71-31,294 RIEGER, Jon Hill, 1936GEOGRAPHICAL MOBILITY AND OCCUPATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT OF RURAL YOUTH: A TEN YEAR LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF AN UPPER MICHIGAN SAMPLE. Michigan State University, Ph.D., 1971 Sociology, general University Microfilms, A XEROXCompany, Ann Arbor, Michigan GEOGRAPHICAL MOBILITY AND OCCUPATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT OF RURAL YOUTH: A TEN YEAR LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF AN UPPER MICHIGAN SAMPLE By Jon Hill Rleger A THESIS Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Sociology 1971 PLEASE NOTE: Some Pages have Indistinct print. Filmed as received. UNIVERSITY MICROFILMS ABSTRACT GEOGRAPHICAL MOBILITY AND OCCUPATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT OF RURAL YOUTHS A TEN YEAR LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF AN UPPER MICHIGAN SAMPLE By Jon Hill Rieger This dissertation addresses itself to the relation­ ship of geographic mobility and occupational attainment of rural youth, a subject of continuing interest in sociolog­ ical research. A survey of the literature yields the fol­ lowing generalizations concerning the migration behavior and career achievement of these young peoples 1) Most of them depart their rural communities after leaving school; 2) Most of the departees migrate to urban areas; 3) The migrants generally exhibit higher occupational attainments than nonmigrants; 4) Superior occupational achievement among migrants may be explained only partly in terms of selectivity of migration; 5) Persons reared in larger communities tend to achieve higher occupational levels than those from smaller ones; and 6) Migrants to small cities show the highest occu­ pational attainment while migrants to large cities rank second. Migrants to other rural places rank behind migrants to large cities but ahead of nonmigrants. These generalizations are based on research which is typically cross-sectional or historico-reconstructlve in Jon Hill Rieger design. The few longitudinal studies carried out have been hampered by reliance on simple **Time 1, Time 2" observations or by significant data loss through attrition of cases, or both. An indication of the limitations of previous research is revealed in the lack of systematic analysis of "circular migration,1* which is shown to be a widespread phenomenon. It is observed that a need exists for a more complete analy­ sis of the experience of a single cohort over the period of their basic career development. A micro-level study is then outlined in which the above generalizations are restated as hypotheses and tested under strict longitudinal conditions utilizing a) continuous data over the time period of the study, and b) recovery of information for 100% of the cases. The study uses a sample of young males from the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. These subjects were first studied while they were still enrolled in high school and then were tracked for the subsequent ten year period. Pata were initially obtained concerning various objective and social psychological background factors. Ten years later detailed Information was gathered concerning all changes of residence, occupations held, and education obtained during the decade. The results support each of the hypotheses and point up the significance of the circular migration phenomenon. Most of those residing in their home community at the end of the ten year period were found to have lived elsewhere Jon Hill Rieger for a significant period during the decade, and their occu­ pational attainment was distinctly higher than that of the true nonmigrants, but lower than that of the migrants to other rural areas* This rank order of occupational achieve ment of nonmigrants, circular migrants, and rural migrants is accounted for in terms of a "kinship deterrent" theory in which proximity to, and frequent interaction with, kin exercises an inhibiting effect upon occupational mobility* The findings in respect to circular migration serve as a basis for criticism of the conventional simplified classification of migration status as it relates to career formation and occupational mobility among rural youth. It is argued that migration among these types of subjects is a more complex process than is implied by the format of previous research. 1111* Mp U«t*n jwCP ‘ S ta c /a ti ft <**> ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Apprenticeship in the craft of Sociology is initially measured in the creativity, and in the quality of the work­ manship and writing, of the Ph.D. dissertation. To whatever degree the present thesis embodies those characteristics, it has been due to the continuing confidence, interest, and guidance of a number of key individuals during the last several years of my professional education. The patient support, counsel, and encouragement of Professor J. Allan Beegle was basic to the completion of the research reported in part in this thesis. As the indi­ vidual primarily involved in guiding the dissertation, a greater debt is owed to him than can ever possibly be repaid. My committee chairman, Professor Donald Olmsted, gave invalu­ able counsel and advice in the casting of the thesis in its present form, and conscientiously read and criticized the initial draft. Professors Duane Gibson, Eugene Jacobson, and Jay Artis have contributed by their cordial, thoughtful, and persistent interest and encouragement as members of my Guidance Committee and by their critical examination of the thesis. Thanks is due, in addition, to Professor William Form, who gave exceedingly timely and helpful advice during the early stages of the research. Gratitude is also extended to the M^.- igan State University Agricultural Experiment Station and to the Insti­ tute for Community Development and Services of Michigan State University for their financial support of the extensive field work necessary to this type of research, as well as the de­ tailed processing and analysis of the data thus obtained. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS........................... LIST OF TABLES. .............................. v LIST OF F I G U R E S .................................. vii Chapter I. THE RESEARCH PROBLEM........................ 1 A. 1 Introduction ............................ B. Migration and Social Mobility......... C. Review of Literature ................... 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. D. 3 8 Frequency of Migration from Rural Areas Destinations of Migrants............. 19 Migration and OccupationalAchievement. Selectivity of Migration............. 27 The Influence of the Opportunity Structure of the Community of Orientation............................ 6. Migration and the Opportunity Struc­ ture of the Community of Destination. • 16 34 Circular Migration and Social Mobility . • 39 25 31 1. The Occupational Achievement of Cir­ cular Migrants.......................... 50 E. Statement of the Research Problem...... 57 1. 2. II. Rationale for the Hypotheses............59 Statements of the Hypotheses............ 67 THE METHOD OF THE S T U D Y ...................... 71 A. Introduction.......................... 71 B. The Ontonagon County Project, 1957-1968. • 1. 2. 71 The Research S i t e ......................73 The Research S a m p l e ....................75 iii Chapter Page 3. Operationalization ofthe Variables . • 81 4. Operational Statements of the Hy­ potheses................................. 87 5. Format of Analysis................ • . . 91 1X1. RESULTS OF THE STUDY........................... 94 A. Introduction • . . • ...................... 94 B. Geographic Mobility and Occupational Achievement. ........................... 94 C. IV. Summary. ................. 118 CONCLUSION.............. 123 A. Introduction 123 B. Migration and the Careersof Rural Youth . 123 C. Significance of the Findings ......... ......... 126 D. The Value of Longitudinal Micro—Studies. . 129 BIBLIOGRAPHY...................... .................. 132 APPENDICES........................................... 141 Appendix A. May 1957 Initial Phase of Voluntary Migration Questionnaire Appendix B. 1968 First Decennial Re-Study Que stionnaire iv LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. 1962 Residence by Residence at Age 16, Men of Rural Background Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Extrapolated from Blau and Duncan, 1967, Appendix H, p. 4 8 1 ) ....................... 19 2. Mean 1962 Occupational Status by Type of Com­ munity at Age 16 and In 1962 and Migration Status (In Deviations from the Grand Mean), Men Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Adapted from Blau and Duncan, 1967, p. 2 6 0 ) ........... 35 3. Per Cent Upwardly Mobile from Father's Occupa­ tion More than 25 Points, by Type of Community at Age 16 and In 1962 and Migration Status, Men Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Adapted from Blau and Duncan, 1967, p. 2 6 1 ) ............. 37 4* Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) In Numbers and Percents; Male Ontonagon County 195 7 Juniors and S e n i o r s ................. 95 5. Size of Community of Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) In Numbers and Per­ cents; Male Ontonagon County 1957 Juniors and Seniors Living Outside Their Home Communities at End of PHSD O n l y ............................. 96 6. Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, Their Home Com­ munity at End of PHSD; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors............ 97 7. Selected Objective Family Background Character­ istics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors............ 98 8. Selected Dynamic Family Background Character­ istics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Jiinlors and Seniors. • • • • • 100 v Page Table 9* Selected Objective Individual Background Char­ acteristics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors • • 103 10. Selected Dynamic Individual Background Charac­ teristics of Persons Living Int and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors • . 105 11. Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) by Community (School); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors ................................. 111 Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD), Three Largest Communi­ ties (Schools) vs. Three Smallest Communities (Schools); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors.................. 111 12* 13. Mean Socioeconomic Status by Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Persons Living in Home Communities, Other Rural Areas, Small Cities, and Large Cities; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors • < 113 14. Extent and Frequency of Circular Migration among Persons Living in their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) in Numbers and Percents; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors........ . 115 15. Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Nonmigrants, Circular Migrants, Rural Migrants, Small City Migrants, and Large City Migrants; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors........ . 117 vi LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1. 2 . Bergland School. One of the three smaller schools in Ontonagon County. The study sample includes eleven males who graduated from this school in 1957 and 1958...................... 76 Ontonagon High School. Largest school in Ontonagon County. The graduating classes of 1957 and 1958 included 48 males who are sub­ jects in this study. With consolidation of Mass and Rockland schools in 1968, a new high school has been built........................... 76 3. Main Street, Rockland. One of a number of small communities scattered about Ontonagon County, Rockland was a teeming copper mining town in the late nineteenth century. Since the closing of the mines it has declined to about 400 residents............................. 77 4. Residential street scene, Bergland. Houses in foreground are not atypical of many houses around the county. The street is unpaved, as are most of the streets in this community. . • 77 Church in Rockland. Most churches in the county are wooden structures such as that pictured above .............................. 78 6. Ewen High School. Thirty of the subjects included in this study attended school here. . 78 7. A view of the main street, Trout Creek. This small community is located near the south­ eastern border of Ontonagon County. Seven males who graduated from Trout Creek School in 1957 and 1958 are included in this study. . 78 5. 8. Ontonagon youth today. Young people with time on their hands. Many of them will be leaving tomorrow for the city.......................... 120 vii CHAPTER I THE RESEARCH PROBLEM A • Introduction A substantial amount of research in American rural sociology has been concerned with the problems of rural youth under conditions of rapid social change in the twentieth century. Improvements in agricultural technology, contrac­ tion of the rural labor market, consolidation of land into larger, and fewer, units, and changes in the economics of rural areas are some of the factors which have had major impact on the careers of young people growing up in rural America (Burchinal, 1963a). Perhaps the most basic consequence of such changes over the period of the last sixty years has been the develop­ ment of a more or less continual labor surplus In rural areas, and a resultant outflow of many young people into urban re­ gions, where they are absorbed into the urban labor market (Freedman and Freedman, 1956; Beegle, Marshall, and Rice, 1963; Leuthold, 1968). While many conditions contribute to the decision of a young person to leave his community, the consequence is that moving away from home carries him into a new and possibly strange environment. rather similar to his own. It might be a community It might be a small town. 1 And 2 then again it might he a middle- or large-sized city quite different from the familiar community whence he came. In any such new environment the young migrant must find his way and re-establish himself. or employment, or both. He may seek further education, Unless he has a relative living in the new community, he must set up independent residence. He must adapt to new conditions and realities (Omari, 1955; Rose and Warshay, 1957). The new environment presents not only challenges to the migrant; it may also present new opportunlties which were not available in the community from which he came. Such new opportunities may well result in a total experience which is significantly different from that which he would have had had he not chosen to leave his home area, or had he chosen a different destination. Hence those original decisions concerning 1) leaving the home community and 2) selecting a particular new community were strategic in their effect upon later outcomes— they shaped the possibilities and the limitations of the individual's development. They were, in a certain sense, fateful events in influencing the character of the individual's later career. The relevance of geographic mobility in the career outcomes of rural youth is fundamental. Such mobility func­ tions to lift men out of certain familiar, but often unsatis­ fying circumstances and allocate them among many alternative environments in which new influences and conditions must L\ 3 be met, with a wide range of cons.equences for their lives* The level of their occupational achievement, education, and income will be affected, and along with these, their styles of living* Xn addition, the amount of contact that can be maintained with family and other members of the home commu­ nity will be limited. mate choice as well* Such new exposure may often affect The profound significance of the im­ pact of decisions to migrate on later experience would ap­ pear to be unassailable. The purpose of this thesis is to examine some aspects of the relationship between geographic mobility and career achievement among rural youth* The objective is to delin­ eate the consequences, in terms of the status of occupations attained, of decisions made by young people 1) to stay and live and work in their home communities, or 2) to leave those communities to make their way in other communities of vary­ ing dissimilarity from their home area. Special attention will be given to the effect of leaving, but returning to, the home community in terms of long range career achievement outcomes. B* Migration and Social Mobility The process and function of migration can be under­ stood in terms of its significance for both the society at large and the individual* At the level of the whole society, migration serves, among other things, as a means of spatial redistribution of population in response to changes in 4 economic activity and the labor market. Hence, migration streams can be seen as part of the more or less continual economic readjustment process. Sociologically, migration is a dynamic feature of the occupational structure in which the migrants represent a physical reallocation of a portion of the population to different geographical sub-units of the total structure, and to possibly different positions in terms of status. In this sense migration serves the function, more or less effectively, and in conjunction with the educational apparatus, of maintaining the social system in a continuing re-equilibrium. Migration is thus, at its root, a mechanism of "horizontal” mobility in which people are moved from areas of, say, inadequate economic opportu­ nity, to other areas in which such opportunity is better. Looked at from the standpoint of the individual, migration may arise out of, and be instrumental in, the ef­ fort to achieve financial security, to realize educational or occupational goals, or to change or improve the quality of living, climate, etc. These gains for the Individual may be made at some cost in terms of his having thereby to give up whatever value and security derived from his former connection with his place of origin. He may be required to leave supportive kin relationships as well as the famil­ iarity of a local scene. He may risk much uncertainty and economic Instability in the process. Involving as it does a physical removal of the 5 Individual to another place, migration results in exposure to a new environment* Xt may be that the migrant will as­ sume a status very much similar to that which he left in his former environment, particularly if the new place is similar to his original surea* Hence, the act of migration may be one of horizontal mobility only and Involve no nec­ essary vertical movement* But a new environment similar to his former one is only one of the possible environments into which the migrant might move, and a job similar to that which he left will be only one of those jobs potentially available in the new area* Variation in the demand for new entrants in the many occupational roles of the work structure at the place of destination, training obtained by the individual along the way, and his resulting differential capacity to meet various occupational entrance requirements, not to mention factors such as interest and motivation, are some of the conditions impinging on the occupational fate of the individual migrant We may assume that among the most significant fac­ tors affecting the work experience of the individual, both migrant and nonmigrant, will be the range of occupations actually available in the community in which he finds him­ self* After all, it is this "opportunity structure" which embodies models of potential career lines for the new entxan into the work force as well as setting limits on the kinds of work which can be obtained* Xf this is true, then we 6 may expect to find that as the opportunity structure of the community expands, the variety of career lines actually fol­ lowed by new workers will increase. Inasmuch as there is a rough relationship between the size of a community and the breadth of its opportunity structure, we should expect to find that the larger the com­ munity, the more diverse the resulting occupational achieve­ ment of its residents. And since the larger communities contain a higher proportion of jobs in professional, tech­ nical, clerical, and business categories than do smaller ones, we should expect that the average level of occupational achievement should be higher as the size of a place increases. Migrants to a place may be considered to participate in, and be Influenced by, the opportunity structure of that place at least to some degree. However, the experience of an immigrant to a community will be affected not only by its opportunity structure but also by his level of educa­ tional preparation, by the facilities and resources to which he has access, and by what might be called his "attitudinal set," meaning his motivation, interests, and level of as­ piration. All of these factors are intimately linked to his experience in his community of origin and to his family background. In general, the better the migrant's education and the greater the family resources upon which he may draw, including his parents' own educational and occupational levels, the greater will be his chances of occupational 7 success in the new community (Sewell, Haller, and Portes, 1969; Sewell and Shah, 1968b; Schwarzweller, 1967). More­ over, the larger the size of the place from which he has come, and therefore, the more substantial and diverse the opportunity structure to which he has been previously ex­ posed, the greater, presumably, will be his sophistication in matters of job choice and career strategy (Lipset, 1955). Looked at in this perspective, migrants from larger communities to other places, regardless of size, should ex­ hibit superior occupational achievement compared to migrants from smaller communities. And such achievement should be influenced by level of education and by other background factors, such as parents' socioeconomic status and education. Such evidence as has been gathered to date would appear to be generally consistent with the above generali­ zations, although it leaves many tantalizing questions un­ answered. One such question concerns the role of migration and the resulting experience in new areas in influencing the level of occupational achievement of persons who subse­ quently decide to return to their communities of origin. Where should we expect to find them located in the total spectrum of occupational achievement? Such "circular mi­ grants," among people from rural areas, have often been assumed to be the occupational "failures" from the original migrant cohorts. Finally, we may wonder what the role of family and kinship ties is in the occupational achievement process. Are the costs of leaving the supportive relationships 8 of kin in the community of origin compensated by the advan­ tage obtained in the form of freedom from restraints which such relationships may impose? In the next section we shall discuss some of the research literature which deals with this topic area and which bears on some of the questions which arise in connec­ tion with the analysis of career achievement in rural youth. C. Review of Literature Data bearing on the relationship of geographic mo­ bility and occupational achievement in rural youth have come from a number of lines of research. Field studies in rural sociology and survey studies utilizing national samples have been carried out yielding information relevant to the expe­ rience of rural young people in finding their "niche** in the occupational structure. Field studies in rural sociology reveal an early concern with 1) the selectivity of rural outmigration by sex, education, and size of family (Beers, 1947; Mauldin, 1940), and by intelligence (Gist, Pihlblad, and Gregory, 1941), 2) the constraining effects of kinship ties on migra­ tion plans and behaviors (Williams and Beers, 1943), and 3) problems of rural-reared migrants in the city (Heflin and Beers, 1946; Caldwell, 1938; Leybourne, 1937). Subsequent, to the Second World War a number of field studies were conducted focussing on youth migrations from rural areas. Pihlblad and Gregory (1954) studied a sample 9 of 5011 former Missouri high school students who had gradu­ ated in 116 different communities during 1939-1940. About 73 percent of these were located in 1951-52, of whom approx­ imately 57 percent were then living in different communities. Brown and Buck (1961) studied 974 young adult males from rural areas in Pennsylvania, first when they were sophomores in high school, in 1947, and again ten years later. Half of these subjects had moved to other areas by the end of the ten year period. Youmans (1963) and Schwarzweller (1963) report, in separate analyses, data from interviews of 307 males located ten years after they had been in the eighth grade in eleven eastern Kentucky counties in 1950. Using 1960 residence outside the Eastern Kentucky area as an index of geographic mobility, they classified forty-nine percent of the young men as migrants. In 1958, Taves and Coller (1964) collected interview data from 739 male former Minnesota high school students who had graduated in even-numbered years since 1948, and analyzed the results in terms of possible relationships between migration and the condition of the economy of local areas of origin. Fifty-six percent of the sample had left their home communities by the time they were interviewed. Andrews and Sardo (1965) obtained questionnaire data from 156 former residents of Sedgwick County, Colorado, who had left the county prior to 1959 and analyzed the sample in terms of such factors as age, sex, marital status, edu­ cation level, destination, reasons for leaving, etc. 10 The studies cited above and other similar studies have attempted to profile the migrants and nonmigrants, and to delineate some of the circumstances typically surrounding the act of migration. In addition to these studies which deal with specific regions, several efforts have been made to draw.together a unified picture of geographic mobility and career achievement of rural youth on a national level. Using Survey Research Center data, Lipset and Bendix (1959) found direct relationships between size of community of ori­ gin, years of education completed, and social mobility on both an inter- and intra-generational basis. Examining the total occupational structure, they conclude that migrants from rural areas, with few exceptions, tend to fill up the lowest rungs of the occupational ladder in urban regions to which they typically migrate. In March, 1962, under the aegis of the Current Pop­ ulation Survey (CPS) of the Bureau of the Census, Blau and Duncan (1967) studied a national sample of approximately 20,700 men aged 20 to 64 years. Data were gathered in a supplemental questionnaire to the regular CPS interview and designated as a survey of "Occupational Changes in a Genera­ tion (OCG)." Between the CPS and OCG, a rather broad range of data was obtained giving a comprehensive view of social mobility in addition to the usual labor force information. Thus, in what has already become a classic study, Blau and Duncan were able to analyze the relationships among a number of variables generally thought to have significance in the 11 mobility process, including education and socioeconomic status of parents, size and location of community of origin, nativity, race, education, status of first job, migration, family size, etc. Their analysis of the relationship between geographical and social mobility is perhaps the most detailed yet available, revealing trends for both rural and urbanreared subjects. They find that the region, and, particu­ larly, the size of the place in which an individual grows up has a highly significant influence on his socioeconomic status. Geographic mobility is seen to be a facilitating factor in career achievement for all classes of migrants except for farm laborers. The field studies and national sample analyses de­ scribed above are representative of an accumulating body of research dealing with geographic mobility and occupational achievement. These studies, and others, have been rather diverse in terms of the quality and types of samples used, regions represented, study design, and methods of analysis. Some, for example, have actually attempted to follow the careers of a particular cohort over a period of time, in certain cases as long as twenty years, gaining measurements at the beginning and at the end of the period (Bohlen and Wakeley, 1950; Brown and Buck, 1961; Brown, Schwarzweller, and Mangalam, 1963; Smith and Berg, 1962). Some scholars have utilized a historico-reconstruetlve approach in which the sample is based 1) on a source list, such as a register of past school enrollment (Mauldin, 1940; Pihlblad and Gregox 12 1954; Schwarzweller, 1963; Taves and Collar, 1964; Youmans, 1963), or 2) on some residence, migration, or family history/ structure or other criteria (Bauder and Burchinal, 1965; Burchinal and Jacobson, 1963b; Olson, 1960; Scudder and Anderson, 1954). The attempt is then made to locate, in the former case, as many sample members as possible, or, the latter case, as many as meet sampling criteria, and to collect retrospective data concerning their careers. Still other studies have combined this reconstructive procedure with cross-sectional analysis (Blau and Duncan, 1967; Lipset and Bendix, 195 2, 1959; Taeuber, 1967) in an attempt to provide a stronger basis for inferences about longitudinal trends. Several studies have focussed on places of origin, utilizing information about migrants' careers and destina­ tions gained either partly or wholly from secondary sources such as school officials or family members (Anderson, 1952; Beers, 1947; Hamilton, 1957; Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop, 1967; Pihlblad and Gregory, 1954; Scudder and Anderson, 1954; Williams and Beers, 1943). Others have utilized places of destination of migrants (Andrews and Eshleman, 1963; Bauder and Burchinal, 1965; Beers and Heflin, 1945; Burchinal and Jacobson, 1963c; Byerley, 1970; Howard, 1969; Illsley, Finlayson, and Thompson, 1963a, 1963b; Omari, 1956; Rose, 1958) as sampling sites and have concentrated on collection of data from immigrants. One unusual study, by Andrews and Sardo (1965) involved securing of names and addresses of 13 former community residents from family members still living In the local area and then obtaining data from these Indi­ viduals via mall-back: questionnaires* Xn terms of the methodology employed, all the studies cited suffer, In varying degree, from attrition of cases from the broad groups under analysis* The historico- r©constructive studies had varying success in locating and securing data from subjects in the cohorts studied, from a low of 40*5 percent (Youmaas; Schwarzweller) to a high of 75*4 percent (Burchinal and Jacobson) in those studies giving sufficient information to allow computation of this value* Xn the reconstructive studies not using source lists, repre­ sentativeness is, of course, affected by not-at-homes, re­ fusals, and the fact that the method results in obtaining data only from the "survivor group*' in the area sampled. The result is that these studies are confronted with such non-representativeness that they are forced to generalize only to that portion of migrants successfully located or who have remained in the area sampled* And neither the studies which sample sites of origin nor those which focus on sites of destination are amenable to wholly satisfactory generalizations concerning the actual cohorts of migrants, since attrition cuts so deeply into the data recovery* Among other things, the conclusion suggested in recent censuses— that one out of five families moves every year— would seem to be confirmed by the problems experienced in these re­ searches . 