t h e r w ith many k in d s o f h o s p i t a l equipm ent ( s u r g i c a l , o rth o p e d ic , p r o s t h e t i c , o p h th a lm ic , d e n t a l e q u ip m en t, e t c . ) In c lu d e many o th e r k in d s o f equipm ent (e n g in e e rin g , o p t i c a l , w a tc h e s, c lo c k s , p h o to ­ g ra p h ic in s tr u m e n ts , e t c . ) . So t o g e t m ea n in g fu l e s tim a te s o f p r o f i t r a t e s o f t h i s in d u s tr y we to o k a r e p r e s e n ta t iv e sam ple o f th r e e firm s e x c lu s iv e ly p ro d u cin g a l l k in d s o f h o s p i t a l equipm en t. These firm s a c c o u n t f o r a b o u t 19 p e r c e n t o f t h e t o t a l s a l e s . We to o k a f i v e y e a r a v e ra g e ( 1963- 67) o f th e r a t e o f p r o f i t on e q u ity . To e s tim a te t h e a c c o u n tin g " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f th e s e f i r m s , we d educted from t h e i r a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e s a f i v e - y e a r a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e on e q u ity o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s . To g e t o u r a d ju s te d t h e o r e t i c a l p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e (a s I n t h e c a se o f d ru g i n d u s t r y ) , we made a d ju s tm e n ts i n th e a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s , f o r i n t a n g i b l e s , PI r o y a l t i e s and a d v e r t i s i n g , op im puted r a t e o f i n t e r e s t . 21 and d e d u c te d frcm t h i s a se v e n p e r c e n t To e s tim a te th e t o t a l o u t-flo w o f money I n f a c t , we d id n o t have any p r e c i s e d a ta f o r t h e s e a d ju s tm e n ts , e x c lu s iv e ly f o r h o s p i t a l equipm ent. So we u se d K am erschen1s a d ju stm e n t f o r in s tru m e n t and r e l a t e d p ro d u c ts (SIC Code 3 8 ) , w hich In c lu d e s m ost o f th e s u r g i c a l , m e d ic a l and d e n ta l eq u ip m en t. 22 We assum ed t h a t th e lo n g -ru n p r o f i t r a t e on e q u ity sh o u ld be e q u al t o th e "norm al" I n t e r e s t r a t e f o r th e I n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l . 36 frcm t h e Copper C o u n try , due t o t h e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t i n t h i s in d u s tr y compared t o t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g by ra te o f " p r o fit-d iffe re n c e " o f th e in d u s try . To t h i s we a l s o added th e r e s u l t i n g payment o f a d d i t i o n a l i n t e r e s t on in v estm en t i n equipm ent. The f i g u r e s f o r t o t a l e x p e n d itu re on equipm ent i n th e Copper C ountry m e d ic a l i n d u s t r y , f o r th e y e a r 1967, were com puted a s below : T o t a l e x p en ses on equipm ent ° Amount o f consum able equipm ent b o u ^ it i n 1967* p lu s t o t a l amount o f d e p r e c i a ti o n ( f o r t h e y e a r 1967) o f t h e d u ra b le equipm ent p u rch ased i n 1967, p lu s t o t a l amount o f d e p r e c i a ti o n ( f o r t h e y e a r 1967) o f t h e d u ra b le equipm ent p u rch ased e a r l i e r , p lu s t o t a l amount o f ln p u te d i n t e r ­ e s t on t h e above in v e s tm e n ts . E s tim a tio n o f th e O p e ra tin g I n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f th e H o s p ita ls H o s p ita ls to d a y a r e draw ing m ore a t t e n t i o n th a n any o t h e r a s p e c t o f th e m e d ic a l i n d u s t r y . I n t h e l a s t d ecad e th e demand f o r h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s h as in c r e a s e d much more th a n th e su p p ly o f such f a c i l i t i e s . T h is i s due t o b o th th e ten d e n cy o f p h y s ic ia n s t o c o n c e n tr a te t h e i r a c t i v i t i e s i n t h e h o s p i t a l s , and p r e f e r e n c e o f p a t i e n t s t o u t i l i z e more h o s p i t a l s e r v i c e s . I n s p i t e o f t h i s p r e s s u r e , h o s p i t a l s today a re p ro v id in g m ore s e r v ic e s o f b e t t e r q u a l i t y . T h is , t o g e t h e r w ith 37 many o t h e r r e a s o n s , le d t o a phenom enal r i s e i n t h e p r i c e o f h o s p ita l s e rv ic e s . The in d ex o f p r i c e s r o s e from 100 i n 1958-59 t o 2 0 0 .1 i n t h e y e a r 1967. o th e r com m odities. T h is r i s e i s more th a n f o r m ost The stu p en d o u s r i s e i n p r i c e s may t o a c e r t a i n e x te n t seem f i c t i t i o u s , when we c o n s id e r th e q u a l i t y o f p ro d u c t p r e s e n t h o s p i t a l s p ro v id e . As i t i s n o t p o s s ib le t o m easure w ith any p r e c i s i o n t h e p ro d u c t o f a h o s p i t a l , we do n o t knew how much th e r i s e o f p r i c e i s a f f e c t e d by a n Im proved p ro d u c t o v e r tim e . I n th e Copper C o u n try , t h e h o s p i t a l s g e t t h e l a r g e s t s h a re o f th e consum ers' m e d ic a l d o l l a r . So any amount o f i n e f f i c i e n c y i n th e o p e r a tio n o f th e s e h o s p i t a l s would mean a s i g n i f i c a n t l o s s t o th e consum ers. The h o s p i t a l s i n t h i s r e g io n may o r may n o t be o p e ra tin g a t t h e optimum o p e r a t io n a l e f f i c i e n c y , b u t t h e non­ p r o f i t s t a t u s o f th e s e h o s p i t a l s , and th e p r e s e n t i n s t i t u t i o n a l payment arran g em e n ts do n o t hav e any b u i l t - i n in c e n tiv e f o r e f f i c i e n t o p e r a tio n o f th e s e h o s p i t a l s . R e c e n tly , a number o f s t u d i e s have b een m ade, on d i f f e r e n t a s p e c ts o f h o s p i t a l e f f i c i e n c y by F e l d s t e i n , D e eb le , H ayes, Long and R o se n th a l.* ^ 27 J M. S. F e l d s t e i n , Economic A n a ly sis f o r H e a lth S e rv ic e E f f ic ie n c y (N orth H olland P u b lis h in g Co: Amsterdam, 1967); "S tu d y in g H o s p ita l C o s t l i n e s s ,” H o s p ita l S e r v ic e s F in a n c e s , 1965; " O p e ra tio n a l R esearch and E f f ic ie n c y I n t h e H e a lth S e r v i c e ,” The L a n c e t, 1963. J . S. D e e b le , "An Economic A n a ly sis o f H o s p ita l C o s t s ,” M edical C are. 1965. J . H. Hayes ( e d .) F a c to r s A ffe c tin g th e C ost o f H o s p ita l C a r e . (New York: B la k is to n , 195471 F. Long, " E f f i c i e n t Use o f H o s p i t a l s ,” I n S . J . A xelrod ( e d ) , The Economics o f H e a lth and M edical C a re , Ann A rb o r, M ich ig an : 1964. G. D. R o s e n th a l, "A C r i t i c a l C a im en t,” A stu d y o f s e l e c te d v a r ia b le s on h o s p i t a l u t i l i z a t i o n , H o s p ita l Management, (O c t. 19 6 4 ). 38 A rev iew o f th e s e s t u d i e s p ro v id e s an i n s i g h t i n t o c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f an e f f i c i e n t h o s p i t a l . From th e s e and o t h e r s , we have g lea n ed o u t f i v e c r i t e r i a f o r m easu rin g r e l a t i v e e f f i c i e n c y o f d i f f e r e n t h o s p i t a l s based on o p e ra tin g r a t i o s . T hese a r e : (1 ) L ength o f s ta y : th e s h o r t e r th e s ta y t h e more e f f i c i e n t th e h o s p i t a l . (2) C ost p e r p a t i e n t day: th e low er t h e c o s t p e r p a t i e n t d a y , th e more e f f i c i e n t th e h o s p i t a l . (3 ) C ost p e r bed: th e low er th e c o s t more e f f i c i e n t th e h o s p i t a l . p e r b e d , th e (4) R a te o f occupancy: th e h ig h e r t h e r a t e o f o ccupancy, th e more e f f i c i e n t th e h o s p i t a l . (5) Number o f p e rs o n n e l p e r bed: th e low er th e number o f p e rs o n n e l p e r b e d , th e more e f f i c i e n t th e h o s p ita l. I t i s obvious t h a t th e s e i n d i c a t o r s a r e in te r d e p e n d e n t, so th e y .m u st be c o n s id e re d to g e t h e r i n Ju d g in g th e o p e r a tio n a l e f f i c ie n c y o f h o s p i t a l s . Two o th e r im p o rta n t f a c t o r s t h a t we must ta k e i n t o c o n s id e r a tio n b e fo re we can say som ething mean­ in g f u l ab o u t o p e r a tio n a l e f f i c i e n c y a r e e q u a l it y o f c a re and ty p e s o f c a s e s (c a s e m ix ). To e lu c id a t e t h e n a tu re o f th e problem in v o lv e d I n i n t e r ­ h o s p i t a l co m p ariso n s o f o p e r a tin g e f f i c i e n c y , l e t u s assum e t h a t ’a* and ’b ’ a r e two h o s p i t a l s . of A h ig h e r p e r p a t i e n t day c o s t ' a ' i n com parison t o fb ? may n o t mean t h a t ' a f I s l e s s e f f i c i e n t t h a n 'b '. Ih e h o s p i t a l ' a ' may have a s h o r t e r le n g th o f s t a y , b e t t e r q u a li t y o f c a re o r m ight have t r e a t e d more d i f f i c u l t c a s e s . A gain, 39 f r a n t h e s h o r t e r le n g th o f s ta y I n ' a 1 th a n I n ’b 1 we can h a rd ly say t h a t ' a ' I s more e f f i c i e n t t h a n ’b 1. The s h o r t e r le n g th o f s t a y i n .’a ' may b e due t o more p e rs o n n e l p e r bed and more in te n s i v e c a r e , w hich may b e r e f l e c t e d i n h ig h e r c o s t p e r day. S i m i la r ly , h ig h e r o r low er c o s t p e r b e d , o r m ore o r l e s s p e rs o n n e l p e r bed c an n o t t e l l us a n y th in g about o p e r a t io n a l e f f i c i e n c y . The r a t e o f o ccupancy, i n t h i s r e s p e c t , i s a s l i g h t l y b e t t e r i n d i c a t o r —b u t by no means a n a b s o lu te c r i t e r i a . I f th e r e i s u n f u l f i l l e d e f f e c t i v e demand f o r m e d ic a l c a r e , a low r a t e o f occupancy may show d e la y on th e p a r t o f th e h o s p i t a l management t o o rg a n iz e and p ro c e s s p a t i e n t s th ro u g h th e u s u a l t e s t s b e f o r e a d m issio n . h o s p i t a l knows t h a t a n unoccupied b ed a ls o c o s t s money. Every T hat i s why th e y a r e som etim es c r i t i c i z e d f o r k eep in g p a t i e n t s lo n g e r th a n re q u ire d * The c o s t o f an e x t r a one o r tw o days i s p a id by t h e in s u ra n c e com panies. T h is i s a to p ic o f o u r n e x t s e c t i o n , so we w i l l n o t d e v elo p i t h e re . I n t e r and i n t r a - r e g i o n a l com parisons o f th e s e h o s p i t a l s and n u rs in g hemes w ould g iv e u s seme I d e a o f t h e m agnitude o f t h e i r o p e r a tio n a l e f f i c i e n c i e s . The com parison o f t h e Copper C ountry h o s p i t a l s w ith t h e a v e ra g e h o s p i t a l o f th e s t a t e o r U n ited S t a te s may y i e l d o n ly a low er e s tim a te o f t h e " l o s s " . T h is i s b e cau se p r e s e n t e x te n s iv e in s u ra n c e coverage f o r h o s p i t a l c o s t s a llo w s th e a v e ra g e h o s p i t a l t o k e ep c e r t a i n amounts o f o p e r a tio n a l in e ffic ie n c y . So any i n t e r h o s p i t a l co m p ariso n s, i n f a c t , may b e a com parison o f one i n e f f i c i e n t h o s p i t a l w ith a n o th e r i n e f f i c i e n t one. Ijo So i n some c a s e s , i t may be more m eaningful f o r u s t o s e l e c t r e l a t i v e l y e f f i c i e n t h o s p i t a l s t o d evelop s ta n d a rd s o f perform ance fo r.m a k in g com parisons. c a lc u la tio n s : Two o th e r c o n s id e r a tio n s may v i t i a t e o u r ( 1 ) th e c o s t o f p ro v id in g m e d ic a l s e r v ic e s i n Copper C ountry may be low er due t o low er s a l a r i e s o f p e rs o n n e l ( s a l a r i e s account f o r about 60 t o 70 p e rc e n t o f t o t a l h o s p i t a l c o s t s ) and (2 ) th e q u a li t y o f c a re and th e ty p e s o f c a se s may d i f f e r w id ely i n o t h e r p a r t s o f th e n a tio n . Because o f t h e s e two r e a s o n s , t h e low er c o s t s o f Copper Country h o s p i t a l s compared t o av erag e h o s p i t a l s i n th e U n ited S t a t e s may n o t n e c e s s a r il y mean t h a t th e form er a r e v e ry e f f i c i e n t h o s p i t a l s . The " lo s s e s " due t o o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c y , a re e s tim a te d s e p a r a te ly f o r each a c u te c a re h o s p i t a l i n th e Copper C ountry. o r O' We know t h a t i n a h o s p i t a l , th e le n g th o f s t a y , c o s t p e r bed and th e r a t e o f occupancy a r e in te rd e p e n d e n t. More i n te n s iv e c a re in c r e a s e s th e c o s t p e r b e d , b u t re d u c e s th e le n g th o f s ta y and th e r a t e o f occupancy, and v ic e v e r s a . As t h e r a t e o f occupancy i s a b e t t e r i n d i c a t o r o f o p e r a tio n a l e f f ic ie n c y and easy t o q u a n tif y , we have c o n v e rte d a l l th e a c h iin is tr a tiv e i n e f f i c i e n c i e s i n th e h o s p i t a l s i n term s o f r a t e o f occupancy. We have computed a d ju s te d r a t e o f occupancy by keep in g th e le n g th o f s ta y o f th e Copper C ountry h o s p i t a l s e q u a l t o t h e s t a t e and n a tio n a l a v e ra g e . I n o t h e r w ords, w hat would be th e r a t e o f occupancy i n th e Copper Country h o s p i t a l s , i f t h e i r a v erag e le n g th o f s ta y had a c t u a l l y been e q u a l t o t h a t o f s t a t e and n a tio n a l average? Hi A d ju ste d R a te o f Occupancy (A .R .O .) T o ta l p a t i e n t d ay s x Average le n g th o f s ta y x 100 c f o r s t a t e and n a tio n _________ No. o f b e d s x 365 x P re s e n t le n g th o f s ta y _ , , _ * P r e s e n t r a t e o f occupancy x Average le n g th o f Btay f o r th e s t a t e and n a tio n — - ■■■—— —— ----------P re s e n t le n g th o f s t a y I n th e Copper C ountry h o s p i t a l s T h is A.R.O. I s th e n compared w ith t h e " e f f i c i e n t " Oil ra te of occupancy w hich i s th e a v e ra g e o f t h e occupancy r a t e o f r e l a t i v e l y e ffic ie n t h o s p ita ls . The d if f e r e n c e betw een t h e two r a t e s g iv e s a n e s tim a te o f how much t h e r a t e o f occupancy i s low ered due t o th e o p e r a t io n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f t h e h o s p i t a l s . A lo w er r a t e o f occupancy means t h a t seme beds a r e l e f t u n o ccu p ied . The number o f u noccupied b e d s was computed by m u ltip ly in g t h e p e rc e n ta g e d i f f e r e n c e betw een t h e " a d ju s te d " and t h e " e f f i c i e n t " r a t e o f occupancy by t h e number o f beds i n each h o s p i t a l . Hie number o f unoccupied beds m u lt i p li e d by th e c o s t o f m a in ta in in g a n unoccupied bed g iv e s th e t o t a l in c r e a s e i n h o s p i t a l c o s ts due t o m ain ten an ce o f u n n e c e sss a ry b e d s . I n o t h e r w ords, t h e h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s c o u ld be p ro v id e d t h a t much c h e a p e r , i f th e s e u n n e c e ssa ry c o s ts w ere e lim in a te d , Oil An a v e ra g e r a t e o f occupancy o f a l l th e com parable h o s p i t a l s was term ed a s " e f f i c i e n t " occupancy r a t e . T h is i s n o t n e c e s s a r il y th e r a t e w hich w ould p ro v id e m e d ic a l c a r e a t t h e l e a s t coB t. H o s p ita l In s u ra n c e H e a lth in s u ra n c e o r g a n iz a tio n s p la y a n Im p o rta n t r o l e i n f in a n c in g o f p r e s e n t h ig h c o s t o f m e d ic a l c a r e . I n th e fa c e o f r i s i n g m e d ic a l c o s t s t h e i r r o l e I n th e f u t u r e w i l l be s t i l l g re a te r. ' V o lu n ta ry h e a l th in s u ra n c e o f t e n h a s b een c r i t i c i z e d on th e ground t h a t i t h a s h e lp e d i n t h e r i s e o f m e d ic a l c o s t s , su p p o rte d monopoly income o f d o c to rs and h ig h c o s t o f i n e f f i c i e n t h o s p i t a l s , PR and encouraged o v e ru se and m isu se o f m ed ic a l c a r e f a c i l i t i e s . ^ I t I s v e ry d i f f i c u l t t o sa y t h a t p r i v a t e h e a l th In su ra n c e haB cau sed a r i s e I n m ed ic a l c o s t s . P e rh ap s i t i s more a p p r o p r ia te t o say t h a t i t h a s h e lp e d p e r p e tu a te su ch s i t u a t i o n s . I t Is u s u a lly t r u e t h a t in s u re d p e o p le u se more m e d ic a l c a r e th a n u n in s u re d , b u t i t does n o t n e c e s s a r il y mean t h e fo rm er o v e ru se m e d ic a l c a r e f a c i l i t i e s . A stu d y o f t h e e f f e c t s o f s e l e c te d v a r i a b le s on h o s p i t a l u t i l i z a t i o n by D urbin and Antelm an shows s tr o n g p o s i t i v e c o r r e l a t i o n betw een le n g th o f s t a y and p r o p o r tio n o f p e o p le co v ered by h e a l th in s u r a n c e . 26 The number o f a d m issio n s was a l s o found t o be p o s i ­ t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w ith t h e p r o p o r tio n o f p e o p le co v ered by h e a l th In s u ra n c e . 25 27 F o r more c i t a t i o n s , s e e Appendix A. 26 T h is , how ever, doeB n o t p ro v e t h a t v o lu n ta ry h e a l th In su ra n c e in c r e a s e s th e le n g th o f s t a y . R. L. D urbin and G. Antelm an (1964) "A S tudy o f t h e E f f e c t s o f S e le c te d V a r ia b le s on H o s p ita l U t i l i z a t i o n , " H o s p ita l Management (A ugust, 1 9 6 4 ), p . 