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Xsrox Univarsity Microfilms 300 North ZMb Rood Ann Arbor, Michigan 4B100 I 1 73-29,696 FREED, Michael D ale, 1941CRITERIA FOR TOE SELECTION OF PUBLIC ACCESS SITES ON INLAND LAKES IN MICHIGAN. Michigan S ta te U n iv e r s ity , P h.D ., 1973 Environmental S ciences University Microfilms, A XEROXC o m p a n y , Ann Arbor. Michigan © C O P Y R I G H T BY MICHAEL DALE FREED 1973 C R IT E R IA FOR T H E SE L E C T IO N OF PU B L IC A C C E SS S IT E S ON IN LA N D LA K ES IN M IC H IG A N By M ic h a e l D ale F r e e d A TH ESIS S u b m itte d to M ich ig an S tate U n iv e rs ity i n p a r t i a l f u l f i l l m e n t of t h e r e q u i r e m e n t s fo r th e d e g r e e of DOCTOR O F PH ILO SO PH Y D e p a r t m e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p m e n t 1973 ABSTRACT C R IT E R IA FOR T H E S E L E C T IO N OF PU B L IC A C C E S S S IT E S ON IN LA N D L A K E S IN M IC H IG A N By M ich ael D ale F r e e d T h e p u r p o s e of t h i s s t u d y i s t o d e v e l o p A c r i t e r i a s y s t e m f o r s e l e c t i o n of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s f o r r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t l a u n c h i n g o n th e inland la k e s of M ic h ig a n . M e a s u r e m e n t of r e c r e a t i o n b e n e f i t s a s s o ­ c i a t e d w ith b o a t i n g is d e v e l o p e d t h r o u g h th e u e e of a r a n k i n g s y s t e m w h ich in clu d es in tan g ib le b e n e fits by a ssig n in g p r io r itie s r a t h e r than d o llar values. T h e m e t h o d o l o g y u s e d in t h e s tu d y c o n s i s t e d of a c o m p l e t e i n v e n t o r y a n d m a p p i n g o f a l l p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in t h e S t a t e aB w e l l a s coding and filin g th e s e r e c o r d s on a s u ita b le d a ta r e t r i e v a l s y s te m . T h e e x i s t i n g s u p p l y is c o m p a r e d t o t h e f u t u r e d e m a n d i n e a c h c o u n t y in M ic h i g a n to o b ta in a n in d e x of h o w m a n y s i t e s a r e n e e d e d by 1980. C r i t e r i a for p ro p o se d p ro je c ts , o r t e s t s of p r e f e r r e d n e s s , are d e v e lo p e d fo r se le c tin g p o ten tial public a c c e s s site s fo r a cq u isitio n . A r e g r e s s i o n a n a ly s is w as ap p lied to the d ata to e x a m in e w h ich c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f a c o u n t y i n f l u e n c e d t h e a m o u n t of b o a t i n g in t h a t county. A t o t a l o f 19 v a r i a b l e s i n c l u d i n g r e s o u r c e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s M ich a el D ale F r e e d of th e c o u n ty ( s u c h a s n u m b e r of in la n d l a k e s , t o t a l l a k e s a c r e s , and e x i s t i n g p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s ) a n d c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n of th e county (su ch as to ta l p o p u latio n , p o p u la tio n d e n s ity , and d isp o sa b le i n c o m e ) w e r e r u n a g a i n s t t h e t o t a l n u m b e r o f b o a t i n g d a y s i n 1 9 6 8 in e a c h c o u n ty in M i c h i g a n , Six c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s c o n c e r n e d w ith in la n d la k e s p ro v e d to b e im p o rta n t, (R 2 e x p l a i n i n g a b o u t 55% of t h e v a r i a n c e = , 5 4 4 8 ) - - " b o a t B " (th e n u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s in t h e c o u n t y ) , " a n g l e r d a y s " ( t h e t o t a l n u m b e r o f d a y s o r p a r t - d a y s s p e n t f i s h i n g in th e county e a c h y e a r ) , " l a k e a c r e s " ( to ta l a c r e s of la k e s u r f a c e in th e c o u n ty ), " p u b lic c a m p s i t e s " (th e n u m b e r of c a m p s i t e s in th e c o u n t y p r o v i d e d in s t a t e p a r k s , s ta te f o r e s ts , and natio n al fo re s ts), " i n c o m e " ( e ffe c tiv e b u y in g I n c o m e p e r h o u s e h o ld in th e c o u n ty ), and " p a r k i n g " ( to t a l p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y a t p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in t h e c o u n (y ). T h e s e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s w e r e th e n u s e d to s e le c t a p p r o p r i a t e c r i t e r i a fo r a c q u is itio n and to p r e p a r e a c o u n ty - b y -c o u n ty ra n k in g p r io r i ty lis t of inland la k e s w h e r e public a c c e s s s it e s sh o u ld b e p u r c h a s e d . T h e c o u n ty by co u n ty a p p r o a c h w a s found to b e u n w o rk a b le due t o t r a n s f e r of d e m a n d ; t h a t i s , i n s o m e c o u n t i e s , t h e s u p p l y of p o t e n ­ tia l public a c c e s s s it e s w as in a d e q u a te to m e e t f u tu r e d e m a n d . A planning re g io n a p p ro a c h w as th e n d e v e lo p e d f r o m the re o rg a n iz a tio n of e x is tin g c o u n ty d a t a to th e e c o n o m i c p la n n in g r e g i o n s of th e s ta te . P l a n n i n g R e g i o n T w o c o n s i s t i n g of H i l l s d a l e , J a c k s o n a n d L e n a w e e c o u n tie s is u s e d a s a n e x a m p l e of th e a p p l i c a t i o n of the c r i t e r i a . M ic h a e l D ale F r e e d T h e m a j o r c o n c l u s i o n of t h e s tu d y is t h a t a w e ig h te d c r i t e r i a s y s t e m c a n b e d e v e l o p e d and a p p l i e d to p r o d u c e a p r i o r i t y l i s t of l a k e s f o r a c q u i s i t i o n of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s . R eco m m en d atio n s a re f o r w a r d e d f o r i m p r o v e m e n t of b o a t i n g r e s e a r c h a n d f o r f u r t h e r d e v e l o p m e n t of t h e p l a n n i n g a n d p o l i c i e s f r a m e w o r k of t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n of t h e M i c h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t o f N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s . ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I d ie d for b e a u ty . B u t w a s s c a r c e a d j u s t e d in t h e t o m b W hen one w ho d ie d fo r tr u t h w a s lain In a n a d j o i n i n g r o o m . He q u e stio n e d softly why I f a ile d ? " F o r b e a u ty ." I rep lied "A nd I fo r tr u th , - -th e tw o a r e one; We b r e th r e n a r e " he said . And s o , as k i n s m a n m e t a n ig h t, We talk ed b e tw e e n the r o o m s , U ntil th e m o s s h a d r e a c h e d o u r lips And c o v e r e d up o u r n a m e s . E m ily D ickenson T h a n k s m u s t t h e r e f o r e b e a c c o r d e d to e a c h p r o f e s s o r w ho stim u la te d o r ig n o re d m e as w e m e t and p e e re d a c r o s s the s o c ia l d istan ce. T his th en , is t h e s t a t e of m y a r t , t h a t m e n w h o s t u d i e d t h e s y s t e m s of t h e r e a l w o r l d w e r e t o b e m y g u i d e . T h e se m en who g uided m y in q u iry and m y a c a d e m ic p r o g r a m d e s e r v e v e r y s p e c ia l th a n k s and g r a titu d e . D r. M ilto n S te in m u e lle r , m y c o m m itte e c h a i r m a n , h a s b e e n t h e b e s t m o d e l o n e c o u ld w a n t of a d e d i c a t e d a d v i s o r and p r o f e s s o r . T h e m e m b e r s of m y c o m m i t t e e . P rofessor L ouis F. T w a rd z ik , C h a i r m a n o f t h e D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k a n d R e c r e a ­ tion R e s o u r c e s , D r. K e ith H u d s o n , D e p a r t m e n t of F o r e s t r y ; P r o f e s s o r Sanford F a r n e s s , S c h o o l of U r b a n P la n n in g a n d L a n d s c a p e A r c h i t e c t u r e ; D r . M i c h a e l C h u b b , D e p a r t m e n t of G e o g r a p h y , g a v e th e ir t i m e w h en they did not h a v e t im e to s p a r e and h e lp e d d e fin e th e d i r e c t i o n of m y r e s e a r c h . O t h e r p r o f e s s o r s h a v e b e e n e q u a l l y d i l i g e n t in s h a r i n g k n o w l e d g e , n o t h i d i n g it a w a y a s a s e c r e t m e s s a g e . T h e s e a r e m e n w h o d o not a s k t o s e e b l o o d o n t h e h u r d l e a s a b a d g e of a c h i e v e m e n t , w illin g to a c c e p t s tu d e n t s a s c o l l e a g u e s . but a r e I m u s t give th e m s p e c ia l th a n k s fo r th e e x c e lle n c e of th e ir id eas and te a c h in g m e th o d s . G eorg B o rg stro m , D r. E v erett R o g ers, M r. C h arles B a rr, G e rh a rd t S chn eid er, D r. D ieter B ru n n sc h w e ile r, D r. D r. C lifford H u m p h ry s, M r, P au l R isk, and D r. D r. D r. W illiam C o o p er, R aleigh B arlow e. G r a d u a t e s tu d e n ts h a v e p r o v id e d th e foil and b a c k d r o p f o r m y education. S p e c i a l t h a n k s m u s t t h e r e f o r e g o to R o n H o d g s o n , W hit M cD erm utt, R ich M e g a n c k , Steve G ib so n , R andy B y rn e , Paul F isk e, J i m A hl, B o b D ittrick , Bob P f is t e r , Bob V e r t r e e s , Ron K a ise r, and T ony A b a r . Lamb, M a rv W atson, K erry Joy, K arl T h e p e o p l e I h a v e w o r k e d w i t h in t h e M i c h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t o f N a tu ra l R e s o u r c e s all d e s e r v e th an k s fo r th e ir h elp and a s s is ta n c e given fre e ly . K e ith W ils o n , D i r e c t o r of th e W a te r w a y s D iv is io n h a s p ro v id e d the id eal c lim a te for r e s e a r c h and p r o g r a m s b a s e d on r e ­ search. H is h e lp a n d s u p p o r t h a v e b e e n i m m e a s u r a b l e . Ed E c k a r t , B ill C o lb u rn , and G a le J a m s e n h a v e w o rk e d c lo s e ly on d ev elo p in g and d efining th e c r i t e r i a s y s te m . this r e s e a r c h , F o r th e m a n y o th e r s w ho h e lp e d w ith I c a n only s a y t h a n k you. T h e m o s t a p p r e c ia tio n and s p e c ia l th a n k s a r e r e s e r v e d f o r m y w ife, T a w n y , w ho w atch ed in d is b e lie f sb m y u n d erg rad u ate d eg ree, m y M a s t e r ' s t h e s i s and t h e d i s s e r t a t i o n b e c a m e a r e a l i t y . Her p a t i e n c e an d u n d e r s t a n d i n g t h r o u g h m a n y la t e h o u r s of s tu d y h a v e m a d e this w o r k p o s sib le . T h e l a s t r o u n d of s p e c i a l a c k n o w l e d g m e n t s a n d t h a n k s f o r t h e i r m a n y y e a r s of s u p p o r t m u s t g o to m y p a r e n t s w h o h a v e h e l p e d in e v e ry w ay to m a k e e d u c a tio n an im p o rta n t fo cu s fo r m y life. TABLE OF CONTENTS C hapter I. Page IN T R O D U C T IO N A. B. II. VI. R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a tin g in M i c h i g a n D e m a n d and Supply R e la tio n s h ip s The A ccess P ro b lem D ata C o lle c tio n and A n aly sis T h e R e g r e s s io n A n aly sis S e le c tio n of the C r i t e r i a R E S U L T S AND L IM IT A TIO N S O F E X P E R IM E N T A L A PPLIC A TIO N S A. B. C. D. 3 3 9 9 9 12 13 16 17 E X P E R IM E N T A L A P P L IC A T IO N OF T E C H N IQ U E S A. B. C. V. The R esearch P roposal R e s e a r c h M eth o d o lo g y T he H y p o th esis D e fin itio n s U sed in th e Study L im ita tio n s and A s s u m p tio n s T H E STUDY SETTIN G A. B. C. IV. The P ro b lem N e e d f o r th e Study in M ic h ig a n M E T H O D O L O G Y U S E D IN T H E S T U D Y A. B. C. D. E. III. 1 T h e R e g re s s io n A n aly sis A p p l i c a t i o n of t h e C r i t e r i a C ounty V e rs u s P lanning R egionA p p ro a c h P lan n in g R egion T w o as a n E x a m p le C O N C L U SIO N S AND R E C O M M E N D A T IO N S 17 21 23 26 26 41 43 48 48 54 56 68 74 B IB L IO G R A PH Y 86 A P P E N D I C ES 90 v LIST OF T A B L E S T able Page 1. A ttra c tio n Index C a lc u la tio n F o r m 39 2. S t a n d a r d s f o r P a r k i n g C a p a c i t y by S iz e of L a k e 44 3. S t e p s in D a t e C o l l e c t i o n a n d A n a l y s i s 47 4. S u m m a ry T ab le B M D -02R S tep w ise R e g re s s io n 49 5. B oating D ays and P a r k in g C a p a c ity by P la n n in g R egion 59 6. LakeB in P la n n in g R e g io n T w o vi 69 LIST O F F IG U R E S F igu re Page 1. M ich ig an B o at R e g is tr a tio n s --1 9 5 7 -1 9 7 0 19 2. P u b lic A c c e s s S ite s in M ic h ig a n 28 3. M ic h ig a n 's L a r g e r In lan d L a k e s 32 4. 1965 B o a t i n g D a y s b y C o u n t y in M i c h i g a n 35 5. 1 9 8 0 B o a t i n g D a y s b y C o u n t y in M i c h i g a n 36 6. F l o w C h a r t o f S t e p s in D a t a C o l l e c t i o n , D a t a A n a ly s is and A p p lic a tio n of C r i t e r i a 46 A p p l i c a t i o n of R e g r e s s i o n V a r i a b l e s t o A cq u isitio n C r i t e r i a 53 7. vii LIST O F A P P E N D IC E S A ppendix Page 1. L i s t o f V a r i a b l e s I n c l u d e d in M o d e l 90 2. S t a t e m e n t of P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e L a n d A c q u i s i t i o n P ro g ra m C riteria 92 N u m b e r of P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e s i n M i c h i g a n aB of J u l y , 1970 96 4. P u b lic A c c e s s Site In v e n to ry 99 5. P u b lic A c c e s s Site I n v e n t o r y - - M a r k - S e n s c F o r m 100 6. M i c h i g a n L a k e I n v e n t o r y - 1965 W e x f o r d C o u n t y 101 7. C o m p a r is o n of "1965 L a k e In v en to ry " and C, H u m p h ry s1 "M ich ig an L akes and P o n d s" 102 3. 8. R. M ic h ig a n R e c r e a tio n a l B oating N eeds Q u estio n n a ire 103 S iz e an d T y p e s of R e g i s t e r e d B o a ts in M ic h i g a n C ounties 110 10. C o u n ty D ata S h e e t 127 11. S tate P lan n in g R egions as of Ju n e , 12. C ounty L ake L is ts f o r H illsd a le , J a c k so n C ounties 9. viii 1971 130 L e n a w e e and 131 CHAPTER I IN T R O D U C T IO N E n v i r o n m e n t a l q u a lity and th e u s e of n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s a r e b e c o m i n g i m p o r t a n t i s s u e s of n a t i o n a l p o l i c y . a rg u m e n ts for th e p r e s e r v a tio n , S o m e of th e t r a d i t i o n a l c o n s e r v a t i o n a n d d e v e l o p m e n t of r e ­ s o u r c e s a r e b e i n g q u e s t i o n e d in t h e f a c e of c o m p l e x e c o l o g i c a l p r o b ­ le m s and c o m p e tin g u s e s of lan d , w a te r , and a ir r e s o u r c e s . R e c e n t d e v e l o p m e n t s in F e d e r a l p o lic y w ill h a v e a c r i t i c a l b earin g on en v iro n m en tal iss u e s , th ese adm in istrative a reas. y e t little a tte n tio n is f o c u s e d on T h e g e n e r a l p u b lic is u n a w a r e , f o r the m o s t p a r t , of t h e f a r r e a c h i n g r a m i f i c a t i o n s of " P P B S " an d " b e n e f i t cost an aly sis. " P P B S , th e p l a n n i n g - p r o g r a m m i n g - b u d g e t i n g s y s t e m of th e F e d e ra l G o vernm ent, is a n a c c o u n tin g a n d p la n n in g s y s t e m w h ic h r e v i e w s p u b l i c e x p e n d i t u r e s in t e r m s of b r o a d o b j e c t i v e s in o r d e r t o d e t e r m i n e w h ic h p r o g r a m s a r e m o s t e f f e c tiv e o r e f f ic ie n t in t e r m s of e a c h d o l l a r s p e n t . F o r exam ple, national tr a n s p o r ta tio n , highw ay s y s te m . u n d e r t h e b r o a d o b j e c t i v e of o n e of th e p r o g r a m s w i l l b e th e i n t e r s t a t e In a p r o g r a m b u d g et, th e output w ill be c o m p a r e d to t h e in p u t s u c h t h a t , e a c h m i l e of i n t e r s t a t e w ill c o s t "X " d o l l a r s . R a t h e r t h a n a c c o u n t i n g f o r t o n s of c o n c r e t e o r t h e n u m b e r o f m e n 1 2 em ployed, a p r o g r a m b u d g et w ill pu t th e se e le m e n ts to g e th e r u n d e r the fu n c tio n th ey p e r f o r m . " B e n e f i t - c o B t a n a l y s i s , " o n t h e o t h e r h a n d , i s a c a l c u l a t i o n of d o l l a r c o s t s of e a c h u n i t o r e a c h p r o g r a m c o m p a r e d t o t h e b e n e f i t s r e c e i v e d in d o l l a r s . P r o je c ts can then b e c o m p a r e d on a r a t i o b a s i s . F o r e a c h d o l l a r s p e n t, P r o j e c t A w ill r e t u r n tw o d o l l a r s w o r t h of b e n e f i ts w h ile P r o j e c t B w ill r e t u r n only o ne and o n e - h a l f d o l l a r s . B e n e f it- c o s t is one of th e a n a ly tic a l tools w h ich c a n b e u s e d w ith in PPBS. Such a n a ly s e s have b een developed la rg ely fo r c o m p a rin g altern ativ e la rg e -s c a le w ater re so u rc e p ro jects such as d a m s, reser­ v o i r s , and flood c o n tr o l p r o je c t s . W i t h i n c r e a s e d F e d e r a l a c t i v i t y in a l l p h a s e s o f n a t u r a l r e ­ s o u r c e p o lic y , t h e s e m e th o d s of a n a ly s is w ill b e d e v e l o p e d and u s e d m o r e w i d e l y t o d e c i d e w h a t u s e s of o u r n a t i o n a l r e s o u r c e s w i l l p r e v a i l . O r g a n iz a tio n s and in te r e s te d c itiz e n s c o n c e rn e d w ith r e s o u r c e u s e o r m i s u s e m u s t b e a b l e to d e fe n d t h e i r p o s it i o n in t e r m s of t h e c r i t e r i a of P P B S a n d c o s t - b e n e f i t a n a l y s i s . of i n t a n g i b l e s , M ost im p o rtan t, m easurem ent n o n m a rk e t goods, so cial v alu es, e n v iro n m e n ta l v a lu e s, and o th er such n o n -d o lla r c o n sid e ratio n s m u st be d ev elo p ed o r e lse d e c i s i o n s a t t h e F e d e r a l l e v e l w i l l t e n d t o l e a v e t h e s e v a l u e s o u t of t h e a n a l y s i s of n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e p r o j e c t s a n d n a t i o n a l r e s o u r c e p o l i c y . 3 T he P ro b lem It i s t h e p u r p o s e of t h i s s t u d y t o s u g g e s t s o m e a l t e r n a t i v e m e th o d s fo r m e a s u r in g in ta n g ib le s su ch as r e c r e a ti o n b e n e fits and e n v iro n m en tal valu es. A c a s e s t u d y of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s * i n M ic h ig a n w ill be p r e s e n t e d to e m p h a s iz e how a c r i t e r i a s y s t e m could evolve u sin g a q u a lita tiv e a p p r o a c h w h e r e p r o je c ts a r e ra n k e d a c ­ c o rd in g to t h e i r d e s ir a b i l i t y , b u t d o lla r v a lu e s a r e not a s s ig n e d . N e e d f o r th e Study in M ic h ig a n As th e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t b e c a m e m o r e d e e p ly in v o lv ed w ith P P B S in t h e D e f e n s e D e p a r t m e n t , w ater re s o u rc e d ev elo p m en ts, a n d w i t h c o s t - b e n e f i t a n a l y s i s in th e s t a t e s b e g a n to look to p r o g r a m bu d g etin g a s a tool fo r p la n n in g an d f i s c a l m a n a g e m e n t. In t h e C a l i f o r n i a D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k a a n d R e c r e a t i o n , f o r e x a m p l e , a c o s t-b e n e fit p ro c e d u re for b u dgeting sta te p a rk acq u isitio n w as developed fo r e x p la n a to ry p u r p o s e s . In t h e p a s t , p r o j e c t a c q u i s i t i o n r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s had la c k e d the e le m e n t of e x p la in a b illty s o th at c o n t r o ­ v e r s y h a d a r i s e n , n o t bo m u c h o v e r t h e q u a l i t y o f p r o j ­ e c t s t h a t w e r e s e l e c t e d b u t , r a t h e r , o v e r t h e q u e s t i o n of w hy c e r t a i n d e s i r a b l e p r o j e c t s had not b e e n s e le c te d . ^ * P u b lic a c c e s s s ite - a p u b lic ly ow ned p r o p e r t y , u s u a lly w ith r iv e r o r la k e f ro n ta g e , w h ic h is d e v e lo p e d f o r th e p u r p o s e of p r o ­ viding a c c e s s to the w a t e r s of t h e s ta te . 2 A lfre d B a x te r and A s s o c i a t e s , W hich P a r k s and W hy; A C o st B enefit P r o c e d u r e f o r B u d g etin g S ta te P a r k A c q u is itio n (B e rk e le y , C a l i f o r n i a ; A l f r e d B a x t e r a n d A s s o c i a t e s , 1 9 6 6 ) . p . 1. 4 In M i c h i g a n , t h e G o v e r n o r r e q u e s t e d p r o g r a m e v a l u a t i o n f r o m a l l d e p a r t m e n t s to a i d in f i s c a l p l a n n i n g a t t h e e x e c u t i v e l e v e l . D e p a r tm e n ta l C o m m u n ic a tio n No. A ugust 9, 1970, 7 to a ll s t a t e d e p a r t m e n t s on req u ested p ro g ra m e v a l u a t i o n f o r t h e 1971 -7 2 b u d g e t . I in te n d to e f f e c t i v e l y m a n a g e t h e S t a t e ' s r e s o u r c e s to a c h i e v e m a x i m u m b e n e f i t s . O n e w a y to m e e t th is r e s p o n s i b i l i t y is w ith p r o g r a m e v a lu a tio n . W e h a v e b e e n d e v e l o p i n g v a r i o u s a p p r o a c h e s t o e v a l u a t i o n in th e p r o g r a m and b u d g et s tr u c t u r e . . . . I am hereby an n o u n cin g a r e f in e m e n t and a c c e l e r a t i o n of th e s e processes. T h e 1971-72 b u d g et and e a c h b u d g et t h e r e ­ a f te r w ill s t r e s s p r o g r a m e v a lu a tio n a s w e ll a s the tra d itio n a l c o s t e stim a tio n fo r b u dgeting. * T h e i n te n t of th e p r o g r a m b u d g e t i n g s y s t e m is to lay o u t p o lic y d e c i s i o n s in a l o g i c a l f r a m e w o r k , to q u a n t if y t h e d e c i s i o n - m a k i n g p ro cess w h erev er p o ssib le, and to m a k e e x p lic it all d e c is io n s w h ic h involve ju d g m e n t. W hen c o n tr o v e rs y a r is e s , loom s la rg e . the p r o b le m of " e x p ia in a b ility " also T h e m a j o r i t y of p r o b l e m s i n v o l v i n g t h e p u b l i c a r e c o m m u n ic a tio n p r o b le m s w hich c e n t e r a ro u n d how d e c is io n s a r e m ad e and w ho m a k e s th e m , as w ell as w h y in d iv id u al p r o je c t s a r e ch o sen . C lear, fo rth rig h t c rite ria , a s s e t f o r t h in an a n a l y t i c a l p r o g r a m f r a m e w o r k , a r e v e r y u s e f u l in e x p l a i n i n g p r o g r a m s , p r i o r i t i e s , in d iv id u al p r o j e c t s to th e public. and O nce the c r i t e r i a a r e a g re e d upon as r e a s o n a b le and p r o p e r , the p r o je c ts w h ic h fa ll out as m o s t M ic h ig a n , E x e c u tiv e O ffice of th e G o v e r n o r , " D e p a r tm e n ta l C o m m u n i c a t i o n N o. 7 , " L a n s i n g , M ic h i g a n , A u g u s t 19, 1 9 7 0 , p . I ( in t h e f i l e s o f t h e M i c h i g a n S t a t e W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n ) . 5 d e s i r a b l e a r e s e e n t o f i t i n t o a t o t a l s y s t e m of p l a n n i n g r a t h e r t h a n a d m in is tr a tiv e fia t o r unexplained ju d g m en t. T h e p u r c h a s e of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s o n i n l a n d l a k e s i n M i c h i g a n h a s o ften c a u s e d c o n s id e ra b le c o n tr o v e rs y am o n g rip a ria n * o w n e rs on th o s e la k e s w hich w e r e c h o se n fo r s ite a c q u is itio n and d e v e lo p m e n t. T h e q u e s t i o n of w h y p u t a s i t e on " o u r " l a k e w a s o f t e n r a i s e d . Thus, w h e n th e p r o g r a m c a m e u n d e r f i r e , t h e G o v e r n o r t u r n e d to th e e x ­ p l a n a t o r y v a l u e of th e p r o g r a m b u d g e tin g s y s t e m . On J u n e 25, 1970, G o v e rn o r W illia m M illik e n im p o s e d a b a n o n p u r c h a s e o f p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in M i c h i g a n p u r s u a n t t o a c o m ­ p l e t e s t a t e m e n t of p r o g r a m g o a ls and p r o g r a m s t a n d a r d s of th e M ich ig an S tate W aterw ay s C o m m issio n . N o f u r t h e r s te p s a r e to be ta k e n by the W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n t o w a r d t h e a c q u i s i t i o n of n e w p r o p e r t y f o r th i s p r o g r a m u n til a c o m p le te r e v i e w a n d e v a l u a t i o n of p r o g r a m p o licies has been com pleted. ^ He f u r t h e r stip u la te d th at the b an w as to be in effect u n til s u c h t i m e as " c r i t e r i a " f o r s e le c t io n of p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s in M ic h ig a n w ere approved. ^ r i p a r i a n - a l e g a l d e f i n i t i o n u s e d in e a s t e r n s t a t e s r e f e r r i n g to t h e r i g h t s o f o w n e r s of l a n d a d j a c e n t t o w a t e r b o d i e s t o c e r t a i n u s e s of th a t w a t e r . A b r o a d e r d efin itio n w ould r e f e r to s t r e a m s i d e o r l a k e s i d e la n d a s r i p a r i a n land. 2 N e w s r e l e a s e of a s t a t e m e n t b y G o v e r n o r W i l l i a m G. M il l i k e n o n J u n e 2 5 , 1 9 7 0 . p. 1 (in t h e f i l e s of t h e M i c h i g a n S t a t e W a t e r w a y s C o m m issio n ). 6 He had in stru c te d th e D e p a rtm e n t of N a tu ra l R e s o u r c e s t o c o n d u c t a r e v i e w of p r o j e c t c r i t e r i a p r i o r t o f u r t h e r a c q u i s i t i o n of p r o p e r t i e s on in lan d la k e s by t h e M ic h ig a n S tate W a te rw a y s C o m m is s io n [ e m p h a s is su p p lied ] . * At t h e s a m e t i m e , t h e O ffic e of P l a n n i n g S e r v i c e s in t h e D e p a r t ­ m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s w a s d e v e l o p i n g a p r o g r a m e v a l u a t i o n p r o c e d u r e f o r e a c h s e g m e n t of t h e M i c h i g a n O u t d o o r R e c r e a t i o n P l a n w h ic h h ad to b e s u b m i t t e d to th e B u r e a u of O u td o o r R e c r e a t i o n in o r d e r to q u a lify th e S tate f o r Land and W a te r C o n s e r v a t io n F u n d m onies. 2 T h e s e tw o c o n c o m i t a n t e v e n t s le d to t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of t h e p r o g r a m p l a n n i n g s t r u c t u r e in t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n , P r i o r to th is tim e , th e M ich ig an S tate W a te r w a y s C o m m is s io n h a d b e e n m o v i n g in th is d i r e c t i o n t h r o u g h its r e s e a r c h p r o g r a m , on t h e o n e h a n d , w h i c h p r o v i d e d d a t a on r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g in M i c h i g a n , 1I b i d . 