14 The high rate of geographic mobility of the popula­ tion is a fact which should not be lost sight of in appre­ ciating the problems of research into migration of rural youth. Yet, despite indications to the contrary, the rural migrant tends to be conceived as being engaged in an essen­ tially singular event— in migration from his rural community of origin to the urban labor market. The pattern of migra­ tion has been seen as characteristically one-way; a phenom­ enon in which the rural youths leave an area of marginal or depressed economic activity for the cities, and are ab­ sorbed more or less permanently into the lower skilled or unskilled levels of the urban work force. This conception of the migration/occupational adjustment process has per­ sisted despite evidence of the mobility of the general popu­ lation and even though several of the studies cited have observed a reverse phenomenon in which some of the migrants, after a few years elsewhere, return, apparently inexplicably, to the same depressed areas from which they came (Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop, 1967; Schwarzweller, 1963). To the extent that these rural youth continue in their geographic movement beyond the first point of rest, research that fails to take account of this falsely simpli­ fies the migration process itself and introduces the possi­ bility of error in estimating its consequences. An individ­ ual may depart his rural community shortly after high school for military service, education, or employment and subsequent­ ly return to the community while another may never leave the 15 area during the same period* By no measure can these two be considered to have had truly equivalent experience. The practice of treating both of these individuals as nonmigrants, because they both happened to turn up in the same place at the beginning and end of the time frame of the study would thus miss a highly significant difference between them* Such admonishment would not be so pertinent were it not that this practice is rather frequent in otherwise well executed research studies, owing, partly, to the "one-shot** or other simplified designs of such studies (Andrews and Sardo, 1965; Blau and Duncan, 1967; Brown and Buck, 1961; Pihlblad and Gregory, 1954; Schwarzweller, 1963)* Two important defects to be found in the bulk of the research dealing with the relationship between migration and career achievement, then, appear to be the twin problems of attrition of cases (non-representativeness) and lack of refined definitions/measurements of actual migration behavior of the cohort being studied* Useful reinforcement of the findings of the research cited might be found if research were conducted on a single cohort of rural youth under strict­ est possible longitudinal conditions with maximal data re­ covery throughout a significant period after high school* Application of more precise definitions of migration would also help reveal the significance, if any, of patterns of return migration heretofore obscured in the literature. Before approaching such longitudinal research, it is useful first to summarize the trends suggested in the 16 current literature and to delineate a particular set of out­ comes which we may expect will be exhibited under more ex­ acting test conditions. 1. Frequency of Migration from Rural Areas One of the more recent inquiries into the relation­ ship between geographical mobility and occupational achieve­ ment , and one which is at the same time large in scale and comprehensive in detail and analysis, is that by Blau and Duncan, known as the Occupational Changes in a Generation (OCG) study (Blau and Duncan, 1967). As a great landmark of mobility research, it will serve in this discussion as a central focus for consideration of the current state of research knowledge. It explores many of the factors gener­ ally thought significant in the literature on the subject even though it exhibits the methodological problems alluded to earlier. In 1962 Blau and Duncan gathered, from a national sample of men aged 20 to 64, data on a series of variables which previous research indicated would be of Importance in their occupational careers. These included region of birth and orientation, family size, father's educational and occupational status, own education, first job, mate choice, size of the community of current residence, and current occupational status. From this information it was possible to reconstruct the basic outlines of the careers of these men, some of whom were just starting their work 17 experience, while others were in the middle or at the end of their working careers. The sample included a large num­ ber of individuals, approximately 7,093, from rural back­ grounds, some of whom were now living in urban areas. The measure of occupational attainment used in the OCG study was the socioeconomic status of the individual's 1962 occupation coded according to the Duncan Socioeconomic Index for Occupations (Reiss, 1961).1 Father's education and father's occupation were treated as the two prime back­ ground variables, with own education and first job as con­ sequents, leading finally to occupational status as of the time of data collection, in 1962. These variables are set in temporal order and a path analysis model is employed in evaluating the causal relationships presumably involved. Using this procedure, Blau and Duncan are able to account: for about 42 percent of the variation in occupational attain­ ment as of 1962. The rest of the analysis deals with the influences of other factors such as marriage and assortative mating, farm origin, nativity, and migration. Xt may be useful to point out that there is consider­ able, if not entirely uncontroversial, precedent for the use of socioeconomic status, however well measured, for the as­ sessment of career achievement. Despite their earlier criti­ cism (1952), Lipset and Bendix use it extensively in their later analysis (1959). Form (1949) used SES in a study of occupational histories, Tumin and Feldman (1957) in a study of mobility, Duncan and Hodge (1963) in an analysis of edu­ cation and occupational mobility, Goodman (1969) in develop­ ing an index of status persistency. The complexity of status as a concept has been noted by Westoff, Bressuer, and Sagi (I960) in their discussion of its multiple dimensions. 18 It is, of course, the significance of migration on the part of rural youth that interests us in this discussion* In analyzing the effect of migration on the occupational attainment process of persons reared in rural communities, Blau and Duncan apply several types of controls and examine outcomes in terms of socioeconomic status as of 1962. As shown in Table 1 they find that about 58 percent of the adult men in the rural sample were living in 1962 outside the com­ munity in which they were raised. This proportion is some­ what higher than typically found in the regional field studies cited earlier, in which investigators reported migration rates varying from 49 percent for a Kentucky sample (Schwarzweller, 1963) and 50 percent for a Pennsylvania sample (Brown and Buck, 1961), to 56 and 57 percent respec­ tively for samples from Minnesota (Taves and Coller, 1964) and Missouri (Pihlblad and Gregory, 1954). However, Bohlen and Viakeley (1950), in a study of a sample of 156 former Iowa high school students, found that 59 percent had left their home communities within one year after graduation. 2 2 It would appear that both the narrower age range of the samples analyzed in these other studies, as well as the distinctive regional, and, perhaps, local conditions involved, could easily account for the varying proportions of migrants found: Blau and Duncan point out that "older men are less likely than younger ones to live where they were reared. • • (1967, pp. 255-56) Special regional or local conditions which undoubtedly Influence the rate of migration from a particular area include the relative size of the agricultural and non-agricultural components of the rural population and trends in the economy. For ex­ ample, in a study of four North Dakota counties experiencing 19 The preponderance of evidence from these studies, however, does nonetheless support the conclusion reached by Blau and Duncan— that migration is the prevailing pattern in the so­ ciety. Table 1. 1962 Residence by Residence at Age 16,* Men of Rural Background Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Extrapolated from Blau and Duncan, 1967, Appendix H, p. 481) Residence at age 16 Same community N % Rural Nonfarm 2959 2959 1208 17.0 467 6.6 1675 23.6 41.7 Rural Farm Total 1962 Residence Other rural community Small city under 2,500 2,500-50,000 N % N % 41.7 Large city*' 50,000 + N 704 9.9 1755 24.8 704 9.9 1755 24.8 *Residence at age 16 is accepted by Blau and Duncan to denote the community of orientation, not without knowledge that in at least a few cases individuals may have only re­ cently moved there. ••Includes "urbanized areas'* of the U.S. Census 1960. 2. Destinations of Migrants A second basic finding of Blau and Duncan concerns the destinations of rural migrants. As can be seen from extensive agricultural consolidation, Anderson (1952) found that fully 70 percent of the farm youth eighteen years or older had moved away from the home area. In addition to these factors, of course, is the fact that samples which include varying proportions of females will be correspond­ ingly affected by whatever sex differences in migration rates exist. 20 Table 1, a majority of those persons who migrate end up as residents of small or large cities, that Is to say, urban places. This reflects the overall trend of migration In the society at large, with most persons who move leaving smaller places for larger ones. It agrees with findings of a large number of other mobility studies focussing on rural people. For example, Schwarzweller (1963) found, In his case study of migration patterns from Eastern Kentucky mountain communities over a period of ten years, that: Most of the Individuals (66.8 percent) who did move out of their home counties during [the ten years] moved Into city or suburban situations. This pat­ tern of rural to urban migration is even more strik­ ing in the case of those who moved out of Kentucky during 1950—60; about 95 percent of them initially moved Into a city. Thus, the movement of young men from eastern Kentucky is truly a classical example of rural to urban migration. (1963, p. 19) Similarly, Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop found for their sample of Tennessee youth that "Detroit, Michigan, and Dayton, Ohio, were the major places of residence for those in other states, while Nashville and Putnam County (Cookeville) were the major areas for migrants residing in Tennessee." (1967, p. 6) And, similarly, Andrews and Sardo found in their study of migrants from a rural Colorado county that: Only about 20 percent had moved to open country. Of these 15 percent were on farms and 5 percent were in open country but not on farms. Nearly 69 percent were living in cities— about the same proportion as in the national population— while about 11 percent were living in small rural towns. Thus, the migrants are now predominantly urban residents as contrasted with the fact that all of them came from rural homes. 21 Of these, 57 percent were from farm or open country residences and 42 percent from the three small rural towns In the county. (1965, p. 12) Further, In a study of migration from rural North Carolina, Hamilton found that although 82 percent of the population of the two counties (Stokes and Montgomery) lived in the open country [defined as "all the territory lying outside of clustered settlements'^, 61.7 percent of the de­ parting youth had moved to non-open country area ["villages, towns, and cities (incorporated and unincorporated) of more than 250 population''^ (1957, pp. 9-12). Taves and Coller (1964) found in their study of youth migration from rural Minnesota that 65 percent of those migrants from open country or small town background reported urban or, in a few cases, military, addresses at the conclusion of the study. A perplexing exception to this pattern of rural-tourban migration is reported by Brown and Buck in a followup study of former high school sophomores from rural Penn­ sylvania in which it was found that . . . approximately three-fourths (71%) of the young people remained in rural areas, while one-fourth (29%) migrated to the city. About one-half (45%) of the rural young people were in the same communi­ ties in 1947 as in 1957. Of these, nearly 50 percent had not left their parental homes. . • . The conclu­ sion to be drawn from this . . . is that no wholesale movement of young adult males out of rural areas occurred. Much of the movement was within the rural setting and, to some extent, within the community of origin. Local movement was almost as great as migration to urban areas. (1961, p. 10) Brown and Buck account for this unusual outcome by reasoning that: 22 It may be that young persons in Pennsylvania would have less to gain by migrating than would those from less urban states* This assumes that, in general, rural young people in Pennsylvania would have less need to migrate in order to take advantage of urban employment opportunity* The lengthening of commuting radius afforded by improved roads may be reducing the amount of migration necessary, at least within local areas* • • • Enough employment may have been immediately available to accommodate the young workers becoming a part of the adult labor force. (1961, p* 33) This outcome is nonetheless so contrary to what would have been expected from the other studies cited that it calls for some critical evaluation. A quick inspection of the 1940 and 1950 Censuses for the state reveals that during that decade the proportion of rural young persons in the 16-17 age bracket (tenth grade) enrolled in school increased from 68*1% to 75.5%, while the percentage of farm children among rural school attendees decreased from 30*1% (51.0% male) to 27.1% (53.8% male)* Xn 1940, the proportion of males among the total cohort of 16-17 year old rural high school students was 51*7 percent, while by 1950 it had declined very slightly to 51*3 percent. Xf we assume fairly linear trends over that decade it may be surmised that at the time of Brown and Buck's first sampling, in 1947, the enrollment of 16-17 year olds in rural Pennsylvania schools was roughly seventy-two percent of the total rural age cohort. Of those enrolled, at least 51 percent were male. About 28 percent of the total enrollment lived on farms* The proportion of males among farm students was perhaps 53 percent* Brown and Buck report an original 1947 sampling of sophomore classes: 23 • • • consisting of 2,810 students from 74 rural high schools. • • • The schools used in the sample were initially selected from the State's fourth class school district population. This assured a maximum inclusion of farm-reared youth, for no fourth class school was situated in a population center of more than 2,500 persons. Areas having a heavier concentration of farm popu­ lation contributed relatively more schools to the sample. This provided the number of cases with farm backgrounds necessary for detailed analysis. . . . (1961, p. 8) They then describe the data recovery process in 1957: The 1957 interviewing renewed contact with 2,344 of the original 2,810 cases. This number constituted 83 per cent of the 1947 sample. The remaining 17 per cent were either unlocated, refused to be inter­ viewed, or had died. Those who were not interviewed in 1957 were not found significantly different from those who were interviewed in terms of residence of origin. . . . (1961, p. 8) They drop all the females from the analysis and pro­ ceed with a remaining sample of 974 males for whom informa­ tion was complete over the ten year period, 258 of whom had resided on farms in 1947, the rest in the open country or in villages of less than 2,500. In tallying this sampling procedure against Census figures for the period, it can be seen, first of all, that at best the original sampleof students was a maximum of only 72 percent of the age cohort, which would thus have been 3,903 rural young persons, aged 16-17. If the sample of 2,810 students were typical of Pennsylvania rural students generally, it would have contained approximately 1433 males (51%). The sample actually used in the research consisted of not more than 974 males, or only 68 percent of the probable 24 original sample of the male students in 1947. Inasmuch as 258 of the 974, or 26.5%, were from farms, it cannot be said that the farm segment was over-represented• The projected 459 missing cases (1433 minus 974) almost certainly consist mainly of outroigrants, perhaps as many as 90 percent (413 persons)• The implication here is that there would appear to be a high probability of non-representativeness in the sample used by Brown and Buck. Twenty-eight percent of the age cohort was inaccessible through non-attendance in school. Many of these individuals had no doubt already left the area after dropping out of school. If we ignore this, as most research has found it necessary to do, we still have a prob­ able loss of another 32 percent of the males through non­ recovery of data. Xf, say, ninety percent of those left the area, the total proportion of migrants would inflate from 55 to 66 percent. Moreover, even if the ratio of mi­ grants going to urban versus rural places were the same as reported by Brown and Buck (278 out of a reported 533 migrants) we would still project an actual rural-urban migration rate of about 494 persons— more persons than either stayed in their home communities or moved to other rural areas. By these recalculations it would appear that our previous gen­ eralizations would still hold: 1) that most youth will mi­ grate rather than stay in the home community; and 2) that of those who leave, most will move to urban areas. Altogether, under conditions of the predominant 25 pattern of rural outmigration, and rural-to-urban trends revealed In the literature, It would appear that the specu­ lations offered above are at least possible, If not probable, alternatives to both the results and the analysis offered by Brown and Buck concerning migration of rural youth from Pennsylvania• 3. Migration and Occupational Achievement Blau and Duncan compared the 1962 occupational at­ tainments of those who had moved away from their communities of orientation with those who Indicated that they were living In the same community as at age 16. As was the case for migrants from urban areas, persons who had migrated from rural areas to other places showed occupational achievement superior to that of nonmigrants* This result Is consistent with the general thrust of earlier research* For example, Scudder and Anderson (1954) found In their analysis of migration and vertical social mobility that among youth growing up In a rural Ken­ tucky communitys • * . irrespective of the vocational or general status of the father, migrant sons entered white collar posi­ tions more frequently than their non-migrant contem­ poraries* • • • Among resident [nonmigrant] sons there is an excess of moves into ranks below the father's position, among migrant sons the upward shifts exceed the downward* • • • Of all the sons who did not leave the home community but who did move into a vocational level different from that of the father, two-thirds dropped in status. Among sons who went elsewhere but did not pursue the same sort of job as the father, over half rose vocation­ ally. The chances of going up rather than down, if 26 mobile grants rating (1954, at all, were definitely greater for the mi­ and fewer of the migrants entered occupations at the same level as those of their fathers* pp. 331-32) The authors conclude that "sons who migrate out of small or moderate-size communities are more likely to rise above their parents' occupational status than sons who remain in the home town." (1954, p. 334) Andrews and Sardo (1965) found that after migration, the migrants obtained increased training and further educa­ tion, higher incomes and better jobs compared to people still living in Sedgwick County, Colorado. In their study of Jackson County, Tennessee, Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop analyzed the relationships among; . . . residential, educational attainment, occupa­ tional, and level of living data on 1,076 adult persons reared in [the county]. . . . The data clearly indicated a high association of migration and educational attainment with level of living for both males and females. . . . Those outside the county were higher in level of living for all occupational categories. (1967, p. 6) Blau and Duncan raise the possibility that the su­ perior occupational achievement of migrants over nonroigrants may be due to superior opportunity structures in places of destination. But by comparing the attainment levels of non­ migrants and migrants to other communities of the same size, they are able to show that migrants still display greater occupational achievement than nonmigrants. This leads to the speculation "that migration is selective of men predis­ posed to occupational success." (1967, p. 257) 27 4. Selectivity of Migration The selectivity hypothesis is an old one (Thomas, 1938) and has received considerable attention in the litera­ ture* The theoretical basis for anticipating some selectiv­ ity in migration and occupational attainment would appear to be good* However, the accumulated empirical evidence is ambiguous in identifying selective factors operating in the migration process (Hawley, 1950, pp. 340-45)* Blau and Duncan hypothesized that father's socioeconomic status, own education, and own first job would be significant selective factors bearing on later attainment outcomes. They show that these variables do indead seem to have some effect upon the process for urban migrants but conclude that, for rural migrants; — 1) in respect to own education; "In contrast to the differences favoring migrants in urban areas, there is no difference in rural nonfarm areas, and on farms nonraigrants actually have some educational superiority over migrants." (1967, p. 258) 2) in respect to first job: "The pattern here is the same as that for educa­ tion, with the superiority of migrants being con­ fined to urban areas." (p. 258) 3) in respect to father's occupational position: " . . . urban migrants come from origins superior to those of nonmigrants whereas there is again no such difference for rural men." (p. 258) Blau and Duncan find only a small degree of selec­ tivity in the slight reduction of differences in mean 1962 occupational attainment between rural migrants and nonmigrants 28 when both education and first job are controlled simultane­ ously. Among rural nonfarm individuals, there is still a residual difference of occupational attainment in favor of the migrants, who exhibit a mean 1962 socioeconomic status score of 35.9, versus 34.2 for the nonmigrants. Interest­ ingly, among the farm group the difference is in the opposite direction, with the farm nonmigrants exhibiting a 1962 mean score of 28.9 and the farm migrants a score of 27.2. From data presented by Blau and Duncan, it would appear that there is less selectivity in terms of education and first job among rural nonfarm migrants than among all classes of urban migrants 3 or farm migrants. Nevertheless, the idea of a selectivity factor run­ ning through the migration process from rural areas is a strong one in the literature. Some field studies seeking to assay the selective influence of education in the migra­ tion process provide affirmative evidence (Andrews and Sardo, 1965; Beers, 1947; Hamilton, 1957; Leuthold, Farmer, and 3 Application of the controls among large city migrants/ nonmigrants reduces the mean advantage of migrants by 5 scale points, from a difference of 6.7 to a residual of 1.7 in 1962 socioeconomic status. Among the small city group the advantage to migrants is reduced 6.1 points, from a differ­ ence of 9.0 to a residual of 2.9. Among persons from farms the advantage in favor of nonmigrants is reduced 2.1 points, from 3.8 to 1.7. But among the rural nonfarm, application of the controls reduces the difference in favor of migrants in 1962 attainment by only seven tenths of a point, from 2.4 to 1.7. 29 Badenhop, 1967; Olson, 1960; Sanford, 1940), while others have found no association (Brown and Buck, 1961; Schwarzweller, 1964b)• Attempts to assess the effect of family status have also had mixed results. Olson (1960) and Scudder and Anderson (1954) report a positive relationship between family socio­ economic status and youth migration while Brown and Buck (1961) and Schwarzweller (1963) found little, if any, rela­ tionship and Bohlen and Wakeley (1950) found none. and Coller (1964) obtained a mixed result: Taves a significant association between father's occupation and migration of youth in a sample from a "high agricultural income" area and no relationship in a sample from a "low agricultural income" area of rural Minnesota. The hypothesis that migration from rural areas is selective of the most intelligent has been investigated with both affirmative (Gist and Clark, 1938; Mauldin, 1940; Pihlblad and Gregory, 1954) and non-significant (Bohlen and Wakeley, 1950; Brown and Buck, 1961) results. The re­ search on the influence of Intelligence appears, for the most part, to have been conducted under less than rigorously controlled conditions and with instruments containing con­ siderable cultural bias so that the conclusions drawn must be accepted as rather dubious. A number of other potentially selective factors have been examined, such as family size (Anderson, 1952; the pro­ portion of migrants seems to increase roughly with family size: Schwarzweller, 1963; "a greater proportion of male 30 out-xni.grants [stemmed] from larger families • . •'* although the difference was not statistically significant), occupa­ tional aspirations (Taves and Coller, 1964; '*[There was a] greater tendency for those aspiring to professional than blue collar vocations to migrate • • • aspirants to non­ professional white collar positions fell midway between. • .'*), and age and sex (Beers, 1947, and Andrews and Sardo, 1965; most migrants are young, and there is a tendency for depart­ ing females to leave earlier than males: Anderson, 1952; "Girls left home later in life than boys, except in [one] county. • • .")• Still other factors have been investigated, including personality adjustment (Brown and Buck, 1961, and Martinson, 1955; some differing trends were found in migrants and non­ migrants but none which were statistically significant), marital status (Andrews and Sardo, 1965; most of the migrants were single: Tilly and Brown, 1967; most of the migrants were married)• Additional factors have been looked into, Including such things as sibling age-position (Beers, 1947), military service experience (Taves and Coller, 1964), and color (Hamilton, 1957). Altogether, as can be seen from the discussion above, the nature of selectivity in migration of youth from rural areas is by no means a settled issue. There do not appear to be any universal or consistent factors operating in sort­ ing migrants from nonmigrants in every situation. Yet, on theoretical grounds, it would seem that in an act as 31 fundamental and fateful as migration, migrants must differ in some way or ways from persons who do not choose to move, whether or not such difference(s) bear directly on later outcomes in education or occupational attainment. This as­ sumption notwithstanding, there is no case upon the record in which the strength of any particular selectivity factor has been great enough to "explain" either the initial de­ parture or later differences in occupational achievement. Despite this limitation of the available evidence, if there is any general theme which runs through the literature on selectivity, it is that migrants tend to be "superior" to nonmigrants on most indexes— that they are persons better equipped to succeed than those left behind. Hence, it would appear the more promising strategy to hypothesize that in any prior aspect relevant to the achievement process, the migrant should emerge superior to the nonmigrant. Presum­ ably, this superior potential for achievement should exhibit itself in both objective and attitudinal (social psycholog­ ical) aspects. "Objective superiority" would be exemplified in such things as academic ability, intelligence, etc., while "attitudinal superiority" would be exemplified in such things as levels of educational and occupational aspiration. 5. The Influence of the Opportunity Structure of the Community of Orientation The slight evidence of selectivity found by Blau and Duncan in their sample of rural men did not completely ac­ count for the subsequent difference between migrants and 32 nonmigrants in 1962 occupational attainment. Given the ambiguousness of much of the research on selectivity and the large differences typically reported in the literature between the occupational achievements of migrants and non­ migrants from rural areas, it would appear that other factors must be involved. The weight of explanation would tend to shift in the direction of the differences in environments of migrants and nonmigrants, particularly in terms of their opportunity structures. Migration clearly offers, for the individual reared in a rural area, at least the possibility of increased opportunities— opportunities for further train­ ing and a broader range of jobs, depending on the place of destination. In general it can be said that as the size of a place increases, so does its opportunity structure. Individuals reared in a rural area or in a small town will have been exposed to a narrower range of possible career lines than will be the case for persons who grow up in small or large cities. This, plus other conditions which may obtain at the local level, such as the limitations of the school sys­ tem, impinge on the later occupational attainments of rural residents. As Blau and Duncan notes The community in which a boy is raised affects his career as an adult. . . . The socioeconomic structure of the community where a boy grows up probably serves as an ascriptive determinant of his later behavior in a manner somewhat similar to his family origins. The adolescent is doubt­ lessly more aware of career lines to which he has been exposed in his home town, more interested in 33 jobs for which role models exist in his experience, and better prepared for occupations to which the local school system is oriented. Thus we would ex­ pect the occupational structure of the community in which a man was raised to influence his future career— and occupational structures vary, of course, with degree of urbanization. The larger the place where a man was reared, the better are his chances of occupational success. This positive association between degree of urbani­ zation of place of origin and occupational achieve­ ment can be observed among both migrants and nonmigrants, and it is independent of the size of the community to which a migrant moves and in which he lives and works. The pattern is perfectly consis­ tent. (1967, p. 262) Hence they find that "thedegree of urbanization of the place where a migrant grewup is directly associated with his later occupational achievement elsewhere . . ." and " . . . the occupational status of nonmigrants is directly related to size [of their] present community. . . •" (p. 262) This basic finding applies to the broad range of their data which runs the gamut from the farm-reared to those brought up in large metropolitan areas. To the extent that it is true as a generalization concerning the relationship of size of place (i.e., opportunity structure) to career achievement, we may speculate that it will discriminate also among vari­ ous elements of the rural population itself• That is to say, to the degree that their environments, and therefore, their exposures, differ, persons growing up in larger, but still rural, communities should do better in their careers than persons who grow up in remoter and smaller rural com­ munities or in the open country. Such a supposition is theoretically consistent with the basic hypothesis as to 34 the relationship between opportunity structure and occupa­ tional achievement* It suggests that we should anticipate direct variation in levels of career achievement among youth, regardless of the frequency of migration, with size of com­ munity, even within the narrow range of communities classi­ fied as rural. 