5 7 . *13 A nother s tu d y by R onald A nderson and Odin W. A nderson shows t h a t u n in su re d p e o p le sp e n t l e s s and u se d l e s s m e d ic a l c a r e th a n I n s u re d p e o p le . The number o f a d m issio n s p e r 100 p e rs o n s p e r y e a r was a l s o h ig h e r f o r in s u re d p e rs o n s . A lthough mean le n g th o f s t a y was h ig h e r f o r u n in su re d p e rs o n s , t o t a l h o s p i t a l days p e r 100 p e rs o n s p e r y e a r w ere h ig h e r f o r in s u r e d p e rs o n s . From t h e f i g u r e s i n T a b le 3 .1 b elo w one may b e tem pted t o co n clu d e t h a t d i f f e r e n c e s TABLE 3 .1 —H e a lth Use and E x p e n d itu re o f In s u re d and U ninsured P ersons i n th e U n ite d S t a t e s i n 1963 Ite m s I n - h o s p i t a l s u r g i c a l p ro c e d u re p e r 100 p e rs o n s p e r y e a r , n o s . : In s u re d : U ninsured 6 3 15 9 7 .0 8 .8 H o s p ita l days p e r 100 p e rs o n s p e r y e a r , days 101 84 A dm ission p e r 100 p e rso n s p e r y e a r , n o s . Mean le n g th o f s t a y p e r a d m iss io n , days Mean e x p e n d itu re p e r fa m ily , d o l l a r s 429 201 Mean e x p e n d itu re p e r i n d i v i d u a l , d o l l a r s 133 67 S o u rce: R o n ald and Odin W. A nderson, A Decade o f H e a lth S e r v i c e s , a d a p te d from T a b le s 67» 68, 72 and 7 3 . betw een e x p e n d itu re s o f in s u r e d and u n in s u re d p e rs o n s g iv e s t h e e x te n t o f c o n tr i b u ti o n o f v o lu n ta ry h e a l t h in s u ra n c e i n I n c r e a s in g c o s ts . I t c e r t a i n l y would b e n a iv e t o co n clu d e t h i s w ith o u t con­ s i d e r in g many o t h e r r e l a t e d t h in g s . I f we assume t h a t u n in s u re d p e o p le a r e a b le t o buy m inim al amounts o f m e d ic a l c a r e n e c e s s a ry t o keep them h e a l th y , th e n i t i s c l e a r t h a t In s u re d p e o p le a re u s in g more m ed ical c a r e f a c i l i t i e s th a n n e ce ssa ry , o r i n o th e r w o rd s, ta k in g e x t r a p r e c a u tio n (which may o r may’ n o t be n e c e s s a ry ) a t no im m ediate e x tr a c o s t , b u t f u t u r e premiums a r e l i k e l y t o be l a r g e r . A c o n tra ry argum ent may b e t h a t e x tr a p r e c a u tio n e n a b le s e a r ly d e te c tio n and c u re o f i l l n e s s w hich, i f d e la y e d , may prove v ery c o s t l y . f u t u r e m e d ic a l c o s t s . So e x t r a p r e c a u tio n red u c e s h ig h High c o s ts o f in s u re d p e o p le now, t h u s , may be evened o u t by low c o s t s i n f u tu r e . I t i s p o s s ib le t h a t t h e p re s e n t v o lu n ta ry in s u ra n c e system h as h e lp e d I n c re a s e th e income o f d o c to rs and h o s p i t a l s and o v e r a l l p r i c e o f m ed ica l c a r e , b u t i t i s a ls o p o s s ib le t h a t t h i s h as saved many f a m ilie s from b e in g f i n a n c i a l l y c rip p le d and many h o s p i t a l s from b e in g I n s o lv e n t. T his i s s u e i s to o clouded f o r us t o make any mean­ in g f u l e s tim a te o f th e c o n tr ib u tio n o f h e a l th In su ra n c e i n in c r e a s in g m ed ical c o s t . However, m ost o f t h e e f f e c t s o f v o lu n ta ry h e a lth In su ra n c e i n r a i s i n g m ed ica l c o s t s , I f a n y , would be p ick e d up i n o u r a n a ly s is o f th e incomes o f d o c to rs a n d c o s ts o f h o s p i t a l s . F in an cin g m ed ic a l c are n e e d s : A s i g n i f i c a n t p r o p o rtio n o f t h e p o p u la tio n I n th e Copper Country e i t h e r g e ts no m ed ical s e r v ic e s o r g e ts o n ly in a d e q u a te s e r v i c e s . With I t s high in c id e n c e o f c h ro n ic i l l n e s s , abnorm ally h ig h p e rc e n ta g e o f o ld e r p e o p le and v ery low p e r c a p i ta incom es, th e Copper Country fa c e s a unique s i t u a t i o n o f a m e d ic a lly in d ig e n t r e g io n . T here i s c o n s id e ra b le need f o r m ed ica l c a r e , w ith very l i t t l e money t o buy i t . Ih e need f o r m ed ica l c a r e o f a p a r t i c u l a r re g io n depends on th e in c id e n c e o f i l l n e s s , g e n e r a l h e a l t h s t a t u s o f th e p e o p le , age c o m p o s itio n , on th e l e v e l o f c a r e th e s o c i e t y c o n s id e r s t o be optimum and many o th e r a s s o c ia te d f a c t o r s . d i f f ic u lt ta s k . So t h e e s tim a tio n o f need i s a F u r t h e r , need must b e d e fin e d i n m ore s p e c i f i c term s such a s by k in d s o f c a r e : m e n ta l, t u b e r c u l o s i s , c h ro n ic nQ d is e a s e s , o r a c u te i l l n e s s , e t c . The P u b lic H e a lth S e rv ic e s e s tim a te s t h a t " th e p o p u la tio n w i l l need ab o u t 1200-1300 days o f s e r v i c e i n h o s p i t a l s equipped and s t a f f e d f o r th e p r o v is io n o f d ia g n o s is and m e d ic a l tr e a tm e n t, and an a d d i t i o n a l 700-800 days o f c a r e p e r 1000 p o p u la tio n i n f a c i l i t i e s d e sig n e d t o p ro v id e n u rs in g c a r e , b u t l i t t l e a c t i v e 29 m ed ical t r e a tm e n t." * The above e s tim a te s a r e b e lie v e d t o b e c o n s e r v a tiv e . They i n d ic a t e t h e p r e s e n t need f o r g e n e r a l beds t o be a b o u t *1.5 beds p e r 1000 p o p u la tio n . l e e and Jo n e s e s tim a te t h e need f o r p h y s ic ia n s t o be about 13*1*7 p e r 100,000 p o p u la tio n . The e s tim a te o f need f o r p h y s ic ia n s was b ased on a concensus o f e x p e r t o p in io n on th e number o f pO C ro n in , Reed and Baney, " H o s p ita l Beds i n t h e U n ited S t a t e s , 1950," P u b lic H e alth R e p o rts . LXV, No. *15 (November 1 0 , 1 9 5 0 ). Quoted by Seymour E. H a r r is , The Economics o f Am erican M edicine (M acm illan Company, New York, 19 6 4 ), p . 170. 29 L. S . R eed.and H. H o llin g s w o rth , "How Many G e n era l Beds Are Needed," P u b lic H e a lth S e rv ic e (Septem ber 1 9 6 3 )J o f P ro c e e d in g s o f N a tio n a l H e a lth C onference (1 9 3 8 ), p p . 4*i-M5* 1J6 p h y s ic ia n h o u rs r e q u ir e d t o p r e v e n t, d ia g n o s e , and t r e a t s p e c i f i c d is e a s e s and h e a l th c o n d itio n s . 30 T h is s tu d y was done some 35 y e a r s a g o ; i t i s now h a za rd o u s t o r e l y on su ch e s t im a t e s , b e c a u se s in c e th e n t h e r e h a s been phenom enal developm ent i n a l l a s p e c ts o f m e d ic a l s c ie n c e . The P r e s i d e n t ’s Commission on t h e h e a l t h needs o f th e n a tio n made s i x e s tim a te s o f p h y s ic ia n re q u ire m e n ts b a se d on a I 960 p ro ­ j e c t e d p o p u la tio n o f 171.2 m i l l i o n . H ie e s tim a te s were p r im a r ily 31 b ased on e x i s t i n g p h y s ic ia n - p o p u la tio n r a t i o a s t h e s ta n d a rd . H ie Copper C ountry i s n o t a t y p i c a l r e g io n i n th e U n ited S t a t e s , so i t s m e d ic a l need s may n o t b e com parable t o a v e ra g e needs f o r th e r e s t o f th e n a tio n . Any e s tim a te o f need i n t h e Copper C ountry m ust ta k e i n t o c o n s id e r a tio n t h e ab n o rm ally h ig h in c id e n c e o f c h ro n ic Cl L>4 4 . ♦ i l l n e s s and t h e h ig h p r o p o r tio n o f o l d e r p e o p le i n t h i s r e g i o n . So we have e s tim a te d th e need f o r a d d i t i o n a l m e d ic a l c a r e i n t h i s re g io n by o u r su rv e y o f t h e a r e a . T h is was supplem ented by in f o rm a tio n on f a c i l i t i e s a v a ila b le i n o t h e r p a r t s o f t h e s t a t e and n a ti o n . We f e e l t h a t th e c r e a t i o n o f t h e needed m ed ic a l f a c i l i t i e s by i t s e l f does n o t g u a ra n te e t h a t t h e s e r v i c e s w i l l b e bought by th e p e o p le . The e f f e c t i v e demand f o r m e d ic a l c a re depends on th e 30 Roger' I . Lee and Lewis W. J o n e s , The Fundam entals o f Good M edical C a re . (U n iv e r s ity o f Chicago P r e s s , 1 9 3 3 ), p . 115. B u ild in g A m e ric a 's H e a lth . V ol. I I , "A m e ric a 's H e a lth S t a t u s , Needs and R e s o u rc e s ," (U .S . Government P r i n t i n g O f f ic e , 1 9 5 3 ), pp. 183-85. C ite d by R ash i F e in , The D o cto r S h o rta g e (The B rookings I n s t i t u t i o n , W ashington, D. C. 1 9 6 7 ), p . 9 . a t t i t u d e o f th e p e o p le to w ard s u se o f m e d ic a l c a r e , p r i c e s o f m e d ic a l s e r v i c e s , f in a n c in g m ethods, incom es, age d i s t r i b u t i o n o f th e p o p u la tio n ,, e t c . The p e o p le o f th e Copper C ountry a r e i n a v e ry u n fa v o ra b le s i t u a t i o n from th e s e p o in ts o f view . g r e a t e s t stu m b lin g b lo c k i s t h e la c k o f fu n d s . The V o lu n tary h e a l t h in s u ra n c e i s n o t a s o l u t i o n , b e ca u se m ost o f th e p e o p le can n o t pay f o r t h e h ig h c o s t o f in s u r a n c e , and th o s e who have such p r o t e c ti o n f i n d i t d i f f i c u l t t o m a in ta in t h e p r e s e n t l e v e l o f p ro te c tio n . Some a l t e r n a t i v e ways o f f in a n c in g m ust be so u g h t o u ts id e t h e d is p o s a b le incom es o f t h e p e o p le . A lte r n a tiv e m ethods o f f in a n c in g : F in a n c e s f o r p ro v id in g a d d i t i o n a l m e d ic a l c a r e t o th e p e o p le o f th e C opper C ountry may be o b ta in e d i n two ways: (1) by re d u c in g th e c o s t o f m ediical c a r e th ro u g h e lim in a tio n o f e x i s t i n g o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f t h e h o s p i t a l s , " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s compared t o t h a t o f d e n t i s t s , and " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e d ru g and t h e m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s compared t o t h a t o f a l l m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s , and ( 2 ) by g e t t i n g more fu n d s th ro u g h c o u n ty , s t a t e and f e d e r a l so u rc es. To e s tim a te t h e t o t a l fu n d s needed t o fin a n c e a d d i t i o n a l f a c i l i t i e s , we have m u lt i p li e d t h e number o f a d d i t i o n a l b e d s , p h y s ic ia n s , d e n t i s t s , and n u rs e s by t h e e x i s t i n g p e r u n i t c o s t o f th e s e f a c i l i t i e s i n th e Copper C o u n try . More e x p l i c i t l y , t h e t o t a l 1J8 number o f beds have b een m u lt i p li e d by t h e a v e ra g e c o s t p e r bed i n th e a r e a , and th e number o f p h y s ic ia n s , d e n t i s t s and n u rs e s have b een m u ltip lie d by t h e i r r e s p e c t iv e incom es p e r annum i n th e y e a r 1967. A ll added to g e th e r p ro v id e th e e s tim a te o f a d d itio n a l fu n d s needed p e r y e a r a t t h e l e v e l o f c o s ts e x i s t i n g i n 1967. V/e have th e n a n a ly z e d w h eth er t h e e lim in a tio n o f o p e r a tio n a l h o s p i t a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f th e h o s p i t a l s , " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h incomes and " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h p r o f i t s i n t h e m ed ic a l p r o f e s s i o n , drug and m e d ic a l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s p ro v id e enough fu n d s (th ro u gh s a v in g s ) t o m eet th e needs o f t h e Copper C o u n try . We have n o t a d d re sse d h e re th e q u e s tio n o f how o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s and "u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t s and incom es c an b e rem oved; n o r have we su g g ested how c an th e a lle g e d s a v in g s b e d i s t r i b u t e d t o th o s e who need them m o st. More r e s e a r c h i s needed t o sa y a n y th in g m e a n in g fu l on th e s e a s p e c ts o f t h e problem . We have th e n a n a ly z e d t h e p o s s i b i l i t y o f g e t t i n g a d d it i o n a l funds f r a u t h e c o u n ty , s t a t e and f e d e r a l s o u rc e s . To know w h e th er enough fu n d s c an b e r a i s e d i n t h e c o u n tie s i n t e r n a l l y th ro u g h ta x a tio n o r o th e r m eans, we have a n a ly z e d p r e s e n t re v e n u e s , expend­ i t u r e s and th e p e r c e n t o f rev e n u e a l l o c a t e d t o h e a l th c a r e and o t h e r programs o f th e c o u n tie s . The p o s s i b i l i t y o f r a i s i n g more fu n d s and t r a n s f e r r i n g fu n d s f r a n t h e c o u n ti e s ’ o t h e r program s t o h e a l th c a r e i s a ls o I n v e s t ig a te d . We have a l s o a n a ly z e d t h e s t a t e 's s h a re i n t o t a l revenue o f t h e s e c o u n tie s i n th e Copper C ountry compared t o 49 o th e r c o u n tie s in M ichigan. T h is g iv e s us an id e a o f w h eth er a s u b s t a n t i a l amount o f s t a t e a id can be expected o r Federal, a id would be n e c e ssa ry . We have made no a tte m p t t o d is c u s s th e w e lfa re i n p l i c a t i o n s o f th e s e r e d i s t r i b u t i o n s o f income. CHAPTER IV DISTRIBUTION OP MEDICAL DOLLAR The m e d ic a l c a r e system o f t h e Copper C o u n try , t o r e i t e r a t e , in c lu d e s ( i n th e sunnier o f 1967) f i v e a c u te - c a r e u n i t s , f i v e lo n g -te rm c a r e u n i t s ( in c lu d in g th e one a t S t . Jo se p h H o s p it a l) , th r e e s e r v ic e - p r o v id in g a g e n c ie s , 29 p h y s ic ia n s , 16 d e n t i s t s , 17*1 r e g i s t e r e d n u rs e s and 38 p r a c t i c a l n u r s e s . B ehind th e s e p r o ­ v id e r s o f s e r v i c e s s ta n d th e d ru g s u p p l i e r s , m e d ic a l equipm ent m a n u fa c tu re rs and many o th e r d i r e c t l y and i n d i r e c t l y r e l a t e d b u s in e s s e s —a l l o f which makeB com plete m e d ic a l c a r e p o s s ib l e , o j jThis c h a p te r p r e s e n t s t h e t o t a l e x p e n d itu re s needed t o su p p o rt t h e m e d ic a l c a re system o f th e Copper C o u n try , corrpares th e s e e x p e n d itu re s w ith t h e n a ti o n a l f i g u r e s and f i n a l l y , a n a ly z e s th e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f m e d ic a l d o l l a r s . N a tio n a l A ggregates The t o t a l n a t i o n a l p u b lic and p r i v a t e e x p e n d itu re s f o r h e a l th and m ed ic a l c a r e re a c h e d a n e s tim a te d $47.3 b i l l i o n i n th e f i n a n c i a l y e a r 1967 o r a b o u t 6 .2 p e rc e n t o f th e g ro s s n a t i o n a l p ro d u c t. T able 4 .1 c l e a r l y shows t h a t th e t o t a l and p e r c a p i t a m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s have been r i s i n g s t e a d i l y . 50 The r i s e may have been TABLE 4.1—Aggregate and P er C apita E xpenditures f o r H ealth and M edical Care i n th e U nited S ta te s 1959-1960 t o 1967-1968 Year : T otal* : P o p u latio n : Average p e r C ap ita E xpenditure : : : M edical E xpenditure a s Percentage o f G.N.P. / m illio n d o lla r s m illio n 1959-60 26,660 179.4 148.61 5.4 1960-61 28,635 182.3 157.08 5 .7 1961-62 30,699 185.3 165.67 5 .7 1962-63 33,070 188.2 175-72 5 .8 1963-64 35,594 190.9 186.45 5 .8 1964-65 38,441 193.5 198.66 5 .9 1967-68 47,266 197.9 238.83 6 .2 d o lla r s p e rc e n t * In c lu d e s b o th p r iv a te and p u b lic ex p en d itu res Source: For th e y e a rs 1959-60 t o 1964-65 se e "M edical Care F inancing and U t i li z a t io n ," H ealth Economic S e r ie s , No. 1-A (1967), T .2 , p . 5For th e y e a r 1967-68, se e "T rends," H e alth , E ducation and W elfare, (1967-68), P a r t I . 52 caused by co m b in atio n s o f in c r e a s e s i n t h r e e t h i n g s : p er c a p i t a demand and p r i c e s o f m ed ical c a r e . p o p u la tio n , The o v e r a l l p e rc e n ta g e r i s e i n e x p e n d itu re s has b e e n more th a n t h e r a t e o f grow th o f th e n a ti o n a l p ro d u ct. M edical c a re e x p e n d itu re s made up o n ly 5*4 p e rc e n t o f G.N.P. i n 1959^60, b u t r o s e t o 6 .2 p e r c e n t i n 1967-68. T h is In d ic a te s th e grow ing im p o rtan ce o f m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s i n th e economy. The in d e x o f m ed ical c a r e p r ic e s h a s been I n c r e a s in g f a s t e r than any o t h e r coannodity. I n th e y e a r 1967, t h e m e d ic a l c a r e p ric e in d ex w ent up t o 136.7 p o in ts (1957-59 = 1 0 0 ). in c re a s e was i n h o s p i t a l c h a rg e s (2 0 0 .1 ) . The g r e a t e s t As a r e s u l t th e s h a re o f h o s p i t a l s i n th e co n su m er's m edical d o l l a r h a s b e en in c r e a s in g over tim e (s e e T ab le 4 .2 ) . The Copper Country Health Expenditures The c o m p o sitio n o f o p e ra tin g c o s t s o f h o s p i t a l s , n u rs in g homes and s e r v ic e -p r o v id in g a g e n c ie s show t h a t s a l a r i e s a cc o u n t f o r about tw o -th ird s o f a l l c o s t s . I n h o s p ita ls i t i s a b o u t 61 p e r c e n t; i n n u rsin g hones 72 p e rc e n t and i n s e r v ic e - p r o v id in g a g e n c ie s 70 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l o p e ra tin g c o s t s . O ther m a jo r com ponents o f c o s t s i n h o s p ita ls a r e equipm ent ( 6 ,3 p e r c e n t) , fo o d ( 5*5 p e r c e n t ) , d ru g s (4.2 p e r c e n t ) , s u p p lie s (5*5 p e rc e n t) and d e p r e c i a ti o n and i n t e r e s t (4.6 p e r c e n t ) . I n n u rs in g homes, food i s th e n e x t m ajo r c o s t and accounts f o r 7 .8 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l o p e ra tin g c o s t s . B esides TABLE 4.2— Private Expenditure for Health Services by Types of Expenditures in Selected Years from 1961-67 in the United States Types of Expenditures 1961 Total : Per: Per Capita Expend- : centage : Expend- " iture : to Total : lture Total Expend­ iture 1964 Per: Per Capita centage : Expend­ to Total : iture 1967* Total : / Per: Per Capita Expend­ : centage : Expenditure : to Total : iture • million dollars percent dollars million dollars percent dollars million dollars percent dollars 19,978 100.0 110.25 24,842 100.0 131.18 29,706 100.0 150.11 Hospital Care 5,743 28.7 31.69 7,552 30.4 39.88 9,361 31.5 47.30 Physicians Services 5,472 27.4 30.20 6,775 27.3 35.78 8,078 27.2 40.82 Dentists Services 2,048 10.3 11.30 2,341 9.4 12.36 2,634 8.9 13.31 809 4.0 4.46 850 3.4 4.49 871 3.0 4.50 3,750 18.8 20.69 4,341 17.5 22.92 4,932 16.6 24.92 Eyeglasses and Appliances 783 3.9 4.32 1,043 4.2 5.51 1,303 4.4 6.58 Nursing Home Care 395 2.0 2.18 789 3.2 4.17 1,183 4.0 5.98 Net Cost of Insurance 978 4.9 5.40 1,151 4.6 6.80 1,324 4.4 6.69 Total Other Professional Services Drug and Drug Sundries Source: For Che year 1961-64* Social Security Administration, Social Security Bulletin. "National Health Expenditures, 1950-64," (January, 1966), Tables 11-12. * Obtained by linear projection of 1961 and 1964 figures. 54 s a l a r i e s , t h e m ajo r components o f c o s ts i n s e r v ic e - p r o v id in g a g e n c ie s a re : s u p p lie s ( 6 .2 p e r c e n t ) , d e p r e c ia tio n and i n t e r e s t ( 4 .1 p e r c e n t ) , and o th e r s w hich in c lu d e r e n t , t r a v e l i n g and o th e r m is c e lla n e o u s expenses (1 1 .5 p e r c e n t ) . F o r d e t a i l s on c o s t se e T ab le 4,3* C om position o f th e M edical D o lla r The n a ti o n a l t r e n d i n t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f th e c o n su m er's m e d ic a l d o l l a r i n d i c a t e s t h a t th e s h a re s o f h o s p i t a l s and n u rs in g homes have been s t e a d i l y i n c r e a s in g . T h is i s m o stly due t o two r e a s o n s : ( 1 ) th e u se o f h o s p i t a l s and n u rs in g hemes has in c r e a s e d trem en d o u sly d u rin g th e l a s t d e c a d e , and ( 2 ) t h e in d ex o f p r i c e s ( e s p e c i a l ly t h a t o f h o s p i t a l s e r v i c e s ) have in c r e a s e d more th a n m ost o f t h e c o n m o d itie s . I n th e Copper C o u n try , h o s p i t a l s g e t th e l a r g e s t s h a r e o f t h e consum er's m e d ic a l d o l l a r — ab o u t 37 p e r c e n t— fo llo w e d by p h y s ic ia n s w ith 20 p e r c e n t, d ru g s w ith 14 p e r c e n t , n u rs in g hemes w ith 10 p e rc e n t and d e n t i s t s w ith 9 p e r c e n t. The r e s t , 10 p e r c e n t , i s a c c o u n te d f o r by such item s a s eye g l a s s e s and th e n e t c o s t o f in s u ra n c e . T ab le 4 .4 p r e s e n ts t h e s e d e t a i l s . I n com parison t o n a ti o n a l f i g u r e s , t h e s h a re s o f th e h o s p i t a l s and n u rsin g homes i n th e Copper C ountry a r e s u b s t a n t i a l l y l a r g e r , b u t th e p h y s i c ia n 's s h a r e i s s u b s t a n t i a l l y lo w e r. The s h a re s o f d ru g s (14 p e rc e n t) and n e t In s u ra n c e c o s t s and g la s s e s (6 p e r c e n t) a r e low er th a n th e n a ti o n a l f i g u r e s . same. But th e s h a re o f d e n t i s t s i s a b o u t th e T ab le 4 .5 shows t h e s e co m p ariso n s. ..• .