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University Micrdnlrns International 300 N. Zee b Road Ann Arbor, Ml 48106 8324683 A ho, P a u l William AN ECONOMIC EVALUATION O F BROILER CHICKEN SUPPLY ORGANIZATION FOR SHIAWASSEE COUNTY MICHIGAN Michigan State University University Microfilms International Ph.D. 300 N. Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, Ml 48106 Copyright 1983 by Aho, Paul William All Rights Reserved 1983 PLEASE NOTE: In all c a s e s this material h as b een filmed in the best possible way from th e available copy. Problems enco u n tered with this d o cu m en t have b een identified here with a check m ark V 1. G lossy ph o to g rap h s or p a g e s ______ 2. Colored illustrations, p ap er or p rin t . y * 3. P hotographs with dark b ackground 4. Illustrations a re poor c o p y _______ 5. P a g e s with black marks, not original copy_______ 6. Print show s through a s th e re is text on both s id e s of p ag e______ 7. Indistinct, broken or small print on severalp a g e s 8. Print ex ceed s margin req u irem en ts______ 9. 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Curling and wrinkled p a g e s ______ O ther________________________________________________________________________ University Microfilms International ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF BROILER CHICKEN SUPPLY ORGANIZATION FOR SHIAWASSEE COUNTY MICHIGAN BY PAUL WILLIAM AHO A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Animal Science 1983 ABSTRACT AN ECONOMIC EVALUATION OP BROILER CHICKEN SUPPLY ORGANIZATION FOR SHIAWASSEE COUNTY MICHIGAN BY PAUL WILLIAM AHO The o r ga ni za ti on and financing of broiler chicken supply for a proposed processing plant in Shiawassee county Michigan was evaluated. The purpose of the evaluation was to identify a method which was both acceptable to farmers and provided the greatest potential return on investment. Three sources of data were used in the evaluation. The first was the relevant literature of rural sociology and agricultural economics. of farmers in the The second was from a field survey county and the analysis of broiler supply methods. evaluate the data, last was a financial The approach used to assumed that knowledge is incomplete at the b e gi nn i ng of a project and is built by learning from people in the community. The relevant s ociologists operated about farms on literature the local expres se d about contract revealed effects of concern corporate communities. farms, a Concern among o w ne d was the most c o m m o n and also way of o rg anizing broiler supply, because of the weak bargaining position of the contract grower. PAUL WILLIAM AHO The field survey uncovered three important facts. There was an abundance of underemployed family labor, the inferred price of s u p pl em en t al income labor was $4 per hour and 98% of the farmers surveyed were unable or unwilling to consider the financial i nv estment required to b e c o m e a traditional contract grower. An alternative in which a corporation owns but does proposed. not operate Such an the buildings arrangement has and been e qu ip me nt was designated a "caretaker" farm. A financial analysis c o m p ar ed the cost of producing broilers by arrangements. integrator Lower operated labor costs versus caretaker slightly o u t w e i g h e d the higher spatial costs of the caretaker alternative. recommended that an integrator It was beginning pr oduction in Michigan consider the use of the caretaker farm alternative. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I w ould like to express my gratitude and appreciation to Allan Rahn for his encouragement and assistance during my program. I am also indebted to professors Theo Coleman, Cal Flegal, Warren Vincent, Joseph Levine and Ted Ward for their insights, comments and dedication of time. I also wi sh to express my a ppr ec ia ti on for financial support from the J.R. Morren Poultry Company, Gene Biondi of the Shiawassee E c o n om ic Developent Corporation, McAvoy of Shiawassee county CETA, the Cooperative Extension Service and the Department of Animal Science. in the field Austin of assistant, survey the I thank Cooperative Margaret Joseph Lessard Extension For assisting and Service Richard and my Diana Lualhati. To my Spanish speaking friends, especially those from Argentina, I am indebted for their a m i s t a d y carino. I am grateful to assistance. my parents for their understanding and TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF T A B L E S .............................. Page V LIST OF F I G U R E S ..............................vii I. OVERVIEW OF THE E V A L U A T I O N ................. 1 Historical Background ................. 2 Contract Farming ........................ 5 Focus Of The R e s e a r c h ................. 7 Evaluation Approach .................... 7 Importance Of The S t u d y ............... 9 S u m m a r y ................................... 10 II. LITERATURE REVIEW............................... 11 Agricultural Fundamentalists ........... Rural S o c i o l o g y .......................... Agricultural Economics ................. S u m m a r y ................................... Broiler Supply Methods ........... . 12 14 18 24 25 III. P R O C E D U R E ..................................... 27 Field S u r v e y ............................... 27 Population And Sampling Procedure . . 28 Inquiry Procedure .................... 29 Using The Field S u r v e y .................... 30 IV. F I N D I N G S ............... 32 Field S u r v e y ............................... 32 Type of F a r m e r ........................ 32 Farm T y p e ............................... 33 Farm S i z e ............................... 34 Personal Interviews ................. 35 Labor Availability and Price . . . . 35 The Synthesized Corporation................38 Growout Organization Alternatives ... 39 Labor C o s t s ............................... 40 Spatial Costs .......................... 42 Feed D e l i v e r y .......................... 44 H a t c h e r y ............................... 46 Live H a u l ............................... 46 iii iv PAGE Other C o s t s ............................... 48 Capital Costs .......................... 49 F i n a n c i n g ................................. 50 Long Term D e b t ........................ 51 L e a s e ................................... 52 E q u i t y ................................. 52 V. C O N C L U S I O N S ................................... 54 The Caretaker F a r m ........................ 56 Evaluative Conclusion...................... 58 Limitations Of The Research and Further Research Needed ........... 58 VI. APPENDICES Appendix A - Letter sent to Agricultural L a n d o w n e r s .............. 60 Appendix B - Questionnaire used for Telephone interviews ... 61 Appendix C - Publication sent before Personal Interviews . . . . 63 Appendix D - Flow Diagram from M.S.U. S t u d y .................... 88 Appendix E - Michigan Broiler Growout House C o s t s .............. 89 Appendix F - Projected Capital Investment Summary, M.S.U. Study . . . 90 Appendix G - Annual Operating Expenditure And Reciept Summary, M.S.U. 91 Appendix H - Initial Balance Sheets . . 93 Appendix I - Cost Recovery Schedules . . 96 ........ 100 Appendix J - Asset Categories Appendix K - Debt Option, Cash Flow Calculations and Capital Expenditure Analysis . . . 106 Appendix L - Lease Option, Cash Flow Calculations and Capital Expenditure Analysis . . . 112 Appendix M - Equity Option, Cash Flow Calculations and Capital Expenditure Analysis . . . 118 Appendix N - Abbreviations in the A p p e n d i c e s ................. 120 VII. REFERENCES 121 LIST OF TABLES PAGE . . 33 1. Type of farmer and Interest in raising broilers 2. Farm type and Interest in raising broilers . . . . 34 3. Farm size and Interest in raising broilers . . . . 34 4. Labor return and Type of F a r m e r ................... 37 5. Growout labor requirements M.S.U. Study ........... 40 6. Labor requirements of the caretaker option 41 7. Feed delivery costs and time r e q u i r e m e n t s ........ 45 8. Chick delivery costs 9. Live haul c o s t s .................................... 47 . . . . ............................... 46 10. Total spacial costs ................................. 48 11. Other growout costs ................................. 48 12. Total growout alternatives costs for company and caretaker farm ....................................... 49 13. Capital expenditures for company and caretaker farm a l t e r n a t i v e s ................................. 50 14. Long Term Debt option internal rate of return . . . 51 15. Lease option internal rate of return 52 .............. Appendix E Michigan Broiler Growout House Costs Appendix F Projected Capital Investment Summary M.S.U. Study .............................. Appendix G ... Annual Operating Expenditures and Receipt Summary, M.S.U. Study ...................... v 89 90 91 vi Appendix H Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Appendix I Table 1. Table 2. Appendix J Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Appendix K Initial balance sheets Debt financing o p t i o n .....................93 ......................... 94 Lease option 100% equity o p t i o n ......................... 95 Cost recovery schedules Debt and 100% equity o p t i o n .............. 96 Lease o p t i o n ................................98 Asset Categories Debt o p t i o n .............................. 100 Lease o p t i o n .............................. 102 100% Equity o p t i o n ........................ 104 Cash flow calculations and Capital expenditure analysis, debt option Table 1. At a 9.25% interest r a t e ...................106 Table 2. At a 12.25% interest r a t e .................108 Table 3. At a 15.25% interest r a t e .................110 Appendix L Cash flow calculation and Capital expenditure analysis, lease option Table 1. At a 9.25% interest rate ................ 112 Table 2. At a 12.25% interest r a t e .................114 Table 3. At a 15.25% interest r a t e .................116 Appendix M Cash flow calculation and Capital expenditure analysis, equity option . . . 118 LIST OF FIGURES Appendix A Letter Sent To Agricultural Landowners . . . 60 Appendix B Questionnaire Used For Telephone Interviews 61 Appendix C Publication Sent Before Personal Interviews 63 Appendix D Flow Diagram From The M.S.U. S t u d y ........... 88 Appendix N Abbreviations Used In The Appendices . . . . vii 121 OVERVIEW OF THE EVALUATION CHAPTER ONE The purpose of this evaluative study is to identify a m ethod of organizing the supply of broiler chickens for a proposed p ro cessing plant w hi ch is both acceptable in S hi awassee county M i c h i g a n to farmers and provides the greatest potential return on investment. Ac ce p t a b l i t y to farmers is determined through the analysis of a field survey and return on investment is determined through a financial analysis. The broiler primarily of industry large in the United v e r ti ca l ly States integrated firms, consists called integrators, which through ownership and/or control, combine two or more of the stages of production and distribution of broiler chickens. The stages are, broiler breeders, hatchery, growout, feedmill, processing and distribution. The broiler breeder stage provides the fertile eggs to the hatchery stage which hatches the broilers and places them on the farms of the g ro wo ut stage. Feed is provided from the feedmill and the broilers are slaughtered in the processing plant. The stage of p ro duction under co nsideration in this study is the growout stage. At this stage day-old chicks are housed and fed for nearly eight weeks until they reach four to five pounds. This stage is vertically integrated in some areas by integrator ownership of farms and in other areas by 1 2 control through the use of contract farms. In the southern part of the United States w here the industry is concentrated, the contract system dominates. other areas such as California, In o w n e r s h i p is also used to v er t i c a l l y integrate the broiler supply stage. It is the p ur pose of this study to evaluate what w ou ld be the best method of organizing broiler supply in Shiawassee county. Historical Background M i c hi ga n does not now ha ve a broiler industry as it did in the last century when the industry first started. At that time the broilers sold in the United States were the surplus cockerels from the spring h atch of f armyard flocks. These "spring chickens" were a seasonal delicacy that commanded a high price. It wasn't until after World War I that broilers made the transition from seasonal d elicacy to year-round source of meat. During World War II, wartime meat rationing pro vi de d a s timulus to the expansion poultry. Production w hi ch had been 43 of the unrationed m i ll io n reached 366 m i l l i o n in 1945 (Tobin and Arthur, in 1935 1964). The next ten years from 1945 to 1955 were a p eri od of intense activity and investment. During that period the breeding of chickens ex cl us iv el y for their meat qualities b e g a n on a massive scale. The Chicken-Of-Tomorrow Program initiated in 3 1945 under the sponsorship of the Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea Company is o f t e n cited as being instrumental in stimulating and reinforcing the efforts of leading breeders. The post-war period brought rapid progress in n utrit io na l technology, broiler housing, processing plant operations application a nd of marketing technological technology. The intensive gains brought about an abrupt drop in the total cost of production. The result was that b ro il er s sold for less in the 1950's than in the 1920's. Red meats during that same time period doubled in price. The b ro iler industry h a d succeeded in making their product an item of mass consumption by the late 1950's. During industry, the post World War II g r o w t h production in Michigan declined phase of the to insignificant levels. C o m p e t i t i o n from the southeastern states was the p r i m a r y reason for the decline. became a good alternative In that region, broilers to the declining cotton industry and the south c a m e to d o m i n a t e p r o du c ti on in the United States for the following reasons: 1) Low cost, low skilled labor available for the processing plants and for the raising of broilers. 2) The ability to rapidly take advantage of technological change in a new production area. 3) Low transportation costs for grain and finished products. 4) Inexpensive housing appropriate to the area. 4 By the 1960's few states outside the southeast could consider challanging the d om in a n c e of the entrenched and efficient southern broiler industry. Nevertheless, it now appears that some production will come back to the midwest due to the changing costs of ho u s i n g and transportation (Rahn et al.,1982 General Locational Considerations). Housing costs are one area in which the southeast's advantage is narrowing. In the 50's and 60's when a large p er centage of the broiler h ou sing now in use in the south was constructed, the dirt floor, curtain sided, uninsulated shelter was the most appropriate building. Now, increasing importance of feed and en e r g y w i t h the efficiency, e n v i r o n m e n t a l l y c on trolled w i n d o w l e s s houses may b e c o m e appropriate even in the deep south. controlled houses Beyond environmentally is the technology of cage reared broilers which could radically change the broiler industry. Changing threatening t ra ns portation to the dominance costs of have the been the southern most broiler industry. T ransportation cost increases cut two ways into the south's d o m i n a n c e of broiler production. First, feed costs, w h i c h make up 50% of the total ready-to-cook costs, rise faster in areas further from the corn belt. Second, receipts fall faster in areas further from the final market. Michigan has a transportation cost advantage over the south in both the cost of grain and transportation to market. 5 Contract Farming If broiler p ro duction does return to Michigan, the broiler supply stage will be very different from the way it was in Mic hi g an in earlier years. In those times broiler supply farms were separate and independent businesses. Small broiler growers sought out the best price they could in the market. The impossible. way the The industry is now the this is industry closely controls the supply stage p r i m a r i l y by the contract gives organized, follo wi ng system. reasons for Crouse the need (in Roy, 1972) to control by contract: 1) The need for large, hi gh qual it y and steady supplies to meet the demands of the food chains. 2) The need to rapidly adopt changing technology: such changes can be implemented faster with a contract system. 3) The contract farm system can best utilize inexpensive, underemployed farm labor. The contract system provides an appropriate structure for production in an area of low management skills and availability of capital. Under a contract, growers receive a guaranteed contract. payment He or per she pound must for provide fulfillment the of the buildings and 6 equipment, follow a rigid schedule and allow for close supervision of activities. The advantage for the gro we r is that most operating resources are provided and pr od uction risks are low. The disadvantages are low returns and the risk of losing the contract. The risk of losing the contract is an important one because contract farms typically have sizable debt obligations. Banks are w i l l i n g to lend m on ey because the g ro w e r holds a contract. Nevertheless if that contract is lost, the farm may also be lost to the bank. The result is a c on centration of power in the hands of the integrators is not integrator. This concentration of power in matched by the contract growers even though they provide a substantial p o r t i o n of the capital of the industry. The relationship is so one-sided that growers have been working for almost nothing. Many growers are not sophisticated enough in budge ti ng to realize that a year's net cash flow without deductions for fixed costs such as depreciation is a poor me a s u r e of income. As a result, labor return per hour has been as low as minus 36 cents per hour when depreciation is taken into account (Wellford, 1972). The broiler gro we r is compared to the sharecropper in both status and poverty. Gr owers are not em pl o y e e s of the firm, they are therefore w it hout retirement, medical benefits and minimum wage protection. The grower keeps birds only if the integrator is 7 willing/ and a ne w contract is w r it te n every eight weeks. The resulting defenselessness of the grower provides incentives for the irresponsible use of economic power, thus the following complaint of Crawford Smith, a contract farmer in Alabama: Us folk in the chicken business are the only slaves left in the country (in Wellford, p . 101, 1972) Focus of the Research As the broiler industry in the midwest begins a period of expansion, it must choose some variation of the contract g ro w e r s y s t e m or the system where the integrator owns and operates interests the broiler supply. of both potential Taking into consideration the investors and broiler growers, the study evaluates w h i c h broiler supply method would be more constructive, adaptive and profitable for the farmers of and the investors in Shiawassee county Michigan. Evaluation Approach The learning community approach, process development as descr ib ed approach, is u s e d by in Kortcon a concept the study. (1980), used In in that knowledge is 8 a s s u m e d to be inc om pl et e at the b e gi nn i ng of a project. As knowledge is built by learning from people in the community, errors are d is covered in the original a s s u m pt io ns corrections are made based on the new knowledge. and There is a learning process as the development design is made efficient in the local setting. Borrowing that concept, the study assumes that farmers have a great deal to knowledge is b u il t direction of the knowledge. The by contribute to c on su ltation research the wit h is s h i f t e d to research. farmers, reflect As the th at following are two citations which reenforce the logic of consulting farmers: Knowledge of farmers' reasoning is as necessary aninput to a successful rural development project as is agronomists or economists' reasoning from a distance (p.177, Gladwin, 1972). Rural development is participation of people in a mutual learning experience involving themselves, their local resources, external change agents and outside resources. People are not being developed when they are herded like animals into new ventures (p.688, Boeson in Lowdernook and Laitos, 1981). 