6* Migration and the Opportunity Structure of the Community of Destination For nonmigrant individuals from rural areas, the opportunity structure of their environment of orientation is, of course, coterminous with that of their adult occupa­ tional careers, within the limits of the historical changes in its size and economy over the total period* This is not the case for outmigrants, who are transported into new en­ vironments and may be exposed to substantially different structures, both in the immediate and historical sense. These persons are subject to the influences such new en­ vironments afford, and may be expected to exhibit effects in their differential career outcomes. The magnitude of the effects may be assumed to be at least roughly a function of the increase in the scope of the opportunity structure. By this reasoning, the larger the size of the place to which the migrants have moved, the higher their occupational at­ tainments should be. Blau and Duncan present data relating the size of place of 1962 residence to mean occupational attainment for migrants and nonmigrants from both rural and urban backgrounds. 35 Table 2. Mean 1962 Occupational Status by Type of Community at Age 16 and in 1962 and Migration Status (in Deviations from the Grand Mean*), Men Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Adapted from Blau and Duncan, 1967, p. 260) 1962 Residence Different Community Residence at age 16 Same community (non­ migrants ) Rural farm -15.3 -19.1 —6.6 -1.6 -4.5 Rural nonfarm - 5.8 -18.6 -3.4 -1.5 -2.1 5.5 5.7 11.7 9.3 Large Small City City** Rural Rural farm nonfarm 2,500-50,000 50,000+ Small city 2,500-100,000# - 3.5 4 .2 Large city 100,000+ 2.7 *The Grand Mean - 36.3 on the Duncan Socioeconomic Index (Reiss, 1961, Appendix B). **Includes "urbanized areas" of the U.S. Census 1960. #For explanation of use of this apparently noncom­ parable size category see Blau and Duncan (1967), Appendix I. It can be seen from Table 2 that for nonmigrants, at least; the expected pattern of increasing achievement with increas­ ing size of opportunity structure is consistent. Big city nonmigrants exhibit considerably higher 1962 occupational attainment than nonmigrants in other areas, most notably farm residents. But for migrants, the highest occupational attainment is demonstrated by persons moving to small cities from all other types of environments. The only exception to this generalization is that of persons who grew up in £L 36 small cities: such people seem to do about as well, If not a little better, In large cities* Xn assessing these Interesting findings, Blau and Duncan comment that: The more urbanized the environment, the higher the mean occupational status of natives* The occu­ pational position of migrants, on the other hand, does not accurately mirror these differences In opportunities* • • • To be sure, migrants as well as natives have more successful careers In urban than In rural areas. However, whereas the nonmigrant's position Is highest In large cities, the migrant's Is best In small cities. This Is the case not only for migrants from rural areas, who might be expected to do better In small cities, which contrast less with their rural background, but also for those who themselves come from large cities. (1967, p. 260) This striking finding concerning the success of mi­ grants to small cities Is further reinforced In an analysis of the percentage of Individuals upwardly mobile more than twenty-five points (from father's occupation), cross- classi­ fied by residence In 1962 and at age 16* Concerning these results, Blau and Duncan observe that: Data on upward mobility from social origins con­ firm the conclusion that the small city provides exceptional opportunities for the migrant. The native's chances of experiencing considerable upward mobility (over 25 points) are greater In large cities (25 per cent), than in small ones (20 per cent), where they arestill greater than in rural areas (15 per cent). But migrants find their best chances for upward mobility in small cities, regardless of whether they were raised in large cities, small cities, or rural areas. The superior occupational opportuni­ ties in large cities notwithstanding, migrants to small cities are the ones most likely to achieve upward mobility and high occupational status• As a result of the apparent advantages migrants enjoy in small cities* those of rural as well as those of urban origins are more successful than natives there Csee Table 2]. In large cities, on the other hand, only urban migrants are superior to natives, and the achievements of migrants from rural areas are inferior to the natives'. These differences are not entirely due to the superior background qualifi­ cations of urban migrants. When the effects of edu­ cation and first job are controlled,4 the same pat­ tern emerges, though the differences are greatly reduced. (1967, p. 261) Table 3• Per Cent Upwardly Mobile from Father's Occupation More than 25 Points, by Type of Community at Age 16 and in 1962 and Migration Status, Men Aged 20 to 64, OCG National Sample (Adapted from Blau and Duncan, 1967, p. 261) Residence at age 16 Rural farm and nonfarm _______________ 1962 Residence________ Different Community Same Community Large (Non­ Rural Rural Small City City* migrants) Farm Nonfarm 2,500-50,000 50,000+ 15.4 6.1 25.3 Small city 2,500-100,000 •• 20.5 37.4 29.7 31.3 27.1 35.3 29.1 26.0 Large city 100,000+ 25.4 *Includes "urbanized areas" of the U.S. Census 1960. ••For explanation of this apparently noncomparable size category see Blau and Duncan (1967), Appendix I. What is of primary interest to us in this detailed examination of the Blau-Duncan findings is, of course, the 4 Results showing effect of the application of these controls (Blau and Duncan, 1967, p. 262) are not reproduced here. 38 experience of the persons reared in rural areas. These data from a national sample indicate that, in terms of the influ­ ence of the environment and its opportunity structure for migrants from rural areas, the small city represents the most advantageous place in which to pursue a career. The reasoning used by Blau and Duncan in accounting for this empirical finding is that the small city provides for the rural migrant the best combination of expanded opportunity structure and similarity to the environment of orientation, and, hence, the optimum environment for achievement. 5 In attempting to predict the career achievement of rural youth, then, it would appear that not only will per­ sons who migrate from their home communities exhibit higher attainments than those who did not, but also that the level of attainment of the migrants themselves will be strategic­ ally affected by their choice of destination. Migrants who end up in small cities presumably achieve superior status, outranking those migrants who move to larger cities, who outrank migrants to other rural areas. The least success­ ful, of course, are those individuals who have never left the home community. 5 This leaves moot the question as to why the urban migrant exhibits superior achievement also in the small city. Does he benefit competitively from the somewhat less sophis­ ticated environment of the small city, compared to that which he left? About this Blau and Duncan speculate that " . . . bigcity experiences seem to benefit most those men who later move to small cities, where they can become, so to speak, big fish in small ponds.11 (1967, p. 266) 39 Whereas we have previously indicated that the size of place of orientation will have an important bearing on occupational attainment, based on the scope and limitations of its opportunity structure, we now add to this the hypoth­ esis that the characteristics of the place in which the worker presently lives also exercise an influence on his level of achievement. The significance of these environmental factors was well recognized by Schwarzweller in his study of the '•life chances” of Kentucky youth: . . . Since the migrant and nonmigrant segments [did] not differ significantly in antecedent sociocultural characteristics (prior to 1950) Cwhen they were in high school] . . . differences in occupational place­ ment and material level of living which do exist between the segments at the time of interviewing (in 1960) are largely due to regional variations in the structure of opportunity and cultural expe­ riences which intervened during the decade. (1964b, p. 164) This conclusion is reinforced by Schwarzweller*s discovery that migrant high school dropouts from eastern Kentucky "exhibit a higher level of living than nonmigrant high school graduates," and that "the level of living of migrant *drop-outs' is no different from that of migrant high school graduates." (1964b, p. 165) D. Circular Migration and Social Mobility At this point in the discussion it is strategic to give consideration to an intriguing phenomenon in the analy­ sis of geographic mobility and career achievement: circular migration. that of Referred to as "return migration" in some research studies, it has been noted by puzzled investigators in almost every inquiry extensive enough to gather detailed information on actual migration patterns of rural youth. Yet it has received, so far as can be as­ certained , no systematic treatment or analysis of any kind beyond occasional tabulations of its frequency and specula­ tion as to its causes* Moreover, the extent of circular** migration, as will be indicated below, is often great enough that failure to take account of it may seriously distort analysis of the relationship between migration behavior and career achieve­ ment. It has been a common, even customary, procedure in the research on rural youth migration, and in studies of mi­ gration generally, to treat residence in the same community or place at Time 1 and Time 2 as indicating nonmiqration. Thus, in their study of selective aspects of migration in a Missouri sample of former high school students, Pihlblad and Gregory (1954) distinguish migrants from nonmigrants on the basis of residence ten years after graduation: . . . The migrants in our group will be those resid­ ing in 1951-1952 in a county different from the one in which they attended school in 1939 and 1940. g Use has been made here of the term 'circular' in preference to the concept of return migration for the reason that it does not imply a limit as to the number of circuits made away from and back to an original location. Empirical evidence already available indicates that the process is sufficiently recurrent in some individuals to render the notion of a simple 'return' movement somewhat inaccurate. Sit.. 41 Persons living at the same address or in the same county, but at a different address, will be treated as non-migrants* Similarly, Brown and Buck treat as migrants persons who, ten years after the sophomore year in high school, are found to have "left the parental home and the local commu­ nity" and moved "to another rural community . . • [or] . . . settled in an urban community*" (1961, p* 6) Similarly, Schwarzweller (1963) and Youroans (1963), in separate analy­ ses of a sample of former students from eastern Kentucky, define a "nonmigrant" as: . . . an Individual who was residing within the eastern Kentucky area included in State Economic Areas 8 and 9, as delineated by the U.S. Census. "Migrant," on the other hand, refers to an indi­ vidual who was residing outside the eastern Kentucky area but within the boundaries of Ohio and Kentucky. (Schwarzweller, 1963, p. 7) Andrews and Sardo, in their 1965 survey of migration from Sedgwick County, Colorado, used a sample of 156 respond­ ents "who had left the county prior to June 1959," and for whom they were able to obtain current addresses and secure data by mail. Only the current addresses of departees were used as data concerning migration behavior, thus obscuring the possibility of multiple acts of migration among this group and completely omitting those cases in which persons left the county but subsequently came back. In the same fashion, Yoesting and Bohlen (1969) treated as nonmigrants those who happened to be living in the same Iowa community in which they had graduated from high school eight years 42 before. Incredibly, "• . • respondents who lived in their home communities at the time of the 1956 study were consid­ ered to have stayed even though they may have moved out of their home between 1948 and 1956 and returned." (p. 7) In a study of migration in Tennessee by Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop (1967) Information was "gathered on 1,076 young adults age 20 and over from household heads with children of this age" and "migration patterns of these young adults [were] analyzed." (1967, p. 4) Present residence was utilized as an index of migration behavior with the re­ sultant inaccurately low estimate of the proportion of the total cohort who may actually have migrated sometime during the ten year time frame of the study, but who had subsequently returned. This practice of treating residence in the same lo­ cation at two different times as nonmigration has been used not only in the field studies of rural youth cohorts, but also in national survey analyses, notably by Blau and Duncan in the 1967 Occupation Changes in a Generation study. Thus migration status is derived; . . . from the answer to the question, 'Where were you living when you were 16 years old7' Men report­ ing that they had lived in the same community as in 1962 are identified as nonmigrants. The rest, the migrants, were asked whether they had lived in a large city of 100,000 or more inhabitants or in suburbs, a smaller city, or a rural area. The last category was subdivided by father's occupation into rural nonfarm and farm. (1967, p. 254) This approach is used for the entire sample, which includes individuals as old as 64 years, with the consequence that for these older persons a time span of as much as 48 years is included* While it is true that the frequency of migration is generally greater among the younger segment, it would appear that this procedure has allowed virtually the maximum possible opportunity for some unknown number of individuals to gravitate back to the communities from which they came— for retirement, perhaps, among some of the older ones, to mention just one possible circumstance— and to be thus classified as nonmiqrants. To the extent such a cir­ cularity of migration actually takes place among persons who turn up in the "same community as at age 16'* at the time of data collection, the analysis is vulnerable to error in assessing the characteristics of "nonmigrants." Blau and Duncan are not unaware of the possibility of circular migration and comment that These figures [on the proportion of migrants among the sample] can only under-estimate the true propor­ tion of the population that has experienced migra­ tion at one point or another in adult life, as some unknown number of men return to the community in which they were raised after having migrated else­ where and hence escape our count* (1967, p. 255) Whether this procedure for distinguishing migrants from nonmigrants is catastrophic or not depends on at least two considerations: 1) what kinds of research objectives we have, and 2) the extent and frequency of such circular migration in the groups of people studied* On the first count, it would appear that if the ob­ jective of the research has anything to do with the assessment 44 of the differential effects of exposure to a new environment (i.e., opportunity structure) on the basic career trajectory of an individual, the simple 'Time l,Time 2' approach must be highly risky indeed. To pick a graphic hypothetical ex­ ample; Person A, who, let us say, has never left his rural home community but simply went out and got a job on the local scene after high school could hardly be considered to have had experience equivalent to that of Person B who left the home community after high school, obtained a college educa­ tion in the city, served in the armed forces overseas, com­ pleted a graduate degree and subsequently returned to his original community to continue his career. The 'Time 1, Time 2' approach obviously risks lumping these two individ­ uals together as nonmigrants, thus completely misconstruing their careers and the manifold differences which almost cer­ tainly exist between them in many aspects, from socioeconomic status to ideological perspective. Inasmuch as most of the research on rural youth co­ horts focusses fundamentally on their formative experiences and the various other ingredients in the development of their careers, failure to take account of the full history of their migratory behavior would appear to falsely simplify reality. It must be admitted, of course, that such a complete account­ ing was beyond the scope and resources of a national survey such as the Blau-Duncan study. And the inability to secure the additional information does not invalidate their basic findings which, altogether, provide many insights and are sk '• 45 of enormous value* The point, rather, is that such data obviously do not tell the whole story in that they do not reveal the actual complexity of migration and its relation to career trajectory* 7 For this reason careful longitudinal analysis of migration behavior alongside the other strategic o and significant events of the careers of rural youth is an essential complement to large scale cross-sectional study designs such as that of Blau and Duncan. Notwithstanding the significance, on theoretical grounds, of the phenomenon of circular migration in under­ standing the occupational attainment process, there is a practical empirical question of the extent and frequency of its occurrence. 9 For if the occurrence of circular migra­ tion is actually rare, then we may largely ignore it empir­ ically while granting its potential theoretical significance. 7 By the imagery of a "trajectory" we suggest a model in which the individual *s career is likened to the path of a bullet. With an initially high motive force, it starts from a relatively low initial point (first job) and rises steadily (mobility) to an apex somewhere beyond the midpoint of flight (highest-level job ever held), and, shortly there­ after, descends rapidly to the ground (retirement). o While our discussion has been focussed on the con­ sequences of the use of the "Time 1, Time 2" method in the study of rural youth, an equivalent criticism can be made about its potential hazards in the study of urban youth. 9 By extent we refer to the proportion of the total number of personswho ever migrated who subsequently return to the place of origin, while by frequency we shall mean the number of times any particular individual who migrates returns to his place of origin. 46 The second contingency, then, is: How often is such a phe­ nomenon actually observed? A hint of its importance can be gained from an exam­ ination of several studies in which data on the number and direction of moves made by outmigrants from rural areas were gathered. Leuthold, Farmer, and Badenhop (1967) found that, Of the 1,076 persons surveyed [who had grown up in the county], 40% presently reside in Jackson County, 32% in other areas of Tennessee, and 28% in other states. . . . Many of those who presently reside in Jackson County migrated on one or more occasions. Forty percent of the males and 42% of the females residing in the county left for at least a 6 -month period other than for school or military service. Xn addition, 2 0 % of both males and females presently residing outside Jackson County remigrated on one or more occasions. (1967, p. 4) A stunning 40 percent of the in-county residents had left, presumably for employment, but had returned to live in the county 1 Moreover, others, who were in an "away phase" at the time of the study had been back to live in the county one or more times! On this scale, circular mi­ gration could hardly be seen as anything but a highly sig­ nificant mass phenomenon. Further evidence on the frequency of circular mi­ gration comes from the Kentucky study of Schwarzweller who reports that . . . over a third (38.9 percent) of the nonmigrant segment (19.9 percent of the total population) had established civilian residence outside the eastern Kentucky area during the decade, but had returned by 1960. (1963, p. 21) Xn addition to those who had been away for civilian, presumably educational and employment purposes during the 47 decade of the study, another 11 percent had left the area and lived for some years elsewhere while serving In the armed forces* On the other hand, Schwarzweller reports that 16 percent of those who at the end of the decade were living outside the original area "had established residence one or more times back In eastern Kentucky after their initial migration." (1963, p* 21) About the returnees Schwarzweller speculates: This is an interesting group from many standpoints; for example, one might ask 'Why did they return?— What happened?— Couldn't they make a go of it?— Did they get homesick?--etc•' Over 77 percent of these men had lived in areas of Ohio during that period* In terms of their destination, then, we might infer that their initial departure was motivated by similar reasons as those who moved out and remained— that is, to find employment in the industrial Ohio Val­ ley * * . the evidence suggests that from 2 0 to about 25 percent of the entire study population might be so designated [as residentially unstable]. If this prediction proves correct, the situation begins to assume enormous proportions as a social problem [if residential stability is at all indicative of social stability and adjustment] when one conservatively generalizes regarding the thousands of young men who reach adulthood each year under similar circum­ stances in eastern Kentucky and low-income areas elsewhere. (1963, pp. 21, 28) Whatever the actual reasons for their residential vacillation and any significance it may have for their so­ cial stability and adjustment, this "betwixt and between segment," as Schwarzweller labels it, is a substantial por­ tion of the total number of persons studied who ever left the original area during the ten year period of the study. Interestingly, Youmans finds, in his independent analysis of the Kentucky sample, that 55 percent of those who had 48 moved and were living in urban centers of Kentucky and south­ ern Ohio "would like to move" from where they were situated and that the principal reason given by these men "was to return to [eastern] Kentucky 'because my home is there (Youmans, 1963, p. 26) In their study of 152 former Hamilton County, Iowa, high school students, Yoesting and Bohlen found that of those living in their home communities after eight years, and whom, incidentally, they treated as "nonmigrants," 16 percent of the females and 41 percent of the males had " . . . migrated some time between 1948 and 1956 but had returned and resided in their home communities by 1956. . . . " (1969, pp. 16-17) Still another field study which reveals a pattern of circular migration, in this instance in a relatively short time frame, is that by Smith and Berg (1962). In an analy­ sis of migration within the ten month period after gradua­ tion from 67 Michigan Upper Peninsula high schools, Smith and Berg found that at least 782 out of 3,508, or 22%, of these former students had left their home communities (and the U.P.) "on a permanent or semi-permanent basis," and that the probable figure, allowing for certain methodological problems, approached 35 percent. Included were persons who had enrolled in colleges or other schools, Joined the mili­ tary, gotten married and moved away, or gone away to look for work (1962, pp. 5-6). But of the 562 persons who had originally left to find work, 23.4 percent of the boys and 17.2 percent of the girls had already returned. A few (4.5%) 49 had come back within a month, but most had apparently been gone for at least three months and some had been gone more than eight* The principal reasons given for returning by both boys and girls were difficulties in finding work and dissatisfaction with jobs obtained (1962, pp. 46—47, 61)* The net impact of these studies in terms of the is­ sue of circular migration is to confirm its occurrence as a significant feature of rural youth migrations* Xn the studies cited, from about twenty to forty percent of the persons who ever migrated returned to live in their original community by the end of the time period under study. Hence, on empirical, as well as theoretical, grounds this phenom­ enon would clearly appear to be of considerable importance* Depending on the types of training, job experience, and reorientation undergone, we should expect that these circular migrants will be characteristically different from those who never left their home communities for any period* At least theoretically, some such difference should be ex­ pected whether that absence from the local scene was for purposes of military service, education, employment, or marriage, and should be especially significant for combina­ tions of these experiences* Both the amount of time spent elsewhere and the size of place in which it is spent should, of course, also contribute to these hypothetical differences between circular migrants and "true1* nonmigrants. so 1 . The Occupational Achievement of Circular Migrants Having already established the considerable incidence of circular migration and having now indicated the probabil­ ity of differences between such migrants and nonmigrants who live in rural communities, it remains to be spelled out just what level of occupational achievement we might expect will be exhibited by these people* How will they stand in comparison with the other groups already discussed— the mi­ grants to large and small cities, migrants to other rural areas, and the 'true nonmigrants?' Are they really the re­ jects, the incompetents, the "failures" they are perhaps thought to be? Are they, as Schwarzweller speculates, the ones who "couldn't make it" outside the local community? If our understanding of the factors involved in the occupational attainment process is accurate, we should be able to go some way toward predicting the level of occupa­ tional achievement of circular migrants relative to the other identifiable groups treated in the literature discussed above* We have described opportunity structure, for example, as an important variable in determining achievement levels, and pointed to the sophisticating effects of migration, since it widens exposure and increases the potential access to training and occupational opportunities* In evaluating the situation of the circular migrant, then, we must keep clearly in mind his relation to the opportunity structure. Specifically, we would assume that the circular migrant should have an advantage over the true nonmigrant in that he has been exposed to, and has likely benefitted from experience in, an opportunity structure of some place away from home* His training may have been increased, and certainly his horizons will have been widened in the sense that his knowledge will be greater and his perspective, per­ haps, less parochial* He may not have liked living away from his local community, but, presumably, he will have been affected by the experience nevertheless* if the time spent was in a small or large city, and particularly if it involved formal education or training of any sort, the returning mi­ grant is very likely to have a strong competitive advantage over the person who went directly to a job in the local com­ munity after leaving high school. If this reasoning holds, we should anticipate that the circular migrant, contrary to his popular image as a loser, should exhibit occupational attainment superior to that of his nonmigrant counterpart* Even under conditions of the limited resource base of the particular local commu­ nity, the circular migrant is still in a better overall com­ petitive position occupationally than the person who never left* Thus, we hypothesize that, as a group, the circular migrants will occupy a position above the true nonmigrants in our "hierarchy" of achievement groups* The circular migrant is, on the other hand, a cer­ tain kind of rural-to-rural migrant, having simply gone through an intermediate stage of living in a city or in some other rural community* How shall we predict his 52 occupational attainment relative to the other group of rural to-rural migrant 6 --those who left their home community and went to live in some other rural community elsewhere, never having returned? Is there any basis for not expecting these two groups to exhibit similar occupational achievement? Xn comparing the circumstance of circular migrants with that of other rural migrants, it can be seen that there is at least one major difference between their situations. The circular migrants have moved back to a place in which they are surrounded by family, whereas the rural migrants very likely are living in places where no family, or, at most, some member of the extended family resides (Olson, 1960, pp. 16-17). There may be differences between the rural communities involved, but over any large number of cases such differences may not be very significant. Cer­ tainly the characteristic and predictable difference is that of the presence of family in the home community• What possible consequences does the physical prox­ imity of immediate family, or lack of it, have for these two classes of migrants? First, it has been shown that migration tends to reduce kinship contacts (Jitodai, 1963; Schwarzweller, 1964a) and that such reduced contacts involve certain ’•costs" to the migrant, particularly if he has had significant attachments to kin and to the home community• Xn examining the situation of migrants who had left eastern Kentucky, Schwarzweller notes: 53 Here, we observe quite clearly two major forces in opposition: (1 ) economic and material opportuni­ ties available outside eastern Kentucky which tend to attract young people newly recruited to the labor force, and (2 ) family-kinship-neighborhood ties which, almost by definition, mean ''home11 to the migrant and tend either to discourage young people from mi­ grating or to make the new migrant uncomfortable, homesick, and dissatisfied. The balance between these forces— the manner in which young men from eastern Kentucky coped with the personal strains generated by this duality— is, we would argue, a problem of adjustment that confronts almost any man entering the labor force from eastern Kentucky re­ gardless of whether or not he migrates. (1963, p. 27) This dilemma afflicts potential migrants even before the time arrives at which a decision must be made as to whether or not to leave the local community. Foreman and Francis, in a study of 1,770 high school students in Minne­ sota, found that "conditions which would keep the person from moving are associated with community satisfaction, while conditions which would make a person move are associ­ ated with mobility ideology." (1963, p. 23) The evidence suggests that to the extent kinship and community ties are strong, they exercise some influence not only in restraining individuals from migrating in the first place, but probably also in pulling the migrants back to the community after they have left (Simwanza, 1969). The critical issue becomes that of the effects of family proximity on occupational achievement since it is in this circumstance that the circular migrants and rural migrants notably differ. A strong hint as to the possible impact of close kinship ties and contacts on achievement can be gained from 54 a recent analysis of interaction with kin and "modernity'* by Straus* An index of psychosocial modernity was developed which included measures of: 1 ) mastery values— an active- future orientation and a rejection of fatalism; 2 ) role prescription— expression of the amount of education which parents expected their children to complete and their com­ munication of that expectation; and 3) planninafulness— innovativeness and future-orientation of role behavior (1969, pp. 484-85). Straus found "a strong relationship between frequency of interaction with kin and *non-modern* psycho­ social traits. • . •" (p. 486) Replication with controls for residence and socioeconomic status did not erase the relationship, with the result that Straus finds support for the hypothesis that interaction with kin deters modernity. He proposes a "kinship deterrent" theory in which: (1) Ruralness and working-class status are associated with greater kinship interaction than urbanness and middle-class status, [and] (2) The greater the intensity of interaction with the extended kin, the less the psycho-social modernity. (Straus, 1969, pp. 488-89) Straus elaborates that: Specifically, it was found that the greater the kin­ ship interaction, the lower the achievement values, the lower the educational expectations for children, and the less planning and innovativeness in homemaking. (p. 489) [Various] considerations suggest that the more con­ servative the society, the greater the deterrent effect of the kin group on individual modernity. . . . Conversely, if the values and behavioral patterns of the society are "modern," then the kin group will tend to take on the role of teaching such patterns 55 or, at the least, will not be under pressure to transmit traditional patterns* * * • However, even If the society Is thoroughly "modern,” the family might still be a conservative force because rapid social change produces age cohorts with different cultures* These generationally-linked cultural differences, when coupled with the socialization and conformity enforcing functions expected of families In most societies, may make the family an Inherently conservative group* Cpp* 489-90) The complex of factors Involved In Straus* "modern­ ity” Index would seem, on theoretical grounds, to have con­ siderable relevance to our discussion of the possible effects of family proximity on the occupational achievement of cir­ cular migrants In rural areas* The obvious Implication of the "deterrent” theory Is that the circular migrants, who perforce live near and Interact with kin, will be Impeded In their achievement compared to migrants who live away, even in other rural communities .1 0 Xn predicting the occupational attainment levels of circular migrants, then, we anticipate that the experi­ ence, qualification, and sophistication gained from exposure to other environments beyond their home communities will enable them to demonstrate superiority over those who never left their home area* On the other hand, we would expect Schwarzweller (1964a) explores the notion of famillsm as a deterrent even under conditions where indi­ viduals are living away from the home community and kin* He finds inconsistent evidence for strong famillsm as a hindrance to occupational achievement for such migrants, but concludes that It does ” . * • hold back the migrant from becoming socially integrated into the urban community.” (p* 34) Also, migrants who maintain strong family ties tend to suffer greater anomie than those who exhibit fewer ties • that their level of achievement will not be quite so high as that of migrants to other similar rural communities who did not return* These individuals, while they may not have access to an opportunity structure significantly "better" than that of the home community, nonetheless have the advan­ tage of freedom from certain subtle pressures and obligations involved in close ties with kin.