-■.U.n. ■■!»l£i!:'z-±r.:&££9Xatsr*iisa ttiasta*SHmr*mrmad TABLE b.3—Composi t io n o f th e T o ta l O perating C osts o f H o s p ita ls , N ursing Homes and S e rv ice P roviding Agencies in th e Copper Country i n 1967 V' Types o f E xpenditures H o sp ita ls : N ursing Hemes : * S erv ice-P ro v id in g Agencies p e rc en t d o lla r s p e rc e n t d o lla r s p e rc en t 2,373,051 61.43 680,666 71.70 204,430 70.13 242,826 6.29 36,513 3.85 6,825 2.34 84,796 2.20 — Pood 212,914 5.51 74,387 7.83 Drugs 161,643 4.18 16,485 1.74 8,000 2.74 U tilitie s 95,376 2.47 35,783 3.77 5,799 1.99 Laundry 35,641 0.92 12,333 1.30 100 0.03 R ep air and M aintenance 73,008 1.89 10,020 1.05 2,669 0.92 S u p p lies 212,536 5.50 26,874 2.83 18,022 6.18 D e p rec ia tio n and In te re s t 179,194 4.64 11,363 1.20 12,046 4.13 O thers 192,079 4.97 44,945 4.73 33,645 11.54 3,863,064 100.00 949,369 100.00 291,536 100.00 d o lla r s S a la r ie s and Wages Equipment M edical and P ro fe ss­ io n a l Fees T o ta l Source: — — — - - Computed from h o s p ita l re c o rd s . For com position o f th e t o t a l o p e ra tin g c o sts o f in d iv id u a l h e a lth c a re u n i t s , see Appendix B. TABLE 4 .4 — Distribution of the Consumer's Medical Care Dollar in the Copper Country in 1967 I Types of Expenditures : Total : Per Capita Expenditure : Average Family : Expenditure3 -•---- dollars Percentage of Total ' percent Hospital*5 3,517,932 68.43 171.07 37.30 Physicians 1,894,725 36.86 92.14 20.10 847,110 16.48 41.19 8.98 1,306,328 25.41 63.53 13.85 Nursing Hemes 973,732 18.94 47.35 10.32 Other Professional Services 338,301 6.58 16.45 3.59 Other1 552,687 10.75 26.88 5.86 9,430,805 183.45 458.61 100.00 Dentists Drugsc Grand Total a The t o t a l number o f fa m ilie s i s 20,564 (average s iz e o f th e fam ily i s 2 .5 . and p o p u la tio n i s 51*410). T o ta l amount o f drugs s o ld by h o s p ita ls have been deducted b e fo re com putation. d In clu d e s th e t o t a l drugs so ld by h o s p i t a l s , d o c to rs and d ru g s to re s . In clu d e s th e n e t in su ra n ce c o s t (3-86 p e rc e n t) and e y e g la s se s, e t c . (2 p e r c e n t) . Source: Computed from collected data. 57 TABLE 4 .5 — A Com parison o f t h e C om position o f th e M ed ical D o lla is i n th e Copper C ountry and i n th e -U n ite d S t a t e s i n 1967 I I I I Types o f E x p e n d itu re : Copper C ountry : U n ited S t a t e s p e rc e n t -----------------H o s p ita l 37.30 31.50 P h y s ic ia n 20.10 27.20 8.98 8.90 Drug 13.85 16.60 N u rsin g Heme 10.32 4.00 O th e r P r o f e s s io n a l S e rv ic e s 3.59 3.00 O ther# 5.86 8.80 100.00 100.00 D e n tis t T o ta l * In c lu d e s s h a r e s o f e y e g la s s e s and n e t c o s t o f I n s u ra n c e . S o u rce: T a b le 4 .2 and 4 .4 o f t h i s c h a p te r . CHAPTER V DOCTORS s P h y s ic ia n s p la y a v i t a l r o l e i n th e t o t a l m e d ic a l c a re sy s te m . They a c t i v a t e a lm o st a l l p e rs o n n e l and a l l h o s p i t a l s and n u rs in g heme f a c i l i t i e s , so i t i s q u i t e n a t u r a l t o c o n c e n tr a te more on them i n any stu d y o f t h e m e d ic a l i n d u s t r y . B e sid e s t h i s , p h y s ic ia n s a c c o u n t f o r ab o u t o n e -f o u r th o f t h e t o t a l e x p e n d itu re on m ed ica l c a r e . I n f a c t , i f th e p r e s e n t t r e n d o f r i s i n g demand and p r i c e s o f t h e i r s e r v i c e s c o n tin u e s , t h e i r s h a re i n th e consu m ers' m ed ic a l d o l l a r s w i l l f u r t h e r in c r e a s e i n t h e f u t u r e . The in d e x o f :p r i 6e s f o r p h y s ic ia n s ' s e r v i c e s in c r e a s e d from 100 i n 1957-59 t o 137.6 i n 1967; w hereas d u rin g th e same p e rio d th e g e n e r a l p r i c e in d ex r o s e t o o nly 1 1 6 .3 p o i n t s . The p r o d u c tiv ity o f p h y s ic ia n s h as a ls o in c re a s e d trem en d o u sly due t o b e t t e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n and c cm n u n icatio n f a c i l i t i e s , re d u c e d heme c a l l s , b e t t e r h o s p i t a l f a c i li t ie s , e tc . B ut th e g e n e r a l concensus i s t h a t t h e demand f o r p h y s ic ia n s h a s in c re a s e d f a s t e r th a n th e p r o d u c t i v it y and t h e number o f p h y s i c ia n s , and t h e number has f a i l e d t o I n c r e a s e f a s t enough due t o r e s t r i c t i o n o f e n tr y i n t o th e p r o f e s s i o n . 1 As a r e s u l t p h y s ic ia n s a r e a lle g e d to e a r n more th a n w hat would b e J u s t i f i e d by th e f r e e w orking o f demand and su p p ly o f t h e i r s e r v i c e s . 1 Friedm an and K u z n ets, p . 395. 58 If th is 59 is true, the situation in the Copper Country would be rather worse, because the ratio of physicians to population is about half the national average. be raised at this point: However, some real questions can whether an unrestricted supply of physicians would not Jeopardize the quality of care; or whether it would be "better" for the people to have more physicians of inferior quality or less of superior quality; or whether there is any optimum combination of quality and number of physicians; or whether it is at all possible to reach a decision on such a combination. Most of these questions Eire pedantic in nature and not essential to our inmediate interest in this chapter. The Copper Country needs more medical facilities and more funds to finance these facilities. The funds can be obtained either by getting more money from the local, state or federal sources, or by reducing the cost of medical care. One of the possible Items of savings could be in physicians' bills. The services of physicians account for about one-fourth of the total medical bill. We need to know if this is due to "unexplainable" high incomes of physicians or due to some other reasons. We are also interested in knowing the total out-flow of money in income tax on such "unexplainable" incomes because this is a pure drain on the comnunity's resources. 2 The word "unexplainable" is defined in Chapter III and also later in this chapter. 60 T h is c h a p t e r , f i r s t , e s tim a te s th e g ro s s incom e, in v e s tm e n ts , and th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r in c a n e s o f th e p h y s ic ia n s (com pared t o t h a t o f d e n t i s t s ) i n t h e Copper C o u n try , th e n com putes th e amount o f income ta x on su ch incom es t h a t flo w s o u t o f th e a r e a . The d e t a i l s o f e s tim a tio n te c h n iq u e s a r e p r e s e n te d i n C h ap ter I I I . Incanes The y e a r ly a v e ra g e g r o s s incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s I n th e Copper C ountry a r e a b o u t $70,000 t o $ 5 1 ,0 0 0 , r e s p e c t i v e l y . A f te r a llo w in g f o r t h e i r b u s in e s s e x p e n se s, th e n e t Incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s (b e fo r e income ta x ) a r e ab o u t $*12,000 a n d $2 6 , 000 , r e s p e c t iv e ly (s e e T ab le 5 . 1 ) . TABLE 5 .1 —Incomes o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 Incomes & Expenses : Physicians Dentists --------- dollars Gross Incomes3, 70,175 51,340 Business Expenses*3 28,533 25,259 Net Income 41,642 26,081 . F o r d e t a i l s o f c o n p u ta tio n s se e Appendix B. U .S. T re a su ry D ep artm en t, I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v ic e , S t a t i s t i c s o f Incom e. 1964, p . 31. N ote: T o ta l d e d u c tib le b u s in e s s ex p en ses o f th e p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s w ere about 4 0 .6 6 and 4 9 .2 0 p e rc e n t o f g ro ss r e c e i p t s , r e s p e c t i v e l y . P h y s ic ia n s som etim es u n d e r- r e p o r t t h e i r incom es and o v e r s t a t e th e ir c o s ts . A m a jo r f a c t o r i n th e o v e rs ta te m e n t o f p h y s i c ia n s ’ c o s ts i s th e p o s s i b i l i t y o f chan g in g o f f a s b u s in e s s e x p en ses c e r t a i n ty p e s ' o f consum ption e x p e n d itu r e s .^ The d a ta com piled from an a u d it o f i n t e r n a l t a x r e t u r n s by t h e I n t e r n a l Revenue S e rv ic e show t h a t p h y s ic ia n s u n d e r- r e p o r t income by ab o u t e ig h t p e rc e n t o f t h e i r n e t incom ej o t h e r in d e p e n d e n t p r o f e s s i o n a l s w ere a l s o found t o u n d e r - r e p o r t incom es more o r l e s s t o th e same e x t e n t . I n o th e r w ords, p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s pay ta x e s o n ly on 92 p e rc e n t o f t h e i r n e t incom es. Average income ta x e s (com puted) p a id by each p h y s ic ia n and d e n t i s t a r e about $11,000 and $5 , 000, r e s p e c t i v e l y . Net incom e, a f t e r ta x e s , f o r p h y s ic ia n s i s a b o u t $31,000 and t h a t o f d e n t i s t s i s a b o u t $21,000 ( s e e T able 5 .2 ) . E s tim a tio n o f t h e " u n e x p la in a b le " d i f f e r e n c e i n th e incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s : We have d e fin e d " u n e x p la in a b le ” h ig h e r incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s o v e r t h a t o f d e n t i s t s ( a com parable p r o f e s s io n ) a s th e amount o f income t h a t can n o t be e x p la in e d due t o v a r i a b i l i t y o f in co m es, 3 W. Lee H ansen, "S h o rta g e s and In v e s tm e n ts i n H e a lth Manpower," The Economics o f H e a lth and M ed ical C a re, B ureau o f P u b lic H e a lth Economics and D epartm ent o f Economics (The U n iv e rs ity o f M ich ig an , Ann A rbor, M ichigan, 196*0, P* 85. ^ M arius F a r i o l e t t i , "Some Income A djustm ent R e s u lts from t h e 19**9 A udit C o n tro l Program ," An A p p ra is a l o f t h e 1950 Census Income D a ta , V ol. 23, S tu d ie s i n Income and W ealth, ( P r in c e to n , N. J . , P rin c e to n U n iv e rs ity P r e s s ) , p . 258. 62 TABLE 5*2— Net In ca n e (b e fo re and a f t e r t a x ) and Income Tax o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n t is ts i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 • « :N et Income : (b e fo re : ta x ) • Names U ntaxed : T o ta l Income : T axable Income Income : Net Income . Tax ; ( a f te r ta x ) • * *<. * d o lla rs P h y s ic ia n s 41,642 5 ,1 3 1 36,511 10,670 30,972 D e n tis ts 26,081 3,886 22,195 5 ,0 8 2 20,999 a In c lu d e s u n d e r-re p o rte d Incom es—e ig h t p e r c e n t o f n e t income (b e fo re ta x e s ) and t a x exem ptions f o r t h r e e p e rs o n s ($ 1 ,8 0 0 ). b In c lu d e s u n tax e d incom es. n o n -p e c u n ia ry a d v a n ta g e s and d is a d v a n ta g e s , c o n d itio n s o f demand, and le n g th and c o s t o f t r a i n i n g , e t c . i n t h e tw o p r o f e s s io n s . Of c o u rs e , i t i s n o t e a sy t o a s s e s s th e q u a n t i t a t i v e im p o rtan c e o f each o f th e above f a c t o r s r e s p o n s ib le f o r t h e d i f f e r e n c e i n a v e ra g e I n c a n e s . some c a s e s , t h e e f f e c t s o f d i f f e r e n t f a c t o r s a r e m erged, and I n o t h e r s o n ly a s u b j e c t iv e e v a lu a tio n i s p o s s ib l e . I n com puting th e " u n e x p la in a b le " incom e d i f f e r e n c e betw een p h y s ic ia n s and th e d e n t i s t s , I have made no a tte m p t t o c o l l e c t and a n a ly z e th e d a ta on th e above in c a n e d e te rm in in g f a c t o r s , p a r t l y b e cau se i t I s a v e ry te d io u s and tim e consum ing p ro c e s s and m ain ly 5 b e cau se an e x c e l l e n t s tu d y by F riedm an and K u z n ets, d e a lin g p a r ­ t i c u l a r l y w ith t h i s a s p e c t, i s a v a i l a b l e . 5 Friedm an and K u zn ets, p . 394-95. In 63 Friedm an and K uznets compare th e income i n m ed icin e and d e n t i s t r y and c o n clu d e t h a t , a t m o st, 17 p e rc e n t o f t h e a d d i t i o n a l incom es i n m ed icin e c an be e x p la in e d by th e lo n g e r and c o s t l i e r t r a i n i n g needed t o g e t i n t o t h i s p r o f e s s io n . The in f lu e n c e o f re m a in in g f a c t o r s su c h a s : g re a te r v a ria b ility o f income i n m ed icin e th a n i n d e n t i s t r y ; n o n -p e c u n la ry a d v an tag e s and d is a d v a n ta g e s o f th e two p r o f e s s i o n s ; c o n d itio n s o f demand f o r s e r v i c e s , e t c . , go i n f a v o r o f m e d ic in e . I n o th e r w ords, th e s e f a c t o r s p a r t l y c o u n te rb a la n c e t h e e x t r a c o s t o f p h y s i c ia n ’s tra in in g . Friedm an and K uznets found t h a t p h y s i c ia n s ’ a v erag e incom es ( a r ith m e tic mean) w ere 32 p e rc e n t more th a n t h a t o f d e n t i s t s '. T h is d i f f e r e n c e I n inccme e v id e n tly I s n o t a tem p o rary a b e r r a t i o n . The d i f f e r e n c e i n incom es h a s p e r s i s t e d f o r a lo n g tim e a n d , i n f a c t , w idened i n th e r e c e n t y e a r s I n fa v o r o f p h y s ic ia n s . The d i f f e r e n c e i n t h e c o s ts and le n g th o f t r a i n i n g i n t h e two p r o f e s s io n s h as rem ained more o r l e s s t h e sam e. e d u c a tio n I s h e a v ily s u b s id iz e d . I n f a c t , to d a y , m e d ic a l So I t seems r e l e v a n t t o u se Friedm an and K u z n ets' e s tim a te o f t h e e x p la in a b le d i f f e r e n c e betw een th e incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s . F ried m an ’s o r i g i n a l a n a l y s i s n e g le c te d t h e e f f e c t s o f in d iv i d u a l income t a x . A p r o g r e s s iv e income t a x c o l l e c t s more f r a n f l u c t u a t i n g incom es, and p h y s i c ia n s ' incom es a r e more f l u c t u a t i n g th a n d e n t i s t s ' , ^ ^ W illiam J . S h u ltz and C. L ow ell H a r r i s , Am erican P u b lic F in a n c e , 7 th e d . (Englewood C l i f f s , N. J . , P r e n tic e H a l l , 1959)* P* 220. 64 But t h i s i s more o r l e s s com pensated bv th e g r e a t e r n o n -p ecu n iary a d v a n ta g e s o f p h y s ic ia n s w hich a r e n o t ta x e d . A nother c r i t i c i s m may be t h a t p h y s ic ia n s work lo n g e r hours p e r week th a n o th e r p r o f e s s i o n a l s , so th e mean a n n u al in c a n e of 7 p h y s ic ia n s may n o t be a good m easure. B ased on Friedm an and K u zn ets1 e s tim a te s we have computed " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s o v e r t h a t o f d e n t i s t s i n t h e Copper C ountry i n T ab le 5 .3 . TABLE 5 .3 —The T o ta l "U n ex p lain ab le" H ig h er In c a n e s o f P h y s ic ia n s Compared t o T hat o f D e n tis ts i n t h e Copper C ountry i n 1967 Ite m s : Amount d o lla rs 1 . Net Income (b e fo re ta x e s ) a ) P h y s ic ia n s b) D e n tis ts 2 . D iffe re n c e ( l a - lb ) 3. " E x p la in a b le " D iffe re n c e [17 p e rc e n t x $2 6 , 081] 4 . "U n ex p lain ab le" D iffe re n c e [ 2 - 3 3 5 . T o ta l "U n e x p la in a b le " Incomes o f P h y s ic ia n s [27 (number o f p h y s ic ia n s ) x 11,127] 41,642 26,081 15,561 (5 9 .6 6 )* 4,434 ( 17. 00) 11,127 (4 2 .6 6 ) 300,429 F ig u r e s u n d er p a r e n th e s e s show p e rc e n ta g e s o f d e n t i s t 's incom e. 7 F or o t h e r c r i t i c i s m s , se e H e rb e rt E. K laim an, The Economics o f H ealth ,(C o lu m b ia U n iv e rs ity P r e s s , New York and London, 1965). pp. 9 2 -9 3 . 65 T able 5*3 shows p h y s ic ia n s i n th e Copper C ountry e a rn e d a b o u t 60 p e rc e n t more th a n d e n t i s t s , and a b o u t 43 p e rc e n t o f th e d if f e r e n c e ($ 11, 127) can n o t b e e x p la in e d by t h e f a c t o r s enum erated b e f o r e . There a r e 27 in d e p e n d e n t p h y s ic ia n s i n t h e Copper C o u n try , so th e t o t a l "u n e x p la in e d " in c a n e o f th e p h y s ic ia n s i s e q u a l t o 27 x $11,127 = $300,429. T h is i s t h e amount th e consum ers " l o s e " , w hich th e y w ould n o t have i f in c a n e o f p h y s ic ia n s were com parable t o t h a t o f d e n t i s t s , i . e . , i f t h e p h y s ic ia n s e a rn in g s w ere o n ly 17 p e r c e n t h ig h e r th a n d e n tis ts . Tax on " u n e x p la in a b le " incom es o f p h y s ic ia n s and o u t-flo w o f money A p o r tio n o f th e "u n e x p la in e d " Income o f p h y s ic ia n s flo w s o u t o f th e community i n income t a x . T h is c a n be v i s u a li z e d a s a p u re d r a in on t h e com m unity's r e s o u r c e s . T o ta l ta x on th e " u n ex p la in e d " income p e r p h y s ic ia n i s ab o u t $4,200 and f o r t h e whole Copper C o u n try , w ith 27 p r i v a t e p h y s ic ia n s , t h e amount i s o a b o u t $113,000. Prom o u r p re v io u s c a l c u l a t i o n s we know t h a t th e t o t a l "u n ex p la in e d " incomes o f t h e p h y s ic ia n s were ab o u t $3 00, 0 0 0 . So ab out 38 p e rc e n t o f t h e i r "u n e x p la in e d " incom es i s ta x e d by governm ent and n e v e r becomes d i r e c t l y a v a i la b l e t o them o r t o th e ccnm unity. The com putations o f t a x on t h e "u n ex p la in e d " in c a n e a r e a s fo llo w s: Q The t o t a l o u t-flo w o f money a c t u a l l y may be l e s s th a n $113,000 b ecau se a p a r t o f t h e m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re o f th e p e o p le ( p a t i e n t s ) i s n o t s u b je c t t o t a x , so i f t h i s amount had s ta y e d w ith p a t i e n t s , th e y would have p a id h ig h e r t a x e s . I n f a c t , t h i s w i l l happen o n ly i f p a t i e n t s ' s a v in g s i n p h y s ic ia n s ' b i l l p u t them i n h ig h e r income b r a c k e t s . 66 Amount Net Income (b e fo re t a x ) p e r P h y s ic ia n a ) w ith " u n e x p la in a b le " in c a n e b) w ith o u t " u n e x p la in a b le " in c a n e 4 l,6 4 2 q 30,515 Tax on (a ) 10,670 Tax on (b ) 6,479 Tax P a id p e r P h y s ic ia n on "U n ex p lain ab le" In can e 4,191 T o ta l Tax on "U n ex p lain ab le" Income o f P h y s ic ia n s (27 x $4,191) 113,157 ^ $26,081 ( d e n t i s t 's income) + 17 p e rc e n t o f $26,081 = $30,515. The r e s t i s computed a s I n T able 5 .2 . CHAPTER VI THE DRUG INDUSTRY Drug manufacturers have always been criticized for having serious monopolistic trends exhibited by collusion, price fixing, intense advertising, misuse of patent privileges and high profit rates.