2 M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s , O f f ic e of P l a n n i n g S e r v i c e s , " G o a l s , F u n c t i o n s , and S t r u c t u r e of t h e R e c r e a t i o n S y s t e m , " M ic h i g a n O u t d o o r R e c r e a t i o n P l a n , 1970 ( L a n s i n g , M i c h i g a n D e p a r t ­ m e n t o f N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s , D e c e m b e r , 1 9 7 0 ) . V o l u m e 1, C h a p t e r 4. 3 T h r e e p u b lic a tio n s e n c o m p a s s th e h i s t o r y of t h e W a t e r w a y s R e s e a r c h P r o g r a m : (1) M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t o f C o n s e r v a t i o n , W aterw ay s D iv isio n , T ra n s p o rta tio n P re d ic tiv e P r o c e d u r e s : R e c r e a ­ tio n al B o atin g and C o m m e r c i a l S hipping. (L a n s in g , M ic h ig a n : S tate R e s o u rc e P la n n in g P r o g r a m , M ichigan D e p a rtm e n t of C o m m e r c e , D e c e m b e r , 1 9 6 6 ) , T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o . 9 C ; (2) J a m e s O a k w o o d a n d M i c h a e l C h u b b , P l a n n i n g P u b l i c R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a t i n g F a c i l i t i e s in M ic h ig a n . ( F a s t L a n sin g , M ichigan: R e c re a tio n R e s e a r c h and P l a n ­ n in g U nit, D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k a n d R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S t a t e U n i v e r s i t y , F e b r u a r y , 1 9 6 8 ) , T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o . 1. (3) M i c h a e l C h u b b , O u t d o o r R e c r e a t i o n P l a n n i n g i n M i c h i g a n b y a S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s A p p r o a c h . P a r t III. T h e P r a c t i c a l A p p l i c a t i o n of P r o g r a m R EC SYS and S Y M A P . (L an sin g , M ic h ig a n , S ta te R e s o u r c e 7 and th e b u d g et s t r u c t u r e on th e o th e r h an d , w h ich r e q u i r e d a b u d g et s u b m i t t e d t o t h e o f f i c e of t h e G o v e r n o r o r g a n i z e d b y p r o g r a m c l a s s e s . T he b ro a d p r o g ra m fra m e w o rk and the b a sic c r ite r ia fo r s e le c ­ t i o n of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s w e r e s u b m i t t e d to t h e G o v e r n o r on S e p t e m b e r 1, 1970. T hey w e r e r e v is e d a fte r e x te n s iv e public h e a r ­ ings and a c c e p te d by th e G o v e r n o r on J a n u a r y 22, 1971, at w hich t i m e t h e m o r a t o r i u m o n t h e p u r c h a s e of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s w a s lif te d . T h e f o llo w in g g e n e r a l i z e d c r i t e r i a a r e now b e i n g u s e d a s g u i d e l i n e s f o r th e p u b lic a c c e s s s ite p r o g r a m (Bee A p p e n d ix 2 f o r fu ll e x p l a n a ­ tion of each c r i te r i a ) . 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. M a g n i t u d e of a n t i c i p a t e d u s e . F e a s ib ility of a cq u isitio n . E c o lo g ica l c o n s id e ra tio n s . S afety and re g u la tio n . I n c r e a s e d s a t i s f a c t i o n o r q u a l i t y of e x p e r i e n c e . In te rp r o g ra m effects. R eso u rce p re se rv a tio n o r creatio n . C o st effectiveness. S econdary benefits. E q u i t a b l e d i s t r i b u t i o n of f a c i l i t i e s . T h e c r i t e r i a w e r e not y e t d e f i n e d in m e a s u r a b l e t e r m s . The a p p l i c a t i o n of th e c r i t e r i a r e q u i r e d d e f i n i t i o n in a q u a n t i t a t i v e s e n s e s o th a t p o te n tia l p u b lic a c c e s s s it e s co u ld b e m e a s u r e d u n d e r the c r ite r ia and ran k ed acco rd in g to th e ir d e s ira b ility . tio n is: T h e b asic q u e s ­ " G iv e n th is a m o u n t of m o n e y a n d t h e s e c r i t e r i a , how m a n y public a c c e s s s ite s can be p u r c h a s e d and d e v e lo p e d ; w h e r e should P la n n in g P r o g r a m , M ic h ig a n D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e , T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o. 12. ^ M i c h i g a n , ' E x e c u t i v e O f fic e of th e G o v e r n o r 1967), L o c . cit. 8 th e y b e p u r c h a s e d ; and w h ich s ite s should b e p u r c h a s e d f i r s t " ? D e v e l o p m e n t of t h e c r i t e r i a . n e c e s s a r y to a n s w e r t h e s e q u e s t i o n s is t h e b a s ic p u r p o s e of t h i s s tu d y . C H A P T E R II M E T H O D O L O G Y U S E D IN T H E S T U D Y The R esearch P roposal T h e stu d y p r o p o s e d to d e v e lo p a c r i t e r i a s y s t e m f o r th e s e l e c ­ t i o n of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in M i c h i g a n . M e a su re m e n t of re c re a tio n b e n e f i t s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h b o a t i n g w e r e d e v e l o p e d t h r o u g h t h e u s e of a ran k in g s y s te m w hich m e a s u r e d in tan g ib le b e n e fits by assig n in g p r i o r i t i e s to la k e a c q u is itio n r a t h e r th a n d o l l a r v a lu e s . R e s e a r c h M eth o d o lo g y 1. A c r ite r ia s y s te m for p ro p o sed p ro je c ts w as developed fo r ranking p ublic a c c e s s s ite s fo r fu tu re a c q u isitio n . 2. T h e c r i t e r i a s y s t e m w a s th e n w eig h ted a c c o rd in g to s ig n if i­ c a n t p r e d i c t o r s of b o atin g d e m a n d w h ich w e r e id en tified by a r e g r e s ­ sion a n a ly s is . 3. T h e c r i t e r i a s y s t e m w as a p p lie d to d a ta on p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s in M i c h i g a n in o r d e r to i d e n t i f y s p e c i f i c s i t e s f o r f u t u r e a c q u i s i ­ tion. 9 10 D ate R e q u ire m e n ts 1. P u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in M i c h i g a n w e r e i n v e n t o r i e d a n d m a p p e d on a c o u n ty by c o u n ty b a s i s . T h e s ite s m a in ta in e d by the F is h D iv isio n , F o r e s t r y D iv isio n , P a r k s D iv isio n , G a m e D iv isio n , and W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n of t h e M i c h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s a n d t h e U . S. F o r e s t S e r v i c e w e r e l i s t e d o n a m a s t e r l i s t o f p u b l i c a c c e ss sites. A n u m b e r i n g s y s t e m w a s d e v e l o p e d t o n u m b e r a l l of th e sites. 2. so n n el, A public a c c e s s s ite in v e n to ry w as c o m p le te d by field p e r ­ s ta tin g the p e r tin e n t d a ta on e a c h s ite su c h a s lo c a tio n , p arking s p a c e s , a c re a g e , f r o n ta g e f e e t, etc. T he L ands D ivision f i l e s w e r e c o m p a r e d w ith e a c h i n v e n t o r y to f i l l in I n f o r m a t i o n on a c q u is itio n d a te , p r i c e p a id , etc. inventory sh eet. ) ( S e e A p p e n d i x 4 f o r a c o p y of t h e T h is d a t a w as c o d e d on m a r k - s e n s e f o r m s into a p p r o p r i a t e d a t a f ie ld s a n d key p u n c h e d onto c o m p u t e r c a r d s f o r d a t a sto rag e. (See A p pendix 5 fo r a c o p y of th e m a r k - s e n s e f o r m and d a ta field s. ) 3. D a ta on co u n ty p o p u la tio n , d i s p o s a b l e i n c o m e , reg istered b o a t s , n u m b e r of l a k e s , a n d o t h e r c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f t h e d e s t i n a t i o n county w e r e c o l le c te d and co d ed into d a ta fie ld s f o r key pun ch in g . ( S e e A p p e n d i x 10 f o r a c o p y of C o u n t y D a t a S h e e t s . ) A larg e num ber of d a t a s o u r c e s w e r e c o m p i l e d t o q u a n t i f y t h e v a r i a b l e s f o r e a c h county. (D a ta s o u r c e s a r e l i s t e d w i t h e a c h X v a r i a b l e in A p p e n d ix 1 .) 11 C om putational P ro c e d u re a 1. A d u p l i c a t e t a p e of th e 1968 B o a ti n g D e m a n d S tudy d a t a f ile f r o m th e M ic h ig a n R e c re a tio n a l B oating N e e d s Q u e s tio n n a ire w as s e c u r e d f r o m the M ic h ig a n S tate U n iv e r s ity C o m p u te r C e n te r w h e re s i m i l a r a n a l y s e s w e r e b e in g r u n o n th e C D C 6500 u s in g th e c o u n ty of o rig in and s o c io -e c o n o m ic c h a r a c te r is t ic s of r e g is te r e d boat o w n ers a s t h e a r e a s of i n q u i r y . T h is stu d y w as u n d e rta k e n by th e R e c re a tio n R e s e a r c h an d P l a n n i n g U nit, of t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f P a r k a n d R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s at M ic h ig a n S tate U n iv e rsity . 2. T he co u n ty d a ta w a s te s te d a g a in s t the a c tu a l boating days w h ic h o c c u r r e d in e a c h c o u n ty in 1968, w ith a l in e a r m u ltip le r e g r e s ­ sio n a n a ly s is u sin g a le a s t s q u a r e s s te p w is e d e le tio n ro u tin e . The e q u a t i o n o r m a t h e m a t i c a l m o d e l u s e d in t h e a n a l y s i s to o k th e fo llo w in g g en eral form : Y = a + b . x, + b_ x , . . . + b x + u 1 1 2 2 n n W here: Y “ T h e o b s e rv e d d e p e n d e n t v a ria b le to be explained or predicted. ( In t h i s c a s e , it is t h e n u m b e r of b o a tin g d a y s in e a c h d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n ty . ) Xj - x ^ = T h e i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s u s e d t o e x p l a i n o r p r e d i c t Y. (In th is c a s e , it is c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t y . ' S e e A p p e n d i x 1). 12 b. -b I n = T h e c o e f f i c i e n t of th e x , - x I n v ariab les, the slo p e of t h e r e g r e s s i o n lin e f o r e a c h of t h e i n d e p e n d e n t v ariab les. a = A co n stan t v a ria b le , th e i n t e r s e c t of t h e r e g r e s ­ s i o n Line w i t h t h e y a x i s , u = The random e rro r term . T h e c a l c u l a t i o n s w e r e r u n on t h e M ic h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t of S t a t e H i g h ­ w ay s B u rro u g h s 5500 c o m p u te r. A B M D -02R - L in e a r R eg ressio n r o u t i n e a s d e s c r i b e d in " B M D - B i o m e d i c a l C o m p u t e r P r o g r a m s " * was u s e d in t h e a n a l y s i s . 3. T h e s i g n i f i c a n t p r e d i c t o r s i d e n t i f i e d in t h e r e g r e s s i o n , w e r e u s e d to d e v e l o p a w e i g h t e d c r i t e r i a s y s t e m f o r p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e a cq u isitio n . T h e H y p o th esis T h e h y p o t h e s i s o f th is s t u d y is t h a t a c r i t e r i a s y s t e m b a s e d on t h e p r e v i o u s l y d e s c r i b e d d a t a m e e t s t h e r e q u i r e m e n t s of t h e M i c h i g a n S ta te W a te rw a y s C o m m is s io n f o r a public a c c e s s s ite s e le c tio n p r o ­ cedure. And f u r th e r , that this c r i te r i a s y s te m w ill pro v id e a ranking p r i o r i t y l i s t of p o t e n t i a l p u b lic a c c e s s s it e s w h ic h d o e s not a s s i g n d o l l a r v a l u e s to th e c o s t s and b e n e f i t s of e a c h s i t e b u t a s s i g n s t h e i r p r io r ity on th e b a s is of q u a lita tiv e c r i t e r i a . *W. J , D i x o n , e d . B M D - B i o m e d i c a l C o m p u t e r P r o g r a m s , U n i v e r s i t y of C a l i f o r n i a P u b l i c a t i o n s in A u t o m a t i c C o m p u t a t i o n N o . 2 ( B e r k e l e y ; l o s A n g e l e s : U n i v e r s i t y o f C a l i f o r n i a P r e s s , 1 9 6 8 ) . p . 5. 13 A s u b h y p o th e s i s of th is stu d y is th a t a r e l a t i o n s h i p e x i s t s b e ­ t w e e n t h e t o t a l a m o u n t of r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g a c t i v i t y t a k i n g p l a c e i n a g i v e n c o u n t y , a n d s p e c i f i c c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h a t c o u n t y ( t h e c o u n t y of d e s t i n a t i o n ) . A m u l t i p l e r e g r e s s i o n m o d e l w i l l b e u s e d to t e s t t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p an d id e n tif y " s i g n i f i c a n t p r e d i c t o r s " of r e c r e a t i o n a l boating. T h e d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e w i l l b e t h e n u m b e r of b o a t i n g d a y s w h ic h o c c u r r e d in th e c o u n ty in 1968. T he independent v a ria b le s i n c l u d e r e s o u r c e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e c o u n t y ( s u c h a s n u m b e r o f i n l a n d l a k e s , t o t a l l a k e a c r e a g e , a n d n u m b e r of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s ) and c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e p o p u l a t i o n of t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n ty ( s u c h as total population, population d e n sity , and d is p o s a b le incom e). A c o m p l e t e l i s t o f i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s i s p r e s e n t e d in A p p e n d i x 1. D e f i n i t i o n s U s e d in t h e S tu d y B oating Day F o r th e p u r p o s e s of th is s tu d y , a b o a tin g d a y w ill b e " e a c h p a r t d a y s p e n t b o a tin g " a s d e fin e d in th e M ic h i g a n R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a tin g N eeds Q u estio n n a ire. * T h is w ill be c o n s id e re d s y n o n o m o u s w ith " b o a t u s e - p e r i o d " a s u s e d by C h u b b (1967). 2 *See A ppendix 8 fo r the M ic h ig a n R e c r e a tio n a l B oating N e e d s Q u estio n n aire, 2 M ic h a e l C hubb, O u td o o r R e c r e a tio n P la n n in g in M ic h ig a n by a S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s A p p r o a c h P a r t III . T h e P r a c t i c a l A p p l i c a t i o n o f P r o g r a m R E C S Y S a n d S Y M A P . T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o . 12 ( L a n s i n g , M ic h ig a n : S t a t e R e s o u r c e P l a n n i n g P r o g r a m , M i c h i g a n D e p t, of C o m m e r c e , 1 9 6 7 ) . p p . 12 a n d 2 8 5 . 14 R eg istered Boat In M ic h ig a n , a r e g i s t e r e d b o a t is l e g a lly d e f in e d b y th e M a r i n e S a fe ty A c t of 1967 (A ct 3 0 3 , P . A. 1967)* a s a " m o t o r b o a t - - a n y v e s s e l p ro p e lle d by m a c h in e r y w h e th e r o r not m a c h in e r y is th e p r in c ip a l s o u r c e of p r o p u l s i o n . " A ll m o to rb o a ts m u s t be r e g i s t e r e d w ith the D e p a r t m e n t of S ta te and a s s i g n e d a b o a t r e g i s t r a t i o n n u m b e r . T hree p r o p u l s i o n c a t e g o r i e s a r e u s e d b y th e S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e - - i n b o a r d , o u tb o ard , and sailb o at. 12-20 fe e t, 20-30 feet, F i v e l e n g t h c l a s s e s a r e u s e d - - u n d e r 12 f e e t , 30-40 feet, a n d o v e r 40 f e e t ( s e e A p p e n d i x 9 f o r a t a b u l a t i o n o f r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s in M i c h i g a n a s o f D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 1 9 6 8 ). R ECSY S-SY M A P " R E C S Y S " is a s y s t e m s m o d e l f o r r e c r e a t i o n p l a n n i n g w h i c h uses an o r i g i n - d e s t i n a t i o n m a t r i x to s i m u l a t e and m e a s u r e th e l o c a ­ tio n an d a m o u n t of r e c r e a t i o n a c t i v i t y , boating. in th is c a s e r e c r e a t i o n a l C o u n t i e s a r e t h e o r i g i n and d e s t i n a t i o n u n i t s u s e d in t h i s s ta te w id e planning study. " S Y M A P " is th e s y n a g r a p h ic c o m p u t e r b a s e d m ap p in g p r o c e d u r e u s e d to p r o d u c e m a p s of th e d is tr ib u tio n of r e c re a tio n a l activity. ^M ichigan, 3 1 , p . 4. P u b l i c A c ts of 1 9 6 7 , A c t 303 S e c t i o n 6(c) a n d S e c tio n PPBS: - a c o m m o n ly u s e d a b b re v ia tio n f o r the P la n n in g - P r o g r a m m in g B udgeting S y ste m . A s y s t e m of f u n c t i o n a l a c c o u n t i n g w h e r e c o s t s a r e a s s i g n e d to th e p r o g r a m u n d e r w h i c h t h e y a c c r u e . E ntire p ro g ra m s can th en be p r o je c te d o r f o r e c a s te d into the fu tu r e and a lte r n a tiv e s exam ined, r a t h e r th a n e x a m in in g only o b j e c t s - o f - e x p e n d i t u r e o r lin e ite m budgets. C o m p le te p r o g r a m s can b e ev alu ated r a th e r than s e p a ra te m a te ria l c o s ts , labor c o s ts , a d m i n i s t r a t i v e c o s ts , etc. C o st-B en efit A n a ly sis: - a s y s te m for m e a s u rin g p ro je c t c o sts a g a in st p ro je c t benefits t o o b t a i n a n i n d e x of e c o n o m i c f e a s i b i l i t y . P ublic A ccess S ite : - a p u b licly ow ned p r o p e r ty , u s u a lly w ith r iv e r o r lake fro n ta g e , w h i c h i s d e v e l o p e d f o r t h e p u r p o s e of p r o v i d i n g a c c e s s t o t h e w a t e r s of th e S ta te . N o n -P aram etric: - literally non e q u a l i n t e r v a l. . d o e s not u s e e q u a l i n t e r v a ls . A s y s t e m of m e a s u r e m e n t th a t A ranking o r o rd in a l n u m b erin g s y s te m su ch a s a p r io r ity list o r a high school c la s s ran k in g list. 16 L im itations and A ssum ptions 1. G r e a t L a k e s and co n n ectin g w a te r s boating w e r e included in t h e a n a l y s i s b u t p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a w e r e d e r i v e d o n t h e b a s i s of in la n d la k e b o a tin g only. 2. U n r e g i s t e r e d b o a ts w e r e not c o n s id e r e d . T h is inclu d es can o es and o th e r n o n p o w ered c r a f t as w e ll as c r a ft w hich a r e p o w e re d but ille g a lly u n r e g is te r e d . An e s tim a te d 6 0 ,0 0 0 u n r e g is te r e d boats e x i s t i n M i c h* i. g a n . 1 3. B o a tin g u s e w a s s t u d i e d a t th e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n ty w h e r e it occurs. 4. T h e c r i t e r i a w e r e d ev e lo p e d fo r the public a c c e s s s ite p r o g r a m of th e W a t e r w a y s D iv i s i o n . O ther p r o g r a m c la s s e s such as the h a r b o r s - o f - r e f u g e p r o g r a m a n d th e s e a s o n a l m a r i n a p r o g r a m w e re not a p p lic a b le u n d e r th e s e c r i t e r i a . R e c o m m e n d a tio n s for a p p lic a tio n of c r i t e r i a to o t h e r p r o g r a m s a r e f o r w a r d e d . 5. T h e c r i t e r i a w e r e a p p l i e d t o a c q u i s i t i o n p r i o r i t i e s only.. D e v e l o p m e n t of n e w s i t e s o r r e d e v e l o p m e n t of e x i s t i n g s i t e s w i l l n e e d a d d itio n a l c r i t e r i a a lth o u g h the c r i t e r i a m a y o v e r la p . ^ R o n a ld K a i s e r , " A S tu d y of M u lt i p l e B o a t O w n e r s h i p in M ic h ig a n " (u n p u b lish ed M a s t e r 's T h e s i s , D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k and R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S ta te U n iv e r s ity , 1970), p. 52. T h is is a c o n s i d e r a b l e u n d e r e s t i m a t e s i n c e t h e s a m p l e w a s t a k e n f r o m r e g i s t e r e d b o a t o w n e r s , th u s e a c h of t h e s e 6 0 ,0 0 0 u n r e g i s t e r e d b o a ts r e p r e s e n ts a seco n d boat ow ned by th e s a m e p e r s o n . S econd, this e s tim a te d o e s not in clu d e ille g a lly u n r e g i s t e r e d b o a ts , that is , b o a ts w hich a r e p o w e re d and sh o u ld b e r e g i s t e r e d . C H A P T E R III T H E STUDY SETTIN G R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a tin g in M ic h ig a n R e c r e a t i o n a l b o a tin g h a s e x p a n d e d r a p i d l y in th e l a s t tw o decades. In th i s c o u n t r y it h a s d e v e l o p e d a t a m o r e r a p i d p a c e t h a n the tr a d itio n a l r e c r e a t i o n a c tiv itie s su c h as h u n tin g , fis h in g , and sw im m ing. T h e f i r s t i n d ic a to r w h i c h c a n b e u s e d to in d ic a te t h e g r o w th in b o a tin g is th e n u m b e r of b o a t s . T h e lo n g -te rm tre n d show s a g ro w th f r o m a n e s t i m a t e d 1 5 , 0 0 0 b o a t s in 1 9 0 4 to n a t i o n w i d e t o t a l o r 4 ,7 0 0 ,0 0 0 r e g i s t e r e d b o a ts in 1 9 6 8 .* r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t s in t h e U. M o r e r e c e n t l y , t h e n u m b e r of S. i s e s t i m a t e d t o h a v e i n c r e a s e d 1 2 0 p e r c e n t b e tw e e n 1950 and 1964, 2 T h e F e d e r a l B o a t i n g A c t of 1 9 6 5 n o w r e q u i r e s a l l b o a t s o v e r 10 h o r s e p o w e r t o b e r e g i s t e r e d w i t h t h e S t a t e ; h o w e v e r , som e states *U. S . , G r e a t L a k e s B a s i n C o m m i s s i o n . "G reat Lakes B asin F r a m e w o r k Study, A p p en d ix 9, R e c r e a t i o n N a v ig a tio n , " R ough d r a f t o f a r e p o r t b y t h e R e c r e a t i o n N a v i g a t i o n T a s k F o r c e t o t h e U. S . , G r e a t L a k e s B a s i n C o m m i s s i o n . D e c e m b e r , 1970 ( f r o m th e f i l e s of the M ich ig an S tate W a te rw a y s C o m m is s io n ) . 2 N a tio n a l A s s o c ia tio n of E n g in e and B o a t M a n u f a c tu r e r s a n d O u t b o a r d B o a t i n g C l u b of A m e r i c a , B o a t i n g 1 9 6 4 - - A S t a t i s t i c a l R e p o r t on A m e r i c a ' s T o p F a m i l y S p o r t (N ew Y o rk : N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n of E n g i n e a n d B o a t M a n u f a c t u r e r s a n d O u t b o a r d B o a t i n g C l u b of A m e r i c a . 17 18 r e g is te r o th er r e c r e a tio n a l w a te r c r a f t as w ell, canoes. In 1 9 6 8 , such as sa ilb o a ts and M ic h ig a n had th e g r e a t e s t n u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d w a t e r c r a f t in t h e n a tio n w i t h 4 3 8 ,0 0 0 .^ T h e g r o w t h in b o a t r e g i s t r a ­ tio n s in M i c h i g a n is r e p r e s e n t e d in t h e f o l l o w i n g g r a p h . The 3-year r e g i s t r a t i o n c y c l e m a k e s p r o je c t io n of i n t e r m e d i a t e y e a r s d if f ic u lt ( s e e F i g u r e 1). F o u r h u n d r e d t h i r t e e n t h o u s a n d o f t h e s e b o a t s a r e u n d e r 20 f e e t a n d a b o u t 2 4 , 0 0 0 u n d e r 2 0 f e e t - - r o u g h l y 17 t i m e s a s m a n y s m a l l e r boats. T h e s e a r e the b o a t s iz e s w h ic h a r e m o r e e a s i l y t r a i l e r e d and hence, lau n ch in g r a m p s a r e the p r i m e c o n s id e r a t i o n in p la n n in g f o r their u se. 20* c l a s s . S e v e n ty - e ig h t p e r c e n t of a ll t r a i l e r e d b o a t s f a ll in th e 12- 2 F o r t y - o n e p e r c e n t of a ll r e g i s t e r e d b o a t o w n e r s , a s u r p r i s i n g l y large num ber, ow ners. own m o r e th an o n e b o a t - - a b o u t 1 8 0 ,0 0 0 m u ltip le b o a t In a d d i t i o n , t h e n u m b e r of u n r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s is e s t i m a t e d to b e 6 0 , 000. 3 ^ M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of S t a t e , " S i z e a n d T y p e of R e g i s t e r e d B o a t s in M i c h i g a n C o u n t i e s , " L a n s i n g , M i c h i g a n , D e c e m b e r , 1 9 6 8 , p. 9 . (m im eographed) 2 R i c h a r d A. M e g a n c k , " R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a t T r a n s p o r t a t i o n in M ic h ig a n : A S tu d y of U s e P a t t e r n s a n d C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of B o a t e r s Who T r a n s p o r t T h e i r B o a t s " ( u n p u b lis h e d M a s t e r s T h e s i s , D e p a rtm e n t of P a r k and R e c re a tio n R e s o u r c e s , M ich ig an S tate U n i v e r s i t y , 1 9 7 1 ), p. 4 6 . 3 R o n a ld K a i s e r , " A Study of M u l t i p l e B o a t O w n e r s h i p in M ic h ig a n " (u n p u b lis h e d M a s t e r s T h e s i s , D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k and R e c r e a tio n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S ta te U n iv e r s ity , 1970), p. 51. 19 500,000 488 ,0 0 0 438, 000 3 9 8 ,0 0 0 400,000 365, 000 315 ,0 0 0 300,000 2 00,000 100,000 '57 '6 2 '6 5 '68 '7 1 F ig u r e 1 . - - M ic h ig a n B oat R e g i s t r a t i o n s - - 1957- 1971. Source: C o m p i l e d f r o m b o a t r e g i s t r a t i o n d a t a in t h e f i l e s of the M ic h ig a n S tate W a te rw a y s C o m m is s io n . 20 A n o th e r i n d ic a to r of th e i n c r e a s e in b o a tin g is th e g r o w in g n u m ­ b e r of p e o p le w ho a r e r e c r e a ti n g w ith b o a ts . 1964-1967, from th e n u m b e r of th e A m e r ic a n s b o a tin g i n c r e a s e d f r o m 38.5 m i l l i o n t o 41 m i l l i o n . * R ecreatio n , In t h r e e y e a r s , In 1 9 7 0 , t h e D i r e c t o r of t h e B u r e a u o f O u t d o o r G. D o u g la s Hofe, J r . , e s t i m a t e d t h a t o n e out of e v e r y f o u r A m e r i c a n s b o a t e d - - m o r e t h a n 50 m i l l i o n b o a t e r s . 2 A th ir d in d ic a to r of th e p o p u la rity of b o a tin g is th e w id e r a n g e of e c o n o m i c a n d s o c i a l c l a s s e s o f p e o p l e w h o a r e b o a t i n g . F o rty - t h r e e p e r c e n t o f b o a t t r a n s p o r t e r s in a 1 9 6 8 s t u d y o f M i c h i g a n b o a t e r s had in c o m e s u n d e r $ 1 0 ,0 0 0 . tion D e m a n d Study 4 3 . T h e 1966 M i c h i g a n O utdoor R e c r c a - p r e p a r e d fo r th e f i r s t M ic h ig a n O utdoor R e c r e a tio n P la n (using 1964 d a ta ) s h o w s 62. 1 p e r c e n t of M ic h ig a n b o a t e r s s tu d ie d had in c o m e s u n d e r $ 1 0 ,0 0 0 . sam pling m e th o d s, K a i s e r , u s i n g 1968 d a t a a n d d i f f e r e n t sh o w s 44. 