^* Altogether, it would appear that the variables of 1 ) experience of migration, and 2) choice of terminal des­ tination, being sensitively connected with the process of career achievement among rural youth, should be handled with as high a degree of precision as possible if we are to gain an accurate appreciation of the extent of their effects* The practice, frequently encountered in migration research, of treating individuals who turn up in the same location upon two successive occasions as nonmigrants is likely to be factually inaccurate and theoretically misleading. To be sure, proper longitudinal research methods which avoid this pitfall are more troublesome, more expensive, more complicated, and take longer to carry out. But the truth of the matter is that if we "look inside" this class of "nonmigrants" built of 'Time l,Time 2* observations, we ^ X t has been a popular notion, of course, that proximity of kin has a "supportive" effect on the individ­ ual, rather than a deterrent one. That is obviously not the tack taken in this analysis, and, it must be said, the accumulated evidence simply does not provide much foundation for this popular notion. 57 will very probably find a significant number of instances in which such classificatory procedures essentially misrep­ resent the amount of mobility which has taken place in the interim* Such falsifications cannot but detract from the level of precision with which we apprehend the whole process of career achievement and the many factors which impinge on it. Under these circumstances what is clearly needed is a series of careful and complete longitudinal analyses of rural youth cohorts during the period in which the basic structural outlines of their careers are formed. Data are needed that are continuous over a long enough period of the process and detailed enough to provide a complete history of the significant events. Only thus will we ensure the continuity of outline which is the key to a more adequate understanding of these career profiles. E. Statement of the Research Problem In the foregoing sections we have discussed the research literature on the subject of geographic mobility and career achievement in rural youth. In the process of this discussion we have attempted to summarize the research in terms of the generalizations which may be drawn from it. At the same time we have pointed to some of the shortcomings of much of the research, particularly the limitations of the cross-sectional and historico-reconstructive studies and the problem of definition of nonmigration. The need has been expressed, first, for careful 58 longitudinal analysis of the experience of an actual cohort of rural youth, as a replication, in stricter methodological form, of the widely executed cross-sectional and reconstruc­ tive studies. Such research would serve both as a test of the findings already developed from other types of research and as a context within which to examine issues (i.e., cir­ cular migration) as yet not systematically developed in the literature. The value of this longitudinal research, of course, derives only insofar as it 1 ) minimizes non-representative­ ness through attrition of cases; and 2) recovers information substantial enough to provide a complete and continuous pic­ ture of the activities of individuals during the critical period, perhaps ten years, after their completion of high school. Longitudinal research of the type indicated might address itself to examination of the several issues contained in the literature, such as the frequency of migration, des­ tinations of migrants, the occupational attainments of mi­ grants and nonmigrants, the selectivity of migration, the significance of the opportunity structure of both the place of origin and the place of destination, and occurrence and implications of circular migration. These matters have not heretofore been addressed in combined format in any longi­ tudinal research presently available. 59 1. Rationale for the Hypotheses From the research literature discussed above, we may construct a hypothetical picture of the process of occu­ pational achievement among young persons from rural areas. The structural changes in the economy of rural areas, coupled with the typically large families of rural residents, has produced a continuing labor surplus in rural regions with a resultant outflow to urban areas• We anticipate that mi­ gration will thus be the rule for young persons in rural settings— that after leaving high school most of these young persons will strike out for other areas to continue their education, go into the service, or seek employment. It would appear to be reasonable to expect that a fairly sub­ stantial majority of young people will be so affected, par­ ticularly in areas that are unusually economically depressed. Given the inability of the rural economy to support a substantial working force, we anticipate that the direc­ tion of the bulk of migration will be cityward— that the basic flow will be from these rural communities to urban regions and to the fringe areas surrounding such places. Hence, we would expect most migrants to have established residence in urban areas, although a few will likely have gone to live in other rural areas not unlike the places from which they came. These theoretical expectations about the frequency of migration and about the destinations of migrants derive from the impact of structural conditions in the so­ ciety at large. There is a general flow of labor to urban 60 areas and this phenomenon might be expected to be especially acute among new entrants to the labor force who 9 although the least well qualified, are the most mobile segment. 12 Of central interest is the nature of the careers of those who choose to migrate as compared with those of persons who stay in their communities of origin. Depending on such factors as differential quality of educational prep­ aration and the relative need for various types of labor in the places of origin and places of destination, the migra­ tion of young persons out of their rural communities carries significance for both the home communities themselves and for the areas of destination. For the rural communities it means that manpower will be lost and thus, at least po­ tentially, certain kinds of resources essential to the con­ tinued vitality of the community. For the places of destina­ tion it may mean new Inputs of labor of both high and low quality, thus adding to the manpower resources available to that area and perhaps to its problems as well. The research literature indicates that migrants from 12 It is recognized that the rural-urban migration stream is a time-bound phenomenon and is linked to the unique set of economic and technological trends of this historical period, as well as to the broader dynamics of population growth and redistribution. There is a good basis for believ­ ing that rural areas will not lose population indefinitely, and may even begin to show net increases with the passage of time and further expansion of nearby metropolitan centers. Apart from such stabilization at a gross level, however, we may reasonably anticipate that the outmigration of rural youth will continue, and that their departure will be simply compensated by a "back flow** of persons in other age brackets. rural areas typically exhibit higher levels of occupational attainment than the persons left behind* Such higher attain­ ment presumably owes to the possible effects of certain kinds of selectivity operating in the migration process itself and to differences in the opportunities available in the various target regions to which the migrants move* In re­ spect to selectivity of migration, we anticipate that persons who choose to leave their communities of orientation will likely exhibit an initial advantage over nonmigrants along a range of relevant personal and social characteristics and circumstances, and may be therefore somewhat "predestined" to relative success* For example, we might expect migrants to have given evidence of superior ability while in school, to have had higher levels of aspiration, and, perhaps, to have had parents who more often reinforced such aspirations. The nonmigrants, on the other hand, should exhibit lower ability, fewer of the values associated with achievement, greater attachment to the home community, and less interest in, and reinforcement from others for, leaving it. 13 13 Existence of positive relationships among a cluster of variables associated with the career socialization process has been well established* Such variables include parents' socioeconomic status, parents' educational and occupational expectations, children's levels of educational and occupa­ tional aspiration and ability, size of community of origin, and levels of educational and occupational achievement* See for example: Anderson, Brown, and Bowman, 1952; Bender, Hobbs, and Golden, 1967; Bordua, 1960; Burchinal, 1961; Gist, Pihlblad, and Gregory, 1942; Gregory and Lionberger, 1966; Grigg and Middleton, 1960; Kuvlesky and Bealer, 1967; Campbell and Dilley, 1966; Lindstrom, 1964; Lipset and Bendix, 1959; 62 It would appear reasonable also to expect that there may be selectivity in migration in terms of such things as the individual's attitude toward the community and his rela­ tions with his parents— factors which might not have an ob­ vious or clear connection with later occupational achieve­ ment, yet which may serve, if negative in valence, to drive the individual out of the community. Hence, we would antici­ pate the possibility of migrants expressing less satisfaction with the local scene and the relationships which obtain there. While still in high school they may feel that the community is too provincial, for example, or that nobody minds his own business, or that there is nothing to do with one's free time (Crawford, 1964; Goldsmith and Beegle, 1962; Schulze, Artis, and Beegle, 1963). On the other hand, they may feel that they would like to get away from the family for a while, that their parents are restricting their freedom, "cramping their style," or are unable to see their viewpoint, etc. (Oavls, 1940; Schwarzweller, 1964a; Simwanza, 1969). Altogether, in terms of selectivity of migration, we would anticipate that migrants and nonmigrants will dif­ fer in both objective characteristics and in certain dynamic factors. Xn the case of the former, the migrants may come Middleton and Grigg, 1959; Porter, 1954; Sewell, Haller, and Straus, 1957; Sewell, 1964; Sewell and Shah, 1967, 1968a, 1968b; and Simpson, 1962. What we are suggesting in this discussion, of course, is that among rural youth a further variable linked to this career socialization process is migration status. 63 from families with higher status than the nonmigrants and they may exhibit greater ability and potential for achieve­ ment. In the case of the latter, the migrants may differ from the nonmigrants in the kinds of reinforcement they get from significant others, in the attitudes they have about home and community, in their aspirations and plans for the future. The selectivity, then, may be both circumstantial and social psychological, and may have reference to both the Individual himself and to his dynamic relationship to those around him. Some of these aspects, such as the indi­ vidual's ability and level of aspiration, should have inti­ mate relevance to both his departure from the community and to subsequent levels of achievement. Other aspects, such as the individual's attitude toward the community, may have immediate relevance only to the decision to stay or leave the area, and dubious, if any, connection with subsequent events. We anticipate that the migrants and nonmigrants will exhibit differential occupational attainments not only be­ cause of selectivity in the migration process itself, but also because their ultimate environments differ. This reason­ ing is based on the theoretical assumption of the importance of differences between the opportunity structures in these several environments, and, as we shall presently suggest, the proximity or absence of kin. We anticipate that a major element in the career achievement process of young persons from rural areas will 64 be the nature of the opportunity structure of the places in which these people come to live and work, and their rela­ tive freedom and facility in exploiting that opportunity structure. In general, we assume that the larger the oppor­ tunity structure to which an individual has been exposed, the greater will be the likelihood of his demonstrating a high level of occupational attainment. By this reasoning, we anticipate that persons who grow up in larger communities will later exhibit achievement superior to those who grow up in smaller communities (Lipset, 1955), and this principle may apply at least in a general way even to the range of communities classed as "rural." Moreover, we would expect that those individuals who come to live in urban areas will typically do substantially better than persons who remain in rural areas. This would merely reveal the gross differences in the opportunity structures of urban and rural areas, and would underscore the strategic significance for migrants of the choice of destination. Here we are hypothesizing a dual significance of the opportunity structure: first, in set­ ting out for the individual the kinds of possible career lines open to him, and second, in serving as the context in which the individual's career takes on its ultimate form. We expect that the opportunity structure of the place of origin and that of the destination will have influence in determining career outcomes for the migrant while the nonmigrant will be affected solely by the place in which he has always resided. 65 A further refinement in the prediction of achieve­ ment may be tentatively advanced in respect to urban migrants. Following the speculation of Blau and Duncan (1967), it is anticipated that those rural-urban migrants who reside in small cities will exhibit higher levels of occupational attainment than will those who migrate to larger cities. Blau and Duncan reason that smaller cities offer the rural immigrant substantially improved opportunity without the presumably greater problems of alienation and readjustment to city life ("culture shock” ) involved in the experience of transition from the rural source area to the larger metropolitan areas. 14 In addition to the and 2 1 ) job market and labor flow, ) variations in the opportunity structure of various communities as theoretical factors accounting for differen­ tial occupational achievement of persons from rural areas is the additional factor previously mentioned, proximity of family. In this we have a social psychological factor which we suppose plays a role in occupational achievement. We have suggested that the function of close interaction with kin is actually to impede occupational achievement, and have proposed a "kinship deterrent" theory, after Straus (1969), to predict the differential outcomes of persons who 14The problem of alienation and readjustment to city life on the part of rural-urban migrants is recognized and discussed also by Schwarzweller (1964a). 66 follow their careers In their home communities compared to those who migrate to other rural communities In which kin are absent. We predict that rural-to-rural migrants who live beyond their home communities will show higher occupa­ tional attainment than will persons who live In their home communities. A possible test of this presumption Is the case of persons who leave their home community but who subsequently return to live In the same place. These people will have benefltted from the experience of migration In terms of Its sophisticating effects and from any further training or edu­ cation received In the process. However, they have returned to an area where family contacts are probably plentiful and the effects of such Interaction with kin are to be fully felt. Hence, we predict their level of occupational achieve­ ment will be higher than that of persons who never migrated, but still lower than that of persons who migrated to other rural areas. In sum, we have conceived the career experience of rural youth In terms of the effects of various conditions growing out of the nature of the environment, such as the structural features of the labor market, geographic mobility and the opportunities available within communities of vari­ ous sizes, and combined these with social psychological fac­ tors, such as differences In the Individuals’ orientations and backgrounds and differences In with kinship members. Intensity of Interaction From the Interrelationships among 67 these various factors, we have attempted to predict their differential occupational attainment outcomes. 2. Statements of the Hypotheses Hypothesis I: (Frequency of Migration) Of men reared in rural areas, more will subsequently move away from their home communities than will remain within their home communities. Hypothesis II: (Destination of Migrants) Of those men reared in rural areas who subsequently move away from their home communities, more will be found to live in urban areas than in rural communities. Hypothesis Ills (Occupational Attainment of Migrants and Nonmigrants) Of men reared in rural areas, those who subsequently move away from their home communities will exhibit higher occupational attainment than will those who remain in their home communities. Hypothesis IV: (Selectivity of Migration) Of men reared in rural areas, those who subsequently move away from their home communities (migrants) will differ in specified ways from those who remain in their home com­ munities (residents) in terms of the following background factors: A. Factors associated with family background 68 1. Objective factors a. Migrants' fathers will have had higher socio­ economic status than will residents' fathers. b. Migrants' fathers will have had more educa­ tion than will residents' fathers. c. Migrants' mothers will have had more educa­ tion than will residents' mothers. d. Migrants' fathers will have had higher income than will residents' fathers. 2. Dynamic (social psychological) factors a. Migrants' parents will have had higher occupational expectations for their children than residents' parents will have had for theirs. b. Migrants* parents will have been more favor­ ably oriented toward their children's possible departure from the home community than will be the case for residents' parents. c. Migrants will have been less satisfied with their relationships with their parents than will be the case for residents. B. Factors associated with the individual 1 . Objective factors a. Migrants will have had higher intelligence than residents. b. Migrants will have had greater academic abil­ ity than residents. 69 2* Dynamic (social psychological) factors a. Migrants will have had higher educational aspirations than residents* b. Migrants will have had higher occupational aspirations than residents* c* Migrants will have been more favorably ori­ ented toward leaving the community after leaving school than residents, d* Migrants will have been more motivated toward further education or training as a basis for leaving the home community than residents, e* Migrants will have been less satisfied with the community than residents* f. Migrants will have had a residential prefer­ ence for a larger community than residents* Hypothesis V: (Opportunity Structure of the Community of Orientation) The larger the community of orientation, the higher will be the level of subsequent occupational attainment, regardless of present residence. Hypothesis VI: (Opportunity Structure of the Community of Destination) Of men reared in rural areas, the level of subsequen occupational attainment will be highest among migrants to small cities, next highest among migrants to large cities, third highest among migrants to other rural communities, and lowest among those remaining in their home communities» 70 Hypothesis VII: (Occupational Achievement of Circular Migrants) Of men reared in rural areas, those who move away from their home communities but subsequently return will exhibit occupational attainment higher than that of persons who have never moved away from their home communities but lower than that of persons who have moved away to other rural communities and not returned. CHAPTER XX THE METHOD OF THE STUDY A* Introduction Xn the previous chapter we summarized the research literature dealing with the relationship between geographic mobility and occupational achievement of rural youth. We discussed the need for a careful longitudinal check of gen­ eralizations growing out of the literature and for explora­ tion of the phenomenon of circular migration. Finally, we constructed a set of interrelated hypotheses for testing within a longitudinal design. The purpose of this chapter is to outline a study developed to provide a test of those hypotheses. B. The Ontonagon County Project, 1957-1968 Xn response to the Report of the Procedures Committee of NC-18, the North Central Regional Project Concerning Field t Studies in Migration (1957), Michigan State University soci­ ologists undertook a series of studies of outmigration areas of rural Michigan* Among the places studied was a low in­ come rural area in the Upper Peninsula with an extended his­ tory of population loss: Ontonagon County .1 ^Under the aegis of NC-18, sociologists in the North Central Region undertook parallel field studies of areas 71 Xn May, 1957, a study of the "initial phase** of voluntary migration was conducted in this county by MSU sociologists, with support from the Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station. Xn this project extensive data were collected from and about a sample of young people enrolled in high school. questionnaire 2 This was accomplished through a mimeographed filled out by the students which elicited information about a variety of topics, such as their activ­ ities, their attitudes toward the community and toward their parents, their educational and occupational plans and aspira­ tions, and their possible desires, expectations, or plans to leave the local area after high school. Further infor­ mation was obtained from school records including evidence concerning their academic performance and various test scores. An attempt was made to corroborate certain information, such as the students' fathers* occupations, with knowledgeable school staff members in order to ensure the highest possible validity of information gathered. Analysis of the 1957 data was subsequently presented by Goldsmith and Beegle (1962) in a study of the "initial phase" of voluntary migration. exhibiting various combinations of the following conditions: 1 ) net inmigration or net outmigration during the previous decade, 2) a high or low level of living, and 3) a high or low proportion of persons employed in manufacturing. Onto­ nagon County was considered to fall into the category of net outmigration, a low level of living, and a low propor­ tion of persons employed in manufacturing. 2 See Appendix A. In 1967, the second phase of the Ontonagon County project was undertaken* This consisted of a follow-up study of these former high school students* The sample members were relocated and new data were collected concerning the events which had taken place since 1957* For the ten year period since high school, information was obtained concern­ ing all places in which these young people had lived, the various jobs they had held, marriage and family formation, spouses' occupations, family income, attitudes toward their home community and toward their present community, if living elsewhere, their social participation, and their assessment of the meaning of their ten years' experience. The present study of geographic mobility and occu­ pational achievement of rural youth is based on the exten­ sive data now available for this sample of persons from Ontonagon County, Michigan, over a period of ten years, commencing while they were still enrolled in high school in May, 1957.3 1* The Research Site The site selected for this study was a rural county in the western part of Michigan's Upper Peninsula. Ontonagon County is located approximately 60 miles southwest of Houghton, other studies have been recently completed using data from this sample, including those by Tregea (1968) and Simwanza (1969)* Several others are currently in progress* 3Two Michigan, and about the same distance northeast of Ironwood, Michigan* It is an entirely rural area, with the largest community, the village of Ontonagon, having a population in 1960 of approximately 2360 persons. A There are a number of other smaller hamlets with populations of a few hundred or less scattered about the county, with the rest of the pop­ ulation living in the open country* The total population of the county in 1960 was 10,564, a figure slightly increased over that of the previous decade, but due almost entirely to expansion of the copper mining operation at White Pine in the western part of the county. Previous to the reopen­ ing of this mine, in 1954, the county had shown a continual loss of population since the 1920's* Goldsmith reports that In 1950, Ontonagon County was an economically de­ pressed rural, predominantly Finnish community characterized by out-migration, a rapidly aging population, a high sex ratio, a large number of single, widowed and divorced males, a low level of educational attainment, and dependency upon agriculture and the lumber industries for economic livelihood. It had the lowest rural-farm level of living index, 100, for the entire state. Over 17 percent of its active labor force was unemployed as compared with the state average of 5.4 percent. Forty-seven percent of the population earned less than $ 2 , 0 0 0 and only 6 percent earned more than $5,000. The same figures for the state were 19 percent and 20 percent respectively. (1961, p. 78) These conditions, dismal as they were in 1950, do not appear to have been much changed by the introduction 4 The photograph on the frontispiece is a scene of the main thoroughfare, River Street, in the village of On­ tonagon . of new industry, principally mining, during the decade 19501960* While there has been some shift of labor from agri­ culture and logging into mining, the overall atmosphere in the county has continued to be one of depression and, particularly, outmigration of the young. 5 The County exhibits a pattern similar in basic respects to many rural counties in the North Central Region of the United States,** and thus serves as a generally representative area in which to study the career profiles of rural youth. Some impression of the nature of the Ontonagon County area may be gained from the pictures on the accompanying pages. Although these photo­ graphs were taken at the time of the 1967-70 re-study, they convey in an authentic manner the basic atmosphere of the area during the contemporary period in which the subjects in this study grew up. 2. The Research Sample Xn May of 195 7, all the Juniors and Seniors enrolled 7 in the six high school districts in Ontonagon County c Preliminary 1970 Census figures released in June, 1970, indicate that the County has again lost population during the decade ending 1 April 1970. 6The North Central Region, as recognized by the U.S. Census, includes the states of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Minnesota, Xowa, Missouri, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Xn terms of migra­ tion patterns, the state ofKentucky can be thought of as also belonging generally tothis region. 