^ The opponents of this view argue that high profit rates in the drug industry are Justified because of the high risk of Investment In the industry. Further, patent privileges are essential for the continuing research programs of the drug companies. The pros and cons of these arguments are presented briefly in Appendix A. This chapter compares the profit rate of the drug industry with that of all manufacturing industries and the "normal" interest rate for industrial capital, which by our assumption is equal to the competitive rate of profit. This comparison provides an estimate of the magnitude of the "unexplainable" higher profits in the drug industry compared to that of other industries. The higher the profit of the drug industry the higher the prices drugs are likely to be, and as there is no drug conpany in the Copper Country, the higher the out-flow of money frcm this area would be. For specific citations see Appendix A. 67 68 In o t h e r w ords, i f th e p r o f i t r a t e o f th e d ru g in d u s tr y were th e same a s t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s o r e q u a l t o th e "norm a]" r a t e o f i n t e r e s t f o r i n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l th e dru g s would have been c h e a p e r and p e o p le would have saved money on d ru g s. E stim a tin g th e s e p o s s ib le sa v in g s i s th e m ain o b je c tiv e o f t h i s •N c h a p te r. T h is a n a ly s is i s c a r r i e d o u t a t two l e v e l s : and r e t a i l e r s . m a n u fa c tu re rs The h ig h p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and drug r e t a i l e r s have d i f f e r e n t e f f e c t s on t h e re s o u rc e s o f th e people and th e economy o f th e Copper C ountry. t o th e consum er. Both a r e a " lo s s " They a r e p a y in g more f o r th e d ru g s th a n th e y would have i f th e p r i c e s were l e s s , b u t t h e h ig h p r o f i t s o f drug r e t a i l e r s lo c a te d i n th e a r e a a re n o t a lo s s t o th e cormiunity except f o r th e Incane ta x on such p r o f i t s w hich flow s o u t o f th e a re a ; w hereas th e h ig h p r o f i t o f t h e drug m a n u fa c tu re rs , s in c e th ey Eire n o t lo c a te d i n th e a r e a , I s a p u re lo s s t o th e canm unity. The m agnitudes o f th e s e a r e e s tim a te d I n t h e fo llo w in g p a g e s. P r o f i t s i n t h e Drug I n d u s tr y The p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e le a d in g drug m a n u fa c tu re rs have been much h ig h e r th a n th e le a d in g firm s i n o t h e r i n d u s t r i e s . T ab le 6 .1 shows th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f 22 i n d u s t r i e s (12 firm s i n each) i n t h e y e ar 1966. The r a t e o f r e t u r n on s to c k h o ld e r ’s in v estm en t i n th e drug in d u s tr y was d o u b le t h a t o f about o n e - t h i r d o f a l l I n d u s t r i e s , TABLE 6 .1 — R ates o f R e tu rn o f 12 L eading F irm s I n S e le c te d I n d u s t r i e s , 1966 In d u s tr y R ate o r R e tu rn p e rc e n t s Drug and M edicine P e r i o d ic a l s R adio and T e le v is io n Equipment M otor V e h ic le s Computing M achines G la ss C o n ta in e rs A irc ra ft N o n ferro u s M e tals M otor V e h ic le P a r ts C i g a r e tt e s B aking P ro d u c ts P e tro le u m R e fin in g D a iry P ro d u c ts M alt L iq u o rs Pulp Paper K n it A pparel D i s t i l l e d L iq u o rs S te e l Plum bing F ix tu r e s Cement Meat P ro d u c ts S o u rc e : 2 1 .1 2 0 .1 1 9 .8 1 7 .1 1 6 .3 1 4 .7 1 4 .6 1 4 .4 1 4 .1 1 3 .9 1 3 .5 1 2 .2 1 2 .0 1 1 .5 1 0 .6 1 0 .5 9 .1 8 .5 8 .4 6 .1 5 .3 F e d e ra l T rade Commission - R a te s o f R e tu rn f o r I d e n t i c a l Companies i n S e le c te d M an u fac tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s , 1957-1966. I f we compare th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e d ru g com panies w ith a l l th e m an u fa c tu rin g com panies, we f i n d s i m i l a r d i f f e r e n c e s . E xcept fo r t h e y e a r 1956 and 1966, t h e p r o f i t r a t e s o f d ru g In d u s tr y w ere th e h ig h e s t among th e 26 le a d in g I n d u s t r i e s ( s e e T ab le 6 .2 ) . 70 TABLE 6 .2 — R a te s o f R e tu rn o f Drug M a n u fa c tu re rs and A ll M a n u fac tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s , 1956-67 : P r o f i t R ates A f te r T axes a s a P e r : c e n t o f S to c k h o ld e r s ' E q u ity : A ll A ll Drug : M a n u fac tu re rs : M a n u fa c tu re rs Year D e rc e n t ------------------ 17.6 18.6 17.7 1 7 .8 1 6 .8 16.7 1 6 .8 16.8 1 8 .2 20.3 2 0 .3 18.7 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 12.3 11.0 8 .6 10.4 9 .2 8 .8 9 .8 10.3 1 1 .6 13.0 1 3 .5 11.7 P r o f i t Rank o f th e Drug I n d u s tr y Among A ll Manu­ f a c t u r i n g I n d u s tr ie s * ra n k 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 * Rank among th e 26 i n d u s t r i e s f o r w hich p r o f i t s a r e r e p o r te d s e p a r a t e l y i n th e Q u a rte r ly F in a n c ia l R e p o rts . S o u rce: F e d e ra l T rad e Commission and S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Com mission, Q u a r te rly F in a n c i a l R e p o rt. 1967. A few r e s e a r c h e r s a rg u e t h a t due t o th e h ig h r i s k o f in v e stm e n t i n th e d ru g i n d u s t r y , th e h ig h r a t e o f p r o f i t I s J u s t i f i e d i n t h i s I n d u s tr y . Conrad and P lo tk in a tte m p t t o t e s t t h e h y p o th e s is t h a t t h e l e v e l o f an in d u s tr y ’s p r o f i t r a t e i s p o s i t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w ith t h e d e g re e o f r i s k faced by firm s w ith in t h e I n d u s tr y . I n o th e r w o rd s, th e more r i s k y an 2 in d u s tr y , th e h ig h e r i t s a v e ra g e p r o f i t . 2 U. S. C ongress S e n a te , C o m p etitiv e Problem s i n t h e Drug I n d u s t r y , H earin g s, b e fo re t h e subcom m ittee on Monopoly o f th e S e le c t C cm nittee on Email B u s in e s s , a r e p o r t by Gordon R. Conrad and I r v in g H, P l o t k i n , 9 0 th C ongress, 1 s t and 2nd S e s s io n , P a r t 5 , 1967-68, p p . 1747-1748. 71 I t i s t r u e t h a t th e d ru g in d u s tr y i s n o t r i s k - f r e e , and r i s k does p la y a p a r t in th e h ig h p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g i n d u s t r y . r i s k premiums f o r d ru g s a r e low . But I n 1959-1964 d ru g com panies earned an a v e ra g e r e t u r n o f 18.32 p e r c e n t . a t t r i b u t e 1.68 p e rc e n t o f t h i s t o r i s k . F is h e r and H a ll M u lle r a n a ly z e s th e r e p o r t o f Conrad and P lo tk in and c o n c lu d e s t h a t though t h e v a r i ­ a b i l i t y o f p r o f i t i n t h e d ru g in d u s tr y i s more th a n i n o t h e r s , i t does n o t mean t h a t th e chance o f lo s s e s i n th e d ru g in d u s tr y i s more, o r th e i n c e n ti v e t o in v e s t t h e r e I s l e s s . M u lle r compared p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e aluminum I n d u s try ( r e l a t i v e l y r i s k - f r e e ) w ith th a t o f th e d ru g I n d u s tr y ( s o - c a l l e d h i g h - r i s k i n d u s tr y ) and found t h a t th e a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e o f th e fo im e r i s 7 .8 p e r c e n t w ith a sta n d a rd d e v ia tio n o f 1 .3 p e rc e n t w hereas th e a v erag e r a t e o f th e latter* was 1 7 .5 p e rc e n t w ith a s ta n d a rd d e v ia ti o n o f 8 .6 p e r c e n t. I h i s means t h a t tw o - th ir d s o f th e tim e , aluminum company p r o f i t s f e l l i n th e ra n g e o f 6 .5 and 9 .1 p e rc e n t and t h a t o f t h e drug In d u stry was betw een 8 .9 and 2 6 ,1 p e r c e n t. T h is c l e a r l y shows t h a t chances o f m aking h ig h p r o f i t I n t h e d ru g in d u s tr y a r e more th a n i n th e aluminum in d u s tr y i n s p i t e o f la r g e v a r i a b i l i t y i n t h e drug i n d u s tr y . M u lle r a f t e r f u r t h e r a n a l y s i s c o n c lu d e s t h a t 11. . . . th e C o n rad -P lo tk in m easure o f r i s k tu r n s o u t t o be a b e t t e r proxy o f 3 I r v in g N. F is h e r and George R. H a l l, R isk and C o rp o ra te R a te o f R e tu rn s. a p a p e r p r e s e n te d b e fo re th e E conom etric S o c ie ty (December 2 9 , 1967). C ite d by W illa rd F . M u lle r, S e n a te H earin g s on Monopoly o f t h e S e le c t Committee on a n a l l B u s in e s s , 9 0 th C o n g re ss, 1 s t and 2nd S e s s io n s , 1967-68, p . 1835- 72 „ii r e l a t i v e m ark et power them o f r i s k . " I n o th e r w o rd s, h ig h con­ c e n t r a t i o n , h ig h e n tr y b a r r i e r s and a h ig h d e g re e o f p ro d u c t d i f ­ f e r e n t i a t i o n a r e th e im p o rta n t f a c t o r s t h a t a r e b e h in d t h e p e r s i s t e n t h ig h p r o f i t s i n th e d ru g in d u s tr y . E stim a tio n o f " p r o f it- d if f e r e n c e " '* From th e above e v id e n c e and d is c u s s io n i t i s c l e a r t h a t c a n pared t o o t h e r i n d u s t r i e s , th e d ru g in d u s tr y u s u a lly e a rn s a h ig h e r r a t e o f p r o f i t . The re a s o n s f o r t h i s can n o t b e f u l l y a s c r ib e d to in v e stm e n t r i s k i n t h i s in d u s tr y . We have a n a ly z e d s e p a r a te ly th e e f f e c t s o f h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g r e t a i l e r s and drug manu­ f a c tu r e r s on th e r e s o u rc e s o f th e in d iv id u a ls and t h e community. We have computed i n T able 6 .3 th e d i f f e r e n c e betw een th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f drug m a n u fa c tu re rs and a l l m a n u fa c tu re rs , and betw een d ru g r e t a i l e r s and a l l r e t a i l e r s . As m entioned e a r l i e r i n C h a p te r I I I , two ty p e s o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " have been co nputed: a c c o u n tin g (u n a d ju s te d ) " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " , and a d ju s te d " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " . The co m p u tatio n s i n T ab le 6 .3 show t h a t th e r a t e o f "u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e drug m a n u fa c tu re rs was ab o u t 6.8*1 p e rc e n t o f e q u ity . As t h e t o t a l a v e ra g e e q u ity (1963-67) o f th e d ru g in d u s tr y was about $3,906 m i l l i o n , th e t o t a l p r o f i t i n a b s o lu te d o l l a r s was ab o u t $267 m il l io n ($3*906 m i l l i o n x 6.8*1 = $267.17 m i l l i o n ) , which e x p re s s e d - U. S . C o n g ress, S e n a te , C o m p etitiv e Problem s i n t h e Drug I n d u s t r y , H earin g s, b e fo r e th e su b c o n m ltte e on Monopoly o f t h e S e le c t Committee on Small B u s in e s s , a s ta te m e n t by W illa rd F . M u e lle r, 9 0 th C o n g re ss, 1 s t and 2nd S e s s io n s , P a r t 5, 1967-68, p p . 1829-18*13. 5 The te rm " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " i s e x p la in e d i n C h a p te r I I I . 73 TABLE 6 .3 —T o ta l "U n ex p la in ab le" P r o f i t s o f Drug M a n u fac tu re rs and Drug R e t a i l e r s M a n u fa c tu re rs and R e t a i l e r s : P r o f i t s on E q u ity p e rc e n t Drug M a n u fac tu re rs A ll M a n u factu rers D iffe re n c e 18.84 12.00 6.b*l Drug R e t a i l e r s A ll R e t a i l e r s D iffe re n c e 36.36*; 19.19 17.17 a S o u rce: F .T .C ., Q u a rte rly F i n a n c i a l R ep o rt o f m an u fa c tu rin g c o r p o r a tio n s , 1963-1967• The computed p r o f i t r a t e s ( a f t e r ta x e s ) a r e a v e ra g e s o f f i v e y e a rs (1 9 6 3 -1 9 6 7 ). S o u rce: O rin E. B u rle y , A lb e rt B. F i s h e r , J r , and R obert G. C os, Drug S to re O p e ra tin g C o sts and P r o f i t s , (McGraw-Hill Book Company, I n c . , N. Y. 1956) t a b l e s 1 6 .1 and 1 7 .1 , pp. 221, 2*12. cS o u rce: I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v i c e , S t a t i s t i c s o f Incom e, 1965, p . 32. N ote: See C h a p te r I I I and Appendix B .5 f o r a d e t a i l e d d is c u s s io n on t h e methods o f e s tim a tin g t h e p r o f i t r a t e s o f d ru g r e t a i l e r s an d a l l r e t a i l e r s . as a p e rc e n ta g e o f t o t a l s a l e s ($6,407 m illio n ) can es t o 4.17 p e r c e n t . As only th e f i g u r e s f o r t h e s a l e s o f drugs a r e a v a i la b l e I n th e Copper C o u n try , e x p re s s in g t h e " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " i n te rm s o f s a l e s (though computed on e q u ity ) w i l l f a c i l i t a t e o u r co m p u tatio n o f th e flow o f money from th e Copper C o u n try , and t h e " lo s s " o f consum ers' m edical d o l l a r s due t o t h e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g In d u s try . M u ltip ly in g t h e t o t a l d ru g s a le s o f $712,657 by th e r a t e o f p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e o f 4 .1 7 p e r c e n t, we g e t $29 ,7 1 8 a s th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h p r o f i t s o f t h e d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs from th e Copper C ountry. S im ila r ly we have computed t h i s f o r th e d ru g r e t a i l e r s . The t o t a l " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e o f th e d ru g r e t a i l e r s was 17.17 p e rc e n t (s e e T ab le 6 .3 ) o f e q u it y . 'Hie t o t a l u n e x p la in e d p r o f i t i n a b s o lu te d o l l a r s was a b o u t $20,829 «* [ e q u ity ($121, 425) x .1717]% The f i g u r e $20,829 when e x p re ss e d a s a p e rc e n ta g e o f th e t o t a l s a l e s ($505,936) comes t o 4.12 p e rc e n t. The m ark-up o f d ru g r e t a i l e r s on p r e s c r i p t i o n and p ro ­ p r i e t a r y d ru g s was ab o u t 43 p e r c e n t o f t o t a l s a l e s , and t h i s i s a b o u t $ 3 93,816. The t o t a l m ark-up ($393,816 x t h e r a t e o f " u n e x p la in e d p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " ) i s $1 6 ,2 2 5 . As i n t h e c a s e o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs , t h i s amount c o u ld be sav ed by th e consum ers o f d ru g s, i f th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f d ru g r e t a i l e r s were e q u a l t o th a t of a l l r e t a il e r s . So th e t o t a l p o s s ib le s a v in g s i n d ru g s would be a minimum o f a b o u t $46,000 i f t h e " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f th e d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and r e t a i l e r s w ere e lim in a te d . The a d ju s te d t h e o r e t i c a l " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f t h e d ru g in d u s try was a ls o computed i n t h e above way, e x c e p t t h a t th e a cc o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e o f th e in d u s tr y was a d ju s te d f o r i n t a n g i b l e s , ro y a ltie s and a d v e r t i s i n g (b e c a u se th e s e a r e n o t t o be e x p e c te d i n a p e r f e c t l y c o m p e titiv e i n d u s tr y ) and th e n was ccm pared w ith 6 th e "norm al" r a t e o f i n t e r e s t f o r i n d u s t r i a l c a p ita l* The ^ A ccording t o o u r a ssu m p tio n c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t should be e q u a l t o "norm al" i n t e r e s t r a t e f o r I n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l . 75 a d ju stm e n ts r a i s e d th e p r o f i t r a t e by 5-76 p e r c e n t, so th e a d ju s te d p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e drug in d u s tr y in c re a s e d t o 24 p e rc e n t. D educting a c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t o f 7 p e r c e n t, which by o u r assum ption i s e q u a l t o t h e "norm al" r a t e o f i n t e r e s t , we g e t 17 p e rc e n t a s th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t N, r a t e o f t h e d ru g in d u s t r y . The a v e ra g e (1963-67) t o t a l e q u ity o f th e d ru g in d u s tr y was a b o u t $3,906 m il l io n so th e t o t a l amount o f " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t was about $687.46 m i l l i o n s , w hich i s about 1 0 .6 3 p e rc e n t of, t h e t o t a l s a l e s ($6,467 m i l l i o n ) . The t o t a l v a lu e o f d ru g s s o ld by h o s p i t a l s (v a lu e d a t c o s t p r i c e ) and drug s t o r e s i s $ 1 ,1 0 6 ,4 7 3 , so th e t o t a l " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f th e d ru g in d u s tr y from t h e Copper C ountry i s $ 1 ,1 0 6 ,4 7 3 x g .1036 = $117,618 maximum. T his i s t h e amount t h a t th e consum ers could sa v e i f th e p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e d ru g in d u s tr y were e q u a l t o our assumed c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t . 7 Computed by Kamerschen f o r C hem ical and A llie d P ro d u c ts . We have used t h i s f i g u r e f o r d ru g i n d u s tr y b e c a u se d ru g s i n in d u s tr y come i n th e same i n d u s t r i a l g ro u p in g , and o t h e r b e t t e r e s tim a te s f o r drug i n d u s t r i e s were n o t a v a i l a b l e . See Kam erschen, p . 153. g We have assumed h e re t h a t t h e r a t i o o f e q u ity t o s a l e s i n d ru g s to r e s i s t h e same a s t h a t o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs . T h is may n o t b e a very r e a l i s t i c a ssu m p tio n , b u t vie do n o t e x p e c t th e m arg in o f e r r o r t o be l a r g e , b ecau se th e r a t e o f p r o f i t on s a l e s and h ig h p r o f i t r a t e s a r e alm ost t h e same f o r b o th d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs and d ru g s t o r e s . CHAPITSR V II THE HOSPITAL EQUIFMENf INDUSTRY The te c h n o lo g ic a l p ro g re s s I n m e d ic a l equipm ent h a s c o n tr ib u te d much t o th e developm ent o f m e d ic a l s c ie n c e . S o p h is tic a te d equipm ent has in c r e a s e d th e p r o d u c t i v it y o f d o c to r s and e n a b le d h o s p i t a l s to p ro v id e many more s e r v i c e s o f b e t t e r q u a l i t y . P r ic e s and needs f o r t h i s equipm ent have been in c r e a s in g f a s t , and now equipm ent c o n s t i t u t e s a m ajo r ite m o f th e c o s t o f m e d ic a l c a r e . I n th e Copper C ountry, equipm ent a c c o u n ts f o r a b o u t 6 .2 9 p e rc e n t (second m ajo r c o s t) o f t o t a l h o s p i t a l c o s t s , and 3 .8 5 p e rc e n t ( f o u r th m ajo r c o s t) o f th e to ta ] c o s ts o f n u rs in g homes. V.fe a r e I n t e r e s t e d i n knowing w h eth er th e p r i c e s o f equipm ent co u ld be low er w ith o u t lo w e rin g t h e p r o f i t r a t e o f m e d ic a l e q u ip ­ ment in d u s try below com parable i n d u s t r i e s . As we have m entioned e a r l i e r , t h e Copper C ountry needs more m edical c a re o f b e t t e r q u a l i t y , b u t th e a b i l i t y o f p e o p le t o pay f o r t h i s s e r v ic e i s v e ry l im i te d . T h e re fo re , i f th e m ed ical e q u ip ­ ment in d u s tr y r e a l l y e a rn s a v e ry h ig h p r o f i t , t h i s would n o t only J e o p a rd iz e th e q u a l i t y and k in d o f s e r v ic e s p ro v id e d , b u t a ls o f u r t h e r l i m i t th e a lr e a d y d e f i c i e n t r e s o u r c e s . T h is c h a p te r e s tim a te s th e m agnitude o f "u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t r a t e o f th e m e d ic a l equipm ent I n d u s tr y compared t o a l l m an u factu rin g i n d u s t r i e s . T h is w i l l p ro v id e a m easure o f t h e p o s s ib le 77 sa v in g s o f t h e consum ers' m ed ica l d o l l a r s th ro u g h e lim in a tio n o f th e " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t r a t e . The p ro c e d u re s f o r e s tim a tin g t h i s p r o f i t a r e o u tlin e d i n C h a p te r i l l . H o s p ita l equipm ent i s m an u factu red by s e v e r a l m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s trie s . I n m ost o f them , such equipm ent a c c o u n ts f o r o n ly an i n s i g n i f i c a n t p r o p o r tio n o f th e t o t a l p ro d u c tio n , so i t i s v e ry d i f f i c u l t t o compute p r o f i t r a t e s s e p a r a t e l y . C h a p te r I I I d e s c r ib e s in d e t a i l t h e c o m p u ta tio n a l d i f f i c u l t i e s and o u r e s tim a tio n t e c h ­ niq u es i n c a l c u l a t i n g th e p r o f i t r a t e o f t h e h o s p i t a l equipm ent in d u s tr y . E s tim a tio n o f t h e D iffe re n c e i n t h e P r o f i t R a te o f t h e M edical Equipment In d u s tr y and A ll M an u factu rin g I n d u s t r i e s The co m p u tatio n o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " i n th e equipm ent in d u s tr y i s based on a sam ple o f t h r e e f iim s e x c lu s iv e ly p ro d u cin g a l l k in d s o f h o s p i t a l equ ipm ent. T o g e th e r th e y acco u n t f o r ab o u t 18.7 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l s a l e s o f m ed ic a l equipm ent. T a b le 7 .1 g iv e s a com­ p a r a tiv e p i c t u r e o f th e n e t p r o f i t s o f th e equipm ent in d u s tr y and a l l m a n u fa ctu rin g in d u s tr y . T ab le 7 .1 shows t h a t t h e a v e ra g e r a t e s o f p r o f i t s ( a f t e r ta x e s ) on e q u ity I n th e l a s t f i v e y e a rs (1963-67) w ere 15 and 12 p e rc e n t f o r th e equipm ent in d u s tr y and a l l m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s , r e s p e c t i v e l y . T h e re fo re , i f we ta k e th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f a l l m an u fa c tu rin g i n d u s t r i e s as a s ta n d a rd f o r o u r com parison we f in d t h a t th e r a t e o f " p r o f i t d if f e r e n c e " i s o n ly t h r e e p e rc e n t I n th e equipm ent i n d u s t r y . E x p ressed 78 TABLE 7 .1 — P r o f i t o f H o s p ita l Equipment and A ll M a n u fac tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s , 1963-67. : T o ta l e q u ity : Net P r o f i t : T o ta l e q u ity : o f h o s p ita l : ( a f te r : of a ll . : equipm ent : ta x e s ) : m a n u fa c tu rin g Year : Net P r o f i t : (a fte r . : ta x e s ) 1963 72.42 8 .3 6 189,678 19 ,4 8 3 1964 82.13 10.41 199,764 23 ,2 1 1 1965 91.38 13.59 211,717 27 ,5 2 1 1966 100.76 16.64 230,281 30,937 1967 112.87 19.96 247,584 29,008 T o ta l 459.56 68 .9 6 r ( 15. 