9 Besides the opinions of farmers, t w o other sources of i nf or ma ti on are used. One is financial analysis other the literature is a review economics an d of rural and the from agricultural sociology. Publications from a gricultural ec on o m i c s related to the topic are concerned primarily with analyzing the economic effect of the changing structure of A m e r i c a n agriculture. This literature deals w i t h issues such as the v i ab ility of the f am i l y farm and the a dvantages and d isadv an ta ge s of vertical integration. The rural sociology literature looks more closely at the social consequences of vertical integration and its effect on farmers and communities. Importance of the Study The primary importance of the genera1izabi1ifcy of the procedure. The suggest broiler a method for evaluating study literature supply is the does not methods although such studies have been done by integrators with b ot h the p ro cedure and the results kept confidential. The evaluation of poten ti al broiler supply methods may be important to the potential investors in, and the farmers of, Shiawassee county. Beyond Shiawassee, the results could give a clue to the response of farmers in other c o m m u n i t i e s in the mid-west. 10 Summary The study evaluates methods of organizing the supply of broiler chickens S hi awassee to a proposed county Michigan. processing The purpose is to plant in identify methods of organization and financing which are at the same time acceptable to farmers and provide the highest possible return on investment. The study utilizes a learning process approach w h ic h a ss um es that the farmers themselves have a great deal to contribute to the research. LITERATURE REVIEW Chapter Two To begin a review of the literature relating to the topic of the o rg a nization of broiler supply, it is helpful to think of the agricultural structures involved. Hefferman (1972) makes an analogy between the agricultural structures of 20th century America and the major production systems of Europe since the Middle Ages, the guild system, the cottage industry system and the factory system. The guild system is compared to the family farm system, the cottage industry to the contract farm system and the factory system to the corporate farm system. In both the guild and family farm systems the worker owns both tools and products. These systems are conducive to small close-knit communities where each worker interacts in a variety of face to face relationships with other workers. In the cottage industry or contract farm system the worker owns tools but the entrepreneur supplies the raw materials and owns the finished product. continues but entrepreneur is In these systems the close-knit community the relationship a new and between potent ia ll y worker divisive and factor. Finally, the corporate farm system brings the factory system to agriculture. Wor k is moved out of the h o m e and the economic groupings of management and labor are created. Just as social philosophers 11 through the ages raised 12 questions about the changing production systems in Europe, questions are also raised about the changing structure of American agriculture. This study seeks contract and corporate farm structures, to co mpare the nevertheless the family farm structure is important to consider also because in many respects the contract farm is a family farm. Agricultral Fundamentalists One of the most persistent beliefs in the United States is the belief in the value of the fam il y farm. The country b eg an as a nation of small farmers and the architects of A m e r i c a n land p o l i c y like Jefferson bel ie ve d that farms were competitive the seedbed structure small of d e m o c r a c y and g u aranteed of the economy. If the agriculture r e m a i n e d c o m p e t i t i v e and charac te ri ze d by n u m e r o u s small farms, this was sufficient reference base to give reality to the idea of a c o m p e t i t i v e e c o n o m y (Raup in Ball and Heady, 1972). Jefferson e sp e c i a l l y also felt in v ol ve me nt in that the community political involvement, process, was enhanced by the ownership and social relationships inherent in the family farm structure In this century, (Hefferman, agricultural 1972). f un da me nt al is ts p erce iv ed a threat to the small traditional have f am i l y farm structure from bo th the contract system and the corporate 13 system. Davis(1979), while dismissing corporate farming as a "pernicious o r g an iz at io na l form" c ri ti c i s m on system antithesis of the detached the contract internally "traditional (p.4), concentrates his which he self-contained farm structure." sees as and externally He perceives contracting as binding the family farm to an off-farm thereby d i s s ol vi ng the e nt re pr en eu ri a l the autonomy firm of the fa mi ly farmer. The farm thus b e c o m e s an extension of the firm's production "property without process power" and the farmer is left with (p.2). Most of the fundamentalist's concerns are reserved for corporate farming. In "The Corporate Invasion of A m e r i c a n Agriculture" by President the of Victor Ray Na tional (1968), Farmer's Tony Union T. is Dechant, quoted as saying: We in the National Farmer's Union believe the corporate invasion of American Agriculture is real. It is leaving behind wasted towns, deserted communities, depleted resources, empty institutions and people without hope and without a future (Ray, 1968, p. 5). Ottoson and V o l l m a r (in Ball and Heady 1972) s u m m a r i z e why corporate farming has been such a controversial They list eight issues: issue. 14 1) The undesirable effects on a community of absentee o w n e r s h i p and the lack of interest of bo t h e m p l o y e r and employees and in education, social life, recreation churches. 2) Corporate farms may be less concerned about the conservation of natural resources. 3) The reduction of competition by vertical and horizontal integration ma y result in hig he r prices in the future. 4) The dangers of concentration of political power. 5) The flight of rural people to urban slums. 6) The possible reduction in local political responsibility. 7) The potential sharpening of class lines. 8) The erosion of the values attributed to family ownership and operation. Rural Sociology There have be en a num be r of field research studies which have attempted to look at the social consequences of farm structure. c om p a r i s o n of The Arvin classic and study of Dinuba, this type California by was the Wa lt e r Goldschmidt of UCLA in the 1940's. As reported by the Small Farm Viability Project Publication (1977) Arvin and Dinuba were tw o c o m m u n i t i e s similar in most ways except that Arvin was and still is 15 surrounded by large commercial farms and Dinuba was and is surrounded by small family farms. Goldschmidt concluded that the c o m m u n i t y surrounded by small farms had a more active e c o no mi c and social life than the c o m m u n i t y surrounded by large farms. In 1977 Peterson, Ar vin a and research Dinuba were assistant r ee x a m i n e d by with the California D e pa rt me nt of Housing and C o m m u n i t y Development. later study, Dinuba Goldschmidt's basic still generates a more thesis was Steve In the substantiated. diversified and richer community life than Arvin. It was found that Dinuba supports more businesses, has more public services, social and civic organization, more more parks, churches, a more more accountable decision making process and is less dependent on outside sources of funding. Arvin's p o p ul a ti on had a much higher percentage of low income, low stability farmworkers with relatively little social integration. In another study cited in the same report, branch of the U n i v e r s i t y of C a l i f o r n i a communities in the San Joaquin valley the Davis looked in at 1977. 130 The independent variables in that study were land use and system of water jurisdiction. The dependent variable was quality of c o m m u n i t y life. It was found that in towns surrounded by small-scale farming operations and democratic water systems, there is a signif ic an t ly greater variety of services and 16 higher quality of life. The California report concluded that when small family farms are replaced by large corporate farms, a process of e c o no m ic and social decay begins in rural communities. As farm families move away, local b us inesses dry up, social organizations stagnate, public services are constricted and the population becomes less stable as hired labor replaces local laborand average incomes drop. Harris data and and Gilbert looked at the (1982) reevaluated f o ll owing the Goldschmidt two hyp ot he se s of his agrarian thesis; 1) As the p r e d o m i n a n c e of large farms increased, the percentage of persons in the lower class increased. 2) Rural farm income is negatively related to farm scale. The reevaluation confirmed the first hypothesis but not the second. They found that large farms have a positive effect on rural income, "Large scale fa rming is a cc o m p a n i e d by an increase in the ability of workers to of the value of their pr od uc t i v i t y " capture at least some (Harris and Gilbert, 1982 p.454). They point out that the recent history of other institutions w ould also suggest a p o sitive relationship between operational scale and labor income. Hefferman (1972) studied involvement in community and alienation among workers in family farms, contract farms and 17 corporate farms. He found that the rank and file workers in corporate farms were the most alienated and least in the activities of their communities. He involved found both contract farmers and family farmers to be less alienated and more involved in the activities of their communities. The managers of the corporate farms were the least alienated and most highly involved in the activities of the community. To H ef fe r m a n this suggested the d ev e l o p m e n t of t w o distinct classes in that part of rural America dominated by corporate farms, undermining the traditional A m e ri ca n ideal of equality. Of pa rticular interest to this study is the fact that he found little difference between contract farmers and family farmers. M ar t i n s o n et al. (1976) studied the consequences of a d if fe rentiated structure of p r o du ct io n for p ersonnel from large scale incorporated farms in Wisconsin. They sought differences occupation. in levels of alienation attributable to They predicted that since the industrialization p rocess has h i s t o r i c a l l y led to feelings of alienation through subordinate occupational roles, the same would be true in those parts of agriculture that have industrialized. They divided alienation into powerlessness and social isolation. The results showed that farm workers as expected felt less powerful than did either owners or hired managers. Interestingly, own er s and hired workers differed from 18 m anagers in feeling of social isolation but did not differ from each other. Agricultural Economics There is a large body of literature which discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the contract farm system and integrator owned or corporate farm system. The majority of the recent literature covers the corporate farming system. Ottoson incentives (in Ball and Heady, 1972) for the nonfamily corporation These include access to cheaper capital, new technologies quickly, mentions to enter five farming. the ability to use the specialization of management, the ability to buy and sell in v o l u m e and the possibilites for integration. The greatest d i si ncentive according to Ottoson is in the use of labor. Corporations must pay higher wages with fringe benefits, risk unionization and deal with the problems of supervision. Family famers on the other hand accept lower wa ges and work o v e r t i m e for nothing. Other disincentives mentioned include management complexity, high land prices and the yea rl y variation in rates of return in agriculture. Ottoson believes that future returns to farm resources will not be impressive is because it w o ul d for the nonfamily corporation. be co mp e t i n g for r el atively This fixed 19 ma r k e t s where the d e m a n d is inelastic. Therefore, other a lt er natives for in ve s t m e n t w here m ar ke ts can be expanded m a y be more profitable. Ottoson also believes that there will be increased interest by family farms in arrangements with nonfamily corporate firms which will supply all or part of the risk capital required. He also mentions leasing as a new and potentially important He concludes by saying that; way to obtain capital goods. " the share of farm production under the control of corporations will not depend on social acceptance or a desire to hold onto tradition: It will depend largely on economic criteria" (p 313). G albraith paramount. locus (1967) p e r c e i v e d h u m a n resources as being In "The New of p o w e r has Industrial State" he argues that the al wa ys rested control the scarcest resource. with those who could Since skilled people are now the scarcest resource, a firm must be of sufficient size and proper organization to make use of a critical mass of highly skilled people. M oore (in Ball et al., 1972) e m p h a s i s e d e c o n o m i e s of scale as b e in g the most important factor in the g r o w t h of corporate farming. Since e c o n o m i e s of scale dictate heavy capital requirements, decision making, the a hi g h degree of risk and c om pl ex large corporation is the only institution able to fully take advantage. In a caveat, Moore says that the rates of return must be c o mp at ab le to those of 20 other industries. Cordtz (1972) in a Fortune magazine article "Corporate Farming: A Tough Row to Hoe" said that corporate farming wo rks better in theory than in practice. Citing the fact that several large corporations had left the business, he concluded that the personal day-to-day supervision of a farm requires a enterprise. person with A great a substantial incentive stake in is needed be cause the such a p er s o n must be able to ma k e countless important decisions where there are no standard answers and be willing to work long irregular hours in unpleasant conditions. The person who is right for that job, concludes Corditz, farmer, not the h ired supervisors and is the family workers of the corporate farm. He expected that large corporations could m ak e more production money in p r o c es si ng and dis tr ib ut io n than in agriculture. Agreeing wi th Cortz, Nikolitch (1969) states that the biological nature and spatial dispersion of farm production make a large concentration of capital, more difficult in farming. management and labor He b e lieves that the h i gh es t e f f i c i e n c y is attained in farming at a much smaller firm size than in other kinds of production, a firm size adapted to the managerial and working capacities of the family farm. Roy (1970) lists three reasons why company owned broiler farms will receive more attention in the future. One 21 is the increasing difficulty of growers in obtaining loans for new buildings and equipment. Another closer coordination and management. is the need for The third is the importance of centralized locations for grower farms due to increasing transportation incentives, Roy bel ie ve s that broiler o wn ed by costs. integrators because In spite farms of these will not be it would be too expensive, management would be difficult and the work force would need to be paid much high er wages than the the labor return the contract farmer would be willing to accept. A m o n g those who disagree are Krause and Kyle (1970). They state that a new set of technological, financial, tax and other institutional variables will provide increased incentives longer is processes members for the and corporate bel ie f the provide agricultural tenable superior that weather, incentives impossible production. of barriers biological unpaid to " No large family scale industrial agriculture" (p.752). Some authors like Aines (in Ball et al. 1972) while agreeing that there are increasing incentives for no nfarm business to control farm resources, expressed concern about the trend. Aines stated that the growing, pr ocessing and m arke ti ng stages of prod uc ti on are d e m a n d i n g an adequate, timely supply of uniform quality product from the farm which creates incentives for agribusiness m a n a g e m e n t to o w n the 22 farm production process. The concerns that Aines raises about this trend are that such enterprises could: 1) Reduce competition in the long run by monopoly behavior 2) Control large tracts of land reducing the number of farmers and destroying rural communities 3) Sharpen class lines by creating a rural management class and a worker class. Seckler (1969) analysed the class question differently. He saw a new class of agricultural ma nagers e m e r g i n g who could challange the traditional p o w e r structure of rural communities in a beneficial way. Another positive consequence mentioned was the opportunity for work provided to the landless. Also challenging the consensus, Rodefeld (1978) stated that job satisfaction on corporate farms is not as low as commonly assumed. The broiler in a work Integration" by contract farm was dealt with exhaustively Roy, "Contract Farming and Economic (1972). He stated that contracting would be favored over integrator ownership where: 1) Technological developments are rapid 2) The venture is risky 3) Rapid expansion is desired 4) Capital requirements are high 23 Roy reported that the attitudes of broiler g r ow er s toward contracting are g en er al ly favorable due to the stable income, low risk, and family togetherness features of the arrangement. The c o m p la in ts about contract farming h e a rd most often from growers include; 1) Payments not keeping up with inflation 2) Pull documentation not provided by the integrator 3) Delays between flock replacements 4) Variations in quality of feed and chicks 5) Unattainable bonus clauses The comp la in ts give a clue as to the biggest p r o b l e m with contract farming, as cited from the limited power of the contract growers W e l lf or d in the first chapter. Roy also mentioned the fact that contract farmers find themselves in a position approaching that of a sharecropper. In spite of the serious p r o b l e m of b a la nc e of power, contract farms do have advantages to growers. made Plouch (1960) a strong case for contract farming. He stated that the m od er n farm family's needs are similar to those of their urban counterparts. To satisfy those needs a steady income is required. This factor coupled with the high capital requirements of independent farm operations as well as the wage experience of rural people all contribute to the appeal of contract farming. He concluded that contract farms 24 provide an opportunity to stay on the farm, give a sense of i ndependence and help strengthen rural institutions by lowering out-migration. Summary The majority of authors concluded that family farms in whatever form are more appropriate than non-family farms and that the traditional contract farming system superior to the corporate farming system has although shortcomings. The p r i m a r y s h o r t c o m i n g is the imbala nc e in p ow er b e t w e e n the contractor and the integrator. The studies done by sociologists such as Goldschmidt, Hefferman and Martinson support the conclusion. Goldschmidt found family/non-family farm the small family farm community to be healthier than the community surrounded by large corporate farms. H e f f e r m a n family farmers Martinson found both contract and less alienated than corporate found farm workers had a high farm workers. feeling of powerlessness although not social isolation. Studies by economists family/non-family believe th at also conclusion. corporate farms necessary return to investment. w il l never be o w n e d by tend Ottoson just to support and Cordtz don't provide Roy predicts broiler integrators the both the farms for the same reason. 