7 According to the 1960 Census, 97.3 percent of the 16-17 year olds residing inthe county were enrolled in high Fig. 1. Bergland School. One of the three smaller schools in Ontonagon County. The study sample includes eleven males who graduated from this school in 1957 and 195S. Fig. 2. Ontonagon High School. Largest school in Ontonagon County. The graduating classes of 1957 and 1958 included 48 males who are subjects in this study. With consolidation of Mass and Rockland schools in 1968, a new high school has been built. Fig. 3. Main Street, Rockland. One of a number of small communities scattered about Ontonagon County, Rockland was a teeming copper mining town in the late nineteenth century. Since the closing of the mines it has declined to about 400 residents. Fig. 4. Residential street scene, Bergland. Houses in foreground are not atypical of many houses around the county. The street is unpaved, as are most of the streets in this community. Fig. S. Church in Rockland* Most churches in the county are wooden structures such as that pictured above. Fig# 6* Ewen High School Thirty of the subjects included in this study attended school here. participated in the MSU study of the initial phase of volun­ tary migration* This included a total of 269 students, 127 males and 142 females, who were present on the day the data were collected. The school supplying the largest number of students in the original sample was Ontonagon, with 111 persons, while the smallest was Rockland, with just 11* During the period March, 1968, to December, 1969, all of the students still living were re-located (three had died), and new data covering the ten year period since high school were gathered. This was accomplished through use of photo-offset questionnaires Q mailed to the respondents' addresses, completed by them, and returned to the university. Follow-up phone calls were made and interviews were conducted where necessary to insure the highest possible percentage of recovery of data. In three cases where subjects refused to cooperate with the study, in nine others in which the individuals indicated cooperation but failed ultimately to return the questionnaire, and in the three deceased cases, substitute data were collected from secondary sources, in­ cluding immediate family members, friends, and school offi­ cials. An informal check of the probable validity of this school. On the assumption that the level of attrition three years earlier at least approaches this rate, it would appear that an exceedingly small number in this age group in the county were not enrolled in school at the time of the orig­ inal data collection. 8 See Appendix B. 80 type of data was gained from a number of other cases in which such secondary data were collected, but in which the completed questionnaires were later received from the subjects them­ selves. The secondary source information was found to be remarkably accurate, and in at least one case, more precise and reliable than the information supplied by the subject himself. Altogether, usable data were recovered from 95.5 percent of the living members of the original sample and secondary source information was obtained to cover the re­ maining few cases, resulting in complete coverage of the original sample for the ten year period. The zero net data loss was considered essential considering the small size of the initial sample and because of the problems of rep­ resentativeness alluded to earlier in the discussion of previous research. For this study of the relation between geographic mobility and career achievement, only the male subsample is used. 9 Of the original 127 males, two had died by the end of the ten year period after high school, one in what was described as a hunting accident and the other as a re­ sult of the sinking of the USS THRESHER (SSN-593) while serving with the Navy. 9 Females were excluded from the analysis because there is good reason to believe that their careers charac­ teristically differ in important structural ways from those of males. For example, the relationship of females to the occupational structure is not the same as that of males, and their geographic mobility is no doubt complicated and constrained by the career activities of their husbands. 3. Operationalization of the Variables The variables to be dealt with in this study include a) migration, b) size of place of current residence, c) socio­ economic status, and d) certain background factors, including father's socioeconomic status, parents' education and income, parents' occupational expectations and career preferences, attitudes toward parents, intelligence, academic performance, educational and occupational aspirations, migration expec­ tations, reasons for desiring to migrate, attitudes toward the community, and residential preferences. Migration. This variable was measured by items in the re-study questionnaire (1968, pp. 4, 6-9) eliciting in­ formation about all the places in which the respondents had lived for a month or more since high school. Changes of house within the same community were not considered to be migration. Size of Place of Current Residence. The format and procedure used by Blau and Duncan (1967) were used in this study to provide a basis for appropriate comparisons and to ensure maximum value of longitudinal replication of their analysis. Rural areas were defined as those communities under 2,500 population. Small cities were defined as in­ corporated places of 2,500 to 49,999 which were not part of the 213 "urbanized areas" identified in the Census 1960. Large city residence was defined as residence within one of the 213 "urbanized areas" of the Census, which refers to all incorporated places of at least 50,000 population 82 plus the surrounding unincorporated but developed urban and suburban fringe. Inasmuch as there were only 60 urban places, containing less than 5 percent of the population, which were not located In urbanized areas of at least 100,000 aggregate population, large city residence typically refers to urban areas of substantial size. Residence as of the end of the post high school decade (PHSD)— 30 June 1967 for the 195 7 seniors and 30 June 1968 for the 195 7 Juniors— -as listed In the re-study questionnaire (1968, pp. 4, 9), was desig­ nated the place of current residence. Socioeconomic Status. The subjects' occupations as of the end of the PHSD as reported by them in the re-study questionnaire (1968, p. 9) were coded according to the Duncan "Socioeconomic Index for Occupations in the Detailed Clas­ sification of the Bureau of the Census: 1950," in Albert Reiss (1961, Appendix B-l). Fathers' occupations were simi­ larly coded from information supplied on the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 19) and corroborated by school staff. Using Census data, the Duncan Socioeconomic Index scales occupations according to objective components of in­ come and education. This is done in such a manner that the rankings produced coincide well with the differential pres­ tige of the various occupations as ascertained previously by the National Opinion Research Center (1947). The numeric scores derived range from a high of 96 to a low of zero. Examples of occupations ranking at various levels are as follows: physician, 92; civil engineer, 84; teacher, 72; 83 salaried manager, 68; typesetter, 52; clerical worker, 44; gas station operator, 33; welder, 24; smelterman, 18; jan­ itor, 9; construction laborer, 7; and woodsman, 4. Parents' Education. The level of education of each parent was measured by an item inthe initial phase question­ naire (1957, p. 20) eliciting number of yearsof education completed• Parents1 Income. Parents' incomes were measured by an item in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 20) eliciting the subjects' estimates of their incomes in terms of a series of categories scaled from less than SI,000 to $9,000 or more. The midpoints of these income categories were used in converting the subjects' answers into dollar income estimates. Parents* Occupational Expectations. Parents' expec­ tations concerning the occupational achievement of the sub­ jects were measured by an item inthe initial phase question­ naire (1957, p. 14) eliciting thetypes of work the subjects thought their parents would like to see them follow. Three such possible lines of work were elicited and these were coded according to the Duncan Socioeconomic Status Index (Reiss, 1961, Appendix B-l) and the scores averaged to ar­ rive at the most stable estimate of the subjects' perceptions of parental expectations. Parents' Career Preferences. The parents* career preferences for the subjects were assessed by a forced-choice item in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 9) eliciting 84 information as to the course of action parents urged upon the subjects for the period after high school, as perceived by the subjects* The advice was divided into two categories in terms of whether it 1) involved staying near home (Answers 1 , 2, and 4), or 2) allowed for the possibility of establish­ ing residence away from home (Answers 3 and 5). Responses in the "Other” category were similarly divided where pos­ sible: advice to "take over my father's business” was put in category 1, while advice such as "go in the service and get a job of my own thereafter” was put in category 2. Relations with Parents* The subjects' relations with their parents was the subject of a nine item checklist of evaluative statements about relationships with parents in the initial phase questionnaire (195*), pp* 7-8)* The statements allowed for responses in five categories from strong agreement to strong disagreement. £ach statement was scored from 1 to 5 with the high score reflecting high solidarity with parents. The individual statement scores were summed to provide a "relations with parents index” with scores ranging from a maximum possible of 45, reflecting high solidarity with parents, to a minimum of 9, indicating alienation from parents. This index score was used as a measure of the subjects' relations with their parents. Intelligence. The most recent intelligence test scores were obtained from the school records. Only those results from standardized tests, and which were recorded in classical X.Q. format, were used* It is recognized, of course, that these tests are, at best, highly impure measures of intelligence. Allowance must be made for the fact that results are likely to be Influenced by such factors as school achievement, family background experience, self-attitudes, etc. While interpretation of outcomes must be made in the light of these reservations, the test results may still be useful in apprehending the career achievement potential of the students, and in revealing possible differences between migrants and nonmigrants. Academic Ability. The academic ability of the stu­ dents was measured by their graduation rank converted into a percentile rank by the formula: sons in the graduating class. 1 — Rank/Number of per­ In the several cases in which individuals did not actually graduate, ranks were assigned based on an evaluation of their academic performance while still enrolled. Educational Aspirations. The level of educational aspirations was measured by a forced-choice item in the in­ itial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 15) eliciting informa­ tion concerning possible intentions to seek further train­ ing after high school. Response alternatives allowed for a specification as to what type, if any, training was planned. Occupational Aspirations. The level of occupational aspirations was obtained from an item in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 14) eliciting nfirst choice job [that the subject was now] considering as a lifetime work,'* coded 66 according to the Duncan Socioeconomic Status Index (Reiss, 1961, Appendix B-l). Miqration Expectations. The attitude of the subjects concerning the possibility of leaving the local community after high school was measured by a forced-choice item in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p.10) eliciting ex­ pectations regarding staying or leaving. Response alterna­ tives were listed in order of increasingly favorable orien­ tation toward migrating from the community and divided in terms of whether they involved staying (Answers 1 and 2) or leaving (Answers 3 and 4). Reason for Leaving the Community after High School. The principal reason the students felt might be grounds for leaving the community after high school was measured by an open-ended question in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p. 10) eliciting their "first main reason" for considering leaving. Responses were coded into a series of categories according to the type of reason given. Attitude toward the Community. The subjects' level of community satisfaction was measured by a selection of 15 items from a checklist of evaluative statements about the community in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, pp. 4-5). The fifteen item checklist was scored in the same fashion as that for relations with parents, and an index derived in which a higher score (maximum possible score » 75) indi­ cated greater satisfaction with the community and a lower score (minimum » 15) indicated lesser satisfaction with the community. This index score was used as a measure of the subjects* attitudes toward the community. Residential Preference. The residential preference of the subjects was measured by an item in the initial phase questionnaire (1957, p.12) eliciting the type of community in which they would most prefer to live. Response alterna­ tives were listed in order of increasing size of community. Due to a misprint in the questionnaire, the size category 2,500 to 10,000 was omitted. This reshaped the choice in­ terestingly into one which drew a distinction between the kind of community found in Ontonagon County, all of which are smaller than 2,500, and communities of definitely larger size, such as Xronwood and Marquette in the U.P. and others of similar and larger size in the Lower Peninsula and else­ where • 4. Operational Statements of the Hypotheses Hypothesis X: Of male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors, more will be living outside their home communi­ ties than will reside within their home communities at the end of the PHSD. Hypothesis XX: Of male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors who are living outside their home communities at the end of the PHSD, more will be living in places of 88 over 2,500 population than will be living in places of under 2,500. Hypothesis 111: Of male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors, those who are living outside their home com­ munities at the end of the PHSD will exhibit a higher mean SES score than will those residing in their home communities• Hypothesis IV: Of male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors, those who sure living outside their home com­ munities at the end of the PHSD (migrants) will differ in specified ways from those residing in their home communities (residents) in terms of the following background factors: A. Factors associated with family background 1. Objective factors a. The mean Duncan SES score for migrants' fathers will be higher than that for residents' fathers. b. The mean years of education completed for migrants' fathers will be greater than that for residents* fathers. c. The mean years of education completed for migrants' mothers will be greater than that for residents’ mothers. d. The mean dollar income of migrants* parents will be higher than that for residents' parents• 69 2. Dynamic (social psychological) factors a. The mean average Duncan SES score of jobs suggested by parents of migrants will be higher than that for jobs suggested by parents of residents. b. The proportion of parents of migrants ex­ pressing career preferences which allow for departure from the community after high school will be greater than that for the parents of residents. c. The mean relations-with-parents index score for migrants will be lower than that for residents. B. Factors associated with the individual 1. Objective factors a. The mean l.Q. score for migrants will be higher than that for residents. b. The mean graduation rank percentile score for migrants will be higher than that for residents. 2. Dynamic (social psychological) factors a. The proportion of migrants intending to get further training or education beyond high school will be greater than that for resi­ dents . b. The mean Duncan SES score of occupations "now being seriously considered'* by migrants will 90 be higher than that of occupations being con­ sidered by residents. c. The percentage of migrants who expected to leave the community after high school will be greater than that for residents. d. The percentage of migrants listing further training or education as the "first main reason" for considering leaving the community after high school will be greater than that for residents. e. The mean community satisfaction index score for migrants will be lower than that for residents. f. The proportion of migrants preferring to live in communities larger than 10,000 will be greater than that for residents. Hypothesis V: Among male Ontonagon County 195 7 high school juniors and seniors, there will be a direct rank order relationship between the size of the home community and mean SES scores at the end of the PHSD. Hypothesis VX: Among male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors, the highest mean SES score at the end of the PHSD will be exhibited by those living in cities between 2,500 and 50,000, the next highest mean SES score by those 91 In cities over 50,000, the third highest mean SES score by those living In places of less than 2,500.other than their home communities, and the lowest mean SES score by those living In their home communities* Hypothesis VIIs Among male Ontonagon County 1957 high school juniors and seniors, those who left their home communities to live elsewhere for at least one month or more, but who returned before the end of the PHSD, will exhibit a mean SES score higher than that of persons who never moved out of their home communities during the PHSD, but lower than that of those living in places of less than 2,500 other than their home communities at the end of the PHSD. 5* Format of Analysis The results of the study will be presented in tabu­ lar form* The research subjects will be grouped in terms of their standing in respect to the variables treated in the study, and sums, percentages, means, ranges, etc., com­ puted where appropriate* Cross-classifications will be made between residence status and other variables in order to allow for needed comparisons between the nonmigrants and the various groups of migrants* Inasmuch as the subjects used in the study consti­ tute, for all practical purposes, a population in terms of both the county from which they come and the specific his­ torical time period, statistical tests of significance would 92 be inapplicable to inferences concerning this local area* On the other hand, the subjects might be thought of as a sample from some larger universe, say, all rural young men from the North Central Region of the United States. Con­ strued thus, the question arises as to the possible rele­ vance of statistical tests in assessing the probability of sampling error. Sociologists are accustomed to seeing the tests applied in these circumstances, and their non-use in the present study calls for appropriate explanation. The routine use of tests of statistical significance has come under increasing criticism in recent years. Xt has been observed by Morrison and Henkel (1969) that these tests have been often misapplied in that the fundamental assumptions on which they are based are frequently violated. They point out that • . • [t]he notions of sampling distribution and sampling error have no meaning in statistical in­ ference apart from the assumption of randomness in the sample selection procedure— randomness being a central feature incorporated in all probability sampling designs. (1969, p. 133) And, again, that . . . [a] common misuse of significance tests occurs when they are employed on a set of cases termed a ••population" rather than a "sample." Were it lit­ erally true that the cases constitute a population, significance tests would be both inapplicable and unnecessary, since the probability relation of a sample and a population is by definition unity when they are the same. What seems more likely is that the researcher actually considers that his cases do not constitute his conceptual population, regardless of the fact that they exhaust some population that he has specified for study. Significance tests in such an instance are applicable only if the cases 93 at hand have been selected by probability methods— a very unlikely possibility, given that the researcher terms his cases a "population." (1969, p. 134) Such Is the case in the present research. The sub­ jects used in this study were not selected by any kind of random sampling procedure. The county itself was selected nonrandomly— on the basis that it happened to exhibit cer­ tain characteristics (e.g., a history of outmigration, a low level of living, etc.) relevant to the objectives of the research. But its selection was made without the as­ sumption that it was statistically representative of a uni­ verse of such counties. Hence, the subjects usedin this research constitute a purposive sample which by no means meets the criteria essential to the application of tests of significance. For this reason we have refrained from the use of the tests, with the intent of avoiding giving the mis-impression that the data can be safely considered as statistically representative of rural areas in the North Central Region. CHAPTER III RESULTS OF THE STUDY A. Introduction In the previous chapter we described a research study designed to provide a longitudinal test of a series of hypotheses concerning the relationship between geographic mobility and occupational attainment of rural youth. The task of this chapter is to report the results of the research and the tests of the hypotheses outlined earlier. In addi­ tion, we shall attempt to assess the significance of the outcomes in terms of the total process of career achievement among young people growing up in rural areas. B. Geographic Mobility and Occupational Achievement In Hypothesis I we predicted that by the end of the post high school decade most of the former students would have left their home communities for residence elsewhere. The actual outcomes are shown in Table 4. It can be seen from the table that the results clearly support the hypoth­ esis, with almost two-thirds of the young men having estab­ lished residence outside their home communities after ten years. Even if those who'currently live in another com­ munity within the county were considered to be nonmigrants, as they have been treated in. some studies, there is still 94 95 a majority of 55 percent which has moved outside the area. The evidence from this test is consistent with the general interpretation in the literature— that migration is the order of the day for youth from this type of rural area. Table 4. Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) in Numbers and Percents; Hale Ontonagon County 1957 Juniors and Seniors Residence at end of P H S D Locations outside home community_____ Other Ontonagon Outside Ontonagon Total community County Total Home community Number: 125* 46 79 Percent: 100.0 36.8 63.2 10 69 8.0 55.2 ‘Excludes two deceased cases. In Hypothesis II we indicated that the direction of migration would be toward places of larger size. The results are shown in Table 5. From Table 5 it can be seen that the data strongly support Hypothesis II, in that about three-quarters of those young men who had established residence outside their home communities after ten years lived in places classified as urban, with most residing in large cities. Actually, less than a fourth had simply moved to another location similar to the one they had left in Ontonagon County. The prepon­ derance of movement, then, is cityward, and it is a strong 96 trend indeed in this group of rural young men.1 Table 5. Total Size of Community of Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) in Numbers and Percents; Male Ontonagon County 1957 Juniors and Seniors Living Outside Their Home Communities at End of PHSD Only Size of community of residence at end of P H S D Urban residence Rural Large city community Small city under 2,500 Total 2,500-50,000 50,000+ Number: 79 18 61 22 39 Percent: 100.0 22.8 77.2 27.8 49.4 We now come to the matter of the differential occu­ pational achievement of persons who have migrated from their home area and those who are still local residents after ten years. In Hypothesis III it was predicted that those living outside their home community at the end of the PHSD would exhibit higher occupational attainment than those who were at that time residing within their home community. Table 6 Inasmuch as 69.9 percent of the U.S. population, as of the 1960 Census, were living in areas classified as urban, one might expect that if the redistribution of these migrants were predicted solely on simple probability grounds, excluding all other factors, something like seventy percent of them should have ended up in urban areas. If we adopt this rather high hypothetical percentage, as a stricter test of our notions of the importance and significance of this migration stream, it can be seen that the actual outcome exceeds even this requirement, since seventy-seven percent of this group of rural migrants is now living in urban areas. 97 presents the actual socioeconomic status outcomes of the two groups. Table 6. Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Persons Living Xnt and Persons Living Outside, Their Home Community at End of PHSD; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Residence at end of P H S D Outside Home home community community Total Number: 125* 46 79 Mean SES: 40.3 28.2 47.3 'Excludes two deceased cases. Here the outcomes are dramatically clear. The oc­ cupational achievement advantage is greatly in favor of the migrants who, in the space of the ten years, have achieved a mean status substantially higher than those living in their original community in Ontonagon County. The difference— nearly twenty scale points in the mean attainment scores— is so great that it invites the speculation that an impor­ tant selectivity factor is operating among the migrants. In Hypothesis IV we anticipated this issue of pos­ sible selectivity and delineated a series of both objective and dynamic background factors in which differences between 98 migrants and residents, 2 if any, might be exposed. The re­ sults bearing on this hypothesis are reported in Tables 7, 8 , 9, and 10. Table 7 presents comparative information on the fam­ ily backgrounds of migrants and residents. Examination of the table reveals that, contrary to the hypothesis, the mean socioeconomic status of the fathers of the residents (29.6) clearly exceeds that of the fathers of the migrants (22.9). Table 7. Selected Objective Family Background Characteris­ tics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Out side, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Home Outside home Total community community (ftU125)» (N-46) (N»79) Family background No. of Mean No. of Mean No. of Mean characteristic responses responses responses a. Fathers' mean SES score 125 25.8 46 29.6 79 22.9 b. Fathers' mean years of educa­ tion completed 115 9.2 43 9.1 72 9.3 c • Mothers' mean years of educa­ tion completed 112 10.1 44 10.0 68 10.3 d. Subjects' esti­ mate of parents' annual income; mean in dollars 102 $4279 37 $4216 65 $4315 *Excludes two deceased cases. 2 To simplify discussion of these results the term resident is used to designate, in accordance with Hypothesis IV, those persons living in their home communities at the end of the Post High School Decade. 99 Yet while the migrants* parents exhibit lower status, they would appear to attain slightly higher incomes more education. 3 and to have These income and educational differences, while in the hypothesized direction, are, admittedly, small and represent merely estimates on the part of the subjects themselves. Hence, they are perceptions and not actual ver­ ifiable data on these particular aspects of the parents' situations. Moreover, it will be noted that there is a high level of non-response, particularly in reference to annual income, with obvious implications for bias in the results. Considering the inconsistency of these results and the rela­ tive size of the differences in each direction, it is not at all clear that the migrants typically come from homes which are "superior** to those of the residents. At least, on balance, these data do not appear to provide much support for the notion of selectivity of migration in terms of par­ ents' status as an explanatory factor in the vastly superior occupational achievement of migrants. The evidence for selectivity is equivocal not only for the status of parents, but also, apparently, for certain dynamic aspects of the relationship between parents and children. Table 8 presents comparisons of several social psychological aspects of the home situation for migrants and residents. While the difference in the subjects' 3 Interestingly, only three of the 125 subjects re­ ported that their fathers' incomes were $9000 or more, and all three were residents. 100 Table 8* Selected Dynamic Family Background Characteristics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Outside home Home community Total community (N«79) (N-125)* (N.46) Mean No • of Dynamic background No. of Mean No • of Mea characteristic responses or % responses or % responses or a. Mean average SES score of jobs subjects' parents have encouraged them to take 82 b. Parents' career preferences for the period subse­ quent to high school: 123 1 • Advice urging children to establish them­ selves at or near home 30 2. Advice allowing children option to establish themselves away from home 84 3• Other advice 9 c. Relations-withparents index mean score 125 50.4 24 49.5 58 50. 100% 44 100% 79 100% 25% 14 32% 16 20% 68% 7% 28 2 64% 4% 56 7 71% 9% 19.9 46 20.0 79 19.1 "Excludes two deceased cases. perceptions of their parents' occupational expectations is in the direction hypothesized, that difference would appear to be virtually insignificant. The parents of both migrants and residents seem to have held rather high expectations 101 for their children's occupational achievement, as these young people perceived them. Yet, when the children's perceptions of their parents' preferences concerning their course of action after high school are compared, certain Interesting differences emerge. Nearly a third (32%) of the residents' parents, half again as many as In the case of the migrants' parents, apparently urged their children to establish them­ selves as near home as possible after high school. Despite this difference In the attitudes of some of the parents, how­ ever, it must be recognized that most of the parents of both migrants and residents appear to have given their children advice which allowed for the possibility of departing the local area. Thus we find that almost two-thirds (64%) of those individuals living in this depressed area ten years after high school had received the impression from their parents that their best course of action, whatever else it might involve, would be to "get the best job possible even if you have to move to another community." We hypothesized that the migrants would have exhibit­ ed a lower level of solidarity with their parents, and the results are consistent in direction with our expectation. However, the degree of difference between the mean scores of residents and migrants on the relations-with-parents in­ dex is insignificant; a mere two-tenths of a point. Hence, it would appear that this factor does not serve to predict departure ffrom the area in the period after high school, let alone subsequent differential career achievement. 