6 p e r cen t of th e b o a t e r s s tu d ie d h ad in c o m e s u n d e r $ 1 0 ,0 0 0 ; h o w e v e r, a re d ifferen t. ^ the in c o m e b r e a k d o w n s h e u s e d T h e i m p o r t a n t p o i n t to c o n s i d e r is t h a t a b o u t 50 p e r c e n t i s a s i g n i f i c a n t p r o p o r t i o n o f b o a t e r s w i t h i n c o m e s Le ss t h a n $ 1 0 , 0 0 0 . ^ M e g a n c k , o p . c i t . , p. 30. ^G . D o u g la s H ofe, J r . , A d d r e s s to t h e N a tio n a l S y m p o s i u m on P a r k s , R e c r e a t i o n , an d E n v i r o n m e n t a l D e s i g n , C h ic a g o , F e b . 15, 1971. 3 M e g a n c k , l o c . c i t . , p. 30. 4 M i c h i g a n S t a t e U n i v e r s i t y , D e p a r t m e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p ­ m e n t, M ic h ig a n O u td o o r R e c r e a t i o n D e m a n d Study (L a n s in g , M ic h ig a n : S tate R e s o u r c e P la n n in g P r o g r a m , M ic h ig a n D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e , J u n e , 1 9 6 6 ) . V o l . I a n d I I. 5 K a i s e r , o p . c i t . , p. 28. 21 D em an d and Supply R e la tio n s h ip s T h e a b o v e d i s c u s s i o n is i l l u s t r a t i v e of th e g r o w th of p a r t i c i p a ­ tio n in b o a t i n g w i t h i n t h e G r e a t L a k e s b a s i n . It h a s e x p a n d e d r a p i d l y a n d it i s e x p e c t e d t o g r o w e v e n l a r g e r b y 1 9 8 0 a n d 2 0 0 0 . T o satisfy th e n e e d s of t h e s e b o a t e r s , p l a n n i n g of f a c i l i t i e s a n d m a n a g e m e n t is im portant. A d e q u a t e p r o j e c t i o n o f t h e s i z e of th e b o a t i n g f l e e t in t h e G re a t L a k e s and its t r ib u ta r ie s m u s t be d e v e lo p e d to p ro v id e need ed in f o r m a tio n on how m a n y f a c i l i t i e s a r e n e e d e d an d w h e r e th e y m u s t be built. T h i s is e s p e c i a l l y d i f f i c u l t b e c a u s e of t h e t r a n s f e r of d e m a n d for boating. P e o p l e d o not b o at s o le ly w h e r e th e y live. and v a c a t i o n m o b i l i t y m a k e r e c r e a t i o n p la n n in g d iff ic u lt. Boat tra ile rs F ifty -fiv e p e r c en t of M ich ig an b o at o w n e rs , fo r e x a m p le , tr a n s p o r te d th e ir b oat B in 1 9 6 8 . S e v e n t y - f i v e p e r c e n t of t h e s e u s e d a b o a t t r a i l e r a n d 25 p e r c e n t u s e d c a r t o p b o a t s . * It i s t h i s t i m e - d i s t a n c e f a c t o r o f b o a t i n g u s e a t v a r y i n g d i s t a n c e s f r o m m a j o r c e n t e r s of p o p u l a t i o n th a t c a u s e s t r a n s f e r of d e m a n d . w h e re th e people a r e . W a te r r e s o u r c e s a r e not a lw a y s T h e d e m a n d f o r b o atin g in I960 c o u ld be h a n d l e d m u c h m o r e e a s i l y if w e c o u l d t e l l t h e b o a t e r w h e r e h e m u s t b o a t in t h e r e g i o n , b u t in f a c t , w e m u s t s u p p ly f a c i l i t i e s w h e r e t h e b o ater n eed s them . ^ M e g a n c k , o p . c i t . , p . 54. 22 S tudies in d ic a te th at m o s t b o a te r s do not tr a v e l m o r e than one hour fro m h o m e fo r d a y - u s e boating. T h e p r o b le m is p ro v id in g re c re a tio n o p portunities w h e re people need th em , just av ailab le. In t h i s r e s p e c t , not w h e r e th e y a r e th e e m p h a s is on r e c r e a t i o n planning has chan g ed f r o m p ro v id in g th e m o s t f a c ilitie s at th e le a s t c o s t to p ro v id in g th e m o s t r e c r e a ti o n at th e le a s t co st. T h i s c h a n g e in a t t i ­ tu d e f o r c e s p l a n n e r s to m a k e b e t t e r c o s t - b e n e f i t d e c i s io n s and t h e r e ­ fo re s e rv e the b o a te r b e tte r. P e a k load is a n o th e r d iffic u lt p r o b l e m . E x trem ely heavy use o c c u r s on h o lid a y w e e k e n d s d u r in g th e s u m m e r . M e m o r ia l D ay, the F o u r t h of J u l y , a n d L a b o r D a y a r e h e a v i e s t u s e p e r i o d s o r p e a k - l o a d period s. D uring th e s u m m e r , t h r e e - d a y w e e k e n d s and n o r m a l tw o- d ay w e e k e n d s g e n e r a t e th e m a j o r i t y of u s e a t m a r i n a s an d p u b lic a c c e s s sites. A t s o m e l o c a t i o n s , a n e s t i m a t e d 75 p e r c e n t of u s e o c c u r s d u r in g w e e k e n d s w h ile w e e k d a y u s e is v e r y light. If f u t u r e i n c r e a s e s in b o a tin g p a r t i c i p a t i o n c o u ld b e s p r e a d to th e w e e k d a y s , th e p r e s e n t f a c i l i t i e s w o u ld b e b e t t e r a b l e to h a n d l e b o a tin g d e m a n d . L o o k in g a h e a d to th e f u t u r e , how do w e th e n m e e t t h i s u p s u r g e in b o a t i n g d e m a n d a n d its a s s o c i a t e d p r o b l e m s ? T h e q u e s t i o n is how to p la n r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a tin g f a c i l i t i e s f o r 1980 a n d 2000. F irst, a d e ta ile d a s s e s s m e n t of p r e s e n t r e c r e a t i o n f a c i l it i e s a n d t h e s u p p l y o f r e c r e a t i o n o p p o r t u n i t i e s Is n e c e s s a r y . Second, an a n a l y s i s of t h e c o m p o n e n t s of b o a tin g p a r t i c i p a t i o n is n e e d e d . These c o m p o n e n ts m u s t b e e x tr a p o la te d into th e f u tu r e to g e t an e s t i m a t e 23 of f u t u r e b o a t i n g d e m a n d . In o t h e r w o r d s , w e m u s t f in d o u t w h a t f a c to r s c a u s e in c r e a s e s in r e c r e a ti o n a l boating p a r tic ip a tio n , aB t h e i n c r e a s e d a c c e s s i b i l i t y of w a t e r , p o p u l a t i o n g r o w t h , d isp o sa b le in co m e, tim e. im p ro v ed tra n sp o rta tio n , such in creased or in creased leisu re T h e s e fa c to rs c a n b e looked at s e p a r a te ly to s e e w h e th e r th ey w ill i n c r e a s e in th e f u tu r e in a m a n n e r s i m i l a r to th e p a s t. T h i r d , w e m u s t c o m p a r e th e p r e s e n t s u p p ly of f a c i l i t i e s w ith the e x p e c t e d f u t u r e d e m a n d to g iv e a n u n d e r s t a n d i n g of p r o b a b l e n e e d s in t h e c o m i n g 1 0 - y e a r a n d 3 0 - y e a r p e r i o d ( 1 9 8 0 a n d 2 0 0 0 ) . From t h e s e c o m p a r i s o n s , w e c a n d e v e lo p a c o o r d in a te d p r o g r a m to fu lfill th e se need s by d ev elo p in g th e p o te n tia l supply w h ile a c c o u n tin g f o r th e p r o b le m s of boating p a r tic ip a tio n t r a n s f e r , p e a k u s e , and c h a n g e s in boating c h a r a c t e r is t i c s . T he A ccess P ro b lem In s p i t e of t h e f a c t t h a t M i c h i g a n h a s t h e l a r g e s t n u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s in t h e N a t i o n , a s w e l l a s a c o p i o u s s u p p l y o f w a t e r based re c re a tio n re so u rc e s, to t h e w a t e r . th e p r o b l e m f o r th e b o a t e r is how to g e t T h e p r i v i l e g e of u s in g w a t e r r e s o u r c e s in s t a t e s w ith a r i p a r i a n d o c t r i n e of w a t e r r i g h t s r e q u i r e s t h a t t h e u s e r o b t a i n o w n e r s h i p to t h e land w h i c h b o r d e r s t h e w a t e r . of t h e s t a t e a r e a p u b l i c r e s o u r c e , often in p r i v a t e o w n e r s h i p . t r e s p a s s on p r i v a t e land. A lthough th e w a te r s t h e Land b o r d e r i n g t h e w a t e r s i s T o o b t a i n " a c c e s s " t o t h e w a t e r is t o T herefore, the f i r s t and f o r e m o s t 24 r e q u i r e m e n t of a P u b lic A c c e s s S ite P r o g r a m is to p u r c h a s e p u b lic p r o p e r t y o n b o d i e s of w a t e r in th e s t a t e o r to u s e e x i s t i n g p u b l i c l y owned p r o p e r ty such a s sta te f o r e s ts and state p a r k s . T h e s e c o n d p a r t of t h e " a c c e s s p r o b l e m " is d e v e l o p m e n t . Once s u i t a b l e l a n d is in o w n e r s h i p b o r d e r i n g s u i t a b l e b o d i e s of w a t e r , t h e public m a y u s e th a t lan d to la u n c h b o a ts onto th e w a t e r . In t h e p a s t , a g r a v e l r o a d to th e l a k e an d a s m a l l lo a d of g r a v e l s p r e a d a t th e w a t e r 's e d g e w ould s u ffic e f o r th e b o a t e r to la u n c h h is s m a l l fish in g o r hunting b o a t. apparen t. F irst, But as b o atin g u s e in c r e a s e d , tw o p r o b le m s b e c a m e the l a r g e r , m otors b e c a m e com m on. tr a il e r e d b o a t w ith o u tb o a rd o r in b o ard L a u n c h in g r a m p s w e r e n e e d e d to allow p r o p e r l a u n c h i n g of t h e s e l a r g e r , h e a v i e r b o a ts a n d p a rk in g lots w e r e n ee d e d to p r e v e n t d e s t r u c t i o n o f the s it e . Second, th e lak es re c e iv e d m o r e b o a te r s w ith m o r e d iffe re n t r e c r e a tio n n e e d s so u s e r co n flicts and o v e rc ro w d in g a p p e a re d . F i s h e r m e n o b je c te d to high p o w e re d m o to r boats; w a te r s k ie r s e n d a n g e re d s c u b a d iv e rs ; litte r, n o ise and g a r b a g e of t h e b o a t e r s o f f e n d e d th e p r o p e r t y o w n e r s a r o u n d t h e la k e . T h e s e and a long l i s t of o t h e r c o n flic ts c r e a t e d th e " a c c e s s p r o b l e m . " B e c a u s e of th is g r o w in g d e m a n d f o r b o a tin g a n d th e a s s o c i a t e d boating p r o b l e m s , th e W a te r w a y s D iv isio n w as d i r e c t e d by th e S tate L e g i s l a t u r e in 1968 t o p u l l t o g e t h e r a l l r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r b o a tin g f r o m the s e v e r a l a g e n c ie s w ho su p p lied " a c c e s s " of one f o r m o r an o th er - th e G a m e D ivision, th e P a r k s D ivision, D ivision, and th e F is h D iv isio n . The F o restry T h e P u b lic A c c e s s Site P r o g r a m 25 w a s c r e a t e d a s a n a m a l g a m a t i o n of p r e v i o u s p r o g r a m s - - P u b li c F ish in g S ites, P u b lic H unting S ite s , S ta te P a r k B o a t L a u n c h in g S ite s , S tate F o r e s t C a m p g r o u n d S ite s , etc. Since m o s t r e g is te r e d b o ats u s e o u tb o ard o r in b o ard m o to rs , th e F e d e r a l H ig h w a y G a s T a x w a s i n v e s t i g a t e d a s a s o u r c e of f u n d s . W h e n t h e W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n w a s f i r s t e s t a b l i s h e d in 1947 to d e v e l o p r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g f a c i l i t i e s in t h e s t a t e , G as T a x m o n ie s w e r e a llo c a te d to b o atin g . l / 2 p e r c e n t of the T h e State L e g is la tu r e r a i s e d t h e a l l o c a t i o n to 1 l / 2 p e r c e n t in 1968 a n d t r a n s f e r r e d a d d i ­ tional fu n c tio n s to th e W a te rw a y s D iv isio n , th e m a jo r r e s p o n s i b il ity being th e P u b lic A c c e s s S ite P r o g r a m . T o p la n f o r f u t u r e b o a tin g n e e d s to i9 6 0 a n d 2000 th e u n u s u a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of th e s u p p ly m u s t b e e x a m in e d . p u b lic r i p a r i a n la n d is t h e i m p o r t a n t f a c t o r , T h e o w n e r s h i p of not ju s t th e su p p ly of w ater su rface. C r i t e r i a f o r s e le c tio n of th e s e p u b lic a c c e s s s ite s m u s t t h e r e ­ fo re ev o lv e th ro u g h a r e s e a r c h and planning f r a m e w o r k w hich c o n s i d e r s b o th th e u n u s u a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of th e s u p p ly a n d th e grow ing d e m a n d fo r th e s e r e c r e a ti o n a l boating fa c ilitie s . The m e t h o d o l o g y in t h i s s tu d y r e q u i r e d a n i n v e n t o r y o f a l l e x i s t i n g s i t e s a n d a q u a n t i f i c a t i o n of c r i t e r i a f o r p r i o r i t i e s of a c q u i s i t i o n f o r n ew sites. C H A P T E R IV E X P E R IM E N T A L A P P L IC A T IO N O F TE C H N IQ U E S D a ta C o l l e c t i o n and A n a ly s is T h e f i r s t p h a s e i n t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of t h e c r i t e r i a s y s t e m f o r public a c c e s s s it e s w a s th e P u b lic A c c e s s S ite In v e n to ry . In itially , the d a ta s o u r c e s and in d e e d th e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of p u b lic a c c e s s s ite s w ere sp read a c ro s s s e v e ra l ag en cies. A c o m p le te field in v en to ry of a l l p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s i n t h e r e g i o n a l a n d d i v i s i o n f i l e s w a s c a r r i e d o u t b y th e f i e l d p e r s o n n e l in e a c h r e g i o n . S o m e of th e s e in v e n to ry s h e e t s a r e s t i l l c o m i n g i n t o t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n o f f i c e a s a n old s i t e is r e d i s c o v e r e d o r a l e g a l d e s c r i p t i o n is c l e a r e d up. cases, In m a n y the f ilin g s y s t e m of the r e g i o n and t h e d i v i s i o n d i f f e r e d . assigned n u m b e rs w e re d ifferen t, The t h e s ite s w e r e not on b o th l i s t s , or the d e s c r i p t i o n a n d th e s u r v e y w e r e not c o m p l e t e . A filing s y s t e m and a m a s t e r l i s t of p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e w ith new a s s i g n e d n u m b e r s and c o m p l e t e d e s c r i p t i o n s w e r e p r e p a r e d to c o r r e l a t e a l l s e p a r a t e f i l e s f ro m th e th r e e re g io n a l offices o r f r o m o th e r D iv isio n s . T he m aster list w as th e n co d ed fo r d ev e lo p e d an d undeveloped s ite s ; r i v e r , lake o r G r e a t L a k e s s i t e s ; a n d f i n a l l y b y a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , w h e t h e r it w a s a 26 27 W aterw ay s D ivision, P a r k s D ivision, F o r e s t r y D ivision, or Gam e D iv is io n Site. T h e in f o r m a tio n on e a c h fie ld in v e n to r y w a s c o d e d a n d key p u n ch ed onto c a r d s . F u tu r e c o m p a r is o n s and a n a ly s is of the raw d a ta can now b e r e a d ily a c c o m p lis h e d u sin g th e r e m o t e t e r m i n a l fo r th e state c o m p u te r s y ste m . E a c h s ite w as c o lo r coded by a d m in is tr a tiv e a g e n c y and p lo tte d on c o u n ty m a p s . A ll s i t e s w e r e th e n r e m a p p e d an d r e n u m b e r e d o n to a c o m p l e t e s e t of c o u n ty m a p s a f t e r l e g a l d e s c r i p ­ tions and title s , tran sfers, acreages, etc. had b een ch e c k e d as c o m p le te ly as p o s s ib le th ro u g h L a n d s D iv isio n , T h e s e s te p s had to g e th e r p r o d u c e d a filing s y s t e m f o r p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s , l i s t o f s i t e s a n d a s e t of c o u n t y m a p s o f a l l s i t e s . a m aster F r o m this d ata, a m a p o f a l l t h e p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s i n M i c h i g a n ( s e e F i g u r e 2) w a s p r e p a r e d along w ith a c o u n ty by c o u n ty s t a t i s t i c a l s u m m a r y . In v i s u a l f o r m a t a n d in d a t a f o r m a t t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n c o u l d b e g i n to p i e c e t o g e t h e r t h e p a t t e r n s of d e v e l o p m e n t , p rio rite s had been. b e e x a m i n e d in t o t a l . F o r th e f i r s t tim e, and w h e re the B tate-w id e s itu a tio n c o u ld One th o u sa n d t h r e e h u n d re d p u blic a c c e s s s it e s e x i s t e d in M i c h i g a n , 9 6 8 w e r e a d m i n i s t e r e d b y t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n , 8 4 w e r e in s t a t e p a r k s , gam e areas. 131 i n s t a t e f o r e s t s a n d 1 9 4 in s t a t e T h e r e w e r e a n a d d i t i o n a l 41 s i t e s i n n a t i o n a l f o r e s t s . M o re im portant, th e s ite s w e r e a v a ila b le on o n e m a p to a s s e s s th e b a l a n c e a n d e x p r e s s i o n of p r e v i o u s p o l i c y . G en erally , th e policy could be s u m m a r iz e d a s p u rc h a s in g th e m o s t s ite s f o r the m o n e y . T his 28 wv F i g u r e 2 . - - P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e s In M i c h i g a n Source: C o m p ile d by th e W a te r w a y s D iv is io n f r o m th e public a c c e s s s ite in v en to ry . 29 m e a n t a g r e a t e r p r o p o r tio n of siteB P en in su la, in n o r t h e r n M i c h i g a n a n d t h e U p p e r a w a y f r o m d e v e l o p m e n t and h ig h land p r i c e s . C o m p a r in g th is d i s t r i b u t i o n to th e b o a tin g d e m a n d s itu a tio n p o in te d up th e d i s p a r i t y b e t w e e n s u p p ly a n d d e m a n d . T h e boating d e m a n d w a s h i g h in S o u t h e r n M i c h i g a n , t h e n u m b e r o f p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s w a s h ig h in N o r t h e r n M i c h i g a n . * A new p o l i c y w a s in o r d e r b a s e d on p u rc h a s in g the m o st boating u s e fo r the m o n ey . a c o s t e ffe c tiv e n e s s logic. F o r exam ple, This e n ta ile d ev en though land p r ic e s w e r e two o r t h r e e t i m e s h i g h e r in S o u t h e r n M ic h i g a n , s e v e n o r eight t i m e s as m an y b o a te r s could b e s e r v e d . T h e P u b l i c A c c e s s S ite I n v e n t o r y , th e n , w a s t h e f i r s t p h a s e in a n a l y s i s of t h e s u p p l y c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s - - w h a t f a c i l i t i e s w e r e a v a i l a b l e and w h a t n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s w e r e i m p o r t a n t . To c o m p le te this p ic tu r e , a s tu d y of t h e t o t a l r e s o u r c e p o t e n t i a l w a s n e e d e d . T h e 1 965 L a k e I n v e n t o r y , ^ f o r e x a m p l e , p r o d u c e d a s t a t i s t i c a l s u m m a r y of th e n u m b e r of t a k e s a n d l a k e a r e a s b y s i z e c l a s s i n M i c h i g a n . w a s r e f i n e d b y c o n c e n t r a t i n g o n a l l l a k e s o v e r 100 a c r e s . T his d a ta A l i s t of th e se individual la k e s w ith n a m e and a c r e a g e w as p r e p a r e d fo r each * M o st of th e o l d e r s i t e s d id not h a v e a w id e v a r i a t i o n in c a p a c i t y th u s a m a p of t h e s i t e d i s t r i b u t i o n w ill g i v e a g e n e r a l i m p r e s s i o n of the s i t e c a p a c i t y . N e w e r s i t e s , e s p e c i a l l y t h o s e in s o u t h e r n M ic h ig a n near u rb an a r e a s , have a la r g e r p ark in g capacity. A new m ap w hich plots c a p a c ity s ta te w id e sh o u ld b e d e v e lo p e d . 2 M ic h ig a n , D e p a r t m e n t of C o n s e r v a t io n , R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e Planning D iv isio n , " M ic h ig a n L a k e In v e n to ry . " ( U n p u b lish e d c o m p u te r t a b u l a t i o n s f r o m 1965 s u r v e y ) c o u n t y f r o m " L a k e s a n d P o n d s in M i c h i g a n " b y C . R . H um phrys. * T h e s e la k e s w e r e th e n r a n k e d by s i z e in e a c h c o u n ty ( s e e A p p e n d ix 12). Of t h e a p p r o x i m a t e l y 7 , 6 0 0 l a k e s i n M i c h i g a n o v e r f i v e a c r e B , a b o u t 1 , 0 0 0 a r e o v e r 1 0 0 a c r e s a n d c o n v e r s e l y a b o u t 100 a r e o v e r 1,000 a c r e s . T h e s e 1,000 lakes a r e a b a s ic r e s o u r c e fo r fu tu re boating p o te n tia l. T h e c r i t e r i a B ystem fo r se le c tin g lak es r e q u ire d t h e c o m p i l a t i o n o f t h i s m a s t e r l i s t o f a l l l a k e s o v e r 100 a c r e s t o p r o d u c e a f i n a l l i s t o f e l i g i b l e l a k e s . ( s e e F i g u r e 3). A n o t h e r c o n s i d e r a t i o n f o r f u t u r e p l a n n i n g i s t h e s e p a r a t i o n of all the public a c c e s s s ite s into g r e a t la k e , r i v e r , sites. T h is h a s not b e e n a c c o m p l i s h e d to d a te . and inland lake B a s e m a p s of M ic h ig a n w ith t h e s e r e s o u r c e s plo tted on th r e e s e p a r a t e m a p s at the s a m e s c a l e w e r e n o t a v a i l a b l e in t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s h o w e v e r , th e G r e a t L a k e s B a s i n C o m m i s s i o n h a d c o m p l e t e d a s e t of m ap s fo r th e g r e a t la k e s d r a in a g e w h ic h included a ll of M ic h ig a n . T h e s e t h r e e - c o l o r m a p s w e r e p rin te d w ith s e p a r a t e n e g a tiv e s fo r riv ers, g r e a t la k e s , and inland la k e s. and r e p r o d u c e d onto m y la r s e g m e n ts . T he n eg ativ es w e r e obtained T h e s e s e g m e n ts m u st be fitted to g e th e r and p h o t o g r a p h ic a l ly r e p r o d u c e d onto o n e l a r g e m y l a r s h e e t f o r e a c h b a s e m a p t o c o m p l e t e t h i s p h a s e of t h e p r o j e c t . or b lu ep rin t copies can be ru n fro m th e m a s te r . T h e n ozalid W hen th e se th re e s e t s of m a p s a r e c o m p l e t e d a t th e s a m e s c a l e , o v e r l a y s of r i v e r , *C. R. H u m p h r y s L a k e s and P o n d s in M i c h i g a n ( F a s t L a n s i n g , M i c h i g a n : D e p a r t m e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p m e n t , 1965). 31 g r e a t la k e s and in la n d lake p u b lic a c c e s s s ite s c a n b e m a p p e d fo r s e p a r a te p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a a n d s e p a r a te p r o g r a m planning fo r each of t h e s e d i f f e r i n g r e s o u r c e s . A n o th e r p h a s e of stu d y in v o lv e d th e G r e a t L a k e s b o a tin g facilities. T h e W a te rw a y s D iv is io n c o n tr a c te d w ith th e R e c re a tio n R e s e a r c h a n d P l a n n i n g Unit a t M ic h i g a n S t a t e U n i v e r s i t y to c a r r y o u t a f i e l d i n v e n t o r y of G r e a t L a k e s m a r i n a s . F r o m this in v en to ry , t h e n e c e s s a r y d a t a w a s a v a i l a b l e to d e v e l o p a l i s t i n g of m a r i n a s on th e G r e a t L a k e s , a d a t a s u m m a r y of b r o a d s i d e m o o r i n g , slip m ooring an d to t a l m o o r i n g c a p a c i t y b y c o u n ty , a n d f i n a l l y a m a p of r e c r e a t i o n a l h a r b o r s in M i c h i g a n w ith t o t a l m o o r i n g c a p a c i t y . T he next m a jo r s e g m e n t o r p h a s e w as th e public a c c e s s site p ro g ra m statem en t. T hese step s w ere, of c o u r s e , not happening s e q u e n tia lly but r a t h e r c o n c u r r e n tly a s the study p r o g r e s s e d . The p r o g r a m s t a t e m e n t f o r p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s w a s b r o u g h t a b o u t by the m o r a to r iu m on a c q u is itio n f r o m th e G o v e r n o r 's office. tim e, P r i o r t o thiB t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n h a d b e e n m e e t i n g w i t h t h e B u r e a u of t h e B u d g e t to e s t a b l i s h p r o g r a m g u i d e l i n e s f o r s u b m i s s i o n o f b u d g e t s to the E x e c u tiv e O ffic e . T h e m o r a to r iu m on a c q u is itio n put th is effort into h igh g e a r s i n c e th e r e q u i r e m e n t f o r e n d in g th e m o r a t o r i u m w a s a c o m p l e t e s t a t e m e n t of p r o g r a m p r i o r i t i e s a n d p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a . E i g h t p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a w e r e f i r s t s u b m i t t e d a n d p u b l i c h e a r i n g s on th e s e c r i t e r i a w e r e held at s e v e r a l lo c a tio n s a ro u n d th e S tate. th e public h e a rin g r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s and s u g g e s tio n s , tw o m o r e F rom 32 m 4 ^ / ,^ C F i g u r e 3 . - - M ic h ig a n 's L a r g e r In lan d L a k e s Source: A d a p te d f r o m b a s e m a p s u s e d in th e O ffice of P lan n in g S e rv ic e s , M ich ig an O u td o o r R e c re a tio n P l a n 1 9 7 0 . V o l . 1. c h a p . 4. 33 c r ite r ia w ere added. T h is p o lic y f r a m e w o r k of te n p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a f o r a c q u i s i t i o n a n d d e v e l o p m e n t of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s w e r e f o r w a r d e d t o t h e W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n f o r a p p r o v a l a n d t h e n to t h e G o v e r n o r ' s O ffice. lifted. O n t h e b a s i s of t h e s e p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a , The need re m a in e d , how ever, th e m o ra to r iu m w as to o p e r a tio n a liz e t h e s e c r i t e r i a into a f r a m e w o r k th a t c o u ld h e lp u s d e c i d e w h ic h la k e s w e r e to be s e le c te d for public acceSB s ite s , and w h e r e th e boatin g c a p a c ity should be in creased . A v e r y i m p o r t a n t a n d v e r y L a rg e p h a s e in t h e s tu d y w a s b a s i c a iiy a t h e o r e t i c a l m o d e l c o n s i d e r a t i o n , to e x a m i n e t h e 1968 a n d 1930 b o a t i n g d e m a n d d a t a w h i c h c a m e f r o m a l o n g s e r i e s of b o a t i n g s t u d i e s g o in g b a c k to t h e 1964 M i c h i g a n O u t d o o r R e c r e a t i o n D e m a n d S t u d y . * In 1 9 6 6 , t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n c o n t r a c t e d w i t h A r t h u r D. L ittle, In c . , c o n s u l t a n t , f o r a f o r e c a s t of t h e r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g f l e e t by 1980 u s in g a g g r e g a t e d e m a n d to f o r e c a s t f l e e t s i z e . 2 O a k w o o d and C h u b b c r i t i c i z e d t h i s p l a n n i n g m e t h o d o l o g y in a s p e c i a l r e p o r t 3 and c o n seq u en tly th e s y s te m s a n a ly s is a p p r o a c h using R E C S Y S -S Y M A P w as developed. 