25 Nikolitch finds the highest efficiency in the family farm. Plouch finds the contract farm beneficial to the family and community. Dissenters to the majority viewpoint include Galbraith and Moore scale. who e m p h a s i z e Another dissenter institutional variables to corporate the advantages to the Krause will provide agriculture. social ben e fi ts is Seckler changes of economies of who believes increasing incentives and Harris brought on by find some corporate farming. Wellford, Roy and Davis provide the basis of the second conclusion that inappropriate. contractor the The y and traditional cite the integrator contract p o we r and system imbalance the is between incentives for exploitation as well as the history of low labor returns. Broiler Supply Methods The rev ie w of the literature reveals that the authors generally feel the family farm is more appropriate than the n o n - f a m i l y farm and that contract farms, a lthough h aving problems, are better than corporate farms. The traditional family farm organization is not one of the ways that broiler supply can be organized (see chapter one). are some sort of contract farms method The alternatives or a corporate 26 integrator o w n e d farm method. The predictions of Ottoson suggest an additional contract method, a me th od w here the integrator owns hut does not operate the farm buildings. PROCEDURE CHAPTER THREE The study uses a learning process approach to analyze data from a review of literature, a field survey of farmers and a financial analysis. The field survey is designed on the basis of information from the review of literature and the financial analysis is modified by the opinions of farmers as revealed in the field survey. Field Survey The opinions of farmers are obtained b y the use of a two stage contacted field survey. the fi rst stage of sample the of farmers are field s u r v e y by telephone to determine their degree of interest in growing broilers. in A random In the second stage of the field survey, personal interviews are conducted with farmers who expressed interest in the first stage. The objective of the second stage is to obtain sufficient feedback from farmers to be able to learn how to organize the financial analysis. 27 28 Population and Sampling Procedure The county Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service provided the n ames and addresses of all of the agricultural land owners in the county. The population frame for the o wn i n g survey was 10 acres or all of the agricultural more of land who lived land owners wi t h i n local dialing distance of the county seat. It was a s su me d that agricultural landowners are either full-time farmers, parttime farmers, or rural residents who might be interested in an agricultural enterprise. Ten acres was chosen because it would be impractical to put a large poultry building on less than 10 acres. county seat The covers local dialing 300 square area miles covered and from contains the 1000 agricultural landowners or "farmers" as used in the study. Using the q ui delines of Babbie (1973), the frame of 1000 farmers was stratified by number of acres into three stratifications: less than 40 acres, 40 to 160 acres and more than 160 acres. The frame was stratified to organize the population into h o m o g e n e o u s subsets on the basis of number in each subset. Each group was then s a m p l e d using a technique which insured that all members had an equal chance of being selected and that 12.5% of the population would be selected wi th the expectation that at least 10% would eventually be contacted. The technique selected every 8th 29 name with a random start in each of the acreage categories. The procedure yielded a sample of 125 farmers. Inquiry Procedure Each of the 125 farmers was sent a letter to alert him or her that a phone call w ould be forthco mi ng and to provide some i n f o r m a t i o n about raising broilers. The letter is in Appendix A. An a t t e m p t phone at w h ic h time the was then made to contact each by first stage of the survey was administered. Seven questions were asked to determ in e the type of farmer being contacted and the degree of interest in raising broilers. The questions are in Appendix B. The interest, last two questions asked on a scale of 1 to 10, the farmer to ran k in raising broilers and learning more about raising broilers. Those who answered 5 or above to both questions were deemed to be interested and a personal interview was requested at their farm. Before the personal interview, a copy of the USDA publication "Broiler Growing: Life" A Way of (Appendix C) was sent to each cooperating farmer. At the personal interview, the following questions were asked: 1) Please describe your farm in more detail. 2) How do you feel about broiler chickens as supplemental income? 30 3) How do you feel about taking financial risks? 4) How much capital would you feel comfortable investing in a broiler enterprise? 5) What sort of income would you expect from the enterprise? 6) How would you feel about leasing a port io n of your land? 7) H o w many people over 14 y e a r s of age live in y o u r household? 8) Do the m e m b e r s of your f a rm i ly have ti me available to consider this enterprise? 9) How many other family members over 14 live within a few miles of your house? 10) To your knowledge, do nearby f am i l y m e m b e r s have time available to consider an additional on-farm job? 11) Would you consider a partnership wit h other family members for this enterprise? Using the Field Survey The telephone i n f o r m at io n about stage how of ma ny the field farmers survey were yielded interested in raising b roilers and what type of farmer was interested. Specifically, the dependent variable is interest expressed and the independent variables are size of farm, type of farm and type of farmer. A chi-square analysis is conducted on the variables. 31 I nterview survey is used data from the to d e t e r m i n e second the stage answer of to the field three key questions. First, h o w realistic it is to expect farmers to finance the broiler g r ow ou t facilities as the traditional contract farmers do, second, wh at sort of r e m u m e r a t i o n do farmers expect and finally, how much labor is available? The data thus obtained from the interviews are used to structure the financial analysis. The financial analysis determines the variable costs of a lternative broiler supply metho ds and the rate of return possible with different financial analysis is financing aided by the alternatives. use of data synthesized corporation from an earlier study. The from a The final e c o no m ic e va luation is made on the basis of which broiler supply met h od is bo t h acceptable to farmers and gives the greatest potential return on investment. FINDINGS CHAPTER FOUR The evaluation of financing and organization methods in the study depends on data about costs from the field survey. Therefore, the field survey findings are p re s en te d first, followed by the construction of growout costs leading to the evaluation of financing and organization. Field Survey The first part of the field survey was a telephone survey w hich reached 100 of the 1000 agricultural o wners in S hi awassee county in the sum me r of land 1982. The survey found 16 farmers interested in raising broilers. The following are the results of a chi-square analysis of the relationship between farm type, farm size and type of farmer as independent variable and interest in raising broilers as the dependent variable. Type of Farmer Michigan agriculture and Shiawassee county agriculture is characterized by a large number of small farm units and relatively few commercial fact t h a t of the 100 farms. This was reflected by the farmers themselves as rural residents, contacted, 44 d e s c r i b e d 25 as part-time farmers and 31 as full-time farmers. These figures correspond closely to 32 33 the figures in T h o m p s o n and Hepp (1976) where reported that 44% of M i c h i g a n farm operators residents, it was were rural 20% were supplemental income farmers and 36% were full-time farmers. As shown in Table 1, the chi-square was very low for type of farmer. There is no relationship between type of farmer and interest in raising broilers. Table 1 Type of Farmer and Interest in Raising Broilers Not Interested Number Number Expected Observed Interested Number Number Observed Expected Total Full-Time 6 4.9 25 26.0 31 Part-Time 5 4.0 20 21.0 25 Rural Resident 5 7.0 39 37.0 44 84 84 Total 16 16 100 2 X = 1.21 df = 2 Farm Type Given the large number of rural residents, it is not surprising that 40 of the 100 farmers rented or did not use their land. livestock Of farms the and r em a i n i n g 43 were farms, 17 primarily were cash primarily crop farms. Almost all of the livestock farms were dairy farms. As shown in Table 2, the chi-square is also very low for farm type. There is little evidence for a relationship b e t w e e n farm type and interest in raising broilers. 34 Table 2 Farm Type and Interest in Raising Broilers Interested Number Number Observed Expected Not Interested Number Number Observed Expected Total Cash Crop 7 6.8 36 36.1 43 Livestock 4 2.7 13 14.2 17 Rented/Unused 5 6.4 35 33.6 40 Total 16 16 84 84 100 2 X = 1.09 2 d.f. Farm Size » The farm sizes acres, used in the field survey were 10-40 40 to 160 acres and 160 acres and above. Thirty of the 100 farmers lived on farms of more than 160 acres, 41 on farms of b e t w e e n 40 and 160 acres and 29 on farms of b e t w e e n 10 and 40 acres. Again the chi-square was very low (table 3). There is no relationship between farm size and interest in raising broilers. Table 3 Farm Size and Interest in Raising Broilers Interested Number Number Expected Observed Not Interested Number Number Observed Expected Total 10-40 Acres 5 4.6 24 24.7 29 40-160 Acres 6 6.5 35 34.4 41 160+ Acres 5 4.8 25 25.2 30 16 84 84 Total 16 100 O X = .163 2df A==10-40 Acres B=40=160 Acres C=160+ Acres 35 The telephone survey was unsuccessful in identifing a variable related to interest in raising broilers. One may not have even 70% confidence that the distribution of any of the observed values are different from expected values. level of interest is relatively low The (16%) and dispersed a m o n g farm types, type of farmer and sizes of farms. Personal Interviews The purpose of the personal interviews was to establish the family labor availability of the interested farmers, the minimum price needed for their labor(reservation price) and their willingness to finance broiler housing. 16 interested farmers participated in Twelve of the the personal interviews. The f o l l o w i n g findings are b ased on data from that small sample. Labor Availability and Price Labor availability on the 12 farms is high. an a v e r a g e household. of All 3.1 p e r s o n s over 12 h ou s e h o l d s the age of There were 14 in e a c h stated that there was time available b e t w e e n the ho us e h o l d m e m b e r s for another full­ time equivalent job (2000 hours). Within a few miles of the h ou seholds 4.1 another family members over 14 could be found. Ten of the 12 families felt that those other family members had time available to assist with a broiler project 36 and 11 out of 12 wer e willing to consider a pa r t n e r s h i p with relatives living within a few miles. The reservation price for labor is shown in Table 4. It is interesting to note that d airy farmers in this small sample set a hi gh er price for their labor than did cash crop farmers or rural residents. They wa n t e d to use broilers as an op po rt un it y to "set someone up" in a job that would be the main source of income of a family. One dairy farmer thought $20,000 per year would be the minimum that could be considered. Cash crop farmers and rural residents on the other hand saw the p ro ject as a wa y to use fami ly surplus labor of children, tended to put a spouse and other family members. a lower value on labor, between They 8 and 10 thousand per year for 2000 hours of work. It appears that it would be possible to find contract or caretaker farmers who w ould be w i ll in g to work for $8,000 a year using the broiler enterprise as supplemental of interest is low, income. 4 out of 100, Nevertheless, the level in the 10 mile radius w h ic h was covered by the survey. That radius would have to be extended to at least 20 miles to find sufficient numbers of interested families. 37 Table 4 Labor Return and Type of Farmer Cash crop farmers Dairy farmers Rural Residents Total Around $8000 2 0 2 4 Around $10000 4 1 1 6 Around $12000 0 2 0 2 Total 6 3 3 12 The 12 families were questioned about their attitudes to wa rd financial risk. Ten of the 12 families were opposed to any financial exposure or risk in the enterprise. The reasons they gave included: 1) Already being in debt for other farm enterprises 2) Unwilling to risk losing their farm 3) Unsure about the viability of the broiler industry in Michigan Only one large cash crop farmer and one large dairy farmer were w i l l i n g to consider investing up to $40,000 of their o w n capital in the enterprise. The data from the sample suggests that few farmers are interested in a financial risk associated with growout facilities. 38 The Synthesized Corporation The synthesized corporation which is used in the study to determine costs and returns of organization and financing alternatives earlier at (1982). is one Michigan It is an that was State proposed for a study done and reported by .Rahn integrated complex with a et.al. weekly slaughter capacity of 315,000 broilers. The size corresponds to a one kill line p ro cessing plant which can handle 8,400 broilers per hour opera ti ng 7.5 hours per day, 5 days a week. All other functions p e r f o r m e d wit hi n the integrated complex are coordinated with this processing plant (Appendix D). The broiler g r o w - o u t function consists of 45 t w o- st or y buildings each h av i n g a capacity of 64,000 broilers and costing $385,678 (Appendix E). The cost of 45 build i ng s is over $17 investment million, almost half of the total (Appendix F). In the earlier study, capital the grow-out function was o w n e d and operated by the corporation on 9 farms. Each farm ha d 5 buildings. There were 9 farms since there w o uld be 8 different ages of broilers a week apart and one farm would be in the process of b e in g cleaned at all times. Ages are separated for disease prev en ti on purposes. In the present study, the alternative of h a v i n g 45 farmers each with results one b uilding indicate is considered. The field survey that potential growers are not interested in financing the buildings, as in the traditional contract 39 arrangement. Therefore, the a l t e r n a t i v e to c o r p o r a t e o w n e r s h i p and op er ation of the grow-out farms is a systme where the integrator owns but does not operate the growout farms. Such a system could be called a "caretaker" contract farm. Growout Organization Alternatives For Shiawassee county, there are two possible grow-out organizations to consider, the company farm alternative and the caretaker farm alternative. The company farm alternative would have 9 farms located on land purchased by the corporation and located within 5 miles of the pr oc essing plant, feed mill and hatchery. The labor on c o m p a n y farms would be salaried workers. The caretaker alternative would house broilers on 45 parcels of land leased for a n om in al price from a farmer caretaker who operates the broiler house for a fixed price per pound of live broiler. The corporation would own the grow-out buildings. The following section calculates the variable costs of producing the same number of broilers (16 million) using the company and caretaker alternative farm organizations. 40 Labor Costs Lance (1977) suggests that it takes 6.79 hours of labor per thousand bro il e rs placed. b roilers would require 58 To produce people the w o rk in g 16 m il lion full-time or 116,000 hours. In the M i c h i g a n State study it was as s u m e d that on company owned and operated farms of many buildings, the efficiency created by the dense population of broilers would mean that fewer workers would be required. This assumption was confirmed by conversations with the Poultry Extension d e p a r t m e n t at the U ni v e r s i t y of California at Davis. Between farm managers and crew 42 people were called for in the Michigan State study as shown in Table 5. Table 5 Growout Labor Requirements M.S.U. Study Cost/year Total 1 Manager $30,000 $30,000 2 Servicemen/foremen $A O , U U U r\r\ rs $ 0 4 , KJKJKJ 9 Farm Managers $10,000 $90,000 8 Clean-up crew $10,000 $80,000 8 Brooding crew $10,000 $80,000 6 Grow-out crew $10,000 $60,000 11 Swing crew $10,000 $110,000 20% Fringe Benefits $482,000 $96,400 Total $578,400 41 For the caretaker alternative it is a s s u m e d that the 6.79 h ours per thousand pl a c e d is correct and that farmers can be found to work for $8000 per year as the field survey suggested w o u l d be possible. For the numb er of br oilers p r o du c ed in each b r oiler b u i l d i n g placed on a caretaker's land, 2,400 h ours of labor w o u l d be required per year but 400 hours of that labor is involved in the r em ov al of litter. It is a s s u m e d that the value of the litter to the farmer well is equal to the value of the 400 ho urs of labor as as machinery calculation of the costs labor to remove costs it. Table Labor Requirements of the Caretaker Option Cost/year/each Total 1 Manager $30,000 $30,000 2 Servicemen $16,000 $32,000 Subject to Fringe Benefits $62,000 20% Fringe Benefits $12,400 Total $74,400 45 Caretaker Farmers Total is a to the integrator of the caretaker alternative for the broiler grow-out stage. Table 6 6 $8,000 average $360,000 $434,400 42 The caretaker alternative has a $144,000 lower labor cost expenditure. The major difference is b e t w e e n the s u p p l e m e n t a l caretaker labor cost of $4 per hour and the full-time crew labor cost which is $5 per hour before fringe ben ef it s and $6 per ho ur after g ov e r n m e n t man da t ed fringe ben ef it s (unempl oy me nt compensation, social security and workman's compensation primarily). Spatial Costs In contrast to the labor costs, s p a t i a l or transportation costs increase with the caretaker alternative be cause of the greater radius of the caretaker farms. This section comp ar e s the spatial costs of a 5 mile radius complex compared to a 20 mile radius complex. The spatial costs of a broiler complex consist p r i m a r i l y of the trans po r ta ti on costs of feed, chicks and broilers. equations for To calculate the transportation costs, three reported in Henry and Burbee (1964) are used, t he l o c a t i o n of th e impound point, one for one the re la tionship of road distance to impound point and one for travel time. The impound points of a circular supply band is a circle which divides the supply band in half. If the broiler farms to be serviced are located evenly over the surface of 43 a supply band, then the problem is to find the circle which divides the area of the band in half. This is found with the following equation: / P= 2 / Q 2 + N 2 W here: P = radial distance in m iles from the p roc es si ng plant at the center to the circle of impound points N = radial distance in miles from the pro ce ss in g plant at the center to the inner rim of the supply band Q = radial distance in miles from the pr oc essing plant at the center to the outer rim of the supply band If the inner rim and the p ro cessing plant- coincide at a point as is a s s u m e d in this study, N has a value of zero. For the present study the five mile radius organization has an impound point of 3.54 miles and the 20 mile radius alternative has an impound point of 14.14 miles. In other words, away, the average farm is located 3.54 and 14.14 miles respectively. The second equation derived from emperi ca l data in North Carolina translates radial distance to road distance. The equation distance in is R= miles 1.703 and A + 1.16 A is the where air R is distance the or road radial distance. Translating radial distance to road distance, the 44 impound point is really 5.8 and 18.1 road miles a w a y from the center of the complex. The fi nal equation from H e n r y and Burbee (1964), calculates travel time in relation to distance. The equation was determined using the running time of egg hauling trucks. 