102 Xn terms of those social psychological aspects of the home situation which we have here examined, the migrants differ from the residents as hypothesized, but the differ­ ence appears to be, for the most part, trivial, with the only exception being the proportion of residents whose par­ ents wished them to stay near home after high school. Xn summing up the evidence for selectivity of migra­ tion In terms of factors connected with family background, It would seem that there Is no clear basis for concluding that such selectivity Is very strong, nor that It operates uniquely In favor of the migrants. Certainly, no single factor appears to be so dramatically connected with migra­ tion and career formation that It goes very far In account­ ing for the wide divergence In subsequent occupational at­ tainments of migrants and residents. Results bearing on Intelligence and academic ability as selective variables are presented In Table 9. Here the data conform to our expectations In a more meaningful way. The mean Intelligence score for the migrants Is somewhat higher than that for residents. This Is a small, but prob­ ably significant edge which the migrants have over the resi­ dents, an edge reflected contemporaneously In their superior performance In school as Indicated by their mean percentile graduation rank. While the usual X.Q. tests are heavily contaminated measures of ability, and typically only weakly related to grade point average, the fact Is that they can be, nonetheless, predictors oflater achievement. Xn this 103 group of former high school students, both mean I.Q. and graduation rank do appear to be related to their subsequent migration status and occupational attainments* All the same, it must be observed that the migrants as a group do not pre­ sent an especially imposing picture; they are merely average in ability and have, as a group, exhibited lower overall academic achievement than their female counterparts. None­ theless, when compared to other males who still reside in the home community ten years after high school, these mi­ grants emerge as objectively superior, particularly, perhaps, in terms of their performance in school. Table 9. Selected Objective Individual Background Character­ istics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Objective individual Home Outside home Total community community --- (M.125)*-------- (M.46)-------- ---No. of No. of No. of a. Mean I.Q. score 107 100.2 41 97.6 66 101.8 b. Graduation rank; mean percentile score 125 39.4 46 33.1 79 43.1 •Excludes two deceased cases. A series of six social psychological aspects of the students' own situations were examined, and the results are 104 presented In Table 10. It was hypothesized that migrants would more often be planning to obtain further training be­ yond high school and this appears to have been the case. Sixty-two percent of the migrants, as compared with fiftyfour percent of the residents, looked forward to more train­ ing, and a slightly higher proportion of the migrants who were planning for such training specified college training than is the case for the residents. In general, it appears that the migrants were more oriented toward further educa­ tion, particularly college education, than was the case for the residents at the time they were all still in high school. That this expectation on the part of the migrants would augur for a high proportion expecting also to migrate from the home community after high school is obvious. But it does not necessarily mean that those who didn't happen to be planning on college were not entertaining valid thoughts of leaving home, particularly in light of the poor economy of the area and the advice which we have shown was typically offered by their parents. As we shall presently see, the majority of both groups actually expected to leave the area. It is known that the level of occupational aspira­ tions is directly related to achievement in school, and this pattern appears to hold for the present sample of rural youth, divided as it is somewhat along school achievement lines. The migrants exhibit aspirations (48.7) notably higher than those of the home community residents (40.9), although, interestingly, neither group holds aspirations for itself Selected Dynamic Individual Background Characteristics of Persons Living In, and Persons Living Outside, their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Total (N=125)* Dynamic individual characteristic a. Percentage of persons planning to get further training; total No. of responses Mean or % Home community (N.46) No. of responses Mean or % Outside home community (N-79) No. of responses Mean or % 74 59% 25 54% 49 62% 46 15 13 37% 12% 10% 15 7 3 33% 15% 6% 31 8 10 39% 10% 13% b. Mean SES score of "first choice job [being considered] as a lifetime work" 110 45.8 41 40.9 69 46.7 c. Orientation toward leaving the community after high school: 123 100% 46 100% 77 100% 15 19 69 20 12% 16% 56% 16% 8 5 27 6 17% 11% 59% 13% 7 14 42 14 9% 16% 55% 18% 26 25.5% 23.5% 18 26.5% 42.4 79 44.0 1. College 2. Trade school or apprenticeship 3. Other 1. 2. 3* 4. Eager to Probably Probably Eager to stay stay, but not eager to stay leave, but not eager to leave leave d. Percentage of persons listing further education or training as "first main reason" for considering leaving the home community after high school** 8 e. Community satisfaction index mean score 125 f. Type of community in which subjects would most prefer to live: 125 100% 46 100% 79 100% 65 52% 26 56% 39 49% 60 48% 20 44% 40 51% 1. In the open country or in a village under 2,500 2. In a city of 10,000 or larger, including a suburb of a large city 43.4 46 •Excludes two deceased cases. **Percentages computed using as a base the total number of residents (34) and migrants (68) who indicated by their response to the question that they were in fact considering leaving the home community after high school. SOT Table 10. 106 quite as high as those held for It by parents. This higher level of occupational aspirations on the part of the migrants Is consistent with their expectations concerning further train­ ing after high school, examined earlier. Thus, the migrants, who have been observed to exhibit greater ability and super­ ior school achievement, and to be more often planning to get further education or training, are seen also to hold fittingly high occupational aspirations. The students were asked about their possible expec­ tations to leave the community after high school. The results are consistent with our hypothesis in that a higher percentage of the migrants (73%) than residents (72%) expected to leave the area, but the magnitude of that difference is exceedingly small. Further insight into the students* feeling about leaving can be gained, however, by examination of their at­ titudes concerning the prospect. Of the 56 migrants who had expected to leave while still in high school, one quarter of them indicated that they were actually **eager to leave," while only about 18 percent of the residents who had expected to leave were enthusiastic about the prospect. On the other hand, among the students who had anticipated staying in the community, only a third of those who later migrated expressed enthusiasm for staying in the area, while eight out of thir­ teen residents expressed eagerness for remaining in the com­ munity. The implication of these results is that while the proportions of the migrants and residents who had expected to leave the area are not very different, although somewhat 107 predictable, their attitudes about the prospect reveal a notably greater reluctance on the part of the residents to move away from the home community* On balance, we Infer support for the hypothesis concerning orientations of migrants and residents toward leaving the community after high school. Given that the migrants exhibited higher ability, academic aptitudes, aspirations, and more often planned for further education, It is not surprising that a greater per­ centage of them also listed further education as a "first main reason" for leaving the community after high school. While the difference is not great (26*5 per cent of the mi­ grants versus 23*5 percent of the residents), it is in the predicted direction and is consistent with the diverging patterns we have observed in their careers. It was predicted that the migrants would exhibit a lower level of satisfaction with the local community as compared with the residents. to have been the case* However, this does not appear The migrants attained a mean score (44*0) on the community satisfaction index slightly higher than that for the residents (42*4). While this difference is not great, it is distinctly opposite that anticipated and is simply counter to expectations built on previous research* The students were aslced what type of community they would most prefer to live in and the results for the two groups differ in the hypothesized direction* A majority (51%) of the migrants indicated that they would prefer to 108 live In a community of 10,000 or larger, which is to say, a community unlike any found in Ontonagon County. This is in contrast to the residents, a majority (56%) of whom pre­ ferred to live in a community of less than 2,500 people. These preferences directly anticipate the actual outcomes, of course, since most of the migrants now live in urban areas and all of the residents live in rural communities smaller than twenty-five hundred people. In summarizing the evidence as it bears on the issue of selectivity of migration, it would generally appear that such selectivity as exists in this sample of former rural high school students has less to do with family background and faultily resources than it does with the situation of the individual himself. The migrants do not clearly emerge su­ perior to the residents in terms of the status of their par­ ents or their parents' capacity to support liberal career aspirations. But the migrants do differ from the residents in certain aspects connected with the school experience and the process of preparing for a career. The migrants demon­ strate greater measured ability and higher grades and higher educational and occupational aspirations• They apparently receive more reinforcement from their parents for independent educational and occupational achievement and migration, and undoubtedly also receive similar encouragement from their teachers and counselors. They are more favorably oriented toward leaving the community after high school and their impending departure is functionally related to their plans 109 for further training and advancement* In contrast, those persons who are residents of the home community after ten years seem to have exhibited less overall ability, to have done less well in school, and to have been less often plan­ ning for further education or training. They were more likely to have been encouraged to stay near home and seem to prefer living in an area like Ontonagon County* Having observed these differences, it must be admit­ ted that, except in a few particulars, they are not large, and none are dramatic* The pattern of observed differences suggests that those who migrate tend to be more "ready** for the experience— more favorably oriented toward the proposi­ tion and more attuned, perhaps, to exploit the opportunities that it affords. But apart from this, the migrants do not appear to be uniquely equipped for success— their credentials as of the end of high school are not so much better than those of the residents as to alone account for the substan­ tial differences in occupational attainment after ten years. In short, while we do come up with some evidence for selec­ tivity of migration, to some degree in favor of the compara­ tive success of migrants, it is by no means sufficient to explain the diverging achievements of migrants and residents. We are left, then, with the conclusion that selectivity of migration is a factor in the career attainment of rural youth, but it does not tell the whole story. For the rest, we must look to variations in the opportunity structure of the en­ vironments of migrants and residents. 110 Hypothesis V dealt with the significance of the size of the community of orientation for later career achievement. Specifically, it was anticipated that the larger the size of the community in which the subjects grew up, the higher the subsequent occupational achievement. Results bearing on this hypothesis are presented in Tables 11 and 12. Inspection of Table 11 reveals that there is by no means a perfectly consistent pattern in which the subjects from the larger communities do better occupationally than those from the smaller communities. For example, the men from Rockland exhibit a higher mean occupational attainment after ten years than do those from Bergland, which is a larger community. Nor is the achievement pattern consistently re­ lated to the size of the school itself, since the Trout Creek students who come from a smaller school, do better than those from Bergland. Only when the subjects from the three larger communi­ ties and those from the three smaller communities are grouped together, as in Table 12, does anything like a convincing difference emerge, with those from the larger places doing clearly better than those from the smaller ones. But it must be admitted that the sample sizes are so small that these results leave much room for equivocation as to whether it is the size of the school or the size of the community which is primarily responsible in affecting later outcomes. To be sure, in this type of area, school size and community size are correlated, and probably play a joint role in 1X1 Table 11* Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) by Community (School); Male Ontonagon County 195 7 High School Juniors and Seniors Community (School) Ewen— Bergland Br. Crossing (Pop-600) (Pop-630) Total MassGreenland (Pop-860) Number: 125* 11 30 22 Mean SES: 40.3 18.1 42.3 37.6 Ontonagon (Pop-2358) Rockland (Pop-500) Number: 125* 48 Mean SES: 40.3 46.3 Trout Creek (Pop-350) 7 7 34.9 39.3 *Excludes two deceased cases. Table 12. Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD), Three Largest Communities (Schools) vs. Three Smallest Communities (Schools); Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Total Number: 125* Mean SES: 40.3 Community (School) size category * Three smallest Three largest 100 43.2 25 28.7 *Excludes two deceased cases. ••The three largest communities are Ontonagon, Ewen, and Mass; the three smallest, Bergland, Trout Creek, and Rockland* 112 influencing subsequent achievement* However, considering the limited facilities and programs available in any of the schools in Ontonagon County in 1957, it is difficult to imagine that very much of the difference in career outcomes could be accounted for in terms of the differential quality of the schools themselves* This issue notwithstanding, it would appear that even in rural areas, the variation in the size of a place, and any consequences it may have in terms of exposure and training, does have a predictable influence in the careers of the youth who grow up there. In Hypothesis VI, attention was shifted from the influence of the place of orientation to that of the place of destination* We suggested that those individuals who chose small cities as places to carry on their careers would be generally the most "successful," with those living in large cities ranking second. Still others, who by the end of the ten year period had left their home communities and established residence in other rural areas, would rank be­ hind big city migrants in occupational achievement, while those who remained in their home communities would exhibit the least "success*" The results are shown in Table 13. In these outcomes ten years after school, the hypoth­ esis would appear to be clearly supported. The rank order of the various groups in socioeconomic status is perfectly consistent with that indicated in the hypothesis, despite the relatively small sample sizes involved, and the differences are sufficiently great to call for some degree of confidence. 113 Table 13. Mean Socioeconomic Status by Residence at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Persons Living in Home Communities, Other Rural Areas, Small Cities, and Large Cities; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Residence at end of P H S D Home Other rural com. Small city Large city community under 2,500 2,500-50,000 50,000 + Total Numbers 125* 46 18 22 39 Mean SES: 40.3 28.2 42.2 53.3 46.2 'Excludes two deceased cases. This evidence confirms under strict longitudinal conditions and for a particular cohort of rural young people the most basic projections made in the Blau-Duncan analysis concerning the relationship between geographic mobility and occupational attainment. Those who reside in small cities do very well indeed, and are followed in their achievement by migrants to large cities. The rural migrants, while they do more poorly than the urban migrants, nevertheless do bet­ ter than the nonmigrants. Those in this study who migrated to other rural com­ munities exhibit unusually high attainment levels, consider­ ing the presumably poor opportunity structure of such places. Close inspection of the particular cases in this group re­ veals that in five cases, the small community chosen was located within a short distance of a substantial urban area, 114 but beyond Its immediate fringe. In each of the five cases, the subjects held relatively high level jobs (three were graduate engineers) located in, or at least clearly connected with, the industry and commerce of the nearby urban area. Several others in the group of eighteen rural-to-rural mi­ grants were school teachers. This substantial representa­ tion of professional people accounts for the unexpectedly high mean achievement among persons nominally classified as residing in rural areas outside the home community. Among the subjects who still reside in their home communities ten years after high school, we observe the hy­ pothesized pattern of low occupational attainment. By no means all of these individuals were limited in socioeconomic status at the end of the PHSD, as we shall see when we con­ sider the matter of circular migration. But the trend is clearly below that for the other groups who live elsewhere. In our consideration of previous research, we raised the question of whether persons found to live in the same place at two successive points in time could be safely con­ sidered to be nonmigrants. We found broad hints in the lit­ erature that such an assumption would probably be false in a significant proportion of cases. We anticipated that some persons would have left their home communities for military service, further education, or employment and later returned. These people would have thus undergone different experiences from those who never left their home communities, and yet not entirely the same experience as those who left permanently. 115 Hypothesis Vll attempts to predict the occupational attain­ ment outcomes of these circular migrants* But before con­ sidering the results In connection with the hypothesisv It Is In order first to detail the residence history of the 46 persons found to be living In their home communities at the end of the decade* How many of them are, In actuality, circular migrants, rather than nonmigrants? From Table 14 It can be seen that the great majority of those residing In their home communities at the end of the PHSD had actually lived elsewhere sometime during the ten years* Among those who ever left the area for some period, a significant number had migrated more than once* Table 14* Extent and Frequency* of Circular Migration among Persons Living In Their Home Communities at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) In Numbers and Percents; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors Extent and frequency of circular migration Residence Migrants: In home Left home community at least once community Nonmigrants: Frequency of departures at end Never left 6 of PHSD: home Total 1 2 3 4 5 or more Total community Number 46 6 40 28 9 2 0 0 1 Percent: 100.0 13.0 87.0 *Extent - proportion of persons who ever migrated and returned; Frequency » number of times any particular Individual migrated and returned* 116 Twelve of twenty-eight, or about forty-three percent, had left the area several times— one as many as six times— over the ten year period* Altogether, migration would clearly seem to be the order of the day, even among persons from relatively Insular areas such as Ontonagon County who might on more superficial Inspection appear to be resldentlally nonmoblle• Having established the significant extent of circu­ lar migration, It Is now appropriate to consider the career achievement of these migrants as a group In comparison with the other "rural-to-rural" migrants and the "true nonmigrants •" It will be recalled that we predicted, in Hypothesis VXX, that the mean occupational attainment of circular migrants would fall between that of persons who never left their home communities and those who left permanently to reside in other rural communities away from home* Dividing the 46 home com­ munity residents Into subcategories of true nonmigrants and circular migrants and representing their attainments along­ side those of the other groups in our sample results in the configuration shown in Table 15* These results nicely support the hypothesis. The small number of true nonmigrant cases notwithstanding, there appears to be a definite distinction between their charac­ teristic level of achievement and that of circular migrants, who are still distinctly separated from the migrants to other rural areas* Yet it can be seen, also, as indicated earlier, that the range of occupational attainment is fairly wide 117 for those who live In the home community. Even the nonmigrant group includes at least one person who achieved a moderately high rank, in this case through on-the-job training as a laboratory technician at the White Pine mine. Still, the restrictions on career achievement which permanent residence in the home community imposes are obvious, and in no other case among the nonmigrants had an individual managed to gain employment above the semi-skilled level. Table 15• Migration/nonmigration category Migrants Migrants Circular Rural to small to large cities Nonmigrants Migrants Migrants cities Total Number s 125* 6 Mean SESs 40.3 Range Mean Socioeconomic Status at End of Post High School Decade (PHSD) for Nonmigrants, Circular Migrants, Rural Migrants, Small City Migrants, and barge City Migrants; Male Ontonagon County 1957 High School Juniors and Seniors 40 18 22 39 21.5 29.2 42.2 53.3 46.2 6-53 4-04 6-84 9-93 9-92 *Excludes two deceased cases. The circular migrant group, on the other hand, in­ cludes a number of professional and sub-professional as well as skilled and nonskllled types. Some persons were out of their home communities only briefly for employment or mili­ tary service while others stayed away considerably longer 116 In pursuit of education or other training and employment and only recently returned to live In their home communities* The group of circular migrants Included five college gradu­ ates , three of whom came back to teach In the local schools* The remaining two, one of whom Is an engineer, are employed by mining companies* One of the three returning as teachers has recently gone Into the resort business* Apart from these five Individuals the circular migrant group Includes an as­ sortment of business, clerical, skilled, and semi—skilled persons, as well as a number of laborers. In general, their occupations are spread through the opportunity structure of Ontonagon County and they present, as a group, a distinctly more Impressive picture than do the true nonmigrants. C • Summary In this chapter we have examined data designed to provide tests of our hypotheses concerning the relationship of geographic mobility and occupational achievement. We have assayed the frequency of migration of a sample of young people from a rural area, and found that a majority of such persons did leave their communities of orientation and es­ tablish residence elsewhere in the period after high school. We then identified the types of destinations chosen by those who left their home communities and found that a high per­ centage of them opted for urban residence, mostly in large cities. Next, we compared the occupational attainments of 119 those who had migrated with those who still resided in their home communities at the end of the decade and found that the migrants attained higher socioeconomic status. Having found higher occupational achievement among the migrants, we then asked the question as to how much of a role selec­ tivity of migration might have played in accounting for such a difference. We examined a series of background factors, measured at the time these young persons were still in high school, which might be supposed to be relevant to the process of career formation and migration. The migrants did not appear to have any great advantage over the residents in terms of either the objective or social psychological fac­ tors associated with their family backgrounds. Such differ­ ences as did emerge between migrants and residents had to do with their ability and their experience in school, and with their aspirations and plans for the future. We found that, in general, the migrants had somewhat greater ability and had been more favorably oriented toward leaving the area after high school, and that this orientation fit well with plans which they had for further training or education. These differences between migrants and residents did not appear to be particularly significant, however, and certainly not sufficient to account for the emerging differences ob­ served in their later occupational attainments. Inasmuch as the selectivity factor was not seen as strong enough to explain the resulting achievement differ­ ences we then focussed attention on the opportunity structure Fig• 8* Ontonagon youth today. Young people with time on their hands. Many of them will be leaving tomorrow for the city. 121 of the home community and those of the communities to which the migrants moved* First* we found a pattern of occupa­ tional attainment among the former students which was con­ sistent with the hypothesis that the size of the community in which an individual is reared is directly related to his subsequent achievement, regardless of present residence* Apart from the influence of the opportunity structure of the community of orientation there is the question of the effects of the opportunity structure in the community in which the individual lives as an adult, and in which his career is played out* To examine this issue, we looked at the varying occupational attainment levels of persons who had migrated to different types of communities. It was found that those who had migrated to small cities exhibited the highest occupational attainment after ten years, while mi­ grants to large cities ranked second. Migrants to other rural communities ranked third and those who remained in their home communities showed the least achievement. Finally, the frequency of circular migration was investigated, and it was discovered that a majority of those still living in their home communities at the end of the first decade after high school had actually moved out and lived elsewhere sometime during the period, only to have returned. This group contained a broad range of occupational types, from college-educated professionals to laborers. The occupational attainment of the circular migrants as a group was compared to that of the true nonmigrants and to 122 those migrants who had established residence In other rural communities away from home. It was found that the circular migrants' occupational achievement ranked above the non­ migrants' but below that of the other rural-to-rural migrants. Altogether, the findings support each of the major hypotheses developed for the most part from cross-sectional research reported In the literature. This replication In stricter longitudinal form of the findings from other research does tend to confirm previous generalizations, as far as they go, concerning the migration and career achievement of rural youth. Our analysis of the frequency of circular migration and of the differential experience and achievement of circular migrants, however, raises some interesting ques­ tions about the validity of our conventional conceptions of the career pattern of rural youth. A real question emerges here as to whether it is sufficiently accurate to conceive of the migration and career experience of these young people as consisting of a simple process in which migration, if it occurs at all, is a single event. From even our brief an­ alysis of the difference between circular migrants and other types of migrants and nonmigrants, it would seem that there is much more to this process than superficially meets the eye. This issue will be further explored in the following chapter• CHAPTER IV CONCLUSION A. Introduction In Chapter I the literature dealing with the rela­ tionship between geographic mobility and occupational attain­ ment was discussed* A series of hypotheses was constructed to be tested under longitudinal conditions in an attempt to provide further confirmation of generalizations growing out of previous research. In Chapter II a study was outlined which would provide a means of testing the hypotheses. In Chapter III, we reported the results of the study and found that the evidence from longitudinal data provided empirical support for each of the hypotheses. The task of the present chapter is to discuss the general significance of the results of the study and, specifically, to explore the implications of our findings in respect to the role of migration in the career patterns of rural youth. B. Migration and the Careers of Rural Youth From our results in this study, considered alongside previous research on the subject of migration and the career trajectory of young persons from rural areas, there would appear to be grounds for certain basic generalizations. First, the outflow and redistribution of young people from 123 124 rural areas Is clearly a substantial, significant, and con­ tinuing phenomenon* Whether or not the populations of rural areas stabilize over time, the migration of young people is likely to continue. This geographic mobility is a consequence of the need of these young people for the training and edu­ cation necessary for them to find employment within a broad and expanding technology. Many of the young people from rural areas, particu­ larly the males, may depart their communities initially for military service. However they gain their first experience away from their home communities, it carries great potential weight in shaping their later careers. For it lifts them out of the familiar local scene and into new and sometimes quite strange environments. Very often these youths will assimilate new skills or obtain advanced education along the way. They will have access to new and different oppor­ tunities. Altogether, this experience will have a facili­ tating effect upon their careers, enabling them to advance farther up the occupational ladder than would likely have been the case had they merely remained in their local rural communities. Even those who do subsequently return to their home areas will have benefitted from their experience away from home. They will exhibit its effects typically in en­ hanced occupational attainment even in their home community. In general, those young persons from rural areas who move to cities seem to do better occupationally than those who merely move to some other rural community, and 125 the explanation for this may he primarily in the expanded opportunity structure of the city* Those who migrate to small cities seem to do the best of all, perhaps because such environments represent some hind of optimum combination of expanded opportunity structure and relative similarity to the environment they left* Those who leave their home communities and subse­ quently return do not seem to do as well occupationally as those who live in similar communities away from home, al­ though they do better than those who never left* We have attempted to account for this phenomenon in terms of a "kin­ ship deterrent" theory* By this notion, the latent effect of close proximity to, and high frequency of interaction with, kin is to inhibit occupational mobility. Apart from their typical lack of access to the various benefits of the migration experience, those who have always lived in the home community are subject to the most severe effects of kinship deterrence, while those who have left and returned are subject to at least moderate effects* In contrast, those who have left the community for other rural communities, while they may not have had access to a dramatically ex­ panded opportunity structure, have nonetheless been freed of this subtle form of constraint upon their occupational advancement• From the available evidence it does not appear that the differential occupational attainments of these various groups of migrants and of the nonmigrants can be attributed 126 entirely, or even primarily, to selectivity in the original migration process* While there do appear to be some differ­ ences between persons who migrate and those who elect to stay near the home area, these differences are not always in favor of the migrants, and are by no means large enough to explain the wide divergence in later occupational achieve­ ment • C. Significance of the Findings It will be recalled that in developing this analysis of the relationship of geographic mobility and occupational achievement, we took our initial departure from the work of Blau and Duncan, enunciating a series of hypotheses growing out of their work and that of others* We examined in se­ quence, and in conventional format, such factors as the frequency of migration, destinations of migrants, differen­ tial achievement of migrants and nonmigrants, selectivity, and the influence of the opportunity structure of the com­ munity of orientation and the various communities of des­ tination. None of the previous research on which these hypoth­ eses were based contain longitudinal data for a single co­ hort of rural youth, over a continuous period of their career formation, which are comprehensive and detailed enough to afford a proper appreciation of the complex chain of events of which such careers are composed* In most studies in which a longitudinal design was attempted, including that of Blau 127 and Duncan, the results were based on simple Time 1,Time 2 observations. Furthermore, most studies were afflicted with considerable data loss through attrition of cases over the time period of the study* The net result has been an Incom­ plete picture of the careers of these young people, and, ultimately, a potential lack of appreciation of the rich complexity of the structure of their experience. This Is not to suggest that the hypotheses made in the research literature and confirmed in this strict longi­ tudinal replication are not valid as far as they go. As has been stated, there is, good reason to believe that migra­ tion is a continuing phenomenon of rural life, as of urban life, and that most of those who leave their rural communi­ ties of orientation move in the direction of larger places. But it is not necessarily true that these migrants stay in the place to which they first move, or in which they may happen to be found some specified number of years after high school. There is no reason to believe that they are prone to any less geographic mobility than other segments of the population. They may well move to other places of smaller, or even larger, size. Or, as has been demonstrated clearly in this study, they may elect to return to the communities from which they have come. All this makes for an added de­ gree of complexity in the role and significance of migration in the structure of their careers— a fact which cannot safely be overlooked if we are to apprehend the basis for these ■a people's ultimate differential occupational attainments. 