00) 1,079,024 130,160 (1 2 .00) a O btained from th e r e c o r d s o f I n d iv id u a l f i r m s , I am in d e b te d t o N e v ille D o herty f o r p ro v id in g t h i s in fo rm a tio n and a d v is in g me on t h e c o m p u tatio n o f th e r a t e o f " p r o f i t d if f e r e n c e " . S ource: F e d e ra l T rad e Com mission, Q u a rte rly F in a n c ia l R e p o rt„ 1963-1967. Q F ig u re s i n p a r e n t h e s is a r e p e rc e n ta g e s o f t o t a l s . in d o l l a r s , t h i s t h r e e p e r c e n t p r o f i t r a t e i s e q u a l t o $2 .7 6 m i l l i o n [3% ( r a t e o f p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e ) x 9 1 .9 1 m il l io n (a v e ra g e e q u ity from 1963- 67) = $2.76 m i l l i o n ] w hich i s ab o u t 1.04 p e r c e n t o f t h e a v e ra g e s a l e s ($265 m illio n ) o f th e i n d u s t r y . The t o t a l e x p e n d itu re on equipm ent i n th e y e a r 1967 was $28 6 ,1 6 4 , M u ltip ly in g t h i s f i g u r e by 1.04 p e r c e n t, we g e t t h e amount o f " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t s o f $3,176 i n th e equipm ent i n d u s t r y . 79 The c o s t o f m e d ic a l c a r e i n th e Copper C ountry w ould have b een lo w er by t h i s amount i f t h e r a t e o f p r o f i t i n th e m e d ic a l equipm ent in d u s tr y w ere e q u a l t o t h a t o f a l l manu­ f a c tu r in g i n d u s t r i e s . I t w ould p ro b a b ly be i n s t r u c t i v e t o lo o k i n t o th e a d ju s te d t h e o r e t i c a l " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " o f t h e m e d ic a l equipm ent in d u s t r y . The p ro c e d u re o f e s tim a tin g t h i s i s o u tlin e d i n C h a p te r I I I and i s th e same a s u se d i n th e c a s e o f t h e drug I n d u s tr y . The a v e ra g e p r o f i t r a t e ( a f t e r ta x e s ) o f th e equipm ent in d u s tr y from 1963-67 was 15 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l e q u it y . p ro fit r a te fo r ro y a ltie s , A d ju s tin g t h i s i n ta n g i b le s and a d v e r tis e m e n t, we g e t a p r o f i t r a t e o f 1 9 .4 0 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l e q u ity .^ As we d e fin e d e a r l i e r , t h e a d ju s te d " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " i s th e d i f f e r e n c e betw een th e r a t e o f r e t u r n on e q u ity and th e i n t e r e s t r a t e on i n d u s t r i a l c a p ita l. The I n t e r e s t r a t e used i n t h i s c a s e i s se v e n p e r c e n t. So th e a d ju s te d t h e o r e t i c a l p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e i s 12,40 p e rc e n t o f t h e t o t a l e q u it y . C o n v e rtin g t h i s i n t o th e t o t a l amount o f p r o f i t I n d o l la r s i t i s $11.4 m i l l i o n [.1240 x 91*91 (a v e ra g e e q u ity ) «= $11.39 m illio n , w hich i s 4 .3 0 p e r c e n t o f t h e a v erag e s a l e s ($265 m il l io n ) . 1 Kamerschen e s tim a te d t h a t p r o f i t r a t e in c r e a s e d by a b o u t 4.40 p e rc e n t when a d ju s te d f o r r o y a l t i e s , I n ta n g ib le s and a d v e rtis e m e n t. The f ig u r e 4 .4 0 p e rc e n t I s a c t u a l l y f o r - p r o f e s s i o n a l , s c i e n t i f i c and c o n t r o l l i n g in s tr u m e n ts , p h o to g ra p h ic and o p t i c a l g o o d s, w atches and c lo c k s , e t c . But m ost o f t h e m ajo r h o s p i t a l equipm ent can es u n d e r t h i s i n d u s t r i a l g ro u p . T h e r e f o r e , we do n o t e x p e c t t h e e r r o r t o be s i g n i f i ­ c a n t. See K am erschen, p . 153. 2 We have c o n v e rte d t h e p r o f i t r a t e on e q u ity a s a p e rc e n t o f s a l e because t h i s f a c i l i t a t e s o u r c o m p u tatio n o f th e t o t a l " lo s s " o f Copper1 Country due t o h ig h p r o f i t s o f t h i s in d u s t r y . 80 I n t h e whole Copper C ountry m e d ic a l I n d u s t r y , t h e t o t a l e x p e n d itu re s on equipm ent I n th e y e a r 1967 was $286,164. M u ltip ly in g t h i s f i g u r e by 4 .3 0 p e r c e n t , we g e t th e amount o f ’'u n e x p la in a b le 11 h ig h e r p r o f i t s i n th e equipm ent in d u s t r y . I n o th e r w o rd s, t h i s i s th e amount t h e Copper C ountry h as " l o s t " due t o th e h ig h e r p r o f i t o f t h i s in d u s tr y compared t o th e c o m p e titiv e p r o f i t r a t e . Adding t h e t o t a l i n t e r e s t p a id on t h i s amount g iv e s th e t o t a l o u tflo w o f money from t h e com­ m unity f o r which no e q u iv a le n t amount o f equipm ent was re c e iv e d (s e e T ab le 7 .2 ) . Prom t h e r e s u l t s o f T ab le 7 .2 , i t seems t h a t th e o u tflo w o f money due t o th e " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " i n t h e equipm ent in d u s tr y is not s u b s ta n tia l. Of c o u rs e , i n e v a lu a tin g th e s e r e s u l t s we must keep i n mind t h a t o u r e s tim a te o f p r o f i t was b ased on a sam ple o f o n ly t h r e e firm s which a cc o u n te d f o r 19 p e rc e n t o f to ta l s a le s . However, we can s a f e l y c o n clu d e t h a t t h e " lo s s " o f consum ers' m e d ic a l d o l l a r s and t h e d r a i n on th e re s o u r c e s o f th e Copper C o u n try , due t o th e " u n e x p la in a b le " " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " in th e equipm ent I n d u s tr y , a r e n o t v e ry s i g n i f i c a n t . TABLE 7 .2 —T o ta l "Loss" o f Consumers' M edical D o lla rs Due t o "A djusted" and "U nadjusted" P ro fit-D iffe re n c e o f th e M edical Equipment In d u stry i n th e Copper Country i n 1967 Types o f : P ro fit-D iffe re n c e : R ate o f P ro fit-D iffe re n c e p e rc en t T o ta l : "U nexplainable" : P r o f its : T o ta l In te re s t p a id "Loss" t o Consumers d o lla r s d o lla r s d o lla r s A djusted 4.30 12,305 1,476 13,781 Unadjusted 1.04 3,176 384 3,560 CHAPTER V II I HOSPITAL EFFICIENCY H o s p ita ls , to d a y , a r e th e c e n te r o f most m ed ica l a c t i v i t i e s . Both p h y s ic ia n s and p a t i e n t s have te n d e d t o u se them more ex­ te n s iv e ly i n r e c e n t y e a rs . The form er f in d them s u i t a b l e f o r t h e i r p r o f e s s io n a l work, and th e l a t t e r u se th a n f o r b e t t e r tre a tm e n t and t o be e l i g i b l e f o r i n s t i t u t i o n a l i z e d paym ents. A lso th e re have been e x tr a o r d in a r y p r i c e in c r e a s e s f o r h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s i n t h e l a s t d ecad e. The index o f p r ic e s o f h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s in c re a s e d from 100 i n 1958-59 t o 200 i n th e y e a r 1967; whereas i n th e same p e rio d t h e g e n e r a l p r i c e l e v e l w ent up t o only 116. I n f a c t , th e r i s e I n th e p r i c e s o f h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s was more th a n f o r most o th e r consum er com m odities. Ih e p o s s ib le reaso n s f o r t h i s co u ld be many, b u t a few o f th e Im p o rta n t ones a re g e n e ra l e x p an sio n i n th e s e r v ic e s o f f e r e d by h o s p i t a l s , g e n e ra l i n f l a t i o n , in c r e a s e i n p o p u la tio n and in c r e a s e i n th e In d iv id u a l demand f o r h o s p i t a l s e r v i c e s . H o s p ita ls to d ay a re m o stly n o rv -p ro fit e n te r p r is e s and r e c e iv e most o f t h e i r paym ents th ro u g h h e a lth in s u ra n c e o r g a n iz a tio n s and th e governm ent. The n o n - p r o f it s t a t u s o f h o s p i t a l s u nder p re s e n t i n s t i t u t i o n a l i z e d payment system (in s u ra n c e , goverrm ent paym ents, e t c . ) does n o t p ro v id e th e n e c e ssa ry in c e n tiv e f o r an 82 83 e f f i c i e n t o p e r a tio n . A lso th e la c k o f i n t e r - and i n t r a - h o s p i t a l c o o rd in a tio n among a d m i n i s t r a t o r s , p h y s ic ia n s and t r u s t e e s r e s u l t s i n un o ccupied b e d s , unused equipm ent and g e n e r a l e x c e s s c a p a c ity in th e h o s p ita ls . I n a p la c e l i k e t h e Copper C o u n try , w here 35 p e r c e n t o f t h e f a m ilie s a r e below t h e p o v e rty l i n e , and w here a s i g n i f i c a n t p ro ­ p o r tio n o f t h e p e o p le r e c e iv e o nly in a d e q u a te m e d ic a l c a r e , any e x i s t i n g i n e f f i c i e n c i e s i n t h e o p e ra tio n o f m ed ica l f a c i l i t i e s become a m a tte r o f g r e a t c o n c e rn . The h o s p i t a l s and th e n u r s in g homes r e c e iv e ab o u t 48 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l m ed ic a l e x p e n d itu re i n th e Copper C o u n try , and t h i s i s s i g n i f i c a n t l y h ig h e r th a n t h e n a tio n a l f i g u r e o f 36 p e r c e n t. T h e re fo re , any o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c y i n t h e s e f a c i l i t i e s would mean a s u b s t a n t i a l " l o s s " o f consum ers' m e d ic a l d o l l a r s . I n view o f t h e e x te n s iv e m e d ic a l needs o f th e p e o p le , w ith v e ry lim ite d fu n d s to buy them , i t i s im p e ra tiv e t h a t t h e e x i s t i n g o p e r a tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c i e s be e lim in a te d from t h e sy stem . The m ain o b j e c ti v e o f t h i s c h a p te r i s t o e s tim a te th e amount o f o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c y i n th e Copper C ountry h o s p i t a l s and n u rsin g homes. T h is w i l l e n a b le us t o compute th e amount o f money th a t can be t h e o r e t i c a l l y sa v ed and made a v a ila b le f o r f in a n c in g th e m ed ica l needs o f t h e p e o p le o f t h i s a r e a . 8*t E s tim a tio n o f t h e O p e ra tio n a l I n e f f i c i e n c y o f th e H o s p ita ls Based on T h e ir O p e ra tin g R a tio s The term " e f f ic ie n c y " used i n t h i s c h a p te r does n o t conform t o th e d e f i n i t i o n o f m arket e f f i c i e n c y . F o r t h a t r e a s o n "a h o s p i t a l i s e f f i c i e n t " does n o t mean t h a t th e h o s p i t a l i s o f optimum s i z e and th e m e d ic a l c a r e i s p ro v id e d a t th e minimum p o s s ib le c o s t . I n f a c t , we have made no a tte m p t t o do any m arket a n a ly s is o f t h e h o s p i t a l s and m e d ic a l c a r e . A ll m easure­ m ents o f e f f i c i e n c y a r e s t r i c t l y b a se d on o p e ra tin g r a t i o s o f th e h o s p i t a l s , and t h e word " o p e r a tin g e f f i c ie n c y " h a s been used m o stly i n th e r e l a t i v e s e n s e . F iv e c r i t e r i a have b een s e l e c te d t o m easure th e o p e ra tin g e f f i c i e n c i e s o f th e h o s p i t a l s . They a re : 1) le n g th o f s ta y 2) c o s t p e r p a t i e n t day 3) c o s t p e r bed *J) number o f p e rs o n n e l p e r bed 5) r a t e o f occupancy A ccording t o o u r a ssu m p tio n s , f o r a g iv e n q u a l i t y o f c a re and ty p e o f p a t i e n t , a h o s p i t a l i s a more e f f i c i e n t o p e r a tio n I f i t has h ig h e r r a t e o f occupancy, low er c o s t p e r p a t i e n t d a y , s h o r t e r le n g th o f s t a y , low er c o s t p e r b e d , and few er p e rs o n n e l p e r b e d . T hese in d ic a t o r s a r e In te rd e p e n d e n t, and th e m agnitude o f one o f them , w ith o u t r e f e r e n c e t o th e m agnitude o f th e o t h e r s , t e l l s v e ry l i t t l e about th e l e v e l o f t h e o p e r a tio n a l e f f i c i e n c y . I n o t h e r w ords, high p e r p a t i e n t day c o s t i n a p a r t i c u l a r h o s p i t a l by i t s e l f does not 85 mean t h a t t h a t h o s p i t a l i s i n e f f i c i e n t . The le n g th o f s ta y may 1 be s h o rt enough t o compensate f o r th e h ig h c o s t . A com parison o f th e m agnitude o f th e i n d ic a t o r s i n th e Copper Country h o s p i t a l s w ith t h a t o f th e S t a te and N a tio n a l av erag es would g iv e u s a b e t t e r id e a o f t h e i r r e l a t i v e e f f i c ie n c y (se e T ab les 8 . 1 , 8 .2 and 8 ,3 ) . These t a b l e s , 8 .1 and 8 .2 , show t h a t th e number o f p e rs o n n e l p e r b ed , on an a v e ra g e , i s l e s s i n t h e Copper Country th a n i n t h e r e s t o f th e s t a t e (2 .5 6 ) and n a tio n ( 1 .8 7 ) . I n t e n s i t y o f c a re i n any h o s p i t a l t o a g r e a t e x te n t depends on t h e number o f p e rs o n n e l p e r bed. I h e more in te n s iv e th e c a re c e t e r i s p a r ib u s , t h e s h o r t e r th e av erage le n g th o f s t a y . T h is may be one o f th e re a s o n s f o r more th a n average le n g th o f s ta y and l e s s th a n average p e r p a t i e n t day c o st f o r th e s e h o s p i t a l s . h o s p ita l E s P e rso n n e l p e r bed i s th e lo w est i n (1 .1 5 ) ; h u t i t may n o t mean E S h a s th e g r e a t e s t o p e ra - t i o n a l e f f i c ie n c y , because th e r a t e o f occupancy i n t h i s h o s p i t a l i s th e lo w e st, which n e c e s s a r ily means a low req u ire m e n t f o r p e rs o n n e l. I n h o s p ita l Bs p e rso n n e l p e r bed i s o nly 1.115. u n d e re stim a tio n o f th e r e a l s i t u a t i o n . T his i s a c t u a l l y an F i r s t , because i t does n o t In clu d e th e s e r v ic e s re c e iv e d from B tudent n u r s e s ,^ and seco n d , because i t in c lu d e s beds and p e rs o n n e l o f i t s lo n g -te rm u n i t . In o th e r w ords, 1.115 p e rs o n n e l p e r bed i s a combined f ig u r e o f b o th 1 See C hapter I I I f o r d e t a i l e d d is c u s s io n . 2 T here a r e 65 n u rse s each w orking minimum o f 16 h o u rs p e r week. T h is i s e q u iv a le n t t o 26 f u l l - t i m e n u rs e s . TABLE 8.1— Indicators of Operational Efficiency, Acute Care and Long-term Facilities in Michigan and in the United States S ta te o r United S ta te s : i n Acute Care : Acute Care : Long-term days Michigan United S ta te s Personnel r e r Bed Acute Care : Long-term d o lla rs f e te o f Occupancy Acute Care : Long-term Cost p er Bed Acute Care : Long-term percent d o lla rs rubber 8.10c t7.50d 22.3*>d 2.56f 7.50a 1*8.28^ 21. 89k 1.87b n .a .J 0.98b 79.^ 82.O*1 13,^ 5,921* 76.0b 85.0b I I j SIT3 2,586s a Hie fig u res f a r 1967 were obtained by stra lg frtlln e p ro je c tio n o f figures o f 19*15-60 in "Medical Care Financing and U tiliz a tio n ," Health Economic S e rie s, No. 1 (Washington, D. C ., 1962) pp. 126, 160. Hie fig u res f a r 1967 were obtained by a s tra ig h t lin e p ro je c tio n o f th e tren d frcn 1961-65 In "Medical Care Financing and U tiliz a tio n ," Health Econcmlc S e rie s. No. 1-A (Washington, D. C ., 1967) pp. 60-6l. Source: Michigan S ta te Plan. 1967-68 f o r H ospital and Medical F a c ilitie s Construction, Michigan Department o f Public , H ealth, pp. tUW-85Source: "Health Manpower," Social S ecurity B u lle tin , (September 1968), pp. 5-9. f Computed frc n c and d above. Source: Leo Reich, Inventory o f Health F a c il it i e s , p . 26. ® Computed by dividing t o ta l cost by r ic h e r o f beds as ( * 2,586). h Source: " Ite sin g H tre U tiliz a tio n and Costs in Selected S ta te s ," Health Econanlcs S e rie s. No. 8 (Washington, D. C ., 1968) p . 17 1 »» 4lO i n 1967. A pproxim ately 14 to 15 p e rc e n t o f th e p o p u la tio n i s 65 y e a rs and o l d e r , which i s s u b s t a n t i a l l y h ig h e r th a n t h e 8 .5 p e rc e n t f o r th e s ta te . The c u r r e n t in c id e n c e o f c h ro n ic i l l n e s s and d e a th i s much h ig h e r and t h e a v a i la b l e m ed ic a l s e r v ic e s a r e much l e s s th an f o r th e s t a t e o r n a ti o n . F u r th e r , a s i g n i f i c a n t p ro ­ p o rtio n o f th e p o p u la tio n can n o t buy w hatever s e r v i c e s a re a v a i la b l e . More f a c i l i t i e s , funds and income a r e needed i n t h i s area t o p ro v id e a d e q u a te m e d ic a l c a r e t o th e p e o p le . S in c e th e r e s e a r c h was aimed a t e s tim a tin g a d d it i o n a l m edical f a c i l i t i e s needed, t h e so u rc e s o f fin a n c e and p la n r e q u ire d , th e i n v e s t i g a t i o n c o n c e n tra te d on f o u r f e a t u r e s : 1. Studying l e v e ls and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f m ed ic a l c a re e x p e n d itu re s by ty p e s o f s e r v i c e s . 129 130 E s tim a tin g p o s s ib le sa v in g s o f m ed ical d o l l a r s by e lim in a tin g t h e o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s o f h o s p i t a l s , " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h income i n th e m e d ic a l p r o f e s s io n and " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h p r o f i t s o f d ru g and m ed ica l eouipm ent i n d u s t r i e s . 3. S tu d y in g e f f e c t s o f h e a l th in s u ra n c e i n in c r e a s in g c o s ts o f m e d ic a l c a r e . 