2 T = 2.865 + 2.6818D - .0102D W here T= Tim e in minutes and D= road miles. For a round trip of 11.6 miles ( 2 X 5.8 ), and 36.2 miles (2 X 18.1 ), travel time would be 32 minutes and 86 minutes, respectively. Feed Delivery The amount of feed required for the broiler g r o w -o ut function is 67,280 tons per year. At 20 tons per load using a 20 ton capacity s em i- tractor and t r a i l e r ,there are 3364 loads to deliver during the year, approximately 11 loads per day 6 days a week to produce 16,000,000 broilers. Table 7 details the cost and time requirements. 45 Table 7 Feed Delivery Cost and Time Requirements 5 Mile Radius 11.6 36.2 127.6 398.2 Round trip, miles 11 Round trips $.50 $.50 $63.80 $199.10 $19,905.00 $62,119.20 Cost per mile Daily cost Yearly cost 20 Mile Radius Time Required Loading 35 minutes 35 minutes Unloading 55 minutes 55 minutes Total 90 minutes 90 minutes 16.5 16.5 Hours per day 11 load/unload Travel time round trip 32 minutes Hours per day 11 trips 5.8 15.8 Total Hours 22 32 86 minutes In the case of a c o m p l e x with a 5 mile radius of g r o w- ou t farms, 2 semi-tractors, 2 feed trailers and 3 drivers are needed. The ten extra hours per day required by the 20 mile' radius means the purchase of another semi-tractor and trailer as well as another full time driver to operate at 46 that distance. Hatchery From the hatchery, each of the 6 deliveries per year are made to 45 g r o w - o u t b u i l d i n g s for a t o t a l deliveries. On each de li v e r y 660 boxes o' of 270 100 chicks are delivered on a speci al ly equipped chick bus. Table 8 "hows the costs and time required. Table 8 Chick Delivery Costs 5 Mile Radius 20 Mile Radius Round Trip, miles 11.6 36.2 270 Trip 3132 9774 $1561 $4887 Yearly cost at $.50 mile Load/Unload minutes 60 60 Round trip 32 86 Total daily time 1 trip per day 92 minutes 146 minutes For the hatchery no extra bus or driver is needed. Live Haul To haul the b roilers to the p r oc es si n g plant, 3 s e m i ­ tractors and 6 trailers with coops are used. Early each weekday morning all 6 trailers are brought to the farms and 47 then returned to the processing plant. Later in the morning, 4 trailers returned to are b r ou gh t back the p r o c es si ng out to the plant. farms In all, and 10 again loads of broilers are brought to the processing plant each day. Table 9 shows the costs and time required. In the case of the live haul, no extra tractor or driver is needed. Table 9 Live Haul Costs 5 Mile radius Total Semi round trips each day Miles 12 12 139 434 $55.60 @ $.40/mile Total trailer round trips/day 20 Mile radius $173.75 10 10 @ $.10/mile $13.90 $43.40 Total cost/day $69.50 $217.15 $18,070.00 $56,459.00 Total cost/year Time for round trip 32 minutes 86 minutes Round trips/day 12 12 Time each day 6.4 hours 17.2 hours 48 Table 10 com pi l es total spacial costs for the two growout alternatives. Table 10. Total Spacial Costs 20 mile radius 5 mile radius Feedmill $ 19,905 $ 62,119 Hatchery $ $ Live Haul $ 18,070 $ 56,459 Drivers $172,800 $194,400 Total $212,336 $317,865 1,561 4,887 Other Costs Other costs associated w i t h broiler grow-■out will be relatively the same regardless of manner organized. in which it is Table 11 lists the other variable grow-out costs with the exception of feed for raising 16 million broilers. Table 11. Other Grow-'Out Costs Company Farms Caretaker Farms Utilities $ 735,732 $ 735,732 Maintanence & Repair $ 222,107 $ 222,107 Insurance & Taxes $ 560,625 $ 536,025 Litter $ 448,168 $ 448,168 Misc. $ $ Total 30,000 $ 1,996,632 30,000 $ 1,972,032 49 Utilities are calculated at 226 K WT /1 0 0 0 started chicks X 17,186 thousand X 6 cents per KWT or $233,042 and 45 gallons of L.P. gas per 1000 started chicks X 17,186 thousand X $.65 per gallon or $ 502,690. Mainte ne nc e and repair is 1% of building costs and 2% of equipment costs per year. Insurance and taxes are1% oftotal fixed assets of total fixedassets forinsurance and for taxes. Thecontract 2% alternative is lower in this category because land and d w el l i n g s are not included. Litter is 6400 tons at $70 per ton which is enough for 1 re pl ac em en t per year and 5 top dressings. Table 12 shows the total costs for both the company farm alternative and the caretaker farm alternative. Table 12. Total Growout Costs for Company and Caretaker Farm Alternatives Company Farms Caretaker Farms Labor costs $ 578,400 $ 434,400 Spatial Costs $ 212,336 $ 317,865 Other $1,996,632 $1,972,032 Total $2,787,368 $2,724,297 The two alternatives are close in total vaiable costs. Capital Costs Table 13 shows the capital cost comparison between the company farms and the caretaker farms. 50 Table 13. Capital Expenditures for C o m p a n y and Caretaker Farm Alternatives Caretaker Company Land $ 630,000 0 Dwellings $ 270,000 0 Buildings $12,770,325 $13,408,841 Equipment $ 4,585,185 $ 4,585,185 Vehicles $ $ Total $18,777,510 522,000 In the caretaker alternative, included because the 586,000 $18,580,026 land and buildi ng s are not caretakers have their own houses. Building costs are es ti m a t e d to be 2.5% higher to build on 45 sites rather than on 9 sites (Tailored Building S ystems of Nunica, Michigan). close in total costs, Although the two alternatives the caretaker system w ould require $516,742 less in capital expenditures. of that capital are The opportunity cost would be a p p r o x i m a t e l y $62,000 per year using 1983 interest rates. Financing Three methods of financing the b r o i l e r grow-out buildings and e q ui pm en t are considered: equity, long term debt and equipment leasing. is The as s u m e d total to be cost of the $17,355,500. buildi ng s The and re ma ining 51 $19,274,100 needed for the broiler c o m p l e x is a s s u m e d to always be equity in this financing analysis. The internal rate of return after taxes and before inflation to the $19,274,100 is calculated for each financing alternative at 3 different interest rates. For each alternative, revenues and expenditures are fixed (appendix G). Long Term Debt W i t h the p r i m e rate of M a r c h 1983, 10.5%, banks in the area are wi l l i n g to lend 100% of the $17,355,500 for a period of 10 years at a rate of 12.25% if the ba lance sheet contained the $19,274,100 of equity. The tables w h i ch show the initial b al an ce sheet, cost recovery schedule, asset categories, net after-tax cash flow calculations and capital expenditure analysis for the 12.25% interest rate as well as for 9.25% and 15.25% can be found in Appendices Hi, II, Jl and K. Internal rates of return to capital after taxes and before inflation are shown in Table 14. Table 14. Long Term Debt Option Internal Rate of Return Interest Rates Internal rate of return after taxes/before inflation 9.25% 12.25% 15.25% 11.55% 10.19% 8.73% 52 Lease If the b ui l di ng s and e q u i p m e n t are leased w i t h a true lease, the following terms apply in March of 1983. 1) 10 year lease allowed 2) Security deposit of one advance payment 3) 10% buy-out after 10 years 4) A P R of 12.25% , a factor of .0143 As with the long term debt alternative, sheet, the cost r ecovery schedule, the initial balance asset categories, net after-tax cash flow calculations and the capital expenditure analysis for App en di ce s H2, the three 12, interest rates can be found in J2 and L. The factor at 9.25% is 0.012 and the factor at 15.25% is 0.0156. The internal rates of return are shown in Table 15. Table 15. Lease Option Internal Rate of Return Interest Rate Internal rate of return after taxes and before inflation 9.25% 12.25% 15.25% 10.43% 9.42% 8.59% Equity For the p ur po se of comparison, the rate of return has be en calculated for a 100% equity position. sheet, cost recovery schedule, The balance asset categories, net after­ 53 tax cash flow calculations and capital expenditure analysis for this option can be found in appendices H3, II, J3 and M. The internal rate of return for 100% equity after taxes and before inflation is 9.46%. When comparing long term debt and equity financing there is more to consider than just the internal rate of return. fixed pa y m e n t ob ligation W i t h debt which financing there increases the risk insolvency in a cyclical industry like agriculture. risk must also be taken into between financing alternatives. co nsideration in is a of That chosing CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS The purpose of the study was to identify a meth od of organizing and financing the supply of broiler chickens to a proposed processing plant in Michigan which is at the same time acceptable to farmers and provides the highest on investment. return Michigan is a potential broiler raising area because of the relatively low cost of feed grains in the area and the competitors. d om in an c e increasing Rising cost of transportation of the southern broiler transportation costs threaten to the industry in two ways. First, feed costs which make up 50% of the total ready to cook costs rise faster in areas further from the corn belt. Second, receipts fall faster in areas further from the final markets. Counter ba la ncing lower transportation and feed grain costs are higher labor, construction and tax costs in Michigan. The literature review revealed reservations about the effect of corporate farms on rural America. The classic work by Goldschmidt of UCLA compared Arvin and Dinuba California and found the town (Arvin) surrounded by corporate farms to have a less active ec on om ic and social life than the town surrounded by fa mi ly farms. Other issues raised by rural sociologists about corporate farms include: values attributed to family ownership, 54 the erosion of the sharpening of 55 class lines, possible reduction in local political responsibility, the flight of rural people to urban slums, the dangers of concentration of political power, concern for natural resources and the undesirable effects of absentee ownership. The traditional contract farming system is considered to be be tt er than the corporate farming system but it also h as serious shortcomings. The primary shortcoming is the imbalance in power between the contractor and the integrator. Agricultural eco no mi st s generally conclude that the highest efficiency is found on the family or contract farm and that corporations will not be o w n i n g and operating broiler g r o w - o u t farms economist, in the future, Ottoson, stated that, in the future. One integrators may provide all or part of the risk capital associated with grow-out housing. The field survey of farmers uncovered three important facts. First, there was 2000 hours of sup pl e me nt al fami ly l a bo r available on the farms surveyed. S e co nd , the reservation price of that labor is relatively low at §4 per hour. F i na l l y , consider the 98% of financial the farmers exposure traditional contract farmer. surveyed required to would not become a 56 The Caretaker Farm Since the farmers are unable or u n w i l l i n g to take the financial risks of purchasing poultry housing, the only non­ corporate farm alternative is the one suggested by Ottoson. The author has proposed that this contract farm arrangement be called the caretaker farm. A caretaker gr ow e r family would be required to lease, for a long term at a n o mi na l price, upon which the integrator 10 acres of their land would build the growout facilities. The g r o w e r w o u ld receive contract p a y m e n t s as r e m u n e r a t i o n for labor services and g r o w o u t expenditures incurred. In the event of grower default, i.e., being unable or un w il l i n g to p e r f o r m satisfactorily, contract p a y m e n t s and access to any portion of the leased land w ould be foregone. The advantage of the a r r a n ge me nt to the grower is the potential of creating on-farm supplemental income without the financial risk and initial equity r eq ui re me nt of the traditional contract grower w ould face the risk of arrangement. The grower family te m p o r a r i l y losing the use of a porti on of their land and hav in g another f a m i l y living on their land. The advantage of the caretaker farm arrangement to the integrator is that it may allow a form of the contract farm 57 to exist in an area where could not exist. The the traditional contract financial analysis sh o w e d farm that the lower labor costs of the caretaker farm give it a slightly lower total cost w h e n c o m pa re d to the co m p a n y o w n e d and operated alternative. Other advantages of the caretaker farm to the integrator include p o s s i b l y a mor e m ot iv a t e d labor force and the chance of farmers eventually participating in the financing of ad ditional g r ow ou t facilities. Caretaker labor may be more motivated than company labor because the caretaker would be working under a performance contract and at the homestead. A d i s ad va nt ag e to the integrator of the caretaker system is the p r o b l e m of what to do about farmers that don't work out. The farmer has two items at stake, a job which pays the family $8,000 in supplemental income per year and the t em p o r a r y loss of 10 or more acres of land. If the farmer, in spite of these incentives, is unwilling or unable to c o n t i n u e , the b ringing another integrator would have fa m i l y onto the land. the o p t i o n of In the case of a farmer being willing to continue but unwilling to do a good enough job, in spite of incentives built into the contract payments, party. then the case could be arbitrated In the case of an extended dispute, by a third the building could be moved for approximately one third of its original cost. Another disa dv an ta ge is that of having m a n y g r o w o u t 58 managers. different Each gr ow e r manner wit h manages the his resultant farm in a variation slightly in final product. Evaluative Conclusion Given the cultural and cost advantages of the family farm and the unwillingness of farmers in Michigan to finance the purchase of broiler grow-out facilities, it is recommended that an integrator in Michigan consider the use of the caretaker variation of the contract farm for broiler supply. Such a fa rming a r r a n g e m e n t is both acceptable to farmers and p rovides the h ig hest return on investment. At the p r i m e rate of spring 1983, long term debt financing yields a higher rate of return than equity financing but has inherent risks. Limitations of the Research & Further Research Needed One l i mi ta t io n of the research is that although a re latively large n um b e r of farmers were interviewed, 100, rel at iv el y few expre ss ed an interest in raising broilers. Therefore many of the results of the study are based on the opinions of those few farmers. Another l i m i ta ti on of the research is that the survey was conducted in the depths of the 1980-1983 recession which saw unemployment in Michigan 59 reach the high es t level in all 50 states for that period p erhapse m ak i n g farmers more reluctant than usual to risk capital. The field survey should be repeated in more normal e conomic times and reach greater numbers of interested farmers. Research should also be directed at ways to lower the financial risk of the contract farmer and still allow the farmer to buildings. pa rt ic ip at e in part of the financing of the Sociological study should be directed toward the question of future fam il y c o m po si t on and goals to predict labor availability. Will young underemployed teenagers and adults be avail ab le in the future for s up pl emental income jobs in M i c h i g a n ? W i l l the idea of a s up pl emental job such as the caretaker future farm be appropriate v i a b i l i t y of the c a r e t a k e r in the future? system The c a n o n l y be p re di ct e d by the c on struction of a sociolo gi ca l/ ec on om ic multi-disciplinary forcasting model. Finally, financial analysis is needed to compare the return on investment of an integrated firm in grow-out housing as compared to the other possible investments processing or retailing. it could make, su ch as further APPENDICES APPENDIX A APPENDIX A LETTER SENT TO AGRICULTURAL LANDOWNERS BROILER PROJECT RESEARCHERS MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY AfllHata* With Economic Dtvekipmcat Corporation of Shiawassee County 701 3 . Narcoa S tn c t Com m a, M I 48817 (317) 743-4409 PAUL AHO DIANA LUALHATI August 2 , 1982 Oear A g r ic u ltu ra l Landowner, We are research ers working w ith Michigan S ta te U n iv e rs ity and th e Shiawassee County Economic Development C o rp o ra tio n . The purpose o f our research 1s to In v e s tig a te th e f e a s i b i l i t y o f r a is in g b r o il e r chickens as an a d d itio n a l income source f o r r u ra l households. A telephone survey w i l l be made to g e t In fo rm a tio n about th e in t e r e s t o f landowners such as y o u r s e lf 1n growing b r o il e r s . We would 11tce to c a ll you to g e t yo ur o pin io n on th e m a tte r. The c a lls w i l l be made th is month and th e questions w i l l ta k e about 10 minutes to answer. A ll answers w i l l be kept c o n f id e n t ia l. General In fo rm a tio n About R aisin g B ro ile r s R aisin g b r o ile r s is an e n te rp ris e which in v o lv e s working S hours a day, 7 days a week fo r 47 weeks a y e a r . I t is work which most members o f th e fa m ily can p a r t ic ip a t e i n . I t 1s not th e kind o f work which can be th e so le source o f income fo r a fa m ily . A b r o il e r b u ild in g costs $400,000 and may be owned by th e processing p la n t o r by th e grower. C hicks, feed and management in s tr u c tio n s a re provided by th e processing p la n t. The grower cares fo r th e b ird s d uring t h e i r 8 week l i f e and re c e iv e s 5 payments a y e a r. A number o f a lt e r n a t iv e methods o f housing th e b r o ile r s a re being co n sid ered . Welook forward to ta lk in g w ith you. Your tim e and opinions w i l l be a p p re c ia te d . S in c e re ly y o u rs , o A PPEN D IX B APPENDIX B QUESTIONNAIRE USED FOR TELEPHONE INTERVIEW S QUESTIONAIRE I am calling from the Shiawassee Economic Development Corporation in regard to the Broiler Chicken research project. Is this Ur. X or Mrs. Y (landowner)? I would like to talk to the person in your family who has primary responsibility for your agricultural land. — your are that person--— - fine ...