128 The above Illustration serves the point; by analyzing the relationship of migration and occupational achievement essentially according to the conventions observed in the literature, we get the expected outcomes* tions seem to be correct* The generaliza­ But there is a good basis for not accepting the conventions, for the conception is too simple and the categories are exceedingly impure. What probably exists is a fine series of gradations of experience between those who have lived all their lives in a single rural community and those who have lived in different places during the course of their careers. Included in this will be the Influence of other variables, such as family back­ ground, differential ability, exposure to various educa­ tional experiences, travel, etc., all of which contribute to a career structure which is actually a highly complex mosaic. The danger may not be so much in misapprehending of the influence of any one of the variables as such, as in oversimplifying the conception of the chain of events, and, thus, falsifying the complex profile of the careers of these subjects. Thus the findings of this study would appear to be significant, not merely in that they provide, under condi­ tions of optimum data recovery, a small scale longitudinal test of generalizations growing out of the literature of past research on the subject. Their value is also in that, through the analysis of circular migrants, they invite fur­ ther attention to the complexity of migration as it figures 129 in the careers of people from rural areas. How many of those people who have left Ontonagon County on what would appear to be a permanent basis will in fact some day come back? On the other hand, how many of those now living there will one day leave for some place else? What will be the impact of such eventualities upon the course of their careers? D. The Value of Longitudinal Micro-Studies The research reported in this dissertation has two important attributes: it utilizes a comprehensive longitud­ inal design and it benefits from recovery of data for 100% of the cases. Studies such as this require persistence and a long-term continuity of effort not usually possible in a field in which practical considerations tend to force the casting of research into shorter time frames and into more expeditiously completed packages. Not only does this type of longitudinal micro-study take time and effort, but, also, there must be sufficient resources to support the consider­ able travel, contact, and follow-up needed to secure the highest possible number of returns. Moreover, the type of field work involved requires a combination of aggressive detective work, salesmanship, and social survey skill on the part of field staff. Thus, it is relatively expensive re­ search in terms of time, money, and effort, and it demands a high order of ingenuity and persistence. Recovery of the re-study data in the Ontonagon County project extended over the better part of two years and 130 Involved locating individuals who had moved to locations throughout the United States and beyond, some of whom, we found, were not particularly desirous of being located* The cases in which it took a long time and a lot of effort to recover data were distinctly different from those in which the data were obtained quickly and easily* While no system­ atic analysis of this has been made, our strong clinical impression is that to have stopped short of accounting for the entire original sample would have been to miss many of the more unusual cases and to have thus failed to accurately assay the experience of these young people as a group* If 100% data recovery is logistically difficult in a micro-level study, it is virtually Impossible in a large scale survey* Therein lies, perhaps, part of the unique value of the well-executed longitudinal micro-study: it can be used as a check of large scale survey results, and, as we have shown here, it can provide a means for elucidating some of the processual aspects glossed over or ignored in macro-level studies. Thus in the present research we have found that migration is actually a complex phenomenon in terms of its significance in the career structure of young men from a rural area* And it would seem that at this point we have really only scratched the surface. The availability of continuous data offers the opportunity for exploring such aspects as the relationship between family formation and geographic mobility, between mate choice, family formation, and career achievement, between a host of background factors 131 and later educational and occupational achievement apart from their mediation through migration* While the result­ ing analyses may not have the "power" of large numbers, they nevertheless should serve simultaneously as a test of find­ ings from other types of research and as a means for filling In the picture of the various processes we can only suppose to exist from Information gained In macro-level studies. Beyond this, the micro approach, utilizing detailed longi­ tudinal data, can serve as a rich source of hypotheses to be evaluated through subsequent research* Such hypotheses emerge out of the completeness and comprehensiveness of the data on a particular cohort, which results In a more coherent picture of their experience. speak. The data "come alive," so to Each aspect begins to make sense In terms of the Integrated whole. Thus the researcher Is In a better posi­ tion to Infer causal links among sequential elements of the experiences and behavior of the subjects, and is better able to see connections between various concurrent aspects of their situations. Looked at in this way, and thus utilized, longitud­ inal micro-studies have a considerable contribution to make to the ongoing progress of research inquiry. 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"On Uprooting, Kin­ ship, and the Auspices of Migration," International Journal of Comparative Sociology. Vol.”5 (September, T567); pp. 139-64. Tregea, William. "Patterns in Circular Migration: An Ex­ ploratory Study of Rural Return Migrants as a Type," Unpublished M.A. Thesis, Department of Sociology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, 1968. Tumin, Melvin M., and Feldman, A. S. "Theory and Measure­ ment of Occupational Mobility," American Socio­ logical Review. Vol. 22, No. 3 (June, 1957), pp. 281-88. 140 Westoff, Charles F.; Brassier, Marvin; and Sagi, Philip C. "The Concept of Social Mobility: An Empirical In­ quiry,” American Sociological Review* Vol. 25, No. 3 (June, 1960), pp. 375-85. Williams, Robin M . , and Beers, Howard W. "Attitudes Toward Rural Migration and Family Life in Johnson and Robertson Counties, 1941," Kentucky Agricultural Experiment Station, Bulletin 452, June, 1943. Yoesting, Dean R., and Bohlen, Joe M. "Migration Expecta­ tions and Performances of Open-Country Young Adults: A Longitudinal Study, 1948-1956," Paper presented to the Joint Session of the Midwest Sociological Society and the Ohio Valley Sociological Society, Indianapolis, Indiana, May, 1969. Youmans, E. Grant. "The Educational Attainment and Future Plans of Kentucky Rural Youths," Kentucky Agricul­ tural Experiment Station, Bulletin 664, 1959. Youmans, E. Grant. "The Rural School Dropout: A Ten Year Follow-Up Study of Eastern Kentucky Youth," Bulletin of the Bureau of School Service. Vol. 36, No. 1 (September, 1963}, Lexington, Kentucky, College of Education, University of Kentucky. APPENDICES Appendix A May 1957 Initial Phase of Voluntary Migration Questionnaire MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY Department of Sociology and Anthropology WHAT THIS STUDY IS ABOUT This survey Is an attempt to get a better picture of the problems high school students In Michigan face In selecting an area where they would like to live and work. You and only you can provide the answers. By carefully filling out this questionnaire you will help us to gain a better understanding of these problems. This information will be of great value in developing counseling programs for high school students. For this reason we are anxious to have you answer the questions on this form to the best of your ability. PLEASE FOLLOW THESE DIRECTIONS 1. Read each question and all items listed beneath the question care­ fully. Then answer the question to the best of your knowledge. 2. Be sure to answer each question, any one question. but do not spend too much time on 3. If you are In doubt or don't understand an item, raise your hand and you will receive aid. 1. Your name:_______________________________________________ (First) (Middle) (Last) 2. Your mailing address:_____________________________________ Do you live on a farm? Yes No___ If you do not live on a farm, have you ever lived on a farm? Yes No 3. Your high school:_______________________________ (Name and Location) 4. Your sex: Male 5. How old are you? Female Your date of birth:_____________________ Month Day Year 2 6 . Your class: 7, With whom do you live regularly? a. b/ c. d.' f. 8. Senior Junior _My own parents A parent and a step-parent One parent only _My grandparents U n d e or Aunt Others (write In who they are) Your church preference Is: a. b/ c. d.' ^Baptist jCathollc Episcopal Lutheran Are you a member: e. f/ 8 -' Yes Methodist _Presby ter ian Other (write in the name) No YOUR ACTIVITIES: Many students participate in some activities in their school and in their community. We would now like to know something about your activities and what you think about them. XXXXXXX 1. The kinds of extra-curricular activities in which you participate are: (Check the ones in which you participate actively, and add to the list if necessary.) a. b. c. d. e. f. 8* 2, band-orches tra chorus-vocal dramatics debates 4-H or FFA high school teams other athletics (specify) h. 1. J. k. 1. m. school paper annual (year book) student government hobby club hunting or fishing other When you have some free time, what do you like best to do? 3 3. Compared with most students in your high school, the number of activities you are in is: a .___ greater than average b. about average c .___ less than average 4. Compared with most students in your high school, your leadership activities are: a .___ greater than average b. about average c .___ less than average 5. How often do you feel that you would like to take part in more activities? a .___ very often b .___ often c .___ sometimes d .___ never 6. How often do you feel that you do not get along with your classmates? a .___ very often b .___ often c .___ sometimes d .___ never 7. How often do you avoid your classmates because they are unkind or unfriendly? a .___ very often b .___ often c .___ sometimes d .___ never 8. What do you usually do at the following times: state what kind) (If you have £ job, a. Immediately after school?_______________________________________ b. In the evenings?________________________________________________ c. On Saturdays? d. On Sundays? 4 9. Write the nemes end agee of your three closest friends. a. Your closest friend__________________________________________ (Name) (Age) b. Your next closest friend (Name) (Age) c. Your next closest friend______________________________________ (Name) (Age) YOUR COMMUNITY: All of us have feelings about the community In which we live; there are things In It that we like and things that we do not like. We should like to have your honest opinion about the following questions as they apply to your community. XXXXXXX 1. Below is a list of statements that express opinions about any given community. Read each Item carefully and quickly check the phrase that most nearly represents your personal belief about the community in or near which you live. Strongly Agree SAMPLE:Working is greatfun. Agree __ ____ a.Anything of a progressive nature Is generally approved. ____ ____ b. With few exceptions the leaders are capable and ambitious. ____ ____ c. It is difficult for the people to get together on anything. d. The people as a whole mind their own business. e. Everyone helps to decide how things should be run. f. The future of the community looks bright. g. No one seems to care how the community looks. Unde- Diselded agree X Strongly Disagree _____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 5 Strongly Agree h. It will never seem like home to me. 1. Quite a number of the resi­ dents have really amounted to something. j . Persons with real ability are usually given recogni­ tion. k. Not much can be said in favor of a place this size. 1. The church services as a rule are well worth attending. m. The community is not located in a very desirable place. n. The people have to do with­ out a good many conveniences like telephone service, sew­ age disposal, water works, and good roads. o. A person has to leave town in order to have a good time. p. There are not many families you would care to marry into. q. Few if any of the neighboring towns are able to surpass it. r. Cultural and educational facilities like colleges, libraries, theaters, and museums are adequate. s. People have to do without adequate shopping facilities. ____ Agree Undeelded Dieagree Strongly Disagree ____ ____ ____ ____ 6 2. After graduation many changes will take place In your way of life. You and your friends will be looking for jobs, thinking of getting married, going to college, or moving to a new town. Many of the activities that you formerly engaged in like playing basketball or Just visiting will be difficult to do since many of your friends will not be around. Thinking about the changes that take place after graduation, read each statement below carefully and quickly check the phrase that most nearly represents your personal belief about your community. xxxxxxx AFTER GRADUATION YOUR COMMUNITY WILL BE: Agree Undecided Dlsagree Strongly Disagree a. A good place to engage in farming________________________ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ b. A good place to get the job you would like to have ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ c. A good place to find someone you would like to marry ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ d. A good place to find people your own age ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ e. A good place to live since there are facilities in town or close by for young adults to have a good time f. A good place to have fun with people your own age— like dating, visiting, going to movies, or other such social activities g. A good place to have fun with people your own age— like watching or playing volleyball, basketball, or other such organized sports h. A good place to go hunting, fishing, hiking, or other similar outdoor activities i. A good place to enjoy being members of adult organiza­ tions like the VFW, the Eagles, the Rotary, the church, or womens' clubs Strongly Agree 7 Strongly Agree Agree Unda- Diselded agree Strongly Disagree j . A good place to build a home and raise a family ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ k. A good place to remain close to your friends ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 1. A good place to remain close to your relatives ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 3. What facilities or activities should a community have for young adults, that your community does not have? a* c. 4. As a place to live soon after graduation, hewwell do youlike your community? a .___ strongly dislike it______ d.___ I like it b .___ I dislike it____________ e.___ I am enthusiastic about it c .___ I am indifferent 5. After you are married and have a family, how well would you like your community as a place to live? a .___ strongly dislike It______ d.___ I would like it b .___ I would dislike it_______ e.___ I would be enthusiastic about it c. I would be indifferent YOU AND YOUR PARENTS: Below is a list of statements about the relations between parents and their children. We would like to have your honest opinion about these statements as they apply to your family. (If you do not live with your parents, answer the question In terms of your guardian, or the people you live with.) XXXXXXX 1. Regarding your relationships with your parents (or guardian, the people you live with): (Check the phrase that most nearly represents your own personal belief.) a. It is hard for me to feel pleasant at home. b. My parents try to understand my problems and worries. Strongly Agree ____ Agree Undeelded Dlsagree Strongly Disagree ____ ____ ____ ____ 8 c. As far as my Ideas are con­ cerned my parents and 1 live In two different worlds. Strongly Agree Agree Undeelded Disagree ____ ____ ____ ____ Strongly Disagree ____ d. There is real love and affection for me at home. e. tty parents criticize me too much. f. My friends have happier homes than I do. g. Too often my parents compare me unfavorably with other children. h. As I have known It, family life is happy. i. tty parents expect too much of me. 2. When do you think your parents are most likely to consider you an adult? (Write your answer here) 3. What right did your parents (or guardian, the people you live with) have to make decisions for you when you were in the 9th grade (beginning high school)? a .____ They had b. They had c. They had d. They had 4. a definite right to help make my decisions. some right to help make my decisions. no right, but they could give me their opinions. no right to even give their opinions. What right do your parents have to make decisions for you after you graduate from high school? a. They have b. They have c. They have d .____ They have a definite right to help make my decisions. some right to help make my decisions. no right, but they may give me their opinions. no right even to give their opinions. 9 5. Which of the following statements best Indicates what your parents have encouraged you to do after graduation? a .___ Get a full time job and continue to live at home. b. Get a full time job and live as close to home as possible. c. Get the best full time job possible even if you have to move to another community. d. Continue your education or training, and then return to your community. e .___ Continue your education or training, and then get the beat job possible even if you have to move to another community. f .___ Other (indicate)______________________________________________ 6. Do your parents expect you to help support them after graduation? Yes No 7. Will your parents be able to help you in getting a start or continuing your education after graduation from high school? a. b. c. 8. They will be financially able to help you a great deal. They will be financially able to give you some help. They will be financially able to give you no help. How willing will your parents be to help you after you graduate from high school? a .____ Willing to help you a great deal. b .____ Willing to give you some help. c .____ Willing to give you no help. 9. 10. When the time comes for a boy to take a job, he should stay near his parents even if it means giving up a good job? Yes No Undecided Even when teenagers get married, their first loyalty still belongs to their parents. Yes No Undecided____ LEAVING YOUR COMMUNITY: At times many have considered moving away from their communities. We would now like to know if you have considered leaving your community, and something about your reasons. XXXXXXX 1. Have you ever seriously considered moving away from your community? Yes No 2. Are you considering moving away from your community after graduation? Yes No 10 3. How eager are you to stay or move from your community after graduation? a .___ Eager to b .___ Probably c .___ Probably d .___ Eager to 4. stay stay, butnot eager to stay leave,but not eagerto leave leave If you are considering leaving your community soon after graduation, what are your two main reasons? a. First reason______ ___________________________________________ b. Second reason 5. Below is a list of reasons high school students sometimes give for leaving their communities after graduation. If the statement repre­ sents a reason for your wanting to leave your community, check yes; if not, check no. Yes No a. Few good jobs available ____ ____ ____ b. Unable to make a go of farming ____ ____ ____ c. Little chance of finding someone I would like to marry ____ ____ ____ d. Few people of my own age__________________ ____ ____ ____ e. Feeling pleasant at home is difficult for me ____ ____ f. Few occasions to engage In activities you consider important g. Few occasions to engage in outdoor sports h. To get away from the domination of my family 1. Not enough facilities in town or nearby to have a good time j . No privacy— everyone knows my business k. The climate is not good 1. Not enough night life for young adults ____ Undecided 11 A. Yes No Undecided m. Peeling pleasant with some of the people my own age is difficult ____ ____ ____ n. The community has no future ____ ____ ____ o. The location is poor______________________ ____ ____ ____ p. Parents criticise me too much ____ ____ ____ q. To be able to make my own decisions ____ ____ ____ r. Public services such as telephone service, water supply, sewage disposal, and road repairs are poor ____ ____ ____ s. My reputation In the community is not as I want it ____ ____ ____ t. My community is not a good place to raise a family_________________________ ____ ____ ____ u. There are not enough good shopping centers nearby ____ ____ ____ v. There are not enough facilities like libraries, museums, art galleries, and colleges______________________________ ____ ____ ____ w. I want a change of scenery and new experiences_______________________________ ____ ____ ____ Which of the above do you consider most important? (Please write the letter of the two most important) First______ Second______. NEW COMMUNITY: The following questions seek to find out some of your preferences about the kind of place in which you would like to live. XXXXXXX 12 1. Which of the following best Indicates the kind of community In which you would prefer to live: (Please check only one). -* a .___ In the open country b. In a village under 2,500 (like Ewen or Ontonagon) c. In a city of 10,000 to 100,000 (like Marquette or Lansing) d. In a city of over 100,000 (like Detroit or Chicago) e .____In a suburb outside a large city A. If you checked the open country or a village, do you prefer the location to be near a big city? Yes_____ No__ . IF YES, how near? ________________. B. Do you have any specific place In mind? Yes No____ IF YES, where?_________________________________________ 2. How important are the following qualities of the community in which you would eventually like to live? (Read each statement carefully and quickly check the phrase that most nearly represents your own personal belief.) Very Important Of Some Importance Of Little or No Importance a. The community should have libraries, museums, art galleries, and colleges.___________ ____ ____ ____ b. The community should have avail­ able entertainment like con­ certs, lectures, and plays, ____ ____ ____ c. The community should have avail­ able entertainment like movies or bowling. ____ ____ ____ d. The community should have good TV reception. ____ ____ ____ e. The community should have avail­ able sports events, like boxing, football, baseball, and basket­ ball. f. The community should be one In which a person can be close to nature with opportunities for hunting, fishing, and hiking. 13 Very Important Of Some Importance ____ ___ ____ h. The community should have a climate that you like._____________ ____ ____ ____ 1. The community should have an open country atmosphere away from the hustle, bustle, and noise of the city. ____ ____ g. The community should have con­ veniences like telephone ser­ vice, water supply, good trans­ portation, sewage disposal and good roads. ____ Of Little or No Importance j . The community should be busy and exciting with lots of people and no one knowing your business. k. The community should have many avenues to success, and not limit a person to a job they may not like. 1. The community should be one where there are good jobs. m. The community should be one In which you can be close to your friends. n. The community should be near shopping centers with depart­ ment stores and supermarkets. o. The community should have or be close to some Interesting and exciting night life. p. What other qualities not men­ tioned above should the com­ munity have? (Write your answer here) _____ A. Which of the above do you consider most important? (Please write the letter of the two most Important.) First Second___ 14 YOUR FUTURE OCCUPATION: Now that high school graduation is nearing, we'd like to know somethingabout your plans for your future life's work. XXXXXXX 1. Of all the jobs In this community, which jobwould Which least? ______________ . 2. youlike best? How do you think that farming compares with city jobs like working in a factory, store, oroffice?Better Worse Undecided______. How do you think that mining compares with city Jobs like working in a factory, store, or office? Better Worse Undecided . How do you think that woods work compares with city jobs like working in a factory, store, or office?Better Worse Undecided______. 3. If you could have any job you wanted, regardless of the training or experience required, what Job would you pick? _____________________ . 4. What jobs have your parents mentioned that they would like to see you do? a._________________ b. c.________________ 5. What jobsareyou now 6. seriouslyconsidering asa lifetime work? a. First choice__________________ . Have your parents this? Yes______No__ encouraged b. Second choice_________________ . Have your parents this? Yes______ No__ encouraged Regarding your first choice, what do you think are the reasons for your selecting it? (Check as many reasons as apply) a. b. c. d. e. f. A. Encouraged by family Advised by friends Suggested by school study Suggested by motion pictures Suggested by TV or radio Suggested by magazines and books 8h. i. 3• k. Interest developed out of experience Most profitable work I could get Suggested by counseling and testing Admired someone in this job Other (indicate) Which of the above do you consider most important? (Please write the letter of the two most important). First Second . 15 7. Generally* what do you moat expect of the job you want to make your life's work? (Check as many statements as apply). Freedom of behavior Chance for advancement Friendship with fellow employees Power and authority Intellectual challenge Prestige or respect a. b. c. d. e. f. A. 8* h. 1. Jk. 1. Money Security Public recognition Benefit to humanity Time to enjoy myself Other (Indicate) Which of the above do you consider most important? (Please write the letter of the two most important) First Second . 8. How do you expect to get started in the job you want for your life's work? 9. Do you Intend to get further training after high school? Yes No Don't k n o w . If Yes, what do you plan? a .___ College. Where __________________________________________ b .___ Trade School. c. Apprentice. d .___ Other. Where Where _______________________________________ What and Where ___________________________________ If Yea, how do you intend to pay for the training? (Check as many as apply and underline the most important.) a .___ Parents will help b. Work on the side c .___ Scholarships d .___ Borrow the money e .___ Other (specify)___________________________________________ f. Don1t know If Yes, when do you Intend to start? a. When the new term starts in the fall b. After working for a year or so c .___ After military service d .___ Other (Indicate)__________________________________________ 16 10. Do you expect to enter military service soon after graduation? Yea No Don't know If Yea, for how long? a .___ Permanent career b. Two years only c .___ Other (Indicate)_______________________________________ 11. Has the pos8lblllty of military service affected your job plans? Yea No Don't know If Yea, check In what way or ways? a .___ b. c .___ d .___ 12. Delayed making any definite plans Employers are hesitant to hire me Figured I'd get it out of the way and then decide Other (indicate)____________________________________________ Do you have a Job waiting for you when you graduate? Yes No Don't Know (If yes, please check the following; if no or don't know, go to Question 13.) If yes, what type of job is It? (If more them one job is available, state them In order of your preference.)____________________________ Who would you be working for? (For your first choice If more than one job.) Parents Other relatives Non relatives . Do your parents expect you to take that job? Don't Know They Don't Care Yes No____ What Is the location of the Job?