4. I n v e s t ig a ti n g p o s s ib l e s o u rc e s f o r f in a n c in g m ed ic a l need s o f th e Copper C ountry. The Copper C ountry I s p r im a r ily a r u r a l a r e a ; o nly about * o n e -fo u rth o f th e p o p u la tio n i s u rb a n . The p o p u la tio n i s g ra d u a lly d e c l in i n g , b u t th e p r o p o r tio n o f p e o p le above 6h y e a rs I s in c r e a s in g . The a v e ra g e s i z e o f a fa m ily i s ab o u t 2 .5 p e rs o n s and 35 p e rc e n t o f th e f a m i li e s e a rn l e s s th a n $3*000 a y e a r . The g e n e ra l l e v e l o f e d u c a tio n i s v e ry low and h ead s o f f a m ilie s have only an a v e ra g e o f n in e and o n e - h a lf y e a r s o f s c h o o lin g . The m edical c a re f a c i l i t i e s c o n s i s t o f f i v e a c u te - c a r e h o s p i t a l s w ith 317 t e d s , f i v e lo n g -te rm c a re u n i t s w ith 263 beds and t h r e e s e r v i c e p ro v id in g a g e n c ie s . T rain ed m e d ic a l manpower I s I n s h o r t su p p ly . The v/hole o f t h e Copper C ountry i s se rv e d by 29 p h y s ic ia n s (two a re governm ent e n p lo y e e s ), 16 d e n t i s t s , 45 lic e n s e d p r a c t i c a l n u rse s and 88 r e g i s t e r e d n u r s e s . To e q u a l t h e n a t i o n a l a v erag e th e above s t a f f sh o u ld be ab o u t doubled (s e e T a b le 1 0 .1 ). The t o t a l e x p e n d itu re on a l l ty p e s o f m e d ic a l c a re i n th e Copper C ountry v;as a b o u t $9.4 m illio n i n 1967. p e rc e n t o f t h e g ro s s Income f o r t h a t y e a r . T h is i s about 67 Of t h e t o t a l consum ers' 131 m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu r e s , 37 p e rc e n t went t o h o s p i t a l s , 20 p e rc e n t t o p h y s ic ia n s , n in e p e rc e n t t o d e n t i s t s , 14 p e rc e n t f o r d r u g s , and 10 p e rc e n t t o n u rs in g homes w h ile th e r e s t was used f o r o th e r p r o f e s s io n a l f e e s , eye g l a s s e s , n e t in s u ra n c e c o s t s , e t c . The co m p o sitio n o f m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s i n th e U n ited S t a te s i s s lig h tly d if f e r e n t. The s h a re t o h o s p i t a l s was 31 p e rc e n t and t o n u rs in g homes fo u r p e r c e n t—b o th l e s s th a n i n t h e Copper C ou n try . But th e s h a re t o p h y s ic ia n s was 27 p e rc e n t and t o d ru g s was 17 p e rc e n t—b o th more th a n i n t h e Copper C ountry (s e e T able 4 .5 ) . 'Hie a v e ra g e g r o s s income o f p h y s ic ia n s i n t h e Copper C ountry i s about $70,000 p e r y e a r . D educting t h e i r b u s in e s s e x p e n se s, which i s 41 p e rc e n t o f g r o s s incom e, t h e i r n e t incom es b e fo r e and a f t e r ta x e s a r e $42,000 and $ 3 1 ,0 0 0 , r e s p e c t i v e l y , w hereas t h e av erage g r o s s income o f d e n t i s t s i s a b o u t $51,000 and t h e i r b u sin e ss ex p en ses a r e about 49 p e r c e n t. T h e ir n e t incom es b e fo r e and a f t e r ta x e s a r e ab o u t $26,000 and $ 2 1 ,0 0 0 , r e s p e c t iv e ly (s e e T ab les 5-1 and 5 .2 ) . P h y s ic ia n s and d e n t i s t s in v e s te d ab o u t th r e e and s i x p e r c e n t, r e s p e c tiv e ly , o f t h e i r n e t incom es i n th e m edical i n d u s tr y . Thus an a v e ra g e p h y s ic ia n re c e iv e d about 60 p e rc e n t more th a n an a v e ra g e d e n t i s t . About 17 p e rc e n t o f t h i s d if f e r e n c e c o u ld be e x p la in e d by th e lo n g e r and c o s t l i e r t r a i n i n g in m edicine and th e remainder* may be a t t r i b u t e d t o t h e d i f f i c u l t y o f e n tr y i n t o th e p r o f e s s io n . The co m p u tatio n s show t h a t each p h y sic ia n re c e iv e d an " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r income o f ab o u t $11,000 compared t o t h a t o f d e n t i s t s , and f o r a l l p h y s ic ia n s i n th e Copper 132 Country th e t o t a l was about $300,000 (s e e T able 5*3)* The t o t a l ta x o f ab o u t $113,000 on " u n e x p la in a b le " income flo w s o u t o f th e a re a and i s a p u re d r a i n on t h e conm unity' s r e s o u r c e s . Drug m a n u fa c tu re rs e a rn a h ig h r a t e o f p r o f i t . In f a c t , s in c e 1957 (ex c ep t f o r 1966) th e p r o f i t r a t e s i n th e d ru g in d u s tr y were th e h ig h e s t among a l l i n d u s t r i e s (s e e T ab le 6 . 2 ) . P ric e c o m p e titio n in e t h i c a l d ru g s i s r e s t r i c t e d by p a te n t p r i v i l e g e s w h ile i n te n s i v e a d v e rtise m e n t and s a l e s prom otion o f p a r t i c u l a r b ran d s may c r e a t e b a r r i e r s t o e n tr y . The t o t a l " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t s o f drug m a n u fa c tu re rs and drug r e t a i l e r s from th e Copper C ountry (compared t o t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu re rs and r e t a i l e r s ) were ab o u t $30,000 and $16,000, r e s p e c t i v e l y . U n e x p lain ab le d if f e r e n c e s i n p r o f i t ( p r o f l t - d i f f e r e n c e ) r a t i o s (u n a d ju s te d p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e ) were’ computed by d e d u c tin g t h e p r o f i t r a t e s o f a l l m an u fa c tu re rs and a l l r e t a i l e r s from t h e p r o f i t r a t e s o f drug m a n u fa c tu re rs and drug r e t a i l e r s , r e s p e c t iv e ly . The t o t a l amount o f "u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t v:as computed by m u ltip ly in g t h e r a t e o f " p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e " by th e t o t a l s a l e s . I n com puting th e a d ju s te d " u n e x p la in a b le p r o f i t - d if f e r e n c e ," I t was assumed t h a t th e c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t sh o u ld be eq u al t o th e "norm al" r a t e o f I n t e r e s t f o r i n d u s t r i a l c a p i t a l . And t h i s i n t e r e s t r a t e v/as th e n d ed u cted from t h e a d ju s te d a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e m a n u fa c tu re rs and r e t a i l e r s t o compute th e r a t e o f a d ju s te d " u n e x p la in a b le p r o f i t - d i f f e r e n c e , " w hich m u lt i p li e d by th e t o t a l s a l e s o f d ru g s i n th e Copper C ountry e q u a ls th e t o t a l a d ju s te d "u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t o f ab o u t $118,000. 133 The h o s p i t a l equipm ent in d u s tr y showed u n a d ju s te d " u n e x p la in a b le ” p r o f i t o f o n ly $4,000 when i t s a c c o u n tin g p r o f i t r a t e was compared v /ith t h a t o f a l l m a n u fa c tu rin g . But when compared w ith th e "norm al" r a t e o f i n t e r e s t (a s i n th e c a s e o f th e d ru g I n d u s t r y ) , w hich by o u r a ssu m ption i s e q u a l t o th e c o m p e titiv e r a t e o f p r o f i t , th e t o t a l s a d ju s te d " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t was $14,000. I n o t h e r w ords, t h e e x p e n d itu re o f th e C opper C ountry m e d ic a l in d u s tr y would h av e been about t h a t much lo w er i f t h e r e w ere no " u n e x p la in a b le " p r o f i t s i n t h e m ed ical equipm ent in d u s tr y . T h u s, t h i s amount i s a ls o l o s s t o th e conm unity. The h o s p i t a l s r e c e i v e th e l a r g e s t p r o p o rtio n o f th e consum ers' m edical d o l l a r i n t h e Copper C o u n try . I n com parison t o th e n a ti o n a l a v e ra g e s, th e h o s p i t a l s I n th e Copper C ountry have low er c o s t s p e r p a ti e n t day (ex c ep t f o r h o s p i t a l E _ ), lo n g e r le n g th o f s ta y (e x c e p t s f o r h o s p i t a l E ) , few er p e rs o n n e l p e r b e d , and g e n e r a l l y a h ig h e r s r a t e o f occupancy (e x c e p t f o r h o s p i t a l E , se e T a b le 8 .1 and 8 . 2 ) . s The le n g th o f s ta y an d r a t e o f occupancy a re in te r d e p e n d e n t, so t o o b ta in a r a t e o f occupancy com parable t o t h a t o f t h e U n ited S t a t e s , i t was a d ju s te d f o r th e le n g th o f s t a y . I n o th e r w o rd s, w hat would th e r a t e o f occupancy be i n th e Copper Country h o s p i t a l s i f t h e le n g th o f s ta y a c t u a l l y were e q u a l t o th e av erag e f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s ? The r e s u l t s show t h a t , e x c e p t f o r h o s p i t a l s D . t h e a c t u a l r a t e o f occupancy i s much l e s s i n t h e Copper C ountry h o s p i t a l s (s e e T ables 8 .4 ) th a n t h e U n ited S t a t e s a v e ra g e . C o n sid e rin g 85 p e rc e n t' a s th e " e f f i c i e n t " r a t e o f occupancy, t h e a c tu a l number o f u n occu p ied beds v/as computed by m u ltip ly in g t h e p e rc e n ta g e d i f f e r e n c e betw een 134 " a d ju s te d " and " e f f i c i e n t " r a t e o f occupancy by t h e number o f beds i n th e h o s p i t a l s ( s e e T ab le 8 .5 ) . The nurrber o f u noccupied beds was th e n m u lt i p li e d by th e c o s t o f each u n occupied bed t o g e t th e t o t a l m ain ten an ce c o s t o f such b e d s . T h is i s ab o u t $510,000, w hich i s about 13 p e rc e n t o f t h e t o t a l c o s t o f a l l h o s p ita ls . I n o t h e r w o rd s, h o s p i t a l s e r v ic e s c o u ld be p ro v id ed t h a t much c h e a p e r i f t h e s e o p e r a tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s w ere e lim in a te d . The r a t e o f occupancy i n t h e lo n g -te rm f a c i l i t i e s i s about 95 t o 99 p e r c e n t , Which shows t h a t th e s e f a c i l i t i e s a r e overcrow ded; t h i s i s f u r t h e r s u b s ta n t ia t e d by a lo n g l i s t o f w a itin g p a t i e n t s . The r o l e o f h e a lth in s u r a n c e , i n f in a n c in g m e d ic a l c o s t s , has in c re a s e d trem en d o u sly d u rin g th e l a s t two d e c a d e s . About tw o -th ird s o f a l l m e d ic a l e x p e n d itu re s a r e p a id by in s u ra n c e com panies. In s u r e d p e rs o n s u se more m ed ic a l c a re th a n u n in s u re d p erso n s (se e T ab le 9 .2 and 9 .3 ) . I t I s d i f f i c u l t t o sa y w h eth er in su re d p eo p le u s e more m e d ic a l c a r e th a n n e c e s s a r y , o r t h a t u n in su red p e o p le a r e n o t a b le t o pay f o r th e n e c e s s a ry m e d ic a l c a r e . V.'ith th e s p i r a l l i n g p r i c e o f m ed ica l c a r e , th e c o s t o f In s u ra n c e i s a ls o in c r e a s in g , and th e p o o r f i n d i t i n c r e a s in g ly d i f f i c u l t t o pay f o r In su ra n c e prem iums. Pbout o n e - t h i r d o f a l l f a m i li e s i n th e Copper C ountry, and more th a n h a l f th e f a m i li e s w ith fa m ily head s over 64 y e a r s , do n o t hav e any In s u ra n c e p r o t e c t i o n , b u t t h e i r m edical needs a r e g e n e r a lly more th a n o t h e r s . T hese a r e t h e t y p i c a l , m ed ica lly in d ig e n t f a m i li e s o f t h e Copper C o u n try . 135 Seme a l t e r n a t i v e f i n a n c i a l a rra n g e m e n ts, b e s id e s in s u ra n c e p r o t e c ti o n , a r e re q u ir e d t o e n a b le th e m e d ic a lly in d ig e n t p eo p le t o buy a d e q u a te m ed ica l c a r e . To p ro v id e m e d ic a l c a re to th e p r e s e n tly u n d e rse rv e d p o p u la tio n i n th e Copper C ountry, t h e fo llo w in g a d d it i o n a l f a c i l i t i e s a r e needed: ab o u t 1*10 lo n g -te rm »■» b e d s, 13 p h y s ic ia n s , sev en d e n t i s t s , 45 lic e n s e d p r a c t i c a l n u r s e s , *10 r e g i s t e r e d n u rs e s and n in e te c h n ic ia n s . T hese f a c i l i t i e s would c o s t th e Copper C ountry p e o p le a p p ro x im a te ly $2.17 m i l l i o n p e r y e ar (s e e T ab le 1 0 .2 ) . However, e x p re s s in g t h e m ed ic a l n e ed s o f th e Copper C ountry i n te rm s o f manpower and d o l l a r s may a c t u a l l y be an o v e r s i m p l i f i c a t i o n o f th e s i t u a t i o n . The need f o r t h e above number o f beds and t r a i n e d p e rs o n n e l i s , a t b e s t , an approxim ate e s tim a te and does n o t prom ise any s i g n i f i c a n t Improve­ ment i n t h e q u a l i t y o f c a r e . I t d o e s, how ever, g iv e some id e a o f th e m agnitude o f th e c u r r e n t n e e d . The t o t a l sa v in g s from th e removal o f i n e f f i c i e n c i e s and e lim in a tin g " u n e x p la in a b le " incomes and p r o f i t s i n th e m e d ic a l in d u s tr y amount t o o nly about $860,000 t o $950,000 (se e T ab le 10.3)* Even i f t h i s amount could be sa v e d , an a d d itio n a l $1.25 m i l l i o n would rem ain t o b e funded th ro u g h o t h e r so u rc e s. T h is co u ld n o t b e r a i s e d e n t i r e l y w ith in th e c o u n tie s because p r e s e n tly 38 p e rc e n t o f th e t o t a l revenue o f t h e c o u n tie s (in c lu d in g s t a t e a i d , w hich i s 58 p e rc e n t o f t h e t o t a l rev en u e o f th e Copper C ountry) i s s p e n t on h e a l t h , w e lf a r e , and m e d ic a l a s s i s t a n c e , and i f t h e c o u n tie s had t o fin a n c e I t by i n t e r n a l re v e n u e s , alm ost a l l th e rev e n u es o f th e c o u n tie s would be e x h au ste d and n o th in g 136 would b e l e f t f o r o t h e r program s (se e T able 1 0 .4 ) . The s t a t e ' s av erage s h a re i n t h e t o t a l re v e n u e s o f a l l c o u n tie s i n M ichigan i s ab out 37 p e rc e n t. T h is shows t h a t th e s t a t e i s a lre a d y g iv in g more th a n a p r o p o r tio n a te amount o f a id t o th e Copper C ountry (see T a b le 1 0 .4 ). T h is re d u c e s th e lik e lih o o d t h a t s t a t e a i d s could b e in c re a s e d enough t o p ro v id e f o r a l l m e d ic a l needs o f th e a r e a . I t seems c l e a r t h a t u n d er t h e e x i s t i n g s i t u a t i o n more f e d e r a l a i d i n th e form o f m e d ic a re , m e d ic a id , o ld -a g e a s s i s t a n c e , e tc . m ust be added t o p ro v id e f o r a d d it i o n a l m ed ic a l n e e d s. I f e e l t h a t b e s id e s rem oving e x i s t i n g i n e f f i c i e n c i e s and " u n e x p la in a b le ” incomes and p r o f i t s i n th e sy ste m , f i n a n c i a l p a r t i c i p a t i o n a t a l l le v e ls — c o u n ty , s t a t e and f e d e r a l —i s needed t o p ro v id e a d e q u a te m edical c a r e t o th e m e d ic a lly in d ig e n t p e o p le o f th e Copper C o u n try . However, th e above n eed s f o r a d d i t i o n a l m ed ica l f a c i l i t i e s and e x te r n a l a id a r e l i k e l y t o be te m p o ra ry , b ecau se t h e o v e r a l l p o p u la tio n o f t h i s a r e a i s d e c lin in g and th e number o f o ld p e o p le about 64 y e a r s , w hich has b een in c r e a s in g i n p re v io u s y e a r s , now shows s t a b i l i z i n g t r e n d s . F u r t h e r , t h e economy o f t h i s a r e a i s a ls o g ra d u a lly r e c o v e rin g from a slum p. o f perm anent f a c i l i t i e s C o n se q u e n tly , c o n s tr u c tio n and lo n g -te rm a id program s t o h a n d le p r e s e n t needs may not be e co n o m ic a lly sound. To d e te rm in e w h eth er n e ed s a r e o f perm anent n a tu r e , i t i s reconrnended t h a t th o ro u g h s tu d ie s be made on th e dem ographic t r e n d and c o m p o sitio n , t r e n d o f m o rb id ity and mor­ t a l i t y r a t e and f u t u r e inccme and employment p o s s i b i l i t i e s i n t h e Copper C ountry. 137 However, f o r a more com prehensive and r e a l i s t i c p la n t o p ro v id e a d e q u a te m e d ic a l c a r e , a d d i t i o n a l r e s e a r c h m ust be done on th e fo llo w in g a s p e c ts : (1 ) optimum l o c a ti o n o f new f a c i l i t i e s ; (2 ) s p e c i f i c in c e n tiv e p la n t o a t t r a c t t r a i n e d manpower t o t h e a r e a ; (3 ) ways t o remove o p e r a t io n a l i n e f f i ­ c ie n c ie s i n h o s p i t a l s , e lim in a te " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r income i n t h e m ed ica l p r o f e s s io n and " u n e x p la in a b le " h ig h e r p r o f i t s i n th e drug and m ed ica l equipm ent i n d u s t r i e s w ith o u t je o p a r d iz in g t h e i r e f f i c i e n t f u n c tio n in g ; (4 ) ways t o r e d i s t r i b u t e p o s s ib l e sa v in g s i n t h e m e d ic a l in d u s tr y t o t h e p e rs o n s who need them m ost; (5 ) o t h e r a l t e r n a t i v e m ethods o f p ro v id in g m e d ic a l c a r e ; (6) improvement needs i n th e f e d e r a l program s f o r more e f f e c t i v e fin a n c in g o f m e d ic a l n eed s o f th e aged and th e p o o r w ith o u t re d u c in g in c e n tiv e s o f h o s p i t a l s and n u r s in g homes t o d e c re a s e c o s t. C o n c lu sio n s The Copper C ountry i s a t y p i c a l m e d ic a lly in d ig e n t r e g io n . With i t s h ig h p r o p o r tio n o f o ld p e o p le and h ig h in c id e n c e o f ch ro n ic i l l n e s s , th e a r e a i s i n s e r io u s need o f more lo n g -te rm beds and t r a i n e d manpower. F in a n c e s f o r th e s e a d d itio n a l f a c i l i t i e s can n o t be e n t i r e l y found by e lim in a tin g w h a tev e r o p e ra tio n a l i n e f f i c i e n c i e s and " u n e x p la in a b le " income and p r o f i t s e x is t. S u f f i c i e n t i n c r e a s e s i n fu n d s th ro u g h cou n ty t a x a t i o n does not seem t o be a p o s s i b i l i t y e i t h e r ; so I f e e l t h a t u n d e r t h e p re s e n t s i t u a t i o n more s t a t e and f e d e r a l a i d m ust b e p ro v id e d t o 138 fin a n c e a d d it i o n a l m ed ica l needs o f th e p e o p le . However, p r e s e n t needs f o r a d d it i o n a l m ed ica l f a c i l i t i e s and e x te r n a l a id may be tem porary b ecau se th e p o p u la tio n o f th e Copper C ountry i s d e c lin in g and income p e r fam ily i s g ra d u a lly in c r e a s in g . C onsequently, b e fo re c o n s tr u c tin g perm anent f a c i l i t i e s , i t must be d eterm ined w hether th e needs a re l i k e l y t o c o n tin u e . 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The R oles o f M ergers I n th e Growth o f L arge F i n n s . B e rk eley : U n iv e r s ity o f C a l i f o r n i a P r e s s , 1953. W illiam s and W orks, E n g in e ers - S u rv ey o rs - P la n n e r s . "The Economy o f Houghton County M ic h ig a n ." Grand R a p id s, M ich ig an , March 1967, ( t y p e w r i t te n ) . APPFJIDIK A appendix a I. Incomes o f d o c to r s ; The r i s i n g Incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s have alw ays been a c o n tr o v e r s i a l i s s u e . Men i n o t h e r p r o f e s s io n s have been c r i t i c a l ab o u t t h e changing r e l a t i v e f i n a n c i a l s i t u a t i o n i n fa v o r o f t h e m ed ica l p r a c t i t i o n e r s . A few o f th e view p o in ts on th e s e a r e a s fo llo w s : I n th e y e a rs 1942-52, a n av erag e o f 13,400 s tu d e n ts was a d m itte d t o t h e p r a c t i c e o f law each y e a r . 