— you ftre not that person, when can that person be called? (When you get the right person) I am calling from the Shiawassee Economic Development Corporation in regard to the Broiler Chicken research project. questions that will take about 10 minutes to answer. I have some Is this a convenient time? 1) Do you live on a farm? Yes No____ If no thank you very much for your time, we want to talk to landowners that live on* a farm. 2) What kind of a farm do you live on? 3) Would you describe yourself as a full time farmer part-time farmer retired farmer employed as a farm manager 4) Did you receive our letter? Yes no? No IF NO------- I'll give you the general information now that was in the letter. Raising broilers is an enterprise which involves working 6 hours a day for 7 days a week, 47 weeks a year. It 62 Is work which most members of the family can participate in. It is not the kind of work which can be the sole source of income for a.family. A broiler building costs $400,000 and may be owned by the company which provides the chicks, feed and management information. The grower cares for the birds during their 8 week life and receives 6 payment per year. Any questions? ■j S) What is your reaction to the idea of raising broilers? 6) On a scale of 1 to 10 how would you rank your interest? (10 being most: interested) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7) Again on a scale of 1 to 10 how interested would you be in learning more about raising broilers? (1-4 drop, 5-10 continue) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 . 8 9 10 APPENDIX C 63 APPENDIX C PUBLICATION SENT BEFORE PERSONAL INTERVIEW S 64 PEOPLE ON THE FARM: BROILER GROWERS Today’s broilers are ready for market in one-third that time—at 8 weeks or less—thanks in large part to a scientifically controlled diet. For years, consumers could buy broilers or frying chickens only in the summer. Then nutritionists discovered vitamin D. Suddenly it was more p.actical to raise chickens indoors, out of the sun, and all year round by feeding the birds cod liver oil. Other vitamin discoveries helped, too. Meanwhile, other scientists— disease fighters—helped make it more practical for broilers to be grown in bigger and bigger flocks. The chances of being wiped out financially by some dread poultry ailment became so poor that raising broilers became a reasonable risk. Such scientific improvements wrought awesome changes in the broiler industry. Now a computerized broiler feed mill, orchestrated by an expert with a Ph.D. degree in nutrition, provides tons of the proper feed mixture at a time. Carbohydrates, vegetable proteins, animal proteins, vitamins, minerals, stabilized fats, antioxidants, antibiotics, and other diseasefighting or nutritional additives are combined correctly down to quantities as small as 3 ounces to the ton. This sophisticated feed is then delivered to growers such as Maurice and Ann. Improved feeding isn't the only basis for the revolution in the broiler industry in the last few decades. Geneticists have been working at fitting together the “perfect broiler’’ for years. They separated the best laying chicken strains from the best meat-producing strains. Then, producers put the first group to work laying eggs and the second into the broiler business. Dale keiverton.right, mill manager for McCarty-State Price, Inc.. broiler feeo miM in Magee. Miss., and Wiley Kirkland, the firm's nutritionist and ingredient buyer, discuss feed formulations beside panel which diagrams flow of ingredients m tre mill, from raiiroad car inputs 10 delivery trucks. Macnine at rea- reads cur.cn cards for correct mixture of several . ' <■ ui' SI I i I . :. %» ' • J* i j vj ‘ n i . *! I j ~ y -i j i , 111 j i . . - r 7. : . * / ■ o. il■ V \ j 1«•' flll I'm :r \. ’ * A batch of 30,000 Cay-old chicks headed for the Layton farm are moved out of McCarty-State Pride hatcnery under guidance of Magee hatchery manager Eddie Loftin, right, WHAT THE CONSUMER DOLLAR PAYS FOR ASSEMBLY / .(hauling:to plant ' frnrjT farmV PROCESSING PRODUCTION INCLUDING FARMERGROWER SHARE WHOLESALING, TRANSPORTATION . RETAILING 11 Broiiers sesm to exoloae like popcorn to fill their nouses curing the 7 to 3 weeks of their stay on the Layton farm. 12 These 5-week-old biros surveyed by Maurice Layton occupied only a third of this space the day of their arrival on the farm. Devouring the scientifically formulated and mixed feed brought to them by long cnain ‘eeoers (only half 76 the length of the Layton's newer broiler house is shown), the chicks convert every 2 pounds of feed into about 1 pound of meat, growing to a weight of nearly 4 pounds in less than 8 weeks. At 8 weeks of age. broilers weign 43.7 times their original hatching weight. If humans grew at the same rate, an 8-week-old oaby would weigh 349 ibs. 13 77 PRODUCTION BEGINS WITH PULLETS At the beginning of the production line, McCarty-State Pride buys breeder pullets that will be raised by specialized farmers until they are hens ready to lay eggs. Another group of farmers on contract oversees the production of these breeder hens' eggs, which are picked up by McCarty-State Pride's trucks for delivery to the company’s hatchery. Such layers produce eggs for hatching into broiler chicks for about 40 weeks. Then they are sold, some ending up in stores as baking hens and some being used in soups and pot pies. (Usually in the industry, breeder pullets will be raised by the same farmers who later handle the production of hatching eggs from these birds.) Hatched, vaccinated, and partially debeaked (just enough to prevent them from causing much harm to other chickens) the broilers-to-be are delivered at one day of age to broiler growers such as the Laytons. The. birds are delivered in specially built, temperature-controlled chick buses that look like school buses. In anticipation of such a delivery, the Laytons turn on the gas heaters in the brooders to warm the house. Earlier, they have cleaned and disinfected the broiler houses with special equipment during the 2 or 3 weeks the houses are empty between flocks. After the Laytons have fed the broilers until ready for market, McCarty-State Pride sends out crews of catchers at night because chickens squat in the dark, become less excited, ana are easier to catch. The catchers place the broilers in coops, put them aboard trucks, ana haul them to McCarty-State Pride's processing plants, where they are inspected and prepared in appropriate ways for supermarket meat counters and HOW CHICKEN IS PROCESSED FOR MARKET . Ninety-percent of. all broiler* should be soft enough so that • the shopper can depress the r fryer chickens produced in this . country are sold as fresh or. surface with his fingers. • \ FROZEN: The chicken Is j processed, and are .shipped1 ; quick-frozen at the processing { after being ice. packed, CO, packed, or deep chilled. The rest plant, shipped, and sold frozen.; It is available in many forms— : is frozen or fully: cooked; What do these terms mean to the. whole, parts, and precooked. FRESH, FULLY COOKED: consumer? ^ ICE PACK: The birds are . Chicken Is fried, pan fried, roasted, barbecued at the store ■ plucked,: eviscerated, USDA*. - ■ ' inspected, and chilled. They are or in fast-food outlets, or Is sold' then, shipped, fresh, packed in as delicatessen products in cdntainers filted with shaved Ice. supermarkets. : ] In a CO, pack, carbon dioxide Sometimes a package of “snow" is used as the refrigerant chicken will bear the label j This process is essentially the "ready to cook." This means same as the Ice pack method. simply that the chicken has been, DEEP CHIU, CHILL PACK. OR plucked, eviscerated, chilled, CRYSTAL PACK- (more and more and is ready for the consumer toreplacing ice pack methods): cook as soon as removed from the package. ; Chicken is.rapidlycooled to 28°: •to.32° F, but not frozen. The . . The time between processing : and delivery to the consumer of ; chickens are usually packaged : unfrozen broilers is shortening. ; at the processor ievet and shipped dry-packed without ice in ; : The elapsed time from live bird ; refrigerated trucks. This method, to retail store can be as short as ‘ pfprocessing may result in some. X day but may be as much as 2 ' to 4 days. : ; crystal, formation..The flesh other uses. The U.S. market in 1975 (as measured at federallyinspected processing plants) took 4.8 billion pounds of whole broilers, 2.6 billion pounds of cut up broiler meat and 541 million pounds of broiler meat that was further processed. Many of the whole broilers that left the processing plant were cut up into pieces before reaching meat counters in stores. The expected market for broilers affects everything McCarty-State Pride does— weeks, months, even years in advance. Eleven weeks before Christmas, McCarty-State Pride reouces the number of chicks natcned because people buy fewer broilers at Christmas time. Another cutback begins before Labor Oay, when children start eating their lunches at school. McCarty-State Pride's cnarts show that the biggest demand each year is around the Fourth of July, which is the high point for picnics and barbecues. In November 1975, McCartyState Pride’s marketing people told the production boss, Tom Sparks, how many broilers they expected to sell every week in 1977. Then Sparks went through his system, determining how many eggs would be needed to produce the pullets that would become layers of eggs that would become broilers. “The farmer's livelihood depends on how accurate I am,” Sparks said. “If a broiler house lies empty for a month between batches, the farmer is losing money." Normally, the houses are empty only 2 or 3 weeks between growing periods. Naturally, Sparks and others in his position watcn the prices 78 being paid for broilers and try to anticipate what those prices will be in the future. They know that the prices will depend not only on the number of broilers for sale but also on per capita income in the Nation, as well as the available quantities of competing foods—such as beef and pork—and their prices. The availability and price of feed also affect the integrator's decision on how many broilers to grow. If the cost of production goes up, the integrator might cut back on his production. Relieved of such marketing problems, today’s broiler grower is still out on the farm and enjoying it. Like other farm wives, Ann Layton has to juggle a lot of activities to get everything done. After preparing the noon meal for family and visitors, she takes a call from a friend concerning her art activities. per c a p ita ^• ■ ■■: ;■ CONSUMPTION OF .: CHICKEN MEAT: Consumption o» c o m m m cisl ■ .v t 1935-1973. Note w ■' --W^-V l a n d *- moel completerepieeeineMat ferncNcfceneby Mien*- _ O J-K' '-.T*./ bwileie end ferro chicken*' - ■ ___ ;•> • • rr - ; ' N “ ' . .! ‘V ; - . v - / / '•;i-t •;r 1 j vJ -j-y.-j j 1 -V-'S; ..->2II. BROILERS' i OTHER ■ I l _ ■ ■ ■ ■Ready-to-cooh beam. -4 ■ .......J r - - :■ 1935 •i} ''i H -• I J 1 -3 I 1 — 4 J 4 J l I 1940 I 1945 I 1950 I 1955 I960 1965 1970 1975 15 79 LAYTONS BUSY IN MANY WAYS In December 1975, Maurice Layton was grazing three bulls, 100 brood cows, and 125 steers of his own. and taking care of another 75 cows and 75 steers for his mother. Each of his sons also is financially and physically responsible for a junior herd of 10 animals of his own, unless, as in Blake's case, college studies keep him away from the farm. While Maurice brings hay to the cattle and checks on their condition each morning—"making sure they’re all up and able to move”—Ann cleans the house and starts cooking the noon meal. A typical noon meal at the Laytons might include fried chicken (they have it two or three times a week, buying It at the grocery), pinkeyed purple-hull peas, sweet potato pudding with raisins, candied sweet potatoes, pickled beets, fruit salad, rolls, iced tea, and jam cake. If guests Noontime television news is important to most farmers, who must keep an eye and an ear tuned to current prices —of tne goods they're buying and of the products they’re selling. Maurice Layton, in a chair next to his kitchen, checks the prices of farm products In the Jackson, Miss., area. Kelvin Layton joins brotner Blake on tractor hauling a pasture clipper. Behind them is family woodlot which rjmhnw •** mnnf ennn avnewMf ,lillww> >« l>>«bl U W H < « •Utyvi including Blake's college education. 16 80 are expected, Ann might add earn bread, turnfp greens, and potliquor (the liquid left in a pot after cooking meats or vegetables). But even such good food can't keep the Laytons from the noon television reports on weather and markets. The noon meal is timed so that the Laytons can switch on the television in the living room at 12:10 p.m. to hear weather predictions on channel 3 out of Jackson, Miss., followed by the markets at 12:15 p.m. The day’s prices are quoted on such farm products as canner and cutter cows, heifer calves, and “good young stocker cows.” Comments are heard from the set, such as "well, the hog market is up today” (followed by details) and “in Georgia poultry, the broiler market remained unsettled" (again followed by details). Local farm market prices are examined in great detail by the television announcer. After the noon meal, the Laytons return to the chicken houses to repeat the morning routine and also check on the cattle. Sometimes the calves are vaccinated. Other times, cattle are moved from one pasture to another. This can be done anytime the chickens aren't baing carad for. From Oacomtor until spring the cows are calving and need special attention. There are a lot of chores on a farm—routine work that needs attention, sometimes daily, sometimes three times a day, some*times according to the season of the year. The Laytons need to cut the hay three or four times from May until October. They bale the hay in 120C- to 1500-pound bales, and keep the hay in the field for feeoing the cattle from November through March. (The bales, thanks to moaern machinery, are much larger than the familiar smaller ones stored unaer cover.) Friendly banter is typical of relationship between Maurice Layton and company serviceman, Tim Waller. Qenind them is bin which provides feed for chain feeding troughs in the Laytons' newer broiler house. Two other activities directly concerned with the chickens occur anytime during the week. One is the delivery of feed from McCarty-State Pride. In addition, the company's serviceman comes by twice a He's probably a college graduate with a speciaity in poultry. He also needs to be a diplomat. Some growers think they already know how to raise chickens without advice. "Chicks don’t need as much physics! Isbcr 35 thsy nssb 'tending to,’ ” Maurice explains. "You have to move through them slowly, or they’ll crowd up against a wail and smother." Chicks that carry bruises from such a feathered stampede aren't worth as much at the processing plant. Once, Ann recalls, a helicopter circled over the farm ana the Laytons found 150 dead chickens iluad!ed in one corner of tneir rouse. SERVICEMAN KEY LINK WITH INTEGRATOR The serviceman is the broiler owner’s representative. He drops in regularly to see how the birds are doing. He "talks shop" with the farmer, offering aavice, perhaps cn how to make the best use of the integrator’s feed. He brings medicine and checks on flock losses. He listens and locks for any signs of stress in the flocks. Hes on call 24 hours a day to help growers with any problem in growing the birds. The serviceman is an expert. in effect, the Laytons are operating a fineiy tunea proauction machine 'within another finely tunea machine, the broiier industry.1. 17 81 "Growing broilers is a continuous process that one man or a few people can handle better than a lot of people." Maurice said, “and if you turn ycur back on it very long, something is sure to go wrong." Even when they are in their home, the Laytons have an ear tuned to the broiler houses and any unusual sounds. Ann says that when the chicks are new, entering the broiler house is like walking into a nursery. "The chicks are all chirping and busy when you come in, but by the time you leave, after cleaning out the waterers and feeding them, they're all settled down—cooing, sort of,” she explains. Maurice says that by the time the chicks are 6 to 7 weeks old, a half dozen “pet” chickens will come to meet him at the door as he enters. FARM BECAUSE THEY WANT TO “Ninety percent of the people farming today do so because they want to farm," Maurice says. "Back in the Thirties, they farmed because they didn’t know anything else to do." Now the Laytons' eldest child is learning that his “something else” is entomology—a science that aeals with insects. Ann says hs doesn't hava that “c.hamistry" between animal and human that a broiler grower needs. Obviously, his parents do. Ann used to help with the cattle as well as the chickens. Before the boys got older and could take her place, she was out there herding and vaccinating with the best of them. "Nowadays they’ve retired Mama.” Ann said somewhat '-uefully at the kitchen sink. "I’d rather be out there than in here. The quicker I get through with the housework and onto something else, the better." Ann, like the rest of the family, 13 is devoted to the outdoor life. “We keep a ’corner’ of the farm for wildlife and timber,” Ann says. "Actually, we have several spots set aside for wildlife. They’re part of the farm plan.” Does Maurice recommend broiler growing to others? "Only if they have a real desire to do it," he replies. Maurice and Ann figure they have a quarter of a million dollars invested -in their enterprise, most of that in the price of their land. Besides land (which was valued at an average of $382 an acre in Mississippi in 1975), the Laytons have a $30,000 invest­ ment in cattle, about $40,000 in broiler houses and broiler house equipment (estimated cost of replacement today), $15,000 in their own home, and $25,000 in other equipment, such as two tractors, a hay baler, a disc, a pasture clipper, harrows, plows, planter-cuitivator, and two hay mowers. With this investment and a lot of work, they gross about $30,000 to $35,000 a year—including $16,000 on the cattle, $12 to $15,000 on the broilers, and $1,500 on timber sales. In 1973, the Laytons netted MAURICE AND ANN’S INCOME AND EXPENSES, 1975 Income from: broilers cattle timber TOTAL $14,000 16,000 1.565 $31355 Income Expenses Net about $18,000 after operating expenses, before taking out depreciation and debt payment (about $6,000 and $3,000, respectively). Annual depreciation is the amount a farmer figures his buildings and machinery have lost in value in a year. He still has the cash equal to the depreciation and may spend it for operating the farm or anything else he wishes. However, if he doesn’t have that money when the building or machinery needs to be replaced, he may need to borrow to pay for them. In 1974, the Laytons netted only about $9,800 (and depreciation as well as debt payment still had to be subtracted). In 1975, with a gross income of $31,565, the Laytons netted $11,665; but again, depreciation and debt payment whittled that down to about $3,000. That’s what the Laytons make for their management and labor and return on their investment. "What the farmer is trying to do,” Maurice said, "is to accumulate something for retirement or for the kids—not put money in the bank." He smiled and added,"From Expenses seed $ feed fertilizer butane electricity repairs, broiler house interest * income tax, social security general repairs other fuels worming medicine, cattle insurance depreciation debt payment TOTAL $31,565 $28,500 $ 3,065 Net covers management, labor, and return on investment 1,500 2,500 5,000 1,500 150 1,000 3,000 600 1,450 1,500 500 1,200 5,600 3,000 82 A university graduate who loves the country life. Ann Layton finds time between broiler care and other activities to expressTierself artistically. Blake Layton studies entomology, a science that deals with insects, in college. Even when home, he's working on it—as well as helping around the farm and holding down another Job. a financial standpoint, I'm sure we'd be better off to sell out, invest the money for the interest, and find jobs doing something else; however, with us, farming is a way of life that we really enjoy." At the end of 1975, the Laytons owed about $10,000 on their cattle, $10,000 on feeder calves, and $25,000 on the real estate. BUILDING EQUITY WITH LABOR Broiler growers with limited capital can build equity (an estate—property ownership— call it what you will) with family labor. “The broiler industry is the salvation of the small farmer,” Sparks says. Compared with the farmer who raises just crops and no livestock or poultry, the broiler grower gets four or five paydays a year rather than just one or two big ones when the farmer sells his crops after harvest (assuming the crop grower has a good growing season). Watching a feed truck being unloaded into his storage bin, Maurice says "That’s what looks good to me. I don't pay out cash for feed, and I know I’m going to get something for my labor. 