4 The s y s te m s an aly sis ap p ro ach has been rep eated t h r e e t i m e s in s t u d i e s of b o a t i n g u s e in M ic h i g a n ; t h e e x p l o r a t o r y ^ M ic h ig a n S ta te U n iv e r s ity , D e p a r tm e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e lo p ­ m e n t, io c . cit. Z M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of C o n s e r v a t i o n , W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n loc. c it. 3 O akw ood and C h u b b , lo c . cit. 4 C hubb, loc. cit. 34 s t u d y u s e d 1 9 6 5 d a t a , a r e s t u d y u s e d 1968 d a t a a n d t h e t h i r d s t u d y c u r r e n t l y i n p r o g r e s s u s e s 1971 d a t a . T h is s e r i e s of s tu d ie s p r o d u c e d th e 1968 a n d 1980 B o a t i n g D e m a n d m a p s w h i c h p e r m i t t e d i n v e s t i g a t i o n of p a t t e r n s o f b o a t i n g u s e in t h e s t a t e . T his is b a s ic a lly an o rig in - d e s t i n a t i o n m o d e l w h i c h u s e s an a t t r a c t i o n in d e x a t th e d e s t i n a t i o n to pull p e o p l e o u t of t h e o r i g i n w h e r e t h e y live, a lo n g s p e c i f i e d t r a n s p o r ­ tatio n links to th e ir b o atin g d e s tin a tio n . T h e p o p u la tio n of th e o r ig i n c o u n tie s , along w ith o th e r d e m a n d f a c t o r s s u c h a s l e i s u r e , and m o b i l i t y , a r e th e n p r o j e c t e d to 1980, incom e, T h e e s t i m a t e d n u m b e r of b o a tin g d a y s p r o d u c e d b y t h e o r i g i n c o u n t i e s in 1980 a r e r a t i o n e d o u t to t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t i e s o n t h e b a s i s of t h e a t t r a c t i o n i n d e x of e a c h d e s tin a tio n co unty and th e e x p e c te d t r a n s p o r t a t i o n im p r o v e m e n ts by 1980. O n e i m p o r t a n t r e s e a r c h c o n c e p t t o b e f o r w a r d e d in t h i s t h e s i s is t h a t t h e l o c a t i o n o f b o a t i n g u s e s h o u l d b e t h e f o c u s f o r s t a t e w i d e planning. T h e f o l l o w i n g m a p ( F i g u r e 4) f r o m t h e R E C S Y S - S Y M A P m e t h o d i l l u s t r a t e s n o t o n l y h o w m a n y b o a t i n g d a y s o c c u r in M i c h i g a n , but a ls o w h e r e they o c c u r , in w h a t c o u n t i e s a n d a r o u n d w h a t r e s o u r c e s . T h i s t y p e of i n f o r m a t i o n is v e r y n e c e s s a r y f o r p l a n n i n g f u t u r e boating p r o g r a m s . P r o j e c t i o n s to 1980 f o r e x a m p l e , m u s t t a k e into a cco u n t th e g e n e r a l s h ift to G r e a t L a k e s b o a tin g . how ever, T he im p o rtan t focus should not r e s t s o le ly on s ta te w id e p r o je c tio n s . T h e county b y c o u n t y f o r m a t of t h e R E C S Y S - S Y M A P m o d e l i s n e c e s s a r y t o b r e a k up t h e g e n e r a l i z e d d e m a n d m o d e l i n t o d i s c r e t e l o c a t i o n u n i t s . 35 IT 'O O * I -*•*00'* tfO O N - „ t^rtrsnntci A ft -44*00* - LlSC*C - or kmt ?t OVt f* rs ICO ACRE'* V LMArOF/; JM Pun Lie HEARINGS igao P A S tl)?1 BOATING DEMAND O P ’O i N DC FiCLD 'NVENTQP* AND I Tin *T IO N NLLMu SS'UN VANlAfU | S S'ONffiC ANl PPf D'C TQPi | M A C t N i l U L ’L A C O U ' S i I iQ S A P P t i C A T i Q N L> 1M. LW i’ f K * C c | P F .E 5 E R V A T IO N Li j > OF LAHt 6 .--H ow |4 i RESOURCE ANTICIPATED UiE K tgurn C P lT E P l* i L iijilU t LA*t S in v e s t To a TTo n C h a r i « f S t r p * In D a t a A n a l y a l a a n d C r i t e r i a A p p l i c a t i o n 47 T a b i c 3 - - S t e p s in D a t a C o l l e c t i o n and A n a l y s i s T a s k o r E v e n t i n t h e P r o g r e s s i o n o f th e S t u d y 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 P u b lic A c c e s s Site Inventory F ilin g s y s t e m for p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s M a s t e r l i s t of s i t e s Set of c o u n ty m aps of a ll s i t e s M a p of a l l p u b l i c a c c e s s s it e B in M i c h i g a n Data s u m m a r y by co u n ty L a k e s b y s i z e c l a s s in e a c h c o u n t y L i s t o f a l l l a k e s o v e r 100 a c r e s b y n a m e and b y c o u n t y G r e a t L a k e s , r i v e r a nd in la n d l a k e b a s e m a p s F i e l d i n v e n t o r y of m a r i n a s D a t a s u m m a r y of m o o r a g e by c o u n t y M ap of r e c r e a t i o n a l h a r b o r s G o v e r n o r ' s m o r a t o r i u m and p u b l i c h e a r i n g s on a c q u i s i t i o n of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s P ublic A c c e s s Site P r o g r a m S ta tem en t 1968 B o a t i n g D e m a n d Study 1968 a nd 1 9 8 0 b o a t i n g d e m a n d m a p s R e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s of d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t y c h a r a c t e r ­ istics S e l e c t i o n of t h e p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a f o r a c q u i s i t i o n a . M a g n i t u d e of a n t i c i p a t e d u s e b. R e s o u r c e p r e s e r v a t i o n and c r e a t i o n D e m a n d c o r r e l a t e d w i t h s u p p l y in e a c h c o u n t y ( P a r k i n g s p a c e s n e e d e d b y 1 9 8 0 c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e n u m b e r of l a k e s in e a c h s i z e c l a s s by c o u n t y ) D e m a n d c o r r e l a t e d w i t h s u p p l y in e a c h p l a n n i n g r e g i o n H ig h p r i o r i t y l a k e s s e l e c t e d f o r f i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n CHAPTER V R E S U L T S AN D L I M I T A T I O N S OF E X P E R IM E N T A L APPLICA TIO NS A nalysis of the R e su lts T h e f i r s t run of t h e r e g r e s s i o n m o d e l i n d i c a t e d t h e b a s i c f a c ­ t o r s of i m p o r t a n c e in t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t i e s t o b e (1) m o o r i n g (the to t a l n u m b e r of p u b l i c and p r i v a t e b o a t w e l l s in t h e c o u n t y ) , (2) a n g l e r d a y s (the t o t a l n u m b e r of d a y s of in l a n d f i s h i n g s p e n t in e a c h c o u n t y in 1 9 7 0 ) , * (3) th e n u m b e r of s e a s o n a l h o m e s in t h e c o u n t y (a s d e f i n e d by t h e C e n s u s 1 97 0 A d v a n c e R e p o r t S e r i e s H C ), and (4) t h e t o t a l a c r e s of l a k e s u r f a c e in t h e c o u n t y ( f r o m the 1 96 5 l a k e i n v e n t o r y ) . These f o u r f a c t o r s t o g e t h e r h a v e a m u l t i p l e c o e f f i c i e n t of d e t e r m i n a t i o n (R^) of . 8 5 5 8 ; that i s , t h e y e x p l a i n 85 p e r c e n t of t h e v a r i a n c e of b o a t ­ ing d a y s a m o n g c o u n t i e s in M i c h i g a n ( s e e T a b l e 4 ). T h e f i r s t run o f t h e m o d e l i d e n t i f i e d t h e b a s i c f a c t o r s of i m p o r ­ ta n ce but s e v e r a l r e f i n e m e n t s w e r e n e c e s s a r y . F i r s t , the o v e r ­ w h e l m i n g i m p o r t a n c e of m o o r i n g m a y h a v e b e e n m a s k i n g t h e e f f e c t of o th e r s i g n i f i c a n t t h o u g h l e s s i m p o r t a n t v a r i a b l e s s o a ne w a n a l y s i s elim inating m oorin g w a s run. * C o h o s a l m o n f i s h i n g s t u d i e s w e r e not c o m p l e t e at t h e t i m e of t h e i i r s t r u n . A s t h e d a t a on C o h o f i s h i n g b e c o m e s a v a i l a b l e , it w i l l b e k e y p u n c h e d i n t o t h e f i l e and r u n on f u t u r e r e g r e s s i o n s . 48 Table 4 - - S u m m a r y Table BMD-02R Stepw ise R e g r e s s i o n Step Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 V a r ia b le a Entered Removed Moor Ang Dy Homes Acres Income Pu Cmp Park 400 K P r Cmp PAS 100 K Pop/Bo Pop Lakes S tr eam Boats 1000 K 15 11 10 2 7 13 4 17 14 3 16 12 6 1 9 5 18 Multiple*3 R RSQ 0.7204 0.9129 0.9215 0 .9 2 5 1 0.9283 0.9298 0.9315 0.9325 0.9337 0.9347 0 .9 3 5 5 0.9367 0.9383 0.9389 0 .9 3 9 8 0 .9 40 1 0.9402 0.5190 0.8333 0 .8 4 9 1 0.8558 0.8617 0.8645 0.8676 0.8695 0.8718 0.8736 0.8752 0.8773 0.8805 0.8815 0.8832 0.8837 0.8840 Increase** in RSQ 0.5190 0.3143 0.0158 0.0067 0.0059 0.0028 0.0 0 31 0.0019 0.0023 0.0018 0.0016 0 .0 0 2 1 0.0032 0 .0 0 1 1 0.0017 0.0005 0.0002 F Value to Enter** or R e m o ve 87.4129 1 5 0 .81 0 6 8.2613 3 .6131 3 .2 8 9 0 1. 5 760 1.7775 1 .0 65 7 1.3034 1 .0 4 1 3 0 .9 1 3 8 1. 1986 1 .8 2 1 7 0.6075 0.9713 0.2970 0.1265 Number of Independent V aria bles Included 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 £ V a r ia b le s used in r e g r e s s i o n a re d e s c r i b e d in Appendix 1. ^Dixon, W, J. , ed. BM P - B io m e d ic a l Computer P r o g r a m , p. 5 and S n ed ec o r , G. W. , Stati stical M e t h o d s, p. 132 - explains the u s e of R^ and F values in determ ining the effect of independent v a r ia b le s on the dependent v a r i a b l e s . 50 S i n c e m o o r i n g d a t a is e n t i r e l y a s s o c i a t e d w i t h G r e a t L a k e s b o a t i n g , it p o i n t s up t h e need f o r s e p a r a t i o n of G r e a t L a k e s b o a t i n g and inland l a k e b o a t i n g w h ic h i s no t p r e s e n t l y a v a i l a b l e f o r d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t i e s in t h e 1968 B o a t i n g D e m a n d Study. A much c le a r e r picture of b o a tin g d e t e r m i n a n t s w i l l r e s u l t if s e p a r a t e r e g r e s s i o n s c a n b e run for inland and G r e a t L a k e s b o a t i n g . S e c o n d , th e c o r r e l a t i o n m a t r i x i d e n t i f i e d s e v e r a l i n d e p e n d e n t v a r ia b le s w hich w e r e i n t e r - c o r r e l a t e d . A b a sic assum p tion n e c e s s a r y to m u l t i p l e r e g r e s s i o n is that t h e X v a r i a b l e s a r e i n d e p e n d e n t of e a c h other; t h e y c a n n o t b e h i g h l y i n t e r - c o r r e l a t e d o r t h e R in fla ted . 2 v a l u e w i l l be E a c h i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e e x p l a i n s p a r t of the v a r i a n c e and they a r e add ed up t o e x p l a i n a l a r g e r p o r t i o n of t h e v a r i a n c e ; in t h i s c a s e , th e f o u r m a j o r v a r i a b l e s e x p l a i n 85 p e r c e n t . If t h e y a r e i n t e r - c o r r e l a t e d t h e y a r e e x p l a i n i n g t h e s a m e v a r i a n c e t w i c e , t h u s in f l a t in g the m u l t i p l e c o e f f i c i e n t of d e t e r m i n a t i o n . To c o r r e c t this, th ese v a r i a b l e s w e r e e n t e r e d s e p a r a t e l y in f u t u r e r u n s . T h i r d , t h e c o v a r i a n c e m a t r i x had s e v e r a l o v e r f l o w f i e l d s ; t h e n u m b e r s w e r e t o o l a r g e to fit into t h e c a p a c i t y of t h e c o m p u t e r to p r i n t the m a t r i x . T o c o r r e c t t h i s , t h e l a r g e r v a r i a b l e s w e r e d i v i d e d b y 100 and r e s e t in t h e e q u a t i o n a s t r a n s f o r m e d v a r i a b l e s (T v a r i a b l e s ) . T h e s e c o n d and t h i r d r uns of t h e r e g r e s s i o n w it h o u t m o o r i n g , and a g a i n w i t h o u t m o o r i n g and a n g l e r d a y s , p r o d u c e d t h e f o l l o w i n g 51 r e s u l t s . ^ " B o a t s ” (t he n u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s in t h e c o u n t r y ) "p ublic c a m p s i t e s " (the n u m b e r o f c a m p s i t e s in t h e c o u n t y at s t a t e p a r k s , s t a t e f o r e s t s , n a t i o n a l f o r e s t s , e t c . ) " l a k e a c r e s , " and " i n c o m e " ( e f f e c t i v e buying i n c o m e p e r h o u s e h o l d in t h e c o u n t y a s r e p o r t e d by Sales M a n a g em en t M agazine) w e r e the four m o s t im portant v a r ia b le s 2 p r o d u c i n g a c o e f f i c i e n t of m u l t i p l e d e t e r m i n a t i o n (R ) of . 5448 to e x p l a i n about 55 p e r c e n t o f th e v a r i a n c e . In s u m m a r y , the v a r i a b l e s w h ic h h a v e b e e n i d e n t i f i e d in th e s e v e r a l r e g r e s s i o n s a s " s i g n i f i c a n t p r e d i c t o r s " of b o a t i n g d e m a n d in t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t i e s a r e aa follow s: 1. M ooring f a c ilit ie s 2. N u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s 3. Num ber of angler days 4. N u m b e r of s e a s o n a l h o m e B 5. A c r e s of l a k e s u r f a c e 6. N u m b e r of p u b l i c c a m p s i t e s 7. D isp o sa b le incom e 8. P a r k i n g s p a c e s at p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s ( T h i s v a r i a b l e w a s a l w a y s t h e next to e n t e r th e e q u a t i o n a l t h o u g h it a c c o u n t e d f o r a v e r y s m a l l a m o u n t of t h e v a r i a n c e , ) *A f o u r t h and f i f t h run at t h e m o d e l u s i n g t r a n s f o r m e d v a r i a b l e s , d i f f e r e n t g r o u p s of v a r i a b l e s and a c o m p l e t e l y d i f f e r e n t r e g r e s s i o n r o u t i n e (BASIS: S T E P R P a g e s 9 - 2 1 in B u r r o u g h s A d v a n c e d S t a t i s t i c a l Inquiry S y s t e m ) p r o d u c e d s i m i l a r r e s u l t s t o t h o s e d e s c r i b e d h e r e f o r the B M D 02R R o u t i n e . T h e n e x t q u e s t i o n i s t h e r e l e v a n c e of t h e i m p o r t a n t r e g r e s s i o n v a r i ­ a b le s to inland la k e public a c c e s s s i t e s w h ic h a r c under in v e s t ig a t io n . M o o r i n g f a c i l i t i e s w i l l not e n t e r t h e c r i t e r i a f o r t h i s p r o g r a m e v a l u a ­ tion although th ey w i l l be c o n s i d e r e d fo r other p r o g r a m s su ch as e v a l u a t i o n of H a r b o r s - o f - R e f u g e and t h e G r e a t L a k e s L a u n c h i n g R a m p Program s. S e a s o n a l h o m e s w i l l not b e c o n s i d e r e d b e c a u s e t h e y a r e private fa c ilitie s . T h e a s s u m p t i o n u n d e r l y i n g t h e 198 0 d e m a n d p r o ­ j e c t i o n i s t h a t t h e p u b l i c t o p r i v a t e r a t i o w i l l r e m a i n t h e s a m e a s it w a s in 1 9 6 8 . * T h i s l e a v e s r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s , a n g l e r d a y s , la k e a c r e s , p u b l i c c a m p s i t e s , d i s p o s a b l e i n c o m e , and p a r k i n g s p a c e s at p u b l i c a c c e s s B i t e s aB r e l e v a n t v a r i a b l e s t o c o m p a r e t o t h e p u b l i c a c c e s s site c riter ia . J u s t a s s o m e of t h e r e g r e s s i o n v a r i a b l e s d o not a p p l y to i n l a n d l a k e s , s o not a l l of t h e p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e c r i t e r i a a p p ly t o a c q u i s i t i o n . S o m e of t h e c r i t e r i a a p p ly to d e s i g n and d e v e l o p m e n t o f t h e s i t e , n o t to t h e s e l e c t i o n p r o c e s s f o r a c q u i s i t i o n . t h e m a r e a p p l i c a b l e to a c q u i s i t i o n . Of t h e t e n c r i t e r i a , s i x o f T he follow in g d ia g r a m lists th e s i x i m p o r t a n t r e g r e s s i o n v a r i a b l e s and the s i x a c q u i s i t i o n c r i t e r i a . T he lin e s in d ic a te w h ic h r e g r e s s i o n v a r ia b le m o s t fu lly a p p lie s to e a c h c r i t e r i a ( s e e F i g u r e 7). P u b lic a c c e s s s ite u s e stu d ies a r e p r e s e n t ly being fo rm u la te d in s p e c i f i c c o u n t i e s t o d e t e r m i n e t h e p e r c e n t o f p u b l i c a c c e s s b o a t i n g v e r su s p r iv a te boating. Inland Lake R e g r e s s i o n V ar iables Public A c c e s s Site Acqu is ition C r ite r ia *■ Magnitude of Anticipated use 1. R e g i s t e r e d Boats 2. Angler Days Resource Preservation 3. Lake A c r e s • F e a s i b i l i t y of Acqu isition 4. Public C a m p s it e s • Cost E f f e c t i v e n e s s 5. D i sp o sa b le Income • Equitable Distribution 6. Parking Spaces • Quality of E x p er ie n c e F i g u r e 7 - -Application of R e g r e s s i o n V a r iables to Acquisition C r i te r i a , 54 A p plication of the C r i t e r i a T h e t w o c r i t e r i a u s e d f o r t h e i n i t i a l l i s t of e l i g i b l e l a k e s a r e " m a g n i t u d e o f a n t i c i p a t e d u s e " w h i c h c a n b e c o n s i d e r e d an i n d e x of d e m a n d , and " r e s o u r c e p r e s e n t a t i o n and c r e a t i o n " w h i c h c a n b e c o n ­ s i d e r e d an i n d e x of s u p p l y . The rem a in in g c r it e r ia w ill be applied and s c o r e d in a f i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n o f e l i g i b l e l a k e s . 1. M a g n i t u d e of a n t i c i p a t e d u s e . E a c h p l a n n i n g r e g i o n w i l l b e r a n k e d a c c o r d i n g to the a d d i t i o n a l p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e c a p a c i t y n e e d e d to m e e t t h e 1 9 8 0 b o a t i n g d e m a n d . ( S e e A p p e n d i x 11 f o r a m a p o f t h e o f f i c i a l st a t e planning r e g i o n s . ) 19 68 B o a t i n g D a y s _ 1968 P a r k i n g C a p a c i t y 1980 B oating D ays 1980 P a r k in g C a p a c it y and 1980 ^ o980 1980 P P aa rr kk ii nn gs C C aa n p aa cc ii tt vy -- f1 9 6 8 P a r( lk9i6ngg ) B a t i n Boatjn&Dajra), g Days) and N u m b e r of a d d i t i o n a l s p a c e s = (1 9 8 0 P a r k i n g ) - (19 6 8 P a r k i n g ) n e e d e d b y 1 98 0 2. R e s o u r c e p r e s e r v a t i o n and c r e a t i o n . T h e l a k e s in e a c h p l a n n i n g r e g i o n w i l l b e r a n k e d by s i z e c l a s s and c a r r y i n g c a p a c i t y s t a n d a r d s . T h e 1980 a n t i c i ­ p a t e d p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y r e q u i r e m e n t w i l l b e f i l l e d f r o m top r a n k i n g l a k e s f i r s t and d o w n t o s m a l l e r s i z e c l a s s e s u n t i l 1980 r e q u ir e m e n ts a re m et. L a k e s up t o 159 a c r e s in s i z e : One s i t e w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y n o t t o e x c e e d 10 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 160 t o 2 4 9 a c r e s in s i z e : O ne s i t e w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y f o r up t o 15 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . 55 L a k e s 2 5 0 to 3 99 a c r e s in s i z e : One s i t e w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y f o r up to 35 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 4 0 0 to 5 9 9 a c r e s in s i z e : One s i t e w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y f o r up t o 75 c a r s a nd t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 6 0 0 t o 9 9 9 a c r e s in s i z e : O ne s i t e w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y fo r up to 100 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 1 , 0 0 0 to 1 0 , 0 0 0 a c r e s in s i z e : T w o s i t e s , e a c h w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y f o r up to 100 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . L a k e s o v e r 1 0 , 0 0 0 a c r e s in s i z e : T h r e e s i t e s , e a c h w i t h p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y f o r up t o 100 c a r s and t r a i l e r s . If 198 0 d e m a n d is n o t m e t b y t h e a v a i l a b l e l a k e s w i t h i n t h e p l a n n i n g r e g i o n , th e r e m a i n i n g u n f i l l e d d e m a n d w i l l b e t r a n s f e r r e d t o l a k e s in t h e c o n t i g u o u s p l a n n i n g r e g i o n s a f t e r they have fu lfilled their in tern a l dem and r e q u ir e m e n t s . T he l i s t of l a k e s s o i d e n t i f i e d in e a c h p l a n n i n g r e g i o n w i l l b e s u b ­ m i t t e d f o r f i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n and s c o r i n g o n t h e b a s i s o f t h e rem aining c r ite r ia . 3. F e a s i b i l i t y of a c q u i s it i o n . If n o p r o p e r t y i s a v a i l a b l e on a h i g h p r i o r i t y l a k e w i t h o u t c o n d e m n a t i o n , o r if t h e l e g i s l a t u r e h a s c u t t h i s l a k e f r o m t h e l a k e l i s t , t h e n e x t l a k e on t h e l i s t w i l l t a k e i t s p l a c e in p r i o r i t y . T h i s c r i t e r i a w i l l b e a y e s o r no c o n s i d e r a t i o n , 4. E quitable d istrib u tio n . E ach lake w i l l be g iv e n a 1 -3 rating b a sed on the fo llo w in g consid eration s: 3 “ th e n e e d f o r a d d i t i o n a l b o a t i n g f a c i l i t i e s i s a c u t e in this a r e a (within l / 2 hour t r a v e l t im e ) . 2 = the a r e a n e e d s a d d itio n a l f a c i l it i e s to h a n d le fu tu re use. 1 = th e re a r e other fa c ilitie s nearby. 5. I n c r e a s e d s a t is f a c t io n or qu ality of e x p e r i e n c e . 3 = T h i s i s a h i g h q u a l i t y l a k e f o r f i s h i n g a nd b o a t i n g . 2 = T his is a m e d iu m quality la k e for fish in g or boating. 56 1 = T h i s l a k e is not a h i g h q u a l i t y f i s h i n g o r b o a t i n g l a k e . It i s s h a l l o w , m u d d y , p o o r f i s h i n g , not b o a t a b l e or p o llu ted , etc. 6. Cost e ffe c tiv e n e ss. 3 = Cost lake 2 = Cost also 1 = Cost Lake i s v e r y l o w c o n s i d e r i n g t h e n u m b e r of b o a t e r s t h i s w ill se rv e . m a y b e h i g h , but t h e n u m b e r o f b o a t e r s s e r v e d i s v e r y high. i s v e r y h i g h r e l a t i v e t o t h e n u m b e r of b o a t e r s t h i s w ill se r v e . County V e r s u s P lanning R e g io n A p p ro ach In th e f i r s t a t t e m p t s a t s e l e c t i n g s i t e s , a c o u n t y by c o u n t y b a s i s was used. T h e c o u n t i e s w e r e r a n k e d by t h e n u m b e r of b o a t i n g d a y s in 1968 and a List o f l a k e s o v e r 10 0 a c r e s in e a c h c o u n t y w a s p r e p a r e d ( s e e A ppendix 12). T h e r e a r e s l i g h t l y m o r e t h a n 1 , 0 0 0 l a k e s in M i c h i g a n o v e r 100 a c r e s in s i z e , th u s t h e t a s k o f p r e p a r i n g a l i s t o f t h e s e l a k e s o v e r 100 a c r e s w a s f o r m i d a b l e . T h e 1968 b o a t i n g d e m a n d w a s t h e n c o m p a r e d t o t h e 1 9 8 0 b o a t i n g d e m a n d s i m u l a t e d in t h e RECSYS m odel. T h e p e r c e n t of i n c r e a s e in b o a t i n g w a s c o m p a r e d to the n u m b e r of e x i s t i n g a c c e s s s i t e s and m o r e i m p o r t a n t l y , the ex istin g c a p a c ity of s i t e s fo r handling boating u s e . T h e n u m b e r of a d d i t i o n a l p a r k i n g s p a c e s n e e d e d b y 19 8 0 w a s c a l c u l a t e d b y t h e f o r m u l a d e s c r i b e d in t h e d i s c u s s a i o n of c r i t e r i a n u m b e r o n e , " m a g n i ­ t u d e of a n t i c i p a t e d u s e . " T h e a s s u m p t i o n i s m a d e h e r e that t h e p u b l i c t o p r i v a t e r a t i o w i l l r e m a i n th e s a m e ; th a t i s , if b o a t i n g d e m a n d i n c r e a s e s 10 p e r c e n t f r o m 1968 t o 1 9 8 0 , t h e n t h e p u b l i c s u p p l y s h o u l d b e i n c r e a s e d b y t e n p e r cent. F o r e x a m p l e , if a c o u n t y h a s a p r e s e n t c a p a c i t y o f 2 0 0 parking s p a c e s at public a c c e s s s i t e s , it w o u l d n e e d 220 s p a c e s by 1 9 8 0 , p ro v id in g that th e p u b lic is p r e s e n t l y bein g a d e q u a t e ly s e r v e d and th a t the p u b l i c t o p r i v a t e r a t i o d o e s n o t c h a n g e in th e c o u n t y , t h u s p u t t in g m o r e o r l e s s r e s p o n s i b i l i t y o n t h e p u b l i c s e c t o r to f i l l t h e recreation dem and. T h e s e a s s u m p t io n s need fu r th e r in v e stig a tio n . F i r s t , a Btudy o f l a t e n t d e m a n d m a y s h o w t h a t m a n y p o t e n t i a l u s e r s a r e not now b e i n g s e r v e d , a nd s e c o n d , a s t u d y of p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e u s e m a y c l a r i f y e x a c t l y how m a n y boating d a y s a r e g e n e r a t e d by e a c h public a c c e s s s i t e o r ea ch parkin g s p a c e at a public a c c e s s s i t e . A u s e s t u d y of s e l e c t e d a c c e s s s i t e s in M i c h i g a n is p r e s e n t l y b e i n g p r o ­ p o s e d u s i n g t r a f f i c c o u n t e r s and q u e s t i o n n a i r e s a m p l i n g at t h e s i t e . R e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g r e s e a r c h i s h a m p e r e d by t h e l a c k o f a t t e n d a n c e d a t a that o t h e r a r e a s s u c h a s s t a t e p a r k s o r s t a t e f o r e s t c a m p g r o u n d s have collected for m any y e a r s . W ith in t h e s e a s s u m p t i o n s , t h e n u m b e r o f p a r k i n g s p a c e s n e e d e d b y 1 98 0 w a s c a l c u l a t e d f o r s e v e r a l c o u n t i e s . T h is need w a s then c o m p a r e d t o t h e l a k e l i s t f o r t h e s e c o u n t i e s and in s o m e c a s e s t h e s u p p l y of l a k e s w a s i n a d e q u a t e t o m e e t f u t u r e n e e d s . T h u s, to sa tisfy the d em and f o r boating by 1 980, this n e e d is s p r e a d to c o n tig u o u s counties. T h e d i f f i c u l t y o f s p r e a d i n g t h i s e x c e s s n e e d , in o t h e r w o r d s t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s of t r a n s f e r o f d e m a n d , r e q u i r e d a p l a n n i n g r e g i o n 58 approach. T h e " m a g n i t u d e o f a n t i c i p a t e d u s e " and t h e " r e s o u r c e p r e s e r v a tio n " c o m p u ta tio n s w e r e t h e r e f o r e r e d o n e by planning r e g io n a s s h o w n in T a b l e 5 . T h i s e x a m p l e p r o v i d e s s o m e i n s i g h t s in t o t h e p r o b l e m s a s s o c i ­ ated w i t h a n o n p a r a m e t r i c o r r a n k i n g p r i o r i t y s y s t e m . In the f i r s t a t t e m p t at a c o u n t y b y c o u n t y s y s t e m , t h e p r o b l e m s o f w h a t t h e s i z e of the p l a n n i n g a r e a s h o u l d b e a r c a m p l y i l l u s t r a t e d . T h e planning r e g i o n s o f the s t a t e m o r e c l o s e l y p a r a l l e l t h e 1/ 2 h o u r s t i m e d i s t a n c e a r e a a r o u n d a m a j o r u r b a n a r e a , t h u s , a w o r k a b l e s o l u t i o n is a v a i l a b l e to 1980. Another i n t e r e s t i n g o b s e r v a t i o n of the public a c c e s s s it e s y s t e m r e l a t i v e to o t h e r r e c r e a t i o n s y s t e m s i s t h e f r a c t i o n a l i z e d u n its of access sites. T h e y a r e s m a l l , l e s s e x p e n s i v e , and l o c a t e d in m a n y p l a c e s w i t h i n a g i v e n r e g i o n , w i t h s o m e c o n s t r