1 D uring th e same y e a r th e number o f in d iv i d u a ls a d m itte d t o th e p r a c t i c e o f m ed icin e a v e ra g e d 6,259 a y e a r o r l e s s th a n h a l f th e number b e in g added a n n u a lly t o t h e l e g a l p r o f e s s io n . The r e s u l t i s t h a t th e supply p o s i t i o n o f d o c to r s p e r 100,000 p o p u la tio n d e c re a se d from 164 i n 1910 t o 132 i n 1955, w hereas t h a t o f law y ers in c re a s e d from 125 t o 146 i n th e same p e r io d . From t h i s i t would seem t h a t ( i f we assume c o m p e titio n p r e v a i l s ) th e incom es th a n t h a t o f d o c to r s . o f law y ers m ust be c o n s i s t e n t l y h ig h e r But i f welo o k i n t o th e incom e p o s i t i o n o f th e two p r o f e s s i o n s , we f i n d t h a t though i n i t i a l l y law yers had s l i g h t l y h ig h e r incom es th a n d o c to r s , t h i s p o s i t i o n h a s lo n g 1 Cunningham and R eed, Guide t o L earn in g and L iv in g . (Simon & S c h u ste r, 1 9 5 5 ), p p . 1 7 -1 8 . 2 M edical L ic e n s u re S t a t i s t i c s f o r 1966, l 6 l J o u r n a l o f Am erican M edical A s s o c ia tio n . 357 (May 2 6 , 1956). 145 1HG been re v e rs e d i n fa v o r o f d o c to r s . I n th e 1930fs la w y e rs ' a v e ra g e incomes d e c re a se d t o 57 p e rc e n t a s much a s d o c t o r s '. 3 In a co m p a rativ e stu d y o f incom es o f d i f f e r e n t p r o f e s s i o n a l s , Friedman and K uznets f i n d t h a t t h e incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s a r e ab o u t s 32 p e rc e n t h ig h e r th a n t h a t o f d e n t i s t s . They can e x p la in o n ly 17 p e rc e n t o f t h e d if f e r e n c e by h ig h e r c o s t and lo n g e r d u r a tio n o f tr a i n in g o f p h y s ic ia n s . They a t t r i b u t e th e u n e x p la in e d 15 p e rc e n t H to d i f f i c u l t y o f e n tr y i n to m edicine* Were th e e n tr y i n t o t h e two p ro fe s s io n s e q u a lly e a s y , th e number o f p h y s ic ia n s sh o u ld have been th re e tim e s th e number o f d e n t i s t s t o wipe o u t th e income d i f f e r e n c e s 6 But th e r a t i o o f p h y s ic ia n s t o d e n t i s t s a t t h a t tim e was o n ly 2:1* 5 More r e c e n t l y , F riedm an p o in ts o u t t h a t th e only way p h y s ic ia n s co u ld raise* t h e i r income i s by r e s t r i c t i n g su p p ly . T h is th e y have accom7 fi p lis h e d th ro u g h t h e i r c o n tr o l o v e r t h e s t a t e lic e n s u r e m echanism .' * ^ L o ev in g er, p p . 615-618. lj M ilto n Friedm an and Simon Kuznets, Income from In d ep en d en t P r o f e s s io n a l P r a c tic e s . N a tio n a l Bureau o f Economic R esearch (New York, 1 9 4 5 ). 5 I b i d . p . 133. 6 I b i d . p . 29. 7 M ilto n F riedm an. P r ic e T heory: A ldine, 1962) p p . 1 5 9 -lS T A P r o v is io n a l T e x t, (C hicago: Q F o r a c r i t i c i s m o f Friedm an an d Kuznets* s tu d y see H e rb e rt E. K la m a n 's The Economics H e a lth . (Colum bia U n iv e rs ity P re s s : New Y ork, 1965), p p . 90-94. 3747 Iri th e p o s t-w a r p e r i o d , t h e d i f f e r e n c e betw een p h y s ic ia n s ' f) income and o th e r p r o f e s s io n s lias w idened • ' And t h e r e i s ev ery reaso n t o b e lie v e t h a t th e s h o rta g e o f p h y s ic ia n s h a s p e r s i s t e d 10 i f not in te n s ifie d * S anders b e lie v e s t h a t th e p u b lis h e d incom e f i g u r e s o f p h y s ic ia n s •N a re to o low. As a n e v id e n c e h e c i t e s many v a c a n c ie s i n th e D epartm ent o f H ealth w ith s a l a r i e s more th a n p r e s e n t l y r e p o r te d income f i g u r e s o f p h y s ic ia n s . T hese p o s i t i o n s rem ain u n f i l l e d e v en though t h e advantages t h e r e ( s h o r t e r and more r e g u l a r h o u rs , r e tir e m e n t b e n e f i ts , e t c . ) a r e much g r e a t e r th a n i n in d e p e n d e n t p r a c t ic e s . 11 Of c o u rse he n e g le c ts t h e f a c t t h a t t h e s e p o s i t i o n s in c lu d e a d m in is tr a tiv e d u ty (w hich many p h y s ic ia n s do n o t l i k e ) and do n o t have th e charm and freedom o f a n in d e p e n d e n t p r a c t i c e . There a r e s e v e r a l o p p o sin g view s on t h e s u b j e c t s o f su p p ly and 12 incomes o f p h y s ic ia n s . But t h e c o n cen su s seems t o be t h a t 9 Herman M iles Somers and Anne Ramsey Som ers, D o c to rs . P a t i e n t s and H ealth In s u r a n c e , (W ash., D .C .iT he B ro o k in g s I n s t i t u t e , 1§61) p p . 2 0 0 -5 . 10 P aul A. Sam uelson, E co n o m ist. F i r s t e d i t i o n (New Y ork. McGraw H i l l . 19*8), p . 9 5 . --------------^ B ark er S . S a n d e rs , "D isc u ss io n o f S t r u c t u r e , U ses and In a d e q u a c ie s o f th e O f f i c i a l P r ic e D e f le c t o r s ," P ro c e e d in g s o f t h e B u sin e ss and Economic S t a t i s t i c s S e c tio n o f t h e A m erican S t a t i s t i c a l A s s o c ia tio n , (Wash. D .C .: The A s s o c ia tio n , 1959) p p . 320-322 c i t e d I n K larm an, p . 91. 12 For an i n t e r e s t i n g d is c u s s io n o f d i f f e r e n t v iew s s e e t h e Economics o f H ealth by H e rb e rt E . Klarman (Colum bia U n iv e r s ity P re s s : New York, 19&5) pp. 88-101. i48 p h y s ic ia n s a r e i n s h o r t s u p p ly . To cope w ith th e i n c r e a s in g p o p u la tio n , a n o th e r 10 t o 30 f o u r - y e a r m e d ic a l sc h o o ls need t o be e s t a b l is h e d i n t h e n e a r f u t u r e . T h is p o in t o f view i s a ls o shared by t h e A m erican M edical A s s o c ia tio n . 13 The Am erican M edical A s s o c ia tio n (AMA) h a s b een v e ry s u c c e s s fu l i n c o n t r o l l i n g t h e su p p ly o f p h y s ic ia n s an d m ain­ ta in in g th e h ig h incom es o f th e p r o f e s s i o n . The AMA e n jo y s a very la r g e m em bership and k eep s a s tr o n g c o n t r o l on i t s members because o f i t s a b i l i t y t o b o th b e n e f i t and p u n ish members. A key f u n c tio n o f th e AMA i s i n s p e c tio n and a p p ro v a l o f m e d ic a l sc h o o ls. About 50 p e rc e n t o f th e a p p l i c a t i o n s t o e n t e r th e m ed ical p r o f e s s io n a r e r e j e c t e d . Of c o u rs e , t h i s k eep s th e sta n d a rd o f m e d ic a l p r o f e s s io n h ig h . But t h e s t r i c t e r th e sta n d a rd s s e t f o r t h e p r o f e s s io n , t h e s m a lle r th e number o f th o s e a b le t o q u a li f y and t h e a n a l l e r th e su p p ly o f p r o f e s s i o n a l s e r v ic e s a v a i l a b l e t o th e p u b l i c . L o ev in g er sa y s " . . . . re a s o n a b le b alan ce m ust b e s t r u c k betw een s ta n d a rd s a d e q u a te t o m a in ta in a h ig h le v e l o f p r o f e s s i o n a l com petence and n e c e s s ity f o r p e r ­ m ittin g a s u f f i c i e n t number o f p e rs o n s t o e n t e r t h e p r o f e s s io n each y e a r t o p ro v id e t h e s e r v i c e s r e q u ir e d by th e p u b l i c . 13 14 Herman M ile s Somers and Anne Ramsey Som ers, D o c to rs , P a t i e n t s and H ealth In s u ra n c e (W ashington, D. C ., The B rookings I n s t i t u t e 19t>lJ, pp. 124-125. C ite d i n H e rb e rt E. K larm an, The Economics o f H ealth (Columbia U n iv e rs ity P r e s s : New Y ork, London, p . 161",’ S om erses, pp. 124-125, C ite d i n Klarm an, p . 101. L o e v in g e r, p p . 615-6 149 The Drug I n d u s tr y I n th e l a s t few d e c a d e s, th e d ru g com panies, th ro u g h t h e i r re s e a rc h u n i t s , have c o n tr ib u te d much t o t h e developm ent o f new dru g s. The p r i c e s o f th e s e new d ru g s a r e g e n e r a lly v e ry h ig h , and th e g e n e r a l co n cen su s i s t h a t i f a c o m p e titiv e s i t u a t i o n e x is te d i n t h e d ru g i n d u s t r y , t h e p r i c e s co u ld be much lo w er. T hat i s why d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs were c r i t i c i z e d i n s e v e r a l c o n g re s s io n a l h e a rin g s. The fo llo w in g pages a r e d e v o te d t o g e n e r a l d is c u s s io n s o f th e s t r u c t u r e , conduct and p erform ance i n th e d ru g in d u s tr y . P ric in g P r a c t i c e s : F or more th a n a dozen y e a r s , drug m a n u fa c tu re rs have b een involved i n a w orld-w ide c a r t e l t o f i x t h e p r i c e o f b ro ad -sp ec tru m a n tib o tlc s ( e f f e c t i v e a g a in s t b o th gram p o s i t i v e and gram n e g a tiv e b a c te r ia ) a t i d e n t i c a l , g r o s s ly i n f l a t e d , and u n co n scio n a b ly h ig h p r ic e s . A c a r t e l o f f i v e p h a rm a c e u tic a l f irm s : C h a rle s P f i z e r and Company, I n c . , Am erican Cynamid Company, B risto l-M y e rs and Company, I n c . , th e Squibb D iv is io n o f O lln M athieson Chemical Cor­ p o ra tio n , and t h e Upjohn Company* f ix e d th e p r i c e s o f b ro ad -sp ec tru m a n tib o tlc s a t an u n re a so n a b ly h ig h l e v e l and c o n s p ire d to fo llo w th a t u n ila te r a lly . P i l l s w ith p ro d u c tio n c o s t o f o n ly 1 .6 c e n ts were so ld t o t h e Am erican p u b l ic , u n t i l r e c e n t l y a t 51 c e n ts each 15 and now s e l l f o r a b o u t 30 c e n ts p e r p i l l . 15 H earings b e fo re th e S e n a te Subcom m ittee on A n t i tr u s t and Monopoly, 87th C ongress, 1 s t S e s s io n , (December 7 - 9 , 1 9 6 1 ), p p . 2407-8. 100 I n F e b ru ary 1969 th e same f i r m s , u n d e r a n t i t r u s t law s, were accused o f h a r v e s tin g huge p r o f i t s by r ig g in g t h e p r ic e o f a wonder d ru g and were fo rc e d t o o f f e r a payment o f $120 m illio n 16 to s e t t l e alm o st 100 c i v i l law s u i t s * I n I960 S h e rin g b i d $17.97 on P re d n is o n e , an Im portant drug ■ s f o r a r t h r i t i s , on a c o n tr a c t to t h e m i l i t a r y procurem ent ag en cy . I t s p r ic e t o th e d r u g g i s t a t t h a t tim e was $170 f o r th e same b o t t l e (5 m .g. t a b l e t s , 1000 p e r b o t tl e ) s e l l i n g u n d e r th e tr a d e name, M e tic o rte n . S h e rin g d id n o t g e t t h e o r d e r from th e m i l i t a r y . o f th e s m a lle r com panies won w ith a b id o f a b o u t $10. One A ccording to th e 1966 Redbook, w hich p u b lis h e d t h e p r i c e s p ro v id ed by th e drug com panies th e m s e lv e s , S h erin g i s s t i l l s e l l i n g a t th e p r i c e o f $170 t o th e d r u g g i s t s . I f a d o c to r w r ite s a p r e s c r i p t i o n u n d e r th e g e n e ric name "P re d n iso n e " I n s te a d o f " M e tic o rte n ," t h e consumer can buy t h e i d e n t i c a l d ru g f o r l e s s t h a n $20. ^ A nother example i s th e case o f R e s e rp in e , a n im p o rta n t hypo­ te n s iv e d ru g . m il i ta r y . In 1959 CIBA was b id d in g 60 c e n t s on s a le s t o th e At th e same tim e , i t s p r i c e to th e d r u g g is t was $39*50 f o r th e same q u a n tity (25 m .g. t a b l e s p e r 1000 b o t t l e ) . By 1964, th e m i l i t a r y p eo p le w ere buying them f o r a ro u n d 47 c e n ts and a c c o rd in g to th e 1966 Redbook, CIBA's p r ic e f o r t h e same day s o ld u n d e r i t s tra d e name " S e r p a s i l ," was $39.50. I n c lu d in g t h e d r u g g i s t 's m ark-up the consumer p a id a b o u t $65 • The S ta te News (M ichigan S t a t e U n i v e r s i ty ) , F ebruary 7» 1969* p . 3. 17 U .S. C o n g ress, S enate H e a rin g s , 89t h C o n g re ss, S e ss io n 2 , PA 3 pp. 2886-2912. 18 ^ I d . . pp. 2886-2912. 151 S im ila r ly , T e tra c y c le n e was s o ld a t p r e n e g o tia te d p r ic e s under d i f f e r e n t names by d i f f e r e n t com panies, Cynamid s o ld i t as Cliromycin, P f i z e r a s T e tra c y n and Upjohn a s Panmycin. charged alm ost 50 tim es t h e c o s t o f th e p ro d u c t. They They a ls o se cu re d p a te n st r i g h t s by m is r e p r e s e n ta tio n i n th e P a te n t O f f i c e .19 Product D i f f e r e n t i a t i o n : Dnrg firm s a r e a b le t o d i f f e r e n t i a t e t h e i r p ro d u c ts by brand names and i n te n s iv e a d v e r t is in g . E vidence a t th e 1956-60 Senate A n t i tr u s t H earin g s on th e Drug In d u s tr y in d ic a t e s t h a t drug companies spend a b o u t o n e -f o u rth o f t h e s a le s d o l l a r on 20 prom otion o r a b o u t $4,000 a y e a r p e r d o c to r. Camanor and W ilson s tu d ie d 41 i n d u s t r i e s and found t h a t a l l bu t two had low er a d v e r tis in g to s a l e s r a t i o s th a n t h a t o f d ru g m a n u fa c tu re rs. T h e ir s tu d ie s a ls o re v e a le d t h a t a d v e r t is in g o u tla y s re p r e s e n t l e s s th a n h a lf o f th e t o t a l s e l l i n g e x p e n d itu re s o f d ru g com panies. 21 In f a c t , m ost d o c to rs depend upon th e a d v e r t i s e r s t o t e l l them about th e d ru g s. Due t o t h e i r busy s c h e d u le s , d o c to rs cannot keep pace w ith th e m u ltitu d e o f d ru g s coming i n t o th e m a rk e t. So d o c to rs terjd t o reconmend th e h ig h ly p u b lic iz e d b ran d s th e y a r e most 19 F or a v e ry i n t e r e s t i n g and illu m in a tin g d is c u s s io n o f t h i s see 8 9 th Congress S e ss io n 2 , p a r t 3 , p p . 2886-2912. 20 A d m in is tra tiv e P r i c e s i n th e Drug I n d u s tr y , H earings b e fo re th e S e n a te C om nittee on A n t i tr u s t and Monopoly, 86th C o n g ress, S e ss io n 2 (I960) p a r t 18, p p . 10454-58. 21 W illiam E . Camanor and Thomas A. W ilson, " A d v e rtis in g , M arket S tr u c tu re and P erform ance: An B n p ir ic a l A n a ly s is ," Review o f Economics and S t a t i s t i c s . (November 1 9 6 7 ), Appendix, T ab le 2. 152 f a m i li a r w ith . T h is I s why a b o u t 90 p e rc e n t o f t h e p r e s c r i p t i o n s today a r e w r i t t e n w ith e x p en siv e brand names, e v en though c h e a p e r g e n e ric e q u iv a le n ts a r e a v a i l a b l e . The s a le s o f p r e s c r i p t i o n d ru g s have b een in c r e a s in g f o r th e l a s t few d e c a d e s . 22 Between 1929 and 1956 r e t a i l p r e s c r i p t i o n s a l e s grew f r a n $1^0 m i l l i o n t o $ 1 .5 b i l l i o n , ■s an in c r e a s e o f a lm o st 1,000 p e r c e n t , and n e a rly t h r e e tim e s a s f a s t as t o t a l d ru g s to re s a l e s . ^ T h is t r e n d i s s t i l l c o n tin u in g . I s in t h e p r e s c r i p t i o n drugs t h a t d r u g s to re s g re a t p r o f i t . th e d r u g s to r e s It and com panies make I f a d o c to r p r e s c r i b e s a p a r t i c u l a r b ran d o f m e d ic in e , a r e l e g a l l y a llo w ed t o f i l l th e p r e s c r i p t i o n w ith t h a t brand o n ly . Sometimes d o c to r s h o ld s to c k s i n d ru g com panies, t h i s i s a n o th e r rea so n why th e y te n d t o reconm end s p e c i f i c brands* A stu d y a t th e U n iv e rs ity o f W isco n sin shows t h a t , in d e e d , d o c to r s h o ld in g s to c k p re s c rib e d th e b ra n d o f t h e i r c o n p a n ie s about 19 p e rc e n t o f t h e tim e in 1963 and 13 p e rc e n t o f th e tim e i n 196^ and m ore th a n th e d d c to r s -----w ith no s to c k . More th a n c o in c id e n t ly , t h e i r ( d o c to r s w ith s to c k ) p a tie n ts p a id an a v e ra g e o f 33 p e rc e n t more f o r d ru g s th a n p a t i e n t s o f th e o th e r p h y s ic ia n s (w ith o u t s to c k ) d i d i n 1963, and an a v e ra g e o f 20 p e rc e n t more i n 196*h2^ 22 P r e s c r i p t i o n d ru g s a r e th o s e w hich a re s o l d under d o c to r’s a u th o r iz a tio n p lu s th o s e n o n p r e s c r ip tio n drugs f o r w hich d o c to r s w ro te a p r e s c r i p t io n . 2*3 Lucy M. K ram er, "Drug and M e d ic in e s ," (O ctober 1958) p . 932. P u b lic H e a lth R e p o rts 89t h C o n g re ss, S e s s io n 2 , p p . 11929-11931* 89t h C o n g re ss, S e s s io n 2 , (May 19-June 6 , 1966) p p . 11929-11931* 153 C o n c e n tra tio n : The d eg re e o f c o n c e n tra tio n i n t h e drug in d u s tr y i s a ls o v e ry h ig h . Seven m ajor d ru g groups: a n t i b o t l c s , horm ones, d i a b e ti c d ru g s, s u l f a s , v ita m in s , and t r a n q u i l i z e r s , a cco u n ted f o r ab o u t tw ot h i r d s o f th e t o t a l v a lu e o f a l l e t h i c a l d ru g s i n 1958* The Kefauver com m ittee a n a ly z e d 51 p ro d u c ts i n t h e s e s i x groups and found t h a t 15 le a d in g drug com panies c o n tr o lle d th e p ro d u c tio n a s fo llo w s: " . . . . I n 27 o f th e p ro d u c ts more th a n o n e -h a lf o f th e e n t i r e U nited S t a te s o u tp u t i s produced by one o f t h e 15 com panies. . . In s u lf a d ru g s one company a cco u n ts f o r 100 p e rc e n t o f th e o u tp u t I n e ig h t o f th e n in e p ro d u c ts . In t r a n q u i l i z e r s t h e c o n d itio n s o f monopoly p r e v a i ls i n s i x o f t h e se v en p ro d u c ts . I n a n t i b o t l c s ( o th e r th an p e n i c i l l i n ) t h e t o t a l o u tp u t i s produced by one company i n f iv e o f th e p ro d u c ts , and i n hormones and v ita m in s , th r e e out o f t h e n in e . In e ig h t a d d it i o n a l p ro d u c ts c o n c e n tra tio n t a k e s th e form o f duopoly (c o n tro l by two) w h ile i n te n o t h e r s th e e n t i r e o u tp u t i s p roduced by th re e com panies. A g a in st th e t y p i c a l s t r u c t u r e o f c o n c e n tr a tio n in m anufacturing i n d u s t r i e s , I t I s In d e e d , rem a rk ab le t h a t I n o n ly s ix o f th e 51 p ro d u c ts a r e t h e r e a s many a s fo u r p ro d u c e rs ." 26 P aten t p r i v i l e g e s : P a te n t p r i v i l e g e s s e r io u s ly l i m i t p r ic e c o m p e titio n among e t h i c a l drugs. H olders o f p a te n ts may c o n tr o l o u tp u t l e g a l l y , th u s m ain­ ta in in g th e p r ic e a t a h ig h l e v e l . 26 Drug p a t e n t s may not c r e a t e a b s o lu te U .S. C o n g re ss, S e n a te , R ep o rt M8 o f t h e C cntnittee on j u d ic i a r y made by i t s subcom m ittee on A n t i t r u s t and M onopoly, 87t h C o n g re ss, 1 s t S essio n , Study o f A dm inistered P r i c e s in t h e Drug I n d u s tr y , Ju n e 27, 1961, pp. 68-99. 15*1 m onopolies b ecau se o n ly a few p a te n ts a r e w ith o u t s u b s t i t u t e s , but th e y do c r e a t e a fo rm id a b le b a r r i e r t o e n tr y . P a te n ts a r e le g a l o n t h e ground t h a t th e y h e lp r e s e a r c h and d ev elo p m en t, b u t very l i t t l e o f t h e r e s e a r c h i s o r i g i n a l . Most o f i t i s j u s t a m o le cu la r J u g g lin g o f th e o r i g i n a l p r o d u c ts . Drug com panies r e a p high p r o f i t on t h e s e p a te n te d d ru g s . P ro fits : The p r o f i t r a t e s i n t h e d ru g I n d u s tr y have b e en one o f th e h ig h e s t among a l l i n d u s t r i e s . E s p e c ia lly a f t e r 1956 th e drug in d u s try h a s c o n s i s t e n t l y ra n k e d f i r s t o r second i n t h e l e v e l o f p ro fit r a t e s . H ie t a b l e below g iv e s a com parison o f t h e p r o f i t r a te s o f l a r g e d ru g com panies and t h a t o f a l l le a d in g m a n u fa c tu re rs . TABLE A .l —R ates o f R etu rn o f L eading Drug M a n u fa c tu re rs and A ll L eading M a n u fa c tu re rs i n 1950 t o 1966 DnJS a : A ll M anu-.i Ranking o f L eading Drug Companies Among Year ; I n d u s tr y . f a c t u r in g J A ll L eading M a n u fac tu rin g Companies 1950 1952 195*1 1956 1958 I960 1961 1962 1963 196*1 1965 1966 19.6 12.7 1 2 ,8 18.2 20.2 18.