8efore I started growing broilers, I wasn’t sure I was going to get anything for my labor OR my investment." FAMILY HAS VARIED INTERESTS The lives of Maurice and Ann Layton generally center around their children, but they have succeeded in maintaining some time for their own pursuits. For instance, Ann is caught up in crocheting, needlepoint, hooking rugs, painting and ceramics. Another of her projects is to establish better research facilities at their community library in nearby Magee. Maurice is not only busy in promoting the conservation of land and wildlife in his area but attends university evening classes in political science, psychology, and sociology in nearby Raleigh. Together, the Laytons are active in 4-H, the Farm Bureau, the Mississippi Cattle Association, and the Poultry Producers Association. The a-h is a nationwide program coordinated by the Cooperative Extension Service. It involves young people and their parents in a great variety of activities— often outside of agriculture. The Farm Bureau is an independent general farm organization, the 19 largest farm organization by far in the Nation. As a part of 4-H activities, Anita, the daughter, has visited Washington, D.C.. Chicago, III., and East Lansing, Mich. She'd like to be an anthropologist or an archeologist. Her older brother, Blake, helped organize the Junior Soil Conservation Commissioners of Mississippi in 1972 and was named State youth conservationist of that year. The farm permits Kelvin to be close to the nature that he loves. When a man once came to the Layton home and inquired if it were for saie. Kelvin, the only Layton at home, declared. "No way. This home will never be fc r sale." "Life's to be lived and enjoyed." Maurice says "In the spring of tne year, when everything is green ana the grass is growing food, that's heaven on earth." 20 It was for the children that Maurice and Ann left their jobs in town to return to the farm. It is for them they are building an equity in land, buildings, and cattle. The children, for their part, make it possible for Maurice and Ann to raise broilers and cattle without hiring outside help —a condition most satisfactory to Maurice who, like many farmers, has trouble finding skillful, conscientious help. WHAT ABOUT TOMORROW? What tomorrow will bring the Laytons ana the rest of the broiler industry is anyone’s guess. Dynamic in the recent past, the industry continues to change. Broiler exoerts say Amer.cans cannot expect efficiencies to be achieved as racidly as they were ,n the past . . . tnat imorovements Anita Layton and her Tennessee Walking Horse. Breezy, like to pause In one of the Layton farm’s many ponds after riding ever open fields. Riding is one of the reasons Anita iikes tne country life. in feed conversion rates .vii! come harder. Improvements in productivity may not stay ahead of rising costs, they warn. Whatever happens in the industry, the results will show up not only on the supermarket shelves and in the food-serving establishments of tne Nation but on tnousands of farms like the Layton farm. ■*- - •' •'* --V ' . production contracts across the' To get into the broiler-■ growing business the prospective- ! country.-Some contracts—typi- • calty in the State of Maine— grower must first find an. call for the farmer to be paid on integrator. the basis of the number of When the National Broiler \ Council (NBC) receives, an , ; square feet in his broiler houses inquiry from a potential grower, —specifically, how many square . .. feet used each week. Some : its response, a spokesman said,, follows the. following tines: contracts are based on what the, 'birds sell for^ Some call for the "Of primary Importance is ' whether a slaughter/processing : growers to pay for the heating ; fuel; others do not. plant Is located within about 25 Sometimes houses are leased miles . . . or 50 miles a t a maximum. All the feed has to be :' by the company and the grower is paid wages. Other variations transported to the farm, and the; cover an allowance for putting market-weight chickens have to be hauled to the processing. , in insulation, floor space per plant. Without a compact produc-.. chick started,, a distribution of tion area, the transportation ' profits, penalties for condemnscosts increase excessively. \ tion losses, the cost of disinfec­ “Local county extension agents tants and of applying them, the can advise potential, growers , ' cost of litter or of cleaning out... ■ on whether a plant is nearby. It the house,.and the cost of catclv is best to go directly to the - ing the birds and hauling them company and discuss specifically to market. what Is involved in the contrac- ; , Maurice and Ann' Layton's . contract with McCarty-State tual agreement. “In some cases where the pro­ Pride has been adjusted upward ducer/processor company Is with the price of fuel, which expanding production and Is tripled in cost locally from 10 looking for more growers, the cents a gallon in 1968 to 30 company will advertise for addi­ cents a gallon in 1975. tional growcut capacity. In this A prospective grower needs situation, it generally means the a contract before approaching a contract payments will have to lending institution for the money be increased across the board to build brojler houses and In­ stall equipment. Most people to attract new growers or addi­ considering it already occupy tional housing, on the current the land they will build upon. growers' farms.” Not every broiler-growing area Nearly every grower across the —most of them are south of the . country has a source of Mason-Dixon Line—is looking income other than that from for growers. In early 1976, the growing broilers. In many areas, Delmarva Peninsula (made up as with the Layton family in of parts of Delaware, Marylana, Mississippi, growing broilers ana Virginia) was looking for fits in well with growing feeder more growers. In Arkansas, the calves. For one thing, high nitro­ Nation's largest broiler-produc­ gen chicken litter can be spread ing State, integrators were as fertilizer on grazing land. reported to have enough growers Whether the farmer grower on contract. makes enougn money on his There are-many kinds of operation (or doesn’t lose too . '■«* * i much) is a question of his val­ ues, his contract, and his accounting procedure. One agri­ cultural economist makes a case that a farmer producer in the Delmarva Peninsula who invests $2.50 per bird capacity in the operation (the rule of thumb for today's operation In that area) would lose money if paid 10 cents a bird. ‘ On the other hand, he would make money if he were paid 12 cents a bird. That money would pay him for his labor and manage­ ment By growing broilers, the farm* er-producer is building something to leave: behind or to sell when • the time comes. He is living i where he wants to live while his { net worth is. increasing in­ value. .. ■ ' : What kind of attitude and j capabilities should the prospec* j tive grower possess? The National Broiler Council : suggests: ' • A desire to grow chickens • The financial capability to provide adequate hous­ ing for the chickens • Adequate and dependable labor • Willingness to meet con- ; tractual obligations • A mind for business • An open mind—to acceptimprovements in grow­ ing chickens as the improvements become known. In some areas, integrators actually prefer the prospective growers to have little or no experience in growing chickens —at least as they were grown in years past. They'd rather teach the grower the system the integrator considers best. nearby, and watch the sun set over a rolling countryside, the Laytons like tu get together out in the yard in warm weatnar. Anita may pick up her guitar and start singing a current tunc, v.'hilo her brothers, her parents, and her dog Kim listen. The contractual arrange­ ments between integrator and prcdiicsri whlls isfi tc tfts siQn~ ing parties to work out, must follow certain rules spelled out by regulations under the Packers and Stockyards Act (P&SA). Primarily for the protection of the farrner-grower, the contract must be written and signed, spelling out clearly several specific terms such as the method of figuring feed conver­ sion ratios (with examples) and who's liable if the birds must be condemned. Full and complete accounting must be furnished the grower at time of settlement. The scales used to weigh the birds must be tested for accu­ racy twice a year. The relationship bstvv&fin grower and integrator has seen rough days in some parts of the country in years past However, adoption of the P&SA rules seems to have reduced significantly the misunderstand­ ings between integrator and farmer. Fewer complaints have, been received by the U.S. Department of Agriculture since the regulations concerning con­ tracts went into effect in 1971. A good business relationship ail along the line of broiler production is the rule, not the exception. 86 TOP 10 STATES IN BROILER PRODUCTION IN 1975 (by thousands): " .i 481,888 Georgia- ' v * 16,599 ''i-MtoalssippI-' Maryland ',;23i: 30i179,789 - 3T.035 i-i-sVvnWfts.;-,, The center of broiler prodoc- ; tion has moved South—ta the Southeastern States of Georgia and North Carolina, and. the South Central States of Arkansas, Alabama,. Mississippi, and Texas. The earlier production center —the Delmarva Peninsula (made up of parts of the States of Delaware, Maryland, and Vir­ ginia)—still maintains a strong activity, however. Why the SouthT ’ V ; ‘ Weit; heating fuel' isn't so great-an expense. Beyond that,. Raymond-T. Parkhurst, then director of the South Central Poultry Research- Laboratory, wrote in 1967: “The competition for labor can be a very important factor in the growth of broiler produc­ tion in an area. If broiler growers have no alternative, they will probably continue to operate- when prices are depressed and income is low. However; when Industries offer an alternative revenue, the wage offered, the relative 'pleasantness' of the jobs, the time of year, the dura­ tion. of the job, and the skill and responsibility required all become factors. In the South, historically, there have been fewer agricultural alternatives and less industrial demand for labor.” 23 87 Broiler . - . pounds, when' marketed, \ the involved in this form of In te -; A young chicken, usually under; - feed conversion is 2.4 (8 . V gration have ceased broiler . 13 weeks old^that is tender-. divided by 3.33). If it takes 6 operations in recent years. meated with . soft; pliable, pounds of feed to bring a Litter ' . . • ' smooth-textured skin-and flexbroiler to a market weight'of Theblanketof wood chips, saw- : ible breastbone cartilage. 3.33 pounds, the feed conver’-dust, or other absorbent maBroiler house : ': ■sion is 1.8. If feedwere $4.50 . terlal upon whictr the birds; . The building In which.broilers - per hundred pounds in both ••.. walk and rest-in the broiler: . - ^are: grown; .Its- design depends - instances, it would cost 27 . houses, it is removed or: cov- f . upon fit® climate;, age of the . cents to feed the broiler with ■ered as it. becomes caked, j : house, and money the owner' - » ratio of 1.8; compared with Wherv.a new batch of broilers ; •- can invest' in , it.- One, of the - 36 cents to feed: a broiler with enters the broiler house, it tr ; . common designs Is, a long, low '&■*' e fa tio o f. 2.4. With a fiock of.. removed and replaced with new: L: building-.Jiaving windows, or .' i 30,000. chickens, the differlitter.. • -j curtains along its sides;to con- . ..- ence In feed cost is $2,700. Processor "■■■ . r-y. i --r trot ven tilation .and . larger' fryer...-' '.-.T h e person of firm that kilts i V doors attheends to permit the . .Ahbther.name fbrbrolter..;.,;: -’ and processes chlckens-fdr re-.; -. entrance of'house-cleaning ve- integrator^ taif use,.'Usually the integrator.;j hides. However, .environment ; A firm,; cooperative-;.of a p e K " Producer. 'ij .' tally controlled houses-with no son that- controls -more than..The person, or firm; that owns: v windoweare coming into wider:-,: one stage in the production of : t h e broilers,; usually an inte-1 use..Fans:and= Insulation pro- : ; broiiers . . . usually everything;' grator; - '-J v ; %vide ;the proper atmosphere ’from broiler egg. production.. Retailer -*-with: Tess. labor and manage through processing. It owns ;; .The person or firm who sells v] ■■■' ment tim e involved. . ’ : ;; the broifers. . It contracts with .: ready-to-cookbroilers- to. the1, Farmer-grower ...' ' . ' farmer-growers to grow them. r- ' consumer;' J.’". 5 ; People, such as th e Laytons;.• Large:integrators may also own - Serviceman ‘ i; * who have contracted with the more than one unit of impor- : • An employee, o f the producer \ . owner of the-broilers to grow ; tant phases of the productionwho visits the farmer-grower j .. the broiiers from 1 day of age —more than one processing regularly—perhaps twice week-i to marketing time, about 7% to - plant, for instance. Sometimes . ly—to see: how the broilers are ' 8 weeks later: Farmer-growers a firm, cooperative, or person progressing toward market usually live on the land., that mi'xes feed for commercial weight. He checks the entire; Feed conversion ratio sale also owns the broilers and system of growing the chickens The pounds of feed required to contracts with farmer-growers on each farm for disease-free, produce a pound of live broiler. to raise-the broilers, using the efficient production of high-If a broiler consumes 8 pounds manufacturer's feed. Some big quality birds, of feed and^ weighs 3 3 3 feed manufacturers who . got SUCCESS AT THE TOP How many firms are producing broilers in the United States? How much of total production is turned out by, say: the top . 20? One close measure of the number of firms producing broilers is the number which are processing them. In 1975, there were 154 firms processing young chickens under Federal inspection (less than 2 percent of broiler production comes through the other plants—Stateinspected plants which meet Federal standards). The trend in the number of processing firms has generally been downward. In 1960 there were 286 firms processing broilers. In 1964, there were 201 and in 1968 there were 153. But in 1972, the number bounced back up to 227 (only to come down again later). In 1975, the 20 largest firms processing broilers turned out 55 percent of the total produc­ tion in. federally inspected plants. The same number turned out only 32 percent in 1960. Their share generally has been in­ creasing through the years. Since 1964, the four largest firms have generally produced 17 or 18 percent of the total market. 24 *g.s. isrtwtJiT APPENDIX D Waste Coim>le» 16,000 Breeders Fiow Purchased Each Month Diagram 1275 Tons of 1300 Tons of Feed t"4 O s: Feedgrains Produced by Feedaill > O Rendering Plant 55 Tons Poultry Meal Ureeder Flock of 480 Tons of Product 170,000 Birds g s S|ieut Ureeders H m 315,000 Broilers 300,000 Eggs Processed Set in Hatchery CO td § M f* Eggs Sold M fd 330,000 Chicks CO Plueed Mortality Inventory of 21$ Million Birds Crowout Farias H a a ►< fe hd M a M 00 00 A PPEN D IX E APPENDIX E MICHIGAN BRO ILER GROWOUT HOUSE COSTS Summary Schedule of Broiler Growout House Costs— ^ Item Cost Unit /Ft2 /Bird 196,725 13,000 4,000 1,500 38,400 15,360 400 269,385 5.61 4.21 Equipment, Building Feed Bin and Delivery System Feeding System Brooder/Heating System Plasson Waterers Ventilation Partial 3rood1ng/Curta1nSub Total 6,972 19,465 7,652 12,452 43,059 553 90,153 1.88 1.41 Equipment, Other '* 6-64/TC Round-Dual Burner Natural Gas Incinerators Alarm System Stand-By Generator Sub Total 440 1,300 10.000 11,740 0.25 0.18 2,400 0.05 0.04 4.000 8.000 12,000 0.25 0.19 385.678 8.04 6.03 Buildings Structures Electrical Plumbing for Gas Keating Plumbing for Water System Concrete Floor Attic Insulation Concrete for Bins and Incinerators Sub Total Well & Pump Site Development Office and Restrooms Site Preparation Sub Total TOTAL 1/ One 401 x S00' x 17' 2-story house with 64,000 bird capacity at " 0.75ft2 per bird. Building cost quotes provided by Tailored building systems; The POST BUILDING 4 SUPPLY Company; 11335 Apple Drive; Nunica, Michigan 49448. Equipment cost quotes provided by Hurst Equipment Inc.; 845 Interstate Drive; Napoleon, Ohio 43545. A PPEN D IX F Projected Capital Investment Summary ($) Land Dwel lings Item Buildings Equipment Vehicles Total Pet. 01st. Function: Replacements 30,000 90,000 1,010,050 326.400 14,000 1,470,450 4.44 breeders 64,000 240,000 1,947,240 578,928 47,000 2,877,168 8.68 Gruwout 630,000 270,000 12,770,325 4.585,185 32,000 18,287,510 55.20 724.000 600,000 15,727,615 5.490,513 93,000 22,635,128 68.32 Hatchery 710,000 489,388 72,000 1.271,388 3.84 Feedmil1 918,800 1 ,363,200 198,000 2.480,000 7.49 1,428,000 1 ,579,702 308,000 3,315,702 10.01 422,400 2,000,000 2,422,400 7.31 173,000 173,000 0.52 Sub Total Processing Rendering Marketing G & A Sub Total TOTAL 106,000 220,000 400,000 107,000 832,000 2.51 . 105,000 3,699,200 5,832,290 858,000 10,494.490 31.68 19.426,815 11 ,322,803 951,000 33,129,618 100.00 829.000 600,000 1 5 ►tf M S3 O M N APPENDIX G S3 c! Projected Annual Operating Expenditure Suuuiary($) Function 1tern Itcplaceiuent Chicks]/ Breeders Hatchery Growout Feedmill Procesng Rendering Mkting Gen&Adm 19461b Total 194618 Feed In *0 *o 6 7 a *0 *0 *o so *o SO *o SO *0 *0 *0 *0 so *0 *57000 *83600 *79800 *79800 *79800 *0 *0 ■SO *0 *0 *0 *0 SO *o SO *0 *0 *o *0 *0 *o *o *0 *0 *0 *0 SO S'.' ■*'.' SO *0 *0 97 1 2 3 4 3 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 EAR 1 2 3 4 3 6 7 8 9 10 U 12 13 14 IS REPLVCH *3393 *3160 *3023 *0 *0 *5143 ♦7B17 *7611 *o *0 *7356 *11485 *11183 *© *0 BRDVCH *11398 *17324 *16868 *o *0 *17265 *26242 *23332 *0 *o *25367 *38358 *37344 *0 *o GROTVCH H ATCHVCH F D M IL L V C H PPLTVC H *7760 *11795 *11485 *0 •0 *11735 *17867 *17397 *0 *0 *17271 *26253 *25562 *0 *0 *17460 *26539 *25841 *48015 *72983 *71062 *74690 *113329 *110541 *o *o *0 *26448 *40201 *39143 *0 *0 *38861 *59068 *57514 *0 *72732 *110552 •107643 *0 •0 *106867 *162438 *158163 •O *o *0 MKTVCH *41953 *63768 *62090 *0 *0 *63548 *96394 *94032 GitAVCH *23948 *39440 *38402 *0 T O T RECOVR R E M A IN V A L *2658700 *4334760 *4206570 *3853860 •3853B60 *1944290 *2120240 *2106270 *1589260 *1389260 *2051240 *2318150 *1528640 *0 *0 *28850000 *24515300 *20308700 *16434900 *12601000 *12054000 *9933800 *7827530 *6:238280 *4649020 *4650920 *2332770 *804131 *804131 *804131 *o *0 *93374 •141928 *138193 *0 •O *o *39305 *59743 *38171 *0 *o *57731 *87782 *85472 *o SO *o *o *o *113138 *171970 *167445 *0 *0 *166237 •252681 *246031 *0 *0 98 APPENDIX 12 COST RECOVERY SCHEDULE - LEASE OPTION C O S T RECOVERY S C H E D U LE YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 s 9 10 11 12 13 14 IS YEAR 1 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 io 11 12 17. 