a i n t s d u e t o the a m o u n t and l o c a t i o n of w a t e r in t h e r e g i o n . T h i s i s in c o n t r a s t t o n a t u r a l a r e a s o r p a r k s w h i c h c o m e in l a r g e , r a t h e r e x p e n s i v e p a r c e l s l o c a t e d w here c i r c u m s t a n c e s h a ve left la r g e r e s o u r c e a r e a s intact. These l a r g e r p a r k s e x h i b i t a " c h u n k i n e s s " * of i n v e s t m e n t a nd l o c a t i o n w h i c h differs f r o m public a c c e s s s i t e s . A l a s t and v e r y i m p o r t a n t m e a s u r e m e n t c o n s i d e r a t i o n i s t h e w e i g h t i n g of e a c h of t h e s e p a r a t e c r i t e r i a . A s y s t e m w h ich s c o r e s *F or a d i s c u s s i o n of in v e stm e n t "chunkiness" s e e W erner H ir sc h " P r o g r a m B u d g e t f o r N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e A c t i v i t i e s " in P r o g r a m B u d g e t i n g - P r o g r a m A n a l y s i s a nd t h e F e d e r a l B u d g e t . D a v i d N o v i c k ed. W a s h i n g t o n , D. C . , G o v e r n m e n t P r i n t i n g Off i c e , ' 1 9 6 5 . pp. 2 1 8 23 6. Table 5 - -B oa tin g Days and Parking Capacity by Planning Region Planning Region 1 47 50 58 63 74 81 82 Livingston Macomb Monroe Oakland St. Clair Washtenaw Wayne 1968a Boat Days 1980a Boat Days 1968 Parking Spaces 264,384 773,654 1 83 ,4 7 9 6 4 3 ,5 6 2 5 66 ,0 0 8 173,529 7 18 ,2 5 1 3,322,867 3 4 2 ,2 7 7 9 5 0 ,5 2 5 217,389 3 4 5 ,9 1 0 7 9 7 ,9 8 2 2 1 6 ,6 3 0 1,004,749 4, 3 7 5 ,4 6 2 754 1980 Parking Spaces 993 Region 2 30 38 46 H illsd a le 138,311 18 6 ,1 7 0 Jackson 258,467 3 5 7 ,4 8 6 Lenawee______________ 138,311___________1 86 ,1 7 0_______________________________ 5 3 5 ,0 8 9 7 2 9 ,8 2 6 118 161 Region 3 8 12 13 39 75 Barry Branch Calhoun Kala m azoo St. J o s e p h 286, 345 357,524 157,091 2 9 6 ,7 3 6 157,091 296,736 1 13 ,5 7 8 133,144 186, 628__________ 250, 410 9 0 0 ,7 3 3 1,334,550 893 1 ,3 2 3 Table 5 --C ontinued Planning Region 4 11 14 80 Berrien Cass Van Buren 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days 1968 Park ing Spaces 1980 Parking Spaces 13 4 ,4 5 9 121,263 186 ,6 2 8 2 5 0 ,4 1 0 21 3 .0 91 ___________ 2 8 9 ,6 7 1 _________________________________ 534,178 752,344 655 922 Region 5 25 44 78 Genesee Lapeer Shiawassee 1 2 8 ,6 7 3 171,968 1 2 8 ,5 7 3 171,968 16,001___________ 10,171 273,147 3 5 4 ,1 0 7 73 95 Region 6 19 23 33 Clinton Eaton Ingham 5,473 6,163 2 8 ,2 6 9 15,648 2 8 ,2 6 9 ____________ 15, 648________________________________ 6 2 ,0 1 1 37,464 41 25 Region 7 A 9 29 37 Bay Gratiot Isabella 1 0 9 ,0 4 4 5,473 3 7 ,1 3 5 135,104 6,1 6 8 24,290 T able 5 --Continued Planning Region 7 A 56 73 Midland Saginaw 1968 Parking Sp aces 1980 Parking Spaces Additional Parking Needed 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days 4 2 ,7 2 8 15,5 2 3 209,903 2 9 ,0 1 2 2 6 .1 3 6 2 2 0 ,7 1 0 70 74 4 86,289 3 6 ,4 7 3 28,860 1 51 ,6 2 2 88,942 37,1 35 38,242 1 64 ,3 1 9 8 9 1 6 1 ,0 9 3 1 63 ,7 4 7 163 ,7 4 7 2 1 0 ,2 7 8 59,074 3 6 6 .4 3 3 1,024,372 102,051 2 4 6 ,8 1 6 2 4 6 ,8 1 6 166 ,9 4 7 93,832 7 41 ,0 9 8 1,597,560 337 526 189 Region 7B 32 76 79 Huron Sanilac Tu scola Region 7C 6 18 26 35 65 72 Arenac Clare Gladwin Iosco Ogemaw Roscommon T able 5 --Continued Planning Region 8 A 3 34 41 59 61 70 Allegan Ionia Kent Montcalm Muskegon Ottawa 1980 Parking Space s 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days 1968 Parking Spaces 1 73,4 09 89.625 2 1 3 ,5 8 1 8 9 .6 2 5 2 2 6 ,8 1 8 255,355 1,048,413 265,420 1 10 .7 6 0 2 5 2 ,8 6 9 1 1 0 .7 6 0 3 1 4 ,4 1 4 318,9 01 1,373,124 511 669 7 3,4 0 8 1 1 0 ,5 4 6 1 1 0 ,2 9 3 230,463 68,373 1 1 0 ,2 9 3 703,376 82,459 2 3 1 ,2 5 8 158 .0 4 9 3 2 9 ,2 9 5 92,458 1 5 8 .0 4 9 1,052,198 1,162 1,7 3 8 109 ,7 0 6 139,831 280,449 2 3 7 ,4 5 1 1 86 ,9 7 7 4 4 3 ,5 6 6 Region 8B 43 53 54 62 64 67 Lake M ason M ec o sta Newago Oceana Oscealo Region 9 1 4 16 Alcona Alpena Cheboygan Table 5 - -Continued Planning Region 9 20 60 68 69 71 Crawford M ontmorency Oscoda Otsego P r e s q u e I s le 1968 Boat Days 53,347 88,103 59,074 34,387 18 ,9 8 2 7 8 3 ,8 7 9 1980 Boat Days 1968 Parking Sp ace s 1980 Parking Sp aces 3 5 ,8 6 8 100 ,9 9 0 93,832 4 5 ,3 9 0 2 6, 731__________________________________ 1,170,805 1 ,1 0 8 1 ,6 5 5 Region 10 5 10 15 24 28 40 45 51 57 83 A ntrim B enzie C harlevoix Em m et Grand T r a v e r s e Kalkaska Leelanau M anistee M is s a u k e e Wexford 164,859 17 6 ,2 77 121 ,7 1 2 1 0 4 ,7 5 9 292,999 4 1 ,8 4 8 1 02 ,0 2 3 2 83 ,2 6 1 4 1,8 4 8 82,556 1,412,142 3 02,8 51 308,929 208,740 7 4,24 1 5 3 8 ,4 7 8 44, 787 191,858 474,210 44,787 12 1.52 7 2,310,408 1,183 1 ,9 3 5 T a b l e 5 - - C o n t in u e d 17 48 49 1968 Park ing Spaces 1980 Parking Sp aces Additional Parking Needed 37 Planning Region 11 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days Chippewa Luce Mackinac 1 6 1 ,0 8 0 3 0 ,2 0 0 1 30 .6 3 9 321,919 1 1 9 ,8 4 6 7 ,0 9 0 2 3 2 .5 1 6 359,452 316 353 6 5 ,3 4 6 32,235 57,265 154 ,8 4 6 4 0 ,6 4 3 28,529 2 5 .8 9 8 95,070 660 405 47,28 1 3 4 ,3 8 7 1 0 3 ,2 9 3 1 84,9 61 28,313 1 9 ,8 3 4 1 5 3 ,2 5 6 2 0 1 ,4 0 3 631 687 Region 12 21 55 77 Delta M en o m in ee Schoolcraft Region 13 2 22 52 Alger Dickenson Marquette 56 T a b l e 5 - - C o n t in u e d Planning Region 14 7 27 31 36 42 66 Baraga Gogebic Houghton Iron Keeweenaw Ontanogon 1980 Parking Spaces Additional Parking Need ed 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days 4 3 ,3 3 5 37,740 5 3 ,6 3 2 63,163 39,344 2 6 .4 4 9 263,663 6 3 ,1 6 1 41,112 73,981 85,610 10,8 68 2 6 ,8 3 8 301,570 378 432 54 11,887,121 16,430,374 8,898 12,0 0 2 3, 375 Planning Region 1 2 3 4 5 6 7A 7B 7C 8A 8B 1968 Parking Spaces 3,322,867 535,089 900,733 534,178 273,147 62 ,0 1 1 209,903 1 5 1 ,6 2 2 1,024,372 1, 048 , 413 703,376 4,375,462 729,826 1 , 3 3 4 , 550 752,344 3 5 4 ,1 0 7 37,464 2 2 0 ,7 1 0 1 64 ,3 1 9 1,597,560 1 , 3 7 3 , 124 1,052,198 1968 Capacity 1980 Capacity 754 118 893 655 73 41 70 8 337 511 1 ,1 6 2 993 161 1 ,3 2 3 922 95 25 74 9 526 669 1 ,7 3 8 Additional Capacity 239 43 430 267 22 4 1 189 158 576 Table 5 --C ontinued Planning Region 9 10 11 12 13 14 Additional Capacity 1968 Boat Days 1980 Boat Days 1968 Capacity 1980 Capacity 783,879 1,412,142 3 2 1 ,9 1 9 1 5 4 ,8 4 6 184,961 263,663 1,170,805 2,310,408 359,452 95,070 201,403 3 0 1 ,5 7 0 1,108 1,183 316 660 631 378 1 ,6 55 1 ,9 35 353 405 687 432 547 752 37 1 1 ,8 8 7 , 1 2 1 16,430,374 8,898 1 2 ,0 0 2 3 ,3 7 5 56 54 1968 and 1980 boat days taken f r o m p r e li m in a r y tabular data of the ” 1968 Boating Demand Study” R e c r e a t i o n R e s e a r c h and Planning Unit, Michigan State U n iv e r sity . The 1968 data is b a sed on the q u estio n na ir e sa m p le while the 1980 boat days a r e e s t i m a t e d through the u s e of computer simulation. e a c h c r i t e r i a o n a 3 , 2, 1 r a n k i n g b a s i s iB e s s e n t i a l l y a s s u m i n g t h a t all c r i t e r i a a r e of equal w e ig h t. It i s t o b e e m p h a s i z e d t h a t t h e c r i ­ t e r i a s i m p l y p r e s e n t a m e a n s of a r r i v i n g a t s y s t e m a t i z e d j u d g m e n t for s e le c tin g high p r io r ity p r o je c t s . T h e s y s te m does not o ffer a m a g ic a l m a th e m a tic a l f o r m u la fo r a r r iv in g at in fallibly c o r r e c t s o lu ­ tio n s, b u t r a t h e r is intended to b e a to o l w hich w ill f a c i l it a t e and r e q u i r e t h e a p p l i c a t i o n of o r g a n i z e d t h i n k i n g , re le v a n t s o u rc e s of in fo rm atio n . and o r d e r l y u s e of all T he s y s t e m sh o u ld e n a b le an y tw o or m o r e e q u a lly w e l l - i n f o r m e d d e c is io n m a k e r s to a r r i v e a t s i m i l a r d e c i s i o n s on a s c r i e s of c a s e s . At t h e v e r y l e a s t , it s h o u l d s u p p l y th e m e a n s f o r c l e a r e x p l a n a t i o n a s to t h e b a s i s f o r a n y p a r t i c u l a r d e c i s i o n , and t h e c o n s e q u e n c e of th a t d e c i s i o n . A p ro je c t w hich e v e r y ­ o n e k n o w s is a g o o d p r o j e c t s h o u l d n o t b e d i s c a r d e d b e c a u s e i t d o c s not f it a r ig i d c r i t e r i a s y s t e m . C o n v ersely , n e g a t i v e e f f e c t s of a p r o j e c t Bhould b e c o u n t e d e v e n t h o u g h e x p l i c i t c r i t e r i a d o n o t e x i s t for n e g a tiv e e ffe c ts . Staff ju d g m e n t s h o u ld b e c o n s i d e r e d a t a ll t i m e s f o r s p e c i a l f a c t o r s o r e x c e p t i o n a l w e i g h t i n g of c e r t a i n c r i t e r i a . ThiB is a p o l i t i c a l l y s e n s i t i v e a r e a , how ever. T h e logic behind p r o g r a m p la n n in g an d p r o j e c t c r i t e r i a is o fte n m o r e fo r th e " e x p l a i n a b ility ” to th e p u b lic and f o r j u s t i f i c a t i o n of p r o j e c t s th a n f o r s y s ­ te m a tiz e d judgm ent. M ore and m ore, th e p u b lic and often th e policy m a k e r s w ant a s y s t e m that a s s ig n s a s c o r e on a n a lm o s t m e c h a n iz e d b a s i s a n d t e l l s u s w h i c h p r o j e c t is b e s t . The v ery re a l im p o rtan ce 68 o f s t a f f j u d g m e n t is d e e m p h a s i z e d . T h is w ill only le a d to in flex ib le c r i te r i a w hich m ay o v erlo o k tru ly o u tstan d in g p ro je c ts or r e s o u r c e s w h i c h c a n n o t s c o r e h i g h b e c a u s e of t h e i r u n i q u e n e s s . P lanning R egion Tw o a s an E x a m p le In o r d e r t o d e m o n s t r a t e t h e a p p l i c a t i o n o f t h e c r i t e r i a . R egion Two, P lanning c o n s i s t i n g of H il l s d a l e , J a c k s o n and L e n a w e e c o u n t i e s , w ill be u sed as an e x a m p le . lakes for H illsd a le , ( S e c A p p e n d i x 12 f o r t h e c o u n t y l i s t s of L e n a w e e and J a c k s o n county. ) T h e six c r i t e r i a a r e ap p lied on a s te p - b y - s t e p b a s is u sin g the d a ta c o lle c te d f o r this planning re g io n . T h e s a m e m e t h o d o l o g y c a n b e u t i l i z e d in e a c h p l a n ­ ning r e g i o n of th e s ta t e . T he fin a l r e s u l t of the a p p lic a tio n of su ch a m e th o d o lo g y is a l i s t of la k e s w h e r e p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s s h o u ld b e p u r c h a s e d , h o w m a n y p a r k i n g s p a c e s a r c a l l o w e d o n e a c h l a k e , a n d if no p r o p e r t y is a v a i l a b l e o n th e h i g h e s t p r i o r i t y l a k e s , w h ic h o t h e r lakes m ay th en be se le c te d . 1. M a g n itu d e of a n tic ip a te d u s e . 1 9 6 8 B o a t i n g D a y s _ 1968 P a r k i n g C a p a c i t y 1980 B o a tin g D a y s 1980 P a r k i n g C a p a c i t y "7 2 9 ! 8 2 6 = X = 161, 1980 P a r k i n g C a p a c ity 1980 P a r k i n g - 1968 P a r k i n g = N u m b e r o f a d d i t i o n a l s p a c e s n e e d e d by 1980 161 - 118 = 4 3 a d d i t i o n a l s p a c e s n e e d e d in p lan n in g R eg io n T w o 69 2. R e so u rc e p re se rv a tio n and c re a tio n . L a k e s u p to 159 a c r e s in size: One s ite w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity n o t t o e x c e e d 10 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 160 to 2 4 9 a c r e s in s i z e : One s ite w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 15 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 250 to 399 a c r e s in s i z e : One s i t e w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 35 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 400 to 599 a c r e s in s i z e : One s ite w ith p a rk in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 75 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 600 to 999 a c r e s in b i z e : One s i t e w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 100 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s , L a k e s 1 , 0 0 0 to 1 0 , 0 0 0 a c r e s in s iz e : L ak es o v e r 10,000 a c r e s in s iz e : Two s ite s , each w ith parking c a p a c i t y f o r up to 100 c a r s a n d tra ile rs. T h re e s ite s , each w ith parking c a p a c i t y f o r up t o 100 c a r s a n d tra ile rs. T a b l e 6 - - L a k e s in P l a n n i n g R e g i o n T w o P o ssib le N um ber of S i t e s an d P a r k i n g C ap acity C ounty Lake Nam e H illsdale Leann 48 5 1 -75 Baw beese 329 1 -35 Long 213 1 -15 + Cub 128 1 -10 + Bear 117 1-10 + B ird 113 1-10 + Lenawee Lake A cres D evils 1, 330 2 -100*+ Round 515 1 -75 Sand 440 1 -75 + 70 T ab le 6 --C o ntin ued C ounty Lake N am e Lenawee Evans 201 1-15 G oose 200 1-15 P o s ey 150 1-10 C olum bia 800 1-100 Jackson M ich. C en ter Lake A cres P o ssible N um ber of S ite s a n d P a r k i n g C a p a c i ty 730 1-100* P o r t a g e (Big) 531 1-75* V ineyard L a k e s 505 1-75 C lark 470 1-75 W am plers 440 1-75* Goose 378 1-35 W olf 355 1 -35 G illett 340 1-35 G rass 326 1-35 P leasan t 268 1-35 B row ns 210 1-15 F arew ell 195 1-15 Stony 175 1-15 P o r ta g e (L ittle) 174 1-15 M id 171 1-15 N a rv e ll M ill Pond 154 1-15 V andercook 144 1-10 B rill 142 1-10 Mud 140 1-10 C lear 137 1-10 Round 137 1-10 A ckerson 130 1-10 W elch 106 1-10 71 T ab le 6 --C ontinued P o ssib le N um ber of S i te s and P a r k i n g C ap acity C ounty Lake N am e Jackson Sweezey 105 1-10 No N am e 100 1-10 Lake A cres 26-855 T h e s e L a k e s w ill b e S e le c te d fo r F ie ld Investigation 1, 3 3 0 D evils 2-100^ C olum bia 500 1 -75 Round 515 1-75 V ineyard 500 1-75 Leann 485 1 -75 C lark 470 1 -75 ♦ In d ic a te s th e r e is a lr e a d y a s ite o n th is la k e . ♦♦Two site s p re se n tly . 3. F e a s i b i l i t y of a c q u i s i t i o n . L akes L eann and C o lu m b ia h av e been e lim in a te d f r o m c o n ­ s id e ra tio n by the L e g is la tu re . D evils Round 2 V ineyard C lark 2 2 2 4. E quitable d istrib u tio n 1 5. Q u a lity of e x p e r i e n c e 3 3 3 6. C ost effectiveness 2_ 3_ 2_ 6 8 7 7 72 A s i t e w o u l d b e r e c o m m e n d e d f o r p u r c h a s e o n R o u n d L a k e if t h e fie ld in v e s tig a tio n t e a m o r th e L a n d s D iv is io n c a n find a s u ita b le s i t e fo r sale. If n o t , V in e y a rd an d C la r k L a k e w ould b e c o n s id e r e d . F r o m this e x am p le, it c a n b e o b s e r v e d t h a t t h e n u m b e r of l a k e s u n d er c o n s id e r a tio n has b e e n d r a s ti c a ll y re d u c e d f r o m the ex istin g 38 l a k e s o v e r 1 0 0 a c r e s t o t h e 6 l a k e s w h i c h w i l l b e s e l e c t e d f o r f i e l d investigation. T h e s e le c tio n p r o c e s s h a s p in p o in ted the h ig h e r p r io r ity la k e s o t h a t t h e f ie ld i n v e s t i g a t i o n w i l l b e of m a n a g e a b l e p r o p o r t i o n s . P r e v i o u s m e t h o d s u s e d in t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n r e l i e d o n t h e r e g i o n a l f ie ld s u p e r v i s o r t o s u b m i t l a k e s in h i s r e g i o n w h i c h h e t h i n k s should h a v e a p u b l ic a c c e s s s ite . W hen s u ita b le p r o p e r t i e s c o m e up for s a le on th e s e la k e s , th e y a r e p u r c h a s e d and d e v e lo p e d until the b u d g e t f o r th a t f i s c a l y e a r h a s b e e n u s e d up. d e n t in t h i s m e t h o d . F irst, Tw o p ro b le m s a r e e v i­ t h e s e l e c t i o n of l a k e s is e n t i r e l y le f t to th e j u d g m e n t of t h e r e g i o n a l s u p e r v i s o r in c o n s u l t a t i o n w i t h t h e d i r e c t o r a n d s e c o n d , th e n e e d s of e a c h r e g i o n a r e not b a l a n c e d a g a i n s t the p r e s e n t a n d f u tu r e b o a tin g d e m a n d b u t a g a in s t th e b u d g e t a llo c a tio n to each r e g io n . T h is b u d g e t a llo c a tio n to b e s u r e , u sed th e b e s t ju d g ­ m e n t of t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n , b u t i t w a s n o t b a s e d o n d a t a w h i c h could d e m o n s t r a t e th a t f o r e a c h d o lla r s p e n t, th e D iv is io n w ould m a x im iz e th e n u m b e r of b o a tin g d a y s s e r v e d . W h ile it is o b v io u s t h a t th is e x a m p l e s i m p l i f i e s th e f ie ld i n v e s t i ­ g a t i o n p r o c e s s f r o m 38 t o 6 l a k e s a n d i t r e p l a c e s a j u d g m e n t o r i e n t e d process for a d ata based p ro c e ss , t h e r e is a l s o a l e s s o b v io u s 73 a d v a n ta g e of th is s e l e c t i o n p r o c e s s : I t b a l a n c e s t h e b o a t i n g d e m a n d in th is p l a n n i n g r e g i o n a g a i n s t th e b o a t i n g d e m a n d of a l l o t h e r p la n n i n g reg io n s in the s ta te . T h u s o n l y 6 l a k e s m a y b e i n v e s t i g a t e d o u t o f 38 in t h i s p l a n n i n g r e g i o n w h e r e i n a n o t h e r p l a n n i n g r e g i o n , b e s e l e c t e d o u t o f o n l y 30 l a k e s o v e r 100 a c r e s . 12 l a k e s m a y The boating d e m a n d , no t t h e b u d g e t , d e t e r m i n e s h o w m a n y l a k e s a r e s e l e c t e d . The budget c a n l a t e r b e u s e d to s e l e c t ho w m u c h of t h e d e m a n d c a n b e m e t w i t h i n fiscal c o n s tra in ts . T h i s w ill g iv e a m e a s u r e of how w e l l th e n e e d s of the b o a t e r s a r e b e in g m e t by th e b u d g e t. T h is se le c tio n p r o c e s s th e r e f o r e m e e ts th e g u id elin es set up by the M ic h ig a n S ta te W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n in t e r m s of a c q u i s it i o n criteria. T h e m a g n i t u d e of a n t i c i p a t e d u s e h a s b e e n m e a s u r e d a g a i n s t r e s o u r c e p r e s e r v a t i o n to p r o d u c e a s y s t e m w h ic h e m p h a s iz e s th e eq u itable d is tr ib u tio n of f a c ilitie s , and fin a lly , the c o s t e ffe c tiv e n e s s of e a c h e x p e n d i t u r e c a n b e c o n s i d e r e d w h e n b u d g e t s a r e c o m p a r e d t o t h e n u m b e r of l a k e s w h e r e p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s a r e n e e d e d . The f e a s i b i l i t y of a c q u i s i t i o n a n d t h e q u a l i t y o f t h e e x p e r i e n c e a r e a l s o m e a s u r e d t h r o u g h t h e u s e of a s c o r i n g s y s t e m to b e a d m i n i s t e r e d b y the f i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n t e a m . T h e c r i t e r i a h a v e b e e n d e f in e d in m e a s u r a b l e t e r m s . The q u e s t i o n s c a n now b e a n s w e r e d a s to how m a n y p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s c a n be p u r c h a s e d ,w h e r e s h o u ld they b e p u r c h a s e d , be p u r c h a s e d f ir s t. and w hich s ite s should 74 T h e r a n k i n g p r i o r i t y l i s t of p o t e n t i a l p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s c a n b e p r o d u c e d f o r e a c h p l a n n i n g r e g i o n in t h e s t a t e if t h e s e l e c t i o n p r o c e s s o u tlin e d h e r e is follow ed. T h e p r o c e s s d o e s n o t a s s i g n d o l l a r valueB t o c o s t s a n d b e n e f i t s of e a c h s i t e b u t a s s i g n s t h e i r p r i o r i t y o n th e b a s i s of q u a l i t a t i v e a s w e l l a s q u a n t i t a t i v e c r i t e r i a . All of t h e a b o v e a d v a n t a g e s of t h i s s e l e c t i o n p r o c e s s d o e s not m e a n t h a t th e c r i t e r i a s y s t e m is w i t h o u t l i m i t a t i o n s . d a ta on boating d e m a n d sh o u ld be im p ro v e d . The im p erfect T h e p r o j e c t i o n of d e m a n d into t h e f u t u r e is b a s e d o n a s e t of a s s u m p t i o n s w h i c h m u s t b e c o n ­ tin u ally re e x a m in e d and updated. a c r o s s the s ta te m ay c h a n g e T h e lo c a tio n of b o a tin g a c tiv ity in t h e f u t u r e . a c tiv ity p r e f e r r e d by b o a t e r s m ay c h a n g e . T h e t y p e of b o a t i n g A ll of t h e s e l i m i t a t i o n s , a s w e l l a s t h o s e p r e v i o u s l y d e s c r i b e d in t h i s c h a p t e r , w ill r e q u i r e t h a t f u r t h e r i m p r o v e m e n t s b e m a d e o n t h i s c r i t e r i a s y s t e m a s it is a p p lie d and u sed by th e r e s e a r c h staff and fie ld p e r s o n n e l. C O N C LU SIO N S AND R E C O M M E N D A T IO N S T h e m a j o r c o n c l u s i o n o f t h i s s t u d y is t h a t a w e i g h t e d c r i t e r i a s y s t e m c a n b e d e v e l o p e d a n d a p p l i e d t o p r o d u c e a p r i o r i t y l i s t of l a k e s for acq u isitio n . T h i s c r i t e r i a s y s t e m m e e t s t h e r e q u i r e m e n t s of th e M ich ig an S tate W a te rw a y s C o m m i s s i o n fo r a p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s e l e c ­ t i o n p r o c e d u r e i n t h a t t h e c r i t e r i a h a v e b e e n d e f i n e d in m e a s u r a b l e term s. T h e n u m b e r of public a c c e s s s ite s w h ic h sh o u ld b e p u r c h a s e d can be d e te rm in e d . T h e lak es w h e r e public a c c e s s s ite s sh o u ld be located can be d e te r m in e d . And fin a lly , the siteB w hich s h o u ld be p u r c h a s e d f i r s t a r e i d e n tif ie d in a p r i o r i t y l i s t . A s c o r i n g s y s t e m w a s d e v i s e d t o r a n k l a k e s in e a c h c o u n t y o n t h e b a s i s of th e d e s i r a b i l i t y f o r p u r c h a s e . T w o p h a s e s of a n a l y s i s w e r e n e c e s s a r y - - a m e a s u r e of d e m a n d f o r b o a t i n g ( i. e . , h o w m a n y p u b l i c accesB s ite s to buy); and a m e a s u r e of s u p p ly of b o a tin g r e s o u r c e s (w h e re to buy p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s to s e r v e th e d e m a n d , on w h ic h la k e s , in w h i c h c o u n t y ) . T h e R E C S Y S S Y M A P p r o c e d u r e f i r s t d e v e l o p e d b y t h e O f f i c e of P lanning S e r v ic e s , D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s , w a s u s e d to o b t a i n a m e a s u r e o f d e m a n d b y c o u n t y in 1 9 6 8 a n d 1 9 8 0 . T he present c a p a c i t y of t h e P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e P r o g r a m w a s t h e n e x t r a p o l a t e d in 1980 a s a m e a s u r e of th e f a c i l i t i e s n e c e s s a r y t o m e e t th e 1 9 8 0 d e m a n d . 75 76 On the su p p ly s id e , the la k e s w e r e f i r s t ra n k e d a c c o r d in g to s iz e class, r e s o u rc e capacity, and e x is tin g f a c i l i t i e s . T h e d e m a n d in e a c h c o u n ty w a s t h e n c o m p a r e d to th e r e s o u r c e s u p p l y s t a r t i n g w i t h t h e h i g h p r io r ity lakes f ir s t and p ro c e e d in g dow n the lak e lis t until th e d e m a n d had b e e n filled . T h is p r o c e d u r e w a s applied on a c o u n ty -b y county b a s is and fou n d to b e u n w o r k a b l e d u e to t r a n s f e r of b o a tin g d e m a n d ; t h a t i s , t h e d e m a n d e x c e e d e d th e s u p p l y of l a k e s in t h e c o u n t y . re o rg a n iz e d on a planning reg io n b a s i s . T h e d e m a n d in t h e r e g i o n w a s a p p lie d to th e h ig h p r i o r i t y la k e s in t h e r e g io n . d u c e d a f i n a l l i s t of l a k e s , T he d a ta was th en T his p ro c e d u re p r o ­ ran k ed by the r e s o u r c e ca p a c ity and s iz e c la s s , w h ich could be c o n s id e r e d f o r fie ld in v e stig a tio n w h e r e th e r e m a in in g d e s ig n and d e v e lo p m e n t c r i t e r i a could b e a p p lie d . A f u r t h e r c o n c l u s i o n of the s t u d y is t h a t s i x c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t y a r e i m p o r t a n t in d e t e r m i n i n g t h e a m o u n t o f r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a tin g in t h a t c o u n ty . T hese c h a ra c te ristic s are: 1. B o a t s ( t h e n u m b e r of r e g i s t e r e d b o a t s i n t h e c o u n t y ) 2. A n g l e r d a y s ( t h e t o t a l n u m b e r of d a y s o r p a r t - d a y s s p e n t f i s h i n g in t h e c o u n t y e a c h y e a r ) 3. L a k e A c r e s ( t o t a l a c r e s o f l a k e s u r f a c e in t h e c o u n t y ) 4. P u b l i c C a m p s i t e s ( t h e n u m b e r of c a m p s i t e s l o c a t e d in e a c h c o u n t y in S t a t e F o r e s t s , C am pgrounds) S tate P a rk s , o r N ational F o r e s t 77 5. D i s p o s a b l e I n c o m e ( m e d ia n e f fe c tiv e b u y in g in c o m e of f a m i l i e s in th e c o u n t y - - S a l e s M a n a g e m e n t M a g a z i n e ) 6* P a r k i n g ( n u m b e r o f p a r k i n g s p a c e s a t p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s in the county) Of t h e s e s i x c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s , f o u r w e r e a p p lie d to the c r i t e r i a on t h e d e m a n d s i d e - - t h e " m a g n i t u d e o f a n t i c i p a t e d u s e " c r i t e r i a - - a n d tw o w e r e a p p lie d to th e su p p ly s i d e - - t h e " r e s o u r c e p r e s e r v a t i o n and creation" c rite ria . F r o m thcB e tw o c r i t e r i a , th e s c o r i n g s y s t e m w a s d e v e l o p e d to r a n k l a k e s in e a c h c o u n t y o n t h e b a s i s of t h e i r d e s i r a b i l i t y f o r a c q u i s it i o n of p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s . T h e r e s u l t s o b ta in e d in t h is s tu d y a n d th e p r o b l e m s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h a p p l i c a t i o n of n e w m e t h o d s o f a n a l y s e s , m en d atio n s for f u r th e r u s e be outlined. r e q u ire that r e c o m ­ T h e follow ing r e c o m m e n d a ­ t i o n s a r c f o r w a r d e d f o r r e f i n e m e n t of t h e p r o c e d u r e s in f u t u r e s t u d i e s and f o r f u r t h e r d e v e l o p m e b t of th e p l a n n i n g a n d p o l i c i e s f r a m e w o r k of t h e W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e P r o g r a m . 