*1 17.6 17.1 1 7 .8 18.9 21.0 2 1 .1 17.3 12.7 1 2 .8 1 3 .8 9 .3 10 .'3 9 .8 10.6 11.5 12.3 13.4 13.3 6 11 8 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 I d e n t i c a l C o m p an ies'in S e le c te d M an u fac tu rin g I n d u s t r i e s , 1 9 5 5 -6 6 ," and Moody's I n d u s t r i a l M anual, 1952-5*1. Q uoted i n 9 0 th C o n g ress, P a r t 5» S essio n 1 and 2 , p . 1825. a Based- on e i g h t l a r g e s t conqpanies from 1950 t o 1953 and 12 l a r g e s t companies from 195*1 t o 1966. b B ased on e i g h t l a r g e s t com panies from 1950 t o 1953 and 12 l a r g e s t companies from 195*1 t o 1966 e x c e p t f o r two i n d u s t r i e s . 155 3. H ealth In s u ra n c e I t I s som etim es a rg u e d t h a t p re p a id h e a l t h I n s u ra n c e , b e s id e s g iv in g f i n a n c i a l p r o t e c t i o n a g a i n s t i l l n e s s , i s e n co u rag in g o v e ru se and m isu se o f m e d ic a l c a r e f a c i l i t i e s . The r o l e o f h e a l th in s u ra n c e companies i n f in a n c in g m e d ic a l c a r e c an n o t b e d e n ie d — i t i s in d e e d an e x tr a o r d in a r y sy ste m . However, many a r e c r i t i c a l o f t h e e f f e c t s o f e x te n s iv e h e a l t h In s u r a n c e . Some c r i t i c i s m s a r e p r e s e n te d below . H e a lth in s u r a n c e h a s made i t v e ry e a sy f o r d o c to r s and h o s p i t a l s t o g e t payment o f t h e i r b i l l s . Some d o c to r s p u t up t h e i r c h a rg e s a f t e r consum ers have a lr e a d y b o u g h t p a r t i c u l a r u n i t s o f s e r v i c e s . r i s e i n th e p r i c e o f an appendectom y, w hich h as b een "b o u g h t11 b u t which may o r may n o t be n e c e s s a r y , w i l l c o s t t h e consum er n o th in g 27 i n th e s h o r t - r u n o r u n t i l t h e p o lic y I s renew ed. ' A ccording t o many s u r v e y s , p r i v a t e h o s p i t a l in s u ra n c e h a s r e s u l te d i n u n n e c e ssa ry h o s p i t a l s t a y s , u n n e c e ssa ry d ia g n o s tic pQ p ro c e d u re s , u n n e c e ssa ry tr e a tm e n ts and s u r g i c a l o p e r a tio n s . A stu d y by Columbia U n iv e rs ity i n 1962 showed t h a t o v e r o n e - t h i r d o f 2Q a l l h y s te re c to m ie s p erfo rm ed w ere u n n e c e ssa ry . ^ 27 H. M. Somers and A. R. Som ers, D o c to r, P a t i e n t s and H e a lth In s u ra n c e , 1961; and M. G. T a y lo r , The A d m in is tra tio n o f H e a lth In su ra n ce i n C anada, 1956. J . H. Hayes ( e d . ) , F a c to r s A f f e c tin g th e C ost o f H o s p ita l C are, 1961!. R. E. T r u s s e l l , New York T im es, May 11, 1962. A APPENDIX B TAH£ B .l—Hie T o tal Expenditures o f th e Copper Country M edical F a c ilitie s by Major Components in 1967 Code Names : T otal o f F a c ilitie s : Cost % $BT 5? C cp £ Ds 5SL sp Grand T o tal Note: : S a la rie s : and : Wages : M edical Equipment : and : P rofes. : Fees 780,158 1,511,546 56,274 65,238 71,674 "641,718 133,588 162,213 754,690 513,670 80,200 303,000 30,000 470,914 996,500 35,009 36,993 58,708 506,348 100,713 92,325 438,642 301,912 45,000 16,583 10,000 42,431 76,039 1,200 3,484 1,400 17,083 3,000 10,833 51,528 38,754 5,113 34,074 1,225 47,015 5,103,969 3,258,147 286,164 84,796 — — — — - — — - — — - 37,781 — — Food : Drugs : U tilitie s 22,170 5,619 1,000 10,803 - — ---39,820 8,885 — ---15,764 4,600 35,955 36,955 23,744 30,620 8,000 2,000 12,000 16,316 8,000 * ” 16,509 37,150 1,796 3,441 2,500 24,042 1,000 4,800 22,606 11,111 3,500 8,000 500 186,128 136,958 48,074 40,185 101,000 - - 287,301 32,152 45,600 — Computed fra n th e audited records o f th e resp e c tiv e m edical care f a c i li ti e s . S ubscripts: s = short-term L = long-term sp = serv ice providing : R epair : Laundry : and : Supplies : M ainten-: : ance : 8,371 58,000 — 1,500 500 597 —— 924 8,433 9,123 — 155 1,000 100 2,658 1,443 3,694 2,194 2,400 200 3,000 1,500 100 90 85,697 Dep. and : In te re s t : 42,685 76,283 1,663 1,934 6,000 17,466 5,359 4,974 50,625 27,943 2,500 15,000 5,000 36,346 56,207 7,690 3,663 1,100 4,000 2,721 2,000 53,559 13,146 1,700 19,926 535 257,432 202,603 O ther 21,370 59,148 7,413 2,823 1,042 6,518 20,640 25,817 60,719 22,741 9,787 28,101 4,550 • 270,669 APPENDIX B 157 TABLE B .2—The T o ta l R evenues, E x p e n d itu re s, and P r o f i t s i n th e Copper Country M edical Care F a c i l i t i e s i n 1967 • • Code Names o f F a c i l i t i e s : : T o ta l Revenue : : ■ ■ T o ta l Cost • Net P r o f i t and Loss • 772,681 780,158 -7 ,4 7 7 1 ,5 6 4 ,7 5 0 1 ,5 1 1 ,5 4 6 53,204 59,094 56,274 2,820 80,882 65,238 15,644 Bsp 95,694 71,674 24,020 *L 641,718 641,718 - Csp 163,513 133,588 29,925 171,122 162,213 8,909 755,043 754,690 353 514,024 513,670 354 °L 100,000 80,200 19,800 Es 267,417 303,000 -3 5 ,5 8 3 Dsp 30,000 30,000 5 ,2 1 5 ,9 3 8 5,103,969 As ' Bs Asp al CL Cs Ds TOTAL Note: : : 111,969 Computed from th e a u d ite d re c o rd s o f th e r e s p e c tiv e fa c ilitie s . S u b s c rip ts : s = s h o rt-te rm L = lo n g -te rm sp = s e r v ic e p ro v id in g TABIE B.3—T o ta l Income o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1967 Profes­ sions V is its p e r D o cto r p e r Day Fee per V is it Income : In ca n e from : from V i s i t s : Surgery* Income from Goods S o ld : : : : G ross Income - -niiTtoer- Physicians 40 48,000 20,675 1,500 70,175 D entists 26 31,200 18,640 1,500 51,340 ■ I n th e y e a r 1967, th e p h y s ic ia n s i n t h e Copper C ountry perform ed 1,590 m ajo r and 2 ,3 2 1 m in o r s u r g e r i e s . Source: C o lle g ed by su rv ey o f th e a r e a and h o s p i t a l r e c o r d s . 159 TABLE B. 4—B u sin e ss R e c e ip ts and E xpenses o f P h y s ic ia n s and D e n tis ts Item s : P h y s ic ia n : D e n tis t ----------- p e rc e n t---------B usiness R e c e ip t B usiness D e d u c tio n s, T o ta l Cost o f Goods S o ld , T o ta l In v e n to ry , B eginning o f Year M erchandise P urchased Cost o f Labor M a te r ia ls and S u p p lie s O th er C o sts Less In v e n to r y , B id o f Year D e p re c ia tio n Taxes Rent R epairs S a la r ie s and Wages In su ran ce Legal and P r o f e s s io n a l P ees Commissions A m o rtizatio n R etirem ent P la n s , e t c . In te re s t Bad D ebts C asualty L o sses D ep letio n O ther B u sin ess D eductions Net P r o f i t (L ess L oss) Source: 100.00 40.67 2 .9 9 .06 .71 .62 1 .1 5 .52 .07 3*31 1 .0 0 4 .1 1 0 .3 9 10.59 1 .0 9 1 .4 8 .04 .01 .02 .38 .02 .05 .02 15.15 59*33 100.00 49*20 8.39 .02 *73 1.69 3.52 2.42 .02 3.26 1.18 4.36 .48 11.84 .75 2.60 ,05 .02 .01 .58 .04 .01 .01 15.64 50.60 Computed from T ab le 3 , p . 31 o f th e S t a t i s t i c s o f Incom e 1964, I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v ic e . / lG O B.5 The Methods of KstJmatinp; Profit Rate of Drugstores A t y p i c a l d ru g s to re has e ig h t d e p a rtm e n ts: p re s c rip tio n , p r o p r i e t a r y , t o i l e t r i e s , s u n d r ie s , to b a c c o , c o n f e c tio n s , m agazines and f o u n ta in . We a re i n t e r e s t e d i n knowing th e p r o f i t r a t e s o f o n ly p r e s c r i p t i o n and p r o p r i e t a r y d e p a rtm e n ts . T hese two d e p a r t ­ m ents account f o r ab o u t 1*5 t o 50 p e rc e n t o f t h e t o t a l s a l e s o f th e d r u g s to r e s . To e s tim a te th e " r a t e o f u n e x p la in a b le p r o f i t - d if f e r e n c e " o f d ru g s to re s (s e e C h a p te r V I ) , I computed t h e combined p r o f i t r a t e s o f th e p r e s c r i p t i o n and p r o p r i e t a r y d e p a rtm e n ts i n 12 s to r e s s tu d ie d by B u rle y , F is h e r and Cox (se e T a b le B .5 b e lo w ). TABLE B.5—Combined P r o f i t R ate o f P r e s c r ip t i o n and P r o p r ie ta r y D epartm ents » Departments : Total : Sales : Gross : Margin : Operating : Net P r o f i t : Cost :(before tax) « » Prescription 329,81*0 160,302 (1*8.6) 108,188 (3 2 .8 ) 52,11^ (1 5 .8 ) Proprietary 176,096 56,175 (3 1 .9 ) 37,685 (21.1*) 17,081 (9 -7 ) Total 505,936 216,1*77 (1*2.79) 11*5,873 (2 8 .8 3 ) 69,196 (1 3 .6 8 ) Source: Adapted from T able 1 6 .1 , p . 221 and T a b le 1 7 .1 , p . 2l*2 o f Drug S to r e O p e ra tin g C o sts and P r o f i t s by O rin E. B u rle y , A lb e rts B. F i s h e r , J r . and R obert G. Cox. New York: M cGraw-Hill Book Company, I n c . 1956. 16] F or T ab le 6 .3 i n C h a p te r VI we needed t o compute t h e p r o f i t r a t e ( a f t e r ta x ) a s a p e rc e n ta g e o f e q u ity . But th e t o t a l e q u ity f ig u r e i s n o t a v a i la b l e f o r th e above d r u g s to r e s . The t o t a l s a l e s f ig u r e o f $505,936 was m u lt i p li e d by 0.2411 t o c o n v e rt i t t o t o t a l e q u ity f i g u r e . The f a c t o r 0.2411 was computed by ta k in g a r a t i o o f t o t a l e q u ity t o t o t a l r e c e i p t s o f a l l d r u g s t o r e s .1 e q u ity o f th e 12 s t o r e s was computed t o be $121,425. H ie t o t a l The p r o f i t s a f t e r ta x e s ($ 4 4 ,1 5 4 ) was computed by d e d u c tin g an income ta x o f o 36 p e rc e n t from th e n e t p r o f i t b e fo r e t a x ($ 69, 196) . F i n a l l y , n e t p r o f i t o f $44,154 was e x p re ss e d a s a p e rc e n ta g e o f th e t o t a l e q u ity ($121,425)* w hich comes t o be 36.36 p e r c e n t. The m ajo r l i m i t a t i o n s o f th e above e s tim a te s a r e : (1 ) th e s a l e s and p r o f i t d a ta o f th e p r e s c r i p t i o n and p r o p r i e t a r y d e p a rtm e n ts o f th e d r u g s to r e s a r e f o r th e y e a r 1950-51* and th e s i t u a t i o n m ight have changed s in c e th e n . B ut a s t h e s a l e s and p r o f i t s i n th e p r e s c r i p t io n d ru g s have in c re a s e d i n th e r e c e n t y e a r s , t h e p r o f i t r a t e s may be s l i g h t l y u n d e re s tim a te d . (2) The r a t i o o f t h e t o t a l e q u ity t o r e c e i p t s f o r a l l th e d r u g s to r e s was u se d t o compute th e t o t a l e q u ity f i g u r e o f p r e s c r i p t i o n and p r o p r i e t a r y d e p a rtm e n ts, which may u n d e re s tim a te o r o v e re s tim a te ( th e d i r e c t i o n i s n o t c l e a r ) th e e q u ity f i g u r e . However, t h i s i s th e b e s t p o s s ib le e s tim a te th a t co u ld be o b ta in e d w ith th e d a t a a v a i l a b l e . 1 I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v ic e , S t a t i s t i c s o f Incom e. 1965, p . 192. 2 The f i g u r e 36 p e rc e n t was computed by ta k in g a p e rc e n ta g e o f th e t o t a l Income t a x (p a id by a l l r e t a i l e r s ) t o t o t a l n e t incom e o f a l l r e t a i l e r s . S o u rc e: I b i d , p . 255. 162 B.6 The Procedures for Determining the Quality of Care In the Copper Country Hospitals The q u a l i t y o f c a r e i n h o s p i t a l s was d ete rm in e d by t h e number o f s e r v ic e s and f a c i l i t i e s a v a i la b l e i n e ac h . T hese f a c i l i t i e s , common t o a l l h o s p i t a l s , were g e n e r a lly e lim in a te d , b e cau se we a r e •s I n t e r e s t e d h e re o nly i n th e r e l a t i v e q u a l i t y o f c a r e i n th e s e h o s p ita ls . The f a c i l i t i e s a r e l i s t e d i n T able B .7 . The h o s p i t a l s were th e n ranked w ith r e s p e c t t o th e number o f f a c i l i t i e s i n each d e p a rtm e n t. The one v /ith maximum number o f f a c i l i t i e s was ra n k e d 1 and so on. Two o r more h o s p i t a l s w ith th e same number o f s e r ­ v ic e s i n a p a r t i c u l a r d e p artm e n t w ere a s s ig n e d t h e same ra n k . The ran k f o r each h o s p i t a l was th e n added f o r a l l 17 item s i n th e lis t. The one w ith minimum ra n k t o t a l s was c o n sid e re d t o have th e b e st q u a l i t y o f c a r e , b e cau se we assumed t h a t th e q u a l i t y o f c a r e i s p o s i t i v e l y c o r r e l a t e d w ith t h e number o f a v a i la b l e f a c i l i t i e s . The m ajor l i m i t a t i o n o f t h i s p ro c e d u re i s i n t h a t t h e item s i n th e l i s t a r e n o t w eig h ted a c c o rd in g t o t h e i r c o n tr ib u tio n t o th e q u a lity o f c a r e . F u rth e r1, t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f f a c i l i t i e s does n o t g u a ra n te e t h e i r e f f i c i e n t u s e . However, t h i s p ro c e d u re i s p a r t l y in l in e v /ith th e a c c e p te d p ro c e d u re o f t h e J o i n t C om nisslon on th e A c c r e d ita tio n o f H o s p ita ls . In T ab le B.7 i t i s e v id e n t t h a t th e h o s p i t a l B s h as th e m ax i- mum facilities, followed by A_ and C . The hospitals D and E ' s s s s have equal rank totals. It is difficult to say which of than has 163 h ig h e r q u a l i t y o f c a re . N e ith e r o f th e s e h o s p i t a l s m eet th e s ta n d a r d s o f t b e J o in t Cccrmission on th e A c c r e d ita tio n o f H o s p ita ls . H ow ever, Michigan H o s p ita l S e rv ic e (B lue C ross) h as p r o v i s i o n a l l y approved D_ b u t n o t E . 5 S So we may say t h a t h o s p i t a l D_ h a s a s l i g h t edge o v er E_. s s s B ased on t h e follow ing a n a l y s i s , we r a n k th e h o s p i t a l B a s h a v in g t b e b e s t q u a lity o f c a r e , fo llo w ed by A_, C , s s s n s and E s i n t l x a t o rd e r, but t h e d i f f e r e n c e betw een th e l a s t ' two i s n e g l i g i b l e . TABLE B.7— In v e n to ry o f S e le c te d H e a lth S e rv ic e s and F a c i l i t i e s i n H o s p ita ls i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1966 S e ria l : Number S e r v ic e F a c i l i t i e s : s H o s p ita ls : C s s . • • •* • s : E S * 1. I n - s e r v i c e N urse Program - X - - - 2. B o a r d - e lig ib le Surgeon X X - - - 3. S u r g ic a l Equipm ent Gas A n e s th e s ia E quip. D e fib rilla to r-C a rd io sc o p e Pacem aker S u c tio n Equipment C ystoscopy Roctn X X X X X X X — X X X X X — - X - X X - X X X X X X X X - X X — X — — X X X X X X X — — - — - X X X X X X X X X X X X X X — — - — — — X X X X X X X X X X X X - - - L a b o ra to ry P a th o lo g is t C l i n i c a l L a b o ra to ry Morgue F a c i l i t i e s P a th o lo g y L a b o ra to ry F a c ilitie s Blood Bank M edical T e c h n o lo g is ts L a b o ra to ry T e c h n ic ia n s 5. 6. 7. R adiology R adio D ia g n o s tic ia n R a d io lo g is t R o u tin e C hest X -ray X -ray T herapy (Deep) R a d io lo g ic T e c h n ic ia n — X X X X X - X - D epartm ent o f O b s te t r ic s D e liv e ry Room N ursery P rem atu re N ursery X X Pharmacy Pharmacy D epartm ent Drug Room P h a rm a c is t, f u l l - t i m e P h a rm a c is t, p a r t- tim e - X - - X — X X - — X _ .. _ X - X - - — 165 TABLE B.7— Continue! S e r ia l : Humber S e rv ic e F a c i l i t i e s : ; As « 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. P h y s ic a l T herapy P h y s ic a l Therapy D ept. P h y s ic a l Therapy S e rv ic e P h y s ic a l T h e r a p is t, Reg. D epartm ent o f P e d i a t r i c s P e d i a t r i c D epartm ent P e d i a t r i c D e p t., I s o l a t e d from M ed ./S u rg . P a t ie n t s H o s p ita ls K5 .: CcS : • • :• X X — X — X — — — — X X X X X - X - - - X X — X X - X — X X - X — X X — D epartm ent o f M edicine E.K.G. F a c i l i t i e s P s y c h i a tr i c H olding U n its Emergency D epartm ent M edical S t a f f L ib ra ry R e s p ira to r y C are X X — X X X X X D ie ta ry D epartm ent D ie ta ry D epartm ent D i e t i t i a n , R e g is te re d X — X X X — X — X — Laundry Own Laundry F a c i l i t y Laundry C o n tra c t X X — X — X — X — X X X X X X X H o s p ita l P o lic y H o s p ita l A ccepts P t s . w ith L im ite d R esources H o s p ita l Has N u rsin g P ro ced u re Manual H o s p ita l Has A utom atic S top O rder on D angerous Drugs C o n s u lta tio n R eq u ired f o r C -s e c tio n S te riliz a tio n H ysterectom y In v e n to ry o f M ajor Equipment B.M.R. I n f r a Red — X X X X — . X X X X _ - - X X X X X X X X X X X — 166 TABLE B.7— Continued Serial Number : Service Facilities : Whirl Pool Mamography Defibrillator Pacemaker Ultra-sonic Image Amplification Microtone Auto-technician Cryostat Particle Counter Microtome Sharpener Deep X-ray Archilles Tendon Reflexometer Spirometer Aerosol Generator Tank Respirator PH Meter Hubbard Tank 15. 16. 17. Inventory of Laboratory Procedures Electrolytes Blood Bank Trypsin Major Diagnostic Procedures Pap Smear A-Beta Hemolytic Titer Blood 0P or 00p Tension Vital Cfipaclty Exercise Tests Pulmonary Compliance Ain/ay Resistance Staff No. of Beds per Physician No. of Beds per R.N. No. of Beds per L.P.N, A = _ - X — X X X Hospitals : B : C . s . s : * • * X X X X X X X — - — X X X — — : D * E s • - X X X X X — — — — X X X X X X X X X X — — - — — - - - - - - X X — — X r — — - — — X — — X X X — - - — — - - - - X X X X X X X — — - - - — - X — X X X X — X X X X X X X X 13.33 4.71 6.67 8.46 3.93 11.00 — X — — X X X — — — — — — X — — — — — — _ - — — - - - 17.50 5.38 11.67 12.33 3.70 6.17 20.00 3.33 5.00 167 TABLE B.7— Continued S e ria l : Number : S e rv ic e F a c i l i t i e s : ; T o ta l No. o f P e rso n n e l p e r Bed A d m in is tra to r T ra in e d U n tra in e d Source: As H o s p ita ls : B : C : D„ s . s ,» s * • E s I .56 1.H5 1 .7 6 1 .7 5 1.15 x - X X X X F o r ite m s 1 th ro u g h 16, se e Leo R eich , " In v e n to ry o f H e a lth S e rv ic e s and F a c i l i t i e s i n M ic h ig a n 's W estern Upper P e n in s u la ," e d . John S . H ib lo ck , Copper C ountry H e a lth and W elfare C o u n c il, I n c . , M ich ig an , (Septem ber 1967, m im eo.). In fo rm a tio n i n ite m 17 was g a th e re d by su rv e y . Note: : .• x - means t h a t th e p a r t i c u l a r s e r v ic e i s p r e s e n t . means t h a t th e p a r t i c u l a r s e r v ic e i s a b s e n t. 168 TABLE B .8—Rank o f th e H o s p ita ls w ith R espect t o t h e A v a i la b il i ty o f D if f e r e n t F a c i l i t i e s i n th e Copper C ountry i n 1966 « S e r ia l • Number • t• S e rv ic e F a c i l i t i e s • *• : • As : • H o s p ita ls B«3 .: c e3 ;. Ds * * * F .•* 3 1 I n - s e r v ic e Nurse Program 2 1 2 2 2 2 B o a r d - e lig ib le Surgeon 1 1 2 2 2 3 S u r g ic a l Equipment 2 1 2 3 2 4 L ab o ra to ry 2 1 2 3 4 5 R adiology 2 1 3 3 3 6 Departm ent o f O b s te tr ic s 2 1 2 2 2 7 Pharmacy 1 1 1 2 3 8 P h y s ic a l Therapy 2 1 2 3 3 9 D epartm ent o f P e d i a t r ic s 2 1 2 2 2 10 Departm ent o f M edicine 2 1 2 2 2 11 D ie ta ry D epartm ent 2 1 2 2 2 12 Laundry 1 1 1 1 1 13 H o s p ita l P o lic y 1 1 3 4 2 in In v e n to ry o f M ajor Equipment 4 1 2 3 3 15 In v e n to ry o f L a b o ra to ry P ro ced u res 2 1 2 3 3 16 M ajor D ia g n o s tic P ro ced u res 2 1 3 4 4 17 S ta ff 2 2 3 1 2 32 18 36 42 42 Rank T o ta ls Note: Rank o f 1 means th e b e s t f a c i l i t y . So l e a s t o v e r a l l ra n k t o t a l means th e h o s p i t a l h a s th e b e s t f a c i l i t i e s and s e r v ic e s a v a i l a b l e . The ran k s a r e based on th e number o f f a c i l i t i e s a v a ila b le i n each d e p a rtm e n t. A d ep artm en t was ran k e d 1 i f i t h as maximum number o f f a c i l i t i e s .