_________________________________ Do you Intend to keep the Job permanently? Yes No Don't Know If no or don't know, which of the following best Indicates what you would do? a .___ Not take the job b. Take the Job temporarily until _________________________. c .___ Other (specify)_________________________________________ . d. Don't know 13. If you don't have a job you Intend to take, and don't expect to go to college (or on for additional training) or into the Service, do you expect to seek a Job near home or away from home? a .___ I expect to seek a Job near where I live. b .___ I expect to look for a job away from home. c .___ I don't know as yet Just what I will do. What type of Job will you be looking for?_____________________ . YOUR COMMUNITY AFTER GRADUATION: Now we would like to know something about the community you Intend to reside in after graduation. XXXXXXXX 1. Where do you expect to live while working or going to school soon (5 or 6 months) after graduation? _______________________________ . (place) 2. Why do you Intend to live in the community named in the above question? (Check as many statements as apply.) a .___ Because the community has cultural facilties like libraries, museums, and colleges. b .___ Because the community has recreational and entertainment facilities you consider important. c.___ Because the community has adequate conveniences like telephone service, water supply, good transportation, sewage disposal, and good roads. d .___ Because the conmunity has a good climate. e .___ Because the community is the size you want. f .___ Because the community has many good jobs available. g .___ Because the community has good shopping centers. h .___Because you have a job waiting for you there. i .___Because you will be going to school there. j.___Because many of your friends are there* k.___Because many of your relatives are there. 1.___Because you will have freedom of behavior there. 18 m. Because tha community will be a 'change of scenery*, a place where you can have new and exciting experiences. n.___ Better chance to find someone you want to marry. o.___ Becausethere are more people your own age there. p.___ Because the community has an open country atmosphere away from the hustle and bustle of the city. 2. q. Because the community has more avenues to success and advancement. r. O t h e r ________________________________ __________ __ A. Which of the above do you consider most Important? (Please write the letter of the two most Important.) First Second____ B. If the community you intend to live in after graduation is not your home community, how did you learn about it?_______________. Do you have a second choice of a community where you would like to live soon (5 or 6 months) after graduation? Yes No Don't Know If Yes, where?___________________________________________________ If Yes, why did you select the first choice rather than the second? 3. Now, considering the kind of job and the way of life you eventually wish to have, do you think it is necessary for you to move from your present community? Yes No Don't Know 4. Would you remain or eventually return to your community if jobs were available? Yes No Don't Know 5. Twenty years from now, what job do you expect to have?________ Where to you expect to be living twenty years from now? First choice . Second choice 19 YOUR PARENTS: parents: Now we would like to have some Information about your XXXXXXX 1. Your parents are: a. Both living together b .___ Both dead c. Father is dead d. Mother is dead e .___ Divorced f .___ Separated 2. Your mother: a .___ has no job outside the home. b .___ has a part-time Job outside the home. c .___ has a full-time job outside the home. 3. Your father's occupation is: (or was, if dead or retired) the kind of work he does and not where he works.) (Specify Main occupation____________________________________________________ Part-time occupation_______________________________________________ If your father is a farmer, how many acres does he operate_________ How many milk cows does he have____________________________________ 4. What does your father think of his occupation: a .___ Completely satisfactory b. Fairly satisfactory c. Good enough d .___ Not very good e .___ Very poor 5. Where was your father b o m ? ________________________________________ (State or Country) Where was your mother b o m ? ________________________________________ (State or Country) 6. What nationality is your father?__________________________________ What nationality is your mother?___________________________________ 20 7. How much formal schooling (doss, did) your father have? a. Less than 4 years b .___ 5-7 years c .___ 8 years d .___ 9-11 years e .___ High school graduate f .___ Some college g .___ College graduate h .___ Don't know 1.___ Other (Indicate)_____________________________ . 8. How much formal schooling (does, did) your mother have? a. Less than 4 years b .___ 5-7 years c .___ 8 years d .___ 9-11 years e .___ High school graduate f .___ Some college g .___ College graduate h. Don't know 1. Other (Indicate) _____________________________ . 9. 10. How old Is your father?___________ Indicate by a check X the number of the category in which your parents' income fell last year. (If not sure, make an estimate.) a. Under $1,000 b. 1,000 to 1,999 c. 2,000 to 2,999 d .____ 3,000 to 3,999 i. 9,000 and 11. Your mother? e._ 4,000 f.____ 5,000 g.____ 6,000 h.____ 7,000 over to 4,999 to 5,999 to 6,999 to 8,999 How many brothers do you have?_________________ How many are older than you?___________________ 12. How many sisters do you have?_ How many are older than you?_ 13. IN THE SPACE BELOW WRITE THE NAME, SEX, OCCUPATION AND PLACE OF RESIDENCE OF EACH OF YOUR OLDER BROTHERS AND SISTERS: (Start with your oldest brother or sister end Include all your older brothers and sisters. If In school, put "student." If older sister Is married and not working outside the home, put "housewife." Male or Female Name Occupation 1. ■ | i i i Place or Residence (town and state) i i i I i I i 1 1 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. --------- YOUR HOME: i 1 Now we would like to know something about your home. xxxxxxx 1. Your parents home is: a. owned b. rented c. being bought If renting, how much is your rent?__________________. 2. The number of persons who live in your house Is:__________________. The number of rooms In your house Is?_________________ . (Do not include basements, bathrooms, porches, closets, halls.) 3. The construction of your house Is: a .___ brick b. Unpainted frame c .___ Fainted frame d .___ Other (specify)________________________ . 4. The lighting In your house is: a .___ Oil lamps b .___ Electric c .___ Gas, mantle, or pressure lamps d. Other or none. 22 5. What kind of refrigeration do you have? a .___ Ice b. m echanical (gas or electric) c .___ other or none 6. Do you have a deep freeze locker in your house? 7. Do you have running water in your house? Yes_____No Do you have an indoor toilet? Yes No Yes____ No . 8. Does yoi^r family take a daily newspaper? Yes 9. Does your family have a power washing machine in your home? Yea No . 10. Do you have a radio in your home? Does this radio work? Yes No . No . Yes_____ No___ . . 11. Do you have a TV set in your home? Yes_____ No___ . 12. Does your family have a car? (other than a truck) 13. Does your home have a telephone? Yes_____ No___ . 14. Does your father (or guardian) go to church at least once a month? Yes No _ Yes No . Does your mother (or guardian) go to church at least once a month? Yes No Appendix B 1966 First Decennial He-Study Questionnaire MICHIGAN STATE UIIVSRSITY DEPARTMENT OP SOCIOLOGY FIRST DECENNIAL RtSTVDY ONTONAGON COUNTY NIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS WHAT THIS STUDY IS ABOUT In May 1957 you and your classmates partloipatod In the first pbaei of k study of the p r o U m faced by young people In preparing for the world of work end In ••looting on i r u where they would l^ke to lire. This second phase of the study inquires into events since school. We would like to learn if the experiences you have had, the problems you haws faced, your successes and frustrations, had your thoughts concerning the past teg years and the future* Tbit information will he of great value in developing /better counseling program for high school etudent* fron rural areas. Obviously, only you oan help us, by being as frank as possible in ooapletlng this questionnaire* Your answers will be kept in strict confidence and your nans will not be linked to the findings. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DPUCTIOMB 1. Read each iten carefully. Then answer it to the best of yoUr knowledge. is not a test, so there are no right or wrong answers. 8 This . Be sure to answer each question vnqiletely. The outcone of the study will be successful only if you are careful to provide accurate and collate information. Special "guides," indicated by the syhbol are included to help, you inter- . prat some questions. 3. If you are in doubt, or do not understand an iten, make a note of It in the margin, and complete the rest of the questions* Upon return of the question­ naire, a member of the project staff will then contact you' and complete it by phono conversation of personal interview, gt your convenience. I. 1 BIOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION *1 . Ua would Ilka to know a little bit about your— If: I IMe. t. What is your naaaf Klaa TSndroT (initial) (Virst) (Laet} b. Hbat la your current nailing addreeet o. Tour T.| |A ts .A || I »$ w }^f (ear d. Your prtHOt tgtt Single Married Widowed ilEZl N*paretediar rpretend .euritei •^ "fTfr % i $ Local phone> r ■v-...,, .P. '"Tour high a&hool dad gradation'’elaaa? (8 cbool) g. Hare you eerved on actIra duty in any branch of the arned forcaaT , 1. If "Yea": Hbat branch of aarrleaT 1 1 Yea 2. Period on active duty: I— 1 No Proa: (Month) 3. Hl|haat rank and pay grada bald while on active duty: Tos (Rank) (iky grade) tMonth) h. How eany brotbara and alatera do you haveT 1. Pleaae lndleate ago, aext and occupation of all brotbera and alatera Age Saw Job (Hbat doea he/aha dot) Age Sea 1 8 yeara old and < Job (Hbat doea he/i ' ■■■ ■ ■1 . 1; 1.2, „ ’’! * ••i If you ara now Married, we would Ilka to know aoaathina of your earriaaa and a* What la your O wife*a O bubaad'a nanat (Hrat J b. Hliat waa her/hia houetown and atatet _ _ _ _ _ _ _ (Initial) TV5SS)--------- * (Laat (Stat c. Where did you flrat get to know ber/blnT (Siat (Tovni d. Wljet waa the higbeet grade ahe/he aoapleted In achoolT a. On what date did you get uurrledf (Month) f, Hera you bad ehlldrenT 1. If *Yea"i 1 l Yaa l l No Llat the date of birth for each child (nonth end year): 2 fDayl . We would like to learn abou* fyjy f»»thar educat i o n a l ri^wvcnxbavo haft since highsohool: a. Hava you obtained further qualification by APFfUSNTWMHIP OR OnIthb-JOB TRAINING? It "lee*" please give details* -j^. ■ City .- • ; Inclusive Dates ; of tfce Tbalhlng Type of Job ob Apprenticeship (Specific skills in vhlch you were trained) i State " ..... ..... - - ---- „ ---- -- 1 Yes I ' * . • ' .. 1 ......... 1 " Certification ^ earned, if sny ."To. ' Fw l T EZ3> *» j A Organisation or Firm C D Tee . - . ' ' b. Have you attended a TRADE, VOCATIONAL, OR TECHNICAL SCHOOL? f I No If "Yea," please give details: Naas of School City Specific Program of Training (Course of training In which you were enrolled) State ; Inclusive Dates ’ of the Training From Diplona earned. If any To ... ‘ 1 1 “ " - •' ..... ; ... : . .. ..... l_____ " c. Have yen obtained further ACADEMIC EDUCATION since leaving high school"? 1 I Yes I~~~l No If "Yes," please give details: Inclusive Dates of Attendance Institution Academic Major City Pro© State i . n - _ .. _ i _ , . ‘ ■. To Degree earned, if any . It. U.l. R E S ID EN CE We would Ilk* to HISTORY 1957 * 1968 rftPC■WlfelBhsplt! .about your experiences residence at the a. Starting vith j eeapletlng bltfi school tine you list each of the places you have lived •iM.e. tfeut.^lns. b, What wi»tb aiid year did you ■ to this placet rpaeaber then for each place lived at Do EOT include f$r a aonth or chaagte of houee. iiithlnitbe. teen or couaunlty. (Residence at tins of high school) (Mo.) (City) 10 , (P.O.) (City) (Ha.) (Yr.) e< Why did you nwret 0 ': i ':,v ' Va are interested not duly Itf Why you to leer*«.but *lsp wby you. chose t.Q„8 « you did. l——— . t < i you have friends irrelatives living liar near this place («r vho were tHullhf afsoring here) at the ||| you Mrs cChsid|pfc.soring here! 514 1. On the whole, bO* Miah would you say you becsae involved in affairs and activities In the local comnunityf Would you say it had: IMnds Xo » Relatives Yes No a najor affectT to a consid­ affe^l; erable i degreb .little sone affect? to a ■oderate degree to' only a slight degree a; Did sm |3w Did you a part!Ldpate any friea ships vlt in anty local orgarlisaother rea dents whl tioni(t you canal laportsn1 - ?. not at ell j■<. 1 t Yes * Yes No ■ • 1V ' •-- w f* i’-‘ j• s'v*• r^'v ■ "J ■t La > f. looking hack over your socla:L partied nation vhile livlng in this placet " 1 :i: - e. If you had friends or relatives living in or near this plgtf, (or vho were thinkis^r'af aovlng here) how such do you think that fact, affected you* decision.to sore to this placet "1*‘■ 71 1 tt I 7 B M P Ii.0 T M B * T AHD IB.C 0 MB I 9 17 * -X 9 6 T.: ---------------------------------------,------------------ f--III.l. This question deals with your work experisncs and InfaoM otir the period alno* Maw; 1957» 0 L e e k e n r tb« tuition e a n l U U y to be i n n you understand what to do, aad than fill in each Motion, working across tbs gags* INC Li I H i iJl i t 1 * a. YOUB BBBlDBBCBi j Mark in your residences, and draw vertical lines between then Indicating the approximate date you ■ m 4 fron one to another. •(You nay; of course, copy this infcreation fron the prevloua pegs). •jwhen filled in, this section shows where yon lived 1957-1967, and should help to plnpcjlnt your Jobe during that ti*e. b. I YOUB WOHK BBPBRIBBCKi 1. BULL-TXME BMPLOYMDTT. In this Motion nark In the fjull-tlM Jobs yon have had (tell vhat you did at your job), aad draw vertical lines Indicating the approxiaate dates you began and quit each fUll-tlM job. • When filled in, this Motion shorn your full-fciM enployaent 1957-1967. 2. PABT-Tiw EMPLOYIBgT. In this Motion nark In the nart- t i M .lobs you have had (tell what you did at your job), and draw vertical lines Mndleatliig the approxiaate dates you began and quit each part-tins Job. • When filled la, this Motion shews all psrt-tlns vark 1957-1967. ► * e. YOUH WIPB'S/HUBBAHD'S WORK KYPKRIBWCBl ( Nark in the full-tlne Jobs your wife/husband has had (tell vhat phe/he did at the Job), and draw vertical 11ms Indicating the approxiaate dates she/he began end quit each Job. • When filled in, this section shews your wife*s/husband's work experience 1957-1967. I ■•— I— *- d. YOUR BSTTMMTO TOTAL FANILY IBCQjg (HBTOBE TAXgB)i tor your own; personal Inccas if not married) Mark the box which represents the closest estimate of pour faally/personal lncosn for the years Indi­ cated. (Do not include support from parents or other'relatives). Looking over the Jobs held during each year say help you In estimating your Income. • When filled In, this section shows your estimated income 1957-1967. V 19! O Under C D 2,900 t,000 B 5, 1 ttH fill la each tootloo. Burkina acroaa tho Ml. iim 33 lit la your raaldMcea, aad I n n vortical llaoi botvooa lalleatlaa the w n b a U data 70a novod froa coo to aantbor. (Ton ay, of eourae, eojy thla infonatioo tba previous pact). tbca froa • M m filled la, tbla 1001100 shove Mere yoa livod 1957-1967, oad oboold hoi; to pinpoint poor Jobs tortag that tiao. imi continued!) T 1,21,1, 3 33 3 3 a,** 3 .3 3 3 ,3 3 3 Liiiii+Uiili 3 3 I U 3 , U S 3 H , mast 1*4326ttt I Ho 2. Haw would you eonpare your lneone to vhat It was a year ago! ___ I I It Is higher now L_J It Is lower now i i It la about the sans n £ Answer Qsontt.eas 1* J* *• and l,lf you are usually sepJ.oyadpsrt- or full-tiws. 1. Hour do you uwiiUy go about looking for a Jobt (Check as nany os opply) Cboek tho newspaper Oat loads froa frlsads and relatives Oo to tbs union SB Go to Oo to Go to Other tbs public u p l o j n m t office a.private ewplcor— ht, offles enployers dlrsatly (spsoify) !• Writs tho lottsr of tho post useful: J. How surs srs you that you bars identified tho kind of Job you want to safcs your Ufa's work? I I Vary surs I I Fairly sura r~~l Unsars k. What faaturas do you think srs important in a JobT A B C D B F Freedoe of behavior I I Chance for advanceaent L j Friendship with fallow employees Powerand authority L^J Intsllactual challenge f i Prestige and respect .a H I J K L H -1 (Cbsok as nany as apply) **®W (''“l Sscurity Q Public recognition Benefit to huaanity...... I , I Enjoyasnt of tha work i i H a s to enjoy syself ^ 3 Other (specify) 1. Writs tha lattsr of tha aost 1sportant: 1 . K m ysars froa now what Job do you sxpact you will hawaT iv. zv.l. your coMoim avd partxcxpatioh Ws- Vggd like to laarn about your partioipation, if any. In oraanlaatioos and in political affhlrsi a. What kinds of clubs, associations, unions, church groups, or othar organisations, If any, do you participate InT Naas of . Organisation Do.you Are you a Are you, or here yon 1Do your i Do your (KLATIVBS attsnd . nesber of a srsr been, an officer [f h u n o g aeetlngsT eoaalttaoT beloncT !Ycs 1 No I Yes 1 No Yes NO 1. ' 2. 3. -■ - b. 5. 6 . 11 i b. Other then organisations {be U n t ’ l oH^ CO t W fHnrlolil {Kfi), ribt other kinds Of do yoa engage in during your fro* tint •’ 'i ; • f- c. Are you • registered voter? a--. 1 j* j I Yes i ;<: ; . o S l~~l Ho ' d. Did you vote in tho loot presidential eleetian (19<»W)T o. Have you voted lot >■ 1. Ststo olootlonst r i 'l Yes I Regularly 2* City or loosi sloetlons sod referenduns? i ___ f~~~1 Regularly f • Bare you ertr aetirely participated In a political party? l:’ I Bo I Constines l Sever ___ i H Sonatinae L n Yes I g. Have you ever held, or are you now holding, a political or civic office? 1. If "Yes," please nans the positions or offices: l "' ~ I BO I 1 Yes ■ h. Has the aaount of your oosaamlty participation varied greatly? That Is, was there erer a. tins. In the last 1 0 ytara that you participated a great deal acre or a great deal less than you do at the present tins? r*~l Set P H B< ■ 1'' ' _ 1— IYes _ I I B< 1* If "Yes," vhy do you feel you participated differently then? 2. Were you living then in the sane eonmmlty that you are living In now? i i Yes I*”*! If.2. Ms would like to learn of the facilities and servloes In your cossainltr: a. Belov Is a list of facilities aad services often found In coasunitles. you and/of your fahlly iiee eaehi....... ft•eueney.ofisee Hot avail­ able here Facility or aervloe Plaase cheek hov often a«nr seldon sonetinet - often :i w n r i • « B. Haataura Its ■ . C| ni •I'l.-n- • 1 • • t. . i ' <■ SnianS it Mmeffi' k. Day!eare services 14 Health e lnios h *Ifare lenartnent : M. Church --£- 1 ' : ,1 0 . Moris thoatwe . i ^ i f'T : Lm £L 1. Write the letters of those you consider n o ^ Igggrtant: 12 First: _____ Second: _ _ _ Third! b. Have yon lad contact vlth goe'qr acrcaoamiiitrsgtaaleslatbe.DeSttvo yaafst 1 . If With vhat agency have you hud thu most eontuetf 2 . Did you netlv* uld or uuuistoueu froa this ageneyt a. If "Yes"i > m m ' « ^ 1 Vhat exaotly did this a|iMy do fCfrvout Tub ' 1 I ho -l . - ■--J: - -- b. Did you foul that thu service of this agency was difficult to get? '"■'■" --■ f*~*l res I I Bo Kxplaln: ":ci 3. ^ * \ i-'■■ *> h ^ • •=■:: ■ -a Wu would llhu to know your opinion* conoernlne rour jjrtiuit adtuditr* u. Bolov la u aorloa of statements that axpraaa ntrloui opinions about any given coaminity. Road oaeh statement carefully and quickly bheoh the ooluan to the rlghtvklehnost nearly represents your own personal belief about tha ooeennltr in o£ near which you llroi Statenents Strongly agree Agree Uhdecldsd Disagree • J • 1. Anything of a progresalve nature Is generally approved* 2. With few exceptlone tha leaders are capable and ambitious. 3* It la difficult for the people to gat together an anything* U. The people* as a whole* ulnd their own business*' ■ 5* The future of the community looks bright. 6 . Mo one seems to care how the community looks* 7* It will never eeem like home to me* 8 9 . Not much can be said for' a place this alee. . The community la not located In a very desirable place. 10. Few If any of the neighboring towns are able to.surpass It. 11* People have to do without adequate shopping facilities. 12. Persons with real-ebllity are usually given recognition. b. What do you think people In your community need nostf 1. How do you think they should go about getting thisT ■ I Strongly disagree ';r :!0* XV.*. 1W> wouldllhs tokaov »c«tfclai of your relations i ; 'AUttt tWIHilil' W 9 liVfib your present community do you think you would recognise toy If you saw then in a large erovdT •.•••.>s *,,• • ;• • CD Almost nil C D »hny CD C D Vary fov Sam C D **»a D. About how oftsn would you soar you chat or visit with your netflfUidreT... CD Very ofton I i Oftsn i i Sometimes I i Seldom e. Oo you or your atltfibors erer tske cere of eeeh other's family when you or-tbey~sra slckor tounyT. 1. If C f~~l Hewer __ C D ho Xus about how oftsn doss this ocourT C D Vary oftsn C D Oftsn C D Sometimes , C D Seldom d. Do you and your neighbors ewer talk over problems with each other? I I Yes I I Ho 1. If "Yes," about how often doss this occur? n Very oftsn H T Often 1 1 Sometimes e. Do you have-relatives who are living In this v community, but who are not living with you? ! I I Yes I I Seldom ( i Ho ... 1. If "Yes," about hew often do you visit with then? I IV,5. I Very often I 1 Often I I Sometimes ~ I I Seldom H^gj£j2Q!£!LiSJCSS£^SHtiSLS&SSM&IJSS!££UlSLSLS!i9LS!9L&CS&JQKJ&9!iSL a. Would you like to move to some other place? I I Yes 1 I Ho C D DOO*t know 1. tf "Yes,* where would you like to move? (neighborhood, city, state, ete.J 2. What would toe better there? ___________________________ 3. Why would you like to move away from here (present community)? b. is there anybody you would miss so mich that you would prefir not to move away from your present community? _____ i i Yes 1. If "Yes," would you leave anyvuy If you had a good lob opportunity? ' C D Ho I > Yei c. Which of the following best Indicates the kind of couinlty you would most prefer to live 1 L__J On a farm In the open country In the open country but not on a farm In a village under 2,500 people m a town or city of 2,300 to 10,000 In a city of 10,000 to 100,000 InM'dtyovsri0O,00O In a suburb outside a large city Ih & 0Dap«dini oo where you presently lin, u n n r tho questions in tlw appropriate colnsn belovi PERSONS MOW LIVING OUTSIDE ONTONAGON COUNTY PERSONS MOW LIVING WiTHIM ONTONAGON COUNTY O d. Haw would you setlasts tho obanoe that you will m h out,of Ontonoflon CountyT 1 I d. How would you estimate the chance that you will aore baek to Qstoangon County? I I Better than 755 5 0 to 755 About 50-50 25 to 505 I Less than 255 I a. During the past twalra months* how often did you vialt relatives in Ontonagon County? Durlnc tho past twelve months *rhow oftoa did you visit nlatimi outaid* Ontonagon Countyf I I Mora than onoa C D Once lot at all Mo ralatiraa living’outaide tha county More than once Onoa E C Mot at all I I Mo relatives living there f. During tha past twelve months, how oftan did you visit friends in Ontonagon County? f. During tha pant twelve months, how oftan did you visit frlanda outaIda Ontonagon Ceuntyt I I Mere than ones Onca Mora than onoa Onoa Mot at all Mo frlanda living outslda tha eounty Not at all Mo friends living there g. Do you eubaerlba to tha ONTONAGON HERALD? C D Taa I Better than 755 5 0 tor 755 About 50-50 25 to 505 I Leas than 255 g. Do you subscribe to tha ONTONAOON HERALD? C ] Tea E C Mo C D >o h. Overall* how would you describe your ties to the Ontonagon County area? h. Overall, how would you daacriba your ties to tha Ontonagon County area? I I Very. strong Moderately strong Average I 1 Vary atrong Moderately strong Average C D Moderately weak t i Little or no tlaa at all B Moderately weak m Little or no ties at. all 'IF YOU ARB PRESENTLY AM ONTONAGON COUNTY RESIDENT, BUT LIVED AWAY PROM ONTONAGON COUNTY FOR A MONTH OR MORE ANY TIME SINCE 1957* ANSWER THE QUESTIONS OM PAGES 16 - 19. ALL OTHERS SHOULD PROCEED TO PAGE 20. 15 Answer the questions on pages 16, 17, 18, aad 19 only if you ara now living in Ontonagon County and llvad away from tba area for a period of one nonth or noire nonetinn since Mty 195T • ALL OTHERS SHOULD PROCEED TO PACE 20. . , . ........ ,v. r• V. RETURNING TO ONTONAGON COUNTY V.l. RETURNING TO ONVOHAGOV COUNTYt Sons of your classmates moved away after high iobbol, sltber to oth rural areas or to' cities', and have since returned to live in Ontonagon County. Thsre sre many rtas wby people leave and then return to their original| oriiannlty. Us are Interested In why you returns a. Below is a series of statements which express various reasons given by people for novfbg away a tben returning. Read eaOh statementcarefully and quickly check the celuan to the right which nearly represents its importance as a reason for your returning to Gmtonagen County. ■ ' Importance as a reason for ay returning .Statements Great importance 1 . 1 Rome importance Do A little importan importance or doesn fppiy like the climate here. 2. I felt I could make a better living here. . X like.the outdoor recreational opporttthitles such as hunting and fishing. . I couldn't find the specific type of work ■* I like elsewhere'. . _ X enjoy being near, ey relatives end wanted to remain close to them. £ I had no special reason for returning, it wm* Just happepstapes. X felt this is a good place to enjoy being 7. a member of adult organisations like Vet­ erans, PTA, church or women's clubs. a X felt I wanted to return aad enter another' line of work. It seemed others were prejudiced against y* me, I Just didn't fitin. 0 -y\ I found I Just didn't like the city * (or other arthe). /" I felt the children could get a good education here. 1 9 Finding a Job in the other placets) ■ was difficult. x didn't have enough education to get anywhere in the city. I Just wanted a change of scenery and lfe. the chence to travel, or to work in different nlaces before settling down. CONTINUED OH THE FOLLOWING PAGE I 16 Zkporlianee as a'restilon f o r m rrstu rn ln g RETURNING ID ONTONAGON (XXJNTT-(Ce«»tinued) GTeat iaportanee importance I felt the people in the other places wore U m Friendly. m u « ay p M m t location in Ontonagon 16. has a lot Of dliadnnt^BM, other 3 t nlnees I had lived seeded even worse. Ml~TT..... 1 S > , ' ' I •‘"y ' No importan or doesn _*FPly A little importance *'• ' i ; - \ • 1 r, 17. I wanted to raise ay feimlly here. ' , * While the people in other areas sssjmed 10« friendly enough, I Just didn't feel comfortable with then. 1 . 1Q * ' -> - I found I didn't have enough vocational training for the Job I would have liked. 2 0 * e I felt ay parents would like to have aw near them. t I think, all in all, the cost of living is lower here. 9 1 I feel I have ware say in ay own and/or * cawnanlty life. 2 2 t 1 ' This is a good place to have fun with people your own age. 2 3 9l , - * There was * specific Job here that I wanted * to look into. ■■ 25. Hr career pjlaae changed. \ 2 £ 2 7 felt It was a good place to find soasone * I would like to marry. 1 1 *;- > I went away to attend (college, work training or military duty)' „a I feel that here I can show mere initiative * in things I do. 2 0 Life just wasn't very interesting to as in the other area(s). 1 After a while I became rather lonely for the * people I had known here. There are mere opportunities here for 31. such things as visiting, going to novies, sports or other social activities. 3 0 This is a good place for me to engage in the * kind of work I want to do. ~ 2 3 3 31 I felt .I had to return to help support * parents or relatives. •' • , Life seemed mere interesting to sat here * than anywhere else I had been. f CONTINUED ON TUB FOLLOWING PACK 17 fwrahrnxBci,®o oaroMAQOH coubti ' -v ^ 1 ’ ^ ! t,.J..lgp«rtnaeo.’.!ts,areeaonfosv ay :*e* (continual) ^ Qreat Bone A little iaportanoe iaportanee iaportanee ! ; ;’ i1 j I feel like I an a person of nore j iaportance [in this eoMnmity. ■■ L - : i* . : **.x '■■: y• •‘ .“V :•*- I prefer the kind of residential housing ] in a snail jeeamnlty. . * - ■ •’< * * 4 -i* 37 I Just asshned I would [always cone [back 1 and after 4 while I did* j t ■ * , ..,••• * a 3 0 j . » .• ' . Hr (husband) (wife) had been urging that we return here. . ■, \■ A (nan)(wonan) is nore (hls)(her) own ^ boss here. ; X like to dive in a snaller else coaminity * where there Is ple&ty of space and ;Scenery. i ' bl. X felt a lock of security in other area(s). b2. X don't like city traffic and counting. ; ■ i I ’X had always wanted to be away fron ay **3. parents and conaunity for a while after 'high school. . . , . .. • .. ' - X decided to sacrifice soar potential lneone * in order to live here. b5. This has altays seeasd like hone to aw. b. In i M m l , which of the reasons you bar* indicated abort do you consider the aoat i»>orti returning to Ontonagon Countyf Write tba nuabers of tba three aoat iaportant reasons* First* : . Second! Third: Those stateaents listed abore are* of coarse, only sons of the possible reasons for retin 1* What other reasons, if any, did you bare for returningf (Please discuss) e. Which of the fallowing eoUbinstiane best describes your situation at the tine you first li Ontonagon County subsequent to May 195TI ........ (Check one) i i (Cheek .one) i I left for a specific purpose or purposes i X left far unspacific or rather gsneral reasons . I 18 thought I would retprn one did not th'tnk; it was lltpia I would return... .... I didn't really know whether return or not* d. Many people who haw* left an a n a and tbCareturned bewahed alellar CW^l e ed ed ^ dUA to learn of tha experiences yon b a n had. Check tho oolnan which boat repreaenta tha aaount of your agreement or disagreement with each statement aa it applies to your experience: Il m 1 s BoawMiat "iSSgir agree agree Statements 1. X liked it« generally. In tha other placets). Somewhat disagree Strongly dieagrea .* ■■■•.: ; 2. I found I really preferred the kind of living hare. »V v j -.i , 3. Tha other plaee(a) had little to do with ajr returning. 4. I waa rather unaura how successful I would be in tha other placa(a). 5 6 . really had little preference one way or the other for the other placets). 1 . 1 fait I bad to return for certain obligatory reasons. 7. I didn't particularly like the other placets). 8 . It ia just ehanee circumstance that I happen to be hare. Ha would like to know something of your own, your fanHy'a, and your community'» expectations at the tine you first left Ontonagon County to live elsewhere: (Complete the aentanea) 1. 2 [— 1 expected that I would aettle down la thin ci:«nnlty. expected that I would aattla down aoeevhere elaa. really didn't know whathar I would nttle here or elaawhare. I expected that I would aattla down, la thla eoaaunlty. expected that I would aattla down sowanihert elaa. f .. 1 waan't nueh ooneemad where I Battled. . Hr family 3. t. diaeuaaad where I would aettle and, we diaeuaaad where I would aettle and1we f 1 diaeuaaed where I would aettle but we particular conclusion. I 1 did not dlacusa tha natter of where I Hf family and I Othera In tha c ity were in agreeneut. were in disagreement. newer reached any would cattle. (__j expected that I would aattla down in thla coaaunity. I i expected that I would aattla down somewhere elaa. weren't much concerned where I wattled, don't know PROCEED TO THE IAST PAQE 19 ^ ALL PERSONS-SHOULD AWVBL n»«iB B izai8 ok m s rmb* --,.v"T : . VX.l «. i • , •' vi.pibcubcigh n*o to harp ycur thouahto about tho (hit'-fl--