1. T h e 1971 B o a t i n g D e m a n d S t u d y w h i c h w i l l b e g i n i n O c t o b e r 1971 a s a n u p d a t i n g of t h e 1 9 6 8 s t u d y s h o u l d d e v e l o p d e m a n d p r o j e c ­ tio n s and S Y M A P e x h ib its f o r b o th Inland and G r e a t L a k e s b o a tin g . T h e 1968 s t u d y p r o v i d e s o n ly t o t a l b o a t i n g d e m a n d in e a c h d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t y f o r 1968 a n d 1 9 8 0 . T h is r e f i n e m e n t of th e d a t a r e q u i r e s th a t tw o a d d i t i o n a l 83 X 83 m a t r i c e s b e r u n o n th e R E C S Y S p r o g r a m . 2. T h e q u e s t i o n n a i r e w h i c h w a s u s e d i n t h e 1 9 6 8 B tudy w a s len g th y an d d e ta ile d (s e e A p p e n d ix 8). In o r d e r t o i m p r o v e t h e 78 r e l i a b i l i t y of t h e d a t a a n d t o c o n c e n t r a t e o n t h e d a t a n e e d e d f o r t h e inland and G r e a t L a k e s b o a tin g , th e q u e s t i o n n a i r e s h o u ld b e r e d u c e d t o f o u r pagcB. T h e tw o i n n e r p a g e s s h o u ld open up to tw o ta b le s la b e le d " In la n d L a k e s " and " G r e a t L a k e s " in l a r g e c a p tio n s w ith o n e t a b l e in each page, 3. T h e in fo rm a tio n on fish in g , c r u is in g , w a te r sk iin g , etc. - - t h e t y p e s of b o a t i n g a c t i v i t i e s - - s h o u l d b e o m i t t e d f r o m t h e 1971 q u estio n n aire. T h e r e a r e tw o r e a s o n s fo r this d e le tio n . i n f o r m a t i o n is d e t a i l e d a n d c o n f u s i n g t o t h e r e s p o n d e n t . F i r s t , the T his c o n ­ f u s i o n m a y b e i n t e r f e r i n g w i t h th e r e l i a b i l i t y of t h e r e s u l t s on th e m o r e i m p o r t a n t d a t a a b o u t t h e n u m b e r o f b o a t i n g d a y s s p e n t in e a c h county. It m u s t b e r e m e m b e r e d t h a t t h i s i s a r e c a l l q u e s t i o n n a i r e c o m p l e t e d a f t e r t h e s u m m e r b o a t i n g s e a s o n is o v e r . Second, the d ata on b o a t i n g a c t i v i t i e s h a s a l r e a d y b e e n o b t a i n e d in t h e 1968 s t u d y . The o n l y v a l u e in a s k i n g f o r t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n a g a i n w o u l d b e t o e x a m i n e w h e th e r th e a c t i v i t i e s h a v e s h if te d s ig n if ic a n tly in th e l a s t t h r e e y e a r s . 4. T h e 1971 S t u d y s h o u l d h a v e a o n e y e a r c o n t r a c t d e a d l i n e f r o m J a n u a r y 1, 1 9 7 2 t o J a n u a r y 1, 1973 fo r the a n a l y s i s p h a s e . The q u e s t i o n n a i r e s w i l l b e s e n t o u t in t h e f a l l a f t e r t h e c l o s e o f t h e 1971 b o a t i n g s e a s o n b u t b e f o r e t h e D e c e m b e r 31 f i n a l d e a d l i n e f o r t h e t h r e e year re g is tra tio n cycle. T h is p r o c e d u r e w ill s h o rte n th e r e c a ll p e r io d e v e n th o u g h th e to ta l p o p u la tio n of r e g i s t e r e d b o a ts w ill b e s l i g h t l y s m a l l e r t h a n a t t h e e n d of t h e r e g i s t r a t i o n c y c l e . 79 5. T h e R E C S Y S p r o g r a m s h o u ld b e r u n w ith th e 8 3 c o u n t i e s of M ich ig an as s e p a r a te o rig in s and d e s tin a tio n s r a t h e r th a n lum ping tw o c o u n t i e s t o g e t h e r a s a s i n g l e n o d e. T h is p r o c e d u re w as u sed b e c a u s e of th e l i m i t e d d a t a c a p a c i t y of t h e C D C 3500. no l o n g e r e x i s t s w i t h t h e C D C 6 5 0 0 . T he lim itatio n In a d d itio n , th e o u t - o f - s t a t e d e s tin a tio n s should b e s e p a r a te d f r o m th e a s s o c ia te d M ic h ig a n co u n ty so that a s in g le d e m a n d f ig u r e m a y b e a s s ig n e d to each d e s tin a tio n r a t h e r th a n lu m p in g t h e m a s in th e p r e v i o u s s tu d y . 6. T h e 2300 Zone T raffic M ich ig an D e p a r tm e n t of S ta te F o recastin g H ighw ays fo r i n c l u s i o n in t h e R E C S Y S m o d e l . S ystem of th e should b e in v e s tig a te d T h is s y s te m can a c c o m m o d a te th e 83 c o u n t y o r i g i n a n d d e s t i n a t i o n r e q u i r e m e n t s of t h e R E C S Y S s y s te m and p ro v id e u p d ated highw ay t i m e - d i s t a n c e d a ta f o r th e t r a n s ­ p o rta tio n linkage betw een each o rig in and d estin atio n . 7. M a rk s e n sin g o r coding d i r e c t ly on th e q u e s ti o n n a i r e sh ould b e i n v e s t i g a t e d to e l i m i n a t e a s t e p in t h e d a t a h a n d l i n g p r o c e s s . 8. A s u m m a r y r e p o r t of t h e 1971 b o a t i n g d e m a n d s t u d y s h o u l d be p r e p a r e d f o r d is tr ib u tio n by the W a te r w a y s D iv isio n . A pp ro p riate t a b l e s , c h a r t s a n d m a p s s h o u ld b e u t i l i z e d to p r e s e n t th e d a t a in u n d e r ­ s ta n d a b le g r a p h ic f o r m a t to the p u b lic . 9. C o m p a r i s o n of t h e 1965, 1968 a n d 1971 s t u d i e s B ho u ld b e c o n s i d e r e d to d e t e c t s h i f t s in t h e a m o u n t a n d l o c a t i o n of b o a t i n g dem and. 80 10. A f t e r t h e c o m p l e t i o n o f t h e 1971 b o a t i n g s t u d y , w h e n t h e G r e a t L a k es and in lan d la k e b oating d a ta b e c o m e s a v a ila b le , the fo llo w in g r e f i n e m e n t s in th e r e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s sh o u ld b e i n v e s tig a te d . A. G r e a t L a k e s and inland la k e r e g r e s s i o n m o d e ls should be run s e p a ra te ly . B. C oho a n g le r d a y s and a s s o c i a t e d G r e a t L a k e s fis h in g should b e in c lu d e d in th e G r e a t L a k e s a n a l y s i s . C. V a r i a b l e s w i t h h i g h i n t c r c o r r e l a t i o n s s h o u l d b e r u n in se p a ra te groups. D. E a c h v a r ia b le sh ould be in d iv id u ally te s te d a g a in s t boating d a y s to c h e c k f o r c u r v i l i n e a r r e l a tio n s h ip s . These v a ri­ a b l e s c a n th e n b e r e i n t r o d u c e d into th e m o d e l a s l o g a r i t h m i c o r exponential v a ria b le s . 11. T h e a t t r a c t i o n i n d e x u s e d in t h e R E C S Y S p r o g r a m s h o u l d b e r e e x a m i n e d a n d r e w c i g h t e d in t h e l i g h t of t h e r e s u l t s o f t h e r e g r e s ­ s io n a n a l y s i s of t h e d e s t i n a t i o n c o u n t i e s . F u r t h e r r e f i n e m e n t s in t h e r e g r e s s i o n sh o u ld b e c o n s id e r e d to im p r o v e th e a t t r a c t io n index. T his r e c o m m e n d a t i o n a n d p r e v i o u s r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s by C h u b b in th e f i r s t R E C S Y S p r o g r a m s h o u ld b e i n c o r p o r a t e d into th e a t t r a c t i o n in d e x of t h e 1 9 7 1 s t u d y if a t a l l p o s s i b l e . T hese rec o m m e n d a tio n s have been largely p ro c e d u ra l or m e t h o d o l o g i c a l in n a t u r e , stu d ies. c o n c e r n e d w ith r e fin e m e n ts fo r fu tu re T h e follow ing r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s w ill c o n c e r n th e planning » 81 and p o l i c i e s f r a m e w o r k of th e W a t e r w a y s D i v is io n P u b l i c A c c e s s S ite Program . 1. T h e t o t a l P u b l i c A c c e s s S ite P r o g r a m s h o u ld b e s p l i t into t h r e e p a r t s f o r p l a n n i n g p u r p o s e s - - ( 1 ) G r e a t L a k e s , (2) r i v e r s , (3) i n l a n d l a k e s . and S e p a r a t e o v e r l a y s of e a c h kind of p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e should b e p r e p a r e d . T h is w ill r e q u i r e c o m p le tio n of the t h r e e n e g a ­ tive s e p a r a t i o n m y l a r s d e v e l o p e d f r o m t h e G r e a t L a k e s B a s i n C o m ­ m i s s i o n and A r m y M ap S e r v i c e 1 :2 5 0 ,0 0 0 s e r i e s . 2. P r o g r a m c r i t e r i a o r g o a ls should be e s ta b lis h e d fo r r iv e r and g r e a t la k e b o a t i n g a s t h e y h a v e f o r in la n d l a k e s . F o r ex am p le, one c a n o e la u n c h in g s i t e e v e r y tw o m i l e s o n c a n o e - c l a s s i f i e d r i v e r s or o n e t r a i l e r la u n c h in g s ite e v e r y fiv e m i l e s on b o a ta b le r i v e r s d e p e n d i n g on t h e c l a s s i f i c a t i o n of t h e r i v e r o r o t h e r c r i t e r i a y e t to be e s t a b l i s h e d . S uch a g o al o r ie n te d s y s t e m h a s w o r k e d w e ll fo r the H a r b o r - o f - R e f u g e P r o g r a m d e s i g n a t e d e v e r y 30 m i l e s a l o n g t h e G r e a t Lakes. " E x p l a i n a b i l i t y " to t h e p u b l i c h a s b e e n a n i m p o r t a n t f a c t o r in this p r o g r a m . 3. U p d a tin g th e p u b lic a c c e s s s y s t e m to a c c o m m o d a t e l a r g e r boats a n d t r a i l e r s s h o u ld not o c c u r at th e e x p e n s e of th e o r i g i n a l public f is h in g s i t e s y s t e m . M a n y of t h e s i t e s p u r c h a s e d f r o m 1938 to i 9 6 0 a r e l e s s t h a n o n e a c r e , d e v e l o p e d p r i m a r i l y f o r f i s h i n g b o a t s or c a r t o p b o a ts a n d lo c a te d o n s m a l l e r l a k e s in n o r t h e r n M ic h i g a n . T h e se s m a l l e r s i t e s should n o t b e r e d e v e lo p e d f o r t r a i l e r e d b o a ts . E x t e n s i v e f illin g a n d d r e d g i n g r e q u i r e d to m a k e low m a r s h y s h o r e l i n e 82 su itab le fo r launching r a m p s , neig h b o rin g p r o p e r tie s , t h e l a c k of b u f f e r s p a c e to p r o t e c t an d c r o w d e d s ite c o n d itio n s a r e o ften p r o b ­ le m s w h e n s i t e s on s m a l l i r r e g u l a r p r o p e r t i e s a r e d e v e lo p e d . If a s m a ll o n e - a c r e s ite e x ists and th e d e m a n d w a r r a n ts a d ev elo p ed site, a new p i e c e of p r o p e r t y s h o u l d b e p u r c h a s e d on t h e l a k e r a t h e r th a n d e v e lo p in g th e old s ite . T h e new s ite sh o u ld m e e t a m in im u m r e q u i r e ­ m e n t of t w o a c r e s a n d 2 0 0 f e e t of f r o n t a g e . suitab le fo r u se , T he sm a lle r site, if sh o u ld b e r e ta in e d f o r its o r ig in a l u s e - - f i s h i n g and carto p b o ats, 4. B o a t i n g u s e r e g u l a t i o n s s h o u l d b e d e v e l o p e d in li n e w i t h a s t a t e w i d e s y s t e m r a t h e r t h a n in r e s p o n s e t o l o c a l p r o b l e m s o n i n ­ dividual la k e s . In p a r t i c u l a r , fo r n o n -m o to r b oating. a p p r o p r ia te lak es should be d e s ig n a te d S m a ll la k e s w ith c o m p le te public o w n e r s h ip of r i p a r i a n p r o p e r t i e s c a n b e s e l e c t e d f o r t h i s t y p e o f l e s s i n t e n s i v e boating u s e . L a k e s w ith m ix e d pub lic and p r iv a te r ip a r ia n o w n e r s h ip c a n c o m e u n d e r b o a tin g u s e r e g u l a t io n s p r o v id e d th a t the p r o p e r t y ow ners a g r e e and p a s s fa v o ra b ly on th e re g u la tio n s u n d er th e p r o ­ v is io n s of th e M a r i n e S afety A c t of 1967. have re g u la tio n s w h ich p ro h ib it m o to rs . Only a few la k e s in M ic h ig a n On s m a l l la k e s w h e r e p ro p e rty o w n e rs a g r e e th at a n a tu ra l settin g and a quiet l e is u r e ex p erience a r e d e sira b le , such u se reg u latio n s a r e a p p ro p ria te . r e c o m m e n d a tio n is not s u ita b le f o r m o s t lak es in M ich ig an , larg er lakes, T his esp ecially w h e r e u s e s s u c h a s w a t e r skiing a n d c r u is in g p r e d o m i n ­ ate, but a few la k e s should r e m a i n w h e r e q u iet b o a tin g a c tiv itie s such 83 a s canoeing and ro w b o atin g can p r e d o m in a te . O ther re g u la tio n s such a s t i m e z o n i n g a n d a r e a z o n i n g of t h e l a k e a r e p o s s i b l e u n d e r t h e M a r i n e S afety A ct. T h e s e re g u la tio n s p re v e n t conflicts betw een u s e s s u c h a s f is h in g and w a t e r sk iin g by s e p a r a t i n g t h e m into s e p a r a t e p a r t s of t h e l a k e o r s e p a r a t e t i m e s of t h e d a y . Slow s p e e d o r no w a k e z o n e s in t h e c h a n n e l s a n d n e a r s h o r e a l s o r e d u c e c o n f l i c t and p r e v e n t b o a tin g accidents. 5. A ’G u i d e t o P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e s i n M i c h i g a n " s h o u l d b e developed f r o m th e P ublic A c c e ss S ite Inventory. D eveloped s ite s w ith p a rk in g c a p a c ity and b o a t u s e re g u la tio n s should b e m a p p e d and n u m b e re d on a s m a ll b r o c h u r e fo r d is tr ib u tio n to the p u b lic . 6. A v i s i t o r study of s e le c te d p u b lic a c c e s s s ite s sh o u ld be u n d e rta k e n to in v e s tig a te th e p a tte r n s of u s e a t th e s ite - - h o w m a n y v i s i t o r s , how m a n y c a r s , h o w l o n g t h e s t a y , w h a t t i m e o f d a y iB t h e h e a v i e s t u s e , w h a t w e e k ly a n d m o n th ly p a t t e r n s of u s e a r e ty p ic a l, w h o u s e s a c c e s s s i t e s a n d w h a t is t h e t u r n o v e r t i m e o r m u l t i p l i e r for each p a rk in g sp a c e . A g r o u p of 25 s ite s c o u ld b e m o n i t o r e d th ro u g h o u t th e y e a r w ith t r a f f i c c o u n t e r s at th e e n try . F iv e o r six of t h e s e Bites c o u l d b e i n t e n s i v e l y i n v e s t i g a t e d w i t h u s e r q u e s t i o n ­ n a i r e s o r e v e n o b s e r v e r s to co u n t t r a i l e r s and v i s i t o r s p e r c a r , of b o a t s , e t c . kinds T h e s e d a ta c a n b e in te g ra te d w ith the s ta te w id e d e m a n d s t u d i e s t o g i v e a m o r e d e t a i l e d e s t i m a t e of p u b l i c b o a t i n g i n r e l a t i o n to p r i v a t e b o a tin g . T h e d a t a on s t a t e w i d e b o a tin g d e m a n d in M ic h ig a n 84 is w e ll d e v e lo p e d w h ile th e t r a d i t i o n a l a t t e n d a n c e f i g u r e s c o m m o n to State P a r k s and S tate F o r e s t c a m p g ro u n d s a r e lack in g . 7. A d e m o n s t r a t i o n p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s h o u l d b e d e v e l o p e d in R e g i o n I II w i t h a l a r g e e m p h a s i s o n l a n d s c a p i n g a n d a e s t h e t i c d e s i g n . V a rie d fencing m a t e r i a l s , w ide b u ffe r a r e a s p la n te d w ith n ativ e vegetatio n fo r screen in g and noise co n tro l, re d e s ig n e d sign k io sk s, litte r c o n ta in e r s and s e a tin g a r e a s could b e u sed to c r e a t e a b e a u tifu l as w ell as functional e n v iro n m e n t. A ttra c tiv e to ilet buildings and a la n d s c a p e d p a r k i n g lot s h o u ld b e i n t e g r a t e d into t h e s i t e w ith e a r t h m ounds. E x is tin g t r e e s s h o u ld b e c a r e f u l l y w o rk e d into th e p la n r a th e r than being re m o v e d and r e p la c e d w ith a p la n te d tw ig. A flat, t r e e l e s s s ite m a y be c h o s e n f o r th is d e m o n s t r a t i o n p r o je c t to i l l u s t r a t e that e a r t h m o u n d s and w o o d e n fen cin g w ith b a lle d and b u r la p p e d s h r u b s , in c lu d in g a p r e p o n d e r a n c e of e v e r g r e e n m a t e r i a l , c a n b e u s e d to c r e a te an a e s th e tic a lly p le a sin g site. T h is should b e a u g m e n te d w ith 3” d i a m e t e r t r e e s p l a n t e d in g r o u p s of t h r e e , f iv e a n d s e v e n to c r e a t e an i m m e d i a t e o v e r s t o r y e f f e c t f o r s h a d e a n d c o n t r o l of t h e p e r c e p t u a l en v iro n m en t. 8. B e f o r e a n d a f t e r p i c t u r e s of t h i s d e m o n s t r a t i o n s i t e i n c l u d i n g a e r ia l photos should be c o n s id e r e d . A g ro u p of s lid e s d e s c rib in g the p r o g r a m w hould b e u sefu l f r o m the r e s e a r c h and p lan n in g p h a s e th ro u g h to d e s ig n and e n g in e e r in g , th ro u g h a c tu a l c o n s tr u c tio n , opera­ tio n a n d m a i n t e n a n c e and f in a lly to th e m a n y r e c r e a t i o n e x p e r i e n c e s and u s e s th a t o c c u r on the s ite . T h e s e s lid e s should not b e c o n s id e re d a p u b l i c i t y t e c h n i q u e b u t r a t h e r t h e n u c l e u s of a p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e slid e p r e s e n t a t i o n w hich c a n b e u sed to e x p lain th e r e a l b e n e fits and r e a l p r o b l e m s a s s o c i a t e d w ith a ll p a r t s of the p r o g r a m f r o m a d m i n ­ i s tr a tio n to m a in te n a n c e . U n le s s the p u b lic u n d e r s ta n d s th e c o m p l e x ­ itie s of r e c r e a t i o n p la n n in g , M ichigan for g r a n te d . it w i l l t a k e t h e r e c r e a t i o n r e s o u r c e s of T h is w ill p r e v e n t f u tu r e d e v e lo p m e n t and p r e s e r v a t i o n of t h e s e r e s o u r c e s b e c a u s e of lack of p u b lic s u p p o r t . On th e o th e r h a n d , u n d e r s ta n d in g and a p p r e c ia tio n of th e r e s o u r c e and its m a n y f a c e ts w ill b rin g s u p p o r t f r o m th e p u b lic as w e ll a s d e e p e r e n j o y m e n t of t h e i r o w n r e c r e a t i o n e x p e r i e n c e s . S E L E C T E D B IB L IO G R A PH Y S E L E C T E D B IB L IO G R A PH Y Books C h ic c h e tti, C h a r l e s J. ; S e n e c a , J o s e p h J. ; and D a v id s o n , P a u l. T h e D e m a n d and S upply of O u td o o r R e c r e a t i o n . N ew B r u n s w i c k , New J e r s e y : B u r e a u of E c o n o m i c R e s e a r c h , R u t g e r s - T h c S tate U n iv e r s ity , 1969. H irsch , W e rn e r. " P r o g r a m Budget for N atu ral R e so u rc e A ctiv ities," P r o g r a m B udgeting - P r o g r a m A n aly sis and th e F e d e r a l B u d g e t . D a v i d N o v i c k , cd. W a s h i n g t o n , D . C , , G o v e r n m e n t P r in tin g O ffice, 1965.. H u m p h r y s , C . R . L a k e s and P o n d s in M ic h i g a n East L an sin g , M i c h i g a n : D e p a r t m e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p m e n t , 1 9 6 5 . N a t i o n a l A c a d e m y of S c i e n c e s . A lte r n a tiv e s in W a te r M a n a g e m e n t. P u b . 1 4 0 8 , W a s h i n g t o n , D. C . : N a ti o n a l A c a d e m y of S c i e n c e s , 1966. S n e d e c o r , G e o r g e W. S t a t i s t i c a l M e t h o d s . 5 t h e d . Iowa S t a t e C o l le g e P r e s s , 1 9 5 1 . Am es, Iowa: R e p o rts and D ocum ents B a x te r, A lfre d and A s s o c ia te s . W h ic h P a r k s a n d W hy: A C o s t B enefit P r o c e d u r e f o r B udgeting S tate P a r k A c q u isitio n B e r k e l e y , C a lif o rn ia ; A lfred B a x te r and A s s o c ia te s , 1966 . p . 1. B a x t e r , M c D o n a l d and C o m p a n y . B udgeting f o r D e v e lo p m e n t at State P a r k S ites: A C o s t E f f e c tiv e n e s s A p p r o a c h . B e r k e le y , C a lifo rn ia : B a x te r, M cD onald and C o m p a n y , 1968. 86 87 Chubb, M ich ael. O u t d o o r R e c r e a t i o n P l a n n i n g in M i c h i g a n b y a S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s A p p r o a c h , P a r t III, T h e P r a c t i c a l A p p l i c a t i o n o f P r o g r a m R E C S Y S a n d S Y M A F . T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o . 12. L a n s in g , M ic h ig a n : S tate R e s o u r c e P la n n in g P r o g r a m , D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e , 1967. D ixon, W. J. ed. B M P -B io m ed ical C o m puter P r o g r a m s , U niversity of C a l i f o r n i a P u b l i c a t i o n s in A u t o m a t i c C o m p u t a t i o n No. 2 B e r k e l e y ; L o s A n g e l e s : U n i v e r s i t y of C a l i f o r n i a P r e s s , 1968. M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of C o n s e r v a t i o n , W a t e r w a y s D i v i s i o n . T ra n s p o rta tio n P red ictiv e P ro c e d u re s : R e c re a tio n a l B o aters an d C o m m e r c i a l S h ip p in g . T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t No. 9C . L ansing, M ich ig an ; S tate R e s o u rc e P lan n in g P r o g r a m , M ich ig an D e p a r t­ m e n t of C o m m e r c e , D e c e m b e r , 1 9 6 6 . M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s , O f f i c e of P l a n n i n g S e r v ic e s , M ic h ig a n O utdoor R e c r e a tio n P la n . 1970. L a n sin g , M ic h ig a n : M ic h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s , 1970. 4 V ol. M ichigan S tate U n iv e rs ity , D e p a r tm e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e lo p m e n t, M ic h ig a n O u td o o r R e c r e a tio n D e m a n d S tu d y . L a n sin g , M ichigan: S t a t e R e s o u r c e P la n n in g P r o g r a m , M ic h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t of C o m m e r c e , J u n e , 1966. 2 V ol. N ational A s s o c ia tio n of E ngine an d B o a t M a n u f a c t u r e r s and O u tb o a rd B o a tin g C lub of A m e r ic a , B o a tin g 1 9 6 4 - -A S ta tis tic a l R e p o rt on A m e r ic a 's T op F a m ily S p o r t, New Y ork: N atio n al A sso c ia tio n of E n g in e and B o a t M a n u f a c t u r e r s a n d O u t b o a r d B o a tin g C lu b of A m e r i c a , 1964. Oakwood, J a m e s and C hubb, M ic h a e l. P la n n in g P u b lic R e c re a tio n a l B o a t i n g F a c i l i t i e s I n M i c h i g a n . T e c h n i c a l R e p o r t N o . 1, E a s t L a n s i n g , M ic h ig a n : R e c r e a t i o n R e s e a r c h a n d P la n n in g U nit, D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k and R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S ta te U n iv e rs ity , F e b r u a r y , 1968. U. S. , D e p a r t m e n t o f An E c o n o m e tr ic R ecreatio n D em P rin tin g O ffice, A g ric u ltu re , E conom ic R e s e a rc h S erv ic e. M odel f o r P r e d ic tin g W a te r - O r ie n te d O utdoor a n d . E R S-402. W a s h in g to n , D. C . : G o v e r n m e n t 1969. U. S. , D e p a r t m e n t o f A g r i c u l t u r e , E c o n o m i c R e s e a r c h S e r v i c e . S o c i o e c o n o m i c F a c t o r s A f f e c t i n g P a r t i c i p a t i o n in W a t e r - O r i e n t e d O u td o o r R e c r e a t i o n . E R S -4 0 3 . W a s h in g to n , D. C . : G o v e r n m e n t P r i n t i n g O ffic e , 1969. 88 W ater R e s o u r c e s C ouncil. P r o c e d u r e s f o r E v a l u a t i o n of W a t e r a n d R e l a t e d L a n d R e s o u r c e s . W a s h i n g t o n , to. C . : G o v e r n m e n t P r in tin g O fficq , J u n e , 1969. O ther S o u rces F isk e, P a u l R . " A n A n a l y s i s of I n t e r r e g i o n a l V a r i a t i o n in R e c r e a ­ tio n a l B o a tin g in M ic h ig a n ^ " U n p u b lis h e d s tu d y p la n , D e p a r t m e n t of R e s o u r c e D e v e l o p m e n t , M i c h i g a n S ta te U n i v e r s i t y , 1 9 7 2 . G ullidge, E lls w o rth J. and U ra b e c k , F r a n k J. "P la n n in g fo r P l e a s u r e B o a t i n g o n R e g i o n a l B a s i s , " J o u r n a l of t h e W a t e r w a y s , H a r b o r s and C o a s ta l E n g in e e rin g D ivision. P r o c e e d i n g s of t h e A m e r i c a n S o c ie ty of C i v i l E n g i n e e r s , V ol. 9 6 , No. W W 3 , W a s h i n g to n , D. C . , 1970. Igo, A llis o n . " A n A n a ly s is o f th e V a lid ity of M a ll S u r v e y s f o r U s e in R e c r e a t i o n R e s e a r c h . " U n p u b lis h e d M a s t e r ' s T h e s i s , D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k an d R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h i g a n S ta te U n iv e rs ity , 1971. K a is e r , R onald. " A S tu d y of M u l t i p l e B o a t O w n e r s h i p in M i c h i g a n . " U n p u b lis h e d M a s t e r ' s T h e s i s , D e p a r t m e n t of P a r k an d R e c r e a ­ tio n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S tate U n iv e r s ity , 1970. M e g a n c k , R i c h a r d A. " R e c r e a t i o n a l B o a t T r a n s p o r t a t i o n in M i c h i g a n : A Study of U s e P a t t e r n s a n d C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of B o a t e r s W ho T r a n s p o r t T h e ir B o a ts ." U npublished M a s t e r 's T h e s is , D e p a r t­ m e n t of P a r k a n d R e c r e a t i o n R e s o u r c e s , M ic h ig a n S ta te U n iv e r s ity , 1971. M i c h i g a n , D e p a r t m e n t of S t a t e , " S i z e a n d T y p e o f R e g i s t e r e d B o a t s in M ich ig an C o u n tie s , " L a n sin g , M ic h ig a n , D e c e m b e r , 1968. (m im eog raphed) T ucker, T hom as. " T h e 1980 S u p p ly of O u td o o r R e c r e a t i o n F a c i l i t i e s in M i c h i g a n . " U n p u b l i s h e d P h . D . D i s s e r t a t i o n , D e p a r t m e n t of F o r e s t r y , M ic h ig a n S ta te U n i v e r s i t y , 1971. U. S . , G r e a t L a k e s B a s i n C o m m i s s i o n . "G re a t L a k es B asin F r a m e ­ w o r k S t u d y , A p p e n d i x 9 , R e c r e a t i o n N a v i g a t i o n . 11 R o u g h d r a f t o f a r e p o r t b y t h e R e c r e a t i o n N a v i g a t i o n T a s k F o r c e t o t h e U . S. , G reat L akes B asin C o m m issio n , D e c e m b e r , 1970 ( f r o m t h e f i l e s of t h e M ic h i g a n S t a t e W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n ) . 