14 15 YEAR 1 2 •r 4 S b 7 a 9 10 11. 12 13 14 15 LAND DUELLINGS REPLBLDG BRDBLDG GROUOUT HATCHBLDG SO S39981 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S79962 S399B1 SO SO 577078 S 154157 S1S 4157 S 1S 41S7 S154157 S154157 S I54157 S154157 S I54 15 7 S1S4157 S154157 S154157 S77078 SO SO SO so so so so so so so so so so S45600 S79800 S68400 S S 7 0O 0 557000 557000 551300 551300 551300 551300 SO SO SO SO SO S260333 S381821 S364466 S364466 S364466 •2 8 1 0 4 SS6208 SS6208 SS6208 •5 6 2 0 8 SS6208 S56208 S56208 S56208 S S 620'9 SSA208 S56208 •2 8 1 0 4 SO SO FDMILLBLDG PPLTBLDG RENDBLD8 G&ABLDG REPLEQUIP BRDEQUIP S3 6 3 4 9 S7273B S72738 S72739 S72738 S7 2 7 3 8 S72738 S 7273B S72738 S72738 S72738 S72738 •3 6 3 *9 SO SO 556325 S I13050 S I13050 S113050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 S I13050 SSA525 SO SO S16720 S33440 S33440 S33440 S3 3 4 4 0 S3 3 4 4 0 S33440 S33440 S33440 S33440 S33440 533440 S I6720 SO SO S8708 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S17417 S8708 SO SO S46312 S68218 S65117 S65117 S65117 SO SO SO SO SO SO SO SO SO SS2497 S120996 S I 15496 ■ S I 15496 S11S496 so SO so so •0 SO' so> so 50 50 HATCHEQUIP FDMILEQUIP PPLTEQUIP RENDEQUIP G&AECUIP REPLVCH S6973B 5102292 S97633 S97633 597633 50 S I9 4 2 5 6 5284909 S271958 S27195B 5271958 S225108 S 3301S S S315151 S315151 •3 1 5 1 5 1 S285000 S 418000 S399000 S 3 9 °0 0 0 •3 9 9 0 0 0 S 5700O S83600 579800' S7980'0' S7980'0' S3395 S3160' S50>25 SO SO SO SO so 50 so so so so so so so SO SO SO SO SO SO SO SC' •O SO 50 •O' 5O' •O' SO' SO' SO* *0 40 *0 SO 50 50 50 SO SO so so SO •0 SO SO so so so SO SO so SO 50 so SO so so so so so so so SO *•:> •O' S314 3 S7S17 • “n il *0' •O' S7556 511483 s 1113 3 •O' •h0 BRDVCH *1 1 3 9 8 *1 7 3 2 4 *1 6 8 6 8 *0 *0 *1 7 2 6 5 *2 6 2 4 2 *2 5 5 5 2 *o *o •2 5 3 6 7 *3 8 5 5 8 *3 7 5 4 4 *0 *o SfcAVCH *2 5 9 4 8 *3 9 4 4 0 *3 8 4 0 2 *o *o *3 9 3 0 5 *5 9 7 4 3 *5 8 1 7 1 *o *0 *5 7 7 5 1 *8 7 7 8 2 *8 5 4 7 2 *0 *o HATCHVCH *1 7 4 6 0 *2 6 5 3 9 *2 5 8 4 1 *0 *0 *2 6 4 4 8 •4 0 2 0 1 *3 9 1 4 3 FDNILLVCH PPLTVCH HKTVCH *4 8 0 1 5 *7 2 9 8 3 •7 1 0 6 2 *7 4 6 9 0 *1 1 3 5 2 9 *1 1 0 5 4 1 *4 1 9 5 3 *6 3 7 6 8 *6 2 0 9 0 *o *0 *0 *o *0 •0 *7 2 7 3 2 *1 1 0 5 5 2 *1 0 7 6 4 3 *1 1 3 1 3 8 *1 7 1 9 7 0 *1 6 7 4 4 5 *6 3 5 4 8 *9 6 5 9 4 *9 4 0 5 2 *o *o *o *0 *0 *0 *0 *1 7 2 7 1 •2 6 2 5 3 *2 5 5 6 2 *0 *0 *3 8 8 6 1 *5 9 0 6 8 *5 7 5 1 4 *1 0 6 8 6 7 *1 6 2 4 3 8 *1 5 8 1 6 3 *1 6 6 2 3 7 *2 5 2 6 8 1 *2 4 6 0 3 1 *o *0 *0 *0 *0 T O T RECOVR *1 4 9 9 8 1 0 *2 3 6 5 4 7 0 *2 2 8 0 8 4 0 *1 9 2 8 1 3 0 *1 9 2 8 1 3 0 *9 3 3 3 0 5 *1 1 0 9 2 6 0 *1 0 9 5 2 8 0 *5 7 8 2 7 2 *5 7 8 2 7 2 *1 3 0 0 5 9 0 *1 6 8 8 9 9 0 *1 3 8 7 6 1 0 *3 6 4 4 6 6 *3 6 4 4 6 6 R E M A IN VAI_ *1 3 5 2 1 2 0 0 *1 1 1 5 5 7 0 0 *8 8 7 4 8 8 0 *6 9 4 6 7 5 0 *5 0 1 8 6 2 0 •5 4 8 2 6 5 0 *4 3 7 3 3 9 0 *3 2 7 8 1 0 0 *2 6 9 9 8 3 0 *2 1 2 1 5 6 0 *4 6 0 9 6 6 0 *2 9 2 0 6 7 0 *1 5 3 3 0 6 0 *1 1 6 8 6 0 0 *8 0 4 1 3 1 6R0TVCH *7 7 6 0 *1 1 7 9 5 *1 1 4 8 5 *0 *0 *1 1 7 5 5 *1 7 8 6 7 *1 7 3 9 7 *0 *o *0 SO *9 3 3 7 4 *1 4 1 9 2 8 *1 3 8 1 9 3 *0 SO APPENDIX J ASSET CATEGORIES 100 APPENDIX J1 A SSET CATEGORIES - DEBT OPTION D A T A XN A S S E T C A T A G O R 1 E S **************************************** A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E % P R IC E CHS % F IN A N C E D D E B T I N T (% ) R E T IR E M E N T S A L V < % o r*> LAN D *8 2 9 .0 0 0 3 -N O N E - * - 0 .0 % OX 0 .0 % 0 IO O % * 1 2 0 .0 0 0 A S S E T NAME I N 1 T L CO ST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E % P R IC E CHG % F IN A N C E D D E B T I N T (% ) R E T IR E M E N T S A L V < % o t**) H A T C H B LD 6 * 7 1 0 .0 0 0 F D M IL L B L D G * 9 1 8 .8 0 0 0 .0 % 0 *1 4 2 ,0 0 0 0 .0 % 0 * 1 8 3 .7 6 0 A S S E T NAME I N I T L CO ST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E V .P R IC E CHG % F IN A N C E D D E B T I N T <%) R E T IR E M E N T S A L V (% o r*> R E P L E Q U IP * 3 2 6 .4 0 0 S -A C R S 5 Y1 IS 0 .0 % 0% 0 .0 % B R D E Q U IP * 3 7 8 .9 2 8 5 -A C R S 3 Y1 IS 0 .0 % 0% N IS 3 -S .L .— 12 Y1 IS 0 .0 % VM o *o D W E L L IN G S * 6 0 0 .0 0 0 10 -A C F S S 10 Y1 IS 0 .0 % ox 0 .0 % o S —S . L . — 12 Y1 IS 0 .0 % A. R EPLBLDG *1 .0 1 0 .0 3 0 5 —S . L . !■ 12 Y1 15 0 .0 % OX 0 .0 % 0 * 2 0 2 .0 1 0 BR D BLDG * 1 .9 4 7 .2 4 0 5 -S .L .12 Y1 PP LTB LD G * 1 .4 2 8 ,-0 0 0 5 —S . L . — 12 Y1 RENDBLDG *4 2 2 . 400 5 —S . L . — 12 Y1 IS IS 0 .0 % 1 P P L T E Q U IP * 1 .3 7 9 .7 0 0 5 -A C R S 3 Y1 IS O .O X OX O .O X O *0 A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PROP C L A S S REC METHOD R EC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHG X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T (% J R E T IR E M E N T SA LV < X o r*> 6R 0TVC H * 3 2 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 S S . OX A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PROP C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHG X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T R E T IR E M E N T SALV < X o r*> 6&AVC H * 1 0 7 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 3 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 ' R E N O E Q U IP * 2 .0 0 0 .0 0 0 5 -A C R S S Y1 IS O .O X OX O .O X o *o O .O X 0 HATCHVCH * 7 2 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 S 8 . OX OX O .O X O *o *o ox 8 & A E Q U IP * 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 IS O .O X OX O .O X O «o F D M IL L V C H * 1 9 8 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 S 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 *0 R EPLVCH * 1 4 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S - •T Y1 5 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 *0 PPLTVCH * 3 0 8 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 5 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 BRDVCH * 4 7 . OOO 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 5 S . OX ox 0 .ox o *0 M KTVCH * 1 7 3 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y1 S 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 *0 so *t**c*c*c)|C3|c:|c*c*c:fc:|c*c:4C3«*:4c3lc: L . D E P O S IT 4 PAYM EN TS # P A YM EN TS P A Y FREQ CY 4 P A Y /Y E A R L. BUYOUT A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PR O P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E 7 JP R IC E CHG % F IN A N C E D D E B T I N T (% ) R E T IR E M E N T PAI gpikv w«w« 4 / D E P O S IT 4 PAYM EN TS * PAYM ENTS P A Y FREQCY 4 P A Y /Y E A R L. BUYO UT LAN D 4 8 2 9 . OOO 3 -N O N E - * N 15 0 .0 % 0% 0 .0 % O 100% A S S E T D U E L L IN G S 4 6 0 0 .0 0 0 10 -A C R S lO Y1 IS 0 .0 % 0% 0 .0 % O 4 1 2 0 .0 0 0 -4 40 H ATC H B LD G 4 7 1 0 .0 0 0 J ' -S .L .” 12 Y1 15 0 .0 % 0% 0 .0 % 0 44<5 VVV 40 -4 - F D M IL L B L D G 4 9 1 8 .8 0 0 5 —S . L . — 12 Y1 15 0 .0 % o% 0 .0 % 0 6 1 S 3 .7 6 0 -4 - L. A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PR O P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E % P R IC E CHG % F IN A N C E D D E B T I N T (% ) R E T IR E M E N T S A L V < % o r4 > L . D E P O S IT 4 PAYM EN TS # PAYM EN TS P A Y FREQCY 4 P A Y /Y E A R X N -4 - C A T A G REPLBLDG 4 1 .0 1 0 .0 5 0 5 —S . L . — O R IE S BR D BLDG 4 1 ,9 4 7 .2 4 0 5 —S . L . — GROWOUT -L E A S E D 5 -A C R S ” 12 12 5 Y1 15 Y1 15 N 15 0.0% 0.0% 0% 0% , 0.0% O 4 2 0 2 .0 1 0 0.0% O • 4 3 8 9 .4 4 8 -4 - -4 - —4— 40 40 -4 - -4 - PPLTBLD G 4 1 ,4 2 8 .0 0 0 5 —S . L . — 12 Y1 15 0 .0 % o% 0 .0 % 0 4 2 2 5 .6 0 0 -4 - 0.0% 0% 0.0% O 40 4 8 6 7 .7 7 5 4 2 3 4 .2 9 9 120 - m o n th 1 v — 42811590 41735550 REN DBLD6 4422. 400 5 —S . L . — 12 Y1 15 0 .0 % 0% 0 .0 % 0 *2 4 ^4 3 0 -4 - SS L . D E P O S IT * PAYM EN TS * P A YM EN TS PAY FREQ CY * P A Y /Y E A R L. BUYO UT R E N D E Q U IP *2.000.000 S -A C R S - 5 -A C R S - S 5 YI Yl IS o. OX ox O .O X 0 *0 R EPLVC H *1 4 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl GScAEQUIP * 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 IS 5 O .O X 8 . OX 07. O .O X 0 *0 ox O .O X 0 *0 BRDVCH *47.000 3 -ACRS3 Yl 5 8. OX 07. O.OX 0 *0 GROTVCH *32.000 3 -ACRS3 Yl S 8.07. 07. 0.07. 0 *0 -» - . *o •o SO ♦O SO ■ H ATCHVCH * 7 2 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl S 8 .0 7 . 07. 0 .0 7 . 0 *0 *0 PPLTVCH * 3 0 8 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S * 3 Y l F D M IL L V C H * 1 9 8 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S - 3 Y l 5 S . 8 . OX OX 0 .0 7 . 0 *0 8 .0 7 . OX 0 .0 7 . 0 SO SO *o M KTVCH * 1 7 3 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Y l 5 8 . OX Ox O .O X 0 *0 SO GlcAVCH * 1 0 7 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl S 8 .0 7 . OX O .O X 0 *0 so 104 APPENDIX J 3 ASSET CATEGORIES - D A T A x im a s s e t 100% EQUITY OPTION c a t a g o r x e s **********************»;***************** 1002 D W E L L IN G S * 6 0 0 .0 0 0 10 -A C R S 10 Yl 15 O. 02 02 0 .0 2 O * 1 2 0 ,0 0 0 REPLBLDG * 1 .0 1 0 .0 5 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 O * 2 0 2 .0 1 0 BRD BLDG * 1 .9 4 7 .2 4 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 *3 8 9 .4 4 8 GROTBLDG * 1 2 .7 7 0 .3 0 0 5 -S .L .12 VI 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 * 2 .5 5 4 .0 6 0 A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHG X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T ( 2 ) R E T IR E M E N T S A L V < 2 o r*> HATCH8LDG * 7 1 0 ,0 0 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 O * 1 4 2 .0 0 0 F D M IL L B L D G * 9 1 8 .8 0 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 * 1 8 3 .7 6 0 P P LTB LD G * 1 .4 2 8 .0 0 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl IS 0 .0 2 07. 0 .0 2 O * 2 S 5 .600 RENDBLDG * 4 2 2 ,4 0 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl IS 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 .•W-T a , « TWV G &A BLD G * 2 2 0 .0 0 0 5 -S .L .12 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 ASSET NAME I N I T L CO ST PROP C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHG 2 F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T ( 2 ) R E T IR E M E N T SALV < X o r*> R E P L E Q U IP * 3 2 6 .4 0 0 5 -A C R S 5 Yl 15 B R D E Q U tP * 5 7 8 .9 2 8 5 -A C R S 5 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 G RO TEQ UTP * 4 .5 8 5 .1 9 0 5 -A C R S 5 Yl 15 0 .0 2 02 0 .0 2 0 H ATC H E Q U TF * 4 8 9 .3 8 8 5 -A C R S 5 Yl IS F D M II.E O U IP •1 .3 6 3 .2 0 0 5 -A C R S 5 Yl 15 A S S E T NAME I N I T L CO ST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHG 2 F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T R E T IR E M E N T S A L V (2 o r*> LAND * 8 2 9 .0 0 0 3 • -N Q N E N IS O.OX 07. 0.07. 0 0.07. 02 . 0 .0 2 0 *o 0.02 0 *0 *o 0.02 02 0 .0 2 0 *o 0.02 02 0.02 0 *o 105 A S S E T NAME I N I T L CO ST PROP C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHS X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T < X > R E T IR E M E N T S A L V < 7 .o r * > P P L T E Q U IP *1 .3 7 9 .7 0 0 S -A C R S S Yl IS O .O X OX O .O X ' O *0 R E N O E Q U IP * 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S S Yl IS O .O X OX O .O X O *0 G & A E Q U IP *4 0 0 ,0 0 0 5 -A C R S 5 Yl 15 O .O X OX O .O X F D M IL L V C H * 1 9 8 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X A S S E T NAME I N I T L COST PROP C L A S S R E C METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHS X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T (X ) f t f c iI R E n E N T S A L V (X o r« ) GROTVCH * 3 2 .0 0 0 3 -A C R 9 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X A V H ATCHVCH * 7 2 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 3 8 . OX OX O .O X A •v *o *0 A S S E T NAM E I N I T L C O ST PRO P C L A S S REC METHOD REC P E R O ID IN V E S T CRD U S E F U L L IF E X P R IC E CHS X F IN A N C E D D E B T IN T < X > R E T IR E M E N T S A L V O ', o r * ) G&AVCH * 1 0 7 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 3 . OX OX O .O X O *0 REPLVCH * 1 4 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X . BRDVCH * 4 7 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X O O 0 *0 *C *0 <5 *0 PPLTVCH * 3 0 8 .0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X O *0 MKTVCH * 1 7 3 ,0 0 0 3 -A C R S 3 Yl 5 8 . OX OX O .O X 0 *0 APPENDIX K CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS DEBT OPTION 106 APPENDIX K1 DEBT OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 9 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE IT wf 1 cr 4 26052300 20414100 1605380 26052300 20414100 1500970 26052300 20414100 1386900 26052300 20414100 1262230 26052300 20414100 1126130 BEFO RE TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 4032820 2658700 4137230 4334760 4251300 4206570 4375920 3853860 4512070 3853860 T A X A B L E INCO M E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 1374120 0 -1 9 7 5 3 0 O 44730 O 522060 0 658210 O A D JU S TE D T A X A B LE INCO M E 3 IN C O M E TAX A T GC IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 1374120 -1 9 7 5 3 0 44730 522060 658210 611845 3241760 0 2696690 7301 2 *9 6 6 9 0 219898 2689390 282527 2477480 N E T INCO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 1307340 2658700 -1 9 7 5 3 0 4334760 44730 4206570 514075 3853860 640831 3853860 A F T E R T A X CAS H FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PER ATO R LA B O R 3966040 1128790 0 0 0 4137230 1233200 O 0 0 4251300 1347270 0 O 0 4367940 1471890 0 0 0 4494690 1608040 1397330 O 0 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 2837250 2904030 2904030 2896050 1489320 6 7 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT 10 26052300 20414100 977385 26052300 20414100 814882 26052300 2 0 *1 4 1 0 0 637348 26052300 20414100 443392 26052300 20414100 231495 B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 4660820 1944290 4823320 2120240 5000850 2106270 5194810 1589260 5406710 1589260 T A X A B L E IN C O H E C T A X LO S S CARRY FORWARD 3 2716530 0 2703080 0 2894580 O ■ a6uS 550 O 3817450 0 AD JU STE D T AXA BLE IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E TAX A T .DC IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 2716530 2703080 2894580 3605550 3817450 1229350 2296170 1223170 1226220 1311260 161530 1638300 1735770 1*1 N E T INCOM E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2557120 1944290 2544600 2120240 1744850 2106270 1967250 1589260 2081670 15S92oO A F T E R T A X C A S H FLOW D EB T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKING C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATOR LAB O R 4501410 1756790 0 0 o 46o4840 1919290 O 0 o 3851120 2096820 0 0 0 3556510 2290780 \j o 3670930 2502680 2053140 0 0 N ET A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 2744620 2745550 1754300 1265730 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT i j -B 8 4 S 9 0 107 • 11 12 13 14 15 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 0 B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 2051240 5638200 2318150 5638200 1528640 5638200 0 5638200 0 T A X A B L E INCO M E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 3586960 0 3320050 0 4109560 O 5638200 O 5638200 -2 4 3 7 8 8 0 AD JU STE D TA X A B LE IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E T A X A T 3C IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 3586960 3320050 4109560 5638200 8076080 1629750 125188 1506970 0 1870150 0 2573320 O 3694750 0 N E T IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2080400 2051240 1813080 2318150 2239410 1528640 3064880 0 1943450 0 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LAB O R 4131640 0 0 0 0 4131230 0 0 0 0 3768050 O 0 O 0 3064880 0 O 0 O 1943450 -5 0 -4 8 3 4 3 6 0 -3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 N ET AFTER TAX C AS H FLOW (C U R R E N T * ) 4131640 4131230 3768050 3064880 10277900 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT C A P IT A L 3 D IS C O U N T O -% 4 6 a 10 12 14 16 IS 20 25 R ATE PER 46029700 38444300 32527300 27863300 24148700 21159600 18730000 16735400 15082000 13698400 12530000 10296300 E X P E N D IT U R E A N A L Y S IS PEC 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 NPV 26755600 i 9170200 13253200 85B9200 4874550 1SB5510 -5 4 4 1 0 0 -2 5 3 8 7 1 0 -4 1 9 2 1 4 0 -5 5 7 5 7 2 0 —6 7 4 4 1 3 0 -B 9 7 7 7 8 0 AE N P V 1783700 1491930 1192010 884368 569492 247895 -7 9 S 8 7 -4 1 3 3 2 4 -7 5 1 8 9 1 -1 0 9 5 0 9 0 -1 4 4 2 4 5 0 -2 3 2 6 2 9 0 108 APPENDIX K2 DEBT OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CA PITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 1 2 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE 2 I 4 ir a 26032300 20414100 2126050 26052300 20414100 2006360 26052300 2041410O 1872000 26052300 20414100 1721180 26052300 20414100 1551890 3512150 2658700 3631840 4334760 3766200 4206570 3917020 3853860 4086310 3853860 TAXABLE INCONE C TAX LOSS CARRY FORWARD 3 833450 0 -702920 0 -440370 0 63160 0 232450 ADJUSTED TAXABLE INCOME 3 INCOME TAX AT 8C INVEST. TAX CREDIT 833450 -702920 -440370 63160 232450 372337 3241760 0 2900270 O 2900270 12198 2900270 86677 2888080 NET INCOME DEPRECIATION 822600 2658700 -702920 4334760 -440370 4206570 63160 3853860 232450 3853860 AFTER TAX CASH FLOW DEBT RETIREMENT EQUITY REINVESTMENT WORKING CAPITAL CHGS OPERATOR LABOR 3481300 977100 0 0 0 3631840 1096790 0 0 0 3766200 1231150 3917020 1381970 O O O O 0 0 4086310 1551260 1397330 0 0 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (CURRENT «) 2304200 2535050 2535050 2535050 1137720 6 7 8 9 OPERATING RECEIPTS CPER. EXPENDITURES INTEREST ON DEBT BEFORE TAX CASH FLOW DEPRECIATION *o ■ j 10 26052300 20414100 1361860 26052300 20414100 1148550 26052300 20414100 909116 26052300 20414100 640346 26052300 20414100 338653 BEFORE TAX CASH FLOW DEPRECIATION 4276340 1944290 4489650 2120240 4729080 2106270 4997850 1589260 5299550 1589260 TAXABLE INCOME C TAX LOSS CARRY FORWARD 3 2332050 2369410 O 2622810 0 3408590 O 3710290 0 ADJUSTED TAXABLE INCOME 3 INCOME TAX AT .DC INVEST. TAX CREDIT 2332050 2369410 2622810 3408590 3710290 1052490 2385240 1069680 1965620 1136240 1031390 1547700 0 1686480 NET INCOME DEPRECIATION 2199180 1944290 2233960 2120240 2467960 2106270 1860890 1589260 2023810 1589260 AFTER TAX CASH FLOW DEBT RETIREMENT EQUITY REINVESTMENT WORKING CAPITAL CHGS DFFRATOR 1OROR 4143470 1741290 .j 0 4354200 195460'.' 