89 W i l d a v s k y , A a r o n . " T h e P o l i t i c a l E c o n o m y of E c o n o m y of E f f i c i e n c y : C o s t-B e n e fit A n a ly s is , S y s te m s A n a ly sis and P r o g r a m B u d g e ting. " P u b l i c A d m i n i s t r a t i o n Revitew , V o l.,2 6 , N o. 4 ( A p r i l , 1966) 2 9 2 - 3 1 0 . A P P E N D IC E S A P PE N D IX 1 L IS T O F V A R I A B L E S I N C L U D E D IN M O D E L L I S T O F V A R I A B L E S I N C L U D E D IN M O D E L V ariab le D escription V ariable Num ber Y N u m b e r of B o a t i n g D a y s (1970 B o a tin g D e m a n d Study) x i = N u m b e r of I n la n d L a k e s O v e r F i v e A c r e s (1965 L a k e I n v e n t o r y ) X2 * T otal Lake A creag e (1965 L a k e I n v e n to ry ) X3 ‘ N u m b e r of P u b l i c A c c e s s S i t e s (C ounty D a ta S h e e ts - - W a t e r w a y s F i l e s ) X4 ■ N u m b e r of P a r k i n g S p a c e s a t P u b l i c A c c e s s S ite s (C ounty D a ta S h e e ts - - W a te r w a y s F i l e s ) X5 = N u m b e r of R e g i s t e r e d B o a t s ( S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e - - 1 9 6 8 B o a t R e g i s t r a t i o n s ) X6 ‘ T o tal P opulation (1970 C e n s u s - - A d v a n c e R e p o r ts ) X7 ■ X8 ■ X9 ■ X )0 ■ X 11 * N u m b e r of S e a s o n a l H o m e s ( H C S e r i e s V. 1 A d v a n c e R e p o r t s ) X J2 ■ N u m b e r of P u b l i c C a m p s i t e s (M ich ig an R e c r e a tio n P la n 1 9 7 0 --A ppendix) E f f e c tiv e B uying In c o m e P e r H o u se h o ld ( S a l e s M a n a g e m e n t M a g a z i n e " S u r v e y of B u y i n g Pow er") B oats P e r P opulation (X5 / X 6 > G r e a t L a k e s S h o r e l i n e in M i l e s (M ichigan S tate W a te r R e s o u r c e s C o m m i s s i o n - C o u n ty D ata) M ile s of In lan d S t r e a m s (M ichigan S tate W a te r R e s o u r c e s C o m m i s s i o n - C o u n ty D ata) 90 91 A P P E N D IX 1 - -C ontinued V ariab le N um ber V ariab le D escrip tio n = N u m b e r of P r i v a t e C a m p s i t e s (M ic h ig a n R e c r e a t i o n P la n 1 9 7 0 - - A ppendix) X ^ = N u m b e r of A n g le r D a y a ( M i c h i g a n D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s - * R e s e a r c h a n d D e v e l o p m e n t R e p o r t s 2 1 1 , 2 3 4 , 235) X = A c r e s of P u b l i c R e c r e a t i o n a l I _ a n d - - S t a t e F o r e s t , S ta te P a r k , S tate G a m e , S tate R e c r e a t io n A r e a p , N ational F o r e s ts ( M ic h ig a n R e c r e a t i o n P la n 19 7 0 - -A p p e n d ix ) X ^ = D is ta n c e to M a jo r P o p u la tio n C e n te r s O v er 1 0 ,0 0 0 (M ich ig an S ta te D e p a r tm e n t of H ig h w a y - S K IM T R E E T im e D istan ce M a trix ) X j^ = D is ta n c e to M a jo r P o p u la tio n C e n t e r s O v e r 5 0 ,0 0 0 ( M i c h i g a n S t a t e D e p a r t m e n t of H i g h w a y - S K IM T R E E T im e D istan ce M a trix ) X jg = D i s ta n c e to M a jo r P o p u la tio n C e n t e r s O v e r 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 (M ichigan S tate D e p a rtm e n t of H ighw ay- S K IM T R E E T im e D istan ce M a trix ) X j^ ~ D is ta n c e to M a jo r P o p u la tio n C e n te r s O v e r 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ( M ic h ig a n S t a t e D e p a r t m e n t of H i g h w a y - S K IM T R E E T im e D istan ce M a trix ) A P PE N D IX 2 S T A T E M E N T O F PU B L IC ACCESS SIT E LAND A C Q U ISITIO N P R O G R A M C R IT E R IA S T A T E M E N T O F P U B L IC A C C E SS S IT E LAND A C Q U ISITIO N P R O G R A M C R IT E R IA T h e f o llo w in g c r i t e r i a s h a l l b e a p p lie d in e s t a b l i s h i n g p r i o r i t i e s and in e v a l u a t i n g o f f e r e d p r o p e r t i e s o n t h e i n l a n d l a k e s o f t h i s S t a t e : 1. M a g n i t u d e of A n t i c i p a t e d U s e . T h e L and A c q u is itio n P r o g r a m s h a ll, to the e x te n t p o s s i b l e , be p r e d i c a t e d u p o n t h e d e m a n d s f o r t h e p e r i o d c o m m e n c i n g 15 y e a r s h e n c e , i. e , 1 9 7 0 a c q u i s i t i o n s s h a l l b e b a s e d u p o n 1 9 8 5 n e e d s . T o d e te r m in e fu tu re n e e d s, fu tu re d e m a n d s m u s t be e sta b lish e d a n d t h e e x i s t i n g s u p p ly of f a c i l i t i e s d e d u c t e d t h e r e f r o m . F o r t h i s p u rp o s e , r e lia n c e sh all be m a d e upon the R E C SY S-SY M A P* s y s t e m in p r e d i c t i n g f u t u r e d e m a n d s . T o p r o v i d e a d e q u a t e in put d a ta fo r this s y s te m , f o r m a l stu d ies sh a ll be conducted at le a st e v e r y t h r e e y e a r s to d e t e r m i n e t h e e x t e n t of b o a tin g a c t i v i t y , p a rtic ip a tio n r a t e s by p e o p le f ro m v a r io u s o rig in s , tr a v e l p a t ­ t e r n s of b o a t e r s , a n d t h e k i n d of w a t e r s o n w h i c h t h e y p r e f e r t o b o a t . T o th e g r e a t e s t e x t e n t p o s s i b l e , it s h a l l c o n t i n u e to b e th e p o l i c y of th e C o m m i s s i o n to s h if t b o a t i n g u s a g e f r o m in la n d to G r e a t L a k e s w a t e r s t h r o u g h t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of a d e q u a t e f a c i l i t i e s . 2. F e a s i b i l i t y of A c q u i s i t i o n . A c q u is itio n s h a ll b e m a d e of p r o p e r t i e s f r e e l y o f fe r e d by th e ir o w n e r s a n d n o u s e s h a l l b e m a d e o f t h e p o w e r of e m i n e n t d o m a i n . 3. E co lo g ical C o n s id e ra tio n s . S ites s h a ll b e a c q u ir e d th a t offer th e b e s t p o te n tia l fo r public u s e w ith m i n i m u m d e g r a d a t i o n of th e s i t e . S ite d e s i g n s h a ll b e s i m i l a r l y o r i e n t e d . All t o i l e t s p r o v i d e d a t p u b lic a c c e s s s i t e s s h a l l b e of a d e s i g n to a s s u r e th e y w i l l not b e o r b e c o m e a s o u r c e of p o l l u t i o n . M a x i m u m s u p p o r t s h a l l b e g i v e n to e n f o r c e m e n t of a n t i - p o l l u t i o n a n d a n t i - l i t t e r l a w s a n d r e g u l a t i o n s . S u i t a b l e r e c e p ta c le s s h a ll be p ro v id e d at e v e ry developed site fo r d ep o sit of l i t t e r and t h e s e r e c e p t a c l e s s h a l l b e r e g u l a r l y e m p t i e d and th e s i t e k e p t in a l i t t e r - f r e e c o n d itio n . 4. S afety and R e g u la tio n . C o n s i d e r a t i o n to s a f e t y s h a l l b e g i v e n in s i t e s e l e c t i o n . T h is c o n s id e r a t i o n s h a l l e x te n d not only to b o atin g and w a t e r sa fe ty , but a l s o to tr a f f ic and p e d e s t r i a n s a fe ty as w ell. 92 93 E n f o r c e m e n t of m a r i n e l a w s b y t h e a p p r o p r i a t e l a w e n f o r c e m e n t a g e n c y s h a l l b e e n c o u r a g e d . M a x i m u m u s e s h a l l b e m a d e of c u r ­ r e n t l a w s p r o v i d i n g f o r e s t a b l i s h m e n t of r e g u l a t i o n s g o v e r n i n g b oating on inland w a t e r s . H o w e v e r , it is th e p o l i c y of th e W a te r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n to r e c o g n i z e th e r ig h t to s e e k boating r e g u l a t i o n s a s b e i n g a r i g h t of l o c a l p r o p e r t y o w n e r s w h i c h s h a l l b e r e s p e c t e d to th e g r e a t e s t e x te n t p o s s i b l e . Any re g u la tio n s a d o p t e d i n t h i s m a n n e r s h a l l a p p l y e q u a l l y t o a l l u s e r s of t h e l a k e and s h a ll b e r e s p e c t e d by th e C o m m i s s i o n in th e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of th e s ite . 5. I n c r e a s e d S a t i s f a c t i o n o r Q u a l i t y of E x p e r i e n c e . T o p ro v id e site u s e s a tis fa c tio n to b o th the u s e r and the lo c a l p r o p e r t y o w n e r s , new s ite s s h a ll not b e o p en ed to th e public u n til c o m p l e t e l y d e v e l o p e d . In a d d i t i o n , s i t e s s h a l l p r o v i d e a d e q u a t e b u ffe r s tr i p s on e a c h p r o p e r t y lin e w h ich s h a ll b e la n d s c a p e d to p ro v id e m a x im u m screen in g f ro m ad jacent p r o p e rtie s . The site d e s ig n s h a ll g iv e d u e c o n s id e r a tio n to a e s th e tic a s w e ll as u t i l i ­ ta r ia n c o n s id e r a tio n s . D en sity of s ite u s e sh a ll be c o n s id e re d as a d esig n c rite rio n . T h e s t a f f s h a l l c o n t i n u e r e s e a r c h t o d e t e r m i n e t h e q u a l i t y of t h e r e c r e a t i o n e x p e r i e n c e of b o t h s i t e u s e r s a n d l o c a l p r o p e r t y o w n e r s . T h e s t a f f s h a l l b e r e s p o n s i b l e f o r s u b m i s s i o n of c h a n g e s t o t h i s p r o g r a m c r i t e r i a in t h e i n t e r e s t of e n h a c i n g th e s a t i s f a c ­ tio n of b o th s i t e u s e r s and p r o p e r t y o w n e r s . 6. In tc rp ro g ram E ffects. C l o s e c o o r d i n a t i o n s h a l l b e m a i n t a i n e d w i t h a l l D i v i s i o n s of t h e D e p a r t m e n t of N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s a n d w i t h o t h e r a g e n c i e s of t h e S tate having p r o g r a m s w h ich in flu e n c e o r a r e in flu en c ed by th e P u b lic A c c e s s S ite P r o g r a m in p la n n in g f o r f u t u r e s i t e a c q u i s i ­ tio n . R e f e r e n c e s h a ll b e m a d e to lo c a l zoning o r d i n a n c e s and e x istin g land u s e w h e n r e p o r tin g to th e C o m m i s s i o n upon p r o p o s e d p r o p e r t y a c q u i s i t i o n s . P r i o r t o d e v e l o p m e n t of a s i t e , l o c a l u n i t s of g o v e r n m e n t s h a l l b e a d v i s e d o f t h e C o m m i s s i o n ' s p l a n s ; and given an o p p o rtu n ity to c o m m e n t th e re o n . S afety a s p e c ts and e n f o r c e m e n t n e e d s of th e s i t e s h a ll b e d i s c u s s e d w ith lo c a l e n ­ f o r c e m e n t o ffic ia ls p r io r to d e v e lo p m e n t of the s ite . 7. R esource P reserv atio n or C reatio n . E v e r y a c c e s s s ite s h a ll be d e s ig n e d to allow u s e of th e w a te r by th e n u m b e r of b o a ts f r o m th e p u b lic s e c t o r th e la k e c a n r e a s o n a b l y su pport. R e s e a r c h s h a l l b e c o n t i n u e d on t h e c a r r y i n g c a p a c i t y of 94 i n l a n d l a k e s u n t i l a m e a n s of r e a s o n a b l y d e t e r m i n i n g s u c h c a p a ­ city has b een e s ta b lis h e d . U ntil s u c h a s y s t e m h a s b e e n e s t a b ­ lis h e d , th e follow ing g e n e r a l g u id e lin e s s h a ll be c o n s i d e r e d as l i m i t a ti o n s in a c q u i r i n g p r o p e r t y on in la n d la k e s f o r u s e a s p u b lic a c cess sites: L a k e s u p to 159 a c r e s in s i z e : O n e s it e w ith p a r k i n g c a p a c i t y n o t t o e x c e e d 10 c a r s a n d tra ile rs. L a k e s 160 t o 249 a c r e s in s i z e : O ne s ite w ith p a rk in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 15 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 250 t o 399 a c r e s in s i z e : One s ite w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 35 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 400 t o 599 a c r e s in s i z e : O ne s ite w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 75 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 600 t o 999 a c r e s in s i z e : O ne s ite w ith p a r k in g c a p a c ity f o r u p t o 100 c a r s a n d t r a i l e r s . L a k e s 1 , 0 0 0 t o 1 0 , 0 0 0 a c r e s in size: T w o s ite s , each w ith p a rk in g c a p a c i t y fo r up to 100 c a r s a n d tra ilers. L a k e s o v e r 1 0 , 0 0 0 a c r e s in size: T h r e e s ite s , e a c h w ith p a rk in g c a p a c i t y f o r up to 100 c a r s and tra ilers. T h e a b o v e g u i d e l i n e s a r e i n t e n d e d f o r u s e on i n t e n s i v e l y d e v e l o p e d la k e s and a r e to b e c o n s i d e r e d a s m i n i m u m s t a n d a r d s . H o w e v e r, w h e r e v e r t h e s ta f f is of t h e b e l i e f t h a t s p e c i f i c l a k e c o n d i t i o n s r e q u ir e v a r ia tio n ab o v e o r below th e s e s ta n d a r d s , su c h a r e c o m ­ m e n d a tio n s h a ll b e m a d e to th e C o m m i s s i o n w ith th e ju s tif ic a tio n th e r e f o r e and site a c q u is itio n e ffo rts s h a ll be b a s e d upon the d e c i s i o n of th e C o m m i s s i o n . N o e f f o r t s h a l l b e m a d e t o s a t i s f y l o n g - r a n g e b o a tin g d e m a n d s of l a k e s of l e s s t h a n 1 6 0 a c r e s . H o w e v e r, sh ould a d e s i r a b l e body of w a t e r o f l e s s t h a n 160 a c r e s of s i z e b e l o c a t e d u p o n w h i c h a n a c c e s s s i t e is e s p e c i a l l y d e s i r a b l e b e c a u s e of u n i q u e f is h i n g o r b o a tin g c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s , a c q u i s i t i o n m a y b e r e c o m m e n d e d to th e C o m m issio n . C o n s i d e r a t i o n s h a ll b e g iv e n to e x i s t i n g p r i v a t e a n d p u b lic a c c e s s s ite s w h e n r e p o rtin g upon th e d e s ir a b i l i t y of a c c e s s s ite land a c q u i s it i o n on a g iv e n b o d y of w a t e r . 95 8. C ost E ffectiv en ess. A lth o u g h it is g e n e r a l l y a s s u m e d t h a t in d iv id u a ls p r e f e r to u s e s m a l l e r , m o r e c o m p a c t s ite s , c o n s tru c tio n and m a in te n a n c e c o s ts p e r u n i t a r e u s u a l l y r e d u c e d b y i n c r e a s i n g t h e s i z e of t h e s i t e . S ite s i z e s h a l l b e b a s e d u p o n t h e c a p a c i t y s t a n d a r d s c o n t a i n e d in S e c t i o n 7 h e r e o f p l u s t h e b u f f e r r e q u i r e m e n t s of S e c t i o n 5 a n d o th e r d e v e lo p m e n t needs su ch as su ita b le road a c c e s s . 9. Secondary B en e fits. It i s a s s u m e d t h a t e c o n o m i c b e n e f i t s a c c r u e t o t h e i m m e d i a t e v i c i n i t y of t h e s i t e a s a r e s u l t of u s e r e x p e n d i t u r e s . B en efits also a c c r u e to the e c o n o m y as a w h o le th ro u g h the s tim u la tio n of s a le of b o a t s , f u e l , a n d r e l a t e d i t e m s . H o w ev er, the p r im a r y p u rp o s e of t h i s p r o g r a m s h a l l b e to p r o v i d e r e c r e a t i o n a l b o a t i n g o p p o r ­ tu n ities r a th e r th an to s tim u la te eco n o m ic d ev elo p m en t. T here­ f o r e , s e c o n d a r y b e n e f i t s of a n e c o n o m i c n a t u r e s h a l l not b e u s e d a s a p r o g r a m c r i t e r i o n at this tim e . 1 0. E q u ita b le D i s t r i b u t i o n of F a c i l i t i e s . R e l i a n c e e n t i r e l y u p o n d e m a n d c r i t e r i a c o u l d r e s u l t in m a n y a r e a s of t h e S t a t e n o t b e i n g p r o v i d e d w i t h p u b l i c a c c e s s s i t e s . G e o ­ g r a p h ic c o n s id e r a ti o n s s h a ll b e b ro u g h t into th e p r o g r a m by th e W a t e r w a y s C o m m i s s i o n in i t s a l l o t m e n t of land a c q u i s i t i o n fu n d s t o t h e v a r i o u s P l a n n i n g R e g i o n s of t h e S t a t e . * R E C S Y S -S Y M A P (R e c re a tio n S y ste m s A n aly sis and S y n ag rap h lc M a p p in g ) is a c o m p u t e r i z e d a p p r o a c h to p l a n n i n g . U n d e r t h i s s y s t e m , d a t a on r e s i d e n c e of b o a t o w n e r , u s e of t h e b o a t , f r e q u e n c y of u s e , and r e l a t e d m a t t e r s a r e p r o c e s s e d by c o m p u te r to p r o d u c e a n a l y s is in b o t h t a b u l a r a n d m a p f o r m . P r o j e c t i o n s c a n t h e n b e m a d e of t h i s d a t a to p r e d i c t f u t u r e p a t t e r n s of b o a t i n g a c t i v i t y . A P PE N D IX 3 N U M B E R O F P U B L I C A C C E S S S I T E S IN M I C H I G A N AS O F J U L Y 1970 R E G I O N III W aterw ays S tate Parks R ecreatio n A reas 13 14 4 15 10 17 3 3 3 7 5 3 2 14 11 1 3 6 2 6 17 2 19 4 4 15 G am e 6 5 7 6 6 8 2 2 5 2 1 2 9 3 2 4 2 6 1 3 12 1 1 1 1 12 3 3 6 2 1 2 19 2 26 3 1 235 State F orest 8 1 8 10 39 96 0 114 19 26 4 15 10 23 9 0 3 11 7 7 2 8 4 15 13 14 8 14 2 10 29 4 32 8 3 12 15 1 2 21 26 19 2 97 REG IO N C ounty A lcona A lpena A n trim A renac Bay B en zie C harlevoix Cheboygan C lare C raw ford Em m et G ladw in G rand T ravers e Iosco Isabella K alkaska Lake L eelanau M an istee M ason M ecosta M idland M issau k ee M on tm o ren cy Newaygo Oc e a n a Og e m a w O sceola O scoda O tsego P r e s q u e Isle Roscom m on W exford TOTAL W aterw ays 3 3 29 6 2 20 16 18 14 23 6 9 S tate P arks II R ecreatio n A reas S tate F orest Gam e 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 4 3 7 3 4 23 9 3 29 38 13 23 17 19 2 4 18 19 6 21 19 8 15 11 6 7 2 1 1 1 1 459 21 I 3 1 5 1 2 7 6 1 3 3 4 1 1 1 2 1 5 5 6 1 5 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 6 2 6 1 2 74 1 10 52 T otal 4 7 30 6 6 24 19 30 17 34 8 20 34 10 3 33 42 15 24 18 27 4 14 28 20 7 25 19 11 22 15 23 9 608 98 REG IO N I C ounty W aterw ays S tate Parks R ecreatio n A reas S tate F orest A lger 10 C hippew a 11 3 4 D elta 20 1 1 D ickinson 20 C ogcbic 12 2 Iron 26 1 K eweenaw G am e 12 2 5 5 14 M ackinaw 12 M arquette 49 M enom inee 7 O ntonagon 4 23 22 4 29 1 15 1 28 6 Luce T otal 6 1 1 13 2 30 9 1 22 5 1 56 2 2 11 4 S choolcraft 13 1 B araga 20 1 4 H oughton 16 1 1 240 12 47 28 327 934 T otal 43 121 194 1333 T otal TOTAL STATE TOTALS 569 U sable 41 11 25 1 26 18 968 U sable A PPE N D IX 4 P U B L IC A C C E S S S IT E IN V EN T O R Y Ul fe b s •(j o01v ui o- i oo aMa oo i awa- iV^ '' iJ ' ui ug-^i oa i^ntaUi ai uo i- uo ur i^mv ii ;u. — ID ' m u 1 r i Tl I I 1 . I II II I u uuu u m to ^ m (*A —to 1 1 11 II I ; s i: ‘ 4 5 \ \ i V 1 I r -I N \ \ 9-. ■* ■ \ « ® ®®® ® 8S * 2 NOPn^N s 0) 0? &SS'K ' J ' J v l Nl v 0 01 ^ N C k tf 11, 1 V 0 ^ K . s* n H* n >r* L tf ► * 1 i.' I* Ul Ul s g g ’K N O I I I 6S I -* 1° II \ k N M M N> ——— ^ Ul U - » VUl U M,I N M— M O CD 01 D. N> O 01 I i k■ l-l I 'v ■ I 1 k V ■ \ s P k V -* n35 n> H n o» i/ir* ■< l/i - h \ k \ , TJ C Cl? f s; o N S \ \ > k S N s si \ s :: k s - >:: h s ;: 1111111111111111nii1111111i11ii111111111111111ii1111111111111111111it1111111111it111111m 1111111111 sO vD A PPE N D IX 5 P U B L IC A C C ESS S IT E IN V EN T O R Y M A R K -SEN SE FO R M 100 P UB L I C M A T trfu u . * A T | IH A Y 6 ACCESS SI TE I NVENTORY t TV tfirrw AWIAISTAATUft T -rrm n w i+v to tse— b ..... MTA "TOT1 U L A jQ iitO AT * * t not * M T T Of ---- F f c l Ct KID LOCATIOK AND AlttA DATA T rrm rs ■ ■ V .M J — ------------ i j * ' i t ~ * T r V T T i " ~ ‘^ ►M V l l x T t N t l ; 4 INrrTtNCi *► t hthm-i • i-ej : . 't : l A-R.JUUM Hii ------------- — lo j: " “ M hC Z ” S E C T IO N i 'j | . h i., i N tA P U t TO M — . --J ----- — -------- --- ------------------- AKA N^AT iV-iTt/LATl ijw *Air> 3 r o m r r iJ M . ro r IN C M A A E iff.i m wAifu u ? ,i SIT t DATA b u l l . TYl t IAAaI hc*TfA n.iT ACRU IN fclTL m ». A O U lf IOKA1. fcrJLCT.* f*O K fIftLt CJ7T ^ H .'.W fcUll i i r* riviM TVI I iu M «ovr « a t t * n .|T <0 r t r r tHCM ftHOht back fp o n Ai>LiTioNAi. Uni roiktiLX viLL vvirumrLTu amom: ------- A P PE N D IX 6 M IC H IG A N L A K E I N V E N T O R Y - 1965 W EXFORD COUNTY 1965 Mic higan Lake Inventory L a k e s By Siz e and By T y p e Size Class 1 No. Numbers 2 Acres Area Covered: of L a k e s 3 4 5 6 N o of Lakes 4 Of Col Tot 1 Of All Lakes Cun Tot Area of Wexford Lakes L e n g t h of Shore 7 8 9 10 11 Cun Tot In t e r Area Lakes Incld Total Acres Asgnd Acres Asgnd This Area I Of Col Tot Of All Lakes Cun Total \ & Not Asd County 12 13 14 15 16 17 % Of All \ Miles 1 Of Col Tot \ Cun Tot 18 19 20 Lakes Cun Total Cun Tot 1 No. 1 5 - 9 9 35 35 26 *» 0 57 57 1 1 64 5 2 •* 3.2 6 6 57.7 •* 1 2 10 - IS 4 15 15 17 65 0 46 46 1 1 6395 99 2.5 4 4 54.5 94 2 3 16 - 24 3 12 12 13 50 0 52 52 1 1 6349 98 2.9 5 5 52.0 90 3 0 0 62 9 7 9B 0. 0 0 0 49.1 85 4 1 1 6297 98 1.5 3 3 49.1 85 5 291 291 5 5 6245 97 6.6 11 11 47.6 82 6 1 229 119 2 2 5954 92 1.7 3 3 41.0 71 7 15 0 1B7 187 3 3 58 3 5 90 3.5 6 6 39.3 68 8 3 12 0 0 0 0 0 5648 88 0.0 0 0 35.8 62 9 3 12 0 0 0 0 0 5648 88 0. 0 0 0 35.8 62 10 0 0 0 0 5648 88 0. 0 0 0 35.8 62 11 12 25 - 39 0 0 0 10 38 0 0 40 - S9 1 4 4 10 38 0 0 6 60 - 99 4 15 15 9 35 0 7 100 - 159 1 4 4 5 19 B 160 - 249 1 4 4 4 9 250 - 399 0 0 0 10 400 - 599 0 0 0 - 600 - 999 0 0 0 3 12 0 12 1000 - 1599 1 4 4 3 12 0 1235 1235 19 19 5648 88 6.8 12 12 3 5.8 62 13 1600 - 249 9 1 4 4 2 8 1 1661 1613 25 25 4413 68 20.0 35 35 2 9.0 50 13 14 u 14 2500 - 3999 1 4 4 1 4 0 2800 280 0 43 43 2800 43 9.0 16 16 9.0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .0 0 0 0.0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 16 0 0 .0 0 17 0.0 0 18 57.7 ** 15 4000 - 599 9 0 16 6000 - 9999 0 17 10000 - 15 9 9 9 0 18 16000 - • 0 26 Total v 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 •• 645 2 0 0 0 0 ** •• 0 2 6558 0 0 0. 0 0 0 0 .0 0 0 64 5 2 •* 57.7 •t •• 0 0 0 0 ft* ** 0 101 0 52 4 5 A P PE N D IX 7 C O M P A R I S O N O F ” 1965 L A K E I N V E N T O R Y ” A N D C. R. H U M PH RY S' "M IC H IG A N L A K ES AND PO N D S" 1 r 342 A i i 600 A, T o ta l 258 A H u m p h ry s' In te rc o u n ty L ak e A c r e a g e A c r e a g e W h ic h L i e s in C o u n ty 480 A 80% L_ 120 A 600 A. 20% 1965 L a k e I n v e n t o r y - P e r c e n t of L a k e S h o r e l i n e W h ic h L i e s in C o u n ty 102 T otal A P PE N D IX 8 M IC H IG A N R E C R E A T IO N A L B O A T IN G N EED S Q U E STIO N N A IR E 103 STATE O F M IC H IG A N U naM H U IT K H M K I I COM M IIIKX4 • U T l t W M I CO M M IIIK M G EORGE RO M N EY , G o v v r n o r DEPARTMENT O F NATURAL RESOURCES CA Pl V lO tlN tO N C M, t AITALA iA IP H A MAC MUILAN, to rn r VQIM A* I . M U Ift Vic* CKrIhwm nm«jc« AUOUIT tC M O U l i. Q wIi w U C M A IO M. TtK M tO N ■ O K tT f. KIMO t O M T C. McLAUOMUM *OM*T a. chm ui M W M ITtLtT *mOMO IN o touw, jr. w ri T. IM m r k l U i n i r J Dear Boat Owner: At t h i s time of y e a r, when boats are out of the water, the Waterways Comnl ssl o n , l i k e everyone e l s e , 1s making plans f o r the coming season and seasons ahead. We want to make sure t h a t the r i v e r s and lakes of Michigan, Including th e Great Lakes, o f f e r sa fe and a c c e s s ib l e r e c r e a t i o n t o a l l who love the water. To help us In our j o b , we need your a s s i s t a n c e In fin di ng out more about the kinds o f f a c i l i t i e s you and o t h e r bo aters r e q u i r e . If ther e are shortages 1n c e r t a i n a r e a s , we would l i k e to know about them. We a re , t h e r e f o r e , sending you t h i s q u e s tio n n a ir e with the requ es t t h a t you take a few moments to f i l l I t out and send 1t back to us. This study 1s one of several resea rch p r o j e c t s being undertaken f o r the Waterways Division by the Recreation Research and Planning Unit a t Michigan Sta te University. Your name was taken a t random from the l i s t of boat r e g i s t r a n t s , and your reply need not be signed. I t will be used with a l l the ot her r e p l i e s to show us the p a t t e r n of boating 1n Michigan and I n d ic a te where we should be providing new o r Improved f a c i l i t i e s . Simply place your completed q u e s tio n n a ir e In the stamped, pre-addressed envelope and mall I t back to us a t your convenience. Thank you very much f o r your help. With b e s t wishes f o r a good season 1n 1969. Keith Wilson Di rector KW:Jaw Enclosures I 04 FOR Y O U R ASSISTANCE: A COUNTY A N D HIGHWAY MAP OF MICHIGAN ffsmnst vihiii I •o \r tt* fJ,i vo. ,11 _ _L _ I 105 M IC H IG A N R E C R E A T IO N A L B O A T IN G N E E D S Q U E S T IO N N A IR E PL E A S E ANSWER Q U E S T IO N S 1 T H R O U G H 13 F O R THE BOAT ID E N T IF IE D BY THE R E G IST R A T IO N NUM BER A N D BO A T LEN G T H WHICH APPEAR U N D E R Y O U R A D D R E S S O N PAGE 1 1 W HA T TYPE OF PO W ER SYSTEM DOES T H jS BO A T HAVE? (C heck one) □ □ O u tb o ard m o to r S ailboat w ith m o to r tH In b o a rd m o to r C In b o a rd m o to r w ith o u tb o a r d drive □ O th * r |w r ite in ) ______________________________________________ 2 W HA T IS THE H O R SE PO W E R RATING O F THE PR IM A R Y M O TO R (OR M OTORS) U SED O N THIS BO A T? Mp. Hp_ Indic4tfl h o r n p o w tr o f m y othM m o to ri uteri o n ( h it b o a t ; ______________ , ____ 3 W HA T COUNTY IS T H IS BOAT R E G IS T E R E D IN ? 4 W H E R E DO YOU U S U A L L Y KEEP T H IS BOA T Hi [Tl O □ G □ Q 5 ........................... .___ _ C o u n ty D U R IN G THE BO A TIN G SEA SO N ? (C heek one) At m y p e rm a n e n l h o m t, w hich it n o t o n a lake or river. Al w a te tf ro n iao # lo ra te d at m y p e rm a n e n t h o m e lot. Al a c o m m e rc ia l m arina b erth A t i tu tn m e r c o t l i g t A t i p u b lic I/-o w n e d m arina. A t i b o a t or y e c b t club. O th er ( ip e c ity ) _____________________________________________ _____________________________ W AS T H IS BOAT T R A N S P O R T E D FROM YOUR HOME OR O T H E R LOCATION TO P A R T IC U L A R LAUNCH IN G SIT E S D U R IN G THE PAST BOA TING SEA S O N (calendar year 10681? C YES Q NO If "N O " drip over q u e i li o n t 6 , 7, and 8 , an d p ro ceed w ith q u e ttio n 0. 6 W AS T H IS BOAT T R A N S P O R T E D BY [ J trailer □ car to p carrier 7 P L E A S E INDICATE T H E TO TA L NUM BER O F TIM ES YOU T R A N S P O R T E D T H IS BO A T FROM THE PLACE O F STO R A G E OR M O O R IN G TO THE PLACE O F U S E . N um ber o l t i m e i __________________________________________ 8 IN THE TABLE BELO W . NAME THE C O U N T IE S W HERE YOU M O ST O FT E N L A U N C H E D THIS BOAT; A N D IN D IC A T E THE N U M B E R OF TIMES THE BO A T WAS LAUNCHED A T EACH BOATING A CC ESS POINT. Num ber ©t Tima* T h k Boat L aunched a i C ounty IWrtt* in) Public Mm iim of flim p C ity. C ounty or Township M od L suD chn ■ 2nd m oat U u n c h e « A n o th e r Launch** w S im Faciliua* Commercia* aaar ina Federal Prtwate property or o t h a 106 9 D ID Y O U USE T H IS B O A T ON ANY O F T H E M ICH IG A N S E C T IO N S O F T H E G R E A T LA K ES. O R C O N N EC T IN G W A T E R S *. O U R IN G THE PA ST B O A T IN G SEA SO N (c a la n d a r y w 1968)7 ’ (G raat L a k a i an d c o n n a c tln g w atary a n L ak at H u ro n , S u p e rio r, E rla , M ichigan, an d S t. C lair; S t. M a rv 'i R tvar, S t. C lair R hrar, a n d D a tro it R tvar.) O □ 10 N O YES —— If " N O " , plaaaa p r o ceed to q u a t t k x i I t . If "Y E S ” plaaaa c o n tin u e w ith Q u e stio n 10. IN TH E TA B L E BELO W , NAM E THE T H R E E G R E A T L A K E S O R C O N N E C T IN G W A T ER S C O U N T IE 5 W HERE T H U BO A T WAS U S E D O U R IN G T H E PA S T BO A TIN G S E A S O N . Giva th a n u m b e r of d « v l t h a t th a b o a t w as a c tu a lly in th a w a ta r u n d a r pow ar or ta il In aa c h c o u n ty ; a n d give th a n u m b a r o f b o a tin g d a y t a p a n t o n p articu lar ecliv ltlea. (Saa m a p o n p ag a 7.) USE OF T H It BOAT ON GREAT LAKES AND CONNECTING WATERS ONLY Nota: Count aach part day g iw t boating a* a full day. Tha n u n t a of dayt want on waoHIt boating activities •nay not equal tha total numbar of dayt dtown in tha laft-hond column. Count aach part day apant on a particular boating activity aa ■ hilt day for that activity. 1 AciMim No. d*y« vow UNd thtatxw l f o r - Taial Oaya County IWrna Ini of Snattng 17 y v ta w i 4 * * 4 11 s flying Hunting ttrtrr Wllng Cru i4ng Othar (No D tyi) Omni (No. INo. Oayil INO. Dayal (NO. Oayyl INo. O tytl o 9 s o 11 z County of moat u a County of JnOmoal uat County 4 3 rf moat u u 4 LitZL. Olhm fWiIng Troul/Solmon Soatlna In "All O thar" Count Mi ► m D ID YOU U SE T H I t B O A T O N A N Y IN L A N D L A K ES O R ST R E A M S IN M IC H IG A N D U R IN G T H E PA ST BO A TIN G S E A S O N le a lan d a f y aar 1968)7 d D N O YES —— - II " N O " plaaaa p r o caad to Q u a il Ion 13. II " Y E S " plaaaa c o n tln u a w ith q u a a tio n n o . 17. 107 12 IN T H E TA B L E B E L O W . NAME T H E T H R E E M ICH IG A N C O U N T IE S W HERE T H I t B O A T WAS U S E D M O ST ON IN L A N D L A K E S A N D STR EA M S O U R IN G T H E PA ST B O A TIN G S E A S O N ' G Iva th a n u m b a r of d a y t th a t I h lt b o a t w a t a c tu a lly In t h a w a ta r u n d a r p o w ar o r call In aa c h of thaaa c o u n tia * ; and glva th a n u m b a r o f b o a tin g d a y t v a n t o n v a r io u t a c tM tio t (S aa m m o n paga 2.1 USE OF THIS BOAT ON INLAND LAKES » STREAMS Nota: Count aach part day apant boating at a lull day. Tha numbar of dayt tpant on gatlflc boating act Mt tat may not aqual tha total numbar of dayt dtown in tha lofi-hand column. Count aach part day apant on a particular boating actMty aa a fu d day lor that actMty. i B ottlnf A clM ltn No d kyt you um d thlt boot for - Total Oaya af County (ttrila in) •o o tlrv EXAMPLE ti County of molt L r« » <* County of 2nd motl m 4 County of 3rd m oit u«* 4 13 fMhlng Hum in| (No D tyil (No Day*} (No Dlytt 'V J JL 4m — Oth* Ttoul/StlmoR f rthinf Wptar dtifof CrutPng Of hat (No DM INo. Davd (No O artl Z a o ► um m ftoattnf in "All — O lh*t“ C ounim D ID Y O U USE THIS BO A T IN ANY C A N A D IA N PR O V IN C E O R A STA TE O T H E R T H A N M IC H IG A N D U R IN G TH E PA ST B O A T IN G SE A S O N (calan d ar y a a r 196817 □ □ N O YES — — — II " N O " . * l p o v ar th a ram alndar o f ttili q u a tllo n and p ro c a a d w ith q u a ttlo n 14. If "Y E S ," p la a a a c o m p la ta th a ta b la b alo w . O th o S la tH Gtvv i h t Nurrtoar <4 D a y i Boot mot In ih a INotor Undar N w r or Soil C o u n ty o* n—HH c ity Of know n) a C ounty of m o it u m . H um ■ C o u n ty o f 3rd m o d um : m C o u n ty of 2n d m oot Nam* of Star* or Canadian Frovfnca *11 u n k n o w n , p la a ta c o n tu lt a h ig h w a y m ap. * * (N 0 T E : c o u n t a a c h p o rt t h y o f b o a tin g a t a full d ay ). Nurrfcor of b o a tln f d»yt* * I08 THE F O L L O W IN G O U E STIO N C O N C E R N S O T H E R R E C R E A T IO N A L BOATS OW NED IN A D D ITIO N T O THE O N E ID E N T IF IE D BY THE R E G IST R A T IO N N U M BER ON PAGE 1. (N o t* 1 4 If y o u Own n o o th e r b o a tt. pleaee check h e re CD an d (h ip oyer to q u e ttlo n IS ) IN THE TA BLE BELOW , G IV E THE NUM BER O F O T H E R R E G IS T E R E D AND U N R E G IS T E R E D BOA TS OWNED BY Y O U , AND BY THE M EM BERS OF Y O U R IM M EDIATE F A M IL Y R E S ID IN G WITH Y O U A lao. Give lb* boat length an d h o raep o w et ratin g o t th e m otor ueed o n it Length Typa of boat* Horeppovwt rating of tha motor -------------- - .............. - ---------------- ---------------- ----------- 'I n c lu d e o th e r m b o ard t, o u ttx re rd i. ta illw a ti, carroef, in b o ard o u tb o a rd i, ro w b o a li. e tc IN O R D E R T O FO RECA ST THE F U T U R E DEM AND F O R B O A TIN G F A C IL IT IE S IN M IC H IG A N . IT IS N E C E SSA R Y FO R US T O BE ABLE TO TIE IN F A M IL Y C H A R A C T E R IS T IC S W ITH BOA TING USE P A T T E R N S PLEASE ASSIST US BY ANSW ERING THE Q U E ST IO N S IN THE FOLLOW ING S E C T IO N . 15 PLEASE G IV E Y O U R C O U N TY AND STA TE OF PERM ANENT R E S ID E N C E , AND WRITE IN Y O U R PO STA L ZIP CODE C o u n ty n a m e ________ 16 W HAT IS THE AGE AND SEX OF THE "H E A D A ge 1 7 yean ___ S t a te . P o tta l Z ip C o d e ______ O F YOUR F A M IL Y ?" S ex FI] Male C J F em ale GIV E THE AGE AND SEX O F EACH M EM BER O F YOUR FAM ILY R E S ID IN G WITH YOU (e* elu d in g th e "h ead ol ho u aah o ld ") M a lt. 18 ... iQ f t _ Fem ale; W HAT IS THE O CC U PA TIO N O F THE "H E A D O F Y O U R F A M IL Y ?" (P leaw in d icate th e ty p e o l jo b th a t you hold, NO T I h t o rg a n iz a tio n for w h ich y o u w ork I . fMVrn* m l 1 9 PLEA SE EST IM A T E Y O U R TOTAL FA M ILY INCOM E FOR 1968 BY CH EC K IN G THE P R O P E R BOX BELOW. (Chech o n ly o n e b o a ). □ □ U nder S .1 .0 0 0 S 3 ,0 0 0 to $ 5 ,9 9 9 □ U $ 6 .0 0 0 to S 7 ,0 9 9 $ 8 ,0 0 0 to $ 9 ,9 9 9 f □ 1 S 10.0 0 0 t o $ 1 4 ,9 9 9 $ 1 5 ,0 0 0 to $ 3 4 ,9 9 9 H $ 7 5 ,0 0 0 an d over 109 2 0 WHICH OF T H E A N S W E R S BE LO W BE ST I N D I C A T E S THE T O T A L Y E A R S O F E D U C A T IO N C O M P L E T E D BY THE " H E A O OF Y O U R F A M I L Y ? " (C heck o n e b o « ) □ □□□□□□□ □ n a □ □□□□□□ 1 2 1 2 3 4 6 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 IS 16 17 IN THE S P A C E BELO W . P LE A S E IN D IC A T E A N Y S P EC IA L B O A T I N G P R O B L E M S Y O U M A Y H A V E : TH A N K S F OR YOUR HELP I If you M d d n llr ml (piece the return awMl ope provided, pleete mail to: Recreation R iiiiri* end Planning Unit Room 317 Natural Reeourcee Building MMitgan State Univertity Eaat Lanalng, M kM ^n 4BBZ3 or m ore A PPE N D IX 9 SIZE AND T Y P E O F R E G ISTER ED BOATS IN M I C H I G A N C O U N T I E S S iz e and Type of R e g iste r e d B oats in M ichigan C ounties (P rep ared by the M ichigan D epartm en t of State, D e ce m b e r 31, 1968) on County N um ber N am e of County Type of P r o p u lsio n 12*0” & Under 12' 1" to 20'0" 20'1" to 30'0" 30'1" to 40'0" 4 0 '1 ” & Over T ota ls 01 Alcona Outboard Inboard Sailboat 198 0 2 200 489 14 2 505 1 5 1 7 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 688 20 5 713 02 A lger Outboard Inboard Sailboat 357 3 1 361 500 7 2 509 4 11 0 15 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 861 22 3 886 03 A llegan Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,0 0 6 27 10 2 ,0 4 3 2 ,0 9 1 113 8 2 ,2 1 2 57 47 5 109 0 13 1 14 0 3 0 3 4 ,1 5 4 203 24 4 ,3 8 1 04 Alpena Outboard Inboard Sailboat 745 5 8 758 2 ,3 4 8 62 10 2 ,4 2 0 51 28 15 94 1 4 1 6 0 0 0 0 3 ,1 4 5 99 34 3 ,2 7 8 05 A n trim Outboard Inboard Sailboat 550 3 ___0 553 1 ,5 9 9 145 8 1 ,7 5 2 14 49 ___ 1 64 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 2 ,1 6 4 199 9 2 ,3 7 2 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County N um ber 06 N am e of County A renac Type of P ro p u lsio n 12'0" & Under 12' 1" to 20'0" Outboard Inboard Sailboat 130 1 3 134 434 18 __ 4 456 20'1" to 3 0 '0 M 30'1” to 40'0" 40' 1" & Over T otals 7 10 0 17 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 571 30 7 608 _______ B a rage Outboard Inboard Sailboat 156 1 3 160 509 9 0 518 0 11 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 665 21 3 689 08 B arry Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,5 8 6 8 6 1 ,6 0 0 1 ,8 9 5 95 3 1 ,9 9 3 77 17 2 96 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 ,5 5 9 121 11 3 ,6 9 2 _______ 09 Bay Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,4 1 5 7 9 1 ,4 3 1 3 ,5 1 2 227 34 3 ,7 7 3 49 193 14 256 2 57 2 61 2 17 1 20 4 ,9 8 0 501 60 5 ,5 4 1 10 B e n z ie Outboard Inboard Sailboat 388 7 4 399 1 ,1 2 7 80 1 1 ,2 0 8 12 16 __ 3 31 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 ,5 2 7 104 8 1 ,6 3 9 ‘ 111 07 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County Number N a m e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n 12'0" k Under 12' 1" to 2 0 '0 U 20'1" to 3 0 '0 M 11 B e r r ie n Outboard Inboard Sailboat 3 ,5 8 2 16 7 3 ,6 0 5 4,6 01 216 20 4 ,8 3 7 83 196 8 287 4 50 7 61 2 6 0 8 8 ,2 7 2 484 42 8 ,7 9 8 12 Branch Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,6 0 4 6 6 1 ,6 1 6 3 ,3 8 4 118 4 3 ,5 0 6 115 4 0 119 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 ,1 0 4 129 10 5 ,2 4 3 13 Calhoun Outboard Inboard Sailboat 4 ,0 2 5 22 14 4 ,0 6 1 4 ,0 4 9 180 5 4 ,2 3 4 161 42 0 203 5 18 1 24 0 11 0 11 8 ,2 4 0 273 20 8 ,5 3 3 14 C ass Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,3 4 8 6 9 2 ,3 6 3 4,0 3 8 240 10 4 ,2 8 8 169 20 0 189 3 1 0 4 0 1 0 1 6 ,5 5 8 268 19 6 ,8 4 5 15 C h a rle v o ix Outboard Inboard Sailboat 511 7 6 524 1 ,2 3 4 150 6 1 .3 9 0 62 88 11 161 1 11 3 15 0 2 2 4 1 ,8 0 8 258 28 2 ,0 9 4 30' 1" to 40'0" 40' 1" & Over T otals 112 A P P E N D I X 9 - - C o n t in u e d County Num ber N a m e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n U'O" k Under 12' 1" to 20 '0 ” 20' 1" to 30'0" 3 0 T 1 to 40'0" 40 ’ 1" & Over T ota ls 16 Cheboygan Outboard Inboard Sailboat .4 26 3 __ 1_2 441 1 ,9 0 7 157 7 2 ,0 7 1 25 70 __ 3 98 0 9 1 10 0 1 0 1 2 ,3 5 8 240 23 2 ,6 2 1 17 Chippewa Outboard Inboard Sailboat 436 0 8 444 2 ,4 7 2 90 1 2 ,5 6 3 19 93 9 121 0 11 ___0 11 1 2 ___0 3 2 ,9 2 8 196 18 3 ,1 4 2 18 C la r e Outboard Inboard Sailboat 655 2 2 659 694 22 3 719 20 7 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 ___ 0 0 1,3 6 9 31 5 1 ,40 5 19 Clinton Outboard Inboard Sailboat 879 10 __ 4 893 1 ,6 0 5 29 4 1,6 3 8 42 11 0 53 0 3 0 3 0 0 ___ 0 0 2 ,5 2 6 53 8 2 ,5 8 7 20 Crawford Outboard Inboard Sailboat 192 5 4 201 311 9 __ 5 325 23 4 0 27 1 0 0 1 0 0 ___ 0 0 527 18 9 554 A P P E N D IX 9 - - C o n t i n u e d County Number N am e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n i2 '(r Under 12' 1" to 20'0" 20' 1" to 30'0" 3 0 '1 M to 4 0 ’0" 40’ 1" & Over T otals D elta Outboard Inboard Sailboat 467 3 __ 3 473 1 ,268 28 5 1,301 14 23 1 38 0 8 __ 3 11 1 3 ___0 4 1 ,7 5 0 65 12 1 ,8 2 7 22 D ickinson Outboard Inboard Sailboat 756 4 2 762 848 15 1 864 4 1 0 5 1 2 0 3 0 1 ___0 1 1,6 0 9 23 3 1 ,635 23 Eaton Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,4 3 9 12 11 1 ,4 6 2 1 ,9 9 2 75 9 2 ,0 7 6 75 16 1 92 1 3 1 5 0 0 0 0 3 ,5 0 7 106 22 3 ,6 3 5 24 E m m et Outboard Inboard Sailboat 542 5 6 553 1,418 157 5 1 ,5 8 0 29 66 7 102 0 17 3 20 0 3 2 5 1,9 8 9 248 23 2 ,2 6 0 25 G enesee Outboard Inboard Sailboat 7 ,7 7 2 48 89 7 ,8 5 9 13,941 816 44 14,801 386 242 28 656 1 83 8 92 0 14 1 15 2 2 ,1 0 0 1 ,1 8 9 120 2 3 ,4 0 9 114 21 A P P E N D IX 9 - - C o n t i n u e d N a m e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n 26 Gladwin Outboard Inboard Sailboat 27 Gogebic Outboard Inboard Sailboat 28 Grand 29 30 12'0n & Under 410 0 3 413 12' 1" to 2 0 ,0 M 2 0 ' r ' to 30'0" 30'1" to 40, 0" 40’ 1" & Over T ota ls 689 24 1 714 20 4 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 ,1 1 9 28 4 1,151 510 2 5 517 1,3 48 29 2 1,3 79 11 22 0 33 1 5 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 ,8 7 0 58 7 1 ,9 3 5 Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,3 2 2 13 23 1,3 5 8 3,1 3 8 162 23 3 ,3 2 3 45 82 10 137 1 21 5 27 0 3 0 3 4 ,5 0 6 278 61 4 ,8 4 5 G ratiot Outboard Inboard Sailboat 753 3 3 759 1,2 7 3 45 1 1,3 1 9 29 5 1 35 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 ,0 5 5 55 5 2 ,1 1 5 H illsd a le Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,0 6 2 4 12 1,078 1 ,5 4 4 44 8 1 .5 9 6 49 6 0 55 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 2 ,6 5 6 56 20 2 ,7 3 2 115 County Num ber APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County Num ber N am e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n 12’0M h Under U ' l " to 20'0" 20' 1" to 30'1" 30’ 1" to 4 0 , 1" 4 0 , 1" & Over T o tals Houghton Outboard Inboard Sailboat 433 1 5 439 1 ,3 8 3 81 4 1 ,4 6 8 6 70 0 76 0 13 1 14 0 3 0 3 1 ,8 2 2 168 10 2 ,0 0 0 32 Huron Outboard Inboard Sailboat 144 3 1 148 1 ,1 3 4 53 5 1 ,1 9 2 9 48 2 59 0 13 1 14 0 0 0 0 1 ,2 8 7 117 9 1 ,4 1 3 33 Ingham Outboard Inboard Sailboat 4 ,9 1 5 54 35 5 ,0 0 4 7,5 61 348 47 7 ,9 5 6 216 121 8 345 2 36 3 41 0 5 0 5 1 2 ,6 9 4 564 93 13,351 34 Ionia Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,3 4 3 7 10 1 ,3 6 0 1 ,3 6 3 29 5 1 ,3 9 7 37 11 1 49 1 3 0 4 0 2 0 2 2 ,7 4 4 52 16 2 ,8 1 2 35 Io sc o Outboard Inboard Sailboat 548 12 3 563 1 ,4 9 2 44 3 1,5 3 9 9 19 4 32 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 ,0 4 9 78 10 2 ,1 3 7 116 31 A P P E N D IX 9 - - C o n t i n u e d County Number N a m e of County Type of P ro p u lsion 12'0U k Under 40, r ’ k Over i 2 ' r ' to 20'0" 2 0 ’ 1" to 3 0 '0 M 30'1" to 4 0 ,0 M 1 ,128 13 2 1 ,1 4 3 9 1 0 10 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 ,9 3 0 20 2 1 ,9 5 4 957 38 1 996 23 9 0 32 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1,681 49 2 1 ,7 3 2 T otals Iron Outboard Inboard Sailboat 791 5 2 798 37 Isa b ella Outboard Inboard Sailboat 701 0 ___ 1_ 702 38 J a ck so n Outboard Inboard Sailboat 4 ,5 6 0 26 18 4 ,6 0 4 5 ,0 6 5 302 22 5 ,3 8 9 217 42 5 264 6 12 4 22 0 1 0 1 9 ,8 4 6 383 49 1 0 ,2 8 0 39 K alam azoo Outboard Inboard Sailboat 5 ,4 7 7 22 21 5 ,5 2 0 5 ,4 6 3 392 20 5 ,8 7 5 228 108 13 349 6 33 2 41 0 7 1 8 1 1 ,1 7 4 562 57 1 1 ,7 9 3 40 Kalkaska Outboard Inboard Sailboat 389 12 1 402 8 6 _0 14 1 1 _0 2 0 0 _0 0 696 21 2 719 298 2 ___ 1_ 301 117 36 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County Number N am e of County T ype of P ro p u lsio n 12'0" & Under U ' l " to 20'0" 20' 1" to 30' 0 T 30' 1" t* 40'0" 40' r ’ & Over T otals 41 Kent Outboard Inboard Sailboat 9 ,1 8 0 59 49 9 ,2 8 8 12,998 746 70 1 3 ,8 1 4 378 401 35 814 14 120 11 145 3 22 __ 1_ 26 2 2 ,5 7 3 1,3 48 166 2 4 ,0 6 7 42 Keweenaw Outboard Inboard Sailboat 40 0 0 40 137 6 0 143 1 10 0 11 0 1 _0 1 0 0 _0 0 178 17 __ 0 195 43 Lake Outboard Inboard Sailboat 315 1 0 316 320 4 0 324 1 2 _0 3 0 0 _0 0 0 0 _0 0 636 7 __ 0 643 44 L apeer Outboard Inboard 5ailboat 768 3 __ 3 774 1 ,0 9 2 37 2 1,131 16 10 0 26 1 5 0 6 0 0 _0 0 1 ,8 7 7 55 5 1 ,9 3 7 45 Leelanau Outboard Inboard Sailboat 357 2 9 368 1 ,3 1 4 113 6 1 ,4 3 3 25 59 4 88 0 6 1 7 0 1 0 1 1 ,6 9 6 181 20 1 ,8 9 7 A P P E N D I X 9 - " C o n tin u e d County N um ber N a m e of County Type of P r o p u lsio n 12'0" & Under 12' 1" to 2 0 ’0 M 20'1" to 30'0" 30'1" to 40'0" 40' 1" & Over T ota ls Lenaw ee Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,7 1 3 16 12 1 ,7 4 1 3 ,4 0 9 197 7 3 ,6 1 3 141 19 0 160 0 8 0 8 0 0 0 0 5 ,2 6 3 240 19 5 ,5 2 2 47 L ivin gston Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,4 1 6 4 2 1 ,4 2 2 1 ,9 7 2 100 6 2 ,0 7 8 64 13 2 79 0 3 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 ,4 5 2 120 11 3 ,5 8 3 48 L uce Outboard Inboard Sailboat 266 1 0 467 485 6 1 492 4 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 755 10 1 765 49 M ackinac Outboard Inboard Sailboat 240 2 2 244 1 ,658 71 2 1,731 7 129 2 138 0 11 1 12 1 5 0 6 1 ,9 0 6 218 7 2 ,1 3 1 50 M acom b Outboard Inboard Sailboat 3 ,7 5 9 120 60 3 ,9 3 9 1 3 ,0 4 3 1 ,4 0 9 119 14,571 230 2 ,8 3 8 135 3 ,2 0 3 16 492 14 522 0 41 3 44 17 ,0 4 8 4 ,9 0 0 331 2 2 ,2 7 9 119 46 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County N um ber N a m e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n 12T0 ’T & Under 12' 1" to 20*0" 20' 1" to 30'0" SO'l" to 40'0" 40' 1" it Over T o tals 51 M a n iste e Outboard Inboard Sailboat 508 0 6 514 1 ,5 0 3 73 7 1 ,5 8 3 15 40 5 60 0 9 0 9 0 1 0 1 2 ,0 2 6 123 18 2 ,1 6 7 52 M arquette Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,4 9 0 8 4 1 ,5 0 2 1 ,6 9 6 53 15 1 ,7 6 4 10 49 5 64 0 11 0 11 0 1 0 1 3 ,1 9 6 122 24 3 ,3 4 2 53 M ason Outboard Inboard Sailboat 539 3 __ 5 547 i ; 622 63 5 1 ,6 9 0 11 43 3 57 0 8 1 9 0 0 _0 0 2 ,1 7 2 117 14 2 ,3 0 3 54 M e c o sta Outboard Inboard Sailboat 907 5 4 916 1 ,0 2 8 22 0 1,051 27 10 1 38 3 2 _0 5 0 0 J) 0 1 ,9 6 5 40 5 2 ,0 1 0 55 M en om in ee Outboard Inboard Sailboat 499 6 3 686 12 9 7 30 4 0 10 2 0 2 2 1 ,1 9 2 60 20 A P P E N D IX 9 - -C o n t in u e d 12'0" & Under 12'1Mto 20'0" 20'1" to 30' 0" 3 0 '1 ” to 40' 0" 40'1" & Over T ota ls Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,378 4 10 1 ,3 9 2 2 ,7 1 4 107 19 2 ,8 4 0 79 30 9 118 4 4 2 10 0 1 1 2 4 ,1 7 5 146 41 4 ,3 6 2 M issa u k ee Outboard Inboard Sailboat 235 2 ___0 237 370 6 0 376 9 0 _0 9 0 0 _0 0 0 0 J> 0 614 8 0 622 58 M onroe Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,1 7 2 14 3 1 ,1 8 9 3,3 7 5 214 23 3 ,6 1 2 67 270 19 356 5 61 __ 5 71 0 4 _0 4 4 ,6 1 9 563 50 5 ,2 3 2 59 M ontcalm Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,5 4 5 14 8 1 ,5 6 7 1 ,5 9 9 25 1 1 ,6 2 5 35 6 ___ 1 42 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 ,1 8 0 45 10 3 ,2 3 5 60 M ontm orency Outboard Inboard Sailboat 354 3 473 8 0 481 18 2 _0 20 0 0 _0 0 0 1 0 1 845 14 1 860 County Number N am e of County Type of P rop u lsion 56 Midland 57 ___I 358 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County Number N am e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n lZ ’O” t Under 12' 1" to 20'0" 2 0 ’ 1" to 30'0" 30' 1" to 40'0" 40'1" Over Totals 61 M uskegon Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,8 6 3 11 14 2 ,8 8 8 5 ,2 5 6 332 29 5 ,6 1 7 43 247 30 320 0 41 6 47 0 9 1 10 8 ,1 6 2 640 80 8 ,8 8 2 62 N ew aygo Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,0 8 0 3 5 1 ,0 8 8 1 ,4 0 4 32 7 1 ,4 4 3 17 11 0 28 2 3 0 5 0 1 0 1 2 ,5 0 3 49 12 2 ,5 6 4 63 Oakland Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 1 ,4 1 4 89 101 1 1 ,6 0 4 2 0 ,6 8 9 2 ,1 7 2 221 2 3 ,0 8 2 439 1 ,1 1 9 131 1 ,6 8 9 19 457 41 517 0 93 7 100 3 2,5 6 1 3 ,9 3 0 501 3 6 ,9 9 2 64 Oceana Outboard Inboard Sailboat 421 1 0 422 747 20 2 769 4 13 0 17 1 2 0 3 0 1 _0 1 1 ,1 7 3 37 2 1 ,2 1 2 65 Ogemaw Outboard Inboard Sailboat 428 2 2 432 607 6 0 613 8 2 0 10 0 0 _0 0 0 0 0 0 1 ,0 4 3 10 2 1 ,0 5 5 12'0M & Under 12’ 1" to 20*0" SO'O" 40'0" o Type of P ro p u lsio n o *— * N am e of County o County Number o >— ' APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued 40' 1" & Over T otals 66 Ontonagon Outboard Inboard Sailboat 183 0 4 187 459 13 0 472 1 16 0 17 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 643 30 __ 4 677 67 O sc e o la Outboard Inboard Sailboat 501 7 0 508 436 12 0 448 9 4 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 _0 0 946 23 0 969 68 O scoda Outboard Inboard Sailboat 172 2 0 174 226 1 __ 1_ 228 2 0 0 0 J_ _0 3 0 0 0 _0 0 400 3 2 405 483 3 3 489 592 24 3 619 14 5 _2 21 0 2 _0 2 0 1 1,0 8 9 35 8 1,1 3 2 2 ,1 1 3 14 28 2 ,1 5 5 4 ,0 4 1 369 34 4 ,4 4 4 98 260 44 402 2 74 6 82 i 6 ,2 5 5 726 113 7 ,0 9 4 69 70 O tsego Ottawa Outboard Inboard Sailboat Outboard Inboard Sailboat T i ii APPEND IX 9 - - C o n t i n u e d County Number N am e of County Type of P ro p u lsio n 12'0" & Under 12' 1" to 20 '0 ” 20'1" to 30*0" 30*1" to 40*0” 71 P r e sq u e Outboard Inboard Sailboat 390 1 __ 2 393 886 18 __ 3 907 7 6 _0 13 0 0 _0 0 0 0 _0 0 1 ,2 8 3 25 5 1 ,3 1 3 72 R o sco m m o n Outboard Inboard Sailboat 430 4 16 450 2 ,4 5 2 70 4 2 ,5 2 6 126 9 3 138 0 1 0 1 0 0 _0 0 3 ,0 0 8 84 23 3 ,1 1 5 73 Saginaw Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,8 2 1 15 18 2 ,8 5 4 6 ,6 0 1 283 28 6 ,9 1 2 111 131 26 268 3 59 5 67 0 7 J> 7 9 ,5 3 6 495 77 10 ,108 74 St. C lair Outboard Inboard Sailboat 882 9 28 919 4 ,3 6 6 512 30 4 ,9 0 8 35 710 20 765 8 90 10 108 0 18 4 22 5,2 9 1 1 ,3 3 9 92 6 ,7 2 2 75 St. J osep h Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,6 2 5 14 14 2 ,6 5 3 2 ,8 2 2 75 7 2 ,9 0 4 95 14 4 113 0 8 0 8 0 3 0 3 5 ,5 4 2 114 25 5 ,6 8 1 40'1" Over T otals APPENDIX 9 --Continued County Number N a m e of County Type of P r o p u lsio n 12'0M & Under 12' 1" to 20'0" 20'1" to 30'0" 3 0 'I" to 4 0 '0 M 40' 1" k Over T otals 76 Sanilac Outboard Inboard Sailboat 237 0 __ 2 239 621 22 3 646 5 15 0 20 1 6 _0 7 0 2 0 2 864 45 __ 5 914 77 Schoolcraft Outboard Inboard Sailboat 405 3 7 415 838 6 ___0 844 4 8 _0 12 1 0 0 1 0 0 J> 0 1,248 17 7 1 ,2 7 2 78 S h ia w a ss e e Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 ,1 1 8 6 1 1 ,1 2 5 1 ,9 3 7 51 3 1,991 42 21 0 0 64 0 3 _0 3 JL 0 3 ,0 9 7 81 5 3 ,1 8 3 _J_ 79 T u sc o la Outboard Inboard Sailboat 548 3 __ 4 555 1 ,2 3 0 37 6 1 ,2 7 3 13 36 _0 49 3 8 J_ 12 0 3 J) 3 1 ,7 9 4 87 11 1 ,8 9 2 80 Van B uren Outboard Inboard Sailboat 2 ,2 0 7 2 5 2 ,2 1 4 2 ,2 6 8 66 6 2 ,3 4 0 31 23 _2 56 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 4 ,5 0 6 96 13 4 ,6 1 5 APPENDIX 9 --C ontinued County Number N a m e of County Type of P r o p u lsio n 12' 1" & Under 12’ 1" to 20, 0" 20' 1" to 3 0 '0 ” 3 0 '1 ” to 4 0 ’0" 40’ 1" & Over T ota ls 81 Washtenaw Outboard Inboard Sailboat 3 ,2 7 5 22 24 3,3 2 1 4 ,2 6 0 250 38 4 ,5 4 8 116 80 21 217 2 37 3 42 0 8 0 8 7 ,6 5 3 397 86 8 ,1 3 6 82 Wayne Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 5 ,5 4 6 207 158 15,911 4 1 ,4 3 3 3 ,7 0 6 503 4 5 ,6 4 2 633 4 ,2 6 7 354 5 ,2 5 4 37 1 ,2 4 7 88 1 ,3 7 2 4 202 20 226 5 7 ,6 5 3 9 ,6 2 9 1 ,1 2 3 6 8 ,4 0 5 83 W exford Outboard Inboard Sailboat 626 4 4 634 1 ,2 2 7 21 2 1 ,2 5 0 25 7 0 32 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 ,8 7 8 35 6 1 ,9 1 9 84 Other Outboard Inboard Sailboat 3 ,1 4 8 14 15 3 ,1 7 7 7,6 71 494 35 8 ,2 0 0 213 248 28 489 0 79 4 83 0 9 2 11 1 1 ,0 3 2 844 84 1 1 ,9 6 0 Outboard Inboard Sailboat 1 3 7 ,0 2 9 1 ,0 6 8 958 1 3 9 ,0 5 5 2 5 6 ,7 5 6 1 6 ,5 3 5 1 .6 0 3 2 7 4 ,8 9 4 5 ,6 5 1 13 ,0 3 8 1 ,0 4 5 1 9 .7 3 4 166 3 ,3 1 7 249 3 ,7 3 2 16 537 49 602 3 9 9 ,6 1 8 3 4 ,4 9 5 3 .9 0 4 4 3 8 ,0 1 7 State T otals FINA L TOTALS A P P E N D I X 10 COUNTY DA TA SH EET COUNTY DA TA S U M M A R Y - - A L C O N A COUNTY Lake Size C la s s * Num ber Lakes 5 10 16 25 40 60 100 160 250 400 600 1 ,0 0 0 1 ,6 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,0 0 0 16 ,00 0+ 4 16 4 6 5 7 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 T otal 47 Num ber A cres 29 199 72 194 228 546 115 193 0 0 729 1 ,0 0 8 0 0 0 9 ,2 0 0 Hubbard 9 ,2 0 0 (2 s it e s ) 0 0 1 3 ,4 8 9 APPENDIX 10--C ontinued Number Lakes 47 Num ber A cres 13 ,4 8 9 Num ber WW S ites 3 Lake A c r e s with WW Sites 9 ,2 0 0 N um ber of S ites Number F o r e str y , P a rk U sable and G am e S ites S ites 0 2 Dem a nd 1965 1 5 6 ,4 9 7 1980 4 5 1 ,5 1 3 P e r Cent In c r e a se APPEN DIX II S T A T E PLA N N IN G REGIONS AS O F JU N E, 19 71 129 Alcona County W a te r R e s o u rc e Data (1) Inland L akes T o t a l n u m b e r 91 T o tal a r e a 12,260 a c re s N u m b e r l e s s th an 200 a c r e s - - 8 8 Largest lake--H ubbard, M o r e th a n 200 acres --3 8,850 a c r e s O t h e r l a r g e l a k e s - - C e d a r ( p a r t i a l l y in I o s c o County) 1,075 acres; M cC o llu m (partially in O s c o d a C o u n ty ) 224 a c r e s and A lcona D a m 'P o n d 1,007 a c r e s . Inland S t r e a m s (1) T o t a l m i l e s of s t r e a m s 362 T h u n d e r B a y R i v e r d r a i n s a b o u t 27 5 s q u a r e m i l e s in t h e c o u n t y . T h e P i n e R i v e r d r a i n s a b o u t 209 s q u a r e m i l e s in t h e c o u n t y . A u S a b l c R i v e r d r a i n s a b o u t 98 B q u a r e m i l e s i n t h e c o u n t y . (3) G r e a t Lakes S h o r e lin e - -25 m iles G r o u n d W a t e r - - L a r g e s u p p lie s , t e m p e r a t u r e about 47°. Pow er Dams Name Alcona D am (2) R iver AuSable Owner C o n su m ers Power Company P u b lic W ater Supplies H arrisville from w ells (1) W a t e r s i d e R e c r e a t i o n A r e a s (State) P u b l i c F i s h i n g S i t e s - - 5 . 6 8 a c r e s , 250 f e e t f r o n t a g e o n 1 la k e s i t e and 0. 6 a c r e s , 265 f e e t f r o n t a g e on 1 s tre a m site P a r k s - - H a r r i s v i l l e State P a rk , U .S. 77 a c r e s . Lake Huron W eather B u re a u Station H arrisville, annual precipitation 30.73 inches. Irrig a tlo n -- Two sy ste m s irrigating six a c re s. 130 B 9 10 11 13 14 DETROIT JA CKSO N KAl A M A Z O O - B A T T L E c r e e k BENTON H A R B O R -ST JO S E P H FLINT LANSING SA GI N AW BAY GRAND R A P I O S - M U S K E G O N ALPENA T R A V E R SE CITY ■ SAULT S T E M A R IE ESCANABA M A R Q U E T T E - I R O N MOUNTAIN HOUGHTON-IRONW OOD r ~ tn 7At lZ 9 AJ 7 m T3T* < A ta | « A M J » A J» I _J— i— LZi I i - — ft M M I t O f f i c i a l S ta te P l a n n i n g R e g i o n s and R e c r e a t i o n P l a n Sub R e g i o n s a s o f J u n e 1971 A P P E N D I X 12 CO U N TY LAKE LISTS F O R H ILL SD A L E , AND JACKSON CO U N TIES LENAWEE Lake Acres N u m b e r of Sites and Existing Parking Lake Name Lake Rank Hym phrys' Lake Number Hill s d a le C ou nty 48 5. 0 Le Ann 1 3 329. 0 Baw B c e s c ( F ir s t) 2 184 213. 0 Long 1 /8 3 278 140. 0 H em lock 1 /1 0 4 194 128. 0 Cub 1 /1 0 5 274 117.0 Bear 1 /0 6 259 113.0 Bird 1 /1 0 7 245 1 45 2 163 3 80 49* L en aw ee County 1 /1 0 1330.0 D e v i Is 515.0 Round 440. 0 Sand 394. 0 W a m p Ie r a 4 201. 0 Evans 5 130 200. 0 Goose 6 4 150. 0 Posey 7 172 125. 0 Silver 8 7 104. 0 Dewey 9 89 1/5 J a c k s o n County 800.0 Colum bia 1 519 730. 0 M ichigan C e n te r 2 348 531. 0 P o r t a g e (Big) 3 25 505. 0 V ineyard Lakes 4 503 470. 0 C lark 5 518 1/489 _ _ 131 132 A P P E N D IX 12- -C ontinued Lake Acres 0 Lake Name N u m b e r of S ites and Existing Parking Lake Rank H ym phrys' Lake Number W am plers 6 510* 398. 0 Goose 7 127 355. 0 Wolf 8 317 340. 0 Gillett 9 161 326. 0 Grass 10 134 268. 7 Pleasant 11 34 210. 0 B r o w n 1s 12 297 195. 0 Farew ell 13 601 175. 0 Stony 14 368 174.00 P o r ta g e (Little) 15 23 171. 0 Mud 16 141 154. 0 Nor veil M ill Pond 17 474* 144. 0 Vandercock 18 396 141. 9 B rill 19 159 140. 0 Mud 20 494 138. 0 C lear 21 32 137. 0 Round 22 568 130. 0 A ckerson 23 352 106. 0 W elch 24 126 J a c k s o n County 105. 0 Sweezey 25 336 100. 0 No N a m e 26 344