4574230 2194030 0 3450150 2462800 3613070 2764500 2053140 o i't 0 tJ 1 j «> 2380200 987351 OPERATING RECEIPTS OPER. EXPENDITURES INTEREST ON DEBT NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW *CURRENT *> 0 0 ij •*» 2402180 2399600 0 0 -1 2 0 4 5 S 0 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O PE R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EBT 11 12 t" 14 26052300 20414100 26052300 20414100 26052300 20414100 26052300 20414100 26U 3230O 20414100 563820O 0 0 0 BEFO RE TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 2051240 5638200 2318150 5638200 1528640 5638200 T A X A B L E INCO M E C TAX LO S S CARRY FORWARD 3 3586960 0 3320050 0 4109560 O 5638200 O 5638200 -2 4 3 7 8 8 0 3638200 8076080 2573320 O 3694730 1943430 O A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E IN C O M E J INCOM E T A X A T SC IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 3586960 N E T INCOM E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2080400 2051240 1813080 2318150 2239410 1328640 3064880 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D EBT R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W ORKING C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATOR LAB O R 4131640 4131230 3768050 3064880 1629750 123188 h£T AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T « ) O 0 O 0 4131640 3320050 1306970 O 4109560 1870150 O O O O O 4131230 O O O O O 0 O O O O 3768050 0 3064880 O 1943430 10 -4 8 3 4 3 6 0 -3 5 0 0 0 0 0 O 10277800 C A P IT A L E X P E N D IT U R E A N A L Y S IS 5C 0U N T R A T E 0 '-i 4m 4 6 3 10 12 14 16 13 20 25 PER 43585400 36197100 30452300 25940100 22339301) 19489600 1 7 1 6 6 4 0 *) 13267200 13699700 12393900 11296000 9212730 PE C 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274101) 19274100 1 9 2 7 4 lO O 19274100 19274100 19274100 NPV 24311300 16923000 11178400 6666020 3085420 213520 -2 1 0 7 7 0 0 -4 0 0 6 8 8 0 -3 5 7 4 3 5 0 -6 8 8 0 2 2 0 -7 9 7 8 0 9 0 X - 10061400■ AEN PV 1620750 1317030 1< » 5 4 0 0 360469 28335 -3 0 9 4 6 2 -6 5 2 3 5 6 -9 9 9 8 0 2 -1 3 3 1 2 9 0 -1 7 0 6 3 7 0 -2 6 0 7 0 7 ' 110 APPENDIX K3 DEBT OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CA PITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 1 5 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE 1 T w 2 4 5 26052300 20414100 2646720 26052300 20414100 2517940 26052300 20414100 2369530 26052300 20414100 2196490 26052300 20414100 2001360 2991480 2638700 3120260 4334760 3268670 4206570 3439710 3853860 3636840 3853860 T A X A B L E INCOM E C TAX LO S S ' CARRY FORWARD 3 332780 0 -1 2 1 4 5 0 0 O -9 3 7 9 0 0 O -4 1 4 1 5 0 0 -2 1 7 0 2 0 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E INCOM E 3 IN CO M E TAX A T 3C IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 332780 -1 2 1 4 5 0 0 -9 3 7 9 0 0 -4 1 4 1 5 0 -2 1 7 0 2 0 132829 3241760 0 3108930 0 3108930 0 3108930 0 3108930 NET INCOM E D E P R E C IA T IO N 332780 2658700 -1 2 1 4 5 0 0 4334760 -9 3 7 9 0 0 4206570 -4 1 4 1 5 0 3853860 -2 1 7 0 2 0 3853860 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W ORKING C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATOR LAB O R 2991480 844417 0 0 0 3120260 973191 0 0 0 3268670 1121600 0 3439710 1292650 0 0 0 3636840 1489780 1397330 0 0 NET A F TE R TAX CASH - FLOW (C U R R E N T * > 2147060 2147070 2147070 2147060 749730 6 7 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT BEFO RE TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N O o io 26052300 20414100 1774170 26052300 20414100 1512330 26052300 20414100 1210560 26052300 20414100 862775 26052300 20414100 461950 BE FO R E TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 3864030 1944290 4125870 2120240 4427640 2106270 4775430 1589260 5176250 1589260 T A X A B L E INCO M E C TAX LO SS CARRY FORWARD 3 1919740 0 2005630 0 2321370 0 3186170 0 3586990 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E INCOM E 3 IN CO M E TAX A T 3C IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 1919740 2005630 2321370 3186170 3586990 862830 3192770 902340 2434370 1047580 1642380 1445390 726934 1629770 N E T INCOME D E P R E C IA T IO N 1815320 1944290 18952S0 2120240 2189230 2106270 2467710 1589260 1957220 1589260 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW DEBT R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W ORKING C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATOR LABO R 3759610 1716970 0 0 4015520 1973800 0 0 4295500 22S0570 4056970 2629360 0 0 3546480 3029180 2053140 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EBT N E T AFTE R TAX CASH FLOW iC U R R E N T 1j 2042640 ij 2036720 0 0 0 2014930 0 ■1 4 2 8 6 1 0 0 C> 0 -1 5 3 5 3 4 0 Ill 11 12 13 14 15 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 O B EFO R E TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 2051240 5638200 2318150 5638200 1528640 5638200 0 5638200 0 T A X A B L E INCO M E C T A X LO S S CARRY FORWARD I 3586960 0 3320050 0 4109560 0 5638200 O 5638200 -2 4 3 7 8 8 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E TAX A T DC IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 3586960 3320050 4109560 5638200 8076080 1629750 123188 1506970 0 1870150 0 2573320 0 3694750 0 NET INCO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2080400 2051240 1815080 2318150 2239410 1528640 3064880 0 1943450 0 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D EB T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATOR LABO R 4131640 0 0 0 0 4131230 0 0 0 0 3768050 0 0 0 0 3064880 O 0 0 0 1943450 -1 8 -4 8 3 4 3 6 0 —3 5 0 0 0 0 0 O NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R E N T * > 4131640 4131230 3768050 3064880 10277800 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EB T C A P IT A L D D IS C O U N T R A T E 0 4 6 S 10 12 14 16 IS 20 25 PER 40698700 33549200 23014400 23687100 20270600 17546800 15354000 13571300 12109500 10898700 9886300 7986030 E X P E N D IT U R E PEC 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 19274100 A N A L Y S IS NPV 21424600 14275100 8740290 4413040 996534 -1 7 2 7 3 4 0 -3 9 2 0 1 1 0 -5 7 0 2 3 3 0 -7 1 6 4 5 8 0 -8 3 7 5 4 5 0 -9 7 8 7 3 0 0 ''. - 1 1 2 8 8 1 0 0 AENPV 1428310 1110970 786113 454379 116425 -2 2 7 1 0 0 —5 7 5 5 6 8 -9 2 8 3 9 1 -1 2 8 5 0 2 0 —1 6 4 4 9 6 0 -2 0 0 7 7 8 0 -2 9 2 4 9 7 ' APPENDIX L CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CA PITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS LEASE OPTION 112 APPENDIX L I LEASE OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND C A PITA L EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 9 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE -4 1 3 »♦ 26032300 23039100 0 26032300 23059100 0 26052300 23059100 0 26052300 23039100 0 26052300 23059100 0 B EFO R E TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 2993230 1499910 2993230 2365470 2993230 2280840 2993230 1928130 2993230 1928130 T A X A B L E INCOM E C TAX LO S S CARRY FORWARD 3 1493420 0 627760 0 712390 0 1065100 0 1065100 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E INCO M E 3 IN CO M E TAX A T SC IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 1493420 627760 712390 1063100 1065100 666723 1306210 268520 914495 307449 661254 469696 374922 469696 0 NET INCO M E U fe P H E L lM iI UN 1418410 1499B 1U 612482 2 3 6 3 4 /'.* 691273 22S vS 4V 970326 1 9 2 8 1 3 * .. 595404 1928130 A F TE R TAX CASH FLOW DEBT R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W ORKING C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATOR LABO R 2918220 O 0 O 0 2977930 O 0 0 O 2972110 O 0 0 0 2898460 0 0 0 0 2523530 O 1397330 0 0 NET A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW (C URREN T S> 2918220 2977950 2972110 2898460 1126200 6 7 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT * 26032300 23059100 A V 26032300 23039100 26032300 2 3 0 3 9 10O A V 10 26032300 23059100 26052300 23059100 /% V BEFO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 2993230 933303 2993230 1109260 2993230 1095280 2993230 578272 2993230 578272 T A X A B L E INCOM E C TAX L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 2039930 0 1883970 O 1897950 0 2414960 0 2414960 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E IN C O M E 3 INCOM E TAX AT SC IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 2059930 1883970 1897950 2414960 2414960 927315 83840 846376 0 852S07 0 1090630 0 1090630 0 NET IN CO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 1216450 933305 1037390 1109260 1045140 1093280 1324330 578272 1324330 S78272 A F TE R TAX CASH FLOW D EB T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W ORKING C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATOR LABOR 2149750 2146850 0 0 0 0 2140420 0 1902600 0 0 0 0 19 0 2 6 0 0 2146850 2140420 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (CURREN T *> O i |j o IJ 2149750 o o o 1902600 1 *1 ” 08690 0 0 -1 8 8 6 0 9 0 113 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EBT B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N li 12 26032300 20414100 O 26032300 20414100 0 3638200 1300590 5638200 1688990 14 13 26052300 20414100 . 0 26052300 20414100 5638200 364466 5638200 364466 5638200 1387610 5273730 -7 5 1 5 8 8 4337610 A D JU S TE D T AXA BLE INCO M E 1 IN C O M E TAX A T 3C IN V E S T *. TAX C R E D IT 4337610 3949210 4250590 5273730 6025320 1975050 123188 1796390 1935020 2405670 2751400 N E T INCO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2485750 1300590 2152820 1688990 2313570 1387610 2868070 364466 2522340 364466 A F T E R T A X CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LABOR 3786340 5341810 3703180 3232530 2886800 N ET A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW O 0 O O 3786340 4250590 5273730 T A X A B L E INCOM E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD I O 3949210 26052300 20414100 O0 IS O O O 0 O 0 o 0 3841810 O O O O O O O O O O 3703180 3232530 0 O -2 2 8 0 3 0 0 -3 5 0 0 0 0 0 O 8667100 C A P IT A L E X P E N D IT U R E A N A L Y S IS SCOUNT RATE o 4 6 S 10 34 lo 18 20 —a PE R 42577500 35698100 30324100 26081700 22697400 19969400 17747800 15920500 14402500 13129600 12052200 9 9 8 4 1 10 PEC 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 19494500 NPV 23083000 16203600 10829600 6587220 3202860 474856 -1 7 4 6 6 7 0 -3 5 7 4 0 3 0 -5 0 9 1 9 6 0 -o 3 6 4 9 2 0 -7 4 4 2 3 5 0 -9 5 1 0 3 9 0 A EN PV 1558860 1261060 974031 678239 374189 62431 -2 5 6 4 5 4 -5 8 1 8 8 4 -9 1 3 2 8 0 -1 2 5 0 0 9 0 -1 5 9 1 7 8 0 -2 4 6 4 3 0 0 APPENDIX L2 LEASE OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 1 2 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE 1 2 c* 4 5 26092300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 O B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 2660010 1699810 2660010 2365470 2660010 2280840 2660010 1928130 2660010 1928130 T A X A B L E INCOM E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 1160200 0 294540 O 379170 0 731880 0 731880 0 AD JU STE D T AXA BLE IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E TAX A T 3C I N V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 1160200 294540 379170 731880 731880 513442 1506210 115238 1044780 15416B 929546 316415 ^ /5 a /8 316415 481425 N E T INCO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 1108180 1499810 294540 2365470 379170 2280840 709418 192S130 709418 1928130 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LABO R 2607990 0 0 0 O 2660010 O O o o 2660010 0 0 0 o 2637550 0 0 0 0 2637550 0 1397330 0 0 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (CURREN T * > 2607990 2660010 2660010 2637550 1240220 6 7 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EB T O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EBT ■j 10 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 26052300 23392300 0 B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 2660010 933305 2660010 1109260 2660010 10952S0 2660010 578272 2660010 578272 T A X A B L E INCO M E C TAX L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 1726710 0 1550750 O 1564730 0 2081740 0 2081740 0 AD JU S TE D TAXA BLE IN C O M E 3 IN CO M E TAX A T OC IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 1726710 1550750 1564730 2081740 2081740 774034 271313 693095 0 •6 9 9 5 2 6 0 937349 0 937349 0 N E T INC O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 1223980 933305 S576S5 1109260' 865204 1095230 1144390 57S272 1144390 578272 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHSS OPERATOR LABO R 2157290 0 o o o 1966920 0 1960480 0 i't 0 0 1722660 0 0 0 o 1722660 0 3788690 0 »*# N ET A F T E R TAX CASH PI n u ir ilR R F N T *> 2 15 7 2 9 0 1966920 1960460 1722660 ij ■2066030 12 11 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EB T 14 13 15 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 0 B E FO R E TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 1300590 5638200 16889TO 5638200 1387610 5638200 364466 5638200 364466 T A X A B L E IN C O M E C T A X LO S S CARRY FORWARD 3 4337610 O 3949210 O 4250590 O 5273730 O 5273730 -7 5 1 5 8 8 AD JU STE D T AXA BLE INCO M E 3 IN C O M E TAX AT. 3 C IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 4337610 3949210 4250590 5273730 6025320 1975050 123188 1796390 O 1935020 O 2405670 O 2751400 0 2485750 1300590 2152820 1688990 2315570 1387610 2868070 364466 2522340 364466 ' N E T INCO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKING C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LABO R NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (CURREN T •> 3786340 O O O O 3786340 C A P IT A L 3C 0U N T R ATE 0 2 4 6 3 10 12 14 Id IS 20 25 PER 40778100 34054700 23814900 24688300 21404800 18765000 16621000 14862300 13405500 12187100 1 1 1SB 70O 9193710 3841810 3703180 O O O O 3841810 3232530 O O O O O O O O 3703180 3232530 2B868C0 0 -2 2 8 0 3 0 0 -3 5 0 0 0 *5 0 O 8667100 E X P E N D IT U R E A N A L Y S IS PEC 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 19522300 NPV 21255800 14532400 9292550 5166040 1882470 -7 5 7 3 4 4 -2 9 0 1 2 7 0 -4 6 5 9 9 6 0 —6 1 1 6 6 1 0 - “ 335170 —8 3 6 3 5 6 0 7 .-1 0 3 2 8 6 0 0 AENPV 1417050 1131000 835784 531910 219928 -9 9 5 7 1 -4 2 5 9 7 6 -7 5 8 6 8 3 -1 0 9 7 1 0 0 —1 4 4 0 6 5 0 -1 7 8 8 8 2 0 —2 o “ o 3 : 116 APPENDIX L3 LEASE OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND C A PITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS AT A 1 5 .2 5 % IN TER EST RATE 1 2 ■r 4 5 26052300 23663100 O 26052300 23663100 O 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 2389250 1499010 2389250 2365470 2389250 2280840 2389250 1928130 23B9250 1928130 T A X A B L E INCO M E C TAX L O S S CARRY FORWARD I 889440 O 23780 0 108410 0 461120 0 461120 0 AD JU STE D TAXA BLE IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E TAX A T SC IN V E S T - T A X C R E D IT 889440 23780 108410 461120 461120 38BB92 1506210 3567 1150650 29619 1147080 191865 1117470 191865 929381 N E T IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 856106 1499810 23780 2365470 108410 2280840 457340 1928130 457340 1928130 A F T E R T A X CAS H FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O R KIN G C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATO R L A B O R 2355920 O 0 0 0 2389250 0 0 0 0 2389250 0 0 0 0 2385470 0 0 0 0 2335470 O 1397330 0 0 NET A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 2355920 2389250 2389250 2385470 988140 6 } 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EBT BE FO R E TAX CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N • 1V 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 26052300 23663100 0 B E FO R E T A X CAS H FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 2339250 933305 2389250 1109260 2389250 1095260 2389250 578272 2389250 578272 T A X A B L E INCO M E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 1455950 0 1279990 0 1293970 0 ...1 8 1 0 9 8 0 0 1810980 0 A D JU S TE D TA X A B LE IN C O M E 3 IN CO M E TAX A T SC IN V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 1455950 1279990 1293970 1810980 1810980 649485 825135 56BS45 248073 574976 0 812800 ij 812800 o NET IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 1383520 933305 959518 1109260 718994 1095230 998178 579272 998178 578272 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O RKIN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATOR LABO R 2316830 0 0 o 0 2068780 0 0 o o 1814270 0 1576450 o 0 0 o 2316830 2068780 1814270 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON D EB T NET AFTER TAX CASH ei nu o 0 1576450 1576450 0 3783690 0 0 -2212240 11 12 13 14 15 26032300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 1300590 3638200 1688990 5638200 1387610 5638200 364466 5638200 364466 T A X A B L E INCO M E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD J 4337610 O 3949210 0 4250590 0 5273730 0 5273730 -7 5 1 5 0 8 AD JU STE D TAXA BLE IN CO M E I IN C O M E T A X A T 3C IN V E S T . T A X .C R E D IT 4337610 3949210 4250590 5273730 6025320 1975050 123188 1796390 0 1935020 0 2405670 0 2751400 0 N E T IN CO M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2485750 1300590 2152820 1688990 2315570 1387610 2868070 364466 2522340 364466 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O R K IN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LAB O R 3786340 0 0 0 0 3841810 0 0 0 0 3703180 0 0 O 0 3232530 0 O O 0 2886800 0 -2 2 8 0 3 0 0 -3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 3786340 3841810 3703180 3232530 8667100 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT C A P IT A L •5 D IS C O U N T R A T E 0 2 4 6 a 10 12 14 16 18 20 25 PE R 39303100 32694300 27353900 23514500 20307600 17735600 15652200 13947700 12339600 11365300 10377000 8497620 E X P E N D IT U R E A N A L Y S IS PEC 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 19544900 NPV 19738200 13149400 8009020 3969580 762662 -1 8 0 9 2 5 0 -3 8 9 2 6 9 0 -5 5 9 7 2 1 0 -7 0 0 5 3 0 0 -8 1 7 9 5 7 0 -9 1 6 7 9 1 0 7 .- 1 1 0 4 7 3 0 0 AENPV 1317210 1023360 720342 408719 89101 -2 3 7 8 6 9 -5 7 1 5 4 1 -9 1 1 2 7 6 —1 2 5 6 4 5 0 -1 6 0 6 4 9 0 -1 9 6 0 8 5 0 , -2 9 6 2 5 4 0 APPENDIX M 118 APPENDIX M EQUITY OPTION CASH FLOW CALCULATIONS AND CA PITAL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS I 4m 4 3 5 26032300 20414100 0 26032300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 B E FO R E T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 3638200 2638700 3638200 4334760 3638200 4206570 5638200 3853860 ■ 5638200 3BS 3860 T A X A B L E INCO M E £ T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 2979300 0 1303440 O 1431630 0 1784340 0 1784340 0 A D JU STE D T A X A B LE IN C O M E 3 IN C O M E T A X A T SC I N V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 2979300 1303440 1431630 1784340 1784340 1330320 3241760 579332 2068990 638300 1531360 800546 984001 800346 278536 N E T IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2801930 26SB700 1241340 4334760 1360890 4206570 1689260 3853860 1262330 3853860 A F T E R T A X C AS H FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O R K IN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LAB O R 3460630 0 0 O 0 5376300 O 0 0 0 5567460 0 O o o 5543120 0 0 0 0 5116190 0 1397330 0 0 NET AFTER TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 3460630 3576300 5367460 5543120 3718860 6 7 8 9 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT 0 10 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26032300 20414100 0 5638200 1944290 s6^u20v 2120240 5638200 2106270 5633200 1589260 5655200 1589260 3693910 0 3517960 0 3531930 0 4048940 0 4048940 0 A D JU S TE D TAXA BLE IN C O M E I IN C O M E T A X A T SC I N V E S T . TAX C R E D IT 3693910 3517960 3331930 4048940 4048940 1678950 83840 1598010 0 1604440 0 1842260 0 1842260 0 N E T IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2098800 1944290 1919950 2120240 1927490 2106270 2206680 1589260 2206680 1589260 A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T W O R K IN G C A P IT A L CHGS O PERATO R LABO R 4043090 0 o 0 0 4040190 0 0 0 o 4033760 0 0 0 0 3793940 0 o o 0 3795940 l.l 2053140 0 *.» NET A F T E R TAX CASH FLOW (C U R R EN T * ) 4043090 4040190 4033760 3 7 9 3 *4 0 17 4 2 B 0 0 O P E R A T IN G R E C E IP T S O P E R . E X P E N D IT U R E S IN T E R E S T ON DEBT B E F O R E T A X CASH PLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N T A X A B L E IN C O M E C T A X L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 • 119 11 12 13 14 15 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 O 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 26052300 20414100 0 BEFO RE T A X CASH FLOW D E P R E C IA T IO N 5638200 2051240 5638200 2318150 5638200 1528640 5638200 0 5638200 0 T A X A B L E IN C O M E C TAX L O S S CARRY FORWARD 3 3586960 0 3320050 0 4109560 O 5638200 0 5638200 -2 4 3 7 8 8 0 A D JU S T E D T A X A B L E IN C O M E 3 IN CO M E T A X A T 3C IN V E S T . T A X C R E D IT 3586960 3320050 4109560 5638200 8076080 1629750 123188 1506970 0 1870150 o 2573320 0 3694750 0 N E T IN C O M E D E P R E C IA T IO N 2080400 2051240 1813080 2318150 2239410 1528640 3064880 0 1943450 0 A F T E R T A X CAS H FLOW D E B T R E T IR E M E N T E Q U IT Y R E IN V E S T M E N T WORKING C A P IT A L CHGS OPERATOR LA B O R 4131640 0 0 0 O 4131230 0 0 0 O 3768050 O 0 O O 3064880 O 0 0 0 1943450 0 -4 8 3 4 3 6 0 -3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 NET AFTE R TAX CASH FLOW